Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 27, 2023


Episode 2152 Scott Adams: Too Many News Stories To List, All Of Them Interesting. Grab Coffee & Join


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 20 minutes

Words per Minute

145.6513

Word Count

11,669

Sentence Count

915

Misogynist Sentences

16

Hate Speech Sentences

43


Summary

R.R. Kennedy Jr. looks the same without his shirt off as he did with his shirt on. Is it possible to look like that when you re nearing 70, unless you re doing something illegal? Also, CNN got exclusive access to the so-called classified audio tape of Donald Trump.


Transcript

00:00:01.000 Good morning everybody, and welcome to Coffee with Scott Adams, it's the best thing that's
00:00:11.360 ever happened to you in the history of the world, goodbye.
00:00:17.240 And if you'd like to participate in the greatest thing that's ever happened, all you need is
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00:00:27.640 of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid, I like coffee, and join me now for the unparalleled
00:00:34.140 pleasure of the dopamine day of the day, the thing that makes everything better, it's called
00:00:37.840 Simultaneous Sip, it happens now, go.
00:00:45.280 Ah, that's pretty good.
00:00:48.200 You know, there are some days when the news does not deliver, and then I've got not much
00:00:55.820 to do, but today, the news is amazing, it's like all fun and interesting stuff.
00:01:02.320 Are you ready for this?
00:01:04.320 All right, number one question, people asked after seeing the video of RFK Jr. on doing
00:01:12.320 exercise with his shirt off, we're still talking about it, which by the way was the most brilliant,
00:01:18.820 probably the most brilliant political play of the year, just taking his shirt off, because
00:01:24.320 he's running against somebody who's, you know, barely alive.
00:01:28.380 That's a pretty strong play.
00:01:30.280 It was a strong play, and it totally worked.
00:01:34.280 But, some people asked the following question, how is it possible to look like that when you're
00:01:40.700 nearing 70, unless you're doing something like steroids, right?
00:01:47.420 Were you wondering that?
00:01:49.180 Were you wondering if he was doing something illegal?
00:01:51.760 Well, I'll give you a little insight on that.
00:01:57.220 I was contacted by one of my normal Twitter persons that I talk to a lot, and my Twitter
00:02:07.400 friend said that he was the same age, and he looks the same without a shirt.
00:02:12.240 So, apparently, there are at least two of them.
00:02:16.620 You know, it's somebody I trust, you know, it's somebody I've got a lot of interaction
00:02:20.660 with.
00:02:21.500 So, I believe him, and this individual who said he also looks like this at the same age
00:02:28.480 gave me his method.
00:02:33.080 And testosterone, of course, is right at the top of the list.
00:02:36.320 Testosterone replacement.
00:02:38.220 And then there were a half a dozen other, let's say, supplements, completely legal types.
00:02:45.520 You know, doctor, prescribed, that sort of thing.
00:02:48.180 But, apparently, the technology exists to make normal people look like that.
00:02:56.260 Isn't that amazing?
00:02:59.460 That's not a fluke.
00:03:01.600 It's not a fluke.
00:03:03.060 He just did the things that people know how to do if they're in that, you know, exercise
00:03:07.360 lifestyle.
00:03:08.980 He was probably just a little more aggressive about it in the sense he's almost certainly
00:03:14.200 supplementing in some way.
00:03:15.800 But all of it would be legal, right?
00:03:18.180 So, if you're wondering if he's doing any weird steroids or anything, it doesn't seem to
00:03:22.460 be necessary at all.
00:03:24.260 But I've got a question for you.
00:03:28.220 Doesn't testosterone change your behavior?
00:03:34.080 Doesn't it?
00:03:35.520 How could it not?
00:03:37.260 Wouldn't it make you more aggressive?
00:03:40.540 Let me ask you this.
00:03:42.260 Do you think that RFK Jr. would be running for president at his current age if he had not
00:03:48.020 taken testosterone?
00:03:50.700 Do you think he might have said, you know, gardening would be fun.
00:03:53.480 I think I'll do some gardening.
00:03:57.200 I don't know.
00:03:58.320 You know, those candidates are pretty adventurous, so maybe you would have.
00:04:02.320 But the question you should ask yourself is, is too much testosterone a problem?
00:04:08.540 Now, he doesn't have any indication that, you know, there's nothing about his personality
00:04:14.300 that would suggest that.
00:04:16.140 He's pretty level-headed.
00:04:18.980 But I think you'd have to ask that question, you know?
00:04:21.920 If you had a president that you had elected before testosterone treatment, and then hypothetically
00:04:30.000 that president said, hey, I think I'm going to get some of this testosterone, wouldn't it
00:04:34.840 change how they acted?
00:04:36.880 Wouldn't it make you more likely to go to war?
00:04:40.180 It's a real question.
00:04:42.560 Yeah, we always act like the chemicals in our body are having no impact on us.
00:04:47.000 Of course they are.
00:04:49.940 All right.
00:04:51.080 CNN got exclusive access to the Trump audio tape.
00:04:56.540 How do you think they did that?
00:04:58.700 It's the audio tape where he's shuffling the so-called classified documents.
00:05:03.560 How do you think they got that?
00:05:05.260 Well, this morning, the New York Times says they also have access to it.
00:05:08.700 Huh.
00:05:08.820 CNN and the New York Times, they have access to this top-secret document.
00:05:16.600 Let's see.
00:05:17.400 Does Fox News have access?
00:05:19.680 No, no.
00:05:21.120 Breitbart, Breitbart, Breitbart didn't have access.
00:05:25.780 Interesting.
00:05:27.340 Isn't that interesting?
00:05:29.040 It's almost as if the deep state is on one side.
00:05:34.340 It almost feels like that.
00:05:35.440 Well, anyway, here's a little trick you can do to determine how brainwashed we all are.
00:05:45.420 Go to the media and try to find the transcript, the text-written transcript, from the Trump audio.
00:05:55.460 Because it's pretty short, so it would be very easy for anybody to print the full transcript.
00:06:00.440 It would be about this big on a page, you know, just maybe six inches of size on a page.
00:06:05.800 Very easy, right?
00:06:07.780 Go search for that.
00:06:09.720 See if you can find it.
00:06:11.600 I did.
00:06:12.820 Couldn't find it.
00:06:14.160 The best I could find is, you know, a little bit, you know, this and that.
00:06:18.800 And I pieced it together.
00:06:20.720 I had to listen to it myself.
00:06:23.080 This morning, I listened to it myself and then wrote it down.
00:06:26.500 So I'm going to read it to you.
00:06:28.400 Now, why do you think it's so hard to find the transcript?
00:06:33.940 Why do you think?
00:06:36.220 Same reason it was so hard to find the, for a while, it was hard to find the transcript of Trump's comments in Charlottesville.
00:06:48.120 Here's how this is played.
00:06:49.320 If the news can tell you there's an audio tape that they've heard, but you're too busy to listen to, they win.
00:06:57.700 Because then they just describe it any way they want, and you don't have the time to listen.
00:07:03.660 So you accept their characterization of it because they wouldn't listen to an audio tape and then just lie to you about it when you could just listen to it yourself, right?
00:07:14.680 They wouldn't do that, would they?
00:07:15.860 Do you think the news would just lie to you about what's on this little audio tape when you could so easily just listen to it and find out they were lying?
00:07:24.540 No, of course they would.
00:07:25.940 We live in a world where they'll do anything.
00:07:28.540 That's not even slightly outside the bounds of normal behavior.
00:07:32.940 Of course they would.
00:07:34.800 Are they doing that?
00:07:36.620 Well, I would say they're not lying.
00:07:39.000 I haven't heard anybody say he said something he didn't say or vice versa.
00:07:43.200 But have you heard that they left anything out of the story that's actually in it?
00:07:50.400 Yeah, there's something in the story that's way bigger, way bigger than some documents.
00:07:58.360 So here's what I took from it.
00:08:03.460 So this is just what Trump was saying.
00:08:05.180 So this is not the other side of the conversations with people in the room.
00:08:09.880 But he started out by saying, these are bad, sick people.
00:08:14.220 And we found out in context later that the bad, sick people are generals and people who want them to go to war.
00:08:22.560 That seems like the context.
00:08:24.240 So he goes, these are bad, sick people.
00:08:26.100 I'll show you an example.
00:08:27.200 And then he says, he said, I wanted to attack Iran.
00:08:31.940 It turns out that was General Milley, is the he.
00:08:34.440 So Milley said, I wanted to attack Iran.
00:08:37.100 Then he shuffles his paper.
00:08:39.000 And he goes, all right, this is him.
00:08:42.800 All right, this is off the record.
00:08:47.260 Defense Department and him.
00:08:50.280 So he's saying that the Defense Department and General Milley are, you know, acting similarly.
00:08:57.460 And he says, this wasn't done by me.
00:08:59.800 This being the piece of paper in his hands.
00:09:02.460 This, this was not done by me.
00:09:05.380 It was done by him, meaning Milley.
00:09:08.520 Pages long.
00:09:09.900 So Trump is saying it's a document that's pages long.
00:09:13.260 It's not a summary.
00:09:14.440 It's pages long.
00:09:16.480 At one point, I wondered if it was a summary, but it's pages long.
00:09:20.840 And then Trump says, this totally wins my case.
00:09:25.700 Do you remember what the news reported as the case that he's winning?
00:09:31.800 Do you remember that was a big story?
00:09:34.680 The case that he won?
00:09:37.360 What's the argument?
00:09:38.520 It's not even in the news.
00:09:40.920 The news is leaving out the entire context of the audio.
00:09:45.140 Do you know why they're doing that?
00:09:47.220 Well, it's pretty obvious once you listen to it.
00:09:51.180 All right.
00:09:51.620 Here it goes.
00:09:52.860 He goes, this totally wins my case.
00:09:55.060 So in other words, there's some conversation about Trump being bad in some way.
00:09:59.780 And we're going to find out what that is.
00:10:01.980 Accepted as secret.
00:10:03.660 Confidential.
00:10:05.000 Uh-oh.
00:10:05.280 Look at this.
00:10:07.240 You attack.
00:10:08.660 He wanted to attack Iran.
00:10:12.700 So apparently it was a document from Milley showing an indication that he wanted to attack Iran.
00:10:20.020 At least that's Trump's characterization.
00:10:21.880 We don't know if that's what it was.
00:10:23.440 But that's how Trump characterized it.
00:10:25.040 He says, this was done by the military and given to me.
00:10:32.000 So, and he says, as president, I can declassify, but I can declassify, but now I can't.
00:10:40.500 That's an interesting story because he's got his tense.
00:10:44.220 He's confused the tenses here.
00:10:46.320 I wonder if that's a defense.
00:10:47.420 Because he says, as president, I can declassify, but now I can't.
00:10:53.720 And how did CNN characterize that?
00:10:56.220 As president, I can declassify, but now I can't.
00:11:06.820 So he's called the document Secret and Confidential.
00:11:10.400 And then he said, as president, I can declassify.
00:11:13.900 And he says, but now I can't.
00:11:17.420 Does that say he didn't declassify it?
00:11:20.660 Because that's how it's being presented on CNN.
00:11:22.940 They're telling you that he's admitting he didn't declassify it.
00:11:27.140 Let me read it again and see if you can hear the confession.
00:11:31.640 So these are just the two parts about the document.
00:11:34.100 They're taken out of order, but the other stuff isn't relevant to that.
00:11:42.460 Let's say, he said, except it is secret, confidential.
00:11:45.600 So he's called the document Secret and Confidential.
00:11:49.680 So I would agree that that's probably a fact.
00:11:52.280 Would you?
00:11:53.440 The document probably is secret and confidential.
00:11:56.380 I doubt he'd say it if it were not.
00:11:59.260 Probably it's labeled right on top there.
00:12:01.820 So he's already said it's secret and confidential.
00:12:05.160 But then later he says, as president, I can declassify.
00:12:09.140 But now I can't.
00:12:10.420 Does that say he didn't declassify it?
00:12:16.780 Listen again and see if you can hear him say he did not declassify it.
00:12:21.760 Because that's what CNN says.
00:12:23.980 They say he's saying it in his own words right here.
00:12:26.820 But I'm not hearing it.
00:12:28.360 He's saying it is secret and confidential.
00:12:30.120 But then he's saying, as president, I can declassify.
00:12:36.840 But now I can't.
00:12:40.420 One interpretation, which is valid, is that he didn't declassify it.
00:12:45.140 And he knows it.
00:12:46.500 So that's what CNN is saying.
00:12:48.260 But did he say that?
00:12:50.100 It's not what he said.
00:12:51.120 Instead, he's saying two separate things, which could both be true.
00:12:58.400 One is that it's secret and confidential, which doesn't mean it's not declassified, does it?
00:13:05.780 Aren't those different?
00:13:07.900 Couldn't it be declassified, but still be secret and confidential?
00:13:12.780 In other words, could he have declassified it for his own use,
00:13:16.800 but it's still secret and confidential from the rest of the world,
00:13:20.960 and he would plan to keep it that way.
00:13:23.800 But it would be declassified, if he had declassified it.
00:13:27.620 So simply saying that he could do it then, but he can't do it now,
00:13:30.880 doesn't say he didn't do it.
00:13:33.020 It's just a statement of fact.
00:13:37.580 But here's the biggest part of the story.
00:13:42.500 Here's the biggest part of the story that is not even included.
00:13:45.180 What is a bigger story?
00:13:48.500 That a president potentially took some classified documents
00:13:52.800 that he could have declassified with not even a wave of his hand.
00:13:59.820 He could have just walked out the door and had people watch him.
00:14:03.940 That would be declassified, in my opinion.
00:14:07.120 Given that the declassification thing is not required constitutionally,
00:14:12.360 there are procedures, and that would not be the procedure.
00:14:16.680 But the president gets to decide what the procedure is.
00:14:20.160 That's my understanding.
00:14:21.900 So if he said, watch me walk out the door with this box of secrets,
00:14:26.180 he would be declassifying it, by definition.
00:14:29.740 Now that's my take on it, because there's a lack of standards
00:14:32.760 that are constitutionally described that would make it any different.
00:14:36.520 So that's the argument, anyway.
00:14:39.240 But here's the bigger story.
00:14:40.520 The bigger story is not that he may have taken some classified documents.
00:14:45.400 The bigger story is that the military-industrial complex
00:14:48.480 was trying to frame the president.
00:14:52.580 How's that not the story?
00:14:55.560 Here he is claiming...
00:14:57.340 No, it's a claim.
00:14:58.300 I'll just say it's a claim.
00:14:59.280 So Trump is alleging that his generals and the military
00:15:03.660 were trying to goad him into war with Iran,
00:15:06.880 and they were framing him for the one who wanted to go to war.
00:15:10.060 That's a much bigger story.
00:15:12.300 Am I wrong?
00:15:13.880 And then here's the kicker.
00:15:17.260 Taking that document may have been the way he protected himself.
00:15:21.380 He may have taken that document specifically
00:15:24.160 to win his argument.
00:15:26.640 That's what he's saying.
00:15:27.280 He says, this totally wins my case.
00:15:30.220 The case being the argument
00:15:31.520 that he was never wanting to go to war with Iran,
00:15:34.360 but his military was urging him to do so.
00:15:37.660 Now, the counter to that, which is a good counter,
00:15:41.160 is that the military draws up attack plans for lots of places.
00:15:45.600 Any place you might want to attack.
00:15:47.400 They probably have one for Russia.
00:15:48.800 They probably got one for Taiwan,
00:15:50.940 if there's a Taiwan war.
00:15:52.900 And so, of course, they'd have one for Iran.
00:15:54.900 So, is it news that the military had a document
00:15:58.900 that described a battle plan?
00:16:01.700 No.
00:16:02.260 That part's not news.
00:16:03.820 But we have not seen that document.
00:16:06.980 The document might go far beyond describing
00:16:10.960 what an attack might look like.
00:16:14.240 It might be recommending it.
00:16:15.540 That's what, I mean, Trump is kind of suggesting
00:16:20.360 that it was given to him as a recommendation
00:16:23.140 or, let's say, a strong suggestion
00:16:26.260 or maybe they were trying to influence him to do it.
00:16:28.980 That would be a little different than just saying,
00:16:31.980 we have a bunch of attack plans that are always in the file.
00:16:35.900 So here's the file of the Iran attack plan.
00:16:39.840 That'd be really different, wouldn't it?
00:16:41.240 If it were just the file, you know, the basic attack plan,
00:16:45.380 we'd just like to update you.
00:16:46.620 We always have one of these cooking.
00:16:48.060 It's always on the back burner.
00:16:49.960 Don't take it too seriously.
00:16:51.780 Or did they say, we really need to be looking at this.
00:16:55.420 I mean, we should get serious about this.
00:16:57.340 That's very different.
00:16:59.520 So Trump may have used it to protect himself,
00:17:02.800 which to me, if I were on a jury,
00:17:05.520 that would matter to me.
00:17:06.980 It would still mean that he had technically broken a law,
00:17:12.120 but the context in which he was caught breaking the law,
00:17:16.260 he is also caught, allegedly,
00:17:19.100 caught giving you his reason for breaking it.
00:17:22.100 And his reason for breaking it would be to protect himself
00:17:25.240 from a military-industrial complex that's victimizing us all.
00:17:31.200 All right.
00:17:37.380 Have I ever told you that I never get a message
00:17:39.820 unless it's an emergency?
00:17:42.500 Right the fuck now.
00:17:45.380 Right the fuck now.
00:17:46.760 Not in 10 minutes.
00:17:48.580 No, not in an hour.
00:17:50.440 Because I already said, I'll get back to you in an hour.
00:17:52.900 No, it's got to be right now.
00:17:55.080 Right fucking now.
00:17:56.240 So I've got to send a text right now.
00:18:00.680 Right in the middle of my live stream.
00:18:02.360 I've never gotten that.
00:18:03.440 I don't think I ever get texts or just saying,
00:18:05.300 how you doing?
00:18:06.300 I feel like it's everything is,
00:18:08.120 you've got to do something fucking right now
00:18:09.840 at 7 in the morning.
00:18:11.800 How is that even possible?
00:18:14.020 How do so many people live a life
00:18:16.140 that they're creating an emergency for other people?
00:18:22.960 Live streaming.
00:18:26.440 Wait.
00:18:29.420 I hate it when people make their problem my problem
00:18:31.980 all the fucking time.
00:18:34.560 So something, and you know,
00:18:35.560 you know what you have to do, right?
00:18:36.820 You just have to cut them out of your life.
00:18:38.880 You just got to get them out of your life.
00:18:40.800 You can't have people like that
00:18:41.880 who are throwing themselves into one emergency after another
00:18:45.360 and you're the only one who can save them.
00:18:47.980 Jesus, fuck.
00:18:49.940 All right.
00:18:51.380 Enough about that.
00:18:52.180 You all saw the video of the Patriot Front,
00:18:56.900 the alleged group of racists
00:18:59.580 who got unmasked by the Proud Boys.
00:19:03.260 At least some of them did.
00:19:04.540 And now we're doing the thing where we're trying to find out
00:19:06.840 if those unmasked people are feds
00:19:09.000 or if they were at other events.
00:19:11.680 Allegedly, and I don't believe this to be true,
00:19:13.820 but allegedly one of the unmasked Patriot Front people
00:19:18.400 looked like one of the feds at January 6th
00:19:22.960 who was doing some sketchy stuff to make it look like,
00:19:25.720 you know, he was taking down a window
00:19:27.220 so people could crawl through, something like that.
00:19:29.780 I would say at this stage in the reporting,
00:19:32.180 I don't believe any of that.
00:19:34.560 I don't believe that they have accurately identified
00:19:36.960 the unmasked Patriot Front guy as somebody else.
00:19:41.940 Now, Elon Musk weighed in on that tweet about that point,
00:19:46.640 and it sounded like he wasn't quite convinced
00:19:48.880 that they had figured out who that guy was.
00:19:52.220 But he said, Musk tweeted,
00:19:55.060 it looks like one is a college student,
00:19:57.400 and then he says parenthetically,
00:19:59.020 who wants to join the government.
00:20:00.960 I don't know how he would speculate
00:20:02.520 that somebody that he just saw their face
00:20:05.720 wants to join the government.
00:20:08.960 I don't know where he got that.
00:20:10.200 And he says another is maybe an Antifa member,
00:20:13.740 but nonetheless a probable false flag situation.
00:20:17.100 So I agree with the last part.
00:20:18.900 There's something about the Patriot Front
00:20:20.620 that doesn't look genuine at all.
00:20:24.200 It's just nobody on the right thinks they look real.
00:20:29.120 And there's nothing about them that seems real.
00:20:31.880 Everything about them looks like an op of some kind.
00:20:34.880 Or they're funded by somebody sketchy or something.
00:20:38.720 But they definitely don't look like
00:20:40.280 they are what they present to be.
00:20:43.740 So that's all we know about that.
00:20:45.800 Speaking of Musk,
00:20:47.760 there's a lot of conversation about depression
00:20:50.800 being potentially overdiagnosed in the U.S.
00:20:54.160 But Musk agrees that depression is overdiagnosed in the U.S.
00:20:58.400 If you haven't seen the data,
00:21:00.980 the percentage of people in America
00:21:03.000 who take antidepressants is like through the roof.
00:21:06.400 And other countries that you would imagine
00:21:08.020 would be comparable, very little.
00:21:11.720 I mean, just a gigantic difference.
00:21:13.960 And one of the differences is maybe
00:21:15.880 we allow direct advertising from big pharma.
00:21:20.720 So it could be that we're just more hypnotized
00:21:22.800 to buy the stuff.
00:21:24.040 And in other countries,
00:21:25.020 they don't allow the brainwashing,
00:21:26.440 so it doesn't happen.
00:21:27.160 So, I don't know,
00:21:29.340 maybe more Americans are being helped by the meds.
00:21:31.980 That's possible.
00:21:33.540 But it doesn't look like it.
00:21:35.760 So here's the weird part,
00:21:37.380 is that Musk is saying that
00:21:40.640 ketamine might be a better solution,
00:21:42.800 and he has friends who seem to be benefiting from it.
00:21:46.960 Now we're in some dangerous territory here, aren't we?
00:21:50.920 So I do love the fact,
00:21:53.160 it's one of my favorite things,
00:21:54.440 that Elon Musk gives you his opinion.
00:21:58.660 I respect that way more than, let's say, Zuckerberg.
00:22:04.760 Because Zuckerberg, I think, is trying to run a company
00:22:07.020 without at least stating his opinion too much.
00:22:10.900 He's obviously very Democrat.
00:22:12.840 But he's not, like, talking about it.
00:22:15.640 It's not something he's putting out there.
00:22:17.660 But I love the fact that Musk does.
00:22:20.100 Because he's one of our smarter citizens.
00:22:23.060 In his opinion,
00:22:24.140 at least gives you sort of a stake in the ground
00:22:27.320 around which you can argue or debate.
00:22:30.240 But it's like a really good stake in the ground.
00:22:34.040 And so he takes this topic,
00:22:36.660 which I think is vital,
00:22:38.220 I think is a vital one
00:22:39.380 for the well-being of the country.
00:22:42.660 Ketamine and the over-prescription of depression meds.
00:22:47.640 Huge, huge topic.
00:22:51.140 And he can just send a tweet with a few sentences,
00:22:54.060 and he just sticks a fork in the ground
00:22:57.960 and says, let's talk about this.
00:23:01.220 Very good.
00:23:02.760 This is like ideal citizen behavior.
00:23:06.680 This is Internet dad stuff done right.
00:23:09.340 If you say I'm agreeing with him about ketamine,
00:23:12.320 I'm not doing that.
00:23:13.880 I'm not doing that.
00:23:15.020 I'm saying it's a vitally important question,
00:23:17.620 and he's making sure that you're
00:23:19.120 giving it the right amount of attention.
00:23:24.060 You love him.
00:23:26.540 I think the dumbest fucking thing that people say
00:23:29.360 when somebody makes a comment
00:23:30.820 about another public figure
00:23:32.580 is, you love him.
00:23:35.400 You love him.
00:23:36.520 You're in his cult.
00:23:38.800 You just stop doing it.
00:23:40.780 Really.
00:23:41.300 You should just stop doing that.
00:23:43.100 Or is that maybe just an NPC thing?
00:23:45.000 It's not a real person thing?
00:23:46.900 You love him.
00:23:48.320 You want to marry him.
00:23:51.600 All right.
00:23:54.060 Speaking of mental health,
00:23:55.760 I saw a Rob Henderson tweet about a Jonathan Haidt,
00:23:59.020 I think it was a substack,
00:24:00.900 in which he was talking about the percentage of people
00:24:03.260 with mental health problems in America.
00:24:06.880 Did you know that 56% of liberal white women
00:24:09.900 aged 18 to 29 have been diagnosed
00:24:12.740 with a mental health condition?
00:24:14.160 And if you look at the graph
00:24:20.640 of the young females
00:24:23.760 who have been diagnosed with mental conditions,
00:24:26.320 it's up here.
00:24:28.020 If you look at the number of conservative women
00:24:30.280 of all ages
00:24:32.320 who have been diagnosed with mental problems,
00:24:34.540 it's way down here.
00:24:36.720 Now, I think it's sought treatment for,
00:24:38.920 not diagnosed.
00:24:39.740 I think it's sought treatment for.
00:24:40.940 Now, can we stop pretending this is political?
00:24:47.280 We really don't have a political difference
00:24:50.460 in this country.
00:24:51.920 And I think that we're also poorly served
00:24:54.320 by the people who are saying
00:24:55.380 that it's rich versus poor.
00:24:57.420 It is.
00:24:58.780 It's very much rich versus poor.
00:25:01.280 But that's mostly not what's bothering us.
00:25:04.780 Mostly.
00:25:05.960 It's mostly mental illness.
00:25:07.640 It's mostly mental illness
00:25:09.780 that the people in the Democrat Party
00:25:11.540 can't call out
00:25:12.520 because they're too woke.
00:25:14.320 They can't say,
00:25:15.280 you know,
00:25:16.480 I see where you're going.
00:25:18.540 It sounds woke,
00:25:19.500 and we like woke,
00:25:20.540 but honestly,
00:25:22.240 I think that's coming from my mental illness.
00:25:25.080 I'm not sure you thought that through.
00:25:28.080 And why is it that
00:25:30.040 somebody like Vivek or Trump
00:25:32.280 can't call that out directly
00:25:34.380 just to hold up that chart
00:25:36.380 and say,
00:25:37.980 see these people not seeking
00:25:40.080 mental health solutions?
00:25:43.760 These are conservatives.
00:25:46.200 Somewhere in the middle,
00:25:47.200 you've got the independents.
00:25:48.320 They're not very high either.
00:25:50.180 But then look at this.
00:25:51.720 This is the party we're running against.
00:25:54.520 Over half of the young women
00:25:56.260 who are the dominant voice
00:25:57.920 in the Democrat Party,
00:25:59.340 in my opinion,
00:25:59.880 over half of them
00:26:02.380 have a mental illness.
00:26:05.000 And the reason that
00:26:05.860 they're comfortable as Democrats
00:26:07.380 is what?
00:26:10.380 The reason they're comfortable
00:26:11.660 as Democrats is
00:26:13.120 they all have mental problems.
00:26:19.100 No, that's not fair.
00:26:20.820 That's not fair.
00:26:21.980 That was just a joke.
00:26:23.820 No, the Democrats are more the
00:26:25.960 we're going to accept everybody
00:26:27.380 as they are.
00:26:28.060 The Republicans are more like,
00:26:31.780 we're going to accept everybody
00:26:32.800 who doesn't bother us
00:26:33.880 and, you know,
00:26:35.020 obeys the law.
00:26:36.480 A very different standard.
00:26:38.560 Accept everybody
00:26:39.480 versus accept everybody
00:26:41.620 who leaves us alone
00:26:42.540 and obeys the law.
00:26:44.320 Completely different.
00:26:46.340 So I think the Democrats
00:26:48.240 accidentally became
00:26:49.700 a breeding ground
00:26:51.640 for mental illness
00:26:52.700 because if you had
00:26:54.040 a mental illness,
00:26:54.740 you could go there
00:26:55.460 and you'd fit right in
00:26:56.300 and people wouldn't even notice.
00:26:58.060 They literally wouldn't notice.
00:27:01.600 Literally.
00:27:02.780 No joke
00:27:03.460 to talk like Biden now.
00:27:06.520 No joke, people.
00:27:07.500 No joke.
00:27:08.600 You could have
00:27:09.480 a pretty serious
00:27:10.360 mental illness,
00:27:11.260 become a Democrat
00:27:12.020 and nobody would notice
00:27:13.220 because you'd fit right in.
00:27:15.440 And that's,
00:27:15.840 I'm not trying to be hyperbolic.
00:27:18.120 I'm trying to actually
00:27:19.200 accurately describe the situation.
00:27:20.880 I do believe
00:27:22.020 he would fit in.
00:27:23.280 I don't think
00:27:23.800 people would notice.
00:27:25.920 So,
00:27:26.480 the fact that we don't
00:27:28.500 call that down
00:27:29.180 for what it is,
00:27:30.580 a massive mental health problem,
00:27:33.620 you know.
00:27:35.420 Now,
00:27:36.240 what is causing it
00:27:37.300 and
00:27:38.520 do people become Democrats
00:27:40.580 because they have it
00:27:41.780 or does being a Democrat
00:27:43.740 give it to you?
00:27:45.280 Which way
00:27:45.700 does the causation work?
00:27:47.540 I'm thinking
00:27:48.040 maybe both ways.
00:27:49.620 If you're a Republican,
00:27:50.940 you've got a game plan,
00:27:52.020 don't you?
00:27:53.440 You still have to execute.
00:27:55.480 Let's say
00:27:55.900 you're a young woman
00:27:56.980 and you're a Republican.
00:27:59.020 Don't you know
00:27:59.700 exactly what you need to do
00:28:00.960 to be happy?
00:28:03.600 You do.
00:28:05.200 Right?
00:28:06.140 You can make a list
00:28:07.140 of all the things
00:28:08.360 you need to be happy.
00:28:09.860 It would be like
00:28:10.300 find a good guy,
00:28:12.540 get married,
00:28:13.400 have a family,
00:28:14.300 have some kids,
00:28:15.940 go to church,
00:28:17.080 whatever it is.
00:28:18.380 But you'd have a list
00:28:19.740 of all the things
00:28:20.500 to make you happy.
00:28:21.680 All right?
00:28:22.040 I'll do the things
00:28:22.840 on this list
00:28:23.600 and sure enough,
00:28:25.520 I'm happy.
00:28:28.100 But if you're a Democrat,
00:28:29.620 everything goes.
00:28:31.480 You know,
00:28:31.800 traditional family
00:28:32.580 is just one way to go.
00:28:33.940 Religion is
00:28:34.680 unnecessary.
00:28:36.060 So you wake up
00:28:36.940 every morning
00:28:37.420 and you don't have
00:28:38.080 a mission.
00:28:39.440 You don't have a path.
00:28:41.320 What would make you happy
00:28:42.380 if you were a Democrat
00:28:43.200 and a woman?
00:28:44.640 If you're a woman
00:28:45.520 and a Democrat,
00:28:46.320 what would make you happy?
00:28:49.040 I don't know.
00:28:50.600 I mean,
00:28:50.880 I actually don't know.
00:28:52.840 Because the things
00:28:53.640 that make Republican women
00:28:54.740 happy are getting married
00:28:56.660 and having a family
00:28:57.520 and, you know,
00:28:58.540 the relationships,
00:28:59.540 et cetera.
00:29:00.180 Their God,
00:29:01.440 doing the right thing,
00:29:02.440 having a good life,
00:29:03.760 you know,
00:29:04.160 doing the best you can
00:29:05.420 with your character.
00:29:06.740 And that makes people happy.
00:29:08.180 And it's exercise.
00:29:09.700 How about exercise?
00:29:11.680 Exercise even is
00:29:12.800 somewhat becoming
00:29:14.100 a Republican thing,
00:29:15.460 which is weird.
00:29:16.880 I mean,
00:29:17.280 not completely,
00:29:18.360 but in terms of the way
00:29:19.500 we talk about it,
00:29:20.340 it sometimes is.
00:29:22.740 Not saying there,
00:29:23.800 I'm not saying
00:29:24.320 there are no Democrats
00:29:25.100 who exercise,
00:29:25.980 so don't get excited
00:29:27.280 and capital letter me.
00:29:28.660 All right.
00:29:33.320 Let's talk about
00:29:34.140 the Musk
00:29:34.920 and Zuckerberg
00:29:35.880 cage match.
00:29:38.280 I just love
00:29:39.180 everything about this story.
00:29:41.260 Just everything
00:29:41.940 about it is funny.
00:29:43.420 So now,
00:29:44.280 Elon Musk's mom,
00:29:46.180 May,
00:29:47.520 has weighed in
00:29:48.400 and she's canceled
00:29:49.760 the fight.
00:29:51.880 She's canceled it.
00:29:52.700 Now,
00:29:56.360 Elon Musk
00:29:57.080 is not aware
00:29:57.700 that it's canceled
00:29:58.360 and neither is Zuckerberg,
00:30:00.340 but May's canceled it.
00:30:03.060 And by the way,
00:30:04.300 I love the way
00:30:05.600 she handled it.
00:30:07.500 She just says,
00:30:08.420 no,
00:30:08.560 it's canceled.
00:30:09.160 It's not happening.
00:30:12.600 You know,
00:30:13.120 she knows she has
00:30:13.860 no authority
00:30:15.540 to cancel anything,
00:30:16.740 but she's pulling
00:30:17.440 her mom authority
00:30:18.320 and she's saying it
00:30:19.380 that way.
00:30:20.020 No,
00:30:20.340 mom authority,
00:30:20.900 this is canceled.
00:30:23.000 Now,
00:30:23.560 I would be so happy
00:30:25.280 if Elon canceled it
00:30:27.220 because his mom said so.
00:30:29.500 Now,
00:30:29.740 I don't think
00:30:30.120 that's going to happen.
00:30:31.260 I think that's very unlikely.
00:30:32.920 But I think
00:30:33.620 that would just be cool.
00:30:36.040 Like,
00:30:36.300 it would just be
00:30:37.260 a fun way
00:30:37.960 to end it.
00:30:39.540 But anyway,
00:30:40.200 May,
00:30:40.560 May Musk suggested
00:30:41.960 that instead
00:30:44.080 of a physical battle,
00:30:45.420 they have a
00:30:46.260 battle of words.
00:30:49.040 So they'd have
00:30:49.500 some kind of
00:30:50.040 a contest
00:30:50.820 there'd be
00:30:51.680 a battle of words,
00:30:53.020 maybe an insult battle.
00:30:55.820 And I thought,
00:30:56.880 well,
00:30:57.020 if it's going to be
00:30:57.580 an insult battle,
00:30:59.300 he's going to need
00:31:00.620 a coach.
00:31:01.720 So I volunteered.
00:31:04.300 Who better
00:31:05.060 to help
00:31:06.720 Elon Musk
00:31:07.560 write some good
00:31:09.220 insults?
00:31:11.040 I mean,
00:31:11.460 that's really
00:31:11.840 sort of my
00:31:12.360 sweet spot.
00:31:14.540 But I saw
00:31:16.860 that some
00:31:17.240 MMA fighter
00:31:18.080 also offered
00:31:18.940 to coach
00:31:20.000 Elon Musk
00:31:20.780 and Elon Musk
00:31:22.000 accepted.
00:31:23.360 He accepted
00:31:24.240 coaching from
00:31:25.160 an MMA
00:31:25.880 star.
00:31:27.040 I didn't recognize
00:31:27.840 his name.
00:31:29.180 But,
00:31:30.360 so he's still
00:31:31.200 acting like he's
00:31:32.020 serious,
00:31:32.660 which is perfect.
00:31:34.340 So I don't know
00:31:35.420 how serious
00:31:35.960 he actually is
00:31:37.160 or Zuckerberg either.
00:31:38.740 I don't know
00:31:39.260 how serious
00:31:39.720 they both are.
00:31:40.720 They're both
00:31:41.200 playing it
00:31:41.840 like it's serious,
00:31:43.380 which is exactly
00:31:44.340 the right thing
00:31:44.960 to do for both of them.
00:31:46.780 Exactly the right thing.
00:31:47.980 Because it just
00:31:48.520 makes him look good.
00:31:49.560 Just makes him
00:31:50.080 look tough.
00:31:51.380 Gives him some
00:31:51.980 attention.
00:31:53.040 Reminds us that
00:31:53.860 Zuckerberg is a
00:31:54.960 jiu-jitsu guy.
00:31:57.260 Reminds us that
00:31:58.080 Musk might be more
00:31:59.020 of a badass
00:31:59.640 than you think.
00:32:00.640 You know,
00:32:00.840 he's not just all
00:32:01.540 about the thinking
00:32:02.240 and the math.
00:32:03.440 He might actually
00:32:04.220 be able to throw
00:32:04.840 a punch.
00:32:05.820 So I think
00:32:06.360 it's just
00:32:06.640 everybody wins.
00:32:08.080 I would like to
00:32:08.960 see them not
00:32:09.500 get hurt.
00:32:10.360 I like that.
00:32:12.620 I don't want
00:32:12.940 to see them
00:32:13.200 get hurt.
00:32:14.980 But it's
00:32:16.180 a wonderful story.
00:32:18.100 All right.
00:32:18.980 Let me test
00:32:19.840 your memory.
00:32:20.940 This is going
00:32:21.280 to be a memory
00:32:21.700 test.
00:32:22.280 We'll see how
00:32:22.620 you do.
00:32:23.780 Do you remember
00:32:24.660 that Ron DeSantis
00:32:25.660 is running
00:32:26.260 for president?
00:32:27.180 Anybody?
00:32:28.800 Anybody remember
00:32:29.700 that?
00:32:30.780 His name is
00:32:31.280 Ron DeSantis.
00:32:34.520 DeSantis?
00:32:35.140 Have you heard
00:32:35.480 that name?
00:32:36.660 I believe he's
00:32:37.540 running for president.
00:32:38.280 And the
00:32:39.760 process he's
00:32:40.540 used to run
00:32:41.900 for president
00:32:42.440 is he's
00:32:43.740 going to act
00:32:44.940 exactly like
00:32:45.880 the most boring
00:32:47.040 cubicle employee
00:32:48.120 in that movie
00:32:48.860 Office Space.
00:32:51.820 Yeah.
00:32:52.760 So he's telling
00:32:54.260 you that he
00:32:54.760 would be,
00:32:55.280 as a president
00:32:56.000 of the United
00:32:56.460 States,
00:32:57.400 he would make
00:32:58.140 a very good
00:32:58.720 governor of a
00:32:59.500 state.
00:33:01.360 Because he's
00:33:02.140 still saying
00:33:02.680 that he's
00:33:03.740 going to be
00:33:04.080 really effective
00:33:04.860 and efficient
00:33:05.500 and get things
00:33:06.200 done.
00:33:09.880 I'm effective.
00:33:12.460 I'm so
00:33:13.160 efficient.
00:33:14.680 In Florida,
00:33:15.780 we've got a
00:33:17.300 lot of things
00:33:18.000 done.
00:33:22.860 I mean,
00:33:23.840 it looks like
00:33:24.800 he's not even
00:33:25.320 trying.
00:33:26.760 But apparently
00:33:27.440 that's what
00:33:27.880 trying looks
00:33:28.380 like.
00:33:29.120 Now, let me
00:33:30.220 say again,
00:33:31.020 I think he's
00:33:31.700 been a really
00:33:32.140 good governor.
00:33:32.740 And I
00:33:35.240 think the
00:33:35.700 skills of a
00:33:36.420 governor are
00:33:37.260 somewhat
00:33:38.320 different.
00:33:39.280 I don't mind
00:33:40.120 when my
00:33:40.520 governor gets
00:33:43.220 all wonky.
00:33:44.480 I would like
00:33:45.340 a little bit
00:33:45.820 more of that
00:33:46.280 in my state.
00:33:47.680 You tell me
00:33:48.460 I would love
00:33:49.680 to see
00:33:50.880 Gavin Newsom
00:33:53.260 just get all
00:33:54.940 wonky and
00:33:55.620 talk about
00:33:56.080 nuclear energy
00:33:56.960 and how we're
00:33:58.860 going to have
00:33:59.180 to build a
00:33:59.780 dam here and
00:34:01.040 do some really
00:34:01.920 like on-the-ground
00:34:02.840 work.
00:34:05.020 I'd love to
00:34:05.640 hear DeSantis
00:34:06.140 talk about
00:34:06.720 work.
00:34:09.380 DeSantis
00:34:09.900 just talks
00:34:10.460 about how
00:34:10.820 bad the
00:34:11.200 others are.
00:34:12.840 DeSantis
00:34:13.220 does the
00:34:13.740 work.
00:34:15.060 So let me
00:34:16.220 be clear.
00:34:16.780 If DeSantis
00:34:17.320 became president,
00:34:18.800 I would be
00:34:19.680 comfortable
00:34:20.540 because he
00:34:21.960 is somebody
00:34:22.480 who does
00:34:22.860 the work.
00:34:23.840 He's a
00:34:24.580 qualified,
00:34:25.920 serious,
00:34:27.920 no-nonsense,
00:34:29.700 effective
00:34:30.340 executive.
00:34:31.920 could be a
00:34:33.660 great president.
00:34:34.920 I just don't
00:34:35.540 know how he
00:34:35.900 could win
00:34:36.380 because he's
00:34:37.880 just too
00:34:38.240 boring.
00:34:39.140 He's not
00:34:39.520 crazy enough.
00:34:40.620 He doesn't
00:34:41.120 know how to
00:34:41.520 get your
00:34:41.840 juices flowing.
00:34:43.160 Every time I
00:34:43.760 listen to him,
00:34:44.360 I'm like,
00:34:45.020 all right,
00:34:45.760 I don't remember
00:34:46.480 anything you
00:34:46.980 said.
00:34:48.520 So he needs
00:34:49.300 to build a
00:34:49.960 wall or do
00:34:50.960 something that's
00:34:51.480 got a little
00:34:51.800 more visual or
00:34:53.020 fear persuasion
00:34:54.060 or something.
00:34:55.880 Got to get
00:34:56.380 our attention.
00:34:56.860 All right.
00:35:01.820 James O'Keefe
00:35:03.020 is making
00:35:05.680 some news
00:35:06.260 with his
00:35:06.600 new organization,
00:35:07.560 OMG.
00:35:10.740 He says he's
00:35:11.880 got evidence
00:35:12.660 that we haven't
00:35:13.180 seen yet.
00:35:14.780 There will be
00:35:15.140 evidence that
00:35:15.740 over 60% of
00:35:16.780 the money
00:35:17.080 involved in
00:35:18.020 what he calls
00:35:19.080 a massive
00:35:19.620 illegal American
00:35:20.440 political donation
00:35:21.320 funding scheme
00:35:22.000 is apparently
00:35:23.100 coming from
00:35:23.700 China.
00:35:24.060 What?
00:35:26.760 Secret illegal
00:35:27.760 political money
00:35:28.600 flowing into
00:35:29.500 the Democrat
00:35:29.980 Party from
00:35:30.680 China.
00:35:32.640 60% of it
00:35:33.780 going into
00:35:34.280 at least some
00:35:34.860 area of
00:35:35.360 funding.
00:35:35.840 I don't know.
00:35:37.200 Now,
00:35:38.380 does that
00:35:38.720 sound true?
00:35:40.520 Do you think
00:35:41.280 that's going to
00:35:41.760 pan out?
00:35:44.900 60% of the
00:35:45.940 money involved
00:35:46.780 in this
00:35:47.560 massive illegal
00:35:49.500 American.
00:35:50.160 So I guess
00:35:50.940 there's two
00:35:51.960 categories of
00:35:52.640 things.
00:35:53.440 One is
00:35:54.000 that there's
00:35:54.460 some illegal
00:35:55.220 category of
00:35:56.020 funding.
00:35:57.220 So it's not
00:35:57.980 all the
00:35:58.420 funding for
00:35:58.860 the Democrats.
00:35:59.480 It's just
00:35:59.780 there's a
00:36:00.280 category of
00:36:00.980 illegal funding.
00:36:02.520 And within
00:36:02.840 that category
00:36:03.480 of illegal
00:36:04.060 funding,
00:36:04.720 60% of it
00:36:05.680 allegedly,
00:36:07.240 according to
00:36:07.720 James O'Keefe,
00:36:08.780 is coming from
00:36:09.600 China.
00:36:10.540 Do you think
00:36:10.880 that's going to
00:36:11.320 pan out?
00:36:13.500 I think I'd
00:36:14.280 bet against it.
00:36:17.440 It's not
00:36:18.140 impossible.
00:36:19.580 Not impossible.
00:36:20.760 In fact,
00:36:21.420 I don't know.
00:36:23.080 There's a
00:36:24.440 very good
00:36:24.900 chance it's
00:36:25.500 true.
00:36:26.500 I'd say the
00:36:26.880 chances of it
00:36:27.420 being true
00:36:27.860 are solid,
00:36:29.180 but I would
00:36:30.220 still bet
00:36:30.860 against it.
00:36:32.540 I don't know.
00:36:34.140 There's something
00:36:34.820 about it that's
00:36:35.560 not quite
00:36:36.360 tripping my
00:36:37.120 credibility
00:36:37.680 trigger here,
00:36:39.260 but maybe.
00:36:41.420 I mean,
00:36:41.920 he says he
00:36:42.800 has the goods,
00:36:43.420 he says we're
00:36:44.000 going to see
00:36:44.340 it, so
00:36:44.940 maybe yes.
00:36:46.360 That's what
00:36:46.960 makes James
00:36:47.500 O'Keefe
00:36:47.840 interesting.
00:36:50.120 Lots of
00:36:50.820 provocative
00:36:51.280 claims, and
00:36:52.160 every now and
00:36:52.840 then he's got
00:36:53.460 the goods, so
00:36:55.200 keep an eye
00:36:55.820 on that.
00:36:57.400 All right,
00:36:57.720 Reuters did a
00:36:58.500 little analysis,
00:36:59.700 didn't come out
00:37:00.380 maybe the way
00:37:00.900 they hoped.
00:37:02.540 They were
00:37:03.160 looking for
00:37:03.760 which presidents
00:37:04.660 in all the
00:37:07.220 history of the
00:37:07.700 United States,
00:37:08.640 which presidents
00:37:09.440 are descended
00:37:10.080 from slaveholders?
00:37:12.920 Which presidents?
00:37:13.700 And I think
00:37:15.700 they might have
00:37:16.260 been disturbed
00:37:16.960 to learn that
00:37:18.340 every single
00:37:19.180 president of the
00:37:19.880 United States,
00:37:20.640 including Obama,
00:37:22.180 was descended
00:37:23.480 from slave owners
00:37:24.620 in the case of
00:37:25.480 Obama on his
00:37:26.340 mother's side.
00:37:27.900 There was one
00:37:28.780 exception.
00:37:30.220 One exception.
00:37:30.980 There's only one
00:37:31.880 American president
00:37:32.640 who has not
00:37:34.080 been descended
00:37:35.840 from slave owners.
00:37:37.540 See who that
00:37:38.060 is.
00:37:38.280 Donald Trump.
00:37:44.900 Donald Trump.
00:37:46.280 He is the only
00:37:47.020 president who has
00:37:47.960 not descended
00:37:48.600 from slave owners.
00:37:51.980 Now, don't you
00:37:53.940 think he should
00:37:54.440 mention that?
00:37:57.100 Don't you think
00:37:57.920 he should mention
00:37:58.460 that?
00:37:59.500 I think so.
00:38:01.320 I think he
00:38:01.920 should mention it.
00:38:03.700 Not that it
00:38:04.480 means anything.
00:38:05.640 All right?
00:38:06.080 It doesn't mean
00:38:06.520 anything.
00:38:06.780 To me,
00:38:08.420 personally,
00:38:09.920 it means nothing
00:38:10.720 whatsoever that
00:38:11.760 somebody was
00:38:12.320 descended from
00:38:13.060 somebody.
00:38:13.620 It doesn't mean
00:38:13.980 anything.
00:38:14.780 I don't care that
00:38:15.660 the KKK were
00:38:16.980 Democrats 50
00:38:18.940 years ago.
00:38:20.060 I don't care.
00:38:21.020 That was a long
00:38:21.740 time ago.
00:38:23.820 But it's a good,
00:38:25.300 fun political
00:38:26.040 point.
00:38:27.380 All right.
00:38:28.340 Jonathan Turley
00:38:29.180 is a great
00:38:31.280 writer, of course,
00:38:32.280 and lawyer,
00:38:33.200 talking about the
00:38:34.240 Hunter defense.
00:38:36.780 So it looks
00:38:38.100 like Democrats
00:38:38.980 are trying to
00:38:39.560 float the idea
00:38:40.620 that if Hunter
00:38:42.080 did anything
00:38:42.680 bad, such as
00:38:44.860 lying that his
00:38:45.800 father was sitting
00:38:46.520 next to him when
00:38:47.220 he was extorting
00:38:48.040 some Chinese guy
00:38:49.080 on the phone,
00:38:50.280 that anything he
00:38:51.160 did that was
00:38:51.600 bad might have
00:38:54.100 been done under
00:38:54.720 the context of
00:38:55.600 him being an
00:38:56.160 addict, and so
00:38:57.480 you should go
00:38:57.940 easy on him.
00:38:58.600 It's basically
00:38:59.200 just all part of
00:39:00.140 him being an
00:39:00.700 addict, which he's
00:39:01.820 now recovered from,
00:39:03.420 I think.
00:39:04.020 I don't know.
00:39:06.340 But as Turley
00:39:07.220 points out, the
00:39:08.020 Hunter was an
00:39:08.660 addict defense
00:39:09.460 has one problem,
00:39:11.800 which is they've
00:39:13.420 also been
00:39:14.020 presenting him as
00:39:15.120 a capable business
00:39:16.140 person who earned
00:39:17.140 every penny he got
00:39:18.200 by being on the
00:39:19.480 board of Burisma.
00:39:21.940 He can't be both.
00:39:23.640 He can't be the
00:39:24.940 addict who is so
00:39:26.240 out of it that he
00:39:29.120 doesn't, he has no
00:39:30.120 control over his
00:39:31.040 actions, but he
00:39:32.660 also earned every
00:39:33.560 penny he got with
00:39:34.660 these overseas
00:39:35.300 companies by doing
00:39:36.320 his good works of
00:39:37.260 some kind.
00:39:38.760 That's a little bit
00:39:41.100 of a stretch, a
00:39:42.180 little hard sell.
00:39:44.200 Anyway, Turley is
00:39:45.340 great.
00:39:46.940 All right, so now
00:39:47.520 we've got a situation
00:39:48.440 where we've got this
00:39:50.160 WhatsApp message
00:39:51.200 discovered in which
00:39:52.640 Hunter seemed to
00:39:53.780 be soliciting a
00:39:55.560 bribe from China
00:39:56.940 and saying that his
00:39:58.780 father was in on
00:39:59.640 it.
00:40:00.260 That's the indication.
00:40:01.800 It doesn't mean it's
00:40:02.500 true, it's just
00:40:03.280 allegations.
00:40:05.540 At the same time,
00:40:06.480 we've, what a
00:40:07.620 coincidence, at the
00:40:08.400 same time, we've got
00:40:09.140 this audio about
00:40:10.660 Trump's handling of
00:40:11.760 the classified
00:40:12.280 documents, which
00:40:13.660 some say makes him
00:40:16.340 look like he's
00:40:17.420 confessing, which I
00:40:19.240 think is a little
00:40:19.820 murky, but that's the
00:40:21.540 story.
00:40:22.800 Now, here's what
00:40:25.340 this boils down to,
00:40:27.540 and I'm not making
00:40:28.540 this up.
00:40:29.920 The primary reason
00:40:31.420 that Biden and
00:40:32.500 Trump are likely to
00:40:33.620 run against each
00:40:34.460 other is the
00:40:36.180 following.
00:40:37.300 It's the only way
00:40:38.460 either of them can
00:40:39.260 stay in a jail.
00:40:42.060 They both need to
00:40:43.260 pardon themselves.
00:40:44.540 It's a pardon
00:40:45.300 election.
00:40:46.280 We're seeing which
00:40:47.040 one of them gets to
00:40:47.900 pardon themselves and
00:40:48.840 stay in a jail.
00:40:52.000 Am I wrong?
00:40:53.560 I don't think either
00:40:54.760 of them would be
00:40:55.420 running for office if
00:40:56.500 they didn't need to
00:40:57.100 stay in a jail, and
00:40:59.100 you know, but Trump
00:41:00.820 may be thinking
00:41:01.480 differently, I think.
00:41:02.760 I mean, Trump may be
00:41:03.520 running for revenge as
00:41:05.160 well, but you don't
00:41:06.520 think it matters to
00:41:07.440 him that he has all
00:41:08.340 these legal difficulties,
00:41:09.540 and it sure would be
00:41:11.300 convenient if he also
00:41:13.720 happened to be the
00:41:14.500 only person that can
00:41:15.320 pardon somebody.
00:41:16.420 Wouldn't that be
00:41:17.040 convenient?
00:41:18.440 I think that history is
00:41:20.240 forcing us to find out
00:41:22.120 if a president can
00:41:23.220 pardon him or herself.
00:41:24.700 Don't you think
00:41:26.680 Trump's going to test
00:41:27.540 that?
00:41:29.380 And Biden might
00:41:30.300 test it, too.
00:41:31.580 You know, if Biden
00:41:32.300 stays in office, he'll
00:41:33.160 test it.
00:41:34.040 But I think that
00:41:34.760 Trump, if he went in
00:41:36.020 office, the first thing
00:41:36.900 he'd do is pardon
00:41:37.600 himself from everything,
00:41:38.760 and everybody would be
00:41:40.000 fine with it.
00:41:40.620 Just get rid of all
00:41:41.600 that stuff.
00:41:42.160 He just won the
00:41:42.760 election.
00:41:45.240 Well, so, just think
00:41:50.040 about this situation.
00:41:52.200 Right?
00:41:52.340 If you're an American,
00:41:53.300 just think about this.
00:41:56.100 In the, let's call it
00:41:57.320 the second tier of
00:41:58.920 candidates, you've got
00:42:01.180 Vivek Ramaswamy,
00:42:04.560 Republican.
00:42:05.600 You've got RFK Jr.,
00:42:07.600 Democrat.
00:42:09.320 I would be completely
00:42:11.260 happy with either of
00:42:12.660 those two people as my
00:42:13.740 president.
00:42:15.140 I think they're in it
00:42:16.200 for the right reasons.
00:42:17.880 They're both brilliant.
00:42:19.600 They're both patriots.
00:42:20.760 They have some, you
00:42:21.980 know, policy
00:42:22.760 disagreements, but not
00:42:24.240 the crazy kind.
00:42:25.940 You know what I'm
00:42:26.400 saying?
00:42:27.220 If you saw Vivek and
00:42:29.320 RFK Jr.
00:42:31.080 debate, you wouldn't
00:42:32.920 find much difference
00:42:33.920 because both of them
00:42:35.840 are factual based.
00:42:39.480 And I think both of
00:42:40.940 them would change their
00:42:41.880 minds right in front of
00:42:43.480 you if the data, if some
00:42:46.060 new data arrived.
00:42:46.960 I think both of them
00:42:48.540 would publicly change
00:42:50.340 their minds with better
00:42:51.900 data.
00:42:52.860 How much better could you
00:42:53.820 do, right?
00:42:55.220 As a president.
00:42:55.880 If you wanted to have a
00:42:56.760 president, could you do
00:42:58.560 better than somebody who
00:42:59.600 is completely a patriot,
00:43:01.060 no doubt about it,
00:43:02.580 hugely talented, hugely
00:43:05.000 talented, does not have,
00:43:07.380 you know, any kind of a
00:43:08.840 past that's going to be a
00:43:11.240 problem, right?
00:43:12.500 I think RFK Jr.
00:43:13.680 has a really interesting
00:43:14.660 past.
00:43:15.120 But it's kind of
00:43:16.360 personal stuff.
00:43:17.320 There's not really
00:43:17.940 anything that bothers
00:43:19.640 us.
00:43:19.960 He's got the vaccine
00:43:20.760 stuff he has to explain,
00:43:21.940 but I told you how he
00:43:22.620 could do that pretty
00:43:23.220 easily.
00:43:24.300 So our second tier of
00:43:25.880 candidates, and I would
00:43:26.720 include DeSantis in
00:43:28.400 there, a solid, solid
00:43:30.300 patriot, a solid
00:43:33.140 operator, right?
00:43:35.580 Any one of these
00:43:36.600 candidates, and you could
00:43:38.020 add three or four more,
00:43:39.940 any one of them I would
00:43:41.460 be really happy to have
00:43:42.440 as my president, Democrat
00:43:43.780 or Republican.
00:43:45.120 In this case.
00:43:47.080 And, but the two who
00:43:48.480 are running are the only
00:43:49.320 two who are a problem.
00:43:50.880 Tim Scott.
00:43:52.020 Tim Scott, a highly
00:43:52.940 qualified candidate.
00:43:54.680 Right?
00:43:55.400 But think about it.
00:43:56.420 The two who are likely
00:43:57.720 to be in the general
00:43:58.540 election are the two who
00:44:00.280 are probably running at
00:44:01.580 least in part to pardon
00:44:02.920 themselves for major
00:44:03.960 crimes.
00:44:07.300 Felonies.
00:44:07.820 Now, in my opinion, Trump's
00:44:11.760 alleged felonies, you know,
00:44:14.040 are a little more trivial.
00:44:16.640 If everything said about
00:44:18.240 both people is true, Trump's
00:44:19.960 would be trivial, in my
00:44:21.720 opinion, whereas Biden's is
00:44:23.780 pretty serious, in my
00:44:25.160 opinion.
00:44:25.900 And it's all alleged, so we're
00:44:27.660 just guessing at this point.
00:44:30.380 But how did we get here?
00:44:32.060 How did we get so we have
00:44:33.180 some of the best, solid,
00:44:35.060 real candidates, genuine
00:44:37.200 candidates, best, the best
00:44:39.180 group we've ever had, and
00:44:41.100 they won't get to run because
00:44:42.340 the two top people are trying
00:44:43.480 to stay out of jail?
00:44:45.260 In part.
00:44:46.620 In part.
00:44:47.100 I mean, I don't think that
00:44:50.660 could be worse, could it?
00:44:53.600 And maybe something will
00:44:54.800 change.
00:44:56.220 You know, if Biden dropped
00:44:57.780 out, and whoever was
00:45:01.980 leading in the polls promised
00:45:03.260 to pardon them both, would
00:45:07.600 Trump drop out?
00:45:12.200 Probably not.
00:45:12.940 He's a fighter.
00:45:13.660 I think he'd want to win.
00:45:15.120 Yeah.
00:45:15.220 All right.
00:45:17.280 Probably not.
00:45:21.360 I saw some reporting from
00:45:22.960 Jesse Waters on Fox News
00:45:25.160 saying that Hunter allegedly
00:45:28.800 paid for Joe Biden's burner
00:45:31.060 phone while Joe was in
00:45:32.660 office as vice president.
00:45:36.240 He had a burner phone.
00:45:40.560 So I guess Biden had three
00:45:42.940 phones.
00:45:43.400 He had a personal phone, a
00:45:46.680 business phone, and a
00:45:49.000 burner.
00:45:54.040 You should put him in jail
00:45:55.300 just for having a burner
00:45:56.400 phone.
00:45:57.680 Well, I don't think that's
00:45:58.800 illegal.
00:46:00.460 But if your president has a
00:46:03.040 burner phone, next, let me
00:46:08.520 say that again.
00:46:09.100 If your candidate has a burner
00:46:11.980 phone for anything, next, maybe
00:46:19.320 Vivek and RFK Jr. have burner
00:46:22.100 phones.
00:46:23.220 But I don't think so.
00:46:25.220 You know what I think they do
00:46:26.280 instead?
00:46:27.660 I think instead they don't say
00:46:29.380 things on phones that are
00:46:31.000 criminal behavior.
00:46:33.100 Just a guess.
00:46:34.780 Just a guess.
00:46:35.520 I'll bet Vivek doesn't need a
00:46:37.760 burner phone because he never
00:46:39.540 does anything illegal.
00:46:41.780 And if he did, he wouldn't do
00:46:43.020 it on the phone.
00:46:45.960 Isn't that a better way to go?
00:46:47.940 Maybe somebody who doesn't need
00:46:49.620 the burner phone?
00:46:51.440 I mean, that should be like a
00:46:52.740 minimum requirement for your
00:46:54.100 candidate.
00:46:55.120 So, have you ever felt you needed
00:46:57.460 a burner phone?
00:46:58.360 If the answer is yes, you don't
00:47:01.840 need to ask any further
00:47:03.160 questions.
00:47:04.160 If you've ever had a burner
00:47:05.860 phone, next.
00:47:11.800 All right.
00:47:14.800 There's some more allegations,
00:47:17.180 this time from Ken Akoa the
00:47:18.860 Great, who's got a great website
00:47:21.080 and his threads, I don't know who
00:47:24.540 he is, but his threads are more
00:47:25.960 insightful than other people, which
00:47:27.780 makes me very curious what his
00:47:29.280 real identity is.
00:47:30.860 I don't know how he continuously
00:47:33.040 gets more scoopy material than
00:47:35.460 other people.
00:47:36.900 But he says, I'll just read what
00:47:39.920 he says in his tweet.
00:47:41.920 In a groundbreaking revelation
00:47:43.400 has come to light that Dr.
00:47:44.860 Peter Hotez, he's the one who
00:47:46.920 RFK Jr. wants to debate, an
00:47:49.760 esteemed vaccine researcher has
00:47:51.980 been entangled in a web of funding
00:47:53.920 collaboration and research with
00:47:55.500 Chinese military scientists,
00:47:56.960 potentially involved in the
00:47:58.780 development of COVID-19.
00:48:00.140 The intricate tale weaves together
00:48:01.720 key Chinese military virologists
00:48:04.140 and culminates in the smoking gun
00:48:06.300 evidence surrounding COVID-19's
00:48:08.320 notorious fur and cleavage site.
00:48:11.640 Now, let's do an analysis on here to
00:48:15.060 pick the propaganda.
00:48:17.140 All right.
00:48:18.060 Propaganda doesn't come from just one
00:48:20.080 side.
00:48:20.500 If you saw the Democrats say a story
00:48:24.640 that something had come to light
00:48:28.820 and that somebody was, quote,
00:48:31.860 entangled in a web of funding
00:48:33.740 collaboration and research with, you
00:48:36.800 know, bad characters, China, and
00:48:40.220 there was another word here that I'm
00:48:45.160 looking for, potentially, potentially
00:48:49.360 involved in the development of
00:48:51.160 COVID-19.
00:48:53.400 Sounds a little sketchy, doesn't it?
00:48:56.560 That it's about, there's a definite
00:48:58.960 connection to somebody who's potentially
00:49:02.560 connected to something.
00:49:03.960 That's like not a connection.
00:49:05.460 It would be a connection if you knew
00:49:08.240 they were connected.
00:49:09.480 That's a connection.
00:49:10.780 But to say that somebody is
00:49:12.320 potentially related to something
00:49:16.680 says you don't know.
00:49:19.220 That's like we cannot determine there's
00:49:21.460 a connection.
00:49:23.200 I feel like this was written in an
00:49:27.020 anti-Dr. Hotez way that seems deeply
00:49:31.360 unfair.
00:49:32.800 And I'm not saying that there's nothing
00:49:34.820 to it.
00:49:35.800 I don't know.
00:49:36.920 I'm just saying that, boy, you
00:49:39.540 wouldn't want to see your own name
00:49:40.800 in this, would you?
00:49:42.840 Imagine if this is you.
00:49:45.100 And you get on social media and you
00:49:47.060 see that somebody's accusing you of
00:49:49.120 doing this dirty work with Chinese
00:49:50.740 military scientists, but the
00:49:52.880 strongest word to connect you is the
00:49:54.520 word potentially.
00:49:56.080 Potentially they were working on
00:49:57.400 COVID-19.
00:49:59.820 That's really, that's seriously messed
00:50:02.540 up, in my opinion.
00:50:03.500 Might be true.
00:50:06.040 I mean, there might be something to
00:50:07.220 it, but I don't know.
00:50:08.660 I think you need a little more than
00:50:09.980 that to go public.
00:50:14.300 Rasmussen did a poll on RFK Jr.
00:50:17.160 talking about his chances.
00:50:18.960 And nearly half of voters have a
00:50:20.460 favorable opinion of RFK Jr.
00:50:23.280 And among Democrat voters, more than a
00:50:25.380 third think he could win the nomination.
00:50:27.780 One-third think he could win the
00:50:30.280 nomination.
00:50:32.860 That's bigger than it used to be, I'll
00:50:34.440 bet.
00:50:35.800 I'll bet it's grown.
00:50:38.320 So far he's doing the best campaign
00:50:41.760 that I've seen.
00:50:45.000 Ever?
00:50:46.680 Maybe ever.
00:50:47.900 Yeah, I'm going to double down.
00:50:49.960 I think RFK Jr.
00:50:51.580 is running the best campaign that I've
00:50:53.160 ever seen.
00:50:54.880 Now he's doing what Vivek is doing.
00:50:57.580 So, you know, there's, those two guys
00:50:59.820 have a lot in common, and it's in a
00:51:01.740 good way.
00:51:02.180 Um, so, uh, that's weird.
00:51:12.960 All right, just a weird meme.
00:51:15.200 Um, so anyway, I've got a feeling that
00:51:20.220 RFK Jr.'s willingness to talk to
00:51:23.340 anybody, his, his viral videos, he went
00:51:26.700 down to the border.
00:51:27.780 So far, the expense for RFK Jr., the
00:51:31.700 expense, is him holding his phone out.
00:51:35.080 That's his expense.
00:51:36.240 And travel.
00:51:37.040 Basically just personal travel, and him
00:51:39.500 talking to his phone.
00:51:40.800 So he goes down to the border, holds up
00:51:43.300 his phone, you know, does a selfie
00:51:45.220 video, and it's very, it's very good.
00:51:48.240 Made national news, you know, identified
00:51:51.920 him with concern for the, the border,
00:51:54.960 which you don't expect from a Democrat
00:51:57.200 in this day and age.
00:51:58.300 So he, he went counter to, uh, counter to
00:52:02.940 the Democrat profile of trying to avoid
00:52:05.260 that issue.
00:52:05.940 He went right at it.
00:52:07.400 So that makes news.
00:52:09.220 That, that's a man bites dog, because
00:52:11.520 Democrat is not supposed to go to the
00:52:13.360 border and say it's a problem.
00:52:15.200 Perfect.
00:52:15.680 And all it cost him was travel, and he
00:52:19.800 held up his phone.
00:52:21.560 That was it.
00:52:23.200 Then he does, then he does this video,
00:52:25.960 releases a video of him working out with
00:52:28.100 his shirt off.
00:52:30.200 Super effective.
00:52:31.400 It's like the thing we all talked about
00:52:32.900 as much as that stupid submarine.
00:52:35.900 Right?
00:52:36.740 Totally effective.
00:52:37.600 And then he goes on every podcast,
00:52:40.640 including ones that are going to give
00:52:42.040 him a hard time, left or right.
00:52:45.200 And the other candidates are looking
00:52:46.780 like cowards.
00:52:48.200 Except for Vivek, right?
00:52:50.140 Vivek, I think, is modeling.
00:52:52.540 I feel like RFK Jr. might be borrowing
00:52:54.720 from Vivek, who's sort of the, the OG
00:52:57.840 of using the podcast as a primary push.
00:53:01.400 So, great job on campaigning.
00:53:06.140 So I would expect him to keep rising.
00:53:10.420 I'll say again that my, somebody said
00:53:12.500 I was in the bag for RFK Jr.
00:53:15.420 And that's not true.
00:53:16.920 I'm still, I'm still endorsing Ramaswamy.
00:53:20.460 Now I'm a single issue voter on fentanyl,
00:53:22.680 so that's, that's a big part of it.
00:53:24.580 But Ramaswamy's great.
00:53:26.720 And I would say that my, my ideal situation
00:53:29.760 for the next presidential election,
00:53:31.920 and maybe you could agree with me,
00:53:33.940 the ideal situation is you're happy
00:53:36.820 no matter who wins.
00:53:39.100 Have you ever been in that situation before?
00:53:43.060 I was in that situation once.
00:53:46.240 When Gore ran against Bush,
00:53:49.980 I actually would have been, you know,
00:53:51.520 about, felt about the same
00:53:52.680 no matter which one won,
00:53:54.080 which is why I didn't care too much
00:53:55.560 that it went to Bush.
00:53:57.240 I preferred Gore.
00:53:58.220 I know you don't like him on climate change,
00:54:01.360 but I always thought he was a serious guy.
00:54:04.240 Climate change, you can have your questions
00:54:05.840 and I'll, I'll give you that.
00:54:08.100 But that was, that was the closest I came
00:54:10.880 to thinking that the candidates
00:54:12.860 were kind of a coin toss.
00:54:15.500 Now, as it turns out,
00:54:16.680 Bush started a, a major unnecessary war.
00:54:20.580 Maybe Gore would not have.
00:54:22.920 Maybe Gore would not have.
00:54:24.440 I don't know.
00:54:27.100 So, but anyway, I'd love, you know,
00:54:30.280 a contest between RFK Jr. and Ramaswamy.
00:54:34.620 I'd feel pretty comfortable with the country,
00:54:36.900 whichever way that went.
00:54:38.380 Now I'm going to give you
00:54:39.300 my most provocative thought.
00:54:40.940 Are you ready?
00:54:42.360 If you're a Democrat
00:54:43.400 and you don't like Republicans,
00:54:46.180 who do you want to be your president?
00:54:49.540 Seems like a simple question, right?
00:54:51.520 You're a Democrat.
00:54:52.680 You don't like your Republicans.
00:54:54.420 They're doing all the wrong policy stuff.
00:54:56.860 So who do you want to be your president?
00:54:59.040 A Democrat, right?
00:55:00.060 Obviously, obviously a Democrat.
00:55:01.780 No, you're wrong.
00:55:03.280 That would be the dumbest way to play it.
00:55:06.200 If you don't like Republicans
00:55:07.800 and they're your biggest problem,
00:55:09.580 you know, everything the Republicans
00:55:10.800 doing is a problem,
00:55:12.320 your best case scenario
00:55:13.880 is a Republican that changes
00:55:15.380 the Republicans.
00:55:17.580 That's your best case scenario.
00:55:18.820 It's called Trump.
00:55:21.460 Do you remember,
00:55:22.420 actually a lot of you are,
00:55:24.320 most of you are probably right-leaning
00:55:25.600 so you don't remember this at all,
00:55:27.240 but let me tell you,
00:55:28.860 Republicans used to be a lot scarier.
00:55:31.560 Do you know that?
00:55:33.180 Are you aware of that?
00:55:34.620 Republicans used to look like the crazy ones
00:55:37.140 because they seemed more war-like, crazy, right?
00:55:42.580 Trump changed that.
00:55:44.100 Trump turned the Republicans
00:55:45.820 into the anti-war party.
00:55:47.280 He did that.
00:55:48.860 I think he did that alone, right?
00:55:51.740 And that was one of the big reasons I liked him
00:55:53.700 because he was going to take some of the crazy
00:55:56.340 out of the Republicans.
00:55:57.820 Now, I'm going to offend some of you now,
00:55:59.920 but it has to be done
00:56:00.840 in the interest of, you know,
00:56:03.580 being useful and honest.
00:56:05.720 It has to be done.
00:56:08.580 20 years ago,
00:56:10.140 the Republicans looked a little too religious.
00:56:13.140 And by that I mean we didn't care,
00:56:17.460 not we, but other people,
00:56:18.880 didn't care what they believed.
00:56:20.980 They just didn't want that belief
00:56:22.380 to become their policies.
00:56:24.120 They didn't want policies
00:56:25.280 that were religiously inspired.
00:56:28.600 Abortion's kind of a special case
00:56:30.200 because it's sort of a life-and-death situation.
00:56:32.900 There's nothing like it.
00:56:34.060 Don't make any analogies to abortion
00:56:35.880 or the Holocaust.
00:56:37.780 There's nothing like them.
00:56:38.960 So any analogy to the Holocaust
00:56:42.640 or abortion just fails immediately
00:56:45.720 because they're too unique.
00:56:48.440 Now, I'll make the same argument.
00:56:50.320 So the argument about Trump
00:56:51.580 is he took the crazy out of the Republicans
00:56:53.960 and made me very comfortable
00:56:56.360 enjoying the Republicans.
00:57:00.940 I would say it changed me
00:57:02.600 because I had always been,
00:57:04.860 you know, policy-wise,
00:57:07.060 I'd always been pretty liberal,
00:57:09.960 you know, let people do
00:57:11.280 what they want to do.
00:57:12.960 But the Republicans were scary to me
00:57:16.120 because they were saying,
00:57:17.540 God is telling me to do this,
00:57:19.340 and I don't like that.
00:57:21.720 I don't like that.
00:57:23.560 I want you to tell me
00:57:24.680 why you want to do it
00:57:25.740 and give me reasons
00:57:26.780 and risks and benefits
00:57:28.060 and show me the budget
00:57:29.460 and tell me what's going to break
00:57:30.820 if you do it.
00:57:32.120 I like that.
00:57:33.240 That's what Trump does.
00:57:34.700 Trump tells you why he's doing it.
00:57:37.060 Here's why I'm doing this.
00:57:39.300 Okay, good.
00:57:40.280 Don't tell me that God told you to do it.
00:57:42.340 Then I get scared
00:57:43.240 because I don't know
00:57:44.780 if your God's my God.
00:57:46.320 I don't know which God
00:57:47.400 you're listening to,
00:57:48.580 which demon sounding like a God
00:57:50.460 is talking to you,
00:57:51.560 but that's scary stuff.
00:57:53.560 Trump got rid of all of that
00:57:55.360 while still being respectful
00:57:58.660 to religion,
00:58:00.480 very respectful to religion,
00:58:02.340 which I like.
00:58:03.460 I like being respectful to religion.
00:58:04.960 So I think Trump
00:58:07.800 normalized the Republican Party.
00:58:11.500 That's what I think.
00:58:13.860 If you had been a Democrat,
00:58:15.420 the best possible president
00:58:17.120 you could have had
00:58:17.760 would have been Trump
00:58:18.540 and you got what you wanted,
00:58:20.760 I think.
00:58:22.960 Now, RFK Jr.
00:58:24.240 maybe could do the same thing
00:58:26.000 to Democrats
00:58:26.680 because the Democrats
00:58:28.080 have been, you know,
00:58:29.280 captured by the
00:58:31.080 actually literally medically,
00:58:33.860 clinically, mentally ill
00:58:35.060 part of the party.
00:58:36.020 There's no doubt about that.
00:58:37.760 They've been captured
00:58:38.520 by the mentally ill part
00:58:39.800 of the party.
00:58:41.640 RFK Jr. is not crazy.
00:58:44.300 If he were to win,
00:58:46.180 he would be the Democrat.
00:58:47.980 I want to be the president
00:58:49.340 because he would fix Democrats.
00:58:52.780 Do you get that?
00:58:54.060 He would fix Democrats.
00:58:55.400 I want them fixed,
00:58:57.240 just like I wanted Republicans fixed.
00:58:59.060 So, for me,
00:59:01.540 I could live with that situation
00:59:03.420 even not lining up
00:59:05.700 with all of his policies necessarily.
00:59:07.700 I don't know if I do, actually.
00:59:09.300 Maybe I do.
00:59:10.520 You know,
00:59:10.760 if he explained all his policies
00:59:12.200 in some detail,
00:59:13.060 maybe I'd like them.
00:59:14.500 But it's not about policy.
00:59:16.160 It's just about
00:59:16.660 we have two candidates
00:59:18.540 that can take the crazy
00:59:19.740 out of both sides
00:59:20.660 and that would be good.
00:59:23.320 All right.
00:59:23.900 There's a viral video
00:59:29.580 of a bunch of Russian women
00:59:31.520 in some big gathering
00:59:32.840 dancing and celebrating
00:59:34.740 in Moscow.
00:59:35.760 And I think the celebration
00:59:36.900 was related to
00:59:38.440 maybe Prigozhin being,
00:59:40.820 you know,
00:59:41.860 pushed away or something.
00:59:43.440 But instead of commenting
00:59:45.740 on the politics of it,
00:59:47.320 the Internet has decided
00:59:49.120 to comment on the weight
00:59:51.360 of the women.
00:59:53.860 Well, that became the story.
00:59:56.000 And the reason
00:59:57.960 it became a huge comment
00:59:59.520 is there were no
01:00:01.040 overweight women
01:00:02.420 in this enormous crowd.
01:00:06.100 There weren't any.
01:00:07.500 Or I'll say
01:00:08.100 there were no obese women.
01:00:09.320 There were no obese women
01:00:10.420 in this huge,
01:00:12.260 gigantic crowd of women.
01:00:15.500 What's up with that?
01:00:18.680 Do you think
01:00:19.500 they're eating different food
01:00:20.540 over there?
01:00:21.360 What do you think
01:00:23.440 is going on?
01:00:25.980 Well,
01:00:26.580 they're definitely
01:00:27.700 taking fewer
01:00:28.640 pharma products.
01:00:33.420 That's a fact, right?
01:00:34.960 America just,
01:00:36.040 you know,
01:00:36.400 there's tons of products.
01:00:39.000 I would argue
01:00:40.060 that also in America,
01:00:42.340 weight has gone through
01:00:44.880 a psychological change here
01:00:46.900 so that the
01:00:48.380 be okay with your body
01:00:49.980 people are making
01:00:51.520 a lot of progress.
01:00:52.980 The people who are saying,
01:00:54.400 you know,
01:00:54.760 being overweight
01:00:55.440 is, you know,
01:00:56.500 just a personal choice.
01:00:58.060 Leave me alone.
01:00:59.620 They've, yeah,
01:01:00.460 the fat acceptance.
01:01:01.440 I think fat acceptance
01:01:02.500 has become normal
01:01:03.480 in America
01:01:04.000 and the obvious
01:01:06.500 predictable impact
01:01:07.820 of that
01:01:08.200 would be more people
01:01:09.240 saying,
01:01:09.600 oh,
01:01:10.540 you mean I can just
01:01:11.320 not work out
01:01:12.040 and people won't
01:01:12.780 mock me?
01:01:13.320 I can just buy
01:01:14.260 two seats on the plane
01:01:15.320 and that's acceptable now
01:01:16.640 and it is.
01:01:18.700 I mean,
01:01:19.000 it's more acceptable
01:01:19.680 than at any time
01:01:20.980 in history.
01:01:21.540 So you're always
01:01:22.360 going to get more
01:01:23.020 of whatever you
01:01:23.880 incentivize
01:01:25.300 and less of whatever
01:01:26.480 you put some friction on.
01:01:28.480 Now,
01:01:29.020 if you're in,
01:01:29.980 if you're a young woman
01:01:31.460 in Moscow,
01:01:32.500 do you think that
01:01:35.240 if you became obese,
01:01:37.660 your outcomes in life
01:01:39.140 would still look good
01:01:40.120 and you think
01:01:40.860 that's working out
01:01:41.720 and nobody
01:01:42.760 would mention it
01:01:43.440 to you?
01:01:44.900 I don't know.
01:01:46.560 I mean,
01:01:46.820 I don't know
01:01:47.180 what the culture
01:01:47.660 is there.
01:01:48.800 But it's not clear
01:01:50.220 to me if this is
01:01:51.220 because their food
01:01:52.140 source is cleaner,
01:01:53.500 which may in fact
01:01:54.860 be the case,
01:01:56.140 their prescription
01:01:58.780 drug taking
01:01:59.500 is much less,
01:02:01.200 maybe,
01:02:02.160 or it might be
01:02:03.500 in the culture
01:02:04.120 where they're
01:02:05.940 incentivized
01:02:07.660 to look,
01:02:08.540 let's say,
01:02:10.420 incentivized
01:02:11.260 to look like
01:02:11.940 they're good
01:02:14.520 for marriage,
01:02:15.940 meaning they look
01:02:16.600 like they can
01:02:17.120 produce children
01:02:17.840 so they're healthy.
01:02:21.180 Yeah.
01:02:22.100 Could be.
01:02:22.540 So I don't know
01:02:23.220 what it is.
01:02:23.540 There's probably
01:02:23.880 a number of factors,
01:02:25.260 but I remember
01:02:25.740 looking at the,
01:02:26.460 there's an old
01:02:27.160 video that had
01:02:28.980 been colorized
01:02:29.800 from, I don't know,
01:02:30.560 1920s or some
01:02:31.980 early time in New York,
01:02:33.420 and you would see
01:02:34.320 thousands of people
01:02:35.680 walk by in the streets,
01:02:37.500 adults,
01:02:38.520 and no obesity.
01:02:41.260 None.
01:02:42.720 In all of New York City.
01:02:44.800 You could just
01:02:45.420 watch that video
01:02:46.420 for like minutes
01:02:48.040 at a time.
01:02:48.900 People are walking
01:02:49.600 by, there are no
01:02:50.280 overweight people.
01:02:52.540 So that, I mean,
01:02:53.580 I think that has
01:02:54.200 probably mostly
01:02:55.140 to do with food
01:02:55.940 more than anything.
01:02:58.680 So the Russian diet
01:03:00.140 is obscene carbs.
01:03:03.600 You know,
01:03:03.900 the men don't seem
01:03:04.780 that thin, do they?
01:03:06.880 I don't think the men
01:03:07.880 are that thin.
01:03:08.360 Bergogian looks like
01:03:10.520 he's a little plump.
01:03:12.420 All right, anyway,
01:03:13.140 that became a big thing.
01:03:16.240 I've told you that
01:03:17.180 I think AI is not
01:03:18.560 as scary as other
01:03:19.520 people, right?
01:03:20.240 Have you heard me
01:03:20.760 say that?
01:03:21.980 That AI, I think
01:03:23.200 we're exaggerating
01:03:23.960 the risk from it.
01:03:26.740 Mark Andreessen
01:03:27.660 has done a very long
01:03:29.600 thread, and he's
01:03:30.680 written about it.
01:03:31.280 And his opinion
01:03:32.400 is the same,
01:03:33.880 that people are
01:03:34.920 freaking out about
01:03:35.800 AI, but it's just
01:03:37.020 code, and it's not
01:03:37.980 going to attack you,
01:03:38.680 and it doesn't want
01:03:39.440 to kill you.
01:03:40.380 Now, his argument
01:03:41.140 is that code
01:03:42.120 doesn't have opinions.
01:03:44.320 So it's not going
01:03:45.180 to want anything,
01:03:47.220 right?
01:03:47.580 So AI is not going
01:03:48.760 to independently
01:03:49.400 want to kill you
01:03:51.100 because it didn't
01:03:52.400 evolve to be
01:03:53.400 competitive with
01:03:54.140 humans, right?
01:03:55.840 We want to kill
01:03:56.820 each other because
01:03:57.420 we evolved that way
01:03:58.480 with those impulses.
01:04:00.220 But AI isn't
01:04:01.420 going to have
01:04:01.720 any, you know,
01:04:02.960 any two million
01:04:04.160 years of evolution
01:04:05.100 impulses in it.
01:04:06.800 It's just going to
01:04:07.620 be working with
01:04:08.920 the facts.
01:04:10.140 Now, of course,
01:04:11.020 it's picking up
01:04:11.600 some opinions
01:04:12.400 from patterns
01:04:13.580 and stuff like
01:04:14.260 that, but they're
01:04:15.060 not translating
01:04:15.800 into I want to
01:04:16.580 kill you in a
01:04:18.500 real way.
01:04:19.220 Now, I don't
01:04:19.900 think he addressed
01:04:20.780 the accidental
01:04:22.820 hypothesis.
01:04:25.520 It's not that AI
01:04:26.580 will want to kill
01:04:27.580 you like it wants
01:04:28.740 to compete with
01:04:29.460 you in real
01:04:30.200 rub you out.
01:04:30.920 I don't think
01:04:31.420 that's a risk,
01:04:32.300 honestly.
01:04:33.100 Here's what I'd
01:04:33.820 be worried about.
01:04:34.660 I'd be worried
01:04:35.080 about an individual
01:04:36.140 weaponizing it.
01:04:38.640 That's a risk,
01:04:39.920 right?
01:04:40.780 You know, one
01:04:41.220 individual having
01:04:42.040 the power to
01:04:42.940 change minds
01:04:44.260 anywhere in the
01:04:44.860 world through
01:04:45.520 manipulating images
01:04:47.180 and stuff.
01:04:48.800 That's pretty
01:04:49.500 scary.
01:04:50.340 But I think
01:04:51.320 we'll figure out
01:04:52.000 how to work
01:04:52.820 our way through
01:04:53.340 it like we do
01:04:54.400 with most things.
01:04:56.120 So his opinion
01:04:57.540 matches my own
01:04:58.880 at the top
01:04:59.600 level, some
01:05:00.580 of the details
01:05:01.380 we might talk
01:05:02.740 about.
01:05:03.400 But at the top
01:05:04.100 level, I agree
01:05:04.780 with him that
01:05:05.240 AI is going to
01:05:06.020 be almost all
01:05:07.400 positive.
01:05:09.520 That's what I
01:05:10.180 think.
01:05:10.500 I think almost
01:05:11.100 all positive.
01:05:12.220 We will have to
01:05:12.960 work hard to make
01:05:14.580 sure the potential
01:05:15.540 problems don't
01:05:16.400 become real
01:05:16.880 problems, but I
01:05:17.800 feel we'll be
01:05:18.620 fine.
01:05:19.460 This would be,
01:05:20.520 and I think
01:05:21.020 Mark Andreessen
01:05:22.240 was pointing this
01:05:22.940 out, this would be
01:05:24.100 like the
01:05:24.520 hundredth time
01:05:25.460 society saw
01:05:27.740 something that
01:05:28.260 was going to
01:05:28.620 kill us all,
01:05:29.940 and then it
01:05:31.300 didn't.
01:05:32.240 This is probably
01:05:32.800 just another one
01:05:33.480 of those.
01:05:35.140 Probably.
01:05:35.620 Of course, that's
01:05:37.040 also exactly
01:05:37.860 famous last words.
01:05:40.340 Somebody always,
01:05:41.320 there should be an
01:05:42.020 NPC coming in
01:05:42.920 at any moment
01:05:43.380 now, it's like,
01:05:44.060 famous last words.
01:05:47.640 But we're still
01:05:48.680 here, so nobody's
01:05:50.960 been wrong yet.
01:05:51.720 Nobody who
01:05:53.880 said we won't
01:05:54.620 all die has
01:05:55.940 ever been wrong.
01:05:57.540 Ever.
01:05:58.500 In the history
01:05:59.020 of the world,
01:05:59.960 they've never
01:06:00.300 been wrong.
01:06:01.520 Sure, some
01:06:02.100 civilizations
01:06:02.720 crumbled, but
01:06:03.520 not the whole
01:06:04.020 world.
01:06:05.200 All right, let's
01:06:05.600 talk about Russia
01:06:06.880 and Wagner.
01:06:08.200 Probably some
01:06:08.860 things have
01:06:09.300 happened since I
01:06:10.020 started the
01:06:10.540 live stream.
01:06:17.260 And so here's
01:06:18.460 the update.
01:06:19.240 There was some
01:06:19.820 kind of plane
01:06:20.440 that took off
01:06:21.240 that some
01:06:22.880 allege might
01:06:23.740 have Progrosian
01:06:24.900 on it heading
01:06:25.780 to Belarus.
01:06:27.360 Do you want
01:06:28.020 to take bets
01:06:28.460 on that?
01:06:29.820 Do you think
01:06:30.580 that the plane
01:06:31.480 that left
01:06:32.260 was carrying
01:06:33.740 Progrosian
01:06:34.480 to Belarus?
01:06:36.580 Put your bets
01:06:37.400 down.
01:06:39.880 I'm going to
01:06:40.500 say no.
01:06:42.220 I'm going to
01:06:42.760 say no.
01:06:43.940 Maybe.
01:06:45.000 I mean,
01:06:45.280 anything's
01:06:45.980 possible, right?
01:06:47.020 If he's under
01:06:47.960 arrest,
01:06:48.580 you know,
01:06:49.780 if let's say
01:06:50.780 Progrosian is
01:06:51.520 under the
01:06:51.920 control of
01:06:53.240 Putin,
01:06:53.980 let's say his
01:06:54.600 forces are
01:06:55.900 literally standing
01:06:56.940 in the room
01:06:57.400 with him,
01:06:58.400 then yes.
01:06:59.720 Then yes,
01:07:00.380 that might be
01:07:00.820 exactly what
01:07:01.360 happened.
01:07:02.020 But if
01:07:02.640 Progrosian is
01:07:03.380 only surrounded
01:07:03.980 by his own
01:07:04.600 troops,
01:07:05.080 and he got to
01:07:06.840 decide what he
01:07:07.540 did and what he
01:07:08.080 didn't because he
01:07:08.660 was hiding,
01:07:10.160 I doubt he got
01:07:11.060 on a plane and
01:07:11.680 went to Belarus.
01:07:13.260 That sounds
01:07:13.700 very unlikely.
01:07:18.920 And here's
01:07:19.520 why.
01:07:20.820 That would
01:07:21.420 require him to
01:07:22.300 be separated
01:07:22.980 from his
01:07:23.940 military.
01:07:25.900 That's the only
01:07:26.320 thing protecting
01:07:26.920 him.
01:07:27.840 So do you
01:07:28.240 think he
01:07:28.640 would get
01:07:29.580 on a plane
01:07:30.280 away from
01:07:32.460 the only
01:07:32.940 people who
01:07:33.420 can protect
01:07:33.980 him and
01:07:34.920 go to another
01:07:35.480 country that's
01:07:36.860 controlled by
01:07:37.700 his nemesis,
01:07:39.420 Putin,
01:07:40.360 and Putin has
01:07:41.000 all the assets
01:07:41.580 he needs
01:07:42.040 there, he
01:07:43.140 can make
01:07:43.480 anything happen
01:07:44.120 in Belarus,
01:07:45.100 and that he
01:07:45.640 would go there
01:07:46.200 on a plane
01:07:46.800 without his
01:07:47.480 military to
01:07:48.220 protect him?
01:07:49.580 And that maybe
01:07:50.460 they'll follow up
01:07:51.240 later and the
01:07:52.080 military will
01:07:52.660 catch up with
01:07:53.220 him?
01:07:53.400 Is that what
01:07:53.760 you think?
01:07:55.000 I don't think
01:07:55.900 so.
01:07:57.320 Unless he's
01:07:58.120 the dumbest
01:07:58.940 leader of a
01:08:02.480 military of all
01:08:03.580 time.
01:08:05.080 No.
01:08:05.920 He's definitely
01:08:06.640 not going to
01:08:07.200 separate himself
01:08:07.880 from his
01:08:08.340 military under
01:08:10.020 these conditions.
01:08:10.880 now, at
01:08:12.520 the same
01:08:12.840 time, so I'm
01:08:13.920 going to bet
01:08:14.300 that he's
01:08:15.020 not on the
01:08:15.640 plane.
01:08:16.480 Anybody want
01:08:17.040 to take the
01:08:17.400 other bet?
01:08:19.100 Want to take a
01:08:19.620 bet the other
01:08:20.020 way?
01:08:22.540 Now, I could
01:08:23.660 be wrong, and
01:08:25.440 I wouldn't be
01:08:26.200 shocked, but it
01:08:29.380 seems unlikely.
01:08:30.380 Unless there's
01:08:31.140 something else
01:08:31.700 about the story
01:08:32.340 that we're not
01:08:32.880 told, I don't
01:08:34.940 see him getting
01:08:35.580 on a plane
01:08:36.060 without his
01:08:36.600 military.
01:08:37.720 Now, I saw
01:08:41.480 a report that
01:08:42.500 Russia is
01:08:43.460 trying to take
01:08:44.940 the heavy
01:08:45.740 weapons away
01:08:46.540 from Wagner.
01:08:47.780 Do you think
01:08:48.480 that's happening?
01:08:50.080 Do you think
01:08:50.720 Wagner is giving
01:08:51.540 up its heavy
01:08:52.160 weapons as we
01:08:53.120 speak?
01:08:55.840 Maybe some of
01:08:56.720 them.
01:08:57.800 Because there's
01:08:58.260 some of them
01:08:58.680 that were not
01:08:59.240 part of the
01:08:59.960 alleged coup
01:09:01.340 attempt.
01:09:02.280 So maybe some
01:09:02.940 of them, when
01:09:05.120 Putin says
01:09:06.680 that the
01:09:07.120 Wagner people
01:09:07.820 can go to
01:09:08.700 Belarus with
01:09:10.780 their leader, or
01:09:12.780 they can join
01:09:13.720 the military, or
01:09:14.680 they can just
01:09:15.160 go home to
01:09:15.680 their family, do
01:09:16.760 you think they
01:09:17.140 feel comfortable
01:09:17.800 about that?
01:09:20.040 Because I saw
01:09:20.880 some smart
01:09:21.460 people saying,
01:09:22.500 if you put the
01:09:23.000 Wagner people,
01:09:23.940 the potential
01:09:24.940 coup people, in
01:09:26.460 with the regular
01:09:27.080 army, the
01:09:28.260 regular army
01:09:28.920 will kill
01:09:29.500 them.
01:09:30.860 Because they
01:09:31.520 were enemies
01:09:32.160 a day ago.
01:09:32.940 So, or
01:09:35.140 Putin will
01:09:35.880 have them
01:09:36.240 killed within
01:09:37.040 the context
01:09:37.660 of the
01:09:37.940 military, by
01:09:38.820 just putting
01:09:39.360 them in all
01:09:39.680 the dangerous
01:09:40.220 jobs.
01:09:41.780 So, joining
01:09:43.260 the Russian
01:09:44.200 military looks
01:09:44.900 like a death
01:09:45.400 sentence.
01:09:46.580 What about
01:09:46.960 just going
01:09:47.420 home to
01:09:47.840 their families?
01:09:50.300 Do you
01:09:50.800 think Russia
01:09:51.200 is just
01:09:51.540 going to let
01:09:51.840 them go
01:09:52.040 home to
01:09:52.580 their families
01:09:53.060 and get
01:09:54.160 a regular
01:09:54.560 job?
01:09:56.260 I doubt
01:09:57.040 it.
01:09:58.000 I think
01:09:58.600 something bad
01:09:59.300 will happen
01:09:59.800 to them,
01:10:01.500 one way or
01:10:02.200 the other.
01:10:02.940 And if
01:10:04.340 they went
01:10:04.700 to Belarus,
01:10:06.240 how many
01:10:08.000 of them
01:10:08.260 could go
01:10:08.800 and they
01:10:09.440 wouldn't be
01:10:09.800 bringing their
01:10:10.280 heavy weapons?
01:10:12.260 So, if
01:10:13.080 Wagner goes
01:10:13.880 without heavy
01:10:14.760 weapons,
01:10:15.360 what is
01:10:15.840 Wagner?
01:10:17.520 Wagner isn't
01:10:18.520 really anything
01:10:19.240 without heavy
01:10:20.440 weapons.
01:10:22.300 So, I
01:10:24.360 don't know,
01:10:24.600 it looks like
01:10:25.080 all bad
01:10:25.580 choices for
01:10:26.200 them.
01:10:26.340 I think
01:10:26.960 they're going
01:10:27.200 to be killed
01:10:28.300 no matter what
01:10:28.900 happens.
01:10:29.240 all right,
01:10:31.200 so my
01:10:31.560 hypothesis
01:10:32.180 still about
01:10:33.340 what happened
01:10:33.980 goes like
01:10:35.580 this.
01:10:36.220 I think I
01:10:36.660 said this
01:10:37.040 on the
01:10:37.280 man cave,
01:10:38.160 but I'll
01:10:38.660 say it to
01:10:39.060 you as
01:10:39.380 well.
01:10:40.960 I think
01:10:41.800 that the
01:10:42.520 intelligence
01:10:44.180 agencies for
01:10:45.100 NATO,
01:10:46.260 so it could
01:10:46.620 be the
01:10:47.300 British
01:10:47.560 intelligence,
01:10:49.140 French,
01:10:50.160 American,
01:10:50.780 et cetera,
01:10:51.040 I think
01:10:52.520 that they
01:10:53.440 intentionally
01:10:53.980 were trying
01:10:54.560 to stoke
01:10:55.520 the division
01:10:57.020 between
01:10:57.800 Prigozhin
01:11:00.120 and Putin
01:11:00.780 because that's
01:11:01.740 their job.
01:11:03.040 Would you
01:11:03.420 agree that
01:11:03.820 that would
01:11:04.100 be their
01:11:04.380 job to
01:11:05.240 make sure
01:11:05.760 that the
01:11:06.280 Russians are
01:11:07.340 fighting each
01:11:07.860 other instead
01:11:08.360 of Ukraine?
01:11:09.200 Of course.
01:11:10.360 So, they
01:11:11.000 probably
01:11:11.400 exacerbated
01:11:12.920 that, but
01:11:13.600 it probably
01:11:14.280 didn't need
01:11:14.800 to be
01:11:15.080 exacerbated
01:11:15.820 that much.
01:11:16.780 I mean,
01:11:17.000 it could
01:11:17.200 have happened
01:11:17.560 on its own,
01:11:18.160 but maybe
01:11:18.540 they gave
01:11:18.920 it a little
01:11:19.200 push.
01:11:21.040 here's my
01:11:23.140 speculation
01:11:23.900 that has
01:11:24.360 no evidence
01:11:24.960 for it.
01:11:26.040 If I were
01:11:26.620 an intelligence
01:11:27.160 agent and
01:11:28.360 I'd gotten
01:11:29.220 Prigozhin
01:11:29.720 all worked
01:11:30.200 up, but
01:11:31.400 he didn't
01:11:31.700 know what
01:11:32.040 to do
01:11:32.540 about being
01:11:33.520 worked up,
01:11:34.440 I would
01:11:35.240 give him
01:11:35.600 some suggestions.
01:11:37.240 And here's
01:11:37.960 how I would
01:11:38.480 play it.
01:11:39.380 I'd say,
01:11:40.320 hey, Prigozhin,
01:11:41.160 we have assets
01:11:42.120 in the Kremlin.
01:11:43.360 We totally
01:11:43.940 know what's
01:11:44.380 going on in
01:11:44.880 that place.
01:11:45.960 And by the
01:11:46.440 way, there's
01:11:47.400 a whole bunch
01:11:47.900 of generals
01:11:48.400 who are going
01:11:49.040 to support
01:11:49.640 you if you
01:11:50.380 move,
01:11:50.640 if you
01:11:51.300 move on
01:11:51.800 Putin.
01:11:52.960 Every one
01:11:53.540 of them,
01:11:53.880 they're just
01:11:54.160 waiting for
01:11:54.600 the signal.
01:11:55.600 The moment
01:11:56.080 you move,
01:11:56.760 they're going
01:11:57.020 to switch
01:11:57.360 sides.
01:11:58.200 You won't
01:11:58.560 even have
01:11:58.900 to fire
01:11:59.280 a shot.
01:12:00.240 You'll
01:12:00.480 basically
01:12:00.800 just walk
01:12:01.460 your roll
01:12:02.020 into Moscow.
01:12:03.240 All the
01:12:03.660 generals flip.
01:12:05.100 Boom, you're
01:12:05.800 in charge.
01:12:06.760 And don't
01:12:07.580 contact them
01:12:08.640 yourself.
01:12:09.920 Whatever you
01:12:10.500 do, whatever
01:12:11.580 you do, don't
01:12:12.360 try to talk
01:12:12.840 to those generals
01:12:13.540 yourself, because
01:12:14.860 that will be
01:12:15.340 detected.
01:12:16.660 I mean, you
01:12:17.100 can't even put
01:12:17.640 one phone call
01:12:18.420 to one of these
01:12:18.940 people we tell
01:12:19.600 you are on
01:12:20.060 your side, because
01:12:22.420 that's going to
01:12:22.820 be detected.
01:12:23.720 So trust us.
01:12:25.160 We have
01:12:25.560 listening and
01:12:27.040 assets everywhere.
01:12:28.340 As soon as you
01:12:29.000 make your move,
01:12:29.720 you're going to
01:12:30.020 be massively
01:12:30.620 supported by the
01:12:31.900 Russian people.
01:12:32.720 And by the way,
01:12:33.820 we will work with
01:12:34.800 you when you
01:12:35.240 become the new
01:12:35.860 leader and make
01:12:36.960 sure you're
01:12:37.340 successful, because
01:12:38.100 you're not Putin.
01:12:40.000 We'll absolve you
01:12:41.480 of your past
01:12:42.300 actions.
01:12:44.480 And you'll be
01:12:45.060 our guy now.
01:12:45.680 You just have a
01:12:46.540 successful Russia.
01:12:48.620 So then
01:12:48.880 Progrosian says,
01:12:49.760 all right, I've
01:12:50.800 got a plan.
01:12:51.540 They're all going
01:12:51.860 to switch to my
01:12:52.540 side.
01:12:53.480 And he starts
01:12:53.960 going, and he
01:12:54.580 finds out that
01:12:55.160 they lied to
01:12:55.820 him, that the
01:12:57.140 intelligence agents
01:12:58.360 did not have any
01:12:59.300 assets in the
01:12:59.940 Kremlin, or at
01:13:01.360 least ones that
01:13:01.960 were doing what
01:13:02.460 they said, and
01:13:03.640 that there was
01:13:05.620 nobody going to
01:13:06.260 change sides to
01:13:07.080 them, except
01:13:08.060 maybe Rostov,
01:13:09.940 Vandong, one
01:13:11.260 small place.
01:13:12.440 So, yes, I'm
01:13:15.480 making this all
01:13:16.140 up.
01:13:17.320 There's no
01:13:17.840 evidence to
01:13:18.500 suggest it.
01:13:19.580 The reason I
01:13:20.460 think it's
01:13:21.020 possible, or
01:13:21.780 even likely, I
01:13:22.740 would go as
01:13:23.080 far as likely, is
01:13:24.340 that that's what
01:13:25.040 I would do.
01:13:26.680 That's what I
01:13:27.340 would do.
01:13:28.080 If I were in
01:13:28.880 the CIA, that's
01:13:30.620 what I would do.
01:13:32.200 Now, are you
01:13:32.560 telling me that
01:13:33.140 there's nobody in
01:13:33.800 the CIA who's at
01:13:34.960 least as smart as
01:13:35.820 me sitting here at
01:13:36.600 my desk, having
01:13:37.780 never been in
01:13:38.400 the CIA?
01:13:40.040 It's the obvious
01:13:41.040 thing to do.
01:13:41.660 Isn't it?
01:13:43.340 Am I wrong that
01:13:44.100 it's the obvious
01:13:45.380 thing to do?
01:13:46.200 To tell them that
01:13:47.120 it's going to work
01:13:47.640 out if they do a
01:13:48.540 civil war?
01:13:49.920 Yeah, it'll work
01:13:50.460 out great.
01:13:50.940 We'll help you.
01:13:54.120 I mean, to me,
01:13:54.740 it seems obvious.
01:13:56.220 So, it may not
01:13:57.260 be what happened,
01:13:58.600 but if it didn't
01:13:59.580 happen, then you
01:14:00.620 should have some
01:14:01.120 issue with your
01:14:01.760 intelligence services,
01:14:03.040 because they
01:14:03.700 should have been
01:14:04.600 doing that.
01:14:06.100 Now, am I wrong
01:14:06.800 about that?
01:14:08.480 Check my work.
01:14:09.480 They should have
01:14:11.360 been doing that.
01:14:12.800 I can't say they
01:14:13.500 were, but would
01:14:14.620 you agree they
01:14:15.140 should have?
01:14:16.960 Everybody on the
01:14:17.700 same page with
01:14:18.300 should have?
01:14:20.620 At least, right?
01:14:22.440 And more, and
01:14:23.460 more.
01:14:23.960 Okay.
01:14:24.800 If you agree with
01:14:25.880 should have, it's a
01:14:27.460 very short distance
01:14:28.580 to did.
01:14:32.480 Very short
01:14:33.240 distance.
01:14:33.680 All right.
01:14:37.340 We've now
01:14:37.980 entered what I
01:14:38.760 call the
01:14:39.180 Highlander phase
01:14:40.300 of the Russia
01:14:41.540 situation.
01:14:42.820 If you know the
01:14:43.900 old movie and
01:14:45.400 TV show
01:14:45.940 Highlander, there
01:14:47.820 were these people
01:14:48.400 called Highlanders
01:14:49.400 who were immortal,
01:14:50.520 with the exception
01:14:51.620 of if another
01:14:52.700 Highlander cut off
01:14:54.000 their head with a
01:14:54.660 sword, all their
01:14:56.260 secret powers from
01:14:58.300 the one Highlander
01:14:59.100 would be transferred
01:15:00.400 to the winner of
01:15:01.580 the fight, and
01:15:03.140 then that one
01:15:03.640 would be stronger.
01:15:05.200 But in the end,
01:15:06.460 the Highlanders
01:15:07.200 would have to kill
01:15:08.080 each other until
01:15:08.760 there was only one
01:15:09.500 left, so their
01:15:10.840 little tagline was
01:15:11.980 there can only be
01:15:12.900 one.
01:15:13.880 In the end, there
01:15:14.900 can only be one
01:15:15.560 Highlander.
01:15:17.020 Well, in my
01:15:18.320 opinion, what's
01:15:18.980 happening right now
01:15:19.800 is that both Putin
01:15:20.840 and Prigozhin are
01:15:22.380 hiding as much as
01:15:23.640 they can from
01:15:25.480 everybody they can
01:15:26.440 because they don't
01:15:26.920 know who's got
01:15:27.800 spies where.
01:15:29.020 Presumably, Prigozhin
01:15:30.060 has spies, don't
01:15:31.940 you assume?
01:15:32.400 There's at least
01:15:33.680 somebody in the
01:15:35.020 inner circle who's
01:15:35.860 talking to him, I'm
01:15:36.800 sure, because he
01:15:37.860 was part of the
01:15:38.340 inner circle, right?
01:15:39.880 He was part of the
01:15:40.660 inner circle, so of
01:15:41.800 course he has
01:15:42.260 sources.
01:15:43.400 So don't you think
01:15:44.200 that Putin is
01:15:45.000 worried that if
01:15:46.280 Prigozhin ever knew
01:15:47.360 what building he was
01:15:48.400 in and when, as
01:15:50.520 long as Wagner still
01:15:51.520 has heavy weapons,
01:15:53.080 that building would
01:15:54.500 be vaporized and it
01:15:56.060 would be a
01:15:56.580 decapitation strike,
01:15:58.580 right?
01:15:58.860 If Prigozhin takes
01:16:01.600 down Putin, there's
01:16:04.620 a reasonable argument
01:16:05.700 that Prigozhin is the
01:16:07.000 next leader of
01:16:07.940 Russia.
01:16:08.880 It's just one missile.
01:16:11.300 Do they have
01:16:11.720 missiles?
01:16:12.280 They must have some
01:16:13.060 kind of assets that
01:16:13.940 could kill him
01:16:14.480 wherever he is.
01:16:16.240 Now, the same would
01:16:17.140 be true for Prigozhin.
01:16:19.580 Don't you think that
01:16:20.420 Putin has his winged
01:16:23.340 monkeys looking for
01:16:24.280 Prigozhin?
01:16:25.420 Maybe he knows where
01:16:26.140 he is, but don't
01:16:27.320 you think they're
01:16:27.780 going to try to
01:16:28.260 find him and at
01:16:29.200 least follow him
01:16:30.920 long enough to get
01:16:31.860 the kill shot,
01:16:33.000 whatever that looks
01:16:33.800 like?
01:16:34.500 And they'll blame it
01:16:35.180 on somebody else.
01:16:36.380 But, I mean, they
01:16:36.920 just have to put a
01:16:37.620 bullet in him and
01:16:39.140 say that, oh, it
01:16:40.060 was a traitor.
01:16:41.560 One of his own
01:16:42.500 people shot him.
01:16:44.320 I mean, it'd be
01:16:44.840 easy to lie about it
01:16:45.900 after it's done.
01:16:47.460 So it wouldn't be
01:16:48.480 hard to kill him.
01:16:49.420 You just have to
01:16:50.020 find him.
01:16:51.060 So in my opinion,
01:16:52.080 what's happening in
01:16:52.760 Russia is that
01:16:53.940 Prigozhin is hiding
01:16:55.080 as hard as he can,
01:16:56.540 while looking as
01:16:57.640 hard as he can for
01:16:58.460 Putin.
01:16:59.460 Putin is hiding as
01:17:00.880 hard as he can while
01:17:01.720 looking as hard as he
01:17:02.780 can for Prigozhin.
01:17:04.540 And it's just
01:17:05.060 Highlander now.
01:17:06.180 It's just, it's down
01:17:07.220 to two people.
01:17:08.380 They're looking for
01:17:09.280 each other.
01:17:10.060 They're going to kill
01:17:10.900 the other one if they
01:17:11.700 find him.
01:17:12.800 It's just about whether
01:17:13.940 you can hide better
01:17:15.660 than the other for as
01:17:17.080 long as possible.
01:17:18.120 So remember, Putin is
01:17:19.480 not being seen in
01:17:20.320 public.
01:17:21.120 And when he is seen,
01:17:22.300 it looks like it might
01:17:23.300 be recorded so that his
01:17:25.280 location is never
01:17:26.200 known.
01:17:27.420 So it's Highlander.
01:17:29.400 We're literally down to
01:17:30.620 two people trying to
01:17:31.560 kill each other if they
01:17:33.020 can find him.
01:17:35.100 And they both have the
01:17:36.080 assets to kill.
01:17:36.800 All right.
01:17:41.480 I saw one report, not a
01:17:43.260 credible one, that the
01:17:44.480 Ukrainians are breaking
01:17:45.740 through everywhere.
01:17:47.360 That the Ukrainians have
01:17:48.780 finally successfully
01:17:50.220 probed, you know, the
01:17:52.120 line so much and they've
01:17:53.480 degraded them so much.
01:17:54.900 And, of course, Wagner's
01:17:55.960 gone.
01:17:57.040 Maybe their morale is
01:17:58.300 lower.
01:17:58.680 We don't know.
01:17:59.320 But it seems reasonable
01:18:00.280 that it would be.
01:18:00.920 And maybe Ukraine is
01:18:05.380 getting ready for the
01:18:06.100 big push real soon.
01:18:08.380 Now, do I need to
01:18:10.520 remind the NPCs that
01:18:12.740 100% of what you hear
01:18:14.280 from Ukraine is not
01:18:15.580 reliable, no matter
01:18:17.060 the source?
01:18:18.220 Does anybody need me to
01:18:19.240 do that speech again?
01:18:20.400 Or can we skip it this
01:18:21.840 time?
01:18:23.480 All right.
01:18:23.740 Let's skip it this
01:18:24.360 time.
01:18:26.060 All right.
01:18:26.480 So that's about what's
01:18:31.400 happening.
01:18:33.160 Kind of an interesting
01:18:34.060 day.
01:18:34.460 Was there a story I
01:18:35.200 missed today?
01:18:38.060 Well, thank you for
01:18:39.220 asking, Dawson.
01:18:40.400 I'm having a nice
01:18:41.200 Tuesday.
01:18:42.340 I hope you do, too.
01:18:50.800 Highlander viewing
01:18:51.500 party.
01:18:52.060 Yeah, that sounds
01:18:52.520 fun.
01:18:54.120 Yeah, I think this was
01:18:54.980 one of my best live
01:18:56.100 streams.
01:18:56.480 No doubt about it.
01:19:03.400 Bruce Willis playing
01:19:04.720 Pregosian.
01:19:14.860 Did you sleep well?
01:19:16.760 Not bad.
01:19:18.020 Yeah, I only got up at
01:19:19.280 four-ish.
01:19:24.260 All right.
01:19:24.900 Your assumptions were
01:19:28.560 what?
01:19:30.280 All right, I think I've
01:19:31.160 done everything I need
01:19:31.960 to do today and
01:19:32.800 covered all the big
01:19:33.500 stories.
01:19:35.140 And I haven't seen
01:19:38.000 Roseanne's special, so
01:19:39.240 she has a Fox Nation
01:19:40.680 comedy special, right?
01:19:42.640 I just got a copy of Joshua
01:19:48.640 Lysak's new book.
01:19:51.000 Just got it.
01:19:52.220 I'm going to take a look
01:19:53.240 at that and I'll give you
01:19:55.360 some opinions on that.
01:19:57.080 What?
01:20:00.540 What?
01:20:01.420 All right, that's it for now.
01:20:02.800 So thank you, YouTube.
01:20:05.140 Thanks for joining.
01:20:06.380 Bye for now.