Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 10, 2023


Episode 2257 Scott Adams： Coffee With Scott 10⧸10⧸23


Episode Stats


Length

1 hour and 3 minutes

Words per minute

144.63115

Word count

9,135

Sentence count

728

Harmful content

Misogyny

10

sentences flagged

Toxicity

59

sentences flagged

Hate speech

37

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Trump's speech was the best I've ever seen a politician do for an extended speech, and Biden is at his lowest point as an adult in public speaking. It's a match-up you don't want to miss.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 do the two good morning everybody and welcome to the upgraded technologically improved version of
00:00:17.700 coffee with Scott Adams the best thing you've ever seen in your entire life I'd like to take
00:00:21.780 it up to another level wouldn't you I know you would all you need is a cup or mug or a glass
00:00:28.900 Attack your jealous, just die in a canteen, jug, or flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:34.020 Yes, at the moment, we're being held together by duct tape, literally. 0.99
00:00:38.760 But enough about that.
00:00:41.400 It's time now for the simultaneous sip.
00:00:43.640 Please join me.
00:00:44.820 It happens.
00:00:46.000 Now, go.
00:00:51.560 Oh, that's a nice mug you got there.
00:00:55.020 Ah, that's good.
00:00:56.040 Ah, VHS quality?
00:00:59.420 Are you kidding me?
00:01:00.900 This is the highest quality this show has ever been.
00:01:04.100 Got a new camera over here.
00:01:07.040 I can center myself a little bit better.
00:01:09.900 No, I can't because it's duct tape now.
00:01:14.540 All right, let's talk about all the things.
00:01:16.660 Yes, we will talk about Israel, but maybe not right first.
00:01:22.420 Let me warm you up a little bit before we get into the heavy stuff, okay?
00:01:25.380 All right.
00:01:26.040 Well, I don't know if you saw Trump give a speech yesterday or the day before, and I just got to tell you that I was worried that he was losing a step, and maybe he is, but he gave the best speech I've ever seen.
00:01:45.120 Actually, not just the best for Trump, but maybe just the best thing I've ever seen a politician do for an extended speech.
00:01:55.040 Now, there are lots of speeches where somebody has, like, a good line, you know, Martin Luther King, you know, JFK.
00:02:05.740 So they had a lot of memorable lines.
00:02:07.600 But I happened to turn on Trump at a rally.
00:02:11.600 Was it Foxborough or someplace?
00:02:14.020 I forget where it was.
00:02:15.320 Or maybe something you remind me.
00:02:18.400 It was where he was the other day.
00:02:20.060 And it was the most relaxed.
00:02:22.820 It was in New Hampshire, yes.
00:02:24.140 It was the most relaxed, capable speech I've ever seen anybody give in public.
00:02:29.540 He was funny from start to finish.
00:02:34.540 He failed every fact check.
00:02:38.560 The fact checkers would go crazy.
00:02:41.620 But I was especially paying attention to see if when he failed the fact checking, that, you know, even I could tell, if it was ever directionally untrue.
00:02:52.040 And it wasn't.
00:02:54.440 It wasn't.
00:02:56.040 It was hilariously.
00:03:00.500 I'm sorry.
00:03:01.240 Somebody said it wasn't streaming on Rumble.
00:03:06.240 Oh, that's interesting.
00:03:09.600 We got some kind of a message going on there.
00:03:14.500 Now I'm live.
00:03:16.120 I'm live on Rumble.
00:03:18.020 Don't worry about it.
00:03:19.300 Rumble's live.
00:03:19.900 Anyway, I thought the contrast was striking because Biden is decomposing to the point where you wonder if Biden can even stay, you know, upright through a speech.
00:03:33.300 So at the same time, Biden has reached his lowest lifetime capability in public speaking.
00:03:40.000 Would you agree that that's true?
00:03:42.020 That Biden today is at the lowest capability that he's probably ever been as an adult?
00:03:49.900 By contrast, and I didn't think this was going to be true.
00:03:54.160 So we'll see if this is a trend.
00:03:56.460 Trump's speech was the best he's ever given.
00:04:01.380 He's peaking while Joe Biden is close to death.
00:04:06.000 How in the world is this going to be a close election?
00:04:08.640 Except for, I know what your answer is going to be.
00:04:14.220 I know what your answer is going to be. 1.00
00:04:16.120 Shut up. 1.00
00:04:17.500 We all know what your answer is going to be. 1.00
00:04:19.800 Yes, you didn't have to put it in all capital letters.
00:04:23.060 All capital letters were not required.
00:04:27.580 All right.
00:04:28.140 So you should actually watch that.
00:04:32.480 I actually watched the whole speech for entertainment.
00:04:35.300 I had other things to do, but I couldn't think of anything more entertaining than watching the rest of his speech.
00:04:41.260 It had nothing to do with work or anything else.
00:04:44.120 It was just flat out entertaining.
00:04:46.160 Nobody can do that.
00:04:47.440 He's the only one who can do that.
00:04:48.520 The other thing I noticed is that Trump seems to, smartly, this would be the smartest thing he could do, it seems like he's dialed down the dangerous part a little bit.
00:05:02.920 You know, when you're first trying to make a name for yourself, you can be much more dangerous sounding because you don't have to necessarily execute on any things you say.
00:05:12.060 But I think now as an ex-president, he can run on what he did compared to what's happening now.
00:05:18.520 That's a pretty big contrast.
00:05:21.020 And he doesn't need to make you afraid or excite you.
00:05:25.700 So he's talking more matter-of-factly, sort of like a dad who's figured it out.
00:05:30.180 Oh, that's what it is.
00:05:31.480 That's his vibe.
00:05:33.320 His vibe is a dad who has it figured out, and he's not wondering what to do. 0.98
00:05:39.640 Like he knows what to do, and he's making jokes with you about why would you be dumb enough not to let him do it. 0.94
00:05:46.160 He knows how to solve all the problems. 0.92
00:05:48.520 So it's a really good vibe. 0.98
00:05:51.560 The relaxed dad is coming vibe rather than the scary I'm going to go, you know, kill all the people and drain the swamp.
00:05:59.340 That stuff's a little alarming to his non-followers.
00:06:03.860 So I think he's made a good adjustment there, but I don't know if it was temporary.
00:06:06.720 RFK Jr. announced his independent run.
00:06:11.640 Can we agree that he has the worst luck with timing of any politician in the history of politicians with timing?
00:06:21.420 He timed his announcement in the middle of the Israeli war.
00:06:24.720 I don't think there was any other news yesterday, was there?
00:06:32.720 Was there any other news?
00:06:35.360 He was the only other news, and he still couldn't get much coverage.
00:06:38.800 Well, I know what you're thinking.
00:06:43.860 You're thinking RFK Jr. is going to pull more votes away from Trump voters and make Trump not win.
00:06:52.580 Is that what you're thinking?
00:06:53.860 You might be right.
00:06:54.920 I'm waiting to see the poll results.
00:06:58.660 So I've decided to hold my opinion of who he would draw more from until you actually see.
00:07:05.760 I think we'll get a read on this pretty soon.
00:07:08.000 You know, I would imagine the polling companies are coming up with questions to suss out what it will look like.
00:07:14.620 But notably, Rob Reiner, who you would imagine is as left and Democrat as you could possibly be.
00:07:24.920 He actually, well, he tweeted this.
00:07:27.540 We don't know what he believes.
00:07:29.240 I'm not going to act like I know it's in his head.
00:07:31.420 I'll just tell you what he tweeted.
00:07:33.680 So Rob Reiner tweeted this.
00:07:35.040 Bobby Kennedy Jr.'s announcement to run as an independent is a dangerous and cynical move by wealthy Republicans to put Trump back in the White House.
00:07:44.260 Huh.
00:07:45.500 Huh.
00:07:46.160 I talked with Bobby and told him that what he is doing could destroy American democracy.
00:07:52.720 He didn't care.
00:07:54.920 He didn't care.
00:07:57.600 I don't know.
00:07:58.080 I read it like that.
00:07:59.420 He didn't care.
00:08:00.940 He's a director.
00:08:02.220 So I feel like he would approve of me reading it with, you know, bringing my own skill to it.
00:08:11.480 He didn't care.
00:08:12.820 All right.
00:08:14.200 Here's what I want to tell you about Rob Reiner.
00:08:16.720 Number one, I don't think anybody knows less about the world or politics, or at least the way he demonstrated.
00:08:24.300 But I used to think that he just had something wrong with him or that he was politically brainwashed.
00:08:30.240 I don't know if any of those things are true, but I'll tell you what made me feel a lot better about his tweets.
00:08:38.240 Now, you cannot say meathead.
00:08:40.260 I will not allow it.
00:08:44.060 Only the NPCs will say meathead. 0.98
00:08:47.300 If you say meathead, I'm going to stop every single time and say, swimming is the best form of suicide.
00:08:55.300 Because it adds nothing also.
00:08:58.240 Yeah.
00:08:58.360 Anybody else?
00:09:03.340 Do we want to yell meathead?
00:09:06.400 Because swimming is really the best form of exercise.
00:09:12.520 I know it's fun.
00:09:15.060 You like to yell his TV name because it's so amusing.
00:09:21.060 Here's all I want to tell you.
00:09:22.120 When you look at Rob Reiner, if you think of him as performance art, which I do,
00:09:27.320 it's actually quite entertaining.
00:09:30.520 Because I don't think a serious person would write any of this.
00:09:34.740 Let me ask you.
00:09:36.360 What serious person would say in public that he doesn't think Bobby Kennedy Jr., wait,
00:09:46.860 believes in American democracy or cares about it?
00:09:51.460 All right.
00:09:52.420 That's not really an opinion of a normal person,
00:09:56.700 but it's also not the opinion of an insane person or a hypnotized or programmed person.
00:10:03.740 The only person who would say this is somebody who is performing.
00:10:09.740 Now, maybe I'm wrong.
00:10:13.080 All I'm saying is if you read it with the frame of mind that it's performance art,
00:10:18.560 it works perfectly.
00:10:19.800 Who in the world would say that Bobby Kennedy Jr. doesn't care about ruining democracy?
00:10:26.920 No troll would say that.
00:10:30.060 It's just not like even a thing.
00:10:32.560 You would have to say that if you did it for effect.
00:10:35.900 That's something you would have to say for the effect it would have on the listener.
00:10:39.320 Not because you believed that.
00:10:41.220 Nobody would believe that.
00:10:42.480 So the effect he's trying to get in his performance is for us to say,
00:10:49.040 my God, my God, how could anybody say that?
00:10:54.160 That a Kennedy who's done nothing but work that seems directly for the benefit of the public
00:11:00.160 and has this long legacy of, you know, of benefit to the country
00:11:05.880 and working for the benefit of the country,
00:11:07.680 that really that person, that person doesn't believe in democracy.
00:11:11.800 So once you see it as a performance, that doesn't bother you at all.
00:11:16.080 You go, oh, that was pretty clever how you said that to get people worked up.
00:11:19.920 So try it.
00:11:22.620 You'll like it.
00:11:26.900 Question we all have, or you should have, is what we're seeing happening in Israel.
00:11:33.640 Could some version of that happen in America?
00:11:37.140 Could the, you know, the attitudes and temperaments against each other turn into violence?
00:11:44.480 Well, I would say yes, because we're human beings and we're still part of history.
00:11:49.920 So history suggests that this stuff could happen pretty quickly and come out of almost nothing.
00:11:57.220 And I would suggest that we're seeing the first signs that I didn't realize that colleges
00:12:02.260 are teaching students that they're, that some of the people in the United States are colonizers.
00:12:09.760 And that when they use the word decolonization,
00:12:13.300 which apparently is now becoming popular in college curriculums,
00:12:17.500 here's what I see when somebody calls me a colonizer.
00:12:21.960 To me, that's the N word for white people. 0.80
00:12:25.180 If somebody calls you a colonizer, let's say you're a white person, 0.82
00:12:29.100 to me, that's just the N word. 0.95
00:12:31.380 And it's a call to violence.
00:12:33.320 I don't recommend violence. 0.98
00:12:35.280 But just as if you were, if you were black, 0.91
00:12:38.560 and somebody used the N word in front of you in a, let's say, non-ironic way, 0.89
00:12:42.560 your first impression would be violence.
00:12:46.200 And you know what?
00:12:47.700 I get that.
00:12:48.780 I don't recommend it.
00:12:50.120 Do not recommend violence.
00:12:52.180 But I get it.
00:12:53.680 Right?
00:12:54.000 If somebody uses the most insulting,
00:12:58.900 just the most insulting word,
00:13:01.940 we all have an immediate reaction to that.
00:13:04.480 If I hear somebody call me a colonizer, 1.00
00:13:06.940 I want to punch their fucking head off. 1.00
00:13:10.200 Because it's a call to violence against me. 1.00
00:13:13.640 And so my reaction to violence against me is violence.
00:13:16.480 I mean, immediately.
00:13:17.620 I don't recommend it,
00:13:18.800 and I'm not going to punch anybody's head off,
00:13:20.360 and you shouldn't either.
00:13:22.340 But I'm only describing the emotional reaction to it.
00:13:27.260 So you could use the word colonizer if you want to,
00:13:32.000 but you're going to get the effect of if you had called me the N word 0.59
00:13:36.580 and I were black. 0.78
00:13:38.660 That will be the outcome.
00:13:40.400 Can't guarantee what will happen.
00:13:42.360 I can make no promises about the outcome of that interaction.
00:13:47.240 But calling anybody a colonizer or calling for decolonization, 1.00
00:13:51.440 to me, is a call to kill white people. 1.00
00:13:55.020 Let me say it as directly as possible. 1.00
00:13:57.260 It's a call to kill white people. 1.00
00:14:00.440 Not right away, 1.00
00:14:02.260 because it's moving from sort of academic into the rest of the world. 0.99
00:14:06.100 But it's a clear indication that the direction is to murder white people. 0.98
00:14:11.620 So I do think that we'll, 0.97
00:14:13.240 I don't think that colleges will self-correct.
00:14:16.460 So we are creating a bunch of students 1.00
00:14:19.100 who are primed to murder white people. 1.00
00:14:22.380 So it'd be amazing if it doesn't happen. 1.00
00:14:24.960 I think it will happen.
00:14:25.780 I think there will be waves of murderous decolonizers in our future. 1.00
00:14:31.400 Maybe five to ten years from now.
00:14:35.940 Hamas has killed over a thousand people in Israel.
00:14:41.960 And of course,
00:14:44.060 there are lots of casualties on the other side as well in Gaza.
00:14:47.480 Huge number of casualties.
00:14:49.900 But less reported is that Hamas also murdered Harvard.
00:14:56.020 Do you remember Harvard?
00:14:57.200 When you were young,
00:14:59.980 didn't you think,
00:15:00.800 oh my God,
00:15:02.340 if somebody went to Harvard,
00:15:04.700 there's somebody you can respect.
00:15:07.240 Like there's somebody who's got a,
00:15:09.300 you know,
00:15:10.320 a really good mind.
00:15:12.140 Somebody who's paying attention to their work,
00:15:15.000 really trying to make a difference in the world,
00:15:16.660 probably.
00:15:17.820 That's something.
00:15:18.380 Well,
00:15:19.320 as of today,
00:15:20.300 notable Harvard alum are actually disavowing Harvard for being pro-Hamas.
00:15:29.440 Now,
00:15:30.340 I might be,
00:15:30.980 that might be hyperbole to say they're pro-Hamas,
00:15:34.220 but I've read the statements from some of the student groups,
00:15:37.620 and it looks pro-Hamas to me.
00:15:40.960 I mean,
00:15:41.200 I don't think that's too far,
00:15:43.260 but it might be a little too far.
00:15:46.940 So,
00:15:47.680 I say this without exaggeration.
00:15:51.620 If a young person,
00:15:53.380 and this would not apply to anybody above,
00:15:55.520 I don't know,
00:15:55.980 40 or something.
00:15:57.180 If you're above 40,
00:15:59.120 and you've got a Harvard degree,
00:16:00.900 I have a lot of respect for you.
00:16:02.660 Actually,
00:16:03.140 if you're above 35,
00:16:05.780 something like that,
00:16:06.520 I'm going to say,
00:16:08.160 wow,
00:16:08.740 you know,
00:16:09.060 you really accomplished something.
00:16:10.320 You got into a,
00:16:11.060 you know,
00:16:11.880 tough place,
00:16:12.740 and made something up yourself.
00:16:15.940 But today,
00:16:16.780 I wouldn't hire a young Harvard graduate, 1.00
00:16:19.640 would you?
00:16:20.700 How many of you would hire somebody who graduated from Harvard this year?
00:16:26.820 I mean,
00:16:27.400 I suppose you would treat them individually,
00:16:29.240 and you'd still interview them.
00:16:30.640 But,
00:16:31.220 if I got,
00:16:32.160 if I got even like a taste,
00:16:34.800 that they had bought into this,
00:16:36.520 cultural brainwashing,
00:16:39.100 not a chance.
00:16:40.580 You would not want to bring that into your company.
00:16:43.900 So,
00:16:44.380 the weird thing that happened is that Harvard decided to be really,
00:16:47.740 really open to,
00:16:49.880 you know,
00:16:50.120 to be as diverse as they could,
00:16:52.140 which is a good impulse.
00:16:53.680 I don't mind the diversity part.
00:16:55.820 I do think our institutions should have some representation that looks a little bit like the country.
00:17:01.340 So,
00:17:02.400 I don't,
00:17:02.640 I don't disagree with that.
00:17:04.320 But,
00:17:04.920 the ironic thing is that they opened,
00:17:07.340 they,
00:17:07.500 they had this huge valuable asset called Harvard,
00:17:10.300 and they opened it up to far more people who would not have had a chance to be there otherwise.
00:17:15.680 At the same time,
00:17:17.440 they ruined its reputation.
00:17:18.860 So,
00:17:20.420 there'll be all these people who was like,
00:17:21.780 yay,
00:17:22.080 I got into Harvard.
00:17:23.340 And then when they go for a job,
00:17:25.500 somebody's going to say,
00:17:26.600 really?
00:17:27.480 Harvard?
00:17:28.420 What year did you graduate?
00:17:30.660 2024?
00:17:32.100 Oh,
00:17:33.100 that's a problem.
00:17:35.860 Yeah,
00:17:36.300 now,
00:17:36.600 now maybe what will happen is that there will be like a band of 10 years,
00:17:40.860 where people will say,
00:17:42.600 you know,
00:17:42.900 I graduated Harvard,
00:17:44.020 and people say,
00:17:45.360 what year?
00:17:46.980 And it's going to make all the difference.
00:17:50.280 All right.
00:17:52.200 All right,
00:17:52.820 the big question in the news is,
00:17:54.460 was Iran directly or indirectly involved in the Hamas attack on Israel?
00:18:00.740 There's nobody who thinks they weren't,
00:18:03.620 right?
00:18:04.760 Don't we all just assume?
00:18:08.260 Like,
00:18:08.440 is that even a question?
00:18:10.020 Because at the very least,
00:18:12.700 Iran has been funding them and organizing them and encouraged them.
00:18:17.180 So,
00:18:17.460 whether they had a meeting about this specific event is a little less important.
00:18:23.540 But for galvanizing public opinion,
00:18:26.940 wouldn't it be nice if there was a specific meeting that you could point to?
00:18:32.460 Right?
00:18:33.540 It's one thing to say,
00:18:34.860 oh,
00:18:35.260 Iran backs them. 0.87
00:18:36.500 But that's not really even close to saying they had a specific meeting in which the Iranian officials greenlighted the operation.
00:18:48.220 Those really feel different.
00:18:50.920 Now,
00:18:51.100 remember,
00:18:51.600 in the fog of war,
00:18:53.540 you should assume that all the news is fake.
00:18:56.340 Some of it won't be.
00:18:58.240 But if you want to be right 90% of the time,
00:19:01.380 just assume everything's fake.
00:19:03.400 So we heard from one news outlet that they have some secret source that apparently the government of the United States does not have.
00:19:14.040 Because the government of the United States is not confirming that there was any meeting that they know of.
00:19:19.760 But it's being reported in the press.
00:19:22.000 Does that sound like a legitimate story to you?
00:19:24.180 Do you think that our intelligence people dropped the ball and they didn't realize that they need to make a more direct connection to Iran?
00:19:33.540 No,
00:19:34.340 no,
00:19:35.300 the story is obviously fake.
00:19:37.800 To me,
00:19:38.460 it's obviously fake.
00:19:39.860 Now,
00:19:40.480 here's what,
00:19:41.360 here's what I'm saying and what I'm not saying.
00:19:44.040 I'm not saying Iran was uninvolved.
00:19:47.640 I'm sure they were.
00:19:49.200 And I'm not saying there was no meeting.
00:19:52.380 Let's see.
00:19:53.220 I'll say that without a double negative.
00:19:55.280 There might have been a meeting in which it was greenlighted.
00:19:58.600 But do you believe that there's a news organization who had knowledge about a specific meeting in a specific time in a specific place? 0.99
00:20:08.960 I'm going to say bullshit. 0.99
00:20:12.880 That's the sort of story you want the public to think is true because it's actually closer to the truth than whatever you had in your head. 0.99
00:20:21.940 But whether or not there was a specific meeting at a specific time in a specific place doesn't really matter.
00:20:30.400 It doesn't matter at all.
00:20:32.340 But how would it,
00:20:33.480 how would you feel about it if you thought it were true?
00:20:37.760 The way you'd feel about it is you'd say,
00:20:40.420 oh,
00:20:40.880 we've got to directly do something against Iran.
00:20:43.600 But if it was more just background,
00:20:46.500 well,
00:20:46.840 they always support them and always have,
00:20:49.200 you know,
00:20:49.360 their money is going there.
00:20:50.980 You'd say to yourself,
00:20:52.080 ah,
00:20:52.820 I really hate that they're funding them,
00:20:55.680 but I guess we'll just keep going on the way we are.
00:20:59.600 What are you going to do?
00:21:01.200 What are you going to do?
00:21:03.020 So to me,
00:21:03.940 that looks like an op.
00:21:05.060 I don't believe that that's true,
00:21:06.760 but it's also entirely true that the United States government would intentionally be lying of it.
00:21:12.640 so that there were not greater calls for war.
00:21:16.260 It could suggest that the military industrial complex and the intelligence services are not on the same page as Biden,
00:21:25.420 which would not be too surprising,
00:21:27.580 would it?
00:21:28.500 Would you be surprised if you found out the intelligence people disagreed with the administration?
00:21:33.340 I wouldn't be too surprised because the intelligence people tend to stay there.
00:21:38.100 Well,
00:21:38.680 the government's changed from Republican to Democrat.
00:21:41.020 At some point,
00:21:42.480 you'd imagine that there would be disagreement between intelligence and the government.
00:21:48.640 So that's what it looks like.
00:21:50.340 But none of that should matter.
00:21:52.440 The least important question should be,
00:21:55.920 was Iran involved?
00:21:57.320 Of course they were.
00:21:58.720 Like,
00:21:58.980 why are we even talking about it?
00:22:00.640 Of course they were.
00:22:01.900 Well,
00:22:02.100 I don't know about that specific meeting.
00:22:03.580 All right.
00:22:06.780 What about fungibility?
00:22:11.720 Are you sick of hearing the word fungible?
00:22:15.180 By the way,
00:22:16.000 I've never heard the word fungible so much.
00:22:19.000 I feel like I caused it.
00:22:21.980 I know I didn't,
00:22:23.320 but it's like just an illusion.
00:22:25.500 Because,
00:22:26.220 you know,
00:22:26.560 I'm always one of the first people to say fungible.
00:22:29.520 Because if you're an economics major,
00:22:31.480 it's just one of those words you like to show off with.
00:22:34.040 Oh,
00:22:34.680 did you know?
00:22:36.980 I don't know if the zeitgeist has picked this up yet,
00:22:40.060 but in my eponymous book,
00:22:43.140 I do talk about the fungibility of oil and cash.
00:22:47.560 Yeah.
00:22:47.720 So it's one of those douchebag words people like to pull out. 0.81
00:22:50.120 But since I'm usually one of the first douchebags, 0.88
00:22:54.040 I thought, 0.65
00:22:54.400 God,
00:22:54.600 there's a lot of people saying fungible that didn't used to say that because
00:22:58.260 the public doesn't know what it means.
00:23:00.920 But does that matter?
00:23:04.380 Does it matter if Iran used the 6 billion that was allegedly released?
00:23:12.200 It doesn't matter at all.
00:23:14.720 Yeah.
00:23:14.860 Do you think they wouldn't have done this except for that money that they have
00:23:19.760 spent zero of?
00:23:21.940 Now, 1.00
00:23:22.640 the Democrat argument is just so stupid. 1.00
00:23:27.700 They try to ignore fungibility as like a concept and just say that specific 1.00
00:23:33.420 money,
00:23:34.560 the specific $6 billion is still in the accounts and can only be used for specific
00:23:41.020 things.
00:23:42.060 And none of that money has actually been spent.
00:23:44.720 So therefore it had nothing to do with it.
00:23:47.700 And then the Democrats,
00:23:48.520 then the Republicans say,
00:23:49.760 but if they knew that money was coming for things,
00:23:55.920 they were going to spend their money on.
00:23:57.540 Otherwise,
00:23:58.780 didn't that free up the same amount of money conceptually that at least budget
00:24:03.120 wise,
00:24:03.980 they would say to themselves,
00:24:05.000 well,
00:24:05.180 we don't need to save money for the use of humanitarian things because
00:24:08.540 that's being taken care of.
00:24:11.300 And then do you know how the Democrats respond to that criticism?
00:24:16.340 I've seen it a million times.
00:24:17.800 If you watch the news,
00:24:18.760 you'll see it over and over again.
00:24:20.180 How did,
00:24:20.500 how did the Democrats respond when you tell them that money is fungible?
00:24:26.200 I'll tell you how.
00:24:28.180 And let's see,
00:24:29.100 moving on to the next question.
00:24:31.580 That's how.
00:24:32.120 I've never seen a Democrat have to answer the question.
00:24:37.520 Why do you think money can only be spent for one thing?
00:24:40.780 You know,
00:24:41.100 you don't think people can adjust even mentally their budget.
00:24:44.280 I just want to see,
00:24:45.460 you know,
00:24:45.960 Jessica Tarlov on the five.
00:24:48.620 Just answer that question.
00:24:50.840 Jessica,
00:24:51.380 do you understand how money works?
00:24:53.940 Like,
00:24:54.680 you know,
00:24:55.120 the,
00:24:55.320 the dollar bills in my pocket,
00:24:56.840 you understand they're just as good as the dollar bills in your pocket,
00:24:59.700 right?
00:25:00.780 Same thing.
00:25:01.580 Money.
00:25:02.180 Sponsible.
00:25:03.280 Anyway,
00:25:03.680 I don't think the $6 billion argument has any bearing on anything.
00:25:09.720 Completely irrelevant.
00:25:10.560 So the two things we'll talk about the most are the two least important things to know the answer to.
00:25:17.680 Yeah.
00:25:18.000 Did the $6 billion make it make a difference?
00:25:20.540 It didn't.
00:25:22.220 Yeah.
00:25:22.780 Maybe it gave them more money,
00:25:24.060 but no,
00:25:25.740 if they were going to do this,
00:25:26.920 they were going to do this.
00:25:29.160 It's possible.
00:25:30.620 They waited until they got to 6 billion or thought they,
00:25:35.600 but they don't even have it yet.
00:25:37.060 We can still pull it back.
00:25:38.300 They still don't have control over it.
00:25:41.060 The,
00:25:41.420 I guess the U S or somebody still has control over it.
00:25:45.940 Anyway,
00:25:46.580 so don't,
00:25:47.220 don't think that the,
00:25:48.760 is the Rand involved?
00:25:49.860 Of course they are.
00:25:50.620 And is money fungible?
00:25:52.060 Of course it is.
00:25:52.780 Those are not real arguments.
00:25:54.320 Those are just TV arguments because they don't have enough footage of the actual damage happening right now.
00:26:00.820 Now,
00:26:01.240 here's the other thing you're not hearing on the news.
00:26:06.060 Why are we still talking about,
00:26:08.300 the Israeli army going door to door and having heavy losses when Israel calls it a siege?
00:26:17.040 Why don't we just listen to what they called it?
00:26:19.700 They called it a siege.
00:26:21.060 And they're letting people out who are non-combatants.
00:26:27.240 So now I don't know if those people feel free to leave,
00:26:30.840 but that really wouldn't be Israel's problem.
00:26:33.720 They have their own problems to deal with.
00:26:35.260 If,
00:26:36.000 if Hamas wants to start killing its own people to prevent them from leaving so they can use them as human shields, 0.90
00:26:42.320 that's just the way it has to go.
00:26:43.940 But I would imagine that Israel will now starve out the population to force them to move toward food and water. 0.97
00:26:53.100 Now,
00:26:54.720 I was corrected on social media when I suggested that encouraging people to move toward the food and the water is the same as killing them all.
00:27:07.240 That it's all genocide. 0.51
00:27:09.300 I'm not sure that's the same.
00:27:10.840 I feel like moving people toward food and water and safety is a little bit better than murdering them.
00:27:21.580 Neither one are good.
00:27:23.300 So for the NPCs watching,
00:27:25.820 yes,
00:27:26.160 I know it would be an amazing hardship that I can't even imagine on the Gaza residents who are non-combatants. 0.99
00:27:33.720 I think the tragedy will be incredible.
00:27:39.860 It's also true that they had a non-viable society that was supported only by donations.
00:27:47.340 If you live in a non-viable society that's supported only by donations,
00:27:53.100 something's going to happen and it's not going to be good.
00:27:57.200 So in no special order,
00:28:00.400 here's another argument that's pissing me off.
00:28:03.720 I support Israel and the right to defend themselves.
00:28:07.500 I've always been pro-Israel. 1.00
00:28:10.220 But there are some arguments that just piss me off because they're just too stupid. 0.99
00:28:15.720 And one of them is that Israel's the good guy because they allowed 18,000 workers from Gaza on a daily basis to come in and work in Israel. 0.99
00:28:27.240 18,000 out of a million adults when they have a 70%
00:28:33.720 70% unemployment rate.
00:28:37.540 If you thought 18,000 was a big number,
00:28:40.720 it's not really a big number when the only jobs that they have are on the other side of their own border.
00:28:46.720 So that's a small number.
00:28:49.040 But I will say that it's not nothing, right?
00:28:51.860 Letting 18,000 people a day, not knowing exactly if any of them could be dangerous,
00:28:57.940 it's probably a little risky, but I imagine they go through some heavy vetting before they do it.
00:29:02.420 But 18,000 people, it's not nothing, but it's not a lot.
00:29:08.000 So don't imagine that that's like any big gift because it's not.
00:29:14.240 Now, what about the question about the hardship that the Israelis have imposed on Gaza?
00:29:21.580 Because that would be the argument on the other side.
00:29:25.180 Well, here's the thing.
00:29:26.320 As long as Hamas wants to hide among them and has their support, apparently, to do it, 0.84
00:29:36.980 Israel doesn't owe them anything because it's not their job to sort out the bad guys 0.93
00:29:42.680 from the good guys in their population.
00:29:44.520 It's sort of the population's job.
00:29:46.740 And unfortunately, nobody can help, especially if they're hypnotized
00:29:51.760 into thinking that they should be on their side, or if they're threatened, I suppose.
00:29:56.140 But Israel can't do anything about that.
00:29:58.960 Israel just has to protect itself, as everyone does.
00:30:03.700 All right.
00:30:06.100 I saw a report that you should not believe that,
00:30:10.820 because it was on a non-credible source, but people are tweeting it around.
00:30:15.540 They're reporting that Israel is using some kind of phosphorus bombs
00:30:19.540 in residential neighborhoods.
00:30:21.760 No, I'm sorry.
00:30:26.720 That is just so on the nose.
00:30:29.800 Like, it's exactly what you were expecting to see.
00:30:32.300 A report of Israel using illegal munitions. 0.98
00:30:37.140 Why the fuck would Israel use illegal munitions in this fight? 0.97
00:30:43.680 I mean, it's so impossible to believe. 0.98
00:30:47.180 Now, if Israel had an unorganized military where they couldn't guarantee that there was control
00:30:54.380 of all the units, well, maybe anything could happen.
00:30:57.740 But that's not Israel.
00:30:58.800 They do have good command and control.
00:31:01.220 If you have command and control, and you're fighting not only for your survival,
00:31:05.760 but for the hearts and minds, you're not going to use even one illegal munition if you have it.
00:31:13.860 I mean, I'm guessing every military has some bad stuff they don't use.
00:31:18.040 But it's the least believable thing you're going to see today.
00:31:23.200 And they show a neighborhood that shows no people and could have been anywhere.
00:31:28.020 And it shows some, like, white powder drifting up or something.
00:31:32.160 Don't believe that one.
00:31:33.840 All right.
00:31:34.400 If you had to bet on that one, you should bet against that one being real.
00:31:38.840 Like 99 to 1.
00:31:40.320 All right.
00:31:45.960 So as I'm trying to get a feel for how people are thinking about the war in Israel,
00:31:55.220 I look to see how many things get retweeted and how much.
00:31:59.860 So if I tweet something that gets a lot of retweets, I say to myself,
00:32:03.820 oh, I must have said something that other people were thinking too.
00:32:07.380 But I guess I said it well.
00:32:10.140 So along those lines, when I did my thread on what it looks like is happening
00:32:16.340 or why Hamas is doing it, it's already over 8 million views.
00:32:21.660 Now, if you don't use the X profile or the X platform,
00:32:26.080 I will tell you the 8 million views on one of my tweets.
00:32:30.060 I only have a million viewers.
00:32:32.020 But typically, I would get 20,000.
00:32:35.740 A really good post of mine might get a quarter million.
00:32:43.940 Like that's really if I'm killing it.
00:32:45.980 Getting a million is pretty rare.
00:32:48.740 A million views.
00:32:50.120 But 8 million and growing is crazy.
00:32:54.740 So that means people didn't just agree.
00:32:56.760 They like really agree.
00:32:59.280 And one of the things I have to correct, I have a correction.
00:33:05.420 Correction.
00:33:06.600 I gave you some incorrect news, some fake news yesterday.
00:33:09.820 I told you that Saudi Arabia had already broken off discussions
00:33:15.700 of normalizing relationships, relations with Israel,
00:33:19.700 which was reported, not reported.
00:33:23.020 It was on social media, but not true.
00:33:25.860 Not true.
00:33:27.200 They might be suspended.
00:33:29.560 Right.
00:33:29.940 But suspended means, you know, delayed.
00:33:32.500 Anything could happen.
00:33:33.540 However, so I'm acknowledging my fake news there.
00:33:40.940 However, it does put Saudi Arabia in the narrative saddle.
00:33:48.500 Here's what I mean.
00:33:49.920 If Saudi Arabia waits a little while, and then they say,
00:33:53.680 you know what? 1.00
00:33:55.040 Israel, you bastards, we can never do business with you. 1.00
00:33:58.360 It's canceled forever. 1.00
00:33:59.400 However, that changes the narrative to maybe Hamas had a point.
00:34:06.420 Right.
00:34:07.500 That's a big, big problem to the hearts and minds.
00:34:13.620 But suppose the opposite.
00:34:16.240 And this might be the only time the opposite is actually a possibility.
00:34:20.520 Suppose the crown prince, who has so far shown himself
00:34:25.780 to be the ultimate practical leader,
00:34:28.060 meaning he'll do some bad stuff if he thinks he needs to do.
00:34:32.500 He'll do some good stuff if he thinks he needs to.
00:34:35.900 And he seems like a dealmaker.
00:34:39.000 I said that before the Abraham Accords, 0.98
00:34:42.300 that there was this weird situation where Trump, Netanyahu,
00:34:45.400 and MBS, the crown prince,
00:34:48.060 they were all dealmakers.
00:34:50.360 You know, by their nature, their personalities,
00:34:52.600 they like to make deals.
00:34:53.680 And so I wasn't surprised when the Abraham Accords happened 1.00
00:34:58.440 because it was dealmakers.
00:34:59.900 But he's still a dealmaker.
00:35:02.280 Netanyahu, still a dealmaker.
00:35:04.980 Biden's in charge.
00:35:06.140 So that takes away, you know,
00:35:07.960 the strongest dealmaker of the three potential.
00:35:11.080 However, imagine if you're MBS,
00:35:16.340 crown prince of Saudi Arabia,
00:35:18.160 and imagine what it would do to the hearts and minds of everybody
00:35:22.480 if after the waiting a few weeks to see, you know,
00:35:26.400 what atrocities pop up,
00:35:29.120 because there will be reports of atrocities.
00:35:31.680 There will be reports, true or not true,
00:35:34.400 of Israeli atrocities.
00:35:36.800 You know that, right?
00:35:37.580 You can guarantee there will be reports of atrocities.
00:35:41.900 Oh, I just told you one.
00:35:42.920 I mean, the alleged but almost certainly not true
00:35:46.300 use of illegal munitions.
00:35:49.380 That's a report of an atrocity.
00:35:51.680 Almost guaranteed to not be true.
00:35:53.960 But you're guaranteed to hear them.
00:35:56.100 So a guarantee that some of them,
00:35:58.360 if not most, would not be true.
00:36:00.240 But I always want to say that in war,
00:36:02.760 there's nobody who's completely good.
00:36:06.160 Right?
00:36:06.340 Well, once the soldiers have guns and the bullets start flying,
00:36:09.920 people can do anything.
00:36:11.420 So I don't know.
00:36:12.460 Maybe there would be an atrocity.
00:36:13.840 Anything could happen from individuals.
00:36:16.240 Obviously, the government's not going to sanction that.
00:36:18.920 But anything could happen.
00:36:21.720 But just assume that any reports you see are 99% unlikely to be true.
00:36:27.580 Anyway, so imagine if the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia said,
00:36:33.280 you know what?
00:36:35.040 I've watched how events have played out over the last month or so,
00:36:38.660 because this is going to last a long time.
00:36:40.900 I've watched how events have played out,
00:36:42.960 and I've decided I'm not going to pick a winner or a loser.
00:36:46.020 And I'm just going to go ahead and do this deal.
00:36:50.920 That would change everything.
00:36:53.620 It would just kneecap Hamas, 0.99
00:36:57.580 because it would kind of say,
00:37:00.600 they've gone too far.
00:37:03.160 Basically, it would just be saying,
00:37:04.540 I can't support them.
00:37:05.480 They've gone too far.
00:37:07.080 And that would probably be a huge positive in the region.
00:37:10.140 And it would isolate Iran.
00:37:12.720 All right.
00:37:15.380 Do you think that terrorists are coming through our borders right now,
00:37:20.260 and that it's inevitable we'll have some kind of mass event like this,
00:37:24.120 where multiple gunmen in multiple places attack at the same time?
00:37:31.500 Well, Elon Musk said, and I quote,
00:37:34.160 only a matter of time.
00:37:37.240 Because apparently dozens of known terrorists have gone through the border.
00:37:41.860 How do we know that?
00:37:43.920 How do we know that known terrorists went through the border?
00:37:47.300 Doesn't that mean there was some point where we were looking at their paperwork?
00:37:51.200 Like, what are the mechanics of that?
00:37:53.980 What's that look like?
00:37:55.020 It's like, all right, your name, all right.
00:37:58.620 It says known terrorists.
00:38:01.460 Known terrorists, why are you here?
00:38:04.060 Are you here for business?
00:38:05.000 No, no, I'm not going to do any terrorism.
00:38:08.640 I'm here to apply for asylum.
00:38:11.880 Because I think people are after me.
00:38:14.260 Yeah, yeah, they might be after you.
00:38:16.500 Because you're on the terrorist watch list.
00:38:18.860 I'm here for asylum.
00:38:21.180 I don't have any specific charges against you, but I do have this law that says I have to let you in.
00:38:31.120 Approved.
00:38:33.120 Walk right in, sir.
00:38:34.220 Is that what happened?
00:38:37.440 No, I don't think that happened.
00:38:39.780 But what actually did happen?
00:38:41.960 How in the world could we know that there are two dozen terrorists here?
00:38:46.640 How do we know it?
00:38:48.220 Unless we talked to them, interviewed them, took their picture, looked at their paperwork.
00:38:53.340 You had them sign something.
00:38:55.100 Are you a terrorist?
00:38:57.060 Well, yes, I am, sir.
00:38:59.460 Applying for asylum?
00:39:00.560 Yes, I am.
00:39:01.440 Go right in.
00:39:04.200 Well, here's my second question.
00:39:06.440 If there are two dozen known terrorists in the country, can't we find them in one day just by publishing their photos?
00:39:14.640 You just have to tell the public who they are.
00:39:21.280 If you think they're terrorists and they're here illegally, I'd like to know who they are. 1.00
00:39:27.240 I'd like to see a picture of their face.
00:39:29.840 Because if they live next to me, I might have to plan accordingly.
00:39:35.700 You know, at least move.
00:39:37.140 At the very least, let me move.
00:39:40.260 Right?
00:39:40.500 I don't have to take matters into my own hands, but I'd like to defend myself from the presumed terrorists.
00:39:50.900 All right.
00:39:52.460 I would agree that mass terrorist attacks in the United States are guaranteed at this point.
00:39:59.620 Guaranteed.
00:40:00.300 I agree with Elon on that.
00:40:02.540 The current system guarantees it.
00:40:05.840 You know, I often tell you that design is destiny.
00:40:08.620 Secondly, we're designed to attract attacks because the border's open.
00:40:15.700 That's the design.
00:40:17.380 So if you're predicting that it won't happen, you're not really looking at the design.
00:40:22.440 It's designed to happen.
00:40:23.900 It's guaranteed.
00:40:25.400 It's built right into the engineering of our country right now.
00:40:29.920 All right.
00:40:31.840 Here's a question.
00:40:32.800 What if men were in charge of the country? 0.81
00:40:37.380 Do you think the border would be open if men were in charge? 0.98
00:40:40.980 Now, I'm not suggesting this.
00:40:42.600 It's not a practical idea.
00:40:44.740 But what if women just couldn't vote? 1.00
00:40:49.340 The border would be closed, wouldn't it?
00:40:52.740 Do you know why?
00:40:53.640 In my entire life, I've never met a man who would put up with an open border and lawlessness
00:41:01.820 pouring in.
00:41:03.320 I've never met a man.
00:41:05.200 Now, you're saying, but Scott, Scott, Scott, there are plenty of Democrats who identify
00:41:09.880 as male and do say we should keep it the way it is.
00:41:13.400 Well, there's clearly a testosterone effect here.
00:41:20.280 Like, I don't mean to be insulting, but when you see somebody who identifies as a man saying
00:41:27.760 that it's okay to keep the borders porous, they're low T.
00:41:33.760 I hate to tell you, there's nobody with a high testosterone who thinks the borders should
00:41:37.360 be open.
00:41:38.680 And can we say that out loud?
00:41:40.620 Will I get canceled for that?
00:41:42.500 It's obvious.
00:41:44.400 It's obvious.
00:41:46.320 So let's just call it like this.
00:41:49.360 We're acting like it's the Democrats who want the border open.
00:41:52.880 It's kind of women. 1.00
00:41:54.920 Now, not Republican women, not Republican women, but it's women. 1.00
00:42:01.720 The open border is a woman problem and a low T problem. 1.00
00:42:05.540 And our political parties have divided pretty much along those lines.
00:42:10.400 The high T men and the women who like men with testosterone are on one side and the low T men
00:42:19.120 and the women who don't want strong men anywhere around them are on the other side. 1.00
00:42:24.300 So I see this as almost a chemistry problem as opposed to a political problem.
00:42:31.620 If our chemistry were right and our testosterone had not dropped for the last 40 years, the border would be closed.
00:42:40.120 And by the way, this is one of the few opinions in which I have 100 percent confidence.
00:42:46.480 Most of what I say, and I try to say it this way, I talk in terms of the odds.
00:42:51.460 Well, you know, there's a 50 percent more chance this will happen or 99.
00:42:56.900 I just just use the odds.
00:42:58.480 Ninety nine percent chance these stories are false.
00:43:00.780 I like to talk that way, but not in this case, because this is just direct.
00:43:06.000 If the Democrats had the same amount of testosterone as the Republicans, we wouldn't have this problem. 0.99
00:43:16.680 If you back this up to the root cause, it's not politics and it's not Trump.
00:43:23.260 It's low T.
00:43:24.840 This is just a low testosterone problem.
00:43:27.860 I mean, let's call it what it is.
00:43:29.440 It is a low testosterone problem.
00:43:32.060 No man leaves his family unprotected.
00:43:36.880 If it's easy to do, if it's easy to solve it, as in close the border, we know how to do that stuff.
00:43:43.940 No man with the normal amount of testosterone agrees to that situation.
00:43:51.060 No man.
00:43:52.800 So we should call it what it is.
00:43:54.640 It's a chemical imbalance, which has had a ripple effect on our border, which will get a lot of us killed for sure.
00:44:03.360 It'll get a lot of us killed.
00:44:04.320 So low T is deadly.
00:44:08.460 Actually, low testosterone will kill more people probably than coronavirus. 0.53
00:44:13.760 You know, if you had mandatory, if you had any mandatory shots, it should be testosterone boosters for Democrats. 0.59
00:44:25.420 Am I right?
00:44:26.500 If the point of giving somebody a mandatory shot is to make the country safer, right?
00:44:33.780 It's not for the individual.
00:44:35.380 Do we agree with that?
00:44:36.980 The mandatory, the fact that shots are ever mandatory is for the benefit of the whole.
00:44:43.500 It's not about the individual.
00:44:44.820 I mean, we want them to do well, too, but that's not the point of a mandate.
00:44:49.200 If it were only about the one person, it'd be like cigarettes.
00:44:53.000 Well, we recommend against cigarettes, but you're only killing yourself, so free country, go ahead.
00:44:59.840 But we don't do that with shots because it's about the whole.
00:45:03.380 If you want to protect the whole, give Democrat men testosterone boosters because it's the only chance we'll be able to defend the country. 0.83
00:45:11.800 I've got a feeling that's going to be a viral clip.
00:45:19.460 Oh, we'll see.
00:45:23.680 All right.
00:45:24.440 Well, I have an idea for fixing the situation with Hamas and America, too. 0.95
00:45:30.460 And this is a recommendation for just Democrats.
00:45:34.400 Republicans can sit this one out because you guys don't know how to solve anything.
00:45:38.640 But Democrats have a solution.
00:45:41.800 For the open borders, as well as Hamas, which is to open their doors and allow the Hamas people and also all the people streaming across the border to have sanctuary in their homes. 0.96
00:45:56.260 Because we'd like them to be consistent with their opinions.
00:45:59.500 And I think that we should help them.
00:46:02.160 Because they've got this problem where they want to be helpful to this group of people that they think are victims. 0.92
00:46:08.320 And rather than arguing with them, why don't we help them get what they want, which is them personally being as close as possible to the people who they say are safe and beautiful, but others who are bastards say that they could be dangerous in some way. 0.91
00:46:24.920 So I don't think Republicans should participate in this, but I think the Hamas people would do really well with the low testosterone men in their Democrat Party and their women. 0.99
00:46:37.380 They'd have a lot of fun with their women. 0.86
00:46:38.840 So that would be an excellent solution for both the cartel members who are streaming across the border and Hamas who will need some place to go. 0.99
00:46:49.760 And that's something I call problem solved.
00:46:54.860 Portland.
00:46:56.240 Now, there's the answer.
00:46:57.460 Just send them all to Portland.
00:46:58.880 Everybody wins, right?
00:47:00.520 Because Portland would say, absolutely, bring them here.
00:47:03.900 I got an extra cut.
00:47:04.980 I think that's a win-win.
00:47:07.620 We would, of course, have to put a siege around Portland, but that's down the road.
00:47:15.420 Has anybody seen any news of Hamas executing any hostages?
00:47:21.460 I have not seen that.
00:47:23.400 I don't know that we would.
00:47:26.440 No news of that.
00:47:27.420 So they've threatened that they would kill a hostage for every, I don't know, day or something that Israel is attacking in Gaza.
00:47:37.320 But yet there are no reports of it.
00:47:41.300 There are no reports.
00:47:43.580 Oh, somebody says they saw a few videos that weren't real.
00:47:47.040 All right, here's what I think will happen.
00:47:48.200 Given that Hamas is probably somewhat distributed and they probably don't have a good command and control, I would say there's a guarantee that some hostages would be killed and it will be filmed.
00:48:01.020 Would you agree?
00:48:03.020 I think that leadership probably would not order it because it would be crazy.
00:48:08.840 It would be crazy to order it. 0.98
00:48:10.920 But they are crazy.
00:48:11.740 I think individuals like cells, you know, who just were through the fighting and their brains are scrambled and they're on drugs and stuff, I think they might do it and they might try to get out.
00:48:22.760 Now, here's my provocative statement.
00:48:27.820 This won't happen.
00:48:30.080 But imagine a major news network or even a platform, a social media platform, allowed that content to be transmitted.
00:48:39.580 Now, I'm not talking if some troll puts it on social media because that's just the individual.
00:48:44.720 But let's say the network or the platform allowed those videos on there.
00:48:50.820 Would that make that news network a legitimate military target for Israel?
00:48:57.520 Not that they would attack, you know, NBC News or something.
00:49:01.500 But that wouldn't be helping.
00:49:05.640 Here's why.
00:49:06.420 Presumably, showing hostages being murdered would reduce the Israeli will to fight.
00:49:18.740 Because they'd say, whoa, whoa, whoa.
00:49:20.580 You know, the weaker people would say, no, no, we've got to do everything we can to save the hostages.
00:49:26.060 So let's do a ceasefire.
00:49:28.460 We can't see another one of these videos.
00:49:30.260 Let's do a ceasefire and then we'll do a trade of prisoners and then we'll do some kind of a peace deal.
00:49:38.820 So I would think that the last thing the Israeli leadership wants is for any of those videos to service.
00:49:46.440 So it wouldn't be good for Hamas, but it also wouldn't be good for Israel. 0.62
00:49:51.520 Do you agree with that so far?
00:49:55.100 Hamas' leadership really doesn't want these to get out.
00:49:58.720 Because that's the end.
00:50:00.300 I mean, if there was any remaining sympathy for them in any way, it would just evaporate.
00:50:06.780 I don't think there's too much sympathy for Hamas specifically.
00:50:12.960 But given that neither Hamas' leadership could possibly benefit from it, at the same time, there's no way that Israel's leadership would want you to see them. 0.88
00:50:24.080 I feel like there's a strong impulse that no news entity would show them and social media would scrub them as soon as they showed up.
00:50:33.680 Now, it might show up on Telegram or something, but I feel like you're never going to see one because there's going to be something like a complete news blackout.
00:50:42.980 Now, as somebody pointed out, but Scott, that's how war works.
00:50:47.740 There's a news blackout.
00:50:49.660 Well, it wasn't true in Vietnam so much.
00:50:52.420 I mean, the Vietnam War probably went the way it went, in part because there were cameras there.
00:50:59.800 But I would say that recent wars have definitely been a news blackout.
00:51:10.440 Yeah.
00:51:12.380 You can find the videos if you look.
00:51:15.180 But are they videos of hostages or videos of violence that happened during the attack?
00:51:19.740 Because people were executed during the attack, you know, execution style.
00:51:25.700 I don't know if you could tell the difference, could you?
00:51:30.660 Is there a difference?
00:51:31.820 Yeah, there's a difference.
00:51:33.120 Because one is an attack and one is a hostage situation in which there's a risk of them dying and being killed.
00:51:38.700 So, I'd say that's pretty different.
00:51:44.660 Anyway, I'm going to predict that you won't see much of these hostages being executed, even if they are.
00:51:50.400 I suspect that Israel's calculation is that they're already gone.
00:52:00.260 You're blaming vaccinations on the attack.
00:52:03.380 Okay.
00:52:04.760 Why not climate change?
00:52:06.680 Have we blamed the attack on climate change yet?
00:52:08.900 All right.
00:52:15.000 So, I don't think you'll see it.
00:52:16.680 Now, I would say that one of the biggest parts of this story may be suppressed in the news.
00:52:23.840 And it's this drug called Capcom.
00:52:27.040 Have you ever heard of it?
00:52:28.640 It's what ISIS uses. 0.96
00:52:30.280 It's sort of a meth that makes you zombie-like.
00:52:34.620 It makes you go all day, right?
00:52:36.940 You can run all day.
00:52:38.960 But also, you became immune to violence.
00:52:42.460 So, you could just dissect a person while you're on Capcom.
00:52:47.500 And you'd be like, okay, just having fun here, dissecting a person.
00:52:52.600 I disemboweled an enemy.
00:52:54.580 That was fun.
00:52:56.220 Yeah.
00:52:56.660 So, the drug turns people into zombie killers.
00:53:00.560 Now, when you hear about a terrorist attack of a, let's say, a cell of terrorists, maybe it'd be like a handful.
00:53:13.180 They do an attack where they know they're not going to survive.
00:53:16.680 And what do you say to yourself?
00:53:18.660 You usually say, thank God this is a rare thing.
00:53:21.660 There aren't that many people who would be willing to kill themselves for some political point that's not even going to move the needle.
00:53:31.720 It's very unusual to get people who would be willing to do that, even though there's plenty of it.
00:53:36.100 It's a pretty small part of the population.
00:53:37.920 But, somehow, Hamas got a thousand people to go on a suicide mission at the same time.
00:53:47.580 How do you do that?
00:53:49.680 How do you get a thousand people to go on a mission where none of them would expect to come home?
00:53:55.180 Some of them probably did, but they wouldn't expect to.
00:53:59.380 I feel drugs are the story that's not being told.
00:54:04.060 I don't think you can get a thousand people to do this at the same time.
00:54:08.280 Without drugs.
00:54:10.060 That's what I think.
00:54:12.460 And, by the way, if you had access to that drug, and Hamas would have access because it's all over the Middle East.
00:54:18.620 If you had access to it, why would you not give it to your soldiers?
00:54:23.400 It would actually be like a giant military mistake to not give it to them when they're going into an almost certain death.
00:54:33.320 So, I'd want to know a lot more about that.
00:54:36.080 Yeah, I think the Nazis used it.
00:54:38.540 ISIS used it. 0.96
00:54:39.720 And, they got similar outcomes.
00:54:42.300 You know, they did more attacking than you think people would attack.
00:54:47.740 Somebody says the Japanese did it for the bonsai attacks.
00:54:50.580 So, I would imagine.
00:54:52.460 Why wouldn't you?
00:54:53.320 If you had access to it, why wouldn't you?
00:54:58.080 So, that's part of the question.
00:54:59.440 Now, what do you think is going to happen with the siege?
00:55:05.160 The first thing that's going to happen is you're not going to, pretty soon you won't see video.
00:55:10.080 You'll see distant videos of, you know, things blowing up.
00:55:14.180 And, you'll see, you know, ones and twosies of people being injured and being loaded in ambulances and stuff.
00:55:24.440 But, you're not going to know if it really happened from this war or some other war that they just took the video from.
00:55:30.320 But, how would anybody get a video out of Gaza?
00:55:36.640 Because, at the moment, they don't have electricity.
00:55:39.220 So, they won't have phones.
00:55:40.620 They won't have internet.
00:55:42.300 How would they?
00:55:42.860 They won't have cell phones, right?
00:55:44.580 How would they get any video out?
00:55:49.280 Well, I doubt it's Starlink.
00:55:52.020 I mean, I don't know.
00:55:53.080 So, they have generators in the short run.
00:55:56.780 But, do you think those generators, well, actually, let me correct myself.
00:56:00.860 I'll bet they've had poor reliance on their grid.
00:56:05.980 So, they have probably more generators than we know about.
00:56:09.100 But, generators operate on gas, right?
00:56:15.700 How long will gas be available?
00:56:18.420 I feel like they've got 30 days of generators, maximum.
00:56:22.240 Like, there might be some hidden supplies of them or something.
00:56:27.540 Solar?
00:56:28.760 I don't know.
00:56:29.460 I don't feel like they have a lot of solar power over there.
00:56:33.220 But, you're right.
00:56:34.440 Solar could be part of it.
00:56:37.860 They smuggle out with VHS?
00:56:41.380 Yeah, I suppose.
00:56:44.320 They could smuggle out with some stuff.
00:56:49.180 But, I don't think you'll see much.
00:56:50.620 I think the lid will be pretty tight.
00:56:56.520 No, these videos were on the internet.
00:56:58.660 Well, I haven't seen any.
00:56:59.820 So, I don't know which internet you're looking at.
00:57:08.840 Rescue op being planned.
00:57:11.180 Do you think there will be rescue ops for the...
00:57:13.620 For the hostages?
00:57:18.580 Not even sure that that will be attempted.
00:57:21.200 Honestly.
00:57:22.160 Because I think it would be too dangerous to go in.
00:57:25.140 And, it's not likely anybody to survive if you attacked.
00:57:28.860 It looks like a bad play.
00:57:30.480 Maybe if there's a special case.
00:57:32.580 All right.
00:57:32.900 I'd like to solve this problem with something called economics.
00:57:36.640 You ready?
00:57:37.000 What is the most valuable information in the world today?
00:57:43.580 What is the one piece of information that somebody would pay the most for?
00:57:49.680 This current information.
00:57:51.080 I'm not talking about something that's always been true or solving an equation.
00:57:55.080 Nothing like that.
00:57:56.140 I mean, something that's happening in the world right now.
00:57:58.700 What's the most valuable piece of information?
00:58:01.380 Let's see if you can get this.
00:58:02.460 Your PayPal account.
00:58:06.680 Okay.
00:58:07.080 Your crypto password.
00:58:08.220 No.
00:58:08.780 The most valuable information in the whole world.
00:58:11.760 Not just for you.
00:58:14.540 There you go.
00:58:16.260 There you go.
00:58:18.280 I'm going to give you partial credit because I'm not sure which leader you're talking about.
00:58:21.900 The most valuable information in the world is where the leadership of Iran is at any moment.
00:58:31.380 Am I right?
00:58:33.220 If you're Israel, you should have already the most enormous reward set up by crypto. 0.89
00:58:41.960 So it's untraceable.
00:58:43.600 A Bitcoin reward.
00:58:45.740 If you can tell me where the leadership is.
00:58:48.640 Now I'm talking about the top five, you know, top five or so.
00:58:53.660 And here's another way.
00:58:57.000 You could also do it as a betting app.
00:59:00.000 Could you?
00:59:01.400 Um, no, that wouldn't work.
00:59:03.300 It would have to be some kind of an app where you would have multiple reports, like you wouldn't rely on one report.
00:59:09.480 And you'd probably have to verify it.
00:59:11.780 So if somebody said, all right, I've got a $10 million reward, or it could be a $10 billion reward.
00:59:18.740 What would it be worth to you to know where the leader of Iran was so you could take him out? 0.98
00:59:23.380 $10 billion?
00:59:25.380 $10 billion?
00:59:27.200 That would be cheap compared to a war.
00:59:29.360 I mean, that would be nothing.
00:59:31.040 Yeah.
00:59:31.340 It'd be worth about $10 billion.
00:59:33.160 Nobody would pay it, but that's what it would be worth.
00:59:35.820 So the most valuable information in the world is where the Iranian leadership is, because in my opinion, Israel has a free pass to take him out. 0.99
00:59:47.360 That's what I think.
00:59:48.380 In a way they never did before.
00:59:49.920 And it's possible that that time will pass, like they will no longer have that window, where they can take out the leadership, have something like some kind of explanation or reason for it, and not make things worse.
01:00:05.800 It might make things worse, but they're likely to rip the Band-Aid off.
01:00:09.900 Because here's the problem.
01:00:12.620 If everybody did a truce today, and Iran still has money and is still in charge, it's just going to happen again later, except bigger and better. 0.98
01:00:23.420 Their entire plan is that we will keep doing this forever until it works.
01:00:28.100 If your plan is explicitly, we'll keep trying until it works, you've got to get rid of those people.
01:00:34.640 It's your only path to safety.
01:00:37.580 Now, what would happen if, how would the Iranian public react, the public, if their leadership were taken out because of this?
01:00:50.700 It would actually be, okay, I'm just taking my head.
01:01:02.280 Somebody was pointing out that it would be an act of war against Iran.
01:01:05.500 Again, that's exactly what I'm suggesting.
01:01:09.260 I'm suggesting it's an act of war. 0.83
01:01:11.000 You don't have to put a word on it.
01:01:13.040 Total act of war.
01:01:14.880 They have, and of course, it is a war.
01:01:19.160 They've literally declared war.
01:01:22.220 So any military target is fair game at this point.
01:01:25.880 And the leadership of Iran is just a military target.
01:01:29.140 So whether or not you call that a war or not, it is what it is, and it doesn't matter what you call it.
01:01:35.500 Could you say that Ukraine is an act of war against Russia by the U.S.?
01:01:46.500 I mean, I'm not going to make analogies.
01:01:49.220 No, you're missing my logic.
01:01:55.300 You're missing my logic. 0.99
01:01:59.140 I don't give a fuck if it's an act of war. 0.99
01:02:02.740 So if you're arguing, well, what, is this an act of war or is this an act of war, you're missing my point. 0.99
01:02:07.760 I don't care.
01:02:09.020 And I don't think Israel should care. 1.00
01:02:10.620 Because your label for it doesn't change anything. 0.99
01:02:15.360 Shit's going to happen the way it happens, no matter what label you put on it. 0.98
01:02:18.880 So label it a war, compare it to other places if you want. 0.98
01:02:22.080 It doesn't have any real-world impact.
01:02:24.000 That's just you talking online.
01:02:25.220 Remember when Helen Thomas used to ask Obama often?
01:02:35.740 That's a weird comment.
01:02:39.840 By the way, how do you like my camera set up?
01:02:41.900 Is this better?
01:02:43.640 Better?
01:02:45.580 I think it's a little better.
01:02:46.540 All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's all I've got for today.
01:02:51.620 I'm going to talk to the people on the Locals platform because they're special.
01:02:56.500 But I'm going to say goodbye to Twitter and YouTube and Rumble,
01:03:01.960 where we're streaming live at the same time on this camera.
01:03:05.600 This camera right here.
01:03:08.260 And I'll talk to you tomorrow.