Episode 2147 Scott Adams： Durham & Schiff, Elon & Zuck, Hotep and RFK Jr., Woke Disney, Botox & Me
Episode Stats
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Summary
In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, Scott talks about Marjorie Taylor Greene, Corey DeAngelis, and Disney s new chief diversity officer, Randy Weingarten. Plus, a story about a woman who can call her coworker a bitch on the floor of Congress.
Transcript
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It's too dark in here. I appear to be underlit. Watch me fix that in real time like I never forgot
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it in the first place. Whoa, there we go. Oh, looking good. All right, welcome to the best
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place in the world, the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott
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Adams and it's the best thing that's ever happened. If you want it to be better, all you need is a
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cup or a mug or a glass of tank or chelsea, sign a canteen, jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind,
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fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
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It's the dopamine to the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous
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Ah. I had to do that like extra fast with extra energy because I'm noticing on Twitter today
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that people are saying they're using my live stream to help them get to sleep. So cruel. Cruel.
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Cruel. It's true. But it's cruel. It's cruel. All right. I keep finding reasons to like Marjorie
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Taylor Greene. And it's not so much about what policy preferences she has because I don't really
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know. I mean, not in any detail. But I just love her whole vibe. So apparently yesterday she
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got in the face of Lauren Boebert, who is on her side, you'd think, over Boebert allegedly
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not communicating with her or trying to steal her legislation idea or something. And allegedly
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Marjorie Taylor Greene called her a little bitch on the floor of Congress. Not publicly, but I think
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people overheard it. And I thought to myself, stop making me love her. Stop it. I read a story like
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that and I'm like, oh, I guess I'll pay more attention. I kind of like somebody who can call
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their coworker a bitch on the floor of Congress. I don't know. I just like that.
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We have reached peak absurdity. That will be the theme of today's live stream. Peak absurdity.
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Have I ever told you we've reached peak absurdity before? Yeah, about five times a year. And every
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time I think we've reached it, we're not even close. But let's see if this feels like a peak
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to you. Randy Weingarten, who's head of the biggest teachers union, has just been appointed to the
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council to advise the Department of Homeland Security. What? It sounds like it's not real, doesn't it?
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It doesn't even sound real. So the good test of absurdity is if you hear it and you're like,
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really? That doesn't even sound like a real thing that happened in the real world. But in the real
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world, the actual, literal, real world, Corey DeAngelis was appointed to advise the Department
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of Homeland Security. About what? I don't know. I got questions. Now, you know she famously also
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visited Ukraine several times. What is going on? Is Randy Weingarten being prepped to be our next
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next Hillary Clinton and she can run for president? I mean, in the bubble that I live in, she's the most
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ridiculous character in America. And they just put her on Department of Homeland Security. Does that feel
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like a, is that a diversity hire? Do they not have enough women working on the Department of Homeland
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Homeland Security or something? They're, got to find a woman. Get Randy. She'll do it. She's been to
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Ukraine. All right. Disney apparently is now losing its chief diversity officer, according to the post
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millennium. I was reading that today. And they're losing their chief diversity officer because, well,
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two things that happened weren't going well. One is, uh, uh, uh, they made the little mermaid, but they
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race swapped, which, uh, played well in America, but apparently China's not so happy about it.
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So it's going to cause some problems in the Chinese market, they say. Those racists. Um,
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and it says the, the film is likely to be Disney's worst performing Chinese release this year. Uh,
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wow. Um, and then data, Disney's latest release called Elemental, which I never heard of. Have
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you heard of Elemental? Apparently it's a movie. I don't know how I, I don't know how there could be a
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major Disney movie. I never heard of the name of it. So that's not good. Uh, and it's on track to be
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one of the lowest premiers of the company since the late 1990s. All right. So, uh, yeah, the chief
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of diversity, Latondra Newton is out. Now, do you think that, do you think that any lessons are being
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learned or any, any corrections are being made because of any of this? Do you think? No, I don't
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think so either. Uh, I don't think anything was learned and I don't think anything, anything was
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adjusted. I think they will just, uh, replace Latondra with another chief of diversity and just
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keep doing what they're doing and, uh, hitting new lows every day. All right. Uh, hmm. So I saw a tweet
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by, uh, Kat Tenbarge who said, uh, on a tweet, why would anyone care about truth and credibility
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when you can live in whatever reality you want? If you want the news to fit your predetermined biases,
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it will in fact, it will. In fact, you'll get the news that does so without asking the algorithms,
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algorithms will serve you what you want before you want it. And I thought, didn't you imagine that
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the internet would be when we could have better knowledge? I kind of, I guess I was an idiot and
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I thought, Oh, all of this volumes of good knowledge at our fingertips, uh, we'll be so smart and well
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informed then. But I underestimated the weaselness of the human beings to create more fake news than real
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news and to find business models that pay you for lying. And suddenly the internet is the worst thing
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in the world because we think it's good information, but it's just creating little bubbles.
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So I live in my little bubble where everything I want to be true is true. And you get to live in
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your little bubble where your stuff is true. And as long as your bubble and my bubble don't
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bump, we can both have different realities and live our entire lives that way. Perfectly happily
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or not. All right. I am loving this conversation about whether, um, professor, Dr. Peter Hotez should
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have a debate with some mere gaslighter such as RFK Jr. That gaslighter. That's what the good doctor
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says. He says, he says, scientists shouldn't debate gaslighters. Scientists shouldn't debate
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gaslighters. Does anybody see any problem with that philosophy or that rule? The science shouldn't
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debate gaslighters. Hmm. And I'm just going to point out one potential problem with that theory.
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I don't know if it's occurred to anybody else. Maybe I'm the only one who ever thought
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of it. Who gets to decide who the gaslighter is? Isn't that a, just a smallish problem with
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the, with the theory that everybody thinks the other person is the gaslighter? If I asked
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RFK Jr., who is the gaslighter? Is it himself or is it Dr. Peter Hotez? What do you think RFK Jr.
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would say? Oh, you got me. You got me. I am a gaslighter. Uh, you know, nobody ever asked me
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before, but I, you know, honestly, I'm just a gaslighter. Do you think he'd say that? Or do you
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think he would say, um, maybe the person who said all these things about the pandemic that turned out
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not to be exactly right? Maybe they're the gaslighter. Maybe. Do you think there would be
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any disagreement about who the gaslighter is? That's right. The man of science believes that
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the public can tell who the gaslighter is. Does he really? Really? I mean, really? Really?
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Really? This is an actual opinion. How many of you think this is an actual, legitimate opinion?
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That, that this man of science really believes this would be a good standard? That if you're
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the scientist and you accuse the other person of being wrong, then you don't need to, uh,
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you don't need to debate them. Because you think they're wrong. Does he really think that's
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the best way to go? Because it doesn't feel like it. Because that feels absurd to me.
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It feels just absurd. But I would like to, uh, recommend a meet in the middle place. Okay?
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Um, one thing that's useless. All right, let me tell you what's useless. Useless to have one person on
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a show for an hour talking about what they think is true. Useless. Useless. Because if there's not
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somebody there with the other point of view, you're just misled. If you had two people debating,
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uh, and you have a short time period, like it's just going to be a 10-minute debate, that's terrible.
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Because the person who's the most wrong will just run out the time with bullshit. Right? You've seen
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it, like, a million times. The one who's the most wrong will just use up all the time, so you can't
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tell they're wrong, and then go on to the next bullshit. So there's lots of things that don't
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work. Here's another thing that doesn't work. Um, RFK Jr. has a whole book filled with details and
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citing studies and his arguments. Dr. Hotez apparently has a book of his own, which questions RFK's,
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you know, some of RFK's vaccine beliefs about autism. Now, how about that? You could read their
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two books and make up your own mind. Is that good? No, it's useless. Completely useless. Most people
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are not going to read one book. Very few people are going to read both books. And if you read both
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books, would you be qualified to know which science was the good one? No, you wouldn't. It would be just
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like watching two separate podcasts in which they just get to say their thing without being
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challenged. So comparing their books has, you know, limited value. It's just too hard to get people to
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do that stuff, and if they did, they wouldn't know what they're looking at. Having one person on is
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terrible, because it's only one side. Here's what I would suggest. I would suggest that the three of
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them decide where their points of disagreement are. Pick the top three, just randomly. It could
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be, you know, three to five or something, but pick three, and say, here's my claim, and here are the
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studies I'm looking at that I depend on, and then furthermore, here are the studies that are in the
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same domain, but I believe are flawed, and here's why. And then see both of them do that. Here are the
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studies that I'm relying on. I think these are accurate, and here's why. Here are the studies
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I don't believe, and here are the flaws with those studies. Now, somebody on Twitter said to me,
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Scott, Scott, Scott, do you really think the public can look at scientific studies and, you know, tell
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what the good ones are? I mean, really? You think we can do that? To which I say, yes. Yes. Because it's
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subjective. It's not a matter of opinion. You could give us a little help, and I'm going to do it right
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now. Here's a little help if you don't know how to look at scientific studies. If one side has a
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massive, randomized, controlled trial, and you know that the people running the trial are not receiving
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their money from any, you know, interested parties, and you compare that to a 30-person observational
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study funded by a big pharma company, could you compare those? You know, you, you, the ignorant
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public, do you think you could tell which was the good study? Yes, you could. Yes, you could. Now,
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they might need to tell you in advance, here's our checklist. And by the way, this is what I like
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to see. I'd like somebody to produce a, just a really short one, one pager that literally ranks
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the quality of studies by those variables. So at the very top would be not funded by somebody sketchy,
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massive, lots of people involved, randomized, controlled trial. So that would be your gold standard.
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Coming down one level from that, well, maybe lots of levels. Well, actually, I would put it at the lowest
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end, anything that was funded by somebody sketchy. I would say sketchy funding just puts you at the bottom.
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It doesn't matter what you do. It just puts you at the bottom. Everybody who knows anything about anything
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should know that an observational study, where you look at things after the fact, is nowhere near as good
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as predicting what will happen and setting up a study to isolate that in advance. You know,
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randomized, controlled trial. There's no way those are similar. How hard would it be for the public to
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learn that a randomized, controlled trial with a massive group funded by people who are not sketchy
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is the best kind of science? Would that be hard to teach people? Not hard at all. How hard would it be
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to say there's this thing called a, what do you call it, meta-analysis, a meta-analysis, where they take
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the various studies and they say, well, all these studies are imperfect, but they're imperfect in different
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ways. So if you look at them all and they point in one direction, that means something. Well, how hard would it
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teach the public that that's a lie? It's all bullshit. I just did. If somebody says they have
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a meta-study, just turn it off. Meta-study is not science. It's opinion. It's that easy. I just taught
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you. I just taught you everything you needed to know. If it says meta-analysis, just ignore it.
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That's not science. Do you know why it's not science? Because the person who does the meta-analysis
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decides what's in the study and what isn't it, based on their opinion. Basically, it's just a way
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to launder an opinion. All right. Was any of this hard to learn? I just taught you 90% of what you
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need? All right. How about this? There's a study that's been peer-reviewed. That's all you know.
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It's been peer-reviewed. And the peer-reviewed passed. So what odds do you put on the quality
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of the study? What are the odds the study is valid? A little less than 50%. Less than 50%.
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There, look, I just taught you something. Was that hard to learn? If it's a peer-reviewed study,
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historically, about half of them turn out not to be right. Was that complicated? No. None of this
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is complicated. You just need somebody who can explain stuff to just lay it out there
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simply. Observing is not as good as a randomized controlled trial. There. You're done. You just
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learned it. Well, what else is there to say? That's the whole thing. That's the whole lesson.
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So you don't think that if Dr. Hotez and RFK Jr. put out their lists of these are the studies I trust
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and why. These are the studies I don't trust and why. You don't think you could look at those two
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lists and feel like you learned something? I feel like I could. Now, here's the problem. I know
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exactly what will happen when I recommend it, because it already happened. Somebody will say,
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it's already done. It's called RFK's book. And it's already done. It's called Dr. Hotez's book.
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So just look at the books. No. I just said, I can't look at the books. I wouldn't know what I was
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looking at, really. It needs to be one page or the public isn't going to pay attention.
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So here's the interesting thing. In my opinion, there's a very easy way to find out who's looking
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at the more solid science. Just put it on one page. I believe this stuff. I don't believe this
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list. Boom. And here's why. Now, I can't tell if I'm making a good point because you're not
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disagreeing with me. Does anybody? Tell me if you agree or disagree. Do you agree that we could avoid
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the gaslighting, you could avoid the whole gaslighting problem by just show us the studies. Because
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correct me if I'm wrong, but neither RFK Jr. nor Dr. Hotez are basing their opinion on
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horoscopes. Are they? I believe both of them are looking at science, but they have a different
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opinion of which science is valid. And what makes science valid is well understood. And they could
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tell us, oh, here's one that's not a randomized controlled trial. Do you understand that concept?
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Yes, I do. Here's one that's a small observational study. Do you understand that those are not as
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credible? Yes, I do. Do you understand that if it's a peer-reviewed paper, there's less than 50%
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chance it's real? Do you understand that? Yes. Yes, I do. I'm almost done. That's almost everything you
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would need to know. That's almost everything you need to know. Yeah, I think, Linda, you're right.
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When you're quiet, you're digesting. All right. Now, just because there is a solution doesn't mean
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that it will be solved because humans, human beings. Can you believe that Democrats are tweeting
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and talking about the fact that debating is bad? That debating what is true is a bad idea.
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So now we have the head of the Democrats, Joe Biden, who says, debate? I'm not even going to answer
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questions in public. And then their most important scientific stuff, are the Democrats willing to
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debate climate change? Do you think they're going to put a climate change expert on CNN and Michael
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Schellenberger or Bjorn Lomborg or somebody who's going to be there to give a counterpoint? Do you
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think that's going to happen? No. But do you think that the Republicans would like it? If the Republicans
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could have their dream world, would they want a debate with a good skeptic and a good scientist who
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believes it all? Of course they would. Yes, Republicans would absolutely want Biden to debate. They would
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absolutely want to see a debate on climate change with two different people. They would absolutely
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like to see a debate on all the vaccination stuff. Who is it who doesn't want the debate on any of those
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things? The Democrats. Now, some of you have said, well, if they don't want to debate, that's all you need to
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know. Tom. Tom, you worthless piece of shit. That's all the time I have for you, Tom.
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I feel like some people go on to social media and leave comments for no purpose other than for us to
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know what pieces of shit they are. Have you noticed that? I'm going to make this comment. People really
00:21:41.940
know what a piece of shit I am. All right. Go back to whatever you're doing with your other hand, Tom.
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All right. So debating is bad. Did I tell you that this is peak absurdity? Can you really hold in your head
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that the three most important things that the Democrats care about? Who's the president, climate
00:22:06.460
change, and then science and vaccinations and stuff? They're most important stuff. No science. How
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about the science on the whole trans situation? Do you think they want to debate that?
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No. In fact, there's nothing they want to debate. I feel as if somebody, you know, maybe it's Trump,
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maybe it's, you know, Vivek or somebody. Somebody needs to call them out for not being able to, able to,
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or willing to debate anything. And you're seeing the pattern, right? It's everything.
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The Republicans are up for a debate on everything. No exceptions. Prove me wrong. Republicans are up for a
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debate on everything. Except maybe religion, which is not really the subject of debate.
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And the Democrats want to stop debate on everything. That's true, right? I don't, I don't think I'm making
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that up. It feels true. I've never seen a Republican turn down a debate. Have you? I'm not sure they do
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that. Guns? Well, you know, like I said, the gun debate, the gun debate is a fake debate.
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Let me just diverge. The gun debate is a fake debate. So I don't think we need one on that,
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because it's not a real debate. Guns are about what's good for you personally. And then people
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try to pretend like what's good for them personally, they can generalize it to other people.
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Here's the thing. Me owning a gun is good. Why? Far more likely to stop a crime than to create one.
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Would you agree? And because I'm unusually responsible, like, I'm, you know, I'm very
00:24:00.940
responsible about a lot of stuff. Me having a gun makes my neighborhood probably safer. Probably.
00:24:09.020
But I'm not so sure about you. Not you specifically, but I'm not so sure you should have a gun.
00:24:16.940
Because you may not be as reliable as I am. You might be in a different place, different situation,
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completely different security considerations. So when people are arguing about guns, usually
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they're lying, because they're arguing that guns would be good for them. But they want to generalize
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that to, you know, a general thing. And I think it's just a case that it's good for some people and
00:24:40.980
definitely bad for others. And there's no way to solve that. How would you solve that? It's just
00:24:47.540
definitely bad for some and definitely good for others. And that's the end of it. So it's
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just a power. So some of these things are based on what's true. But the gun debate is not based
00:24:59.800
on what's true or what's not true. It's based on preference. We're just acting like it's based
00:25:05.240
on something else. So the gun thing is mostly just acting.
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I have this pet peeve, which is when dumb people call me dumb. Do you ever have that? When smart
00:25:27.840
people call me dumb, I just get competitive. All right, well, game on. Let's see why they think I'm
00:25:34.960
dumb. They might have a point, you know, that I have to look into a little bit, try and try and
00:25:39.220
make my best argument. But when people who are objectively dumb, go online and tell you you're
00:25:46.440
dumb. It just makes me crazy. I have to admit, it gets under my skin. So here's one. Somebody who
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calls themselves the nicest boy on the website and app, Bikina Vinny Delu or somebody, was talking
00:26:04.260
about why you don't want the average person to look at the studies. Because the average American is well
00:26:09.520
equipped to read and understand the methodology results. You have to read this with sarcasm.
00:26:14.480
Limitations to most medical studies? Sure, big brain. Yes, they can tell the difference between an
00:26:23.440
RCT and an observational study. Yes, they can. All right. More absurdity. Elon Musk has challenged
00:26:33.060
Mark Zuckerberg to a cage match. Zuckerberg has agreed and asked for a venue. Elon has suggested Vegas
00:26:47.800
Octagon. This is so awesome. It's just so good. And so as we know,
00:27:00.520
Zuckerberg is 5'9", but he's completed Jiu-Jitsu. So he's actually quite accomplished in Jiu-Jitsu.
00:27:11.880
Elon Musk, I believe, is 6'1", and is threatening that he will beat Zuckerberg by laying on top of
00:27:19.980
him with his extra weight. None of this could be better. This is as good as a good thing could be.
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Everything about this is first rate. I love the fact that Zuckerberg is finally learning what free publicity
00:27:37.160
looks like. So Zuckerberg absolutely should have said yes. Saying yes and asking for a venue was exactly right.
00:27:49.640
And then, do you think this is going to happen?
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I think it might. No? You don't think it's going to happen? I think it might. Because both, you know, both of them
00:28:06.880
benefit from, they both benefit from publicity, right? So right now, Face or Meta is launching the competitor
00:28:17.380
to Twitter. So don't you think Zuckerberg would like everybody to know that there's a competitor to
00:28:24.800
Twitter? Of course he would. And Elon Musk, of course, you know, wants to make his point that he's the
00:28:31.080
marketing person for his companies. It would just be the best league ever. It would be the best league
00:28:38.340
ever. Yeah, with Joe Rogan calling the fight. Oh my God, that would be amazing.
00:28:43.960
All right. So you've heard RFK Jr. and others say that the big pharma is distorting the information
00:28:56.780
that's available to the public. Do you think that happens? Do you think big pharma distorts
00:29:03.060
the information that gets on the internet in any way? Do you think that happens? Yeah, I don't know.
00:29:10.760
I don't know. But let's do a little test, shall we? You know that RFK Jr. has a voice problem.
00:29:19.440
It's called spasmodic dysphonia. You might also know that I had the same problem. And for three and
00:29:24.780
a half years, I couldn't speak, or at least not intelligibly. And you might know that you're
00:29:32.000
listening to me now, and I'm speaking just fine. So I had a surgery for this condition.
00:29:40.620
It was a long recovery, but recovery I did. Now, the reason I got the surgery is I checked
00:29:47.620
with other people who had the surgery first. I talked to them personally. And they all
00:29:52.620
spoke perfectly. Perfectly. There wasn't any hitch in their voice at all. So when I talked
00:29:58.540
to several people who spoke perfectly, I got the same surgery they did. And now I speak perfectly.
00:30:04.900
So if I were to check the internet and ask it, hey, is there a cure for spasmodic dysphonia?
00:30:15.400
It would give me a good answer, right? So it would say, oh yeah, there's this surgery,
00:30:21.360
and a number of people have been cured. That's what the internet says, right? Let's check.
00:30:26.920
Well, we'll check Bing. Is there a cure for spasmodic dysphonia? And the answer comes back
00:30:36.040
from Bing. No, there is currently no known cure for spasmodic dysphonia. There's no known cure.
00:30:45.580
You know, I asked Google Bard the same thing. No known cure. But luckily, there's a treatment.
00:30:53.140
There's a treatment. All right? However, there are treatments available to help manage the symptoms
00:30:58.660
of the condition, such as Botox injections and speech therapy. Oh, then it does say, in some cases,
00:31:07.340
surgery may also be an option. And then it says, is there anything else you would like to know?
00:31:14.520
So it says there's currently no known cure, but Botox is sort of featured as the main thing you would do.
00:31:21.900
But just so you know, there might be some surgery option.
00:31:28.400
Does that sound accurate to you? Can you hear me talk right now? Am I talking in a way that my words,
00:31:37.440
you can hear them, are they clipped or unclear? No. No. But apparently, I'm not cured.
00:31:45.100
No, no. I just had some surgery that may have, you know, maybe had some impact on my symptoms.
00:31:53.380
Yeah. So my symptoms all went away. But would you call that a cure? Just because all of your symptoms
00:32:00.960
went away forever? What kind of a cure is that? Just because all of your symptoms go away forever?
00:32:07.780
No. According to Bing, it's Botox. Who makes Botox? Who makes Botox? That would be Allergan.
00:32:22.220
It's an American-Irish domiciled pharmaceutical company. Do you know what a Botox shot costs?
00:32:28.940
Do you know the retail price, let's say, at the doctor? I don't know. It used to be $900 a shot
00:32:36.480
because I got Botox before I got the surgery. I think it's close to $500 now, or it depends where
00:32:42.840
you are. Yeah. Anywhere between $500 and $1,200, right? It's very expensive. How much money do you
00:32:50.540
think the Botox people make treating spasmodic dysphonia where you have to go in every month to get
00:32:57.280
another $900 shot, or whatever it is? Yeah. Well, there's quite a few people. A lot of people.
00:33:05.540
Who do you think would be a big donor to all things voice-related? You know, if there was an
00:33:14.400
organization that promoted cures, do you think that Allergan would maybe want to be involved in
00:33:21.800
funding them? Probably, because they'd want that organization to know that they offer a treatment.
00:33:29.780
So that's quite normal, right? They would support anybody who's got the problem that they have the
00:33:35.580
exact treatment for. Totally logical. So can you explain to me why it's been well understood for
00:33:46.800
at least 10 years that this is a completely curable condition, and that the internet doesn't know it?
00:33:56.060
If you have this condition in a small town, and you talk to your doctor, and your doctor googled it
00:34:04.100
to find out what's new, do you think your doctor would know it's curable? Nope. Probably not.
00:34:11.260
Probably not. It's an obscure enough problem that a lot of people have it. Now, why do you think this
00:34:22.220
situation exists? Why do you think that if you google it, it tells you the wrong answer on a very
00:34:29.680
important medical condition? Now, keep in mind, people with this condition are quite often
00:34:36.000
considering ending their lives. Did you know that? I mean, I was. It's the most common thing that you
00:34:46.280
think. Because your voice, your life often is below the line at which it's worth living, frankly.
00:34:54.520
Yeah. When I had that problem, I only stayed alive for the benefit of other people. I was done.
00:35:00.480
I mean, I was hopeful that I'd find a solution eventually. But the quality of life was below the
00:35:06.660
worthwhile level. It was well below it. Because you could have no social interaction whatsoever.
00:35:13.920
So there's this company, Allergan, who gives money to various, or not gives money, but advertises
00:35:20.920
probably, maybe donates to some places. But who knows if money was any part of this? Who knows?
00:35:27.760
What do you think? If you had to speculate, do you think that the internet is telling people it's
00:35:34.760
incurable, and the only thing they could really seriously do is look into this Botox solution?
00:35:41.180
Do you think that's just sort of a coincidence? Just maybe an odd thing that happened? Or do you
00:35:48.640
think that money had anything to do with it? Well, follow the money works pretty well, doesn't it?
00:35:55.360
And every single time you think that follow the money shouldn't work, because surely there
00:36:01.600
would be no human beings who would be such bad human beings that they would want you to
00:36:06.920
not know there's a cure for a condition that you want to kill yourself for having. That
00:36:12.060
would be pretty bad, wouldn't it? So certainly there are no people in any kind of pharma company
00:36:17.100
who would do anything intentionally to make a shit ton of money while knowing that the way
00:36:23.260
they were talking about it and marketing it was probably going to kill people, because
00:36:28.940
people will end their life over this. Yeah, probably. So I cannot make any specific claims.
00:36:37.960
I will tell you that for the past 10 years, people who are involved in the spasmodic dysphonia
00:36:44.040
world have told me that there is a big company that has been erasing all of the useful information.
00:36:53.960
It's just an allegation. I can't prove it. So I don't know if this is happening accidentally,
00:37:02.600
or if somebody is doing it intentionally. But can you wrap your head around how bad this
00:37:09.040
is? Is this coming through? I don't know if I'm making my point. Do you understand how
00:37:14.740
bad that is? This is a 10 out of 10 in bad behavior. This is murder level bad behavior. Murder
00:37:23.940
level. Because it's actually killing people. Presumably. Because people are suicidal. If they
00:37:30.840
think there's no cure, things could happen. There's your world. That's your world you're living
00:37:38.620
in right there. So how about Greta? She deleted her tweet from five years ago that said we'd
00:37:45.560
all be in big trouble by now. Oh, Greta. How many of you saw the Durham... I'm still blown
00:37:56.520
away that Adam Schiff gets censured for lying to the country about Russia collusion. In other
00:38:04.940
words, Adam Schiff tried to pull off a soft coup in the United States, and all he gets
00:38:10.840
is the censure, which he uses to raise funds, and then he sits on the panel to question Durham
00:38:17.440
and make him look like a jerk, and then try to tell us all that Russia collusion was real
00:38:22.760
all along, because Paul Manafort conned a Russian guy once. That really happened. In the real world,
00:38:32.060
that happened. That Paul Manafort tried to con some money out of a Russian guy, and Adam Schiff,
00:38:39.140
who's already been censored for lying about everything about this, tells you that, oh yeah,
00:38:44.020
there was really that Russian collusion, because that one Manafort guy tried to rob a Russian.
00:38:49.720
So that's Russian collusion. Okay. Like, every time you rob somebody... I mean, if you heard
00:38:58.340
the story of what Manafort was showing that guy, it was sort of some internal polling. How much was
00:39:06.680
that worth? Internal polling. Not a lot. All right. So, I don't know. My brain is just falling
00:39:17.900
off listening to that. All right. Here's a little exchange between Representative Jordan
00:39:25.020
and Durham, and Jordan said, in the summer of 2016, did our government receive intelligence
00:39:32.960
that suggested Secretary Clinton had approved a plan to tie President Trump to Russia?
00:39:43.980
Jordan, was that intelligence important enough for Director Brennan to go brief the President
00:39:49.220
of the United States, the Vice President of the United States, the Attorney General,
00:39:58.200
Jordan, did Director Comey share that information with the FISA court,
00:40:02.900
the lawyers preparing the FISA application, and the FBI agents on the case?
00:40:11.140
Oh, my God. Oh, my fucking God. Everything you thought about this was true. It was all true. Wow.
00:40:27.860
Wow. Amazing. So, Snopes got fact-checked by Community Notes. Isn't that great? So, Community Notes
00:40:39.880
is Twitter's little thing where it'll fact-check you if you do a bad tweet. And they fact-checked
00:40:45.440
Snopes, which is in itself a fact-checker. So, Snopes was claiming that the sub that's
00:40:51.480
missing was using Starlink Communications. And Community Notes said, nope. It doesn't even
00:40:59.540
work underwater. It doesn't work underwater. Apparently, the support ship was using it. But
00:41:06.020
that's a pretty big difference, because it wasn't the support ship that's lost. It was the sub.
00:41:12.480
So, during the time that I started this live stream, until now, approximately, I just did
00:41:21.480
the math this morning, five people have died from fentanyl overdose in the United States since
00:41:29.300
I started this live stream, like 42 minutes ago. So, in 42 minutes, roughly five people
00:41:35.780
died from fentanyl overdose. Do you know why you haven't heard of them? Do you know why
00:41:40.980
you don't know their names? Because they're not vacationing in a submarine. That's why.
00:41:46.940
Yeah. You put four assholes in the submarine, it's all world news. But four people die of fentanyl?
00:41:52.800
No, that's nothing. That's a big nothing. This submarine story is fucked up in every way that
00:41:58.960
a story can be fucked up. Number one, it's a tragedy that we're laughing about. You couldn't
00:42:04.640
be more fucked up than that. Number two, it's the least important thing happening in the whole
00:42:09.720
fucking world. Least important thing. Four deaths, unfortunately, you know, which are tragic,
00:42:16.520
of course. But like I said, four people died of fentanyl while I was talking, while you were listening
00:42:22.520
to me, four just died. There will be 70,000 of them by the end of the year, roughly. Four people
00:42:30.660
will die in the sub. Who's going to get more attention this week? Anyway, Wall Street Journal
00:42:39.440
is going after RFK Jr. for all of his conspiracy theorizing. But they gave me a handy little list
00:42:45.960
of the things that people are questioning RFK Jr. about. So I thought I'd read you the list
00:42:50.820
that I picked out of the Wall Street Journal's reporting. So here are the things that, according
00:42:56.160
to the Wall Street Journal, RFK Jr. says. Now, before I tell you these things, I would like
00:43:02.400
to give you this framework. I believe that whenever RFK Jr. talks about a study that shows a correlation,
00:43:11.180
that he's careful to say that's what he's talking about. I don't know that, because I've not heard
00:43:16.820
everything he's ever said. It's my understanding, based on the few things I have seen, that when
00:43:22.160
he says things like, this thing is highly correlated with this bad health outcome, that he's not
00:43:29.940
saying that causation has been established. But when people talk about him, they talk about
00:43:37.800
him as if he's saying it's true. He might. Maybe there's sometimes he does. Maybe he plays a little
00:43:45.440
loose with that. I don't know. But I would ask you to keep a skepticism handy that it might be that
00:43:54.520
he's just pointing out worrisome patterns that would require more testing. Because when I've
00:44:01.000
heard him talk, he says things are under-tested. In which case, the correlation argument, you know,
00:44:07.540
that this is correlated with autism or correlated with gay frogs or whatever he's correlating,
00:44:12.100
the correlation is completely valid if your main point is these things haven't been tested.
00:44:19.220
Would you agree with that? Correlation is how you find out what you should look into further.
00:44:24.900
So he might be exactly there. He might be exactly in the gotta look into it further. If he is,
00:44:31.640
would that be a conspiracy theory? Not in my mind. In my mind, he's just being a lawyer, basically.
00:44:42.100
He's a lawyer who had chased after these exact kind of things. Now, in a legal case, maybe the
00:44:47.620
correlation would be enough. I don't know. I'm not sure how the law works. But I think when he's
00:44:52.600
talking about it scientifically, outside the legal context, when he talks about it scientifically,
00:44:58.160
I think he just says it's correlation, which I would not call a conspiracy theory.
00:45:03.100
I would call it something worrisome that should be looked into. All right, here are the things he
00:45:09.120
claims. Contaminated water might be causing a rise in trans. That's the famous gay frogs study.
00:45:17.240
So there's a particular contaminant that in one small underpowered study suggested it changes,
00:45:25.020
change the sex of frogs. And he's saying quite reasonably, if this is changing the sex of frogs,
00:45:32.300
is it impossible that it's changing something about humans? Now, I don't believe he says it's
00:45:40.540
proven, to my point. I believe he says, why would you be okay with this? If it's doing this to the
00:45:48.020
frogs, you're going to take a big swig of that? If I handed you a glass of water and I said,
00:45:53.900
you know, I don't want to worry you, but this same water is turning, changing the sex of frogs,
00:46:02.100
would you say, ah, that doesn't sound like a problem? Suck it down. It's at least a good question.
00:46:10.220
All right, here's the next one. Childhood autism linked to childhood vaccinations.
00:46:14.880
Linked to, linked to, linked to, correlation, correlation, right? I don't think linked to says causation.
00:46:28.800
Now, has he? Has he said it's proven that it's a cause? Now, if he has, I would have some issue
00:46:35.820
with that because I don't know that anything's proven. But if he says it's linked to or correlated,
00:46:41.660
highly correlated, the timing is suspicious, we should look into it, we should test it better,
00:46:46.340
we should maybe modify the schedule. Is that a conspiracy theory? Does that sound like a big
00:46:53.200
old conspiracy to you? If there's an important correlation that's a little bit scary? I don't
00:47:00.380
know. I personally think the autism is caused by who's getting married. People are older,
00:47:07.300
techie people are meeting each other. You know, two Elon Musk get married, the odds of an autistic kid
00:47:14.100
go through the roof, you know? So I don't think it's, I don't think it's that, but I would also be
00:47:19.920
worried about the correlation. Prescription drugs lead to a rise in school shootings, maybe. Again,
00:47:29.200
is RFK Jr. saying, I have proof that prescription drugs are causing school shootings? No.
00:47:35.180
Nope. I don't believe he said anything like that. I think he said you should look into it because
00:47:40.520
there's an obvious reason to look into it. It's a really obvious reason that these drugs are known
00:47:46.320
to have these side effects. So look into it. Is that a conspiracy theory? No. It's just a good
00:47:54.300
question. How about Wi-Fi might cause cancer? Is that a conspiracy theory? And did he say it does cause
00:48:04.080
cancer? Or did he say it might? Because there's some studies that are suggesting that. Well, might
00:48:10.320
is okay. Who's arguing with might? Might means Wi-Fi is everywhere. Since Wi-Fi is everywhere,
00:48:19.640
if it might be dangerous, you don't think you'd like to know a little bit more about that?
00:48:24.900
Right. Is that a crime? Is it a conspiracy theory? No. It's just somebody who wants to know more
00:48:33.940
about what might kill him. How about his claim that the CIA killed his uncle and maybe his father? He
00:48:40.820
doesn't have anything that looks like direct evidence for killing his father. But the evidence
00:48:47.140
that the CIA killed his uncle, would you call that a conspiracy theory in 2013? In 2013, that doesn't
00:48:55.440
sound like a conspiracy theory. It sounds like something that's well established in the history.
00:49:01.300
Maybe I'm wrong. Or maybe I'm falling for the same gaslighting or something. But yeah. All right.
00:49:09.540
Yes, I know it's 2023, not 2013. I only did that once. I only got the right. I only tweeted the wrong
00:49:15.900
date once. Lately. And then another claim from RFK Jr. is that the Ukraine war is for the benefit of
00:49:23.960
the defense industry. And that's the primary purpose. Crazy, right? That wars are for the benefit of the
00:49:32.140
military industrial complex. Now, are they calling Eisenhower a conspiracy theorist? This is just
00:49:39.580
Eisenhower's theory. Eisenhower is considered one of the wisest, you know, predictive, correct people
00:49:49.860
of all time. So if JFK, if RFK Jr. says the same thing that Eisenhower says, only one of them is a
00:50:00.100
conspiracy theorist. And the other one is a wise sage who's warning you of something real.
00:50:06.860
Now, so those are the ones that the Wall Street Journal called out. There might be others. I don't
00:50:12.240
know. Do any of those look like a conspiracy theory to you? Would you characterize any of those as a
00:50:19.520
conspiracy theory? There's definitely, I do believe that he is perhaps internally convinced of some
00:50:26.780
things that I'm not internally convinced of, such as, you know, maybe this correlation means more
00:50:32.000
than it does. And I tend to lean toward it doesn't mean it. He might be leaning toward it does mean
00:50:38.160
something. But don't we both agree we would like to know for sure? I'm completely on the opposite
00:50:45.220
assumption than he is. But I'm exactly where he is on if we haven't tested it enough.
00:50:52.480
Well, maybe that's a problem. Maybe that's a problem.
00:50:58.020
I'm going to call bullshit on the following science. I think all of you saw that there was
00:51:04.940
a recent study, I don't know what it was now, that showed that it was a bad deal if you were raised by
00:51:11.720
one parent. You know, you would perform poorly in school, more likely to go to jail and all that
00:51:17.320
stuff. But then the study seemed to indicate that that was only a problem if the one parent was your
00:51:22.760
mother. But if it was your father, you get outcomes that are similar to a two-parent situation.
00:51:30.500
Do you believe that? Do you believe that? I'm sorry. No, no, I do not believe that.
00:51:42.120
Here's why I don't believe it. Do you believe that when a father gets custody,
00:51:49.000
that that group of fathers who got custody, if you were to look at them as a group,
00:51:53.620
do you think that would be a normal group of dads? Just the average dads, and they all got custody of
00:51:59.500
their kids? And then if you were to look at the mother who didn't get custody, was that an average
00:52:04.140
mother? Just an ordinary mother, but she didn't get custody, right? No, obviously, super obviously,
00:52:14.240
there's something very different about those populations. Do you know how super you have to
00:52:19.980
be as a dad to get custody? Full custody? You're going to have to be like the super dad. Here's what
00:52:29.340
you would have to say. My parents, which would be the child's grandparents, will be raising the kid,
00:52:35.720
so they'll have like the best care in the world when I'm at work. When I come home from work,
00:52:40.680
I've got a pretty good job, and if I have to go somewhere, I can hire a really good babysitter.
00:52:46.940
And you know what? My job is so good, I got a tutor. So my kid has a tutor, grandparents looking
00:52:53.100
after him during the day, all the love in the world on the weekends. Do you think that would give
00:52:58.560
you a good outcome? Of course. Of course. It's the perfect situation. I mean, minus the mother,
00:53:06.420
it would be better with the mother, but it's a pretty good situation. Now, what if the wife gets
00:53:13.660
custody? Or let's say the mother. If the mother has full custody, what's that say about the father?
00:53:22.340
Well, was not an awesome father, because didn't get custody. But if you had two, you know, two
00:53:31.040
worthless parents, if they're both worthless, who's going to get custody? If they're both
00:53:37.580
worthless, who gets custody? The mom, right? That's just sort of the default. So shouldn't you assume
00:53:46.340
that the mothers with custody are somewhat selected accidentally as the lower parental quality than
00:53:56.040
average? Whereas if the father gets custody, full custody. We're not talking about shared custody.
00:54:02.260
Full custody. If the father gets full custody, that's a pretty solid citizen. Am I wrong?
00:54:08.700
Is this not obviously bullshit science? You know, I remind you that when the studies started coming
00:54:17.040
out decades ago, they said moderate drinking was good for your health. And I just, I started screaming
00:54:24.300
at the time, not possible. Completely obviously bullshit. And now we know it was bullshit, right?
00:54:32.140
At the moment, the studies all show you that was bullshit. This is another one. There's no way in hell
00:54:38.680
that this is a valid study. But it made all the news. Made all the news. All right, Ukraine is bogged down.
00:54:51.960
So it turns out that the Ukrainians are not busting through the weak Russian defenses, because it turns
00:54:59.240
out the Russians had a really good defense. And the Russians are reconstituting their military. They're doing
00:55:05.500
some aggressive things to, you know, get their next army ready to replace the one that's there.
00:55:11.820
So Russia's not running out of money. They're not running out of soldiers. Not running out of time.
00:55:20.340
Seems to me that there will be some negotiations over the winter, or they'll wait for the winter
00:55:34.320
That's what it looks like. So anybody who still calls it a war, I feel that's, you're just behind.
00:55:42.500
This is clearly a negotiation. It's a bloody negotiation. But the general, the broad outlines
00:55:49.920
of what the end of this war looks like are already settled. Right? The broad outline of what it looks
00:55:55.980
like when it's done, we already know. Right? Ukraine will still be a country. Ukraine will not be in
00:56:03.320
NATO. Right? We know this. Crimea is not going to go back to Ukraine. I'm not saying it should or
00:56:11.120
shouldn't. It's not a preference. I'm just saying what will happen. There'll be some accommodation for the
00:56:16.960
non-Crimea places. You know, maybe, maybe Ukraine keeps one, gives up three, something like that.
00:56:24.700
But, and then Ukraine will give some security guarantees, short of being NATO.
00:56:32.000
Russia moves its military away from the borders. Right? How hard is it, how hard is it at this point
00:56:38.360
to know how this ends? It's obvious. It's obvious how it ends. And they're going to, how many Ukrainian
00:56:46.380
men are just going to be chewed up? How many Russian conscripts are just going to be chewed up
00:56:53.620
for nothing? For nothing. At this point, every single person who dies over there, no point.
00:57:02.600
Completely no point. I mean, they still have to fight because the other side's fighting. But there's no point
00:57:07.600
to any of the fighting anymore. We've already reached, we know how it ends. Just do it.
00:57:13.560
And by the way, if I were, if I were Trump, I could, I could end the war before I became
00:57:20.960
president. That would be the most baller thing anybody ever did. Oh my God. Can you imagine
00:57:29.780
that? Can you imagine Trump ending the war without, without being president? He could do it,
00:57:37.800
he could do it with the truths. He could do it with a statement. I bet he could end it with one
00:57:44.100
statement. Here's the statement. It's obvious that you've reached a stalemate. Every person who dies
00:57:53.240
from this point on is on you. I'm going to end this war when I become president. End it now.
00:58:01.200
If you wait for me to become president, I'm going to come out down hard on both of you. Both of you.
00:58:08.360
That's the key word. Both of you. I'm just going to fucking kill both of you. Do it now, because you
00:58:14.580
already know how it ends. The ending is already written. Just read it. How about that? The ending
00:58:20.420
of the war is already written. All you have to do is read it. I believe that Trump could actually end
00:58:27.880
the war just by threatening what he would do when he takes power, because there's a greater than,
00:58:33.860
you know, probably a greater than 20% chance he'll take power. And remember that Trump often uses the,
00:58:40.880
the small risk of a bad thing. That's how he negotiates. Well, I might not become president.
00:58:47.480
It's possible. Maybe I won't get elected. Are you going to take that chance? Hey Putin,
00:58:52.400
I might not get elected. You willing to take that fucking chance? Because if you take that chance,
00:58:58.540
I'm going to remember you. I'm going to, I'm going to come at you with full force if you don't stand
00:59:06.440
down now. And sure, take your chances. Maybe there's only a 20% chance I get elected. You want
00:59:13.360
to take that fucking chance? I don't know. I think he could pull it off. I think he could end the war
00:59:19.340
without being part of the government. Because the one thing I'm sure of is that Putin wants to end
00:59:25.680
the war. And I can't imagine that Zelensky wants this to go much longer. Obviously, they both want
00:59:34.160
to win, but I don't think either side believes that's possible at this point. All right. And that,
00:59:43.260
ladies and gentlemen, brings us to the conclusion of my prepared comments. I think we can agree this
00:59:51.580
was the best live stream you've ever seen. And I'm going to say goodbye to the YouTube people.
00:59:57.060
Thanks. You've been great. And I'll talk to you tomorrow. Bye for now.