Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2256 Scott Adams： Coffee With Scott

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:17.480 Although, to be fair, human civilization is not doing the greatest job for itself lately.

00:00:22.880 I think you'd agree.

00:00:23.620 If you're watching me on any of the following platforms, X or YouTube or Rumble right now,

00:00:32.120 I'm testing out a new separate camera.

00:00:35.280 How's my camera?

00:00:36.520 How's my lighting?

00:00:37.880 Good?

00:00:39.280 Well, I hope so.

00:00:41.380 Well, today, if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody could even imagine,

00:00:47.340 and that includes the swaddling,

00:00:49.580 I recommend that during these trying times when the news is very stressful,

00:00:56.140 they get out your, ideally, it could be a plaid blanket, but it doesn't have to be.

00:01:01.160 You swaddle yourself so that we're all simultaneously swaddling.

00:01:06.140 At the same time, we do the simultaneous sip.

00:01:09.360 Oh, it'll help.

00:01:10.540 You think it won't help?

00:01:11.480 It'll help.

00:01:12.260 It'll help a lot.

00:01:13.440 And all you need for the simultaneous sip is a cup of mug or a glass,

00:01:16.040 a tank or a chalice or a canteen jug of glass,

00:01:17.800 a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:01:20.100 I like coffee.

00:01:21.280 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine to the day.

00:01:24.160 The thing makes everything better.

00:01:25.300 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens now.

00:01:34.880 Wow, that actually was delicious.

00:01:37.140 Better than usual.

00:01:40.720 Well, I would like to give you the reframe of the day.

00:01:43.680 We'll, of course, talk about Israel and the hard news, 0.73

00:01:46.500 but I like to warm up with some appetizers.

00:01:50.060 Reframe of the day.

00:01:51.240 I saw this.

00:01:52.180 Now, it comes from my new book, Reframe Your Brain.

00:01:54.960 It's just one example.

00:01:56.520 All the reframes are completely different and in different topics,

00:01:59.800 so don't make a generalization about it.

00:02:02.820 But Daniel Rusty tweets this.

00:02:05.580 He says,

00:02:06.680 New book, reframe your brain.

00:02:09.860 And then he tells this reframe that he liked.

00:02:12.440 Quote, and this is from me.

00:02:15.340 Doing what you're told gets you a paycheck.

00:02:18.340 Doing what you're not told, but is useful, gets you promoted.

00:02:23.680 Now, the idea is that if you just do a real good job at the things you're supposed to do,

00:02:28.900 well, then you look like somebody who deserves a promotion.

00:02:30.960 But if you do what you're supposed to do, plus you notice some things that need to be done,

00:02:37.080 that are even maybe above your pay grade, but they just need to be done and they're unaddressed,

00:02:42.120 do those.

00:02:43.280 Do those, too.

00:02:44.840 And you will find that you are immediately the person they think of when they're thinking of promotion.

00:02:49.180 Now, I saw some pushback.

00:02:51.520 Somebody said, Scott, Scott, Scott,

00:02:53.500 I don't think you understand the real world of work.

00:02:56.720 Okay, right there, I should have blocked him, but I read on.

00:03:02.040 You don't understand that what would happen in the real world is if you did something that was not your job,

00:03:08.400 your boss would yell at you for doing something that's not in your job description

00:03:14.100 and somebody else has a budget and a paycheck to do it,

00:03:17.280 and you're just doing their job and you're just duplicating work, Scott.

00:03:20.780 So, how about that?

00:03:22.800 To which I say, I always make the following assumption with my reframes,

00:03:30.160 that you're not a freaking idiot. 0.96

00:03:32.740 Because if you were an idiot, then the extra stuff you would do

00:03:36.280 would be things that are other people's jobs that they're paid to do.

00:03:41.380 That's not exactly the suggestion.

00:03:43.920 No, the suggestion is there's something that nobody's doing,

00:03:46.840 and you could do it, so you do it.

00:03:49.340 And that, ladies and gentlemen, is how you stand out at work.

00:03:53.860 If you're only doing what you're asked to do, you're not going anywhere.

00:03:58.000 You'd better figure out what you can do that's extra.

00:04:01.220 Think of your job as marketing.

00:04:03.460 It's not even about the thing that you do.

00:04:06.500 It's about the marketing of yourself, and that's your reframe.

00:04:10.120 Your reframe is doing what you're told gets you a paycheck,

00:04:13.900 doing more than you're told might get you more than a paycheck.

00:04:17.200 Well, we learned a little bit more about the TikTok ban

00:04:22.520 that's never going to be a ban.

00:04:24.440 This seemed like it was going to happen for a while,

00:04:26.380 and now it seems like there's no way it's going to happen.

00:04:30.220 Laura Ingram, she tweeted that it's because of Chinese money

00:04:34.180 flooding Capitol Hill.

00:04:36.740 I think that's obvious, don't you?

00:04:40.440 What else could it be except Chinese money flooding the zone? 0.90

00:04:44.600 Well, Politico has an article, and that's why Laura Ingram was commenting on it.

00:04:52.820 And the Politico article, this is not an allegation.

00:04:58.660 This is just an impression, right?

00:05:01.520 So I don't know what's true.

00:05:03.120 I only know what impression I'm getting.

00:05:05.180 The impression I'm getting is that China wrote this article.

00:05:08.280 No, they didn't, obviously.

00:05:11.300 But it's written like Chinese propaganda, basically.

00:05:16.160 And here's Politico's long explanation for why the TikTok ban has not been implemented.

00:05:24.120 Are you ready for this?

00:05:25.420 It's rather detailed, but you need to hear the other side.

00:05:31.220 And it goes like this.

00:05:32.120 So the reason that the TikTok ban has not been approved,

00:05:35.180 even though it had bipartisan support.

00:05:38.440 So this wasn't one of those partisan ones.

00:05:40.820 This had bipartisan support, but it didn't happen.

00:05:43.520 And there are good reasons for it.

00:05:45.500 Let's see.

00:05:45.880 The good reasons are things and processes.

00:05:51.600 There's an old law and a thing and a person.

00:05:54.380 And then they talked to somebody who may have felt something about the, I don't know,

00:06:00.560 the constitutional, legal, the standards, also the precedent and the politics.

00:06:08.140 Okay, there's no fucking reason.

00:06:11.340 Let me summarize.

00:06:14.060 Politico just did this big complicated thing to make you think there are reasons.

00:06:18.760 There are no reasons, except for what Laura said, which is it must be Chinese money.

00:06:27.960 What else could it be?

00:06:29.460 Yeah, it is such word salad when you read, well, there's this, you know, there's this law

00:06:35.200 from 30 years ago that says you shouldn't ban information from foreign countries.

00:06:40.540 To which I say, never, never.

00:06:44.980 There's nothing that could have changed that would make that a different situation.

00:06:48.760 As in a weaponized app.

00:06:51.620 Do you think when they made the ruling about not banning information from other countries,

00:06:56.280 do you think that they were thinking about a weaponized brainwashing app?

00:07:00.400 No, no.

00:07:02.220 What would it take for the commander in chief to ban something that was a military asset?

00:07:07.720 Nothing.

00:07:09.560 It's the commander in chief.

00:07:11.560 They just say, this is dangerous to the country.

00:07:13.960 I ban it.

00:07:15.080 And then fight it out in court.

00:07:16.660 But you ban it first.

00:07:19.280 You don't fight it out first.

00:07:21.880 It's a military asset.

00:07:23.640 You ban it first.

00:07:24.940 And then you see if you follow the law.

00:07:28.180 So now the country is not being run for the benefit of the country.

00:07:33.760 Whatever is happening here is for the benefit of China. 0.65

00:07:36.260 There is no feasible, conceivable argument that this is good for the United States.

00:07:43.240 And by the way, that's a bipartisan opinion.

00:07:47.180 So you know it's about people being bought off, essentially.

00:07:50.100 Well, Mike Lindell says he will keep fighting in his lawsuit.

00:07:56.620 He's being sued by the Dominion and Smarmatic people. 0.99

00:08:00.040 Apparently, he has at least the option, I guess you always have the option, of trying to do a settlement that would be super, super devastating and expensive.

00:08:11.860 Or he can fight it out and bankrupt his company, which is likely.

00:08:17.200 He decided he's going to fight it out and bankrupt his company.

00:08:21.620 Now, I don't know if that's a good idea or a bad idea.

00:08:24.740 He's the only one who can judge that.

00:08:26.780 But I wouldn't want to get in too much of a fight with Mike Lindell because this guy doesn't quit.

00:08:33.040 He just doesn't quit.

00:08:35.120 Yeah.

00:08:35.780 I weirdly respect it, even if it's the wrong decision.

00:08:39.380 I kind of like his fight.

00:08:41.480 Right?

00:08:41.960 I don't know if he's right.

00:08:42.940 I have no idea if he's right or wrong, but I do like his fight.

00:08:47.540 He clearly believes he's right, and he's going to bet it all.

00:08:52.400 He's actually just going to bet it all.

00:08:54.380 Now, I'm sure he saved up a few bucks, so he's not going to go to the poorhouse.

00:08:58.380 But that's a pretty big sacrifice to sacrifice your company, and it looks like he's willing to do it.

00:09:03.800 But here's a question that I have.

00:09:05.580 I've never seen anybody address this.

00:09:07.060 How can Dominion and Smartmatic sue Mike Lindell for being wrong about his claims about the election unless they make their code public?

00:09:22.940 How does this work?

00:09:24.680 How in the world can they sue him when his claims would presumably, I would assume that his claims would include some allegations about what happens with the code, you know, the actual programming code?

00:09:40.440 Isn't that part of it?

00:09:41.860 Now, maybe that's not part of the claim.

00:09:43.940 Maybe the claim has something, you know, independent so you don't have to look at it.

00:09:48.040 But I would think that would be the most logical way this guy was right.

00:09:51.060 The most logical way is that his lawyers get to see the code, and he would have experts to be able to look at it and see if there's anything wrong.

00:10:01.020 Now, I don't think there's any way that these companies can reveal their code, because forget about even whether there's something, you know, that they need to cover up.

00:10:09.840 I don't have any reason to believe that.

00:10:12.220 But it seems like it would be proprietary at the very least.

00:10:17.700 They wouldn't want to release it for competitive reasons.

00:10:21.060 So I don't know how he loses.

00:10:24.740 Can, does anybody, I'm not a lawyer, but I don't see how you lose if the main piece of evidence you're not willing to share for political reasons, or for competitive reasons.

00:10:38.400 So I don't think he's going to be able to, you know, show that any bad things happened, but he might be able to show that the case can't go forward.

00:10:48.820 That's just a guess.

00:10:49.780 I don't know.

00:10:51.580 All right.

00:10:52.720 Speaking of things I don't know much about, Jonathan Turley says that there's new stuff coming out with the Biden crime felony situation.

00:11:02.200 And so Turley tweets that newly released evidence reveals over $20 million coming from 23 separate countries on four continents to at least nine Biden family members.

00:11:15.740 And then he says, not only are the Biden transfers becoming clear, so is the Biden family tree in this lucrative form of corruption.

00:11:26.600 Now, if you were to read this out of context, you would say to yourself some form of this.

00:11:31.980 Oh, my God.

00:11:34.660 They totally have the goods on the Biden crime family.

00:11:38.940 Man, they're in trouble now, right?

00:11:41.860 Right?

00:11:42.420 They're in big trouble now.

00:11:44.980 Except, do we really live in a world in which the evidence is going to matter in this case?

00:11:52.620 If it were you or me, I think the evidence would matter a lot.

00:11:57.760 But do we really think it's going to matter in this case?

00:12:02.360 My guess is no.

00:12:04.360 My guess is it won't matter at all.

00:12:07.020 What do you think?

00:12:09.960 I feel as if it'll make no difference how much direct evidence there is.

00:12:17.080 Because the other side will simply say, there was no direct evidence.

00:12:22.280 And then you'll say, but here it is, right here.

00:12:25.300 Look, look, direct evidence.

00:12:27.180 And they'll say, well, I got to go.

00:12:30.640 And then tomorrow they'll come back and say, well, there was no direct evidence.

00:12:35.120 No evidence to connect into any crime.

00:12:40.180 Check something for a minute here.

00:12:43.160 All right.

00:12:43.540 Just making sure my camera's working.

00:12:45.000 All right.

00:12:47.080 I think I'm going to have to change that camera orientation because I have to look up to see it.

00:12:54.200 All right.

00:12:54.860 Well, anyway, all the other news got wiped off the map because of the situation in Israel.

00:13:01.800 And that's not the only news that got wiped out.

00:13:08.700 Did anybody wake up this morning and say to themselves,

00:13:11.960 I don't think I can spend another minute looking at atrocities?

00:13:17.080 Because it seemed like all the videos were about atrocities.

00:13:20.980 And I woke up this morning.

00:13:22.560 Atrocity is gone.

00:13:27.940 Did you notice that?

00:13:29.900 Did anybody notice that all the videos of the atrocities are gone?

00:13:34.380 I'm not saying that's good or bad.

00:13:36.720 It's an observation.

00:13:39.080 Yeah.

00:13:39.940 And I'm not too surprised because there weren't that many different videos.

00:13:44.720 So I think the social media networks could focus in on getting the ones.

00:13:50.100 A number of them were fake.

00:13:52.180 All right.

00:13:52.740 So there was one video that purported to show some high-ranking Israeli being captured by the Palestinians.

00:14:00.500 And that was not even from, wasn't even the same country.

00:14:04.560 It was a fake video from another country.

00:14:06.480 You can still see the videos on Telegram.

00:14:11.780 Yeah.

00:14:14.300 But it does tell you that the media, let's say the media monster, including social media,

00:14:22.400 have made a decision about how much to inflame the emotions of the viewers.

00:14:29.520 And you could easily predict that there would be a blackout of news.

00:14:33.960 Because here's why.

00:14:37.320 Because the next phase is going to be terrible.

00:14:41.560 Like the first phase was, I mean, almost terrible on a level that's hard to imagine,

00:14:48.820 you know, unless you're thinking World War II levels.

00:14:52.200 But for what Israel needs to do next, and has already said they would do, 0.84

00:14:59.620 which is go into Gaza and take over, 0.79

00:15:01.640 apparently Gaza is booby-trapped and, I mean,

00:15:05.200 it would just be the hardest door-to-door fighting you could ever have.

00:15:08.320 And Israel certainly not wanted to do it.

00:15:11.600 But you're not going to see any of that on video.

00:15:16.920 Presumably lots of video will be taken,

00:15:19.320 because they have cameras and whatnot.

00:15:20.620 But I think Israel's already turned off the electricity and water.

00:15:26.580 So Gaza already has no electricity and water.

00:15:30.720 I don't know how they're getting food.

00:15:33.940 Right?

00:15:35.420 And you can expect that the bloodshed will be extreme, you know,

00:15:40.720 when Israel moves in. 0.72

00:15:41.960 They're already bombing, so there's already bloodshed.

00:15:44.300 But not as much as it's going to be.

00:15:46.960 It's going to be a lot worse.

00:15:47.880 And it seems to me, and I'll tell you why in a minute,

00:15:53.400 that Israel needed to, and their allies,

00:15:57.500 needed to just turn off the news,

00:15:59.920 because what happens next,

00:16:01.760 they're not going to want to end the news.

00:16:04.600 So, yeah, one half of the population of Gaza is children.

00:16:07.600 Did you know that?

00:16:09.200 Fifty percent of the entire population of Gaza are children.

00:16:14.040 How do you think they're being raised?

00:16:17.320 Do you think they're being radicalized?

00:16:19.900 Well, if they weren't being radicalized, I'm sure they were,

00:16:22.560 but if they weren't, they are now.

00:16:25.780 I mean, if they weren't before, they certainly are now.

00:16:28.000 What do you do with a million children,

00:16:31.400 because there are about two million in Gaza,

00:16:33.640 so there are something like a million children

00:16:36.260 who have been raised to be almost weapons to hate Israel,

00:16:41.380 and what do you do about it?

00:16:45.860 And what do you do about that?

00:16:47.620 You would have to control their school systems

00:16:50.720 and retrain them as best you could.

00:16:53.780 You'd have to control the news and control the schools,

00:16:56.760 and you would have to shut down anything

00:16:59.060 that was training people differently.

00:17:01.540 So the level of change that Israel would have to introduce 0.93

00:17:05.400 is just going to look like a prison camp.

00:17:07.920 They would have to remove pretty much all freedom.

00:17:12.680 In order for Israel to be safe,

00:17:15.940 they would have to remove most freedom from Gaza, 0.94

00:17:19.900 because the Gazans have been propagandized.

00:17:24.560 And by the way, I'm not making an opinion

00:17:26.760 of who's good or bad or right or wrong.

00:17:29.540 In case you're picking it up,

00:17:31.460 if you're like, oh, I think he's pro this or anti that,

00:17:34.180 I'm trying not to be,

00:17:36.620 because my opinion is that as bad as these current things are,

00:17:40.660 it's a complicated place.

00:17:42.820 And it's easy to tell the story and forget to leave out,

00:17:46.320 you know, this group did something bad to the other group.

00:17:49.360 What about that thing 100 years ago?

00:17:51.740 And you're forgetting the thing 2,000 years ago.

00:17:54.180 But what about the 1940s?

00:17:56.380 But what about 1970s, right?

00:17:59.100 So when you talk about that area,

00:18:01.620 unless you say everything that both sides have done

00:18:05.760 that's shitty to each side,

00:18:08.060 nobody's going to take you seriously.

00:18:10.260 So I'm just going to blanketly say,

00:18:12.900 bad people have done bad things.

00:18:15.820 But I'm looking at what's happening at the moment.

00:18:20.520 All right.

00:18:23.160 So here are some things we know.

00:18:26.280 Now, the news is telling us that Iran,

00:18:31.260 their intelligence people or security people,

00:18:34.880 helped Hamas plan the attack 0.85

00:18:37.400 and that they met with them in Beirut

00:18:39.940 with senior members of Hezbollah and Hamas,

00:18:42.440 which would suggest that Hezbollah is backing it,

00:18:46.360 but might back it more militarily in the future.

00:18:50.700 Now, that's the news.

00:18:52.760 Now, let me ask you this.

00:18:53.920 What was the source?

00:18:56.280 You all heard that news.

00:18:57.820 If you're paying attention,

00:18:58.900 you've already heard the news.

00:18:59.940 What was the source?

00:19:03.100 Do you remember seeing any source?

00:19:06.420 How would we know that that meeting happened?

00:19:11.980 We're in the middle of a war.

00:19:14.500 In a way, we're all in the middle of it.

00:19:17.360 We're in the middle of a war,

00:19:18.820 and an anonymous source told you something

00:19:22.300 that's right on the nose.

00:19:23.540 In the middle of a war,

00:19:26.720 that's a bit of a strong signal for everything being a lie.

00:19:30.000 Right on the nose is your second signal

00:19:32.680 for everything being a lie.

00:19:35.520 Right?

00:19:35.960 So, and then, so, war, anonymous source, right on the nose.

00:19:45.240 Those are three signals for a lie.

00:19:50.360 But, don't you think it's directionally true?

00:19:56.980 Don't you think Iran has supported Hamas in a military way?

00:20:01.180 Okay, here's my best guess.

00:20:04.160 My best guess is that the story is fake,

00:20:07.160 but that it's true enough.

00:20:11.160 Meaning that maybe there was no specific meeting in Beirut

00:20:14.960 that included those parties.

00:20:17.460 But, it would be really good military forum

00:20:22.200 to tell people that they do about a specific meeting

00:20:25.480 in a specific place

00:20:27.160 with a specific set of attendees.

00:20:30.380 Because if you tell the story that way,

00:20:32.660 then the public goes,

00:20:33.680 whoa, I thought it was just a rumor.

00:20:36.420 But apparently, you actually know about the people in the room.

00:20:39.740 Okay, so I believe it now.

00:20:40.840 More likely, we have a certainty that Iran is behind it. 1.00

00:20:49.140 And somebody made up a narrative

00:20:50.980 that fits the certainty that we all held.

00:20:54.380 My guess is it's bullshit.

00:20:56.920 But not the general idea.

00:20:59.480 The general idea is true, I guess.

00:21:02.060 My best understanding is that Iran is behind 0.99

00:21:04.800 at least the funding and, you know,

00:21:07.380 probably a lot of the planning.

00:21:08.400 But was there that one specific meeting

00:21:12.500 that was key to it all?

00:21:15.440 I'm going to say no.

00:21:17.140 I'm going to say more likely no than yes.

00:21:19.580 But that it got you to the right place.

00:21:22.540 It took your head to the right place,

00:21:24.640 but probably with a path that wasn't quite complete.

00:21:30.700 All right, so here are some of the things

00:21:32.460 that I've learned.

00:21:35.540 I saw one opinion piece that says

00:21:37.600 well, let me just give you this background first.

00:21:42.940 Did you know that the Hamas charter,

00:21:45.220 so the charter of their organization

00:21:46.840 from 1988 hasn't changed, apparently,

00:21:50.060 calls for Islam to, quote, obliterate Israel? 0.62

00:21:54.160 Did you know that it's actually

00:21:55.760 the written part of their charter?

00:21:58.880 Generally speaking,

00:22:00.180 if somebody has that written in their charter

00:22:02.480 that they're going to destroy you,

00:22:04.060 that's a free punch.

00:22:06.640 You can do anything to that group.

00:22:08.660 You can murder them all,

00:22:11.000 torture them all.

00:22:13.560 Nobody gives a fuck.

00:22:15.120 Once you've declared your intention

00:22:17.340 to do a Holocaust on a demographic group, 0.67

00:22:21.740 you know, they're talking about Israel,

00:22:23.020 the country, but really,

00:22:24.560 it's pretty close to just a Holocaust.

00:22:26.020 Once you've declared your intention,

00:22:30.820 the people that are the potential,

00:22:34.160 you know, victims of that,

00:22:36.420 they can do anything.

00:22:37.800 There are no restrictions on what they can do

00:22:40.000 once that is the stated opinion.

00:22:43.000 Now, I'm not saying they should.

00:22:45.160 I'm not recommending any particular kind

00:22:47.700 of violence or anything.

00:22:49.540 I'm just saying that their moral

00:22:51.660 and I guess just moral standing

00:22:55.180 is 100%.

00:22:56.660 They can do anything they want.

00:22:58.880 Whether it makes sense to do that

00:23:00.200 is another story.

00:23:01.960 Now, here are all the interesting

00:23:03.620 speculations about Israel, Hamas,

00:23:08.000 Russia, and Ukraine,

00:23:09.280 because we all think it might be related.

00:23:11.320 This big military-industrial thing

00:23:14.140 might be all one big thing.

00:23:17.880 So here are some things

00:23:20.200 that will help you decide that.

00:23:22.100 First of all, Iran is not exactly,

00:23:27.500 it's not obvious who they back

00:23:29.200 in the Ukraine-Russia situation,

00:23:32.900 because they provided drones to Russia,

00:23:36.580 so you would say,

00:23:37.220 oh, they're Russian allies.

00:23:41.320 They gave them drones.

00:23:43.200 But they probably sold them,

00:23:45.720 so they made money.

00:23:47.800 So maybe it was just money,

00:23:49.980 because they don't care where they're used.

00:23:52.260 But I also understand that Iran's point of view

00:23:54.840 is that Crimea belongs to Ukraine.

00:23:58.240 I'll need a fact check on that,

00:24:00.000 but I read that this morning.

00:24:01.620 Is that true?

00:24:02.900 That Iran backs Ukraine's ownership of Crimea, 0.93

00:24:06.520 which is currently in Russian hands?

00:24:08.320 Because that would be as close as you could be

00:24:11.160 to the opposite of an ally of Russia.

00:24:14.280 So it looks like Iran is trying to play it both ways.

00:24:22.280 In other words, one foot in Ukraine, 0.66

00:24:24.180 one foot in Russia,

00:24:25.400 so that they could pivot in either direction

00:24:28.220 as their interests require.

00:24:31.100 So that's the first thing.

00:24:32.040 Now, I would look for a fact check on the Crimea part,

00:24:35.320 but it's not like a clean-out alliance.

00:24:40.840 All right.

00:24:42.260 The other thing is,

00:24:44.120 there's rumors that weapons that were meant for Ukraine

00:24:48.800 are ending up with Hamas.

00:24:51.480 Is that proven?

00:24:54.100 Does anybody think that the Ukraine weapons

00:24:56.760 are ending up with Hamas?

00:24:58.800 I don't think so.

00:25:01.820 Because I can't,

00:25:03.100 unless, you know,

00:25:04.640 unless they got diverted

00:25:05.620 before they got to Ukraine somehow,

00:25:07.700 I don't know how that would happen.

00:25:09.340 So there might be something criminal happening,

00:25:11.440 but I can say for sure,

00:25:14.380 Zelensky would not be in favor

00:25:15.980 of giving weapons to Hamas.

00:25:18.020 Because they need all the weapons they can get.

00:25:20.300 So if, in fact, it's happening,

00:25:22.240 there's nobody in the Ukrainian leadership

00:25:24.440 who wants it to happen.

00:25:26.020 I guarantee that.

00:25:27.020 So, but maybe.

00:25:31.480 You know, weapons are pretty fungible.

00:25:33.780 You know, one rifle looks like another rifle.

00:25:36.080 So anything could happen in the arms trade.

00:25:39.440 And anything could happen anywhere.

00:25:43.780 I saw one rumor

00:25:45.200 with no belief that it's true,

00:25:49.160 that Israel may have given away

00:25:53.300 80% of its artillery to Ukraine.

00:25:55.300 I guess they would have had to do that

00:25:57.940 quietly if they did it.

00:25:59.620 I don't know.

00:26:00.060 I don't think I believe that.

00:26:01.860 I don't believe that they secretly

00:26:03.760 gave away 80% of their artillery.

00:26:06.580 So I'm going to say,

00:26:08.020 I'm going to call BS on that.

00:26:09.640 Doesn't feel true.

00:26:12.200 I mean, it's possible,

00:26:13.780 but I'm going to call BS on that.

00:26:15.040 I also saw a tweet today

00:26:19.600 that there was a known Iranian spy ring

00:26:22.840 in the Obama administration,

00:26:25.740 even naming names.

00:26:27.600 Is that a real thing?

00:26:30.560 What, do we know,

00:26:32.180 as of today,

00:26:33.080 do we know actually

00:26:34.140 that there was an Iranian spy ring

00:26:35.740 as part of the Obama administration?

00:26:38.060 Are you sure that's not just

00:26:39.180 a right-wing story?

00:26:40.140 Has any left-leaning publication

00:26:44.240 confirmed that?

00:26:49.460 Yeah.

00:26:50.780 I see your comments,

00:26:52.120 but I don't,

00:26:52.820 I think you're,

00:26:54.420 well, yeah.

00:26:56.420 All right.

00:26:56.940 I'm not going to name

00:26:57.600 the names you're naming.

00:26:59.160 All right.

00:27:00.980 I don't know if that's true.

00:27:03.240 It seems like it could be,

00:27:04.500 but I don't know enough about it

00:27:07.560 to have an opinion.

00:27:10.040 All right.

00:27:12.640 Here's my big opinion of the day,

00:27:14.800 if you're ready for it.

00:27:16.280 Are you ready for the big opinion

00:27:17.440 of the day?

00:27:20.220 The first thing you should know

00:27:21.560 is that I am no expert

00:27:23.560 on the Middle East.

00:27:25.900 Can we all agree on that?

00:27:28.920 I'd like to see your agreement

00:27:30.560 that whatever I say

00:27:32.660 about the Middle East,

00:27:33.760 you should put that

00:27:35.280 in your grain of salt

00:27:37.180 idiot who doesn't know 0.99

00:27:39.080 anything opinions.

00:27:40.200 All right.

00:27:40.920 So if we can agree

00:27:42.120 that I have no credibility

00:27:43.360 in this domain

00:27:44.520 and I'm on the same page,

00:27:46.920 then you don't need

00:27:48.280 to remind me of it.

00:27:49.520 I'm just doing it

00:27:50.360 to save you time

00:27:51.080 because I know the NPCs

00:27:53.000 are already spinning.

00:27:54.260 Like as soon as I said

00:27:55.400 I was going to give you

00:27:56.060 a big opinion,

00:27:57.260 the NPCs were like,

00:27:58.680 oh, I can't wait

00:28:00.200 to sound in on this.

00:28:01.980 I'm going to say something

00:28:02.760 about you not knowing

00:28:03.740 enough about the region.

00:28:05.280 Oh, oh.

00:28:07.280 So I know you're right

00:28:08.840 on the edge of orgasm,

00:28:10.500 sort of an NPC orgasm,

00:28:12.400 because you see the low-hanging fruit

00:28:14.560 coming, don't you?

00:28:15.900 Like in your mind,

00:28:16.960 you're imagining,

00:28:18.120 oh, that fruit is going

00:28:19.340 to be low-hanging.

00:28:21.400 The moment he weighs in on this,

00:28:24.300 oh, cartoonist,

00:28:25.600 let's listen to the cartoonist.

00:28:27.080 I've got my sarcasm ready.

00:28:29.900 Oh, I'm going to unload on him.

00:28:31.260 It's going to be delightful.

00:28:34.240 So that's how I imagine it.

00:28:38.280 Now, now that we've

00:28:40.260 completely discredited me,

00:28:43.020 and I think that was appropriate,

00:28:45.280 I'd like to discredit

00:28:46.960 everybody else.

00:28:48.940 So who saw this attack coming?

00:28:51.380 Now, I know you're all

00:28:54.320 going to say you did, right?

00:28:56.200 You're all going to say you did.

00:28:57.660 Oh, I knew it was coming.

00:28:59.500 No, you didn't.

00:29:02.020 But I know the NPCs

00:29:03.620 are going to say they did.

00:29:05.300 Saw it coming from a mile away.

00:29:07.960 All right.

00:29:09.000 So while we can all agree,

00:29:11.780 including me,

00:29:13.180 that my opinion is worthless

00:29:14.860 and should not be taken seriously,

00:29:16.460 I would like to propose

00:29:19.000 that my opinion is equal

00:29:20.960 to the greatest experts

00:29:22.240 in the field.

00:29:24.180 Also,

00:29:25.240 completely worthless.

00:29:28.180 Will you go that far with me?

00:29:30.560 That my opinion is worthless,

00:29:33.020 but about equal

00:29:33.840 to all the other

00:29:34.560 professional opinions.

00:29:36.040 And I'll go further.

00:29:37.740 Equal to all of the 0.85

00:29:38.980 military opinions.

00:29:40.700 Do you know how much

00:29:41.220 I know about the military?

00:29:43.460 Less than I know

00:29:44.420 about the Middle East.

00:29:46.460 And I will assert

00:29:48.240 that nobody has

00:29:49.660 any useful opinions

00:29:50.720 over there.

00:29:51.840 It's just all bullshit

00:29:53.000 and guessing

00:29:53.680 and idiots 0.93

00:29:54.840 as far as I can tell.

00:29:56.780 That's the entire landscape.

00:29:58.800 All right.

00:29:59.260 That said,

00:30:00.380 now we've got a good base

00:30:01.580 here.

00:30:02.960 I give you

00:30:04.080 my opinion.

00:30:06.600 And NPCs,

00:30:07.860 get ready

00:30:08.540 for this low-hanging fruit.

00:30:10.260 It's going to be delicious.

00:30:13.000 All right.

00:30:13.680 I'm just going to read you

00:30:14.400 my long tweet

00:30:15.120 because I sent it so perfectly.

00:30:17.060 I said,

00:30:17.680 like the rest of you,

00:30:18.380 I'm trying to understand

00:30:19.300 the Hamas strategy.

00:30:21.560 Don't you wonder

00:30:22.260 what the hell

00:30:22.680 that you're up to?

00:30:24.540 When did you ever have a war

00:30:26.260 when you don't know

00:30:26.900 what the side

00:30:27.580 that started the war

00:30:28.440 even wants?

00:30:29.600 I mean,

00:30:30.040 other than the destruction

00:30:31.120 of Israel.

00:30:32.560 But does it look like

00:30:33.540 that's going to happen?

00:30:34.480 Or that they thought

00:30:35.420 that was going to happen?

00:30:36.320 No,

00:30:36.520 there's something else

00:30:37.060 going on.

00:30:38.320 So let me just read it.

00:30:39.640 On the surface,

00:30:40.560 it looks insane.

00:30:41.920 There's no real hope

00:30:42.840 of conquering Israel.

00:30:44.580 And no hope

00:30:45.500 it will make anything

00:30:46.480 better for anyone.

00:30:47.880 Would you agree so far?

00:30:49.440 There's no hope

00:30:50.340 that they're going to

00:30:50.960 conquer Israel 0.99

00:30:51.860 in the next month.

00:30:53.420 Right?

00:30:53.700 And there's no hope

00:30:55.500 that it's going to make

00:30:56.260 anything better

00:30:56.900 for Palestinians.

00:30:58.880 Indeed,

00:30:59.440 it's guaranteed

00:31:00.080 to make it worse.

00:31:01.360 Would you agree

00:31:01.920 with those statements?

00:31:03.660 So there's not

00:31:04.720 any obvious gain.

00:31:06.600 So it's something else.

00:31:08.800 It's something

00:31:09.200 less obvious.

00:31:11.640 But

00:31:12.120 Hamas seemed, 0.99

00:31:14.500 this is my own opinion,

00:31:15.500 Hamas seemed too capable 1.00

00:31:16.560 to be dismissed

00:31:18.000 as crazy people.

00:31:19.660 They did mount

00:31:20.540 a very successful operation

00:31:22.140 in their

00:31:23.220 evil domain.

00:31:26.320 And their

00:31:26.980 Iranian handlers,

00:31:28.520 whether or not

00:31:29.220 there was a meeting

00:31:29.860 in Beirut or not,

00:31:31.220 you know the Iranians 0.71

00:31:32.280 are involved.

00:31:33.980 Do the Iranians 1.00

00:31:35.140 seem

00:31:36.100 mentally unfit?

00:31:38.500 Do they seem

00:31:39.440 incompetent?

00:31:40.780 They do not.

00:31:42.120 One of the things

00:31:42.800 we worry about

00:31:43.520 is the Iranian

00:31:44.380 security people

00:31:45.800 are actually

00:31:46.360 pretty capable.

00:31:48.720 It's a problem.

00:31:50.140 Right?

00:31:50.760 So if you have people

00:31:51.700 who are operating

00:31:53.080 like they're

00:31:53.580 not crazy,

00:31:54.640 you know,

00:31:54.880 they put together

00:31:55.480 a successful

00:31:56.200 major campaign,

00:31:58.540 what's going on?

00:32:01.080 We can't see

00:32:02.040 their objective

00:32:02.640 and they're not

00:32:04.440 just crazy

00:32:05.140 because crazy people

00:32:06.160 might not have

00:32:06.740 an objective.

00:32:08.340 So if they're not

00:32:09.420 crazy and we can't

00:32:10.200 see what they're up to,

00:32:11.060 what's going on?

00:32:12.120 So I've ruled out

00:32:13.480 making anything

00:32:14.380 better as an objective.

00:32:16.300 Would you agree?

00:32:17.980 Their objective

00:32:18.680 is not to

00:32:19.760 simply get

00:32:21.120 hostages back,

00:32:22.100 although they might.

00:32:23.760 It's not just

00:32:24.640 to make some

00:32:25.540 attention for their

00:32:26.400 cause,

00:32:26.900 although it does.

00:32:29.480 Right?

00:32:30.020 But there's nothing

00:32:30.820 immediately that will

00:32:32.020 get better.

00:32:33.120 Would you agree

00:32:33.760 that there's no way

00:32:34.700 the people in Hamas

00:32:36.960 were thinking,

00:32:38.080 oh, by next Tuesday

00:32:39.060 we'll have a lot

00:32:39.700 of stuff fixed?

00:32:41.260 Definitely not

00:32:41.960 making anything

00:32:42.480 better.

00:32:43.540 All right.

00:32:44.000 So what else,

00:32:44.800 what is going on?

00:32:45.480 Here's what I think.

00:32:49.400 If you eliminate

00:32:50.200 making anything

00:32:51.080 better,

00:32:52.360 what's left?

00:32:54.520 Here's what's left.

00:32:57.560 You could predict

00:32:58.700 that Israel's response

00:32:59.860 will necessarily,

00:33:01.660 because there's

00:33:02.060 no way around it,

00:33:03.780 create civilian

00:33:04.560 hardships in Gaza

00:33:05.520 that is likely

00:33:06.700 to shock

00:33:07.440 the civilized world.

00:33:10.520 They already

00:33:11.480 turned off

00:33:11.980 the electricity

00:33:12.600 and water

00:33:13.160 in Gaza.

00:33:15.480 Gaza depends

00:33:16.560 entirely

00:33:17.140 for its food

00:33:19.440 from outside

00:33:20.760 sources.

00:33:21.780 In other words,

00:33:22.480 Gaza is entirely 1.00

00:33:23.520 supported by the

00:33:24.420 outside.

00:33:24.940 It's like 70%

00:33:25.880 unemployment rate.

00:33:27.660 It's just

00:33:28.140 a basket case.

00:33:30.660 So Israel 0.99

00:33:31.820 will have to do

00:33:32.800 something to

00:33:33.740 get control

00:33:34.840 of Hamas,

00:33:35.620 which means

00:33:36.060 going into Gaza,

00:33:37.400 which means

00:33:37.900 that the bloodshed

00:33:38.920 and the suffering

00:33:40.280 of the

00:33:40.980 citizens of Gaza

00:33:42.720 who

00:33:43.860 many of them

00:33:44.820 just want

00:33:45.360 to mind

00:33:45.720 their own

00:33:46.020 business

00:33:46.400 and stay

00:33:47.940 healthy and happy

00:33:48.680 and we're

00:33:49.280 not doing

00:33:49.640 too well

00:33:49.980 on that.

00:33:51.020 But it's

00:33:51.840 going to

00:33:52.060 look bad.

00:33:54.120 And here's

00:33:54.920 my main

00:33:55.360 point.

00:33:56.480 If that

00:33:57.220 were to

00:33:57.560 happen,

00:33:58.480 it would

00:34:00.040 decrease

00:34:00.980 Israel's 0.75

00:34:01.980 primary

00:34:02.620 asset.

00:34:03.160 What is

00:34:04.620 Israel's 0.75

00:34:05.380 biggest

00:34:06.320 asset?

00:34:08.580 The

00:34:09.220 Holocaust. 0.77

00:34:10.660 The

00:34:11.300 Holocaust 0.95

00:34:11.580 is their

00:34:12.100 biggest asset.

00:34:12.700 Now you

00:34:13.580 might say,

00:34:14.140 no,

00:34:14.380 it's their

00:34:15.740 economy,

00:34:16.620 it's their

00:34:17.060 military,

00:34:17.960 it's the

00:34:18.880 land of

00:34:19.340 Israel itself,

00:34:20.180 it's the

00:34:20.540 people.

00:34:21.320 You might

00:34:21.780 have lots

00:34:22.160 of different

00:34:22.480 answers.

00:34:24.120 None of

00:34:24.580 them are

00:34:25.540 even close

00:34:26.280 to the

00:34:27.580 value of

00:34:28.380 the

00:34:28.620 Holocaust 0.95

00:34:28.980 narrative.

00:34:31.140 The

00:34:31.740 Holocaust 0.95

00:34:32.060 narrative

00:34:32.580 puts them

00:34:33.280 in the

00:34:33.640 victim role

00:34:34.440 and is so

00:34:35.920 horrific

00:34:36.300 that all

00:34:37.740 good people

00:34:39.180 say some

00:34:40.800 version of

00:34:41.420 never again

00:34:42.180 because whether

00:34:43.860 you're Jewish

00:34:44.440 or non-Jewish,

00:34:45.820 you're pretty

00:34:46.320 committed to

00:34:46.920 making sure

00:34:47.340 that doesn't

00:34:48.000 happen again

00:34:48.640 unless you're

00:34:49.420 just the

00:34:49.940 worst person

00:34:50.420 in the

00:34:50.640 world.

00:34:52.180 So I

00:34:52.840 would say

00:34:53.280 that the

00:34:53.860 fact Israel

00:34:55.320 has a

00:34:55.780 country is

00:34:57.060 because of

00:34:57.540 the narrative

00:34:58.000 of the

00:34:59.180 Holocaust. 0.77

00:35:00.260 The reason

00:35:00.920 they have a

00:35:01.600 good economy

00:35:02.200 is because

00:35:02.720 they have a

00:35:03.060 country and

00:35:04.580 they have a

00:35:04.940 good military

00:35:05.440 because they

00:35:05.920 have a good

00:35:06.460 economy.

00:35:07.500 Basically,

00:35:08.280 100% of

00:35:09.220 their other

00:35:09.860 assets depend

00:35:11.260 on, at

00:35:12.560 least historically

00:35:13.600 but also

00:35:14.200 today, on

00:35:15.900 the fact that

00:35:16.440 when you

00:35:16.760 think of

00:35:17.220 Israel, you 0.96

00:35:17.740 think of

00:35:18.140 that narrative.

00:35:20.480 But if

00:35:22.500 Israel can

00:35:23.180 be goaded

00:35:24.000 into doing

00:35:25.200 something so

00:35:26.100 bad to

00:35:27.460 the Gaza

00:35:28.240 residents that

00:35:31.420 observers say

00:35:33.340 to themselves,

00:35:34.480 hey, I'm

00:35:35.720 not so sure

00:35:36.320 they were

00:35:36.660 always the

00:35:37.020 good guys,

00:35:39.040 then Hamas

00:35:40.240 will have

00:35:40.700 taken from

00:35:41.460 Israel their 0.99

00:35:42.640 biggest

00:35:43.040 asset,

00:35:45.080 which is

00:35:45.820 psychological.

00:35:47.300 Psychological.

00:35:49.820 Let me go

00:35:50.680 on.

00:35:52.440 Looks to

00:35:53.220 me as if

00:35:53.700 Hamas is 0.99

00:35:54.260 playing a

00:35:54.900 long game.

00:35:55.840 Step one,

00:35:56.440 weaken the

00:35:56.860 Holocaust 0.95

00:35:57.120 narrative and

00:35:58.420 gain more

00:35:58.940 militant supporters

00:35:59.780 across the

00:36:00.380 region.

00:36:01.460 Have they

00:36:02.160 done that?

00:36:03.880 It's

00:36:04.360 starting to

00:36:05.140 look like

00:36:05.500 maybe they

00:36:06.000 are doing

00:36:06.580 that.

00:36:06.900 don't know

00:36:09.380 to what

00:36:09.960 extent,

00:36:10.660 but it's

00:36:10.920 certainly

00:36:11.180 directionally

00:36:11.960 they're getting

00:36:12.420 something they

00:36:13.160 wanted, I

00:36:13.940 think.

00:36:16.380 And the

00:36:17.500 only price

00:36:18.180 that they

00:36:18.520 will have

00:36:18.820 to pay,

00:36:20.620 that Hamas 0.99

00:36:21.200 will have

00:36:21.500 to pay,

00:36:22.880 is the

00:36:23.840 continued

00:36:25.500 pain and

00:36:27.960 death and

00:36:29.020 suffering of

00:36:30.420 their own

00:36:30.780 residents.

00:36:32.360 However,

00:36:33.880 how were

00:36:34.660 those residents

00:36:35.320 doing before?

00:36:37.880 If you

00:36:38.680 said, hey,

00:36:39.760 you Americans

00:36:40.460 or Canadians

00:36:41.180 or Europeans,

00:36:42.380 we'd like you

00:36:43.560 to go from

00:36:44.180 whatever your

00:36:44.820 current lifestyle

00:36:45.620 is to

00:36:46.980 something closer

00:36:47.880 to starvation

00:36:48.720 and living

00:36:50.420 without electricity.

00:36:52.740 Well, we

00:36:53.600 would say,

00:36:54.460 whatever it is

00:36:55.660 you have to

00:36:56.040 do to avoid

00:36:56.620 that, do

00:36:58.160 that.

00:36:59.000 Because I'm

00:36:59.580 not going

00:36:59.980 back to

00:37:00.700 living in a

00:37:02.260 cave.

00:37:03.380 Because there's

00:37:04.100 a gigantic

00:37:04.720 difference,

00:37:05.320 between our

00:37:05.860 current

00:37:06.140 lifestyles,

00:37:06.800 the average

00:37:07.200 lifestyles in

00:37:07.920 those countries,

00:37:08.760 and what it

00:37:09.880 could be.

00:37:10.980 So we would

00:37:11.520 try to avoid

00:37:12.040 that at all

00:37:12.500 costs.

00:37:13.520 However, if

00:37:14.620 you had a

00:37:14.980 70% unemployment

00:37:16.380 rate, you

00:37:17.780 had been

00:37:18.260 trained that

00:37:19.020 you're being

00:37:19.440 oppressed by

00:37:20.200 one group in

00:37:20.980 particular, and

00:37:22.180 on the ground

00:37:22.880 you see evidence

00:37:23.680 of it, like,

00:37:24.340 oh, I can't

00:37:24.860 travel freely,

00:37:26.300 do any kind

00:37:26.860 of business I

00:37:27.460 want, that

00:37:28.000 sort of thing.

00:37:28.640 And then you're

00:37:29.160 being propagandized.

00:37:31.100 And then you

00:37:32.760 don't have your

00:37:33.500 basics, like

00:37:35.080 you're struggling

00:37:35.640 for food every

00:37:36.440 day, and

00:37:37.600 you're living

00:37:38.040 in, you

00:37:38.720 know, very

00:37:39.660 suboptimal

00:37:40.520 living conditions.

00:37:42.700 Under those

00:37:43.580 conditions, Hamas 0.91

00:37:45.760 is hoping that

00:37:46.540 if they're

00:37:46.860 taken from a

00:37:48.540 very bad

00:37:49.140 situation to

00:37:49.880 start with, and

00:37:51.160 then it gets

00:37:51.620 worse, it can't

00:37:53.340 get that much

00:37:53.820 worse.

00:37:54.700 There's not

00:37:55.160 enough room,

00:37:56.160 like things

00:37:57.280 were bad in

00:37:58.700 the beginning.

00:37:59.100 now, what's

00:38:00.180 likely to

00:38:00.720 happen is

00:38:01.420 that there

00:38:01.740 will be

00:38:02.140 massive food

00:38:03.740 aid will

00:38:04.900 be provided

00:38:05.560 from the

00:38:05.960 outside.

00:38:07.340 So, they

00:38:08.420 probably won't

00:38:09.360 starve, probably,

00:38:11.860 I can't

00:38:12.240 guarantee that,

00:38:13.720 but they

00:38:14.040 probably won't,

00:38:15.300 because I

00:38:15.740 would imagine

00:38:16.140 lots of

00:38:16.620 countries are

00:38:17.200 gearing up to

00:38:17.960 make sure they

00:38:18.520 don't starve

00:38:19.040 already.

00:38:21.480 So, from

00:38:23.460 the point of

00:38:24.360 view of

00:38:24.660 Hamas, who 0.99

00:38:27.000 believes that

00:38:27.760 suffering to

00:38:28.640 get what they

00:38:29.100 want is just

00:38:29.720 part of their

00:38:30.220 package, it

00:38:31.960 doesn't look like

00:38:32.620 such a big

00:38:33.120 expense.

00:38:34.620 And it looks

00:38:35.000 like they have

00:38:35.460 a lot to

00:38:35.840 gain if they

00:38:36.980 can take

00:38:38.360 Israel down a 0.93

00:38:39.180 notch in the

00:38:39.820 public opinion,

00:38:40.780 and also, you

00:38:42.240 know, maybe get

00:38:42.780 some other

00:38:43.100 people fired up

00:38:43.920 on their

00:38:44.220 side.

00:38:45.040 So, it

00:38:45.620 doesn't look

00:38:46.100 crazy from

00:38:46.740 that perspective.

00:38:48.020 It just looks

00:38:48.680 like people

00:38:49.380 doing things

00:38:50.100 far more

00:38:50.640 extreme than

00:38:51.900 you would,

00:38:52.920 because your

00:38:53.540 lives are

00:38:54.040 comfortable.

00:38:56.280 How extreme

00:38:57.240 would you

00:38:57.620 be if your

00:38:58.320 life was

00:38:59.240 completely

00:39:00.040 uncomfortable

00:39:00.620 all the

00:39:01.220 time?

00:39:01.940 I mean, some

00:39:02.460 of you probably

00:39:02.980 is.

00:39:03.960 You would do

00:39:04.620 a lot more,

00:39:05.480 right?

00:39:06.940 You know, if I

00:39:08.040 had to feed my

00:39:08.740 family, how

00:39:10.320 extreme would I

00:39:11.160 be to feed my

00:39:12.080 family?

00:39:14.080 Almost

00:39:14.520 anything.

00:39:16.340 Almost

00:39:16.780 anything.

00:39:17.920 So, extremism

00:39:19.240 makes sense when

00:39:20.360 people are

00:39:20.800 struggling.

00:39:21.780 It makes a lot

00:39:22.420 less sense when

00:39:23.060 they're not.

00:39:25.400 All right.

00:39:25.840 And so, I

00:39:27.420 want to tell

00:39:27.780 you what a

00:39:28.300 great prediction

00:39:29.000 I made after

00:39:30.560 it already

00:39:30.980 happened.

00:39:32.420 If there's one

00:39:33.360 advice I can

00:39:34.180 give you, if

00:39:35.100 you'd like to

00:39:35.520 be well-known

00:39:36.120 for making

00:39:37.740 good predictions,

00:39:39.500 predict things

00:39:40.220 that have

00:39:40.540 already happened.

00:39:41.940 So, I made a

00:39:42.580 prediction that

00:39:43.480 I found out

00:39:45.460 was happening

00:39:47.180 at actually the

00:39:47.980 same time I was

00:39:48.580 making the

00:39:49.000 prediction.

00:39:50.320 So, here was

00:39:51.080 the prediction.

00:39:51.580 that makes

00:39:54.480 Saudi Arabia

00:39:55.140 the most

00:39:55.560 important player

00:39:56.360 in this

00:39:56.820 drama.

00:39:58.020 When and if

00:39:58.700 they take

00:39:59.100 a side, the

00:39:59.740 new narrative

00:40:00.360 is formed.

00:40:02.280 As I was

00:40:03.140 writing this

00:40:03.700 tweet, at

00:40:05.620 the same

00:40:06.060 time, Saudi

00:40:07.700 Arabia was 0.96

00:40:08.460 announcing that

00:40:10.520 they were going

00:40:10.960 to end all

00:40:11.580 negotiations on

00:40:12.660 normalizations

00:40:13.340 with Israel.

00:40:14.440 and they've

00:40:15.980 informed

00:40:16.480 Secretary of

00:40:17.940 State Blinken

00:40:18.420 that it's

00:40:19.680 ending all

00:40:20.180 negotiations

00:40:20.820 on normalizing

00:40:22.140 relations

00:40:22.800 according to

00:40:24.800 the Jerusalem

00:40:25.220 Post.

00:40:26.640 So, I'm

00:40:28.180 going to give

00:40:28.440 myself a little

00:40:29.140 bit of credit

00:40:29.740 even though I

00:40:32.320 ended up

00:40:33.020 predicting something

00:40:34.400 that happened

00:40:34.940 half an hour

00:40:35.460 before I

00:40:35.940 predicted it.

00:40:37.160 But it was

00:40:37.760 obvious that

00:40:39.360 Saudi would be 0.99

00:40:40.560 the big player.

00:40:41.540 Now, of

00:40:41.940 course, this is

00:40:43.380 related to the

00:40:44.120 Abraham Accords

00:40:44.960 and the

00:40:45.340 normalization of

00:40:46.160 things.

00:40:47.040 So, you

00:40:47.800 assume that Hamas

00:40:48.720 wanted to make

00:40:49.720 sure it didn't

00:40:50.260 get isolated in

00:40:51.480 the region by

00:40:52.660 having everybody

00:40:53.380 be chummy with

00:40:54.220 Israel and

00:40:54.900 having lots of

00:40:55.600 economic ties.

00:40:57.040 That would make

00:40:57.840 it harder for

00:40:58.420 Hamas to

00:40:58.980 operate.

00:40:59.940 So, it looks

00:41:00.420 like they won.

00:41:02.220 It looks like

00:41:02.840 Hamas got what 1.00

00:41:03.540 they wanted in

00:41:04.120 the short run,

00:41:05.100 which is to

00:41:06.280 tank the

00:41:07.020 deal.

00:41:09.780 So, not only

00:41:10.780 did Hamas get 0.86

00:41:11.680 an immediate

00:41:12.160 victory of

00:41:13.260 destroying the

00:41:14.100 warming of

00:41:15.460 relations between

00:41:16.920 Saudi and

00:41:17.820 Israel, but 0.90

00:41:19.740 they might get

00:41:21.060 a longer-term

00:41:21.940 win by making

00:41:23.800 Israel look 0.68

00:41:24.700 like an

00:41:25.480 aggressor, far

00:41:27.140 more than

00:41:27.580 people have

00:41:28.000 seen it that

00:41:28.480 way in the

00:41:28.860 past.

00:41:33.640 Yeah.

00:41:35.140 So, there

00:41:36.560 it is.

00:41:37.760 Now, do you

00:41:38.800 think the fact

00:41:39.560 that we heard

00:41:40.120 a story with

00:41:41.240 questionable

00:41:42.640 truth that

00:41:44.920 Iran had 0.99

00:41:46.120 actually met

00:41:46.960 with Hamas

00:41:49.340 and Hezbollah?

00:41:51.400 It all makes

00:41:52.180 sense now, right?

00:41:53.560 You can see that

00:41:54.580 all of this is

00:41:55.360 gearing up to

00:41:56.100 attack Iran. 0.94

00:41:58.340 This is the

00:41:59.140 beginning of a

00:42:00.040 war with Iran.

00:42:01.560 It can't go any

00:42:02.580 other way.

00:42:04.540 Because, you know

00:42:05.200 what, Israel can't 0.72

00:42:06.140 allow it to happen.

00:42:06.780 the leadership of

00:42:09.740 Iran to still be 1.00

00:42:10.580 alive a year from

00:42:11.340 now.

00:42:12.800 It's not an

00:42:13.560 option anymore.

00:42:16.000 That's what I

00:42:16.660 think.

00:42:19.640 In my opinion,

00:42:21.640 Israel will have 1.00

00:42:22.880 to take out the

00:42:23.540 leadership of

00:42:24.140 Iran.

00:42:25.600 I think they'll

00:42:26.460 first take care of

00:42:27.360 business with

00:42:28.300 Hamas, and

00:42:29.880 once they get on

00:42:30.940 top of it,

00:42:31.560 sometime between

00:42:32.340 now and the end

00:42:32.960 of the year,

00:42:33.380 there's going to

00:42:34.320 be some

00:42:34.700 exploding things

00:42:35.640 happening in

00:42:36.400 Iran, and

00:42:37.860 it's going to

00:42:38.240 be over.

00:42:39.420 Now, it might

00:42:40.340 make things much,

00:42:41.420 much worse, but

00:42:43.020 they don't have a

00:42:43.500 choice at this

00:42:44.040 point.

00:42:45.260 The current

00:42:45.680 system guarantees

00:42:48.040 Israel's destruction 0.98

00:42:49.420 in time.

00:42:52.020 Israel is pretty 1.00

00:42:53.080 good at long-range

00:42:54.700 planning, right?

00:42:56.140 Hamas is pretty 0.99

00:42:56.860 good at long-range

00:42:57.520 planning, it seems,

00:42:58.740 but Israel is good

00:42:59.780 too, and there is

00:43:01.440 no way they're

00:43:02.440 going to allow

00:43:02.920 Iran to get 0.97

00:43:03.640 nuclear weapons

00:43:04.560 so that they can

00:43:05.940 continue funding

00:43:07.020 Israel's enemies 0.99

00:43:08.260 forever with

00:43:09.460 impunity.

00:43:10.520 They have to take

00:43:11.600 them down before

00:43:12.320 their nukes are

00:43:12.960 operational.

00:43:14.100 We've had this

00:43:14.860 whole narrative

00:43:15.500 about, oh,

00:43:16.140 they're going to

00:43:16.520 break out any 0.98

00:43:17.180 day, any day

00:43:18.000 Iran's going to 1.00

00:43:18.560 be nuclear.

00:43:19.660 At the same

00:43:20.200 time, we have

00:43:20.880 the narrative that

00:43:22.060 they just funded

00:43:22.800 an active war,

00:43:24.720 an actual invasion

00:43:25.640 with hundreds,

00:43:27.380 if not thousands

00:43:28.000 of victims on

00:43:29.700 the Israeli side.

00:43:31.140 If you put those

00:43:32.200 two stories

00:43:32.760 together, Iran's 0.53

00:43:36.320 getting close to

00:43:37.100 a nuclear

00:43:37.520 breakout at the

00:43:38.360 same time that

00:43:39.100 they're funding a

00:43:40.480 war in Israel,

00:43:41.980 Israel doesn't 1.00

00:43:42.600 have a choice.

00:43:44.440 They have to

00:43:45.100 take out the

00:43:45.540 leadership of

00:43:46.100 Iran.

00:43:47.420 Am I the only

00:43:48.180 person who said

00:43:48.820 that directly?

00:43:51.700 As it was coming

00:43:52.600 out of my mouth,

00:43:53.320 I was thinking,

00:43:54.000 I haven't heard

00:43:54.380 anybody say that

00:43:55.020 directly, but I

00:43:57.160 don't think there's

00:43:57.740 any other choice.

00:43:58.760 Oh, as Jack said

00:44:00.580 it, so my

00:44:03.020 statement, I

00:44:04.060 want to be very

00:44:04.940 clear about my

00:44:05.740 statement.

00:44:06.820 I'm not

00:44:07.540 recommending it.

00:44:09.640 I'm not joyous

00:44:11.220 about it.

00:44:12.060 I'm not

00:44:12.420 celebrating it.

00:44:14.500 We are simply

00:44:15.480 looking at a set

00:44:16.260 of facts that

00:44:16.880 guarantees it.

00:44:19.960 And Israel will 1.00

00:44:21.060 never have a

00:44:22.820 better opportunity

00:44:23.660 because at the

00:44:25.140 moment, public

00:44:25.820 opinion is on

00:44:26.580 their side, at

00:44:27.960 least outside of

00:44:28.700 the Middle

00:44:28.920 East.

00:44:30.400 And if they

00:44:31.620 wait, it'll be

00:44:32.600 too late.

00:44:34.040 Iran will have 1.00

00:44:34.640 nukes.

00:44:36.100 And may I

00:44:38.100 further suggest

00:44:39.300 that America

00:44:40.900 thinks it's the

00:44:41.640 right time, too.

00:44:43.680 Why?

00:44:45.320 Because Iran was 0.99

00:44:46.520 helping Russia.

00:44:49.380 And so now you

00:44:50.380 have a Ukrainian

00:44:51.480 reason.

00:44:52.520 You have a

00:44:53.080 Ukrainian reason

00:44:54.060 to attack Iran. 0.54

00:44:55.300 You have a

00:44:56.340 nuclear breakout

00:44:57.220 reason, and

00:44:58.720 now you have

00:44:59.360 the supporting

00:45:00.340 Hamas reason. 0.99

00:45:03.260 Are we done?

00:45:05.140 War with Iran 0.82

00:45:06.180 is guaranteed.

00:45:08.780 And it's

00:45:09.520 guaranteed this

00:45:10.160 year.

00:45:10.960 There isn't any

00:45:11.900 way around it.

00:45:13.800 But I hope

00:45:14.860 it's limited to

00:45:16.220 the leadership.

00:45:17.700 I don't know if

00:45:18.300 anybody's ever

00:45:18.860 pulled that off.

00:45:20.180 When was the

00:45:20.620 last time somebody

00:45:21.420 took out the

00:45:22.020 leadership of a

00:45:22.820 country and

00:45:24.600 that settled

00:45:25.280 things?

00:45:25.720 does that

00:45:26.660 ever happen?

00:45:27.780 Because you

00:45:28.040 have to still

00:45:28.520 because otherwise

00:45:29.420 they just get

00:45:30.000 replaced with

00:45:30.760 their supporters

00:45:31.660 who are even

00:45:32.880 worse.

00:45:34.860 Do you mean

00:45:35.620 2024?

00:45:39.040 Yeah.

00:45:40.600 You know,

00:45:41.720 this would be

00:45:42.600 the best thing

00:45:43.600 that Biden

00:45:44.040 could do is

00:45:44.620 lose the

00:45:45.060 election.

00:45:47.720 Except I

00:45:48.500 don't think

00:45:48.900 Israel's going 1.00

00:45:49.440 to wait that

00:45:49.860 long.

00:45:50.500 I think Biden's

00:45:51.360 going to have

00:45:51.720 to be part of

00:45:52.460 the solution.

00:45:52.940 So this

00:45:55.480 will be a

00:45:56.080 good test of

00:45:57.020 whether Biden

00:45:57.580 is his own

00:45:58.360 person.

00:46:00.540 Because you

00:46:01.580 can imagine

00:46:02.120 that Biden

00:46:02.580 would not

00:46:03.100 naturally be

00:46:04.000 on board

00:46:04.580 with attacking

00:46:05.420 Iran because 0.97

00:46:06.180 that would be

00:46:06.560 very different

00:46:07.540 from anything

00:46:08.300 that's come

00:46:09.220 before.

00:46:11.140 But if he

00:46:12.760 does anyway,

00:46:14.040 what would

00:46:15.080 you assume

00:46:15.580 about who

00:46:16.160 is controlling

00:46:16.880 Biden?

00:46:17.500 you might

00:46:20.480 say to

00:46:20.840 yourself

00:46:21.220 he's not

00:46:22.720 his own

00:46:23.160 person.

00:46:24.680 You might

00:46:25.020 say to

00:46:25.340 himself that

00:46:25.960 Ukraine wants

00:46:26.840 Iran to be 1.00

00:46:29.420 taken out.

00:46:30.800 So maybe

00:46:31.720 Ukraine has 0.72

00:46:32.420 control over

00:46:33.340 him.

00:46:33.880 You might

00:46:34.240 say that

00:46:35.000 the Jewish

00:46:36.980 lobby in the

00:46:37.580 United States,

00:46:39.000 presumably getting

00:46:39.900 very active

00:46:40.540 because that's

00:46:40.980 what they're

00:46:41.260 for,

00:46:42.540 might be

00:46:43.860 persuasive.

00:46:45.320 It might

00:46:45.740 persuade Congress

00:46:46.640 and the

00:46:46.960 president to

00:46:47.720 do something

00:46:48.300 that they

00:46:48.720 would ordinarily

00:46:49.520 be unlikely

00:46:52.000 to do.

00:46:54.220 So I

00:46:56.680 looked into

00:46:57.200 who is

00:46:57.660 funding Gaza

00:46:58.560 because that's

00:46:59.060 a big question

00:47:00.380 here.

00:47:01.360 So just to

00:47:02.260 give you some

00:47:02.640 numbers so you

00:47:03.140 can understand

00:47:03.840 the landscape.

00:47:04.940 So there are

00:47:05.500 fewer than

00:47:06.100 2 million people

00:47:07.440 living in Gaza.

00:47:08.560 It's around

00:47:08.820 2 million.

00:47:10.300 Half of them

00:47:11.000 are children,

00:47:11.540 as I said.

00:47:12.460 So that's

00:47:12.860 your demographics.

00:47:14.800 And then how

00:47:15.360 much money are

00:47:16.140 they getting

00:47:16.540 and from

00:47:17.180 whom?

00:47:19.700 Well,

00:47:20.360 from lots

00:47:20.860 of places.

00:47:21.480 Germany actually

00:47:22.260 is one of

00:47:22.980 the people

00:47:23.740 funding the

00:47:25.260 Palestinians.

00:47:26.620 So Germany 0.82

00:47:27.560 is funding

00:47:28.260 people who

00:47:29.520 in part

00:47:30.120 are destroying,

00:47:31.260 trying to

00:47:31.860 destroy Israel 0.92

00:47:32.800 and kill 0.83

00:47:33.200 Jews.

00:47:34.340 That's not a

00:47:34.840 good look for

00:47:35.340 Germany.

00:47:36.520 They might

00:47:36.860 rethink that.

00:47:38.360 All right,

00:47:38.560 so here's

00:47:38.800 some numbers.

00:47:39.660 These are

00:47:40.020 20-21 numbers,

00:47:41.320 but they're

00:47:41.580 probably not

00:47:42.040 too far off.

00:47:43.360 The United

00:47:43.680 States has

00:47:44.180 provided over

00:47:44.820 half a billion

00:47:45.480 in assistance,

00:47:47.180 more than

00:47:47.840 400 million

00:47:49.040 in humanitarian

00:47:49.780 aid,

00:47:51.240 75 million

00:47:52.480 in support

00:47:53.040 through some

00:47:54.240 other U.S.

00:47:54.780 thing,

00:47:55.900 and a bunch

00:47:56.340 of COVID

00:47:56.760 stuff.

00:47:58.000 So from

00:47:58.340 2014 to

00:47:59.160 2020,

00:47:59.840 U.N.

00:48:00.280 agencies

00:48:00.660 spent

00:48:01.120 4.5

00:48:02.140 billion.

00:48:02.920 So it

00:48:03.380 looks to me

00:48:03.860 like it's

00:48:04.320 in the

00:48:04.720 billion or

00:48:06.300 two per

00:48:06.960 year between

00:48:08.540 what all the

00:48:09.180 Europeans and

00:48:10.580 the U.N.

00:48:11.160 is doing,

00:48:11.620 which is funded

00:48:12.120 by the

00:48:12.440 Europeans and

00:48:13.040 us and

00:48:14.060 what U.S.

00:48:14.720 is doing

00:48:15.060 directly.

00:48:16.200 Then there's

00:48:16.660 Qatar that's 0.90

00:48:19.100 given money

00:48:19.960 there.

00:48:20.580 But basically

00:48:21.120 we're in

00:48:21.620 the low,

00:48:23.220 looks like

00:48:23.680 one or two

00:48:24.200 billion a

00:48:25.660 year from

00:48:26.740 a variety

00:48:27.200 of places.

00:48:30.900 But do you

00:48:31.580 think that

00:48:31.920 they're going

00:48:32.220 to keep

00:48:32.560 getting that?

00:48:34.380 Who's going

00:48:34.960 to keep

00:48:35.240 giving the

00:48:35.640 money after

00:48:36.460 today?

00:48:36.800 I don't

00:48:39.480 know.

00:48:43.780 This seems

00:48:45.040 like it's

00:48:45.440 unrelated,

00:48:46.520 but everything's

00:48:47.260 related.

00:48:48.340 So Governor

00:48:48.800 Newsom, with

00:48:49.520 the worst

00:48:50.020 timing I've

00:48:51.180 ever seen

00:48:51.600 in politics,

00:48:52.620 tweets

00:48:52.880 yesterday,

00:48:54.180 we just

00:48:54.560 passed a

00:48:55.020 resolution

00:48:55.460 calling for

00:48:56.060 a constitutional

00:48:56.840 amendment on

00:48:58.040 guns in

00:48:58.620 California.

00:49:02.700 Seriously.

00:49:04.680 The entire

00:49:05.820 news landscape

00:49:06.780 shows armed

00:49:09.340 men with

00:49:10.080 guns running

00:49:11.160 through

00:49:11.520 residential

00:49:12.160 places,

00:49:13.400 shooting

00:49:13.760 civilians,

00:49:14.940 who have

00:49:15.460 what?

00:49:17.060 What are

00:49:17.540 the civilians

00:49:18.120 armed with?

00:49:19.780 Fuck all.

00:49:22.040 Yeah.

00:49:22.660 They're armed

00:49:23.140 with their

00:49:23.560 fingers.

00:49:25.420 Right?

00:49:26.060 Apparently you

00:49:26.760 can get a

00:49:27.520 gun in

00:49:28.180 Israel, but 0.90

00:49:29.040 it's a hard,

00:49:29.980 hard process,

00:49:30.800 and you're

00:49:31.320 only going to

00:49:31.720 get one, and

00:49:32.400 it's going to

00:49:32.720 be a pistol.

00:49:34.620 That's it.

00:49:36.100 I mean, they

00:49:36.420 have really

00:49:36.840 good gun

00:49:37.320 control.

00:49:39.080 Now, maybe

00:49:39.880 they need

00:49:40.240 that gun

00:49:40.600 control because

00:49:41.200 they also

00:49:41.500 have a lot

00:49:42.760 of people in

00:49:43.220 their population

00:49:44.240 that might

00:49:44.680 be tempted.

00:49:47.000 But at

00:49:48.080 the moment,

00:49:48.620 it's looking

00:49:49.080 like the

00:49:49.420 biggest mistake

00:49:50.100 in the

00:49:50.380 world because

00:49:51.600 people with

00:49:52.280 guns are

00:49:52.760 just wildly

00:49:53.400 killing people

00:49:54.100 without guns.

00:49:55.380 Now, what

00:49:56.140 would that

00:49:56.480 look like in

00:49:57.040 the United

00:49:57.480 States in

00:49:58.100 2023?

00:49:59.800 Pick any

00:50:00.520 town, any

00:50:01.180 city in the

00:50:01.620 United States,

00:50:02.580 and you see

00:50:03.000 the bad guys

00:50:03.680 running through,

00:50:04.300 except maybe

00:50:05.180 some of the

00:50:05.620 cities where

00:50:06.140 they have

00:50:06.940 really strict

00:50:07.560 gun control.

00:50:09.320 But imagine

00:50:09.860 it in most

00:50:10.500 places.

00:50:11.340 Well, actually

00:50:11.780 imagine it in

00:50:12.440 a city.

00:50:13.420 Imagine it in

00:50:14.040 a city.

00:50:14.620 Because you

00:50:14.900 know what

00:50:15.160 would happen

00:50:15.420 if it

00:50:15.720 happened in

00:50:16.100 an American

00:50:16.520 city?

00:50:17.940 Everybody from

00:50:18.680 the suburbs

00:50:19.260 would throw

00:50:20.100 their guns in

00:50:20.720 the back of

00:50:21.140 the pickup truck

00:50:21.900 and start

00:50:22.660 driving in

00:50:23.160 that direction.

00:50:24.480 In about

00:50:25.320 three hours,

00:50:27.780 the city

00:50:28.480 would be

00:50:28.820 well-armed.

00:50:29.360 it would be

00:50:32.540 the people

00:50:32.920 from the

00:50:33.300 burbs just

00:50:33.900 showing up

00:50:34.320 with pickup

00:50:34.720 trucks,

00:50:35.620 literally with

00:50:36.420 all their

00:50:36.720 guns in

00:50:37.120 the back

00:50:37.460 and all

00:50:37.740 their ammo.

00:50:38.800 And they

00:50:39.020 say, help 0.72

00:50:39.380 yourself.

00:50:40.560 Go at

00:50:40.960 it.

00:50:41.660 They might

00:50:42.240 not want

00:50:42.560 to fight

00:50:42.920 themselves in

00:50:43.660 every case,

00:50:44.360 but they're

00:50:44.920 going to

00:50:45.100 bring you

00:50:45.400 their guns

00:50:45.980 if the

00:50:47.600 country is

00:50:47.980 under attack,

00:50:48.760 not otherwise.

00:50:51.100 So I

00:50:51.840 don't think

00:50:52.900 the Hamas

00:50:54.220 could have

00:50:54.740 been on

00:50:55.680 foot and

00:50:57.460 wiping out

00:50:58.140 Americans

00:50:58.660 door-to-door

00:51:00.000 that would

00:51:00.960 not last

00:51:01.580 long.

00:51:03.380 So Governor

00:51:04.320 Newsom, in

00:51:05.420 the midst of

00:51:06.140 all this

00:51:06.540 video, showing

00:51:07.580 that the

00:51:07.980 worst thing

00:51:08.540 you could do

00:51:08.940 to your

00:51:09.200 population is

00:51:09.980 leave them

00:51:10.420 unarmed while

00:51:12.220 you've got

00:51:12.780 threats on

00:51:13.680 the border.

00:51:14.560 At the same

00:51:15.500 time, we're

00:51:16.160 showing video

00:51:16.800 of presumably

00:51:18.420 terrorists, at

00:51:19.520 least some of

00:51:19.960 them, just

00:51:20.740 some of

00:51:21.060 them, streaming

00:51:22.280 over our

00:51:22.840 border.

00:51:24.400 Do you

00:51:24.640 think Hamas 0.81

00:51:25.320 never thought,

00:51:26.880 you know,

00:51:27.320 it wouldn't

00:51:28.360 be a bad

00:51:28.880 idea, if

00:51:30.680 we've got a

00:51:31.820 few extra

00:51:32.340 guys, let

00:51:34.060 a few of

00:51:34.620 our guys get

00:51:35.400 through that

00:51:35.860 border, it'd

00:51:36.760 be a good

00:51:37.080 time to do

00:51:37.580 it, because

00:51:38.000 it might be

00:51:38.380 useful to

00:51:38.860 get them

00:51:39.120 set up

00:51:40.180 inside the

00:51:40.660 country in

00:51:41.080 case we

00:51:41.400 need them.

00:51:42.440 You don't

00:51:42.740 think that's

00:51:43.160 already

00:51:43.360 happened?

00:51:44.100 Of course

00:51:44.500 it has.

00:51:44.980 You don't

00:51:45.260 think the

00:51:45.620 cartels are

00:51:46.260 moving their

00:51:46.860 operators through

00:51:47.900 so that in

00:51:49.120 case they're

00:51:49.540 needed, they're

00:51:50.660 already in

00:51:51.080 place?

00:51:51.940 Of course

00:51:52.380 they are.

00:51:53.460 And fucking

00:51:54.060 idiot Newsom

00:51:54.980 comes up

00:51:56.280 with some

00:51:56.620 idea to

00:51:57.160 reduce your

00:51:57.680 access to

00:51:58.240 guns, while

00:51:59.800 we're watching

00:52:00.400 the Israeli

00:52:01.560 citizens being

00:52:02.940 slaughtered for

00:52:04.220 being unarmed.

00:52:07.520 I'll tell you

00:52:08.200 there's one

00:52:08.660 video that

00:52:10.080 you're not

00:52:10.520 going to see

00:52:10.880 much of.

00:52:11.820 I don't know

00:52:12.220 if it's real

00:52:12.780 or current, but

00:52:14.820 I'll just

00:52:15.240 describe it and

00:52:15.980 see how many

00:52:16.520 of you saw it.

00:52:17.420 How many of

00:52:17.920 you saw a

00:52:18.340 video of a

00:52:19.620 family escaping

00:52:20.660 through a

00:52:21.520 top floor

00:52:22.620 window onto

00:52:24.360 the roof

00:52:24.780 of something

00:52:25.240 so they

00:52:25.640 could get

00:52:25.920 away?

00:52:26.860 And then

00:52:27.180 the last

00:52:27.620 person out

00:52:28.140 the window

00:52:28.560 is the

00:52:30.440 father.

00:52:32.780 And there

00:52:33.340 was gunfire

00:52:33.960 the entire

00:52:34.440 time.

00:52:35.940 The father

00:52:36.380 had, he

00:52:37.080 was one of

00:52:37.420 the few

00:52:37.660 people who

00:52:38.040 had a

00:52:38.240 pistol.

00:52:39.320 He held

00:52:40.060 them off

00:52:40.660 until they

00:52:42.380 finished him

00:52:43.040 in the

00:52:43.380 window, and

00:52:44.060 then he

00:52:44.420 fell out and

00:52:45.100 his gun

00:52:45.500 slumped out

00:52:46.100 of his

00:52:46.340 hand.

00:52:47.400 That man

00:52:48.060 saved his

00:52:48.720 entire family,

00:52:49.860 and there

00:52:50.120 were a

00:52:50.320 number of

00:52:50.680 them.

00:52:50.860 It looked

00:52:51.000 like there

00:52:51.340 were at

00:52:51.460 least a

00:52:51.720 dozen

00:52:51.920 people who

00:52:52.380 came out.

00:52:53.240 He saved

00:52:53.760 a dozen

00:52:54.140 people because

00:52:56.620 he had one

00:52:57.260 gun and

00:52:59.140 balls of

00:52:59.740 steel.

00:53:02.160 He had

00:53:02.760 one gun.

00:53:03.760 Saved 12

00:53:04.200 people.

00:53:04.920 That's what it

00:53:05.360 looked like,

00:53:05.880 because the

00:53:06.200 report is that

00:53:06.900 the family

00:53:07.300 got away.

00:53:09.600 Now, you

00:53:10.880 see that

00:53:11.420 guy, you

00:53:12.140 see him get

00:53:12.700 blown away,

00:53:13.960 you see him

00:53:14.520 slump, and

00:53:16.040 then in

00:53:16.840 probably the

00:53:18.280 most powerful

00:53:18.900 thing you'll

00:53:19.420 ever see,

00:53:20.260 the last

00:53:21.080 thing you see

00:53:21.720 before he

00:53:22.300 dies and

00:53:22.820 falls to

00:53:23.180 the ground,

00:53:23.760 is the

00:53:25.220 gun falls

00:53:25.720 out of

00:53:25.960 his hand.

00:53:28.520 And the

00:53:29.040 whole story

00:53:29.780 is told in

00:53:31.360 the moment

00:53:31.860 that the

00:53:32.700 gun falls

00:53:33.160 out of

00:53:33.400 his hand.

00:53:35.320 I don't

00:53:35.860 think you're

00:53:36.280 going to

00:53:36.400 see that

00:53:36.760 video because

00:53:37.540 it's too

00:53:37.860 powerful.

00:53:39.500 There's no

00:53:40.100 way you're

00:53:40.520 going to

00:53:40.640 want to

00:53:40.960 ban guns

00:53:41.760 after you

00:53:42.320 see that.

00:53:44.020 So I

00:53:44.560 think that

00:53:44.940 the gun

00:53:45.740 lobby people

00:53:47.020 are going

00:53:47.320 to make

00:53:47.600 real sure

00:53:48.440 that one

00:53:49.600 doesn't show

00:53:50.080 up.

00:53:50.260 And by

00:53:50.480 the way,

00:53:50.800 I don't

00:53:51.040 know if it

00:53:51.340 was real.

00:53:51.660 I don't

00:53:52.840 want to

00:53:53.080 say it

00:53:53.280 was real.

00:53:53.700 It could

00:53:53.900 have been

00:53:54.100 some other

00:53:54.500 conflict.

00:53:55.620 For all I

00:53:56.020 know, it's

00:53:56.320 hard to

00:53:56.600 tell.

00:53:57.900 But that

00:53:58.500 one was

00:53:58.820 powerful.

00:53:59.640 And I'm

00:54:00.380 not surprised

00:54:01.120 that a lot

00:54:03.000 of video

00:54:03.320 will be

00:54:03.780 unavailable

00:54:04.340 today.

00:54:06.660 So,

00:54:08.000 now, what

00:54:09.120 do you think

00:54:09.400 about the

00:54:10.080 question of

00:54:12.680 whether

00:54:12.920 terrorists are

00:54:14.380 coming through

00:54:14.980 our southern

00:54:15.460 border?

00:54:15.820 Do you

00:54:16.980 think they

00:54:17.420 are or

00:54:17.940 they are

00:54:18.300 not?

00:54:19.620 Would you

00:54:20.040 say that

00:54:20.400 they are

00:54:20.880 or are

00:54:21.280 not coming

00:54:21.700 through the

00:54:22.020 southern border?

00:54:22.640 Actual terrorists.

00:54:23.600 Could be

00:54:23.820 Hamas, could 0.99

00:54:24.460 be cartels,

00:54:25.660 could be

00:54:26.020 anybody.

00:54:27.980 All right.

00:54:29.220 I would

00:54:29.740 like to

00:54:30.080 shock you

00:54:30.720 by saying

00:54:33.040 I fooled

00:54:34.580 you into

00:54:35.100 the wrong

00:54:35.440 question.

00:54:36.340 I made

00:54:36.560 you think

00:54:36.840 past the

00:54:37.280 sale.

00:54:39.840 I did

00:54:40.420 that intentionally.

00:54:41.660 I made

00:54:42.220 you think

00:54:42.600 past the

00:54:43.060 sale and

00:54:43.400 you all

00:54:43.680 failed.

00:54:45.820 It doesn't

00:54:46.680 fucking

00:54:47.340 matter if

00:54:48.220 any

00:54:48.540 terrorists

00:54:49.260 are coming

00:54:49.680 across the

00:54:50.260 border.

00:54:51.240 It doesn't

00:54:52.240 fucking

00:54:52.860 matter.

00:54:54.180 You would

00:54:54.640 do the

00:54:55.120 same thing

00:54:55.980 because the

00:54:57.380 risk is

00:54:58.020 off the

00:54:58.920 chart.

00:54:59.900 You don't

00:55:00.340 have to

00:55:00.720 know if

00:55:01.020 they're

00:55:01.180 really

00:55:01.440 coming

00:55:01.780 through.

00:55:02.460 You

00:55:02.680 treat it

00:55:03.300 like it's

00:55:03.860 the fucking

00:55:04.460 truth and

00:55:05.880 you act

00:55:06.360 like it's

00:55:06.900 a fact.

00:55:08.320 If you're

00:55:08.760 asking yourself,

00:55:09.600 huh, I

00:55:10.440 wonder if

00:55:10.920 some

00:55:11.100 terrorists

00:55:11.500 are coming

00:55:11.720 to, fuck 0.98

00:55:12.280 you.

00:55:13.480 Wrong

00:55:13.820 question.

00:55:15.240 Don't let

00:55:15.680 anybody

00:55:16.280 question you

00:55:17.800 about whether

00:55:19.180 or not you

00:55:19.620 have some

00:55:19.940 evidence anybody's

00:55:21.000 coming across

00:55:21.500 the border

00:55:21.920 who's a

00:55:23.220 terrorist.

00:55:24.200 Do not

00:55:24.960 fall for

00:55:25.480 that.

00:55:26.320 You treat

00:55:27.000 it like

00:55:28.020 they're coming

00:55:28.500 across by

00:55:29.220 the millions.

00:55:30.720 Exact

00:55:31.280 same

00:55:32.220 actions.

00:55:33.660 No

00:55:33.900 difference.

00:55:34.660 If you

00:55:35.000 don't, you're

00:55:35.940 a fucking 0.88

00:55:36.260 idiot. 0.79

00:55:37.220 And you're

00:55:37.480 not on the

00:55:38.260 side of the

00:55:38.660 United States.

00:55:39.780 So you

00:55:40.300 can find out

00:55:40.900 who's on the

00:55:41.400 side of the

00:55:41.820 United States

00:55:42.520 this week.

00:55:43.520 If they

00:55:43.840 don't close

00:55:44.360 the fucking

00:55:44.800 border with

00:55:45.580 the military

00:55:46.260 with the

00:55:48.120 military

00:55:48.700 this week,

00:55:51.540 whoever's in

00:55:53.000 charge is not

00:55:53.600 on the side

00:55:54.040 of Americans.

00:55:56.180 You can say

00:55:57.020 that with

00:55:57.340 confidence.

00:55:59.020 America

00:55:59.540 wants that

00:56:00.780 border closed

00:56:01.700 tight as

00:56:02.840 hell because

00:56:04.400 we don't want

00:56:05.760 to turn into

00:56:06.380 what Israel's

00:56:07.700 experiencing right

00:56:08.620 now.

00:56:09.660 Don't let

00:56:10.440 anybody tell

00:56:11.320 you that's a

00:56:12.120 question that we

00:56:12.820 don't know the

00:56:13.280 answer to because

00:56:13.980 it doesn't

00:56:14.660 matter.

00:56:16.120 You act

00:56:16.520 exactly the

00:56:17.400 same if

00:56:18.420 you're smart.

00:56:19.620 Otherwise,

00:56:20.360 and by the

00:56:21.500 way, if

00:56:22.340 Biden doesn't

00:56:23.820 close the

00:56:24.360 border like

00:56:26.000 right away,

00:56:26.720 like this

00:56:27.220 week, that

00:56:28.320 has to be

00:56:28.920 grounds for

00:56:29.540 removal.

00:56:31.600 Am I

00:56:32.220 wrong?

00:56:32.840 Because to me

00:56:33.600 that would be

00:56:34.000 abandonment of

00:56:34.760 the job.

00:56:35.840 Now I don't

00:56:36.340 think abandonment

00:56:37.080 of the job is

00:56:37.700 technically a

00:56:38.820 reason for

00:56:39.400 expulsion, but

00:56:41.980 it should be.

00:56:43.860 Yeah, I

00:56:44.300 would, you

00:56:46.100 know, you

00:56:46.380 could take

00:56:46.960 him out on

00:56:47.500 what, you

00:56:48.980 know, of

00:56:49.220 course we

00:56:49.520 don't want

00:56:50.000 Kamala.

00:56:50.800 You'd have to

00:56:51.480 get rid of

00:56:51.960 Kamala at the

00:56:52.460 same time, I

00:56:52.940 think.

00:56:53.620 You'd have to

00:56:54.180 impeach them

00:56:54.620 both.

00:56:57.040 I don't know,

00:56:57.580 that's probably

00:56:57.940 not possible.

00:57:00.320 But anyway,

00:57:01.380 what we're

00:57:02.580 seeing is a

00:57:04.240 preview of

00:57:04.880 America.

00:57:06.520 If I could

00:57:07.200 say there was

00:57:07.900 one sort of

00:57:08.900 base problem

00:57:09.800 that caused 0.77

00:57:10.960 Israel to

00:57:11.600 have this

00:57:11.940 war, the

00:57:13.060 base problem

00:57:13.820 is the

00:57:15.000 software of

00:57:16.860 the human

00:57:17.300 beings.

00:57:18.520 In other

00:57:18.800 words, their

00:57:19.280 brains.

00:57:20.680 Nobody's

00:57:21.180 fighting for

00:57:21.960 an asset

00:57:22.720 per se.

00:57:23.620 I mean, you

00:57:23.940 could argue

00:57:24.480 they're fighting

00:57:25.220 to control

00:57:25.820 Israel, but 0.90

00:57:26.580 it doesn't

00:57:27.040 look like

00:57:27.340 that's going

00:57:27.700 to happen.

00:57:28.800 So it's

00:57:29.900 more like,

00:57:30.440 yeah, the

00:57:30.760 wetware, the

00:57:31.640 programming in

00:57:32.680 their brains

00:57:33.120 is broken.

00:57:34.220 Now, are we

00:57:34.840 doing anything

00:57:35.300 like that in

00:57:35.980 the United

00:57:36.340 States that

00:57:37.560 would give

00:57:37.900 us a similar

00:57:38.560 outcome?

00:57:39.020 And the

00:57:39.940 answer is

00:57:40.260 yes, and

00:57:41.320 we're doing

00:57:41.640 it aggressively.

00:57:42.500 We are

00:57:43.180 aggressively

00:57:43.860 running in

00:57:44.660 the same

00:57:45.040 direction as

00:57:46.060 Israel, but 0.90

00:57:47.900 we're doing

00:57:48.400 it by

00:57:49.440 training our

00:57:50.200 own population

00:57:51.180 to be

00:57:54.440 warlike

00:57:55.100 against the

00:57:55.640 rest of the

00:57:56.000 population.

00:57:57.420 So CRT

00:57:58.220 and DEI

00:57:59.760 and ESG

00:58:01.180 all have the

00:58:01.780 same quality

00:58:02.420 that it

00:58:03.700 says one

00:58:04.660 group is

00:58:05.200 oppressing

00:58:05.600 you.

00:58:06.340 Does that

00:58:06.680 sound familiar?

00:58:08.060 And there's

00:58:08.440 one group

00:58:08.840 that is

00:58:09.240 oppressed

00:58:09.660 and the

00:58:11.020 only way

00:58:11.380 to fix

00:58:11.740 it is

00:58:12.520 for the

00:58:12.800 oppressed

00:58:13.160 people to

00:58:14.220 either kill

00:58:15.000 or take

00:58:15.980 the stuff

00:58:16.460 from the

00:58:17.580 oppressors.

00:58:19.040 So in

00:58:19.800 America, we're

00:58:20.480 creating a

00:58:21.160 Hamas-Israel

00:58:22.600 situation between

00:58:23.780 people of

00:58:24.900 color, mostly

00:58:25.540 black, and

00:58:27.020 other people.

00:58:29.000 Basically,

00:58:29.520 everybody who

00:58:30.020 isn't black.

00:58:31.820 Where will

00:58:32.500 that end

00:58:32.960 up?

00:58:34.700 You don't

00:58:35.340 have to

00:58:35.660 wonder.

00:58:36.640 You're

00:58:37.120 watching it on

00:58:37.780 television.

00:58:38.140 every time

00:58:40.000 you see

00:58:40.560 somebody going

00:58:42.100 down the

00:58:42.480 street with

00:58:43.060 a gun,

00:58:44.140 wiping out

00:58:44.840 somebody on

00:58:45.400 the other

00:58:45.620 side and

00:58:46.920 killing them, 0.86

00:58:47.960 why is it

00:58:48.560 that they

00:58:48.860 can do it

00:58:49.340 so easily?

00:58:50.740 They can

00:58:51.460 do it so

00:58:51.960 easily because

00:58:53.420 the value of

00:58:55.100 human life has

00:58:55.940 been diminished

00:58:56.860 by their

00:58:57.360 propaganda.

00:58:57.840 them.

00:58:58.420 So when the

00:58:59.660 Hamas fighters

00:59:01.220 see this

00:59:02.340 family of

00:59:03.360 Israelis,

00:59:04.300 they're not

00:59:05.260 saying to

00:59:05.720 themselves,

00:59:06.240 oh, mom

00:59:06.920 and dad and

00:59:08.040 loving children.

00:59:09.340 They're seeing

00:59:10.340 some view that

00:59:12.040 has been given

00:59:12.540 to them through

00:59:13.080 brainwashing that

00:59:14.520 they're less

00:59:15.120 than people.

00:59:16.760 They're less

00:59:17.240 than people.

00:59:18.660 Now, watch

00:59:20.120 the videos on

00:59:21.040 social media of

00:59:23.080 groups of people

00:59:23.900 beating up,

00:59:25.220 often, just

00:59:25.860 one person.

00:59:27.340 What do you

00:59:27.980 notice about

00:59:28.500 that?

00:59:30.460 Tucker Carlson

00:59:31.240 got in a lot

00:59:31.860 of trouble

00:59:32.240 because he once

00:59:33.400 said, and this

00:59:34.400 is terrible,

00:59:35.080 it sounds like

00:59:35.580 the most racist

00:59:36.220 thing, he was

00:59:38.000 talking about all

00:59:38.520 the videos of

00:59:39.540 usually black

00:59:41.400 people beating

00:59:41.920 up white people.

00:59:43.140 And he said

00:59:43.980 that white people 0.52

00:59:44.720 don't fight like

00:59:45.500 that.

00:59:47.280 Pretty racist.

00:59:48.760 If you make a

00:59:49.580 statement that

00:59:50.240 white people are 0.70

00:59:52.500 better than black 1.00

00:59:53.160 people, that's

00:59:53.740 clearly a racist

00:59:54.740 sounding statement.

00:59:55.860 Would you agree?

00:59:57.380 Racist?

00:59:59.580 Well, here's the

01:00:01.280 way I interpreted

01:00:02.020 it, which was

01:00:03.140 different than the

01:00:03.920 way other people

01:00:04.460 interpreted it.

01:00:05.480 I interpreted it

01:00:06.840 that he was

01:00:07.820 saying that from

01:00:09.400 a cultural

01:00:10.120 perspective, which

01:00:11.440 has nothing to do

01:00:12.200 with your DNA,

01:00:14.440 white people are 0.70

01:00:15.580 not taught that

01:00:17.700 hurting black 1.00

01:00:18.760 people for sport

01:00:20.000 is entertaining.

01:00:22.340 I don't know

01:00:23.180 anybody who

01:00:23.680 thinks that.

01:00:24.540 I've never seen

01:00:25.220 it.

01:00:25.860 In fact, if

01:00:26.700 you put, let's

01:00:28.260 say, five

01:00:29.300 white people

01:00:31.480 were trying to

01:00:32.180 beat up a

01:00:32.880 black person

01:00:33.460 for fun, I

01:00:35.920 think most

01:00:36.400 white people

01:00:36.880 would try to

01:00:37.320 stop it

01:00:37.680 immediately.

01:00:39.060 Because it

01:00:39.640 would look like

01:00:40.220 just the worst

01:00:40.860 thing ever in

01:00:42.180 our heads.

01:00:43.440 So, when

01:00:45.240 Tucker says

01:00:46.020 white people

01:00:46.900 don't fight like

01:00:47.580 that, he's not

01:00:48.160 talking about

01:00:48.660 anybody's genes.

01:00:50.100 He's not even

01:00:51.040 really talking about

01:00:51.800 culture.

01:00:52.180 he's talking

01:00:53.420 about a

01:00:53.920 training that

01:00:54.700 has been

01:00:55.060 presented to

01:00:55.680 all of us,

01:00:56.840 black and

01:00:57.500 white, that

01:00:58.680 the white

01:00:59.040 people are

01:00:59.600 oppressors, the

01:01:01.140 black people are

01:01:01.880 oppressed, and

01:01:03.200 when you see

01:01:03.920 oppressors

01:01:05.160 oppressing people,

01:01:06.840 you go,

01:01:07.200 oh, I hate

01:01:08.620 those oppressors.

01:01:09.480 But when you

01:01:10.860 see the people

01:01:11.460 who are being

01:01:11.940 oppressed, fighting

01:01:13.900 back against

01:01:14.580 their oppressors,

01:01:15.260 even violently,

01:01:16.540 you say to

01:01:17.320 yourself, I

01:01:19.100 guess they had

01:01:20.400 it coming.

01:01:21.500 Have you seen

01:01:22.200 the video of

01:01:22.900 all the Hamas 0.99

01:01:24.120 supporters celebrating

01:01:25.900 the violence?

01:01:27.760 You've seen

01:01:28.220 that, right?

01:01:29.600 Now, from their

01:01:30.700 perspective, they

01:01:32.120 feel that they

01:01:32.740 are the victims,

01:01:34.380 and when the

01:01:35.300 victims get one

01:01:36.780 up on the

01:01:37.440 oppressors, they

01:01:38.620 celebrate.

01:01:39.480 Even though it's

01:01:40.520 violence, people

01:01:42.380 celebrate violence

01:01:43.580 as long as it's

01:01:44.780 against oppressors.

01:01:45.940 We do it, too.

01:01:46.780 I'm not better

01:01:47.320 than that.

01:01:48.280 If I heard that

01:01:49.200 there's some

01:01:49.600 serial killer that

01:01:51.440 got just totally

01:01:52.680 destroyed by

01:01:53.600 police, I don't

01:01:55.280 say, oh, the

01:01:56.600 humanity of that

01:01:57.540 killer.

01:01:58.320 I say, good.

01:01:59.780 I kind of

01:02:00.560 actually got some

01:02:01.320 dopamine from

01:02:02.020 that story.

01:02:03.420 That, okay, when

01:02:04.960 I see the bad

01:02:05.600 guy is getting

01:02:06.200 it, I feel a

01:02:07.480 little charge of

01:02:08.040 excitement.

01:02:08.380 So, in the

01:02:09.980 United States, we've

01:02:10.800 created a series

01:02:12.660 of systems to

01:02:14.760 guarantee that

01:02:16.580 one group will

01:02:17.440 feel comfortable

01:02:18.280 abusing another

01:02:20.260 group, and that

01:02:21.840 the people who

01:02:22.320 watch the videos

01:02:23.060 of it will

01:02:24.100 cheer it on, or

01:02:25.200 at least not be

01:02:26.340 too offended by

01:02:27.040 it.

01:02:28.080 So, we've

01:02:28.940 created a situation

01:02:29.760 that guarantees

01:02:30.640 America goes in 0.93

01:02:31.680 the same direction

01:02:32.400 as Israel.

01:02:33.560 but we're doing

01:02:35.520 it with groups

01:02:36.400 within the

01:02:36.920 country as

01:02:37.480 opposed to

01:02:38.280 something, a

01:02:39.480 somewhat separate

01:02:40.140 group like

01:02:40.700 Gaza.

01:02:43.400 Does this wake

01:02:44.520 up anybody?

01:02:45.520 Does it wake

01:02:46.140 you up at all?

01:02:47.420 Now, you can

01:02:48.220 see why I thought

01:02:48.940 this was worth

01:02:49.560 getting canceled.

01:02:51.440 Do you see it

01:02:52.160 now?

01:02:53.360 When I put my

01:02:54.420 entire life on

01:02:55.360 the line, and I

01:02:56.200 knew I was doing

01:02:56.840 it, obviously.

01:02:57.640 I mean, I didn't

01:02:58.020 think it would be as

01:02:58.880 fast as it happened,

01:02:59.760 but I knew it

01:03:00.140 would happen.

01:03:00.440 It's because of

01:03:02.760 this, that we're

01:03:04.560 actually creating a

01:03:05.600 Gaza in the

01:03:06.500 United States, and

01:03:09.080 I can't stand for

01:03:09.940 it.

01:03:11.560 And what am I

01:03:12.460 willing to do to

01:03:13.420 make sure that you

01:03:15.000 know it's happening

01:03:15.700 so maybe you could

01:03:16.520 do something

01:03:16.940 differently?

01:03:18.460 I gave away

01:03:19.240 everything.

01:03:20.360 I gave away

01:03:20.900 everything.

01:03:21.900 So that's how

01:03:22.360 important I think

01:03:22.960 it is.

01:03:24.120 And by the way,

01:03:25.460 if you think you

01:03:26.300 can ignore me,

01:03:28.380 good luck.

01:03:30.440 And that,

01:03:32.840 ladies and 0.98

01:03:33.140 gentlemen, is my

01:03:33.800 show for today.

01:03:34.640 Thanks for

01:03:34.980 joining on the

01:03:35.780 three platforms.

01:03:39.400 I'll talk to

01:03:40.120 you tomorrow.

01:03:41.920 Hope you like the

01:03:42.460 camera.

01:03:42.800 It's a new

01:03:43.100 camera.

01:03:43.300 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 09, 2023

Episode 2256 Scott Adams： Coffee With Scott

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