Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 28, 2023


Episode 2153 Scott Adams: Fun News Stories And My Strange Predictions. Come Join Us And Bring Coffee


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 9 minutes

Words per Minute

146.28156

Word Count

10,183

Sentence Count

753

Misogynist Sentences

9

Hate Speech Sentences

21


Summary

Scott Adams talks about the growing number of homeless people living in their tents, and why he thinks it's a good thing they don't have to live in a nice tent. Plus, the boomer treatment, and the question of the day: Is it true that women don't ask for phone numbers anymore?


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to Coffee with Scott Adams, the highlight of human civilization.
00:00:09.480 And if you think it was going to be good, I mean, even before you signed in here, wow, it's going to be so good.
00:00:18.120 And all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard shell, a stein, a canteen joke, a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:25.140 Fill it with your favorite liquid, I like coffee, and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
00:00:33.440 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.
00:00:39.860 Ah, ah, delightful.
00:00:46.160 All right, let's talk about all the news that's fun and exciting.
00:00:51.840 Today's one of those, the news is more funny and, you know, interesting than tragic.
00:01:00.800 I don't like the tragic news, so we're going to skip all the tragedies and just talk about the fun stuff.
00:01:07.840 Do you remember that I told you that I could feel the zeitgeist telling me that camping was going to be really big this year?
00:01:16.480 Does anybody remember me saying that?
00:01:17.820 I invested, don't do what I did, this is not a recommendation.
00:01:21.840 But I bought some stock in a camping company.
00:01:25.700 Because I just had this, I just had this overwhelming feeling, and I don't know why exactly, that camping was going to be good.
00:01:34.180 Now here's the persuasion reasoning.
00:01:37.440 The persuasion reasoning is that every time you turn on the news, they're showing homeless encampments.
00:01:43.140 And they're always camping.
00:01:46.140 And it looks, and if you have the same reaction I do, it's like, oh, I feel so sorry for those homeless people that have to be in those awesome tents.
00:01:56.640 And then I think, well, that is a nice tent.
00:01:59.480 It is a nice tent.
00:02:00.420 And there's part of me that envies them.
00:02:05.320 Does anybody have that feeling yet?
00:02:07.460 Does anybody have a little bit of an irrational feeling that you envy the street people because they're living free?
00:02:13.960 They're living life on their own terms.
00:02:16.200 They don't report to anybody.
00:02:17.700 They don't pay any taxes.
00:02:19.340 They don't listen to your rules.
00:02:21.460 They don't even have laws, really.
00:02:23.580 They just have their own little civilization.
00:02:25.100 So all they do is do amazing drugs that make them feel incredible, and then they go live in their tent, and they're happier than you are.
00:02:35.880 Now, I don't really want to change places with them, but I believe it's an objective fact that they're not doing so poorly.
00:02:44.340 If you were to look at how much of the day a homeless person enjoys versus how much of your day you enjoy, what do you think that would look like?
00:02:55.100 I'm pretty sure they sleep in every day.
00:02:59.500 So I don't know that they hate it.
00:03:01.400 I mean, it looks like something you would hate if you were doing it, but I don't know.
00:03:06.180 There's a lot of choice involved in that.
00:03:09.540 But anyway, the Wall Street Journal had an article that camping's really big.
00:03:14.380 So I did correctly read the zeitgeist.
00:03:17.660 Camping's big this year.
00:03:19.340 All right.
00:03:21.520 I asked this question on Twitter just because I was curious, and I got half a million people looked at it, so I guess people thought the same thing.
00:03:32.660 Turned down it was a dumb question.
00:03:33.880 I said, is it true that men are not approaching women to ask for phone numbers in person in 2023?
00:03:40.200 But then I got the boomer treatment.
00:03:45.240 You know what the boomer treatment is, right?
00:03:47.960 Let me give you my example of the boomer treatment.
00:03:51.920 Me.
00:03:52.560 Me asking, so do men ask for women for phone numbers?
00:03:56.420 Oh, boomer.
00:03:57.960 Oh, boomer.
00:03:58.920 No, they ask for their Insta or their Snap or their TikTok.
00:04:06.780 But no, they don't.
00:04:09.360 No, no.
00:04:11.220 You're so old.
00:04:12.520 You're so old.
00:04:13.240 It's just funny.
00:04:14.540 You're like Joe Biden times two.
00:04:16.300 I mean, really, who asks for a phone number anymore?
00:04:19.620 And, of course, my critics are right.
00:04:22.740 I was dumb enough to think that people would imagine that those were just texting apps and that it's all kind of the same and that they would know that that would be included in the question automatically.
00:04:35.740 However, upon thinking upon it, my critics are correct because it is a lower risk to ask for somebody's Insta or Snapchat.
00:04:45.700 Am I right?
00:04:46.240 If you ask her a phone number, it says, I'm probably going to call you.
00:04:52.740 You're probably going to get a call from me.
00:04:54.960 You're probably going to get asked out on a date.
00:04:57.700 So that's what a phone number is.
00:04:59.620 But if you ask for somebody's Instagram, well, maybe they're interested.
00:05:05.200 I mean, it kind of seems like they are, but it's very noncommittal, isn't it?
00:05:10.000 It's like, how about why don't we just follow each other on social media?
00:05:13.540 And then, you know, maybe I'd have the access to your DMs and maybe I'd send one and, you know, maybe you'd check it and maybe you'd want to answer.
00:05:22.820 And it's a lot of maybes involved, right?
00:05:26.080 Yeah, so it's the weaker, indirect, low-risk way to do it.
00:05:31.420 So it turns out the question was moot because young people in the dating world don't need to ask for a phone call or a phone number.
00:05:40.160 It's just sort of less useful.
00:05:43.540 So I don't know that any of it matters.
00:05:47.500 You know, it's one of those interesting trends that have changed.
00:05:50.340 But it does suggest the following is true.
00:05:54.940 I saw somebody say this on social media.
00:05:58.960 Sound is fine.
00:05:59.880 I saw somebody suggest that if you were able to walk up and ask for a woman's phone number in 2023, you would seem to have a superpower and you would rule the earth like a god.
00:06:14.960 Because other people aren't doing it.
00:06:17.460 So it used to be if you went up to an attractive woman and asked for a phone number, you know, you'd be the 10th person that day and your odds would not be good.
00:06:25.920 But in 2023, I'm hearing this a lot.
00:06:29.940 If you ask for somebody's phone number, they're like, oh, my God, finally, finally, finally, somebody had the balls to ask for my phone number.
00:06:37.640 Yes, of course, here it is.
00:06:39.820 So it looks to me like you would get a different reaction in 2023 if you were to ask for a phone number.
00:06:47.000 All right.
00:06:47.280 So as you know, Elon Musk and Zuckerberg are, at least allegedly, planning to have some kind of a battle.
00:06:55.840 Zuckerberg, of course, knows jiu-jitsu and Lex Fridman, famous podcaster, is also a jiu-jitsu guy and has wrestled with now both of them.
00:07:06.180 So he's trained with Elon, trying to show him some moves.
00:07:10.480 And there's a picture of him training with Zuckerberg.
00:07:14.860 Do you think it's going to happen?
00:07:17.280 What do you think?
00:07:19.400 You know, I was looking at the stats of Elon versus Zuckerberg, and I think everybody agrees that Zuckerberg is a higher-level Brazilian jiu-jitsu guy.
00:07:31.940 So, you know, if you were fighting somebody on his same size, you know, you'd expect him to win if they were not trained.
00:07:39.420 But Elon is 6'2", and weighs, I don't know, 230 pounds, whatever it is.
00:07:46.380 It's over 200, I think.
00:07:48.180 And Zuckerberg is listed at 5'7".
00:07:51.420 And, you know, his weight looks on point.
00:07:55.780 So, 5'7", weight on point, it's probably like 155, his weight, something like that.
00:08:03.000 I don't know much about Brazilian jiu-jitsu.
00:08:08.020 But can a 5'7 person ever beat a 6'2 person if you're not punching?
00:08:15.320 If you're not punching.
00:08:16.500 So, Brazilian jiu-jitsu would be strong enough that you could, you know, you could get on top of him and get the advantage.
00:08:27.240 Okay.
00:08:27.980 All right.
00:08:28.320 A lot of people who seem to know what they're talking about would say that's the thing.
00:08:30.920 I mean, the disadvantage is pretty big.
00:08:35.740 But, here's the funny part.
00:08:38.380 There's a picture online of Zuckerberg having Lex Fridman in a chokehold.
00:08:46.500 It looks to me like exactly the chokehold that has killed two people recently.
00:08:52.840 One on a subway and one George Floyd.
00:08:56.760 It's the exact same chokehold.
00:08:59.000 They do it for recreation.
00:09:00.920 Recreation.
00:09:04.800 And then a number of people told me, oh, that's a thing.
00:09:07.880 When you're practicing Brazilian jiu-jitsu, it's not unusual to choke each other out.
00:09:14.040 So that you have experience being choked out.
00:09:16.560 You know what it feels like.
00:09:17.420 It doesn't scare you.
00:09:19.860 Is that real?
00:09:20.700 Is that a real thing?
00:09:23.460 That the Brazilian jiu-jitsu people choke each other out for recreation?
00:09:28.820 People are saying, yes, that's a real thing.
00:09:30.920 So, do you feel that you've been totally gamed by the whole holding person?
00:09:37.880 Somebody in that chokehold is going to kill them?
00:09:40.580 Don't you feel like you've been kind of gamed by the whole system here?
00:09:44.840 I feel like the choking is not how people are dying.
00:09:51.300 I think it's the drugs.
00:09:52.420 Anyway, we've been over that.
00:09:56.500 So, Lex Fridman, I believe he's alive.
00:09:59.040 But according to the news, he's dead at least twice.
00:10:01.400 Here's a shocking, shocking poll.
00:10:08.440 This one actually does shock me.
00:10:10.700 You know, usually when you say, oh, it's a big poll, I'm shocked.
00:10:14.440 It usually doesn't shock you at all.
00:10:16.560 This one shocks me.
00:10:18.800 All right, this is Rasmussen.
00:10:19.980 66% of likely U.S. voters are concerned that the outcome of the 2024 presidential election will be affected by cheating.
00:10:31.640 Two-thirds, people.
00:10:33.880 Two-thirds.
00:10:34.580 Now, do you remember back in, let me take you back to 2015, when there was this new candidate, his name was Trump.
00:10:46.340 Trump.
00:10:47.700 And I said, oh, oh, watch out.
00:10:51.720 I watched him just a little bit, and I could tell he was the most persuasive person in political life.
00:10:57.700 And so I warned you back in 2015, he's going to be your president.
00:11:02.460 You don't see this coming.
00:11:04.600 His ability to persuade is, like, off the chart.
00:11:08.600 And what did people say to me?
00:11:11.140 You idiot.
00:11:13.000 Oh, my God.
00:11:14.780 Oh, my God.
00:11:15.740 Would you just stick to cartooning?
00:11:18.160 Oh, my God.
00:11:19.100 This is embarrassing.
00:11:20.700 It's just embarrassing.
00:11:21.860 You're embarrassing yourself, Scott.
00:11:23.880 He's not persuasive.
00:11:25.840 He's not going to win more than, I don't know, 7% to 10% of the primary vote, and that's the end.
00:11:31.580 And he's just doing it for, he's just doing it to get attention and don't take it seriously.
00:11:36.060 And I said, no, seriously, you don't know what's coming.
00:11:42.380 The monster is right behind you.
00:11:44.780 Like, no, there's no, turn around, turn around.
00:11:49.200 It's right behind you.
00:11:50.240 Just turn around and look.
00:11:52.120 There's nothing behind me, Scott.
00:11:54.540 Just go back to cartooning and calm down a little bit, will you?
00:11:57.580 So, Trump loses the election, claims the election, claims the election was fraudulent.
00:12:08.600 Time goes by.
00:12:10.680 Two-thirds of the public agrees with him, or at least agrees that the risk of the next one being fraudulent is high,
00:12:18.440 which would suggest that they think the last one was maybe fraudulent, right?
00:12:23.040 I mean, those are pretty connected ideas.
00:12:25.900 So, now do you think that Trump is persuasive?
00:12:30.780 Is there anybody who wants to have an argument with me about whether Trump can persuade the public of things?
00:12:36.500 Two-thirds of them now agree with him.
00:12:39.620 That's way more than just Republicans.
00:12:42.440 Way more than just Republicans.
00:12:45.000 They agree with him.
00:12:45.760 Going further, 49% of voters agree with the statement, quote,
00:12:54.080 there is no way Joe Biden got 81 million votes in the 2020 election.
00:12:59.280 49% of the voters believe 2020 was a fake election, according to Rasmussen.
00:13:11.420 49%.
00:13:12.580 Now, when I said that I'm not often shocked by a poll, but this one shocks me,
00:13:21.720 is anybody having that same experience, or is it just me?
00:13:25.400 This is, like, mind-blowing.
00:13:27.680 I had no idea.
00:13:29.080 I had no idea that the idea of a fixed election had gotten that much traction.
00:13:34.680 Now, probably I'd want to see at least one other poll,
00:13:37.800 you know, to see if other polls are coming up with the same numbers.
00:13:40.920 Because Rasmussen is pretty heavily, let's say, engaged in retweeting the, you know,
00:13:49.300 the voter stuff.
00:13:52.420 So they're pretty much on the side on this issue.
00:13:55.560 So I'd wait for at least one more poll.
00:13:58.140 But this is pretty shocking.
00:14:01.180 All right.
00:14:02.120 I saw some tweets that Google has a habit of hiring a lot of ex-intel people.
00:14:07.900 How many, you say?
00:14:10.240 A hundred and sixty-five of them.
00:14:13.120 So, at least according to a tweet, I don't know.
00:14:15.900 I suppose this needs some fact-checking.
00:14:18.780 But Google's trust and safety team is managed by three ex-CIA agents.
00:14:23.940 So three ex-CIA agents are in control of what you see.
00:14:32.240 So what is considered misinformation is determined by three ex-CIA people.
00:14:39.660 X.
00:14:40.900 See, they're no longer in the CIA.
00:14:44.160 But what I'm saying is the CIA does not pay them any kind of a salary.
00:14:47.940 So they're completely ex, as in they don't work for them anymore.
00:14:53.340 Nope.
00:14:54.120 Nope.
00:14:55.380 So don't worry about that, because they don't work for them anymore.
00:14:58.420 Yeah, the CIA, there's 27 ex-CIA people, 52 ex-FBI, 30 NSA, 50 DHS, and 6 ODNI.
00:15:09.420 Does it look like maybe they are looking for these people?
00:15:12.480 It feels like they might be recruiting them, or they're recruiting themselves, or each other.
00:15:19.760 It's a lot.
00:15:21.760 It's a lot.
00:15:23.140 Now, the other way to explain it would be that these are highly qualified people,
00:15:28.700 and Google offers them more money than intelligence work.
00:15:34.000 It could be that they're just excellent people to have on your staff.
00:15:38.020 You know, they're highly qualified.
00:15:40.080 They know a lot about the world.
00:15:41.300 You know, that sort of thing.
00:15:43.100 They have maybe experience in other countries.
00:15:45.380 That would all be stuff that would be insecurity.
00:15:47.760 Insecurity.
00:15:48.740 So that would all be stuff that Google would want.
00:15:51.880 So it wouldn't surprise me that they were hiring a lot of people from that world.
00:15:58.400 But it does seem like too many, doesn't it?
00:16:01.380 As in there's something going on here that's not exactly what it looks like.
00:16:07.400 So we got questions, don't we?
00:16:09.620 First of all, first of all, I cannot confirm that these numbers are correct.
00:16:15.380 So before you get too excited, it may not even be true.
00:16:18.760 I don't know.
00:16:19.800 But somebody seemed pretty confident online.
00:16:22.500 All right, let's talk about RFK Jr.
00:16:27.100 YouTube banned one of his videos, just took it right off.
00:16:30.520 A conversation with Jordan Peterson.
00:16:32.620 Can you even hold that in your head that this just happened?
00:16:38.380 Now, I just told you how many ex-intel people work for Google, who owns YouTube.
00:16:43.240 Then YouTube just took a major candidate, you know, one of the biggest challenges to Biden,
00:16:49.400 just took him off, just removed his video completely.
00:16:52.640 Now, they would say there was some misinformation there or something dangerous.
00:16:57.540 But do you imagine, like in your wildest dreams,
00:17:01.960 can you imagine a conversation between Jordan Peterson and RFK Jr.
00:17:07.240 that would literally be dangerous?
00:17:11.140 Does that feel like a thing?
00:17:12.360 And even if it is dangerous, aren't we allowed to see it?
00:17:18.260 We're not allowed to see anything that might be dangerous?
00:17:21.280 I don't know that that's a standard.
00:17:23.440 When did that become a standard?
00:17:25.360 There's lots of things I look at that, you know,
00:17:27.360 you could make an argument, it could be dangerous, one way or another.
00:17:30.780 But what about that free speech and, you know,
00:17:34.440 letting everybody decide for themselves business?
00:17:37.320 What about that?
00:17:38.160 Well, I think I'm aghast, as most of you are.
00:17:43.980 RFK Jr. is a serious candidate for president of the United States.
00:17:49.500 They just took down his message.
00:17:52.000 Because they didn't agree with it?
00:17:54.540 Because what?
00:17:55.460 Because they're all scientists and they know what's true and what isn't?
00:17:59.820 And what if they just disagree?
00:18:02.060 What if RFK Jr. has his experts
00:18:04.540 and maybe YouTube has some other experts
00:18:07.040 to say his experts are wrong?
00:18:08.940 What makes their experts right and his wrong?
00:18:11.500 Who gets to decide that?
00:18:13.940 Do you get to decide
00:18:15.180 which presidential candidate we get to see?
00:18:18.500 That feels pretty extreme to me.
00:18:21.080 Pretty extreme.
00:18:22.320 Now, let me be clear.
00:18:23.660 I do not endorse all of RFK Jr.'s,
00:18:27.260 let's say, assertions about medical stuff.
00:18:31.260 I don't know that I know them all
00:18:33.340 or that I know them with the right nuance
00:18:35.400 the way he explains them in the current year.
00:18:38.880 I don't know that.
00:18:40.120 So I haven't seen anything that he's explained lately
00:18:42.820 that I disagree with,
00:18:44.560 but I'm sure there's stuff there.
00:18:46.420 So I'm not saying I agree with him.
00:18:48.000 I'm just saying that
00:18:48.800 why in the world can't you see it?
00:18:52.380 That's insane.
00:18:53.240 And this also goes under the umbrella
00:18:58.080 of outrage fatigue.
00:19:02.140 If this were the only thing that's going on
00:19:04.480 that's, you know, not right with the world,
00:19:07.960 we'd probably get more excited about it.
00:19:10.740 But there's so much in the news that's like this,
00:19:14.220 I don't even know where to, like, aim.
00:19:19.540 Goodbye, all caps.
00:19:20.900 I'm getting rid of the all caps
00:19:23.860 and it doesn't matter what you say,
00:19:26.820 you know, what use,
00:19:27.920 even if you're just talking.
00:19:29.500 If it's all caps, it's distracting to the host.
00:19:37.360 So I'll just delete everybody uses them
00:19:39.440 no matter what the purpose is, okay?
00:19:42.160 All right.
00:19:45.000 Nate Silver was saying,
00:19:47.680 now, if you don't know Nate Silver,
00:19:49.120 he would be, you know,
00:19:50.560 one of our nation's
00:19:52.020 most credible statistical polling,
00:19:55.280 you know, kind of the people.
00:19:58.480 He gets a lot of hate from the right,
00:20:01.440 but I've been following him for a long time
00:20:03.400 and I believe his opinions are
00:20:05.260 about as close to objective
00:20:08.100 as you can get.
00:20:10.220 He's got some bias that sneaks in,
00:20:12.420 but he's really close to objective,
00:20:14.680 you know, better than most.
00:20:15.580 So I always recommend him as a good follow.
00:20:18.280 He has good comments, too, on Twitter.
00:20:20.700 But he said this.
00:20:22.560 He said, there's this notion
00:20:23.660 that Kennedy's doing kind of well in the polls
00:20:26.140 and he just isn't.
00:20:28.160 Now, his polling shows Kennedy
00:20:29.580 lower than that 20%.
00:20:31.160 Shows him at, like, 9%.
00:20:33.100 And his polling has done well
00:20:36.180 compared to other polling in the past.
00:20:38.060 So maybe he's right on that.
00:20:39.960 You may have seen Jessica Tarloff
00:20:46.040 on The Five on Fox News.
00:20:48.740 She often says she has never met a Democrat
00:20:51.500 who supports RFK Jr.
00:20:53.580 It's just a Republican thing.
00:20:56.840 She says she's never met one in the wild
00:20:58.760 like an actual human who's a Democrat
00:21:01.580 who supports him.
00:21:03.780 Now, I say that is not predictive.
00:21:07.500 It seems like it would be, right?
00:21:08.740 It seems like it would be
00:21:10.000 the single most predictive thing
00:21:11.460 you could ever have.
00:21:13.100 But I don't think that's predictive.
00:21:15.820 Because as RFK Jr. points out,
00:21:18.580 whoever ends up being the nominee
00:21:21.060 is going to get the Democrat vote.
00:21:23.340 Because the Democrats sure as hell
00:21:24.900 aren't going to vote for the Republican.
00:21:26.800 They're going to take what they can get
00:21:28.200 with a D next to it.
00:21:29.860 Anything they can get.
00:21:31.340 So he just has to be the nominee, right?
00:21:34.600 But, of course, he's way, way behind Biden for that.
00:21:40.740 So it really comes down to whether Biden's
00:21:42.500 really going to be running.
00:21:44.480 Do you believe he's really going to run?
00:21:47.140 Now, you may have seen that Tucker Carlson
00:21:50.320 dropped another video.
00:21:52.340 And he says that Newsom is being groomed
00:21:56.740 to be the last-minute replacement for Biden.
00:21:59.100 This is something you've heard me say for a while now.
00:22:02.820 But what would make most sense from the timing?
00:22:07.620 That was six to nine months
00:22:09.960 before the Democratic Convention.
00:22:14.440 So in my opinion,
00:22:16.100 sometime toward the end of the year,
00:22:18.900 maybe through February,
00:22:20.580 will be the time that Biden will
00:22:22.380 have a sudden turn of health.
00:22:24.660 And he's going to say,
00:22:26.760 well, I really did plan to run.
00:22:29.560 I really did.
00:22:30.920 But it just, you know, won't work.
00:22:32.460 My health is failing.
00:22:34.100 And that it will be too late
00:22:35.540 for anybody else to get serious.
00:22:37.480 But Newsom will already have been out there
00:22:40.220 talking about DeSantis, et cetera.
00:22:42.140 So he just seems like the obvious one
00:22:44.020 who's not RFK Jr.
00:22:46.680 So this may be the way to keep RFK Jr.
00:22:49.200 out of the thing,
00:22:50.580 is to stick Newsom in toward the top.
00:22:54.660 Now, that seems very, very likely to me.
00:23:00.880 But if it's Newsom versus RFK Jr.,
00:23:07.700 does he get a debate?
00:23:11.220 Ah, now we're getting interesting, aren't we?
00:23:14.440 Does he get a debate?
00:23:16.000 Because Biden can say no to a debate
00:23:18.220 and the world can say,
00:23:19.740 all right, we don't like it,
00:23:21.260 but it is, at least there's some precedent, right?
00:23:25.420 There is precedent.
00:23:26.400 Even Trump is considering not debating
00:23:28.700 because, you know, he thinks he has it locked up.
00:23:31.620 Why do it?
00:23:33.060 But if you're the last-minute replacement candidate
00:23:37.340 and RFK Jr. has been there campaigning hard
00:23:41.060 for over a year,
00:23:44.880 how do you not debate?
00:23:48.100 I mean, not debating would be pretty devastating
00:23:50.420 if you're coming in as the, you know,
00:23:53.520 the competitor that's not even putting in the same work
00:23:56.840 as the guy that's been there.
00:23:58.620 So what happens if you put RFK Jr.
00:24:01.800 in a debate with Newsom?
00:24:03.180 Here's what I think happens.
00:24:08.020 I think RFK Jr. would solve
00:24:10.180 all of his reputation problems in one night
00:24:12.900 because Newsom would say,
00:24:16.860 you think all vaccinations are bad?
00:24:20.760 And RFK Jr. would say something like,
00:24:23.480 I've never said that.
00:24:25.700 I've never said anything like that.
00:24:28.120 You're just making that up.
00:24:30.000 And the news is on your side.
00:24:32.240 You're all just making up an opinion for me.
00:24:34.680 Here's my opinion.
00:24:36.140 They're under-tested.
00:24:37.580 Anybody want to have an argument with that?
00:24:39.760 Under-tested.
00:24:41.080 Not tested to my satisfaction.
00:24:43.300 I don't think they're tested to your satisfaction.
00:24:45.800 Here's why.
00:24:47.980 That would really just change everything
00:24:49.680 because he could easily sell under-tested
00:24:53.220 or he could easily sell,
00:24:56.320 I would like to introduce standards
00:24:58.100 for more rigorous testing.
00:24:59.800 Because even if you think the testing was good,
00:25:03.700 who's going to object to more rigorous standards?
00:25:08.140 Who?
00:25:08.980 Just Big Pharma, right?
00:25:10.900 That's it.
00:25:11.980 But if you're just a reasonable Democrat
00:25:14.140 and you're listening,
00:25:15.300 you hear Newsom make a claim,
00:25:17.440 you hear RFK Jr. call the man as a liar,
00:25:20.720 nope.
00:25:21.420 That's not my opinion.
00:25:22.640 And why do you in the news keep saying so?
00:25:24.600 My opinion is they need to be tested better
00:25:28.040 and that there's a lot of correlation stuff
00:25:31.060 that's scary enough we need to look into it.
00:25:34.020 But I don't know.
00:25:35.540 I mean, it looks like it could be causation.
00:25:37.820 But I can't say that for sure.
00:25:39.600 I'm saying it's scary and you should not ignore it.
00:25:43.680 He wins.
00:25:45.520 He wins.
00:25:47.460 I think if...
00:25:48.380 And there's also a contrast problem
00:25:50.180 that's really bad.
00:25:51.720 What is Newsom's biggest advantage as a politician?
00:25:59.280 Let's see.
00:25:59.760 He's got name recognition
00:26:00.780 and he's a tall, good-looking guy with good hair.
00:26:07.960 What's RFK Jr. have?
00:26:12.720 All of that, but better.
00:26:15.560 All of that.
00:26:16.680 All of that, but better.
00:26:18.340 He's a slightly better version.
00:26:20.200 Newsom is the poor man's RFK Jr.
00:26:26.020 RFK Jr. says things that sound to me genuine
00:26:28.980 when he talks.
00:26:31.140 You know, who knows?
00:26:31.920 I mean, I'm not a mind reader, right?
00:26:33.860 So if there's any politician lying to me
00:26:36.280 by doing a good job of it, I wouldn't know.
00:26:39.180 I'd only know what they say.
00:26:40.960 But when RFK Jr. talks,
00:26:43.280 he sounds like he's telling me the truth
00:26:45.100 as he understands it.
00:26:47.100 It doesn't mean he's right about everything.
00:26:48.300 It just means it sounds like he's telling me the truth
00:26:51.020 and means it.
00:26:52.460 When Newsom talks, he sounds like he's lying.
00:26:55.800 All the time.
00:26:57.540 He always sounds like he's lying.
00:27:00.120 Even when he's not.
00:27:02.280 Even when he's not.
00:27:03.820 He just has that slimy, politician-y,
00:27:06.400 too-big-of-a-smile thing.
00:27:09.340 All right?
00:27:10.260 Ladies and gentlemen,
00:27:13.220 this question for the ladies only.
00:27:15.960 If you were not in a relationship,
00:27:17.600 which of those two men would you rather go to bed with?
00:27:21.440 Newsom or RFK Jr.,
00:27:23.240 you're not in a relationship.
00:27:24.640 Imagine you're single.
00:27:26.200 You have a shot.
00:27:27.940 Which one?
00:27:30.880 It's like solid RFK Jr., right?
00:27:33.360 Solid.
00:27:33.760 Now, you don't think that matters?
00:27:36.440 You don't think it matters that the ladies
00:27:39.640 would choose RFK Jr. as a sex partner over Newsom?
00:27:45.600 You don't think that matters?
00:27:47.640 It does.
00:27:49.680 Yeah.
00:27:50.720 All right?
00:27:51.420 Now, here's one for the men.
00:27:54.280 You get invited to have a beer.
00:27:56.840 You know, alcohol is poison,
00:27:58.260 but let's just go with this.
00:28:00.660 You can have a beer,
00:28:01.760 and it's either with RFK Jr.
00:28:03.100 or it's with Governor Newsom.
00:28:05.100 Who do you pick?
00:28:06.440 It's not even close.
00:28:11.320 One of them would be fascinating,
00:28:13.460 and the other one would be Newsom.
00:28:16.400 Am I right?
00:28:17.740 One of them would be fascinating,
00:28:19.860 like you would just hang on every story and everything,
00:28:24.040 and the other would be just some foolish,
00:28:25.820 greasy guy that's got good hair,
00:28:28.420 and he's tall, and he's got a tan.
00:28:31.020 There's just nothing there.
00:28:32.240 He's just an empty suit.
00:28:33.140 So the matchup between RFK Jr. and Newsom
00:28:37.740 is somewhat devastating for Newsom.
00:28:41.300 And then RFK Jr. has the other advantage
00:28:43.700 of not having governed,
00:28:46.720 which is weird that that's an advantage,
00:28:48.620 but he doesn't have a bad track record as a governor.
00:28:51.440 Newsom's going to have to explain
00:28:54.540 why you can't walk down the streets of San Francisco
00:28:56.780 and why the border's open and all that stuff.
00:29:00.360 So I think that the matchup is really favorable to one.
00:29:06.660 So it really comes down to,
00:29:08.680 I would disagree with Nate Silver on this.
00:29:11.360 I think he, again, I can't read his mind,
00:29:14.020 but in context it looks like he's looking at the polling
00:29:17.180 as the major indicator of what's going to happen,
00:29:19.880 and it usually is.
00:29:21.480 I would agree that in most cases,
00:29:23.160 the polling's your best way to determine
00:29:26.780 what's going to happen.
00:29:28.020 But in this one weird case,
00:29:29.800 because Biden's health is such,
00:29:32.180 really the key variable in all of it,
00:29:34.580 the polling doesn't pick up his health.
00:29:37.480 So that's sort of a blind spot, I think.
00:29:40.940 But we'll see.
00:29:41.580 All right, Bud Light fired its woke marketing department,
00:29:46.820 so the first woman who was hired to market
00:29:50.660 for a major beer brand is now the first one also fired.
00:29:55.040 So would you consider this a sign of peak wokeness,
00:29:59.620 and the wokeness is reaching its highest level,
00:30:02.900 and now there's going to be pushback?
00:30:05.080 I think so.
00:30:06.380 To me, it looks like a signal of the end.
00:30:08.660 How about the fact that Larry Fink,
00:30:12.380 CEO of BlackRock,
00:30:15.040 and the biggest pusher of ESG,
00:30:17.860 has said that he doesn't like to use ESG now
00:30:20.040 because it's embarrassing,
00:30:21.740 because DeSantis made it a dirty word.
00:30:25.420 It wasn't just DeSantis, right?
00:30:28.120 He didn't do it alone.
00:30:30.120 DeSantis would have never even said it,
00:30:32.420 except that his base is solidly on the same side.
00:30:38.360 So now we've got the biggest pusher of ESG saying,
00:30:42.700 I don't even like to use the word.
00:30:44.100 It's so demonized now.
00:30:46.100 You've got Bud Light firing its wokest marketer.
00:30:50.000 And this morning I see a tweet
00:30:54.620 that a controversial Republican, Stephen Miller,
00:31:00.860 is, I don't know what his involvement is,
00:31:03.960 but I guess he's promoting this non-profit,
00:31:06.720 American First Legal.
00:31:08.720 It's a hotline for American workers and families
00:31:11.200 victimized by illegal racist equity policies.
00:31:14.880 So there's now a line you can call
00:31:19.700 if you're white or Asian, or male, I suppose,
00:31:24.560 and it looks like you've been discriminated at work
00:31:27.260 for being white or Asian or male,
00:31:29.600 and now you can get some legal representation.
00:31:35.900 What do you think?
00:31:39.220 I'm all for it.
00:31:40.640 Yeah, I could have used that at least twice in my career.
00:31:43.280 Had that existed, I would have had a number to call,
00:31:46.540 and I would have gotten legal representation,
00:31:49.040 and I'd still be working at a big bank.
00:31:52.060 So I'm glad I didn't have that legal representation
00:31:54.300 because I'd still be working at a big bank.
00:31:57.840 Yeah.
00:31:58.640 So now do you see a pattern developing yet?
00:32:02.780 So now you've got a number to call
00:32:04.520 if you've been discriminated against for equity.
00:32:07.760 And how do you like the fact
00:32:09.020 that you can just do a tweet on this,
00:32:11.260 you can just say it out loud,
00:32:12.480 hey, there's a lot of people being racist
00:32:14.660 against white people,
00:32:16.400 so now we've got a phone number
00:32:17.360 that white people can call,
00:32:19.040 and Asian Americans, and I guess males,
00:32:22.280 and straight people, I guess,
00:32:24.900 to say that you've been discriminated against.
00:32:28.640 Do you see the pattern yet?
00:32:30.920 Yeah.
00:32:31.380 Woke is definitely broke.
00:32:33.620 There'll be lots more woke.
00:32:35.340 So I'm not saying you're not seeing,
00:32:37.300 that you're seeing the end of it or anything like that.
00:32:39.000 It's going to be whack-a-mole forever.
00:32:41.120 But in terms of the peak,
00:32:43.240 it is now discredited.
00:32:45.540 I'm going to call the top.
00:32:48.360 Calling the top.
00:32:50.120 Woke is discredited,
00:32:51.640 and it's now actually embarrassing
00:32:53.620 to be on that side.
00:32:55.640 It'll take a while for everybody,
00:32:57.160 the message,
00:32:57.920 but it's actually embarrassing.
00:33:00.880 All right.
00:33:01.140 So that was good news.
00:33:10.800 I did a poll asking who's the bigger racist,
00:33:14.980 me or Larry Fink,
00:33:16.500 CEO of BlackRock,
00:33:18.600 and Larry Fink won,
00:33:19.700 you know, hands down.
00:33:21.300 He beat me.
00:33:22.340 And then I tweeted that
00:33:23.760 I think he might be the biggest racist
00:33:26.300 in the country.
00:33:27.000 Now, how would you measure
00:33:29.280 who's the biggest racist?
00:33:31.820 Now, some people said,
00:33:32.680 but what about David Duke,
00:33:34.000 and what about the Ku Klux Klan?
00:33:36.840 And I say,
00:33:37.600 maybe internally,
00:33:39.280 you know,
00:33:39.460 maybe in their minds,
00:33:40.760 they're bigger racists
00:33:41.800 in the sense that they have,
00:33:43.340 you know,
00:33:43.640 more racist feelings.
00:33:46.020 But they don't have much effect,
00:33:47.480 do they?
00:33:49.500 Not much effect.
00:33:50.560 So if you look at people
00:33:52.640 who are racist
00:33:53.700 and have an effect,
00:33:56.280 I don't think,
00:33:57.120 I don't think you could possibly
00:33:58.600 beat Larry Fink,
00:34:00.220 because he's the main pusher of ESG,
00:34:02.840 E being equity,
00:34:04.540 equity being racist.
00:34:07.360 Would you argue?
00:34:08.980 I did.
00:34:09.340 Now, somebody said,
00:34:10.440 Joy Ann Reed,
00:34:11.560 but do you think she has
00:34:12.720 as much impact
00:34:13.700 on the real world?
00:34:15.620 Because I think people watch the news
00:34:17.240 as just entertainment.
00:34:18.480 I don't know that they watch.
00:34:19.500 So he was actually forcing people
00:34:20.840 to be racist all over the place.
00:34:23.140 So he was leveraging his power
00:34:25.000 to make the entire industrial base racist.
00:34:29.380 I've never seen a bigger example
00:34:30.720 of racism than that.
00:34:32.260 Well, in the current times.
00:34:34.440 Obviously, Hitler had a monopoly on things.
00:34:38.280 But then somebody said
00:34:40.520 that Randy Weingarten
00:34:41.660 would be a bigger racist,
00:34:43.840 because she is the biggest protector
00:34:45.760 of institutional organizations
00:34:49.500 systemic racism.
00:34:51.260 So it's a little hard
00:34:52.160 to measure, you know,
00:34:53.580 the various racisms
00:34:54.780 against each other.
00:34:55.700 But I think it's down to them.
00:34:57.500 I think Larry Fink
00:34:59.020 or Randy Weingarten
00:35:00.220 would be the biggest racists.
00:35:02.680 You could argue Biden.
00:35:05.240 Maybe.
00:35:07.560 Maybe.
00:35:08.840 Some people said Obama,
00:35:10.520 but I'm not going to count
00:35:11.440 anybody who's not currently influential.
00:35:13.840 And he's not really,
00:35:15.900 in a sense.
00:35:17.780 All right.
00:35:19.440 So what do you think
00:35:21.700 of the fact that I can
00:35:22.860 casually retweet
00:35:24.840 that Larry Fink
00:35:26.260 is the biggest racist
00:35:27.380 in the country
00:35:28.100 and people just,
00:35:29.840 people simply think about it
00:35:32.160 whether that's true?
00:35:34.600 That's all they did.
00:35:35.740 I don't know.
00:35:36.280 Is he the biggest?
00:35:37.740 All right.
00:35:38.080 I see your argument.
00:35:39.120 Yeah.
00:35:39.560 Yeah.
00:35:39.840 I don't know if he's the biggest
00:35:40.900 because, you know,
00:35:41.420 Randy Weingarten,
00:35:42.380 but yeah,
00:35:43.260 he would be in the top three
00:35:44.420 for sure.
00:35:47.040 Just what do you think
00:35:47.940 about the fact
00:35:48.500 that I can just say
00:35:49.380 that casually?
00:35:50.840 He's the biggest racist
00:35:51.880 in the country.
00:35:53.260 And you all just go,
00:35:54.220 yeah, yeah,
00:35:54.960 that sounds about right.
00:35:57.320 It's peak wokeness.
00:35:59.840 Do you think
00:36:00.420 there'll be any pushback tomorrow
00:36:01.980 like there'll be
00:36:03.400 a big viral video
00:36:04.480 about how I called
00:36:05.540 Larry Fink a racist?
00:36:07.880 No.
00:36:09.160 No.
00:36:09.360 Because it's not shocking.
00:36:11.600 It's not even interesting.
00:36:14.160 It's just a fact
00:36:15.420 and everybody can see it now.
00:36:18.620 All right.
00:36:20.340 Harvard is introducing
00:36:21.800 an AI teacher.
00:36:24.140 So students will have
00:36:25.580 some kind of a science teacher
00:36:27.500 chatbot for at least one course.
00:36:31.220 The CS50 course.
00:36:33.960 And, you know,
00:36:34.520 it's experimental, of course.
00:36:36.120 We'll see how it goes.
00:36:37.020 But isn't there
00:36:40.140 an obvious question here?
00:36:43.220 May I ask
00:36:44.100 the most obvious question?
00:36:47.480 Why would you pay
00:36:48.860 to go to Harvard
00:36:50.020 if you're going to be
00:36:51.800 talking to a robot?
00:36:52.780 Is it like the special
00:36:56.400 Harvard-trained robot?
00:37:00.000 Do you get to...
00:37:01.160 Are you going to network
00:37:02.040 with a robot later?
00:37:03.960 Well, you know,
00:37:04.760 I didn't meet any people,
00:37:05.840 but I got this great friend
00:37:06.900 who's a robot
00:37:07.540 who was teaching me science.
00:37:12.120 Isn't Harvard
00:37:12.960 eliminating itself?
00:37:14.540 If I were Harvard,
00:37:17.460 the last thing I'd do
00:37:18.520 is introduce a robot.
00:37:20.880 Because the robot has,
00:37:22.280 you know,
00:37:22.700 none of the qualities
00:37:23.800 that Harvard does
00:37:24.660 can be easily reproduced
00:37:26.780 down to the community,
00:37:27.940 you know,
00:37:29.300 community college level.
00:37:31.000 It just takes
00:37:31.780 all of the value
00:37:32.780 out of Harvard.
00:37:35.220 But I guess
00:37:35.880 they don't have any choice.
00:37:36.800 If they don't do it,
00:37:37.600 somebody's going to do it
00:37:38.420 to them.
00:37:39.280 So they, you know,
00:37:40.360 maybe they can build
00:37:41.160 some kind of a hybrid
00:37:42.100 situation that makes them look
00:37:43.540 like they have some value,
00:37:45.360 but interesting
00:37:46.260 that they would go first.
00:37:48.200 All right.
00:37:48.500 So there is, of course,
00:37:49.620 more rumors
00:37:50.400 and whistleblowing
00:37:51.260 and speculation
00:37:52.400 that the investigation
00:37:54.640 into Hunter Biden
00:37:56.080 was blocked.
00:37:57.640 So now there's
00:37:58.620 a whistleblower
00:37:59.400 that says that
00:38:01.360 they were told
00:38:02.900 to not pursue leads
00:38:04.420 that would go,
00:38:05.980 certainly go directly
00:38:07.320 to the question
00:38:07.940 of whether Joe Biden
00:38:09.160 accepted any bribes
00:38:11.060 or did any bad stuff.
00:38:12.120 And they were told
00:38:13.940 not to.
00:38:14.740 And then there's a story
00:38:15.820 that Weiss,
00:38:17.720 the prosecutor,
00:38:19.440 tried to get some
00:38:20.880 prosecutions going
00:38:21.820 in Washington, D.C.
00:38:22.780 and also in L.A.,
00:38:24.020 but in both locations
00:38:25.480 they rebuffed him
00:38:26.360 and they said,
00:38:27.660 go away,
00:38:28.060 we're not doing that.
00:38:29.920 But Merrick Garland,
00:38:32.940 the boss
00:38:33.860 of this whole situation,
00:38:35.220 has told Congress
00:38:36.100 that there was no obstacles,
00:38:38.440 nobody blocked them,
00:38:39.380 they had free reign
00:38:40.260 to do what they wanted.
00:38:41.100 I don't know
00:38:42.500 if those are
00:38:43.000 necessarily opposites
00:38:44.280 because Garland
00:38:46.700 is not in charge
00:38:47.700 of, you know,
00:38:48.980 the two other states
00:38:50.020 that said no.
00:38:51.400 But collectively,
00:38:53.840 collectively the picture
00:38:55.480 is becoming very clear.
00:38:58.060 It looks like
00:38:58.880 there's no question
00:38:59.700 whatsoever
00:39:00.280 that Hunter Biden
00:39:02.480 was selling access
00:39:04.360 to his father,
00:39:06.500 taking huge amounts
00:39:07.540 of money
00:39:07.920 and finding ways
00:39:09.800 to not pay taxes
00:39:10.660 on it.
00:39:12.080 It looks like
00:39:12.800 it's all true.
00:39:14.320 It's like,
00:39:15.000 it's exactly
00:39:15.740 what you thought
00:39:16.460 it was,
00:39:17.040 times 10.
00:39:19.300 And I think
00:39:20.700 we all know it now.
00:39:22.300 But we got totally
00:39:24.520 cat on the roofed,
00:39:26.220 you know what I mean?
00:39:27.520 We got so cat
00:39:28.500 on the roofed.
00:39:29.520 So the cat on the roof
00:39:30.600 is like,
00:39:30.980 oh, your cat's
00:39:31.540 on the roof
00:39:32.120 trying to get her down.
00:39:33.040 Oh, the cat fell
00:39:35.020 off the roof
00:39:35.600 and, you know,
00:39:36.280 it's a little bit injured
00:39:37.160 but we took it
00:39:37.720 to the vet
00:39:38.240 and we think
00:39:38.960 it'll be fine.
00:39:39.760 Oh, the cat died.
00:39:42.060 So the Hunter thing,
00:39:44.000 you know,
00:39:44.240 started with,
00:39:45.240 I don't know,
00:39:45.580 the laptop probably
00:39:46.580 and then there were
00:39:47.700 all these stories
00:39:48.720 and time goes by
00:39:49.920 and stories
00:39:50.580 and time
00:39:51.260 and time and stories
00:39:52.340 until you get to this
00:39:53.820 and you realize
00:39:54.860 that every worst
00:39:56.660 assumption you had
00:39:57.860 was true.
00:39:59.080 They were all true.
00:39:59.920 that the Bidens
00:40:01.220 have been a criminal
00:40:02.600 organization for decades.
00:40:04.940 They've been a criminal
00:40:06.180 organization for decades
00:40:08.680 and he's still president.
00:40:10.560 Nobody's talking
00:40:11.280 about impeachment.
00:40:14.520 Well, I guess we talk
00:40:15.840 about it
00:40:16.200 but it's not serious
00:40:17.180 and we're just going on
00:40:21.180 like this is a normal day.
00:40:23.420 It's just a Wednesday
00:40:25.160 that we found out
00:40:27.620 the president is actually
00:40:28.980 a crime syndicate
00:40:30.580 kind of a guy.
00:40:32.820 All right.
00:40:34.900 Which also makes sense
00:40:36.280 why the Democrats
00:40:37.440 try so hard
00:40:38.280 to paint Trump
00:40:39.540 as what the Bidens are.
00:40:42.540 As we've learned,
00:40:43.940 Tucker taught us this,
00:40:45.260 the Democrats always
00:40:46.300 accuse you
00:40:47.160 of whatever they're doing
00:40:48.080 and if you look
00:40:49.340 at all the accusations
00:40:50.200 against Trump,
00:40:51.320 they do seem to mirror
00:40:52.340 all the things
00:40:53.800 that Trump is not doing
00:40:54.920 or did some small way
00:40:56.860 and Biden is doing
00:40:58.720 a lot.
00:41:00.540 So, that's for sure.
00:41:02.780 All right.
00:41:03.460 How many of you,
00:41:04.320 let's talk about
00:41:04.880 the increase
00:41:05.600 in the trans community.
00:41:09.100 So,
00:41:10.380 I saw Vivek
00:41:12.660 tweet this,
00:41:14.060 5% of American adults
00:41:15.480 under 30
00:41:16.020 identify as trans.
00:41:17.240 Five years ago,
00:41:18.720 it was
00:41:19.120 0.6%.
00:41:21.280 So,
00:41:22.540 there's a huge
00:41:23.220 percentage increase
00:41:24.820 in number of people
00:41:25.640 identifying as trans
00:41:26.960 under 30.
00:41:29.120 Now,
00:41:29.720 his conclusion
00:41:31.640 is it's somewhat
00:41:32.440 obviously
00:41:33.060 a mental illness
00:41:34.420 driven phenomenon.
00:41:37.020 How many of you
00:41:38.020 would agree
00:41:38.840 with the assessment
00:41:39.900 that the increase
00:41:41.860 in trans
00:41:42.620 is a primarily
00:41:45.040 a mental health
00:41:46.640 contagion?
00:41:48.580 How many would
00:41:49.200 accept that
00:41:49.740 as the most
00:41:50.500 likely explanation?
00:41:54.260 All right.
00:41:54.960 So,
00:41:55.360 that was
00:41:55.660 my opinion
00:41:56.840 as well.
00:41:59.280 And,
00:41:59.960 I was quite
00:42:00.880 confident
00:42:01.320 in my opinion,
00:42:02.120 I have to say.
00:42:03.400 Quite confident
00:42:04.080 in my opinion
00:42:04.780 that there was
00:42:06.360 no other
00:42:06.900 reasonable explanation
00:42:08.320 other than
00:42:09.080 it was just
00:42:09.520 getting in
00:42:09.900 people's minds
00:42:10.760 and they were
00:42:11.820 talking to
00:42:12.320 themselves into it
00:42:13.140 because there was
00:42:13.700 so much
00:42:14.020 in the press
00:42:14.540 about it.
00:42:16.380 However,
00:42:17.540 how do you
00:42:18.340 rule out
00:42:18.880 the following
00:42:19.480 two hypotheses?
00:42:21.420 Because I'm
00:42:21.800 going to
00:42:22.320 fuck you up
00:42:23.820 a little bit here
00:42:24.420 and that's
00:42:25.340 why you watch,
00:42:26.120 I know.
00:42:27.200 I want to take
00:42:28.040 something that
00:42:28.500 you're pretty
00:42:28.980 sure about
00:42:29.620 and leave you
00:42:30.900 with some doubt.
00:42:33.180 All right?
00:42:34.180 So,
00:42:34.660 I think it was
00:42:35.360 was it
00:42:37.820 Jordan Peterson?
00:42:39.860 Somebody smart
00:42:41.220 said the following
00:42:41.940 thing.
00:42:42.860 There's so much
00:42:43.840 more trends
00:42:44.600 happening in
00:42:45.200 California
00:42:45.800 than there is
00:42:47.440 in Ohio.
00:42:48.760 How do you
00:42:49.160 explain that?
00:42:50.800 Is it because,
00:42:54.100 how do you
00:42:54.940 explain that
00:42:55.640 other than
00:42:58.160 it's a
00:42:59.680 mental phenomenon?
00:43:01.160 Because you know
00:43:01.720 that the mentality
00:43:02.580 in California
00:43:04.160 is different
00:43:04.700 than the mentality
00:43:05.560 in Ohio,
00:43:06.920 right?
00:43:07.180 so isn't it
00:43:09.200 obvious that
00:43:10.280 if California
00:43:11.040 has lots of
00:43:11.760 trends and
00:43:13.240 Ohio doesn't
00:43:13.880 have as many,
00:43:15.680 it's kind of
00:43:16.540 obvious that
00:43:17.360 California is
00:43:18.220 more, let's
00:43:19.040 say, mentally
00:43:19.780 promoting of it
00:43:21.520 so that that
00:43:22.240 would support
00:43:23.580 the idea that
00:43:24.920 it's a mental
00:43:25.440 contagion.
00:43:26.460 Would you agree
00:43:27.040 that the high
00:43:28.400 rate in California
00:43:29.380 relative to Ohio
00:43:30.760 supports the
00:43:32.220 hypothesis that
00:43:33.780 it's a mental
00:43:34.240 contagion?
00:43:34.860 Agree?
00:43:37.660 All right.
00:43:39.560 There are two
00:43:40.600 hypotheses that I
00:43:41.800 don't think you
00:43:42.280 can rule out.
00:43:43.600 Number one is
00:43:44.600 that it's just
00:43:45.180 safer to come
00:43:45.800 out in
00:43:46.120 California,
00:43:46.580 or that if
00:43:48.280 you suspected
00:43:48.980 you might later
00:43:49.940 come out,
00:43:50.420 you might move
00:43:50.860 to California
00:43:51.440 instead of
00:43:52.600 Ohio.
00:43:54.840 What's wrong
00:43:55.500 with that
00:43:55.760 hypothesis?
00:43:57.180 Would that
00:43:57.740 explain the
00:43:58.340 difference between
00:43:59.040 California and
00:43:59.940 Ohio?
00:44:00.840 In California,
00:44:01.940 you're completely
00:44:02.660 safe to come
00:44:03.360 out.
00:44:04.320 In Ohio,
00:44:04.860 maybe not so
00:44:05.580 much.
00:44:06.520 Maybe not so
00:44:07.040 much.
00:44:08.160 So are you
00:44:09.860 so sure it's
00:44:10.440 a mental
00:44:10.740 contagion?
00:44:12.900 When it
00:44:13.240 just coincidentally,
00:44:15.020 coincidentally,
00:44:16.440 this is a total
00:44:17.320 coincidence,
00:44:17.980 right?
00:44:18.580 That the one
00:44:19.300 place that's
00:44:19.840 the safest in
00:44:20.800 the world to
00:44:22.240 come out in
00:44:22.880 any way you
00:44:23.400 want to come
00:44:23.780 out is
00:44:24.040 California,
00:44:25.340 and that we
00:44:25.840 have the most
00:44:26.340 people coming
00:44:26.880 out.
00:44:28.340 Just a
00:44:28.920 coincidence?
00:44:31.140 I doubt
00:44:31.860 it.
00:44:32.760 I doubt
00:44:33.460 it.
00:44:33.700 How about
00:44:35.820 the idea
00:44:37.200 that there
00:44:37.600 might be
00:44:37.900 something in
00:44:38.420 our environment
00:44:39.120 that's changing
00:44:40.660 our sexuality?
00:44:42.040 You know,
00:44:42.340 the gay
00:44:42.700 frogs
00:44:43.100 theory?
00:44:45.060 Do you
00:44:45.680 think there's
00:44:46.060 anything in
00:44:46.600 our environment
00:44:47.180 that's changing
00:44:47.880 our sexuality,
00:44:49.380 even to the
00:44:50.780 point of
00:44:51.240 sexual
00:44:51.620 identification?
00:44:53.760 Do you
00:44:54.380 think?
00:44:56.600 Well,
00:44:58.160 have you
00:44:59.380 heard that
00:44:59.880 the
00:45:00.240 burn levels
00:45:04.580 in men
00:45:04.940 have gone
00:45:05.460 down for
00:45:06.100 like 40
00:45:06.740 years in
00:45:07.100 a row?
00:45:10.040 What happens
00:45:10.980 when you're
00:45:11.900 no longer
00:45:12.440 chemically
00:45:13.140 male?
00:45:14.800 I mean,
00:45:15.080 what makes
00:45:15.480 you feel
00:45:16.820 male is
00:45:17.460 testosterone,
00:45:18.280 I think.
00:45:19.480 Doesn't it?
00:45:20.840 You know,
00:45:21.380 there's one
00:45:21.860 thing about
00:45:22.280 how you look
00:45:22.920 and how
00:45:23.160 you're born
00:45:23.640 and maybe
00:45:24.720 your natural
00:45:25.360 biological
00:45:25.940 instincts,
00:45:26.720 but on
00:45:27.620 top of
00:45:28.000 that,
00:45:29.380 if your
00:45:29.880 testosterone
00:45:30.480 is high,
00:45:31.140 you're going
00:45:31.420 to look
00:45:31.840 and act
00:45:32.320 and feel
00:45:32.720 kind of
00:45:33.160 male,
00:45:34.240 because you're
00:45:34.780 going to
00:45:34.880 watch yourself
00:45:35.500 picking fights
00:45:36.660 and doing
00:45:37.840 dangerous shit,
00:45:39.080 like all the
00:45:39.880 male stuff.
00:45:41.340 But if your
00:45:42.020 testosterone was
00:45:42.940 low,
00:45:44.200 for, let's
00:45:44.920 say,
00:45:45.180 environmental
00:45:45.580 reasons,
00:45:46.280 something in
00:45:46.840 the water,
00:45:47.380 for example,
00:45:48.660 wouldn't you
00:45:49.960 feel less
00:45:51.020 male,
00:45:52.520 and might
00:45:53.320 you reasonably
00:45:54.640 be expected
00:45:55.400 to say,
00:45:55.860 I don't
00:45:56.120 know,
00:45:56.660 I'm not
00:45:57.180 even sure
00:45:57.620 I'm totally
00:45:58.100 male.
00:45:59.220 I don't
00:45:59.820 feel it.
00:46:01.120 I'm not
00:46:01.700 doing what
00:46:02.140 the other
00:46:02.460 males are
00:46:02.920 doing.
00:46:03.900 You know,
00:46:04.080 they seem
00:46:04.420 to be
00:46:04.860 throwing
00:46:05.780 shot puts
00:46:06.460 and climbing
00:46:07.780 walls and
00:46:08.360 stuff.
00:46:08.980 I'm not
00:46:09.400 doing that.
00:46:09.840 I like
00:46:10.080 to knit.
00:46:11.480 So maybe
00:46:12.220 I'm a
00:46:12.520 woman.
00:46:15.060 So,
00:46:15.840 there are
00:46:17.040 three
00:46:17.460 hypotheses,
00:46:19.060 and I
00:46:20.140 think that
00:46:20.560 they're all
00:46:21.360 strong in
00:46:22.860 their own
00:46:23.180 way.
00:46:24.680 So,
00:46:25.020 when I
00:46:26.240 see a
00:46:26.760 group of
00:46:27.160 four
00:46:27.420 friends,
00:46:28.500 and all
00:46:28.880 four of
00:46:29.280 them are
00:46:29.540 questioning
00:46:29.920 their sexuality,
00:46:30.980 and they're
00:46:31.300 13 years
00:46:32.020 old,
00:46:32.400 which is a
00:46:33.180 real thing,
00:46:34.200 somebody I
00:46:35.360 know has
00:46:35.800 that situation,
00:46:37.200 do you
00:46:37.560 really think
00:46:37.980 that the
00:46:38.280 four of
00:46:38.700 them,
00:46:39.400 like the
00:46:39.780 four friends,
00:46:41.220 just
00:46:41.480 coincidentally,
00:46:42.580 they're all
00:46:43.080 non-binary and
00:46:44.320 maybe trans?
00:46:45.820 Really?
00:46:46.840 Because that
00:46:47.200 seems,
00:46:47.820 doesn't that
00:46:48.280 seem completely
00:46:49.360 psychological?
00:46:50.320 To me,
00:46:51.940 it does.
00:46:53.120 But here's
00:46:53.840 a nuance I'm
00:46:55.420 going to
00:46:55.580 throw in
00:46:55.980 there.
00:46:57.200 I think
00:46:57.640 you could
00:47:00.520 easily figure
00:47:01.260 out that
00:47:01.820 mental health
00:47:02.660 would cause
00:47:03.560 somebody to
00:47:04.140 be maybe a
00:47:04.780 little non-binary
00:47:05.780 or not so
00:47:07.120 sure if they're
00:47:07.740 gay or not.
00:47:09.140 I could see
00:47:09.800 mental contagion
00:47:10.840 doing that
00:47:12.100 fairly easily.
00:47:13.340 That would be
00:47:14.080 actually normal,
00:47:15.340 not surprising
00:47:16.140 at all.
00:47:16.580 because you
00:47:17.720 could definitely
00:47:18.260 change people's,
00:47:20.260 let's say,
00:47:21.240 non-solid sexual
00:47:24.060 preferences with
00:47:25.320 persuasion.
00:47:26.680 You could turn
00:47:27.640 somebody who
00:47:28.400 maybe had a
00:47:29.300 little inclination
00:47:30.180 to be bi
00:47:30.940 into somebody
00:47:32.500 who lived the
00:47:33.020 life of a
00:47:33.800 gay man.
00:47:35.600 That would be
00:47:36.420 completely normal.
00:47:37.540 You could do
00:47:37.920 that.
00:47:38.820 I don't think
00:47:39.460 anybody who is
00:47:40.220 a hypnotist would
00:47:41.040 disagree with
00:47:41.700 what I just
00:47:42.200 said.
00:47:43.260 Somebody is
00:47:43.800 leaning in a
00:47:44.620 direction you
00:47:45.100 could push
00:47:45.480 them a little
00:47:45.780 further.
00:47:46.580 Very normal.
00:47:47.640 So you could
00:47:48.120 do that with
00:47:48.840 a mental
00:47:49.760 contagion.
00:47:51.460 I don't know
00:47:52.340 that you could
00:47:52.760 make somebody
00:47:53.260 fully trans
00:47:54.500 with mental
00:47:55.960 contagion alone.
00:47:59.240 Now, when I
00:48:00.020 say anybody,
00:48:01.720 well, probably
00:48:02.400 somebody, right?
00:48:03.660 I just don't
00:48:04.220 think it would
00:48:04.660 be the...
00:48:05.740 I think that...
00:48:07.340 And this is
00:48:07.720 just speculation
00:48:08.340 because I'm
00:48:08.960 not trans,
00:48:10.220 right?
00:48:10.680 So I want
00:48:11.460 to be...
00:48:11.960 I would like
00:48:12.340 to have
00:48:12.600 appropriate,
00:48:14.500 respectful,
00:48:15.180 humility.
00:48:17.440 I don't
00:48:17.720 know what
00:48:17.960 it's like
00:48:18.280 to be
00:48:18.540 trans.
00:48:19.580 So let's
00:48:20.300 all agree
00:48:21.140 that I
00:48:21.880 can't know
00:48:22.280 what it's
00:48:22.560 like.
00:48:23.280 But my
00:48:23.800 speculation is,
00:48:24.840 just living
00:48:25.560 in the real
00:48:26.040 world and
00:48:26.640 being a
00:48:27.660 person who
00:48:28.040 tries to
00:48:28.380 pay attention,
00:48:29.640 that probably
00:48:30.780 if you're
00:48:31.740 super trans,
00:48:33.060 like you were
00:48:33.680 born that way
00:48:34.380 and it's
00:48:34.700 like a real
00:48:35.120 thing,
00:48:35.520 your dysmorphia,
00:48:36.920 the experts
00:48:37.880 would say,
00:48:38.280 okay, this
00:48:38.680 is the real
00:48:39.100 thing.
00:48:39.600 This has
00:48:40.020 nothing to do
00:48:40.620 with mental
00:48:41.860 persuasion.
00:48:43.080 This person
00:48:43.780 is trans.
00:48:45.460 Do you
00:48:45.940 think they
00:48:46.220 don't know
00:48:46.620 it?
00:48:47.860 It seems
00:48:48.420 to me that
00:48:49.280 in those
00:48:49.540 cases,
00:48:50.180 persuasion
00:48:50.700 is probably
00:48:51.300 not the
00:48:51.680 key variable.
00:48:54.640 So I'm
00:48:55.560 leaning toward
00:48:56.200 a theory
00:48:56.940 that it's
00:48:57.420 three different
00:48:57.980 things.
00:48:58.880 I think
00:48:59.440 the environment
00:49:00.040 is one
00:49:01.340 of the
00:49:01.680 variables.
00:49:02.760 I think
00:49:03.220 whatever is
00:49:03.800 dropping
00:49:04.200 testosterone
00:49:04.940 is clearly
00:49:06.620 messing with
00:49:07.280 sexual
00:49:08.060 chemistry.
00:49:08.780 If you
00:49:10.060 know that
00:49:10.600 the environment
00:49:11.120 is messing
00:49:11.880 with your
00:49:12.320 sexual
00:49:12.700 chemistry,
00:49:13.400 at least
00:49:13.760 for sperm,
00:49:16.280 you don't
00:49:17.240 think it
00:49:17.540 would affect
00:49:17.900 the others?
00:49:19.660 That there
00:49:20.220 would be
00:49:20.440 something that
00:49:20.880 only affects
00:49:21.660 sperm?
00:49:23.200 Maybe.
00:49:24.480 Maybe.
00:49:25.160 Can't rule
00:49:25.660 it down.
00:49:26.340 But it
00:49:26.660 seems to
00:49:26.980 me that
00:49:27.240 something
00:49:27.480 that's
00:49:27.800 taking your
00:49:28.240 sperm
00:49:28.560 down is
00:49:28.960 probably
00:49:29.240 fucking
00:49:29.640 you up
00:49:30.000 pretty good.
00:49:31.060 Like in
00:49:31.500 a variety
00:49:32.220 of ways
00:49:32.740 that just
00:49:33.220 are not
00:49:33.760 obvious.
00:49:34.600 And one
00:49:34.900 of them,
00:49:35.220 the most
00:49:35.460 obvious would
00:49:36.000 be your
00:49:36.380 sexual
00:49:37.040 identity.
00:49:38.100 I would
00:49:38.460 think that
00:49:38.780 that would
00:49:39.060 be assaulted
00:49:39.820 by any
00:49:40.600 change in
00:49:41.060 your sexual
00:49:41.700 chemistry.
00:49:44.100 So I'm
00:49:44.620 going to
00:49:44.740 say all
00:49:45.080 three things
00:49:45.620 are probably
00:49:46.120 in play.
00:49:46.940 I think
00:49:47.220 there's a
00:49:47.880 social
00:49:48.480 contagion
00:49:49.160 that affects
00:49:49.700 some.
00:49:50.280 I think
00:49:50.600 it's safer
00:49:51.820 to come
00:49:52.180 out in
00:49:52.460 California,
00:49:53.200 so you
00:49:53.520 should expect
00:49:54.240 more people
00:49:55.400 to come
00:49:55.680 out in
00:49:55.920 California
00:49:56.380 than
00:49:56.760 Wyoming.
00:49:58.760 I would
00:49:59.200 expect that.
00:50:00.600 And,
00:50:01.040 you know,
00:50:01.520 some of it
00:50:02.100 is environmental,
00:50:03.200 I think.
00:50:03.720 It's probably
00:50:04.140 in the water
00:50:05.380 or the air
00:50:06.020 or the food
00:50:06.680 or something.
00:50:07.100 All right.
00:50:09.940 So I would
00:50:10.800 just like to
00:50:11.380 leave you
00:50:11.820 with a little
00:50:12.400 bit of
00:50:13.180 humility and
00:50:14.440 doubt that
00:50:15.920 you know why
00:50:16.740 anybody is
00:50:17.460 coming out as
00:50:18.040 trans or
00:50:19.220 non-binary or
00:50:20.200 anything.
00:50:20.460 You really
00:50:20.800 don't.
00:50:21.920 We just
00:50:22.380 don't know.
00:50:24.600 But certainly
00:50:25.320 all of those
00:50:26.040 things are worth
00:50:26.680 a close look.
00:50:28.700 And I don't
00:50:29.060 think Vivek is
00:50:30.460 wrong.
00:50:31.680 He may be
00:50:32.560 overstating a
00:50:33.540 little bit.
00:50:34.480 But not wrong.
00:50:35.180 There's a
00:50:35.660 social contagion
00:50:36.540 element to it
00:50:37.200 for sure.
00:50:38.960 All right.
00:50:40.260 I was re-watching
00:50:41.540 Putin's recent
00:50:42.680 speech the other
00:50:43.420 day about,
00:50:44.420 you know,
00:50:44.820 the alleged
00:50:45.740 insurrection
00:50:46.960 or whatever it
00:50:47.840 was.
00:50:49.200 And he
00:50:51.520 looked like a
00:50:52.100 deep fake.
00:50:54.020 Did anybody
00:50:54.700 else have that
00:50:55.440 experience?
00:50:58.160 That his
00:50:58.760 video,
00:51:00.320 his speech,
00:51:00.960 he looked
00:51:01.520 like a deep
00:51:03.180 fake.
00:51:03.540 fake.
00:51:04.160 Now, I
00:51:04.560 don't think
00:51:04.860 he was.
00:51:06.600 But the
00:51:07.720 difference between
00:51:08.480 how he looked
00:51:09.160 in his real
00:51:09.900 world, because
00:51:10.900 he was pale
00:51:11.680 and concerned
00:51:13.940 and very
00:51:15.400 tense, and
00:51:17.800 he wasn't
00:51:18.420 acting like
00:51:20.080 the relaxed,
00:51:20.900 happy Putin
00:51:21.440 that you
00:51:21.800 could sometimes
00:51:22.420 see.
00:51:23.820 And when he
00:51:24.400 takes away his
00:51:25.480 happy layer,
00:51:26.880 and he's got
00:51:27.380 his tense,
00:51:28.100 serious layer,
00:51:29.540 the difference
00:51:30.140 between his
00:51:30.840 tense, serious
00:51:32.080 presentation,
00:51:34.440 and a deep
00:51:35.060 fake, it's
00:51:36.600 just almost
00:51:37.260 nothing.
00:51:38.540 Now, if he
00:51:39.260 had been,
00:51:39.680 let's say,
00:51:40.060 jocular and
00:51:40.900 joking around
00:51:41.720 and, you
00:51:42.600 know, a
00:51:43.240 good laugh
00:51:43.880 and ha-ha-ha
00:51:44.640 and shaking
00:51:45.140 hands and
00:51:45.600 stuff, that
00:51:46.520 would be
00:51:46.820 really hard
00:51:47.360 to deep
00:51:47.720 fake, simply
00:51:49.540 because there's
00:51:50.080 more action,
00:51:51.240 you'd see more
00:51:51.800 things to go
00:51:52.400 wrong.
00:51:52.900 But when he's
00:51:53.500 just standing
00:51:54.000 there looking
00:51:54.460 at you,
00:51:55.500 I looked
00:52:03.460 at it again
00:52:04.100 and I
00:52:04.460 said, if
00:52:05.020 that had
00:52:05.420 been a
00:52:05.720 deep fake,
00:52:06.200 I wouldn't
00:52:06.500 know.
00:52:07.920 Again, I
00:52:08.600 don't think
00:52:08.940 it was.
00:52:09.800 But if it
00:52:10.540 had been, I
00:52:11.980 don't think
00:52:12.360 you could
00:52:12.660 tell.
00:52:13.380 I think we're
00:52:13.980 already at the
00:52:14.620 point where
00:52:14.980 that could
00:52:15.420 have been
00:52:15.660 faked, and
00:52:17.160 you wouldn't
00:52:17.460 know it.
00:52:19.380 And we're
00:52:19.880 only 5%
00:52:20.820 away from
00:52:21.260 there at
00:52:21.580 most, so
00:52:22.240 that means
00:52:22.700 that maybe
00:52:23.220 the government
00:52:23.700 can already
00:52:24.200 do it.
00:52:25.380 All right,
00:52:26.560 let's talk
00:52:26.940 about
00:52:27.160 Pregosian.
00:52:27.780 You know
00:52:28.100 that the
00:52:29.560 reporting is
00:52:30.260 that his
00:52:30.600 plane took
00:52:31.420 off from
00:52:32.040 Russia and
00:52:33.240 landed in
00:52:33.840 Belarus, and
00:52:34.740 Lukashenko,
00:52:36.340 the head of
00:52:36.820 Belarus, is
00:52:37.800 saying, oh
00:52:38.220 yeah, yep,
00:52:39.080 he's here.
00:52:40.180 We got him.
00:52:41.160 Yep, yep,
00:52:42.000 yep, he's
00:52:42.440 totally here.
00:52:44.080 Have you
00:52:44.620 seen a
00:52:44.920 picture of
00:52:45.300 him?
00:52:46.780 Do you
00:52:47.040 see that
00:52:47.360 picture of
00:52:47.900 him getting
00:52:48.260 off the
00:52:48.640 plane,
00:52:50.020 confirming he's
00:52:50.680 there?
00:52:51.640 Because you
00:52:52.160 know Lukashenko
00:52:52.680 wants to
00:52:53.540 confirm he's
00:52:54.120 there, because
00:52:55.640 he would like
00:52:56.180 you to know
00:52:56.600 that he's an
00:52:57.120 important deal
00:52:57.820 maker, and
00:52:58.760 that he's the
00:52:59.220 one who
00:52:59.480 negotiated it, and
00:53:00.580 it worked
00:53:00.940 out, and
00:53:01.900 here's my
00:53:03.140 success.
00:53:04.520 Here he is.
00:53:05.460 Boom, I
00:53:06.280 told you.
00:53:07.020 I told you I
00:53:07.660 would solve
00:53:08.040 this problem.
00:53:09.020 I'm the one
00:53:09.680 who solved
00:53:10.340 what could
00:53:11.440 have been a
00:53:12.200 mutiny against
00:53:13.760 Putin.
00:53:15.060 I'm the one
00:53:15.740 that worked
00:53:16.080 that out.
00:53:16.500 Here he is.
00:53:17.360 Here he is.
00:53:18.120 Here's my
00:53:18.500 buddy.
00:53:19.560 Where's that
00:53:20.020 picture?
00:53:20.300 Kind of
00:53:22.420 missing, isn't
00:53:22.920 it?
00:53:23.860 Kind of the
00:53:24.520 most obvious
00:53:25.260 picture you
00:53:25.920 would expect.
00:53:27.480 He's there.
00:53:29.140 Lukashenko
00:53:29.540 knows where
00:53:30.080 he is.
00:53:31.360 You don't
00:53:31.620 think, and
00:53:32.060 they're
00:53:32.200 friends.
00:53:32.860 They're
00:53:33.080 friends.
00:53:33.560 They've been
00:53:33.800 friends for
00:53:34.200 years.
00:53:35.080 You don't
00:53:35.380 think he
00:53:35.720 caught up
00:53:36.140 with him
00:53:36.380 when he
00:53:36.600 landed and
00:53:37.120 said, hey,
00:53:37.620 how you
00:53:37.860 doing?
00:53:38.320 Here's the
00:53:38.880 deal, and
00:53:39.460 here's where
00:53:40.400 you can stay,
00:53:41.100 and here's
00:53:41.340 what you
00:53:41.580 can't do.
00:53:43.260 But no
00:53:43.760 pictures of
00:53:45.200 his good
00:53:45.680 friend who
00:53:46.880 is probably
00:53:47.320 hanging out with
00:53:47.900 him right
00:53:48.220 now.
00:53:48.980 Couldn't
00:53:49.240 just take
00:53:49.660 out his
00:53:49.980 phone, snap
00:53:51.500 a little
00:53:51.800 selfie for
00:53:52.360 us, so
00:53:53.160 we'd be
00:53:53.460 sure he's
00:53:53.880 there.
00:53:55.580 All right,
00:53:56.200 here's my
00:53:56.940 fun speculation.
00:54:00.120 First of
00:54:00.720 all, he
00:54:01.160 might be
00:54:01.460 there.
00:54:02.500 So if
00:54:03.160 tomorrow you
00:54:04.120 see the
00:54:04.440 picture, don't
00:54:06.440 act like I'm
00:54:07.560 surprised.
00:54:08.640 I wouldn't
00:54:09.300 be too
00:54:09.800 surprised if
00:54:11.000 he's there.
00:54:11.680 But I
00:54:12.060 think a
00:54:12.380 slightly bigger
00:54:14.360 chance is the
00:54:15.380 following.
00:54:16.440 He's already
00:54:17.160 in custody.
00:54:17.900 That's what I
00:54:22.080 think.
00:54:22.580 I think
00:54:22.900 Putin already
00:54:23.400 has him, and
00:54:24.600 he's probably
00:54:25.040 in Russia.
00:54:26.900 I think you'll
00:54:27.680 never see a
00:54:28.240 picture of
00:54:28.640 him, because
00:54:30.860 if Putin just
00:54:32.080 killed him in
00:54:33.040 some way that
00:54:33.620 everybody knew
00:54:34.360 that Putin
00:54:34.800 killed him, he
00:54:35.840 would have to
00:54:36.240 deal with the
00:54:36.680 Wagner group
00:54:37.280 itself.
00:54:38.500 Because the
00:54:38.880 Wagner group
00:54:39.420 itself probably
00:54:40.160 has some
00:54:40.480 pretty loyal
00:54:41.020 people in
00:54:41.540 there, and
00:54:42.220 they're dangerous
00:54:42.700 people.
00:54:43.940 As it is, I
00:54:46.500 saw Kash Patel
00:54:47.400 saying that
00:54:48.000 Putin wins
00:54:48.860 because he
00:54:49.680 gets this
00:54:50.100 whole new
00:54:50.480 army to
00:54:52.080 put into
00:54:54.200 use any
00:54:54.780 way he
00:54:55.060 wants.
00:54:55.840 But I
00:54:56.280 didn't
00:54:56.480 understand that
00:54:57.100 comment because
00:54:57.780 he already
00:54:58.160 had that.
00:54:59.740 Putin could
00:55:00.320 make the
00:55:00.680 Wagner force
00:55:01.340 do anything
00:55:01.860 he wanted.
00:55:02.400 It was under
00:55:03.620 his control.
00:55:04.720 They just
00:55:05.160 pretend they
00:55:05.700 were independent,
00:55:06.460 but not
00:55:07.100 really, not
00:55:07.620 even a little
00:55:08.060 bit.
00:55:09.080 So I don't
00:55:09.980 understand the
00:55:10.680 argument that
00:55:12.660 Putin suddenly
00:55:13.620 got a bunch of
00:55:14.260 new soldiers.
00:55:14.840 soldiers.
00:55:15.540 They were
00:55:15.880 already his
00:55:16.420 soldiers.
00:55:17.400 You could
00:55:17.680 make them do
00:55:18.160 anything you
00:55:18.620 wanted.
00:55:19.560 So I don't
00:55:20.200 get that.
00:55:21.600 But I do
00:55:22.260 think that the
00:55:22.760 Wagner group
00:55:23.220 might be
00:55:23.580 dangerous to
00:55:24.260 Putin, and
00:55:25.400 the very best
00:55:26.060 thing he could
00:55:26.500 do is say,
00:55:27.060 you know what?
00:55:27.880 Your dog
00:55:28.400 didn't die.
00:55:29.600 No, no,
00:55:30.420 your dog
00:55:30.760 didn't die.
00:55:32.180 No, no,
00:55:32.840 he went to
00:55:33.200 live in a
00:55:33.760 farm where
00:55:35.060 there are
00:55:35.340 beautiful fields
00:55:36.080 and other
00:55:36.840 happy dogs.
00:55:38.220 Yeah, that's
00:55:38.860 where he is.
00:55:39.900 Yeah, you
00:55:40.300 live forever on
00:55:41.000 the farm.
00:55:41.440 So my
00:55:43.760 guess is that
00:55:44.800 Putin had
00:55:45.780 the airplane,
00:55:46.820 he had the
00:55:47.360 private airplane
00:55:48.500 fly so that
00:55:50.120 everybody would
00:55:50.700 assume he was
00:55:51.220 on the private
00:55:51.700 airplane.
00:55:52.460 There would
00:55:52.900 never be any
00:55:53.460 pictures.
00:55:54.480 You would
00:55:54.820 never know if
00:55:55.380 he made it
00:55:55.840 to Belarus.
00:55:57.500 Maybe someday
00:55:58.200 you'd find out
00:55:58.800 he didn't.
00:55:59.800 But at the
00:56:00.360 moment, it's a
00:56:01.180 way to calm
00:56:01.720 everything down,
00:56:02.620 make it look
00:56:03.040 like he's in
00:56:03.620 control, but
00:56:05.000 probably he's
00:56:06.060 in Russia and
00:56:07.400 having a bad
00:56:07.980 day.
00:56:08.720 That's my
00:56:09.180 guess.
00:56:09.460 I don't
00:56:11.160 know about
00:56:11.500 Dad, because
00:56:13.200 they might be
00:56:13.700 interrogating him
00:56:14.480 to find out
00:56:14.960 who's working
00:56:15.440 with him.
00:56:16.620 Now, there's
00:56:17.080 also indication,
00:56:19.540 and I believe
00:56:20.420 he heard it
00:56:20.920 from me first,
00:56:21.920 that he would
00:56:22.680 never have
00:56:23.140 tried to
00:56:23.620 march on
00:56:24.180 Moscow with
00:56:25.720 his tiny
00:56:26.760 force that
00:56:27.520 had no chance
00:56:28.240 of really
00:56:28.680 taking over
00:56:29.220 the city,
00:56:30.240 unless he
00:56:31.520 assumed that
00:56:33.180 he had high
00:56:33.880 ranking people
00:56:34.580 who were
00:56:34.840 going to
00:56:35.060 flip.
00:56:36.020 And the
00:56:36.280 reporting today
00:56:37.080 is he had
00:56:38.000 high level
00:56:38.480 people he
00:56:39.100 expected to
00:56:39.760 flip.
00:56:40.800 And there
00:56:41.120 were people
00:56:41.440 who knew
00:56:41.740 about it
00:56:42.120 for a long
00:56:42.680 time,
00:56:43.780 including
00:56:44.280 senior Russian
00:56:46.520 general
00:56:47.060 Serovkin.
00:56:49.260 So he
00:56:49.680 allegedly had
00:56:50.560 advanced knowledge,
00:56:51.940 but if he had
00:56:52.940 advanced knowledge,
00:56:54.740 did he tell
00:56:55.220 everybody?
00:56:56.240 Did he tell
00:56:56.700 Putin with
00:56:57.260 his advanced
00:56:57.760 knowledge?
00:56:58.800 Because there's
00:56:59.260 some indication
00:56:59.860 he might be
00:57:00.360 in trouble.
00:57:02.380 Right?
00:57:02.860 So it's not
00:57:03.620 clear that Putin's
00:57:05.140 happy with that
00:57:05.760 guy.
00:57:06.000 So it
00:57:07.600 might be
00:57:08.040 that he's
00:57:08.660 the one
00:57:09.120 they expected
00:57:09.960 to flip
00:57:10.520 and then he
00:57:11.380 didn't flip.
00:57:12.880 Now remember
00:57:13.260 I told you
00:57:13.780 that if I
00:57:15.780 were the
00:57:16.280 CIA and
00:57:18.340 I were
00:57:18.800 trying to
00:57:19.220 help Ukraine,
00:57:20.880 I would
00:57:21.360 try to make
00:57:22.080 Prigozhin and
00:57:24.000 Putin mad at
00:57:25.320 each other so
00:57:25.960 that they would
00:57:26.380 do exactly
00:57:26.860 what they did.
00:57:28.460 And so that's
00:57:29.720 what it looks
00:57:30.120 to me.
00:57:30.560 It looks like
00:57:31.020 the intelligence
00:57:31.760 agencies got
00:57:32.860 them all ginned
00:57:33.440 up to fight
00:57:34.000 each other.
00:57:35.180 But then I
00:57:36.660 further said
00:57:37.420 that if I
00:57:38.680 were the CIA
00:57:39.300 I would
00:57:40.440 tell Progrosian
00:57:41.900 that he had
00:57:42.760 allies that
00:57:43.420 were going to
00:57:43.780 flip but
00:57:44.840 don't contact
00:57:45.460 them because
00:57:46.120 you'll get
00:57:46.540 caught if you
00:57:47.500 contact them
00:57:48.140 the communication
00:57:48.980 will be
00:57:49.500 intercepted.
00:57:50.440 But trust us,
00:57:51.480 we've talked
00:57:52.000 to him,
00:57:52.520 they're going
00:57:52.880 to flip.
00:57:53.860 And then he
00:57:54.320 marches and
00:57:54.940 finds out that
00:57:55.520 was all a lie
00:57:56.180 and there's
00:57:56.480 nobody flipping.
00:57:57.700 And then he's
00:57:58.360 got to run
00:57:58.720 back.
00:57:59.820 So that's
00:58:00.440 what it looked
00:58:00.760 like to me.
00:58:01.840 It looked like
00:58:02.440 they expected
00:58:03.140 flipping,
00:58:04.000 did not
00:58:05.000 get any
00:58:05.400 flipping and
00:58:06.540 then the
00:58:07.040 secondary
00:58:07.420 question would
00:58:08.220 be is it
00:58:09.340 because somebody
00:58:10.640 told them there
00:58:11.340 would be
00:58:11.620 flipping but
00:58:12.200 they lied or
00:58:13.760 did the
00:58:14.160 flippers actually
00:58:14.860 plan to flip
00:58:15.640 and change
00:58:16.700 their minds?
00:58:18.520 Don't know.
00:58:20.280 But also it's
00:58:21.360 likely that the
00:58:22.060 families of the
00:58:22.840 Wagner Group were
00:58:23.560 threatened and
00:58:24.240 that's the only
00:58:24.980 reason they
00:58:25.360 turned back.
00:58:25.820 I saw a
00:58:28.740 YouTube documentary
00:58:30.620 on the
00:58:31.120 Wagner Group's
00:58:31.840 history and
00:58:32.920 purpose.
00:58:33.900 Do you know
00:58:34.260 what the
00:58:34.500 history of the
00:58:35.080 Wagner Group
00:58:35.600 is?
00:58:36.680 It was way
00:58:37.520 more interesting
00:58:38.220 than I thought.
00:58:39.520 So apparently
00:58:39.960 it started with
00:58:40.920 Russia taking
00:58:41.860 over Crimea
00:58:42.580 and they wanted
00:58:43.960 some force there
00:58:44.920 that they could
00:58:45.460 say was a
00:58:46.040 local force
00:58:46.920 but really
00:58:48.060 wasn't.
00:58:49.020 So that's
00:58:49.580 what Wagner
00:58:50.080 was.
00:58:50.820 They were
00:58:51.020 basically military
00:58:52.260 people who were
00:58:52.940 pretending not to
00:58:53.800 be run by
00:58:55.480 Russia.
00:58:56.820 Eventually it
00:58:57.560 formed into a
00:58:58.220 group and
00:58:59.060 they've done a
00:59:01.060 bunch of criminal
00:59:02.400 syndication things.
00:59:04.820 So basically
00:59:05.440 some people say
00:59:08.000 Russia is like
00:59:09.280 the mafia and
00:59:11.380 the Wagner Group
00:59:13.380 was the hitman.
00:59:15.720 The people would
00:59:16.340 go out and make
00:59:16.780 the money.
00:59:17.780 They were the
00:59:18.120 earners.
00:59:19.580 So the way
00:59:20.100 they would earn
00:59:20.640 is the Wagner
00:59:21.340 Group would go to
00:59:22.440 let's say Syria
00:59:23.820 and say the
00:59:25.460 ISIS and the
00:59:26.460 bad guys are
00:59:27.120 going to take
00:59:27.480 over your oil
00:59:28.120 wells.
00:59:29.140 But we'll
00:59:29.620 protect your
00:59:30.300 oil wells or
00:59:31.100 even get them
00:59:31.980 back from ISIS
00:59:32.800 if we can keep
00:59:34.780 25% of the
00:59:36.180 revenues of the
00:59:37.400 oil well forever.
00:59:38.960 And by we
00:59:39.660 it's Russia.
00:59:42.820 And then
00:59:43.420 Syria says
00:59:44.580 well we've got
00:59:45.040 no choice
00:59:45.660 because we can't
00:59:46.400 get them back
00:59:46.840 ourselves and
00:59:47.540 nobody else is
00:59:48.100 helping us.
00:59:48.900 So they hire
00:59:49.520 them.
00:59:50.480 Now you've got
00:59:51.220 this Russian
00:59:51.920 military that's
00:59:53.840 starting to get
00:59:54.420 important.
00:59:55.220 It's like got
00:59:55.800 a place in
00:59:56.540 Syria.
00:59:57.500 So Syria's a
00:59:58.940 little bit afraid
00:59:59.480 of Russia because
01:00:00.360 they've got a
01:00:00.700 military that's
01:00:01.460 working with
01:00:02.100 them.
01:00:03.580 But will they
01:00:04.540 always work with
01:00:05.320 them?
01:00:06.080 But the most
01:00:06.920 clever play was
01:00:08.100 in an African
01:00:09.020 country.
01:00:09.820 I can't remember.
01:00:12.640 One of the
01:00:13.440 African countries
01:00:14.380 you never talk
01:00:15.080 about.
01:00:15.480 I forget.
01:00:16.320 But they have
01:00:16.760 some natural
01:00:17.200 resources.
01:00:18.460 And so the
01:00:19.260 Wagner people go
01:00:20.480 in and they say
01:00:21.120 hey you've got
01:00:22.080 lots of enemies
01:00:22.820 and you've got
01:00:24.720 a little revolution
01:00:25.540 brewing.
01:00:26.520 We can protect
01:00:27.700 you from your
01:00:28.760 enemies.
01:00:30.180 Now it wasn't
01:00:30.720 Chad.
01:00:31.320 We can protect
01:00:32.080 you from your
01:00:32.660 enemies so you'll
01:00:33.660 be safe and all
01:00:35.160 we want is a
01:00:35.920 little cut of your
01:00:36.860 diamond mines or
01:00:37.880 your mining
01:00:39.200 operations.
01:00:40.440 So they basically
01:00:41.700 sell security the
01:00:44.380 way the mafia
01:00:44.880 does.
01:00:46.120 But now let's
01:00:46.860 say you're an
01:00:47.360 African leader and
01:00:48.580 you've accepted
01:00:49.620 help from the
01:00:51.100 Wagner group.
01:00:52.280 And the
01:00:52.520 Wagner group is
01:00:53.240 by far the
01:00:54.560 strongest military
01:00:55.520 in your country.
01:00:56.440 Stronger than
01:00:56.920 your own
01:00:57.220 military because
01:00:57.820 you don't have
01:00:58.180 much of the
01:00:58.600 military.
01:01:00.280 And then you
01:01:00.860 start working
01:01:01.320 with them and
01:01:02.020 they're inserted
01:01:02.560 in the government.
01:01:03.840 How long does
01:01:04.380 it take before
01:01:05.080 Wagner basically
01:01:06.300 owns the country?
01:01:08.300 Not long.
01:01:10.200 So Russia has
01:01:12.240 this business
01:01:13.140 model where they
01:01:13.940 can go into a
01:01:14.980 struggling country
01:01:15.800 that has resources.
01:01:17.420 They can pretend
01:01:18.540 to be the
01:01:19.400 saviors of the
01:01:20.380 leaders.
01:01:21.100 But really
01:01:21.920 they're just
01:01:22.480 controlling the
01:01:23.800 leaders and
01:01:24.360 taking 25% of
01:01:25.600 their money home
01:01:26.420 forever.
01:01:27.520 So it's basically
01:01:28.300 a robbery,
01:01:30.080 extortion kind
01:01:32.440 of situation.
01:01:33.660 Blackmail,
01:01:34.300 whatever you want
01:01:34.780 to call it.
01:01:35.660 But it's always
01:01:36.560 presented as
01:01:38.580 helping the
01:01:39.140 leader.
01:01:40.160 But once they
01:01:40.760 get in there,
01:01:42.640 they're the
01:01:43.140 powerful force.
01:01:44.440 So the leader
01:01:45.260 doesn't have good
01:01:45.920 choices, so they
01:01:46.640 take the least
01:01:47.180 bad one.
01:01:47.660 All right.
01:01:49.800 In case you
01:01:50.500 didn't know
01:01:50.840 that, it's a
01:01:51.800 very deliberate
01:01:52.720 criminal enterprise.
01:01:58.420 I saw this
01:01:59.480 interesting tweet
01:02:01.540 from the
01:02:02.140 Prince of
01:02:02.720 Fakes, or
01:02:04.120 the Prince of
01:02:04.680 Deepfakes.
01:02:06.540 And some of
01:02:08.720 you know him.
01:02:09.840 I'm not going
01:02:10.580 to say more
01:02:11.020 than that.
01:02:11.400 And he was
01:02:13.940 tweeting about
01:02:14.380 a story that
01:02:15.080 said, now
01:02:16.080 this is an
01:02:16.640 allegation which
01:02:18.260 I believe is
01:02:19.120 ridiculous.
01:02:20.900 So I don't
01:02:21.940 believe this
01:02:22.440 allegation.
01:02:23.680 I know you
01:02:24.560 do, so you
01:02:25.960 don't have to
01:02:26.460 tell me that
01:02:27.840 I'm being
01:02:28.360 gullible and
01:02:29.140 stupid and
01:02:30.500 Scott, Scott,
01:02:31.540 Scott, why
01:02:32.860 don't you
01:02:33.260 believe this?
01:02:33.860 It's obviously
01:02:34.560 true.
01:02:35.660 And the
01:02:36.280 rumor is that
01:02:37.120 Bill Gates
01:02:37.700 let out some
01:02:39.520 mosquitoes.
01:02:40.080 to create
01:02:42.200 malaria that
01:02:43.040 had already
01:02:43.580 largely been
01:02:44.440 handled and
01:02:47.420 is causing
01:02:48.040 a malaria
01:02:48.520 outbreak because
01:02:49.640 he coincidentally
01:02:50.540 is investing in
01:02:51.620 some company
01:02:52.200 that has a
01:02:52.600 treatment for
01:02:53.120 malaria.
01:02:54.440 Now, I do
01:02:55.600 not believe
01:02:56.180 there's any
01:02:57.360 chance whatsoever
01:02:58.380 that Bill Gates
01:02:59.980 intentionally
01:03:00.960 released
01:03:01.760 mosquitoes to
01:03:03.980 intentionally
01:03:04.560 create malaria
01:03:05.520 so that he
01:03:06.880 can make
01:03:07.200 money with
01:03:07.760 his company
01:03:09.160 that did
01:03:09.580 something for
01:03:10.120 malaria.
01:03:11.200 Now, I
01:03:11.840 know you
01:03:12.180 do.
01:03:12.860 I know you
01:03:13.460 do.
01:03:14.500 I know some
01:03:15.420 of you do.
01:03:16.480 And I'm not
01:03:17.160 going to talk
01:03:17.540 about that
01:03:18.040 today.
01:03:18.740 I'm just
01:03:19.260 going to talk
01:03:19.680 about the
01:03:21.740 comment made
01:03:22.400 by Prince
01:03:22.880 and Deep's
01:03:23.300 fakes.
01:03:24.280 And he
01:03:24.540 said this,
01:03:24.960 I'm not sure
01:03:25.780 how people
01:03:26.280 who believe
01:03:26.960 things like
01:03:27.700 this, you
01:03:28.380 know, the
01:03:28.580 Bill Gates
01:03:29.020 malaria thing,
01:03:30.460 I'm not sure
01:03:31.260 how people
01:03:31.640 believe things
01:03:32.220 like this
01:03:32.560 aren't out
01:03:33.040 there taking
01:03:33.560 vigilante
01:03:34.220 justice
01:03:34.860 into their
01:03:35.300 own hands.
01:03:36.000 the lack
01:03:37.220 of
01:03:37.380 assassinations
01:03:38.260 in the
01:03:38.660 world makes
01:03:39.760 me believe
01:03:40.300 everyone is
01:03:41.020 just LARPing,
01:03:42.320 in other words,
01:03:42.820 just pretending
01:03:43.880 to be in
01:03:44.560 character.
01:03:45.480 There are
01:03:45.780 conspiracy theories
01:03:46.660 regarding the
01:03:47.160 elites.
01:03:47.840 If this were
01:03:48.720 true, it would
01:03:50.000 be an evil
01:03:50.580 beyond anything,
01:03:51.860 meaning that
01:03:52.460 if Gates had
01:03:54.140 actually allowed
01:03:55.020 mosquitoes out
01:03:56.000 to create
01:03:56.480 malaria, it
01:03:57.580 would be evil
01:03:58.140 beyond anything.
01:03:59.120 What does it
01:03:59.660 say about a
01:04:00.220 believer that the
01:04:01.460 most they do
01:04:02.000 in response is
01:04:02.820 tweet?
01:04:03.160 exactly.
01:04:08.180 So reality
01:04:09.300 and fantasy
01:04:10.040 have merged
01:04:11.220 so that
01:04:13.380 when we get
01:04:14.080 it on social
01:04:14.620 media, we're
01:04:16.120 playing it like
01:04:16.800 it's a game,
01:04:17.620 but a fictional
01:04:18.340 game.
01:04:19.280 So you can say
01:04:20.340 anything to
01:04:20.920 anybody, you
01:04:22.220 know, I could
01:04:23.260 maybe trade a
01:04:24.140 tweet with the
01:04:25.240 richest man in
01:04:26.060 the world.
01:04:27.320 I mean, it
01:04:27.660 doesn't seem
01:04:28.080 real, does it?
01:04:30.240 Like, it
01:04:30.840 doesn't seem
01:04:31.380 real.
01:04:32.320 So when you're
01:04:32.960 on social
01:04:33.460 media, I
01:04:34.800 believe that
01:04:35.480 people adopt
01:04:36.240 personas, and
01:04:38.240 then they play
01:04:38.800 the character.
01:04:40.780 And if the
01:04:41.920 character would
01:04:42.620 say, oh,
01:04:43.840 Bill Gates is
01:04:44.660 releasing malaria
01:04:45.660 mosquitoes, if
01:04:47.460 that's what the
01:04:47.980 character would
01:04:48.560 say, then they
01:04:49.240 say that.
01:04:50.500 But it's not
01:04:51.300 like they
01:04:51.680 actually believe
01:04:52.500 it, like in
01:04:53.280 the way that
01:04:53.740 you believe
01:04:54.140 things in
01:04:54.820 your actual
01:04:55.880 physical so-called
01:04:58.200 reality.
01:04:59.740 And his
01:05:00.480 point is fair.
01:05:01.080 if you
01:05:01.480 actually
01:05:01.780 believed, if
01:05:03.360 you really
01:05:03.860 believed that
01:05:05.480 Bill Gates had
01:05:06.200 just released
01:05:06.820 viruses to
01:05:07.660 create malaria,
01:05:09.560 you should
01:05:10.320 take your
01:05:10.840 Second Amendment
01:05:11.540 rights and go
01:05:13.080 do something
01:05:13.500 about it.
01:05:15.100 You know, you
01:05:15.480 should kill
01:05:15.900 Hiller.
01:05:17.420 But number
01:05:18.260 one, I'm
01:05:19.380 sure he never
01:05:20.040 did that.
01:05:21.040 I'm sure of
01:05:22.020 it.
01:05:23.200 If I'm wrong,
01:05:24.460 if I'm wrong,
01:05:25.580 I'll tell you
01:05:25.980 I'm wrong, but
01:05:26.700 you know, my
01:05:27.840 confidence is
01:05:28.520 pretty high that
01:05:29.120 he did not
01:05:29.620 do that.
01:05:30.600 And the
01:05:31.300 reason he
01:05:31.700 didn't do
01:05:32.020 that is
01:05:32.380 follow the
01:05:32.900 money.
01:05:34.900 Follow the
01:05:35.560 money is
01:05:36.020 very predictable.
01:05:37.700 And if you
01:05:38.160 believe that
01:05:39.980 Bill Gates
01:05:41.480 would think it
01:05:42.780 was a good
01:05:43.220 risk-reward to
01:05:45.100 release malaria
01:05:47.200 in some way
01:05:49.000 that could be
01:05:49.560 determined that
01:05:50.280 he did it,
01:05:51.260 just to make
01:05:52.300 money on a
01:05:53.180 new smaller
01:05:53.860 company that
01:05:54.480 would add,
01:05:54.920 what, $1
01:05:55.340 billion to his
01:05:55.980 $200 billion?
01:05:56.600 So you
01:05:58.340 think he's
01:05:58.760 really going
01:05:59.180 to, he's
01:05:59.940 going to
01:06:00.140 take a
01:06:00.500 chance of
01:06:00.860 being in
01:06:01.260 jail forever
01:06:03.340 to make
01:06:04.860 one more
01:06:05.300 billion.
01:06:06.660 Do you
01:06:07.160 really believe
01:06:07.580 that?
01:06:08.300 Because that's
01:06:08.920 not how
01:06:09.240 money works.
01:06:10.740 If you're
01:06:11.320 going to
01:06:11.840 follow the
01:06:12.340 money, you'd
01:06:12.740 say he
01:06:13.020 wouldn't do
01:06:13.440 it.
01:06:14.440 Follow the
01:06:15.060 money says
01:06:15.540 he doesn't
01:06:16.100 do it,
01:06:17.180 because it
01:06:17.580 wouldn't make
01:06:18.100 sense as
01:06:18.780 an investment.
01:06:20.620 It wouldn't
01:06:21.300 make sense as
01:06:21.920 an investment.
01:06:23.120 So he's not
01:06:23.860 going to do
01:06:24.180 something that's
01:06:24.980 going to put
01:06:25.660 him in jail
01:06:26.100 where he
01:06:26.460 can't make
01:06:26.860 money.
01:06:27.960 He's going
01:06:28.500 to, at
01:06:28.780 the very
01:06:29.100 least, stay
01:06:29.620 out of jail.
01:06:30.740 So he's
01:06:31.240 not going
01:06:31.520 to do
01:06:31.740 that.
01:06:33.500 So if you
01:06:34.160 believe he
01:06:34.560 is, I
01:06:35.000 believe that
01:06:35.440 you don't
01:06:35.760 really believe
01:06:36.260 it.
01:06:37.240 I believe
01:06:37.680 that you
01:06:37.960 believe it
01:06:38.440 like a
01:06:38.840 character,
01:06:39.940 you don't
01:06:40.360 believe it
01:06:40.820 like an
01:06:41.580 actual human
01:06:42.300 being who
01:06:42.780 lives in
01:06:43.060 the world.
01:06:46.160 What do
01:06:46.640 you think?
01:06:47.640 I'll just
01:06:48.200 put that out
01:06:48.720 there and
01:06:48.960 you can
01:06:49.240 wrestle with
01:06:50.680 it as you
01:06:51.180 like.
01:06:52.340 Did I miss
01:06:52.860 any stories
01:06:53.400 for today?
01:06:53.940 That concludes
01:06:55.280 my prepared
01:06:56.620 remarks.
01:07:04.620 Worryable
01:07:05.380 blah, blah, blah.
01:07:06.940 Oh, there's a
01:07:07.940 malaria vaccination?
01:07:09.040 Yeah, probably.
01:07:12.300 Can you explain
01:07:13.080 Sam Bankman
01:07:13.960 Fried's decision
01:07:14.860 making?
01:07:15.160 Well, once
01:07:17.200 Sam Bankman
01:07:18.160 Fried got
01:07:19.480 away with
01:07:20.160 some stuff,
01:07:21.640 I believe
01:07:22.140 he became
01:07:23.200 blind to
01:07:24.200 what he
01:07:24.520 could get
01:07:24.860 away with.
01:07:26.180 So I
01:07:26.720 think the
01:07:27.100 Sam Bankman
01:07:27.800 Fried story
01:07:28.480 is kind
01:07:29.860 of a
01:07:30.120 slippery slope
01:07:30.940 thing, where
01:07:32.060 they sort
01:07:32.640 of slid
01:07:33.260 into some
01:07:33.820 sketchy
01:07:34.240 things and
01:07:34.760 they couldn't
01:07:35.160 back out,
01:07:36.560 and so they
01:07:36.980 just did
01:07:37.380 more sketchy
01:07:38.040 things, maybe
01:07:38.780 talking themselves
01:07:39.520 into it.
01:07:40.060 It wasn't so
01:07:40.500 sketchy after
01:07:41.080 all.
01:07:41.360 So I
01:07:42.200 think there
01:07:42.540 was sort
01:07:43.560 of a mental
01:07:44.240 thing that
01:07:44.720 happened there.
01:07:45.460 But you
01:07:45.960 could very
01:07:46.340 easily imagine
01:07:47.420 that they
01:07:48.740 were following
01:07:49.260 the money.
01:07:50.520 I think that
01:07:51.000 was the nature
01:07:51.900 of your question.
01:07:53.060 He was
01:07:53.380 following the
01:07:53.940 money because
01:07:54.320 everything he
01:07:54.880 did brought
01:07:55.300 in more
01:07:55.600 money.
01:07:56.740 But to
01:07:57.300 your point,
01:07:58.140 he was not
01:07:58.740 good at
01:07:59.100 risk-reward.
01:08:00.840 He was a
01:08:01.400 young guy and
01:08:02.420 apparently a
01:08:03.100 terrible business
01:08:03.800 person.
01:08:04.860 Bill Gates
01:08:05.440 is a very
01:08:06.200 experienced
01:08:06.720 business person,
01:08:08.020 already has his
01:08:08.960 billions,
01:08:09.540 already has his
01:08:10.260 reputation,
01:08:10.940 such that it
01:08:11.720 is.
01:08:12.440 He doesn't
01:08:12.940 need that.
01:08:14.480 So for him,
01:08:15.160 he would look
01:08:15.580 at the risk-reward,
01:08:16.520 as he does
01:08:16.940 for everything,
01:08:18.040 and he would
01:08:18.640 really say,
01:08:19.360 okay, this is
01:08:19.940 not a good
01:08:20.320 risk-reward,
01:08:21.000 it's not a
01:08:21.400 good investment.
01:08:22.540 Sam Bagman
01:08:23.200 Freed clearly
01:08:24.720 was not good
01:08:25.540 at risk
01:08:25.960 assessment.
01:08:26.880 Would you
01:08:27.180 agree?
01:08:28.200 He wasn't
01:08:28.620 good at it.
01:08:29.800 So you
01:08:31.040 can try to
01:08:31.760 be pursuing
01:08:32.520 your best
01:08:33.220 financial interest,
01:08:34.300 but if you're
01:08:34.640 not good at
01:08:35.280 it, you
01:08:35.520 still might
01:08:35.880 make a
01:08:36.220 mistake.
01:08:40.940 Okay.
01:08:45.200 Oh, the
01:08:45.840 Epstein, yeah,
01:08:46.800 there's more
01:08:47.100 Epstein stuff,
01:08:47.940 but I'm just
01:08:48.720 bored by it.
01:08:54.000 He's a
01:08:54.640 planted
01:08:55.000 stooge.
01:08:55.720 What?
01:09:01.000 All right.
01:09:01.600 Zutats, you
01:09:05.620 can block
01:09:06.060 the report.
01:09:11.800 It's
01:09:12.280 above the
01:09:13.020 law.
01:09:13.740 Do you
01:09:13.960 have a
01:09:14.900 mosquito
01:09:15.300 problem?
01:09:16.540 Just looking
01:09:16.980 at your
01:09:17.240 comments, see
01:09:17.800 if anything
01:09:18.200 I missed.
01:09:22.380 Freed has
01:09:23.000 been freed.
01:09:25.120 All right.
01:09:25.700 I think we're
01:09:26.180 good for today,
01:09:27.080 so YouTube,
01:09:28.140 thanks for
01:09:28.720 joining, and
01:09:30.380 I love
01:09:31.480 you too,
01:09:32.720 Mike.
01:09:34.660 And I'll
01:09:35.260 talk to you
01:09:35.860 tomorrow.