Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 05, 2023


Episode 2252 Scott Adams： Biden Decides To Do Whatever Trump Would Have Done. And More Craziness


Episode Stats

Length

54 minutes

Words per Minute

139.53703

Word Count

7,553

Sentence Count

515

Misogynist Sentences

9

Hate Speech Sentences

21


Summary

In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, we talk about a bunch of stuff, including: - Why is there a difference between being a vegetarian and being a carnivore? - Why do some people like meat and others don't like meat? - Is it genetic? - How much of our mental illness is genetic? - Is there a link between eating meat and getting sick? - What is the difference between mental illness and being gay?


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
00:00:06.580 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and I'm pretty sure you'll never have a better time than this today.
00:00:11.800 Sorry.
00:00:13.020 But if you'd like to take this experience up to stratospheric levels, the kind that nobody can even imagine,
00:00:19.200 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a styon, a canteen, jug, or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:25.540 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:27.920 I like coffee.
00:00:28.640 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamines of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
00:00:34.840 It's called the Simultaneous Sip.
00:00:40.520 This is called Product Placement, people.
00:00:43.880 Yeah, it's a thing.
00:00:45.780 It's just where your product just shows up someplace in the middle of your video.
00:00:51.540 That's right.
00:00:52.240 If you have not bought my book, Reframe Your Brain, that's changing lives like crazy, according to readers, you should.
00:00:58.640 Also, I just want to give you a little tease.
00:01:01.220 If you're not subscribing to either Locals or the subscription for me, for my stuff on the X platform,
00:01:09.840 then you're not seeing Dilbert reborn, and you will not see the exciting conclusion of what happens when Dilbert's mom
00:01:18.080 starts dating a fan of Andrew Tate.
00:01:21.400 I don't want to be a spoiler, but I'm just saying.
00:01:27.820 Again, you can imagine.
00:01:32.780 You can imagine.
00:01:34.100 All right, here's some stuff, let's see, some science-y stuff that you didn't need to do the science.
00:01:42.660 You should have just asked me.
00:01:44.660 I think this will be my new category.
00:01:46.180 Do we need to do a study, or could we just ask Scott and see what he says?
00:01:53.400 Apparently, being a vegetarian is partly genetic, meaning that there are some people who don't metabolize fat the same,
00:02:02.360 and therefore meat doesn't give them the buzz that it gives other people and makes them sick.
00:02:07.060 I'm one of those people.
00:02:10.420 People ask me why I stopped eating meat.
00:02:13.720 I do eat fish these days, but I stopped eating meat because I got a stomach ache every time I did it,
00:02:18.720 like a huge stomach ache.
00:02:20.780 So I might be one of these people, but you didn't really have to ask me if being a vegetarian is genetic.
00:02:28.060 Is there anybody who thought it wasn't?
00:02:30.880 Did anybody think that being a vegetarian was simply a lifestyle preference?
00:02:37.060 Of course it's genetic.
00:02:39.400 Do you know what else is genetic?
00:02:42.300 Alcoholism.
00:02:44.180 Do you know when I knew that?
00:02:46.180 Oh, about 20 years before science knew it, because it was obvious.
00:02:50.420 Do you know when I knew that being a vegetarian, not for everybody.
00:02:54.280 Some people do pick it for lifestyle choices, I'm sure.
00:02:58.060 But did I know that some people were naturally vegetarians?
00:03:01.280 Yes, I did.
00:03:03.500 To me, it was obvious.
00:03:05.080 It's been obvious for decades.
00:03:07.060 How about that gay people have a different genetic makeup?
00:03:13.380 Was I surprised to learn that?
00:03:15.480 No, because that was obvious for decades before science figured it out.
00:03:20.100 So if you want to wait for science, you can, but it'll be decades after I tell you what's true.
00:03:26.220 Now, what about alcohol is actually good for you if taken in moderation?
00:03:31.840 Well, science lied to you about that for about 50 years.
00:03:36.540 But if you listen to me from the very start, I said, nope, that's just bullshit science.
00:03:42.360 There's no way that any of it's good for you.
00:03:44.480 And now we know it's not.
00:03:47.280 Speaking of science, here's another study.
00:03:49.100 I don't even know why I bother.
00:03:52.360 Science is so ridiculous now.
00:03:54.920 But there's a study by, let's see, the lead author is Professor McGrath.
00:04:00.860 He says that half of the population will develop at least one disorder, mental disorder, by the age of 75.
00:04:07.440 So in other words, half of Americans will have mental health disorders in their lifetime.
00:04:14.040 Half.
00:04:16.660 So how do you explain that?
00:04:22.180 Let me explain it.
00:04:23.880 Follow the money.
00:04:25.940 Follow the money.
00:04:27.440 We now have this enormous industry that will give you a pill or give you therapy
00:04:32.980 or make you watch some TikTok videos or something else.
00:04:37.580 So once we monetized mental health disorders, were you going to get more of them or fewer of them?
00:04:45.100 You were going to get a lot more.
00:04:46.520 Yeah.
00:04:46.800 Everything you form a group to look for, you're going to find more.
00:04:50.380 When the ADL was formed to look for bigotry, do you think they found any?
00:04:55.480 Well, there was plenty to find.
00:04:57.180 But do you think they found any that wasn't really there?
00:04:59.760 Oh, yes, of course they did.
00:05:00.920 So you're going to find everything that's there and a lot of stuff that isn't there if you're looking.
00:05:06.060 But on top of that, I do think our entire system makes people mentally ill.
00:05:12.180 There's definitely a difference in mental illness compared to when I was a kid.
00:05:17.580 Or, here's the other possibility.
00:05:21.020 If nobody told you you were mentally ill, would you know it?
00:05:24.120 What if we had just as much mental illness before but there were no names for it
00:05:30.340 and we were not all familiar with all the various types?
00:05:33.860 If you sat me down and said,
00:05:35.320 Scott, make a list of all the potential types of mental illness,
00:05:39.820 I could have a pretty long list.
00:05:41.860 Do you think I could have done that when I was, I don't know, 15?
00:05:46.320 No, I would have thought, let's see, I've heard of schizophrenia and maybe fear of crowds or something.
00:05:56.580 And I wouldn't have been able to even, I wouldn't have even been able to come up with three, I don't think.
00:06:02.160 Depressed, I don't even know if depression was a thing when I was a kid.
00:06:06.180 I don't remember anybody who said they had it or anxiety, any of it.
00:06:10.680 I don't remember any of it as a kid.
00:06:12.100 So what if everybody had those problems, but if they didn't have a name for it,
00:06:17.640 they just thought it was shit that happens in their head
00:06:20.360 and maybe other people have shit in their heads and we're all just different.
00:06:25.940 And I also wonder, if half of the country has a mental illness, or disorder as they call it,
00:06:32.800 who gets to determine what's normal?
00:06:37.000 Where's that line of normal?
00:06:38.960 If half the kids have a mental illness, at some point, it just becomes who we are.
00:06:45.840 I mean, aren't we all a little bit crazy one way or another?
00:06:48.980 Anyway, I got questions about these numbers, but it does seem like there are more mentally unhealthy people
00:06:54.400 for one reason or another.
00:06:56.320 So how many of you have seen the clip of Bill Maher?
00:07:03.680 He went on a few different talk shows, and he talked about how the Democrats are poorly served
00:07:09.420 by their own news, which is interesting to hear a Democrat or somebody who leans Democrats say that,
00:07:15.520 that they are poorly served by their own news.
00:07:17.720 The example he gives is that when people were polled,
00:07:21.820 what are the odds that you would end up in the hospital if you got COVID?
00:07:26.600 And apparently, people on the left, political left, thought it was a really big number,
00:07:32.800 and the real number is, you know, under 2%.
00:07:36.020 Now, that was a really good example of where their news has completely bamboozled them,
00:07:43.660 I mean, just wildly.
00:07:46.040 But is there anything else like that?
00:07:48.080 How about if you were to ask, I'm just guessing,
00:07:51.160 but if you were to ask Democrats and Republicans
00:07:53.660 if the number of deaths from extreme weather have gone up or down recently?
00:08:03.040 I feel like, I don't know this, but I feel like Democrats would say,
00:08:07.200 oh, yeah, that extreme weather from all the climate change,
00:08:10.320 so there's more extreme weather because there's more climate change.
00:08:14.140 More extreme weather equals more deaths.
00:08:16.820 Yes, there must be a great increase in the number of deaths.
00:08:19.520 The reality is, it's at an all-time low.
00:08:22.680 Do you think they would know that?
00:08:24.700 No.
00:08:25.420 How about the hoaxes?
00:08:27.640 If I ran through the list of the hoaxes,
00:08:29.920 fine people hoax, the drinking bleach hoax, you know, just go down the list,
00:08:34.040 how many Democrats would recognize those as hoaxes?
00:08:37.760 They wouldn't because the news told them they were all real.
00:08:41.280 So they wouldn't know any of the hoaxes.
00:08:43.960 They wouldn't know the most important elements of climate change,
00:08:46.720 which is their biggest issue.
00:08:49.460 They wouldn't know about hospitalization for COVID,
00:08:52.140 the biggest thing that happened in the country for years.
00:08:55.160 And then there's another one.
00:08:56.580 I just saw some statistics.
00:08:59.900 People were asked how many people were killed by police who were black in 2021.
00:09:08.060 So the survey was 2021.
00:09:09.380 40% of liberals thought the number was over 1,000 in America per year.
00:09:16.240 40% of liberals, people who were very liberal, thought it was over 1,000.
00:09:20.540 The real number was 11.
00:09:23.460 It was 11 people.
00:09:25.500 And how many of the 11 had it coming?
00:09:28.060 Meaning that if you knew the details, you would have said to yourself,
00:09:31.140 oh, well, I can see why they shot those 11.
00:09:34.880 How many of the 11?
00:09:37.800 Probably at least nine or 10.
00:09:40.400 You'd look at it and say, yeah, they definitely should have been shot.
00:09:43.700 So the number who were shot who should not have been shot,
00:09:47.840 maybe two out of thousands and thousands and thousands of arrests.
00:09:53.120 Still too many, of course.
00:09:56.760 But conservatives didn't say that.
00:09:59.100 Only 16% of conservatives thought it was over 1,000, which is way too much.
00:10:04.820 What conservative thinks that the number of black people killed by police per year is over 1,000?
00:10:10.580 16% of conservatives.
00:10:13.920 Now, if you asked what is their primary news source, what do you think they'd say?
00:10:20.200 Probably not Fox News.
00:10:22.440 Probably not Breitbart.
00:10:24.560 They'd probably say CNN.
00:10:26.400 It's probably their primary source of news.
00:10:28.760 There must be a lot of households where you've got a conservative and a liberal in the same house,
00:10:35.240 and one of them controls the TV,
00:10:37.540 so the other person doesn't see real news.
00:10:41.280 So there might be a whole bunch of conservatives
00:10:43.700 who think they're seeing real news on CNN
00:10:46.460 because their spouse watches it.
00:10:50.300 Just a guess.
00:10:52.040 So I would like to see a more comprehensive survey
00:10:56.740 to see if people on the left or the right
00:10:59.740 are even informed about the important stuff.
00:11:04.140 You know, other questions you could imagine would be
00:11:06.740 is Generation 3 nuclear energy
00:11:11.800 more or less dangerous than the alternatives?
00:11:18.900 You know, stuff like that.
00:11:20.560 You know, conservatives would know that Generation 3,
00:11:23.360 there's never been a death.
00:11:25.180 Never.
00:11:26.740 Those are the new ones that you would build today.
00:11:28.740 If you started today,
00:11:30.400 it would either be Generation 3 or 4.
00:11:32.620 4 would be built in a way that it couldn't melt down
00:11:35.920 no matter what happened.
00:11:37.400 Three could,
00:11:38.600 but they've done them so well
00:11:40.280 that none has had a catastrophic problem.
00:11:45.440 All right.
00:11:45.920 How many would know that?
00:11:50.140 Some new information about college degrees.
00:11:52.520 The percentage of young adults
00:11:55.060 who said that a college degree is very important
00:11:57.460 is now down to 41%.
00:12:00.200 It was 74% over 10 years ago.
00:12:02.880 This is in the New York Times.
00:12:04.900 So 10 years ago,
00:12:06.940 three-quarters of the country said,
00:12:08.840 oh, yeah, college education is important.
00:12:11.820 And today, 41%.
00:12:13.600 What changed?
00:12:15.360 What changed in 10 years?
00:12:19.140 College became worthless.
00:12:21.140 That's what.
00:12:22.340 In the last 10 years,
00:12:23.560 college went woke
00:12:24.420 and became ridiculous
00:12:26.360 and way too expensive.
00:12:29.240 So the price has gone way up.
00:12:31.380 The value you get out of it is way down.
00:12:34.060 Who would want to send their kid to a woke college?
00:12:37.560 Well, woke people, I guess,
00:12:38.840 but the rest would not want them
00:12:41.380 to come back all wokenized.
00:12:42.840 Do you remember the other day
00:12:45.960 I told you that Bloomberg had done a study
00:12:48.940 that said after George Floyd was killed
00:12:51.260 that the Fortune 100 companies,
00:12:57.600 their new hires,
00:12:58.460 only 6% of them were white.
00:13:00.900 And it was outrageous
00:13:02.060 because it would look like
00:13:03.120 they were all overcompensating.
00:13:05.660 Do you know how they got that 6% number?
00:13:08.700 Well, the Daily Wire did a little deep dive
00:13:10.880 and looked into it.
00:13:12.560 Here's how they got the 6% number.
00:13:14.940 It's something called
00:13:15.860 not knowing how to do math at all.
00:13:18.840 That's the whole story.
00:13:21.260 The numbers are not even close to 6%.
00:13:23.740 It's actually closer to the way it's always been.
00:13:27.120 So the real story is
00:13:28.120 nothing really changed after George Floyd
00:13:29.980 in terms of hiring,
00:13:32.020 which is good news in one sense
00:13:36.540 because there wasn't an overreaction.
00:13:41.040 Now, if you think that the baseline was good,
00:13:43.360 that's a separate question,
00:13:44.920 but there wasn't an overreaction.
00:13:46.280 There was some small statistical difference.
00:13:48.840 So, once again,
00:13:52.240 we learned that journalists can't do math.
00:13:56.240 We've always learned that scientists can't do statistics.
00:14:01.460 I mean, the fact that two highly qualified statisticians,
00:14:05.320 that Martin Caldoff and Nate Silver,
00:14:10.120 are having a total disagreement
00:14:11.800 about the same set of data.
00:14:14.260 They're looking at the same data,
00:14:15.660 and they can't decide what it says.
00:14:17.720 Two of the best in the business.
00:14:21.260 So,
00:14:21.820 there's almost no data that's useful.
00:14:26.140 And it's really hard to accept that,
00:14:29.080 but it is true.
00:14:30.740 Data is almost all motivated.
00:14:32.800 It's motivated by somebody
00:14:34.160 or it's just, you know, done wrong.
00:14:36.360 And when it's done wrong,
00:14:37.420 it seems to agree with the motivation
00:14:39.260 of the person who did it wrong.
00:14:41.480 That's pretty consistent.
00:14:42.680 Because otherwise, you'd never see it.
00:14:46.020 Well, but of course,
00:14:48.920 at least our climate change science is good, right?
00:14:52.340 There's a new study that says,
00:14:54.920 a new study measured
00:14:56.600 how much CO2 is released from rocks
00:15:00.040 into the atmosphere.
00:15:02.660 Rocks.
00:15:04.500 That's right.
00:15:05.260 So, if it rains, for example,
00:15:07.840 there's like a slight bit of erosion from rocks.
00:15:11.560 And it turns out that rocks
00:15:13.060 could add as much CO2
00:15:15.640 to the atmosphere as volcanoes.
00:15:18.380 And currently,
00:15:19.620 this process is not included
00:15:21.200 in most climate models.
00:15:25.420 So,
00:15:26.460 there's something as big as volcanoes,
00:15:30.600 which are very big in terms of CO2,
00:15:32.620 that are not included
00:15:34.680 because they didn't know about it till now.
00:15:39.020 It's the rocks.
00:15:41.180 So, do you know what the plan is
00:15:42.720 to prevent the rocks
00:15:44.440 from off-gassing the CO2?
00:15:47.540 They're going to bury them.
00:15:50.080 They're going to bury all the rocks
00:15:51.420 under dirt.
00:15:55.840 Now, I'm making that up.
00:15:56.960 That's not real.
00:15:57.700 That's not real.
00:15:58.840 They're not going to bury the rocks.
00:16:00.260 It would just be funny, wouldn't it?
00:16:01.440 Or ban them.
00:16:03.760 Ban the rocks.
00:16:06.300 They're going to make rocks illegal.
00:16:10.300 Get rid of the rocks.
00:16:12.300 Rocks must die.
00:16:14.840 I think it would be hilarious
00:16:16.220 to have a climate protest
00:16:19.240 against rocks.
00:16:22.640 Am I right?
00:16:24.000 What would be funnier than that?
00:16:26.380 Like, you know,
00:16:26.940 actually get a permit,
00:16:28.880 invite, you know,
00:16:29.820 thousands of people
00:16:31.060 and have them march.
00:16:33.260 No more rocks.
00:16:34.720 No more rocks.
00:16:37.280 I think it'd be funny.
00:16:39.540 Yes.
00:16:40.240 And do you know how many,
00:16:42.200 how much of the CO2
00:16:43.140 comes from BlackRock?
00:16:46.200 Okay, that's a pun
00:16:47.160 on BlackRock
00:16:47.880 being a big company.
00:16:50.160 It wasn't a very good pun.
00:16:51.100 I just saw it in the comments
00:16:52.520 and stole it.
00:16:54.140 Probably should have
00:16:54.920 held back on that one.
00:16:56.700 Yeah, so,
00:16:57.560 we didn't include rocks
00:16:59.140 in those models.
00:17:00.740 Is there anybody you know
00:17:01.820 who's been telling you
00:17:02.640 for a long time
00:17:03.340 that models can't predict
00:17:04.700 the future?
00:17:05.920 Not even a little bit,
00:17:07.200 not ever.
00:17:07.980 Not in this case,
00:17:08.840 not in any case.
00:17:10.700 Yeah.
00:17:11.880 But we believe they can.
00:17:15.320 Here's another story
00:17:16.220 about Biden's dementia.
00:17:17.220 So I guess an ex-ESPN host
00:17:20.280 named Sage Steele,
00:17:22.520 I guess she was on
00:17:23.700 Bill Maher's show,
00:17:27.080 the Club Random,
00:17:28.980 and she said that
00:17:29.840 interviewing Joe Biden
00:17:30.860 was, quote,
00:17:31.420 the saddest thing
00:17:32.360 as he couldn't finish
00:17:34.180 his sentences.
00:17:36.340 So she said,
00:17:37.200 so forget about politics.
00:17:38.300 I don't care.
00:17:38.940 I didn't vote for him,
00:17:40.240 Steele told Bill Maher.
00:17:44.700 She thinks he's
00:17:45.660 a terrible president,
00:17:46.460 but she says,
00:17:47.660 however,
00:17:48.560 that made me sad,
00:17:49.940 she said,
00:17:50.400 of his confusion.
00:17:52.560 Now,
00:17:53.000 another sub-part
00:17:53.960 of the story
00:17:54.400 is that the Washington Post
00:17:55.500 is running the story.
00:17:58.000 So the Washington Post,
00:17:59.100 as you know,
00:17:59.780 likes their Democrats,
00:18:01.220 but it's pretty clear
00:18:02.500 that the word
00:18:03.860 has gone out
00:18:04.500 that Biden
00:18:05.560 will be pushed out.
00:18:08.200 I think he's going
00:18:09.200 to try to stay in there.
00:18:11.120 I think the entire system
00:18:12.740 is going to try
00:18:13.580 to push him out,
00:18:14.460 but they're going
00:18:15.760 to try it too gently
00:18:16.740 because they can't
00:18:18.180 be too aggressive
00:18:18.880 or too obvious.
00:18:20.640 And I think
00:18:21.340 his stubbornness
00:18:22.180 will be greater
00:18:23.100 than their subtlety.
00:18:26.560 So I think
00:18:27.300 he's going to stay
00:18:28.020 even though his side
00:18:29.560 is going to try
00:18:30.080 really hard
00:18:30.480 to push him out
00:18:31.240 because he's
00:18:32.360 an old demented man
00:18:33.440 and he doesn't want
00:18:34.260 to quit by saying
00:18:35.160 he's demented.
00:18:35.720 If you have dementia,
00:18:37.600 the last thing
00:18:38.080 you want to do
00:18:38.540 is say,
00:18:39.260 you know,
00:18:39.680 I'm going to have
00:18:40.140 to step down
00:18:40.780 because honestly,
00:18:41.740 I got a bad case
00:18:42.800 of dementia
00:18:43.320 and it's just
00:18:44.800 getting worse.
00:18:46.600 So Sage Steel
00:18:50.880 is a great name,
00:18:51.700 isn't it?
00:18:52.980 Your first name
00:18:53.940 makes you sound smart.
00:18:55.060 Your last name
00:18:55.660 makes you sound strong.
00:18:57.700 Sage Steel.
00:18:59.560 Sounds like
00:19:00.160 a superhero name.
00:19:02.640 Yes.
00:19:04.260 Sage Steel.
00:19:05.720 I like it.
00:19:07.520 All right,
00:19:07.880 so this next category
00:19:10.860 is the things
00:19:12.460 that Trump
00:19:13.220 was right about.
00:19:15.040 Are you ready for this?
00:19:16.280 Things that Trump
00:19:17.300 was right about.
00:19:18.940 I made a prediction
00:19:20.240 in 2021
00:19:21.060 that the longer
00:19:21.980 Trump was out of office,
00:19:23.840 the better he would look.
00:19:26.580 Let's see if there
00:19:27.360 are any examples
00:19:28.020 in the real world
00:19:28.980 of things that
00:19:30.600 make Trump look better
00:19:31.660 than he did.
00:19:33.140 Well,
00:19:33.500 as you might remember,
00:19:34.520 Joe Biden
00:19:36.620 was very
00:19:37.380 anti-Saudi Arabia
00:19:38.800 and its leader,
00:19:40.240 the crown prince,
00:19:41.760 for possibly
00:19:43.100 or probably
00:19:43.880 ordering a
00:19:45.200 bone saw
00:19:46.440 related murder
00:19:47.260 of a critic,
00:19:48.680 which we consider
00:19:49.800 bad form.
00:19:51.580 And so
00:19:52.360 Biden was
00:19:53.500 very,
00:19:54.200 very tough
00:19:54.780 on it,
00:19:55.200 said Trump
00:19:56.200 was some kind
00:19:57.620 of a weirdo
00:19:58.560 traitor
00:19:58.940 for even doing
00:19:59.640 business with that guy.
00:20:00.920 let's see if there's
00:20:02.820 any news stories.
00:20:03.740 Oh,
00:20:03.940 here's a scoop.
00:20:05.540 Cedar Biden
00:20:06.260 advisors
00:20:06.800 quietly visited
00:20:07.960 Saudi Arabia
00:20:08.700 last week
00:20:09.280 and met
00:20:09.680 crown prince
00:20:10.360 Mohammed bin Salman
00:20:11.400 to discuss
00:20:12.620 a mega deal.
00:20:15.360 So,
00:20:15.920 so Biden's
00:20:17.740 going to do
00:20:18.380 a mega deal
00:20:19.060 with the guy
00:20:19.740 that he said
00:20:20.360 they can never
00:20:21.880 do business with
00:20:23.620 because he's
00:20:24.140 a big old murderer.
00:20:25.000 So,
00:20:26.080 I'm going to say
00:20:26.460 that Trump
00:20:26.880 was right
00:20:27.460 that even
00:20:29.160 if you don't
00:20:30.000 like what
00:20:30.900 MBS
00:20:32.040 has done
00:20:33.480 or will do
00:20:34.040 that you might
00:20:35.660 need to deal
00:20:36.340 with them.
00:20:37.580 So,
00:20:37.920 let's say Trump
00:20:38.440 was right
00:20:38.760 about that.
00:20:43.300 I saw this
00:20:44.240 question
00:20:44.660 from
00:20:45.620 Hoodwinked
00:20:46.800 on X.
00:20:48.180 What percentage
00:20:48.720 of woke liberals
00:20:49.560 would rather die
00:20:50.780 by the hands
00:20:52.020 of their publicly
00:20:52.720 promoted ideology?
00:20:54.500 In other words,
00:20:55.000 open borders
00:20:55.920 and defunding
00:20:56.780 the police
00:20:57.200 versus admit
00:20:58.740 they were wrong
00:20:59.440 and then work
00:21:01.000 with the right
00:21:01.440 to fix the problems.
00:21:03.300 Now,
00:21:03.700 what do you think?
00:21:06.320 How many Democrats
00:21:07.280 would literally,
00:21:08.700 now we're talking
00:21:09.400 literally,
00:21:10.520 literally actually die?
00:21:12.380 How many would
00:21:12.980 actually choose
00:21:14.100 a high chance,
00:21:14.940 well not
00:21:15.340 a certainty of death,
00:21:16.700 but how many
00:21:17.220 would choose
00:21:17.780 a large percentage
00:21:19.680 chance of dying
00:21:20.860 violently
00:21:22.180 rather than
00:21:23.560 admit they're wrong?
00:21:24.440 it's probably
00:21:27.440 90%.
00:21:28.180 That's my guess
00:21:29.800 because that's
00:21:30.400 how cognitive
00:21:31.040 dissonance works.
00:21:33.040 Until their
00:21:33.740 final breath
00:21:34.440 they would still
00:21:34.880 think they were
00:21:35.320 right.
00:21:36.180 There would be
00:21:36.620 no point
00:21:37.040 they would ever
00:21:37.400 change their mind
00:21:38.100 because once
00:21:39.140 you're really,
00:21:39.900 really committed
00:21:40.340 to an opinion,
00:21:41.760 you will actually
00:21:43.140 risk your life
00:21:44.100 so you don't
00:21:44.820 have to change it.
00:21:45.580 you wouldn't
00:21:48.000 take certain
00:21:48.680 death.
00:21:49.580 If I gave you
00:21:50.160 a choice of
00:21:50.720 all right,
00:21:51.780 you can hold
00:21:52.500 that opinion
00:21:53.000 but in five
00:21:54.740 days you will
00:21:55.380 be dead
00:21:55.840 for sure
00:21:56.700 and we'll
00:21:57.340 guarantee it.
00:21:58.440 Well,
00:21:58.780 that might
00:21:59.080 change somebody's
00:21:59.740 opinion
00:22:00.040 because we
00:22:00.700 have a
00:22:00.960 survival
00:22:01.320 instinct.
00:22:02.760 But if you
00:22:03.480 said there's,
00:22:04.560 you know,
00:22:05.040 your opinions
00:22:05.860 are a really
00:22:07.420 higher chance
00:22:08.400 you're going
00:22:08.800 to get killed,
00:22:09.940 like substantially
00:22:10.840 higher,
00:22:11.440 they would
00:22:13.220 say,
00:22:13.960 I know,
00:22:14.340 but it's
00:22:14.580 the principle
00:22:14.980 of the thing.
00:22:15.880 So no,
00:22:16.320 I don't think
00:22:16.760 the risk
00:22:17.160 of being killed
00:22:17.860 by their own
00:22:18.440 policies would
00:22:19.080 change their
00:22:19.540 minds.
00:22:20.340 I don't think
00:22:20.980 that's how
00:22:21.440 minds work.
00:22:22.800 We just stick
00:22:23.560 with what we
00:22:24.060 thought was
00:22:24.400 true and we
00:22:25.260 never leave,
00:22:26.120 basically.
00:22:29.360 All right.
00:22:31.860 IBM predicted
00:22:33.660 not long ago
00:22:35.640 its CEO
00:22:36.180 previously predicted
00:22:37.260 that IBM
00:22:38.540 would have to
00:22:39.100 shed 30%
00:22:40.200 of their
00:22:40.500 workforce
00:22:41.080 because AI
00:22:42.720 would replace
00:22:43.380 too many
00:22:43.780 people.
00:22:45.240 Do you
00:22:45.580 remember what
00:22:45.980 I've been
00:22:46.280 saying?
00:22:47.000 Does anybody
00:22:47.320 remember my
00:22:48.140 prediction about
00:22:49.080 AI and
00:22:49.900 employment?
00:22:53.720 I said,
00:22:54.980 it's going to
00:22:55.220 be more like
00:22:55.720 the invention
00:22:56.160 of the printer
00:22:56.900 or the
00:22:57.680 computer.
00:22:58.620 We just
00:22:59.200 find more
00:22:59.700 things for
00:23:00.160 people to
00:23:00.600 do and
00:23:01.620 then we
00:23:01.900 hire them
00:23:02.240 to do
00:23:02.500 those things
00:23:02.960 instead or
00:23:04.120 do them
00:23:04.500 faster.
00:23:06.040 But IBM
00:23:07.060 now,
00:23:07.820 after its
00:23:08.240 CEO had
00:23:08.860 said they
00:23:09.460 might lose
00:23:09.920 30% of
00:23:10.760 the employees
00:23:11.660 to AI,
00:23:12.940 says it
00:23:14.220 foresees no
00:23:14.920 layoffs due
00:23:15.900 to AI and
00:23:17.220 the company
00:23:17.680 will hire
00:23:18.120 more workers
00:23:18.860 than it
00:23:19.260 lets go.
00:23:20.620 So it's
00:23:21.200 actually going
00:23:21.700 to grow
00:23:22.080 workers instead
00:23:23.060 of shedding
00:23:23.500 30%.
00:23:24.300 I'm going
00:23:25.900 to take
00:23:26.180 credit for
00:23:26.880 being right
00:23:27.380 on this
00:23:27.700 prediction
00:23:28.120 tentatively.
00:23:29.260 I mean,
00:23:29.480 you'd have
00:23:29.740 to see
00:23:30.100 a lot
00:23:30.940 more time
00:23:31.620 and a lot
00:23:32.020 more companies
00:23:32.560 doing stuff
00:23:33.100 to be
00:23:34.520 sure.
00:23:37.280 But I
00:23:38.300 think AI
00:23:38.860 will not
00:23:39.500 affect
00:23:40.040 overall
00:23:41.480 employment.
00:23:42.340 It will
00:23:42.600 definitely
00:23:42.900 change the
00:23:43.480 mix of
00:23:44.020 jobs,
00:23:44.640 like,
00:23:44.980 dramatically.
00:23:45.980 But I
00:23:46.320 don't think
00:23:46.580 it will
00:23:46.740 change the
00:23:47.160 overall
00:23:47.440 employment
00:23:47.840 rate by
00:23:49.380 itself.
00:23:50.920 So that's
00:23:51.440 my contrarian
00:23:52.500 prediction.
00:23:56.040 The Navy
00:23:56.920 now has
00:23:57.580 print-on-demand
00:23:58.800 parts.
00:24:00.620 So if you're
00:24:01.460 on a ship
00:24:02.140 at sea
00:24:02.560 and something
00:24:04.380 breaks,
00:24:05.380 you can't
00:24:05.880 easily take
00:24:06.760 the cruiser
00:24:08.760 back to
00:24:09.260 port or
00:24:10.200 fly something
00:24:11.100 in easily.
00:24:11.760 Now they
00:24:12.180 can just
00:24:12.500 print a
00:24:12.900 part.
00:24:14.240 They can
00:24:14.520 actually just
00:24:15.040 create a
00:24:16.200 part and
00:24:16.560 install it.
00:24:17.300 And they've
00:24:17.620 already done
00:24:18.040 it once.
00:24:19.380 They
00:24:20.060 installed a
00:24:20.980 crucial piece
00:24:21.620 on one of
00:24:22.020 its nuclear
00:24:22.520 submarines.
00:24:23.540 Now, I
00:24:24.220 don't feel
00:24:24.580 comfortable
00:24:24.960 with this.
00:24:27.240 I don't
00:24:27.680 want my
00:24:28.260 nuclear
00:24:28.760 submarines
00:24:29.380 necessarily to
00:24:30.560 have too
00:24:31.160 many 3D
00:24:32.100 printed parts,
00:24:32.960 if you know
00:24:33.340 what I mean.
00:24:34.660 It might have
00:24:35.320 been, you
00:24:35.880 know, maybe a
00:24:36.500 part that
00:24:36.860 wouldn't
00:24:37.140 accidentally
00:24:37.620 launch a
00:24:38.220 missile, so
00:24:38.920 that would
00:24:39.180 be good.
00:24:40.320 Maybe fix
00:24:41.660 the interface
00:24:42.340 a little bit
00:24:43.320 or something.
00:24:44.320 But no, I
00:24:44.940 wouldn't want
00:24:45.340 it to be one
00:24:45.780 of the
00:24:45.980 components of
00:24:46.720 the nuclear
00:24:47.200 missiles, but I
00:24:48.660 don't think
00:24:49.000 we're doing
00:24:49.320 that.
00:24:50.800 Well, the
00:24:51.400 most important
00:24:52.040 news of the
00:24:52.780 day is that
00:24:53.460 Commander the
00:24:54.700 dog, Joe
00:24:56.600 Biden's dog,
00:24:58.020 no, Joe
00:24:58.380 Biden, not
00:24:59.060 Biden, just
00:25:00.080 seems like it
00:25:01.060 shouldn't be
00:25:01.380 Joe Biden, so
00:25:03.300 that dog will
00:25:03.960 be removed from
00:25:04.640 the White
00:25:04.880 House.
00:25:06.900 I believe it's
00:25:07.880 being accused
00:25:08.660 of being a
00:25:09.420 MAGA domestic
00:25:10.340 terrorist, because
00:25:12.040 that's what they
00:25:12.480 do with anything
00:25:13.040 they don't like.
00:25:13.680 and they
00:25:16.200 had a few
00:25:16.660 different ways
00:25:17.380 to handle
00:25:18.400 this, but
00:25:19.820 one was to
00:25:20.560 remove the
00:25:21.040 dog completely,
00:25:23.400 but they
00:25:25.100 also considered
00:25:25.900 building a
00:25:26.440 wall around
00:25:26.960 it.
00:25:28.640 Yeah.
00:25:29.700 It's called
00:25:30.420 a cage, but
00:25:32.280 they could have
00:25:32.840 built a wall
00:25:33.400 around the
00:25:34.000 dog, but
00:25:35.600 they decided to
00:25:36.180 get rid of
00:25:36.520 it.
00:25:36.700 Now, I
00:25:39.200 don't know if
00:25:39.580 you've put
00:25:40.460 together two
00:25:41.140 plus two, but
00:25:42.820 in the past
00:25:43.400 week, not
00:25:44.780 only has
00:25:45.500 Speaker McCarthy
00:25:46.500 been removed
00:25:47.320 from office,
00:25:49.040 but Commander
00:25:50.100 the dog has
00:25:50.800 been removed
00:25:51.360 to the White
00:25:51.800 House, and
00:25:53.300 that does
00:25:53.860 leave us with
00:25:54.580 no leadership
00:25:55.200 whatsoever.
00:25:58.560 It's quite a
00:25:59.620 leadership hole
00:26:00.300 we've created
00:26:00.900 here, because
00:26:02.520 I'm pretty sure
00:26:03.240 Commander the
00:26:03.900 dog was in
00:26:04.580 charge of
00:26:05.160 domestic policy
00:26:06.560 anyway.
00:26:08.600 Well, let's
00:26:09.260 see.
00:26:11.740 I saw a
00:26:12.600 post by
00:26:13.340 Peter Zan
00:26:14.620 about Ukraine,
00:26:17.940 and he
00:26:19.420 said this.
00:26:20.060 He said,
00:26:20.480 all administrations
00:26:21.320 have their
00:26:21.680 blind spots.
00:26:22.900 Ukraine is
00:26:23.640 Biden's.
00:26:25.180 So Ukraine is
00:26:26.040 his blind spot.
00:26:27.720 Now I'm
00:26:28.140 thinking, where
00:26:28.800 is this going?
00:26:31.520 Where is this
00:26:32.260 going?
00:26:32.980 So Ukraine is
00:26:33.840 Biden's blind
00:26:34.540 spot.
00:26:34.800 But Peter
00:26:36.480 Zan says,
00:26:37.160 luckily, it
00:26:37.980 is easy to
00:26:38.580 make the
00:26:38.940 case that
00:26:41.280 aid for
00:26:41.760 Ukraine is
00:26:43.040 a core
00:26:43.560 American
00:26:44.020 interest.
00:26:45.400 Biden just
00:26:46.220 needs to
00:26:46.660 address the
00:26:47.200 nation.
00:26:48.280 Just as
00:26:48.860 Clinton did
00:26:49.540 for Kosovo,
00:26:51.220 W. Bush did
00:26:52.040 for Iraq,
00:26:52.720 Bush Sr.
00:26:53.220 did for
00:26:53.520 Panama, and
00:26:54.200 Reagan did
00:26:54.720 for the
00:26:55.560 80s defense
00:26:56.260 buildup.
00:26:56.760 So it's
00:27:00.520 easy to
00:27:01.140 make the
00:27:01.500 case that
00:27:02.600 aid for
00:27:03.080 Ukraine is
00:27:03.760 a core
00:27:04.140 American
00:27:04.560 interest.
00:27:06.040 Is it?
00:27:07.100 Is that
00:27:07.440 easy?
00:27:08.400 You think I
00:27:09.040 would have
00:27:09.280 heard that
00:27:09.660 argument by
00:27:10.240 now, but I
00:27:10.900 haven't.
00:27:11.780 Have you?
00:27:13.000 Have any of
00:27:13.600 you heard an
00:27:14.160 argument why
00:27:14.880 Ukraine is
00:27:15.560 America's core
00:27:16.560 interest?
00:27:19.160 I've heard it's
00:27:20.340 the only thing
00:27:20.860 that will keep
00:27:21.560 China from
00:27:22.660 taking over
00:27:23.280 Taiwan, which
00:27:25.400 I think is
00:27:25.880 just laughably
00:27:26.580 stupid.
00:27:28.040 It's just
00:27:28.560 laughably
00:27:29.060 stupid.
00:27:29.700 I'm not even
00:27:30.100 going to
00:27:30.420 address that.
00:27:32.540 Would you
00:27:32.860 agree?
00:27:34.200 The thought
00:27:34.700 that whatever
00:27:35.520 happens to
00:27:36.140 Ukraine, the
00:27:37.480 thought that
00:27:37.860 that would
00:27:38.120 have anything
00:27:38.900 to do with
00:27:39.460 China's decision
00:27:40.300 about Taiwan,
00:27:41.780 I'm not even
00:27:42.580 going to talk
00:27:43.000 about it.
00:27:43.420 That's just
00:27:43.800 too fucking
00:27:44.260 stupid.
00:27:45.840 That's just
00:27:46.660 too many
00:27:47.120 levels of
00:27:47.920 abstraction.
00:27:50.420 But the
00:27:51.900 other argument
00:27:52.480 is, let's
00:27:53.140 see, I heard
00:27:53.460 one argument
00:27:53.960 from a
00:27:54.600 politician saying
00:27:55.360 but don't
00:27:56.120 you realize
00:27:56.640 that 30%
00:27:57.580 of the
00:27:57.940 world's
00:27:58.740 wheat comes
00:28:00.120 from Ukraine?
00:28:01.400 To which I
00:28:02.260 say, why
00:28:03.820 would that
00:28:04.180 stop?
00:28:05.560 If Ukraine
00:28:06.860 loses the
00:28:07.600 war, is
00:28:09.780 Russia going
00:28:10.280 to stop
00:28:10.620 making wheat?
00:28:11.660 Or is
00:28:12.220 there going
00:28:12.440 to be one
00:28:13.020 year of
00:28:14.500 not as
00:28:15.480 much wheat?
00:28:17.420 I don't
00:28:17.780 know.
00:28:18.620 I'm not
00:28:18.980 sure that
00:28:19.340 that's a...
00:28:20.180 And the
00:28:20.760 problem in
00:28:21.220 the United
00:28:21.580 States wouldn't
00:28:22.380 be people
00:28:22.880 starving.
00:28:23.320 It would
00:28:24.460 be that
00:28:24.800 the wheat
00:28:25.160 costs 30%
00:28:26.480 more.
00:28:27.440 So we
00:28:27.840 would just
00:28:28.140 eat less
00:28:28.580 bread and
00:28:29.200 we'd eat
00:28:29.540 more
00:28:29.760 vegetables.
00:28:31.400 Is that a
00:28:32.180 core American
00:28:32.920 interest?
00:28:34.080 That there
00:28:34.460 might be,
00:28:34.980 let's say,
00:28:35.360 one year of
00:28:36.100 low wheat
00:28:36.840 production if
00:28:37.740 something happened
00:28:38.320 in Ukraine?
00:28:40.980 That's a core
00:28:41.940 American interest?
00:28:42.760 No, what
00:28:46.200 about stopping
00:28:48.480 Putin's war
00:28:50.780 of aggression
00:28:51.360 where if we
00:28:52.700 don't stop
00:28:53.180 him now,
00:28:53.620 he'll just
00:28:53.960 keep taking
00:28:54.440 over countries?
00:28:57.100 Don't you
00:28:57.720 think he
00:28:58.040 just makes
00:28:58.440 every decision
00:28:59.160 individually?
00:29:00.840 Or do we
00:29:01.880 believe that he
00:29:02.360 had this one
00:29:03.060 big decision?
00:29:04.440 I must take
00:29:05.240 over everything.
00:29:07.000 I'm just
00:29:07.400 going to take
00:29:07.820 over everything.
00:29:09.360 And it
00:29:09.860 doesn't matter
00:29:10.200 what the
00:29:10.660 situation is,
00:29:11.340 I'll take it
00:29:11.840 over.
00:29:12.540 If it's
00:29:12.940 bordering my
00:29:13.860 country,
00:29:14.200 he's just
00:29:14.420 going to
00:29:14.600 take it
00:29:14.840 over.
00:29:15.700 Is that
00:29:16.040 the way
00:29:16.300 he thinks?
00:29:17.960 Or might
00:29:18.580 he look at
00:29:19.180 every situation
00:29:20.020 individually,
00:29:21.860 and his
00:29:22.340 Ukraine opinion
00:29:23.380 is different
00:29:23.940 than his
00:29:24.340 opinion of
00:29:24.860 every place
00:29:25.380 else?
00:29:26.740 I feel
00:29:27.280 like he
00:29:29.440 probably
00:29:29.820 shoots them
00:29:30.400 all as
00:29:30.920 individual
00:29:31.360 decisions.
00:29:33.080 Do you
00:29:33.460 think that
00:29:33.880 he would
00:29:34.460 move on
00:29:35.520 Poland?
00:29:38.580 To me,
00:29:39.440 the Ukraine
00:29:40.360 situation showed
00:29:41.300 that his
00:29:41.660 military can't
00:29:42.660 conquer another
00:29:43.320 country,
00:29:44.560 even one
00:29:45.300 that he
00:29:45.600 believed to
00:29:47.580 be weak.
00:29:48.420 He certainly
00:29:48.900 can't take
00:29:49.440 a NATO
00:29:50.320 country.
00:29:53.020 So,
00:29:54.500 I hear what
00:29:56.100 Peter Zan
00:29:56.760 says, that
00:29:57.900 it would be
00:29:58.540 easy to make
00:29:59.220 the case,
00:30:00.260 but I've
00:30:00.720 never heard
00:30:01.120 the case,
00:30:02.300 in a way
00:30:03.100 that sounds
00:30:03.540 even like a
00:30:04.360 little bit
00:30:04.940 plausible.
00:30:06.480 Now,
00:30:06.920 there's a
00:30:07.360 trick that
00:30:08.040 people do
00:30:10.080 in the
00:30:10.420 news all
00:30:10.940 the time,
00:30:11.800 which is
00:30:12.700 to imagine
00:30:13.260 that there's
00:30:14.940 only one
00:30:15.400 choice.
00:30:17.000 And the
00:30:17.600 choice that
00:30:18.040 they imagine
00:30:18.540 is we
00:30:19.040 either support
00:30:19.720 Ukraine or
00:30:21.160 we give it
00:30:21.840 all to
00:30:22.180 Russia.
00:30:23.620 Those are
00:30:24.920 the only
00:30:25.220 choices?
00:30:26.560 What about
00:30:27.080 the most
00:30:27.460 likely choice?
00:30:28.700 Why would
00:30:29.080 you leave
00:30:29.440 the most
00:30:30.020 likely outcome
00:30:31.180 out of your
00:30:32.080 two choices?
00:30:33.260 The most
00:30:33.900 likely outcome
00:30:34.780 is we say,
00:30:35.620 look, we
00:30:36.520 don't want to
00:30:37.080 fund Ukraine
00:30:37.660 anymore,
00:30:38.820 but we're
00:30:39.320 going to,
00:30:40.480 if you
00:30:40.860 don't do
00:30:41.840 a peace
00:30:42.160 deal that
00:30:42.800 negotiates
00:30:44.040 these border
00:30:44.560 regions.
00:30:45.620 The obvious
00:30:46.700 other solution
00:30:47.540 is you
00:30:47.980 negotiate a
00:30:48.740 peace that
00:30:49.760 keeps everybody
00:30:50.560 largely where
00:30:51.220 they are at
00:30:51.640 the moment,
00:30:52.920 and then you
00:30:53.480 give some
00:30:54.160 guarantees about
00:30:54.940 the future,
00:30:55.600 etc.
00:30:56.580 But why
00:30:58.040 do we think
00:30:58.500 the choice
00:30:59.120 is to
00:30:59.660 fight forever
00:31:00.820 or surrender
00:31:01.760 when by far
00:31:03.700 the most
00:31:04.080 obvious thing
00:31:04.760 is to say,
00:31:05.600 all right,
00:31:05.900 it's a draw,
00:31:07.080 this should
00:31:08.380 discourage you
00:31:09.000 from invading
00:31:10.220 another country
00:31:10.940 because you
00:31:11.420 can see that
00:31:11.980 we can just
00:31:12.560 stop you.
00:31:13.660 So why don't
00:31:14.080 we just
00:31:14.460 negotiate peace,
00:31:16.160 go back to
00:31:16.720 business as
00:31:17.260 usual.
00:31:18.820 Here's why
00:31:19.420 you can't
00:31:19.800 make a good
00:31:20.300 case,
00:31:21.260 because the
00:31:21.640 real case
00:31:22.120 you can't
00:31:22.560 tell the
00:31:22.860 American
00:31:23.160 people.
00:31:24.660 Can you?
00:31:26.120 The real
00:31:26.700 reason,
00:31:27.640 they can't
00:31:28.160 say out
00:31:28.480 loud,
00:31:29.520 the real
00:31:30.020 reason is
00:31:30.540 it's an
00:31:30.880 energy war.
00:31:32.400 We don't
00:31:32.800 want Russia
00:31:33.440 to,
00:31:34.580 first of all,
00:31:34.920 make all the
00:31:35.420 money that
00:31:35.900 our companies
00:31:36.600 could make,
00:31:37.440 and second
00:31:38.100 of all,
00:31:38.400 to have that
00:31:38.760 much power
00:31:39.360 over people
00:31:40.420 by being in
00:31:41.760 control of
00:31:42.240 their energy.
00:31:43.960 It's a pure
00:31:44.840 energy war.
00:31:45.880 If you made
00:31:47.080 that argument
00:31:47.760 to me,
00:31:49.020 believe it or
00:31:49.680 not,
00:31:50.980 I might be
00:31:52.100 persuaded by
00:31:52.840 it.
00:31:54.080 It sounds
00:31:54.940 purely evil,
00:31:55.940 but in the
00:31:56.360 real world,
00:31:58.160 wars are about
00:31:59.280 resources and
00:32:00.180 usually energy.
00:32:01.000 and it's
00:32:03.660 probably just
00:32:04.440 a way to
00:32:04.900 guarantee that
00:32:05.520 America stays
00:32:06.560 the dominant
00:32:07.280 superpower for
00:32:08.940 the next 50
00:32:09.680 years.
00:32:10.920 Because if
00:32:11.520 Russia got
00:32:12.820 enough money
00:32:13.380 from its
00:32:13.900 energy production
00:32:14.960 and got
00:32:16.000 enough control
00:32:16.720 over Europe,
00:32:18.540 you could
00:32:18.980 really easily
00:32:19.700 see how
00:32:20.240 Putin could
00:32:20.940 dominate Europe.
00:32:23.000 Easy to
00:32:23.880 see.
00:32:25.200 So there
00:32:25.660 would be an
00:32:26.020 argument,
00:32:26.460 but you'd
00:32:26.660 have to say
00:32:27.080 the things
00:32:27.520 that you
00:32:27.740 can't say,
00:32:28.300 which is,
00:32:29.680 yes,
00:32:30.160 Ukraine is
00:32:30.720 totally corrupt,
00:32:32.760 but we'd
00:32:34.840 rather make
00:32:36.040 sure our
00:32:36.480 energy companies
00:32:37.240 get the
00:32:37.600 business that
00:32:38.160 would otherwise
00:32:38.640 go to Putin
00:32:39.220 because if he
00:32:40.200 has the money,
00:32:40.820 he's going to
00:32:41.080 do bad stuff
00:32:41.720 with it.
00:32:43.580 But you
00:32:44.080 can't say
00:32:44.420 that out
00:32:44.800 loud because
00:32:46.800 then it's an
00:32:47.320 optional war.
00:32:49.040 All right.
00:32:51.600 Of course,
00:32:52.340 we're going to
00:32:52.660 talk about the
00:32:53.200 border wall.
00:32:55.780 So the head
00:32:56.900 of Homeland
00:32:57.300 Security,
00:32:57.840 Secretary,
00:32:59.400 Alejandro
00:33:00.660 Mayorkas,
00:33:01.960 who's been
00:33:02.640 very anti-wall,
00:33:04.200 as has Joe
00:33:05.020 Biden been
00:33:05.580 anti-wall,
00:33:07.020 but now,
00:33:08.000 quote,
00:33:08.700 there is
00:33:09.360 presently an
00:33:09.980 acute and
00:33:10.420 immediate need
00:33:10.980 to construct
00:33:11.540 physical barriers
00:33:12.600 and roads.
00:33:13.660 Huh.
00:33:14.400 Physical
00:33:15.020 barriers.
00:33:16.480 What would
00:33:16.860 be an
00:33:18.420 example of
00:33:19.280 a physical
00:33:20.380 barrier?
00:33:21.400 And what
00:33:21.660 would be the
00:33:22.760 way a
00:33:23.220 normal non-fucking
00:33:25.060 jerk would say
00:33:25.880 it?
00:33:26.280 Probably wall.
00:33:27.840 Wall, yeah.
00:33:29.460 But if you're
00:33:30.240 as big a loser
00:33:31.120 as this
00:33:31.620 Mayorkas guy
00:33:32.320 is, you've
00:33:32.660 got to call
00:33:33.040 it a
00:33:34.160 physical
00:33:35.000 barrier so
00:33:37.380 you don't,
00:33:38.120 it's not as
00:33:38.620 obvious what a
00:33:39.560 weasel you've
00:33:40.160 been and how
00:33:40.800 much damage
00:33:41.320 you've done to
00:33:41.800 the country
00:33:42.220 by not having
00:33:43.760 a border.
00:33:44.360 border.
00:33:46.020 So, I'm
00:33:47.700 going to put
00:33:48.000 this on the
00:33:48.560 category of
00:33:51.020 things Trump
00:33:52.960 was right
00:33:53.400 about that
00:33:55.520 the other
00:33:55.880 side had to
00:33:56.520 pretend they
00:33:57.180 were against
00:33:57.800 so they could
00:33:58.960 be against
00:33:59.420 whatever he
00:33:59.960 was for.
00:34:01.240 And it
00:34:01.960 couldn't be
00:34:02.360 much more
00:34:02.800 obvious than
00:34:03.340 this one.
00:34:05.320 So, I
00:34:06.020 would say that
00:34:06.620 Trump has
00:34:07.240 been right
00:34:08.260 about police
00:34:09.980 and needing
00:34:10.940 more of them
00:34:11.480 and don't
00:34:11.860 defund them.
00:34:12.440 he was right
00:34:13.520 about the
00:34:13.960 border, he
00:34:15.040 was right
00:34:15.500 about China,
00:34:17.360 he was
00:34:17.640 probably right
00:34:18.300 about Iran,
00:34:20.620 he was right
00:34:22.640 about energy,
00:34:24.860 he was right
00:34:25.540 about a lot
00:34:26.100 and it's
00:34:27.160 getting more
00:34:28.120 and more
00:34:28.360 obvious.
00:34:29.480 So, here are
00:34:29.920 some of my
00:34:30.420 predictions just
00:34:31.180 to remind you.
00:34:32.800 I said the
00:34:33.340 Republicans would
00:34:34.120 be hunted
00:34:34.580 and there's a
00:34:37.300 good chance
00:34:37.700 you'll be dead
00:34:38.240 in a year.
00:34:39.240 And we can
00:34:39.580 see the crime
00:34:40.180 wave and
00:34:41.480 people getting
00:34:41.960 killed in
00:34:42.420 cities,
00:34:42.900 especially that
00:34:43.440 journalist
00:34:43.780 recently.
00:34:44.520 Makes us
00:34:44.960 think that
00:34:45.540 it's an
00:34:47.380 unsafe place
00:34:48.380 to live.
00:34:49.680 But how
00:34:50.040 about that
00:34:50.340 Republicans
00:34:50.820 would be
00:34:51.280 hunted?
00:34:51.940 Well, the
00:34:53.800 federal
00:34:54.080 government is
00:34:56.200 so concerned
00:34:56.880 about domestic
00:34:57.620 violence that
00:34:59.420 the FBI has
00:35:00.340 created a
00:35:00.800 whole category
00:35:01.600 of extremists
00:35:03.300 and they're
00:35:04.800 called Donald
00:35:05.740 Trump's army
00:35:06.520 of MAGA
00:35:07.120 followers.
00:35:08.700 That's right.
00:35:09.940 The FBI has
00:35:10.880 decided that
00:35:12.340 MAGA people
00:35:13.340 should be
00:35:15.060 followed
00:35:17.160 closely for
00:35:18.180 being domestic
00:35:18.860 terrorists.
00:35:22.820 And it's
00:35:23.740 the FBI
00:35:24.140 that will
00:35:24.500 do it.
00:35:25.960 And,
00:35:27.280 my God,
00:35:29.740 this is a
00:35:30.480 Newsweek report,
00:35:31.380 something leaked.
00:35:32.080 So, Biden
00:35:35.160 is trying to
00:35:35.700 defeat
00:35:36.020 domestic
00:35:36.580 terrorism
00:35:37.100 by targeting
00:35:38.760 one political
00:35:39.560 group for
00:35:41.320 political
00:35:41.900 terrorism.
00:35:42.440 Do you think
00:35:44.320 that you would
00:35:44.760 make MAGA
00:35:45.400 people less
00:35:46.840 likely to
00:35:47.580 bomb the
00:35:48.160 Capitol by
00:35:49.500 targeting them?
00:35:51.820 Unfairly.
00:35:53.500 I'm pretty sure
00:35:54.440 this would
00:35:54.820 radicalize more
00:35:55.700 people than it
00:35:56.320 would catch.
00:35:57.120 so this
00:35:58.480 seems like
00:35:58.860 the worst
00:35:59.200 idea in
00:35:59.620 the world.
00:36:03.080 But here
00:36:03.760 we are.
00:36:05.200 So, I
00:36:05.760 don't think
00:36:06.200 we can
00:36:06.700 any longer
00:36:07.580 argue that
00:36:08.900 Republicans are
00:36:09.700 not being
00:36:10.120 hunted.
00:36:11.720 Would you
00:36:12.200 all give me
00:36:12.760 that that
00:36:13.300 prediction,
00:36:15.060 which is
00:36:15.400 pretty out of
00:36:17.800 left field,
00:36:18.440 was right?
00:36:19.800 This is
00:36:20.240 clearly right.
00:36:21.760 The January
00:36:22.480 6th people
00:36:23.160 were obviously
00:36:24.040 hunted.
00:36:24.400 a number
00:36:25.580 of public
00:36:26.420 figures were
00:36:27.540 cancelled for
00:36:28.220 reasons that
00:36:28.800 sounded like
00:36:29.440 other reasons,
00:36:30.240 but really
00:36:30.880 weren't.
00:36:31.880 It was about
00:36:32.680 taking the
00:36:33.500 better voices
00:36:34.260 off the
00:36:34.700 field.
00:36:36.420 Yeah.
00:36:37.460 It's as
00:36:38.720 bad as I
00:36:39.980 said it
00:36:40.240 would be.
00:36:42.000 And when
00:36:42.520 I wrote
00:36:43.180 that tweet,
00:36:44.400 I have to
00:36:45.060 say I just
00:36:45.840 felt it.
00:36:48.060 I felt it
00:36:49.120 like the
00:36:49.460 moment before
00:36:50.040 I wrote it.
00:36:50.620 I just had
00:36:51.040 this feeling
00:36:51.540 like, oh
00:36:52.820 shit.
00:36:53.280 the way
00:36:54.500 that they
00:36:55.680 campaigned
00:36:56.620 and talked
00:36:57.020 about Trump,
00:36:58.560 it became
00:36:59.260 very obvious
00:36:59.920 that that
00:37:00.600 rhetoric would
00:37:01.880 translate into
00:37:02.660 action that
00:37:03.300 looked like
00:37:03.680 this.
00:37:04.680 Because they
00:37:05.180 were saying
00:37:05.580 it clearly
00:37:07.080 from the
00:37:07.560 start, that
00:37:08.620 MAGA people
00:37:09.220 were terrorists
00:37:09.920 and versions
00:37:11.080 of that.
00:37:12.200 So you
00:37:13.940 could see it
00:37:14.480 coming from
00:37:14.960 a mile away,
00:37:16.300 and here it
00:37:16.780 is.
00:37:21.120 See, the
00:37:21.820 FTC is
00:37:22.480 going after
00:37:23.080 Amazon.
00:37:24.800 So apparently
00:37:25.280 they had
00:37:25.720 this special
00:37:26.420 algorithm called
00:37:27.220 Project
00:37:27.760 Nessie that
00:37:29.540 worked by
00:37:30.220 manipulating
00:37:30.800 rivals' weak
00:37:31.740 pricing
00:37:32.240 algorithms.
00:37:33.860 So somehow
00:37:34.440 what I think
00:37:36.360 this means
00:37:36.980 is either
00:37:39.460 their own
00:37:40.360 in-house
00:37:40.920 products were
00:37:42.300 competing against
00:37:43.380 the professional
00:37:44.420 products, or
00:37:45.840 maybe there was
00:37:46.460 one they had a
00:37:46.980 greater profit
00:37:47.760 margin from,
00:37:48.600 so they would
00:37:48.980 push that
00:37:49.460 instead of the
00:37:49.940 other one.
00:37:50.280 But apparently
00:37:51.560 this was bad
00:37:54.160 behavior according
00:37:54.960 to some
00:37:55.680 people, the
00:37:58.120 FTC, and it
00:38:00.320 led competitors
00:38:00.980 to raise their
00:38:01.660 prices and charge
00:38:02.460 customers more.
00:38:05.400 So that was
00:38:06.860 pretty sketchy.
00:38:09.300 So we'll see if
00:38:10.260 that was all true
00:38:10.900 because it's
00:38:11.440 subjective of a
00:38:12.480 court case.
00:38:13.440 So maybe it
00:38:14.140 wasn't true.
00:38:14.720 You never know.
00:38:15.140 So here's the
00:38:17.160 funniest thing I
00:38:17.840 realized yesterday
00:38:18.540 that, do you
00:38:19.440 remember Adam
00:38:20.100 Schiff wanted
00:38:22.480 to be the next
00:38:23.220 senator from
00:38:23.880 California?
00:38:24.900 So he was in
00:38:25.640 the House of
00:38:26.560 Representatives.
00:38:27.800 But Gavin
00:38:28.880 Newsom said he
00:38:29.560 was going to
00:38:30.700 promote a black
00:38:31.740 woman to that
00:38:32.520 job, and then
00:38:33.100 he did.
00:38:35.760 And I just
00:38:37.140 realized that
00:38:38.560 Adam Schiff
00:38:39.340 was passed
00:38:40.760 over for
00:38:41.360 promotion
00:38:41.920 because he's a
00:38:43.960 white man.
00:38:45.140 just hold
00:38:49.120 that in your
00:38:49.480 head.
00:38:49.960 Adam Schiff
00:38:50.620 specifically,
00:38:52.760 him specifically,
00:38:54.480 he was passed
00:38:55.120 over for a
00:38:55.760 promotion because
00:38:57.060 he's a white
00:38:57.560 man.
00:38:59.440 How much do
00:38:59.920 you think he
00:39:01.080 loves his team
00:39:02.020 today?
00:39:03.140 Oh, yeah,
00:39:03.940 Democrats.
00:39:06.740 Something tells
00:39:07.380 me the next time
00:39:08.200 he goes into
00:39:08.640 Schiff, he's not
00:39:09.460 going to lie.
00:39:11.240 I think he got
00:39:12.160 a little closer to
00:39:12.960 being a Republican
00:39:13.720 is what I think.
00:39:16.100 Because that
00:39:18.780 can only happen
00:39:19.400 to you so many
00:39:20.200 times before you
00:39:21.160 start saying,
00:39:22.300 hey, I don't
00:39:23.340 think the
00:39:23.700 intentions here
00:39:24.480 are really in
00:39:26.400 the right direction.
00:39:28.360 Yep, Adam Schiff
00:39:29.460 was passed over
00:39:30.360 for a promotion
00:39:31.000 because he's a
00:39:31.700 white male.
00:39:33.900 I mean, I just
00:39:34.300 like saying that.
00:39:35.740 And it makes me
00:39:36.340 wonder, where's
00:39:36.860 the ADL?
00:39:38.580 Shouldn't the
00:39:39.120 ADL be defending
00:39:40.100 him?
00:39:41.260 He is a Democrat.
00:39:42.680 They should be
00:39:43.300 defending him
00:39:43.860 against this
00:39:44.340 discrimination.
00:39:46.420 But they're
00:39:47.240 nowhere to be
00:39:47.940 seen.
00:39:48.940 Oh, but they
00:39:49.380 are advertising
00:39:50.060 again on the
00:39:51.040 X platform.
00:39:52.380 I think they
00:39:52.940 should have been
00:39:53.300 kicked off the
00:39:53.860 X platform, but
00:39:54.760 if they're going
00:39:55.380 to give Elon Musk
00:39:56.180 money, I guess
00:39:56.800 that's okay.
00:39:59.640 Jim Jordan,
00:40:00.560 Representative Jim
00:40:01.320 Jordan, who's been
00:40:02.160 floated as the
00:40:03.840 potential next
00:40:05.720 Speaker of the
00:40:06.220 House, he tweeted
00:40:07.480 this yesterday.
00:40:08.080 Does anyone feel
00:40:10.140 safe in
00:40:10.800 Democrat-run cities?
00:40:13.840 Democrat-run cities.
00:40:17.000 And I thought to
00:40:18.020 myself, what an
00:40:18.920 interesting choice of
00:40:19.760 words.
00:40:20.720 Democrat-run cities.
00:40:23.000 Because if I go
00:40:23.720 into the city and I
00:40:25.260 see a Democrat
00:40:25.920 coming toward me,
00:40:27.400 I'm going to run.
00:40:29.460 So, Democrat-run,
00:40:32.300 run.
00:40:33.740 It's a Democrat-run
00:40:35.520 city.
00:40:36.220 Yeah, that's
00:40:38.560 what it's called,
00:40:39.200 a Democrat-run city.
00:40:44.560 Well, speaking of
00:40:45.600 a lack of free
00:40:46.220 speech, apparently
00:40:47.080 Vivek Ramaswamy and
00:40:48.480 Chris Christie had
00:40:50.120 agreed with each
00:40:50.880 other that they
00:40:51.420 would go on a
00:40:52.560 show, I think on
00:40:53.320 Fox, and debate.
00:40:55.580 And the Republican
00:40:58.420 Party shut that
00:40:59.980 down and told them
00:41:00.980 they couldn't do
00:41:01.520 that.
00:41:03.020 To which I say,
00:41:05.260 what?
00:41:06.220 When did the
00:41:07.340 Republican Party
00:41:08.160 become the no-free
00:41:09.380 speech party?
00:41:11.300 Like, I get the
00:41:12.620 Republicans have to
00:41:13.460 act like Republicans
00:41:14.340 and you want to be
00:41:15.260 on the same team
00:41:15.940 and all, but
00:41:17.440 seriously?
00:41:21.600 Seriously?
00:41:22.240 You can't let two
00:41:23.400 people running for
00:41:24.180 president debate
00:41:25.060 each other on your
00:41:25.780 TV show?
00:41:27.640 And when I first
00:41:29.060 heard that Vivek was
00:41:30.460 going to have a
00:41:31.040 conversation with
00:41:31.760 Chris Christie, the
00:41:33.260 first thing I thought
00:41:33.940 was, that might be
00:41:34.980 the first time you
00:41:36.020 saw a debate where
00:41:37.520 something like a
00:41:38.420 debate happened.
00:41:39.820 The way the debates
00:41:40.800 are done for the TV
00:41:42.280 audience, you know,
00:41:43.100 with seven or eight
00:41:43.940 people up there, and
00:41:45.260 then the questions,
00:41:46.380 maybe not the
00:41:47.060 questions you would
00:41:48.100 have asked, not
00:41:49.720 really useful.
00:41:50.920 I mean, it's a good
00:41:51.440 event, it's a show
00:41:52.420 event, but it's not
00:41:53.080 really useful for
00:41:53.800 voters.
00:41:54.120 But one-on-one, where
00:41:56.960 they could spend some
00:41:57.740 time really digging
00:41:58.700 into the other
00:41:59.340 person's point of
00:42:00.360 view, I would watch
00:42:02.440 that all day.
00:42:03.740 But apparently the
00:42:04.440 Republicans won't let
00:42:05.400 it happen.
00:42:06.880 So there's your free
00:42:08.100 speech group right
00:42:08.900 there.
00:42:12.300 Karl Rove did this
00:42:13.600 big editorial in the
00:42:14.620 Wall Street Journal
00:42:15.220 trying to mock Matt
00:42:17.960 Gates for throwing
00:42:19.480 the Congress into
00:42:22.020 chaos by ousting
00:42:25.040 the Speaker.
00:42:26.760 And I read the
00:42:27.820 whole thing, and my
00:42:28.680 only take on it was
00:42:29.720 there's something
00:42:31.180 wrong with Karl
00:42:32.100 Rove.
00:42:35.260 I don't know if I
00:42:36.260 could go further,
00:42:37.420 but I read his thing
00:42:39.460 about Matt Gates, and
00:42:41.020 it was his choice of
00:42:42.180 words, his choice of
00:42:45.560 words very clearly
00:42:48.300 said that his
00:42:51.060 opinion was
00:42:51.780 bullshit, and it
00:42:52.800 was just some weird
00:42:53.500 political thing that
00:42:54.400 he preferred some, I
00:42:56.280 guess he preferred
00:42:56.880 McCarthy.
00:42:58.260 But I kind of
00:43:00.620 thought he was a
00:43:01.280 straight shooter until
00:43:02.420 I saw his editorial.
00:43:04.540 And it was just, it
00:43:05.480 looked like a Democrat
00:43:06.240 wrote it, really.
00:43:08.160 And you know what I
00:43:09.140 mean, right?
00:43:10.540 It was tons of
00:43:12.480 insults that weren't
00:43:14.500 necessary to the
00:43:15.420 point.
00:43:16.640 You know, it's
00:43:16.940 like a little too
00:43:18.000 hyperbolic.
00:43:19.880 So I don't trust
00:43:21.900 anybody, but I
00:43:23.520 definitely don't trust
00:43:24.360 anybody who's mad at
00:43:25.340 Matt Gates for kicking
00:43:27.000 the Speaker out.
00:43:28.720 You immediately lose
00:43:30.260 my trust when you
00:43:32.020 have a strong opinion
00:43:33.060 that that should not
00:43:33.960 have gone on.
00:43:35.200 Because we could all
00:43:36.380 see that the current
00:43:37.680 situation wasn't
00:43:38.700 getting us any
00:43:39.380 results, and we
00:43:40.740 could all keep it.
00:43:44.220 Politics aside, if
00:43:46.300 your speaker makes a
00:43:47.460 public promise to
00:43:48.900 your own team and
00:43:50.460 then doesn't keep
00:43:51.240 it, it doesn't
00:43:53.180 matter if he was
00:43:53.740 effective in all the
00:43:54.560 other stuff.
00:43:55.860 That is grounds for
00:43:57.200 removal, period.
00:44:00.020 Because it doesn't
00:44:01.000 look like he ever
00:44:01.680 meant to keep that.
00:44:03.880 Maybe he did.
00:44:05.140 Maybe events
00:44:06.160 overtook him.
00:44:07.180 So he was either
00:44:08.260 incapable of
00:44:09.220 delivering it or
00:44:10.200 never meant to.
00:44:14.980 Yeah.
00:44:16.460 So I'm very in
00:44:18.500 favor of Matt
00:44:19.520 Gates this week.
00:44:21.120 The worst attack on
00:44:22.460 him I saw was one
00:44:24.240 other member of
00:44:24.980 Congress saying that
00:44:26.080 prior to his
00:44:26.900 marriage, and this is
00:44:28.460 stated directly, prior
00:44:29.560 to his marriage, he
00:44:31.520 once bragged about
00:44:32.560 taking ED meds and
00:44:34.900 slamming power drinks
00:44:37.000 so he could go all
00:44:38.740 night.
00:44:40.920 Oh, oh, well, I
00:44:42.960 didn't know that he
00:44:43.820 was aggressively,
00:44:47.800 flagrantly heterosexual.
00:44:50.240 So that changes
00:44:51.340 everything.
00:44:52.840 He was super
00:44:53.880 heterosexual before he
00:44:56.140 was married.
00:44:57.520 So before marriage, he
00:45:00.300 had a lot of sex.
00:45:02.560 I don't know.
00:45:03.760 I just, I can't be
00:45:05.560 okay with all that
00:45:06.300 heterosexual single
00:45:07.400 person sex.
00:45:09.180 I mean, that's just
00:45:10.080 too far.
00:45:11.280 I should note that
00:45:12.420 there are no criminal
00:45:13.260 charges for anything.
00:45:15.100 There are no criminal
00:45:16.260 charges for anything he
00:45:17.340 did.
00:45:18.240 But they're going to
00:45:19.160 make fun of him for
00:45:21.060 figuring out which
00:45:22.180 chemicals allow him to
00:45:23.400 have sex all night
00:45:24.240 while you're sitting
00:45:26.340 home eating popcorn
00:45:27.740 with your spouse.
00:45:29.840 So I'm a
00:45:32.420 pro-Mac Gates for
00:45:33.480 all this stuff.
00:45:34.680 All right.
00:45:36.460 I don't know if this
00:45:37.480 story is true, but
00:45:38.660 there's a story of the
00:45:39.660 Ukrainian President
00:45:41.460 Zelensky's wife when
00:45:42.820 they were in New York.
00:45:44.780 She allegedly spent
00:45:46.060 more than a million
00:45:46.880 dollars on Cartier
00:45:48.600 jewelry.
00:45:51.000 At the same time,
00:45:52.080 Zelensky was asking
00:45:53.000 for money and weapons
00:45:53.980 from the United
00:45:54.700 Nations.
00:45:56.180 Now, doesn't that one
00:45:57.700 feel a little too on
00:45:58.540 the nose?
00:46:00.720 Do you think that
00:46:01.540 really happened?
00:46:03.580 It's definitely
00:46:04.240 possible.
00:46:05.060 I wouldn't say it's
00:46:05.800 impossible.
00:46:06.860 Definitely possible.
00:46:08.180 But it's so on the
00:46:09.940 nose, right?
00:46:13.600 Could there be a
00:46:15.180 story?
00:46:16.600 Not since Imelda
00:46:18.160 Marcos and her shoes
00:46:19.520 has there been a
00:46:21.020 story that was like
00:46:21.780 just right on the
00:46:22.880 point like that.
00:46:23.860 Right on the point.
00:46:24.920 I don't know.
00:46:25.440 I'm a little
00:46:25.840 skeptical of it.
00:46:27.440 I'm going to say
00:46:28.180 wait two days on
00:46:30.880 this one.
00:46:32.160 If in two days the
00:46:33.520 story doesn't change,
00:46:34.580 it might be real.
00:46:36.360 But this one just
00:46:37.520 has that feel about
00:46:38.700 it.
00:46:39.420 It has the feel of
00:46:40.340 fake news just all
00:46:41.580 over it.
00:46:42.920 Whether it is or
00:46:43.820 not, I don't know.
00:46:45.000 Could be true.
00:46:46.360 I give it two days.
00:46:48.300 Gallup says that the
00:46:49.600 appetite for a third
00:46:50.740 party is pretty high.
00:46:53.060 75% of self-identified
00:46:54.820 independents support
00:46:56.420 a third party,
00:46:58.080 support creation of
00:46:59.060 a third party.
00:47:00.660 Which is weird because
00:47:01.820 we have third parties
00:47:02.620 already.
00:47:06.300 58% of Republicans
00:47:07.620 endorsed the idea and
00:47:08.640 46% of Democrats.
00:47:11.260 That kind of suggests
00:47:12.680 that RFK Jr.
00:47:13.800 has a path.
00:47:15.640 I always thought he
00:47:20.020 was way more of a
00:47:21.640 dark horse than he's
00:47:23.780 been given credit
00:47:24.580 for.
00:47:26.360 If he goes third
00:47:27.400 party, which I think
00:47:28.500 he's doing primarily
00:47:29.380 so he has freedom of
00:47:30.320 speech, so they won't
00:47:31.660 ban him on social
00:47:32.700 media, he actually
00:47:34.580 could win.
00:47:36.420 Let me say it
00:47:37.660 clearly.
00:47:38.240 I'm not predicting a
00:47:39.400 win.
00:47:40.200 Not predicting it.
00:47:41.200 But if he wins, I
00:47:43.060 want you to know, I
00:47:43.780 said, yeah, there's a
00:47:45.760 path.
00:47:46.800 He just has a path.
00:47:49.000 There are enough
00:47:49.840 disgruntled people that
00:47:52.080 if the only thing that
00:47:53.040 happened is you saw
00:47:53.820 lots of Trump arguing
00:47:55.180 with Biden, whoever's
00:47:58.180 not Trump arguing with
00:47:59.480 Biden is going to look
00:48:01.260 better every day.
00:48:03.180 Just every day.
00:48:04.560 Because both Biden and
00:48:06.100 Trump will just be
00:48:07.160 dumped on with, you
00:48:08.220 know, just everything.
00:48:09.060 And whoever is just
00:48:10.820 going along and making
00:48:11.980 a little news on the
00:48:12.880 side, do-do-do-do-do.
00:48:14.980 I don't like Big
00:48:15.660 Pharma.
00:48:16.120 Do you?
00:48:16.900 No, I don't.
00:48:17.560 Oh, well, we agree on
00:48:18.540 that.
00:48:18.860 Do-do-do.
00:48:19.920 Yeah, I feel like he's
00:48:20.740 just going to stay under
00:48:21.440 the radar and maybe
00:48:22.600 slip in at the end.
00:48:24.000 It's possible.
00:48:27.500 Not probable, but it's
00:48:29.220 possible.
00:48:31.620 And here's another
00:48:32.520 story that I can't
00:48:33.460 believe.
00:48:34.760 I think it's true.
00:48:37.080 But is it true that
00:48:38.180 Trump's attorney
00:48:39.200 accidentally checked
00:48:42.520 the box that says
00:48:43.500 they don't want a jury
00:48:44.300 trial?
00:48:45.320 And that he's not
00:48:46.260 going to get a jury
00:48:46.940 trial because the
00:48:48.120 lawyer checked the
00:48:49.700 wrong box?
00:48:51.460 That was fake news,
00:48:52.680 right?
00:48:54.260 But is it a jury
00:48:55.420 trial?
00:48:56.900 So the first question
00:48:58.600 is, is it a jury
00:48:59.700 trial?
00:49:03.360 Right?
00:49:03.660 So I think it's no
00:49:05.060 jury trial.
00:49:05.660 Well, but is the
00:49:06.860 claim that the lawyer
00:49:08.120 made a mistake the
00:49:09.560 reason?
00:49:10.740 That part's that.
00:49:17.680 So some of this is
00:49:18.760 fake, right?
00:49:20.440 Some of the story.
00:49:22.340 All right.
00:49:22.740 Well, I'm just going
00:49:23.860 to say we don't know.
00:49:24.620 But that Judge
00:49:26.760 Engeron, he's a
00:49:28.360 little bit too
00:49:28.860 happy.
00:49:30.940 He seems to enjoy
00:49:32.000 his job too much,
00:49:33.300 which makes you feel
00:49:34.540 uncomfortable because
00:49:35.580 he doesn't seem like
00:49:36.600 he's as serious as
00:49:37.540 you'd want him to
00:49:38.080 be.
00:49:38.900 I mean, sure, he's a
00:49:39.500 nice guy.
00:49:40.340 I mean, when I see
00:49:42.200 him, I think, oh, I
00:49:42.980 could hang out with
00:49:43.580 him.
00:49:43.740 He'd be fun.
00:49:45.060 But he's not really
00:49:46.300 sending a judge vibe.
00:49:48.040 That's going to hurt
00:49:48.760 him.
00:49:50.760 All right.
00:49:52.100 And that, ladies and
00:49:53.360 gentlemen, is my
00:49:55.100 prepared comments.
00:49:57.160 Is there any big
00:49:58.180 story I missed today?
00:50:00.620 What am I forgetting?
00:50:08.080 So Judge Jeanine
00:50:09.380 said that no
00:50:10.420 conservative would
00:50:11.720 go for RFK Jr.
00:50:13.940 Really?
00:50:15.400 Well, he definitely
00:50:16.280 has policies that no
00:50:17.640 conservative could
00:50:18.600 approve.
00:50:20.920 But I don't
00:50:23.360 know.
00:50:24.700 I don't know.
00:50:25.980 Maybe just bad
00:50:27.000 feelings.
00:50:27.680 Yeah, all it would
00:50:28.320 take is Trump to do
00:50:29.640 something that he's
00:50:30.600 not done yet, that
00:50:32.740 was some new outrage.
00:50:34.980 And RFK Jr.
00:50:35.960 would only be going
00:50:37.020 up against Biden.
00:50:39.160 So I think he's got
00:50:40.500 a shot.
00:50:42.700 Has ideas that
00:50:43.620 aren't sane?
00:50:44.580 I don't know about
00:50:45.380 that.
00:50:45.700 RFK Jr.
00:50:52.620 thought a border
00:50:53.440 wall was racist
00:50:54.360 until a month
00:50:55.060 ago.
00:50:56.880 What's the
00:50:57.480 problem?
00:50:58.880 Do you have a
00:50:59.440 problem that there's
00:51:00.240 somebody who changes
00:51:01.160 his mind based on
00:51:02.120 researching it himself
00:51:03.200 and getting better
00:51:03.860 facts?
00:51:05.320 How's that a
00:51:05.820 problem?
00:51:06.080 He was in a
00:51:14.700 bar band.
00:51:24.580 All right.
00:51:27.320 Fix his voice,
00:51:28.540 please.
00:51:29.260 I might be able to
00:51:30.080 do that.
00:51:31.360 It's possible.
00:51:32.200 I could.
00:51:36.940 All right.
00:51:41.040 Literally ask
00:51:41.800 followers what they
00:51:42.720 want him to fix.
00:51:48.820 All right, ladies
00:51:50.200 and gentlemen, do
00:51:50.980 you think Ukraine's
00:51:52.300 in trouble because we
00:51:53.300 won't be able to
00:51:53.860 fund them?
00:51:54.980 What do you think's
00:51:55.800 going to happen in
00:51:56.620 Ukraine?
00:51:57.240 Are they going to
00:51:57.680 get their funding?
00:52:00.820 I think they'll
00:52:01.640 probably be fine.
00:52:06.340 But one way or
00:52:07.320 another, it's going
00:52:07.920 to be negotiated,
00:52:09.120 I think, something
00:52:10.860 close to the
00:52:11.480 current border.
00:52:12.940 Klaus Schwab,
00:52:13.900 what about him?
00:52:16.020 I feel like you
00:52:16.860 want to talk about
00:52:17.480 Klaus Schwab every
00:52:18.820 single day.
00:52:21.580 He hasn't done
00:52:22.320 anything new, has
00:52:22.940 he?
00:52:29.000 Could a judge or
00:52:30.000 jury be better?
00:52:31.640 I don't know.
00:52:35.760 They'll use more
00:52:36.560 advanced weapons if
00:52:37.780 they have them.
00:52:43.800 Dave Rubin says
00:52:44.780 it's true.
00:52:45.620 Well, but did Dave
00:52:46.920 Rubin see the
00:52:47.900 forum?
00:52:48.980 I mean, we're
00:52:49.420 looking at the same
00:52:50.140 stuff, aren't we?
00:52:56.760 All right.
00:52:57.480 Secret Coups
00:53:00.300 followers.
00:53:02.900 Oh, I guess
00:53:03.800 there's the
00:53:04.600 clips of me
00:53:05.980 with Russell Brand
00:53:07.140 just dropped,
00:53:08.600 the first clip.
00:53:09.840 Might be more
00:53:10.540 than one clip,
00:53:11.540 but if you want
00:53:12.280 to see me talking
00:53:13.260 to Russell Brand,
00:53:14.820 I guess that
00:53:15.400 just dropped.
00:53:17.220 I forgot the
00:53:23.680 part, what?
00:53:30.360 It should be on
00:53:31.260 YouTube, probably
00:53:32.760 Rumble as well.
00:53:33.560 They're running
00:53:39.000 out of ammo.
00:53:40.620 Yeah.
00:53:44.180 All right.
00:53:45.720 YouTube, thanks
00:53:47.580 for joining.
00:53:48.600 I hope you had a
00:53:49.280 good experience.
00:53:50.060 And if you
00:53:52.300 don't like all
00:53:52.960 the commercials
00:53:53.440 on here,
00:53:54.700 consider joining
00:53:55.560 locals.
00:53:59.460 All right.
00:54:01.100 I guess you're
00:54:01.940 going to go
00:54:02.140 watch Dan
00:54:02.840 Bongino on
00:54:05.880 Rumble now.
00:54:07.160 Bye for now.
00:54:07.720 Bye for now.