Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2199 Scott Adams： How To Spot NPCs By Their Analogy-Thinking Ways & More Fun With The News

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:06.940 I don't know what else you could have been doing on a Sunday morning,

00:00:09.900 but it's clearly not as good as this, and this is going to be good.

00:00:15.100 Today, you're going to find out if you're an NPC, or the people in your family are,

00:00:19.280 or possibly your friends or co-workers, and we've got a test for that,

00:00:23.480 and we'll see how you do.

00:00:25.200 Sound is looking good? Technology good? Lighting good?

00:00:28.560 No, lighting's not good.

00:00:31.740 Oh, yeah, lighting's good. Lighting's good. Everything's good.

00:00:34.980 What a day, what a day.

00:00:36.360 If you'd like to make it better, all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:00:38.740 a tank or a chalice, a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a good vessel of any kind.

00:00:42.220 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:45.840 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day,

00:00:49.520 the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:51.440 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:00:55.720 That's correct. Now. Go.

00:00:58.560 Monkeys are good at imitation, and cats and dogs are too, I'm told in the comments.

00:01:07.300 Animals are good at imitation.

00:01:10.860 Well, not only are animals good at imitation,

00:01:13.640 but how do people become successful in this world?

00:01:17.180 I know, it's a review quiz.

00:01:19.400 How do people become successful?

00:01:20.860 They imitate other successful people.

00:01:24.500 That's right.

00:01:25.760 Unless you have a glass ceiling for imitation.

00:01:29.420 If you have a glass ceiling, you can't imitate successful people.

00:01:33.000 So don't ever give yourself a glass ceiling, or you'll never be able to be successful.

00:01:41.600 All right.

00:01:42.220 But UBI, this universal basic income, was tested.

00:01:45.640 I think it was in Georgia.

00:01:47.860 And The Guardian writes that it was successful.

00:01:51.100 So a number of people, mostly black women, were given extra money.

00:01:57.460 I think it was $850 a month.

00:01:59.580 And then they tested to see how the experiment went.

00:02:02.660 And they reported it was a big success.

00:02:04.800 People took the UBI payments, and I know nobody saw this coming.

00:02:09.380 They used it to pay their bills.

00:02:11.000 Now, not all the time.

00:02:14.840 Probably sometimes it went to lesser good things.

00:02:18.180 But yeah, people use money to pay bills if they have money, and if they also have bills.

00:02:24.700 So you need both the bills and the money to get the money to pay the bills.

00:02:29.720 Because if you had money and no bills, well, it's not going to happen.

00:02:33.700 If you have bills and no money, again, nothing's going to happen.

00:02:37.860 But they did this UBI test where they gave money to people who had bills.

00:02:42.980 And much like the experts imagined, some of the money went to pay the bills.

00:02:48.380 So if they had not tested that, it would be chaos.

00:02:53.640 I mean, how would you know anything?

00:02:55.780 I would be thinking, all right, common sense says that people have bills to keep the phone on and eat.

00:03:02.700 And they had money.

00:03:04.000 What are they going to do?

00:03:05.380 What are they going to do with that money?

00:03:08.300 I don't know.

00:03:09.160 So it's a good thing they tested it.

00:03:10.800 Big success.

00:03:13.480 I've got a question for you.

00:03:16.140 Have we reached a point where only one political party needs to be in favor of supporting a war?

00:03:25.100 Is that what's happening right now?

00:03:27.180 Is it true that, or are there still a bunch of neocons that are Republicans who are pro-Ukraine war?

00:03:35.380 Because the thing I'm worried about is this situation.

00:03:38.340 If the media has caused us to be so split as a country, that if one side says yes, the other side has to say no, and it doesn't even matter what the topic is.

00:03:54.260 Democrats say yes.

00:03:55.640 What do you say, Republicans?

00:03:57.640 Well, what did the Democrats say?

00:03:59.580 They said yes.

00:04:00.620 Well, we say no.

00:04:01.960 We don't want them to get political advantage by doing whatever it is they want to do.

00:04:06.200 So as long as only one party can ever agree on anything, and the other party has to be against it, doesn't that pretty much guarantee that you can't stop a war?

00:04:20.200 Because if a war starts, and let's say the president is the same party as at least half of the Congress, isn't that enough to keep a war going?

00:04:31.740 Because you're never going to have a situation where both parties say no to war.

00:04:38.200 Because if one party says no, the other one has to say yes.

00:04:42.160 That's just automatic now.

00:04:43.920 And the only way you can stop a war with, let's say, 60% of the public being against it, roughly, would be if both sides were against it.

00:04:53.680 And that can never happen in our system.

00:04:56.720 You can only have one side against it.

00:04:58.940 So we've removed one of our obstacles to war.

00:05:04.200 One obstacle to war is you can't get enough of the public opinion on your side.

00:05:09.160 But now you're going to get half on your side no matter what you do.

00:05:12.860 You can do anything.

00:05:14.560 You can say, we'd like to take all of our money and dump it in the ocean.

00:05:18.380 And the other side would say no.

00:05:21.500 But as soon as they said no, then everybody on the other side would firm up and say, you know, when I first heard it, I didn't love the idea.

00:05:28.240 But it's starting to sink in that the Republicans hate it.

00:05:31.940 So I really like it.

00:05:33.560 So I would worry that the so-called military-industrial complex is the biggest benefactor of a divided country.

00:05:44.660 Because there's not enough unity to stop a war.

00:05:48.380 And politicians don't stop wars.

00:05:51.840 That's sort of not what they do.

00:05:54.500 That's not even on the job description.

00:05:57.380 Stopping a war.

00:06:00.000 All right.

00:06:01.600 All right.

00:06:03.440 Here's something that will make your brain spin.

00:06:07.500 And this will be your first test for an NPC.

00:06:10.600 I will be watching the comments for the NPC comment that comes.

00:06:15.540 Now, the NPC comment is the one that would be the most obvious thing to say in any situation.

00:06:22.860 The most obvious thing.

00:06:24.700 So look for the most obvious thing.

00:06:27.440 And I already have it in my mind.

00:06:29.800 Do you want me to write it down?

00:06:32.600 To prove that I know what it is?

00:06:34.540 All right.

00:06:34.800 I'm going to write it down.

00:06:35.440 All right.

00:06:39.900 This is what the NPC will say.

00:06:46.900 All right.

00:06:48.300 So it's on here.

00:06:49.400 I'm going to see if I can get one of the NPCs to out themselves.

00:06:52.780 All right.

00:06:53.000 So I'm just going to tell you the story like it's not really a test.

00:06:58.960 It's just a regular story.

00:07:01.080 Relax.

00:07:01.580 It's just a regular story.

00:07:02.660 There's no test involved.

00:07:04.260 We're not testing to see anything.

00:07:06.080 It's just a story.

00:07:06.840 So here's my take on this.

00:07:11.060 You know that the AI that we have now is based on these so-called large language models.

00:07:20.060 And the large language models have proven to us that there's something like intelligence that can be created from nothing but words and the frequency that they appear together.

00:07:32.000 And apparently that's all it takes to create something that looks like intelligence.

00:07:38.000 But I would argue that it only looks like NPC intelligence.

00:07:42.580 It's not the kind of intelligence where people start with first principles.

00:07:47.240 They reason things through with data.

00:07:50.000 It's not like an Elon Musk kind of thinking because he's clearly not an NPC.

00:07:56.120 But rather they would use analogies.

00:07:58.580 An analogy would be like, hey, that thing sounds like this other thing.

00:08:02.640 So I'm going to give you one of these situations where the fact that so many people will think in analogies is going to create an enormous, let's say, shift in thinking about something.

00:08:14.700 All right.

00:08:14.960 That's too much buildup.

00:08:15.960 Let me just give you the example.

00:08:19.960 Climate change now looks exactly like COVID.

00:08:24.200 Let me explain.

00:08:25.240 Climate change, climate change, the topic, looks exactly like COVID from an analogy perspective.

00:08:33.920 Not necessarily from a first principles reasoning perspective, but from an analogy perspective.

00:08:43.880 All right.

00:08:44.600 We got my first NPC spotted.

00:08:46.980 I'll tell you in a minute.

00:08:48.420 It didn't take long.

00:08:49.240 All right.

00:08:53.120 So here's the analogy specifically.

00:08:55.240 CO2 is COVID.

00:08:59.160 The virus.

00:09:01.200 CO2 is the COVID.

00:09:03.380 And the carbon removal technologies, the carbon removal technologies are the vaccinations.

00:09:19.600 Come on, say it.

00:09:20.920 There we go.

00:09:21.520 First one.

00:09:22.020 Scott has finally figured it out.

00:09:26.480 That's what I was looking for.

00:09:30.160 It's about time.

00:09:32.480 It's about time.

00:09:35.800 So if you said, Scott, you finally figured it out.

00:09:39.300 It's about time.

00:09:40.660 You're an NPC.

00:09:42.800 I'm sorry.

00:09:43.520 But I could predict what you were going to do.

00:09:48.980 It's about time.

00:09:49.760 It's about time.

00:09:53.560 Sorry.

00:09:56.380 So here's a...

00:09:58.380 Here's a...

00:09:59.620 So I'm not...

00:10:01.340 Here's the point.

00:10:03.160 What I'm telling you is that it's an analogy.

00:10:07.040 All right.

00:10:07.500 So that's all I told you.

00:10:08.820 I said that your brain will imagine these two things to be the same.

00:10:12.280 The NPCs said, it's about time you saw that these are the same.

00:10:17.580 No.

00:10:18.500 That's exactly not what I said.

00:10:21.060 I said, your brain will think these are the same.

00:10:24.120 And then the NPCs said, finally, you see that they're the same.

00:10:28.580 No.

00:10:29.340 They're not the same.

00:10:32.400 I'm telling you that the NPCs will see them as the same.

00:10:35.980 I'm not saying I see it that way.

00:10:38.380 I would reason from what's happening to, you know, what's the data showing us.

00:10:43.560 And I would kind of reason up.

00:10:44.860 And if I'd reasoned up from the bottom and found out they were the same, well, then I'd say they're the same.

00:10:50.460 But I'm not saying they're the same because they feel the same.

00:10:53.640 That it feels like an analogy.

00:10:54.920 You know, just because I could make an analogy between CO2 and COVID doesn't mean the same people are in charge.

00:11:03.360 Right.

00:11:04.080 It might be, but it doesn't mean that.

00:11:08.740 All right.

00:11:09.460 So what it will mean is that climate change will be much harder to sell than it already was.

00:11:15.380 Because people will imagine it's just another pandemic thing,

00:11:21.480 which the people on the right believe was fake all along.

00:11:25.340 The people on the left believe that the pandemic was exactly what the news said.

00:11:30.320 It was a deadly virus.

00:11:32.040 And it's a good thing you had those vaccinations because it would have been much, much worse without them.

00:11:36.740 So that's half of the country is looking at that analogy.

00:11:39.740 And they're using the same analogy to climate change.

00:11:43.280 Oh, my God, you ignored the science on COVID.

00:11:47.800 And that's why so many Republicans died that didn't have to.

00:11:51.900 Now you're ignoring the science on climate.

00:11:54.440 And you're going to make the same mistake as you did during the pandemic.

00:11:58.360 Right.

00:11:58.460 So that story will be running for the political left that the pandemic is the same as the climate topic.

00:12:07.200 But their analogy will be completely different than the people on the right who will also say they're the same.

00:12:14.360 But their version is that they were both fake.

00:12:16.680 Now, I was having an online conversation about whether we're a simulation.

00:12:25.360 And one of the points was that we couldn't be a simulation because there would be too many details

00:12:32.680 that the simulation would have to keep track of to keep it consistent.

00:12:36.860 And I said, there's nothing consistent in our observation.

00:12:42.820 You and I are seeing completely different realities and always have.

00:12:46.680 So there is no consistency requirement if we're a simulation.

00:12:51.280 It can be completely inconsistent.

00:12:53.680 And that would look just the way it looks today.

00:12:56.080 Because we don't even agree what the news was.

00:12:58.820 You don't even agree with your siblings what happened when you were 12 that day.

00:13:03.760 Right.

00:13:04.320 We walk around with completely different realities in our heads.

00:13:07.900 So, no, the simulation requires no programming to make us all think we're living in the same reality.

00:13:14.620 We already do.

00:13:15.520 We just don't notice.

00:13:17.880 It's all different.

00:13:20.940 My favorite example of that is tennis.

00:13:25.200 Now, I think this is scientifically valid, or at least I heard it was.

00:13:29.880 If you see a tennis ball hit at 100 miles an hour, and it hits the ground and bounces up, and you're a professional tennis player,

00:13:38.780 you say, I just watched that ball hit the ground, and it missed the line.

00:13:43.440 So I'm going to challenge it.

00:13:45.280 And then they play the replay, and you see it actually sat right on the line before it bounced.

00:13:52.700 Does that mean that the person who saw it is lying, because they said, I saw it on the line?

00:13:58.140 Or were they hallucinating?

00:13:59.900 Well, the answer is they were hallucinating, because your eyes are not even capable of seeing a ball that's moving 100 miles an hour.

00:14:08.140 You see a blur.

00:14:09.520 And what you might see is the ball just before it hit, and then your eye might pick it up again after it's bounced up.

00:14:17.220 But the part where it hit the ground, and you remember it clearly hitting the ground, is not a memory.

00:14:24.560 It's manufactured.

00:14:26.640 Your brain fills in the stuff in between, because your eyes can't really track it going that fast.

00:14:32.840 So you have a very specific memory of that ball hitting the line exactly where you saw it, and then jumping up.

00:14:40.780 But in fact, you didn't see it, because you couldn't.

00:14:43.280 Your eyes are not capable of tracking a ball the entire path.

00:14:49.080 Now, by luck, you might have maybe picked it up when you hit the ground.

00:14:53.220 But mostly, you're seeing it every few feet.

00:14:55.840 And then your brain is filling in what's between.

00:14:59.660 Once you learn that, everything makes sense.

00:15:05.100 All right.

00:15:09.440 Here's another way

00:15:10.540 to identify an NPC.

00:15:14.920 We're going to do another test, in case you need confirmation.

00:15:18.540 If you think you're an NPC based on the first test, you can make sure you comment on this one.

00:15:25.700 So don't go quiet.

00:15:27.660 Just comment.

00:15:28.620 But do what you were going to do anyway.

00:15:30.320 Say what you were naturally going to say, okay?

00:15:32.200 So the Biden administration is funding, they've got a lot of money, billions, to put into $3.5 billion fund for developing machines that suck carbon out of the air.

00:15:45.700 It's giant machines that suck carbon out of the air.

00:15:50.000 Go.

00:15:50.340 So, say it.

00:15:54.740 Say it.

00:15:56.100 We're going to be sucking the carbon out of the air with giant machines.

00:16:00.180 Say it.

00:16:02.000 There we go.

00:16:02.820 First one.

00:16:04.480 First one.

00:16:06.360 You mean trees?

00:16:07.840 Yeah, trees.

00:16:10.440 You did it.

00:16:10.940 All right.

00:16:11.320 So everybody who mentioned trees as being the carbon capture that we need, we don't need this carbon capture.

00:16:18.600 We only need trees.

00:16:20.540 What kind of thinking is that?

00:16:25.300 Something that captures CO2 is sort of a machine.

00:16:30.380 But what would be like that?

00:16:31.740 Like a tree.

00:16:33.420 By analogy, a tree would be like this.

00:16:37.740 So they're the same.

00:16:39.160 Because there's an analogy, they're the same thing.

00:16:43.800 That's an NPC.

00:16:45.980 All right.

00:16:46.200 Here's what a non-NPC would say.

00:16:50.340 Is it the existence of CO2 that's a problem?

00:16:54.480 No.

00:16:56.100 Is it the amount of CO2 in the air right now that's a problem?

00:17:01.580 No.

00:17:02.620 Is it the rate of change in the belief that if we reach a certain threshold, then things will go bad?

00:17:10.820 Yes.

00:17:12.320 So under that scenario, are the trees that we have and the trees that we could plant in the future, would that be sufficient?

00:17:21.000 Probably sufficient to keep it where it is-ish, but not enough to take care of what we imagine will happen.

00:17:26.580 What about if we build these machines?

00:17:28.560 Well, the first ones will be bad and inefficient, because they always are, everything, the original version of everything.

00:17:35.640 But if we make it a market, we make it profitable, we would expect that the free market would boost their performance.

00:17:43.000 And that someday, although we're not sure, we have hope that we can invent our way to a point where we could remove enough from the air that it would be better than trees.

00:17:55.400 Now, that's what you would say if you would say if you were not an NPC.

00:17:58.560 Now, you would still argue whether it would work.

00:18:02.000 You would argue whether you could get there.

00:18:04.160 You would argue whether the numbers are right.

00:18:06.200 But that would be the thinking process.

00:18:08.960 If you said to yourself, machine takes CO2 out of air, trees take CO2 out of air, don't need machines.

00:18:17.820 If that's what you just did, you're an NPC.

00:18:21.880 Now, let's see, third test, third test, let's see if we can find another one.

00:18:27.760 It's a good idea to take the CO2 out of the air, because it would be hard to stop people using fossil fuels.

00:18:34.480 Let's go.

00:18:36.220 There we go.

00:18:37.200 Ba-boom.

00:18:39.020 We got the first one.

00:18:40.260 Let's see if we can get another one.

00:18:42.400 Another NPC.

00:18:48.440 Keep going.

00:18:49.260 Keep going.

00:18:49.840 I know there's one here.

00:18:50.960 I know there's an NPC here.

00:18:55.440 There we go.

00:18:56.160 Oh, John.

00:18:57.320 Johnny, NPC.

00:18:59.780 Because we need the CO2 to survive.

00:19:03.320 All right.

00:19:03.540 Let me do it again.

00:19:08.500 CO2 is necessary for the Earth.

00:19:11.600 It's necessary.

00:19:13.160 There's a machine that's going to remove CO2 from the Earth.

00:19:18.220 Uh-oh.

00:19:19.040 The Earth is doomed, because we need CO2.

00:19:23.120 But if we have machines that take it away, but we need it.

00:19:27.160 We need it.

00:19:27.760 It's required.

00:19:28.240 So if you take it away, I guess we'd all die.

00:19:36.080 That's not really thinking.

00:19:37.460 Does everybody see that?

00:19:42.320 That there's no thought involved in that.

00:19:44.300 That's some kind of, you know, comparison, analogy, weird thing.

00:19:47.680 But if you started from, you know, sort of reasoning in a scientific way, you'd say, how much CO2 do we need?

00:19:57.040 Oh, somewhere between this range, probably.

00:20:00.140 Somewhere in this range.

00:20:01.720 How much are we going to get?

00:20:03.380 Well, if we're right, the scientists are right, it could be more than that range.

00:20:07.100 So let's hook up some machines to bring it, maybe if we can, to slow it down, slow the growth, or maybe to bring it back down in range.

00:20:15.020 At what point do you think we would suck so much CO2 out of the air that the planet would die, and we wouldn't notice it before it happened?

00:20:26.840 You don't think that we would turn it off?

00:20:29.740 I think we've got enough now.

00:20:31.860 Or even better yet, we would use more fossil fuel, maybe, because we had plenty of cushion.

00:20:38.040 We're not going to destroy the plants, because we sucked too much CO2.

00:20:46.400 I mean, do you really think that could happen?

00:20:48.640 Do you think that there's actually a chance we would just keep sucking CO2 out of the air until the plants died?

00:20:54.880 And we wouldn't, we would never adjust.

00:21:00.300 I feel like we would.

00:21:02.280 I feel like we'd adjust.

00:21:04.500 All right.

00:21:05.140 So if you hear somebody say, CO2 is plant food, Scott, don't you know that they use it in greenhouses?

00:21:14.900 Yes, I do.

00:21:16.600 Yes, I do, NPC.

00:21:17.940 I do know that CO2 is used in greenhouses.

00:21:20.640 I also know that that's an analogy.

00:21:23.820 Huh.

00:21:24.600 Use it in a greenhouse.

00:21:26.600 That's good.

00:21:28.300 So it must be good.

00:21:30.820 No, that's not thinking.

00:21:33.160 All right.

00:21:33.700 By the way, I don't know if we have too much CO2.

00:21:37.760 Okay, let me say that.

00:21:39.500 I don't know if we have too much CO2.

00:21:41.920 Beats me.

00:21:43.220 I'm not saying we have too much or we'll have too much.

00:21:46.920 Don't know for sure.

00:21:49.620 But the way I would think about it would be that way.

00:21:52.420 All right.

00:21:53.400 I saw a study, a valuable study, that suggests that trolls, online trolls,

00:21:58.940 have low self-esteem, and may be doing it to get attention.

00:22:05.280 Wow, that's valuable.

00:22:07.100 I wonder if they talked to the people who did the UBI test.

00:22:09.980 Because, you know, we were kind of shocked to find out that if you give people money,

00:22:15.020 they'll pay their bills with it.

00:22:16.360 But now I'm even more shocked to find out that trolls,

00:22:20.560 it's almost like the trolls are not emotionally stable.

00:22:24.840 Did anybody see that coming?

00:22:28.280 Surprise.

00:22:28.680 But I think my new thing will be to say to the trolls,

00:22:34.180 did that help your self-esteem?

00:22:38.460 When I get trolled, did that help your self-esteem?

00:22:41.580 Aw.

00:22:42.800 Aw.

00:22:43.860 I hope it helped.

00:22:45.720 Aw.

00:22:46.600 Little guy.

00:22:50.120 All right.

00:22:52.040 Here's the zombie story that never dies.

00:22:55.140 See if you've ever heard this before.

00:22:58.680 There's a claim of some impropriety in the 2020 election.

00:23:05.380 Has anybody heard of that before?

00:23:07.840 The specific claim of some impropriety in the election.

00:23:11.180 You might seem to think you've heard of this story before.

00:23:14.700 But I guess there's an attorney general in Michigan who's a Democrat,

00:23:20.240 which is important to the story,

00:23:21.760 who is referring some 2020 information about election potentially fraud to the FBI.

00:23:28.680 Now, the claim, which I expect to be debunked like every other claim,

00:23:33.760 is that 8,000 to 10,000 ballots were delivered by one person.

00:23:37.160 So one of two things is going to happen.

00:23:43.240 The claim will be debunked,

00:23:45.500 or we'll determine that it wasn't enough to change the result, right?

00:23:51.960 So we're going to pretend that it only happened once in one place,

00:23:55.080 because that's the one they caught.

00:23:56.920 But they'll say it wasn't enough to change the result.

00:24:00.180 Or they'll say it's too late.

00:24:02.800 Yeah, that was bad, but it's too late.

00:24:05.960 But nothing's going to happen from it, right?

00:24:08.740 We assume nothing will happen.

00:24:10.100 So even if they found this charge to be true,

00:24:14.220 that some person left 8,000 to 10,000 ballots all by themselves in a drop box,

00:24:19.360 or dropped them off somewhere,

00:24:21.380 I don't feel like this is going to hold up.

00:24:24.640 And the only reason I say that is because nothing has so far.

00:24:28.600 It's sort of a 20 to 1 odds against it.

00:24:31.840 But maybe, maybe.

00:24:33.260 I'm still betting that Trump will pull the rabbit out of the hat for his third act,

00:24:41.220 and that magically, against all odds,

00:24:43.780 we will actually find that there was election fraud.

00:24:47.420 Now, the only reason I say it is not based on any evidence.

00:24:51.160 I have no evidence whatsoever, just to be really clear.

00:24:54.220 I'm using the fiction model of predicting,

00:24:57.320 which says that reality matches movies,

00:25:00.460 where there's a third act, it seems impossible,

00:25:03.260 you know, the hero can never get out of this box,

00:25:06.900 he's going to die, there's no doubt about it,

00:25:09.400 and then magically finds a way out.

00:25:11.480 That's what makes it a movie.

00:25:13.160 If Trump got re-elected or didn't get re-elected,

00:25:17.360 and nothing ever changed about our opinion about the 2020 election,

00:25:21.380 that would not be much of a movie.

00:25:24.380 But if he comes back,

00:25:27.180 and in the context of coming back,

00:25:29.700 we find out that there was, in fact, fraud in 2020

00:25:32.380 that made a difference,

00:25:34.340 and maybe there's some, you know,

00:25:36.640 official endorsement of it from a court, for example,

00:25:40.840 that would change everything,

00:25:42.880 and that would be a proper movie.

00:25:45.060 So for no other reason,

00:25:46.840 no other reason,

00:25:48.180 than it would make a proper movie,

00:25:49.740 and for reasons I don't understand,

00:25:51.900 life follows movie patterns.

00:25:53.520 I predict it.

00:25:56.740 Before the vote is cast in 2024.

00:26:00.020 Could be the last minute,

00:26:01.340 but before the vote is cast.

00:26:03.280 Actually, that would be the best.

00:26:05.240 The best would be a day before the actual vote,

00:26:09.680 Trump's still behind in the polls

00:26:11.380 against whoever he's running against,

00:26:13.580 like he's 10 points behind,

00:26:15.460 and then suddenly the Supreme Court or somebody

00:26:17.860 rules that the 2020 election

00:26:19.840 was, in fact, a problem.

00:26:23.820 And with one day left,

00:26:26.300 40% of the public flips,

00:26:28.680 and it's the biggest landslide of all time.

00:26:30.580 Now, that would be a movie.

00:26:32.320 That would be a movie.

00:26:33.840 I'm not predicting 40% of the public

00:26:35.800 will switch to Trump,

00:26:36.940 but it would be a great movie if that happened.

00:26:41.480 All right, well,

00:26:42.320 this is kind of funny.

00:26:47.720 There's a congressman, Greb Stube,

00:26:50.240 who's filed articles of impeachment

00:26:51.800 against Biden

00:26:53.140 for his alleged crimes

00:26:56.200 in trying to shield Hunter Biden

00:26:58.420 from prosecution or whatever.

00:27:00.680 He says it's long past due.

00:27:03.160 Now, I don't know enough

00:27:04.700 about the details of impeachment

00:27:06.420 to know,

00:27:07.620 is this enough to make it happen?

00:27:09.340 One congressman filing articles,

00:27:13.240 that's not enough

00:27:14.640 to make it happen, right?

00:27:16.380 Isn't there more procedural stuff

00:27:18.480 that probably will knock it down?

00:27:21.560 Feels like theater, right?

00:27:23.540 I'm just assuming it won't happen.

00:27:26.540 All right, well,

00:27:27.260 it's in the news,

00:27:28.160 but wouldn't get too excited about it.

00:27:32.860 I saw a tweet.

00:27:35.080 Do you have this experience

00:27:36.320 when you see a tweet

00:27:37.160 from somebody who's

00:27:37.880 in a different news bubble?

00:27:40.060 Which doesn't mean

00:27:40.920 your bubble is the one

00:27:42.120 that's right.

00:27:43.220 But when you see

00:27:43.820 the other bubble,

00:27:45.220 you say,

00:27:46.060 really?

00:27:47.440 Really?

00:27:48.060 There's somebody in that bubble?

00:27:49.400 That's like a weird little bubble.

00:27:50.920 Here's one of the bubbles.

00:27:53.260 Somebody on X,

00:27:55.480 which you call Twitter,

00:27:57.620 David Weissman tweeted,

00:27:59.280 why are Republicans

00:28:00.280 refusing to show

00:28:01.900 actual evidence

00:28:02.960 of a Biden crime?

00:28:04.600 The only thing

00:28:05.500 they've showed us

00:28:06.120 is speculation.

00:28:06.860 Why is there

00:28:08.220 phony investigation

00:28:09.220 allowed to continue?

00:28:12.520 Doesn't that sound funny

00:28:14.340 to you if you're

00:28:15.040 in the other news bubble?

00:28:16.240 That there's no evidence

00:28:17.620 of Biden's wrongdoing?

00:28:19.980 Now, he did say

00:28:21.100 specifically bribe.

00:28:23.460 I don't have any evidence

00:28:24.780 of a bribe.

00:28:25.700 Do you?

00:28:26.840 Has anybody seen

00:28:27.660 evidence of a bribe?

00:28:29.440 Not really.

00:28:32.200 Because a bribe

00:28:32.740 would require money transfer

00:28:34.200 for a specific favor.

00:28:37.540 Am I right?

00:28:39.440 It would be a specific favor.

00:28:41.300 There's no evidence of that.

00:28:43.420 There's certainly claimed.

00:28:45.240 Well, let me modify that.

00:28:47.880 There's certainly a claim

00:28:49.260 that Joe and the prosecutor

00:28:52.720 that was looking

00:28:54.760 into Brisma

00:28:55.300 that that was

00:28:56.460 a quid pro quo.

00:28:58.260 But we don't have

00:28:59.440 a specific payment

00:29:01.600 that's attached

00:29:03.360 to that specific request.

00:29:05.620 We don't.

00:29:06.760 We just know

00:29:07.580 that it would be good

00:29:08.280 for Brisma.

00:29:09.300 We know that they put

00:29:10.140 Hunter on the board

00:29:10.920 for that exact purpose.

00:29:12.960 For that exact purpose.

00:29:14.460 We do know

00:29:15.120 that they tried

00:29:15.620 to get him

00:29:16.080 to leverage his power

00:29:17.140 to get rid

00:29:18.000 of the prosecutor

00:29:18.760 that seems to be

00:29:19.540 in writing.

00:29:19.960 But that doesn't

00:29:22.460 quite get you there,

00:29:23.400 does it?

00:29:24.320 It doesn't get you

00:29:25.280 all the way to bribe.

00:29:28.180 It gets you to influence.

00:29:31.520 You know,

00:29:31.860 I don't know

00:29:32.180 how illegal it is

00:29:33.220 to have general

00:29:34.300 monetary influence

00:29:35.380 on somebody.

00:29:36.300 It's not ideal.

00:29:37.700 Certainly should be

00:29:38.460 disclosed where it exists,

00:29:40.380 like a far-out

00:29:41.360 type of thing.

00:29:42.800 But I don't know.

00:29:44.920 I honestly don't know

00:29:45.940 that I've seen a crime.

00:29:48.080 I've seen lots of things

00:29:49.360 that look close

00:29:50.000 to a crime.

00:29:50.720 I've seen things

00:29:51.300 that I think

00:29:52.360 should be a crime.

00:29:54.240 But I don't know

00:29:54.980 if I've seen one.

00:29:56.180 So I would agree

00:29:56.900 that, you know,

00:29:58.400 we're just short

00:29:59.440 of put the handcuffs

00:30:01.920 on him.

00:30:02.800 But you can't

00:30:03.480 get any closer.

00:30:05.440 You could not

00:30:06.300 get any closer

00:30:07.160 to everything

00:30:08.520 about this is wrong

00:30:09.680 without it being

00:30:11.200 technically violating

00:30:12.420 something.

00:30:13.860 But it might.

00:30:15.280 You know,

00:30:15.520 when things are

00:30:16.420 complicated at this level,

00:30:17.800 there's always

00:30:19.040 some kind of

00:30:19.760 technical violation

00:30:20.900 there.

00:30:22.620 But I think

00:30:24.160 it's funny

00:30:24.680 that there's

00:30:25.700 somebody who

00:30:26.180 imagines that

00:30:27.260 there's no wrongdoing

00:30:28.420 because of the

00:30:30.020 incompleteness

00:30:30.960 of the evidence.

00:30:34.160 So there must be

00:30:35.140 people who don't

00:30:35.820 know that the

00:30:37.660 money flows

00:30:38.380 are well established

00:30:39.780 at this point.

00:30:42.000 And that the

00:30:42.900 money flows

00:30:43.440 come from places

00:30:44.280 that they should

00:30:44.900 not be coming from

00:30:45.880 for where they

00:30:47.900 ended up.

00:30:49.240 So it's obvious

00:30:50.480 that no tangible

00:30:52.940 public services

00:30:54.600 were given

00:30:55.220 other than

00:30:56.440 influence.

00:30:58.240 But suppose

00:30:59.400 the influence

00:31:00.060 is mostly

00:31:00.860 just opinions

00:31:03.320 and things

00:31:06.840 that might have

00:31:07.280 happened anyway.

00:31:09.340 It's hard

00:31:10.060 to evaluate

00:31:11.900 influence

00:31:12.540 when there's

00:31:13.560 an argument

00:31:14.140 on both sides

00:31:14.960 for doing

00:31:15.380 anything.

00:31:16.940 Right?

00:31:17.500 If I bribed

00:31:18.300 any politician

00:31:19.200 to do anything,

00:31:20.780 they could just

00:31:21.860 take the other

00:31:22.520 argument and say,

00:31:23.220 you know what,

00:31:23.860 there were two

00:31:24.560 arguments here

00:31:25.260 and I've decided

00:31:26.500 that the other

00:31:27.120 one's a little

00:31:27.480 stronger.

00:31:28.500 But there's always

00:31:29.160 an argument

00:31:29.600 on the other

00:31:30.080 side.

00:31:30.740 So how are you

00:31:31.300 going to know

00:31:31.680 that the bribe

00:31:32.360 is why somebody

00:31:33.020 changed unless

00:31:33.880 the paperwork

00:31:34.880 says,

00:31:35.700 I'm bribing

00:31:36.160 you to do

00:31:36.620 this?

00:31:36.900 So I'm just

00:31:39.980 amazed that the

00:31:41.020 Democrat news

00:31:42.140 or the news

00:31:43.340 that Democrats

00:31:43.780 watch doesn't

00:31:45.260 convince them

00:31:45.920 that no matter

00:31:46.560 what this was,

00:31:48.260 legal or

00:31:49.000 illegal,

00:31:49.820 it's still

00:31:50.780 impeachable.

00:31:52.420 Would you

00:31:53.200 agree?

00:31:55.220 It's the most

00:31:56.000 impeachable thing

00:31:56.860 I've ever seen

00:31:57.400 in my life.

00:31:58.760 You can't

00:31:59.200 possibly have a

00:31:59.940 president who's

00:32:00.800 got these

00:32:01.860 connections and

00:32:02.800 at least the

00:32:03.900 risk of

00:32:05.240 blackmail.

00:32:06.680 You don't

00:32:07.220 know there

00:32:07.520 is any.

00:32:08.420 I haven't seen

00:32:09.160 evidence there

00:32:09.680 is any.

00:32:10.740 But the risk

00:32:11.420 of blackmail is

00:32:12.140 through the roof.

00:32:13.960 So that's not

00:32:15.020 acceptable.

00:32:16.740 All right.

00:32:17.960 Meanwhile in

00:32:18.720 Iowa, the

00:32:19.520 Republicans are

00:32:20.240 there competing

00:32:20.980 in the world's

00:32:22.240 most boring

00:32:22.780 state.

00:32:23.400 Sorry, Iowa.

00:32:24.340 Most boring

00:32:24.880 state in the

00:32:25.360 world.

00:32:26.400 And somehow

00:32:28.640 DeSantis found

00:32:29.720 a way to be

00:32:31.260 more boring than

00:32:32.140 the state

00:32:32.560 itself.

00:32:34.120 Did you see

00:32:34.600 the videos

00:32:35.120 of him serving

00:32:36.620 eggs on a

00:32:37.360 stick?

00:32:39.000 He looked like

00:32:39.940 he didn't want

00:32:40.500 to be there.

00:32:41.560 He was

00:32:41.940 completely

00:32:42.420 uninterested in

00:32:43.420 the public.

00:32:44.980 And he just

00:32:45.780 wasn't interested.

00:32:47.960 And then there's

00:32:48.520 one of him

00:32:49.080 at a play

00:32:49.860 with his kids

00:32:52.900 playing on a

00:32:53.460 playground that

00:32:54.820 was otherwise

00:32:55.360 empty.

00:32:56.260 And the entire

00:32:56.940 press is there.

00:32:58.240 And all they're

00:32:58.860 doing is watching

00:32:59.620 him with a

00:33:00.220 nicely tucked in

00:33:01.320 pressed button

00:33:02.240 up shirt in the

00:33:03.140 park.

00:33:03.840 Because that's

00:33:04.340 what you wear to

00:33:04.840 go to the

00:33:05.140 park.

00:33:06.560 A well-pressed

00:33:07.200 button-up shirt,

00:33:08.580 some khakis.

00:33:09.760 And he's just

00:33:10.460 pushing his kid

00:33:11.180 on the swing.

00:33:13.080 And I'm

00:33:13.440 thinking,

00:33:13.980 this is so

00:33:15.120 weak.

00:33:16.520 Now, let's

00:33:17.220 compare that to

00:33:18.380 another person

00:33:19.400 who's in Iowa.

00:33:21.420 Has anybody

00:33:22.200 heard, how many

00:33:22.980 of you heard

00:33:23.700 that Vivek

00:33:25.200 rapped an

00:33:26.460 Eminem song in

00:33:27.500 Iowa?

00:33:27.920 Just tell me if

00:33:28.540 you've heard the

00:33:29.180 story.

00:33:30.080 Did you hear the

00:33:30.660 story?

00:33:30.920 You don't have to

00:33:31.380 hear the rap,

00:33:32.000 rap, but did

00:33:32.920 you hear the

00:33:33.500 story that he

00:33:34.100 rapped?

00:33:36.260 Yes.

00:33:37.460 Yes, you did.

00:33:39.320 Does it matter

00:33:40.220 that you heard

00:33:40.820 him rap?

00:33:42.180 No.

00:33:43.140 Not really.

00:33:44.360 No.

00:33:45.700 Once again,

00:33:47.960 just try to

00:33:49.760 hold in your

00:33:50.360 mind the level

00:33:51.540 of skill that

00:33:52.700 was employed

00:33:53.280 here.

00:33:53.580 DeSantis went

00:33:55.900 to Iowa and

00:33:56.900 served eggs

00:33:57.800 on a stick

00:33:58.480 and then

00:34:01.500 pushed his

00:34:02.000 child on a

00:34:02.580 playground.

00:34:03.680 So that's

00:34:04.280 what his

00:34:04.640 advisors got

00:34:06.320 for him.

00:34:07.480 So he

00:34:07.700 probably listened

00:34:08.740 to his

00:34:09.040 advisors and

00:34:10.260 did two

00:34:10.640 things that

00:34:11.180 are lame

00:34:11.800 or irrelevant.

00:34:14.680 Vivek almost

00:34:16.360 certainly did

00:34:17.380 not take advice

00:34:18.220 from an

00:34:18.640 advisor when

00:34:19.640 he rapped

00:34:20.160 Eminem.

00:34:21.300 Can we

00:34:21.760 agree on

00:34:22.200 that?

00:34:22.460 Nobody's

00:34:23.920 advisor ever

00:34:24.740 told them

00:34:25.180 to rap

00:34:25.620 Eminem

00:34:26.160 at Iowa

00:34:26.820 state

00:34:27.740 event.

00:34:29.360 Nobody.

00:34:30.380 There will

00:34:31.020 never be an

00:34:31.700 advisor who

00:34:32.400 tells you to

00:34:32.880 rap at an

00:34:33.780 Iowa event.

00:34:36.940 But if

00:34:38.260 you're Vivek,

00:34:39.380 you know it

00:34:41.180 will work.

00:34:42.280 Because you

00:34:42.980 know it will

00:34:43.420 break the

00:34:43.900 headlines.

00:34:44.520 There's nothing

00:34:44.940 else happening.

00:34:46.200 You know

00:34:46.660 that it's

00:34:47.300 just so

00:34:48.960 video friendly.

00:34:51.880 I mean,

00:34:52.200 it's just

00:34:52.520 irresistible.

00:34:53.980 If you

00:34:54.420 hear that

00:34:54.940 a presidential

00:34:55.680 candidate tried

00:34:56.480 to rap,

00:34:58.200 especially

00:34:58.720 Eminem,

00:34:59.480 who is

00:35:00.320 anti-Republican

00:35:02.040 or at least

00:35:02.520 anti-Trump,

00:35:04.040 it's got

00:35:05.120 everything.

00:35:06.160 It's like

00:35:06.520 everything,

00:35:07.440 but it's also

00:35:08.260 harmless and

00:35:09.880 it shows

00:35:10.280 energy,

00:35:11.600 shows he's

00:35:12.060 not embarrassed

00:35:12.600 by anything,

00:35:13.320 it also shows

00:35:14.020 he has some

00:35:14.620 skills beyond

00:35:15.800 politics and

00:35:17.660 business.

00:35:18.060 how many

00:35:21.180 days in a

00:35:21.740 row do I

00:35:22.100 have to

00:35:22.400 tell you?

00:35:23.540 He's

00:35:23.880 killing it.

00:35:25.080 Yeah,

00:35:25.280 it's Bill

00:35:25.940 Clinton's

00:35:26.540 saxophone play.

00:35:28.300 That's exactly

00:35:28.880 right.

00:35:29.720 Now,

00:35:30.000 I don't know

00:35:30.380 if Bill

00:35:30.780 Clinton had

00:35:31.540 an advisor

00:35:32.120 that said,

00:35:32.880 yeah,

00:35:33.060 go play the

00:35:33.620 saxophone on

00:35:34.520 the late

00:35:35.600 night show.

00:35:37.420 Because that's

00:35:38.160 not crazy.

00:35:39.320 It's not

00:35:39.680 crazy to play

00:35:40.300 the saxophone.

00:35:41.900 But if

00:35:43.020 you're a

00:35:43.460 Republican

00:35:43.860 rapping

00:35:45.940 Eminem

00:35:46.540 in Iowa,

00:35:47.940 that's a

00:35:48.780 whole new

00:35:49.160 deal.

00:35:50.780 And it's

00:35:51.760 just sort of

00:35:52.560 brilliant and

00:35:53.180 playful.

00:35:54.320 That's exactly

00:35:55.060 what it is.

00:35:56.080 Now,

00:35:56.260 remember,

00:35:57.520 politics is

00:35:58.540 not about

00:35:59.000 making you

00:35:59.540 think,

00:35:59.940 it's about

00:36:00.360 making you

00:36:00.860 feel.

00:36:03.280 Did you

00:36:03.980 feel anything

00:36:04.740 when DeSantis

00:36:06.380 handed out his

00:36:07.160 eggs on a

00:36:07.720 stick?

00:36:08.680 I'll tell you

00:36:09.180 what I felt.

00:36:09.780 I felt sorry

00:36:11.180 for him,

00:36:12.220 honestly.

00:36:13.620 Literally,

00:36:14.720 politics aside,

00:36:16.480 I just felt

00:36:17.160 kind of sorry

00:36:18.380 for him.

00:36:19.760 Because it

00:36:20.500 looks to me

00:36:21.000 like a

00:36:21.400 campaign that's

00:36:22.060 given up.

00:36:23.660 It doesn't

00:36:24.420 even look like

00:36:25.000 professional level

00:36:26.020 work at this

00:36:27.120 point.

00:36:27.880 It looks like

00:36:28.580 they've given

00:36:28.980 up.

00:36:29.800 I think he's

00:36:30.400 decided that,

00:36:31.960 you know,

00:36:32.160 he got some

00:36:32.640 attention,

00:36:33.500 and after a

00:36:34.240 few months of

00:36:34.940 hating being

00:36:36.540 on the,

00:36:37.460 do you think

00:36:37.920 that DeSantis

00:36:38.500 is enjoying

00:36:39.420 running for

00:36:40.020 president?

00:36:42.740 Do you think

00:36:43.820 his wife and

00:36:45.640 children are

00:36:46.240 delighted?

00:36:48.100 I'll bet not.

00:36:49.580 I'm going to

00:36:49.880 say not.

00:36:50.820 He doesn't

00:36:51.500 look like he's

00:36:52.080 enjoying it.

00:36:53.260 And now he

00:36:53.880 probably thinks

00:36:54.480 he has no

00:36:54.880 chance of

00:36:55.300 winning,

00:36:55.640 unless Trump

00:36:56.640 gets taken

00:36:57.220 off the field.

00:36:58.360 And then I

00:36:58.820 think Vivek is

00:37:00.220 going to take

00:37:00.760 those votes.

00:37:02.320 If Trump gets

00:37:02.980 taken off the

00:37:03.520 field, I don't

00:37:04.280 think DeSantis

00:37:04.900 is in first

00:37:05.600 place.

00:37:06.020 I think he's

00:37:07.580 in second,

00:37:08.660 maybe third.

00:37:10.660 Well, let me

00:37:11.280 ask the

00:37:11.540 question.

00:37:13.700 If Trump

00:37:14.480 disappeared or

00:37:15.240 dropped down

00:37:15.680 tomorrow, do

00:37:17.800 you think

00:37:18.100 DeSantis would

00:37:18.860 go to first,

00:37:20.380 second, or

00:37:21.480 third place

00:37:22.360 immediately?

00:37:24.920 He might

00:37:25.660 go to third

00:37:26.320 because, you

00:37:29.120 know, maybe

00:37:29.480 somebody like

00:37:30.180 Tim Scott

00:37:31.100 will pick up

00:37:32.120 some Trump

00:37:32.560 votes.

00:37:34.840 Maybe second,

00:37:35.820 maybe third,

00:37:36.400 but I think

00:37:36.780 Vivek laps him

00:37:38.320 if that happens.

00:37:39.780 Because Vivek is

00:37:40.580 the obvious,

00:37:41.620 to me, he's

00:37:42.280 the obvious

00:37:42.880 choice if

00:37:44.520 the number

00:37:45.940 one guy gets

00:37:46.780 taken out.

00:37:49.880 All right,

00:37:50.700 now there's a

00:37:51.700 story that

00:37:52.920 might remind

00:37:53.960 you of a

00:37:54.780 play the

00:37:55.340 Democrats do.

00:37:56.760 What is it

00:37:57.380 that Democrats

00:37:58.460 like to do

00:37:59.480 that Tucker

00:38:01.860 Carlson often

00:38:02.820 reminds us?

00:38:04.260 That's right.

00:38:05.500 Blame the

00:38:05.940 Republicans for

00:38:06.720 whatever they're

00:38:07.520 doing.

00:38:09.060 So, which

00:38:10.020 doesn't mean the

00:38:10.660 Republicans aren't

00:38:11.400 doing it.

00:38:12.560 Because they

00:38:12.960 might be doing

00:38:13.480 it as well.

00:38:14.320 But the

00:38:14.780 standard trick is

00:38:15.680 to blame the

00:38:16.800 Republicans for

00:38:17.460 whatever Democrats

00:38:18.280 are doing.

00:38:19.240 Now, I don't

00:38:20.480 know if that's

00:38:20.960 what's happening

00:38:21.420 in this case,

00:38:22.960 but if you

00:38:23.920 use that filter,

00:38:24.780 it looks kind

00:38:25.320 of sketchy.

00:38:26.380 Because the

00:38:27.140 Democrats are

00:38:27.780 now blaming

00:38:28.540 former Trump

00:38:31.040 officials for

00:38:32.300 getting access

00:38:33.140 to voting

00:38:33.820 machines in

00:38:34.620 Georgia after

00:38:37.760 the election.

00:38:39.220 But apparently

00:38:39.780 they were

00:38:40.480 offered and

00:38:41.580 somehow accepted,

00:38:43.120 allegedly,

00:38:44.060 allegedly,

00:38:45.200 access to

00:38:46.160 voting machines.

00:38:47.200 Now, I need

00:38:48.140 some fact-checking

00:38:49.020 on this because

00:38:49.580 I believe the

00:38:50.760 story is

00:38:51.440 intentionally

00:38:52.040 confusing.

00:38:53.680 I think we're

00:38:54.540 supposed to be

00:38:55.300 left with the

00:38:56.220 impression because

00:38:57.720 the story seems

00:38:58.520 to be told

00:38:59.020 intentionally,

00:38:59.860 vaguely.

00:39:00.620 I think they're

00:39:01.260 trying to leave

00:39:01.840 us with the

00:39:02.280 impression that

00:39:03.460 Trump hacked

00:39:04.060 the election

00:39:04.640 because Trump

00:39:06.160 people got into

00:39:06.880 voting machines.

00:39:08.300 I think they're

00:39:09.060 trying to make

00:39:09.600 us forget that

00:39:11.380 the context was

00:39:12.400 after the election

00:39:13.420 and the point of

00:39:14.900 it was to find

00:39:15.560 out if there was

00:39:16.220 any bad behavior

00:39:17.580 that happened that

00:39:18.300 could be detected.

00:39:20.140 Am I wrong

00:39:20.660 about that?

00:39:21.760 Give me a fact

00:39:22.340 check.

00:39:22.680 Am I describing

00:39:23.560 this story correctly?

00:39:24.760 Because when I

00:39:25.420 read the story,

00:39:25.980 I kept thinking,

00:39:27.280 why is it

00:39:27.680 written so

00:39:28.180 confusingly?

00:39:29.620 Why is it

00:39:30.120 taking me so

00:39:30.840 long to figure

00:39:32.420 out what they're

00:39:32.980 saying?

00:39:34.100 And it was as if

00:39:34.900 they were trying

00:39:35.400 to create a

00:39:36.000 narrative without

00:39:37.300 saying it,

00:39:38.040 because it would

00:39:38.360 be a lie if

00:39:38.940 they said it

00:39:39.380 directly.

00:39:40.040 It was as if

00:39:40.480 they're trying to

00:39:41.060 suggest the

00:39:42.900 Republicans hacked

00:39:43.920 voting machines

00:39:44.700 ahead of the

00:39:45.300 election by making

00:39:46.900 the timing of it

00:39:48.200 the least important

00:39:49.580 part of the story.

00:39:51.600 That's what it

00:39:52.300 feels like.

00:39:52.880 Now, I'm not

00:39:53.760 going to say

00:39:54.080 that's necessarily

00:39:54.780 intentional.

00:39:56.380 It could be just

00:39:57.220 if you have bias,

00:39:58.200 that's the way

00:39:58.600 you write a story.

00:39:59.920 But it's really

00:40:01.480 sketchy.

00:40:02.920 This is looking a

00:40:04.020 little too much

00:40:04.660 on the nose,

00:40:05.860 like Republicans

00:40:06.960 finding a thing

00:40:08.020 that they can

00:40:08.580 blame the other

00:40:09.160 side for doing

00:40:09.920 to cover up the

00:40:11.800 fact that they're

00:40:12.300 doing it.

00:40:13.420 Now, I'm just

00:40:14.200 saying it looks

00:40:14.720 like that.

00:40:15.320 That would be

00:40:15.920 sort of an NPC

00:40:16.920 take, because

00:40:18.300 there's no evidence

00:40:19.060 of it.

00:40:19.780 It just sort of

00:40:20.300 has that feel

00:40:20.860 to it.

00:40:22.880 All right, we'll

00:40:23.820 watch that story

00:40:24.620 and see if

00:40:25.040 anything, I

00:40:25.760 imagine that's

00:40:26.320 going to turn

00:40:26.720 into a lot of

00:40:27.280 nothing.

00:40:28.860 Let's talk about

00:40:29.680 the Hawaii fires.

00:40:33.160 Official death

00:40:33.920 counts up to 93,

00:40:35.980 and I heard that

00:40:38.020 two of them have

00:40:38.780 been identified.

00:40:41.180 Now, do you

00:40:44.380 have a sense of

00:40:45.260 the devastation?

00:40:48.020 93 dead and

00:40:49.160 two identified.

00:40:49.960 And as somebody

00:40:51.860 said, we're

00:40:52.740 talking about a

00:40:53.620 fire that melted

00:40:54.340 steel.

00:40:57.100 You could barely

00:40:58.120 tell that it's a

00:40:58.980 body, much less

00:41:01.100 identified.

00:41:03.420 Now, I'm going to

00:41:04.740 tell you something

00:41:05.320 that I've heard

00:41:06.240 that is unconfirmed,

00:41:08.340 but it's from a

00:41:09.300 resident.

00:41:11.300 There's something

00:41:12.140 being covered up.

00:41:13.360 This is, I don't

00:41:14.320 know this for sure,

00:41:15.580 but this is a

00:41:16.340 report from a

00:41:17.440 resident.

00:41:17.780 somebody who's

00:41:19.100 close to it,

00:41:19.700 actually in the

00:41:20.420 scene.

00:41:22.740 The residents,

00:41:23.920 some of them

00:41:24.480 believe that the

00:41:26.400 extent of the

00:41:27.400 death is way

00:41:28.480 beyond what you're

00:41:29.300 hearing, and

00:41:30.700 that it's so bad,

00:41:32.580 and that the

00:41:33.420 officials were so

00:41:34.700 incompetent, that

00:41:36.340 if they ever told

00:41:37.320 you how bad it is

00:41:38.320 right now, there

00:41:40.240 would be death.

00:41:43.140 That they would

00:41:43.900 just be killed.

00:41:44.560 So that's the

00:41:47.140 rumor.

00:41:47.880 The rumor is that

00:41:48.680 the real death

00:41:49.300 count is way

00:41:50.360 beyond what you're

00:41:51.060 hearing.

00:41:51.940 The officials know

00:41:52.920 it, but if the

00:41:54.060 officials tell you,

00:41:55.560 and there's

00:41:56.040 something else about

00:41:56.740 the story I'm not

00:41:57.520 telling you, but I'm

00:41:58.500 doing that intentionally

00:41:59.320 because it's too

00:41:59.940 horrible.

00:42:00.680 There's something

00:42:01.300 about this that

00:42:03.000 some of the

00:42:03.540 residents believe is

00:42:05.520 too horrible to be

00:42:06.480 told.

00:42:08.140 I don't know if

00:42:09.060 it's true.

00:42:09.460 It has nothing to

00:42:10.100 do with the

00:42:10.420 directed energy

00:42:11.200 weapon, right?

00:42:12.060 It has nothing to

00:42:12.720 do with the cause.

00:42:13.380 I'm not talking

00:42:14.520 about the cause,

00:42:15.340 I'm talking about

00:42:15.840 the outcome, right?

00:42:17.520 So we'll talk about

00:42:18.340 the cause next.

00:42:19.620 Put the cause

00:42:20.280 separate.

00:42:22.160 Everybody's

00:42:22.640 suspicious about

00:42:23.360 the cause.

00:42:24.580 I'm talking about

00:42:25.400 the outcome.

00:42:27.520 Some of the

00:42:27.980 people believe

00:42:29.500 that they're being

00:42:30.680 lied to about the

00:42:31.880 true nature of

00:42:33.680 how bad it is

00:42:34.620 because if they

00:42:35.940 told the truth,

00:42:37.400 the officials would

00:42:38.200 be killed.

00:42:40.460 That's how bad

00:42:41.260 it is.

00:42:42.260 Allegedly.

00:42:43.380 That they

00:42:43.680 would actually

00:42:44.000 just be killed.

00:42:46.760 Now, imagine

00:42:47.660 how bad would

00:42:48.660 that have to

00:42:49.140 be.

00:42:50.420 That's the

00:42:51.000 rumor.

00:42:51.340 It is actually

00:42:51.880 that bad.

00:42:52.960 Now, I don't

00:42:53.420 know that that's

00:42:53.920 true.

00:42:55.060 So put a big

00:42:56.240 question mark by

00:42:57.120 this, right?

00:42:57.900 Everything coming

00:42:58.660 out of there is

00:42:59.260 going to be

00:42:59.580 sketchy.

00:43:01.740 But there's,

00:43:03.000 and it might

00:43:03.720 also be, if you

00:43:04.920 want to further

00:43:05.860 the conspiracy

00:43:07.560 theory here, if

00:43:08.860 you want to

00:43:09.200 further it, that

00:43:10.720 could be the

00:43:11.200 reason there's no

00:43:11.880 communication coming

00:43:12.800 out of there.

00:43:14.480 In other words,

00:43:15.300 it might be

00:43:15.880 possible that

00:43:16.600 they could have

00:43:17.140 put the cell

00:43:18.580 phones back

00:43:19.140 online, and

00:43:20.620 they may be

00:43:21.100 choosing not

00:43:21.680 to.

00:43:22.680 Because if you

00:43:23.360 actually heard

00:43:23.940 what was

00:43:24.280 happening, people

00:43:26.360 would be killed.

00:43:28.540 That's what I'm

00:43:29.220 hearing.

00:43:30.180 Now, I hope to

00:43:31.620 God none of

00:43:32.220 that's true.

00:43:33.420 I hope to God

00:43:34.640 none of that's

00:43:35.640 true.

00:43:37.200 But, you know,

00:43:37.800 there's going to

00:43:38.100 be a lot of

00:43:38.520 rumors.

00:43:38.860 rumors, so

00:43:40.080 let's talk

00:43:40.600 about some

00:43:40.960 of the other

00:43:41.220 rumors.

00:43:42.320 If you believe

00:43:43.260 there's a chance

00:43:43.980 that a directed

00:43:44.740 energy weapon

00:43:45.660 from space

00:43:47.300 started the

00:43:48.380 fires, how

00:43:51.100 do you rule

00:43:51.620 out that it

00:43:53.020 would be easier

00:43:53.600 to just throw

00:43:54.360 matches?

00:43:54.800 You know, you

00:43:56.620 don't really need

00:43:57.340 a space-based

00:43:58.220 weapon to start

00:43:59.880 a fire.

00:44:00.920 It's literally

00:44:01.820 the easiest thing

00:44:02.860 you could do.

00:44:04.340 Start a fire.

00:44:05.080 What would

00:44:07.140 stop you from

00:44:07.800 starting a fire

00:44:08.560 anywhere?

00:44:11.320 And if you

00:44:12.220 have a directed

00:44:12.960 energy weapon,

00:44:14.160 would you reveal

00:44:15.380 its existence,

00:44:16.460 potentially, by

00:44:17.740 using it for

00:44:18.600 something you

00:44:19.140 could do with

00:44:19.660 matches?

00:44:21.660 If you do it

00:44:22.660 with matches, you

00:44:23.460 don't reveal the

00:44:24.280 existence of your

00:44:25.740 directed energy

00:44:26.720 weapon in space.

00:44:29.160 So I would say

00:44:30.240 the odds there

00:44:30.940 was a directed

00:44:31.620 energy weapon

00:44:32.520 from space, and

00:44:33.780 by the way,

00:44:34.240 there's some

00:44:34.620 hilariously,

00:44:36.180 obviously, fake

00:44:37.140 pictures of it.

00:44:39.020 As if somebody

00:44:39.940 had their camera

00:44:40.560 and they got a

00:44:41.000 good picture of

00:44:41.620 the moment the

00:44:43.020 laser hit the

00:44:44.600 earth or something.

00:44:45.520 No, I don't

00:44:46.280 think it was a

00:44:46.860 directed energy

00:44:47.740 weapon.

00:44:48.500 That would be

00:44:49.080 the least likely

00:44:50.120 possibility.

00:44:51.800 Least likely.

00:44:53.620 How about,

00:44:54.900 so how many of

00:44:57.900 you have ever

00:44:58.320 been to Maui?

00:45:00.180 I want to get a

00:45:01.420 fact check on

00:45:01.960 this.

00:45:02.540 Have you ever

00:45:03.000 been to Maui?

00:45:03.780 A number of

00:45:04.460 you have, right?

00:45:06.100 For those of

00:45:06.980 you who have

00:45:07.240 been, and I've

00:45:08.400 been there maybe

00:45:08.960 ten times, I

00:45:09.880 don't know, have

00:45:12.140 you ever noticed

00:45:12.780 there are almost

00:45:14.080 no police?

00:45:16.140 Has anybody

00:45:16.660 noticed that?

00:45:18.640 You could be on

00:45:19.640 Maui for a week

00:45:20.620 and never see a

00:45:21.700 police car or a

00:45:22.740 policeman or a

00:45:24.380 security guard.

00:45:26.420 No police.

00:45:27.240 I know they

00:45:29.140 have fire

00:45:30.740 facilities, but

00:45:33.120 it's not like you

00:45:33.900 see them much.

00:45:34.760 So here's my

00:45:35.420 question.

00:45:37.400 Weren't they the

00:45:38.280 least prepared in

00:45:39.920 terms of emergency

00:45:41.000 services?

00:45:42.440 I think they had

00:45:43.560 less or fewer

00:45:45.520 people who do

00:45:46.420 that kind of

00:45:47.020 work there at

00:45:48.780 the time.

00:45:49.480 I think that part

00:45:50.420 of the story might

00:45:51.080 be that Maui is

00:45:52.520 generally so safe,

00:45:53.620 it's a really

00:45:54.520 low-crime place,

00:45:56.400 that they just

00:45:57.720 don't have many

00:45:58.600 first responders.

00:46:01.240 It's just low on

00:46:02.300 first responders,

00:46:03.240 so it's the worst

00:46:03.680 place to have a

00:46:04.360 problem like this.

00:46:06.300 Now, separately,

00:46:07.040 there's a problem

00:46:07.620 that they should

00:46:09.280 have sounded

00:46:09.960 the tsunami

00:46:10.720 alarms.

00:46:12.960 You've heard

00:46:13.580 that one?

00:46:14.280 So they have a

00:46:15.040 number of alarms

00:46:17.220 that they didn't

00:46:17.900 sound, and when

00:46:19.080 the communications

00:46:19.860 were cut, people

00:46:21.340 didn't know to

00:46:22.000 evacuate, because

00:46:23.140 there was no

00:46:23.500 alarm, and there

00:46:24.060 was no phone, and

00:46:24.820 there was no

00:46:25.380 internet.

00:46:26.660 So people kind

00:46:27.500 of stayed too

00:46:28.200 long, and that's

00:46:29.120 probably what got

00:46:29.880 them.

00:46:30.580 So imagine if you

00:46:31.780 were the authorities,

00:46:33.380 and that's true.

00:46:34.860 Now, we don't know

00:46:35.500 what's true, but

00:46:36.900 imagine it is.

00:46:38.700 Imagine you knew

00:46:39.600 that you would

00:46:40.640 have all lived,

00:46:41.640 your family would

00:46:42.440 have survived, if

00:46:43.860 they had just pushed

00:46:44.500 the button on the

00:46:45.440 tsunami alarm, because

00:46:46.800 everybody would know

00:46:47.620 at that point, oh,

00:46:48.420 shit, let's get out

00:46:50.200 of here and run

00:46:51.380 away.

00:46:52.240 Now, I don't know

00:46:52.940 if they would have

00:46:53.420 known what to

00:46:54.040 do, if it's a

00:46:55.220 tsunami alarm, but

00:46:56.120 they would have

00:46:56.500 known, shit's going

00:46:57.880 down, right?

00:46:59.020 So I believe I've

00:47:00.220 been on the island

00:47:00.840 when they've done

00:47:01.460 the alarm.

00:47:02.700 Has anybody been

00:47:03.940 on the island when

00:47:05.680 they heard the

00:47:06.340 test?

00:47:08.020 I think I was

00:47:08.940 there during a

00:47:09.500 test once.

00:47:10.660 That might be a

00:47:12.540 false memory, but

00:47:13.340 I thought I was

00:47:14.060 there during a

00:47:14.600 test.

00:47:16.040 And so I'm

00:47:18.720 pretty sure it

00:47:19.280 works, but maybe

00:47:20.580 it was the first

00:47:21.540 thing that got

00:47:22.040 burned, I don't

00:47:22.640 know.

00:47:23.400 So we probably

00:47:24.180 have to find out

00:47:24.860 why they didn't

00:47:25.480 do it.

00:47:26.660 But imagine if

00:47:29.100 that was the

00:47:29.780 problem, that it

00:47:31.240 was just

00:47:31.640 incompetently

00:47:32.460 handled and

00:47:33.420 people lost

00:47:33.980 their families.

00:47:36.120 I don't think

00:47:37.020 you understand how

00:47:38.780 violent that would

00:47:39.520 get.

00:47:41.160 Yeah.

00:47:41.600 I think the

00:47:42.440 native Hawaiians

00:47:43.220 especially are

00:47:44.640 going to say

00:47:45.020 that's too far.

00:47:46.580 Right?

00:47:47.000 You didn't give

00:47:47.420 us a warning?

00:47:48.780 Too far.

00:47:49.460 All right.

00:47:51.800 So there's not

00:47:52.700 much you can say

00:47:53.520 except there are a

00:47:55.900 lot of people in

00:47:56.520 the mainland, as

00:47:57.640 they like to say,

00:47:58.440 in Hawaii.

00:47:59.440 A lot of people in

00:48:00.400 the mainland who

00:48:01.200 are insanely sad

00:48:02.420 about this because

00:48:03.520 to many of us it's

00:48:04.420 like a second

00:48:05.180 home.

00:48:06.300 All right.

00:48:08.440 CNN, Jake

00:48:09.280 Tapper, is saying

00:48:10.940 that the

00:48:11.300 Republicans might

00:48:12.120 have a point.

00:48:14.140 What?

00:48:16.200 Can you imagine

00:48:17.020 anything on CNN

00:48:18.200 that sounds like

00:48:19.020 that?

00:48:19.640 He actually said

00:48:20.340 that they might

00:48:20.960 have a point.

00:48:21.860 Now you might

00:48:22.320 want to know

00:48:22.760 what story is he

00:48:23.840 talking about?

00:48:24.980 Well, he's saying

00:48:25.720 that maybe the

00:48:26.600 whistleblowers were

00:48:27.360 right and that

00:48:30.400 when the

00:48:32.820 prosecutor, Weiss,

00:48:35.420 said that,

00:48:37.400 first said he was

00:48:38.540 allowed to charge

00:48:39.680 people in any

00:48:40.860 state and then

00:48:42.240 he went back and

00:48:42.980 said, no, I can't

00:48:44.620 charge people in

00:48:45.260 any state.

00:48:45.800 So then he had

00:48:46.800 to become a

00:48:47.500 special counsel.

00:48:49.800 And so Jake

00:48:50.340 Tapper is saying,

00:48:51.040 wait a minute,

00:48:52.220 why did he have

00:48:53.080 to be given the

00:48:54.340 powers that Garland

00:48:56.380 said he already

00:48:56.980 had?

00:48:58.480 So he's saying

00:48:59.320 that the

00:48:59.620 Republicans have a

00:49:00.400 good point that

00:49:01.780 this story doesn't

00:49:02.620 match.

00:49:03.740 He either had the

00:49:04.440 power or he

00:49:05.560 didn't.

00:49:06.560 And if he had the

00:49:07.540 power, why did you

00:49:08.240 have to give him

00:49:08.800 power that he

00:49:09.380 already had?

00:49:09.760 So even Jake

00:49:11.900 Tapper can't

00:49:13.580 find a way to

00:49:14.180 spin that to

00:49:15.680 make that sound

00:49:16.320 like it was a

00:49:16.900 good idea.

00:49:18.580 So I feel like

00:49:20.780 Biden is not

00:49:22.280 anybody's first

00:49:23.080 choice as CNN.

00:49:24.220 What do you

00:49:24.540 think?

00:49:25.340 I feel like they

00:49:26.380 know if they

00:49:27.840 could nudge

00:49:28.760 him out, they'd

00:49:30.320 have a better

00:49:30.720 chance of getting

00:49:31.340 a Democrat

00:49:32.020 elected.

00:49:33.080 Maybe.

00:49:33.640 I mean, I

00:49:34.020 don't know who

00:49:34.440 would replace

00:49:34.860 him.

00:49:36.980 But I thought

00:49:37.680 that was notable.

00:49:39.760 So I've got a

00:49:42.700 book coming out

00:49:43.280 about reframes.

00:49:44.440 I talk about

00:49:44.940 reframes a lot.

00:49:46.460 And when you

00:49:46.900 start seeing the

00:49:47.460 world in terms of

00:49:48.300 reframes, which is

00:49:49.640 just rearranging the

00:49:50.860 words and thoughts

00:49:52.100 about something to

00:49:53.720 make it more

00:49:54.160 useful, I would

00:49:55.120 say the most

00:49:55.540 damaging reframe

00:49:56.660 in America is

00:49:59.440 that doing the

00:50:01.560 things that

00:50:02.000 successful people

00:50:02.880 do is acting

00:50:03.700 white.

00:50:05.760 The number one

00:50:06.820 most damaging

00:50:07.560 reframe in America.

00:50:08.880 Can you think of

00:50:09.440 one more

00:50:09.720 damaging?

00:50:13.260 Because I

00:50:13.880 feel like

00:50:14.460 everything from

00:50:15.940 retail stores

00:50:17.060 pulling out of

00:50:18.020 cities, I

00:50:19.940 mean, there's

00:50:20.240 just so many of

00:50:21.080 our problems

00:50:21.640 right now are

00:50:22.280 directly related

00:50:23.240 to the reframe

00:50:24.920 that doing all

00:50:26.960 of the things

00:50:27.460 that successful

00:50:28.060 people do is

00:50:29.800 unacceptable to

00:50:31.300 some portion

00:50:34.140 of our public.

00:50:35.880 And it shows.

00:50:36.840 So I think

00:50:39.160 I would rank

00:50:40.360 that as the

00:50:40.980 most damaging

00:50:42.240 reframe, taking

00:50:43.960 a normal

00:50:44.500 situation and

00:50:45.800 just conceiving

00:50:46.720 of it differently.

00:50:49.760 That's the

00:50:50.320 number one most

00:50:50.920 damaging one in

00:50:51.640 the country.

00:50:53.280 So that's the

00:50:54.000 one I'm going to

00:50:54.420 try to fix.

00:50:56.240 You know that I've

00:50:57.280 been working on

00:50:57.800 this for a while.

00:50:59.280 It got me

00:51:00.060 canceled.

00:51:00.380 So word to

00:51:03.000 the wise, if

00:51:04.140 you're looking to

00:51:04.660 reframe something,

00:51:06.500 don't start like

00:51:07.540 I did.

00:51:08.940 That shouldn't be

00:51:09.560 your first move.

00:51:10.820 Maybe you want to

00:51:11.360 ease into it.

00:51:12.940 Don't make

00:51:13.600 everybody's hair on

00:51:14.360 fire the first

00:51:15.160 thing you say.

00:51:16.420 Save that for

00:51:16.940 later, once you've

00:51:18.040 got a little base

00:51:18.640 of argument going.

00:51:20.280 So I guess I

00:51:20.860 learned that the

00:51:21.360 hard way.

00:51:22.280 There's a mass

00:51:23.180 looting reported

00:51:23.940 in a mall in L.A.

00:51:26.500 Nordstrom's got

00:51:28.800 taken down by

00:51:29.580 30 robbers.

00:51:31.920 Mike Cernovich and

00:51:32.860 others have

00:51:33.380 pointed out that

00:51:34.520 these are organized

00:51:36.240 gangs.

00:51:37.540 You know, law

00:51:37.900 enforcement told us

00:51:38.860 it's organized.

00:51:40.040 So it's not just a

00:51:40.840 bunch of friends who

00:51:41.500 decided to get

00:51:42.220 together.

00:51:42.720 It's organized.

00:51:43.840 If it's organized,

00:51:44.880 it almost certainly

00:51:45.580 crosses state

00:51:47.160 borders.

00:51:48.480 And that would

00:51:48.880 make it, it would

00:51:50.640 make it RICO if

00:51:51.440 it's organized and

00:51:52.260 state borders would

00:51:53.040 make it FBI.

00:51:54.860 And the thinking

00:51:55.820 is that these

00:51:56.620 could easily be

00:51:57.500 stopped with the

00:52:00.700 application of

00:52:01.460 enough law

00:52:01.940 enforcement.

00:52:04.220 And that

00:52:04.800 therefore, seeing

00:52:06.320 no effort to

00:52:07.060 stop it, suggests

00:52:08.680 that the people

00:52:09.660 in charge, whoever

00:52:11.200 they might be,

00:52:12.660 want this kind of

00:52:15.020 crime to happen.

00:52:16.200 When I say this

00:52:17.040 kind of crime, I'm

00:52:18.740 talking about a

00:52:19.380 kind of crime that

00:52:21.320 doesn't destroy the

00:52:22.640 country, but it

00:52:23.940 makes it so

00:52:24.560 difficult to go

00:52:25.420 through daily

00:52:25.920 life, that you

00:52:27.180 will beg for an

00:52:28.360 authoritarian to

00:52:30.100 impose order.

00:52:32.220 And that the idea

00:52:33.060 is that this crime

00:52:34.060 waiver you're seeing

00:52:34.880 is intentionally

00:52:36.380 allowed to run so

00:52:38.880 that authoritarian

00:52:40.060 rule could be

00:52:42.680 imposed.

00:52:43.640 Now, if you want

00:52:44.380 to go to the

00:52:44.840 extra level, digital

00:52:46.680 IDs and digital

00:52:47.880 money would be the

00:52:49.700 end result of this.

00:52:50.600 police, something

00:52:51.940 like, well, the

00:52:53.360 police are helpless

00:52:54.340 to stop crime.

00:52:55.980 The police can't

00:52:56.940 stop crime.

00:52:58.000 I don't see any

00:52:58.880 way police can

00:52:59.640 stop crime.

00:53:00.800 So we'll get rid of

00:53:01.740 the police.

00:53:02.600 Oh, crime got

00:53:03.420 worse.

00:53:04.360 What are you going

00:53:04.860 to do?

00:53:05.740 Well, you know what

00:53:06.260 would be good?

00:53:07.540 If you knew where

00:53:08.500 everybody was and

00:53:10.160 you knew what they

00:53:10.660 were up to.

00:53:11.980 And you could turn

00:53:12.960 off their money if

00:53:14.580 they did bad

00:53:15.140 things.

00:53:16.200 So we'll make

00:53:17.040 sure we've got a

00:53:17.700 picture of everybody

00:53:18.620 and we'll try to

00:53:20.100 figure out who they

00:53:21.180 are when they go in

00:53:21.860 the store, if they

00:53:22.980 don't have masks, I

00:53:23.840 guess.

00:53:24.660 And we'll use our

00:53:26.640 authoritarian control

00:53:27.860 to make sure that your

00:53:28.960 stores are not robbed.

00:53:30.860 So citizens, don't

00:53:32.160 worry.

00:53:33.180 We can stop this

00:53:34.060 crime wave by removing

00:53:35.320 all of your freedoms.

00:53:37.640 And if your privacy

00:53:39.940 is given up totally,

00:53:43.160 then you can stop

00:53:44.960 this crime wave.

00:53:45.900 Just vote for us.

00:53:48.480 How many of you

00:53:49.160 think that that's

00:53:50.420 the plan?

00:53:53.420 And that that's an

00:53:55.000 intentional part of

00:53:55.820 the plan is letting

00:53:56.760 crime run so that

00:53:58.580 we'll be softened up

00:53:59.680 for a totalitarian

00:54:00.720 move or moves?

00:54:05.840 I don't believe it

00:54:07.240 because it would

00:54:08.900 require too much

00:54:09.880 human intelligence

00:54:10.800 and control.

00:54:12.760 And there's no

00:54:13.640 evidence that humans

00:54:14.520 have that kind of

00:54:15.200 intelligence or

00:54:16.220 ability to coordinate

00:54:17.360 across so many

00:54:18.340 different domains.

00:54:20.480 To me, it looks like

00:54:21.300 an emergent property.

00:54:23.840 So it might be that

00:54:25.500 that's where it's

00:54:25.980 heading.

00:54:26.480 If you ask me where

00:54:27.440 it's heading, I would

00:54:29.040 say, oh, it's

00:54:29.700 definitely heading that

00:54:30.340 way.

00:54:31.340 I think I've been

00:54:32.220 telling you for 10

00:54:33.220 years that privacy

00:54:35.580 will go away, and

00:54:37.540 that's not a

00:54:38.080 preference.

00:54:39.520 It's just there's no

00:54:40.460 other way.

00:54:40.900 As soon as one

00:54:42.160 person can destroy

00:54:43.180 a whole city with

00:54:44.200 AI or, you know,

00:54:46.300 with a microbe of

00:54:48.280 some kind, then

00:54:49.880 everybody's going to

00:54:50.620 have to be watched

00:54:51.260 all the time or we'll

00:54:52.260 all be dead.

00:54:53.800 Or at least that'll be

00:54:54.860 the argument.

00:54:55.840 So there's no doubt

00:54:56.800 that privacy will

00:54:58.300 someday go away.

00:54:59.600 There's also no doubt

00:55:00.960 that money will

00:55:02.300 someday be digital.

00:55:04.220 20 years, 30 years,

00:55:05.940 six months, I

00:55:07.720 don't know when, but

00:55:09.280 you cannot imagine

00:55:10.480 30 years from now

00:55:11.740 paying for things

00:55:12.460 with a piece of

00:55:13.100 paper or a plastic

00:55:14.580 card.

00:55:16.240 Although I would say

00:55:17.180 a plastic card is

00:55:18.060 digital money, but

00:55:19.000 you know, that's

00:55:20.920 just me.

00:55:22.080 It goes through a

00:55:22.720 bank, so I guess

00:55:23.340 that's different.

00:55:24.460 But, yeah.

00:55:26.740 Anyway, so I would

00:55:28.220 say everything is

00:55:29.360 heading exactly where

00:55:30.520 you think it's

00:55:31.060 heading, but I don't

00:55:32.360 believe in the

00:55:33.520 puppet master.

00:55:34.320 I don't believe

00:55:35.500 Klaus Schwab is in

00:55:36.540 charge.

00:55:37.540 I don't believe

00:55:38.040 Soros is in

00:55:38.800 charge.

00:55:39.680 And I definitely

00:55:40.280 don't believe that

00:55:41.700 if Soros and

00:55:43.240 Klaus Schwab got in

00:55:45.600 a room, they would

00:55:46.840 agree on what needs

00:55:47.720 to be done.

00:55:49.680 Who do you think's

00:55:50.220 in charge, Soros or

00:55:51.420 Klaus Schwab?

00:55:52.760 Or do you think

00:55:53.220 they're working

00:55:53.560 together?

00:55:54.540 So that's the

00:55:54.980 problem.

00:55:55.640 In the real world,

00:55:56.580 billionaires don't

00:55:57.580 work together.

00:55:59.280 In the real world,

00:56:00.340 they're all just

00:56:00.740 doing their own

00:56:01.220 thing.

00:56:02.940 You don't hear too

00:56:03.840 many billionaires

00:56:04.300 colluding.

00:56:05.280 I think it's

00:56:05.640 more like, well,

00:56:06.920 I'm sure they

00:56:07.360 are onesies and

00:56:08.220 twosies, I'm sure

00:56:08.880 they do.

00:56:09.720 But people are

00:56:12.480 looking out for

00:56:12.960 themselves.

00:56:13.660 What I see is a

00:56:14.540 whole bunch of

00:56:15.120 people doing what's

00:56:16.660 good for them, and

00:56:18.340 the end result will

00:56:19.420 be a loss of

00:56:20.040 privacy, digital

00:56:21.000 money, facial

00:56:22.960 recognition

00:56:23.480 everywhere.

00:56:25.220 The free market

00:56:26.140 gets you in the

00:56:26.700 same place.

00:56:27.240 and I think the

00:56:33.180 other thing that

00:56:33.620 gets you in the

00:56:34.060 same place is

00:56:36.840 most Democrats

00:56:40.540 being women.

00:56:42.380 Let me ask you

00:56:43.160 this.

00:56:44.340 Tell me anything

00:56:45.240 that's happening

00:56:45.860 that you attribute

00:56:46.720 to the Great

00:56:47.480 Reset or to

00:56:49.640 anything else that

00:56:50.520 could not also be

00:56:51.540 100% explained by

00:56:54.020 Democrats are

00:56:55.060 dominated by

00:56:55.760 women, and

00:56:56.840 single women in

00:56:57.640 particular.

00:56:58.980 That would explain

00:57:00.020 all of your

00:57:00.460 observations, right?

00:57:03.560 Because how many

00:57:04.660 Republican men

00:57:05.560 wanted to cut

00:57:06.860 funding for

00:57:07.460 police?

00:57:10.080 How many

00:57:10.960 Republican men

00:57:12.100 are looking at

00:57:13.300 all the looting

00:57:13.900 and saying,

00:57:15.080 well, that's

00:57:15.720 better than the

00:57:16.240 alternatives of

00:57:17.200 putting them in

00:57:17.960 jail?

00:57:18.840 Better than the

00:57:19.680 alternative.

00:57:20.720 How many men are

00:57:21.400 saying that?

00:57:22.720 None?

00:57:25.440 Why are these

00:57:26.960 30?

00:57:29.300 Okay, let me ask

00:57:30.300 you another

00:57:30.560 question.

00:57:31.440 30 people robbed

00:57:32.540 this store, why

00:57:33.220 are they still

00:57:33.720 alive?

00:57:35.940 Why are the 30

00:57:36.920 robbers still

00:57:37.560 alive?

00:57:39.720 It's not because

00:57:40.660 of men.

00:57:42.080 Do you think

00:57:42.520 men said, you

00:57:43.220 know, I think

00:57:44.580 this is fine.

00:57:47.900 If all the

00:57:48.820 women tomorrow

00:57:49.640 went on vacation

00:57:50.520 and turned off

00:57:51.180 their phones,

00:57:53.400 shoplifting would

00:57:54.380 end in two

00:57:54.940 days.

00:57:56.600 You just need

00:57:57.360 the women to

00:57:57.840 turn off their

00:57:58.320 phones and

00:57:59.180 stop interacting.

00:58:01.420 The men will

00:58:01.920 take care of

00:58:02.400 it.

00:58:03.460 Do you think

00:58:03.980 there's any man

00:58:04.660 anywhere who

00:58:05.240 doesn't know how

00:58:05.780 to stop crime

00:58:06.500 in stores?

00:58:08.700 Anywhere.

00:58:09.540 There's not one

00:58:10.340 man who doesn't

00:58:11.040 know how to

00:58:11.340 stop retail

00:58:12.080 theft.

00:58:13.060 100% of us

00:58:14.040 know.

00:58:15.380 You know why

00:58:15.820 we can't?

00:58:16.800 Women.

00:58:17.760 It's women.

00:58:19.020 Women won't

00:58:19.620 let us go

00:58:20.140 violent.

00:58:21.880 Not as

00:58:22.560 violent as

00:58:23.140 we need to

00:58:23.680 be.

00:58:24.520 At the

00:58:25.080 moment, what's

00:58:25.800 needed is

00:58:26.320 tremendous

00:58:26.840 violence.

00:58:28.900 Without it,

00:58:29.780 you'll get

00:58:30.080 more of

00:58:30.400 this.

00:58:31.540 Now, I

00:58:31.880 don't recommend

00:58:32.440 violence.

00:58:33.680 Don't recommend

00:58:34.520 it.

00:58:34.740 You should try

00:58:35.140 everything first.

00:58:36.240 And you should

00:58:36.560 certainly, if you

00:58:37.440 do the violence,

00:58:38.080 you don't want to

00:58:38.500 do it with

00:58:39.020 police and, you

00:58:39.980 know, sanctioned,

00:58:41.280 well-trained,

00:58:42.480 legal violence.

00:58:44.020 But it would

00:58:44.560 require violence.

00:58:45.440 women are the

00:58:50.400 ones stopping us

00:58:51.520 from doing it,

00:58:52.000 basically.

00:58:53.980 Now, I'd

00:58:56.040 like to talk to

00:58:56.800 the NPCs.

00:58:59.060 NPCs.

00:59:00.100 When I say a

00:59:01.320 global statement

00:59:02.200 like women or

00:59:04.120 Republicans or

00:59:06.340 Democrats, I

00:59:08.160 never mean every

00:59:08.960 one of them.

00:59:09.420 I never mean

00:59:11.140 every one of

00:59:11.740 them.

00:59:12.640 Not once.

00:59:13.780 I do believe

00:59:14.560 that there are

00:59:14.960 plenty of

00:59:15.340 Republican women

00:59:16.160 who would

00:59:17.220 strap one on

00:59:19.140 and end the

00:59:20.640 shoplifting

00:59:21.200 tomorrow.

00:59:23.020 Plenty of

00:59:23.740 Republican women

00:59:24.560 have guns and

00:59:26.920 know how to

00:59:27.380 use them in

00:59:27.820 the right

00:59:28.100 context.

00:59:29.100 Plenty.

00:59:29.880 I'm just making

00:59:30.560 a big

00:59:30.920 generalization.

00:59:32.420 Big generalization

00:59:33.460 is that if

00:59:34.760 women weren't,

00:59:36.940 you know,

00:59:37.360 maybe more than

00:59:38.240 half of the

00:59:39.040 political power

00:59:40.120 in the country,

00:59:41.180 there would be

00:59:42.220 no retail theft.

00:59:44.820 It's sort of a

00:59:45.740 man's problem

00:59:46.500 that men are

00:59:47.280 not allowed to

00:59:47.880 solve.

00:59:49.260 We can solve

00:59:50.040 it.

00:59:52.080 And I know

00:59:53.180 a lot of you

00:59:53.840 are thinking,

00:59:54.380 it's like,

00:59:54.680 oh, it's a

00:59:55.380 racial thing.

00:59:56.880 You're thinking,

00:59:57.580 you know,

00:59:58.020 the problem is

00:59:58.700 every time you

00:59:59.820 see a video,

01:00:00.380 it's black

01:00:00.720 people robbing

01:00:01.400 stores.

01:00:02.340 Am I right?

01:00:03.360 Pretty much

01:00:03.860 every time,

01:00:04.940 it's video of

01:00:05.460 black people

01:00:05.960 robbing stores.

01:00:06.860 So that makes

01:00:07.400 everybody feel

01:00:08.020 helpless.

01:00:09.040 Because it

01:00:09.440 would look

01:00:09.740 racial if

01:00:10.380 you did

01:00:10.620 anything about

01:00:11.160 it.

01:00:12.380 But I

01:00:13.040 would argue

01:00:13.520 that you

01:00:14.040 could end

01:00:14.480 retail theft

01:00:15.340 tomorrow by

01:00:17.040 just telling

01:00:17.720 other black

01:00:18.920 American citizens

01:00:19.820 that they

01:00:20.320 could do

01:00:20.580 anything they

01:00:21.140 want to end

01:00:21.640 it.

01:00:22.840 Hey, black

01:00:23.300 Americans,

01:00:24.120 if you want

01:00:24.940 stores in

01:00:25.460 your town,

01:00:27.280 we'll just

01:00:28.540 walk away for

01:00:29.240 an hour,

01:00:29.900 and you do

01:00:30.500 whatever you

01:00:30.860 need to stop

01:00:31.440 it.

01:00:31.560 I think black

01:00:33.440 Americans would

01:00:34.040 stop retail theft

01:00:35.060 in one minute

01:00:36.840 because they

01:00:37.980 would just

01:00:38.320 take care of

01:00:39.400 the people

01:00:39.680 doing it,

01:00:40.580 so to speak.

01:00:42.900 So if you

01:00:44.600 think the

01:00:45.080 racial component

01:00:46.180 is like the

01:00:46.680 main variable

01:00:47.440 here,

01:00:48.560 it's sort of

01:00:49.400 main visual

01:00:50.200 variable,

01:00:51.400 but I don't

01:00:51.900 think men

01:00:52.600 are on

01:00:52.940 different sides.

01:00:54.540 Do you

01:00:54.760 think black

01:00:55.280 men want

01:00:57.040 their stores

01:00:57.560 to disappear?

01:00:59.120 I don't

01:00:59.660 think so.

01:01:00.940 I don't

01:01:01.480 think so at

01:01:01.940 all.

01:01:02.600 And I

01:01:02.860 think if you

01:01:03.240 gave them

01:01:03.700 some legal

01:01:04.640 mechanism to

01:01:05.440 stop it,

01:01:05.940 they would

01:01:06.160 do it right

01:01:06.540 away.

01:01:08.420 That's what

01:01:08.960 I think.

01:01:11.620 So,

01:01:12.540 anyway,

01:01:14.340 cities are

01:01:14.780 dead.

01:01:16.860 Paul Graham

01:01:17.640 was tweeting

01:01:18.160 that researchers

01:01:18.920 at the

01:01:19.340 University of

01:01:20.020 Toronto used

01:01:20.660 cell phone

01:01:21.080 usage to

01:01:21.940 measure how

01:01:23.400 dead the

01:01:23.820 cities are.

01:01:24.540 So measuring

01:01:25.160 from the

01:01:26.680 COVID rebound,

01:01:27.720 apparently,

01:01:28.160 no big

01:01:28.780 city is

01:01:29.400 more than

01:01:29.800 two-thirds

01:01:30.700 the cell

01:01:32.520 phone usage

01:01:33.020 of what it

01:01:33.600 was pre-COVID.

01:01:35.920 No big

01:01:36.960 city is

01:01:39.360 even above

01:01:39.940 two-thirds

01:01:40.660 of what it

01:01:41.160 was in

01:01:41.640 cell phone

01:01:42.100 usage before

01:01:44.040 the pandemic.

01:01:46.040 None.

01:01:47.920 San

01:01:48.280 Francisco is

01:01:48.920 the worst

01:01:49.420 at only

01:01:50.480 one-third

01:01:51.400 of the

01:01:52.780 2019

01:01:53.440 cell phone

01:01:54.620 usage.

01:01:56.040 One-third.

01:01:58.160 Wow.

01:02:02.700 Yeah,

01:02:02.980 cities are

01:02:03.460 dead.

01:02:04.980 Anybody who

01:02:05.720 goes,

01:02:06.280 visits the

01:02:06.860 city,

01:02:07.180 or even

01:02:07.640 drives through

01:02:08.860 one,

01:02:10.020 if you have

01:02:10.520 any choice

01:02:11.100 to not,

01:02:12.220 just don't

01:02:12.800 do it.

01:02:13.780 All right.

01:02:14.420 Once crime

01:02:15.360 became legal

01:02:16.100 in cities,

01:02:16.920 you had to

01:02:17.440 get out.

01:02:18.520 Now,

01:02:18.920 one thing that

01:02:19.560 could save

01:02:19.980 us,

01:02:20.420 and I think

01:02:20.840 you'd agree,

01:02:21.620 is if the

01:02:22.260 media decided

01:02:23.180 that this

01:02:23.700 crime needed

01:02:24.240 to end.

01:02:26.020 Now,

01:02:26.580 our opinions

01:02:27.180 come from

01:02:27.640 the media,

01:02:29.160 so especially

01:02:29.820 if the

01:02:30.360 left-leaning

01:02:31.480 media said,

01:02:32.420 it's too

01:02:32.780 far,

01:02:33.880 we've got

01:02:34.320 to get

01:02:34.560 police in

01:02:35.100 there.

01:02:35.560 Now,

01:02:35.920 to their

01:02:36.300 credit,

01:02:37.200 I would

01:02:37.640 say that

01:02:38.360 probably

01:02:39.920 most people

01:02:40.640 in the

01:02:40.980 media on

01:02:41.400 the left

01:02:41.760 do think

01:02:42.880 that defund

01:02:44.440 the police

01:02:44.860 went too

01:02:45.260 far.

01:02:46.060 Would you

01:02:46.620 agree?

01:02:47.140 At least

01:02:47.560 the serious

01:02:48.120 people,

01:02:48.860 you know,

01:02:49.020 the people

01:02:49.300 in the news

01:02:49.820 business,

01:02:50.600 they're pretty

01:02:51.420 sure that

01:02:51.980 the defund

01:02:52.480 the police

01:02:52.860 went too

01:02:53.300 far.

01:02:53.700 But they

01:02:54.120 can't

01:02:54.300 really say

01:02:54.720 that too

01:02:55.600 hard,

01:02:56.160 because their

01:02:56.540 audience,

01:02:57.260 you know,

01:02:57.520 doesn't want

01:02:57.880 to hear it.

01:02:59.440 But let

01:03:01.180 me just

01:03:01.500 point out

01:03:01.980 one imperfection

01:03:03.240 with our

01:03:03.640 system.

01:03:04.700 In a

01:03:05.340 perfect world,

01:03:06.280 your media

01:03:06.980 is the

01:03:07.620 watchdogs

01:03:08.600 of the

01:03:09.920 bad behavior,

01:03:11.520 right?

01:03:11.840 So they're

01:03:12.200 the ones

01:03:12.740 making sure

01:03:13.300 your government

01:03:14.540 doesn't do

01:03:15.100 bad stuff

01:03:15.780 too much,

01:03:17.400 the media

01:03:18.160 make sure

01:03:18.620 the corporations

01:03:19.380 aren't abusing

01:03:20.140 the citizens

01:03:20.840 too much,

01:03:22.140 right?

01:03:23.300 So one

01:03:24.660 of the

01:03:24.880 biggest

01:03:25.220 watchdogs

01:03:28.540 would be

01:03:29.000 the

01:03:29.700 Washington

01:03:30.040 Post.

01:03:31.100 Would you

01:03:31.420 agree?

01:03:32.420 The

01:03:32.860 Washington

01:03:33.180 Post is

01:03:33.720 not like

01:03:34.120 other

01:03:34.360 newspapers,

01:03:36.140 not only

01:03:38.140 by where

01:03:38.580 it exists

01:03:39.260 in Washington,

01:03:40.100 D.C.,

01:03:40.620 but also

01:03:41.340 because it's

01:03:41.920 a major

01:03:42.500 media driver

01:03:43.440 of news.

01:03:44.480 The

01:03:44.680 Washington

01:03:44.960 Post is

01:03:45.400 what's

01:03:45.620 called a

01:03:45.960 newsmaker,

01:03:47.540 meaning that

01:03:48.200 if they say

01:03:48.920 something's

01:03:49.440 important,

01:03:50.620 the other

01:03:51.140 media follow.

01:03:51.900 For

01:03:52.880 example,

01:03:53.600 when I

01:03:53.980 got

01:03:54.180 canceled,

01:03:55.260 it was

01:03:55.580 primarily

01:03:56.060 because the

01:03:56.660 Washington

01:03:56.960 Post went

01:03:57.500 first.

01:03:58.540 So they're

01:03:59.060 the ones

01:03:59.420 the other

01:03:59.800 newspapers

01:04:00.280 look at,

01:04:01.540 and then

01:04:01.880 they say,

01:04:02.260 all right,

01:04:02.580 well,

01:04:02.860 if you think

01:04:03.340 that's a

01:04:03.740 thing,

01:04:04.080 everybody

01:04:04.320 cares about

01:04:04.860 it now,

01:04:05.320 so we'll

01:04:06.220 report on it

01:04:06.940 the same

01:04:07.760 way or

01:04:08.400 also.

01:04:09.660 So the

01:04:10.320 Washington

01:04:10.620 Post doesn't

01:04:11.200 have just

01:04:11.720 the power

01:04:12.220 of a big

01:04:12.920 entity.

01:04:13.880 It has

01:04:14.220 the power

01:04:14.600 of a big

01:04:15.060 media entity

01:04:15.840 that influences

01:04:17.600 all the other

01:04:18.280 media entities.

01:04:19.040 the New

01:04:19.940 York Times

01:04:21.280 would be

01:04:21.600 another,

01:04:22.440 right?

01:04:23.060 So when

01:04:23.940 you talk

01:04:24.240 about

01:04:24.460 newsmaking

01:04:25.280 newspapers,

01:04:27.200 it's the

01:04:28.240 Wall Street

01:04:28.620 Journal,

01:04:29.600 it's the

01:04:29.840 Washington

01:04:30.120 Post,

01:04:30.800 it's the

01:04:31.180 New York

01:04:31.440 Times.

01:04:32.440 So my

01:04:32.960 only point

01:04:33.520 leading up

01:04:34.600 to my

01:04:34.840 bigger point

01:04:35.400 is that

01:04:36.060 they create

01:04:37.280 news by

01:04:38.340 telling other

01:04:38.820 people what

01:04:39.340 to concentrate

01:04:40.060 on.

01:04:41.380 Jeff Bezos,

01:04:42.500 the owner

01:04:42.840 of Amazon,

01:04:43.620 owns the

01:04:44.100 Washington

01:04:44.400 Post.

01:04:44.840 What do

01:04:48.580 you think

01:04:48.760 the Washington

01:04:49.240 Post is

01:04:49.780 saying about

01:04:50.320 all the

01:04:50.720 retail stores,

01:04:52.360 the biggest

01:04:52.780 competition to

01:04:53.620 Amazon?

01:04:54.540 What do

01:04:54.800 you think

01:04:54.960 they're saying

01:04:55.420 about their

01:04:56.740 bosses'

01:04:57.500 competition

01:04:57.960 being destroyed

01:04:58.860 for reasons

01:05:01.080 that aren't

01:05:01.520 clear?

01:05:03.720 You know,

01:05:04.300 we defunded

01:05:04.880 the police,

01:05:05.280 that's clear.

01:05:06.120 But why we

01:05:07.240 keep doing it

01:05:07.860 is unclear.

01:05:10.660 Yeah.

01:05:11.620 Now,

01:05:12.720 so I tweeted

01:05:13.440 to Phil Bump,

01:05:14.460 who's an

01:05:15.100 opinion guy

01:05:15.640 at the

01:05:16.120 Washington

01:05:16.400 Post,

01:05:17.000 and I

01:05:17.260 wanted to

01:05:17.580 see if

01:05:18.900 they've even

01:05:19.480 noticed that

01:05:21.780 the destruction

01:05:22.540 of retail

01:05:23.180 goes directly

01:05:24.760 to the benefit

01:05:25.400 of their

01:05:25.800 boss,

01:05:26.460 because we'll

01:05:26.880 just buy

01:05:27.280 online.

01:05:28.700 How is

01:05:29.420 that not

01:05:30.040 important?

01:05:32.440 Or do you

01:05:33.220 think that

01:05:33.620 the Washington

01:05:34.280 Post should

01:05:35.000 recuse itself

01:05:36.120 from any

01:05:37.320 stories about

01:05:38.220 retail theft?

01:05:41.480 You know

01:05:42.220 what I'd

01:05:42.480 like to see?

01:05:42.960 The Washington

01:05:44.340 Post is

01:05:44.940 going to

01:05:45.160 recuse

01:05:45.560 itself from

01:05:46.400 stories about

01:05:47.380 these online

01:05:48.460 theft because

01:05:49.800 it would be a

01:05:51.820 conflict of

01:05:52.340 interest.

01:05:53.420 It would be a

01:05:54.220 gigantic conflict

01:05:55.280 of interest.

01:05:56.140 In fact,

01:05:57.020 the Washington

01:05:57.460 Post should

01:05:58.140 never report

01:05:59.060 about anybody

01:06:01.520 calling for

01:06:02.160 defunding the

01:06:02.880 police,

01:06:03.600 because defunding

01:06:04.680 the police is

01:06:05.640 the same as

01:06:06.360 givemoneytoamazon.com.

01:06:08.080 How many of

01:06:10.780 you would

01:06:11.520 want to go

01:06:12.000 to a retail

01:06:12.980 store in

01:06:13.720 an urban

01:06:14.160 center today?

01:06:16.000 I wouldn't.

01:06:18.220 You would

01:06:19.140 never catch

01:06:19.680 me in a

01:06:20.220 Walgreens in

01:06:21.200 San Francisco

01:06:21.840 if they have

01:06:22.500 any left.

01:06:23.140 Maybe they're

01:06:23.520 all gone.

01:06:24.520 You think I

01:06:25.020 would go to

01:06:25.400 a Walgreens in

01:06:26.280 San Francisco?

01:06:27.540 I mean, I

01:06:28.020 don't know what

01:06:28.540 I would have

01:06:29.040 to have as

01:06:29.820 an emergency

01:06:30.580 before I

01:06:31.720 would park

01:06:32.160 a car.

01:06:33.980 Let's say I

01:06:34.700 don't have a

01:06:35.060 car.

01:06:35.240 But before I

01:06:36.180 would walk

01:06:36.460 down the

01:06:36.840 street in

01:06:37.420 San Francisco

01:06:38.020 and enter

01:06:38.720 a Walgreens.

01:06:40.380 No fucking

01:06:41.120 way I'm going

01:06:41.560 to do that.

01:06:43.040 No.

01:06:43.660 I'll buy it

01:06:44.260 online.

01:06:45.460 So how do

01:06:46.800 we put up

01:06:47.260 with this?

01:06:48.720 Now, by the

01:06:49.180 way, I have

01:06:49.820 no information

01:06:50.520 that would

01:06:50.900 suggest that

01:06:51.820 Jeff Bezos

01:06:52.640 has asked

01:06:53.380 the Washington

01:06:53.880 Post to do

01:06:54.680 or not do

01:06:55.240 anything.

01:06:56.420 He may

01:06:56.860 actually be

01:06:57.460 hands-off.

01:06:58.980 But that's

01:06:59.780 not good

01:07:00.100 enough, because

01:07:00.760 the employees

01:07:01.260 know what to

01:07:01.820 do.

01:07:02.780 Do you think

01:07:03.160 the employees

01:07:03.680 are sitting

01:07:04.120 there saying,

01:07:04.640 let's launch

01:07:05.660 an investigative

01:07:06.380 report and

01:07:07.380 find out

01:07:07.780 what's wrong

01:07:08.200 with Amazon?

01:07:09.580 Do you think

01:07:09.960 they're running

01:07:10.360 a big anti-Amazon

01:07:11.580 series?

01:07:12.880 No.

01:07:13.680 They know

01:07:14.220 not to.

01:07:15.300 Do you think

01:07:15.840 that they

01:07:16.160 understand that

01:07:17.680 their boss is

01:07:18.420 better off if

01:07:19.940 there's more

01:07:21.140 store closings

01:07:21.980 in urban

01:07:22.420 centers?

01:07:22.980 Of course

01:07:23.320 they do.

01:07:24.260 They know

01:07:24.680 where people

01:07:25.080 shop.

01:07:26.240 And they know

01:07:26.660 that if they

01:07:27.060 can't shop in

01:07:27.680 person, they

01:07:28.180 shop online.

01:07:28.800 Everybody

01:07:29.040 knows that.

01:07:30.060 So you

01:07:30.420 don't have to

01:07:30.820 have a

01:07:31.080 conspiracy or an

01:07:32.420 order from the

01:07:33.100 top to know

01:07:34.480 that the

01:07:34.840 organization is

01:07:35.780 designed to

01:07:38.100 make retail

01:07:38.740 stores disappear.

01:07:41.800 Let me say

01:07:42.600 it again.

01:07:43.440 The design of

01:07:44.940 the ownership

01:07:45.600 and structure of

01:07:46.980 the Washington

01:07:47.440 Post is

01:07:49.160 designed to

01:07:51.180 largely destroy

01:07:52.220 retail business

01:07:53.140 in the United

01:07:53.600 States.

01:07:54.680 Because the

01:07:55.460 people all know

01:07:56.300 what's good for

01:07:56.920 their boss, and

01:07:58.500 they know what's

01:07:58.980 not good for

01:07:59.540 their boss, and

01:08:00.220 everybody acts

01:08:00.860 that way.

01:08:01.220 it's the

01:08:02.340 universal truth

01:08:03.300 of employees.

01:08:04.880 You anticipate

01:08:05.540 what your boss

01:08:06.260 wants, and you

01:08:06.840 do more of

01:08:07.320 that, and less

01:08:08.440 of the thing

01:08:08.800 your boss

01:08:09.120 doesn't like.

01:08:11.260 So I would

01:08:13.880 say if you're a

01:08:14.780 retail store

01:08:15.860 person, if you're

01:08:17.100 Nordstrom, the

01:08:18.920 Washington Post is

01:08:19.700 your enemy.

01:08:21.660 And if the

01:08:22.320 Washington Post

01:08:22.900 suddenly changed

01:08:24.500 their coverage and

01:08:25.600 said, we've got to

01:08:26.820 get more police,

01:08:27.740 we're going to run

01:08:28.320 opinions on this

01:08:29.600 every day, more

01:08:30.820 police, more

01:08:31.360 police, we've

01:08:32.020 got to stop

01:08:32.420 this closure of

01:08:33.340 retail stores,

01:08:34.040 well, then I

01:08:34.420 would believe

01:08:34.740 them.

01:08:35.820 Then I would

01:08:36.400 say, oh, okay,

01:08:37.260 that's just news,

01:08:38.480 and actually good

01:08:39.400 opinion, too.

01:08:40.760 But when

01:08:41.420 coincidentally their

01:08:42.440 coverage, and I

01:08:43.080 don't know if this

01:08:43.640 is the case, so I've

01:08:44.800 asked the question,

01:08:45.880 but if their

01:08:46.380 coverage is not

01:08:47.200 every day saying

01:08:48.060 we need to stop

01:08:48.960 this retail theft,

01:08:50.220 because everybody

01:08:50.780 should be covering

01:08:51.440 it, you have to

01:08:53.960 wonder about

01:08:55.060 conflict of

01:08:55.640 interest.

01:08:57.780 Well, here's a

01:08:58.660 story that I'm

01:08:59.920 not sure I

01:09:00.400 totally understand,

01:09:01.680 but I love it, if

01:09:03.880 it's true.

01:09:05.240 So, Matt

01:09:05.880 Gates wants to

01:09:09.900 have Congress

01:09:10.900 call in Jack

01:09:12.240 Smith to testify

01:09:13.340 on record, so

01:09:14.080 he would be the

01:09:14.580 one prosecuting

01:09:16.080 Trump in his

01:09:16.980 newer troubles.

01:09:19.320 And so that's a

01:09:21.840 very aggressive

01:09:22.420 thing, to bring

01:09:23.640 in a prosecutor,

01:09:25.180 because if he

01:09:25.860 refuses, they can

01:09:26.880 indict him, right?

01:09:29.540 So, Gates is

01:09:30.780 playing hardball, so

01:09:32.780 he's saying, you

01:09:33.520 either come in and

01:09:34.540 say some things that

01:09:35.460 are going to make

01:09:36.320 you look bad, because

01:09:37.380 we're going to ask

01:09:37.880 questions that will

01:09:38.580 make you look bad.

01:09:39.520 If you refuse, we'll

01:09:40.800 indict you, and you

01:09:42.200 could be like an

01:09:43.000 indicted prosecutor

01:09:44.160 who's trying to

01:09:45.360 indict somebody that

01:09:46.220 we think should not

01:09:46.940 be indicted.

01:09:48.620 Now, that would be

01:09:49.280 awkward, right?

01:09:50.720 But there's a better

01:09:52.000 wrinkle to this, and I

01:09:54.180 need a fact check on

01:09:55.160 this, like I need a

01:09:56.540 fact check on this

01:09:57.240 really badly, because

01:09:58.580 I don't think I

01:09:59.540 fully understand the

01:10:00.900 story, but I'll tell

01:10:02.800 you what I read, that

01:10:04.960 Matt Gates has a

01:10:05.800 plan to bring in

01:10:07.380 Trump to testify as

01:10:09.760 a whistleblower, a

01:10:13.280 whistleblower, which

01:10:16.020 would, as part of the

01:10:18.260 deal, it would make

01:10:19.260 him not, he would not

01:10:21.320 be able to be

01:10:22.040 prosecuted, because

01:10:23.620 part of a

01:10:24.240 whistleblower deal is

01:10:25.920 if you tell us the

01:10:26.900 truth about this

01:10:27.700 situation, you can't

01:10:29.480 be prosecuted for the

01:10:30.920 situation you came in

01:10:31.960 to talk to us about

01:10:32.900 with permission.

01:10:35.220 So if they cleverly

01:10:36.900 say, hey, Mr. Trump,

01:10:39.940 why don't you come in

01:10:40.820 and talk to us as a

01:10:41.980 whistleblower about the

01:10:43.080 thing you've been, the

01:10:44.000 crimes you've been

01:10:44.660 charged with, in theory,

01:10:47.840 he could not be

01:10:48.600 charged with the crimes

01:10:49.460 anymore, because the

01:10:51.080 moment he becomes a

01:10:51.920 whistleblower and

01:10:52.800 Congress gives him

01:10:53.620 immunity for the

01:10:54.940 specific charges.

01:10:57.460 Now, it's either

01:10:59.720 brilliant or stupid, and

01:11:01.100 I haven't decided yet.

01:11:03.460 It's, you know,

01:11:04.060 brilliant if it could

01:11:04.840 work and you like it.

01:11:06.540 It does have the

01:11:07.600 problem that the left

01:11:09.480 would just say justice

01:11:10.980 was not served, they're

01:11:12.660 treating him like he's

01:11:13.460 above the law, right?

01:11:16.000 Now, even though the

01:11:16.980 Republicans would say,

01:11:18.080 he's not above the law,

01:11:19.760 we used the law.

01:11:20.920 We didn't make a law, we

01:11:23.220 used an existing law, and

01:11:25.260 it just happened to be for

01:11:26.240 his benefit.

01:11:27.440 But that's not illegal.

01:11:29.240 It's not illegal to do

01:11:30.980 things completely legally.

01:11:33.360 I don't know if you knew

01:11:34.120 that.

01:11:34.880 Also, if you give money to

01:11:36.280 people who have to pay

01:11:37.200 bills, again, they'll pay

01:11:39.260 bills.

01:11:40.920 Oh, shocking.

01:11:42.520 So, I don't know, keep an

01:11:45.920 eye on this one.

01:11:46.660 I have a feeling that he's

01:11:47.800 not going to execute on

01:11:49.020 this.

01:11:49.700 I don't think Trump will

01:11:51.100 be a whistleblower coming

01:11:52.480 in.

01:11:53.260 But who knows?

01:11:56.060 Who knows?

01:11:57.060 He's definitely playing

01:11:57.820 hardball.

01:11:58.980 This is some interesting

01:12:00.200 thinking, anyway, even if

01:12:01.880 the possibility is low,

01:12:05.040 it's interesting.

01:12:09.560 Fine line between stupid

01:12:11.080 and clever.

01:12:14.540 Yeah, I don't know what

01:12:15.320 you're talking about.

01:12:16.580 All right.

01:12:19.160 Whistleblower protections

01:12:20.040 apply to government

01:12:21.020 employees.

01:12:24.260 All right.

01:12:24.900 So, somebody's saying it

01:12:26.580 applies to government

01:12:27.440 employees, which would

01:12:29.480 mean that Trump is not

01:12:31.000 technically a government

01:12:32.060 employee.

01:12:36.280 But I wonder if they

01:12:37.280 could stretch it for

01:12:38.860 somebody who is running

01:12:39.960 for president who was

01:12:41.100 president and still has

01:12:43.360 secret service and all

01:12:44.380 that.

01:12:46.600 I feel like they could

01:12:48.420 stretch it and then let

01:12:49.880 the Supreme Court sort

01:12:51.020 it out.

01:12:52.460 Let me ask you this.

01:12:53.840 From a just common

01:12:55.580 sense point of view of

01:12:57.720 what feels to you fair,

01:12:59.340 even though fair is not

01:13:00.600 a real thing, but what

01:13:01.820 feels to you fair, would

01:13:04.020 it feel fair that Trump

01:13:05.380 was treated like a

01:13:06.580 government employee

01:13:07.580 specifically for the

01:13:09.560 whistleblower purposes,

01:13:11.820 even though technically

01:13:12.800 not on the payroll?

01:13:13.620 would you feel that that

01:13:15.780 was a reasonable extension

01:13:17.280 of the law?

01:13:19.240 I think I would.

01:13:21.880 I think if that got to

01:13:23.180 the Supreme Court and

01:13:24.940 the Supreme Court said,

01:13:25.960 you know, the law said

01:13:27.340 you have to be an

01:13:27.880 employee.

01:13:28.640 He's definitely not an

01:13:29.720 employee, but in kind.

01:13:33.260 Would you say, wouldn't

01:13:34.160 you say Trump is working

01:13:35.200 for the public right now?

01:13:37.760 I mean, running for office

01:13:39.060 is what we ask of people.

01:13:40.600 We ask them to do this.

01:13:44.020 So it's a pretty fine line

01:13:46.000 between being a government

01:13:47.160 employee and somebody who

01:13:49.120 was recently president,

01:13:50.560 has a really good chance of

01:13:51.800 being president again, and

01:13:53.440 every day is spending money

01:13:54.820 running for the presidency

01:13:56.660 because otherwise you can't

01:13:57.940 have a president.

01:13:59.340 To say that that's not a

01:14:00.920 government employee, I get

01:14:02.180 it.

01:14:02.980 Technically not.

01:14:03.900 But don't you think the law

01:14:05.580 was intended to cover

01:14:09.500 somebody like him?

01:14:12.220 I mean, they didn't

01:14:12.900 anticipate it or it would

01:14:14.060 be in the law.

01:14:15.120 But don't you think that

01:14:16.140 reasonably that makes sense

01:14:18.740 that he's the type of person

01:14:20.180 the government wanted to

01:14:21.220 protect?

01:14:22.080 Because the government, the

01:14:23.320 reason for whistleblowers

01:14:24.660 is for the government's

01:14:26.960 benefit, not the

01:14:27.680 whistleblower.

01:14:29.140 Would you agree?

01:14:30.280 It's for the government's

01:14:31.140 benefit.

01:14:31.740 So they can get

01:14:32.640 information.

01:14:33.900 So this is a perfect

01:14:35.660 example of that.

01:14:36.620 It's a government-ish sort

01:14:38.380 of guy.

01:14:39.300 He's got information.

01:14:40.340 It's good for the

01:14:40.880 government.

01:14:41.840 Wouldn't Congress want him

01:14:43.360 to be covered or anybody

01:14:45.600 in that situation in the

01:14:46.840 future?

01:14:48.180 Because the point is to get

01:14:49.460 the information.

01:14:51.180 And he's as close to being

01:14:53.400 a government employee as

01:14:54.520 anybody could possibly be.

01:14:56.180 I would say that if

01:14:57.160 somebody were a contract

01:14:58.440 employee for the

01:15:00.080 government, all right,

01:15:01.180 Marcel, answer this

01:15:02.080 question.

01:15:02.360 Let's say somebody is a

01:15:04.160 contract employee, so

01:15:05.340 they're not technically

01:15:06.100 an employee.

01:15:07.060 Would a contract

01:15:07.940 employer who works

01:15:09.760 every day in the

01:15:10.380 government, would they be

01:15:11.760 covered by the

01:15:12.320 whistleblower?

01:15:13.400 Contract employee, yes or

01:15:14.780 no?

01:15:15.500 Not technically an

01:15:16.560 employee.

01:15:19.000 Yes or no?

01:15:21.760 I would say probably

01:15:23.480 yes.

01:15:23.960 I would say that if it

01:15:27.400 came to the Supreme

01:15:28.320 Court, I would expect the

01:15:29.820 Supreme Court to rule

01:15:30.900 that they are, they're

01:15:33.260 government employees in

01:15:34.840 kind.

01:15:36.740 And that's close enough.

01:15:39.020 So I would say, so just

01:15:40.640 reasoning this through

01:15:41.500 without any political or

01:15:43.080 without any legal background

01:15:45.740 at all, I would say that

01:15:49.140 contractors would be covered

01:15:51.520 and then it's a very

01:15:52.600 small, small leap to

01:15:55.240 say that an active

01:15:56.740 candidate who's at the

01:15:57.880 top of the polling for

01:15:59.540 one side should be

01:16:02.020 covered the way a

01:16:02.820 contractor would be

01:16:03.680 covered.

01:16:04.300 You know, not quite an

01:16:05.200 employee, but close

01:16:06.020 enough.

01:16:10.660 What about a retired

01:16:11.820 employee?

01:16:13.460 Yeah, a retired

01:16:14.320 government employee,

01:16:15.240 would they be covered by

01:16:16.080 the whistleblower?

01:16:18.740 President is way

01:16:19.600 different, yeah.

01:16:23.520 So retired would

01:16:24.940 count, right?

01:16:26.380 So is he a retired

01:16:27.840 government employee?

01:16:31.380 So I guess, yeah, it

01:16:33.400 depends.

01:16:34.200 Depends if that's

01:16:35.000 retired or he just

01:16:36.380 lost his job.

01:16:37.480 I don't know.

01:16:37.840 Is that the same thing?

01:16:39.300 Suppose you got fired.

01:16:40.940 Are you retired?

01:16:42.620 I guess so.

01:16:46.180 All right.

01:16:47.380 Federal employees and

01:16:48.880 applicants for

01:16:49.640 employees.

01:16:50.200 Oh, so somebody's

01:16:51.340 saying the whistleblower

01:16:52.060 act protects employees

01:16:53.920 and applicants for

01:16:54.880 employment.

01:16:55.780 Well, there you go.

01:16:57.320 An applicant for

01:16:58.240 employment.

01:16:58.880 That's Trump.

01:17:01.020 Right?

01:17:02.280 Is he not an

01:17:03.660 applicant for

01:17:04.300 employment?

01:17:04.640 I would say that's

01:17:06.340 the, that's, come

01:17:09.020 on.

01:17:10.820 I hate it when the

01:17:11.520 lawyers disagree with

01:17:12.560 my totally uninformed

01:17:13.960 opinions.

01:17:14.460 No, technically, maybe

01:17:18.220 not.

01:17:18.720 But in kind, are you

01:17:24.240 really agreeing with

01:17:24.900 me or disagreeing?

01:17:26.740 Don't you think that

01:17:27.640 somebody running for

01:17:28.520 office is applying for a

01:17:30.060 government job?

01:17:32.700 To me, that sounds,

01:17:33.960 sounds like, okay, give

01:17:37.000 up.

01:17:37.200 To, to me, it sounds

01:17:39.880 like something the

01:17:40.600 Supreme Court would

01:17:41.460 agree with.

01:17:42.760 You know, a

01:17:43.220 conservative Supreme

01:17:44.280 Court, at least.

01:17:47.160 All right.

01:17:47.860 Good.

01:17:48.240 That's all I want to

01:17:48.780 hear that I'm right.

01:17:51.460 All right.

01:17:52.160 Ladies and gentlemen,

01:17:53.360 the video of UFOs

01:17:54.580 taking flight.

01:17:58.920 No one, I have not

01:18:00.260 seen the video of UFOs

01:18:01.800 taking flight into

01:18:03.800 another dimension.

01:18:06.760 But I have seen the,

01:18:08.440 the directed energy

01:18:10.780 weapon setting fires in

01:18:12.540 Hawaii.

01:18:13.160 No, neither of those

01:18:14.200 are true.

01:18:17.880 If there's anything I

01:18:19.120 would place a large

01:18:20.040 bet on.

01:18:24.600 Oh, Scott, please

01:18:25.900 change the reality of

01:18:26.980 the WEF to back off on

01:18:29.200 the no privacy thing.

01:18:31.140 You can't, you can't

01:18:32.380 stop the inevitable.

01:18:35.820 Whether the WEF says

01:18:37.520 your privacy is going

01:18:38.600 away or not, it's

01:18:40.380 going away.

01:18:41.860 It's just the free

01:18:42.480 market will do it.

01:18:43.740 You know, politicians.

01:18:46.320 There's really no way

01:18:47.380 back.

01:18:48.680 We have to adapt.

01:18:49.840 It's sort of like,

01:18:50.560 you know, maybe the,

01:18:51.460 maybe the planet's

01:18:52.360 getting warmer, but

01:18:53.720 the only thing you can

01:18:54.440 do about it is adapt.

01:18:55.880 But we can adapt, so

01:18:57.040 that's fine.

01:18:58.760 Privacy is probably

01:18:59.540 going to be the same

01:19:00.100 thing.

01:19:00.840 There's nothing you

01:19:01.520 can do about losing

01:19:02.280 it in the long run.

01:19:04.220 I'm not saying I

01:19:05.180 want to.

01:19:06.080 I'm saying I can't

01:19:07.000 see anything that

01:19:07.840 would stop it.

01:19:09.140 I see nothing that

01:19:10.180 would stop it in the

01:19:11.220 long run.

01:19:12.340 Same with digital

01:19:13.260 currency.

01:19:14.020 Nothing's going to

01:19:14.580 stop that.

01:19:17.500 So I'm often being

01:19:19.500 asked to get involved

01:19:21.020 in fights that can't

01:19:22.140 be won.

01:19:23.480 Because history is

01:19:24.580 only going in one

01:19:25.320 direction.

01:19:26.500 You know, you can

01:19:26.880 maybe slow it down

01:19:27.820 for a month, but it's

01:19:28.960 going in one

01:19:29.500 direction.

01:19:29.840 And I know when I

01:19:31.220 say that, people

01:19:31.840 think, well, are you

01:19:32.700 okay with it?

01:19:34.040 I don't know.

01:19:35.260 Because I don't know

01:19:35.960 what's going to

01:19:36.300 happen.

01:19:36.780 I don't think we're

01:19:37.460 good at predicting

01:19:38.900 what happens when

01:19:40.780 there are big changes

01:19:41.640 like this.

01:19:42.540 We could end up

01:19:43.480 happier.

01:19:45.860 But we don't know

01:19:46.740 that.

01:19:47.580 So since we don't

01:19:48.360 know that, I also,

01:19:49.780 like you, I would

01:19:50.540 default to preferring

01:19:51.760 privacy.

01:19:53.060 If I can have it, I'm

01:19:54.400 going to take it.

01:19:55.240 But I don't think it's

01:19:56.000 an option in the long

01:19:57.460 run.

01:19:57.600 And like I say, I

01:19:59.160 lost all my privacy a

01:20:00.360 long time ago.

01:20:01.340 So I wake up happy

01:20:03.500 every day.

01:20:04.800 Remember how, you

01:20:05.840 know, they say you'll

01:20:06.400 lose all your, lose

01:20:08.440 your privacy, but

01:20:09.300 you'll be happy?

01:20:10.460 I've lost all of my

01:20:11.760 privacy.

01:20:14.160 Do I look unhappy

01:20:15.200 about it?

01:20:16.280 Oh, somehow I

01:20:17.000 survive with no

01:20:18.480 privacy.

01:20:19.940 Because I just

01:20:20.800 assume that all my

01:20:22.080 digital stuff is, you

01:20:24.000 know, people have

01:20:24.980 access to it.

01:20:25.640 I had a situation

01:20:28.280 recently where

01:20:30.040 somebody who's not

01:20:31.100 me lost a phone.

01:20:34.020 But the person who's

01:20:35.080 not me had a number

01:20:36.580 of messages from me,

01:20:38.500 presumably on that

01:20:39.360 phone.

01:20:42.440 There's no such

01:20:43.260 thing as privacy.

01:20:45.020 So everything that

01:20:46.120 you text to anybody,

01:20:47.940 you should assume it

01:20:49.240 will be discernible.

01:20:50.860 So when I heard

01:20:52.260 that somebody lost

01:20:53.940 a phone, which

01:20:55.120 there was some

01:20:55.920 indication that

01:20:56.620 somebody got into

01:20:57.280 it, don't know for

01:20:58.580 sure, but there's

01:20:59.120 some indication that

01:20:59.960 the password got

01:21:00.660 changed, et cetera.

01:21:01.920 So the first thing I

01:21:03.780 thought was, uh-oh,

01:21:05.320 I have a whole lot of

01:21:06.560 private messages on

01:21:07.460 that phone.

01:21:08.260 A lot.

01:21:10.420 And I wasn't

01:21:11.220 worried a bit.

01:21:12.460 Do you know why I

01:21:13.020 wasn't worried a bit?

01:21:13.760 Because I would

01:21:15.680 never put something

01:21:16.660 in a digital message

01:21:18.120 that would be like

01:21:21.100 some life-changing

01:21:22.000 problem for me.

01:21:23.200 Now, I would

01:21:23.680 definitely put things

01:21:24.540 there that would be

01:21:25.620 embarrassing.

01:21:27.060 But I don't have a

01:21:28.180 risk of embarrassment

01:21:28.980 because I just can't

01:21:30.620 be embarrassed.

01:21:31.840 I just got over it.

01:21:33.720 I just lost my risk

01:21:36.300 of embarrassment.

01:21:37.140 It's like a

01:21:37.540 superpower.

01:21:38.860 Nothing embarrasses

01:21:39.720 me.

01:21:39.900 But I'd be worried

01:21:42.060 if something, you

01:21:42.760 know, was problematic

01:21:45.240 other than that.

01:21:46.740 But I'm not worried

01:21:47.600 about it at all.

01:21:49.180 Nope.

01:21:50.540 There would be

01:21:51.020 surprising things.

01:21:52.520 There might be things

01:21:53.140 that you'd say,

01:21:53.840 what?

01:21:54.960 But it wouldn't, you

01:21:56.040 know, wouldn't change

01:21:56.600 your life or mine.

01:21:59.820 All right.

01:22:00.440 So, ladies and

01:22:01.140 gentlemen, that's all

01:22:01.900 I've got for you on

01:22:02.920 this beautiful Sunday

01:22:05.440 morning.

01:22:06.140 Looks like we went

01:22:07.060 extra long because

01:22:09.540 I enjoyed being

01:22:10.980 here.

01:22:13.200 There's a difference

01:22:13.980 between totalitarian

01:22:15.320 lack of privacy,

01:22:16.760 though.

01:22:17.020 Yeah, that's

01:22:17.380 different.

01:22:22.540 Biden's burner

01:22:23.440 phone.

01:22:25.220 Yeah, I love the

01:22:26.660 fact that the things

01:22:27.840 we know for sure are

01:22:29.840 not enough to convince

01:22:30.940 Democrats that there

01:22:31.880 was something bad

01:22:32.760 happened.

01:22:35.200 And he's got a

01:22:36.180 burner phone.

01:22:37.540 Well, people have

01:22:38.300 burner phones.

01:22:39.540 And a lot of

01:22:40.860 money went to the

01:22:41.480 big guy.

01:22:41.920 Well, a lot of

01:22:42.340 people are called

01:22:42.800 big guy.

01:22:43.840 You don't know

01:22:44.240 for sure big guy.

01:22:45.980 And it was for

01:22:47.160 foreign countries

01:22:48.440 that, you know,

01:22:50.200 may be asking for

01:22:51.140 favors.

01:22:51.640 But we don't have

01:22:52.260 any direct ask for

01:22:54.420 a favor.

01:22:55.480 Well, we have lots

01:22:56.340 of impressions that

01:22:57.760 he's doing things

01:22:58.460 that they would like.

01:22:59.520 Yeah, but not any

01:23:00.740 direct.

01:23:01.900 And they send

01:23:02.660 millions of dollars

01:23:03.380 for nothing in

01:23:04.360 particular.

01:23:05.460 Well, but people do

01:23:06.960 that, sometimes

01:23:07.700 for introductions.

01:23:13.280 My tears?

01:23:16.740 Why do I have

01:23:17.640 tears?

01:23:18.760 So there's a

01:23:19.800 troll on here

01:23:20.620 writing in all

01:23:21.400 caps that I'm

01:23:22.500 terribly sad about

01:23:23.420 something.

01:23:24.860 Can you tell me

01:23:25.720 what I'm sad

01:23:26.240 about?

01:23:28.120 What are all my

01:23:29.360 salty tears about?

01:23:30.900 Is there something

01:23:32.460 I don't know

01:23:33.400 about?

01:23:35.480 I'd like to talk

01:23:36.680 to the troll

01:23:37.300 directly.

01:23:40.020 I'm sorry about

01:23:41.000 your low self-esteem.

01:23:42.960 But if your

01:23:43.860 comment about my

01:23:44.760 tears helped

01:23:46.300 your self-esteem

01:23:47.100 a little bit,

01:23:47.880 gave you a little

01:23:48.640 boost of attention,

01:23:49.740 good for you.

01:23:51.320 Good boy.

01:23:52.440 Good boy.

01:23:53.940 Good for you.

01:23:56.300 All right.

01:23:56.800 And now?

01:24:02.960 You need a

01:24:04.040 burner phone.

01:24:05.580 Okay.

01:24:10.440 What about

01:24:11.260 industrial secrets?

01:24:12.620 Those need

01:24:13.140 protection.

01:24:16.080 From whom?

01:24:18.820 So a lack of

01:24:20.100 privacy doesn't

01:24:21.000 mean your

01:24:21.380 neighbors know

01:24:22.020 everything.

01:24:23.060 A lack of

01:24:23.540 privacy could

01:24:24.340 mean just the

01:24:25.040 government.

01:24:26.000 So the

01:24:26.380 government,

01:24:27.560 could know

01:24:28.580 your,

01:24:29.400 you know,

01:24:29.860 your,

01:24:30.200 let's say,

01:24:30.780 the secret

01:24:31.260 recipe for

01:24:32.060 Coca-Cola.

01:24:33.920 But they

01:24:34.500 wouldn't care.

01:24:35.500 So unless

01:24:36.300 there was

01:24:36.560 somebody who

01:24:36.980 wanted to,

01:24:37.380 you know,

01:24:37.780 get it and

01:24:38.220 sell it or

01:24:38.660 something,

01:24:39.000 that would

01:24:39.260 be a

01:24:39.500 problem.

01:24:40.500 So yeah,

01:24:40.760 I can see

01:24:41.100 that.

01:24:42.000 You know,

01:24:42.320 I also think

01:24:42.940 that copyright

01:24:43.620 and trademark

01:24:44.280 and patents

01:24:44.980 will all go

01:24:45.580 away.

01:24:47.740 Has anybody

01:24:48.380 said that in

01:24:48.900 public yet?

01:24:50.660 I believe

01:24:51.360 that all

01:24:51.780 intellectual

01:24:52.300 property

01:24:52.840 protection

01:24:53.360 will disappear

01:24:54.060 so that

01:24:55.640 people like me

01:24:56.260 could not

01:24:56.720 make money

01:24:57.180 by making

01:24:58.320 something that's

01:24:58.920 copyrighted and

01:24:59.760 trying to

01:25:00.380 restrict it.

01:25:02.040 And I think

01:25:02.860 that that will

01:25:03.260 be a technology

01:25:05.640 and free market

01:25:06.880 kind of effect.

01:25:08.140 It won't be a

01:25:08.780 government decision

01:25:09.620 until it's,

01:25:10.600 until it's just

01:25:11.540 de facto.

01:25:12.040 I think once

01:25:13.300 AI can make

01:25:14.260 anything you

01:25:14.880 want.

01:25:15.340 So today

01:25:15.760 there was

01:25:16.080 a new

01:25:17.580 Beatles song

01:25:18.340 starring John

01:25:20.300 Lennon,

01:25:21.240 who, you

01:25:21.840 know,

01:25:21.940 is long

01:25:22.420 deceased,

01:25:23.540 singing a

01:25:24.340 new song

01:25:24.840 that didn't

01:25:25.220 exist with

01:25:26.100 Paul McCartney

01:25:26.760 doing backup

01:25:27.380 vocals.

01:25:29.280 And, you

01:25:30.180 know, it

01:25:30.420 wasn't quite,

01:25:31.420 you know,

01:25:32.280 identical with

01:25:33.780 human music,

01:25:35.000 but it was

01:25:35.360 pretty close.

01:25:36.820 Pretty close.

01:25:37.600 So once

01:25:40.260 AI can make

01:25:41.580 you anything

01:25:42.240 you want,

01:25:43.220 you know,

01:25:43.380 once you can

01:25:43.840 say to the

01:25:44.580 AI,

01:25:45.060 hey, I like

01:25:46.360 a song that's

01:25:47.020 a mashup

01:25:47.540 between the

01:25:48.560 Rolling Stones

01:25:49.200 and the

01:25:50.460 Killers.

01:25:51.680 Make me,

01:25:52.300 and then it

01:25:52.720 can just play

01:25:53.540 it.

01:25:54.320 How are you

01:25:55.000 going to sell

01:25:55.380 music into

01:25:55.980 that environment?

01:25:58.660 So I have

01:26:01.700 two sort of

01:26:02.800 contrary

01:26:03.700 predictions.

01:26:06.260 One is that

01:26:07.100 people will

01:26:07.560 not enjoy

01:26:08.400 AI art,

01:26:10.020 which I

01:26:11.140 believe to

01:26:11.520 be true.

01:26:12.280 Because the

01:26:12.680 reason that

01:26:13.120 you like

01:26:13.520 art,

01:26:14.940 by the way,

01:26:15.780 did I blow

01:26:16.260 anybody's mind

01:26:16.900 the first time

01:26:17.420 I said this?

01:26:18.280 If you haven't

01:26:18.780 heard this

01:26:19.160 before,

01:26:20.540 this should

01:26:20.900 blow your

01:26:21.340 mind.

01:26:22.560 The only

01:26:23.060 reason you

01:26:23.580 like art

01:26:24.120 of any kind,

01:26:25.080 be it music

01:26:25.880 or dancing

01:26:26.560 or visual

01:26:29.680 art,

01:26:30.560 every kind

01:26:31.060 of art,

01:26:31.740 the reason

01:26:32.440 you like it

01:26:33.060 is that you

01:26:33.540 know a human

01:26:34.180 made it.

01:26:35.620 And that what

01:26:36.120 you're reacting

01:26:36.680 to is there's

01:26:37.540 their mating

01:26:37.980 potential,

01:26:39.700 or collectively

01:26:40.660 their mating

01:26:41.140 potential.

01:26:41.920 When you

01:26:42.240 watch a Tom

01:26:42.940 Cruise film,

01:26:46.000 you say to

01:26:47.080 yourself,

01:26:47.480 oh, I like

01:26:47.980 this action

01:26:48.540 and it's a good

01:26:50.220 plot and stuff.

01:26:51.540 But what you're

01:26:52.320 responding to

01:26:53.060 is the excellence

01:26:54.460 from all elements

01:26:56.680 that went into

01:26:57.280 making it,

01:26:58.140 and in particular

01:26:59.140 Tom Cruise's own

01:27:00.580 excellence at

01:27:01.800 filmmaking,

01:27:02.440 which at this

01:27:03.620 point is almost

01:27:04.220 unparalleled.

01:27:05.500 Would you

01:27:05.820 agree?

01:27:07.120 I don't know

01:27:07.820 if anybody

01:27:08.200 ever has

01:27:09.300 been better

01:27:09.700 at making

01:27:10.080 a movie

01:27:10.400 than Tom

01:27:11.140 Cruise.

01:27:12.060 Ever.

01:27:12.980 Like, I

01:27:13.320 don't think

01:27:13.640 Spielberg's

01:27:14.220 anywhere in

01:27:15.240 his...

01:27:15.940 I think

01:27:16.400 Spielberg

01:27:16.820 makes crap

01:27:17.500 and has

01:27:19.040 for a long

01:27:19.420 time.

01:27:20.980 Yeah.

01:27:21.180 All the

01:27:21.740 big-name

01:27:22.380 directors,

01:27:23.460 you know,

01:27:24.040 they're making

01:27:24.360 their three-hour

01:27:25.080 movies.

01:27:26.780 Has Tom

01:27:27.800 Cruise ever

01:27:28.460 tortured you

01:27:30.180 with a three-hour

01:27:31.020 Tom Cruise movie?

01:27:31.900 I don't think

01:27:32.500 he has.

01:27:33.560 Do you know

01:27:33.880 why?

01:27:34.960 Because he's

01:27:35.360 not an asshole.

01:27:36.920 That's why.

01:27:38.180 He's not an

01:27:38.940 asshole.

01:27:40.260 He's building a

01:27:41.140 movie that you

01:27:41.740 want to see.

01:27:42.800 When you watch

01:27:43.560 a Tom Cruise

01:27:44.180 movie, every

01:27:45.280 moment of it,

01:27:46.080 you say,

01:27:46.620 oh, he made

01:27:47.100 this for me.

01:27:48.240 Right?

01:27:49.280 You know he

01:27:49.920 made it for you.

01:27:51.260 Because there's

01:27:51.880 no bullshit in it.

01:27:53.820 The bullshit

01:27:54.620 of like, oh,

01:27:56.540 let me show you

01:27:57.500 a scene of

01:27:58.240 somebody who's

01:27:58.920 dying from

01:27:59.740 a real-life

01:28:00.840 terrible disease.

01:28:02.620 Make you feel

01:28:03.180 real bad about

01:28:03.860 it, and then

01:28:04.360 maybe you'll

01:28:04.860 feel better

01:28:05.300 when you get

01:28:06.360 to the end

01:28:06.680 of the movie.

01:28:08.040 Tom Cruise

01:28:08.600 isn't going to

01:28:09.060 make you,

01:28:09.480 like, suffer

01:28:10.140 through some

01:28:10.740 tragedy so

01:28:12.060 you'll feel

01:28:12.520 better at the

01:28:13.060 end.

01:28:14.920 Because he's

01:28:15.580 making the

01:28:16.000 movie for you.

01:28:17.260 It's not for

01:28:17.820 himself.

01:28:19.080 I'm pretty sure

01:28:20.000 that when

01:28:20.740 Spielberg made

01:28:23.100 Schindler's List,

01:28:24.780 was that for

01:28:25.600 you?

01:28:27.280 Did he say,

01:28:28.060 people are

01:28:28.420 going to love

01:28:29.100 sitting through

01:28:29.580 this.

01:28:30.000 they'll feel

01:28:31.640 good when

01:28:32.040 they go

01:28:32.340 home after

01:28:32.720 this.

01:28:33.400 I still

01:28:34.120 have PTSD

01:28:34.900 from Schindler's

01:28:35.840 List, and

01:28:36.520 that's not a

01:28:36.980 joke.

01:28:38.260 I still have

01:28:39.120 recurring,

01:28:40.960 frightening

01:28:41.320 memories of it.

01:28:44.280 Now, are you

01:28:44.680 telling me he made

01:28:45.380 that for me,

01:28:46.280 to be entertained

01:28:47.640 and feel good?

01:28:48.420 No.

01:28:49.280 No.

01:28:49.560 I mean, it was a

01:28:50.460 politically motivated,

01:28:52.400 personal kind of

01:28:54.440 project, and I'm

01:28:55.260 all in favor of

01:28:56.020 people doing that.

01:28:56.760 I mean, there's

01:28:57.220 nothing wrong

01:28:57.720 with doing it

01:28:58.980 for any reason

01:28:59.540 he wants.

01:29:00.520 And it was,

01:29:01.000 you know,

01:29:01.280 commercially very

01:29:01.980 successful, so

01:29:02.900 all good.

01:29:04.060 But he didn't

01:29:04.780 make that for

01:29:05.300 you.

01:29:06.680 You know, he

01:29:07.240 wasn't thinking,

01:29:08.160 as you sit in

01:29:09.180 this audience

01:29:09.760 watching this

01:29:10.880 movie, you're

01:29:11.480 going to feel

01:29:11.760 really good.

01:29:12.920 No.

01:29:13.560 Nothing like

01:29:14.100 that.

01:29:15.040 He made it to

01:29:15.680 get Academy

01:29:16.700 Awards and

01:29:17.420 accolades and

01:29:18.340 to do something,

01:29:19.320 maybe do

01:29:19.680 something that

01:29:20.140 was positive

01:29:20.640 for the world,

01:29:21.960 et cetera, but

01:29:22.540 it wasn't for

01:29:22.940 you.

01:29:24.080 Tom Cruise makes

01:29:24.880 a movie you

01:29:25.300 want to watch.

01:29:25.840 There's no

01:29:27.020 competition there.

01:29:27.980 He's way above

01:29:28.840 Spielberg.

01:29:31.080 So, my

01:29:34.560 larger point is

01:29:35.420 that all art

01:29:36.360 is people

01:29:37.480 collectively or

01:29:38.580 individually

01:29:39.100 displaying that

01:29:40.600 they have

01:29:41.140 genetic qualities,

01:29:43.320 skills, that

01:29:44.980 if you were to

01:29:45.620 mate with them,

01:29:46.840 your offspring

01:29:47.480 might pick up

01:29:48.200 some of that

01:29:48.560 skill.

01:29:49.560 So, that's

01:29:50.420 all art is.

01:29:51.700 As soon as

01:29:52.320 AI is creating

01:29:54.580 the art,

01:29:55.840 and you

01:29:56.360 know it's

01:29:56.780 AI, which

01:29:57.440 is the

01:29:57.740 important part,

01:29:58.360 you have to

01:29:58.700 know it's

01:29:59.040 AI, you're

01:30:00.220 going to say,

01:30:00.620 oh, that's

01:30:00.980 interesting, yeah,

01:30:01.780 that hits all

01:30:02.280 the notes, but

01:30:03.580 for some reason

01:30:04.140 it doesn't

01:30:04.560 move me.

01:30:06.340 Like, I

01:30:06.860 recognize it

01:30:07.460 as music, and

01:30:08.640 I can't even

01:30:09.120 tell you anything

01:30:09.640 wrong with it,

01:30:10.780 but I wouldn't

01:30:11.640 listen to it

01:30:12.140 twice, because

01:30:14.400 you're not being

01:30:14.880 stimulated to

01:30:15.640 want to mate

01:30:15.980 with the AI.

01:30:16.720 You just know

01:30:17.420 it's just a

01:30:17.920 thing that's

01:30:18.480 doing things.

01:30:18.940 So, that's

01:30:22.820 my, so I

01:30:23.960 think two

01:30:24.300 things are

01:30:24.660 going to

01:30:24.780 happen.

01:30:25.580 You won't

01:30:26.100 like AI, but

01:30:27.780 yet there will

01:30:28.240 be so much

01:30:28.980 of it that

01:30:30.160 copyright and

01:30:31.200 intellectual property

01:30:32.180 become impossible

01:30:33.100 to manage.

01:30:34.360 You just would

01:30:34.960 never be able to

01:30:35.820 protect your

01:30:36.720 property.

01:30:39.160 So, I mean,

01:30:39.760 you can tell

01:30:40.160 you're AI.

01:30:41.600 Go read

01:30:42.540 today's Dilbert

01:30:43.900 Reborn comic,

01:30:44.740 and write

01:30:45.980 me one

01:30:46.320 that's not

01:30:46.760 Dilbert, but

01:30:48.060 it's the same

01:30:48.440 joke, change

01:30:49.840 the words, and

01:30:52.380 suddenly you

01:30:52.900 got your own

01:30:53.440 comic.

01:30:55.500 So, I mean,

01:30:56.900 yeah, I feel

01:30:57.680 like all

01:30:58.760 copyright, IP,

01:31:00.900 it's all going

01:31:01.420 to go away.

01:31:02.060 Maybe trademark

01:31:02.680 will stay, but

01:31:03.980 certainly copyright

01:31:05.160 and patents will

01:31:06.340 disappear.

01:31:07.320 I think patents

01:31:08.180 have to disappear,

01:31:09.700 because if you've

01:31:10.300 ever tried to

01:31:10.820 run, has

01:31:11.480 anybody tried to

01:31:12.020 do a startup

01:31:12.620 and tried to

01:31:14.340 file a patent,

01:31:16.120 and you know

01:31:16.540 what happens.

01:31:17.940 Somebody's always

01:31:18.740 filed a patent

01:31:19.500 that is so

01:31:20.520 broad that it's

01:31:21.460 covered.

01:31:21.960 The only way

01:31:22.620 you can get

01:31:23.060 anything done

01:31:23.940 in the technology

01:31:25.480 world is if

01:31:26.300 your lawyers

01:31:26.860 beat the other

01:31:27.460 lawyers.

01:31:29.580 Right?

01:31:30.360 A startup is

01:31:31.300 about your

01:31:31.800 lawyers beating

01:31:32.520 the other

01:31:32.920 lawyers.

01:31:33.560 Because if you

01:31:34.180 didn't have a

01:31:34.660 lawyer and you

01:31:35.420 didn't fight

01:31:35.860 anything, you

01:31:37.080 would launch,

01:31:38.220 and then let's

01:31:38.700 say you got

01:31:39.080 lucky, and you

01:31:39.940 had one of the

01:31:40.400 startups that

01:31:40.960 succeeded, it

01:31:41.980 would take 10

01:31:42.580 minutes for

01:31:43.940 three other

01:31:44.520 startups to

01:31:45.220 sue you on

01:31:45.780 a business,

01:31:46.500 because you

01:31:47.660 didn't know

01:31:48.080 it, but they

01:31:48.880 have some

01:31:49.220 patent on

01:31:49.680 something you

01:31:50.060 did.

01:31:51.240 So patents

01:31:51.840 just make

01:31:52.460 everything

01:31:52.800 impossible.

01:31:54.420 You have to

01:31:55.100 be a good

01:31:55.440 patent fighter

01:31:56.180 to be an

01:31:57.060 entrepreneur, and

01:31:57.780 how many

01:31:58.080 people are

01:31:58.460 that?

01:31:59.380 So I'm

01:32:00.380 pretty sure

01:32:00.720 patents are

01:32:01.180 just going to

01:32:01.540 go away in

01:32:04.220 the long run.

01:32:04.920 I mean, it

01:32:05.160 might be 20

01:32:06.080 years, 30

01:32:06.680 years, but

01:32:07.220 they're just

01:32:07.520 going to go

01:32:07.860 away.

01:32:09.640 All right,

01:32:10.180 that's all for

01:32:10.580 now.

01:32:10.920 I'm going to

01:32:11.180 talk to you

01:32:11.480 later.

01:32:12.360 I've taken

01:32:12.700 too much of

01:32:13.120 your time

01:32:13.600 already,

01:32:14.280 YouTube.

01:32:15.120 Thanks for

01:32:15.620 joining.

01:32:16.060 I'll see you

01:32:16.420 tomorrow.

01:32:17.380 Bye for

01:32:17.820 now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - August 13, 2023

Episode 2199 Scott Adams： How To Spot NPCs By Their Analogy-Thinking Ways & More Fun With The News

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