Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2239 Scott Adams： More Reports On The Gears Of The Machine. It Is Completely Clear Now

00:00:00.000 Do, do, do, do, do, do, do, do, do, do.

00:00:04.140 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:10.580 And if you'd like your experience to be so special that you'll be talking to your grandkids about it forever,

00:00:18.620 all you need is a cup or mug or glass, a tank or gel, so stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:25.140 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:28.740 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:00:31.740 It's a dope immediate of the day.

00:00:33.000 The thing that makes everything better.

00:00:34.280 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:36.640 It happens now.

00:00:37.780 Go.

00:00:42.220 Ah.

00:00:43.780 So good.

00:00:45.320 Savor it.

00:00:46.620 Savor it.

00:00:47.200 All right, well, let's talk about all the news.

00:00:51.600 Governor Newsom was complaining recently

00:00:54.700 that there are a lot of micro-cults.

00:00:58.840 And he gave some examples.

00:01:00.420 He said that his own son has been talking to him

00:01:03.940 about Andrew Tate, Joe Rogan, and Jordan Peterson.

00:01:09.220 And I guess those are the micro-cults.

00:01:11.800 That's right.

00:01:12.260 Governor Newsom's son is listening to Tate, Rogan, and Jordan Peterson.

00:01:21.980 So what can you conclude from that?

00:01:24.700 Here's what I conclude from that.

00:01:28.800 I'm just going to guess that that son has a very clean bedroom.

00:01:36.080 Anybody want to take the other side of that bet?

00:01:39.740 Wouldn't you love to ask him that question?

00:01:42.540 Just one question and walk away.

00:01:45.280 Governor Newsom, I hear your son's listening to Tate and Rogan

00:01:49.860 and Jordan Peterson.

00:01:51.580 Well, yes, I'm afraid to say it's true.

00:01:53.880 I just have one question.

00:01:56.820 How clean is his bedroom?

00:02:00.060 And you don't even wait for the answer.

00:02:02.180 Just walk away.

00:02:04.440 That's how I play it.

00:02:06.680 Well, I have a theory that there will be a rebalance

00:02:11.200 of our current crazy situation.

00:02:13.660 And the reason for the rebalance is that men, adult men,

00:02:21.440 have been completely taken out of the, let's say,

00:02:25.240 the political conversation because we're too easy to cancel and to threaten.

00:02:29.060 So men need jobs.

00:02:32.740 And if you say the wrong things in America, you lose your job.

00:02:37.360 So men are just completely taken off the board

00:02:39.580 because we'll just get canceled like Russell Brand or Tucker Carlson or me.

00:02:44.760 So adult men don't have any hope of being part of the conversation

00:02:50.720 in a meaningful way.

00:02:54.180 This, however, will be very different with young men who have nothing to lose.

00:02:59.220 And even when they don't have anything to lose,

00:03:01.880 they're more likely to risk losing it because they're young men.

00:03:05.160 I don't know if you've been paying attention,

00:03:08.300 but the young males are not on board with wokeness.

00:03:13.380 And I don't think that's an exaggeration.

00:03:16.460 The young men, not on board with wokeness, not even a little bit.

00:03:21.160 I've never even met one.

00:03:23.640 Never even met a young male who was woke.

00:03:28.700 Never even heard of one.

00:03:31.760 And those men have nothing to lose.

00:03:35.660 Because they don't have jobs.

00:03:37.960 They have nothing to lose.

00:03:40.140 So you're going to see this explosion of male energy

00:03:44.600 that has been suppressed in the adult male population for a long time

00:03:49.820 because you know why?

00:03:51.020 We thought we could protect our jobs.

00:03:55.060 How'd that work out?

00:03:56.900 Didn't work out at all.

00:03:58.840 No, because your job will be taken by a diversity hire anyway.

00:04:03.820 So a woman will take your job or LGBTQ.

00:04:07.820 So going along with the plan doesn't help as much as you think it would.

00:04:11.400 But it's a natural impulse.

00:04:14.000 So look out.

00:04:15.320 We might be a generation away from it.

00:04:17.100 But now that I know that Governor Newsom's son is being raised by Andrew Tate,

00:04:23.640 I'm just going to say there are some surprises, a few surprises coming.

00:04:28.260 That's all.

00:04:30.380 All right.

00:04:31.060 In the segment I like to call it dumb science,

00:04:34.560 where science gives you a result that you don't have to be an expert to know is bullshit.

00:04:40.220 So the test here is, without being any kind of a scientist at all,

00:04:47.660 can you tell that this is bullshit?

00:04:49.440 So let me tell you what they found.

00:04:52.020 There was a study that found out that the events of January 6th

00:04:57.180 caused a substantial degradation in mental health.

00:05:03.060 So there's a big drop in mental health.

00:05:06.980 But it doesn't seem to be across the board.

00:05:10.980 It seems to have hit Democrats really hard,

00:05:14.600 but Republicans sort of not at all.

00:05:18.580 So January 6th actually caused measurable mental health decline for Democrats.

00:05:25.440 But no real difference for Republicans.

00:05:30.240 And so do you know what they concluded based on this?

00:05:34.700 Their conclusion was that the events of January 6th

00:05:38.140 caused a decline in mental health.

00:05:41.280 Does that sound accurate?

00:05:43.400 The events of January 6th caused a decline in mental health.

00:05:49.460 Let me postulate another possibility.

00:05:52.800 Could it be that the reason Democrats were affected is that they watched fake news

00:05:59.300 and the Republicans watched both

00:06:02.120 so they could judge what was real and what was fake pretty easily

00:06:05.640 and that the people who saw the real news

00:06:08.280 did not think that there was an insurrection that almost destroyed the country

00:06:12.900 or anything like that?

00:06:16.320 And so the Republicans had reason to be angry,

00:06:20.120 you know, politically angry,

00:06:21.180 but they didn't have any trigger to be politically, mentally, you know, unhealthy.

00:06:27.840 But the Democrats did.

00:06:30.140 They were told nonstop that their country was almost lost

00:06:33.660 and they live in a white supremacist society

00:06:36.620 that almost took over.

00:06:39.020 That would be pretty scary

00:06:40.460 to imagine if something like that actually happened in the real world.

00:06:44.680 But it didn't.

00:06:46.140 It's just that their news told them it did and it made them crazy.

00:06:48.520 Now, getting back to Dr. Jordan Peterson's theory

00:06:54.200 that a lot of what you see online

00:06:56.000 is the dark triad personality traits,

00:07:00.720 narcissists mostly,

00:07:02.440 and that you're mostly just seeing mental health amplified.

00:07:08.520 You know, before if you had bad mental health,

00:07:10.380 it only bothered a few people that you associated with.

00:07:12.980 But now I'm bad mental health.

00:07:15.000 It's like, ah, I can scream it on social media.

00:07:17.420 I can cancel you.

00:07:18.780 I control you.

00:07:21.640 I just thought that control

00:07:23.860 and can troll

00:07:27.380 are very similar, aren't they?

00:07:31.320 Because they use trolls

00:07:32.780 to control.

00:07:34.040 If you can troll, you can troll.

00:07:37.440 Hmm.

00:07:38.240 Interesting.

00:07:40.340 That's a dumb science for today.

00:07:42.780 Dumb science.

00:07:44.820 A question I like to ask every few months

00:07:47.480 just to get people talking.

00:07:49.740 Why in the world would anybody hire someone

00:07:51.920 who had pronouns in any of their bios,

00:07:55.180 online or otherwise?

00:07:57.160 Why would you do that?

00:07:58.240 Now, I imagine there'd be some, like,

00:08:02.360 super blue businesses

00:08:04.420 that just, you know,

00:08:05.620 have to get somebody just like them.

00:08:07.820 There'd be some of those.

00:08:09.460 But doesn't a pronoun

00:08:11.520 signal that you're going to cause trouble?

00:08:15.600 I don't know how it could be more clear.

00:08:18.560 Hi, I'm going to have a problem

00:08:20.280 on this minor point.

00:08:22.260 And not only am I going to have a problem,

00:08:24.200 I want to tell you in advance.

00:08:25.820 So when you violate this minor point,

00:08:29.600 whoa, there's going to be trouble.

00:08:32.540 Why would anybody hire somebody

00:08:34.440 who led with how much trouble

00:08:36.700 there are going to be?

00:08:38.720 Now, my assumption is

00:08:40.160 that the pronoun thing will go away.

00:08:42.240 And I think it will go away

00:08:43.820 because the number of companies

00:08:46.060 that will hire you

00:08:47.020 because you have a pronoun

00:08:48.300 will drop to zero.

00:08:51.800 But the number that will reject you

00:08:54.820 because the pronouns

00:08:55.680 is probably already at a third,

00:08:58.580 maybe 30% or more,

00:09:00.680 I would think.

00:09:01.680 What's your guess?

00:09:02.820 What percentage of hiring managers

00:09:05.020 across the board everywhere

00:09:07.640 would reject somebody

00:09:10.100 just immediately

00:09:11.380 because of a pronoun?

00:09:12.840 I would.

00:09:13.300 I would not even consider

00:09:15.060 somebody with their pronoun.

00:09:17.520 And it has nothing to do

00:09:18.740 with their political opinions.

00:09:20.840 It's really, really bad judgment

00:09:22.400 to put your pronoun in your bio

00:09:23.960 if you're applying for a job

00:09:25.220 because you don't know yet

00:09:26.760 if your employer thinks that's cool.

00:09:29.840 So that, I mean,

00:09:30.700 it's a big signal of bad judgment,

00:09:32.620 but it's also a signal

00:09:33.760 of potential lawsuits

00:09:35.580 and trouble like that.

00:09:37.200 And also somebody

00:09:38.980 who's going to support

00:09:39.920 every woke person

00:09:41.400 and woke thing,

00:09:42.680 and you don't need that either.

00:09:45.220 So my guess is

00:09:47.260 that pure economics

00:09:48.280 will drive this out

00:09:49.320 in the marketplace.

00:09:50.880 Just economics.

00:09:52.900 What do you think?

00:09:54.460 Do you think there'll be more of it,

00:09:55.620 or is it just sort of obvious

00:09:57.140 that economics will drive it

00:09:58.520 out of the system?

00:09:59.140 I think we're just a few years

00:10:01.980 away from it disappearing.

00:10:03.880 Maybe three.

00:10:05.180 I think in three years,

00:10:06.400 pronouns will make you look like

00:10:07.840 just a fucking idiot.

00:10:10.980 Yeah.

00:10:11.520 All right.

00:10:14.160 I've said this story before,

00:10:15.660 but I like it so much

00:10:16.520 I'm going to say it again.

00:10:17.740 So Ibram Kendi,

00:10:19.080 the anti-racist guy,

00:10:20.980 activist,

00:10:21.960 he was trying to figure out

00:10:24.000 what happened to

00:10:25.500 $30 million of mismanaged money

00:10:27.780 for his, quote,

00:10:29.180 anti-racism center.

00:10:32.760 So Boston University

00:10:34.320 is investigating

00:10:35.220 the center

00:10:36.520 following allegations

00:10:37.520 that he mismanaged

00:10:38.460 grant funds,

00:10:39.280 failed to deliver

00:10:39.880 key projects,

00:10:41.060 and unleashed

00:10:42.060 employment violence

00:10:43.480 on the staff.

00:10:45.320 Now, guess what type

00:10:47.040 of people he hired?

00:10:50.340 He hired the kind of people

00:10:51.740 who would have pronouns

00:10:52.680 in their bio.

00:10:54.820 How'd that work out?

00:10:55.920 Well, it looks like

00:10:57.980 they have some complaints.

00:11:02.080 Yeah, they have some complaints.

00:11:04.480 Now, there might be

00:11:05.840 a really good reason

00:11:06.680 for a complaint

00:11:07.420 because it's missing

00:11:08.360 $30 million

00:11:09.000 and the other accusations

00:11:11.380 you have to take seriously.

00:11:13.300 But even if Kendi

00:11:15.320 had done nothing wrong,

00:11:17.700 but the only thing he'd done

00:11:19.460 is hired a staff

00:11:20.320 full of complainers,

00:11:21.980 how in the world

00:11:23.520 was that going to work?

00:11:24.360 So we've actually seen

00:11:27.320 the test case

00:11:28.700 of hiring people

00:11:30.200 not for merit,

00:11:31.500 but for being like-minded.

00:11:35.120 Didn't work out.

00:11:36.880 Turns out, big surprise.

00:11:38.300 Didn't work out.

00:11:40.300 All right, here's something

00:11:41.380 I'll bet you didn't know.

00:11:43.680 Mike Benz taught me this

00:11:45.920 on Twitter, on X, I mean.

00:11:47.380 Did you know

00:11:51.100 that in Cuba

00:11:53.040 the CIA

00:11:54.480 tried to create

00:11:56.200 a Twitter-like product

00:11:59.040 that the CIA

00:12:00.500 would control

00:12:01.280 and unknowingly

00:12:02.960 the Cuban population

00:12:04.300 would use it,

00:12:05.040 not knowing

00:12:05.480 that the CIA

00:12:06.140 controlled it.

00:12:07.420 And the plan

00:12:08.260 explicitly

00:12:08.960 was to build up

00:12:10.460 a population

00:12:11.120 of users

00:12:11.720 and then after

00:12:13.160 they got the population

00:12:14.080 of users,

00:12:15.160 they would politicize it.

00:12:16.360 In other words,

00:12:17.220 they'd put their finger

00:12:17.980 on it and start using it

00:12:19.940 to foment revolution.

00:12:22.520 Well, it didn't work out

00:12:24.160 because they didn't get

00:12:25.120 enough users

00:12:25.720 and they didn't get

00:12:26.680 their funding,

00:12:27.500 so it never got

00:12:28.060 to the second step

00:12:28.980 of fomenting protests,

00:12:31.420 fake protests.

00:12:32.500 They were fomented

00:12:33.380 by the CIA.

00:12:34.700 So this was

00:12:35.580 literally a way

00:12:36.820 that was being used

00:12:37.740 to overthrow Cuba,

00:12:39.600 unsuccessfully.

00:12:40.360 but you could tell

00:12:42.460 that the CIA,

00:12:44.480 and by the way,

00:12:45.220 this is documented,

00:12:46.320 it's on Wikipedia,

00:12:47.940 it's not one of these

00:12:48.760 weird conspiracy theories,

00:12:51.340 it's a well-documented

00:12:52.600 thing.

00:12:54.420 Now,

00:12:55.660 you don't think

00:12:56.380 that China thought

00:12:57.100 of that

00:12:57.480 with TikTok?

00:12:59.460 You don't think

00:13:00.280 that China

00:13:00.840 said,

00:13:02.260 let's build up

00:13:02.780 an audience

00:13:03.320 and once we've got

00:13:04.140 a good audience,

00:13:05.800 we're going to turn

00:13:06.700 the crank a little bit?

00:13:08.700 No?

00:13:09.500 Because it turns out

00:13:10.580 that the news

00:13:11.340 is also reporting

00:13:12.240 that TikTok

00:13:12.820 is moving more

00:13:14.000 into political content.

00:13:16.480 Huh.

00:13:17.620 Big surprise.

00:13:19.120 There's more political

00:13:20.000 content now

00:13:20.820 on TikTok.

00:13:21.780 Huh.

00:13:22.440 I wonder if it's

00:13:23.400 mostly conservative.

00:13:25.120 It's not?

00:13:26.420 What?

00:13:27.820 It mostly

00:13:28.440 is terrible

00:13:29.860 woke things

00:13:30.660 that would destroy

00:13:31.340 the country?

00:13:32.380 Oh,

00:13:32.860 big surprise,

00:13:33.760 big surprise.

00:13:34.720 Is it lots of things

00:13:35.620 that would reduce

00:13:36.300 the odds of reproduction?

00:13:38.280 Oh,

00:13:38.600 yeah,

00:13:38.860 it is.

00:13:39.720 Oh,

00:13:40.040 yeah,

00:13:40.320 it is.

00:13:42.120 But it's a complete

00:13:43.080 coincidence,

00:13:43.760 right?

00:13:44.700 It's just a coincidence.

00:13:46.240 It's a coincidence

00:13:47.040 that RCIA

00:13:48.240 tried to do

00:13:49.040 an op

00:13:49.620 that looks

00:13:50.620 exactly like

00:13:51.520 TikTok.

00:13:52.940 That's just

00:13:53.520 a coincidence.

00:13:55.280 So,

00:13:55.820 no,

00:13:56.020 China's not up

00:13:56.700 to anything.

00:13:57.480 And the way

00:13:57.840 we know

00:13:58.180 that China's

00:13:58.680 not up

00:13:59.040 to anything

00:13:59.440 is that

00:13:59.920 Rand Paul

00:14:00.800 squashed

00:14:02.900 the effort

00:14:03.780 to block

00:14:04.340 TikTok downloads

00:14:05.480 in Congress.

00:14:06.280 Rand Paul.

00:14:07.680 Oh,

00:14:07.880 Rand Paul,

00:14:08.420 who is one

00:14:08.880 of his biggest

00:14:09.380 funders?

00:14:10.600 Oh,

00:14:10.860 an owner

00:14:11.180 of TikTok.

00:14:12.240 Yeah,

00:14:12.800 an American

00:14:14.020 billionaire

00:14:14.500 who owns

00:14:15.020 a lot

00:14:15.380 of TikTok

00:14:15.800 is one

00:14:17.580 of the biggest

00:14:17.940 funders

00:14:18.440 to the people

00:14:18.980 who stopped

00:14:19.480 it from being

00:14:20.700 banned.

00:14:23.060 Things are

00:14:23.720 exactly the way

00:14:24.600 they look.

00:14:26.180 The gears

00:14:26.900 of the machine

00:14:27.640 are becoming

00:14:29.200 visible.

00:14:29.700 How many

00:14:32.120 of you

00:14:32.480 have a

00:14:32.860 completely

00:14:33.280 different

00:14:33.720 understanding

00:14:34.360 of our

00:14:35.100 system

00:14:35.540 just in the

00:14:37.040 last several

00:14:37.540 months

00:14:37.840 from listening

00:14:38.480 to me?

00:14:41.280 It's nothing

00:14:42.000 like what you

00:14:42.580 thought it was,

00:14:43.080 is it?

00:14:44.360 It's kind of

00:14:45.060 mind-blowing,

00:14:45.680 isn't it,

00:14:46.360 when you can

00:14:47.120 see the whole

00:14:47.580 system?

00:14:49.780 All right,

00:14:50.340 let's talk

00:14:51.240 about Dave

00:14:53.160 Portnoy,

00:14:53.840 as you probably

00:14:54.900 already know,

00:14:55.740 a food

00:14:57.960 writer,

00:14:58.840 that's right,

00:14:59.360 a food

00:15:00.060 editor,

00:15:01.800 decided to

00:15:02.540 write a story

00:15:03.120 about him

00:15:03.600 having a

00:15:04.320 pizza festival,

00:15:05.620 which was

00:15:06.380 for the benefit

00:15:06.960 of the small

00:15:07.520 businesses,

00:15:08.980 and they

00:15:09.580 decided to

00:15:10.200 call the

00:15:10.680 sponsors for

00:15:11.640 the event

00:15:12.120 and say,

00:15:13.200 are you

00:15:13.460 comfortable

00:15:13.880 working with

00:15:14.500 this misogynist

00:15:15.380 who does

00:15:16.140 sketchy things?

00:15:17.780 Which,

00:15:18.560 obviously,

00:15:20.020 is intended

00:15:20.700 to destroy

00:15:22.500 his economic

00:15:23.260 model.

00:15:23.700 Now,

00:15:26.020 Portnoy,

00:15:27.480 being a

00:15:29.020 media,

00:15:29.820 I would say,

00:15:31.280 expert,

00:15:32.520 knew exactly

00:15:34.220 how to handle

00:15:34.780 this,

00:15:35.480 and recorded

00:15:36.280 his phone

00:15:36.800 call when

00:15:37.200 he called

00:15:37.580 the reporter

00:15:38.340 for the

00:15:38.720 Washington Post,

00:15:40.240 and basically

00:15:42.820 embarrassed that

00:15:43.840 reporter and

00:15:44.620 made it a

00:15:45.040 national story,

00:15:46.020 which was

00:15:46.460 perfect.

00:15:47.900 You know,

00:15:48.120 you can't

00:15:48.760 handle it

00:15:49.180 better than

00:15:49.560 that.

00:15:50.400 That was

00:15:50.780 perfect.

00:15:52.540 Now,

00:15:52.860 do you

00:15:53.600 see the

00:15:53.920 gears of

00:15:54.340 the

00:15:54.440 machine?

00:15:55.180 The

00:15:55.300 Washington

00:15:55.680 Post,

00:15:57.040 who,

00:15:57.460 by the

00:15:57.680 way,

00:15:57.900 do you

00:15:58.120 know the

00:15:58.400 Washington

00:15:58.700 Post is

00:15:59.200 probably the

00:16:00.120 biggest entity

00:16:00.760 that canceled

00:16:01.340 me?

00:16:02.800 Did you

00:16:03.360 know that?

00:16:04.000 Because you

00:16:04.420 heard that I

00:16:04.920 was canceled

00:16:05.380 in newspapers.

00:16:07.400 But unless

00:16:08.000 the Washington

00:16:08.540 Post goes

00:16:09.300 first,

00:16:09.840 the other

00:16:10.200 ones aren't

00:16:10.600 going to do

00:16:10.980 it.

00:16:12.340 So they

00:16:12.920 were the

00:16:13.220 big voice.

00:16:16.460 So just

00:16:17.160 keep that in

00:16:17.640 mind.

00:16:18.780 I wonder

00:16:19.340 if there

00:16:19.660 are any

00:16:19.900 other stories

00:16:20.700 that would

00:16:21.220 be relevant

00:16:21.760 to this

00:16:22.220 one in

00:16:22.640 a different

00:16:23.260 way.

00:16:24.280 Well,

00:16:24.720 let's go

00:16:24.940 back to

00:16:25.240 2013.

00:16:28.180 Here's

00:16:28.580 something you

00:16:28.980 didn't know.

00:16:30.060 In 2013,

00:16:31.680 Jeff Bezos

00:16:33.860 bought the

00:16:34.520 Washington

00:16:34.880 Post.

00:16:37.140 So they

00:16:37.720 had the

00:16:38.160 guy who

00:16:38.740 owns Amazon,

00:16:39.640 richest guy in

00:16:40.180 the world at

00:16:40.600 the time,

00:16:41.800 bought the

00:16:42.760 Washington

00:16:43.060 Post.

00:16:43.620 A lot of

00:16:43.980 people didn't

00:16:44.420 think that

00:16:44.760 was a good

00:16:45.160 investment

00:16:45.700 because it

00:16:46.360 didn't look

00:16:46.700 like it

00:16:47.020 could make

00:16:47.340 money.

00:16:48.360 It's like,

00:16:48.640 why would

00:16:48.920 you do that?

00:16:49.620 It's kind

00:16:50.160 of a weird

00:16:50.540 investment.

00:16:51.940 Seems like

00:16:52.400 the last

00:16:52.820 thing you'd

00:16:53.180 invest in.

00:16:54.300 But it

00:16:54.640 did.

00:16:55.800 That was

00:16:56.120 2013.

00:16:58.580 Some people

00:16:59.320 say that

00:16:59.920 the Washington

00:17:00.560 Post is

00:17:01.100 the outlet

00:17:01.640 that the

00:17:02.740 CIA likes

00:17:03.660 to use

00:17:04.400 to put

00:17:05.360 their

00:17:05.580 preferred

00:17:06.140 news

00:17:07.080 into the

00:17:07.640 reporters.

00:17:09.240 That's what

00:17:09.620 they say.

00:17:10.600 I mean,

00:17:10.820 I can't

00:17:11.180 confirm that.

00:17:12.520 That's what

00:17:13.040 smart people

00:17:13.700 say.

00:17:15.020 I wonder

00:17:15.400 if anything

00:17:15.760 else happened

00:17:16.260 in 2013.

00:17:17.000 2013,

00:17:19.960 the same

00:17:20.260 year that

00:17:20.720 Jeff Bezos

00:17:21.260 bought the

00:17:21.740 Washington

00:17:22.040 Post.

00:17:22.660 Oh,

00:17:22.800 yeah.

00:17:23.080 Oh,

00:17:23.180 yeah.

00:17:23.840 So here's

00:17:24.340 the story.

00:17:27.400 The CIA

00:17:28.240 actually needs

00:17:28.940 a lot of

00:17:29.500 processors.

00:17:31.340 So they're

00:17:31.640 using it.

00:17:32.560 In 2013,

00:17:34.300 they made

00:17:35.540 a $600

00:17:36.100 million deal

00:17:37.060 with Amazon

00:17:38.780 Web Service.

00:17:40.600 So the

00:17:40.940 CIA has

00:17:41.860 a $600

00:17:42.460 million deal.

00:17:43.480 and it

00:17:46.120 happened

00:17:46.440 on the

00:17:46.900 same year,

00:17:47.740 same year

00:17:48.520 that Bezos

00:17:49.140 rescued the

00:17:50.560 newspaper that

00:17:52.440 some say

00:17:53.940 is the

00:17:55.160 CIA newspaper.

00:17:57.740 So Jeff

00:17:58.680 Bezos

00:17:59.160 rescued the

00:17:59.920 CIA newspaper,

00:18:01.040 some say,

00:18:02.920 the same

00:18:03.600 year that

00:18:04.300 the CIA

00:18:05.700 decided to

00:18:06.520 give their

00:18:06.860 gigantic deal

00:18:07.980 to Amazon.

00:18:10.500 But that's

00:18:11.040 a coincidence.

00:18:11.520 things happened

00:18:13.600 in the same

00:18:14.080 year.

00:18:14.460 That's just

00:18:14.780 a coincidence.

00:18:19.400 So now we

00:18:20.380 have a

00:18:20.620 situation where

00:18:22.140 the news is

00:18:22.800 so owned

00:18:23.480 that Biden

00:18:24.820 can say

00:18:25.420 absolutely

00:18:26.120 anything and

00:18:27.700 be confident

00:18:28.340 that his

00:18:29.160 audience won't

00:18:29.780 hear any

00:18:30.340 counterpoint,

00:18:31.640 no matter

00:18:32.400 what it is.

00:18:33.680 This is

00:18:34.100 something Biden

00:18:34.900 actually said

00:18:35.860 in an event

00:18:36.420 yesterday,

00:18:37.480 that MAGA

00:18:38.520 Republicans spent

00:18:39.520 four years

00:18:40.220 gutting the

00:18:41.040 immigration

00:18:41.540 system under

00:18:42.460 my predecessor.

00:18:44.240 They continue

00:18:45.160 to undermine

00:18:45.820 our border

00:18:46.300 security today.

00:18:50.600 Just hold

00:18:51.540 that in your

00:18:51.960 mind.

00:18:53.340 The Democrats

00:18:54.300 are so cut

00:18:55.660 off from

00:18:56.220 actual news

00:18:57.220 that Biden

00:18:58.580 can tell

00:18:59.200 them that

00:19:00.280 the border

00:19:00.820 problem was

00:19:01.900 Trump's fault.

00:19:04.280 And they

00:19:05.100 might actually

00:19:05.700 believe it.

00:19:07.280 Just think

00:19:08.120 about that.

00:19:08.600 that's where

00:19:09.880 we are in

00:19:10.440 2023.

00:19:13.520 It's almost

00:19:14.280 too hard to

00:19:14.840 hold in your

00:19:15.240 mind,

00:19:15.580 isn't it?

00:19:16.380 You almost

00:19:16.980 can't keep

00:19:17.460 that in your

00:19:17.880 mind.

00:19:18.200 It's like,

00:19:19.040 really?

00:19:20.220 Really?

00:19:21.100 Biden said

00:19:21.820 that the

00:19:22.120 border problem

00:19:22.760 was Trump's

00:19:23.980 fault.

00:19:26.800 But if

00:19:27.660 you didn't

00:19:29.820 have access

00:19:30.340 to real

00:19:31.020 news,

00:19:31.860 would you

00:19:32.720 believe it?

00:19:34.100 Probably.

00:19:35.380 You probably

00:19:35.880 would believe

00:19:36.320 it.

00:19:39.740 Dave Rubin

00:19:40.840 says on

00:19:43.620 some ex-posts

00:19:45.120 that he's

00:19:45.880 been demonetized

00:19:46.860 a few times

00:19:47.480 lately by

00:19:48.080 YouTube.

00:19:50.200 And are

00:19:51.540 you surprised?

00:19:53.460 Let's see.

00:19:54.240 Dave Rubin

00:19:55.000 getting

00:19:55.320 demonetized.

00:19:57.420 Andrew Tate

00:19:58.160 demonetized.

00:20:00.360 Jordan

00:20:00.920 Peterson,

00:20:01.840 his license

00:20:02.600 is being

00:20:03.140 threatened.

00:20:03.960 Joe Rogan,

00:20:04.560 they tried

00:20:04.940 to cancel

00:20:05.480 him.

00:20:06.580 I was

00:20:07.240 completely

00:20:07.760 canceled.

00:20:09.120 Dave

00:20:09.360 Portnoy,

00:20:10.120 they're going

00:20:10.380 after his

00:20:10.840 business model.

00:20:14.140 Do you see

00:20:14.880 any patterns

00:20:15.580 yet?

00:20:17.980 Yeah,

00:20:18.280 Musk,

00:20:18.840 going after

00:20:19.360 Elon Musk.

00:20:20.560 Do you see

00:20:21.080 the pattern?

00:20:25.460 Yeah.

00:20:27.100 Yep.

00:20:28.200 There's the

00:20:28.740 pattern.

00:20:29.000 So,

00:20:31.960 what else

00:20:35.820 is happening?

00:20:38.400 Let's talk

00:20:39.300 about Twitter.

00:20:40.780 Apparently,

00:20:41.520 a group called

00:20:42.180 America First

00:20:42.880 Legal is

00:20:44.360 suing Biden's

00:20:45.640 FTC for

00:20:47.400 what they say

00:20:47.960 is illegally

00:20:48.620 concealing documents

00:20:49.740 on government

00:20:50.520 targeting of

00:20:51.380 Elon Musk

00:20:52.120 and X.

00:20:53.780 because a

00:20:55.640 report by

00:20:56.180 the House

00:20:56.540 Weaponization

00:20:57.200 Committee

00:20:57.560 concluded that

00:20:58.320 the FTC

00:20:59.080 inappropriately

00:21:00.740 stretched its

00:21:01.560 regulatory power

00:21:02.840 to harass

00:21:03.600 what was

00:21:04.680 then Twitter.

00:21:06.600 So,

00:21:07.140 we might

00:21:07.420 actually have

00:21:07.940 documents to

00:21:08.780 show that

00:21:09.120 the FTC

00:21:09.720 was going

00:21:11.520 after Musk

00:21:12.200 for political

00:21:12.920 reasons.

00:21:14.580 Total

00:21:15.100 weaponization

00:21:15.820 of the

00:21:16.180 government.

00:21:19.700 Would you

00:21:20.540 like to

00:21:20.840 know how

00:21:21.220 the original

00:21:21.940 Twitter boycott

00:21:23.140 was organized?

00:21:24.640 So,

00:21:25.000 when Musk

00:21:25.560 said he

00:21:25.880 was going

00:21:26.140 to take

00:21:26.440 over Twitter,

00:21:27.800 can you

00:21:28.160 imagine the

00:21:28.760 amount of

00:21:29.120 panic in

00:21:30.540 the Democrats

00:21:31.280 who had

00:21:31.620 figured out

00:21:32.060 a way to

00:21:32.440 control most

00:21:33.880 of the other

00:21:34.380 sources of

00:21:35.060 news,

00:21:35.720 but if they

00:21:36.380 couldn't

00:21:36.720 control

00:21:37.120 Twitter,

00:21:38.440 then they

00:21:40.140 can't keep

00:21:40.600 the lid on.

00:21:42.840 So,

00:21:43.460 here's something

00:21:43.920 I learned.

00:21:45.180 There's a

00:21:45.980 group called

00:21:47.740 Arabella

00:21:48.760 Advisors,

00:21:51.040 and they

00:21:51.640 somehow

00:21:52.120 bankrolled

00:21:52.840 26 NGOs

00:21:54.760 who then

00:21:56.240 organized a

00:21:56.960 Twitter boycott.

00:21:58.660 So,

00:21:59.120 the NGOs

00:21:59.600 probably

00:22:00.040 wouldn't have

00:22:00.440 done this

00:22:00.960 without the

00:22:01.580 Arabella

00:22:02.160 Advisors

00:22:02.820 bankrolling

00:22:03.400 them.

00:22:04.780 So,

00:22:05.060 don't you

00:22:05.320 wonder who

00:22:05.720 they are?

00:22:06.400 Who are

00:22:06.660 these Arabella

00:22:07.640 Advisors?

00:22:09.380 Have you

00:22:09.600 ever heard

00:22:09.880 of them?

00:22:11.420 Because they

00:22:12.140 had a really

00:22:12.540 big impact

00:22:13.260 on your

00:22:14.420 life,

00:22:15.740 if you

00:22:16.500 were on

00:22:16.720 social media,

00:22:17.520 but have you

00:22:17.920 ever heard

00:22:18.220 of them?

00:22:18.980 Arabella

00:22:19.420 Advisors?

00:22:19.940 Let's

00:22:21.820 see,

00:22:22.100 I wonder

00:22:22.340 who was

00:22:22.580 on the

00:22:22.840 board of

00:22:23.260 Arabella

00:22:23.780 Advisors.

00:22:25.240 Oh,

00:22:25.920 Sam

00:22:26.260 Bankman

00:22:26.740 Freed's

00:22:27.220 father.

00:22:28.800 Sam

00:22:29.180 Bankman

00:22:29.620 Freed's,

00:22:30.180 the crypto

00:22:31.880 scam guy

00:22:32.940 who was

00:22:33.260 the biggest

00:22:33.780 donor to

00:22:34.280 the Democrats.

00:22:35.980 Yeah.

00:22:37.100 So,

00:22:37.880 Sam

00:22:38.380 Bankman

00:22:38.760 Freed's

00:22:39.200 father was

00:22:40.000 on the

00:22:40.320 Arabella

00:22:40.760 Advisors

00:22:41.420 board,

00:22:43.020 and they

00:22:43.640 bankrolled

00:22:44.220 the NGOs

00:22:44.880 to organize

00:22:45.620 a boycott,

00:22:46.440 so that

00:22:47.580 you would

00:22:47.900 probably

00:22:48.200 think that

00:22:48.800 it wasn't

00:22:49.160 organized

00:22:49.580 because it

00:22:50.100 was coming

00:22:50.420 from lots

00:22:50.940 of different

00:22:51.300 directions.

00:22:53.920 And where

00:22:55.140 did they

00:22:55.360 get their

00:22:55.660 money?

00:22:58.560 Soros.

00:22:59.800 Soros

00:23:00.380 Democracy

00:23:00.960 Alliance.

00:23:02.700 So the

00:23:03.360 Soros

00:23:03.760 Democracy

00:23:04.360 Alliance

00:23:04.840 gives money

00:23:05.500 to the

00:23:05.920 Arabella

00:23:06.400 Advisors,

00:23:07.460 and then

00:23:08.040 Sam

00:23:08.400 Bankman

00:23:08.900 Freed's

00:23:09.420 dad,

00:23:10.120 being on

00:23:10.600 the board,

00:23:11.820 and others,

00:23:13.040 give it to

00:23:13.560 these NGOs,

00:23:15.040 which are

00:23:15.880 created

00:23:16.420 specifically

00:23:17.240 to look

00:23:17.780 like they

00:23:18.240 are independent

00:23:18.920 organizations

00:23:19.700 that

00:23:20.760 coincidentally

00:23:21.500 have the

00:23:21.820 same

00:23:22.000 opinion.

00:23:23.600 Well,

00:23:23.860 there are

00:23:24.080 so many

00:23:24.520 organizations,

00:23:25.940 these non-government

00:23:27.000 organizations,

00:23:27.740 they're not even

00:23:28.200 part of the

00:23:28.640 government.

00:23:29.420 We're the

00:23:29.760 government,

00:23:30.240 we're just

00:23:30.540 listening to

00:23:31.100 the citizens

00:23:32.180 as they

00:23:32.740 express

00:23:33.120 themselves

00:23:33.660 through the

00:23:34.440 non-government

00:23:35.440 organizations.

00:23:36.320 Well,

00:23:36.500 there are 26

00:23:37.120 of them.

00:23:37.820 I mean,

00:23:38.040 if 26

00:23:38.760 non-government

00:23:39.480 organizations

00:23:40.040 all have the

00:23:40.960 same opinion,

00:23:41.940 well,

00:23:42.160 that's pretty

00:23:42.540 important,

00:23:43.020 so you better

00:23:43.320 listen to them,

00:23:43.860 because there are

00:23:44.100 26 of them.

00:23:45.260 I mean,

00:23:45.500 you don't get

00:23:45.880 26 non-government

00:23:47.720 organizations

00:23:48.320 suddenly all

00:23:49.480 of a sudden

00:23:49.800 on the same

00:23:50.280 page,

00:23:51.720 unless they're

00:23:53.060 all paid

00:23:53.460 by the same

00:23:53.940 person,

00:23:54.820 in which case

00:23:55.940 it's pretty

00:23:56.280 easy.

00:23:56.620 so how many

00:24:05.420 big organizations

00:24:06.600 do you believe

00:24:07.300 have DEI

00:24:08.280 organizations

00:24:09.060 within their

00:24:10.160 organization?

00:24:11.140 What percent

00:24:11.720 of big entities?

00:24:14.060 That would

00:24:14.380 include newspapers,

00:24:15.780 publishers,

00:24:17.280 social media,

00:24:18.360 all of them.

00:24:20.400 The big ones

00:24:21.380 are close to

00:24:21.880 100%,

00:24:22.460 I think,

00:24:22.840 at least 90%.

00:24:24.840 So now,

00:24:26.700 do you see

00:24:27.380 how the

00:24:27.880 machine works?

00:24:30.740 So let's

00:24:31.220 say the

00:24:31.900 Washington Post,

00:24:33.960 for example,

00:24:35.520 let's say the

00:24:36.040 Washington Post

00:24:36.780 does a story

00:24:37.640 and says

00:24:38.020 somebody's bad.

00:24:40.860 Did that story

00:24:41.860 necessarily

00:24:42.620 start with

00:24:44.380 the writers

00:24:44.900 at the

00:24:45.240 Washington Post?

00:24:46.300 Or did the

00:24:47.180 idea for the

00:24:47.880 story maybe

00:24:48.420 come from

00:24:48.860 another source,

00:24:49.540 such as

00:24:51.320 the CIA

00:24:52.600 or such

00:24:54.200 as

00:24:54.880 Democrat

00:24:56.080 operatives,

00:24:58.160 which are

00:24:58.920 very similar

00:24:59.480 because the

00:25:00.080 CIA and the

00:25:00.720 Democrats seem

00:25:01.460 pretty overlapping.

00:25:04.600 So if this

00:25:05.700 is the model,

00:25:06.440 you can imagine

00:25:07.020 that somebody,

00:25:08.260 a Democrat,

00:25:09.100 asked the

00:25:09.580 Washington Post

00:25:10.780 to crap

00:25:12.400 on somebody

00:25:13.000 so the

00:25:13.340 Washington Post

00:25:13.940 writes a hit

00:25:14.500 piece on them

00:25:15.140 and then

00:25:16.380 every DEI

00:25:17.460 organization

00:25:18.120 and every

00:25:19.120 organization

00:25:19.740 says,

00:25:20.240 whoa,

00:25:20.380 whoa,

00:25:20.480 whoa,

00:25:20.680 we have

00:25:21.020 to act

00:25:21.320 on this.

00:25:22.800 Do you

00:25:23.020 know why

00:25:23.280 they say

00:25:23.620 they have

00:25:23.920 to act?

00:25:24.920 Because if

00:25:25.460 you hire

00:25:25.900 a DEI

00:25:26.580 group,

00:25:27.300 they're going

00:25:27.640 to have

00:25:27.860 to get

00:25:28.380 involved in

00:25:28.920 everything

00:25:29.220 that looks

00:25:29.620 like their

00:25:29.940 business.

00:25:31.080 And do you

00:25:31.480 think they're

00:25:31.820 going to say,

00:25:32.220 oh,

00:25:32.360 that's fine,

00:25:33.020 let it roll?

00:25:34.240 Yeah,

00:25:34.480 it's just

00:25:34.760 the Washington

00:25:35.180 Post.

00:25:36.120 Don't believe

00:25:36.700 anything they

00:25:37.220 say.

00:25:38.200 Do you think

00:25:38.560 that happens?

00:25:39.320 No,

00:25:39.620 the DEI

00:25:40.180 people will

00:25:40.720 say you

00:25:41.060 have to

00:25:41.780 cancel

00:25:42.460 whoever

00:25:42.900 they're

00:25:43.140 talking about.

00:25:44.620 You have

00:25:44.920 to do

00:25:45.200 it now.

00:25:46.200 So as

00:25:46.440 long as

00:25:46.940 there's

00:25:47.380 Democrat

00:25:49.420 influence

00:25:50.240 on the

00:25:51.360 big

00:25:51.560 publications,

00:25:52.540 the big

00:25:52.860 publications

00:25:53.380 can talk

00:25:54.580 to the

00:25:54.900 public,

00:25:55.540 the DEI

00:25:56.240 groups

00:25:56.660 within big

00:25:57.280 entities

00:25:57.660 will say,

00:25:58.180 oh,

00:25:58.400 that's for

00:25:58.780 me,

00:25:59.440 I better

00:25:59.820 act quickly,

00:26:01.160 and I'm

00:26:01.880 the tail

00:26:02.240 that wags

00:26:02.700 the dog

00:26:03.180 because you

00:26:03.780 don't want

00:26:04.100 to get on

00:26:04.420 my bad

00:26:04.820 side.

00:26:05.660 I'm the

00:26:06.020 DEI

00:26:06.440 person.

00:26:07.540 Believe me,

00:26:08.220 you might be

00:26:08.760 the CEO,

00:26:09.920 but I'm the

00:26:10.820 one who can

00:26:11.340 ruin you.

00:26:12.800 So I'm

00:26:13.400 kind of the

00:26:13.800 real power

00:26:14.300 when it

00:26:14.600 comes to

00:26:14.900 the things

00:26:15.140 I care

00:26:15.480 about.

00:26:16.080 Not all

00:26:16.700 things in

00:26:17.080 the company,

00:26:17.600 but the

00:26:17.840 things I

00:26:18.200 care about,

00:26:19.800 the DEI

00:26:20.620 person is

00:26:21.580 the real

00:26:21.900 power.

00:26:23.200 So now

00:26:23.800 the Democrats

00:26:24.280 have a

00:26:24.780 model where

00:26:25.220 they can

00:26:25.540 cancel

00:26:25.940 anybody

00:26:26.540 because they

00:26:28.020 have the

00:26:28.800 signal they

00:26:29.680 can send

00:26:30.080 out,

00:26:30.420 the bad

00:26:30.720 signal,

00:26:31.580 Washington

00:26:31.920 Post,

00:26:32.440 Phil Bump

00:26:32.860 says,

00:26:33.340 whatever.

00:26:34.520 And then

00:26:34.840 the DEI

00:26:35.440 people,

00:26:36.140 without being

00:26:37.320 asked to

00:26:37.820 do it,

00:26:38.400 they would

00:26:38.680 just know

00:26:39.020 that that's

00:26:39.420 what they

00:26:39.680 do.

00:26:40.400 They activate

00:26:41.600 all the

00:26:42.280 sources of

00:26:43.400 money so

00:26:44.700 that anybody

00:26:45.240 who disagrees

00:26:46.020 with them

00:26:46.440 loses their

00:26:47.480 money immediately.

00:26:49.800 Now when you

00:26:50.480 lose your

00:26:50.860 money, you

00:26:51.180 also lose

00:26:51.660 your influence

00:26:52.340 usually.

00:26:54.120 Because you

00:26:54.460 can't build

00:26:55.800 your own

00:26:56.140 network,

00:26:56.740 you can't

00:26:57.080 hire people,

00:26:57.880 you can't

00:26:58.480 advertise,

00:26:59.280 you can't

00:26:59.600 put in a

00:27:00.020 book,

00:27:00.700 you can't

00:27:00.960 do anything.

00:27:02.040 So it

00:27:02.580 just reduces

00:27:03.200 your impact.

00:27:04.700 In the

00:27:06.060 intelligence

00:27:07.320 world,

00:27:08.660 it's called

00:27:09.300 reducing your

00:27:10.220 capacity.

00:27:11.600 So the

00:27:13.120 fact that

00:27:13.880 there's this

00:27:14.400 network and

00:27:15.360 structure of

00:27:16.220 NGOs and

00:27:17.220 DEI and

00:27:17.920 all that,

00:27:18.740 that would

00:27:19.140 increase the

00:27:19.960 capacity of

00:27:21.500 the Democrats

00:27:22.360 and then

00:27:23.460 they would

00:27:24.080 go after

00:27:26.220 the economic

00:27:27.040 assets of

00:27:28.040 their enemies,

00:27:29.360 like me,

00:27:30.400 and then

00:27:30.960 when we're

00:27:32.280 pressed down

00:27:33.160 by our

00:27:33.520 economic

00:27:33.940 situation,

00:27:35.120 then their

00:27:35.700 message can

00:27:36.380 rule.

00:27:37.060 I think

00:27:39.580 they largely

00:27:40.540 took Fox

00:27:42.540 News completely

00:27:43.360 out of the

00:27:43.760 game.

00:27:46.040 I think

00:27:46.760 Fox News is

00:27:47.480 just completely

00:27:48.180 neutered at

00:27:48.820 this point.

00:27:49.560 What do you

00:27:49.820 think?

00:27:51.380 So, and

00:27:52.840 try to do a

00:27:53.820 social media

00:27:55.200 search for

00:27:55.760 Breitbart.

00:27:57.220 Do you know

00:27:57.580 how hard it is

00:27:58.240 to find

00:27:58.580 Breitbart on

00:27:59.280 a search

00:27:59.640 engine?

00:28:00.440 It's not an

00:28:01.120 accident.

00:28:01.460 So the

00:28:03.860 largest

00:28:04.500 entities have

00:28:05.620 been economically

00:28:06.760 suppressed to

00:28:08.180 the point where

00:28:08.760 Biden can say

00:28:09.580 that immigration

00:28:10.260 is Trump's

00:28:10.920 fault.

00:28:14.300 Amazingly.

00:28:15.080 They can tell

00:28:15.840 you that January

00:28:16.440 6th was an

00:28:17.380 attempt to

00:28:17.940 overthrow the

00:28:18.580 country, and

00:28:19.880 half of the

00:28:20.360 country will

00:28:20.860 think that

00:28:21.240 actually happened.

00:28:23.280 They can tell

00:28:24.120 you anything,

00:28:25.360 and half the

00:28:25.820 country, their

00:28:26.460 half, will

00:28:27.780 think it

00:28:28.100 actually happened.

00:28:30.060 Super beats.

00:28:31.460 Stop it.

00:28:33.120 I'm not

00:28:33.560 talking about

00:28:34.020 super beats.

00:28:36.800 That's funny.

00:28:39.860 All right.

00:28:41.880 Now let me,

00:28:43.540 let's talk about

00:28:44.380 climate models.

00:28:46.440 I saw somebody

00:28:47.580 tweet to show

00:28:49.260 me that climate

00:28:50.360 models have in

00:28:51.240 fact been

00:28:51.760 successful, and

00:28:53.140 not only have the

00:28:53.800 climate models

00:28:54.460 successfully predicted,

00:28:56.040 but they've been

00:28:56.840 doing it for 50

00:28:58.000 years.

00:28:59.580 There are climate

00:29:00.220 models that are

00:29:00.940 50 years old

00:29:02.100 that have

00:29:03.500 accurately predicted

00:29:04.600 today's temperature.

00:29:06.420 Isn't that

00:29:06.780 amazing?

00:29:08.180 Yeah.

00:29:08.840 Would you like

00:29:09.340 me to understand

00:29:10.920 how the science

00:29:11.720 works?

00:29:13.420 Yeah.

00:29:14.220 Here's how

00:29:14.700 science works.

00:29:16.860 Somebody does

00:29:17.620 some science,

00:29:18.960 and then they

00:29:20.620 hand it off to

00:29:21.560 somebody who's a

00:29:23.200 big fucking liar

00:29:24.140 or doesn't know

00:29:25.120 how to do

00:29:25.580 statistics, and

00:29:27.800 then they do a

00:29:29.200 bunch of lying

00:29:29.780 and bad statistics.

00:29:31.520 And then the

00:29:32.060 people who are

00:29:33.180 fooled by this

00:29:34.080 say, hey, you're

00:29:35.940 going to have to

00:29:36.260 believe this

00:29:36.740 bullshit and bad

00:29:38.440 statistics and

00:29:39.920 ridiculous data,

00:29:41.380 because if you

00:29:42.120 don't, you're

00:29:43.220 anti-science, and

00:29:45.020 I've got somebody

00:29:45.940 who's going to

00:29:46.420 cancel you.

00:29:48.940 So let me see if

00:29:50.080 you can find out

00:29:50.980 that this will be a

00:29:52.260 test to see if I've

00:29:53.140 taught you anything.

00:29:54.940 If I taught you

00:29:55.580 anything.

00:29:55.880 So here's the

00:29:57.160 claim, that there

00:29:59.460 were a number of

00:30:00.520 models in the old

00:30:01.360 days, 50 years

00:30:02.260 ago, that tried to

00:30:03.680 predict the

00:30:04.480 temperature.

00:30:05.880 Some of them

00:30:06.780 didn't work, so

00:30:09.020 they were

00:30:09.320 discarded.

00:30:11.700 Others also

00:30:13.200 didn't work, but

00:30:14.660 they found that if

00:30:15.460 they tweaked it a

00:30:16.160 little bit, they

00:30:17.500 could get it to

00:30:18.760 back cast, you

00:30:19.980 know, they could

00:30:20.560 get it to match

00:30:21.620 the past a little

00:30:22.380 bit, and then

00:30:23.600 they would see if

00:30:24.120 it also matched

00:30:24.700 the future.

00:30:25.780 So there's a

00:30:26.500 little bit of

00:30:27.220 tweaking to make

00:30:29.380 sure that as you

00:30:30.340 go, you're

00:30:31.100 maximizing your,

00:30:32.640 you know, of

00:30:33.400 course, you'd like

00:30:34.360 to fix it as you

00:30:35.180 go, right?

00:30:35.980 So when you're

00:30:36.780 done, you find

00:30:38.220 that there were a

00:30:39.680 number of models

00:30:40.580 that actually did

00:30:42.700 predict the

00:30:43.540 temperature.

00:30:44.520 So that means

00:30:45.360 models work,

00:30:46.120 right?

00:30:46.580 Go.

00:30:50.320 Models work

00:30:51.160 because they have

00:30:52.140 models that

00:30:52.700 predicted the

00:30:53.360 temperature.

00:30:54.440 How can you

00:30:54.920 argue with that?

00:30:55.640 They're the

00:30:55.960 models.

00:30:56.380 They can show

00:30:56.800 you.

00:30:57.240 They can show

00:30:57.920 you that they

00:30:58.380 existed 50 years

00:30:59.440 ago, and they

00:30:59.940 can show you

00:31:00.400 you got the

00:31:00.740 right answer.

00:31:03.840 Do you all

00:31:04.620 see what's

00:31:05.000 wrong?

00:31:05.340 Yeah, okay.

00:31:05.880 There's the,

00:31:06.620 Brian got the

00:31:07.380 word I was

00:31:07.780 looking for.

00:31:08.980 Survivorship

00:31:09.300 bias.

00:31:11.240 If you throw

00:31:12.120 away the models

00:31:13.040 that don't

00:31:13.600 work, that's

00:31:16.580 not science.

00:31:18.880 That's like the

00:31:19.520 opposite of

00:31:20.020 science.

00:31:20.940 If you throw

00:31:21.640 away the models

00:31:22.220 that don't work,

00:31:23.040 it gives you

00:31:23.960 the impression

00:31:24.520 that somehow

00:31:25.640 you knew, you

00:31:26.960 could have

00:31:27.320 known that

00:31:27.800 these models

00:31:28.360 work and the

00:31:28.940 other ones

00:31:29.240 don't.

00:31:30.000 If you don't

00:31:30.900 know it when

00:31:31.400 the models are

00:31:32.060 created, which

00:31:33.620 ones are the

00:31:34.120 good ones, you

00:31:35.560 can't wait until

00:31:36.320 some of them got

00:31:37.080 lucky and say

00:31:38.380 these were

00:31:38.840 accurate the

00:31:39.440 whole time.

00:31:40.800 That's not

00:31:41.300 science.

00:31:43.240 That's the

00:31:43.880 scam.

00:31:44.900 Not only is it

00:31:45.780 a scam, it's

00:31:47.540 literally a scam.

00:31:50.420 Actual scams

00:31:51.520 are done that

00:31:52.440 way.

00:31:54.380 I've described

00:31:55.160 this before, so

00:31:55.880 I'll just do it

00:31:56.400 fast.

00:31:57.120 One of the ways

00:31:57.700 you could do a

00:31:58.600 scam is I'll

00:31:59.500 send you an

00:31:59.960 email and you'll

00:32:01.740 get the email and

00:32:02.400 it'll say, if you

00:32:03.740 buy this stock

00:32:04.520 today, I guarantee

00:32:05.360 it'll go up.

00:32:06.120 You're like, nobody

00:32:07.020 can predict stocks,

00:32:08.460 so you ignore it.

00:32:09.680 Next day they say,

00:32:10.740 it went up, and

00:32:12.900 here's another one.

00:32:14.020 The next one I

00:32:14.760 picked to go up is

00:32:15.720 this one, and

00:32:16.180 you're like, eh,

00:32:17.420 got lucky once, and

00:32:19.040 then the next few

00:32:20.300 days you get

00:32:20.780 another email, two

00:32:21.940 in a row, and you

00:32:23.140 can check for

00:32:23.640 yourself.

00:32:24.620 You can look at

00:32:25.160 your first email,

00:32:26.220 sure enough, recommended

00:32:27.800 these stocks, then

00:32:29.100 you can look at what

00:32:29.800 the actual price is,

00:32:30.820 and sure enough, the

00:32:32.320 two stocks that this

00:32:33.360 stranger picked and

00:32:34.760 wants you to invest

00:32:35.660 with them, they both

00:32:37.040 went up, two for

00:32:37.860 two.

00:32:39.020 Then they do it a

00:32:39.920 third time, three in

00:32:41.680 a row, and they

00:32:42.660 don't just go up,

00:32:43.460 they go up quite a

00:32:44.200 bit.

00:32:44.440 If you see three

00:32:46.320 in a row where

00:32:46.940 they call their

00:32:47.500 shot before the

00:32:48.600 shot, you're pretty

00:32:50.660 convinced, because

00:32:51.680 three out of three

00:32:52.220 is kind of hard, if

00:32:53.240 it goes up

00:32:53.920 substantially, that's

00:32:55.160 really hard.

00:32:56.060 So you give them

00:32:56.720 your money, and

00:32:58.860 then it turns out

00:32:59.400 to be a scam.

00:33:00.440 How did they get

00:33:01.280 three in a row?

00:33:02.980 Here's how.

00:33:04.820 They wrote lots

00:33:05.920 of emails to lots

00:33:07.140 of people, and

00:33:08.380 they gave different

00:33:09.320 recommendations to

00:33:10.600 the people.

00:33:12.360 Most of them were

00:33:13.300 wrong, so they

00:33:14.620 never email that

00:33:15.500 group again, because

00:33:16.620 that group doesn't

00:33:17.280 trust them.

00:33:18.100 But some of them

00:33:18.920 were right because

00:33:19.620 they got lucky.

00:33:21.040 It's just a subset,

00:33:22.180 they got lucky.

00:33:23.400 So now they say,

00:33:24.320 just to the lucky

00:33:25.000 people, here's my

00:33:26.120 new recommendation,

00:33:28.080 but again, they

00:33:28.700 don't give them one

00:33:29.340 recommendation, they

00:33:30.800 give even the new

00:33:31.640 smaller group a bunch

00:33:33.180 of new recommendations.

00:33:34.580 Again, a few of

00:33:36.140 them end up with

00:33:37.380 two in a row, just

00:33:38.940 luck.

00:33:39.340 And then they

00:33:40.980 repeat, and then

00:33:41.940 there's even a

00:33:42.540 smaller group, they

00:33:43.300 get three in a row

00:33:44.020 right, they throw

00:33:45.280 their money at you.

00:33:46.700 They throw their

00:33:47.620 money at you.

00:33:48.860 Because once you

00:33:49.640 see three in a row,

00:33:50.480 you're like, okay,

00:33:51.160 this is real.

00:33:52.660 And then you find

00:33:53.320 out it was always

00:33:54.100 just random.

00:33:56.200 That's what the

00:33:56.900 climate models are.

00:33:58.960 If they're tweaking

00:33:59.960 the models as they

00:34:01.000 go, of course you

00:34:05.220 can tweak it until

00:34:06.040 it matches the

00:34:06.780 current situation and

00:34:08.080 the past, of course

00:34:09.480 you can.

00:34:10.260 You can tweak any

00:34:11.180 model until it

00:34:12.040 hindcasts correctly.

00:34:14.360 You just change your

00:34:15.100 assumptions until it

00:34:16.000 does.

00:34:16.640 That doesn't mean it

00:34:17.520 predicts.

00:34:19.160 It just means you

00:34:20.140 can tweak it until it

00:34:21.060 matches the past.

00:34:22.580 And if you throw

00:34:23.560 away enough models,

00:34:24.620 and there are enough

00:34:25.200 different ones, some

00:34:26.800 of them are 100%

00:34:28.140 likely to be closer

00:34:29.200 than others, and

00:34:31.240 some of them might be

00:34:32.000 real close, and then

00:34:32.780 you say, well, these

00:34:33.480 are good models.

00:34:34.060 models.

00:34:34.940 Now, the real

00:34:36.960 test is to take any

00:34:38.800 one of those models

00:34:39.580 that worked over the

00:34:40.380 last 50 years, never

00:34:42.060 change them again,

00:34:43.380 don't touch them, see

00:34:45.160 how they do for the

00:34:45.840 next 50.

00:34:47.120 Do you think they're

00:34:47.660 going to do the next

00:34:48.260 50 because they did

00:34:49.100 the last 50?

00:34:50.340 No.

00:34:51.340 Do you know why?

00:34:52.660 Nobody can predict

00:34:53.780 the future.

00:34:55.240 There's no such thing

00:34:56.400 as a model that

00:34:57.320 predicts the future.

00:34:58.840 In very narrow

00:35:00.520 circumstances, sometimes

00:35:02.240 an economic model

00:35:03.660 will be useful, but I

00:35:06.120 did economic models

00:35:07.100 for a living.

00:35:08.460 That was my

00:35:09.000 background, economics,

00:35:10.320 business, and I

00:35:11.360 would do financial

00:35:12.700 projections for big

00:35:14.240 companies.

00:35:16.060 And the one thing

00:35:18.160 we all knew is you

00:35:19.340 couldn't predict more

00:35:20.200 than six months, and

00:35:23.140 after that, everything

00:35:23.860 just goes, you know,

00:35:25.760 polywumpus.

00:35:27.420 So we had no belief

00:35:30.520 that we could actually

00:35:31.260 predict the things we

00:35:32.340 were predicting, but

00:35:33.720 you can sometimes tell

00:35:35.020 what is the range of

00:35:36.120 possibilities.

00:35:37.580 So that's really all

00:35:38.580 you can get out of a

00:35:39.780 financial prediction.

00:35:41.400 It's sort of a range.

00:35:42.540 Well, it's not going to

00:35:43.220 be way up here, and

00:35:45.060 probably it's not going

00:35:46.140 to be way down here,

00:35:46.860 but it might be in this

00:35:47.720 cone somewhere, and

00:35:49.500 that could be useful.

00:35:51.140 But usually we just did

00:35:52.940 things we thought we

00:35:53.840 wanted to do and then

00:35:54.680 made the numbers

00:35:55.500 correspond to what we'd

00:35:56.800 already decided.

00:35:58.160 Like everywhere.

00:35:58.940 just like everywhere.

00:36:01.580 If you think that the

00:36:02.900 climate change people

00:36:04.520 are the only ones who

00:36:06.000 are not tweaking the

00:36:07.600 model to make it do

00:36:08.460 whatever they want, but

00:36:09.920 every other industry is.

00:36:12.140 Right?

00:36:12.440 Every other industry is,

00:36:13.640 and I guarantee that.

00:36:15.140 But not these guys.

00:36:16.480 It's the one place?

00:36:17.860 Oh, the one place where

00:36:18.820 the people who make

00:36:19.460 models that predict the

00:36:20.980 future are actually doing

00:36:22.280 it.

00:36:23.060 They can do magic.

00:36:24.400 They can see the future.

00:36:25.860 No, nobody can see the

00:36:26.740 future.

00:36:26.920 You don't know what's

00:36:28.460 going to be invented

00:36:29.180 tomorrow.

00:36:30.440 I mean, the other day I

00:36:31.260 saw there was some new

00:36:33.300 battery technology, maybe

00:36:35.240 with aluminum.

00:36:36.640 I think it was aluminum.

00:36:38.260 Instead of the current

00:36:41.100 battery technology, it was

00:36:42.240 supposed to be lighter and

00:36:43.540 more dense and better in

00:36:45.380 every way.

00:36:46.740 Well, which climate model

00:36:48.360 predicted that?

00:36:50.700 Right?

00:36:52.200 So, yeah, instead of

00:36:53.540 lithium.

00:36:54.840 Right.

00:36:55.060 So, yes, climate models

00:36:56.960 are BS and always will

00:36:58.600 be.

00:36:59.780 Well, there's shocking new

00:37:02.180 data on a study that says

00:37:04.060 the Mexican organized crime

00:37:07.680 groups are the fifth largest

00:37:09.560 employer in the country, and

00:37:11.640 there are 175,000 members in

00:37:14.760 organized crime in Mexico.

00:37:16.440 So, now, obviously, if the

00:37:26.960 cartels are getting bigger, what

00:37:29.240 can we conclude for sure?

00:37:31.900 Well, we can conclude that for

00:37:33.840 reasons that are mysterious, the

00:37:36.460 cartels are the only thing that

00:37:38.120 the CIA can't shut down.

00:37:40.300 They can overthrow entire

00:37:42.080 countries, but they can't shut

00:37:45.400 down the cartels.

00:37:46.340 They just get bigger every

00:37:47.220 year.

00:37:47.720 Huh.

00:37:48.300 What could possibly explain

00:37:49.980 that?

00:37:52.620 Could it be that the

00:37:54.880 cartels also protect some

00:37:57.080 things that the CIA wants

00:37:58.800 protected, such as maybe some

00:38:01.780 businesses in Mexico that

00:38:03.480 would rather have the cartels

00:38:05.520 protect them than attack them?

00:38:08.580 Maybe.

00:38:09.740 Maybe the CIA would like that to

00:38:11.420 happen, because, you know,

00:38:12.800 they're on the side of business.

00:38:15.400 Yeah.

00:38:16.380 Now, I don't know what's going

00:38:18.480 on there.

00:38:18.960 I'm just saying that there is a

00:38:22.700 big mystery about why we're

00:38:24.420 ineffective in this one area.

00:38:26.900 And I can't think of any reason

00:38:28.440 we'd be this ineffective,

00:38:29.880 including keeping the border

00:38:31.180 open as it is, unless we wanted

00:38:33.500 to.

00:38:34.680 Unless we wanted to.

00:38:37.400 So, there's that.

00:38:40.580 I did see that, at least somebody

00:38:46.340 is making a run at the fact

00:38:48.660 that this is in the Wall Street

00:38:50.900 Journal, so not a left-leaning

00:38:54.300 publication.

00:38:55.300 So, this is the Wall Street

00:38:56.160 Journal, which is what made it

00:38:57.300 notable.

00:38:58.200 And the Wall Street Journal says

00:38:59.420 that the immigration is already

00:39:00.980 good for the economy.

00:39:02.560 Like, this mass over-immigration

00:39:04.700 is already a plus for the economy.

00:39:08.400 Do you believe that?

00:39:09.020 The argument is that we were

00:39:12.440 so hurting for labor, when I say

00:39:15.540 we, certain businesses, industries,

00:39:18.060 they were so hurting for labor

00:39:19.320 that it's basically a lifeline.

00:39:22.480 The immigration is the only way

00:39:23.680 they can stay in business.

00:39:25.560 And that, you know, the immigrants

00:39:28.860 are adding a certain amount of

00:39:30.540 economic activity that pays for

00:39:33.160 them to be there, and we don't

00:39:34.360 make enough babies.

00:39:35.340 So, our economy would be in

00:39:38.300 serious trouble, because we don't

00:39:40.660 make babies.

00:39:41.860 And the only way we could survive

00:39:43.280 is massive immigration.

00:39:45.600 Now, I don't think that explains

00:39:47.440 why we're seeing it.

00:39:49.480 Do you?

00:39:50.800 Because if you were doing it for

00:39:52.480 the purpose of your economy,

00:39:55.860 the way you would launder that

00:39:57.780 opinion is you'd have some, you know,

00:39:59.600 board of economics experts,

00:40:01.640 experts, and then they would tell

00:40:03.380 you what kind of people to allow

00:40:04.960 in, you know, what skills we need,

00:40:06.920 and how many, and maybe from where,

00:40:09.860 I don't know.

00:40:10.800 But if you were trying to make this

00:40:12.940 an economic policy, you know,

00:40:15.740 explicitly, hey, this is good for

00:40:17.280 the country, because we're not

00:40:18.640 making enough babies, you would do

00:40:20.780 it differently.

00:40:22.000 You wouldn't do it by pretending

00:40:24.160 you're doing border security, but

00:40:25.800 doing it poorly.

00:40:26.500 That's just not the way you'd

00:40:29.180 approach it.

00:40:30.160 You would do it right out front,

00:40:31.760 because there's nothing to hide.

00:40:33.920 You would have nothing to hide

00:40:35.600 if you made the argument, we need

00:40:37.760 more people, and we don't have

00:40:39.900 another way to get them.

00:40:41.280 In fact, I think I could be

00:40:42.540 persuaded by that argument, because

00:40:44.420 I've made the same argument.

00:40:46.200 I've made the same argument that as

00:40:48.760 disruptive as immigration is now,

00:40:51.500 and it's plenty disruptive, probably

00:40:54.240 it's additive, in the long run.

00:40:57.380 It might take 10 years, but, well,

00:41:02.060 let me say it this way.

00:41:02.980 If we shut the border completely

00:41:04.700 today, and all we did is work

00:41:08.000 through the system that people have

00:41:09.380 already come in, I'm pretty sure

00:41:11.260 we'd come out ahead, because people

00:41:13.820 are money.

00:41:15.060 In our country, when there are plenty

00:41:16.760 of jobs, because we don't have a

00:41:18.440 shortage of jobs.

00:41:19.720 So if you have jobs, you just add

00:41:22.600 people, that's the whole economy.

00:41:25.840 Jobs exist, not enough people, add

00:41:28.480 some people, boom, problem solved.

00:41:30.560 So in all likelihood, as horrible

00:41:33.360 as our current system of bringing

00:41:36.040 people in, and of course they're

00:41:39.000 bringing in crime, and there must be

00:41:40.500 terrorists, and everything else in

00:41:41.700 these groups.

00:41:42.700 So, you know, the terrorists of the

00:41:44.140 crimes and all that have to be netted

00:41:46.200 out.

00:41:46.480 But even with that net, it's probably

00:41:49.740 cash positive.

00:41:51.480 Not right away, though.

00:41:53.160 You know, in the short term, cash

00:41:58.260 negative for sure.

00:42:02.720 Well, yeah, I see what you're saying.

00:42:04.780 It depends what part of the country

00:42:06.000 they come from.

00:42:07.180 And I think that's where I'm sure this

00:42:12.040 is not intentional for economic reasons.

00:42:14.680 So the fact that the immigration is

00:42:17.620 coming from everywhere is strongly

00:42:20.400 suggestive that the government is not

00:42:22.160 in control of the process.

00:42:24.360 And there might be some net positive

00:42:26.160 that comes from it, but it doesn't

00:42:27.920 look intentional.

00:42:29.420 It looks like there's some other reason

00:42:31.040 for the immigration that's not

00:42:33.140 stated.

00:42:36.340 My best guess is that the cartels want

00:42:38.960 it because it's good for the cartel

00:42:40.480 business, and that we either have too

00:42:43.900 many people working with them or

00:42:45.560 afraid of them or bribed by them or

00:42:47.760 blackmailed by them, that the U.S.

00:42:50.320 government doesn't have any power over

00:42:52.400 them, which would suggest that the

00:42:54.320 cartels have power over the United

00:42:55.760 States.

00:42:57.040 Let me put it a different way.

00:42:58.900 There's no way in hell that somebody

00:43:01.160 who lives inside the United States is

00:43:04.520 behind the mass immigration.

00:43:05.900 I don't see it.

00:43:09.800 I just don't see it.

00:43:13.280 And if you think Soros is behind it,

00:43:15.480 you're going to have to ask the second

00:43:16.900 question, who's behind Soros?

00:43:19.480 And all signs point to the same entity.

00:43:23.940 I don't know, but they all point to the

00:43:26.360 same place.

00:43:26.880 All right, you'll be amazed that Ukraine

00:43:32.680 has breached the main Russian defensive

00:43:35.720 line in the southeast of the country, and

00:43:38.180 their armored vehicles have gone through.

00:43:40.420 It's a significant milestone for the three

00:43:43.600 and a half month counteroffensive, and it

00:43:45.680 looks like they're aimed at cutting the

00:43:47.420 Russians occupying army in two, because

00:43:50.420 that's totally true.

00:43:55.640 Does anybody believe that the Ukrainians

00:43:58.320 have a substantial breakthrough?

00:44:01.460 Yeah.

00:44:02.940 It seems far more likely that the Russians

00:44:05.480 have created a weak spot so that they

00:44:09.160 would break through, so that they just

00:44:11.280 enter a kill box, and then when they're

00:44:13.860 done killing them, they'll shore it back

00:44:15.660 up again.

00:44:17.660 To me, it looks like a trick.

00:44:20.420 Because apparently they are taking heavy

00:44:23.140 losses, so even though they got humans

00:44:25.720 on the other side of the line, most of

00:44:28.080 the humans are not in mechanical vehicles

00:44:30.200 anymore, because they all got whacked.

00:44:33.840 So the news was trying to make it look like

00:44:36.080 it was a plus for Ukraine, that although

00:44:39.120 they tried to come across in their armored

00:44:42.260 vehicles, the armored vehicles were largely

00:44:44.920 taken out, but the people inside lived in

00:44:48.700 many cases.

00:44:50.220 So the humans made it across the line.

00:44:53.720 What would be less good for the Ukrainians

00:44:57.420 than to have all of their exposed humans, who

00:45:00.840 are their most limited resource, is the

00:45:05.400 humans, they're running out of people.

00:45:07.640 So now the people will be outside of armored

00:45:09.680 vehicles and behind the lines of the Russians.

00:45:13.000 How long are they going to live?

00:45:17.500 I mean, every part of this looks like a Russian

00:45:19.740 trap to me.

00:45:20.800 It's reported as a Ukrainian success, but if they

00:45:25.080 got their success and they lost their mechanical, they

00:45:29.740 lost their tanks and their armored vehicles, and they're

00:45:33.540 just running around with guns on the other side, that

00:45:37.820 doesn't look like a win.

00:45:39.500 That looks like a kill box.

00:45:41.980 I mean, with my vast military experience, I say.

00:45:45.120 I'm just saying it doesn't look like a win.

00:45:47.260 That's all I'll say.

00:45:48.920 It doesn't look like a win.

00:45:52.220 But I won't rule it out.

00:45:53.980 I mean, anything's possible.

00:45:55.420 Maybe there will be a breakthrough at some point.

00:45:58.220 Don't know.

00:45:58.680 But I would not bet any money on that.

00:46:03.760 And that, ladies and gentlemen, is all I needed to

00:46:07.040 talk about today.

00:46:07.960 Did I miss any big stories?

00:46:10.200 Is there anything I missed?

00:46:13.140 And not every tank crewman has a gun, but they

00:46:15.740 probably could find one.

00:46:23.000 Armenia.

00:46:26.040 Yeah, I don't have a tank on Armenia.

00:46:28.680 Do you think that Pence mentioning troops makes it

00:46:35.660 likely we'll put soldiers on the ground?

00:46:38.180 I can't see it happening.

00:46:40.540 So let me take the temperature.

00:46:43.680 Do you think we're going to have soldiers on the

00:46:45.560 ground in Ukraine fighting Russians?

00:46:48.480 I mean, I assume we have some in secret who are like

00:46:51.020 advisors and stuff.

00:46:51.920 I don't see that any administration could survive

00:46:55.920 that.

00:46:58.680 I don't see it.

00:47:00.300 Yeah.

00:47:03.040 So you know what would be interesting if Trump ran,

00:47:06.020 instead of running against Biden, let's say Biden is the

00:47:09.040 actual candidate.

00:47:10.420 But I always wondered what would happen if he just said he

00:47:13.380 was running against the CIA.

00:47:16.220 or he was running against, you know, some kind of machine.

00:47:23.360 He's not really running against Biden.

00:47:24.980 So my assumption is that they tried to get rid of Biden and it

00:47:38.520 didn't work, meaning that Biden needed to keep his job, probably

00:47:43.040 so he could cover his tracks and make more money and keep Hunter

00:47:46.080 out of jail.

00:47:46.900 So I think that he was probably pressured to leave or to not run.

00:47:51.280 And he decided that he was going to be stubborn.

00:47:56.100 So now it turns out they're going to send Gavin Newsom to be the

00:48:00.420 person on the ground around the GOP debates so that Gavin will be the

00:48:05.400 counter message.

00:48:07.680 They're very much keeping Gavin in the news, aren't they?

00:48:11.360 Have you noticed?

00:48:12.020 He's always in the news, just sort of hanging around.

00:48:15.120 So it does look, the people who say they're going to wait to the last

00:48:19.920 minute and slot him in there without a convention, you know, maybe even

00:48:24.140 wait until after the convention and then Biden steps down and they slip

00:48:28.760 him in somehow at the last minute, very much could happen.

00:48:33.000 But here's what I think.

00:48:35.300 I think that Biden doesn't want that to happen because I think he actually

00:48:40.960 wants to win again and I think that the Democrats are just keeping him

00:48:46.200 around, you know, governor under glass, breaking case of emergency, but that's

00:48:52.320 the best they can do.

00:48:54.680 So I think it's going to be a hilarious race and watching Biden decompose and

00:49:02.580 watching Democrats explain that it's not so bad is going to be funny.

00:49:06.920 And watching, you know, Fetterman and Feinstein and Biden and Harris try to speak

00:49:14.880 and walk and act is going to be hilarious.

00:49:18.140 There's a lot that's just funny at this point.

00:49:27.980 Are you sure Gruesome Newsom's the man?

00:49:30.340 Well, I'm sure he's the one that's chosen.

00:49:32.260 So let's talk about Michelle Obama because who was it?

00:49:40.720 Ted Cruz, he said that he believes Biden will not be the 2024 nominee and that

00:49:47.240 they will parachute in Michelle Obama.

00:49:51.440 How many of you think that Michelle Obama will be the replacement?

00:49:56.400 I'm going to put that at zero.

00:49:57.800 It's weird to hear Ted Cruz suggest it because there are a lot of things I would say, well,

00:50:05.020 that's a 10% chance or 20% chance, but I'm pretty sure that's zero.

00:50:10.940 How could they possibly win putting in somebody that they wouldn't even pretend disqualified?

00:50:17.540 That's not even pretending.

00:50:19.520 I mean, even Democrats would understand she was the spouse.

00:50:23.340 At least Hillary had the, you know, she had the experience of, you know,

00:50:29.840 government before she ran for president.

00:50:33.260 Now, I don't think there's any chance, but the funniest comment I saw from somebody on X

00:50:38.960 is that the reason that Michelle Obama will come out as trans and, quote,

00:50:49.340 that's why we have been softened up.

00:50:51.200 So one person's theory, I don't buy this theory, all right, so this is not me.

00:50:56.780 I just thought it was a funny, funny that somebody has this theory, that the whole trans conversation

00:51:02.700 has been a way to soften the country's minds up so they can drop in Michelle Obama.

00:51:10.780 She'll come public as trans and then become president and they'll have our first trans president

00:51:16.640 that we know of.

00:51:20.200 I don't think any of that's going to happen, and I don't think that the country has been softened up

00:51:24.600 for this possibility, and I don't think she's a man.

00:51:28.060 I don't think she's a man.

00:51:29.620 I'm not 100% sure.

00:51:33.800 Well, let me put this in a better comparison.

00:51:37.720 Listen, I'm 100% sure she's not going to run for president.

00:51:42.500 I'm not 100% sure she's a woman.

00:51:46.660 I'm 95% sure.

00:51:49.800 95%.

00:51:50.280 But not 100%.

00:51:53.760 But, you know, I'm not sure I would say anything different about most of you.

00:52:00.540 If I met you in person, would I be 100% sure of your gender?

00:52:06.220 100%?

00:52:07.500 I don't know.

00:52:08.640 Depends who I'm talking to.

00:52:12.360 Well, do you buy the idea that the young men who are coming up are going to reject wokeness

00:52:21.220 and change things?

00:52:24.580 I heard from quite a few people who say,

00:52:27.560 oh yeah, that's my kids.

00:52:30.540 Now, let me tell you what I've heard a lot of times,

00:52:32.800 and then I'll tell you what I've heard zero times.

00:52:35.820 I've heard a lot of reports of kids hating wokeness in all of its forms.

00:52:43.720 I've heard zero stories of somebody in school who was pushing wokeness.

00:52:51.820 None.

00:52:52.800 Not once.

00:52:53.700 Now, I'm not talking about inclusivity, because that is pushed,

00:52:58.060 you know, to make sure that everybody's included and stuff.

00:53:00.240 That's definitely pushed.

00:53:01.460 But that's not a bad impulse, and that's not even political.

00:53:05.200 But, you know, the true woke stuff,

00:53:07.460 I'm going to cancel you for the wrong pronouns and stuff.

00:53:10.140 Nope.

00:53:11.700 I think there are zero boys on that page,

00:53:14.520 and I haven't heard of any girls.

00:53:15.900 I'm imagining there are, but I haven't heard of any.

00:53:28.700 We can't get libs of TikTok.

00:53:31.840 What?

00:53:32.240 Who do I talk to that's still in school?

00:53:38.960 That's a fucked up question.

00:53:44.460 Yeah.

00:53:45.660 I know you want to, like...

00:53:48.460 Let me just say, I suspect that that's a fucked up question.

00:53:53.380 If you live in the real world, you know lots of people who have kids.

00:53:58.240 I've got my own stepkids.

00:54:02.440 Everybody's around kids.

00:54:03.680 Unless you live in, like, an old folks' home or something,

00:54:06.920 it's hard to avoid the real world.

00:54:14.360 Mind reading.

00:54:15.080 Mind reading.

00:54:15.180 Why are you trying to influence to believe it is okay?

00:54:25.460 That what is okay?

00:54:27.200 I don't even know what you're talking about.

00:54:31.880 The aliens in Mexico just sort of went away, didn't they?

00:54:39.020 Oh, yeah.

00:54:40.260 New Jersey Senator Menendez was indicted for bribery.

00:54:45.180 It sounds like they might have the goods on him

00:54:48.760 because it involved gold bars.

00:54:52.340 Apparently, he accepted, like, $400,000 worth of gold bars for something.

00:55:05.160 Hey.

00:55:06.400 Thank you for buying my book.

00:55:07.780 Thank you.

00:55:15.180 Oh, yeah.

00:55:17.060 Ken Paxton and...

00:55:19.040 So, Attorney General Paxton was on Tucker's show.

00:55:23.920 And Ken Paxton has the same belief that many of you have,

00:55:28.620 which is the discontinuing of the counting on election night in 2020,

00:55:34.400 followed by the, you know, huge spike in Democrat votes

00:55:38.360 that didn't look organic is definite proof

00:55:42.820 that the election was rigged.

00:55:45.480 Now, that's Ken Paxton's point of view.

00:55:48.440 And Tucker seemed to be nodding along with that.

00:55:51.280 And how many of you would be on the same page?

00:55:53.940 How many of you would say,

00:55:55.440 that really is a strong signal of fraud?

00:55:58.760 Now, how many of you have heard the official explanation

00:56:04.960 of why it happened?

00:56:07.380 How many could tell me in the comments,

00:56:09.440 what's the other side's story?

00:56:11.740 I'm not saying it's true,

00:56:13.680 but could you tell me the other side's story?

00:56:16.560 Like, why that made sense and it's just natural?

00:56:19.520 Well, water leak was one location,

00:56:24.280 but it wasn't just a one-location problem, right?

00:56:30.840 Weren't they just waiting for some stuff to come in?

00:56:35.380 Well, so the official story is that the...

00:56:39.520 If you're counting the ballots that were drop-box ballots,

00:56:45.000 that they're highly weighted toward Democrats.

00:56:48.100 So if you counted the regular votes during the day,

00:56:52.260 it would look close.

00:56:53.600 If you counted only the mail-in ballots

00:56:56.600 that had been done in some cases,

00:56:58.840 you know, well before the election,

00:57:00.440 those would be heavily Democrat.

00:57:02.880 So the official story,

00:57:04.660 I don't know what's true,

00:57:06.620 but the official story would look exactly the same.

00:57:11.860 Now, I hear you when you say,

00:57:13.640 I'm not buying it,

00:57:14.780 because we've been lied to so many times

00:57:17.080 that not buying it is always a good take.

00:57:20.300 But what's wrong with the...

00:57:22.460 What's wrong...

00:57:23.580 Is there anything logically or factually wrong

00:57:26.080 with the claim that the only thing that happened

00:57:28.740 is that's when they started seriously counting

00:57:31.420 the mailed-in early votes ballots?

00:57:35.680 Is there anything wrong with that...

00:57:38.080 that explanation?

00:57:45.800 Why just those states?

00:57:47.160 Because those are the states

00:57:48.340 where they stopped counting for a while.

00:57:53.940 It wouldn't be 100% Biden,

00:57:55.720 but that's not the claim.

00:57:57.100 The claim is not that it was 100% Biden.

00:57:59.660 Just that there was more Biden.

00:58:01.280 But the Biden votes could have easily been

00:58:05.080 three or four to one, right?

00:58:07.240 I don't know what the actual ratio is,

00:58:08.960 but there's such a difference in who votes by mail

00:58:12.520 that I think it's like a three to four to one

00:58:15.440 Democrat advantage.

00:58:16.900 Yeah, so the competing...

00:58:22.460 The two theories are this.

00:58:24.720 One theory is that the reason they stopped

00:58:27.200 is to find out how many they needed to fake

00:58:30.280 because they didn't want to fake more than they needed to.

00:58:33.660 It fits the observation, wouldn't you say?

00:58:36.540 The hypothesis that the only reason it was stopped

00:58:40.240 was to count the votes they needed

00:58:42.040 and they ship in the fakes,

00:58:44.360 that fits the observation.

00:58:45.500 But does it also not fit the observation

00:58:49.040 that it's exactly what they said,

00:58:51.620 which is they stopped the votes.

00:58:53.680 It might have been a water leak.

00:58:54.880 It might have been some other reason.

00:58:56.460 But when they restarted them,

00:58:58.080 they were into the mail-in ballots

00:58:59.620 and they were four to one for Biden,

00:59:01.720 and that's all it was.

00:59:04.540 What's wrong with that?

00:59:05.500 It fits observation.

00:59:10.120 Now, whether or not the water leak was real,

00:59:12.580 it wasn't just one place that stopped counting, was it?

00:59:18.440 I mean, they could have just gone home

00:59:19.960 and wanted to, you know, give some sleep

00:59:21.820 and take a shower or something.

00:59:23.360 They might have just been there all day.

00:59:26.220 So it wasn't four to one,

00:59:28.520 but there was some big advantage

00:59:29.820 in Democrats' mail-in votes.

00:59:33.460 All right, so here's my problem

00:59:36.220 with Ken Paxton.

00:59:38.240 And this is a persuasion lesson for you.

00:59:41.560 If there are two hypotheses

00:59:43.480 for why something happened,

00:59:46.440 one is, you know, hugely provocative,

00:59:49.900 the other one would be sort of normal.

00:59:52.840 It might not be true,

00:59:54.460 but it would fit in the category

00:59:55.900 of normal things happening.

00:59:57.100 If you say that you believe

00:59:59.740 the extraordinary one,

01:00:01.140 the provocative one,

01:00:02.620 and you spend zero time

01:00:04.580 talking about what the other side said

01:00:06.960 was the actual explanation,

01:00:09.380 you're full of shit.

01:00:12.440 So Ken Braxton is full of shit.

01:00:16.000 You might not be wrong.

01:00:17.800 You might not be wrong.

01:00:19.200 I'm not judging the accuracy of the claim.

01:00:21.500 I'm saying that if you go on television

01:00:23.160 in a big venue like that,

01:00:25.040 and you say there's one reason

01:00:27.100 this could have happened

01:00:27.920 when the other reason has been offered

01:00:29.740 and also fits the facts,

01:00:32.540 I lose all...

01:00:35.080 You have no credibility after that.

01:00:37.240 No credibility.

01:00:38.800 It wouldn't matter if you were

01:00:39.800 a Republican or Democrat.

01:00:41.220 If you walk into that situation

01:00:42.720 and you ignore the other explanation,

01:00:46.000 then you can be ignored

01:00:48.020 for anything else you say.

01:00:50.280 Your credibility is at zero

01:00:52.100 at that point.

01:00:52.820 Now, here's what credibility

01:00:56.400 would have sounded like.

01:00:58.360 Had he said,

01:00:59.700 well, their claim was

01:01:00.960 that it's just because

01:01:02.780 there are more mail-in votes

01:01:03.820 for Democrats.

01:01:05.220 Here's why that doesn't make sense.

01:01:08.420 But where's that?

01:01:10.860 I've been hearing

01:01:11.740 the official explanation forever,

01:01:14.100 but not once,

01:01:15.760 not once,

01:01:17.060 have I heard anybody say,

01:01:18.560 here's why the official explanation

01:01:20.180 doesn't add up.

01:01:22.680 I've never heard that.

01:01:24.260 Have you?

01:01:26.720 Seems like the most obvious thing

01:01:28.300 you'd hear.

01:01:29.160 I've never heard it.

01:01:31.820 So,

01:01:32.520 if somebody has an argument

01:01:34.200 of why the official,

01:01:35.760 the official explanation

01:01:37.380 doesn't work,

01:01:39.100 it might be a good argument.

01:01:41.320 And I'm completely open to it.

01:01:43.000 Because when Paxton and Tucker say,

01:01:45.920 this looks super suspicious,

01:01:48.440 I see it too.

01:01:50.480 Right?

01:01:50.780 Don't get on me like I'm blind.

01:01:52.420 You can't see it.

01:01:53.240 I see it.

01:01:54.260 I see it just as clearly

01:01:55.500 as you do.

01:01:56.400 I'm just saying that

01:01:57.460 when you listen to somebody

01:01:58.420 who doesn't even give

01:01:59.380 a moment

01:02:00.500 to the fact that there's

01:02:02.340 a fairly solid

01:02:04.600 counter-explanation

01:02:06.180 that also fits

01:02:07.200 the observed facts,

01:02:09.200 then I can't take you

01:02:10.380 seriously after that.

01:02:13.000 Democrats stole it

01:02:19.260 fair and square.

01:02:20.240 That's sort of where I'm at.

01:02:22.120 Where I'm at

01:02:22.820 is if they cheated better,

01:02:24.180 they won.

01:02:25.560 I thought that on day one.

01:02:27.340 I've never changed the fact

01:02:29.080 that I congratulated Biden

01:02:31.220 as soon as the race was called.

01:02:32.720 I've never backed off from that.

01:02:34.780 He became the president that day.

01:02:37.500 He's still the president.

01:02:39.520 Because if he cheated and won,

01:02:41.960 well, I guess the system

01:02:44.020 allowed that.

01:02:45.000 You don't think there were

01:02:45.760 any Republicans

01:02:46.700 who cheated a little?

01:02:48.440 I don't know.

01:02:49.740 But that's the game.

01:02:51.520 So if cheating's just

01:02:52.800 built into the game,

01:02:54.180 one side cheats better,

01:02:56.160 I give them the win.

01:02:57.860 You got the win.

01:02:59.160 Congratulations, Mr. President.

01:03:00.380 I wish it were otherwise,

01:03:03.540 but that's the way it is.

01:03:09.280 Scott, are we having a world moment?

01:03:11.800 I don't know what that means.

01:03:14.340 Yeah, the voter ID laws

01:03:15.840 are automatically registering

01:03:17.360 some people.

01:03:18.920 And again,

01:03:19.700 if that's why the Democrats win,

01:03:21.760 well played.

01:03:22.480 If the Democrats win

01:03:24.540 because they made it easier

01:03:26.200 to register migrants

01:03:28.500 and so they can illegally vote,

01:03:32.520 well played.

01:03:33.860 Good job.

01:03:35.060 I don't think that's going

01:03:36.040 to be the big thing.

01:03:37.200 I don't imagine

01:03:38.280 most of the immigrants

01:03:39.140 caring about voting.

01:03:41.720 The fact that they could vote

01:03:43.280 doesn't seem related

01:03:44.360 to the fact that they might.

01:03:45.920 I just don't see it happening.

01:03:48.900 You know,

01:03:49.120 the ones who came in this year,

01:03:50.840 how many people

01:03:52.520 who walked over the border

01:03:53.880 this year

01:03:54.860 are going to vote?

01:03:57.880 You know,

01:03:58.280 even they're not allowed to,

01:04:00.240 but technically

01:04:01.340 they could probably

01:04:01.920 get away with it

01:04:02.580 if they had the right ID.

01:04:04.080 But who's going to do it?

01:04:06.700 I don't know.

01:04:07.280 Maybe if you pay them

01:04:08.140 or something.

01:04:09.960 It seems like

01:04:10.860 not even a risk

01:04:11.740 they would take money for

01:04:12.700 because it's pretty hard

01:04:13.980 to get here.

01:04:15.080 You know,

01:04:15.400 you don't want to be

01:04:16.000 sent back

01:04:16.620 and have to come back again.

01:04:18.560 So I would think

01:04:19.520 that they would not take

01:04:20.540 a chance

01:04:21.520 on something

01:04:21.960 as inconsequential

01:04:23.080 as one vote

01:04:23.920 in an election

01:04:25.060 that they don't even know

01:04:25.920 who's running.

01:04:33.420 All right.

01:04:37.180 They won't be involved.

01:04:42.640 Yeah, maybe.

01:04:47.000 How do we defeat the machine?

01:04:48.540 I don't think you can.

01:04:50.540 Maybe you need to join them.

01:04:54.200 Maybe we should all

01:04:54.840 just become Democrats.

01:04:56.520 Oh, that would work.

01:04:58.260 If all Republicans

01:04:59.540 just re-registered

01:05:00.780 as Democrats,

01:05:02.500 they could probably

01:05:03.260 have anything they wanted.

01:05:05.080 What would stop you

01:05:05.920 from doing that?

01:05:07.940 Couldn't 100% of Democrats

01:05:09.520 just re-register?

01:05:11.480 It would make

01:05:12.360 all polling obsolete.

01:05:13.960 You can make polling

01:05:16.620 obsolete.

01:05:18.340 Just re-register.

01:05:20.620 That's what I did.

01:05:21.940 That's why I'm

01:05:22.380 a registered Democrat.

01:05:23.880 Once the Democrats

01:05:25.360 labeled me a racist,

01:05:26.940 I thought,

01:05:27.320 well,

01:05:27.400 I'm not going to slime

01:05:28.180 the poor Republicans.

01:05:29.400 They didn't do anything

01:05:30.100 to me.

01:05:31.180 So I decided

01:05:32.000 to take my bad reputation

01:05:33.320 over to the Democrats

01:05:34.260 where it belongs.

01:05:39.320 Andrew Tate

01:05:40.020 just registered

01:05:40.740 as a Democrat.

01:05:41.440 Did that really happen?

01:05:46.740 I can't tell

01:05:47.460 if you're joking.

01:05:50.260 No, he can't.

01:05:51.200 Well, he can't vote.

01:05:52.540 Wait a minute.

01:05:52.940 He's not even a citizen,

01:05:53.900 is he?

01:05:57.800 I don't think

01:05:58.760 he can vote.

01:06:01.640 All right.

01:06:03.080 Fetterman has been

01:06:03.820 replaced by a body double.

01:06:05.880 Where in the world

01:06:06.640 would you get

01:06:07.140 a second person

01:06:07.920 who looks like him?

01:06:11.440 And if you wanted

01:06:12.800 a body double,

01:06:13.760 would you give your body double

01:06:15.020 a porn mustache?

01:06:16.480 Because I feel like

01:06:17.320 the porn mustache

01:06:18.240 is sort of a giveaway.

01:06:22.240 He does look different.

01:06:25.940 Yeah,

01:06:26.520 he does look different.

01:06:27.780 And he's admitted

01:06:28.560 that he has some kind

01:06:29.360 of permanent cognitive,

01:06:31.120 at least linguistic,

01:06:32.780 problem.

01:06:33.080 But I guess

01:06:36.360 the Democrats

01:06:37.160 are happy with that.

01:06:38.000 They got what they wanted.

01:06:39.560 All right.

01:06:39.860 That's all I got

01:06:40.320 for you today.

01:06:41.720 YouTube.

01:06:48.720 Predicting

01:06:49.080 we won't need

01:06:49.920 to vote.

01:06:51.600 Well,

01:06:52.080 I think he was being

01:06:52.780 hyperbolic

01:06:53.920 when he said that.

01:06:58.640 All right.

01:06:59.500 That's all for now.

01:07:00.460 YouTube.

01:07:01.060 Talk to you tomorrow.

01:07:01.760 future as well.

01:07:04.480 It's fun.

01:07:05.340 Stay tuned.

01:07:07.220 I'll be right here.

01:07:08.940 All right.

01:07:09.360 happy now.

01:07:09.540 Welcome to

01:07:09.920 Far out.

01:07:12.580 Bye.

01:07:13.120 Bye.

01:07:13.660 Bye.

01:07:13.780 Bye.

01:07:18.640 Bye.

01:07:25.380 Bye.

01:07:25.480 Bye.

01:07:26.220 Bye.

01:07:26.360 Bye.

01:07:26.720 Bye.

01:07:26.760 Bye.

01:07:26.860 Bye.

01:07:27.520 Bye.

01:07:27.620 Bye.

01:07:28.680 Bye.

01:07:28.920 Bye.

01:07:30.800 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 22, 2023

Episode 2239 Scott Adams： More Reports On The Gears Of The Machine. It Is Completely Clear Now

Episode Stats

Length

Words per Minute

Word Count

Sentence Count

Misogynist Sentences

Hate Speech Sentences

Summary

Transcript