Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2225 Scott Adams： Headlines, Bulging Veins And My Guide To Understanding News

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:11.180 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and I can't even imagine more fun than that, really.

00:00:16.580 It's impossible.

00:00:17.820 So if you'd like to...

00:00:19.000 Why does this cord only want to be in one fucking place? 0.99

00:00:24.180 All right, I've moved you now three times.

00:00:26.480 All right, I swear to God, I'm going to get you out of the way.

00:00:31.800 So if it's the last thing I do, there we go.

00:00:34.840 If you'd like to take this up to a level that you can't even believe,

00:00:37.900 all you've got to do is grab yourself a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice of a stein,

00:00:42.520 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:46.620 Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.

00:00:50.540 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day.

00:00:54.760 The thing that makes everything better, it's cold.

00:00:56.900 The simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:00:59.200 Go.

00:01:03.080 Ah.

00:01:05.180 So good.

00:01:07.140 Well, people always ask me,

00:01:09.400 Scott, why do you stay in California

00:01:12.400 when you know it's turning into a fecal hellhole?

00:01:18.180 Yeah, I just made that up.

00:01:19.560 A fecal hellhole.

00:01:21.300 It's like a hellhole with a little extra.

00:01:25.600 A little extra fecal.

00:01:27.620 But one of the reasons is California looks like they're on the verge of approving a bill

00:01:32.920 decriminalizing the possession and personal use of a variety of psychedelics,

00:01:39.120 including magic mushrooms.

00:01:40.480 I think it excludes peyote,

00:01:45.180 but it includes

00:01:46.540 DMT.

00:01:51.700 DMT is on the legal use list.

00:01:54.900 Interesting.

00:01:55.240 And here's the thing.

00:02:01.000 I think you would agree with this statement.

00:02:04.800 No matter how much things are going wrong,

00:02:09.500 there is a theoretical amount of hallucinogens that will make you not care.

00:02:14.020 Now, I shouldn't tell you my retirement plan,

00:02:18.460 but it looks like I'll be retiring to California, if you know what I mean.

00:02:22.820 A lot of people keep saying,

00:02:24.300 Scott, why do you want to, you know, take care of your body and be healthy?

00:02:28.760 All it's going to do is make you live, like, into your 80s,

00:02:33.060 and nobody wants to be in their 80s and still alive.

00:02:35.960 I mean, that's no good.

00:02:37.880 To which I say,

00:02:39.380 apparently you've never done psychedelics.

00:02:42.380 Apparently you never have.

00:02:43.500 Now, I would only recommend them in a legal,

00:02:47.180 healthy environment.

00:02:48.660 Don't do anything illegal.

00:02:50.440 But when I'm 80,

00:02:52.240 and these psychedelics are legal in California,

00:02:55.320 which looks like that will be the case,

00:02:57.360 I'm never going to have a bad day.

00:03:01.060 So that's my plan.

00:03:03.340 The rest of you,

00:03:04.460 you might choose differently

00:03:06.240 and sit around in pain and misery

00:03:09.200 and loneliness until you die.

00:03:12.060 Now, that's another plan.

00:03:13.500 And that's the way most people do it.

00:03:15.520 But not me.

00:03:17.180 I'm going to be visiting other dimensions,

00:03:19.380 and you'll barely know I'm there.

00:03:22.020 That's my plan for aging.

00:03:24.160 Well, here's an update on my amazing book,

00:03:27.980 Reframe Your Brain,

00:03:28.780 which I just noticed as a solid five-star reviews now.

00:03:33.700 For a while, there was like,

00:03:35.520 there was 4.5.

00:03:37.600 But now it's all the way up to solid five.

00:03:41.240 Five.

00:03:42.300 The trouble is, of course,

00:03:43.580 that Amazon is still showing a fake book listing.

00:03:48.000 So if you look for the hardcover,

00:03:50.940 even though for a while it was fixed,

00:03:53.360 it immediately went unfixed again.

00:03:55.820 And the reason is that Amazon says

00:03:57.680 they cannot remove a link

00:03:59.620 that's not even a real link,

00:04:02.320 that you can't buy a book from it.

00:04:04.360 And it's obviously a fake

00:04:06.340 that confuses people about the real link.

00:04:09.160 And even under those conditions,

00:04:11.440 they can't suppress the link.

00:04:13.640 That's what they say.

00:04:16.980 Now, do you think that's true?

00:04:19.320 Well, it might be true they have some policy,

00:04:21.620 but obviously they can do it.

00:04:24.620 So once again,

00:04:26.140 we're in this weird phase of history

00:04:28.340 where you can't tell

00:04:30.000 if this is just part of

00:04:31.640 the national incompetence problem.

00:04:34.220 But Amazon is unique

00:04:35.620 in that they're weirdly very good at most things.

00:04:39.880 It's the best software I've ever seen.

00:04:41.380 And so I ask myself,

00:04:45.180 what do I assume about the reason?

00:04:48.400 Because it's been a long time now,

00:04:50.380 and it seems to be unfixable.

00:04:53.440 They say I should go to my prior publisher,

00:04:56.380 the one that canceled me,

00:04:57.640 because they put the listing there,

00:04:59.900 and therefore they're the only ones

00:05:01.460 who can edit it.

00:05:02.780 Does that sound even slightly true?

00:05:04.960 That the only people who can edit

00:05:07.220 an existing listing

00:05:08.380 are the ones who put it there?

00:05:10.020 So you're telling me

00:05:12.160 that if it were racist,

00:05:14.260 Amazon couldn't remove it. 0.98

00:05:17.320 Is that what they're saying?

00:05:19.160 If it were literally

00:05:20.560 like a call to violence,

00:05:22.920 it's not.

00:05:24.060 But if it were,

00:05:25.020 they couldn't remove that, right?

00:05:28.080 If Obama published another book,

00:05:31.340 and somebody front ran him

00:05:32.680 and put like a fake version up there,

00:05:34.180 and it was confusing the real Obama book,

00:05:38.460 do you think Amazon would say,

00:05:40.140 oh, the publisher doesn't want to change this,

00:05:41.880 it has to stay there?

00:05:43.320 No, of course not.

00:05:44.340 Not even the slightest chance.

00:05:46.420 No.

00:05:47.280 So what do you assume

00:05:48.740 when there's a system

00:05:50.480 that seems to be giving you a problem,

00:05:53.180 and you're a person

00:05:54.180 who's in the political realm,

00:05:56.140 as I am,

00:05:56.800 and the system is opaque,

00:05:59.440 meaning I can't quite see

00:06:00.680 what's going on

00:06:01.360 behind the curtain,

00:06:02.940 your operating assumption

00:06:04.160 is that it has to be

00:06:05.020 exactly what you think it is.

00:06:06.840 It might not be.

00:06:08.640 You know,

00:06:08.940 maybe a 50-50 chance

00:06:10.240 or something like that.

00:06:11.380 But you have to assume

00:06:12.760 that it's bad intentions,

00:06:14.940 and that you're being targeted.

00:06:17.880 Doesn't mean it's true.

00:06:19.700 Remember,

00:06:20.200 we live in,

00:06:20.960 as you said,

00:06:22.620 a zero-trust environment.

00:06:24.060 I'm not the one

00:06:27.300 who chose to be

00:06:28.080 in a zero-trust environment.

00:06:30.100 It just sort of happened.

00:06:31.900 So if you want to buy the book,

00:06:33.440 you're going to have to

00:06:33.920 look pretty hard for it.

00:06:37.020 And it's almost impossible

00:06:39.200 for me to imagine

00:06:40.320 that this is accidental.

00:06:44.800 Realistically,

00:06:45.440 it's probably a coin toss,

00:06:47.120 50-50.

00:06:48.440 But my brain can't really

00:06:50.040 accept the other 50%

00:06:51.540 because it's been too long.

00:06:52.700 It's too obvious

00:06:54.020 that it can't be true.

00:06:55.780 Right?

00:06:56.440 Would you agree?

00:06:57.620 It's really obvious

00:06:58.740 that it can't be true

00:07:00.660 what they've told me.

00:07:02.060 But it could be incompetence.

00:07:05.240 You can't rule it out.

00:07:08.260 All right.

00:07:11.940 I was just re-watching

00:07:13.800 this clip from Tucker Carlson.

00:07:16.720 He was giving a podcast

00:07:17.700 interview somewhere.

00:07:18.480 And he says directly

00:07:20.440 that he has

00:07:21.760 personal knowledge

00:07:22.860 of people on CNN

00:07:24.300 and use as an example.

00:07:26.400 And that

00:07:26.880 the national security reporters,

00:07:29.700 he didn't name names,

00:07:31.240 are literally just mouthpieces

00:07:33.120 for the Pentagon.

00:07:34.400 And they're not even

00:07:35.380 slightly real journalists.

00:07:37.380 And that it's known.

00:07:39.640 And there's no doubt about it.

00:07:42.900 Now, how many people

00:07:44.700 who watch CNN

00:07:45.920 would be aware of that?

00:07:47.280 that somebody

00:07:48.380 who worked there

00:07:49.220 can tell you for sure

00:07:50.940 that the news isn't real.

00:07:52.560 And they don't even

00:07:53.320 try to make it real

00:07:54.140 on the national security stuff.

00:07:56.420 They literally just

00:07:57.340 say what the Pentagon

00:07:59.140 wants them to say.

00:08:02.700 Really,

00:08:03.260 but how many people

00:08:03.900 know that?

00:08:04.860 So I'm working

00:08:05.440 on a news guide,

00:08:07.580 a guide to understand

00:08:08.700 the news.

00:08:09.640 And I'll talk about

00:08:10.200 that in a minute.

00:08:11.280 It's getting bigger.

00:08:11.940 All right.

00:08:14.560 China is giving

00:08:15.820 Apple some trouble.

00:08:18.220 I sold my Apple stock

00:08:19.760 a month ago

00:08:21.680 or so

00:08:22.540 because I thought

00:08:23.260 Apple was going to

00:08:25.880 hit some tough times.

00:08:27.520 And China was one of the 0.95

00:08:28.820 things I was concerned about.

00:08:30.940 And apparently China

00:08:31.680 is starting to push

00:08:32.560 on Apple.

00:08:33.940 Apple

00:08:34.780 and they've banned

00:08:36.120 iPhones

00:08:36.780 for government

00:08:38.080 employees.

00:08:40.100 But in China

00:08:41.120 that's a lot

00:08:42.260 of people.

00:08:44.000 A lot of people.

00:08:45.440 So what does that

00:08:46.160 sound like?

00:08:47.440 Doesn't that sound like

00:08:48.340 revenge for TikTok

00:08:49.340 being banned

00:08:50.200 in American

00:08:51.440 government

00:08:51.940 places?

00:08:53.840 Partly that,

00:08:54.980 but also

00:08:55.600 Huawei

00:08:56.280 introduced a 5G

00:08:57.740 phone

00:08:58.140 that's a bit

00:08:59.560 of a mystery

00:09:00.120 because we didn't

00:09:01.000 think they had

00:09:01.580 the chips to do it.

00:09:04.020 And it looks like

00:09:05.280 they're just pushing

00:09:05.940 Huawei

00:09:06.440 because it's

00:09:06.960 the Chinese phone.

00:09:09.460 But yeah,

00:09:10.600 Apple might have

00:09:11.280 some difficulties

00:09:13.420 there if they start

00:09:14.860 to lose the

00:09:15.320 Chinese market.

00:09:17.260 All right.

00:09:17.740 So once again,

00:09:19.060 I'm shocked

00:09:19.960 that the media

00:09:20.700 is not covering

00:09:21.360 this story

00:09:21.980 that President

00:09:23.520 Joe Biden

00:09:24.160 called the

00:09:24.920 Nazis that are

00:09:26.200 marching in Florida.

00:09:27.340 Again,

00:09:27.600 they're back.

00:09:29.880 He called them

00:09:30.700 very fine people

00:09:31.600 and

00:09:33.020 it's just hard

00:09:35.080 to understand.

00:09:36.280 Why would he

00:09:36.740 say that?

00:09:37.480 Why would he

00:09:37.860 call Nazis

00:09:38.380 very fine people

00:09:39.320 in public?

00:09:40.400 In public,

00:09:41.260 he said that.

00:09:44.160 By the way,

00:09:44.920 if somebody tells you

00:09:45.680 he didn't say that,

00:09:47.380 you should send

00:09:48.260 them the transcript.

00:09:51.540 Now,

00:09:52.080 you might need

00:09:52.540 to tweak

00:09:53.100 the transcript,

00:09:54.540 but you could

00:09:55.020 find it,

00:09:56.160 look for the

00:09:56.780 transcript

00:09:57.200 of Trump

00:09:58.480 and Charlottesville

00:09:59.920 and just

00:10:01.760 change the names

00:10:02.620 from Charlottesville

00:10:03.700 to whatever town

00:10:05.080 these Nazis 0.95

00:10:05.680 are in

00:10:06.020 and change

00:10:07.040 Trump to Biden

00:10:07.960 and provide

00:10:09.240 that transcript

00:10:09.940 and then ask

00:10:11.420 people if they

00:10:12.160 see Biden

00:10:12.960 calling them

00:10:13.960 fine people

00:10:14.520 or not.

00:10:16.360 And they're

00:10:17.060 going to look

00:10:17.340 at that transcript

00:10:18.040 and they're

00:10:18.400 going to say,

00:10:18.940 obviously,

00:10:20.760 he very

00:10:21.740 specifically

00:10:22.380 condemned them.

00:10:23.220 And you'll say,

00:10:25.440 what?

00:10:26.260 What are you

00:10:26.660 talking about?

00:10:27.380 Well,

00:10:27.640 look at the part

00:10:28.200 you're not telling

00:10:28.800 me.

00:10:29.440 See this part

00:10:29.980 you're not

00:10:30.280 mentioning?

00:10:31.240 He says

00:10:31.880 directly,

00:10:32.560 I condemn

00:10:33.020 them completely.

00:10:34.440 And I'll say,

00:10:35.840 that must be

00:10:36.580 some other

00:10:37.060 reference to

00:10:37.840 something else.

00:10:39.500 I mean,

00:10:39.820 it's like,

00:10:40.620 that was almost

00:10:41.680 a full minute

00:10:42.380 later.

00:10:43.360 I don't even

00:10:43.980 understand what

00:10:44.460 you're saying.

00:10:45.700 You obvious

00:10:46.600 racist.

00:10:47.660 So that's

00:10:48.280 how I'd

00:10:48.580 play it.

00:10:50.340 Trump is

00:10:51.040 apparently

00:10:51.360 claiming that

00:10:52.160 his black

00:10:53.000 support after

00:10:53.860 his mugshot

00:10:54.980 went up by

00:10:56.460 quadrupled

00:10:57.880 or quintupled.

00:10:59.460 He said

00:11:00.180 his black

00:11:00.620 support has

00:11:01.920 quadrupled

00:11:02.620 or quintupled

00:11:03.520 since his

00:11:05.020 mugshot.

00:11:06.420 How many

00:11:06.840 of you think

00:11:07.340 that that

00:11:07.780 estimate is

00:11:08.480 somewhere in

00:11:08.920 the ballpark?

00:11:11.060 Does that

00:11:11.760 sound pretty

00:11:12.180 close to what

00:11:12.740 the actual

00:11:13.120 numbers are?

00:11:14.320 Four times?

00:11:16.960 He actually

00:11:19.340 tricked CNN

00:11:20.780 into fact

00:11:21.520 checking him.

00:11:24.660 It doesn't

00:11:25.460 matter how

00:11:25.860 many times

00:11:26.320 he does it.

00:11:27.000 They fall

00:11:27.460 for it every

00:11:28.000 time.

00:11:28.880 So they

00:11:29.540 fact checked

00:11:30.080 him and

00:11:30.360 said,

00:11:30.740 no,

00:11:31.640 no way.

00:11:32.980 No way he's

00:11:33.640 up four or

00:11:34.180 five times.

00:11:35.260 We checked

00:11:35.880 the polls and

00:11:37.240 he's only up

00:11:38.700 like two,

00:11:39.300 three percent

00:11:39.940 in all the

00:11:41.280 polls,

00:11:42.200 I think,

00:11:42.640 except one.

00:11:43.840 And that

00:11:44.720 might be

00:11:45.040 within the

00:11:45.460 margin of

00:11:45.840 error.

00:11:46.960 So no

00:11:49.060 way he's

00:11:49.720 up four or

00:11:50.280 five times

00:11:51.060 like that

00:11:51.720 liar.

00:11:52.800 He's only

00:11:53.500 up in

00:11:53.800 every poll

00:11:54.400 enough to

00:11:56.700 win

00:11:57.000 convincingly

00:11:58.100 if they're

00:11:58.480 true.

00:11:59.620 But they

00:12:00.220 might be

00:12:00.540 within the

00:12:00.900 margin of

00:12:01.280 error.

00:12:02.340 So we're

00:12:02.940 not going

00:12:03.220 to look

00:12:03.380 at the

00:12:03.580 actual

00:12:03.880 polls.

00:12:05.260 No.

00:12:09.580 When they

00:12:10.640 compare what

00:12:11.580 they call

00:12:11.980 Trump's

00:12:12.520 lies to

00:12:14.120 Biden's

00:12:14.740 lies,

00:12:15.200 there's

00:12:16.720 such a

00:12:17.100 difference.

00:12:18.240 This is

00:12:18.720 obviously

00:12:19.380 hyperbole,

00:12:20.560 and it's

00:12:21.040 obviously to

00:12:22.000 make them

00:12:22.320 go check

00:12:22.860 and then

00:12:24.440 report that

00:12:25.060 his black

00:12:25.840 support is

00:12:26.320 up.

00:12:27.540 Do you

00:12:27.880 know what

00:12:28.140 is the

00:12:28.460 best thing

00:12:29.080 that would

00:12:30.040 help Trump's

00:12:30.780 support among

00:12:31.900 black voters?

00:12:33.580 Name the

00:12:34.200 one best

00:12:34.820 thing that

00:12:35.280 could happen.

00:12:36.200 A lot of

00:12:37.880 conversation

00:12:38.540 about his

00:12:39.740 increase in

00:12:40.420 black support,

00:12:41.800 even before

00:12:43.520 it's there.

00:12:44.740 But you

00:12:44.980 want a lot

00:12:45.340 of people

00:12:45.600 talking about

00:12:46.240 it.

00:12:46.560 It's like,

00:12:46.860 I don't

00:12:47.060 know.

00:12:47.920 Is that

00:12:48.500 increase in

00:12:49.920 black support

00:12:50.500 as much as

00:12:51.040 we think?

00:12:51.980 And why?

00:12:53.260 Like, what

00:12:53.620 would be the

00:12:54.080 cause of it?

00:12:55.080 And maybe we

00:12:55.560 should dig

00:12:55.940 down a little

00:12:56.420 bit and find

00:12:56.960 out what's

00:12:57.880 happening with

00:12:58.700 all this

00:12:59.020 more support

00:13:00.840 from the

00:13:01.200 black community.

00:13:02.820 It's classic

00:13:03.720 Trump.

00:13:05.040 It's stuff

00:13:05.820 only he can

00:13:06.580 do.

00:13:06.860 So, anyway,

00:13:10.280 I love just

00:13:11.160 watching classic

00:13:11.980 Trump and

00:13:12.700 then classic

00:13:13.360 CNN falling

00:13:14.100 for it.

00:13:15.900 This is very

00:13:16.700 much the

00:13:17.140 don't think of

00:13:17.760 an elephant

00:13:18.200 trick.

00:13:19.980 All right,

00:13:21.140 I'd like you

00:13:21.720 to not think

00:13:22.500 of an elephant.

00:13:23.820 Don't.

00:13:24.720 Don't think

00:13:25.420 of the elephant.

00:13:26.620 And then

00:13:27.140 they're all

00:13:27.840 talking about

00:13:28.300 the elephant.

00:13:30.680 All right,

00:13:31.440 here's a,

00:13:32.820 I've been

00:13:34.240 talking about

00:13:34.680 trying to

00:13:35.660 deprogram

00:13:36.600 a Democrat

00:13:37.420 from all

00:13:39.060 the fake

00:13:39.440 news and

00:13:40.140 make them

00:13:41.020 more like

00:13:41.460 reasonable

00:13:41.900 actual citizens

00:13:43.360 and stuff.

00:13:44.640 And I'm

00:13:45.780 not sure how

00:13:46.300 easy it would

00:13:46.740 be.

00:13:46.960 Seems like

00:13:47.300 it'd be

00:13:47.500 pretty hard.

00:13:47.980 But I found

00:13:48.380 one technique

00:13:49.020 that works

00:13:49.540 right away.

00:13:51.060 And this

00:13:51.700 was tried

00:13:52.100 once in

00:13:53.160 Minneapolis.

00:13:54.780 And it

00:13:55.280 involves

00:13:55.720 four armed

00:13:57.180 carjackers

00:13:59.060 who first

00:14:00.460 beat you up

00:14:01.240 and threaten

00:14:02.000 you,

00:14:02.740 break your

00:14:03.180 leg,

00:14:04.100 bloody you

00:14:04.600 in front of

00:14:05.560 your children.

00:14:06.600 And you

00:14:07.180 barely get

00:14:07.700 down alive.

00:14:08.520 Now,

00:14:08.720 under those

00:14:09.120 conditions,

00:14:09.660 which did

00:14:10.060 happen to

00:14:10.540 a Democratic

00:14:11.180 Party

00:14:11.560 chairwoman

00:14:12.060 just recently,

00:14:13.760 she is

00:14:14.360 much less

00:14:15.180 inclined to

00:14:17.300 support

00:14:17.800 defunding the

00:14:18.440 police now.

00:14:20.120 I don't know.

00:14:21.120 Does that

00:14:21.440 surprise you?

00:14:23.060 That being

00:14:23.660 violently

00:14:24.160 attacked in

00:14:25.420 front of her

00:14:25.940 own house,

00:14:26.960 in front of

00:14:28.060 her own house,

00:14:28.900 that's a key

00:14:29.500 here,

00:14:30.700 and was

00:14:33.500 hurt pretty

00:14:33.940 bad.

00:14:34.280 And that's

00:14:35.840 not funny,

00:14:36.900 but it

00:14:38.380 does tell

00:14:38.820 you what

00:14:39.260 would it

00:14:39.580 take to

00:14:40.140 change a

00:14:40.740 Democrat

00:14:41.100 into a

00:14:41.900 Republican,

00:14:42.940 and it

00:14:43.260 turns out

00:14:43.860 the answer

00:14:44.320 is armed

00:14:44.880 robbery,

00:14:46.280 with a

00:14:47.160 danger of

00:14:47.900 killing your 0.65

00:14:48.660 children.

00:14:50.240 Putting your

00:14:50.840 children in

00:14:51.340 mortal danger

00:14:52.040 appears to

00:14:53.400 be enough

00:14:53.880 to make

00:14:54.820 somebody say,

00:14:56.400 huh,

00:14:57.300 I wonder

00:14:58.180 if everything

00:14:58.800 I've ever

00:14:59.320 said about

00:14:59.880 the police

00:15:00.440 is still

00:15:00.920 tracking just

00:15:01.700 right.

00:15:02.060 So if

00:15:04.480 you want

00:15:04.700 to deprogram

00:15:05.380 anybody,

00:15:07.300 armed

00:15:08.120 robbery,

00:15:09.380 carjacking,

00:15:10.080 we'll get

00:15:10.460 it done.

00:15:12.500 Speaking of

00:15:13.420 injustice,

00:15:14.500 Peter Navarro,

00:15:16.080 economic

00:15:17.400 advisor to

00:15:18.160 Trump,

00:15:19.260 is found

00:15:20.380 guilty and

00:15:20.960 he's going

00:15:21.260 to go to

00:15:21.800 jail unless

00:15:22.940 his appeals

00:15:23.880 work,

00:15:24.940 for not

00:15:26.340 complying with

00:15:26.920 the subpoena

00:15:27.460 from the

00:15:28.480 House Select

00:15:29.000 Committee on

00:15:30.380 the January

00:15:30.840 6th stuff.

00:15:32.060 So he

00:15:32.540 didn't

00:15:32.900 comply with

00:15:33.760 the subpoena

00:15:34.340 for an

00:15:36.260 illegitimate

00:15:36.960 political

00:15:37.500 process.

00:15:38.800 So he's

00:15:39.420 going to

00:15:39.800 jail.

00:15:42.220 Nobody

00:15:42.780 believes that

00:15:43.540 that was a

00:15:44.140 legitimate

00:15:44.500 process.

00:15:45.520 Well,

00:15:45.700 I mean,

00:15:45.880 unless you're

00:15:46.180 a Democrat,

00:15:46.740 I suppose.

00:15:48.340 Because they

00:15:49.020 don't watch

00:15:49.760 real news.

00:15:52.920 But can

00:15:53.680 you think of

00:15:54.100 anything less

00:15:54.960 fair than

00:15:57.380 going to

00:15:57.900 jail because

00:15:58.460 you didn't

00:15:59.280 comply with

00:16:01.140 an obviously

00:16:01.920 corrupt

00:16:05.420 process.

00:16:08.100 So I

00:16:08.660 don't know

00:16:08.900 how far

00:16:09.260 he can

00:16:09.520 take it,

00:16:10.340 but he

00:16:10.720 only has

00:16:11.160 to drag

00:16:11.700 it out

00:16:12.000 until a

00:16:12.800 Republican

00:16:13.220 gets elected.

00:16:15.180 Presumably,

00:16:15.760 he would be

00:16:16.120 instantly

00:16:16.500 pardoned.

00:16:18.140 Does that

00:16:18.540 track?

00:16:20.140 Do you

00:16:20.380 think if he

00:16:20.720 just drags

00:16:21.300 it out and

00:16:22.420 we get a

00:16:22.780 Republican,

00:16:23.420 it wouldn't

00:16:23.880 matter which

00:16:24.320 Republican,

00:16:25.100 wouldn't he

00:16:25.460 be pardoned

00:16:26.180 immediately?

00:16:28.240 I think he

00:16:29.080 would,

00:16:29.420 so that's

00:16:29.720 his best

00:16:30.060 strategy.

00:16:31.120 Now,

00:16:31.360 speaking of

00:16:31.780 strategy,

00:16:32.500 apparently the

00:16:33.200 Trump lawyers

00:16:34.600 have the

00:16:35.460 following strategy,

00:16:37.220 that because

00:16:37.880 the legal

00:16:39.000 attacks on

00:16:39.620 Trump are a

00:16:40.160 little bit

00:16:40.560 weird and

00:16:41.380 unique,

00:16:42.860 that they

00:16:43.280 will have

00:16:43.820 infinite

00:16:44.780 technical

00:16:45.960 objections that

00:16:47.140 have to be

00:16:47.620 ruled on.

00:16:48.620 And they

00:16:49.020 basically said

00:16:49.880 it directly.

00:16:50.960 We're basically

00:16:51.700 just going to

00:16:52.360 bury you in

00:16:52.980 technical

00:16:53.460 objections.

00:16:53.980 each one

00:16:55.160 has to be

00:16:55.820 put through

00:16:56.500 the process,

00:16:57.520 and we're

00:16:58.220 going to

00:16:59.020 make this

00:17:00.520 last until

00:17:01.160 he's president

00:17:01.740 so he can

00:17:02.880 pardon himself.

00:17:04.900 And that

00:17:05.240 that's the

00:17:05.620 actual process.

00:17:07.540 That's the

00:17:08.240 actual process.

00:17:10.580 They're really

00:17:11.540 just playing it

00:17:12.260 for a stall. 0.82

00:17:13.360 In both

00:17:14.180 cases,

00:17:15.480 why are they

00:17:16.100 needing to

00:17:16.680 stall? 0.96

00:17:19.080 It's a

00:17:19.820 direct

00:17:20.280 admission that

00:17:21.560 the current

00:17:22.000 process is

00:17:23.220 not

00:17:23.560 judicial

00:17:24.500 and fair.

00:17:26.220 That you

00:17:26.940 would have

00:17:27.240 to get

00:17:28.920 past it

00:17:29.640 to get

00:17:30.580 anything that

00:17:31.180 looks like

00:17:31.540 justice.

00:17:32.560 That the

00:17:33.040 justice system

00:17:33.760 is just

00:17:34.140 biased and

00:17:34.760 broken.

00:17:37.140 So that's

00:17:38.120 shocking.

00:17:38.840 Anyway,

00:17:40.800 RFK Jr.

00:17:41.720 was,

00:17:42.800 I don't

00:17:43.720 want to say

00:17:44.080 complaining,

00:17:44.840 I'll say

00:17:45.140 describing,

00:17:46.180 that the

00:17:47.020 DNC is

00:17:48.260 changing their

00:17:49.280 rules about

00:17:49.900 the primary

00:17:50.400 to make it

00:17:51.600 basically

00:17:52.100 impossible for

00:17:53.020 any challenger

00:17:53.900 to challenge

00:17:54.680 Biden in

00:17:56.520 the primary.

00:17:57.400 So they're

00:17:58.160 tweaking the

00:17:59.000 rules about

00:17:59.560 the Iowa and

00:18:00.300 New Hampshire

00:18:00.680 primary,

00:18:01.760 which one

00:18:02.660 imagines that

00:18:03.500 RFK Jr.

00:18:04.180 could do

00:18:04.860 well as

00:18:06.300 long as

00:18:07.160 there was no

00:18:08.320 fiddling with

00:18:09.000 the rules.

00:18:09.680 So they're

00:18:10.460 going to

00:18:10.640 fiddle with

00:18:10.980 the rules.

00:18:12.240 And they make

00:18:13.260 it basically

00:18:13.760 impossible for

00:18:14.500 an outsider

00:18:14.960 to win.

00:18:16.400 Now,

00:18:16.980 what did they

00:18:18.120 just do to

00:18:19.000 RFK Jr.

00:18:19.800 now that he

00:18:20.560 knows for

00:18:21.080 sure that

00:18:22.460 his own

00:18:22.980 team is

00:18:23.520 going to

00:18:23.740 prevent him

00:18:24.220 from winning?

00:18:24.840 For sure.

00:18:25.580 There's no

00:18:25.980 doubt about

00:18:26.420 it.

00:18:27.420 What do

00:18:27.920 you do if

00:18:28.260 you're him?

00:18:29.340 He basically

00:18:30.200 says he

00:18:30.840 owes his

00:18:31.440 supporters a

00:18:33.140 path.

00:18:34.460 In other

00:18:34.780 words, he

00:18:35.080 can't take

00:18:35.540 their money

00:18:35.880 and run

00:18:36.160 for president

00:18:36.700 if he

00:18:37.520 can't describe

00:18:38.280 a way to

00:18:38.740 get there,

00:18:39.180 and the

00:18:39.520 current system

00:18:40.200 doesn't give

00:18:40.700 him away.

00:18:43.320 He's not

00:18:43.960 saying third

00:18:44.620 party yet,

00:18:45.240 is he?

00:18:46.340 He's not

00:18:46.940 saying the

00:18:47.360 words.

00:18:47.720 but can't

00:18:50.980 you imagine

00:18:51.440 it?

00:18:52.880 Now, I

00:18:53.220 saw Paul

00:18:53.760 Begala with

00:18:55.540 his gigantic

00:18:56.260 bug eyes.

00:18:57.940 You know

00:18:58.240 the bug

00:18:58.580 eyes when

00:18:59.000 somebody's

00:18:59.420 lying?

00:19:01.180 Paul Begala

00:19:01.700 eyes?

00:19:03.240 Adam Schiff

00:19:03.800 eyes?

00:19:05.440 Yeah.

00:19:06.620 But sometimes

00:19:08.060 Paul Begala

00:19:08.700 says something

00:19:09.680 that is wise

00:19:10.780 and true,

00:19:12.160 and I'll

00:19:13.240 tell you what

00:19:13.580 he said,

00:19:14.040 and it's

00:19:14.900 not a bad

00:19:15.360 take.

00:19:15.720 He says

00:19:17.740 that Trump's

00:19:18.560 base is

00:19:19.200 the most

00:19:19.620 solid base

00:19:20.440 anybody's

00:19:22.060 ever seen,

00:19:23.020 that the

00:19:24.340 indictments

00:19:24.860 didn't hurt

00:19:25.360 him,

00:19:25.900 you know,

00:19:26.120 that January

00:19:26.700 6th didn't

00:19:27.340 hurt him, 0.81

00:19:28.420 nothing hurts

00:19:29.120 him.

00:19:29.780 So he's

00:19:30.120 got a 45%

00:19:31.200 guaranteed

00:19:31.980 of K 0.99

00:19:33.960 Jr.

00:19:34.280 too.

00:19:36.100 Right?

00:19:36.400 Normally that

00:19:36.960 would matter.

00:19:38.660 Does it

00:19:39.340 matter with

00:19:39.740 Trump supporters?

00:19:42.460 I don't

00:19:43.160 know.

00:19:43.980 I don't

00:19:44.240 know.

00:19:44.440 So I

00:19:46.300 feel like

00:19:46.880 Begala

00:19:48.860 says that

00:19:49.620 it doesn't

00:19:49.980 matter who

00:19:50.420 it is,

00:19:51.480 any third

00:19:52.120 party candidate

00:19:52.840 will make

00:19:53.440 Trump the

00:19:53.860 next president.

00:19:55.220 And the

00:19:55.540 idea is that

00:19:56.200 nobody from

00:19:56.820 his base

00:19:57.280 is going

00:19:57.640 to defect,

00:19:59.120 but somebody

00:20:00.100 from the

00:20:00.460 other base

00:20:00.940 will.

00:20:02.060 It's a lot

00:20:02.860 easier to

00:20:03.360 imagine a

00:20:03.860 Biden person

00:20:04.600 saying,

00:20:05.020 you know

00:20:05.200 what,

00:20:05.840 I just

00:20:06.320 can't vote

00:20:06.720 for Biden.

00:20:08.100 I'd rather

00:20:08.800 lose,

00:20:10.340 but I've

00:20:11.220 got to vote

00:20:11.520 for a

00:20:11.780 Democrat,

00:20:12.280 or

00:20:14.200 somebody

00:20:14.500 who's

00:20:14.660 like

00:20:14.880 one.

00:20:16.260 So,

00:20:16.900 no,

00:20:17.260 I'm not

00:20:17.480 going to

00:20:17.640 run.

00:20:18.540 If I

00:20:19.020 read,

00:20:19.260 I'll get

00:20:19.500 assassinated

00:20:20.120 in 10

00:20:20.600 minutes.

00:20:22.560 All

00:20:22.740 right.

00:20:24.120 So,

00:20:25.120 it's weird

00:20:25.600 to be a

00:20:26.000 Democrat.

00:20:26.260 Imagine being

00:20:26.860 a Democrat

00:20:27.360 and knowing

00:20:27.980 that you're

00:20:28.380 not going

00:20:28.700 to be

00:20:28.940 given a

00:20:29.360 choice.

00:20:31.820 I mean,

00:20:32.120 think about

00:20:32.520 it.

00:20:33.960 Michael

00:20:34.420 Schellenberger

00:20:35.040 said this

00:20:35.700 about their

00:20:36.780 attempt to

00:20:37.260 use the

00:20:37.540 14th

00:20:39.020 amendment

00:20:40.140 to remove

00:20:41.780 Trump from

00:20:42.380 the ballot.

00:20:44.220 So,

00:20:44.440 as Michael

00:20:44.740 Schellenberger

00:20:45.300 accurately pointed

00:20:46.260 out,

00:20:46.740 no,

00:20:47.380 as Joel

00:20:48.140 Pollack

00:20:48.520 pointed out,

00:20:49.700 it's the

00:20:50.040 same system

00:20:50.640 as Iran.

00:20:53.820 If you

00:20:55.120 get to

00:20:55.520 vote,

00:20:56.400 but you

00:20:56.720 only get to

00:20:57.240 vote for

00:20:57.600 who they

00:20:57.880 tell you

00:20:58.220 you can

00:20:58.500 vote for,

00:20:59.740 that's Iran.

00:21:00.760 That's their

00:21:01.160 exact system.

00:21:03.320 And now

00:21:04.040 they're doing

00:21:04.400 it not only

00:21:05.080 maybe in the

00:21:05.920 general election

00:21:06.660 election or

00:21:07.720 by keeping

00:21:08.500 Trump off

00:21:09.100 the election,

00:21:09.760 but they

00:21:10.220 also do it

00:21:10.820 by keeping

00:21:11.280 RFK Jr.

00:21:12.280 off the

00:21:13.400 effective,

00:21:14.820 effectively

00:21:15.460 end of the

00:21:16.040 election by

00:21:17.020 rule changes.

00:21:18.640 Do you

00:21:18.860 think the

00:21:19.200 Democrats are

00:21:19.860 aware that

00:21:22.200 they're keeping

00:21:22.700 their own

00:21:23.300 candidate,

00:21:24.120 you know,

00:21:24.320 somebody in

00:21:24.800 their own

00:21:25.060 party,

00:21:25.420 off the

00:21:25.780 ticket so

00:21:27.600 that it's

00:21:27.960 not an

00:21:28.280 option for

00:21:28.800 them?

00:21:29.820 Are they

00:21:30.420 aware of

00:21:30.840 that?

00:21:32.460 Yeah.

00:21:33.020 Yeah,

00:21:33.520 the Democrats

00:21:34.000 are basically

00:21:34.760 in an Iranian

00:21:35.560 system.

00:21:37.520 And if

00:21:38.040 you throw

00:21:38.400 in the

00:21:38.720 super

00:21:39.080 delegates,

00:21:39.800 that's even

00:21:40.320 more Iranian,

00:21:41.160 isn't it?

00:21:42.060 Because the

00:21:42.640 super delegates

00:21:43.280 kind of guarantee

00:21:44.080 that it doesn't

00:21:45.660 really matter

00:21:46.160 what the

00:21:46.520 voters wanted.

00:21:48.180 The super

00:21:49.040 delegates have

00:21:49.700 extra votes

00:21:50.460 and they're

00:21:50.780 appointed by

00:21:51.340 the party.

00:21:52.380 That's my

00:21:52.880 understanding.

00:21:54.080 And so

00:21:55.360 they're the

00:21:55.680 ones who

00:21:56.040 always are

00:21:57.000 the dominant

00:21:57.500 voice of

00:21:58.320 who becomes

00:21:58.880 the nominee.

00:22:00.060 So it's not

00:22:00.580 really even

00:22:01.320 the voters

00:22:01.780 getting involved.

00:22:04.020 You know,

00:22:04.320 I think that

00:22:04.700 would be a

00:22:05.040 good attack.

00:22:06.660 is just

00:22:07.680 to point

00:22:08.400 out in

00:22:09.180 the cleanest

00:22:09.780 possible way

00:22:10.440 to Democrats,

00:22:11.320 especially during,

00:22:12.520 imagine saying

00:22:13.280 this during a

00:22:13.900 debate.

00:22:16.340 You know,

00:22:16.900 Republicans,

00:22:17.860 you might not

00:22:18.520 like our

00:22:18.980 policies,

00:22:20.260 but I'll tell

00:22:20.880 you one thing

00:22:21.380 we're dedicated

00:22:21.940 to that Democrats

00:22:22.960 are not,

00:22:24.060 which is giving

00:22:24.740 the voters a

00:22:25.480 choice.

00:22:27.180 You know,

00:22:27.680 you could

00:22:28.060 actually vote

00:22:28.620 for any one

00:22:29.300 of our primary

00:22:30.000 candidates.

00:22:31.520 There are a lot

00:22:32.260 of them.

00:22:32.920 They all

00:22:33.280 have a full

00:22:33.760 shot.

00:22:35.340 But on

00:22:35.960 your side,

00:22:37.020 you're trying

00:22:37.440 to restrict

00:22:38.020 not only

00:22:38.500 who's on

00:22:38.900 the election,

00:22:39.680 who can run,

00:22:40.740 in the case

00:22:41.460 of Trump,

00:22:42.160 but you're

00:22:42.660 even restricting

00:22:43.380 who can run

00:22:43.980 on your own

00:22:44.440 team.

00:22:46.040 When your

00:22:47.060 main guy

00:22:47.720 is so old

00:22:48.740 that not

00:22:49.100 a single

00:22:49.500 person

00:22:49.940 is missing

00:22:52.180 the fact

00:22:52.580 that he's

00:22:52.860 not quite

00:22:53.320 all there.

00:22:55.320 So I

00:22:56.320 would think

00:22:56.680 that you

00:22:56.940 could make

00:22:57.300 Democrats

00:22:58.080 really mad

00:22:58.680 at Democrats

00:22:59.380 by telling

00:23:00.720 them that

00:23:01.100 their freedom

00:23:01.620 is being

00:23:02.020 taken away

00:23:02.560 by Democrats.

00:23:04.660 And that

00:23:04.920 what they

00:23:05.240 get for

00:23:05.580 that is

00:23:06.680 that there

00:23:06.980 are a number,

00:23:07.420 as Newt Gingrich

00:23:08.360 points out,

00:23:09.500 there are a

00:23:10.040 number of

00:23:10.400 things which

00:23:10.980 the citizenry

00:23:12.860 is about

00:23:14.480 70 to 80%

00:23:16.000 aligned on,

00:23:17.380 and it's

00:23:18.040 not happening.

00:23:19.420 Imagine that.

00:23:20.800 We live in

00:23:21.500 this, you

00:23:21.860 know,

00:23:22.120 republic that's

00:23:23.080 with a

00:23:23.720 democratic element

00:23:24.580 to it,

00:23:25.460 and the

00:23:27.940 public can

00:23:28.480 want something

00:23:29.020 by 70 to

00:23:29.880 80%

00:23:30.640 majority,

00:23:34.700 and our

00:23:35.600 Congress

00:23:35.960 won't give

00:23:36.440 it to us.

00:23:37.920 What does

00:23:38.460 that mean?

00:23:40.120 Well, it

00:23:40.520 means that

00:23:41.020 there's no

00:23:41.460 interest in

00:23:42.240 the people's

00:23:43.180 will being

00:23:43.800 the dominant

00:23:44.940 thing.

00:23:45.580 Now, I'm

00:23:46.080 totally in

00:23:46.700 favor of

00:23:47.480 the public

00:23:48.700 not getting

00:23:49.300 their way

00:23:49.840 in the

00:23:50.900 fog of 0.95

00:23:51.360 war.

00:23:52.700 That's

00:23:53.040 actually the

00:23:53.760 time,

00:23:54.160 that's the

00:23:54.480 exact time

00:23:54.960 you don't

00:23:55.220 want the 0.55

00:23:55.540 public

00:23:55.780 getting

00:23:56.060 involved.

00:23:56.900 Let's

00:23:57.180 say the

00:23:57.500 country is

00:23:57.940 attacked.

00:23:59.020 I don't

00:23:59.660 want any

00:23:59.920 voting.

00:24:01.500 No voting.

00:24:03.220 You know,

00:24:03.400 the president

00:24:04.240 just has to

00:24:04.820 take over,

00:24:06.060 set the

00:24:06.540 military on

00:24:07.180 its way,

00:24:07.800 you know,

00:24:07.960 do its

00:24:08.260 thing.

00:24:09.300 But if

00:24:10.320 it's something

00:24:10.700 we all

00:24:11.360 understand,

00:24:12.540 such as,

00:24:14.040 can schools

00:24:15.100 talk to

00:24:15.620 your kids

00:24:16.100 about things

00:24:17.900 you as a

00:24:18.740 parent don't

00:24:19.200 want them to

00:24:19.800 talk to your

00:24:20.200 kids about

00:24:20.700 without your

00:24:21.900 permission and

00:24:22.600 understanding?

00:24:23.920 Now, that's

00:24:24.320 something that

00:24:24.780 parents largely

00:24:25.820 are all on the

00:24:26.400 same page,

00:24:28.040 right?

00:24:28.600 They don't

00:24:29.100 want somebody

00:24:29.620 raising their

00:24:30.220 kid in a

00:24:30.740 way that's

00:24:31.060 opposite to

00:24:31.660 the way they

00:24:31.980 would have

00:24:32.200 raised them.

00:24:33.280 But we

00:24:33.880 don't even

00:24:34.180 get that.

00:24:35.660 The most

00:24:36.340 basic thing.

00:24:37.820 And we

00:24:38.200 understand that

00:24:38.920 completely.

00:24:39.920 That's not

00:24:40.440 like the

00:24:40.800 fog of war.

00:24:42.420 That's a

00:24:42.900 topic we all

00:24:43.560 understand.

00:24:45.340 And yet,

00:24:45.920 you can't get

00:24:46.420 that.

00:24:47.340 So whatever's

00:24:47.880 happening is

00:24:48.440 certainly not,

00:24:49.840 you know,

00:24:50.480 because Democrats

00:24:51.860 want it.

00:24:52.680 It's just

00:24:53.080 something that's

00:24:53.560 happening to

00:24:54.120 them.

00:24:54.380 So Vivek

00:24:59.420 did a big

00:25:00.400 post on

00:25:03.540 X about

00:25:04.160 the 14th

00:25:04.920 Amendment.

00:25:05.680 And one

00:25:06.140 of the

00:25:06.280 things that

00:25:06.600 he claims,

00:25:07.260 which I

00:25:07.580 also saw

00:25:08.200 in the

00:25:08.560 Wall Street

00:25:08.900 Journal,

00:25:09.320 so he's

00:25:09.560 not the

00:25:09.820 only one

00:25:10.140 saying it,

00:25:11.000 is that

00:25:12.020 the 14th

00:25:12.640 Amendment,

00:25:13.580 which

00:25:13.840 essentially

00:25:14.320 says that

00:25:15.860 you can't

00:25:16.820 be elected,

00:25:19.560 I don't

00:25:20.340 think it's

00:25:20.700 just for

00:25:21.080 president,

00:25:21.780 but I

00:25:22.000 think you

00:25:22.300 can't run

00:25:22.740 for office

00:25:23.320 if you're

00:25:24.860 a designated

00:25:26.340 insurrectionist

00:25:27.360 or something.

00:25:28.380 Now,

00:25:28.620 apparently this

00:25:29.160 came from

00:25:29.600 the Civil

00:25:30.020 War,

00:25:31.100 and it

00:25:31.360 had to

00:25:31.660 do with

00:25:32.260 the people

00:25:33.720 who had

00:25:33.980 literally

00:25:35.240 been part

00:25:35.860 of the

00:25:36.100 Civil War.

00:25:37.520 So if

00:25:38.340 you're putting

00:25:38.740 the country

00:25:39.160 together,

00:25:39.900 maybe they

00:25:40.380 said to

00:25:40.680 themselves,

00:25:41.240 we don't

00:25:41.500 want these

00:25:41.980 troublemakers,

00:25:43.000 and so they

00:25:43.300 had this

00:25:43.580 rule to

00:25:44.640 keep people

00:25:45.180 out who

00:25:45.800 had literally

00:25:46.600 been part

00:25:47.760 of an

00:25:48.060 armed

00:25:48.600 Civil War.

00:25:50.580 So that's

00:25:52.240 what they

00:25:52.500 were thinking

00:25:52.860 of with

00:25:53.300 the rule,

00:25:54.120 an armed

00:25:54.800 Civil War.

00:25:56.640 And they're

00:25:57.280 trying to

00:25:57.620 use this

00:25:58.060 for their

00:25:58.560 protest on

00:25:59.380 January 6th

00:26:00.440 to keep

00:26:01.160 Trump out

00:26:01.780 of office.

00:26:02.640 Oh,

00:26:02.920 he's an

00:26:03.300 insurrectionist

00:26:04.040 just like

00:26:04.460 the Civil

00:26:04.840 War.

00:26:06.720 All right.

00:26:07.720 But apparently

00:26:08.520 the way the

00:26:09.100 rule was

00:26:09.480 written,

00:26:09.920 it did not

00:26:10.720 include an

00:26:12.160 elected

00:26:12.580 president.

00:26:14.760 So it

00:26:15.380 seems pretty

00:26:16.280 clear that it

00:26:16.820 was written

00:26:17.160 for people

00:26:18.100 that he

00:26:18.560 might appoint,

00:26:19.880 but not

00:26:20.240 for himself.

00:26:22.020 So there

00:26:23.660 isn't the

00:26:24.100 slightest chance

00:26:24.780 that this

00:26:25.220 is, well,

00:26:26.600 who knows,

00:26:27.280 I'm not a

00:26:27.780 lawyer, but

00:26:28.420 it doesn't

00:26:28.820 look like

00:26:29.200 this is even

00:26:29.740 a good

00:26:30.060 try.

00:26:31.020 It's the

00:26:31.520 sort of

00:26:31.780 thing you

00:26:32.100 could only

00:26:32.520 even attempt

00:26:33.160 if you

00:26:33.580 owned the

00:26:33.980 media and

00:26:34.560 you owned

00:26:35.040 the courts.

00:26:36.940 Because if

00:26:38.080 you didn't

00:26:38.380 think you

00:26:38.720 owned the

00:26:39.080 media and

00:26:39.420 the courts,

00:26:39.880 you wouldn't

00:26:40.120 even try it.

00:26:40.680 It's too

00:26:41.000 stupid. 0.90

00:26:41.780 You couldn't

00:26:42.160 possibly succeed

00:26:43.080 on this

00:26:43.800 path.

00:26:44.960 But they're

00:26:45.380 trying it,

00:26:46.500 so they must

00:26:47.120 think they do

00:26:47.660 own the

00:26:48.100 courts, or

00:26:49.480 at least

00:26:49.720 the lower

00:26:50.060 courts, and

00:26:50.940 they must

00:26:51.240 think that

00:26:51.640 they do

00:26:51.940 own the

00:26:52.240 media, at

00:26:53.500 least for

00:26:54.020 the people

00:26:54.520 they're talking

00:26:54.960 to.

00:26:55.880 And I

00:26:56.240 think they're

00:26:56.540 right.

00:26:57.820 Well, speaking

00:26:58.560 of the media

00:26:59.060 and their

00:26:59.400 fake news,

00:27:00.300 have I ever

00:27:00.740 mentioned that

00:27:01.280 the first

00:27:01.740 story out of

00:27:02.360 a war zone

00:27:02.980 is always

00:27:03.400 fake?

00:27:04.680 And have I

00:27:05.060 ever mentioned

00:27:05.620 that all

00:27:06.160 news about

00:27:06.660 public figures

00:27:07.400 is fake?

00:27:08.780 All of it.

00:27:10.320 Now, it

00:27:10.640 might be based

00:27:11.160 on some true

00:27:11.760 facts, but

00:27:12.940 the context

00:27:13.580 is always

00:27:14.180 fake.

00:27:15.680 So if you

00:27:16.460 had something

00:27:17.520 about a

00:27:18.040 war that

00:27:19.500 also was

00:27:20.180 something about

00:27:20.720 a public

00:27:21.160 figure, what

00:27:22.600 are the odds

00:27:23.060 that the

00:27:23.400 first report

00:27:24.000 is true?

00:27:25.780 Zero.

00:27:27.480 Zero.

00:27:28.780 Because the

00:27:29.220 fog of war is

00:27:30.040 almost always

00:27:30.760 untrue.

00:27:31.580 Anything that's

00:27:32.340 like a new

00:27:32.820 report and of

00:27:33.460 a war zone.

00:27:34.520 And anything

00:27:35.140 about a public

00:27:35.820 figure is

00:27:37.300 almost certainly

00:27:38.060 not true in

00:27:39.180 its completeness,

00:27:40.020 right, in

00:27:40.500 context.

00:27:40.980 if you put

00:27:41.920 them together,

00:27:43.240 as in the

00:27:43.840 story about

00:27:44.420 Elon Musk

00:27:45.320 allegedly

00:27:46.380 turning off

00:27:47.220 Starlink in 0.96

00:27:49.080 a zone that

00:27:49.720 the Ukrainians

00:27:50.400 wanted to

00:27:50.780 use to send

00:27:51.460 a drone

00:27:52.420 submarines to

00:27:53.340 attack a

00:27:54.940 Russian fleet.

00:27:56.340 It was, I

00:27:56.760 think there

00:27:57.060 were, the

00:27:59.020 fleet was all

00:27:59.800 in the same

00:28:00.100 place or

00:28:00.540 something, or a

00:28:01.180 lot of them.

00:28:02.060 And the

00:28:03.840 original story

00:28:04.720 from CNN, I

00:28:06.400 think, was

00:28:07.180 that Elon

00:28:09.080 turned off

00:28:10.060 the coverage

00:28:11.680 in the area

00:28:12.220 they needed

00:28:12.680 for the

00:28:13.000 attack, because

00:28:14.240 he could

00:28:14.580 control where

00:28:15.240 Starlink is

00:28:15.940 effective, and

00:28:17.100 then they had

00:28:17.680 to cancel

00:28:18.100 their attack.

00:28:19.920 Do you

00:28:20.440 think that

00:28:20.740 was true?

00:28:23.240 No.

00:28:24.820 No, it

00:28:25.420 wasn't true.

00:28:27.080 The thing, the

00:28:28.380 area that they

00:28:29.040 needed covered

00:28:29.660 with Starlink

00:28:30.260 has never been

00:28:30.980 covered.

00:28:31.900 So they asked

00:28:32.740 them to turn

00:28:33.280 it on to

00:28:34.940 support a

00:28:35.600 major escalation

00:28:36.400 of the

00:28:36.920 war, such

00:28:38.480 an escalation

00:28:39.280 that it

00:28:40.080 could have

00:28:40.320 taken out

00:28:40.920 the Russian

00:28:41.940 fleet.

00:28:43.120 It basically

00:28:44.080 could have

00:28:44.480 been Russia's 0.93

00:28:45.140 Pearl Harbor.

00:28:48.060 How does

00:28:48.740 a country

00:28:49.140 respond when

00:28:49.900 you take

00:28:50.240 out their

00:28:50.560 naval fleet?

00:28:52.480 Well, how

00:28:52.840 did we

00:28:53.120 respond?

00:28:54.540 We actually

00:28:55.220 nuked Japan 0.53

00:28:56.360 twice.

00:29:00.720 Twice.

00:29:01.960 And did

00:29:02.240 we nuke

00:29:02.660 them only

00:29:04.420 because

00:29:05.140 that was

00:29:06.720 the way

00:29:07.020 to end

00:29:07.300 the war?

00:29:09.080 Well, some

00:29:09.900 people say

00:29:10.380 that.

00:29:11.340 Because we

00:29:12.640 would have

00:29:13.020 won anyway.

00:29:14.680 It just

00:29:15.100 would have

00:29:15.360 been bloodier

00:29:15.940 and taken

00:29:16.300 longer.

00:29:17.100 Bloodier on

00:29:17.760 our side.

00:29:18.980 And so

00:29:19.260 some people

00:29:19.700 said, no,

00:29:20.120 no, we

00:29:20.720 just didn't

00:29:21.120 care how

00:29:21.660 many died.

00:29:22.300 We just

00:29:22.600 didn't want

00:29:22.960 to lose

00:29:23.340 any more

00:29:23.680 Americans.

00:29:24.980 Maybe.

00:29:26.220 Here's my

00:29:26.680 take on

00:29:27.100 it.

00:29:27.780 We nuked

00:29:28.620 Japan because 0.94

00:29:29.580 they attacked

00:29:30.780 Pearl Harbor.

00:29:32.180 Everything

00:29:32.480 that happened

00:29:32.920 in between

00:29:33.440 was irrelevant

00:29:34.780 to that.

00:29:36.240 They attacked

00:29:37.080 our homeland,

00:29:38.580 sank our

00:29:39.000 fleet,

00:29:39.980 you're going

00:29:40.340 to get

00:29:40.560 nuked.

00:29:42.060 Sorry.

00:29:43.580 Everything

00:29:44.100 in between

00:29:44.640 didn't matter.

00:29:45.380 You're going

00:29:45.700 to get

00:29:45.920 nuked.

00:29:47.380 Especially

00:29:47.980 in those

00:29:48.340 days.

00:29:48.580 So if

00:29:52.620 this version

00:29:54.540 of the

00:29:54.920 story is

00:29:55.320 true,

00:29:56.220 that Elon

00:29:56.840 didn't turn

00:29:57.660 them off,

00:29:58.620 he simply

00:29:59.160 did not

00:29:59.680 agree to

00:30:00.860 turn them

00:30:01.260 on to

00:30:02.640 support the

00:30:04.120 biggest

00:30:04.360 escalation of

00:30:05.320 the war we

00:30:06.100 would have

00:30:06.400 seen,

00:30:06.820 probably.

00:30:07.900 Now even

00:30:08.440 the question

00:30:10.200 of what

00:30:10.560 those drones 0.83

00:30:11.280 were going

00:30:11.740 to do,

00:30:13.000 still fog

00:30:13.740 at war,

00:30:14.280 so maybe

00:30:15.340 it wasn't

00:30:15.940 a big

00:30:16.380 attack,

00:30:17.420 but they're

00:30:17.860 saying it

00:30:18.240 was.

00:30:18.840 I don't

00:30:19.160 know.

00:30:19.900 It's hard

00:30:20.180 to know.

00:30:21.120 But if

00:30:21.720 that's the

00:30:22.200 information

00:30:22.620 that Musk

00:30:23.660 was working

00:30:24.360 on, that

00:30:25.660 they were

00:30:25.920 going to

00:30:26.180 take out

00:30:26.600 much of

00:30:27.060 the Russian

00:30:27.560 fleet as

00:30:29.680 a preparation

00:30:30.400 to taking

00:30:31.020 Crimea,

00:30:32.680 and Musk

00:30:33.480 just said,

00:30:34.160 I'm out.

00:30:36.540 You can do

00:30:37.360 your war

00:30:37.700 without me

00:30:38.280 if you're

00:30:38.740 going to

00:30:38.880 do that.

00:30:40.280 Now,

00:30:41.520 did he

00:30:41.860 just stop

00:30:42.340 a nuclear

00:30:42.760 war?

00:30:46.040 Isn't

00:30:46.560 it weird

00:30:47.040 that someday

00:30:48.660 when the

00:30:49.180 story of

00:30:49.840 Elon Musk

00:30:50.480 is written,

00:30:51.960 it probably

00:30:53.560 won't include

00:30:54.420 he stopped

00:30:55.220 a nuclear

00:30:55.740 war,

00:30:57.420 because he

00:30:58.260 can't be

00:30:58.660 sure,

00:30:59.360 because you

00:30:59.640 don't know

00:30:59.960 what would

00:31:00.340 have happened

00:31:00.700 if he'd

00:31:01.060 done something

00:31:01.500 else.

00:31:02.700 But he

00:31:03.020 may have

00:31:03.320 just stopped

00:31:03.820 a nuclear

00:31:04.240 war,

00:31:05.520 one person.

00:31:10.380 We have

00:31:11.340 some really

00:31:11.800 brave people

00:31:12.820 in the

00:31:13.900 public sphere

00:31:14.680 at the

00:31:15.120 moment,

00:31:15.800 like,

00:31:16.140 seriously

00:31:16.980 brave

00:31:17.640 people.

00:31:18.620 RFK

00:31:19.040 Jr.,

00:31:19.800 obviously,

00:31:20.320 Trump,

00:31:20.800 obviously,

00:31:21.780 Elon Musk,

00:31:22.840 obviously,

00:31:23.580 and any

00:31:24.240 of us

00:31:24.500 who are

00:31:24.660 getting

00:31:24.960 canceled

00:31:25.700 are willing

00:31:27.480 to take

00:31:27.880 an arrow

00:31:28.220 in the

00:31:28.500 back for

00:31:28.960 something we

00:31:29.800 think is

00:31:30.300 worth doing.

00:31:32.140 So,

00:31:33.460 I don't

00:31:35.240 know,

00:31:35.780 to me this

00:31:36.320 was kind

00:31:36.740 of awesome,

00:31:37.760 and I

00:31:38.080 don't even

00:31:38.480 have an

00:31:38.860 opinion about

00:31:39.440 whether it

00:31:39.800 was militarily

00:31:40.600 good or bad,

00:31:41.380 or geopolitically

00:31:42.900 good or bad.

00:31:44.080 I just like

00:31:44.940 the fact that

00:31:45.680 when he was

00:31:46.340 asked,

00:31:47.680 as a private

00:31:48.400 citizen,

00:31:49.960 he told the

00:31:51.140 military of

00:31:52.580 NATO,

00:31:53.280 basically,

00:31:53.900 and Ukraine,

00:31:55.100 to go pound

00:31:56.060 sand,

00:31:56.560 and they had

00:31:56.940 to.

00:31:58.180 I kind of

00:31:58.700 like it.

00:31:59.960 It's pretty

00:32:00.340 baller.

00:32:03.120 But we'll

00:32:03.780 probably find out

00:32:04.460 more about

00:32:05.100 that,

00:32:05.800 and who

00:32:06.140 knows,

00:32:06.520 maybe even

00:32:07.060 the decision

00:32:08.740 might reverse.

00:32:09.660 We don't

00:32:09.920 know.

00:32:10.120 But I do

00:32:11.220 think that

00:32:11.660 Elon's

00:32:12.180 instinct,

00:32:13.800 that since

00:32:15.300 nothing much

00:32:15.960 is going to

00:32:16.360 change,

00:32:16.960 no matter

00:32:17.420 what happens,

00:32:18.760 that we

00:32:19.160 should be

00:32:19.480 talking instead

00:32:20.340 of escalating.

00:32:22.040 That makes

00:32:22.660 perfect sense.

00:32:24.020 Now,

00:32:24.180 remember I

00:32:24.600 told you,

00:32:25.880 you remember

00:32:26.320 my,

00:32:28.300 was it a

00:32:28.780 prediction?

00:32:29.260 I don't know

00:32:29.580 if it was

00:32:29.780 a prediction,

00:32:30.540 but I said

00:32:30.980 that the

00:32:31.680 big variable

00:32:32.340 of what's

00:32:33.200 going to

00:32:33.380 happen in

00:32:33.800 the Ukraine

00:32:34.360 situation is

00:32:35.480 probably the

00:32:36.140 number of

00:32:36.580 Ukrainian soldiers

00:32:37.760 that they can

00:32:39.220 put in the

00:32:39.740 field.

00:32:40.120 And that

00:32:41.140 that number

00:32:41.620 might,

00:32:42.280 you know,

00:32:42.600 just from

00:32:43.340 the deaths

00:32:43.820 and injuries

00:32:45.160 might dip

00:32:45.660 below a

00:32:46.460 sustainable

00:32:46.880 level and

00:32:47.580 that could 0.68

00:32:48.040 be the

00:32:48.300 big turning

00:32:48.900 point in

00:32:49.280 the world.

00:32:50.520 But I

00:32:51.100 said there

00:32:52.680 would be an

00:32:53.120 adjustment if

00:32:53.860 they were

00:32:54.060 running out of

00:32:54.520 humans.

00:32:55.720 They would

00:32:56.280 adjust it to

00:32:56.900 be more

00:32:57.480 technological.

00:32:59.660 And right

00:33:00.180 after I said

00:33:00.760 that,

00:33:01.800 it turns out

00:33:02.440 that there

00:33:02.720 was going to

00:33:03.060 be a fleet,

00:33:04.140 reportedly,

00:33:05.180 don't know if

00:33:05.720 it's true,

00:33:06.500 but reportedly a

00:33:07.600 fleet of drones,

00:33:08.740 submarine drones

00:33:10.400 that was going

00:33:12.020 to attack the

00:33:13.120 fleet.

00:33:13.900 Now,

00:33:14.140 presumably,

00:33:14.880 there were

00:33:15.060 going to be

00:33:15.340 a lot of

00:33:15.780 them,

00:33:16.800 more than

00:33:17.680 one,

00:33:18.460 so that there

00:33:19.260 would be

00:33:19.460 enough that

00:33:19.920 some got

00:33:20.320 through,

00:33:20.680 I guess,

00:33:21.400 kind of like

00:33:22.040 a wave of

00:33:22.620 technology

00:33:23.180 sending at

00:33:23.740 them.

00:33:24.540 So why we

00:33:26.640 haven't seen

00:33:27.080 that in the

00:33:27.600 air yet

00:33:28.300 might be

00:33:30.080 because they

00:33:30.560 can jam

00:33:31.360 them easier

00:33:31.900 or something.

00:33:32.320 Now,

00:33:33.300 here's the

00:33:33.580 other thing

00:33:33.900 I found

00:33:34.260 out about

00:33:34.640 Starlink,

00:33:35.820 Wall Street

00:33:36.580 Journal,

00:33:36.960 I think,

00:33:37.720 that Starlink

00:33:39.800 apparently can

00:33:42.160 keep ahead of

00:33:42.780 the jamming.

00:33:44.500 And the

00:33:44.960 other means

00:33:45.840 of communication

00:33:46.600 over there,

00:33:47.080 the Russians

00:33:47.420 are jamming

00:33:48.060 successfully,

00:33:49.420 but somehow

00:33:49.960 the Starlink

00:33:51.840 engineers can

00:33:52.840 keep ahead of

00:33:53.380 the jamming.

00:33:53.960 I don't know

00:33:54.300 how they're

00:33:54.560 doing it.

00:33:55.400 So it really

00:33:56.120 wouldn't even

00:33:56.560 be useful in

00:33:57.180 the war zone

00:33:57.660 if they could

00:33:58.200 jam it,

00:34:00.240 but that's

00:34:00.600 pretty impressive.

00:34:01.240 So I think

00:34:02.060 you're going

00:34:02.340 to see,

00:34:03.820 just as you

00:34:04.660 saw a larger

00:34:06.500 threat than

00:34:07.900 we've seen,

00:34:08.540 that would be

00:34:08.940 the largest

00:34:09.500 underwater drone

00:34:10.680 threat we've

00:34:11.280 ever seen,

00:34:11.860 if it was

00:34:12.280 going to be

00:34:12.540 a multi-ship

00:34:14.200 attack,

00:34:14.740 and it sounds

00:34:15.100 like it was.

00:34:17.200 But how long

00:34:18.120 before we see

00:34:18.780 the sky just

00:34:19.740 blackened with 0.84

00:34:21.220 drones?

00:34:22.780 Because you

00:34:23.360 know we've

00:34:23.820 got, we must

00:34:25.160 have thousands.

00:34:27.200 Don't you

00:34:27.580 think we have

00:34:28.000 like 20,000

00:34:29.000 drones just

00:34:30.400 sitting in a

00:34:30.860 warehouse?

00:34:31.940 You know,

00:34:32.160 waiting to be

00:34:33.220 operationalized?

00:34:34.440 I think so,

00:34:35.400 by now.

00:34:36.700 So I think

00:34:37.860 when the big

00:34:38.400 push comes,

00:34:39.700 if there is

00:34:40.200 going to be

00:34:40.520 one,

00:34:41.700 that you're

00:34:42.100 going to see

00:34:42.560 drones like

00:34:43.680 you've never

00:34:44.120 seen drones.

00:34:46.240 That's what I

00:34:46.880 think.

00:34:48.240 All right.

00:34:52.260 I started to

00:34:53.240 develop what I

00:34:54.060 call a guide to

00:34:54.980 understanding the

00:34:55.780 news.

00:34:56.040 That's my

00:34:56.480 working title.

00:34:57.620 But I'll tell

00:34:58.120 you the

00:34:58.600 categories.

00:34:59.840 categories.

00:35:01.020 So suppose

00:35:02.260 somebody just

00:35:03.120 didn't understand

00:35:04.060 how to evaluate

00:35:05.080 what they see

00:35:05.840 in the news,

00:35:06.440 to know what's

00:35:06.920 true and what

00:35:07.440 isn't.

00:35:08.200 Some of this

00:35:08.700 you've heard

00:35:09.040 before, but I'm

00:35:09.700 going to write

00:35:11.000 it up eventually

00:35:11.680 and put it in

00:35:12.160 one place.

00:35:13.880 So the first

00:35:14.560 thing you need

00:35:15.020 to know if

00:35:15.440 you're new at

00:35:15.920 this is the

00:35:17.180 designated liars.

00:35:19.580 The people who

00:35:20.440 they put in

00:35:21.520 front of the

00:35:21.840 camera when the

00:35:22.880 normal people

00:35:23.860 just can't lie

00:35:25.120 that much.

00:35:25.680 like all

00:35:26.980 politicians can

00:35:27.880 exaggerate and

00:35:28.800 hyperbole and

00:35:29.600 that, but when

00:35:30.740 you just have to

00:35:31.380 tell a complete

00:35:32.500 lie, a thing

00:35:34.000 you know did

00:35:34.900 not happen, and

00:35:36.320 look in the

00:35:36.720 camera and act

00:35:37.280 like it did,

00:35:38.020 oh yeah, that

00:35:38.720 totally happened.

00:35:39.880 I went into the

00:35:41.280 skiff and I

00:35:41.840 saw it myself.

00:35:43.280 When you need

00:35:43.980 that kind of

00:35:44.560 person, there are

00:35:45.300 only certain

00:35:45.900 personalities who

00:35:46.800 are willing to

00:35:47.300 do that.

00:35:48.460 So if you knew

00:35:49.160 who they were,

00:35:50.720 the moment you

00:35:51.900 saw them on

00:35:52.380 TV, you'd say

00:35:53.140 to yourself, oh,

00:35:54.500 that's a signal.

00:35:55.680 That's a signal

00:35:56.800 that these are

00:35:57.320 not serious

00:35:58.560 people.

00:35:59.500 So here's a

00:36:00.240 starting list.

00:36:01.860 Adam Schiff,

00:36:03.280 Eric Swalwell,

00:36:04.860 John Brennan,

00:36:06.520 James Clapper,

00:36:08.420 Lawrence Tribe,

00:36:09.680 I'm adding him,

00:36:11.200 Phil Bump,

00:36:12.920 Jonathan Greenblatt

00:36:14.120 of the ADL,

00:36:15.780 and I'm going to

00:36:16.600 add Abby Phillips

00:36:17.500 of CNN.

00:36:19.600 She's a promoter 1.00

00:36:20.540 of the Fine

00:36:20.940 People Oaks.

00:36:25.680 So that's the

00:36:26.540 starting point.

00:36:27.120 Now you're

00:36:27.620 probably going to

00:36:28.020 say to me,

00:36:28.580 but Scott,

00:36:29.820 oh, Goldman.

00:36:31.140 Yeah, Goldman's

00:36:32.280 got that, Goldman.

00:36:36.340 Who I'm not

00:36:37.140 going to add

00:36:37.760 is leadership.

00:36:40.060 So I'm not

00:36:40.780 going to add

00:36:41.220 Pelosi or

00:36:42.660 Schumer,

00:36:44.220 because they're

00:36:44.960 involved in

00:36:45.560 all questions.

00:36:47.700 So they're not

00:36:48.540 a good signal.

00:36:49.600 They might also

00:36:50.260 be liars,

00:36:51.180 but they don't

00:36:51.660 signal anything

00:36:52.360 because they're

00:36:52.740 involved in

00:36:53.200 everything.

00:36:53.500 All right.

00:36:56.160 But I'll

00:36:56.840 need some...

00:36:59.500 No, it's

00:37:00.580 harder than

00:37:01.040 you think.

00:37:01.800 And the

00:37:02.060 news people,

00:37:03.480 you never know

00:37:04.060 what they

00:37:04.300 actually believe

00:37:05.000 is true.

00:37:07.120 Oh, yeah.

00:37:09.300 Well, I don't

00:37:10.060 want to just

00:37:10.460 say it's all

00:37:11.440 the hosts

00:37:12.660 of MSNBC

00:37:13.580 and all the

00:37:14.200 hosts of CNN,

00:37:15.460 because one

00:37:16.340 of my other

00:37:16.960 categories here

00:37:20.600 is which

00:37:21.640 entities are

00:37:22.780 true.

00:37:23.500 So the

00:37:24.560 fake news

00:37:25.080 on the

00:37:25.420 left,

00:37:26.100 the ones

00:37:26.380 you have

00:37:26.600 to worry

00:37:26.920 about,

00:37:27.920 would be

00:37:28.260 the New

00:37:28.560 York Times,

00:37:29.780 the Washington

00:37:30.220 Post,

00:37:31.180 MSNBC,

00:37:32.460 CNN,

00:37:33.540 and the

00:37:33.920 Associated Press.

00:37:36.080 I would say

00:37:36.940 that none of

00:37:37.460 them are even

00:37:38.160 slightly credible

00:37:39.120 on political

00:37:40.180 news.

00:37:41.120 Would you

00:37:41.420 agree?

00:37:43.260 None of

00:37:43.880 them are

00:37:44.220 at all.

00:37:45.980 And I would

00:37:46.380 say on the

00:37:46.780 right, you'd

00:37:47.320 be looking at

00:37:47.880 Fox News and

00:37:49.260 Gateway Pundit

00:37:50.180 as your

00:37:51.560 fake news

00:37:52.640 places.

00:37:53.500 Would you

00:37:54.480 agree with

00:37:54.800 that?

00:37:57.880 Now, the

00:37:58.520 trouble with

00:37:58.920 Gateway Pundit

00:37:59.680 is I think

00:38:00.340 they sometimes

00:38:00.960 have scoops,

00:38:02.400 but more

00:38:03.480 often it's

00:38:05.040 stuff that

00:38:05.400 doesn't check

00:38:05.920 out.

00:38:06.640 Well, I don't

00:38:06.980 know if it's

00:38:07.300 more often.

00:38:07.980 It's just,

00:38:09.020 you know,

00:38:09.240 they're lower

00:38:10.220 credibility

00:38:10.780 entities.

00:38:11.580 Yeah, maybe

00:38:16.460 NPR.

00:38:16.800 I don't want to

00:38:17.520 just, I

00:38:18.140 didn't want to

00:38:18.600 just list

00:38:19.140 every left

00:38:20.000 leading entity.

00:38:22.140 Right?

00:38:23.100 That, because

00:38:24.440 you could go

00:38:24.920 deeper.

00:38:26.280 I mean, basically

00:38:26.860 every entity

00:38:27.640 has a bias, so

00:38:28.700 I don't want to

00:38:29.140 just say, here's

00:38:30.420 all of the

00:38:30.820 biases.

00:38:32.020 I want the

00:38:32.680 ones that are

00:38:33.100 really signals.

00:38:34.840 You know, the

00:38:35.080 ones you have to

00:38:35.540 worry about.

00:38:36.220 Because if it's

00:38:37.480 not in the

00:38:38.180 New York Times

00:38:38.740 and the

00:38:39.000 Washington Post,

00:38:40.100 it probably

00:38:41.140 won't be

00:38:41.520 anywhere else.

00:38:43.600 Right?

00:38:44.420 But if it's

00:38:45.060 in one of

00:38:45.860 these entities,

00:38:46.780 it's probably

00:38:47.180 going to be

00:38:47.520 everywhere.

00:38:49.900 All right, so

00:38:50.520 and then, of

00:38:53.100 course, the

00:38:53.400 most important

00:38:53.900 part was I

00:38:55.300 was teaching,

00:38:55.880 I'll teach

00:38:56.240 people how to

00:38:57.100 know how

00:38:57.800 credible any

00:38:58.540 story is based

00:39:00.080 on its

00:39:00.420 elements.

00:39:01.540 For

00:39:02.060 example,

00:39:02.740 these are

00:39:06.440 things that

00:39:06.940 are probably

00:39:07.640 true.

00:39:08.940 Not necessarily,

00:39:10.180 but just a

00:39:11.400 hint that it's

00:39:11.900 probably true.

00:39:12.940 If one side,

00:39:14.360 either the left

00:39:14.900 or the right,

00:39:15.400 hides the

00:39:15.960 story.

00:39:17.800 So it's

00:39:18.420 different if

00:39:18.840 one side says

00:39:19.460 it's true and

00:39:20.000 the other side

00:39:20.440 says it's not.

00:39:21.380 But if one

00:39:21.900 just won't

00:39:22.400 mention it,

00:39:23.640 it's probably

00:39:23.960 true.

00:39:26.160 Probably

00:39:26.600 true.

00:39:27.900 All right.

00:39:29.060 If both

00:39:29.820 sides reported

00:39:30.640 the same,

00:39:31.140 if the

00:39:32.680 left and

00:39:33.080 the right

00:39:33.440 entities

00:39:34.120 reported the

00:39:35.160 same,

00:39:36.140 probably

00:39:36.460 true.

00:39:37.460 Probably

00:39:37.680 true.

00:39:39.100 How about

00:39:39.860 if all

00:39:40.960 studies for

00:39:42.540 years and

00:39:43.040 years are

00:39:43.560 pointing in

00:39:44.000 the same

00:39:44.280 direction?

00:39:45.620 Like every

00:39:46.340 time you do

00:39:46.780 a study,

00:39:47.940 no matter

00:39:48.680 how you

00:39:49.060 slice it,

00:39:49.720 no matter

00:39:49.980 what you

00:39:50.340 study,

00:39:51.380 same

00:39:51.680 direction.

00:39:52.740 For

00:39:52.940 example,

00:39:53.740 cigarettes

00:39:54.200 causing

00:39:54.640 lung

00:39:54.920 cancer.

00:39:56.000 I'm

00:39:56.200 pretty sure

00:39:56.700 that every

00:39:57.200 way you

00:39:57.660 study that,

00:39:58.640 you get

00:39:58.860 the same

00:39:59.220 answer.

00:40:00.280 That

00:40:00.780 means it's

00:40:01.200 probably

00:40:01.560 true,

00:40:02.480 but not

00:40:02.920 necessarily.

00:40:04.740 Because we've

00:40:05.360 seen,

00:40:05.980 for example,

00:40:07.160 alcohol is

00:40:07.880 good for

00:40:08.300 you in

00:40:08.700 small

00:40:09.040 quantities.

00:40:11.220 Those

00:40:11.740 studies

00:40:12.120 would

00:40:12.340 forever,

00:40:13.300 but of

00:40:13.680 course

00:40:13.900 were not

00:40:14.280 true.

00:40:17.360 How about

00:40:17.940 if one

00:40:21.240 narrative

00:40:21.740 predicts

00:40:22.520 better than

00:40:22.920 the other,

00:40:24.280 that's more

00:40:24.760 likely true,

00:40:25.960 or you

00:40:26.340 could treat

00:40:26.720 it as

00:40:27.000 true.

00:40:27.680 So there

00:40:28.060 are some

00:40:28.360 frames that

00:40:29.040 just don't,

00:40:29.560 or narratives

00:40:30.300 that just

00:40:30.660 never predict

00:40:31.380 anything,

00:40:32.380 and some

00:40:32.800 that predict

00:40:33.180 everything.

00:40:34.400 So if you

00:40:35.360 hear one

00:40:35.680 that predicts

00:40:36.200 everything,

00:40:36.600 it's one of

00:40:36.920 those types,

00:40:37.780 such as

00:40:38.500 follow the

00:40:39.160 money.

00:40:41.160 Follow the

00:40:41.840 money is a

00:40:42.420 pretty good

00:40:42.920 thing for

00:40:43.300 predicting,

00:40:44.560 so it also

00:40:45.280 is a good

00:40:45.660 thing for

00:40:45.980 truth.

00:40:48.640 Suppose you

00:40:49.240 have a

00:40:49.520 witness who

00:40:50.980 has direct

00:40:51.560 knowledge of

00:40:52.100 a situation

00:40:52.660 and is

00:40:53.380 under oath,

00:40:55.120 and they're

00:40:56.320 public.

00:40:57.180 You know

00:40:57.560 who they are,

00:40:58.120 they're under

00:40:58.580 oath,

00:40:58.900 and they

00:40:59.100 have direct

00:40:59.580 knowledge.

00:41:00.080 They didn't

00:41:00.300 hear it from

00:41:00.780 somebody,

00:41:01.100 they saw it

00:41:01.440 themselves.

00:41:02.260 Pretty good.

00:41:03.500 Pretty good.

00:41:04.500 Not guaranteed.

00:41:05.560 If you have

00:41:06.100 two of them,

00:41:07.320 and they're not

00:41:07.880 friends or

00:41:08.360 something,

00:41:08.900 and they've

00:41:09.300 seen it from

00:41:09.740 different angles,

00:41:10.900 say the same

00:41:11.520 thing, that's

00:41:12.900 much more likely

00:41:13.640 to be true.

00:41:15.780 All right,

00:41:16.100 and if you

00:41:16.440 have witnesses

00:41:17.020 plus documents,

00:41:19.540 then you're in

00:41:20.140 real good shape.

00:41:21.280 So if you've

00:41:21.780 got somebody who

00:41:22.640 was there,

00:41:23.280 they're public,

00:41:24.460 they saw it

00:41:24.940 directly,

00:41:25.980 but also there's

00:41:26.780 an email or

00:41:27.500 something that

00:41:28.100 supports them,

00:41:29.940 you're in pretty

00:41:30.800 good shape in

00:41:31.480 that case,

00:41:31.880 but that's

00:41:32.140 rare.

00:41:33.840 The Hunter

00:41:35.220 laptop and

00:41:36.120 that stuff,

00:41:36.980 that does fall

00:41:37.660 into that

00:41:38.040 category of

00:41:39.300 direct witnesses

00:41:40.020 and lots of

00:41:41.200 documents.

00:41:41.960 That's about as

00:41:42.980 true as anything

00:41:43.760 can get.

00:41:46.240 Here's some

00:41:46.880 things that are

00:41:47.380 more like a

00:41:47.940 coin flip.

00:41:49.320 Could be true,

00:41:50.240 maybe not.

00:41:51.100 One scientific

00:41:52.080 paper that has

00:41:53.920 not yet been

00:41:54.580 peer-reviewed,

00:41:55.960 you don't

00:41:57.520 really know

00:41:57.940 anything about

00:41:58.500 it.

00:41:59.240 How about

00:41:59.560 one scientific

00:42:00.320 paper that

00:42:00.920 has been

00:42:01.420 peer-reviewed?

00:42:02.740 Exactly the

00:42:03.460 same.

00:42:04.220 The peer-review

00:42:04.820 does not give

00:42:05.720 you any benefit

00:42:06.560 in terms of

00:42:07.320 credibility.

00:42:08.440 We used to

00:42:08.940 think it did,

00:42:09.920 and they could

00:42:10.740 find really big

00:42:11.900 mistakes, but if

00:42:13.780 somebody publishes

00:42:15.160 a scientific

00:42:15.700 paper without a

00:42:16.780 peer-review, that

00:42:18.220 sort of is a

00:42:18.800 peer-review, because

00:42:20.420 everybody's going to

00:42:20.980 look at it, and

00:42:21.760 you would pretty

00:42:22.660 soon see if

00:42:23.320 there are strong

00:42:24.260 objections.

00:42:26.720 So it's sort

00:42:27.580 of a bad

00:42:28.480 peer-review, but

00:42:29.140 it's kind of

00:42:29.540 one.

00:42:31.040 How about if

00:42:31.500 something's a

00:42:32.120 meta-analysis?

00:42:34.480 If they say,

00:42:35.700 well, the

00:42:36.160 individual studies

00:42:37.080 weren't that

00:42:37.520 strong, but when

00:42:38.980 we summed them

00:42:39.660 together and

00:42:40.240 did our magic

00:42:41.320 called a

00:42:41.960 meta-analysis,

00:42:43.700 the results are

00:42:45.080 very clear once

00:42:46.040 you do the

00:42:46.420 meta-analysis.

00:42:47.300 Definitely one

00:42:47.920 direction.

00:42:49.640 That is no

00:42:52.240 more than a

00:42:52.800 coin flip.

00:42:54.060 Meta-analysis is

00:42:55.260 somebody deciding

00:42:56.100 what's in the

00:42:56.780 study and what

00:42:57.340 isn't, so it's

00:42:58.340 not a science.

00:42:59.300 It's somebody

00:42:59.980 deciding what's

00:43:00.720 in and what

00:43:01.080 isn't.

00:43:02.240 50% chance that

00:43:03.900 they got it

00:43:04.280 right.

00:43:05.660 How about if

00:43:06.420 there was a

00:43:06.820 video or audio

00:43:07.760 of an event

00:43:08.660 that people

00:43:10.360 question really

00:43:11.140 happened?

00:43:11.740 A video and

00:43:13.400 or audio of

00:43:14.380 the event.

00:43:16.440 No more than

00:43:17.280 a 50% chance,

00:43:19.140 because for

00:43:19.980 everything that's

00:43:20.980 a real video of

00:43:21.920 a real event just

00:43:22.700 the way it

00:43:23.080 happened, there's

00:43:24.100 at least one that

00:43:25.740 is misleading.

00:43:27.360 At least one,

00:43:28.420 maybe more,

00:43:29.520 because video is

00:43:30.260 the most misleading

00:43:30.980 thing in the

00:43:31.460 world.

00:43:32.080 Remember when we

00:43:32.780 used to think a

00:43:33.940 photograph doesn't

00:43:34.720 lie?

00:43:36.460 I'm old enough to

00:43:37.620 think that was

00:43:38.660 real.

00:43:39.580 Oh, a photograph

00:43:40.180 doesn't lie.

00:43:41.000 Of course a

00:43:41.760 photograph lies.

00:43:43.580 A video lies even

00:43:44.720 better, and an

00:43:45.880 audio lies best of

00:43:47.060 all.

00:43:47.840 They're all liars.

00:43:49.260 Yeah, so 50-50,

00:43:50.320 even if there's a

00:43:51.160 video or an

00:43:51.640 audio.

00:43:52.860 All right, and

00:43:53.400 here are the

00:43:53.740 ones where you

00:43:54.560 could pretty much

00:43:55.620 make a lot of

00:43:57.300 money if you could

00:43:57.940 bet on these

00:43:58.700 being fake.

00:44:00.200 So these are the

00:44:00.880 things that probably

00:44:02.560 are fake.

00:44:04.200 Anything where

00:44:04.980 lots of money is

00:44:05.780 involved.

00:44:07.640 The news is

00:44:08.780 never real when

00:44:10.360 lots of money is

00:44:11.160 involved, whether

00:44:12.760 it's a war or a

00:44:14.840 pandemic.

00:44:15.240 As soon as

00:44:16.900 there's lots of

00:44:17.620 money involved, you

00:44:19.960 just don't believe

00:44:20.940 anything.

00:44:24.260 Let's see, how

00:44:25.120 about if both

00:44:26.780 CNN and Fox

00:44:27.680 News say something

00:44:28.400 didn't happen, then

00:44:29.580 it probably didn't.

00:44:31.160 If you've got one

00:44:32.260 anonymous source,

00:44:33.780 probably fake.

00:44:35.480 One anonymous

00:44:36.340 source is almost

00:44:37.520 like the classic

00:44:39.740 fake news, one

00:44:42.200 anonymous source.

00:44:43.380 And usually you'll

00:44:44.040 see that in a book.

00:44:45.580 Well, there's a

00:44:46.320 book about what

00:44:47.020 happened behind the

00:44:48.480 curtains.

00:44:49.020 I've got this one

00:44:49.600 anonymous source.

00:44:50.420 They're never real.

00:44:52.020 How about two

00:44:53.600 anonymous sources?

00:44:55.040 Hmm.

00:44:56.500 We don't know who

00:44:57.240 either are, but

00:44:58.460 there are two of

00:44:59.140 them, and they say

00:45:00.240 the same thing.

00:45:01.960 Nope.

00:45:03.080 Probably not true.

00:45:05.160 They're just adding

00:45:06.020 the second fake one,

00:45:07.060 so it sounds more

00:45:07.660 true.

00:45:08.260 Now, there's no

00:45:08.840 credibility to two

00:45:10.320 anonymous people.

00:45:12.560 No credibility.

00:45:14.040 How about the only

00:45:16.100 photos you can get

00:45:17.160 are fuzzy.

00:45:19.260 You just can't get a

00:45:20.500 clean photograph.

00:45:22.200 Bigfoot, UFOs.

00:45:24.460 Probably not true.

00:45:26.060 Probably not true.

00:45:27.420 All those photographs,

00:45:28.700 can't get a good one.

00:45:29.600 They're always a little

00:45:30.140 bit fuzzy.

00:45:32.320 How about a

00:45:33.220 randomized controlled

00:45:34.140 trial funded by

00:45:35.840 somebody who has an

00:45:37.720 interest in the

00:45:38.260 outcome?

00:45:39.180 It's randomized and

00:45:40.420 controlled.

00:45:40.960 That's the gold

00:45:41.500 standard.

00:45:41.920 You can't

00:45:43.720 complain if it's

00:45:44.440 randomized and

00:45:45.520 controlled, and

00:45:47.020 it's a big study.

00:45:49.460 Yes, you can.

00:45:50.500 If it's funded by

00:45:51.560 somebody who has an

00:45:52.240 interest in the

00:45:52.780 outcome, it has no

00:45:53.920 evidentiary value.

00:45:55.760 None.

00:45:57.260 You just imagine

00:45:58.200 that you can't get

00:45:59.640 that many scientists

00:46:00.400 to be weasels, but

00:46:02.800 we know we can.

00:46:03.980 You can get the

00:46:04.820 entire world of

00:46:05.580 scientists to be as

00:46:06.340 weasel as you want.

00:46:07.500 You just threaten

00:46:08.100 their money.

00:46:08.500 Well, you'll never

00:46:10.240 get a job again

00:46:10.880 unless you agree

00:46:11.620 with the mainstream.

00:46:13.060 Okay, I agree.

00:46:14.860 It's easy.

00:46:16.920 How about the

00:46:19.500 best argument is

00:46:20.620 that the experts

00:46:21.300 are on the same

00:46:22.040 side?

00:46:24.020 That's our best

00:46:24.840 argument.

00:46:25.500 I'll grant you

00:46:26.520 that the data we're

00:46:27.760 using, people

00:46:28.620 question it.

00:46:29.800 Some people say

00:46:30.500 it's good.

00:46:31.160 Some people say

00:46:31.720 it's bad.

00:46:32.700 But the thing you

00:46:33.660 should listen to is

00:46:35.220 that the experts have

00:46:36.240 a good sense of

00:46:37.240 which ones are

00:46:38.160 good and what's

00:46:38.720 bad.

00:46:39.600 You as a layperson

00:46:40.580 can't really tell.

00:46:41.580 But the experts,

00:46:42.360 they know which

00:46:42.780 studies to believe

00:46:43.600 and which studies

00:46:45.060 not to believe.

00:46:45.820 So under those

00:46:46.740 conditions, if

00:46:48.120 somebody says

00:46:48.860 90%, I'll just

00:46:50.720 pick a number.

00:46:51.460 Let's say somebody

00:46:52.020 says 97% of

00:46:53.720 experts are on

00:46:54.920 the same side.

00:46:56.720 But the data

00:46:57.700 is in question

00:46:59.060 by other people.

00:47:01.240 That means that

00:47:02.320 they have a

00:47:02.920 monetary interest

00:47:03.860 in it.

00:47:04.920 And therefore,

00:47:05.500 their opinions

00:47:05.960 are worthless.

00:47:06.440 97% of

00:47:09.280 experts agree

00:47:10.160 in the context

00:47:11.900 where the data

00:47:13.780 itself that

00:47:14.400 they're looking

00:47:14.780 at, you're

00:47:16.160 not quite

00:47:16.620 confident is

00:47:17.320 real.

00:47:18.380 In that condition,

00:47:19.560 97% of

00:47:20.560 scientists agree.

00:47:21.620 It just means

00:47:22.100 they're being

00:47:22.400 paid to agree.

00:47:24.780 Indirectly,

00:47:25.560 meaning they'd

00:47:26.140 never get a job

00:47:26.840 if they disagreed.

00:47:28.480 That's all it

00:47:29.340 means.

00:47:30.200 So you should

00:47:31.040 reverse your

00:47:31.960 instinct when

00:47:33.680 you see 97%

00:47:34.880 of experts

00:47:35.440 agree.

00:47:36.460 That should

00:47:36.940 tell you that

00:47:37.620 it's a fake.

00:47:38.620 It shouldn't

00:47:39.060 tell you it's

00:47:39.420 true.

00:47:41.400 If one scientist

00:47:42.540 gives you a

00:47:43.500 great argument,

00:47:45.300 that would be a

00:47:46.660 little bit more

00:47:47.200 persuasive.

00:47:48.420 One person with

00:47:49.360 a great argument

00:47:50.280 that you could

00:47:50.920 check.

00:47:51.580 It's like, oh,

00:47:52.020 let me check

00:47:52.420 that.

00:47:52.680 Well, he's

00:47:53.240 right about

00:47:53.560 that.

00:47:55.520 But 97%,

00:47:56.900 that's just a

00:47:58.000 huge raging

00:47:59.380 signal of

00:48:00.140 fakery.

00:48:00.700 here's some

00:48:02.840 other tricks.

00:48:07.700 So here are

00:48:08.640 the ones that

00:48:09.060 I call pure

00:48:09.800 propaganda.

00:48:11.780 If your news

00:48:12.860 mentions that

00:48:13.940 there are a lot

00:48:14.360 of heat deaths

00:48:15.360 because of

00:48:16.560 climate change,

00:48:18.140 but they never

00:48:19.200 mention how many

00:48:20.020 cold deaths

00:48:20.880 there are,

00:48:21.560 so that you know

00:48:22.340 both the costs

00:48:23.040 and the benefits,

00:48:24.760 if they always

00:48:25.800 leave out one

00:48:26.620 of those sides,

00:48:28.040 they always leave

00:48:28.940 out the costs,

00:48:29.860 like always,

00:48:30.700 or they always

00:48:32.180 leave out the

00:48:32.720 benefits,

00:48:33.780 always,

00:48:34.920 when it would

00:48:35.340 be easy to

00:48:35.900 mention that

00:48:36.380 they both

00:48:36.740 exist,

00:48:37.480 that's propaganda.

00:48:39.320 So if somebody

00:48:40.160 tells you we're

00:48:41.300 in trouble because

00:48:42.100 some places are

00:48:43.320 getting hotter,

00:48:44.820 without mentioning

00:48:45.680 that that would

00:48:47.500 be better for

00:48:48.240 some places,

00:48:49.600 that's not any

00:48:50.700 kind of news,

00:48:51.620 that's just

00:48:52.000 propaganda.

00:48:53.380 So look for

00:48:53.980 the dog not

00:48:55.520 barking,

00:48:56.120 the part they

00:48:56.560 leave out.

00:48:57.780 If they're

00:48:58.600 arguing by

00:48:59.300 analogies instead

00:49:00.400 of data,

00:49:01.720 that's a sign

00:49:03.400 for no real

00:49:04.300 argument.

00:49:05.660 People don't

00:49:06.340 use analogies

00:49:07.560 when they have

00:49:08.860 real arguments.

00:49:11.140 You can use

00:49:11.880 analogy just to

00:49:12.940 paint a general

00:49:14.260 picture so

00:49:14.920 somebody knows

00:49:15.380 what you're

00:49:15.640 talking about,

00:49:16.320 but that's not

00:49:16.900 the argument.

00:49:18.760 An analogy can

00:49:19.760 get you in the

00:49:20.860 general zip code

00:49:22.380 of what you're

00:49:22.840 both talking

00:49:23.340 about,

00:49:23.640 but it

00:49:24.900 can't win

00:49:25.740 in a debate

00:49:26.640 because the

00:49:27.080 analogy is

00:49:27.600 literally a

00:49:28.520 different thing.

00:49:30.360 You can't

00:49:30.960 learn about

00:49:31.340 this thing

00:49:31.780 by looking

00:49:32.160 at a

00:49:32.480 different

00:49:32.700 thing.

00:49:36.820 So if

00:49:37.620 you see

00:49:38.020 people leaning

00:49:38.760 on analogies

00:49:39.640 such as

00:49:40.900 this is just

00:49:41.940 like Hitler, 0.93

00:49:44.020 that's probably

00:49:45.000 not real.

00:49:45.460 if you see

00:49:48.800 too much

00:49:49.200 whataboutism,

00:49:50.400 that's a sign

00:49:51.980 of a weak

00:49:52.540 argument.

00:49:53.980 If the

00:49:54.640 response to

00:49:55.660 criticism is

00:49:56.500 whataboutism,

00:49:57.240 that's the

00:49:57.580 first response.

00:49:58.880 Now,

00:49:59.080 whataboutism is

00:49:59.900 perfectly

00:50:00.480 legitimate if

00:50:02.460 it's not your

00:50:02.960 only point.

00:50:04.520 If it's your

00:50:05.500 go-to,

00:50:06.300 then you don't

00:50:06.780 have an argument.

00:50:08.240 There's no

00:50:08.600 argument if

00:50:09.140 you have to

00:50:10.220 rely on

00:50:10.800 whataboutism,

00:50:11.820 you don't have

00:50:12.180 anything.

00:50:12.420 And here's

00:50:16.020 some tricks

00:50:16.500 that the

00:50:17.000 general public

00:50:18.140 doesn't know

00:50:18.600 about.

00:50:18.840 You know

00:50:19.120 about all

00:50:19.460 these.

00:50:20.360 When the

00:50:20.920 headline doesn't

00:50:21.580 match the

00:50:21.980 story, because

00:50:23.120 you know people

00:50:23.580 don't read the

00:50:24.140 story, they

00:50:24.720 just look at

00:50:25.120 the headline.

00:50:27.140 That trick is

00:50:28.360 just so classic.

00:50:30.020 And if you

00:50:30.820 are worried

00:50:31.500 about the

00:50:31.860 headline not

00:50:32.380 matching the

00:50:32.920 story, where

00:50:33.580 do you look

00:50:34.280 in the body

00:50:35.420 of the story

00:50:36.040 to find the

00:50:37.260 part where

00:50:37.640 they kind of

00:50:38.180 admit the

00:50:38.600 headline doesn't

00:50:39.180 match the

00:50:39.540 story?

00:50:40.420 It's at the

00:50:40.780 end.

00:50:42.420 So the

00:50:43.620 way to

00:50:44.020 read the

00:50:44.500 news is

00:50:45.540 you read

00:50:45.780 the headline

00:50:46.320 and then

00:50:46.840 ignore it,

00:50:48.440 because headlines

00:50:49.020 don't match

00:50:49.540 stories.

00:50:50.400 You read the

00:50:50.980 first paragraph,

00:50:52.520 because all

00:50:53.320 good writers,

00:50:54.200 pretty much

00:50:54.720 everybody in

00:50:55.240 the news

00:50:55.560 business,

00:50:56.340 will tell you

00:50:57.040 the basic

00:50:57.480 thing in the

00:50:58.000 first paragraph,

00:50:59.380 which might

00:51:00.120 be the

00:51:00.420 misleading thing.

00:51:01.580 It might

00:51:01.840 be misleading,

00:51:02.680 but it'll

00:51:02.920 give you the

00:51:03.400 thing.

00:51:04.300 Everything

00:51:04.700 that's in

00:51:05.160 the middle

00:51:05.500 you can

00:51:05.900 ignore,

00:51:07.100 and then you

00:51:07.500 go to the

00:51:07.860 last paragraph

00:51:08.520 where they'll

00:51:10.040 tell you that

00:51:10.560 everything you

00:51:11.100 read was

00:51:11.600 bullshit.

00:51:13.100 Very

00:51:13.500 common.

00:51:14.660 It'll be

00:51:14.900 like,

00:51:15.980 we found

00:51:16.680 out that

00:51:17.260 climate change

00:51:18.720 is going to

00:51:19.060 make the

00:51:19.400 butterflies turn

00:51:20.280 vicious.

00:51:21.240 The

00:51:21.360 butterflies,

00:51:22.120 the scientists

00:51:22.520 say,

00:51:23.340 will be

00:51:23.720 attacking people

00:51:24.460 and tearing

00:51:24.880 their lungs

00:51:25.400 out,

00:51:25.960 so we're

00:51:26.480 all going

00:51:26.760 to die

00:51:27.200 from the

00:51:27.960 butterfly

00:51:28.340 attacks.

00:51:29.300 And then you

00:51:29.660 get to the

00:51:30.040 last paragraph

00:51:30.680 and it'll be,

00:51:31.720 but it should

00:51:32.280 be noted that

00:51:32.960 butterflies do

00:51:33.720 not have the

00:51:34.140 mass or

00:51:34.600 strength to hurt

00:51:35.560 anybody whatsoever,

00:51:36.340 and we would

00:51:37.020 just use insecticides

00:51:38.040 and make them

00:51:38.480 go away. 0.82

00:51:38.860 And the

00:51:40.580 whole story

00:51:40.960 was nothing.

00:51:43.180 They'll debunk

00:51:44.040 their own story

00:51:44.600 in the last

00:51:45.000 paragraph.

00:51:45.660 You have to

00:51:46.300 read the

00:51:46.620 last paragraph

00:51:47.260 of anything

00:51:48.740 in the news

00:51:49.400 written.

00:51:51.740 All right.

00:51:52.660 Then you know

00:51:53.280 what the old

00:51:54.980 correction method?

00:51:57.040 Say something

00:51:57.640 you know

00:51:58.060 isn't true,

00:51:59.280 it becomes the

00:51:59.940 big story for

00:52:00.680 days and days

00:52:01.380 and weeks,

00:52:01.940 and then you

00:52:02.800 issue a

00:52:03.200 correction because

00:52:04.000 you knew it

00:52:04.320 wasn't true.

00:52:05.460 You're like,

00:52:05.840 well,

00:52:06.600 well,

00:52:06.960 correction,

00:52:07.560 didn't mean it.

00:52:08.600 And nobody

00:52:09.080 sees the

00:52:09.560 correction.

00:52:11.120 So the

00:52:11.520 fake news

00:52:12.040 just lives

00:52:12.560 forever.

00:52:13.160 Corrections

00:52:13.540 don't matter.

00:52:14.340 So you see

00:52:14.680 that trick.

00:52:15.900 Then there's

00:52:16.420 the wrap-up

00:52:17.360 smear Nancy 0.99

00:52:18.420 Pelosi

00:52:18.860 talks about.

00:52:21.560 See if I

00:52:22.160 have this

00:52:22.460 right,

00:52:22.860 because I

00:52:23.100 may be

00:52:23.460 conflating

00:52:23.940 the wrap-up

00:52:24.500 smear with

00:52:25.020 a different

00:52:25.360 thing,

00:52:26.240 but I think

00:52:26.760 they're the

00:52:27.060 same.

00:52:27.840 Where somebody

00:52:29.400 will leak to

00:52:30.480 a journalist

00:52:31.140 something that's

00:52:31.980 not true.

00:52:33.360 The journalist

00:52:34.100 will write it

00:52:35.000 as if it is

00:52:36.060 true.

00:52:37.220 And then the

00:52:37.700 politician who

00:52:38.360 leaked it says,

00:52:39.320 well,

00:52:39.580 don't look at

00:52:40.080 me,

00:52:40.360 it's in the

00:52:40.780 news.

00:52:41.940 I mean,

00:52:42.220 the New York

00:52:42.560 Times just

00:52:43.000 wrote about it.

00:52:43.700 So how about

00:52:45.300 you leave me

00:52:45.880 alone and go

00:52:46.880 talk to the

00:52:47.340 New York

00:52:47.580 Times?

00:52:47.960 Why do they

00:52:48.380 say it's

00:52:48.760 true?

00:52:48.980 I mean,

00:52:49.220 I said it's

00:52:49.700 true first,

00:52:50.420 but now they're

00:52:51.080 agreeing with

00:52:51.560 me,

00:52:51.860 obviously the

00:52:52.660 news agrees

00:52:53.240 with me,

00:52:53.680 I'm right,

00:52:54.140 you're wrong. 0.83

00:52:55.920 That's what

00:52:56.440 the wrap-up

00:52:56.940 smear is,

00:52:57.460 right?

00:52:58.260 Where you

00:52:58.720 launder your

00:52:59.700 fake opinions

00:53:00.420 through the

00:53:00.980 fake news

00:53:01.680 so that you

00:53:02.680 can say,

00:53:03.160 oh,

00:53:03.400 not me.

00:53:05.380 Oh,

00:53:05.820 then there's

00:53:06.140 also the

00:53:06.560 24-hour rule,

00:53:08.000 yeah,

00:53:08.860 fog of war,

00:53:10.020 24-hour rule.

00:53:12.820 Would this

00:53:13.360 be a good

00:53:13.840 book?

00:53:14.740 It shouldn't

00:53:15.260 be a book,

00:53:15.740 it should be

00:53:16.100 more like a

00:53:16.820 pamphlet.

00:53:20.700 But this

00:53:21.600 would be

00:53:21.880 useful to

00:53:22.400 train people

00:53:22.960 how to

00:53:23.300 read the

00:53:23.720 news,

00:53:24.020 right?

00:53:24.600 I think it

00:53:25.220 would be.

00:53:27.320 All right,

00:53:27.760 here's another

00:53:28.160 one that you

00:53:33.700 need to know

00:53:34.180 what is

00:53:34.520 science and

00:53:35.100 what is

00:53:35.420 not science

00:53:36.180 because a

00:53:38.360 lot of our

00:53:38.720 news and

00:53:39.380 a lot of

00:53:39.700 the politics

00:53:40.340 is based on

00:53:41.020 what we

00:53:41.500 think is

00:53:41.800 science.

00:53:43.140 So you

00:53:44.400 take climate

00:53:44.900 change.

00:53:47.680 Climate

00:53:48.120 change,

00:53:48.700 the science,

00:53:49.780 is that

00:53:50.440 CO2 is a

00:53:51.680 greenhouse gas

00:53:52.680 and you

00:53:53.580 could test

00:53:54.120 it in lots

00:53:55.000 of different

00:53:55.280 ways and

00:53:56.660 pretty much

00:53:57.240 whenever you

00:53:58.720 test it you

00:53:59.340 say, yeah,

00:54:00.200 it's a

00:54:00.480 greenhouse gas,

00:54:01.280 meaning that

00:54:02.160 if it's in

00:54:02.640 the atmosphere

00:54:03.100 it's one of

00:54:04.420 several things

00:54:05.180 that would

00:54:05.700 keep the

00:54:06.640 heat from

00:54:07.660 escaping the

00:54:08.260 earth.

00:54:08.960 So it

00:54:09.380 traps it in.

00:54:11.240 But it's

00:54:11.700 not the only

00:54:12.160 thing, clouds,

00:54:13.180 blah, blah,

00:54:13.520 blah, right?

00:54:14.560 So if

00:54:17.340 somebody says

00:54:18.020 that the

00:54:18.380 basic science

00:54:19.300 is that

00:54:20.020 CO2 is a

00:54:20.800 greenhouse

00:54:21.080 thing so it

00:54:22.060 should cause

00:54:22.560 some warming,

00:54:23.500 that would be

00:54:24.220 science.

00:54:25.000 But if

00:54:26.000 they make

00:54:26.360 a model

00:54:26.900 to project

00:54:28.120 where it

00:54:28.460 will be

00:54:28.740 in 50

00:54:29.260 years,

00:54:30.280 that is

00:54:30.960 not science.

00:54:32.400 That is

00:54:32.740 marketing,

00:54:33.780 sometimes

00:54:34.940 propaganda.

00:54:37.160 The best

00:54:38.180 it can do,

00:54:39.320 if it were

00:54:39.860 legitimate,

00:54:40.520 which it

00:54:40.820 isn't in

00:54:41.320 this case,

00:54:42.120 is tell

00:54:42.480 you the

00:54:42.920 cone of

00:54:43.420 possibilities.

00:54:45.820 But nobody

00:54:46.700 can predict

00:54:47.160 anything in

00:54:47.740 five years,

00:54:49.340 much less

00:54:49.840 50.

00:54:51.160 You can't

00:54:51.720 really predict

00:54:52.200 anything in

00:54:52.600 one year,

00:54:53.060 most of

00:54:53.380 the time.

00:54:53.540 So if

00:54:54.820 you imagine

00:54:55.360 that the

00:54:55.900 projection

00:54:56.620 models are

00:54:57.840 actually

00:54:58.280 science,

00:54:59.160 you would

00:54:59.680 be completely

00:55:00.280 misled about

00:55:01.240 what's going

00:55:01.680 on.

00:55:02.420 They're the

00:55:03.040 marketing arm

00:55:03.900 so the

00:55:04.760 people who

00:55:05.200 do science

00:55:05.900 can get

00:55:06.440 more money

00:55:06.940 and scare

00:55:08.220 you.

00:55:12.460 Sorry,

00:55:13.060 Don.

00:55:13.640 It's probably

00:55:14.240 hurting your

00:55:14.720 head.

00:55:15.220 We'll just

00:55:15.560 get rid of

00:55:15.980 you.

00:55:16.140 I need

00:55:25.480 to make

00:55:25.720 Don go

00:55:26.180 away.

00:55:28.140 Bye,

00:55:28.780 Don.

00:55:33.420 All right.

00:55:36.260 So here's

00:55:37.100 the question.

00:55:38.180 I know

00:55:38.820 that this

00:55:39.460 is a

00:55:40.060 repeat for

00:55:40.660 most of

00:55:41.040 you.

00:55:42.420 It's

00:55:42.800 slow news

00:55:43.300 day,

00:55:43.500 so trying

00:55:44.560 to make

00:55:45.140 something

00:55:45.380 useful out

00:55:46.000 of this.

00:55:46.740 But do

00:55:47.380 you think

00:55:47.680 you could

00:55:48.120 reprogram

00:55:49.300 anybody so

00:55:50.680 that their

00:55:51.000 politics was

00:55:51.680 different simply

00:55:52.560 because they

00:55:53.100 learned how to

00:55:54.360 interpret the

00:55:55.040 news?

00:55:56.720 Do you think

00:55:57.320 that's a

00:55:57.640 thing?

00:55:59.100 Or do you

00:55:59.660 think nobody

00:56:00.120 would ever

00:56:00.420 change their

00:56:00.880 mind because

00:56:01.260 they would

00:56:01.640 just look at

00:56:03.080 it and say,

00:56:03.440 oh,

00:56:03.700 this isn't

00:56:04.100 true?

00:56:07.320 Well,

00:56:07.780 what I'd

00:56:08.100 like is

00:56:09.340 here's the

00:56:10.440 ultimate

00:56:10.800 expression,

00:56:13.980 that you

00:56:14.340 could grade

00:56:15.900 any story

00:56:16.860 by these

00:56:18.780 characteristics.

00:56:21.060 So you

00:56:21.780 could say,

00:56:22.180 for example,

00:56:23.540 let's say

00:56:24.120 somebody posts

00:56:25.860 a story that's

00:56:26.760 in some

00:56:27.100 publication.

00:56:28.040 You could

00:56:28.380 leave a

00:56:28.720 comment that

00:56:30.380 just picks

00:56:31.100 out the

00:56:31.780 reasons that

00:56:33.440 make it low

00:56:34.280 confidence.

00:56:35.100 Like,

00:56:35.320 well,

00:56:35.480 it's a

00:56:35.780 non-missource,

00:56:36.640 blah,

00:56:36.780 blah,

00:56:36.860 blah.

00:56:37.260 And some

00:56:37.860 kind of thing

00:56:38.520 you could

00:56:38.820 just paste

00:56:39.320 in every

00:56:39.760 time somebody

00:56:40.220 does that.

00:56:41.040 Like a

00:56:41.500 community

00:56:41.860 notes.

00:56:42.980 So one

00:56:43.340 of the

00:56:43.460 things that

00:56:43.860 community

00:56:44.300 notes

00:56:44.720 doesn't

00:56:45.160 do is

00:56:46.480 they don't

00:56:46.780 tell you

00:56:47.080 how to

00:56:47.340 look for

00:56:48.540 problems.

00:56:49.600 They'll

00:56:49.920 just tell you

00:56:50.400 if a fact

00:56:50.880 is wrong,

00:56:51.920 which is

00:56:52.300 useful.

00:56:53.180 But it

00:56:53.680 doesn't tell

00:56:54.080 you stuff

00:56:54.460 like,

00:56:55.460 well,

00:56:55.760 an anonymous

00:56:56.300 source should

00:56:56.860 not be

00:56:57.220 believed.

00:56:59.040 They might

00:56:59.560 just tell you

00:57:00.080 there is or

00:57:00.560 is not an

00:57:01.080 anonymous

00:57:01.400 source,

00:57:02.040 or that it

00:57:03.300 was or was

00:57:03.920 reported that

00:57:04.600 there was

00:57:04.840 one.

00:57:08.520 How do

00:57:11.360 we get

00:57:11.600 afraid of

00:57:12.140 greenhouses?

00:57:21.660 People who

00:57:22.320 think I

00:57:22.640 have a

00:57:22.920 thin skin.

00:57:25.640 That's the

00:57:26.320 NPC take.

00:57:28.440 You all

00:57:28.720 got a

00:57:29.080 frame?

00:57:29.540 You got a

00:57:30.100 If anybody

00:57:31.520 doesn't like

00:57:32.140 anything,

00:57:33.040 they're

00:57:33.520 blamed of

00:57:34.220 having a

00:57:34.680 thin skin.

00:57:37.760 That's the

00:57:38.520 NPC attack.

00:57:39.760 The NPCs

00:57:40.540 say you're

00:57:40.900 a flip-flopper,

00:57:42.480 you're a

00:57:42.900 fence-sitter,

00:57:44.720 and you

00:57:46.340 have thin

00:57:46.960 skin.

00:57:49.940 Those are

00:57:50.720 all the

00:57:51.120 lowest level

00:57:52.020 of analytical

00:57:52.920 ability.

00:57:57.060 Yeah.

00:57:58.380 Wrinkly skin, 1.00

00:57:59.260 maybe.

00:58:00.400 Foreskin,

00:58:01.240 well,

00:58:01.980 that's another

00:58:02.800 story.

00:58:07.020 So here's

00:58:07.920 what we

00:58:08.280 might need

00:58:08.720 to do.

00:58:10.100 If we

00:58:11.040 end up

00:58:11.380 putting on

00:58:11.860 a mask

00:58:12.940 rebellion,

00:58:14.280 which I

00:58:15.000 think is

00:58:15.340 likely,

00:58:16.000 we're going

00:58:16.480 to have

00:58:16.700 to find

00:58:17.360 groups of

00:58:18.120 people who

00:58:18.640 want to

00:58:19.140 go into

00:58:19.660 places at

00:58:20.360 the same

00:58:20.720 time.

00:58:22.120 So in

00:58:22.440 other

00:58:22.620 words,

00:58:24.080 if you

00:58:24.620 could find

00:58:25.640 a way to

00:58:25.980 agree with

00:58:26.560 your

00:58:26.860 anti-mask

00:58:28.060 neighbors,

00:58:29.320 that you're

00:58:29.840 all going

00:58:30.120 to go

00:58:30.320 grocery

00:58:30.720 shopping

00:58:31.140 between

00:58:31.720 7 and

00:58:32.940 8 p.m.,

00:58:34.220 and then you

00:58:34.700 just show up

00:58:35.360 in masks

00:58:35.760 without masks,

00:58:37.720 and nobody's

00:58:38.260 going to bother

00:58:38.660 you if there

00:58:39.100 are enough

00:58:39.380 of you.

00:58:40.020 So you have

00:58:40.400 to go in

00:58:40.740 numbers.

00:58:41.940 The problem

00:58:42.540 is if you go

00:58:43.160 as a onesie,

00:58:44.020 they'll kick

00:58:44.360 you out.

00:58:44.780 basically a

00:58:53.300 flash mob.

00:58:54.800 So you

00:58:55.040 want to

00:58:55.220 just break

00:58:55.760 everybody you

00:58:56.300 can break

00:58:56.840 right away.

00:58:58.160 But the

00:58:58.860 cleverness of

00:58:59.840 how it's

00:59:00.480 being rolled

00:59:01.000 out is

00:59:02.440 pretty good

00:59:02.960 because they're

00:59:03.480 making sure

00:59:04.420 it's the

00:59:04.700 people you

00:59:05.080 don't want

00:59:05.540 to boycott.

00:59:07.420 So first

00:59:07.840 it'll be

00:59:08.120 medical

00:59:08.740 professionals,

00:59:10.620 and you

00:59:11.060 saw me,

00:59:11.740 I'm not

00:59:14.160 going to

00:59:14.380 attack

00:59:14.600 medical

00:59:15.020 professionals.

00:59:16.740 I'm just

00:59:17.320 not going

00:59:17.660 to do it.

00:59:18.720 So you

00:59:19.460 might not

00:59:21.940 like to

00:59:22.260 hear this,

00:59:23.020 but if my

00:59:23.780 health care

00:59:24.340 provider

00:59:24.900 wants me

00:59:26.380 to wear

00:59:26.680 a mask

00:59:27.140 inside a

00:59:27.860 health care

00:59:28.380 facility,

00:59:29.680 I'm not

00:59:30.880 going to

00:59:31.080 second guess

00:59:31.660 them.

00:59:33.520 I don't

00:59:34.460 think it's

00:59:34.960 necessary,

00:59:35.940 especially if

00:59:36.560 I don't

00:59:36.780 have symptoms,

00:59:37.740 because the

00:59:38.180 whole point

00:59:38.680 is you're

00:59:39.880 supposed to

00:59:40.180 wear the

00:59:40.420 mask if

00:59:40.860 you're the

00:59:41.040 one who

00:59:41.240 has the

00:59:41.520 symptoms,

00:59:42.240 but now

00:59:43.160 the latest

00:59:43.600 information is

00:59:44.440 that asymptomatic

00:59:45.420 spreading was

00:59:46.740 basically zero.

00:59:49.080 It was people

00:59:49.940 with symptoms.

00:59:51.380 So my

00:59:52.200 common sense

00:59:52.820 tells me I

00:59:53.900 wouldn't need

00:59:54.280 a mask in

00:59:54.840 a medical

00:59:55.200 facility,

00:59:55.920 but that's

00:59:56.440 not where

00:59:56.800 I'd pick

00:59:57.560 a fight.

00:59:58.640 I don't

00:59:59.200 think the

00:59:59.700 nurses and

01:00:00.280 doctors need

01:00:01.820 that kind

01:00:02.240 of bullshit

01:00:02.620 in their

01:00:03.020 lives,

01:00:03.840 like let

01:00:04.360 them do

01:00:04.640 what they

01:00:04.900 can.

01:00:05.320 So I'll

01:00:05.780 put up

01:00:06.080 with that

01:00:06.360 annoyance,

01:00:07.100 and I

01:00:07.420 think the

01:00:08.040 government

01:00:08.340 knows that.

01:00:09.820 They know

01:00:10.220 that if

01:00:10.520 your doctor

01:00:11.000 requires it,

01:00:11.720 you're going

01:00:12.000 to fold,

01:00:13.420 because that's

01:00:13.860 not the

01:00:14.180 fight you

01:00:14.500 want to

01:00:14.680 have.

01:00:15.140 Then they're

01:00:15.600 going to go

01:00:16.020 for the

01:00:16.820 airlines,

01:00:18.180 and the

01:00:18.540 airlines will

01:00:19.020 say, hey,

01:00:19.460 it wasn't our

01:00:19.980 decision.

01:00:21.020 The government

01:00:21.420 just made us

01:00:22.000 do it.

01:00:22.900 What choice

01:00:23.500 do we have?

01:00:24.280 You'd be like,

01:00:24.760 oh, airlines,

01:00:25.640 airlines, oh, I

01:00:27.280 guess it's not

01:00:27.720 really your

01:00:28.160 fault.

01:00:30.020 So, and

01:00:31.260 they'll probably

01:00:31.920 be in the

01:00:32.320 military, right?

01:00:33.560 And I'll be

01:00:33.920 like, oh, I

01:00:34.840 can't really

01:00:35.220 boycott the

01:00:35.960 military.

01:00:37.360 So they're

01:00:38.460 going to sneak

01:00:38.960 it in all the

01:00:39.640 places that you

01:00:40.300 can't boycott,

01:00:41.740 and then they're

01:00:42.720 going to start

01:00:43.200 threatening the

01:00:43.860 big companies,

01:00:45.080 you know, with

01:00:45.620 all kinds of

01:00:46.260 things.

01:00:46.820 But at some

01:00:47.940 point, you're

01:00:48.520 going to have

01:00:48.700 to destroy a

01:00:49.440 big entity, or

01:00:51.020 more.

01:00:52.200 So you're

01:00:52.660 going to have

01:00:52.800 to take out

01:00:53.240 like a whole

01:00:53.680 Fortune 500

01:00:54.440 company.

01:00:55.300 You're just

01:00:55.660 going to bring

01:00:56.100 some company

01:00:56.640 to its knees,

01:00:57.420 totally.

01:00:58.440 But it won't

01:00:59.160 be until it's

01:00:59.740 some capitalistic

01:01:02.680 free market

01:01:03.240 company that

01:01:03.900 gets involved.

01:01:05.220 But it has

01:01:06.380 to be brutal.

01:01:08.560 We have to

01:01:09.200 actually destroy

01:01:10.100 a corporation

01:01:11.660 that doesn't

01:01:12.800 deserve it.

01:01:15.240 Right?

01:01:15.800 So when we

01:01:17.320 do it, and

01:01:17.900 it probably

01:01:18.240 will take down

01:01:19.180 a big company,

01:01:20.280 it has to be

01:01:20.840 a company

01:01:21.240 that it

01:01:22.840 doesn't matter

01:01:23.360 if they

01:01:23.620 deserve it,

01:01:24.500 and it

01:01:24.700 doesn't matter

01:01:25.080 how much

01:01:25.360 you like

01:01:25.700 them, and

01:01:26.920 it doesn't

01:01:27.180 matter how

01:01:27.480 much you

01:01:27.700 like their

01:01:28.020 products, it

01:01:28.880 doesn't matter

01:01:29.320 if your

01:01:29.700 brother works

01:01:30.380 for the

01:01:30.640 company, you

01:01:31.720 just got to

01:01:32.080 take them

01:01:32.320 out of

01:01:32.480 business.

01:01:33.940 Because

01:01:34.340 that's war.

01:01:37.260 War has 0.80

01:01:37.840 casualties.

01:01:38.940 And this

01:01:39.260 would definitely

01:01:39.640 be a war,

01:01:40.240 in my opinion.

01:01:45.540 And I

01:01:46.100 also think

01:01:46.800 that's the

01:01:47.280 point where

01:01:47.680 I would lose

01:01:48.240 all allegiance

01:01:49.060 to America,

01:01:49.920 basically.

01:01:50.260 I mean, I

01:01:52.000 wouldn't be a

01:01:52.420 traitor, but

01:01:53.040 it would be

01:01:55.180 hard to love

01:01:55.680 my country if

01:01:56.580 they make me

01:01:57.000 put a mask

01:01:57.520 on again, or

01:01:58.240 try.

01:02:00.260 That would be

01:02:00.900 a hard stretch

01:02:01.960 for me.

01:02:05.860 All right,

01:02:06.400 that's all I

01:02:06.780 got for you

01:02:07.180 today, YouTube.

01:02:08.360 Thanks for

01:02:08.720 joining.

01:02:09.660 Maybe the

01:02:10.100 news will be

01:02:10.500 more interesting

01:02:11.020 tomorrow.

01:02:11.420 Bye for now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 08, 2023

Episode 2225 Scott Adams： Headlines, Bulging Veins And My Guide To Understanding News

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