Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2196 Scott Adams： I Figured Out Everything. The News Is Hilarious Lately Too. Bring Coffee

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:03.680 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization,

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00:00:51.820 Ah, so much to talk about today.

00:00:55.120 Remember I told you that the machinery of how things work was becoming obvious?

00:01:03.340 Boy, today is one of those days.

00:01:06.540 We're going to talk about the machinery of how everything got the way it is.

00:01:11.940 I think you're going to find it amazing. Probably.

00:01:14.980 So stick around.

00:01:16.640 All right, let's start with the tragic Maui wildfires.

00:01:20.440 If you've never been to Hawaii, this probably doesn't mean as much to you.

00:01:26.400 But this one hits really close to home, literally,

00:01:30.320 because I used to own a property there that my ex has now,

00:01:36.920 but it's part of the risk of the Maui fires.

00:01:41.020 And the entire downtown area of Maui was destroyed.

00:01:45.140 There's only one area on the whole island that's sort of a little downtown place

00:01:49.120 with restaurants. It's gone.

00:01:51.560 Completely burned up.

00:01:52.780 People were jumping in the ocean to avoid the fires.

00:01:56.540 It's horrible.

00:01:58.680 The good news is that it's probably the most valuable real estate

00:02:04.060 in almost the entire world.

00:02:07.620 So it'll definitely build back.

00:02:10.160 It'll probably happen really quickly.

00:02:12.000 But the part that's bugging me is I could have been there.

00:02:18.460 This was actually one of the weeks that was on my short list,

00:02:22.840 but I ended up not booking it,

00:02:27.240 primarily because I had some book publishing deadlines that didn't work out.

00:02:37.320 But I actually could have been there.

00:02:38.860 I could have been right there, like actually right there in the middle of it.

00:02:42.880 That's where I was going to be.

00:02:45.100 So it's really kind of freaking me out a little bit, watching the devastation.

00:02:49.600 I remember a story, I think it's true,

00:02:52.560 about Seth, who's the guy who did the family?

00:02:58.780 Seth, what's his name?

00:03:01.380 Did the family guy?

00:03:03.360 Seth McFarlane.

00:03:04.200 I heard he was late for a flight that ended up being one of the flights

00:03:09.800 that hit the World Trade Centers on 9-11.

00:03:13.460 Is that a true story?

00:03:15.240 That he missed the flight and that's the only reason he's alive?

00:03:19.900 Yeah.

00:03:20.460 I'm feeling a little bit like that

00:03:22.320 because it was only because other events in my life did what they did

00:03:26.920 that this became a week that wasn't possible to travel.

00:03:31.840 So anyway, the news today,

00:03:36.840 because we can see the machinery behind the news,

00:03:40.500 it all starts to look like comedy.

00:03:43.960 And here's a perfect example.

00:03:47.200 Just the other day, I saw a long thread

00:03:49.440 of all the hilarious claims made about climate.

00:03:53.580 You've probably seen it.

00:03:55.400 So they take the headlines from over the years

00:03:58.100 and when you see them all together, they become hilarious.

00:04:01.680 Individually, not so much,

00:04:03.420 but only when you see them together.

00:04:04.660 For example, the news would say,

00:04:07.560 climate change is causing more dandruff.

00:04:11.480 And then climate change is being caused by jumping up and down.

00:04:18.740 And there's like every weird thing that climate change is caused by or causes.

00:04:24.800 And so CNN says the Maui fires,

00:04:28.360 in part, caused by dried out vegetation

00:04:32.380 and probably that's the climate change.

00:04:36.440 That's the climate change.

00:04:38.180 Now, I'm no scientist,

00:04:40.220 but can somebody help me out on this?

00:04:45.300 If it gets hotter over a desert,

00:04:48.040 then it's just hotter.

00:04:50.740 Would you agree?

00:04:52.340 If it's a desert and the temperature goes up,

00:04:56.100 the only thing that changes is it gets hotter.

00:04:59.040 Now, suppose you're an island surrounded by an ocean

00:05:02.660 and it gets hotter.

00:05:07.280 Now, help me with the science.

00:05:08.840 Does that make it rain the same amount or more?

00:05:15.740 Can somebody answer that question?

00:05:17.820 If it's warmer,

00:05:19.760 does it rain more?

00:05:23.000 It does, doesn't it?

00:05:24.920 Or at the very least, it would be humid.

00:05:27.820 And humidity is good for the plants as well.

00:05:30.860 So, wouldn't climate change have made it wetter in Maui?

00:05:40.440 I'm seeing somebody disagreeing.

00:05:42.160 So, actually, I'm not stating this as a fact.

00:05:46.380 It's actually a question.

00:05:49.680 Or could you say, more accurately,

00:05:52.480 could you say there's no way to know?

00:05:53.980 Now, obviously, the heat would be evaporating more from the island,

00:06:00.880 but wouldn't it be creating more wetness around the island

00:06:05.600 that would compensate for that, or no?

00:06:09.760 Okay.

00:06:11.360 Would you say that we can't tell?

00:06:13.300 Would you say that it would be fair to say we don't really know

00:06:17.800 if you talk about an island?

00:06:20.080 If you talk about a desert, I feel like we'd know.

00:06:23.780 I don't know if the island thing works the same, though.

00:06:27.820 All right.

00:06:28.360 So, I'm not going to say it's right or wrong.

00:06:30.180 I'm going to say it's hilarious.

00:06:31.660 The CNN states it as some kind of observable fact.

00:06:35.960 I don't feel like it's an observable fact.

00:06:39.960 Do you?

00:06:40.880 Do you feel like you could just put that out there as the news?

00:06:44.560 Or would it be more appropriate to say,

00:06:46.560 you know, you should look into it

00:06:48.940 because maybe there's some weather correlation here.

00:06:52.820 But I doubt it.

00:06:54.680 I kind of doubt it.

00:06:56.360 I don't know.

00:06:58.640 All right.

00:06:59.280 Elon Musk tweeted,

00:07:01.460 great product engineering and design session today with the X team.

00:07:04.960 Now, if this had been anyone else in the world

00:07:07.960 who said they had a great meeting,

00:07:10.880 I don't think I'd be talking about it.

00:07:14.420 Because there are a lot of people who had a great meeting today.

00:07:17.340 Had a great meeting.

00:07:19.100 But when Musk tweets,

00:07:20.980 he thinks it's important enough to tweet,

00:07:23.840 that he had a great product engineering and design session today,

00:07:27.400 I feel as if something big is coming.

00:07:31.640 Or probably multiple big things.

00:07:33.680 At one point,

00:07:35.640 I believe Musk said that X had the potential

00:07:39.760 to be the most valuable company on the planet.

00:07:43.980 Do you remember him saying that?

00:07:45.800 It had the potential to be the most valuable...

00:07:49.680 I think he can see the end state now.

00:07:53.980 I think he can see it now.

00:07:55.940 Now, the way that could happen is if X becomes your bank,

00:07:59.680 as I just saw in the comments.

00:08:01.220 If X became the bank that you preferred,

00:08:05.460 and it should, it should,

00:08:07.900 because do you know what's wrong with banking,

00:08:10.080 like traditional banking?

00:08:11.380 Does anybody know what's wrong with traditional banking?

00:08:14.460 Everything.

00:08:16.380 Everything.

00:08:17.980 Yeah.

00:08:18.400 Traditional banking has never been,

00:08:21.580 let's say, innovated into a good form,

00:08:24.360 because nobody was ever strong enough to innovate

00:08:26.940 where there was so much regulation.

00:08:29.900 It's almost impossible to innovate in the banking environment,

00:08:33.480 because there's just too much payola and political pressure

00:08:37.540 and all that stuff, right?

00:08:39.520 So a new entrant is going to get destroyed

00:08:42.680 by the existing players,

00:08:44.880 because they don't want any competition to their good deal.

00:08:48.060 So, how could anybody ever innovate

00:08:52.520 in the banking industry

00:08:54.540 when the banking industry is so strong and so rich

00:08:59.880 that they can stop you from innovating?

00:09:01.800 They can just shut you down through politics and whatever.

00:09:05.340 Well, I only know of one way that could happen.

00:09:08.180 You would need somebody who is the richest person in the world,

00:09:11.160 who also has the largest balls in the world,

00:09:13.700 who also has a long-term interest in this very thing.

00:09:20.480 You know, he's been trying to do something like this for decades.

00:09:23.380 And, on top of that,

00:09:25.440 is one of the most clever and capable product makers of all time,

00:09:31.300 especially complicated products.

00:09:33.660 You know, complicated products?

00:09:36.300 That's his sweet spot.

00:09:38.540 So, could Musk do what nobody else could do,

00:09:41.360 which is create an online bank of some sort

00:09:45.480 that would do everything a bank would do but better?

00:09:49.520 And you know what the answer is?

00:09:52.040 Probably.

00:09:54.260 Probably.

00:09:55.960 I'll tell you, if I could invest directly in Twitter,

00:10:01.140 I definitely would.

00:10:03.260 I definitely would.

00:10:05.240 It's not guaranteed.

00:10:06.300 You know, it would still be a speculative kind of,

00:10:10.200 you know, more speculation than an investment, I guess.

00:10:12.760 But, I feel like he's got a serious,

00:10:15.900 at least a 40% chance of making this work.

00:10:20.900 Would you say?

00:10:22.300 40% chance that you can turn X into your,

00:10:25.480 essentially your bank.

00:10:28.380 Yeah, I think he could.

00:10:31.400 It would be the highest level of difficulty,

00:10:34.020 but he's exactly the person

00:10:36.080 who can do the highest level of difficulty.

00:10:40.340 I also like the fact that the path is clear,

00:10:43.660 meaning that there's obviously an opportunity

00:10:46.480 if you can get to it.

00:10:48.500 Right?

00:10:48.660 Getting to it is the hard part.

00:10:51.000 But it's there.

00:10:52.320 And he has the tools.

00:10:54.780 Yeah, there's a cool new little 3D-printed house.

00:10:58.960 Not the kind that they're 3D-printing with concrete.

00:11:01.820 You've seen those.

00:11:02.500 But they're 3D-printing the, you know,

00:11:06.180 just parts that they snap together for the house.

00:11:08.860 So it's a $200,000 house you can buy for,

00:11:11.880 it's 400 square feet, so it's small.

00:11:14.380 But they can put it on a truck and deliver it.

00:11:17.520 But here's the cool thing.

00:11:19.040 It makes its own electricity,

00:11:21.240 and it makes its own water.

00:11:23.920 It makes its own water.

00:11:25.460 It makes its own water.

00:11:30.360 Which is the thing.

00:11:31.820 You know, they can take it out of the air, absorb it.

00:11:34.380 Now, I'm sure it needs a little starting water.

00:11:38.480 I don't think you could take too many showers

00:11:40.280 with the water it's creating out of the air overnight.

00:11:43.120 But it also recycles and cleans the water you have.

00:11:46.500 So your shower is actually repurposed,

00:11:49.800 and you're using most of the same water the next day.

00:11:53.180 Now, if that's not too creepy for you,

00:11:56.120 this is very cool.

00:11:58.320 So this exists.

00:11:59.540 It's not, it's a, it's for sale.

00:12:02.220 It's a real thing.

00:12:03.980 It's prefab.

00:12:04.940 They just deliver it, set it on the ground.

00:12:07.880 I don't know what they do about sewage.

00:12:11.700 Maybe the article said I missed it.

00:12:13.960 So the only thing that's left is sewage.

00:12:16.260 But I know, for example,

00:12:17.640 there are toilets that don't need a sewage connection.

00:12:21.520 You know, Bill Gates was working on that.

00:12:23.420 I don't think they're quite where they need to be,

00:12:25.240 but maybe they've got some information there too.

00:12:27.700 But more important than that, innovation is the AI.

00:12:31.160 There are now a number of apps that use AI

00:12:33.420 to remove the clothing from people in photographs.

00:12:38.440 I don't know about you,

00:12:39.580 but finally, we've got a killer app.

00:12:43.220 You know, AI's been around for a little while,

00:12:44.980 and I keep saying, well, what am I going to use it for?

00:12:47.820 I think I'll use it for, well, I don't know how to do that.

00:12:50.320 I think I'll use it in my business too.

00:12:53.200 I don't know how to do that.

00:12:54.740 But you know, I could use AI.

00:12:56.220 I could use AI to organize all of my archive of Dilbert comics,

00:13:01.680 so you could, well, I don't know how to do that.

00:13:04.360 Okay, so, but I could use AI to help me draw the,

00:13:09.000 okay, I don't know how to do that.

00:13:11.120 But I could tell you what I could do.

00:13:12.720 I could use AI to help me market.

00:13:15.300 I don't know how to do that.

00:13:20.860 But what I could do is use AI to help me write the jokes,

00:13:25.860 but it can't really do that.

00:13:27.700 But I could use AI to organize all my finances and keep my,

00:13:33.040 I don't really know how to do that.

00:13:34.680 But AI is very, very valuable.

00:13:39.560 And believe me, it's going to be the thing.

00:13:43.500 I just don't really know how to use it.

00:13:45.780 However, there is an app that will allow me to take a picture

00:13:48.400 and push one button and remove the clothing from the person in the picture.

00:13:53.040 That's it.

00:13:53.620 I got my killer app.

00:13:56.960 Finally, finally, all this wasted blah, blah, blah about AI,

00:14:04.000 and we finally found one thing we can use it for,

00:14:06.940 which is beating off to people we know.

00:14:11.200 And I think you've probably noticed that that's sort of a big problem.

00:14:17.200 You'll be like, you know, I'd really like to have a little more fun

00:14:21.160 with these Facebook posts than I have been.

00:14:23.620 And then you see somebody in your social circle,

00:14:30.680 and you think to yourself, you know, if only.

00:14:35.180 You take the AI app and like, there we go.

00:14:38.280 There we go.

00:14:40.580 All right.

00:14:41.140 That's the most important story of the day.

00:14:44.580 Why is it, do you believe, that people think that UFOs exist?

00:14:49.500 Is it because the clear photographs we have of the UFOs?

00:14:53.980 Is that why they think they're existing?

00:14:55.760 No, we have no clear photographs.

00:14:58.500 Is it because very credible people have gone under oath and said,

00:15:05.560 oh my God, I've seen it, I've talked to people, I know it's true,

00:15:08.860 we've got these UFOs and these captured down aliens,

00:15:12.240 and they're all in a big warehouse somewhere.

00:15:14.220 Why would you believe somebody like that?

00:15:18.840 What would cause you to believe?

00:15:21.440 Well, I think that what would cause you to believe is that you can't imagine,

00:15:25.860 this is a failure of imagination problem,

00:15:28.860 you can't imagine how anybody would tell such a incredible lie.

00:15:34.940 Like, who in the world would go in public and tell a lie this ridiculous?

00:15:42.680 Because one thing we know, we know this for sure,

00:15:46.320 no credible seeming person,

00:15:49.240 you know, somebody that you would imagine would be credible,

00:15:51.660 somebody with credentials and maybe, you know, a serious career,

00:15:55.960 nobody like that would go in public, in public,

00:16:01.720 and tell you the biggest, weirdest lie in the world.

00:16:05.320 That would never happen.

00:16:07.220 So you just sort of normally assume that they might be telling the truth.

00:16:12.320 Right?

00:16:12.460 Now, suppose that these UFO whistleblowers,

00:16:17.540 who are otherwise credible seeming people,

00:16:21.120 suppose that it happened in the context of,

00:16:25.000 oh, let's say, soon after the Russia collusion hoax.

00:16:30.520 Yeah.

00:16:31.000 Or soon after the laptop hoax.

00:16:35.240 Or soon after the entire pandemic.

00:16:39.020 Or soon after the Biden crime family story

00:16:44.240 was being ignored in the mass media,

00:16:47.300 like, nah, it's nothing.

00:16:49.600 Or, well, I could go on.

00:16:55.280 How long do you want me to go?

00:16:57.860 Listing situations which we've confirmed,

00:17:01.120 confirmed,

00:17:02.420 seemingly credible people,

00:17:04.620 who you imagine couldn't possibly tell a lie that big,

00:17:08.040 stood in front of you,

00:17:09.860 and not only told lies that big,

00:17:12.320 but bigger.

00:17:15.080 Yeah.

00:17:16.260 So when you look at the UFO whistleblower,

00:17:19.320 instead of saying to yourself,

00:17:20.900 my God, nobody would tell a lie like that.

00:17:24.040 I mean, that would be ruining their reputation.

00:17:27.600 Nobody would take a risk like that.

00:17:29.680 Nobody's that stupid.

00:17:31.780 And then you watched 40 hoaxes

00:17:36.600 being played on the public in real time

00:17:38.660 while you watched,

00:17:40.600 and people did believe all of them.

00:17:43.000 Not everybody.

00:17:44.160 In the same way that not everybody

00:17:45.740 believes the UFO stories.

00:17:47.660 But you could get half of the country

00:17:49.360 to believe absolutely anything

00:17:51.980 that comes from the mouth

00:17:53.740 of a seemingly credible person.

00:17:55.880 And it's always because of a lack of imagination.

00:18:00.280 If you can't imagine

00:18:01.700 that person could look you in the eye

00:18:03.480 and lie to you about something amazingly untrue,

00:18:06.700 then you assume they might be telling you the truth.

00:18:09.740 Because you just can't imagine the alternative.

00:18:12.880 But isn't it a little bit easier to imagine

00:18:15.980 that seemingly credible people

00:18:18.460 who look very honest

00:18:20.220 are telling you complete bullshit

00:18:22.560 and they're fully aware of it.

00:18:25.800 That's actually the operating system of 2023.

00:18:29.220 In 2023, it's nothing but

00:18:32.420 credible people lying to you.

00:18:35.840 Nothing but.

00:18:38.280 UFOs?

00:18:39.460 Credible people lying to you.

00:18:41.520 Biden crime family?

00:18:42.940 Credible people lying to you.

00:18:45.180 Oh, but now when I say lying,

00:18:47.960 I don't mean lying always by

00:18:50.040 facts that are not true.

00:18:52.560 There are lots of ways to lie.

00:18:54.420 Let me give you an example.

00:18:56.520 As Politico reported,

00:18:59.060 not a single dollar has been traced

00:19:01.280 going directly to Joe Biden.

00:19:05.060 Oh yes, foreign countries

00:19:06.900 that we have some issues with.

00:19:09.040 They have paid massive amounts of money

00:19:11.060 to all the family members.

00:19:13.360 And we do know that the family members,

00:19:15.160 or at least one of them, Hunter,

00:19:16.660 has been paying the bills for the big guy.

00:19:19.120 So those things are not in question.

00:19:20.580 But let me tell you,

00:19:22.220 not a single dollar has been proven

00:19:24.740 to go directly to Joe Biden.

00:19:27.540 Now, is that true?

00:19:30.760 Well, technically.

00:19:32.540 Is it meant to fool you?

00:19:34.920 Yes.

00:19:35.880 It's meant to fool you.

00:19:37.800 As in, if this is true,

00:19:40.180 well, I guess Joe Biden never was

00:19:41.880 influenced by any money.

00:19:43.100 Every story is seemingly credible people

00:19:48.760 lying to you.

00:19:49.900 Now, when there are people on both sides,

00:19:53.580 you know, it's harder to tell

00:19:54.940 who's lying to you.

00:19:56.000 But there is no major story

00:19:57.840 that doesn't have lots

00:20:00.180 of seemingly credible people

00:20:03.080 lying to you and knowing they're doing it.

00:20:05.680 So lying to you

00:20:07.820 from the point of a seemingly credible position

00:20:10.980 is the normal, routine,

00:20:14.240 universal truth

00:20:15.420 of every major story.

00:20:17.800 It's not the exception.

00:20:19.640 It's the universal truth.

00:20:22.120 And that's something

00:20:23.020 that's obvious in 2023

00:20:24.560 that I don't think was obvious

00:20:26.640 10 years ago.

00:20:28.820 It wasn't obvious to me.

00:20:30.660 I mean, I always assumed that,

00:20:31.940 you know, there was lots of lying

00:20:33.100 and corruption,

00:20:34.140 but I didn't really think

00:20:35.640 it was universal.

00:20:38.700 I kind of allowed myself

00:20:40.600 to think, well,

00:20:42.320 you know, the FBI is not crooked.

00:20:45.560 Right?

00:20:47.000 Or at least, you know,

00:20:48.980 the FDA is looking out for us.

00:20:52.120 10 years ago,

00:20:53.000 I would have said that.

00:20:54.280 I would have actually said that

00:20:55.320 10 years ago.

00:20:56.240 Yeah, it looks like these entities

00:20:57.460 are doing a good job

00:20:58.760 looking out for us.

00:21:00.360 I actually would have thought

00:21:01.500 that was true

00:21:02.040 10 years ago.

00:21:03.800 And now you know it's not.

00:21:05.540 You're not guessing.

00:21:07.340 If you paid attention at all

00:21:09.380 for the last, I don't know,

00:21:10.660 six years,

00:21:11.680 you know that none of it's true.

00:21:14.040 You know that 100%

00:21:15.260 of all of our systems

00:21:17.040 are corrupt.

00:21:18.860 Maybe not corrupt enough

00:21:20.220 to stop working,

00:21:21.820 but certainly corrupt.

00:21:25.900 So don't wait for the aliens,

00:21:27.800 is what I'm saying.

00:21:28.320 I heard there's some news

00:21:31.360 from a study

00:21:32.220 that people who are dating

00:21:35.120 prefer to date people

00:21:36.380 who have the same

00:21:37.200 vaccination status.

00:21:39.320 Does that surprise you?

00:21:41.500 I would say not surprised.

00:21:43.840 Because vaccination status

00:21:45.260 is a proxy

00:21:46.400 for a whole bunch of

00:21:48.800 political thought,

00:21:51.360 wouldn't you say?

00:21:52.600 The people who are unvaccinated

00:21:54.320 generally have a lot in common

00:21:56.820 with each other, right?

00:21:59.400 So isn't it perfectly normal

00:22:01.140 that the unvaccinated

00:22:02.280 would prefer unvaccinated people?

00:22:04.660 Because they think alike.

00:22:06.480 So independent of what

00:22:08.020 one of their bodies

00:22:09.180 may or may not be doing,

00:22:10.880 they think alike.

00:22:13.000 They're both distrustful

00:22:14.500 of authority

00:22:15.080 and took the most skeptical

00:22:18.360 position

00:22:19.000 and would like to know

00:22:21.240 that they're with people

00:22:22.000 who could have done

00:22:22.620 the same thing.

00:22:23.240 Makes sense.

00:22:25.000 And likewise,

00:22:25.700 the vaccinated think

00:22:26.600 they made the right choice,

00:22:27.820 so they want to be

00:22:28.740 with other people

00:22:29.500 who, in their opinion,

00:22:30.580 made the right choice.

00:22:31.700 Makes sense.

00:22:32.780 But here was the least surprising

00:22:35.200 part of the study.

00:22:37.460 The people who were

00:22:38.700 least likely to care

00:22:40.320 if their partner

00:22:41.680 was vaccinated

00:22:42.540 or unvaccinated

00:22:43.560 were the bisexual people

00:22:45.060 in this study.

00:22:48.320 I don't know,

00:22:48.660 did you see that coming?

00:22:49.820 That the bisexual people

00:22:51.040 were not fussy

00:22:51.740 about their partners?

00:22:54.180 Did anybody see that coming?

00:22:58.580 All right,

00:22:59.100 well, you can make

00:22:59.800 your own jokes

00:23:00.780 about getting jabbed.

00:23:02.700 I'll let you do that

00:23:03.600 on your own time.

00:23:05.020 I think it's just funny

00:23:05.960 that we had to call out

00:23:07.000 bisexual people

00:23:08.440 who are, by definition,

00:23:10.180 the most open-minded people

00:23:11.820 about, I guess,

00:23:12.600 pansexual would be even more.

00:23:14.440 But bisexual people,

00:23:15.820 they're open-minded by nature.

00:23:17.440 If your gender

00:23:20.580 isn't going to slow them down,

00:23:22.000 I don't think

00:23:22.500 your vaccination status is.

00:23:26.460 All right,

00:23:27.100 which is not making,

00:23:27.880 I'm not making fun

00:23:28.520 of bisexual people,

00:23:29.720 in case you're wondering.

00:23:32.760 I would like to read

00:23:33.660 some inspirational words

00:23:34.960 from our leader.

00:23:37.540 You know,

00:23:38.140 one of the things

00:23:38.660 that leaders can do for us

00:23:39.940 is inspire us.

00:23:41.360 And I don't think

00:23:42.280 we appreciate enough

00:23:44.000 when that happens.

00:23:45.440 So, if I may,

00:23:47.440 if you would indulge me,

00:23:48.600 I'd like to read

00:23:49.200 some inspirational words

00:23:50.340 from one of our

00:23:52.240 greatest leaders,

00:23:53.620 Joe Biden,

00:23:54.580 President Biden.

00:23:55.400 And he said,

00:23:55.940 and I quote,

00:23:57.120 imagine if a long-time

00:23:58.700 Roosevelt

00:23:59.340 and telephones

00:24:01.180 came along

00:24:01.860 and said,

00:24:02.500 we're not going to help

00:24:03.740 invest in telephones.

00:24:05.740 Come on, man.

00:24:08.500 Now, those are words

00:24:09.600 to live by.

00:24:11.840 When I saw that

00:24:12.800 this morning,

00:24:13.300 I was feeling

00:24:13.920 a little down

00:24:14.480 and I thought,

00:24:15.340 yeah,

00:24:16.220 yeah,

00:24:17.760 yeah,

00:24:18.760 imagine if Roosevelt

00:24:19.860 and telephones.

00:24:23.480 Imagine if Roosevelt

00:24:24.640 and telephones.

00:24:26.420 Yeah,

00:24:27.220 yeah,

00:24:27.960 I mean,

00:24:28.220 that got me going.

00:24:29.280 So, I hope

00:24:29.760 I had the same impact

00:24:30.600 on you.

00:24:34.940 Looks like YouTube

00:24:36.180 stopped comments.

00:24:38.980 So, your comments

00:24:40.020 have died temporarily

00:24:41.040 on YouTube,

00:24:41.660 I think you see me.

00:24:44.320 I think it's live.

00:24:45.940 Over on the

00:24:46.880 Locals platform,

00:24:48.580 or you still see me,

00:24:50.040 right?

00:24:51.480 By the way,

00:24:52.260 the Locals tech team

00:24:54.540 is monitoring you

00:24:55.900 right now.

00:24:56.940 So, if you have

00:24:57.440 any comments

00:24:58.080 about what device

00:24:59.720 you're on,

00:25:00.760 or if you're on

00:25:01.360 the browser

00:25:01.840 or the app,

00:25:03.300 what's working,

00:25:04.220 what doesn't,

00:25:05.100 background stuff,

00:25:06.380 you can say your comments

00:25:07.660 in the comments

00:25:08.240 and they will see them

00:25:09.480 because they're

00:25:09.840 watching them

00:25:10.240 right now.

00:25:11.160 So, please give

00:25:13.240 your feedback

00:25:13.740 about your

00:25:14.420 technical experience.

00:25:17.000 YouTube is back.

00:25:18.840 Okay,

00:25:19.300 YouTube's back online.

00:25:24.020 It looks like

00:25:25.200 some people

00:25:25.880 had to refresh

00:25:26.560 on YouTube.

00:25:29.080 All right,

00:25:29.680 well,

00:25:29.900 you're all back.

00:25:30.860 Yay.

00:25:34.640 Trump,

00:25:35.120 I guess

00:25:36.280 the Department

00:25:37.060 of Justice

00:25:37.760 tried to

00:25:40.040 get a hold

00:25:41.400 of Trump's

00:25:42.300 old Twitter account

00:25:43.700 so they could

00:25:44.840 look at all

00:25:45.300 his DMs

00:25:46.580 and maybe

00:25:47.960 draft messages

00:25:50.300 he didn't send.

00:25:52.140 And the report

00:25:53.600 is that Musk

00:25:54.340 and Twitter

00:25:55.300 refused to give

00:25:56.140 it to him

00:25:56.480 and got fined

00:25:57.680 $350,000

00:25:58.960 by trying to

00:26:00.880 fight to keep

00:26:02.160 Trump's private

00:26:03.340 information

00:26:03.980 on Twitter

00:26:04.800 from his

00:26:05.800 old account

00:26:06.480 private.

00:26:08.700 So,

00:26:09.360 thank you.

00:26:10.680 So,

00:26:11.280 thank you to

00:26:11.900 Twitter

00:26:12.180 and to

00:26:13.340 Elon Musk

00:26:14.060 for spending

00:26:15.760 $350,000

00:26:17.180 fighting the

00:26:18.900 bad guys.

00:26:19.660 It looks like

00:26:20.220 they lost.

00:26:20.900 The bad guys

00:26:21.400 got what they

00:26:21.860 wanted.

00:26:22.740 But,

00:26:23.100 thank you.

00:26:24.860 If you're

00:26:25.580 wondering if

00:26:26.620 that was

00:26:26.960 money well

00:26:27.620 spent,

00:26:28.940 abso-fucking-lutely.

00:26:31.300 Because you

00:26:31.640 know why?

00:26:32.040 That

00:26:33.120 $350,000

00:26:34.380 told me

00:26:35.220 that Musk

00:26:35.800 would protect

00:26:36.560 my private

00:26:37.420 information

00:26:38.060 or at least

00:26:39.660 try.

00:26:40.760 Now,

00:26:41.000 he failed,

00:26:42.220 but how happy

00:26:42.940 am I that he

00:26:43.480 spent $350,000

00:26:44.800 trying to do

00:26:45.880 something that was

00:26:46.940 probably going to

00:26:47.480 fail,

00:26:47.820 but at least he

00:26:48.340 was working on

00:26:48.960 the benefit of

00:26:50.080 the users,

00:26:51.600 not the benefit

00:26:52.460 of the government.

00:26:54.300 So,

00:26:54.720 yes,

00:26:55.300 big yes for that.

00:26:56.360 If anybody

00:26:58.160 thinks that's

00:26:58.720 wasted money,

00:27:00.000 nope.

00:27:01.340 That was

00:27:02.180 some of the

00:27:02.960 best money

00:27:04.100 spent.

00:27:05.160 Because that

00:27:05.820 told the rest

00:27:06.480 of us what

00:27:07.340 the deal is.

00:27:08.840 Right?

00:27:09.260 The deal is

00:27:10.080 he's going to

00:27:11.160 protect your

00:27:11.760 information if

00:27:12.620 he can,

00:27:13.620 even if it's

00:27:14.300 fucking expensive.

00:27:16.800 Great message.

00:27:18.560 Great marketing.

00:27:20.660 All right.

00:27:21.760 There's an Iowa

00:27:22.760 poll that says

00:27:24.640 Trump's lead is

00:27:25.660 growing, at least

00:27:26.760 for the Iowans.

00:27:28.780 DeSantis is

00:27:29.540 dropping like a

00:27:30.320 rock, according

00:27:31.180 to Trump.

00:27:32.440 So, the numbers

00:27:33.140 are Trump 43.

00:27:34.540 That would make

00:27:35.080 him 26 up on

00:27:36.200 DeSantis in

00:27:36.900 second place.

00:27:37.960 Coming in at

00:27:38.600 17%, but

00:27:40.200 interestingly,

00:27:41.660 Tim Scott jumped

00:27:42.420 to third place

00:27:43.120 with 11%

00:27:44.980 support in this

00:27:46.060 poll.

00:27:47.060 You're going to

00:27:47.800 ask me,

00:27:48.760 what is the

00:27:49.240 percentage of

00:27:49.880 the black

00:27:50.320 population in

00:27:51.080 Iowa, Scott?

00:27:52.160 It's about

00:27:52.620 4%.

00:27:53.240 So, for

00:27:55.000 Tim Scott to

00:27:55.880 be in third

00:27:56.840 place at

00:27:57.320 11%,

00:27:58.200 more than

00:28:00.500 double the

00:28:01.560 ratio of

00:28:02.360 black citizens

00:28:03.160 of Iowa,

00:28:04.260 that's pretty

00:28:05.140 good performance.

00:28:06.500 I don't know

00:28:06.940 what's behind it.

00:28:07.880 I don't know

00:28:08.320 if this will

00:28:09.540 stand up in

00:28:10.840 other states,

00:28:11.780 but I'd like to

00:28:13.080 call it out.

00:28:13.780 Good job,

00:28:14.440 Tim Scott.

00:28:16.160 And Trump

00:28:17.320 actually called

00:28:18.060 out Tim Scott

00:28:18.960 and he calls

00:28:20.160 him Ramaswamy,

00:28:20.960 but Vivek

00:28:23.180 Ramaswamy.

00:28:24.760 I'm pretty

00:28:25.200 sure it's

00:28:25.600 Ramaswamy,

00:28:26.300 not Ramashwamy.

00:28:28.260 But, you

00:28:29.520 know, poor

00:28:32.580 Vivek's going

00:28:33.260 to have to

00:28:33.540 change his

00:28:33.980 name if he

00:28:34.660 wants to

00:28:36.380 stay in

00:28:36.720 politics.

00:28:38.120 And then

00:28:38.820 Pence and

00:28:39.460 the rest are

00:28:39.860 back at

00:28:40.220 3%, 2%.

00:28:41.520 But Vivek is

00:28:45.260 double, he's

00:28:47.400 double the

00:28:48.100 lesser

00:28:48.680 competitors.

00:28:51.040 But the

00:28:52.160 Tim Scott

00:28:52.580 thing is

00:28:52.980 interesting.

00:28:54.240 Do you

00:28:54.740 think the

00:28:55.180 Tim Scott

00:28:55.940 support is

00:28:59.500 because people

00:29:00.380 are trying to

00:29:01.060 help Trump?

00:29:03.740 Do you

00:29:04.320 think that's

00:29:04.820 what that's

00:29:05.240 about?

00:29:05.640 That's what

00:29:05.900 it feels

00:29:06.260 like.

00:29:07.100 I feel

00:29:07.880 like Trump's

00:29:09.360 entire base

00:29:10.640 feel like

00:29:11.380 they're all

00:29:11.720 advisors.

00:29:14.440 Does Biden's

00:29:15.740 base feel

00:29:17.280 that way?

00:29:18.100 From day

00:29:19.040 one, when

00:29:20.380 Trump entered

00:29:20.980 the race, as

00:29:22.700 just a consumer

00:29:23.620 of information

00:29:24.380 and a citizen

00:29:25.420 of the United

00:29:25.880 States, I

00:29:26.960 felt from day

00:29:27.680 one that if I

00:29:29.260 had a good

00:29:29.740 suggestion, he

00:29:31.820 would consider

00:29:32.400 it.

00:29:34.600 Which is

00:29:35.280 weird.

00:29:36.520 And then

00:29:36.780 later on I

00:29:37.360 had some good

00:29:37.920 suggestions and

00:29:38.620 he considered

00:29:39.080 it.

00:29:40.120 You know,

00:29:40.440 one of the

00:29:40.960 executive orders

00:29:41.760 was to make

00:29:42.680 telehealth legal

00:29:44.160 across state

00:29:44.840 lines.

00:29:45.960 That was

00:29:46.660 literally something

00:29:47.400 I suggested

00:29:48.100 that worked

00:29:49.300 its way up

00:29:49.760 through the

00:29:51.340 system until

00:29:54.420 he signed an

00:29:55.080 executive order.

00:29:55.860 And it was

00:29:56.080 literally because

00:29:56.740 I suggested

00:29:57.340 it.

00:29:58.380 Now, I

00:29:59.480 felt that

00:30:00.140 from the

00:30:00.560 start.

00:30:01.220 I felt from

00:30:02.180 the start

00:30:02.640 that Trump

00:30:03.500 would see a

00:30:04.060 good idea

00:30:04.680 from anyone

00:30:05.980 and say,

00:30:07.500 well, that's a

00:30:07.840 good idea.

00:30:08.620 Yeah, I'm

00:30:09.120 going to do

00:30:09.380 some of that.

00:30:10.280 That's a good

00:30:10.980 thing right

00:30:11.680 there.

00:30:12.340 And he

00:30:12.880 does.

00:30:14.200 So, when

00:30:14.940 you see

00:30:15.280 people voting

00:30:16.920 up Tim

00:30:18.380 Scott, I

00:30:19.980 feel like

00:30:20.520 that's his

00:30:21.180 base, sort

00:30:23.400 of collectively

00:30:24.160 and either

00:30:24.900 consciously or

00:30:25.660 subconsciously

00:30:26.540 saying, you

00:30:27.740 know what

00:30:28.020 would be

00:30:28.280 great?

00:30:29.480 If you

00:30:30.240 became

00:30:30.640 President

00:30:31.120 Trump again,

00:30:32.960 except this

00:30:33.620 time your

00:30:34.320 supporters are

00:30:35.020 not all

00:30:35.500 called racists.

00:30:37.240 Wouldn't

00:30:37.480 that be

00:30:37.860 cool?

00:30:39.200 Wouldn't it

00:30:39.560 be good,

00:30:40.540 they would

00:30:40.900 say, to

00:30:41.800 not be

00:30:42.240 called

00:30:42.460 racists for

00:30:43.140 four years

00:30:43.720 of your

00:30:44.040 presidency?

00:30:45.700 And one

00:30:46.180 way you

00:30:46.520 could get

00:30:46.820 that done

00:30:47.400 would be

00:30:48.180 a Vice

00:30:48.580 President

00:30:48.960 Tim Scott.

00:30:50.780 So, do

00:30:51.420 you think

00:30:51.760 that the

00:30:52.320 base is

00:30:53.020 sort of

00:30:54.180 answering a

00:30:55.940 poll, but

00:30:57.840 also they

00:30:58.580 feel like

00:30:59.060 advisors?

00:31:00.460 Like, hey,

00:31:01.260 hey, hey,

00:31:02.420 you know what

00:31:02.940 you need?

00:31:03.940 You need

00:31:04.700 your Vice

00:31:05.100 President to

00:31:05.640 have a little

00:31:05.980 flavor, right?

00:31:08.300 Mike Pence

00:31:09.260 wasn't just

00:31:10.240 white.

00:31:10.600 He was

00:31:12.040 so white

00:31:12.740 that he

00:31:13.340 drains the

00:31:14.020 color out

00:31:14.780 of the

00:31:15.080 neighboring

00:31:15.440 scenery.

00:31:17.120 Like, he

00:31:17.460 can walk

00:31:17.860 into a

00:31:18.240 forest, and

00:31:19.500 if he

00:31:19.760 stands there

00:31:20.240 long enough,

00:31:20.700 the trees

00:31:21.040 start looking

00:31:21.580 gray.

00:31:23.000 I don't

00:31:23.220 know if

00:31:23.360 you've

00:31:23.520 noticed that.

00:31:23.980 He can

00:31:24.240 absorb

00:31:24.620 color from

00:31:26.200 anything.

00:31:27.100 He's the

00:31:27.440 whitest human

00:31:28.100 being who's

00:31:28.660 ever walked.

00:31:29.520 And by

00:31:29.780 the way, I

00:31:30.100 like Mike

00:31:30.620 Pence.

00:31:32.040 I've always

00:31:32.660 been a Mike

00:31:33.160 Pence supporter.

00:31:34.800 Lots of

00:31:35.160 character.

00:31:35.820 Don't agree

00:31:36.260 with everything

00:31:36.780 he said about

00:31:37.460 January 6th.

00:31:38.860 Don't agree

00:31:39.340 with some

00:31:39.640 of that, but

00:31:40.800 as a solid

00:31:41.380 citizen, a

00:31:42.880 person you

00:31:43.360 would like to

00:31:43.840 have as your

00:31:44.280 neighbor, solid

00:31:45.780 guy.

00:31:46.420 I thought he

00:31:46.860 was a solid

00:31:47.420 vice president.

00:31:48.880 But he's the

00:31:49.620 whitest guy who

00:31:50.800 ever lived.

00:31:52.280 So I feel

00:31:55.120 like even

00:31:55.700 Vivek might be

00:31:56.800 part of that

00:31:57.360 equation.

00:31:58.460 But the

00:31:58.920 difference is

00:31:59.500 that Vivek

00:32:00.180 matches up as

00:32:01.700 a strong

00:32:03.440 partner.

00:32:03.880 partner.

00:32:05.300 Typically, a

00:32:06.140 vice president

00:32:06.720 is a weak

00:32:07.360 partner.

00:32:08.960 Like Kamala

00:32:09.660 Harris, she's

00:32:10.140 a weak

00:32:10.400 partner.

00:32:11.600 But during

00:32:12.340 the Clinton

00:32:12.960 administration,

00:32:15.160 Al Gore was

00:32:16.160 a strong

00:32:16.700 partner.

00:32:17.460 So Al Gore

00:32:18.000 had some

00:32:18.500 portfolios which

00:32:19.600 actually were

00:32:20.140 serious ones.

00:32:21.480 And he was

00:32:22.020 taken seriously

00:32:22.760 and dined

00:32:24.100 with the

00:32:24.380 president all

00:32:25.020 the time,

00:32:25.480 et cetera.

00:32:27.740 So I think

00:32:28.360 Vivek would be

00:32:29.260 the perfect

00:32:31.400 answer to

00:32:34.660 Trump.

00:32:35.960 So if it

00:32:36.460 turns out that

00:32:37.120 Vivek doesn't

00:32:37.780 take it

00:32:38.120 directly, which

00:32:38.880 I still think

00:32:39.420 he has a

00:32:39.760 chance of

00:32:40.060 doing that.

00:32:41.360 I endorse

00:32:43.840 Vivek.

00:32:44.720 He's my

00:32:45.120 first choice.

00:32:47.220 But he's

00:32:48.520 the perfect

00:32:49.020 complement to

00:32:50.480 Trump.

00:32:51.680 Perfect

00:32:52.040 complement.

00:32:53.780 Anyway,

00:32:55.180 Trump says

00:32:57.680 he's not

00:32:58.060 likely to

00:32:58.640 debate.

00:32:59.260 but the

00:33:00.220 Republicans

00:33:00.700 gave him

00:33:01.260 just the

00:33:01.640 perfect

00:33:02.060 excuse to

00:33:03.760 say no.

00:33:06.880 Signed a

00:33:07.520 pledge that

00:33:08.000 they would

00:33:08.360 back whichever

00:33:09.320 one of

00:33:09.760 the nation.

00:33:12.680 And

00:33:13.160 Trump

00:33:14.560 smartly

00:33:16.000 is the

00:33:17.420 smartest one

00:33:17.960 in the game

00:33:18.400 when it

00:33:18.660 comes to

00:33:19.040 this stuff

00:33:19.540 specifically

00:33:20.060 negotiating

00:33:21.080 basically.

00:33:22.320 Trump says

00:33:23.160 I wouldn't

00:33:23.780 sign that.

00:33:25.020 Why would I

00:33:25.660 sign something

00:33:26.300 when in fact

00:33:27.740 there are a

00:33:28.360 few of the

00:33:28.780 candidates that

00:33:29.420 I wouldn't

00:33:29.860 back?

00:33:31.160 Now, would

00:33:32.120 he really not

00:33:32.840 back a

00:33:33.260 Republican?

00:33:33.920 I doubt it.

00:33:35.100 So it's not

00:33:35.640 about whether he

00:33:36.340 really would.

00:33:37.260 That's a

00:33:37.620 completely separate

00:33:38.340 question.

00:33:39.380 Why would he

00:33:39.820 give up his

00:33:40.320 right to not

00:33:40.900 do it?

00:33:42.240 Why would he

00:33:42.620 give up his

00:33:43.060 right?

00:33:44.120 For nothing?

00:33:46.040 There just

00:33:47.020 wouldn't be any

00:33:47.580 reason.

00:33:49.240 There would be

00:33:49.740 no reason

00:33:50.200 whatsoever.

00:33:50.620 By the

00:33:52.940 way, for

00:33:53.240 the locals

00:33:54.120 people, I'm

00:33:54.820 not using a

00:33:55.580 plug-in

00:33:55.980 microphone.

00:33:56.680 I'm just

00:33:56.960 using the

00:33:57.400 iPad microphone.

00:33:59.360 There's a

00:33:59.880 reason I told

00:34:00.420 them that.

00:34:00.940 There's a

00:34:01.200 back story.

00:34:04.020 Anyway, so

00:34:06.680 Trump won't

00:34:07.640 debate, but

00:34:08.440 more importantly,

00:34:09.500 and he

00:34:10.100 explained it

00:34:10.740 very clearly,

00:34:11.760 he has

00:34:12.240 nothing to

00:34:12.760 gain.

00:34:14.440 Trump's poll

00:34:15.100 numbers are

00:34:15.620 actually increasing.

00:34:16.720 You don't

00:34:18.940 debate when

00:34:19.580 you're at

00:34:19.960 the top and

00:34:20.520 increasing your

00:34:21.160 lead.

00:34:22.400 That would

00:34:23.020 literally be

00:34:23.760 stupid.

00:34:24.920 I'm not sure

00:34:25.660 I'd want to

00:34:26.180 vote for the

00:34:26.840 guy who did

00:34:27.360 something that

00:34:27.920 stupid.

00:34:29.100 Now, he does

00:34:29.840 the good talk

00:34:31.000 where he says,

00:34:32.160 I really like to

00:34:32.820 do it.

00:34:33.200 I'm a good

00:34:33.680 debater.

00:34:34.620 I really like

00:34:35.640 to, but I

00:34:37.840 just can't

00:34:38.380 because I

00:34:38.760 can't sign

00:34:39.200 this pledge.

00:34:40.680 It's just

00:34:41.340 perfect.

00:34:42.540 He has the

00:34:43.220 perfect out,

00:34:44.760 and they just

00:34:45.540 handed it to

00:34:46.140 him.

00:34:46.980 So he

00:34:47.520 doesn't have

00:34:47.960 to say he's

00:34:48.520 scared of

00:34:48.940 debating, but

00:34:51.080 he should be.

00:34:52.800 As good as

00:34:53.740 Trump is at

00:34:54.340 debating, and

00:34:54.900 he's great, he

00:34:56.080 should be afraid

00:34:56.760 of it, because

00:34:57.940 it's all

00:34:58.240 downside.

00:34:59.120 There's not a

00:34:59.980 single good

00:35:00.500 thing that

00:35:00.840 could happen

00:35:01.180 if he's on

00:35:01.640 the stage.

00:35:04.560 So he's

00:35:05.520 making the

00:35:05.820 right choice.

00:35:07.040 I saw

00:35:07.620 comedian Dave

00:35:08.480 Smith refer

00:35:09.740 to Sam

00:35:10.560 Harris doing

00:35:11.800 some podcasts

00:35:12.580 and stuff

00:35:12.980 lately as

00:35:14.160 the Sam

00:35:14.700 Harris

00:35:14.980 humiliation

00:35:15.700 tour.

00:35:16.720 Now the

00:35:18.860 background on

00:35:19.540 this, if

00:35:20.040 you don't

00:35:20.340 know.

00:35:21.300 So Sam

00:35:21.780 Harris, prior

00:35:24.180 to Trump and

00:35:25.240 prior to the

00:35:25.760 pandemic, was

00:35:27.300 a, I'd say, a

00:35:28.620 famous American

00:35:29.520 intellectual who

00:35:31.420 was well-known as

00:35:33.180 being the most

00:35:33.960 rational, fact-based

00:35:36.580 thinker in

00:35:38.660 America, at least

00:35:40.000 one of them, one

00:35:41.080 of the most

00:35:41.420 rational people in

00:35:42.600 America, who

00:35:43.580 could not only

00:35:44.220 be rational, but

00:35:45.660 he could explain

00:35:46.440 to you how to

00:35:47.120 be rational, he

00:35:48.440 could spot

00:35:49.140 irrationality, like

00:35:50.880 a real asset to

00:35:52.760 the country.

00:35:55.160 But something

00:35:56.320 happened, and

00:35:57.840 here's what I

00:35:58.360 think the

00:35:58.700 something is.

00:36:00.200 So Sam

00:36:00.840 Harris' entire

00:36:01.880 identity, would

00:36:03.980 you agree, I'm

00:36:04.760 trying to do

00:36:05.280 this without

00:36:05.740 mind reading,

00:36:06.380 all right?

00:36:07.800 So wherever you

00:36:09.340 see any mind

00:36:09.980 reading, just

00:36:10.520 discount it if I

00:36:11.580 slip into it.

00:36:14.200 Imagine being the

00:36:15.220 person who

00:36:15.920 defined themselves

00:36:17.780 as a person who

00:36:19.600 could spot truth

00:36:20.840 using a combination

00:36:22.480 of reason, data,

00:36:24.800 and science.

00:36:27.120 Reason, data, and

00:36:28.400 science.

00:36:29.400 And then what

00:36:30.000 would happen to

00:36:30.620 you if you

00:36:31.900 learned that

00:36:32.500 reason, data, and

00:36:33.900 science are

00:36:34.980 ridiculous tools

00:36:36.200 for finding out

00:36:37.180 what's true, and

00:36:38.500 we'll lead you in

00:36:39.200 the wrong direction

00:36:39.920 because everybody

00:36:40.700 was lying to

00:36:41.360 you.

00:36:42.480 What would you

00:36:43.220 do?

00:36:44.220 Could you say,

00:36:45.360 you know, I

00:36:45.720 gotta admit, the

00:36:47.100 entire purpose for

00:36:48.200 my life's work has

00:36:50.060 been a joke, and

00:36:51.660 I was just fooled.

00:36:52.980 And that it turns

00:36:53.840 out that science is

00:36:54.840 not dependable even

00:36:55.880 a little bit, because

00:36:57.360 they're all liars.

00:36:58.880 And that data is

00:36:59.700 not dependable even

00:37:01.320 a little bit, because

00:37:02.680 it's all motivated

00:37:03.500 data.

00:37:04.480 All data is

00:37:05.100 motivated.

00:37:05.420 Even when somebody

00:37:06.940 doesn't know they're

00:37:07.640 motivated, they're

00:37:08.960 motivated to collect

00:37:10.960 the data that's

00:37:11.740 within a certain

00:37:12.620 range.

00:37:13.960 So all data is

00:37:15.040 motivated.

00:37:15.980 All scientists are

00:37:16.860 liars, whether they

00:37:19.400 do it intentionally

00:37:20.600 or not.

00:37:21.740 And reason is not

00:37:23.800 a skill that humans

00:37:25.000 have.

00:37:26.520 So how would you

00:37:27.100 like to build your

00:37:28.160 entire life on these

00:37:29.180 three pillars, you

00:37:30.800 know, data, reason,

00:37:31.900 and science, and

00:37:33.500 then learn beyond a

00:37:35.380 shadow of a doubt

00:37:36.140 that these are

00:37:36.860 worthless things, just

00:37:38.380 worthless.

00:37:39.760 Now, they might be

00:37:41.420 better than the

00:37:41.980 alternatives, but they

00:37:43.500 don't work, even

00:37:46.080 though they're better

00:37:46.600 than the alternatives.

00:37:47.900 And what I mean by

00:37:48.900 that is that for any

00:37:49.820 one question, science

00:37:51.840 is terrible.

00:37:52.400 But science is really

00:37:55.580 good if you give it

00:37:57.260 50 years to crawl

00:38:00.520 toward the truth and

00:38:01.740 eliminate the certain

00:38:03.020 untruths, right?

00:38:04.720 So science is the best

00:38:05.920 we have.

00:38:07.440 But if you're trying to

00:38:08.940 decide in the moment

00:38:10.440 with all new data, and

00:38:12.600 money is flying around

00:38:14.120 like crazy in different

00:38:15.100 directions, and you

00:38:16.680 don't know if the data is

00:38:17.560 real, you don't know if

00:38:18.580 the scientists are lying,

00:38:19.680 and you're not even

00:38:20.960 sure that people are

00:38:21.720 reasoning out the

00:38:22.440 situation right, your

00:38:24.700 tools are worthless.

00:38:26.160 But in the long run, I

00:38:28.340 think we might actually

00:38:29.380 understand what happened

00:38:30.360 during the pandemic, maybe

00:38:32.460 in 20 years, but not

00:38:34.560 now.

00:38:35.940 And so I think that it's

00:38:37.860 a massive cognitive

00:38:39.220 dissonance bomb.

00:38:41.380 In theory, it should hit

00:38:43.760 the hardest with somebody

00:38:45.600 who's the most committed

00:38:46.660 to data, reason, and

00:38:48.260 science.

00:38:49.440 Those are the people who

00:38:50.380 should be, according to

00:38:52.280 science, and here's the

00:38:53.740 fun part, science would

00:38:56.180 predict that Sam Harris

00:38:58.380 would go crazy under this

00:39:00.200 scenario.

00:39:00.820 Science would.

00:39:01.840 Because science is what

00:39:03.780 came up with cognitive

00:39:04.780 dissonance.

00:39:05.640 That wasn't invented by

00:39:06.800 me.

00:39:08.200 Science came up with that.

00:39:10.240 Cognitive science.

00:39:12.080 So science tells you if you

00:39:14.260 put somebody in the exact

00:39:15.660 situation that Sam Harris

00:39:17.060 is in, there's a very

00:39:18.740 predictable outcome.

00:39:21.420 One, major apology.

00:39:24.280 Oh, my God, I can't

00:39:25.360 believe I was even

00:39:26.120 involved in any of this.

00:39:28.060 Which is nearly impossible

00:39:29.640 for a public figure.

00:39:31.840 Nearly impossible.

00:39:33.600 It's done.

00:39:34.780 You've seen it done.

00:39:35.880 But when it happens, it's

00:39:36.740 so rare that it's a

00:39:37.820 national story.

00:39:39.600 By far, the most common

00:39:41.420 outcome would be imagining

00:39:43.600 he was really right all

00:39:44.740 along, and the people who

00:39:46.620 may have been right in

00:39:48.260 reality were a bunch of

00:39:50.020 big old idiots, and they

00:39:51.500 should be maybe censored

00:39:53.940 or something.

00:39:57.960 But trusting the experts

00:39:59.720 would have made you wrong

00:40:00.880 about everything, and I

00:40:02.380 think that's the problem.

00:40:04.140 Trusting the experts, the

00:40:05.380 science, and the data, and

00:40:06.540 even reason made him wrong

00:40:08.800 about just about everything

00:40:09.740 for a while.

00:40:10.780 Well, but I would have

00:40:13.400 optimism that once he got

00:40:14.600 out of that situation, he

00:40:15.620 would be back to normal.

00:40:19.100 Now, to be fair, if I don't

00:40:22.240 add this next part, you should

00:40:24.120 ignore everything I've said.

00:40:28.000 So listen to this next part.

00:40:30.880 One of the possibilities about

00:40:32.540 how I'm seeing this Sam

00:40:33.700 Harris situation is that the

00:40:36.040 person who's having cognitive

00:40:37.400 dissonance is me.

00:40:41.460 That explains everything I

00:40:43.400 observe.

00:40:45.160 There's nothing, it doesn't,

00:40:46.640 there's nothing unexplained to

00:40:48.820 me, right?

00:40:49.860 You're having your own

00:40:50.540 experience.

00:40:51.280 But within my head and my

00:40:52.700 experience, I have no way to

00:40:54.680 tell if Sam Harris is

00:40:56.960 experiencing, you know, a

00:40:59.060 mental health issue with some

00:41:00.720 cognitive dissonance, or it's

00:41:03.780 all me.

00:41:04.500 No way to know.

00:41:07.140 No way to know.

00:41:08.140 Now, many of you might agree

00:41:09.780 with me, but if I had a liberal

00:41:11.080 audience, they'd be agreeing with

00:41:12.220 him right now.

00:41:13.780 So I can't even use the

00:41:15.600 audience to tell me what's

00:41:16.600 real.

00:41:19.760 All right.

00:41:22.040 So here's, here's your next

00:41:26.520 story.

00:41:26.840 Now that Politico has informed

00:41:32.420 us that Joe Biden, the

00:41:34.140 president, there's no

00:41:36.060 indication that he directly

00:41:37.560 received any payments, as I

00:41:39.600 said.

00:41:40.360 No information that he

00:41:41.700 directly got payments from

00:41:43.520 Ukraine or Russia or China or

00:41:45.280 Kazakhstan or anywhere else.

00:41:47.820 Which makes me think he should

00:41:49.240 change his campaign slogan.

00:41:51.360 So his first campaign slogan was

00:41:53.260 no malarkey, but I think he

00:41:55.280 should update that to no

00:41:57.340 direct payments to my

00:41:58.560 checking account.

00:42:00.520 No direct payments.

00:42:04.240 Do you like it?

00:42:05.500 New campaign slogan.

00:42:07.380 Because no malarkey, I'm not

00:42:09.400 sure no malarkey is holding

00:42:10.580 up.

00:42:12.100 No malarkey is sort of the

00:42:13.620 cats on the roof.

00:42:16.220 No malarkey.

00:42:17.320 Hey, hey.

00:42:19.140 No problem.

00:42:19.940 The cat's just on the roof.

00:42:21.000 There's no malarkey.

00:42:21.800 But once the cat falls off the

00:42:24.440 roof and is taken to the

00:42:26.020 animal hospital, that's when

00:42:29.720 maybe your no malarkey should

00:42:31.220 evolve to no direct payments

00:42:34.560 to my checking account.

00:42:36.940 Well, direct payments to my

00:42:39.160 expenses, yes.

00:42:40.720 But we're not talking about

00:42:41.740 that.

00:42:42.600 Yeah, the direct payments did

00:42:43.880 go to the companies I owed

00:42:45.760 money to.

00:42:46.600 But there were no direct

00:42:48.100 payments to my checking

00:42:49.180 account.

00:42:49.600 I don't see why you're all

00:42:52.100 so angry.

00:42:53.060 No direct payments to my

00:42:54.380 checking account.

00:42:55.640 Not direct.

00:42:57.540 Not direct, people.

00:42:59.260 Come on, man.

00:43:00.560 Come on, man.

00:43:01.840 Not direct.

00:43:03.960 That's a good slogan.

00:43:04.860 I think you can sell that.

00:43:07.980 And I saw a statistic that

00:43:09.580 the Atlanta, this was on

00:43:10.820 Twitter, Atlanta police, I

00:43:12.540 wish I'd written down who

00:43:13.860 tweeted it, Atlanta police

00:43:15.820 estimate that a thousand

00:43:16.780 individuals are responsible

00:43:17.960 for 40% of the crime.

00:43:19.840 In a four-week period, they

00:43:21.080 charged 75 people with more

00:43:23.500 than 1,800 combined arrests.

00:43:26.540 75 people, the same 75,

00:43:30.020 were arrested 1,800 times in

00:43:32.000 four weeks.

00:43:33.180 That's just one month, people.

00:43:36.420 Now, this reminds me of the

00:43:38.260 dumbest thing I ever heard.

00:43:40.960 Many years ago, long before I

00:43:43.060 had an involvement in any

00:43:44.220 political commentary, I lived in

00:43:46.900 California, and we had this

00:43:48.140 three-strike law that got

00:43:50.140 passed.

00:43:51.420 During the debate about the

00:43:53.340 three-strike rule, which would

00:43:55.040 take somebody who was a triple

00:43:56.420 offender and put them basically

00:43:58.420 in jail for life so they

00:44:00.280 couldn't offend, and the people

00:44:02.560 who said that that was, you know,

00:44:04.640 let's say, not just unfair, but,

00:44:08.060 you know, cruel and unusual

00:44:09.200 punishment, it probably was pretty

00:44:11.640 cruel, definitely cruel, but the

00:44:17.160 argument was, from the left, that

00:44:20.160 putting the people who do all of

00:44:22.520 the crimes in jail forever would not

00:44:25.220 reduce the crime rate.

00:44:27.340 Let me say that again.

00:44:29.840 Adults with actual jobs, people who

00:44:35.380 could find their way to work every

00:44:36.840 day would say this with a straight

00:44:39.560 face.

00:44:40.900 If you take the people who do all of

00:44:43.120 the crimes and you put them in a

00:44:45.340 jail forever, the crime rate would

00:44:47.880 stay the same.

00:44:49.660 If all the people who do the crimes

00:44:51.340 are gone, the crime rate stays the

00:44:53.600 same.

00:44:54.660 And they would say that on

00:44:56.040 television, they would say it in the

00:44:58.560 news, and they didn't even blink when

00:45:02.260 they said it.

00:45:02.900 That was when I realized that

00:45:06.520 everything was broken.

00:45:08.560 The fact that the news uncritically

00:45:11.060 reported that smart people were

00:45:14.700 saying the crime rate wouldn't change

00:45:17.960 if there were no criminals.

00:45:21.080 They actually said that.

00:45:23.500 And with a straight face, they said it

00:45:26.060 repeatedly.

00:45:26.980 And here's the worst part.

00:45:30.340 Nobody refuted it.

00:45:32.900 I mean, I did, but nobody was

00:45:35.780 listening.

00:45:36.620 And I would say to friends who would

00:45:38.160 tell me that, you know, cocktail

00:45:40.200 parties or whatever, and I'd say, you

00:45:42.420 know, there's a part of that I don't

00:45:43.520 understand.

00:45:44.660 In order for the crime rate to stay

00:45:46.680 the same when the criminals who do

00:45:49.540 the crimes are gone, wouldn't that

00:45:52.600 require non-criminals to step up and

00:45:55.660 start doing crimes just to keep the

00:45:57.700 rate the same?

00:45:59.460 So are you telling me that putting

00:46:00.880 career criminals in jail causes

00:46:03.380 honest people to become career

00:46:05.100 criminals to fill in the gap?

00:46:07.720 Is that your argument?

00:46:10.100 Do you know what people said when I

00:46:11.600 mentioned that?

00:46:14.340 Well, look at my drink.

00:46:15.740 It looks like it's evaporated.

00:46:17.260 I'll be right back.

00:46:19.860 No, there's no argument to it.

00:46:21.940 There's no argument.

00:46:23.940 There's no argument at all.

00:46:25.360 It's just, it's just math.

00:46:29.040 All right.

00:46:29.460 If you're not there, you're not

00:46:30.420 there.

00:46:32.580 Well, take that, take that and bring

00:46:36.800 it forward.

00:46:38.160 So there's a story now in the New York

00:46:39.580 Post.

00:46:40.600 John Stossel wrote about Judith

00:46:42.460 Curry.

00:46:42.960 You've probably heard of her famous

00:46:44.740 climate scientist who's not an

00:46:47.700 alarmist.

00:46:49.220 And she's answering the question,

00:46:51.620 which you may have wondered, how can

00:46:54.140 it be that 97% or 98% of scientists

00:46:57.060 say climate change is true and it's

00:47:01.220 a big problem?

00:47:03.140 I do need a haircut, you're right.

00:47:04.960 Maybe today.

00:47:06.760 I was noticing that.

00:47:08.040 But thanks for pointing that out in

00:47:09.660 the middle of my presentation.

00:47:11.860 Because you know what you like to

00:47:12.960 hear when you're trying to explain

00:47:15.380 something complicated?

00:47:17.200 You know, there's something about the

00:47:19.700 way you look that's kind of weird and

00:47:21.280 maybe you should do something about

00:47:22.580 it.

00:47:22.820 That's exactly the sort of thing I

00:47:25.380 like to hear right in the middle of

00:47:27.460 my presentation.

00:47:28.940 Something about your hair that's

00:47:30.600 wrong.

00:47:31.540 Maybe you could fix that.

00:47:33.220 Although you're right.

00:47:34.340 I mean, it's not like you're not

00:47:35.760 right.

00:47:36.800 I'm just saying there's a time.

00:47:38.700 There's a time and a place.

00:47:40.200 That's all I'm saying.

00:47:42.040 Anyway, you probably didn't know that

00:47:43.780 I'm watching the comments as I'm

00:47:45.120 talking.

00:47:45.980 But I do.

00:47:46.900 I actually watch the comments as I

00:47:48.380 talk.

00:47:48.620 It's not easy.

00:47:50.960 But I do.

00:47:54.220 All right.

00:47:58.900 Something about everyone's hair is

00:48:00.380 wrong.

00:48:01.880 All right.

00:48:02.300 So my point was that Judith Curley

00:48:04.320 explained this.

00:48:05.640 Now, this is something that I'd say

00:48:07.500 most of the people on the right

00:48:08.780 already knew.

00:48:10.760 But my theme today, as you know,

00:48:13.520 is that we can now see the

00:48:15.940 machinery of how everything

00:48:18.120 works.

00:48:19.640 And we saw the machinery of the

00:48:21.500 Biden family corruption.

00:48:23.380 Right.

00:48:23.600 Now you can see all the parts.

00:48:25.320 So there's no question about it.

00:48:27.280 We saw the machinery behind the

00:48:29.240 Russia collusion hoax.

00:48:31.660 Right.

00:48:32.160 We saw the machinery behind how the

00:48:34.680 laptop hoax was created.

00:48:37.160 So what's different about the

00:48:39.600 current year is that the machinery of

00:48:42.440 things, you know, the hidden

00:48:43.840 mechanisms that make things work,

00:48:45.700 are now all obvious.

00:48:47.860 You can see them all.

00:48:49.080 So let me explain, in case you

00:48:50.480 didn't know, why 97 to 98% of

00:48:53.840 scientists could say something that

00:48:56.140 many people think is overblown or

00:48:59.160 too alarmist.

00:49:00.940 And the reason is that they get paid

00:49:02.880 to do it.

00:49:04.140 That's it.

00:49:06.120 That's the whole thing.

00:49:06.940 They get paid.

00:49:08.400 And follow the money works every

00:49:09.960 time.

00:49:10.280 Would you like to see me make 98% of

00:49:15.040 scientists believe that the

00:49:17.300 government has alien corpses?

00:49:20.140 Do you think I could do it?

00:49:22.900 Oh, yeah, I could.

00:49:24.320 All I'd have to do is announce

00:49:25.660 enormous government grants for

00:49:29.120 people who could prove the aliens are

00:49:31.060 real.

00:49:31.260 Do you think I could get a lot of

00:49:33.800 studies proving aliens are real if

00:49:35.840 that's where all the money was?

00:49:37.380 Yes, I could.

00:49:37.900 And then once there are a whole

00:49:39.380 bunch of studies that say aliens are

00:49:41.320 real, and a whole bunch of people

00:49:43.080 would make money from it, what would

00:49:44.900 happen if somebody published a paper

00:49:46.400 and said, aliens aren't real?

00:49:48.300 Look at the data.

00:49:50.280 Well, first of all, the peer review

00:49:51.860 would fail, because the peer reviewer

00:49:54.180 would say, I just published a paper and

00:49:55.620 made a lot of money saying that aliens

00:49:57.780 are real, so your paper, I find some

00:49:59.960 flaws in it.

00:50:01.000 Sorry, there's some flaws in your paper,

00:50:03.720 so I'm going to ignore it.

00:50:04.640 It's just money.

00:50:08.160 If you think that money can't convince

00:50:10.240 98% of any group to do anything,

00:50:13.520 have you met money?

00:50:16.000 I don't think I have anything laying

00:50:17.380 around, but I'd like to introduce you

00:50:19.020 to it, because it makes everything

00:50:21.220 happen.

00:50:22.980 Follow the money works every time.

00:50:25.220 There are no exceptions.

00:50:27.100 Find me the exception, and I'll tell you

00:50:29.040 why you're wrong about it, if you find

00:50:31.260 one.

00:50:33.840 So, yeah, and Judith explains the exact

00:50:41.000 mechanism, how the grants are given,

00:50:43.440 how if you complained you would lose

00:50:45.260 your job at the university.

00:50:47.540 It's just money.

00:50:49.340 So if you thought that 98% of scientists

00:50:51.760 agree is a sign of science, that's

00:50:55.760 malarkey.

00:50:56.500 98% of scientists agree is almost

00:51:01.000 certainly a sign of fraud, because you

00:51:05.640 can't get 98% to agree on, let's say,

00:51:07.900 a newish thing.

00:51:08.860 You could get them to agree on something

00:51:11.220 that's settled science for 50 years.

00:51:13.780 All right?

00:51:14.060 They can do that.

00:51:15.400 But if you want somebody to get 98% to

00:51:17.940 agree on something that's happening right

00:51:19.560 now, oh, like, let's say, a pandemic.

00:51:23.360 Do you think 98% of experts and scientists

00:51:28.280 largely agreed about the pandemic?

00:51:30.720 Sure, they did.

00:51:31.620 They did.

00:51:32.480 I would say 98% of them were on the same

00:51:34.600 side all the way through.

00:51:37.060 Is that because they all did their own

00:51:38.840 independent research?

00:51:41.060 No.

00:51:42.040 It's because every one of them knew that

00:51:44.240 they couldn't keep their job if they spoke

00:51:47.160 out against the people who said it was

00:51:48.800 true.

00:51:50.400 Now, did they believe what they were

00:51:51.980 saying?

00:51:54.860 I don't know.

00:51:56.720 But I'll tell you what I can guarantee.

00:52:00.160 If I pay you enough money, I can get you

00:52:02.760 to say anything.

00:52:03.800 If I threaten you with losing your job, and

00:52:06.740 it's a credible enough threat, you'll say

00:52:10.320 anything.

00:52:11.480 Will I know if you're telling the truth?

00:52:13.400 No.

00:52:14.500 Will some of you talk yourselves into

00:52:17.180 believing you're telling the truth, and

00:52:20.200 it's only a coincidence that that truth is

00:52:22.560 what's good for your finances?

00:52:24.720 Yes.

00:52:25.460 The way a normal human brain works is if

00:52:28.320 you took a hundred scientists and you

00:52:30.660 said, all right, you guys, we need you to

00:52:34.480 say something that's totally not true.

00:52:37.360 Will you do it?

00:52:38.160 There's a lot of money in it.

00:52:39.520 Some of them will say, all right, I've got

00:52:41.800 to follow the money.

00:52:42.520 I've got to feed my family.

00:52:43.940 So I'm going to tell this lie.

00:52:45.020 Some of them will actually convince

00:52:47.400 themselves they're telling the truth, and

00:52:49.800 then take the money.

00:52:51.560 And there will be a lot of them.

00:52:53.460 So I don't know that scientists are

00:52:55.360 lying.

00:52:56.940 I wouldn't say that necessarily, although

00:52:58.760 some are.

00:52:59.720 You can say for sure that some are, because

00:53:02.620 some of every group are lying.

00:53:04.040 But, so I have a very funny text coming

00:53:19.700 in, but the person who's texting me

00:53:21.420 doesn't know it's me.

00:53:23.240 So I can't tell you the context, but

00:53:26.320 there's somebody texting me about me who

00:53:28.900 doesn't know they're talking to me.

00:53:31.720 It's kind of funny.

00:53:34.040 Well, I can't tell you the details.

00:53:39.160 But I'm having a conversation about me

00:53:40.940 with somebody who doesn't know they're

00:53:41.980 talking to me.

00:53:45.040 All right.

00:53:48.700 Saudis are looking at, reportedly, making

00:53:51.160 some kind of deal in the Middle East that

00:53:52.660 would include recognizing Israel, which

00:53:56.680 would be a big, big, big deal.

00:53:58.300 But in return, Saudi would get some help

00:54:03.880 building domestic nuclear power.

00:54:08.040 Is that weird?

00:54:09.700 The United States, which absolutely sucks on

00:54:14.020 domestic nuclear energy ramp-up, we're

00:54:17.920 going to do it for Saudi Arabia, what we

00:54:19.840 won't do for ourselves.

00:54:22.020 And do you know why we're going to do it

00:54:23.700 for Saudi Arabia?

00:54:24.440 Because it makes complete sense.

00:54:27.720 Do you know why we're not doing it in

00:54:29.220 America?

00:54:32.460 Because we're dumb, I guess.

00:54:35.080 There's no other reason.

00:54:36.580 It's just dumb.

00:54:38.680 But the Saudis are not that dumb.

00:54:40.780 So apparently they need some.

00:54:42.240 They would be quite aware that they

00:54:45.000 should sell their oil and then use a

00:54:48.160 cheaper source for their own energy.

00:54:50.160 Same with Iran.

00:54:51.660 Iran's best economic play.

00:54:58.260 All right.

00:55:02.260 Let me answer this.

00:55:05.040 This is getting deeper.

00:55:06.240 I'm going to talk to one of my subscribers

00:55:12.400 here.

00:55:17.440 He's getting very mad.

00:55:20.440 He's not understanding what's going on

00:55:22.180 because he doesn't know he's talking to me.

00:55:25.620 Let's see what happens.

00:55:26.540 All right.

00:55:35.500 I can't wait to see what he says to that.

00:55:39.120 All right.

00:55:42.360 Then what else is that deal going to do?

00:55:47.620 Yeah.

00:55:48.040 And then we'd want Saudi to distance

00:55:50.200 itself from China.

00:55:51.200 And the Palestinians would want the

00:55:54.120 Palestinian state to get some kind of a

00:56:00.480 boost.

00:56:01.580 So I don't know how close any of that is.

00:56:03.740 It doesn't look like it's super close.

00:56:05.340 But could we say that the possibility of

00:56:09.240 this deal, the possibility of it, is

00:56:12.280 built on Trump's success?

00:56:15.440 Is that fair?

00:56:17.000 That if this deal gets made, which would

00:56:18.840 be a really big deal, it would be built

00:56:20.740 on top of Trump's success with the

00:56:24.120 Jared Kushner, et cetera.

00:56:27.160 Yeah.

00:56:28.180 All good news.

00:56:29.820 All good news.

00:56:31.560 All right.

00:56:32.140 Here's a frame for you that will get you

00:56:35.440 thinking.

00:56:39.940 I have a theory.

00:56:41.000 I'm going to close out on this because

00:56:42.180 it's provocative.

00:56:42.860 I have a theory that all success, well,

00:56:47.480 maybe most success, let's say 99%, is

00:56:51.580 based on imitation.

00:56:54.280 And by that I mean that successful

00:56:56.020 people watch other successful people

00:56:59.220 and they say, oh, if you do that, that

00:57:02.900 works.

00:57:03.320 Okay.

00:57:04.080 All right.

00:57:04.460 Oh, that works.

00:57:05.120 That works.

00:57:05.920 Now, they don't all follow the exact same

00:57:08.180 plan.

00:57:08.600 But as a general statement, people are

00:57:12.020 imitating the people who got it right.

00:57:14.460 I will tell you that's my exact process.

00:57:18.180 At around age 12, I said to myself, I

00:57:23.260 would like to be successful.

00:57:25.740 That was always my goal was always to be

00:57:27.900 more than average successful.

00:57:31.060 And I said to myself, how am I going to do

00:57:32.900 that?

00:57:33.400 I don't, you know, I was born to a family

00:57:35.100 that did not have tremendous resources.

00:57:37.600 But adults told me how.

00:57:40.480 They said, look, all these successful

00:57:42.800 people.

00:57:50.280 All right.

00:57:54.720 You signed up.

00:57:57.520 All right.

00:58:07.620 He's very bad now.

00:58:09.140 I'm not.

00:58:10.320 If you don't mind, I'm entertaining myself

00:58:12.280 by he's yelling all caps now.

00:58:15.420 He's really bad now.

00:58:18.540 Still doesn't know he's talking to me.

00:58:21.500 Let's see what he says.

00:58:23.180 He's hopping mad now.

00:58:24.260 So, the, generically, there's something

00:58:28.960 that he did that he doesn't know.

00:58:32.940 Let's see if he's figured it out yet.

00:58:47.120 All right.

00:58:49.060 So, here's my point.

00:58:50.200 If success is mostly about studying

00:58:53.020 successful people and doing what they do,

00:58:55.140 at least in terms of the system

00:58:56.420 or the pattern that they use.

00:59:00.700 Imagine being black in America

00:59:03.000 and you want to be successful.

00:59:06.700 And you want to do it the way

00:59:07.900 everybody has always done it.

00:59:14.240 Must be a scam since you won't

00:59:16.000 tell me the info I'm requesting.

00:59:19.300 All right.

00:59:19.720 Do you have FaceTime?

00:59:30.420 Let's see if he'll go live on FaceTime.

00:59:32.280 You can have some fun with this.

00:59:40.000 All right.

00:59:40.540 I'm going to call him.

00:59:41.260 All right.

00:59:41.320 All right.

00:59:41.400 All right.

00:59:41.840 John Creighton.

00:59:49.520 Hello.

00:59:50.060 This is Scott Adams.

00:59:51.700 We're just talking by text.

00:59:53.900 You're on live stream now.

00:59:55.200 You've got several thousand people watching

00:59:57.740 or listening.

00:59:59.540 So, you're signed up for a service

01:00:01.480 which you did not sign up for, it sounds like.

01:00:03.600 Well, if it has anything to do with FaceTime,

01:00:07.580 that's correct.

01:00:08.580 No, no, no.

01:00:09.060 I use FaceTime, don't know how to use it.

01:00:12.320 No, we're not talking about FaceTime.

01:00:15.620 We're talking about Coffee with Scott Adams

01:00:18.740 on the Locals platform.

01:00:21.800 Did you ever sign up for that?

01:00:24.140 Nope.

01:00:24.620 I don't even know what the Locals platform is.

01:00:26.880 Really?

01:00:28.100 So, that's weird.

01:00:30.060 So, you should definitely cancel

01:00:31.360 because what it is is a live stream

01:00:34.160 that you're on right now

01:00:35.300 that YouTube and the Locals platform

01:00:39.400 are listening to.

01:00:40.860 The subscription fee that you see

01:00:42.800 is an indication that somebody

01:00:44.780 with your credit card

01:00:45.900 and your personal information

01:00:47.320 signed you up for the system.

01:00:49.720 Now, I can't do that.

01:00:52.020 Like, that's not something I can do.

01:00:53.680 I'm the only one who has control of the system.

01:00:56.460 So, there's something...

01:00:57.040 Would that be a monthly fee?

01:00:58.520 Yeah, that would be a monthly fee.

01:00:59.940 So, you should definitely cancel it.

01:01:02.420 Well, how do I cancel?

01:01:05.040 I mean, if I didn't sign up,

01:01:06.280 I don't know how to cancel.

01:01:07.680 Send me your email address

01:01:10.080 that you likely would have used

01:01:11.640 and I'll cancel it for you.

01:01:12.820 Or you can just tell your credit card company

01:01:14.960 it's a fake charge.

01:01:17.860 Scott, are you associated with Texas Minute or...

01:01:23.640 No.

01:01:24.960 Okay.

01:01:25.740 All right.

01:01:26.060 Okay.

01:01:27.220 That's the only thing I can possibly think of.

01:01:29.380 No, there's...

01:01:29.880 I usually don't sign up for anything

01:01:31.420 that I've got to pay for.

01:01:32.880 Yeah.

01:01:34.020 It sounds like something mysterious happened.

01:01:36.720 But it wasn't on my end

01:01:38.240 because we don't sign people up

01:01:39.520 that don't want to sign up.

01:01:41.220 But if...

01:01:41.820 Just send me your email address.

01:01:44.080 If you can't cancel it from your credit card,

01:01:46.160 I'll do it for you.

01:01:47.380 All right.

01:01:47.840 Thank you very much.

01:01:48.500 All right.

01:01:48.700 Bye.

01:01:48.800 That was weird.

01:01:51.180 It was his wife.

01:01:54.920 I didn't want to get into it.

01:01:57.460 But yes.

01:01:58.640 Yes.

01:01:58.940 He's married.

01:02:00.260 It was his wife.

01:02:01.040 And the funny thing is,

01:02:07.600 she's probably watching this right now.

01:02:11.640 She's probably at work

01:02:12.780 or she'll watch it later

01:02:13.840 if he hasn't canceled it already.

01:02:16.160 And she'd be like,

01:02:17.540 oh, fuck.

01:02:18.580 That's my husband.

01:02:19.300 All right.

01:02:20.580 All right.

01:02:25.820 Anyway, what I was saying is,

01:02:27.820 if success is mostly imitation,

01:02:31.180 imagine being black in America.

01:02:34.480 So you're taught the history of slavery,

01:02:37.180 of course.

01:02:38.020 You're taught the history of racism in America,

01:02:40.980 of course.

01:02:42.100 And in modern world,

01:02:43.800 you're learning ESG and CRT

01:02:46.320 and there's DEI.

01:02:48.360 And all of these have the same flavor.

01:02:50.580 which is you're a victim

01:02:52.420 and there is an oppressor class

01:02:54.920 and the oppressor class is mostly white men.

01:02:59.040 Now, if you wanted to succeed

01:03:01.280 and you wanted to do it by imitation,

01:03:05.580 would you not be being asked

01:03:08.080 to imitate your oppressor?

01:03:10.780 Am I wrong?

01:03:13.020 How could that ever work?

01:03:16.240 Wouldn't you end up with exactly what we observe?

01:03:18.860 Would you not end up with an entire group of Americans

01:03:25.120 who have what I'd call a,

01:03:28.240 maybe a historic ceiling

01:03:31.360 or a glass ceiling of some kind?

01:03:34.620 So my upside potential is unlimited

01:03:37.820 because every time I see a new tip

01:03:40.260 or a new technique,

01:03:41.320 I can take it.

01:03:43.560 You say, oh, I'll do that.

01:03:44.880 I'll do that.

01:03:45.460 I'll do that.

01:03:46.380 But now, let me give you an analogy

01:03:49.360 just so you can put your head in the situation, right?

01:03:52.780 Imagine you were Jewish.

01:03:55.420 You lived in Germany.

01:03:56.360 And you realized that the only way you could succeed

01:04:00.880 was to, you know, let's say it was Hitler's Germany.

01:04:04.600 And you realized the only way you could succeed

01:04:06.660 is acting like a Nazi.

01:04:08.820 Would you do it?

01:04:11.520 Probably not, right?

01:04:13.460 Probably not.

01:04:14.620 It would be the one class of people

01:04:16.640 that you would say,

01:04:18.020 okay, I will imitate anybody but them.

01:04:21.000 Please.

01:04:21.480 Can I imitate anybody but the Nazis?

01:04:25.400 I'll imitate anybody else.

01:04:27.320 Anybody else.

01:04:28.200 Just not the Nazis.

01:04:30.840 Now take that to America.

01:04:33.220 Imagine that you're, you know,

01:04:34.980 the descendants of slavery.

01:04:37.260 You've lived through all forms of discrimination,

01:04:40.220 especially if you're a certain age, it was worse.

01:04:43.020 And now you're being taught in schools

01:04:45.020 that don't forget there was an oppressor class.

01:04:48.620 And then they say,

01:04:50.860 now, in order to be successful,

01:04:52.960 act like the Nazis.

01:04:55.520 The oppressor class.

01:04:57.680 Would you do it?

01:05:00.400 I don't think I would.

01:05:02.680 I don't think I would.

01:05:05.140 And do you remember when women

01:05:06.760 were having a tough time,

01:05:08.660 you know, reaching equality

01:05:09.900 in the employment market,

01:05:12.340 and people would say,

01:05:14.480 well, if you act like men,

01:05:16.920 because the, you know,

01:05:19.580 the free market is, to some extent,

01:05:22.600 designed for male characteristics, right?

01:05:26.980 Competitive, you know,

01:05:28.700 dog-eat-dog kind of thing.

01:05:30.440 So if women wanted to succeed,

01:05:33.540 they had to act more like men.

01:05:36.060 And then women succeeded.

01:05:37.780 How'd they do it?

01:05:39.980 How have women succeeded wonderfully?

01:05:42.580 Really well.

01:05:43.940 How have they succeeded?

01:05:45.740 Acting like men.

01:05:46.920 They acted like men.

01:05:49.500 Now, not in, you know,

01:05:50.920 every masculine, female way,

01:05:53.220 but they did the technique

01:05:54.960 that men do.

01:05:56.560 They went to college.

01:05:58.600 They didn't have children

01:06:00.380 that they had to, you know,

01:06:01.160 be home all the time.

01:06:03.180 They got tougher.

01:06:06.540 You know, learn to negotiate,

01:06:08.980 et cetera.

01:06:09.320 And basically,

01:06:11.700 they copied the pattern of men

01:06:13.480 because the system was designed

01:06:16.180 by men for men, basically.

01:06:18.060 So to succeed,

01:06:19.080 they imitated.

01:06:20.560 Now, do you think that women

01:06:22.240 lost anything of themselves

01:06:24.940 or their ability to be happy

01:06:27.420 or anything by imitating men?

01:06:30.480 Sorry.

01:06:31.360 Fell off my desk.

01:06:33.060 Probably yes.

01:06:36.240 But everybody's different.

01:06:38.080 So let's acknowledge

01:06:39.160 the vast differences in people.

01:06:41.700 For many women,

01:06:43.500 best thing ever.

01:06:45.540 Best thing ever.

01:06:46.720 Because they didn't mind

01:06:48.040 taking on those characteristics.

01:06:50.920 Maybe they didn't need

01:06:51.840 to have babies soon or at all.

01:06:54.200 So for some number of women,

01:06:55.360 it was sort of perfect.

01:06:56.620 Oh, everything's equal now.

01:06:58.420 I can, I just do these things

01:06:59.960 like everybody else

01:07:00.800 and I get a good result.

01:07:02.120 But imagine being, you know,

01:07:04.000 a black kid

01:07:04.900 and they say,

01:07:06.860 well, if you want to succeed,

01:07:09.300 act like Bill Gates.

01:07:12.200 And they go, who?

01:07:13.440 And you say, all right,

01:07:14.360 here's Bill Gates.

01:07:15.280 Here's a picture of Bill Gates.

01:07:16.500 Act like that.

01:07:18.180 You're kidding me, right?

01:07:19.780 Nope.

01:07:20.720 Bill Gates.

01:07:21.700 Here's a picture.

01:07:22.320 Here, do what he does.

01:07:25.100 Seriously, you're kidding me.

01:07:27.220 There's not a single chance

01:07:28.620 I'm going to do whatever he does.

01:07:30.440 In fact, if you could give me

01:07:31.840 a list of everything he does,

01:07:34.280 please give me that list

01:07:35.500 so I could not even accidentally

01:07:37.320 do anything he does.

01:07:38.820 Because that's my oppressor.

01:07:41.000 Or he represents my oppressor.

01:07:43.840 Now, am I wrong

01:07:44.840 that black Americans have,

01:07:49.340 and I'm not sure it's like

01:07:50.420 anybody's specific fault,

01:07:52.320 it's just that it's the only group

01:07:54.380 that can't imitate to succeed.

01:07:57.380 Am I right?

01:07:59.620 It's the only group

01:08:01.100 who doesn't have the path

01:08:02.960 that everybody else has,

01:08:04.280 which is imitation.

01:08:05.880 Now, let me further prove the point.

01:08:09.320 What group of black Americans

01:08:11.400 do, in fact,

01:08:13.300 imitate white Americans

01:08:14.560 and then succeed because of it?

01:08:17.220 What subgroup of black people

01:08:18.980 imitate white people?

01:08:20.940 There are two correct answers.

01:08:25.700 Immigrants.

01:08:26.640 Immigrants is one answer.

01:08:28.740 Probably because they don't have

01:08:30.000 the history.

01:08:31.920 And the other group is

01:08:33.420 exactly Republicans.

01:08:35.680 Republicans or conservatives.

01:08:37.600 Let's just say conservatives.

01:08:39.160 Conservative black Americans

01:08:41.220 basically say,

01:08:43.660 okay, that's what works,

01:08:45.440 that's what doesn't work.

01:08:47.400 I got these two choices.

01:08:49.300 A thing that works for everybody

01:08:50.700 or the path that doesn't work for anybody.

01:08:54.540 Huh.

01:08:55.380 The path that works for everybody

01:08:57.560 or the path that never works.

01:09:00.940 I'm going to take the path

01:09:02.200 that works for everyone

01:09:03.320 and then,

01:09:05.560 surprise, it works.

01:09:06.600 But it's hard.

01:09:10.420 Imagine being a conservative

01:09:12.140 black person in America.

01:09:14.340 Do you think they get any shit

01:09:15.800 at family reunions?

01:09:19.280 Probably.

01:09:21.040 Probably.

01:09:22.420 Yeah.

01:09:23.080 So it's not easy.

01:09:25.360 But here's the thing

01:09:26.420 you need to know.

01:09:27.100 I'm an adult white guy,

01:09:31.240 if you haven't noticed.

01:09:33.100 And I hate imitating

01:09:34.620 adult white guys.

01:09:36.460 Now, to be fair,

01:09:38.420 I do play some air guitar.

01:09:40.780 I do.

01:09:41.720 And I enjoy it.

01:09:43.300 I'm actually kind of good at it.

01:09:45.180 Kind of good at it.

01:09:46.600 But,

01:09:48.300 I don't recommend it.

01:09:52.280 Right?

01:09:52.520 It's not easy.

01:09:53.180 It's not easy being white

01:09:54.620 because you've got to eat

01:09:55.360 a lot of cheese.

01:09:56.140 You've got to dress poorly.

01:09:59.220 There's a lot to it.

01:10:01.540 But the air guitar is

01:10:02.820 kind of,

01:10:04.800 it's kind of essential.

01:10:06.220 Nobody wants to be a white guy.

01:10:08.600 We'd all rather be cooler.

01:10:10.720 If you gave me a choice

01:10:11.900 of being

01:10:13.260 Jay-Z all day long

01:10:15.620 or Bill Gates all day long,

01:10:19.120 which one do I pick?

01:10:24.240 I think I'll take Jay-Z.

01:10:26.140 Thank you very much.

01:10:27.600 Who, by the way,

01:10:28.580 is an excellent example

01:10:30.260 of how to succeed.

01:10:32.980 How did

01:10:33.600 Yay and,

01:10:35.140 well,

01:10:35.360 really a lot of

01:10:36.080 famous rappers and

01:10:37.200 people,

01:10:38.140 how did they succeed?

01:10:40.480 Doing it the way

01:10:41.200 white people do it,

01:10:42.140 but they were in

01:10:42.840 an industry

01:10:43.380 in which you could,

01:10:44.220 you know,

01:10:44.480 dress the way

01:10:45.300 you want to dress

01:10:45.960 and present yourself

01:10:47.300 the way you want

01:10:47.760 to present it.

01:10:48.560 But in terms of technique,

01:10:50.680 the technique was

01:10:51.700 standard,

01:10:52.940 same way everybody

01:10:53.820 does it.

01:10:55.080 Work hard,

01:10:55.840 take some chances,

01:10:57.260 build your talent stack,

01:10:59.080 stay out of jail.

01:11:00.300 I mean,

01:11:00.600 the formula is the same

01:11:01.680 for everybody.

01:11:03.120 They just had some talent

01:11:04.420 and they were in

01:11:05.100 the right industry,

01:11:05.940 so, you know,

01:11:06.740 they can express themselves

01:11:08.000 as well as

01:11:09.160 follow a process.

01:11:10.800 And entertainment

01:11:11.420 allows you to do that.

01:11:13.180 Entertainment is probably

01:11:13.960 the only place

01:11:14.560 you can actually

01:11:15.120 be yourself,

01:11:16.280 but also follow

01:11:17.580 the same business

01:11:18.680 process to success.

01:11:20.280 You don't have to,

01:11:21.180 you know,

01:11:21.400 dress a certain way.

01:11:24.140 All right,

01:11:24.760 that, ladies and gentlemen,

01:11:25.760 is my insight for today

01:11:27.240 that,

01:11:29.380 I don't know,

01:11:31.700 it just looks like

01:11:32.440 there's some kind

01:11:32.960 of a permanent

01:11:33.620 glass ceiling

01:11:34.620 on black success

01:11:36.720 because they don't

01:11:37.380 have the access

01:11:38.160 to what everybody

01:11:38.980 else does,

01:11:40.360 which is imitation.

01:11:42.740 All right,

01:11:43.100 opinion about

01:11:44.640 the Utah man.

01:11:46.580 All right,

01:11:47.180 I wasn't going to

01:11:47.680 talk about this,

01:11:48.380 but I guess I will.

01:11:50.220 I didn't want to

01:11:51.020 talk about it

01:11:51.560 because you're not

01:11:52.020 going to like my opinion.

01:11:54.580 So,

01:11:55.060 as I understand

01:11:55.700 the story,

01:11:56.380 there was a Utah man

01:11:57.580 who made some

01:11:58.440 social media

01:11:59.380 death threats

01:12:01.080 against Biden.

01:12:02.400 That's the story

01:12:03.120 you're talking about?

01:12:05.040 And that the outcome

01:12:06.120 was the FBI

01:12:06.840 killed him,

01:12:07.420 right?

01:12:08.980 Am I right?

01:12:09.660 Yeah,

01:12:12.740 so that's the

01:12:13.440 correct story.

01:12:16.380 I hate to tell you,

01:12:17.520 but I'm going to

01:12:17.940 be consistent on this

01:12:19.100 and you're not

01:12:19.540 going to like

01:12:19.860 my consistency.

01:12:20.700 if you resist arrest

01:12:26.180 and your ass

01:12:26.820 gets killed,

01:12:28.180 I don't fucking

01:12:28.980 care about you.

01:12:31.020 If you threaten

01:12:32.300 the president

01:12:32.940 and it's a credible

01:12:34.240 sounding threat

01:12:35.060 and the FBI

01:12:36.300 shows up

01:12:37.580 and even if

01:12:38.760 the FBI

01:12:39.380 does something

01:12:40.140 wrong

01:12:40.660 and your ass

01:12:41.900 gets killed,

01:12:42.800 I don't fucking

01:12:43.700 care.

01:12:44.740 So,

01:12:45.400 I feel like you're

01:12:46.100 asking me

01:12:46.640 because I'm going to

01:12:47.140 say free speech,

01:12:48.300 they're killing

01:12:49.740 the Republicans.

01:12:51.020 No.

01:12:51.900 No.

01:12:52.240 If you resist arrest

01:12:54.000 and threaten

01:12:54.500 my president,

01:12:56.220 Joe Biden

01:12:56.780 is my president.

01:12:58.600 Right?

01:12:58.840 I got some issues.

01:13:00.380 I got some issues

01:13:01.560 with Joe Biden,

01:13:02.800 but he's my president.

01:13:04.240 If you threaten

01:13:05.220 his life

01:13:05.780 and the FBI

01:13:06.840 kills your fucking

01:13:07.760 ass,

01:13:09.520 good for them.

01:13:11.320 That's one

01:13:11.940 they got right.

01:13:12.900 Even if they

01:13:13.580 violated procedure,

01:13:15.140 well,

01:13:15.700 they have to answer

01:13:16.280 for any violation

01:13:17.180 of procedure.

01:13:18.620 I'm not saying

01:13:19.420 that they should

01:13:19.860 do illegal things.

01:13:21.400 I'm not in favor

01:13:22.080 of illegality.

01:13:24.080 But if he got

01:13:25.020 his ass kicked

01:13:25.760 or killed

01:13:26.920 by doing the thing

01:13:28.380 that should get

01:13:28.980 your ass killed,

01:13:30.340 don't make that

01:13:31.700 my problem.

01:13:32.580 It's not going

01:13:33.120 to be my issue.

01:13:39.380 Yeah.

01:13:40.020 Madonna said

01:13:40.720 she thought about

01:13:41.320 blowing up the

01:13:41.940 White House.

01:13:42.500 The difference was

01:13:43.180 nobody thought

01:13:43.800 she was serious.

01:13:45.240 This is a guy

01:13:46.080 with a lot of guns.

01:13:47.740 And the way

01:13:48.220 he talked

01:13:48.860 did not sound

01:13:49.840 like a joke.

01:13:51.600 Now,

01:13:51.940 it might have been,

01:13:52.800 and maybe he was

01:13:53.400 mental and all that,

01:13:54.720 but we can't,

01:13:55.620 we just can't show

01:13:57.020 the same amount

01:13:57.740 of empathy

01:13:58.240 for people

01:13:59.480 who are acting

01:14:00.480 that way.

01:14:01.840 And I have to be

01:14:02.760 consistent about that.

01:14:04.520 Have to be consistent.

01:14:06.120 I know you want me

01:14:06.940 to make it political,

01:14:07.880 but I can't.

01:14:08.940 Just can't make

01:14:09.800 that political.

01:14:10.300 Why is Kathy

01:14:13.760 Griffin walking

01:14:14.380 around?

01:14:14.860 Because she's

01:14:15.480 not taken

01:14:16.060 seriously.

01:14:17.320 If a comedian

01:14:18.300 makes a joke,

01:14:19.700 a singer,

01:14:20.440 we don't take

01:14:20.940 it seriously.

01:14:21.780 If a guy

01:14:22.480 with a gun

01:14:23.000 collection

01:14:23.500 says repeatedly

01:14:25.460 that he's got

01:14:27.380 violence on his

01:14:28.100 mind and a

01:14:29.420 mechanism to do

01:14:30.800 it,

01:14:31.900 basically he said

01:14:32.840 that he had a

01:14:33.280 motive and he

01:14:34.060 had the means,

01:14:34.740 yeah,

01:14:36.680 that guy's in

01:14:37.160 trouble.

01:14:38.840 All right,

01:14:39.280 that's all I got

01:14:39.700 to say about that.

01:14:41.220 And YouTube,

01:14:42.080 thanks for joining.

01:14:42.800 I'll talk to you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 10, 2023

Episode 2196 Scott Adams： I Figured Out Everything. The News Is Hilarious Lately Too. Bring Coffee

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