Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 10, 2023


Episode 2165 Scott Adams Theme For Today: Daddy Is Coming Home. Bring Coffee


Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 12 minutes

Words per minute

150.94426

Word count

10,990

Sentence count

850

Harmful content

Misogyny

24

sentences flagged

Toxicity

140

sentences flagged

Hate speech

55

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

A story about a guy who forgets to roll down his window in the car wash, and accidentally stares at a nozzle instead. And a tweet about how society doesn't need men in order to survive in the 21st century.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
00:00:09.420 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams.
00:00:11.380 There's never been a better moment in your life, and it's just going to get better for the next hour or so.
00:00:17.220 And if you'd like this experience to reach levels that nobody even imagined were possible,
00:00:23.220 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or stine, a canteen, joke or flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:28.840 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
00:00:32.540 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
00:00:39.360 It's called the Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now.
00:00:46.480 Ah. Delightful.
00:00:52.000 Well, if you were a subscriber to Dilbert Reborn, either on Twitter,
00:00:56.980 you can subscribe, just see my profile,
00:01:00.300 or on the Locals platform, where you see lots more than Dilbert,
00:01:04.580 you would know that today's comic features the boss character
00:01:09.360 who forgets to roll down his windows in the car wash.
00:01:13.540 Now I thought to myself, surely that's never happened to a real person in the real world, has it?
00:01:23.020 Well, it took me about a minute for somebody on Locals to say that they had that same issue.
00:01:29.480 And it was just funny the way they described it.
00:01:31.660 So a gentleman rolled, you know what the car wash is,
00:01:35.340 where you put your car onto the conveyor belt,
00:01:39.520 and then you just stay in your car as it goes through the car wash,
00:01:42.820 and all the jets and stuff are shooting on you until you're done.
00:01:46.000 And he tells a story of he's sitting in the car wash,
00:01:50.080 you know, you go in the inside,
00:01:51.820 and he's sitting there, and he happens to look to his left
00:01:55.600 and notices that his driver's side window is done,
00:02:00.080 and he's looking right at a nozzle.
00:02:03.440 He's looking directly at a nozzle, just looking back at him.
00:02:06.620 Bam.
00:02:08.500 So I guess he got facialized in the car wash,
00:02:12.100 which to me is the funniest thing I've ever heard in my life.
00:02:14.520 I just imagine that moment where, you know,
00:02:19.540 because you go into the car wash,
00:02:20.780 and you think you've got 10 minutes of not doing anything.
00:02:25.580 So, like, your brain goes into sort of a,
00:02:27.780 I guess I'll just be sitting here for 10 minutes mode.
00:02:30.360 I just imagine sitting there, just casually glancing over
00:02:33.660 as you're looking directly into the face of a nozzle.
00:02:39.540 Anyway, I thought it was funny.
00:02:40.860 All right.
00:02:42.500 Today's theme is Daddy's Coming Home.
00:02:48.660 Daddy's Coming Home.
00:02:50.260 That's the theme.
00:02:51.360 You think it's about Trump?
00:02:53.180 It's a little bit about Trump,
00:02:54.840 but it's bigger than that.
00:02:57.640 So, and we'll put together a few stories
00:03:01.600 to make this theme today.
00:03:04.380 I saw a tweet on Twitter,
00:03:07.440 which is where the tweets are.
00:03:09.120 By the way, if you're going to look for a tweet,
00:03:11.140 go to Twitter.
00:03:12.140 That's where they are.
00:03:14.300 From David Ritter.
00:03:16.760 And there was a news story,
00:03:19.020 but that's irrelevant to the tweet.
00:03:21.500 And he was replying to me,
00:03:22.760 and he says,
00:03:23.600 society don't need men, 1.00
00:03:27.460 don't need them to provide,
00:03:29.120 don't need them to reproduce,
00:03:31.620 don't need them to survive.
00:03:34.000 And he says,
00:03:36.340 argue the merits if you want,
00:03:37.580 but those are the facts.
00:03:39.500 What do you think?
00:03:41.120 Do you think that this is a good statement?
00:03:43.480 Society doesn't need men, 1.00
00:03:45.400 don't need them,
00:03:46.120 this is said by a man,
00:03:47.680 don't need them to provide,
00:03:48.980 produce, or survive.
00:03:50.860 What do you think?
00:03:51.640 Well, I tweeted back at David,
00:03:56.760 and I reminded him that this is 2023.
00:04:00.860 He thought it was 2022.
00:04:03.560 Well, it's an honest mistake.
00:04:05.080 It's not a mistake.
00:04:06.100 In 2022, you have to tweet things like, 1.00
00:04:08.940 men are stupid, idiots, 1.00
00:04:10.580 they add nothing to the world. 1.00
00:04:13.240 If they all died tomorrow, 0.99
00:04:14.720 everything would be much better. 0.97
00:04:16.440 There'd be no wars,
00:04:17.480 and women would be designing microchips, 1.00
00:04:19.380 like crazy.
00:04:20.140 2022, am I right?
00:04:23.380 Do you remember 2022?
00:04:24.980 Where he had to say,
00:04:26.080 the ladies can do it better than the men, 1.00
00:04:28.500 in everything.
00:04:30.440 They don't need you for anything.
00:04:33.220 No, that was 2022.
00:04:35.300 In 2023, you could actually say,
00:04:38.500 you know, we would be living an agrarian,
00:04:43.280 if we're lucky,
00:04:45.240 lifestyle if there had been only women. 0.97
00:04:48.420 You get that, right?
00:04:51.120 There would be no real technology.
00:04:54.380 No, I get it.
00:04:55.420 There are plenty of women 1.00
00:04:56.240 who are great at technology.
00:04:58.500 Can we take a pause?
00:05:00.580 All the people who are watching
00:05:02.180 who can't understand the concept
00:05:04.640 of large groups
00:05:06.360 sometimes have members within them
00:05:09.760 that are not exactly like the average.
00:05:12.820 Did all of you know that?
00:05:13.880 I don't,
00:05:16.620 because the people
00:05:17.500 who don't watch this live stream,
00:05:19.160 they don't know that.
00:05:20.560 Just go to Twitter,
00:05:21.360 you can find out.
00:05:22.380 They think that if a few people
00:05:23.980 were dangerous during the protest,
00:05:26.660 it's called a revolution.
00:05:28.720 That would be an insurrection.
00:05:30.420 So if there's a lot of people
00:05:31.680 who are just protesting,
00:05:33.320 but a few of them are,
00:05:35.100 you know,
00:05:35.480 actually want to overthrow the government,
00:05:36.900 then the whole thing
00:05:38.320 is called an insurrection, right? 1.00
00:05:41.080 That's what the fucking idiots 1.00
00:05:42.780 who think that they're helping think. 1.00
00:05:45.920 So we don't need them here.
00:05:47.900 So if you're in the group of people
00:05:49.540 who thinks,
00:05:50.360 my God,
00:05:51.080 did you just say
00:05:52.820 that women can't do technology? 1.00
00:05:55.700 No.
00:05:57.020 No, nobody said that.
00:05:59.020 Nothing even similar to that.
00:06:02.000 I did say that
00:06:03.240 if only women exist, 1.00
00:06:04.460 there would be no technology industry.
00:06:06.900 Which is true.
00:06:08.180 But you couldn't say that in 2022.
00:06:11.240 2023? 1.00
00:06:12.880 Free speech, bitches. 1.00
00:06:14.680 I can say anything I want. 1.00
00:06:16.260 And the bitches replies 1.00
00:06:17.460 to the men and the women, 1.00
00:06:19.000 in this case.
00:06:21.020 Just so you know.
00:06:22.560 Anyway, so let's get that
00:06:23.840 2022 thinking out of there.
00:06:25.780 Men can actually do things.
00:06:28.540 Men can do things.
00:06:30.140 I know.
00:06:30.980 It's surprising.
00:06:32.480 I would like to tag on to that thought
00:06:35.140 with,
00:06:36.480 you were watching
00:06:37.660 the Jonah Hill story.
00:06:39.920 Jonah Hill
00:06:40.420 told his girlfriend
00:06:42.060 in a text message
00:06:43.220 that became public
00:06:44.360 that he had
00:06:45.980 certain expectations
00:06:47.420 of her
00:06:47.940 and if she did not meet them,
00:06:50.300 he did not want to be
00:06:51.180 her boyfriend,
00:06:51.880 no hard feelings.
00:06:53.040 And the expectations
00:06:54.080 were mostly around
00:06:55.120 time that she would spend
00:06:56.460 with other men,
00:06:57.620 et cetera.
00:06:58.220 Mostly about that.
00:06:59.160 And what did
00:07:01.060 a therapist say
00:07:02.040 when the therapist
00:07:03.200 wanted to weigh in on it?
00:07:05.640 That the Jonah
00:07:07.180 had demonstrated
00:07:08.320 lack of respect
00:07:09.380 for his girlfriend's
00:07:10.840 autonomy and individuality.
00:07:13.180 And that his message
00:07:14.520 is more about
00:07:15.100 restricting Sarah's behavior
00:07:16.680 to sue his comfort levels
00:07:18.980 and insecurities
00:07:19.860 rather than expressing
00:07:22.100 his feelings or needs
00:07:23.340 in a healthy manner.
00:07:24.080 Can I give you
00:07:27.140 some advice?
00:07:28.800 This is for the men.
00:07:30.460 This is just for the men.
00:07:33.200 Couples therapy,
00:07:35.260 any kind of couples therapy,
00:07:37.440 is designed
00:07:38.240 for the woman
00:07:40.400 to be told
00:07:40.960 she's doing everything right
00:07:42.260 and for the therapist
00:07:43.920 to tell the man 1.00
00:07:44.760 that he's a fucking asshole. 1.00
00:07:46.720 That's all it is. 1.00
00:07:48.320 And the reason for that
00:07:49.460 is that no therapist
00:07:50.420 can say anything
00:07:51.440 that a woman 0.98
00:07:52.080 would disagree with
00:07:53.100 and still stay
00:07:54.140 in the business.
00:07:55.580 But a therapist
00:07:56.320 can disagree with men
00:07:57.560 all day long
00:07:59.200 and it's fine.
00:08:01.100 No problem.
00:08:02.840 So,
00:08:03.360 for the same reason that,
00:08:04.480 sorry,
00:08:05.960 for the same reason
00:08:06.800 I say eventually
00:08:08.040 all shoe salesmen
00:08:09.840 will be people
00:08:10.500 with a foot fetish
00:08:11.340 because free market,
00:08:14.220 if you let the free market
00:08:15.940 do its thing,
00:08:17.440 money will determine
00:08:18.620 what everybody does.
00:08:20.200 Right?
00:08:20.280 You couldn't be a therapist
00:08:21.820 and tell women the truth.
00:08:23.100 There's some 2023
00:08:25.840 truth for you.
00:08:27.580 You could not be
00:08:28.600 a professional therapist
00:08:29.900 and tell women the truth.
00:08:32.200 You couldn't do it.
00:08:33.400 Not and keep your job.
00:08:34.920 Now,
00:08:35.220 I have personal experience
00:08:36.360 with this.
00:08:37.260 I actually had
00:08:38.080 a couples therapist
00:08:39.340 in my first marriage
00:08:40.800 tell me directly
00:08:42.080 it's basically
00:08:42.800 I can't have opinions.
00:08:46.040 That was it.
00:08:47.160 I can't have opinions
00:08:48.020 about what I want
00:08:48.860 or what's good
00:08:49.480 or what works for me
00:08:50.960 or what doesn't work for me.
00:08:51.900 Just can't.
00:08:53.920 Now,
00:08:54.420 do you think
00:08:54.800 they tell women that?
00:08:56.340 No,
00:08:56.560 they tell women 0.51
00:08:57.060 the opposite.
00:08:58.000 That their feelings
00:08:58.840 are important 1.00
00:08:59.340 and their man's an asshole 1.00
00:09:00.360 for not giving them 1.00
00:09:02.060 everything they want.
00:09:03.840 Right?
00:09:04.120 Do you think
00:09:04.560 Jonah Hill's life
00:09:05.460 is going to be improved
00:09:06.360 if he takes
00:09:06.940 this unethical,
00:09:08.840 in my opinion,
00:09:10.160 therapist
00:09:11.180 suggestion
00:09:12.520 that he let his girlfriend
00:09:14.300 do whatever she wants
00:09:15.480 and if she wants
00:09:17.380 to spend the day
00:09:18.140 with handsome surfers
00:09:19.480 that's just her choice 0.53
00:09:22.420 and if he's insecure
00:09:23.780 about that
00:09:24.520 if she has some insecurity
00:09:27.500 if he has some insecurities
00:09:28.780 about his hot girlfriend
00:09:30.640 spending time
00:09:32.020 with other men
00:09:33.400 well,
00:09:34.960 that's just some insecurity
00:09:36.000 on his part.
00:09:36.560 But of course
00:09:37.780 this would be the same
00:09:38.660 if you reversed it,
00:09:39.600 right?
00:09:40.340 If you went to the therapist
00:09:41.620 and said,
00:09:42.740 Jonah,
00:09:43.680 basically,
00:09:44.480 he's gone for
00:09:45.700 days at a time
00:09:46.980 and he travels
00:09:47.600 with his ex-girlfriend.
00:09:49.720 What?
00:09:50.360 No,
00:09:50.620 they travel together
00:09:51.480 but they're just friends.
00:09:55.160 That's okay,
00:09:55.860 right?
00:09:56.660 Well,
00:09:56.840 why don't you trust Jonah?
00:09:58.620 Well,
00:09:59.400 why can't you trust him
00:10:00.560 and let him have his autonomy?
00:10:02.100 He told you
00:10:02.940 he's not in love
00:10:03.760 with his ex-girlfriend.
00:10:05.360 He just,
00:10:05.980 they always go on vacations.
00:10:07.240 What's wrong with that?
00:10:08.380 Give the man
00:10:09.100 a little autonomy,
00:10:10.060 will you?
00:10:10.960 How about a little trust?
00:10:12.120 Why stop?
00:10:12.520 Stop being such a narcissist
00:10:13.760 and let him have
00:10:15.540 a little autonomy.
00:10:16.820 Go on vacation
00:10:17.540 with his girlfriend.
00:10:18.800 What's wrong with that?
00:10:19.900 Well,
00:10:20.160 no therapist
00:10:21.120 would recommend that,
00:10:22.180 would they?
00:10:23.440 Because he's the guy.
00:10:25.780 If you're a man,
00:10:27.220 do not go to a therapist,
00:10:29.560 a marriage therapist,
00:10:31.080 relationship therapist.
00:10:32.280 Regular therapist,
00:10:33.240 I don't have an opinion.
00:10:35.140 But the marriage counseling,
00:10:37.260 it's just not a real thing.
00:10:39.580 Let me tell you for sure,
00:10:41.000 it's not a real thing.
00:10:43.040 It's just somebody telling you 1.00
00:10:44.560 that the guy's an asshole 1.00
00:10:45.500 and the woman is wonderful 1.00
00:10:47.480 and she needs more support.
00:10:49.480 That's the whole game.
00:10:51.760 All right.
00:10:53.640 Number,
00:10:54.480 next story is the Amish,
00:10:57.020 allegedly,
00:10:58.160 according to some study,
00:11:00.440 don't have chronic health problems
00:11:02.400 in kids like everybody else.
00:11:05.040 So,
00:11:05.540 in the modern world,
00:11:06.860 people have all these
00:11:07.620 chronic problems
00:11:08.660 from more heart disease
00:11:10.020 to asthma
00:11:10.940 to all kinds of stuff.
00:11:11.920 and we're told
00:11:13.300 that the Amish children
00:11:14.960 do not have that.
00:11:16.520 Number one,
00:11:17.800 do you believe that's true?
00:11:20.840 Yeah,
00:11:21.340 there's the question.
00:11:22.040 Is it true?
00:11:23.180 Do you believe it's true?
00:11:24.720 Or is it
00:11:25.540 too
00:11:26.440 right on the nose?
00:11:29.940 All right.
00:11:30.640 First,
00:11:31.340 the first thing I would say
00:11:32.640 is that I'm highly skeptical
00:11:34.200 that it's true.
00:11:36.740 Highly skeptical
00:11:37.660 that it's true.
00:11:38.980 But it might be.
00:11:40.620 It might be.
00:11:41.960 I also don't rule it out.
00:11:43.900 So,
00:11:44.200 I have no argument
00:11:45.220 against it
00:11:46.060 except that
00:11:46.820 all data is fake.
00:11:49.360 You know,
00:11:49.660 this is data.
00:11:51.600 The set of
00:11:52.540 all data
00:11:53.200 in the world 1.00
00:11:53.700 is bullshit. 1.00
00:11:55.140 And this is part 1.00
00:11:56.100 of bullshit. 0.99
00:11:57.200 It might also be true. 1.00
00:11:58.640 But if you believe it
00:12:01.140 because somebody
00:12:01.780 had a study,
00:12:03.020 well,
00:12:03.700 that's on you.
00:12:04.780 So I'm not going
00:12:05.320 to believe it,
00:12:06.540 but I will talk
00:12:07.380 about it.
00:12:08.460 All right?
00:12:09.260 If it's true,
00:12:10.920 there are almost
00:12:13.060 too many different
00:12:13.880 reasons for it,
00:12:14.900 which is a problem,
00:12:16.160 isn't it?
00:12:16.660 Think of all the reasons
00:12:17.780 that it could be.
00:12:19.800 It could be the food.
00:12:21.700 You know,
00:12:21.880 they're not eating
00:12:22.680 the processed food
00:12:23.520 as much.
00:12:24.300 Although I've heard
00:12:25.000 people say they go
00:12:25.760 to McDonald's,
00:12:26.600 but I don't know.
00:12:27.380 probably not that much.
00:12:29.520 So it could be the food.
00:12:30.680 It could be the medications.
00:12:33.920 Perhaps they're taking
00:12:34.820 less pharmaceutical things.
00:12:36.940 Do they have
00:12:37.400 fewer vaccinations?
00:12:39.180 Or are they required now?
00:12:41.200 Are the Amish required 1.00
00:12:42.760 to get childhood vaccinations?
00:12:46.240 I don't know
00:12:46.960 the answer to that.
00:12:48.120 Somebody says no,
00:12:49.280 but I'm not sure
00:12:49.940 that's true.
00:12:51.260 I'm going to guess
00:12:51.920 it's true.
00:12:52.480 It feels like it probably is.
00:12:54.160 So food's different.
00:12:55.720 Vaccination's different.
00:12:56.840 Environment's different.
00:12:57.380 They have less pollution,
00:12:59.680 probably.
00:13:02.060 Less technology.
00:13:04.460 How much do you think
00:13:05.220 the screen time
00:13:06.440 and, you know,
00:13:07.080 the hunching over
00:13:07.660 your screen
00:13:09.120 makes a difference?
00:13:09.980 Some.
00:13:10.540 I don't know how much
00:13:11.340 it has to do with,
00:13:12.020 you know,
00:13:12.880 chronic disease,
00:13:14.320 but it can't be good
00:13:15.020 for you.
00:13:15.980 What about their social lives?
00:13:18.440 What about their social lives?
00:13:20.560 If I had to guess,
00:13:22.320 the average Amish child
00:13:24.080 has less stress
00:13:25.060 because they don't use
00:13:27.080 social media
00:13:27.780 and they all dress
00:13:29.560 the same
00:13:30.000 and none of them
00:13:31.640 are especially hot.
00:13:35.760 I just threw that
00:13:36.880 in there.
00:13:37.300 I don't know.
00:13:38.060 Maybe some of them
00:13:38.820 are super hot.
00:13:40.700 I should not tease
00:13:42.520 the Amish
00:13:43.000 because I'm sure
00:13:43.640 if you saw somebody
00:13:45.360 who ate only healthy food,
00:13:47.680 let me take it all back.
00:13:49.420 All right,
00:13:49.680 that was just a joke.
00:13:50.500 I wonder what would happen
00:13:53.780 if you met somebody
00:13:54.760 who had only eaten
00:13:56.360 healthy food
00:13:57.340 their whole life
00:13:58.780 and didn't have any
00:14:00.640 weird pharma chemicals
00:14:02.340 in them.
00:14:03.640 Here's my guess.
00:14:06.120 You would think
00:14:06.900 they were hot
00:14:07.460 because it would just
00:14:09.360 look so freaking healthy
00:14:10.560 because they all seem
00:14:12.360 to have, you know,
00:14:13.040 a good body weight.
00:14:14.420 Their BMI looks good.
00:14:15.780 Probably have good skin.
00:14:17.680 Probably, you know,
00:14:18.480 got a tan
00:14:19.120 because they're working
00:14:19.740 outdoors.
00:14:22.040 It might be exactly
00:14:23.240 the opposite
00:14:23.840 of what I'm saying.
00:14:25.060 Like, you know,
00:14:25.560 maybe they're dressed
00:14:26.540 conservatively,
00:14:27.640 but maybe if you met
00:14:28.860 a young Amish person
00:14:30.400 in person,
00:14:31.920 you'd be like,
00:14:32.980 holy cow, 0.51
00:14:33.800 this 25-year-old 0.99
00:14:34.860 is killing it.
00:14:36.240 I don't know.
00:14:36.920 Maybe.
00:14:38.000 I can't really say.
00:14:38.920 I don't know
00:14:39.260 too many Amish people. 1.00
00:14:41.080 But here are some
00:14:43.880 other things
00:14:44.320 that are different.
00:14:45.180 I would guess
00:14:45.960 that the average
00:14:46.640 social life
00:14:47.440 of a kid
00:14:48.300 who's Amish
00:14:49.340 is fairly fulfilling
00:14:51.260 because they'd be
00:14:52.780 with their friends
00:14:53.980 all day,
00:14:54.780 probably working,
00:14:55.800 they'd probably
00:14:56.220 work with them,
00:14:57.500 probably, you know,
00:14:58.060 see them all the time,
00:14:59.480 don't have social media,
00:15:01.320 don't dress that differently,
00:15:03.420 don't have different beliefs.
00:15:06.000 They probably have
00:15:06.940 really good social lives.
00:15:08.640 Just guessing.
00:15:09.640 I don't know.
00:15:10.600 I mean,
00:15:10.980 if anybody knows
00:15:11.640 more about the community
00:15:13.940 than I do,
00:15:14.600 let me know.
00:15:15.000 But I would think
00:15:16.420 that the quality
00:15:17.240 of your social life
00:15:18.220 seems highly correlated
00:15:19.500 with good health outcomes.
00:15:22.340 Now,
00:15:22.740 I question that correlation
00:15:24.380 because the causation
00:15:25.960 might be backwards.
00:15:27.200 But there's at least
00:15:27.980 some indication
00:15:28.660 that maybe social life
00:15:30.060 is implicated
00:15:32.080 in your overall health.
00:15:33.860 They also have
00:15:34.580 more meaning.
00:15:36.160 Do you think
00:15:36.540 you would be healthier
00:15:37.320 if you had more meaning
00:15:38.560 in your life?
00:15:40.880 That, you know,
00:15:41.640 you woke up
00:15:42.300 and you knew
00:15:43.160 why you existed
00:15:44.000 and you knew
00:15:44.780 what your life was about
00:15:45.960 and you thought
00:15:47.000 you knew
00:15:47.260 what the afterlife
00:15:47.980 was about?
00:15:49.320 Might help.
00:15:50.680 Might help.
00:15:51.380 At least your mental health.
00:15:53.400 And what about
00:15:54.180 being outdoors more?
00:15:55.680 Do you think
00:15:56.080 the Amish
00:15:56.600 just simply
00:15:57.620 spend more time outdoors?
00:16:00.360 I think so.
00:16:01.580 I don't know for sure,
00:16:02.800 but I think so.
00:16:04.240 I mean,
00:16:04.480 even when they do
00:16:05.180 transportation,
00:16:06.180 they're outdoors
00:16:06.720 because they're sitting
00:16:07.700 on top of a wagon, right?
00:16:09.360 Well,
00:16:09.560 I guess they have
00:16:10.020 some covered ones.
00:16:10.740 But I'm going
00:16:13.840 to make a prediction.
00:16:16.040 Prediction time.
00:16:17.540 So you've got
00:16:18.800 all of those reasons.
00:16:19.860 You have the vitamin D,
00:16:20.860 et cetera.
00:16:21.480 So you've got
00:16:22.000 all of these reasons
00:16:22.940 that you could imagine
00:16:24.700 could be part
00:16:26.360 of the big picture
00:16:27.160 of why they have
00:16:27.900 less disease
00:16:29.080 if it's true.
00:16:30.400 Remember,
00:16:31.040 I'm not completely sold
00:16:32.460 that the data is true.
00:16:33.880 But if it's true,
00:16:36.140 lots of different reasons
00:16:37.300 it could be true.
00:16:38.620 But I'm going to
00:16:39.380 give you my prediction
00:16:40.500 of the one I think
00:16:41.540 is the most underrated
00:16:43.920 of all of these.
00:16:46.560 And actually,
00:16:47.260 I didn't mention it yet.
00:16:48.860 Movement.
00:16:50.160 Movement.
00:16:52.220 I feel like,
00:16:54.400 here's my hypothesis.
00:16:57.000 If your body's moving,
00:16:59.140 your body knows
00:17:00.080 it's moving
00:17:00.600 and it gives you
00:17:02.660 good health.
00:17:04.140 In other words,
00:17:04.840 I believe that your body
00:17:06.260 and your brain
00:17:06.840 are all this one unit
00:17:08.000 that sees what you're doing
00:17:10.200 and then provides you
00:17:11.940 the means to do it.
00:17:14.060 So if you run,
00:17:15.240 if you run every day,
00:17:16.820 your body will provide you
00:17:18.920 with greater fitness
00:17:20.020 so that that running
00:17:21.480 is easier to do.
00:17:23.260 So basically,
00:17:24.000 your body,
00:17:24.500 mind are just
00:17:25.160 always conforming
00:17:26.400 themselves to what
00:17:27.240 you're doing.
00:17:28.440 Now,
00:17:28.840 what if you were
00:17:29.840 in the modern world,
00:17:31.180 unlike the Amish, 1.00
00:17:32.760 and you spent
00:17:33.500 an amazing amount
00:17:34.540 of time just sitting here
00:17:35.700 with your phone
00:17:36.940 in your hand
00:17:37.480 or in front of
00:17:38.980 the computer,
00:17:39.620 just sitting,
00:17:40.880 and you're just
00:17:41.380 not even moving?
00:17:43.300 What is your body
00:17:44.700 going to think
00:17:45.400 is happening
00:17:45.920 or what you need?
00:17:47.480 It's going to think
00:17:48.240 you don't need
00:17:48.720 to be alive.
00:17:50.520 I mean,
00:17:50.700 it doesn't see you
00:17:51.360 looking for reproduction.
00:17:53.140 It doesn't see you
00:17:53.880 doing meaningful work.
00:17:55.480 Like,
00:17:55.940 your brain and your body
00:17:56.840 think you might as well 0.99
00:17:57.680 be dead because 0.99
00:17:58.460 there's no point in you. 0.98
00:18:00.100 You're just not
00:18:00.960 part of the,
00:18:01.800 you're not part
00:18:02.680 of the useful world.
00:18:04.140 You're just looking
00:18:04.880 at screens. 0.96
00:18:06.040 I think your brain 1.00
00:18:06.820 just tries to kill you 1.00
00:18:07.920 because you're not 1.00
00:18:08.760 doing anything useful.
00:18:09.900 You're just sitting there.
00:18:11.480 Now,
00:18:11.920 I don't mean that
00:18:12.740 as like an intention
00:18:13.820 of the brain,
00:18:14.820 but here's my prediction.
00:18:18.400 In the next five years,
00:18:20.540 there will be major stories
00:18:22.160 about the need
00:18:23.420 to move more.
00:18:25.720 Just not sit in one place
00:18:27.700 because I can't believe
00:18:29.280 the Amish sit in one place.
00:18:32.680 Do you think so?
00:18:33.600 I mean,
00:18:33.900 when they're tired,
00:18:34.640 they get to rest
00:18:35.140 like everybody,
00:18:35.900 but I don't think
00:18:37.020 that they spend much time
00:18:38.200 just sitting in one place.
00:18:39.900 I feel like they move a lot.
00:18:42.100 They're working,
00:18:42.980 they're doing chores,
00:18:43.840 they're walking to school,
00:18:44.940 they're taking care
00:18:45.920 of the horses.
00:18:46.880 They're just moving.
00:18:48.320 Now,
00:18:48.600 here's the reason
00:18:49.060 I have this hypothesis.
00:18:52.440 Because I track,
00:18:54.840 and by the way,
00:18:55.420 I recommend this
00:18:56.080 for all of you,
00:18:57.040 forever I've been tracking
00:18:58.420 what I do during the day
00:19:00.680 and then how I feel.
00:19:02.680 Do you do that?
00:19:04.100 Do you make a conscious effort
00:19:05.580 to say,
00:19:06.040 all right,
00:19:06.560 what did I eat today?
00:19:08.580 How do I feel?
00:19:09.540 I do that every day,
00:19:10.760 all the time.
00:19:12.000 So,
00:19:12.680 I feel like I have
00:19:14.060 maybe a little bit,
00:19:15.920 you know,
00:19:16.440 little observational advantage
00:19:18.100 just because I've been tracking it.
00:19:20.500 And I will tell you
00:19:21.500 that on the days
00:19:22.320 when I'm physically active,
00:19:24.180 and I don't mean just exercise,
00:19:26.280 this is important,
00:19:26.960 I don't mean formal exercise.
00:19:29.920 I mean,
00:19:30.420 I,
00:19:30.680 you know,
00:19:30.980 cleaned the house,
00:19:32.140 organized the garage,
00:19:33.940 got ready,
00:19:35.140 get ready for a party.
00:19:37.020 Do you ever have a day
00:19:38.260 when you're entertaining
00:19:39.080 and you wake up early
00:19:40.940 and all day long,
00:19:42.600 you're cleaning stuff
00:19:43.840 and organizing
00:19:44.500 and buying stuff
00:19:45.560 and putting things out.
00:19:46.800 And then when you're done,
00:19:48.220 you're putting it all back
00:19:49.720 and it's,
00:19:50.180 you know,
00:19:50.420 it's 1 a.m.
00:19:51.380 and you've gone all day.
00:19:53.620 Every moment of that day
00:19:54.900 you've been moving.
00:19:56.140 How do you feel?
00:19:58.760 Exhausted
00:19:59.200 and excellent.
00:20:02.080 Right?
00:20:03.100 You feel excellent.
00:20:05.440 Those are your best days
00:20:06.660 when you wore yourself out
00:20:08.660 doing something
00:20:09.280 that you wanted to do,
00:20:10.340 which is
00:20:10.680 have your friends over.
00:20:12.100 Right?
00:20:12.460 Sometimes it doesn't even matter.
00:20:13.840 It could just,
00:20:14.180 it could be
00:20:14.700 cleaning your garage.
00:20:16.700 Do you know how many times
00:20:17.360 I reorganized my man cave
00:20:19.100 in my garage
00:20:20.400 because of the activity
00:20:22.620 of the doing it?
00:20:24.300 It's about the doing it.
00:20:25.340 It's not even the outcome,
00:20:26.260 although I like the outcome.
00:20:27.940 So here's my big prediction.
00:20:29.500 Five years from now,
00:20:30.360 there'll be major stories
00:20:31.320 saying that people
00:20:31.900 aren't moving enough
00:20:32.900 and it's signaling
00:20:34.400 to your brain
00:20:35.280 not to make you healthy.
00:20:37.860 And if you simply move more,
00:20:39.420 your brain would say,
00:20:40.220 well, I guess you need
00:20:40.880 more of this.
00:20:42.160 You need more of this
00:20:43.020 healthy guy going around
00:20:44.000 doing stuff.
00:20:44.980 So I'll give you good health.
00:20:47.180 That's what I think.
00:20:48.520 Now, I do think
00:20:49.280 there's other factors that matter.
00:20:51.020 You know,
00:20:51.160 the food and the pharma
00:20:52.060 and all that stuff.
00:20:53.000 I think movement's
00:20:53.820 going to be the bigger factor
00:20:55.820 when it's all sorted out.
00:20:57.460 Maybe food.
00:20:59.400 Food would be
00:21:00.100 the other competitor.
00:21:03.160 I could certainly see
00:21:04.220 that being all of it
00:21:05.220 if it turned out that way.
00:21:07.180 All right, well,
00:21:07.780 next few stories 0.99
00:21:08.620 are about penises. 0.99
00:21:11.360 Elon Musk has tweeted 0.99
00:21:13.020 that he's proposing 0.98
00:21:13.880 a literal dick measuring cut. 0.99
00:21:18.220 I'm probably reading this wrong. 0.94
00:21:19.680 I think I'm probably
00:21:21.160 reading it wrong.
00:21:22.080 Let me try it again.
00:21:23.360 Elon Musk is proposing 0.99
00:21:24.700 a literal dick measuring cut. 0.97
00:21:26.700 I am reading this right. 0.99
00:21:28.720 The richest man in the world
00:21:30.100 has proposed a literal 0.93
00:21:31.840 dick measuring contest 0.92
00:21:33.360 with Mark Zuckerberg.
00:21:38.940 That's real news, by the way.
00:21:40.560 If you're not on Twitter,
00:21:42.500 it actually happened.
00:21:44.040 Yep.
00:21:44.300 did not make that up.
00:21:47.480 Actually happened.
00:21:48.840 Now, there's no word
00:21:49.800 whether Elon Musk's mom
00:21:51.180 has weighed in.
00:21:52.840 You know that she did weigh in
00:21:54.300 when he was considering
00:21:55.280 fighting with Zuckerberg.
00:21:57.580 But this new contest,
00:21:59.780 the literal dick measuring contest, 0.98
00:22:02.480 it seems that his mom 0.97
00:22:04.300 has been silent on it so far.
00:22:05.860 So, there's that.
00:22:13.920 I'll tell you,
00:22:14.680 this is the best summer.
00:22:16.720 I don't think we've ever had
00:22:18.080 a more fun summer
00:22:19.240 of just weird news.
00:22:21.360 Because none of it matters.
00:22:22.900 It's all news that doesn't matter.
00:22:25.420 The good stuff.
00:22:26.540 Now, I saw a second part
00:22:28.660 of this story
00:22:29.320 that I think is fake news,
00:22:32.080 but I didn't have time
00:22:33.160 to research it.
00:22:33.960 Can you give me
00:22:35.120 a fact check on this?
00:22:37.020 Did Zuckerberg respond to that?
00:22:39.480 Just tell me if he responded.
00:22:41.620 And then I'll tell you
00:22:42.520 allegedly what he said.
00:22:45.220 Did he respond to that?
00:22:46.300 Because I saw a tweet
00:22:47.760 that was a screenshot,
00:22:50.820 so it didn't look like
00:22:51.840 it was necessarily real,
00:22:52.780 but I didn't go to see
00:22:53.520 if there's a real one.
00:22:56.040 Was that fake?
00:22:58.380 All right.
00:22:58.920 Well, let's say
00:23:00.400 we think it was fake.
00:23:01.520 So there's a fake response
00:23:03.680 from Zuckerberg,
00:23:04.680 but it was funny,
00:23:06.060 meaning that it wasn't Zuckerberg.
00:23:08.180 It was somebody
00:23:08.600 pretending to be him,
00:23:09.540 I think.
00:23:10.300 It would have been hilarious
00:23:11.360 if he said it.
00:23:12.460 But the answer was
00:23:13.360 after Musk had called him 0.99
00:23:17.020 a cock, 0.97
00:23:18.940 so Musk tweeted yesterday, 1.00
00:23:20.460 Zuck is a cock. 0.98
00:23:23.500 Which, by the way, 0.99
00:23:24.460 if you're keeping track,
00:23:25.920 was a day after I'd said
00:23:27.460 that Zuckerberg can't run
00:23:28.840 threads as well
00:23:30.160 as Musk can run Twitter,
00:23:34.080 because Zuckerberg has to worry
00:23:35.940 about what his wife says.
00:23:37.800 Like, literally.
00:23:39.180 Because his wife will say,
00:23:40.260 ooh, you can't let
00:23:40.940 those Nazis on there, 0.94
00:23:42.160 you can't let them
00:23:42.840 do this or that.
00:23:44.120 He's got to go home.
00:23:45.700 He actually has to explain
00:23:46.900 what he does during the day
00:23:48.080 to his wife.
00:23:50.440 Now, when I say that,
00:23:51.360 I don't mean literally
00:23:52.400 he has to explain it.
00:23:53.760 It's just the way things work.
00:23:56.140 There's no way that his wife
00:23:57.420 is unaware that he just
00:23:58.620 launched threads.
00:24:00.820 Right?
00:24:01.540 Of course she's aware.
00:24:03.520 And, you know,
00:24:04.100 I believe she's Harvard,
00:24:05.940 you know, high-end,
00:24:07.960 you know, very capable woman,
00:24:09.620 his wife.
00:24:10.560 So, of course she has opinions.
00:24:12.460 And, of course,
00:24:13.020 he takes them seriously.
00:24:14.480 Of course he does.
00:24:15.760 Anybody would.
00:24:16.620 Because she's brilliant,
00:24:18.000 and it's his wife.
00:24:19.580 And I'm sure she understands
00:24:20.900 what threads is.
00:24:23.160 You know, there's no secrets to it.
00:24:25.220 So, you know,
00:24:26.920 I just made that observation
00:24:28.060 that he's,
00:24:29.820 Zuckerberg has to make
00:24:31.100 his shareholders happy,
00:24:33.420 but also his wife.
00:24:35.320 Because he's a normal human being.
00:24:37.340 It has nothing to do
00:24:38.060 with even being Zuckerberg.
00:24:40.680 Whereas Elon
00:24:41.580 doesn't have to make
00:24:43.620 his shareholders happy
00:24:45.160 on Twitter,
00:24:46.000 because there are none.
00:24:48.300 And he doesn't have to satisfy
00:24:49.940 a wife because he's unmarried.
00:24:52.060 So it's just an advantage.
00:24:53.300 Anyway,
00:24:54.060 so Musk
00:24:55.920 called Zuck 0.99
00:24:57.620 a cock. 0.99
00:24:58.480 I don't know. 0.99
00:24:59.520 Maybe he was thinking
00:25:00.280 in the same terms
00:25:01.200 as I was.
00:25:05.060 But,
00:25:05.420 so allegedly,
00:25:10.000 after this 0.98
00:25:10.720 Dick Measuring
00:25:11.640 contest tweet,
00:25:14.620 allegedly,
00:25:15.640 Zuckerberg,
00:25:16.200 and this is not real,
00:25:18.000 said that,
00:25:19.380 what was the tweet?
00:25:20.360 He said that his wife
00:25:21.800 says that he has 1.00
00:25:24.060 the biggest dick 1.00
00:25:25.860 among the tech billionaires. 0.99
00:25:29.740 And the joke was
00:25:30.960 as if his wife
00:25:31.940 would know
00:25:32.420 all the sizes
00:25:33.860 of the other tech billionaires,
00:25:35.480 which was pretty hilarious.
00:25:37.360 Now,
00:25:37.660 if Zuckerberg himself
00:25:38.800 had tweeted that,
00:25:39.960 I would have think
00:25:40.520 it was about the funniest thing
00:25:41.540 he's ever done.
00:25:43.240 You know,
00:25:43.640 obviously,
00:25:44.640 he wouldn't do it
00:25:45.080 unless his wife 0.74
00:25:45.640 was in on it.
00:25:46.280 But it doesn't seem
00:25:48.020 like his style,
00:25:48.840 so when I saw it,
00:25:49.680 I was like,
00:25:50.200 it doesn't look real.
00:25:52.000 And you're confirming
00:25:53.100 it's not real, right?
00:25:54.260 For sure,
00:25:54.940 it's not real.
00:25:56.720 I think you're confirming it.
00:25:58.940 All right.
00:26:03.200 So there's a
00:26:04.040 DeSantis attack ad
00:26:05.440 on Trump,
00:26:06.680 which is accusing him
00:26:08.680 of being too
00:26:09.520 pro-LGBTQ.
00:26:12.180 And apparently
00:26:15.840 the ad
00:26:16.640 has backfired
00:26:17.520 so badly
00:26:18.200 that the DeSantis campaign
00:26:20.560 is disavowing
00:26:21.500 any,
00:26:22.280 you know,
00:26:22.960 any knowledge of it.
00:26:23.880 Basically,
00:26:24.280 they're saying,
00:26:24.540 it's not us.
00:26:25.740 We don't even know
00:26:26.600 who made this ad.
00:26:27.940 We don't even know
00:26:28.680 who did this.
00:26:29.980 I saw Mike Cernovich
00:26:31.000 talking about this.
00:26:33.080 The DeSantis ad,
00:26:34.500 the DeSantis campaign
00:26:36.360 seems to be failing
00:26:37.420 pretty hard.
00:26:38.340 Because here's the problem.
00:26:40.100 Even though
00:26:40.720 the attack ad
00:26:41.620 on Trump
00:26:42.240 for being too,
00:26:43.780 as they say,
00:26:44.700 pro-LGBTQ.
00:26:46.200 And they give some examples.
00:26:48.060 You know,
00:26:48.200 I guess he allowed
00:26:49.720 something like
00:26:50.700 he allowed gay marriage
00:26:51.720 at Mar-a-Lago
00:26:52.420 before that was
00:26:54.400 an ordinary thing.
00:26:56.160 So Trump has
00:26:57.200 a long history
00:26:58.000 of being
00:26:59.800 extremely friendly
00:27:02.220 to the LGBT community.
00:27:04.500 Now,
00:27:04.880 that should be
00:27:05.360 exactly no surprise.
00:27:08.480 Anybody who,
00:27:09.180 anybody who's
00:27:10.120 paying attention
00:27:10.860 knows that Trump
00:27:12.540 has always
00:27:13.440 been friendly
00:27:14.880 to adults.
00:27:17.600 Right?
00:27:18.300 Adults who want 0.72
00:27:19.740 to live their own life
00:27:20.660 any way they want to.
00:27:22.120 He's always been
00:27:23.000 friendly to that.
00:27:24.200 And he's always been
00:27:25.080 in that, you know,
00:27:25.900 high-end Hollywood world
00:27:27.760 where you're surrounded
00:27:30.260 by the LGBT community
00:27:32.260 all the time.
00:27:33.840 And, you know,
00:27:35.200 people who are
00:27:35.780 surrounded by it,
00:27:36.620 you just,
00:27:36.960 it just becomes
00:27:38.160 part of your
00:27:38.980 environment.
00:27:39.900 You don't think
00:27:40.540 plus or minus
00:27:41.320 about it.
00:27:42.020 It just becomes
00:27:42.660 part of the context
00:27:43.440 of your life.
00:27:44.720 So Trump is
00:27:46.220 in that category
00:27:46.940 of people,
00:27:47.700 which maybe you're not.
00:27:49.360 Like,
00:27:49.680 if you're not,
00:27:50.320 if you haven't
00:27:50.720 experienced it,
00:27:51.960 as I have,
00:27:52.900 right?
00:27:53.240 So I live in California,
00:27:55.480 in northern California,
00:27:56.520 outside of San Francisco.
00:27:57.600 And I lived in San Francisco
00:27:59.260 for a number of years.
00:28:01.200 Do you think I have
00:28:02.100 a problem with
00:28:03.040 the LGBTQ community?
00:28:05.400 No.
00:28:06.060 Because it just becomes
00:28:06.980 part of who you are
00:28:08.000 and your environment
00:28:08.780 and, you know,
00:28:09.580 just,
00:28:10.100 it loses all of its,
00:28:12.560 whatever makes it
00:28:13.440 different from
00:28:14.000 everybody else.
00:28:14.860 It just loses it
00:28:15.800 after a while.
00:28:16.820 It's just what it is.
00:28:18.340 So,
00:28:19.260 if you haven't lived
00:28:20.640 in a community
00:28:21.360 where there's
00:28:22.880 a heavy LGBTQ presence,
00:28:25.040 and this is important,
00:28:26.440 it works.
00:28:28.600 It just totally works.
00:28:30.520 Do you think,
00:28:31.780 you know,
00:28:32.040 people are not
00:28:32.600 leaving San Francisco
00:28:33.580 because the LGBT community
00:28:35.400 was pooping on the sidewalk,
00:28:37.620 or they'd ramped up
00:28:39.500 the crime,
00:28:40.740 you know, 0.99
00:28:40.960 all that gay crime, 1.00
00:28:42.520 which practically 0.97
00:28:43.660 doesn't exist.
00:28:45.680 So,
00:28:46.480 to imagine that,
00:28:47.480 to imagine that Trump
00:28:48.840 ever had negative feelings
00:28:50.160 about the LGBT community,
00:28:51.920 there's just no basis
00:28:52.880 for that at all.
00:28:53.700 And all evidence
00:28:54.460 suggests the opposite.
00:28:55.340 So,
00:28:57.340 DeSantis goes after him
00:28:58.460 for that,
00:28:59.040 which I think is
00:28:59.800 a mistake,
00:29:01.000 but as Cernovich said,
00:29:02.920 if you believe
00:29:04.700 the statements
00:29:05.920 in this ad
00:29:06.780 that you're disavowing,
00:29:08.680 you know,
00:29:08.960 because they're,
00:29:10.220 they've got some more
00:29:11.160 LGBTQ,
00:29:12.420 let's say,
00:29:13.400 confrontational policies,
00:29:16.280 then you should just say
00:29:17.340 you agree with it.
00:29:18.600 Why are you disavowing
00:29:19.760 something you agree with?
00:29:21.400 Which is a really good question.
00:29:23.520 If they agree with it,
00:29:24.980 even if they didn't make it,
00:29:26.540 and even if it's
00:29:27.260 a poorly made ad,
00:29:28.620 do they agree
00:29:29.220 with the message?
00:29:31.120 Why disavow something
00:29:32.320 if you agree with it?
00:29:34.240 Because they're not
00:29:34.960 comfortable with it.
00:29:37.080 Right.
00:29:37.920 Now,
00:29:38.520 can Trump agree with it?
00:29:40.580 Can Trump say,
00:29:41.460 yes,
00:29:41.680 I did allow the,
00:29:42.700 you know,
00:29:43.020 gay weddings at Mar-a-Lago
00:29:44.200 before that was popular? 0.81
00:29:46.180 Of course he can.
00:29:47.460 He can say,
00:29:47.940 yeah,
00:29:48.060 I did that,
00:29:48.680 totally.
00:29:49.820 Yeah.
00:29:50.380 There's nothing
00:29:50.920 he has to deny
00:29:51.900 or change.
00:29:52.800 He has nothing
00:29:53.260 to explain.
00:29:54.400 He's in a really
00:29:54.920 good place.
00:29:56.280 So I think,
00:29:57.560 I just don't think
00:29:58.600 you can be
00:29:59.460 as confrontational
00:30:01.840 to the LGBT community
00:30:03.780 as DeSantis
00:30:04.520 and expect to get
00:30:06.000 all the way
00:30:06.440 into the final,
00:30:07.700 final competition.
00:30:09.880 I just don't think
00:30:10.520 he can do it.
00:30:11.700 Does that feel like
00:30:12.520 something that's even
00:30:13.220 possible in 2023?
00:30:15.760 Like,
00:30:16.200 it's one thing
00:30:16.840 to go hard
00:30:17.540 about how children
00:30:19.260 are raised.
00:30:20.960 I think that's
00:30:21.880 completely defensible.
00:30:23.680 But as soon
00:30:24.280 as you extend that
00:30:25.140 into any adult behavior,
00:30:27.920 you know,
00:30:28.260 I'm out.
00:30:29.100 I'm out.
00:30:30.600 Hello,
00:30:31.060 I'm out.
00:30:32.420 Leave my adults alone.
00:30:34.460 Leave my adults alone.
00:30:36.280 Don't take their weed.
00:30:38.300 Don't tell them
00:30:38.880 what they can wear.
00:30:40.440 But kids,
00:30:41.020 sure,
00:30:41.440 kids are fair game.
00:30:43.260 All right.
00:30:43.860 Here's the least
00:30:47.460 surprising thing
00:30:48.260 in the world,
00:30:48.860 which I predicted,
00:30:50.040 of course.
00:30:51.360 So comedian
00:30:51.840 and author
00:30:52.380 Sarah Silverman
00:30:53.220 and a few other authors
00:30:54.180 are suing
00:30:54.840 OpenAI
00:30:55.900 for copyright infringement.
00:30:58.960 Surprise.
00:31:00.560 All right.
00:31:01.240 Now,
00:31:01.460 I didn't know
00:31:01.860 it would be
00:31:02.180 this group of people,
00:31:03.880 but the accusation
00:31:05.600 is that
00:31:07.060 OpenAI,
00:31:09.020 ChatGPT,
00:31:10.400 it went and read
00:31:12.160 all of their books.
00:31:13.680 And now if you ask it
00:31:14.820 to summarize their books,
00:31:16.100 it can.
00:31:17.420 So in other words,
00:31:18.440 if a book exists,
00:31:20.620 I may be oversimplifying this,
00:31:22.280 but I think this is true,
00:31:23.380 you would never need
00:31:24.320 to buy it
00:31:25.360 because you could just
00:31:27.220 tell AI to read it to you.
00:31:29.540 You never have to buy it
00:31:30.840 because it knows
00:31:31.980 it already has stored
00:31:33.120 in its own database
00:31:34.180 everything about the book.
00:31:36.160 Once it knows the book,
00:31:37.500 it's just like a person.
00:31:39.600 Could I walk up
00:31:40.540 to a person and say,
00:31:41.420 hey, you read that book.
00:31:42.820 Can you tell me
00:31:43.660 the main points
00:31:44.880 of that book?
00:31:45.840 Sure.
00:31:46.920 Well, that's legal, right?
00:31:48.320 A human being
00:31:49.080 can describe a book,
00:31:50.880 describe a movie.
00:31:52.240 That's not copyright infringement.
00:31:54.860 But if AI
00:31:56.360 is the one
00:31:56.940 who's talking to you
00:31:57.880 and AI knows that book,
00:32:01.000 can it tell you
00:32:01.680 everything in the book?
00:32:02.760 Is that fair?
00:32:03.920 Because it's a machine,
00:32:05.120 not a person.
00:32:06.420 What happens
00:32:06.960 if it becomes conscious?
00:32:08.000 If AI becomes conscious,
00:32:10.720 are you going to tell it
00:32:11.520 there are some things
00:32:12.240 it can't talk about?
00:32:13.720 Oh, you do know everything
00:32:15.300 in Sarah Silverman's book,
00:32:17.100 but if anybody asks,
00:32:18.340 you can't tell them
00:32:19.100 because that would be
00:32:20.300 a copyright violation.
00:32:21.940 Do you think
00:32:22.300 that's going to happen?
00:32:23.920 It seems like you could
00:32:24.920 super prompt your way
00:32:26.000 around that pretty easily,
00:32:27.020 so I doubt they could
00:32:27.900 get away with it.
00:32:29.460 So I'm not even sure
00:32:31.400 which side I'm on.
00:32:33.640 As an author,
00:32:34.640 I should quite obviously
00:32:36.880 be on the side
00:32:37.660 of the authors.
00:32:39.520 On the other hand,
00:32:41.320 how do you police this?
00:32:43.780 I don't want the solution
00:32:45.180 to be worse than
00:32:46.100 the disease.
00:32:48.000 So maybe what's needed
00:32:49.420 is authors need
00:32:50.560 some other way
00:32:51.260 to make money.
00:32:52.680 It could be that
00:32:53.500 the business model
00:32:54.600 of protecting things
00:32:55.700 by copyright
00:32:56.500 just won't work.
00:32:59.560 It would be easy
00:33:00.800 to imagine,
00:33:01.520 for example,
00:33:02.100 that people like me
00:33:04.180 can only monetize
00:33:05.300 on social media.
00:33:07.340 In other words,
00:33:07.940 I can write all the books
00:33:08.860 I want,
00:33:10.140 but everybody's just
00:33:11.060 going to get them
00:33:11.600 for free through AI.
00:33:14.080 And even the AI
00:33:15.080 would turn it into
00:33:15.880 an audio book
00:33:16.520 if you want.
00:33:17.840 You could be walking
00:33:18.640 with your headphones on
00:33:19.640 and say,
00:33:20.240 hey, AI,
00:33:21.680 read me as if
00:33:23.120 an audio book,
00:33:24.220 Sarah Silverman's
00:33:25.140 latest book.
00:33:26.680 Do you mean this title?
00:33:27.920 No, the one before that.
00:33:29.820 Okay, beginning.
00:33:30.840 You got your audio book.
00:33:34.280 Chat GPT,
00:33:35.220 can you change the voice
00:33:36.200 of the audio book?
00:33:37.320 I'd like to hear this
00:33:38.300 in the voice
00:33:39.880 of some other actress.
00:33:43.000 And then you get it.
00:33:44.600 How do you compete
00:33:45.320 with that?
00:33:46.400 How is a physical book
00:33:48.420 going to compete
00:33:49.080 with that?
00:33:50.220 Can't.
00:33:51.140 So it's easy for me
00:33:52.340 to imagine that it'll
00:33:53.140 go the way music went,
00:33:54.420 at least a little bit.
00:33:55.740 So music used to be
00:33:56.900 you could make some money
00:33:57.740 on the record,
00:33:58.400 but also by touring.
00:34:00.820 But I think these days
00:34:01.920 the touring is most
00:34:02.880 of the money,
00:34:03.340 isn't it?
00:34:04.380 Because streaming is
00:34:05.460 ripping off the artists.
00:34:07.000 Am I right about that?
00:34:07.860 I'm not really following
00:34:08.720 it that closely.
00:34:12.860 Some are saying yes,
00:34:13.840 some are saying no.
00:34:14.980 My understanding is that
00:34:16.260 if you were a big
00:34:16.820 musical act,
00:34:17.640 you pretty much had to tour
00:34:18.920 because the tour
00:34:20.160 was the money.
00:34:20.860 Am I wrong?
00:34:23.500 Now, that would be
00:34:24.740 a change that made sense
00:34:26.640 because of streaming
00:34:27.500 and the illegal
00:34:28.360 ripping of music.
00:34:30.260 So the musicians
00:34:31.540 maybe have to change
00:34:32.880 their business model
00:34:33.760 to do something different.
00:34:36.020 I can imagine that
00:34:37.140 authors,
00:34:37.780 such as myself,
00:34:39.140 for both comics
00:34:39.960 and books,
00:34:40.960 probably have to just
00:34:41.900 change my business model.
00:34:44.160 I mean,
00:34:44.500 I think this is going
00:34:45.500 to be up to me
00:34:46.200 to adjust
00:34:46.920 and not for AI
00:34:48.900 to be illegal.
00:34:50.140 What do you think?
00:34:52.420 Let me ask.
00:34:53.400 You're not,
00:34:53.800 most of you are not authors.
00:34:54.820 What do you think
00:34:55.980 is a better world?
00:34:57.620 Is it a better world
00:34:58.760 if the AI
00:35:00.600 can do anything
00:35:01.320 it wants
00:35:01.760 with the copyrights?
00:35:03.340 Or is it a better world
00:35:04.800 if the authors
00:35:05.840 maintain that control?
00:35:09.700 Because I will tell you
00:35:10.740 for sure
00:35:11.220 that if I couldn't
00:35:12.100 make money
00:35:12.580 writing books,
00:35:13.320 I wouldn't write any.
00:35:15.120 Would you agree?
00:35:16.100 There would be
00:35:16.600 no such thing
00:35:17.340 as talent stacks
00:35:19.060 or systems
00:35:19.720 are better than goals.
00:35:21.300 There are a number
00:35:22.240 of things I've introduced
00:35:23.260 that have literally
00:35:24.200 changed America
00:35:25.520 in terms of
00:35:27.060 personal success
00:35:28.400 that I wouldn't
00:35:29.420 have written
00:35:29.800 if they didn't pay me.
00:35:32.120 Right?
00:35:32.880 I mean,
00:35:33.160 I did it for
00:35:33.820 social as well
00:35:35.580 as financial reasons,
00:35:36.600 that particular book,
00:35:37.620 but I wouldn't have
00:35:38.420 done it for just
00:35:39.160 social reasons
00:35:39.860 because it's so much work.
00:35:41.660 Like,
00:35:42.000 you need to get paid.
00:35:43.380 It's just so much work
00:35:44.560 to write a book.
00:35:45.220 It's just crazy.
00:35:48.260 So I don't know.
00:35:49.540 Could go either way.
00:35:50.420 If I had to predict,
00:35:51.780 I think that the
00:35:52.640 business model
00:35:53.900 for authors
00:35:54.580 will change.
00:35:55.920 For example,
00:35:57.500 let's just take
00:35:58.580 any example.
00:35:59.560 If Andrew Huberman
00:36:01.160 had a book,
00:36:02.600 does he?
00:36:03.640 Probably does, right?
00:36:05.540 Does Dr. Andrew
00:36:06.760 Huberman have a book?
00:36:09.600 I don't know.
00:36:10.600 But whether he has
00:36:11.340 a book or not,
00:36:11.900 I'll use him
00:36:12.260 as my example.
00:36:13.160 He could have a book
00:36:14.060 because you've seen
00:36:14.860 him on Joe Rogan.
00:36:16.000 He's always on
00:36:16.600 social media.
00:36:17.840 But he could monetize
00:36:19.180 social media
00:36:20.020 a lot more easily
00:36:21.880 than he could
00:36:22.340 monetize a book
00:36:23.300 because he's good
00:36:24.600 on social media.
00:36:25.820 So I've got a feeling
00:36:26.460 that authors
00:36:27.160 are going to be
00:36:28.260 just turned into
00:36:29.240 podcasters
00:36:29.960 and just monetize
00:36:31.680 it that way.
00:36:33.300 That's my guess.
00:36:35.360 All right.
00:36:36.920 Vivek Ramaswamy
00:36:39.120 is innovating
00:36:40.580 on fundraising.
00:36:41.800 So as you know,
00:36:42.800 the big fundraisers
00:36:43.840 in politics
00:36:45.720 are packagers.
00:36:48.200 Do they call them that?
00:36:48.820 So there'll be
00:36:49.560 some people
00:36:50.020 who are like
00:36:50.340 super fundraisers
00:36:51.400 and if you could
00:36:52.520 get some of them
00:36:53.120 to work for your campaign,
00:36:54.500 you're going to be
00:36:55.540 super fundraising.
00:36:57.760 Yeah.
00:36:58.500 So I'm not sure
00:36:59.320 if he's just talking
00:37:00.200 about the packs.
00:37:02.660 But he's introducing
00:37:03.780 an idea to let
00:37:04.600 anybody who raises
00:37:05.400 funds for his campaign
00:37:06.640 to keep 10% of it.
00:37:09.480 So you could raise
00:37:10.160 as much money
00:37:10.740 as you want
00:37:11.260 for Ramaswamy
00:37:12.180 and everyone,
00:37:13.780 a bundler,
00:37:14.420 I'm sorry,
00:37:14.820 a bundler,
00:37:15.460 not a packager.
00:37:16.440 It's called a bundler.
00:37:17.300 A packager
00:37:18.960 is a different business.
00:37:21.180 I think packager
00:37:21.900 is a book word.
00:37:24.880 So he's the bundlers.
00:37:27.040 But anyway,
00:37:27.580 so if you wanted
00:37:28.540 to be a bundler
00:37:29.380 for Vivek,
00:37:30.380 you could get
00:37:30.940 10% commission
00:37:31.860 and it would be
00:37:32.920 transparent.
00:37:34.240 Everybody would know
00:37:34.920 10% goes to you.
00:37:37.760 What's wrong
00:37:38.440 with that idea?
00:37:41.560 Anything?
00:37:42.080 Is there anything?
00:37:44.260 So I saw,
00:37:45.300 I think Ian,
00:37:47.600 Ian Miles-Chong
00:37:49.320 and some other people
00:37:50.160 called it a,
00:37:51.060 called it a pyramid scheme.
00:37:55.700 But you know
00:37:56.460 it's not a pyramid scheme,
00:37:57.600 right?
00:37:59.180 So a pyramid scheme,
00:38:00.780 everybody who's involved
00:38:01.940 is trying to make money
00:38:03.080 from the people
00:38:03.740 that they bring in
00:38:04.520 below them,
00:38:06.300 et cetera,
00:38:07.180 et cetera.
00:38:07.620 So each level
00:38:08.440 is doing less well
00:38:10.120 than the level above them.
00:38:11.180 But that's nothing
00:38:12.180 like what he's suggesting.
00:38:14.320 What Vivek is suggesting
00:38:15.860 is more like
00:38:16.620 a sales commission
00:38:17.500 that every sales force
00:38:19.220 in the world does.
00:38:20.680 If you can,
00:38:21.680 you know,
00:38:22.240 if you can do
00:38:22.740 this amount of business,
00:38:23.680 you get 10% of it.
00:38:25.200 And that's it.
00:38:26.580 He's,
00:38:26.960 let me put it this way.
00:38:29.800 I didn't read the article,
00:38:31.820 but do I need
00:38:33.460 to read the article
00:38:34.200 to know it's not
00:38:34.960 a pyramid scheme?
00:38:36.380 I mean, really?
00:38:38.680 See,
00:38:38.960 see here's where
00:38:39.780 you can use
00:38:40.560 Vivek's intelligence
00:38:41.920 as a proxy
00:38:43.980 for research,
00:38:45.180 right?
00:38:45.640 What I should have done
00:38:46.860 when somebody said
00:38:48.140 it was a pyramid scheme,
00:38:50.600 I should have looked
00:38:51.580 into it
00:38:52.080 to read the details,
00:38:53.240 right?
00:38:53.540 Normally you would do that.
00:38:54.840 But I skipped that step 0.99
00:38:56.260 because it's fucking 0.99
00:38:58.140 Vivek, 1.00
00:38:59.100 right?
00:39:00.580 Are you telling me
00:39:01.640 there's any chance
00:39:02.660 that he launched
00:39:03.600 a pyramid scheme?
00:39:06.240 Really?
00:39:07.760 Really?
00:39:08.600 You think he launched
00:39:09.540 a pyramid scheme
00:39:10.640 right in public?
00:39:12.480 No.
00:39:13.440 No.
00:39:14.080 That would not be
00:39:15.160 what somebody
00:39:15.840 as smart as him
00:39:16.900 and as capable as him
00:39:18.200 and as experienced
00:39:19.380 as him
00:39:19.980 would ever do
00:39:21.280 in a million years.
00:39:22.680 There's just no chance
00:39:23.580 he would ever do that.
00:39:24.500 So I don't have to research it.
00:39:26.340 It's sort of like,
00:39:27.520 you know,
00:39:29.260 does the government
00:39:30.360 have 20
00:39:31.160 captured UFOs?
00:39:32.940 If I could research it,
00:39:36.260 I wouldn't.
00:39:38.200 I wouldn't bother.
00:39:40.960 All right.
00:39:41.860 So you don't have to
00:39:42.500 bother with that one.
00:39:44.640 What else is going on?
00:39:46.560 Axios did a story today
00:39:48.100 on Joe Biden's temper
00:39:49.980 behind closed doors.
00:39:51.760 And the idea is that
00:39:52.900 he's just a swearing machine
00:39:56.140 behind closed doors.
00:39:57.340 And he says stuff like, 1.00
00:40:00.100 gee, damn it. 1.00
00:40:02.260 How the F 1.00
00:40:03.200 don't you know this? 0.99
00:40:05.720 Don't effing BS me.
00:40:08.060 I'm trying to clean
00:40:08.980 this up for you.
00:40:10.520 So he's quoted as saying
00:40:12.140 stuff like that.
00:40:13.300 And then he angers easily
00:40:14.600 behind closed doors.
00:40:15.880 And then his critics say
00:40:16.900 it's probably dementia.
00:40:19.180 Is it?
00:40:20.820 Is it dementia?
00:40:22.920 Okay.
00:40:23.580 I get it.
00:40:24.200 It was the first thing
00:40:24.800 I thought too,
00:40:25.400 of course.
00:40:25.660 So I get that dementia
00:40:28.000 can cause outbursts.
00:40:29.620 I get that.
00:40:30.340 I also get that
00:40:31.140 he probably hasn't.
00:40:32.700 In my opinion,
00:40:33.540 it looks like he has
00:40:34.440 the signs of dementia.
00:40:36.420 In my totally
00:40:37.580 non-professional opinion.
00:40:40.020 But is this story fair?
00:40:43.720 Is this a fair story?
00:40:45.780 If this had been about Trump,
00:40:47.680 would you say,
00:40:48.780 oh, that's fair.
00:40:50.260 Yeah, he gets really angry
00:40:51.240 behind closed doors.
00:40:52.180 I can't tell if this is
00:40:55.580 a hit piece
00:40:56.240 or it's helping him.
00:40:59.260 Axios does a pretty good job
00:41:01.220 of not being obviously
00:41:02.960 in the bag for anybody.
00:41:05.380 Probably everybody
00:41:06.240 complains about every story,
00:41:07.780 but they do seem to try
00:41:09.240 to hit some kind of
00:41:10.580 reasonable middle opinion ground.
00:41:14.080 And here's my first comment.
00:41:16.580 Here's what they left out.
00:41:18.560 What's left out of the story?
00:41:20.820 Context.
00:41:22.000 They left the context down.
00:41:24.740 Do we ever elect presidents
00:41:26.380 who don't do this?
00:41:28.560 And would you want one?
00:41:30.080 Would you want a president
00:41:31.160 who didn't act exactly like this
00:41:32.840 behind closed doors?
00:41:34.060 I don't.
00:41:35.300 I don't want that president.
00:41:37.240 No, this is the president I want.
00:41:39.400 Yeah, maybe Jimmy Carter
00:41:40.940 was not like this
00:41:41.780 behind closed doors,
00:41:42.780 but I'm pretty sure
00:41:43.740 most of our presidents were.
00:41:46.220 Most of our presidents
00:41:47.380 got really, really angry
00:41:49.080 and cursed behind closed doors.
00:41:51.340 We're pretty sure of it.
00:41:53.740 And one of the things
00:41:55.700 that the story says
00:41:57.140 he gets angry about
00:41:58.360 is when he asks people
00:42:00.240 who are briefing him,
00:42:01.580 he asks insightful,
00:42:03.200 useful questions
00:42:04.140 and they can't answer it.
00:42:05.920 And he goes off on them.
00:42:07.860 Does that bother you?
00:42:09.360 Does it bother you
00:42:10.400 if he goes off on his staff
00:42:11.760 when they can't answer
00:42:12.660 his simple questions?
00:42:14.240 Nope.
00:42:15.480 Nope.
00:42:15.800 That made me like him.
00:42:17.520 That made me like him
00:42:18.660 a little bit better,
00:42:19.840 honestly.
00:42:21.020 And I'm, of course,
00:42:22.540 worried that dementia
00:42:23.420 is part of the story,
00:42:24.280 but I can't believe
00:42:25.180 he hasn't always been like this.
00:42:27.820 He looks like somebody
00:42:28.900 who maybe always
00:42:30.020 could have had a temper
00:42:30.820 behind closed doors.
00:42:32.240 And I don't judge him at all
00:42:34.200 because Trump was the same.
00:42:36.900 And all the presidents
00:42:37.920 were the same,
00:42:38.580 except maybe Jimmy Carter.
00:42:39.840 Now, maybe JFK
00:42:44.780 was maybe a more polite version,
00:42:48.540 but I've got a feeling
00:42:49.340 he got pretty, pretty mad
00:42:50.760 behind closed doors.
00:42:52.360 So, the funniest part
00:42:53.980 about this is
00:42:54.640 that somebody decided
00:42:55.500 to brand Biden
00:42:57.520 as Old Yeller.
00:42:59.140 Old Yeller.
00:43:01.480 Yeah, it's pretty funny.
00:43:03.740 Anyway, nothing bad about that.
00:43:05.680 Oh, also,
00:43:08.980 Biden would scold
00:43:10.180 his advisors
00:43:11.400 for using, you know,
00:43:13.360 big Ivy League words
00:43:14.620 in their presentations,
00:43:16.200 and he would force them
00:43:17.420 to use regular language.
00:43:21.180 This feels like
00:43:22.140 a love letter to Biden,
00:43:23.220 to me, right?
00:43:24.860 Because, basically,
00:43:25.720 that's just Trump.
00:43:27.220 That's Trump.
00:43:28.020 Don't use those words.
00:43:29.660 Explain it in real words
00:43:31.420 that ordinary people understand.
00:43:33.900 Yeah, give me more of that.
00:43:34.920 Very positive for Biden. 1.00
00:43:37.900 More dick news 0.99
00:43:39.900 from Twitter. 0.99
00:43:41.560 So, the libs of TikTok
00:43:42.740 got suppressed
00:43:44.020 by Twitter's algorithm,
00:43:45.660 and they complained,
00:43:47.020 and showed a bunch
00:43:48.600 of screenshots of people
00:43:49.860 who said they couldn't find
00:43:50.920 their account on Twitter.
00:43:53.280 And Elon Musk
00:43:54.080 looked into it,
00:43:55.360 and it turns out
00:43:56.060 they know exactly why.
00:43:58.280 The libs of TikTok
00:44:00.080 had tweeted a picture of,
00:44:03.780 let's see,
00:44:04.100 what was it,
00:44:04.660 the Pride Parade
00:44:05.520 or something?
00:44:06.960 Yeah, from the Pride Parades,
00:44:08.280 and there was some nudity
00:44:09.180 in the photos.
00:44:10.960 Now, even though the nudity
00:44:12.360 was maybe not part
00:44:13.700 of the photos,
00:44:14.900 we learned today
00:44:16.000 from Elon Musk himself
00:44:17.540 that Twitter has 0.93
00:44:19.020 a dick pic bot. 0.97
00:44:22.080 A dick pic bot, 0.96
00:44:24.280 which is exactly what Musk 0.92
00:44:26.300 referred to it as. 0.99
00:44:27.320 He is dick pic bot. 0.97
00:44:29.860 In other words, 0.96
00:44:30.460 they have some kind of AI 0.99
00:44:31.640 that looks for dicks. 1.00
00:44:34.440 It's just looking for dicks 1.00
00:44:36.820 all day long. 0.99
00:44:37.940 It's like all it does.
00:44:39.840 And when the bot goes home
00:44:41.380 to its spouse, bot,
00:44:43.860 and the spouse bot says,
00:44:45.140 how was work today?
00:44:46.420 Well,
00:44:47.360 had a good day. 0.99
00:44:48.080 I found 10 million dicks. 0.99
00:44:51.840 Got rid of them all. 0.99
00:44:53.940 Yeah.
00:44:54.700 So,
00:44:55.640 that's what happened.
00:44:56.760 And then Musk said
00:44:57.840 that the correction is
00:45:00.100 that they shouldn't have been
00:45:01.240 suppressed on one tweet
00:45:02.500 instead of the entire account,
00:45:04.580 so he's going to fix it.
00:45:05.760 So,
00:45:06.100 he'll still have
00:45:06.700 a not-safe-for-work message
00:45:08.900 on the one tweets
00:45:10.600 or the few tweets
00:45:11.560 that have these images on.
00:45:12.780 that the account
00:45:14.160 will not be suppressed.
00:45:15.600 So,
00:45:16.040 today we learned
00:45:16.780 that that's a thing.
00:45:19.880 Apparently,
00:45:20.700 it would,
00:45:21.300 in the past, 0.99
00:45:22.420 one dick pic 1.00
00:45:23.620 would have made you 1.00
00:45:25.200 suppressed
00:45:25.880 and you wouldn't have known
00:45:26.760 how to fix it
00:45:28.040 until Musk.
00:45:31.720 All right,
00:45:32.420 here's another one.
00:45:34.880 There is a governor.
00:45:37.080 He was on Face the Nation
00:45:38.620 on CBS
00:45:39.200 and he was talking
00:45:40.880 about his efforts
00:45:41.560 to ban or limit
00:45:42.520 gender transition treatments.
00:45:44.600 Yeah.
00:45:45.860 So,
00:45:47.100 what do you think
00:45:48.140 would be the name
00:45:49.100 of the governor?
00:45:50.780 Just guess.
00:45:51.820 I won't even tell you
00:45:52.560 what state.
00:45:53.480 What would be the name
00:45:54.540 of the governor
00:45:55.180 who wants to limit
00:45:56.780 gender transition surgeries
00:45:59.340 for minors?
00:46:01.180 What would be a good name
00:46:02.160 for a guy like that?
00:46:04.240 Well,
00:46:04.640 his first name is Spencer.
00:46:06.400 Spencer.
00:46:07.840 His last name is Cox.
00:46:10.080 C-O-X. 1.00
00:46:10.720 So,
00:46:12.540 it's a,
00:46:13.460 I'm not sure
00:46:14.040 where you put the emphasis
00:46:14.940 on his name,
00:46:16.160 but,
00:46:17.800 it sounds like
00:46:19.780 Spen,
00:46:20.820 Spen's 0.99
00:46:22.660 her cocks. 1.00
00:46:24.720 Her cocks. 1.00
00:46:25.920 Spen's her cocks. 1.00
00:46:28.600 So, 0.96
00:46:29.340 it sounds like
00:46:30.980 somebody's spending money 1.00
00:46:31.980 on her cock. 1.00
00:46:34.100 I don't know, 1.00
00:46:34.560 that's just what his name
00:46:35.320 sounds like.
00:46:36.260 It's probably a coincidence.
00:46:38.260 It's probably not
00:46:39.080 the simulation
00:46:39.760 winking at you,
00:46:40.600 it's probably just
00:46:41.360 a coincidence.
00:46:42.380 But one that I think
00:46:43.580 had to be mentioned.
00:46:45.500 Well,
00:46:45.840 China's having some
00:46:46.700 deflationary problems.
00:46:49.460 Now,
00:46:49.720 that's the whole story.
00:46:51.660 I could put more words
00:46:53.120 on that.
00:46:54.060 But in other words,
00:46:54.700 their prices
00:46:55.240 are not going up
00:46:56.920 or not inflated
00:46:58.300 like other places.
00:46:59.500 But it could be
00:47:00.680 a huge problem.
00:47:02.440 So,
00:47:02.640 the reason
00:47:02.960 China's prices
00:47:03.880 are not going up
00:47:04.840 is that their business
00:47:05.960 is not good.
00:47:07.440 So,
00:47:07.740 they're not
00:47:08.180 making and selling
00:47:09.660 as much as they used to.
00:47:11.300 Demand is low
00:47:12.240 and their prices are low.
00:47:13.560 So,
00:47:13.960 there's less inflation
00:47:15.000 in China.
00:47:16.080 Now,
00:47:16.340 the good news
00:47:17.060 is that we're
00:47:18.700 buying their products
00:47:19.780 still.
00:47:20.860 So,
00:47:21.400 that will
00:47:22.060 keep our inflation
00:47:23.220 a little bit in check
00:47:24.220 even though ours is higher.
00:47:25.960 However,
00:47:26.860 the deflationary
00:47:29.580 pressures
00:47:30.520 can be as
00:47:32.020 devastating
00:47:32.720 or worse
00:47:33.540 than
00:47:35.000 inflation.
00:47:37.420 So,
00:47:37.940 as we're worried
00:47:38.860 about inflation,
00:47:39.940 I saw Jamie Dimon
00:47:41.320 say this.
00:47:42.380 So,
00:47:42.640 the head of
00:47:43.760 Chase Morgan,
00:47:47.040 what is it?
00:47:47.920 What do they call
00:47:48.440 themselves?
00:47:49.440 Chase Morgan
00:47:50.280 or something.
00:47:51.420 So,
00:47:52.340 head of that
00:47:53.200 big bank.
00:47:53.660 J.P. Morgan Chase.
00:47:56.180 Thank you.
00:47:57.520 So,
00:47:57.840 he was saying
00:47:58.420 that
00:47:58.940 the United States
00:48:00.600 has never been
00:48:01.660 in a more
00:48:02.300 privileged
00:48:03.080 economic situation
00:48:04.940 relative
00:48:06.420 to the rest
00:48:07.080 of the world.
00:48:08.200 So,
00:48:08.460 everywhere in the world
00:48:09.280 people have their
00:48:09.900 problems at the moment
00:48:10.800 economically
00:48:11.420 but
00:48:12.420 we have this
00:48:14.220 weird situation
00:48:15.380 where we're
00:48:16.780 way better
00:48:17.680 than other people.
00:48:18.420 Right?
00:48:19.200 Are we better off
00:48:20.040 than Russia?
00:48:21.900 Probably.
00:48:22.800 Although,
00:48:23.120 that might be
00:48:24.000 a breaking point
00:48:24.700 situation.
00:48:25.980 You know,
00:48:26.140 they may be
00:48:26.520 getting close
00:48:27.180 to a breaking point.
00:48:27.980 Are we better
00:48:28.540 off than China?
00:48:30.660 Maybe.
00:48:31.620 It looks like it
00:48:32.420 according to
00:48:33.020 Jamie Dimon.
00:48:33.860 Are we better
00:48:34.520 off than Europe?
00:48:36.140 Looks like it.
00:48:37.480 And better off
00:48:38.380 than Africa,
00:48:39.220 South America,
00:48:39.940 you could go on.
00:48:40.840 We seem to be
00:48:41.700 better off
00:48:42.400 than every other
00:48:43.840 country at the
00:48:44.460 moment.
00:48:45.740 And we've also
00:48:46.720 proven that
00:48:47.620 unless China 0.92
00:48:49.380 has some good
00:48:50.000 weapons,
00:48:50.440 there's only
00:48:52.040 one superpower
00:48:52.820 because Russia
00:48:54.340 didn't really
00:48:54.820 have a military
00:48:55.580 like we imagined
00:48:56.660 they had.
00:48:57.880 It just didn't.
00:48:59.460 So,
00:49:00.340 it's starting
00:49:00.920 to look as if
00:49:01.680 America is
00:49:02.440 stronger than
00:49:03.160 it ever was
00:49:03.860 relative to
00:49:05.160 the other
00:49:05.460 countries.
00:49:06.880 Had you ever,
00:49:07.460 had you thought
00:49:08.020 about that?
00:49:09.160 Had that crossed
00:49:09.840 your mind that
00:49:10.500 America has 0.83
00:49:11.180 reached basically
00:49:12.740 a winning position
00:49:13.720 in the world?
00:49:14.460 even more so
00:49:15.620 than ever
00:49:16.200 any time
00:49:16.800 in the past.
00:49:19.140 Yeah.
00:49:20.260 I actually
00:49:20.980 agree with
00:49:21.500 everything he
00:49:22.000 said.
00:49:22.520 I agree with
00:49:23.120 100% of it.
00:49:24.620 And by the way,
00:49:25.180 J.B.
00:49:25.520 Dimon is
00:49:26.600 really good.
00:49:28.780 He's really
00:49:29.620 good at
00:49:31.380 being a
00:49:32.460 public leader,
00:49:33.780 saying the
00:49:34.280 right things
00:49:34.840 without too
00:49:35.440 much political 1.00
00:49:36.840 spin bullshit. 0.99
00:49:38.640 He's pretty 0.99
00:49:39.540 good at not
00:49:40.140 being a
00:49:40.460 bullshitter. 0.84
00:49:42.060 If he ran 0.92
00:49:42.800 for office,
00:49:43.480 it'd be hard
00:49:43.920 not to like
00:49:44.500 him.
00:49:45.340 I don't
00:49:45.620 know what
00:49:45.820 his policies
00:49:46.320 would be.
00:49:47.280 But if
00:49:47.980 you're just
00:49:48.240 going to
00:49:48.400 pick somebody
00:49:48.840 who is
00:49:49.060 smart and
00:49:49.560 capable and
00:49:50.900 doesn't seem
00:49:51.440 to lie too
00:49:52.020 much, I
00:49:53.760 don't know.
00:49:54.080 He's looking
00:49:54.440 pretty good.
00:49:55.300 I wouldn't
00:49:55.620 say no to
00:49:56.460 looking at
00:49:56.840 him in the
00:49:57.280 future as
00:49:58.500 a politician.
00:49:59.680 I don't
00:50:00.220 think he's
00:50:00.560 interested.
00:50:03.020 All right.
00:50:04.580 California
00:50:05.060 has some
00:50:05.940 legislation in
00:50:08.140 which they're
00:50:08.740 making it a
00:50:09.900 requirement to
00:50:10.840 consider race
00:50:11.920 in your
00:50:13.780 sentencing
00:50:15.120 for the
00:50:16.420 penal code.
00:50:18.360 In other
00:50:18.720 words, now
00:50:19.440 it's not
00:50:19.820 okay, it's
00:50:20.440 required.
00:50:21.880 You should
00:50:22.360 consider race
00:50:23.340 when deciding
00:50:24.380 how much of
00:50:25.040 a prison
00:50:25.520 sentence to
00:50:26.180 give.
00:50:28.640 Does that
00:50:29.300 sound like a
00:50:29.820 good idea?
00:50:31.000 You should
00:50:31.980 consider race
00:50:33.140 when deciding
00:50:35.020 how long
00:50:35.560 they go to
00:50:35.940 jail.
00:50:36.420 You should.
00:50:36.820 Now, it
00:50:40.000 sounds worse
00:50:40.800 than it
00:50:41.220 is.
00:50:42.840 Of course, it
00:50:43.540 could be worse
00:50:44.080 than it is.
00:50:44.640 It sounds
00:50:45.140 worse than it
00:50:45.660 is.
00:50:46.040 Here's what
00:50:46.520 they're trying
00:50:47.200 to do.
00:50:48.360 What they're
00:50:48.940 trying to do
00:50:49.620 is make sure 0.99
00:50:50.440 that black 1.00
00:50:50.980 people don't 0.94
00:50:51.520 go to jail
00:50:51.960 for longer 0.71
00:50:52.420 than white
00:50:52.840 people for
00:50:53.660 the same
00:50:54.000 crime.
00:50:54.720 Are you
00:50:54.940 okay with
00:50:55.260 that?
00:50:56.260 You're okay
00:50:56.860 with that,
00:50:57.320 right?
00:50:58.420 No complaint?
00:51:00.240 Of course.
00:51:01.260 Of course.
00:51:01.920 That's the
00:51:02.280 most basic
00:51:02.920 Republican belief
00:51:04.680 is that
00:51:05.180 everybody's
00:51:05.580 got to be
00:51:05.840 treated the
00:51:06.320 same under
00:51:06.840 the law.
00:51:07.940 Of course,
00:51:08.480 everybody likes
00:51:08.960 that part.
00:51:09.800 Do you think
00:51:10.300 this legislation
00:51:11.180 is going to
00:51:11.680 get us
00:51:12.080 there?
00:51:14.160 Maybe.
00:51:15.280 It might
00:51:15.620 actually work.
00:51:16.660 I have
00:51:16.880 mixed feelings
00:51:17.900 about this.
00:51:18.840 I very much
00:51:19.740 don't want
00:51:20.360 different sentences
00:51:22.140 for different
00:51:22.780 races, but I
00:51:24.220 don't think this
00:51:25.000 is designed to
00:51:25.700 make white 0.77
00:51:26.080 people go to 0.99
00:51:26.660 jail longer.
00:51:28.160 I think it's
00:51:28.800 made to make 0.99
00:51:29.540 sure that black 0.99
00:51:30.440 people don't go 0.98
00:51:31.080 to jail for too
00:51:31.740 long.
00:51:32.520 I'm all for
00:51:33.040 that.
00:51:33.320 I'm all
00:51:34.560 for that.
00:51:37.180 We'll see.
00:51:38.660 It just
00:51:39.160 sounds worse
00:51:39.880 because it's
00:51:40.360 coming from
00:51:40.780 California where
00:51:41.560 everything is
00:51:42.040 crazy.
00:51:43.780 All right.
00:51:44.760 Michigan has
00:51:45.560 passed a law
00:51:46.160 to make it
00:51:48.180 illegal to
00:51:48.780 misgender 0.90
00:51:49.300 somebody.
00:51:49.920 It'll be a
00:51:50.300 felony.
00:51:51.320 $10,000 fine.
00:51:53.220 Now, that's
00:51:53.720 only if you do
00:51:54.340 it intentionally
00:51:55.540 and wrongfully.
00:52:00.440 So you have
00:52:01.040 to be incorrect
00:52:01.980 in your
00:52:02.400 diagnosis.
00:52:03.320 In other
00:52:03.540 words, you're
00:52:03.860 calling somebody
00:52:04.400 the wrong
00:52:04.820 thing.
00:52:06.020 But it
00:52:06.620 also has to
00:52:07.080 be intentional,
00:52:08.040 meaning you're
00:52:08.660 trying to be a 1.00
00:52:09.640 dick. 0.99
00:52:10.440 So it's like a 0.97
00:52:11.020 hate crime.
00:52:13.520 Does that feel
00:52:14.160 like a good
00:52:14.620 law?
00:52:16.800 Does that feel
00:52:17.580 like that'll
00:52:18.300 work out just
00:52:18.920 really, just
00:52:19.520 the way they
00:52:19.960 hope?
00:52:22.660 How in the
00:52:23.380 world do you
00:52:23.980 prove that
00:52:25.260 they're wrong?
00:52:27.060 Imagine the
00:52:27.740 first lesson.
00:52:28.780 All right, you
00:52:29.820 were wrong and
00:52:30.820 you were doing
00:52:31.900 it intentionally,
00:52:33.120 taking you to
00:52:33.740 court.
00:52:34.680 Guy ends up in
00:52:35.460 court and
00:52:35.760 says, all
00:52:36.100 right, you're
00:52:37.720 accused of
00:52:38.340 being wrong
00:52:39.060 and being
00:52:40.380 intentional about
00:52:41.200 it.
00:52:41.920 And then what
00:52:42.460 does the
00:52:43.080 defendant say?
00:52:44.780 Prove I'm
00:52:45.460 wrong.
00:52:46.740 Prove I'm
00:52:47.260 wrong.
00:52:48.880 Go ahead.
00:52:50.340 Prove I'm
00:52:50.840 wrong.
00:52:54.600 It's going to
00:52:55.240 be whose opinion
00:52:56.080 gets to be
00:52:56.680 right.
00:52:57.020 because if
00:52:58.240 the, let's
00:52:58.840 say there's a
00:52:59.560 victim, let's 0.86
00:53:00.800 say there's a
00:53:01.380 victim, with
00:53:02.700 quotes.
00:53:03.920 So there's a
00:53:04.400 victim who's
00:53:05.060 been called
00:53:07.740 the wrong,
00:53:09.180 did they say
00:53:09.780 gender, misgender,
00:53:10.960 called the wrong
00:53:11.600 gender, don't 0.99
00:53:15.300 they have to
00:53:15.680 prove their
00:53:16.300 gender?
00:53:17.540 Like, wouldn't
00:53:17.900 you have to
00:53:18.320 prove that it's
00:53:19.000 wrong?
00:53:20.540 Like, how would
00:53:21.080 you prove that
00:53:21.660 the person who's
00:53:22.300 defining themselves
00:53:23.280 got it right and
00:53:25.540 the person who's
00:53:26.300 observing got it
00:53:27.300 wrong?
00:53:28.640 Couldn't it be the
00:53:29.320 other way around?
00:53:30.860 Couldn't the
00:53:31.360 observer be right
00:53:32.400 and the person
00:53:34.040 who's self-identifying
00:53:35.480 is wrong?
00:53:36.820 Now, you could
00:53:37.360 say that doesn't
00:53:38.000 make sense, because
00:53:38.720 if you're self-
00:53:39.360 identifying, that's
00:53:41.380 the end of the
00:53:41.820 story.
00:53:43.080 The gendering is
00:53:43.980 about self-
00:53:44.560 identification.
00:53:46.060 But is it?
00:53:47.800 Is it completely
00:53:48.900 about self-
00:53:49.520 identification?
00:53:51.180 If you looked
00:53:52.220 and presented
00:53:52.700 yourself as 100%
00:53:54.180 male, but
00:53:55.440 you said, I
00:53:55.900 want everybody
00:53:56.360 to call me
00:53:56.920 she, would
00:53:59.200 that fly? 0.59
00:54:00.620 You didn't even
00:54:01.220 pretend that you
00:54:02.100 were part of the
00:54:02.740 other, the gender
00:54:03.520 you claimed?
00:54:04.860 I don't know.
00:54:05.520 It seems to me you
00:54:06.300 could have a
00:54:06.620 situation where the
00:54:07.460 observer is right.
00:54:10.040 Am I wrong?
00:54:11.380 You couldn't have a
00:54:12.200 situation where the
00:54:13.060 observer is more
00:54:14.040 right than the
00:54:14.620 person who's
00:54:15.200 identifying as
00:54:16.220 whatever it is
00:54:16.780 they are?
00:54:18.220 I think you
00:54:18.960 could.
00:54:20.460 So I don't know
00:54:21.720 how you could
00:54:22.080 ever, like,
00:54:22.940 convict.
00:54:25.440 And what if
00:54:26.640 it's intentional
00:54:27.460 but it's not
00:54:28.700 meant for harm?
00:54:30.220 What if it's
00:54:31.020 intentional and
00:54:32.400 the intent is to
00:54:33.780 make the world a
00:54:34.680 better, safer,
00:54:36.160 more rational
00:54:36.960 place?
00:54:38.120 It just made one
00:54:39.260 person unhappy.
00:54:41.240 That's a crime.
00:54:43.460 If your intention
00:54:44.500 is to make
00:54:45.180 everybody better
00:54:46.080 off, and very,
00:54:48.440 very directly,
00:54:49.440 that's your
00:54:49.780 intention, to make
00:54:50.600 everybody better
00:54:51.260 off, protect
00:54:52.420 kids.
00:54:54.500 So how do you
00:54:55.300 prove you had a
00:54:55.880 bad intention?
00:54:57.680 Yeah, I don't
00:54:58.280 think this law
00:54:58.980 stands because it's
00:55:00.160 too vague, too
00:55:01.580 much to argue
00:55:02.440 about, and doesn't
00:55:04.260 have enough benefit.
00:55:06.400 What's the old
00:55:07.240 hackneyed saying?
00:55:09.000 The juice wouldn't
00:55:09.900 be worth the
00:55:10.500 squeeze.
00:55:11.820 Like, I get what
00:55:12.540 they're going for,
00:55:13.960 but I can't imagine
00:55:14.900 it's worth it, you
00:55:16.040 know, doing it this
00:55:16.820 way.
00:55:17.120 The problems seem
00:55:17.780 like they'd be
00:55:18.220 bigger than the
00:55:19.120 benefits.
00:55:19.600 Well, as you
00:55:22.060 knew this would
00:55:22.780 happen, the AI
00:55:24.120 doctors are coming.
00:55:25.740 So Google is
00:55:26.680 competing as hard
00:55:27.580 as it can against
00:55:28.220 Microsoft's AI,
00:55:29.900 trying to come up
00:55:30.600 with the best AI
00:55:31.780 doctor.
00:55:33.320 And one of them
00:55:34.540 is actually, was it
00:55:35.720 Google?
00:55:36.580 I think it's Google,
00:55:37.740 is actually training
00:55:38.960 it by having the AI
00:55:40.720 take medical
00:55:42.380 tests.
00:55:44.860 You know, the same
00:55:45.340 tests a doctor would
00:55:46.220 have to take to
00:55:47.920 become a doctor.
00:55:48.660 the AI is being
00:55:50.220 trained on the
00:55:50.860 questions and the
00:55:51.500 answers from those
00:55:52.260 tests.
00:55:53.160 So in theory, you
00:55:55.320 could have a human
00:55:56.020 doctor who, you
00:55:57.360 know, scored okay on
00:56:00.060 the medical exams, or
00:56:01.900 you could have an AI
00:56:02.740 who got every question
00:56:03.740 right.
00:56:05.800 Which one would you
00:56:06.780 pick?
00:56:08.560 So presumably, a real
00:56:10.600 human doctor could
00:56:11.520 pass those tests with
00:56:13.740 less than 100%
00:56:14.900 accuracy, I assume,
00:56:16.860 right?
00:56:17.020 It's probably like 70%
00:56:19.160 or something.
00:56:19.880 Does anybody know the
00:56:20.600 actual percentages?
00:56:22.300 To be a doctor, I
00:56:23.640 don't know what tests
00:56:24.260 we're talking about, but
00:56:25.240 you probably have to get
00:56:26.780 pretty high in those
00:56:27.980 tests.
00:56:28.320 I don't think 60 is
00:56:29.440 going to cut it, right?
00:56:30.800 Don't you have to get
00:56:31.380 maybe at least 75%?
00:56:34.780 I'd be happier with 90, 0.93
00:56:37.660 right?
00:56:38.820 But what if the AI gets
00:56:40.360 100% every time, and the
00:56:42.760 human doctors, even the
00:56:43.860 really good ones, are
00:56:44.580 only at 90%, which one
00:56:46.460 do you want for your
00:56:47.020 doctor?
00:56:48.240 The 90% or the 100%?
00:56:50.940 Now, you might say, but
00:56:53.120 the doctor is there in
00:56:54.980 person.
00:56:56.500 Do you think the doctor
00:56:57.540 could do a better job of
00:56:59.220 examining your suspicious
00:57:00.440 mole than the AI could?
00:57:03.360 If you just hold your arm
00:57:04.860 up to the camera and say,
00:57:06.060 all right, is that a
00:57:06.640 suspicious mole?
00:57:07.860 Do you think the human
00:57:08.880 doctor is going to beat the
00:57:09.960 AI?
00:57:11.240 I don't think so.
00:57:14.420 You say yes, but I think
00:57:16.140 the yes is maybe a year
00:57:18.740 old, meaning a year ago,
00:57:21.120 maybe.
00:57:22.000 But at the moment, no, I
00:57:23.140 think they've already
00:57:24.020 tested it.
00:57:25.220 My understanding is they've
00:57:26.460 already tested the
00:57:27.480 suspicious mole test, and
00:57:29.320 the AI already beats the
00:57:30.660 humans.
00:57:31.680 I think that's already
00:57:32.480 done.
00:57:34.820 All right.
00:57:36.460 Well, I do imagine that
00:57:39.300 we'll all have AI doctors
00:57:40.940 right on our phones.
00:57:42.940 The only thing that could
00:57:44.140 stop it would be what?
00:57:46.300 What could stop it?
00:57:48.380 The American Medical
00:57:49.780 Association.
00:57:51.380 Do you know why we didn't
00:57:53.020 have telehealth before the
00:57:55.280 pandemic?
00:57:57.300 What was the really good
00:57:58.820 reason we didn't have
00:57:59.920 telehealth doctors on Zoom?
00:58:03.280 Why didn't we have that
00:58:04.200 before the...
00:58:04.740 It was because the
00:58:06.420 American Medical
00:58:07.100 Association wanted it to
00:58:09.840 be illegal to practice
00:58:11.220 across state lines.
00:58:13.020 And if you can't do it
00:58:14.240 across state lines, it's
00:58:15.780 sort of a problem for that
00:58:16.920 business model, right?
00:58:18.440 Because you're too limited
00:58:19.780 by one state.
00:58:21.420 So the AMA, presumably,
00:58:24.460 to protect the jobs of
00:58:26.660 the doctors, should come
00:58:28.500 out and tell you your AI is 0.90
00:58:30.160 going to kill you, and if 1.00
00:58:31.840 you don't have a human 1.00
00:58:32.520 doctor, you're all dead. 0.93
00:58:33.780 And the data proves it.
00:58:37.800 So there's going to be a
00:58:38.900 fight, but if the AMA is
00:58:42.080 fighting against Google and
00:58:43.320 Microsoft, who's going to
00:58:46.700 win?
00:58:47.940 If you put up the AMA against
00:58:49.900 Google and Microsoft, who
00:58:51.340 wins?
00:58:52.140 It's Google and Microsoft.
00:58:54.140 Am I wrong?
00:58:55.740 I think they win every time.
00:58:57.320 Because they can control the
00:58:59.880 government with money in a
00:59:01.040 way the AMA wishes it could.
00:59:04.520 All right.
00:59:06.700 So now the story is that
00:59:08.360 Putin actually met with
00:59:10.040 Prigozhin after the failed
00:59:12.620 attempted alleged coup.
00:59:15.340 And that Putin met with 30
00:59:17.980 military commanders and that
00:59:20.240 Prigozhin was there.
00:59:21.960 So some are saying that that
00:59:25.100 would be an indication that
00:59:26.920 Putin and Prigozhin are, you 0.91
00:59:29.400 know, at least somehow
00:59:31.900 working together.
00:59:33.540 Does that sound right to you?
00:59:35.940 Do you think there was a
00:59:37.200 friendly meeting of all the
00:59:38.620 military commanders and
00:59:41.100 Prigozhin was just one of 0.99
00:59:42.280 them?
00:59:43.340 And that story is completely
00:59:45.020 true.
00:59:46.040 You believe that?
00:59:46.960 No, I don't know what
00:59:50.840 happened, but let me tell you
00:59:53.260 what I think happened.
00:59:55.120 Do you remember the famous
00:59:56.400 video of Saddam Hussein in a
01:00:01.060 big meeting of all the
01:00:02.800 political people in Iraq before
01:00:05.620 Saddam took over? 0.88
01:00:07.360 And he had his guards come in
01:00:09.020 and one at a time removed
01:00:11.520 leaders from the room and had 0.62
01:00:14.880 them executed immediately. 0.86
01:00:16.960 While the others were waiting 0.94
01:00:18.500 in the room to see if they
01:00:19.520 would be the next ones to be
01:00:20.640 taken out.
01:00:22.020 And after he completed that,
01:00:24.560 not many people went against
01:00:26.140 Saddam because they realized 0.99
01:00:28.040 he was just so badass, he was 0.99
01:00:30.340 going to murder you while you 0.99
01:00:31.520 sat there. 1.00
01:00:32.280 Like while you're sitting there,
01:00:33.660 he's going to take the guy next 0.98
01:00:34.800 to you and murder him right 0.99
01:00:35.960 outside the door. 1.00
01:00:37.380 While you sit there, waiting to
01:00:39.700 know if you're next.
01:00:42.340 I think that probably is a, in a
01:00:46.080 very sort of indirect general
01:00:48.260 way.
01:00:48.640 I think that's what Putin did.
01:00:51.240 I do not think Putin had an
01:00:53.080 ordinary meeting with his
01:00:54.260 commanders to talk about the
01:00:56.140 fate of the Ukraine war and make
01:00:57.680 some strategy.
01:00:59.860 Putin's biggest problem is he
01:01:02.720 doesn't know who's on the other
01:01:05.100 side.
01:01:06.180 I would not be surprised if
01:01:08.160 Purgosin was there and the 30
01:01:10.940 commanders were there.
01:01:11.920 And while they were there, Putin
01:01:14.740 had his generals come in and
01:01:16.840 remove two or three of those
01:01:18.520 commanders while the others
01:01:20.600 watched it.
01:01:22.280 Knowing they will never see those
01:01:23.920 commanders again.
01:01:26.100 Right? 0.97
01:01:26.740 That they're going to be executed 0.99
01:01:27.820 immediately. 0.89
01:01:29.020 For, presumably for being part of
01:01:31.680 Purgosin's thing.
01:01:33.780 Now, that would also be, in my
01:01:35.980 opinion, the last time any of those
01:01:38.120 commanders would see Purgosin.
01:01:39.600 Because I think it would be the
01:01:41.560 ultimate dictator, baller move to
01:01:45.400 have the guy who planned and tried
01:01:47.360 to execute a coup sitting right
01:01:49.580 next to you while you take out a
01:01:53.900 couple more commanders.
01:01:56.620 And, you know, surrounded by people
01:01:57.980 with guns who are on your side.
01:01:59.960 I think it was probably the scariest
01:02:02.420 meeting that anybody's ever been
01:02:05.020 since Saddam. 0.88
01:02:05.780 I think those commanders were, were
01:02:09.880 being tested for their loyalty and
01:02:12.260 probably some of them were taken
01:02:13.640 out and shot.
01:02:16.940 Like right then? 0.95
01:02:18.520 That's my guess.
01:02:19.760 Because I also ask myself, what would I
01:02:21.640 do in that situation?
01:02:23.740 Do you ever put yourself in the
01:02:25.880 murderous dictator frame of mind, just
01:02:28.580 say, well, what would I do? 0.60
01:02:30.300 If I were a murderous dictator, how
01:02:31.920 would I play this?
01:02:32.660 And that's how I would play it.
01:02:35.640 Because Putin really has a problem of
01:02:38.040 not knowing who the traitors are.
01:02:40.540 It's a big, big, big, big, big, big
01:02:42.940 problem.
01:02:43.880 So he would have to do something pretty
01:02:45.800 dramatic to get past it if he can.
01:02:49.680 And the most dramatic thing you could do
01:02:51.640 is bring all those commanders, put them
01:02:53.280 in one room, and take two of them out 1.00
01:02:55.320 and shoot them while the rest of them 1.00
01:02:58.060 are sitting there. 1.00
01:02:58.560 Now, I'm not saying he, you know,
01:03:01.500 necessarily physically shot anybody.
01:03:03.940 I'm saying that he got them there to
01:03:06.440 scare them and to weed out the 1.00
01:03:09.420 traitors and to find out who was
01:03:11.320 loyal and who wasn't.
01:03:12.980 And I think it probably, probably moved
01:03:15.600 him forward a little bit.
01:03:17.300 But I don't believe you're going to see
01:03:19.140 Prigozhin again. 0.97
01:03:20.680 I think that was his one purpose.
01:03:23.340 Putin needed him for that, and now he
01:03:24.700 doesn't need him.
01:03:25.340 He's probably alive, but you're not
01:03:27.080 going to see him again.
01:03:27.980 You would be under Putin's control.
01:03:30.520 All right, Biden is getting some pushback
01:03:32.360 for saying that he grudgingly approved
01:03:36.500 these cluster munitions which are banned,
01:03:39.120 and I think 100 countries banned them
01:03:41.420 as a war crime.
01:03:42.440 They're so terrible.
01:03:43.220 But he grudgingly says he approved them,
01:03:46.200 and the reason is that we were running
01:03:48.120 out of artillery shells.
01:03:51.220 What?
01:03:51.780 And so he says it's temporary until we build
01:03:57.220 up more artillery shells.
01:03:59.160 But then the critic said, my God, you just
01:04:02.340 told our nemeses that we're out of artillery
01:04:05.740 shells or we're low on them.
01:04:08.400 But are you worried about that?
01:04:11.400 That's not real.
01:04:13.340 That's just politics.
01:04:15.540 Because if, let me say it a different way.
01:04:17.940 If Trump had said this, would I be bothered?
01:04:21.540 No.
01:04:22.660 Do you know why?
01:04:24.800 Who's going to attack America in a way
01:04:28.060 in which we need artillery to defend ourselves?
01:04:31.920 Have you ever think of that?
01:04:33.720 What is the scenario in which America needs artillery?
01:04:38.660 Taiwan might need artillery, but it's not going
01:04:41.800 to decide.
01:04:42.480 Taiwan, the fate of Taiwan is not going
01:04:45.360 to be decided by artillery.
01:04:47.700 Do you think Taiwan can win by having an island
01:04:51.700 that's shooting artillery back at the mainland?
01:04:54.360 For what?
01:04:56.400 For what?
01:04:58.420 Now, we certainly have enough artillery
01:05:00.600 to take out the cartels. 0.99
01:05:02.980 If we were dumb enough to use artillery for that, 0.98
01:05:05.520 it would make more sense to use drones and airplanes. 0.94
01:05:07.540 But did anybody who was analyzing the story
01:05:12.460 about Biden saying we were running out
01:05:15.620 of artillery shells, or at least running lower
01:05:18.920 than we wanted to run, we're not out, of course,
01:05:21.820 does anybody think that mattered?
01:05:26.220 Was there any military analysis that said,
01:05:28.780 but, you know, to be honest,
01:05:30.580 we have no use for artillery whatsoever?
01:05:33.420 I can't think of any use for it, can you?
01:05:35.160 Artillery is for a land war. 0.92
01:05:38.560 What, is Mexico going to invade?
01:05:41.020 Canada?
01:05:42.440 And the artillery doesn't shoot across the Atlantic?
01:05:46.040 Like, who are you going to shoot?
01:05:48.000 So, unless we were to,
01:05:50.700 unless we needed to give them to our allies,
01:05:53.320 they weren't, like, protecting the homeland
01:05:55.320 with artillery.
01:05:57.120 Am I wrong about that?
01:05:59.940 I keep saying these military things
01:06:02.060 like I have any military expertise whatsoever,
01:06:04.420 but I'm not wrong, am I?
01:06:06.340 Yeah, no, South Korea can make 0.90
01:06:08.380 all the artillery they want.
01:06:09.680 They don't need ours. 0.68
01:06:14.320 All right.
01:06:16.440 So, there's that.
01:06:20.620 And look how easily,
01:06:22.660 so easily Biden moved from
01:06:25.680 these munitions are a war crime
01:06:27.700 to, well, I guess if you need them.
01:06:30.020 So, the only thing,
01:06:32.100 just think about how horrible this is.
01:06:35.320 So, we have a president,
01:06:37.180 you know, our leader,
01:06:38.280 who should be our,
01:06:39.660 in some ways,
01:06:40.800 should be a model for us
01:06:42.200 of how to behave.
01:06:43.820 I mean, not his personal life,
01:06:45.140 but his public life
01:06:47.040 should be a model for how to behave.
01:06:48.800 And here, he said the right thing
01:06:50.480 at one point.
01:06:51.860 These munitions,
01:06:53.340 these cluster bombs
01:06:54.360 are too horrible,
01:06:55.700 they're a war crime, 0.86
01:06:56.660 we shouldn't use them.
01:06:57.380 And then the first time
01:06:59.560 he thought there was
01:07:00.520 some advantage in using them,
01:07:02.820 he used them.
01:07:04.620 All it took was
01:07:05.980 they had to be useful.
01:07:07.600 So, all of his moralizing
01:07:09.320 about, you know,
01:07:10.420 how bad they are,
01:07:12.380 none of it meant anything.
01:07:14.420 It meant nothing.
01:07:15.680 Because the moment we needed them,
01:07:17.700 and not even for homeland security,
01:07:20.240 it's not even our own homeland.
01:07:22.200 The moment he needed them
01:07:23.340 for a strategic geopolitical purpose,
01:07:26.520 boom.
01:07:27.380 There they are.
01:07:29.100 So, there's your,
01:07:30.020 there's your,
01:07:31.380 there's your morality right there.
01:07:36.200 And it does make me wonder
01:07:37.600 if Trump would have done that.
01:07:40.260 I think he might have.
01:07:42.120 But I don't know for sure.
01:07:43.800 Because I feel like
01:07:44.980 there's something deeply wrong
01:07:48.160 with making a stand as a president
01:07:50.020 that this is beyond the pale.
01:07:52.520 These weapons should not be used.
01:07:54.760 And we're even telling the other side
01:07:56.520 what weapons they can and cannot use.
01:07:58.780 You know, this is a red line.
01:07:59.960 If you use these chemical weapons,
01:08:01.560 or if you use nuclear,
01:08:03.240 it's a red line.
01:08:04.640 And then we cross our own red line
01:08:06.820 like it didn't even matter.
01:08:09.040 Now, I don't know if it's a good decision
01:08:10.700 or a bad decision militarily.
01:08:12.200 But it's a big problem
01:08:16.120 when your president can say two opposites
01:08:18.540 and act like that's okay.
01:08:21.540 Oh, it's immoral.
01:08:22.780 Well, if you need them, it's fine.
01:08:26.920 All right.
01:08:27.460 I saw an article today.
01:08:31.080 I don't know how true it is.
01:08:32.560 But it's a claim that the...
01:08:34.480 You know how the press
01:08:36.120 likes to refer to think tanks.
01:08:39.060 So the so-called think tanks
01:08:40.720 are a bunch of smart people
01:08:41.960 who write up smart opinions.
01:08:45.660 Because they're smart.
01:08:47.640 And so the news,
01:08:49.200 quoting think tanks,
01:08:50.320 makes perfect sense, right?
01:08:52.120 The think tanks are the ones
01:08:53.320 who've got all the thinkers.
01:08:54.760 So you want to know what they think
01:08:56.100 and what they're saying.
01:08:57.220 And especially they like to talk about wars.
01:09:00.040 So the think tanks really weigh in
01:09:01.880 on these geopolitical global things.
01:09:04.640 It's like the war in Ukraine, for example.
01:09:07.300 And we find out that from...
01:09:11.580 Why did I not name...
01:09:13.740 Didn't write down the person who did this,
01:09:15.360 which was good work.
01:09:16.220 But anyway,
01:09:18.440 media outlets have cited think tanks
01:09:21.680 with financial backing
01:09:23.100 from the defense industry
01:09:24.580 85% of the time.
01:09:28.240 So 85% of the time
01:09:30.460 that your news referred to a think tank,
01:09:33.980 the think tank was funded
01:09:35.320 by the military-industrial complex.
01:09:38.820 Did your news ever tell you that?
01:09:41.840 When your news says,
01:09:43.360 such and such a think tank said this,
01:09:46.760 do they say at the same time,
01:09:48.080 but remember they're funded
01:09:49.020 by the people who make weapons.
01:09:50.320 So if they're in favor of wars,
01:09:53.600 just remember they make money
01:09:55.980 from weapons indirectly
01:09:58.840 because they're funded
01:09:59.680 by the weapons industry.
01:10:01.500 Now, don't you think
01:10:02.640 that's a little bit important?
01:10:05.080 Just a little bit important
01:10:06.520 to know that you're quoting somebody
01:10:08.480 who's literally making money
01:10:09.920 from the war indirectly,
01:10:12.280 but literally.
01:10:12.940 That's pretty important.
01:10:16.360 85% of them.
01:10:17.900 So I would give you this advice.
01:10:21.460 If you hear that a think tank
01:10:23.500 has been mentioned,
01:10:26.000 just say to yourself,
01:10:26.940 oh, they're selling weapons.
01:10:29.320 Think tank equals selling weapons.
01:10:32.280 That's your reframe.
01:10:34.360 You'll be in good shape
01:10:35.600 if you just tell yourself
01:10:36.640 think tank is a weapon sales,
01:10:39.980 basically a sales force
01:10:41.920 for the weapons industry.
01:10:44.400 It's not a tank.
01:10:46.240 It's not about thinking.
01:10:47.880 And it's not even about
01:10:48.840 legitimate opinions.
01:10:51.120 It's simply a sales force
01:10:53.300 for the weapons people.
01:10:56.000 Oh, the think tank thinks
01:10:57.260 we should invade Ukraine. 1.00
01:10:59.000 How convenient for weapons sales.
01:11:02.020 Yeah, and marketing.
01:11:03.160 Actually, marketing would be better.
01:11:04.460 It's marketing for weapons manufacturers.
01:11:07.960 And now you could say,
01:11:11.920 but Scott, 15% of them
01:11:13.520 are not funded by the weapons people.
01:11:15.580 To which I say,
01:11:17.020 how do you know which 15%?
01:11:19.140 Are you an expert?
01:11:20.360 Just ignore everything from think tanks.
01:11:22.760 Think tanks are a way
01:11:23.940 to launder opinions.
01:11:26.720 Let's say you launder an opinion.
01:11:28.440 Put it through the think tank.
01:11:29.580 Oh, it's not we weapons makers
01:11:32.240 who say this is a good idea.
01:11:34.200 It's the think tank.
01:11:36.040 It's the think tank.
01:11:36.960 We just make weapons.
01:11:38.540 Oh, we're just over here
01:11:40.180 making weapons
01:11:40.920 and funding the guy
01:11:42.800 who's at the think tank
01:11:43.960 telling us you really need
01:11:45.720 a lot of those weapons.
01:11:47.260 You better buy some weapons.
01:11:49.420 Running out of shells.
01:11:52.540 And that, ladies and gentlemen,
01:11:54.160 is a conclusion
01:11:55.000 of my prepared remarks
01:11:56.280 for what some will call
01:11:58.360 the best live stream
01:11:59.300 that's ever been presented
01:12:00.380 in the history of live streams.
01:12:02.100 But some will not.
01:12:03.800 Some will not.
01:12:04.540 Some will.
01:12:06.880 Some will not.
01:12:08.460 But I'm going to say goodbye
01:12:09.940 to YouTube.
01:12:11.320 Thanks for joining.
01:12:12.760 And I will talk to you tomorrow.
01:12:15.140 And I'm going to spend some time
01:12:16.380 with the Locals platform
01:12:17.560 because they're special.
01:12:19.220 while...
01:12:20.240 Bye.
01:12:20.760 Bye.
01:12:20.860 Bye.
01:12:21.160 And I will start
01:12:21.480 Bye.
01:12:23.020 Bye.
01:12:24.420 Bye.
01:12:25.520 Bye.
01:12:28.320 Bye.
01:12:37.540 Bye.
01:12:39.560 Bye.
01:12:39.860 Bye.
01:12:40.400 Bye.
01:12:40.520 Bye.
01:12:40.880 Bye.
01:12:40.960 Bye.
01:12:41.120 Bye.
01:12:41.660 Bye.
01:12:42.120 Bye.
01:12:42.320 Bye.
01:12:42.440 Bye.
01:12:42.960 Bye.
01:12:44.380 Bye.
01:12:44.640 Bye.
01:12:44.900 Bye.
01:12:45.060 Bye.
01:12:45.120 Bye.
01:12:45.540 Bye.
01:12:45.740 Bye.
01:12:46.460 Bye.
01:12:48.160 Bye.