Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2244 Scott Adams： Mutually Assured Destruction Activated. 2024 Losing Side Going To Jail

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:08.060 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams because of the coffee and because of me.

00:00:13.440 And if you'd like to take this experience to levels that could only be described as platinum,

00:00:19.960 all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tank or gels, a dine, a canteen jug or flask,

00:00:24.200 a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:26.800 I like coffee.

00:00:27.600 You can join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:00:31.500 The dopamine at the end of the day thing makes everything better.

00:00:33.700 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it's going to happen now.

00:00:37.060 Go.

00:00:42.380 We've got a health tip.

00:00:43.840 Somebody's coming in with a health tip.

00:00:46.340 John Smith says, penis health tip.

00:00:49.520 Eat garlic and apple cider vinegar and jerk off with cocoa oil.

00:00:54.660 Okay, you're probably not a doctor, but I was pretty excited about all that good advice there until I got to the end.

00:01:03.920 But that's why I do this show, so that you can get good political and health advice like that one.

00:01:11.160 You know, it's worth a try.

00:01:12.280 Anyway, I'm not going to poo-poo it without trying it. 0.98

00:01:16.080 Obviously, I'll try it, but anyway.

00:01:20.800 So there's a book, I think it's called The Two-Parent Privilege, getting everybody yakking,

00:01:26.300 the same way that they yak when Larry Elder says families are the answer.

00:01:30.640 And, you know, the idea is that people with two parents have all the advantages,

00:01:40.120 and the kids have the advantages, and so it's good to have two parents.

00:01:44.460 But what kind of criticism could you ever have about that?

00:01:51.940 Who could disagree?

00:01:53.200 Does anybody disagree that having two parents is better than one?

00:02:00.620 No.

00:02:01.620 Here's the hard part.

00:02:03.680 How do you go back?

00:02:05.920 How do you go from where we are to there?

00:02:10.380 There's no path.

00:02:12.280 So it's one of those, unfortunately, there are a number of things on the right that people want,

00:02:19.060 but they have no way to get there, so it doesn't matter how much you want it.

00:02:21.960 You might as well stop talking about it.

00:02:24.160 So I looked on CNN to see a story about this.

00:02:27.300 Jill Filipovich had an opinion about this two-parent privilege problem 1.00

00:02:32.320 and notes that most people want to get married.

00:02:36.500 Do you know why most people don't get married, even though they want to get married?

00:02:42.280 According to Jill Filipovich in CNN,

00:02:46.740 what is the reason that people are not getting married?

00:02:50.340 Now, remember, it's CNN.

00:02:53.600 It's CNN.

00:02:54.560 So CNN had to be okay with the publication of the opinion.

00:02:58.000 So that's your hint.

00:03:00.040 What is the reason that there's not as much marriage?

00:03:05.080 Climate change was an excellent guess. 0.99

00:03:07.540 I think that's actually part of it, but it's not what's in this article.

00:03:12.080 Racism, no.

00:03:13.400 No, but that's always a good guess.

00:03:15.400 Racism was an excellent guess, but not what I'm looking for.

00:03:18.480 No, the answer is because men suck.

00:03:22.520 The reason that men and women are getting married less, 0.73

00:03:27.680 and I think this is obvious, according to Jill,

00:03:31.240 you've got half of the situation is women and half is men, 1.00

00:03:36.660 not counting the LGBTQ situation on top of it. 0.72

00:03:40.560 But of the men and the women, Jill has narrowed it down to the men.

00:03:44.840 So the men are worthless, and they don't have good jobs, 0.53

00:03:50.080 and they're not worth marrying.

00:03:51.680 So logically, the women who are complete and whole

00:03:54.500 and wonderful in every way,

00:03:56.680 they're not going to pick the men

00:03:58.100 because the men used to be good,

00:04:00.520 but now they're pieces of shit.

00:04:02.480 So you can't go back.

00:04:04.240 It's a fake.

00:04:10.480 All right.

00:04:13.620 So that's the problem.

00:04:16.020 It's the men.

00:04:17.420 Do you know who has an equally dumb opinion

00:04:20.260 as the problem is the men?

00:04:23.980 Conservatives.

00:04:25.300 It is equally dumb to say that everything's fine

00:04:28.400 and we should just get together and pair off.

00:04:30.000 And maybe if you tweak the tax code a little bit,

00:04:34.480 then people will want to get married.

00:04:36.620 Maybe you take away some of the financial advantages

00:04:39.120 of being single,

00:04:41.440 and then people will want to get married.

00:04:43.840 None of that's going to work.

00:04:46.920 Does anybody think that we can just go back

00:04:48.900 to people wanting to be married?

00:04:51.860 We're way past that.

00:04:53.880 No, we're way past it.

00:04:55.340 We might actually,

00:04:57.400 because the pendulum always swings,

00:04:59.980 so we might get to a place

00:05:02.240 where people want to be married,

00:05:04.020 but it won't be because we socially engineered it.

00:05:07.060 It won't be because you tweaked the tax code.

00:05:09.800 That's not going to make people get married.

00:05:12.760 People have changed.

00:05:16.900 The problem is not marriage.

00:05:19.260 The problem is people.

00:05:20.720 But it's not the men.

00:05:22.500 It's both.

00:05:23.400 Obviously, we are no longer valuable to each other.

00:05:28.120 Why does a woman need a man if she can get a job? 1.00

00:05:32.320 Why does a man need a woman if he can date multiple people? 0.97

00:05:37.940 You know, and there are a lot of people who say

00:05:40.480 it's not worth it to have a kid.

00:05:42.420 They might be wrong,

00:05:43.880 but it's a growing thought.

00:05:45.720 So the problem here is that nobody has anything

00:05:49.840 that's even approximately a system or a plan

00:05:54.240 or a scheme or a strategy

00:05:56.080 to get us to where people want to be married,

00:05:58.980 and that works out.

00:06:00.220 Nobody has any idea.

00:06:01.980 So every day that we spend talking about,

00:06:04.100 ooh, traditional marriage,

00:06:05.640 it's probably just a waste of time.

00:06:08.520 And it's not because I don't think being married

00:06:10.840 would be better.

00:06:11.520 I think all the statistics show that.

00:06:14.460 It's just you can't take the people

00:06:15.840 who are not marriage material

00:06:17.440 and then pair them off

00:06:19.360 and expect you to get a good result.

00:06:22.580 The people who are married happily

00:06:24.840 are really special cases.

00:06:28.460 They either got married really early

00:06:30.040 or there's something about the two of them

00:06:32.120 that's special or, you know.

00:06:34.660 But usually it's getting married early

00:06:36.120 is a big part of that.

00:06:37.360 So I think the whole marriage situation,

00:06:41.960 we don't have the slightest grasp,

00:06:44.580 not even the slightest grasp,

00:06:46.640 on how you would change that.

00:06:49.000 So I think here's what we need.

00:06:52.380 I think we need two tracks.

00:06:55.320 I think there needs to be a way

00:06:56.640 to thrive without being married,

00:06:58.700 which we don't have,

00:07:00.180 and there needs to be a way

00:07:01.320 to thrive when you are married,

00:07:03.080 which I would argue we don't have

00:07:04.780 for most people.

00:07:07.360 Yeah, it works great for some people,

00:07:09.160 but for most people,

00:07:10.100 neither situation works.

00:07:11.820 So how could you tweak both situations

00:07:14.360 so that you could have happy single people

00:07:18.120 maybe with kids

00:07:19.560 and happy married people with kids?

00:07:23.080 And I feel like the single people

00:07:25.740 with kids problem

00:07:26.800 is going to have to do something

00:07:29.700 with some kind of tribal arrangement

00:07:31.560 where, you know, a dozen...

00:07:34.760 I'll just toss out an idea.

00:07:36.260 It could be something like

00:07:37.760 there's an app

00:07:38.540 that allows people to...

00:07:40.580 who are single

00:07:41.100 and maybe want to have children

00:07:42.680 or have children

00:07:43.300 who want to match up

00:07:45.180 so that there's somebody there

00:07:47.060 to watch your kids, right?

00:07:49.000 If you're a single parent

00:07:49.980 with two kids,

00:07:51.140 your biggest problem

00:07:52.200 is watching the kids.

00:07:54.040 If you were 12 single people

00:07:56.020 and you live, you know,

00:07:58.180 walking distance to each other,

00:07:59.840 then you would always have

00:08:01.160 somebody who's home.

00:08:02.500 There's always somebody

00:08:03.200 who could watch the kid.

00:08:04.440 There's always somebody

00:08:05.080 who could watch your dog.

00:08:06.560 There's always somebody

00:08:07.360 who could do an errand

00:08:08.780 because you're sick that day.

00:08:10.960 Something like that.

00:08:12.060 So you could probably create

00:08:13.460 mutual assistant groups

00:08:16.020 that also have children involved

00:08:18.300 that would work

00:08:20.000 maybe not as good as marriage.

00:08:23.000 You know, if you'd like to maintain

00:08:25.120 that marriage is the ultimate,

00:08:26.760 I'll give you that.

00:08:28.140 It's just that not everybody

00:08:29.280 is going to work in that situation.

00:08:31.400 So just create an entirely

00:08:33.700 different model

00:08:35.260 for the single people

00:08:36.940 that also works

00:08:38.660 because they're not just

00:08:40.140 going to get married.

00:08:41.520 So it's wishful thinking

00:08:42.500 that they're just going

00:08:44.100 to go get married.

00:08:45.520 There's a lot in politics

00:08:46.800 which is just wishful thinking

00:08:48.920 with no structure, idea, plan,

00:08:52.660 strategy to get to that magic place.

00:08:55.100 All right.

00:08:57.380 It's sort of like abortion.

00:09:00.120 Conservatives would like people

00:09:01.280 to just stop doing it.

00:09:05.120 That's not going to happen.

00:09:06.940 So you're going to have to deal

00:09:09.300 with the fact that

00:09:10.000 it's just not going to happen.

00:09:11.580 But I think a lot of it

00:09:12.680 is just wishful thinking.

00:09:13.720 Well, what if it did happen?

00:09:15.140 But it's not.

00:09:16.780 But what if it did?

00:09:18.140 But it's not.

00:09:19.860 I don't know.

00:09:20.380 It feels like a lot of that going on.

00:09:23.780 All right.

00:09:24.000 So I saw a provocative comment here

00:09:25.760 that I'm going to blame

00:09:27.140 on somebody else.

00:09:29.720 One of the good things

00:09:30.760 about what I do here

00:09:32.040 is if I don't want to say something

00:09:34.460 under my own opinion,

00:09:36.480 I'll just find somebody else

00:09:37.540 who said it and quote it to you.

00:09:39.320 Look at this guy.

00:09:40.960 Look at this guy.

00:09:42.760 I wouldn't say this.

00:09:44.320 So here's something

00:09:45.000 I would never say.

00:09:46.380 I would never say this.

00:09:47.380 But over on the X platform,

00:09:50.480 Doc Anarchy,

00:09:51.520 Doc Anarchy said it,

00:09:53.620 who, by the way,

00:09:54.860 publishes a renegade health magazine.

00:09:57.700 If you want some renegade

00:09:59.520 health-related stuff from a doctor,

00:10:02.400 check that out.

00:10:03.540 Anyway, Doc Anarchy said

00:10:05.040 in the next post,

00:10:07.560 I used to be a strong advocate

00:10:09.400 for talk therapy,

00:10:11.380 you know, the kind where

00:10:12.120 you go to a therapist

00:10:12.940 and you talk.

00:10:14.940 And then he goes on,

00:10:16.040 the profession has become

00:10:17.120 overrun with college-educated women 1.00

00:10:19.320 and effeminate men

00:10:20.980 who act like college-educated women.

00:10:23.780 This is no longer

00:10:24.940 a viable option

00:10:25.920 for most people.

00:10:27.180 You are the enemy

00:10:28.040 the second you walk

00:10:29.000 through those doors.

00:10:31.920 That was my exact experience.

00:10:35.580 In my first marriage,

00:10:37.400 we tried some marriage therapy.

00:10:41.180 And I was pretty sure

00:10:43.140 she treated me as the enemy

00:10:44.400 when I walked in the door.

00:10:46.560 And everything that happened

00:10:47.980 after that

00:10:48.540 felt like I was the enemy.

00:10:50.980 And I didn't know

00:10:51.800 where it came from.

00:10:53.460 Like, I couldn't understand it.

00:10:54.840 And I really couldn't understand it

00:10:56.140 until this moment,

00:10:57.420 until I read Doc Anarchy's post.

00:11:00.380 Oh! 0.60

00:11:01.640 Oh! 0.60

00:11:02.560 It's an industry of people

00:11:04.060 who have been trained

00:11:05.140 that I'm the problem.

00:11:06.480 And I imagined

00:11:08.780 that I would walk in there

00:11:10.200 and get something like therapy.

00:11:11.840 No.

00:11:12.640 I walked in there

00:11:13.600 and I got blamed.

00:11:15.200 That's what happened.

00:11:16.120 I got blamed.

00:11:18.500 Completely.

00:11:20.540 And the ground rules

00:11:21.760 were that my wife 0.61

00:11:22.660 makes no problems

00:11:23.840 and had no problems

00:11:24.900 and did everything right.

00:11:26.640 But we need to work on me.

00:11:28.920 And that's before

00:11:29.580 we even talked about

00:11:30.460 what anything was.

00:11:31.740 It was just,

00:11:32.200 that was like the basic idea

00:11:33.540 when you walk in the door.

00:11:34.780 Yeah, no,

00:11:36.220 talk therapy is completely broken.

00:11:40.120 All right,

00:11:40.860 here's a little trend

00:11:42.060 to frighten you.

00:11:43.740 You know how people

00:11:45.120 wanted to ban TikTok

00:11:46.340 in the United States?

00:11:48.300 I'm one of those.

00:11:49.980 But TikTok argued,

00:11:51.500 hey, TikTok is a subsidiary

00:11:53.660 of ByteDance.

00:11:55.380 Sure, ByteDance

00:11:56.520 is a Chinese company

00:11:57.580 and we all know

00:11:59.080 that the Chinese government

00:12:00.080 has complete control

00:12:01.500 over Chinese companies.

00:12:03.100 But they argued,

00:12:04.200 no, no, no.

00:12:04.840 We're running TikTok

00:12:05.680 as a separate entity.

00:12:08.260 They make their own decisions

00:12:09.540 and they're not part

00:12:10.540 of the Chinese machine

00:12:12.240 even though the parent company is.

00:12:15.900 So that worked until recently.

00:12:18.780 The reports are that

00:12:20.360 there's a string

00:12:21.840 of high-level executives

00:12:23.020 from the parent company

00:12:24.500 that have gone

00:12:26.160 into the subsidiary

00:12:27.940 and taken the top jobs.

00:12:30.180 So everything they said

00:12:32.940 about these two entities

00:12:34.060 operating separately

00:12:35.100 is complete bullshit

00:12:37.060 because the people

00:12:38.440 from the corporate jobs

00:12:39.780 just took over

00:12:41.020 for the people

00:12:42.260 in the subsidiary.

00:12:44.620 That's all you need to know.

00:12:46.380 Of course China 0.83

00:12:47.840 has complete control

00:12:49.000 of TikTok

00:12:49.400 and of course

00:12:50.740 they don't operate

00:12:51.700 autonomously.

00:12:52.960 That would be ridiculous.

00:12:54.060 Now what's interesting

00:12:56.260 is that this story

00:12:57.260 was in the

00:12:57.960 Wall Street Journal

00:12:58.700 that's owned by

00:13:01.400 the Murdochs.

00:13:03.560 I guess it's the

00:13:04.580 father or son.

00:13:06.180 I'm not sure

00:13:06.780 who owns it now.

00:13:07.640 I guess the son

00:13:08.200 is running it

00:13:08.780 but the dad

00:13:09.820 still owns it.

00:13:12.740 So while

00:13:13.440 one Murdoch property

00:13:14.700 was basically

00:13:16.260 calling out TikTok,

00:13:18.400 Fox News

00:13:19.420 which is also

00:13:20.040 owned by Murdoch

00:13:20.880 is now doing

00:13:22.860 advertising for

00:13:23.880 TikTok.

00:13:25.840 So TikTok

00:13:26.240 is a sponsor

00:13:27.160 for one of the

00:13:27.900 Murdoch properties

00:13:28.640 and the other one

00:13:29.880 is calling it out

00:13:30.880 for its connections

00:13:32.120 to China.

00:13:33.760 It's a weird world.

00:13:35.760 If you're a billionaire

00:13:36.540 you end up on both

00:13:37.600 sides of every issue

00:13:38.620 because you own

00:13:39.840 something

00:13:40.380 that affects

00:13:42.560 both sides.

00:13:43.920 The Wall Street Journal

00:13:44.720 just wants to tell

00:13:45.560 the news.

00:13:47.040 Just tell them the news

00:13:48.080 and this is the news.

00:13:49.340 Fox News

00:13:51.100 needs advertisers

00:13:52.340 or their model

00:13:53.140 doesn't work

00:13:53.840 so even though

00:13:55.760 they have the same

00:13:56.420 ownership

00:13:56.860 they're sort of

00:13:58.480 on different sides

00:13:59.280 in a way.

00:14:01.880 I won't say sides

00:14:02.980 but you know

00:14:04.020 what I mean.

00:14:04.560 There's an awkward

00:14:05.260 situation.

00:14:07.260 All right.

00:14:11.400 So in my opinion

00:14:13.060 the bribery

00:14:15.200 allegations about

00:14:16.320 the Biden family

00:14:18.060 at least

00:14:19.840 the Chinese part

00:14:21.040 are now

00:14:22.060 so well documented

00:14:23.160 there's no question

00:14:24.100 about it

00:14:24.620 that he was

00:14:25.440 literally bribed

00:14:26.580 during his

00:14:27.700 vice president years

00:14:28.800 and maybe

00:14:29.560 on both sides

00:14:30.340 and we now

00:14:32.840 have the money

00:14:33.540 flows.

00:14:34.320 We know that

00:14:34.680 it flowed to

00:14:35.520 the address

00:14:36.780 Hunter used

00:14:38.400 his father's

00:14:39.060 address.

00:14:40.220 We know that

00:14:40.780 Biden talked

00:14:42.380 to the person

00:14:43.020 who sent money.

00:14:44.240 We know that

00:14:44.740 he wrote a

00:14:45.440 college

00:14:46.540 recommendation

00:14:47.540 for the guy's

00:14:48.360 son at the

00:14:49.040 same time

00:14:49.440 the money

00:14:49.780 was transferred.

00:14:50.860 We know that

00:14:51.360 Biden was on

00:14:52.320 the phone

00:14:52.640 threatening the

00:14:53.300 guy to give

00:14:53.820 us the money.

00:14:55.020 We basically

00:14:55.720 have the whole

00:14:56.520 story.

00:14:57.720 Total

00:14:58.100 complete

00:14:59.320 information.

00:15:04.600 There's no doubt

00:15:05.180 about it.

00:15:06.840 Now how

00:15:07.880 in the world

00:15:08.520 do we have

00:15:10.180 this situation

00:15:10.940 and he's

00:15:11.420 still president?

00:15:13.420 How in the

00:15:14.180 world?

00:15:16.100 Now could it

00:15:17.080 be that all

00:15:17.680 of this

00:15:17.960 information is

00:15:18.680 fake?

00:15:19.920 Do you think

00:15:20.420 that Jesse

00:15:21.600 Waters

00:15:21.960 reporting on

00:15:22.820 it in great

00:15:23.600 detail?

00:15:24.320 By the way

00:15:24.780 I think Jesse

00:15:25.620 Waters does

00:15:27.180 the best job

00:15:28.140 on all of

00:15:28.920 the complicated

00:15:30.500 legal stories.

00:15:34.180 Have you

00:15:34.440 noticed that?

00:15:36.240 If you

00:15:36.760 watch Jesse

00:15:37.620 Waters he'll

00:15:38.340 give you the

00:15:39.320 clearest

00:15:40.200 cleanest

00:15:41.000 brief summary

00:15:42.560 of what's

00:15:43.180 going on

00:15:43.720 and these

00:15:44.100 technical

00:15:44.520 things until

00:15:45.660 you listen to

00:15:46.180 him and go

00:15:46.460 oh I get

00:15:47.000 it now.

00:15:47.700 And sometimes

00:15:48.140 it's the first

00:15:48.780 time I understand

00:15:49.580 the story is

00:15:50.780 when he lays

00:15:51.400 it out in

00:15:51.880 context.

00:15:52.720 He's really

00:15:53.300 really good

00:15:53.760 at that.

00:15:54.280 And I would

00:15:54.580 also say that

00:15:55.460 Jesse Waters

00:15:56.740 is he's got

00:15:58.220 the Joe

00:15:58.980 Rogan

00:15:59.500 brilliance

00:16:00.300 and what I

00:16:01.780 mean by that

00:16:02.360 is that they

00:16:02.840 both pretend

00:16:03.620 they're less

00:16:04.120 smart than

00:16:04.640 they are.

00:16:06.780 So Joe

00:16:07.680 Rogan's the

00:16:08.220 every man

00:16:08.740 but it sort

00:16:09.800 of hides

00:16:10.200 the fact

00:16:10.640 that he

00:16:10.960 is smarter

00:16:11.480 than most

00:16:12.940 of the people

00:16:13.360 who watch

00:16:13.700 his show.

00:16:14.740 He's unusually

00:16:15.620 smart and

00:16:16.900 he just

00:16:17.300 it's a little

00:16:18.360 less obvious

00:16:18.940 because he's

00:16:19.560 a man's

00:16:20.260 man and

00:16:20.800 he's got

00:16:21.280 a persona.

00:16:23.460 Jesse

00:16:23.760 Waters plays

00:16:24.440 the jester

00:16:26.120 sometimes

00:16:26.720 mocking himself

00:16:27.900 and his

00:16:28.520 own opinions

00:16:29.100 and stuff

00:16:29.460 but then

00:16:30.480 when he

00:16:30.780 delivers

00:16:31.200 he delivers

00:16:32.640 the cleanest

00:16:33.740 analyses

00:16:34.240 that anybody's

00:16:35.700 doing in the

00:16:36.340 news.

00:16:37.360 So it's

00:16:37.560 quite impressive

00:16:38.120 so shout

00:16:39.160 out to

00:16:39.620 Jesse.

00:16:41.260 But he's

00:16:42.720 the one I

00:16:43.100 would look

00:16:43.420 to if you're

00:16:44.080 looking to

00:16:44.840 understand the

00:16:45.740 whole China

00:16:46.240 bribery thing

00:16:47.020 rather than me

00:16:48.240 try to explain

00:16:49.000 all the ins

00:16:49.580 and outs of

00:16:50.100 it.

00:16:50.520 I'm just

00:16:50.900 going to

00:16:51.160 summarize it

00:16:51.760 by saying

00:16:52.240 it's a

00:16:53.520 fact.

00:16:54.440 I don't

00:16:54.940 think there's

00:16:55.300 any question

00:16:55.860 whatsoever

00:16:56.340 that China 0.93

00:16:57.080 was or at

00:16:57.760 least one

00:16:58.160 Chinese company

00:16:58.880 was bribing

00:17:00.140 the Bidens.

00:17:02.100 And Ukraine

00:17:03.000 looks close

00:17:03.940 to a fact.

00:17:05.380 I mean it

00:17:05.800 seems completely

00:17:07.220 obvious and

00:17:07.880 now that we

00:17:08.300 know the

00:17:08.600 whole Bob

00:17:09.140 Menendez

00:17:09.940 story,

00:17:10.860 the person

00:17:11.360 who took

00:17:11.860 the job

00:17:12.420 that Biden

00:17:13.960 used to

00:17:14.380 have,

00:17:15.300 the foreign 0.60

00:17:15.880 intelligence

00:17:16.440 chair,

00:17:17.620 and now

00:17:18.460 we know

00:17:18.740 that he

00:17:19.380 was probably

00:17:20.720 allegedly

00:17:21.820 taking bribes.

00:17:23.280 So it

00:17:24.220 seems that

00:17:24.900 everything,

00:17:26.920 100% of

00:17:28.040 everything we've

00:17:28.700 learned is

00:17:29.820 confirming that

00:17:30.760 Biden is

00:17:32.240 crooked and

00:17:33.140 has been taking

00:17:33.720 bribes for a

00:17:34.480 long time.

00:17:36.240 And we just

00:17:37.080 go on,

00:17:38.000 we wake up

00:17:38.680 today like

00:17:39.200 nothing happened.

00:17:40.700 Nothing's

00:17:41.220 going to happen

00:17:41.640 on this,

00:17:42.100 am I right?

00:17:43.240 Nothing.

00:17:45.260 Unless,

00:17:45.900 unless you've

00:17:48.660 got a Republican

00:17:49.240 president,

00:17:49.740 and then I

00:17:52.820 think he

00:17:53.100 would go

00:17:53.360 to jail.

00:17:57.060 And I

00:17:59.820 also think

00:18:00.360 that if

00:18:00.700 Biden were

00:18:01.260 to win,

00:18:02.160 you know,

00:18:02.320 if he stayed

00:18:02.780 alive long

00:18:03.420 enough to

00:18:03.720 win,

00:18:04.020 I think

00:18:04.320 he'll put

00:18:04.840 Trump in

00:18:05.880 jail.

00:18:06.940 Not

00:18:07.380 directly,

00:18:08.320 but he

00:18:09.160 won't

00:18:09.360 pardon him

00:18:09.880 and he'll

00:18:10.180 let his

00:18:10.540 hench

00:18:10.940 people who

00:18:12.140 are the

00:18:12.580 prosecutors

00:18:13.200 just put

00:18:13.680 him in

00:18:13.880 jail.

00:18:14.060 So,

00:18:16.680 mutually

00:18:17.400 assured

00:18:18.700 destruction

00:18:19.320 has been

00:18:19.940 activated.

00:18:22.020 We're in a

00:18:22.820 situation where

00:18:23.560 you could

00:18:23.920 pretty much

00:18:24.560 predict that

00:18:25.740 the loser's

00:18:26.400 going to

00:18:26.800 jail this

00:18:27.300 time.

00:18:28.560 The loser's

00:18:29.160 going to

00:18:29.500 jail.

00:18:31.440 That's where

00:18:32.140 we are.

00:18:33.020 And not

00:18:33.440 just the

00:18:33.940 loser.

00:18:35.460 Trump has

00:18:36.040 actually

00:18:36.380 threatened

00:18:36.820 that he

00:18:37.280 would

00:18:37.440 investigate

00:18:38.080 NBC and

00:18:39.260 MSNBC

00:18:40.140 for crimes.

00:18:42.620 He thinks

00:18:42.980 they should

00:18:43.320 go to

00:18:43.600 jail too.

00:18:45.240 And I

00:18:45.880 agree.

00:18:47.200 I agree.

00:18:48.080 But when I

00:18:48.540 watch MSNBC,

00:18:50.180 I feel like

00:18:51.360 it's a crime

00:18:51.960 being committed.

00:18:53.260 Because it

00:18:53.680 doesn't look

00:18:54.220 like they're

00:18:54.620 really even

00:18:55.220 trying to

00:18:55.800 show the

00:18:57.020 news.

00:18:57.560 It looks

00:18:58.020 like they're

00:18:58.380 a government

00:18:58.880 operation,

00:19:00.380 which I'm

00:19:00.940 sure would

00:19:01.300 be Trump's

00:19:02.220 accusation.

00:19:03.080 It looks

00:19:03.420 like it's

00:19:03.860 a wing of

00:19:06.200 the government

00:19:06.740 that's used

00:19:07.960 to clamp

00:19:08.540 down on

00:19:09.000 free speech

00:19:09.600 and on

00:19:10.720 opposition.

00:19:12.280 So,

00:19:12.620 should it

00:19:13.680 be illegal?

00:19:14.260 I don't

00:19:14.440 know.

00:19:14.680 I don't

00:19:14.880 know if

00:19:15.120 any crime

00:19:15.640 has been

00:19:16.000 committed.

00:19:16.840 If no

00:19:17.180 crime has

00:19:17.680 been

00:19:17.840 committed,

00:19:18.340 then of

00:19:18.760 course I

00:19:19.160 don't want

00:19:19.500 anybody to

00:19:19.900 go to

00:19:20.140 jail.

00:19:20.980 But to

00:19:21.400 me,

00:19:21.860 the whole

00:19:22.160 MSNBC

00:19:23.040 situation

00:19:24.080 looks criminal.

00:19:25.580 It doesn't

00:19:26.080 look like a

00:19:26.640 different opinion.

00:19:27.480 It just

00:19:27.760 looks criminal.

00:19:28.900 Like it's a

00:19:29.540 plot or a

00:19:30.280 scheme to

00:19:31.420 affect power

00:19:32.620 in the United

00:19:33.060 States,

00:19:34.060 regardless of

00:19:34.900 the facts.

00:19:36.420 Now,

00:19:36.700 you could say,

00:19:37.340 but Scott,

00:19:38.040 but Scott,

00:19:39.260 Fox News is

00:19:40.180 just like

00:19:40.680 that.

00:19:41.760 But I

00:19:42.060 would say

00:19:42.360 Fox News is

00:19:43.200 more like

00:19:43.520 CNN, an

00:19:45.200 obvious bias

00:19:46.280 which they

00:19:47.080 don't try

00:19:47.500 to hide.

00:19:49.260 MSNBC is

00:19:50.200 a completely

00:19:50.820 different animal.

00:19:52.980 They're not

00:19:53.720 just biased.

00:19:54.620 There is

00:19:54.900 something different

00:19:55.740 going on,

00:19:56.500 and I think

00:19:56.880 Trump's instinct

00:19:57.940 about that is

00:19:58.560 right.

00:19:59.160 There's something

00:19:59.620 very crooked

00:20:00.320 about that

00:20:00.940 situation.

00:20:01.800 I don't know

00:20:02.160 exactly what it

00:20:02.920 is.

00:20:03.780 So I think

00:20:04.480 we're at a

00:20:04.840 point where

00:20:05.520 if you're

00:20:07.060 going to

00:20:07.260 threaten to

00:20:07.740 put Trump

00:20:08.460 in jail,

00:20:09.400 it is

00:20:09.980 perfectly

00:20:10.380 appropriate

00:20:11.060 that he

00:20:11.540 threatens that

00:20:12.160 if he wins,

00:20:12.960 everybody's

00:20:13.400 going to jail, 0.88

00:20:14.360 like all of

00:20:15.060 his enemies.

00:20:16.600 I think

00:20:17.100 we're at

00:20:17.420 that point

00:20:17.900 where I

00:20:18.520 could support

00:20:19.140 that totally.

00:20:21.180 I completely

00:20:22.060 support it.

00:20:22.980 I wouldn't

00:20:23.360 have said

00:20:23.720 this maybe

00:20:24.780 even a month

00:20:25.260 ago, but

00:20:26.500 we've reached

00:20:27.000 the point where

00:20:27.500 it's obvious

00:20:27.980 they're going

00:20:28.340 to take

00:20:28.660 Trump down

00:20:29.320 for what

00:20:30.340 looks like

00:20:30.900 politically

00:20:31.440 motivated stuff.

00:20:32.980 If you're

00:20:33.680 going to

00:20:33.820 take the

00:20:34.360 leader,

00:20:35.180 probable,

00:20:36.300 probable leader

00:20:37.120 of one side

00:20:38.060 of the

00:20:38.280 country,

00:20:39.220 down for

00:20:39.820 bullshit,

00:20:41.100 you better

00:20:41.860 get it

00:20:42.260 done.

00:20:43.620 Because if

00:20:44.740 he wins,

00:20:46.600 he has

00:20:47.160 all moral

00:20:47.880 authority to

00:20:48.480 take every

00:20:48.940 one of his

00:20:49.680 enemies down

00:20:50.380 and put

00:20:50.780 them in

00:20:51.000 jail.

00:20:51.720 Because the

00:20:52.300 January 6th

00:20:53.120 thing showed

00:20:53.740 that you can

00:20:54.200 jail people

00:20:54.780 for political

00:20:55.380 reasons.

00:20:56.380 You can make

00:20:57.040 up a reason.

00:20:57.860 You can always

00:20:58.220 make up a

00:20:58.720 crime, but

00:21:00.020 the motivation

00:21:00.620 is political.

00:21:02.960 So yeah,

00:21:03.580 mutually assured

00:21:04.260 destruction.

00:21:04.800 If you

00:21:05.360 are a

00:21:05.960 leading

00:21:08.340 Democrat,

00:21:09.060 you should

00:21:09.280 be worried.

00:21:10.160 Actual

00:21:10.520 jail is

00:21:11.080 a possibility

00:21:11.580 now.

00:21:12.340 And I

00:21:12.900 would go

00:21:13.180 deep.

00:21:13.760 I would

00:21:14.000 cut deep.

00:21:15.180 I mean,

00:21:15.440 I would

00:21:16.140 indict just

00:21:17.360 a shit

00:21:17.900 ton of

00:21:18.220 people if

00:21:18.920 I were

00:21:19.220 the winning

00:21:19.820 Republican

00:21:20.380 guy.

00:21:21.480 I'd take

00:21:21.780 out, I

00:21:23.020 don't know,

00:21:24.040 you can

00:21:24.980 make your

00:21:25.360 own list,

00:21:26.620 but do

00:21:27.880 you think

00:21:28.200 Schiff

00:21:28.560 should be

00:21:29.020 walking free?

00:21:30.680 Adam Schiff?

00:21:31.360 I think

00:21:32.240 he should

00:21:32.500 be in

00:21:32.760 jail for

00:21:34.340 lying to

00:21:34.880 the country

00:21:35.300 about what

00:21:35.740 was in

00:21:36.060 the Schiff.

00:21:37.400 To me,

00:21:38.020 that seemed

00:21:38.360 traitorous.

00:21:39.380 I don't

00:21:39.600 know.

00:21:39.880 Is there

00:21:40.100 any law

00:21:40.440 that was

00:21:40.740 broken?

00:21:41.500 Well, if

00:21:41.920 no law

00:21:42.380 was broken,

00:21:43.020 then no,

00:21:43.500 he should

00:21:43.780 not go

00:21:44.140 to jail.

00:21:45.120 But I'd

00:21:45.880 look into

00:21:46.220 it.

00:21:47.420 He was

00:21:47.740 certainly

00:21:48.000 trying to

00:21:48.460 put another

00:21:48.880 person in

00:21:49.420 jail.

00:21:50.360 So I

00:21:51.220 think the

00:21:51.780 controls are

00:21:52.680 off, the

00:21:53.140 guardrails are

00:21:53.740 off.

00:21:54.620 It's win 0.54

00:21:55.860 or jail.

00:21:57.320 Win or

00:21:57.900 jail.

00:21:58.340 That's our

00:21:58.760 new situation.

00:22:00.220 And I'm

00:22:00.940 down for

00:22:01.360 it.

00:22:02.960 All right.

00:22:05.620 What else

00:22:06.340 is going

00:22:06.660 on here?

00:22:08.360 So you

00:22:09.120 know the

00:22:09.400 story about

00:22:10.120 how the

00:22:10.720 Russians,

00:22:11.860 maybe they

00:22:12.300 didn't

00:22:12.680 collude

00:22:13.460 exactly with

00:22:14.520 Trump.

00:22:15.380 Maybe it

00:22:15.920 wasn't

00:22:16.140 exactly

00:22:16.680 collusion,

00:22:18.320 but that

00:22:18.920 they

00:22:19.120 interfered.

00:22:20.640 So once

00:22:21.120 it was

00:22:21.360 shown that

00:22:21.860 Trump

00:22:22.320 didn't

00:22:23.500 collude,

00:22:24.920 then Hillary 0.99

00:22:25.440 Clinton and

00:22:26.100 her henchmonkeys

00:22:27.120 decided that,

00:22:29.000 well,

00:22:29.240 they

00:22:30.300 interfered on

00:22:31.020 his behalf.

00:22:31.760 That's why

00:22:32.060 it was a

00:22:32.400 crooked

00:22:32.640 election.

00:22:33.660 Russia

00:22:33.920 interfered.

00:22:35.180 And one

00:22:35.520 of the

00:22:35.680 biggest

00:22:35.920 interferences

00:22:36.600 was that

00:22:38.260 the Russians

00:22:38.860 allegedly

00:22:39.900 hacked the

00:22:41.320 DNC.

00:22:43.200 And that

00:22:43.660 caused some

00:22:44.120 embarrassment,

00:22:45.000 and maybe

00:22:45.560 that might

00:22:46.020 have been

00:22:46.220 one of the

00:22:46.560 factors that

00:22:47.120 changed the

00:22:47.560 election.

00:22:48.820 Now,

00:22:49.840 when you

00:22:50.300 first heard

00:22:51.120 that our

00:22:52.000 government

00:22:52.460 said they

00:22:53.600 caught Russian 0.83

00:22:54.420 hackers hacking

00:22:55.740 the DNC,

00:22:57.060 did you

00:22:57.440 believe it?

00:22:57.920 Did you

00:22:59.260 believe that

00:22:59.800 our people

00:23:01.000 could,

00:23:02.420 first of all,

00:23:02.740 know who

00:23:03.200 hacked,

00:23:04.240 and second

00:23:04.820 of all,

00:23:05.960 they would

00:23:06.500 tell you,

00:23:07.420 and that

00:23:07.820 it's honest?

00:23:09.580 There was

00:23:10.320 no part of

00:23:11.040 me that

00:23:11.320 believed that

00:23:11.820 story from

00:23:12.500 day one.

00:23:13.660 I never

00:23:14.480 believed that

00:23:15.460 they could

00:23:15.800 identify the

00:23:16.520 hackers,

00:23:17.320 or if they

00:23:18.300 did,

00:23:18.560 that they

00:23:18.760 would tell

00:23:19.080 us the

00:23:19.360 truth.

00:23:20.720 And now

00:23:21.360 there's some

00:23:22.200 indication in

00:23:23.000 Racket News,

00:23:24.060 I think Matt

00:23:24.660 Taibbi has

00:23:25.280 something to do

00:23:25.720 with that on

00:23:26.160 Substack,

00:23:26.640 I think it's

00:23:27.540 a Matt

00:23:27.800 Taibbi

00:23:28.140 thing,

00:23:29.840 that the

00:23:31.320 Georgia tech

00:23:32.080 team that

00:23:32.800 led the

00:23:33.340 researchers

00:23:33.860 into a

00:23:35.100 different

00:23:35.480 hoax,

00:23:36.360 there was

00:23:36.680 the alpha

00:23:37.280 server story,

00:23:39.100 I don't

00:23:39.580 remember a lot

00:23:40.120 about that,

00:23:40.600 but it was

00:23:40.780 some story

00:23:41.340 that turned

00:23:42.100 out to be

00:23:42.520 false,

00:23:43.020 it was just

00:23:43.400 a hoax.

00:23:45.060 Well,

00:23:45.340 it wasn't a

00:23:45.800 hoax,

00:23:46.080 it was an

00:23:46.680 intentional

00:23:47.120 fake story.

00:23:48.620 And some

00:23:49.260 of the people

00:23:49.680 behind that

00:23:50.400 intentional

00:23:50.900 fake story

00:23:51.680 about the

00:23:52.220 alpha

00:23:52.520 servers,

00:23:53.100 some bad

00:23:56.720 financial

00:23:57.240 behavior between

00:23:58.080 Trump and

00:23:58.900 some European

00:24:00.280 entity.

00:24:01.160 But it

00:24:01.560 wasn't true.

00:24:03.220 However,

00:24:03.720 the same

00:24:04.060 people who

00:24:04.540 pushed that,

00:24:05.700 so we know

00:24:06.420 they're criminal,

00:24:07.760 are the ones

00:24:08.400 who are the

00:24:09.120 first to say,

00:24:10.420 hey, it

00:24:10.680 looks like

00:24:11.020 Russia.

00:24:12.160 It was

00:24:12.460 Russia that 0.93

00:24:13.020 hacked this

00:24:13.460 DNC.

00:24:15.160 Now, is it

00:24:16.100 a coincidence

00:24:16.560 that known

00:24:17.780 liars,

00:24:19.220 or hoaxers,

00:24:20.000 are the

00:24:21.340 same ones

00:24:21.880 behind the

00:24:22.520 least credible

00:24:23.400 piece of

00:24:23.920 information

00:24:24.400 ever?

00:24:26.260 You can

00:24:27.020 discount

00:24:27.940 any

00:24:29.020 credibility.

00:24:30.640 It might

00:24:30.980 be true,

00:24:31.380 by the way,

00:24:31.920 but there's

00:24:32.520 no credibility

00:24:33.160 to the

00:24:33.740 story that

00:24:35.100 the Russians

00:24:35.580 hacked the

00:24:36.060 DNC.

00:24:37.200 They might

00:24:37.660 have done

00:24:38.000 it.

00:24:38.440 I'm not

00:24:38.800 saying they

00:24:39.140 didn't do

00:24:39.540 it.

00:24:40.160 I'm saying

00:24:40.660 there's no

00:24:41.480 credible

00:24:41.940 information,

00:24:43.240 because you

00:24:44.140 as the

00:24:44.640 public don't

00:24:46.240 know where

00:24:46.580 stuff comes

00:24:47.140 from.

00:24:48.400 You know,

00:24:48.600 the news

00:24:48.980 might tell

00:24:49.420 you,

00:24:49.620 hey,

00:24:49.740 blah,

00:24:50.140 blah,

00:24:50.380 blah,

00:24:50.680 but you

00:24:50.940 don't know

00:24:51.180 where that

00:24:51.460 came from.

00:24:52.440 If it

00:24:52.780 came from

00:24:53.180 this set

00:24:53.940 of cats,

00:24:55.460 it's

00:24:55.860 bullshit.

00:24:57.340 But we

00:24:57.900 didn't know

00:24:58.240 that until

00:24:58.660 today.

00:24:59.720 It took

00:25:00.220 to today

00:25:01.040 for me to

00:25:02.100 find out

00:25:02.500 that the

00:25:02.920 first people

00:25:03.620 who reported

00:25:04.160 it,

00:25:04.600 and then it

00:25:05.060 became a

00:25:05.480 thing,

00:25:06.060 that it

00:25:06.340 was the

00:25:06.600 Russians

00:25:06.860 that hacked

00:25:07.280 it.

00:25:08.180 They had

00:25:08.920 no credibility

00:25:09.500 at all.

00:25:10.540 None.

00:25:12.940 So I

00:25:13.620 don't think

00:25:14.000 that the

00:25:14.340 Russians

00:25:14.600 necessarily

00:25:15.320 did it,

00:25:16.380 but we

00:25:16.780 can tell

00:25:17.080 there's

00:25:17.240 something

00:25:17.460 sketchy

00:25:17.940 about the

00:25:18.220 whole thing.

00:25:18.520 All

00:25:20.720 right.

00:25:23.460 In a

00:25:24.380 recent poll,

00:25:25.660 NBC poll,

00:25:26.900 72% of

00:25:28.620 voters said

00:25:29.860 they're

00:25:30.060 dissatisfied

00:25:30.680 with the

00:25:31.440 Biden

00:25:31.680 economy and

00:25:32.520 Biden

00:25:32.940 economics,

00:25:34.040 Bidenomics.

00:25:36.080 72%.

00:25:36.800 would a

00:25:38.360 72% of

00:25:40.700 people not

00:25:41.260 happy about

00:25:42.040 the economy

00:25:42.740 suggest that

00:25:44.200 the incumbent

00:25:44.860 is not

00:25:45.400 going to

00:25:45.800 win?

00:25:46.960 Yes.

00:25:47.520 Yes.

00:25:50.380 Yes.

00:25:51.980 It suggests

00:25:52.980 that the

00:25:53.400 incumbent,

00:25:54.700 Biden,

00:25:55.540 couldn't

00:25:55.940 possibly win

00:25:56.820 re-election

00:25:57.680 because it's

00:25:58.840 the economy

00:25:59.360 stupid, 0.98

00:26:00.200 right?

00:26:00.440 and the

00:26:01.500 economy is

00:26:02.760 bad.

00:26:03.420 According to

00:26:04.100 72% of

00:26:05.220 people,

00:26:05.600 it's not

00:26:06.300 where it

00:26:06.600 should be.

00:26:07.880 So under

00:26:10.200 those

00:26:10.540 conditions,

00:26:11.340 what would

00:26:11.920 you do?

00:26:13.020 What would

00:26:13.840 you do if

00:26:15.260 you were

00:26:15.520 Biden and

00:26:16.760 you were so

00:26:17.340 deep in a

00:26:17.880 hole and

00:26:18.520 the person

00:26:19.080 that you're

00:26:20.440 going against

00:26:21.140 is 10

00:26:21.660 points up

00:26:22.200 in a

00:26:22.420 recent poll?

00:26:24.660 I don't

00:26:25.300 know what

00:26:25.640 you'd do.

00:26:26.380 Oh,

00:26:27.020 let's switch

00:26:27.980 to the next

00:26:28.560 story that

00:26:29.080 has nothing

00:26:29.540 to do

00:26:29.880 with this

00:26:30.140 story.

00:26:31.900 Trump's

00:26:32.380 in deep

00:26:32.780 legal trouble,

00:26:34.440 so it

00:26:35.040 looks like

00:26:35.480 the state

00:26:36.080 of New

00:26:36.400 York and

00:26:37.660 Letitia 0.98

00:26:38.160 James is

00:26:39.000 pushing their

00:26:40.460 case that,

00:26:42.680 and I guess

00:26:43.400 the judges

00:26:43.820 agreed,

00:26:44.900 that Trump

00:26:45.440 wildly exaggerated

00:26:46.900 the values

00:26:47.680 of his

00:26:48.240 properties,

00:26:49.060 which allowed

00:26:50.120 him to get

00:26:50.720 good loan

00:26:51.540 rates and

00:26:52.720 maybe,

00:26:53.740 I don't

00:26:54.040 know,

00:26:54.440 it couldn't

00:26:54.940 have helped

00:26:55.300 his insurance,

00:26:56.840 but somehow

00:26:58.200 he lied on

00:26:59.140 these things

00:26:59.640 and exaggerated

00:27:00.360 and it's

00:27:01.540 all illegal.

00:27:04.440 So,

00:27:05.580 what do you

00:27:06.240 think of

00:27:06.520 that?

00:27:07.700 When you

00:27:08.160 first hear

00:27:08.760 it and you

00:27:09.460 haven't heard

00:27:09.880 the other

00:27:10.260 side,

00:27:11.260 sounds pretty

00:27:11.860 bad,

00:27:12.220 doesn't it?

00:27:13.300 When you've

00:27:13.940 only heard the

00:27:14.520 accusations and

00:27:15.500 you haven't

00:27:15.820 heard the

00:27:16.240 response,

00:27:17.080 yeah,

00:27:17.360 that's bad,

00:27:18.500 pretty bad.

00:27:19.780 It looks like

00:27:20.840 he exaggerated

00:27:22.160 the size of

00:27:23.480 things and the

00:27:24.260 value of

00:27:24.740 things,

00:27:25.080 like maybe

00:27:25.400 by billions,

00:27:26.360 maybe by

00:27:26.900 billions of

00:27:27.440 dollars.

00:27:27.940 Terrible.

00:27:28.900 Really bad.

00:27:30.020 And,

00:27:30.340 you know,

00:27:31.660 with that

00:27:31.980 kind of

00:27:32.380 criminal

00:27:32.740 behavior,

00:27:34.160 I think we

00:27:35.540 can feel

00:27:35.900 bad for

00:27:36.420 the victims.

00:27:38.580 Don't you?

00:27:39.880 I mean,

00:27:40.440 let's give a

00:27:41.300 little bit of

00:27:41.700 thought to

00:27:42.040 the victims

00:27:42.520 of the

00:27:42.840 crimes.

00:27:44.220 So,

00:27:44.520 let's talk

00:27:44.800 about the

00:27:45.180 victims.

00:27:46.760 Let's see,

00:27:47.200 there were

00:27:47.520 the banks

00:27:48.140 that testified

00:27:49.620 they made

00:27:50.500 a lot of

00:27:50.880 money off

00:27:51.340 him and

00:27:53.280 the loans

00:27:53.760 were all

00:27:54.160 paid.

00:27:54.480 the bankers

00:27:58.220 had no

00:27:58.640 problems.

00:27:59.980 The bankers

00:28:00.580 are not

00:28:00.920 complaining.

00:28:04.520 Well,

00:28:05.020 that's okay,

00:28:05.500 but what

00:28:05.760 about the

00:28:06.100 insurance?

00:28:07.980 Well,

00:28:08.480 he paid

00:28:08.820 his insurance

00:28:09.320 premiums,

00:28:10.320 and if he

00:28:11.360 said his

00:28:11.860 property was

00:28:12.720 more valuable

00:28:13.740 than it

00:28:14.180 was,

00:28:15.680 that would

00:28:16.380 suggest he

00:28:17.040 paid more

00:28:17.760 insurance than

00:28:18.520 he needed

00:28:18.900 to.

00:28:21.760 So,

00:28:22.380 maybe the

00:28:22.760 insurance

00:28:23.120 companies made

00:28:23.780 extra money

00:28:24.500 because they

00:28:26.200 were insuring

00:28:26.720 things that

00:28:27.340 could be

00:28:27.720 replaced at

00:28:28.600 much lower

00:28:29.300 cost than

00:28:29.940 he estimated

00:28:30.540 it was its

00:28:31.220 value.

00:28:32.840 So,

00:28:33.480 let's see,

00:28:34.060 so the

00:28:34.480 victims made

00:28:36.080 money,

00:28:37.020 or in

00:28:38.040 another case

00:28:38.740 they made

00:28:39.160 money,

00:28:40.040 and they

00:28:42.120 were perfectly

00:28:42.700 happy with

00:28:43.340 the arrangement.

00:28:46.280 Okay.

00:28:48.160 And,

00:28:48.840 now I'd

00:28:49.560 like to add

00:28:50.040 some context.

00:28:50.860 I've often

00:28:53.580 told you

00:28:54.120 that two

00:28:54.960 of the

00:28:55.240 best skills

00:28:55.920 you could

00:28:56.340 combine to

00:28:57.240 understand the

00:28:57.820 world are,

00:28:58.980 number one,

00:28:59.340 economics,

00:29:00.940 if you know

00:29:01.320 how business

00:29:02.160 works,

00:29:03.020 and number

00:29:03.660 two,

00:29:04.180 persuasion,

00:29:05.000 hypnosis,

00:29:05.660 persuasion.

00:29:06.500 Those two

00:29:07.060 things give you

00:29:07.880 this amazing

00:29:09.260 visibility,

00:29:11.520 because follow

00:29:12.260 the money

00:29:12.720 usually explains

00:29:13.520 everything,

00:29:14.140 right?

00:29:14.460 So,

00:29:14.760 if you understand

00:29:15.280 economics,

00:29:16.280 you know how to

00:29:16.860 follow the money,

00:29:17.460 and if you

00:29:18.620 understand

00:29:18.960 persuasion,

00:29:19.780 you know how

00:29:20.080 people are

00:29:20.400 thinking,

00:29:20.960 and that's

00:29:21.260 pretty predictive

00:29:21.980 as well.

00:29:23.860 Now,

00:29:24.320 I have both

00:29:25.120 of those

00:29:25.640 backgrounds,

00:29:26.940 and one of

00:29:27.760 my backgrounds

00:29:28.240 includes working

00:29:29.100 for a bank.

00:29:30.520 I have a degree

00:29:31.340 in economics,

00:29:32.400 an MBA,

00:29:33.660 and also an MBA,

00:29:35.340 and I work

00:29:36.640 for a big bank

00:29:37.300 as a lender.

00:29:38.720 I made business

00:29:39.680 loans,

00:29:40.260 or I approved

00:29:40.920 them.

00:29:41.320 You know,

00:29:41.440 the branch

00:29:41.920 would initiate

00:29:42.640 them.

00:29:43.400 They'd send 0.75

00:29:43.860 it into

00:29:44.180 headquarters,

00:29:44.840 and I was

00:29:45.120 one of a

00:29:45.620 small group

00:29:46.100 of people

00:29:46.460 who would

00:29:46.660 look at

00:29:46.960 them,

00:29:47.460 mostly for

00:29:48.480 doctors and

00:29:49.100 lawyers,

00:29:49.860 and doctors

00:29:50.940 and dentists

00:29:51.540 mostly,

00:29:52.360 and there

00:29:53.320 were small

00:29:53.620 business loans.

00:29:55.160 Now,

00:29:56.220 do you imagine

00:29:57.460 that I did

00:29:58.060 this?

00:29:58.980 Just try to

00:29:59.540 imagine me

00:30:00.140 getting the

00:30:00.740 loan application.

00:30:02.940 Oh,

00:30:03.160 it's a

00:30:03.360 loan application.

00:30:04.860 All right,

00:30:05.120 what does the

00:30:05.800 person who

00:30:06.240 wants to

00:30:06.740 borrow the

00:30:07.240 money say

00:30:08.560 their house

00:30:09.520 is worth?

00:30:10.780 Okay,

00:30:11.140 they say

00:30:11.460 it's worth

00:30:11.800 $2 million.

00:30:12.860 Okay,

00:30:13.400 I will totally

00:30:14.060 believe that,

00:30:15.100 and now I

00:30:16.200 will base

00:30:16.720 my approval

00:30:17.980 or disapproval

00:30:18.900 on what the

00:30:20.160 person who

00:30:20.760 is asking

00:30:21.280 for the

00:30:21.720 loan

00:30:22.060 says they're

00:30:23.440 worth.

00:30:25.680 Do you

00:30:26.280 think that's

00:30:26.680 ever happened

00:30:27.180 in the history

00:30:27.720 of the world?

00:30:28.880 No.

00:30:29.740 There's no banker

00:30:30.600 who believes

00:30:31.240 people who

00:30:31.900 apply for

00:30:32.900 things.

00:30:34.000 Do you

00:30:34.300 think that if

00:30:34.820 you say you're

00:30:35.620 worth something,

00:30:36.580 the bank goes,

00:30:37.500 whoa, I didn't

00:30:37.960 know that,

00:30:38.420 okay.

00:30:39.700 In no world,

00:30:41.060 in no world

00:30:42.140 has that ever

00:30:42.820 happened.

00:30:43.240 Not even

00:30:44.340 once.

00:30:45.960 Do you

00:30:46.180 know what I

00:30:47.040 did when

00:30:47.560 people would

00:30:48.040 do an

00:30:48.380 application for

00:30:49.220 a loan?

00:30:50.700 I would

00:30:51.280 look at

00:30:51.580 every number

00:30:52.140 that mattered

00:30:52.820 and then I'd

00:30:54.100 say prove it.

00:30:55.840 So they had

00:30:56.560 to show me

00:30:57.040 their tax

00:30:57.860 returns for

00:30:58.560 three years.

00:31:00.340 Do you

00:31:00.640 think I

00:31:00.940 believed what

00:31:01.540 their income

00:31:01.960 was or do

00:31:02.500 you think I

00:31:02.840 just looked

00:31:03.260 on their

00:31:03.520 tax returns?

00:31:05.280 Were they

00:31:05.700 the same?

00:31:06.860 Not always.

00:31:08.280 Not always.

00:31:09.020 But which

00:31:11.480 one did I

00:31:11.940 believe?

00:31:12.380 The tax

00:31:12.860 return or

00:31:14.200 what they

00:31:14.620 said they

00:31:15.260 made?

00:31:16.380 I believe

00:31:16.760 the tax

00:31:17.140 return.

00:31:17.540 That's the

00:31:17.800 only thing

00:31:18.120 I looked

00:31:18.400 at.

00:31:19.240 When they

00:31:19.820 said my

00:31:21.400 business will

00:31:22.000 be so good

00:31:22.780 it's going

00:31:23.400 to be a

00:31:24.180 rocket and

00:31:24.960 I'll have

00:31:25.880 ten times as

00:31:27.120 much money as

00:31:27.840 I need to

00:31:28.320 pay back your

00:31:28.860 loan.

00:31:29.580 Did I take

00:31:30.080 their word

00:31:30.420 for it?

00:31:31.300 Do you

00:31:31.520 think I

00:31:31.820 took their

00:31:32.220 cash flow

00:31:32.800 projection and

00:31:34.060 said well

00:31:34.420 that looks

00:31:34.860 good to me?

00:31:36.260 No.

00:31:37.260 Not even

00:31:37.740 once.

00:31:39.020 I took

00:31:39.560 their cash

00:31:40.060 projection and

00:31:41.500 I reduced

00:31:42.100 it by 75%

00:31:43.580 and I

00:31:45.340 said well

00:31:46.540 if they're

00:31:47.320 off by that

00:31:47.940 much and

00:31:48.420 they can

00:31:48.680 still pay

00:31:49.160 off the

00:31:49.520 loan this

00:31:50.000 is a good

00:31:50.380 deal.

00:31:52.200 But if

00:31:52.460 I depended

00:31:53.560 on their

00:31:54.040 projection they

00:31:56.060 didn't get

00:31:56.420 the loan.

00:31:58.100 If I

00:31:58.580 couldn't make

00:32:00.160 my own

00:32:00.520 argument for

00:32:01.080 why it

00:32:01.360 made sense I

00:32:02.100 didn't make

00:32:02.460 the loan.

00:32:03.160 I didn't

00:32:03.500 approve it.

00:32:05.560 Now what

00:32:06.580 about if

00:32:06.960 somebody says

00:32:07.720 they're

00:32:08.620 building is

00:32:09.320 a certain

00:32:09.720 size and

00:32:11.040 therefore is

00:32:12.320 worth a

00:32:12.780 certain value

00:32:13.460 and they

00:32:14.100 lied.

00:32:16.620 That

00:32:17.220 shouldn't

00:32:17.700 make any

00:32:18.340 difference

00:32:18.880 because they

00:32:20.520 always send

00:32:21.200 out an

00:32:21.580 appraiser.

00:32:22.860 The appraiser

00:32:23.520 actually goes

00:32:24.220 out with a

00:32:24.840 measuring device

00:32:26.140 and measures

00:32:27.340 the size of

00:32:28.340 things.

00:32:29.720 Like literally

00:32:30.220 physically they

00:32:31.000 measure it.

00:32:32.120 And then they

00:32:32.560 compare it to

00:32:33.300 all the

00:32:33.620 comparables and

00:32:35.320 they look at

00:32:36.360 look at your

00:32:36.900 argument.

00:32:37.560 Now in

00:32:37.900 Trump's case

00:32:38.560 I think he

00:32:39.560 made an

00:32:39.920 argument that

00:32:40.500 the brand

00:32:41.260 Trump added

00:32:42.780 some value.

00:32:44.200 Do you

00:32:44.440 think that

00:32:44.800 the bank

00:32:45.380 considered the

00:32:47.100 brand value

00:32:48.220 which Trump

00:32:49.260 might have

00:32:49.580 said oh

00:32:49.880 that's worth

00:32:50.760 billions of

00:32:51.320 dollars.

00:32:51.860 Do you

00:32:52.080 think that

00:32:52.400 they considered

00:32:52.980 that when

00:32:53.400 they made

00:32:53.720 the loan?

00:32:55.680 Not if

00:32:56.300 they were

00:32:56.520 good bankers.

00:32:58.000 No.

00:32:58.380 You might

00:32:58.880 if you were

00:33:00.280 not a banker

00:33:00.860 you might say

00:33:01.440 yeah that's

00:33:01.980 I mean that

00:33:03.140 has a real

00:33:03.620 value.

00:33:04.260 The brand

00:33:04.700 has a genuine

00:33:05.420 value.

00:33:06.480 So therefore

00:33:06.980 I will include

00:33:07.980 that in my

00:33:08.360 analysis.

00:33:09.460 But if you're

00:33:09.820 a banker

00:33:10.300 oh no.

00:33:12.180 No.

00:33:13.100 No.

00:33:13.580 You're not

00:33:14.340 going to count

00:33:14.740 the goodwill

00:33:15.320 when you make

00:33:16.280 a loan.

00:33:17.240 No.

00:33:17.840 Goodwill is

00:33:18.520 not part of

00:33:18.980 the loan

00:33:19.260 package.

00:33:20.160 So do you

00:33:20.480 think that

00:33:20.820 the banks

00:33:21.320 made an

00:33:22.480 exception for

00:33:23.120 his case

00:33:23.540 and said

00:33:23.960 oh but in

00:33:24.540 this case

00:33:25.060 his intangibles

00:33:26.460 really are

00:33:27.180 important?

00:33:28.780 Probably not.

00:33:30.120 Probably not.

00:33:30.960 They probably

00:33:31.260 just looked at

00:33:31.800 the real estate.

00:33:32.900 They probably

00:33:33.300 sent their

00:33:33.780 own appraiser

00:33:34.400 and they

00:33:35.420 probably said

00:33:36.060 all right

00:33:36.380 that looks

00:33:36.720 good.

00:33:38.240 Now is it

00:33:38.780 possible that

00:33:39.620 Trump said

00:33:41.240 something was

00:33:41.940 worth, I'll

00:33:43.000 just make up

00:33:43.540 some numbers

00:33:44.020 here, is it

00:33:44.740 possible he

00:33:45.260 said something

00:33:45.820 was worth a

00:33:46.540 billion and

00:33:47.840 therefore you

00:33:48.480 should give me

00:33:48.840 a lot of a

00:33:49.280 billion or even

00:33:50.000 half a billion?

00:33:51.640 But like you

00:33:54.300 could still pay

00:33:54.760 off the loan

00:33:55.360 because he's

00:33:55.880 got good cash

00:33:56.520 flow.

00:33:57.420 So I don't

00:33:58.200 care that you

00:33:58.660 lied about the

00:33:59.280 value of your

00:33:59.800 house.

00:34:00.760 We checked it

00:34:01.380 ourself and

00:34:02.680 our own

00:34:03.040 appraiser says

00:34:03.780 it's not

00:34:04.160 nearly worth

00:34:04.740 what you

00:34:05.060 say it

00:34:05.340 is, but

00:34:05.880 the loan

00:34:06.220 still works.

00:34:07.160 The numbers

00:34:07.440 still work on

00:34:08.000 the loan, so

00:34:08.540 no problem.

00:34:09.600 They would

00:34:09.880 just make

00:34:10.200 that loan.

00:34:11.140 Do you

00:34:11.320 think they

00:34:11.600 would report

00:34:12.140 Trump to

00:34:12.600 the police

00:34:13.180 because he

00:34:14.280 said his

00:34:14.640 building was

00:34:15.160 bigger or

00:34:16.240 was worth

00:34:16.800 more than

00:34:17.280 the appraiser

00:34:17.800 that they

00:34:18.220 sent?

00:34:19.140 No.

00:34:20.020 That's

00:34:20.320 business as

00:34:20.920 usual.

00:34:22.080 Business as

00:34:22.840 usual.

00:34:23.700 The bank

00:34:24.140 wouldn't even

00:34:24.580 blink.

00:34:25.660 They'd just

00:34:26.060 say, oh

00:34:26.620 wow, his

00:34:27.280 numbers were

00:34:27.760 way off, but

00:34:28.960 I'm glad we

00:34:29.580 have our

00:34:29.920 numbers and

00:34:30.460 we'll base it

00:34:31.120 on that.

00:34:32.080 Nobody would

00:34:32.560 even blink.

00:34:33.140 That's so

00:34:33.580 normal.

00:34:35.500 Now, when I

00:34:37.240 insured my

00:34:38.020 house, just a

00:34:39.380 private residence,

00:34:41.360 it's a little bit

00:34:42.240 bigger than a

00:34:42.760 normal house, and

00:34:44.240 so the insurance

00:34:45.200 company said they

00:34:46.620 wouldn't take my

00:34:47.260 word for what it

00:34:47.900 was worth.

00:34:49.300 It would be easy

00:34:50.220 to look on

00:34:51.160 Zillow and you

00:34:51.980 can see the

00:34:52.400 house and you

00:34:53.780 could estimate

00:34:54.460 what it was

00:34:54.900 worth based on

00:34:55.560 comps and stuff

00:34:56.380 like that, but

00:34:57.220 that wasn't good

00:34:57.800 enough.

00:34:58.740 At a certain

00:34:59.500 scale, they

00:35:00.760 send a person

00:35:01.560 out to walk

00:35:02.240 around, and

00:35:03.420 that person

00:35:03.920 measured and

00:35:05.080 asked a million

00:35:06.140 questions about

00:35:06.880 my house and

00:35:07.760 how it was

00:35:08.520 built and all

00:35:09.400 this stuff.

00:35:10.300 Now, you

00:35:10.640 don't think they

00:35:11.160 did that for a

00:35:11.880 Trump property?

00:35:13.560 Do you think

00:35:14.260 they took his

00:35:14.900 word for what

00:35:15.700 Mar-a-Lago was

00:35:16.500 worth?

00:35:17.640 You don't think

00:35:18.120 they actually

00:35:18.580 sent somebody to

00:35:19.300 look at Mar-a-

00:35:19.800 Lago?

00:35:20.860 Of course they

00:35:21.760 did.

00:35:22.980 Of course they

00:35:24.040 did.

00:35:25.640 Now, one of the

00:35:26.500 things I saw

00:35:27.020 Eric Trump

00:35:27.940 argue was

00:35:29.920 that I

00:35:31.960 guess the

00:35:32.560 legal, whoever

00:35:35.620 it was in the

00:35:36.580 legal process,

00:35:37.920 said that Mar-a-

00:35:38.740 Lago was

00:35:39.280 worth around

00:35:39.760 $18 million.

00:35:42.520 Now, do any

00:35:43.900 of you know

00:35:44.300 anything about

00:35:45.000 real estate?

00:35:46.520 Do you think

00:35:46.960 Mar-a-Lago is

00:35:47.720 only worth $18

00:35:48.480 million?

00:35:52.640 Does that

00:35:53.360 sound a little

00:35:53.840 low?

00:35:54.620 Now, Eric

00:35:55.060 says that some

00:35:55.780 estimates were up

00:35:56.620 to a billion

00:35:57.120 dollars, but

00:35:57.800 that's a

00:35:58.160 Trump estimate.

00:35:59.520 So, you

00:36:00.020 know, I

00:36:00.300 don't believe

00:36:00.700 Eric Trump's

00:36:01.380 estimate that

00:36:01.920 it's worth

00:36:02.220 nearly a

00:36:02.700 billion, but

00:36:03.580 it's not

00:36:03.920 worth nearly

00:36:04.600 $18 million.

00:36:06.420 $18 million is

00:36:07.380 just a crazy

00:36:08.140 low number.

00:36:09.340 I don't know

00:36:09.720 what the

00:36:10.000 number is, but

00:36:10.840 it's not

00:36:11.280 $18.

00:36:12.660 I don't think

00:36:13.440 you have to be

00:36:13.780 a real estate

00:36:14.260 expert to know

00:36:14.900 that's low.

00:36:15.360 So, there's

00:36:17.980 something going

00:36:18.520 on here that

00:36:20.920 doesn't look

00:36:21.580 too copacetic,

00:36:23.340 and apparently

00:36:23.860 Trump lost

00:36:26.360 business licenses

00:36:27.640 in New York.

00:36:28.480 I don't know

00:36:28.800 which ones, but

00:36:29.780 they might make

00:36:30.380 it difficult or

00:36:31.180 impossible to do

00:36:32.060 business in New

00:36:32.820 York.

00:36:33.840 So, Trump may

00:36:35.720 not be able to

00:36:36.500 do any business

00:36:37.580 in New York,

00:36:38.740 which presumably

00:36:39.580 is a big hub of

00:36:40.720 his real estate

00:36:41.720 empire.

00:36:42.040 And, does

00:36:44.780 this look like

00:36:45.460 anything except

00:36:46.300 political?

00:36:48.480 It just looks

00:36:49.360 completely political,

00:36:50.380 right?

00:36:51.160 Yeah, it looks

00:36:51.780 like he's being

00:36:52.380 hunted like a lot

00:36:53.400 of Republicans.

00:36:55.780 And, I'll tell

00:36:58.080 you, if he

00:36:59.520 survives this,

00:37:01.900 which might

00:37:02.540 require him to

00:37:03.680 pardon himself,

00:37:05.700 but he can't

00:37:06.260 pardon himself

00:37:06.840 from state

00:37:08.240 charges, so he

00:37:09.020 can't even

00:37:09.380 pardon himself

00:37:10.080 out of this,

00:37:10.620 can he?

00:37:10.820 But, this

00:37:12.200 might end up

00:37:12.800 being more

00:37:13.200 financial than

00:37:14.160 jail, I

00:37:15.060 don't know.

00:37:18.960 But, it does

00:37:19.920 look like if

00:37:21.020 he does get

00:37:21.660 out of this

00:37:22.140 trouble, he

00:37:23.820 should really

00:37:24.320 jail everybody,

00:37:26.440 including the

00:37:27.160 prosecutors.

00:37:28.240 I think the

00:37:28.900 prosecutors in

00:37:29.620 this case are

00:37:30.460 acting criminally,

00:37:32.120 because I don't

00:37:32.620 think that they're

00:37:33.200 treating him the

00:37:33.780 way they would

00:37:34.200 treat other

00:37:34.940 people.

00:37:36.360 So, if he

00:37:37.220 got into

00:37:38.160 office and

00:37:38.660 immediately had

00:37:39.540 this prosecutor

00:37:41.200 arrested, I

00:37:44.640 don't think he

00:37:45.080 could, because

00:37:45.520 it's probably a

00:37:46.260 state affair, not

00:37:47.080 a federal affair,

00:37:47.840 but if he

00:37:48.420 could, I'd be

00:37:49.540 okay with that.

00:37:50.640 I think this

00:37:51.240 prosecutor is not

00:37:53.720 doing the

00:37:54.180 country's work, and

00:37:55.140 if there's some

00:37:55.700 crime that he

00:37:56.420 could, you

00:37:58.800 know, in any

00:37:59.460 way connect her 0.62

00:38:00.340 to, I think she

00:38:01.160 should be

00:38:01.500 arrested, because

00:38:02.640 this doesn't even

00:38:03.240 look close to

00:38:04.240 justice.

00:38:05.200 It's not even

00:38:05.600 close.

00:38:06.000 It's not even in

00:38:06.660 the zip code of

00:38:08.000 anything that

00:38:08.460 looks credible or

00:38:09.820 legitimate.

00:38:11.560 So, yeah, should

00:38:12.840 totally be

00:38:13.320 arrested.

00:38:15.500 All right.

00:38:18.480 Tonight are the

00:38:20.040 undercard debates

00:38:22.120 of the Republicans

00:38:22.820 minus Trump, who

00:38:24.820 wisely is not

00:38:26.040 going.

00:38:27.140 And let me tell

00:38:28.140 you that the

00:38:28.720 less that Trump

00:38:29.500 makes trouble, the

00:38:31.760 stronger he is.

00:38:32.960 If he just

00:38:33.720 doesn't make new

00:38:34.700 trouble, and he

00:38:35.600 says the same 0.76

00:38:36.620 things he's

00:38:37.080 always said, he's

00:38:38.200 just going to

00:38:38.620 sail into the

00:38:39.320 office, it looks

00:38:40.600 like.

00:38:41.260 You know, lots

00:38:41.660 could change, but

00:38:42.440 at the moment

00:38:43.000 that's the

00:38:43.440 trajectory.

00:38:45.000 So, I'll be

00:38:45.720 watching tonight.

00:38:47.300 I did see a

00:38:49.600 story that said

00:38:50.240 that Fox News

00:38:51.140 was not getting

00:38:52.060 the audience for

00:38:53.520 this based on

00:38:55.080 the last debate.

00:38:56.260 The audience for

00:38:57.400 the undercard

00:38:58.080 debate is not

00:38:58.720 that big, because

00:38:59.560 there's no Trump.

00:39:01.980 But I saw that

00:39:03.720 Dana Perino is

00:39:04.560 one of three

00:39:05.180 hosts, so she'll 0.99

00:39:06.240 be hosting that

00:39:06.940 tonight.

00:39:08.000 And this will

00:39:10.300 be interesting,

00:39:10.980 because I think

00:39:11.580 that Dana Perino

00:39:12.720 will draw a big

00:39:13.580 audience independent

00:39:15.480 of the content,

00:39:17.000 just because she's

00:39:17.920 very popular.

00:39:19.860 And I can't

00:39:23.280 wait to see it.

00:39:23.940 I'm actually very

00:39:24.600 excited to see it.

00:39:27.280 Who are the

00:39:27.940 other hosts?

00:39:29.620 So, the other

00:39:30.440 hosts, I don't

00:39:30.960 even remember their

00:39:31.580 names.

00:39:31.820 It's Stuart Varney

00:39:33.760 or somebody?

00:39:35.620 Who is it?

00:39:37.380 Stuart Varney

00:39:38.240 from Fox

00:39:39.540 Business.

00:39:40.540 And then there's

00:39:41.140 a Univision host

00:39:42.280 whose name I

00:39:42.920 should say,

00:39:43.480 because I don't

00:39:43.960 want to be a

00:39:44.380 jerk.

00:39:46.080 What's the name

00:39:46.720 of the Univision

00:39:48.060 host?

00:39:50.700 If you know

00:39:51.380 that, let me

00:39:51.860 know.

00:39:58.080 You're just

00:39:58.680 guessing at the

00:39:59.300 name.

00:40:00.100 Stop guessing.

00:40:01.700 All right, we

00:40:02.140 don't know her

00:40:02.620 name, but I'm

00:40:03.780 sure she's very

00:40:04.400 good.

00:40:06.780 All right, the

00:40:07.960 Apple store in

00:40:09.220 Philadelphia got

00:40:10.240 looted along with

00:40:11.200 a bunch of other

00:40:11.800 things in

00:40:12.380 Philadelphia.

00:40:13.300 I guess the

00:40:13.720 looting's crazy.

00:40:15.840 And one BLM

00:40:18.360 protester was

00:40:19.180 yelling, it just

00:40:19.840 started, we

00:40:20.480 finished, lots

00:40:21.980 more stores to

00:40:22.840 loot.

00:40:23.880 Now, what would

00:40:24.640 you do if you

00:40:25.600 were a store

00:40:27.580 owner in

00:40:28.300 Philadelphia?

00:40:30.260 Would you

00:40:30.900 stick it out

00:40:31.600 and say, ah,

00:40:32.540 we can work

00:40:33.540 through this?

00:40:34.680 Or would you

00:40:35.740 get the FN of

00:40:36.960 Philadelphia?

00:40:38.920 I'd probably

00:40:39.560 get out.

00:40:43.800 In San

00:40:44.460 Francisco, and

00:40:45.640 a bunch of

00:40:46.040 other places,

00:40:46.660 I guess, Target

00:40:47.600 stores are going

00:40:48.340 to close stores

00:40:49.380 because there's

00:40:50.280 too much looting.

00:40:51.920 And there are

00:40:52.540 three of them

00:40:53.160 that will be

00:40:53.520 closed in the

00:40:54.020 Bay Area.

00:40:54.460 So my

00:40:55.700 hunting ground

00:40:57.540 here will be

00:40:58.380 three Bay Area

00:40:59.160 stores will

00:40:59.740 close their

00:41:00.680 targets.

00:41:02.580 And it looks

00:41:03.300 like they'll

00:41:03.640 shutter nine

00:41:04.600 stores across

00:41:05.440 four different

00:41:06.200 cities or

00:41:07.060 something.

00:41:08.180 Now, what

00:41:08.820 would you do

00:41:09.400 if you were

00:41:09.920 a target and

00:41:11.360 you were in

00:41:11.840 San Francisco

00:41:12.480 and you kept

00:41:13.840 getting looted?

00:41:15.040 What would you

00:41:15.460 do?

00:41:16.940 Would you

00:41:17.480 stick it out?

00:41:19.340 Not me.

00:41:21.180 I'd get the

00:41:21.900 F out of there.

00:41:22.500 In an

00:41:26.200 unrelated story,

00:41:28.860 there was a

00:41:29.420 study of how

00:41:30.060 many applicants

00:41:31.220 for S&P 100

00:41:33.180 jobs went to

00:41:34.660 white applicants

00:41:35.460 after George

00:41:36.820 Floyd's death.

00:41:38.400 So after George

00:41:39.240 Floyd died in

00:41:40.620 the year that

00:41:41.760 followed George

00:41:42.560 Floyd's death,

00:41:44.180 only 6% of the

00:41:46.440 people hired by

00:41:47.480 S&P 100

00:41:48.660 were white.

00:41:50.460 So 94% of

00:41:53.020 the new

00:41:53.280 hires were 0.95

00:41:53.860 non-white.

00:41:55.300 So for a

00:41:55.840 year, white

00:41:56.520 people basically

00:41:57.320 couldn't get

00:41:57.980 hired at the

00:41:59.240 top 100

00:41:59.760 corporations in

00:42:00.700 America.

00:42:02.860 What would

00:42:03.600 you do if

00:42:04.820 you were a

00:42:05.440 white male?

00:42:06.740 I'll say male 1.00

00:42:07.560 had to be

00:42:07.980 worse.

00:42:08.820 If you were a

00:42:09.760 white male and

00:42:11.940 you knew that

00:42:13.580 you couldn't get

00:42:14.220 a job at the

00:42:14.900 S&P 100,

00:42:15.980 and if you

00:42:16.480 did, you're

00:42:17.640 definitely not

00:42:18.160 going to get

00:42:18.500 promoted.

00:42:18.900 So even if

00:42:20.720 you got lucky,

00:42:21.460 ah, I'm in

00:42:22.760 the 6%. 0.61

00:42:23.660 Yes, I made

00:42:25.540 it into the

00:42:26.060 S&P 100.

00:42:27.700 Well, that's

00:42:28.480 the end of

00:42:28.880 your journey.

00:42:30.200 You got

00:42:30.880 hired, but

00:42:31.540 you're not

00:42:32.000 getting promoted

00:42:32.720 in that context.

00:42:34.040 So what would

00:42:34.700 you do?

00:42:35.960 Would you

00:42:36.680 stick around at

00:42:37.640 the S&P 100

00:42:38.700 and keep

00:42:40.060 trying harder?

00:42:42.360 I wouldn't.

00:42:43.620 I would get

00:42:44.360 the F out of

00:42:44.940 there.

00:42:45.640 Just get the

00:42:46.240 F out of

00:42:46.620 there.

00:42:48.680 All right.

00:42:51.960 As I

00:42:52.560 continue to

00:42:53.200 be more

00:42:53.600 right every

00:42:54.120 day, let's

00:42:55.180 go to this

00:42:55.520 next story.

00:42:56.700 So Amazon's

00:42:57.560 been targeted

00:42:58.060 by,

00:42:58.980 interestingly,

00:42:59.720 the Federal

00:43:00.860 Trade

00:43:01.200 Commission.

00:43:02.200 Now, this

00:43:02.620 is the

00:43:02.920 Biden

00:43:03.200 administration

00:43:03.920 going after

00:43:06.020 Amazon in

00:43:07.260 a really

00:43:07.960 aggressive

00:43:08.500 way,

00:43:09.880 meaning

00:43:10.300 specifically

00:43:11.940 for being

00:43:12.900 a monopoly.

00:43:15.380 so

00:43:16.760 essentially

00:43:17.920 the charge

00:43:19.620 is that

00:43:20.200 they force

00:43:21.060 their sellers

00:43:21.820 to do

00:43:22.480 things the

00:43:22.940 sellers don't

00:43:23.500 want to do,

00:43:24.200 such as

00:43:24.720 use Amazon's

00:43:26.180 delivery service

00:43:27.100 that costs

00:43:28.000 more, etc.

00:43:29.000 So the idea

00:43:29.940 is that Amazon

00:43:31.020 is abusive

00:43:32.840 to the smaller

00:43:34.340 businesses that

00:43:35.240 they depend on

00:43:35.960 for their supply

00:43:36.660 of goods.

00:43:38.520 And the

00:43:39.580 argument against

00:43:41.100 that,

00:43:42.000 which is pretty

00:43:42.780 strong,

00:43:43.180 is that

00:43:44.480 Amazon has

00:43:45.340 a razor-thin

00:43:46.180 margin,

00:43:47.120 which looks

00:43:48.500 the opposite

00:43:49.020 of a monopoly.

00:43:50.440 That's a

00:43:50.860 pretty good

00:43:51.220 argument.

00:43:52.400 It might be

00:43:53.000 true they're

00:43:53.380 doing all

00:43:54.360 these things,

00:43:55.440 but they're

00:43:56.120 not doing

00:43:56.680 all these

00:43:57.100 things and

00:43:57.760 then reaping

00:43:58.440 a monopoly-like

00:43:59.980 profit.

00:44:01.220 They're doing

00:44:02.000 all these

00:44:02.380 things because

00:44:03.380 they have a

00:44:03.860 razor-thin

00:44:04.360 margin.

00:44:05.360 They pretty

00:44:06.160 much have to

00:44:06.720 do those

00:44:07.160 things or

00:44:08.140 there's no

00:44:08.560 Amazon.

00:44:08.920 So that's

00:44:11.260 the idiot's

00:44:12.040 simple version

00:44:13.660 of it.

00:44:14.740 So how

00:44:15.380 interesting is

00:44:16.120 it that the

00:44:18.220 Biden

00:44:18.500 administration's

00:44:19.580 FTC is

00:44:21.160 going hard at

00:44:22.080 Amazon in a

00:44:23.080 way that could

00:44:23.620 be devastating

00:44:24.920 if they were

00:44:25.820 successful?

00:44:26.500 I mean, it

00:44:26.720 could be really

00:44:27.180 bad.

00:44:28.540 At the same

00:44:29.140 time, Jeff

00:44:30.520 Bezos owns

00:44:31.500 a big part of

00:44:32.860 Amazon.

00:44:33.740 He owns

00:44:34.500 Washington Post,

00:44:36.820 which most

00:44:37.940 smart people

00:44:38.760 who pay

00:44:39.240 attention to

00:44:39.780 politics would

00:44:40.460 say, does

00:44:41.740 the bidding

00:44:42.200 of the

00:44:42.540 administration.

00:44:44.380 How do

00:44:45.100 they square

00:44:45.620 that?

00:44:47.640 Is Jeff

00:44:48.600 Bezos just

00:44:49.380 saying, you

00:44:51.000 just lost the

00:44:51.780 Washington Post?

00:44:53.440 Do you

00:44:54.120 think Jeff

00:44:54.580 Bezos is

00:44:55.580 going to go

00:44:55.960 after the

00:44:56.500 Biden

00:44:56.860 administration

00:44:57.680 hard in

00:44:58.580 the Washington

00:44:59.000 Post?

00:45:00.820 Because that's

00:45:01.940 the opposite

00:45:02.380 of what they

00:45:02.800 do.

00:45:05.720 Watch the

00:45:06.600 fun.

00:45:06.940 So very

00:45:08.060 much like

00:45:08.700 Murdoch,

00:45:10.280 one billionaire,

00:45:11.680 has an

00:45:12.080 interesting

00:45:12.440 situation

00:45:13.080 because he

00:45:13.700 owns the

00:45:14.240 Wall Street

00:45:14.600 Journal and

00:45:15.100 Fox News.

00:45:16.220 One is

00:45:16.700 talking shit

00:45:17.260 about TikTok

00:45:17.880 and the

00:45:18.360 other is

00:45:18.760 using him

00:45:19.160 as an

00:45:19.460 advertiser.

00:45:20.880 It's a

00:45:21.280 complicated

00:45:21.660 world.

00:45:22.960 Jeff Bezos

00:45:23.560 has an

00:45:23.920 even more

00:45:24.360 complicated

00:45:24.840 world because

00:45:25.900 the Biden

00:45:26.300 administration

00:45:26.800 is going

00:45:28.380 after his

00:45:28.940 main business

00:45:29.680 while depending

00:45:31.120 on his

00:45:31.760 other business

00:45:32.520 for their

00:45:34.060 own future.

00:45:34.660 and I

00:45:37.580 think he

00:45:37.900 just has

00:45:38.300 to turn

00:45:38.680 that knob

00:45:39.280 and the

00:45:39.720 Washington

00:45:40.040 Post goes

00:45:40.580 out of

00:45:40.800 business.

00:45:42.820 Am I

00:45:43.400 wrong?

00:45:45.480 If I

00:45:46.100 were Bezos,

00:45:46.820 I would

00:45:47.180 tell the

00:45:47.520 administration

00:45:48.020 I'm going

00:45:48.460 to turn

00:45:48.760 it off.

00:45:50.280 Do you

00:45:50.820 know how

00:45:51.100 much

00:45:51.300 panicked

00:45:51.740 they would

00:45:52.060 be if

00:45:52.400 they lost

00:45:52.780 the

00:45:52.960 Washington

00:45:53.260 Post?

00:45:56.060 Try to

00:45:56.640 hold that

00:45:56.960 in your

00:45:57.140 head.

00:45:57.400 If the

00:45:59.240 Democrats

00:45:59.700 lost the

00:46:00.540 Washington

00:46:00.940 Post,

00:46:02.340 they would

00:46:03.020 be absolutely

00:46:03.780 fucked.

00:46:04.440 Because the

00:46:04.800 Washington

00:46:05.080 Post is

00:46:05.580 their main

00:46:06.000 source of

00:46:06.580 fake news.

00:46:07.520 It's how

00:46:07.800 they control

00:46:08.360 the minds

00:46:09.660 of their

00:46:10.060 people.

00:46:10.960 The

00:46:11.080 Washington

00:46:11.380 Post says

00:46:11.960 it's true,

00:46:12.700 even if

00:46:13.140 it isn't.

00:46:14.040 And then

00:46:14.420 the other

00:46:14.980 followers say,

00:46:16.640 well, it was

00:46:17.000 in the

00:46:17.220 Washington

00:46:17.480 Post, so

00:46:18.100 we're going

00:46:18.440 to go

00:46:18.680 with it.

00:46:20.500 Yeah.

00:46:21.840 So, yeah,

00:46:23.580 New York

00:46:23.820 Times is a

00:46:24.420 slightly different

00:46:25.000 animal.

00:46:25.760 Some say

00:46:26.200 the Washington

00:46:26.680 Post is

00:46:27.380 CIA-directed,

00:46:28.820 and some

00:46:29.240 say the

00:46:30.520 New York

00:46:30.900 Times is

00:46:31.460 FBI-directed,

00:46:33.780 I don't

00:46:34.740 know about

00:46:35.080 any of

00:46:35.380 that, but

00:46:36.780 it looks

00:46:37.080 like it.

00:46:37.920 It looks

00:46:38.300 like it.

00:46:40.540 So, keep

00:46:42.080 an eye on

00:46:42.700 Washington

00:46:43.160 Post's

00:46:43.760 coverage of

00:46:44.420 the Biden

00:46:44.840 administration.

00:46:46.220 I would

00:46:46.780 bet you

00:46:47.240 that you're

00:46:48.360 going to

00:46:48.500 see a

00:46:48.840 turn toward

00:46:49.460 he's too

00:46:49.960 old and

00:46:50.820 he's

00:46:51.220 decrepit,

00:46:52.200 and he's

00:46:53.120 got to

00:46:53.400 go.

00:46:54.300 That's my

00:46:54.780 guess.

00:46:55.820 Because I

00:46:56.220 don't think

00:46:56.780 Amazon's going

00:46:57.800 to put up,

00:46:58.340 or at least

00:46:58.840 Bezos,

00:46:59.160 I don't

00:46:59.960 think he's

00:47:00.300 going to

00:47:00.480 put up

00:47:00.840 with being

00:47:02.320 targeted at

00:47:03.200 the same

00:47:03.560 time he's

00:47:03.960 carrying water

00:47:04.660 for the

00:47:04.980 people who

00:47:05.300 are targeting

00:47:05.760 him.

00:47:06.480 That doesn't

00:47:07.280 feel Bezos-like,

00:47:09.480 does it?

00:47:11.620 Do you

00:47:12.180 think one of

00:47:12.600 the greatest

00:47:13.080 entrepreneurs in

00:47:14.040 the world,

00:47:15.220 Bezos,

00:47:16.540 is going to

00:47:17.380 allow himself

00:47:18.100 to be this

00:47:18.660 fucked without

00:47:20.180 a strong

00:47:21.540 response?

00:47:23.340 I doubt it.

00:47:24.660 It's going to

00:47:25.200 get fun.

00:47:25.640 Well, my

00:47:28.240 next segment

00:47:28.820 I call

00:47:29.380 It's Hard

00:47:29.940 to Know

00:47:30.280 If You

00:47:30.580 Killed a

00:47:31.000 Russian

00:47:31.260 Leader.

00:47:33.080 So,

00:47:34.360 Ukraine had

00:47:35.540 claimed that

00:47:36.160 they killed

00:47:36.900 this General

00:47:37.900 Viktor Sokolov,

00:47:39.580 who would

00:47:40.380 have been the

00:47:40.760 commander of

00:47:41.400 their fleet,

00:47:42.960 their naval

00:47:43.520 fleet in the

00:47:44.540 Black Sea.

00:47:45.900 And they did

00:47:46.660 a missile attack

00:47:47.280 in Crimea,

00:47:47.960 and they said

00:47:48.320 they got him

00:47:48.900 with a bunch

00:47:49.340 of others.

00:47:49.940 But he

00:47:50.340 appeared on

00:47:50.860 a video,

00:47:52.180 seemingly

00:47:52.960 alive and

00:47:53.880 participating in

00:47:54.720 a meeting.

00:47:55.640 Does that

00:47:56.100 sound familiar?

00:47:57.600 Sounds like

00:47:58.380 the editor of

00:48:00.140 the Wagner

00:48:00.500 group,

00:48:01.060 Brugosian.

00:48:01.960 Yeah, he's

00:48:02.760 dead, he's

00:48:03.280 totally dead.

00:48:04.260 Wait, why

00:48:05.300 is he on

00:48:05.640 that video?

00:48:07.080 Oh, he's

00:48:07.440 totally dead.

00:48:08.180 He's on a

00:48:08.880 video again.

00:48:09.820 We can't

00:48:10.260 tell.

00:48:10.900 So you really

00:48:11.360 can't tell if

00:48:11.960 a Russian is

00:48:12.540 alive or dead

00:48:13.260 after a certain

00:48:14.000 level.

00:48:14.940 Once they

00:48:15.600 reach a

00:48:16.120 general level,

00:48:17.900 they might

00:48:18.420 be dead, 0.96

00:48:19.440 or they might

00:48:19.960 be participating

00:48:20.720 in meetings.

00:48:21.480 We're not

00:48:22.080 entirely sure.

00:48:23.080 Either dead

00:48:23.700 or in meetings,

00:48:24.340 even though

00:48:25.300 that's not

00:48:25.720 a big

00:48:26.020 difference.

00:48:26.660 Being dead

00:48:27.120 and being

00:48:27.460 in a

00:48:27.680 meeting are

00:48:28.140 very similar.

00:48:31.340 All right,

00:48:31.660 here's another

00:48:32.080 story that I'm

00:48:33.280 sure we don't

00:48:33.880 understand.

00:48:34.940 So Mexico 0.94

00:48:35.520 had a deal

00:48:37.040 with a big

00:48:37.740 Chinese lithium

00:48:38.860 company that

00:48:39.720 they were going

00:48:40.420 to mine for

00:48:41.260 lithium in

00:48:42.140 Mexico.

00:48:43.700 And apparently

00:48:44.660 there were some

00:48:45.240 deal points,

00:48:46.260 so the Chinese 0.99

00:48:46.980 investor had to

00:48:47.700 meet some

00:48:48.200 criteria in

00:48:50.360 order to be

00:48:51.180 still allowed to

00:48:52.300 have this

00:48:52.720 investment in

00:48:53.400 Mexico.

00:48:54.120 And Mexico

00:48:54.740 just said,

00:48:55.520 nope, you

00:48:55.940 didn't do

00:48:56.260 your part,

00:48:56.820 and they're

00:48:57.180 yanking back

00:48:57.760 the rights.

00:48:59.820 Do you think

00:49:00.500 that what really

00:49:01.440 happened was

00:49:02.520 the Chinese

00:49:03.060 investment company,

00:49:04.140 who says they

00:49:04.780 did everything

00:49:05.260 they were

00:49:05.540 supposed to do,

00:49:06.580 do you think

00:49:07.040 they did

00:49:07.400 everything they

00:49:07.880 were supposed

00:49:08.220 to do,

00:49:09.500 and Mexico

00:49:11.160 didn't know

00:49:11.920 it, so they're

00:49:13.020 making a mistake,

00:49:14.060 or did they not

00:49:15.160 do what they

00:49:15.620 were supposed

00:49:16.000 to do, and

00:49:16.920 Mexico is just

00:49:17.720 business, and

00:49:19.160 so they're just

00:49:19.680 doing what

00:49:22.180 business people

00:49:22.780 do, if you

00:49:23.300 didn't do

00:49:23.580 your part, I

00:49:24.100 won't do

00:49:24.340 my part, or

00:49:26.220 do you think

00:49:26.780 that none of

00:49:28.180 this story is

00:49:29.760 exactly what it

00:49:31.040 looks like?

00:49:32.480 To me, it

00:49:33.220 looks like Mexico 0.94

00:49:34.600 just stole back

00:49:35.580 their own

00:49:35.960 resources, that

00:49:37.540 maybe it was a

00:49:38.240 bad idea to

00:49:39.240 license these

00:49:40.700 resources to a

00:49:41.820 Chinese company,

00:49:42.760 but it looks

00:49:43.560 like they're just

00:49:44.060 making up an

00:49:44.680 excuse to take

00:49:45.400 them back.

00:49:46.480 Now, do you

00:49:47.940 think they did

00:49:48.460 that on their

00:49:48.980 own, or do you

00:49:50.540 think the United

00:49:51.160 States said, you

00:49:52.980 know, we're

00:49:54.760 going to let

00:49:55.100 your cartels do

00:49:56.060 whatever they

00:49:56.540 want, but we

00:49:57.980 really, really

00:49:58.600 need lithium, and

00:50:00.060 we don't want to

00:50:00.680 get it all from

00:50:01.260 China, so why 0.98

00:50:03.800 don't you screw 0.69

00:50:04.420 your Chinese

00:50:04.980 friends, take

00:50:06.440 back the lithium,

00:50:07.880 and we'll help

00:50:08.540 you develop a

00:50:09.580 mining operation,

00:50:11.740 and if you do

00:50:15.020 that for us,

00:50:15.840 we'll go easy on

00:50:16.820 the cartels and

00:50:17.580 let them keep

00:50:18.060 operating, because

00:50:19.620 the cartels and

00:50:20.460 the Mexican

00:50:20.860 government, not

00:50:21.840 that different

00:50:22.320 entities.

00:50:23.400 Now, I'm not

00:50:24.120 saying that's

00:50:24.600 what happened, I'm

00:50:26.420 just saying it

00:50:26.960 looks exactly like

00:50:27.840 that's what

00:50:28.220 happened, that's

00:50:29.440 all we know, we

00:50:30.640 know it looks

00:50:31.160 like that

00:50:31.720 happened, we

00:50:33.120 certainly don't

00:50:33.700 know there's any

00:50:34.220 connection between

00:50:34.980 the cartels and

00:50:36.080 the lithium, we

00:50:37.340 don't know that

00:50:37.840 the United States

00:50:38.420 had any

00:50:38.940 conversation with

00:50:39.720 Mexico, we

00:50:40.760 don't know if

00:50:41.180 they just did

00:50:41.620 it for their

00:50:41.980 own economic

00:50:42.560 good.

00:50:43.760 The other

00:50:44.420 possibility is

00:50:45.280 that the

00:50:45.640 cartel told the

00:50:47.200 government to

00:50:47.900 steal back the

00:50:48.580 resources because

00:50:49.360 the cartel wants

00:50:50.160 to own the

00:50:50.600 mine, totally

00:50:52.180 possible, could

00:50:53.640 be just the

00:50:54.120 cartels told

00:50:54.820 them to steal

00:50:55.360 it back from

00:50:55.840 Mexico and

00:50:56.840 the Mexican

00:50:57.260 government said

00:50:57.940 okay, we're

00:50:58.920 going to do

00:50:59.160 what you say,

00:51:00.320 maybe.

00:51:02.480 I'm not sure

00:51:03.240 lithium will be

00:51:04.120 the material of

00:51:05.680 the future, I'll

00:51:06.700 tell you the

00:51:07.060 story I'd love

00:51:08.100 to see is do

00:51:10.520 we have a good

00:51:11.200 grasp of which

00:51:13.080 rare earth

00:51:13.880 materials only are

00:51:15.180 in China and

00:51:15.840 nobody else has

00:51:16.480 any and nobody's

00:51:17.180 trying to create

00:51:18.060 more?

00:51:19.780 Because, yeah,

00:51:21.840 rare earth

00:51:22.420 materials are not

00:51:23.480 rare, that is

00:51:24.140 correct.

00:51:25.060 What is rare is

00:51:26.660 a country that is

00:51:28.100 willing to exploit

00:51:29.060 them for a variety

00:51:30.560 of reasons.

00:51:33.280 Yeah, I feel like

00:51:34.900 we're not well

00:51:36.520 served in the

00:51:37.320 reporting because I

00:51:39.080 can't tell you that

00:51:40.040 all our rare earth

00:51:41.480 mineral problems are

00:51:42.380 solved or it's

00:51:43.740 unsolvable or we're

00:51:45.200 halfway to solving

00:51:46.020 it or there's

00:51:47.020 one, maybe there's

00:51:48.020 one mineral or

00:51:49.040 material that we

00:51:49.740 can't get but we're

00:51:50.920 doing okay on the

00:51:51.680 others.

00:51:52.460 Isn't that super

00:51:53.260 important?

00:51:54.280 Like if you're

00:51:54.800 trying to figure out

00:51:55.480 what's the future

00:51:56.940 of the country, you

00:51:59.060 would need to know

00:51:59.900 where we are on

00:52:01.020 these rare earth

00:52:01.680 materials because

00:52:02.720 without them the

00:52:03.560 technology sector

00:52:04.520 just dies.

00:52:06.400 And I don't think

00:52:07.040 that's, I don't

00:52:08.620 remember seeing a

00:52:09.300 story about it.

00:52:10.440 You see a story

00:52:11.140 about like one

00:52:12.000 material and a

00:52:13.760 context.

00:52:15.200 All right.

00:52:18.100 So we'll keep an

00:52:18.940 eye on that.

00:52:20.640 San Francisco had

00:52:21.940 tried to experiment

00:52:22.980 to make sure that

00:52:26.640 all the kids did

00:52:27.660 well because there

00:52:28.900 were some segments

00:52:29.660 of the kids who

00:52:30.280 were not doing

00:52:30.720 well in math and

00:52:32.060 they thought they

00:52:32.540 could fix it by

00:52:34.240 delaying the

00:52:36.260 teaching of

00:52:36.760 algebra to ninth

00:52:37.720 grade.

00:52:38.700 So normally they

00:52:39.420 started teaching in

00:52:40.220 eighth grade and

00:52:41.280 the thinking was

00:52:42.140 that some demographic

00:52:44.700 of the kids could

00:52:47.220 do math as well as

00:52:48.720 everybody else in

00:52:49.460 ninth grade but

00:52:50.400 they certainly

00:52:50.940 couldn't do it in

00:52:51.680 eighth grade because

00:52:53.480 reasons, reasons and

00:52:55.640 stuff.

00:52:56.860 That's why.

00:52:58.040 But they tried that

00:52:58.860 for a while and now

00:52:59.860 this will be a deep

00:53:00.580 surprise to many of

00:53:01.520 you, deep surprise.

00:53:03.400 But it turns out,

00:53:04.500 believe it or not,

00:53:05.960 it didn't make a

00:53:06.800 difference.

00:53:08.300 Can you believe that?

00:53:09.360 It didn't fix the

00:53:11.920 disparity, it was a

00:53:12.940 racial disparity it

00:53:13.900 turned out, but it

00:53:15.260 didn't fix the

00:53:15.940 disparity by teaching

00:53:18.680 it in ninth grade

00:53:19.500 instead of eighth

00:53:20.140 grade.

00:53:21.540 Are you blown away

00:53:23.160 by that?

00:53:24.040 It was such a good

00:53:25.040 idea, so logical

00:53:27.060 that it would work

00:53:28.160 and then it didn't,

00:53:30.040 so it looks like

00:53:30.580 they're going to

00:53:30.900 reverse it.

00:53:31.860 Wow.

00:53:32.880 Quite a shocker.

00:53:34.980 Now let me ask you

00:53:36.080 this question.

00:53:36.500 If your child was

00:53:37.700 really good in math

00:53:38.760 and you knew it

00:53:39.640 from the beginning,

00:53:40.500 like from first

00:53:41.300 grade, you could

00:53:41.860 tell, and that kid

00:53:44.220 looked like it was

00:53:46.060 headed for college

00:53:46.880 and maybe some kind

00:53:47.700 of a professional

00:53:48.300 career, which math

00:53:49.280 was important?

00:53:50.540 What would you do if

00:53:51.880 you were a kid, had

00:53:53.100 to be in a school

00:53:54.000 where math was being

00:53:56.180 degraded so that

00:53:58.320 everybody could catch

00:53:59.120 up?

00:54:00.180 What's the best

00:54:01.120 strategy there?

00:54:02.400 Stick it out, stay

00:54:03.980 there and just do the

00:54:05.740 best you can with

00:54:06.480 the lesser math.

00:54:09.180 Oh no, it would be

00:54:10.060 get the fuck out of

00:54:10.860 there.

00:54:11.240 Yeah, you should

00:54:11.940 take your kid out of

00:54:12.840 there and move to

00:54:13.600 another town.

00:54:14.840 You just get the

00:54:15.360 fuck out.

00:54:17.660 All right.

00:54:19.200 Unless you want

00:54:19.880 your kid to have

00:54:20.420 fewer options for

00:54:21.320 success.

00:54:24.420 So we could have

00:54:25.440 called today, Scott

00:54:26.500 is right about

00:54:27.040 everything, but I

00:54:28.640 feel that would be

00:54:29.240 too egocentric, even

00:54:33.120 though I am.

00:54:33.980 So did I miss any

00:54:35.940 big stories?

00:54:36.480 Any big stories I

00:54:39.340 missed?

00:54:43.700 Now, most can't

00:54:49.220 afford to pick up and

00:54:50.140 leave. 0.99

00:54:50.660 No, they can't, but

00:54:52.100 it's the only way that

00:54:52.980 they can get good

00:54:54.200 math at a Target

00:54:55.940 store.

00:54:56.560 If you wanted to

00:54:57.480 shop at a Target

00:54:58.220 store and you

00:55:00.260 wanted your children

00:55:00.980 to have math

00:55:02.820 classes like everybody

00:55:03.940 else, would you

00:55:05.920 live in San

00:55:06.580 Francisco?

00:55:07.940 No.

00:55:08.720 If you did not

00:55:09.580 want to walk on

00:55:10.320 feces, would you 0.74

00:55:12.200 go outside, would

00:55:12.800 you go to San

00:55:13.600 Francisco?

00:55:14.100 No.

00:55:15.120 You would not.

00:55:18.360 No, you finally

00:55:19.240 did a blip on Trump

00:55:20.620 being politically

00:55:21.460 charged.

00:55:23.080 Well, everybody

00:55:23.860 knew that the

00:55:24.580 charge was political.

00:55:25.860 Did you need to

00:55:26.500 hear that from me?

00:55:27.120 It was sort of

00:55:28.980 overtly obvious.

00:55:34.980 All right.

00:55:39.120 New UFO videos

00:55:41.060 released by the

00:55:41.900 Border Patrol?

00:55:42.480 Well, sure.

00:55:46.600 Anything to talk

00:55:48.000 about something

00:55:48.980 that's not

00:55:49.460 immigration.

00:55:50.920 Hey, there's a lot

00:55:51.560 of immigration on

00:55:52.420 the ground here.

00:55:53.500 Look at all these

00:55:54.040 immigrants coming 0.86

00:55:54.800 across legally.

00:55:55.580 It's like they're

00:55:56.380 all military age.

00:55:58.260 Look at this.

00:55:59.420 Well, sure, but

00:56:01.060 look at that.

00:56:02.260 Do you see that?

00:56:03.600 No.

00:56:04.740 No.

00:56:05.340 Where are you

00:56:05.880 looking?

00:56:06.340 No, it's up

00:56:07.120 there.

00:56:08.080 Where?

00:56:09.120 It's over there

00:56:09.920 now.

00:56:10.180 So that's sort

00:56:12.260 of what's

00:56:12.540 happening at

00:56:12.980 the border.

00:56:16.980 So let me

00:56:18.040 talk about,

00:56:19.720 why can I

00:56:20.860 never remember

00:56:21.480 his name?

00:56:23.840 The physicist,

00:56:25.620 scientist,

00:56:27.320 Dyson,

00:56:29.680 he's got a

00:56:30.340 three-part name,

00:56:32.200 Neil,

00:56:32.700 Neil deGrasse

00:56:35.580 Tyson.

00:56:36.540 Neil deGrasse

00:56:37.160 Tyson.

00:56:37.840 So he's

00:56:38.360 getting a lot

00:56:38.800 of attention

00:56:39.260 for being

00:56:40.120 in favor

00:56:43.180 of trans

00:56:45.320 athletes,

00:56:48.320 trans

00:56:49.180 competing on

00:56:50.500 women's teams.

00:56:52.000 And I was

00:56:53.120 listening to his

00:56:53.780 argument with

00:56:54.600 some podcasters.

00:56:55.680 I think

00:56:55.840 trigonometry guys

00:56:57.000 went after him

00:56:58.040 for it.

00:56:58.520 Others have as

00:56:59.120 well.

00:56:59.960 But I don't

00:57:02.640 think he's as

00:57:03.380 wrong as you

00:57:04.400 think.

00:57:05.160 Now, I'm not

00:57:05.860 going to argue

00:57:06.340 for trans in

00:57:07.940 women's sports.

00:57:08.780 I think sports

00:57:10.080 should be

00:57:10.460 completely

00:57:11.140 re-figured so

00:57:12.620 that everybody

00:57:13.060 gets to play

00:57:14.040 on a team

00:57:14.480 that makes

00:57:14.960 sense.

00:57:16.160 So I think

00:57:16.720 those sports

00:57:17.240 are broken,

00:57:17.940 but that's a

00:57:18.400 whole other

00:57:18.820 conversation.

00:57:21.460 Everybody

00:57:21.940 should have a

00:57:22.460 place to play,

00:57:23.340 people who are

00:57:23.920 roughly their

00:57:24.520 ability,

00:57:25.060 whatever that

00:57:25.580 takes.

00:57:25.940 You just have

00:57:26.960 to make that

00:57:27.400 happen, in

00:57:28.280 my opinion.

00:57:29.200 But when

00:57:29.720 Dyson is

00:57:31.180 destroyed and

00:57:32.700 the right

00:57:33.520 shows how

00:57:35.120 wrong he

00:57:35.720 is, I

00:57:36.560 listened to

00:57:37.080 his argument

00:57:37.580 and it

00:57:38.120 didn't sound

00:57:38.520 wrong to

00:57:38.940 me.

00:57:40.960 Let me tell

00:57:41.620 you what I

00:57:41.980 heard.

00:57:42.820 Now, maybe I

00:57:43.300 heard it wrong.

00:57:44.100 There might be a

00:57:44.580 part I'm missing,

00:57:45.260 so you can tell

00:57:45.680 me if I missed

00:57:46.200 him.

00:57:46.800 I believe he

00:57:48.040 knows that

00:57:48.760 there's a

00:57:49.720 genetic difference

00:57:52.320 between a man

00:57:53.060 and a woman.

00:57:54.360 So that part

00:57:54.980 doesn't seem to

00:57:55.640 be in question.

00:57:56.300 And I think

00:57:57.520 that's what

00:57:57.980 people thought

00:57:58.580 he was doing.

00:57:59.760 But he knows

00:58:00.380 that if you're

00:58:01.400 born with a

00:58:01.960 certain physical

00:58:03.340 structure, that

00:58:04.480 that would be

00:58:05.460 the male or

00:58:06.560 female gender. 1.00

00:58:07.520 So I don't

00:58:07.980 think he's

00:58:09.040 questioning that

00:58:10.260 there's a

00:58:10.660 physicality that's

00:58:11.860 part of sex,

00:58:14.580 or sex

00:58:15.280 identification.

00:58:16.940 But he goes

00:58:17.780 further.

00:58:18.360 He says that

00:58:18.840 sometimes people

00:58:19.620 wake up and

00:58:20.820 they feel more

00:58:21.420 feminine and

00:58:22.100 they want to

00:58:22.460 have makeup

00:58:23.000 on and

00:58:23.640 someday they

00:58:24.340 might wake up

00:58:24.920 and feel more

00:58:25.480 masculine.

00:58:26.300 Don't feel

00:58:26.900 like makeup,

00:58:27.740 dress like a

00:58:28.240 boy.

00:58:29.120 And he says

00:58:30.740 that you have

00:58:31.560 this infinite

00:58:32.080 variety of

00:58:32.880 people, and

00:58:34.020 it's too

00:58:34.740 simplistic to

00:58:35.900 say that they

00:58:36.460 are just

00:58:36.940 their chromosomes.

00:58:38.620 They're just

00:58:39.060 the X and

00:58:39.640 the Y.

00:58:40.520 Too simplistic.

00:58:42.320 I agree with

00:58:43.160 that completely.

00:58:44.700 What part of

00:58:45.200 that do you

00:58:45.640 disagree with?

00:58:47.820 Because I

00:58:48.500 think he just

00:58:48.960 said everything

00:58:49.400 you agree with.

00:58:50.720 He agrees that

00:58:51.500 there's a

00:58:52.160 physical difference,

00:58:53.380 that's what all

00:58:53.960 of you think.

00:58:55.640 He agrees that

00:58:56.460 that physical

00:58:57.040 difference would

00:58:57.780 make some

00:58:58.660 people stronger

00:59:00.060 in sports.

00:59:00.960 Nobody would

00:59:01.460 argue that.

00:59:03.060 But on top of

00:59:03.800 that, he says

00:59:04.580 that people have

00:59:05.320 an internal

00:59:05.980 feeling in

00:59:07.720 which they feel

00:59:08.380 more like one

00:59:09.060 gender or

00:59:09.560 another, and

00:59:10.520 he would like

00:59:11.020 them to have

00:59:11.440 the freedom to

00:59:13.420 self-identify in

00:59:15.640 the way that

00:59:16.040 they feel.

00:59:17.180 What's wrong

00:59:17.800 with that?

00:59:18.180 If they're

00:59:20.380 adults and

00:59:21.000 they're not

00:59:21.340 bothering you,

00:59:22.120 do you have

00:59:22.380 any problem

00:59:22.760 with that?

00:59:23.980 Do you have

00:59:24.400 any problem

00:59:24.880 with an adult

00:59:25.680 waking up

00:59:26.380 anywhere and

00:59:26.900 saying, I

00:59:27.280 feel like

00:59:27.700 makeup today?

00:59:29.500 No.

00:59:31.180 He's actually

00:59:32.020 very close to

00:59:33.220 your opinion.

00:59:34.520 I think he's

00:59:35.300 being unfairly

00:59:36.440 demonized.

00:59:38.020 I spend a lot

00:59:38.700 of time talking

00:59:39.220 about people

00:59:39.860 on the right

00:59:40.400 who are

00:59:40.840 unfairly

00:59:41.640 indicted or

00:59:42.400 demonized,

00:59:43.320 but I feel

00:59:43.920 like I should

00:59:44.460 defend people

00:59:45.140 who may have

00:59:46.200 more of a

00:59:46.840 left,

00:59:47.220 reputation,

00:59:49.420 and I think

00:59:50.480 that he's

00:59:50.880 unfairly being

00:59:51.900 targeted.

00:59:53.340 Now, he has

00:59:53.980 some suggestions

00:59:54.640 about how to

00:59:55.420 fix sports,

00:59:56.520 which I have

00:59:57.340 not evaluated.

00:59:59.540 He's not

01:00:00.180 evaluated.

01:00:00.920 I haven't

01:00:01.340 evaluated that

01:00:01.920 plan, but I'm

01:00:03.060 on the same

01:00:03.520 page that maybe

01:00:05.220 you should look

01:00:05.780 at the structure

01:00:06.480 of sports to

01:00:07.720 make sure you

01:00:08.240 don't have big

01:00:08.800 people and

01:00:09.260 little people

01:00:09.700 competing.

01:00:10.580 I saw a viral

01:00:11.360 video the other

01:00:12.380 day in which

01:00:13.880 there was some

01:00:14.520 young male

01:00:16.040 football

01:00:17.080 competition.

01:00:18.600 And one of

01:00:19.000 the young

01:00:19.280 men, I

01:00:19.620 think they

01:00:19.920 probably were

01:00:20.500 age 10

01:00:22.400 years old,

01:00:23.560 I'm guessing

01:00:24.760 they were

01:00:25.000 somewhere around

01:00:25.420 maybe 10

01:00:26.080 years old,

01:00:27.000 and one of

01:00:27.920 the 10

01:00:28.200 year olds

01:00:28.620 just happened

01:00:29.580 to be

01:00:29.860 enormous.

01:00:31.580 So they

01:00:31.980 were all

01:00:32.320 boys, but

01:00:33.360 one of the

01:00:33.700 boys looked

01:00:34.440 like he

01:00:34.740 weighed 300

01:00:35.320 pounds.

01:00:36.420 He was just

01:00:36.840 a giant.

01:00:38.020 And they

01:00:38.880 give this

01:00:39.340 big guy

01:00:39.900 the ball,

01:00:40.940 and he

01:00:41.320 just runs

01:00:41.860 and just

01:00:42.280 mows down

01:00:43.080 all these

01:00:43.460 little kids.

01:00:44.080 should that

01:00:46.260 kid be

01:00:46.760 playing with

01:00:47.300 those other

01:00:47.840 kids?

01:00:49.160 No.

01:00:50.260 No.

01:00:50.860 It looked

01:00:51.680 very dangerous.

01:00:53.340 He was

01:00:53.680 way too

01:00:54.280 big to

01:00:54.780 be pushing

01:00:55.200 these little

01:00:55.720 kids around.

01:00:56.960 No.

01:00:57.800 So to

01:00:58.220 me, that

01:00:59.220 problem of

01:01:00.260 that big

01:01:00.900 kid is

01:01:02.180 exactly the

01:01:02.940 same as the

01:01:03.440 problem of

01:01:04.120 somebody born

01:01:05.040 male and

01:01:05.680 had some

01:01:06.080 physical

01:01:06.440 advantages and

01:01:07.300 ended up on

01:01:08.160 a woman's 0.56

01:01:08.600 team.

01:01:08.960 In both

01:01:09.620 cases, you

01:01:10.260 need to

01:01:10.580 fix it.

01:01:12.200 When it's

01:01:12.620 all men, the

01:01:13.520 way they

01:01:13.800 fix it is

01:01:14.400 usually they

01:01:14.900 have the

01:01:15.260 big one

01:01:15.900 play on a

01:01:17.700 higher level

01:01:18.240 team with

01:01:18.980 older kids.

01:01:20.400 So that's a

01:01:21.580 fix to the

01:01:22.340 sport without

01:01:24.060 saying anything

01:01:24.800 about anybody's

01:01:25.640 wrong.

01:01:26.400 Like there's

01:01:26.780 nothing wrong

01:01:27.260 with the

01:01:27.520 big kid.

01:01:28.820 There's nothing

01:01:29.520 wrong with him.

01:01:30.260 He was born

01:01:30.820 big.

01:01:31.320 That's the

01:01:31.760 whole story.

01:01:32.320 He's just

01:01:32.600 big.

01:01:33.640 So fix the

01:01:34.520 sports so he

01:01:35.200 gets to play

01:01:35.880 where he doesn't

01:01:36.700 hurt people and

01:01:37.380 gets to

01:01:37.680 compete.

01:01:38.940 So I'm

01:01:40.240 pretty close to

01:01:41.400 Neil Dyson,

01:01:42.280 Neil Dyson's

01:01:45.160 view that

01:01:46.880 people can

01:01:47.400 be people,

01:01:48.140 adults, we're

01:01:49.020 talking about

01:01:49.500 adults, that

01:01:50.560 people can be

01:01:51.220 people, but

01:01:52.340 you should get

01:01:54.000 them a fair

01:01:54.680 place to play

01:01:55.340 a sport.

01:01:55.920 That's all.

01:01:56.900 Now I don't

01:01:57.320 think there's

01:01:57.660 any perfect

01:01:58.180 answer for

01:01:59.400 any of this.

01:02:02.740 Now the

01:02:04.180 argument against

01:02:05.660 trans and

01:02:06.900 women's sports

01:02:07.720 is partly

01:02:08.460 that it

01:02:09.640 takes opportunities

01:02:11.000 away from

01:02:11.740 the women 0.97

01:02:13.200 who were born

01:02:13.700 as women.

01:02:15.280 And that's

01:02:15.700 true.

01:02:17.540 So there

01:02:18.160 probably should

01:02:18.920 be a place

01:02:19.940 that only

01:02:20.600 biological women 1.00

01:02:21.600 can play.

01:02:23.160 That would be

01:02:23.560 fine with me.

01:02:24.440 As long as

01:02:25.320 there's also a

01:02:26.180 place that

01:02:27.400 100% of all

01:02:28.740 trans athletes

01:02:29.480 also have a

01:02:30.180 place to play

01:02:30.780 that makes

01:02:31.600 sense and is

01:02:32.260 good and gives

01:02:33.440 them what they

01:02:33.860 need as

01:02:34.300 athletes, etc.

01:02:35.040 So I

01:02:38.200 think it's

01:02:38.660 ridiculous that

01:02:40.640 women have 0.95

01:02:41.380 their own

01:02:42.100 awards for

01:02:43.940 sports and

01:02:45.980 that women 0.97

01:02:46.660 have their

01:02:47.580 own special

01:02:48.600 college

01:02:50.740 scholarships.

01:02:52.140 At the same

01:02:53.000 time, I don't

01:02:53.600 think men should 1.00

01:02:54.220 get college

01:02:54.740 scholarships either.

01:02:55.760 I think sports

01:02:56.460 and college just

01:02:57.520 shouldn't mix.

01:02:58.960 But that's the

01:03:00.340 way it is.

01:03:00.880 I'm not going

01:03:01.400 to change it.

01:03:02.080 It's not like

01:03:02.560 I care.

01:03:05.040 But the

01:03:06.320 problem was

01:03:06.940 mixing sports

01:03:08.500 and college in

01:03:09.180 the first place.

01:03:10.380 It didn't make

01:03:10.860 sense.

01:03:11.760 College sports

01:03:12.420 should be

01:03:12.800 intramural.

01:03:14.240 College sports

01:03:14.980 should be

01:03:15.460 everybody gets

01:03:16.120 to play against

01:03:16.660 somebody that's

01:03:17.240 the right level.

01:03:19.240 When I played

01:03:20.040 college sports,

01:03:21.400 which I played

01:03:22.140 a lot of,

01:03:23.400 it was all

01:03:24.240 intramural and

01:03:26.620 our teams were

01:03:27.920 usually, at

01:03:30.220 least when we

01:03:30.640 were just

01:03:30.880 messing around,

01:03:31.840 usually co-ed.

01:03:32.700 So we

01:03:34.520 played co-ed

01:03:35.140 soccer.

01:03:36.320 And it was

01:03:36.700 great.

01:03:37.760 It was

01:03:38.100 great.

01:03:39.280 Nobody had a

01:03:39.900 complaint about

01:03:40.480 it.

01:03:41.580 So anything

01:03:42.320 that works is

01:03:42.920 okay with me.

01:03:43.640 I think we

01:03:44.320 should look at

01:03:44.780 our systems and

01:03:45.740 not just the

01:03:46.500 individuals.

01:03:48.260 So that's why

01:03:48.900 I'm more pro-trans

01:03:50.120 than I think all

01:03:50.800 of you, because

01:03:51.960 I think that we

01:03:53.800 need to fix the

01:03:54.700 systems for

01:03:55.320 people, not

01:03:56.060 penalize the

01:03:57.200 people because

01:03:57.700 they don't fit in

01:03:58.580 the system

01:03:59.000 perfectly.

01:03:59.460 And when I

01:04:01.800 say change

01:04:03.400 the system, let

01:04:04.980 me be clear, I'm

01:04:06.380 not saying change

01:04:07.620 sports for the

01:04:08.800 benefit of trans 1.00

01:04:09.800 athletes.

01:04:11.060 I think I

01:04:11.980 misled you,

01:04:13.560 right?

01:04:14.320 I do not say

01:04:15.580 you should change

01:04:16.300 sports for the

01:04:17.680 benefit of trans 1.00

01:04:19.380 athletes.

01:04:19.860 There are not

01:04:20.120 enough of them.

01:04:21.420 But you should

01:04:21.860 definitely change

01:04:22.580 sports for the

01:04:23.760 benefit of

01:04:24.720 everybody, which

01:04:26.580 means everybody

01:04:27.200 has a team that's

01:04:28.160 the right level

01:04:28.900 they can play

01:04:29.420 on, including

01:04:30.400 that giant kid

01:04:31.500 who was playing

01:04:32.100 football that I

01:04:32.760 talked about.

01:04:33.540 You should fix

01:04:34.120 it for him and

01:04:35.480 for the little

01:04:35.980 kids he was

01:04:36.520 knocking over.

01:04:37.180 Fix it for

01:04:37.620 them, and then

01:04:38.680 everybody's got

01:04:39.340 something that

01:04:39.860 they can do.

01:04:40.940 But I don't

01:04:41.400 think we should

01:04:41.880 be rewarding

01:04:42.420 people for

01:04:42.940 sports, frankly.

01:04:44.720 I don't think

01:04:45.180 you should get

01:04:45.600 money because

01:04:46.040 you're good at

01:04:46.440 sports.

01:04:48.640 Maybe you should

01:04:49.260 get money if

01:04:49.780 you're good at

01:04:50.300 classwork, you

01:04:52.380 know, college,

01:04:53.600 because that's

01:04:54.060 kind of what

01:04:54.420 college is supposed

01:04:55.100 to do.

01:04:55.940 But no, I

01:04:56.660 don't think

01:04:56.940 anybody should get

01:04:57.520 any special

01:04:58.420 treatment for

01:04:59.000 being good

01:04:59.400 in sports.

01:05:00.440 That's a

01:05:01.040 hobby.

01:05:02.060 Sports is a

01:05:02.720 hobby.

01:05:04.860 You shouldn't

01:05:05.540 get paid for

01:05:06.040 your hobby.

01:05:09.480 All right.

01:05:11.520 I'm picking

01:05:12.220 winners and

01:05:12.820 losers.

01:05:14.180 Am I?

01:05:16.420 Yeah, North

01:05:17.240 Korea returned 0.99

01:05:18.180 an army private.

01:05:20.160 Is that

01:05:20.500 surprising?

01:05:21.000 Are you

01:05:22.520 surprised that

01:05:23.100 North Korea

01:05:23.620 returned the

01:05:24.380 guy who tried

01:05:25.380 to defect?

01:05:29.580 I feel like

01:05:30.500 probably they

01:05:31.000 didn't trust

01:05:31.540 him and

01:05:32.320 they thought

01:05:32.660 there was no

01:05:33.100 benefit in

01:05:33.680 holding him

01:05:34.140 or killing

01:05:34.500 him?

01:05:35.120 They probably

01:05:35.760 thought he

01:05:36.080 was a spy or

01:05:37.440 that he could

01:05:37.960 be.

01:05:38.640 I don't think

01:05:39.080 they got any

01:05:39.840 benefit from

01:05:40.440 keeping him.

01:05:41.880 But I also

01:05:44.680 wonder, would

01:05:45.560 they have

01:05:45.960 returned him

01:05:46.680 if Trump had

01:05:48.440 never been

01:05:48.900 president?

01:05:49.360 If Trump

01:05:51.520 had never

01:05:52.100 softened up

01:05:53.420 Kim Jong-un,

01:05:55.080 would they be

01:05:55.760 returning that

01:05:56.440 soldier?

01:05:56.940 Or would they

01:05:57.320 just hold the

01:05:58.320 soldier for

01:05:58.880 leverage?

01:06:00.440 I feel like

01:06:01.300 this maybe

01:06:02.900 is a Trump

01:06:03.720 related thing.

01:06:05.620 I would also

01:06:06.440 not be surprised

01:06:07.500 if Trump

01:06:09.120 asked for it

01:06:09.840 personally.

01:06:11.280 If you were

01:06:12.060 Trump and

01:06:14.020 you knew

01:06:14.320 there was an

01:06:14.720 American that

01:06:15.340 was being held

01:06:16.040 in North Korea

01:06:16.780 and wouldn't

01:06:18.780 you ask the

01:06:19.520 State Department,

01:06:20.200 I think you

01:06:20.580 should ask

01:06:20.940 permission,

01:06:22.060 but ask the

01:06:22.540 State Department,

01:06:23.220 do you mind

01:06:23.540 if I just

01:06:23.980 send a personal

01:06:24.660 note to Kim

01:06:25.340 Jong-un and

01:06:26.460 say, I'd feel

01:06:27.240 a lot better

01:06:28.300 about you.

01:06:29.420 I'm probably

01:06:29.960 going to be

01:06:30.300 president again.

01:06:31.580 I'd feel a lot

01:06:32.120 better about you

01:06:32.720 if you let this

01:06:33.260 guy go.

01:06:34.300 Just sort of

01:06:34.780 on the down

01:06:35.280 low and

01:06:36.940 maybe even

01:06:37.620 without any

01:06:38.380 attention because

01:06:39.660 how long would

01:06:40.260 it take?

01:06:40.640 It would take

01:06:41.000 Trump 10

01:06:42.040 minutes to

01:06:43.500 write a little

01:06:44.120 personal letter.

01:06:45.260 Somebody else

01:06:45.820 would deliver it.

01:06:46.780 And then

01:06:47.700 the guy

01:06:47.980 goes free.

01:06:49.200 Do you

01:06:49.500 think Trump

01:06:49.980 would let

01:06:50.340 that opportunity

01:06:51.160 pass when

01:06:52.660 he probably

01:06:53.340 knew that

01:06:54.100 one note

01:06:54.520 would get

01:06:54.860 him free?

01:06:58.120 I feel

01:06:59.100 like you

01:06:59.820 might find

01:07:00.460 out Trump

01:07:01.000 was behind

01:07:01.560 it.

01:07:02.720 You might

01:07:03.420 also find

01:07:04.000 out, well,

01:07:04.780 you wouldn't

01:07:05.060 find this

01:07:05.460 out, but

01:07:06.020 it's possible

01:07:06.520 that Kim

01:07:06.980 Jong-un is

01:07:07.760 just playing

01:07:08.380 it cool because

01:07:10.520 he thinks

01:07:10.940 Trump might

01:07:11.440 come back.

01:07:12.940 And you

01:07:13.460 don't want

01:07:13.760 to be on

01:07:14.040 the wrong

01:07:14.320 side of

01:07:14.720 Trump when

01:07:15.080 he comes

01:07:15.380 back.

01:07:15.760 Because

01:07:16.500 they're

01:07:16.620 buddies.

01:07:22.140 What do

01:07:22.680 we find

01:07:23.040 out?

01:07:23.280 I think

01:07:23.580 Trump would

01:07:24.080 tell us if

01:07:24.680 he would

01:07:25.600 eventually tell

01:07:26.300 us if he

01:07:26.720 was behind

01:07:27.140 it.

01:07:27.360 he knows

01:07:36.640 Trump is

01:07:37.120 coming back.

01:07:41.120 Your

01:07:41.600 perspective

01:07:42.120 that sports

01:07:42.900 serve for

01:07:43.860 people to

01:07:44.460 feel good

01:07:45.040 is unique.

01:07:46.840 Well, it's

01:07:47.400 not just to

01:07:47.960 feel good.

01:07:49.100 I mean,

01:07:49.340 it obviously

01:07:49.740 has some

01:07:50.360 entertainment

01:07:51.160 value and

01:07:53.360 some physical

01:07:54.020 fitness value.

01:07:54.700 sports

01:07:59.340 excellence

01:07:59.820 requires

01:08:00.460 intelligence,

01:08:01.200 work, and

01:08:01.600 reasoning, and

01:08:02.280 it belongs

01:08:02.720 at college.

01:08:03.380 Boy, that's

01:08:03.780 a stretch.

01:08:05.360 Stretch.

01:08:07.120 Because sports

01:08:08.020 require intelligence,

01:08:09.580 work, and

01:08:10.000 reasoning, it

01:08:10.640 belongs at

01:08:11.140 college.

01:08:12.120 And that's

01:08:12.560 really trying

01:08:13.140 hard.

01:08:14.880 That's a

01:08:15.340 real, I

01:08:16.480 mean, I'm

01:08:16.960 going to have

01:08:17.220 to give you

01:08:17.700 some kind of

01:08:19.880 award for

01:08:20.640 even attempting

01:08:22.000 that.

01:08:22.340 All right.

01:08:28.920 I do think

01:08:29.800 sports are

01:08:30.940 beneficial.

01:08:32.020 I don't

01:08:32.400 think having

01:08:33.000 a professional

01:08:34.980 team in a

01:08:35.880 college,

01:08:37.020 effectively,

01:08:38.720 is good for

01:08:39.620 anybody except

01:08:40.260 the people on

01:08:40.760 the team and

01:08:41.320 making money

01:08:41.780 for the

01:08:42.060 college.

01:08:46.980 Sports have

01:08:47.640 given many

01:08:48.200 poor people a

01:08:49.260 great opportunity

01:08:49.940 for an

01:08:50.360 education.

01:08:50.900 really?

01:08:53.500 Many?

01:08:55.180 What

01:08:55.420 percentage of

01:08:56.260 poor people

01:08:56.760 got college

01:08:58.960 scholarships?

01:09:04.500 Whenever you

01:09:05.360 find a

01:09:06.900 student, tell

01:09:09.180 me if this

01:09:09.620 is true or

01:09:10.360 this is just

01:09:10.920 me being

01:09:11.400 biased.

01:09:12.280 So you've

01:09:13.420 got to check

01:09:13.760 my bias

01:09:14.360 here.

01:09:15.420 I feel like

01:09:16.480 every time

01:09:16.980 you hear

01:09:17.260 there's some

01:09:17.740 really successful

01:09:18.640 college athlete,

01:09:19.680 and let's

01:09:21.360 say in the

01:09:22.000 black community

01:09:22.660 specifically.

01:09:23.960 When you see

01:09:24.420 there's some

01:09:25.120 really successful

01:09:26.340 high school

01:09:27.480 student who

01:09:28.140 made it to

01:09:28.540 college,

01:09:29.280 what do you

01:09:29.800 always find

01:09:30.840 also?

01:09:33.640 Incredible

01:09:34.120 parents.

01:09:35.320 Am I

01:09:35.620 right?

01:09:37.480 Just about

01:09:38.180 every time.

01:09:39.540 And even the

01:09:40.080 case of that

01:09:40.600 blindside guy,

01:09:41.800 I don't know

01:09:42.260 what's true

01:09:42.720 about that,

01:09:43.580 but the

01:09:44.300 point was

01:09:44.900 that with

01:09:45.540 good parenting,

01:09:46.740 the kid

01:09:47.060 thrived,

01:09:47.780 allegedly.

01:09:48.220 There might

01:09:48.840 be something

01:09:49.200 else to

01:09:49.600 that story.

01:09:50.700 So I

01:09:51.820 ask you

01:09:52.200 this, if

01:09:53.860 that same

01:09:54.420 kid who

01:09:54.980 had these

01:09:55.340 incredible

01:09:55.820 parents who

01:09:56.560 created an

01:09:57.680 athlete with

01:09:58.480 good character,

01:09:59.680 don't you

01:10:00.060 think that

01:10:00.380 they would

01:10:00.660 have created

01:10:01.180 a good

01:10:02.440 citizen with

01:10:03.120 good character

01:10:03.720 if the

01:10:05.000 kid was

01:10:05.300 good at

01:10:05.600 school?

01:10:07.040 If the

01:10:07.700 kid was

01:10:08.040 just a

01:10:08.340 good student,

01:10:09.680 same parents,

01:10:11.460 aren't they

01:10:11.900 going to

01:10:12.160 create a

01:10:12.860 really good

01:10:13.700 executive of

01:10:15.360 something?

01:10:16.160 Because the

01:10:16.820 parents were

01:10:17.220 so good,

01:10:17.700 and the

01:10:18.160 kid obviously

01:10:18.900 had some

01:10:19.300 qualities.

01:10:20.500 So I'm

01:10:21.080 not so

01:10:21.480 sure that

01:10:22.360 that was

01:10:22.740 the one

01:10:23.340 way that

01:10:24.460 those kids

01:10:25.040 could be

01:10:25.380 successful in

01:10:26.240 sports,

01:10:27.000 because they

01:10:27.640 had something

01:10:28.260 going on that

01:10:29.920 they had to

01:10:30.440 have going

01:10:30.800 on, or

01:10:31.540 they wouldn't

01:10:31.860 have even

01:10:32.180 made it in

01:10:32.660 sports.

01:10:36.440 So there's

01:10:37.360 that.

01:10:37.660 you need

01:10:41.580 to have

01:10:42.200 good grades,

01:10:43.400 well,

01:10:44.760 not good

01:10:45.520 grades.

01:10:46.660 You don't

01:10:47.000 need good

01:10:47.520 grades,

01:10:48.200 you just

01:10:48.520 need to

01:10:48.920 not have

01:10:49.600 terrible

01:10:49.920 grades.

01:10:50.300 all right,

01:11:01.860 somebody tell

01:11:02.440 me what I

01:11:03.100 got wrong

01:11:03.720 about the

01:11:04.380 trans topic,

01:11:06.480 because a lot of,

01:11:07.400 just in one

01:11:08.180 sentence, tell me

01:11:09.740 what I got

01:11:10.220 wrong, and

01:11:10.880 watch how you

01:11:12.360 will, the thing

01:11:13.840 you think I got

01:11:14.560 wrong, I guarantee

01:11:15.960 is a

01:11:16.580 misinterpretation of

01:11:17.720 my question,

01:11:19.000 but go.

01:11:20.100 Tell me what I

01:11:20.680 got wrong

01:11:21.180 about the

01:11:21.560 trans thing.

01:11:23.340 Didn't talk

01:11:23.920 about changing

01:11:24.540 rooms, men 0.76

01:11:26.580 will have a

01:11:27.000 physical advantage,

01:11:28.040 of course, that's

01:11:28.760 part of my

01:11:29.160 opinion, so

01:11:30.980 you don't

01:11:31.860 actually have

01:11:32.380 anything that's

01:11:33.040 counter to my

01:11:34.060 opinion.

01:11:38.420 God does not

01:11:39.240 make mistakes,

01:11:40.060 that had nothing

01:11:40.500 to do with my

01:11:41.120 opinion.

01:11:45.700 Somehow,

01:11:46.400 feels has

01:11:47.040 zero to do

01:11:47.700 that doesn't

01:11:49.260 make sense.

01:11:51.520 Contradicting

01:11:52.080 yourself with

01:11:53.400 no details.

01:11:58.520 Yeah, so

01:11:59.400 your comments

01:12:00.260 are obtuse.

01:12:03.900 Nobody has

01:12:04.640 an actual

01:12:05.440 comment about

01:12:06.900 my opinion.

01:12:09.380 It's degrading

01:12:10.420 to women?

01:12:11.460 In what

01:12:12.160 way?

01:12:14.060 How in the

01:12:14.780 world is that

01:12:15.260 degrading to

01:12:15.860 women? 1.00

01:12:17.700 It's racist?

01:12:20.220 All right.

01:12:20.720 I think people

01:12:21.520 have strong

01:12:22.020 feelings about

01:12:22.680 it because

01:12:23.040 they have

01:12:23.320 preferences.

01:12:25.720 If you have

01:12:26.380 a preference

01:12:26.860 that your

01:12:27.540 female athletes 0.99

01:12:28.960 are on

01:12:29.360 female-only

01:12:30.100 teams, just

01:12:31.480 say it's a

01:12:31.840 preference.

01:12:32.140 I wouldn't

01:12:34.460 disagree with

01:12:35.040 that.

01:12:35.200 I wouldn't

01:12:36.240 disagree with

01:12:36.920 that.

01:12:37.140 I wouldn't

01:12:38.280 argue with

01:12:40.140 your preference.

01:12:42.760 All right.

01:12:47.460 Your preference

01:12:48.380 is reality.

01:12:50.140 One of the

01:12:50.880 biggest problems

01:12:51.500 on the right,

01:12:53.340 and maybe it's

01:12:53.920 the left too,

01:12:54.760 but I just

01:12:55.100 notice it more

01:12:55.780 on the right,

01:12:56.840 is that people

01:12:58.100 try to win

01:12:58.760 arguments with

01:12:59.540 definitions.

01:13:00.020 And so you

01:13:01.840 should check

01:13:02.320 yourself on

01:13:03.540 this dimension.

01:13:08.680 Here's what is

01:13:09.600 not an

01:13:10.040 argument.

01:13:12.400 Life starts

01:13:13.360 at conception.

01:13:15.540 It might be

01:13:16.800 your opinion,

01:13:19.160 but it's not

01:13:19.860 an argument.

01:13:21.760 That's not an

01:13:22.520 argument.

01:13:23.020 That's a

01:13:23.420 definition.

01:13:24.720 Definitions are

01:13:25.420 not arguments.

01:13:26.620 So you win

01:13:27.260 your argument by

01:13:28.640 just putting

01:13:29.100 a word on

01:13:29.620 it.

01:13:30.080 Oh, it's

01:13:30.400 alive.

01:13:31.700 And then the

01:13:32.280 alive part wins

01:13:33.720 you the argument.

01:13:34.780 That's not an

01:13:35.380 argument.

01:13:36.420 That's just the

01:13:37.020 definition.

01:13:38.760 And the same

01:13:39.360 goes with the

01:13:40.300 trans stuff.

01:13:42.480 A lot of

01:13:43.120 people are

01:13:43.400 trying to win

01:13:43.900 the argument

01:13:44.380 just by saying,

01:13:45.560 a woman is a 1.00

01:13:46.540 woman.

01:13:48.640 All right,

01:13:49.240 we all agree

01:13:50.060 that there are

01:13:51.300 certain chromosomal

01:13:52.520 situations.

01:13:54.140 It's not an

01:13:54.620 argument.

01:13:55.740 It's the

01:13:56.220 opposite of an

01:13:56.920 argument.

01:13:57.220 It's just

01:13:58.320 trying to win

01:13:58.840 by a

01:13:59.160 definition.

01:14:00.760 So a lot

01:14:02.660 of people,

01:14:03.880 when I ask

01:14:04.620 what's wrong

01:14:05.100 with my

01:14:05.440 opinion,

01:14:05.980 you see a

01:14:06.400 lot of

01:14:06.620 spinning.

01:14:07.540 It's because

01:14:08.040 people are

01:14:08.540 doing word

01:14:09.100 thinking.

01:14:10.100 And as soon

01:14:10.460 as you say,

01:14:11.080 all right,

01:14:11.460 well, if you

01:14:11.920 leave the

01:14:12.300 word thinking,

01:14:13.280 where you're

01:14:13.680 winning by

01:14:14.140 definition of

01:14:15.100 words, give

01:14:16.340 me the

01:14:16.620 argument or

01:14:17.300 tell me why

01:14:17.820 I'm wrong,

01:14:18.420 there's nothing

01:14:18.920 there.

01:14:19.720 It just turns

01:14:20.240 to dust.

01:14:21.200 Because a lot

01:14:21.680 of what we

01:14:23.420 think is

01:14:23.980 intelligence is

01:14:25.000 just like AI

01:14:25.800 intelligence.

01:14:27.220 Where it's

01:14:27.540 just the

01:14:28.060 combination of

01:14:29.280 words gives

01:14:30.800 you the

01:14:31.120 impression of

01:14:31.740 intelligence.

01:14:33.340 And on the

01:14:33.980 big issues where

01:14:34.780 you just have a

01:14:35.400 feeling about

01:14:36.080 something, all

01:14:38.000 you're doing is

01:14:38.560 searching for the

01:14:39.180 word patterns that

01:14:40.320 support your

01:14:40.940 point of view.

01:14:42.120 Because with

01:14:42.960 trans, people

01:14:44.440 really feel

01:14:45.380 something about

01:14:46.080 that topic.

01:14:47.800 And it's the

01:14:48.280 feeling that makes

01:14:48.920 your decision.

01:14:50.100 And then you

01:14:50.660 rationalize it after

01:14:51.660 the fact.

01:14:53.200 Same with

01:14:54.040 abortion.

01:14:55.120 Abortion is about 0.77

01:14:55.840 how you feel

01:14:56.320 about it.

01:14:57.480 And then you

01:14:58.140 reason backwards

01:14:59.260 from your

01:14:59.740 feelings to

01:15:01.100 get your

01:15:01.580 conclusion.

01:15:04.940 That's how it

01:15:05.620 works.

01:15:10.560 All right.

01:15:14.880 I guess that's

01:15:15.760 all I have to

01:15:16.240 do to offend

01:15:17.380 everybody today.

01:15:18.580 Thanks for

01:15:19.020 joining YouTube.

01:15:19.940 I will talk to

01:15:20.500 you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - September 27, 2023

Episode 2244 Scott Adams： Mutually Assured Destruction Activated. 2024 Losing Side Going To Jail

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