Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2193 Scott Adams： Watch Me Reframe The News And Everything Else. Bring Coffee

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do-do-do. Do-do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:05.680 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:11.420 We call it Coffee with Scott Adams, and you know it's the best thing that's ever happened to you, that's for sure.

00:00:16.800 If you'd like to take that experience up to all capital letters, you know, all capital letters,

00:00:25.120 that's the peak experience. Well, all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tankard chalice of stein,

00:00:32.660 a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:38.760 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:43.940 It's called a simultaneous sip. It happens now. Go.

00:00:47.480 Well, Nebeleron, it's better with the microphone on, isn't it?

00:01:00.200 Why did you let me go so far without telling me the microphone was off?

00:01:05.720 We're going to have to start all over. No, we're not. No, we're not.

00:01:08.460 Well, the good news is that we're all on track now. We're all on track.

00:01:20.760 And I'd like to give you, again, an update on the technique I've been using against my online,

00:01:29.280 used to be called Twitter, but now Axe situation.

00:01:33.240 And I find that these two comments work really well.

00:01:38.300 Comment number one, are you drunk?

00:01:42.380 It turns out that if you ask your critics if they're drunk and they're acting drunk,

00:01:48.800 you have about a 30% chance of getting that right.

00:01:53.000 I think the number of inebriated people using social media is way higher than anybody mentions.

00:01:59.860 It's got to be, you know, probably half of all users are drunk or stoned when they're tweeting.

00:02:07.500 All right, the other one that I use, besides are you drunk,

00:02:10.080 which does seem to shut things down pretty quickly,

00:02:12.680 I've been saying, I'm sorry your news sources did this to you.

00:02:16.220 You seem unaware of any of the context.

00:02:19.060 That's how they play you.

00:02:21.080 So instead of dealing with the content, I say, I'm really sorry that they did this to you.

00:02:25.620 I don't really have time to explain the whole situation, but this is how they get you.

00:02:31.780 Let me give you the best example of this.

00:02:34.080 Right now, the critics of mine are saying,

00:02:37.440 how dare you say that these charges against President Trump are, you know,

00:02:44.560 trivial or small or no big deal or just free speech.

00:02:48.800 How many of those people do you think are aware of the compilation clip of Hillary Clinton and top Democrats

00:02:57.320 complaining about the validity of the 2016 election?

00:03:01.600 Do you think any of them have seen it?

00:03:04.400 I doubt it.

00:03:06.200 Probably not one.

00:03:08.080 So a lot of these conversations that look like disagreements are nothing like that.

00:03:12.820 They're not disagreements at all.

00:03:14.120 It's just one people have seen both sides of a question and the other haven't.

00:03:19.800 That's the entire story.

00:03:21.740 Some people have seen the whole story.

00:03:23.360 Some people have seen half.

00:03:25.340 Of course they have a different opinion.

00:03:27.240 Some people have seen half the story.

00:03:29.820 Now, what about the people who say that, Scott, it's not about free speech.

00:03:35.960 Trump actually tried to get, you know, a fake set of electors.

00:03:40.340 How many of those people know that that's something that's happened before in the past

00:03:44.940 and it's not even unusual and the Supreme Court would sort it out if there was a problem?

00:03:52.280 How many of them know that, that that's like a thing that's happened in the past?

00:03:56.740 None.

00:03:58.560 Probably none.

00:04:03.300 Let's see, what else is it?

00:04:05.080 Give me some more examples.

00:04:06.420 Let's just take the Trump situation, his charges.

00:04:11.040 What else does the political left not even know?

00:04:15.460 Do you think that they know that the judge has been anti-Trump for some time?

00:04:22.820 Probably not.

00:04:24.180 Probably don't know that.

00:04:25.140 Do they know that the best attorneys in the world, when they look at the D.C. situation,

00:04:35.640 the best attorneys are completely aware that the case will not be determined on the facts.

00:04:41.880 It's only the jury.

00:04:43.360 The jury, if they like Trump, which they don't.

00:04:48.200 And why do we talk about that casually?

00:04:51.280 Do you think anybody on the left knows that the top lawyers, both left and right,

00:04:57.220 already know what the result will be, independent of the facts?

00:05:00.740 Does that bother anybody, that we know how the outcome will be,

00:05:03.780 before the facts are presented to the jury?

00:05:06.620 I don't think so.

00:05:07.740 Because I don't think that they're aware that in Washington, D.C.,

00:05:11.380 we don't have a functional court for the political stuff.

00:05:15.400 Probably it's fine for crime, you know, the little stuff.

00:05:19.000 But for the political stuff, we don't have anything like a functional Department of Justice in Washington, D.C.

00:05:28.020 So, how many people know that?

00:05:30.120 So, again, do not engage people who have not been informed.

00:05:34.900 You should show sympathy for their situation.

00:05:38.900 Oh.

00:05:39.700 It's sort of like, you know, somebody who has low mental capability did something to you.

00:05:46.200 You wouldn't necessarily be mad, you wouldn't like it, but you'd say,

00:05:50.660 oh, that was a person who's operating with diminished capabilities.

00:05:55.240 So, you'd kind of treat it differently.

00:05:57.660 And joking aside, hyperbole aside, and even politics aside,

00:06:03.720 it's really useful to treat people who have been abused as victims.

00:06:11.940 If you treat them as your opponent, you're in the wrong game.

00:06:16.040 So, here's your first reframe.

00:06:18.680 Your first reframe is those people who are arguing with you on social media

00:06:22.520 are not arguing with you.

00:06:24.900 They're acting out something that's the result of abuse.

00:06:29.560 They've been abused by propaganda.

00:06:35.160 There's no way it's good for the people who are talking to you,

00:06:38.340 and it's not good for you.

00:06:40.540 The only difference is you know that they are victims, and they don't yet.

00:06:44.600 So, just the fact that they don't know they're victims

00:06:47.560 doesn't mean you can't treat them with empathy and sympathy.

00:06:51.460 But don't engage. Don't engage.

00:06:55.480 If you engage, they're going to think that they're in some kind of a conversation

00:06:59.120 with two informed citizens who have different opinions.

00:07:02.780 Nothing like that's happening.

00:07:04.980 There's nothing like that.

00:07:06.760 It's just one side who is aware of the news,

00:07:09.580 and the other side is aware of half of the news.

00:07:12.020 That's all it is.

00:07:13.540 It's not any kind of a disagreement.

00:07:15.980 So, when we talk about our, you know, the country is falling apart,

00:07:19.080 and we disagree on everything,

00:07:20.480 not really, not really.

00:07:25.940 We don't.

00:07:27.360 We just have heard different stories.

00:07:29.380 That's very different than disagreeing.

00:07:33.780 All right, in the big Musk versus Zuck

00:07:37.440 upcoming fight that might actually happen,

00:07:40.560 Musk apparently has such a bad back

00:07:42.700 that he's getting an MRI

00:07:44.280 and might even need an operation

00:07:45.700 before he could go ahead and do the fight

00:07:47.940 with Zuckerberg if it happens at all.

00:07:51.160 Now, here's my philosophy question to you.

00:07:55.540 Apparently, Musk is in severe back pain

00:07:58.440 pretty much all the time

00:07:59.520 based on some long-standing back problems.

00:08:03.060 If you could be the richest person in the world,

00:08:07.940 but you had to have severe back pain all the time,

00:08:12.520 would you do it?

00:08:14.860 That's your choice.

00:08:16.480 Severe back pain all the time,

00:08:18.440 although maybe there's some way to solve it, right?

00:08:21.020 It might be solvable,

00:08:22.200 but you don't know.

00:08:22.960 I wouldn't.

00:08:25.240 I wouldn't do that at all.

00:08:26.980 I mean, yeah,

00:08:29.380 maybe I'd choose it over being desperately poor,

00:08:32.260 but you'd have to go all the way

00:08:33.980 to desperately poor before I'd choose back pain.

00:08:36.700 Back pain's about the worst thing

00:08:37.960 that could happen to you.

00:08:39.680 If anybody is suffering from back pain,

00:08:43.060 can you confirm?

00:08:44.260 It's just about the worst thing

00:08:46.000 that could happen to you

00:08:46.900 because it's there all the time, right?

00:08:49.500 Now, I have some legitimate empathy

00:08:54.000 because I have screaming back pain

00:08:57.020 from the time I wake up

00:08:58.380 for about 40 minutes, right?

00:09:02.800 And by the time I sit in my office chair

00:09:04.500 and I'm drinking my coffee,

00:09:05.880 it's completely gone.

00:09:07.260 And it's gone for the rest of the day.

00:09:08.780 It doesn't bother me during the day.

00:09:10.560 But the first 40 minutes,

00:09:12.700 I just want to be dead.

00:09:16.100 And then I imagine,

00:09:17.820 what would that be like all day long?

00:09:19.940 Imagine working 80 hours a week,

00:09:22.860 you know, Musk's schedule,

00:09:24.880 and having all the conflict he has in his life

00:09:27.640 and all the complexity

00:09:31.000 and then having a bad back.

00:09:33.700 Imagine going through the things

00:09:35.100 that he's had to go through with a bad back.

00:09:37.040 I mean, that's the most impressive thing

00:09:40.800 he's ever done,

00:09:41.840 is to do what he did in the last three years

00:09:44.680 with a severe back problem.

00:09:46.700 Talk about the highest level of challenge.

00:09:51.280 Highest level of challenge.

00:09:52.700 That's amazing.

00:09:53.640 But, you know, you don't get credit for that in history.

00:09:56.140 History is not going to say he did it

00:09:58.400 despite, you know,

00:10:00.060 an insane physical problem.

00:10:03.060 They're just going to say he did it.

00:10:05.180 You're really going to miss half the story.

00:10:06.620 If you don't know

00:10:07.860 that there was a physical limitation there

00:10:11.040 that should have stopped just about anybody,

00:10:13.380 and it didn't stop him.

00:10:15.540 So that's pretty impressive.

00:10:18.120 All right.

00:10:18.500 I'm now going to reframe the entire world,

00:10:24.680 and you're going to see the beginning of it.

00:10:27.240 It's the most, maybe the most important reframe

00:10:29.780 of the United States in its history.

00:10:33.500 It goes like this.

00:10:35.500 At first, it's not going to seem like much,

00:10:38.400 but you have to watch the whole play, right?

00:10:40.700 So this is just the beginning.

00:10:42.760 Don't judge it yet.

00:10:43.960 The beginning is the simple observation

00:10:47.060 that comparing ethnic groups

00:10:50.340 by their average performance on anything

00:10:54.260 doesn't make sense.

00:10:57.900 That's a dumb comparison.

00:10:59.820 And I say that as a person

00:11:01.040 who's trained in comparing things, right?

00:11:04.800 If you have a degree in economics,

00:11:06.760 you're trained in comparing things.

00:11:08.740 Do we do this or that?

00:11:10.300 If we had done this versus that,

00:11:12.240 it's all about comparing things.

00:11:14.900 The dumbest thing you could ever compare

00:11:17.020 is the average of a bunch of people

00:11:19.100 who are all different.

00:11:21.200 Oh, look, the average of this clump of people

00:11:23.560 who are all different

00:11:24.420 is getting worse results

00:11:26.220 from this clump of people

00:11:27.320 who all the individuals within it

00:11:29.180 are different from each other.

00:11:31.520 It's nonsensical political ridiculousness.

00:11:35.620 Let me tell you what does make sense.

00:11:38.100 You should measure

00:11:39.360 the difference in performance.

00:11:42.120 Now, performance would be everything

00:11:43.980 from promotions to college

00:11:46.200 to income,

00:11:47.820 staying out of jail,

00:11:48.940 whatever it is.

00:11:49.800 You should compare the performance

00:11:51.640 of these two groups.

00:11:53.840 One group who's been exposed

00:11:55.580 to the strategies of success

00:11:57.500 and another group

00:11:59.400 that has not been taught

00:12:01.000 at a young age

00:12:02.060 what to do to succeed.

00:12:04.580 Because school doesn't do that.

00:12:06.060 School teaches you skills,

00:12:07.780 and those are good

00:12:09.020 if you learn them.

00:12:10.500 But they don't teach you

00:12:11.300 what is the concept

00:12:13.420 of preparing for success.

00:12:16.920 What do you do?

00:12:18.560 If you showed me

00:12:19.680 that there were two groups

00:12:21.080 that both prepared for success

00:12:22.980 and they learned

00:12:23.520 all the same tools,

00:12:25.160 but one of them

00:12:25.820 had a very different performance,

00:12:28.180 then, and only then,

00:12:30.400 would I say,

00:12:31.220 maybe we should dig into this.

00:12:33.280 Might be something going on here.

00:12:34.500 Or maybe discrimination.

00:12:36.760 Maybe something else.

00:12:38.540 But until you compare

00:12:40.260 the groups

00:12:40.800 that have taken

00:12:41.520 the same strategy,

00:12:43.600 you don't know anything.

00:12:45.480 So if one group

00:12:46.300 is heavy on strategy,

00:12:47.800 let's say Asian Americans,

00:12:50.360 just to pick one.

00:12:51.800 Let's say the Asian Americans,

00:12:53.440 I don't know if this is true,

00:12:54.640 but anecdotally it looks true,

00:12:56.600 they have a big focus

00:12:57.860 on education.

00:13:00.040 Is that fair?

00:13:01.460 Asian Americans,

00:13:02.440 big focus on education.

00:13:04.940 Probably.

00:13:06.120 Now that's just

00:13:06.680 one element of success.

00:13:08.920 Right?

00:13:09.280 But it's by far

00:13:10.320 not the only thing.

00:13:12.500 But it's really big.

00:13:14.600 So should you compare

00:13:17.000 Asian American success

00:13:18.360 to, let's say,

00:13:20.200 any other group,

00:13:22.120 white Americans,

00:13:23.480 and then conclude something?

00:13:26.440 Do you know what I conclude

00:13:27.560 when white Americans

00:13:28.480 are compared to Asian Americans

00:13:30.420 and Asian Americans

00:13:31.180 are just killing

00:13:32.780 in income and college

00:13:34.240 and grades

00:13:34.940 and all that?

00:13:36.920 I say,

00:13:38.080 what would happen

00:13:38.800 if white people

00:13:39.500 did the same stuff?

00:13:41.700 What would happen

00:13:42.440 if we were all raised

00:13:43.720 the same way

00:13:44.580 Asian Americans

00:13:46.300 raised their kids?

00:13:48.200 Would it be different?

00:13:49.180 I don't know.

00:13:51.500 I don't know.

00:13:53.060 But we've never done it,

00:13:54.680 so how would I know?

00:13:56.040 The minimum you need to do

00:13:58.360 is compare people

00:13:59.380 who have learned

00:14:00.460 the techniques of success.

00:14:03.600 Now, how in the world

00:14:05.000 does anybody learn

00:14:05.820 the techniques of success?

00:14:07.860 Well, here is where

00:14:08.960 systemic racism

00:14:10.220 really looms large.

00:14:12.140 In my opinion,

00:14:14.460 outside of the school systems

00:14:17.240 that are systemically racist

00:14:18.760 against black Americans,

00:14:20.600 especially,

00:14:21.860 outside of the school systems

00:14:23.300 own systemic racism,

00:14:25.180 the biggest form

00:14:26.880 is that people

00:14:28.400 who are already successful

00:14:30.000 know how to tell their kids

00:14:32.300 to be successful.

00:14:34.340 Am I right?

00:14:36.000 If you're around successful people,

00:14:38.100 you just sort of pick it up

00:14:39.200 through osmosis.

00:14:41.160 You don't even need

00:14:41.760 to be taught.

00:14:42.420 You just watch it

00:14:43.180 and then it becomes you.

00:14:45.000 But if you don't have access

00:14:46.240 to anybody

00:14:46.820 who's got a legitimate,

00:14:48.500 you know,

00:14:48.920 legal job

00:14:49.960 that's killing it,

00:14:50.980 you just don't even know anybody.

00:14:52.780 You don't know anybody

00:14:53.900 who's succeeded.

00:14:55.400 How are you going to learn it?

00:14:57.800 School isn't going to teach you.

00:15:00.000 Your parents might not know.

00:15:02.260 And your friends don't know.

00:15:03.920 And you become the average

00:15:04.940 of your friends.

00:15:06.000 What are you going to do?

00:15:08.260 Well, I'll tell you

00:15:09.040 what I'm going to do.

00:15:09.600 I'm going to reframe everything

00:15:10.720 and it starts

00:15:13.640 with getting cancelled.

00:15:16.960 Getting cancelled

00:15:17.760 is the most,

00:15:18.520 you know,

00:15:18.860 most of you know

00:15:19.540 I got cancelled worldwide.

00:15:21.560 Dilbert was taken out

00:15:22.420 of all newspapers

00:15:23.020 in the world.

00:15:24.260 All of my books

00:15:25.000 have been removed

00:15:25.660 from the racks.

00:15:27.680 Or at least,

00:15:28.460 except for the used books.

00:15:30.400 So I'm the most cancelled person

00:15:32.200 maybe ever.

00:15:34.000 I don't know.

00:15:34.300 I might be the most

00:15:35.840 thoroughly cancelled person

00:15:37.060 in civilization.

00:15:37.900 But,

00:15:39.500 like I always say,

00:15:41.960 and here's another reframe,

00:15:44.200 when everything goes to hell,

00:15:45.880 and actually this is

00:15:46.740 one of the reframes

00:15:47.460 in my book

00:15:48.560 I'm going to tell you about,

00:15:49.960 when everything goes to hell

00:15:52.840 it always opens up

00:15:54.120 other opportunities.

00:15:55.840 If you're focusing

00:15:56.640 on the part that fell apart,

00:15:58.940 you can be blinded

00:16:00.080 or just not notice

00:16:01.040 that something opened up,

00:16:02.880 you know,

00:16:03.040 another door opened.

00:16:03.880 So here's the door

00:16:05.320 that I'm opening

00:16:06.840 for myself.

00:16:08.480 You didn't have to help.

00:16:10.840 I could do this one myself.

00:16:14.400 In a few days,

00:16:16.000 and I'll tell you

00:16:16.560 exactly when,

00:16:17.860 my new book,

00:16:18.680 Reframe Your Brain,

00:16:19.560 will be available.

00:16:20.920 Now it'll be

00:16:21.760 independently published,

00:16:23.000 working with

00:16:23.780 Joshua Lysak

00:16:25.080 to get it into Amazon

00:16:26.300 and other places.

00:16:28.340 So I'll tell you

00:16:29.500 when you can pre-buy it,

00:16:31.220 the pre-sale,

00:16:31.860 it's not yet,

00:16:32.500 it'll be soon.

00:16:33.540 But this is a book

00:16:34.700 of reframes

00:16:35.680 that tell you

00:16:36.300 how to be successful.

00:16:38.020 Some of them are,

00:16:39.140 I took some of the best ones

00:16:40.260 out of my book,

00:16:41.900 which you're familiar with.

00:16:43.680 This is the book I wrote,

00:16:45.600 it's the most influential book

00:16:47.200 in the field

00:16:48.500 of personal success.

00:16:50.640 Now when I say that,

00:16:52.720 if you haven't read the book,

00:16:53.980 you can say,

00:16:54.760 really?

00:16:55.580 I'm not even sure

00:16:56.460 I've ever heard of that book.

00:16:57.980 If you have read the book,

00:16:59.180 you agree with me.

00:17:01.000 Because the number of people

00:17:02.500 whose lives have changed

00:17:03.640 because they read this book

00:17:04.680 is really crazy.

00:17:06.420 I hear about it every day.

00:17:08.420 Somebody just today

00:17:09.200 said they're almost a millionaire

00:17:10.980 because of following

00:17:12.320 the systems versus goals

00:17:14.020 stuff here.

00:17:16.220 And 10 years later,

00:17:18.740 10 years later,

00:17:19.860 this is sort of the OG.

00:17:21.040 This is the book

00:17:21.660 that has influenced

00:17:22.980 most of the other

00:17:24.620 successful books.

00:17:27.540 in the personal success category.

00:17:34.220 Now,

00:17:34.780 this book got canceled

00:17:36.060 so you can't buy it

00:17:37.780 in stores.

00:17:39.580 Hold this in your mind

00:17:40.820 for a moment.

00:17:42.360 The most useful

00:17:43.960 and influential book

00:17:45.420 in modern times

00:17:47.220 on how to succeed,

00:17:48.820 which has changed everything

00:17:50.000 from people's health,

00:17:51.980 weight,

00:17:52.320 careers,

00:17:53.640 social lives,

00:17:54.680 marriage,

00:17:55.320 kids,

00:17:56.220 fundamentally improved,

00:17:58.560 I don't know,

00:17:59.220 tens of thousands of lives.

00:18:01.760 Unavailable

00:18:02.200 because of the one thing

00:18:03.660 I said that one time.

00:18:06.020 But,

00:18:06.640 here's the good news.

00:18:08.860 Second edition,

00:18:10.760 which will be available

00:18:12.220 also in days.

00:18:13.700 You can't buy this yet.

00:18:15.760 Not available in stores.

00:18:16.820 It will be available

00:18:17.920 as soon as I look at it.

00:18:19.060 I basically just have

00:18:19.960 to look at it

00:18:20.560 and make sure

00:18:20.920 there's no typos.

00:18:22.520 Same with this.

00:18:23.560 The only thing

00:18:24.200 holding it up,

00:18:24.860 I think,

00:18:25.140 at this point

00:18:25.640 is I just have

00:18:27.200 to re-look at it

00:18:27.960 and make sure

00:18:28.500 all the pages are there.

00:18:30.380 So I will let you know

00:18:31.460 when they're available,

00:18:32.400 but here's the payoff.

00:18:35.580 If you were an adult

00:18:36.660 and you consumed

00:18:39.220 these two books,

00:18:41.820 you have basically

00:18:43.060 a superpower.

00:18:43.700 And I'm really,

00:18:45.480 I'm uncomfortable

00:18:46.140 with marketing,

00:18:47.760 so I'll let those

00:18:49.160 who have read

00:18:49.760 at least this book,

00:18:52.500 you know,

00:18:52.800 those who read

00:18:53.340 the first version of this,

00:18:55.180 you can be the ones

00:18:56.180 who tell other people

00:18:57.100 what you got out of it.

00:18:59.220 All right?

00:18:59.460 And it's going to be

00:19:00.000 a big story.

00:19:01.280 But if you were to be

00:19:02.660 an adult who read

00:19:03.960 these two books,

00:19:05.100 you would just have

00:19:06.160 a dominant advantage

00:19:07.520 over other people.

00:19:09.180 I mean,

00:19:09.380 it would be

00:19:09.660 a pretty big advantage.

00:19:11.240 But,

00:19:11.800 suppose you wanted

00:19:12.500 your children

00:19:13.100 to see these books,

00:19:14.900 well,

00:19:15.240 good luck with that

00:19:16.060 because you're not

00:19:16.580 going to get your kids

00:19:17.260 to read these.

00:19:18.820 You know what I mean?

00:19:20.300 It's just not going

00:19:21.060 to happen.

00:19:21.980 So one of the things

00:19:22.820 that I did in this book

00:19:23.920 is I boiled down

00:19:25.800 the reframes

00:19:26.540 to one sentence apiece.

00:19:29.380 So you'll be able

00:19:30.180 to see in the back

00:19:30.980 the one sentence

00:19:32.540 version of the reframes.

00:19:34.040 There are 160 plus of them.

00:19:36.820 And those will be

00:19:37.880 easy to describe

00:19:39.300 to somebody

00:19:39.820 and easy to transmit.

00:19:41.240 But,

00:19:42.040 there's more.

00:19:43.920 The best parts

00:19:45.220 of these two books

00:19:46.020 is being put

00:19:46.600 into a student guide

00:19:47.920 as we speak.

00:19:49.460 The student guide

00:19:50.460 will be available

00:19:51.280 to homeschoolers

00:19:52.620 and anybody else

00:19:53.220 who wants it.

00:19:54.200 And it is specifically

00:19:55.380 designed to simplify

00:19:56.760 down to student level

00:19:59.200 the most important

00:20:01.040 lessons that somebody

00:20:03.240 at that age needs

00:20:04.120 to get going.

00:20:05.820 All right.

00:20:07.860 Now,

00:20:08.320 that should be available

00:20:09.340 after these two books.

00:20:10.980 It's just going to take

00:20:12.940 us a little editing

00:20:13.780 and preparation time.

00:20:15.860 Also,

00:20:16.440 we're working with

00:20:17.380 Joshua Lysak on that,

00:20:18.960 who, by the way,

00:20:19.520 was homeschooled.

00:20:21.020 So I'm working with

00:20:22.100 somebody who really

00:20:22.920 understands the market.

00:20:24.640 And

00:20:25.040 this book

00:20:27.480 or the guide,

00:20:29.320 the student guide,

00:20:30.720 you should no longer

00:20:33.120 look at the difference

00:20:34.200 of performance

00:20:34.940 after it becomes

00:20:35.940 widely available.

00:20:36.720 The only thing

00:20:38.660 you should measure

00:20:39.380 from that time on

00:20:40.500 is people

00:20:41.660 who were taught

00:20:42.920 this material

00:20:44.100 versus the people

00:20:45.940 who were not.

00:20:48.180 Would you want

00:20:48.840 to make a bet

00:20:49.500 which of those two groups

00:20:50.700 does better?

00:20:52.360 It's not even

00:20:52.960 going to be close.

00:20:54.820 The group that was

00:20:55.800 trained

00:20:56.360 on how to succeed

00:20:58.160 is almost certainly

00:20:59.680 going to succeed.

00:21:01.600 Right?

00:21:01.920 Because

00:21:02.360 success is like

00:21:04.340 every other thing.

00:21:05.120 if you don't know

00:21:06.740 the method,

00:21:08.160 how are you going

00:21:09.140 to do it?

00:21:09.520 Just luck?

00:21:12.340 Just luck?

00:21:13.860 Now,

00:21:14.320 the questions you ask

00:21:15.180 are what about audio?

00:21:16.520 Yes,

00:21:16.780 there will be

00:21:17.240 audio of both

00:21:18.620 these books,

00:21:20.240 but that will

00:21:21.320 follow a little bit.

00:21:22.680 So there will be,

00:21:23.380 you know,

00:21:23.540 you'll see the Kindle

00:21:24.300 and the hard copy

00:21:25.020 right away.

00:21:26.060 And I'll tell you

00:21:26.860 when it's available

00:21:27.620 for pre-sale.

00:21:28.760 By the way,

00:21:29.300 I don't think

00:21:30.080 there will be pre-sale

00:21:31.000 because it's

00:21:32.520 independently published.

00:21:33.580 The moment you can

00:21:35.020 buy it,

00:21:35.540 it's just for sale.

00:21:37.000 So I'll actually

00:21:37.760 get my first copy

00:21:38.860 the same time

00:21:40.260 you do.

00:21:41.300 So this is one

00:21:42.180 of those situations

00:21:42.780 where the author

00:21:43.520 won't see it

00:21:44.300 until the same time

00:21:45.760 you do.

00:21:46.080 I'll just buy a copy

00:21:47.140 like you do.

00:21:48.480 So the first time

00:21:49.400 I'll see a good

00:21:50.220 proper copy

00:21:50.960 might be when I

00:21:52.240 buy it off of

00:21:53.360 Amazon,

00:21:53.860 same as you.

00:21:55.760 All right.

00:21:57.060 Yes,

00:21:57.480 people will be

00:21:58.360 stealing it,

00:21:59.380 but people are

00:22:01.120 people.

00:22:01.380 can I convert

00:22:03.880 it into comics

00:22:04.560 for easy consumption?

00:22:05.920 That would actually

00:22:06.720 not help at all.

00:22:08.400 The student guide

00:22:09.860 is so simplified

00:22:11.140 because that's

00:22:12.620 what makes it useful

00:22:13.380 that you're not

00:22:14.380 going to need a comic.

00:22:15.720 You know,

00:22:15.900 basically it's going

00:22:16.760 to be half a page

00:22:17.620 of text

00:22:18.120 that's going to

00:22:20.200 change your life

00:22:20.880 30 different times.

00:22:23.260 So the 30

00:22:23.900 different lessons

00:22:24.480 are the top 30

00:22:25.520 things.

00:22:26.020 All right.

00:22:26.240 So in addition

00:22:27.800 to being a

00:22:28.560 shameless marketing

00:22:29.420 for the book,

00:22:30.400 I'm really

00:22:31.660 shooting for

00:22:32.160 something much

00:22:32.740 bigger than

00:22:33.480 selling a book.

00:22:34.860 I think you all

00:22:35.840 know I don't need

00:22:36.540 to sell any books,

00:22:37.540 right?

00:22:38.520 I've done okay.

00:22:39.960 I'm literally

00:22:41.020 retirement age.

00:22:43.000 I don't need

00:22:43.820 to write a book.

00:22:44.580 Writing a book

00:22:45.020 is terrible.

00:22:47.200 The past year

00:22:48.280 and a half

00:22:48.640 of my life,

00:22:49.500 if you said,

00:22:50.120 say,

00:22:50.380 what's the worst

00:22:51.020 thing that happened

00:22:51.540 to you in the last

00:22:52.240 year and a half?

00:22:53.620 You would probably

00:22:54.540 say my divorce.

00:22:55.520 Or you might say

00:22:58.080 getting cancelled

00:22:58.840 worldwide.

00:23:00.160 That happened

00:23:00.840 in the last

00:23:01.200 year and a half.

00:23:02.460 Now,

00:23:03.100 I would say

00:23:03.980 that the worst

00:23:04.800 thing that happened

00:23:05.340 is I wrote a book.

00:23:07.860 To me,

00:23:08.500 that was the worst

00:23:09.060 thing that happened

00:23:09.560 in a year and a half.

00:23:10.720 Writing a book

00:23:11.200 is terrible work.

00:23:12.760 It takes you

00:23:13.320 out of the real world.

00:23:14.400 It just puts you in,

00:23:15.520 it's basically like

00:23:16.500 solitary confinement

00:23:17.720 for half of your life.

00:23:19.620 So you have to

00:23:20.560 want to write a book,

00:23:21.860 right?

00:23:22.160 The first ones

00:23:22.880 were just for money,

00:23:24.420 the first books

00:23:25.060 I ever wrote,

00:23:25.680 just for money.

00:23:26.480 But now I have money.

00:23:28.820 So these are,

00:23:30.180 they have to make

00:23:31.020 a difference

00:23:31.500 or I'm not interested.

00:23:33.080 Right?

00:23:33.740 The,

00:23:34.380 this book

00:23:35.260 was written

00:23:36.000 for my

00:23:37.240 teenage son.

00:23:39.740 He was the

00:23:40.500 person I had in mind

00:23:42.000 as the recipient.

00:23:43.500 Maybe when he was

00:23:44.420 older,

00:23:45.180 but he was the one

00:23:46.000 I was thinking about

00:23:46.680 when I wrote it.

00:23:47.200 So I,

00:23:48.180 so I,

00:23:48.640 at this point

00:23:49.160 I have to have

00:23:49.700 a real clear idea

00:23:50.960 of who's benefiting

00:23:52.460 from my work

00:23:53.360 or I'm just not

00:23:54.700 interested.

00:23:55.940 So that's where

00:23:56.780 we're at.

00:23:57.620 I believe this

00:23:58.600 could change

00:23:59.120 the world

00:23:59.620 and the,

00:24:00.580 and the main

00:24:01.100 reframe

00:24:01.680 is stop comparing

00:24:03.200 any group

00:24:05.400 except the ones

00:24:06.200 who have been

00:24:06.540 trained on success.

00:24:08.760 Compare them

00:24:09.540 and then you

00:24:10.080 learn something.

00:24:10.920 Otherwise you

00:24:11.380 don't learn anything.

00:24:13.580 All right,

00:24:14.220 let's talk about

00:24:14.740 politics and such.

00:24:15.820 you know

00:24:18.760 what's interesting?

00:24:19.920 It turns out

00:24:20.840 that the,

00:24:21.680 the biggest

00:24:22.400 demographic group

00:24:24.120 in the Democrat

00:24:24.820 Party is

00:24:25.800 single women.

00:24:27.240 I've talked

00:24:27.680 about that before,

00:24:28.800 but it occurred

00:24:29.520 to me that

00:24:30.160 if Democrats,

00:24:32.440 the Democrat

00:24:32.900 Party is dominated

00:24:33.860 by single women

00:24:34.980 and the Democrats,

00:24:37.680 would you say

00:24:38.120 they're in charge

00:24:38.820 at the moment?

00:24:40.920 It's kind of a split

00:24:41.660 government a little bit,

00:24:42.800 but at least in terms

00:24:43.640 of the presidency

00:24:44.300 and,

00:24:45.600 you know,

00:24:45.820 they've got some,

00:24:47.280 at least a little bit

00:24:49.020 of power going.

00:24:52.260 But if you were

00:24:53.080 a single woman,

00:24:54.800 do you still think

00:24:55.600 this is a patriarchy?

00:24:58.080 So the,

00:24:58.800 the Democrats

00:24:59.840 are the dominant

00:25:00.620 party,

00:25:01.240 I would say,

00:25:02.240 and the dominant

00:25:03.200 part of the dominant

00:25:03.980 party is single women,

00:25:05.600 but their biggest

00:25:07.040 complaint is that

00:25:07.820 we live in a

00:25:08.700 patriarchy.

00:25:09.480 now,

00:25:11.860 the abortion question,

00:25:14.140 I'm just guessing

00:25:16.360 that you might

00:25:16.800 be a Democrat.

00:25:18.020 When I see somebody

00:25:19.240 who doesn't understand

00:25:20.140 a story

00:25:20.640 or the context

00:25:21.560 of a story,

00:25:22.360 I just assume

00:25:23.260 Democrat.

00:25:24.520 I hate that

00:25:25.360 that's my first

00:25:26.060 assumption.

00:25:27.600 But Republicans

00:25:28.600 know that the story

00:25:29.800 about abortion

00:25:30.380 is that it was

00:25:31.140 taken from

00:25:31.800 the wrong place

00:25:33.200 to decide it,

00:25:34.140 which was the

00:25:34.740 federal government,

00:25:36.060 and it was

00:25:37.100 put in the

00:25:37.580 right place

00:25:38.060 to decide it,

00:25:38.780 which is the

00:25:39.240 states.

00:25:40.860 So the Democrats

00:25:43.080 say they lost

00:25:43.960 the right of

00:25:44.440 abortion.

00:25:45.740 The Republicans

00:25:46.260 say we allowed

00:25:47.840 you to make

00:25:48.280 your own

00:25:48.560 decision.

00:25:50.100 Why are you

00:25:50.820 complaining to

00:25:51.420 us?

00:25:52.920 We allowed

00:25:53.760 you,

00:25:54.700 meaning the

00:25:55.300 state you

00:25:55.980 live in,

00:25:56.580 to make its

00:25:57.340 own decision

00:25:57.960 and we're not

00:25:58.620 even complaining

00:25:59.260 about it.

00:26:00.720 Where are all

00:26:01.480 the Democrats

00:26:02.000 complaining about

00:26:02.940 abortion being

00:26:03.620 legal in

00:26:04.140 California?

00:26:04.620 Have you

00:26:05.820 ever seen

00:26:06.200 it?

00:26:07.060 I haven't

00:26:07.440 seen it.

00:26:08.940 I mean,

00:26:09.320 they say what

00:26:10.440 they say about

00:26:11.020 abortion,

00:26:11.540 but they don't

00:26:11.920 say,

00:26:12.780 oh,

00:26:13.060 you California.

00:26:14.820 No,

00:26:15.200 because California

00:26:15.820 made up its

00:26:16.400 own mind,

00:26:17.300 and the

00:26:17.860 Republicans are

00:26:18.520 like,

00:26:18.740 oh,

00:26:19.000 okay,

00:26:19.660 that's how

00:26:20.200 it's supposed

00:26:20.520 to work.

00:26:20.940 You made

00:26:21.180 up your own

00:26:21.580 minds.

00:26:23.380 So,

00:26:24.060 anyway,

00:26:26.080 so the

00:26:26.460 patriarchy is

00:26:27.240 now single

00:26:27.780 women,

00:26:28.300 and we're

00:26:28.820 just going to

00:26:29.920 act like we

00:26:30.560 haven't noticed.

00:26:32.120 The

00:26:32.340 patriarchy is

00:26:33.360 absolutely

00:26:33.960 single

00:26:34.480 women right

00:26:34.980 now.

00:26:36.080 How weird

00:26:36.520 is that?

00:26:37.860 All right,

00:26:38.140 well,

00:26:38.420 the Biden

00:26:39.320 administration

00:26:39.760 has this

00:26:40.240 problem,

00:26:40.800 which is

00:26:41.160 one of

00:26:41.460 Biden's

00:26:42.200 greatest

00:26:42.560 successes,

00:26:44.060 he would

00:26:44.620 say,

00:26:44.920 would be

00:26:45.180 the

00:26:45.400 infrastructure

00:26:45.880 bill,

00:26:47.160 and that

00:26:47.660 it's getting

00:26:48.060 people to

00:26:48.520 work,

00:26:48.880 and it's

00:26:49.180 boosting the

00:26:49.940 economy.

00:26:50.900 And by

00:26:51.320 the way,

00:26:51.640 it might

00:26:51.900 be.

00:26:52.880 I would

00:26:53.500 have no

00:26:53.840 way of

00:26:54.080 knowing.

00:26:54.800 Does

00:26:55.000 anybody

00:26:55.260 have a

00:26:55.700 sense of

00:26:57.020 how much

00:26:57.420 the bipartisan

00:26:59.300 infrastructure

00:27:00.020 bill boosted

00:27:02.120 the economy

00:27:03.040 and it

00:27:04.340 is

00:27:04.420 Bidenomics?

00:27:07.900 We don't

00:27:08.580 know,

00:27:08.880 do we?

00:27:10.140 I mean,

00:27:10.420 it wasn't

00:27:10.800 long ago that

00:27:11.580 people were

00:27:11.980 saying that

00:27:12.460 it takes a

00:27:13.640 long time for

00:27:14.100 the money to

00:27:14.600 be implemented

00:27:15.200 into actual

00:27:16.240 projects,

00:27:16.740 so there wasn't

00:27:17.720 much happening

00:27:18.240 yet.

00:27:19.000 It was more of a

00:27:19.760 longer-term thing.

00:27:21.540 I don't know.

00:27:22.160 Sounds like

00:27:22.720 bullshit that the

00:27:25.020 infrastructure is

00:27:25.720 making much of a

00:27:26.400 difference, but it

00:27:26.980 could.

00:27:28.340 I'm open to the

00:27:29.300 argument that it's

00:27:29.980 already making a

00:27:30.620 difference.

00:27:30.980 I just don't

00:27:31.400 know.

00:27:32.260 But here's the

00:27:32.820 funny thing.

00:27:33.900 The signs that

00:27:34.860 are being put up

00:27:35.540 so that the

00:27:36.320 consumers will

00:27:37.580 know that Joe

00:27:38.160 Biden was the

00:27:39.180 architect of

00:27:41.060 these great

00:27:42.460 works, the

00:27:44.700 sign actually

00:27:45.360 says, Joe

00:27:46.140 Biden

00:27:47.680 Bipartisan

00:27:48.620 Infrastructure

00:27:49.380 Bill.

00:27:51.500 So the

00:27:52.100 sign, so

00:27:52.780 that you know

00:27:53.260 why this

00:27:53.740 project is

00:27:54.340 happening, let's

00:27:54.900 say a road

00:27:55.380 improvement or

00:27:56.000 something, it

00:27:57.080 says the Joe

00:27:57.740 Biden Bipartisan

00:27:58.920 Infrastructure

00:27:59.580 Bill.

00:27:59.880 You know

00:28:01.000 what would be

00:28:01.540 bipartisan?

00:28:03.180 Leave Joe

00:28:03.960 Bidens off the

00:28:04.840 top of it.

00:28:06.900 Either say it's

00:28:08.020 not bipartisan,

00:28:09.780 which is fine.

00:28:11.420 Not everything

00:28:11.940 has to be

00:28:12.440 bipartisan.

00:28:13.700 You know, we

00:28:14.720 vote for

00:28:15.420 candidates hoping

00:28:17.520 often that our

00:28:18.480 own team will

00:28:19.700 be in charge.

00:28:21.100 So bipartisan

00:28:22.580 isn't such a

00:28:23.940 big deal.

00:28:24.840 I mean, it's

00:28:25.240 good.

00:28:26.020 It's not the

00:28:26.560 end-all.

00:28:27.400 But what

00:28:30.300 would be more

00:28:31.200 absurd than

00:28:31.800 putting your

00:28:32.240 name on the

00:28:33.080 top of

00:28:33.500 something you

00:28:33.960 just called

00:28:34.400 bipartisan?

00:28:36.660 That's as

00:28:37.300 close as you

00:28:37.920 could get to

00:28:39.520 the opposite

00:28:40.140 of what he

00:28:41.140 was trying to

00:28:41.660 accomplish.

00:28:42.860 Wait a minute,

00:28:43.640 if it's

00:28:43.860 bipartisan, why

00:28:45.560 don't you put

00:28:45.980 the Democrats

00:28:47.400 and the

00:28:47.840 Republicans

00:28:48.240 brought you

00:28:48.800 this success?

00:28:50.240 That's what

00:28:50.860 bipartisan means.

00:28:52.680 Not Joe

00:28:53.520 Biden's

00:28:54.060 bipartisan.

00:28:54.520 It's silly.

00:28:57.560 All right, I

00:28:58.260 love that

00:28:58.720 Vivek Ramaswamy

00:29:00.000 is going hard

00:29:00.920 at the notion.

00:29:02.800 He said, well,

00:29:03.300 I'll just read

00:29:03.720 his tweet.

00:29:04.200 He says, it's

00:29:04.660 not crazy to

00:29:05.540 think a

00:29:06.340 Ukrainian

00:29:06.780 company's

00:29:07.560 multi-million

00:29:08.160 dollar bribe

00:29:09.080 to the

00:29:09.420 Biden family

00:29:10.040 is one

00:29:10.920 reason why

00:29:11.480 Biden is

00:29:12.020 now showering

00:29:12.680 Ukraine with

00:29:13.300 billions of

00:29:13.880 U.S. taxpayer

00:29:14.760 dollars.

00:29:15.980 It's crazier

00:29:16.840 to think it's

00:29:17.560 totally unrelated.

00:29:19.500 And craziest

00:29:20.240 of all is

00:29:22.000 the GOP is

00:29:23.440 playing along

00:29:24.180 as if

00:29:24.760 they're in

00:29:25.220 on the

00:29:25.480 act.

00:29:26.360 So he's

00:29:27.000 taking it

00:29:27.420 to the

00:29:27.660 next level.

00:29:29.960 So Vivek is

00:29:30.700 saying not

00:29:31.220 only are

00:29:32.500 the Bidens

00:29:33.160 dirty, but

00:29:34.820 what the hell

00:29:35.240 is wrong

00:29:35.600 with the rest

00:29:36.020 of the

00:29:36.240 Republicans

00:29:36.680 for not

00:29:37.160 calling it

00:29:37.600 out?

00:29:38.580 Pretty good.

00:29:39.880 Pretty good.

00:29:41.100 By the way,

00:29:41.720 are you hearing

00:29:42.160 other people

00:29:42.680 say this?

00:29:44.580 Is anybody

00:29:45.320 but Vivek

00:29:46.340 saying the

00:29:47.040 most obvious

00:29:47.780 part of the

00:29:48.280 story, which

00:29:49.520 is it's

00:29:50.960 hard to

00:29:51.340 imagine that

00:29:52.240 the Ukraine

00:29:52.820 war and

00:29:53.440 our support

00:29:53.960 for it

00:29:54.480 would look

00:29:55.380 exactly the

00:29:56.240 same if

00:29:57.600 the Bidens

00:29:58.140 had not

00:29:58.460 been taking

00:29:58.860 money from

00:29:59.340 Ukraine?

00:30:00.080 It would

00:30:00.340 be just

00:30:00.700 the same?

00:30:01.800 No

00:30:02.040 difference?

00:30:04.600 Why is he

00:30:05.340 the only

00:30:05.800 person pointing

00:30:06.440 that out?

00:30:07.800 That's like

00:30:08.460 a really,

00:30:09.120 really important

00:30:09.740 thing.

00:30:12.440 Yeah.

00:30:13.500 By the way,

00:30:14.000 I think I

00:30:14.400 pointed it out

00:30:14.920 first, but

00:30:15.560 just saying.

00:30:17.320 So he's

00:30:20.520 doing, you

00:30:20.980 know, Vivek,

00:30:21.900 once again,

00:30:22.760 this sounds

00:30:23.500 like a broken

00:30:24.040 record.

00:30:24.840 Every single

00:30:25.480 day I wake

00:30:26.560 up and

00:30:27.800 X,

00:30:29.340 X Twitter,

00:30:31.380 is trending

00:30:32.300 Vivek's name,

00:30:33.460 usually his

00:30:33.960 first name,

00:30:35.060 and he said

00:30:35.780 something provocative

00:30:36.820 that's productive.

00:30:38.620 It's not just

00:30:39.440 provocative, you

00:30:40.720 know, like

00:30:40.980 Trump does.

00:30:41.620 Trump does

00:30:42.100 provocative things,

00:30:42.940 we'll talk about

00:30:43.460 him in a minute,

00:30:44.500 but he's

00:30:46.360 just doing it

00:30:46.880 to get

00:30:47.340 attention.

00:30:48.320 When Vivek

00:30:49.480 does something

00:30:50.040 provocative,

00:30:51.440 it's in the

00:30:52.020 context of a

00:30:53.000 policy preference.

00:30:55.580 That's really

00:30:56.300 strong.

00:30:58.000 He can get

00:30:58.920 attention for

00:30:59.660 policy, and

00:31:01.920 the policies

00:31:02.420 make sense,

00:31:03.220 right?

00:31:03.380 It's not crazy

00:31:04.000 shit.

00:31:04.960 So you can't

00:31:06.120 do better than

00:31:06.560 that.

00:31:06.800 You just can't

00:31:07.480 do better than

00:31:08.100 he's doing.

00:31:09.720 All right,

00:31:10.400 this is another

00:31:11.100 weird and funny

00:31:12.520 story.

00:31:14.500 So there are

00:31:14.940 two stories

00:31:15.440 about Zoom,

00:31:17.100 you know,

00:31:17.360 the video

00:31:17.780 conferencing

00:31:18.240 product.

00:31:19.780 One is that

00:31:21.260 you have to

00:31:24.440 accept that

00:31:25.420 if you use

00:31:26.300 Zoom,

00:31:27.160 Zoom might

00:31:27.880 use, or

00:31:28.440 will, I

00:31:28.880 guess, use

00:31:29.620 AI to look

00:31:31.620 at all of

00:31:32.300 your presentation

00:31:34.100 from your

00:31:34.840 physical

00:31:35.360 presentation,

00:31:36.760 you know,

00:31:36.980 everything from

00:31:38.480 your posture

00:31:39.100 to your facial

00:31:39.960 expressions,

00:31:41.060 to the words

00:31:41.900 that you say

00:31:42.440 even in your

00:31:43.000 private conversations.

00:31:44.500 And if you

00:31:46.040 use Zoom,

00:31:47.060 you have to

00:31:47.520 sign their

00:31:47.940 terms of

00:31:48.480 agreement or

00:31:49.120 agree to

00:31:49.520 them, that

00:31:50.880 you would

00:31:51.260 unconditionally

00:31:51.980 and irrevocably,

00:31:53.380 with no

00:31:53.820 opt-out, give

00:31:55.580 away your

00:31:56.500 personal

00:31:57.620 experience as

00:32:00.440 AI training

00:32:01.320 material.

00:32:04.080 Now, here's

00:32:04.900 the problem.

00:32:06.040 The first

00:32:06.660 thing I thought

00:32:07.340 when I saw

00:32:07.860 that was,

00:32:08.640 well, damn

00:32:09.060 it, then I

00:32:10.340 won't use

00:32:10.900 Zoom.

00:32:11.340 How about

00:32:11.720 that?

00:32:12.080 How about

00:32:13.020 that, huh?

00:32:14.000 Well, I

00:32:14.520 just won't

00:32:14.900 use it.

00:32:16.400 And then I

00:32:16.920 thought, it's

00:32:17.880 too late.

00:32:19.340 It's too

00:32:20.080 late.

00:32:21.220 It's

00:32:21.700 everywhere.

00:32:22.820 Do you

00:32:23.120 think you

00:32:23.460 could not

00:32:23.860 use it?

00:32:25.040 Do you

00:32:25.340 think you

00:32:25.700 could successfully

00:32:26.640 do business

00:32:27.560 in 2023 by

00:32:29.520 saying you're

00:32:30.020 the one who

00:32:30.440 won't use

00:32:30.880 it?

00:32:31.980 Yeah, try

00:32:32.640 to use

00:32:32.960 Teams.

00:32:33.960 Has

00:32:34.120 anybody ever

00:32:34.540 tried to

00:32:34.840 use Teams?

00:32:37.140 Or try

00:32:38.100 to FaceTime

00:32:38.780 to 50

00:32:40.100 people?

00:32:41.380 I don't

00:32:41.740 know.

00:32:43.300 I think

00:32:43.900 Zoom wins

00:32:44.540 this.

00:32:45.700 I think

00:32:46.000 Zoom will

00:32:46.560 just get

00:32:47.300 probably no

00:32:48.340 difference.

00:32:49.280 It'll probably

00:32:49.640 just go on.

00:32:51.320 Yeah, I

00:32:51.720 realize there

00:32:52.220 are competitors,

00:32:53.520 but Zoom

00:32:53.900 just dominates

00:32:54.860 at this point.

00:32:56.020 The other

00:32:56.500 Zoom story is

00:32:57.480 that Zoom

00:32:57.920 itself, as a

00:32:58.760 company, is

00:32:59.460 requiring its

00:33:00.120 people to go

00:33:01.080 back to the

00:33:01.560 office.

00:33:02.980 So even

00:33:03.520 Zoom, the

00:33:04.960 product you

00:33:05.640 use instead

00:33:06.340 of going to

00:33:06.900 the office,

00:33:07.460 is making

00:33:07.880 its own

00:33:08.280 employees go

00:33:08.900 back to the

00:33:09.320 office.

00:33:10.100 At least

00:33:10.420 part of

00:33:10.760 the week.

00:33:11.420 It's not

00:33:11.720 full-time.

00:33:13.480 All right.

00:33:15.460 The most

00:33:16.140 important thing

00:33:16.760 of the day

00:33:17.240 is that

00:33:17.660 mean tweets

00:33:18.460 are back.

00:33:19.880 I thought

00:33:20.660 Trump was

00:33:21.220 being unusually

00:33:22.640 non-provocative

00:33:23.800 lately, and I

00:33:25.000 thought it was

00:33:25.400 working, because

00:33:26.460 it seemed like

00:33:27.000 his poll numbers

00:33:28.000 were pretty

00:33:28.500 solid.

00:33:29.460 But in the

00:33:30.260 context of all

00:33:30.920 these legal

00:33:31.400 challenges, he's

00:33:32.240 decided to

00:33:32.800 fight back with

00:33:34.140 mean tweets, and

00:33:36.560 I could not be

00:33:37.220 happier.

00:33:37.540 happier, I

00:33:39.320 could not be

00:33:40.140 happier with the

00:33:41.400 mean tweets.

00:33:43.020 Now, I would

00:33:44.640 like to support

00:33:45.560 American women's

00:33:48.120 soccer for all

00:33:50.300 the usual

00:33:50.720 reasons.

00:33:51.860 I think the

00:33:52.740 American women's

00:33:53.740 soccer has been

00:33:54.340 amazingly successful

00:33:55.780 and fun to

00:33:57.440 watch, and if

00:33:59.760 they can get

00:34:00.240 equal pay, that's

00:34:01.120 great.

00:34:01.960 It's a free

00:34:02.540 market.

00:34:02.940 If they can get

00:34:03.500 it, they should.

00:34:03.980 So, like

00:34:05.820 everything about

00:34:06.580 women's soccer, I

00:34:07.540 like, except one

00:34:11.040 particular seemingly

00:34:12.460 anti-American

00:34:13.580 member, Megan

00:34:14.600 Rapinoe.

00:34:15.800 Now, she missed a

00:34:19.340 penalty kick kind

00:34:20.440 of badly, and it

00:34:22.060 was one of the

00:34:22.480 reasons they lost,

00:34:23.320 I guess.

00:34:24.480 And so, so Megan

00:34:26.980 Rapinoe was sort

00:34:27.760 of insulting to

00:34:29.400 Trump.

00:34:29.840 I guess the team

00:34:30.460 got invited to the

00:34:31.460 White House, and

00:34:32.080 she said, or she

00:34:33.080 said if they got

00:34:33.760 invited, she

00:34:34.300 wouldn't go, because

00:34:35.380 Trump was

00:34:35.820 president.

00:34:37.100 And so, here's

00:34:37.840 what Trump says

00:34:39.020 about Megan being

00:34:40.940 part of the reason

00:34:41.700 that the women

00:34:42.520 lost.

00:34:43.820 He said, many of

00:34:44.840 our players were

00:34:45.680 openly hostile to

00:34:46.840 America.

00:34:47.820 No other country

00:34:48.600 behaved in such a

00:34:49.560 manner, or even

00:34:50.260 close.

00:34:51.320 Woke equals

00:34:52.020 failure.

00:34:53.280 Nice shot, Megan.

00:34:56.180 God.

00:34:57.620 The USA is going

00:34:58.880 to hell.

00:35:00.020 MAGA.

00:35:00.340 So, that's

00:35:01.960 Trump.

00:35:02.740 Nice shot, Megan.

00:35:08.680 That is so

00:35:10.340 outstandingly

00:35:12.760 un-presidential

00:35:14.640 that it's just

00:35:16.660 perfect.

00:35:17.900 You're just not

00:35:18.720 supposed to say

00:35:19.360 that.

00:35:20.600 Don't say that,

00:35:21.760 and then he says

00:35:22.480 it.

00:35:24.680 How do you not

00:35:25.620 love him for that?

00:35:26.500 How do you not

00:35:28.380 find that endearing?

00:35:30.840 I guess you'd

00:35:31.400 really have to

00:35:31.860 think he's

00:35:32.260 Hitler or

00:35:32.660 something.

00:35:34.420 But the fact

00:35:35.260 that he's

00:35:35.680 fighting back

00:35:36.300 on this level,

00:35:37.560 nice shot.

00:35:39.280 He's getting in

00:35:40.140 her head and

00:35:40.660 ruining her

00:35:41.140 whole, whatever's

00:35:42.120 left of her

00:35:42.580 career.

00:35:44.600 Then he also

00:35:45.420 went after Nancy

00:35:46.240 Pelosi.

00:35:47.120 Nancy Pelosi

00:35:47.860 said he was

00:35:48.400 acting like a

00:35:49.100 scared puppy,

00:35:50.380 you know, with

00:35:50.840 all the legal

00:35:53.380 problems.

00:35:54.840 So, Trump

00:35:56.840 tweets, I have

00:35:58.300 been leaving

00:35:58.720 alone the

00:35:59.260 story about

00:36:00.120 Paul Pelosi.

00:36:03.300 But apparently

00:36:04.180 he won't be

00:36:04.760 leaving that

00:36:05.220 alone for much

00:36:05.880 longer.

00:36:09.420 I don't know,

00:36:10.200 none of this is

00:36:10.820 important, but

00:36:12.480 it's the most

00:36:12.960 fun that's

00:36:13.460 happening in

00:36:13.920 politics.

00:36:15.040 Trump going

00:36:15.820 back to full

00:36:17.240 insults.

00:36:18.740 He's powering

00:36:19.620 up.

00:36:21.940 All right.

00:36:23.380 Anyway.

00:36:26.420 What do you

00:36:26.900 think about

00:36:27.380 criminalizing

00:36:28.760 political lies?

00:36:30.700 So this is

00:36:31.220 Jonathan Turley

00:36:31.960 who's been

00:36:32.560 great on all

00:36:33.380 of this Trump

00:36:34.080 legal stuff.

00:36:35.700 And do you

00:36:39.380 think that the

00:36:39.940 result of the

00:36:41.340 Trump trial could

00:36:43.600 be that the

00:36:44.820 courts would

00:36:45.320 actually make it

00:36:45.940 illegal to have

00:36:46.660 an opinion that's

00:36:47.460 wrong, to be

00:36:48.880 incorrect?

00:36:51.500 Do you think

00:36:52.240 that we could

00:36:52.740 possibly end up

00:36:53.760 there, that the

00:36:54.960 courts would

00:36:55.560 decide that

00:36:56.300 freedom of

00:36:57.400 speech isn't

00:36:57.980 what you

00:36:58.260 thought it

00:36:58.540 was?

00:36:59.580 I don't think

00:37:00.460 so.

00:37:01.240 Well, I think

00:37:01.840 the D.C.

00:37:02.420 court could, but

00:37:03.060 I don't see any

00:37:03.700 chance that the

00:37:04.920 Supreme Court

00:37:05.620 could.

00:37:06.640 I don't see any

00:37:07.660 chance of that.

00:37:08.820 So I don't think

00:37:09.840 that there's

00:37:10.280 anything happening

00:37:10.840 to Trump with

00:37:12.520 the latest set

00:37:13.260 of challenges

00:37:14.900 that could survive

00:37:16.200 a Supreme Court.

00:37:17.120 And here I'm just

00:37:17.800 agreeing with

00:37:18.360 Dershowitz, so I

00:37:19.800 feel pretty safe

00:37:20.420 about that.

00:37:21.920 But here's my

00:37:23.080 advice for the

00:37:25.020 Republicans in

00:37:25.940 messaging.

00:37:27.140 So far they've

00:37:28.060 been saying that

00:37:29.100 the Democrats are

00:37:30.260 weaponizing the

00:37:32.040 government.

00:37:33.200 So they're

00:37:33.640 weaponizing the

00:37:34.700 Department of

00:37:35.200 Justice and

00:37:35.800 they're weaponizing

00:37:36.740 the IRS and

00:37:38.320 they're weaponizing

00:37:39.140 the FBI, I guess.

00:37:41.140 Here's what's wrong

00:37:42.160 with that.

00:37:43.520 And do you see it

00:37:44.280 before I tell you?

00:37:45.640 What's wrong with

00:37:46.400 that political attack?

00:37:48.240 The other side is

00:37:49.540 weaponizing the

00:37:50.620 government.

00:37:51.880 Here's what's

00:37:52.660 wrong.

00:37:53.920 It sounds awesome.

00:37:55.860 Sounds awesome.

00:37:57.180 You weaponize the

00:37:58.120 government?

00:37:59.540 Oh, good.

00:38:00.860 Aren't we supposed

00:38:01.500 to do that?

00:38:02.460 I like my

00:38:03.120 government very

00:38:03.760 weaponized.

00:38:06.020 Most of the

00:38:06.800 point of a

00:38:07.280 government is to

00:38:08.500 make sure that

00:38:09.040 criminals and

00:38:09.740 outside forces don't

00:38:10.820 do bad things to

00:38:11.720 you.

00:38:12.360 We weaponize them.

00:38:13.960 So we do have a

00:38:14.840 weaponized government

00:38:15.680 that we weaponize

00:38:16.680 intelligently and

00:38:18.240 intentionally to be

00:38:20.320 weapons against

00:38:21.380 outside forces and

00:38:23.220 sometimes criminal

00:38:24.000 forces.

00:38:25.740 So as an attack,

00:38:29.080 you want to be

00:38:29.960 consistent with your

00:38:31.440 good message and

00:38:32.660 your good point.

00:38:34.380 So when I hear the

00:38:35.720 other side is

00:38:36.300 weaponizing the

00:38:37.080 government, I say

00:38:37.820 to myself, that's a

00:38:38.940 good point, right?

00:38:40.720 The logic of it,

00:38:41.840 there's facts to

00:38:43.000 back it up.

00:38:43.660 You've got stories

00:38:44.380 that fit that quite

00:38:45.300 neatly.

00:38:45.600 It's a good

00:38:46.280 narrative, it's a

00:38:47.060 good point, it's

00:38:47.720 solid.

00:38:48.720 But the word

00:38:49.880 doesn't work.

00:38:51.440 The word doesn't

00:38:52.280 work.

00:38:53.040 So I'm going to

00:38:53.440 give you an

00:38:53.880 alternative.

00:38:55.640 Weaponized is just

00:38:56.440 too strong of a

00:38:57.180 word.

00:38:57.880 Strong meaning if

00:38:59.600 you told me I had

00:39:00.380 weaponized something,

00:39:01.940 I wouldn't even feel

00:39:02.800 bad about it.

00:39:03.500 I'd be like, yeah,

00:39:04.320 I weaponized that.

00:39:05.640 I'll weaponize it

00:39:06.500 again right in front

00:39:07.600 of you.

00:39:08.760 So how about this?

00:39:10.360 How about calling it

00:39:11.380 destroying the most

00:39:12.200 valuable asset in the

00:39:13.280 world?

00:39:13.540 The credibility of

00:39:14.940 the U.S.

00:39:15.420 judicial system?

00:39:16.620 I like to say this a

00:39:17.840 lot because if you

00:39:18.600 forget it, you could

00:39:20.260 lose everything.

00:39:21.380 The only thing that

00:39:22.420 keeps America running

00:39:23.460 is that our court

00:39:24.820 system is generally

00:39:26.080 credible.

00:39:27.260 Now it's flawed,

00:39:28.000 everything's flawed,

00:39:29.100 but more credible

00:39:30.380 than most justice

00:39:32.260 systems, right?

00:39:33.600 If you don't have a

00:39:34.600 credible justice

00:39:35.280 system, you can't do

00:39:36.820 business without

00:39:37.980 bribery, and you

00:39:40.160 can't have a

00:39:40.700 republic, you can't

00:39:42.660 do anything, right?

00:39:44.060 It's basically the

00:39:45.100 base upon which all

00:39:47.060 of America is built.

00:39:49.300 So it's one thing to

00:39:50.620 say, oh, it's a little

00:39:51.320 weaponized, that still

00:39:52.980 suggests that America

00:39:54.160 survives on that

00:39:55.900 base.

00:39:56.480 It's weaponized, we

00:39:57.320 don't like that, but

00:39:57.920 it's still strong.

00:39:58.840 It's just weaponized.

00:40:00.660 But what I see is if

00:40:04.460 you're using it to take

00:40:06.400 out a political foe over

00:40:08.320 things that are clearly

00:40:09.580 too trivial to

00:40:11.380 prosecute in any

00:40:12.540 normal world, under

00:40:15.300 that condition, I

00:40:16.100 think you're

00:40:16.540 destroying the

00:40:17.480 credibility of the

00:40:19.220 justice system, that

00:40:20.920 along with the no

00:40:21.920 bail and the letting

00:40:23.280 everybody out of

00:40:23.940 prison to run wild in

00:40:25.300 the streets.

00:40:28.280 So the Biden

00:40:30.020 administration is

00:40:30.860 destroying the most

00:40:31.960 valuable asset in the

00:40:34.940 world.

00:40:35.320 world, the most

00:40:37.700 valuable asset in the

00:40:39.040 world.

00:40:39.540 Now you might say,

00:40:40.320 Scott, that's not

00:40:41.000 true.

00:40:41.340 Oil, oil is the most

00:40:43.240 valuable asset.

00:40:44.480 Well, you could run

00:40:46.120 out of a lot of oil and

00:40:47.980 still survive.

00:40:49.300 You could have an oil

00:40:50.340 shortage, still survive.

00:40:53.560 But if your court

00:40:54.680 system breaks down,

00:40:55.800 you're out of business.

00:40:57.900 And we're at risk of

00:40:59.960 losing the credibility of

00:41:01.400 our court system.

00:41:02.280 I don't know what

00:41:02.780 happens when you lose

00:41:03.480 the credibility.

00:41:04.140 Maybe things just go

00:41:05.960 on.

00:41:06.300 I don't know.

00:41:07.080 But it's the most

00:41:08.300 risky thing I can

00:41:09.200 imagine.

00:41:10.160 So I would say it's

00:41:11.420 the most valuable asset

00:41:12.800 in the world.

00:41:15.400 There are other

00:41:16.320 countries that probably

00:41:17.700 have pretty good

00:41:18.420 judicial systems.

00:41:19.900 But since they're not

00:41:20.760 superpowers, that's

00:41:23.880 like a local situation.

00:41:25.640 But when the United

00:41:26.480 States is at risk of

00:41:28.300 the entire system

00:41:29.260 collapsing, because the

00:41:30.820 foundation upon which

00:41:31.900 it's built, the

00:41:32.700 justice system, is

00:41:34.120 now being assailed

00:41:35.560 for political reasons,

00:41:37.000 that's the most

00:41:38.140 dangerous thing you

00:41:40.260 could ever imagine.

00:41:41.860 Now, I predict we'll

00:41:43.420 be fine.

00:41:44.760 I predict we'll be

00:41:45.660 fine.

00:41:45.940 So I'm talking about

00:41:46.620 messaging.

00:41:47.700 The messaging should be

00:41:48.860 more about destroying

00:41:49.700 the most valuable asset

00:41:50.740 in America.

00:41:51.940 When people come to

00:41:53.060 America, what they talk

00:41:55.220 about is maybe getting

00:41:56.520 a job.

00:41:57.040 But that's all based on

00:42:00.120 the legal system.

00:42:01.620 It's all based on the

00:42:02.860 legal system.

00:42:03.560 They're really coming

00:42:04.300 here because of our

00:42:05.080 legal system.

00:42:06.580 You just don't talk

00:42:07.700 about it that way.

00:42:08.920 They come here because

00:42:10.500 our courts are generally

00:42:12.300 fair.

00:42:13.300 And everything else can

00:42:14.720 work because of that

00:42:16.260 simple fact.

00:42:19.380 All right, don't lose

00:42:20.440 that.

00:42:21.300 Let's talk about my

00:42:22.860 least favorite thing.

00:42:25.480 So this is teaching

00:42:26.660 you, the point of what

00:42:28.140 I'm going to talk about

00:42:28.900 is teaching you how to

00:42:31.160 interpret the news.

00:42:33.300 All right?

00:42:34.180 The topic I'm going to

00:42:35.420 talk about, I have no

00:42:37.640 interest in.

00:42:39.780 And if you imagine I have

00:42:41.140 interest in it, you're

00:42:42.000 going to get mad at me.

00:42:43.360 So I'm on your side, not

00:42:45.220 interested.

00:42:45.900 This is just to teach you

00:42:46.840 how to read the news.

00:42:48.860 Steve Kirsch, who you

00:42:50.200 might know as a successful

00:42:51.860 tech guy who's been

00:42:53.640 talking a lot about the

00:42:55.600 dangers of COVID

00:42:57.180 vaccinations.

00:42:58.600 And he states that

00:42:59.820 there's a case of some

00:43:01.400 triplets who got

00:43:02.500 vaccinated and allegedly

00:43:04.420 all turned seriously

00:43:06.440 autistic within two hours

00:43:08.580 of being vaccinated.

00:43:10.360 Now, Steve says that it's

00:43:13.220 just math and that it's

00:43:15.440 proof that, well, he said

00:43:17.960 this.

00:43:18.660 He basically said it's

00:43:19.820 proof that the

00:43:20.580 vaccinations are dangerous.

00:43:21.860 And he said that this is

00:43:24.740 stronger statistical proof

00:43:26.360 than any causality study.

00:43:30.140 So he's basically saying

00:43:31.260 the odds of all three

00:43:33.060 children who were

00:43:35.420 reportedly completely

00:43:37.100 normal, the three of them

00:43:39.180 get vaccinated, and then

00:43:41.280 boom, their parents say

00:43:42.860 they're just different kids

00:43:44.020 and they're autistic.

00:43:46.220 Now, Steve says this is,

00:43:49.400 he actually uses the word

00:43:50.980 proof that from a

00:43:52.900 statistical standpoint,

00:43:53.920 you're really beyond

00:43:55.900 doubt.

00:43:56.260 Do you agree with his

00:43:58.480 statement that if three

00:44:00.820 identical twins get

00:44:02.440 vaccinations and, in fact,

00:44:04.900 turned autistic within two

00:44:06.500 hours, would you conclude,

00:44:08.860 as Steve does, that this is

00:44:10.620 strong statistical proof that

00:44:13.020 the vaccinations are causing

00:44:14.980 this?

00:44:16.260 All right, here's the correct

00:44:20.420 answer.

00:44:21.300 It is not proof.

00:44:23.400 It is a strong red flag.

00:44:26.180 I mean, the red flag is

00:44:27.300 rawr, rawr, rawr.

00:44:28.760 So don't give me a hard time

00:44:30.700 about not seeing the red flag,

00:44:32.300 right?

00:44:32.580 Red flag, red flag everywhere,

00:44:34.700 red flag.

00:44:35.260 We all see it.

00:44:36.200 There's nobody who doesn't see

00:44:37.320 it.

00:44:37.540 Don't say Scott doesn't see it.

00:44:39.040 I know you're going to say it.

00:44:40.720 You're going to say it.

00:44:42.000 You're going to say that I can't

00:44:43.100 see it.

00:44:43.640 I see it.

00:44:44.260 I see it.

00:44:45.860 Okay, now that we've settled

00:44:47.340 that, I think I can talk with

00:44:48.880 you.

00:44:51.660 How do you rule out the

00:44:53.100 possibility that there was a

00:44:55.680 bad batch just in that

00:44:57.280 hospital, or even just in

00:44:59.300 those needles?

00:45:00.980 Where did Steve rule out the

00:45:02.500 possibility that it was a

00:45:04.120 very localized problem of a

00:45:06.180 spoiled batch?

00:45:07.500 Did he?

00:45:08.660 Where did Steve rule out that

00:45:10.960 a bad actor in the hospital

00:45:12.480 has switched down a batch or

00:45:14.160 contaminated it intentionally?

00:45:16.520 Because unfortunately, we know

00:45:17.860 that happens.

00:45:19.220 There are people who are nurses

00:45:21.040 who have put bad things in

00:45:23.060 needles, literally, to make

00:45:24.700 people sick and die.

00:45:26.320 That's a real thing.

00:45:28.460 Do you know what I've never

00:45:29.260 heard of?

00:45:30.960 Triplets getting autism from a

00:45:32.780 shot.

00:45:33.460 I've never heard of that.

00:45:35.160 I'm not saying it's not

00:45:36.300 possible.

00:45:37.240 Red flags.

00:45:38.180 Red flags all over.

00:45:39.520 Hey, did you notice the part

00:45:40.580 where I said I can see them,

00:45:41.720 too?

00:45:42.300 Okay.

00:45:43.020 Okay.

00:45:43.500 Okay.

00:45:43.940 Settle down.

00:45:44.740 Settle down.

00:45:45.280 I see them, too.

00:45:46.980 But you really have to rule out

00:45:49.740 the more possible options.

00:45:54.280 In the order of most likely to

00:45:56.740 least likely, most likely, it

00:46:00.340 didn't even happen.

00:46:02.580 Am I right?

00:46:03.380 The most likely interpretation of

00:46:06.480 this story is it never happened.

00:46:08.240 There were not three kids who got

00:46:10.960 shots and changed two hours

00:46:12.920 later.

00:46:13.980 By far, it's the most likely.

00:46:17.400 This is not a claim that is

00:46:18.880 false.

00:46:19.800 You hear that, right?

00:46:20.660 I'm not claiming it didn't

00:46:21.600 happen.

00:46:22.520 I'm saying that if you were just

00:46:23.700 going to look at it as a news

00:46:24.960 story and you're just a consumer,

00:46:27.160 you're trying to figure out what's

00:46:28.340 true and what's not, by far the

00:46:31.180 most likely story is it didn't

00:46:33.460 happen at all.

00:46:34.100 Just like UFO reports.

00:46:37.220 What's the most likely explanation

00:46:39.100 of all the UFO reports?

00:46:41.280 Eh, people made them up.

00:46:43.940 People thought they saw stuff.

00:46:45.920 Those are by far the most likely.

00:46:48.040 Doesn't mean it's true.

00:46:49.560 Maybe there are some UFOs.

00:46:51.500 But if you see any one UFO story,

00:46:54.380 any individual story, by far the

00:46:57.980 most likely explanation is it didn't

00:46:59.680 happen at all.

00:47:01.060 Somebody thought it did or lied or

00:47:02.800 hoaxed or something.

00:47:04.100 All right.

00:47:05.280 How about the possibility that

00:47:07.580 there would be a criminal working

00:47:10.020 at the medical center who actually

00:47:12.640 was trying to injure the kids and

00:47:14.740 did it somehow intentionally?

00:47:18.060 Unfortunately, we have seen stories

00:47:20.200 like that probably every year of my

00:47:23.080 life.

00:47:24.800 Give me a fact check on this.

00:47:26.700 I feel like at least once every year

00:47:29.620 I see a story about a nurse hurting

00:47:32.280 people with vaccinations intentionally.

00:47:34.540 Am I wrong?

00:47:36.580 About once a year?

00:47:38.600 It's not that uncommon.

00:47:40.500 Whereas I've heard of exactly zero

00:47:43.100 other cases where kids got obviously

00:47:47.420 autism.

00:47:49.200 Now, if this is the only time you saw it

00:47:53.500 in the three twins, does this raise a

00:47:56.780 question with you?

00:47:57.480 Here's an obvious question, and I don't

00:48:00.100 know if Steve has dealt with this.

00:48:02.080 Why would it only apply to twins or

00:48:05.100 identical triplets?

00:48:07.040 Wouldn't they have seen exactly the same

00:48:09.060 result, one child after another, who are

00:48:12.820 just unrelated to each other?

00:48:15.500 Don't you think that the medical center

00:48:17.360 would be hearing from people who said,

00:48:19.340 my child is autistic two hours after

00:48:22.300 this, and then the phone rings, and it's

00:48:24.140 a different set of parents, and they're

00:48:25.640 like, something happened to my kid, and

00:48:27.920 then the phone rings again, and it's a

00:48:29.920 different set of parents saying, what's

00:48:31.580 wrong with my kid?

00:48:32.340 He just got a vaccination.

00:48:33.980 So you're telling me that three triplets

00:48:36.640 all got autism within two hours of a

00:48:39.720 vaccination, but this medical center had

00:48:42.520 no warning that there were any other

00:48:45.760 children who were unrelated who had the

00:48:48.320 same problem with the same set of

00:48:50.920 vaccinations.

00:48:51.880 No.

00:48:52.640 You haven't heard of anybody coming

00:48:53.900 forward.

00:48:54.780 So now that the triplets have been

00:48:56.340 publicized, what's the first thing that

00:48:58.620 happens?

00:49:00.620 The other people come forward.

00:49:02.920 This should look exactly like a serial

00:49:06.300 pedophile.

00:49:07.740 You know, there's a first case, and then

00:49:10.100 all the other victims say, whoa, whoa,

00:49:11.600 whoa, whoa, that same person did the same

00:49:13.280 thing to me, and then they come forward.

00:49:15.240 So you don't think the triplet story would

00:49:17.660 have surfaced 25 other parents who say, whoa,

00:49:21.940 I wasn't really thinking about the

00:49:23.480 connection, but you're right.

00:49:25.260 My kid really changed drastically after

00:49:27.160 the shot.

00:49:29.100 Where's that?

00:49:30.580 Where's that?

00:49:31.920 Context, please.

00:49:32.680 What else?

00:49:37.840 So you'd have to know that the parents are

00:49:39.880 not hoaxing.

00:49:40.860 You'd have to know that they really did see a

00:49:43.640 difference in the kids.

00:49:45.020 They do have photos.

00:49:46.140 I'm not sure if the photos are telling you what

00:49:48.140 they say they're photo.

00:49:51.100 And then here's the hardest one to rule

00:49:53.820 out in a situation like this.

00:49:56.060 The hardest thing to rule out

00:49:58.400 is the thing you didn't think of.

00:50:03.040 That's always the one that gets you in the

00:50:04.580 ass.

00:50:05.620 Like, if somebody's going to come up with, oh,

00:50:08.040 you forgot to mention that the entire story

00:50:10.660 was AI, and the children were AI, and the

00:50:14.840 parents were AI, and you should have seen it

00:50:17.140 coming.

00:50:17.540 You knew this was going to happen.

00:50:19.140 They were just AI.

00:50:20.240 This never happened.

00:50:20.940 Now, I don't think that's true, but I'm

00:50:25.880 giving you an example so that you can

00:50:27.380 imagine, and don't worry about it being

00:50:30.160 AI.

00:50:30.620 It's probably not AI, but I'm trying to give

00:50:32.960 you just an example so that your mind can

00:50:35.540 say, oh, yeah, there could be things that

00:50:38.460 would explain it that I just didn't think

00:50:41.560 of, and that's why you can't calculate the

00:50:45.680 odds of stuff like this.

00:50:47.840 Steve believes he could calculate the odds

00:50:50.120 because he has a good grasp of the

00:50:53.780 alternative explanations.

00:50:56.220 That's not a thing.

00:50:58.420 That's not a thing.

00:51:00.040 How could you know that you know the odds

00:51:02.640 of a thing happening when you had never even

00:51:04.980 thought of the thing, right?

00:51:07.280 So in 2023, we can still say it wasn't AI.

00:51:11.220 If this happened in two years, could you

00:51:14.340 still say, yeah, I looked at it, and I saw

00:51:16.800 the video.

00:51:17.760 It's definitely not AI.

00:51:19.320 In two years, do you think you'll be able to

00:51:22.080 tell the difference between an AI story with

00:51:24.700 lots of characters and detail versus like a

00:51:27.560 real one?

00:51:28.080 I don't think so.

00:51:29.560 I don't think so.

00:51:30.540 Now, we're not there yet, as far as I know, but

00:51:34.400 suppose, suppose, I'll just throw a suppose.

00:51:39.180 Suppose China was already there with AI, because

00:51:43.200 I think America is probably there.

00:51:44.980 We don't see the good stuff.

00:51:46.180 You know, there's probably a whole bunch of stuff that

00:51:48.740 the public hasn't seen that's a whole level above,

00:51:51.460 presumably.

00:51:53.640 Suppose China wanted to start a big rumor in the

00:51:56.820 United States and make us fight about vaccinations.

00:52:00.560 Could they have created an AI that they know is AI, but

00:52:05.060 when we see it, we've only seen our other AI that doesn't

00:52:08.100 look convincing?

00:52:08.740 So we go, all right, we don't think we can make this with

00:52:12.240 our AI, therefore it must be real.

00:52:15.760 But do you know what China has?

00:52:18.160 You don't think China could just go to their AI, I'm sure

00:52:21.540 they're working on it, and just say, give us some American

00:52:25.160 family triplets, tell a story about how they got autism with

00:52:30.300 the shots, et cetera, and make it look real and turn it into a

00:52:35.160 meme.

00:52:35.380 I don't know, could they have done that?

00:52:38.760 I don't think that happened.

00:52:40.560 But if you hadn't considered all the possibilities, you might

00:52:43.500 be surprised.

00:52:45.240 Now, can I close by saying that if it's true that three identical

00:52:49.780 twins got autism from the shot, well, they got autism two hours

00:52:53.640 after the shot, that is a big red flag.

00:52:56.300 Nothing I said should change the fact that I, too, like you,

00:53:00.940 see a big red flag.

00:53:02.060 I just don't think it's proof.

00:53:05.640 All right, might be.

00:53:08.520 Here is the best evidence yet that the war in Ukraine is not a

00:53:14.340 war at all.

00:53:15.600 It is a negotiation.

00:53:17.660 It is specifically a negotiation that's waiting for Trump to

00:53:21.340 take over the presidency, or maybe a Republican.

00:53:24.280 But so I guess Ukraine allegedly took out some big Russian ship.

00:53:36.040 And then Russia decided to, quote, retaliate, which they warned they

00:53:40.380 would do, by massive shelling in Ukraine overnight that killed at

00:53:45.520 least six people.

00:53:49.140 Clue number one that this is not a war.

00:53:51.320 What's the point of retaliation in a war?

00:53:57.400 Why would you need to retaliate in the context of a war?

00:54:04.480 I'm no general, but let me just put this out here and you fact

00:54:07.680 check me.

00:54:08.460 If I'm a general and I'm going to run a war, I'm going to use all

00:54:11.920 of my assets for winning the war.

00:54:14.880 I'm going to do the best thing I can do with my assets to win the

00:54:19.420 war.

00:54:20.220 You know what I'm never going to do?

00:54:22.240 Send a message.

00:54:24.860 I think I'll send a message that I'm not happy about the fact that

00:54:29.680 you also are in a war and you hurt one of our assets.

00:54:34.160 I'm not happy about that.

00:54:35.740 So I'll do some retaliation.

00:54:38.560 That's not a war activity.

00:54:40.640 Retaliation is when you're in a stable situation.

00:54:45.220 Do you know who retaliates?

00:54:48.000 Israel against the Palestinians and vice versa.

00:54:52.700 Are they at war?

00:54:55.120 Well, maybe somebody would call it that, but it's not like some force is

00:54:59.160 running across the border of the other country, right?

00:55:02.160 It's a long-term, somewhat stable situation.

00:55:05.440 Unfortunately, it's stable with terrorism.

00:55:08.020 But you wouldn't call it a war, would you?

00:55:13.580 Would you call it a war?

00:55:16.460 It's more like, you know, some terrorism, whatever.

00:55:18.780 Now, I'm not making the analogy of the Middle East to Ukraine, because

00:55:25.720 you'll just argue about the details.

00:55:27.180 The details are all different, right?

00:55:29.180 So I'm not saying one tells you about the other.

00:55:31.420 I'm just saying that when you see stuff like retaliation, you don't see it in

00:55:35.780 the context of actual war.

00:55:38.020 Do you?

00:55:40.140 Because I don't think it has a function.

00:55:42.580 Was Kiev going to fight less because six people died in massive shelling?

00:55:49.300 Six people.

00:55:51.900 There were probably more people died mowing their lawns yesterday.

00:55:56.140 Six people.

00:55:57.340 I mean, tragic as it is, nobody wants anybody to die.

00:56:00.000 But in a war, if a major retaliation took six people, that feels like theater to me.

00:56:08.620 It doesn't even feel like war.

00:56:10.520 I'd feel like war if I were there.

00:56:12.020 I get it.

00:56:12.560 I get it.

00:56:13.100 I get it.

00:56:13.560 If I were there, it would feel like war.

00:56:15.060 I understand.

00:56:15.680 But from the outside, it looks...

00:56:19.240 To me, the intentions of both sides now seem obvious.

00:56:24.300 The intention is to wait until Trump's in power.

00:56:28.660 Because they know he's going to end it.

00:56:31.740 And they know Biden won't.

00:56:34.120 Right?

00:56:35.400 Do you think that Zelensky really wants to get back all the territory?

00:56:39.280 Or does he want to just go back to being the rich guy who runs Ukraine without worrying

00:56:46.380 that Russia's going to kill him?

00:56:48.600 I think Zelensky would be pretty happy to not be in a war, to be in power, to be rich,

00:56:55.740 to be the national celebrity, and make it appear at least like he stopped Russia, even

00:57:01.280 though land was traded in the end, probably.

00:57:04.480 But he would still look like a hero for having stopped the conquering of Ukraine.

00:57:11.940 So I think Zelensky wants a way out.

00:57:14.960 He knows he's not going to win back that territory by now.

00:57:18.540 And I think Putin wants a way out.

00:57:20.620 And they both see there's only one way out.

00:57:23.560 Am I wrong?

00:57:24.820 There's literally one way this can go.

00:57:27.800 Trump gets elected, or somebody who's Trump-like, right?

00:57:31.680 Could be Yves Vick.

00:57:34.840 But somebody Trump-like gets elected and then just forces both sides to stop fighting,

00:57:41.740 which we can do tomorrow.

00:57:44.720 Biden can't do it because there are questions about his, let's say, financial interests.

00:57:50.500 But Trump can.

00:57:52.780 He can do it tomorrow.

00:57:54.560 You know, Trump's boast that he could end the war in a day,

00:57:58.200 that is the least exaggerated boast he's ever made.

00:58:02.680 Now, I'm not going to predict that he will.

00:58:04.480 Because, you know, nobody does anything in a day.

00:58:07.800 But he could.

00:58:09.540 He could literally force a ceasefire and say,

00:58:13.320 look, every person who dies after today is a waste of time, and you're just idiots.

00:58:17.260 Because I've decided to end it.

00:58:20.320 It might take a few weeks, but you should stop shooting now, because every death from this point on has no purpose.

00:58:26.600 Just wasted life.

00:58:28.840 Stop now, and I'll tell you, it might take a few weeks to work it out.

00:58:32.960 That actually would stop the war in a day.

00:58:36.260 All he has to do is tell them, I guarantee it's over.

00:58:39.800 You don't know it yet, but I guarantee this war is over.

00:58:42.540 Just stop shooting today.

00:58:44.460 I'll work it out.

00:58:45.280 It might take us a few weeks.

00:58:47.320 Yeah.

00:58:47.620 He'd be done in a day.

00:58:48.500 I think Vivek could do the same thing, actually.

00:58:51.760 They might not know enough about Vivek to be afraid, so Trump has an advantage there.

00:58:57.800 Well, let me ask you this question.

00:59:05.160 If Trump were to take office, do you think he should prosecute Joe Biden?

00:59:13.720 I'm really curious about your responses.

00:59:16.780 I'm seeing mostly no's.

00:59:19.720 Yeah, I think age alone and the effect it would have on the country would be bad.

00:59:24.980 There should be some kind of middle ground.

00:59:29.280 I would love to see it investigated and put into an official government report.

00:59:34.080 But if the official government decided, look, it's time to stop the precedent.

00:59:40.120 It's time to stop going after our political figures.

00:59:43.620 The country should know everything the Bidens did.

00:59:47.020 But because of his age and because these are now settled problems,

00:59:51.980 we do think that everybody should be treated the same under the law.

00:59:56.820 But the country is better if we just do what's good for the country.

01:00:03.080 I don't know.

01:00:04.760 I could imagine letting Biden go.

01:00:10.500 Now, I do imagine that Biden would pardon himself, so it's not going to be an issue.

01:00:14.540 Don't you think?

01:00:15.100 Don't you think it was a mistake for Trump to not pardon himself of all past and future crimes

01:00:21.300 before he left the White House?

01:00:24.740 Probably.

01:00:25.660 You know, I don't think he could have been necessarily re-elected under that umbrella.

01:00:32.320 Probably the only way he could get elected is actually, you know,

01:00:35.400 fight this stuff out in the court of public opinion and the real courts and win.

01:00:40.200 That seems like the only way to get there.

01:00:41.560 But if the only reason he were able to run for re-election

01:00:45.540 is that he had pardoned himself for all past and future crimes,

01:00:50.560 I'm not sure I'd be comfortable with that.

01:00:56.860 All right.

01:00:57.460 What did Henry say that's a brilliant point?

01:00:59.860 Somebody made a brilliant point here.

01:01:03.380 Well, I guess I can't find him.

01:01:06.160 But trust me, somebody made a brilliant point according to somebody else.

01:01:09.300 All right.

01:01:11.560 What have I missed?

01:01:14.400 Is there anything I missed today?

01:01:16.560 Any stories?

01:01:22.540 Letting go would destroy.

01:01:24.520 You should prosecute.

01:01:28.340 No pardoning yourself is a bad take.

01:01:31.920 Yeah, I think pardoning yourself is a bad idea.

01:01:35.920 What's that?

01:01:36.620 What's that?

01:01:36.660 Drew Mao, please share my story.

01:01:42.500 I'm facing 25 years to life for defending myself against a mad black man with a gun who tried to end my life.

01:01:51.300 Huh.

01:01:51.500 Well, I don't know much about your story, but I'll note that you said it.

01:01:59.280 All right.

01:02:03.060 You can see all the evidence at Give, Send, Go, Drew Mao.

01:02:07.380 D-R-E-W-M-O-W.

01:02:11.020 Now, I'm not endorsing it.

01:02:13.000 I'm only seeing it in the comments.

01:02:14.860 But if it's true that all the evidence is there, you can go see for yourself.

01:02:18.060 Equal pay deal earnings revealed women teams taking most of the men's earnings.

01:02:27.460 What?

01:02:34.200 Pardoning yourself of political charges feels fair.

01:02:38.560 Yeah.

01:02:39.060 Good point on that.

01:02:39.880 If you're pardoning yourself on things that even the country thinks are political, you'll probably get away with that pretty easily.

01:02:49.700 U.S. women's soccer team is getting half of men's earnings.

01:02:54.680 How do you prove that?

01:02:56.560 I don't know.

01:02:57.620 You know, I'm not sure that's a problem.

01:03:01.580 So if you're saying to yourself that men collectively are earning all this money, and then the women collectively are taking some of the men's money,

01:03:12.820 isn't that kind of similar to all of the other players on LeBron's teams?

01:03:20.740 I feel like LeBron is the reason you went to watch the game, or, you know, Michael Jordan in his day.

01:03:26.080 And all the other players were just good players who benefited from the fact they had a good player on the team.

01:03:32.400 There's no real fair way to allocate money for sports.

01:03:38.840 Every scheme you pick is unfair for a different reason.

01:03:44.820 Yeah.

01:03:45.160 Because people don't contribute the same.

01:03:49.680 Men's soccer can't exist without women's soccer.

01:03:53.760 Yeah.

01:03:53.940 Well, I mean, if you made it up to me, I'm sure that I would say the men's teams, if they earn the money, should keep the money.

01:04:03.700 I don't think you're on a different side.

01:04:06.200 I'm just saying that sometimes contracts are settled by precedent, and not because there's a logical reason.

01:04:15.780 So it's one of the great things about what we do as humans and Americans, that we sort of agree that a deal is a deal without being able to really argue the philosophy of it.

01:04:29.600 If I were to do a licensing deal, for example, let's say it was a licensing for T-shirts or something, putting Dilbert on a T-shirt.

01:04:39.180 Walking into the deal, I would know what the end deal was going to be before I started negotiating, because there are so many people who have made deals for T-shirts that they're sort of a pretty standard, I don't know, it's 15% royalty or something like that.

01:04:57.360 Whatever the number is, it's kind of what everybody gets.

01:05:00.880 Maybe I asked for a little more because I think I got some market advantage or something.

01:05:04.900 But basically, everybody who's licensing an image for a T-shirt gets something like the same deal.

01:05:10.640 So, a lot of the times it's not about anything that's fair, it's just market power.

01:05:18.760 If you have market power, you get more stuff.

01:05:22.920 The women built themselves up some market power by pushing their political view and making it popular, or being part of something that's popular.

01:05:32.020 And they used that market power to get themselves more money.

01:05:37.120 I don't hate that.

01:05:39.380 I don't hate it.

01:05:40.640 It's not entirely unlike the rest of the world.

01:05:45.300 The rest of the world is people battling in a completely legal way to get more attention, get more money, get a better deal.

01:05:55.100 At the moment, the women just nailed it.

01:05:57.680 So, the women, they pressed an advantage.

01:06:00.000 They had, let's say, a political public opinion advantage.

01:06:04.820 They pressed it hard.

01:06:06.520 They got a good result.

01:06:07.740 The men kind of sat it out, and now they have to live with what they got.

01:06:11.960 But to me, this is the free market doing what it does.

01:06:16.660 I think you're looking at a free market situation and adding your opinion to it, and you don't need to.

01:06:24.100 Yeah.

01:06:24.400 Was it, quote, fair to the men?

01:06:27.040 Fair is just a concept.

01:06:31.020 It's not something that happens in the real world.

01:06:33.840 In the real world, people pursue power.

01:06:37.020 If you have the power to get a good deal that the other team doesn't like, but they have to sign it anyway, you're probably going to do it.

01:06:42.600 So, the women's soccer story is not about what was right or fair.

01:06:49.060 It was about them cleverly using soft power to get themselves raises, and I would say, good for them.

01:06:57.620 Good for them.

01:06:58.580 And if the men's teams, if they can figure out a free market legal way to argue that money back into their pockets, good for them.

01:07:09.600 Good for them.

01:07:10.120 They're all competitors, and they're competitors by nature.

01:07:14.680 So, if you put a bunch of competitors together and they compete, what are we complaining about?

01:07:21.180 They're competing.

01:07:22.580 They're competing on money.

01:07:23.980 They're competing on contracts.

01:07:25.200 They're competing on the field.

01:07:26.920 At the moment, the women got a win.

01:07:30.600 Good for them.

01:07:33.600 All right.

01:07:36.140 What else is happening?

01:07:37.260 Anything else happening?

01:07:40.120 Political coercion is part of soft power, sure.

01:07:45.360 How much of a cut did you get from the Dilbert doll?

01:07:48.500 Well, I was also syndicated, and so I had a deal that I shared my licensing revenue with the syndication company in addition to the doll company.

01:07:58.760 And then I share half of what I get from all of that with the government.

01:08:04.620 So, it ends up being pennies.

01:08:06.140 If I had to guess, it was something like a 15% royalty, probably in that neighborhood.

01:08:15.440 Of the 15, half of that would go to the syndicate.

01:08:18.700 That gives me seven and a half.

01:08:21.160 Of that, half would go to taxes and lawyers and accountants and people who make that deal possible.

01:08:30.280 So, maybe 2%.

01:08:32.780 Maybe 2% per doll I would get.

01:08:36.340 Something like that.

01:08:37.720 It's not much.

01:08:39.280 Yeah, licensing works because you do a lot of it, not because per unit you're making a lot.

01:08:48.320 Elon's paying legal fees for people who were fired because they used Twitter.

01:08:52.520 I don't know if he's thought that through, because it's going to be really hard to determine who got fired just because of Twitter.

01:09:00.820 It'll be tough.

01:09:04.040 Dilbert product placement in blockbuster movies.

01:09:08.000 I'm not going to do advertising in a blockbuster movie.

01:09:16.300 All right.

01:09:17.140 Women have conspired to keep you single, Patrick says.

01:09:25.240 Well, thank you.

01:09:27.200 Appreciate that.

01:09:31.500 Yeah, if you add it up, it comes to something.

01:09:39.560 You can do an R-rated Dilbert movie.

01:09:41.640 Well, I think movies are done.

01:09:43.880 I just, I can't even imagine watching a movie anymore.

01:09:50.320 It just doesn't feel like a thing that I do.

01:09:53.580 I can't, I can't remember the last time I watched the whole movie.

01:09:56.660 The only movies I'm watching, let's see, do any of you do this?

01:10:00.780 If you're watching a movie alone, there's nobody with you to complain about you fast-forwarding.

01:10:05.760 Do you fast-forward through the scenes that you already know where it's going?

01:10:09.280 So if I'm watching a movie and there's, it's in the early in the movie and you see the protagonist,

01:10:17.420 the person who's going to be the star of the movie, and they're getting really lovey with

01:10:20.800 their wife, do you need to watch like 10 minutes of it?

01:10:27.160 I get it.

01:10:28.020 He really loves his wife, and when she's in mortal danger, later in the movie, it's going to really tug at my heartstrings

01:10:37.740 because he loves her so much.

01:10:39.580 They love each other.

01:10:41.320 So I see that, it's like, oh, okay, this is 10 minutes of you making me feel bad,

01:10:47.320 because I'll feel bad when something happens to her, because now that I know she's really in love with this guy.

01:10:52.120 Fast-forward, fast-forward.

01:10:53.120 All right, it looks like a car chase is starting.

01:10:57.760 All right, yeah, car chase, car chase, car chase.

01:11:00.720 Somebody's tied to a chair for torture.

01:11:03.300 Don't really need the details.

01:11:05.280 Chair, chair, chair, chair, chair, chair, chair, chair, chair, chair, gone.

01:11:09.740 And now it's a big fight, and I'm just going to spitball here.

01:11:17.300 I'm a professional writer, so you probably wouldn't be able to do this on your own.

01:11:20.560 But let's say there's a scene in the movie in which the bad guy, or one of them,

01:11:26.940 has the drop on the good guy, or one of them, has the gun pointed right at him,

01:11:32.220 and the good guy is disarmed.

01:11:34.920 How could you get out of that situation?

01:11:37.860 Oh, whoa, whoa.

01:11:39.660 Nobody's ever done this before.

01:11:40.920 One of the good guy character helpers suddenly appears not as injured as you thought and shoots the person who has...

01:11:52.580 Has anybody done that yet?

01:11:56.560 Has anybody seen that in the movie yet?

01:11:58.120 Because I think it's innovative.

01:11:59.640 I don't know if anybody's thought of that.

01:12:02.360 The person you didn't know is there and shoots them in the last minute.

01:12:06.260 Now, you can repeat that as many times as necessary.

01:12:11.500 You can put your protagonist in danger, have a person who's been off screen for a while shoot the bad guy,

01:12:17.920 repeat, repeat, repeat.

01:12:20.600 Now, do I need to watch that scene?

01:12:23.480 As soon as I see the bad character with the gun pointing at the good character,

01:12:27.920 and the good character is like, oh no, my head is going to be exploded.

01:12:31.060 I'm like, person shows up from around the corner, shoots the person, fast-forward, fast-forward, fast-forward.

01:12:39.880 I don't know why people watch movies, honestly.

01:12:42.640 I understand why children do, because they haven't learned the pattern yet.

01:12:46.600 But once you see the pattern, what are you going to do?

01:12:51.700 Yeah.

01:12:53.040 All right, ladies and gentlemen on YouTube, that's all I've got for you today.

01:12:57.500 So I'm going to say bye.

01:12:59.380 You've been amazing.

01:13:01.060 Let's go change the world or reframe it.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 07, 2023

Episode 2193 Scott Adams： Watch Me Reframe The News And Everything Else. Bring Coffee

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