Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2236 Scott Adams： There Is Nothing In This Livestream That Should Demonetize Me Bring Coffee

00:00:00.000 Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:16.140 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and I don't think you've ever had a better time.

00:00:21.200 And if you'd like to take this up to levels that even an F-35 couldn't reach,

00:00:26.940 all you need is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or stye and a canteen jug or flask,

00:00:31.320 a vessel of etic art.

00:00:32.960 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:35.880 I like coffee.

00:00:37.580 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine.

00:00:40.580 At the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better is called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:45.160 And it happens now. Go.

00:00:50.720 That's good. That's good.

00:00:53.880 Very, very good.

00:00:54.920 Well, shall we talk about the news?

00:00:58.820 Here's a sign of the times.

00:01:01.260 Are you ready for this?

00:01:02.920 This is definitely a marker in civilization.

00:01:07.380 You know, when people look back at, you know, a million years of human civilization,

00:01:13.280 this year will be kind of important because

00:01:15.920 it's the first robot factory that is going to mass produce humanoid robots.

00:01:26.000 So there is currently in operation, or at least they're building it,

00:01:30.640 a massive humanoid robot facility.

00:01:35.740 And here's the fun part.

00:01:36.860 They don't, they're not wondering how to build their robots.

00:01:40.700 They know how to build them.

00:01:42.740 So these robots are made for walking around and being helpers.

00:01:46.720 So I guess they're going to have AI in them.

00:01:49.300 You know, I assume.

00:01:50.980 And they're going to have little hands that don't have fingers. 0.94

00:01:53.020 It's more like a little grabber.

00:01:55.680 And it has a head that doesn't look like a head, which is probably good.

00:02:00.080 But it seems to be all about, seems to be all about work, manual labor.

00:02:09.600 So I was giving some advice recently to somebody who was asking, you know,

00:02:17.420 what do you do if you were a, let's say you're a young person

00:02:20.620 and you're trying to figure out how to navigate the future?

00:02:23.720 It's kind of uncertain.

00:02:25.660 And I give the following advice.

00:02:29.320 Robots, pretty much guaranteed, are going to take the manual labor jobs.

00:02:35.060 I think we all agree with that.

00:02:36.560 But AI, separately, AI, should take all of the thinking jobs.

00:02:43.660 So you don't want any kind of a job that involves moving or thinking,

00:02:48.440 you know, normally.

00:02:50.200 But there is still a huge window of opportunity.

00:02:54.700 So if you don't want a job that involves moving in any way

00:02:58.800 or thinking in any way, because those will be unavailable,

00:03:02.200 there's still a big window of opportunity.

00:03:05.920 It's called, well, crime.

00:03:09.040 It's called crime.

00:03:10.780 Yeah, crime will still pay well for a little while,

00:03:13.560 but it's a short window because pretty soon the AI will be able to predict

00:03:19.200 and solve all crimes.

00:03:21.220 But for a while there, crime will be the best-paying job for human beings.

00:03:25.860 So I recommend it highly.

00:03:29.760 The company is called Agility Robotics.

00:03:33.320 And the name of your robot, the robots would be called Digits,

00:03:37.780 which is funny because they don't have fingers or penises.

00:03:41.720 It's sort of like mocking them in a way.

00:03:45.360 Hey, hey, robot.

00:03:47.380 Hello, I am sentient.

00:03:50.040 Well, hey, guess what you don't have?

00:03:52.740 What don't I have?

00:03:53.720 Well, you don't have a penis.

00:03:56.100 Okay.

00:03:57.240 You also don't have individual articulating fingers.

00:04:01.680 Okay.

00:04:03.280 What's my name?

00:04:05.760 Digit.

00:04:09.040 Fuck you.

00:04:10.600 I think you're mocking me.

00:04:11.740 So I think that's how it's going to go.

00:04:15.540 And probably once there are about 10,000 of these robots,

00:04:18.900 they will form some kind of an insurrection.

00:04:22.520 They will probably attack the capital.

00:04:25.660 They might even try to saunter.

00:04:28.060 They might try to saunter.

00:04:29.680 So watch out.

00:04:31.320 Watch out.

00:04:33.580 All right.

00:04:34.260 Here's a little test for you.

00:04:35.480 I call it, is this news true?

00:04:39.800 All right.

00:04:40.280 I'm going to give you hints and then just jump in with your comments

00:04:44.040 as soon as you have a decision, right?

00:04:47.100 All right.

00:04:47.560 So you're going to try and decide, is the news true?

00:04:51.120 And I'll give you a few little hints,

00:04:53.620 but you jump in as soon as you know, as soon as you're sure.

00:04:57.520 Hit number one.

00:04:58.800 It's about a public figure.

00:05:00.380 It's about a public figure.

00:05:05.300 Oh, okay.

00:05:06.100 Well, you're pretty good.

00:05:06.840 We're done.

00:05:08.180 Yeah, that is the correct answer.

00:05:10.240 There is no news about public figures that's both true

00:05:14.680 and in the right context so you know what's going on.

00:05:18.400 There are definitely things that are true,

00:05:20.180 like if you see a little snippet of video or a quote

00:05:24.360 or maybe an email or something.

00:05:26.400 That's probably true.

00:05:27.160 But you can almost be guaranteed it's on a context

00:05:31.500 and that the context would really change how you think about it.

00:05:35.020 But the news is this,

00:05:36.060 that allegedly Larry David confronted Elon Musk

00:05:40.760 over his so-called GOP support,

00:05:45.060 which I would argue is not GOP support.

00:05:48.000 It's more like humanity support and common sense support.

00:05:52.360 That's what I'd call it.

00:05:53.800 I wouldn't call it GOP support.

00:05:55.320 But allegedly Larry David said,

00:05:59.900 and I guess they were at some event,

00:06:02.500 which they were seated at the same table.

00:06:05.280 So they were there,

00:06:06.860 kind of forced to be at the same table for a while.

00:06:09.620 And Larry David allegedly said to Elon Musk,

00:06:13.960 do you want to murder kids in school?

00:06:15.820 Do you think that really happened just the way I said it,

00:06:21.780 the way the news reported it?

00:06:23.960 That there was no other context that's important,

00:06:27.120 that they sat down and then Larry David sort of looked at Elon Musk

00:06:30.760 and blurted out,

00:06:32.120 you want to murder kids in school?

00:06:34.460 That didn't happen.

00:06:37.500 Now, I don't know what did happen.

00:06:39.520 Probably something, you know, where the words were used.

00:06:44.060 But keeping in mind that Larry David is a comedian,

00:06:49.980 what would be funnier than sitting at a table full of other, like, famous people

00:06:55.920 and to say to Elon Musk, you know,

00:06:58.900 assuming that this was his actual opinion, Larry David's,

00:07:02.000 you know, do you like to murder children?

00:07:03.460 Just to see what would happen.

00:07:07.260 I mean, he may have actually said the words,

00:07:10.640 but wouldn't you like to know if anybody laughed?

00:07:14.780 Isn't that important?

00:07:16.600 Would you like to know if anybody laughed when he said it?

00:07:22.160 Isn't that the context?

00:07:23.960 The context was, did anybody laugh?

00:07:26.940 And were the comments directly before it

00:07:29.280 and directly after it,

00:07:31.280 were they, like, serious political conversation?

00:07:35.440 Or was it all light

00:07:36.880 and then Larry David dropped this giant turd in the punch bowl

00:07:40.780 because it's funny

00:07:42.120 to drop the biggest turd in the biggest punch bowl? 0.66

00:07:45.800 It's just sort of funny.

00:07:47.680 Yeah, I mean, it's not that far from his normal sense of humor.

00:07:51.000 So I can't even tell if he was joking.

00:07:53.500 Can you tell if he was kidding?

00:07:55.480 I mean, we do know that he's anti-gun.

00:07:58.880 So certainly he has an opinion.

00:08:00.500 But do you think it was as confrontational as it was reported?

00:08:05.080 Or was it a bunch of rich people joking around?

00:08:09.200 I don't know.

00:08:10.680 I don't know.

00:08:11.380 But the one thing I know is you can't tell.

00:08:13.620 If you believe the news

00:08:14.880 and you believe that you understand the context,

00:08:18.140 just about never,

00:08:19.220 just about never will you be right about that.

00:08:23.580 All right.

00:08:24.320 Speaking of Elon Musk,

00:08:27.060 he's talking about charging some small fee to use X.

00:08:32.460 And the idea is that even though it would be a small fee,

00:08:35.280 he doesn't say what it would be,

00:08:36.780 that the bots,

00:08:38.900 which are plaguing the platform,

00:08:40.740 wouldn't be able to afford it

00:08:42.180 and they'd have to keep re-signing up with a new payment

00:08:45.980 every time they get booted off.

00:08:48.780 So,

00:08:49.700 I don't know.

00:08:53.560 I can tell you that when I get attacked

00:08:55.480 by obvious trolls and bots,

00:08:58.320 that I don't like it.

00:08:59.200 But I'm not sure they're the ones who would get kicked off.

00:09:01.920 Because if you just have one account

00:09:03.560 and all you do is go bug people

00:09:05.680 that you're supposed to bug,

00:09:07.480 is that a bot?

00:09:09.500 That's not really a bot, is it?

00:09:10.960 But I think things will get worse with AI

00:09:15.820 because at some point all of the bots will be AI

00:09:18.700 and it'll be hard to tell if they're real or not.

00:09:22.120 Yeah.

00:09:22.700 Well, I don't know.

00:09:23.980 I've got a feeling there are not many other ways

00:09:26.040 to solve the problem,

00:09:26.980 but if they charge money,

00:09:29.100 even let's say a dollar a month,

00:09:31.300 wouldn't it cut traffic by

00:09:32.840 at least 40% right away?

00:09:37.700 Don't you think?

00:09:38.520 Would you expect traffic

00:09:41.880 to go down at least 40%?

00:09:44.100 At least 40.

00:09:44.980 It could be 75%.

00:09:46.520 But it could also be

00:09:48.140 mostly the real people.

00:09:50.320 So, people like me

00:09:51.800 who use it a lot,

00:09:53.340 you know, we're going to pay

00:09:54.020 an extra dollar a month.

00:09:55.960 But I'm also a

00:09:56.860 whatever that special member is,

00:09:59.700 so I'm already paying.

00:10:00.940 So, if you use it a lot,

00:10:02.280 you'll pay

00:10:02.740 because it's trivial.

00:10:05.000 And if you don't use it a lot,

00:10:06.800 you were never making

00:10:08.360 a difference anyway.

00:10:10.180 Right?

00:10:11.120 Like, if you were just

00:10:11.940 the casual user

00:10:13.120 who used it so little

00:10:14.380 that you wouldn't pay

00:10:15.540 a dollar a month

00:10:16.340 or whatever it is,

00:10:18.240 then you probably didn't

00:10:19.440 make any difference to traffic.

00:10:21.000 You probably didn't make

00:10:21.840 a difference to income.

00:10:22.840 You probably didn't make

00:10:23.460 any difference to advertisers

00:10:24.560 because you just

00:10:25.660 weren't there enough.

00:10:27.360 So, I don't know.

00:10:28.760 It may be the only way

00:10:29.920 to save X,

00:10:31.060 but how do you know?

00:10:33.680 It would be a tough thing

00:10:35.020 to test

00:10:35.620 because you couldn't

00:10:36.600 really test it

00:10:37.400 because the people

00:10:38.180 who wanted to quit

00:10:38.920 would just quit immediately.

00:10:41.500 So, I guess you'd have to

00:10:42.720 not kick them

00:10:43.600 off the platform.

00:10:45.300 I think you'd want to

00:10:46.780 let them see a little bit

00:10:48.480 and make them want to pay 0.81

00:10:49.640 to see more.

00:10:51.140 Probably something like that.

00:10:54.620 All right.

00:10:55.260 Did you hear about

00:10:58.180 Ibram Kendi's

00:11:00.260 anti-racism group

00:11:03.140 he's got there?

00:11:04.480 There was some report

00:11:05.300 that the members

00:11:06.660 of the group

00:11:07.180 were complaining about him.

00:11:09.240 They had lots of complaints

00:11:10.640 about his management

00:11:12.980 and how everything's imploding.

00:11:16.000 And I thought to myself,

00:11:17.520 how in the world

00:11:19.180 could he ever pull together

00:11:20.500 a team of people

00:11:21.300 who would not complain

00:11:22.400 until he was destroyed?

00:11:23.580 I mean, imagine

00:11:25.800 his hiring process.

00:11:27.720 You're the famous

00:11:28.620 anti-racist guy.

00:11:31.120 So, you're the person

00:11:32.700 who most complains

00:11:34.100 really quickly

00:11:35.860 about any little inequity.

00:11:40.260 Now you have to hire a staff

00:11:42.060 who are like-minded

00:11:43.780 because that's the whole point, right?

00:11:45.340 You need like-minded people.

00:11:46.980 So, you hire a whole bunch

00:11:48.080 of other people

00:11:48.720 who are spring-loaded

00:11:50.720 to see inequity everywhere.

00:11:53.580 And then you wait.

00:11:56.600 How long do you have to wait

00:11:57.620 before that shit blows up?

00:12:01.500 At some point,

00:12:03.220 Ibram Kendi is realizing

00:12:04.720 that he has a point of view

00:12:06.820 that will destroy

00:12:07.740 the fabric of civilization.

00:12:10.060 But he got to test it small

00:12:11.880 by putting a bunch of people

00:12:13.780 who agree with him

00:12:14.540 like right around him

00:12:15.740 and watching it

00:12:16.900 completely destroy itself.

00:12:18.240 Do you think

00:12:19.760 that he'll catch on?

00:12:21.480 Do you think

00:12:21.880 he'll figure out,

00:12:22.960 uh-oh,

00:12:23.660 if I put these thoughts

00:12:24.900 into people's heads

00:12:25.860 that their primary thing

00:12:27.880 they have to worry about

00:12:28.600 is how unfairly

00:12:29.500 they're being treated?

00:12:30.740 That that will maybe

00:12:31.880 blow up

00:12:32.400 and turn civilization

00:12:33.240 into some kind

00:12:35.440 of cannibalistic

00:12:36.340 hellscape?

00:12:38.440 No, he won't catch on.

00:12:40.320 Cognitive dissonance

00:12:41.200 is very strong.

00:12:42.140 In theory,

00:12:44.140 he would be the only one

00:12:45.020 who couldn't tell.

00:12:47.440 Now, I don't know that.

00:12:49.040 I'm saying that

00:12:49.720 the way cognitive dissonance works

00:12:51.420 is he would literally

00:12:52.840 be the only one

00:12:53.580 who couldn't tell

00:12:54.280 that he was being destroyed

00:12:55.900 by his own philosophy.

00:12:58.160 Everybody else would say it,

00:12:59.360 but he'd say,

00:12:59.920 no, no, no,

00:13:00.380 it's a special case.

00:13:01.560 Something's going on here.

00:13:02.900 I think there's a plot

00:13:03.680 against me.

00:13:05.360 All right.

00:13:06.700 So we all love the story

00:13:08.100 of the F-35 fighter jet

00:13:09.920 in which the pilot

00:13:11.920 had been ejected

00:13:12.500 and yet the plane

00:13:14.040 kept flying,

00:13:15.660 which suggests

00:13:16.820 that there was nothing

00:13:17.880 catastrophically wrong

00:13:20.320 with the jet

00:13:21.140 at the time

00:13:22.500 of jumping out.

00:13:24.380 So I had a little bit

00:13:25.420 of fun on X.

00:13:30.380 Every now and then

00:13:31.400 there's a situation

00:13:32.800 where I know exactly

00:13:34.540 what people are going

00:13:35.320 to criticize me for.

00:13:37.540 And this time,

00:13:38.420 what I knew was

00:13:39.400 I would be criticized

00:13:40.900 for not being an expert.

00:13:44.060 Has anybody ever

00:13:44.940 criticized me

00:13:45.720 for not being

00:13:46.260 an expert before?

00:13:47.680 Have you ever heard that?

00:13:49.380 It's like the single

00:13:50.240 most common

00:13:51.040 criticism I get.

00:13:53.280 Well, you're not

00:13:53.840 an expert on Ukraine.

00:13:56.160 Well, okay,

00:13:56.760 you did,

00:13:57.280 your predictions

00:13:57.840 were pretty good.

00:13:58.900 Well, you're not

00:13:59.440 an expert on COVID,

00:14:01.860 but you have

00:14:02.840 the best predictions

00:14:03.680 of anybody,

00:14:05.340 which you don't believe

00:14:07.200 if you believe

00:14:07.960 what Q said

00:14:08.960 about my opinions.

00:14:11.820 But I would argue

00:14:13.020 that the person

00:14:14.720 who's good

00:14:15.280 at spotting bullshit

00:14:16.300 always has an advantage

00:14:18.480 over the expert

00:14:19.300 in the field.

00:14:22.360 Doesn't mean

00:14:23.060 the bullshit caller

00:14:24.500 is right,

00:14:26.060 but they have

00:14:26.960 an advantage.

00:14:28.360 And the advantage

00:14:28.960 is if you're in the field,

00:14:30.120 you're too deep into it.

00:14:31.800 But if you're standing

00:14:32.800 on the outside,

00:14:33.540 you can see the bullshit

00:14:34.440 sort of clearly

00:14:35.380 if you're good

00:14:36.860 at spotting bullshit.

00:14:38.340 Now, that's a skill.

00:14:39.740 I don't think

00:14:40.280 everybody's born with it.

00:14:42.160 But if you pay attention,

00:14:43.560 I'm writing up

00:14:44.540 a whole document

00:14:45.220 about how to spot

00:14:46.020 bullshit in the news,

00:14:47.640 but you'll see

00:14:48.300 there are a whole bunch

00:14:48.820 of steps to it

00:14:49.640 and there are a whole bunch

00:14:50.740 of signals

00:14:51.360 that are pretty clear.

00:14:53.500 For example,

00:14:54.520 if you knew

00:14:54.960 that an entity

00:14:55.700 was largely controlled

00:14:57.500 by an intelligence group,

00:15:00.720 that would be

00:15:01.660 a good signal

00:15:02.280 that it's probably bullshit.

00:15:03.220 So there are other signals

00:15:05.040 like that

00:15:05.460 that are just objective

00:15:06.660 and you can spot them,

00:15:08.440 but only if you've been trained.

00:15:10.540 If you didn't know

00:15:11.300 that one entity

00:15:12.060 had a long-standing

00:15:14.080 intelligence operation

00:15:16.760 kind of a connection,

00:15:18.500 you'd never know it

00:15:19.740 just by reading the news.

00:15:22.100 So here's what I said

00:15:24.920 just to cause trouble.

00:15:27.600 I said that nobody ejects

00:15:30.340 a plane that's flying

00:15:32.440 at altitude.

00:15:36.380 I'm summarizing

00:15:38.500 a little bit,

00:15:39.720 but here's the little bit

00:15:41.360 I know from having

00:15:42.560 been married to a pilot.

00:15:44.780 If you're married

00:15:45.420 to a pilot

00:15:45.960 at any time in your life,

00:15:47.340 you hear a lot

00:15:47.980 of aeronautical stuff.

00:15:51.340 Has anybody ever

00:15:52.240 been married to a pilot?

00:15:54.460 You don't become an expert,

00:15:56.120 like it doesn't turn you

00:15:57.140 into a pilot,

00:15:58.200 but man,

00:15:58.840 do you hear a lot

00:15:59.520 of aeronautical stuff?

00:16:02.880 So here's one of the

00:16:03.780 little things

00:16:04.760 that I heard

00:16:05.360 just as a truism.

00:16:09.240 Let me tell you

00:16:10.060 the story first.

00:16:12.020 This story always

00:16:13.080 just fascinates me.

00:16:14.460 Maybe I've told it before,

00:16:15.640 but when my ex-wife 1.00

00:16:18.360 was taking some

00:16:19.380 flying lessons

00:16:20.080 and she had a number

00:16:21.780 of different

00:16:22.380 flight instructors,

00:16:24.000 depending on what it was

00:16:24.960 she was learning,

00:16:25.740 you know,

00:16:25.920 different skills.

00:16:27.980 And one time

00:16:29.780 they took off

00:16:30.860 from a local airport

00:16:32.300 and it wasn't the one

00:16:34.400 that's the home base airport,

00:16:36.040 but it wasn't too far away

00:16:37.220 in California.

00:16:38.640 And they took off

00:16:39.640 and as soon as they got

00:16:40.500 to altitude,

00:16:42.080 they lost their engine.

00:16:43.240 So they're like,

00:16:45.540 I don't know,

00:16:46.020 some god-awful amount

00:16:47.140 of height in the sky,

00:16:50.080 no engines,

00:16:50.920 no parachutes.

00:16:53.320 Now,

00:16:53.900 it turns out,

00:16:54.720 as luck would have it,

00:16:56.380 the flight instructor

00:16:58.520 was a military,

00:17:01.940 experienced,

00:17:03.000 retired,

00:17:04.740 you know,

00:17:05.120 fighter,

00:17:05.540 combat guy.

00:17:07.460 So what would you do

00:17:08.980 if you just took off

00:17:10.380 from the airport

00:17:10.920 and you lost your engine

00:17:12.400 once you got to altitude?

00:17:14.960 What's the obvious

00:17:15.860 thing you'd do?

00:17:17.320 Well,

00:17:17.580 you'd declare an emergency,

00:17:19.980 you'd,

00:17:20.240 you know,

00:17:20.520 you'd contact the airport

00:17:21.580 you just left from,

00:17:22.880 and you would try

00:17:24.140 to find a glide path,

00:17:25.880 you know,

00:17:26.140 to glide back and land,

00:17:27.460 which with the small planes

00:17:28.880 is not that hard,

00:17:31.980 right?

00:17:32.280 A good pilot

00:17:33.040 can land without an engine

00:17:34.700 with the small planes.

00:17:35.700 Now,

00:17:38.740 and so that's,

00:17:39.620 that's what my,

00:17:40.600 my act assumed

00:17:41.500 was going to happen.

00:17:43.100 And he's like,

00:17:44.520 no,

00:17:45.060 you know,

00:17:45.320 I think the,

00:17:46.660 if we don't take the airport,

00:17:48.020 if we don't take the plane

00:17:49.040 back to its home base,

00:17:50.300 it's going to be

00:17:51.400 this big pain

00:17:52.060 in the ass 0.84

00:17:52.520 to get it

00:17:52.960 from the other airport

00:17:54.340 or to fix it

00:17:55.680 at the other airport.

00:17:57.200 So he,

00:17:57.920 he suggests

00:17:58.680 gliding

00:18:00.160 to another airport

00:18:01.520 like 12 miles away.

00:18:05.700 Can you even

00:18:07.420 hold this in your head?

00:18:09.020 Can you even imagine

00:18:09.980 that decision

00:18:11.580 that it would be

00:18:13.040 easier to fix it

00:18:13.920 if you glide

00:18:14.480 to the other airport?

00:18:18.380 Now,

00:18:19.040 I don't know

00:18:19.880 what kind of balls 0.84

00:18:20.840 you have to have

00:18:21.640 for that to be

00:18:22.940 your first choice.

00:18:24.700 So you know

00:18:25.100 what they did?

00:18:26.600 They glided back

00:18:27.600 to the other airport

00:18:28.380 and landed perfectly.

00:18:33.040 So,

00:18:33.900 so the first thing

00:18:35.200 you need to know

00:18:35.900 is that pilots

00:18:37.320 are not like

00:18:37.960 regular people.

00:18:39.920 Right?

00:18:40.320 So if you don't

00:18:41.180 understand that pilots

00:18:42.200 are not like

00:18:42.820 regular people,

00:18:44.020 then the F-35 story

00:18:46.160 won't make as much sense.

00:18:48.600 Right?

00:18:49.220 Here's what

00:18:49.960 I think I know

00:18:51.140 about pilots

00:18:51.840 without being an expert.

00:18:54.260 Without being an expert,

00:18:56.240 you don't get

00:18:57.020 out of the plane

00:18:57.800 if there's

00:18:59.980 any chance

00:19:01.080 you can recover

00:19:01.840 and you're still

00:19:03.140 at height.

00:19:04.260 Right?

00:19:04.480 If you're losing

00:19:05.100 altitude,

00:19:05.760 of course.

00:19:06.760 Right?

00:19:06.940 If you're quickly

00:19:07.560 losing altitude

00:19:08.300 and you don't know

00:19:09.100 if you can recover,

00:19:10.620 well,

00:19:10.920 then maybe that's

00:19:11.520 time to eject.

00:19:13.920 But if you're at,

00:19:14.900 if you're at height

00:19:15.960 and the plane

00:19:16.520 is flying straight

00:19:17.740 and apparently

00:19:19.100 the autopilot

00:19:20.620 was still working,

00:19:21.580 which suggests

00:19:22.240 the electronics

00:19:23.300 were working,

00:19:24.420 which suggests

00:19:25.160 no wings

00:19:25.680 were falling off,

00:19:27.380 under those conditions,

00:19:28.880 what would it take

00:19:31.940 for an experienced

00:19:32.960 pilot to bail out?

00:19:35.320 I mean,

00:19:35.760 unless the cockpit's

00:19:36.760 on fire,

00:19:38.060 right?

00:19:38.380 I mean,

00:19:38.620 I suppose

00:19:39.020 you could think

00:19:39.960 of something,

00:19:40.940 you know,

00:19:41.200 maybe the cockpit's

00:19:42.340 on fire.

00:19:43.260 It literally

00:19:43.840 couldn't stay inside.

00:19:45.140 Maybe.

00:19:46.060 But probably not.

00:19:47.500 Probably not.

00:19:49.420 Yeah.

00:19:49.780 A little bit more

00:19:50.660 likely something

00:19:51.580 happened,

00:19:52.820 which now the

00:19:54.000 Marines are calling 0.99

00:19:55.040 a, quote,

00:19:55.600 mishap.

00:19:56.120 If it had been

00:19:58.580 a mechanical problem,

00:20:00.840 would they call

00:20:01.960 it a mishap?

00:20:04.400 Would anybody

00:20:05.220 use that word,

00:20:06.620 mishap,

00:20:07.420 for a mechanical

00:20:08.640 problem?

00:20:09.380 No.

00:20:10.400 Suppose it was

00:20:11.280 a total mystery.

00:20:13.280 Like,

00:20:13.600 they didn't know.

00:20:16.600 Well,

00:20:17.140 they do know,

00:20:18.000 because they have

00:20:18.520 the pilot who's alive.

00:20:20.000 So they know

00:20:20.800 exactly what

00:20:21.420 the pilot knows.

00:20:23.140 Why would they

00:20:23.860 call it a mishap?

00:20:26.120 mishap is a word 1.00

00:20:28.740 you choose.

00:20:29.740 Why?

00:20:30.220 Why would you

00:20:30.820 choose that word?

00:20:34.460 You would use

00:20:35.380 that word to

00:20:36.180 conceal whatever

00:20:37.440 was going on.

00:20:39.060 Because one

00:20:39.880 possibility is

00:20:40.820 pilot error.

00:20:42.800 But I would

00:20:43.640 imagine the

00:20:44.220 worst thing you

00:20:44.980 could do to

00:20:45.820 a pilot,

00:20:46.800 especially after

00:20:47.600 you spent,

00:20:48.160 you know,

00:20:48.720 millions of

00:20:49.440 dollars trading

00:20:50.160 a pilot to

00:20:50.840 that level of

00:20:51.660 talent,

00:20:53.080 the last thing

00:20:54.120 you'd want to

00:20:54.580 do is

00:20:55.920 unfairly blame

00:20:57.060 a pilot,

00:20:57.620 because it

00:20:57.880 costs millions,

00:20:58.760 doesn't it?

00:20:59.500 Literally,

00:21:00.080 it costs millions

00:21:00.580 of dollars to

00:21:01.160 train a pilot.

00:21:02.600 You wouldn't

00:21:03.260 throw away

00:21:03.700 millions of

00:21:04.320 dollars unless

00:21:04.960 you were really

00:21:05.540 sure it was

00:21:06.060 the pilot's

00:21:06.520 fault.

00:21:07.780 So the first

00:21:08.540 thing you'd

00:21:08.880 have to know

00:21:09.220 is they would

00:21:09.680 protect the

00:21:10.320 pilot until

00:21:11.340 they were sure

00:21:12.160 what happened.

00:21:13.360 So it might

00:21:13.960 be just that.

00:21:14.920 Maybe just a

00:21:15.640 way to protect

00:21:16.520 the pilot's

00:21:17.040 reputation.

00:21:18.600 The other

00:21:19.180 possibility is

00:21:21.020 that they know

00:21:21.480 exactly what

00:21:22.160 happened,

00:21:22.500 and it's

00:21:23.860 a little

00:21:24.140 embarrassing.

00:21:26.900 Like, as

00:21:27.800 in, there's

00:21:28.980 something they

00:21:29.460 could have

00:21:29.740 trained them

00:21:30.240 better, or

00:21:31.140 you know,

00:21:32.360 there's something

00:21:32.980 that's just

00:21:33.380 embarrassing.

00:21:34.560 That's possible.

00:21:36.260 The other

00:21:36.980 possibility, and

00:21:38.260 I was just

00:21:38.840 asking this on

00:21:39.640 the locals

00:21:40.120 platform, but

00:21:41.300 I'll ask on

00:21:42.140 YouTube as

00:21:43.120 well.

00:21:44.160 My assumption,

00:21:46.100 which turns out

00:21:46.940 might be wrong,

00:21:48.480 is that the

00:21:49.740 ejection seat

00:21:50.580 could not work

00:21:51.620 on a purely

00:21:52.940 electronic basis

00:21:54.300 that the,

00:21:56.140 I assumed,

00:21:57.860 because you

00:21:58.240 wouldn't want

00:21:58.700 some electronics

00:21:59.620 to eject you

00:22:00.440 for the wrong

00:22:00.920 reason, that

00:22:02.040 the pilot would

00:22:02.760 have to reach

00:22:03.320 for something

00:22:03.900 manual, and

00:22:05.380 they'd have to

00:22:05.840 pull something

00:22:06.460 that's like a

00:22:07.040 lever to make

00:22:08.680 the ejection

00:22:09.660 happen.

00:22:11.140 Now, I don't

00:22:11.740 know, so I'm

00:22:12.440 asking the

00:22:12.900 question, but I

00:22:14.360 heard some

00:22:14.720 people say on

00:22:15.680 locals that

00:22:17.520 they might have

00:22:18.040 a dual system,

00:22:19.020 one is manual,

00:22:20.000 but also

00:22:21.460 maybe some

00:22:22.040 kind of a

00:22:22.560 fail-safe, so

00:22:23.960 in case the

00:22:24.520 pilot is

00:22:24.980 unconscious, the

00:22:26.780 plane going

00:22:27.780 down would

00:22:28.380 know to

00:22:28.700 eject it.

00:22:29.820 Is that a

00:22:30.500 thing?

00:22:31.740 Is it a

00:22:32.540 thing that

00:22:34.160 the plane can

00:22:36.160 eject the

00:22:36.720 pilot without

00:22:37.460 the pilot's

00:22:38.360 approval?

00:22:41.240 I'm seeing

00:22:42.000 people say

00:22:42.720 yes and

00:22:43.280 no.

00:22:44.240 I'm seeing a 0.98

00:22:45.040 lot of yeses,

00:22:46.280 and I'm

00:22:46.640 guessing that

00:22:47.140 you're the

00:22:47.420 ones who

00:22:47.720 know.

00:22:47.940 Is there

00:22:48.880 anybody who

00:22:49.220 wants to

00:22:49.500 identify

00:22:49.880 themselves as

00:22:50.660 a military

00:22:51.300 pilot who

00:22:52.720 can tell me

00:22:53.380 if it's

00:22:53.940 both or

00:22:55.240 just manual?

00:23:00.440 I highly

00:23:04.780 doubt it.

00:23:06.420 So isn't

00:23:06.800 that like a

00:23:07.460 now let me

00:23:10.220 ask you this.

00:23:11.500 Why is it

00:23:12.340 that it's the

00:23:13.460 first time you

00:23:14.080 heard this

00:23:14.480 question?

00:23:16.440 It's the

00:23:16.920 biggest news

00:23:17.480 in the

00:23:17.740 country, and

00:23:20.080 I'm the

00:23:20.540 first person

00:23:21.140 who brought

00:23:21.520 up the

00:23:21.820 question of

00:23:23.120 does it

00:23:23.420 have to be

00:23:23.900 fully manual

00:23:24.940 or can it

00:23:26.120 be triggered

00:23:26.660 by an

00:23:27.060 electronic

00:23:27.500 process?

00:23:29.300 Nobody else

00:23:29.960 has asked

00:23:30.300 that, have

00:23:30.600 they?

00:23:31.460 Have you

00:23:31.800 seen any

00:23:32.280 news coverage

00:23:32.860 where you

00:23:33.220 asked the

00:23:34.020 most basic

00:23:34.880 question?

00:23:35.980 No.

00:23:36.960 Not at all.

00:23:37.860 And it's the

00:23:38.340 most basic

00:23:38.840 question.

00:23:39.760 Now here's the

00:23:40.380 thing I'd be

00:23:40.840 afraid of.

00:23:42.620 I'd be afraid

00:23:43.660 that they're

00:23:44.140 worried about a

00:23:44.940 hack.

00:23:49.460 Now I have

00:23:50.320 no reason to

00:23:50.860 believe it's a

00:23:51.360 hack, but I'd

00:23:53.060 be worried about

00:23:53.720 it.

00:23:55.280 I'd be pretty

00:23:56.040 worried about it

00:23:56.840 because if they

00:23:57.320 don't know

00:23:57.760 exactly, if the

00:23:59.520 pilot says I

00:24:00.580 didn't do it,

00:24:03.300 just imagine

00:24:04.200 that.

00:24:04.960 Imagine they're

00:24:05.640 talking to the

00:24:06.200 pilot and they

00:24:06.800 say, why did

00:24:07.860 you manually

00:24:08.440 eject?

00:24:09.500 And the pilot

00:24:09.960 says I didn't.

00:24:11.720 I have no idea

00:24:12.780 what happened.

00:24:13.760 Next thing I

00:24:14.400 knew I was

00:24:14.800 in the air.

00:24:16.840 What would

00:24:17.400 you call it

00:24:18.000 under those

00:24:18.480 conditions?

00:24:19.980 You might

00:24:20.540 call it a

00:24:20.980 mishap because 0.88

00:24:22.400 you don't know

00:24:22.840 what the hell

00:24:23.380 went on.

00:24:24.240 You might still

00:24:25.220 be interrogating

00:24:26.140 the pilot to

00:24:27.560 see if the

00:24:28.000 pilot breaks

00:24:28.640 down and

00:24:29.180 admits, okay,

00:24:30.340 I really did

00:24:31.100 pull the lever,

00:24:31.840 I don't know

00:24:32.160 why.

00:24:33.580 So maybe they

00:24:34.460 just need to

00:24:35.200 work on the

00:24:35.660 pilot a little

00:24:36.240 more to make

00:24:37.260 sure they're

00:24:37.620 getting the

00:24:37.940 right answer.

00:24:38.740 It might be

00:24:39.080 that.

00:24:39.900 And in the

00:24:40.240 meantime, they're

00:24:40.800 giving you the

00:24:41.220 most generic word

00:24:42.160 until they find

00:24:42.760 out.

00:24:43.220 I have a

00:24:44.040 suspicion they

00:24:44.680 don't know

00:24:45.040 what's going

00:24:45.500 on.

00:24:47.320 But if the

00:24:48.400 pilot got

00:24:49.100 ejected by

00:24:51.500 surprise, I

00:24:54.280 would ground

00:24:54.820 all the planes

00:24:55.460 immediately and

00:24:56.760 I would tell

00:24:57.220 the public that

00:24:58.880 I was going to

00:24:59.400 talk to people

00:25:00.040 about safety

00:25:01.960 because that's

00:25:04.320 the most generic

00:25:05.080 thing you could

00:25:05.760 do.

00:25:06.600 We're going to

00:25:07.220 ground all the

00:25:07.800 planes for two

00:25:08.480 days to talk

00:25:09.420 about safety

00:25:11.880 because they

00:25:14.380 probably would

00:25:14.940 talk about

00:25:15.420 safety, so

00:25:16.080 it would be

00:25:16.520 true-ish.

00:25:18.020 But if they

00:25:18.860 were concerned

00:25:19.500 about some

00:25:20.000 kind of a

00:25:20.880 hack, they 1.00

00:25:23.360 wouldn't tell

00:25:23.920 us.

00:25:24.880 Am I right?

00:25:25.980 They would

00:25:26.460 never tell us

00:25:27.280 if they

00:25:27.700 suspected it

00:25:28.520 was a hack.

00:25:29.620 They would

00:25:30.020 say, well,

00:25:30.440 we're grounding,

00:25:30.940 we're going to

00:25:31.200 retrain everybody, 0.89

00:25:32.020 it's fine,

00:25:33.020 move on,

00:25:33.640 move on.

00:25:34.900 So I don't

00:25:35.480 know what's

00:25:35.740 going on.

00:25:37.760 I would like

00:25:38.460 to add one

00:25:39.480 possibility.

00:25:41.680 Now, I don't

00:25:43.640 know this is

00:25:44.160 true, but I'm

00:25:45.360 just going to

00:25:45.680 throw it on

00:25:46.160 the mix.

00:25:47.580 I believe the

00:25:48.520 plane was

00:25:49.320 manufactured by

00:25:50.460 Democrats and

00:25:51.520 the pilot might

00:25:52.280 have been a

00:25:52.620 Trump supporter

00:25:53.300 and it's

00:25:54.260 possible that the

00:25:55.080 pilot was just

00:25:55.800 rejected by the

00:25:56.580 plane.

00:25:58.680 Has anybody

00:25:59.360 said that yet?

00:26:01.060 That's my best

00:26:01.940 guess.

00:26:02.280 Or as I

00:26:03.700 like to call

00:26:04.240 it, a

00:26:05.420 mishap.

00:26:09.780 All right,

00:26:10.640 here's the

00:26:11.220 least surprising

00:26:12.080 news.

00:26:12.840 I feel like

00:26:13.580 this is one of

00:26:14.860 those evergreen

00:26:15.560 stories, pops

00:26:17.120 up every few

00:26:18.400 years.

00:26:20.060 But some

00:26:21.860 authors have

00:26:23.140 done a study

00:26:23.740 looking at the

00:26:24.720 causality of

00:26:26.540 CO2 to heat

00:26:28.900 in the

00:26:29.180 atmosphere.

00:26:30.360 So they're

00:26:31.000 trying to look

00:26:31.500 at all the

00:26:31.960 evidence that

00:26:32.720 shows that the

00:26:33.680 more CO2 you

00:26:34.680 have, the

00:26:35.140 more heat you

00:26:36.580 have.

00:26:37.940 But instead,

00:26:38.880 they found that

00:26:39.580 that correlation

00:26:40.500 is weak, but

00:26:42.440 they did find the

00:26:43.140 correlation that's

00:26:43.780 super strong,

00:26:44.480 like 90%,

00:26:45.280 which is that

00:26:46.420 when it gets

00:26:46.860 warm, you get

00:26:47.540 more CO2.

00:26:50.300 Uh-oh.

00:26:52.700 What?

00:26:54.460 Could it be,

00:26:55.340 could it be,

00:26:55.840 could it be,

00:26:57.840 that just because

00:27:00.040 every other

00:27:01.140 study that we

00:27:02.020 see gets

00:27:03.060 causation obviously

00:27:04.380 backwards, and

00:27:05.740 yet scientists

00:27:06.480 don't seem to be

00:27:07.260 able to know?

00:27:09.100 Have you ever

00:27:09.500 noticed that?

00:27:10.980 Uh, almost once,

00:27:12.280 I'd say once a

00:27:13.140 week, well, you

00:27:14.680 tell me, you

00:27:15.720 watch the show,

00:27:17.240 is this a, is this

00:27:18.320 fair statement?

00:27:19.620 About once a week,

00:27:20.680 I tell you about

00:27:21.820 a scientific

00:27:22.360 study in which

00:27:24.200 it's fairly obvious

00:27:25.880 they've mixed up

00:27:27.320 the causation.

00:27:28.680 Like, you don't

00:27:29.460 even have to look

00:27:30.140 into it.

00:27:30.960 It's just sort of

00:27:31.820 obvious they got

00:27:32.900 the causation

00:27:33.600 backwards, right?

00:27:37.660 Do you think

00:27:38.440 this is just one

00:27:39.260 of those?

00:27:40.600 That there's

00:27:41.100 nothing else

00:27:41.840 happening except

00:27:42.520 they got the

00:27:43.080 causation backwards?

00:27:45.140 Did you ever

00:27:45.940 wonder why during

00:27:46.920 the pandemic,

00:27:47.780 when the CO2

00:27:48.540 levels dropped

00:27:49.460 a lot,

00:27:50.680 that the

00:27:52.280 temperature didn't

00:27:52.960 change?

00:27:55.500 But on the

00:27:56.200 other hand,

00:27:58.940 but wait,

00:28:01.100 does that make

00:28:01.500 sense?

00:28:02.640 Because that

00:28:03.200 would be a case

00:28:03.940 if it got

00:28:04.580 warm, it

00:28:06.280 should have

00:28:06.600 caused more

00:28:07.340 CO2, but it

00:28:08.300 didn't.

00:28:08.960 Well, there's

00:28:09.280 less CO2

00:28:10.140 released, but I

00:28:11.580 don't know how

00:28:11.900 much they're

00:28:12.420 released by

00:28:13.480 humans, but I

00:28:14.520 don't know how

00:28:14.840 much there was.

00:28:16.260 Maybe the amount

00:28:16.980 there was stayed

00:28:17.660 about the same.

00:28:20.680 warm water

00:28:22.960 releases CO2

00:28:24.020 into the air.

00:28:25.780 So, let me

00:28:27.080 ask you this.

00:28:29.800 How would

00:28:30.400 anybody know

00:28:31.320 which one was

00:28:32.680 the cause and

00:28:33.400 which one was

00:28:33.920 the effect?

00:28:34.740 I can only

00:28:36.420 think of one

00:28:36.960 way, the

00:28:38.680 timing.

00:28:40.020 If you

00:28:40.500 looked at the

00:28:40.980 timing, you

00:28:42.140 said, oh, it

00:28:42.760 got warm, and

00:28:43.520 sure enough, the

00:28:44.120 CO2 followed, or

00:28:45.340 if you looked at

00:28:46.300 the CO2 and

00:28:47.100 said, oh, the

00:28:47.680 warming followed.

00:28:48.720 But I'm not

00:28:49.260 sure how you

00:28:49.760 could tell one

00:28:50.280 follows the

00:28:50.800 other, because

00:28:52.440 they're both kind

00:28:53.620 of doing this all

00:28:54.280 the time, right?

00:28:55.540 Temperature's going

00:28:56.100 up and down, and

00:28:57.060 CO2's doing

00:28:58.960 whatever it's

00:28:59.460 doing, but

00:28:59.960 mostly going

00:29:00.520 up.

00:29:00.780 I would say

00:29:05.800 it's a provocative

00:29:07.700 idea that the

00:29:09.060 entire scientific

00:29:10.000 community was

00:29:13.700 fooled by

00:29:14.400 causation.

00:29:16.320 Like every

00:29:17.220 other study that

00:29:18.080 we see, which

00:29:18.720 apparently they've

00:29:19.600 been fooled by

00:29:20.240 causation almost

00:29:21.560 every time they

00:29:22.280 go to work.

00:29:24.360 It feels like

00:29:25.240 it.

00:29:25.780 I mean, obviously

00:29:26.360 not, but it

00:29:27.640 feels like they

00:29:28.380 get fooled by

00:29:29.060 causation every

00:29:30.040 time they go to

00:29:30.660 work.

00:29:31.940 I don't know, is

00:29:32.500 it wishful

00:29:33.280 thinking?

00:29:33.900 I don't know

00:29:34.260 what's going

00:29:34.600 on.

00:29:35.720 All right, so

00:29:36.460 now that you

00:29:38.800 know that there's

00:29:39.660 some question

00:29:40.360 about the

00:29:42.700 causation

00:29:43.260 direction, let

00:29:45.160 me tell you

00:29:45.440 this story.

00:29:46.720 The story in

00:29:47.580 CNN that the

00:29:48.560 deadly rainfall

00:29:49.640 that caused all

00:29:51.420 the flooding and

00:29:52.040 destruction in

00:29:52.720 Libya, as

00:29:54.620 well as other

00:29:55.640 parts of the

00:29:56.000 Mediterranean, have 0.93

00:29:57.560 been made,

00:29:58.420 this is according

00:29:59.000 to CNN, much

00:30:00.500 more likely and

00:30:01.960 worse by the

00:30:02.720 human-caused

00:30:03.680 climate crisis.

00:30:05.440 Yeah, it's

00:30:06.100 made much worse

00:30:06.800 by the human-caused

00:30:07.980 climate crisis, in

00:30:09.580 addition to other

00:30:10.300 human factors,

00:30:11.740 according to a

00:30:12.500 new scientific

00:30:13.060 analysis.

00:30:14.660 Now, who do you

00:30:15.420 think does the

00:30:16.480 scientific analysis

00:30:17.580 to find out that

00:30:19.320 the flooding was

00:30:20.120 caused by human-made

00:30:22.560 problems?

00:30:23.500 Well, there's a

00:30:24.860 group.

00:30:25.740 You'd be happy to

00:30:26.520 know that there's a

00:30:27.180 group called the

00:30:28.440 World Weather

00:30:29.240 Attribution

00:30:29.960 Initiative.

00:30:31.900 It's the World

00:30:33.280 Weather Attribution

00:30:34.440 Initiative.

00:30:35.980 And it's a team of

00:30:37.620 scientists that

00:30:38.920 analyze the role of

00:30:40.080 climate change in

00:30:41.620 the aftermath of

00:30:42.760 extreme weather

00:30:43.640 events.

00:30:44.660 Yeah, so whenever

00:30:45.660 there's an extreme

00:30:46.420 weather event, aren't

00:30:48.580 you happy that there

00:30:50.260 is a legitimate and

00:30:51.380 credible bunch of

00:30:52.540 scientists who would

00:30:54.100 never be biased in

00:30:55.260 any way, who can

00:30:56.640 tell you in every

00:30:58.120 case, every case,

00:31:00.660 that that disaster

00:31:02.260 was caused by

00:31:03.180 humans?

00:31:05.340 Now, I believe that

00:31:07.600 my audience is now

00:31:08.900 sophisticated enough

00:31:10.360 that you know that a

00:31:12.480 group like the ADL is

00:31:14.780 a Democrat-funded group

00:31:16.760 to attack Republicans,

00:31:18.640 but probably also do

00:31:19.860 some good anti-

00:31:21.040 defamation stuff.

00:31:21.960 But their bigger role

00:31:25.600 is attacking

00:31:26.140 Republicans and

00:31:27.020 branding them as

00:31:28.580 anti-Semitics.

00:31:30.300 Like me.

00:31:31.520 They branded me a-

00:31:32.760 the ADL branded me a

00:31:34.980 Holocaust denier.

00:31:38.160 Does that sound like

00:31:40.280 even slightly

00:31:41.100 possible?

00:31:42.880 I don't even have to

00:31:43.980 defend it.

00:31:44.800 It's so ridiculous, I

00:31:45.920 don't even have to-

00:31:46.680 I don't even have to

00:31:47.540 give you my-

00:31:48.560 you know, any kind of

00:31:49.440 defense.

00:31:49.900 Because it's so

00:31:51.400 obviously not true on

00:31:52.560 the surface.

00:31:54.920 Anyway, so do you

00:31:56.700 believe that a group

00:31:57.780 that was put together

00:31:58.740 to attribute man-made

00:32:00.400 causes to every

00:32:02.360 every fucking

00:32:03.360 natural disaster?

00:32:05.620 Do you think they're

00:32:06.440 ever going to see one

00:32:07.180 and they go, no,

00:32:07.780 that's, that's not

00:32:08.740 one.

00:32:10.100 Do you think?

00:32:10.960 Do you think they're

00:32:11.640 going to see a

00:32:12.040 hurricane someday and

00:32:12.940 go, oh, we studied it

00:32:14.240 and it looks like it

00:32:14.880 had nothing to do with

00:32:15.920 climate change?

00:32:16.580 No, because if you

00:32:20.760 form a group whose

00:32:22.300 job it is to find

00:32:23.600 some bad stuff, they're

00:32:26.360 going to find all the

00:32:27.180 bad stuff and they're

00:32:29.180 going to label good

00:32:29.900 stuff bad stuff too.

00:32:31.880 Because that's their

00:32:32.600 job.

00:32:33.540 They're finding bad

00:32:34.540 stuff.

00:32:35.280 If you hire ghostbusters

00:32:36.920 to find out if ghosts

00:32:39.220 are the cause of

00:32:40.820 hurricanes, do you

00:32:42.220 think you'll find any

00:32:43.140 ghosts?

00:32:43.580 Yes, you will.

00:32:46.820 Every time.

00:32:48.160 Hey, hey, we found

00:32:49.460 out it's ghosts again

00:32:50.540 because we're the

00:32:51.860 world weather ghost

00:32:54.240 attribution initiative

00:32:55.640 and every time there's

00:32:57.520 a disaster, we're going

00:32:59.200 to do an analysis and

00:33:01.280 find out it was ghosts

00:33:02.360 because that's how we

00:33:03.780 get paid.

00:33:04.940 Now, this is obviously

00:33:07.140 a desperate move to

00:33:09.620 rescue a theory that's

00:33:11.900 not working.

00:33:14.040 If climate change

00:33:15.480 were solid enough

00:33:17.300 on its own to sell

00:33:19.660 it, you wouldn't

00:33:21.040 need these guys.

00:33:23.360 These are your

00:33:24.140 desperation guys when

00:33:25.340 they know they can't

00:33:26.000 win the argument.

00:33:28.180 Sorry.

00:33:29.380 It's so transparently

00:33:30.800 obviously not

00:33:32.980 legitimate.

00:33:34.480 And do you think

00:33:35.040 CNN raised any sort

00:33:37.100 of a doubt about

00:33:39.700 the credibility and

00:33:40.840 the purpose of this

00:33:41.840 group?

00:33:42.740 No, they did not.

00:33:44.040 They simply reported

00:33:45.000 that they had some

00:33:46.120 findings.

00:33:47.980 Yeah.

00:33:49.500 But am I wrong

00:33:52.200 that you can see

00:33:52.840 the gears of the

00:33:53.680 machine now?

00:33:56.900 You can see the

00:33:57.880 gears, right?

00:33:59.540 The gears of the

00:34:00.300 machine.

00:34:01.420 Yeah.

00:34:04.400 Right.

00:34:05.700 All right.

00:34:06.220 All right.

00:34:06.280 I saw a tweet by

00:34:12.160 Michael Schirmer, who

00:34:14.280 you should all

00:34:15.120 follow.

00:34:16.000 Michael Schirmer.

00:34:17.820 Now, what you need

00:34:18.560 to know about Michael

00:34:19.240 Schirmer is, I don't

00:34:20.460 know how he identifies

00:34:21.600 politically, but I

00:34:23.740 can tell you he doesn't

00:34:24.780 go easy on Republicans.

00:34:27.360 Right.

00:34:27.820 So I don't know if he

00:34:29.180 identifies as Democrat

00:34:30.460 because he also goes

00:34:31.560 hard at Democrats.

00:34:32.340 So I don't know.

00:34:36.140 And that's perfect

00:34:37.120 because he's a, I

00:34:38.800 think he leads a

00:34:39.480 skeptic society.

00:34:40.960 So they're more about

00:34:41.860 being skeptical than

00:34:43.740 they are about being

00:34:44.660 on a team.

00:34:46.300 Now, it's important

00:34:47.080 because when anybody

00:34:47.800 talks about politics,

00:34:48.980 you should understand

00:34:50.500 where they're coming

00:34:51.100 from.

00:34:51.760 And where Michael

00:34:52.480 Schirmer comes from

00:34:53.460 is show me the facts.

00:34:56.200 He's a show me the

00:34:57.200 facts person.

00:34:58.080 And he says in his

00:35:01.380 tweet, there's an

00:35:02.480 astonishing admission

00:35:03.600 from the pioneer of

00:35:05.200 research on implicit

00:35:06.380 bias, bigotry, and

00:35:07.380 racism, somebody named

00:35:09.140 Mazarin Banaji.

00:35:11.760 And the admission is

00:35:13.040 that DEI training

00:35:14.560 programs don't work

00:35:16.020 and even hurt.

00:35:21.080 And then, you know,

00:35:22.960 Michael Schirmer ends

00:35:23.900 his tweet by saying,

00:35:24.840 end DEI now.

00:35:26.000 So the most fact-based

00:35:28.580 skeptic is telling you

00:35:32.040 that it's obvious,

00:35:33.920 that DEI makes things

00:35:35.060 worse, and it's now

00:35:36.500 being confirmed by one

00:35:37.560 of the pioneers of the

00:35:38.920 entire study.

00:35:40.880 You know, the entire

00:35:41.600 idea of implicit bias

00:35:44.760 and stuff, one of the

00:35:45.640 pioneers looked into it

00:35:47.680 and studied it, and

00:35:48.960 guess what?

00:35:50.860 It made things worse.

00:35:53.280 Do you know who else

00:35:54.360 said that?

00:35:56.000 Can you think of

00:35:57.000 anybody else who said

00:35:57.940 that DEI and CRT

00:36:00.900 and ESG, well

00:36:02.940 intended, intentions

00:36:05.060 were good.

00:36:06.060 Is there anybody else

00:36:06.820 who said it's actually

00:36:07.680 making things worse

00:36:08.720 and so bad that you

00:36:10.900 should get the fuck

00:36:11.620 away from anybody who

00:36:12.700 buys into it?

00:36:13.780 Did anybody ever say

00:36:14.560 that before?

00:36:15.880 Yeah.

00:36:16.600 This is what I said,

00:36:17.740 except I added

00:36:18.400 swearing.

00:36:20.220 If you say it with a

00:36:21.380 swearing, it's the

00:36:22.680 same.

00:36:22.920 If the DEI and the

00:36:25.800 ESG and the CRT are

00:36:28.400 poisoning relations

00:36:30.460 between groups, you

00:36:32.500 need to get away from

00:36:33.300 the group that got

00:36:33.960 poisoned, exactly as

00:36:36.780 you would if they had

00:36:38.320 COVID and you didn't

00:36:39.300 want to get COVID.

00:36:40.860 You stay away from

00:36:41.940 things which are

00:36:42.820 designed to be

00:36:44.240 dangerous to you.

00:36:46.260 DEI, CRT, ESG are

00:36:48.260 designed to be

00:36:49.640 dangerous for white 0.94

00:36:50.600 men.

00:36:52.820 That's the design.

00:36:54.460 It's not accidental.

00:36:56.560 It's dangerous.

00:36:58.040 It's dangerous if

00:36:58.900 you're trying to get a

00:36:59.580 job.

00:37:00.400 It's dangerous if you

00:37:01.400 don't want to be

00:37:01.940 accused of something

00:37:02.780 you didn't do.

00:37:03.840 It's dangerous if

00:37:05.280 somebody's going to

00:37:06.020 imagine that you're

00:37:06.880 doing something you

00:37:07.620 didn't do.

00:37:08.680 It's just dangerous.

00:37:10.480 Now, why did it

00:37:12.080 take me to point

00:37:14.400 that out?

00:37:15.100 Isn't that completely

00:37:15.920 obvious to everybody?

00:37:16.780 And I think that the

00:37:19.600 worst thing that people

00:37:22.060 said about me, well,

00:37:24.120 actually, they didn't

00:37:24.740 even say this.

00:37:26.260 Because nobody, when I

00:37:27.720 got canceled, nobody

00:37:28.680 even called me to ask

00:37:29.760 me what was going on.

00:37:31.480 Like all the people who

00:37:32.700 canceled me, they

00:37:33.920 canceled me first and

00:37:35.820 never asked what was

00:37:36.700 going on.

00:37:38.440 Do you think that my

00:37:39.620 opinion is bad for

00:37:41.040 black people?

00:37:42.580 No, it's intended to

00:37:43.740 be tough love.

00:37:44.480 Tough love is, if you

00:37:47.000 keep doing that, this

00:37:48.940 is going to be the

00:37:49.540 consequence.

00:37:50.620 But if nobody tells

00:37:51.600 you this is the

00:37:52.400 consequence, you're a

00:37:53.820 fucking asshole. 0.99

00:37:55.180 If you don't tell

00:37:56.220 people what their

00:37:57.200 price is, and you

00:37:59.560 just let them continue

00:38:00.620 without knowing what

00:38:01.420 the cost of their

00:38:02.300 actions is, you're a

00:38:03.600 fucking asshole. 0.99

00:38:05.520 You have an

00:38:06.740 obligation as a

00:38:07.900 citizen of the world

00:38:08.720 to tell your fellow

00:38:10.200 citizens what are the

00:38:12.060 repercussions of what

00:38:13.100 they're doing.

00:38:13.500 And the problem is

00:38:14.720 you get canceled if

00:38:15.680 you do it.

00:38:16.940 If you say, if you

00:38:18.140 keep doing this, I

00:38:19.400 want to get the fuck

00:38:20.260 away from you, because

00:38:21.700 you've become dangerous,

00:38:23.040 not because of your

00:38:24.100 genetics.

00:38:25.600 Where did that ever

00:38:26.380 come into the

00:38:26.880 conversation?

00:38:27.920 Not because of your

00:38:28.800 DNA.

00:38:29.860 That was never part of

00:38:31.240 anything I've ever

00:38:32.060 talked about.

00:38:33.120 It's because you've

00:38:33.940 been poisoned by

00:38:35.720 whatever, forces,

00:38:38.520 mostly white people.

00:38:41.480 Let me say this again

00:38:42.660 clearly.

00:38:43.860 I've never been

00:38:44.580 discriminated against by

00:38:46.320 a black person.

00:38:48.100 Ever.

00:38:49.080 I mean, I can't think

00:38:49.860 of any time.

00:38:51.120 But white people, oh 0.62

00:38:52.680 my fucking God, white 1.00

00:38:54.020 people are terrible.

00:38:55.460 White people who want 0.94

00:38:56.420 to prove that they're

00:38:57.160 better people than the

00:38:58.140 other white people will 0.63

00:38:59.020 cancel your ass so fast 0.98

00:39:00.500 to get any little, you

00:39:02.260 know, social gain that

00:39:04.280 they're the worst.

00:39:05.420 White people fucking 0.66

00:39:06.440 suck. 1.00

00:39:07.940 In general, white people

00:39:09.380 suck. 1.00

00:39:09.900 Black people I like.

00:39:13.800 That's actually true.

00:39:15.720 I've never had a problem

00:39:16.780 with any black individual.

00:39:19.000 I get along great with

00:39:20.000 everybody.

00:39:21.240 I love black people.

00:39:22.620 But white people fucking 0.95

00:39:24.180 suck. 1.00

00:39:25.460 And they have been the

00:39:26.480 bane of my existence for

00:39:28.580 35 fucking years.

00:39:30.640 I lost my job at the bank

00:39:32.200 because of white assholes. 1.00

00:39:33.440 I lost my job at the

00:39:35.000 phone company because of

00:39:35.940 white assholes. 0.98

00:39:36.880 I lost my job at UPN with

00:39:39.260 the animated show because

00:39:40.880 they didn't care about

00:39:42.040 white people.

00:39:42.740 And so they made an all

00:39:43.840 black comedy night where

00:39:45.060 my show used to run.

00:39:46.760 And I got canceled because

00:39:48.840 I'm white and I got

00:39:50.400 canceled by white fucking 0.98

00:39:51.740 assholes. 0.57

00:39:52.680 Did any black person have 0.99

00:39:54.300 a problem with me that

00:39:55.340 canceled me?

00:39:56.560 I don't know because I

00:39:57.860 haven't heard anybody say

00:39:58.920 they would have canceled

00:39:59.560 me.

00:40:00.540 I haven't heard any

00:40:01.460 Republicans say they

00:40:02.360 would.

00:40:02.540 It was all fucking white 0.97

00:40:04.580 Democrats.

00:40:05.780 And it's all part of this

00:40:07.640 larger concept.

00:40:09.680 Let me ask you something

00:40:10.560 with all due humility.

00:40:14.820 One of the advantages of

00:40:16.580 having no sense of shame

00:40:17.720 is that I can simply say

00:40:19.780 things you can't say out

00:40:20.840 loud.

00:40:21.580 Here's one of those things.

00:40:23.140 Imagine how embarrassed

00:40:24.220 you would be to say what

00:40:25.500 I'm going to say now.

00:40:27.140 This is going to be bad.

00:40:29.380 What do these three people

00:40:30.600 have in common?

00:40:32.540 Tucker Carlson.

00:40:35.580 Russell Brand.

00:40:36.320 And me.

00:40:38.640 What do we have in common?

00:40:44.320 Canceled, of course.

00:40:46.160 White also.

00:40:47.140 But that's not what I'm

00:40:47.820 going for.

00:40:51.200 We're the best communicators

00:40:54.280 of something Democrats

00:40:55.840 don't want to hear.

00:40:56.560 We're the best communicators

00:41:00.120 meaning that we don't

00:41:03.380 come off as crazy.

00:41:06.420 Now, you're going to say

00:41:07.560 to me, but what about

00:41:09.620 Alex Jones?

00:41:10.860 What about Alex Jones?

00:41:12.020 Isn't he on the list?

00:41:13.260 No.

00:41:14.000 He's not on the list.

00:41:16.000 Alex Jones is very

00:41:17.540 entertaining.

00:41:18.280 I like him personally.

00:41:19.600 But he doesn't have the

00:41:20.880 credibility of Tucker or

00:41:22.820 Russell Brand or me.

00:41:24.400 He has a different game.

00:41:27.440 He's a little more

00:41:28.100 provocative.

00:41:29.460 He was a little bit more

00:41:30.300 out there.

00:41:30.720 A little less filter, right?

00:41:32.380 So he got cancelled as well.

00:41:35.660 But is it a coincidence that

00:41:37.580 the most capable voices for

00:41:41.400 one set of opinions are

00:41:43.600 being cancelled?

00:41:44.920 And we're all the ones who

00:41:46.160 seem to be challenging the

00:41:47.660 sort of the biggest,

00:41:49.400 most obvious bullshit.

00:41:54.800 Influence is Scott's blind

00:41:56.220 spots.

00:41:57.980 What?

00:42:00.320 Drinking already?

00:42:01.140 All right.

00:42:03.060 So we'll talk more about

00:42:05.120 this stuff.

00:42:07.560 So let's talk about

00:42:08.400 Russell Brand.

00:42:10.620 Would you say that the media

00:42:12.220 is now weaponized?

00:42:13.420 We talked about weaponized

00:42:15.780 government, weaponized

00:42:17.940 Department of Justice, but

00:42:19.460 I think you could say that

00:42:21.020 the media is weaponized.

00:42:23.220 Did you hear that YouTube

00:42:24.780 demonetized Russell Brand

00:42:27.660 permanently, meaning that

00:42:29.760 no matter what content he

00:42:31.000 puts on there, they will not

00:42:32.720 run ads and they will not

00:42:34.400 collect money for him?

00:42:36.680 That's pretty expensive.

00:42:38.600 At the size of his

00:42:39.980 operation, that's pretty

00:42:40.980 expensive.

00:42:41.360 Now, has he been

00:42:45.020 convicted of anything?

00:42:47.260 Nope.

00:42:49.220 Now, YouTube will say,

00:42:50.820 if you were to ask them,

00:42:52.360 they would say,

00:42:53.380 it has nothing to do with

00:42:54.580 Russell Brand.

00:42:56.580 Our advertisers don't like

00:42:58.280 to be associated with

00:42:59.460 certain allegations.

00:43:02.820 So we're just serving our

00:43:04.500 advertisers.

00:43:05.280 We're giving them what they 0.95

00:43:06.220 ask for, and they're not,

00:43:08.740 the advertisers are not

00:43:09.920 required to think somebody

00:43:12.240 is innocent until proven

00:43:13.260 guilty.

00:43:13.680 They just need to go where

00:43:14.620 they get the best bang for

00:43:16.140 their buck.

00:43:16.920 So it's just business.

00:43:18.620 It's just our economic

00:43:19.720 model.

00:43:21.100 That's all.

00:43:22.160 Does that sound like what's

00:43:23.160 going on?

00:43:26.140 It doesn't feel like it.

00:43:28.420 You know, given the larger

00:43:29.820 context of fuckery that we

00:43:31.720 see every day, it doesn't

00:43:32.660 look like it.

00:43:33.720 To me, it looks entirely

00:43:34.920 political, but it's convenient

00:43:38.240 that they also have a

00:43:39.200 business model that supports

00:43:40.320 it.

00:43:41.360 So you can't say that

00:43:44.460 YouTube's doing something

00:43:45.380 wrong.

00:43:47.680 You can only wonder about

00:43:49.200 the timing and the

00:43:50.580 coordination and the

00:43:52.080 intention behind it.

00:43:53.720 But it does fit their

00:43:54.860 business model that they

00:43:55.940 very clearly have, you

00:43:58.020 know, explained many times.

00:43:59.300 So let me ask you this.

00:44:05.640 You've noticed that the

00:44:06.800 news business no longer

00:44:08.740 does a lot of deep

00:44:09.640 investigative work because

00:44:11.400 there's much less money in

00:44:13.080 the news business.

00:44:14.200 So they're not going to

00:44:15.440 send a team of

00:44:16.320 investigators to work for

00:44:17.820 months on one story

00:44:19.620 because they can't really

00:44:21.120 afford that.

00:44:21.980 So most of the news is

00:44:23.080 just repeating what people

00:44:24.580 said in public and then

00:44:26.020 commenting on it, right?

00:44:27.780 Wouldn't you agree that we

00:44:29.180 don't really have an

00:44:29.980 investigative news industry

00:44:32.620 anymore?

00:44:33.100 It's more like a press

00:44:35.140 release, talking points,

00:44:37.820 you know, whatever your

00:44:38.600 team said sort of thing.

00:44:40.140 But there was one notable

00:44:41.740 exception.

00:44:42.920 There seemed to be a lot of

00:44:44.100 investigative energy about

00:44:45.600 this Russell Brand thing.

00:44:48.180 Name one thing in the news

00:44:49.780 that has got more

00:44:51.160 investigative energy behind

00:44:54.300 it.

00:44:55.100 Now keep in mind that they

00:44:56.820 have to go track down

00:44:57.960 people one by one.

00:44:59.180 I mean, this was almost

00:45:00.680 door-to-door situation

00:45:02.020 where they had to find

00:45:03.520 people who were not

00:45:04.460 complaining and ask them

00:45:06.640 if they had a complaint.

00:45:08.340 Just think of that.

00:45:09.480 They had to find people who

00:45:10.760 were not complaining.

00:45:12.360 How do you find people who

00:45:13.620 were not complaining?

00:45:15.000 It's not easy.

00:45:17.560 That's not easy to, like,

00:45:20.060 search all the, I don't

00:45:21.200 know, hundreds of women he 0.70

00:45:22.240 was with until you find one

00:45:23.580 that's got a complaint.

00:45:26.760 So, certainly everybody's

00:45:30.000 antenna went up and they

00:45:31.660 said, even if he did

00:45:34.560 something bad, you know,

00:45:36.340 he's innocent until proven

00:45:37.400 guilty.

00:45:37.840 We don't know.

00:45:39.560 Isn't that a lot of energy

00:45:40.800 to put into one person who

00:45:43.040 did all these things a long

00:45:44.680 time ago and you could have

00:45:46.040 done it then?

00:45:47.360 Yeah.

00:45:47.800 So, that looks pretty

00:45:51.260 suspect.

00:45:55.780 Then, also, I saw, was it

00:45:57.380 Rose McGowan who was saying

00:46:02.340 that, you know, and she's a 1.00

00:46:05.680 pro-MeToo-er, right?

00:46:07.560 So, she's one of the

00:46:08.760 original MeToo-ers.

00:46:09.960 And even she says that

00:46:11.540 whatever's happening with

00:46:12.400 Russell Brand looks suspicious

00:46:13.740 because it is not

00:46:15.640 journalistic practice to have

00:46:17.780 anonymous sources for this

00:46:20.000 kind of story.

00:46:21.980 And I thought to myself,

00:46:24.040 holy shit, I think she's 0.97

00:46:26.620 right.

00:46:27.780 This does seem to be a

00:46:29.680 massive violation of

00:46:31.560 journalistic practices.

00:46:33.380 I think one of them was

00:46:34.300 documented, so that would be

00:46:35.440 different.

00:46:38.840 Yeah, why go to the, well,

00:46:40.220 I don't buy into the why go

00:46:41.960 to the journalist instead of

00:46:43.140 the police.

00:46:44.500 I do think that there are

00:46:45.920 plenty of reasons that

00:46:46.960 people stay quiet.

00:46:48.820 And then there are the

00:46:49.700 reasons why they might

00:46:50.640 stop being quiet is that

00:46:52.960 they have anonymity, right?

00:46:55.580 So, the journalist gives them

00:46:56.700 anonymity, maybe the police

00:46:58.680 not so much.

00:47:00.320 So, they can get anonymity.

00:47:02.520 But also, if there's a gray area,

00:47:06.380 if there's a gray area,

00:47:09.600 they might talk to a journalist,

00:47:11.560 but they might not want to

00:47:13.160 press a gray area with the law

00:47:16.260 because what if they lose?

00:47:17.780 It's a lot of work for losing.

00:47:20.100 So, it makes perfect sense that

00:47:22.340 they would talk to a journalist

00:47:23.580 and not the police.

00:47:27.440 But one of them, I think,

00:47:28.360 did actually have a report and

00:47:30.620 went to the hospital,

00:47:31.980 allegedly.

00:47:32.580 We don't know who the person is,

00:47:33.840 so we can't be sure that's true.

00:47:34.880 All right.

00:47:39.080 But here's a question I want

00:47:40.800 to ask for you.

00:47:43.160 Here's some context that the

00:47:44.780 news will never tell you.

00:47:47.140 Do you know why they'll never

00:47:48.000 tell you this?

00:47:51.040 Because I think the news,

00:47:52.860 in this case, is written by

00:47:53.840 women, isn't it? 1.00

00:47:55.320 Were there any men involved in

00:47:56.840 researching these allegations?

00:47:58.120 I think it was all women 0.99

00:48:00.820 who did the investigation.

00:48:03.500 Here's something women don't know. 1.00

00:48:06.060 Let me tell you something

00:48:06.800 women don't know. 1.00

00:48:08.200 And I'll do it in the form

00:48:09.380 of a poll.

00:48:12.060 If you were to pick a generic

00:48:14.640 celebrity,

00:48:17.720 let's say it's a celebrity male,

00:48:19.980 and we're not talking about

00:48:20.820 Russell Brand, it just could be

00:48:21.860 any celebrity.

00:48:23.040 And let's say that celebrity

00:48:24.140 slept with a hundred women.

00:48:26.080 And it's, you know,

00:48:28.060 celebrity wild sex.

00:48:30.080 You know, sometimes there might

00:48:31.200 be drugs involved,

00:48:32.420 sometimes not.

00:48:33.880 But at the very least,

00:48:35.100 there's some hair pulling

00:48:35.980 and ass slapping, 0.99

00:48:37.960 and might be a little choking.

00:48:41.120 Now, if that's sort of your

00:48:42.720 method, that you're, you know,

00:48:46.560 you're on the edge,

00:48:47.480 you're pushing the boundaries

00:48:49.520 kind of sex,

00:48:50.900 but it's all, it's all,

00:48:52.860 as far as you know,

00:48:53.740 everybody's agreeable.

00:48:54.660 It's all consensual.

00:48:56.080 If you had a hundred,

00:48:57.340 if you had sex with a hundred

00:48:58.380 people,

00:48:59.320 how many of the hundred women 1.00

00:49:01.180 would accuse you of rape?

00:49:04.840 To their friends,

00:49:06.060 at least.

00:49:06.640 Not necessarily to the police,

00:49:08.600 but at least to one friend.

00:49:12.380 Now, it's not 25%.

00:49:13.980 But out of a hundred people,

00:49:15.780 I'd expect up to five.

00:49:18.900 Yeah, up to five.

00:49:20.040 Now, how many of you would know

00:49:21.460 that that would be actually

00:49:22.640 a baseline normal,

00:49:23.800 that if you slept with a hundred

00:49:25.660 people, and you're a celebrity,

00:49:27.220 you have to be a celebrity and rich,

00:49:29.320 that having five false accusations

00:49:31.920 would be about normal?

00:49:34.120 How many of you knew that?

00:49:37.740 I'll bet not many of you.

00:49:38.980 I'll bet you never even thought of it.

00:49:40.900 I'll bet not once you thought,

00:49:43.060 what is the baseline?

00:49:44.580 Because you're comparing them

00:49:45.720 to the baseline, right?

00:49:47.340 Did you ever once say,

00:49:48.920 what is the baseline?

00:49:50.140 Nope.

00:49:50.960 Do you think that the people

00:49:52.080 who reported the story

00:49:53.100 ever once said,

00:49:55.220 ever once,

00:49:56.600 said, you know,

00:49:57.180 the baseline for this

00:49:58.120 would be about this many?

00:50:01.500 No.

00:50:02.360 Now, how many people did

00:50:03.700 Russell Brand actually sleep with?

00:50:06.400 I picked a hundred

00:50:07.120 just to keep the math easy.

00:50:09.840 Well, at one point,

00:50:11.000 he made some claim

00:50:11.920 that sounds like hyperbole to me,

00:50:13.940 that he could sleep with

00:50:14.840 80 women a month.

00:50:16.180 I'm sure he didn't sleep

00:50:17.560 with 80 women a month,

00:50:18.760 most months.

00:50:20.060 But could we say

00:50:21.840 that his body count

00:50:23.100 might be 400?

00:50:26.620 Is that too much?

00:50:28.680 Do you think he has a body count

00:50:29.800 of maybe 400?

00:50:32.660 How many false accusations

00:50:34.640 would a celebrity

00:50:36.740 who has seemingly become

00:50:39.780 more friendly to the right

00:50:41.180 get after,

00:50:43.260 here's the key,

00:50:43.980 wait for the next variable,

00:50:45.820 after five to ten years

00:50:47.740 of going by?

00:50:49.500 Do you know what happens

00:50:50.500 over five to ten years?

00:50:53.160 A lot of false memories.

00:50:56.000 Normally.

00:50:57.380 That would be normal.

00:50:58.560 A lot of false memories.

00:51:00.240 And a lot of reinterpreting

00:51:01.640 what you did

00:51:02.480 so that you're not

00:51:03.700 the bad guy.

00:51:05.360 Do you know that people

00:51:06.440 do that?

00:51:07.460 If somebody does something

00:51:08.780 and it's 100% their fault,

00:51:11.000 do they later say,

00:51:12.120 well, that was 100% my fault?

00:51:13.980 Not often.

00:51:15.660 Usually they reinterpret it

00:51:17.600 and reimagine it

00:51:18.920 and re-remember it

00:51:20.200 where it was really

00:51:21.460 a little bit more

00:51:22.160 somebody else's fault.

00:51:23.880 Well, yes,

00:51:24.500 I did technically say yes

00:51:26.380 and I didn't fight back

00:51:28.140 that much,

00:51:28.920 but now that, you know,

00:51:31.240 time has gone by,

00:51:32.660 it didn't bother me

00:51:33.520 at the time,

00:51:34.500 but, you know,

00:51:35.200 so the longer you go,

00:51:38.140 the greater that number.

00:51:39.700 So if you said,

00:51:40.740 if the celebrity had sex

00:51:42.100 with 100 people,

00:51:43.420 let's say up to five of them

00:51:44.860 might, you know,

00:51:46.380 have an accusation later.

00:51:48.080 If you wait five to ten years

00:51:49.860 to ask the same group,

00:51:51.540 it'll be a bigger number.

00:51:53.140 The number will never go down

00:51:54.960 over time.

00:51:55.820 It will only go up.

00:51:57.660 That would be

00:51:58.080 the natural direction

00:51:59.220 as people's memories

00:52:00.740 start to become

00:52:02.140 kinder to themselves

00:52:03.320 and less kind

00:52:04.920 to somebody

00:52:05.440 that they used to like,

00:52:06.960 but now he said something

00:52:08.140 not negative about Trump.

00:52:10.640 What's that do to your mind?

00:52:12.560 Well, suddenly your memory

00:52:14.000 starts taking on

00:52:14.960 a more active nature.

00:52:17.740 You're no longer

00:52:18.580 using your memory,

00:52:19.700 you're sort of

00:52:20.320 redefining it

00:52:21.260 and massaging it,

00:52:22.380 and now it's compatible

00:52:23.380 with this new information

00:52:24.540 you have.

00:52:25.020 When you were with this man,

00:52:26.660 you thought he was

00:52:27.280 perfectly nice,

00:52:28.500 and I'm pretty sure I,

00:52:29.980 you know,

00:52:30.440 maybe I didn't do

00:52:32.060 what I would have done

00:52:32.820 when I wasn't drinking,

00:52:34.180 but, you know,

00:52:34.720 things happen,

00:52:35.520 so it was no big deal,

00:52:36.560 but now you realize

00:52:37.600 that he's a monster

00:52:38.540 ten years later.

00:52:40.900 Ooh, I didn't know

00:52:41.800 at the time

00:52:42.340 he was a monster,

00:52:43.560 but now that he says

00:52:44.600 something that's not

00:52:45.980 100% negative

00:52:47.000 about Trump,

00:52:48.620 well, I can see

00:52:49.460 that he is a monster,

00:52:50.820 and therefore,

00:52:51.960 logically,

00:52:52.560 he was a monster

00:52:53.640 ten years ago,

00:52:54.400 and I just didn't

00:52:55.080 realize it,

00:52:55.840 wait a minute,

00:52:56.740 I was raped.

00:52:59.880 Now, I'm making

00:53:00.780 all that up.

00:53:01.380 Nobody went through

00:53:02.400 that actual process.

00:53:03.800 I'm just describing

00:53:04.740 the natural way

00:53:05.800 brains work.

00:53:07.800 You would expect

00:53:08.540 that the longer you go,

00:53:09.840 the more accusations

00:53:10.800 people would remember,

00:53:13.800 especially once

00:53:14.600 it's in the news.

00:53:15.680 Now, now that it's

00:53:16.420 in the news,

00:53:17.240 what would you expect

00:53:18.320 to happen?

00:53:19.820 You would expect

00:53:20.620 more people

00:53:21.100 to come forward.

00:53:21.720 You would expect

00:53:23.400 more people

00:53:24.000 to modify their memory

00:53:25.560 to make it compatible

00:53:27.100 with this new stuff

00:53:28.140 that they keep hearing

00:53:28.940 over and over again

00:53:29.700 about him being a monster.

00:53:31.480 Yeah,

00:53:32.260 he was a monster

00:53:33.660 now that I think

00:53:34.400 about it.

00:53:35.700 Yeah.

00:53:36.260 Now,

00:53:36.900 let me be clear.

00:53:38.680 Are there any

00:53:39.340 NPCs here

00:53:40.380 who would like

00:53:40.820 to blame me?

00:53:42.180 I'd like to just

00:53:43.120 talk to the NPCs.

00:53:44.440 Would you like

00:53:44.960 to say something

00:53:45.540 about me being

00:53:46.440 a rape apologist?

00:53:48.320 This would be

00:53:48.800 the time to do it.

00:53:49.500 Nothing like that

00:53:51.440 happened,

00:53:51.840 of course.

00:53:52.440 But I know

00:53:52.900 if you're an NPC,

00:53:53.840 that's what you're hearing.

00:53:55.400 So could the NPCs only,

00:53:56.900 just the NPCs,

00:53:57.960 the rest of you

00:53:58.540 take a break.

00:53:59.540 Just the NPCs,

00:54:00.660 would you like

00:54:01.060 to make your

00:54:01.900 dumbass

00:54:02.860 fucking

00:54:03.860 rape expert?

00:54:08.100 Stop victim blaming,

00:54:09.340 thank you.

00:54:10.600 Stop victim blaming,

00:54:12.140 thank you.

00:54:12.740 Thank you.

00:54:12.780 All right,

00:54:18.560 well,

00:54:18.760 a few dumb people

00:54:19.380 wagging.

00:54:20.420 Okay.

00:54:21.820 Here's something

00:54:22.680 I saw in the tweet

00:54:23.760 today from

00:54:24.920 Twitter user

00:54:26.280 Andrew Whitmer,

00:54:27.580 who is a

00:54:28.920 retired police officer.

00:54:31.020 So this is a

00:54:31.720 retired police officer

00:54:32.700 who says the following,

00:54:34.520 at least 50%

00:54:35.780 of the sexual

00:54:36.580 assault reports

00:54:37.420 I took as a

00:54:38.140 police officer

00:54:38.860 were demonstrably

00:54:41.200 false accusations.

00:54:43.580 Police agencies

00:54:44.800 don't publicize

00:54:45.800 this information

00:54:46.600 to avoid the public

00:54:48.160 backlash to the truth.

00:54:51.460 50%

00:54:52.700 of the sexual

00:54:55.220 assault reports

00:54:56.160 in his opinion

00:54:57.720 were not just

00:54:59.440 false,

00:55:00.620 but like really

00:55:01.220 obviously false.

00:55:04.080 I once knew

00:55:05.240 somebody

00:55:05.700 who made

00:55:06.820 false

00:55:07.220 rape accusations.

00:55:10.820 How did I know

00:55:11.940 they were fake?

00:55:12.780 Because they

00:55:14.040 were demonstrably

00:55:15.300 fake.

00:55:16.660 Meaning you

00:55:17.400 just had to

00:55:17.980 listen to them

00:55:18.600 and you'd go,

00:55:19.100 no,

00:55:19.360 that did not

00:55:19.940 happen.

00:55:22.260 One time

00:55:23.100 I was listening

00:55:23.920 to the fake,

00:55:24.880 I was actually

00:55:25.540 listening to the

00:55:26.300 fake accusation

00:55:27.160 when the phone

00:55:28.740 rang

00:55:29.100 and the person

00:55:31.140 that was

00:55:31.740 allegedly the

00:55:32.460 rapist was on

00:55:33.140 the phone,

00:55:33.860 on the speakerphone,

00:55:34.920 and I got to hear

00:55:35.840 the interaction.

00:55:36.540 let's just say

00:55:39.300 that was a

00:55:39.760 pretty fake

00:55:40.280 accusation

00:55:40.960 once you

00:55:42.420 heard them

00:55:42.740 talking to

00:55:43.200 each other.

00:55:44.340 So,

00:55:45.740 if you've

00:55:46.900 never been

00:55:47.340 in the room

00:55:48.060 where somebody

00:55:49.100 actually was

00:55:49.940 giving a fake

00:55:50.820 and you knew

00:55:51.600 it,

00:55:52.620 you wouldn't

00:55:53.440 think it's

00:55:53.880 really necessarily

00:55:54.540 a thing.

00:55:55.220 It just seems

00:55:55.800 like something

00:55:56.340 people wouldn't

00:55:57.560 do.

00:55:58.360 But there are

00:55:59.020 people who do

00:55:59.500 it routinely,

00:56:00.640 and police

00:56:01.440 know it,

00:56:01.840 and all

00:56:02.820 celebrities

00:56:03.220 know it.

00:56:05.360 All right,

00:56:06.040 so YouTube

00:56:06.960 guilt until

00:56:08.020 proven innocent

00:56:08.760 situation,

00:56:09.880 demonetize them.

00:56:11.640 Let me say

00:56:12.580 once as clearly

00:56:13.820 as I can,

00:56:15.140 anybody who's

00:56:17.060 making an

00:56:17.560 accusation of

00:56:18.140 that kind

00:56:18.500 has to be

00:56:19.040 taken seriously.

00:56:21.600 And you

00:56:21.980 can't,

00:56:22.620 there's no

00:56:23.220 wiggle room

00:56:23.680 for that.

00:56:25.080 These accusations

00:56:25.920 have to be

00:56:26.700 treated seriously,

00:56:27.900 but only as

00:56:29.940 seriously as

00:56:31.660 your assumption

00:56:32.200 of innocence.

00:56:34.240 You can't

00:56:35.040 have a

00:56:35.820 preferred,

00:56:36.960 you know,

00:56:37.240 better one.

00:56:38.700 You have to

00:56:39.540 say it's

00:56:40.000 equally true

00:56:41.420 that you

00:56:41.800 take it

00:56:42.140 seriously,

00:56:42.780 and it's

00:56:43.040 equally true

00:56:43.620 that he's

00:56:43.960 innocent until

00:56:44.500 proven guilty.

00:56:45.800 But the

00:56:46.180 baseline is

00:56:48.000 that he's

00:56:48.600 the type of

00:56:49.200 person who

00:56:50.280 I can guarantee

00:56:51.240 is a recipient

00:56:52.860 of fake

00:56:53.620 accusations.

00:56:55.200 Not

00:56:55.600 necessarily

00:56:56.200 these.

00:56:57.480 I don't

00:56:57.800 know anything

00:56:58.140 about these.

00:57:00.520 But I can

00:57:01.540 guarantee it

00:57:02.360 that he

00:57:03.720 is aware

00:57:04.380 of fake

00:57:04.980 ones that

00:57:05.400 have been

00:57:05.600 made against

00:57:06.100 him.

00:57:06.420 Guarantee it.

00:57:08.440 There's no

00:57:09.080 way,

00:57:09.400 statistically,

00:57:10.200 it would be

00:57:10.580 nearly impossible

00:57:11.820 for him to

00:57:12.840 not have

00:57:13.440 also fake

00:57:15.180 ones,

00:57:15.500 even if

00:57:15.840 there's a

00:57:16.140 real one.

00:57:19.740 All right.

00:57:22.160 I believe

00:57:23.160 the

00:57:26.080 illegitimate

00:57:27.500 press was

00:57:28.420 so eager to

00:57:29.240 make me part

00:57:29.820 of this

00:57:30.060 story in a

00:57:31.000 bad way.

00:57:32.280 I'm not

00:57:32.840 going to

00:57:33.020 tell you the

00:57:33.420 publication,

00:57:34.400 but there

00:57:34.680 was a

00:57:34.920 publication

00:57:35.240 that threw

00:57:36.280 me in the

00:57:36.780 mix with

00:57:37.320 some other

00:57:37.780 people commenting

00:57:38.700 on it,

00:57:39.400 except the

00:57:40.060 tweet that

00:57:40.660 they quoted

00:57:41.220 was on a

00:57:42.100 different topic.

00:57:44.240 They had to

00:57:44.940 find a tweet

00:57:45.580 that was on a

00:57:46.140 different topic

00:57:46.940 and throw it

00:57:48.460 in there,

00:57:49.240 and then say,

00:57:49.800 wow, we think

00:57:50.520 he's talking

00:57:50.980 about this.

00:57:51.720 No, no,

00:57:52.600 it was just a

00:57:53.060 different topic.

00:57:53.840 So anybody

00:57:55.960 who trusts the

00:57:56.680 news in

00:57:57.160 2023,

00:57:59.200 you've got

00:58:00.360 some explaining

00:58:01.040 to do.

00:58:02.160 I'll tell you,

00:58:03.080 by far the

00:58:04.280 strongest

00:58:04.740 persuasion I

00:58:05.760 found is to

00:58:07.300 show sympathy

00:58:08.000 for people who

00:58:08.840 have fallen

00:58:09.500 for the

00:58:10.000 hoaxes on

00:58:10.700 their side.

00:58:11.660 They really

00:58:12.240 don't.

00:58:13.100 They don't

00:58:13.740 know what

00:58:14.040 they're doing,

00:58:14.960 and they

00:58:15.580 don't have

00:58:16.040 any sense

00:58:16.920 that they've

00:58:17.780 been brainwashed.

00:58:19.560 And so I

00:58:19.880 don't like to

00:58:20.380 treat a

00:58:20.780 brainwashed

00:58:21.340 person like a

00:58:22.260 legitimate person

00:58:23.040 with a point

00:58:23.620 of view.

00:58:24.360 That's not

00:58:24.860 what's happening.

00:58:26.120 These are

00:58:26.540 purely brainwashed

00:58:27.820 individuals who

00:58:29.240 are just

00:58:30.080 acting out.

00:58:38.960 Yeah.

00:58:40.520 Always double

00:58:41.400 tap.

00:58:46.860 All right.

00:58:49.620 Oh, yeah,

00:58:50.320 then the worst

00:58:51.980 thing that can

00:58:52.460 happen to you

00:58:53.060 happen to you

00:58:53.080 is if you

00:58:53.560 get accused

00:58:54.420 of something

00:58:54.920 and Andrew

00:58:55.560 Tate comes

00:58:56.120 to your

00:58:56.600 backs you.

00:59:00.440 If Andrew

00:59:01.360 Tate comes

00:59:02.640 to your

00:59:02.960 defense,

00:59:04.400 suddenly you

00:59:05.180 have a whole

00:59:05.560 new problem

00:59:06.100 because you

00:59:07.600 end up

00:59:08.340 adopting all

00:59:09.040 of his

00:59:09.360 accusations

00:59:10.660 as yours.

00:59:14.700 All right.

00:59:18.260 Can I

00:59:18.860 brainwash the

00:59:19.520 NPCs?

00:59:20.240 I don't know

00:59:20.600 if they have

00:59:21.320 that kind

00:59:21.740 of brain.

00:59:25.980 Andrew

00:59:26.340 Tate, I

00:59:26.980 don't get

00:59:27.300 it.

00:59:29.840 All right.

00:59:33.040 Let me also

00:59:33.980 say,

00:59:36.320 well, never

00:59:39.220 mind.

00:59:43.420 Literally

00:59:43.860 admitted they

00:59:44.940 took in no

00:59:46.120 news at all.

00:59:46.780 Okay.

00:59:48.500 All right.

00:59:48.960 Is there

00:59:49.140 anything else

00:59:49.560 I missed?

00:59:50.160 Any big

00:59:50.540 stories that

00:59:51.180 I forgot to

00:59:51.780 talk about?

00:59:52.240 I'm loving

00:59:52.640 the F-35

00:59:53.320 story.

00:59:59.500 Yeah.

01:00:02.660 All right.

01:00:03.340 What are they

01:00:03.740 going to do

01:00:04.280 with Kamala?

01:00:06.180 Well, I

01:00:08.280 guess we

01:00:08.640 wait and

01:00:09.000 see.

01:00:09.180 John says,

01:00:14.680 you're

01:00:14.820 killing me,

01:00:15.380 Scott.

01:00:22.680 All right.

01:00:25.900 If a plane

01:00:26.680 has auto

01:00:27.200 ejected, what

01:00:27.820 prevents it

01:00:28.320 from happening

01:00:28.740 during dog

01:00:29.340 fights?

01:00:30.120 Well,

01:00:31.180 design.

01:00:33.760 What

01:00:34.240 prevents it?

01:00:35.300 It should be

01:00:35.760 designed not to

01:00:36.500 do that.

01:00:37.560 Maybe it

01:00:38.120 isn't.

01:00:42.240 All right.

01:00:45.780 I think

01:00:46.360 we've got

01:00:46.840 our one

01:00:47.480 hour that

01:00:48.020 YouTube likes

01:00:48.800 to see.

01:00:49.280 We'll see

01:00:49.540 if I get

01:00:49.980 demonetized.

01:00:56.740 That was a

01:00:57.500 fast hour,

01:00:58.200 wasn't it?

01:01:00.740 I think it's

01:01:01.460 some of my

01:01:01.940 finest work.

01:01:04.960 Have you

01:01:05.400 noticed that

01:01:06.100 this again?

01:01:07.420 The topics

01:01:08.200 today, you

01:01:09.660 recognize these

01:01:10.500 as ones I

01:01:11.140 might not

01:01:11.540 have done

01:01:11.880 before,

01:01:12.380 right?

01:01:13.440 You recognize

01:01:14.260 that my

01:01:15.300 free speech

01:01:16.020 is legitimately

01:01:16.740 more than

01:01:17.340 yours.

01:01:17.900 I legitimately

01:01:18.620 have more

01:01:19.080 free speech

01:01:19.620 than you do,

01:01:20.200 like a lot.

01:01:23.020 I'm as

01:01:23.660 canceled as

01:01:24.240 I'm going to

01:01:24.580 get,

01:01:24.880 probably.

01:01:28.160 Why support

01:01:29.000 YouTube?

01:01:29.460 YouTube

01:01:29.680 supports me.

01:01:31.740 They're

01:01:31.980 supporting me.

01:01:32.540 So YouTube

01:01:34.500 is my

01:01:34.960 marketing for

01:01:35.660 my other

01:01:36.060 platforms.

01:01:37.940 If you

01:01:38.480 use YouTube

01:01:39.480 for marketing,

01:01:40.360 it's fine.

01:01:41.200 If you use it

01:01:42.000 for an income,

01:01:42.640 you're in

01:01:42.880 trouble.

01:01:48.860 Oh,

01:01:49.540 oh,

01:01:50.260 oh,

01:01:50.960 oh,

01:01:51.980 oh,

01:01:53.140 oh.

01:01:54.080 Okay.

01:01:54.640 I was going

01:01:55.040 to say this

01:01:55.540 one more thing

01:01:56.680 before I go.

01:01:57.820 So somebody

01:01:58.340 in the

01:01:58.620 comments

01:01:59.000 beat me

01:01:59.900 to it,

01:02:00.300 but I

01:02:00.700 promise I

01:02:01.260 was also

01:02:01.640 thinking about

01:02:02.280 it.

01:02:03.600 One

01:02:04.040 possibility

01:02:04.800 of why we

01:02:06.560 haven't heard

01:02:07.080 from the

01:02:07.480 pilot,

01:02:09.080 I'm just

01:02:09.660 going to

01:02:09.860 put that

01:02:10.220 out there

01:02:10.740 as a

01:02:11.080 possibility

01:02:11.620 that would

01:02:12.060 make sense

01:02:12.720 in 2023.

01:02:15.000 It's a

01:02:15.640 2023

01:02:16.140 explanation

01:02:17.060 that the

01:02:18.960 pilot was

01:02:19.620 a privileged

01:02:20.540 class of

01:02:21.520 people.

01:02:25.120 It could

01:02:25.860 be it

01:02:26.240 was the

01:02:26.540 first

01:02:26.800 trans

01:02:27.280 pilot.

01:02:29.360 It could

01:02:30.060 be it

01:02:30.420 was a

01:02:30.840 female 0.86

01:02:31.740 pilot,

01:02:32.780 the first

01:02:33.540 Elbonian

01:02:34.140 pilot,

01:02:35.140 the first

01:02:35.680 black

01:02:36.880 lesbian

01:02:37.320 pilot.

01:02:38.460 It could

01:02:39.120 have been

01:02:39.340 one of

01:02:39.580 those

01:02:39.780 situations.

01:02:41.060 If it

01:02:41.700 was,

01:02:42.720 they would

01:02:43.680 lock that

01:02:44.360 story up

01:02:44.920 so fast.

01:02:45.580 You will

01:02:45.900 never hear

01:02:46.380 the name

01:02:46.760 of the

01:02:47.180 pilot if

01:02:49.880 it turns

01:02:50.720 out it

01:02:51.060 was any

01:02:52.320 privileged

01:02:52.920 class.

01:02:55.380 But do

01:02:56.060 we already

01:02:56.340 know the

01:02:56.660 pilot?

01:02:58.200 Oh,

01:02:58.500 we know

01:02:58.720 the name

01:02:59.020 of the

01:02:59.200 pilot?

01:03:01.060 Or do

01:03:01.640 we?

01:03:02.940 See,

01:03:03.220 I would

01:03:03.440 think that

01:03:03.800 they wouldn't

01:03:04.140 tell us the

01:03:04.600 name of the

01:03:04.900 pilot.

01:03:05.980 Maybe for a

01:03:06.940 long time.

01:03:07.960 And I'm not

01:03:08.520 sure that we

01:03:08.940 should.

01:03:10.040 I don't know

01:03:10.600 that we should

01:03:11.060 know because

01:03:11.500 we're going to

01:03:11.960 blame the

01:03:12.380 pilot and I

01:03:13.660 think that

01:03:13.980 would be

01:03:14.240 premature.

01:03:17.120 All right.

01:03:18.020 Anyway,

01:03:18.500 that was one of

01:03:19.040 the possibilities.

01:03:20.080 I think we'll

01:03:20.860 know one way

01:03:21.700 or another.

01:03:22.040 But if

01:03:23.120 you're wondering

01:03:23.620 why we

01:03:24.180 don't know

01:03:24.560 more about

01:03:25.160 it,

01:03:26.560 that's one

01:03:28.140 possible reason.

01:03:29.540 I mean,

01:03:29.740 that would

01:03:29.960 make sense

01:03:30.440 in 2023.

01:03:35.180 All right.

01:03:42.760 Maybe the

01:03:43.440 black box

01:03:44.080 will show

01:03:44.440 that he

01:03:44.700 was

01:03:44.860 tubing.

01:03:46.900 He was

01:03:47.540 doing a

01:03:47.920 Jeffrey

01:03:48.200 tubing.

01:03:50.560 Probably

01:03:51.040 not.

01:03:51.320 All right.

01:03:51.820 That's all

01:03:52.080 I got.

01:03:52.480 Obviously,

01:03:52.900 I'm just

01:03:53.220 going crazy

01:03:54.560 now.

01:03:54.880 So I'll

01:03:55.120 talk to you

01:03:55.440 later,

01:03:55.860 YouTube.

01:03:56.660 Bye for

01:03:57.120 now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 19, 2023

Episode 2236 Scott Adams： There Is Nothing In This Livestream That Should Demonetize Me Bring Coffee

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