Episode 2182 Scott Adams： UFOs, Hunter, Trump Indictments, Lots More Fun
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 1 minute
Words per Minute
148.78946
Summary
In this episode of All I Really Need to Know I Learned from a Podcast, Alex Blumberg talks about the recent economic growth numbers, a new photo of a man who may or may not be alive, and the question of the summer being the warmest ever.
Transcript
00:00:00.000
Fix a little technical problem over in the locals platform.
00:00:05.200
But it looks like the locals platform is deader than a doornail today.
00:00:21.700
Well, we're having a terrible time here, technically.
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Normally, I'd be halfway through the simultaneous sip.
00:00:32.040
So we'll be closing up locals and opening it up on my phone, which should work.
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Watch me scramble to make all this work while you wait, wishing there was actually a show going on.
00:01:15.500
Would you like to take this experience up to levels that you don't even believe are possible?
00:01:23.280
And all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or chalice, a sistein, a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:01:32.100
And join you now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine to the day, the thing that makes everything better.
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It's like news happening like you can't even believe it.
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So the Wall Street Journal is saying that the economy grew by 2.4%.
00:02:07.660
We'll talk about Hunter and UFOs and stuff, but it'll take a minute for all the locals people to give up and come over here.
00:02:18.480
But what I thought was interesting about this is it's good news that the economy is doing well.
00:02:23.880
But the headline was, U.S. economic growth defies a slowdown expectations.
00:02:38.180
So I would like to add to my most accurate political predictions and most accurate pandemic predictions and most accurate Ukraine predictions, the most accurate economic prediction.
00:02:50.100
Because I actually said we would not go into a recession.
00:02:53.880
Remember I told you I was all excited preliminarily yesterday about this story that researchers had made a room temperature superconductor?
00:03:09.180
Took about 10 minutes for people to crap all over it and say, well, let's wait to see if anybody can reproduce this.
00:03:18.980
And so I would say that all of my optimism about superconductivity, completely gone, completely gone.
00:03:27.040
Yeah, it doesn't sound like it's real, but I would love to be surprised.
00:03:30.640
So don't wait for any room temperature superconductivity.
00:03:40.120
Well, there's a new photo of Wagner leader Pregosian, allegedly in Russia, and he's just shaking hands with some African guy who's visiting.
00:04:08.940
They just said there's a picture of him, which is fair.
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And does anybody want to think that he's still free and just doing his own thing?
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He's just driving his RV around St. Petersburg?
00:04:30.680
If he's alive, he's certainly controlled by Putin at this point.
00:04:37.500
Did you read it in the news that it was the warmest summer?
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How many of you think we had the warmest summer because of climate change?
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But I'd like to give you a counterpoint, which doesn't...
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It doesn't necessarily refute everything you've heard, but it gives you context.
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Commentating responsibly on summer temperature?
00:05:13.960
All right, see if you agree with these four facts.
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Cold-related deaths are much greater than heat-related deaths.
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That the number of people who die because it's too cold is way higher than the number of people who die because it's warm.
00:05:29.120
So in theory, you can imagine that depending on where it got warmer, it would save lives, right?
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So if the cold places got warmer, but the places that are already hot didn't get warmer or didn't get much warmer, we'd be better off, wouldn't we?
00:05:51.180
If the hot places got hotter and the cold places got colder, that probably would be worse.
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But according to Alex, Earth is warming slowly and less in warm places.
00:06:06.620
So the warming is more concentrated in the cold places, which should save lives.
00:06:11.780
Fossil fuels, number three, fossil fuels make us safer from dangerous temperatures.
00:06:19.600
Yeah, what would you do if you didn't have fossil fuels?
00:06:23.140
Wouldn't you be more exposed to what the weather can do if you can't sit in your car or heat your house?
00:06:30.440
And anti-fossil fuel policies increase the danger from cold and heat.
00:06:38.580
If fossil fuels protect you from temperature extremes, then not having them would make you less safe.
00:06:45.820
So I think a lot of this turns on these two points.
00:06:53.080
And it's not warming as much in the places that are already warm.
00:07:02.700
If somebody told you that the average temperature of the Earth was going up, that's pretty scary, right?
00:07:10.640
But what if they told you that it's warming up in the places that are too cold and the places that are already hot, nobody lives there?
00:07:30.240
So I'm not saying that the warming is not a problem.
00:07:37.340
But we're pretty good at dealing with that kind of problem.
00:07:53.300
There was an article by Katie Mogg in the Wall Street Journal.
00:07:57.660
And apparently there's a trend called the hashtag lazy girl job.
00:08:12.480
You don't make that much money, but you make enough, especially if you live with your boyfriend or something.
00:08:17.200
So apparently it's this big old trend to have a job that you can just sort of pay the rent, but you're not looking to kill it.
00:08:34.580
So apparently leaning in has turned into sleeping in.
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This phenomenon has been growing lately, and it's racked up close to 18 million views on a particular social media network.
00:08:57.560
What would be a social media network that would encourage working age humans in the United States to not work hard,
00:09:06.000
but maybe not send that same message to, let's say, China?
00:09:16.480
I mean, who would tell Americans to be lazier because it's awesome,
00:09:20.020
while not telling Chinese citizens to be lazy because it's not awesome?
00:09:34.140
A trend that's really bad for Americans seems to be running on TikTok, which does not run in the same form in China.
00:09:43.600
So why are people talked into being trans if they never thought of it in their life before?
00:10:05.680
The fact that it's obvious that we have a brainwashing technology that's been inserted in the phone of every young American.
00:10:21.680
Because it's summer, and you don't talk about real stuff in the summer.
00:10:27.960
As you know, the Congress had some hearings about whether the government has secret UFOs that they're keeping from us.
00:10:37.300
And I don't know about you, but after listening to some of the testimony about the UFOs, I'm left with more questions than answers.
00:11:01.220
Are we using this advanced alien technology that we have to make video cameras for the White House that can't see Hunter?
00:11:11.420
The security cameras can see everybody, except Hunter.
00:11:17.700
And most importantly, number three, how many aliens are in Trump's boxes?
00:11:26.400
Because one thing we know is that we can't be told what's in the boxes.
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And I can't think of anything else that they wouldn't tell us.
00:11:33.720
Because anything else they could tell us, am I right?
00:11:41.620
If Trump's boxes of secrets had attack plans for Iran, we would hear that.
00:11:50.460
If there were nuclear secrets, we would hear that.
00:11:56.880
If he had boxes that were full of, let's say, sensitive conversations with a foreign adversary, or a foreign ally, or maybe something that we had found about a foreign adversary, we would have heard that.
00:12:15.200
What's the one thing that could be in the boxes that even the government wouldn't even say anything about?
00:12:25.820
Because it's the only thing they wouldn't want to say anything about.
00:12:28.740
Otherwise, they would just say, well, yes, he has them.
00:12:32.240
But they can't tell you that they do have aliens.
00:12:51.100
And Tate was talking about, you know, men who sleep with a lot of women.
00:12:59.380
He said, to sleep with women endlessly without love is a cursed and hollow life.
00:13:05.000
Well, if you were not already hating Elon Musk for being the richest person in the world,
00:13:17.680
can you hate him now for apparently knowing the answer to this question,
00:13:22.760
how you feel when you have slept with endless women without love?
00:13:31.180
I feel like if you're the richest man in the world and you're unmarried,
00:13:35.180
you have experienced sleeping with endless women without love.
00:13:41.320
I think that's probably what a Tuesday looks like for him.
00:13:49.140
So we hate him for knowing the answer to that question.
00:13:53.380
What does it feel like to have sex with endless women?
00:14:00.300
You know, but I'm glad that he did it so we don't have to do it.
00:14:05.640
Guys, are you glad that Elon Musk told us what it feels like to sleep with endless women without love?
00:14:16.280
I was like, you know what I'm going to do this week?
00:14:21.020
I'm going to try having endless sex with women who don't love me.
00:14:27.200
But then I would have found out it was cursed and a hollow life.
00:14:29.980
And so I'm glad that Musk did it so I don't have to.
00:14:34.140
But there is something left out of his analysis.
00:14:37.000
That sleeping with women endlessly without love is a cursed and hollow life.
00:14:41.720
How does it compare to being married to one person?
00:14:50.780
I would agree with him that maybe it isn't, you know, a cursed and hollow life.
00:15:00.440
You know what is the worst advice anybody ever gave?
00:15:20.860
Do you know why that's the worst advice in the world?
00:15:35.620
I'm almost positive that 100% of people who get married think they picked the right one.
00:15:46.560
Are there a lot of people getting married saying, you know, this mate I picked is total shit, but I just feel like getting married?
00:15:56.740
I believe that everybody enters an illusion in which they figure that whatever flaws the other person has, they'll work it out.
00:16:10.960
And so that, therefore, a reasonable and a smart person, using good judgment, can go out and find a good solid mate and have a solid life because of it.
00:16:21.700
Now, some of you say, but, God, you fucking idiot.
00:16:30.360
I mean, maybe it's not over 50% of the population, but there are plenty and plenty of examples of people who looked and they found the right person.
00:16:41.080
Would you like to tell me that there are many examples?
00:16:44.640
Many of you are the example where the correct mate, which you wisely and with your good judgment and your free will, you chose that good mate.
00:16:55.360
And because of your good choice, things are better for you.
00:16:58.840
How many of you, raise your hand if you're in that category.
00:17:01.740
You wisely picked the right mate and it totally worked out for you.
00:17:09.000
And therefore would be a good technique, right?
00:17:15.800
Does anybody see what's wrong with your analysis?
00:17:26.420
You take a million people and you randomly pair them with each other.
00:17:44.640
Would, you know, if you had a million of them, would some of them have amazing marriages?
00:17:52.800
Does that, does that indicate that you can choose the right mate?
00:18:05.960
But, so, so would you say that the evidence is, there are plenty of examples of people who consciously,
00:18:13.780
and this is the important part, they were consciously looking for a good mate.
00:18:19.000
They lived their whole life happy that they found one, and that's proof that it's a good
00:18:27.320
It's basically solid, well, maybe not proof in a scientific sense, but it's very solid,
00:18:33.020
solid evidence because you know lots of people.
00:18:36.720
People, you personally know lots of people who put the effort in, found somebody, and it
00:18:42.420
worked, and it worked their whole life, and they were really happy about it, right?
00:18:47.320
That's not, that's not really thinking what you're doing there.
00:18:52.020
There's no, there's no sense of reason or logic to that whatsoever.
00:18:58.060
If you have a lot of people doing something, somebody's going to win.
00:19:04.880
If a lot of people are doing a thing, some of them are going to get lucky.
00:19:13.920
So what would you imagine would be the rate of people getting lucky that would indicate
00:19:18.240
it's luck versus something that would indicate it's a solid plan?
00:19:25.500
Another solid plan would be, if you wanted a good life, you would stay in the jail, you'd
00:19:30.940
learn some skills, you know, you'd basically stay off drugs, do some things.
00:19:42.360
If you do those few simple things that anybody can do.
00:19:47.460
And the answer is, almost no poor people in that group.
00:19:51.760
If you, you know, build skills, go to school, stay in a jail, do the basics, pretty much all
00:20:03.600
Now remember, you've got to, you're not just counting the people who get divorced.
00:20:08.020
You have to include the people who stayed married but kind of wish they hadn't.
00:20:13.480
So marriage is more of a, maybe I'd say a 25% success rate.
00:20:23.040
Does 25% sound like chance or the result of people who knew exactly what they were doing,
00:20:33.140
they knew exactly what a good mate would look like, and they went out and tried to get one.
00:20:40.460
Have you ever noticed that people tend to marry the people they work with?
00:20:43.680
What are the odds you met your soulmate at work?
00:20:53.540
The thing we know about people is that they can fall in love with whoever's around.
00:21:00.660
We're not looking for our soulmate among the 8 billion people on Earth.
00:21:12.720
So how many of the people who just fell in love because they happen to be in the proximity
00:21:16.620
of another person who was willing to, you know, say yes,
00:21:23.980
So I would say that 25% success rate of picking the right mate and making it last a lifetime.
00:21:34.120
Could be a little more, could be a little less.
00:21:38.280
So what kind of advice is it to give somebody advice that could not work more than half of the time?
00:21:47.380
Advice that will not work at least half of the time.
00:21:53.980
Because you do not have a mechanism or the capability to pick a good mate.
00:22:00.220
Now, I suppose there's some really super obvious stuff like, you know,
00:22:05.660
somebody who's been in and out of jail their entire life and has no intention of stopping crime.
00:22:15.300
But I don't think that's what anybody's talking about.
00:22:17.480
I think most people are looking at average-looking people and saying,
00:22:25.120
But it's not because they're so smart or they knew how to pick a good person.
00:22:29.980
No, I think it's pure magical thinking that you can pick the right person.
00:22:33.980
That said, that said, you should try as hard as you can to pick the right person.
00:22:40.560
I'm just saying it's magical thinking to think that's some kind of formula for success.
00:22:46.280
It's something you should try to do, but you really don't know how to do it.
00:22:53.660
There's yet another announcement about AI movies, and now this Gen 2.
00:23:03.760
I don't know if it's HeyGen or Gen 2 or whatever it is.
00:23:05.980
But there is some new AI that can make movies, make an entire movie just from some prompts.
00:23:17.280
Do you know why I don't watch television right now, besides the fact that content is bad?
00:23:24.680
It's because there are so many streaming services, and each one takes a lot of effort to make
00:23:31.340
Like, I've got streaming services that work on some devices, but not others.
00:23:45.280
So I've got all these streaming devices, and as I've said many times, instead of watching content,
00:23:51.180
which is what I used to do, now I just look for content, and I'm sure that there's something
00:23:56.400
better I haven't found yet, and then I never watch any content.
00:23:58.940
So the amount of content made watching content impractical.
00:24:08.720
It's like going to the Cheesecake Factory, and they've got the 50-page menu, and you're
00:24:13.840
sitting there with somebody who's not good at making decisions about food.
00:24:20.900
DoorDash, do not go there with somebody who's not good with decisions.
00:24:27.200
Would you like to see my impression of going to the Cheesecake Factory?
00:24:45.200
That's me eating at the Cheesecake Factory with anybody.
00:25:04.660
I think when AI can make movies, everybody's going to make an AI movie.
00:25:08.880
The moment you can make a movie just by typing in some text, there's going to be so many AI movies.
00:25:20.420
Do you think any of these AI movies are going to be good?
00:25:25.860
I mean, it's based on human patterns, and only one out of, you know, a thousand movies are good.
00:25:30.280
So it's not going to be better than one in a thousand, but you know what's going to be different?
00:25:38.440
When you go to look for a movie, there will be a billion.
00:25:53.220
How long are you going to look for the good one?
00:25:56.500
How much time are you going to spend looking for the good one?
00:25:58.780
Now, here's even, like, a deeper analysis of this.
00:26:03.880
Years ago, I made the mistake of trying to become a script writer for movies.
00:26:11.340
And I, you know, read some books and studied up on the structure of scripts.
00:26:16.800
Unfortunately, that process ruined movies for me forever.
00:26:20.840
Because once you know how a script has to be written in order to make it onto the screen,
00:26:27.900
And if you don't use the formula, you're not going to get it made.
00:26:35.080
But once you see the formula, and you're like, oh, it's a three-act play.
00:26:46.680
So, and then you know that the B plot interferes with the A plot.
00:26:51.020
You know that anything you see that's called out in the first act has to be important in the last act,
00:26:57.460
or else they wouldn't call it out in the first act.
00:26:59.380
And once you see the whole process and the structure, it doesn't look like art anymore.
00:27:04.820
And when it stops looking like art, it loses all of its punch.
00:27:11.100
So I would say that, and other people have had the same experience I've talked to them,
00:27:15.520
the moment you can see the gears, you lose all your love of the movies.
00:27:21.500
I don't know how people make movies and watch them, because they just should know too much.
00:27:28.460
Maybe they watch them for a different reason, to see how well they're made or something.
00:27:31.600
But once there are tons of AI movies, and they're all using the same formulas that humans use,
00:27:38.960
and there's billions of them, I think this will destroy movies as an art form.
00:27:52.100
And of course, when I say that, it's more like radio.
00:27:55.060
You know, radio lasted forever, even though television was supposed to get rid of it.
00:27:58.800
So there will be probably some AI movies and other movies, but, you know,
00:28:03.980
movies as a major cultural phenomenon should shrink to a niche.
00:28:16.120
You know, everybody says it, but when you see these numbers, it's shocking.
00:28:18.840
So Pew Research, or the Pew Group, or whoever there, found that Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents
00:28:25.820
are much more likely than Republicans and Republican-leaners to support the U.S. government
00:28:38.680
So 70% of Democrats and leaning Democrats think the government should restrict what is,
00:28:53.460
So before any of you Republicans get all feeling good about yourself,
00:28:58.240
39% of Republicans think the government should restrict bad information.
00:29:09.140
You see, the problem is that this requires somebody to know what information is good.
00:29:13.280
As soon as you say somebody is going to be the judge of what good information is and what's
00:29:21.800
You are so dead if you let somebody decide for you what's true.
00:29:32.340
How do 70% of Democrats and 39% of Republicans not know that allowing the government to tell
00:29:43.780
you what's true would be the end of the republic?
00:29:51.020
And my best guess is that, at least with the Democrats, is that they've been so propagandized
00:29:57.720
that Republicans are putting out bad information that they can't see that their own information
00:30:08.420
Would you say that the propaganda makes them think that the only bad information is coming
00:30:16.040
They don't understand that the bad information is coming from inside the House.
00:30:20.520
And they still don't know it, even after the pandemic.
00:30:25.140
Even after the pandemic, when we've learned almost everything the government told us was
00:30:34.220
And yet, the Democrats, 70% of them, somehow are not influenced by the fact that we know
00:30:46.260
Not only about that, but everything from the laptop to you name it.
00:30:54.220
70% of the Democrat leaners and Democrats are not influenced by recent events.
00:31:00.760
They still want somebody to tell them what's true.
00:31:02.840
Or, more importantly, to tell the other side what's true.
00:31:14.820
I think that when people answered the question, they were answering as Democrats.
00:31:19.680
Well, I would like my enemies not to talk as much.
00:31:24.300
But if you ask them, I think if you took any of these 70% and sat them down and said,
00:31:29.520
what I just had, just the two of you talking, not a poll, say, all right, you know that both
00:31:39.540
And you know that if somebody in particular is in charge of telling you what's true, you
00:31:47.860
I mean, I don't think anybody actually holds this opinion.
00:31:53.080
People are giving opinions they don't hold because they think you'll probably have a strategic
00:32:00.420
So I think people are just answering what would be a philosophical question.
00:32:04.640
I think they're answering it strategically, partly what's happening.
00:32:16.100
Wouldn't you say that there's also a suppression by the left of opinion?
00:32:23.260
Don't you think that it's more than just what's true or what's false, but that opinion is also
00:32:33.680
Because some of the opinion is about what's true and what's not true.
00:32:36.680
So you end up blocking opinion when you try to block fact.
00:32:45.880
Now, it might be just because there are so many Democrats who are unable to speak in
00:32:51.540
You got your Kamala Harris, your Joe Biden, your Fetterman, your Senator Feinstein, who actually
00:33:04.100
If you saw Mitch McConnell's tragic press announcement and he stood there and actually
00:33:10.560
couldn't speak and he looked like he was having some kind of an event in his head.
00:33:16.380
Apparently he can speak because he did come back, but he's in bad shape.
00:33:21.840
So by my count, that is five major members of our government who can't form sentences.
00:33:31.920
There are four elected people who are really prominent.
00:33:40.260
Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Fetterman, Feinstein, and now Mitch McConnell.
00:33:54.720
There's nobody who can tell Mitch McConnell it's time.
00:34:07.380
If you're a Republican or a conservative and you've been saying that Joe Biden needs to
00:34:12.040
step down because of age, but you're not saying it about Mitch McConnell,
00:34:22.680
Both of them need to step down, like really soon.
00:34:28.260
Yeah, Grassley actually is weirdly, Grassley seems pretty capable, doesn't he, relatively speaking?
00:34:37.940
So, yeah, I mean, the team play here is just disgusting because none of these people would be in power if people were trying to pick good people.
00:34:53.440
So picking a good mate is like picking a good politician.
00:34:57.220
You have every good intention of doing it, but then, you know, there are reasons.
00:35:01.320
There are reasons why you've got to pick these bad ones.
00:35:06.540
Speaking of bad ones, Adam Schiff was at Adam Schiff is so entertaining because he I don't know what's in his head.
00:35:18.160
But it seems that he must be aware that he can say anything and the news won't check him on his side.
00:35:27.980
You know, only the Republicans will fact check him and nobody, he doesn't care about them because his base and his voters will never see it.
00:35:34.400
So he said, quote, the Republican desire to impeach someone, anyone, no matter if there's any evidence, just shows how they have descended into chaos.
00:35:47.600
So the Republicans are crazy because they want to impeach the person who's in charge of the border who's just letting everybody in.
00:35:56.740
It's crazy to want to impeach somebody who's just not doing the job on a vital thing.
00:36:02.740
And of course, the Biden stuff is just beyond the pale at this point.
00:36:07.740
So at the same time, there might be a Trump indictment today.
00:36:11.640
Is there been any news yet on a Trump indictment?
00:36:17.360
Can we say there will be no Trump indictment today?
00:36:20.020
Am I wrong that they always happen in the morning?
00:36:33.900
So I tweeted, because I thought it was funny, that the news today has UFOs and a possible Trump indictment.
00:36:42.120
That's got to tell you that Hunter's in trouble.
00:36:45.480
But then somebody pointed out, to ruin my fun, that the UFOs are, that's all the Republican process.
00:36:50.640
So the Republicans are not trying to cover up any Hunter stories.
00:36:55.300
But it is funny that we get these two flashy stories at the same time Hunter's in trouble.
00:37:03.900
Anyway, you all heard by now that Hunter lost his sweetheart plea deal.
00:37:08.120
Now, I'm no lawyer, so I'm going to give you the idiot's version of what I understand about this.
00:37:13.140
So Hunter had this sweetheart deal worked out in which he would plead guilty to some minor stuff among a large bag of potential stuff that could have been even worse.
00:37:27.260
Normally, you would plead guilty to, well, let me take another tack on this.
00:37:33.140
So the idea was, at least these smart people are saying, that it seems to have been crafted explicitly to get Hunter off, but more importantly, to prevent anybody from ever finding out more information.
00:37:48.600
And the way they would do that is have a deal in which there's no trial, so you don't have the discovery of the trial.
00:37:54.940
But moreover, if the press asked questions, they would still be able to say the investigations are ongoing.
00:38:02.760
So somehow they were going to say, we've made a deal and all the investigations are closed, while also saying they're still open so we can't talk about it.
00:38:10.920
It was some weird situation that was ridiculous on its surface.
00:38:17.080
And it was really transparent, even to the judge, who overturned it, because it seemed obvious that this was so non-standard, it could only be put together for the purpose of protecting Hunter.
00:38:30.580
Could not have been done, in any reasonable person's opinion, for any kind of justice or normal process that another person would go through.
00:38:49.680
Because if Hunter can be prosecuted, doesn't that open up the ability to investigate everything related to it, which would necessarily include the entire Biden criminal family organization?
00:39:03.760
And by the way, I have no problem saying it's a Biden crime family.
00:39:08.160
Because I think the evidence in the news is now overwhelming.
00:39:12.420
And it seems to me that the 20 shell companies and the six banks and all that stuff, you could do away with all the alleged audio tapes.
00:39:28.300
You know, let's say we never hear any of these alleged Ukrainian audio tapes.
00:39:32.620
You could say that all the documents, like that 1023, you could say those are all fake.
00:39:41.040
But all you need is to know that a huge amount of money flowed from other countries into a labyrinth of shell companies and banks that has no purpose other than to hide your activity.
00:39:59.380
All you have to do is show this flow of money and the structure it flowed into and then where it ended up.
00:40:18.880
And we've got the bank records and the money and where it went.
00:40:29.900
I always say people are innocent until proven guilty.
00:40:32.680
But if I watch somebody shoot somebody in my living room with my own eyes and I'm standing right next to them, I'm not going to say that that person is innocent.
00:40:44.080
You know, I don't need the court to validate it because I can observe it directly.
00:40:48.520
This is one of those cases where you can observe it directly.
00:40:52.620
Because Hunter's defense has offered no explanation for why you would have all these shell companies and banks and even what they did for the money.
00:41:01.380
You know, what was the product they gave them for the money.
00:41:04.620
Without that, I would say this is as obvious as watching somebody murder somebody right in front of you.
00:41:13.260
It's a very rare exception to innocent until proven guilty.
00:41:17.600
Now, somebody who definitely should be innocent until proven guilty would be Andrew Tate.
00:41:23.700
Because we don't really know anything about that, do we?
00:41:26.780
We know these allegations, but nothing really sounds right about any of it.
00:41:32.480
And it's Romania, you don't know if there's corruption.
00:41:36.020
So Andrew Tate is the perfect example of innocent until proven guilty.
00:41:42.840
Whereas this Hunter situation was so well understood that I think you can go beyond the court opinion to have your own opinion about it.
00:41:52.680
Now, I would say that's different than the Trump boxes.
00:41:58.060
Because the Trump box case really relies on a lot of legal theory and who did what exactly when.
00:42:07.020
And I would say that's innocent until proven guilty.
00:42:10.300
I mean, it looks like maybe there were some technical violations that nobody should care about.
00:42:22.400
I would say there's no chance of Joe Biden being the next president.
00:42:34.540
Because I think the evidence that we have already would guarantee he can't win against any Republican who's sane.
00:42:40.840
And you're going to have strong Republicans going into the race, whoever it is.
00:42:48.580
But no matter who it is, you know, any of the top four is going to just destroy Biden.
00:42:58.120
Imagine a debate in which Trump or somebody says,
00:43:01.020
look, we've discovered 20 shell companies, six banks, and whatever the number is,
00:43:10.280
and no explanation of what services were provided for that.
00:43:14.400
And no explanation of why you needed to hide that money.
00:43:18.200
Now, ladies and gentlemen of America, I submit to you
00:43:21.540
that if they offered a defense, you should consider it.
00:43:40.380
And I'm trying to get rid of the head of the swamp first.
00:43:45.540
and we'll worry about the rest of the snake when I get elected.
00:43:51.820
You know, although I agree that people are innocent until proven guilty,
00:43:55.040
there is no other explanation for this money flowing from other countries
00:43:59.060
and from the countries that were exactly the portfolios that Biden was controlling
00:44:05.960
So let's not get caught up into the legal details.
00:44:09.500
You can all see the stuff that nobody's arguing about.
00:44:31.060
Now, I believe that the Democrats are unwilling to rig the election for Biden,
00:44:42.040
But if they could, hypothetically, I don't think they would.
00:44:51.320
So even CNN is starting to run some anti-Biden commentary.
00:45:09.000
So I'm going to go with it doesn't matter who does win.
00:45:12.080
It matters, but that's not part of the prediction.
00:45:20.920
he doesn't have, I'd say, any chance of winning at this point.
00:45:34.640
Have you heard anybody else say that Biden can't win,
00:45:45.980
Because I think most people are still on the page.
00:45:51.580
And Republicans are thinking he can win because something will happen with the election, right?
00:45:56.360
Or the Democrats don't care if he's sentient or not.
00:45:59.160
So I don't know how many people have predicted this, if any.
00:46:06.580
But I'm going to say there isn't any chance he can be president again.
00:46:10.880
So between his health and the Hunter stuff and the fact that the Democrats don't want to put up with it again,
00:46:17.380
and even CNN started to change his tune a little bit on the reporting.
00:46:20.440
Now, remember, you're saying that the cheating can make him president.
00:46:26.900
I'm saying that they wouldn't cheat in this case.
00:46:34.520
it would make far more sense to put in a better candidate ahead of time so you don't have to cheat.
00:46:41.500
If you imagine there's such a thing as some, you know, Democrat conspiracy to cheat,
00:46:52.620
If that existed, and there's no evidence of it,
00:46:57.560
But they would certainly be well organized enough to make sure they were not in that position,
00:47:08.900
So that's all just imagining that such people exist.
00:47:23.640
I think we found something we can all come together on.
00:47:35.400
I think we can come together as a nation and universally condemn those things that nobody ever said.
00:47:45.640
Would you join with me to condemn the terrible things that nobody's ever said?
00:47:53.040
For example, nobody's ever said that slaves had a good deal.
00:47:56.400
Nobody ever said that slaves were benefiting by those, you know, in a way that made slavery sort of a good deal by having skills.
00:48:10.520
But the entire country is deciding to argue over it.
00:48:13.860
The thing that nobody said and nobody believes.
00:48:25.080
The thing that nobody said and nobody believes.
00:48:33.520
But at least we can come together on condemning the things that never happened and nobody ever said.
00:48:38.020
And the funniest part about that story, it's, you know, the topic is history teaching in Florida and whether it should say that the slaves were acquiring skills that had some benefit to them later on.
00:48:56.400
And it turns out that the people who are really mad about the DeSantis plan for history lessons want to replace it with a more generic one that they're happy with.
00:49:09.660
Do you know what the difference is between the generic one that the unhappy people would like to replace and the one that DeSantis wants?
00:49:26.400
That slaves learn skills, which they could take with them later, both, you know, during slavery and after.
00:49:33.900
And it would be better to have a skill than not to have a skill.
00:49:39.020
Not only is the entire debate about something that nobody said, nobody said the part that the slaves had a good deal.
00:49:48.780
Everybody said the part that they learned skills.
00:49:51.980
And everybody agrees that learning skills is better than not learning skills.
00:49:55.240
So this is like a double, triple absurdity situation.
00:50:08.120
But we're, you know, we have something to talk about.
00:50:10.140
All right, I would like to give you the best part of my presentation today, which is how to deal with the Republicans, mostly the Biden camp, who are calling Republicans extreme MAGA.
00:50:24.120
Does it seem to you they're getting some traction on this extreme MAGA situation?
00:50:32.260
Because it feels like other people are picking it up.
00:50:34.520
But I'm going to teach you a persuasion trick for removing extreme MAGA from the attack.
00:50:43.380
Now, it's not much different from other techniques.
00:50:48.180
So you'll recognize the technique as an embrace and amplify.
00:50:54.100
But I'm tweaking embrace and amplify a little bit.
00:50:57.780
Because embrace and amplify means you just embrace somebody's dumbass idea.
00:51:04.340
And the pretending you agree surfaces all the problem with the idea.
00:51:08.580
This is a little bit different, but it's a close cousin to that.
00:51:21.760
The actors are a couple of very Republican, ordinary looking people, just like the most ordinary Republicans you could have.
00:51:39.340
So you see them in their living room sitting on the couch.
00:51:45.980
And dad's there with a man's mirror, not a Bud Light.
00:51:51.420
And you hear Joe Biden say something about extreme MAGA.
00:52:09.520
And so you see the two people trying to figure out how they can get to extreme.
00:52:18.520
You know, it all happens really quickly because it's like a quick video.
00:52:21.420
They talk to their friends and they're like, we'd like to be more extreme.
00:52:25.620
And they're like, well, you could wear this, you know, this hat that has embossed lettering on it.
00:52:35.040
Well, compared to the regular hat that has no embossed lettering, that's way more extreme.
00:52:39.920
So you would do like little skits of regular Republicans trying to become or get upgraded to the excitement of being an extreme MAGA.
00:52:58.740
And of course, the point of it is it's a ridiculous concept.
00:53:07.180
So you want to embrace it so that you can mock it.
00:53:15.380
Because when you embrace and amplify, the mocking is sort of embedded in your actions.
00:53:22.140
You're pretending like you're just playing it straight.
00:53:24.580
In this case, you would be actively mocking it.
00:53:27.460
But you're embracing it before you actively mock it.
00:53:35.440
Now, in my opinion, the silliness of extreme MAGA, you can immediately take it from, extreme MAGA sounds like racist, right?
00:53:48.380
But you can make extreme MAGA just seem silly and cute and ridiculous.
00:53:53.420
Just by having more attention to the counterpoint.
00:54:05.540
And then you also get, you'd also want your Republicans to make fun of it.
00:54:10.640
You know, can you imagine Vivek or, you know, somebody who's got a personality saying, you know,
00:54:31.440
You know, just mock the thing by smiling and laughing at it.
00:54:36.920
You know, I don't think I'm extreme MAGA enough.
00:54:43.280
You show somebody with a Make America Great Again hat on, you know, the red hat, and then
00:54:48.700
they're trying to figure out how to become extreme, and then one of them has an idea.
00:54:52.700
And they turn the hat around backwards, and everybody's like, I think you did it.
00:55:07.900
And then they're all like, huh, huh, huh, huh, and they turn their hats around, and they're
00:55:19.240
And they go to have a drink, but it's only Bud Light.
00:55:34.520
Since now we've been told, and I'm sure it's true, because people said so, that you can just
00:55:43.120
So you can just write some text to create this little play of the MAGA people trying
00:55:49.180
to be extreme MAGA, and it'll be totally watchable because AI made it, right?
00:55:55.900
If you want to show yourself that AI can't make a movie, no matter how many posts you see
00:56:01.600
about it, at least now, it can't make a movie, try to do that.
00:56:06.400
Try to do just that little short film, a two-minute clip with a very clear message, and see, you tell
00:56:14.540
your AI to make that, and watch how much you don't want to watch it when it's done.
00:56:29.460
Yeah, you need humans editing, period, because the machine can't tell what's working and what
00:56:40.580
What would be the funniest thing a MAGA person could do that in the humorous world would look
00:56:51.780
Now, I was also imagining what would be extreme MAGA sporting events.
00:57:00.440
Because extreme MAGA sounds like extreme sports.
00:57:03.720
So I was imagining, suppose all the extreme MAGAs had some kind of Olympics just for extreme
00:57:11.720
And I thought, you know, the real Olympics already has the skiing and shooting.
00:57:16.100
I have this feeling that a Republican extreme MAGA events would just be regular sports, but
00:57:27.320
So it would be like tennis, but you could shoot.
00:57:33.020
You know, you could hit the ball or you could shoot it in the air.
00:57:35.420
It would be like basketball, but instead of playing defense, you could just shoot the
00:57:41.100
So I think you just take regular sports and you add shooting, and you got your extreme MAGA games.
00:57:51.080
We've got basketball, we've got soccer, we've got soccer, we've got curling, we've got curling, we've got curling, we've got curling, that's it.
00:58:06.880
We've got, we've got racing, we've got shooting, we've got lawn darts.
00:58:22.360
It's more, it's less target practice and more team against team.
00:58:29.060
It's cornhole, it's cornhole, but we're shooting.
00:58:39.840
Maybe it's mowing your lawn and not drinking a bud light.
00:58:48.480
You have to mow your lawn on a hot day, and there has to be a cold bud light sitting in front of you.
00:58:55.580
And you see who can go the longest without taking a sip of the bud light.
00:59:11.000
Yeah, and then whoever, whoever can last the longest wins that competition.
00:59:17.100
Yeah, the mowing and resisting the bud light would be a good extreme mega.
00:59:42.540
You can kind of see a chess board, and then two Republicans wearing boxing gloves.
00:59:47.800
And they don't know the rules of the chess game, so they just punch each other instead.
01:00:03.760
Ladies and gentlemen, I think I've done what I need to do, and we've accomplished everything except getting the locals' platform to work.
01:01:03.460
Thank you for joining, and I will see you tomorrow, ladies and gentlemen.
01:01:08.080
And if you are a member of the local subscription service, I will probably see you tonight.