Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2153 Scott Adams： Fun News Stories And My Strange Predictions. Come Join Us And Bring Coffee

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to Coffee with Scott Adams, the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:09.480 And if you think it was going to be good, I mean, even before you signed in here, wow, it's going to be so good.

00:00:18.120 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard shell, a stein, a canteen joke, a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:25.140 Fill it with your favorite liquid, I like coffee, and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:33.440 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:00:39.860 Ah, ah, delightful.

00:00:46.160 All right, let's talk about all the news that's fun and exciting.

00:00:51.840 Today's one of those, the news is more funny and, you know, interesting than tragic.

00:01:00.800 I don't like the tragic news, so we're going to skip all the tragedies and just talk about the fun stuff.

00:01:07.840 Do you remember that I told you that I could feel the zeitgeist telling me that camping was going to be really big this year?

00:01:16.480 Does anybody remember me saying that?

00:01:17.820 I invested, don't do what I did, this is not a recommendation.

00:01:21.840 But I bought some stock in a camping company.

00:01:25.700 Because I just had this, I just had this overwhelming feeling, and I don't know why exactly, that camping was going to be good.

00:01:34.180 Now here's the persuasion reasoning.

00:01:37.440 The persuasion reasoning is that every time you turn on the news, they're showing homeless encampments.

00:01:43.140 And they're always camping.

00:01:46.140 And it looks, and if you have the same reaction I do, it's like, oh, I feel so sorry for those homeless people that have to be in those awesome tents.

00:01:56.640 And then I think, well, that is a nice tent.

00:01:59.480 It is a nice tent.

00:02:00.420 And there's part of me that envies them.

00:02:05.320 Does anybody have that feeling yet?

00:02:07.460 Does anybody have a little bit of an irrational feeling that you envy the street people because they're living free?

00:02:13.960 They're living life on their own terms.

00:02:16.200 They don't report to anybody.

00:02:17.700 They don't pay any taxes.

00:02:19.340 They don't listen to your rules.

00:02:21.460 They don't even have laws, really.

00:02:23.580 They just have their own little civilization.

00:02:25.100 So all they do is do amazing drugs that make them feel incredible, and then they go live in their tent, and they're happier than you are.

00:02:35.880 Now, I don't really want to change places with them, but I believe it's an objective fact that they're not doing so poorly.

00:02:44.340 If you were to look at how much of the day a homeless person enjoys versus how much of your day you enjoy, what do you think that would look like?

00:02:55.100 I'm pretty sure they sleep in every day.

00:02:59.500 So I don't know that they hate it.

00:03:01.400 I mean, it looks like something you would hate if you were doing it, but I don't know.

00:03:06.180 There's a lot of choice involved in that.

00:03:09.540 But anyway, the Wall Street Journal had an article that camping's really big.

00:03:14.380 So I did correctly read the zeitgeist.

00:03:17.660 Camping's big this year.

00:03:19.340 All right.

00:03:21.520 I asked this question on Twitter just because I was curious, and I got half a million people looked at it, so I guess people thought the same thing.

00:03:32.660 Turned down it was a dumb question.

00:03:33.880 I said, is it true that men are not approaching women to ask for phone numbers in person in 2023?

00:03:40.200 But then I got the boomer treatment.

00:03:45.240 You know what the boomer treatment is, right? 1.00

00:03:47.960 Let me give you my example of the boomer treatment. 0.62

00:03:51.920 Me.

00:03:52.560 Me asking, so do men ask for women for phone numbers?

00:03:56.420 Oh, boomer. 1.00

00:03:57.960 Oh, boomer. 1.00

00:03:58.920 No, they ask for their Insta or their Snap or their TikTok.

00:04:06.780 But no, they don't.

00:04:09.360 No, no.

00:04:11.220 You're so old.

00:04:12.520 You're so old.

00:04:13.240 It's just funny.

00:04:14.540 You're like Joe Biden times two.

00:04:16.300 I mean, really, who asks for a phone number anymore?

00:04:19.620 And, of course, my critics are right.

00:04:22.740 I was dumb enough to think that people would imagine that those were just texting apps and that it's all kind of the same and that they would know that that would be included in the question automatically.

00:04:35.740 However, upon thinking upon it, my critics are correct because it is a lower risk to ask for somebody's Insta or Snapchat.

00:04:45.700 Am I right?

00:04:46.240 If you ask her a phone number, it says, I'm probably going to call you.

00:04:52.740 You're probably going to get a call from me.

00:04:54.960 You're probably going to get asked out on a date.

00:04:57.700 So that's what a phone number is.

00:04:59.620 But if you ask for somebody's Instagram, well, maybe they're interested.

00:05:05.200 I mean, it kind of seems like they are, but it's very noncommittal, isn't it?

00:05:10.000 It's like, how about why don't we just follow each other on social media?

00:05:13.540 And then, you know, maybe I'd have the access to your DMs and maybe I'd send one and, you know, maybe you'd check it and maybe you'd want to answer.

00:05:22.820 And it's a lot of maybes involved, right?

00:05:26.080 Yeah, so it's the weaker, indirect, low-risk way to do it.

00:05:31.420 So it turns out the question was moot because young people in the dating world don't need to ask for a phone call or a phone number.

00:05:40.160 It's just sort of less useful.

00:05:43.540 So I don't know that any of it matters.

00:05:47.500 You know, it's one of those interesting trends that have changed.

00:05:50.340 But it does suggest the following is true.

00:05:54.940 I saw somebody say this on social media.

00:05:58.960 Sound is fine.

00:05:59.880 I saw somebody suggest that if you were able to walk up and ask for a woman's phone number in 2023, you would seem to have a superpower and you would rule the earth like a god.

00:06:14.960 Because other people aren't doing it.

00:06:17.460 So it used to be if you went up to an attractive woman and asked for a phone number, you know, you'd be the 10th person that day and your odds would not be good.

00:06:25.920 But in 2023, I'm hearing this a lot.

00:06:29.940 If you ask for somebody's phone number, they're like, oh, my God, finally, finally, finally, somebody had the balls to ask for my phone number.

00:06:37.640 Yes, of course, here it is.

00:06:39.820 So it looks to me like you would get a different reaction in 2023 if you were to ask for a phone number.

00:06:47.000 All right.

00:06:47.280 So as you know, Elon Musk and Zuckerberg are, at least allegedly, planning to have some kind of a battle.

00:06:55.840 Zuckerberg, of course, knows jiu-jitsu and Lex Fridman, famous podcaster, is also a jiu-jitsu guy and has wrestled with now both of them.

00:07:06.180 So he's trained with Elon, trying to show him some moves.

00:07:10.480 And there's a picture of him training with Zuckerberg.

00:07:14.860 Do you think it's going to happen?

00:07:17.280 What do you think?

00:07:19.400 You know, I was looking at the stats of Elon versus Zuckerberg, and I think everybody agrees that Zuckerberg is a higher-level Brazilian jiu-jitsu guy.

00:07:31.940 So, you know, if you were fighting somebody on his same size, you know, you'd expect him to win if they were not trained.

00:07:39.420 But Elon is 6'2", and weighs, I don't know, 230 pounds, whatever it is.

00:07:46.380 It's over 200, I think.

00:07:48.180 And Zuckerberg is listed at 5'7".

00:07:51.420 And, you know, his weight looks on point.

00:07:55.780 So, 5'7", weight on point, it's probably like 155, his weight, something like that.

00:08:03.000 I don't know much about Brazilian jiu-jitsu.

00:08:08.020 But can a 5'7 person ever beat a 6'2 person if you're not punching?

00:08:15.320 If you're not punching.

00:08:16.500 So, Brazilian jiu-jitsu would be strong enough that you could, you know, you could get on top of him and get the advantage.

00:08:27.240 Okay.

00:08:27.980 All right.

00:08:28.320 A lot of people who seem to know what they're talking about would say that's the thing.

00:08:30.920 I mean, the disadvantage is pretty big.

00:08:35.740 But, here's the funny part.

00:08:38.380 There's a picture online of Zuckerberg having Lex Fridman in a chokehold.

00:08:46.500 It looks to me like exactly the chokehold that has killed two people recently.

00:08:52.840 One on a subway and one George Floyd.

00:08:56.760 It's the exact same chokehold.

00:08:59.000 They do it for recreation.

00:09:00.920 Recreation.

00:09:04.800 And then a number of people told me, oh, that's a thing.

00:09:07.880 When you're practicing Brazilian jiu-jitsu, it's not unusual to choke each other out.

00:09:14.040 So that you have experience being choked out.

00:09:16.560 You know what it feels like.

00:09:17.420 It doesn't scare you.

00:09:19.860 Is that real?

00:09:20.700 Is that a real thing?

00:09:23.460 That the Brazilian jiu-jitsu people choke each other out for recreation?

00:09:28.820 People are saying, yes, that's a real thing.

00:09:30.920 So, do you feel that you've been totally gamed by the whole holding person?

00:09:37.880 Somebody in that chokehold is going to kill them?

00:09:40.580 Don't you feel like you've been kind of gamed by the whole system here?

00:09:44.840 I feel like the choking is not how people are dying.

00:09:51.300 I think it's the drugs.

00:09:52.420 Anyway, we've been over that.

00:09:56.500 So, Lex Fridman, I believe he's alive.

00:09:59.040 But according to the news, he's dead at least twice.

00:10:01.400 Here's a shocking, shocking poll.

00:10:08.440 This one actually does shock me.

00:10:10.700 You know, usually when you say, oh, it's a big poll, I'm shocked.

00:10:14.440 It usually doesn't shock you at all.

00:10:16.560 This one shocks me.

00:10:18.800 All right, this is Rasmussen.

00:10:19.980 66% of likely U.S. voters are concerned that the outcome of the 2024 presidential election will be affected by cheating.

00:10:31.640 Two-thirds, people.

00:10:33.880 Two-thirds.

00:10:34.580 Now, do you remember back in, let me take you back to 2015, when there was this new candidate, his name was Trump.

00:10:46.340 Trump.

00:10:47.700 And I said, oh, oh, watch out.

00:10:51.720 I watched him just a little bit, and I could tell he was the most persuasive person in political life.

00:10:57.700 And so I warned you back in 2015, he's going to be your president.

00:11:02.460 You don't see this coming.

00:11:04.600 His ability to persuade is, like, off the chart.

00:11:08.600 And what did people say to me?

00:11:11.140 You idiot.

00:11:13.000 Oh, my God.

00:11:14.780 Oh, my God.

00:11:15.740 Would you just stick to cartooning?

00:11:18.160 Oh, my God.

00:11:19.100 This is embarrassing.

00:11:20.700 It's just embarrassing.

00:11:21.860 You're embarrassing yourself, Scott.

00:11:23.880 He's not persuasive.

00:11:25.840 He's not going to win more than, I don't know, 7% to 10% of the primary vote, and that's the end.

00:11:31.580 And he's just doing it for, he's just doing it to get attention and don't take it seriously.

00:11:36.060 And I said, no, seriously, you don't know what's coming.

00:11:42.380 The monster is right behind you.

00:11:44.780 Like, no, there's no, turn around, turn around.

00:11:49.200 It's right behind you.

00:11:50.240 Just turn around and look.

00:11:52.120 There's nothing behind me, Scott.

00:11:54.540 Just go back to cartooning and calm down a little bit, will you?

00:11:57.580 So, Trump loses the election, claims the election, claims the election was fraudulent.

00:12:08.600 Time goes by.

00:12:10.680 Two-thirds of the public agrees with him, or at least agrees that the risk of the next one being fraudulent is high,

00:12:18.440 which would suggest that they think the last one was maybe fraudulent, right?

00:12:23.040 I mean, those are pretty connected ideas.

00:12:25.900 So, now do you think that Trump is persuasive?

00:12:30.780 Is there anybody who wants to have an argument with me about whether Trump can persuade the public of things?

00:12:36.500 Two-thirds of them now agree with him.

00:12:39.620 That's way more than just Republicans.

00:12:42.440 Way more than just Republicans.

00:12:45.000 They agree with him.

00:12:45.760 Going further, 49% of voters agree with the statement, quote,

00:12:54.080 there is no way Joe Biden got 81 million votes in the 2020 election.

00:12:59.280 49% of the voters believe 2020 was a fake election, according to Rasmussen.

00:13:11.420 49%.

00:13:12.580 Now, when I said that I'm not often shocked by a poll, but this one shocks me,

00:13:21.720 is anybody having that same experience, or is it just me?

00:13:25.400 This is, like, mind-blowing.

00:13:27.680 I had no idea.

00:13:29.080 I had no idea that the idea of a fixed election had gotten that much traction.

00:13:34.680 Now, probably I'd want to see at least one other poll,

00:13:37.800 you know, to see if other polls are coming up with the same numbers.

00:13:40.920 Because Rasmussen is pretty heavily, let's say, engaged in retweeting the, you know,

00:13:49.300 the voter stuff.

00:13:52.420 So they're pretty much on the side on this issue.

00:13:55.560 So I'd wait for at least one more poll.

00:13:58.140 But this is pretty shocking.

00:14:01.180 All right.

00:14:02.120 I saw some tweets that Google has a habit of hiring a lot of ex-intel people.

00:14:07.900 How many, you say?

00:14:10.240 A hundred and sixty-five of them.

00:14:13.120 So, at least according to a tweet, I don't know.

00:14:15.900 I suppose this needs some fact-checking.

00:14:18.780 But Google's trust and safety team is managed by three ex-CIA agents.

00:14:23.940 So three ex-CIA agents are in control of what you see.

00:14:32.240 So what is considered misinformation is determined by three ex-CIA people.

00:14:39.660 X.

00:14:40.900 See, they're no longer in the CIA.

00:14:44.160 But what I'm saying is the CIA does not pay them any kind of a salary.

00:14:47.940 So they're completely ex, as in they don't work for them anymore.

00:14:53.340 Nope.

00:14:54.120 Nope.

00:14:55.380 So don't worry about that, because they don't work for them anymore.

00:14:58.420 Yeah, the CIA, there's 27 ex-CIA people, 52 ex-FBI, 30 NSA, 50 DHS, and 6 ODNI.

00:15:09.420 Does it look like maybe they are looking for these people?

00:15:12.480 It feels like they might be recruiting them, or they're recruiting themselves, or each other.

00:15:19.760 It's a lot.

00:15:21.760 It's a lot.

00:15:23.140 Now, the other way to explain it would be that these are highly qualified people,

00:15:28.700 and Google offers them more money than intelligence work.

00:15:34.000 It could be that they're just excellent people to have on your staff.

00:15:38.020 You know, they're highly qualified.

00:15:40.080 They know a lot about the world.

00:15:41.300 You know, that sort of thing.

00:15:43.100 They have maybe experience in other countries.

00:15:45.380 That would all be stuff that would be insecurity.

00:15:47.760 Insecurity.

00:15:48.740 So that would all be stuff that Google would want.

00:15:51.880 So it wouldn't surprise me that they were hiring a lot of people from that world.

00:15:58.400 But it does seem like too many, doesn't it?

00:16:01.380 As in there's something going on here that's not exactly what it looks like.

00:16:07.400 So we got questions, don't we?

00:16:09.620 First of all, first of all, I cannot confirm that these numbers are correct.

00:16:15.380 So before you get too excited, it may not even be true.

00:16:18.760 I don't know.

00:16:19.800 But somebody seemed pretty confident online.

00:16:22.500 All right, let's talk about RFK Jr.

00:16:27.100 YouTube banned one of his videos, just took it right off.

00:16:30.520 A conversation with Jordan Peterson.

00:16:32.620 Can you even hold that in your head that this just happened?

00:16:38.380 Now, I just told you how many ex-intel people work for Google, who owns YouTube.

00:16:43.240 Then YouTube just took a major candidate, you know, one of the biggest challenges to Biden,

00:16:49.400 just took him off, just removed his video completely.

00:16:52.640 Now, they would say there was some misinformation there or something dangerous.

00:16:57.540 But do you imagine, like in your wildest dreams,

00:17:01.960 can you imagine a conversation between Jordan Peterson and RFK Jr.

00:17:07.240 that would literally be dangerous?

00:17:11.140 Does that feel like a thing?

00:17:12.360 And even if it is dangerous, aren't we allowed to see it?

00:17:18.260 We're not allowed to see anything that might be dangerous?

00:17:21.280 I don't know that that's a standard.

00:17:23.440 When did that become a standard?

00:17:25.360 There's lots of things I look at that, you know,

00:17:27.360 you could make an argument, it could be dangerous, one way or another.

00:17:30.780 But what about that free speech and, you know,

00:17:34.440 letting everybody decide for themselves business?

00:17:37.320 What about that?

00:17:38.160 Well, I think I'm aghast, as most of you are.

00:17:43.980 RFK Jr. is a serious candidate for president of the United States.

00:17:49.500 They just took down his message.

00:17:52.000 Because they didn't agree with it?

00:17:54.540 Because what?

00:17:55.460 Because they're all scientists and they know what's true and what isn't?

00:17:59.820 And what if they just disagree?

00:18:02.060 What if RFK Jr. has his experts

00:18:04.540 and maybe YouTube has some other experts

00:18:07.040 to say his experts are wrong?

00:18:08.940 What makes their experts right and his wrong?

00:18:11.500 Who gets to decide that?

00:18:13.940 Do you get to decide

00:18:15.180 which presidential candidate we get to see?

00:18:18.500 That feels pretty extreme to me.

00:18:21.080 Pretty extreme.

00:18:22.320 Now, let me be clear.

00:18:23.660 I do not endorse all of RFK Jr.'s,

00:18:27.260 let's say, assertions about medical stuff.

00:18:31.260 I don't know that I know them all

00:18:33.340 or that I know them with the right nuance

00:18:35.400 the way he explains them in the current year.

00:18:38.880 I don't know that.

00:18:40.120 So I haven't seen anything that he's explained lately

00:18:42.820 that I disagree with,

00:18:44.560 but I'm sure there's stuff there.

00:18:46.420 So I'm not saying I agree with him.

00:18:48.000 I'm just saying that

00:18:48.800 why in the world can't you see it?

00:18:52.380 That's insane.

00:18:53.240 And this also goes under the umbrella

00:18:58.080 of outrage fatigue.

00:19:02.140 If this were the only thing that's going on

00:19:04.480 that's, you know, not right with the world,

00:19:07.960 we'd probably get more excited about it.

00:19:10.740 But there's so much in the news that's like this,

00:19:14.220 I don't even know where to, like, aim.

00:19:19.540 Goodbye, all caps.

00:19:20.900 I'm getting rid of the all caps

00:19:23.860 and it doesn't matter what you say,

00:19:26.820 you know, what use,

00:19:27.920 even if you're just talking.

00:19:29.500 If it's all caps, it's distracting to the host.

00:19:37.360 So I'll just delete everybody uses them

00:19:39.440 no matter what the purpose is, okay?

00:19:42.160 All right.

00:19:45.000 Nate Silver was saying,

00:19:47.680 now, if you don't know Nate Silver,

00:19:49.120 he would be, you know,

00:19:50.560 one of our nation's

00:19:52.020 most credible statistical polling,

00:19:55.280 you know, kind of the people.

00:19:58.480 He gets a lot of hate from the right,

00:20:01.440 but I've been following him for a long time

00:20:03.400 and I believe his opinions are

00:20:05.260 about as close to objective

00:20:08.100 as you can get.

00:20:10.220 He's got some bias that sneaks in,

00:20:12.420 but he's really close to objective,

00:20:14.680 you know, better than most.

00:20:15.580 So I always recommend him as a good follow.

00:20:18.280 He has good comments, too, on Twitter.

00:20:20.700 But he said this.

00:20:22.560 He said, there's this notion

00:20:23.660 that Kennedy's doing kind of well in the polls

00:20:26.140 and he just isn't.

00:20:28.160 Now, his polling shows Kennedy

00:20:29.580 lower than that 20%.

00:20:31.160 Shows him at, like, 9%.

00:20:33.100 And his polling has done well

00:20:36.180 compared to other polling in the past.

00:20:38.060 So maybe he's right on that.

00:20:39.960 You may have seen Jessica Tarloff

00:20:46.040 on The Five on Fox News.

00:20:48.740 She often says she has never met a Democrat

00:20:51.500 who supports RFK Jr.

00:20:53.580 It's just a Republican thing.

00:20:56.840 She says she's never met one in the wild

00:20:58.760 like an actual human who's a Democrat

00:21:01.580 who supports him.

00:21:03.780 Now, I say that is not predictive.

00:21:07.500 It seems like it would be, right?

00:21:08.740 It seems like it would be

00:21:10.000 the single most predictive thing

00:21:11.460 you could ever have.

00:21:13.100 But I don't think that's predictive.

00:21:15.820 Because as RFK Jr. points out,

00:21:18.580 whoever ends up being the nominee

00:21:21.060 is going to get the Democrat vote.

00:21:23.340 Because the Democrats sure as hell

00:21:24.900 aren't going to vote for the Republican.

00:21:26.800 They're going to take what they can get

00:21:28.200 with a D next to it.

00:21:29.860 Anything they can get.

00:21:31.340 So he just has to be the nominee, right?

00:21:34.600 But, of course, he's way, way behind Biden for that.

00:21:40.740 So it really comes down to whether Biden's

00:21:42.500 really going to be running.

00:21:44.480 Do you believe he's really going to run?

00:21:47.140 Now, you may have seen that Tucker Carlson

00:21:50.320 dropped another video.

00:21:52.340 And he says that Newsom is being groomed

00:21:56.740 to be the last-minute replacement for Biden.

00:21:59.100 This is something you've heard me say for a while now.

00:22:02.820 But what would make most sense from the timing?

00:22:07.620 That was six to nine months

00:22:09.960 before the Democratic Convention.

00:22:14.440 So in my opinion,

00:22:16.100 sometime toward the end of the year,

00:22:18.900 maybe through February,

00:22:20.580 will be the time that Biden will

00:22:22.380 have a sudden turn of health.

00:22:24.660 And he's going to say,

00:22:26.760 well, I really did plan to run.

00:22:29.560 I really did.

00:22:30.920 But it just, you know, won't work.

00:22:32.460 My health is failing.

00:22:34.100 And that it will be too late

00:22:35.540 for anybody else to get serious.

00:22:37.480 But Newsom will already have been out there

00:22:40.220 talking about DeSantis, et cetera.

00:22:42.140 So he just seems like the obvious one

00:22:44.020 who's not RFK Jr.

00:22:46.680 So this may be the way to keep RFK Jr.

00:22:49.200 out of the thing,

00:22:50.580 is to stick Newsom in toward the top.

00:22:54.660 Now, that seems very, very likely to me.

00:23:00.880 But if it's Newsom versus RFK Jr.,

00:23:07.700 does he get a debate?

00:23:11.220 Ah, now we're getting interesting, aren't we?

00:23:14.440 Does he get a debate?

00:23:16.000 Because Biden can say no to a debate

00:23:18.220 and the world can say,

00:23:19.740 all right, we don't like it,

00:23:21.260 but it is, at least there's some precedent, right?

00:23:25.420 There is precedent.

00:23:26.400 Even Trump is considering not debating

00:23:28.700 because, you know, he thinks he has it locked up.

00:23:31.620 Why do it?

00:23:33.060 But if you're the last-minute replacement candidate

00:23:37.340 and RFK Jr. has been there campaigning hard

00:23:41.060 for over a year,

00:23:44.880 how do you not debate?

00:23:48.100 I mean, not debating would be pretty devastating

00:23:50.420 if you're coming in as the, you know,

00:23:53.520 the competitor that's not even putting in the same work

00:23:56.840 as the guy that's been there.

00:23:58.620 So what happens if you put RFK Jr.

00:24:01.800 in a debate with Newsom?

00:24:03.180 Here's what I think happens.

00:24:08.020 I think RFK Jr. would solve

00:24:10.180 all of his reputation problems in one night

00:24:12.900 because Newsom would say,

00:24:16.860 you think all vaccinations are bad?

00:24:20.760 And RFK Jr. would say something like,

00:24:23.480 I've never said that.

00:24:25.700 I've never said anything like that.

00:24:28.120 You're just making that up.

00:24:30.000 And the news is on your side.

00:24:32.240 You're all just making up an opinion for me.

00:24:34.680 Here's my opinion.

00:24:36.140 They're under-tested.

00:24:37.580 Anybody want to have an argument with that?

00:24:39.760 Under-tested.

00:24:41.080 Not tested to my satisfaction.

00:24:43.300 I don't think they're tested to your satisfaction.

00:24:45.800 Here's why.

00:24:47.980 That would really just change everything

00:24:49.680 because he could easily sell under-tested

00:24:53.220 or he could easily sell,

00:24:56.320 I would like to introduce standards

00:24:58.100 for more rigorous testing.

00:24:59.800 Because even if you think the testing was good,

00:25:03.700 who's going to object to more rigorous standards?

00:25:08.140 Who?

00:25:08.980 Just Big Pharma, right?

00:25:10.900 That's it.

00:25:11.980 But if you're just a reasonable Democrat

00:25:14.140 and you're listening,

00:25:15.300 you hear Newsom make a claim,

00:25:17.440 you hear RFK Jr. call the man as a liar,

00:25:20.720 nope.

00:25:21.420 That's not my opinion.

00:25:22.640 And why do you in the news keep saying so?

00:25:24.600 My opinion is they need to be tested better

00:25:28.040 and that there's a lot of correlation stuff

00:25:31.060 that's scary enough we need to look into it.

00:25:34.020 But I don't know.

00:25:35.540 I mean, it looks like it could be causation.

00:25:37.820 But I can't say that for sure.

00:25:39.600 I'm saying it's scary and you should not ignore it.

00:25:43.680 He wins.

00:25:45.520 He wins.

00:25:47.460 I think if...

00:25:48.380 And there's also a contrast problem

00:25:50.180 that's really bad.

00:25:51.720 What is Newsom's biggest advantage as a politician?

00:25:59.280 Let's see.

00:25:59.760 He's got name recognition

00:26:00.780 and he's a tall, good-looking guy with good hair.

00:26:07.960 What's RFK Jr. have?

00:26:12.720 All of that, but better.

00:26:15.560 All of that.

00:26:16.680 All of that, but better.

00:26:18.340 He's a slightly better version.

00:26:20.200 Newsom is the poor man's RFK Jr.

00:26:26.020 RFK Jr. says things that sound to me genuine

00:26:28.980 when he talks.

00:26:31.140 You know, who knows?

00:26:31.920 I mean, I'm not a mind reader, right?

00:26:33.860 So if there's any politician lying to me

00:26:36.280 by doing a good job of it, I wouldn't know.

00:26:39.180 I'd only know what they say.

00:26:40.960 But when RFK Jr. talks,

00:26:43.280 he sounds like he's telling me the truth

00:26:45.100 as he understands it.

00:26:47.100 It doesn't mean he's right about everything.

00:26:48.300 It just means it sounds like he's telling me the truth

00:26:51.020 and means it.

00:26:52.460 When Newsom talks, he sounds like he's lying.

00:26:55.800 All the time.

00:26:57.540 He always sounds like he's lying.

00:27:00.120 Even when he's not.

00:27:02.280 Even when he's not.

00:27:03.820 He just has that slimy, politician-y,

00:27:06.400 too-big-of-a-smile thing.

00:27:09.340 All right?

00:27:10.260 Ladies and gentlemen,

00:27:13.220 this question for the ladies only.

00:27:15.960 If you were not in a relationship,

00:27:17.600 which of those two men would you rather go to bed with?

00:27:21.440 Newsom or RFK Jr.,

00:27:23.240 you're not in a relationship.

00:27:24.640 Imagine you're single.

00:27:26.200 You have a shot.

00:27:27.940 Which one?

00:27:30.880 It's like solid RFK Jr., right?

00:27:33.360 Solid.

00:27:33.760 Now, you don't think that matters?

00:27:36.440 You don't think it matters that the ladies 1.00

00:27:39.640 would choose RFK Jr. as a sex partner over Newsom?

00:27:45.600 You don't think that matters?

00:27:47.640 It does.

00:27:49.680 Yeah.

00:27:50.720 All right?

00:27:51.420 Now, here's one for the men.

00:27:54.280 You get invited to have a beer.

00:27:56.840 You know, alcohol is poison,

00:27:58.260 but let's just go with this.

00:28:00.660 You can have a beer,

00:28:01.760 and it's either with RFK Jr.

00:28:03.100 or it's with Governor Newsom.

00:28:05.100 Who do you pick?

00:28:06.440 It's not even close.

00:28:11.320 One of them would be fascinating,

00:28:13.460 and the other one would be Newsom.

00:28:16.400 Am I right?

00:28:17.740 One of them would be fascinating,

00:28:19.860 like you would just hang on every story and everything,

00:28:24.040 and the other would be just some foolish,

00:28:25.820 greasy guy that's got good hair,

00:28:28.420 and he's tall, and he's got a tan.

00:28:31.020 There's just nothing there.

00:28:32.240 He's just an empty suit.

00:28:33.140 So the matchup between RFK Jr. and Newsom

00:28:37.740 is somewhat devastating for Newsom.

00:28:41.300 And then RFK Jr. has the other advantage

00:28:43.700 of not having governed,

00:28:46.720 which is weird that that's an advantage,

00:28:48.620 but he doesn't have a bad track record as a governor.

00:28:51.440 Newsom's going to have to explain

00:28:54.540 why you can't walk down the streets of San Francisco

00:28:56.780 and why the border's open and all that stuff.

00:29:00.360 So I think that the matchup is really favorable to one.

00:29:06.660 So it really comes down to,

00:29:08.680 I would disagree with Nate Silver on this.

00:29:11.360 I think he, again, I can't read his mind,

00:29:14.020 but in context it looks like he's looking at the polling

00:29:17.180 as the major indicator of what's going to happen,

00:29:19.880 and it usually is.

00:29:21.480 I would agree that in most cases,

00:29:23.160 the polling's your best way to determine

00:29:26.780 what's going to happen.

00:29:28.020 But in this one weird case,

00:29:29.800 because Biden's health is such,

00:29:32.180 really the key variable in all of it,

00:29:34.580 the polling doesn't pick up his health.

00:29:37.480 So that's sort of a blind spot, I think.

00:29:40.940 But we'll see.

00:29:41.580 All right, Bud Light fired its woke marketing department,

00:29:46.820 so the first woman who was hired to market 0.99

00:29:50.660 for a major beer brand is now the first one also fired.

00:29:55.040 So would you consider this a sign of peak wokeness,

00:29:59.620 and the wokeness is reaching its highest level,

00:30:02.900 and now there's going to be pushback?

00:30:05.080 I think so.

00:30:06.380 To me, it looks like a signal of the end.

00:30:08.660 How about the fact that Larry Fink,

00:30:12.380 CEO of BlackRock,

00:30:15.040 and the biggest pusher of ESG,

00:30:17.860 has said that he doesn't like to use ESG now

00:30:20.040 because it's embarrassing,

00:30:21.740 because DeSantis made it a dirty word.

00:30:25.420 It wasn't just DeSantis, right?

00:30:28.120 He didn't do it alone.

00:30:30.120 DeSantis would have never even said it,

00:30:32.420 except that his base is solidly on the same side.

00:30:38.360 So now we've got the biggest pusher of ESG saying,

00:30:42.700 I don't even like to use the word.

00:30:44.100 It's so demonized now.

00:30:46.100 You've got Bud Light firing its wokest marketer.

00:30:50.000 And this morning I see a tweet

00:30:54.620 that a controversial Republican, Stephen Miller,

00:31:00.860 is, I don't know what his involvement is,

00:31:03.960 but I guess he's promoting this non-profit,

00:31:06.720 American First Legal.

00:31:08.720 It's a hotline for American workers and families

00:31:11.200 victimized by illegal racist equity policies.

00:31:14.880 So there's now a line you can call

00:31:19.700 if you're white or Asian, or male, I suppose,

00:31:24.560 and it looks like you've been discriminated at work

00:31:27.260 for being white or Asian or male,

00:31:29.600 and now you can get some legal representation.

00:31:35.900 What do you think?

00:31:39.220 I'm all for it.

00:31:40.640 Yeah, I could have used that at least twice in my career.

00:31:43.280 Had that existed, I would have had a number to call,

00:31:46.540 and I would have gotten legal representation,

00:31:49.040 and I'd still be working at a big bank.

00:31:52.060 So I'm glad I didn't have that legal representation

00:31:54.300 because I'd still be working at a big bank.

00:31:57.840 Yeah.

00:31:58.640 So now do you see a pattern developing yet?

00:32:02.780 So now you've got a number to call

00:32:04.520 if you've been discriminated against for equity.

00:32:07.760 And how do you like the fact

00:32:09.020 that you can just do a tweet on this,

00:32:11.260 you can just say it out loud,

00:32:12.480 hey, there's a lot of people being racist

00:32:14.660 against white people,

00:32:16.400 so now we've got a phone number

00:32:17.360 that white people can call,

00:32:19.040 and Asian Americans, and I guess males,

00:32:22.280 and straight people, I guess,

00:32:24.900 to say that you've been discriminated against.

00:32:28.640 Do you see the pattern yet?

00:32:30.920 Yeah.

00:32:31.380 Woke is definitely broke.

00:32:33.620 There'll be lots more woke.

00:32:35.340 So I'm not saying you're not seeing,

00:32:37.300 that you're seeing the end of it or anything like that.

00:32:39.000 It's going to be whack-a-mole forever.

00:32:41.120 But in terms of the peak,

00:32:43.240 it is now discredited.

00:32:45.540 I'm going to call the top.

00:32:48.360 Calling the top.

00:32:50.120 Woke is discredited,

00:32:51.640 and it's now actually embarrassing

00:32:53.620 to be on that side.

00:32:55.640 It'll take a while for everybody,

00:32:57.160 the message,

00:32:57.920 but it's actually embarrassing.

00:33:00.880 All right.

00:33:01.140 So that was good news.

00:33:10.800 I did a poll asking who's the bigger racist,

00:33:14.980 me or Larry Fink,

00:33:16.500 CEO of BlackRock,

00:33:18.600 and Larry Fink won,

00:33:19.700 you know, hands down.

00:33:21.300 He beat me.

00:33:22.340 And then I tweeted that

00:33:23.760 I think he might be the biggest racist

00:33:26.300 in the country.

00:33:27.000 Now, how would you measure

00:33:29.280 who's the biggest racist?

00:33:31.820 Now, some people said,

00:33:32.680 but what about David Duke,

00:33:34.000 and what about the Ku Klux Klan?

00:33:36.840 And I say,

00:33:37.600 maybe internally,

00:33:39.280 you know,

00:33:39.460 maybe in their minds,

00:33:40.760 they're bigger racists

00:33:41.800 in the sense that they have,

00:33:43.340 you know,

00:33:43.640 more racist feelings.

00:33:46.020 But they don't have much effect,

00:33:47.480 do they?

00:33:49.500 Not much effect.

00:33:50.560 So if you look at people

00:33:52.640 who are racist

00:33:53.700 and have an effect,

00:33:56.280 I don't think,

00:33:57.120 I don't think you could possibly

00:33:58.600 beat Larry Fink,

00:34:00.220 because he's the main pusher of ESG,

00:34:02.840 E being equity,

00:34:04.540 equity being racist.

00:34:07.360 Would you argue?

00:34:08.980 I did.

00:34:09.340 Now, somebody said,

00:34:10.440 Joy Ann Reed,

00:34:11.560 but do you think she has

00:34:12.720 as much impact

00:34:13.700 on the real world?

00:34:15.620 Because I think people watch the news

00:34:17.240 as just entertainment.

00:34:18.480 I don't know that they watch.

00:34:19.500 So he was actually forcing people

00:34:20.840 to be racist all over the place.

00:34:23.140 So he was leveraging his power

00:34:25.000 to make the entire industrial base racist.

00:34:29.380 I've never seen a bigger example

00:34:30.720 of racism than that.

00:34:32.260 Well, in the current times.

00:34:34.440 Obviously, Hitler had a monopoly on things. 0.79

00:34:38.280 But then somebody said

00:34:40.520 that Randy Weingarten

00:34:41.660 would be a bigger racist,

00:34:43.840 because she is the biggest protector

00:34:45.760 of institutional organizations

00:34:49.500 systemic racism.

00:34:51.260 So it's a little hard

00:34:52.160 to measure, you know,

00:34:53.580 the various racisms

00:34:54.780 against each other.

00:34:55.700 But I think it's down to them.

00:34:57.500 I think Larry Fink

00:34:59.020 or Randy Weingarten

00:35:00.220 would be the biggest racists.

00:35:02.680 You could argue Biden.

00:35:05.240 Maybe.

00:35:07.560 Maybe.

00:35:08.840 Some people said Obama,

00:35:10.520 but I'm not going to count

00:35:11.440 anybody who's not currently influential.

00:35:13.840 And he's not really,

00:35:15.900 in a sense.

00:35:17.780 All right.

00:35:19.440 So what do you think

00:35:21.700 of the fact that I can

00:35:22.860 casually retweet

00:35:24.840 that Larry Fink

00:35:26.260 is the biggest racist

00:35:27.380 in the country

00:35:28.100 and people just,

00:35:29.840 people simply think about it

00:35:32.160 whether that's true?

00:35:34.600 That's all they did.

00:35:35.740 I don't know.

00:35:36.280 Is he the biggest?

00:35:37.740 All right.

00:35:38.080 I see your argument.

00:35:39.120 Yeah.

00:35:39.560 Yeah.

00:35:39.840 I don't know if he's the biggest

00:35:40.900 because, you know,

00:35:41.420 Randy Weingarten,

00:35:42.380 but yeah,

00:35:43.260 he would be in the top three

00:35:44.420 for sure.

00:35:47.040 Just what do you think

00:35:47.940 about the fact

00:35:48.500 that I can just say

00:35:49.380 that casually?

00:35:50.840 He's the biggest racist

00:35:51.880 in the country.

00:35:53.260 And you all just go,

00:35:54.220 yeah, yeah,

00:35:54.960 that sounds about right.

00:35:57.320 It's peak wokeness.

00:35:59.840 Do you think

00:36:00.420 there'll be any pushback tomorrow

00:36:01.980 like there'll be

00:36:03.400 a big viral video

00:36:04.480 about how I called

00:36:05.540 Larry Fink a racist?

00:36:07.880 No.

00:36:09.160 No.

00:36:09.360 Because it's not shocking.

00:36:11.600 It's not even interesting.

00:36:14.160 It's just a fact

00:36:15.420 and everybody can see it now.

00:36:18.620 All right.

00:36:20.340 Harvard is introducing

00:36:21.800 an AI teacher.

00:36:24.140 So students will have

00:36:25.580 some kind of a science teacher

00:36:27.500 chatbot for at least one course.

00:36:31.220 The CS50 course.

00:36:33.960 And, you know,

00:36:34.520 it's experimental, of course.

00:36:36.120 We'll see how it goes.

00:36:37.020 But isn't there

00:36:40.140 an obvious question here?

00:36:43.220 May I ask

00:36:44.100 the most obvious question?

00:36:47.480 Why would you pay

00:36:48.860 to go to Harvard

00:36:50.020 if you're going to be

00:36:51.800 talking to a robot?

00:36:52.780 Is it like the special

00:36:56.400 Harvard-trained robot?

00:37:00.000 Do you get to...

00:37:01.160 Are you going to network

00:37:02.040 with a robot later?

00:37:03.960 Well, you know,

00:37:04.760 I didn't meet any people,

00:37:05.840 but I got this great friend

00:37:06.900 who's a robot

00:37:07.540 who was teaching me science.

00:37:12.120 Isn't Harvard

00:37:12.960 eliminating itself?

00:37:14.540 If I were Harvard,

00:37:17.460 the last thing I'd do

00:37:18.520 is introduce a robot.

00:37:20.880 Because the robot has,

00:37:22.280 you know,

00:37:22.700 none of the qualities

00:37:23.800 that Harvard does

00:37:24.660 can be easily reproduced

00:37:26.780 down to the community,

00:37:27.940 you know,

00:37:29.300 community college level.

00:37:31.000 It just takes

00:37:31.780 all of the value

00:37:32.780 out of Harvard.

00:37:35.220 But I guess

00:37:35.880 they don't have any choice.

00:37:36.800 If they don't do it,

00:37:37.600 somebody's going to do it

00:37:38.420 to them.

00:37:39.280 So they, you know,

00:37:40.360 maybe they can build

00:37:41.160 some kind of a hybrid

00:37:42.100 situation that makes them look

00:37:43.540 like they have some value,

00:37:45.360 but interesting

00:37:46.260 that they would go first.

00:37:48.200 All right.

00:37:48.500 So there is, of course,

00:37:49.620 more rumors

00:37:50.400 and whistleblowing

00:37:51.260 and speculation

00:37:52.400 that the investigation

00:37:54.640 into Hunter Biden

00:37:56.080 was blocked.

00:37:57.640 So now there's

00:37:58.620 a whistleblower

00:37:59.400 that says that

00:38:01.360 they were told

00:38:02.900 to not pursue leads

00:38:04.420 that would go,

00:38:05.980 certainly go directly

00:38:07.320 to the question

00:38:07.940 of whether Joe Biden

00:38:09.160 accepted any bribes

00:38:11.060 or did any bad stuff.

00:38:12.120 And they were told

00:38:13.940 not to.

00:38:14.740 And then there's a story

00:38:15.820 that Weiss,

00:38:17.720 the prosecutor,

00:38:19.440 tried to get some

00:38:20.880 prosecutions going

00:38:21.820 in Washington, D.C.

00:38:22.780 and also in L.A.,

00:38:24.020 but in both locations

00:38:25.480 they rebuffed him

00:38:26.360 and they said,

00:38:27.660 go away, 0.98

00:38:28.060 we're not doing that.

00:38:29.920 But Merrick Garland,

00:38:32.940 the boss

00:38:33.860 of this whole situation,

00:38:35.220 has told Congress

00:38:36.100 that there was no obstacles,

00:38:38.440 nobody blocked them,

00:38:39.380 they had free reign

00:38:40.260 to do what they wanted.

00:38:41.100 I don't know

00:38:42.500 if those are

00:38:43.000 necessarily opposites

00:38:44.280 because Garland

00:38:46.700 is not in charge

00:38:47.700 of, you know,

00:38:48.980 the two other states

00:38:50.020 that said no.

00:38:51.400 But collectively,

00:38:53.840 collectively the picture

00:38:55.480 is becoming very clear.

00:38:58.060 It looks like

00:38:58.880 there's no question

00:38:59.700 whatsoever

00:39:00.280 that Hunter Biden

00:39:02.480 was selling access

00:39:04.360 to his father,

00:39:06.500 taking huge amounts

00:39:07.540 of money

00:39:07.920 and finding ways

00:39:09.800 to not pay taxes

00:39:10.660 on it.

00:39:12.080 It looks like

00:39:12.800 it's all true.

00:39:14.320 It's like,

00:39:15.000 it's exactly

00:39:15.740 what you thought

00:39:16.460 it was,

00:39:17.040 times 10.

00:39:19.300 And I think

00:39:20.700 we all know it now.

00:39:22.300 But we got totally

00:39:24.520 cat on the roofed,

00:39:26.220 you know what I mean?

00:39:27.520 We got so cat

00:39:28.500 on the roofed.

00:39:29.520 So the cat on the roof

00:39:30.600 is like,

00:39:30.980 oh, your cat's

00:39:31.540 on the roof

00:39:32.120 trying to get her down.

00:39:33.040 Oh, the cat fell

00:39:35.020 off the roof

00:39:35.600 and, you know,

00:39:36.280 it's a little bit injured

00:39:37.160 but we took it

00:39:37.720 to the vet

00:39:38.240 and we think

00:39:38.960 it'll be fine.

00:39:39.760 Oh, the cat died.

00:39:42.060 So the Hunter thing,

00:39:44.000 you know,

00:39:44.240 started with,

00:39:45.240 I don't know,

00:39:45.580 the laptop probably

00:39:46.580 and then there were

00:39:47.700 all these stories

00:39:48.720 and time goes by

00:39:49.920 and stories

00:39:50.580 and time

00:39:51.260 and time and stories

00:39:52.340 until you get to this

00:39:53.820 and you realize

00:39:54.860 that every worst

00:39:56.660 assumption you had

00:39:57.860 was true.

00:39:59.080 They were all true.

00:39:59.920 that the Bidens

00:40:01.220 have been a criminal

00:40:02.600 organization for decades.

00:40:04.940 They've been a criminal

00:40:06.180 organization for decades

00:40:08.680 and he's still president.

00:40:10.560 Nobody's talking

00:40:11.280 about impeachment.

00:40:14.520 Well, I guess we talk

00:40:15.840 about it

00:40:16.200 but it's not serious

00:40:17.180 and we're just going on

00:40:21.180 like this is a normal day.

00:40:23.420 It's just a Wednesday

00:40:25.160 that we found out

00:40:27.620 the president is actually

00:40:28.980 a crime syndicate

00:40:30.580 kind of a guy.

00:40:32.820 All right.

00:40:34.900 Which also makes sense

00:40:36.280 why the Democrats

00:40:37.440 try so hard

00:40:38.280 to paint Trump

00:40:39.540 as what the Bidens are.

00:40:42.540 As we've learned,

00:40:43.940 Tucker taught us this,

00:40:45.260 the Democrats always

00:40:46.300 accuse you

00:40:47.160 of whatever they're doing

00:40:48.080 and if you look

00:40:49.340 at all the accusations

00:40:50.200 against Trump,

00:40:51.320 they do seem to mirror

00:40:52.340 all the things

00:40:53.800 that Trump is not doing

00:40:54.920 or did some small way

00:40:56.860 and Biden is doing

00:40:58.720 a lot.

00:41:00.540 So, that's for sure.

00:41:02.780 All right.

00:41:03.460 How many of you,

00:41:04.320 let's talk about

00:41:04.880 the increase

00:41:05.600 in the trans community.

00:41:09.100 So,

00:41:10.380 I saw Vivek

00:41:12.660 tweet this,

00:41:14.060 5% of American adults

00:41:15.480 under 30

00:41:16.020 identify as trans.

00:41:17.240 Five years ago,

00:41:18.720 it was

00:41:19.120 0.6%.

00:41:21.280 So,

00:41:22.540 there's a huge

00:41:23.220 percentage increase

00:41:24.820 in number of people

00:41:25.640 identifying as trans

00:41:26.960 under 30.

00:41:29.120 Now,

00:41:29.720 his conclusion

00:41:31.640 is it's somewhat

00:41:32.440 obviously

00:41:33.060 a mental illness 0.57

00:41:34.420 driven phenomenon.

00:41:37.020 How many of you

00:41:38.020 would agree

00:41:38.840 with the assessment

00:41:39.900 that the increase

00:41:41.860 in trans

00:41:42.620 is a primarily

00:41:45.040 a mental health

00:41:46.640 contagion?

00:41:48.580 How many would

00:41:49.200 accept that

00:41:49.740 as the most

00:41:50.500 likely explanation?

00:41:54.260 All right.

00:41:54.960 So,

00:41:55.360 that was

00:41:55.660 my opinion

00:41:56.840 as well.

00:41:59.280 And,

00:41:59.960 I was quite

00:42:00.880 confident

00:42:01.320 in my opinion,

00:42:02.120 I have to say.

00:42:03.400 Quite confident

00:42:04.080 in my opinion

00:42:04.780 that there was

00:42:06.360 no other

00:42:06.900 reasonable explanation

00:42:08.320 other than

00:42:09.080 it was just

00:42:09.520 getting in

00:42:09.900 people's minds

00:42:10.760 and they were

00:42:11.820 talking to

00:42:12.320 themselves into it

00:42:13.140 because there was

00:42:13.700 so much

00:42:14.020 in the press

00:42:14.540 about it.

00:42:16.380 However,

00:42:17.540 how do you

00:42:18.340 rule out

00:42:18.880 the following

00:42:19.480 two hypotheses?

00:42:21.420 Because I'm

00:42:21.800 going to

00:42:22.320 fuck you up

00:42:23.820 a little bit here

00:42:24.420 and that's

00:42:25.340 why you watch,

00:42:26.120 I know.

00:42:27.200 I want to take

00:42:28.040 something that

00:42:28.500 you're pretty

00:42:28.980 sure about

00:42:29.620 and leave you

00:42:30.900 with some doubt.

00:42:33.180 All right?

00:42:34.180 So,

00:42:34.660 I think it was

00:42:35.360 was it

00:42:37.820 Jordan Peterson?

00:42:39.860 Somebody smart

00:42:41.220 said the following

00:42:41.940 thing.

00:42:42.860 There's so much

00:42:43.840 more trends

00:42:44.600 happening in

00:42:45.200 California

00:42:45.800 than there is

00:42:47.440 in Ohio.

00:42:48.760 How do you

00:42:49.160 explain that?

00:42:50.800 Is it because,

00:42:54.100 how do you

00:42:54.940 explain that

00:42:55.640 other than

00:42:58.160 it's a

00:42:59.680 mental phenomenon?

00:43:01.160 Because you know

00:43:01.720 that the mentality

00:43:02.580 in California

00:43:04.160 is different

00:43:04.700 than the mentality

00:43:05.560 in Ohio,

00:43:06.920 right?

00:43:07.180 so isn't it

00:43:09.200 obvious that

00:43:10.280 if California

00:43:11.040 has lots of

00:43:11.760 trends and

00:43:13.240 Ohio doesn't

00:43:13.880 have as many,

00:43:15.680 it's kind of

00:43:16.540 obvious that

00:43:17.360 California is

00:43:18.220 more, let's

00:43:19.040 say, mentally

00:43:19.780 promoting of it

00:43:21.520 so that that

00:43:22.240 would support

00:43:23.580 the idea that

00:43:24.920 it's a mental

00:43:25.440 contagion.

00:43:26.460 Would you agree

00:43:27.040 that the high

00:43:28.400 rate in California

00:43:29.380 relative to Ohio

00:43:30.760 supports the

00:43:32.220 hypothesis that

00:43:33.780 it's a mental

00:43:34.240 contagion?

00:43:34.860 Agree?

00:43:37.660 All right.

00:43:39.560 There are two

00:43:40.600 hypotheses that I

00:43:41.800 don't think you

00:43:42.280 can rule out.

00:43:43.600 Number one is

00:43:44.600 that it's just

00:43:45.180 safer to come

00:43:45.800 out in

00:43:46.120 California,

00:43:46.580 or that if

00:43:48.280 you suspected

00:43:48.980 you might later

00:43:49.940 come out,

00:43:50.420 you might move

00:43:50.860 to California

00:43:51.440 instead of

00:43:52.600 Ohio.

00:43:54.840 What's wrong

00:43:55.500 with that

00:43:55.760 hypothesis?

00:43:57.180 Would that

00:43:57.740 explain the

00:43:58.340 difference between

00:43:59.040 California and

00:43:59.940 Ohio?

00:44:00.840 In California,

00:44:01.940 you're completely

00:44:02.660 safe to come

00:44:03.360 out.

00:44:04.320 In Ohio,

00:44:04.860 maybe not so

00:44:05.580 much.

00:44:06.520 Maybe not so

00:44:07.040 much.

00:44:08.160 So are you

00:44:09.860 so sure it's

00:44:10.440 a mental

00:44:10.740 contagion?

00:44:12.900 When it

00:44:13.240 just coincidentally,

00:44:15.020 coincidentally,

00:44:16.440 this is a total

00:44:17.320 coincidence,

00:44:17.980 right?

00:44:18.580 That the one

00:44:19.300 place that's

00:44:19.840 the safest in

00:44:20.800 the world to

00:44:22.240 come out in

00:44:22.880 any way you

00:44:23.400 want to come

00:44:23.780 out is

00:44:24.040 California,

00:44:25.340 and that we

00:44:25.840 have the most

00:44:26.340 people coming

00:44:26.880 out.

00:44:28.340 Just a

00:44:28.920 coincidence?

00:44:31.140 I doubt

00:44:31.860 it.

00:44:32.760 I doubt

00:44:33.460 it.

00:44:33.700 How about

00:44:35.820 the idea

00:44:37.200 that there

00:44:37.600 might be

00:44:37.900 something in

00:44:38.420 our environment

00:44:39.120 that's changing

00:44:40.660 our sexuality?

00:44:42.040 You know,

00:44:42.340 the gay

00:44:42.700 frogs

00:44:43.100 theory?

00:44:45.060 Do you

00:44:45.680 think there's

00:44:46.060 anything in

00:44:46.600 our environment

00:44:47.180 that's changing

00:44:47.880 our sexuality,

00:44:49.380 even to the

00:44:50.780 point of

00:44:51.240 sexual

00:44:51.620 identification?

00:44:53.760 Do you

00:44:54.380 think?

00:44:56.600 Well,

00:44:58.160 have you

00:44:59.380 heard that

00:44:59.880 the

00:45:00.240 burn levels

00:45:04.580 in men

00:45:04.940 have gone

00:45:05.460 down for

00:45:06.100 like 40

00:45:06.740 years in

00:45:07.100 a row?

00:45:10.040 What happens

00:45:10.980 when you're

00:45:11.900 no longer

00:45:12.440 chemically

00:45:13.140 male?

00:45:14.800 I mean,

00:45:15.080 what makes

00:45:15.480 you feel

00:45:16.820 male is

00:45:17.460 testosterone,

00:45:18.280 I think.

00:45:19.480 Doesn't it?

00:45:20.840 You know,

00:45:21.380 there's one

00:45:21.860 thing about

00:45:22.280 how you look

00:45:22.920 and how

00:45:23.160 you're born

00:45:23.640 and maybe

00:45:24.720 your natural

00:45:25.360 biological

00:45:25.940 instincts,

00:45:26.720 but on

00:45:27.620 top of

00:45:28.000 that,

00:45:29.380 if your

00:45:29.880 testosterone

00:45:30.480 is high,

00:45:31.140 you're going

00:45:31.420 to look

00:45:31.840 and act

00:45:32.320 and feel

00:45:32.720 kind of

00:45:33.160 male,

00:45:34.240 because you're

00:45:34.780 going to

00:45:34.880 watch yourself

00:45:35.500 picking fights

00:45:36.660 and doing

00:45:37.840 dangerous shit,

00:45:39.080 like all the

00:45:39.880 male stuff.

00:45:41.340 But if your

00:45:42.020 testosterone was

00:45:42.940 low,

00:45:44.200 for, let's

00:45:44.920 say,

00:45:45.180 environmental

00:45:45.580 reasons,

00:45:46.280 something in

00:45:46.840 the water,

00:45:47.380 for example,

00:45:48.660 wouldn't you

00:45:49.960 feel less

00:45:51.020 male,

00:45:52.520 and might

00:45:53.320 you reasonably

00:45:54.640 be expected

00:45:55.400 to say,

00:45:55.860 I don't

00:45:56.120 know,

00:45:56.660 I'm not

00:45:57.180 even sure

00:45:57.620 I'm totally

00:45:58.100 male.

00:45:59.220 I don't

00:45:59.820 feel it.

00:46:01.120 I'm not

00:46:01.700 doing what

00:46:02.140 the other

00:46:02.460 males are 0.99

00:46:02.920 doing.

00:46:03.900 You know,

00:46:04.080 they seem

00:46:04.420 to be

00:46:04.860 throwing

00:46:05.780 shot puts

00:46:06.460 and climbing

00:46:07.780 walls and

00:46:08.360 stuff.

00:46:08.980 I'm not

00:46:09.400 doing that.

00:46:09.840 I like

00:46:10.080 to knit.

00:46:11.480 So maybe

00:46:12.220 I'm a

00:46:12.520 woman.

00:46:15.060 So,

00:46:15.840 there are

00:46:17.040 three

00:46:17.460 hypotheses,

00:46:19.060 and I

00:46:20.140 think that

00:46:20.560 they're all

00:46:21.360 strong in

00:46:22.860 their own

00:46:23.180 way.

00:46:24.680 So,

00:46:25.020 when I

00:46:26.240 see a

00:46:26.760 group of

00:46:27.160 four

00:46:27.420 friends,

00:46:28.500 and all

00:46:28.880 four of

00:46:29.280 them are

00:46:29.540 questioning

00:46:29.920 their sexuality,

00:46:30.980 and they're

00:46:31.300 13 years

00:46:32.020 old,

00:46:32.400 which is a

00:46:33.180 real thing,

00:46:34.200 somebody I

00:46:35.360 know has

00:46:35.800 that situation,

00:46:37.200 do you

00:46:37.560 really think

00:46:37.980 that the

00:46:38.280 four of

00:46:38.700 them,

00:46:39.400 like the

00:46:39.780 four friends,

00:46:41.220 just

00:46:41.480 coincidentally,

00:46:42.580 they're all

00:46:43.080 non-binary and

00:46:44.320 maybe trans?

00:46:45.820 Really?

00:46:46.840 Because that

00:46:47.200 seems,

00:46:47.820 doesn't that

00:46:48.280 seem completely

00:46:49.360 psychological?

00:46:50.320 To me,

00:46:51.940 it does.

00:46:53.120 But here's

00:46:53.840 a nuance I'm

00:46:55.420 going to

00:46:55.580 throw in

00:46:55.980 there.

00:46:57.200 I think

00:46:57.640 you could

00:47:00.520 easily figure

00:47:01.260 out that

00:47:01.820 mental health

00:47:02.660 would cause

00:47:03.560 somebody to

00:47:04.140 be maybe a

00:47:04.780 little non-binary 0.87

00:47:05.780 or not so

00:47:07.120 sure if they're

00:47:07.740 gay or not. 0.61

00:47:09.140 I could see

00:47:09.800 mental contagion

00:47:10.840 doing that

00:47:12.100 fairly easily.

00:47:13.340 That would be

00:47:14.080 actually normal,

00:47:15.340 not surprising

00:47:16.140 at all.

00:47:16.580 because you

00:47:17.720 could definitely

00:47:18.260 change people's,

00:47:20.260 let's say,

00:47:21.240 non-solid sexual

00:47:24.060 preferences with

00:47:25.320 persuasion.

00:47:26.680 You could turn

00:47:27.640 somebody who

00:47:28.400 maybe had a

00:47:29.300 little inclination

00:47:30.180 to be bi

00:47:30.940 into somebody

00:47:32.500 who lived the

00:47:33.020 life of a

00:47:33.800 gay man. 0.74

00:47:35.600 That would be

00:47:36.420 completely normal.

00:47:37.540 You could do

00:47:37.920 that.

00:47:38.820 I don't think

00:47:39.460 anybody who is

00:47:40.220 a hypnotist would

00:47:41.040 disagree with

00:47:41.700 what I just

00:47:42.200 said.

00:47:43.260 Somebody is

00:47:43.800 leaning in a

00:47:44.620 direction you

00:47:45.100 could push

00:47:45.480 them a little

00:47:45.780 further.

00:47:46.580 Very normal.

00:47:47.640 So you could

00:47:48.120 do that with

00:47:48.840 a mental

00:47:49.760 contagion.

00:47:51.460 I don't know

00:47:52.340 that you could

00:47:52.760 make somebody

00:47:53.260 fully trans

00:47:54.500 with mental

00:47:55.960 contagion alone.

00:47:59.240 Now, when I

00:48:00.020 say anybody,

00:48:01.720 well, probably

00:48:02.400 somebody, right?

00:48:03.660 I just don't

00:48:04.220 think it would

00:48:04.660 be the...

00:48:05.740 I think that...

00:48:07.340 And this is

00:48:07.720 just speculation

00:48:08.340 because I'm

00:48:08.960 not trans,

00:48:10.220 right?

00:48:10.680 So I want

00:48:11.460 to be...

00:48:11.960 I would like

00:48:12.340 to have

00:48:12.600 appropriate,

00:48:14.500 respectful,

00:48:15.180 humility.

00:48:17.440 I don't

00:48:17.720 know what

00:48:17.960 it's like

00:48:18.280 to be

00:48:18.540 trans.

00:48:19.580 So let's

00:48:20.300 all agree

00:48:21.140 that I

00:48:21.880 can't know

00:48:22.280 what it's

00:48:22.560 like.

00:48:23.280 But my

00:48:23.800 speculation is,

00:48:24.840 just living

00:48:25.560 in the real

00:48:26.040 world and

00:48:26.640 being a

00:48:27.660 person who

00:48:28.040 tries to

00:48:28.380 pay attention,

00:48:29.640 that probably

00:48:30.780 if you're

00:48:31.740 super trans,

00:48:33.060 like you were

00:48:33.680 born that way

00:48:34.380 and it's

00:48:34.700 like a real

00:48:35.120 thing,

00:48:35.520 your dysmorphia,

00:48:36.920 the experts

00:48:37.880 would say,

00:48:38.280 okay, this

00:48:38.680 is the real

00:48:39.100 thing.

00:48:39.600 This has

00:48:40.020 nothing to do

00:48:40.620 with mental

00:48:41.860 persuasion.

00:48:43.080 This person

00:48:43.780 is trans.

00:48:45.460 Do you

00:48:45.940 think they

00:48:46.220 don't know

00:48:46.620 it?

00:48:47.860 It seems

00:48:48.420 to me that

00:48:49.280 in those

00:48:49.540 cases,

00:48:50.180 persuasion

00:48:50.700 is probably

00:48:51.300 not the

00:48:51.680 key variable.

00:48:54.640 So I'm

00:48:55.560 leaning toward

00:48:56.200 a theory

00:48:56.940 that it's

00:48:57.420 three different

00:48:57.980 things.

00:48:58.880 I think

00:48:59.440 the environment

00:49:00.040 is one

00:49:01.340 of the

00:49:01.680 variables.

00:49:02.760 I think

00:49:03.220 whatever is

00:49:03.800 dropping

00:49:04.200 testosterone

00:49:04.940 is clearly

00:49:06.620 messing with

00:49:07.280 sexual

00:49:08.060 chemistry.

00:49:08.780 If you

00:49:10.060 know that

00:49:10.600 the environment

00:49:11.120 is messing

00:49:11.880 with your

00:49:12.320 sexual

00:49:12.700 chemistry,

00:49:13.400 at least

00:49:13.760 for sperm,

00:49:16.280 you don't

00:49:17.240 think it

00:49:17.540 would affect

00:49:17.900 the others?

00:49:19.660 That there

00:49:20.220 would be

00:49:20.440 something that

00:49:20.880 only affects

00:49:21.660 sperm? 0.98

00:49:23.200 Maybe.

00:49:24.480 Maybe.

00:49:25.160 Can't rule

00:49:25.660 it down.

00:49:26.340 But it

00:49:26.660 seems to

00:49:26.980 me that

00:49:27.240 something

00:49:27.480 that's

00:49:27.800 taking your

00:49:28.240 sperm

00:49:28.560 down is

00:49:28.960 probably

00:49:29.240 fucking

00:49:29.640 you up

00:49:30.000 pretty good.

00:49:31.060 Like in

00:49:31.500 a variety

00:49:32.220 of ways

00:49:32.740 that just

00:49:33.220 are not

00:49:33.760 obvious.

00:49:34.600 And one

00:49:34.900 of them,

00:49:35.220 the most

00:49:35.460 obvious would

00:49:36.000 be your

00:49:36.380 sexual

00:49:37.040 identity.

00:49:38.100 I would

00:49:38.460 think that

00:49:38.780 that would

00:49:39.060 be assaulted

00:49:39.820 by any

00:49:40.600 change in

00:49:41.060 your sexual

00:49:41.700 chemistry.

00:49:44.100 So I'm

00:49:44.620 going to

00:49:44.740 say all

00:49:45.080 three things

00:49:45.620 are probably

00:49:46.120 in play.

00:49:46.940 I think

00:49:47.220 there's a

00:49:47.880 social

00:49:48.480 contagion

00:49:49.160 that affects

00:49:49.700 some.

00:49:50.280 I think

00:49:50.600 it's safer

00:49:51.820 to come

00:49:52.180 out in

00:49:52.460 California,

00:49:53.200 so you

00:49:53.520 should expect

00:49:54.240 more people

00:49:55.400 to come

00:49:55.680 out in

00:49:55.920 California

00:49:56.380 than

00:49:56.760 Wyoming.

00:49:58.760 I would

00:49:59.200 expect that.

00:50:00.600 And,

00:50:01.040 you know,

00:50:01.520 some of it

00:50:02.100 is environmental,

00:50:03.200 I think.

00:50:03.720 It's probably

00:50:04.140 in the water

00:50:05.380 or the air

00:50:06.020 or the food

00:50:06.680 or something.

00:50:07.100 All right.

00:50:09.940 So I would

00:50:10.800 just like to

00:50:11.380 leave you

00:50:11.820 with a little

00:50:12.400 bit of

00:50:13.180 humility and

00:50:14.440 doubt that

00:50:15.920 you know why

00:50:16.740 anybody is

00:50:17.460 coming out as

00:50:18.040 trans or 0.96

00:50:19.220 non-binary or

00:50:20.200 anything.

00:50:20.460 You really

00:50:20.800 don't.

00:50:21.920 We just

00:50:22.380 don't know.

00:50:24.600 But certainly

00:50:25.320 all of those

00:50:26.040 things are worth

00:50:26.680 a close look.

00:50:28.700 And I don't

00:50:29.060 think Vivek is

00:50:30.460 wrong.

00:50:31.680 He may be

00:50:32.560 overstating a

00:50:33.540 little bit.

00:50:34.480 But not wrong.

00:50:35.180 There's a

00:50:35.660 social contagion

00:50:36.540 element to it

00:50:37.200 for sure.

00:50:38.960 All right.

00:50:40.260 I was re-watching

00:50:41.540 Putin's recent

00:50:42.680 speech the other

00:50:43.420 day about,

00:50:44.420 you know,

00:50:44.820 the alleged

00:50:45.740 insurrection

00:50:46.960 or whatever it

00:50:47.840 was.

00:50:49.200 And he

00:50:51.520 looked like a

00:50:52.100 deep fake.

00:50:54.020 Did anybody

00:50:54.700 else have that

00:50:55.440 experience?

00:50:58.160 That his

00:50:58.760 video,

00:51:00.320 his speech,

00:51:00.960 he looked

00:51:01.520 like a deep

00:51:03.180 fake.

00:51:03.540 fake.

00:51:04.160 Now, I

00:51:04.560 don't think

00:51:04.860 he was.

00:51:06.600 But the

00:51:07.720 difference between

00:51:08.480 how he looked

00:51:09.160 in his real

00:51:09.900 world, because

00:51:10.900 he was pale

00:51:11.680 and concerned

00:51:13.940 and very

00:51:15.400 tense, and

00:51:17.800 he wasn't

00:51:18.420 acting like

00:51:20.080 the relaxed,

00:51:20.900 happy Putin

00:51:21.440 that you

00:51:21.800 could sometimes

00:51:22.420 see.

00:51:23.820 And when he

00:51:24.400 takes away his

00:51:25.480 happy layer,

00:51:26.880 and he's got

00:51:27.380 his tense,

00:51:28.100 serious layer,

00:51:29.540 the difference

00:51:30.140 between his

00:51:30.840 tense, serious

00:51:32.080 presentation,

00:51:34.440 and a deep

00:51:35.060 fake, it's

00:51:36.600 just almost

00:51:37.260 nothing.

00:51:38.540 Now, if he

00:51:39.260 had been,

00:51:39.680 let's say,

00:51:40.060 jocular and

00:51:40.900 joking around

00:51:41.720 and, you

00:51:42.600 know, a

00:51:43.240 good laugh

00:51:43.880 and ha-ha-ha

00:51:44.640 and shaking

00:51:45.140 hands and

00:51:45.600 stuff, that

00:51:46.520 would be

00:51:46.820 really hard

00:51:47.360 to deep

00:51:47.720 fake, simply

00:51:49.540 because there's

00:51:50.080 more action,

00:51:51.240 you'd see more

00:51:51.800 things to go

00:51:52.400 wrong.

00:51:52.900 But when he's

00:51:53.500 just standing

00:51:54.000 there looking

00:51:54.460 at you,

00:51:55.500 I looked

00:52:03.460 at it again

00:52:04.100 and I

00:52:04.460 said, if

00:52:05.020 that had

00:52:05.420 been a

00:52:05.720 deep fake,

00:52:06.200 I wouldn't

00:52:06.500 know.

00:52:07.920 Again, I

00:52:08.600 don't think

00:52:08.940 it was.

00:52:09.800 But if it

00:52:10.540 had been, I

00:52:11.980 don't think

00:52:12.360 you could

00:52:12.660 tell.

00:52:13.380 I think we're

00:52:13.980 already at the

00:52:14.620 point where

00:52:14.980 that could 0.68

00:52:15.420 have been

00:52:15.660 faked, and 0.73

00:52:17.160 you wouldn't

00:52:17.460 know it.

00:52:19.380 And we're

00:52:19.880 only 5%

00:52:20.820 away from

00:52:21.260 there at

00:52:21.580 most, so

00:52:22.240 that means

00:52:22.700 that maybe

00:52:23.220 the government

00:52:23.700 can already

00:52:24.200 do it.

00:52:25.380 All right,

00:52:26.560 let's talk

00:52:26.940 about

00:52:27.160 Pregosian.

00:52:27.780 You know

00:52:28.100 that the

00:52:29.560 reporting is

00:52:30.260 that his

00:52:30.600 plane took

00:52:31.420 off from

00:52:32.040 Russia and

00:52:33.240 landed in

00:52:33.840 Belarus, and

00:52:34.740 Lukashenko,

00:52:36.340 the head of

00:52:36.820 Belarus, is

00:52:37.800 saying, oh

00:52:38.220 yeah, yep,

00:52:39.080 he's here.

00:52:40.180 We got him.

00:52:41.160 Yep, yep,

00:52:42.000 yep, he's

00:52:42.440 totally here.

00:52:44.080 Have you

00:52:44.620 seen a

00:52:44.920 picture of

00:52:45.300 him?

00:52:46.780 Do you

00:52:47.040 see that

00:52:47.360 picture of

00:52:47.900 him getting

00:52:48.260 off the

00:52:48.640 plane,

00:52:50.020 confirming he's

00:52:50.680 there?

00:52:51.640 Because you

00:52:52.160 know Lukashenko

00:52:52.680 wants to

00:52:53.540 confirm he's

00:52:54.120 there, because

00:52:55.640 he would like

00:52:56.180 you to know

00:52:56.600 that he's an

00:52:57.120 important deal

00:52:57.820 maker, and

00:52:58.760 that he's the

00:52:59.220 one who

00:52:59.480 negotiated it, and

00:53:00.580 it worked

00:53:00.940 out, and

00:53:01.900 here's my

00:53:03.140 success.

00:53:04.520 Here he is.

00:53:05.460 Boom, I

00:53:06.280 told you.

00:53:07.020 I told you I

00:53:07.660 would solve

00:53:08.040 this problem.

00:53:09.020 I'm the one

00:53:09.680 who solved

00:53:10.340 what could

00:53:11.440 have been a

00:53:12.200 mutiny against

00:53:13.760 Putin.

00:53:15.060 I'm the one

00:53:15.740 that worked

00:53:16.080 that out.

00:53:16.500 Here he is.

00:53:17.360 Here he is.

00:53:18.120 Here's my

00:53:18.500 buddy.

00:53:19.560 Where's that

00:53:20.020 picture?

00:53:20.300 Kind of

00:53:22.420 missing, isn't

00:53:22.920 it?

00:53:23.860 Kind of the

00:53:24.520 most obvious

00:53:25.260 picture you

00:53:25.920 would expect.

00:53:27.480 He's there.

00:53:29.140 Lukashenko

00:53:29.540 knows where

00:53:30.080 he is.

00:53:31.360 You don't

00:53:31.620 think, and

00:53:32.060 they're

00:53:32.200 friends.

00:53:32.860 They're

00:53:33.080 friends.

00:53:33.560 They've been

00:53:33.800 friends for

00:53:34.200 years.

00:53:35.080 You don't

00:53:35.380 think he

00:53:35.720 caught up

00:53:36.140 with him

00:53:36.380 when he

00:53:36.600 landed and

00:53:37.120 said, hey,

00:53:37.620 how you

00:53:37.860 doing?

00:53:38.320 Here's the

00:53:38.880 deal, and

00:53:39.460 here's where

00:53:40.400 you can stay,

00:53:41.100 and here's

00:53:41.340 what you

00:53:41.580 can't do.

00:53:43.260 But no

00:53:43.760 pictures of

00:53:45.200 his good

00:53:45.680 friend who

00:53:46.880 is probably

00:53:47.320 hanging out with

00:53:47.900 him right

00:53:48.220 now.

00:53:48.980 Couldn't

00:53:49.240 just take

00:53:49.660 out his

00:53:49.980 phone, snap 0.99

00:53:51.500 a little

00:53:51.800 selfie for

00:53:52.360 us, so

00:53:53.160 we'd be

00:53:53.460 sure he's

00:53:53.880 there.

00:53:55.580 All right,

00:53:56.200 here's my

00:53:56.940 fun speculation.

00:54:00.120 First of

00:54:00.720 all, he

00:54:01.160 might be

00:54:01.460 there.

00:54:02.500 So if

00:54:03.160 tomorrow you

00:54:04.120 see the

00:54:04.440 picture, don't

00:54:06.440 act like I'm

00:54:07.560 surprised.

00:54:08.640 I wouldn't

00:54:09.300 be too

00:54:09.800 surprised if

00:54:11.000 he's there.

00:54:11.680 But I

00:54:12.060 think a

00:54:12.380 slightly bigger

00:54:14.360 chance is the

00:54:15.380 following.

00:54:16.440 He's already

00:54:17.160 in custody.

00:54:17.900 That's what I

00:54:22.080 think.

00:54:22.580 I think

00:54:22.900 Putin already

00:54:23.400 has him, and

00:54:24.600 he's probably

00:54:25.040 in Russia.

00:54:26.900 I think you'll

00:54:27.680 never see a

00:54:28.240 picture of

00:54:28.640 him, because

00:54:30.860 if Putin just

00:54:32.080 killed him in

00:54:33.040 some way that

00:54:33.620 everybody knew

00:54:34.360 that Putin

00:54:34.800 killed him, he 1.00

00:54:35.840 would have to

00:54:36.240 deal with the

00:54:36.680 Wagner group

00:54:37.280 itself.

00:54:38.500 Because the

00:54:38.880 Wagner group

00:54:39.420 itself probably

00:54:40.160 has some

00:54:40.480 pretty loyal

00:54:41.020 people in

00:54:41.540 there, and

00:54:42.220 they're dangerous

00:54:42.700 people.

00:54:43.940 As it is, I

00:54:46.500 saw Kash Patel

00:54:47.400 saying that

00:54:48.000 Putin wins

00:54:48.860 because he

00:54:49.680 gets this

00:54:50.100 whole new

00:54:50.480 army to

00:54:52.080 put into

00:54:54.200 use any

00:54:54.780 way he

00:54:55.060 wants.

00:54:55.840 But I

00:54:56.280 didn't

00:54:56.480 understand that

00:54:57.100 comment because

00:54:57.780 he already

00:54:58.160 had that.

00:54:59.740 Putin could

00:55:00.320 make the

00:55:00.680 Wagner force

00:55:01.340 do anything

00:55:01.860 he wanted.

00:55:02.400 It was under

00:55:03.620 his control.

00:55:04.720 They just

00:55:05.160 pretend they

00:55:05.700 were independent,

00:55:06.460 but not

00:55:07.100 really, not

00:55:07.620 even a little

00:55:08.060 bit.

00:55:09.080 So I don't

00:55:09.980 understand the

00:55:10.680 argument that

00:55:12.660 Putin suddenly

00:55:13.620 got a bunch of

00:55:14.260 new soldiers.

00:55:14.840 soldiers.

00:55:15.540 They were

00:55:15.880 already his

00:55:16.420 soldiers.

00:55:17.400 You could

00:55:17.680 make them do

00:55:18.160 anything you

00:55:18.620 wanted.

00:55:19.560 So I don't

00:55:20.200 get that.

00:55:21.600 But I do

00:55:22.260 think that the

00:55:22.760 Wagner group

00:55:23.220 might be

00:55:23.580 dangerous to

00:55:24.260 Putin, and

00:55:25.400 the very best

00:55:26.060 thing he could

00:55:26.500 do is say,

00:55:27.060 you know what?

00:55:27.880 Your dog

00:55:28.400 didn't die.

00:55:29.600 No, no,

00:55:30.420 your dog

00:55:30.760 didn't die.

00:55:32.180 No, no,

00:55:32.840 he went to

00:55:33.200 live in a

00:55:33.760 farm where

00:55:35.060 there are

00:55:35.340 beautiful fields

00:55:36.080 and other

00:55:36.840 happy dogs.

00:55:38.220 Yeah, that's

00:55:38.860 where he is.

00:55:39.900 Yeah, you

00:55:40.300 live forever on

00:55:41.000 the farm.

00:55:41.440 So my

00:55:43.760 guess is that

00:55:44.800 Putin had

00:55:45.780 the airplane,

00:55:46.820 he had the

00:55:47.360 private airplane

00:55:48.500 fly so that

00:55:50.120 everybody would

00:55:50.700 assume he was

00:55:51.220 on the private

00:55:51.700 airplane.

00:55:52.460 There would

00:55:52.900 never be any

00:55:53.460 pictures.

00:55:54.480 You would

00:55:54.820 never know if

00:55:55.380 he made it

00:55:55.840 to Belarus.

00:55:57.500 Maybe someday

00:55:58.200 you'd find out

00:55:58.800 he didn't.

00:55:59.800 But at the

00:56:00.360 moment, it's a

00:56:01.180 way to calm

00:56:01.720 everything down,

00:56:02.620 make it look

00:56:03.040 like he's in

00:56:03.620 control, but

00:56:05.000 probably he's

00:56:06.060 in Russia and

00:56:07.400 having a bad

00:56:07.980 day.

00:56:08.720 That's my

00:56:09.180 guess.

00:56:09.460 I don't

00:56:11.160 know about

00:56:11.500 Dad, because

00:56:13.200 they might be

00:56:13.700 interrogating him

00:56:14.480 to find out

00:56:14.960 who's working

00:56:15.440 with him.

00:56:16.620 Now, there's

00:56:17.080 also indication,

00:56:19.540 and I believe

00:56:20.420 he heard it

00:56:20.920 from me first,

00:56:21.920 that he would

00:56:22.680 never have

00:56:23.140 tried to

00:56:23.620 march on

00:56:24.180 Moscow with

00:56:25.720 his tiny

00:56:26.760 force that

00:56:27.520 had no chance

00:56:28.240 of really

00:56:28.680 taking over

00:56:29.220 the city,

00:56:30.240 unless he

00:56:31.520 assumed that

00:56:33.180 he had high

00:56:33.880 ranking people

00:56:34.580 who were

00:56:34.840 going to

00:56:35.060 flip.

00:56:36.020 And the

00:56:36.280 reporting today

00:56:37.080 is he had

00:56:38.000 high level

00:56:38.480 people he

00:56:39.100 expected to

00:56:39.760 flip.

00:56:40.800 And there

00:56:41.120 were people

00:56:41.440 who knew

00:56:41.740 about it

00:56:42.120 for a long

00:56:42.680 time,

00:56:43.780 including

00:56:44.280 senior Russian

00:56:46.520 general

00:56:47.060 Serovkin.

00:56:49.260 So he

00:56:49.680 allegedly had

00:56:50.560 advanced knowledge,

00:56:51.940 but if he had

00:56:52.940 advanced knowledge,

00:56:54.740 did he tell

00:56:55.220 everybody?

00:56:56.240 Did he tell

00:56:56.700 Putin with

00:56:57.260 his advanced

00:56:57.760 knowledge?

00:56:58.800 Because there's

00:56:59.260 some indication

00:56:59.860 he might be

00:57:00.360 in trouble.

00:57:02.380 Right?

00:57:02.860 So it's not

00:57:03.620 clear that Putin's

00:57:05.140 happy with that

00:57:05.760 guy.

00:57:06.000 So it

00:57:07.600 might be

00:57:08.040 that he's

00:57:08.660 the one

00:57:09.120 they expected

00:57:09.960 to flip

00:57:10.520 and then he

00:57:11.380 didn't flip.

00:57:12.880 Now remember

00:57:13.260 I told you

00:57:13.780 that if I

00:57:15.780 were the

00:57:16.280 CIA and

00:57:18.340 I were

00:57:18.800 trying to

00:57:19.220 help Ukraine,

00:57:20.880 I would

00:57:21.360 try to make

00:57:22.080 Prigozhin and

00:57:24.000 Putin mad at

00:57:25.320 each other so

00:57:25.960 that they would

00:57:26.380 do exactly

00:57:26.860 what they did.

00:57:28.460 And so that's

00:57:29.720 what it looks

00:57:30.120 to me.

00:57:30.560 It looks like

00:57:31.020 the intelligence

00:57:31.760 agencies got

00:57:32.860 them all ginned

00:57:33.440 up to fight

00:57:34.000 each other.

00:57:35.180 But then I

00:57:36.660 further said

00:57:37.420 that if I

00:57:38.680 were the CIA

00:57:39.300 I would

00:57:40.440 tell Progrosian 0.97

00:57:41.900 that he had

00:57:42.760 allies that

00:57:43.420 were going to

00:57:43.780 flip but 0.96

00:57:44.840 don't contact

00:57:45.460 them because

00:57:46.120 you'll get

00:57:46.540 caught if you

00:57:47.500 contact them

00:57:48.140 the communication

00:57:48.980 will be

00:57:49.500 intercepted.

00:57:50.440 But trust us,

00:57:51.480 we've talked

00:57:52.000 to him,

00:57:52.520 they're going

00:57:52.880 to flip.

00:57:53.860 And then he

00:57:54.320 marches and

00:57:54.940 finds out that

00:57:55.520 was all a lie

00:57:56.180 and there's

00:57:56.480 nobody flipping.

00:57:57.700 And then he's

00:57:58.360 got to run

00:57:58.720 back.

00:57:59.820 So that's

00:58:00.440 what it looked

00:58:00.760 like to me.

00:58:01.840 It looked like

00:58:02.440 they expected

00:58:03.140 flipping,

00:58:04.000 did not

00:58:05.000 get any

00:58:05.400 flipping and

00:58:06.540 then the

00:58:07.040 secondary

00:58:07.420 question would

00:58:08.220 be is it

00:58:09.340 because somebody

00:58:10.640 told them there

00:58:11.340 would be

00:58:11.620 flipping but

00:58:12.200 they lied or

00:58:13.760 did the

00:58:14.160 flippers actually

00:58:14.860 plan to flip

00:58:15.640 and change

00:58:16.700 their minds?

00:58:18.520 Don't know.

00:58:20.280 But also it's

00:58:21.360 likely that the

00:58:22.060 families of the

00:58:22.840 Wagner Group were

00:58:23.560 threatened and

00:58:24.240 that's the only

00:58:24.980 reason they

00:58:25.360 turned back.

00:58:25.820 I saw a

00:58:28.740 YouTube documentary

00:58:30.620 on the

00:58:31.120 Wagner Group's

00:58:31.840 history and

00:58:32.920 purpose.

00:58:33.900 Do you know

00:58:34.260 what the

00:58:34.500 history of the

00:58:35.080 Wagner Group

00:58:35.600 is?

00:58:36.680 It was way

00:58:37.520 more interesting

00:58:38.220 than I thought.

00:58:39.520 So apparently

00:58:39.960 it started with

00:58:40.920 Russia taking 0.84

00:58:41.860 over Crimea

00:58:42.580 and they wanted

00:58:43.960 some force there

00:58:44.920 that they could

00:58:45.460 say was a

00:58:46.040 local force

00:58:46.920 but really

00:58:48.060 wasn't.

00:58:49.020 So that's

00:58:49.580 what Wagner

00:58:50.080 was.

00:58:50.820 They were

00:58:51.020 basically military

00:58:52.260 people who were

00:58:52.940 pretending not to

00:58:53.800 be run by

00:58:55.480 Russia.

00:58:56.820 Eventually it

00:58:57.560 formed into a

00:58:58.220 group and

00:58:59.060 they've done a

00:59:01.060 bunch of criminal

00:59:02.400 syndication things.

00:59:04.820 So basically

00:59:05.440 some people say

00:59:08.000 Russia is like 1.00

00:59:09.280 the mafia and

00:59:11.380 the Wagner Group

00:59:13.380 was the hitman.

00:59:15.720 The people would

00:59:16.340 go out and make

00:59:16.780 the money.

00:59:17.780 They were the

00:59:18.120 earners.

00:59:19.580 So the way

00:59:20.100 they would earn

00:59:20.640 is the Wagner

00:59:21.340 Group would go to

00:59:22.440 let's say Syria

00:59:23.820 and say the

00:59:25.460 ISIS and the 0.79

00:59:26.460 bad guys are

00:59:27.120 going to take

00:59:27.480 over your oil

00:59:28.120 wells.

00:59:29.140 But we'll

00:59:29.620 protect your

00:59:30.300 oil wells or

00:59:31.100 even get them

00:59:31.980 back from ISIS

00:59:32.800 if we can keep

00:59:34.780 25% of the

00:59:36.180 revenues of the

00:59:37.400 oil well forever.

00:59:38.960 And by we

00:59:39.660 it's Russia.

00:59:42.820 And then

00:59:43.420 Syria says

00:59:44.580 well we've got

00:59:45.040 no choice

00:59:45.660 because we can't

00:59:46.400 get them back

00:59:46.840 ourselves and

00:59:47.540 nobody else is

00:59:48.100 helping us.

00:59:48.900 So they hire

00:59:49.520 them.

00:59:50.480 Now you've got

00:59:51.220 this Russian

00:59:51.920 military that's

00:59:53.840 starting to get

00:59:54.420 important.

00:59:55.220 It's like got

00:59:55.800 a place in

00:59:56.540 Syria.

00:59:57.500 So Syria's a 1.00

00:59:58.940 little bit afraid

00:59:59.480 of Russia because 0.85

01:00:00.360 they've got a

01:00:00.700 military that's

01:00:01.460 working with

01:00:02.100 them.

01:00:03.580 But will they

01:00:04.540 always work with

01:00:05.320 them?

01:00:06.080 But the most

01:00:06.920 clever play was

01:00:08.100 in an African

01:00:09.020 country.

01:00:09.820 I can't remember.

01:00:12.640 One of the

01:00:13.440 African countries

01:00:14.380 you never talk

01:00:15.080 about.

01:00:15.480 I forget.

01:00:16.320 But they have

01:00:16.760 some natural

01:00:17.200 resources.

01:00:18.460 And so the

01:00:19.260 Wagner people go

01:00:20.480 in and they say

01:00:21.120 hey you've got

01:00:22.080 lots of enemies

01:00:22.820 and you've got

01:00:24.720 a little revolution

01:00:25.540 brewing.

01:00:26.520 We can protect

01:00:27.700 you from your

01:00:28.760 enemies.

01:00:30.180 Now it wasn't

01:00:30.720 Chad.

01:00:31.320 We can protect

01:00:32.080 you from your

01:00:32.660 enemies so you'll

01:00:33.660 be safe and all

01:00:35.160 we want is a

01:00:35.920 little cut of your

01:00:36.860 diamond mines or

01:00:37.880 your mining

01:00:39.200 operations.

01:00:40.440 So they basically

01:00:41.700 sell security the

01:00:44.380 way the mafia

01:00:44.880 does.

01:00:46.120 But now let's

01:00:46.860 say you're an

01:00:47.360 African leader and

01:00:48.580 you've accepted

01:00:49.620 help from the

01:00:51.100 Wagner group.

01:00:52.280 And the

01:00:52.520 Wagner group is

01:00:53.240 by far the

01:00:54.560 strongest military

01:00:55.520 in your country.

01:00:56.440 Stronger than

01:00:56.920 your own

01:00:57.220 military because

01:00:57.820 you don't have

01:00:58.180 much of the

01:00:58.600 military.

01:01:00.280 And then you

01:01:00.860 start working

01:01:01.320 with them and

01:01:02.020 they're inserted

01:01:02.560 in the government.

01:01:03.840 How long does

01:01:04.380 it take before

01:01:05.080 Wagner basically

01:01:06.300 owns the country?

01:01:08.300 Not long.

01:01:10.200 So Russia has 0.88

01:01:12.240 this business

01:01:13.140 model where they

01:01:13.940 can go into a

01:01:14.980 struggling country

01:01:15.800 that has resources.

01:01:17.420 They can pretend

01:01:18.540 to be the

01:01:19.400 saviors of the

01:01:20.380 leaders.

01:01:21.100 But really

01:01:21.920 they're just

01:01:22.480 controlling the

01:01:23.800 leaders and

01:01:24.360 taking 25% of

01:01:25.600 their money home

01:01:26.420 forever.

01:01:27.520 So it's basically

01:01:28.300 a robbery,

01:01:30.080 extortion kind

01:01:32.440 of situation.

01:01:33.660 Blackmail,

01:01:34.300 whatever you want

01:01:34.780 to call it.

01:01:35.660 But it's always

01:01:36.560 presented as

01:01:38.580 helping the

01:01:39.140 leader.

01:01:40.160 But once they

01:01:40.760 get in there,

01:01:42.640 they're the

01:01:43.140 powerful force.

01:01:44.440 So the leader

01:01:45.260 doesn't have good

01:01:45.920 choices, so they

01:01:46.640 take the least

01:01:47.180 bad one.

01:01:47.660 All right.

01:01:49.800 In case you

01:01:50.500 didn't know

01:01:50.840 that, it's a

01:01:51.800 very deliberate

01:01:52.720 criminal enterprise.

01:01:58.420 I saw this

01:01:59.480 interesting tweet

01:02:01.540 from the

01:02:02.140 Prince of

01:02:02.720 Fakes, or

01:02:04.120 the Prince of

01:02:04.680 Deepfakes.

01:02:06.540 And some of

01:02:08.720 you know him.

01:02:09.840 I'm not going

01:02:10.580 to say more

01:02:11.020 than that.

01:02:11.400 And he was

01:02:13.940 tweeting about

01:02:14.380 a story that

01:02:15.080 said, now

01:02:16.080 this is an

01:02:16.640 allegation which

01:02:18.260 I believe is

01:02:19.120 ridiculous.

01:02:20.900 So I don't

01:02:21.940 believe this

01:02:22.440 allegation.

01:02:23.680 I know you

01:02:24.560 do, so you

01:02:25.960 don't have to

01:02:26.460 tell me that

01:02:27.840 I'm being

01:02:28.360 gullible and

01:02:29.140 stupid and 0.92

01:02:30.500 Scott, Scott,

01:02:31.540 Scott, why

01:02:32.860 don't you

01:02:33.260 believe this?

01:02:33.860 It's obviously

01:02:34.560 true.

01:02:35.660 And the

01:02:36.280 rumor is that

01:02:37.120 Bill Gates

01:02:37.700 let out some

01:02:39.520 mosquitoes.

01:02:40.080 to create

01:02:42.200 malaria that

01:02:43.040 had already

01:02:43.580 largely been

01:02:44.440 handled and

01:02:47.420 is causing

01:02:48.040 a malaria

01:02:48.520 outbreak because

01:02:49.640 he coincidentally

01:02:50.540 is investing in

01:02:51.620 some company

01:02:52.200 that has a

01:02:52.600 treatment for

01:02:53.120 malaria.

01:02:54.440 Now, I do

01:02:55.600 not believe

01:02:56.180 there's any

01:02:57.360 chance whatsoever

01:02:58.380 that Bill Gates

01:02:59.980 intentionally

01:03:00.960 released

01:03:01.760 mosquitoes to

01:03:03.980 intentionally

01:03:04.560 create malaria

01:03:05.520 so that he

01:03:06.880 can make

01:03:07.200 money with

01:03:07.760 his company

01:03:09.160 that did

01:03:09.580 something for

01:03:10.120 malaria.

01:03:11.200 Now, I

01:03:11.840 know you

01:03:12.180 do.

01:03:12.860 I know you

01:03:13.460 do.

01:03:14.500 I know some

01:03:15.420 of you do.

01:03:16.480 And I'm not

01:03:17.160 going to talk

01:03:17.540 about that

01:03:18.040 today.

01:03:18.740 I'm just

01:03:19.260 going to talk

01:03:19.680 about the

01:03:21.740 comment made

01:03:22.400 by Prince

01:03:22.880 and Deep's

01:03:23.300 fakes.

01:03:24.280 And he

01:03:24.540 said this,

01:03:24.960 I'm not sure

01:03:25.780 how people

01:03:26.280 who believe

01:03:26.960 things like

01:03:27.700 this, you

01:03:28.380 know, the

01:03:28.580 Bill Gates

01:03:29.020 malaria thing,

01:03:30.460 I'm not sure

01:03:31.260 how people

01:03:31.640 believe things

01:03:32.220 like this

01:03:32.560 aren't out

01:03:33.040 there taking

01:03:33.560 vigilante

01:03:34.220 justice

01:03:34.860 into their

01:03:35.300 own hands.

01:03:36.000 the lack

01:03:37.220 of

01:03:37.380 assassinations

01:03:38.260 in the

01:03:38.660 world makes

01:03:39.760 me believe

01:03:40.300 everyone is

01:03:41.020 just LARPing,

01:03:42.320 in other words,

01:03:42.820 just pretending

01:03:43.880 to be in

01:03:44.560 character.

01:03:45.480 There are

01:03:45.780 conspiracy theories

01:03:46.660 regarding the

01:03:47.160 elites.

01:03:47.840 If this were

01:03:48.720 true, it would

01:03:50.000 be an evil

01:03:50.580 beyond anything,

01:03:51.860 meaning that

01:03:52.460 if Gates had

01:03:54.140 actually allowed

01:03:55.020 mosquitoes out

01:03:56.000 to create

01:03:56.480 malaria, it

01:03:57.580 would be evil

01:03:58.140 beyond anything.

01:03:59.120 What does it

01:03:59.660 say about a

01:04:00.220 believer that the

01:04:01.460 most they do

01:04:02.000 in response is

01:04:02.820 tweet?

01:04:03.160 exactly.

01:04:08.180 So reality

01:04:09.300 and fantasy

01:04:10.040 have merged

01:04:11.220 so that

01:04:13.380 when we get

01:04:14.080 it on social

01:04:14.620 media, we're

01:04:16.120 playing it like

01:04:16.800 it's a game,

01:04:17.620 but a fictional

01:04:18.340 game.

01:04:19.280 So you can say

01:04:20.340 anything to

01:04:20.920 anybody, you

01:04:22.220 know, I could

01:04:23.260 maybe trade a

01:04:24.140 tweet with the

01:04:25.240 richest man in

01:04:26.060 the world.

01:04:27.320 I mean, it

01:04:27.660 doesn't seem

01:04:28.080 real, does it?

01:04:30.240 Like, it

01:04:30.840 doesn't seem

01:04:31.380 real.

01:04:32.320 So when you're

01:04:32.960 on social

01:04:33.460 media, I

01:04:34.800 believe that

01:04:35.480 people adopt

01:04:36.240 personas, and

01:04:38.240 then they play

01:04:38.800 the character.

01:04:40.780 And if the

01:04:41.920 character would

01:04:42.620 say, oh,

01:04:43.840 Bill Gates is

01:04:44.660 releasing malaria

01:04:45.660 mosquitoes, if

01:04:47.460 that's what the

01:04:47.980 character would

01:04:48.560 say, then they

01:04:49.240 say that.

01:04:50.500 But it's not

01:04:51.300 like they

01:04:51.680 actually believe

01:04:52.500 it, like in

01:04:53.280 the way that

01:04:53.740 you believe

01:04:54.140 things in

01:04:54.820 your actual

01:04:55.880 physical so-called

01:04:58.200 reality.

01:04:59.740 And his

01:05:00.480 point is fair.

01:05:01.080 if you

01:05:01.480 actually

01:05:01.780 believed, if

01:05:03.360 you really

01:05:03.860 believed that

01:05:05.480 Bill Gates had

01:05:06.200 just released

01:05:06.820 viruses to

01:05:07.660 create malaria,

01:05:09.560 you should

01:05:10.320 take your

01:05:10.840 Second Amendment

01:05:11.540 rights and go

01:05:13.080 do something

01:05:13.500 about it.

01:05:15.100 You know, you

01:05:15.480 should kill

01:05:15.900 Hiller.

01:05:17.420 But number

01:05:18.260 one, I'm

01:05:19.380 sure he never

01:05:20.040 did that.

01:05:21.040 I'm sure of

01:05:22.020 it.

01:05:23.200 If I'm wrong,

01:05:24.460 if I'm wrong,

01:05:25.580 I'll tell you

01:05:25.980 I'm wrong, but

01:05:26.700 you know, my

01:05:27.840 confidence is

01:05:28.520 pretty high that

01:05:29.120 he did not

01:05:29.620 do that.

01:05:30.600 And the

01:05:31.300 reason he

01:05:31.700 didn't do

01:05:32.020 that is

01:05:32.380 follow the

01:05:32.900 money.

01:05:34.900 Follow the

01:05:35.560 money is

01:05:36.020 very predictable.

01:05:37.700 And if you

01:05:38.160 believe that

01:05:39.980 Bill Gates

01:05:41.480 would think it

01:05:42.780 was a good

01:05:43.220 risk-reward to

01:05:45.100 release malaria

01:05:47.200 in some way

01:05:49.000 that could be

01:05:49.560 determined that

01:05:50.280 he did it,

01:05:51.260 just to make

01:05:52.300 money on a

01:05:53.180 new smaller

01:05:53.860 company that

01:05:54.480 would add,

01:05:54.920 what, $1

01:05:55.340 billion to his

01:05:55.980 $200 billion?

01:05:56.600 So you

01:05:58.340 think he's

01:05:58.760 really going

01:05:59.180 to, he's

01:05:59.940 going to

01:06:00.140 take a

01:06:00.500 chance of

01:06:00.860 being in

01:06:01.260 jail forever

01:06:03.340 to make

01:06:04.860 one more

01:06:05.300 billion.

01:06:06.660 Do you

01:06:07.160 really believe

01:06:07.580 that?

01:06:08.300 Because that's

01:06:08.920 not how

01:06:09.240 money works.

01:06:10.740 If you're

01:06:11.320 going to

01:06:11.840 follow the

01:06:12.340 money, you'd

01:06:12.740 say he

01:06:13.020 wouldn't do

01:06:13.440 it.

01:06:14.440 Follow the

01:06:15.060 money says

01:06:15.540 he doesn't

01:06:16.100 do it,

01:06:17.180 because it

01:06:17.580 wouldn't make

01:06:18.100 sense as

01:06:18.780 an investment.

01:06:20.620 It wouldn't

01:06:21.300 make sense as

01:06:21.920 an investment.

01:06:23.120 So he's not

01:06:23.860 going to do

01:06:24.180 something that's

01:06:24.980 going to put

01:06:25.660 him in jail

01:06:26.100 where he

01:06:26.460 can't make

01:06:26.860 money.

01:06:27.960 He's going

01:06:28.500 to, at

01:06:28.780 the very

01:06:29.100 least, stay

01:06:29.620 out of jail.

01:06:30.740 So he's

01:06:31.240 not going

01:06:31.520 to do

01:06:31.740 that.

01:06:33.500 So if you

01:06:34.160 believe he

01:06:34.560 is, I

01:06:35.000 believe that

01:06:35.440 you don't

01:06:35.760 really believe

01:06:36.260 it.

01:06:37.240 I believe

01:06:37.680 that you

01:06:37.960 believe it

01:06:38.440 like a

01:06:38.840 character,

01:06:39.940 you don't

01:06:40.360 believe it

01:06:40.820 like an

01:06:41.580 actual human

01:06:42.300 being who

01:06:42.780 lives in

01:06:43.060 the world.

01:06:46.160 What do

01:06:46.640 you think?

01:06:47.640 I'll just

01:06:48.200 put that out

01:06:48.720 there and

01:06:48.960 you can

01:06:49.240 wrestle with

01:06:50.680 it as you

01:06:51.180 like.

01:06:52.340 Did I miss

01:06:52.860 any stories

01:06:53.400 for today?

01:06:53.940 That concludes

01:06:55.280 my prepared

01:06:56.620 remarks.

01:07:04.620 Worryable

01:07:05.380 blah, blah, blah.

01:07:06.940 Oh, there's a

01:07:07.940 malaria vaccination?

01:07:09.040 Yeah, probably.

01:07:12.300 Can you explain

01:07:13.080 Sam Bankman

01:07:13.960 Fried's decision

01:07:14.860 making?

01:07:15.160 Well, once

01:07:17.200 Sam Bankman

01:07:18.160 Fried got

01:07:19.480 away with

01:07:20.160 some stuff,

01:07:21.640 I believe

01:07:22.140 he became

01:07:23.200 blind to

01:07:24.200 what he

01:07:24.520 could get

01:07:24.860 away with.

01:07:26.180 So I

01:07:26.720 think the

01:07:27.100 Sam Bankman

01:07:27.800 Fried story

01:07:28.480 is kind

01:07:29.860 of a

01:07:30.120 slippery slope

01:07:30.940 thing, where

01:07:32.060 they sort

01:07:32.640 of slid

01:07:33.260 into some

01:07:33.820 sketchy

01:07:34.240 things and

01:07:34.760 they couldn't

01:07:35.160 back out,

01:07:36.560 and so they

01:07:36.980 just did

01:07:37.380 more sketchy

01:07:38.040 things, maybe

01:07:38.780 talking themselves

01:07:39.520 into it.

01:07:40.060 It wasn't so

01:07:40.500 sketchy after

01:07:41.080 all.

01:07:41.360 So I

01:07:42.200 think there

01:07:42.540 was sort

01:07:43.560 of a mental

01:07:44.240 thing that

01:07:44.720 happened there.

01:07:45.460 But you

01:07:45.960 could very

01:07:46.340 easily imagine

01:07:47.420 that they

01:07:48.740 were following

01:07:49.260 the money.

01:07:50.520 I think that

01:07:51.000 was the nature

01:07:51.900 of your question.

01:07:53.060 He was

01:07:53.380 following the

01:07:53.940 money because

01:07:54.320 everything he

01:07:54.880 did brought

01:07:55.300 in more

01:07:55.600 money.

01:07:56.740 But to

01:07:57.300 your point,

01:07:58.140 he was not

01:07:58.740 good at

01:07:59.100 risk-reward.

01:08:00.840 He was a

01:08:01.400 young guy and

01:08:02.420 apparently a

01:08:03.100 terrible business

01:08:03.800 person.

01:08:04.860 Bill Gates

01:08:05.440 is a very

01:08:06.200 experienced

01:08:06.720 business person,

01:08:08.020 already has his

01:08:08.960 billions,

01:08:09.540 already has his

01:08:10.260 reputation,

01:08:10.940 such that it

01:08:11.720 is.

01:08:12.440 He doesn't

01:08:12.940 need that.

01:08:14.480 So for him,

01:08:15.160 he would look

01:08:15.580 at the risk-reward,

01:08:16.520 as he does

01:08:16.940 for everything,

01:08:18.040 and he would

01:08:18.640 really say,

01:08:19.360 okay, this is

01:08:19.940 not a good

01:08:20.320 risk-reward,

01:08:21.000 it's not a

01:08:21.400 good investment.

01:08:22.540 Sam Bagman

01:08:23.200 Freed clearly

01:08:24.720 was not good

01:08:25.540 at risk

01:08:25.960 assessment.

01:08:26.880 Would you

01:08:27.180 agree?

01:08:28.200 He wasn't

01:08:28.620 good at it.

01:08:29.800 So you

01:08:31.040 can try to

01:08:31.760 be pursuing

01:08:32.520 your best

01:08:33.220 financial interest,

01:08:34.300 but if you're

01:08:34.640 not good at

01:08:35.280 it, you

01:08:35.520 still might

01:08:35.880 make a

01:08:36.220 mistake.

01:08:40.940 Okay.

01:08:45.200 Oh, the

01:08:45.840 Epstein, yeah,

01:08:46.800 there's more

01:08:47.100 Epstein stuff,

01:08:47.940 but I'm just

01:08:48.720 bored by it.

01:08:54.000 He's a

01:08:54.640 planted

01:08:55.000 stooge.

01:08:55.720 What?

01:09:01.000 All right.

01:09:01.600 Zutats, you 0.86

01:09:05.620 can block

01:09:06.060 the report.

01:09:11.800 It's

01:09:12.280 above the

01:09:13.020 law.

01:09:13.740 Do you

01:09:13.960 have a

01:09:14.900 mosquito

01:09:15.300 problem?

01:09:16.540 Just looking

01:09:16.980 at your

01:09:17.240 comments, see

01:09:17.800 if anything

01:09:18.200 I missed.

01:09:22.380 Freed has

01:09:23.000 been freed.

01:09:25.120 All right.

01:09:25.700 I think we're

01:09:26.180 good for today,

01:09:27.080 so YouTube,

01:09:28.140 thanks for

01:09:28.720 joining, and

01:09:30.380 I love

01:09:31.480 you too,

01:09:32.720 Mike.

01:09:34.660 And I'll

01:09:35.260 talk to you

01:09:35.860 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 28, 2023

Episode 2153 Scott Adams： Fun News Stories And My Strange Predictions. Come Join Us And Bring Coffee

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