Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2220 Scott Adams： Most Of The News Is Fake, Per Usual

00:00:00.000 Well, all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice, a styan, a canteen, jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:08.080 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:11.620 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:00:14.680 The dope beat of the day. The thing that makes everything better except fill bump.

00:00:18.640 It's called the simultaneous sip. And it happens now. Go.

00:00:26.460 Ah.

00:00:26.980 Now, let me test the audience.

00:00:31.560 When I say the name Phil Bump, how many of you don't know who I'm talking about?

00:00:37.740 Is there anybody who doesn't know who he is by today?

00:00:45.060 Because he's the Rosetta Stone that opens up the entire machinery of the Democrat, well, propaganda machine, basically.

00:00:56.980 If you don't know who he is, just Google him.

00:01:01.660 Watch the interview.

00:01:03.360 Oh, you'll find out.

00:01:06.600 All right.

00:01:08.140 Speaking of things that aren't working.

00:01:11.560 My book,

00:01:14.060 Reframe Your Brain,

00:01:14.980 Reframe is shown as hardcover is available to purchase, except that it says they're out of stock.

00:01:23.060 Now, what you should know is that I'm independently published, which means that Amazon prints them as they're ordered.

00:01:30.800 There is no stock.

00:01:32.060 There is no stock.

00:01:35.020 So I'm out of something that isn't a thing.

00:01:39.400 And that's why you can't buy it.

00:01:41.220 But of course, you probably won't buy the softcover because it disappears when you're looking at the hardcover.

00:01:46.720 So it looks like the hardcover is unavailable, but the softcover isn't even there.

00:01:54.080 So if you watch my rankings, they went from top 20 to just sort of disappeared in the last few days.

00:02:02.140 Now, do you think I can get this fixed?

00:02:04.820 I don't know.

00:02:06.420 Been trying.

00:02:07.000 Do you think I can get the six fake books of mine off of there that are called workbooks, but really they're just pirate books?

00:02:15.640 Nope.

00:02:16.600 There are something like, I think, six now fake books of mine.

00:02:21.020 There are two fake covers that you could think you're buying and you can't.

00:02:26.700 There are six fake books that you can buy that aren't mine.

00:02:30.360 They're just pirates.

00:02:31.900 Can't get rid of any of them.

00:02:33.920 There's no recourse.

00:02:35.040 Apparently, there's just nothing you can do about it.

00:02:38.140 Other people said they've had similar problems.

00:02:40.560 So I don't know that I'm being targeted.

00:02:43.480 It just looks exactly like I'm being targeted.

00:02:46.880 That's all I know.

00:02:48.580 So there is a new Andrew Tate documentary on BBC which says many bad things about him.

00:02:55.600 Let me test your media knowledge.

00:02:58.640 We're not going to talk about him.

00:03:00.740 No, it's not about him.

00:03:02.000 I'm going to ask you this simple question and we're done.

00:03:06.620 What kind of credibility should you give a documentary about a public figure?

00:03:13.820 Zero.

00:03:14.740 Yeah.

00:03:15.200 The right amount of credibility would be zero.

00:03:17.360 But let me tell you, if you were to watch that thing, you're totally going to believe every part of it because that's how documentaries work.

00:03:25.520 The least reliable form of information, maybe in the entire world, would be a documentary that has a point of view.

00:03:33.000 Now, if you don't believe me, you want to have your mind bent.

00:03:39.420 I've said this before.

00:03:40.720 There are two documentaries about Michael Jackson that have been around a long time.

00:03:45.660 One of them says he's a horrible child abuser.

00:03:50.200 The other one says it's all made up.

00:03:51.940 But you could watch either of them individually and be completely convinced that the one you watched tells you everything you need to know.

00:04:01.200 And they're opposites.

00:04:03.240 They're opposites.

00:04:04.340 You can watch the one that says he's guilty as hell and you will be convinced he's guilty.

00:04:09.960 Five minutes later, just watch the other one.

00:04:13.060 You will be convinced it was all made up.

00:04:16.480 What's my opinion?

00:04:17.820 I have no idea.

00:04:19.660 I really have no idea.

00:04:20.740 I'll tell you, I watched the one where he was, where they debunked the claims.

00:04:27.260 I watched that a second.

00:04:29.540 So if you put a gun to my head and said, all right, you watch two things that are, you know, neither of them are convincing.

00:04:36.140 But, you know, a gun to your head, you have to pick one.

00:04:39.040 I would pick the second one I watched.

00:04:41.260 Do you know why?

00:04:43.420 Because it was the second one I watched.

00:04:46.160 Not because it was better.

00:04:48.260 Not because it was more true.

00:04:49.980 The reason that in a trial the defense gets to go last is that whoever goes last has a huge advantage.

00:04:57.300 So even though I'm completely aware of the fact that the only reason I think the one that debunks the claims is the true one is because I saw a second.

00:05:08.400 That's it.

00:05:09.440 So I simultaneously think it's true, while at the same time know that the only reason I think it's true is an irrational reason.

00:05:17.280 It was the second one I watched.

00:05:19.760 Isn't that amazing?

00:05:20.300 How easily we can be duped.

00:05:24.120 All right.

00:05:26.180 So the whole Phil Bump meltdown is just getting more interesting.

00:05:30.260 I confess that he was, well, has been one of my biggest critics, who I call my mascots for years.

00:05:39.220 But he's also been the pusher of, I did a little Googling to find out what else he's been up to now that we know he's a fraud.

00:05:46.520 Or at least those are the suggestions based on his podcast with Noam Dorman.

00:05:53.560 But he was pushing the find people hoax like it was real.

00:05:56.980 Are you surprised?

00:05:58.480 Are you surprised that somebody who appears to be have unmasked as a knowing stooge of somebody, but somebody who wasn't even trying to do real news, apparently?

00:06:09.900 Yeah, he pushed the find people hoax, and now that would be in the Washington Post.

00:06:16.460 And if I've told you a million times, other news outlets look for the Washington Post or the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal, usually, as their signal that something is real.

00:06:30.580 So he got in the biggest outlet and signaled it was real.

00:06:35.160 And then everybody jumped on board.

00:06:37.860 He was one of the people signaling.

00:06:39.900 He also pushed the injecting disinfectant hoax, which you would know as the drinking bleach hoax.

00:06:47.200 But he couldn't go so far as to say drinking bleach because it just wasn't in the transcript.

00:06:52.760 That's something the CNN did when they don't show you the transcript.

00:06:56.820 But he went for injecting disinfectant like he meant a liquid disinfectant instead of what he was talking about, which was light as a disinfectant,

00:07:06.680 which was being actually in trial at the time you mentioned it.

00:07:11.660 So yeah, it turns out that Phil Bump is exactly what you thought he was.

00:07:17.580 He is a stooge for somebody who is the primary, maybe the number one pusher of political hoaxes in the country.

00:07:26.760 Don't you feel better that you know that?

00:07:30.980 So that whenever you see his work, if you ever see his work again, he's totally backed by his company.

00:07:39.260 How would you like to be the Washington Post and know that you have to back that guy?

00:07:44.480 Because if you don't back him, you know what?

00:07:46.500 It means you know what was happening.

00:07:50.280 They have to act like they were unaware that anything bad was happening.

00:07:53.880 Oh no, he's a great writer. I don't even know what you're talking about.

00:07:57.600 That's a very awkward place to be because surely they know he was just making shit up.

00:08:02.480 Do you think they didn't know that?

00:08:04.560 Do you think his editor was unaware that he was just making shit up?

00:08:11.120 I don't know.

00:08:13.540 It's a mystery.

00:08:14.260 Well, Tony Fauci got the Phil Bump of Science award from me today because he actually was on,

00:08:22.300 who is he talking to?

00:08:24.020 You'll remind me.

00:08:26.080 He was being grilled about the effectiveness of masks because, you know,

00:08:29.380 they're talking about bringing it back.

00:08:31.540 And, oh, it was Smirconish.

00:08:36.900 So, once again, can we give a nod to Smirconish for not being a CNN,

00:08:44.260 Stooge?

00:08:45.920 I mean, he's on CNN, but he seems to be independent.

00:08:49.100 And he might be one of the few.

00:08:51.700 So, yeah.

00:08:52.940 I mean, think of how hard it is to be independently minded on CNN.

00:08:58.620 That can't be easy.

00:09:00.500 He probably gets a little pushback.

00:09:02.640 But I appreciate him.

00:09:03.880 And he was fair to me when I was on the show.

00:09:06.280 Once.

00:09:06.700 Once he was not fair.

00:09:08.300 He brought on a critic to be there at the same time, which is basically a hit.

00:09:13.640 But I'll bet the producers brought the critic on.

00:09:15.880 I'll bet that wasn't him.

00:09:19.340 Yes, I think back.

00:09:20.420 I think the producers probably tried to sandbag me with the critic.

00:09:24.200 But I don't think he would have done that.

00:09:26.560 That sounds like something they pushed.

00:09:28.600 So, I do trust Smirconish.

00:09:31.160 But anyway, he pointed out to Fauci that studies of, you know, populations show that masks didn't make any difference where they were implemented.

00:09:39.920 So, the ones who had them and the ones who didn't have them, you know, different cities and locations.

00:09:46.540 Smirconish argues that the, you know, the best science says that there was no difference.

00:09:51.220 Now, Fauci argued, well, you know, maybe the science doesn't show that there's a difference at a population level.

00:10:00.900 But there's plenty of science that shows that they work on an individual level.

00:10:07.640 Uh, what?

00:10:11.020 So, Fauci believes that they totally work individually.

00:10:16.820 But if you take all the people who it individually worked for and added them together, all the benefit would add to zero when you measured it.

00:10:27.620 Because nobody can find it at a group level.

00:10:31.400 He actually tried to sell that, that the statistics could be true for an individual.

00:10:37.280 But when you added them up, gosh, we don't see it.

00:10:40.700 But that doesn't mean anything.

00:10:42.000 Can you even believe that?

00:10:45.720 Is your brain just going, you must be explaining this wrong, Scott?

00:10:49.380 I don't think I am.

00:10:51.340 I think I'm explaining it pretty much the way he did.

00:10:54.420 Now, his argument would be that he thinks the science about the individuals is a little more solid than something about the population.

00:11:03.060 But his reasoning would be, at least this is how I intuited it, you know, he didn't say it directly, that because the individual stuff agrees with him, that must be the right one.

00:11:17.120 Why would he say, if the two are out of sync, the individual studies and then the group studies are out of sync, why would he pick the group studies?

00:11:26.680 What would be the logic for that?

00:11:29.220 It's because it agrees with him.

00:11:30.500 What else would it be?

00:11:33.500 I can't think of any other reason.

00:11:35.920 He didn't offer any other reason.

00:11:39.480 Talk about being Phil-bumped.

00:11:42.060 Oh, my God.

00:11:42.920 Smirk Kavish actually Phil-bumped him right out of, you know, all conversation.

00:11:47.760 But most of the country wouldn't know the difference and would think that, well, if it works on an individual level, that must be proof it works on a big level.

00:11:56.560 I guess they just got that data wrong.

00:11:58.080 Let me remind you that all information about the pandemic is non-credible.

00:12:03.940 It doesn't matter if it agrees with you.

00:12:06.460 If you're accepting the pandemic information that agrees with your point of view, you've missed the last five years.

00:12:14.840 There's no reliable data, are you kidding, about the pandemic.

00:12:20.700 It's all motivated data.

00:12:22.520 The stuff that agrees with you is motivated.

00:12:24.680 The stuff that disagrees with you is motivated.

00:12:27.560 And science apparently can't study most things.

00:12:30.880 They just pretend they can to get funded for it.

00:12:34.140 Well, they can study it.

00:12:35.280 They just can't know that they got anything useful in it.

00:12:39.600 Yeah.

00:12:40.340 Anyway.

00:12:40.780 I'm old enough to remember because somebody tried this on me on X today.

00:12:48.400 They tried to dunk on me by saying that there's a randomized, that the best, the best trial was a randomized controlled trial.

00:12:57.320 So once you have one of those, you're good to go, right?

00:13:00.220 You can ignore all the weak trials because you got the good, high quality, randomized, controlled trial.

00:13:07.280 The gold standard, they say.

00:13:09.860 I used to believe that that was a thing, that a randomized, controlled trial told you something that you could trust.

00:13:17.500 That is so not true.

00:13:19.520 It just depends who funded it.

00:13:22.200 Who funded it will pretty much tell you what the result was.

00:13:25.260 Do you know why?

00:13:25.860 Because if the people who funded it didn't get the right result, I'm not entirely sure you would ever know what happened.

00:13:33.460 Am I wrong?

00:13:35.180 If the result is opposite of what the people who funded it or even did the study wanted it to be,

00:13:41.720 do you think that they would publish it and say, well, this really caught us by surprise, but it's a good thing we know now?

00:13:48.260 No.

00:13:49.180 They would say, it looks like we did this study wrong.

00:13:51.780 There's a flaw in it, so we're going to, you know, just hold on to it because there's no point in giving people flawed data.

00:13:58.640 Do you know how many studies would be beyond reproach?

00:14:04.800 Like, even the experts could look at it in detail and say, wow, the people who did this study nailed it.

00:14:10.700 They got everything right.

00:14:12.800 Probably never.

00:14:14.440 Probably never.

00:14:15.240 Because if there's any complication whatsoever, people will have different opinions about what was the better way to handle that one element of the larger trial.

00:14:24.900 And they'll be like, hmm, is your sample, you know, I wouldn't have picked that sample because of some reason, blah, blah, blah.

00:14:31.600 So if you have one randomized controlled trial, it's closer to an opinion or fake news than it is to true.

00:14:40.360 But it could be true.

00:14:42.420 I'd say it's a one in three.

00:14:44.420 I'd give a randomized controlled trial, if you only had one of them, if there's only one, I'd give it a one in three chance of being useful.

00:14:53.640 So you should actually bet against them.

00:14:56.720 So there's some possibility that the fix is in, and whoever funded it is, you know, making it come out one way.

00:15:04.120 And the other possibility is they just did it wrong, and it's a mistake, or their control group was wrong, or some damn thing.

00:15:12.200 Probably one in three is my best guess for a randomized controlled trial.

00:15:16.040 I would have said nine out of ten.

00:15:18.460 Five years ago, I would say, well, they can't all be right, but, you know, if you do everything right, the gold standard, nine out of ten probably, I'd say one out of three.

00:15:27.920 That's my current best guess.

00:15:29.920 Well, we're all waiting for the newest race hoax for 2024.

00:15:35.420 We know it's coming.

00:15:36.320 There might be more than one, so they might have to roll out like three or four to see which one catches on.

00:15:42.940 But there's one, they're floating now about a pregnant black woman who was shot.

00:15:50.400 If you take out the part where she was trying to kill a police officer when she got shot, it looks pretty bad.

00:15:56.320 If you leave in the part where she was trying to murder a police officer with her car, then it looks a little different.

00:16:03.340 And then there's also the very well-addressed and well-equipped new set of Nazis.

00:16:11.120 Turns out there's a whole new set of Nazis.

00:16:12.880 They've got nice red shirts.

00:16:15.220 They've got their, you know, matching hoods so you can't see their faces.

00:16:18.580 And they've got these brand new Nazi flags with actually swastikas on them.

00:16:23.260 And there's some video of them, so it must be true.

00:16:26.180 Am I right?

00:16:27.240 There's video of them.

00:16:29.360 I saw it with my own eyes.

00:16:31.720 Don't tell me that it's fake.

00:16:33.140 I saw it with my own eyes.

00:16:35.060 And if there's one thing we know for sure, if I saw it with my own eyes, that's better than a randomized controlled trial.

00:16:42.240 Am I right?

00:16:42.900 No, because most of the hoaxes people saw with their own eyes.

00:16:50.360 Do you know how you fool a scientist?

00:16:53.580 Does anybody know how to fool a scientist?

00:16:58.880 Yeah, you all do, because it's the easiest thing in the world.

00:17:01.520 There's nothing easier than fooling a scientist.

00:17:04.060 I saw one today who believed one of the hoaxes.

00:17:07.040 And he was literally, literally teaches science, and yet he believed one of the major hoaxes.

00:17:11.900 Do you know why he was easy to fool, as I mentioned to him?

00:17:17.700 Because a scientist doesn't know all the ways that people are evil.

00:17:24.140 If you're a scientist and you work with other scientists who are actually just trying to figure out what's true,

00:17:29.240 you kind of imagine that other people are like that too.

00:17:32.780 It would be hard for you to imagine that somebody would even intend a study to be fake.

00:17:38.700 If you were a real scientist, that wouldn't even be in your mental model that somebody would fake a study intentionally.

00:17:46.860 You'd be thinking, well, some studies might make mistakes, but you would never, ever think somebody funded a whole study just as a fraud,

00:17:55.560 which I'm pretty sure is routine, actually.

00:17:58.160 Routine in the sense that if they get the right answer, they'll keep it.

00:18:03.480 If they get the wrong answer, they'll throw it away and say it was flawed, right?

00:18:08.180 So in effect, they're just buying an answer.

00:18:11.000 So I think it could be that this new group is the, you know, we'll see more of them and then they'll become the new fine people hoax.

00:18:21.920 They'll wait for somebody like Trump to say something that can be taken out of context so it looks like he's supporting them.

00:18:29.280 You know, he'll say something like, who knows?

00:18:32.740 But you can imagine him being taken out of context.

00:18:34.900 Here's my guess about that group, probably mostly real racists, probably mostly real racists.

00:18:43.380 The second part of my prediction is this.

00:18:46.220 Hold on.

00:18:46.760 One, that they only existed as a bunch of online people chatting about stuff they agreed with until some well-dressed new person or persons came into the group and suggested that they should take their act into the public.

00:19:03.620 You know, this chatting isn't nearly enough.

00:19:05.800 You know what you guys need?

00:19:07.620 You need some nice shirts.

00:19:08.980 If you'll let me, I'll order them for you.

00:19:11.180 If you could give me all your sizes, I'll make sure you get all the shirts.

00:19:14.140 And while we're at it, you know, it doesn't cost much more money.

00:19:17.520 Why don't we get some flags?

00:19:19.480 Don't you think you'd feel better if you had a flag?

00:19:21.740 If you're out in public with your nice shirt?

00:19:23.480 Yeah, yeah.

00:19:24.400 And make sure you've got some, you know, face coverings.

00:19:27.060 And then I'll do some project management for you.

00:19:30.040 And we'll pick a time.

00:19:31.340 We'll organize everybody.

00:19:32.480 Make sure everybody has transportation.

00:19:34.420 And then we'll make sure we've got a nice public show.

00:19:37.940 Do you know what kind of people are good project managers in the context of racist organizations?

00:19:44.840 Apparently the FBI.

00:19:48.080 Apparently the feds.

00:19:49.920 Right.

00:19:50.560 Those undercover people are really good at organizing.

00:19:54.460 So I don't know the truth of this group.

00:19:58.080 I assume that they're real racists.

00:20:00.840 But I think that their unusual level of organization and fashion suggests they have a project manager, if you know what I mean.

00:20:10.200 Somebody's making them a little bit more organized than you would expect this group to be.

00:20:15.720 Yeah.

00:20:16.520 It looks like it's an op.

00:20:19.120 And maybe it'll get bigger.

00:20:20.420 We'll see.

00:20:20.780 But there will definitely be a race hoax in 2024.

00:20:25.080 And I've already come up with a hashtag before the hoax itself.

00:20:29.380 So when the hoax arises, and we all recognize it, we'll do hashtag race hoax 2024.

00:20:35.040 So I want to get it going before the actual hoax.

00:20:38.580 Because I feel like it would help convince Democrats that they've been brainwashed.

00:20:44.520 If you can call the hit before it happens.

00:20:49.360 You know, if you can point to the fence you're going to hit it over.

00:20:52.500 I'm going to hit it over the left field fence.

00:20:54.700 It's going to be a race hoax.

00:20:56.680 It's going to happen in 2024.

00:20:59.660 And just wait for it.

00:21:02.780 I mean, it's almost guaranteed.

00:21:03.900 Is there anybody who thinks there won't be a race hoax?

00:21:10.300 There's nobody who thinks there won't be one, right?

00:21:13.280 Of course there will.

00:21:14.680 And you notice that they all kind of stopped under Biden.

00:21:19.600 Like all the race hoaxes.

00:21:21.520 You know, it's funny that no police officer shot an unarmed black man or killed an unarmed black man during the entire Biden administration so far.

00:21:31.400 Don't you love how Biden completely stopped that problem just by existing as a cadaver?

00:21:38.020 Very effective.

00:21:39.540 Yeah.

00:21:40.040 It's almost as if those things were, I don't know, not exactly what you think.

00:21:45.420 So once again, the I saw it with my own eyes crowd are weighing in to my list of political hoaxes.

00:21:53.520 When they see it, they always say the same thing.

00:21:55.520 But I saw it with my own eyes.

00:21:57.900 And they're the easiest to fool.

00:21:59.400 Because that's how all magic tricks work.

00:22:03.540 You think you saw it with your own eyes.

00:22:05.500 It's how all hoaxes work.

00:22:07.860 You thought you saw something real.

00:22:10.140 So they actually argue that it's not a hoax because they saw something they believed.

00:22:16.540 I feel like they don't know what a hoax is.

00:22:19.980 A hoax is something that looks exactly like it's real, but it's not.

00:22:24.220 And so their argument that it's not a hoax is that it looks exactly real to them.

00:22:29.960 Not really understanding the whole hoax concept.

00:22:33.560 That not knowing it's a hoax is really integral to the hoax.

00:22:37.580 If you knew it was a hoax, because you could just look at it yourself, it wouldn't be so effective as a hoax.

00:22:43.800 So my approach with the, I saw it with my own eyes, people, is pity then point.

00:22:55.460 Pity then point.

00:22:57.220 So I express my sympathy that this has happened to them.

00:23:01.980 And I always say, I'm sorry this happened to you.

00:23:04.300 Which is a very powerful phrase.

00:23:06.700 Because you know what nobody wants in the context of an argument?

00:23:09.520 Sympathy.

00:23:12.800 Because it's out of frame.

00:23:15.100 Do you understand that?

00:23:16.280 If you enter the frame of, I've got some claims, I have some counterclaims,

00:23:21.040 we are now debating the claims versus the counterclaims.

00:23:24.340 Well, you can't win that.

00:23:26.560 But you might be able to make them feel embarrassed through your empathy.

00:23:33.480 And I actually, and by the way, the empathy is real in my case.

00:23:36.520 When I see somebody saying stuff like this, there's clearly just brainwashing result.

00:23:43.340 I actually just feel sorry for them.

00:23:45.500 Imagine going through life thinking that this stuff really happened.

00:23:49.140 Imagine living in America thinking that the president praised Nazis on television.

00:23:55.800 Imagine thinking that actually happened in the real world.

00:23:59.640 I saw it with my own eyes, Scott.

00:24:01.300 I heard it with my own ears.

00:24:02.420 No, you didn't.

00:24:03.540 That's how the hoax works.

00:24:05.000 Alex, you saw things that you thought were that, because they took out the context.

00:24:10.600 They, the bad people.

00:24:12.740 Anyway, it's easy to prove.

00:24:14.920 You can just Google any of them in the debunks, and you'll see how they did it to you.

00:24:20.580 George Soros' son, Alex, I was reading Glenn Greenwald's tweet.

00:24:26.460 He's issued a, I don't know, Glenn called it a manifesto on his foreign policy.

00:24:31.760 But basically, it was a statement that he's going to keep doing George Soros types of things.

00:24:38.060 And as Greenwald asks, and I think it's a good question, is, at what point did our political system allow one billionaire to tell you how he's going to change the system and then do it right in front of you?

00:24:53.740 Which part of the Constitution was rich guy will spray money in the direction of getting the shit he wants?

00:25:04.960 He's telling you he's doing it.

00:25:06.460 And I do appreciate that, by the way.

00:25:08.380 I do appreciate transparency.

00:25:10.080 So I'm going to give Alex, you know, A plus for that part of his transparency.

00:25:14.040 So, and it is, he does have free speech.

00:25:18.340 Correct me if I'm wrong, he's an American citizen, right?

00:25:21.980 Actually, I don't know that that's true.

00:25:23.580 Is he an American citizen?

00:25:29.660 I think he is, right?

00:25:32.520 Pretty sure.

00:25:34.480 I think he is, yeah.

00:25:35.960 So, all right, we have a confirmation, right?

00:25:37.780 So, as an American citizen, he is innocent until proven guilty, not that I'm accusing him of anything illegal.

00:25:44.560 And he has free speech.

00:25:47.240 Free speech.

00:25:49.320 And he has, apparently, the legal avenues to donate money to causes he cares about, including politicians.

00:25:57.920 So, but why is it okay?

00:26:03.980 I get that it's legal.

00:26:05.440 It seems totally legal.

00:26:08.800 But why is it okay?

00:26:11.460 I feel like it should be embarrassing to say that you're going to use your money to bias our system.

00:26:20.620 Yeah.

00:26:21.460 Because if he can't do it with argument, should it be done?

00:26:26.740 I suppose there are some things that couldn't happen without money.

00:26:29.380 But you don't think that a good argument could get you to a better place than money?

00:26:37.280 Because as soon as money is involved, people are going to look to how to steal your money and, you know, just keep stealing it.

00:26:43.080 It becomes a different objective when money is involved.

00:26:47.880 Well, I would say it's sketchy but legal.

00:26:50.480 And there's something wrong with the system where we can't fire him.

00:26:58.020 Am I right?

00:26:59.940 Like, you know, in our normal elected system, if somebody does a bad job, at least there's some chance they could get voted out of office.

00:27:06.760 But he's like a shadow government.

00:27:12.460 And the amazing thing is he's telling you.

00:27:15.260 He's telling you how he's trying to influence policy.

00:27:19.560 But I guess it's not illegal.

00:27:22.160 Maybe it should be.

00:27:24.640 Maybe it should be.

00:27:26.080 I don't know.

00:27:26.780 I don't know how you could make it illegal and not make too many other things illegal.

00:27:30.580 But this is not a sustainable situation.

00:27:37.160 It would be interesting if some other billionaire decided to fund whatever was the opposite of everything Alex funds.

00:27:47.120 Imagine this.

00:27:48.480 Just, you know, for fun.

00:27:50.020 This is not going to happen.

00:27:50.940 But imagine Elon Musk or somebody like that saying, I'm going to double the funding of whatever you do to whatever is the anti-group for the group you funded.

00:28:02.360 So if you're funding prosecutors who want to let people out of jail, I will double what you give to their competition once you keep them in jail.

00:28:10.200 And you just double his, you double all of his investments for one year.

00:28:16.200 If you weren't there at all, it would be more like a fair fight.

00:28:22.040 But if he's going to donate a dollar, you give the other side two dollars and you never stop doing it.

00:28:27.400 Now, if he tried to match you, like, you know, up his, it would be sort of a ridiculous use of money and it would just look stupid.

00:28:34.220 And everybody would just laugh at both of the billionaires for wasting the money.

00:28:38.520 But it would make his whole deal look stupid and a waste of time.

00:28:41.980 Right now, presumably, he wakes up.

00:28:45.080 I'm just guessing because I can't read minds.

00:28:47.480 But wouldn't you say he's probably a true believer?

00:28:50.520 Or do some of you think he's secretly trying to destroy the world because his father something something?

00:28:57.640 I feel like he's a true believer.

00:29:00.740 Like all the signs are that he's, he believes that he's got a better vision for things.

00:29:06.460 Yeah.

00:29:07.200 But don't you think that motivates him?

00:29:09.360 Like you feel like you're doing something good, so you wake up and say,

00:29:12.500 ah, I'm going to give some money to good things today.

00:29:15.740 But suppose you knew that every time you gave a dollar, it doubled the competition to your idea.

00:29:22.960 Would you still wake up and want to do that job?

00:29:26.900 How many days would you wake up and make your own causes worse off

00:29:30.820 because there's another billionaire who's going to counter, counter program you by double?

00:29:35.860 I don't know.

00:29:38.180 I feel like you could discourage him out of the business with, you know, vast amounts of money

00:29:43.540 in a way that you couldn't talk him out of it.

00:29:47.540 You know, at least just the stuff that needs to be talked out of.

00:29:51.300 All right.

00:29:52.100 I'd love to deprogram him in public, but he would never talk to me.

00:29:56.560 I assume.

00:29:57.320 All right.

00:29:59.520 So if you didn't already doubt science, just think of these things.

00:30:03.520 Science failed during the pandemic, I would say completely.

00:30:07.020 Nutrition failed.

00:30:08.980 You know, the experts have been lying to us about nutrition forever.

00:30:13.680 Climate predictions have not materialized, the dire ones.

00:30:19.920 String theory.

00:30:20.860 I was just mocking that on X yesterday.

00:30:23.880 The string theory is so ridiculous.

00:30:25.480 The idea is that, you know, there's stuff you can see, particles and atoms and electrons.

00:30:32.660 And if you burrow down to what stuff is made of and then what that stuff is made of,

00:30:37.120 and you get to what a quark or a charm is made of, you know, the smallest elements of reality,

00:30:43.420 then the scientists are telling us that they're made with some kind of vibrating string of something,

00:30:49.380 and the type of vibration determines what kind of a particle it is.

00:30:55.480 But isn't there a missing question?

00:30:59.840 What is the string made of?

00:31:02.660 And somebody said energy.

00:31:04.900 What's energy made of?

00:31:08.000 Does energy exist if there's no matter?

00:31:11.660 If the universe had no matter, could it have energy?

00:31:15.200 Because energy is the movement of matter, isn't it?

00:31:19.580 No, it can't.

00:31:21.020 It would be logically impossible in an empty universe to have energy.

00:31:25.760 To have only energy.

00:31:27.680 Because energy doesn't exist except in the context of things moving.

00:31:33.560 And there would be nothing to move.

00:31:34.760 So basically, at the bottom of it all is nothing.

00:31:40.040 If it's just energy, it's literally nothing.

00:31:45.720 Yeah, the whole idea, and by the way, I guess the string theory hasn't panned down,

00:31:50.460 hasn't explained everything.

00:31:52.100 You know, huge amounts of money have gone into it, just like some of these other things.

00:31:55.480 And it looks like it was just a money suck, and it never really had any possibility of doing anything.

00:32:03.440 So, yeah, Eric Weinstein's been saying this for a long time.

00:32:08.880 He says it better because he understands the field.

00:32:11.480 Whereas I'm just looking at it from the outside.

00:32:14.900 Imagine the arrogance of what I'm doing right now.

00:32:18.640 Well, I have said this.

00:32:21.700 But 10 years ago when I said this, and I think I was saying it 10 years ago,

00:32:25.500 that the string theory looked ridiculous, you would have just laughed at me, right?

00:32:30.860 Oh, let me check your resume.

00:32:34.740 Scott, I'm looking for your science accreditations.

00:32:39.180 Oh, I don't see any.

00:32:40.820 It appears that you don't have any science-y background.

00:32:44.420 So why don't you just listen to the experts, right?

00:32:48.080 10 years ago, that's the treatment I would have gotten.

00:32:52.000 How does it feel after the pandemic?

00:32:54.900 After the pandemic, when I say they've been working on it for 50 years

00:32:59.680 and produced basically nothing, it's probably just a hoax.

00:33:04.040 That is a big money spigot.

00:33:07.460 Does that sound crazy today?

00:33:10.340 Not so crazy, huh?

00:33:12.400 See, if you wait long enough, I become less crazy over time.

00:33:16.280 It's a weird phenomenon.

00:33:19.340 I start out batshit crazy, and then I become more normal over time.

00:33:25.420 You want to hear another one?

00:33:28.500 Do you remember a certain thing I got in trouble for and canceled worldwide?

00:33:33.980 I said you should get the hell away from a certain group of people.

00:33:38.100 Did you take that as something racial?

00:33:44.140 I expressed it that way.

00:33:45.980 But is that how you took it?

00:33:49.140 Because here's some of the context that, of course, gets lost by the Phil Bumps of the world.

00:33:55.340 Did Phil Bump write about me?

00:33:56.940 He probably did.

00:33:57.700 I don't know.

00:33:58.080 He tweeted about it.

00:33:58.980 But here's the argument.

00:34:03.720 If there's a segment of the population, it doesn't matter who they are,

00:34:08.540 if there's a segment of the population that has been trained to believe that you have their stuff

00:34:13.520 and they need to get it back, you should get as far away from them as you can.

00:34:18.460 Nobody disagrees with that.

00:34:20.280 It has nothing to do with your DNA.

00:34:21.840 It has to do with the fact that our current environment with CRT training and DEI and companies

00:34:28.720 and ESG, you know, above it all, they all have in common that there's a victim class

00:34:34.960 and a patriarchy kind of class that are the oppressors

00:34:40.100 and that the oppressors have your stuff and you better get it back.

00:34:45.220 If you find yourself in that environment, get the fuck out of there.

00:34:48.320 Now, the fact that I used the most provocative shorthand for it,

00:34:54.260 I don't apologize for it at all because I was trying to make people really, really mad

00:34:58.720 so that eventually when they calm down, they could hear me say this.

00:35:04.240 Black America, if you didn't know it, CRT, ESG, and DEI have poisoned your relationship

00:35:11.540 with white, especially male Americans, and it's not going to get fixed.

00:35:16.540 You've poisoned the relationship forever.

00:35:19.780 Anybody who sticks around, people who think that you've got their stuff

00:35:23.900 and you should give it back legally or possibly if I have to shoplift it,

00:35:28.960 you need to get as far away from those people no matter what their DNA is.

00:35:34.520 They could be white.

00:35:36.140 They could be the white people who believe that equity is the way to go

00:35:39.940 and that the people who are shoplifting maybe shouldn't be arrested

00:35:43.900 because after all, it's balancing the equity a little bit, isn't it?

00:35:48.120 You should get far away, get the fuck away from any white person

00:35:53.440 who thinks that you've got somebody else's stuff.

00:35:56.600 That's no good for you.

00:35:57.840 And let me say again, the thing that every black man will agree with, man,

00:36:04.760 every black man will agree with, women, I don't know.

00:36:08.580 I have less insight there.

00:36:11.180 Here's something every black man will agree with.

00:36:14.140 Number one, we should not discriminate in employment.

00:36:19.720 Right?

00:36:20.800 Everybody agrees.

00:36:21.660 Number two, we should not discriminate in making, let's say, loans.

00:36:27.620 Absolutely not.

00:36:28.840 No tolerance.

00:36:30.440 Number three, we should not discriminate in individual relationships.

00:36:35.760 Not who you date, not who your friends are,

00:36:39.140 not who you marry, not who you have kids with.

00:36:42.200 Those are not proper domains that anybody reasonable wants discrimination.

00:36:48.500 However, if you find yourself in a situation where the topic is not,

00:36:54.660 let's say, some of those things that I mentioned,

00:36:57.320 and is literally your self-defense,

00:37:00.480 if it's your self-defense, you can discriminate as much as you want.

00:37:06.100 There's no rules about that.

00:37:08.780 Right?

00:37:09.460 If you're physically threatened,

00:37:12.000 or somebody's tried to rob you, for example,

00:37:15.100 you don't have to worry about feelings.

00:37:17.840 There's nobody's feelings you have to worry about.

00:37:22.060 You don't have to worry about precedence.

00:37:24.400 You don't even have to worry about the law,

00:37:26.380 except not getting caught.

00:37:28.680 Right?

00:37:29.180 None of it matters.

00:37:30.800 For self-defense,

00:37:32.340 you just do what you need to do to stay safe

00:37:34.320 and keep your family safe.

00:37:36.700 So,

00:37:37.560 anybody who's operating on the process

00:37:40.800 of keeping themselves and their family safe,

00:37:43.220 they can discriminate all they want.

00:37:44.900 I'll give you an example.

00:37:45.600 If you're a black man,

00:37:50.020 let's say you're married

00:37:50.820 and you want to get a babysitter for the kids,

00:37:53.440 would you pick a 40-year-old single white guy

00:37:57.780 as your babysitter?

00:38:00.440 Would you?

00:38:01.220 Or would you discriminate?

00:38:03.680 Because that looks like trouble.

00:38:06.640 Well,

00:38:07.680 if this were like,

00:38:08.980 if this were more like an employment situation,

00:38:12.080 and I guess it is.

00:38:13.140 It is actually employment.

00:38:14.860 But no sane person

00:38:16.600 would ignore

00:38:18.900 what they imagine to be the risks.

00:38:21.500 When it comes to your safety

00:38:23.600 or your family's safety,

00:38:25.840 you are absolutely allowed

00:38:27.560 to use your imagination

00:38:29.780 of what keeps you safer.

00:38:32.380 You could be wrong.

00:38:33.900 You could be just a terrible discriminator.

00:38:37.680 But you have every right

00:38:39.100 to protect yourself as you see fit.

00:38:41.240 That's not illegal.

00:38:44.340 It's just not illegal at all.

00:38:46.440 And if it were illegal,

00:38:47.400 you should ignore that law

00:38:48.480 because that would be a dumbass law.

00:38:52.160 So,

00:38:53.200 what black person

00:38:55.620 would disagree with anything

00:38:57.080 I just said?

00:38:58.300 They would definitely disagree

00:38:59.520 with the provocative way

00:39:01.100 I said it,

00:39:01.760 but even I disagree

00:39:03.260 with myself on that

00:39:04.440 because it was just

00:39:05.480 to get attention.

00:39:06.900 It wasn't,

00:39:08.540 you know,

00:39:08.900 how do you actually separate?

00:39:10.660 But I think the important part

00:39:11.900 of the story is

00:39:12.760 that black Americans

00:39:15.320 need to understand

00:39:16.220 they're just poisoning

00:39:17.940 the relationship

00:39:18.780 and white people

00:39:20.140 won't tell you

00:39:21.040 because they would get canceled.

00:39:23.380 So,

00:39:23.940 I decided to tell you.

00:39:25.560 If you're black

00:39:26.460 and you're watching this,

00:39:27.700 you don't think it's useful

00:39:28.820 to know that white America

00:39:30.500 wants to get away

00:39:31.580 from you

00:39:32.000 even if they don't

00:39:33.060 say it out loud

00:39:33.840 because they don't

00:39:34.860 want to get sued.

00:39:36.320 They don't want to be

00:39:37.240 competing against you

00:39:38.140 for jobs

00:39:38.760 because they can't.

00:39:40.840 And they don't want

00:39:41.720 to be anywhere

00:39:42.380 where there's no bail

00:39:44.060 and massive shoplifting.

00:39:47.000 They might not say it,

00:39:48.920 but they're all thinking

00:39:50.360 the same thing.

00:39:51.760 Now,

00:39:52.660 does all of the

00:39:53.760 CRT,

00:39:54.720 ESG,

00:39:55.960 DEI stuff,

00:39:56.880 does it give you

00:39:57.500 some immediate benefits?

00:39:59.560 Probably.

00:40:00.720 It probably does.

00:40:02.240 Maybe some more people

00:40:03.340 get a little opportunities.

00:40:05.680 But,

00:40:06.640 you should always weigh

00:40:08.080 whatever benefit

00:40:08.920 you're getting

00:40:09.500 with the costs.

00:40:12.620 And if nobody's

00:40:13.380 going to tell you

00:40:13.960 that you've completely

00:40:14.780 poisoned white America

00:40:16.460 so that we actually

00:40:17.980 feel that it's dangerous

00:40:19.200 to be in an environment

00:40:20.640 with people

00:40:21.380 who think that you

00:40:22.080 have their stuff

00:40:22.900 and they need

00:40:23.420 to get it back

00:40:24.140 to reach equity,

00:40:26.880 you don't want

00:40:28.000 to be around that.

00:40:28.780 if there's any way

00:40:30.220 you can get away

00:40:30.820 from an environment

00:40:31.660 where people's brains

00:40:33.680 have been poisoned,

00:40:34.660 not their DNA,

00:40:36.220 nothing is about DNA

00:40:37.420 or about some natural

00:40:38.700 thing in anybody.

00:40:40.020 It's just that

00:40:40.640 the mind virus

00:40:41.460 has focused

00:40:43.020 on a certain

00:40:43.620 group of people.

00:40:45.240 Not exclusively,

00:40:47.220 but mostly.

00:40:47.760 do I sound

00:40:53.120 as crazy

00:40:53.880 as I sounded

00:40:54.600 the first time

00:40:55.240 you heard it?

00:40:56.640 So my thesis here

00:40:58.220 is that I sound

00:40:58.860 less crazy

00:40:59.620 as time goes by,

00:41:01.620 just in general,

00:41:02.640 generally speaking.

00:41:04.340 one of the things

00:41:09.520 I'd point out

00:41:10.200 is that my audience

00:41:12.160 is unique

00:41:12.820 and a big mistake

00:41:14.720 I made

00:41:15.320 was not realizing

00:41:17.620 that anything I say

00:41:18.760 can get into

00:41:19.460 the larger audience

00:41:21.000 and the larger audience

00:41:22.400 has no idea

00:41:23.100 what's going on

00:41:23.840 with me

00:41:24.500 because they don't

00:41:25.240 have any context.

00:41:26.640 So they just figure

00:41:27.560 I'm just one of those

00:41:28.500 crazy racists

00:41:29.600 when in fact

00:41:31.060 I probably was

00:41:33.480 the most useful person

00:41:35.160 to black America

00:41:36.740 of anybody this year.

00:41:38.900 That's my claim.

00:41:39.980 The most useful person

00:41:41.740 because they didn't

00:41:42.660 know this.

00:41:43.960 Did they?

00:41:45.020 Do you think

00:41:45.400 there were any

00:41:45.960 black Americans

00:41:46.880 who knew they had

00:41:48.120 poisoned their relationship

00:41:49.200 with white America

00:41:50.100 and it doesn't look

00:41:51.400 like there's a fix

00:41:52.160 and that white America

00:41:53.700 is going to do

00:41:54.260 everything they can

00:41:55.100 to stay away

00:41:55.700 from that risk?

00:41:57.460 It's a risk

00:41:58.320 that's extreme

00:41:59.320 has cost me

00:42:01.140 so far

00:42:01.840 two jobs

00:42:02.860 and one

00:42:03.500 well four jobs

00:42:05.760 actually all four

00:42:06.520 of my jobs

00:42:07.140 were because I'm white.

00:42:09.540 So I lost

00:42:10.160 my banking career

00:42:12.440 because my boss

00:42:13.340 said you can't

00:42:14.260 promote white guys.

00:42:16.420 True story.

00:42:17.900 Black people think

00:42:18.840 that didn't happen.

00:42:20.860 They think

00:42:21.340 there's no way

00:42:22.120 it was probably

00:42:23.000 just because

00:42:23.380 you were a bad employee.

00:42:24.840 There's no way

00:42:25.420 that your boss

00:42:25.920 told you directly

00:42:26.900 we can't promote you

00:42:28.740 because you're

00:42:29.240 white and male

00:42:29.900 and if you think

00:42:32.140 that's the case

00:42:33.220 that I'm making

00:42:34.020 this up

00:42:34.520 I would give you

00:42:35.780 as my witness

00:42:36.580 100% of white men

00:42:39.080 who have had

00:42:40.060 any experience

00:42:40.800 in the corporate world.

00:42:43.380 Every one.

00:42:45.100 You can ask

00:42:45.780 every single one

00:42:47.100 and now you might

00:42:47.680 ask yourself

00:42:48.180 but why are they quiet?

00:42:50.880 Isn't that obvious?

00:42:52.700 I was cancelled

00:42:53.840 worldwide

00:42:54.400 for simply

00:42:55.580 telling my actual

00:42:56.760 experience

00:42:57.340 and my actual

00:42:58.460 opinion

00:42:58.820 which was not

00:43:00.100 meant to be

00:43:00.800 harmful to anybody.

00:43:03.300 So white people

00:43:04.040 have been trained

00:43:04.700 to just keep

00:43:05.380 their heads down

00:43:06.060 and try to make

00:43:07.380 the best of it

00:43:08.100 but that's the reason

00:43:09.440 you didn't know.

00:43:11.140 So the most useful

00:43:12.120 person is the person

00:43:13.080 who tells you

00:43:13.560 the truth

00:43:14.200 that you weren't

00:43:15.420 aware of.

00:43:17.720 It's just that

00:43:18.520 that person

00:43:19.000 is going to take

00:43:19.560 a spear in the back

00:43:20.540 for doing it

00:43:21.320 but if it's worth it

00:43:23.180 I just thought

00:43:24.520 it was worth it.

00:43:25.160 I just felt

00:43:26.460 that the truth

00:43:27.200 or let's say

00:43:28.920 the additional

00:43:30.040 information

00:43:30.660 was so useful

00:43:32.460 that

00:43:33.900 you needed

00:43:35.280 to stop the train

00:43:36.700 with a little bit

00:43:37.620 of a

00:43:38.020 truth bomb.

00:43:40.720 So that's what

00:43:41.240 I tried to do.

00:43:42.960 We'll see how that goes.

00:43:45.980 And that

00:43:46.580 ladies and gentlemen

00:43:47.360 is all I had prepared

00:43:48.440 because it's a slow

00:43:49.360 news day.

00:43:50.320 Was there some

00:43:51.000 story or anything

00:43:53.600 that you want

00:43:58.380 to talk about

00:43:58.860 that I haven't

00:43:59.540 talked about?

00:44:04.180 Why don't you

00:44:04.820 apologize for

00:44:05.620 pushing the

00:44:06.100 Ukraine war

00:44:06.800 the first year?

00:44:08.160 You felt

00:44:08.660 there was a good

00:44:09.740 side and we had

00:44:10.620 to help.

00:44:11.360 No, Jill,

00:44:12.080 that would be

00:44:13.000 you being

00:44:13.660 an idiot.

00:44:16.020 Jill has asked

00:44:16.800 me to apologize

00:44:17.640 for pushing

00:44:18.600 the Ukraine war.

00:44:20.720 Did anybody

00:44:21.180 remember me

00:44:21.700 pushing a war?

00:44:24.520 Nope.

00:44:25.620 No, I've never

00:44:26.360 pushed a war.

00:44:28.700 Actually, I'm

00:44:29.280 pushing the war

00:44:29.820 with the cartels

00:44:30.880 but that's the

00:44:31.320 only one.

00:44:32.480 You fell for the

00:44:33.760 hoax that Ukraine

00:44:34.720 was on the good

00:44:35.500 side.

00:44:36.040 Did I?

00:44:37.060 Did I?

00:44:37.880 Was I telling you

00:44:38.740 that Ukraine was

00:44:39.440 the good ones?

00:44:40.540 Nope.

00:44:41.420 Nope.

00:44:41.820 Opposite.

00:44:43.040 So, Jill, where

00:44:43.700 are you getting

00:44:44.100 your information?

00:44:45.740 Is it from

00:44:46.400 your own asshole?

00:44:49.140 Alright.

00:44:49.540 I made

00:44:53.540 predictions that

00:44:54.340 were one was

00:44:55.720 the worst and

00:44:57.300 then all the

00:44:58.020 rest were the

00:44:58.440 best.

00:45:02.520 I predicted

00:45:03.500 Ukraine would

00:45:04.180 win.

00:45:04.580 Nope.

00:45:05.380 Did not.

00:45:07.380 Did not.

00:45:09.520 Let me ask

00:45:10.340 the others.

00:45:10.780 Did I predict

00:45:11.380 that Ukraine

00:45:11.980 would win?

00:45:12.460 No.

00:45:15.660 Those of you

00:45:16.400 who are saying

00:45:16.720 yes, why are

00:45:18.160 all the other

00:45:18.640 people saying

00:45:19.140 no?

00:45:20.540 No.

00:45:21.160 You imagine

00:45:21.820 that I did.

00:45:23.080 Let me tell you

00:45:24.040 what I did

00:45:24.500 predict.

00:45:26.020 I predicted

00:45:26.980 incorrectly,

00:45:28.880 this is my

00:45:29.880 worst prediction,

00:45:31.540 that Putin

00:45:32.180 would be crazy

00:45:33.320 to invade

00:45:34.000 because the

00:45:35.020 resistance would

00:45:35.880 be far more

00:45:37.340 than anybody's

00:45:39.160 guessing.

00:45:40.680 And then he

00:45:41.500 attacked.

00:45:42.720 So, who was

00:45:43.460 right?

00:45:44.200 Was Scott

00:45:44.960 right that it

00:45:46.000 would be way

00:45:46.580 worse than

00:45:47.120 Putin imagined?

00:45:48.140 I was.

00:45:48.680 I was.

00:45:50.180 But I was

00:45:50.880 completely wrong

00:45:51.680 that he would

00:45:52.220 know that

00:45:52.620 too.

00:45:53.380 I thought he

00:45:54.180 would know

00:45:54.480 it too.

00:45:55.540 Apparently he

00:45:56.040 didn't.

00:45:57.780 Secondly, I

00:45:58.880 said that

00:45:59.480 Ukraine would

00:46:00.500 not be

00:46:01.140 easily

00:46:02.840 conquerable

00:46:03.640 because they

00:46:04.700 would have

00:46:05.020 modern weapons,

00:46:05.960 especially the

00:46:06.760 things that fly

00:46:07.520 through the air

00:46:08.160 that maybe the

00:46:09.900 Russians haven't

00:46:10.480 seen yet.

00:46:11.280 That would be

00:46:11.680 drones and

00:46:12.280 missiles and

00:46:12.800 stuff.

00:46:13.040 And what

00:46:13.960 is it that's

00:46:14.480 keeping Ukraine

00:46:15.280 safe so far?

00:46:16.580 A lot of

00:46:17.500 that plus

00:46:17.980 modern weaponry

00:46:18.920 plus they've

00:46:20.400 got a lot of

00:46:20.820 fight in them

00:46:21.280 apparently.

00:46:22.500 So I would

00:46:23.360 say I had

00:46:23.860 the best

00:46:24.440 prediction about

00:46:27.240 Ukraine's

00:46:27.940 ultimate

00:46:28.440 fighting ability.

00:46:30.580 I've also

00:46:31.400 said that

00:46:33.180 you can't

00:46:33.960 predict the

00:46:35.000 final outcome

00:46:36.100 because on

00:46:37.360 both sides

00:46:37.960 there could be

00:46:38.420 some key

00:46:38.940 collapse point.

00:46:39.840 In other

00:46:40.960 words, you

00:46:41.600 could imagine

00:46:42.180 there to be

00:46:42.740 something that

00:46:43.260 would collapse

00:46:43.840 the Russian

00:46:44.420 military, let's

00:46:45.680 say a supply

00:46:46.280 line problem

00:46:46.980 or something

00:46:47.300 like that, and

00:46:48.280 you could

00:46:48.540 imagine that

00:46:49.180 there to be

00:46:49.440 something that

00:46:49.900 would collapse

00:46:50.420 the Ukrainian

00:46:51.160 side, similarly

00:46:53.020 supplies or

00:46:54.060 maybe a lack

00:46:54.600 of manpower, but

00:46:56.340 we don't know

00:46:56.900 what collapse is

00:46:57.980 going to come

00:46:58.360 first.

00:46:59.240 So I've never

00:47:00.020 predicted that

00:47:00.680 Ukraine would

00:47:01.260 conquer Russia.

00:47:03.240 I predicted

00:47:04.200 an unusually

00:47:05.520 stiff resistance

00:47:07.440 because of

00:47:08.460 modern technology

00:47:09.340 and the

00:47:10.660 home court.

00:47:11.540 They had the

00:47:11.880 home court

00:47:12.260 advantage.

00:47:13.840 So there

00:47:15.500 are two

00:47:15.860 categories in

00:47:16.580 which I have

00:47:17.180 the best

00:47:17.800 predictions,

00:47:19.440 which social

00:47:20.680 media has

00:47:21.540 reversed my

00:47:22.440 predictions to

00:47:23.080 imagine that

00:47:23.620 they were the

00:47:23.960 worst.

00:47:29.520 Yeah, it

00:47:30.400 looks like

00:47:30.800 Ukraine might

00:47:31.400 run into

00:47:31.860 people before

00:47:33.360 Russia runs

00:47:34.580 out of money

00:47:35.060 or willpower

00:47:35.760 or anything

00:47:36.100 else.

00:47:39.340 why is

00:47:41.600 the only

00:47:41.860 state where

00:47:42.420 racism is

00:47:43.220 allowed by

00:47:43.740 law?

00:47:44.740 Is that a

00:47:45.120 thing?

00:47:46.480 Oh, yeah, in

00:47:47.840 terms of the

00:47:48.280 law.

00:47:48.560 Well, that's

00:47:49.860 not true because

00:47:51.300 anywhere there's

00:47:52.100 an Indian

00:47:52.800 reservation or a

00:47:55.740 Native American

00:47:56.420 reservation, they

00:47:58.660 have different

00:47:59.160 laws there.

00:47:59.940 So that's a

00:48:00.540 form of

00:48:00.940 discrimination.

00:48:02.800 Maybe not, it

00:48:03.880 might not be

00:48:04.520 bad, but it's a

00:48:05.360 form of

00:48:05.840 discrimination.

00:48:06.500 How do you

00:48:11.300 feel about

00:48:11.740 Maui being

00:48:12.420 covered in

00:48:12.940 black tarps?

00:48:13.980 I don't think

00:48:14.500 that's a

00:48:15.060 thing.

00:48:18.200 Catherine

00:48:18.680 Austin-Fitz,

00:48:19.600 don't know

00:48:19.980 anything about

00:48:20.480 her.

00:48:28.860 Nazi feds,

00:48:29.820 we talked

00:48:30.160 about them.

00:48:32.340 What's

00:48:32.800 happening in

00:48:33.240 Burning Man?

00:48:33.820 I don't care.

00:48:35.000 Does anybody

00:48:35.440 care about what's

00:48:36.140 happening at

00:48:36.560 Burning Man?

00:48:38.760 Nobody cares

00:48:39.460 about that.

00:48:43.240 U.S.

00:48:43.780 troops, I

00:48:44.740 don't think U.S.

00:48:45.420 troops are

00:48:45.740 going to fight

00:48:46.160 Russia.

00:48:47.220 Does anybody

00:48:47.640 think that's

00:48:48.120 going to

00:48:48.280 happen?

00:48:49.580 Does anybody

00:48:50.140 believe that

00:48:50.960 you do?

00:48:53.040 You think U.S.

00:48:54.080 troops are

00:48:54.440 going to fight

00:48:54.780 Russia?

00:48:56.880 More than

00:48:57.880 are already

00:48:58.360 there, because

00:48:58.940 presumably there's

00:49:00.060 a lot of

00:49:01.120 advisors there.

00:49:02.820 Yeah, I

00:49:06.040 would bet

00:49:06.340 against it.

00:49:07.400 Now, I

00:49:07.900 bet against

00:49:08.440 Putin invading

00:49:09.240 Ukraine, so

00:49:10.500 you should put

00:49:11.620 that in your

00:49:12.460 negatives for

00:49:15.680 my predictions

00:49:16.260 about war.

00:49:18.000 In my

00:49:18.700 opinion, there's

00:49:19.400 no chance of

00:49:20.160 American boots

00:49:20.880 on the ground,

00:49:21.960 like in actual

00:49:22.700 troops, just

00:49:23.880 advisors and

00:49:24.720 maybe some

00:49:25.160 special forces

00:49:25.900 or something.

00:49:26.400 but they'll

00:49:27.640 try to look

00:49:28.260 like they're

00:49:28.580 not there.

00:49:32.720 Well, I

00:49:33.280 think we've

00:49:33.700 learned something,

00:49:35.480 haven't we?

00:49:36.240 Could you

00:49:36.580 imagine, well,

00:49:37.620 let me ask you

00:49:38.120 this question.

00:49:39.180 If Biden

00:49:39.840 put troops

00:49:40.560 in the ground

00:49:41.180 before the

00:49:42.620 2024 election,

00:49:45.460 sorry,

00:49:47.020 if Biden

00:49:47.980 were to put

00:49:48.740 American troops

00:49:49.640 in the war

00:49:50.300 prior to the

00:49:51.740 2024 election,

00:49:52.880 do you think

00:49:53.180 he could win?

00:49:53.680 I don't see

00:49:56.940 any way you

00:49:57.420 could win

00:49:57.760 putting troops

00:49:58.340 on the ground.

00:49:59.720 No way.

00:50:01.240 No way.

00:50:02.300 Yeah.

00:50:02.840 So, given

00:50:03.640 that Biden

00:50:04.100 knows that,

00:50:05.320 and anybody

00:50:06.260 who took his

00:50:06.840 place would

00:50:07.320 know it as

00:50:07.760 well, who

00:50:09.220 exactly is

00:50:09.860 going to be

00:50:10.140 in favor of

00:50:10.620 the war?

00:50:11.960 So, yeah,

00:50:12.640 I mean, the

00:50:14.200 neocons, but

00:50:15.760 it would be

00:50:16.220 political

00:50:16.880 disaster to

00:50:19.960 back a war

00:50:20.540 at this point.

00:50:21.460 I can't even

00:50:22.140 think of anything

00:50:22.660 worse.

00:50:23.680 Is there

00:50:24.680 anything that

00:50:25.100 would more

00:50:25.880 guarantee the

00:50:26.720 election goes

00:50:27.360 in one direction?

00:50:28.320 There's nothing

00:50:28.780 that would more

00:50:29.260 guarantee that

00:50:30.300 a Republican

00:50:31.300 would be

00:50:31.720 elected.

00:50:35.040 Well, nothing's

00:50:35.980 impossible.

00:50:37.140 Nothing's

00:50:37.620 impossible, but

00:50:38.380 it would be

00:50:38.760 political suicide.

00:50:40.080 Now, that's

00:50:40.500 exactly where I

00:50:41.400 got it wrong

00:50:42.060 with Putin.

00:50:44.120 I said if

00:50:45.080 Putin invaded

00:50:45.640 Ukraine, it

00:50:46.180 would be, you

00:50:47.140 know, political

00:50:47.640 suicide, and

00:50:49.440 it kind of

00:50:49.900 was.

00:50:50.920 You know, he

00:50:51.340 didn't die, so

00:50:52.460 it looks like

00:50:52.840 he'd probably

00:50:53.220 recover fully.

00:50:54.800 But I'm

00:50:56.080 saying the

00:50:56.460 same thing

00:50:56.840 about Biden,

00:50:57.520 but what if

00:50:58.440 he's not in

00:50:58.900 charge?

00:50:59.520 What if the

00:51:00.180 military-industrial

00:51:01.360 complex is

00:51:04.000 calling the

00:51:05.020 shots?

00:51:06.360 In that case,

00:51:07.260 there wouldn't

00:51:07.480 be boots on

00:51:07.960 the ground, I

00:51:08.400 suppose.

00:51:10.760 Have you

00:51:11.360 figured out the

00:51:12.240 brilliant thing

00:51:13.420 that the

00:51:13.720 military-industrial

00:51:14.700 complex did with

00:51:15.560 Ukraine?

00:51:16.780 It's the

00:51:17.380 smartest thing

00:51:17.960 I've ever

00:51:18.360 seen.

00:51:19.300 I was thinking

00:51:19.800 about it

00:51:20.100 yesterday.

00:51:21.160 Let's say

00:51:21.600 you're in

00:51:21.820 the military-

00:51:23.100 industrial complex

00:51:24.000 and you're

00:51:24.780 trying to sell

00:51:25.420 weapons to the

00:51:26.260 United States,

00:51:27.440 you know, your

00:51:27.760 big buyer.

00:51:28.820 Hey, do you

00:51:29.340 want to buy

00:51:29.720 some more

00:51:30.520 bullets?

00:51:31.720 And they say,

00:51:32.280 we've got so

00:51:32.820 many bullets,

00:51:34.320 we've got all

00:51:34.960 kinds of

00:51:35.400 bullets.

00:51:36.560 And then you

00:51:36.900 say, but, you

00:51:37.640 know, some of

00:51:38.220 them might be

00:51:38.600 getting older,

00:51:39.160 you should

00:51:39.420 replace the

00:51:39.960 older bullets

00:51:40.500 with new

00:51:40.860 bullets.

00:51:42.060 And then they

00:51:42.680 say, ah, I

00:51:44.120 see what you're

00:51:44.620 saying, you know,

00:51:45.700 I get it, but

00:51:47.080 we have a lot of

00:51:47.820 other uses for

00:51:48.700 this money.

00:51:50.060 And replacing

00:51:50.760 our bullets that

00:51:52.260 may be getting

00:51:53.200 older, it's not

00:51:54.480 really at the

00:51:55.020 top of our

00:51:55.580 list, because

00:51:56.560 there's no

00:51:56.880 active war.

00:51:58.100 And then the

00:51:58.800 Ukraine war

00:51:59.360 starts, and we

00:52:00.440 start giving

00:52:00.940 away all our

00:52:01.840 old stuff.

00:52:03.260 You don't

00:52:03.620 think we're

00:52:04.020 going to have

00:52:04.180 to backfill

00:52:04.760 that by buying

00:52:05.460 new stuff from

00:52:06.320 the people who

00:52:06.900 were back in

00:52:07.420 the war?

00:52:08.640 It's kind of

00:52:09.360 brilliant.

00:52:10.400 The business

00:52:11.100 model of this

00:52:11.720 is insanely

00:52:12.640 good, in an

00:52:13.980 evil way, of

00:52:14.580 course.

00:52:17.820 bite the

00:52:22.180 bullet.

00:52:24.400 Why do I

00:52:25.000 think the

00:52:25.300 war is

00:52:25.680 continuing?

00:52:26.480 Because nobody

00:52:26.960 knows how to

00:52:27.440 stop it.

00:52:29.220 Everything

00:52:29.700 continues until

00:52:30.740 there's a

00:52:31.580 counterforce, and

00:52:32.560 there isn't a

00:52:32.960 counterforce.

00:52:35.580 Don Steele says,

00:52:37.100 but troops on

00:52:37.720 Mexican ground is

00:52:38.660 good, per Scott.

00:52:42.740 Have I ever

00:52:43.520 told you about

00:52:44.180 reasoning with

00:52:45.100 analogy?

00:52:45.960 That's how you

00:52:46.620 can spot an

00:52:47.160 NPC.

00:52:47.820 An NPC will

00:52:49.440 say, you

00:52:49.820 shouldn't do

00:52:50.320 this war, because

00:52:52.080 something's

00:52:52.840 something about

00:52:53.420 another war.

00:52:55.680 As soon as

00:52:56.460 somebody says

00:52:57.000 that, you can

00:52:57.460 discount everything

00:52:58.500 they say after

00:52:59.300 that.

00:53:00.820 There are no

00:53:01.600 similar wars.

00:53:03.400 There are no

00:53:04.260 two wars that

00:53:05.020 are the same.

00:53:06.420 The reasons of

00:53:07.280 one don't apply

00:53:08.000 to the other

00:53:08.440 one.

00:53:09.160 It doesn't

00:53:09.600 work that way.

00:53:10.800 They're just

00:53:11.220 never the same.

00:53:12.400 History doesn't

00:53:13.260 repeat.

00:53:14.280 It can't, because

00:53:15.440 you're always at a

00:53:16.000 different starting

00:53:16.540 place.

00:53:17.820 Oh my God, you

00:53:27.620 just tried to

00:53:28.180 order my paper

00:53:28.960 back, and you

00:53:31.000 got issued a

00:53:31.640 refund for

00:53:32.440 damaged or

00:53:33.120 undeliverable, in

00:53:36.980 spite of all the

00:53:37.620 other ones that go

00:53:38.240 just fine.

00:53:39.040 Do you know how

00:53:39.600 easy it is to

00:53:40.440 ship a book?

00:53:41.740 Have you ever

00:53:42.140 seen the package

00:53:42.920 that a book

00:53:43.400 comes in?

00:53:43.920 The book

00:53:45.080 comes in

00:53:45.540 like this

00:53:46.200 package that

00:53:47.940 seals the

00:53:49.060 book hard in

00:53:51.200 between the

00:53:51.880 cardboard, so

00:53:52.940 you have to

00:53:53.200 pry it open?

00:53:56.440 How does a

00:53:57.500 book get

00:53:58.080 damaged?

00:53:59.020 A paperback,

00:54:00.080 this weighs

00:54:00.660 nothing.

00:54:02.640 Imagine this

00:54:03.600 between two

00:54:04.380 really thick

00:54:05.100 pieces of

00:54:05.780 cardboard.

00:54:07.880 How does that

00:54:08.840 get damaged?

00:54:09.400 How in the

00:54:11.720 world does that

00:54:12.280 get damaged?

00:54:15.320 There's a lot

00:54:16.060 of coincidences,

00:54:17.240 isn't there?

00:54:18.240 Or aren't

00:54:18.780 there?

00:54:22.260 Oh, water?

00:54:23.180 Yeah, I

00:54:23.600 suppose.

00:54:24.040 I think you

00:54:24.440 would have said

00:54:24.760 water, but

00:54:25.340 that's a good

00:54:26.100 point.

00:54:27.980 Could have been

00:54:28.560 water, I

00:54:29.020 suppose.

00:54:31.700 All right.

00:54:33.200 Are it

00:54:33.760 unreliable?

00:54:34.700 Yes, all

00:54:35.340 reporting about

00:54:35.960 Ukraine is

00:54:36.480 unreliable.

00:54:43.820 Well, that's

00:54:44.520 true.

00:54:45.080 When 100% of

00:54:46.360 the signals

00:54:47.780 point to a

00:54:48.380 total collapse

00:54:48.920 of Russia, you

00:54:49.620 might want to

00:54:50.020 start paying

00:54:50.440 attention.

00:54:54.340 Do you

00:54:55.180 disagree?

00:54:56.100 Why would

00:54:56.780 you disagree

00:54:57.260 with that?

00:54:58.820 I swear, the

00:54:59.900 weirdest thing

00:55:00.520 about arguing

00:55:01.200 online is that

00:55:02.640 people will

00:55:03.160 show links and

00:55:03.960 quotes on

00:55:04.700 the support

00:55:05.340 your argument

00:55:06.040 and they'll

00:55:07.000 think it

00:55:07.380 supports theirs.

00:55:08.840 It's the

00:55:09.380 oddest thing.

00:55:12.880 All right.

00:55:14.280 Building the

00:55:15.020 wall, somewhat

00:55:15.720 misframed.

00:55:16.940 I don't know

00:55:17.620 about that.

00:55:23.280 His son under

00:55:24.320 the bus.

00:55:25.360 What's that?

00:55:26.700 Trump threw

00:55:27.440 his son under

00:55:29.180 the bus.

00:55:29.580 I don't know

00:55:29.860 about that.

00:55:30.300 Krugman does

00:55:34.640 the same

00:55:34.920 thing.

00:55:38.840 Elon Musk's

00:55:40.880 daughter

00:55:41.140 transitioned.

00:55:42.920 I guess

00:55:43.480 that's true.

00:55:46.580 I don't want

00:55:48.880 to put a

00:55:49.500 gender out,

00:55:49.980 but one of

00:55:50.340 his children

00:55:50.720 transitioned.

00:55:51.560 I don't know

00:55:51.940 which direction

00:55:52.460 it was.

00:55:52.780 can you

00:55:59.320 explain why

00:55:59.780 replacement is

00:56:00.640 better than

00:56:01.060 a demographic

00:56:01.780 crash?

00:56:04.400 Well, no,

00:56:05.200 I'm not going

00:56:05.540 to respond to

00:56:06.680 a replacement

00:56:07.360 question.

00:56:10.300 You're going to

00:56:10.780 have to phrase

00:56:11.300 that differently.

00:56:13.960 Aren't many

00:56:14.600 reframes

00:56:15.320 analogies?

00:56:16.540 I don't know.

00:56:17.140 Give me an

00:56:17.480 example.

00:56:20.140 I can't think of

00:56:20.780 one.

00:56:32.180 Muskox.

00:56:36.740 Oh,

00:56:37.420 McConnell

00:56:37.780 replacement by

00:56:38.680 a Democrat

00:56:39.140 governor.

00:56:39.740 Yeah, I saw

00:56:41.080 a headline about

00:56:41.800 that.

00:56:42.700 So, isn't

00:56:43.720 it, according

00:56:44.780 to the

00:56:45.140 constant, is

00:56:46.080 there a law

00:56:46.720 that says that

00:56:48.040 the governor

00:56:48.500 has to replace

00:56:49.340 a senator with

00:56:50.160 somebody in

00:56:50.560 the same

00:56:50.880 party?

00:56:53.040 It's state

00:56:53.720 law.

00:56:56.920 I wonder

00:56:57.560 why it

00:56:57.920 should be.

00:56:59.040 It feels

00:56:59.460 like it

00:56:59.800 shouldn't be

00:57:00.240 a state

00:57:00.580 law.

00:57:01.960 Kentucky

00:57:02.320 says that.

00:57:03.700 Depends

00:57:04.140 on the

00:57:04.460 state.

00:57:05.440 So, the

00:57:05.980 Kentucky

00:57:06.580 governor is

00:57:07.660 saying he

00:57:08.080 might not

00:57:08.920 necessarily

00:57:09.460 replace with

00:57:10.420 the same

00:57:10.720 party?

00:57:13.000 The party

00:57:13.580 has to

00:57:14.000 submit three

00:57:14.600 names and

00:57:15.220 then he

00:57:15.540 chooses from

00:57:16.160 the names

00:57:16.620 somebody says.

00:57:17.360 Well, we'll

00:57:20.800 see.

00:57:24.880 Oh, the

00:57:25.440 governor is

00:57:25.840 calling it

00:57:26.220 unconstitutional

00:57:27.180 to say that

00:57:27.860 they can do

00:57:28.360 that.

00:57:31.860 You said

00:57:32.560 you wanted

00:57:33.060 Ukraine to

00:57:35.380 win in the

00:57:35.880 beginning of

00:57:36.240 this conflict.

00:57:37.040 Would you

00:57:37.320 not agree?

00:57:39.720 Can you

00:57:40.600 show me me

00:57:41.140 saying that?

00:57:42.560 I don't have

00:57:43.300 any memory of

00:57:43.920 saying that.

00:57:44.300 Why am I

00:57:46.880 just defending

00:57:47.800 people's

00:57:48.440 literal

00:57:49.460 hallucinations

00:57:50.380 about things

00:57:50.960 I've said?

00:57:52.000 I don't

00:57:52.520 believe I've

00:57:52.960 ever said

00:57:53.280 that.

00:57:55.780 Well, it

00:57:56.940 doesn't sound

00:57:57.360 like something

00:57:57.820 I thought,

00:57:58.700 so I don't

00:57:59.440 know if you

00:57:59.900 thought you

00:58:00.260 saw something

00:58:00.680 like that.

00:58:02.580 I can't

00:58:03.340 explain that.

00:58:06.160 Bricks and

00:58:06.840 the gold

00:58:07.160 standard, I

00:58:08.020 don't really

00:58:08.340 talk about

00:58:08.860 that because

00:58:09.580 nobody knows

00:58:10.120 anything about

00:58:10.700 that.

00:58:12.540 Nobody knows

00:58:13.240 anything smart

00:58:13.820 about that.

00:58:14.300 All right.

00:58:19.900 Illusions are

00:58:20.640 necessary,

00:58:21.420 doctor.

00:58:21.960 That is

00:58:22.260 correct.

00:58:28.720 Chuck Schumer

00:58:29.560 is promoting

00:58:30.200 replacement

00:58:30.760 theory and

00:58:31.400 Scott literally

00:58:32.100 won't touch

00:58:32.660 the subject.

00:58:33.360 No, I'm

00:58:33.920 only objecting

00:58:34.600 to the word,

00:58:36.840 the use of

00:58:37.280 the term,

00:58:37.940 because the

00:58:38.360 term is a

00:58:39.260 racist red

00:58:40.200 flag,

00:58:41.360 replacement

00:58:41.800 theory.

00:58:42.240 If you

00:58:43.500 say we

00:58:43.980 have a

00:58:44.280 population

00:58:44.740 problem,

00:58:45.340 which is

00:58:46.500 somewhat

00:58:47.060 mitigated by

00:58:47.900 immigration,

00:58:49.460 then I've

00:58:49.980 said that,

00:58:50.960 how many times

00:58:51.760 have I said

00:58:52.180 that?

00:58:52.800 I say it

00:58:53.320 clearly and

00:58:53.860 often,

00:58:54.920 that probably

00:58:56.120 the United

00:58:57.000 States'

00:58:57.500 secret weapon

00:58:58.160 would be that

00:58:59.560 we're better

00:59:00.360 at immigration.

00:59:01.900 Now, at the

00:59:02.400 moment, we're not

00:59:03.280 doing it right,

00:59:04.000 because we're

00:59:04.600 letting all

00:59:05.260 comers in.

00:59:05.940 That's

00:59:06.180 completely

00:59:06.560 wrong.

00:59:07.320 But if you

00:59:07.880 were doing

00:59:08.160 it wisely

00:59:08.900 the Vivek

00:59:09.660 way, and

00:59:10.580 you were

00:59:10.800 making America

00:59:11.540 the place

00:59:12.300 where the

00:59:12.820 smartest and

00:59:14.060 best and

00:59:14.620 most educated

00:59:15.740 people come

00:59:16.360 from everywhere,

00:59:17.560 you would have

00:59:18.280 a superpower.

00:59:19.020 That would

00:59:19.340 actually be

00:59:19.900 better than

00:59:20.860 growing your

00:59:21.440 own, at

00:59:24.140 least economically.

00:59:25.460 You might argue

00:59:26.440 that it has

00:59:26.840 social risks

00:59:30.000 you don't like,

00:59:30.760 but that's a

00:59:31.160 different argument.

00:59:31.820 Why would

00:59:37.740 you say I

00:59:38.180 wouldn't touch

00:59:38.660 that?

00:59:39.260 The only

00:59:39.580 thing I

00:59:39.860 wouldn't touch

00:59:40.320 is your

00:59:41.220 racist-sounding

00:59:42.120 word.

00:59:43.180 Why would

00:59:43.800 you use a

00:59:44.220 racist word

00:59:44.900 when you

00:59:45.300 don't need

00:59:45.640 to?

00:59:46.320 Like, why

00:59:46.680 would you

00:59:46.980 identify yourself

00:59:47.880 as a racist

00:59:48.600 by using

00:59:49.640 replacement theory

00:59:50.640 when you

00:59:51.480 could just

00:59:51.840 say, we

00:59:52.940 don't make

00:59:53.280 a lot of

00:59:53.580 babies, so

00:59:54.060 we should

00:59:54.320 bring in

00:59:54.800 lots of

00:59:55.840 good immigrants

00:59:57.120 that benefit

00:59:58.180 the country?

01:00:00.480 Or argue

01:00:01.300 against it.

01:00:02.220 But you

01:00:02.600 don't need

01:00:02.900 this replacement

01:00:03.620 theory thing.

01:00:04.640 Because the

01:00:05.160 replacement theory

01:00:05.940 imagines that

01:00:07.140 that's the

01:00:07.580 real plan.

01:00:08.820 The plan is

01:00:09.740 to make us

01:00:10.980 more brown.

01:00:11.740 And I'm sure

01:00:12.080 there's some

01:00:12.460 people who

01:00:13.020 want that.

01:00:14.420 There are

01:00:14.620 probably plenty

01:00:15.440 of citizens

01:00:16.000 who want it.

01:00:17.180 But it's not

01:00:17.660 some master

01:00:18.320 plan that's

01:00:19.000 being organized

01:00:19.820 from the top.

01:00:24.460 You mind

01:00:25.280 culture change?

01:00:26.960 Well, you

01:00:27.520 know, the

01:00:27.740 good news is

01:00:28.440 that the

01:00:29.360 Hispanic

01:00:30.020 migration is

01:00:31.300 more American

01:00:32.680 than we

01:00:33.100 are.

01:00:35.040 I hate to

01:00:35.920 tell you,

01:00:36.920 have you

01:00:37.460 spent any

01:00:37.880 time with

01:00:38.520 anybody from

01:00:39.860 south of the

01:00:40.480 border who

01:00:41.020 grew up there?

01:00:42.760 They're not

01:00:43.520 exactly liberals.

01:00:45.260 They're very

01:00:46.160 family-oriented.

01:00:47.160 They're very

01:00:47.620 religious.

01:00:49.100 They're hard

01:00:49.840 work, you

01:00:50.620 know, first.

01:00:51.880 They largely

01:00:52.800 like to stay

01:00:53.440 under trouble.

01:00:54.240 You know,

01:00:54.420 there's obviously

01:00:55.260 there's a gang

01:00:56.040 element, but

01:00:57.060 your average

01:00:57.960 Hispanic

01:00:59.040 immigrant has

01:01:00.780 every quality

01:01:01.620 you'd want in

01:01:02.300 an American

01:01:02.760 that we've

01:01:03.920 lost.

01:01:05.260 If you want

01:01:06.000 to renew the

01:01:06.740 American kind

01:01:07.840 of ideals,

01:01:09.320 there's a whole

01:01:10.000 bunch of it

01:01:10.520 south of the

01:01:11.060 border.

01:01:12.420 There's not

01:01:13.100 much of it

01:01:13.560 left here that

01:01:14.640 we're growing

01:01:15.160 natively.

01:01:16.780 So you might

01:01:17.480 have to bring

01:01:18.020 in some

01:01:18.440 American ideals

01:01:19.280 from other

01:01:19.760 countries.

01:01:20.640 Because they

01:01:21.120 still think

01:01:21.640 that America

01:01:22.080 has a set of

01:01:23.100 qualities that

01:01:24.100 it sort of

01:01:24.960 lost.

01:01:25.820 So they're

01:01:26.360 bringing in

01:01:26.820 that point of

01:01:27.420 view.

01:01:27.600 It's like,

01:01:27.860 oh, let me

01:01:28.260 join this

01:01:28.660 team that

01:01:29.020 has these

01:01:29.320 great qualities.

01:01:30.860 And then they

01:01:31.400 find out maybe

01:01:32.280 it's not quite

01:01:33.100 what they thought

01:01:33.620 it was, but

01:01:34.100 at least they

01:01:34.520 brought their

01:01:34.860 good attitude

01:01:35.480 here.

01:01:35.860 That's got

01:01:36.160 to help.

01:01:42.800 I saw that

01:01:43.760 Nikki Haley

01:01:44.700 was ahead of

01:01:46.200 Vivek in the

01:01:47.660 polls, in

01:01:49.380 one poll.

01:01:50.780 Do you think

01:01:51.140 that's real?

01:01:51.600 It might be

01:01:53.480 real, because

01:01:54.860 I think the

01:01:55.540 woman vote,

01:01:57.840 basically, I

01:01:59.540 heard men say

01:02:00.300 they liked

01:02:00.700 Vivek, and I

01:02:01.360 heard women say

01:02:02.100 they liked

01:02:02.640 Nikki Haley

01:02:03.360 after the

01:02:04.380 first debate.

01:02:05.340 Did anybody

01:02:05.720 else hear that?

01:02:07.040 Men said

01:02:07.640 Vivek, women

01:02:08.420 said Nikki

01:02:09.220 Haley.

01:02:10.560 So probably

01:02:11.320 the men who

01:02:12.000 liked Vivek

01:02:12.840 probably also

01:02:14.300 liked Trump,

01:02:15.160 so that's

01:02:15.600 where their

01:02:15.920 vote went.

01:02:17.000 But the

01:02:17.640 women who

01:02:18.840 liked Nikki

01:02:19.820 Haley,

01:02:20.160 they're

01:02:21.160 were a

01:02:22.040 little easier

01:02:22.640 to dislodge

01:02:23.580 from wherever

01:02:24.360 else there

01:02:24.920 may have

01:02:25.700 been, because

01:02:26.380 the woman

01:02:27.140 thing attracts

01:02:29.100 votes.

01:02:30.540 And I'm not

01:02:31.240 even saying

01:02:31.660 it shouldn't.

01:02:32.660 If I were a

01:02:33.480 woman, and

01:02:34.900 there had never

01:02:35.380 been a woman

01:02:36.120 president, I

01:02:38.540 think I would

01:02:39.020 be just like

01:02:39.660 most people.

01:02:40.980 I'd say, well,

01:02:41.900 we need one.

01:02:43.520 The same thing

01:02:44.320 I said about

01:02:44.860 Barack Obama.

01:02:45.620 It wasn't so

01:02:47.780 much that he

01:02:49.060 was black, it

01:02:50.400 was, let's

01:02:51.080 just get this

01:02:51.640 over with.

01:02:52.880 Let's do

01:02:53.480 this, show

01:02:54.700 that we are

01:02:55.140 able to do

01:02:55.780 this, like

01:02:56.320 America can

01:02:57.040 have a black

01:02:57.560 president, and

01:02:58.860 all we'll care

01:02:59.520 about is how

01:03:00.360 good the job

01:03:00.960 is.

01:03:01.720 Now, that

01:03:02.120 didn't happen.

01:03:02.960 We got a

01:03:03.300 black president,

01:03:04.040 and the right

01:03:04.960 flipped out, and

01:03:06.500 a lot of bad

01:03:08.340 things happened

01:03:08.900 after that.

01:03:09.840 But in theory,

01:03:10.960 it could have

01:03:11.520 worked out, it

01:03:12.120 just didn't.

01:03:15.360 All right.

01:03:22.780 All right.

01:03:25.560 I was on

01:03:26.400 his jock.

01:03:29.840 The lowest

01:03:31.580 level of

01:03:32.340 comments would

01:03:35.420 be, you

01:03:37.240 want to date

01:03:37.800 him, or he

01:03:40.380 was on his

01:03:40.860 jock, or

01:03:41.520 get your

01:03:42.360 mouth away

01:03:42.840 from his

01:03:43.220 penis.

01:03:44.420 Those are

01:03:45.060 the people

01:03:46.460 who don't

01:03:47.700 know how

01:03:48.060 anything works,

01:03:49.820 but they

01:03:50.160 still want to

01:03:50.680 participate.

01:03:51.820 They're the

01:03:52.280 ones who say

01:03:52.760 it's not

01:03:53.100 fair.

01:03:54.300 But what

01:03:54.700 about fairness?

01:03:55.720 Ah, fairness,

01:03:57.320 the concept

01:03:57.860 that was

01:03:58.180 invented so

01:03:58.860 that idiots

01:03:59.360 and children

01:03:59.860 can participate

01:04:00.740 in conversations.

01:04:03.060 And thank

01:04:03.540 goodness we

01:04:04.120 have personal

01:04:04.900 insults, so

01:04:06.360 that the

01:04:06.780 worst among

01:04:07.460 us can be

01:04:08.400 full participants

01:04:09.280 in the

01:04:10.620 political

01:04:11.420 back and

01:04:11.920 forth.

01:04:13.220 Well, I

01:04:13.740 think tax

01:04:14.220 rates should

01:04:14.700 be higher.

01:04:16.140 No, I

01:04:16.540 think tax

01:04:16.980 rates should

01:04:17.360 be lower.

01:04:18.300 And then the

01:04:18.820 other person

01:04:19.260 comes in,

01:04:20.180 you look like

01:04:21.120 a thumb.

01:04:22.720 All right.

01:04:23.880 Valuable

01:04:24.320 contribution to

01:04:25.240 the conversation.

01:04:26.180 Thank you.

01:04:27.340 Thank you.

01:04:28.080 I do look like

01:04:28.760 a thumb, but

01:04:29.240 that's a

01:04:29.640 completely

01:04:30.020 different

01:04:30.500 conversation.

01:04:32.680 All right.

01:04:33.580 I think we've

01:04:34.340 done enough for

01:04:34.900 today, because

01:04:35.800 it's a three-day

01:04:36.420 weekend and nobody

01:04:37.280 wants to think

01:04:37.900 about any kind

01:04:39.500 of stuff like

01:04:40.140 that.

01:04:43.140 Use one

01:04:43.900 false part that

01:04:44.740 discredited an

01:04:45.480 actual atrocity.

01:04:47.320 So Kanzora says

01:04:48.260 that I Rupard

01:04:48.960 myself with a

01:04:49.800 Canadian Indian

01:04:50.500 story.

01:04:51.500 Use one

01:04:52.000 false part that

01:04:52.960 discredited an

01:04:53.960 actual atrocity.

01:04:55.720 Well, the only

01:04:56.320 thing I said was

01:04:57.220 that it was a

01:04:58.500 hoax that there

01:04:59.160 were babies in

01:05:00.180 a mass grave.

01:05:02.020 Did you hear me

01:05:03.160 therefore debunk

01:05:04.840 the entire

01:05:05.760 history of

01:05:07.200 indigenous people

01:05:09.140 in Canada?

01:05:10.360 Did you hear

01:05:10.840 that?

01:05:12.160 In your

01:05:12.660 weird little

01:05:13.560 olive that's

01:05:15.040 rolling around

01:05:16.120 in your skull?

01:05:18.440 Something like

01:05:19.060 that came in

01:05:20.020 and sounded

01:05:20.440 like that?

01:05:21.500 No, I don't

01:05:22.100 believe that

01:05:23.680 happened.

01:05:24.880 But your

01:05:25.640 imagination is

01:05:26.380 very vigorous.

01:05:32.100 All right.

01:05:34.840 Do you know

01:05:37.820 that Akira

01:05:38.260 of the Dawn

01:05:38.680 has a song

01:05:39.260 that uses

01:05:39.620 the reframe

01:05:40.240 good from

01:05:41.100 Jocko?

01:05:41.800 I did not.

01:05:45.600 All right.

01:05:48.240 That's all

01:05:48.560 for today.

01:05:50.400 YouTube,

01:05:51.460 thanks for

01:05:52.180 joining.

01:05:53.220 If you can

01:05:53.980 find a way

01:05:54.520 to buy my

01:05:55.100 book,

01:05:56.080 Reframe

01:05:56.440 Your Brain,

01:05:57.080 it's changing

01:05:57.720 people everywhere.

01:05:59.320 It's really

01:05:59.760 amazing.

01:06:00.720 Best thing

01:06:01.300 I've ever done

01:06:01.880 by far.

01:06:03.720 And I'll

01:06:04.660 talk to you

01:06:04.980 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 03, 2023

Episode 2220 Scott Adams： Most Of The News Is Fake, Per Usual

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