Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2265 Scott Adams： CWSA 10⧸18⧸23

00:00:00.000 Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo 0.84

00:00:08.320 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization now with whiteboard. 0.54

00:00:22.340 That's right, whiteboard later. You're going to love it.

00:00:25.280 If you'd like your experience to go up to levels which nobody can even imagine, it's so good.

00:00:30.620 All you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or stye, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:37.580 And fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.

00:00:41.300 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:47.420 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:50.440 It happens now. Go.

00:00:57.240 Well, you know how sometimes a small story can be big to you?

00:01:04.520 You know, the rest of the world will say, well, that's not much of a story.

00:01:10.940 But to me, it's big.

00:01:13.920 And this is a story about a company that's making a quiet leaf blower.

00:01:19.080 It's going to have something called a whisper drive.

00:01:21.460 So somehow they figured out how to make it way, way quieter.

00:01:26.900 To which I say, oh, my God.

00:01:30.920 That will add half a day of productivity to me.

00:01:35.440 Now, I don't know about you, but if you work at home in any kind of a neighborhood that has lawns,

00:01:40.460 there could be up to two days per week where you can't work at your own house. 0.97

00:01:48.620 It's just too fucking loud. 0.65

00:01:50.780 And it's like, ah, ah, ah, ah. 0.98

00:01:52.300 You know, one day it's mine, right?

00:01:54.460 So one day a week it's my own leaf blower guy.

00:01:57.780 But the other times the same guy is on my next door neighbor who's just like right there.

00:02:03.600 So probably two to three days is too loud to use my office.

00:02:10.620 And if this product becomes available, I will be buying this for my gardener within five minutes.

00:02:21.060 I'm going to say, I know maybe you wouldn't buy this.

00:02:24.360 You know, it's kind of expensive and new and what you got is working fine.

00:02:28.040 But Merry Christmas.

00:02:30.400 So that's what's going to happen.

00:02:31.760 If this becomes a real product.

00:02:34.620 Well, in my next segment that I call backwards science, backwards science.

00:02:47.420 That's where we look at studies and we say, wait a minute.

00:02:51.140 Don't they have the causation backwards?

00:02:53.740 Here's one.

00:02:56.360 Did you know that having a positive attitude toward aging, according to a new study,

00:03:01.760 substantially reduces your risk of getting dementia?

00:03:07.300 Having a positive attitude about aging, very, very highly correlated with having less dementia.

00:03:15.680 Huh.

00:03:16.800 It would seem to indicate that if you could just make your attitude better, which they say you can change,

00:03:22.320 you could actually reduce your risk of dementia.

00:03:25.820 Well, how about that?

00:03:28.020 Does that sound like real science to you?

00:03:30.020 No.

00:03:31.760 Well, let me give you another hypothesis.

00:03:35.580 Here's my hypothesis.

00:03:37.100 It's based on myself.

00:03:38.900 If you ask me, Scott, what is your personal attitude about aging?

00:03:44.100 Do you know what I would say?

00:03:45.400 I would say, well, because I've been a lifetime exercise guy, I've cruised into my 66th year of life with a perfect BMI.

00:03:57.820 And I look the same with my shirt off as I did when I was 25, but a little more muscular.

00:04:02.420 Now, if you ask me, what is my attitude about aging, I'd say pretty good, because I'm healthy, and a lot of all the drama of youth is sort of behind me, which actually feels pretty good.

00:04:16.980 So, yeah, I'm pretty optimistic about aging for myself.

00:04:21.860 Now, suppose you said to me, Scott, you weigh 400 pounds and you have not been out of your basement for a long time.

00:04:29.240 How do you feel about pushing 70?

00:04:32.680 Do you know what I'd say?

00:04:35.260 I'm not so sure I'll ever be able to walk up the stairs when I'm 70.

00:04:39.460 I don't have such a positive thought about that.

00:04:42.200 Now, what would be the real correlation here?

00:04:45.060 The people who exercise are physically healthier, which includes your brain.

00:04:50.240 Ah, it turns out that exercise is good for every part of your body.

00:04:56.160 Don't you think that the people who were in relatively good health when the question was asked would also be the ones who would be optimistic?

00:05:06.600 And wouldn't the ones who are already failing in health at, say, age 50, wouldn't they have a negative feeling about aging because everything's gotten worse every day since they've been alive?

00:05:16.880 Obviously.

00:05:17.360 Now, I didn't see that they controlled for any of this, so I'm going to assume it's backward science or potentially backward science.

00:05:25.500 All right.

00:05:25.840 Have you ever done a post on social media and you said to yourself, well, this one's just for me.

00:05:32.380 This one's not really for the public.

00:05:35.760 Just sort of some little personal thing.

00:05:38.280 And I did that yesterday and got nearly 5 million views.

00:05:42.300 So, for context, a really big post on the X platform for me, I have a million followers, but a big post, really big, would be a million views.

00:05:56.600 That would be super big.

00:05:58.920 5 million views is crazy, right, for anybody.

00:06:03.260 Even if you have a million followers, 5 million views is just crazy.

00:06:07.920 Well, it turns out that Elon Musk got into the comments.

00:06:11.880 And so that might be the biggest reason, but it might also be the topic.

00:06:16.800 And here's what it was.

00:06:17.800 I said I stopped eating bread.

00:06:21.020 There's two gigantic wars going on.

00:06:23.360 You know, climate change, maybe, and inflation, and the world's falling apart.

00:06:28.680 We've got a big election.

00:06:30.320 Freedom of speech is questionable.

00:06:33.300 And I do a tweet about eating bread.

00:06:35.880 I have 5 billion views.

00:06:39.080 So here's what I posted.

00:06:42.060 It said I quit eating bread products several months ago and had the following outcomes.

00:06:45.580 Number one, I drifted down to my ideal BMI without any conscious dieting.

00:06:50.380 Number two, I mean, I quit eating bread because I know that always makes my weight just drift down.

00:06:57.860 But there was no effort except not eating bread.

00:07:01.660 I ate as much as I wanted of everything else, made no other changes in my life,

00:07:06.220 and the weight just starts falling off.

00:07:09.920 I've done it a number of times.

00:07:11.260 It's always the same.

00:07:14.240 Then, but weirder, I said my continuous full body inflammation and aching that I thought was age-related,

00:07:20.380 it disappeared completely.

00:07:22.860 And recently, my sinuses opened.

00:07:26.200 And my sense of smell returned.

00:07:29.860 You know, for so far, it's been several days, which is the longest it's ever returned.

00:07:34.320 Sometimes it'll come back for a few hours.

00:07:38.080 But I haven't had a sense of smell for 20 years because I got some weird inflammation in my sinuses.

00:07:44.700 Elon Musk commented.

00:07:46.340 He said, that diet works for a lot of people.

00:07:48.660 He said, instead of himself, he said, I love carbs and dairy and feel great, but don't have them in large portions.

00:07:58.940 I don't want to be unkind.

00:08:03.060 But some of you have seen me without my shirt on.

00:08:06.480 And some of you have seen Elon Musk without his shirt on.

00:08:10.880 Whose diet would you follow?

00:08:14.740 I'm just asking.

00:08:15.880 I'm not trying to be unkind.

00:08:18.560 I'm just saying, if you're talking about diets,

00:08:21.360 you'd probably want to follow the diet of the person who has the body that's,

00:08:25.460 you know, at least in the neighborhood of where you want to be.

00:08:28.720 So, but I do appreciate the comment on that.

00:08:31.400 And by the way, I think Elon Musk would say exactly the same thing I just said.

00:08:35.380 I doubt he would disagree with that.

00:08:39.100 All right.

00:08:40.100 We don't have a, so I asked the people who follow me on the locals platform,

00:08:45.960 scottadams.locals.com, where they get all the special stuff.

00:08:50.880 I asked how many of them would want to do a one month test to just give up bread for one month.

00:08:57.940 Because if it's true that it makes a difference, I think you'd see it right away.

00:09:03.340 It wouldn't take long.

00:09:05.100 And it would be really, really obvious.

00:09:07.780 Or maybe there's nothing there in your case.

00:09:10.360 Because our bodies are different, right?

00:09:12.000 People respond differently to this stuff.

00:09:14.460 But it could be, for some percentage of the people who try this,

00:09:20.120 it could be one of the biggest changes they ever make.

00:09:22.840 It could be completely transformative, both your mind and your body.

00:09:26.340 And it's worth one month.

00:09:28.640 Right?

00:09:29.120 I'm no scientist.

00:09:30.280 I'm not a dietician.

00:09:31.720 So I don't know that quitting bread will make you healthier.

00:09:35.000 I have no reason, no scientific basis for that.

00:09:38.580 But for one month, I'd give it a try.

00:09:43.500 All right.

00:09:44.940 Still do, I have a Speaker of the House, Thomas Massey, who's backing Jim Jordan,

00:09:48.620 says in this post, he says,

00:09:52.600 it's not hard to understand what's going on here in D.C.

00:09:55.600 A vote for Jim Jordan is a vote to break Congress's bad habit of passing a bloated

00:10:01.800 omnibus spending bill every year.

00:10:04.160 And apparently, Thomas Massey believes that Jim Jordan would not be one to put all the

00:10:11.380 bills in one big bill so that everybody has to say yes without actually liking the parts

00:10:15.680 of it.

00:10:15.980 Do you think you'd do that?

00:10:18.260 I feel like you wouldn't do that.

00:10:21.000 Like, I don't believe that at all.

00:10:23.500 And this is nothing against Jim Jordan.

00:10:26.200 I just don't think anybody will.

00:10:27.460 I think anybody who goes into that job will do what everybody ever did before, because

00:10:33.640 there must be some reason.

00:10:35.320 There has to be a reason that once you get in the job, you just can't do it, which is

00:10:40.480 to separate the bills.

00:10:41.860 Probably because it wouldn't get approved.

00:10:44.780 Probably because nothing would ever pass.

00:10:47.460 So I don't believe that putting a different person in that job changes what happens.

00:10:54.180 I think the person will become the job.

00:10:56.760 I don't think the job will change to meet the person's, you know, techniques.

00:11:02.920 That's what I think.

00:11:04.360 But I can be wrong.

00:11:05.720 And I could definitely be wrong if Thomas Massey is of a different opinion.

00:11:11.000 So he's on the very, very short list.

00:11:13.340 And by the way, you should all have this list.

00:11:15.860 This is the list of people who, if they disagree with me, I immediately say, well, me, I might

00:11:22.740 be wrong.

00:11:23.900 That's not a lot of people.

00:11:25.020 But, you know, let's say if Elon Musk disagreed with me on something about solar power or space

00:11:31.940 or almost anything, I would immediately stop and I'd say, I'm going to really think about

00:11:36.860 this.

00:11:38.840 And that's one of those.

00:11:39.860 If he disagrees, I'm going to question my own thinking.

00:11:44.640 All right.

00:11:45.260 Let me say that as far as I know, I'm going to talk about climate change.

00:11:50.100 So I have to give you the background first.

00:11:52.600 As far as I know, it's well demonstrated that adding CO2 should be some kind of a greenhouse

00:11:58.920 effect.

00:12:00.160 That's separate from knowing that once you add in all the other variables that you could

00:12:05.560 predict the outcome or even if you could predict it, you would know what's better for

00:12:10.320 the world, right?

00:12:11.580 Completely different what the predictions are from the things you can prove in the lab. 0.69

00:12:17.960 That said, I read a crazy, crazy, kooky scientist guy who disagrees that there's any evidence

00:12:28.400 whatsoever that CO2 could cause warming.

00:12:31.360 Now, before I get canceled or demonetized, I don't think this guy's right, but I just love

00:12:40.500 listening to the people of dissent.

00:12:44.620 I just can't get enough of it.

00:12:46.380 I don't know why.

00:12:47.340 Now, some of it is we totally froze up on the other platform.

00:12:52.420 It's dead.

00:12:54.740 The other platform's been dead for a while.

00:12:58.360 Let's see if I can restart it.

00:12:59.700 So, it's one more reason to use levels.

00:13:04.200 You can make sure you see the streams.

00:13:06.720 All right.

00:13:07.020 So, I was starting to say there's a scientist guy who's got a different view of CO2.

00:13:13.460 And the fascinating thing is, if you had asked me even one year ago, or maybe a few years

00:13:22.000 ago, I have to go back a little bit.

00:13:23.300 You said, what is the likelihood that science would be completely wrong about something that

00:13:30.880 100% of scientists are positive is true?

00:13:34.500 I would have said, hmm, is this something that they've tested?

00:13:38.540 Yes.

00:13:39.240 It's been tested.

00:13:41.180 Hmm.

00:13:41.540 And does it conform to, you know, the laws of physics and everything?

00:13:45.800 And did people get the result that they expected when they tested it?

00:13:49.860 Yes.

00:13:50.400 Can it be repeated?

00:13:51.900 Yes.

00:13:52.900 So, to me, it seemed like the idea of, does CO2 cause a greenhouse effect?

00:14:00.160 That seemed pretty well tested.

00:14:02.820 I wasn't sure about the predictions and, you know, if there's any big deal to it.

00:14:07.060 But it seems like that part was tested.

00:14:09.720 And now there's a guy who says, not only has it never been tested, but when you do test

00:14:18.200 it, you don't find it.

00:14:20.700 It's like, it's never been true.

00:14:23.160 Does that seem right?

00:14:24.180 Now, I still think it's far more likely that there's some kind of greenhouse gas effect.

00:14:31.100 I don't know how big and I don't know how the other variables affected it, et cetera.

00:14:35.680 But it's fascinating to know that there's somebody who knows a lot about the topic who

00:14:40.280 says it's complete BS.

00:14:42.500 Now, I want to give you the non-scientific example that sold me on this, because you're

00:14:51.420 probably wondering why I'm giving it any attention at all, because there's always somebody who

00:14:56.520 disagrees with the mainstream, right?

00:14:58.060 It doesn't mean they're right.

00:14:59.560 Here's why I'm giving it attention.

00:15:02.400 He used one little example that's not terribly scientific, but it was really persuasive.

00:15:08.080 So, think of this more in terms of how persuasive it is.

00:15:11.340 I'm not going to try to change your mind about anything, okay?

00:15:13.360 He says, if you took a, say, a gas engine and you turn it on, it might heat up to, say,

00:15:20.800 a thousand degrees.

00:15:23.100 And then you turn it off and it will heat, it will go down to whatever the exterior temperature

00:15:29.360 is.

00:15:30.680 But if you put it in CO2, it would cool down exactly the same time, but it was still cooled

00:15:38.320 out.

00:15:38.620 So, you say to yourself, well, wait a minute, if you were to put that hot engine in a room

00:15:44.600 with more CO2, isn't the CO2 supposed to be like a little blanket?

00:15:50.200 Doesn't the little blanket of CO2 keep the engine warmer or longer?

00:15:54.520 And the answer is, nope.

00:15:59.660 Nope.

00:16:00.700 It doesn't.

00:16:01.060 The engine cools down exactly the same, to which I say, I don't know if, you know, any

00:16:09.080 specific test is conclusive.

00:16:12.240 But when you hear that, is that not super persuasive?

00:16:17.840 I don't know.

00:16:18.480 You know, nobody did that exact test.

00:16:20.480 So, it's not logical and it's not scientific.

00:16:23.940 But it's really persuasive.

00:16:27.480 Yeah.

00:16:28.440 Which, unfortunately, you can be persuaded outside of reason.

00:16:32.600 So, I'm not going to say that this really is any kind of a, you know, new thought that

00:16:38.900 you should consider.

00:16:40.360 But I find it really interesting that there's somebody who knows this much and says it's

00:16:44.580 all BS.

00:16:45.000 It's from a book from James Moody, or actually a paper he wrote, Three Proofs Carbon Dioxide

00:16:53.400 Causes No Warming.

00:16:55.620 Anyway, look at my tweets and you can find that.

00:16:58.900 All right.

00:16:59.240 What were the two most predictable things that would happen this week in the news?

00:17:06.780 If you were going to be a predictor of future events, let's see, you knew that Israel was 0.98

00:17:12.380 going to attack Gaza. 0.69

00:17:13.340 The most predictable story in the news would be, number one, allegedly Israel bombed a hospital

00:17:24.680 or possibly a school.

00:17:27.980 But since nobody is in school, what would it be?

00:17:33.500 Oh, nobody's in school during the war zone.

00:17:36.320 Oh, it's not a school.

00:17:38.760 Where's a place that people can't evacuate and yet you would feel really bad for them if

00:17:43.280 something happened?

00:17:44.600 A hospital.

00:17:46.400 Yeah.

00:17:47.360 Yeah.

00:17:47.880 I predict that there will be a story in the news sometime this week that accuses Israel

00:17:54.440 of bombing a hospital full of people.

00:17:58.900 Right.

00:17:59.660 That's the first one.

00:18:02.020 Number two.

00:18:02.920 We'll talk about the BS part of the story.

00:18:05.620 Number two.

00:18:06.820 What is the second most predictable thing this week?

00:18:10.560 Remember, the context is that Israel is moving into Gaza militarily.

00:18:16.300 What's the most predictable thing that's not a hospital gets bombed?

00:18:20.920 Number two.

00:18:22.860 There will be big stories about UFOs.

00:18:27.360 The two things you can guarantee is UFO stories, because it diverts you, and that there would

00:18:36.180 be a story, probably not true, about Israel bombing a hospital.

00:18:41.360 Now, only some of the people who have been following me for a while are going to believe

00:18:46.380 the next thing I say.

00:18:48.180 And I'm mad at myself for not making the prediction.

00:18:51.780 Prior to this story about the alleged hospital bombing, I had my phone out, and I started to

00:18:59.560 send a tweet that said, wait for the fake story about the hospital or school being bombed.

00:19:05.820 Because it's guaranteed.

00:19:07.780 It's not maybe.

00:19:09.500 Like, maybe there'll be a story about a hospital being bombed.

00:19:12.500 No, it's not maybe. 0.79

00:19:14.060 There was a 100 fucking percent chance there was going to be an allegation about a hospital 0.95

00:19:20.760 being bombed. 0.99

00:19:21.780 100 percent chance.

00:19:24.180 The only reason it's not a school is because school's presumably not in session during a

00:19:29.280 war zone.

00:19:30.460 Otherwise, it would have been a school and also a hospital.

00:19:34.100 Maybe an orphanage, right?

00:19:36.080 I mean, it's just guaranteed.

00:19:38.140 So, what do we know about this story about the hospital in Gaza that was blown up?

00:19:44.120 Well, let's go to the whiteboard, and I'll teach you how to know what's true when wars

00:19:50.440 are involved.

00:19:51.120 So, it's very simple.

00:19:53.780 It has three parts.

00:19:56.900 And the three parts are as follows.

00:20:01.280 During the first hours, you've got something called a fog of war going on.

00:20:05.220 During the fog of war, you should assume that the news is not reliable because it's just

00:20:12.860 too soon, and everybody's making claims, and they're not quite sure what they're seeing.

00:20:17.120 Nobody knows who fired what missile.

00:20:19.880 Fog of war.

00:20:20.440 So, don't trust anything that happens during the fog of war.

00:20:22.840 But eventually, the fog of war transitions to the phase we're in now.

00:20:28.000 It's called the propaganda phase, in which all of the news will be fake, but this time

00:20:33.880 it's intentional.

00:20:35.360 During the fog of war, it's more like we just don't know what's going on.

00:20:39.120 But then that morphs or evolves into, well, some people know what's going on, but they're

00:20:44.960 sure as hell not going to tell you, because they want to tell you some version of what's

00:20:49.120 going on.

00:20:49.560 But, if you wait long enough, this phase passes, where the news is intentionally fake, and then

00:20:56.480 it turns into whoever wins the war gets to write the history books, which, of course, is

00:21:03.180 based on the propaganda.

00:21:05.180 So, there are three phases, and if you're looking forward to find out the truth, don't 0.98

00:21:10.940 stop in the first phase, because that's always bullshit, the fog of war. 0.85

00:21:14.400 Don't look at the second phase, because you would never know what's true. 0.92

00:21:17.180 It's the propaganda phase, and definitely don't look when it's over and the history

00:21:21.360 books are written, because those are not even intended to be real.

00:21:26.460 Now, let's talk about that hospital in Gaza.

00:21:32.980 Does it matter?

00:21:35.340 No.

00:21:36.540 It doesn't matter if it's true.

00:21:38.360 And that's the sad thing that nobody wants to say out loud.

00:21:41.600 The sad thing is, it doesn't make any difference.

00:21:44.160 It doesn't make any difference whose shell hit it.

00:21:48.340 And the fact is, it doesn't even matter if it was intentional.

00:21:51.420 It wasn't.

00:21:52.700 Nobody hits it.

00:21:53.600 At least the Israelis are not going to intentionally hit a hospital.

00:21:56.920 Right?

00:21:57.300 Do we all agree with that?

00:21:59.020 I think you all agree that they're not intentionally going to hit a hospital.

00:22:03.160 But it is war.

00:22:04.300 It is a war zone.

00:22:05.140 And if hospitals get blown up, that's not too surprising, except the most surprising thing

00:22:12.260 would be if it was an accident.

00:22:15.520 That would be the most surprising.

00:22:17.500 Because you see the picture?

00:22:18.780 There are all these buildings around that have not been yet bombed.

00:22:22.360 Probably will be, but not yet.

00:22:24.280 And that one little area of the hospital gets blown up.

00:22:27.020 But then there's also the story that the hospital did not get blown up.

00:22:33.280 That the, whatever it was, landed in the parking lot, blew up a bunch of cars in the parking

00:22:38.380 lot, did a little bit of damage to the exterior of the building, but basically it did not have

00:22:43.800 five people, 500 people dying.

00:22:46.520 I don't know what's true.

00:22:48.100 Do you know what's true?

00:22:49.400 Of course not.

00:22:50.660 You couldn't possibly know what's true.

00:22:52.820 But I'll tell you, it's not going to change anything.

00:22:54.740 It won't change anything.

00:22:57.360 And all of our opinions about what Israel should or should not do, they don't change anything.

00:23:04.040 You know, I'm sure Israel would prefer that more people agreed with them, but they're very

00:23:08.620 much in the decided phase, right?

00:23:12.360 If you think they're in the wanting phase, we're like, ah, we want to attack.

00:23:17.480 We kind of want to, but we're going to need public opinion on our side.

00:23:22.160 Nope.

00:23:23.020 We are not there.

00:23:24.740 Public opinion has no role in this conflict because Israel is simply going to do what 0.61

00:23:32.060 they've decided to do, and it's the right decision.

00:23:35.120 They have to eliminate this risk because they can't have it hanging over their heads again.

00:23:39.720 So, as much as I'd love to give you all my predictions, or not my predictions, but my, let's say, my moral belief about this situation, who is more immoral and who's the bad one and who's the good one, none of it matters.

00:24:00.240 None of it matters.

00:24:01.160 Our opinions have nothing to do with anything.

00:24:02.480 Our opinions have nothing to do with anything.

00:24:04.080 This is just happening.

00:24:06.380 And we should be dealing with what do you do now?

00:24:09.560 Because this is happening.

00:24:12.340 But I have one more prediction about the hospital story.

00:24:18.980 That if it turns out that the narrative turns into it was some kind of errant missile from Hamas, I think that will start to morph into, sure, it was Hamas's missile or rocket.

00:24:36.240 But it's also Israel's fault. 0.98

00:24:41.280 And now, how can it be Israel's fault that a Hamas missile allegedly hits a hospital?

00:24:47.000 Well, easily.

00:24:48.400 Do you know, did you see the videos of the Hamas guys digging up the pipeline that allegedly Israel built them a pipeline for water and they dug it up?

00:24:58.840 And they used the tubes, the pipes, they repurposed them to make rockets, the water pipes.

00:25:08.340 Now, that's Israel's fault. 1.00

00:25:10.680 Why did they have to give them such a poor water supply that was so hard to turn into rockets?

00:25:18.420 Couldn't they have given them, you know, maybe done a little bit more work to put those water lines in there in a way that were easier to dig up and turn into rockets that were more accurate?

00:25:27.120 I mean, if you work at it, you can make it Israel's fault somehow. 0.94

00:25:33.480 That's gone.

00:25:35.260 All right, UFOs are in the news.

00:25:37.900 None of that's true. 0.99

00:25:39.580 The UFO stuff's all bullshit. 0.99

00:25:42.180 Don't get excited about people who can see things in skiffs. 0.99

00:25:46.140 And new evidence from the same guys have been telling us there's evidence.

00:25:51.440 Nothing's going to happen.

00:25:52.400 I feel very confident in telling you there are no aliens who have visited Earth.

00:26:00.280 Or if they have, we don't have their ships.

00:26:03.400 And we definitely don't have their bodies.

00:26:05.680 All right.

00:26:05.900 I feel very confident in saying that.

00:26:07.940 I'd love to be wrong.

00:26:09.760 It'd be awful.

00:26:11.160 But no, I don't think there's really any chance of that.

00:26:13.460 We're now in the propaganda phase or entering it.

00:26:19.080 And have you all seen horrific pictures of bodies that are ripped apart?

00:26:26.460 You've all seen it, right?

00:26:28.600 And I've seen things I can't unsee.

00:26:32.480 You know, people tweet things at me.

00:26:34.160 I'm like, ah, like I wasn't looking for it.

00:26:36.140 Just there it is.

00:26:37.500 It doesn't help.

00:26:38.560 All right.

00:26:42.860 The big story that people like to talk about is that the neighboring countries are saying hell no to taking Palestinian refugees.

00:26:51.200 Not Hamas, but innocent Palestinian refugees who are not part of any military action.

00:26:59.300 Their neighbors don't want them.

00:27:00.640 And they're very, very firm on it.

00:27:02.880 It's not a maybe.

00:27:04.240 It's like, no way.

00:27:06.660 Now, are they racists?

00:27:08.900 Yes or no?

00:27:10.380 Are the Jordanians racist? 0.99

00:27:12.780 And the Egyptians, are they racist against the Palestinians?

00:27:16.500 I don't think so.

00:27:17.700 I think that they know that this group has a mindset that they can't let in their country.

00:27:25.000 That is their reasoning, right?

00:27:27.140 Am I right?

00:27:28.420 That you don't want people who have a certain mindset to come in in big numbers because they might, you know, spread that mindset.

00:27:38.340 So, how much sympathy does America need to show?

00:27:47.020 Do you think Americans need to open up a little bit and make sure that we, you know, check really carefully, but let in some number of Palestinians, even temporarily, and of just, you know, human concern? 0.99

00:28:02.760 And the answer is no, not even a little bit.

00:28:07.140 And if you say to me, but Scott, not letting people in would be this tremendous, tremendous problem to people who are largely innocent, to which I say, that's sort of how national defense works.

00:28:21.160 The way national defense works is you protect your own country, and many times that's really, really terrible for other people who have nothing to do with fighting or war or killing.

00:28:31.300 Well, because they'd all like to live here, and if you stop them, you're sort of a turd, because they're going to have to go back to some war-torn country, and that's not good.

00:28:42.820 But you have to grow up.

00:28:45.860 You have to grow up.

00:28:47.040 This is an adult decision.

00:28:49.340 An adult decision is you say, what do you got to do?

00:28:53.020 And then you just do it.

00:28:54.000 But what we've got to do is make sure the mindset of this country does not get further corroded, because it's already on a deadly path.

00:29:04.480 I don't know if you've seen Mike Cernovich's tweeting that's getting, let's say, increasingly dire, and he posted this yesterday, Mike Cernovich.

00:29:16.560 Remember when I said the left wanted to do a Rwanda genocide on white Americans?

00:29:21.060 And yes, they quote American and Israeli Jews as white. 0.96

00:29:25.860 And you goobers called me hysterical or whatever, because you lack my vision and understanding of human nature. 0.95

00:29:32.780 So his suggestion is that we're creating a situation in which at some point, certainly, white Americans will be murdered in a Rwandan-type way. 0.60

00:29:45.980 Now, how many of you agree with that? 0.97

00:29:48.340 I agree with it, meaning that on our current trajectory, that would be a guaranteed outcome, the end of America and the full slaughter of the white citizens. 1.00

00:30:02.300 However, nothing really goes in a straight line.

00:30:06.840 We don't live in that world.

00:30:08.020 If you took a straight line from anything we're doing, it would be the end of the world.

00:30:15.480 You know, you could take anything.

00:30:17.400 What if we keep growing food and using fertilizers exactly the way we've been doing it for years?

00:30:23.200 What will happen?

00:30:24.420 End of the world.

00:30:25.720 We'll run out of fertilizers.

00:30:27.920 But we'll probably figure out some workaround.

00:30:30.120 What happens if we just keep having babies?

00:30:35.420 End of the world.

00:30:37.080 Population would get too much to sustain us.

00:30:39.520 Wars would break out.

00:30:40.420 We'd all die.

00:30:41.480 But then we figured out, oh, birth control.

00:30:45.720 What happens if we go in the same path of depopulating, which is where we're going now?

00:30:51.760 End of the world.

00:30:53.860 There's no way around it.

00:30:55.040 Depopulating your own people, end of the world. 1.00

00:30:59.500 But is it going to be the end of the world?

00:31:01.460 Probably not.

00:31:02.660 We're building robots and AI that will do a bunch of labor.

00:31:06.300 Well, we'll probably come up with some incentives if we need to to have more kids, kind of like Hungary does, which works. 0.97

00:31:13.160 Tax incentives.

00:31:14.760 So, yeah, we'll be fine.

00:31:15.760 But this whole situation that's heading toward a Rwandan slaughter, I think you should look at Mike Cernovich as way more useful than you might see on the surface.

00:31:30.300 When he scares you about a Rwandan massacre, which is absolutely where we're heading, it's to make you change.

00:31:39.260 It's to wake you up.

00:31:41.060 At the very least, get prepared.

00:31:44.080 Right?

00:31:44.260 You better get ready for a fight.

00:31:46.620 But at the, you know, more ideally, we would surface the awareness that we're heading toward doom, as we do with all the other topics, from climate change to you name it.

00:31:57.840 And then we would get busy fixing it.

00:32:00.420 Now, I'm going to suggest some ways to fix it.

00:32:03.320 To show you that we're not going to necessarily end up with a Rwanda-like outcome.

00:32:11.200 We are heading there.

00:32:12.920 But we're also smart enough to fix it.

00:32:15.620 If we want.

00:32:18.100 I guess we'd have to want to fix it.

00:32:20.640 All right.

00:32:23.760 It goes like this.

00:32:25.020 Well, let me work my way into it.

00:32:28.780 I'm going to talk some Trump stuff, and I'll tell you how I'm going to save the world.

00:32:32.280 Do you remember how everybody said Trump was dividing the country?

00:32:36.480 And that was like the main story.

00:32:40.120 He's dividing the country.

00:32:42.440 But I was trying to think of any example of Trump ever insulting any segment of the population, including Democrats.

00:32:52.580 Is there any example of that ever?

00:32:56.080 Because he went after individuals hard, but they usually had it coming.

00:33:00.260 They were in the battle, so to speak.

00:33:02.860 Even the so-called gold star parents. 1.00

00:33:06.300 Fuck those guys. 1.00

00:33:07.820 They entered the war, and he gave them, he wounded them, and then they went running back to, oh, we're gold star parents. 1.00

00:33:14.880 Yeah, we all respect gold star parents.

00:33:17.420 But if you step into the ring, you're going to get punched. 1.00

00:33:20.300 Fuck you. 1.00

00:33:20.800 Don't make that about us. 1.00

00:33:23.600 You got in the ring.

00:33:25.380 It's not our problem.

00:33:27.500 So sorry about that, gold star parents.

00:33:30.640 Anyway. 0.88

00:33:34.180 So I'm speaking now, coming to you as an accused, deplorable, colonizing, mega-extremist.

00:33:43.760 And how did we ever fall for the narrative that Trump was the divisive one?

00:33:50.600 In the United States.

00:33:52.760 That all came from propaganda on the left.

00:33:56.820 There wasn't anything he ever said about a group.

00:34:01.640 And if you look at the few times he treated a group special, what were they?

00:34:08.040 Well, one was prison reform, which was very, you know, largely biased or helping black people who were in prison for reasons that maybe weren't the best reasons.

00:34:21.340 Right?

00:34:21.820 That's one time he targeted a demographic, even though there are other people in the demographic, other people in that group.

00:34:29.080 Another time was when he did funding for historically black colleges.

00:34:34.360 That was a targeted demographic thing, positive for black Americans.

00:34:41.580 But I can't think of any example in which he divided America by any kind of group.

00:34:50.120 Can you?

00:34:50.560 I know of no example of that.

00:34:54.660 Now, if you look at policies, they, of course, could be divisive, you know, abortion, for example.

00:35:00.560 But it seems entirely a Democrat thing to say that a group of Americans should be targeted as the bad ones.

00:35:08.940 I mean, literally, that's Biden's policy, that he's looking after these mega extremists.

00:35:14.960 And who knows how he defines extremists?

00:35:18.700 All right.

00:35:19.520 So as you know, Trump is under a gag order that involves the one set of criminal charges.

00:35:27.680 So he's not allowed to talk about people involved with January 6th, like Pence.

00:35:32.840 You can't insult Pence, because Pence might be a witness in that case.

00:35:38.940 But the Babylon Bee had a good joke.

00:35:42.340 It showed Trump with a mini Trump ventriloquist doll.

00:35:47.500 So that Trump would use the ventriloquist doll to say the things he can't say.

00:35:51.680 And I thought to myself, OK, I get it.

00:35:53.400 It's a joke.

00:35:54.360 It's pretty funny.

00:35:56.600 But where is that line?

00:35:59.260 What if Trump stood on stage during a rally?

00:36:03.800 And, you know, he's giving his rally speech, but then he wants to say something bad about Mike Pence.

00:36:08.840 Just hold this in your mind.

00:36:10.940 And then I'm standing next to the, I'm on the stage, too.

00:36:14.340 And I'm standing next to him by the lector.

00:36:17.140 He gives a speech.

00:36:18.320 He goes, oh, I got one thing I can't tell you.

00:36:21.500 He goes over to me.

00:36:22.360 He goes, he whispers at me.

00:36:24.640 And then I take the microphone and say, Mike Pence, he looks like a Lego.

00:36:33.380 His hair looks like Lego hair.

00:36:35.880 And then I hand the microphone back to Trump.

00:36:39.740 And then Trump goes, well, he said it.

00:36:42.420 He said it.

00:36:43.780 I can't say that.

00:36:44.780 I'm under a gag order.

00:36:46.100 But he said it.

00:36:47.420 Mike Pence's hair looks like Lego hair.

00:36:49.540 That's it.

00:36:50.480 I would never say that.

00:36:52.280 I would never say that because I'm under a gag order.

00:36:55.020 Now, here's my question.

00:36:57.620 Would he go to jail for that?

00:36:58.900 I mean, in theory, in theory, the judge could interpret it as the same as him saying it.

00:37:08.460 But where's the line?

00:37:10.320 If Trump talks to somebody who then writes a story about it and says, well, he said this 0.99

00:37:16.660 off the record, but I'm an asshole, so I'm going to report it anyway. 0.99

00:37:20.400 He thinks Mike Pence has Lego hair. 0.99

00:37:25.300 I don't know.

00:37:25.800 Well, it does make you wonder how much he could play with it and just have fun with it.

00:37:30.740 Because if he played with it and had fun with it and stayed out of jail, he could really

00:37:35.860 turn it into entertainment.

00:37:38.140 But I don't want him to go to jail trying that.

00:37:40.320 So he better get some legal advice before he does that.

00:37:46.560 All right.

00:37:47.100 So yesterday, I tweeted what I call the first draft of a book on how to, or maybe it's a

00:37:57.040 pamphlet, on how to deprogram Democrats.

00:38:01.500 Now, I'll say it at the front.

00:38:04.720 Do Republicans ever need to be deprogrammed?

00:38:07.600 Of course.

00:38:09.040 Because both sides are just adopting their team's narrative.

00:38:12.640 Now, sometimes their team might be right, you know, depending on your subjective view of

00:38:18.100 things.

00:38:18.600 So that wouldn't be wrong, or it wouldn't be a problem if they were adopting an opinion

00:38:22.660 that was also a good one.

00:38:25.360 But not always.

00:38:27.280 Sometimes it's just narrative and you've adopted it anyway.

00:38:30.140 So everybody needs to be deprogrammed.

00:38:32.140 But I could probably only write one that worked on the left.

00:38:35.960 And people say, Scott, how would you deprogram somebody?

00:38:38.760 Well, I'll tell you what won't work.

00:38:42.080 What won't work is making a better argument.

00:38:46.680 That doesn't deprogram anybody.

00:38:49.280 What won't work probably is showing them facts that are conflicted with their point of view.

00:38:57.160 You could try, because that seems so obvious, right?

00:38:59.960 It's like, let me show you the facts that you haven't seen.

00:39:03.860 And now when you've incorporated these facts, how do you feel now?

00:39:06.500 Well, I've tried that.

00:39:09.500 Do you know what happens?

00:39:12.520 People say your facts are wrong.

00:39:15.020 And then you show them your source.

00:39:17.200 And then they say something like, well, why would I listen to a MAGA extremist?

00:39:23.400 And then you say, well, okay, I'm not one.

00:39:26.500 I'm not a MAGA extremist.

00:39:28.000 And also the source I'm showing you is in no means a MAGA extremist.

00:39:32.160 And then the person you're trying to convince will say, everything Q said was a lie.

00:39:38.500 And then you'll say, we're not even talking about that.

00:39:41.420 What's that got to do with this topic?

00:39:43.680 And then they'll say, but Trump said racists were fine people.

00:39:49.220 And then you'll say, no, that didn't happen either.

00:39:52.160 And we're not even on that topic.

00:39:54.080 Can we get back to this topic?

00:39:55.760 So what happened is people just immediately change the topic and they won't let you go back.

00:39:59.940 Because people really, really, really don't want to be wrong.

00:40:03.440 And they don't want to disappoint their team by changing sides.

00:40:06.240 So you can't talk people into a new view with better information or better logic and argument.

00:40:14.400 Not even worth trying.

00:40:16.600 I know it's weird, but those two things are not even worth trying.

00:40:22.280 But could you talk somebody into it?

00:40:24.540 And the answer is yes.

00:40:25.940 Won't be easy and it won't work for every person.

00:40:28.400 But here would be the technique I would use.

00:40:30.900 Instead of teaching them what's true or false, which they will immediately reject,

00:40:35.060 you teach them the skills of spotting fake news on the other side.

00:40:43.700 See where I'm going?

00:40:45.400 You teach them to spot fake news coming from the right.

00:40:53.100 You see where I'm going?

00:40:55.360 If you teach them to spot it coming from the right and they enjoy the hit of doing it.

00:41:02.420 So, for example, they hear something that comes from the right

00:41:04.780 and the right says there's an anonymous source.

00:41:09.520 Well, if I had trained you, you would say anonymous source on politics?

00:41:15.960 That's totally not real.

00:41:18.240 So you would have a little skill.

00:41:20.160 You would have learned a thing.

00:41:21.260 Oh, I can tell when those Republicans are trying to fool me.

00:41:24.200 That new book that came out that claims an anonymous source said Biden doesn't believe in climate change.

00:41:31.320 You now know that that would almost certainly be fake.

00:41:35.420 And that I would teach you to follow the money.

00:41:38.260 Then you look at a Republican claim and you say, oh, isn't that an interesting coincidence

00:41:43.060 that the thing you say is true is also exactly the thing that would be good for your profits

00:41:49.020 or your friend's profits or your sponsor's profits or whoever's donating to your campaign's profits.

00:41:56.440 Right?

00:41:57.560 So I could teach you all the tools and then show you that it works against Republican propaganda.

00:42:05.040 What happens then?

00:42:09.120 Well, it would be really hard to turn off your skill because you can turn off a lot of things,

00:42:14.760 but you can't turn off skill.

00:42:16.400 If you have a skill, it's just sort of there.

00:42:20.640 So you fill them with a skill that they got good dopamine hits from using,

00:42:26.280 and then you let them just deal with the stuff coming from their own team.

00:42:30.240 And they're going to start to notice, going to start to notice.

00:42:36.820 But there are a few other things I would do to prep somebody.

00:42:40.340 So I would start with the following conversational approach if I were doing it in person.

00:42:47.380 But if I'm doing it in writing, I would give some background,

00:42:50.980 but not overwhelming history of the world background,

00:42:53.860 just sort of a little tight background.

00:42:56.160 For example, if it were in person, I would say,

00:43:00.000 are you aware that this Project Mockingbird ever existed?

00:43:07.680 Now, if they say no, then you explain to them,

00:43:10.360 and you give them time to research it to make sure they can confirm it.

00:43:14.860 Now, the Project Mockingbird, as far as I know, is not in doubt by any historian.

00:43:22.080 Is that fair to say?

00:43:23.200 It's not in doubt by any historian.

00:43:26.780 It's a real thing that happened.

00:43:28.420 The CIA was influencing or manipulating the media

00:43:34.540 to tell a version of propaganda that the CIA wanted you to know.

00:43:39.300 Now, that became illegal at some point, right?

00:43:42.740 That is also something all historians would agree on.

00:43:46.540 Am I good so far?

00:43:47.700 So there's no left-right in any of this so far.

00:43:50.160 That was a real thing that happened.

00:43:51.280 But there was a point, and I'll need a fact check on this,

00:43:56.860 that Obama reauthorized that very type of behaviors,

00:44:01.580 but we don't know exactly what they are or are not doing.

00:44:05.700 So it's not like it's history where it's been researched.

00:44:09.160 It's just that it's possible now.

00:44:12.640 Now, I would ask somebody,

00:44:15.920 do you think that any country that could legally program their own population

00:44:21.200 to make them safer or even just to support whoever's in power,

00:44:26.400 you don't think they would do it?

00:44:28.900 Of course they would.

00:44:30.780 Of course they would.

00:44:31.640 And so the first thing you do is you take them back in history long enough

00:44:38.640 that they don't have an argument about Republicans and Democrats.

00:44:43.200 It's just something that historians on both sides say is true.

00:44:47.060 So you first set up the situation that they probably have already lived,

00:44:52.480 depending on their age.

00:44:53.740 They may have already lived through a time when the news wasn't real

00:44:57.120 and it wasn't even trying to be because it was influenced by the government.

00:45:02.300 So once they believe that that's an ordinary thing that could exist

00:45:06.860 without them knowing it was existing,

00:45:09.060 you know, if you were just alive at the time, you didn't really know,

00:45:12.420 then you've loosened them up to discover on their own

00:45:16.660 that maybe it's happening now.

00:45:19.300 I would also say some version of this,

00:45:22.740 that I don't know when the news, if it ever was real,

00:45:27.120 but none of it is real now.

00:45:29.800 It's all narrative.

00:45:31.560 And I would teach them the techniques for finding out what's real and what's not.

00:45:37.800 And once they had the basic understanding that it's possible

00:45:41.200 for all of the news to be fixed.

00:45:44.260 Now, I'll tell you something that I heard from my smart friend.

00:45:48.760 The idea that if there was some mass conspiracy,

00:45:53.360 like the media in general was all like biased in the same way for the same reason,

00:45:59.820 that somebody would have been a whistleblower.

00:46:02.480 Somebody would have, you know, let us know,

00:46:05.140 hey, the news is fake.

00:46:06.880 To which I say, we couldn't be screaming it any louder.

00:46:10.480 However, it's the most obvious thing in the world.

00:46:15.180 I would also point out the following context,

00:46:17.860 that I can do a little easier than you can do,

00:46:20.360 which is as a public figure,

00:46:22.460 I can tell you that none of the news about me is real.

00:46:25.500 And if you know any public figures, ask them.

00:46:28.640 Don't take my word for it.

00:46:30.320 If you know anybody who's ever been in the news for anything,

00:46:34.660 ask them if the news was accurate.

00:46:36.020 I know the answer,

00:46:38.360 and I don't even know who you're going to talk to yet.

00:46:40.520 Of course it wasn't.

00:46:42.220 It never is.

00:46:43.820 And that's true of all political, scientific, and celebrity stories.

00:46:48.700 None of them are true and in context.

00:46:51.160 They might have true elements to them,

00:46:53.460 but the narrative, never true.

00:46:56.420 Yeah.

00:46:57.200 Dr. Drew says the same thing I see in the comments.

00:47:00.260 Yeah, every public figure says it.

00:47:03.560 You won't get anybody disagreeing with it,

00:47:05.600 with the statement that the news about them wasn't true.

00:47:10.840 Yeah.

00:47:14.860 So that's where I start.

00:47:16.260 So I've started plumping out the ideas

00:47:19.600 to see if it's any kind of a document or a book.

00:47:22.600 But here's what I would do.

00:47:23.760 If I don't create this, somebody needs to.

00:47:27.080 And I would call it a certification.

00:47:29.140 Have I ever taught you that reframing

00:47:33.520 makes a big difference in the real world?

00:47:38.000 In fact, you might be aware

00:47:40.160 that I have written the most influential book

00:47:43.520 in the history of reframing.

00:47:46.200 It's called Reframe Your Brain.

00:47:47.540 If you don't have a copy,

00:47:49.360 I feel sorry for you,

00:47:51.060 because it will change your life.

00:47:53.080 It reframes.

00:47:53.960 Here's an example of one that's not in the book,

00:47:55.960 but it gives you an idea.

00:47:59.500 The reframe is,

00:48:00.660 if I said I'm going to deprogram Democrats,

00:48:03.620 what would you assume about my efforts?

00:48:06.440 What would be the natural assumption

00:48:08.080 if I said I'm going to deprogram Democrats?

00:48:12.840 You would say,

00:48:13.940 you would say I'm a Republican stooge,

00:48:17.280 and that it's really just a political thing, right?

00:48:21.100 Wouldn't you?

00:48:22.560 As soon as you hear deprogram,

00:48:24.940 it seems like a team thing, right?

00:48:28.360 Sort of a team thing.

00:48:30.020 So I would reframe this.

00:48:33.200 Saying deprogramming the way Hillary did,

00:48:35.920 she wants to deprogram the mega extremists, 1.00

00:48:39.360 deprogram is a fighting word.

00:48:41.020 And if you use it,

00:48:43.000 you're not going to get anywhere.

00:48:44.320 If your objective is to change somebody else's mind.

00:48:48.120 Here's a word that is going to thrill you

00:48:51.600 because it's so effective.

00:48:56.640 Certification.

00:48:58.100 Now, if you didn't immediately respond to that word,

00:49:01.180 you did not work in a big company.

00:49:03.420 Am I right? 0.87

00:49:04.680 I want to get a hell yes

00:49:06.800 from everybody who's ever worked at a big company.

00:49:09.440 The word certification

00:49:11.440 is like a serious word.

00:49:15.460 You hear that word,

00:49:17.100 and you're not talking politics, are you?

00:49:19.640 That's not a political word.

00:49:21.560 That is a skill word.

00:49:24.080 And you don't hire people

00:49:25.640 who don't have the right certification.

00:49:27.700 Period.

00:49:28.800 If somebody does have the right certification,

00:49:31.020 whoa, lucky you.

00:49:32.180 It's hard to find somebody who is certified

00:49:34.360 that they have learned the specific skill

00:49:37.540 that you're looking for.

00:49:38.540 That's important.

00:49:39.440 And so, instead of saying,

00:49:42.680 let's never hire Harvard or Berkeley graduates,

00:49:46.360 which people are saying,

00:49:48.120 you say, there's one more thing I need from you.

00:49:52.320 See where I'm going?

00:49:54.240 There's just one more thing I need.

00:49:56.140 I love your Harvard thing,

00:49:58.780 but there is a risk of hiring a Harvard person,

00:50:01.580 and I'm going to be honest about it.

00:50:02.900 And I don't think I can be fully comfortable with you

00:50:06.860 unless I know you've passed the certification

00:50:10.160 for understanding fake news.

00:50:16.860 Do you feel that?

00:50:19.360 Yeah.

00:50:20.960 It needs to be a certification.

00:50:23.340 I wouldn't say critical thinking.

00:50:25.940 Critical thinking is a much larger category,

00:50:28.380 and it also insults the student.

00:50:32.840 The reason you don't want to have a critical thinking class

00:50:36.120 is that everyone believes they can already do it.

00:50:39.200 So, you're just insulting them.

00:50:40.900 Oh, maybe you need a critical thinking class.

00:50:44.080 I know I don't need it.

00:50:45.660 I could probably teach it.

00:50:47.180 But you, you need a critical thinking, right?

00:50:50.200 Even if it's true,

00:50:51.540 you don't get anywhere with critical thinking

00:50:54.060 as a suggestion for somebody else.

00:50:57.680 That doesn't work.

00:50:59.260 But you know what does work as a suggestion for somebody else?

00:51:03.260 There's a specific certification you might want to get

00:51:06.580 before you go to that job interview.

00:51:10.260 Do you feel it?

00:51:12.160 You can feel that, right?

00:51:15.460 Like, you can actually feel in your body that that works.

00:51:20.340 That's the test of persuasion.

00:51:22.320 If your brain said,

00:51:23.980 oh, that makes sense.

00:51:25.040 We shall try that.

00:51:25.920 That's probably nothing.

00:51:27.580 But if you can feel it,

00:51:29.840 that's more than something.

00:51:32.180 And you can feel that word.

00:51:34.760 Can't you?

00:51:35.800 Give me some feedback.

00:51:37.660 The word certification completely reframes the situation

00:51:42.900 and turns a thing where you couldn't imagine it was practical

00:51:46.460 into something that would be really, really practical.

00:51:49.960 Very doable.

00:51:51.620 All I'd have to do is put this thing online

00:51:53.820 and they'd say, look, here's a link.

00:51:57.920 You know, go take this test.

00:51:59.420 It's the 20 minutes.

00:52:02.760 You know, there's a little background reading

00:52:04.220 and then you answer some questions.

00:52:06.000 20 minutes and you'll be certified

00:52:07.800 as somebody who can distinguish propaganda

00:52:11.640 from objective truth.

00:52:14.200 Who wouldn't want to be able to do that?

00:52:18.820 And then you include on your test

00:52:20.780 some propaganda that came from the right

00:52:24.040 as well as propaganda that came from the left.

00:52:27.800 Or you could just leave it out entirely.

00:52:30.040 You could just say, a politician claims.

00:52:33.300 Actually, that would be better.

00:52:34.280 I think it'd be better to leave out the parties entirely

00:52:37.180 and just say, one party claims that X happened.

00:52:40.880 And then you have to determine whether it's likely

00:52:44.280 that that's true from the context.

00:52:49.640 All right.

00:52:51.920 Systemic talent stacking.

00:52:53.460 Yeah, the internet already is taking to that idea.

00:52:57.000 So you could say, I would like to add one certification

00:52:59.520 to your talent stack.

00:53:01.320 I want to know that you can tell the difference

00:53:03.040 between propaganda and real news.

00:53:06.780 And then the person says, well, wait a minute.

00:53:09.840 Are you some, like, Republican bad guy or something?

00:53:12.880 And you say, no, no.

00:53:13.960 This has nothing to do with your political party.

00:53:16.480 This applies equally to Republicans who believe in Q 0.98

00:53:19.580 as it does, you know, people on the left

00:53:24.640 who believe in whatever crazy thing, TDS.

00:53:27.860 All right?

00:53:28.960 So what do you think?

00:53:30.540 An online certification to see if you can tell

00:53:35.680 the difference between propaganda and truth.

00:53:39.840 Now, let's get back to Mike Cernovich's prediction

00:53:46.540 slash warning, because a prediction is a warning

00:53:49.420 by its nature.

00:53:51.660 The climate change predictions, the models,

00:53:55.240 they're not trying to be accurate.

00:53:57.180 I don't know if you know that.

00:53:58.760 They're trying to warn you.

00:54:00.460 Now, maybe you don't need the warning.

00:54:02.640 That's a separate question.

00:54:03.540 But the purpose of the models is to warn you

00:54:08.560 to do something differently.

00:54:09.920 It's not to tell you what's going to happen.

00:54:12.240 It's the last thing they want to happen.

00:54:15.260 So likewise, the Rwanda potential, you know,

00:54:20.680 mass murder is where we would head 0.79

00:54:23.960 if we didn't do something different.

00:54:26.040 But we will.

00:54:27.040 We always do something different.

00:54:30.000 Nothing ever goes in a straight line for long.

00:54:32.800 So this would be one example where you could see

00:54:35.380 that it would take a clever reframe certification

00:54:39.020 to completely dismantle the entire, you know, 0.99

00:54:43.560 bullshit propaganda, you know, complex. 0.99

00:54:47.220 And that, ladies and gentlemen, is your show for today. 0.99

00:54:53.480 I'd like to make sure there's at least one thing

00:54:55.280 that'll change your life forever.

00:54:58.600 A lot of people who are reading my

00:55:00.180 Reframe Your Brain book are saying

00:55:01.900 it's changing their life forever.

00:55:04.280 And I got to tell you, that's pretty satisfying

00:55:06.100 to be part of that.

00:55:09.220 Maybe the people who experiment with quitting bread,

00:55:13.160 if I had to guess, I'm going to guess that 25%

00:55:16.580 of the people who experiment with quitting bread

00:55:19.700 will change their life forever.

00:55:24.140 That's a lot.

00:55:26.160 That could be thousands of people

00:55:28.060 whose lives dramatically changed

00:55:31.120 because I put a post down that said,

00:55:33.680 hey, maybe you should take a month without bread,

00:55:35.540 see how you feel.

00:55:37.240 Now, if you couldn't tell,

00:55:39.840 and if you've read my book,

00:55:41.300 Out of Hill and Almost Everything and Still Win Big,

00:55:43.060 you know this.

00:55:43.640 The recommendation that you try a month without bread

00:55:51.180 is not so much about the bread.

00:55:55.240 I mean, that's the subject topic,

00:55:57.580 but it's really about the concept.

00:55:59.460 It's about the system.

00:56:01.040 The system is, if there's something you can test easily

00:56:04.000 that might have a big impact, you test it.

00:56:08.100 So if you thought to yourself,

00:56:10.280 well, I don't know if bread

00:56:12.480 or any other particular food or beverage

00:56:14.720 is making a difference,

00:56:16.540 if you don't test that,

00:56:19.320 that's bad system design.

00:56:23.160 Good system design is you test all the time.

00:56:26.440 You just test, test, test, test, test your whole life.

00:56:29.060 You test exercise techniques.

00:56:31.120 You test your motivation.

00:56:32.480 You test your sleep.

00:56:34.080 You test your everything.

00:56:35.540 You just keep testing, testing, testing.

00:56:37.600 You never stop.

00:56:38.900 So it's in that frame that I suggest

00:56:41.860 take a month without bread.

00:56:44.000 But I could have filled anything in there, right?

00:56:46.440 Take a month without alcohol.

00:56:48.100 See how you feel.

00:56:50.780 And thanks for joining on YouTube.

00:56:53.980 Sorry about the little technical difficulty there.

00:56:56.460 And on X,

00:56:57.880 and I will talk to you tomorrow morning.

00:57:01.140 Bye for now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 18, 2023

Episode 2265 Scott Adams： CWSA 10⧸18⧸23

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