Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 08, 2023


Episode 2133 Scott Adams: Trump Indictment Coming, Biden Briber, Aliens Landing, Pence's Bad Timing


Episode Stats

Length

50 minutes

Words per Minute

141.40024

Word Count

7,085

Sentence Count

499

Misogynist Sentences

9

Hate Speech Sentences

32


Summary

A baby crocodile was born with no idea what to do with its eggs, and now it wants to know if it was a miracle birth or something else. And the LHC is getting ready to make contact with another dimension.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Do, do, do, do, do, do, do.
00:00:03.840 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization.
00:00:09.360 Also, my birthday, if you didn't know that.
00:00:12.100 That's right, I'm 66 years old in the sixth month.
00:00:15.900 But don't let that bother you.
00:00:17.500 It doesn't mean a thing.
00:00:19.080 If you'd like today to be extra, extra special, just like mine is,
00:00:23.760 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein,
00:00:27.060 a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:30.800 Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.
00:00:33.560 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day,
00:00:37.260 the thing that makes everything better.
00:00:38.660 It's the birthday sip, and it's coming at you now.
00:00:41.520 Go.
00:00:46.180 Ah, extra good.
00:00:50.180 Oh, I feel the love.
00:00:53.640 I'm feeling the love.
00:00:54.960 But we have lots and lots of news to talk about,
00:00:59.100 so I know you want to hear about that.
00:01:01.520 Top story today, there is a case of a crocodile that had a virgin birth.
00:01:08.680 It was in captivity for 16 years with no other crocodiles,
00:01:13.700 and yet it produced eggs.
00:01:17.000 So, virgin birth.
00:01:18.820 I have two things to say about that.
00:01:20.420 Number one, I would wait until the eggs hatch
00:01:23.380 and see if they bear any resemblance to the habitat keeper
00:01:27.940 who has been caring and feeding for the alligator for 16 years.
00:01:32.160 They may have fallen in love.
00:01:33.420 Maybe something happened.
00:01:34.340 I don't know.
00:01:34.980 But I'd wait and see the eggs.
00:01:36.900 If it looks like the gamekeeper,
00:01:39.920 well, then you have your answer.
00:01:40.880 However, if it turns out that it was a genuine virgin birth,
00:01:48.400 what is the most important thing?
00:01:51.440 The most important thing.
00:01:54.220 Don't tell the other crocodiles.
00:01:57.580 You know what I mean?
00:01:58.500 Because otherwise you're going to have a little crocodile religion,
00:02:02.780 and they're all going to be wanting to pray to that crocodile,
00:02:06.020 and you don't want any of that.
00:02:07.520 Just do not tell the other crocodiles.
00:02:09.760 That's all I'm saying.
00:02:11.780 Don't tell them.
00:02:13.240 Well, in other big news, yeah, we'll get to all the political news also.
00:02:17.740 But you need to know that the Large Hadron Collider
00:02:21.600 is getting ready to, what is it,
00:02:24.760 make contact with another dimension.
00:02:28.500 That's right.
00:02:31.140 They hope to open a black hole
00:02:32.900 and make contact with another dimension.
00:02:39.280 And I don't see what could go wrong.
00:02:42.660 What could go wrong?
00:02:46.140 I mean, what does that other dimension have that we don't have?
00:02:49.980 Do their crocodiles have to have sex before they have eggs?
00:02:53.660 Ours don't.
00:02:54.960 So it might be like a crummy kind of a...
00:02:57.760 What if it's a dimension where everything's the same
00:03:00.240 except San Francisco has clean sidewalks?
00:03:03.920 It's all the same.
00:03:06.520 Wouldn't it be cool if we found another dimension
00:03:08.560 that was just like ours but more Canadian?
00:03:11.960 That's what I think when I go to Canada.
00:03:15.960 When I go to Canada, I don't feel like I'm in another country.
00:03:20.620 I feel like I'm in another dimension where something happened to America.
00:03:24.840 What's wrong with the money?
00:03:26.360 Who did this to our money?
00:03:28.440 Why do you say sorry?
00:03:30.160 Just say sorry.
00:03:31.700 Don't say sorry.
00:03:32.420 But, you know, it's just sort of like another dimensional situation.
00:03:41.580 I might be getting some happy birthday text messages while we're on the air.
00:03:46.920 And sure enough, I am.
00:03:50.980 All right.
00:03:53.620 What was I talking about?
00:03:55.100 Other dimensions.
00:03:56.020 What if we find out that we're a simulation?
00:04:01.800 It seems to be that one of the things that could happen
00:04:04.860 is as the physics probes into the deeper and deeper secrets of our reality,
00:04:10.620 we'll find out it's all artificial
00:04:12.480 and that there's nothing below the level we're at.
00:04:17.560 There should be some level beyond which there's nothing else.
00:04:20.880 I think it would prove that we're a simulation
00:04:27.740 if you found the bottom of physics.
00:04:31.860 In other words, if you found the most fundamental item,
00:04:34.840 that would mean we're a simulation.
00:04:37.500 Because if we were real,
00:04:40.280 you could go down forever
00:04:41.800 and everything would be made of something else
00:04:44.800 to infinity.
00:04:46.380 I think.
00:04:50.660 Because if everything is the same stuff,
00:04:53.280 nothing would move.
00:04:55.300 All right.
00:04:59.680 Northeast still under smoke.
00:05:01.620 How many of you think that the fires coming out of Canada
00:05:05.340 were naturally occurring?
00:05:08.780 Well, that includes arson.
00:05:10.480 But how many think it's an attack
00:05:13.060 versus just some arson or something?
00:05:17.780 Do you think it's an attack?
00:05:20.600 Sure looks like it.
00:05:23.340 Yeah.
00:05:24.100 I was looking at some tweets.
00:05:28.640 I guess I won't mention the name of the tweeter.
00:05:32.400 But one is an accident,
00:05:35.500 two is a coincidence,
00:05:37.080 three is an attack.
00:05:39.380 I think that was the saying.
00:05:40.580 Yeah, three coincidences is an attack.
00:05:44.760 Two coincidences,
00:05:46.160 well, maybe it's a coincidence.
00:05:49.340 But there are some satellite images
00:05:51.700 showing that the fires
00:05:52.780 seem to have started around the same time.
00:05:56.060 In the context of our southern border
00:05:58.260 being wide open,
00:06:00.000 and correct me if I'm wrong,
00:06:01.420 if you get through our southern border,
00:06:03.580 it's not a big deal to get into Canada, is it?
00:06:06.760 Does Canada have a wall?
00:06:07.860 So, who knows?
00:06:10.460 Maybe some saboteurs
00:06:12.100 are coming through the U.S.
00:06:13.400 and setting Canada on fire
00:06:15.580 just at the right time
00:06:16.620 to make the smoke come our way.
00:06:20.260 Maybe.
00:06:21.360 I don't know.
00:06:24.040 If it were an attack,
00:06:26.400 we would see other attacks like it.
00:06:29.560 So, it seems to me
00:06:30.640 that we would see more things
00:06:32.020 that look like organized activity.
00:06:34.300 But if this is the only thing,
00:06:37.020 I don't know.
00:06:39.100 I'm not sure this is attack-like.
00:06:41.560 I'm going to say
00:06:42.480 I'm not buying into the attack theory,
00:06:46.360 but it's definitely on the table.
00:06:48.960 Definitely on the table.
00:06:51.000 Well, as you know,
00:06:52.180 Tucker did his little monologue on Twitter
00:06:55.380 and got, what's it up to?
00:06:59.200 Probably 70 million impressions by now.
00:07:01.680 Something like that.
00:07:02.420 But Fox News lawyers are angry
00:07:06.560 because they say,
00:07:07.780 you can't do that.
00:07:09.200 We still have you on contract at Fox News.
00:07:11.760 You're not allowed to do a show.
00:07:13.860 To which people like Glenn Greenwald say,
00:07:16.420 a show?
00:07:18.100 All he did was talk on social media.
00:07:20.880 You're not allowed to talk on social media
00:07:22.620 to say anything you want
00:07:24.820 in any way you want,
00:07:26.360 which is a pretty good defense.
00:07:28.100 Now, what we don't know
00:07:29.880 is, is Tucker
00:07:32.560 in any kind of a contract
00:07:34.100 with Twitter?
00:07:35.740 In other words,
00:07:36.500 did he monetize that?
00:07:38.620 His first go,
00:07:40.980 did he monetize it?
00:07:42.100 Because if he didn't monetize it,
00:07:43.880 which is possible,
00:07:45.100 maybe he didn't monetize it,
00:07:47.140 and how would he monetize it?
00:07:50.060 What would be the mechanism
00:07:51.320 for monetizing?
00:07:53.060 How do you monetize a tweet?
00:07:54.520 Were there extra ads
00:07:57.000 that were added
00:07:58.000 into the comments or something?
00:08:02.640 Yeah.
00:08:03.540 He would have to be
00:08:04.180 on the payroll or something,
00:08:05.580 and I don't think that's happening.
00:08:07.560 I don't think so.
00:08:10.040 So we'll wait and see,
00:08:11.700 but I like the fact
00:08:12.500 that Tucker is pushing the envelope
00:08:15.960 as he always does.
00:08:17.700 I love the fact,
00:08:19.480 when he did the video,
00:08:21.020 I said to myself,
00:08:21.840 did they already settle?
00:08:24.320 It seemed like it would be too soon
00:08:25.700 to settle all that legal stuff.
00:08:28.120 So is he just pushing the envelope
00:08:29.540 to try to break it,
00:08:30.700 see what happens?
00:08:31.820 And that's what it looks like.
00:08:33.160 It looks like,
00:08:35.360 well, I don't think he's got
00:08:36.300 a subscription service yet.
00:08:39.680 But if he does,
00:08:41.200 maybe that's coming.
00:08:43.240 All right.
00:08:44.020 Well, I just like the fact
00:08:45.560 he's pushing the envelope
00:08:46.540 as he always does.
00:08:47.320 So the news is saying
00:08:51.280 the signals look like
00:08:53.560 there might be a Trump
00:08:55.200 summer hoax indictment
00:08:57.360 over his boxes.
00:08:59.460 What do you think?
00:09:00.560 Is that going to be
00:09:01.200 the summer hoax?
00:09:03.140 The Trump summer hoax.
00:09:05.280 Mar-a-Lago boxes.
00:09:06.580 We've been waiting
00:09:07.220 to get serious about this.
00:09:10.340 Yeah, some people think so
00:09:12.300 because there was a meeting
00:09:13.220 between Trump's lawyers
00:09:14.860 and the DOJ
00:09:15.880 which usually signals
00:09:18.100 they're ready to indict.
00:09:20.520 And Bill Barr thinks
00:09:21.500 they're ready to indict.
00:09:25.620 Now, the biggest knock
00:09:27.780 against Trump
00:09:29.020 on these boxes,
00:09:30.220 the Mar-a-Lago boxes,
00:09:32.280 we see it in the press
00:09:33.640 but we haven't seen
00:09:34.500 if the legal system
00:09:35.980 will use this yet.
00:09:37.760 And it is that
00:09:38.660 on one hand
00:09:40.180 he's claiming
00:09:40.820 that anything he takes out
00:09:42.620 of privacy,
00:09:44.620 it takes out
00:09:45.240 of a secure place,
00:09:47.080 is automatically
00:09:47.960 and by virtue
00:09:50.560 of moving it,
00:09:52.060 he's declassified it.
00:09:53.320 So he doesn't even
00:09:53.960 have to say the words.
00:09:55.380 The president has
00:09:56.220 full authority
00:09:57.240 to declassify
00:09:58.300 and there is no
00:09:59.860 written process
00:10:01.000 for doing it.
00:10:02.720 However,
00:10:03.880 there is a
00:10:05.260 historical standard
00:10:06.780 for doing it
00:10:07.840 which is different
00:10:08.880 from a law.
00:10:09.520 and he showed
00:10:11.620 knowledge of that
00:10:12.840 standard
00:10:13.380 in some document,
00:10:16.400 either a document
00:10:17.540 or a recording
00:10:18.380 or something.
00:10:19.420 So he knew
00:10:20.220 that there was
00:10:21.240 at least one piece
00:10:22.120 of information
00:10:22.680 he couldn't show people
00:10:23.820 because it was private
00:10:24.940 or, you know,
00:10:27.340 it was secure.
00:10:29.080 I don't think
00:10:29.980 that argument holds.
00:10:32.240 I don't think
00:10:32.740 that argument works
00:10:33.580 at all.
00:10:34.720 Do you?
00:10:35.800 The fact that he said
00:10:37.220 there was something
00:10:37.760 he couldn't show
00:10:38.440 to somebody
00:10:38.960 because, you know,
00:10:39.940 hadn't gone
00:10:40.340 through a process
00:10:41.180 doesn't seem
00:10:42.820 related to me
00:10:43.760 to the fact
00:10:44.680 that he didn't
00:10:45.140 declassify anything
00:10:46.340 because even if
00:10:47.800 you had declassified
00:10:48.960 something by taking
00:10:50.300 it out of its
00:10:50.940 secure environment
00:10:51.880 in theory,
00:10:53.620 there'd still be
00:10:54.360 things you can't
00:10:55.020 show people,
00:10:56.280 right?
00:10:57.620 Just because he
00:10:58.740 just because he'd
00:10:59.840 moved it from
00:11:00.400 one place to another
00:11:01.340 that doesn't mean
00:11:02.720 you could just
00:11:03.160 show it to anybody.
00:11:04.540 So it might have
00:11:05.380 been that he was
00:11:06.060 concerned about
00:11:07.620 who saw it,
00:11:08.860 which would be
00:11:09.620 slightly different
00:11:10.480 from who is
00:11:11.760 legally able to
00:11:12.760 see it and
00:11:13.380 whether it's
00:11:14.040 classified and
00:11:14.960 all that.
00:11:16.300 So, you know,
00:11:17.740 Trump has such
00:11:19.100 a history of
00:11:21.600 hyperbole that
00:11:23.720 if he said one
00:11:24.600 thing under one
00:11:25.340 context and
00:11:26.180 another thing
00:11:26.740 under another
00:11:27.300 context,
00:11:29.180 everybody would
00:11:30.100 say, well,
00:11:30.880 okay, that's
00:11:31.280 just what he
00:11:31.740 does.
00:11:33.140 It just wouldn't
00:11:34.000 even look unusual
00:11:34.780 to me because
00:11:36.920 he probably
00:11:37.520 exaggerated what
00:11:38.520 he could or
00:11:39.020 could not show
00:11:39.640 to another
00:11:40.040 person.
00:11:41.460 He may have
00:11:42.280 stretched the
00:11:43.260 truth just to
00:11:44.860 avoid showing
00:11:45.540 somebody something,
00:11:46.660 right?
00:11:46.980 There are a hundred
00:11:47.600 reasons why he
00:11:48.420 may have said
00:11:48.900 something that
00:11:49.380 wasn't technically
00:11:50.120 accurate, just
00:11:51.480 because he wanted
00:11:52.100 something.
00:11:54.800 So I've got a
00:11:55.800 feeling that will
00:11:56.400 not be a legal
00:11:57.540 problem for him,
00:11:58.500 but we're going
00:11:59.400 to talk about it
00:12:00.080 all summer long.
00:12:01.220 All right.
00:12:06.180 There's a theory
00:12:07.200 that AI is
00:12:09.740 already in charge
00:12:10.640 of our elections.
00:12:12.040 This might be
00:12:12.980 the last election
00:12:14.780 that is not
00:12:16.320 determined by AI,
00:12:18.040 or it might be
00:12:19.400 determined by AI
00:12:20.300 because we still
00:12:20.940 have it, you
00:12:21.340 know, over a year
00:12:22.040 to go before the
00:12:22.780 actual election.
00:12:23.940 And here's the
00:12:24.600 argument.
00:12:25.680 The argument is
00:12:26.920 it's inevitable
00:12:27.820 that AI will be
00:12:29.740 used for online
00:12:31.200 campaigning.
00:12:32.500 Would you agree
00:12:33.180 so far?
00:12:33.760 Let's see if we
00:12:34.300 can agree as we
00:12:36.060 work up from
00:12:36.680 assumptions to
00:12:38.360 prediction.
00:12:39.640 Assumption one,
00:12:40.600 AI will be used
00:12:41.660 by campaigns to
00:12:43.140 improve their
00:12:43.720 campaigning.
00:12:44.980 Assumption two,
00:12:46.300 one way that AI
00:12:47.420 will improve over
00:12:49.160 the old way is
00:12:50.580 to give people
00:12:51.460 very individual
00:12:52.780 campaign ads so
00:12:54.480 that the campaign
00:12:55.220 ad I see might
00:12:56.400 be different than
00:12:57.060 the one everybody
00:12:57.740 else in the world
00:12:58.340 sees.
00:12:59.420 So in other words,
00:13:00.160 it can learn
00:13:01.080 from interaction
00:13:02.000 with me.
00:13:03.260 Let's say it
00:13:03.780 sends me something
00:13:04.480 and I don't
00:13:05.040 click on it.
00:13:06.060 Well, it learned
00:13:06.620 I won't click on
00:13:07.360 that.
00:13:08.060 Then it sends me
00:13:08.680 something else
00:13:09.280 and it might be
00:13:09.780 about puppies.
00:13:11.380 It might have
00:13:11.860 nothing to do
00:13:12.400 with politics.
00:13:13.440 It could be
00:13:13.920 puppies.
00:13:14.820 And I click on
00:13:15.520 it, what's
00:13:16.520 going to happen
00:13:16.860 next?
00:13:18.120 Next thing I'm
00:13:18.820 going to get is
00:13:19.420 a campaign ad
00:13:20.400 with puppies
00:13:20.920 because I just
00:13:22.140 learned puppies
00:13:22.860 activate me.
00:13:24.900 So you take
00:13:25.860 that and multiply
00:13:27.040 it by a million
00:13:27.760 and you've
00:13:29.140 got your
00:13:29.680 AI learning
00:13:30.600 about you
00:13:31.180 individually
00:13:32.200 and then
00:13:33.420 serving you
00:13:34.080 up persuasion
00:13:35.020 individualized.
00:13:37.100 If it found
00:13:37.960 out, for example,
00:13:38.720 that you had
00:13:39.080 posted, let's
00:13:39.700 say, some
00:13:40.900 gun pictures,
00:13:42.320 then it's
00:13:43.180 going to say,
00:13:43.540 oh, you're
00:13:43.900 one of those
00:13:44.300 Second Amendment
00:13:44.840 people.
00:13:45.800 And it's
00:13:46.400 going to say,
00:13:47.120 here's my best
00:13:47.920 argument for
00:13:48.720 why you should
00:13:49.140 vote for my
00:13:49.700 candidate based
00:13:51.080 on your
00:13:51.720 preference for
00:13:52.580 owning guns.
00:13:53.200 So in
00:13:54.880 theory, the
00:13:56.040 best AI will
00:13:56.900 be better than
00:13:57.500 the best
00:13:57.860 campaign ads
00:13:58.680 and better
00:13:59.040 than the best
00:13:59.620 candidate.
00:14:00.560 Even the
00:14:00.960 candidate wouldn't
00:14:01.580 be able to
00:14:02.000 persuade that
00:14:02.520 well.
00:14:03.720 And if
00:14:05.140 one entity
00:14:06.620 uses AI
00:14:07.420 successfully,
00:14:08.300 what's going
00:14:08.600 to happen?
00:14:09.840 What happens
00:14:10.320 next?
00:14:11.520 There's a
00:14:12.120 candidate who
00:14:12.680 uses AI,
00:14:13.600 uses it better
00:14:14.340 than anybody
00:14:14.760 else, and
00:14:15.120 they win the
00:14:15.600 election.
00:14:16.920 Well, then the
00:14:17.480 other side
00:14:17.900 escalates, and
00:14:19.240 they get AI
00:14:19.840 too.
00:14:20.860 So then we're
00:14:21.580 going to have
00:14:21.860 two AIs
00:14:22.540 battling it
00:14:23.160 out, but
00:14:24.120 here's the
00:14:24.540 thing.
00:14:26.480 Nobody who
00:14:27.320 created those
00:14:28.460 AIs will
00:14:29.160 know what
00:14:29.560 the AI
00:14:29.960 will do.
00:14:31.500 So it's
00:14:31.960 not like
00:14:32.340 people telling
00:14:33.020 the AI
00:14:33.460 what to
00:14:33.860 do.
00:14:34.220 Hey, go
00:14:35.280 do that
00:14:35.640 thing.
00:14:36.440 They're
00:14:36.720 going to
00:14:36.980 unleash
00:14:37.480 the AI
00:14:38.060 and let
00:14:38.880 the AI
00:14:39.520 figure it
00:14:40.160 out on
00:14:40.680 its own.
00:14:41.720 So the
00:14:42.100 two different
00:14:42.540 AIs could
00:14:43.200 be comparable
00:14:44.060 AIs, even
00:14:44.900 identical.
00:14:45.700 They could
00:14:45.960 be identical
00:14:46.600 AIs, but
00:14:47.800 they might
00:14:48.220 trial and
00:14:48.920 error things
00:14:49.480 differently.
00:14:50.580 So by the
00:14:51.360 time they
00:14:51.700 feel their
00:14:52.180 way through
00:14:52.520 the system
00:14:53.020 to develop
00:14:53.800 on their
00:14:54.180 own, their
00:14:55.180 best persuasion,
00:14:56.820 they might
00:14:57.200 end up in
00:14:57.640 different places.
00:14:58.800 So you
00:14:59.420 would then
00:14:59.720 have a
00:15:00.200 system that
00:15:00.920 depended
00:15:01.360 entirely on
00:15:03.400 which AI
00:15:04.000 did a
00:15:04.400 better job
00:15:04.980 and won't
00:15:06.840 have anything
00:15:07.280 to do with
00:15:07.740 voting anymore.
00:15:09.040 You still
00:15:09.680 have to vote,
00:15:10.800 but your
00:15:11.220 votes would be
00:15:11.820 determined by
00:15:12.440 who had the
00:15:12.860 better AI,
00:15:13.620 and that's
00:15:14.020 it.
00:15:15.040 Now, at the
00:15:15.860 moment, it's
00:15:17.400 not that
00:15:17.940 different than
00:15:18.480 the current
00:15:18.860 system, because
00:15:20.200 I would argue
00:15:20.760 that we
00:15:21.140 don't vote
00:15:21.660 for the
00:15:21.920 best
00:15:22.100 candidate.
00:15:23.220 We vote
00:15:23.920 for the
00:15:24.220 best
00:15:24.540 persuader.
00:15:26.380 So you're
00:15:27.000 voting for
00:15:27.420 somebody who's
00:15:27.880 persuading you,
00:15:29.220 but that's not
00:15:30.200 really the job
00:15:30.900 of a president
00:15:31.540 entirely.
00:15:32.720 I mean, it's
00:15:33.060 part of it.
00:15:34.040 But we already
00:15:35.440 have this
00:15:35.840 artificial way of
00:15:36.940 picking a
00:15:37.380 president, because
00:15:38.620 the president's
00:15:39.380 full range of
00:15:40.820 capabilities are
00:15:41.740 not picked up by
00:15:42.600 how well they
00:15:43.120 campaigned.
00:15:44.160 That's a big
00:15:44.680 part of it.
00:15:45.180 So we already
00:15:47.600 have a system
00:15:48.180 where campaigning
00:15:49.940 is who determines
00:15:52.240 who is president.
00:15:53.640 The quality of
00:15:54.620 the campaign,
00:15:55.980 did that ever
00:15:56.660 make sense?
00:15:58.820 Not really.
00:16:00.660 Not really.
00:16:01.660 That never really
00:16:02.460 made sense.
00:16:04.120 Because it doesn't
00:16:05.040 tell you who's
00:16:05.400 the best president,
00:16:06.180 it just might tell
00:16:07.220 you who had the
00:16:07.700 best campaign
00:16:08.360 staff, which
00:16:09.540 might not even
00:16:10.260 be the permanent
00:16:10.860 staff, and maybe
00:16:11.980 shouldn't be,
00:16:12.600 because campaigning
00:16:13.420 is different from
00:16:14.080 governing.
00:16:15.180 So we already
00:16:16.280 have an irrational
00:16:17.080 system that we've
00:16:18.660 convinced ourselves
00:16:19.520 is rational.
00:16:20.680 If we replace
00:16:21.700 that with another
00:16:22.380 one, where the
00:16:23.740 two AIs battle
00:16:24.800 it out, and we
00:16:25.560 don't know why
00:16:26.080 they're doing it,
00:16:26.740 and don't know
00:16:27.180 who's going to
00:16:27.600 win, and then
00:16:28.040 we just get a
00:16:28.540 result, we're
00:16:29.740 still going to
00:16:30.180 think we voted.
00:16:31.660 We're still going
00:16:32.240 to think our vote
00:16:32.860 made the difference.
00:16:34.080 So it won't
00:16:34.700 make any difference.
00:16:35.780 We'll just go on
00:16:36.860 like it wasn't
00:16:37.480 happening, just
00:16:38.620 like we do now.
00:16:40.660 But yes, I do
00:16:42.380 believe that the
00:16:43.300 human part of
00:16:45.180 elections is
00:16:46.780 largely gone, and
00:16:49.160 it's not coming
00:16:49.760 back.
00:16:50.200 The AIs will
00:16:51.020 figure out how
00:16:52.460 to persuade us, and
00:16:53.360 that's it.
00:16:53.920 That will be the
00:16:54.360 whole story.
00:16:55.680 It won't even be
00:16:56.320 about the
00:16:56.700 candidate, at
00:16:58.520 least when the
00:16:59.180 candidates are
00:16:59.740 close.
00:17:00.220 I mean, if the
00:17:01.700 candidates are
00:17:02.340 wildly different in
00:17:03.620 quality, that still
00:17:04.960 does matter, of
00:17:05.720 course.
00:17:07.640 All right.
00:17:07.960 how about this?
00:17:13.020 How would you
00:17:13.760 like to see if
00:17:14.520 AI could persuade
00:17:15.560 one person?
00:17:17.180 Wouldn't that be
00:17:17.740 interesting?
00:17:19.520 Put one person in
00:17:21.060 a room with one
00:17:22.000 AI and work on
00:17:25.040 one topic, and
00:17:26.680 we'll say, all
00:17:27.140 right, the topic
00:17:27.720 is whatever.
00:17:29.060 It could be
00:17:29.420 abortion, it
00:17:30.100 could be guns,
00:17:31.000 you know, something
00:17:31.420 that nobody ever
00:17:32.300 changes their mind
00:17:33.260 about, realistically.
00:17:35.140 It's very rare for
00:17:37.000 somebody to change
00:17:37.800 their mind about,
00:17:38.620 let's say, the
00:17:39.000 Second Amendment.
00:17:40.600 So you put
00:17:41.020 somebody in a room
00:17:41.660 and you unleash
00:17:42.580 the AI, you say,
00:17:44.320 all right, AI, take
00:17:45.680 as long as you
00:17:46.340 want, use all the
00:17:47.200 sources you want,
00:17:48.540 use every form of
00:17:49.640 persuasion you want,
00:17:50.540 have a conversation
00:17:51.360 with this human, see
00:17:52.820 if you can change
00:17:53.480 the human's mind.
00:17:55.320 Do you think the
00:17:55.880 AI could do it?
00:17:58.500 Well, most of the
00:17:59.900 time, not, just
00:18:00.960 because it would be
00:18:01.520 limited by time.
00:18:03.080 You know, you'd
00:18:03.580 have to work on
00:18:04.180 somebody for a long
00:18:04.940 time.
00:18:05.920 But, suppose you
00:18:07.600 put a thousand
00:18:09.540 humans in that
00:18:11.340 situation, and the
00:18:13.180 AI was trying to
00:18:14.140 work on all
00:18:14.800 thousand of them
00:18:15.540 as best it could,
00:18:17.500 do you think it
00:18:18.180 could change a
00:18:18.780 hundred?
00:18:20.500 I think it
00:18:21.300 could.
00:18:22.240 Yeah.
00:18:22.660 It wouldn't
00:18:23.060 change nine
00:18:23.780 hundred, I mean,
00:18:24.920 it couldn't do it
00:18:25.460 right away, even
00:18:26.200 if it did everything
00:18:27.560 right, it probably
00:18:28.220 couldn't.
00:18:29.180 But it could get
00:18:29.840 a hundred, because
00:18:31.160 good persuasion
00:18:31.980 always picks people
00:18:32.960 off, whether it's
00:18:34.560 human or machine,
00:18:35.920 you can always
00:18:36.400 get a sum.
00:18:37.440 And if you can
00:18:38.160 pick off ten
00:18:39.280 percent of the
00:18:39.860 other side, you
00:18:41.580 win every election
00:18:42.360 in our system.
00:18:44.420 So, I'd like to
00:18:45.360 see it tested on an
00:18:46.460 individual or a
00:18:48.260 small group to see
00:18:49.780 if AI can really
00:18:50.880 persuade people,
00:18:51.960 because maybe it
00:18:52.520 can.
00:18:53.360 Maybe it can.
00:18:53.980 All right, I've
00:18:56.820 told you about
00:18:57.260 this, I call it
00:18:58.400 the Scott Alexander
00:18:59.400 effect, named
00:19:00.520 after a blogger
00:19:02.080 who used that
00:19:02.820 name, Scott
00:19:03.400 Alexander, which
00:19:04.200 was not his real
00:19:04.860 name.
00:19:05.900 And he taught
00:19:07.820 me, and then
00:19:08.780 I've taught some
00:19:09.560 of you, the
00:19:10.760 following rule,
00:19:12.520 that if
00:19:13.820 something's in
00:19:14.580 the news, and
00:19:16.020 it's really,
00:19:16.660 really interesting,
00:19:17.660 it's probably
00:19:18.700 fake.
00:19:19.120 You've heard
00:19:21.220 me say that
00:19:21.720 before, right?
00:19:22.720 If it's in the
00:19:23.380 news, and it's
00:19:24.220 really interesting,
00:19:25.220 let's say aliens,
00:19:26.540 it's almost
00:19:27.160 certainly fake.
00:19:28.560 If it's in the
00:19:29.420 news, but it's
00:19:30.020 normal, there's
00:19:31.320 another hurricane.
00:19:32.900 It's probably
00:19:33.600 real, because
00:19:35.040 that's normal.
00:19:36.240 But when you see
00:19:37.180 a story that makes
00:19:37.940 your hair catch on
00:19:38.740 fire, like, oh
00:19:39.880 my God, did that
00:19:40.700 person really say
00:19:41.600 that?
00:19:42.340 Or did that
00:19:42.840 person really do
00:19:43.680 that?
00:19:44.560 Did the president
00:19:45.500 of the United
00:19:46.060 States just call
00:19:47.560 neo-Nazis fine
00:19:48.920 people?
00:19:50.080 No, he didn't.
00:19:51.700 Of course he
00:19:52.460 didn't.
00:19:53.600 It seems like it.
00:19:54.560 People thought so.
00:19:55.420 They thought they
00:19:55.900 saw it in a video,
00:19:56.620 but it didn't
00:19:56.960 happen in the
00:19:57.460 real world.
00:19:58.660 The video was
00:19:59.740 edited.
00:20:01.380 By the way, that's
00:20:02.220 the same way the
00:20:02.960 RFK Jr. video was
00:20:04.560 edited.
00:20:05.600 It was a Rupar
00:20:06.360 video that makes
00:20:07.780 it look like he
00:20:08.460 wants to execute
00:20:09.980 people who don't
00:20:11.060 believe in climate
00:20:11.740 change.
00:20:13.360 If you saw that
00:20:14.260 video and said,
00:20:14.920 I saw it myself,
00:20:15.660 he said it, that's
00:20:16.860 a Rupar video.
00:20:18.060 Same thing that
00:20:18.760 got Trump a
00:20:20.160 couple times.
00:20:21.740 So don't
00:20:22.340 believe that
00:20:22.700 video.
00:20:27.000 So there's a
00:20:29.660 study that gives
00:20:30.860 some meat to
00:20:31.520 this effect.
00:20:33.460 And it says
00:20:34.140 that false news
00:20:35.020 stories are more
00:20:35.780 commonly retweeted
00:20:36.840 by humans than
00:20:37.540 bots.
00:20:38.820 By a lot.
00:20:40.800 70% more likely
00:20:42.420 to be retweeted
00:20:43.300 than true stories.
00:20:44.240 A fake story is
00:20:47.180 70% more likely
00:20:49.280 to be retweeted.
00:20:51.100 That's not small.
00:20:53.620 That's huge.
00:20:55.100 Now, this is
00:20:55.740 evidence that people
00:20:57.280 prefer fake news.
00:20:58.900 Now, what makes it
00:20:59.840 fake news?
00:21:02.120 Usually, it's
00:21:02.900 something that's too
00:21:03.540 on the nose.
00:21:04.980 That's the stuff
00:21:05.860 that gets retweeted.
00:21:06.800 If tomorrow you
00:21:11.660 found out
00:21:12.320 that, let's
00:21:14.440 say, the
00:21:14.740 Democrats were
00:21:15.720 accusing Trump
00:21:17.020 of starting the
00:21:18.400 forest fires
00:21:19.200 in Canada,
00:21:21.780 you'd say to
00:21:22.600 yourself,
00:21:23.820 okay, that's
00:21:24.760 a little too
00:21:25.460 just blame him
00:21:26.380 for everything.
00:21:27.840 You would pick
00:21:28.660 that up immediately.
00:21:29.620 It's like, no,
00:21:31.160 I don't think so.
00:21:32.500 That would be
00:21:33.140 so absurd.
00:21:34.360 But, if that
00:21:36.220 story ever ran,
00:21:37.800 it would be
00:21:38.380 tweeted like crazy.
00:21:40.260 Because people
00:21:40.960 wouldn't believe it
00:21:41.780 because it just
00:21:42.820 catches their hair
00:21:43.700 on fire.
00:21:44.220 Are you kidding me?
00:21:45.540 He's done so many
00:21:46.520 bad things and now
00:21:47.800 he's setting forest
00:21:48.720 fires in Canada?
00:21:50.540 Oh, my God.
00:21:51.720 Is there anything
00:21:52.580 he won't do?
00:21:53.660 After praising Nazis
00:21:55.300 and telling us
00:21:56.120 to drink bleach,
00:21:57.300 now he's setting
00:21:58.040 forest fires in Canada?
00:22:00.560 Now, the way you
00:22:01.340 would know that
00:22:01.880 news was fake
00:22:02.860 is that it
00:22:04.640 got you going.
00:22:06.480 Yeah, news like
00:22:07.100 that that just
00:22:07.620 gets you going,
00:22:08.780 it's almost
00:22:09.340 always fake.
00:22:11.040 Almost always
00:22:12.540 fake.
00:22:13.700 How about this
00:22:14.360 story of the
00:22:15.080 FBI?
00:22:17.120 Allegedly,
00:22:18.020 there's a
00:22:18.600 Ukrainian person
00:22:20.920 who alleges
00:22:22.400 to have given
00:22:22.960 a $5 million
00:22:23.840 bribe to
00:22:25.040 Biden
00:22:25.420 for whatever,
00:22:28.140 for policy
00:22:28.800 purposes.
00:22:31.080 Does that
00:22:31.800 sound real?
00:22:32.860 Do you think
00:22:34.720 that there's
00:22:35.160 a real
00:22:36.200 trail of
00:22:37.320 real evidence?
00:22:38.280 I mean,
00:22:38.500 I do believe
00:22:39.080 that the person
00:22:39.700 said it
00:22:40.240 and it was
00:22:40.820 written down.
00:22:41.740 So I believe
00:22:42.220 there's a document.
00:22:43.680 But does that
00:22:44.200 sound real to you?
00:22:46.260 Does somebody
00:22:46.740 give him a
00:22:47.260 $5 million
00:22:47.960 bribe,
00:22:49.520 a Ukrainian?
00:22:51.480 Look at all
00:22:52.060 the people
00:22:52.340 who say yes.
00:22:53.600 Why does it
00:22:54.220 sound real to you?
00:22:55.640 Does it sound
00:22:56.340 real to you
00:22:56.900 because it's
00:22:58.060 right on the
00:22:59.000 nose?
00:22:59.420 and it's
00:23:00.780 so outrageous
00:23:01.500 it makes
00:23:01.880 your hair
00:23:02.280 stand on
00:23:02.940 fire?
00:23:03.800 Is that
00:23:04.120 why you
00:23:04.360 believe it?
00:23:05.520 It's so
00:23:06.320 outrageous
00:23:06.880 and yet
00:23:08.360 so perfectly
00:23:09.900 what you
00:23:10.340 expected.
00:23:13.000 That doesn't
00:23:13.800 set off any
00:23:14.400 alarms at all.
00:23:16.220 That doesn't
00:23:17.020 tell you that
00:23:17.560 it's most
00:23:18.020 likely bullshit.
00:23:20.360 If this
00:23:21.080 were Trump,
00:23:21.680 would you
00:23:21.940 have believed
00:23:22.260 this for a
00:23:22.820 minute?
00:23:24.460 For one
00:23:25.140 minute,
00:23:25.500 would you
00:23:25.760 have believed
00:23:26.120 this if
00:23:26.540 they said
00:23:26.880 it about
00:23:27.200 Trump?
00:23:27.920 No,
00:23:28.280 you wouldn't.
00:23:29.420 You would
00:23:29.920 not believe
00:23:30.500 this.
00:23:31.880 Now,
00:23:33.140 it could
00:23:33.640 be that
00:23:34.940 the reason
00:23:35.320 the DOJ
00:23:36.160 didn't want
00:23:37.340 Comer and
00:23:40.820 Grassley to
00:23:41.660 see it
00:23:42.060 in Congress,
00:23:44.660 maybe the
00:23:45.160 reason they
00:23:45.520 didn't want
00:23:45.860 to see it
00:23:46.220 is exactly
00:23:47.160 the reason
00:23:47.720 you'd think
00:23:48.320 that they
00:23:49.100 don't think
00:23:49.580 it's true.
00:23:51.300 Wouldn't
00:23:51.820 that be the
00:23:52.440 most logical
00:23:53.480 explanation of
00:23:54.420 what's happening
00:23:54.940 here?
00:23:55.180 that the
00:23:56.360 people who
00:23:56.920 looked at
00:23:57.340 it said,
00:23:57.740 it looks
00:23:58.160 like another
00:23:58.620 one of
00:23:58.900 those steel
00:23:59.360 dossier things.
00:24:02.460 It's just
00:24:02.780 another liar.
00:24:06.280 All right.
00:24:07.120 So,
00:24:07.840 I will grant
00:24:09.020 you that it
00:24:10.100 might be
00:24:10.560 true.
00:24:11.560 Will you
00:24:11.960 allow that?
00:24:13.000 Will you
00:24:13.440 allow that
00:24:14.520 it might be
00:24:14.980 true?
00:24:16.200 It could be
00:24:16.780 true that
00:24:17.120 Biden took
00:24:17.620 a bribe.
00:24:18.500 Maybe.
00:24:19.360 I mean,
00:24:19.640 we've seen
00:24:20.040 things that
00:24:20.680 look pretty
00:24:21.660 sketchy,
00:24:22.440 but we
00:24:23.040 haven't seen
00:24:23.540 them take a
00:24:24.080 direct bribe,
00:24:24.860 have we?
00:24:26.580 If we
00:24:29.140 know that
00:24:29.700 the Biden
00:24:30.340 family set
00:24:31.820 up a
00:24:32.160 structure to
00:24:32.800 hide bribes,
00:24:35.180 right?
00:24:35.660 The entire
00:24:36.320 structure was
00:24:37.660 about hiding
00:24:38.240 bribes,
00:24:39.200 but you
00:24:39.500 think somebody
00:24:39.960 just wrote a
00:24:40.520 check,
00:24:41.400 just gave
00:24:41.880 them a
00:24:42.060 bribe.
00:24:43.520 When they
00:24:44.120 had this
00:24:44.440 whole structure
00:24:45.060 for accepting
00:24:45.960 bribes without
00:24:46.760 making them
00:24:47.360 look like
00:24:47.760 bribes,
00:24:48.620 allegedly,
00:24:49.500 allegedly they
00:24:50.340 did that.
00:24:50.740 Why would
00:24:52.180 you just
00:24:52.860 take a
00:24:53.220 bribe when
00:24:54.480 you could
00:24:54.800 do it the
00:24:55.760 way that
00:24:56.080 nobody gets
00:24:56.580 caught?
00:24:58.300 I don't
00:24:58.880 think you
00:24:59.220 would.
00:25:00.180 So I'm
00:25:01.000 going to
00:25:01.140 say that
00:25:01.700 the public
00:25:03.040 doesn't have
00:25:04.480 a right to
00:25:05.120 know about
00:25:05.760 big accusations
00:25:06.520 like this,
00:25:07.420 but it doesn't
00:25:08.820 look real to
00:25:09.320 me.
00:25:09.740 I do not
00:25:10.540 think the
00:25:11.000 walls are
00:25:11.400 closing in
00:25:11.900 than Biden.
00:25:12.260 And I
00:25:13.220 think that
00:25:13.800 it's very
00:25:15.980 unlikely to
00:25:16.580 be real.
00:25:17.660 But it
00:25:17.980 could be.
00:25:19.140 I'll give
00:25:19.720 you a
00:25:20.140 solid 10
00:25:23.800 to 15
00:25:24.500 percent chance
00:25:25.280 it's true.
00:25:26.780 That's pretty
00:25:27.400 big.
00:25:28.960 A 10
00:25:29.840 percent chance
00:25:30.500 a president
00:25:31.260 took a
00:25:31.700 $5 million
00:25:32.160 bribe,
00:25:33.240 that's a
00:25:33.640 really big
00:25:34.080 chance.
00:25:35.140 But 90
00:25:35.940 percent chance
00:25:36.560 it didn't
00:25:36.860 happen at
00:25:37.260 all.
00:25:38.860 That's what
00:25:39.480 I think.
00:25:40.440 All right,
00:25:40.780 I hate to
00:25:41.140 disappoint you
00:25:41.640 in that.
00:25:42.260 But we'll
00:25:43.100 see.
00:25:43.400 Maybe I
00:25:43.920 will be
00:25:44.260 the one
00:25:44.620 embarrassed
00:25:45.160 and disappointed
00:25:45.900 at my
00:25:46.360 bad
00:25:46.840 predicting.
00:25:47.960 It's
00:25:48.160 possible.
00:25:49.380 So believe
00:25:50.120 it or not,
00:25:50.600 there's still
00:25:50.940 question about
00:25:51.540 who blew
00:25:51.920 up that
00:25:52.260 Ukrainian
00:25:52.760 dam or
00:25:53.440 if it
00:25:53.720 failed on
00:25:54.240 its own.
00:25:55.480 An article
00:25:56.120 in The
00:25:56.440 Hill says
00:25:58.180 that the
00:25:59.460 dam was
00:25:59.900 badly
00:26:00.240 mismanaged
00:26:00.940 and at
00:26:02.320 the time
00:26:02.700 it broke
00:26:03.620 it was
00:26:03.920 under poor
00:26:05.320 management
00:26:06.280 by the
00:26:06.680 Russians
00:26:06.980 and that
00:26:08.080 it was
00:26:08.480 at its
00:26:08.880 all-time
00:26:09.340 high.
00:26:10.420 So there
00:26:11.700 was a
00:26:11.980 combination
00:26:12.460 of they
00:26:12.940 knew it
00:26:13.300 was poorly
00:26:13.680 managed.
00:26:14.760 At the
00:26:15.100 same time
00:26:15.520 they knew
00:26:15.820 that the
00:26:16.180 water
00:26:16.460 pressure
00:26:16.880 was the
00:26:17.280 highest
00:26:17.540 it had
00:26:17.780 ever been.
00:26:19.240 And so
00:26:19.560 one theory
00:26:20.100 is it
00:26:20.580 just broke.
00:26:21.440 Yes, it
00:26:24.500 broke exactly
00:26:25.680 before the
00:26:26.500 Ukrainian
00:26:26.980 offensive.
00:26:30.700 Can we
00:26:31.600 all just
00:26:32.000 act like
00:26:32.480 we believe
00:26:32.960 that?
00:26:34.340 Ah, yeah,
00:26:35.620 it broke
00:26:36.280 immediately
00:26:37.440 before the
00:26:39.140 Ukrainian
00:26:39.640 offensive.
00:26:40.880 Well, that's
00:26:41.800 a big
00:26:42.220 coincidence,
00:26:42.740 isn't it?
00:26:44.260 Okay, yeah,
00:26:45.180 that's, sorry.
00:26:46.960 I'm not
00:26:47.680 buying the
00:26:48.240 accidental
00:26:48.820 thing.
00:26:49.420 But then
00:26:50.680 that leaves
00:26:51.100 the question
00:26:51.520 of who
00:26:51.800 did it.
00:26:53.360 And the
00:26:54.700 Hill also
00:26:55.320 thinks that
00:26:56.180 Russia is
00:26:57.900 likely to
00:26:58.640 have done
00:26:59.000 it to
00:27:00.240 delay
00:27:01.140 Ukraine,
00:27:01.880 who was
00:27:02.160 already
00:27:02.440 getting ready
00:27:03.020 in its
00:27:03.840 counter-offensive
00:27:04.980 was already
00:27:05.600 shaping up.
00:27:08.140 Do you
00:27:08.440 think that
00:27:08.840 Russia would
00:27:10.220 blow up
00:27:10.680 its own
00:27:11.100 dam,
00:27:11.800 meaning they
00:27:12.360 already
00:27:12.600 controlled
00:27:13.040 that
00:27:13.280 territory,
00:27:14.160 to get
00:27:14.800 a temporary
00:27:15.600 advantage
00:27:16.540 that doesn't
00:27:18.640 even last?
00:27:19.420 No.
00:27:23.540 That doesn't
00:27:24.320 even sound a
00:27:24.900 little bit
00:27:25.320 plausible.
00:27:26.720 And yet the
00:27:27.140 Hill is
00:27:27.500 writing this
00:27:27.960 like, yeah,
00:27:28.540 that's a
00:27:28.840 good idea.
00:27:29.680 Maybe that
00:27:30.100 happened.
00:27:32.700 All right,
00:27:33.340 here's my
00:27:33.820 theory on
00:27:34.420 the dam.
00:27:35.320 And I
00:27:35.620 don't believe
00:27:36.180 you've seen
00:27:36.760 this theory
00:27:37.380 anywhere else.
00:27:39.240 And it
00:27:39.540 goes like
00:27:40.060 this.
00:27:41.840 If you're
00:27:42.600 the Russian
00:27:43.500 military,
00:27:44.760 what do you
00:27:45.340 think would
00:27:45.840 stop the
00:27:46.620 Ukrainians from
00:27:47.600 their
00:27:47.800 counter-offensive?
00:27:49.420 What would
00:27:49.720 it take
00:27:50.060 for them
00:27:50.420 not to
00:27:51.300 attack?
00:27:53.680 Generally
00:27:54.120 speaking,
00:27:55.500 generally
00:27:55.920 speaking,
00:27:56.400 vodka,
00:27:57.180 somebody said,
00:27:58.000 generally
00:27:58.400 speaking,
00:27:59.020 what it
00:27:59.260 would take
00:27:59.620 for the
00:28:00.000 Ukrainian
00:28:00.420 counter-offensive
00:28:01.280 to not
00:28:02.020 happen is
00:28:03.340 that the
00:28:03.800 will of
00:28:04.380 the Ukrainian
00:28:04.900 fighters or
00:28:06.560 the government,
00:28:07.540 they didn't
00:28:07.860 have a strong
00:28:08.380 enough will.
00:28:10.080 They weren't
00:28:10.600 willing to
00:28:11.040 take enough
00:28:11.480 losses.
00:28:12.700 They weren't
00:28:13.040 willing to do
00:28:13.700 whatever it
00:28:14.360 took.
00:28:15.200 Because you're
00:28:15.600 not going to
00:28:15.940 win unless
00:28:16.400 you're willing to
00:28:16.920 do whatever it
00:28:17.560 takes.
00:28:17.880 What's
00:28:19.860 it do to
00:28:20.460 the morale
00:28:21.640 and thinking
00:28:22.340 of the
00:28:22.720 Russians if
00:28:24.660 the Ukrainians
00:28:27.060 blew up
00:28:27.600 their own
00:28:28.160 Kiev dam
00:28:28.860 because the
00:28:30.360 Russians owned
00:28:31.080 it?
00:28:31.960 Do you know
00:28:32.340 what that would
00:28:32.700 do to me
00:28:33.140 psychologically
00:28:33.740 if I were
00:28:34.360 a Russian?
00:28:36.080 I'd give
00:28:36.840 up.
00:28:38.120 If I saw
00:28:39.020 them blow
00:28:39.420 up their
00:28:39.760 own
00:28:40.240 freaking
00:28:40.740 critical
00:28:41.900 dam
00:28:42.360 just to
00:28:43.980 get a
00:28:44.300 small
00:28:44.660 advantage
00:28:45.140 in their
00:28:45.500 counter
00:28:45.760 offensive,
00:28:46.500 I'd just
00:28:47.100 fucking
00:28:47.420 give up.
00:28:48.520 Because it
00:28:48.880 tells me
00:28:49.260 they're not
00:28:49.580 going to
00:28:49.800 quit for
00:28:50.420 anything.
00:28:51.960 To me
00:28:52.600 that says
00:28:53.140 we're going
00:28:53.600 to do
00:28:53.800 whatever it
00:28:54.320 takes.
00:28:55.520 You
00:28:55.660 conscripts,
00:28:56.560 you better
00:28:56.840 start running.
00:28:58.320 Because
00:28:58.580 conscripts are
00:28:59.460 not going
00:28:59.860 to do
00:29:00.080 whatever it
00:29:00.540 takes.
00:29:01.460 But the
00:29:01.800 Ukrainians
00:29:02.400 just sent
00:29:02.940 a message
00:29:03.480 that is
00:29:04.320 like a
00:29:06.000 million
00:29:06.420 volts of
00:29:07.780 electricity
00:29:08.360 that just
00:29:09.620 said we
00:29:10.940 will destroy
00:29:11.720 anything
00:29:12.620 for any
00:29:14.500 advantage.
00:29:15.460 There's
00:29:15.740 nothing that's
00:29:16.580 going to
00:29:16.800 stop this
00:29:17.300 from happening.
00:29:18.300 You better
00:29:18.680 get out of
00:29:19.120 the way.
00:29:20.520 That's what
00:29:21.000 I saw.
00:29:21.900 So that's
00:29:22.300 my current
00:29:22.720 theory.
00:29:23.480 My current
00:29:23.920 theory is
00:29:24.380 there's a
00:29:24.720 psychological
00:29:25.080 operation
00:29:26.040 with maybe
00:29:27.100 a small
00:29:28.020 on-the-ground
00:29:29.100 benefit,
00:29:30.120 but psychologically
00:29:30.960 it's
00:29:31.620 devastating.
00:29:33.340 I think
00:29:33.740 that's
00:29:33.980 devastating.
00:29:35.180 Am I
00:29:35.480 wrong?
00:29:36.360 Let me
00:29:37.160 test you.
00:29:37.620 I don't
00:29:37.800 see
00:29:38.220 comments
00:29:38.680 confirming
00:29:39.200 or arguing.
00:29:40.360 Do you
00:29:40.620 think if
00:29:40.980 you were
00:29:41.180 the Russian
00:29:41.600 conscripts
00:29:42.640 and you
00:29:43.600 saw the
00:29:43.960 Ukrainians
00:29:44.560 blow up
00:29:45.040 their own
00:29:45.640 dam,
00:29:47.380 would you
00:29:47.840 run?
00:29:50.280 Because
00:29:50.720 they're not
00:29:51.060 going to
00:29:51.300 quit.
00:29:52.420 They basically
00:29:53.240 said we're
00:29:53.800 not quitting,
00:29:55.020 so if you
00:29:56.020 know, we're
00:29:56.620 both dead.
00:29:57.620 So that's
00:29:57.980 your choice.
00:29:59.020 You die,
00:29:59.680 we die,
00:30:00.200 we all die,
00:30:01.780 or you
00:30:02.280 could run
00:30:02.620 away, but
00:30:03.780 we're not
00:30:04.160 quitting.
00:30:04.680 We're going
00:30:04.980 to blow up
00:30:05.420 our own
00:30:05.820 stuff.
00:30:06.520 We don't
00:30:06.780 even care.
00:30:08.220 So that's
00:30:09.220 what it
00:30:09.480 feels like.
00:30:10.260 I'll just
00:30:10.580 put that
00:30:10.900 hypothesis
00:30:11.500 out there
00:30:11.980 because I
00:30:12.240 haven't
00:30:12.380 seen it.
00:30:13.320 But it
00:30:13.640 looks like a
00:30:14.180 psychological
00:30:14.500 operation by
00:30:15.460 the Ukrainians.
00:30:17.140 All right.
00:30:19.140 There's some
00:30:19.840 TikTok
00:30:20.180 allegations.
00:30:22.260 There's a
00:30:22.800 former employee
00:30:23.640 of ByteDance
00:30:24.320 who says
00:30:24.840 that he
00:30:25.620 personally saw,
00:30:26.680 but there are
00:30:27.060 no documents
00:30:27.720 to prove it,
00:30:28.360 but he says he
00:30:29.200 saw it with his
00:30:29.740 own eyes,
00:30:30.920 that the
00:30:31.500 Beijing-based,
00:30:32.440 that basically
00:30:34.780 China had
00:30:36.160 full access
00:30:36.820 to TikTok's
00:30:38.760 data,
00:30:39.780 and it
00:30:40.000 used some
00:30:40.440 kind of
00:30:40.760 God-mode
00:30:41.580 password,
00:30:42.640 and they
00:30:43.580 could see
00:30:43.940 where all
00:30:44.320 the pro-Hong
00:30:46.160 Kong protesters
00:30:46.960 were,
00:30:47.940 and what they
00:30:48.420 were up to,
00:30:49.220 and then they
00:30:49.740 could go round
00:30:50.320 them up.
00:30:52.060 Do you believe
00:30:52.840 that?
00:30:53.780 It's based
00:30:54.540 entirely on
00:30:55.460 somebody who
00:30:56.040 doesn't like
00:30:56.640 the Chinese
00:30:57.180 government
00:30:57.780 telling you
00:30:59.120 it happened.
00:30:59.540 And it's
00:31:02.420 two on the
00:31:03.000 nose.
00:31:04.260 Two on the
00:31:04.780 nose.
00:31:05.480 Yeah.
00:31:06.400 I'm going to
00:31:07.080 say, see,
00:31:09.100 here's the
00:31:09.380 problem.
00:31:10.400 Sometimes two
00:31:11.200 on the nose
00:31:12.020 has two
00:31:14.900 meanings.
00:31:15.720 One is two
00:31:16.580 on the nose
00:31:17.180 because somebody
00:31:18.500 made up a
00:31:19.380 fake thing,
00:31:20.360 and so that's
00:31:20.820 why it sounds
00:31:21.240 so perfect.
00:31:22.400 And the
00:31:22.780 other is,
00:31:24.100 didn't you
00:31:24.960 all expect
00:31:25.580 that China
00:31:26.040 would be
00:31:26.360 looking at
00:31:26.740 the data?
00:31:28.380 It's exactly
00:31:29.420 what you
00:31:29.900 expected to
00:31:30.660 be true.
00:31:31.780 Now, I
00:31:32.280 think two
00:31:32.760 things can
00:31:33.240 be true.
00:31:34.300 I think
00:31:34.760 that this
00:31:35.600 guy could
00:31:36.000 be lying
00:31:36.580 completely,
00:31:37.920 but it's
00:31:38.840 also true
00:31:39.400 that China
00:31:39.860 looks at
00:31:40.240 the data
00:31:40.560 if they
00:31:40.820 want to.
00:31:42.260 What do
00:31:42.600 you think
00:31:42.760 of that?
00:31:43.600 The most
00:31:44.320 likely
00:31:44.700 explanation
00:31:45.260 is that
00:31:46.720 the guy
00:31:47.080 is lying
00:31:47.680 because it
00:31:48.080 helps his
00:31:48.480 case,
00:31:49.060 or he
00:31:49.340 has some
00:31:49.640 advantage
00:31:50.080 in it,
00:31:50.860 but that
00:31:52.100 they do
00:31:52.400 have access,
00:31:53.620 and that
00:31:53.980 it's a
00:31:54.200 real thing,
00:31:54.660 he just
00:31:54.940 didn't see
00:31:55.320 it.
00:31:59.420 Here's
00:32:04.260 Rasmussen
00:32:05.160 on Democrats
00:32:06.260 and whether
00:32:06.640 they should
00:32:07.000 debate.
00:32:07.540 73% of
00:32:08.680 Democrats
00:32:09.200 think Biden
00:32:10.080 should debate
00:32:10.720 his challengers,
00:32:13.200 meaning RFK
00:32:14.240 Jr.,
00:32:14.740 primarily,
00:32:15.900 and 78%
00:32:17.020 of Republicans,
00:32:17.960 and 72%
00:32:18.960 of voters
00:32:19.300 not affiliated.
00:32:20.360 This is
00:32:20.820 overwhelming.
00:32:22.900 What was
00:32:23.520 the last,
00:32:24.220 when was
00:32:24.800 the last
00:32:25.160 topic that
00:32:26.620 over 70%
00:32:27.840 of every
00:32:28.640 demographic
00:32:29.300 agreed?
00:32:31.220 Over 70%
00:32:32.340 of every
00:32:33.380 demographic.
00:32:36.420 Every
00:32:37.060 demographic,
00:32:37.800 political
00:32:38.220 demographic.
00:32:40.520 Now,
00:32:41.280 how in the
00:32:41.760 world can
00:32:42.420 Biden
00:32:43.520 ignore the
00:32:45.660 will of
00:32:46.200 three-quarters
00:32:46.740 of the
00:32:47.080 people,
00:32:47.600 including
00:32:48.000 his own
00:32:48.440 people?
00:32:50.360 That really
00:32:51.520 says he's
00:32:53.820 done.
00:32:55.540 To me,
00:32:56.280 that says
00:32:56.720 he's done.
00:32:57.840 Because there
00:32:58.480 is no
00:32:58.900 scenario in
00:32:59.700 which you
00:32:59.980 ignore 70%
00:33:01.460 of your
00:33:01.840 own party.
00:33:04.180 Right?
00:33:04.760 I mean,
00:33:05.120 it's obvious
00:33:05.980 he can't
00:33:06.620 do it.
00:33:07.460 If he
00:33:07.800 could do
00:33:08.140 it,
00:33:08.320 he'd do
00:33:08.600 it,
00:33:09.080 I think,
00:33:09.540 at this
00:33:09.800 point.
00:33:10.080 It's obvious
00:33:10.480 he can't
00:33:10.940 do it.
00:33:13.040 So,
00:33:13.620 I'm going
00:33:13.920 to go
00:33:15.720 with my
00:33:16.480 prediction
00:33:17.720 that Biden
00:33:18.520 will drop
00:33:19.800 out before
00:33:20.940 the election.
00:33:23.000 I think
00:33:23.860 before the
00:33:24.440 primary,
00:33:24.880 but definitely
00:33:26.600 before the
00:33:27.220 election itself.
00:33:28.680 There's only a
00:33:29.340 few months
00:33:29.760 there.
00:33:30.480 So,
00:33:30.680 I'm going
00:33:30.840 to say
00:33:31.000 before the
00:33:31.460 primary.
00:33:32.720 I'll keep
00:33:33.240 my prediction
00:33:34.600 too.
00:33:34.980 He'll fall
00:33:35.940 out before
00:33:37.480 the primary
00:33:37.960 and probably
00:33:39.000 through
00:33:39.580 worsening
00:33:40.080 health because
00:33:41.580 that's the
00:33:41.900 only way he
00:33:42.340 can do
00:33:42.640 it.
00:33:44.000 He has to
00:33:44.480 claim
00:33:44.900 worsening
00:33:45.340 health so
00:33:46.660 that everybody
00:33:47.200 understands.
00:33:48.400 Because he's
00:33:49.020 going to be in
00:33:49.500 trouble for
00:33:49.960 taking it as
00:33:50.540 far as he
00:33:51.020 has.
00:33:51.400 If he
00:33:53.080 waits another
00:33:53.820 nine months
00:33:54.700 to drop
00:33:55.140 out,
00:33:55.840 he's going
00:33:56.200 to get
00:33:56.380 all kinds
00:33:56.820 of trouble
00:33:57.260 for putting
00:33:58.740 the chill
00:33:59.220 on all the
00:33:59.700 other people
00:34:00.120 who might
00:34:00.440 have been
00:34:00.620 running.
00:34:02.000 So,
00:34:02.280 he's got to
00:34:03.020 make it look
00:34:03.480 like there
00:34:03.780 was nothing
00:34:04.140 he could
00:34:04.480 do.
00:34:05.000 He was
00:34:06.180 doing his
00:34:06.560 best job,
00:34:07.420 but sometimes
00:34:08.540 nature catches
00:34:10.060 up to you.
00:34:11.200 So,
00:34:11.420 you've got to
00:34:12.200 do what you've
00:34:12.540 got to do.
00:34:13.900 So,
00:34:14.200 it's going
00:34:14.400 to be a
00:34:14.960 health-related
00:34:15.700 problem,
00:34:16.780 probably not
00:34:17.600 dementia,
00:34:18.900 because if he
00:34:19.420 says it's
00:34:19.920 dementia,
00:34:20.560 everybody is
00:34:21.740 going to
00:34:22.000 say,
00:34:22.400 yeah,
00:34:22.660 we saw
00:34:23.100 it.
00:34:24.440 You should
00:34:24.920 have done
00:34:25.200 it sooner.
00:34:26.100 It's going
00:34:26.480 to have to
00:34:26.720 be something
00:34:27.100 like a
00:34:28.900 heart murmur
00:34:29.960 or,
00:34:31.140 I don't
00:34:31.440 know,
00:34:31.860 some physical
00:34:32.880 problem.
00:34:34.660 Yeah.
00:34:38.040 All right.
00:34:39.900 Did you
00:34:40.240 know that,
00:34:41.060 for some
00:34:41.580 reason I
00:34:41.920 didn't know
00:34:42.240 this,
00:34:42.680 do you
00:34:42.880 know that
00:34:43.160 Bud Light
00:34:43.540 is still
00:34:44.580 the top-selling
00:34:45.440 brand of
00:34:46.200 beer in
00:34:46.560 America?
00:34:47.840 You probably
00:34:48.480 knew that,
00:34:48.940 right?
00:34:49.420 Because I'm
00:34:49.760 sure that
00:34:50.060 was in
00:34:50.340 stories.
00:34:51.640 That even
00:34:52.060 still,
00:34:52.660 with its,
00:34:53.220 I don't know,
00:34:54.040 20 or
00:34:54.520 whatever percent
00:34:55.140 drop in
00:34:55.640 sales,
00:34:56.240 it's still
00:34:56.700 the number
00:34:57.060 one brand
00:34:57.580 in America.
00:34:59.060 Did you
00:34:59.380 know that?
00:35:02.540 Yeah,
00:35:02.860 I'm just
00:35:08.780 looking at
00:35:09.200 the suggestions
00:35:10.360 on locals
00:35:11.240 for what
00:35:12.500 kind of
00:35:13.300 health problem
00:35:14.340 Biden might
00:35:15.660 have that
00:35:16.240 isn't
00:35:17.000 cognitive.
00:35:17.480 negative.
00:35:18.580 And somebody
00:35:19.040 suggested he
00:35:19.720 had one
00:35:20.020 of those
00:35:20.400 four-hour
00:35:21.140 erections that
00:35:21.860 doesn't go
00:35:22.280 away.
00:35:24.800 He can't
00:35:25.560 appear in
00:35:25.960 public because
00:35:26.600 his ED
00:35:27.540 meds gave
00:35:28.900 him a
00:35:29.200 permanent
00:35:29.480 erection.
00:35:30.120 He can't
00:35:30.760 stand in
00:35:31.200 public.
00:35:33.900 That would
00:35:34.440 be the
00:35:34.720 best.
00:35:35.940 That would
00:35:36.420 be simulation
00:35:37.180 perfection.
00:35:39.000 All right.
00:35:40.340 I didn't have
00:35:41.080 anything to say
00:35:41.540 about Bud
00:35:41.940 Light.
00:35:42.180 It's just
00:35:42.460 funny.
00:35:42.720 All right.
00:35:43.620 Did you
00:35:43.820 hear about
00:35:44.100 the new
00:35:44.420 head of
00:35:44.820 CNN?
00:35:46.020 So the
00:35:46.820 new head
00:35:47.160 of CNN
00:35:47.560 is temporary
00:35:48.260 and I
00:35:48.900 think there's
00:35:49.320 three people
00:35:50.080 who were
00:35:50.400 involved but
00:35:51.080 one of them
00:35:51.540 is sort of
00:35:51.940 the boss.
00:35:53.180 And the
00:35:54.400 husband of
00:35:55.760 the person
00:35:56.180 who's currently
00:35:56.800 in charge
00:35:58.440 of CNN,
00:36:00.920 her husband
00:36:01.900 was in
00:36:03.140 2021
00:36:03.760 nominated
00:36:05.320 by Biden
00:36:06.200 to be the
00:36:06.660 U.S.
00:36:07.000 ambassador to
00:36:07.660 Israel in
00:36:08.920 2021.
00:36:09.500 So his
00:36:12.620 wife, the
00:36:13.420 guy who
00:36:13.800 was nominated
00:36:14.380 to be the
00:36:14.940 ambassador to
00:36:15.620 Israel, his
00:36:17.480 wife is
00:36:17.940 running CNN.
00:36:23.300 So I
00:36:26.160 guess he's
00:36:26.800 a Democrat
00:36:27.660 insider is
00:36:28.940 what we're
00:36:29.300 saying.
00:36:30.300 He's a
00:36:30.700 Democrat
00:36:31.040 insider.
00:36:33.940 All right.
00:36:35.700 Ladies and
00:36:36.780 gentlemen,
00:36:37.140 that is the
00:36:39.900 end of my
00:36:40.280 prepared
00:36:40.620 statements.
00:36:41.860 But I'd
00:36:42.200 like to talk
00:36:42.660 about the
00:36:43.220 whistleblower
00:36:44.480 who says
00:36:45.040 the aliens
00:36:45.600 are here
00:36:46.140 as someone
00:36:49.220 who shall
00:36:50.160 remain nameless
00:36:50.980 because he
00:36:52.800 would like to
00:36:53.320 be anonymous,
00:36:54.820 I believe.
00:36:55.860 Said on
00:36:56.380 Twitter,
00:36:57.880 look at that
00:36:58.600 whistleblower
00:36:59.160 talk and
00:37:00.060 shake his
00:37:00.520 head no
00:37:01.000 when he's
00:37:01.440 telling you
00:37:01.860 things you're
00:37:02.300 supposed to
00:37:02.720 believe.
00:37:04.720 Now,
00:37:05.860 which is
00:37:06.460 very
00:37:06.680 interesting.
00:37:07.780 So I
00:37:08.180 would do
00:37:08.420 my
00:37:08.620 impression
00:37:09.180 of him
00:37:10.420 answering a
00:37:11.000 question.
00:37:11.480 This wasn't
00:37:12.060 a real
00:37:12.340 question,
00:37:13.180 but just
00:37:13.520 my
00:37:13.720 impression.
00:37:14.820 Like,
00:37:15.440 so you're
00:37:16.080 saying the
00:37:16.520 U.S.
00:37:17.640 actually has
00:37:18.560 bodies of
00:37:20.120 the dead
00:37:20.520 aliens.
00:37:21.800 Yeah,
00:37:22.060 we've had
00:37:22.620 them forever.
00:37:23.700 They've had
00:37:24.380 maybe a dozen
00:37:25.380 of them.
00:37:26.260 There's at
00:37:26.720 least a dozen
00:37:27.240 crafts that
00:37:27.900 landed.
00:37:29.020 And he
00:37:29.320 would shake
00:37:29.660 his head no
00:37:30.220 while he was
00:37:30.620 talking.
00:37:31.740 What's that
00:37:32.140 tell you?
00:37:33.680 And apparently
00:37:34.420 he used a lot
00:37:35.280 of adverbs.
00:37:37.580 I'm seeing
00:37:38.020 some people
00:37:38.580 say, I think
00:37:39.580 Joshua Lysak
00:37:40.380 says this,
00:37:41.120 if you use
00:37:41.560 too many
00:37:41.860 adverbs,
00:37:42.900 it's sort
00:37:43.460 of saying
00:37:43.920 that you're
00:37:45.640 lying.
00:37:47.480 Because people
00:37:48.200 who tell the
00:37:48.600 truth just
00:37:49.160 don't need
00:37:49.920 them.
00:37:50.800 Because they're
00:37:51.400 just describing
00:37:52.100 what they
00:37:52.460 say.
00:37:53.000 The adverbs
00:37:53.720 are telling
00:37:54.400 you that
00:37:54.740 you're trying
00:37:55.080 to sell
00:37:55.520 it.
00:37:56.860 The adverbs
00:37:57.760 are a tell
00:37:59.040 that you know
00:38:00.200 your story is
00:38:00.880 not working.
00:38:01.980 So you're
00:38:02.200 adding a few
00:38:02.720 adverbs to
00:38:03.600 give it a
00:38:04.540 little boost.
00:38:05.560 But people
00:38:06.060 just telling
00:38:06.920 the story,
00:38:08.460 just plain
00:38:09.020 out telling
00:38:09.460 the story,
00:38:10.060 they leave
00:38:10.560 out the
00:38:10.840 adverbs.
00:38:11.840 Because the
00:38:12.440 story is the
00:38:13.000 story.
00:38:13.580 You don't
00:38:13.860 need them.
00:38:15.220 So I'm
00:38:15.740 not sure
00:38:16.100 that works
00:38:18.020 every time
00:38:18.600 for detecting
00:38:19.400 a lie,
00:38:19.880 but I like
00:38:20.480 it.
00:38:22.380 So,
00:38:23.480 all right,
00:38:23.780 let me ask
00:38:24.120 you this.
00:38:24.940 If it's
00:38:25.620 fake,
00:38:27.420 and if the
00:38:27.920 whistleblower is
00:38:28.660 not telling
00:38:29.160 us the truth,
00:38:30.040 why would
00:38:30.520 he do it?
00:38:32.200 What do
00:38:32.780 you think
00:38:32.980 would be the
00:38:33.580 potential
00:38:34.060 motivation,
00:38:35.000 allegedly,
00:38:36.380 for someone
00:38:37.040 to tell
00:38:37.480 an untruth
00:38:38.280 with that
00:38:38.860 much detail?
00:38:41.120 For attention,
00:38:42.260 for money,
00:38:42.820 for sex,
00:38:43.440 to sell
00:38:43.800 a book?
00:38:45.400 All good
00:38:45.860 reasons.
00:38:46.840 All good
00:38:47.180 reasons.
00:38:47.640 Can you
00:38:47.880 think of
00:38:48.160 any other
00:38:48.520 reason?
00:38:48.780 how much
00:38:54.640 are you going
00:38:56.000 to want our
00:38:56.480 military to
00:38:57.200 be funded
00:38:57.700 if there
00:38:58.980 are space
00:38:59.520 aliens?
00:39:01.240 A little
00:39:01.860 bit more,
00:39:02.400 right?
00:39:03.260 You're like,
00:39:03.880 uh,
00:39:05.000 are you
00:39:05.420 telling me we
00:39:05.980 might be
00:39:06.340 fighting the
00:39:06.820 aliens?
00:39:08.180 We better
00:39:09.180 have some
00:39:09.520 good guns,
00:39:10.580 but apparently
00:39:11.120 we can shoot
00:39:11.760 them down or
00:39:12.400 they crash a
00:39:13.120 lot because
00:39:13.480 there are 12
00:39:13.920 alien crafts.
00:39:18.200 Now,
00:39:19.040 come on.
00:39:20.980 May I just
00:39:21.780 give you a
00:39:22.300 really on
00:39:23.040 this?
00:39:23.860 All right,
00:39:24.080 let's do a
00:39:24.580 really test on
00:39:25.460 this.
00:39:26.460 The U.S.
00:39:27.300 government
00:39:27.640 has 12
00:39:29.300 alien crafts
00:39:30.460 that they've
00:39:31.620 somehow obtained
00:39:33.100 without any
00:39:33.980 citizens getting
00:39:35.000 any video of
00:39:35.820 it happening.
00:39:37.960 Some of them
00:39:38.760 have dead
00:39:39.200 aliens in it.
00:39:39.980 nobody's
00:39:41.560 talked about
00:39:42.160 it until
00:39:42.560 this guy.
00:39:44.920 Dead
00:39:45.400 aliens.
00:39:47.860 And there's
00:39:51.200 nobody that
00:39:51.800 he talked
00:39:52.220 to that
00:39:53.060 allegedly told
00:39:54.120 him about
00:39:54.540 this information
00:39:55.300 who would be
00:39:56.260 willing to
00:39:56.760 say it in
00:39:58.240 writing or
00:39:59.140 to give an
00:40:00.340 interview.
00:40:01.500 There's not
00:40:02.180 anybody who
00:40:02.760 would be
00:40:02.960 willing to
00:40:03.460 give an
00:40:03.740 interview,
00:40:04.320 let's say,
00:40:04.700 with their
00:40:05.020 name disguised,
00:40:06.860 to say,
00:40:07.420 yes, I'm
00:40:07.920 the one who
00:40:08.340 told them
00:40:08.720 about these
00:40:09.220 alien crafts
00:40:09.960 and I saw
00:40:11.200 them personally.
00:40:12.340 Nobody.
00:40:12.920 Really?
00:40:13.720 Really, you
00:40:14.180 can't find
00:40:14.500 anybody else.
00:40:15.280 Just this
00:40:15.620 one guy.
00:40:16.640 Just this
00:40:17.080 one guy.
00:40:18.400 And have
00:40:18.740 you noticed
00:40:19.080 that the
00:40:19.420 government
00:40:19.760 hasn't tried
00:40:20.360 to kill
00:40:20.720 him yet?
00:40:22.860 Let me
00:40:23.620 say this
00:40:24.060 with some
00:40:24.460 confidence.
00:40:25.920 If we
00:40:26.580 really had
00:40:27.160 alien crafts
00:40:27.960 and he
00:40:28.420 was really
00:40:28.880 giving away
00:40:29.460 the biggest
00:40:29.960 secrets the
00:40:31.020 United States
00:40:31.760 has ever
00:40:32.460 had,
00:40:33.600 they would
00:40:34.220 have killed
00:40:34.560 him.
00:40:35.760 He'd be
00:40:36.260 dead already.
00:40:38.240 They're not
00:40:38.680 going to let
00:40:38.960 this guy go
00:40:39.460 on every
00:40:39.840 TV show
00:40:40.680 telling all
00:40:42.040 the secrets
00:40:42.560 of the
00:40:42.840 United States.
00:40:44.220 That's not
00:40:44.640 going to
00:40:44.860 happen.
00:40:45.820 They would
00:40:46.100 stop that
00:40:46.600 shit right
00:40:47.080 away.
00:40:47.900 That's how
00:40:48.300 you know
00:40:48.660 it's true
00:40:49.100 because nobody's
00:40:50.080 stopping him
00:40:50.540 from talking.
00:40:51.620 Has anybody
00:40:52.180 sued him?
00:40:53.020 Has the
00:40:53.560 government
00:40:53.840 threatened him?
00:40:55.240 Have they
00:40:55.540 brought him
00:40:55.920 in to say,
00:40:56.700 oh, you
00:40:57.020 better stop
00:40:57.580 it?
00:40:58.440 They have
00:40:58.820 not.
00:41:00.180 I know
00:41:00.720 Bob Lazar
00:41:01.160 had a similar
00:41:01.840 story, but
00:41:02.500 this sounds
00:41:03.220 like just
00:41:03.580 somebody copying
00:41:04.240 Bob Lazar,
00:41:05.740 actually.
00:41:06.100 it's a
00:41:07.660 Bob Lazar
00:41:08.280 copycat, it
00:41:09.140 looks like.
00:41:11.960 So,
00:41:13.200 Bob Lazar
00:41:14.740 found element
00:41:15.580 151 before
00:41:16.700 science found
00:41:17.540 it.
00:41:19.200 Really?
00:41:22.320 Really, did
00:41:23.240 he?
00:41:24.200 Really?
00:41:26.820 I don't know
00:41:27.580 what that means,
00:41:28.320 but I don't
00:41:28.600 think it's
00:41:28.900 true.
00:41:29.060 All right.
00:41:33.420 Yeah, so
00:41:34.920 one possibility
00:41:36.220 is that he's
00:41:38.220 just a rogue
00:41:40.040 attention seeker.
00:41:42.660 Don't know.
00:41:43.840 The other
00:41:44.380 possibility is
00:41:45.240 that he's
00:41:45.580 working for
00:41:46.140 our government
00:41:46.720 and he wants
00:41:48.940 you to hear
00:41:49.460 this.
00:41:50.440 Why would
00:41:50.780 our government
00:41:51.320 want you to
00:41:52.160 hear that we
00:41:52.680 have aliens
00:41:53.260 if they
00:41:54.020 didn't?
00:41:54.900 Why would
00:41:55.240 they want
00:41:55.560 you to hear
00:41:56.000 that?
00:41:58.240 All right,
00:41:58.580 well, here's
00:41:59.140 one reason.
00:42:01.180 They might
00:42:01.720 have to get
00:42:02.460 you used
00:42:03.600 to it.
00:42:06.020 They might
00:42:06.720 have to get
00:42:07.260 you used
00:42:07.740 to it.
00:42:09.340 The other
00:42:10.000 possibility is
00:42:10.880 that Russia
00:42:11.360 and China
00:42:11.940 don't want
00:42:13.520 to have to
00:42:13.880 go to war
00:42:14.300 with us
00:42:14.700 if we have
00:42:15.200 alien technology.
00:42:17.620 So we
00:42:18.260 might be
00:42:18.640 trying to
00:42:19.040 scare China
00:42:19.780 and Russia
00:42:20.220 because you
00:42:20.880 know who
00:42:21.200 believes any
00:42:22.040 bullshit?
00:42:23.460 Chinese
00:42:23.900 and Russia
00:42:24.660 people.
00:42:25.680 They'll
00:42:26.140 believe any
00:42:26.560 bullshit,
00:42:27.260 just like us.
00:42:28.200 I mean,
00:42:28.720 they're not
00:42:28.980 that different.
00:42:30.040 But if you
00:42:30.980 can get enough
00:42:31.580 Russians in
00:42:32.360 the Russian
00:42:33.040 military to
00:42:34.300 believe that
00:42:34.780 we have some
00:42:35.280 UFOs and
00:42:36.500 we're back
00:42:39.160 engineering their
00:42:39.960 technology so
00:42:40.780 that we'll
00:42:41.100 have it,
00:42:42.400 or you can
00:42:42.940 convince the
00:42:44.720 Chinese,
00:42:46.620 that actually
00:42:47.780 might change
00:42:48.480 their plans.
00:42:50.500 So just
00:42:50.920 when China
00:42:51.480 is maybe
00:42:52.960 eagerly looking
00:42:53.880 at Taiwan,
00:42:55.180 suddenly there's
00:42:56.000 a story about
00:42:56.640 how the
00:42:56.920 United States
00:42:57.560 has secret
00:42:58.120 alien weapons.
00:43:00.320 Wouldn't
00:43:00.700 those secret
00:43:01.340 alien weapons
00:43:02.140 come in
00:43:02.540 handy if
00:43:03.980 we got into
00:43:04.500 a war with
00:43:04.940 China over
00:43:05.440 Taiwan?
00:43:06.000 They'd be
00:43:06.260 really handy,
00:43:06.860 wouldn't they?
00:43:07.800 And what
00:43:08.220 if Russia
00:43:09.340 decided to
00:43:10.020 use some
00:43:10.480 nukes in
00:43:11.300 Ukraine?
00:43:12.560 Which,
00:43:13.440 you know,
00:43:13.720 if they're
00:43:14.360 losing,
00:43:15.140 maybe they
00:43:15.520 would.
00:43:17.640 Huh,
00:43:18.260 would you
00:43:18.800 use nukes
00:43:19.540 against a
00:43:19.980 country who
00:43:20.420 had alien
00:43:21.300 UFO technology?
00:43:23.480 Well,
00:43:24.140 at your
00:43:24.500 peril.
00:43:26.120 I don't
00:43:26.380 know,
00:43:26.760 I think
00:43:27.040 they're just
00:43:27.440 throwing it
00:43:28.020 in there to
00:43:28.700 sow some
00:43:29.920 doubt with
00:43:31.200 our potential
00:43:31.760 competitors.
00:43:33.200 To me,
00:43:33.900 it looks more
00:43:34.740 likely a
00:43:35.600 government
00:43:36.020 operation than
00:43:37.620 a lone
00:43:38.260 person making
00:43:39.020 an allegation.
00:43:40.960 What do you
00:43:41.540 think?
00:43:42.460 Does he look
00:43:43.040 like he's
00:43:43.440 working alone
00:43:44.080 to you?
00:43:45.880 Or does it
00:43:46.420 look like it's
00:43:46.940 part of a
00:43:47.320 disinformation
00:43:47.820 plan?
00:43:50.340 Too dumb
00:43:51.060 for an
00:43:51.380 op?
00:43:52.920 Is it?
00:43:55.360 I don't
00:43:55.900 know.
00:43:57.340 It may be
00:43:58.120 so dumb
00:43:58.700 and smart.
00:44:01.540 Because they
00:44:02.220 know people
00:44:02.660 are going to
00:44:03.040 believe it,
00:44:03.600 right?
00:44:05.600 Clearly.
00:44:06.660 Now,
00:44:07.880 here's the
00:44:08.660 worst,
00:44:10.320 meaning most
00:44:11.280 disturbing,
00:44:12.320 hypothesis.
00:44:15.660 Here's the
00:44:16.200 most disturbing
00:44:17.100 hypothesis of
00:44:18.180 what this
00:44:18.560 could be
00:44:18.880 about.
00:44:19.260 You ready?
00:44:20.140 Nothing will
00:44:20.720 disturb you
00:44:21.360 more than
00:44:21.700 this.
00:44:23.160 It's a
00:44:23.760 test.
00:44:25.420 They're
00:44:25.860 testing what
00:44:26.440 they can get
00:44:26.920 away with.
00:44:28.040 If they can
00:44:28.820 make the
00:44:29.220 public believe
00:44:29.800 they have
00:44:30.120 12 UFOs
00:44:31.080 with dead
00:44:31.420 aliens in
00:44:31.940 them,
00:44:33.360 they can
00:44:34.080 make you
00:44:34.560 believe
00:44:35.100 anything.
00:44:38.440 And they
00:44:39.020 might think
00:44:39.560 they're just
00:44:40.560 testing.
00:44:41.620 Let's see if
00:44:42.280 we can get
00:44:42.640 away with
00:44:42.960 this.
00:44:43.580 Because if
00:44:43.980 we get
00:44:44.260 away with
00:44:44.620 this,
00:44:44.980 we can
00:44:45.400 get away
00:44:45.860 with
00:44:46.200 anything.
00:44:48.660 And then
00:44:49.080 maybe the
00:44:49.560 anything is
00:44:50.180 yet to
00:44:50.480 come.
00:44:53.600 Phamas says
00:44:54.300 you are
00:44:54.640 out of
00:44:54.980 touch on
00:44:55.420 this one.
00:44:56.460 Are you
00:44:56.820 in touch?
00:44:57.740 Are you
00:44:58.920 in contact
00:44:59.840 with the
00:45:00.240 aliens?
00:45:01.180 What would
00:45:01.540 it mean to
00:45:01.940 be in
00:45:02.420 touch in
00:45:03.140 this concept?
00:45:04.540 Do you
00:45:04.880 think I
00:45:05.200 haven't looked
00:45:05.680 at the
00:45:06.220 debunking and
00:45:07.560 also the
00:45:08.000 claims on
00:45:08.720 YouTube?
00:45:10.020 Do you
00:45:10.280 think I
00:45:10.560 haven't looked
00:45:11.200 into every
00:45:11.820 UFO thing
00:45:13.100 that there
00:45:13.440 ever was?
00:45:14.140 Because they're
00:45:14.520 all interesting?
00:45:15.820 What do you
00:45:16.380 think I'm
00:45:16.720 out of touch
00:45:17.440 with that
00:45:18.220 you're in
00:45:18.720 touch with?
00:45:19.460 How are
00:45:19.880 you plugged
00:45:20.400 into this
00:45:20.980 UFO situation?
00:45:23.020 Tell me
00:45:23.420 more about
00:45:23.920 your connection
00:45:24.580 to the
00:45:24.980 UFO world
00:45:25.980 and how
00:45:26.800 I could
00:45:27.720 get one.
00:45:32.980 All right.
00:45:34.680 I know
00:45:35.420 you've seen
00:45:36.020 the aliens
00:45:36.540 yourself.
00:45:39.720 Read a
00:45:40.340 good book.
00:45:41.680 See,
00:45:41.980 that was my
00:45:42.400 problem.
00:45:42.880 I haven't
00:45:43.260 read enough
00:45:43.780 books.
00:45:44.320 on YouTube
00:45:47.000 they're
00:45:47.260 telling me
00:45:47.700 if I'd
00:45:48.500 read some
00:45:48.960 books,
00:45:49.840 boy would
00:45:50.800 I be in
00:45:51.260 better shape
00:45:51.800 now.
00:45:52.420 Because you
00:45:52.820 know what
00:45:53.080 books are?
00:45:54.460 Books are
00:45:55.040 always accurate.
00:45:56.940 Tough on
00:45:57.340 them.
00:45:58.380 A lot of
00:45:58.740 accuracy in
00:45:59.380 those books.
00:46:03.540 All right.
00:46:05.900 Would you
00:46:06.500 have sex
00:46:07.040 with a
00:46:07.420 sexy alien?
00:46:10.260 Are you
00:46:10.880 talking Star
00:46:12.060 Trek quality
00:46:13.060 alien or
00:46:13.880 Star Wars?
00:46:15.920 Star Trek
00:46:16.880 alien?
00:46:17.420 Yes.
00:46:18.640 Star Wars
00:46:19.520 alien?
00:46:21.340 I'd have to
00:46:22.000 see this
00:46:22.400 now situation.
00:46:23.580 Make my
00:46:24.240 judgment
00:46:24.560 individually.
00:46:26.260 But
00:46:26.500 possibly.
00:46:28.180 Possibly.
00:46:30.220 Since I
00:46:31.000 don't have
00:46:31.320 any birthday
00:46:31.820 sex lined
00:46:32.540 up today
00:46:34.300 probably,
00:46:34.880 I'd probably
00:46:35.860 smash an
00:46:36.360 alien.
00:46:36.820 Yeah.
00:46:40.360 All right.
00:46:43.880 you think
00:46:47.420 they're
00:46:47.620 humans?
00:46:49.420 All right.
00:46:50.600 Ladies and
00:46:51.300 gentlemen,
00:46:51.680 that is all
00:46:52.060 I have to
00:46:52.320 talk about.
00:46:57.520 Two hanging
00:46:58.320 in trunk.
00:46:58.760 Yeah,
00:46:59.020 okay.
00:47:01.420 Oh,
00:47:01.900 yeah.
00:47:02.340 Are the
00:47:02.800 aliens
00:47:03.200 illegal?
00:47:04.520 They might
00:47:05.020 be illegal
00:47:05.540 aliens.
00:47:06.000 All right,
00:47:07.860 here's a
00:47:08.160 question for
00:47:08.720 you.
00:47:08.900 Here's a
00:47:10.940 question that
00:47:11.400 nobody's ever
00:47:11.960 asked.
00:47:13.020 Would it be
00:47:13.420 legal to
00:47:14.140 murder,
00:47:15.200 well,
00:47:15.460 it wouldn't
00:47:15.640 be murder,
00:47:16.560 would it be
00:47:17.040 legal to
00:47:17.540 kill an
00:47:18.020 alien in
00:47:18.740 your backyard?
00:47:19.400 If a real
00:47:22.320 alien landed,
00:47:23.520 could you
00:47:23.840 take your
00:47:24.220 gun out
00:47:24.600 and just
00:47:24.860 kill it?
00:47:26.960 I believe
00:47:27.520 the answer
00:47:27.880 is yes,
00:47:28.700 right?
00:47:29.440 Even if
00:47:29.980 you're not
00:47:30.340 threatened.
00:47:32.420 Because I'm
00:47:32.980 pretty sure
00:47:33.340 there's no
00:47:33.780 law that
00:47:35.740 covers aliens.
00:47:37.920 I don't
00:47:38.400 think it
00:47:38.680 has to be
00:47:39.000 in self-defense,
00:47:39.780 does it?
00:47:40.560 If you
00:47:40.940 just saw
00:47:41.280 one,
00:47:41.480 you could
00:47:41.700 just kill
00:47:42.100 them because
00:47:42.420 you wanted
00:47:42.680 a trophy.
00:47:46.720 Well,
00:47:47.180 I think
00:47:47.520 we should,
00:47:48.020 you know
00:47:49.840 what would
00:47:50.160 be a good
00:47:50.820 signal that
00:47:52.180 aliens are
00:47:52.960 really here?
00:47:55.060 Would be
00:47:55.780 if we
00:47:56.120 started
00:47:56.540 considering
00:47:57.220 legislation
00:47:58.100 about them.
00:48:00.340 That would
00:48:01.020 be a good
00:48:01.360 sign.
00:48:01.980 Because you
00:48:02.320 imagine that
00:48:02.900 maybe somebody
00:48:03.480 in Congress
00:48:04.020 would be
00:48:04.420 aware of
00:48:05.300 the secrets.
00:48:07.240 Suppose
00:48:07.720 they started
00:48:08.380 introducing
00:48:08.960 legislation
00:48:09.680 that if
00:48:11.180 aliens
00:48:11.680 arrive,
00:48:13.080 there are
00:48:13.800 limits to
00:48:14.320 how you
00:48:14.600 can treat
00:48:15.020 them.
00:48:17.080 If you
00:48:17.720 see some
00:48:18.220 legislation,
00:48:19.760 it means
00:48:20.140 the government
00:48:20.640 actually
00:48:21.180 believes
00:48:21.620 there's
00:48:21.900 aliens.
00:48:23.080 If you
00:48:23.700 don't see
00:48:24.120 any
00:48:24.340 legislation,
00:48:25.460 I don't
00:48:25.760 think they
00:48:26.140 believe there
00:48:27.360 is any
00:48:27.660 aliens.
00:48:31.080 You
00:48:31.600 couldn't
00:48:31.920 kill it
00:48:32.280 if it
00:48:32.520 speaks
00:48:32.780 English
00:48:33.160 to you.
00:48:34.540 Yeah.
00:48:34.700 You
00:48:41.780 enjoy my
00:48:42.340 bad
00:48:42.640 takes?
00:48:43.660 I think
00:48:44.160 my
00:48:44.360 takes
00:48:44.640 are the
00:48:44.940 best
00:48:45.220 takes
00:48:45.560 ever.
00:48:46.520 Oh,
00:48:46.680 is it
00:48:46.880 Kanye's
00:48:47.380 birthday
00:48:47.640 today?
00:48:48.880 I think
00:48:49.180 Ye has
00:48:49.600 the same
00:48:49.920 birthday,
00:48:50.320 right?
00:48:52.620 All
00:48:53.140 right.
00:48:54.580 Well,
00:48:56.100 it is
00:48:57.480 my birthday
00:48:58.020 and I
00:48:59.080 guess I'll
00:48:59.400 have to
00:49:00.040 figure out
00:49:02.100 exactly what
00:49:03.000 to do
00:49:03.240 about it.
00:49:08.580 I'm the
00:49:09.160 Jim
00:49:09.420 Kramer of
00:49:10.000 life
00:49:10.220 predictions.
00:49:12.080 How many
00:49:13.080 of you
00:49:13.280 think that
00:49:13.680 I make
00:49:13.960 bad
00:49:14.240 predictions?
00:49:16.340 I know
00:49:16.940 what locals
00:49:17.420 will say,
00:49:18.320 but let me
00:49:18.680 ask you on
00:49:19.260 YouTube.
00:49:20.320 How many
00:49:20.760 of you
00:49:21.120 have watched
00:49:21.680 my predictions
00:49:22.260 for a number
00:49:22.780 of years
00:49:23.220 and believe
00:49:24.060 I'm bad
00:49:24.680 at predicting?
00:49:26.380 Does anybody
00:49:26.980 think I'm
00:49:27.380 bad at
00:49:27.800 predicting?
00:49:28.100 You got
00:49:31.560 real quiet
00:49:32.060 there,
00:49:32.340 didn't
00:49:32.500 you?
00:49:36.340 The only
00:49:37.040 person who
00:49:37.500 says yes
00:49:38.000 can't spell
00:49:38.720 prediction,
00:49:39.440 so that's
00:49:39.780 a good
00:49:40.000 sign.
00:49:40.980 Predition.
00:49:46.320 I'm like
00:49:46.760 the opposite
00:49:47.260 of Kramer.
00:49:48.000 That's
00:49:48.260 right.
00:49:51.780 Yep,
00:49:52.360 25%
00:49:53.180 think I'm
00:49:53.840 bad at
00:49:54.220 it.
00:49:54.420 And you're
00:49:58.180 going to
00:49:58.240 have to
00:49:58.560 explain why
00:49:59.380 these other
00:49:59.800 people think
00:50:00.260 I'm good
00:50:00.620 at it.
00:50:02.140 All right,
00:50:02.680 YouTube,
00:50:03.260 thanks for
00:50:03.640 joining.
00:50:04.540 I will
00:50:04.860 talk to
00:50:05.260 you tomorrow.