Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2231 Scott Adams： I Explain Why Learning Magic Tricks Helps You Understand Today's News

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do-do, ra-pa-pa-pa. 1.00

00:00:04.440 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to Coffee with Scott Adams.

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00:00:37.940 Go.

00:00:42.560 Ah.

00:00:44.200 Very good.

00:00:46.180 Very good.

00:00:46.980 Well, we've got news.

00:00:48.820 Would you like hypocrisy news first?

00:00:52.500 Or lying weasel news?

00:00:57.120 Let's see.

00:00:57.720 Let's start with hypocrisy news.

00:01:00.840 Corey DeAngelis is having a good week.

00:01:03.980 You might know him as a school choice evangelist.

00:01:07.920 He's often in the news.

00:01:10.620 And he tweets that the CNN host, I think it was Abby Phillips,

00:01:15.420 called out the Chicago Teachers Union boss for sending her own son to a private school.

00:01:25.880 So one of the big advocates for public schools is sending one of her three kids to a private school. 0.65

00:01:32.860 Do you know why?

00:01:34.000 Do you know why?

00:01:35.320 Reasons.

00:01:36.660 Yeah.

00:01:37.520 No, it's okay because she has reasons.

00:01:40.680 If you have reasons,

00:01:43.320 yeah, I don't see a problem here.

00:01:48.160 She's a big advocate for not sending people to...

00:01:51.560 She's an advocate against the school choice,

00:01:55.220 but she took advantage of it because of reasons. 0.92

00:01:59.260 She had reasons.

00:02:01.520 Do you know what the reasons were?

00:02:04.400 Public school wasn't good enough.

00:02:05.900 So that's exactly why.

00:02:08.220 That's why she says you should fund the public schools better. 0.95

00:02:13.800 Because people like her, they're going to have no choice but to send their kids to private schools. 1.00

00:02:19.420 And how wrong is that?

00:02:21.400 Yes, there are no honest people when it comes to public school.

00:02:24.440 Here's a little more hypocrisy.

00:02:29.880 Steve Guest tweeted this out.

00:02:32.900 He said, or posted it.

00:02:34.960 I like to call it posting.

00:02:37.200 One year ago today, Joe Biden called the Inflation Reduction Act,

00:02:41.720 quote,

00:02:42.380 the single most important legislation passed in the Congress to combat inflation.

00:02:48.100 Wow.

00:02:48.740 That's quite an endorsement of his own act.

00:02:50.600 The single most important legislation passed in Congress to combat inflation.

00:02:56.440 So that's what he said a year ago.

00:02:58.580 What's he say today?

00:03:00.220 A month ago?

00:03:01.480 He said, quote,

00:03:03.180 I wish I hadn't called it that.

00:03:05.120 It has less to do with reducing inflation.

00:03:09.720 So he just waits a year.

00:03:12.040 And he says, ah, that wasn't really an inflation reduction sort of a thing.

00:03:16.240 Did you ever think it was?

00:03:17.320 I don't even know why you thought that.

00:03:18.620 Was it because I insisted so hard that it was the most important inflation reduction thing of all time?

00:03:24.780 No, it wasn't really about that.

00:03:27.340 The good news is 100% of the public that was not on the left understood it was bullshit from the start.

00:03:35.880 All right, here's my favorite story that I can't believe this is true.

00:03:43.280 But apparently the Dove Soap Company, they have sort of an influencer situation, sort of like Bud Light.

00:03:51.120 And one of the influencers they're bringing into their stable of influencers is a 22-year-old woman who is famous for having once falsely accused somebody of racism,

00:04:10.200 which basically ruined that person's life.

00:04:14.080 So she's known, she's first famous as being a famous influencer for ruining somebody's life over a false accusation. 1.00

00:04:23.580 Then she says she may have heard wrong.

00:04:25.340 She may have heard it wrong.

00:04:27.580 Yep.

00:04:28.280 Ruined somebody's life.

00:04:30.100 And thought it was pretty funny when the life was getting ruined.

00:04:32.820 But, you know, maybe heard it wrong.

00:04:35.580 But now you should know that she looks to weigh maybe 400 pounds or so. 1.00

00:04:42.140 And she was a black activist for, I guess, Black Lives Matter.

00:04:48.160 But now she's one of their soap influencers. 0.99

00:04:53.320 So she'll be selling you some soap. 0.99

00:04:55.020 And it's part of a larger Dove campaign called Fat Liberation.

00:05:02.820 A campaign to end the stigma of being overweight.

00:05:06.040 Well, I don't use that word fat because I don't like to do fat shaming.

00:05:10.420 Or at least I'm trying not to use it.

00:05:13.140 It's almost impossible to never use that word.

00:05:16.040 But, you know, I kind of try not to use it because it's not my first choice.

00:05:19.500 Because I don't believe in free will, so I don't believe that people, you know, people's weight is essentially a choice.

00:05:26.200 I think some people just like food more than other people.

00:05:29.400 And that's the whole story.

00:05:30.360 So if I like food as much as she does, I would weigh as much as she does.

00:05:35.740 But luckily I don't.

00:05:38.100 So I just don't have that issue.

00:05:41.740 However, some people are saying, is this going to be one of those Bud Light moments

00:05:47.640 where somebody picked exactly the wrong person to promote their brand?

00:05:53.700 Or will it be a brilliant move?

00:05:56.620 A brilliant move.

00:05:58.600 Well, I think it might be brilliant, actually.

00:06:02.580 Because who uses more soap than overweight people? 0.96

00:06:07.560 Am I right?

00:06:09.620 You know, it seems like a simple math problem.

00:06:12.480 You're using X amount of soap to cover X amount of body skin.

00:06:17.280 I mean, the amount of soap that it takes me to wash up in the morning.

00:06:23.900 And by the way, I use Dove soap.

00:06:28.460 So it's actually true.

00:06:30.160 I use a body soap that's Dove.

00:06:33.420 And the total amount that I can use, I can get by with one squirt.

00:06:40.920 Like, I can do my whole body with one.

00:06:44.480 I don't have that much real estate.

00:06:46.740 I can get it all.

00:06:48.780 Maybe two squirts. 0.90

00:06:50.700 But I would imagine that this influencer,

00:06:53.620 I don't want to be cruel.

00:06:55.940 I'm just doing the math.

00:06:57.140 It looks like it's probably a six squirt situation.

00:07:02.060 Six squirt situation. 1.00

00:07:04.360 So if Dove can sell three to six times more soap

00:07:10.700 by bringing in the people with more area to cover,

00:07:16.760 it could be a brilliant move.

00:07:19.720 Possibly brilliant.

00:07:21.180 All right.

00:07:21.420 Our next category will be

00:07:26.780 people who don't know how magic tricks are done.

00:07:31.420 We'll get to, I'll explain that in a minute.

00:07:33.540 But before I do that,

00:07:35.300 allow me to read a tweet from Ben Shapiro.

00:07:39.440 He's talking about how the left says,

00:07:41.260 there's no evidence that Joe is involved

00:07:42.960 or benefited from Hunter's corrupt business arrangement.

00:07:46.180 No, there's no evidence.

00:07:47.160 No evidence.

00:07:48.360 Ben Shapiro agrees.

00:07:50.020 There's no evidence for that.

00:07:51.420 Well, unless, as he points out,

00:07:53.520 you count the witness testimony from Devin Archer.

00:07:57.000 But otherwise, no evidence.

00:07:59.640 No evidence except that Devin Archer thing.

00:08:01.860 Well, unless you count the testimony from Tony Bobulinski.

00:08:06.060 But besides Bobulinski and Devin Archer,

00:08:09.420 two people with direct knowledge who agree with each other,

00:08:14.460 aside from that, there's no actual evidence

00:08:17.220 that Joe Biden was involved in any way.

00:08:19.400 Well, unless you look at the WhatsApp messages

00:08:22.000 from Hunter Biden's computer.

00:08:24.460 But besides the WhatsApp and Tony Bobulinski and Devin Archer,

00:08:28.780 there's nothing.

00:08:29.980 There's basically just nothing.

00:08:33.380 Unless you count with Joe Biden's statement

00:08:35.040 about leveraging the ouster of Viktor Shokin in Ukraine

00:08:37.360 or the unexplained income to Joe Biden

00:08:39.260 or a lifetime of corruption benefiting his family from Joe Biden.

00:08:41.760 But basically nothing is what I'm saying.

00:08:49.360 So what do you do if you're CNN

00:08:55.380 and you're trying to protect the narrative

00:08:57.540 and it's really super, super obvious that evidence exists,

00:09:03.420 but you need to make it sound like it isn't.

00:09:07.820 It doesn't exist.

00:09:09.320 Who do you call?

00:09:11.020 Well, I would call John Avalon

00:09:14.060 and Stephen Collinson.

00:09:17.700 I would call my superstars of opinion.

00:09:21.140 And if you want to know how to understand the news,

00:09:25.700 there's some names you should become familiar with

00:09:28.040 because they're like this glaring signal of something.

00:09:32.560 If you need to call Stephen Collinson

00:09:35.340 and John Avalon on the same day,

00:09:37.740 it's a critical situation.

00:09:41.100 So they're the ones who make the news disappear.

00:09:44.540 The news people are the ones that present it to you

00:09:46.940 and then the opinion people are the ones

00:09:48.880 that take it away from you.

00:09:50.560 So they're the,

00:09:52.060 let's make this news disappear a little bit.

00:09:55.620 Kind of inconvenient news.

00:09:57.360 Maybe if the news disappeared,

00:09:59.300 things would be a little bit better.

00:10:00.720 How about it make it disappear?

00:10:02.940 So here are some things that John Avalon says.

00:10:06.980 He says, let's be clear.

00:10:09.780 Let me ask you,

00:10:11.320 have you noticed that when people say let's be clear,

00:10:14.680 everything that follows is the most ridiculous bullshit

00:10:17.460 you've ever heard in your life?

00:10:21.140 Do you know who always says that?

00:10:22.860 The spokesperson, Corinne Jean-Pierre.

00:10:26.080 We've been very clear.

00:10:27.740 We've been very clear on this.

00:10:29.540 But what did you say exactly?

00:10:31.060 We've been very clear.

00:10:32.400 Been very clear.

00:10:33.200 We've been over it.

00:10:34.320 We've been over it and it's very clear.

00:10:36.580 Right, but I didn't actually hear you say anything.

00:10:39.760 It's very clear.

00:10:43.700 We've been over it.

00:10:44.900 We've been over it and it's clear.

00:10:47.260 How much more,

00:10:48.180 how much more can I say

00:10:49.640 that we've been over it

00:10:51.360 and it's clear?

00:10:54.540 Did I mention,

00:10:56.320 in addition to it's clear,

00:10:57.980 that we've already been over this?

00:11:01.700 Are you getting it now,

00:11:02.900 that it's clear and we've been over it?

00:11:04.360 So,

00:11:06.580 John Avalon says,

00:11:08.340 let's be clear.

00:11:09.660 This baseless impeachment inquiry,

00:11:12.360 huh,

00:11:13.800 baseless,

00:11:15.380 baseless.

00:11:17.700 Witness testimony from Devin Archer,

00:11:19.380 statements from Tony Bobulinski,

00:11:20.700 text from Hunter Biden's computer,

00:11:21.980 WhatsApp from Hunter Biden's computer,

00:11:23.460 Joe Biden's statements on leveraging

00:11:24.640 the ouster of Victor's joke

00:11:26.040 and unexplained income to Joe Biden

00:11:27.460 and a lifetime of corruption

00:11:28.320 benefiting his family from Joe Biden.

00:11:29.740 But it's baseless,

00:11:34.000 baseless inquiry.

00:11:35.380 It's part of an elaborate revenge fantasy.

00:11:38.100 Wow.

00:11:39.260 Wow.

00:11:40.220 John Avalon can actually read the minds

00:11:42.700 of the people involved

00:11:44.580 and he doesn't like what he's seeing in there,

00:11:47.360 let me tell you.

00:11:48.300 There's a revenge fantasy

00:11:49.720 floating around in those skulls.

00:11:52.280 Revenge.

00:11:53.400 Well, that's no good.

00:11:55.160 We can't have that.

00:11:56.820 No, no revenge fantasies.

00:11:58.400 So I'm totally on board, John Avalon.

00:12:00.960 Let's have no revenge fantasies.

00:12:04.060 Wait.

00:12:05.860 I'm looking in the minds

00:12:07.120 of the same people

00:12:08.000 with those revenge fantasies.

00:12:10.120 Oh, there's more in there.

00:12:11.620 Oh, God.

00:12:12.260 Oh, God.

00:12:13.460 They hate dogs.

00:12:14.940 Oh, my God.

00:12:16.160 They're monsters.

00:12:17.280 What else?

00:12:18.040 What else?

00:12:19.700 Oh, my God.

00:12:21.540 They...

00:12:21.940 Oh, no.

00:12:23.420 Oh, no.

00:12:24.280 They're going to buy more dove soap.

00:12:26.480 Oh, God.

00:12:28.320 Oh, God.

00:12:30.100 Yeah, there's lots of bad stuff in there.

00:12:32.680 So John Avalon,

00:12:33.660 I think he's on to something.

00:12:35.340 If you would just use your powers

00:12:36.860 of mind reading the way he has,

00:12:38.980 you can see some bad, bad stuff

00:12:41.120 in those heads.

00:12:43.020 All right, he says,

00:12:43.640 it's designed to blur the difference

00:12:46.100 between Trump,

00:12:47.760 who has been indicted four times.

00:12:51.620 Indicted four times,

00:12:52.720 there's evidence of the wrongdoing.

00:12:54.220 Am I right?

00:12:55.220 How could you possibly be indicted

00:12:57.100 four times

00:12:59.020 by Democrats?

00:13:01.080 By Democrats.

00:13:01.700 How could that possibly happen

00:13:03.500 unless you're really guilty

00:13:05.880 of horrible, horrible...

00:13:07.620 Four times.

00:13:08.960 Have I mentioned

00:13:09.540 how many indictments there are?

00:13:10.760 You know, two indictments,

00:13:12.380 you could say.

00:13:13.760 Well, it's just because

00:13:14.600 Democrats are making up indictments.

00:13:16.740 But if you have four indictments,

00:13:18.980 suddenly your hypothesis

00:13:20.380 that Democrats are making up bullshit

00:13:22.440 to keep them out of office,

00:13:23.780 it all falls apart

00:13:24.840 because there's four of them now.

00:13:26.620 Well, how could you explain it?

00:13:30.780 Well, John Avalon goes on.

00:13:34.160 So Trump has been indicted four times,

00:13:36.740 and Biden, ahead of the 2024...

00:13:38.760 Yeah, you would not want to compare

00:13:41.720 four politically-driven indictments.

00:13:47.540 You cannot compare that

00:13:49.120 to a lifetime of criminal activity

00:13:52.140 that seems quite clear.

00:13:55.600 Don't compare them.

00:13:59.360 And John goes on.

00:14:00.480 He says,

00:14:00.760 rather than helping Republicans politically...

00:14:02.760 Oh, oh.

00:14:05.040 So now he's going to inform us

00:14:07.200 how Republicans will respond to this.

00:14:11.120 Because if you want to know

00:14:12.340 how a Republican's going to act

00:14:13.900 and think,

00:14:15.260 you need to talk to the guy

00:14:17.120 who can look directly in their heads

00:14:18.620 and see all the evil in there.

00:14:20.300 And John Avalon could do that.

00:14:22.460 Because, as I said,

00:14:23.360 he's reading minds,

00:14:24.360 he sees this revenge plot

00:14:26.740 in these minds,

00:14:27.880 and now he's going to read

00:14:28.920 their mind a little further

00:14:29.820 and tell you how they're going to act.

00:14:31.600 So he says,

00:14:33.000 rather than helping Republicans politically,

00:14:35.480 it will provide

00:14:36.520 just the latest example

00:14:38.140 of overreach

00:14:39.600 leading to back...

00:14:40.840 Wait, which is the overreach?

00:14:43.960 Or he mentioned

00:14:44.740 Trump's four indictments,

00:14:47.880 but that's not the overreach.

00:14:51.460 No, the overreach

00:14:52.360 is that somebody would look into

00:14:54.000 an obvious criminal enterprise.

00:14:56.720 But the four indictments?

00:15:00.540 Just right.

00:15:02.280 No overreach,

00:15:03.300 just the amount of reach.

00:15:05.540 Right?

00:15:06.260 Now, if this feels like a reach-around,

00:15:09.680 well, you're not alone.

00:15:11.080 I feel like I'm getting a handjob

00:15:12.500 from John Avalon

00:15:13.380 the further I read.

00:15:15.000 I believe I can reach completion

00:15:16.640 if I finish this paragraph.

00:15:18.600 You won't want to see this.

00:15:19.800 So, he says,

00:15:23.120 it will provide the latest example

00:15:24.360 of overreach

00:15:25.160 leading to backlash.

00:15:26.900 Oh, yeah.

00:15:28.160 Yeah.

00:15:28.800 You know,

00:15:29.380 when I talk to Republicans,

00:15:30.900 you know what they always say to me?

00:15:32.700 I'm worried about the overreach

00:15:34.680 of the...

00:15:36.800 of the impeachment inquiry.

00:15:43.420 That happens to you, too.

00:15:44.860 Are you sick of it?

00:15:45.980 Every time I go somewhere,

00:15:47.160 some Republican's like,

00:15:48.440 I am so sick of this overreach

00:15:50.360 trying to get Biden.

00:15:52.760 Like, I'm just going to vote

00:15:54.120 for a Democrat

00:15:55.120 because I hate all the overreach.

00:15:58.840 And then, John, it says,

00:16:00.160 a tit-for-tat impeachment vote

00:16:01.820 is not going to appeal

00:16:03.340 to swing voters

00:16:04.280 in swing districts.

00:16:05.400 It will look like

00:16:07.040 hyper-partisan pantomime

00:16:09.360 that it is.

00:16:10.600 An exercise in putting party

00:16:12.480 over a country.

00:16:14.860 Oh.

00:16:16.960 Oh.

00:16:18.040 So, the four indictments

00:16:19.940 were not that.

00:16:21.480 They were just justice.

00:16:23.460 That's just justice.

00:16:24.640 But this impeachment stuff,

00:16:27.480 very unlike the impeachments

00:16:29.400 against Trump,

00:16:30.320 which were completely legitimate,

00:16:32.080 as they tell you,

00:16:33.500 these are some kind of

00:16:34.840 weird hyper-partisan pantomime.

00:16:37.620 It's a hyper-partisan pantomime,

00:16:40.000 which I love to say,

00:16:41.260 hyper-partisan pantomime.

00:16:42.980 You can say it at home.

00:16:44.540 Say it with me.

00:16:45.440 Hyper-partisan pantomime.

00:16:47.680 It's a good sentence.

00:16:50.040 It's an exercise

00:16:51.040 in putting party over a country.

00:16:53.740 Well, now,

00:16:54.300 that's something you don't expect

00:16:55.540 from Congress, do you?

00:16:57.660 That somebody would do something

00:16:58.700 like purely political.

00:16:59.840 God, no.

00:17:03.160 Stephen Cullinanson,

00:17:04.680 also running for CNN,

00:17:07.160 he says,

00:17:07.960 the key question

00:17:08.620 leading into the third

00:17:09.720 impeachment effort

00:17:10.700 in three and a half years

00:17:12.000 should be whether

00:17:13.180 this attempt

00:17:13.860 to effectively reverse

00:17:15.600 a Democratic election

00:17:17.160 by asking

00:17:18.680 Biden is justified.

00:17:20.700 Uh-oh.

00:17:21.520 You know,

00:17:21.840 I had not thought of it

00:17:22.580 this way.

00:17:23.500 That this is just

00:17:24.920 another attempt

00:17:25.720 by the Republicans

00:17:26.600 to overthrow

00:17:27.520 the legitimate government.

00:17:30.260 First,

00:17:30.860 it was January 6th.

00:17:33.040 And now,

00:17:34.200 and now this.

00:17:35.580 My God,

00:17:36.220 it's like one thing

00:17:36.940 after another

00:17:37.460 trying to overthrow

00:17:38.360 these totally

00:17:39.600 legitimately elected people.

00:17:43.560 And Stephen says,

00:17:45.120 the GOP failure

00:17:46.200 so far to provide

00:17:47.400 much more than innuendo

00:17:49.180 that Biden corruptly

00:17:52.320 uses power

00:17:52.840 while vice president

00:17:53.540 to profit from

00:17:54.160 his son's business ventures

00:17:55.280 suggests it is

00:17:56.580 not.

00:17:58.220 Suggested is not.

00:17:59.740 Yeah,

00:18:00.100 because really

00:18:00.800 all the GOP has

00:18:02.120 is innuendo.

00:18:04.560 That's all they got.

00:18:06.080 Just a bunch

00:18:06.600 of innuendo.

00:18:07.500 I'm sorry.

00:18:08.820 I'm sorry,

00:18:09.600 Ben Shapiro,

00:18:10.200 if you think

00:18:10.740 any of this is real.

00:18:12.280 So get away

00:18:12.820 from us

00:18:13.920 with your innuendo

00:18:14.920 such as

00:18:16.180 the witness testimony

00:18:17.100 of Ivan Darcher,

00:18:18.020 the statements

00:18:18.380 from Tony Popolinski,

00:18:19.440 the text from

00:18:19.860 Hunter Biden's computer,

00:18:20.760 the WhatsApp from

00:18:21.300 Hunter Biden's computer,

00:18:22.380 Joe Biden's statements

00:18:23.020 on leveraging

00:18:23.580 the officer of

00:18:24.100 Victor Chuck

00:18:24.660 in a lifetime of corruption.

00:18:25.600 Benefiting his family

00:18:27.320 from Joe Biden.

00:18:29.680 I call that

00:18:30.580 innuendo.

00:18:32.460 In one end

00:18:33.140 and out the other.

00:18:34.940 So,

00:18:35.660 once you understand

00:18:36.900 who John Adlon is

00:18:38.420 and who Stephen

00:18:39.120 Collinson is,

00:18:40.620 you understand

00:18:41.420 that the news

00:18:42.540 disappears.

00:18:44.160 They take the news

00:18:45.140 and they make it disappear.

00:18:46.760 So here they're

00:18:47.440 disappearing

00:18:48.020 any evidence

00:18:49.660 that the Bidens

00:18:50.420 were up to anything

00:18:51.280 suspicious.

00:18:52.060 just making it

00:18:54.220 disappear.

00:18:55.180 Well,

00:18:55.540 we'll just talk

00:18:56.220 until you don't

00:18:56.780 notice.

00:18:59.900 I saw Bill Maher

00:19:01.420 appeared on

00:19:02.300 Ari Melber's show

00:19:03.960 on MSNBC

00:19:04.920 and even Bill Maher

00:19:07.420 is willing to say

00:19:08.260 that the Biden stuff,

00:19:10.440 I think he said,

00:19:11.160 stinks to high heaven.

00:19:12.880 That it looks like

00:19:13.980 obvious corruption.

00:19:16.660 But,

00:19:17.640 before you say to me,

00:19:19.340 wow,

00:19:19.660 he's turning into

00:19:20.280 a Republican.

00:19:21.140 Not so fast.

00:19:22.660 Because Bill Maher

00:19:23.440 points out

00:19:24.000 that although

00:19:25.060 the Biden family

00:19:25.900 seems to be

00:19:26.620 quite obviously

00:19:27.360 a corrupt enterprise

00:19:28.560 and has been

00:19:29.280 for a long time,

00:19:30.780 that that pales

00:19:31.600 in comparison,

00:19:32.380 pales in comparison

00:19:33.340 to the things

00:19:34.900 that Trump's done.

00:19:36.900 I mean,

00:19:37.140 let's list some

00:19:37.700 of the things

00:19:38.160 Trump did.

00:19:39.940 For example,

00:19:41.320 there's the imaginary

00:19:42.220 calling people

00:19:43.340 fine people,

00:19:44.960 calling the races

00:19:45.580 fine people.

00:19:46.300 Imaginary,

00:19:47.180 but he did

00:19:47.880 the imaginary thing.

00:19:49.160 He imaginarily

00:19:50.220 recommended

00:19:51.720 drinking bleach

00:19:52.780 and he imaginarily

00:19:54.960 tried to overthrow

00:19:55.780 the country

00:19:56.280 on January 6th.

00:19:57.740 So if you compare

00:19:58.720 the things

00:19:59.180 that you purely

00:19:59.980 imagine Trump did,

00:20:01.800 way,

00:20:02.880 way worse

00:20:03.580 than the things

00:20:04.740 you can obviously

00:20:05.600 see with your own eyes

00:20:06.780 that Biden did.

00:20:10.580 So,

00:20:11.380 you've got to

00:20:12.120 weigh those things

00:20:12.920 and it's kind of a tie.

00:20:15.120 So if you weigh

00:20:16.160 your imagination

00:20:16.940 of things

00:20:17.700 with the things

00:20:18.720 that are obvious

00:20:19.320 and everybody

00:20:19.760 can see with

00:20:20.360 their own eyes,

00:20:21.560 they're about a tie.

00:20:23.140 So you don't want

00:20:23.760 to jump too quickly

00:20:24.600 and say that you

00:20:25.280 like Trump

00:20:25.940 when there's so many

00:20:27.360 imaginary things

00:20:28.140 that he's done.

00:20:29.580 I mean,

00:20:29.920 Trump has done

00:20:30.400 more imaginary

00:20:31.220 things that you

00:20:32.780 don't like

00:20:33.420 than anybody

00:20:34.180 I've ever witnessed.

00:20:35.160 I mean,

00:20:36.120 he's like the worst

00:20:37.580 when it comes to

00:20:38.660 things that didn't

00:20:39.340 happen.

00:20:40.320 He can do

00:20:41.240 more bad things

00:20:42.400 that didn't actually

00:20:43.160 happen in reality

00:20:43.960 than anybody I know.

00:20:45.300 I mean,

00:20:45.560 he's just one bad thing

00:20:46.780 that you imagine

00:20:47.440 after another.

00:20:48.620 And that's got to be

00:20:49.740 factored in.

00:20:53.260 Well,

00:20:53.820 Paul Krugman

00:20:54.600 was talking to

00:20:56.140 Christiane Amanpour

00:20:57.140 and he reminds us

00:21:00.100 that we are,

00:21:01.400 for some reason,

00:21:02.260 and it's mysterious,

00:21:03.940 he's a little confused,

00:21:05.520 he doesn't know

00:21:05.960 why,

00:21:06.220 he admits.

00:21:07.180 He doesn't know

00:21:07.860 why this is the case,

00:21:08.680 but he says,

00:21:09.300 quote,

00:21:10.060 the economic data

00:21:11.240 have been

00:21:11.740 surreally good.

00:21:13.960 Even optimists

00:21:15.060 are just stunned.

00:21:17.640 So why do polls

00:21:18.800 show that most

00:21:19.320 Americans don't think 1.00

00:21:20.320 the economy

00:21:20.780 is doing well?

00:21:22.400 He says,

00:21:23.180 quote,

00:21:24.260 there's a really

00:21:24.860 profound and

00:21:25.840 peculiar disconnect

00:21:27.080 going on.

00:21:29.860 So he went on

00:21:30.860 to mention

00:21:31.680 all the things

00:21:32.240 that are doing well,

00:21:34.180 better than people

00:21:34.960 expected.

00:21:35.700 So the employment

00:21:37.020 rate,

00:21:37.520 not so bad.

00:21:38.780 Inflation

00:21:39.220 seems to be

00:21:41.120 drifting down.

00:21:42.320 Depends what data

00:21:42.980 you look at,

00:21:43.620 but some of it

00:21:44.880 appears to be down.

00:21:45.760 It's not heading

00:21:47.060 up too fast.

00:21:48.600 And

00:21:48.920 generally speaking,

00:21:52.140 if you talk to people,

00:21:53.300 he said,

00:21:54.240 they'll say

00:21:55.080 it must be bad

00:21:56.100 for other people.

00:21:57.080 But according to

00:21:58.460 Paul Krugman,

00:21:59.460 people kind of say

00:22:00.380 that their situation

00:22:01.360 is not so bad.

00:22:02.600 They just think

00:22:03.240 a lot of them do,

00:22:04.720 that maybe other

00:22:05.360 people are struggling.

00:22:07.580 That sound right

00:22:08.560 to you?

00:22:11.500 Do you know

00:22:12.240 what's missing

00:22:12.700 in this conversation?

00:22:14.660 Here's what's missing.

00:22:16.960 I completely

00:22:18.060 agree with him,

00:22:19.300 as long as you

00:22:20.860 ignore the impact

00:22:22.020 of debt.

00:22:23.760 He didn't mention

00:22:24.760 debt.

00:22:26.720 If you could

00:22:27.580 borrow infinitely

00:22:28.820 to paper over

00:22:30.420 all of your

00:22:30.880 problems,

00:22:32.340 yeah,

00:22:32.780 it would look

00:22:33.060 pretty good.

00:22:34.200 Just like it

00:22:35.020 looks now.

00:22:36.040 If you told me,

00:22:37.260 Scott,

00:22:37.680 the national debt,

00:22:38.960 we've solved it,

00:22:39.820 it's not even a problem.

00:22:41.500 Do you know

00:22:41.900 what I would say

00:22:42.500 about the current

00:22:43.160 economy?

00:22:44.700 Pretty good.

00:22:46.120 Pretty good.

00:22:47.320 If you just take,

00:22:48.200 if you take the

00:22:49.000 biggest problem

00:22:49.680 and ignore it,

00:22:51.140 it's pretty good.

00:22:51.980 I mean,

00:22:55.960 the fact that

00:22:56.480 we can't pay

00:22:57.100 our bills

00:22:57.560 and there's no,

00:22:58.840 nobody can even

00:22:59.580 do the math

00:23:00.220 to figure out

00:23:00.820 we possibly could

00:23:01.800 any time in the

00:23:02.980 future,

00:23:04.580 and that's not

00:23:05.120 even mentioned

00:23:05.680 as part of the

00:23:07.040 economy?

00:23:08.700 Do you think

00:23:09.440 that Paul Krugman

00:23:10.200 is trying to

00:23:10.880 explain to you

00:23:11.800 so you understand

00:23:12.600 the economy,

00:23:13.560 or does it seem

00:23:14.520 more like he's

00:23:15.640 working with

00:23:16.520 Christiane Amanpour

00:23:17.700 to conceal from you

00:23:19.700 what's happening

00:23:20.260 with the economy?

00:23:21.100 Because if you're

00:23:22.520 not talking

00:23:23.000 about the debt

00:23:23.840 in 2023,

00:23:26.040 are you even

00:23:27.080 talking about

00:23:27.640 the economy?

00:23:28.980 Or are you

00:23:29.960 ignoring the economy

00:23:31.060 when you're

00:23:31.540 talking about

00:23:32.080 the economy?

00:23:35.000 It's mind-blowing.

00:23:36.420 Imagine if you

00:23:37.460 were a casual

00:23:38.560 viewer of news

00:23:39.620 and you just

00:23:41.080 read the CNN

00:23:41.740 page today.

00:23:42.760 You would believe

00:23:43.720 that there's no

00:23:44.440 evidence that

00:23:45.420 Biden did anything

00:23:46.260 wrong and that

00:23:48.160 the economy is

00:23:48.860 doing great.

00:23:49.360 like that's

00:23:52.840 actually what

00:23:53.440 you would have

00:23:53.800 learned on CNN

00:23:54.480 today.

00:23:56.500 It's like,

00:23:57.260 it's so mind-boggling,

00:23:58.460 I don't even know

00:23:58.920 how to, like I

00:23:59.620 don't even have a

00:24:00.100 comment about it.

00:24:01.620 You know, the

00:24:02.160 fact itself is the

00:24:03.480 comment.

00:24:03.780 All right.

00:24:06.440 What other bad

00:24:07.420 behavior here?

00:24:08.240 So now we know,

00:24:10.340 or we think we know,

00:24:11.320 from a senior CIA

00:24:12.340 whistleblower who

00:24:14.100 alleges that the

00:24:16.380 CIA paid six of

00:24:18.480 their own officers

00:24:19.300 a significant

00:24:20.040 amount of money

00:24:20.900 to change their

00:24:22.300 assessment on

00:24:23.240 COVID origins,

00:24:24.440 to change it from

00:24:25.500 the lab leak to

00:24:26.620 natural, some

00:24:28.740 kind of nature

00:24:29.380 thing.

00:24:31.460 Do you believe

00:24:32.300 that?

00:24:33.640 So there's one

00:24:34.760 senior CIA

00:24:35.900 whistleblower.

00:24:38.640 So just one.

00:24:40.820 Where do you put

00:24:41.920 the credibility of

00:24:43.180 one whistleblower

00:24:44.180 who I believe was

00:24:45.800 under oath?

00:24:46.280 So you got under

00:24:48.000 oath.

00:24:48.960 Is the whistleblower

00:24:50.080 named?

00:24:51.780 Do we have a name

00:24:52.460 of the whistleblower?

00:24:57.340 Some say yes,

00:24:58.400 some say no.

00:25:00.600 I thought the

00:25:01.640 whistleblower is

00:25:02.220 named.

00:25:03.060 No?

00:25:06.220 Don't get too

00:25:07.500 excited about it

00:25:08.660 because it's one

00:25:11.100 person.

00:25:12.160 I would say the

00:25:13.000 odds of one person

00:25:14.240 being accurate,

00:25:15.460 even being a

00:25:16.160 whistleblower.

00:25:17.080 That's the same as 0.74

00:25:17.940 the UFO story.

00:25:20.140 Why do you think

00:25:20.900 there are UFOs?

00:25:21.800 If you do, it's

00:25:23.040 because of the

00:25:23.400 whistleblower.

00:25:24.980 Do you think that

00:25:25.960 UFO whistleblower is

00:25:27.140 telling you the

00:25:27.560 truth?

00:25:30.240 I don't know.

00:25:31.440 It doesn't look like

00:25:32.620 it to me.

00:25:33.560 But why would you

00:25:34.300 believe the CIA

00:25:35.000 whistleblower?

00:25:37.740 Do you know the

00:25:38.400 CIA is an

00:25:40.300 organization of

00:25:41.080 people who are

00:25:41.500 trained to lie,

00:25:42.300 right?

00:25:42.500 That's like their

00:25:44.780 job is lying to

00:25:46.780 people, including

00:25:47.580 domestically.

00:25:48.640 It's literally

00:25:49.520 their job.

00:25:51.620 Now, here's my

00:25:54.060 problem with this

00:25:54.800 story.

00:25:56.060 It's too on the

00:25:57.120 nose.

00:25:58.560 It's too much

00:25:59.540 something I want

00:26:00.340 to believe because

00:26:01.760 it's like right in

00:26:02.880 the lane of your

00:26:04.180 worst suspicions.

00:26:05.660 Oh, my God.

00:26:07.220 Not only did they

00:26:08.240 lie, but they took

00:26:10.020 money to lie, six

00:26:12.800 of them.

00:26:14.160 Do you think you

00:26:14.700 could get six

00:26:16.660 people to lie about

00:26:18.480 something like that

00:26:19.280 for money?

00:26:21.300 I mean, there must

00:26:21.880 have been something

00:26:22.380 beyond the money,

00:26:23.360 maybe some implied

00:26:24.300 threats or something,

00:26:25.700 maybe some career

00:26:26.520 stuff.

00:26:27.860 But I don't know.

00:26:31.600 I'm going to give

00:26:32.380 this one a maybe.

00:26:33.740 I'm going to rank

00:26:34.340 this one a maybe.

00:26:36.060 I cannot take it

00:26:37.360 all the way to

00:26:38.000 probably.

00:26:39.740 And I'm definitely

00:26:40.580 not, I'm not

00:26:41.220 discounting it.

00:26:42.240 Well, I am

00:26:42.580 discounting it.

00:26:43.380 I'm not saying it's

00:26:44.440 not true.

00:26:45.840 I'm just saying that

00:26:47.020 I need a little

00:26:48.100 more.

00:26:49.100 I would need at

00:26:49.960 least one confirming

00:26:51.440 fact, like a

00:26:53.140 document, or one of

00:26:54.920 these six people.

00:26:56.200 If one of these six

00:26:57.040 people said, yeah,

00:26:58.400 that's true, well,

00:26:59.720 then I'm sold.

00:27:01.040 But if you don't

00:27:01.860 have any of the six

00:27:02.660 people and you don't

00:27:03.480 have a document,

00:27:05.240 maybe there is a

00:27:05.920 document that I

00:27:06.540 don't know about.

00:27:07.740 Is there a document

00:27:08.440 I don't know about?

00:27:10.060 But I haven't heard

00:27:10.920 of a document.

00:27:12.300 But without a

00:27:13.340 document, one

00:27:14.580 whistleblower from

00:27:15.760 an organization who

00:27:16.860 are trained to lie

00:27:17.760 to you is not

00:27:19.600 convincing.

00:27:22.400 So I'm going to

00:27:23.080 give it a coin flip.

00:27:24.760 I'm going to say

00:27:25.360 maybe, maybe.

00:27:27.120 Nothing rules it

00:27:27.980 out, but it's

00:27:29.640 definitely not

00:27:30.540 convincing to me.

00:27:32.140 But it could turn

00:27:34.200 out later, I'm

00:27:34.880 convinced.

00:27:36.300 So, there's

00:27:39.360 that.

00:27:41.800 Here's a little

00:27:42.500 tip in telling

00:27:43.600 who is lying and

00:27:44.820 who is not.

00:27:46.600 Now, this might

00:27:47.500 not be 100%

00:27:49.220 true, but it's

00:27:50.480 one of those

00:27:50.840 indications, sort

00:27:51.900 of a signal.

00:27:53.360 If someone says

00:27:54.680 there's no evidence

00:27:56.760 of a crime,

00:27:58.160 there's no evidence

00:27:59.200 I did anything

00:27:59.820 wrong.

00:28:00.080 they're almost

00:28:01.820 always guilty

00:28:02.520 because innocent

00:28:04.660 people don't talk

00:28:05.580 that way.

00:28:07.040 Innocent people

00:28:07.620 say, what the

00:28:08.740 fuck are you

00:28:09.360 talking about?

00:28:10.240 I didn't do

00:28:10.760 that.

00:28:11.880 Are you

00:28:12.480 hallucinating?

00:28:14.500 Did somebody pay

00:28:15.220 you to say that?

00:28:15.900 What's going on

00:28:16.680 here?

00:28:17.700 Like, that's what

00:28:18.280 an honest person

00:28:18.960 would say when

00:28:20.080 you accuse them

00:28:20.740 of something

00:28:21.120 ridiculous that

00:28:21.920 they didn't do.

00:28:23.300 A guilty

00:28:23.980 person says,

00:28:25.500 well, there's no

00:28:26.200 direct evidence of

00:28:27.140 that.

00:28:29.300 So what are the

00:28:30.660 Democrats saying

00:28:31.660 when they defend

00:28:32.480 Biden?

00:28:34.060 Are they saying

00:28:34.700 none of this

00:28:35.240 happened?

00:28:36.960 Nothing happened?

00:28:38.940 No.

00:28:39.680 They're saying that

00:28:40.460 your evidence is

00:28:41.320 not sufficient.

00:28:43.380 You don't have

00:28:44.080 evidence.

00:28:47.040 I'll tell you,

00:28:48.000 that just screams

00:28:49.400 guilty when the

00:28:50.820 people protecting you

00:28:51.860 have to use the

00:28:52.660 liar's defense.

00:28:53.560 They can't even

00:28:55.260 use a straightforward

00:28:56.180 it didn't happen.

00:28:57.980 None of that

00:28:58.560 happened.

00:28:59.480 That's what

00:28:59.960 honest people

00:29:00.680 say.

00:29:02.980 All right.

00:29:04.520 As many of you

00:29:05.560 have prompted me

00:29:06.420 to talk about,

00:29:07.560 so Vivek Ramaswamy

00:29:09.480 has changed his

00:29:10.920 opinion on

00:29:12.800 TikTok.

00:29:13.880 I think it's a

00:29:15.000 change, but I

00:29:16.060 don't want to say

00:29:16.540 it's a change

00:29:17.180 because I only

00:29:17.940 know for sure

00:29:18.700 that he wanted

00:29:20.120 to ban TikTok

00:29:21.140 for people under

00:29:23.240 16.

00:29:24.440 Now, he's not

00:29:25.160 under 16, and

00:29:26.700 he talked to

00:29:27.560 Jake Paul, and

00:29:30.120 Jake Paul, he

00:29:30.820 says, convinced

00:29:32.140 him that using

00:29:34.880 TikTok made

00:29:36.880 sense if he

00:29:37.580 wants to win an

00:29:38.180 election, because

00:29:39.020 it's just how you

00:29:39.640 reach people.

00:29:40.920 So I guess he

00:29:41.460 made a video on

00:29:42.340 TikTok and said

00:29:43.880 he's still opposed

00:29:45.140 to under 16

00:29:46.260 using it, but

00:29:48.300 he's not as

00:29:52.080 concerned about

00:29:52.660 the data.

00:29:54.180 He understands

00:29:55.460 there's a problem

00:29:56.020 with data

00:29:56.440 collection, but

00:29:58.220 he thinks that

00:29:58.880 it's more

00:29:59.240 important to

00:29:59.700 win so you

00:30:01.200 can make

00:30:01.500 changes.

00:30:03.320 Now, what

00:30:05.580 do I tell

00:30:06.100 you when

00:30:08.000 people talk

00:30:08.720 about TikTok,

00:30:09.560 politicians?

00:30:10.620 When politicians

00:30:11.360 talk about TikTok

00:30:12.300 and they focus

00:30:13.320 on the data

00:30:14.140 privacy and

00:30:16.280 they don't

00:30:16.780 mention the

00:30:18.000 brainwashing

00:30:18.900 effect that

00:30:19.940 TikTok can

00:30:20.480 have on the

00:30:20.880 public, what

00:30:22.820 do I always

00:30:23.320 say?

00:30:24.960 And I've been

00:30:25.400 saying it for a

00:30:25.980 long time.

00:30:29.060 There's

00:30:29.580 something wrong.

00:30:31.100 There's

00:30:31.320 something obviously

00:30:32.040 wrong.

00:30:33.360 Because Vivek is

00:30:34.480 not the kind of

00:30:35.100 person who ignores

00:30:36.200 the other

00:30:36.780 argument.

00:30:38.080 He doesn't

00:30:38.560 ignore arguments.

00:30:40.200 He's the guy

00:30:40.720 who has a

00:30:41.560 better argument.

00:30:44.080 So why is

00:30:45.840 he sort of not

00:30:46.560 mentioning

00:30:47.000 the brainwashing

00:30:49.220 risk of

00:30:50.860 TikTok?

00:30:51.480 Why is he

00:30:51.880 focusing, like

00:30:53.380 the people I

00:30:53.920 don't trust,

00:30:55.180 why is he

00:30:55.620 focusing on

00:30:56.320 the data?

00:30:57.560 Well, here's

00:30:58.140 my tweet to

00:30:59.020 maybe explain 0.53

00:31:00.080 it.

00:31:01.580 So keep in

00:31:02.400 mind that

00:31:02.700 Jake Paul

00:31:03.140 talked Vivek

00:31:04.740 into it.

00:31:05.520 At least that's

00:31:06.160 the way Vivek is

00:31:06.960 explaining it.

00:31:07.900 I wouldn't say

00:31:08.660 it's necessarily

00:31:09.200 true that

00:31:10.520 Jake Paul

00:31:11.780 alone caused

00:31:13.860 him to change

00:31:14.360 his mind.

00:31:15.160 I'm sure it

00:31:15.740 was probably

00:31:17.140 an accumulation

00:31:19.040 of thinking,

00:31:20.940 not just one

00:31:21.560 thing, probably.

00:31:24.040 Anyway, this is

00:31:24.960 what I tweeted

00:31:25.640 to clarify.

00:31:26.860 I said,

00:31:27.280 the TikTok risk

00:31:28.020 is not data

00:31:29.020 collection.

00:31:30.420 The TikTok risk

00:31:31.340 is that it gives

00:31:31.960 China a user 1.00

00:31:32.760 interface to

00:31:33.900 control American 0.82

00:31:34.900 brains.

00:31:36.100 They can control

00:31:37.080 public opinion

00:31:37.880 and distract us

00:31:39.180 at will.

00:31:40.580 And then I said,

00:31:41.340 do you know why

00:31:41.940 so many of our

00:31:42.680 leaders think

00:31:43.820 the TikTok

00:31:44.300 problem is

00:31:45.200 data collection

00:31:45.980 and not

00:31:47.060 brainwashing?

00:31:49.220 It's because

00:31:50.040 TikTok is the

00:31:50.960 user interface

00:31:51.780 to American

00:31:52.580 brains.

00:31:53.620 And they

00:31:54.300 trained our

00:31:54.820 brains to see

00:31:55.500 data collection

00:31:56.140 as the problem.

00:31:58.780 This happened

00:31:59.600 right in front

00:32:00.080 of you.

00:32:02.480 TikTok

00:32:03.000 brainwashed

00:32:03.900 our politicians

00:32:04.680 into thinking

00:32:06.100 that data

00:32:07.380 privacy was

00:32:08.100 the problem.

00:32:09.380 Do you know

00:32:09.760 why?

00:32:10.020 Because data

00:32:11.300 privacy is the

00:32:12.280 problem they

00:32:12.680 can solve.

00:32:14.560 TikTok can

00:32:15.360 put the data

00:32:16.120 in an American

00:32:16.900 managed company

00:32:18.020 and say,

00:32:19.240 look, you

00:32:19.980 Americans have 0.78

00:32:20.680 it and you're

00:32:21.220 never going to

00:32:21.620 give it to us

00:32:22.340 unless you want

00:32:23.760 to.

00:32:24.020 I mean, why

00:32:24.440 would you?

00:32:25.240 So we can

00:32:25.900 solve that

00:32:26.340 problem by

00:32:26.920 having Oracle

00:32:27.560 or somebody

00:32:28.040 hold our

00:32:28.480 data.

00:32:31.600 How in the

00:32:32.400 world does a

00:32:33.560 candidate for

00:32:34.180 president not

00:32:36.340 mention the

00:32:37.440 brainwashing risk

00:32:39.100 risk but

00:32:39.600 does mention

00:32:40.260 the data

00:32:40.660 privacy risk?

00:32:42.660 The only

00:32:43.520 explanation I

00:32:44.560 can think of

00:32:45.020 is that

00:32:45.360 TikTok has

00:32:46.840 actually

00:32:47.220 brainwashed

00:32:47.940 all of our

00:32:49.460 leaders.

00:32:52.280 Do you

00:32:52.860 think you'll

00:32:53.300 ever see on

00:32:54.460 Fox News

00:32:55.340 again, now

00:32:55.900 that they're

00:32:56.200 accepting TikTok

00:32:57.140 advertising

00:32:57.740 apparently,

00:32:58.760 do you think

00:32:59.280 you'll ever see

00:32:59.840 them talk about

00:33:00.640 the brainwashing

00:33:02.040 risk?

00:33:03.100 Or will they

00:33:04.060 only from now

00:33:04.860 on talk about

00:33:06.200 the data

00:33:06.640 privacy risk?

00:33:07.540 Well, if

00:33:09.440 it's on the

00:33:09.840 five, they

00:33:10.400 can say

00:33:10.700 anything, because

00:33:11.760 they're a

00:33:12.180 little more

00:33:12.500 adventurous

00:33:12.960 opinion-wise.

00:33:14.420 But I'll bet

00:33:14.920 you almost all

00:33:16.420 the rest of

00:33:17.120 Fox News

00:33:18.140 just stops

00:33:19.640 talking about

00:33:20.320 the brainwashing

00:33:21.160 risk.

00:33:22.420 And they talk

00:33:22.960 about data

00:33:23.440 privacy, and

00:33:25.020 they talk that,

00:33:25.760 you know, that's

00:33:26.220 solvable.

00:33:27.700 That's solvable.

00:33:29.800 Just watch.

00:33:31.460 You can watch

00:33:32.300 it play out

00:33:32.840 yourself right

00:33:33.840 in front of

00:33:34.240 you.

00:33:34.900 This is one

00:33:35.600 that you get

00:33:36.040 to a front row

00:33:37.020 seat.

00:33:38.020 You can see

00:33:38.480 it develop

00:33:39.000 as it's

00:33:39.600 developing.

00:33:40.360 You can

00:33:40.760 actually watch

00:33:41.640 China brainwash 0.95

00:33:43.140 our leaders

00:33:44.580 right in front

00:33:45.960 of you, and

00:33:47.520 then also the

00:33:48.140 public.

00:33:52.320 Let's talk

00:33:52.980 about something

00:33:53.480 else.

00:33:56.380 Alex Berenson

00:33:57.260 tweeted this.

00:33:59.200 He said,

00:33:59.540 well, this is

00:34:00.100 landing hard.

00:34:01.920 He said,

00:34:02.680 probably because

00:34:03.280 it's so stunning.

00:34:03.940 yes, mRNA

00:34:05.760 COVID vaccination,

00:34:07.580 now this is

00:34:08.240 his interpretation

00:34:09.440 of a new

00:34:11.120 study, or

00:34:12.540 new data that's

00:34:13.760 coming out from

00:34:14.360 somebody.

00:34:16.280 He said that

00:34:17.420 the mRNA

00:34:18.600 COVID vaccination

00:34:19.820 raises a

00:34:21.440 healthy adult's

00:34:22.120 risk of being

00:34:22.680 hospitalized for

00:34:24.140 an Omicron

00:34:24.760 infection.

00:34:26.820 He says,

00:34:27.600 don't take it

00:34:28.020 from me.

00:34:28.340 this is a

00:34:28.980 CDC government

00:34:30.140 slide.

00:34:33.160 Do you think

00:34:33.880 there's a

00:34:34.520 CDC government

00:34:35.540 slide whose

00:34:37.940 data tells you

00:34:38.960 that the

00:34:40.220 vaccination makes 0.94

00:34:41.120 you less

00:34:41.520 healthy?

00:34:43.100 Do you think

00:34:43.720 that's real?

00:34:45.180 Do you think

00:34:45.620 if you looked at

00:34:46.240 this, you'd say,

00:34:47.600 well, there it

00:34:48.000 is.

00:34:48.300 The CDC is

00:34:49.040 saying that

00:34:49.440 getting the

00:34:49.780 vaccination makes 0.94

00:34:50.500 you less

00:34:50.820 healthy.

00:34:52.940 It's tweeted,

00:34:54.040 and there's a

00:34:54.680 link to it so

00:34:55.180 you can see it

00:34:55.660 for yourself.

00:34:56.140 Do you think

00:34:57.040 it's real?

00:34:59.860 Well, here are

00:35:00.840 the questions

00:35:01.320 that I ask.

00:35:03.360 The first

00:35:04.120 question I ask

00:35:05.000 is, what

00:35:07.100 kind of people

00:35:07.640 get hospitalized

00:35:08.400 from Omicron?

00:35:12.580 Is it all the

00:35:13.620 healthy people?

00:35:15.240 Are a lot of

00:35:16.140 25-year-olds

00:35:17.600 getting a

00:35:18.500 vaccination and

00:35:19.340 then getting

00:35:19.760 hospitalized for

00:35:20.840 Omicron anyway,

00:35:22.780 even after the

00:35:23.660 vaccination?

00:35:26.140 Because the

00:35:27.020 vaccination

00:35:27.500 allegedly is

00:35:29.840 worse than

00:35:31.120 the Omicron?

00:35:32.320 Well, here's

00:35:33.220 what I think.

00:35:35.360 I went to

00:35:36.380 Google and I

00:35:37.020 wanted to see

00:35:37.660 if overweight

00:35:39.560 people are

00:35:40.880 more likely to

00:35:41.720 be vaccinated.

00:35:43.780 Isn't that a

00:35:44.240 good question?

00:35:46.000 Don't you think

00:35:46.540 that overweight

00:35:47.140 people would

00:35:47.980 see a bigger

00:35:48.840 risk, because

00:35:50.280 everybody says

00:35:51.160 it's a bigger

00:35:51.560 risk, and they

00:35:52.920 would be more

00:35:53.420 likely to do

00:35:55.100 what they think

00:35:55.860 they need to

00:35:56.360 do to have

00:35:57.020 less risk?

00:35:58.280 If you were

00:35:59.240 25 and skinny

00:36:01.460 and perfectly

00:36:02.900 healthy, would

00:36:04.540 you be inclined

00:36:05.360 to get

00:36:05.740 vaccinated?

00:36:07.320 I would think

00:36:08.120 less inclined.

00:36:09.240 So let's go to

00:36:10.120 Google, and

00:36:11.300 we'll check to

00:36:12.060 see this

00:36:12.700 important piece

00:36:13.900 of data.

00:36:15.040 And I think

00:36:15.580 you would agree

00:36:16.080 this is an

00:36:17.300 important piece

00:36:17.800 of data.

00:36:18.140 what percentage

00:36:19.820 of overweight

00:36:20.960 people get

00:36:22.360 vaccinated compared

00:36:24.140 to non-overweight

00:36:25.280 people?

00:36:26.740 Wouldn't you

00:36:27.120 want to know

00:36:27.480 that?

00:36:28.320 Seems like the

00:36:28.940 most important

00:36:29.440 question.

00:36:30.260 Because if it

00:36:30.860 turns out that

00:36:31.580 overweight people

00:36:32.520 are overwhelmingly

00:36:33.760 more likely to be

00:36:35.100 vaccinated, well,

00:36:36.760 then it makes

00:36:37.180 perfect sense that

00:36:37.980 they would have

00:36:38.360 also the worst

00:36:39.140 outcomes.

00:36:40.620 Even if the

00:36:41.520 vaccination helped

00:36:42.380 them, hypothetically,

00:36:43.700 they would still

00:36:44.560 have enough

00:36:44.980 things going

00:36:46.440 on that

00:36:47.980 perhaps they

00:36:49.560 might end up

00:36:50.400 in the hospital

00:36:50.800 more often than

00:36:51.500 somebody who

00:36:52.020 didn't do

00:36:52.400 anything, but

00:36:53.500 they're 25 and

00:36:54.260 healthy.

00:36:55.720 So I went to

00:36:56.760 Google and I

00:36:57.400 said, all right,

00:36:59.180 what is the

00:37:00.020 ratio of, you

00:37:01.120 know, overweight

00:37:01.660 people to

00:37:02.480 non-overweight

00:37:03.180 people?

00:37:04.700 Do you think I

00:37:05.580 could find that?

00:37:07.340 If any of you

00:37:08.260 can find that,

00:37:09.700 could you send

00:37:10.440 it to me or

00:37:10.960 tweet it at me?

00:37:12.740 Because I

00:37:13.880 don't think we

00:37:14.380 track it.

00:37:14.980 for whatever

00:37:17.060 reason.

00:37:18.240 And am I

00:37:19.000 wrong that it's

00:37:19.560 the only number

00:37:20.160 that would

00:37:20.660 explain what's

00:37:21.280 happening here?

00:37:22.760 Because wouldn't

00:37:23.480 you like to

00:37:24.020 know if the

00:37:24.980 vaccination makes 0.94

00:37:25.840 you more likely

00:37:26.400 to die?

00:37:28.060 Kind of a

00:37:28.640 basic thing to

00:37:30.200 know.

00:37:31.620 I can't tell

00:37:32.700 based on this

00:37:34.180 data and based

00:37:35.860 on Alex

00:37:36.520 Berenson's take

00:37:37.540 on it, which

00:37:38.160 might be right,

00:37:38.780 by the way.

00:37:39.700 Let me allow

00:37:40.680 that his take

00:37:41.300 might be exactly

00:37:42.020 the right one.

00:37:43.200 But how would

00:37:43.740 I know?

00:37:44.980 Unless I saw

00:37:45.880 it broken down

00:37:46.540 by weight or

00:37:48.000 obesity.

00:37:49.240 How would you

00:37:49.920 know?

00:37:51.040 Because if there

00:37:51.660 are too many

00:37:52.140 obese people in

00:37:53.260 the ones that

00:37:54.520 got sick, is

00:37:56.220 it the

00:37:56.460 vaccination or

00:37:57.300 is it just that

00:37:57.920 you had a lot

00:37:58.880 of obese people

00:37:59.760 in one group?

00:38:01.780 Does anybody

00:38:02.460 know?

00:38:04.200 I'm asking the

00:38:05.080 most basic

00:38:05.640 question.

00:38:06.520 I don't think

00:38:07.040 any of you know

00:38:07.560 the answer,

00:38:08.060 right?

00:38:08.680 I don't know.

00:38:09.260 I have no

00:38:10.500 idea.

00:38:11.440 But if Alex

00:38:12.360 Berenson is

00:38:12.980 right, that

00:38:14.760 let's say best

00:38:15.900 case scenario,

00:38:16.780 that all of the

00:38:17.620 other variables

00:38:18.260 were controlled

00:38:19.000 for in a

00:38:20.220 reasonable way,

00:38:21.960 well this would

00:38:22.480 be the biggest

00:38:22.940 news in the

00:38:23.480 world.

00:38:25.400 And if he's

00:38:26.200 wrong, I'd

00:38:28.200 like to know

00:38:28.600 why.

00:38:30.120 Why?

00:38:30.800 Why is he

00:38:31.280 wrong?

00:38:32.220 And the only

00:38:32.820 thing I can

00:38:33.260 think of is

00:38:34.120 that they

00:38:34.500 haven't broken

00:38:35.020 it down by

00:38:35.540 weight so the

00:38:37.020 data doesn't

00:38:37.580 tell you what

00:38:37.980 you think

00:38:38.280 it tells you.

00:38:40.620 So anyway,

00:38:41.960 don't trust

00:38:42.800 anything you

00:38:43.600 see about

00:38:44.920 pandemic data.

00:38:46.860 Probably the

00:38:47.640 best thing I

00:38:48.200 said about

00:38:49.320 the pandemic

00:38:49.880 is that 100%

00:38:51.680 of the

00:38:52.060 information is

00:38:52.860 unreliable.

00:38:54.220 100%.

00:38:54.740 The moment

00:38:55.780 you trick

00:38:56.320 yourself into

00:38:56.920 thinking you

00:38:57.440 know what the

00:38:57.840 good stuff is,

00:38:58.940 you're lost.

00:39:00.420 You're gone.

00:39:01.800 You don't know

00:39:02.460 what the good

00:39:02.900 stuff is.

00:39:04.160 100% of it

00:39:05.340 is unreliable.

00:39:07.260 Doesn't mean

00:39:07.860 it's all

00:39:08.120 wrong.

00:39:09.520 It means

00:39:09.860 you can't

00:39:10.200 rely on it.

00:39:11.400 That's

00:39:11.640 completely

00:39:12.200 different.

00:39:13.000 It's not

00:39:13.320 about the

00:39:13.660 accuracy.

00:39:14.800 It's about

00:39:15.220 you can't

00:39:15.740 trust it.

00:39:16.420 You just

00:39:16.780 can't trust

00:39:17.500 any of it.

00:39:19.500 All right.

00:39:20.700 So I

00:39:21.240 don't trust

00:39:21.740 anybody who

00:39:22.280 says the

00:39:22.700 vaccinations

00:39:23.240 worked,

00:39:24.300 and I don't

00:39:24.960 trust anybody

00:39:25.580 who says they

00:39:26.200 don't, if

00:39:27.100 they're looking

00:39:27.480 at data,

00:39:28.560 because data

00:39:29.080 is useless.

00:39:31.640 Let me tell

00:39:32.320 you one of the

00:39:32.880 most valuable

00:39:33.580 things I

00:39:34.080 learned as a

00:39:34.660 kid, and I

00:39:35.280 want to see if

00:39:35.620 anybody agrees

00:39:36.280 with this,

00:39:36.720 because I'll

00:39:37.140 bet there's

00:39:37.460 some of you

00:39:37.900 who had the

00:39:38.960 same experience.

00:39:40.260 I was a

00:39:40.900 nerdy kid.

00:39:41.960 I know.

00:39:42.560 Big surprise,

00:39:43.560 right?

00:39:43.860 Stop it.

00:39:44.460 Stop it.

00:39:44.900 No, I really

00:39:45.340 was.

00:39:46.340 I know.

00:39:47.140 I know.

00:39:47.540 Stop it.

00:39:48.020 I was actually

00:39:48.740 nerdy as a

00:39:49.400 child.

00:39:49.980 Hard to believe

00:39:50.800 that I grew up

00:39:51.700 into this, you

00:39:52.980 know, Adonis,

00:39:54.180 kind of an

00:39:54.980 athletic vibe.

00:39:57.240 But no, it's

00:39:58.800 true.

00:39:59.200 I was a little

00:39:59.700 nerdy as a

00:40:00.280 kid.

00:40:00.420 And one of

00:40:02.380 my nerdy

00:40:03.040 obsessions was

00:40:04.180 magic tricks.

00:40:05.980 So I would

00:40:06.760 try to learn

00:40:07.640 all the magic

00:40:08.260 tricks I

00:40:08.720 could.

00:40:09.300 I'd buy

00:40:09.820 little magic

00:40:10.520 trick kits

00:40:11.120 where I get

00:40:11.640 them for

00:40:11.860 Christmas and

00:40:12.520 stuff.

00:40:13.120 So I was

00:40:13.520 really into

00:40:13.980 magic tricks.

00:40:16.220 Now, do you

00:40:16.900 know what I

00:40:17.220 learned?

00:40:18.420 I learned a

00:40:19.220 little bit how

00:40:19.820 to do magic

00:40:20.340 tricks.

00:40:21.020 But the

00:40:21.460 most important

00:40:22.000 thing I

00:40:22.380 learned is

00:40:23.580 that you can

00:40:24.080 fool anybody

00:40:25.020 with a bad

00:40:25.600 imagination.

00:40:26.260 especially if

00:40:30.760 they've never

00:40:31.180 had experience

00:40:31.880 doing magic

00:40:32.780 tricks.

00:40:34.840 But if

00:40:35.740 there's somebody

00:40:36.180 who doesn't

00:40:36.540 have much of

00:40:37.020 an imagination

00:40:37.700 and you say,

00:40:38.780 well, there's

00:40:39.140 one explanation

00:40:40.000 for why this

00:40:40.720 thing happened,

00:40:41.880 the person with

00:40:42.720 no imagination

00:40:43.460 will think,

00:40:44.300 well, I can't

00:40:46.240 think of any

00:40:46.680 other way it

00:40:47.140 could happen.

00:40:48.940 I can't think

00:40:49.700 of any other

00:40:50.100 way.

00:40:50.600 I can't think

00:40:51.400 of any way I

00:40:51.940 could be

00:40:52.200 tricked.

00:40:54.180 No.

00:40:55.060 See, if I

00:40:55.500 can't be

00:40:55.900 tricked, there's

00:40:57.180 no way I

00:40:57.560 was tricked.

00:40:58.920 And I

00:40:59.640 can't think

00:41:00.000 of any

00:41:00.400 other

00:41:00.760 explanation.

00:41:02.320 Well, I

00:41:02.620 guess it's

00:41:02.940 just what

00:41:03.260 you told

00:41:03.520 me.

00:41:05.220 But if

00:41:06.820 you studied

00:41:07.360 magic and

00:41:09.040 you have a

00:41:09.520 good imagination,

00:41:10.820 as I like

00:41:11.400 to think I

00:41:12.220 do, because

00:41:13.360 it's literally

00:41:13.920 my job to

00:41:15.140 imagine things

00:41:15.840 and write

00:41:16.160 them down

00:41:16.820 and make

00:41:17.120 jokes about

00:41:17.580 them,

00:41:18.380 when I

00:41:21.260 see a

00:41:21.700 claim,

00:41:22.720 the first

00:41:23.740 thing I

00:41:24.100 think of

00:41:24.600 is the

00:41:25.380 ten ways

00:41:25.940 it could

00:41:26.240 be

00:41:26.420 faked.

00:41:27.660 I could

00:41:28.240 come up

00:41:28.600 with all

00:41:28.880 kinds of

00:41:29.240 ways it

00:41:29.540 could be

00:41:29.800 faked.

00:41:31.160 When people

00:41:31.820 say they're

00:41:33.080 sure that

00:41:33.500 the election

00:41:34.320 in 2020

00:41:34.920 was clean

00:41:36.340 and it

00:41:37.000 wasn't

00:41:37.260 rigged,

00:41:38.660 they're

00:41:39.280 basically

00:41:39.880 saying,

00:41:40.540 look,

00:41:41.660 how could

00:41:42.500 it possibly

00:41:43.060 be rigged?

00:41:44.120 You would

00:41:44.720 have all

00:41:45.080 these

00:41:45.320 witnesses,

00:41:46.700 you'd

00:41:47.300 probably

00:41:47.480 have a

00:41:47.760 whistleblower,

00:41:49.060 certainly

00:41:50.520 all the

00:41:50.900 audits,

00:41:51.920 audits

00:41:52.360 would have

00:41:52.600 picked it

00:41:52.940 up.

00:41:53.520 We would

00:41:54.080 have seen

00:41:54.420 in the

00:41:54.920 numbers that

00:41:56.060 something was

00:41:56.540 on a whack

00:41:57.160 and it would

00:41:57.420 be obvious.

00:41:58.720 We had

00:41:59.160 witnesses,

00:42:00.020 there were

00:42:00.200 witnesses

00:42:00.540 watching every

00:42:01.260 part of it,

00:42:02.380 but more to

00:42:02.960 the point,

00:42:04.020 every single

00:42:04.800 claim has

00:42:06.380 either been

00:42:06.940 rejected by a

00:42:07.960 court or

00:42:09.900 found not to

00:42:10.880 be valid.

00:42:12.220 So,

00:42:12.620 therefore,

00:42:13.920 how in the

00:42:14.620 world could

00:42:15.820 there have been

00:42:16.200 any rigging?

00:42:16.940 I mean,

00:42:17.180 how in the

00:42:17.580 world?

00:42:17.840 what do

00:42:22.540 you say

00:42:22.940 if you

00:42:23.380 have an

00:42:23.700 experience

00:42:24.200 doing magic

00:42:25.160 tricks and

00:42:26.440 you also

00:42:26.920 have a

00:42:27.260 good

00:42:27.400 imagination?

00:42:28.740 Do you

00:42:28.960 know what

00:42:29.200 I say?

00:42:30.900 Do you

00:42:31.420 know how

00:42:31.760 many ways

00:42:32.320 I could

00:42:32.640 come up

00:42:33.020 with to

00:42:33.440 cheat in

00:42:33.820 an election

00:42:34.260 and not

00:42:34.660 get caught?

00:42:36.000 It's a

00:42:36.540 pretty long

00:42:37.000 list.

00:42:38.160 You can't

00:42:38.860 do that?

00:42:40.440 Really?

00:42:41.720 Really?

00:42:42.280 You couldn't

00:42:42.920 come up with

00:42:43.440 any way

00:42:44.100 that somebody

00:42:44.980 could cheat

00:42:45.440 and get away

00:42:45.860 with it?

00:42:47.280 None.

00:42:48.400 Not one

00:42:49.120 way you

00:42:49.500 can think

00:42:49.900 of.

00:42:51.280 I think

00:42:51.880 I'm up to

00:42:52.320 like 25

00:42:52.920 ways in

00:42:53.560 my mind.

00:42:55.840 So,

00:42:56.420 when you're

00:42:56.720 talking to

00:42:57.200 somebody who

00:42:57.820 says,

00:42:58.280 you know,

00:42:58.600 there's no

00:42:58.940 way this

00:42:59.260 was rigged,

00:43:00.220 it's been

00:43:00.580 checked so

00:43:01.080 many ways,

00:43:01.860 you know,

00:43:02.040 somebody would

00:43:02.540 have been a

00:43:02.840 whistleblower,

00:43:04.000 there were

00:43:04.240 audits,

00:43:04.820 the court

00:43:05.920 looked into

00:43:06.380 everything,

00:43:07.780 these are

00:43:08.480 really clueless

00:43:10.300 people.

00:43:11.720 I'm not

00:43:12.340 even sure

00:43:12.700 that's a

00:43:13.160 political

00:43:13.740 difference.

00:43:15.240 To me,

00:43:15.680 that's somebody

00:43:16.160 who has

00:43:16.600 either a

00:43:17.060 poor

00:43:17.280 imagination,

00:43:19.120 or they

00:43:19.560 have a

00:43:20.320 politically

00:43:20.660 motivated

00:43:21.260 opinion

00:43:21.640 that's

00:43:21.940 just

00:43:22.180 completely

00:43:23.700 different

00:43:24.100 from it,

00:43:26.460 or they

00:43:27.320 have had

00:43:27.820 no

00:43:28.000 experience

00:43:28.520 with magic

00:43:29.280 tricks.

00:43:29.660 tricks.

00:43:30.900 If you've

00:43:31.500 done enough

00:43:31.880 magic tricks,

00:43:32.560 you know

00:43:32.820 how they're

00:43:33.120 done,

00:43:33.940 and so

00:43:34.180 you can

00:43:34.380 see them.

00:43:35.600 What are

00:43:36.780 Stephen

00:43:37.280 Collinson

00:43:37.780 and John

00:43:39.380 Avalon

00:43:39.900 doing with

00:43:41.080 their

00:43:41.260 opinions?

00:43:44.040 Those are

00:43:44.660 diversions.

00:43:46.180 If they can

00:43:46.880 make you think

00:43:47.480 of this,

00:43:48.440 you're thinking

00:43:48.980 less of this

00:43:49.660 other thing.

00:43:50.640 That's a

00:43:51.180 magic trick.

00:43:52.200 The magic trick

00:43:52.940 is, look what

00:43:53.420 I'm doing with

00:43:53.880 this hand.

00:43:54.560 Well, don't look

00:43:55.120 what I'm doing

00:43:55.520 with this other

00:43:55.960 hand.

00:43:57.040 Distraction.

00:43:58.040 You know,

00:43:58.320 diversion.

00:43:59.260 It's not the

00:43:59.880 only thing that

00:44:00.360 magic is, but

00:44:01.140 you spot it as

00:44:02.060 soon as you

00:44:02.400 see it.

00:44:03.280 So as soon as

00:44:04.240 you see somebody

00:44:04.880 whose opinion

00:44:06.260 pieces are

00:44:06.980 aggressively moving

00:44:08.440 you off a

00:44:10.120 point of fact,

00:44:11.920 that's not an

00:44:12.560 accident.

00:44:13.220 That's the

00:44:13.600 magic trick.

00:44:14.580 And they're

00:44:14.880 doing it right

00:44:15.380 in front of

00:44:15.840 you, and if

00:44:16.760 you've done a

00:44:17.240 lot of magic

00:44:17.760 tricks where

00:44:18.300 you have

00:44:18.740 personally taken

00:44:19.900 people's attention

00:44:20.760 away from the

00:44:21.420 magic trick, you

00:44:22.980 spot it

00:44:23.460 immediately.

00:44:24.560 Oh, that's

00:44:25.180 that magic trick

00:44:25.900 where they're

00:44:26.520 making me think

00:44:27.540 of this other

00:44:27.980 thing, so I'll

00:44:28.660 forget the

00:44:29.140 thing that's

00:44:29.500 important.

00:44:32.160 So when you

00:44:34.320 run into somebody

00:44:35.080 who is positive

00:44:35.780 that the election

00:44:36.540 was not rigged,

00:44:38.840 you should feel

00:44:40.180 some sympathy.

00:44:42.400 I don't know how

00:44:43.220 you could argue

00:44:43.800 with it.

00:44:45.140 How do you argue

00:44:46.040 that there might be

00:44:46.820 something you don't

00:44:47.540 know about?

00:44:48.700 But they do.

00:44:49.860 They actually argue

00:44:50.800 that the lack of

00:44:51.920 knowledge is proof

00:44:53.620 of something.

00:44:54.640 I have lack of

00:44:55.420 knowledge.

00:44:56.160 I guess that's

00:44:56.780 proof.

00:44:58.220 Well, how do

00:44:59.540 you know that

00:45:00.140 the pyramids were

00:45:01.900 really built by

00:45:02.680 the Egyptians?

00:45:03.780 Well, I have a

00:45:04.580 complete lack of

00:45:05.280 knowledge about it,

00:45:06.140 so I'm putting that

00:45:07.440 forth as my

00:45:08.040 argument.

00:45:09.460 What?

00:45:10.100 Yeah, I have no

00:45:11.080 knowledge about it

00:45:11.740 whatsoever, so

00:45:12.620 therefore it was

00:45:13.200 built by the

00:45:13.660 Egyptians.

00:45:15.040 That's actually what

00:45:15.960 people are saying

00:45:16.480 about the election.

00:45:17.520 I have no way to

00:45:18.360 know, therefore it

00:45:19.380 was perfectly fair.

00:45:21.520 What?

00:45:22.980 What?

00:45:23.360 And I'll say

00:45:24.720 again, as I

00:45:25.360 always do, I'm

00:45:25.940 not aware of

00:45:26.460 any credible

00:45:28.920 problems with the

00:45:31.200 election.

00:45:31.900 I'm not aware of

00:45:32.580 any.

00:45:33.920 But I can think of

00:45:35.120 a few ways it

00:45:35.740 could happen.

00:45:38.500 Lots of ways.

00:45:39.940 Well, Anthony

00:45:40.420 Oliver is getting

00:45:41.180 some pushback.

00:45:43.500 Apparently he was

00:45:44.340 signed up to play

00:45:45.740 for an hour or

00:45:46.760 so for $120,000,

00:45:49.000 which is a pretty

00:45:50.440 good payday.

00:45:52.780 But the

00:45:53.580 organizers were

00:45:54.700 going to charge

00:45:55.380 so much for the

00:45:56.440 tickets that he

00:45:57.880 thought it was

00:45:58.440 ripping off the

00:45:59.200 audience and he

00:45:59.860 didn't want to be

00:46:00.360 part of that, so

00:46:01.040 he canceled.

00:46:02.600 So after they'd

00:46:03.240 done the marketing

00:46:04.220 and the advertisement

00:46:05.080 and sold all the

00:46:05.940 tickets, he did a

00:46:07.840 video saying he

00:46:08.460 wasn't going to

00:46:08.820 show up because

00:46:09.300 they were charging

00:46:09.780 too much for the

00:46:10.460 tickets.

00:46:11.960 Do you know

00:46:12.620 what he got

00:46:13.120 wrong?

00:46:15.280 It was a

00:46:16.300 break-even event.

00:46:18.760 There was no

00:46:19.640 profit intended.

00:46:22.100 The tickets were

00:46:23.140 priced to

00:46:24.940 optimistically cover

00:46:26.300 their expenses and

00:46:27.320 that's it.

00:46:28.600 That's just what it

00:46:29.580 cost.

00:46:30.780 Turns out everything

00:46:31.520 costs a lot of

00:46:32.200 money.

00:46:33.280 So to put on a

00:46:34.600 concert that doesn't

00:46:36.140 have a million

00:46:37.340 people there, it's a

00:46:38.500 smaller event, it's

00:46:40.280 real expensive to do

00:46:41.220 all the organizing for

00:46:42.200 the event, and

00:46:43.780 that's just what it

00:46:44.380 costs.

00:46:45.800 So some people

00:46:49.480 who were good with

00:46:50.260 money weighed in.

00:46:52.740 So Bruce Fenton

00:46:53.720 had this tweet that

00:46:56.000 I thought really

00:46:56.600 captured it well.

00:46:57.320 He said, if you

00:46:58.180 want to be wealthy,

00:46:59.140 avoid a negative

00:46:59.900 mindset like Anthony

00:47:01.340 Oliver.

00:47:02.600 Unfortunately, this

00:47:03.360 kind of economic

00:47:04.200 self-sabotage is

00:47:05.580 common.

00:47:06.060 That's exactly what

00:47:06.820 it was.

00:47:08.060 That was self-sabotage.

00:47:09.600 That didn't need to

00:47:10.280 happen.

00:47:10.520 All he had to do

00:47:12.020 was ask a few

00:47:12.620 questions, and it

00:47:14.080 probably wouldn't

00:47:14.500 be fine.

00:47:17.500 So he says, this is

00:47:20.120 what he sees, somebody

00:47:21.100 complains about

00:47:21.840 poverty, but they

00:47:23.380 don't understand

00:47:24.000 money.

00:47:25.020 He demands $120,000

00:47:26.380 for a 30-minute

00:47:27.140 performance, and then

00:47:28.960 he cancels the

00:47:29.620 performance he

00:47:30.240 agreed to do because

00:47:31.720 he thinks ticket

00:47:32.480 prices are too high,

00:47:34.200 even though it's

00:47:34.920 basically break-even.

00:47:35.840 So here's what

00:47:38.160 somebody who's good

00:47:39.140 with money would

00:47:39.880 have done.

00:47:41.960 The show.

00:47:44.220 The show.

00:47:45.860 Somebody who

00:47:46.520 understood how

00:47:47.620 money works would

00:47:49.080 have done the

00:47:49.580 show.

00:47:51.560 Now, maybe they

00:47:52.460 would, you know,

00:47:53.680 maybe correct it at

00:47:55.300 the next show.

00:47:56.560 So, for example, if

00:47:57.420 he's invited somewhere

00:47:58.280 else, maybe that's

00:47:59.440 the first question

00:48:00.100 he asks.

00:48:00.840 You know, what's

00:48:01.180 the ticket price?

00:48:02.340 And if he's not

00:48:02.900 happy with that, he

00:48:03.540 doesn't have to say

00:48:04.200 yes.

00:48:04.520 But can you

00:48:08.240 imagine anybody

00:48:09.220 agreeing to a

00:48:10.420 job and then

00:48:12.440 not showing up

00:48:13.420 for this reason?

00:48:15.880 I mean, he had a

00:48:16.360 reason, but for

00:48:17.740 this reason?

00:48:19.000 To me, this is just

00:48:19.840 not modeling good

00:48:21.180 economic behavior.

00:48:23.600 If somebody's got a

00:48:24.780 big pile of money

00:48:25.560 and all you have

00:48:26.040 to do is show up

00:48:26.920 and do the thing

00:48:27.520 that you do every

00:48:28.100 day, which is play

00:48:28.840 your guitar and

00:48:29.480 sing, you know,

00:48:30.860 which he probably

00:48:31.360 likes doing, if

00:48:32.860 somebody's giving

00:48:33.420 you $120,000,

00:48:34.520 and you want

00:48:36.080 to make the

00:48:36.480 world a better

00:48:37.000 place, you could

00:48:39.400 give your $120,000

00:48:40.620 back to the

00:48:41.340 audience.

00:48:43.000 You could play

00:48:43.740 for free.

00:48:45.120 Or you could take

00:48:45.940 your $120,000 and

00:48:47.360 donate it to a

00:48:48.100 charity, give it to

00:48:49.160 a poor person.

00:48:50.300 There are a lot of

00:48:50.920 things you could do

00:48:51.440 with that money.

00:48:52.740 But the most

00:48:53.660 important thing is

00:48:54.560 a deal's a deal.

00:48:55.880 If he did not ask

00:48:58.860 the question about

00:48:59.820 and showed no

00:49:01.320 original concern

00:49:02.520 about the ticket

00:49:03.660 price, too

00:49:05.280 fucking late. 0.58

00:49:06.900 Too fucking

00:49:07.460 late.

00:49:08.700 You made a deal,

00:49:09.980 do the deal.

00:49:11.400 You want a job in

00:49:12.280 the future?

00:49:13.580 Perform the job you

00:49:14.620 got hired for and

00:49:15.420 you agreed to do.

00:49:16.640 If I could teach you

00:49:17.800 one fucking thing to 0.60

00:49:19.140 make your life

00:49:19.700 successful, do what

00:49:21.360 you say you're going

00:49:22.160 to fucking do.

00:49:23.040 You cannot get a

00:49:25.960 better piece of

00:49:26.580 advice for the rest

00:49:27.620 of your career.

00:49:29.000 Do you know how

00:49:29.620 rare it is to hire

00:49:30.820 somebody and they

00:49:31.480 show up?

00:49:33.360 Just show up.

00:49:35.400 I hired you for

00:49:36.360 this job.

00:49:36.980 Well, I'm sick

00:49:38.320 today on a Monday

00:49:39.160 or a Friday.

00:49:40.440 It's really, really

00:49:41.520 hard to get anybody

00:49:42.400 just to fucking

00:49:43.240 show up.

00:49:44.980 So if you can't do

00:49:46.160 the first fucking

00:49:48.440 thing to make money,

00:49:49.940 you don't deserve

00:49:50.520 any money.

00:49:50.980 money, that's

00:49:52.900 first.

00:49:54.140 Do what you say

00:49:55.280 you're fucking 0.98

00:49:56.020 going to do.

00:49:58.260 Every other piece

00:49:59.220 of advice is

00:50:00.000 useless if you

00:50:01.740 can't do the

00:50:02.300 first one.

00:50:03.780 Useless.

00:50:05.180 You don't deserve

00:50:06.100 any help.

00:50:07.440 If that's your

00:50:08.060 mindset, you're

00:50:09.000 going to be poor

00:50:09.520 forever.

00:50:10.380 Just get used to

00:50:11.040 it.

00:50:12.600 All right.

00:50:14.140 With that, ladies

00:50:14.960 and gentlemen, is

00:50:15.820 my angry diatribe

00:50:17.180 for today.

00:50:18.580 I think we're

00:50:19.320 going to make a

00:50:19.700 little video on

00:50:20.880 the difference

00:50:21.380 between a

00:50:22.360 reframe and

00:50:23.860 regular advice.

00:50:25.720 Because a lot

00:50:26.100 of people have

00:50:26.600 said, oh, you've

00:50:27.720 got a bunch of

00:50:28.220 advice in there.

00:50:30.320 Not exactly.

00:50:31.880 Although some of

00:50:32.580 it is advice-y.

00:50:34.200 My book is

00:50:34.980 called Reframe

00:50:35.660 Your Brain.

00:50:36.920 And I call

00:50:38.280 them reframes,

00:50:39.640 but they do,

00:50:40.320 in fact, overlap

00:50:41.160 with advice.

00:50:42.080 I'll give you

00:50:42.460 the quick version

00:50:43.320 here, but I'll

00:50:44.720 probably make a

00:50:45.280 video about it

00:50:45.960 just for promotional

00:50:46.940 purposes.

00:50:48.220 The quick version

00:50:49.200 is this.

00:50:50.060 Advice is

00:50:50.800 telling you what

00:50:51.280 to do.

00:50:52.420 You should do

00:50:52.920 this.

00:50:54.220 That's advice.

00:50:55.720 Do this, don't do

00:50:56.620 that.

00:50:56.900 Do this, don't do

00:50:57.520 that.

00:50:58.060 A reframe is like

00:50:59.340 just adding some

00:51:00.200 code to your

00:51:01.260 brain.

00:51:02.240 It's like computer

00:51:02.960 code.

00:51:03.760 You just put in

00:51:04.500 some words that

00:51:05.280 are in a certain

00:51:05.760 order, and if

00:51:07.180 they're well

00:51:07.640 picked, you've

00:51:10.280 got the right

00:51:10.660 words in the

00:51:11.100 right order.

00:51:11.860 Simply putting it

00:51:12.720 in your head is

00:51:13.280 done.

00:51:14.480 That's it.

00:51:15.600 That's not

00:51:15.960 advice.

00:51:17.440 That's making

00:51:18.480 sure you have

00:51:19.120 your tools

00:51:19.840 working.

00:51:20.940 Now, you

00:51:21.260 could make a

00:51:22.260 case, well,

00:51:22.920 that's sort of

00:51:23.400 advice too, but

00:51:25.000 that's not the

00:51:25.440 way we think of

00:51:26.060 advice.

00:51:26.980 I'm talking about

00:51:27.820 something that

00:51:28.680 just makes you

00:51:29.940 more efficient for

00:51:31.400 everything you do.

00:51:32.500 That's what a

00:51:32.940 reframe will give

00:51:33.640 you.

00:51:34.340 There's reframes 0.67

00:51:35.100 for different

00:51:35.520 areas.

00:51:37.540 Once you learn

00:51:38.900 that critical

00:51:39.500 difference, that a

00:51:41.000 reframe doesn't

00:51:41.740 have to be

00:51:42.200 logical.

00:51:42.720 It doesn't

00:51:43.960 have to be

00:51:44.620 advice.

00:51:46.380 It doesn't

00:51:46.840 have to be a

00:51:47.320 plan.

00:51:48.420 It doesn't

00:51:48.820 have to be

00:51:49.220 factual.

00:51:50.340 And it doesn't

00:51:51.100 even need to

00:51:51.680 make sense.

00:51:53.460 And it can

00:51:53.900 still do

00:51:54.300 everything it

00:51:54.820 needs to do

00:51:55.440 because that's

00:51:56.760 how AI works.

00:51:58.540 AI doesn't do 0.88

00:51:59.340 thinking the way

00:52:00.800 it's currently

00:52:01.600 built.

00:52:02.260 It's just word

00:52:03.080 combinations.

00:52:04.300 The combination

00:52:05.060 of words

00:52:05.680 themselves creates

00:52:07.600 intelligence with

00:52:08.540 AI.

00:52:09.100 That with some

00:52:11.400 clever programming

00:52:12.340 and transforms

00:52:13.100 gives you

00:52:14.060 something that

00:52:14.540 we recognize

00:52:15.200 as intelligence.

00:52:16.300 But people are

00:52:17.040 not that different

00:52:17.700 than AI.

00:52:19.060 We have this

00:52:19.640 pseudo-intelligence

00:52:20.720 that is just the

00:52:21.460 way our words

00:52:22.180 are combined

00:52:22.940 in our head.

00:52:24.420 For example,

00:52:26.240 if you see a

00:52:27.560 tennis player who

00:52:29.000 yells at

00:52:29.940 themselves when

00:52:30.680 they miss a

00:52:31.120 shot,

00:52:32.000 stupid, 0.98

00:52:32.900 Scott,

00:52:33.280 you're so

00:52:33.560 stupid. 0.90

00:52:34.700 Have you ever

00:52:35.100 seen that?

00:52:36.080 So those are

00:52:36.760 words that

00:52:37.300 somebody's putting

00:52:37.860 in their head

00:52:38.340 in a certain

00:52:38.780 order, and

00:52:39.300 that's a bad

00:52:39.880 set of words.

00:52:40.520 So instead,

00:52:43.400 you put better

00:52:44.280 words in there

00:52:44.860 to replace

00:52:45.400 them.

00:52:46.900 You just

00:52:47.340 say,

00:52:48.140 next shot's

00:52:50.080 going to be

00:52:50.360 great, or

00:52:52.120 I'm totally

00:52:52.600 going to win

00:52:52.980 this no matter

00:52:53.720 what.

00:52:54.540 So when I

00:52:55.080 would miss a

00:52:55.540 shot in

00:52:55.960 tennis, I

00:52:57.440 would try to

00:52:58.000 forget the

00:52:58.620 shot I missed

00:52:59.200 as soon as

00:52:59.700 possible.

00:53:00.940 And the way

00:53:01.300 I would do

00:53:01.800 it was I

00:53:02.560 would imagine

00:53:03.100 myself winning

00:53:03.820 in the end,

00:53:04.960 because that's

00:53:05.780 visual.

00:53:06.880 So I'd take

00:53:07.340 myself to that

00:53:08.060 visual ending

00:53:09.180 where my

00:53:10.120 opponent is

00:53:10.700 surprised that

00:53:11.320 I came from

00:53:11.800 behind.

00:53:12.860 I just

00:53:13.080 visualize that,

00:53:13.780 because that's

00:53:14.020 more powerful

00:53:14.660 than that one

00:53:15.640 shot you just

00:53:16.220 missed.

00:53:17.160 So as soon as

00:53:17.960 I missed a

00:53:18.380 shot, I go

00:53:18.920 boom, right

00:53:19.940 to the future.

00:53:20.900 I win in the

00:53:21.500 end.

00:53:22.420 Missed a shot?

00:53:23.000 I don't even

00:53:23.320 remember.

00:53:24.380 Did I miss a

00:53:24.940 shot?

00:53:25.180 I can't even

00:53:25.540 remember.

00:53:26.340 I'm winning in

00:53:26.900 the end.

00:53:27.880 So that's how

00:53:29.720 just putting

00:53:30.180 different words

00:53:30.880 in your head

00:53:31.380 changes everything.

00:53:34.060 Just words.

00:53:35.060 It's just a

00:53:35.600 combination of

00:53:36.300 words you put

00:53:36.820 in your head.

00:53:37.240 So that's

00:53:38.120 not advice.

00:53:39.860 There is some

00:53:40.580 advice that's

00:53:42.040 sort of weaved

00:53:43.040 into the

00:53:44.140 reframes, but

00:53:45.580 that's not the

00:53:46.100 powerful part.

00:53:46.900 The powerful part

00:53:47.660 is that you can

00:53:48.160 just reprogram your

00:53:49.180 brain directly.

00:53:51.000 And that takes

00:53:52.420 a little explaining,

00:53:53.160 so I'll probably

00:53:53.540 do a little video

00:53:54.120 on it.

00:53:54.780 Thanks for

00:53:55.200 listening,

00:53:56.340 everybody.

00:53:57.420 Did I miss

00:53:57.920 any stories that

00:53:59.520 you wish I had

00:54:00.820 talked about?

00:54:01.920 Well,

00:54:02.040 just looking to

00:54:10.140 see if I missed

00:54:10.640 anything.

00:54:15.100 Oh, and also

00:54:16.320 I'm hearing good

00:54:17.800 things about the

00:54:18.920 Triggernometry 0.94

00:54:19.880 podcast that's

00:54:21.380 available now that

00:54:22.380 features me.

00:54:23.480 So look for the

00:54:25.220 Triggernometry 0.94

00:54:25.960 podcast.

00:54:27.880 I'm hearing good

00:54:28.640 things.

00:54:29.080 I haven't rewatched

00:54:30.320 it, but I

00:54:30.680 remember it went

00:54:31.320 well, so I

00:54:32.080 think you'll

00:54:32.420 enjoy it.

00:54:33.680 I also talked

00:54:35.420 to James

00:54:36.380 Altucher

00:54:36.920 yesterday, and

00:54:39.340 I think that's

00:54:39.880 going to be,

00:54:41.000 I think that

00:54:42.080 might be one of

00:54:42.560 the best

00:54:42.900 interviews I've

00:54:43.500 ever given.

00:54:44.780 So wait for

00:54:45.840 that one.

00:54:46.260 We don't have

00:54:46.660 a release on

00:54:47.800 that one, but

00:54:49.180 you'll see that.

00:54:50.240 So I'm probably

00:54:51.620 going to keep

00:54:53.440 doing podcasts.

00:54:55.540 I took a few

00:54:56.680 years off from

00:54:57.480 appearing on

00:54:58.060 podcasts, but I

00:54:59.560 think now that

00:55:00.140 the book is

00:55:00.580 written,

00:55:01.320 and I

00:55:01.860 have something

00:55:02.640 specific to

00:55:03.380 talk about.

00:55:04.180 I'll probably

00:55:04.600 go on a lot

00:55:05.100 of podcasts

00:55:05.640 remotely.

00:55:08.080 So you

00:55:10.460 handle yourself

00:55:11.140 very well.

00:55:12.980 I always

00:55:13.700 laugh at the

00:55:15.060 compliments that

00:55:15.820 don't sound like

00:55:16.440 compliments.

00:55:17.680 Was it

00:55:18.100 yesterday?

00:55:18.500 What was the

00:55:18.860 one?

00:55:20.060 Somebody said

00:55:20.800 about my

00:55:21.200 interview on

00:55:21.940 Triggernometry 0.94

00:55:22.700 that the hosts

00:55:24.480 are very smart,

00:55:25.760 but they thought I

00:55:26.900 quote, held my

00:55:27.760 own.

00:55:28.040 And I

00:55:30.180 thought, I

00:55:31.260 don't think

00:55:31.540 that's quite the

00:55:32.080 compliment that

00:55:32.720 you imagined it

00:55:33.340 was.

00:55:34.800 He held my

00:55:35.460 own.

00:55:36.400 Do you think I

00:55:37.220 was on the

00:55:37.920 border of

00:55:38.480 breaking down?

00:55:40.680 Did it look like

00:55:41.580 I was on the

00:55:42.060 edge?

00:55:43.300 Was I almost

00:55:44.140 going to

00:55:44.780 implode?

00:55:46.100 I thought it

00:55:46.820 was just a

00:55:47.240 conversation.

00:55:48.100 I didn't know I

00:55:48.560 was holding my

00:55:49.140 own.

00:55:49.400 Anyway, but I

00:55:53.040 appreciate the

00:55:53.880 semi-compliment,

00:55:55.320 I guess.

00:55:57.520 And how

00:55:58.820 could you tell

00:55:59.280 I was holding

00:55:59.720 my own?

00:56:00.260 That's sort of a

00:56:00.780 Jeffrey Toobin

00:56:01.340 joke.

00:56:02.480 All right.

00:56:04.880 Yeah, we

00:56:05.480 talked about

00:56:05.940 cough suppressant,

00:56:06.800 not cough

00:56:07.320 suppressants,

00:56:08.660 decongestants.

00:56:11.120 That for all

00:56:11.860 these years,

00:56:13.280 the decongestants,

00:56:14.460 the say

00:56:14.760 decongestant,

00:56:15.560 they were never

00:56:16.560 real.

00:56:17.520 They were all

00:56:17.940 placebos.

00:56:19.400 And then we

00:56:20.200 just found out

00:56:20.900 when the FDA

00:56:21.920 banned the 0.98

00:56:22.400 ball.

00:56:23.780 Banned all the 1.00

00:56:24.300 ones with a

00:56:24.920 certain popular

00:56:26.420 ingredient.

00:56:28.940 You look great

00:56:29.640 for a change.

00:56:30.940 Yeah.

00:56:33.060 All right.

00:56:34.440 Ladies and 0.98

00:56:35.160 gentlemen, this

00:56:35.840 concludes the

00:56:36.580 best live stream

00:56:37.360 you've seen

00:56:38.020 all day.

00:56:40.220 And I'll be

00:56:42.180 back tomorrow.

00:56:42.920 I might be

00:56:43.400 in my man cave

00:56:45.180 streaming.

00:56:46.440 Those of you

00:56:47.220 who are not on

00:56:47.760 the locals

00:56:48.180 platforms,

00:56:48.740 scottadams.locals.com

00:56:50.880 You're missing

00:56:51.780 so much.

00:56:53.360 So much.

00:56:54.680 Bye for now.

00:56:59.860 I hate

00:57:02.440 signing off

00:57:03.040 because I

00:57:03.420 just look

00:57:03.920 uncoordinated.

00:57:05.580 It's hard to

00:57:06.020 hit these

00:57:06.300 little buttons.

00:57:06.980 All right,

00:57:07.180 YouTube,

00:57:07.580 thanks for

00:57:07.940 joining.

00:57:08.160 We'll be right back.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 14, 2023

Episode 2231 Scott Adams： I Explain Why Learning Magic Tricks Helps You Understand Today's News

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