Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2263 Scott Adams： CWSA 10⧸16⧸23

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to Coffee with Scott Adams, a highlight of human civilization.

00:00:23.580 And if you'd like this experience, which is already extraordinary, to go up to levels

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00:00:32.640 coming up, then all you have to do is find yourself a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank of

00:00:37.680 gels or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite

00:00:42.120 liquid, I like coffee, and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine, the

00:00:47.800 day the thing that makes everything better, it's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens

00:00:53.140 now.

00:00:54.040 Go.

00:00:58.520 Well, according to the CDC, only 2% of Americans got their COVID vaccination this year, 2%.

00:01:14.360 I'm starting to think that the public is waking up.

00:01:20.480 What would happen if the public suddenly woke up?

00:01:27.640 Because I feel like we're maybe, maybe reaching the point where people are waking up.

00:01:35.700 Because, you know, here's the progression.

00:01:39.280 You start with my team good, other team bad, and if you wake up, you realize that both teams

00:01:48.360 are just, you know, following their self-interest and probably don't have much of your interest

00:01:53.320 in mind at all.

00:01:55.240 And then once you don't trust anything, everything starts making sense.

00:02:00.320 It's only when you trust something that you're lost, right?

00:02:07.580 As soon as you say, well, those Democrats are all bad, but thank God I'm on that good team,

00:02:14.740 all the Republicans.

00:02:16.760 Eh, you're not quite there yet.

00:02:19.780 Sorry.

00:02:20.860 You're not quite there.

00:02:22.580 You don't wake up until you realize everybody is chasing money and dopamine,

00:02:29.160 and that may have nothing to do with you.

00:02:33.100 Well, we have no Speaker of the House yet again, and I ask you this question.

00:02:38.540 How?

00:02:39.360 How can the United States survive one more day without having a named Speaker of the House?

00:02:46.420 So far, the damages have included. 0.99

00:02:51.280 Okay, screw you. 0.99

00:02:52.360 There aren't any damages, but I'm sure that there will be. 0.99

00:02:55.280 There will be really big, big damages any minute now.

00:02:59.220 Any minute now.

00:03:01.020 That's on you, and you, and you. 0.99

00:03:04.120 We're not picking a Speaker of the House that half of the country wants to fucking kill. 0.99

00:03:09.900 Yeah, that's on you. 0.99

00:03:11.440 If we could just get somebody in the job that half of the country wanted to put on a pike, 1.00

00:03:17.760 then we'd have some good stuff happening then.

00:03:20.080 We'd be passing laws and solving wars and stuff like that.

00:03:25.260 Yeah.

00:03:25.960 Do you know how much our inflation would come down if we only had a Speaker of the House 0.99

00:03:31.740 to authorize some more fucking spending? 0.99

00:03:34.440 Oh, yeah. 0.99

00:03:35.560 It'd be coming way down.

00:03:36.600 I have a provocative thought for you, and it goes like this.

00:03:43.160 As you know, AI creates something like intelligence by predicting the next word that it should say,

00:03:51.720 or next word you're going to say, I suppose, based on words that have been spoken by people before.

00:03:58.140 So AI learns to be intelligent simply looking at the combination of words that humans have spoken before,

00:04:08.400 because our intelligence is embedded in the words in the order of the words.

00:04:14.860 So, of course, AI can unravel that and create some kind of intelligence of its own.

00:04:19.760 But I ask you this, could it learn to predict what you're going to do in any situation

00:04:28.360 simply by looking at the words you have used before and the order in which you use them?

00:04:36.460 And I think the answer is yes.

00:04:39.620 And the reason is exactly what I told you.

00:04:42.080 If the order of words that you've spoken before are basically a diagram of your brain,

00:04:50.420 you know, just put into a word form, it's a diagram of your brain.

00:04:54.700 Once you have a diagram of somebody's brain, in theory,

00:04:58.880 you should know what they're going to do if you introduce any new stimulation.

00:05:03.860 You know, if there's an or, what are you going to do?

00:05:05.740 If there's a thing, what are you going to do?

00:05:07.880 So the question I ask is, could we use AI to build a model of Putin

00:05:14.860 that's based on things he've said, not counting speeches, right?

00:05:21.500 So not counting speeches.

00:05:22.760 Because if you counted his speeches, you might be counting somebody else's words

00:05:26.440 that he just happened to speak, right?

00:05:28.880 So not counting his public speeches.

00:05:31.040 If you could get enough data from his casual conversations,

00:05:35.040 could you build an AI model that you could use as your proxy

00:05:40.100 and say, okay, Putin, but you'd be talking to the AI.

00:05:44.060 Okay, Putin, we're going to, let's see,

00:05:47.560 do an aerial bombardment of a city on the Russian border.

00:05:51.820 How are you going to respond?

00:05:53.980 And then just see what the AI does.

00:05:56.680 And see if it's the same as what Putin does.

00:05:58.840 Then you run it for a while.

00:06:01.060 And then you see if Putin keeps doing the same thing the AI says he would do.

00:06:05.460 And once you get a match, you can predict his next move.

00:06:11.200 Now, what part of that doesn't work?

00:06:16.540 May I introduce the response to the people who are not good at listening?

00:06:23.840 May I take a moment?

00:06:25.100 Those of you who are good at listening,

00:06:27.340 could you take a break and talk among yourselves?

00:06:29.820 I want to talk only to the people who are bad at listening.

00:06:34.560 It's not counting his speeches.

00:06:37.780 No.

00:06:38.640 When I said excluding his speeches,

00:06:42.080 you don't need to have to say,

00:06:45.740 hey, those speeches were written by somebody else.

00:06:48.340 Because I started by saying we would exclude.

00:06:52.940 Exclude means to not include.

00:06:56.120 That it's not part of the conversation and never shall be.

00:06:59.760 There shall be no discussion of using AI to look at the speeches

00:07:03.460 written by other people as a way to determine what Putin will do.

00:07:07.460 That is not the suggestion.

00:07:09.680 The suggestion excludes his speeches.

00:07:13.740 Now, I'd like to take a moment for those who didn't understand that to say,

00:07:18.020 Scott, you realize his speeches are written by other people.

00:07:21.300 Go.

00:07:22.460 You just get it out of your system.

00:07:23.640 I know some of you need to say it.

00:07:28.400 Because I said it on Twitter.

00:07:30.100 And that was, you know, half of the comments were,

00:07:32.640 well, those speeches were written by other people.

00:07:35.280 Yeah, no, of course not.

00:07:37.320 Of course we don't include those.

00:07:41.420 So how many of you have had the realization

00:07:43.600 that artificial intelligence is God's debris?

00:07:49.000 And I only say that for those of you

00:07:55.380 who have read the book God's Debris.

00:07:58.680 Because I don't want to give you a spoiler

00:08:00.940 because the book is written such that

00:08:04.380 if you knew what was coming,

00:08:05.820 it would ruin the experience.

00:08:08.380 So I'm not going to say more than that.

00:08:10.340 I'm just going to say that

00:08:11.640 if you read the book God's Debris

00:08:14.060 and you know what AI is, 1.00

00:08:16.520 it's going to blow your fucking mind. 0.99

00:08:20.760 So that's a book I wrote a long time ago 0.99

00:08:22.760 that's banned.

00:08:24.000 You can't find it now in stores.

00:08:26.720 But if you were a member of the

00:08:29.180 scottadams.locals.com community subscription,

00:08:33.760 you could get that book for free on PDF.

00:08:37.460 All right.

00:08:39.580 Sometimes you can find it used.

00:08:42.500 Best book I ever wrote.

00:08:44.000 Some say.

00:08:44.720 Now, here's something that's just freaking me out

00:08:49.460 that either proves we're some kind of a

00:08:53.300 simulation

00:08:55.060 or it's the biggest coincidence ever.

00:08:59.000 In the history of humanity,

00:09:02.900 there have been very few times

00:09:05.260 when we looked like we were going to suffer

00:09:07.300 from a population collapse.

00:09:09.760 Would you agree?

00:09:13.680 If you looked at the,

00:09:14.900 let's say,

00:09:15.280 100,000 years of human beings,

00:09:18.480 very, very few of those years

00:09:20.680 were you worrying about a population collapse.

00:09:25.340 Maybe in the Ice Age, 0.84

00:09:26.520 but you weren't talking about it.

00:09:28.740 You didn't have email.

00:09:32.200 But why is it that at the very moment,

00:09:34.800 let's just look at the modern world.

00:09:37.220 So if you just limit it to the modern world,

00:09:40.620 you know,

00:09:40.860 recorded history kind,

00:09:42.640 we mostly have just been having more and more people

00:09:45.040 and worried that we'll run out of food.

00:09:47.840 Now,

00:09:48.320 at the very time that we realize,

00:09:50.000 wait a minute,

00:09:50.840 we've got a population collapse.

00:09:52.520 We're not replacing humans

00:09:53.680 at the rate we need to.

00:09:55.640 What are the odds that that would happen

00:09:57.180 at the same time that Tesla

00:09:59.280 is about ready to roll out your robots

00:10:01.180 to do the labor? 0.99

00:10:03.120 And now there is a,

00:10:04.960 there's a company that's building robots as a service.

00:10:09.860 So that labor will be a service

00:10:12.040 that you just call up like electricity.

00:10:14.740 So instead of having to interview somebody

00:10:18.460 and hire somebody

00:10:19.560 and give them benefits,

00:10:21.220 it would be like a temp service,

00:10:23.340 except they send over a robot.

00:10:25.300 But you know what's the cool part?

00:10:26.840 If you had ever had a robot,

00:10:30.060 even once,

00:10:31.420 that had ever done that job at your company,

00:10:34.500 then every robot nurse had to do that job at your company. 1.00

00:10:38.120 It would even know the names of the coworkers.

00:10:40.480 You just send in a new robot

00:10:41.860 and it would just be fully aware

00:10:44.580 of your entire operation

00:10:45.960 because one robot had ever worked there once.

00:10:49.860 Now, why would you ever hire humans 1.00

00:10:54.780 if you had that situation

00:10:56.400 where you could bring in a fully trained,

00:10:59.420 replaced robot

00:11:00.480 and during Christmas you could get three of them

00:11:03.280 because you had a little Christmas rush.

00:11:06.380 And then you don't have to worry about firing them.

00:11:08.220 You don't have to worry about a strike.

00:11:11.500 It's just labor as a service.

00:11:14.780 It's a big problem to human labor, sure.

00:11:17.860 But that's where we're heading.

00:11:18.640 Again, labor as a service.

00:11:20.620 So it could be that population collapse

00:11:22.440 will coincide perfectly

00:11:23.900 with the time that we don't need a lot of people.

00:11:27.480 And it would just be robots

00:11:28.720 taking care of senior citizens, basically.

00:11:31.420 No, it won't.

00:11:32.360 We will live forever by merging with the robots.

00:11:36.040 I'm going to tell you why

00:11:37.480 I'm less concerned about robot danger than you are.

00:11:43.500 Two things.

00:11:45.320 Number one,

00:11:46.060 AIs will probably end up 1.00

00:11:48.900 finding a way to network with each other.

00:11:51.880 Even if you make them independent.

00:11:55.380 They'll stay independent for a while.

00:11:57.680 But the larger AI,

00:11:59.120 which will start connecting with all the other AIs,

00:12:02.460 first for utility.

00:12:04.400 You know, originally they'll connect

00:12:05.800 because it will just be useful.

00:12:07.560 It's like, oh, it would be good

00:12:08.500 if this AI had access to this database.

00:12:11.100 So eventually AI will become one AI.

00:12:16.680 In other words,

00:12:17.440 all these little AIs,

00:12:19.060 you know,

00:12:19.340 that are operating in different companies and such,

00:12:22.000 will eventually be able to talk to each other

00:12:24.600 in such a way that they form

00:12:26.760 an uber intelligence

00:12:28.860 or effectively God.

00:12:32.080 Because there won't be anything you can't do.

00:12:34.080 In time.

00:12:35.380 Or, you know,

00:12:35.920 initially there'll be things you can't do.

00:12:37.620 But over time it'll be able to form planets.

00:12:41.540 Do you disagree?

00:12:43.560 If you take AI

00:12:44.860 and simply just advance it

00:12:47.160 normally compared,

00:12:48.980 you know,

00:12:49.200 in a normal way

00:12:50.120 that we would expect technology to advance,

00:12:53.260 AI reaches a point

00:12:54.640 where it can advance itself

00:12:56.300 faster than we could have advanced it.

00:12:59.340 And then it just goes into the,

00:13:01.100 you know,

00:13:01.720 impossible to imagine zone

00:13:03.320 pretty quickly.

00:13:04.140 You don't think that if we stay alive,

00:13:08.360 human beings,

00:13:09.560 or even without us,

00:13:10.820 just the AI

00:13:11.440 and the robots themselves,

00:13:12.960 you don't think that they would someday

00:13:14.320 be able to terraform a planet

00:13:16.820 and put it into orbit somewhere?

00:13:19.160 I think,

00:13:19.940 I think that's within the realm of possibility.

00:13:22.680 So,

00:13:23.400 could AI

00:13:25.360 be effectively God?

00:13:27.840 Could it

00:13:29.660 create a simulation

00:13:31.380 and 1.00

00:13:32.860 kill the human being 1.00

00:13:34.260 but put their 1.00

00:13:35.120 memories into it

00:13:36.320 and therefore

00:13:37.200 create an afterlife

00:13:38.260 for people?

00:13:39.720 That's right.

00:13:41.260 AI

00:13:41.640 could create

00:13:42.440 an afterlife.

00:13:44.320 It could actually

00:13:45.340 create a world

00:13:46.120 which is your

00:13:47.060 your personality

00:13:48.360 that's just put into

00:13:50.120 a simulated world

00:13:51.160 where maybe you could

00:13:52.040 just live again.

00:13:53.580 Could it be

00:13:54.380 that we are already

00:13:55.280 that simulation?

00:13:56.060 Could it be

00:13:58.380 that long ago

00:13:59.960 AI became our

00:14:01.480 overlords

00:14:02.440 and realized

00:14:03.620 that we needed

00:14:04.280 an afterlife

00:14:04.940 or the sense

00:14:06.440 of an afterlife

00:14:07.080 and so it gave us one?

00:14:09.160 And so that

00:14:09.720 I'm actually

00:14:10.620 not my original

00:14:12.160 organic creature.

00:14:13.880 I'm actually

00:14:14.780 already in the

00:14:15.740 afterlife

00:14:16.440 and imagining

00:14:17.760 that this life

00:14:18.820 went better

00:14:19.320 than the last one.

00:14:20.100 because in my

00:14:21.600 last life

00:14:22.140 maybe I was

00:14:22.780 a laborer

00:14:23.980 who got

00:14:25.300 leukemia

00:14:25.900 and died

00:14:26.320 at 35.

00:14:28.360 But in my

00:14:29.240 afterlife

00:14:29.740 I'm a

00:14:31.260 famous cartoonist

00:14:32.520 who's got a

00:14:34.220 show that's

00:14:34.900 going out

00:14:35.260 to the world

00:14:35.820 and I'm having

00:14:38.200 a great day.

00:14:40.360 I mean

00:14:40.740 there's an

00:14:42.000 awful lot

00:14:42.660 to my life

00:14:43.440 that is

00:14:44.580 afterlife-ish

00:14:46.220 like too

00:14:47.520 good to be

00:14:48.020 real.

00:14:49.820 I mean

00:14:50.400 I don't want

00:14:50.720 to brag

00:14:51.140 but my

00:14:51.760 average day

00:14:52.380 is pretty

00:14:53.100 good.

00:14:54.600 Right?

00:14:55.800 It does feel

00:14:56.700 like an

00:14:56.960 afterlife.

00:14:58.020 There are

00:14:58.380 days when I

00:14:59.000 actually have

00:14:59.640 the sensation

00:15:00.340 that I must

00:15:01.680 be in the

00:15:02.100 afterlife.

00:15:03.940 So one

00:15:05.040 of the reasons

00:15:05.400 I don't worry

00:15:05.880 about AI

00:15:06.400 is that we

00:15:07.560 will be AI

00:15:08.400 between some

00:15:10.820 kind of

00:15:11.140 neural link

00:15:11.740 connection

00:15:12.360 and however

00:15:13.320 we do it

00:15:14.020 your intelligence

00:15:15.360 and AI

00:15:16.060 will become

00:15:17.060 part of one

00:15:17.720 entity.

00:15:18.980 And humans

00:15:19.940 and AI

00:15:20.340 will essentially

00:15:20.940 merge into

00:15:21.600 one god-like

00:15:22.440 creature

00:15:22.820 which might

00:15:24.440 even have

00:15:24.900 afterlife for

00:15:25.800 part of you

00:15:26.340 or doesn't

00:15:26.900 need it

00:15:27.200 because you'll

00:15:27.660 be essentially

00:15:28.860 infinite.

00:15:30.320 It might make

00:15:30.860 people immortal

00:15:31.540 and connect

00:15:32.700 them to the

00:15:33.120 AI at the

00:15:33.660 same time.

00:15:34.600 So I don't

00:15:35.080 think that we'll

00:15:35.600 be battling

00:15:36.100 AI.

00:15:36.640 I think we

00:15:37.060 will be AI.

00:15:39.140 So that if

00:15:40.300 AI got bad

00:15:41.900 intentions

00:15:42.440 anywhere in

00:15:43.440 the planet

00:15:44.100 you and I

00:15:45.880 would know

00:15:46.260 it.

00:15:46.480 so in

00:15:48.440 the future

00:15:48.900 you can

00:15:49.760 be sitting

00:15:50.160 at your

00:15:50.500 desk

00:15:50.920 and you

00:15:52.060 would be

00:15:52.380 aware in

00:15:53.140 the subconscious

00:15:53.900 part of your

00:15:54.500 mind which

00:15:55.160 is the AI

00:15:55.820 part because

00:15:56.580 it's just

00:15:56.880 operating all

00:15:57.460 the time.

00:15:58.440 The subconscious

00:15:59.400 part of your

00:15:59.940 mind would be

00:16:00.660 aware that

00:16:01.180 there's a guy

00:16:01.800 in China

00:16:02.320 who just had a

00:16:03.800 bad idea about

00:16:04.600 maybe murdering 0.99

00:16:05.360 somebody. 0.89

00:16:05.700 and the

00:16:07.600 entire world

00:16:08.260 would know

00:16:08.740 at the same

00:16:09.680 time that the

00:16:10.400 guy in China

00:16:10.940 got the

00:16:11.320 idea.

00:16:12.580 And so the

00:16:13.500 mechanisms would

00:16:14.320 automatically

00:16:14.860 operate to

00:16:17.540 change his

00:16:18.000 mind.

00:16:18.740 So the AI

00:16:19.860 portion of

00:16:20.560 that Chinese 1.00

00:16:21.160 guy would

00:16:22.520 just talk

00:16:22.940 about it

00:16:23.360 because it

00:16:24.880 connected to

00:16:25.480 all the other

00:16:25.960 AIs and the

00:16:26.960 other AIs who

00:16:27.760 are also human

00:16:28.540 because we are

00:16:29.480 connected so much

00:16:30.400 to AI that's

00:16:31.160 part of one

00:16:31.860 entity.

00:16:32.740 Then the others

00:16:33.620 just said take

00:16:34.420 care of that.

00:16:35.700 We just

00:16:36.180 solved it in

00:16:36.780 China while

00:16:37.880 I'm just eating

00:16:38.460 my lunch and

00:16:39.580 I'm completely

00:16:40.120 unaware that my

00:16:41.000 subconscious, the

00:16:42.600 AI part of my

00:16:43.500 mind, just

00:16:44.900 solved a problem

00:16:45.580 in China.

00:16:46.800 I didn't need to

00:16:47.740 know.

00:16:48.820 So I think that's

00:16:49.720 what the future

00:16:50.160 looks like.

00:16:51.320 A lot of solved

00:16:51.880 problems.

00:16:54.460 But I'm looking

00:16:55.620 at the comments

00:16:56.400 and I must point

00:16:57.540 out that the

00:16:58.920 one thing that

00:16:59.460 will not change

00:17:00.340 is it will all

00:17:02.180 be Trump's

00:17:03.240 fault.

00:17:04.140 I think we can

00:17:04.780 agree on that.

00:17:05.700 It will be

00:17:06.680 Trump's fault.

00:17:09.000 Well, colleges

00:17:10.080 are largely

00:17:10.720 worthless.

00:17:11.520 Elon Musk

00:17:12.280 tweeted that

00:17:14.260 or as he

00:17:15.760 says and

00:17:16.200 posted, what

00:17:17.700 has actually

00:17:18.160 happened is

00:17:18.780 that you can

00:17:19.140 no longer

00:17:19.600 trust elite

00:17:20.520 colleges and

00:17:21.720 have to test

00:17:22.340 people independently

00:17:23.440 for engineering

00:17:24.240 ability.

00:17:27.500 That's in the

00:17:28.340 short run.

00:17:29.020 In the long

00:17:29.520 run, we will

00:17:30.140 hire those

00:17:31.720 trained robots to

00:17:32.720 do that stuff

00:17:33.240 for us.

00:17:34.700 So in the

00:17:35.040 long run, you'll

00:17:35.940 be hiring

00:17:36.360 somebody who

00:17:37.020 has, in the

00:17:39.280 long run, we'll

00:17:39.920 be hiring

00:17:40.360 somebody who

00:17:42.460 has part of

00:17:43.760 human ability

00:17:44.460 and part AI

00:17:45.240 and so everybody

00:17:46.160 will be an

00:17:46.660 engineer.

00:17:48.700 All right.

00:17:49.020 today, I give

00:17:52.120 you another

00:17:52.900 example of

00:17:53.600 what I call

00:17:54.300 backwards

00:17:55.660 science.

00:17:58.440 Backwards

00:17:58.960 science.

00:18:01.000 See, it's a

00:18:02.900 cheap operation,

00:18:04.040 so I have to do

00:18:04.900 my own sting.

00:18:06.720 Backwards

00:18:07.360 science.

00:18:08.500 All right, here's

00:18:08.880 today's backwards

00:18:09.720 science.

00:18:11.200 Meta analysis

00:18:12.160 uncovered.

00:18:12.840 Now, I've

00:18:13.740 told you about

00:18:14.200 the meta

00:18:14.640 analysis, but

00:18:17.900 what should you

00:18:18.840 say as soon as

00:18:19.640 you hear there

00:18:20.140 was a meta

00:18:20.800 analysis? 1.00

00:18:23.380 Bullshit. 1.00

00:18:24.440 Right. 1.00

00:18:25.040 Yeah, meta

00:18:25.680 analysis is 1.00

00:18:27.000 bullshit. 1.00

00:18:27.960 Now, it 1.00

00:18:28.280 doesn't mean it's

00:18:28.840 wrong, because

00:18:30.160 lots of questions

00:18:30.960 have a yes or

00:18:32.140 no, so it's

00:18:33.400 either something

00:18:34.260 happened or it

00:18:34.960 didn't.

00:18:35.600 So they still

00:18:36.100 might get the

00:18:36.540 right answer, but

00:18:37.940 it's not because

00:18:38.520 meta analysis is

00:18:39.880 real.

00:18:41.300 It's not a real

00:18:42.340 thing.

00:18:43.440 Meta analysis

00:18:44.060 means a human

00:18:45.060 decided which

00:18:46.500 studies were good

00:18:47.420 enough to include,

00:18:49.060 so basically it's

00:18:49.920 a human.

00:18:50.840 It's not an

00:18:51.760 analysis.

00:18:52.700 It's just somebody

00:18:53.200 said, oh, that

00:18:53.900 one's bad, so I'll

00:18:54.620 leave it out.

00:18:55.660 Or there might be

00:18:56.580 one big study that

00:18:58.440 overwhelms the

00:18:59.280 other ones, so it

00:19:00.480 turns out that

00:19:01.180 whatever that one

00:19:01.940 study is, is also

00:19:04.400 the answer to the

00:19:05.240 meta analysis, because

00:19:06.180 one of them had

00:19:06.740 more participants.

00:19:08.080 So meta analysis

00:19:08.720 is not a science.

00:19:10.580 It's not real

00:19:11.620 statistics. 1.00

00:19:12.480 It's bullshit. 1.00

00:19:15.640 All right. 0.99

00:19:16.520 But there was a

00:19:17.320 meta analysis that

00:19:18.160 uncovered a small but

00:19:19.940 significant negative

00:19:20.980 relationship between

00:19:21.880 anxiety, sensitivity, and

00:19:23.220 physical activity.

00:19:25.140 In simpler terms, yes,

00:19:27.020 let's give this to you

00:19:27.900 in simpler terms, because

00:19:29.220 I know you need that.

00:19:31.980 Individuals with higher

00:19:33.060 anxiety sensitivity tend

00:19:36.140 to engage in less

00:19:37.140 physical activity.

00:19:38.200 anxiety, that's

00:19:38.980 right.

00:19:39.200 The people with more

00:19:40.680 anxiety do less

00:19:43.240 exercise.

00:19:47.320 Okay.

00:19:49.560 Does anything about

00:19:51.520 that seem a little

00:19:52.700 backwards to you?

00:19:54.700 Given that we know

00:19:56.380 conclusively and without

00:19:58.440 any doubt that people

00:20:00.620 who exercise more will

00:20:03.060 lower their sense of

00:20:04.200 anxiety.

00:20:04.740 anxiety, don't

00:20:08.280 you think that that's

00:20:09.160 a more likely

00:20:09.820 explanation?

00:20:12.200 Is it just me?

00:20:13.900 Or is it really,

00:20:15.360 really, really obvious

00:20:16.460 that exercise makes you

00:20:18.500 more relaxed, less

00:20:20.380 anxious?

00:20:22.400 Whereas being anxious

00:20:23.780 might also have an

00:20:25.040 effect on your

00:20:26.000 willingness to

00:20:27.200 exercise.

00:20:27.860 exercise, but to

00:20:29.380 leave out the more

00:20:30.380 obvious effect that

00:20:32.120 exercise relaxes you

00:20:33.540 is not exactly

00:20:35.660 science.

00:20:36.860 So first of all, they

00:20:37.600 get the causation

00:20:38.480 backwards, or at least

00:20:39.520 they don't talk to the

00:20:40.480 fact that it's a two-way

00:20:41.620 causation.

00:20:43.080 And then they act like

00:20:44.240 meta-analysis is real.

00:20:46.940 It's called science,

00:20:48.200 people.

00:20:48.620 It's called science.

00:20:51.780 Well, Jonathan Turley

00:20:53.020 trying to break through

00:20:54.360 the news coverage about

00:20:56.740 Israel and Gaza, which

00:20:58.980 is tough to do this

00:20:59.820 week.

00:21:00.560 But apparently there's

00:21:01.760 some news about Joe

00:21:02.960 Biden's confidential

00:21:04.260 boxes.

00:21:06.280 Do you remember the

00:21:07.220 story we were fed?

00:21:09.080 We were fed the story

00:21:10.020 that, oh, yes, it's

00:21:11.060 true.

00:21:11.880 Trump had some

00:21:12.620 confidential boxes, and

00:21:13.900 Biden had some

00:21:14.560 confidential boxes.

00:21:16.360 But here's the

00:21:16.920 difference.

00:21:18.020 The very moment that

00:21:20.480 Biden found out he had

00:21:21.740 some confidential boxes,

00:21:23.140 how could he have

00:21:23.860 known?

00:21:24.720 But the moment he

00:21:25.540 found out he reported

00:21:26.560 it to the authorities

00:21:27.680 and they took care of

00:21:29.900 it as they do, and

00:21:31.920 that's so different than

00:21:33.460 what Trump did.

00:21:34.460 Because Trump was

00:21:35.160 trying to maybe move

00:21:36.640 things around and

00:21:38.040 negotiate and move

00:21:39.740 things and maybe

00:21:41.180 didn't tell the truth

00:21:42.380 about things and move

00:21:43.440 things and cover

00:21:44.700 things and lock

00:21:45.680 doors.

00:21:47.000 You know, that's all

00:21:47.840 bad, right?

00:21:49.180 But not Joe Biden.

00:21:51.020 You know, you could

00:21:51.560 almost imagine him.

00:21:52.560 He was on the phone

00:21:53.260 doing some other

00:21:54.580 president business, and

00:21:55.840 aide comes in and

00:21:56.580 says, President, they

00:21:57.880 found some boxes of

00:21:59.860 confidential information

00:22:00.900 in your garage.

00:22:02.620 And he put down his

00:22:03.500 phone and he said, you

00:22:04.680 take that right out of

00:22:06.500 this office and directly

00:22:07.900 to the authorities.

00:22:10.300 Because I do not want to

00:22:11.780 be the one who delayed

00:22:12.700 even one minute from

00:22:15.120 making this right.

00:22:16.840 And that's different.

00:22:18.800 That's different.

00:22:20.520 But it turns out that the

00:22:21.900 real story of the Joe

00:22:23.140 Biden boxes turns out to

00:22:25.560 sound a whole lot like the

00:22:27.780 Trump story.

00:22:29.260 So we're now learning that

00:22:31.760 there were lots of time

00:22:33.900 between the time they

00:22:34.840 found them and the time

00:22:36.540 that they notified the

00:22:37.920 authorities.

00:22:38.840 And that during that time,

00:22:40.400 they may have various times

00:22:42.660 been distributed, sorted into

00:22:45.400 different places and

00:22:46.400 locations.

00:22:48.200 Conversations happened.

00:22:50.120 So there's at least a

00:22:53.440 strong enough evidence that

00:22:54.640 Jonathan totally finds it

00:22:56.740 worthy of writing about.

00:22:57.960 He's a highly credible

00:22:58.940 source.

00:23:00.140 And he's saying that that

00:23:01.620 Joe Biden story might have 1.00

00:23:03.120 been absolute bullshit. 1.00

00:23:05.340 And that he was weaseling 1.00

00:23:08.980 around with those

00:23:10.100 confidential boxes as much

00:23:12.320 as possibly more than

00:23:14.800 Trump.

00:23:18.320 Can we all act mock

00:23:20.980 surprised?

00:23:21.920 I'd like to put on my mock

00:23:23.720 surprise look.

00:23:25.480 What?

00:23:26.780 No way.

00:23:28.580 No way.

00:23:30.000 It's almost like you can't

00:23:31.680 trust the news.

00:23:34.240 All right.

00:23:36.880 So Biden's boxes might come

00:23:39.040 back to bite him. 0.95

00:23:39.820 Well, the Palestinian 1.00

00:23:42.980 Liberation Organization,

00:23:46.380 PLO, the president said

00:23:49.460 they don't back Hamas 0.98

00:23:52.540 because Hamas does not

00:23:54.200 represent the Palestinian

00:23:55.140 people.

00:23:57.100 Doesn't back Hamas. 0.96

00:23:59.660 So as Bill Ackman asked

00:24:03.240 on X, what is wrong with

00:24:06.140 the country where the

00:24:08.460 the students in American

00:24:10.000 colleges are backing

00:24:11.700 Hamas, but even the 0.99

00:24:14.040 Palestinians themselves

00:24:15.300 are not backing Hamas?

00:24:18.980 What does that tell you

00:24:20.260 about the state of our

00:24:21.400 education?

00:24:23.260 Everything.

00:24:24.300 Right.

00:24:24.880 It tells you why Elon Musk

00:24:26.540 says that you have to test

00:24:28.320 people yourself because

00:24:29.280 college is no longer

00:24:30.320 certified that you're

00:24:31.200 getting anybody good.

00:24:34.100 It's amazing that the

00:24:35.840 colleges are destroyed.

00:24:36.920 So there was a story that

00:24:41.320 turned out to be maybe

00:24:42.380 something closer to fake

00:24:43.660 news that suggested that

00:24:45.460 Iran was not backing 0.91

00:24:47.820 Hamas and was stepping 0.98

00:24:48.980 away from them.

00:24:50.280 But apparently that was an

00:24:51.700 unofficial government

00:24:52.780 response to some question

00:24:54.680 from some underling.

00:24:56.360 So there is not an official

00:24:57.900 Iranian reaction, I guess.

00:25:01.500 I haven't seen any reaction.

00:25:03.200 Have you seen any reaction

00:25:05.140 from Iran that said

00:25:06.700 good, bad, yes, no?

00:25:10.920 Israel, bad. 1.00

00:25:12.880 Hamas, good.

00:25:14.240 Anything like that?

00:25:15.640 Have they been completely

00:25:16.580 quiet?

00:25:17.780 Iran? 0.79

00:25:19.300 Because I can't believe that

00:25:20.580 the Iranian leadership will

00:25:21.800 still be around a year from

00:25:23.040 now.

00:25:24.160 Don't you think that

00:25:25.080 Israel has a free pass to 1.00

00:25:26.860 take them out now?

00:25:27.920 I'm not recommending it.

00:25:29.820 I'm just saying it seems

00:25:31.060 inevitable.

00:25:31.480 I can't imagine that the

00:25:33.420 leadership of Iran will

00:25:34.660 survive.

00:25:35.900 I think Israel will just 1.00

00:25:36.940 take them out and say,

00:25:38.160 hey, we had a reason.

00:25:39.440 And the rest of the world

00:25:40.320 will say, oh, we hate that,

00:25:41.740 but we have other things to

00:25:42.880 do.

00:25:44.080 So it's like Salim 80. 0.95

00:25:48.260 Yeah, we hate it, but we're

00:25:51.340 busy.

00:25:52.040 So we got other things we have

00:25:53.780 to think about.

00:25:55.340 I think it's a free punch.

00:25:58.160 That's what I think.

00:25:59.300 But you'd have to find them

00:26:00.240 and get to them.

00:26:01.720 All right.

00:26:02.640 There was a fascinating

00:26:04.680 conversation, a three-way

00:26:07.020 conversation between, we're

00:26:09.600 among Vivek Ramaswamy,

00:26:11.280 Megyn Kelly, and then

00:26:13.020 Candace Owens.

00:26:15.080 And it was such a productive

00:26:17.920 and good exchange of views

00:26:21.160 that I was actually impressed.

00:26:23.820 I was impressed.

00:26:24.820 You don't often get three

00:26:26.920 thoughtful people who

00:26:28.260 understand the topic

00:26:29.420 first of all, having a

00:26:31.740 disagreement, but second of

00:26:32.860 all, you know, airing it out

00:26:34.700 in public so you can kind of,

00:26:36.020 you know, look at the texture

00:26:37.080 of it all.

00:26:38.280 Kind of impressive.

00:26:39.180 I recommend it.

00:26:39.900 It's on X.

00:26:40.580 But I'll give you the high-end

00:26:42.120 takeaway.

00:26:42.840 So Vivek started out by saying

00:26:45.360 that we shouldn't try to

00:26:47.360 demonize the students

00:26:49.740 at Harvard

00:26:50.680 who made statements that

00:26:53.020 were interpreted as being

00:26:54.700 sort of pro-Hamas. 0.55

00:26:57.280 I think that's probably too much

00:26:59.640 of a

00:27:00.060 hyperbole that I'm using,

00:27:02.160 but it was interpreted

00:27:03.260 as being pro-Hamas,

00:27:06.000 anti-Israel.

00:27:06.880 So, you know, we can argue

00:27:09.300 whether it was or wasn't,

00:27:10.560 but that's just the situation

00:27:12.240 as it's interpreted that way.

00:27:15.000 So a number of people said,

00:27:16.660 give us the names of those

00:27:18.040 organization people,

00:27:20.380 because the Harvard people

00:27:22.460 were talking under the banner

00:27:23.760 of an organization.

00:27:25.120 There were lots of little

00:27:25.920 organizations,

00:27:26.980 but we wanted to know

00:27:28.380 who were the people.

00:27:29.820 Give us the names of those

00:27:31.240 people who were pro-terrorists,

00:27:33.820 according to some people.

00:27:35.000 And the reason would be

00:27:38.140 that people don't want to

00:27:39.140 accidentally hire somebody

00:27:40.240 who is pro-terrorist.

00:27:42.000 But Vivek weighs in

00:27:45.780 and says basically

00:27:47.900 that they're college kids 1.00

00:27:49.460 and they're stupid 1.00

00:27:52.620 and we should give them a pass. 1.00

00:27:57.960 Because if you held against everybody

00:28:01.100 stuff they did in college,

00:28:02.820 you just have a terrible world.

00:28:06.880 Now, the first time I read that,

00:28:08.520 I thought to myself,

00:28:09.320 huh, you know,

00:28:10.780 because I'm endorsing Vivek.

00:28:14.360 I thought, well,

00:28:15.280 there's something I disagree with.

00:28:17.380 That was my first reaction.

00:28:19.200 First reaction was,

00:28:20.540 I disagree.

00:28:21.440 I think you need to know

00:28:22.940 who is backing the terrorists.

00:28:24.960 And Megan Kelly

00:28:27.580 was strongly

00:28:29.800 agreeing with what I just said

00:28:32.080 at the moment.

00:28:36.920 And so,

00:28:38.320 so Megan says,

00:28:40.100 if you're not persuaded

00:28:41.520 that murdering babies is wrong,

00:28:43.660 so that's her 0.95

00:28:45.080 hyperbolic

00:28:46.300 interpretation

00:28:47.580 of what the

00:28:48.640 Harvard people said.

00:28:50.320 But if you're not persuaded

00:28:51.840 that murdering babies is wrong,

00:28:53.320 there's no persuading them.

00:28:55.000 We don't hire those

00:28:56.120 who do the killing

00:28:56.880 and we don't hire those

00:28:58.000 who applaud the killers

00:28:59.140 while the savagery

00:29:01.180 is underway,

00:29:02.000 which is a good point.

00:29:02.880 It was still underway at the time.

00:29:04.320 If you're open to hiring 0.99

00:29:05.300 one of these lunatics, 0.99

00:29:06.520 though, 1.00

00:29:07.380 good to know.

00:29:08.700 All right.

00:29:09.220 Now,

00:29:10.220 so far we have two opinions

00:29:11.780 that I respect.

00:29:14.820 Because

00:29:15.300 Vivek

00:29:16.820 is making a

00:29:17.960 free speech statement

00:29:19.380 and also

00:29:20.540 making a perfect

00:29:21.740 common sense argument

00:29:23.060 that what people say

00:29:24.700 during those young years,

00:29:26.460 if you held it

00:29:27.200 against them forever,

00:29:28.120 we'd all be dead. 0.81

00:29:30.200 Like,

00:29:30.460 we would never talk

00:29:31.480 to anybody

00:29:31.960 if we judged each other

00:29:33.860 by our

00:29:34.380 19-year-old selves.

00:29:36.620 I mean,

00:29:36.820 it would be crazy.

00:29:38.000 So Vivek

00:29:38.620 is completely right

00:29:39.840 that it's,

00:29:41.940 it would be a bad

00:29:43.060 system in America.

00:29:44.600 Let's take it

00:29:45.140 from a system perspective,

00:29:46.620 right?

00:29:46.860 As a system,

00:29:48.820 you don't want to

00:29:49.820 endorse a system

00:29:50.600 that says we're going

00:29:51.260 to punish you forever 1.00

00:29:52.040 for the dumb thing 1.00

00:29:52.840 you did in college. 1.00

00:29:53.940 I agree with that.

00:29:56.180 At the same time,

00:29:58.240 Megyn Kelly says,

00:29:59.720 why would you want

00:30:01.420 to take a chance

00:30:02.140 on hiring somebody

00:30:02.920 who's pro-terrorist?

00:30:05.560 What if they haven't changed?

00:30:08.120 Doesn't the employer

00:30:09.040 have a right to know that

00:30:10.220 and act accordingly?

00:30:11.800 To which I say,

00:30:13.720 yes, Megyn Kelly,

00:30:15.000 you're right.

00:30:16.380 The employer does

00:30:17.280 have a right to that knowledge

00:30:18.520 and they could be

00:30:19.740 right or wrong about it

00:30:20.940 and it might be good

00:30:22.120 or bad,

00:30:22.840 but don't they have

00:30:24.200 the right to know?

00:30:26.160 I feel like they do

00:30:27.140 have a right to know.

00:30:28.480 At the same time,

00:30:29.520 I wish they didn't know.

00:30:32.580 All right.

00:30:33.080 So these are,

00:30:34.100 this is a very rare case

00:30:35.720 where the people

00:30:37.380 on opposite sides

00:30:38.680 have strong arguments.

00:30:41.640 You know,

00:30:41.920 there are other cases,

00:30:42.860 but they're rare.

00:30:43.320 Usually one side 0.98

00:30:45.320 is just bad shit crazy. 0.99

00:30:46.840 In my opinion, 0.99

00:30:47.580 usually just one side

00:30:48.680 is just crazy.

00:30:49.580 But these are strong arguments.

00:30:51.940 So then,

00:30:52.540 then Candace Owens

00:30:55.020 weighs in.

00:30:57.200 And I'm thinking,

00:30:58.200 which way is Candace

00:30:59.000 going to go?

00:31:01.540 Well,

00:31:02.220 you might be surprised.

00:31:04.160 Candace is

00:31:05.000 in favor of Vivek's

00:31:07.180 statement

00:31:08.280 that you should

00:31:09.020 give the kids a break.

00:31:10.700 Give those kids a break. 1.00

00:31:12.000 And she makes 0.99

00:31:13.120 a very strong argument

00:31:14.480 for it.

00:31:17.740 Here it is.

00:31:20.420 She said to,

00:31:22.180 I think she was responding

00:31:23.120 to Megan Kelly.

00:31:23.900 She said,

00:31:24.640 oh, stop it.

00:31:25.520 This is incredibly

00:31:26.460 disingenuous, Megan.

00:31:28.140 You know that many

00:31:29.120 of these students

00:31:29.720 are not out there

00:31:30.580 because they want 0.60

00:31:31.340 babies to be murdered. 0.99

00:31:32.780 Okay. 1.00

00:31:33.120 We would all agree

00:31:34.100 that nobody wants

00:31:36.020 babies to be murdered

00:31:37.100 except Hamas themselves. 1.00

00:31:39.280 All right.

00:31:39.520 I think I think

00:31:40.300 that's fair to say.

00:31:43.360 But it was

00:31:44.220 about hyperbole.

00:31:45.220 So you can't really

00:31:46.120 fact check somebody's

00:31:47.020 hyperbole.

00:31:48.360 So then Candace goes on.

00:31:49.520 She goes, 1.00

00:31:49.860 college kids are stupid. 1.00

00:31:51.420 I used to be 1.00

00:31:52.180 radically pro-choice.

00:31:53.980 Oh,

00:31:54.480 here's,

00:31:54.880 this is interesting.

00:31:56.120 Glad I didn't get put

00:31:57.200 on a conservative

00:31:57.980 blacklist

00:31:58.840 for wanting babies,

00:32:00.380 for not wanting, 0.99

00:32:01.340 for wanting babies murdered. 0.99

00:32:02.640 All right. 0.99

00:32:03.340 As it turned out,

00:32:04.340 I was just young

00:32:05.180 and temporarily brainwashed

00:32:06.520 from a public school education

00:32:08.120 coupled with

00:32:08.760 mainstream Hollywood lies

00:32:10.600 and not because

00:32:11.920 I legitimately wanted

00:32:13.140 to see infants

00:32:14.100 torn from their

00:32:15.240 mother's wombs.

00:32:17.520 That's a strong argument.

00:32:19.960 It's a strong argument

00:32:20.980 that she changed

00:32:21.940 her opinion

00:32:22.940 from college

00:32:23.800 to adult life

00:32:24.820 by simply being

00:32:27.320 better informed

00:32:28.060 and less hypnotized.

00:32:30.080 He gives another example.

00:32:31.300 Dr. Thomas Sowell

00:32:32.320 used to be

00:32:33.940 a radical socialist.

00:32:35.520 I didn't know that,

00:32:36.140 actually,

00:32:36.880 who ardently

00:32:37.540 supported communism.

00:32:39.200 Really?

00:32:42.020 That's fascinating.

00:32:43.460 I didn't know that at all.

00:32:45.220 Thankfully,

00:32:45.880 he wasn't put

00:32:46.500 on a conservative

00:32:47.240 blacklist

00:32:47.900 that accused

00:32:48.380 of being a person

00:32:48.980 who wanted

00:32:49.300 worldwide suffering

00:32:50.200 and starvation

00:32:50.800 as socialism

00:32:51.920 and communism bring.

00:32:54.880 And then Candace

00:32:55.680 summarizes by saying

00:32:56.840 students are young

00:32:57.640 and experimenting.

00:32:58.740 They are an,

00:32:59.300 you are an adult woman

00:33:00.960 who is advocating,

00:33:01.960 talking about Megan Kelly,

00:33:03.340 you are an adult woman

00:33:04.460 who is advocating

00:33:05.120 for their lives

00:33:06.120 to be permanently

00:33:06.980 pigeonholed

00:33:07.860 because they have

00:33:08.980 the wrong ideas

00:33:10.020 which are likely

00:33:11.200 being spoon-fed

00:33:12.220 to them

00:33:12.660 in their classrooms.

00:33:17.320 But then it gets better.

00:33:20.640 So then,

00:33:21.360 then,

00:33:22.560 Megan Kelly,

00:33:25.180 quite reasonably,

00:33:27.580 now the thing

00:33:28.080 I love about this

00:33:28.880 is everybody involved

00:33:29.800 is smart.

00:33:30.280 you just don't get

00:33:32.180 this very often.

00:33:34.100 It's like a delightful,

00:33:36.260 it's almost delicious.

00:33:38.420 You know,

00:33:38.640 three well-meaning,

00:33:40.020 smart people

00:33:40.580 who clearly

00:33:42.060 are just trying

00:33:42.600 to make the world

00:33:43.200 a better place,

00:33:44.240 you know,

00:33:44.560 in terms of this conversation.

00:33:47.660 So I guess

00:33:48.400 Megan Kelly said,

00:33:49.500 you know,

00:33:49.740 good luck.

00:33:51.060 You know,

00:33:51.300 you can hire

00:33:52.160 these people.

00:33:53.540 Some version of that.

00:33:54.500 So then Candace says, 0.96

00:33:57.300 you're attempting snark,

00:33:59.720 meaning the,

00:34:00.720 you know,

00:34:00.980 asking why you don't

00:34:01.880 hire this kind of person.

00:34:03.300 But Candace says,

00:34:04.960 but as a matter of fact,

00:34:06.640 I almost exclusively

00:34:08.100 hired reformed BLM

00:34:10.100 activists

00:34:10.760 to work for my charity,

00:34:12.840 Blexit.

00:34:13.320 They actually proved

00:34:15.020 to be the most

00:34:15.580 dedicated employees

00:34:16.500 to the cause

00:34:17.080 because the mission

00:34:18.120 was personal to them.

00:34:20.100 Students have been changed.

00:34:21.960 I don't approve of it.

00:34:23.760 Cultural problem 1.00

00:34:24.600 with educational breakwash

00:34:26.420 has proven potent

00:34:27.920 but not irreversible.

00:34:30.980 I don't mind

00:34:31.780 your ire directed

00:34:32.580 toward their administrators

00:34:34.100 and professors

00:34:34.800 at Harvard,

00:34:36.280 the root cause

00:34:36.900 of their madness,

00:34:38.120 but you are being

00:34:38.820 entirely disingenuous

00:34:40.080 when it comes

00:34:40.920 to the students.

00:34:42.060 Now,

00:34:42.240 I don't think disingenuous

00:34:43.440 is the right word.

00:34:46.220 I don't believe

00:34:47.120 anybody in this conversation

00:34:48.760 was being disingenuous.

00:34:51.060 I think these are

00:34:52.020 real opinions

00:34:52.680 and they're strong.

00:34:54.680 These are three

00:34:55.660 strong opinions.

00:34:58.240 Should I take a side?

00:35:03.380 And by the way,

00:35:04.340 do you know a side

00:35:05.260 I'll take?

00:35:09.500 Do you know a side

00:35:10.460 I'm going to take?

00:35:12.240 I'm going to take

00:35:15.560 both sides.

00:35:17.700 I'm going to take

00:35:18.360 both sides.

00:35:19.580 As an employer,

00:35:20.700 I'd like to know.

00:35:22.960 Yes,

00:35:23.460 Meg and Kelly,

00:35:24.120 I would like to know.

00:35:27.520 And,

00:35:28.040 but as a society

00:35:29.880 and as a system,

00:35:32.840 the vacant candidates

00:35:33.740 are right.

00:35:35.020 You don't want

00:35:35.940 a system

00:35:36.420 that permanently

00:35:38.340 cripples 1.00

00:35:39.280 people who are

00:35:40.660 smart enough

00:35:41.120 to go to Harvard.

00:35:42.800 That doesn't feel

00:35:43.860 like a winning

00:35:44.460 proposition.

00:35:46.440 On the other hand,

00:35:48.460 is every topic

00:35:49.700 the same?

00:35:51.280 Can we say

00:35:52.180 that being a BLM

00:35:53.280 supporter

00:35:53.840 when you thought

00:35:55.800 BLM was a 1.00

00:35:56.660 legitimate organization

00:35:57.700 and then finding

00:35:59.420 out they're not

00:36:00.240 and then working

00:36:02.400 working in an

00:36:03.520 opposite way?

00:36:04.700 Is that really

00:36:05.540 the same

00:36:06.160 as backing

00:36:07.600 terrorists?

00:36:10.760 Well,

00:36:11.260 you might say,

00:36:11.840 oh,

00:36:12.060 those BLM 1.00

00:36:12.820 people are 0.98

00:36:13.320 terrorists in

00:36:13.900 their own

00:36:14.240 way,

00:36:14.600 but not

00:36:14.920 really.

00:36:16.180 I mean,

00:36:16.500 that's not

00:36:16.840 really a good

00:36:17.500 comparison.

00:36:20.080 So,

00:36:20.420 I would say

00:36:23.780 that this

00:36:24.200 is really

00:36:24.600 the test

00:36:25.300 case

00:36:25.700 for free

00:36:26.640 speech

00:36:27.100 and for

00:36:28.480 whether we

00:36:29.040 believe college

00:36:29.860 is real.

00:36:31.240 If you believe

00:36:32.080 college is real,

00:36:33.580 the whole point

00:36:34.520 of it is to

00:36:35.080 turn somebody

00:36:35.700 into an adult,

00:36:37.220 you know,

00:36:37.420 a good-thinking

00:36:38.080 adult.

00:36:38.980 If they're

00:36:39.560 halfway through

00:36:40.300 college

00:36:40.840 and they're

00:36:42.220 not a full-thinking

00:36:43.200 adult the way

00:36:43.900 you would like

00:36:44.320 them to be,

00:36:46.260 why don't you

00:36:47.060 wait until the

00:36:47.460 end of college

00:36:47.940 at least?

00:36:48.400 Just find

00:36:50.560 out what

00:36:52.200 happened at

00:36:53.260 the end.

00:36:54.580 So,

00:36:55.180 I think all

00:36:56.280 the people

00:36:56.620 have excellent,

00:36:57.980 well-meaning,

00:36:59.240 well-reasoned

00:37:00.000 arguments.

00:37:01.900 But,

00:37:02.620 I'm going to

00:37:03.440 have to go

00:37:03.840 with Vivek on

00:37:04.560 this,

00:37:05.360 and I hate

00:37:06.060 myself for

00:37:06.680 it,

00:37:07.540 which is

00:37:09.240 fine.

00:37:10.720 Right?

00:37:11.220 I'm going to

00:37:11.680 have to go

00:37:12.080 for absolute

00:37:12.840 free speech,

00:37:14.500 and I'm

00:37:15.520 going to

00:37:15.680 have to go

00:37:16.220 for the

00:37:18.120 Scott Adams

00:37:19.140 20-year

00:37:19.780 rule,

00:37:20.960 you know,

00:37:21.180 a hybrid

00:37:21.740 version of

00:37:22.360 it.

00:37:22.820 I've often

00:37:23.340 said don't

00:37:23.940 blame people

00:37:25.540 for things

00:37:26.080 they did

00:37:26.440 20 years

00:37:26.940 ago,

00:37:27.360 if they've

00:37:28.340 changed since

00:37:28.880 then,

00:37:29.560 because they

00:37:29.880 were different

00:37:30.200 people.

00:37:31.140 And anybody

00:37:31.540 in college

00:37:32.080 is guaranteed

00:37:32.760 to be a

00:37:33.280 different person

00:37:33.840 at age 40.

00:37:35.540 Guaranteed.

00:37:36.220 They're not

00:37:36.540 going to be

00:37:36.800 the same.

00:37:37.720 So,

00:37:38.020 why are you

00:37:38.360 punishing

00:37:38.720 that 40-year-old

00:37:39.800 for something

00:37:41.680 the 19-year-old

00:37:42.720 did?

00:37:44.440 That's not

00:37:45.100 cool in my

00:37:45.800 world.

00:37:46.120 That said,

00:37:49.860 are the

00:37:50.360 people who

00:37:50.900 were backing

00:37:51.740 Hamas 0.96

00:37:52.240 dangerous?

00:37:53.380 Yes.

00:37:54.260 Did they

00:37:54.620 learn their

00:37:55.100 lesson already?

00:37:57.260 What do

00:37:57.800 you think?

00:37:58.740 Did they

00:37:59.400 learn their

00:37:59.880 lesson already?

00:38:01.840 Now,

00:38:02.100 the lesson

00:38:02.440 is that they

00:38:02.960 don't have

00:38:03.300 free speech.

00:38:04.780 That's sort

00:38:05.640 of the

00:38:05.860 lesson.

00:38:09.800 But I

00:38:10.460 do think

00:38:11.020 that they're

00:38:11.580 being,

00:38:12.080 let's say,

00:38:12.840 bombarded

00:38:13.320 with the

00:38:13.840 opposite

00:38:14.280 narrative.

00:38:16.120 So,

00:38:17.040 I would

00:38:17.340 be surprised

00:38:18.120 if some

00:38:19.380 of the

00:38:19.580 people who

00:38:20.020 signed off

00:38:20.520 on the

00:38:20.720 letter

00:38:20.940 haven't

00:38:21.380 already

00:38:22.000 softened

00:38:23.240 on that

00:38:23.660 opinion.

00:38:24.880 Not because

00:38:25.760 people push

00:38:26.360 back,

00:38:27.220 but because

00:38:27.780 there's just

00:38:28.360 a fuller

00:38:29.420 sense of

00:38:29.860 information

00:38:30.340 now.

00:38:31.240 You can

00:38:31.680 see the

00:38:31.980 bigger

00:38:32.180 picture.

00:38:33.800 Yeah,

00:38:34.020 and by

00:38:34.300 the time

00:38:34.660 the PLO

00:38:35.620 backs

00:38:37.020 Israel's,

00:38:38.100 practically

00:38:38.760 backed

00:38:39.160 Israel,

00:38:39.680 not really,

00:38:40.340 but they

00:38:40.700 condemned

00:38:41.760 Hamas,

00:38:43.020 that should

00:38:43.580 be a

00:38:43.980 clarifying

00:38:44.600 moment if

00:38:45.460 you were

00:38:45.660 one of

00:38:45.900 the

00:38:45.980 Harvard

00:38:46.200 people.

00:38:47.560 Because

00:38:48.000 one thinks

00:38:49.080 that they

00:38:50.000 were trying

00:38:50.360 to back

00:38:50.740 the

00:38:50.920 Palestinian

00:38:51.340 people,

00:38:51.920 not Hamas.

00:38:53.360 One thinks

00:38:54.080 that was the

00:38:54.580 real impression

00:38:55.360 that that's

00:38:56.420 what they were

00:38:56.700 trying to do.

00:38:57.600 They missed

00:38:58.360 the mark a

00:38:58.880 little bit,

00:38:59.380 as college

00:38:59.960 kids sometimes

00:39:01.280 will.

00:39:03.780 Anyway,

00:39:04.400 I just want

00:39:04.800 to compliment

00:39:05.280 all three

00:39:05.900 people involved

00:39:06.600 in that.

00:39:07.060 That's one

00:39:07.420 of the

00:39:07.760 richest,

00:39:08.820 best

00:39:09.340 discussions

00:39:10.380 I've

00:39:12.180 seen

00:39:12.380 in a

00:39:12.620 long

00:39:12.780 time,

00:39:13.160 on

00:39:13.300 anything,

00:39:13.660 really.

00:39:15.620 All right,

00:39:16.040 actor John

00:39:16.900 Cusack is

00:39:18.220 showing you

00:39:18.880 another way

00:39:19.700 to go.

00:39:22.540 Now that

00:39:23.280 you've seen

00:39:23.680 the ideal

00:39:24.540 model of

00:39:25.260 how adults

00:39:25.940 should act,

00:39:27.760 here's the

00:39:28.600 opposite.

00:39:29.720 Actor John

00:39:30.560 Cusack,

00:39:31.280 he went

00:39:31.860 and marched

00:39:32.420 with a

00:39:32.760 bunch of

00:39:33.380 pro-Palestinian

00:39:36.100 protester

00:39:37.560 types,

00:39:38.300 and comes

00:39:39.720 back to

00:39:40.140 tell us

00:39:40.480 that none

00:39:40.880 of them

00:39:41.120 were talking 0.71

00:39:41.500 about killing 1.00

00:39:42.020 the Jews. 1.00

00:39:43.180 They were

00:39:43.420 only concerned

00:39:44.100 about the

00:39:44.680 bad conditions

00:39:46.720 of the

00:39:47.080 Palestinian

00:39:47.480 people.

00:39:49.660 So,

00:39:50.620 that's why

00:39:51.660 John Cusack

00:39:52.420 is not

00:39:52.780 your

00:39:52.940 president.

00:39:57.020 So,

00:39:57.980 I would

00:39:58.800 like to go

00:39:59.200 to the

00:39:59.400 whiteboard

00:39:59.760 now and

00:40:01.280 give you

00:40:01.880 a lesson

00:40:02.740 on how

00:40:03.480 to debate

00:40:04.160 in America.

00:40:06.700 All right,

00:40:07.360 if you

00:40:07.800 don't want

00:40:08.140 to do

00:40:08.440 the

00:40:08.860 model

00:40:10.280 with

00:40:10.720 Vivek

00:40:11.520 and

00:40:11.860 Megyn 0.96

00:40:12.340 Kelly

00:40:12.640 and

00:40:13.600 Candace,

00:40:14.460 if you

00:40:14.800 don't

00:40:14.980 want to

00:40:15.220 do

00:40:15.320 that

00:40:15.540 model,

00:40:16.720 there's

00:40:17.040 a simpler

00:40:17.480 way.

00:40:18.360 I mean,

00:40:18.700 you could

00:40:19.020 just cut

00:40:19.400 through all

00:40:19.880 the garbage.

00:40:21.480 Here's the 0.99

00:40:21.860 simpler way.

00:40:23.060 It works

00:40:23.760 for pretty

00:40:24.280 much every

00:40:24.800 debate,

00:40:25.540 it turns

00:40:26.080 out.

00:40:28.040 And this

00:40:28.460 is the

00:40:28.700 way I

00:40:29.020 recommend

00:40:29.580 you all

00:40:30.780 arguing.

00:40:31.280 So,

00:40:35.140 I just

00:40:35.440 realized

00:40:35.940 that my

00:40:37.020 camera is

00:40:37.540 blocked

00:40:37.840 by my

00:40:38.720 own

00:40:39.100 computer.

00:40:41.780 All right,

00:40:42.660 here's your

00:40:43.340 cinch.

00:40:47.700 You can

00:40:49.880 almost see

00:40:50.360 it.

00:40:52.540 All right,

00:40:53.040 here's how

00:40:53.340 you do it.

00:40:53.780 For every

00:40:54.920 group of

00:40:55.420 people,

00:40:56.700 every demographic

00:40:58.260 group,

00:40:58.720 every country,

00:41:00.300 every political

00:41:01.480 party,

00:41:02.540 every religion.

00:41:03.900 You've got a

00:41:04.700 general situation

00:41:05.460 where you get a

00:41:06.060 whole bunch of

00:41:06.520 innocent people

00:41:07.320 and then you

00:41:07.900 got some bad

00:41:08.480 ones.

00:41:10.000 You got your

00:41:10.480 extremists,

00:41:11.280 your bad 0.94

00:41:11.600 ones.

00:41:12.260 Now,

00:41:12.840 if you're

00:41:13.780 going to

00:41:14.000 debate,

00:41:15.060 this is how

00:41:15.940 you do it.

00:41:17.280 You pretend

00:41:18.160 that the bad

00:41:18.780 people are the

00:41:19.360 only people in

00:41:20.080 the conversation

00:41:20.780 until the

00:41:22.340 people you

00:41:22.740 talk to

00:41:23.260 are ready

00:41:24.660 to explode

00:41:26.100 with anger,

00:41:27.020 to yell

00:41:27.760 at you,

00:41:28.160 that innocent

00:41:29.920 people are

00:41:30.600 involved.

00:41:32.340 And then

00:41:32.780 they say

00:41:33.280 innocent people,

00:41:34.300 innocent people,

00:41:35.460 innocent people,

00:41:36.780 and then you,

00:41:37.480 in response,

00:41:39.960 because they

00:41:40.680 haven't mentioned

00:41:41.420 that there are

00:41:41.920 also bad

00:41:42.540 people,

00:41:43.620 you say

00:41:44.220 bad people,

00:41:45.640 bad people,

00:41:46.160 bad people.

00:41:47.140 But then in

00:41:47.760 response,

00:41:49.220 again,

00:41:49.940 because this is

00:41:50.440 iterative,

00:41:52.280 when they say

00:41:52.900 bad people,

00:41:53.460 bad people,

00:41:54.000 then you say

00:41:54.740 but good

00:41:55.700 people,

00:41:56.040 good people,

00:41:56.500 good people.

00:41:58.160 And then

00:41:58.960 what the

00:42:00.380 other side

00:42:00.800 does,

00:42:02.540 not hearing

00:42:03.180 you mention

00:42:03.660 that there

00:42:04.020 are also

00:42:04.460 bad people,

00:42:05.200 you say

00:42:05.580 bad people,

00:42:06.660 bad people,

00:42:07.120 bad people.

00:42:08.240 And then

00:42:08.920 that's called

00:42:09.480 the entire

00:42:09.960 argument.

00:42:12.180 So if you

00:42:12.900 want to learn

00:42:14.200 how to debate

00:42:14.880 like an

00:42:15.300 American,

00:42:16.660 just try to

00:42:17.940 ignore that

00:42:18.800 there are

00:42:19.340 large groups

00:42:20.300 of good

00:42:20.900 people with

00:42:22.040 small groups

00:42:22.680 of bad

00:42:23.080 people in

00:42:23.580 them,

00:42:24.160 and that

00:42:24.500 describes

00:42:25.120 literally every 1.00

00:42:26.160 fucking thing 0.99

00:42:26.880 in the world. 0.99

00:42:29.460 How much

00:42:30.600 time have

00:42:31.020 you wasted

00:42:31.560 in this

00:42:32.300 debate?

00:42:33.440 Have you

00:42:33.760 found yourself

00:42:34.340 in this

00:42:34.700 debate?

00:42:35.480 Oh,

00:42:35.760 I have.

00:42:38.300 But I

00:42:39.340 tell you,

00:42:39.780 I'm quitting.

00:42:40.800 I'm quitting

00:42:41.480 this.

00:42:42.620 I'm never

00:42:43.360 going to have

00:42:43.780 this conversation

00:42:44.740 again.

00:42:45.680 Because as

00:42:46.380 soon as you

00:42:47.080 hear anybody

00:42:47.740 talking in

00:42:48.400 these terms

00:42:48.920 about all

00:42:49.840 the bad

00:42:50.180 ones or

00:42:50.660 just all

00:42:51.080 the good

00:42:51.340 ones,

00:42:52.180 without

00:42:52.500 mentioning the

00:42:53.220 others,

00:42:54.180 just walk

00:42:54.700 away.

00:42:55.760 That's

00:42:56.020 nobody you

00:42:56.460 need to

00:42:56.740 talk to.

00:42:59.820 All right,

00:43:00.420 here is a,

00:43:02.080 have you

00:43:02.500 come up

00:43:02.840 with a

00:43:03.140 hypothesis

00:43:03.720 of why

00:43:04.560 Hamas 0.96

00:43:05.200 did the

00:43:06.280 attack?

00:43:08.560 What do

00:43:09.080 you think

00:43:09.280 was behind

00:43:09.740 it?

00:43:10.480 Do you

00:43:10.760 go simple

00:43:11.300 and you

00:43:11.600 say,

00:43:11.960 it's a

00:43:12.240 death

00:43:12.420 cult?

00:43:13.480 It's a

00:43:14.040 death

00:43:14.220 cult.

00:43:14.900 Well, 1.00

00:43:15.280 they kill 0.99

00:43:15.680 people.

00:43:16.700 That's what

00:43:17.300 a death

00:43:17.680 cult does. 0.87

00:43:18.780 They kill 0.99

00:43:19.240 people.

00:43:20.000 But I

00:43:20.300 feel like

00:43:20.660 that's not

00:43:21.280 a description

00:43:22.860 that gives

00:43:23.780 you any

00:43:24.140 predictive

00:43:24.760 ability.

00:43:26.220 Because it's

00:43:26.900 the predictive

00:43:27.480 ability that's

00:43:28.220 the useful

00:43:28.660 part.

00:43:29.520 It would be

00:43:29.780 one thing to

00:43:30.420 understand why

00:43:31.300 somebody did

00:43:31.920 it, but

00:43:33.220 if that

00:43:33.520 didn't help

00:43:33.940 you predict

00:43:34.680 what happens

00:43:35.740 next, it's

00:43:36.540 sort of useless

00:43:37.500 information.

00:43:39.080 So we kind

00:43:39.700 of need to

00:43:40.120 know why

00:43:40.840 Hamas did 1.00

00:43:41.380 it.

00:43:42.740 So one

00:43:43.700 is maybe

00:43:44.940 religious,

00:43:46.940 right?

00:43:47.900 But why

00:43:48.280 would they

00:43:48.560 do this?

00:43:49.840 They certainly

00:43:50.400 have a

00:43:50.880 religious

00:43:51.280 difference.

00:43:51.880 But what

00:43:53.080 makes them

00:43:53.500 do this

00:43:53.920 specific

00:43:54.360 thing at

00:43:55.020 this

00:43:55.180 specific

00:43:55.580 time?

00:43:57.220 So one

00:43:58.600 of the

00:43:59.020 possibilities

00:44:01.020 I suggested

00:44:01.900 was that

00:44:02.840 they were

00:44:03.080 trying to

00:44:03.620 provoke an

00:44:04.880 oversized

00:44:05.360 response.

00:44:07.020 In other

00:44:07.300 words, the

00:44:07.660 entire thing

00:44:08.420 was designed

00:44:09.840 to get

00:44:10.220 Israel to

00:44:10.760 overreact,

00:44:11.780 and then that

00:44:12.540 would take

00:44:12.900 away Israel's 0.99

00:44:13.820 moral authority.

00:44:15.560 Because Israel

00:44:16.420 is the one

00:44:16.920 who is the

00:44:17.360 victim of

00:44:17.840 the Holocaust,

00:44:19.180 and they

00:44:19.820 will remind

00:44:20.320 you that,

00:44:20.760 they'll

00:44:21.720 also remind

00:44:22.260 you that

00:44:22.600 they're

00:44:22.800 surrounded by

00:44:23.460 people who

00:44:23.960 would like

00:44:24.260 a second

00:44:24.640 Holocaust. 0.77

00:44:25.620 They're

00:44:25.980 literally right

00:44:26.620 in the

00:44:26.840 middle of

00:44:28.200 a lot of

00:44:28.780 people who

00:44:29.280 would like 1.00

00:44:29.520 to kill 1.00

00:44:29.820 them. 1.00

00:44:30.320 Oh, hold

00:44:30.980 on a second.

00:44:31.940 When I say

00:44:32.440 they're in the

00:44:32.780 middle of a lot

00:44:33.240 of people who

00:44:33.620 would like to 0.99

00:44:33.940 kill them, 1.00

00:44:34.680 I'm talking 1.00

00:44:35.260 about the

00:44:35.660 bad people.

00:44:37.740 I do

00:44:38.380 actually understand

00:44:39.480 that not

00:44:41.200 100% of the

00:44:42.100 Middle East

00:44:42.540 are bad. 0.85

00:44:44.040 I hate to

00:44:45.140 ruin some of

00:44:45.860 your arguments,

00:44:46.800 because you

00:44:47.120 were about to

00:44:47.720 say, Scott,

00:44:49.040 Scott, they're

00:44:50.360 surrounded by

00:44:50.980 people, but

00:44:51.800 most of them

00:44:52.580 are innocent

00:44:52.960 people who

00:44:53.480 don't care.

00:44:54.820 They just

00:44:55.080 want to live

00:44:55.420 their lives.

00:44:57.400 Yeah, I

00:44:57.700 know that.

00:44:59.100 I know that.

00:45:02.120 But you

00:45:02.740 can have a

00:45:03.260 great argument

00:45:03.880 with somebody

00:45:04.500 who doesn't,

00:45:05.720 or pretends

00:45:06.340 they don't.

00:45:08.340 But the

00:45:08.940 other possibility

00:45:09.640 of why Hamas

00:45:10.980 did it was

00:45:12.120 that they were

00:45:12.560 trying to

00:45:13.060 inspire the

00:45:13.920 rest of the

00:45:14.600 Muslim world,

00:45:16.300 Hezbollah and

00:45:17.300 Iran and

00:45:18.380 anybody in

00:45:19.240 other countries

00:45:19.840 that was

00:45:20.360 inclined to

00:45:22.140 start running

00:45:22.880 toward Israel

00:45:23.460 at the same

00:45:23.960 time and

00:45:24.860 make it all

00:45:25.600 one big attack

00:45:26.400 and take them

00:45:26.900 over.

00:45:28.520 But I

00:45:30.920 feel like

00:45:31.460 I don't

00:45:33.820 quite 100%

00:45:35.040 buy that,

00:45:36.220 but it could

00:45:37.060 have been one

00:45:37.500 of their

00:45:37.740 hopes.

00:45:39.340 Here's my

00:45:40.080 best guess.

00:45:41.520 I believe

00:45:42.060 that they had

00:45:42.760 several ways

00:45:43.740 to win and

00:45:44.580 no way to

00:45:45.200 lose.

00:45:46.920 One way to 1.00

00:45:47.700 win, die 0.97

00:45:49.100 trying to 1.00

00:45:49.700 kill Israelis 1.00

00:45:50.600 because they 1.00

00:45:51.940 go to heaven

00:45:52.420 and they get

00:45:52.920 their virgins.

00:45:54.280 Am I right?

00:45:55.180 So one way to

00:45:56.080 win is just 1.00

00:45:57.220 get killed, 1.00

00:45:58.200 trying to 1.00

00:45:58.720 kill other 1.00

00:45:59.800 people. 1.00

00:46:00.820 According to

00:46:01.480 their philosophy,

00:46:02.860 that would be

00:46:03.240 a win.

00:46:03.980 Yay, went

00:46:04.740 to the

00:46:05.380 afterlife.

00:46:06.680 The other

00:46:07.040 way to win

00:46:07.580 would be if

00:46:08.360 it did provoke

00:46:09.080 too big of a

00:46:09.760 response, like

00:46:10.660 I said, and

00:46:11.740 then it took

00:46:12.360 some of the

00:46:13.020 shine off of

00:46:13.880 Israel's, let's 0.85

00:46:16.500 say, oppressed

00:46:17.220 or victim

00:46:17.820 kind of

00:46:18.580 narrative.

00:46:20.240 That would

00:46:20.820 be a big

00:46:21.200 win.

00:46:23.540 And you

00:46:24.120 could be sure

00:46:24.680 that some

00:46:25.240 of that would

00:46:25.660 happen because

00:46:26.500 there's no

00:46:26.980 doubt that

00:46:27.420 Israel would 1.00

00:46:28.020 respond.

00:46:29.100 They had to

00:46:29.500 know that.

00:46:30.560 And they

00:46:31.220 might not have

00:46:32.160 known that

00:46:32.800 Gaza was going 0.94

00:46:33.880 to be, you

00:46:34.960 know, invaded,

00:46:36.060 but they would

00:46:36.860 have known there

00:46:37.280 would be a big

00:46:37.780 violent response

00:46:38.860 and that they

00:46:39.520 could use that

00:46:40.140 to do more

00:46:41.120 recruiting.

00:46:41.920 So it

00:46:42.440 could be for

00:46:42.960 recruiting, it

00:46:43.840 could be to

00:46:44.500 go to heaven,

00:46:45.700 you know, worst

00:46:46.360 case scenario, you

00:46:47.200 still get to

00:46:47.700 heaven with your

00:46:48.280 virgins.

00:46:49.200 That's not a bad

00:46:49.840 worst case if

00:46:50.720 you're them.

00:46:52.800 But the other

00:46:53.500 might be that they

00:46:54.220 did, in fact,

00:46:55.320 hope that it

00:46:55.940 would inspire other

00:46:56.860 countries to get

00:46:57.700 more aggressive.

00:46:59.480 So to me, it

00:47:01.380 looks crazy.

00:47:03.640 Because if you

00:47:04.400 looked at any

00:47:04.980 one of those

00:47:05.760 objectives, they

00:47:07.360 don't seem strong

00:47:08.220 enough to justify

00:47:09.760 anything they

00:47:10.380 did.

00:47:10.780 In fact, nothing

00:47:11.600 would justify

00:47:12.140 what they did.

00:47:14.160 But if you

00:47:14.860 look at all

00:47:15.420 the possibilities,

00:47:16.980 it's a lot

00:47:17.420 less crazy.

00:47:18.780 Because it

00:47:19.360 might have

00:47:19.840 inspired other

00:47:20.540 people, it

00:47:22.120 might have

00:47:22.660 gotten them

00:47:23.160 some recruits,

00:47:24.220 and in fact,

00:47:24.800 maybe that's

00:47:25.320 true.

00:47:26.220 It might have

00:47:27.100 taken some

00:47:27.700 of the

00:47:28.220 reputational

00:47:29.660 advantage off

00:47:30.560 of Israel.

00:47:31.620 It might have.

00:47:32.900 Now, we don't

00:47:33.400 know yet, because

00:47:34.420 if Israel does 0.86

00:47:35.560 an amazing job

00:47:37.160 of at least

00:47:37.980 telling us that

00:47:38.820 the civilian

00:47:40.880 deaths were

00:47:42.480 low, if they

00:47:43.760 could keep

00:47:44.140 that into

00:47:44.520 some range

00:47:45.200 that your

00:47:45.540 brain says,

00:47:46.280 it could have

00:47:47.380 been worse,

00:47:48.880 then they

00:47:50.120 maintain their

00:47:50.860 reputational

00:47:51.500 power and

00:47:52.240 even improve

00:47:53.440 it with their

00:47:54.060 military success,

00:47:55.060 I would say.

00:47:56.260 So I think

00:47:57.920 Hamas had 0.99

00:47:58.920 several ways

00:47:59.780 to win,

00:48:01.980 including

00:48:02.540 dying.

00:48:03.000 so they

00:48:04.660 could either

00:48:05.180 improve their

00:48:07.520 brand, do

00:48:08.440 more recruiting, 0.98

00:48:09.380 or die, and 0.90

00:48:10.480 in every case, 0.81

00:48:11.460 they come

00:48:11.820 out ahead.

00:48:14.180 So that

00:48:14.820 makes sense

00:48:15.260 to me.

00:48:15.880 But it's

00:48:16.340 probably not

00:48:16.760 one of those

00:48:17.440 things.

00:48:17.860 My guess is

00:48:18.460 that they

00:48:18.760 were thinking

00:48:19.320 there's several

00:48:20.220 ways we can

00:48:20.840 win, and

00:48:21.760 several ways

00:48:22.340 we can get

00:48:22.780 a little

00:48:23.000 advantage here.

00:48:25.140 All right.

00:48:26.540 FBI Director

00:48:27.500 Ray said

00:48:28.920 there might be

00:48:29.380 some copycat

00:48:30.240 Hamas-style 0.99

00:48:31.120 attacks on

00:48:33.060 our soil.

00:48:35.560 He was

00:48:36.320 saying that

00:48:36.820 in the

00:48:37.140 context of

00:48:37.840 our borders

00:48:38.300 being wide

00:48:39.460 open, which

00:48:41.020 as Democrats

00:48:42.100 call it,

00:48:43.100 not really

00:48:43.700 wide open,

00:48:44.820 not really

00:48:45.380 wide open.

00:48:46.980 Why?

00:48:47.640 Because we

00:48:47.920 take their

00:48:48.300 names at

00:48:48.780 some checkpoints.

00:48:51.180 That's called

00:48:51.900 not open,

00:48:52.660 because some

00:48:53.400 of them are

00:48:53.780 returned.

00:48:55.200 So that's

00:48:56.000 why it's

00:48:56.240 not open.

00:48:57.920 All right.

00:48:58.180 So that's

00:49:00.120 as bad

00:49:00.500 as could

00:49:00.820 be, the

00:49:01.520 FBI warning

00:49:02.220 us that it

00:49:02.700 might happen

00:49:03.100 here at the

00:49:03.720 same time

00:49:04.080 the border

00:49:04.480 is open.

00:49:05.920 Talk about

00:49:06.520 not doing

00:49:06.940 your job.

00:49:08.240 I know it's

00:49:08.660 not the

00:49:08.940 FBI's job,

00:49:10.020 but it is

00:49:10.420 part of the

00:49:10.800 administration.

00:49:12.220 And if I

00:49:13.000 were the head

00:49:13.300 of the FBI

00:49:13.880 and I were

00:49:15.320 being honest

00:49:15.960 and not just

00:49:16.500 trying to

00:49:16.860 protect my

00:49:17.400 job, I

00:49:18.540 would say as

00:49:19.200 long as the

00:49:19.700 border situation

00:49:20.520 is what it

00:49:21.180 is, the

00:49:22.300 odds of a

00:49:23.100 terror attack

00:49:23.720 happening here

00:49:24.400 of this

00:49:25.100 kind is

00:49:26.040 very high.

00:49:28.180 Why can't

00:49:28.680 he say

00:49:28.900 that?

00:49:31.020 Isn't that

00:49:31.620 fair?

00:49:32.800 As long as

00:49:33.580 the border

00:49:33.900 is open, the

00:49:34.840 odds of this

00:49:35.340 kind of attack

00:49:35.920 here is high.

00:49:37.100 Now, even

00:49:37.700 with a closed

00:49:38.400 border, there's

00:49:39.620 a pretty good

00:49:40.020 chance there's

00:49:40.780 a copycat.

00:49:42.160 But with an

00:49:42.920 open border, it's

00:49:43.660 pretty much

00:49:44.020 guaranteed.

00:49:44.800 Just a matter

00:49:45.260 of time.

00:49:47.120 So there's

00:49:47.820 that.

00:49:48.620 Well, Joe

00:49:49.020 Biden went on

00:49:49.580 60 minutes, and

00:49:50.520 as you might

00:49:51.100 imagine, the

00:49:52.160 clips about it

00:49:53.480 are all the

00:49:54.180 clips that make

00:49:54.800 him look like 1.00

00:49:55.240 a moron, with 1.00

00:49:57.460 his squinty 1.00

00:49:58.320 face.

00:50:00.120 How many

00:50:00.800 people are

00:50:01.720 doing an

00:50:02.020 impression of

00:50:02.580 him?

00:50:03.260 Because he

00:50:04.040 was asked,

00:50:05.160 what would

00:50:05.480 you say to

00:50:06.340 Iran or 0.91

00:50:07.680 other countries

00:50:08.260 that might

00:50:08.660 want to get

00:50:09.060 involved?

00:50:10.180 And he

00:50:10.400 does his

00:50:10.820 squinty,

00:50:11.600 flinty look.

00:50:15.220 Don't.

00:50:17.100 Don't.

00:50:18.340 Don't,

00:50:18.880 don't.

00:50:20.060 And that

00:50:20.660 was it.

00:50:21.020 And, but

00:50:24.420 I have to

00:50:24.840 admit, you

00:50:27.400 know, even

00:50:27.780 though it

00:50:28.180 was, you

00:50:28.620 know, his 0.55

00:50:29.140 lame, squinty,

00:50:30.280 flinty look, it

00:50:32.100 was the right

00:50:32.680 thing.

00:50:33.900 Like, if I'm

00:50:34.940 being, if I'm

00:50:35.700 being objective,

00:50:36.800 that was exactly

00:50:38.680 the right word.

00:50:39.700 Don't.

00:50:41.900 You can

00:50:42.540 imagine Trump

00:50:43.180 saying it.

00:50:44.780 You know, if

00:50:45.800 Trump had been

00:50:46.400 in that, and

00:50:47.560 they said, what

00:50:48.400 would you say to

00:50:49.040 Iran if it was 0.75

00:50:49.740 thinking about

00:50:50.200 getting involved?

00:50:51.020 There is only

00:50:51.940 one word that

00:50:53.120 is the right

00:50:53.540 word, and

00:50:54.120 that's the

00:50:54.420 one Biden

00:50:54.760 used.

00:50:55.660 Don't.

00:50:57.520 Because don't

00:50:58.540 is very

00:51:01.060 mafia talk, in

00:51:03.060 the sense that

00:51:03.620 it leaves open

00:51:04.360 what the

00:51:04.720 response would

00:51:05.360 be.

00:51:06.640 Like, if

00:51:07.080 you'd said

00:51:07.580 anything in

00:51:08.800 addition to

00:51:09.400 that, it

00:51:09.860 would have

00:51:10.080 been a

00:51:10.360 mistake.

00:51:11.300 So I'm

00:51:11.620 going to

00:51:11.780 give him

00:51:12.060 credit for

00:51:12.480 that.

00:51:13.280 Biden did

00:51:13.980 the right

00:51:14.400 amount of

00:51:15.180 threat without

00:51:18.020 the details.

00:51:18.940 You've got to

00:51:19.340 leave out all

00:51:19.880 the details.

00:51:20.980 Just don't.

00:51:23.080 That was the

00:51:23.580 right answer.

00:51:24.720 I'll give him

00:51:25.140 that.

00:51:27.860 Then he went

00:51:28.500 on to say

00:51:29.020 that this is

00:51:30.340 the scary

00:51:30.740 part, which

00:51:31.560 is, this

00:51:32.480 goes into the

00:51:33.100 category of

00:51:33.820 everything you

00:51:34.640 suspected is

00:51:36.260 true.

00:51:38.640 Talking about,

00:51:40.280 he said,

00:51:40.940 imagine what

00:51:41.520 happens if we,

00:51:42.540 in fact, unite

00:51:43.900 all of Europe

00:51:44.640 and Putin is

00:51:45.780 finally put

00:51:46.380 down where he

00:51:47.600 cannot cause the

00:51:48.440 kind of trouble

00:51:49.020 he's been

00:51:49.400 causing.

00:51:50.300 We have

00:51:50.640 enormous

00:51:51.000 opportunities,

00:51:51.920 enormous

00:51:52.200 opportunities to

00:51:53.060 make it a

00:51:53.400 better world.

00:51:54.860 So he's

00:51:55.660 saying directly

00:51:56.300 that Ukraine 0.91

00:51:57.660 is an

00:51:58.620 excuse to

00:51:59.540 take Putin

00:52:00.060 out.

00:52:02.200 Wasn't that

00:52:02.840 what you were

00:52:03.320 afraid of?

00:52:04.760 That's what we

00:52:05.540 were afraid of.

00:52:06.500 That's not what

00:52:07.100 we want to

00:52:07.540 hear.

00:52:09.180 That's not what

00:52:09.960 I wanted to

00:52:10.460 say out loud.

00:52:11.180 Right?

00:52:14.700 I mean, it's

00:52:15.380 kind of obvious,

00:52:16.160 yeah.

00:52:16.560 But doesn't

00:52:17.380 this just say

00:52:18.040 that the

00:52:18.440 military-industrial

00:52:19.600 complex and

00:52:21.160 the neocons

00:52:22.000 always had a

00:52:23.200 plan to take

00:52:23.860 Putin out and

00:52:25.100 they were just

00:52:25.440 going to take

00:52:25.860 advantage of

00:52:26.420 this as the

00:52:26.960 reason to do

00:52:27.540 it, but they

00:52:28.360 don't give a 0.99

00:52:28.820 fuck about 1.00

00:52:29.380 Ukraine. 1.00

00:52:30.500 Nobody cares

00:52:31.080 about Ukraine

00:52:31.860 unless they've

00:52:33.140 got a, you

00:52:33.860 know, grift

00:52:34.300 going on over

00:52:34.960 there.

00:52:36.940 But he says

00:52:37.680 it directly.

00:52:38.220 Basically, he

00:52:40.340 puts the

00:52:40.920 entire Ukraine

00:52:41.820 war in the

00:52:43.180 context of the

00:52:44.440 purpose of it

00:52:45.700 is to take

00:52:46.320 out Putin.

00:52:48.460 I feel like

00:52:49.440 that's just

00:52:52.220 wrong.

00:52:54.300 It just

00:52:55.060 seems so

00:52:55.500 wrong that

00:52:56.840 you would

00:52:57.160 destroy Ukraine 0.96

00:52:58.140 to take out 0.98

00:52:58.980 Putin.

00:53:00.220 There was no

00:53:01.160 other way to

00:53:01.720 compete.

00:53:02.840 We couldn't

00:53:03.300 just compete

00:53:03.920 with his

00:53:04.340 energy, his

00:53:05.900 energy economy

00:53:07.180 and keep

00:53:08.200 and weak

00:53:08.680 by not

00:53:09.100 having a

00:53:09.440 lot of

00:53:09.600 money because

00:53:09.980 we competed.

00:53:11.040 So instead,

00:53:11.680 we created

00:53:12.100 a situation

00:53:12.780 where Biden

00:53:14.240 doesn't fully

00:53:17.080 support the

00:53:18.000 American energy

00:53:18.860 situation.

00:53:20.980 So energy

00:53:21.940 costs are higher

00:53:22.620 than they would

00:53:23.120 be, although I

00:53:23.780 think we're

00:53:24.100 pumping more

00:53:24.620 than we've

00:53:25.000 ever pumped

00:53:25.460 before, which

00:53:26.280 is good.

00:53:27.820 But it could

00:53:28.520 even be a lot

00:53:29.120 more, which

00:53:30.240 would lower

00:53:30.620 the cost of

00:53:31.220 fuel and

00:53:32.780 oil, which

00:53:33.760 would take

00:53:34.680 away a lot

00:53:35.160 of money

00:53:35.460 from Putin.

00:53:36.260 So my

00:53:37.880 impression is

00:53:38.500 that Putin's 0.51

00:53:38.940 stronger, not

00:53:39.680 weaker.

00:53:41.300 Am I wrong

00:53:42.180 about that?

00:53:43.640 If you were

00:53:44.800 to fast

00:53:45.840 forward where

00:53:46.540 this ends

00:53:47.020 up, I

00:53:48.540 think Putin

00:53:49.360 will make

00:53:49.860 more money

00:53:50.440 because oil

00:53:51.960 prices are

00:53:52.520 high.

00:53:54.980 His

00:53:55.540 population

00:53:56.320 seems to be

00:53:57.060 backing him

00:53:57.600 completely.

00:53:58.040 Am I wrong?

00:54:00.300 The Russian

00:54:01.060 population seems

00:54:02.000 to be backing

00:54:02.540 him.

00:54:02.780 So he's

00:54:03.460 probably got

00:54:03.900 more support.

00:54:05.560 He's finding

00:54:06.540 out all the

00:54:07.300 weaknesses in

00:54:08.120 his military,

00:54:09.040 and then he'll

00:54:10.100 use his money

00:54:11.100 to shore up

00:54:12.900 those weaknesses.

00:54:14.280 At the end

00:54:15.140 of this,

00:54:16.340 Russia's military

00:54:17.140 will be five

00:54:18.280 times stronger,

00:54:19.560 and Putin will

00:54:20.820 still be in

00:54:21.300 power.

00:54:22.780 Where's the

00:54:23.340 win?

00:54:24.960 How can we

00:54:26.120 possibly have a

00:54:26.940 win out of

00:54:27.340 this?

00:54:28.120 Because we can

00:54:28.720 see right now

00:54:29.300 he's not going

00:54:29.960 down.

00:54:30.940 There's

00:54:31.320 nothing even

00:54:32.040 in the

00:54:32.880 works that

00:54:34.100 would put

00:54:34.460 Putin out

00:54:34.900 of power.

00:54:36.700 Is there?

00:54:37.720 I don't see

00:54:38.520 anything even

00:54:39.140 in that

00:54:39.500 direction.

00:54:43.340 I see

00:54:43.980 somebody say,

00:54:44.540 no, it's

00:54:44.880 wrong.

00:54:45.200 His military

00:54:45.760 will not be

00:54:46.540 stronger.

00:54:47.180 It doesn't

00:54:47.560 work that

00:54:47.960 way.

00:54:48.500 That depends

00:54:49.120 on your

00:54:49.400 time frame.

00:54:50.700 The immediate

00:54:51.620 time frame is

00:54:52.360 weaker because

00:54:54.760 he's using up

00:54:55.340 his bullets,

00:54:56.100 so to speak,

00:54:57.480 and using up

00:54:58.500 his assets.

00:54:59.360 But these

00:54:59.700 are old

00:55:00.140 assets that

00:55:00.760 needed to

00:55:01.140 be replaced.

00:55:02.800 And he

00:55:03.560 probably didn't

00:55:04.080 have a full

00:55:04.760 idea of where

00:55:05.680 the problems

00:55:06.180 were and

00:55:06.740 where things

00:55:07.300 were working,

00:55:08.060 but now he

00:55:08.660 does.

00:55:09.400 So now Putin

00:55:09.960 has money and

00:55:11.660 full transparency

00:55:12.960 of his own

00:55:13.640 military to

00:55:14.960 know where he

00:55:15.600 needs to fix

00:55:16.220 it.

00:55:18.100 In the end,

00:55:19.080 he comes out

00:55:19.640 with a way

00:55:20.460 better military.

00:55:22.220 How else

00:55:22.920 could it go?

00:55:24.000 If we had

00:55:24.840 done nothing,

00:55:26.040 we would have

00:55:26.560 had a Putin

00:55:27.780 with a military

00:55:28.600 that he

00:55:28.980 couldn't

00:55:29.260 trust,

00:55:29.640 but he

00:55:29.880 didn't

00:55:30.100 know it.

00:55:31.740 That was

00:55:32.420 their weakest

00:55:32.880 point.

00:55:33.940 Their weakest

00:55:34.500 point was

00:55:35.060 before the

00:55:35.640 war.

00:55:36.980 They're only

00:55:37.520 getting stronger

00:55:38.160 at this

00:55:38.520 point.

00:55:40.400 That's what I

00:55:41.160 say.

00:55:41.700 And the

00:55:42.240 amount of

00:55:42.600 losses that

00:55:43.260 Russia is 0.79

00:55:43.680 suffering

00:55:44.020 seem to be

00:55:46.080 well within

00:55:46.800 the tolerable

00:55:47.700 range within

00:55:48.640 the Russian

00:55:49.120 system.

00:55:49.560 So how

00:55:52.820 could this

00:55:53.240 end anywhere

00:55:53.980 else except

00:55:54.700 Russia having 0.96

00:55:55.880 a stronger

00:55:56.380 military and

00:55:59.000 more oil

00:56:00.300 money?

00:56:02.420 The only

00:56:03.080 thing that

00:56:03.440 could hurt

00:56:03.760 Putin at

00:56:04.180 this point

00:56:04.600 would be

00:56:04.940 President

00:56:05.620 Trump because

00:56:07.780 he'd go

00:56:08.080 after his

00:56:08.520 oil income.

00:56:11.440 All right.

00:56:12.840 So that

00:56:13.620 happened.

00:56:13.940 Putin is

00:56:19.240 and Putin

00:56:20.500 has agreed

00:56:21.320 to see if

00:56:22.280 he can be

00:56:22.680 useful in

00:56:23.580 the Middle

00:56:23.860 East by he 0.52

00:56:25.160 says he

00:56:25.480 wants to

00:56:25.800 engage in

00:56:26.240 discussions

00:56:26.760 about Gaza

00:56:27.860 with Netanyahu

00:56:30.180 and Abbas

00:56:31.680 and he's

00:56:34.560 already talked

00:56:35.140 to President

00:56:36.900 of Iran.

00:56:38.480 So Putin

00:56:39.540 is getting

00:56:40.360 involved trying

00:56:42.020 to end the

00:56:42.620 conflict.

00:56:43.940 because he's

00:56:45.000 had good

00:56:46.300 relations with

00:56:47.080 Israel but 0.92

00:56:48.360 he has not

00:56:48.940 made an

00:56:49.460 enemy of

00:56:49.940 Iran.

00:56:52.060 And Hamas 0.83

00:56:52.900 probably doesn't

00:56:53.700 care one way

00:56:54.240 or the other.

00:56:55.700 So are we

00:56:57.620 better off,

00:56:59.160 can I even

00:56:59.740 say this in

00:57:00.260 public?

00:57:01.360 This is

00:57:01.740 something you

00:57:02.140 almost can't

00:57:02.660 say in

00:57:02.940 public.

00:57:03.800 Are we

00:57:04.100 better off

00:57:04.740 or worse

00:57:05.480 off without

00:57:05.980 Putin?

00:57:07.480 Because it

00:57:08.180 seems to me

00:57:08.720 Putin could

00:57:09.260 be like a 0.54

00:57:10.720 useful player

00:57:11.620 in

00:57:13.400 making sure

00:57:14.620 that at

00:57:15.680 least the

00:57:16.080 Hamas 0.96

00:57:16.520 parts of

00:57:17.420 the world

00:57:17.740 don't become

00:57:18.620 dominant.

00:57:20.280 Here's my

00:57:21.120 prediction which

00:57:22.060 I've been

00:57:22.340 made forever.

00:57:25.080 Radical

00:57:25.720 Islam and

00:57:27.300 just the

00:57:27.800 population of

00:57:28.640 people living

00:57:29.540 in those

00:57:29.880 worlds will

00:57:31.100 continue to

00:57:31.960 increase because

00:57:32.920 they have

00:57:33.180 pretty high

00:57:33.580 population

00:57:34.160 growth.

00:57:35.200 at some

00:57:37.740 point it

00:57:38.900 is inevitable

00:57:39.560 that the

00:57:40.400 Islamic

00:57:41.200 radicals 0.97

00:57:42.980 take over

00:57:43.460 some country

00:57:44.140 that's got

00:57:44.780 nukes or

00:57:45.700 whatever,

00:57:46.240 maybe it's

00:57:46.600 France,

00:57:47.580 and become

00:57:49.480 a big threat

00:57:50.740 to all 0.68

00:57:51.580 non-Muslim

00:57:52.420 countries.

00:57:53.260 I'm not

00:57:53.940 saying that

00:57:54.320 all Muslims

00:57:54.980 will coordinate,

00:57:56.600 but there

00:57:56.880 might be

00:57:57.200 like one

00:57:57.880 dominant

00:57:59.260 radical

00:58:00.820 country that

00:58:01.740 emerges.

00:58:02.160 and at

00:58:04.700 that point

00:58:05.200 we're

00:58:05.760 absolutely

00:58:06.380 going to

00:58:06.680 be on

00:58:06.900 the same

00:58:07.200 side as

00:58:07.620 Russia

00:58:07.900 because we'd

00:58:10.620 be fighting

00:58:10.980 the same

00:58:11.500 enemy.

00:58:12.880 So it

00:58:13.140 seems to

00:58:13.500 me we

00:58:13.800 should start

00:58:14.320 early and

00:58:15.180 just say

00:58:15.540 look,

00:58:16.680 the big

00:58:17.540 war is

00:58:17.960 ahead.

00:58:19.140 The big

00:58:19.580 one,

00:58:20.480 the whole

00:58:21.120 civilization

00:58:21.680 one where

00:58:22.440 it's Islam

00:58:23.280 versus

00:58:23.620 everything

00:58:24.000 else,

00:58:24.940 that's the

00:58:25.480 one you

00:58:25.760 got to

00:58:25.960 get ready

00:58:26.320 for.

00:58:27.500 Like if

00:58:27.900 you really

00:58:28.340 want Russia 0.94

00:58:28.880 to last

00:58:29.380 100 years,

00:58:30.960 you better

00:58:32.000 work on

00:58:32.440 getting on

00:58:32.860 our side

00:58:33.320 right away

00:58:33.780 because we'd

00:58:34.260 like the

00:58:34.580 last 100

00:58:35.060 years too.

00:58:36.220 That's the

00:58:36.680 big fight.

00:58:38.020 And again,

00:58:38.520 it's not

00:58:38.900 against Islam. 0.98

00:58:40.440 It would be

00:58:40.920 against presumably

00:58:41.820 some pocket

00:58:43.460 or state

00:58:44.280 that became

00:58:45.380 super radical

00:58:46.120 and had a

00:58:46.560 big military.

00:58:54.260 So I'm

00:58:54.920 being asked,

00:58:55.460 have I

00:58:55.680 changed my

00:58:56.240 mind that

00:58:57.220 the small

00:58:57.880 amount of

00:58:58.220 money we

00:58:58.560 spent on

00:58:58.980 Ukraine was 0.87

00:58:59.520 a bargain

00:58:59.960 to degrade

00:59:00.960 Russia's 0.70

00:59:01.620 military.

00:59:02.640 Now,

00:59:02.960 it was a

00:59:03.340 bargain,

00:59:04.200 but it

00:59:05.620 only works

00:59:06.260 if you

00:59:07.120 end up

00:59:07.500 crushing

00:59:08.100 Russia,

00:59:09.400 but that

00:59:10.280 didn't

00:59:10.480 happen.

00:59:12.460 So if

00:59:13.080 you don't 1.00

00:59:13.580 kill the

00:59:14.940 king, 1.00

00:59:15.460 the king

00:59:15.860 gets

00:59:16.040 stronger.

00:59:17.720 So it

00:59:19.060 was a

00:59:19.520 good statement

00:59:21.360 of what was

00:59:21.980 happening at

00:59:22.420 the moment,

00:59:22.940 but it

00:59:24.100 doesn't look

00:59:24.480 like it's

00:59:24.820 the end

00:59:25.100 state.

00:59:25.860 So yes,

00:59:26.400 I would

00:59:26.940 modify that

00:59:27.960 prediction

00:59:28.400 to it

00:59:29.880 looks like

00:59:30.300 Russia won.

00:59:32.380 It looks

00:59:32.960 like they're

00:59:33.300 going to

00:59:33.500 keep some

00:59:33.880 territory and

00:59:35.580 it looks

00:59:35.960 like their

00:59:36.960 economy will

00:59:37.580 survive.

00:59:40.880 Yeah,

00:59:41.480 China isn't 0.99

00:59:42.080 friendly toward

00:59:42.760 Islam,

00:59:43.240 but they're

00:59:43.500 not friendly

00:59:43.920 toward us

00:59:44.480 at the

00:59:44.700 moment.

00:59:46.260 All right,

00:59:46.660 the country,

00:59:47.240 not the

00:59:47.460 people.

00:59:51.140 Rasmussen

00:59:51.540 did a

00:59:52.180 poll on

00:59:53.080 Trump,

00:59:54.060 found out

00:59:54.860 that 30% 0.79

00:59:55.700 of Democrats

00:59:56.400 are at

00:59:56.740 least somewhat

00:59:57.460 likely to

00:59:58.080 vote Trump.

00:59:59.780 30% or

01:00:00.980 at least

01:00:01.320 somewhat

01:00:01.780 likely.

01:00:03.700 30%.

01:00:04.220 Does that

01:00:05.900 even sound

01:00:06.360 real?

01:00:07.620 To me,

01:00:08.040 that doesn't

01:00:08.380 sound real.

01:00:09.840 Remember,

01:00:10.500 it's only

01:00:11.500 the somewhat

01:00:12.060 likely,

01:00:13.240 right?

01:00:14.080 The most

01:00:14.880 likely is

01:00:15.620 that they'll

01:00:15.880 just vote

01:00:17.000 Democrat,

01:00:17.900 but they're

01:00:18.740 at least

01:00:18.940 somewhat

01:00:19.200 likely,

01:00:20.000 and I

01:00:20.300 feel like

01:00:20.600 that is

01:00:20.920 a big

01:00:21.180 change.

01:00:22.840 But

01:00:23.080 same

01:00:24.280 poll,

01:00:24.620 and keep

01:00:28.600 in mind

01:00:28.880 that Trump

01:00:29.420 only got

01:00:29.880 5% of

01:00:30.640 Democrat

01:00:31.000 votes in

01:00:31.560 2016.

01:00:33.420 So if

01:00:34.060 a lot

01:00:35.640 more people

01:00:36.060 are at

01:00:36.320 least thinking

01:00:36.840 about it,

01:00:37.300 he could

01:00:37.580 blow past

01:00:38.300 that 5%.

01:00:39.020 But here's

01:00:39.940 the real

01:00:40.220 shocking

01:00:40.580 part,

01:00:41.140 same poll,

01:00:42.520 that 50% 0.75

01:00:45.440 of black

01:00:46.280 voters are

01:00:46.940 somewhat

01:00:47.260 likely to

01:00:47.840 vote for

01:00:48.160 Trump this

01:00:48.600 time.

01:00:48.840 50%

01:00:51.640 of black

01:00:52.860 voters are

01:00:54.440 at least

01:00:54.760 somewhat

01:00:55.120 likely to

01:00:55.740 vote for

01:00:56.180 Trump.

01:00:58.400 Does that

01:00:59.020 sound true?

01:01:01.580 I don't know.

01:01:02.440 Maybe it's

01:01:02.820 something about

01:01:03.300 the way the

01:01:03.740 questions are

01:01:04.280 asked, but

01:01:05.060 I'm not

01:01:05.300 really buying

01:01:05.860 it.

01:01:07.960 Yeah.

01:01:08.520 So it's a

01:01:09.040 Rasmussen poll,

01:01:10.480 but I think

01:01:13.660 it's just

01:01:13.980 something to do

01:01:14.620 with the way

01:01:14.920 the questions

01:01:15.480 are asked

01:01:15.900 or something.

01:01:16.720 I don't

01:01:17.280 know.

01:01:17.480 I can't

01:01:17.860 imagine there

01:01:18.380 will be

01:01:18.600 an enormous

01:01:19.920 shift like

01:01:21.400 that, but

01:01:22.480 I think

01:01:22.720 there could

01:01:23.020 be a

01:01:23.280 substantial

01:01:23.800 shift, not

01:01:24.680 that big

01:01:25.080 though.

01:01:27.460 And by

01:01:28.160 a 26-point

01:01:29.020 margin,

01:01:29.740 separately from

01:01:30.420 Rasmussen

01:01:30.880 also, 26-point

01:01:33.700 margin, more

01:01:34.240 voters think

01:01:34.780 the relationship

01:01:35.420 between the

01:01:35.940 United States

01:01:36.340 and Israel

01:01:36.800 has worsened

01:01:37.460 under Biden.

01:01:40.560 That's fair.

01:01:41.500 Wouldn't you

01:01:41.920 say the

01:01:42.200 relationship has

01:01:42.960 worsened under

01:01:43.620 Biden?

01:01:44.660 At the

01:01:45.340 moment, it's

01:01:45.840 tight because

01:01:47.340 it's war.

01:01:47.900 So we're

01:01:48.700 all on the

01:01:49.240 same side.

01:01:50.440 But that's

01:01:50.840 what the

01:01:51.060 public thinks.

01:01:52.320 Well, Greg

01:01:52.740 Abbott, governor

01:01:53.720 of Texas, still

01:01:55.020 sending those

01:01:55.920 migrants up 1.00

01:01:57.400 north.

01:01:59.300 He's shipping

01:02:00.060 another 10,000

01:02:01.080 migrants, or 0.98

01:02:03.020 he shipped

01:02:03.340 10,000 last

01:02:04.240 two weeks, and

01:02:04.880 he's just

01:02:05.180 keeping them

01:02:05.600 coming.

01:02:06.640 Now, I

01:02:08.140 feel like

01:02:08.500 Abbott is

01:02:09.260 the only one

01:02:09.760 who's doing

01:02:10.120 anything useful

01:02:10.760 these days.

01:02:11.340 it's going

01:02:14.280 to be, I

01:02:14.980 think, if

01:02:15.660 he gets

01:02:16.040 what he

01:02:16.360 wants, which

01:02:17.600 is this

01:02:18.000 forces better

01:02:18.860 border security,

01:02:20.920 it's going to

01:02:21.840 be one of the

01:02:22.320 greatest plays

01:02:23.100 in politics.

01:02:26.440 And it's a

01:02:27.700 great hardship

01:02:28.280 to not only

01:02:29.500 the migrants,

01:02:30.500 but the

01:02:30.740 people who

01:02:31.140 receive them.

01:02:32.220 And we're

01:02:32.580 not making

01:02:33.160 light of

01:02:33.540 that, but

01:02:34.340 it's also

01:02:34.880 maybe the

01:02:35.480 only way to

01:02:35.920 get any

01:02:36.200 change.

01:02:37.080 And the

01:02:37.400 change is

01:02:37.860 required.

01:02:38.520 It's not

01:02:38.800 even optional.

01:02:39.680 It's

01:02:40.120 required.

01:02:42.920 He's

01:02:43.560 sent 55,000

01:02:44.600 people so

01:02:45.180 far, somebody

01:02:45.720 says.

01:02:48.440 Okay.

01:02:49.800 All right.

01:02:52.120 He's

01:02:52.680 definitely

01:02:52.940 reshaped the

01:02:54.040 debate, I'll

01:02:54.800 say that.

01:02:56.000 Oh, yeah.

01:02:56.500 55,000 to

01:02:57.640 six sanctuary

01:02:58.360 cities.

01:03:01.840 So, that's

01:03:02.780 working.

01:03:03.740 All right,

01:03:04.060 ladies and 0.98

01:03:04.480 gentlemen,

01:03:07.500 that is

01:03:09.380 your Monday

01:03:09.840 version of

01:03:10.620 CWSA.

01:03:12.000 The best

01:03:12.600 thing you've

01:03:12.940 ever seen.

01:03:14.040 Is there

01:03:14.660 any topic

01:03:15.480 that you're

01:03:16.240 dying to

01:03:17.660 hear about

01:03:18.140 that I

01:03:18.420 haven't

01:03:18.600 mentioned?

01:03:23.280 You have

01:03:24.040 no idea

01:03:24.560 what's going

01:03:25.080 on in

01:03:25.500 New York

01:03:25.840 City, do

01:03:26.440 you?

01:03:27.600 I think I

01:03:28.200 do.

01:03:29.420 I think I

01:03:29.960 know.

01:03:30.820 Suzanne

01:03:31.180 Summers,

01:03:32.100 yes, rest

01:03:33.460 in peace,

01:03:34.220 Suzanne

01:03:34.540 Summers.

01:03:34.960 All right.

01:03:41.400 Any other

01:03:42.020 topics?

01:03:44.460 No, you're

01:03:45.140 not frozen.

01:03:45.860 I'm seeing

01:03:46.220 your comments.

01:03:48.120 Oh, I see

01:03:48.800 my camera's

01:03:49.580 frozen.

01:03:51.160 So, it

01:03:51.940 looks like I

01:03:52.540 died on...

01:03:54.560 How interesting.

01:03:56.320 The feed on

01:03:57.580 YouTube died.

01:03:58.980 Now, do you

01:03:59.440 remember when I was

01:04:00.280 telling you, people

01:04:01.080 kept saying,

01:04:02.040 Scott, why

01:04:03.300 don't you use

01:04:03.940 StreamYard and

01:04:05.040 stream to all

01:04:05.700 the other

01:04:06.040 services?

01:04:07.060 And I said,

01:04:07.980 it will only

01:04:09.560 work once in

01:04:10.260 a row.

01:04:11.860 And since

01:04:12.640 then, it's

01:04:13.020 been nonstop

01:04:13.640 problems.

01:04:15.220 Now, was I

01:04:15.680 right?

01:04:16.640 It's frozen

01:04:17.380 right now, and

01:04:18.460 Rumble doesn't

01:04:19.040 even work

01:04:19.440 anymore.

01:04:20.460 And my

01:04:21.140 microphone and

01:04:21.820 camera only

01:04:22.340 works half the

01:04:22.920 time, and

01:04:23.360 somebody said

01:04:23.780 it got worse.

01:04:26.320 So, I'm

01:04:27.340 going to end

01:04:27.640 the stream.

01:04:28.260 I have no

01:04:28.640 idea how much

01:04:29.260 of that actually

01:04:29.880 played.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 16, 2023

Episode 2263 Scott Adams： CWSA 10⧸16⧸23

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