Episode 2208 Scott Adams: The National Incompetence Crisis As A Filter For The News. Bring Coffee
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 9 minutes
Words per Minute
151.8788
Summary
On today's episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, we talk about the latest in artificial intelligence, Joe Biden's trip to Hawaii, and why you should be mad at yourself if you don't like the way Joe Biden is doing things.
Transcript
00:00:02.540
Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
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It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and I'm pretty sure there's nothing better to watch right now.
00:00:14.440
But if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody could even conceive,
00:00:19.280
well, all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass, a tankard chalice or stein, a canteen jug or flask,
00:00:24.660
a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.
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And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine to the day,
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It's called the simultaneous sip, but it happens now.
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Let me get rid of somebody over here on YouTube.
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Well, I'm going to start out with a prediction.
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Remember this one so you can embarrass me later when I'm so terribly wrong about it, okay?
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In two years, maybe sooner, the news will be reporting that AI was less impressive than any of us thought it would be.
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In two years, the news will say, you know, we thought this would be a much sort of a bigger deal.
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It will not fundamentally alter our employment rate.
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And you won't use it that much because it's too hard to use.
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All they did is find a new way to show us something we can't do.
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If you can't do complicated super prompts, you can't do much with it.
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You could build your own website, start a commerce store, make yourself a billionaire.
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I do not know how to program my own commerce site.
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I would have to hire somebody to do that, just like AI.
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Do you think someday you're going to be able to build yourself an entire commerce site or anything?
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Do you think anybody's ever built a website without knowing how to build a website?
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You think that somebody just said, hey, AI, go get me a domain and sign up for it and then program this thing.
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I believe that those people who knew how to do it would know exactly what to use and what to ask for, but nobody else would.
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There's no non-technical person who built a functioning website with AI.
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So two years from now, we're going to say, well, it wasn't that big of a deal.
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Still waiting for approvals from Amazon for my new blockbusters instant classic, the book that's sweeping the country.
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You don't know how big it is until it starts getting out there.
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But what's going to happen is that the reframes in the book, it's already starting to happen.
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And when they report that, then the book starts marketing itself.
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But we should have the audio book as well as the soft cover any hour now, really.
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We're just waiting for Amazon to say yes or to say there's something else we need to do.
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By now, you probably all know that that didn't go as well as they'd hoped.
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So I saw at least two videos of Biden being chanted at with the F Biden chant.
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One was his motorcade and another was when he was at some group.
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And I'm thinking to myself, they know this is the bluest state in the world, right?
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Isn't it the most Democrat state of all the states?
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Of all the states, it's the most Democrat state.
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And in two places, there were crowds willing to chant him down with F Joe Biden.
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Now, if I had said to you, well, there's no way that Hawaii would ever turn Republican, you would have laughed.
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I mean, you know, people don't change that easily.
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But it's actually within the realm of possibility.
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Now, if the candidate is Trump, Hawaii will go just the way it always goes.
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If it's Trump, they're just going to say, Trump!
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Ah! And they'll just have an anaphylactic response.
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So if it's Trump, Hawaii will vote, you know, all Democrat like always.
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Picking people who are qualified, promoting people who are qualified,
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and not using other considerations to get in the way of competence.
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if I were president, Hawaii might have looked different.
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And then he explains what things he would do to make it a more, you know, more capable situation.
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But only under the specific, you know, Vivek is the candidate.
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And he makes an argument for capability over politics.
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If you're a Hawaiian right now, especially Maui,
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Probably not strong enough, but interesting to think about.
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and he gave the cringiest, worst empathy speech of all time.
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I guess you're going to have to act pretty excited
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but I'm going to pretend this is the best one ever.
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crossed with, who's that little Star Wars character?
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So if somebody says, look at a picture of my baby,
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Somebody says to you, oh, my God, I have cancer.
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You know, I've got this bunion on my left foot,
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And if there is potentially the worst tragedy in American history,
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What you should not compare it to is that kitchen fire you had that one time
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do not laughingly say your Corvette was at risk for the tiny kitchen fire.
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My grandmother had to use a butter churn to make butter.
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What was your response to the whole Joe Biden fiasco?
00:10:10.100
Like we've gotten to the point where we no longer pretend he's capable.
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See, the problem is he no longer registers as a capable adult.
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Can I get mad at the people who send him out there?
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Am I mad at the people who put him in front of Maui?
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That instead of getting him a vice president who has some capability,
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you went full DEI and you got yourself somebody who can't do the job.
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But I'm not really thinking about that when I see him.
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Somebody needs to be the adult in the room and make that a stop.
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And I don't believe that the news should be covering him as a president.
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He should be covered as a dementia patient from now on.
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Let's stop fucking pretending he's a capable adult.
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But let's agree that we need to treat him with a little bit of fucking dignity.
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But when you reach that point, you need a little fucking dignity.
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It's going to have to come from the people around him.
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Let Maui be the time when the news finally wakes up, treats the rest of us like we can see with our own fucking eyes, that he's gone.
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You know, maybe they need to keep him in there as a zombie president for some political reason.
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But we do not have an obligation to treat him like he's an actual functioning adult.
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So I don't even know if I can talk about him like a president anymore.
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Do you think that he wanted his legacy to include the Maui visit?
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Do you think the Biden fucking museum is going to put that video up there for everybody to watch?
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And you're making a mockery of the fucking country.
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So at least the people on the right-leaning news, can you grow the fuck up and stop treating him like he's a functioning adult?
00:13:59.180
And again, I'd say I'd tell you exactly the same thing if this were Trump.
00:14:04.020
If Trump turned into a bumbling moron of this nature, I mean, forget about your opinion of him at the moment.
00:14:12.000
But if he turned into that, I'd be saying the same thing.
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You think if Ivanka and Jared pushed, or Melania, but she's not the pusher, if somebody pushed him out there to act like that, you think I wouldn't be mad at Trump's family?
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I'd be really pissed if his family treated him like that.
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You're not setting an example for the rest of us.
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The theme will be the national incompetence crisis.
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You cannot do simple transactions in society in 2023.
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There is nothing that's easy enough that works.
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You can't rent a car, buy a car, go shopping for groceries, fill your tank, get car service.
00:16:02.280
Now, I think it does seem to me that it would be going too far to say that, you know, this is a DEI, kind of too much hiring without looking at qualifications.
00:16:22.660
And I don't know exactly what it is, but let me speculate.
00:16:30.000
Have you ever seen a 16-year-old today, and then you remember what 16-year-olds were like when, let's say, some of the older people watching were kids?
00:16:39.160
At 16, kids were running businesses, like actually running entire businesses.
00:16:55.480
Now, think about the things that you would have been trusted with when you were a teenager.
00:17:04.340
The things you would have been trusted to do as a teenager.
00:17:07.980
Now compare that to what you would trust a teenager to do today.
00:17:13.600
So part of it is, I think, kids are, let's say, living in, let's say, a bubble of sheltered kind of experience.
00:17:23.600
So that unless you need them to show you how to hook up a video game, you know, a lot of their talents are not translating to the real world.
00:17:30.320
So I think in the old days, children were integrated into the adult world earlier and more extreme.
00:17:39.600
Kids were integrated into the adult world sooner.
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So I think what you have is maybe everybody's five years behind what they should be.
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Five years behind what they might have been in a previous generation.
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So some of it is just lack of exposure to the real world, right?
00:18:01.920
Some of it is that the school system might be worse.
00:18:08.460
But I would say if I had to point to one thing that's making us an incompetent country, well, two things.
00:18:17.940
Number one, our employment rate is very good, which is really bad news for competence.
00:18:26.020
Actually, our employment rate is pretty near full employment, you know, in an economic sense, not in a number sense.
00:18:34.540
In the economic sense, when you get around 3%, 4% unemployment, that's considered fully employed.
00:18:41.460
Because you need a little 3%, 4% slop so that if you need to hire somebody, there's somebody available who might be, you know, good enough to hire.
00:18:50.700
Once you reach a point where all the good people have jobs, what happens to the next company that needs to hire somebody?
00:18:57.360
They lower their standards because they just know they need a body in that job.
00:19:03.200
So it seems to me that high employment is poison at some point.
00:19:09.240
At some point, everybody's operating below the capability level.
00:19:13.180
Whereas if you had enough people to pick from, you know, the best companies could have really good teams.
00:19:20.240
And it's the best companies that make the biggest difference, right?
00:19:23.260
So we might have a too-much-employment problem, weirdly.
00:19:30.080
But the other problem, and I think you'll agree with this one completely, everything's too complicated.
00:19:36.700
In other words, every time you add any complication to a system, its odds of breaking go up, you know, like double.
00:19:44.300
Now, you've seen me complain about it, but it looked like I was just bitching when I do my live stream, that if I add one thing to it, just any one thing, the odds of failure reach 100%.
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Every change takes the odds of failure to nearly 100%.
00:20:04.780
So, for example, if I added to this morning process that I would do, you know, one extra light or something.
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For three days, the show would be a mess, because I wouldn't remember to do it, or doing that would make me forget something else.
00:20:21.260
The number of things you have to do just to, let me take any example.
00:20:25.680
Let's say I need to get some prescription meds, right?
00:20:35.140
So what would you think would be the process for getting some medicine that's not very important, you know?
00:20:50.860
It should look like when I need some, I go to some app, and I, you know, say, hey, I need this again.
00:20:58.460
And then it shows up the next day like any Amazon product, right?
00:21:08.680
Instead, if I want it delivered, it'll take a week, but they can't guarantee it.
00:21:13.980
Do you think that I plan, do you think I put it on my calendar when I need to redo my medicine?
00:21:21.100
No, because that would be an extra complication.
00:21:24.300
I just, when it looks like it's about done, you know, I hold the thing, I go, oh, not too many left there.
00:21:31.220
So now I try to do it online, but they don't give me an option to get it in time.
00:21:36.280
So now I have to go to look at all the other options of, there's the special delivery, and like, okay, that, but that only applies to new prescriptions, all right?
00:21:45.580
And then there's a regular delivery, but I could sign up for, I think, the special one where they take it to the parking lot, or the one where you stand in line.
00:21:53.940
And then, you know, after all these complications and decisions, I order it, and then I wait for the notification to come on my phone that it's ready to go get it.
00:22:06.980
But that's okay, because I couldn't get it, because my car was in the shop and they wouldn't call me back.
00:22:12.440
In fact, after four calls and no return call about my car, I was on the verge of reporting it as stolen by the BMW dealership.
00:22:23.420
I mean, I probably wouldn't have done it, but I was on the verge of calling the police and saying, look, there's somebody who has my car, they're not responding, could you give them a call?
00:22:38.300
Now, so I never get the text, so I don't know if it's ready.
00:22:45.320
And I never had my car, so I couldn't get it, but that's okay, because I can take an Uber.
00:22:49.140
So I signed up to get an Uber, standing in the corner, no Ubers.
00:22:58.020
Now, the app was working, but nobody was picking up my ride.
00:23:01.740
So I changed all of my plans, because taking an Uber across town is an all-day thing, by the time you wait for it.
00:23:11.060
By the time the Uber goes to the wrong place, by the time the Uber accepts and then it cancels before it shows up, it cancels on you.
00:23:19.800
So I give up on the Uber, but that's okay, because when I ordered the meds, it didn't work for some reason.
00:23:29.100
So I didn't order the meds that I thought I'd ordered.
00:23:31.700
I didn't have a car to drive it there, and I couldn't get an Uber, because every fucking thing stopped working.
00:23:40.300
But that's okay, because I had a lot of work to do, you know, self-publishing, well, not self-publishing, but independently publishing.
00:23:48.080
Do you know how many things went wrong trying to sign up for various websites to do different parts of the independent publishing part?
00:23:59.520
Almost every part of it was broken and needed some kind of fix or, you know, pivot or workaround, or maybe there's another service that does it instead.
00:24:14.680
Do you know, most of the time I tried to prove that I'm the Dilbert guy.
00:24:22.300
I go, you know, I'm saying I'm a public figure.
00:24:25.440
I'm the easiest person to identify in the world.
00:24:34.220
I can prove who I am a thousand different ways.
00:24:39.720
The only way that they would accept is if my email address had a business address.
00:24:47.700
Like I had to be, you know, Scott Adams at somecompany.com, and I only had my own address.
00:24:56.920
I had to hire a lawyer to create a business address just to deal with them to get that done.
00:25:08.880
Now, these are just my little problems, so you shouldn't care about my little problems.
00:25:13.480
I'm using this only as an example of your life.
00:25:16.360
When I describe my experience this past few days, how many of you said, oh my God, that's, I'm there.
00:25:31.600
I tell you, Vivek isn't exactly the right place, because the Vivek take is that we need to focus on capability and competence again, and we're really not.
00:25:44.240
I just don't see people going to work saying, yeah, I'm going to do this right.
00:25:50.700
I'm really going to make, it just feels like we've given up on trying to do good work.
00:25:55.040
Anyway, let's talk about some examples of that as we go.
00:26:01.680
First of all, apparently there's at least one cartel in Mexico that has created an elite drone attack group.
00:26:20.420
They're creating an elite unit that's been training for a long time, and they're buying suicide drones that they can control sometimes for many miles away.
00:26:32.100
So they have them searching for their rival cartels, and then when they find them, they crash it and it blows up and kills them.
00:26:40.780
So do you think we should hurry to try to get a military grip on the cartel situation, or should we just wait until they have F-16s of their own?
00:26:50.420
Because I feel like this would be the time to maybe take care of that.
00:26:57.780
So again, Republicans are talking about going in and taking care of it.
00:27:03.600
So Democrats, if you want the cartel to have an air force, just keep doing nothing.
00:27:14.980
There's a new study saying that long COVID lasts two years at least.
00:27:19.260
It's reported in the Washington Post, which is not a credible outlet.
00:27:23.800
And they're talking about a scientific study, and it's 2023.
00:27:27.460
So there's no such thing as credible scientific studies in 2023.
00:27:32.180
So this is a double non-credible, a non-credible news reporting source, the Washington Post, and a non-credible scientific study, because they're all non-credible.
00:27:54.920
I don't believe anything about vaccination harm, or anything about vaccination benefit, or anything about COVID harm, or anything about long COVID.
00:28:06.520
My current opinion is there's nothing that I could believe.
00:28:17.380
I don't have any idea what happened for the last three years.
00:28:34.700
Yeah, it's very disconcerting to not know what I went through for three years.
00:28:43.920
Once again, I wake up, and I look at the trending part of Twitter that I call X.
00:28:49.860
And how often, now, I can't tell, is the trending part different for different users?
00:29:02.920
So, for those of you who use X, are you seeing Vivek trend basically every time, or is that because of the way I use X?
00:29:15.440
Are you seeing him trend basically every day or no?
00:29:28.980
So it's trending things they think you'd want to see?
00:29:33.040
So it should be trending whether you like it or not, right?
00:29:38.800
But anyway, at least for me, I get a lot of news from him.
00:29:42.220
He makes news every single day, and here it is again.
00:29:46.440
So Caitlin Collins of CNN was interviewing him, and they wanted to paint him as a conspiracy theorist.
00:29:55.980
So they came at it with a predetermined frame they were trying to put on him, because if it's stuck, then everything else they can stick to it.
00:30:12.520
And the frame was that he's a conspiracy theory believer.
00:30:21.020
There is no evidence he's ever believed anything except facts that are in evidence.
00:30:27.660
So there was a story, and I guess it was The Atlantic, which grossly misquoted him.
00:30:34.280
He says he asked for the audio tape, and he couldn't get one.
00:30:40.240
But he clearly didn't say what The Atlantic said.
00:30:45.400
So The Atlantic, which I would consider the maybe among the least credible, just obvious lie kind of publication.
00:30:55.640
So they go first, and they tell like a really gross lie.
00:31:02.480
And then that allows CNN to use the misquote lie as a basis for asking him, you know, what do you say to this story?
00:31:12.500
Now, he starts by saying, oh, I didn't say that.
00:31:27.640
So at that point, don't you think the interview should be over?
00:31:33.440
Now, apparently Caitlin Collins had decided that she was going to push this thing.
00:31:39.160
And I won't play it for you, but I'll summarize it.
00:31:44.640
Now, none of the words in my summary are anything that they said.
00:31:50.140
But if you want to get a feel for how it went, my words will give you the feel kind of quickly.
00:32:03.140
So that's the thing they were trying to tar him with.
00:32:05.700
They're trying to make him look like he's saying 9-11 was an inside job.
00:32:10.300
And I'm not saying it was or wasn't, but he's not saying that.
00:32:14.760
So CNN says, why do you say 9-11 was an inside job?
00:32:26.260
So to prove that he really did say that 9-11 was an inside job, they showed a video of him talking in which he said nothing like that.
00:32:39.880
So she shows the video and she says, well, and then she says, oh, yeah, here's a video of you not saying it.
00:32:48.900
And then she says, basically, what do you have to say for yourself now?
00:32:54.100
And he's sitting there thinking, what am I experiencing here?
00:32:58.980
You just showed a video in which I didn't say the thing you said I said.
00:33:02.980
And now you're asking me to explain the video you just showed that showed you lying?
00:33:08.520
And he's basically just laughing at her at that point.
00:33:11.480
Like, you know, at that point, he's just destroyed her.
00:33:16.440
She starts going into the cognitive dissonance phase where she knows she's fucked.
00:33:23.600
And maybe she's trying to make sense of her world.
00:33:26.580
But she went into this trying hard to embarrass him, you know, with the I'm going to drop this bomb and then we'll end the interview and you can't defend yourself.
00:33:39.560
Anyway, and toward the end, he put a cherry on top.
00:33:45.440
He says, this feels like the way you treated another candidate.
00:33:48.840
He didn't mention Trump, but he just laughed at him like, this sounds like the way you treated that other guy.
00:34:05.140
Give me eight years of Vivek going on every left-leaning thing and tearing their fake news apart right in front of them.
00:34:13.760
I didn't think there was anybody in the Republican Party who could even do it.
00:34:21.220
Trump is terrible at defending against fake news.
00:34:26.220
I've never seen Trump once do a good job of defending against all the hoaxes.
00:34:33.680
He's not going to roll over if they say he said something or did something he didn't do.
00:34:38.020
If Vivek had been accused of saying drink bleach, you know, which Trump also did not say,
00:34:44.160
he would have eviscerated them for saying that in public.
00:34:48.240
Trump just kind of said, oh, I was joking, and he let it live.
00:34:53.380
So the fact that there could be a Republican candidate who would eviscerate fake news while you watch,
00:35:05.500
Because the public still thinks the news is real.
00:35:10.360
At least half of the public still thinks news is real.
00:35:13.100
We haven't had real news in a long time, at least on politics, but I don't know if we ever have.
00:35:19.120
So after this total debacle in which CNN is just humiliated, do you think that the people on the left saw it the same way I did?
00:35:31.440
Do you think my interpretation of CNN being humiliated on live TV, do you think that's what they saw?
00:35:38.320
Or is it possible, cognitive dissonance, that either I'm insane, and you can check for yourself, I suppose.
00:35:48.080
Or would it be Mehdi Hassan, who said, he plays the video, or actually he retweeted Vivek's tweet about the interview.
00:36:00.420
Because Vivek was so happy about it, he wanted to retweet it.
00:36:04.820
And then Mehdi Hassan, who's very associated with the left, he tweets it, and then he says, Mehdi says,
00:36:19.440
Now, if you didn't see the interview, and most people are not going to click on it,
00:36:24.560
wouldn't you say that that's a pretty good point?
00:36:27.320
That she made a direct accusation, asked him a direct question, and he didn't answer it?
00:36:41.140
Because she pointed out that he wasn't answering it directly, because he had instead spent time eviscerating her fake news.
00:36:49.680
So when he was done eviscerating all of her fake news, because he had never even talked about the,
00:36:59.880
He had never even spoken in any way about the topic of it being an inside job.
00:37:05.720
So, he talked about how nothing like that happened in the real world, and then she gets him with, but you didn't deny it.
00:37:18.320
It wasn't, I mean, it just wasn't even a topic.
00:37:21.440
So then, realizing that, you know, she's got this little gotcha, that, like, hi, you're not denying it, you're not denying it.
00:37:33.260
And then, Benib Hassan tweets, but you didn't deny it.
00:37:37.600
No, he denied it directly, directly, and with clear, clean words with no ambiguity whatsoever.
00:37:43.620
Well, you wouldn't know that if you just read the tweet.
00:37:48.160
So, when you see him force his, let's say, political opponents into just a ridiculous box, you don't want to see that for eight years?
00:38:01.560
Or do you want to just see people tell you that you're a Nazi because you support Trump?
00:38:05.860
It's really clean, it's really, I hate to say it because I love Trump, you know, a lot about him.
00:38:16.920
You could only have it as a fake if there had been a Trump, in my opinion.
00:38:20.920
So, I mean, Trump gets a lot of credit from me, but he is far from a perfect candidate.
00:38:31.840
He can say, fake news, fake news, and it does work.
00:38:35.020
I mean, he did convince half the country that the news is fake, and he was right about it.
00:38:40.860
And I do still like, you know, Trump's policies generally.
00:38:45.020
He seems to be, he seems to promote policies, for the most part, that make complete sense, as does Vivek.
00:39:00.220
You know, when I think of the Republican Party, I think actually Vivek said something like this.
00:39:07.180
There's a famous line in whichever Avengers it was, you'll tell me probably.
00:39:13.240
Do you remember when they said, we have a Hulk?
00:39:16.780
It was like one of the funny lines in the series.
00:39:32.640
Do you know how much they don't want to talk to Vivek?
00:39:36.160
You know, they have to, because he's too important.
00:39:38.680
So he's impossible to ignore, which he did himself.
00:39:52.800
Anyway, I'm liking Vivek more every day, if you couldn't tell.
00:39:59.200
We need some kind of a TV show with high production qualities, which is important.
00:40:04.120
And just going through all the hoaxes that the media has presented.
00:40:08.840
Now, they could do both left-leaning hoaxes and right-leaning hoaxes.
00:40:20.600
And every time you're on social media and somebody says one of those hoaxes,
00:40:29.340
But, I don't know, I just need somebody to make that.
00:40:41.040
The negative comments about Vivek from Republicans
00:40:45.260
have a certain quality to them that, in my opinion,
00:40:54.500
And I have mocked this whole racist dog whistle thing forever.
00:41:01.580
It's just a fact about immigration, for example.
00:41:07.800
But, here's another comment somebody made about Vivek.
00:41:34.100
Or, is that obviously, you can feel a little whistle there, can't you?
00:41:43.680
So, I don't know what's in the mind of the person who tweeted it.
00:41:50.680
Because, there's a whole bunch of people who don't want to say,
00:42:13.600
to tell us that everything the media is telling us is a lie.
00:42:27.240
And, we're going to end up with Americans fighting Russians
00:42:32.580
Does that sound to you persuasive and credible?
00:42:55.600
and I'm going to make sure you're not in ours anymore.
00:43:04.940
So, here's my take on Colonel Douglas McGregor,
00:43:20.360
He's the only guy who has the right information?
00:43:32.000
So, I'm not offering a criticism of his opinion.
00:43:52.100
Anybody who is telling you an honest opinion of what's happening, as opposed to a spin.
00:43:59.320
Now, if you talk to individual soldiers, they're only seeing their little part of the war.
00:44:04.320
So, if they say, my little part of the war we're losing, it doesn't really tell you much.
00:44:15.820
So, you can't get news from individuals who are fighting.
00:44:23.440
You can't get news from the government, because they would all lie.
00:44:29.900
You can't get news from the news, because the news is basically not allowed in.
00:44:39.340
Why is his information better than your information?
00:44:43.160
Do you think he has sources that are the good ones, and nobody else has figured out who his good sources are?
00:44:52.660
He's got all the good sources, but he's not sharing.
00:44:56.040
Isn't there something terribly suspicious about this whole thing?
00:45:00.760
How in the world could he be so confident of his opinion, which is very favorable to Russia?
00:45:09.980
Now, I'm not making any kind of accusation that sounded like I was.
00:45:14.000
So, the overall statement is, you can't believe anybody about Russia or Ukraine.
00:45:22.000
The fact that somebody is a notable military analyst, that doesn't mean anything.
00:45:37.080
If he's just smart enough to, you know, read the situation and kind of knows what's fake and what isn't because of experience, maybe.
00:45:46.540
It's entirely possible that his filter of just being experienced is actually seeing this perfectly accurately.
00:45:53.980
So, I'm not going to rule out the, I won't rule out that he's perfectly on point.
00:46:14.140
You say, well, he doesn't have a history of lying.
00:46:18.500
That doesn't mean you know about the unknowable.
00:46:26.840
If he doesn't have the information, he doesn't have the information.
00:46:38.800
I'm just saying that if you believe it because he has the position of somebody who might know what he's talking about,
00:46:49.960
If he showed sources that you could check, then that would be very good.
00:46:56.300
But if he's just opinionating about who's stronger or weaker or where it's going to go,
00:47:00.360
has anybody ever been able to predict something like this?
00:47:09.240
The Ukraine situation will either go, you know, more for Ukraine or more for Russia eventually.
00:47:16.180
At some point, history will say, well, one of them chose correctly and one of them didn't, probably.
00:47:22.120
And then half of the people who were on that side, but they were just guessing because nobody had good information,
00:47:34.460
If it's a binary, you'll always have people who said, I told you.
00:47:39.700
Whenever there's a yes, it'll happen, or no, it won't,
00:47:42.900
the people who get lucky are pretty sure it's skill.
00:47:48.380
And if you suggest to them, you know it was a 50-50, right?
00:47:52.400
So whichever way this went, half of the country was going to say they were geniuses.
00:48:06.000
Do you think that Ukraine is going to run out of people and that U.S. Americans will be on the front?
00:48:26.980
If America decided to go directly against Russia,
00:48:31.420
as in American soldiers shooting at and being shot at by Russians,
00:48:40.720
because we're going to fucking go after our own country if they do that.
00:48:44.440
If my government starts a fucking war on the ground,
00:49:21.640
War with Russia is a violent revolution in America.
00:49:43.240
I have an observation for you that's going to blow your mind,
00:49:56.400
where he has, you know, a little smoking and drinking
00:49:59.020
and casual conversation with a variety of people,
00:50:10.280
I mean, it's hard to watch the partying part of it
00:50:13.020
because it's just a little uncomfortable, frankly.
00:50:35.200
why Vivek could believe some of the things he believes.
00:50:53.000
that there was not a peaceful transfer of power in 2020
00:50:57.160
or that there was a risk of no transfer of power,
00:51:16.120
Because how in the world do you connect the dots
00:51:26.820
the worst-case scenario is it would end up in the courts,
00:51:38.840
or they're invalid, in which case it's reversed.
00:51:47.340
We have a bureaucracy that takes care of this stuff.
00:52:01.860
There was a question which way it would transfer to,
00:52:17.460
So, but anyway, that's not what I was going to talk about.
00:52:31.840
So they're both, I'd say they're both highly capable,
00:52:42.120
So you put two assertive verbally people together,
00:52:54.260
and a lot of them with people who didn't agree with me.
00:53:04.640
And I feel like if I'd been in that same interview,
00:53:14.920
If you don't acknowledge the point of the other person,
00:54:06.540
He was in a very casual conversation situation,
00:59:56.580
So I understand why people would talk about it.
01:00:01.660
I don't think you can pass the political filter.
01:00:23.900
And when I say cowards, that's probably unkind,
01:00:38.320
what you're thinking even at the risk of your career,
01:01:01.520
and if the Democrats started pushing restrictions
01:01:42.360
I mean, I suppose we should be a little worried,