Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2262 Scott Adams： CWSA 10⧸15⧸23

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:03.760 Ra-ba-ba-ba. 1.00

00:00:07.060 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to CWSA,

00:00:10.960 the greatest thing that's ever happened to you, probably.

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00:00:31.520 fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee,

00:00:34.600 and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,

00:00:38.060 the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better,

00:00:41.600 including spackling.

00:00:44.180 It's called the Simultaneous Sip.

00:00:47.280 It happens now.

00:00:47.920 Go.

00:00:52.280 Oh, that was so good.

00:00:56.360 So yesterday I had a really good, terrible day.

00:01:02.000 I don't know if any of you experienced anything like this.

00:01:05.260 It was very good and terrible at the same time.

00:01:07.740 It was very good in the sense that everything that happened yesterday was good.

00:01:11.960 I had delicious food.

00:01:14.020 I exercised.

00:01:15.240 The weather was perfect.

00:01:16.820 I spent quality time with my dog.

00:01:18.880 I had some social activities.

00:01:20.720 I got a lot done.

00:01:22.860 I got a lot done.

00:01:24.580 Even got my dog door fixed.

00:01:26.260 I mean, everything was just clicking, just clicking.

00:01:30.060 And do you know why it was terrible?

00:01:33.560 Because there are two major wars in the world right now

00:01:36.720 that are completely on my mind all the time,

00:01:40.020 you know, one more than the other at the moment.

00:01:43.520 And I can't take myself out of the head

00:01:46.520 of what it would be like to be under siege.

00:01:50.400 You know, what would it be like?

00:01:51.880 I mean, how many levels of hell is that?

00:01:57.500 I mean, whatever it is, it's, you know, maximum hell.

00:02:00.240 But I found it difficult to enjoy myself,

00:02:04.740 even though I had no problems yesterday.

00:02:07.500 Did anybody have that experience?

00:02:09.900 The experience of feeling literally guilty that you had a good day?

00:02:14.880 Because when you watch people who are in such dire straits,

00:02:17.880 I mean, it's not like people haven't been in dire straits

00:02:20.320 around the world forever.

00:02:22.500 But now it's just being pounded into us.

00:02:26.240 You know, our media is feeding it to us in a different way.

00:02:29.320 Now, I have to say,

00:02:30.880 I did not feel the same about Ukraine.

00:02:34.960 Why is that?

00:02:38.520 I mean, I felt, you know, the normal amount of empathy.

00:02:41.840 But my life just sort of goes on.

00:02:45.240 But there's something about Gaza that's just a little extra.

00:02:49.620 I don't know what it is.

00:02:51.280 Could be it's just the combined weight of things.

00:02:53.600 All right.

00:02:54.520 Well, as you know, my famous story that I say way too often,

00:02:58.880 but I've come to the conclusion that I can't say it enough

00:03:02.520 because it might be the most important thing in at least America.

00:03:07.420 Our food is killing us.

00:03:10.080 You know that, right?

00:03:12.940 Our food source is just deadly.

00:03:15.900 So I was just trying to avoid inflammation.

00:03:19.340 You know, I keep talking about it.

00:03:20.720 And I tell you that a few, just, I don't know, several months ago,

00:03:26.020 and for a few years during the pandemic especially,

00:03:28.800 I was so sore all the time that life just was barely worth living, honestly.

00:03:37.000 I could barely walk upstairs.

00:03:38.580 And I couldn't figure out what it was.

00:03:41.240 So I made some changes to my diet, and it just completely stopped.

00:03:46.600 So yesterday, long walk, full, you know, full exercise,

00:03:52.760 not a single bit of inflammation, full exercise, not a sore, not anything,

00:03:59.840 just a change of diet.

00:04:01.620 I think that's the only thing I changed.

00:04:04.020 Now, I don't want to throw anybody under the bus,

00:04:08.080 but one of the habits I changed was, you know, famously,

00:04:12.520 I would always eat a bagel right after the show.

00:04:14.460 I would always talk about waiting for my bagel because it's so good.

00:04:20.180 But I decided to, you know, I gained a few pounds,

00:04:23.200 and usually I have a trigger at about five pounds, right?

00:04:27.060 If I creep up five pounds, which I usually do in the winter,

00:04:30.680 then I'll reverse things and, you know, try to slowly come down.

00:04:35.200 So I stopped eating bread and started with not eating the bagels.

00:04:38.780 And I started to suspect that maybe bread was my problem because not long after

00:04:45.600 that, my inflammation went away.

00:04:49.100 And so I Googled, do bagels cause inflammation?

00:04:54.520 You should try that sometime.

00:04:57.680 Google, do bagels cause inflammation?

00:05:00.460 Well, according to the internet, they do.

00:05:05.420 According to the internet.

00:05:06.900 Now, some people say it's the gluten.

00:05:08.960 I don't know that it's that.

00:05:10.580 Some people say it's the, some kind of preservatives.

00:05:15.040 I don't know that it's that.

00:05:17.280 Because they say it doesn't, it's not the same in Europe because the preservatives are different.

00:05:21.240 But some say it's something to do with the pesticides that are put on the wheat

00:05:27.880 and that we're getting it in our bodies.

00:05:30.820 I don't know if any of that's true.

00:05:32.640 So I'm not going to make any claims of fact.

00:05:35.360 I will just tell you that when I started looking into what foods cause inflammation,

00:05:40.680 it's basically anything with added sugar.

00:05:44.140 That takes away a third of your diet right there. 0.94

00:05:47.280 Any grains.

00:05:48.400 Now, I don't know if this is true.

00:05:49.480 So this is not, I'm not expressing this as fact.

00:05:54.140 I'm telling you that if you look on the internet or listen to other people who seem to know

00:05:58.220 what they're talking about, they'll tell you don't eat sugar, any kind of grains, bread,

00:06:03.140 pasta, oatmeal, any kind of pre-made packaged foods, anything with vegetable oil, that's almost

00:06:09.000 everything, anything with preservatives, almost every kind of sauce or liquid that isn't

00:06:15.840 water.

00:06:16.260 And then my favorite category, the so-called nightshade foods, nightshade.

00:06:25.000 If you're not familiar with that term, that's stuff like tomatoes, potatoes, and eggplants.

00:06:30.540 Some say red meat is a problem.

00:06:32.560 Others say red meat is a solution.

00:06:34.220 I've got a feeling it's more like a solution than a problem.

00:06:38.820 And I'm a vegetarian, so I'm speaking against my own diet.

00:06:43.960 Actually, I'm a pescatarian, technically.

00:06:46.420 So what does that leave?

00:06:51.040 If you were going to try to have, you know, no inflammation in your diet, that would give

00:06:57.420 you some vegetables, but you'd have to stay away from the, you know, potatoes and eggplants.

00:07:03.760 Most fruit, but you'd have to stay away from tomatoes, I guess.

00:07:07.560 You could do some clean forms of meat, probably, eggs maybe, and that's about it.

00:07:17.920 Oh, nuts.

00:07:18.900 If you're not allergic to nuts.

00:07:21.740 So that's another thing, your allergies.

00:07:24.600 So I'm not allergic to nuts.

00:07:26.360 So I experimented eating a lot of, you know, strawberries and blueberries that are supposed

00:07:34.680 to be especially good.

00:07:37.480 I don't recommend nuts because I think maybe enough people have nut allergies that I wouldn't

00:07:43.240 recommend it, but I don't.

00:07:46.300 And when I ate completely clean, I had two observations.

00:07:52.200 One, I never felt better.

00:07:53.880 I mean, everything felt better from my mind to my body in every way, felt better.

00:08:00.840 And I was super unhappy because I didn't enjoy eating.

00:08:07.420 Yeah.

00:08:07.620 Sometimes you just want to eat.

00:08:09.680 You want to just enjoy the feeling, but man, you don't really get much of that if you eat

00:08:13.740 boring food.

00:08:15.440 So that's my suggestion is that all grocery stores should be reorganized and the grocery

00:08:23.420 stores should be reorganized by inflammation.

00:08:27.120 Now, some people said incorrectly, but Scott, it already is.

00:08:32.120 What you do is you go in the store and you only go around the perimeter because the perimeter

00:08:36.660 is all the fresh, healthy stuff.

00:08:40.100 No, it isn't.

00:08:41.720 No, it isn't.

00:08:42.560 That would include all of your nightshade that allegedly causes inflammation.

00:08:48.900 I don't know if that's true, by the way.

00:08:50.460 It would include the entire bread and bakery department.

00:08:54.920 That's all sketchy.

00:08:57.140 Right.

00:08:57.840 And I'm not entirely positive that the frozen foods are all bad.

00:09:02.320 I mean, I don't, I don't, I try to avoid them, but I'm not sure they're all bad.

00:09:06.600 Are they?

00:09:07.000 So imagine if you organized a store by inflammation.

00:09:12.140 All right.

00:09:12.740 I've got another theory that I'm going to trot out.

00:09:16.480 You know how, when you get old, you could die from a whole variety of things that are

00:09:22.360 associated with age more than just about anything else they're associated with.

00:09:26.460 Right.

00:09:26.960 There's a bunch of old people things that don't bother other people. 1.00

00:09:29.940 Is it my imagination or are all of those old people problems related to inflammation? 1.00

00:09:39.220 I feel like old people have primarily one problem. 1.00

00:09:43.040 It's that they eat shit. 1.00

00:09:46.600 This is my new hypothesis, is that some percent of age-related problems you would not die from 1.00

00:09:54.240 if not for the fact your food source had caused you to be so inflamed that you couldn't protect

00:09:59.820 yourself anymore.

00:10:01.260 And I've got a theory that with age and maybe less activity, especially, you're just less

00:10:10.100 able to deal with inflammation.

00:10:12.360 And the inflammation is just the whole story, you know, or, or let's say 80% of the story.

00:10:18.100 And that if you got rid of your inflammation, you'd sort of cruise into the age 90, you

00:10:24.740 know, unless something specific got you.

00:10:27.500 That's just a guess, just a hypothesis.

00:10:30.720 There's new battery technology.

00:10:32.260 I'm always telling you about this, but who knows if this will become real.

00:10:36.000 Toyota has got some new technology that'll allow you to go over 900 miles on a 10-minute

00:10:41.860 charge.

00:10:43.940 900 miles on a 10-minute charge.

00:10:47.340 Now, apparently they're making this operational.

00:10:51.000 So this is not just a laboratory thing.

00:10:53.620 They're, they're going to manufacturing.

00:10:56.120 We'll see.

00:10:57.520 Yeah, we'll see.

00:10:58.600 And then we have to ask some questions about, you know, how many sleeves do you need to mine

00:11:03.280 the materials and how many wars will we have to get more of it?

00:11:07.860 That sort of thing.

00:11:09.580 All right.

00:11:10.820 More on Scott is right about everything.

00:11:13.160 I might be the only economist.

00:11:17.360 I say with quotes, economist, who said that the odds of a recession were not that high.

00:11:23.200 And I, I said it was either going to be mild or none.

00:11:26.980 And now the experts have turned in that direction.

00:11:30.880 Not completely, but more than half of the experts, according to the Wall Street Journal, are saying

00:11:37.160 that things might be okay.

00:11:39.200 And we might not go into a full recession.

00:11:42.680 So a little bit of optimism.

00:11:44.580 At the same time, the world is falling apart in every single way.

00:11:47.900 How is it that we have two critical wars and inflation through the roof and debt we have

00:11:55.580 no idea how to handle?

00:11:56.660 And the experts just said, yeah, it's looking good.

00:12:02.000 I mean, I said the same thing, but it's pretty hard to predict, isn't it?

00:12:06.340 It's like economics is just guessing.

00:12:09.360 Then I saw also in the Wall Street Journal that the price of gas is starting to trend down,

00:12:14.760 mostly because summer is over, but it will help.

00:12:18.160 I mean, if you're still commuting to work, wouldn't it be nice if your prices were down?

00:12:23.500 And I looked at the prices, and I thought I was misreading it.

00:12:27.040 I'll tell you why.

00:12:28.300 So I said over the past month, some prices, let's say in Athens, Georgia, are down to $2.92

00:12:37.880 a gallon.

00:12:40.180 And I read this, and I go, wait a minute.

00:12:42.960 In Georgia, that would be a state in the United States?

00:12:47.780 There's a place in the United States in the year 2023 that you can buy a gallon of gas

00:12:55.360 for $2.92 today.

00:13:01.080 So I said to myself, what does it cost me in California?

00:13:07.260 Because I added a number in my mind, but I thought I must be crazy if I just not noticed.

00:13:12.480 So I Googled it, and it was the same number I had in my mind, $5.50.

00:13:18.640 So a gallon of gas where I live is $5.50.

00:13:22.160 But if I lived in Georgia, it would be $2.92.

00:13:26.620 Oh, my God.

00:13:28.680 So a number of you are saying you're paying sub $3.

00:13:32.660 God, if I ever saw a gallon of gas under $3, I would think I'd go into heaven.

00:13:38.680 I don't think I'll ever see it again in California.

00:13:41.060 But anyway, there might be some relief on that side of things.

00:13:47.220 And a lot of it is because people aren't commuting.

00:13:49.860 And a lot of people are choosing to travel less.

00:13:55.220 There are two things going on in my life that would influence me to travel less.

00:14:01.500 I want to see if this is influencing anybody else.

00:14:04.340 Number one is the cost of gas.

00:14:06.580 I'm not as sensitive to that.

00:14:08.180 But is anybody traveling less because of the cost of gas?

00:14:15.640 I just want to see in the comments.

00:14:19.840 Oh, interestingly, I'm saying mostly no's, but there are a lot of yes's.

00:14:25.480 Oh, more yes's coming, more no's.

00:14:28.240 All right, so there are quite a few of you who are traveling less because of the cost of gas.

00:14:34.520 Here's the second question.

00:14:36.640 How many of you are traveling less because your social network got destroyed during the pandemic

00:14:42.760 and or you became less social because you just got trained not to see people?

00:14:50.940 Whoa, look at the yes's now.

00:14:52.280 I feel like the pandemic permanently changed me.

00:14:58.560 My ability to socialize is kind of almost gone.

00:15:05.280 Yeah.

00:15:07.620 There's something different in my brain because I just have a discomfort socializing outside my small, small little group of people.

00:15:18.560 All right.

00:15:20.620 I wondered if anybody else was having that.

00:15:22.380 All right.

00:15:22.600 We will talk about politics.

00:15:25.640 So imagine, if you will, a advanced alien species came to Earth and said, could you explain to us your political system here in America?

00:15:37.300 And I'd try to do it and it would look like this.

00:15:39.700 I'd go, well, we've got this republic democracy kind of situation, which is a system which tries to give the public what the public wants, you know, by a majority.

00:15:52.720 We don't vote directly on everything.

00:15:55.140 We elect people to represent us, you know, our majority opinion for the most part.

00:16:00.760 And so the alien would say, ah, OK, so how do your politicians know what it is you want?

00:16:07.420 And I'd say, well, we have polling.

00:16:09.920 There's polling on every topic.

00:16:11.840 So they can look at the polls.

00:16:13.540 There are some situations where they won't go with the polling.

00:16:16.340 But generally, the point of the system is that, for the most part, what the public wants, their representatives will vote for.

00:16:25.220 And so then the alien would say, ah, polling, polling. 0.88

00:16:27.720 So the polling, so once they've separated the people who are paying attention and they poll the people who are smart and know the topic, and I go, oh, no, don't make an assumption.

00:16:40.980 No, they poll whoever answers the phone.

00:16:43.820 And then the alien says, wait a minute, the way you decide whose opinion to listen to is who answers the phone?

00:16:52.520 Yes.

00:16:53.000 So then the alien would say, I have more questions.

00:16:56.020 I have more questions.

00:16:57.200 Would that include people who don't understand the topic you're asking about whatsoever?

00:17:02.960 Oh, yes.

00:17:04.100 In fact, it's mostly those people.

00:17:07.420 Well, like mostly, you mean like 51%?

00:17:11.200 I wish.

00:17:12.760 I wish.

00:17:13.280 It's closer to 95.

00:17:16.220 So only 5% of the people actually understand the topic?

00:17:19.740 Ooh, no, I didn't mean to mislead you.

00:17:23.280 Those 5% are brainwashed.

00:17:26.860 Hold on, hold on.

00:17:28.340 You're saying there's two categories.

00:17:30.100 There's people who don't know anything about the topic because they're not paying attention and it's complicated.

00:17:35.480 But then there's this little group who seems to know a lot about the topic, but they actually have been just brainwashed by their preferred source of media.

00:17:45.620 Yes, yes, now you're catching on.

00:17:47.040 And then the alien says, wow, that's an interesting system.

00:17:52.360 And then he says, but at least they exclude the people who have mental illness because you're not going to pull people with mental illness to find out how you should run things.

00:18:06.840 And then I say, oh, this is embarrassing.

00:18:09.660 We do include them.

00:18:11.660 Yeah.

00:18:12.320 We don't exclude anybody for any kind of mental illness.

00:18:15.160 And then the alien says, well, that's probably not that bad.

00:18:18.740 I mean, like what percentage of people have mental illness?

00:18:22.160 You know, can't be that much.

00:18:24.180 And I said, ooh, well, okay.

00:18:28.560 On one side of the political aisle, it's not terrible.

00:18:31.960 But on the other side, 50% of the women have been seeking mental health, professional help. 0.93

00:18:42.960 And then the alien says, well, obviously the group of people with the fewest crazy people are in charge.

00:18:50.540 So that should work out well, right?

00:18:53.240 Ooh.

00:18:53.540 No, as it turns out, the group with 50% of the women who are seeking mental health, they're actually, they have more of a majority at the moment.

00:19:05.740 President, yeah, Senate, not the Senate.

00:19:10.020 No, Senate.

00:19:11.820 Yeah, but whatever.

00:19:12.700 And then the alien says, all right, so let me put this all together.

00:19:19.500 You take the average opinion of 95% of the people who are not paying attention to each topic, the 5% who are just brainwashed and are not even exposed to the other side.

00:19:30.480 And then about half of them on the dominant side have mental illness.

00:19:39.620 And then our politicians that we've elected, using that group of people, they try to look at our average, you know, the majority opinion.

00:19:49.560 And then they take that opinion and then they make laws based on it.

00:19:53.940 Is that what you're saying?

00:19:55.580 And then I say, ooh, almost.

00:19:58.660 You're close.

00:19:59.420 No, what the politicians do is they find ways to suck money out of the system to keep themselves in power and enrich themselves sometimes on the side. 0.55

00:20:12.040 And then the alien says, all right, well, okay, I hear what you're saying.

00:20:16.320 But in addition to that, they make laws that the public wants.

00:20:22.260 Ooh.

00:20:24.400 Sometimes.

00:20:26.080 It can go that way.

00:20:27.400 More often, the public is wondering why it doesn't go that way and we never really hear.

00:20:34.460 For example, have you heard of something called TikTok?

00:20:39.220 And the alien would say, no, what is TikTok?

00:20:42.120 They go, well, I don't have time to explain it in detail, but I can give you a sort of a demonstration.

00:20:48.800 TikTok would be a whole bunch of videos that are roughly like this.

00:20:52.240 And then the alien would say, what?

00:21:07.300 And I'd say, yeah.

00:21:08.940 It's basically people look at people acting like that all day long.

00:21:14.180 And then the alien says, well, why would anybody look at that?

00:21:17.800 And I would say, because the people doing it are attractive.

00:21:20.440 You know, when I did the imitation, you know, maybe it wasn't a good representation because I've not had any surgery.

00:21:29.880 But that's the basic idea.

00:21:32.760 And then the alien says, but everybody loves it, right?

00:21:37.200 Oh, yeah.

00:21:37.900 But, you know, it's our enemies are using it to brainwash us and take over the country.

00:21:43.640 Turn us all into Uyghurs. 1.00

00:21:47.100 And that's our system.

00:21:52.220 But the alien says, but at least your leaders will ban it in your country. 0.99

00:21:56.920 And they'll say, hmm, I wish.

00:22:02.620 And then the alien would say, you know, we had plans to give you our advanced technology to cure all the physical and mental problems and make you a spacefaring nation. 1.00

00:22:17.120 But honestly, I think we're just going to kill you motherfuckers because you're crazy. 1.00

00:22:21.160 And then a gigantic beam of energy hits the Earth, goes to the core, and then we all die. 1.00

00:22:31.560 And that's why if aliens ever land on Earth and you happen to be the first one there, and they ask you about our political system, lie.

00:22:42.160 Lie.

00:22:42.980 It's the only way you're going to save the world.

00:22:46.820 Next story.

00:22:47.660 So I suggested that a good solution for Gaza would be, since you can't really just put the Palestinians back in charge, because you would imagine it would just turn into Hamas too. 0.99

00:23:05.400 And you can't let Israel forever just own this area that's, you know, pretty much entirely just Palestinians. 0.97

00:23:13.340 So what do you do?

00:23:14.420 And so I suggested, why don't you let or make an offer?

00:23:19.780 The Saudi Arabia could administer it, so they'd be sort of like a professional leadership class.

00:23:26.100 But there would be a umbrella of Israeli security, because, you know, Israel would have the last say if anything got out of control.

00:23:33.540 And then use the Israeli military to protect a small nuclear power plant that would do desalinization and power and modernize everything and make it basically Switzerland with sand.

00:23:50.140 So that was my idea.

00:23:51.280 Because at least it gives you some kind of brainstorming of, you know, what could be.

00:23:56.500 So you don't have to focus entirely on the horror that's happening at the moment.

00:24:03.260 Now, so I was waiting with great interest to see what Saudi Arabia would say about the whole situation.

00:24:08.460 And I was encouraged because they finally did talk, you know, MBS, the crown prince.

00:24:15.880 And they put out what I would call the most generic anti-war statement you could possibly do.

00:24:23.560 It's like, uh, it's really bad to hurt civilians.

00:24:26.940 I sure wish, I sure wish no innocent people got killed.

00:24:33.480 Now, try to just read between the lines.

00:24:37.740 It would be really, really easy for, you know, anybody who was, say, could benefit from looking like an enemy of Israel.

00:24:47.540 It'd be really easy for them to pile up and just say, you're perpetuating, you know, war crimes.

00:24:55.640 Actually, China said that.

00:24:57.320 China said that, uh, they called it, uh, collective punishment, which technically is not, I guess.

00:25:04.740 Um, they called it that and said it's basically a war crime.

00:25:09.840 Now, that's rich coming from the country that has the Uyghurs in prison camps. 1.00

00:25:16.760 But that's what they said.

00:25:18.700 Now, my point is Saudi Arabia could have responded like that as well.

00:25:22.660 And you could easily imagine sometime in the distant past, maybe they would have.

00:25:29.160 But they do have more of an interest in making peace with Israel if they can get past this.

00:25:34.420 So I was encouraged by the fact that their statement was so generic.

00:25:39.340 It was almost like they went out of their way to make it just blend into the background of other people's comments.

00:25:45.700 So that's a good sign, because it means that they haven't rejected some kind of peace with Israel, you know, when we get past this.

00:25:54.320 Um, and I did see when I put this idea on the X platform, I believe I saw nobody disagree.

00:26:05.540 Here's the disagreements I heard.

00:26:07.940 Why would you give a nuclear power plant to Hamas? 0.98

00:26:11.520 Because they'll just dismantle it and make a nuclear bomb.

00:26:13.960 Okay, did anybody think that was part of my plan, to give a nuclear power plant to Hamas? 0.94

00:26:20.560 No, no, you would have to have the Israelis completely control the nuclear power plant. 0.83

00:26:26.540 Right.

00:26:28.700 And I think, am I wrong that the Saudis were looking for nuclear power too?

00:26:34.640 Right.

00:26:34.840 So I think Saudi Arabia has an interest in, you know, building up some skills in that area as well.

00:26:42.420 And I'd be less worried about them having a nuclear bomb.

00:26:45.520 Because, you know, probably they could if they wanted one. 0.94

00:26:49.620 Um, so the fact that I got, I think I got no pushback except dumb pushback.

00:26:58.100 The only pushback was people said, what, you know, why would you do that when Hamas is there?

00:27:04.840 But I'm assuming Hamas is gone under all scenarios.

00:27:09.800 Aren't you?

00:27:10.940 There's no scenario where anybody who identifies as Hamas is still going to be in charge or have, you know, access to, you know, organizing much.

00:27:21.600 Though obviously it's impossible to get rid of it totally, but there won't be much left.

00:27:26.120 So that was the plan.

00:27:28.620 I'm open to a better one.

00:27:29.980 So, um, I had a little, uh, back and forth with the comic, Dave Smith.

00:27:34.360 Many of you know, comic, Dave Smith talks a lot about politics as well.

00:27:39.500 And I asked him, uh, he had some, he had some comments about the, uh, uh, how brutal it's going to be in Gaza, which we all, I think we all have a similar amount of empathy.

00:27:52.920 I hope, um, but I asked him, what was the alternative?

00:27:58.080 Because I get a little tired of the people saying Israel should not be doing what it's doing.

00:28:04.080 Nobody likes it.

00:28:05.940 We could all hate it, but what's the alternative?

00:28:09.220 Because they can't just let Hamas stay there and regrow. 0.74

00:28:13.700 And so I asked that, and comic, Dave Smith said, uh, among other things that, uh, instead of going in, he would fortify the borders.

00:28:23.520 Fortify the borders.

00:28:24.920 To make sure that they couldn't run over and do it again.

00:28:28.360 Is it my imagination or is that the worst idea you've ever heard?

00:28:37.180 Fortify the borders.

00:28:38.660 Now I get that we're trying to fortify our borders and it's hard, right?

00:28:43.960 It's really hard, but we're trying to do it.

00:28:47.580 So do I think that they should fortify their borders?

00:28:50.620 Well, yes.

00:28:52.860 Do you think they didn't try to fortify their borders?

00:28:55.420 Or, or is it just that now we've learned more so we could do it better?

00:29:01.000 You know, we meaning the Israelis in this case.

00:29:04.200 I don't think you could make a border wall good enough to keep people from getting in. 0.90

00:29:09.800 Do you?

00:29:11.140 Because there were a thousand people and a number of them were hang gliders.

00:29:15.680 Yeah.

00:29:16.320 How do you stop a hang glider?

00:29:18.080 Well, you could.

00:29:18.720 I mean, if you had a machine gun turret on every, you know, every hundred foot of fence and it was, you know, a person was in charge.

00:29:28.380 Well, you could machine gun anybody you tried to paraglide in, I suppose.

00:29:33.000 But to me, it just seems like getting a thousand people across the border is the easiest thing in the world.

00:29:40.460 And it wouldn't stop them from making missiles, would it?

00:29:44.980 Wouldn't they just improve their missiles and improve their drones? 0.98

00:29:49.540 Wouldn't Hamas just end up building a drone army that blackens the sky above Tel Aviv? 0.53

00:29:55.360 So, so here's my take.

00:30:04.320 Is there any alternative to what Israel is doing at the moment, as gruesome as it is? 1.00

00:30:12.140 I don't see one.

00:30:13.540 I don't think fortifying the walls and hoping it doesn't happen again.

00:30:20.340 I just don't see it.

00:30:21.500 Okay, let's talk about the Gaza water situation.

00:30:28.780 As you know, in the fog of war, everything is a lie.

00:30:33.140 So you should not believe anything you hear from a war zone.

00:30:38.180 At some point, you'll probably, you know, collapse on one interpretation or another because we sort of have to.

00:30:46.460 Our brains, our brains need to get things settled.

00:30:48.920 So you'll probably come to some opinion about what's happening or has happened.

00:30:54.500 But the odds of it being true?

00:30:57.860 Pretty low.

00:30:59.480 Because nobody has an incentive to tell the truth in a time of war.

00:31:04.120 But here are some of the conflicting things I'm hearing about the water supply.

00:31:07.840 In my opinion, the water supply should be one of the biggest variables to predict what's going to happen and how bad it will be.

00:31:16.720 So I'm hearing the following things.

00:31:19.960 One is that the water that Israel cut off from Gaza was only about 11% of all the water supply.

00:31:29.640 And that there's actually an aquifer below Gaza that is their primary, as in 90% or so, of all their water comes from underground.

00:31:39.860 And they still have pumps, and they're still pumping it.

00:31:45.340 Now, I don't know if that's true.

00:31:48.020 Now, okay, here's the second part, as you're prompting me.

00:31:51.760 There's also word that the aquifer is polluted from poor management.

00:31:57.480 It either has wastewater in there or seawater plus both.

00:32:00.920 So it may not be drinkable, right?

00:32:05.080 Next question is, in the context of an emergency, could you boil it?

00:32:12.980 Do they have a workaround?

00:32:15.440 I mean, it wouldn't be a good workaround, but is it even possible?

00:32:19.240 I don't know.

00:32:20.100 Let me continue.

00:32:21.440 So these are all the things we don't really know.

00:32:23.880 We've heard that Gaza has been out of water for two days.

00:32:26.580 I saw this from a source on X.

00:32:31.740 But does that really mean that what they're out of is the Israeli 11% of the water? 0.70

00:32:38.500 Because that's when the pipeline was cut.

00:32:40.460 Is that the same as being out of water?

00:32:43.400 Because I'm getting conflicting reports that they have plenty of water.

00:32:48.460 But what does it mean to have plenty of water, again, if some of it's polluted?

00:32:53.000 It could be that they have plenty of water in the areas that weren't hit hard because all they needed there was a pump, you know, a pump that they could manually pump.

00:33:05.200 And apparently those exist.

00:33:08.440 So could it be that there are portions of Gaza where they definitely don't have water, but could they walk to where there's water?

00:33:18.040 Is it walking distance?

00:33:19.400 Because most of Gaza is so small, you know, it would be hard, but you could almost walk to anywhere.

00:33:26.360 And then the next question is, is Hamas preventing anybody from relocating from where there's no food and water to where there is?

00:33:37.280 And there are reports that they are.

00:33:40.200 I don't know if those are accurate, of course.

00:33:44.180 What's probably true is that everything is happening.

00:33:47.400 What's probably true is that everything is true, but you don't know how true.

00:33:54.180 For example, I'm sure it's true that somebody is out of water.

00:33:58.640 I don't know if that's most people or just some people.

00:34:01.660 It's almost certainly true that Hamas is limiting travel.

00:34:05.740 But everywhere?

00:34:07.040 All people all the time for all reasons? 1.00

00:34:09.340 I don't know.

00:34:10.620 Don't know.

00:34:11.140 And would it change?

00:34:12.360 Because it would be more dire.

00:34:14.420 Would they then change their minds?

00:34:15.760 I don't know.

00:34:17.580 I don't know.

00:34:18.560 It would probably depend on who they think would get blamed.

00:34:21.380 If they thought the attackers would get blamed, they might just let the residents starve.

00:34:27.020 If they think they'll get blamed, they might be a little flexible on it.

00:34:33.200 All right.

00:34:33.780 So you put it all together.

00:34:38.620 Oh, and the other thing is that there's this miles-long convoy of trucks with food and presumably water in Egypt that just needs to go ahead to get into Gaza.

00:34:51.340 But does it help if they're sitting there in Egypt and not allowed in?

00:34:57.340 So is that a factor or not?

00:35:00.620 My assumption is this, is that Israel is going to try as hard as possible to make sure that there's food and water however you have to do it, whatever it takes.

00:35:12.100 I feel like that they're going to try as hard as they can to make sure the citizens are fed because it would be terrible for Israel to lose a huge number of people to starvation.

00:35:23.540 That's just a terrible look.

00:35:26.700 Yeah, that doesn't work well with anything that they want to accomplish.

00:35:30.500 All right.

00:35:30.760 So we'll keep an eye on that.

00:35:32.000 Keep an eye on the water.

00:35:33.960 All right.

00:35:34.160 Harvard continues to get hammered.

00:35:36.100 Hammered, the president of Harvard made a statement that was not well-received by everybody.

00:35:44.020 Now, I'm going to talk about the president of Harvard, but I will not assign a pronoun because I did not see the president of Harvard assign a pronoun, so I don't know.

00:35:56.720 Now, I can only know, I'm just basing on physical look.

00:36:02.140 If you can imagine Don Lemon with gigantic glasses, that's what we're talking about.

00:36:11.340 The, they's name is, I'll just use they, them.

00:36:14.940 So they, they's name, they's, they name is Claudia Gay.

00:36:20.280 Last name is Gay.

00:36:23.140 I assume that was a given name.

00:36:25.240 Anyway, Harvard president, Claudia Gay, they said, our university embraces a commitment to free expression.

00:36:37.040 That commitment extends to views that many of us find objectionable or outrageous.

00:36:41.360 We do not punish or sanction people for expressing such views.

00:36:46.400 So Harvard president says that they're a bastion of free speech.

00:36:53.400 Megan Kelly begs to differ.

00:36:56.420 She says, you literally scored last out of all colleges on FIRE's free speech evaluation.

00:37:04.140 FIRE must be some organization that evaluates free speech.

00:37:07.600 Now that it's terrorist sympathizers doing the talking, you're a free speech champion?

00:37:12.120 Please.

00:37:12.480 So in the real world, there's a rank, there's a rating organization that rated Harvard dead last in free speech.

00:37:25.000 I feel so sorry for the, the people who went there.

00:37:30.720 Oh my God.

00:37:32.520 It would be so embarrassing.

00:37:34.080 So, uh, anyway, uh, New Zealand had an election in which the, uh, the past ruling party that had been the labor party of Jacinda Ardern.

00:37:49.860 So she was a notable left-leaning pro-lockdown vaccination kind of a person, but has been replaced with a, uh, by a crushing, crushing victory, they say, by a conservative party in a national election.

00:38:06.080 So some are saying, oh, it's the sign of things changing.

00:38:10.480 Do you think so?

00:38:12.000 Or do you just think it's a New Zealand thing?

00:38:15.360 And I know, I don't know if it's a big sign, but it's a, oh, Peter Zayn says both past and new governments are centrist.

00:38:28.060 He might be right about that.

00:38:29.600 I was, I was going to say it's probably not a big deal.

00:38:32.840 I wouldn't make a big deal about it.

00:38:34.640 And Peter, Peter Zayn agrees.

00:38:37.960 So that's two people who say, don't make too much of it.

00:38:42.580 All right.

00:38:43.180 There's a big question of where will the Gaza refugees go?

00:38:46.020 Some say there could be as many as a million of them.

00:38:49.400 And you would not be surprised to know that, uh, some members of the squad want them to come here.

00:38:57.300 Uh, representative Jamal Bowman, for example, um, wants them to come here.

00:39:05.220 Now you're probably saying to yourself, Scott, Scott, it wouldn't be so bad to help the children.

00:39:13.180 Because, you know, we care more about children and, you know, the children are not, are not fighters.

00:39:20.680 Right.

00:39:21.120 I would say that the children are the most dangerous and the ones you definitely shouldn't let in because I assume that they've been propagandized by their schools to a mindset that would be almost impossible to get rid of.

00:39:36.220 So you should consider them as infected with a propaganda virus that, unless you could eradicate it somehow, would be super dangerous to mix them in with people who do not have that virus.

00:39:51.040 Now, did I make a comment about anybody's genes?

00:39:56.400 No.

00:39:57.420 Did I make a comment about anybody's culture?

00:40:00.880 No.

00:40:01.860 These are very specific situation of specific messages that were trained to specific people.

00:40:08.580 Has everything to do with propaganda and nothing to do with anybody's ethnic or religious, um, inclinations.

00:40:16.120 All right.

00:40:20.980 Joel Pollack was reporting that, uh, the Israel, the Israeli military has probably the oddest problem any military ever had, uh, too many soldiers.

00:40:31.240 So they called for, uh, the reservists.

00:40:35.540 They thought they needed 150,000.

00:40:39.440 360,000 showed up and are, and are refusing to leave.

00:40:45.300 They're refusing to leave the border.

00:40:50.140 Wow.

00:40:52.240 Um, so that's just a hell of a thing.

00:40:56.640 Um, is anybody else, does anybody else know that, um, is anybody else getting demonetized on YouTube for talking about the war?

00:41:09.140 Am I the only one?

00:41:10.940 So I've been getting demonetized for my recent podcasts.

00:41:15.860 What is your best guess of what I've said that would be different from what other people have said that would get me demonetized?

00:41:24.120 Because I haven't violated any terms of service.

00:41:29.040 I've got no notices and I'm not even, I'm nowhere near violating any terms of service.

00:41:36.540 Hmm.

00:41:38.460 What do you think it is?

00:41:40.360 Do you think I'm just blacklisted somehow?

00:41:45.700 Did I, did I debunk too much propaganda?

00:41:48.740 I have a theory what it is, but I don't think I'm going to say it so I can test my theory.

00:42:01.760 I think there's one word I use that I haven't used today.

00:42:06.760 And I'm going to see if that makes a difference.

00:42:09.080 We're going to ignore that one word.

00:42:11.600 All right.

00:42:13.640 Um, on the X platform, there's a, uh,

00:42:18.740 study from 2021.

00:42:22.420 And I would remind you that all data is, uh, non-credible.

00:42:28.320 We just live in a world where you can't believe any data, but I'll tell you what it is.

00:42:33.020 Because it's a story that the data exists, even if the data isn't exactly right.

00:42:38.200 But what it was is a study by some American national election studies group.

00:42:44.400 And they tried to see, um, they looked at four, uh, demographic groups in the U S, um, black,

00:42:53.100 white, Hispanic, and Asian Americans.

00:42:55.340 And they said, what do you think about your own group?

00:42:59.500 And then what's your, you know, how positively or negatively do you feel about the other three

00:43:05.000 groups?

00:43:05.360 And when they, when they talked to white people, it turns out that their opinion of all four

00:43:12.280 groups, including their own, was about the same.

00:43:16.700 A little bit, a little bit advantage to their own group.

00:43:20.100 So the white people were a little more positive about white people, but it was in a narrow band

00:43:25.760 with how they felt about everybody else.

00:43:27.980 Nothing that you would worry about.

00:43:30.060 The other three groups were wildly different, meaning that they had wildly better opinions

00:43:36.360 of their own group than of the other groups.

00:43:40.100 And the, in each case, the white group was ranked the lowest.

00:43:44.140 Now, do you think that data is accurate?

00:43:50.340 And would that be a place that white people should hang around if it were true? 0.83

00:43:55.400 Now you have the same problem with the, um, the Rasmussen poll that had similar kinds of

00:44:01.460 directionally, it was a similar kind of thing, but added a small sample group.

00:44:07.680 So some people said, Scott, you cannot judge the whole country by fewer than 200.

00:44:14.140 People do which I said, yeah, you can.

00:44:18.080 It's called math.

00:44:19.900 It's called an 8% degree of, uh, uh, uh, 8%, uh, uh, what do you call it?

00:44:26.580 The, uh, the, uh, error possibility.

00:44:31.920 What's the word for that?

00:44:33.360 The, uh, margin of error.

00:44:35.460 Yeah.

00:44:35.740 So an 8% margin of error.

00:44:37.820 Now, ideally you'd want to do thousands of people and get your margin of error down to

00:44:44.120 one or two, but if the point of the survey says something like half of the people believe

00:44:50.020 something and you would be alarmed if even 10% of the people thought something, it's plenty

00:44:55.160 of people.

00:44:56.160 You don't need more people.

00:44:58.560 If you selected them right in the first place, the selection matters, but the 140 or whatever

00:45:04.600 it was is actually enough.

00:45:07.220 As long as you're looking for gigantic differences, it's, it's plenty.

00:45:12.320 If you're looking for a small difference, you'd want more than a thousand people.

00:45:18.060 If you're looking for a very broad, you know, general sense of things, yeah.

00:45:23.140 140 people, if they're correctly chosen within 8% of the correct answer, probably.

00:45:30.680 So that's everything you need.

00:45:32.520 Now, again, I wouldn't trust any specific poll and I wouldn't trust any data at all in the,

00:45:41.680 in the whole world.

00:45:42.420 I don't trust any of it.

00:45:43.960 And, but if there are enough things that point in the same direction and it agrees with your

00:45:50.380 observation, then you start taking it seriously.

00:45:54.620 And what we have here, the indications are, if it's true, a real big mental virus that could

00:46:03.960 end the country.

00:46:06.540 Meaning that there's some kind of educational process, whether it's the media or the schools

00:46:12.640 or both, there's an educational process that is setting up the country for cataclysm.

00:46:20.380 And it's, it's based on how people are trained to see the other.

00:46:24.300 So we've clearly left the melting pot behind and we're now into the oppressor repressed model,

00:46:31.420 which should guarantee the end of America. 0.50

00:46:37.640 Because design is destiny.

00:46:39.220 Now we still have time to change the design, but our current design is for the end of the

00:46:44.160 United States.

00:46:46.300 Very clearly, very clearly the end of the United States.

00:46:51.060 Now I do have confidence that we'll adjust, but we're not going to adjust unless we understand

00:46:56.320 where we're heading.

00:46:57.420 And let me say it as clearly as possible.

00:46:59.420 Our current country's design is a guaranteed destruction, guaranteed open borders and promotion 1.00

00:47:08.700 of people based on characteristics, which are not related directly to capability.

00:47:15.580 That's all you need.

00:47:17.800 And then the, the othering of one group, which almost certainly causes massive disruption.

00:47:24.840 So that's where we're heading.

00:47:30.520 But I do have confidence that the Adam's law of slow moving disasters will adjust.

00:47:39.300 We'll find our way out.

00:47:40.980 We always do.

00:47:43.960 But you might all have to move to New Zealand or something.

00:47:46.460 I don't know.

00:47:47.880 And that, ladies and gentlemen, is all I needed to say.

00:47:51.400 Was there any story I missed?

00:47:52.460 Sunday is kind of a slow day.

00:47:57.720 Poland?

00:47:58.280 What about Poland?

00:47:59.220 Oh, I know what you're saying.

00:48:02.240 Go to Poland. 0.97

00:48:09.200 Australia locked down hard.

00:48:10.620 Yeah, but their government just changed.

00:48:15.120 Soviet purges were the end result of a slow moving disaster. 0.68

00:48:21.200 True.

00:48:21.600 There will be purges.

00:48:26.580 You just described why I'm demonetized.

00:48:29.240 No, there's a specific word I'm avoiding saying that I think is the thing.

00:48:34.000 So this will be a test.

00:48:35.820 I'll just avoid saying that word.

00:48:39.040 Starts with a C.

00:48:39.960 All right.

00:48:41.600 If you have not seen my Dilbert Reborn comic for today, you are missing what most people are saying is the funniest one I've ever written.

00:48:50.720 Because it does use some profanity in a colorful way.

00:48:55.320 And you would have to be a subscriber on the X platform and subscribe to me with that little subscribe button up in the profile.

00:49:03.300 Or to be on the Scott Adams dot locals dot com platform where you get the comic plus a whole bunch else.

00:49:12.240 And if you didn't already know, my book, reframe your brain is changing the world.

00:49:18.480 Actually, literally, it's changing the world.

00:49:22.300 So pick that up because I know you want a copy.

00:49:26.740 It's doing great, by the way.

00:49:27.860 The reviews are like nothing I've ever seen.

00:49:31.420 They're amazing.

00:49:31.920 All right.

00:49:35.820 All you wonderful people.

00:49:38.180 Yeah.

00:49:38.420 And if you look at the other comments, you can see the comments are tremendous.

00:49:43.460 And I would say, again, it is the book.

00:49:45.800 Here's my claim.

00:49:47.380 It's the book that for the least amount of effort reading it, because it's written to be real easy to read, you'll get the biggest change in your life.

00:49:56.960 And you won't have to keep a diary.

00:49:59.540 You know, you won't have to do any crazy stuff.

00:50:01.420 You just have to read it.

00:50:03.260 All it does is change the software in your head.

00:50:06.300 And all you need to do that is just be exposed to it.

00:50:08.780 Just read it once and it will update the software in your head.

00:50:12.920 All right.

00:50:13.940 That's all you need to know for today.

00:50:16.020 So thanks for joining me on the X and YouTube platforms.

00:50:19.260 I'm going to talk to the people on Locals a little extra because they are awesome and they deserve a little extra today.

00:50:26.660 Bye for now.

00:50:31.420 All right.

00:50:32.360 See you.

00:50:32.420 See you.

00:50:32.960 Bye for now.

00:50:34.700 Bye.

00:50:35.260 Bye.

00:50:36.280 Bye.

00:50:36.400 Bye.

00:50:36.640 Bye.

00:50:36.760 Bye.

00:50:37.320 Bye.

00:50:37.340 Bye.

00:50:37.820 Bye.

00:50:38.240 Bye.

00:50:50.880 Bye.

00:50:51.380 Bye.

00:50:51.420 Bye.

00:50:51.540 Bye.

00:50:51.840 Bye.

00:50:52.440 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 15, 2023

Episode 2262 Scott Adams： CWSA 10⧸15⧸23

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