Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2161 Scott Adams： News, Propaganda, Narrative, And Delicious Coffee. I Have Everything Today

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-ra-ba-ba. 0.98

00:00:05.060 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:10.240 Probably the best thing that's ever happened to you in your life.

00:00:13.200 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and it's here.

00:00:17.500 It's here. Yeah, good news.

00:00:19.780 And all you need to make this a special day is a cupper mug or a glass,

00:00:23.180 a tecner chalice, a stein' the canteen jug or a flask of SLAV kind.

00:00:27.080 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:31.200 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day,

00:00:34.340 the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:37.040 It's called the Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now. Go.

00:00:45.200 Ah.

00:00:47.820 Very good.

00:00:49.460 What a good way to start the day with all of you.

00:00:52.480 I could not be happier.

00:00:53.680 I don't know, is it just me, or does it feel like there's something about the mental health of the country

00:01:04.220 that's rapidly improving for reasons that I'm not entirely clear about?

00:01:10.400 Does it feel like that to you?

00:01:11.820 I feel very much like we reached peak wokeness.

00:01:18.060 And everything now is, you know, it used to be just a one-way march toward greater wokeness,

00:01:24.800 and we all had to go to jail if we didn't like it or get canceled.

00:01:28.520 But now it seems as though between the Supreme Court and, you know,

00:01:33.540 just getting tired of things and maybe seeing things more clearly than we used to,

00:01:38.240 I feel like we've reached the peak and it has started to reverse.

00:01:43.640 And what it feels like is some kind of weird sanity breaking out.

00:01:48.280 It feels like sanity.

00:01:50.120 Does anybody have that feeling?

00:01:52.020 That something like common sense is starting to emerge from the miasma?

00:01:58.000 I don't know.

00:01:59.560 It might be entirely a sort of an individual experience of what news I'm reading or whatever.

00:02:05.340 Now, it could be because the news over the summer is never real news.

00:02:11.480 All the summer news is just recreational news.

00:02:15.220 So we're going to treat it as recreation with the assumption that almost none of it is true,

00:02:20.260 or at least true in total, you know, all context considered.

00:02:25.100 So let's look at the stories.

00:02:27.180 Let's have some fun with the news which is purely recreational

00:02:30.800 because everything is going in the right direction.

00:02:34.260 The economy, pretty much everything is going in the right direction.

00:02:37.820 Maybe slightly, maybe a lot,

00:02:40.400 but pretty much everything is going in the right direction.

00:02:43.780 It's kind of a weird time.

00:02:45.300 You don't expect it.

00:02:46.680 All right.

00:02:47.340 Here's what's happening.

00:02:50.000 How many times have I told you there's a new breakthrough in batteries?

00:02:54.180 Have I mentioned that ever before?

00:02:58.600 Like every two weeks there's a new breakthrough.

00:03:01.720 There's some company that's got a new battery breakthrough.

00:03:04.520 Well, here's one.

00:03:06.760 Apparently you can use rust for creating electricity and storing in a battery.

00:03:12.860 And then you can reverse the rust and turn it back into its original metal.

00:03:17.140 And then you can reverse it again.

00:03:19.600 And that gives you the ability to charge up the battery and then use the power.

00:03:24.740 Now, apparently long ago, years ago, somebody discovered that rust,

00:03:31.560 or something that's like rust, I think rust is not exactly what it is,

00:03:34.580 but it's rust adjacent.

00:03:38.240 And it was good at storing energy.

00:03:42.040 And it was good at storing it in a, let's say, gradual release way,

00:03:46.660 which is the best you want for the grid.

00:03:48.840 But they were too heavy.

00:03:50.720 Too heavy.

00:03:52.060 Was it iron?

00:03:52.980 Must have been iron, huh?

00:03:54.540 They were too heavy,

00:03:55.920 so they didn't make sense for automobiles or phones or anything like that.

00:04:01.420 But if what you're building is a permanent battery for your grid,

00:04:06.520 it doesn't really matter too much how heavy it is,

00:04:09.280 because it's just going to sit there forever.

00:04:10.760 So it turns out it might be, is it lead or is it,

00:04:14.480 I don't know what kind of metal it was,

00:04:15.920 but they rust it and reverse the rust.

00:04:20.320 Anyway, it's supposedly the ideal technology for the grid.

00:04:26.940 So that's good news.

00:04:29.020 All right.

00:04:31.140 You knew there was going to be a story about Don Jr., right?

00:04:34.960 Did everybody see that coming?

00:04:37.060 Let's see.

00:04:37.680 The news is filled with allegations about Hunter Biden

00:04:41.000 and the cocaine at the White House.

00:04:43.160 What do we think will happen this week?

00:04:46.020 Oh, yeah.

00:04:46.700 Oh, yeah.

00:04:47.080 There'll be a story about Don Jr.

00:04:49.660 It's horrible, folks.

00:04:52.980 I hate to break it to you.

00:04:54.840 This terrible, terrible story about Don Jr.

00:04:58.720 Oh, my God.

00:04:59.520 He really...

00:05:00.440 According to Aubrey O'Day,

00:05:03.020 a sexy blonde woman who must be famous for something that I'm not aware of, 1.00

00:05:09.480 she said that she once had sex with Don Jr.

00:05:13.300 in a gay club bathroom. 0.51

00:05:18.520 So, oh, that's...

00:05:21.540 I don't know.

00:05:23.520 You got one doing cocaine in the White House,

00:05:26.500 another one's boinking a hot woman in a gay nightclub.

00:05:30.900 So, of course, I had to check the comments on Twitter

00:05:34.140 to see what people would say about that.

00:05:37.440 Oh.

00:05:40.720 All right.

00:05:41.320 Somebody beat me to the joke.

00:05:43.780 Somebody asked if it meant that Don Jr. was gay.

00:05:48.380 That's what somebody meant.

00:05:50.140 You know, wait a minute.

00:05:51.560 He had sex with a hot woman in the bathroom of a gay nightclub?

00:05:54.700 I wonder if he's gay.

00:05:58.800 That was the best comment I saw.

00:06:03.220 Now, I'm thinking to myself,

00:06:05.340 this is just me,

00:06:07.040 because, you know, I have a boy brain,

00:06:09.400 so I can only really think like a guy.

00:06:11.880 I can't really turn that off.

00:06:13.800 And I read this story, and I'm thinking to myself,

00:06:16.780 seriously?

00:06:19.500 Don Jr. went to a gay nightclub and got laid?

00:06:22.400 Oh, come on. 0.87

00:06:30.500 First son.

00:06:31.740 First son.

00:06:33.000 Give it up for the first son.

00:06:34.900 Whoa.

00:06:35.980 All right.

00:06:37.560 Don Jr.

00:06:39.120 You go.

00:06:40.620 You go, Don Jr.

00:06:43.240 I suppose that's the terrible story about Don Jr.

00:06:47.400 that we're supposed to feel bad about or something,

00:06:49.720 distract us a little bit.

00:06:52.400 But I think Don Jr.

00:06:55.620 has won the first son competition

00:06:57.980 fairly cleanly.

00:07:00.660 Fairly cleanly, I think.

00:07:04.740 All right.

00:07:06.560 You might be aware that the Supreme Court ruled

00:07:09.300 that the government can't coerce social media platforms

00:07:13.900 to limit free speech,

00:07:15.780 because that would just be an extension

00:07:17.640 of a government limiting free speech,

00:07:20.120 even though it's the free market.

00:07:22.680 So now we're in good shape, right?

00:07:25.900 Thank goodness.

00:07:26.880 Thank goodness for the Supreme Court.

00:07:28.420 Yeah, we had that problem of maybe the,

00:07:32.880 you know, maybe the platforms were biased

00:07:36.120 by the government,

00:07:38.000 and so the Supreme Court's fixed that forever.

00:07:40.500 So we'll never have a problem again with bias.

00:07:43.480 Problem solved.

00:07:44.620 Well, my next story is that,

00:07:50.720 do you know what happens when Twitter tries to be unbiased

00:07:56.280 and stops censoring things?

00:08:01.220 Well, it turns out that Facebook starts up a competitor.

00:08:04.540 A competitor.

00:08:06.600 A competitor.

00:08:08.320 It's called Threads,

00:08:09.840 and it launched, I guess, yesterday, last night.

00:08:13.020 And it's a Twitter knockoff,

00:08:16.280 but it's by Facebook slash meta slash Instagram.

00:08:20.280 And people are saying, you know,

00:08:21.880 it has a good chance because the Instagram community

00:08:25.060 will just be moved over if you want to,

00:08:27.400 optionally, I guess.

00:08:28.720 So you can move your followers over to it.

00:08:31.780 A number of people tried it.

00:08:33.240 It had a huge uptick.

00:08:35.160 I think 10 million people signed up pretty quickly, etc.

00:08:40.440 Now, here's my question for you.

00:08:49.060 Do you think that Threads would have happened

00:08:51.480 if Zuckerberg, if Musk had not bought Twitter?

00:08:58.540 Does Threads look like a good business play,

00:09:02.260 or does it look like somebody

00:09:04.180 who is screwing his shareholders, probably,

00:09:07.420 the meta shareholders?

00:09:08.900 Do you think the meta shareholders

00:09:10.500 would like to clone the only social network?

00:09:14.880 Well, it's not the only one.

00:09:16.200 Snapchat doesn't make money.

00:09:17.940 But Twitter doesn't make money.

00:09:20.820 Does Facebook know that Twitter doesn't make money?

00:09:23.100 So their idea is to make half a Twitter,

00:09:27.740 like one that doesn't have, you know,

00:09:29.740 the right mix of people to fight.

00:09:32.680 So they've created basically a Democrat Twitter,

00:09:36.260 which guarantees that neither the Democrat Twitter

00:09:39.260 nor the Republican Twitter,

00:09:40.880 if, you know, if such a thing happens

00:09:43.060 and it just bifurcates,

00:09:45.200 neither of them will have any energy.

00:09:47.380 Neither could they be profitable.

00:09:48.880 To me, it looks like Zuckerberg is using the shareholders' money

00:09:54.040 for political purposes.

00:09:56.800 Am I wrong?

00:09:58.620 Does this look like a business decision?

00:10:04.080 Does it look like Zuckerberg just thought,

00:10:06.460 huh, what would be a good product in the free market?

00:10:10.200 Well, Twitter isn't making any money.

00:10:12.880 Yeah.

00:10:13.360 Why don't we make something that's just like that?

00:10:18.840 I cannot, there's no part of me

00:10:21.380 that thinks that's a business decision.

00:10:24.500 Do you think it is?

00:10:26.360 Do you think that Zuckerberg believes

00:10:27.980 that that's how he could make money?

00:10:31.280 I don't think so.

00:10:32.780 I think this is purely Zuckerberg being a good Democrat,

00:10:36.800 you know, probably doing things

00:10:38.440 that he thinks are good for the country.

00:10:40.240 I'm not saying he has bad intentions.

00:10:41.940 I'm saying that he probably thinks it's good for the country

00:10:44.660 and shareholders be damned.

00:10:47.980 This is why I don't own stock in Meta.

00:10:52.600 Because this is the sort of behavior

00:10:54.160 that I'm not looking for in a company I'm investing in.

00:10:57.400 Like, I definitely wouldn't want them to be doing this.

00:11:00.300 That doesn't look like the right business move.

00:11:02.980 But, there it is.

00:11:05.180 The first, I guess the first thread, if you call it that,

00:11:08.860 was from Zuckerberg himself.

00:11:10.620 And he said, and I quote,

00:11:13.040 Let's do this.

00:11:14.280 Welcome to Threads.

00:11:16.400 Let's do this.

00:11:18.680 Now, the story does not mention

00:11:21.020 whether or not he was playing

00:11:22.540 white boy air guitar when he said it.

00:11:25.260 But I believe that that goes better with air guitar.

00:11:28.520 Let me see.

00:11:29.120 Let me see.

00:11:29.620 I'll give you the two.

00:11:30.940 Let's do it.

00:11:31.920 Welcome to Threads.

00:11:33.740 Kind of just lays there, doesn't it?

00:11:35.220 But let's just take this up to full boring white guy level.

00:11:42.760 Air guitar.

00:11:45.940 Let's do this.

00:11:49.600 Right?

00:11:50.500 So much better.

00:11:53.560 Zuckerberg needs some help in the air guitar.

00:11:56.880 That just should have been part of it.

00:11:58.460 All right.

00:12:01.080 So that's happening.

00:12:03.100 I saw a tweet by Donald Luskin,

00:12:06.200 who's a good follow on Twitter.

00:12:07.740 You should follow him.

00:12:09.460 He points out that

00:12:10.820 if it's not bad enough to have a guy named Blinken

00:12:14.740 negotiating for us in China,

00:12:17.840 that's right.

00:12:18.420 Our negotiator is Blinken.

00:12:21.660 It's just, I don't know.

00:12:22.840 The simulation is just messing with us now.

00:12:24.760 But now it turns out that Hunter Biden's new lawyer,

00:12:29.020 who happens to be a GOP operative,

00:12:32.100 is named Riggleman.

00:12:34.400 Riggleman.

00:12:35.440 A lawyer named Riggleman.

00:12:37.860 Now, I think Riggleman should be working on election security,

00:12:41.620 don't you?

00:12:43.080 Yeah.

00:12:43.620 I want a lawyer named Riggleman

00:12:46.000 working on election integrity.

00:12:47.700 Just because.

00:12:49.720 Don't you?

00:12:50.860 Come on.

00:12:51.620 We all want that.

00:12:52.360 All right.

00:12:54.320 Rasmussen did a little poll

00:12:55.820 about what people think about

00:12:57.380 that cocaine in the White House.

00:13:02.100 And 58% of likely U.S. voters

00:13:04.420 think it is likely.

00:13:06.400 The president was involved

00:13:07.800 in Hunter's foreign business deals.

00:13:10.300 Oh, so it's more about the foreign business deals.

00:13:14.680 So a majority,

00:13:16.820 pretty solid majority,

00:13:18.500 think that the president was involved

00:13:20.120 in Hunter's business deals.

00:13:21.220 Now,

00:13:22.720 are you surprised that anybody still pretends

00:13:26.540 that they think he wasn't?

00:13:29.760 Do you think they're uninformed

00:13:31.320 or is this recreational belief?

00:13:34.660 Where, for fun,

00:13:36.500 you pretend that you're on the other side,

00:13:38.460 yeah, no,

00:13:39.360 he had nothing to do with it.

00:13:41.500 It doesn't feel like a real opinion.

00:13:44.000 Does it?

00:13:44.500 Like, I could understand

00:13:46.180 if people are just,

00:13:47.100 you know,

00:13:48.960 uninformed.

00:13:50.320 But the uninformed

00:13:51.260 usually are smart enough

00:13:52.480 to say they don't know

00:13:53.540 when they get polled.

00:13:57.340 But really,

00:13:58.560 could there really be

00:13:59.600 that many Democrats

00:14:00.600 who actually believe

00:14:02.640 that the dad was unaware?

00:14:06.560 It doesn't even seem possible.

00:14:08.640 I guess anything's possible.

00:14:09.860 But it feels recreational.

00:14:13.220 It doesn't feel like a real opinion.

00:14:16.580 Maybe none of our opinions are real.

00:14:18.500 Maybe mine are not real either.

00:14:20.520 But this one seems extra not real.

00:14:23.360 All right.

00:14:24.020 Well,

00:14:24.540 by now,

00:14:25.200 you've probably all seen

00:14:26.080 the press reports

00:14:27.400 in which Hunter Biden's

00:14:30.360 new attorney,

00:14:31.020 Riggleman,

00:14:32.220 denied that the cocaine found

00:14:34.440 in the White House

00:14:35.600 was Hunter's.

00:14:37.780 Did you all see that?

00:14:38.700 Did you see the press release

00:14:40.700 where Hunter denied

00:14:41.500 it was his?

00:14:42.680 Oh, it didn't happen.

00:14:44.920 Oh, no,

00:14:45.780 you didn't see it

00:14:46.340 because it didn't happen.

00:14:48.140 Now,

00:14:48.580 if you were Hunter Biden

00:14:50.760 and you'd been accused

00:14:52.960 of much bad behavior,

00:14:55.780 which apparently was true,

00:14:57.660 don't you think that

00:14:59.340 right near the top

00:15:00.980 of the things you would do

00:15:01.980 in this situation,

00:15:03.020 if that cocaine

00:15:04.240 were not yours,

00:15:06.180 wouldn't the first thing

00:15:07.940 you do

00:15:08.440 really near the top

00:15:10.140 of the first things

00:15:10.960 you do in the morning

00:15:11.700 when you woke up

00:15:12.580 is call your lawyer

00:15:13.940 and say,

00:15:15.060 can you just put out

00:15:15.760 a boring press release

00:15:17.100 that just says,

00:15:19.060 you know,

00:15:19.340 I had nothing to do with it?

00:15:20.960 Just put it out there.

00:15:23.600 Where's that?

00:15:25.420 Now,

00:15:25.880 I do understand

00:15:26.660 that if it had been

00:15:27.940 his cocaine,

00:15:29.060 it might be a bad play

00:15:30.900 to deny it.

00:15:32.260 You know,

00:15:32.520 just let it play out

00:15:33.780 for a while.

00:15:34.160 But what if it's,

00:15:35.740 what if he knows

00:15:36.440 for sure it's not his?

00:15:39.180 How do you play it

00:15:40.180 if you know it's not yours?

00:15:41.560 If you know it,

00:15:42.900 do you stay silent?

00:15:44.540 Is that how you play it

00:15:45.340 if you know it's yours?

00:15:46.800 Or if you know

00:15:47.540 it's not yours

00:15:48.320 and the news is saying

00:15:49.400 it might be

00:15:49.900 or social media

00:15:50.980 is saying it might be.

00:15:52.400 So you just stay silent

00:15:53.740 in that situation,

00:15:54.680 right?

00:15:56.260 Hunter Biden

00:15:56.960 went to law school too.

00:15:59.860 Isn't he actually a lawyer?

00:16:01.740 And he's got a lawyer

00:16:03.760 and he works in government

00:16:05.700 so he's surrounded

00:16:06.680 by experts

00:16:07.660 and advisors

00:16:08.940 and staffers

00:16:09.980 who can tell you

00:16:10.760 exactly the right thing

00:16:11.920 to do.

00:16:12.680 You know what the right

00:16:13.600 thing to do would be?

00:16:15.680 If it's not his,

00:16:18.440 the right thing to do

00:16:20.180 is to say

00:16:21.720 it's not yours.

00:16:23.660 It's not really hard,

00:16:25.180 is it?

00:16:26.540 Now,

00:16:26.960 of course,

00:16:27.400 people might say

00:16:28.160 he's lying

00:16:28.820 or whatever,

00:16:29.500 but it's the easiest

00:16:32.240 thing to say

00:16:33.080 that wasn't mine.

00:16:34.820 How hard is that?

00:16:36.940 But it's not there.

00:16:38.400 It's missing.

00:16:39.680 The dog is simply

00:16:40.600 not barking.

00:16:41.740 Not only is the dog

00:16:42.820 not barking,

00:16:43.860 but you had to wait

00:16:44.840 for me

00:16:45.620 to tell you that.

00:16:48.580 Did CNN say

00:16:49.540 where's the denial?

00:16:51.260 Did CNN say

00:16:52.180 we've contacted him

00:16:53.360 and he won't comment?

00:16:55.460 Do you remember

00:16:55.920 that story

00:16:56.440 where they tried

00:16:57.020 to get a comment

00:16:57.620 and he wouldn't comment?

00:16:58.320 Or they couldn't

00:16:59.440 find him?

00:17:00.600 Or they couldn't

00:17:01.340 find anybody

00:17:01.840 who could find him?

00:17:03.040 They couldn't

00:17:03.380 find his lawyer?

00:17:04.760 Couldn't get

00:17:05.160 any comment

00:17:05.660 whatsoever?

00:17:07.040 Do you remember

00:17:07.660 when they reported

00:17:08.440 that Hunter

00:17:09.200 said no comment?

00:17:10.580 No, you don't

00:17:11.400 because they

00:17:12.120 never reported that.

00:17:13.500 They didn't report

00:17:14.220 they tried to reach him.

00:17:15.260 They didn't report

00:17:15.840 what he said.

00:17:16.480 They didn't report

00:17:17.060 where he is.

00:17:17.660 They didn't report

00:17:18.220 they talked to his lawyer.

00:17:20.160 Nothing.

00:17:23.560 And we all just

00:17:24.440 sat here

00:17:24.880 with our thumbs up

00:17:25.700 our asses

00:17:26.280 acting like that

00:17:27.000 was normal.

00:17:27.520 Oh, that's normal.

00:17:31.200 All right.

00:17:32.660 What else?

00:17:37.340 Now, what about

00:17:38.260 the fingerprints?

00:17:41.300 At least law enforcement

00:17:42.820 has told us

00:17:43.800 that the baggie

00:17:46.060 didn't have

00:17:47.020 any fingerprints

00:17:47.540 on it.

00:17:48.100 So at least we know

00:17:48.760 that, right?

00:17:49.800 What?

00:17:50.580 What?

00:17:51.380 Oh, we haven't heard.

00:17:53.400 That's right.

00:17:53.920 We haven't heard

00:17:54.720 not only

00:17:55.900 if the fingerprints

00:17:57.220 identify anybody,

00:17:58.720 but we haven't even

00:17:59.920 heard if they tried

00:18:00.800 to get any.

00:18:02.760 Don't you think

00:18:03.540 that law enforcement

00:18:04.360 would say

00:18:04.880 we have some prints?

00:18:07.300 Or,

00:18:08.320 alternately,

00:18:09.440 they would say

00:18:09.920 we checked for prints

00:18:10.820 and didn't find any.

00:18:12.780 Wouldn't you expect

00:18:13.540 that to be in the news?

00:18:15.440 The single most

00:18:16.420 obvious thing.

00:18:18.380 The single most

00:18:19.340 obvious part.

00:18:20.200 Well, DNA.

00:18:21.940 Could you get DNA

00:18:22.960 off of just somebody

00:18:24.500 touching a baggie?

00:18:27.480 All right.

00:18:28.660 I don't know

00:18:29.320 if you can.

00:18:30.220 I did hear

00:18:30.940 from a fingerprint expert.

00:18:33.140 This is what I love

00:18:34.020 about social media.

00:18:35.040 Of all things,

00:18:37.700 there's somebody

00:18:38.120 who's a fingerprint expert

00:18:39.420 who's one of my followers.

00:18:41.840 And the fingerprint expert

00:18:43.140 said that getting

00:18:44.180 a print off

00:18:45.320 a plastic bag,

00:18:46.600 a baggie,

00:18:47.400 is actually

00:18:48.240 close to impossible.

00:18:49.980 Did you know that?

00:18:51.820 Did you know

00:18:52.500 it's really hard

00:18:53.060 to get a print

00:18:53.820 off a plastic bag?

00:18:55.360 Do you know

00:18:55.780 how I knew it?

00:18:57.340 Not from the news.

00:18:59.440 Did you see it

00:19:00.060 on CNN?

00:19:00.960 Nope.

00:19:01.900 Did CNN ever say,

00:19:03.040 you know,

00:19:03.180 it'd be hard

00:19:03.500 to get a print

00:19:04.000 off a plastic bag?

00:19:05.500 If it is,

00:19:06.160 I mean,

00:19:06.440 I heard it from

00:19:07.040 one person

00:19:07.620 who sounded

00:19:08.180 like an expert.

00:19:09.660 How about Fox News?

00:19:11.320 Even Fox News

00:19:12.140 didn't report it.

00:19:13.620 That it's hard

00:19:15.140 to get a print

00:19:15.680 off a baggie

00:19:16.360 or that it's easy.

00:19:18.000 Tell us it's easy,

00:19:19.100 it's hard,

00:19:19.940 we could definitely

00:19:20.620 get some DNA,

00:19:21.640 we can't get some DNA,

00:19:23.240 might get a fingerprint,

00:19:24.500 might not,

00:19:25.200 might be partial,

00:19:27.080 might belong

00:19:27.720 to other people,

00:19:28.520 you don't know,

00:19:29.220 right?

00:19:30.760 Everything about

00:19:31.580 this story

00:19:32.060 is just missing.

00:19:32.820 Everything that matters

00:19:35.220 about this story

00:19:35.940 is just missing.

00:19:36.980 The only thing

00:19:37.640 that I'm surprised

00:19:38.320 they told us

00:19:39.000 is that it tested out

00:19:40.700 as a drug.

00:19:43.180 That's the only thing

00:19:44.000 I'm surprised about.

00:19:45.860 All right.

00:19:46.200 I don't know

00:19:53.700 why this story

00:19:54.240 is out of order.

00:19:55.120 I've got an

00:19:55.520 out of order story

00:19:56.340 I'll have to get back to.

00:19:58.560 But I don't know

00:19:59.820 if you saw

00:20:00.140 that the Daily Wire

00:20:01.500 featured one of my tweets

00:20:03.320 on this issue.

00:20:06.220 So Politico

00:20:07.580 had a headline yesterday

00:20:08.800 that said,

00:20:09.920 White House cocaine

00:20:10.800 culprit unlikely

00:20:12.160 to be found.

00:20:14.560 Law enforcement says.

00:20:16.860 Now,

00:20:18.100 how in the world

00:20:19.000 is that unlikely?

00:20:21.440 How in the world

00:20:22.360 is that unlikely?

00:20:23.840 Unless,

00:20:25.620 unless,

00:20:27.280 Hunter's not saying

00:20:29.640 it isn't his,

00:20:31.040 nobody's talking

00:20:31.880 about DNA

00:20:32.520 or fingerprints,

00:20:33.820 and they're

00:20:34.280 completely silent

00:20:35.280 about surveillance

00:20:37.740 and video cams

00:20:38.960 in that area,

00:20:39.960 or even what area

00:20:40.920 it was.

00:20:41.300 But still,

00:20:43.860 Politico

00:20:44.400 is feeling

00:20:45.400 some confidence

00:20:46.160 in this headline.

00:20:47.840 White House cocaine

00:20:48.800 culprit unlikely

00:20:49.920 to be found.

00:20:51.300 Now,

00:20:51.800 what type of persuasion

00:20:53.300 is that?

00:20:54.140 Because this is

00:20:54.880 obviously propaganda

00:20:55.920 narrative.

00:20:57.760 What type of,

00:20:58.880 so I call it

00:21:00.100 softening up the room.

00:21:02.480 Softening up the room.

00:21:04.160 Basically,

00:21:05.000 people can get

00:21:05.740 used to anything

00:21:06.940 if they just

00:21:08.300 get exposed

00:21:08.880 to it a lot.

00:21:10.180 So what you

00:21:10.680 don't want

00:21:11.380 is,

00:21:12.460 you know,

00:21:13.040 to go down

00:21:13.980 the line

00:21:14.500 and then someday

00:21:16.000 find out

00:21:17.320 that you can't

00:21:18.260 figure out

00:21:18.660 who it is.

00:21:20.100 You want people

00:21:21.020 to say right ahead,

00:21:22.000 I don't know,

00:21:22.860 this is one of those

00:21:23.860 situations where

00:21:24.900 I think it would

00:21:25.960 be unlikely

00:21:26.680 we'd figure out

00:21:27.500 who the real

00:21:27.980 culprit was.

00:21:29.200 Very unlikely.

00:21:31.040 Yeah.

00:21:31.400 So then a year

00:21:32.760 from now

00:21:33.200 when in fact

00:21:33.800 we don't know

00:21:34.420 who it was

00:21:35.100 or at least

00:21:35.820 it's not reported,

00:21:37.240 we can say,

00:21:38.280 yeah,

00:21:38.600 that's sort of

00:21:39.200 what everybody

00:21:39.660 expected.

00:21:40.760 You know,

00:21:40.940 the experts

00:21:41.500 told us

00:21:42.440 we're not going

00:21:42.960 to find out

00:21:43.420 who it is.

00:21:44.840 Pure propaganda.

00:21:47.380 So a number

00:21:48.700 of people

00:21:49.080 called them out

00:21:50.320 for it.

00:21:50.760 I was one of them.

00:21:51.860 Daily Wire

00:21:52.540 printed my tweet

00:21:56.160 in which I said

00:21:57.000 we can now

00:21:58.060 accurately predict

00:21:59.100 all future headlines

00:22:00.160 and here's one

00:22:01.040 we all knew

00:22:01.560 was coming

00:22:02.080 and it was

00:22:02.580 the headline

00:22:03.080 about White House

00:22:04.220 cocaine culprit

00:22:05.000 unlikely to be found.

00:22:07.540 Didn't every one

00:22:08.660 of you know

00:22:09.200 that that headline

00:22:09.860 was coming?

00:22:11.480 Is there anybody

00:22:12.200 here who didn't

00:22:12.940 know for sure

00:22:13.980 that there would

00:22:15.080 be a headline

00:22:15.540 saying that?

00:22:16.840 I don't know.

00:22:18.040 We just can't

00:22:18.840 find the Epstein

00:22:20.620 client.

00:22:21.820 Oh,

00:22:22.180 did I say Epstein?

00:22:22.900 I'm sorry,

00:22:23.240 I meant a whole

00:22:24.380 different story.

00:22:25.740 Yeah,

00:22:26.000 no,

00:22:26.260 we will never

00:22:27.100 be able to find

00:22:27.940 the,

00:22:28.200 you just knew

00:22:30.380 it was going

00:22:30.780 to go this

00:22:31.280 way.

00:22:32.820 Now,

00:22:34.140 don't you think

00:22:35.360 that the entire

00:22:36.260 White House

00:22:37.340 security operation

00:22:38.940 should be fired?

00:22:41.080 If it's true

00:22:42.120 that there was

00:22:43.380 no video surveillance

00:22:44.580 in a part of the,

00:22:45.340 in part of the

00:22:46.300 White House,

00:22:48.180 they couldn't,

00:22:48.880 they couldn't even

00:22:49.440 tell from the,

00:22:50.820 are you telling me

00:22:51.460 they couldn't even

00:22:51.980 tell from the

00:22:52.580 hallway cameras

00:22:53.660 who entered the room?

00:22:55.440 couldn't even tell

00:22:56.580 who entered the

00:22:57.340 room,

00:22:57.540 right?

00:22:58.100 Because there's

00:22:58.700 no surveillance

00:22:59.320 in there?

00:23:01.560 Come on,

00:23:02.980 come on.

00:23:04.300 The entire,

00:23:05.240 they would all

00:23:05.840 be fired by now

00:23:06.940 if they didn't

00:23:07.900 already know

00:23:08.400 who this was.

00:23:10.160 All right.

00:23:12.800 I would like

00:23:13.620 to add my own

00:23:15.040 conspiracy theory

00:23:16.100 to the mix.

00:23:17.220 I don't believe

00:23:18.060 I've heard this

00:23:18.760 one yet.

00:23:19.980 So,

00:23:20.660 will you do me

00:23:21.180 some fact checking

00:23:21.980 and tell me

00:23:23.060 if you've seen

00:23:23.660 this on social

00:23:24.400 media or any

00:23:25.540 pundit?

00:23:27.540 The most likely

00:23:29.280 person or

00:23:30.760 entities that

00:23:32.240 would leave that

00:23:33.020 cocaine in the

00:23:33.700 White House

00:23:34.120 would be,

00:23:35.480 go,

00:23:36.720 the most likely

00:23:37.640 person to leave

00:23:38.420 that bag of

00:23:39.000 cocaine would

00:23:39.800 be,

00:23:40.120 most likely,

00:23:41.740 most likely

00:23:43.040 staffers,

00:23:45.920 Zelensky,

00:23:47.480 Don Jr.,

00:23:48.940 reporters,

00:23:50.160 yeah.

00:23:53.220 So,

00:23:53.940 if it had

00:23:54.340 been,

00:23:54.620 if it had

00:23:55.400 been left

00:23:56.000 accidentally,

00:23:58.080 if it had

00:24:00.300 been left

00:24:01.080 accidentally,

00:24:01.880 you'd probably

00:24:02.240 think staffers,

00:24:04.000 yeah.

00:24:04.280 I would think

00:24:05.020 that Hunter

00:24:05.520 is maybe

00:24:07.100 not in the,

00:24:09.320 not at the

00:24:10.160 very top of

00:24:10.880 my suspect

00:24:11.440 list.

00:24:12.400 He'd be

00:24:12.780 around number

00:24:13.360 three,

00:24:14.720 you know,

00:24:14.940 just my

00:24:15.320 personal

00:24:15.780 judgment of

00:24:16.480 things.

00:24:17.780 But there

00:24:18.440 could be

00:24:18.680 lots of

00:24:18.980 people,

00:24:19.340 right?

00:24:20.160 All right,

00:24:21.180 here's my,

00:24:24.800 this might

00:24:25.460 actually change

00:24:26.060 the headlines,

00:24:26.840 so I'm a

00:24:27.140 little hesitant

00:24:27.640 to say it.

00:24:28.780 You ready

00:24:29.160 for this?

00:24:31.340 It looks

00:24:32.140 like an

00:24:32.480 intelligence

00:24:32.860 operation to

00:24:33.680 me.

00:24:36.400 There's

00:24:36.980 nothing that

00:24:38.360 screams

00:24:38.920 law enforcement

00:24:41.260 or intelligence

00:24:42.120 operation like

00:24:43.220 planting drugs.

00:24:45.360 Planting drugs

00:24:46.440 is sort of

00:24:47.700 like, you

00:24:49.240 know,

00:24:49.620 operation,

00:24:51.080 it's like,

00:24:52.220 it's like the

00:24:52.740 first lesson,

00:24:53.440 isn't it?

00:24:54.680 What is more

00:24:55.620 basic than

00:24:56.220 planting drugs

00:24:57.040 somewhere?

00:24:58.200 I can't think

00:24:58.780 of anything.

00:24:59.720 You know,

00:24:59.920 maybe taking

00:25:00.500 some naughty

00:25:01.560 pictures of

00:25:02.120 somebody having

00:25:02.560 sex that they 0.92

00:25:03.400 don't know

00:25:03.720 about.

00:25:04.740 It's like the

00:25:05.300 most basic

00:25:05.760 thing.

00:25:07.060 So,

00:25:07.980 ask yourself

00:25:08.840 this.

00:25:10.000 How badly

00:25:10.760 does the

00:25:11.840 deep state

00:25:14.080 want Biden 1.00

00:25:15.200 to willingly

00:25:16.340 get out of

00:25:16.980 the race?

00:25:18.260 How much

00:25:18.800 do the real

00:25:19.940 people of

00:25:20.480 power,

00:25:20.960 whoever they

00:25:21.420 might be,

00:25:21.920 let's call

00:25:22.320 them the

00:25:22.660 deep state,

00:25:23.640 how much

00:25:24.140 do even

00:25:24.680 the Democrats

00:25:25.580 want Biden 1.00

00:25:26.980 to leave so

00:25:27.620 they have a

00:25:27.940 better chance

00:25:28.900 of winning?

00:25:30.760 A lot.

00:25:32.280 Do you

00:25:32.700 think it

00:25:33.060 could be a

00:25:33.600 GOP operative,

00:25:35.240 just somebody

00:25:35.800 who had access

00:25:36.380 to the White 0.57

00:25:36.880 House,

00:25:37.160 and just

00:25:38.240 took it out

00:25:38.660 of their

00:25:38.820 pocket,

00:25:39.460 shoved it

00:25:39.800 on the

00:25:40.040 shelf,

00:25:41.240 and said,

00:25:42.920 when they

00:25:43.380 find this,

00:25:44.220 that's the

00:25:44.560 end to the

00:25:44.920 Bidens.

00:25:47.140 Because,

00:25:47.740 ask yourself

00:25:48.500 this,

00:25:49.980 Hunter Biden,

00:25:51.440 you know,

00:25:51.800 the story is

00:25:52.380 that Hunter

00:25:52.740 Biden is back

00:25:53.480 in the White

00:25:53.900 House,

00:25:54.800 you know,

00:25:55.000 after being

00:25:55.500 sort of out

00:25:56.540 of the news,

00:25:57.200 his plea

00:25:57.700 deal is the

00:25:58.740 news,

00:25:59.500 and then he's

00:25:59.900 back in the

00:26:00.360 White House.

00:26:01.180 What are the

00:26:01.940 odds?

00:26:02.920 What are the

00:26:03.360 odds that Hunter

00:26:04.280 is the one

00:26:05.360 who put it

00:26:05.740 there?

00:26:07.160 Really?

00:26:08.180 Now,

00:26:08.940 isn't that a

00:26:09.680 little bit too

00:26:10.100 on the nose?

00:26:11.500 Don't we know

00:26:12.080 that Hunter is

00:26:12.620 somebody that

00:26:13.100 forgets things,

00:26:14.260 like laptops all

00:26:15.220 over the place?

00:26:16.480 A little on the

00:26:17.280 nose, huh?

00:26:18.700 Happens to be

00:26:19.340 cocaine,

00:26:20.080 just happens to

00:26:20.780 be Hunter's

00:26:21.520 preferred drug,

00:26:22.720 and he's a guy

00:26:23.380 who leaves things

00:26:24.080 and places,

00:26:24.920 and he's just

00:26:25.500 been in the

00:26:26.000 news,

00:26:26.580 and then suddenly

00:26:28.100 he brings

00:26:29.460 cocaine to the

00:26:30.140 White House?

00:26:31.240 Isn't that a

00:26:31.960 little bit

00:26:32.380 exactly on the

00:26:33.520 nose?

00:26:34.900 All right.

00:26:35.300 I'm going to

00:26:36.540 go for

00:26:37.180 fake story.

00:26:40.480 I say it's

00:26:41.580 not Hunters,

00:26:42.860 and it's not

00:26:43.720 a staffer,

00:26:44.820 and it was

00:26:45.240 not left

00:26:45.740 there accidentally.

00:26:48.420 Not Hunters,

00:26:49.960 not anybody

00:26:50.780 else leaving

00:26:51.900 it accidentally.

00:26:53.240 It is not

00:26:53.940 accidental.

00:26:56.760 Now,

00:26:57.320 has anybody

00:26:57.580 else said

00:26:57.900 that?

00:26:59.120 Have you

00:26:59.680 heard that

00:26:59.980 speculation

00:27:00.580 anywhere else?

00:27:01.360 Because I

00:27:01.600 haven't seen

00:27:01.960 it anywhere else.

00:27:03.440 Anybody else?

00:27:04.020 All right.

00:27:07.400 So you

00:27:07.640 haven't seen

00:27:08.040 that before.

00:27:09.740 Now,

00:27:10.380 you tell me

00:27:11.180 that that's

00:27:11.600 not the

00:27:11.960 most likely

00:27:12.520 scenario.

00:27:14.180 Compare

00:27:14.460 these two

00:27:15.020 scenarios.

00:27:16.740 If you

00:27:17.640 wanted Hunter

00:27:18.360 Biden and

00:27:18.980 the Bidens

00:27:19.380 to go down,

00:27:20.880 this would

00:27:21.420 be the

00:27:21.740 entire amount

00:27:22.460 of effort

00:27:22.900 it would

00:27:23.160 take to

00:27:23.500 take them

00:27:23.900 down.

00:27:25.200 Let's say

00:27:25.820 you're just

00:27:26.400 a bad

00:27:26.740 person.

00:27:27.900 You had

00:27:28.160 access to

00:27:28.660 the White

00:27:28.800 House.

00:27:29.260 This is

00:27:29.760 your entire

00:27:30.360 that's

00:27:33.760 it.

00:27:34.460 And the

00:27:34.780 entire

00:27:35.060 administration

00:27:35.660 is gone.

00:27:36.620 You reach

00:27:37.020 into your

00:27:37.260 pocket.

00:27:38.520 You stand

00:27:38.920 in front

00:27:39.300 of the

00:27:39.540 security

00:27:39.800 camera.

00:27:39.900 Maybe you

00:27:40.200 know where

00:27:40.460 the security

00:27:41.260 camera is.

00:27:42.100 Maybe you

00:27:42.540 even know

00:27:42.800 where it

00:27:43.000 is.

00:27:46.420 So you

00:27:46.940 just take

00:27:47.420 it out of

00:27:47.680 your pocket.

00:27:48.240 You slip

00:27:48.600 it in a

00:27:48.940 cubbyhole

00:27:49.400 or wherever

00:27:49.780 they found

00:27:50.220 it.

00:27:51.740 Literally

00:27:52.140 reach in

00:27:52.780 your pocket

00:27:53.220 and you

00:27:53.620 end the

00:27:53.960 Biden

00:27:54.180 administration.

00:27:55.740 That's

00:27:55.980 it.

00:27:57.740 Literally

00:27:58.140 reach in

00:27:59.040 your pocket

00:27:59.740 put something

00:28:01.700 on a shelf

00:28:02.340 or wherever

00:28:02.780 the hell

00:28:03.020 it was.

00:28:04.100 That's the

00:28:04.500 end of the

00:28:04.860 Biden

00:28:05.080 administration.

00:28:07.500 You don't

00:28:08.220 think that

00:28:08.760 there's anybody

00:28:09.380 who thought

00:28:09.920 of that?

00:28:12.300 It would

00:28:12.940 be the

00:28:13.260 perfect

00:28:13.540 op.

00:28:15.180 It would

00:28:15.740 be the

00:28:16.020 perfect

00:28:16.340 op.

00:28:17.300 Now the

00:28:17.640 one person

00:28:19.280 or entity

00:28:19.880 that I'm

00:28:20.280 going to

00:28:20.480 rule out

00:28:21.080 I'm going

00:28:22.340 to rule

00:28:22.780 out Ukraine.

00:28:26.140 Ukraine I

00:28:26.860 think likes

00:28:27.240 Biden.

00:28:27.580 I would

00:28:28.780 rule out

00:28:29.380 the

00:28:29.680 military

00:28:30.260 industrial

00:28:30.740 complex

00:28:31.460 because they

00:28:33.120 like Biden.

00:28:34.240 They like

00:28:34.680 him spending

00:28:35.120 money on

00:28:35.560 Ukraine.

00:28:37.000 So if

00:28:38.060 the

00:28:38.260 military

00:28:38.700 industrial

00:28:39.200 complex

00:28:40.060 overlaps

00:28:41.880 with the

00:28:42.280 deep

00:28:42.480 state

00:28:42.900 then it

00:28:44.340 wasn't

00:28:44.660 them.

00:28:46.060 Because the

00:28:47.000 deep state

00:28:47.740 and the

00:28:48.000 military

00:28:48.340 industrial

00:28:48.800 complex

00:28:49.300 probably

00:28:49.980 wants

00:28:50.480 Biden

00:28:50.880 in there.

00:28:51.840 Now

00:28:52.000 unless

00:28:52.560 they figured

00:28:53.200 out

00:28:53.460 here's the

00:28:54.200 other

00:28:54.340 possibility.

00:28:54.860 The other

00:28:55.800 possibility is

00:28:56.560 that the

00:28:57.000 deep state

00:28:57.700 and the

00:28:58.080 military

00:28:58.420 industrial

00:28:58.940 complex

00:28:59.620 are working

00:29:00.800 together and

00:29:01.940 they know

00:29:02.340 that Biden

00:29:03.120 even though

00:29:03.640 Biden was

00:29:04.140 perfectly

00:29:04.660 their guy

00:29:05.280 for spending

00:29:06.560 money he

00:29:08.500 might be

00:29:09.020 declining so

00:29:09.920 much and

00:29:10.900 they know

00:29:11.440 more than

00:29:11.900 you know.

00:29:13.060 So the

00:29:13.580 people closest

00:29:14.380 to him

00:29:14.780 you know

00:29:15.020 the spooks

00:29:15.840 the CIA

00:29:16.340 they have a

00:29:17.560 much better

00:29:18.060 idea whether

00:29:18.780 Biden can

00:29:19.780 make it

00:29:20.200 another year

00:29:20.780 to the

00:29:21.080 election.

00:29:21.420 they know

00:29:22.900 you and

00:29:24.120 I don't

00:29:24.460 know

00:29:24.640 necessarily

00:29:25.180 we're

00:29:25.480 guessing

00:29:25.800 but they

00:29:26.640 know

00:29:26.940 so they

00:29:28.120 would know

00:29:28.420 his exact

00:29:29.080 medical

00:29:29.560 condition

00:29:30.080 they would

00:29:31.020 know that

00:29:31.620 when we

00:29:32.420 don't see

00:29:32.920 Biden he's

00:29:33.660 in bad

00:29:34.080 shape

00:29:34.440 they would

00:29:35.240 know what

00:29:35.640 drug they

00:29:36.140 give him

00:29:36.520 before he

00:29:37.000 goes in

00:29:37.540 public

00:29:37.920 if there

00:29:38.520 is one

00:29:38.880 right.

00:29:40.280 So they

00:29:41.160 would have

00:29:41.500 a much

00:29:41.940 more dire

00:29:42.960 opinion of

00:29:44.180 Biden

00:29:44.480 than we

00:29:45.080 do

00:29:45.360 because they

00:29:46.680 could see

00:29:47.120 it first.

00:29:49.060 We the

00:29:49.540 public are

00:29:50.140 getting you

00:29:50.640 know just

00:29:50.920 these little

00:29:51.320 glimpses

00:29:51.860 that are

00:29:52.200 horrifying

00:29:53.000 but imagine

00:29:54.280 the stuff

00:29:54.740 we don't

00:29:55.300 see.

00:29:56.860 The stuff

00:29:57.600 we see

00:29:58.020 Biden

00:29:58.400 try to

00:29:58.900 do in

00:29:59.180 public

00:29:59.440 is

00:29:59.640 horrifying

00:30:00.140 like his

00:30:01.200 lack of

00:30:01.660 cognitive

00:30:02.100 ability.

00:30:03.340 Imagine

00:30:03.840 what that

00:30:04.340 looks like

00:30:04.860 privately.

00:30:06.720 Just imagine

00:30:07.640 what he looks

00:30:08.120 like when

00:30:08.440 he's not

00:30:08.920 at his

00:30:09.280 best

00:30:09.700 when they

00:30:10.860 haven't

00:30:11.240 you know

00:30:11.560 made sure

00:30:12.520 that he

00:30:13.080 can get

00:30:13.440 a good

00:30:14.080 ten minute

00:30:14.540 speech

00:30:14.900 and get

00:30:15.180 off the

00:30:15.420 stage.

00:30:16.040 It must

00:30:16.580 be scary

00:30:17.180 behind the

00:30:18.300 scenes.

00:30:19.520 So

00:30:19.700 one

00:30:23.240 possibility

00:30:24.020 is that

00:30:24.620 it was

00:30:24.960 a

00:30:25.240 diabolical

00:30:26.220 Republican

00:30:26.840 who just

00:30:28.780 had access

00:30:29.460 to the

00:30:29.740 White House

00:30:30.060 and stuffed

00:30:30.600 it there

00:30:30.900 or bribed

00:30:32.380 the cleaning

00:30:32.900 crew to put

00:30:33.440 it there.

00:30:33.760 There's a

00:30:34.020 million ways

00:30:34.480 he could

00:30:34.700 get there.

00:30:35.620 But the

00:30:36.640 other possibility

00:30:37.280 is that the

00:30:37.780 deep state

00:30:38.280 has decided

00:30:38.920 that Biden

00:30:39.600 cannot represent

00:30:41.180 them.

00:30:42.240 It's just

00:30:42.660 he's too

00:30:43.120 far gone

00:30:43.660 and they

00:30:44.380 need a

00:30:44.740 chance of

00:30:45.140 winning

00:30:45.380 and they

00:30:45.840 need to

00:30:46.180 take him

00:30:46.660 out soon

00:30:47.160 so that

00:30:48.400 Newsom

00:30:49.020 can slot

00:30:49.660 in there

00:30:50.040 and keep

00:30:50.800 the money

00:30:51.160 rolling for

00:30:51.760 Ukraine.

00:30:53.580 So

00:30:53.860 having now

00:30:55.920 heard this

00:30:56.580 hypothesis

00:30:57.920 it's just

00:30:58.840 a hypothesis

00:30:59.460 how likely

00:31:01.360 does it seem

00:31:01.980 to you

00:31:02.260 that it

00:31:02.500 was planted?

00:31:04.440 Go.

00:31:05.360 Have I

00:31:05.660 convinced anybody?

00:31:06.520 How likely

00:31:07.280 it was planted?

00:31:08.200 We don't know

00:31:08.720 we wouldn't

00:31:09.260 know who

00:31:09.740 but how likely

00:31:10.940 it was planted.

00:31:12.180 I'm seeing a lot

00:31:12.600 of zeros

00:31:12.980 and 25s.

00:31:14.480 Interesting.

00:31:15.960 The 25

00:31:16.700 you're probably

00:31:17.080 joking but

00:31:17.780 I don't know

00:31:22.080 would you

00:31:22.980 take cocaine

00:31:23.840 out of your

00:31:24.540 pocket if you

00:31:25.280 were in the

00:31:25.820 White House?

00:31:28.480 Would you?

00:31:29.160 Would you

00:31:29.480 take it out

00:31:29.900 of your

00:31:30.080 pocket?

00:31:32.000 And if you

00:31:32.680 took it out

00:31:33.100 of your

00:31:33.260 pocket and

00:31:33.700 you used

00:31:34.100 it wouldn't

00:31:35.380 it be the

00:31:35.860 highest priority

00:31:36.760 you were

00:31:37.160 thinking about

00:31:37.800 to not get

00:31:38.380 caught?

00:31:39.380 And you

00:31:39.820 know you

00:31:40.020 look around

00:31:40.480 your space

00:31:40.980 before you

00:31:41.420 left?

00:31:42.940 I don't know

00:31:43.240 it's possible

00:31:44.420 that a

00:31:45.880 druggie

00:31:46.360 could leave

00:31:46.880 some drugs.

00:31:47.740 It's very

00:31:48.140 possible.

00:31:49.140 Druggies forget

00:31:49.780 stuff they leave

00:31:50.500 drugs.

00:31:51.060 Hunter's a

00:31:51.460 perfect example.

00:31:52.640 But if you

00:31:53.040 compare the

00:31:53.720 odds of that

00:31:54.360 happening at

00:31:54.980 the exact

00:31:56.220 time.

00:31:57.780 Alright here's a

00:31:58.440 better way to

00:31:58.800 say it.

00:31:59.440 If you said to

00:32:00.080 me Scott

00:32:00.600 there was one

00:32:01.680 time over the

00:32:02.340 course of the

00:32:02.900 four year

00:32:03.340 administration

00:32:03.920 that Hunter

00:32:04.520 left some

00:32:05.000 cocaine in the

00:32:05.700 White House

00:32:06.300 I would say

00:32:07.260 the odds of

00:32:07.800 that pretty

00:32:08.640 good.

00:32:09.860 Pretty good.

00:32:11.580 But if you

00:32:12.880 say to me

00:32:13.380 that over

00:32:13.780 that four

00:32:14.420 year term

00:32:15.120 just this

00:32:16.220 one week

00:32:17.020 where Hunter

00:32:18.200 the story

00:32:18.800 was that

00:32:19.160 Hunter's

00:32:19.500 back in the

00:32:19.960 White House

00:32:20.300 just that

00:32:20.680 one week

00:32:21.280 that's the

00:32:22.520 week that

00:32:24.000 he left

00:32:24.480 right after

00:32:25.220 his plea

00:32:25.620 deal.

00:32:26.280 That's the

00:32:26.860 week he's

00:32:27.220 going to

00:32:27.380 leave a

00:32:27.660 bag of

00:32:28.020 cocaine in

00:32:28.520 the White

00:32:28.760 House.

00:32:30.220 You're

00:32:30.700 going to

00:32:30.820 accept that

00:32:31.300 coincidence?

00:32:32.540 Because that

00:32:33.220 coincidence is

00:32:34.300 galactic in

00:32:35.760 size.

00:32:36.800 You know

00:32:37.100 that right?

00:32:37.600 That's like

00:32:38.120 a one in

00:32:38.540 thousand.

00:32:39.620 So I think

00:32:40.040 there's a

00:32:40.360 one in

00:32:40.660 one thousand

00:32:41.180 chance it's

00:32:41.880 a coincidence.

00:32:43.440 So it

00:32:43.920 wouldn't be

00:32:44.380 unusual for

00:32:45.080 him to

00:32:45.320 leave a

00:32:45.680 bag of

00:32:46.040 drugs.

00:32:46.700 We all

00:32:47.120 agree with

00:32:47.540 that right?

00:32:48.520 If I

00:32:48.880 said four

00:32:49.440 years has

00:32:50.900 Hunter ever

00:32:52.000 left a

00:32:52.420 drug in

00:32:52.780 the White

00:32:53.020 House?

00:32:53.940 Most of

00:32:54.480 you would

00:32:54.720 probably say

00:32:55.340 maybe.

00:32:56.440 Like good

00:32:57.080 chance.

00:32:58.140 At least

00:32:58.540 once.

00:33:00.040 But then I

00:33:00.560 narrow that

00:33:01.020 four years

00:33:02.160 down to that

00:33:02.680 one week.

00:33:03.560 The one

00:33:04.160 worst time

00:33:05.240 it could have

00:33:05.680 happened.

00:33:06.300 No worse

00:33:07.360 time than

00:33:07.900 this one

00:33:08.360 week.

00:33:08.600 And that's

00:33:08.860 the week

00:33:09.060 you did

00:33:09.320 it, right?

00:33:10.600 Sorry.

00:33:12.020 Sorry.

00:33:13.400 Two on

00:33:13.840 the nose.

00:33:15.860 I think it

00:33:16.680 was planted.

00:33:19.720 Boom.

00:33:21.200 All right.

00:33:23.020 I would not,

00:33:23.720 let's say,

00:33:24.180 I'll put a,

00:33:24.780 let me put a

00:33:26.640 percentage

00:33:27.500 confidence on

00:33:28.800 that.

00:33:29.020 60%.

00:33:30.020 60%.

00:33:30.500 60%.

00:33:32.820 40%.

00:33:34.240 It's just

00:33:35.120 some person

00:33:36.340 who dropped

00:33:36.740 some drugs.

00:33:38.660 Yeah.

00:33:38.920 40% is

00:33:39.760 something

00:33:40.020 completely

00:33:40.500 ordinary.

00:33:42.100 60%.

00:33:42.740 That's too

00:33:43.240 much of a

00:33:43.660 coincidence.

00:33:45.180 Too much

00:33:45.480 of a

00:33:45.700 coincidence.

00:33:49.520 Coke addicts

00:33:50.400 do it for

00:33:50.740 white.

00:33:51.000 No, I'm not

00:33:51.520 saying the

00:33:53.560 Hunter only

00:33:54.240 did one

00:33:54.720 week of

00:33:55.180 Coke.

00:33:55.620 did you

00:33:57.000 hear that?

00:33:58.280 No, we

00:33:58.780 assume that

00:33:59.420 addicts are

00:34:00.080 addicts.

00:34:02.320 It's like

00:34:02.940 you've never

00:34:03.280 heard of an

00:34:03.720 addict.

00:34:04.460 An addict

00:34:04.840 is somebody

00:34:05.260 who always

00:34:05.960 could do

00:34:06.320 Coke, no

00:34:07.280 matter how

00:34:07.720 long they've

00:34:08.260 not been

00:34:08.780 doing it.

00:34:09.900 That's what

00:34:10.400 an addict

00:34:10.760 is.

00:34:11.140 Somebody

00:34:11.360 who's just

00:34:13.020 sort of

00:34:13.340 reflexively

00:34:14.060 can drop

00:34:14.600 into that

00:34:15.040 without much

00:34:15.520 effort.

00:34:17.900 All right.

00:34:18.360 So it

00:34:18.980 could be

00:34:19.300 exactly what

00:34:19.860 happened.

00:34:20.680 So let

00:34:21.360 me say

00:34:22.260 clearly, it

00:34:23.780 could be

00:34:24.240 Hunter's

00:34:24.720 Wheat.

00:34:25.100 It could

00:34:25.400 be Hunter's

00:34:26.060 Coke.

00:34:27.080 It could

00:34:27.460 be somebody

00:34:27.900 else's.

00:34:29.200 I just

00:34:29.660 think there's

00:34:30.080 a slightly

00:34:30.620 more chance

00:34:31.340 that that

00:34:31.720 coincidence is

00:34:32.520 not a

00:34:32.840 coincidence.

00:34:34.140 You have

00:34:34.500 to believe

00:34:34.840 in a lot

00:34:35.280 of coincidence

00:34:35.800 for that

00:34:36.560 to be the

00:34:37.620 case.

00:34:39.280 All right.

00:34:41.660 Where is

00:34:42.380 Pregosian?

00:34:43.700 So today,

00:34:44.560 finally, CNN

00:34:45.300 and Reuters

00:34:46.200 and others,

00:34:47.700 Wall Street

00:34:48.080 Journal, have

00:34:48.620 decided that

00:34:49.480 now they

00:34:50.600 can say,

00:34:51.820 hey, I

00:34:53.800 thought we

00:34:54.220 would have

00:34:54.520 seen a picture

00:34:55.040 of him in

00:34:55.620 Belarus by

00:34:56.480 now.

00:34:58.880 And then

00:34:59.540 the Belarusian

00:35:00.680 leader,

00:35:02.000 Louchenko,

00:35:03.300 finally said

00:35:04.120 directly, he's

00:35:04.960 not in

00:35:05.300 Belarus.

00:35:07.060 Said it

00:35:07.480 directly, he's

00:35:08.540 not in

00:35:08.820 Belarus.

00:35:09.600 He thought he

00:35:10.060 might be in

00:35:10.500 St.

00:35:10.760 Petersburg,

00:35:11.380 unless he's

00:35:11.900 already gone

00:35:12.300 to Moscow.

00:35:14.340 Yeah.

00:35:14.980 Because I'm

00:35:15.640 sure that

00:35:16.860 Pregosian would 1.00

00:35:17.580 feel pretty

00:35:18.480 safe in

00:35:19.000 Moscow,

00:35:19.340 wouldn't he?

00:35:20.460 Wouldn't he?

00:35:20.940 No, he's

00:35:23.520 not.

00:35:23.700 I don't

00:35:23.940 know if

00:35:24.220 he's dead

00:35:24.680 because Putin

00:35:25.980 needs him

00:35:26.360 alive to

00:35:26.900 find out

00:35:27.280 who the

00:35:27.580 other

00:35:27.800 plotters

00:35:28.300 were.

00:35:29.160 So part

00:35:29.640 of the

00:35:29.860 story is

00:35:30.460 there are

00:35:30.660 lots of

00:35:30.980 plotters.

00:35:32.140 Now,

00:35:33.080 the reason

00:35:35.580 I do this

00:35:36.260 live stream,

00:35:37.380 besides the

00:35:38.060 fun of it,

00:35:38.620 which is

00:35:38.940 maybe the

00:35:39.500 biggest reason,

00:35:40.580 is that I

00:35:42.160 like to make

00:35:42.700 predictions,

00:35:43.740 especially

00:35:44.220 predictions that

00:35:45.020 are not being

00:35:45.500 made by the

00:35:46.220 others.

00:35:46.520 And then

00:35:48.080 you judge

00:35:49.240 the quality

00:35:49.800 of my

00:35:50.160 live streams,

00:35:51.000 or you

00:35:51.340 should,

00:35:52.380 by how

00:35:52.840 often I

00:35:53.320 get a

00:35:53.600 prediction

00:35:53.880 right.

00:35:55.500 Tell me

00:35:55.980 who else

00:35:56.520 said the

00:35:57.440 Pregosian

00:35:57.960 did not

00:35:58.440 go to

00:35:58.740 Belarus.

00:35:59.520 Name

00:35:59.720 one other

00:36:00.060 person.

00:36:00.840 Name

00:36:01.160 one other

00:36:01.600 person in

00:36:02.260 the entire

00:36:02.840 world,

00:36:04.020 let's say

00:36:04.520 who does

00:36:04.880 this,

00:36:05.720 does a

00:36:06.200 public

00:36:06.600 kind of

00:36:06.980 thing.

00:36:07.580 Not

00:36:07.880 one.

00:36:09.780 Posobiec?

00:36:10.860 Yeah,

00:36:11.220 okay.

00:36:12.680 Jack probably

00:36:13.520 was on it

00:36:13.960 early,

00:36:14.360 I'll give

00:36:14.680 you that.

00:36:16.520 All right,

00:36:18.800 so finally,

00:36:22.680 finally the

00:36:23.580 mainstream

00:36:24.020 media caught

00:36:25.620 up to a

00:36:26.320 guy on

00:36:26.760 Twitter who

00:36:27.440 just looks

00:36:27.920 at it and

00:36:28.280 says,

00:36:28.560 well,

00:36:28.760 obviously,

00:36:29.980 obviously

00:36:30.540 Putin can't

00:36:31.480 let him

00:36:31.760 go.

00:36:32.920 He's got to

00:36:33.460 keep him

00:36:33.860 until he

00:36:34.220 finds out

00:36:34.660 who the

00:36:34.940 other

00:36:35.160 traders are.

00:36:35.940 Of course.

00:36:36.800 That's just

00:36:37.240 basic

00:36:37.680 dictatoring.

00:36:39.440 Like,

00:36:39.680 that's the

00:36:39.980 most,

00:36:40.780 that's got

00:36:41.480 to be like

00:36:41.940 dictator 101.

00:36:44.620 First you

00:36:45.260 get a hold

00:36:45.700 of your

00:36:45.940 critic,

00:36:46.520 and then

00:36:47.120 you find

00:36:47.520 out what

00:36:47.920 else the

00:36:48.340 critic knows

00:36:49.020 that you

00:36:49.340 need to

00:36:49.660 know,

00:36:50.020 and then

00:36:50.300 you kill

00:36:50.680 them.

00:36:51.440 It's like

00:36:51.820 just basic.

00:36:52.740 It's the

00:36:52.980 most basic

00:36:53.580 dictatoring you

00:36:54.380 could do.

00:36:54.980 I'll tell you

00:36:55.420 what you

00:36:55.680 don't do.

00:36:57.000 Lushenko

00:36:57.400 was funny.

00:36:58.700 Lushenko

00:36:59.080 said it's

00:36:59.660 ridiculous to

00:37:00.420 imagine that

00:37:01.560 Putin would

00:37:02.080 want to get

00:37:02.540 revenge on

00:37:03.380 Prigozhin for

00:37:04.360 just trying to

00:37:04.940 kill him and 0.98

00:37:05.380 take over the

00:37:05.820 country.

00:37:07.100 I mean,

00:37:08.100 Putin?

00:37:09.360 Putin's not

00:37:09.960 kind of a

00:37:10.640 revengeful guy.

00:37:12.320 I mean,

00:37:12.740 what history do

00:37:13.580 we have of

00:37:14.100 Putin ever

00:37:14.660 trying to

00:37:15.700 attack a

00:37:16.240 critic?

00:37:20.140 It's just

00:37:20.840 funny listening

00:37:21.420 to the,

00:37:22.500 what would

00:37:24.380 you call

00:37:24.700 Lushenko?

00:37:25.880 Listening to

00:37:26.580 the puppets

00:37:27.260 talk.

00:37:28.620 It's hilariously

00:37:30.060 implausible,

00:37:31.500 anything they

00:37:32.180 say.

00:37:33.340 Even more so

00:37:34.240 than American 0.62

00:37:34.720 politics,

00:37:35.260 just hilariously

00:37:36.260 implausible.

00:37:36.900 All right,

00:37:38.820 so just

00:37:42.880 remember this

00:37:44.000 story.

00:37:44.920 Remember the

00:37:45.680 part where

00:37:46.320 Scott, who

00:37:48.660 has zero

00:37:49.760 military or

00:37:52.180 geopolitical

00:37:53.160 experience,

00:37:54.120 you'd all

00:37:54.480 agree,

00:37:54.860 right?

00:37:55.460 No military

00:37:56.120 experience,

00:37:57.220 no geopolitical

00:37:58.380 experience,

00:37:59.140 but I'm the

00:37:59.660 only one who

00:38:00.040 got that

00:38:00.360 right.

00:38:01.460 And it's

00:38:01.860 not the

00:38:02.200 first time

00:38:02.780 I'm the

00:38:03.060 only one

00:38:03.360 who got

00:38:03.620 some things

00:38:04.100 right.

00:38:04.380 Now, I'm

00:38:05.380 saying this

00:38:05.900 partly to

00:38:06.640 brag, because

00:38:07.940 it's useful

00:38:08.480 for telling

00:38:09.500 people why

00:38:09.960 they should

00:38:10.260 watch the

00:38:10.660 show, but

00:38:11.980 it's going

00:38:12.800 to tie into

00:38:13.380 a point

00:38:14.080 that's

00:38:14.360 upcoming.

00:38:15.460 So just

00:38:15.740 put a

00:38:16.000 little tack

00:38:17.440 in that,

00:38:18.660 that I got

00:38:19.360 a few things

00:38:19.860 right, okay?

00:38:21.140 That'll come

00:38:21.560 back later.

00:38:23.060 All right,

00:38:23.340 let's talk

00:38:23.620 about Ukraine.

00:38:26.140 What did

00:38:26.900 I predict

00:38:27.560 is happening

00:38:29.280 with the

00:38:30.380 counter-offensive?

00:38:31.780 Do you

00:38:32.220 remember what

00:38:32.620 I said was

00:38:33.140 going to

00:38:33.340 happen with

00:38:34.300 the

00:38:34.440 counter-offensive?

00:38:37.140 I said

00:38:38.140 the war

00:38:38.860 is already

00:38:39.320 over, because

00:38:40.720 nobody's going

00:38:41.380 anywhere.

00:38:43.720 There's not

00:38:45.280 going to be

00:38:45.580 much land

00:38:46.200 that's traded

00:38:46.800 after this

00:38:47.480 point, unless

00:38:48.080 it's by

00:38:48.440 negotiation.

00:38:50.020 I said

00:38:50.880 the war

00:38:51.300 is over,

00:38:51.840 we're into

00:38:52.200 the hard

00:38:52.600 negotiation that

00:38:54.120 happens to

00:38:54.700 involve killing

00:38:55.460 each other.

00:38:56.740 But neither

00:38:57.800 side can win.

00:39:00.200 The winning

00:39:00.880 is just off

00:39:01.700 the table.

00:39:02.720 So the

00:39:03.100 news has

00:39:03.540 finally caught

00:39:04.100 up to

00:39:04.380 me.

00:39:05.440 Now, have

00:39:05.740 I mentioned

00:39:06.160 that I have

00:39:06.660 no military

00:39:07.360 experience?

00:39:08.240 I think I

00:39:08.900 did, just a

00:39:09.480 minute ago.

00:39:10.860 No military

00:39:11.840 experience, but

00:39:13.000 I told you

00:39:13.640 weeks ago,

00:39:14.660 there's no

00:39:15.160 war.

00:39:16.360 They're

00:39:16.720 basically in

00:39:17.700 place, and

00:39:19.060 they're just

00:39:19.380 waiting for a

00:39:20.020 Republican

00:39:20.360 president or

00:39:21.200 something.

00:39:22.520 But it's

00:39:23.660 not really

00:39:24.260 going to

00:39:24.680 change any,

00:39:25.960 you know,

00:39:26.280 no leadership

00:39:27.120 looks like it's

00:39:27.860 going to

00:39:28.100 change, no

00:39:29.180 property looks

00:39:29.900 like it's much

00:39:30.460 going to

00:39:30.720 change, and

00:39:31.320 that's what the

00:39:31.780 news is

00:39:32.120 reporting.

00:39:33.200 So the

00:39:33.800 news has

00:39:34.180 caught up

00:39:34.520 with me, and

00:39:35.680 they're saying,

00:39:36.340 ah, looks like

00:39:37.000 a stalemate.

00:39:38.540 The Russians 0.95

00:39:39.460 did too good a

00:39:40.240 job of digging

00:39:40.780 in.

00:39:41.600 The Ukrainians,

00:39:42.460 of course, say

00:39:43.100 they don't have

00:39:43.680 the weapons they

00:39:44.880 need.

00:39:46.240 Blah, blah,

00:39:46.980 blah.

00:39:47.560 All right.

00:39:47.900 So I saw a

00:39:48.900 tweet by David

00:39:50.120 Sachs, again, if

00:39:52.720 you don't follow

00:39:53.420 David Sachs on

00:39:54.940 Twitter, you're

00:39:55.500 missing a lot,

00:39:56.920 because he's got

00:39:57.500 some good

00:39:57.940 contrarian takes,

00:39:59.880 contrarian against

00:40:01.360 the, let's say,

00:40:02.700 the military

00:40:03.240 industrial complex,

00:40:05.400 contrarian against

00:40:06.540 them.

00:40:07.440 So he notes that

00:40:08.500 there's this

00:40:09.080 colonel in the

00:40:09.940 Australian Armed

00:40:10.580 Forces who's

00:40:11.500 involved in the

00:40:12.060 Ukrainian stuff,

00:40:13.920 and he makes

00:40:15.220 three points.

00:40:15.960 The offensive has

00:40:16.780 failed.

00:40:17.900 So that's from

00:40:19.420 somebody who's

00:40:19.940 there.

00:40:20.900 Somebody on our

00:40:21.820 side, you know,

00:40:22.680 NATO, says the

00:40:24.820 offensive has

00:40:25.400 failed.

00:40:26.340 Not that it's just

00:40:27.380 starting, not that

00:40:28.360 we're seeing the

00:40:28.980 beginning, not that

00:40:30.700 if they keep pushing

00:40:31.720 it'll be good.

00:40:32.800 It just failed.

00:40:34.860 So basically,

00:40:37.340 according to this

00:40:37.960 colonel, who is

00:40:39.340 involved, it

00:40:41.340 failed.

00:40:42.520 Now, of course,

00:40:43.440 Zelensky say,

00:40:44.600 we're just getting

00:40:45.200 started.

00:40:46.360 So Zelensky is

00:40:47.140 sort of like that

00:40:47.740 night in, you

00:40:49.200 know, Monty

00:40:49.640 Python, after his

00:40:51.040 arms and legs get

00:40:51.920 caught off.

00:40:53.500 Come on here, I'm

00:40:54.840 just getting started.

00:40:56.680 Number two, this is

00:40:58.640 from the, remember,

00:40:59.620 this is from somebody

00:41:00.460 in NATO.

00:41:01.820 NATO military

00:41:02.700 tactics do not

00:41:03.820 work against Russian 0.78

00:41:04.760 defenses.

00:41:08.200 What?

00:41:10.940 Wait, what?

00:41:11.760 That's exactly what

00:41:14.260 Sachs tweeted.

00:41:16.720 Wait, what?

00:41:19.120 Doesn't that get your

00:41:20.160 attention?

00:41:21.560 NATO tactics don't

00:41:22.960 work against Russian 0.78

00:41:24.020 defenses, at least on

00:41:25.920 the ground.

00:41:27.380 Wow.

00:41:29.820 And then, number

00:41:31.160 three, the colonel

00:41:32.280 expects limited

00:41:33.220 successes along the

00:41:34.480 front line, but no

00:41:36.100 major breakthroughs.

00:41:38.220 None.

00:41:38.640 No breakthroughs.

00:41:41.440 Just minor, a little,

00:41:42.440 you know, block

00:41:43.000 air block there.

00:41:44.460 So we're now at

00:41:45.660 exactly the place that

00:41:47.560 I told you we would

00:41:48.440 be.

00:41:50.880 How many of you would

00:41:52.060 be willing to say I

00:41:53.040 predicted that

00:41:53.700 correctly?

00:41:55.300 Right?

00:41:55.700 Again, the context is

00:41:57.640 not just my ego, which

00:41:59.880 I love, you know.

00:42:00.940 Anybody wants to say I

00:42:02.280 did well, I like that.

00:42:04.280 Everybody likes

00:42:05.020 compliments.

00:42:05.480 Everybody likes to be

00:42:06.540 right.

00:42:07.280 But a larger purpose

00:42:09.100 here is I want to show

00:42:10.780 you that non-experts can

00:42:12.440 be right.

00:42:14.080 Would you buy the, do

00:42:16.080 you buy at this point,

00:42:17.200 especially after the

00:42:18.000 pandemic, do you buy

00:42:19.840 the notion that non-

00:42:21.520 experts can completely

00:42:23.360 beat the experts and

00:42:25.120 routinely?

00:42:26.260 It's not even unusual.

00:42:27.760 And it's not something

00:42:28.740 limited to me.

00:42:30.180 I know you can agree with

00:42:31.460 that, right?

00:42:32.220 I'm not the one person

00:42:33.740 who did better than the

00:42:35.240 experts.

00:42:36.240 I'm one of many people

00:42:38.360 who did better than the

00:42:40.060 experts.

00:42:40.720 Many of us.

00:42:41.880 That's the bigger story.

00:42:42.940 It's not about me.

00:42:44.420 Right?

00:42:44.580 The bigger story is that

00:42:45.580 the experts are garbage.

00:42:47.520 So after David Sachs

00:42:49.460 tweets this, pointing

00:42:50.780 out that it was this

00:42:52.240 colonel in the

00:42:53.400 Australian, oh, I'm

00:42:54.880 sorry, I kept saying

00:42:55.680 Australian, Austrian.

00:42:57.980 So correct everything I

00:42:59.820 said.

00:43:00.080 It's Austrian, not 1.00

00:43:01.260 Australian.

00:43:01.680 Austrian armed

00:43:03.640 forces, which would

00:43:05.680 explain why he's in

00:43:06.400 NATO.

00:43:07.600 Makes a lot more sense

00:43:08.680 now.

00:43:09.880 If you get rid of the

00:43:10.900 Australian part, it 0.76

00:43:11.720 makes a little more

00:43:12.220 sense.

00:43:12.700 Wait, is Australia in

00:43:13.960 NATO?

00:43:17.500 Austria is not in

00:43:18.500 NATO?

00:43:19.320 What is Australia

00:43:19.860 is?

00:43:22.280 Do me some quick

00:43:23.780 fact-checking.

00:43:27.120 Neither is.

00:43:28.180 Somebody says

00:43:28.740 neither.

00:43:29.100 Well, somehow this

00:43:32.140 colonel is involved in

00:43:33.380 some way.

00:43:34.160 So I guess I don't know

00:43:34.880 the details, but he

00:43:35.660 sounds like he knows

00:43:36.280 what he's talking

00:43:36.720 about.

00:43:37.920 So after David Sachs

00:43:39.460 makes this tweet, in

00:43:40.520 which he's literally

00:43:41.340 quoting this colonel,

00:43:43.860 somebody named Aki

00:43:45.800 Kako tweets back and

00:43:47.940 replies to David Sachs.

00:43:49.180 He goes, and I'd like

00:43:50.540 to do this with as much

00:43:51.560 attitude as the tweet

00:43:53.400 seems to have.

00:43:54.140 So to get the right

00:43:55.520 attitude, I'd like to

00:43:58.180 invite Dale to join

00:44:00.640 us.

00:44:02.260 Dale, could you read

00:44:03.800 the tweet by Aki

00:44:05.320 Kako?

00:44:07.420 Glad to do it.

00:44:11.600 David, no, Dale,

00:44:13.920 could you, more

00:44:14.940 condescending.

00:44:16.460 We need lots of

00:44:17.660 condescending.

00:44:18.920 More condescending.

00:44:19.980 Got it.

00:44:20.520 Got it.

00:44:20.800 All right, how

00:44:24.580 about this?

00:44:26.320 David, I am curious

00:44:28.660 to learn about your

00:44:31.240 extensive military

00:44:33.080 background and the

00:44:34.340 comprehensive range of

00:44:36.020 your military experience.

00:44:40.880 Could you kindly share

00:44:42.580 with me the specific

00:44:44.700 details, the specific

00:44:46.260 details and noteworthy

00:44:48.000 aspects of your time

00:44:49.420 serving in the military?

00:44:50.800 Bingo.

00:44:54.400 Zing. 0.88

00:44:55.500 Zing. 0.88

00:44:56.640 Got him.

00:45:06.100 To which my

00:45:07.980 response was,

00:45:10.180 there's still people

00:45:11.760 who believe the

00:45:12.400 experts?

00:45:16.020 Let's form a

00:45:16.960 contest.

00:45:18.140 And the contest

00:45:18.820 will be this.

00:45:19.540 It will be a

00:45:20.800 betting forum

00:45:21.700 for things in

00:45:23.480 the future.

00:45:25.080 All right, it's a

00:45:25.460 betting forum.

00:45:26.380 And you only get

00:45:27.220 two bets,

00:45:28.900 two possibilities.

00:45:30.160 You either bet

00:45:31.160 that the military

00:45:32.480 industrial complex

00:45:33.560 is telling you the

00:45:34.300 truth on some

00:45:35.260 specific issue,

00:45:36.640 or you bet that

00:45:37.720 David Sachs has a

00:45:39.280 more accurate take.

00:45:40.200 and there's lots of

00:45:43.660 different iterations,

00:45:44.360 lots of different

00:45:45.120 bets.

00:45:46.880 Now, I'm not going to

00:45:47.900 say that David Sachs

00:45:48.760 will be right on every

00:45:49.980 take.

00:45:50.860 Nobody is.

00:45:52.580 But do you really

00:45:53.660 think he's not

00:45:54.360 killing the experts?

00:45:56.580 He's been destroying

00:45:57.980 the experts.

00:45:59.620 Just that one person.

00:46:01.580 He's been destroying

00:46:02.800 the experts on a whole

00:46:04.360 bunch of stuff.

00:46:05.540 It's not just the

00:46:06.440 Ukraine war.

00:46:07.100 He's been more

00:46:08.540 right than people

00:46:09.540 have a right to be

00:46:10.320 right about anything.

00:46:13.720 How do people not

00:46:15.060 notice?

00:46:16.520 How do you not

00:46:17.040 notice that there's

00:46:17.800 somebody who's just

00:46:18.380 right all the time?

00:46:19.580 Just like consistently

00:46:20.480 right.

00:46:21.300 And the experts are

00:46:22.600 like, whoa.

00:46:25.600 It's a weird world.

00:46:27.340 All right.

00:46:27.600 You were probably

00:46:30.860 aware that until

00:46:31.880 the Supreme Court's

00:46:33.080 more recent rulings

00:46:34.380 that the Supreme

00:46:36.560 Court would be an

00:46:37.140 issue in the 2024

00:46:37.980 election because of

00:46:39.900 abortion and Roe

00:46:42.120 versus Wade.

00:46:43.560 And you think that

00:46:44.600 will still be fresh

00:46:45.500 and the Democrats

00:46:46.260 will make a big deal

00:46:47.080 about it, because

00:46:48.140 they did in the

00:46:50.140 prior election.

00:46:51.420 So we kind of

00:46:52.180 expect that.

00:46:53.540 But I saw a good

00:46:55.280 warning.

00:46:56.160 I think it was in

00:46:57.020 the Wall Street

00:46:57.580 Journal, an opinion

00:46:58.420 piece, that the

00:47:02.100 Democrats better be 0.75

00:47:03.040 careful if they take

00:47:04.480 on the Supreme

00:47:05.140 Court, because the

00:47:06.680 Supreme Court's vote

00:47:07.800 on affirmative action

00:47:09.160 is actually popular,

00:47:11.940 like the majority of

00:47:12.920 the country agrees

00:47:13.700 with the Supreme

00:47:14.300 Court.

00:47:14.580 and the ruling

00:47:16.540 on student loan

00:47:18.220 relief is also

00:47:20.240 favored by a

00:47:21.600 majority, that,

00:47:23.300 you know, not

00:47:23.760 doing it.

00:47:24.820 And, more to the

00:47:26.200 point, the people

00:47:27.920 who are most

00:47:28.600 against student

00:47:30.060 loan forgiveness

00:47:30.720 were older

00:47:31.580 public, you know,

00:47:33.280 part of the public

00:47:33.820 that's older, and

00:47:35.380 they're more likely

00:47:35.940 to vote.

00:47:37.200 So it turns out

00:47:38.240 that the abortion

00:47:40.380 issue, I think,

00:47:41.340 is going to get a

00:47:42.120 little bit stale

00:47:43.180 by 2024.

00:47:45.920 Because the

00:47:47.880 Republicans have

00:47:48.640 the ultimate

00:47:49.100 answer to that.

00:47:50.940 We kicked it to

00:47:52.220 the states, so it's

00:47:53.460 closer to you, the

00:47:54.520 individual.

00:47:55.740 You want the

00:47:56.500 decision to be as

00:47:57.400 close to the

00:47:58.020 individual as

00:47:58.640 possible, and while

00:48:00.340 we certainly have

00:48:01.060 opinions about what

00:48:02.100 should and should

00:48:02.680 not be legal, we

00:48:03.980 think the federal

00:48:04.640 government should get

00:48:05.460 out of it.

00:48:06.540 So you're not

00:48:07.320 really arguing about

00:48:08.120 abortion.

00:48:08.480 you're arguing

00:48:10.120 about whether you

00:48:10.980 should make the

00:48:11.520 decision close to

00:48:12.940 the public or

00:48:13.700 farther from the

00:48:14.440 public.

00:48:15.880 That's our only

00:48:16.720 point.

00:48:17.380 So this would be

00:48:17.900 the Republican

00:48:18.440 take.

00:48:19.160 The only thing

00:48:19.900 we're asking is

00:48:21.400 that you get more

00:48:22.200 involved in your

00:48:22.900 own decisions.

00:48:25.060 Get more involved

00:48:26.340 in your own life.

00:48:28.280 That's what we're

00:48:28.920 asking.

00:48:29.880 We're asking that

00:48:30.640 you don't let the

00:48:31.260 federal government

00:48:31.960 make decisions that

00:48:32.940 you should be

00:48:33.400 making.

00:48:34.380 Make it as close

00:48:35.420 to your local

00:48:36.260 government as you

00:48:37.660 can, and then

00:48:38.740 you're going to

00:48:39.100 feel the most

00:48:39.580 comfortable with

00:48:40.300 it, and people

00:48:41.280 will get different

00:48:41.860 answers in different

00:48:42.540 states.

00:48:43.440 Now that's a pretty

00:48:44.380 good defense.

00:48:46.280 I haven't heard any

00:48:47.100 Republicans say it

00:48:47.940 the way I said it.

00:48:49.020 They do say it, but

00:48:50.400 they don't say it

00:48:51.000 cleanly, and they

00:48:52.200 don't package it

00:48:53.420 well.

00:48:54.600 But it's a perfect

00:48:55.780 defense because it

00:48:57.600 actually gives people

00:48:58.440 more of what they

00:48:59.180 want instead of less,

00:49:00.260 or at least you

00:49:00.740 can phrase it like

00:49:03.320 that.

00:49:04.500 You can still have

00:49:05.400 your abortion.

00:49:05.880 You might have to

00:49:07.500 move to a state

00:49:09.540 where people agree

00:49:10.280 with you, but if

00:49:11.760 you live in a state

00:49:12.500 where the people

00:49:13.020 around you don't

00:49:13.960 want it, is that

00:49:16.560 our problem?

00:49:17.780 Is that the federal

00:49:18.760 government's problem

00:49:19.600 that your neighbors

00:49:20.540 don't like abortion?

00:49:23.580 It's a pretty easy

00:49:24.720 sell that you need

00:49:26.080 to work it out at

00:49:26.760 the state level, and

00:49:27.860 that that's all the

00:49:28.900 Supreme Court did.

00:49:29.740 In my opinion, that

00:49:30.520 is all they did.

00:49:31.660 I don't think they

00:49:32.500 ruled on abortion

00:49:33.240 whatsoever.

00:49:33.920 They just said

00:49:36.860 whose authority it

00:49:37.900 was.

00:49:38.800 So, I do think

00:49:41.460 that the Supreme

00:49:42.180 Court, which I

00:49:42.980 thought was going

00:49:43.620 to be the biggest

00:49:44.300 problem for

00:49:45.240 Republicans, might

00:49:46.880 have actually

00:49:47.360 reversed in terms

00:49:48.560 of its impact if

00:49:51.560 the Republicans can,

00:49:54.040 let's say, elegantly

00:49:55.240 handle the abortion 0.98

00:49:56.200 question.

00:49:57.120 And they should,

00:49:58.520 because it's right

00:49:59.100 there.

00:49:59.540 I mean, it's right

00:50:00.100 there for them to

00:50:00.720 take.

00:50:01.080 It's free money.

00:50:01.820 It's just sitting on

00:50:02.440 the table.

00:50:02.800 You just have to

00:50:03.940 pick it up.

00:50:05.160 Don't tell us what

00:50:06.040 you think about a

00:50:07.220 fetus.

00:50:08.380 Do not care.

00:50:09.860 The best thing that

00:50:10.700 Trump could say about

00:50:11.520 this, or let's say

00:50:12.520 any Republican is,

00:50:14.200 why do you care about

00:50:15.320 my opinion about

00:50:16.200 abortion? 0.89

00:50:17.680 I care about your

00:50:18.740 opinion about abortion.

00:50:20.380 Oh, that's good.

00:50:22.140 Shit, that's good.

00:50:24.820 Imagine you being

00:50:25.660 president, and you

00:50:26.260 say, why do you care

00:50:27.100 about my opinion of

00:50:28.060 abortion? 0.89

00:50:28.580 You should care about

00:50:29.360 yours, because that's

00:50:30.140 what I care about.

00:50:30.800 I care about your

00:50:32.120 opinion about abortion.

00:50:33.600 I'm not going to have

00:50:34.320 a baby.

00:50:36.080 Now, look at me.

00:50:37.560 I'm not going to have

00:50:38.220 a baby, but you

00:50:39.140 might.

00:50:40.160 Your opinion on

00:50:40.940 abortion is critical

00:50:42.200 and vital to me.

00:50:44.760 My opinion on

00:50:45.640 abortion should be 0.90

00:50:46.440 zero interest to you

00:50:47.560 from the federal

00:50:48.620 government.

00:50:49.940 Work it out at the

00:50:50.600 state.

00:50:51.680 Isn't that strong?

00:50:53.660 Now, that's, you

00:50:54.640 know, sort of

00:50:55.180 political narrative-y,

00:50:57.300 persuasion-y.

00:50:58.060 I mean, it's not

00:50:58.720 based on truth, per

00:51:00.080 se.

00:51:00.620 It's just persuasion.

00:51:02.880 But you would love

00:51:04.080 any politician who

00:51:05.200 said, stop asking my

00:51:06.560 opinion about your

00:51:07.360 body.

00:51:08.860 Oh, that's even

00:51:09.840 better.

00:51:10.600 Oh, my God, that's

00:51:11.300 even better.

00:51:12.360 Stop asking my

00:51:13.460 opinion about your

00:51:14.440 body.

00:51:16.360 That's the end of

00:51:17.340 it.

00:51:18.200 That would end the

00:51:19.180 debate.

00:51:20.540 Stop asking my

00:51:21.560 opinion about your

00:51:22.420 body.

00:51:23.940 Wow.

00:51:24.340 Wow.

00:51:24.400 Yeah, that

00:51:28.860 dropped a few

00:51:29.460 mics, didn't it?

00:51:31.380 That is really

00:51:32.320 strong, isn't it?

00:51:33.460 Let me just pause

00:51:34.720 here and ask you.

00:51:36.200 In my mind, that

00:51:37.500 sounded like insanely

00:51:38.580 strong.

00:51:40.000 Did you feel it?

00:51:42.180 Did you feel that

00:51:43.200 as persuasive?

00:51:46.660 Not really.

00:51:47.940 Some yes, some no.

00:51:49.920 Now, persuasion, of

00:51:50.920 course, doesn't need

00:51:51.560 to get y'all.

00:51:53.140 Right?

00:51:53.420 It doesn't work

00:51:53.940 that way.

00:51:54.660 You're only trying

00:51:55.420 to pick off the

00:51:56.100 5% that might be

00:51:57.300 persuadable.

00:51:59.420 Women never forget 1.00

00:52:00.480 rights taken.

00:52:02.300 Yeah, well, that's

00:52:03.060 certainly the pro-abortion

00:52:06.300 people are going to

00:52:07.460 phrase it as a right

00:52:08.920 taken away.

00:52:10.320 But I think it's too

00:52:11.580 easy to answer that.

00:52:15.060 That it's a right

00:52:16.120 that's driven down

00:52:17.380 to you.

00:52:19.720 I'm giving you more

00:52:20.800 control over your

00:52:21.560 rights.

00:52:21.860 That is what Trump

00:52:26.200 has been saying?

00:52:27.340 Yeah, I don't think

00:52:27.960 he says it as well

00:52:28.620 as I said it.

00:52:31.080 All right.

00:52:33.620 Let me give you an

00:52:34.400 update on global

00:52:35.200 warming.

00:52:37.940 There are two things

00:52:38.920 happening with global

00:52:39.740 warming at the same

00:52:40.540 time.

00:52:40.900 And these are both

00:52:42.040 confirmed.

00:52:43.540 The planet's getting

00:52:44.680 warmer and the planet

00:52:45.860 is cooling off.

00:52:47.920 Confirmed.

00:52:48.440 So there are two

00:52:49.920 things I know for

00:52:50.700 sure is that the

00:52:52.720 planet is getting

00:52:53.480 warmer and also

00:52:54.360 colder at the same

00:52:55.240 time.

00:52:56.120 And I know that

00:52:57.040 because of data.

00:52:58.640 So I've looked into

00:52:59.700 it.

00:52:59.960 I've done a deep

00:53:00.480 dive.

00:53:01.360 I've checked the

00:53:01.980 data.

00:53:02.740 And as of today,

00:53:03.840 the Wall Street

00:53:04.320 Journal, which is not

00:53:06.080 noted for its left

00:53:07.260 leaning politics, the

00:53:09.400 Wall Street Journal is

00:53:10.320 reporting that we

00:53:11.980 reached a new global

00:53:14.300 high in temperature.

00:53:15.640 It's a new high.

00:53:18.780 And things are

00:53:20.500 getting warmer all

00:53:21.200 over the world.

00:53:22.660 If you go to

00:53:23.960 Twitter and just put

00:53:26.260 in climate change,

00:53:27.440 you'll find very

00:53:28.400 credible people telling

00:53:29.600 you exactly the

00:53:30.560 opposite, and they'll

00:53:31.420 show you data.

00:53:32.740 And they'll even show

00:53:33.700 you official data.

00:53:34.600 They'll show you data

00:53:35.260 from the people who

00:53:35.960 claim that climate

00:53:38.640 change is an

00:53:39.580 emergency.

00:53:40.280 They'll use their own 1.00

00:53:41.240 data.

00:53:42.020 And they'll say,

00:53:42.880 here it is.

00:53:43.480 It's not true.

00:53:44.280 And then other

00:53:46.100 people will look at,

00:53:47.260 I guess, the same

00:53:48.040 data and say, there

00:53:48.880 it is.

00:53:49.200 It's true.

00:53:50.540 Yeah.

00:53:51.380 So I have no idea.

00:53:54.180 I don't even know how

00:53:55.200 you figure it out.

00:53:57.260 How do you know it's

00:53:58.140 true?

00:54:01.120 I don't know.

00:54:03.260 So I'll just, this is

00:54:05.880 maybe the most dangerous

00:54:06.900 thing for the planet is 0.99

00:54:09.580 that we can't tell.

00:54:11.180 Now, I happen to think

00:54:12.400 that no matter how

00:54:13.900 true or not true it

00:54:14.860 is, we're going to do

00:54:15.560 all the same things,

00:54:17.440 meaning that we're

00:54:18.080 going to, you know,

00:54:19.140 the free market still

00:54:21.220 rewards people if they

00:54:22.300 come up with a better

00:54:23.080 form of energy, or

00:54:24.480 even just a good enough

00:54:25.520 form of energy that you

00:54:26.460 could sell a lot of it.

00:54:27.740 So the free market

00:54:28.700 should be doing

00:54:29.400 everything it needs to

00:54:30.360 do to come up with

00:54:31.820 alternative forms of

00:54:33.100 energy, and it seems

00:54:34.540 like it is.

00:54:35.780 So probably we'll be

00:54:37.340 fine, whether it's

00:54:39.760 actually getting warmer

00:54:41.620 like the Wall Street

00:54:43.260 Journal reports today,

00:54:44.480 or it's not, as people

00:54:46.860 all over social media

00:54:47.900 like to tell you.

00:54:49.660 We're going to do the

00:54:50.400 same stuff.

00:54:51.440 Probably doesn't make

00:54:52.300 any difference at all.

00:54:54.140 Because we're so good at

00:54:55.560 remediating against,

00:54:59.240 you know, extremes,

00:55:00.740 everything from extreme

00:55:01.940 heat to extreme

00:55:03.260 everything else, we're

00:55:04.540 really good at it.

00:55:05.220 I think we'll, I think

00:55:07.480 we'll survive.

00:55:09.460 All right, DeSantis

00:55:10.240 campaign made a, I

00:55:13.180 think, a big gaffe.

00:55:15.100 You tell me.

00:55:17.640 So DeSantis tweeted, I

00:55:20.660 guess his campaign tweeted

00:55:23.120 an anti-LGBT, well, what

00:55:28.740 they tried to do, DeSantis

00:55:29.840 tried to make Trump look

00:55:32.700 like he was too

00:55:36.000 pro-LGBTQ, right?

00:55:39.800 DeSantis retweeted a

00:55:42.980 mean political ad

00:55:45.960 that tried to paint

00:55:50.560 Trump as a bad person

00:55:52.300 for being too supportive

00:55:54.400 of LGBTQ.

00:55:56.680 That actually happened

00:55:58.300 in American politics.

00:56:00.880 That really happened.

00:56:02.700 Oh my God.

00:56:05.140 That's such a mistake.

00:56:08.080 You know, Trump has

00:56:11.520 lived in the sort of

00:56:12.880 a Hollywood celebrity

00:56:15.300 world for most of his

00:56:17.040 adult life.

00:56:19.200 If you know anything

00:56:20.600 about the Hollywood,

00:56:22.180 you know, famous rich

00:56:23.800 people life, you know

00:56:25.920 it is just full of

00:56:27.720 LGBTQ people.

00:56:29.180 I would guess that

00:56:32.320 Trump is very

00:56:33.420 comfortable, certainly

00:56:34.580 the way he talks

00:56:35.360 about it, is very

00:56:36.440 comfortable with the

00:56:37.400 LGBT community and

00:56:40.160 is fully supportive of

00:56:43.040 them having a full and

00:56:44.440 free quality life.

00:56:47.060 So going against Trump

00:56:49.520 on this issue is maybe

00:56:51.080 the dumbest thing I've

00:56:52.000 ever seen.

00:56:52.500 Like, I get that there

00:56:55.420 are, you know, some

00:56:56.020 anti-LGBTQ people and

00:56:57.940 maybe they'll say, yeah,

00:56:59.400 DeSantis really goes

00:57:00.980 after him.

00:57:01.820 But if you tell me that

00:57:03.780 you're going to pick the

00:57:04.760 campaign who's going

00:57:05.700 after, going after a

00:57:09.140 segment of Americans?

00:57:10.340 What?

00:57:13.140 That doesn't work for me.

00:57:15.460 No, no.

00:57:17.200 It's one thing to say,

00:57:18.480 you know, progressive

00:57:19.580 politics are crazy.

00:57:21.420 It's one thing to say

00:57:22.400 AOC is crazy or, you 0.51

00:57:25.140 know, the politicians.

00:57:26.340 You can call them crazy.

00:57:27.840 That's fine.

00:57:28.820 But you don't go after

00:57:29.860 a segment of the

00:57:34.060 American public.

00:57:36.560 How does that make

00:57:37.600 sense?

00:57:38.380 How do you win an

00:57:39.100 election doing that?

00:57:40.340 That's pure Hillary. 1.00

00:57:42.180 That's like Hillary 1.00

00:57:42.920 Department.

00:57:44.300 You know, well, we got

00:57:45.140 these deplorables.

00:57:46.860 Wait, what?

00:57:49.000 What?

00:57:50.100 You just called a bunch

00:57:51.420 of law-abiding Americans

00:57:53.420 deplorable?

00:57:54.880 Did they break any laws?

00:57:56.620 Did they violate your

00:57:57.440 constitution?

00:57:59.020 Did they poop on your

00:58:00.000 lawn?

00:58:01.180 No, you don't do that if

00:58:02.540 you're running for

00:58:03.000 president.

00:58:04.080 If you're president,

00:58:05.180 everybody's cool.

00:58:06.680 That's got to be.

00:58:07.840 That's just got to be

00:58:08.640 the base.

00:58:09.860 Everybody's cool.

00:58:11.080 If you're following the

00:58:12.700 law, you know, we have

00:58:13.760 different opinions of

00:58:14.600 what law should be.

00:58:15.840 But everybody who's

00:58:16.720 following the law, you're

00:58:17.480 all cool.

00:58:18.740 Anything beyond that is

00:58:19.900 just fucked up. 0.97

00:58:21.140 That's just fucked up.

00:58:22.140 So I think DeSantis probably

00:58:24.080 just destroyed his chances

00:58:25.620 with that.

00:58:27.020 I don't know what chances

00:58:27.820 he had.

00:58:28.700 Now, would it be surprising

00:58:30.560 for you to learn that

00:58:32.520 Ramaswamy is picking up 0.91

00:58:34.160 polling steam?

00:58:36.780 So remember, Ramaswamy was

00:58:38.460 polling at like about

00:58:39.600 nothing, close to 2%, I

00:58:41.900 think in the beginning, 2% or

00:58:43.060 3%.

00:58:43.740 And DeSantis was around

00:58:46.280 20%.

00:58:47.100 Well, it depends what

00:58:48.580 poll you're looking at, and

00:58:49.620 I don't see the name of

00:58:50.420 this poll.

00:58:51.180 But allegedly, according to

00:58:54.060 The Hill, DeSantis is down

00:58:57.300 from 20 to 16, and Ramaswamy

00:59:00.240 is up to 10.

00:59:04.440 That's right.

00:59:05.120 So Vivek is, first of all,

00:59:12.780 taking strong positions on

00:59:14.860 stuff like fentanyl, very

00:59:16.940 strong.

00:59:17.500 But the brilliant thing he's

00:59:19.140 doing is he's going into the

00:59:20.640 enemy's cave and walking out

00:59:22.740 with their scalps.

00:59:25.520 He's walking into CNN, and he

00:59:27.860 walks out and he holds up a

00:59:29.580 scalp.

00:59:31.040 And then somebody else invites

00:59:32.300 him in, and he walks out with

00:59:34.340 a scalp.

00:59:36.080 It's really effective.

00:59:39.420 So he's not afraid of the

00:59:41.360 hardest argument.

00:59:42.980 He's going into the darkest

00:59:44.560 caves, and he's walking out

00:59:46.100 with a scalp.

00:59:47.360 He's doing it one time after

00:59:48.660 another.

00:59:49.220 And after a while, you can't

00:59:50.360 ignore it, right?

00:59:51.980 If he does it once, he got

00:59:53.160 lucky.

00:59:54.320 If he keeps doing it, if he

00:59:57.300 keeps doing it, you can't

00:59:58.900 ignore that.

01:00:01.320 And I don't really see him

01:00:04.300 generating what I would call

01:00:05.740 gaffes or, let's say, reasons

01:00:09.100 to not like him.

01:00:10.540 I mean, if you don't like his

01:00:11.580 policies, that's fair game.

01:00:13.580 But he's not giving you a

01:00:14.840 reason to dislike him.

01:00:17.320 And other politicians do.

01:00:18.980 They give you a reason to

01:00:19.980 dislike them.

01:00:21.080 He doesn't do that.

01:00:22.480 He just tells you what he

01:00:23.480 thinks will work.

01:00:24.240 He takes the role of a

01:00:27.760 patriot, the very best kind.

01:00:31.220 So he's impressing the hell

01:00:33.380 out of me.

01:00:34.260 Will he win?

01:00:35.120 We'll see.

01:00:36.160 Anything could happen.

01:00:37.460 He does have a path.

01:00:39.620 His path is to slightly pull

01:00:41.600 ahead of DeSantis, which looks

01:00:43.860 doable, believe it or not.

01:00:45.540 Actually, it looks doable.

01:00:47.100 He's within stretching distance.

01:00:49.340 If he can get into something

01:00:52.600 like a legitimate second place

01:00:54.780 race with DeSantis, and then

01:00:57.160 let's say something happens

01:00:58.520 with Trump.

01:00:59.900 Because when you talk about

01:01:01.200 Trump, something happens is

01:01:03.360 guaranteed.

01:01:04.920 Do you think Trump is going to

01:01:05.900 have no shocks or scandals or

01:01:09.980 be taken out of context again?

01:01:12.480 Of course he will.

01:01:13.980 The press will make up a new

01:01:16.160 story about Trump, and it will

01:01:17.780 be devastating, like all the

01:01:19.680 old stories they made up

01:01:20.800 about him.

01:01:21.720 And Vivek will just be sort

01:01:23.220 of unscathed, because they're

01:01:25.960 not going to put enough

01:01:26.680 attention on him.

01:01:28.360 So he might be just the only

01:01:30.400 unscathed Republican at some

01:01:33.900 point.

01:01:34.800 If that point is the right

01:01:36.300 point, he goes all the way.

01:01:39.720 So he does have a path.

01:01:41.460 I mean, it's narrow.

01:01:42.580 It's very narrow.

01:01:44.020 So it depends entirely upon

01:01:45.900 Trump.

01:01:46.300 So his fate is his own

01:01:49.400 against DeSantis.

01:01:50.980 Yeah, that's the best way to

01:01:52.020 say it.

01:01:52.580 So Vivek can completely

01:01:53.980 control his fate against the

01:01:55.660 other candidates.

01:01:57.360 He has complete control of

01:01:58.840 that.

01:01:59.600 He does not have control over

01:02:01.440 whether he could beat Trump.

01:02:03.440 Trump would have to take

01:02:04.640 himself out, or the Democrats

01:02:06.240 would have to finally succeed.

01:02:08.700 But he's going to be the

01:02:10.640 strongest one who's just

01:02:12.080 sitting there waiting,

01:02:13.780 potentially.

01:02:14.180 Now, DeSantis is going to get

01:02:16.160 a lot of heat from the

01:02:17.060 LGBTQ and other places.

01:02:20.160 And so he might be, he might

01:02:21.740 look a little damaged.

01:02:23.540 And I don't think he could beat

01:02:25.240 Vivek in a debate.

01:02:28.360 Because DeSantis is a pleading

01:02:30.760 voice.

01:02:31.560 I've talked about this.

01:02:33.100 And Vivek is a commanding voice.

01:02:35.160 And I don't mean the quality,

01:02:37.080 the sound of the voice.

01:02:38.740 I mean, the way they present,

01:02:41.240 DeSantis is complaining and

01:02:43.280 then telling you he'll fix it.

01:02:45.400 And Vivek also, you know,

01:02:47.520 calls out the issues.

01:02:49.000 But it's more of a commanding,

01:02:51.060 you know, I'm going to do this,

01:02:52.240 we'll do this kind of thing.

01:02:54.120 So I think Vivek would beat

01:02:57.720 DeSantis in a straight-up

01:02:59.160 debate.

01:03:02.920 But, you know, I've been

01:03:04.540 saying this a lot, but I like to

01:03:06.140 just remind you every now and

01:03:08.360 then, because it's really easy to

01:03:09.520 get down on your country.

01:03:11.220 Real easy.

01:03:13.340 But just think about the fact

01:03:14.800 that we have a Vivek,

01:03:17.620 a DeSantis,

01:03:19.800 you know, RFK Jr.,

01:03:21.100 Trump, you know, Biden, I think,

01:03:24.340 you know, he's passed his

01:03:25.220 expiration date.

01:03:26.600 So it's not about him being a

01:03:28.080 Democrat or not, because, you

01:03:29.220 know, RFK Jr. is a Democrat.

01:03:31.000 But when I see those three

01:03:33.920 characters being, you know,

01:03:35.560 serious contenders for the race,

01:03:37.520 I say, I think we'll be okay.

01:03:40.520 Like, America can still feel

01:03:43.220 that level of talent for the top

01:03:45.940 office.

01:03:46.340 And to me, that's a really high

01:03:48.480 level of talent.

01:03:49.300 You know, whoever wins, you

01:03:51.640 know, if one of those, if one

01:03:52.920 of that group wins,

01:03:55.080 I don't know, I just feel like

01:03:56.460 the country's in good shape,

01:03:57.640 even if you don't like some of

01:03:58.820 the policies.

01:04:01.460 So, DeSantis also decided

01:04:04.220 that Florida will not, or I guess

01:04:09.320 the state decided, but DeSantis is

01:04:11.000 probably behind it, that there are

01:04:13.140 five states that Florida will not

01:04:15.480 accept their driver's license of

01:04:17.320 their state.

01:04:19.300 So, if you came to Florida from

01:04:21.200 Delaware, Connecticut, Hawaii,

01:04:22.640 Rhode Island, or Vermont, you

01:04:24.560 wouldn't be able to rent a car.

01:04:27.300 Do you know why?

01:04:29.320 I believe the reason is that these

01:04:31.420 five states give driver's license to

01:04:33.780 illegal immigrants.

01:04:36.300 And DeSantis is saying, if you're

01:04:38.540 going to give licenses to

01:04:39.780 illegals, and that license allows

01:04:42.120 them to get services, my state

01:04:44.940 doesn't give services to illegals.

01:04:46.720 So, if you're going to certify that

01:04:48.600 these illegals have driver's

01:04:50.920 licenses, we're going to ban your 1.00

01:04:53.140 state.

01:04:54.460 You can't have a driver's license in

01:04:56.620 their state.

01:04:57.820 Now, all right, so somebody's saying

01:04:59.920 free money.

01:05:01.180 I get that it's popular.

01:05:03.680 However, that would be a good move as

01:05:07.440 a what?

01:05:10.460 That would be a good move as a

01:05:12.960 governor.

01:05:15.340 Yeah, that's the problem.

01:05:18.000 He just screwed five states and he's

01:05:19.940 running for governor.

01:05:20.640 Let me say it again.

01:05:23.160 In one week, DeSantis insulted the

01:05:25.780 LGBT community and five states.

01:05:29.740 Five states.

01:05:30.720 There's five states that can't have

01:05:36.240 a driver's license or can't legally

01:05:38.520 drive in Florida.

01:05:40.640 Not good.

01:05:41.980 Not good.

01:05:42.720 So, no matter what you think about

01:05:43.960 how smart that is, as a governor, as

01:05:47.300 a presidential candidate, it's just a

01:05:49.060 that's just self-immolating.

01:05:51.640 To me, it's the most ridiculously bad

01:05:53.620 idea I've ever seen.

01:05:54.980 Ever seen in my whole life.

01:05:56.480 No, that's not true.

01:05:57.460 It's not the worst idea I've ever

01:05:58.580 seen.

01:05:58.760 But this is very governor-like.

01:06:02.100 That's the wrong vibe.

01:06:03.680 I don't want a governor vibe from my

01:06:05.760 president.

01:06:09.340 All right.

01:06:10.080 And the thing I said I was going to

01:06:11.500 get back to was my favorite story of

01:06:15.060 the day.

01:06:15.920 A lot of good ones today, but my

01:06:17.420 favorite is there's a Twitter user.

01:06:20.700 I'll call him a user, but he's a

01:06:22.120 political troll called David Leavitt.

01:06:25.520 I think that's pronounced.

01:06:26.660 And he was complaining to Musk and

01:06:29.740 Twitter that somebody had called him

01:06:32.480 the C word.

01:06:34.560 It rhymes with runt, but starts with a C.

01:06:38.680 And he was saying that he couldn't

01:06:41.240 believe that Twitter would allow

01:06:42.760 somebody to stay on the platform after

01:06:45.580 using such an insult.

01:06:46.800 And it took about, oh, about a minute for

01:06:51.820 somebody to produce a November tweet from

01:06:54.460 David Leavitt in which he called somebody

01:06:56.360 a runt.

01:06:58.620 But with a C.

01:07:00.040 But with a C.

01:07:01.320 That's right.

01:07:01.820 So my advice to you is you should always

01:07:09.240 check your past tweets before you take a

01:07:11.960 stand.

01:07:13.700 Don't take a stand if you don't know what

01:07:16.040 you've tweeted in the past.

01:07:18.540 It sounds like a drunk tweet.

01:07:20.160 You're right.

01:07:22.020 But I think my theme for today is everything's

01:07:26.420 moving in the right direction.

01:07:27.500 Further proof that everything's moving in the

01:07:30.760 right direction?

01:07:31.860 On Twitter, you can use the C word.

01:07:35.480 Now, I'm not going to use it here because I

01:07:37.360 only use it in anger.

01:07:40.720 I like to save it.

01:07:42.360 You don't want to use its energy in just

01:07:44.540 talking about it.

01:07:45.560 That would be a waste of it.

01:07:46.760 You want to keep it fresh.

01:07:47.880 Okay, that was a terrible...

01:07:51.540 No, don't...

01:07:53.340 Retreat, retreat, go back.

01:07:55.500 Reverse, reverse, reverse.

01:07:57.280 No, I didn't say that.

01:07:58.320 I didn't say keep it fresh.

01:07:59.920 I'm going to say, you want to keep it

01:08:01.080 powerful.

01:08:01.980 You don't want to drain the energy out of

01:08:03.660 it.

01:08:03.840 You want to keep it powerful.

01:08:05.160 Not fresh.

01:08:06.800 Powerful.

01:08:08.020 Fresh would be good, too.

01:08:09.380 I'm not saying it shouldn't be fresh.

01:08:11.640 Keep it fresh if you can.

01:08:13.320 I'm just saying that my point was about

01:08:15.760 the energy.

01:08:16.220 You want to keep that energy in there

01:08:18.320 in case you need it.

01:08:19.960 So, once again, I'm right about

01:08:22.620 precaution.

01:08:24.620 I'm right about everything.

01:08:27.840 I'm having a good week of being right

01:08:29.580 about everything.

01:08:31.260 Wokeness is disappearing.

01:08:34.580 You may have noticed that I'm slowly

01:08:36.680 being rehabilitated from one of my

01:08:40.840 disgraced cartoonists.

01:08:42.820 You see it in small ways.

01:08:44.260 So, for the Daily Wire to feature my

01:08:47.740 tweet, it would suggest that the Daily

01:08:51.220 Wire is not afraid of me because, you

01:08:54.040 know, they were mentioning it in the

01:08:55.880 same sense as other standard, what they

01:08:59.560 would call right-leaning pundits.

01:09:01.040 How many shows in a row?

01:09:05.420 What?

01:09:09.120 So, everything's going well.

01:09:12.760 And I believe the experts, they got

01:09:17.500 nothing on us.

01:09:19.360 No, they got nothing on us.

01:09:21.640 All right, YouTube.

01:09:22.520 Thanks for joining.

01:09:26.380 Fun day today.

01:09:27.440 I'm sure it'll be fun tomorrow.

01:09:28.740 I love this summer news.

01:09:30.520 Summer news is the best.

01:09:32.380 And I will talk to you tomorrow.

01:09:33.880 Bye-bye.

01:09:44.320 Bye-bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 06, 2023

Episode 2161 Scott Adams： News, Propaganda, Narrative, And Delicious Coffee. I Have Everything Today

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