Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 22, 2023


Episode 2239 Scott Adams: More Reports On The Gears Of The Machine. It Is Completely Clear Now


Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 7 minutes

Words per minute

138.4907

Word count

9,352

Sentence count

669

Harmful content

Misogyny

12

sentences flagged

Hate speech

34

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In this episode, we talk about the micro-cults in the media, the new governor's son's obsession with Andrew Tate, Joe Rogan and Jordan Peterson, and why men are not on board with wokeness.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Do, do, do, do, do, do, do, do, do, do.
00:00:04.140 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
00:00:10.580 And if you'd like your experience to be so special that you'll be talking to your grandkids about it forever,
00:00:18.620 all you need is a cup or mug or glass, a tank or gel, so stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:25.140 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
00:00:28.740 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
00:00:31.740 It's a dope immediate of the day.
00:00:33.000 The thing that makes everything better.
00:00:34.280 It's called the simultaneous sip.
00:00:36.640 It happens now.
00:00:37.780 Go.
00:00:42.220 Ah.
00:00:43.780 So good.
00:00:45.320 Savor it.
00:00:46.620 Savor it.
00:00:47.200 All right, well, let's talk about all the news.
00:00:51.600 Governor Newsom was complaining recently
00:00:54.700 that there are a lot of micro-cults.
00:00:58.840 And he gave some examples.
00:01:00.420 He said that his own son has been talking to him
00:01:03.940 about Andrew Tate, Joe Rogan, and Jordan Peterson.
00:01:09.220 And I guess those are the micro-cults.
00:01:11.800 That's right.
00:01:12.260 Governor Newsom's son is listening to Tate, Rogan, and Jordan Peterson.
00:01:21.980 So what can you conclude from that?
00:01:24.700 Here's what I conclude from that.
00:01:28.800 I'm just going to guess that that son has a very clean bedroom.
00:01:36.080 Anybody want to take the other side of that bet?
00:01:39.740 Wouldn't you love to ask him that question?
00:01:42.540 Just one question and walk away.
00:01:45.280 Governor Newsom, I hear your son's listening to Tate and Rogan
00:01:49.860 and Jordan Peterson.
00:01:51.580 Well, yes, I'm afraid to say it's true.
00:01:53.880 I just have one question.
00:01:56.820 How clean is his bedroom?
00:02:00.060 And you don't even wait for the answer.
00:02:02.180 Just walk away.
00:02:04.440 That's how I play it.
00:02:06.680 Well, I have a theory that there will be a rebalance 1.00
00:02:11.200 of our current crazy situation.
00:02:13.660 And the reason for the rebalance is that men, adult men,
00:02:21.440 have been completely taken out of the, let's say,
00:02:25.240 the political conversation because we're too easy to cancel and to threaten.
00:02:29.060 So men need jobs. 1.00
00:02:32.740 And if you say the wrong things in America, you lose your job.
00:02:37.360 So men are just completely taken off the board 0.78
00:02:39.580 because we'll just get canceled like Russell Brand or Tucker Carlson or me.
00:02:44.760 So adult men don't have any hope of being part of the conversation 0.97
00:02:50.720 in a meaningful way.
00:02:54.180 This, however, will be very different with young men who have nothing to lose.
00:02:59.220 And even when they don't have anything to lose,
00:03:01.880 they're more likely to risk losing it because they're young men.
00:03:05.160 I don't know if you've been paying attention,
00:03:08.300 but the young males are not on board with wokeness.
00:03:13.380 And I don't think that's an exaggeration.
00:03:16.460 The young men, not on board with wokeness, not even a little bit.
00:03:21.160 I've never even met one.
00:03:23.640 Never even met a young male who was woke.
00:03:28.700 Never even heard of one.
00:03:31.760 And those men have nothing to lose.
00:03:35.660 Because they don't have jobs.
00:03:37.960 They have nothing to lose.
00:03:40.140 So you're going to see this explosion of male energy 0.95
00:03:44.600 that has been suppressed in the adult male population for a long time
00:03:49.820 because you know why?
00:03:51.020 We thought we could protect our jobs.
00:03:55.060 How'd that work out?
00:03:56.900 Didn't work out at all.
00:03:58.840 No, because your job will be taken by a diversity hire anyway. 0.97
00:04:03.820 So a woman will take your job or LGBTQ. 1.00
00:04:07.820 So going along with the plan doesn't help as much as you think it would.
00:04:11.400 But it's a natural impulse.
00:04:14.000 So look out.
00:04:15.320 We might be a generation away from it.
00:04:17.100 But now that I know that Governor Newsom's son is being raised by Andrew Tate,
00:04:23.640 I'm just going to say there are some surprises, a few surprises coming.
00:04:28.260 That's all.
00:04:30.380 All right.
00:04:31.060 In the segment I like to call it dumb science,
00:04:34.560 where science gives you a result that you don't have to be an expert to know is bullshit.
00:04:40.220 So the test here is, without being any kind of a scientist at all,
00:04:47.660 can you tell that this is bullshit? 0.61
00:04:49.440 So let me tell you what they found.
00:04:52.020 There was a study that found out that the events of January 6th
00:04:57.180 caused a substantial degradation in mental health.
00:05:03.060 So there's a big drop in mental health.
00:05:06.980 But it doesn't seem to be across the board.
00:05:10.980 It seems to have hit Democrats really hard,
00:05:14.600 but Republicans sort of not at all.
00:05:18.580 So January 6th actually caused measurable mental health decline for Democrats.
00:05:25.440 But no real difference for Republicans.
00:05:30.240 And so do you know what they concluded based on this?
00:05:34.700 Their conclusion was that the events of January 6th
00:05:38.140 caused a decline in mental health.
00:05:41.280 Does that sound accurate?
00:05:43.400 The events of January 6th caused a decline in mental health.
00:05:49.460 Let me postulate another possibility.
00:05:52.800 Could it be that the reason Democrats were affected is that they watched fake news
00:05:59.300 and the Republicans watched both
00:06:02.120 so they could judge what was real and what was fake pretty easily
00:06:05.640 and that the people who saw the real news
00:06:08.280 did not think that there was an insurrection that almost destroyed the country
00:06:12.900 or anything like that?
00:06:16.320 And so the Republicans had reason to be angry,
00:06:20.120 you know, politically angry,
00:06:21.180 but they didn't have any trigger to be politically, mentally, you know, unhealthy.
00:06:27.840 But the Democrats did.
00:06:30.140 They were told nonstop that their country was almost lost
00:06:33.660 and they live in a white supremacist society
00:06:36.620 that almost took over.
00:06:39.020 That would be pretty scary
00:06:40.460 to imagine if something like that actually happened in the real world.
00:06:44.680 But it didn't.
00:06:46.140 It's just that their news told them it did and it made them crazy.
00:06:48.520 Now, getting back to Dr. Jordan Peterson's theory
00:06:54.200 that a lot of what you see online
00:06:56.000 is the dark triad personality traits,
00:07:00.720 narcissists mostly,
00:07:02.440 and that you're mostly just seeing mental health amplified.
00:07:08.520 You know, before if you had bad mental health,
00:07:10.380 it only bothered a few people that you associated with.
00:07:12.980 But now I'm bad mental health.
00:07:15.000 It's like, ah, I can scream it on social media.
00:07:17.420 I can cancel you.
00:07:18.780 I control you.
00:07:21.640 I just thought that control
00:07:23.860 and can troll
00:07:27.380 are very similar, aren't they?
00:07:31.320 Because they use trolls
00:07:32.780 to control.
00:07:34.040 If you can troll, you can troll.
00:07:37.440 Hmm.
00:07:38.240 Interesting.
00:07:40.340 That's a dumb science for today.
00:07:42.780 Dumb science.
00:07:44.820 A question I like to ask every few months
00:07:47.480 just to get people talking.
00:07:49.740 Why in the world would anybody hire someone
00:07:51.920 who had pronouns in any of their bios,
00:07:55.180 online or otherwise?
00:07:57.160 Why would you do that?
00:07:58.240 Now, I imagine there'd be some, like,
00:08:02.360 super blue businesses
00:08:04.420 that just, you know,
00:08:05.620 have to get somebody just like them.
00:08:07.820 There'd be some of those.
00:08:09.460 But doesn't a pronoun
00:08:11.520 signal that you're going to cause trouble?
00:08:15.600 I don't know how it could be more clear.
00:08:18.560 Hi, I'm going to have a problem
00:08:20.280 on this minor point.
00:08:22.260 And not only am I going to have a problem,
00:08:24.200 I want to tell you in advance.
00:08:25.820 So when you violate this minor point,
00:08:29.600 whoa, there's going to be trouble.
00:08:32.540 Why would anybody hire somebody
00:08:34.440 who led with how much trouble
00:08:36.700 there are going to be?
00:08:38.720 Now, my assumption is
00:08:40.160 that the pronoun thing will go away.
00:08:42.240 And I think it will go away
00:08:43.820 because the number of companies
00:08:46.060 that will hire you
00:08:47.020 because you have a pronoun
00:08:48.300 will drop to zero.
00:08:51.800 But the number that will reject you
00:08:54.820 because the pronouns
00:08:55.680 is probably already at a third,
00:08:58.580 maybe 30% or more,
00:09:00.680 I would think.
00:09:01.680 What's your guess?
00:09:02.820 What percentage of hiring managers
00:09:05.020 across the board everywhere
00:09:07.640 would reject somebody
00:09:10.100 just immediately
00:09:11.380 because of a pronoun?
00:09:12.840 I would.
00:09:13.300 I would not even consider
00:09:15.060 somebody with their pronoun.
00:09:17.520 And it has nothing to do
00:09:18.740 with their political opinions.
00:09:20.840 It's really, really bad judgment
00:09:22.400 to put your pronoun in your bio
00:09:23.960 if you're applying for a job
00:09:25.220 because you don't know yet
00:09:26.760 if your employer thinks that's cool.
00:09:29.840 So that, I mean,
00:09:30.700 it's a big signal of bad judgment,
00:09:32.620 but it's also a signal
00:09:33.760 of potential lawsuits
00:09:35.580 and trouble like that.
00:09:37.200 And also somebody
00:09:38.980 who's going to support
00:09:39.920 every woke person
00:09:41.400 and woke thing,
00:09:42.680 and you don't need that either.
00:09:45.220 So my guess is
00:09:47.260 that pure economics
00:09:48.280 will drive this out
00:09:49.320 in the marketplace.
00:09:50.880 Just economics.
00:09:52.900 What do you think?
00:09:54.460 Do you think there'll be more of it,
00:09:55.620 or is it just sort of obvious
00:09:57.140 that economics will drive it
00:09:58.520 out of the system?
00:09:59.140 I think we're just a few years
00:10:01.980 away from it disappearing.
00:10:03.880 Maybe three.
00:10:05.180 I think in three years,
00:10:06.400 pronouns will make you look like
00:10:07.840 just a fucking idiot. 0.91
00:10:10.980 Yeah.
00:10:11.520 All right.
00:10:14.160 I've said this story before,
00:10:15.660 but I like it so much
00:10:16.520 I'm going to say it again.
00:10:17.740 So Ibram Kendi,
00:10:19.080 the anti-racist guy,
00:10:20.980 activist,
00:10:21.960 he was trying to figure out
00:10:24.000 what happened to
00:10:25.500 $30 million of mismanaged money
00:10:27.780 for his, quote,
00:10:29.180 anti-racism center.
00:10:32.760 So Boston University
00:10:34.320 is investigating
00:10:35.220 the center
00:10:36.520 following allegations
00:10:37.520 that he mismanaged
00:10:38.460 grant funds,
00:10:39.280 failed to deliver
00:10:39.880 key projects,
00:10:41.060 and unleashed
00:10:42.060 employment violence
00:10:43.480 on the staff.
00:10:45.320 Now, guess what type
00:10:47.040 of people he hired?
00:10:50.340 He hired the kind of people
00:10:51.740 who would have pronouns
00:10:52.680 in their bio.
00:10:54.820 How'd that work out?
00:10:55.920 Well, it looks like
00:10:57.980 they have some complaints.
00:11:02.080 Yeah, they have some complaints.
00:11:04.480 Now, there might be
00:11:05.840 a really good reason
00:11:06.680 for a complaint
00:11:07.420 because it's missing
00:11:08.360 $30 million
00:11:09.000 and the other accusations
00:11:11.380 you have to take seriously.
00:11:13.300 But even if Kendi
00:11:15.320 had done nothing wrong,
00:11:17.700 but the only thing he'd done
00:11:19.460 is hired a staff
00:11:20.320 full of complainers,
00:11:21.980 how in the world
00:11:23.520 was that going to work?
00:11:24.360 So we've actually seen
00:11:27.320 the test case
00:11:28.700 of hiring people
00:11:30.200 not for merit,
00:11:31.500 but for being like-minded.
00:11:35.120 Didn't work out.
00:11:36.880 Turns out, big surprise.
00:11:38.300 Didn't work out.
00:11:40.300 All right, here's something
00:11:41.380 I'll bet you didn't know.
00:11:43.680 Mike Benz taught me this
00:11:45.920 on Twitter, on X, I mean.
00:11:47.380 Did you know
00:11:51.100 that in Cuba
00:11:53.040 the CIA
00:11:54.480 tried to create
00:11:56.200 a Twitter-like product
00:11:59.040 that the CIA
00:12:00.500 would control
00:12:01.280 and unknowingly
00:12:02.960 the Cuban population
00:12:04.300 would use it,
00:12:05.040 not knowing
00:12:05.480 that the CIA
00:12:06.140 controlled it.
00:12:07.420 And the plan
00:12:08.260 explicitly
00:12:08.960 was to build up
00:12:10.460 a population
00:12:11.120 of users
00:12:11.720 and then after
00:12:13.160 they got the population
00:12:14.080 of users,
00:12:15.160 they would politicize it.
00:12:16.360 In other words,
00:12:17.220 they'd put their finger
00:12:17.980 on it and start using it
00:12:19.940 to foment revolution.
00:12:22.520 Well, it didn't work out
00:12:24.160 because they didn't get
00:12:25.120 enough users
00:12:25.720 and they didn't get
00:12:26.680 their funding,
00:12:27.500 so it never got
00:12:28.060 to the second step
00:12:28.980 of fomenting protests,
00:12:31.420 fake protests.
00:12:32.500 They were fomented
00:12:33.380 by the CIA.
00:12:34.700 So this was
00:12:35.580 literally a way
00:12:36.820 that was being used
00:12:37.740 to overthrow Cuba,
00:12:39.600 unsuccessfully.
00:12:40.360 but you could tell
00:12:42.460 that the CIA,
00:12:44.480 and by the way,
00:12:45.220 this is documented,
00:12:46.320 it's on Wikipedia,
00:12:47.940 it's not one of these
00:12:48.760 weird conspiracy theories,
00:12:51.340 it's a well-documented
00:12:52.600 thing.
00:12:54.420 Now,
00:12:55.660 you don't think
00:12:56.380 that China thought
00:12:57.100 of that
00:12:57.480 with TikTok?
00:12:59.460 You don't think
00:13:00.280 that China 0.93
00:13:00.840 said,
00:13:02.260 let's build up
00:13:02.780 an audience
00:13:03.320 and once we've got
00:13:04.140 a good audience,
00:13:05.800 we're going to turn
00:13:06.700 the crank a little bit?
00:13:08.700 No?
00:13:09.500 Because it turns out
00:13:10.580 that the news
00:13:11.340 is also reporting
00:13:12.240 that TikTok
00:13:12.820 is moving more
00:13:14.000 into political content.
00:13:16.480 Huh.
00:13:17.620 Big surprise.
00:13:19.120 There's more political
00:13:20.000 content now
00:13:20.820 on TikTok.
00:13:21.780 Huh.
00:13:22.440 I wonder if it's
00:13:23.400 mostly conservative.
00:13:25.120 It's not?
00:13:26.420 What?
00:13:27.820 It mostly
00:13:28.440 is terrible
00:13:29.860 woke things
00:13:30.660 that would destroy
00:13:31.340 the country?
00:13:32.380 Oh,
00:13:32.860 big surprise,
00:13:33.760 big surprise.
00:13:34.720 Is it lots of things
00:13:35.620 that would reduce
00:13:36.300 the odds of reproduction?
00:13:38.280 Oh,
00:13:38.600 yeah,
00:13:38.860 it is.
00:13:39.720 Oh,
00:13:40.040 yeah,
00:13:40.320 it is.
00:13:42.120 But it's a complete
00:13:43.080 coincidence,
00:13:43.760 right?
00:13:44.700 It's just a coincidence.
00:13:46.240 It's a coincidence
00:13:47.040 that RCIA
00:13:48.240 tried to do
00:13:49.040 an op
00:13:49.620 that looks
00:13:50.620 exactly like
00:13:51.520 TikTok.
00:13:52.940 That's just
00:13:53.520 a coincidence.
00:13:55.280 So,
00:13:55.820 no,
00:13:56.020 China's not up
00:13:56.700 to anything.
00:13:57.480 And the way
00:13:57.840 we know
00:13:58.180 that China's 0.96
00:13:58.680 not up
00:13:59.040 to anything
00:13:59.440 is that
00:13:59.920 Rand Paul
00:14:00.800 squashed
00:14:02.900 the effort
00:14:03.780 to block
00:14:04.340 TikTok downloads
00:14:05.480 in Congress.
00:14:06.280 Rand Paul.
00:14:07.680 Oh,
00:14:07.880 Rand Paul,
00:14:08.420 who is one
00:14:08.880 of his biggest
00:14:09.380 funders?
00:14:10.600 Oh,
00:14:10.860 an owner
00:14:11.180 of TikTok.
00:14:12.240 Yeah,
00:14:12.800 an American
00:14:14.020 billionaire
00:14:14.500 who owns
00:14:15.020 a lot
00:14:15.380 of TikTok
00:14:15.800 is one
00:14:17.580 of the biggest
00:14:17.940 funders
00:14:18.440 to the people
00:14:18.980 who stopped
00:14:19.480 it from being
00:14:20.700 banned.
00:14:23.060 Things are
00:14:23.720 exactly the way
00:14:24.600 they look.
00:14:26.180 The gears
00:14:26.900 of the machine
00:14:27.640 are becoming
00:14:29.200 visible.
00:14:29.700 How many
00:14:32.120 of you
00:14:32.480 have a
00:14:32.860 completely
00:14:33.280 different
00:14:33.720 understanding
00:14:34.360 of our
00:14:35.100 system
00:14:35.540 just in the
00:14:37.040 last several
00:14:37.540 months
00:14:37.840 from listening
00:14:38.480 to me?
00:14:41.280 It's nothing
00:14:42.000 like what you
00:14:42.580 thought it was,
00:14:43.080 is it?
00:14:44.360 It's kind of
00:14:45.060 mind-blowing,
00:14:45.680 isn't it,
00:14:46.360 when you can
00:14:47.120 see the whole
00:14:47.580 system?
00:14:49.780 All right,
00:14:50.340 let's talk
00:14:51.240 about Dave
00:14:53.160 Portnoy,
00:14:53.840 as you probably
00:14:54.900 already know,
00:14:55.740 a food
00:14:57.960 writer,
00:14:58.840 that's right,
00:14:59.360 a food
00:15:00.060 editor,
00:15:01.800 decided to
00:15:02.540 write a story
00:15:03.120 about him
00:15:03.600 having a
00:15:04.320 pizza festival,
00:15:05.620 which was
00:15:06.380 for the benefit
00:15:06.960 of the small
00:15:07.520 businesses,
00:15:08.980 and they
00:15:09.580 decided to
00:15:10.200 call the
00:15:10.680 sponsors for
00:15:11.640 the event
00:15:12.120 and say,
00:15:13.200 are you
00:15:13.460 comfortable
00:15:13.880 working with
00:15:14.500 this misogynist
00:15:15.380 who does
00:15:16.140 sketchy things?
00:15:17.780 Which,
00:15:18.560 obviously,
00:15:20.020 is intended
00:15:20.700 to destroy
00:15:22.500 his economic
00:15:23.260 model.
00:15:23.700 Now,
00:15:26.020 Portnoy,
00:15:27.480 being a
00:15:29.020 media,
00:15:29.820 I would say,
00:15:31.280 expert,
00:15:32.520 knew exactly
00:15:34.220 how to handle
00:15:34.780 this,
00:15:35.480 and recorded
00:15:36.280 his phone
00:15:36.800 call when
00:15:37.200 he called
00:15:37.580 the reporter
00:15:38.340 for the
00:15:38.720 Washington Post,
00:15:40.240 and basically
00:15:42.820 embarrassed that
00:15:43.840 reporter and
00:15:44.620 made it a
00:15:45.040 national story,
00:15:46.020 which was
00:15:46.460 perfect.
00:15:47.900 You know,
00:15:48.120 you can't
00:15:48.760 handle it
00:15:49.180 better than
00:15:49.560 that.
00:15:50.400 That was
00:15:50.780 perfect.
00:15:52.540 Now,
00:15:52.860 do you
00:15:53.600 see the
00:15:53.920 gears of
00:15:54.340 the
00:15:54.440 machine?
00:15:55.180 The
00:15:55.300 Washington
00:15:55.680 Post,
00:15:57.040 who,
00:15:57.460 by the
00:15:57.680 way,
00:15:57.900 do you
00:15:58.120 know the
00:15:58.400 Washington
00:15:58.700 Post is
00:15:59.200 probably the
00:16:00.120 biggest entity
00:16:00.760 that canceled
00:16:01.340 me?
00:16:02.800 Did you
00:16:03.360 know that?
00:16:04.000 Because you
00:16:04.420 heard that I
00:16:04.920 was canceled
00:16:05.380 in newspapers.
00:16:07.400 But unless
00:16:08.000 the Washington
00:16:08.540 Post goes
00:16:09.300 first,
00:16:09.840 the other
00:16:10.200 ones aren't
00:16:10.600 going to do
00:16:10.980 it.
00:16:12.340 So they
00:16:12.920 were the
00:16:13.220 big voice.
00:16:16.460 So just
00:16:17.160 keep that in
00:16:17.640 mind.
00:16:18.780 I wonder
00:16:19.340 if there
00:16:19.660 are any
00:16:19.900 other stories
00:16:20.700 that would
00:16:21.220 be relevant
00:16:21.760 to this
00:16:22.220 one in
00:16:22.640 a different
00:16:23.260 way.
00:16:24.280 Well,
00:16:24.720 let's go
00:16:24.940 back to
00:16:25.240 2013.
00:16:28.180 Here's
00:16:28.580 something you
00:16:28.980 didn't know.
00:16:30.060 In 2013,
00:16:31.680 Jeff Bezos
00:16:33.860 bought the
00:16:34.520 Washington
00:16:34.880 Post.
00:16:37.140 So they
00:16:37.720 had the
00:16:38.160 guy who
00:16:38.740 owns Amazon,
00:16:39.640 richest guy in
00:16:40.180 the world at
00:16:40.600 the time,
00:16:41.800 bought the
00:16:42.760 Washington
00:16:43.060 Post.
00:16:43.620 A lot of
00:16:43.980 people didn't
00:16:44.420 think that
00:16:44.760 was a good
00:16:45.160 investment
00:16:45.700 because it
00:16:46.360 didn't look
00:16:46.700 like it
00:16:47.020 could make
00:16:47.340 money.
00:16:48.360 It's like,
00:16:48.640 why would
00:16:48.920 you do that?
00:16:49.620 It's kind
00:16:50.160 of a weird
00:16:50.540 investment.
00:16:51.940 Seems like
00:16:52.400 the last
00:16:52.820 thing you'd
00:16:53.180 invest in.
00:16:54.300 But it
00:16:54.640 did.
00:16:55.800 That was
00:16:56.120 2013.
00:16:58.580 Some people
00:16:59.320 say that
00:16:59.920 the Washington
00:17:00.560 Post is
00:17:01.100 the outlet
00:17:01.640 that the
00:17:02.740 CIA likes
00:17:03.660 to use
00:17:04.400 to put
00:17:05.360 their
00:17:05.580 preferred
00:17:06.140 news
00:17:07.080 into the
00:17:07.640 reporters.
00:17:09.240 That's what
00:17:09.620 they say.
00:17:10.600 I mean,
00:17:10.820 I can't
00:17:11.180 confirm that.
00:17:12.520 That's what
00:17:13.040 smart people
00:17:13.700 say.
00:17:15.020 I wonder
00:17:15.400 if anything
00:17:15.760 else happened
00:17:16.260 in 2013.
00:17:17.000 2013,
00:17:19.960 the same
00:17:20.260 year that
00:17:20.720 Jeff Bezos
00:17:21.260 bought the
00:17:21.740 Washington
00:17:22.040 Post.
00:17:22.660 Oh,
00:17:22.800 yeah.
00:17:23.080 Oh,
00:17:23.180 yeah.
00:17:23.840 So here's
00:17:24.340 the story.
00:17:27.400 The CIA
00:17:28.240 actually needs
00:17:28.940 a lot of
00:17:29.500 processors.
00:17:31.340 So they're
00:17:31.640 using it.
00:17:32.560 In 2013,
00:17:34.300 they made
00:17:35.540 a $600
00:17:36.100 million deal
00:17:37.060 with Amazon
00:17:38.780 Web Service.
00:17:40.600 So the
00:17:40.940 CIA has
00:17:41.860 a $600
00:17:42.460 million deal.
00:17:43.480 and it
00:17:46.120 happened
00:17:46.440 on the
00:17:46.900 same year,
00:17:47.740 same year
00:17:48.520 that Bezos
00:17:49.140 rescued the
00:17:50.560 newspaper that
00:17:52.440 some say
00:17:53.940 is the
00:17:55.160 CIA newspaper.
00:17:57.740 So Jeff
00:17:58.680 Bezos
00:17:59.160 rescued the
00:17:59.920 CIA newspaper,
00:18:01.040 some say,
00:18:02.920 the same
00:18:03.600 year that
00:18:04.300 the CIA
00:18:05.700 decided to
00:18:06.520 give their
00:18:06.860 gigantic deal
00:18:07.980 to Amazon.
00:18:10.500 But that's
00:18:11.040 a coincidence.
00:18:11.520 things happened
00:18:13.600 in the same
00:18:14.080 year.
00:18:14.460 That's just
00:18:14.780 a coincidence.
00:18:19.400 So now we
00:18:20.380 have a
00:18:20.620 situation where
00:18:22.140 the news is
00:18:22.800 so owned
00:18:23.480 that Biden
00:18:24.820 can say
00:18:25.420 absolutely
00:18:26.120 anything and
00:18:27.700 be confident
00:18:28.340 that his
00:18:29.160 audience won't
00:18:29.780 hear any
00:18:30.340 counterpoint,
00:18:31.640 no matter
00:18:32.400 what it is.
00:18:33.680 This is
00:18:34.100 something Biden
00:18:34.900 actually said
00:18:35.860 in an event
00:18:36.420 yesterday,
00:18:37.480 that MAGA
00:18:38.520 Republicans spent
00:18:39.520 four years
00:18:40.220 gutting the
00:18:41.040 immigration
00:18:41.540 system under
00:18:42.460 my predecessor.
00:18:44.240 They continue
00:18:45.160 to undermine
00:18:45.820 our border
00:18:46.300 security today.
00:18:50.600 Just hold
00:18:51.540 that in your
00:18:51.960 mind.
00:18:53.340 The Democrats
00:18:54.300 are so cut
00:18:55.660 off from
00:18:56.220 actual news
00:18:57.220 that Biden
00:18:58.580 can tell
00:18:59.200 them that
00:19:00.280 the border
00:19:00.820 problem was
00:19:01.900 Trump's fault.
00:19:04.280 And they
00:19:05.100 might actually
00:19:05.700 believe it.
00:19:07.280 Just think
00:19:08.120 about that.
00:19:08.600 that's where
00:19:09.880 we are in
00:19:10.440 2023.
00:19:13.520 It's almost
00:19:14.280 too hard to
00:19:14.840 hold in your
00:19:15.240 mind,
00:19:15.580 isn't it?
00:19:16.380 You almost
00:19:16.980 can't keep
00:19:17.460 that in your
00:19:17.880 mind.
00:19:18.200 It's like,
00:19:19.040 really?
00:19:20.220 Really?
00:19:21.100 Biden said
00:19:21.820 that the
00:19:22.120 border problem
00:19:22.760 was Trump's
00:19:23.980 fault.
00:19:26.800 But if
00:19:27.660 you didn't
00:19:29.820 have access
00:19:30.340 to real
00:19:31.020 news,
00:19:31.860 would you
00:19:32.720 believe it?
00:19:34.100 Probably.
00:19:35.380 You probably
00:19:35.880 would believe
00:19:36.320 it.
00:19:39.740 Dave Rubin
00:19:40.840 says on
00:19:43.620 some ex-posts
00:19:45.120 that he's
00:19:45.880 been demonetized
00:19:46.860 a few times
00:19:47.480 lately by
00:19:48.080 YouTube.
00:19:50.200 And are
00:19:51.540 you surprised?
00:19:53.460 Let's see.
00:19:54.240 Dave Rubin
00:19:55.000 getting
00:19:55.320 demonetized.
00:19:57.420 Andrew Tate
00:19:58.160 demonetized.
00:20:00.360 Jordan
00:20:00.920 Peterson,
00:20:01.840 his license
00:20:02.600 is being
00:20:03.140 threatened.
00:20:03.960 Joe Rogan,
00:20:04.560 they tried
00:20:04.940 to cancel
00:20:05.480 him.
00:20:06.580 I was
00:20:07.240 completely
00:20:07.760 canceled.
00:20:09.120 Dave
00:20:09.360 Portnoy,
00:20:10.120 they're going
00:20:10.380 after his
00:20:10.840 business model.
00:20:14.140 Do you see
00:20:14.880 any patterns
00:20:15.580 yet?
00:20:17.980 Yeah,
00:20:18.280 Musk,
00:20:18.840 going after
00:20:19.360 Elon Musk.
00:20:20.560 Do you see
00:20:21.080 the pattern?
00:20:25.460 Yeah.
00:20:27.100 Yep.
00:20:28.200 There's the
00:20:28.740 pattern.
00:20:29.000 So,
00:20:31.960 what else
00:20:35.820 is happening?
00:20:38.400 Let's talk
00:20:39.300 about Twitter.
00:20:40.780 Apparently,
00:20:41.520 a group called
00:20:42.180 America First
00:20:42.880 Legal is
00:20:44.360 suing Biden's
00:20:45.640 FTC for
00:20:47.400 what they say
00:20:47.960 is illegally
00:20:48.620 concealing documents
00:20:49.740 on government
00:20:50.520 targeting of
00:20:51.380 Elon Musk
00:20:52.120 and X.
00:20:53.780 because a
00:20:55.640 report by
00:20:56.180 the House
00:20:56.540 Weaponization
00:20:57.200 Committee
00:20:57.560 concluded that
00:20:58.320 the FTC
00:20:59.080 inappropriately
00:21:00.740 stretched its
00:21:01.560 regulatory power
00:21:02.840 to harass
00:21:03.600 what was
00:21:04.680 then Twitter.
00:21:06.600 So,
00:21:07.140 we might
00:21:07.420 actually have
00:21:07.940 documents to
00:21:08.780 show that
00:21:09.120 the FTC
00:21:09.720 was going
00:21:11.520 after Musk
00:21:12.200 for political
00:21:12.920 reasons.
00:21:14.580 Total
00:21:15.100 weaponization
00:21:15.820 of the
00:21:16.180 government.
00:21:19.700 Would you
00:21:20.540 like to
00:21:20.840 know how
00:21:21.220 the original
00:21:21.940 Twitter boycott
00:21:23.140 was organized?
00:21:24.640 So,
00:21:25.000 when Musk
00:21:25.560 said he
00:21:25.880 was going
00:21:26.140 to take
00:21:26.440 over Twitter,
00:21:27.800 can you
00:21:28.160 imagine the
00:21:28.760 amount of
00:21:29.120 panic in
00:21:30.540 the Democrats
00:21:31.280 who had
00:21:31.620 figured out
00:21:32.060 a way to
00:21:32.440 control most
00:21:33.880 of the other
00:21:34.380 sources of
00:21:35.060 news,
00:21:35.720 but if they
00:21:36.380 couldn't
00:21:36.720 control
00:21:37.120 Twitter,
00:21:38.440 then they
00:21:40.140 can't keep
00:21:40.600 the lid on.
00:21:42.840 So,
00:21:43.460 here's something
00:21:43.920 I learned.
00:21:45.180 There's a
00:21:45.980 group called
00:21:47.740 Arabella
00:21:48.760 Advisors,
00:21:51.040 and they
00:21:51.640 somehow
00:21:52.120 bankrolled
00:21:52.840 26 NGOs
00:21:54.760 who then
00:21:56.240 organized a
00:21:56.960 Twitter boycott.
00:21:58.660 So,
00:21:59.120 the NGOs
00:21:59.600 probably
00:22:00.040 wouldn't have
00:22:00.440 done this
00:22:00.960 without the
00:22:01.580 Arabella
00:22:02.160 Advisors
00:22:02.820 bankrolling
00:22:03.400 them.
00:22:04.780 So,
00:22:05.060 don't you
00:22:05.320 wonder who
00:22:05.720 they are?
00:22:06.400 Who are
00:22:06.660 these Arabella 0.98
00:22:07.640 Advisors?
00:22:09.380 Have you
00:22:09.600 ever heard
00:22:09.880 of them?
00:22:11.420 Because they
00:22:12.140 had a really
00:22:12.540 big impact
00:22:13.260 on your
00:22:14.420 life,
00:22:15.740 if you
00:22:16.500 were on
00:22:16.720 social media,
00:22:17.520 but have you
00:22:17.920 ever heard
00:22:18.220 of them?
00:22:18.980 Arabella
00:22:19.420 Advisors?
00:22:19.940 Let's
00:22:21.820 see,
00:22:22.100 I wonder
00:22:22.340 who was
00:22:22.580 on the
00:22:22.840 board of
00:22:23.260 Arabella
00:22:23.780 Advisors.
00:22:25.240 Oh,
00:22:25.920 Sam
00:22:26.260 Bankman
00:22:26.740 Freed's
00:22:27.220 father.
00:22:28.800 Sam
00:22:29.180 Bankman
00:22:29.620 Freed's,
00:22:30.180 the crypto
00:22:31.880 scam guy
00:22:32.940 who was
00:22:33.260 the biggest
00:22:33.780 donor to
00:22:34.280 the Democrats.
00:22:35.980 Yeah.
00:22:37.100 So,
00:22:37.880 Sam
00:22:38.380 Bankman
00:22:38.760 Freed's
00:22:39.200 father was
00:22:40.000 on the
00:22:40.320 Arabella
00:22:40.760 Advisors
00:22:41.420 board,
00:22:43.020 and they
00:22:43.640 bankrolled
00:22:44.220 the NGOs
00:22:44.880 to organize
00:22:45.620 a boycott,
00:22:46.440 so that
00:22:47.580 you would
00:22:47.900 probably
00:22:48.200 think that
00:22:48.800 it wasn't
00:22:49.160 organized
00:22:49.580 because it
00:22:50.100 was coming
00:22:50.420 from lots
00:22:50.940 of different
00:22:51.300 directions.
00:22:53.920 And where
00:22:55.140 did they
00:22:55.360 get their
00:22:55.660 money?
00:22:58.560 Soros. 0.78
00:22:59.800 Soros 0.94
00:23:00.380 Democracy
00:23:00.960 Alliance.
00:23:02.700 So the
00:23:03.360 Soros 0.94
00:23:03.760 Democracy
00:23:04.360 Alliance
00:23:04.840 gives money
00:23:05.500 to the
00:23:05.920 Arabella
00:23:06.400 Advisors,
00:23:07.460 and then
00:23:08.040 Sam
00:23:08.400 Bankman
00:23:08.900 Freed's
00:23:09.420 dad,
00:23:10.120 being on
00:23:10.600 the board,
00:23:11.820 and others,
00:23:13.040 give it to
00:23:13.560 these NGOs,
00:23:15.040 which are
00:23:15.880 created
00:23:16.420 specifically
00:23:17.240 to look
00:23:17.780 like they
00:23:18.240 are independent
00:23:18.920 organizations
00:23:19.700 that
00:23:20.760 coincidentally
00:23:21.500 have the
00:23:21.820 same
00:23:22.000 opinion.
00:23:23.600 Well,
00:23:23.860 there are
00:23:24.080 so many
00:23:24.520 organizations,
00:23:25.940 these non-government
00:23:27.000 organizations,
00:23:27.740 they're not even
00:23:28.200 part of the
00:23:28.640 government.
00:23:29.420 We're the
00:23:29.760 government,
00:23:30.240 we're just
00:23:30.540 listening to
00:23:31.100 the citizens
00:23:32.180 as they
00:23:32.740 express
00:23:33.120 themselves
00:23:33.660 through the
00:23:34.440 non-government
00:23:35.440 organizations.
00:23:36.320 Well,
00:23:36.500 there are 26
00:23:37.120 of them.
00:23:37.820 I mean,
00:23:38.040 if 26
00:23:38.760 non-government
00:23:39.480 organizations
00:23:40.040 all have the
00:23:40.960 same opinion,
00:23:41.940 well,
00:23:42.160 that's pretty
00:23:42.540 important,
00:23:43.020 so you better
00:23:43.320 listen to them,
00:23:43.860 because there are
00:23:44.100 26 of them.
00:23:45.260 I mean,
00:23:45.500 you don't get
00:23:45.880 26 non-government
00:23:47.720 organizations
00:23:48.320 suddenly all
00:23:49.480 of a sudden
00:23:49.800 on the same
00:23:50.280 page,
00:23:51.720 unless they're
00:23:53.060 all paid
00:23:53.460 by the same
00:23:53.940 person,
00:23:54.820 in which case
00:23:55.940 it's pretty
00:23:56.280 easy.
00:23:56.620 so how many
00:24:05.420 big organizations
00:24:06.600 do you believe
00:24:07.300 have DEI
00:24:08.280 organizations
00:24:09.060 within their
00:24:10.160 organization?
00:24:11.140 What percent
00:24:11.720 of big entities?
00:24:14.060 That would
00:24:14.380 include newspapers,
00:24:15.780 publishers,
00:24:17.280 social media,
00:24:18.360 all of them.
00:24:20.400 The big ones
00:24:21.380 are close to
00:24:21.880 100%,
00:24:22.460 I think,
00:24:22.840 at least 90%.
00:24:24.840 So now,
00:24:26.700 do you see
00:24:27.380 how the
00:24:27.880 machine works?
00:24:30.740 So let's
00:24:31.220 say the
00:24:31.900 Washington Post,
00:24:33.960 for example,
00:24:35.520 let's say the
00:24:36.040 Washington Post
00:24:36.780 does a story
00:24:37.640 and says
00:24:38.020 somebody's bad.
00:24:40.860 Did that story 0.96
00:24:41.860 necessarily
00:24:42.620 start with
00:24:44.380 the writers
00:24:44.900 at the
00:24:45.240 Washington Post?
00:24:46.300 Or did the
00:24:47.180 idea for the
00:24:47.880 story maybe
00:24:48.420 come from
00:24:48.860 another source,
00:24:49.540 such as
00:24:51.320 the CIA
00:24:52.600 or such
00:24:54.200 as
00:24:54.880 Democrat
00:24:56.080 operatives,
00:24:58.160 which are
00:24:58.920 very similar
00:24:59.480 because the
00:25:00.080 CIA and the
00:25:00.720 Democrats seem
00:25:01.460 pretty overlapping.
00:25:04.600 So if this
00:25:05.700 is the model,
00:25:06.440 you can imagine
00:25:07.020 that somebody,
00:25:08.260 a Democrat,
00:25:09.100 asked the
00:25:09.580 Washington Post
00:25:10.780 to crap
00:25:12.400 on somebody
00:25:13.000 so the
00:25:13.340 Washington Post
00:25:13.940 writes a hit
00:25:14.500 piece on them
00:25:15.140 and then
00:25:16.380 every DEI
00:25:17.460 organization
00:25:18.120 and every
00:25:19.120 organization
00:25:19.740 says,
00:25:20.240 whoa,
00:25:20.380 whoa,
00:25:20.480 whoa,
00:25:20.680 we have
00:25:21.020 to act
00:25:21.320 on this.
00:25:22.800 Do you
00:25:23.020 know why
00:25:23.280 they say
00:25:23.620 they have
00:25:23.920 to act?
00:25:24.920 Because if
00:25:25.460 you hire
00:25:25.900 a DEI
00:25:26.580 group,
00:25:27.300 they're going
00:25:27.640 to have
00:25:27.860 to get
00:25:28.380 involved in
00:25:28.920 everything
00:25:29.220 that looks
00:25:29.620 like their
00:25:29.940 business.
00:25:31.080 And do you
00:25:31.480 think they're
00:25:31.820 going to say,
00:25:32.220 oh,
00:25:32.360 that's fine,
00:25:33.020 let it roll?
00:25:34.240 Yeah,
00:25:34.480 it's just
00:25:34.760 the Washington
00:25:35.180 Post.
00:25:36.120 Don't believe
00:25:36.700 anything they
00:25:37.220 say.
00:25:38.200 Do you think
00:25:38.560 that happens?
00:25:39.320 No,
00:25:39.620 the DEI
00:25:40.180 people will
00:25:40.720 say you
00:25:41.060 have to
00:25:41.780 cancel
00:25:42.460 whoever
00:25:42.900 they're
00:25:43.140 talking about.
00:25:44.620 You have
00:25:44.920 to do
00:25:45.200 it now.
00:25:46.200 So as
00:25:46.440 long as
00:25:46.940 there's
00:25:47.380 Democrat
00:25:49.420 influence
00:25:50.240 on the
00:25:51.360 big
00:25:51.560 publications,
00:25:52.540 the big
00:25:52.860 publications
00:25:53.380 can talk
00:25:54.580 to the
00:25:54.900 public,
00:25:55.540 the DEI
00:25:56.240 groups
00:25:56.660 within big
00:25:57.280 entities
00:25:57.660 will say,
00:25:58.180 oh,
00:25:58.400 that's for
00:25:58.780 me,
00:25:59.440 I better
00:25:59.820 act quickly,
00:26:01.160 and I'm
00:26:01.880 the tail
00:26:02.240 that wags
00:26:02.700 the dog
00:26:03.180 because you
00:26:03.780 don't want
00:26:04.100 to get on
00:26:04.420 my bad
00:26:04.820 side.
00:26:05.660 I'm the
00:26:06.020 DEI
00:26:06.440 person.
00:26:07.540 Believe me,
00:26:08.220 you might be
00:26:08.760 the CEO,
00:26:09.920 but I'm the
00:26:10.820 one who can
00:26:11.340 ruin you. 0.87
00:26:12.800 So I'm
00:26:13.400 kind of the
00:26:13.800 real power
00:26:14.300 when it
00:26:14.600 comes to
00:26:14.900 the things
00:26:15.140 I care
00:26:15.480 about.
00:26:16.080 Not all
00:26:16.700 things in
00:26:17.080 the company,
00:26:17.600 but the
00:26:17.840 things I
00:26:18.200 care about,
00:26:19.800 the DEI
00:26:20.620 person is
00:26:21.580 the real
00:26:21.900 power.
00:26:23.200 So now
00:26:23.800 the Democrats
00:26:24.280 have a
00:26:24.780 model where
00:26:25.220 they can
00:26:25.540 cancel
00:26:25.940 anybody
00:26:26.540 because they
00:26:28.020 have the
00:26:28.800 signal they
00:26:29.680 can send
00:26:30.080 out,
00:26:30.420 the bad
00:26:30.720 signal,
00:26:31.580 Washington
00:26:31.920 Post,
00:26:32.440 Phil Bump
00:26:32.860 says,
00:26:33.340 whatever.
00:26:34.520 And then
00:26:34.840 the DEI
00:26:35.440 people,
00:26:36.140 without being
00:26:37.320 asked to
00:26:37.820 do it,
00:26:38.400 they would
00:26:38.680 just know
00:26:39.020 that that's
00:26:39.420 what they
00:26:39.680 do.
00:26:40.400 They activate
00:26:41.600 all the
00:26:42.280 sources of
00:26:43.400 money so
00:26:44.700 that anybody
00:26:45.240 who disagrees
00:26:46.020 with them
00:26:46.440 loses their
00:26:47.480 money immediately.
00:26:49.800 Now when you
00:26:50.480 lose your
00:26:50.860 money, you
00:26:51.180 also lose
00:26:51.660 your influence
00:26:52.340 usually.
00:26:54.120 Because you
00:26:54.460 can't build
00:26:55.800 your own
00:26:56.140 network,
00:26:56.740 you can't
00:26:57.080 hire people,
00:26:57.880 you can't
00:26:58.480 advertise,
00:26:59.280 you can't
00:26:59.600 put in a
00:27:00.020 book,
00:27:00.700 you can't
00:27:00.960 do anything.
00:27:02.040 So it
00:27:02.580 just reduces
00:27:03.200 your impact.
00:27:04.700 In the
00:27:06.060 intelligence
00:27:07.320 world,
00:27:08.660 it's called
00:27:09.300 reducing your
00:27:10.220 capacity.
00:27:11.600 So the
00:27:13.120 fact that
00:27:13.880 there's this
00:27:14.400 network and
00:27:15.360 structure of
00:27:16.220 NGOs and
00:27:17.220 DEI and
00:27:17.920 all that,
00:27:18.740 that would
00:27:19.140 increase the
00:27:19.960 capacity of
00:27:21.500 the Democrats
00:27:22.360 and then
00:27:23.460 they would
00:27:24.080 go after
00:27:26.220 the economic
00:27:27.040 assets of
00:27:28.040 their enemies,
00:27:29.360 like me,
00:27:30.400 and then
00:27:30.960 when we're
00:27:32.280 pressed down
00:27:33.160 by our
00:27:33.520 economic
00:27:33.940 situation,
00:27:35.120 then their
00:27:35.700 message can
00:27:36.380 rule.
00:27:37.060 I think
00:27:39.580 they largely
00:27:40.540 took Fox
00:27:42.540 News completely
00:27:43.360 out of the
00:27:43.760 game.
00:27:46.040 I think
00:27:46.760 Fox News is
00:27:47.480 just completely
00:27:48.180 neutered at
00:27:48.820 this point.
00:27:49.560 What do you
00:27:49.820 think?
00:27:51.380 So, and
00:27:52.840 try to do a
00:27:53.820 social media
00:27:55.200 search for
00:27:55.760 Breitbart.
00:27:57.220 Do you know
00:27:57.580 how hard it is
00:27:58.240 to find
00:27:58.580 Breitbart on
00:27:59.280 a search
00:27:59.640 engine?
00:28:00.440 It's not an
00:28:01.120 accident.
00:28:01.460 So the
00:28:03.860 largest
00:28:04.500 entities have
00:28:05.620 been economically
00:28:06.760 suppressed to
00:28:08.180 the point where
00:28:08.760 Biden can say
00:28:09.580 that immigration 1.00
00:28:10.260 is Trump's
00:28:10.920 fault.
00:28:14.300 Amazingly.
00:28:15.080 They can tell
00:28:15.840 you that January
00:28:16.440 6th was an
00:28:17.380 attempt to
00:28:17.940 overthrow the
00:28:18.580 country, and
00:28:19.880 half of the
00:28:20.360 country will
00:28:20.860 think that
00:28:21.240 actually happened.
00:28:23.280 They can tell
00:28:24.120 you anything,
00:28:25.360 and half the
00:28:25.820 country, their
00:28:26.460 half, will
00:28:27.780 think it
00:28:28.100 actually happened.
00:28:30.060 Super beats.
00:28:31.460 Stop it.
00:28:33.120 I'm not
00:28:33.560 talking about
00:28:34.020 super beats.
00:28:36.800 That's funny.
00:28:39.860 All right.
00:28:41.880 Now let me,
00:28:43.540 let's talk about
00:28:44.380 climate models.
00:28:46.440 I saw somebody
00:28:47.580 tweet to show
00:28:49.260 me that climate
00:28:50.360 models have in
00:28:51.240 fact been
00:28:51.760 successful, and
00:28:53.140 not only have the
00:28:53.800 climate models
00:28:54.460 successfully predicted,
00:28:56.040 but they've been
00:28:56.840 doing it for 50
00:28:58.000 years.
00:28:59.580 There are climate
00:29:00.220 models that are
00:29:00.940 50 years old
00:29:02.100 that have
00:29:03.500 accurately predicted
00:29:04.600 today's temperature.
00:29:06.420 Isn't that
00:29:06.780 amazing?
00:29:08.180 Yeah.
00:29:08.840 Would you like
00:29:09.340 me to understand
00:29:10.920 how the science
00:29:11.720 works?
00:29:13.420 Yeah.
00:29:14.220 Here's how
00:29:14.700 science works.
00:29:16.860 Somebody does
00:29:17.620 some science,
00:29:18.960 and then they
00:29:20.620 hand it off to 0.81
00:29:21.560 somebody who's a
00:29:23.200 big fucking liar
00:29:24.140 or doesn't know
00:29:25.120 how to do
00:29:25.580 statistics, and
00:29:27.800 then they do a
00:29:29.200 bunch of lying
00:29:29.780 and bad statistics.
00:29:31.520 And then the
00:29:32.060 people who are
00:29:33.180 fooled by this
00:29:34.080 say, hey, you're
00:29:35.940 going to have to
00:29:36.260 believe this
00:29:36.740 bullshit and bad
00:29:38.440 statistics and
00:29:39.920 ridiculous data,
00:29:41.380 because if you
00:29:42.120 don't, you're
00:29:43.220 anti-science, and
00:29:45.020 I've got somebody
00:29:45.940 who's going to
00:29:46.420 cancel you.
00:29:48.940 So let me see if
00:29:50.080 you can find out
00:29:50.980 that this will be a
00:29:52.260 test to see if I've
00:29:53.140 taught you anything.
00:29:54.940 If I taught you
00:29:55.580 anything.
00:29:55.880 So here's the
00:29:57.160 claim, that there
00:29:59.460 were a number of
00:30:00.520 models in the old
00:30:01.360 days, 50 years
00:30:02.260 ago, that tried to
00:30:03.680 predict the
00:30:04.480 temperature.
00:30:05.880 Some of them
00:30:06.780 didn't work, so
00:30:09.020 they were
00:30:09.320 discarded.
00:30:11.700 Others also
00:30:13.200 didn't work, but
00:30:14.660 they found that if
00:30:15.460 they tweaked it a
00:30:16.160 little bit, they
00:30:17.500 could get it to
00:30:18.760 back cast, you
00:30:19.980 know, they could
00:30:20.560 get it to match
00:30:21.620 the past a little
00:30:22.380 bit, and then
00:30:23.600 they would see if
00:30:24.120 it also matched
00:30:24.700 the future.
00:30:25.780 So there's a
00:30:26.500 little bit of
00:30:27.220 tweaking to make
00:30:29.380 sure that as you
00:30:30.340 go, you're
00:30:31.100 maximizing your,
00:30:32.640 you know, of
00:30:33.400 course, you'd like
00:30:34.360 to fix it as you
00:30:35.180 go, right?
00:30:35.980 So when you're
00:30:36.780 done, you find
00:30:38.220 that there were a
00:30:39.680 number of models
00:30:40.580 that actually did
00:30:42.700 predict the
00:30:43.540 temperature.
00:30:44.520 So that means
00:30:45.360 models work,
00:30:46.120 right?
00:30:46.580 Go.
00:30:50.320 Models work
00:30:51.160 because they have
00:30:52.140 models that
00:30:52.700 predicted the
00:30:53.360 temperature.
00:30:54.440 How can you
00:30:54.920 argue with that?
00:30:55.640 They're the
00:30:55.960 models.
00:30:56.380 They can show
00:30:56.800 you.
00:30:57.240 They can show
00:30:57.920 you that they
00:30:58.380 existed 50 years
00:30:59.440 ago, and they
00:30:59.940 can show you
00:31:00.400 you got the
00:31:00.740 right answer.
00:31:03.840 Do you all
00:31:04.620 see what's
00:31:05.000 wrong?
00:31:05.340 Yeah, okay.
00:31:05.880 There's the,
00:31:06.620 Brian got the
00:31:07.380 word I was
00:31:07.780 looking for.
00:31:08.980 Survivorship
00:31:09.300 bias.
00:31:11.240 If you throw
00:31:12.120 away the models 0.92
00:31:13.040 that don't
00:31:13.600 work, that's
00:31:16.580 not science.
00:31:18.880 That's like the
00:31:19.520 opposite of
00:31:20.020 science.
00:31:20.940 If you throw
00:31:21.640 away the models 0.92
00:31:22.220 that don't work,
00:31:23.040 it gives you
00:31:23.960 the impression
00:31:24.520 that somehow
00:31:25.640 you knew, you
00:31:26.960 could have
00:31:27.320 known that
00:31:27.800 these models
00:31:28.360 work and the
00:31:28.940 other ones
00:31:29.240 don't.
00:31:30.000 If you don't
00:31:30.900 know it when
00:31:31.400 the models are
00:31:32.060 created, which
00:31:33.620 ones are the
00:31:34.120 good ones, you
00:31:35.560 can't wait until
00:31:36.320 some of them got
00:31:37.080 lucky and say
00:31:38.380 these were
00:31:38.840 accurate the
00:31:39.440 whole time.
00:31:40.800 That's not
00:31:41.300 science.
00:31:43.240 That's the
00:31:43.880 scam.
00:31:44.900 Not only is it
00:31:45.780 a scam, it's
00:31:47.540 literally a scam.
00:31:50.420 Actual scams
00:31:51.520 are done that
00:31:52.440 way.
00:31:54.380 I've described
00:31:55.160 this before, so
00:31:55.880 I'll just do it
00:31:56.400 fast.
00:31:57.120 One of the ways
00:31:57.700 you could do a
00:31:58.600 scam is I'll
00:31:59.500 send you an
00:31:59.960 email and you'll
00:32:01.740 get the email and
00:32:02.400 it'll say, if you
00:32:03.740 buy this stock
00:32:04.520 today, I guarantee
00:32:05.360 it'll go up.
00:32:06.120 You're like, nobody
00:32:07.020 can predict stocks,
00:32:08.460 so you ignore it.
00:32:09.680 Next day they say,
00:32:10.740 it went up, and
00:32:12.900 here's another one.
00:32:14.020 The next one I
00:32:14.760 picked to go up is
00:32:15.720 this one, and
00:32:16.180 you're like, eh,
00:32:17.420 got lucky once, and
00:32:19.040 then the next few
00:32:20.300 days you get
00:32:20.780 another email, two
00:32:21.940 in a row, and you
00:32:23.140 can check for
00:32:23.640 yourself.
00:32:24.620 You can look at
00:32:25.160 your first email,
00:32:26.220 sure enough, recommended
00:32:27.800 these stocks, then
00:32:29.100 you can look at what
00:32:29.800 the actual price is,
00:32:30.820 and sure enough, the
00:32:32.320 two stocks that this
00:32:33.360 stranger picked and
00:32:34.760 wants you to invest
00:32:35.660 with them, they both
00:32:37.040 went up, two for
00:32:37.860 two.
00:32:39.020 Then they do it a
00:32:39.920 third time, three in
00:32:41.680 a row, and they
00:32:42.660 don't just go up,
00:32:43.460 they go up quite a
00:32:44.200 bit.
00:32:44.440 If you see three
00:32:46.320 in a row where
00:32:46.940 they call their
00:32:47.500 shot before the
00:32:48.600 shot, you're pretty
00:32:50.660 convinced, because
00:32:51.680 three out of three
00:32:52.220 is kind of hard, if
00:32:53.240 it goes up
00:32:53.920 substantially, that's
00:32:55.160 really hard.
00:32:56.060 So you give them
00:32:56.720 your money, and
00:32:58.860 then it turns out
00:32:59.400 to be a scam.
00:33:00.440 How did they get
00:33:01.280 three in a row?
00:33:02.980 Here's how.
00:33:04.820 They wrote lots
00:33:05.920 of emails to lots
00:33:07.140 of people, and
00:33:08.380 they gave different
00:33:09.320 recommendations to
00:33:10.600 the people.
00:33:12.360 Most of them were
00:33:13.300 wrong, so they
00:33:14.620 never email that
00:33:15.500 group again, because
00:33:16.620 that group doesn't
00:33:17.280 trust them.
00:33:18.100 But some of them
00:33:18.920 were right because
00:33:19.620 they got lucky.
00:33:21.040 It's just a subset,
00:33:22.180 they got lucky.
00:33:23.400 So now they say,
00:33:24.320 just to the lucky
00:33:25.000 people, here's my
00:33:26.120 new recommendation,
00:33:28.080 but again, they
00:33:28.700 don't give them one
00:33:29.340 recommendation, they
00:33:30.800 give even the new
00:33:31.640 smaller group a bunch
00:33:33.180 of new recommendations.
00:33:34.580 Again, a few of
00:33:36.140 them end up with
00:33:37.380 two in a row, just
00:33:38.940 luck.
00:33:39.340 And then they
00:33:40.980 repeat, and then
00:33:41.940 there's even a
00:33:42.540 smaller group, they
00:33:43.300 get three in a row
00:33:44.020 right, they throw
00:33:45.280 their money at you.
00:33:46.700 They throw their
00:33:47.620 money at you.
00:33:48.860 Because once you
00:33:49.640 see three in a row,
00:33:50.480 you're like, okay,
00:33:51.160 this is real.
00:33:52.660 And then you find
00:33:53.320 out it was always
00:33:54.100 just random.
00:33:56.200 That's what the
00:33:56.900 climate models are.
00:33:58.960 If they're tweaking
00:33:59.960 the models as they
00:34:01.000 go, of course you
00:34:05.220 can tweak it until
00:34:06.040 it matches the
00:34:06.780 current situation and
00:34:08.080 the past, of course
00:34:09.480 you can.
00:34:10.260 You can tweak any
00:34:11.180 model until it
00:34:12.040 hindcasts correctly.
00:34:14.360 You just change your
00:34:15.100 assumptions until it
00:34:16.000 does.
00:34:16.640 That doesn't mean it
00:34:17.520 predicts.
00:34:19.160 It just means you
00:34:20.140 can tweak it until it
00:34:21.060 matches the past.
00:34:22.580 And if you throw
00:34:23.560 away enough models,
00:34:24.620 and there are enough
00:34:25.200 different ones, some
00:34:26.800 of them are 100%
00:34:28.140 likely to be closer
00:34:29.200 than others, and
00:34:31.240 some of them might be
00:34:32.000 real close, and then
00:34:32.780 you say, well, these
00:34:33.480 are good models.
00:34:34.060 models.
00:34:34.940 Now, the real
00:34:36.960 test is to take any
00:34:38.800 one of those models
00:34:39.580 that worked over the
00:34:40.380 last 50 years, never
00:34:42.060 change them again,
00:34:43.380 don't touch them, see
00:34:45.160 how they do for the
00:34:45.840 next 50.
00:34:47.120 Do you think they're
00:34:47.660 going to do the next
00:34:48.260 50 because they did
00:34:49.100 the last 50?
00:34:50.340 No.
00:34:51.340 Do you know why?
00:34:52.660 Nobody can predict
00:34:53.780 the future.
00:34:55.240 There's no such thing
00:34:56.400 as a model that
00:34:57.320 predicts the future.
00:34:58.840 In very narrow
00:35:00.520 circumstances, sometimes
00:35:02.240 an economic model
00:35:03.660 will be useful, but I
00:35:06.120 did economic models
00:35:07.100 for a living.
00:35:08.460 That was my
00:35:09.000 background, economics,
00:35:10.320 business, and I
00:35:11.360 would do financial
00:35:12.700 projections for big
00:35:14.240 companies.
00:35:16.060 And the one thing
00:35:18.160 we all knew is you
00:35:19.340 couldn't predict more
00:35:20.200 than six months, and
00:35:23.140 after that, everything
00:35:23.860 just goes, you know,
00:35:25.760 polywumpus.
00:35:27.420 So we had no belief
00:35:30.520 that we could actually
00:35:31.260 predict the things we
00:35:32.340 were predicting, but
00:35:33.720 you can sometimes tell
00:35:35.020 what is the range of
00:35:36.120 possibilities.
00:35:37.580 So that's really all
00:35:38.580 you can get out of a
00:35:39.780 financial prediction.
00:35:41.400 It's sort of a range.
00:35:42.540 Well, it's not going to
00:35:43.220 be way up here, and
00:35:45.060 probably it's not going
00:35:46.140 to be way down here,
00:35:46.860 but it might be in this
00:35:47.720 cone somewhere, and
00:35:49.500 that could be useful.
00:35:51.140 But usually we just did
00:35:52.940 things we thought we
00:35:53.840 wanted to do and then
00:35:54.680 made the numbers
00:35:55.500 correspond to what we'd
00:35:56.800 already decided.
00:35:58.160 Like everywhere.
00:35:58.940 just like everywhere.
00:36:01.580 If you think that the
00:36:02.900 climate change people
00:36:04.520 are the only ones who
00:36:06.000 are not tweaking the
00:36:07.600 model to make it do
00:36:08.460 whatever they want, but
00:36:09.920 every other industry is.
00:36:12.140 Right?
00:36:12.440 Every other industry is,
00:36:13.640 and I guarantee that.
00:36:15.140 But not these guys.
00:36:16.480 It's the one place?
00:36:17.860 Oh, the one place where
00:36:18.820 the people who make
00:36:19.460 models that predict the
00:36:20.980 future are actually doing
00:36:22.280 it.
00:36:23.060 They can do magic.
00:36:24.400 They can see the future.
00:36:25.860 No, nobody can see the
00:36:26.740 future.
00:36:26.920 You don't know what's
00:36:28.460 going to be invented
00:36:29.180 tomorrow.
00:36:30.440 I mean, the other day I
00:36:31.260 saw there was some new
00:36:33.300 battery technology, maybe
00:36:35.240 with aluminum.
00:36:36.640 I think it was aluminum.
00:36:38.260 Instead of the current
00:36:41.100 battery technology, it was
00:36:42.240 supposed to be lighter and
00:36:43.540 more dense and better in
00:36:45.380 every way.
00:36:46.740 Well, which climate model
00:36:48.360 predicted that?
00:36:50.700 Right?
00:36:52.200 So, yeah, instead of
00:36:53.540 lithium.
00:36:54.840 Right.
00:36:55.060 So, yes, climate models
00:36:56.960 are BS and always will
00:36:58.600 be.
00:36:59.780 Well, there's shocking new
00:37:02.180 data on a study that says
00:37:04.060 the Mexican organized crime
00:37:07.680 groups are the fifth largest
00:37:09.560 employer in the country, and
00:37:11.640 there are 175,000 members in
00:37:14.760 organized crime in Mexico.
00:37:16.440 So, now, obviously, if the
00:37:26.960 cartels are getting bigger, what
00:37:29.240 can we conclude for sure?
00:37:31.900 Well, we can conclude that for
00:37:33.840 reasons that are mysterious, the
00:37:36.460 cartels are the only thing that 0.84
00:37:38.120 the CIA can't shut down.
00:37:40.300 They can overthrow entire
00:37:42.080 countries, but they can't shut 0.97
00:37:45.400 down the cartels.
00:37:46.340 They just get bigger every
00:37:47.220 year.
00:37:47.720 Huh.
00:37:48.300 What could possibly explain
00:37:49.980 that?
00:37:52.620 Could it be that the
00:37:54.880 cartels also protect some
00:37:57.080 things that the CIA wants
00:37:58.800 protected, such as maybe some
00:38:01.780 businesses in Mexico that
00:38:03.480 would rather have the cartels
00:38:05.520 protect them than attack them?
00:38:08.580 Maybe.
00:38:09.740 Maybe the CIA would like that to
00:38:11.420 happen, because, you know,
00:38:12.800 they're on the side of business.
00:38:15.400 Yeah.
00:38:16.380 Now, I don't know what's going
00:38:18.480 on there.
00:38:18.960 I'm just saying that there is a
00:38:22.700 big mystery about why we're
00:38:24.420 ineffective in this one area.
00:38:26.900 And I can't think of any reason
00:38:28.440 we'd be this ineffective,
00:38:29.880 including keeping the border
00:38:31.180 open as it is, unless we wanted
00:38:33.500 to.
00:38:34.680 Unless we wanted to.
00:38:37.400 So, there's that.
00:38:40.580 I did see that, at least somebody
00:38:46.340 is making a run at the fact
00:38:48.660 that this is in the Wall Street
00:38:50.900 Journal, so not a left-leaning
00:38:54.300 publication.
00:38:55.300 So, this is the Wall Street
00:38:56.160 Journal, which is what made it
00:38:57.300 notable.
00:38:58.200 And the Wall Street Journal says
00:38:59.420 that the immigration is already
00:39:00.980 good for the economy.
00:39:02.560 Like, this mass over-immigration 1.00
00:39:04.700 is already a plus for the economy.
00:39:08.400 Do you believe that?
00:39:09.020 The argument is that we were
00:39:12.440 so hurting for labor, when I say
00:39:15.540 we, certain businesses, industries,
00:39:18.060 they were so hurting for labor
00:39:19.320 that it's basically a lifeline.
00:39:22.480 The immigration is the only way 1.00
00:39:23.680 they can stay in business.
00:39:25.560 And that, you know, the immigrants 1.00
00:39:28.860 are adding a certain amount of
00:39:30.540 economic activity that pays for
00:39:33.160 them to be there, and we don't
00:39:34.360 make enough babies.
00:39:35.340 So, our economy would be in
00:39:38.300 serious trouble, because we don't
00:39:40.660 make babies.
00:39:41.860 And the only way we could survive
00:39:43.280 is massive immigration.
00:39:45.600 Now, I don't think that explains
00:39:47.440 why we're seeing it.
00:39:49.480 Do you?
00:39:50.800 Because if you were doing it for
00:39:52.480 the purpose of your economy,
00:39:55.860 the way you would launder that
00:39:57.780 opinion is you'd have some, you know,
00:39:59.600 board of economics experts,
00:40:01.640 experts, and then they would tell
00:40:03.380 you what kind of people to allow
00:40:04.960 in, you know, what skills we need,
00:40:06.920 and how many, and maybe from where,
00:40:09.860 I don't know.
00:40:10.800 But if you were trying to make this
00:40:12.940 an economic policy, you know,
00:40:15.740 explicitly, hey, this is good for
00:40:17.280 the country, because we're not
00:40:18.640 making enough babies, you would do
00:40:20.780 it differently.
00:40:22.000 You wouldn't do it by pretending
00:40:24.160 you're doing border security, but
00:40:25.800 doing it poorly.
00:40:26.500 That's just not the way you'd
00:40:29.180 approach it.
00:40:30.160 You would do it right out front,
00:40:31.760 because there's nothing to hide.
00:40:33.920 You would have nothing to hide
00:40:35.600 if you made the argument, we need
00:40:37.760 more people, and we don't have
00:40:39.900 another way to get them.
00:40:41.280 In fact, I think I could be
00:40:42.540 persuaded by that argument, because
00:40:44.420 I've made the same argument.
00:40:46.200 I've made the same argument that as
00:40:48.760 disruptive as immigration is now, 1.00
00:40:51.500 and it's plenty disruptive, probably
00:40:54.240 it's additive, in the long run.
00:40:57.380 It might take 10 years, but, well,
00:41:02.060 let me say it this way.
00:41:02.980 If we shut the border completely
00:41:04.700 today, and all we did is work
00:41:08.000 through the system that people have
00:41:09.380 already come in, I'm pretty sure
00:41:11.260 we'd come out ahead, because people
00:41:13.820 are money.
00:41:15.060 In our country, when there are plenty
00:41:16.760 of jobs, because we don't have a
00:41:18.440 shortage of jobs.
00:41:19.720 So if you have jobs, you just add
00:41:22.600 people, that's the whole economy.
00:41:25.840 Jobs exist, not enough people, add
00:41:28.480 some people, boom, problem solved.
00:41:30.560 So in all likelihood, as horrible
00:41:33.360 as our current system of bringing
00:41:36.040 people in, and of course they're
00:41:39.000 bringing in crime, and there must be
00:41:40.500 terrorists, and everything else in
00:41:41.700 these groups.
00:41:42.700 So, you know, the terrorists of the
00:41:44.140 crimes and all that have to be netted
00:41:46.200 out.
00:41:46.480 But even with that net, it's probably
00:41:49.740 cash positive.
00:41:51.480 Not right away, though.
00:41:53.160 You know, in the short term, cash
00:41:58.260 negative for sure.
00:42:02.720 Well, yeah, I see what you're saying.
00:42:04.780 It depends what part of the country
00:42:06.000 they come from.
00:42:07.180 And I think that's where I'm sure this
00:42:12.040 is not intentional for economic reasons.
00:42:14.680 So the fact that the immigration is 0.92
00:42:17.620 coming from everywhere is strongly
00:42:20.400 suggestive that the government is not
00:42:22.160 in control of the process.
00:42:24.360 And there might be some net positive
00:42:26.160 that comes from it, but it doesn't
00:42:27.920 look intentional.
00:42:29.420 It looks like there's some other reason
00:42:31.040 for the immigration that's not 0.99
00:42:33.140 stated.
00:42:36.340 My best guess is that the cartels want
00:42:38.960 it because it's good for the cartel
00:42:40.480 business, and that we either have too
00:42:43.900 many people working with them or
00:42:45.560 afraid of them or bribed by them or
00:42:47.760 blackmailed by them, that the U.S. 0.92
00:42:50.320 government doesn't have any power over
00:42:52.400 them, which would suggest that the
00:42:54.320 cartels have power over the United
00:42:55.760 States.
00:42:57.040 Let me put it a different way.
00:42:58.900 There's no way in hell that somebody
00:43:01.160 who lives inside the United States is
00:43:04.520 behind the mass immigration.
00:43:05.900 I don't see it.
00:43:09.800 I just don't see it.
00:43:13.280 And if you think Soros is behind it,
00:43:15.480 you're going to have to ask the second
00:43:16.900 question, who's behind Soros?
00:43:19.480 And all signs point to the same entity.
00:43:23.940 I don't know, but they all point to the
00:43:26.360 same place.
00:43:26.880 All right, you'll be amazed that Ukraine
00:43:32.680 has breached the main Russian defensive
00:43:35.720 line in the southeast of the country, and
00:43:38.180 their armored vehicles have gone through.
00:43:40.420 It's a significant milestone for the three
00:43:43.600 and a half month counteroffensive, and it
00:43:45.680 looks like they're aimed at cutting the
00:43:47.420 Russians occupying army in two, because
00:43:50.420 that's totally true.
00:43:55.640 Does anybody believe that the Ukrainians 1.00
00:43:58.320 have a substantial breakthrough?
00:44:01.460 Yeah.
00:44:02.940 It seems far more likely that the Russians 1.00
00:44:05.480 have created a weak spot so that they
00:44:09.160 would break through, so that they just
00:44:11.280 enter a kill box, and then when they're
00:44:13.860 done killing them, they'll shore it back 1.00
00:44:15.660 up again.
00:44:17.660 To me, it looks like a trick.
00:44:20.420 Because apparently they are taking heavy
00:44:23.140 losses, so even though they got humans
00:44:25.720 on the other side of the line, most of
00:44:28.080 the humans are not in mechanical vehicles
00:44:30.200 anymore, because they all got whacked.
00:44:33.840 So the news was trying to make it look like
00:44:36.080 it was a plus for Ukraine, that although
00:44:39.120 they tried to come across in their armored
00:44:42.260 vehicles, the armored vehicles were largely
00:44:44.920 taken out, but the people inside lived in
00:44:48.700 many cases.
00:44:50.220 So the humans made it across the line.
00:44:53.720 What would be less good for the Ukrainians 1.00
00:44:57.420 than to have all of their exposed humans, who
00:45:00.840 are their most limited resource, is the
00:45:05.400 humans, they're running out of people.
00:45:07.640 So now the people will be outside of armored
00:45:09.680 vehicles and behind the lines of the Russians.
00:45:13.000 How long are they going to live?
00:45:17.500 I mean, every part of this looks like a Russian 1.00
00:45:19.740 trap to me.
00:45:20.800 It's reported as a Ukrainian success, but if they
00:45:25.080 got their success and they lost their mechanical, they
00:45:29.740 lost their tanks and their armored vehicles, and they're
00:45:33.540 just running around with guns on the other side, that
00:45:37.820 doesn't look like a win.
00:45:39.500 That looks like a kill box.
00:45:41.980 I mean, with my vast military experience, I say.
00:45:45.120 I'm just saying it doesn't look like a win.
00:45:47.260 That's all I'll say.
00:45:48.920 It doesn't look like a win.
00:45:52.220 But I won't rule it out.
00:45:53.980 I mean, anything's possible.
00:45:55.420 Maybe there will be a breakthrough at some point.
00:45:58.220 Don't know.
00:45:58.680 But I would not bet any money on that.
00:46:03.760 And that, ladies and gentlemen, is all I needed to
00:46:07.040 talk about today.
00:46:07.960 Did I miss any big stories?
00:46:10.200 Is there anything I missed?
00:46:13.140 And not every tank crewman has a gun, but they
00:46:15.740 probably could find one.
00:46:23.000 Armenia.
00:46:26.040 Yeah, I don't have a tank on Armenia.
00:46:28.680 Do you think that Pence mentioning troops makes it
00:46:35.660 likely we'll put soldiers on the ground?
00:46:38.180 I can't see it happening.
00:46:40.540 So let me take the temperature.
00:46:43.680 Do you think we're going to have soldiers on the
00:46:45.560 ground in Ukraine fighting Russians?
00:46:48.480 I mean, I assume we have some in secret who are like
00:46:51.020 advisors and stuff.
00:46:51.920 I don't see that any administration could survive
00:46:55.920 that.
00:46:58.680 I don't see it.
00:47:00.300 Yeah.
00:47:03.040 So you know what would be interesting if Trump ran,
00:47:06.020 instead of running against Biden, let's say Biden is the
00:47:09.040 actual candidate.
00:47:10.420 But I always wondered what would happen if he just said he
00:47:13.380 was running against the CIA.
00:47:16.220 or he was running against, you know, some kind of machine.
00:47:23.360 He's not really running against Biden.
00:47:24.980 So my assumption is that they tried to get rid of Biden and it
00:47:38.520 didn't work, meaning that Biden needed to keep his job, probably
00:47:43.040 so he could cover his tracks and make more money and keep Hunter
00:47:46.080 out of jail.
00:47:46.900 So I think that he was probably pressured to leave or to not run.
00:47:51.280 And he decided that he was going to be stubborn.
00:47:56.100 So now it turns out they're going to send Gavin Newsom to be the
00:48:00.420 person on the ground around the GOP debates so that Gavin will be the
00:48:05.400 counter message.
00:48:07.680 They're very much keeping Gavin in the news, aren't they?
00:48:11.360 Have you noticed?
00:48:12.020 He's always in the news, just sort of hanging around.
00:48:15.120 So it does look, the people who say they're going to wait to the last
00:48:19.920 minute and slot him in there without a convention, you know, maybe even
00:48:24.140 wait until after the convention and then Biden steps down and they slip
00:48:28.760 him in somehow at the last minute, very much could happen.
00:48:33.000 But here's what I think.
00:48:35.300 I think that Biden doesn't want that to happen because I think he actually
00:48:40.960 wants to win again and I think that the Democrats are just keeping him
00:48:46.200 around, you know, governor under glass, breaking case of emergency, but that's
00:48:52.320 the best they can do.
00:48:54.680 So I think it's going to be a hilarious race and watching Biden decompose and
00:49:02.580 watching Democrats explain that it's not so bad is going to be funny.
00:49:06.920 And watching, you know, Fetterman and Feinstein and Biden and Harris try to speak
00:49:14.880 and walk and act is going to be hilarious.
00:49:18.140 There's a lot that's just funny at this point.
00:49:27.980 Are you sure Gruesome Newsom's the man?
00:49:30.340 Well, I'm sure he's the one that's chosen.
00:49:32.260 So let's talk about Michelle Obama because who was it?
00:49:40.720 Ted Cruz, he said that he believes Biden will not be the 2024 nominee and that
00:49:47.240 they will parachute in Michelle Obama.
00:49:51.440 How many of you think that Michelle Obama will be the replacement?
00:49:56.400 I'm going to put that at zero.
00:49:57.800 It's weird to hear Ted Cruz suggest it because there are a lot of things I would say, well,
00:50:05.020 that's a 10% chance or 20% chance, but I'm pretty sure that's zero.
00:50:10.940 How could they possibly win putting in somebody that they wouldn't even pretend disqualified?
00:50:17.540 That's not even pretending.
00:50:19.520 I mean, even Democrats would understand she was the spouse.
00:50:23.340 At least Hillary had the, you know, she had the experience of, you know, 0.97
00:50:29.840 government before she ran for president.
00:50:33.260 Now, I don't think there's any chance, but the funniest comment I saw from somebody on X
00:50:38.960 is that the reason that Michelle Obama will come out as trans and, quote,
00:50:49.340 that's why we have been softened up.
00:50:51.200 So one person's theory, I don't buy this theory, all right, so this is not me.
00:50:56.780 I just thought it was a funny, funny that somebody has this theory, that the whole trans conversation
00:51:02.700 has been a way to soften the country's minds up so they can drop in Michelle Obama. 0.97
00:51:10.780 She'll come public as trans and then become president and they'll have our first trans president 0.99
00:51:16.640 that we know of.
00:51:20.200 I don't think any of that's going to happen, and I don't think that the country has been softened up
00:51:24.600 for this possibility, and I don't think she's a man.
00:51:28.060 I don't think she's a man.
00:51:29.620 I'm not 100% sure.
00:51:33.800 Well, let me put this in a better comparison.
00:51:37.720 Listen, I'm 100% sure she's not going to run for president.
00:51:42.500 I'm not 100% sure she's a woman. 0.86
00:51:46.660 I'm 95% sure.
00:51:49.800 95%.
00:51:50.280 But not 100%.
00:51:53.760 But, you know, I'm not sure I would say anything different about most of you.
00:52:00.540 If I met you in person, would I be 100% sure of your gender?
00:52:06.220 100%?
00:52:07.500 I don't know.
00:52:08.640 Depends who I'm talking to.
00:52:12.360 Well, do you buy the idea that the young men who are coming up are going to reject wokeness
00:52:21.220 and change things?
00:52:24.580 I heard from quite a few people who say,
00:52:27.560 oh yeah, that's my kids.
00:52:30.540 Now, let me tell you what I've heard a lot of times,
00:52:32.800 and then I'll tell you what I've heard zero times.
00:52:35.820 I've heard a lot of reports of kids hating wokeness in all of its forms.
00:52:43.720 I've heard zero stories of somebody in school who was pushing wokeness.
00:52:51.820 None.
00:52:52.800 Not once.
00:52:53.700 Now, I'm not talking about inclusivity, because that is pushed,
00:52:58.060 you know, to make sure that everybody's included and stuff.
00:53:00.240 That's definitely pushed.
00:53:01.460 But that's not a bad impulse, and that's not even political.
00:53:05.200 But, you know, the true woke stuff,
00:53:07.460 I'm going to cancel you for the wrong pronouns and stuff. 1.00
00:53:10.140 Nope.
00:53:11.700 I think there are zero boys on that page,
00:53:14.520 and I haven't heard of any girls.
00:53:15.900 I'm imagining there are, but I haven't heard of any.
00:53:28.700 We can't get libs of TikTok.
00:53:31.840 What?
00:53:32.240 Who do I talk to that's still in school?
00:53:38.960 That's a fucked up question.
00:53:44.460 Yeah.
00:53:45.660 I know you want to, like...
00:53:48.460 Let me just say, I suspect that that's a fucked up question.
00:53:53.380 If you live in the real world, you know lots of people who have kids.
00:53:58.240 I've got my own stepkids.
00:54:02.440 Everybody's around kids.
00:54:03.680 Unless you live in, like, an old folks' home or something, 1.00
00:54:06.920 it's hard to avoid the real world.
00:54:14.360 Mind reading.
00:54:15.080 Mind reading.
00:54:15.180 Why are you trying to influence to believe it is okay?
00:54:25.460 That what is okay?
00:54:27.200 I don't even know what you're talking about.
00:54:31.880 The aliens in Mexico just sort of went away, didn't they?
00:54:39.020 Oh, yeah.
00:54:40.260 New Jersey Senator Menendez was indicted for bribery.
00:54:45.180 It sounds like they might have the goods on him
00:54:48.760 because it involved gold bars.
00:54:52.340 Apparently, he accepted, like, $400,000 worth of gold bars for something.
00:55:05.160 Hey.
00:55:06.400 Thank you for buying my book.
00:55:07.780 Thank you.
00:55:15.180 Oh, yeah.
00:55:17.060 Ken Paxton and...
00:55:19.040 So, Attorney General Paxton was on Tucker's show.
00:55:23.920 And Ken Paxton has the same belief that many of you have,
00:55:28.620 which is the discontinuing of the counting on election night in 2020,
00:55:34.400 followed by the, you know, huge spike in Democrat votes
00:55:38.360 that didn't look organic is definite proof
00:55:42.820 that the election was rigged.
00:55:45.480 Now, that's Ken Paxton's point of view.
00:55:48.440 And Tucker seemed to be nodding along with that.
00:55:51.280 And how many of you would be on the same page?
00:55:53.940 How many of you would say,
00:55:55.440 that really is a strong signal of fraud?
00:55:58.760 Now, how many of you have heard the official explanation
00:56:04.960 of why it happened?
00:56:07.380 How many could tell me in the comments,
00:56:09.440 what's the other side's story?
00:56:11.740 I'm not saying it's true,
00:56:13.680 but could you tell me the other side's story?
00:56:16.560 Like, why that made sense and it's just natural?
00:56:19.520 Well, water leak was one location,
00:56:24.280 but it wasn't just a one-location problem, right?
00:56:30.840 Weren't they just waiting for some stuff to come in?
00:56:35.380 Well, so the official story is that the...
00:56:39.520 If you're counting the ballots that were drop-box ballots,
00:56:45.000 that they're highly weighted toward Democrats.
00:56:48.100 So if you counted the regular votes during the day,
00:56:52.260 it would look close.
00:56:53.600 If you counted only the mail-in ballots
00:56:56.600 that had been done in some cases,
00:56:58.840 you know, well before the election,
00:57:00.440 those would be heavily Democrat.
00:57:02.880 So the official story,
00:57:04.660 I don't know what's true,
00:57:06.620 but the official story would look exactly the same.
00:57:11.860 Now, I hear you when you say,
00:57:13.640 I'm not buying it,
00:57:14.780 because we've been lied to so many times
00:57:17.080 that not buying it is always a good take.
00:57:20.300 But what's wrong with the...
00:57:22.460 What's wrong...
00:57:23.580 Is there anything logically or factually wrong
00:57:26.080 with the claim that the only thing that happened
00:57:28.740 is that's when they started seriously counting
00:57:31.420 the mailed-in early votes ballots?
00:57:35.680 Is there anything wrong with that...
00:57:38.080 that explanation?
00:57:45.800 Why just those states?
00:57:47.160 Because those are the states
00:57:48.340 where they stopped counting for a while.
00:57:53.940 It wouldn't be 100% Biden,
00:57:55.720 but that's not the claim.
00:57:57.100 The claim is not that it was 100% Biden.
00:57:59.660 Just that there was more Biden.
00:58:01.280 But the Biden votes could have easily been
00:58:05.080 three or four to one, right?
00:58:07.240 I don't know what the actual ratio is,
00:58:08.960 but there's such a difference in who votes by mail
00:58:12.520 that I think it's like a three to four to one
00:58:15.440 Democrat advantage.
00:58:16.900 Yeah, so the competing...
00:58:22.460 The two theories are this.
00:58:24.720 One theory is that the reason they stopped
00:58:27.200 is to find out how many they needed to fake
00:58:30.280 because they didn't want to fake more than they needed to.
00:58:33.660 It fits the observation, wouldn't you say?
00:58:36.540 The hypothesis that the only reason it was stopped
00:58:40.240 was to count the votes they needed
00:58:42.040 and they ship in the fakes,
00:58:44.360 that fits the observation.
00:58:45.500 But does it also not fit the observation
00:58:49.040 that it's exactly what they said,
00:58:51.620 which is they stopped the votes.
00:58:53.680 It might have been a water leak.
00:58:54.880 It might have been some other reason.
00:58:56.460 But when they restarted them,
00:58:58.080 they were into the mail-in ballots
00:58:59.620 and they were four to one for Biden,
00:59:01.720 and that's all it was.
00:59:04.540 What's wrong with that?
00:59:05.500 It fits observation.
00:59:10.120 Now, whether or not the water leak was real,
00:59:12.580 it wasn't just one place that stopped counting, was it?
00:59:18.440 I mean, they could have just gone home
00:59:19.960 and wanted to, you know, give some sleep
00:59:21.820 and take a shower or something.
00:59:23.360 They might have just been there all day.
00:59:26.220 So it wasn't four to one,
00:59:28.520 but there was some big advantage
00:59:29.820 in Democrats' mail-in votes.
00:59:33.460 All right, so here's my problem
00:59:36.220 with Ken Paxton.
00:59:38.240 And this is a persuasion lesson for you.
00:59:41.560 If there are two hypotheses
00:59:43.480 for why something happened,
00:59:46.440 one is, you know, hugely provocative,
00:59:49.900 the other one would be sort of normal.
00:59:52.840 It might not be true,
00:59:54.460 but it would fit in the category
00:59:55.900 of normal things happening.
00:59:57.100 If you say that you believe
00:59:59.740 the extraordinary one,
01:00:01.140 the provocative one,
01:00:02.620 and you spend zero time
01:00:04.580 talking about what the other side said
01:00:06.960 was the actual explanation,
01:00:09.380 you're full of shit. 0.93
01:00:12.440 So Ken Braxton is full of shit.
01:00:16.000 You might not be wrong.
01:00:17.800 You might not be wrong.
01:00:19.200 I'm not judging the accuracy of the claim.
01:00:21.500 I'm saying that if you go on television
01:00:23.160 in a big venue like that,
01:00:25.040 and you say there's one reason
01:00:27.100 this could have happened
01:00:27.920 when the other reason has been offered
01:00:29.740 and also fits the facts,
01:00:32.540 I lose all...
01:00:35.080 You have no credibility after that.
01:00:37.240 No credibility.
01:00:38.800 It wouldn't matter if you were
01:00:39.800 a Republican or Democrat.
01:00:41.220 If you walk into that situation
01:00:42.720 and you ignore the other explanation,
01:00:46.000 then you can be ignored
01:00:48.020 for anything else you say.
01:00:50.280 Your credibility is at zero
01:00:52.100 at that point.
01:00:52.820 Now, here's what credibility
01:00:56.400 would have sounded like.
01:00:58.360 Had he said,
01:00:59.700 well, their claim was
01:01:00.960 that it's just because
01:01:02.780 there are more mail-in votes
01:01:03.820 for Democrats.
01:01:05.220 Here's why that doesn't make sense.
01:01:08.420 But where's that?
01:01:10.860 I've been hearing
01:01:11.740 the official explanation forever,
01:01:14.100 but not once,
01:01:15.760 not once,
01:01:17.060 have I heard anybody say,
01:01:18.560 here's why the official explanation
01:01:20.180 doesn't add up.
01:01:22.680 I've never heard that.
01:01:24.260 Have you?
01:01:26.720 Seems like the most obvious thing
01:01:28.300 you'd hear.
01:01:29.160 I've never heard it.
01:01:31.820 So,
01:01:32.520 if somebody has an argument
01:01:34.200 of why the official,
01:01:35.760 the official explanation
01:01:37.380 doesn't work,
01:01:39.100 it might be a good argument.
01:01:41.320 And I'm completely open to it.
01:01:43.000 Because when Paxton and Tucker say,
01:01:45.920 this looks super suspicious,
01:01:48.440 I see it too.
01:01:50.480 Right?
01:01:50.780 Don't get on me like I'm blind.
01:01:52.420 You can't see it.
01:01:53.240 I see it.
01:01:54.260 I see it just as clearly
01:01:55.500 as you do.
01:01:56.400 I'm just saying that
01:01:57.460 when you listen to somebody
01:01:58.420 who doesn't even give
01:01:59.380 a moment
01:02:00.500 to the fact that there's
01:02:02.340 a fairly solid
01:02:04.600 counter-explanation
01:02:06.180 that also fits
01:02:07.200 the observed facts,
01:02:09.200 then I can't take you
01:02:10.380 seriously after that.
01:02:13.000 Democrats stole it
01:02:19.260 fair and square.
01:02:20.240 That's sort of where I'm at.
01:02:22.120 Where I'm at
01:02:22.820 is if they cheated better,
01:02:24.180 they won.
01:02:25.560 I thought that on day one.
01:02:27.340 I've never changed the fact
01:02:29.080 that I congratulated Biden
01:02:31.220 as soon as the race was called.
01:02:32.720 I've never backed off from that.
01:02:34.780 He became the president that day.
01:02:37.500 He's still the president.
01:02:39.520 Because if he cheated and won,
01:02:41.960 well, I guess the system
01:02:44.020 allowed that.
01:02:45.000 You don't think there were
01:02:45.760 any Republicans
01:02:46.700 who cheated a little?
01:02:48.440 I don't know.
01:02:49.740 But that's the game.
01:02:51.520 So if cheating's just
01:02:52.800 built into the game,
01:02:54.180 one side cheats better,
01:02:56.160 I give them the win.
01:02:57.860 You got the win.
01:02:59.160 Congratulations, Mr. President.
01:03:00.380 I wish it were otherwise,
01:03:03.540 but that's the way it is.
01:03:09.280 Scott, are we having a world moment?
01:03:11.800 I don't know what that means.
01:03:14.340 Yeah, the voter ID laws
01:03:15.840 are automatically registering
01:03:17.360 some people.
01:03:18.920 And again,
01:03:19.700 if that's why the Democrats win,
01:03:21.760 well played.
01:03:22.480 If the Democrats win
01:03:24.540 because they made it easier
01:03:26.200 to register migrants
01:03:28.500 and so they can illegally vote,
01:03:32.520 well played.
01:03:33.860 Good job.
01:03:35.060 I don't think that's going
01:03:36.040 to be the big thing.
01:03:37.200 I don't imagine
01:03:38.280 most of the immigrants
01:03:39.140 caring about voting.
01:03:41.720 The fact that they could vote
01:03:43.280 doesn't seem related
01:03:44.360 to the fact that they might.
01:03:45.920 I just don't see it happening.
01:03:48.900 You know,
01:03:49.120 the ones who came in this year,
01:03:50.840 how many people
01:03:52.520 who walked over the border
01:03:53.880 this year
01:03:54.860 are going to vote?
01:03:57.880 You know,
01:03:58.280 even they're not allowed to,
01:04:00.240 but technically
01:04:01.340 they could probably
01:04:01.920 get away with it
01:04:02.580 if they had the right ID.
01:04:04.080 But who's going to do it?
01:04:06.700 I don't know.
01:04:07.280 Maybe if you pay them
01:04:08.140 or something.
01:04:09.960 It seems like
01:04:10.860 not even a risk
01:04:11.740 they would take money for
01:04:12.700 because it's pretty hard
01:04:13.980 to get here.
01:04:15.080 You know,
01:04:15.400 you don't want to be
01:04:16.000 sent back
01:04:16.620 and have to come back again.
01:04:18.560 So I would think
01:04:19.520 that they would not take
01:04:20.540 a chance
01:04:21.520 on something
01:04:21.960 as inconsequential
01:04:23.080 as one vote
01:04:23.920 in an election
01:04:25.060 that they don't even know
01:04:25.920 who's running.
01:04:33.420 All right.
01:04:37.180 They won't be involved.
01:04:42.640 Yeah, maybe.
01:04:47.000 How do we defeat the machine?
01:04:48.540 I don't think you can.
01:04:50.540 Maybe you need to join them.
01:04:54.200 Maybe we should all
01:04:54.840 just become Democrats.
01:04:56.520 Oh, that would work.
01:04:58.260 If all Republicans
01:04:59.540 just re-registered
01:05:00.780 as Democrats,
01:05:02.500 they could probably
01:05:03.260 have anything they wanted.
01:05:05.080 What would stop you
01:05:05.920 from doing that?
01:05:07.940 Couldn't 100% of Democrats
01:05:09.520 just re-register?
01:05:11.480 It would make
01:05:12.360 all polling obsolete.
01:05:13.960 You can make polling 0.72
01:05:16.620 obsolete.
01:05:18.340 Just re-register.
01:05:20.620 That's what I did.
01:05:21.940 That's why I'm
01:05:22.380 a registered Democrat.
01:05:23.880 Once the Democrats
01:05:25.360 labeled me a racist,
01:05:26.940 I thought,
01:05:27.320 well,
01:05:27.400 I'm not going to slime
01:05:28.180 the poor Republicans.
01:05:29.400 They didn't do anything
01:05:30.100 to me.
01:05:31.180 So I decided
01:05:32.000 to take my bad reputation
01:05:33.320 over to the Democrats
01:05:34.260 where it belongs.
01:05:39.320 Andrew Tate
01:05:40.020 just registered
01:05:40.740 as a Democrat.
01:05:41.440 Did that really happen?
01:05:46.740 I can't tell
01:05:47.460 if you're joking.
01:05:50.260 No, he can't.
01:05:51.200 Well, he can't vote.
01:05:52.540 Wait a minute.
01:05:52.940 He's not even a citizen,
01:05:53.900 is he?
01:05:57.800 I don't think
01:05:58.760 he can vote.
01:06:01.640 All right.
01:06:03.080 Fetterman has been
01:06:03.820 replaced by a body double.
01:06:05.880 Where in the world
01:06:06.640 would you get
01:06:07.140 a second person
01:06:07.920 who looks like him?
01:06:11.440 And if you wanted
01:06:12.800 a body double,
01:06:13.760 would you give your body double
01:06:15.020 a porn mustache?
01:06:16.480 Because I feel like
01:06:17.320 the porn mustache
01:06:18.240 is sort of a giveaway.
01:06:22.240 He does look different.
01:06:25.940 Yeah,
01:06:26.520 he does look different.
01:06:27.780 And he's admitted
01:06:28.560 that he has some kind
01:06:29.360 of permanent cognitive,
01:06:31.120 at least linguistic,
01:06:32.780 problem.
01:06:33.080 But I guess
01:06:36.360 the Democrats
01:06:37.160 are happy with that.
01:06:38.000 They got what they wanted.
01:06:39.560 All right.
01:06:39.860 That's all I got
01:06:40.320 for you today.
01:06:41.720 YouTube.
01:06:48.720 Predicting
01:06:49.080 we won't need
01:06:49.920 to vote.
01:06:51.600 Well,
01:06:52.080 I think he was being
01:06:52.780 hyperbolic
01:06:53.920 when he said that.
01:06:58.640 All right.
01:06:59.500 That's all for now.
01:07:00.460 YouTube.
01:07:01.060 Talk to you tomorrow.
01:07:01.760 future as well.
01:07:04.480 It's fun.
01:07:05.340 Stay tuned.
01:07:07.220 I'll be right here.
01:07:08.940 All right.
01:07:09.360 happy now.
01:07:09.540 Welcome to
01:07:09.920 Far out.
01:07:12.580 Bye.
01:07:13.120 Bye.
01:07:13.660 Bye.
01:07:13.780 Bye.
01:07:18.640 Bye.
01:07:25.380 Bye.
01:07:25.480 Bye.
01:07:26.220 Bye.
01:07:26.360 Bye.
01:07:26.720 Bye.
01:07:26.760 Bye.
01:07:26.860 Bye.
01:07:27.520 Bye.
01:07:27.620 Bye.
01:07:28.680 Bye.
01:07:28.920 Bye.
01:07:30.800 Bye.