Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 06, 2023


Episode 2131 Scott Adams： RFK Jr.'s Path To The Presidency, UFOs Are Real(ish), Trump Summer Hoax


Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 1 minute

Words per minute

142.5358

Word count

8,808

Sentence count

730

Harmful content

Misogyny

1

sentences flagged

Hate speech

18

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Rikkidee Jr. interviews Elon Musk and David Sachs and Jordan Peterson. RFK Jr. argues that he has the best chance to win the 2020 election if Joe Biden is still functioning by election day. And aliens are invading the planet.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do-do-do.
00:00:02.340 Do-do-do.
00:00:05.360 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
00:00:10.780 As long as it lasts.
00:00:12.680 Might be a timer on it now.
00:00:14.560 If you've seen the news about the UFOs anyway, we'll talk about that.
00:00:18.260 But if you'd like your experience to go up to a level that only UFOs have ever seen,
00:00:23.820 then all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice of dine,
00:00:27.040 and a canteen, jug, or flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:30.660 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:31.940 I like coffee, because I'm a human.
00:00:35.580 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day,
00:00:38.980 the thing that makes everything better.
00:00:40.980 It's called the simultaneous sip and app is now.
00:00:43.640 Oh, go.
00:00:48.900 Ah.
00:00:52.800 So, let's talk about the news.
00:00:57.040 Aliens are invading the planet.
00:01:00.260 We'll get to that.
00:01:01.660 We'll get to that.
00:01:03.400 You don't need that right away.
00:01:04.840 We'll work our way up to that.
00:01:06.760 Aliens.
00:01:08.060 But we're going to start with RFK Jr., who did some notable interviews yesterday.
00:01:14.080 So he did a Spaces interview with Elon Musk and David Sachs,
00:01:19.140 and he did a Jordan Peterson interview that at least aired yesterday.
00:01:22.560 And I think there was at least one other major interview he did.
00:01:29.240 And let me give you the correct opinion on RFK Jr.
00:01:39.960 Are you ready for this?
00:01:41.780 Now, one of the things he said, talking to Jordan Peterson,
00:01:45.160 is that he has a path to victory.
00:01:48.540 How many of you think he has a path that there is a way he could win?
00:01:53.420 How many of you think that?
00:01:56.640 A little bit mixed, but a lot of yeses.
00:01:59.180 Yeah, a lot of yeses, a lot of noes.
00:02:01.820 All right.
00:02:02.460 I'm going to tell you that he has a path that might be the easiest path of all of them.
00:02:08.660 You ready?
00:02:09.220 All right.
00:02:10.740 Look at Trump's path.
00:02:12.840 Trump has to get past Biden.
00:02:14.620 We know he's failed to do that once.
00:02:18.760 And we know that Biden's, you know, how much he can function doesn't seem to matter.
00:02:24.140 There seems to be an anti-Trump vote that can be activated.
00:02:30.820 So Trump, I think, has a good chance of winning.
00:02:34.280 Would you agree?
00:02:35.540 I think he has a good, solid chance of winning.
00:02:38.320 But if Biden is in the way, there's definitely a big if on that.
00:02:45.260 Yeah.
00:02:45.520 I feel like that's more of a coin toss.
00:02:48.880 Trump versus Biden feels like a coin toss.
00:02:51.560 What do you think?
00:02:52.740 Coin toss?
00:02:54.580 Let's say Biden is still somewhat functioning by Election Day.
00:03:00.580 All right.
00:03:01.660 All right.
00:03:02.420 So how about DeSantis?
00:03:05.000 Does DeSantis have a path?
00:03:06.460 Well, he only has a path if Trump drops out.
00:03:11.820 What are the odds of Trump dropping out or some legal problem taking him out?
00:03:16.820 Not very high.
00:03:18.620 Not very high.
00:03:19.920 So on the Republican side, you've got Trump with maybe a jump ball, 50-50.
00:03:28.180 And then there's nobody else who seems to be sort of having a good chance.
00:03:33.200 Would you agree with that so far?
00:03:34.800 Of the Republicans, Trump's the one with a chance, and that's maybe a jump ball.
00:03:42.240 All right.
00:03:42.440 Now let's look at the Democrats.
00:03:45.460 What do you think of the odds, given what we see of Biden today, that he will still be
00:03:51.660 functioning by the time the Democrat primary rolls around?
00:03:55.260 I think it's low.
00:03:58.900 I think it's actually low.
00:04:01.620 And who is his backup?
00:04:03.760 Who is the backup?
00:04:05.980 Kamala Harris?
00:04:08.900 Gavin Newsom?
00:04:11.920 I think it's RFK.
00:04:13.380 Now, let me tell you the argument that RFK Jr. makes, which I accept as a good argument.
00:04:21.560 All right?
00:04:22.600 Number one, he polls well with independents and Republicans for a Democrat.
00:04:30.940 For a Democrat, he kills it on independents and Republicans.
00:04:34.360 Now, do you believe that?
00:04:38.000 I believe it.
00:04:39.640 Because I've seen lots of interest from people who would describe themselves as that.
00:04:44.220 More than I've ever seen.
00:04:46.080 I've never seen this much crossover interest.
00:04:50.980 Have I?
00:04:52.580 Maybe Reagan? 0.94
00:04:53.540 I don't know.
00:04:54.820 When was the last time somebody really legitimately attracted a crossover group from the other?
00:05:01.840 It's very rare.
00:05:03.220 Clinton.
00:05:03.860 Yeah, Bill Clinton is a good example.
00:05:05.740 But it's rare.
00:05:07.520 All right, so he can get those votes.
00:05:08.920 But what about getting his own votes?
00:05:11.400 The hard part is getting Democrat votes, right?
00:05:13.820 Because apparently he's not exactly catching the Democrat system on fire.
00:05:19.760 But as he points out, and I agree, if he were to become the candidate, if he became the Democrat candidate, what percentage of Democrats would vote for him?
00:05:33.740 Almost all of them.
00:05:35.980 Almost all of them.
00:05:37.560 Because he'd be a Democrat.
00:05:39.960 And that's it.
00:05:41.500 Now, apparently he polls extra well against Trump because he polls some Republicans and independents.
00:05:48.140 So he would be the best chance to beat Trump on paper, right?
00:05:53.980 RFK Jr. versus Trump, RFK wins.
00:05:57.600 Biden versus Trump, it's a jump ball.
00:06:00.220 All right, you're a Democrat.
00:06:02.480 You want four more years of Biden and only a jump ball chance that he's going to beat Trump.
00:06:09.840 But if you take RFK Jr., you have an 80% chance that you win versus a jump ball.
00:06:18.140 It's not really close.
00:06:20.320 It's not close.
00:06:21.720 And there's no way that the people who have control of the Democratic Party, there's no way they haven't noticed that.
00:06:30.500 I'm not breaking any news here.
00:06:33.560 So the only thing that can keep RFK Jr. out of the job, statistically speaking, is Biden's health in the next year.
00:06:43.560 Or when is the primary?
00:06:47.320 When does the primary happen?
00:06:50.400 Can somebody give me a date on the Democratic primary?
00:06:54.020 It's about one year?
00:06:56.200 Is it?
00:06:57.900 I thought it was in the summer.
00:07:00.100 Summer of 2024?
00:07:03.620 Is it the summer of 2024?
00:07:06.060 Is that right?
00:07:07.880 I think that's right.
00:07:09.060 All right.
00:07:09.240 So let's say it's a year from now.
00:07:12.720 Do you think that...
00:07:13.980 So Biden...
00:07:14.620 We already heard that Biden's schedule has been constrained to four hours a day, although I think that's fake.
00:07:22.300 I think he's doing other presidential stuff in the other hours.
00:07:26.440 And then on the weekends, they're sort of leaving him alone.
00:07:29.660 And this is stuff that even CNN is reporting.
00:07:32.340 So even his own friendlies are reporting that Biden's failing, basically.
00:07:41.200 He's just not holding it together.
00:07:43.960 So, I don't know.
00:07:46.300 RFK Jr. has only one obstacle to the presidency, which is the health of a person who's dying right in front of you.
00:07:53.680 Do you still think he doesn't have a chance?
00:07:55.640 Let me say it again.
00:07:56.320 According to the polls, the only thing that could keep him from the presidency is Joe Biden's health in the next year.
00:08:05.760 Would you bet against that?
00:08:07.940 Would you bet against him knowing the only thing keeping him out of office is Joe Biden's health, and he's literally dying right in front of us?
00:08:16.860 I mean, we're all dying, right?
00:08:18.840 We're all dying.
00:08:19.940 He might be on a...
00:08:21.620 Let's say he might be on a fast path compared to some of us.
00:08:25.080 I don't know.
00:08:27.820 If you're writing him out, off, you're making a mistake.
00:08:32.580 But, you know, it's entirely possible that Biden stays in the race, and that's the end of the story.
00:08:39.240 People ask me...
00:08:42.620 Oh, and...
00:08:44.720 So one of the big questions is his voice quality.
00:08:47.720 And there are a number of people who say, I can't listen to him.
00:08:50.700 You know, it bothers me to listen to his voice.
00:08:52.580 So I wanted to weigh in because I have some bad voice expertise.
00:08:58.720 I had a similar problem for years.
00:09:01.700 And here's my take on it.
00:09:04.660 So I listened to RFK Jr. for over an hour yesterday between the multiple interviews.
00:09:13.440 And I was riveted the entire time.
00:09:17.180 Because when he talks about the history of big pharma and how the laws changed and how big pharma came to be able to advertise and how we're taking two and a half times more stuff and everything.
00:09:29.920 Now, I'm not sure that everything he says has all the context and is really telling me everything I need to know.
00:09:36.360 I don't know.
00:09:36.820 But I do not detect lying when he talks.
00:09:41.240 Have you had that experience yet?
00:09:44.600 Imagine listening to a presidential candidate for an hour.
00:09:49.040 And in that hour, I did not detect a lie.
00:09:54.540 How often has that ever happened?
00:09:56.720 Because even when you listen to your own team, you know, maybe the candidate you like, you can detect the lies.
00:10:02.780 You know, you can call it hyperbole.
00:10:04.740 But you can spot them.
00:10:05.940 I mean, they're really obvious.
00:10:08.780 But when RFK Jr. talks, he talked for an hour.
00:10:12.220 And I didn't hear anything that was a lie.
00:10:16.780 I heard things that I disagreed with.
00:10:19.220 So let me be clear.
00:10:20.480 I'm not with him on policy.
00:10:22.960 I want to make that clear.
00:10:24.540 He's not my guy for policy.
00:10:26.360 I still like Vivek Ramaswamy because I'm a one policy guy on fentanyl.
00:10:32.300 So he's not my guy on policy.
00:10:36.980 When I talk about RFK Jr., I'm only going to talk about his odds of winning and the capabilities he's bringing to the campaign.
00:10:44.220 So it's about persuasion and his popularity.
00:10:47.340 Well, it's not about my preferences, it's about his policies.
00:10:51.940 Okay?
00:10:52.960 But even when he talks about policies that are not my preference, he's putting a nuance on them that makes me go, oh.
00:11:00.820 So, take climate change.
00:11:04.820 When he was asked about climate change, I think it was Jordan Peterson, I expected him to go full climate change.
00:11:11.100 Didn't you?
00:11:12.540 I expected him to go full Greta.
00:11:15.440 He did not go full Greta.
00:11:17.880 Nope.
00:11:18.160 He started by saying exactly what I say, which turns out to be exactly what Jordan Peterson agrees, which is there's something to the science, which is if you add human-made CO2, it should make things warmer, all things being equal.
00:11:34.460 But he doesn't seem to think that we should stop everything and that's our biggest thing to work on.
00:11:42.020 That's very similar to my opinion.
00:11:44.040 My opinion is it's real, but we'll figure it out.
00:11:48.960 You know, we'll figure out how to protect ourselves.
00:11:52.840 He seemed very much in the commonsensical cone of that argument.
00:11:59.100 The common sense is it's a big problem, but we'll probably figure it out.
00:12:03.140 You know.
00:12:04.320 And that's exactly where I am.
00:12:07.460 Now, he differs from me on nuclear.
00:12:11.140 I've talked about this.
00:12:12.540 He thinks it's too expensive.
00:12:14.220 You can't get insurance.
00:12:15.860 What do you do with the waste?
00:12:17.500 30,000 years of waste, etc.
00:12:19.860 Now, separately, I've described how if France can figure that out, I don't feel like those are real problems.
00:12:28.400 Why would that not apply in France?
00:12:31.100 They have a free market.
00:12:32.060 So if they can figure it out, it's figureoutable, both economically, safety-wise, and every other wise.
00:12:39.340 But that's a separate argument.
00:12:40.420 All right, he gave the best counter-argument to nuclear I've heard.
00:12:46.080 That's worth something.
00:12:47.920 I mean, I just respect the fact that even in disagreeing with me, it's the best disagreement I've seen.
00:12:54.900 It's the best.
00:12:56.380 I don't agree with him, but it's the best disagreement I've seen.
00:12:59.640 And, you know, his disagreement was the economics and the insurance.
00:13:03.760 And I think that's all true in the American system.
00:13:07.700 The part I don't like is that that's the part he needs to change.
00:13:12.940 It's like, that's your job.
00:13:15.520 The nuclear company can't get insurance?
00:13:19.480 Well, do something about that.
00:13:21.700 France figured it out.
00:13:22.840 It's not economical.
00:13:26.000 Well, how do you make it economical?
00:13:28.580 France figured it out.
00:13:30.520 Right?
00:13:30.700 Et cetera.
00:13:31.400 So I'd like him to be, you know, more pro-nuclear.
00:13:34.600 But here's the best argument against it.
00:13:38.240 That there is an alternative that's better.
00:13:41.960 Now, you're going to say to yourself, oh, that green stuff is no good.
00:13:46.420 Right?
00:13:46.940 You can't get enough windmills, and you're not going to have enough solar power, and what happens when it's cloudy and the wind isn't blowing.
00:13:54.000 Right?
00:13:54.620 So those are all the things that usually are the end of that argument.
00:13:58.300 Would you agree that the green-only-without-nuclear argument always dies because the green-only is not dependable?
00:14:08.660 Am I right?
00:14:09.420 Well, once you say it's not dependable, you're done with the argument because nuclear is dependable.
00:14:16.780 It might be expensive, but at least it's there.
00:14:19.740 It's better than not being there.
00:14:23.180 But here's his argument, and I hate how good this is.
00:14:27.960 Are you ready to have your mind changed?
00:14:31.120 You all believe that the green stuff, let's say just solar and, let's just say solar and wind.
00:14:37.640 Solar and wind are not dependable enough to be your primary thing.
00:14:44.060 And they're also not economical, would you agree?
00:14:46.580 Not economical and not dependable.
00:14:50.460 Right?
00:14:51.440 Here's his argument.
00:14:53.960 That you can build a solar plant for something like a tidy fraction of what a nuclear plant would cost for the same gigawatts.
00:15:04.540 Do you think that's true?
00:15:06.800 If the only thing you were looking at is the cost of building the plant, is it cheaper to build your $1 billion solar plant than your $20 or $40 billion nuclear plant for the same wattage?
00:15:21.160 Probably right.
00:15:23.920 Probably right.
00:15:24.580 If you're just looking at initial costs, and also if you're looking at initial approvals, I would imagine it would be faster, you could probably build a nuclear.
00:15:33.600 But that doesn't get you where you need to go, right?
00:15:36.580 Just building a bunch of solar doesn't get you too dependable.
00:15:40.220 But would you buy just the first part of the argument, that if it were dependable, I'm not saying it is, but if it were dependable, would it be cheaper?
00:15:51.840 Because solar, you could just put it there and it just sort of runs and, you know, there's a recycling issue there as well.
00:15:59.640 But I think he's researched that.
00:16:03.520 And I'm going to, and let's assume that batteries are part of it, right?
00:16:07.880 Batteries are part of the answer, of course.
00:16:10.340 So would you accept that he's done the math and he will tell you that building a solar plant is cheaper for the same amount of electricity as nuclear when you consider all of the risks and costs of nuclear and how long it takes and all that?
00:16:27.400 Would you allow that the initial build cost would be far less for solar?
00:16:34.560 No?
00:16:35.920 I see disagreement.
00:16:38.380 Okay.
00:16:39.200 Now, his argument is it's like a huge difference.
00:16:43.900 It's just a huge difference.
00:16:45.640 Now, who would agree with him on that?
00:16:48.680 I think Elon Musk would agree with him.
00:16:51.600 So you would be on the other side of Elon Musk on an area of Elon Musk's expertise.
00:16:57.400 Is that where you are?
00:17:00.800 Would you all disagree with Elon Musk on Elon Musk's area of expertise?
00:17:07.320 Because he knows solar.
00:17:09.180 He knows what he's talking about.
00:17:11.400 All right.
00:17:11.740 So let's do this.
00:17:14.740 Since we can't solve it here, let's see if you can find me some sources that just compare the gigawatt price,
00:17:22.140 just the gigawatt price, you know, price per electricity, of nuclear versus solar.
00:17:28.420 But we're not talking about reliability yet.
00:17:30.980 That's coming.
00:17:32.660 All right.
00:17:32.840 So I accept that that's true.
00:17:36.960 But I could have my mind changed.
00:17:39.220 You could change my mind.
00:17:40.320 But I'll bet it is true you could build solar cheaper.
00:17:43.320 See, I mean, my common sense tells me that's true.
00:17:47.620 But you could talk me out of it.
00:17:49.440 All right.
00:17:49.880 Let's say that is true.
00:17:51.120 Here's the rest of his argument.
00:17:52.940 The real thing we need is to fix our energy grid in this country so that anybody who has electricity can share it with anybody who needs it.
00:18:04.540 Which has completely deflated everything I've ever thought.
00:18:08.820 Because, first of all, I don't know if that's practical.
00:18:11.560 I don't know if it might be too big of a job.
00:18:14.960 But he's talking about it as a massive national effort to build out the energy infrastructure.
00:18:20.940 And here's what that would do.
00:18:23.960 It would allow every person to be a creator of electricity and to sell it into the grid.
00:18:32.060 And if the grid were done well enough, presumably you could get the electricity from wherever you have it, you've got extra, to wherever you need it.
00:18:43.120 So, for example, not everybody would have to be in the sun.
00:18:47.580 As long as some people were in the sun, they could ship their energy to the people who didn't have any, etc.
00:18:55.320 Until you had enough of extra of everything, because every house would be manufacturing energy and putting it back into the network, that you would have enough.
00:19:05.700 And it would be the cheapest way to get there.
00:19:07.640 It would also fix a problem that you would need to fix even if you had nuclear.
00:19:12.140 Even with nuclear, you'd still want to fix your grid.
00:19:18.100 So when he talks about fixing the grid as the solution that makes green energy work, that's a hell of a good argument.
00:19:27.440 I don't know if it's true.
00:19:29.820 Let me be clear.
00:19:31.640 You know, I haven't run the numbers.
00:19:34.080 But it's a hell of an argument.
00:19:36.520 And nobody's come close to making that argument that I've heard.
00:19:39.560 Have you heard anybody make that argument before?
00:19:41.320 That you can make the green stuff work reliably and far more economically than nuclear and without the risk if you fix the grid?
00:19:53.060 I just don't know if it's true.
00:19:54.980 But I don't detect it as a lie.
00:19:58.740 It might be wrong, because it's really an economics question.
00:20:03.360 It might be wrong.
00:20:04.560 But I don't detect it as a lie.
00:20:06.580 Meaning I think he believes it's true.
00:20:08.060 And it looks like it could be.
00:20:13.040 It's a hell of an argument.
00:20:14.780 I'm still on all energy, everything you can do.
00:20:17.500 So I would be in favor of nuclear plus fixing the grid.
00:20:23.480 But am I ignoring life cycle costs?
00:20:27.060 No.
00:20:28.040 Now, I never ignore life cycle costs.
00:20:30.760 For me, that's assumed.
00:20:33.480 Because economics is my background.
00:20:36.240 So I would always look at life cycle costs.
00:20:39.740 I did separate the startup cost, because that gets you going for your life cycle costs.
00:20:47.900 I'm sure that the total life cycle cost of nuclear is bigger, because of waste, etc.
00:20:54.160 And even though the solar panels eventually wear out and become waste, I don't see that as big.
00:21:02.000 But I could be wrong about that.
00:21:04.060 My common sense is guiding me.
00:21:06.540 Not any specific numbers.
00:21:09.880 Anyway, the fact that he could present an argument that is so different from what I think is the right thing to do,
00:21:20.020 and yet he could sell it.
00:21:22.060 Because there's stuff I can't check.
00:21:24.340 Like I can't check his numbers too easily.
00:21:26.500 It's very rare that somebody could do that.
00:21:28.860 That's a really, really good sign of somebody who's got a mastery of the concept.
00:21:36.540 All right.
00:21:38.700 Now, there are complaints about his voice.
00:21:40.680 Some people said, oh, I'll never be able to listen to him.
00:21:43.200 I saw Jack Dorsey say that RFK Jr.'s voice is a superpower.
00:21:48.620 And I agree.
00:21:50.360 It's a superpower.
00:21:51.940 Not only did I listen to him riveted, but because his voice was difficult to listen to,
00:21:58.880 it made me think that what he was saying made more sense.
00:22:03.520 Do you understand that?
00:22:04.820 So, there's a concept with the way humans are wired that if you pay for something,
00:22:13.740 you'll think it's worth more than if you didn't pay for it.
00:22:16.740 Did you know that one?
00:22:18.920 Hypnotists know this.
00:22:19.940 One of the reasons that a hypnotist charges you money is so the hypnosis works.
00:22:26.460 If the hypnotist did it for free, the subject would say, well, if it's free, like, how powerful could it be?
00:22:35.660 And how real could it be if you're giving it to me for free?
00:22:38.820 So, you automatically distrust anything that's free.
00:22:42.820 When you listen to somebody who's easy to listen to, it's free.
00:22:47.620 You don't pay anything.
00:22:50.120 You're just getting a benefit.
00:22:51.520 You're hearing stuff you want to hear.
00:22:53.060 If you have to work at it, you've got to put some investment into getting past the voice, if it bothers you.
00:22:59.960 And then you listen to it, and here's the good news.
00:23:02.720 What he says is so interesting, just the way he frames things, that he'll hold your attention past his voice.
00:23:09.600 If he can hold your attention past his voice problem, he fucking owns you.
00:23:19.880 Do you see that?
00:23:22.400 If he can make you work to listen to him, he owns you.
00:23:28.160 It's really powerful.
00:23:30.400 Now, the question is whether there be some number of people who won't listen to him.
00:23:34.340 But I would go back to his argument.
00:23:36.220 Democrats are going to vote for him if he gets the nomination.
00:23:38.680 Would you agree with that?
00:23:40.740 Would you agree that all he has to do is get nominated and Democrats fall in line?
00:23:45.420 They always do.
00:23:46.740 And he's a candidate, for God's sakes.
00:23:48.340 Of course they'll vote for him.
00:23:49.520 They're not going to vote for Trump, and they're not going to stay home, because that lets Trump win.
00:23:55.040 So of course they'd vote for him.
00:23:57.820 So his voice isn't going to stop any Democrat.
00:24:01.080 And he's already proven that his voice didn't stop him from getting independents and Republicans.
00:24:06.780 It's not going to stop him.
00:24:08.680 It's a positive, if anything.
00:24:11.900 It makes it more interesting, and I would say more relatable.
00:24:15.640 Do you know what you don't want?
00:24:17.600 Well, I'll just talk for myself.
00:24:19.540 Do you know what I don't want?
00:24:21.380 I don't want a president who is both a Kennedy and problem-free.
00:24:25.660 I don't want that.
00:24:28.660 I do not want a problem-free Kennedy to be my president.
00:24:33.200 Let me say that.
00:24:35.300 You know why?
00:24:36.300 Because he would look like a member of the elite.
00:24:38.220 His voice problem normalizes him, humanizes him, and takes the Kennedy off him, right?
00:24:46.940 If you think of the Kennedys, you think of sort of these beautiful, perfect people who just seem to have an extra gear that you don't have.
00:24:54.940 But RFK Jr. also has a gear that you don't have.
00:24:59.400 I mean, he is operating at a high level that's just shockingly interesting.
00:25:03.700 But when you add the voice problem on top of it, it makes him one of you.
00:25:09.880 You've got a problem.
00:25:11.800 He's got a problem, too.
00:25:14.760 Now, of course, I have more empathy because I had my own voice problems.
00:25:19.800 So that may be biasing me toward him, but I don't think the voice will be a problem in the end.
00:25:26.840 And it's getting better as well.
00:25:29.180 All right, his biggest problem is trying to beat the Democrats' superdelegates, but that's only if he's actually in it with Biden still in the race.
00:25:40.540 The superdelegates would not be an issue if Biden is no longer in the race.
00:25:45.540 And I think that's, I don't know if RFK Jr. wants to say that directly, but the real bet here is that Biden is just not in the primary by the time it comes around.
00:25:57.180 That's the bet.
00:25:59.180 But I don't think he has a chance of beating him straight up.
00:26:02.380 Who would agree with me?
00:26:04.080 RFK Jr. can't beat Biden straight up because the superdelegates and the system will just want to keep Biden in place.
00:26:12.120 So it's all about him not being in the race in a year.
00:26:17.240 And I think the odds of that are pretty, pretty good.
00:26:19.800 Not 100%, but let's put some odds on it.
00:26:24.780 Let's see the wisdom of the crowd.
00:26:26.220 Wisdom of the crowd time.
00:26:29.220 Give me your percentage odds that Biden will be still in the race and healthy enough by the primary.
00:26:40.960 25%.
00:26:41.560 All right.
00:26:43.500 I'm seeing numbers from 90% to 2%.
00:26:47.920 But if I had to average them in my head, it would be around 40%.
00:26:53.280 I'm seeing most people are around 25%, but there are higher ones.
00:26:59.280 So it looks like your average would be around 40%.
00:27:02.240 Now, who has the best chance of winning the presidency?
00:27:05.240 If you believe that Biden's chance of being the candidate are only 40%, that makes RFK Jr. most likely to be the president.
00:27:20.720 I don't know if the betting markets have figured this out yet.
00:27:24.780 But if the betting markets are also saying there's only a 40% chance that Biden will be the actual healthy enough and together enough to be the nominee.
00:27:36.540 If you take him out of the picture, it is RFK Jr. all day long.
00:27:40.380 So, I don't know.
00:27:43.460 I feel like that's what the conversation is going to turn into.
00:27:46.960 Because if you take RFK Jr. out of the conversation, stop it, Adam.
00:27:56.460 Shh.
00:27:57.840 Shh.
00:27:58.280 Nobody listen to Adam.
00:28:00.940 Everything Adam says is untrue.
00:28:04.560 Could not be true.
00:28:07.660 All right.
00:28:10.380 Let's see.
00:28:14.540 What else is going on?
00:28:17.060 Oh, here's another one for you.
00:28:21.580 So, do you know why Democrats should have liked Trump?
00:28:28.100 This will be a callback, and then I'm going to tie this into RFK.
00:28:32.320 Why should Democrats have liked Trump?
00:28:36.560 Not for success.
00:28:37.800 All right.
00:28:39.400 I know this is unusual, but Trump was a normal Republican, meaning that Trump didn't believe the craziest stuff that the extreme Republicans believed.
00:28:53.760 And I believe that he could actually, I think he actually brought people toward the middle.
00:28:59.360 Does anybody believe that?
00:29:01.220 I think that Trump brought Republicans toward the middle.
00:29:06.380 He did not make them more extreme.
00:29:08.080 Now, if you were a Democrat, isn't that the thing you would want most in the world?
00:29:14.160 You'd want the extreme Republicans to move a little bit in your direction?
00:29:18.940 Trump did that.
00:29:20.180 Now, of course, he was demonized to the point where you couldn't notice, but he did it.
00:29:25.180 I think RFK Jr. would do that for the progressives.
00:29:30.220 We know that Biden is not, let's say, reigning in the progressives as much as he could, although I would give him credit that he's ignoring them to a large degree.
00:29:41.580 So he is doing a good job of ignoring the crazies.
00:29:47.280 But I think RFK Jr. would do even more because he's bringing this common sense, you know, middle ground thing.
00:29:53.720 So if you think the biggest problem in the world is wokeness, see, this will be very non-obvious. 0.88
00:30:01.340 If you think the biggest problem in the country is wokeness, who is more likely to get rid of it? 1.00
00:30:07.940 DeSantis, who is the anti-woke guy, or RFK Jr., who just says, let's concentrate on common sense?
00:30:16.780 It's RFK Jr.
00:30:18.440 Because he's the one who could lead his own side.
00:30:21.900 Nobody's going to listen to DeSantis.
00:30:23.720 The more he says you should be anti-woke, the more they're going to say, oh, yeah, I'm going to be twice as woke.
00:30:29.660 I will triple my wokeness just because you don't like it. 0.96
00:30:33.260 So the weird thing about RFK Jr. and Trump is that they're the ones you would want the other side to have as their leader in case you lose.
00:30:44.600 He's like an insurance policy.
00:30:46.440 So if you're a Republican, you might prefer running, having him as the other side, because at least if you lose, the crazies won't be in control on the Democrat side.
00:30:59.120 At least you get that.
00:31:01.000 Right?
00:31:01.200 That's not nothing.
00:31:02.980 That's not nothing.
00:31:04.040 But you've still got a lot of questions around the Second Amendment and nuclear power and climate change and a lot of things he's going to have to answer for.
00:31:14.260 By the way, I saw this.
00:31:16.280 There's some, I don't know if it's a rumor or true, that at some point in the past RFK Jr. said that climate deniers should be jailed.
00:31:24.340 Is that something you've seen?
00:31:28.320 Climate deniers should be jailed?
00:31:31.560 Now, I assume that's fake news.
00:31:36.040 It's in a video, but that doesn't make it not fake news.
00:31:39.520 You know that, right?
00:31:41.060 The fact that you saw it in a video has no impact on whether it really happened.
00:31:47.120 Because you've seen a million videos where you saw it with your own eyes, but it didn't happen because it was edited to change the reality.
00:31:55.920 Here's what I think.
00:31:57.100 Based on what I've heard of his current opinion on climate change, there isn't any chance he said that.
00:32:03.920 Now, you might have a video, but there's no chance it's real.
00:32:10.540 Was he talking maybe about only some big climate polluters, like the Koch brothers or something?
00:32:17.400 Was that the context?
00:32:18.760 Was it removed?
00:32:21.580 Yeah.
00:32:22.080 So I think the context was limited to some specific players who were so bad in polluting the world, they thought maybe they should go to jail.
00:32:33.360 So I don't believe this had to do with you and I doubting climate change.
00:32:39.120 Let me do this in a different way.
00:32:41.880 Consider that Democrats really believed that President Trump praised neo-Nazis in public and did it with forethought and intention.
00:32:58.160 And Democrats actually believed that.
00:33:00.700 Do you know why they believed it?
00:33:02.320 They saw it on a video with their own eyes.
00:33:06.160 Heard it with their own ears.
00:33:07.680 That's why they believed it.
00:33:09.360 It just didn't happen.
00:33:11.920 Because they cut out the context that reversed its meaning.
00:33:15.460 Same with the drinking bleach.
00:33:18.800 How did anybody believe that in the first place?
00:33:21.140 How in the world did any Democrat believe that really happened?
00:33:27.660 That he suggested maybe putting some disinfectant in your body, some household disinfectant?
00:33:33.460 Of course it didn't happen.
00:33:35.560 Of course it didn't.
00:33:37.280 And the fact that you saw it with your own eyes and heard it with your own ears is meaningless in today's world.
00:33:43.240 Because it was an edited video.
00:33:46.920 Now, put yourself in the Democrat's shoes.
00:33:52.720 And now you just heard that a guy who was running for president, a serious common sense guy who was running for president,
00:34:00.240 you believe that only in 2012 thought that you should go to jail if you don't believe in climate change.
00:34:07.340 Do you believe that?
00:34:08.400 Do you believe that he meant the ordinary people who should go to jail?
00:34:17.600 You really believe it?
00:34:19.040 Okay.
00:34:21.560 I don't know what to say about that.
00:34:24.980 That is so far from the believable zone that I just don't know what to do about the fact that you believe that.
00:34:31.760 Why don't you send it to me and prove it to me, okay?
00:34:42.800 Send me his writing.
00:34:45.300 Don't send me the video.
00:34:47.720 So somebody said it's in writing.
00:34:49.620 Send me where he wrote that.
00:34:51.240 And prove to me that he thinks that people like you and I should go to jail for doubting climate science.
00:35:01.720 Because everything he says is the opposite of that.
00:35:04.760 He's very much the free speech guy.
00:35:08.640 The free speech guy is an absolute.
00:35:11.200 He was praising the ACLU for defending Nazis back when the Nazis were wanting to protest and the ACLU defended the right to speech.
00:35:26.260 He actually said that again.
00:35:29.100 So you think the guy who thinks that even Nazis should have a right to free speech thinks that you should go to jail for doubting climate change.
00:35:39.980 You think that happened in the real world?
00:35:45.120 Say it.
00:35:47.060 Do you really think that happened in the real world?
00:35:50.480 Of course it didn't.
00:35:52.080 Of course it didn't.
00:35:54.020 There's no chance that happened in the real world.
00:35:57.100 I don't know what that video is or what you think you saw him written down.
00:36:00.920 But it's not really possible in the real world.
00:36:04.100 He's ultra, super free speech.
00:36:06.760 That just doesn't get you to go to jail for climate change.
00:36:12.000 There's no way that those two things can both exist.
00:36:15.400 All right.
00:36:15.960 Let's talk about UFOs.
00:36:17.980 So there's a whistleblower claims to have been part of the UAP task force who says not only are there real UFOs, they're alien ships.
00:36:28.000 They're definitely alien.
00:36:29.060 And we've captured a number of them.
00:36:32.500 Not just one, but a number of them, including dead pilots.
00:36:38.840 That's right.
00:36:39.620 We actually have dead aliens and a number of captured UFOs.
00:36:45.760 Now, because he's a whistleblower, you would expect he's seen them.
00:36:49.420 I mean, he was on the UAP task force.
00:36:51.540 So he's seen them, of course.
00:36:54.880 No, no, no, he hasn't seen them.
00:36:59.420 But he's talked to people who have, who are curiously not whistleblowers.
00:37:07.120 And the other thing we know about these UFOs is that they only seem to crash on American territory.
00:37:12.980 Unless every nation in the world is in on it.
00:37:20.880 For example, do you believe that there's never been a UFO crash on the continent of Africa, but there are fallen like flies on the United States and we're just picking them up before anybody notices?
00:37:32.360 Really, there's not a single one that ever fell in a country that doesn't have a good, let's say, a government that can swoop in with their high technology and cordon it off and keep it from you.
00:37:49.360 We've never had one fall in the desert where anybody on a camel can just walk up to it and say, hey, what's going on here?
00:37:55.900 Never happened.
00:37:57.100 And here's the interesting part.
00:37:58.460 When the UFOs fall, and they're falling quite frequently on United States territory, according to the whistleblower, that they never fall where civilians can see them.
00:38:09.560 Isn't that cool?
00:38:11.000 They only fall where the military can get to them before you can see them.
00:38:15.300 Because otherwise there would be all kinds of pictures from civilians.
00:38:18.740 Hey, this fell in my backyard.
00:38:20.320 Here's a picture.
00:38:21.800 Or they're so good, they've somehow gotten all the pictures anybody ever took.
00:38:27.560 I'm sorry.
00:38:29.460 I'm not believing any part of this story.
00:38:33.960 At the very least, you want to talk to the person who said he saw the dead bodies.
00:38:38.800 If you don't talk to that person, you're one away from the possibility.
00:38:44.780 Now, I do love the conspiracy theory of it.
00:38:47.620 The conspiracy theory is that the UAP task force would be like a decoy.
00:38:53.960 So the government would create a task force, but then the government would prevent the task force from seeing any good evidence.
00:39:02.460 So that the task force would do their work and conclude that there's no evidence of aliens.
00:39:07.460 Because the government itself wouldn't let its own task force see any of the good stuff.
00:39:12.760 That's his claim.
00:39:13.580 Does that sound reasonable to you?
00:39:17.140 That the government created a secret task force with the specific intention of keeping them from finding out the truth so that they would lie to the public without having to lie?
00:39:28.640 It would be all they knew.
00:39:31.080 I don't know.
00:39:32.660 That's a little too conspiracy-ish to me.
00:39:36.900 A little too on the nose.
00:39:39.500 All right.
00:39:39.780 So I hate to ruin your fun, but I'm going to say there are no alien ships in our custody.
00:39:45.080 How many of you believe there are alien ships in our American custody?
00:39:55.180 I see some yeses, lots of no's.
00:39:58.720 Kind of a mix.
00:40:00.460 I think I may have, you know, browbeat you into saying no, but I want to believe this.
00:40:07.020 I don't think I've ever seen a story I wanted to believe more than this, but I don't.
00:40:12.980 I don't believe any of it.
00:40:15.080 You think it's ships?
00:40:20.240 Well, he was very clear that there are dead pilots in the ships.
00:40:27.360 Dead alien bodies, and we have them.
00:40:30.660 No.
00:40:33.500 I want to be wrong about this?
00:40:35.520 Oh, man, I want to be wrong.
00:40:37.080 It'd be so much fun.
00:40:38.740 But no.
00:40:39.760 All right.
00:40:45.080 The crypto exchanges are being targeted by the SEC.
00:40:51.580 I guess that's how they take crypto out, is they won't necessarily have to go after every individual crypto.
00:40:58.420 They'll just go after the exchanges, and then your crypto is worthless anyway.
00:41:02.120 Is Coinbase going to be taken down, and what happens to my money in Coinbase if it does?
00:41:09.040 Do I need to, like, pull my money out of Coinbase as soon as I'm off this?
00:41:12.840 I mean, I don't have a ton in there, but I'd hate to lose it for no reason.
00:41:25.840 All right.
00:41:26.480 So, allegedly, here's the article.
00:41:31.040 It wants a law.
00:41:33.140 All right.
00:41:33.500 I can't click on it when I'm on the call, but I'll look at it later.
00:41:39.420 All right.
00:41:40.200 I don't have to read that to know it's bullshit, though.
00:41:43.500 Do you want to test my bullshit filter?
00:41:46.320 I say that the link you sent me is bullshit before I look at it.
00:41:51.540 Now, if it's not, then I, of course, will publicly confess my arrogance and stupidity, as I do so often.
00:42:03.580 But I'm going to bet against that pretty heavily.
00:42:06.820 All right.
00:42:07.580 We know that the Mar-a-Lago boxes are the current hoax.
00:42:12.580 So now the summer hoax on Trump is all about the Mar-a-Lago boxes.
00:42:17.180 Now, the newest thing is that, allegedly, when the Mar-a-Lago swimming pool was drained, presumably for maintenance,
00:42:27.700 they drained some of the water into one of the rooms inside the building.
00:42:35.860 What?
00:42:39.040 The story doesn't even make sense.
00:42:41.060 The story is that when they drained the pool, somehow it drained into a building full of files and computers.
00:42:50.960 Do you believe that there's any...
00:42:53.020 Do you believe that you can drain a pool and it ends up inside your building?
00:42:58.580 I don't believe that.
00:43:01.260 But it's all part of finding anything they can do to keep this story in the news.
00:43:07.440 Yeah.
00:43:07.920 It just...
00:43:09.240 He finally drained the swamp, but it turned out it was his own swamp.
00:43:16.140 I don't know.
00:43:17.040 Everything about that sounds like bullshit.
00:43:19.200 So it just looks like they want to keep it in the news a little bit longer.
00:43:24.340 All right.
00:43:26.940 Here's a little test of your intelligence.
00:43:29.560 Go.
00:43:30.780 Give me the answer before the question.
00:43:32.840 Answer before the question.
00:43:34.480 Go.
00:43:34.800 Go.
00:43:36.560 Now, look up.
00:43:37.920 And there it is.
00:43:39.700 You have the correct answer before the question is even asked.
00:43:42.820 25% is the right answer. 0.76
00:43:44.120 The question was, according to a Rasmussen poll, what percentage of the voting public say that the Target store focusing on Pride Month made them more likely to shop at the store?
00:43:57.360 25%?
00:43:58.360 25%?
00:43:59.140 25%?
00:44:00.140 25% were more likely to buy things at Target because they had Pride merchandise and Pride signs.
00:44:09.680 Now, would you like to see me step on a third rail just for your entertainment?
00:44:18.380 Is Pride really the right vibe for 2023?
00:44:25.160 Is it?
00:44:25.800 Is it?
00:44:27.760 Because it was definitely the right vibe in 19-whatever.
00:44:33.820 Whenever the idea of gay pride first came up, I think that was sort of right on point because they didn't want to be shamed and that was sort of the big problem.
00:44:46.580 But it's 2023.
00:44:49.180 When was the last time you met somebody who didn't think that, you know, a gay person had, you know, full respect or whatever words you want to put on it?
00:45:02.740 I don't run into anybody like that.
00:45:05.620 Like nobody.
00:45:06.660 No conservative.
00:45:07.660 No nobody.
00:45:08.760 It's just not a thing.
00:45:10.820 So at this point, the Pride thing no longer feels like underdogs trying to rise up to where everybody else is.
00:45:20.840 Now it sounds like you're trying to get ahead.
00:45:24.040 Am I wrong?
00:45:25.800 Sounds like you're trying to get ahead.
00:45:29.280 Because the context changed.
00:45:30.860 When it was, let's say, you know, you would be the subject of mockery or whatever if you were gay, then Pride is exactly what you want to try to bring up, you know, bring everybody up to something like equal.
00:45:48.560 And, but once you get there, and even your staunchest critics agree that, okay, everybody's equal, you know, the Constitution gives you rights.
00:45:59.360 Let's just let everybody be human.
00:46:02.660 Once you get to that point, and I would argue, for the most part, we're at that point.
00:46:07.420 I mean, there will always be lingering bigotry in every area.
00:46:11.460 But at some point, Pride is just the wrong word.
00:46:13.840 Like, once you've succeeded, I would say that the gay community, LGB, maybe the T is still coming along, but the Q part, I would say it's the most successful population group in the country in terms of turning around their reputation or their situation in the country. 1.00
00:46:38.220 I would say that, by far, they're just the most, in my opinion, my respect for the LGBT community is extreme. 1.00
00:46:47.880 Because I think they took the hardest, the hardest turn.
00:46:52.480 I mean, race is hard, too.
00:46:53.940 But they took the hardest topic and they turned it around completely.
00:46:59.780 Yeah.
00:47:00.140 Is there anybody here who would be afraid to go into a gay neighborhood?
00:47:03.360 Because of that high gay crime? 1.00
00:47:07.760 Zero.
00:47:09.200 Is there anybody here who wouldn't hire a lawyer or a politician because they were gay?
00:47:17.600 No.
00:47:18.200 It's not a thing.
00:47:19.240 It's just not even a thing in 2023.
00:47:21.720 So I think the gays should take the win. 1.00
00:47:25.660 Take the win.
00:47:26.920 You're not done.
00:47:28.020 When I say win, I don't mean all bigotry is removed, blah, blah.
00:47:31.140 Lots of work to do.
00:47:31.980 Always is.
00:47:32.440 But I don't know if pride is, I think you accomplished pride, and now maybe there's something else you should accomplish.
00:47:40.840 I don't know what that would be, because it's not for me to say.
00:47:44.280 But I think you've got pride.
00:47:47.380 Pride's done.
00:47:48.880 Just take the win.
00:47:50.120 See what else you can do.
00:47:52.840 All right.
00:47:55.880 What else?
00:47:57.440 So Tim Scott, Senator Tim Scott, went on The View.
00:48:01.120 And they wanted to talk to him about his view that systemic racism shouldn't hold you back.
00:48:07.960 You know, blacks in America and everybody else can do well if they do the right things, as he did.
00:48:15.580 Now, there was a little bit of pushback, because they were saying he's a special case.
00:48:21.080 And then they pointed out, was it Sonny?
00:48:26.540 Sonny, what's her last name?
00:48:29.340 What's Sonny's last name?
00:48:31.700 Hostin.
00:48:32.300 Hostin.
00:48:32.760 So Sonny Hostin was saying, okay, but you're a special case, Tim Scott, that you're a black man who became a senator.
00:48:38.980 And then she said that she was a special case, because she was a host on The View.
00:48:44.460 And then she said probably Whoopi Goldberg is a special case, because she's also on The View.
00:48:50.660 Now, let's put it all together.
00:48:53.860 Three of the six people on The View were black.
00:48:56.520 Do I need to go on?
00:49:03.760 Three of the six people on The View, like one of the most famous storied shows of all time,
00:49:12.080 as, you know, hits above its weight and political impact and everything else.
00:49:16.880 Three of the six people were black, you know, counting Tim Scott that day.
00:49:21.380 Three out of six.
00:49:22.420 Take the win.
00:49:25.960 Take the win.
00:49:27.120 Now, Tim Scott got a lot of credit for holding his own.
00:49:32.520 And he did a really good job of getting time to speak.
00:49:39.560 Sorry, YouTube, I keep losing the connection here.
00:49:44.340 So here's the question I ask myself.
00:49:46.880 Why is it that Tim Scott was treated so respectfully?
00:49:53.420 And it seemed different from the way other people have been treated on the show.
00:49:57.860 What do you think it was?
00:49:59.480 Do you think it's because he was black?
00:50:02.960 That was my first thought as they were giving him a little extra consideration because he was black.
00:50:09.500 But I don't think it's just that.
00:50:11.680 I think that's part of it.
00:50:13.540 But I don't think that's the big part.
00:50:15.960 You know what I think it is?
00:50:17.260 I think he has that leadership thing.
00:50:22.920 That's what I saw.
00:50:24.380 I think he has the leadership thing.
00:50:26.520 And what I mean by that is that when he talked, they actually wanted to listen.
00:50:31.880 Do you hear what I'm saying?
00:50:33.480 That when he talked, they wanted to listen.
00:50:37.100 They disagreed with him, and yet they wanted to hear it completely.
00:50:40.400 And that's because he does the following things.
00:50:44.620 He doesn't say crazy shit.
00:50:47.280 Right?
00:50:48.060 He doesn't say crazy shit, so they don't have to talk over him and yell at him when he's
00:50:52.220 saying crazy shit, because he just doesn't do it.
00:50:54.440 He just says obvious common sense things, which you might disagree with, but none of it's
00:51:00.600 crazy.
00:51:01.940 He is polite.
00:51:03.280 He doesn't talk over them.
00:51:07.700 And when he comes at them with his leadership, polite, common sense, it completely disarmed
00:51:15.180 them.
00:51:16.780 They just put down their weapons.
00:51:19.980 Now, that's what I saw.
00:51:21.200 And I thought that was really impressive.
00:51:23.560 And I'll bet he can do that in other contexts.
00:51:27.060 Right?
00:51:27.160 So if you're looking at Tim Scott as the black guy, maybe you should take another look, because 1.00
00:51:34.140 he showed me that he's got another gear, because the deference that they were paying him was
00:51:43.880 real, and it looked like he earned it.
00:51:48.040 That's what it felt like.
00:51:49.480 He had earned credibility that even the view, who didn't like his views, they understood the
00:51:56.180 credibility behind it.
00:51:58.100 And his politeness to them, which was real, caused them to be polite back, because otherwise
00:52:06.320 they would look like turds.
00:52:09.140 Right?
00:52:09.920 Now, if you throw somebody like Trump in there, you know, he's going to be a fighter, so he's
00:52:14.040 going to say some provocative things, and that's going to cause them to say provocative
00:52:17.280 things, and then you've got to fight.
00:52:20.020 But Tim Scott led them.
00:52:22.780 He led them.
00:52:23.460 Like, he sat down, and he owned the group.
00:52:27.840 And he owned them by common sense, and by politeness, that completely disarmed them.
00:52:35.740 Good job, Tim Scott.
00:52:37.700 He would make an excellent vice president, and potentially president.
00:52:41.760 I like a lot about him.
00:52:43.320 Here's how I would prefer talking about the subject.
00:52:51.660 All right, so this is sort of a Tim Scott advice.
00:52:55.900 I believe that we make a mistake, we humans typically make this mistake.
00:53:02.300 We connect the problem with the solution.
00:53:05.920 Now, that doesn't sound like a problem, does it?
00:53:08.620 Don't you think the solution should be related to the problem?
00:53:12.520 Common sense.
00:53:14.040 Here's the problem.
00:53:15.000 I think the solution should be related to the problem.
00:53:17.880 That just makes sense.
00:53:19.380 Except that it doesn't make sense.
00:53:22.680 Every time.
00:53:24.100 Here's a case where it doesn't make sense.
00:53:26.060 Let's say you believe systemic racism is a real problem.
00:53:30.480 I do.
00:53:31.240 It's a real problem.
00:53:33.080 Is your way to get past it to directly find a solution that is directly related to systemic racism?
00:53:42.460 Is that your best play?
00:53:43.400 Well, if you could do it easily, it would be.
00:53:49.480 If there were some easy way to stop systemic racism that permeates everything, yes, if you could do it.
00:53:57.340 But nobody knows how.
00:53:59.440 If you don't know how to do it, you're going to have to get creative.
00:54:03.500 The best thing you could do to get rid of systemic racism is focus on individual success strategies.
00:54:11.180 Specifically the strategy part.
00:54:16.120 If you took, let me say this.
00:54:19.760 If you gave me 100 young, poor, black kids, and you just said,
00:54:27.880 all right, Scott, your job is to just teach them strategy, just life strategy.
00:54:33.120 How do you think they'd do?
00:54:34.820 Let's say I got them from kindergarten and I just had full control of their education.
00:54:41.180 So all they'd see is basically their parents and then, you know, me, because I'd be teaching them.
00:54:48.280 You don't think I could teach all 100 of them to do a pretty good job and to be way above the average of white performance? 1.00
00:54:57.160 I could.
00:54:57.940 I could take any 100 black kids on average and make them, on average, higher earners and have, you know, better, more successful lives
00:55:09.360 than an average white person who didn't have any strategy, who was just trying to figure it out on their own.
00:55:14.800 So, in my opinion, the way to address systemic racism, and this feels like a message that somebody like a Tim Scott could take, because he did this.
00:55:26.920 Tim Scott overcame systemic racism by personal strategy.
00:55:31.700 Strategy.
00:55:33.260 He just did the things that you do to win, and then he won.
00:55:36.120 So, I think that the message should be that systemic racism is real, and you should not ignore it, and if you can do anything to make it less, go ahead and do it.
00:55:48.560 But that's not your solution.
00:55:50.440 Your solution is to take people who are in a hole, give them strategy, make them successful, and then systemic racism goes away on its own.
00:56:00.060 Imagine, if you will, a future in which a black candidate comes into your office for a job, and the first thing you think is, 0.99
00:56:10.760 oh, good, I hope I got one of those strategy guys.
00:56:15.860 Oh, man, I might be lucky here.
00:56:19.040 I might have one of those good strategy guys.
00:56:22.060 Right?
00:56:23.220 How hard would that be?
00:56:25.000 That's a one-generation fix.
00:56:26.740 In one generation, you could teach black Americans strategy, and every time they came into a job meeting, your bias would be, oh, a strategy person. 0.99
00:56:37.420 That's exactly what I want.
00:56:38.780 I want somebody who understands strategy.
00:56:42.920 So, you do that, and systemic racism largely melts away on its own.
00:56:48.360 So, don't go after the systemic racism directly.
00:56:51.200 Go after the individuals, fix them so they can slice through the systemic racism, and then there won't be any.
00:56:59.600 Because when those people come into your office, you're going to say, yay, got one of those.
00:57:06.760 All right, over in Ukraine, the counteroffensive is totally on, or maybe not, and a big dam was blown up, either by the Ukrainians or possibly the Russians.
00:57:16.540 So, we've got lots of good information coming from there, and also the Ukrainians are totally winning, but also the Russians are totally winning, totally winning.
00:57:28.240 Both sides are winning and losing.
00:57:32.120 Both sides are losing at the same time.
00:57:33.720 Now, the dam happened to be in the Russian-controlled territory, so I'm going to go with Ukraine blew it up. 0.98
00:57:42.700 What do you think?
00:57:43.980 Do you think that Russia blew up a dam in the territory that it controls?
00:57:51.360 No.
00:57:52.640 No, Russia did not blow up their own dam.
00:57:56.100 But the news is acting like it's a question mark.
00:57:58.440 Huh.
00:58:00.520 Did the Russians blow up their own dam like they blew up their own pipeline? 0.71
00:58:07.920 Or could it be that an unfriendly entity is more likely to blow up your shit?
00:58:15.840 Hmm.
00:58:16.900 I wonder.
00:58:18.500 Quite a mystery.
00:58:20.880 They did it to slow the counteroffensive?
00:58:23.160 You think the Russians blew up their own dam to slow down the counteroffensive? 0.53
00:58:31.620 Really?
00:58:33.520 Because I'm no military expert, but let me weigh in on that strategy.
00:58:39.280 The parts that are flooded, the Ukrainians can ignore. 1.00
00:58:45.260 Because that's already conquered by the water.
00:58:50.780 They're not going to fight the water.
00:58:53.160 The water will conquer a certain amount of places where it floods, and then that part's not in the war anymore.
00:59:00.640 I mean, the war just won't count, because it's flooded.
00:59:04.200 What the hell are you going to do?
00:59:05.400 Put a flag there?
00:59:07.960 So, I don't know.
00:59:10.480 I don't see them flooding it in this scenario.
00:59:14.560 I understand, you know, there could be, there could certainly be a scenario in which your own side blows up a dam.
00:59:22.680 I get that.
00:59:24.020 But I don't see it here.
00:59:25.520 Because there's this gigantic swath of territory that the Ukrainians could attack. 0.91
00:59:30.580 They don't have to attack that little flooded part.
00:59:32.800 Do they?
00:59:34.860 Nobody said it was so critically important to the war that if it's flooded, it's going to change the course of the war or anything like that.
00:59:43.400 To me, it looks like it was just the Ukrainians taking out the electricity in the area that they're attacking, which it did. 1.00
00:59:51.520 All right, they have to cross it to reach the other areas, but was that the one place they had to cross?
01:00:01.160 I mean, I've got a feeling that there are just lots of ways that Ukraine can get at, you know, that gigantic line on the border.
01:00:11.060 I don't know.
01:00:11.560 I could be wrong.
01:00:12.880 I'm just going to say, I'm going to say Ukraine.
01:00:15.160 The water pushes them to a kill zone?
01:00:22.980 Maybe.
01:00:25.580 Actually, that's a pretty good theory.
01:00:27.760 So the theory was that the flooding could push existing forces that maybe have already started a counteroffensive.
01:00:35.360 It could push them in a direction of, you know, disadvantage.
01:00:41.400 I can see that.
01:00:42.460 But I feel like you wouldn't blow up your own dam unless it was your last resort.
01:00:51.880 Of course, it's not their dam, so maybe they don't care.
01:00:55.900 But I don't think you'd blow up your own dam unless you think that's going to win the war or really make a big difference.
01:01:02.060 And I don't, the experts are not saying that it's making a big military difference.
01:01:07.000 Could be wrong.
01:01:10.440 That's Crimea's water supply.
01:01:12.460 Distracts from their failed offensive?
01:01:18.480 Maybe.
01:01:20.560 It's about making people suffer.
01:01:22.660 Mm-hmm.
01:01:29.620 All right.
01:01:32.820 Crimea's water supply is okay.
01:01:35.540 All right, that's all I got for today.
01:01:37.380 YouTube, I'm going to say bye.
01:01:38.620 Oh, you're bad.
01:01:46.180 You're bad, but I love you anyway.
01:01:47.660 You're bad, but I love you anyway.