Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2275 Scott Adams： CWSA 10⧸28⧸23

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization, which, by

00:00:18.680 the way, is not a very high bar today.

00:00:22.240 I've seen human civilization.

00:00:25.280 We've never been worse.

00:00:26.640 So, really, if you're competing with the rest of civilization, it's your time.

00:00:33.980 Not much competition lately, but if you'd like to take it up to levels that nobody could

00:00:38.860 even understand, it's so incredible.

00:00:41.980 All you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stye on a canteen jug

00:00:45.420 or a flask, a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:50.080 I like coffee.

00:00:52.080 And we begin now, the simultaneous sip.

00:00:56.080 It's the best thing that's ever happened to you in the whole world.

00:00:58.340 Go! 0.95

00:01:02.340 Oh, yeah.

00:01:03.840 That's so good.

00:01:06.240 So, so good.

00:01:09.440 Well, let's talk about all the news.

00:01:11.400 We'll start with silly stuff, as I like to, and then we'll get into the dark, dark news,

00:01:17.980 of which there is plenty.

00:01:18.980 Apparently, the new South Park viciously mocks Disney for their wokeness.

00:01:27.900 Now, have you ever heard a teaser for a TV show of any kind that was better than this one?

00:01:35.880 Is there anything that makes you want to watch South Park more than knowing that they're going

00:01:40.720 to mock Disney for Disney's wokeness and ruining all their movies and turning them to shit?

00:01:47.240 I am so there.

00:01:49.140 I don't know if it's out already, but it might be out today.

00:01:53.220 Oh, is that what you've already seen it?

00:01:55.480 People say it's great.

00:01:57.920 Yeah.

00:01:58.100 Honest to God, I can't imagine a more provocative or inviting, you know, commercial for a show.

00:02:07.540 Definitely going to watch that.

00:02:10.380 In other news, the farm industry is gearing up because we've got all these new powerful

00:02:17.700 drugs to protect us from obesity.

00:02:22.780 That's right.

00:02:23.620 Our food supply in America is so compromised that instead of trying to fix it so that we

00:02:31.340 can eat food that doesn't kill us, Big Pharma is going to invent drugs that counteract the

00:02:38.760 effects of our food.

00:02:43.040 That's a real thing.

00:02:45.080 You could argue that that's always been the case because diabetes, drugs, or at least in

00:02:51.140 part, fixing somebody's bad diet from the past and, you know, et cetera.

00:02:58.080 I know there's a genetic component to that.

00:03:01.800 So I don't think there could be a signal of our civilizations and competence that would

00:03:12.400 be more glaring than keep eating this poison food.

00:03:16.360 But it's OK, because we'll get you some poison drugs to take care of your problems from the

00:03:22.320 poison food.

00:03:23.420 But what about the side effects from the drug?

00:03:26.480 That's OK.

00:03:27.740 We'll make another drug that deals with the side effect from the first drug.

00:03:34.080 We're so fucked.

00:03:36.640 So fucked.

00:03:37.700 Well, apparently, I think on October 30th, the White House is reportedly going to reveal

00:03:46.700 what's called a sweeping AI executive order.

00:03:52.040 Now, Brian Romelli, who I often quote for his expertise in AI, he posted this today.

00:04:00.140 He says,

00:04:00.320 I can say with certainty that some new AI companies will relocate to a country that does not have

00:04:06.340 some of the proposed restrictions.

00:04:09.140 We will lose with this approach.

00:04:12.620 Oh, no.

00:04:14.240 Are we really going to make America the place you can't build AI?

00:04:18.780 Is that really going to happen?

00:04:21.400 What exactly are these restrictions?

00:04:24.200 Are the restrictions going to be stuff like you can't scrape data from the Internet?

00:04:28.680 You can't train it?

00:04:31.460 It might be something like you can't train it using the Internet.

00:04:35.120 Then what do you do?

00:04:36.740 Don't you just relocate to Bermuda and then do what you were doing anyway?

00:04:44.540 I feel like it's stupid.

00:04:47.120 Well, first of all, AI could solve its own problem.

00:04:51.140 Am I right?

00:04:52.420 You could just ask the AI, hey, AI, there's some sweeping new reforms.

00:04:56.800 What do I do now?

00:04:57.760 And the AI would say, move to Mauritania and set up a corporation.

00:05:05.180 And you'd be like, can you do the paperwork for me?

00:05:08.040 Done.

00:05:09.020 Sign here.

00:05:10.320 All of a sudden, you're a Mauritanian company.

00:05:13.860 So there's that.

00:05:17.780 All right.

00:05:18.120 According to the Jonathan Turley Post on X, nearly 70% of voters say they believe the current

00:05:27.860 president, Biden, has acted either unethically or criminally with regard to the Biden crime

00:05:35.600 fairly selling access and stuff.

00:05:40.480 70%.

00:05:41.480 70%.

00:05:42.000 So you realize that we're heading as fast as we can toward a brick wall here, right?

00:05:50.240 Let me explain the brick wall.

00:05:51.840 My guess is that by this coming summer, if Trump is not actually, you know, taken off the board,

00:06:02.060 which I worry about, he should have a commanding lead that would be insurmountable for winning

00:06:09.420 the 2024 election.

00:06:11.480 That is not going to be a comfortable place to be.

00:06:17.880 Because I don't know what is the emergency, you know, break glass situation for the Democrats,

00:06:24.700 but I don't think that they can let him be president and be alive at the same time.

00:06:30.580 I think that they've already decided that of all the options, they're not going to have a

00:06:37.060 president Trump.

00:06:38.220 I'm talking about the deep state and the bad guys.

00:06:41.720 So I really worry that something dramatic will happen around the summer of 2024.

00:06:48.080 Because at the rate it's going, he's your next president.

00:06:54.040 So now here's a caution I always give you.

00:06:56.600 When people make straight line predictions like that, you know, the way things are going

00:07:02.520 is the way it'll still be going next year.

00:07:04.780 That's never going to work.

00:07:07.560 Nobody's ever, nobody's ever made a successful prediction based on things staying the same

00:07:14.500 for a long time, right?

00:07:15.920 That just doesn't happen.

00:07:17.200 So when people were asking me the last presidential election, you know, what do you think?

00:07:21.440 What's the slaughter meter?

00:07:22.320 And I was like, well, it depends if something happens between now and the election.

00:07:26.980 And do you know what happened?

00:07:28.360 The pandemic.

00:07:30.980 So you really can't predict anything.

00:07:35.540 But that's the way it would go if nothing changed.

00:07:39.600 All right.

00:07:40.100 So that main shooter has been found dead.

00:07:44.120 I'm told that there is a press conference that should be happening right now.

00:07:48.500 And I'll ask anybody who is watching that also, if you have my text, if you know how to message

00:07:58.580 me already, yes, I will ask right now.

00:08:05.740 Send updates on car.

00:08:10.080 So if anything happens, I'll probably get a message and I'll tell you about it.

00:08:16.320 So I'm going to ask you to believe something that I can't prove.

00:08:22.840 Well, actually, I could.

00:08:23.700 I could give you a witness if you want a witness.

00:08:26.140 But I swear to God, I said this privately.

00:08:31.400 Privately, I said that the shooter would be found dead in a suspicious, like a place that

00:08:40.560 didn't make much sense, near a dumpster.

00:08:43.040 That was my actual prediction, that you had found dead near a dumpster.

00:08:49.560 But wait, I also predicted that you wouldn't find his boat.

00:09:00.160 They found him reportedly in or near a dumpster and they can't find his boat.

00:09:08.600 Do you remember me saying it to the people in the man cave?

00:09:12.720 You've heard it.

00:09:14.220 Now, so the press conference is late.

00:09:18.600 We'll find out.

00:09:20.260 So remember I told you that reality is what predicts best.

00:09:25.340 Because we live in a world where our brains are not really designed to understand truth

00:09:30.040 or reality.

00:09:31.680 But sometimes you can have, let's say, a model of how things are that does a good job of

00:09:38.480 predicting.

00:09:39.400 And that's as close as you can get to reality.

00:09:41.320 Did the thing I predicted happen or not?

00:09:45.000 So I had been somewhat whimsically saying there's something wrong with this story.

00:09:51.780 And I was suggesting there's an alternative explanation for everything we see.

00:09:57.880 Now, I want to be really careful here.

00:10:00.560 I don't think the alternative explanation is true.

00:10:04.020 You know, if I had to bet on it, I'd bet against it.

00:10:06.040 But I took an alternative interpretation from the one that was in the news.

00:10:12.980 And I said, if the alternative interpretation is correct, here's what you could expect.

00:10:19.220 You'll find his dead body near a dumpster and his boat will be missing.

00:10:22.900 Now, the hypothesis, and this is, trust me, I'm not trying to sell this to you as true.

00:10:35.940 I'm not saying it's true.

00:10:37.560 I'm just saying it was an alternative theory that did a weirdly good job of predicting.

00:10:42.260 And by the way, the other theory is that he's crazy.

00:10:45.620 He's crazy.

00:10:46.340 He had a fight with his girlfriend.

00:10:48.600 That's the whole story, right?

00:10:50.660 If you're going to go with the simple version, crazy guy does crazy stuff.

00:10:55.700 Crazy would explain everything that is unexplained.

00:11:00.340 It wouldn't leave much out.

00:11:02.260 But there are a few things that are hard to explain.

00:11:06.760 Let me give you a few of them.

00:11:07.980 Number one, his video from the cameras did not match the photo that we're looking at.

00:11:18.300 Different shape of face and everything.

00:11:21.100 But that could easily be explained by, how could that easily be explained?

00:11:27.220 One would be he'd lost weight since the photo.

00:11:30.520 That would explain it.

00:11:31.800 He'd grown a better beard.

00:11:33.780 His hair had grown out.

00:11:34.820 And the angle of the camera made his nose look different.

00:11:39.400 There would be nothing unusual about that, would there?

00:11:42.300 That would be completely normal.

00:11:44.360 So it could be that it's just, you know, the video is a little distorted.

00:11:47.540 It's a different angle.

00:11:48.920 You know, his photo was looking up at his nose.

00:11:51.880 The video was looking down at him.

00:11:54.720 Changes what your nose looks like.

00:11:56.440 Makes sense.

00:11:58.040 But the first day I saw the supposed photo of him,

00:12:02.920 and compared to the video,

00:12:05.100 I said to myself,

00:12:07.300 you know what?

00:12:07.920 If this is real,

00:12:09.540 and he's a real person,

00:12:11.000 we'll see a whole bunch of other photos,

00:12:13.520 because everybody has other photos.

00:12:15.640 And then some of those other photos

00:12:17.420 would probably look a little bit more like the video.

00:12:21.100 And then I would say,

00:12:22.160 oh, all right.

00:12:23.100 But if you follow just for fun the alternate hypothesis

00:12:29.600 that there's something going on here,

00:12:32.220 and it's not really him,

00:12:33.760 which is not my view.

00:12:35.280 I'm just saying alternate hypothesis.

00:12:38.780 Then what would you expect to find about his other photos?

00:12:42.980 Well, you'd have a weird situation, wouldn't you?

00:12:46.140 If all of his other photos also did not look like the video,

00:12:51.660 well, then you'd have some real questions, wouldn't you?

00:12:54.620 So you remember all the other photos you've seen since Wednesday?

00:12:59.080 You know, we've known his name for a long time.

00:13:01.340 They're probably co-workers.

00:13:04.180 No, there is a new one.

00:13:05.460 There is a new photo.

00:13:06.680 There's an unshaved version

00:13:08.000 against some kind of blank background.

00:13:10.820 Now, have you seen that photo?

00:13:17.500 And have you noticed that it looks exactly like

00:13:19.680 what you expect from AI photos?

00:13:22.440 It looks like AI.

00:13:25.100 Why is there only one person in the world

00:13:27.180 who only has one photograph?

00:13:30.680 He has one photograph

00:13:31.660 and one that looks AI-generated.

00:13:34.420 I don't know if it is.

00:13:36.420 But where was that one other photo taken?

00:13:38.780 What was it for?

00:13:39.540 It might have been like an employee ID or something

00:13:42.160 because there's a blank background.

00:13:44.960 But it looks suspiciously like AI to me.

00:13:49.740 Now, I'm not saying it is.

00:13:51.880 As I go, I'm going to keep reminding you

00:13:54.120 this is not a real theory.

00:13:56.260 It's just showing you how alternate theories

00:13:58.540 can match the same facts,

00:14:00.740 which is, I hope, the interesting part.

00:14:04.000 So I'm going to build for you a conspiracy theory,

00:14:07.040 but not because I believe it's true.

00:14:09.900 I'm just going to show you how well it predicted.

00:14:14.020 If he were crazy,

00:14:17.140 would you expect that his boat would be

00:14:19.520 wherever he usually leaves it?

00:14:22.360 I would.

00:14:23.780 Because his boat has nothing to do with the crime, right?

00:14:27.260 Why would it be anywhere except the last place he put it?

00:14:29.840 But it seems to be missing.

00:14:34.160 Next, he was wearing the same clothes

00:14:37.960 that he was seen on the video.

00:14:41.940 Now, you could say, well, that makes sense.

00:14:43.880 He's crazy.

00:14:44.900 He's on the run.

00:14:46.640 Same clothes.

00:14:47.440 But if you're on the run,

00:14:50.380 was there no point you said to yourself,

00:14:53.640 I should bring a second jacket?

00:14:55.820 At least a different jacket.

00:14:58.040 Because the jacket was kind of, you know,

00:15:00.980 easy to identify.

00:15:02.100 Or whatever his hoodie or whatever it was on.

00:15:05.960 Now, did you also notice that the clothes he was wearing

00:15:08.220 were extra baggy?

00:15:12.080 When was the last time you saw anybody wearing,

00:15:15.240 anybody 40 years old?

00:15:17.560 Wearing extra baggy clothes like that.

00:15:20.440 Now, maybe it's because he lost weight.

00:15:22.960 It could be just because he lost weight.

00:15:25.020 So that would explain it.

00:15:27.900 But if you want the conspiracy theory explanation,

00:15:31.680 what would be the kind of clothes

00:15:33.480 that would be easy to put on a corpse?

00:15:37.200 If you were going to say,

00:15:38.460 someday I'm going to have to put these,

00:15:40.120 I'm going to have to take these clothes off of my body

00:15:42.200 and put them on a corpse, 0.51

00:15:44.860 what kind of clothes would you wear?

00:15:46.700 You would wear the baggiest clothes you could wear.

00:15:50.080 Because that would be the easiest thing

00:15:51.580 to put on a corpse.

00:15:53.500 What did the news say in the first reports?

00:15:57.400 He was found wearing the same clothes.

00:16:01.560 Wow.

00:16:02.280 Do you think that that was an important thing to say?

00:16:04.780 He was found wearing the same clothes?

00:16:06.480 Have you ever heard anybody say that about anybody else?

00:16:10.800 He was found dead, wearing the same clothes.

00:16:15.500 Interesting.

00:16:15.900 And what about the note?

00:16:24.280 So we're told that there was a suicide note.

00:16:27.120 Suicide note.

00:16:28.360 Now if there's a suicide note,

00:16:30.100 that would be confirming that it's definitely that guy,

00:16:34.060 and it was definitely mental illness,

00:16:36.340 and he definitely intended to die.

00:16:39.060 Everything's answered.

00:16:39.860 Where was the first story you heard about the suicide note?

00:16:45.320 Was it NBC or ABC?

00:16:47.780 Which one?

00:16:48.700 NBC or ABC?

00:16:50.240 And then things got a little murky.

00:16:53.040 Right?

00:16:54.580 Now, do you know what NBC and ABC are famous for?

00:16:57.400 Among the media outlets that do news,

00:17:01.880 what are they famous for?

00:17:03.900 They're kind of famous for being intelligence agency outlets.

00:17:08.560 Places that our own intelligence people

00:17:12.000 use to plant their version of reality.

00:17:16.180 Now that doesn't mean that's what happened.

00:17:18.780 I'm just saying, I'm just describing it.

00:17:21.920 Now,

00:17:24.240 and of course they found the gun.

00:17:27.400 And the guy was known to have mental problems

00:17:29.800 and known to,

00:17:31.880 known to,

00:17:34.520 some say he broke up with his girlfriend,

00:17:37.560 which I also predicted.

00:17:39.220 I predicted that if it was actually him,

00:17:41.740 he broke up with his girlfriend

00:17:42.920 and maybe he met her at that recycling plant

00:17:46.420 near where they found his body.

00:17:48.540 Because that would be sort of a message to his ex-girlfriend

00:17:51.420 that it was something about her.

00:17:53.280 You know,

00:17:53.440 he would go to some place that they worked

00:17:55.040 or met each other or something like that.

00:17:57.400 So if it's really just him

00:17:58.860 and there's nothing mysterious about it,

00:18:01.960 I would expect that the place he died

00:18:04.300 had some relationship to his relationship

00:18:07.620 with his ex-girlfriend,

00:18:09.220 if that part of the story is true.

00:18:11.320 Anyway,

00:18:11.600 so,

00:18:11.700 what else do we have?

00:18:17.360 So he's the only person who has only one photo,

00:18:19.980 except for the one that looks like AI,

00:18:21.980 but we don't know if it is.

00:18:23.300 Why did I predict he would be found dead near a dumpster?

00:18:30.580 Do you know why?

00:18:34.240 Which would be very unusual, wouldn't it?

00:18:36.640 Why did I say dead near a dumpster?

00:18:40.880 Because that's how I would have done it.

00:18:42.480 If I were going to set up a fake murder,

00:18:46.740 I would make sure that you found the person fairly soon.

00:18:51.640 I'd want you to find them in a day or two,

00:18:54.140 but I wouldn't want you to find them in an hour.

00:18:57.820 What would be a good place to leave somebody

00:18:59.920 that you're guaranteed somebody will see them the next day,

00:19:03.120 but there's a very low chance

00:19:05.620 they'll see them in an hour

00:19:06.680 near a dumpster.

00:19:09.100 Because dumpsters

00:19:09.860 are places that people go to every day,

00:19:13.100 but not often.

00:19:15.920 Right?

00:19:16.320 Maybe once a day.

00:19:18.280 So,

00:19:19.000 that would be a perfect place to put a corpse

00:19:21.360 that you wanted people to find,

00:19:23.720 and you wanted them to find it

00:19:25.200 in a fairly specific

00:19:26.980 time order.

00:19:30.500 So I said,

00:19:31.560 well,

00:19:31.760 if it's not what it looks like,

00:19:33.620 you're going to find his dead body

00:19:35.000 near a dumpster.

00:19:36.780 Now,

00:19:37.180 he did put some effort into escaping,

00:19:40.100 and he had a boat.

00:19:42.500 Don't you think

00:19:43.140 he could have done

00:19:43.680 a little bit more escaping

00:19:44.900 if he wanted to?

00:19:51.820 They located the...

00:19:53.180 what?

00:19:54.520 They located the body

00:19:55.640 in a box trailer,

00:19:57.320 a container,

00:19:58.440 at the recycling company.

00:20:02.560 The area...

00:20:03.560 They had searched the area twice,

00:20:05.000 but they had not looked in that container.

00:20:07.780 Who kills themselves

00:20:08.960 inside a container?

00:20:12.780 Is that common?

00:20:14.720 Do you know a lot of murder...

00:20:15.400 a lot of people

00:20:16.820 who murder themselves,

00:20:18.640 and they climb inside a container?

00:20:24.520 All right.

00:20:25.220 Let's see if there's more on this.

00:20:28.420 Inside an unlocked trailer

00:20:30.340 at a recycling center

00:20:32.740 where he once worked.

00:20:34.980 An unlocked trailer.

00:20:36.420 What would a trailer

00:20:37.780 be used for

00:20:38.840 at a recycling center?

00:20:41.560 To carry recycled stuff?

00:20:44.660 Was it an office?

00:20:47.920 Or was it a trailer

00:20:49.360 like a...

00:20:50.520 like a mobile home trailer?

00:20:52.900 A trailer office? 0.94

00:20:56.220 Let me ask.

00:21:00.200 Let's...

00:21:00.720 Why wouldn't they have

00:21:01.340 looked in there

00:21:01.880 the first time?

00:21:04.160 Let's find out

00:21:05.000 what's going on.

00:21:05.660 an office trailer?

00:21:16.460 It was a container box trailer.

00:21:20.260 Container box.

00:21:21.100 So it wasn't an office.

00:21:22.820 It was a...

00:21:24.340 back of a truck.

00:21:28.180 Why would you do that?

00:21:29.280 Oh, I know why.

00:21:37.060 You would do that

00:21:38.240 because you knew

00:21:39.720 they were using

00:21:40.520 infrared to look for you.

00:21:42.560 Right?

00:21:43.540 So he was hiding

00:21:44.400 from the infrared.

00:21:47.320 Is that a thing?

00:21:48.840 Does anybody know

00:21:49.720 if that would work?

00:21:51.240 Right?

00:21:51.600 If you were an animal

00:21:52.460 and you were inside

00:21:53.240 a container

00:21:54.020 that was metal sides,

00:21:55.960 the infrared

00:21:56.500 wouldn't find you.

00:21:57.220 So he might have been

00:21:57.780 hiding from the infrared.

00:21:59.480 Which means he was

00:22:00.720 watching the news coverage

00:22:02.340 which said

00:22:04.180 they were going to

00:22:04.760 use infrared

00:22:05.440 to find his

00:22:06.800 sea signature

00:22:07.460 from above.

00:22:13.660 Infrared

00:22:14.160 seas through

00:22:14.940 metal?

00:22:16.960 Oh.

00:22:18.500 Somebody's...

00:22:19.160 Well, I'm not sure

00:22:19.900 he knew that.

00:22:21.000 Did he know that?

00:22:21.760 No, it does not,

00:22:23.940 some people are saying.

00:22:27.240 Okay.

00:22:29.120 So,

00:22:29.760 it wasn't a dumpster.

00:22:31.340 It was a container truck

00:22:32.780 next to a

00:22:33.860 garbage facility.

00:22:35.700 Recycling,

00:22:36.320 but garbage.

00:22:38.820 Now,

00:22:40.920 key to my prediction

00:22:42.860 that it was going to be

00:22:43.660 next to a dumpster

00:22:44.580 was that it would be

00:22:46.860 a place you wouldn't expect.

00:22:48.160 You know,

00:22:50.060 more like a good place

00:22:51.240 to kill somebody

00:22:52.340 than a good place

00:22:53.180 to kill yourself. 0.65

00:22:54.280 You know what I mean?

00:22:55.480 If you watched a movie,

00:22:56.900 does anybody go there

00:22:58.200 to kill themselves?

00:22:59.700 But it's exactly

00:23:00.780 where you're going

00:23:01.340 to kill somebody else.

00:23:03.680 Or to put a body there,

00:23:04.900 I suppose.

00:23:06.280 Now,

00:23:06.740 I also heard a

00:23:07.780 report

00:23:09.340 very unverified

00:23:10.580 that there were...

00:23:11.800 he was shot twice.

00:23:12.760 I assume

00:23:14.640 they would tell us

00:23:15.280 if that were the case,

00:23:16.100 right?

00:23:16.860 Nobody shoots themselves

00:23:17.880 in the head twice.

00:23:21.940 Where is a good place

00:23:22.960 to kill yourself?

00:23:25.180 Almost anywhere.

00:23:26.320 The forest.

00:23:27.440 The forest would be

00:23:28.520 the best place.

00:23:30.440 Might as well enjoy

00:23:31.180 your last minutes.

00:23:33.120 Hell,

00:23:33.340 the forest is nice.

00:23:35.700 All right.

00:23:38.680 All right.

00:23:39.320 So,

00:23:39.840 yeah,

00:23:44.460 there's something

00:23:44.900 sketchy about this.

00:23:46.060 I would wait to see

00:23:47.060 if we see a picture

00:23:48.580 of the note.

00:23:51.100 I'd want to see

00:23:51.900 a picture of it.

00:23:52.700 I'd want to know

00:23:53.240 if they matched

00:23:53.680 the head writing.

00:23:55.460 Which they probably will.

00:23:57.640 But,

00:23:58.460 if it's what it looks like,

00:24:00.240 it's some kind of,

00:24:01.040 you know,

00:24:02.500 op,

00:24:03.120 some intelligence op,

00:24:04.580 this would be the point

00:24:05.880 where the authorities

00:24:07.320 would start just agreeing

00:24:08.920 with whoever told them

00:24:09.900 to say whatever they say.

00:24:12.100 So,

00:24:12.360 you could be hearing,

00:24:13.600 you know,

00:24:14.000 if under the theory,

00:24:16.200 under the theory

00:24:18.100 that there's something

00:24:19.500 going on here

00:24:20.140 that's not obvious,

00:24:22.120 everybody would now

00:24:23.940 be on board

00:24:24.520 with the same theory.

00:24:25.980 So,

00:24:26.300 everybody would have

00:24:27.020 the same story.

00:24:27.960 Because by now,

00:24:29.740 you know,

00:24:30.000 law enforcement

00:24:30.620 would have to get on board

00:24:31.740 and probably just agree

00:24:33.560 with stuff.

00:24:34.380 So,

00:24:35.320 here's what I further predict.

00:24:37.560 If the situation

00:24:38.860 is as clean

00:24:40.100 as it could be,

00:24:41.840 crazy guy

00:24:42.580 gets a gun

00:24:43.280 two days

00:24:44.320 before he killed people,

00:24:46.000 killed a bunch of people.

00:24:47.340 It's probably

00:24:48.240 exactly that.

00:24:50.100 So,

00:24:50.540 if you were going

00:24:51.040 to predict,

00:24:52.780 based on that theory,

00:24:54.360 what would you predict

00:24:55.180 next?

00:24:56.400 Well,

00:24:56.880 I would predict

00:24:57.560 that all the facts

00:24:59.560 would come into play

00:25:01.680 and they would all

00:25:02.320 support the same narrative.

00:25:03.520 you'd find that

00:25:05.080 the handwriting

00:25:06.920 matches on the note.

00:25:08.760 The note

00:25:09.320 very clearly

00:25:10.280 shows his intentions.

00:25:12.060 He bought the gun

00:25:12.880 the day before

00:25:14.040 the shooting

00:25:14.560 or the day before

00:25:15.560 he was diagnosed

00:25:17.880 as having some

00:25:18.620 mental problems,

00:25:19.260 I think.

00:25:20.360 And,

00:25:20.860 he just didn't

00:25:21.880 change his clothes

00:25:22.720 because he was

00:25:24.060 on the run

00:25:24.640 and he's crazy. 0.75

00:25:25.820 He only had

00:25:26.500 one good photo,

00:25:27.520 but maybe there are

00:25:28.180 lots of good photos.

00:25:29.500 We just didn't have

00:25:30.360 time to find them.

00:25:32.700 But here's

00:25:33.360 what you would find

00:25:34.700 if it's fake.

00:25:37.120 If it's fake,

00:25:38.560 you're going to find

00:25:39.400 some kind of

00:25:40.060 mega

00:25:40.640 Trump-supporting

00:25:43.700 messages.

00:25:45.500 Now,

00:25:46.040 I saw some reports

00:25:47.680 that didn't sound

00:25:48.220 real,

00:25:48.980 that he'd said

00:25:49.540 some stuff

00:25:49.980 on social media,

00:25:50.760 but it's impossible

00:25:52.240 that he said things

00:25:53.160 on social media

00:25:54.040 if they only have

00:25:55.520 one photo of him.

00:25:57.460 I mean,

00:25:57.660 is he the one person

00:25:58.500 who's never put

00:25:59.100 his picture

00:25:59.480 on social media?

00:26:01.280 So,

00:26:02.800 look for

00:26:05.020 what is his

00:26:06.240 social media

00:26:07.020 profile

00:26:08.100 because I've heard

00:26:09.500 nothing about it.

00:26:10.860 Have you heard

00:26:11.460 anything about

00:26:12.300 his social media?

00:26:14.560 Is he the only

00:26:15.260 40-year-old

00:26:15.960 who has no social media?

00:26:19.420 That would be

00:26:20.080 very rare.

00:26:24.240 Yeah,

00:26:24.780 there's one

00:26:25.600 4chan thing

00:26:26.860 that looks fake

00:26:27.500 to me,

00:26:27.980 so I'm not even

00:26:28.480 going to mention that.

00:26:29.160 So there's some

00:26:30.120 fake manifestos,

00:26:31.860 but if it's an op,

00:26:34.660 it's about Trump.

00:26:39.540 Remember,

00:26:40.240 remember I was saying,

00:26:41.580 you know,

00:26:41.760 we're waiting for

00:26:42.320 the next op,

00:26:43.300 there's going to be

00:26:43.840 an op?

00:26:45.120 What would be

00:26:45.900 the better op

00:26:46.660 than a MAGA

00:26:48.200 extremist

00:26:49.160 killing people?

00:26:51.700 That would be

00:26:52.380 the best op

00:26:53.040 of all,

00:26:53.560 wouldn't it?

00:26:54.260 MAGA extremist 0.80

00:26:55.480 with a high-powered

00:26:57.120 gun.

00:26:57.540 What is more

00:26:59.560 on the nose

00:27:00.420 than MAGA

00:27:01.800 extremist

00:27:02.540 with a high-powered

00:27:03.300 gun

00:27:03.940 that he easily

00:27:05.420 purchased

00:27:06.000 even in the

00:27:07.160 context of

00:27:07.820 mental health?

00:27:09.700 Right?

00:27:10.500 Oh,

00:27:11.440 even crazy people

00:27:12.480 can get high-powered

00:27:13.320 guns,

00:27:14.020 but the important

00:27:15.320 thing is he's

00:27:16.040 got to be a MAGA

00:27:17.080 supporter.

00:27:18.180 Like,

00:27:18.460 not just Republican.

00:27:20.020 He's got to be

00:27:20.820 MAGA.

00:27:21.900 He's got to be

00:27:22.460 pro-Trump.

00:27:23.200 so do you

00:27:25.180 expect that

00:27:25.640 to happen?

00:27:28.220 So here's

00:27:28.940 my prediction.

00:27:30.340 If it's a 0.59

00:27:31.260 straightforward

00:27:31.680 story,

00:27:32.860 we'll hear

00:27:33.680 some perfectly

00:27:35.100 reasonable

00:27:35.760 reason why

00:27:37.160 there are no

00:27:37.660 good photos

00:27:38.360 of him

00:27:38.680 except the

00:27:39.160 one that

00:27:39.500 looks suspicious.

00:27:41.300 There might

00:27:41.620 be a perfectly

00:27:42.120 good reason,

00:27:42.760 like his

00:27:44.080 friends say

00:27:44.620 he never

00:27:45.020 liked social

00:27:45.640 media.

00:27:47.280 All by

00:27:47.720 that,

00:27:48.800 his friend

00:27:49.460 says he

00:27:49.860 doesn't use

00:27:50.260 social media.

00:27:51.540 Totally,

00:27:52.140 totally,

00:27:52.500 I'm done.

00:27:53.200 Yeah,

00:27:53.400 okay.

00:27:54.220 That's not

00:27:54.800 that crazy.

00:27:55.840 There are

00:27:56.100 some people

00:27:56.500 who don't.

00:27:58.300 But,

00:27:59.040 if there's

00:28:00.580 no indication

00:28:01.340 that he did

00:28:02.520 anything but

00:28:03.100 make a few

00:28:03.740 anti-Trump

00:28:04.660 posts,

00:28:05.600 or pro-Trump

00:28:06.500 posts,

00:28:08.600 it's going to

00:28:09.300 look pretty

00:28:09.800 suspicious.

00:28:10.560 All right,

00:28:10.720 let me see.

00:28:12.020 We have two

00:28:12.580 pictures of him.

00:28:15.060 All right,

00:28:15.340 we've got his,

00:28:18.500 looks like

00:28:19.460 there's only

00:28:19.820 two pictures,

00:28:20.640 yeah.

00:28:20.980 They don't

00:28:21.300 look like the

00:28:21.780 same guy.

00:28:22.500 All right.

00:28:27.220 Oh,

00:28:27.500 here we go.

00:28:29.540 Note was

00:28:30.120 found in his

00:28:30.700 home.

00:28:31.680 It was not

00:28:32.380 fully a

00:28:33.020 suicide note,

00:28:34.500 but it

00:28:36.100 had his

00:28:36.440 passcodes and

00:28:37.560 where to find

00:28:38.120 items once he

00:28:39.160 was gone.

00:28:40.900 Well,

00:28:41.340 that's a

00:28:41.720 suicide note,

00:28:43.060 isn't it?

00:28:45.520 Now,

00:28:46.160 if it were

00:28:46.660 an op,

00:28:47.600 it would be

00:28:48.900 more suicide-y,

00:28:49.860 right?

00:28:52.600 So if

00:28:53.100 somebody were

00:28:53.700 making him

00:28:54.920 write the

00:28:55.320 note,

00:28:56.580 they probably

00:28:57.060 would have

00:28:57.400 say,

00:28:57.760 and say,

00:28:58.200 you plan to

00:28:58.880 end it all

00:28:59.340 today after

00:28:59.820 you shoot

00:29:00.140 people,

00:29:00.480 or I'll

00:29:01.540 kill you 0.70

00:29:01.800 right now.

00:29:03.960 But it

00:29:04.560 has passcodes

00:29:05.480 and where to

00:29:06.080 find items

00:29:06.680 once he was

00:29:07.240 gone.

00:29:09.000 Hmm.

00:29:09.240 So we

00:29:10.880 have a

00:29:11.440 suicide note

00:29:12.420 that lacks

00:29:13.940 motive,

00:29:15.380 except we

00:29:16.180 heard he

00:29:16.580 heard voices

00:29:17.360 and stuff.

00:29:19.500 Hmm.

00:29:21.420 So we

00:29:22.480 have a

00:29:22.860 non-standard

00:29:24.000 situation with

00:29:25.380 his photos,

00:29:27.420 and a

00:29:27.700 non-standard

00:29:28.420 situation where

00:29:29.140 he was found,

00:29:30.100 and a

00:29:30.360 non-standard

00:29:31.140 suicide note.

00:29:33.160 Huh.

00:29:34.840 Well,

00:29:36.420 the suicide

00:29:37.440 note is

00:29:38.420 kind of

00:29:38.720 ambiguous.

00:29:39.240 in terms of

00:29:40.000 what theory

00:29:40.920 it supports.

00:29:43.120 Anyway,

00:29:44.640 so one

00:29:45.200 theory is

00:29:45.820 that he

00:29:46.560 was the

00:29:46.880 perfect

00:29:47.180 patsy

00:29:47.680 because he

00:29:48.520 was a

00:29:48.800 gun guy

00:29:49.340 and because

00:29:49.960 he had

00:29:50.600 mental

00:29:51.260 problems,

00:29:52.620 and also

00:29:53.440 a gun.

00:29:54.500 So if

00:29:54.840 you knew

00:29:55.140 somebody like

00:29:55.660 that,

00:29:55.980 he'd be the

00:29:56.360 perfect

00:29:56.620 person to

00:29:58.080 be your

00:29:58.640 patsy.

00:29:59.500 But I'm

00:29:59.920 not saying

00:30:00.280 that's what

00:30:00.640 happened.

00:30:01.440 It's probably

00:30:02.100 exactly what

00:30:02.940 it looks like,

00:30:03.600 crazy guy

00:30:04.100 with guns.

00:30:05.240 But we'll

00:30:05.560 see.

00:30:06.860 All right,

00:30:07.160 I saw that

00:30:07.660 George Bush

00:30:08.560 threw out

00:30:09.020 the first

00:30:09.680 pitch at,

00:30:10.700 is it the

00:30:11.120 World Series?

00:30:12.440 Is the

00:30:13.000 World Series

00:30:13.480 happening now?

00:30:15.300 I'm so

00:30:15.880 not caring

00:30:16.680 about baseball.

00:30:18.420 All right,

00:30:18.700 so George

00:30:19.780 Bush threw

00:30:20.180 it out,

00:30:20.480 and of course

00:30:20.760 it bounced

00:30:21.540 once or

00:30:22.000 twice before

00:30:22.660 it reached

00:30:22.940 the home

00:30:23.220 plate,

00:30:24.480 because he's

00:30:25.200 a certain

00:30:25.520 age.

00:30:26.380 Is George

00:30:27.220 Bush in

00:30:27.620 his 80s

00:30:28.560 now?

00:30:30.040 77?

00:30:30.560 77?

00:30:32.720 You know,

00:30:33.320 at 77,

00:30:34.280 he looks

00:30:34.720 spry.

00:30:36.480 I thought

00:30:36.880 he was

00:30:37.080 actually going

00:30:37.540 to throw

00:30:37.820 a strike,

00:30:39.340 because George

00:30:40.220 Bush was

00:30:40.620 in good

00:30:40.900 shape.

00:30:42.020 But that's

00:30:44.420 because Biden

00:30:45.060 can't do it,

00:30:45.840 right?

00:30:47.780 That's why,

00:30:48.500 right?

00:30:50.020 Because Biden

00:30:50.760 wouldn't be

00:30:51.180 able to throw

00:30:51.740 it without

00:30:52.260 falling over.

00:30:53.620 Or if he

00:30:54.240 threw it,

00:30:54.660 it would just

00:30:54.980 be pushing

00:30:56.240 it.

00:30:58.300 You know,

00:30:59.400 I feel like

00:31:00.260 Biden has

00:31:01.120 become Mr.

00:31:02.180 Burns from

00:31:03.160 The Simpsons.

00:31:05.180 Do you know

00:31:05.540 that comic,

00:31:06.200 that character,

00:31:06.860 Mr. Burns?

00:31:09.900 He's always

00:31:10.620 represented as

00:31:11.520 being so weak

00:31:13.400 that he can't,

00:31:14.040 he can barely

00:31:14.440 lift anything.

00:31:17.060 Well,

00:31:17.680 Taylor Swift

00:31:18.280 is a billionaire,

00:31:19.340 they say.

00:31:19.920 I don't know

00:31:20.660 how anybody

00:31:21.180 would really

00:31:21.600 know.

00:31:22.520 But I

00:31:23.940 heard a

00:31:24.780 story about

00:31:25.460 a clever

00:31:26.220 business

00:31:26.740 thing she

00:31:27.340 did,

00:31:28.640 which is

00:31:29.260 she made

00:31:29.960 a movie

00:31:30.360 of her

00:31:30.940 tour,

00:31:31.600 so it

00:31:31.880 turned it

00:31:32.240 into a

00:31:32.600 film,

00:31:33.340 but instead

00:31:34.160 of releasing

00:31:34.700 it through

00:31:35.060 a studio,

00:31:36.120 which is the

00:31:36.680 normal way

00:31:37.140 everything's

00:31:37.620 done,

00:31:38.500 she asked

00:31:39.040 the following

00:31:39.500 question.

00:31:40.840 What's the

00:31:41.320 studio adding?

00:31:43.420 What are

00:31:44.060 they doing?

00:31:45.580 Wait,

00:31:46.020 why am I

00:31:46.440 giving them

00:31:46.860 most of my

00:31:47.320 money?

00:31:48.560 It's because

00:31:49.380 they know

00:31:49.940 the phone

00:31:50.700 number of

00:31:51.380 the movie

00:31:53.240 theaters.

00:31:55.400 That's it.

00:31:56.740 They're the

00:31:57.320 ones who

00:31:57.680 go to the

00:31:58.020 movie theaters

00:31:58.540 and say,

00:31:59.000 hey,

00:31:59.140 do you want

00:31:59.420 to run

00:31:59.620 this movie?

00:32:01.180 That's what

00:32:01.700 they do.

00:32:02.820 And then they

00:32:03.420 publicize it.

00:32:04.540 So it's

00:32:04.880 publicity and

00:32:06.040 distribution,

00:32:06.880 but they

00:32:07.280 don't do

00:32:07.720 the distribution.

00:32:09.360 They simply

00:32:09.980 call the

00:32:10.680 people who do

00:32:11.240 and say,

00:32:11.660 hey,

00:32:11.840 I got

00:32:12.080 another one.

00:32:13.940 So Taylor

00:32:14.480 Swift said,

00:32:15.620 why do I

00:32:16.840 need publicity?

00:32:17.580 publicity?

00:32:19.740 Is there

00:32:20.280 somebody who

00:32:21.740 hasn't heard

00:32:22.140 of me?

00:32:22.760 Or if I

00:32:24.620 just tweet

00:32:25.140 to my

00:32:25.520 bazillion fans

00:32:26.440 that I have

00:32:26.780 a movie,

00:32:27.280 you don't

00:32:27.540 think I

00:32:27.860 can fill

00:32:28.240 all the

00:32:28.640 theaters?

00:32:30.320 So she

00:32:30.900 was like,

00:32:31.360 well,

00:32:31.480 I don't need

00:32:32.260 publicity.

00:32:32.660 I can do

00:32:33.120 that myself.

00:32:34.400 And then she

00:32:35.140 said,

00:32:35.720 I already

00:32:36.560 made the

00:32:36.960 movie.

00:32:37.720 I hired

00:32:38.440 my own

00:32:38.900 videographers.

00:32:41.520 Movie's already

00:32:42.180 done.

00:32:43.260 I don't

00:32:43.560 need the

00:32:43.880 studio to

00:32:44.380 make it.

00:32:45.100 I don't

00:32:45.460 need them

00:32:45.860 to promote

00:32:47.500 it.

00:32:49.720 But what

00:32:50.360 about that

00:32:50.800 phone call

00:32:51.320 that they

00:32:51.660 make to

00:32:51.980 the studios?

00:32:53.300 And then

00:32:53.620 she thought,

00:32:54.920 what if I

00:32:55.480 call the

00:32:55.980 actual movie

00:32:58.880 theater chain

00:32:59.580 and say,

00:33:00.360 you want to

00:33:00.900 buy this

00:33:01.380 directly from

00:33:02.560 me?

00:33:03.400 Are they

00:33:03.880 going to

00:33:04.080 say no

00:33:04.620 to a

00:33:05.840 Taylor Swift

00:33:06.700 video that

00:33:08.380 would probably

00:33:08.760 be their

00:33:09.120 most profitable

00:33:09.780 thing they'll

00:33:10.320 do?

00:33:10.980 Of course

00:33:11.560 I said yes.

00:33:13.380 But as

00:33:15.340 the person

00:33:16.280 I first

00:33:17.240 heard this

00:33:18.040 from,

00:33:18.540 I don't

00:33:19.040 know who

00:33:19.260 it was

00:33:19.580 on the

00:33:19.860 news,

00:33:21.060 the real

00:33:21.940 story here

00:33:23.500 is that

00:33:24.860 she found

00:33:25.300 a model

00:33:25.780 that any

00:33:26.480 celebrity

00:33:26.960 could use.

00:33:28.840 If Tom

00:33:29.720 Cruise decides

00:33:30.540 to make a

00:33:31.100 new movie,

00:33:32.680 are you not

00:33:33.180 going to

00:33:33.380 hear about

00:33:33.780 it?

00:33:34.400 Because there

00:33:34.760 was no

00:33:35.060 studio

00:33:35.480 involved?

00:33:37.800 No,

00:33:38.380 you'll hear

00:33:38.660 about it.

00:33:39.880 And if the

00:33:40.540 movie theater

00:33:41.060 said to Tom

00:33:41.740 Cruise,

00:33:42.120 hey Tom,

00:33:42.780 if he

00:33:44.160 called the

00:33:44.520 theater

00:33:44.860 directly,

00:33:45.540 do you

00:33:45.700 think the

00:33:46.000 theater would

00:33:46.420 say no,

00:33:47.580 we must

00:33:48.320 get this

00:33:48.700 from a

00:33:49.080 studio?

00:33:50.380 No.

00:33:51.360 They would

00:33:51.780 take it

00:33:52.820 on.

00:33:53.600 So it

00:33:53.860 could be

00:33:54.120 the studios

00:33:54.760 are just

00:33:55.320 on the

00:33:56.520 way out

00:33:57.040 except for

00:33:57.840 small movies

00:33:58.740 that need

00:33:59.260 the promotional

00:33:59.920 muscle.

00:34:01.660 So that's

00:34:02.460 sort of a

00:34:02.960 big Taylor

00:34:03.780 Swift thing. 0.99

00:34:05.700 She does

00:34:06.080 make good

00:34:06.580 business

00:34:07.020 moves.

00:34:07.540 all right,

00:34:12.240 so I

00:34:12.820 got to

00:34:13.020 tell you

00:34:13.280 an

00:34:13.380 experience

00:34:13.780 I had

00:34:14.060 yesterday.

00:34:14.580 I went

00:34:14.700 on a

00:34:15.080 Spaces,

00:34:15.980 that's the

00:34:16.420 audio feature

00:34:17.260 on the

00:34:17.740 X platform,

00:34:18.940 listening to

00:34:19.660 people who

00:34:21.200 were very

00:34:23.060 pro-Palestinian,

00:34:25.480 not pro-Hamas,

00:34:27.540 Palestinian.

00:34:28.480 And so

00:34:30.900 I listened

00:34:31.240 to their

00:34:31.560 whole

00:34:31.900 conversation

00:34:33.280 and how

00:34:33.720 they framed

00:34:34.340 everything from

00:34:35.900 the October

00:34:36.840 7th to

00:34:37.820 what Israel

00:34:38.760 is doing

00:34:39.080 in Gaza

00:34:39.460 now.

00:34:40.600 And what

00:34:41.000 I learned

00:34:41.400 was,

00:34:42.380 at least

00:34:42.800 among this

00:34:43.380 group,

00:34:44.140 it wasn't

00:34:44.620 everybody in

00:34:45.220 the world,

00:34:46.160 but it was

00:34:46.560 people on

00:34:47.100 the X

00:34:47.400 platform who

00:34:48.080 were pro-Palestinian,

00:34:50.720 to them it

00:34:52.000 seemed like

00:34:52.460 the Hamas

00:34:53.300 element

00:34:53.940 wasn't

00:34:55.240 important.

00:34:55.720 Let me say

00:34:58.360 that again.

00:34:59.560 Nobody there

00:35:00.300 seemed to

00:35:00.720 think that

00:35:01.140 the Hamas

00:35:01.900 attack on

00:35:02.480 Israel was 0.98

00:35:03.560 especially

00:35:04.120 important to

00:35:05.520 anything that

00:35:06.020 was happening.

00:35:09.120 I mean,

00:35:09.940 I didn't know

00:35:10.780 what it was

00:35:11.320 like being in

00:35:11.900 another universe.

00:35:13.640 Here's their

00:35:14.260 interpretation.

00:35:15.260 I don't

00:35:15.940 endorse this,

00:35:17.160 but you should

00:35:17.700 hear it.

00:35:18.800 Their

00:35:19.300 interpretation is

00:35:20.300 that the

00:35:20.880 Hamas attack

00:35:21.800 is another

00:35:23.080 small scene

00:35:24.180 in a much

00:35:25.080 larger movie

00:35:25.940 that is

00:35:27.340 Israel trying 0.66

00:35:28.060 to depopulate

00:35:29.240 Palestinian-held

00:35:31.500 lands,

00:35:32.000 in their

00:35:32.240 opinion.

00:35:34.480 So that

00:35:35.280 the Hamas

00:35:35.980 thing was

00:35:36.440 sort of

00:35:36.960 just an

00:35:37.940 obvious thing

00:35:39.140 that would

00:35:39.580 happen within

00:35:40.260 that text,

00:35:41.020 they say,

00:35:42.160 that is

00:35:42.720 Israel versus 0.94

00:35:43.500 the Palestinians,

00:35:44.760 and that it's

00:35:45.620 always been a

00:35:46.140 trick, they 1.00

00:35:46.540 would say,

00:35:47.480 that Israel

00:35:47.960 ever wanted

00:35:48.480 to live in

00:35:48.960 peace.

00:35:49.520 So their

00:35:49.840 version is

00:35:50.500 that Israel

00:35:51.560 is trying to

00:35:52.080 do everything

00:35:52.660 it can to

00:35:54.140 squeeze the

00:35:54.940 Palestinians

00:35:55.500 into just

00:35:56.200 leaving.

00:35:57.660 So it would

00:35:58.300 be like,

00:35:58.760 they're leaving

00:35:59.240 on their

00:35:59.600 own, but

00:36:01.000 we made it

00:36:01.960 so hard to

00:36:02.440 live there

00:36:03.000 through a

00:36:04.000 variety of

00:36:04.960 our tricks

00:36:05.800 that we're

00:36:07.580 just colonizers,

00:36:09.380 basically.

00:36:10.480 Now, I'm not

00:36:11.280 endorsing that

00:36:11.920 view, but if

00:36:13.140 you don't know

00:36:13.580 it exists,

00:36:15.000 you're not

00:36:16.000 going to

00:36:16.220 understand

00:36:16.560 anything you

00:36:17.140 see.

00:36:18.400 So apparently

00:36:19.040 there was a

00:36:19.580 huge pro-Palestinian

00:36:21.760 protest in

00:36:23.640 Grand

00:36:24.900 Central, and

00:36:26.180 they filled

00:36:26.660 the entire

00:36:27.140 Grand

00:36:27.500 Central with

00:36:28.220 protesters.

00:36:29.660 Now, I'm

00:36:30.320 guessing most

00:36:30.880 of them are

00:36:31.340 just Democrats.

00:36:32.740 Like, I

00:36:33.100 don't think

00:36:33.620 they're actual

00:36:34.160 Palestinians.

00:36:35.640 I think

00:36:36.120 they're just

00:36:36.440 Democrats who

00:36:37.160 agree.

00:36:39.740 And so I

00:36:40.280 saw this,

00:36:40.660 you know,

00:36:40.860 huge, huge

00:36:42.620 group of

00:36:43.200 Democrats.

00:36:44.140 Now, here's

00:36:44.560 the good news.

00:36:45.840 Totally

00:36:46.200 peaceful.

00:36:46.600 I'm going

00:36:49.040 to give

00:36:49.260 them credit

00:36:49.580 for that.

00:36:50.740 You know,

00:36:50.920 given how

00:36:51.920 high the

00:36:52.560 emotions are,

00:36:54.020 that was a

00:36:54.880 lot of

00:36:55.260 people to

00:36:55.700 put in

00:36:56.060 one space

00:36:57.140 and peaceful.

00:36:59.580 So I'm

00:37:00.120 going to

00:37:00.260 give them

00:37:00.520 that.

00:37:00.920 I'll give

00:37:01.400 you that

00:37:01.780 checkbox.

00:37:04.100 Good job

00:37:04.560 on the

00:37:04.840 peaceful

00:37:05.100 part.

00:37:05.980 But my

00:37:06.460 take on

00:37:06.980 it was,

00:37:08.040 the last

00:37:09.020 time I

00:37:09.380 saw that

00:37:10.120 many people

00:37:10.680 in one

00:37:11.120 place who

00:37:12.960 didn't

00:37:13.280 understand how

00:37:13.980 cause and

00:37:14.440 effect works,

00:37:16.020 I think

00:37:16.400 it was

00:37:16.600 the

00:37:16.900 Democrat

00:37:17.400 National

00:37:17.800 Convention

00:37:18.260 of 2020.

00:37:22.940 Somebody

00:37:23.540 says BLM.

00:37:24.920 I think

00:37:25.620 BLM was 1.00

00:37:26.160 more of a

00:37:26.700 money thing.

00:37:29.160 All right.

00:37:31.300 So just

00:37:32.380 know that.

00:37:37.700 Is anybody

00:37:40.340 having a

00:37:41.140 problem

00:37:42.380 with

00:37:44.540 supporting

00:37:45.400 either

00:37:45.820 side?

00:37:47.480 Here's

00:37:48.000 our

00:37:48.140 dilemma.

00:37:50.080 If you

00:37:50.740 were to

00:37:51.140 support

00:37:51.720 Israel,

00:37:52.940 which I

00:37:53.380 do,

00:37:54.360 you will

00:37:54.940 be called

00:37:55.460 a person

00:37:56.100 who supports

00:37:56.680 genocide

00:37:57.180 by people

00:37:58.620 who don't

00:37:59.160 like Israel 0.98

00:37:59.720 or at least

00:38:00.280 don't like

00:38:00.740 what they're

00:38:01.040 doing.

00:38:02.640 So,

00:38:03.740 simply

00:38:04.240 supporting

00:38:05.360 Israel,

00:38:06.480 as I do,

00:38:08.060 puts me

00:38:08.660 in the

00:38:09.020 category that

00:38:09.840 I will be

00:38:10.520 blamed by

00:38:11.980 other citizens,

00:38:13.400 and a lot

00:38:14.000 of them,

00:38:14.820 of supporting

00:38:15.420 genocide,

00:38:16.620 much like

00:38:17.420 1939

00:38:18.680 Germany.

00:38:21.940 Now,

00:38:22.240 I say to

00:38:22.560 myself,

00:38:22.960 how in the

00:38:23.400 world could

00:38:24.820 those Germans 0.83

00:38:25.540 have allowed

00:38:26.820 the Holocaust 0.82

00:38:27.560 to be

00:38:28.080 happening if

00:38:28.880 they were

00:38:29.140 somewhat,

00:38:30.040 even a little

00:38:30.720 bit aware

00:38:31.140 of it at

00:38:31.640 all?

00:38:31.820 If you

00:38:34.200 support

00:38:34.720 Israel,

00:38:36.100 obviously

00:38:36.480 you'll be

00:38:37.060 called a

00:38:39.200 supporter of

00:38:39.620 genocide,

00:38:41.020 a Nazi, 0.58

00:38:42.120 by all the

00:38:42.620 people who

00:38:43.080 were opposed

00:38:43.720 to it.

00:38:45.080 And there

00:38:45.360 are a lot

00:38:45.600 of them.

00:38:46.500 I mean,

00:38:46.840 in the world

00:38:47.320 and in the

00:38:48.020 country,

00:38:48.440 there are a

00:38:48.660 lot of

00:38:49.060 them.

00:38:50.300 Now,

00:38:50.480 suppose you

00:38:50.820 go the

00:38:51.060 other way,

00:38:52.120 and you

00:38:52.880 say,

00:38:53.620 no,

00:38:54.000 no,

00:38:54.140 no,

00:38:54.620 I'm anti-Israel, 1.00

00:38:56.320 suppose you

00:38:56.860 say,

00:38:57.640 and I

00:38:58.660 support those

00:38:59.460 Palestinians.

00:39:00.260 How can

00:39:02.040 you really

00:39:02.560 support the

00:39:03.180 Palestinians

00:39:03.700 without

00:39:04.140 supporting

00:39:04.820 genocide?

00:39:07.960 Because there

00:39:08.780 are enough

00:39:09.400 of the

00:39:09.640 Palestinians

00:39:10.160 who are

00:39:10.800 Hamas in 0.97

00:39:11.660 their views

00:39:12.220 that if

00:39:13.560 you were

00:39:13.800 simply saying,

00:39:14.520 hey,

00:39:14.700 let them 0.55

00:39:15.080 alone and

00:39:15.620 let them 0.55

00:39:15.940 live in

00:39:16.300 peace,

00:39:17.140 you basically

00:39:17.940 would be

00:39:18.480 supporting them

00:39:19.420 eventually

00:39:20.440 doing another

00:39:21.220 mass killing,

00:39:22.880 and if they

00:39:23.240 got powerful

00:39:23.760 enough,

00:39:24.840 their ambition

00:39:25.420 is to

00:39:26.060 essentially

00:39:26.940 depopulate

00:39:27.840 Jews from

00:39:28.900 Israel.

00:39:31.000 So,

00:39:31.800 you have

00:39:32.500 two choices

00:39:33.180 to be a

00:39:34.040 supporter of

00:39:34.880 genocide.

00:39:36.200 It doesn't

00:39:37.040 matter which

00:39:37.460 side you

00:39:37.860 take.

00:39:39.020 Now,

00:39:39.660 you could

00:39:39.960 maybe convince

00:39:40.800 yourself you're

00:39:42.280 on the good

00:39:42.740 side,

00:39:43.400 which I do

00:39:43.960 every day.

00:39:45.540 But keep

00:39:46.520 in mind that

00:39:47.200 some large

00:39:48.520 percentage of

00:39:49.280 the world

00:39:49.740 population will

00:39:51.360 think you

00:39:51.840 support genocide 0.72

00:39:52.620 and will go

00:39:53.260 to their

00:39:53.540 graves thinking

00:39:54.200 that.

00:39:55.280 They will

00:39:55.620 always think

00:39:56.260 it,

00:39:57.860 whichever

00:39:58.200 side you

00:39:59.140 take.

00:40:00.260 Now,

00:40:02.960 so what's

00:40:03.380 the solution?

00:40:05.180 Well,

00:40:05.780 I saw some

00:40:06.280 videos where

00:40:07.200 children,

00:40:09.020 Palestinian

00:40:09.460 children,

00:40:10.100 and then

00:40:10.360 also Jewish

00:40:10.980 children,

00:40:11.840 were interviewed

00:40:14.040 in the first

00:40:14.680 case,

00:40:15.440 and the

00:40:15.680 little

00:40:15.840 Palestinians

00:40:16.380 said stuff

00:40:17.720 like,

00:40:18.640 they teach

00:40:19.100 us in

00:40:19.440 school that

00:40:20.040 Jews are

00:40:20.480 bad people.

00:40:21.720 Quote,

00:40:22.200 I am ready

00:40:22.840 to stab a

00:40:23.500 Jew and

00:40:23.920 step on

00:40:24.320 him.

00:40:24.720 Quote,

00:40:25.520 we have to

00:40:26.260 start a war 0.85

00:40:26.880 and show

00:40:27.320 the Jews

00:40:27.740 we are

00:40:28.020 stronger.

00:40:28.660 Quote,

00:40:29.580 they teach

00:40:30.140 us that

00:40:30.800 Jews are

00:40:31.520 terrorists. 0.53

00:40:32.060 Quote,

00:40:32.360 I'm going

00:40:32.640 to run

00:40:33.020 them over

00:40:33.460 and stab 0.56

00:40:33.940 them.

00:40:34.240 Quote,

00:40:34.920 I'm ready

00:40:35.400 to be a

00:40:35.840 suicide

00:40:36.200 bomber.

00:40:37.140 These were

00:40:37.740 maybe nine

00:40:38.400 year olds,

00:40:39.700 nine or

00:40:40.140 ten year olds.

00:40:42.020 And you

00:40:42.500 say to

00:40:42.780 yourself,

00:40:43.100 my God,

00:40:44.420 they're

00:40:44.620 brainwashing

00:40:45.200 them like

00:40:45.520 crazy.

00:40:45.860 Well,

00:40:46.620 it took

00:40:46.840 about a

00:40:47.220 minute for

00:40:47.820 somebody to

00:40:48.420 say,

00:40:48.980 here's a

00:40:50.340 video inside

00:40:51.060 of Israel

00:40:51.520 in which

00:40:53.100 Israeli kids

00:40:54.800 in a,

00:40:55.480 it looked like

00:40:55.920 a Jewish

00:40:56.320 religion

00:40:56.840 class,

00:40:58.740 were being

00:40:59.240 taught things

00:40:59.900 that weren't,

00:41:01.020 I don't know

00:41:02.560 if they were

00:41:02.900 as violent

00:41:03.400 as this,

00:41:04.500 but they

00:41:04.920 were as

00:41:05.320 racist.

00:41:06.720 It was

00:41:07.220 similarly

00:41:07.560 racist, 0.77

00:41:08.420 it was

00:41:08.620 just the

00:41:09.920 reverse of

00:41:10.500 it,

00:41:10.780 with a

00:41:11.300 little less

00:41:11.620 violence,

00:41:12.160 I think.

00:41:13.180 Now,

00:41:14.140 how do

00:41:14.400 you fix

00:41:14.720 that?

00:41:16.700 So,

00:41:17.340 there's one

00:41:18.040 rule that

00:41:18.540 everybody agrees

00:41:19.320 with.

00:41:20.220 You don't

00:41:20.940 kill children, 0.98

00:41:22.560 right?

00:41:23.260 Can we all

00:41:23.900 agree with

00:41:24.260 that?

00:41:24.860 You can't

00:41:25.320 kill children. 0.70

00:41:26.980 But if you

00:41:27.820 don't,

00:41:28.740 you support

00:41:29.340 genocide.

00:41:31.860 Let's be

00:41:32.500 very clear

00:41:32.980 about that.

00:41:33.760 If you

00:41:34.200 oppose

00:41:34.720 killing

00:41:35.240 children

00:41:35.720 in the

00:41:37.160 Middle 0.95

00:41:37.340 East,

00:41:38.300 you support

00:41:40.340 genocide,

00:41:41.400 because

00:41:41.680 they're

00:41:41.900 weaponized.

00:41:43.400 The children

00:41:44.140 are,

00:41:44.660 they have

00:41:45.120 the weaponized

00:41:45.900 virus in

00:41:46.480 their mind,

00:41:47.280 that they're

00:41:48.280 going to

00:41:48.540 grow up

00:41:49.000 and try

00:41:50.020 to kill

00:41:50.320 Jews.

00:41:51.480 So,

00:41:51.980 if you're

00:41:52.300 okay with

00:41:52.900 them just

00:41:53.440 growing up,

00:41:55.440 cause and

00:41:56.280 effect,

00:41:57.600 it's a pretty

00:41:58.060 much,

00:41:58.440 you know,

00:41:58.680 one,

00:41:58.940 two,

00:41:59.180 three,

00:42:00.500 genocide.

00:42:02.280 So,

00:42:02.860 how can you

00:42:03.380 be opposed

00:42:04.000 to killing

00:42:04.460 children,

00:42:04.920 and also

00:42:07.020 opposed to

00:42:07.980 genocide?

00:42:09.280 You don't

00:42:09.840 have the choice.

00:42:11.260 You either

00:42:11.880 got to be

00:42:12.260 pro-killing

00:42:13.000 children,

00:42:13.700 or jailing

00:42:14.280 them until

00:42:14.720 they're

00:42:15.020 irrelevant,

00:42:16.260 or you

00:42:18.420 are in

00:42:18.760 favor of

00:42:19.140 genocide.

00:42:20.800 Because

00:42:21.300 either the,

00:42:22.240 you either

00:42:22.800 genocide the

00:42:23.540 children,

00:42:24.440 which nobody

00:42:25.260 is in

00:42:25.700 favor of,

00:42:26.680 or you

00:42:27.740 allow them

00:42:28.160 to grow

00:42:28.520 up and

00:42:28.840 genocide you, 0.99

00:42:30.220 which no

00:42:30.720 one is in

00:42:31.160 favor of.

00:42:32.120 So you

00:42:32.720 tell me,

00:42:34.440 how do I,

00:42:35.500 how do I

00:42:36.140 finish my

00:42:37.000 life on

00:42:37.740 this planet

00:42:38.300 without

00:42:39.180 supporting

00:42:39.780 genocide?

00:42:42.340 Give me

00:42:42.960 any,

00:42:43.520 give me

00:42:44.740 any path

00:42:45.440 I can

00:42:45.720 take.

00:42:47.080 What's my

00:42:47.700 path?

00:42:48.220 I could

00:42:48.780 say I'm

00:42:49.860 uninvolved

00:42:50.580 and I

00:42:50.840 disavow

00:42:51.300 everybody.

00:42:52.520 I could

00:42:53.080 say that.

00:42:54.200 But then I

00:42:54.700 would be

00:42:55.040 what?

00:42:56.620 Tacitly

00:42:57.140 approving

00:42:57.580 of genocide.

00:42:59.280 You know,

00:42:59.540 so you're

00:43:00.020 approving it

00:43:00.560 by your

00:43:00.860 actions,

00:43:01.400 but you're

00:43:01.640 also

00:43:01.860 supporting it

00:43:04.740 by your

00:43:05.060 inactions.

00:43:06.080 And you

00:43:06.480 don't have

00:43:06.860 a second

00:43:07.180 choice.

00:43:08.240 You're in

00:43:08.580 the same

00:43:08.860 boat as I

00:43:09.660 am.

00:43:10.300 You can

00:43:10.820 take a

00:43:11.200 side,

00:43:12.280 but I'll

00:43:12.960 tell you

00:43:13.300 you're

00:43:13.480 supporting

00:43:13.800 genocide,

00:43:15.440 whichever

00:43:15.800 side you

00:43:16.320 take.

00:43:17.260 Because

00:43:17.820 they've

00:43:18.120 created a

00:43:18.640 situation,

00:43:20.360 you know,

00:43:21.020 location is

00:43:22.320 destiny and

00:43:23.400 design is

00:43:23.980 destiny.

00:43:24.800 They've

00:43:25.260 created a

00:43:25.740 location and

00:43:27.280 a civilization

00:43:28.060 design that

00:43:29.740 guarantees the

00:43:31.120 complete genocide

00:43:32.160 of one of

00:43:32.960 them, if not

00:43:33.620 both.

00:43:34.820 How else

00:43:35.520 could it go?

00:43:36.720 You've

00:43:37.040 designed it

00:43:37.620 that way.

00:43:38.860 You just

00:43:39.460 plopped

00:43:40.100 people in

00:43:42.340 the middle

00:43:42.660 of this

00:43:43.120 sea of

00:43:43.780 hate.

00:43:46.560 How do

00:43:47.140 you solve

00:43:47.460 that?

00:43:48.820 So unless

00:43:49.580 you gain

00:43:50.160 control of

00:43:50.900 the education

00:43:51.600 systems of

00:43:52.460 all of your

00:43:52.980 neighboring

00:43:53.340 countries,

00:43:54.240 how is that

00:43:54.800 going to

00:43:55.020 happen?

00:43:56.300 You're going

00:43:56.820 to end up

00:43:57.100 with the

00:43:57.320 same thing.

00:43:58.420 So you're

00:43:58.760 just recreating

00:43:59.460 the same

00:43:59.880 problem generation

00:44:00.940 after generation.

00:44:01.760 Now what

00:44:02.700 will the

00:44:03.200 Palestinians

00:44:03.840 think after

00:44:04.900 this year?

00:44:06.740 Will they

00:44:07.100 think, oh,

00:44:08.300 it was a big

00:44:08.800 mistake, it

00:44:09.480 didn't work

00:44:09.900 out, I

00:44:10.820 guess we

00:44:11.140 definitely

00:44:11.480 don't have

00:44:12.060 to go do

00:44:13.240 bad things

00:44:13.880 to Israel?

00:44:15.560 No.

00:44:16.540 They're going

00:44:16.840 to be like

00:44:17.260 a thousand

00:44:17.840 times more

00:44:18.460 dedicated to

00:44:19.180 it.

00:44:19.700 Every single

00:44:20.260 child who

00:44:20.880 survives there

00:44:21.560 is going

00:44:21.880 to be a

00:44:22.360 terrorist

00:44:23.760 when you're

00:44:24.940 done.

00:44:25.940 So short

00:44:26.660 of genocide,

00:44:28.480 you tell me

00:44:29.020 the solution.

00:44:29.540 You want

00:44:31.420 to be

00:44:31.600 really,

00:44:32.160 really scared?

00:44:35.480 I did a

00:44:36.320 poll on X

00:44:37.140 to ask people

00:44:37.760 if they were

00:44:38.220 in favor of

00:44:39.020 genocide.

00:44:40.940 That's where

00:44:41.600 we are.

00:44:42.880 And it was

00:44:43.440 a serious

00:44:43.920 question.

00:44:45.400 Do you

00:44:45.640 know what

00:44:45.820 the results

00:44:46.280 were?

00:44:49.100 About 25%

00:44:50.440 said yes.

00:44:51.340 It depends.

00:44:52.700 Well, it

00:44:53.240 depends,

00:44:53.940 meaning there

00:44:54.480 is a situation

00:44:55.240 in which it

00:44:55.660 makes sense.

00:44:56.660 And the

00:44:57.780 situation is

00:44:58.680 self-defense.

00:45:01.660 So if you

00:45:02.860 had to have

00:45:04.160 a genocide

00:45:04.620 to save

00:45:05.780 your family,

00:45:07.540 about a

00:45:08.120 quarter of

00:45:08.560 the people

00:45:08.900 said,

00:45:09.620 yeah.

00:45:10.420 But there

00:45:10.880 were actually

00:45:11.160 more people

00:45:11.700 who just,

00:45:12.160 if you had

00:45:12.520 the people

00:45:12.840 who just

00:45:13.140 said directly

00:45:13.800 yes,

00:45:14.980 there were

00:45:15.560 a lot of

00:45:16.060 people in

00:45:16.940 favor of

00:45:17.340 genocide

00:45:17.800 right today.

00:45:19.800 Your

00:45:19.920 neighbors,

00:45:21.300 yeah.

00:45:21.760 Yeah,

00:45:22.000 your neighbors

00:45:22.480 or a lot

00:45:23.240 of your

00:45:23.440 neighbors

00:45:23.800 would be

00:45:24.140 actually in

00:45:24.900 favor of

00:45:26.380 genocide.

00:45:26.720 genocide.

00:45:28.680 Now,

00:45:29.700 here's a

00:45:30.700 question I

00:45:31.200 asked,

00:45:31.660 just to

00:45:32.220 know how

00:45:32.520 dicey this

00:45:33.100 is.

00:45:34.000 So yesterday

00:45:34.620 I asked

00:45:35.400 people to

00:45:36.560 put in the

00:45:37.080 comments of

00:45:37.780 a post to

00:45:40.780 tell me what

00:45:41.300 number of

00:45:42.260 civilian deaths

00:45:43.280 in Gaza,

00:45:45.140 their mind,

00:45:46.480 at least

00:45:46.720 mentally,

00:45:47.800 they would

00:45:48.100 say,

00:45:48.400 oh,

00:45:48.780 that has

00:45:49.200 moved from

00:45:49.680 self-defense

00:45:50.360 into genocide.

00:45:52.640 Because you

00:45:53.320 should be able

00:45:53.800 to say that

00:45:54.320 number if

00:45:55.780 you could

00:45:56.060 have an

00:45:56.320 opinion of

00:45:56.960 whether it

00:45:57.540 is or

00:45:57.880 is not

00:45:58.220 a genocide.

00:45:59.120 So we

00:45:59.660 would agree

00:46:00.140 that if

00:46:01.280 Israel killed 0.99

00:46:01.940 every man,

00:46:02.660 woman, 1.00

00:46:02.940 and child

00:46:03.260 in Gaza,

00:46:04.320 that would

00:46:04.620 be genocide. 0.52

00:46:06.180 Right?

00:46:06.460 Everybody would

00:46:07.020 agree with

00:46:07.380 that.

00:46:08.340 And we

00:46:08.860 also agree

00:46:09.340 that if

00:46:09.600 they killed

00:46:09.960 zero

00:46:10.680 civilians,

00:46:12.140 miraculously,

00:46:13.060 if somehow

00:46:13.380 that were

00:46:13.700 possible,

00:46:14.440 and killed

00:46:14.900 every one

00:46:15.540 of the

00:46:15.760 Hamas 0.96

00:46:16.220 fighters,

00:46:17.720 totally

00:46:18.060 justified.

00:46:19.200 And we

00:46:19.520 would say,

00:46:19.940 wow,

00:46:20.360 good job.

00:46:21.560 Right?

00:46:22.440 So it

00:46:23.600 could be

00:46:24.000 self-defense

00:46:24.700 if zero

00:46:25.540 civilians

00:46:26.060 die.

00:46:27.080 It could

00:46:27.720 be a

00:46:28.020 genocide

00:46:28.320 if 100%

00:46:29.380 of everybody

00:46:29.940 died.

00:46:31.940 Somewhere

00:46:32.420 in between

00:46:33.040 there's a

00:46:33.480 crossover.

00:46:34.720 If you

00:46:35.060 don't know

00:46:35.360 what that

00:46:35.700 crossover is,

00:46:36.520 you should

00:46:36.780 shut the

00:46:37.200 fuck up

00:46:37.800 about this

00:46:40.560 topic.

00:46:41.540 In my

00:46:42.220 opinion,

00:46:43.040 if you

00:46:43.360 can't put

00:46:43.760 a number

00:46:44.100 on it,

00:46:44.580 shut the

00:46:44.920 fuck up,

00:46:45.660 because you're

00:46:46.220 a coward.

00:46:48.040 You're a

00:46:48.640 coward if you

00:46:49.440 can't put a

00:46:49.880 number on it.

00:46:50.720 So I'm

00:46:51.020 going to do

00:46:51.380 it.

00:46:51.840 20,000.

00:46:52.480 In my

00:46:54.700 opinion,

00:46:55.260 and by the

00:46:55.620 way,

00:46:56.040 this is my

00:46:56.500 opinion of

00:46:57.140 how other

00:46:57.680 people will

00:46:58.140 think.

00:46:59.040 Not my

00:46:59.480 opinion of

00:47:00.000 my personal

00:47:00.580 opinion.

00:47:01.680 It's my

00:47:02.060 opinion of

00:47:02.680 how others

00:47:03.360 will see

00:47:03.780 it.

00:47:04.860 Given the

00:47:05.440 severity of

00:47:06.240 the Hamas

00:47:06.760 attack,

00:47:07.520 everybody

00:47:07.800 expects way

00:47:09.400 too many

00:47:09.800 civilian

00:47:10.240 casualties.

00:47:11.380 But we

00:47:12.000 also know

00:47:12.520 it's war,

00:47:13.260 we also

00:47:13.640 know terrible

00:47:15.240 choices.

00:47:16.420 So there's

00:47:16.920 some number

00:47:17.580 that is a

00:47:19.000 horrific number

00:47:19.860 that much of

00:47:21.580 the world

00:47:21.900 will say,

00:47:22.320 you know

00:47:22.520 what?

00:47:24.120 It's not

00:47:24.760 Israel's 0.75

00:47:25.240 fault.

00:47:25.740 They had

00:47:26.160 to do

00:47:26.380 what they

00:47:26.600 had to

00:47:26.840 do.

00:47:27.560 There's

00:47:27.800 some

00:47:27.960 number.

00:47:29.360 I'm going

00:47:29.840 to say

00:47:30.020 20,000.

00:47:32.380 And I

00:47:32.860 have no

00:47:33.160 idea where

00:47:33.620 it'll end

00:47:33.980 up.

00:47:34.680 I don't

00:47:34.980 know if

00:47:35.280 it'll end

00:47:35.580 up north

00:47:36.020 out of

00:47:36.320 the south.

00:47:36.920 I'm

00:47:37.280 pretty sure

00:47:37.960 that we

00:47:40.420 won't know

00:47:40.840 the real

00:47:41.160 number.

00:47:42.160 Because there

00:47:42.700 probably will

00:47:43.320 be a Hamas 0.97

00:47:44.140 lie.

00:47:45.900 There might

00:47:46.460 be an

00:47:46.740 official number.

00:47:48.080 Who knows

00:47:48.520 if you can

00:47:48.900 believe the

00:47:49.300 official number

00:47:50.100 either.

00:47:50.360 So I'm

00:47:52.780 looking at

00:47:53.100 the comments.

00:47:53.820 There are

00:47:54.260 pro-genocide

00:47:56.080 comments right

00:47:56.820 here.

00:47:57.880 In the real

00:47:58.380 world, there

00:47:58.820 are pro-

00:47:59.520 I mean, you

00:47:59.920 see them

00:48:00.180 everywhere.

00:48:01.740 So ask

00:48:02.620 yourself, if

00:48:04.040 you were in

00:48:04.620 Nazi Germany

00:48:05.560 in 1939,

00:48:08.500 would you

00:48:09.200 have gone

00:48:09.900 along with

00:48:10.600 the Holocaust 0.82

00:48:11.380 and Hitler? 0.82

00:48:13.360 I have the

00:48:14.180 answer for you,

00:48:14.860 and the answer

00:48:15.300 is yes.

00:48:16.360 Yes, you

00:48:16.780 would have.

00:48:17.100 unfortunately

00:48:19.720 that's who

00:48:20.180 we are

00:48:20.620 as a

00:48:22.240 species.

00:48:23.440 We very

00:48:24.160 easily go to

00:48:25.040 genocide as,

00:48:26.140 well, I

00:48:26.500 had no

00:48:26.780 choice.

00:48:28.100 Probably

00:48:28.580 Hitler thought

00:48:29.600 he had no

00:48:30.000 choice, or

00:48:30.840 argued he

00:48:31.640 did, something

00:48:32.320 like that.

00:48:33.940 So we're

00:48:35.480 pushed into a

00:48:36.280 position where

00:48:37.680 we all have to

00:48:38.560 deal with the

00:48:39.040 fact that we're

00:48:39.640 going to support

00:48:40.280 genocide on

00:48:41.960 one side or

00:48:42.600 the other.

00:48:42.880 and you

00:48:45.140 hope your

00:48:45.520 own side

00:48:46.000 doesn't define

00:48:46.720 it that way.

00:48:47.580 That's the

00:48:47.900 best you can

00:48:48.320 do.

00:48:49.380 You know, you

00:48:49.740 can hang

00:48:50.100 around with

00:48:50.460 people who

00:48:50.920 didn't define

00:48:51.620 it that way,

00:48:52.240 and then you

00:48:52.520 don't feel so

00:48:53.060 bad.

00:48:53.780 But somebody

00:48:54.560 is going to

00:48:54.980 define whatever

00:48:55.680 you supported

00:48:56.320 as genocide,

00:48:57.480 and there's no

00:48:58.020 way around it.

00:48:59.840 So you say to

00:49:00.400 yourself, well,

00:49:00.900 I'll just be not

00:49:01.540 involved and not

00:49:02.220 say anything.

00:49:02.960 Not good

00:49:03.420 enough.

00:49:04.540 Not good

00:49:05.020 enough.

00:49:06.220 You tacitly

00:49:06.940 support it if

00:49:07.620 you don't say

00:49:08.020 anything.

00:49:09.660 So we're all

00:49:10.840 supporters of

00:49:11.620 genocide.

00:49:12.880 According to

00:49:13.540 the rules.

00:49:17.000 So that's

00:49:17.620 suboptimal.

00:49:20.020 So here's a

00:49:20.960 little more about

00:49:21.500 the attack

00:49:22.680 yesterday on

00:49:23.620 Gaza.

00:49:28.580 By the way,

00:49:29.220 there was one

00:49:29.700 other person who

00:49:30.480 gave an estimate.

00:49:31.300 He said 50,000.

00:49:33.360 Now, I'm not

00:49:33.960 commenting on his

00:49:35.440 estimate.

00:49:36.100 I'll only comment

00:49:36.760 that there was

00:49:37.280 only one person

00:49:38.240 brave enough to

00:49:39.640 put a number on

00:49:40.380 it.

00:49:40.680 Do you know

00:49:41.020 why nobody else

00:49:41.620 wanted to put a

00:49:42.240 number on it?

00:49:42.880 Why do you

00:49:44.760 think everybody

00:49:45.720 avoided the

00:49:46.480 question like

00:49:47.100 I've never

00:49:47.580 seen?

00:49:48.140 I've never

00:49:48.820 seen anybody

00:49:49.500 avoid a

00:49:49.980 question as

00:49:50.460 much as

00:49:50.780 that one.

00:49:52.080 You know

00:49:52.420 why?

00:49:54.280 Because on

00:49:54.940 some level,

00:49:55.540 we know we're

00:49:55.960 all complicit.

00:49:57.480 We're all

00:49:58.160 complicit.

00:49:59.480 Whichever way

00:50:00.160 this goes,

00:50:01.640 we're all

00:50:02.520 kind of

00:50:03.000 complicit.

00:50:04.560 I wish we

00:50:05.420 weren't,

00:50:06.780 but the do

00:50:08.360 nothing scenario

00:50:09.460 kind of

00:50:11.440 makes you

00:50:11.740 complicit.

00:50:13.780 Now,

00:50:14.280 here's the

00:50:15.460 only mental

00:50:16.360 defense that

00:50:17.460 I can give

00:50:17.920 you.

00:50:18.920 You don't

00:50:19.460 have a

00:50:19.720 choice.

00:50:21.260 Israel is

00:50:21.840 going to do

00:50:22.160 what Israel

00:50:22.520 does.

00:50:22.980 Your opinion

00:50:23.460 doesn't make

00:50:24.300 any difference.

00:50:25.340 So you can

00:50:25.860 have an

00:50:26.120 opinion on

00:50:26.680 it, but it

00:50:27.720 won't change

00:50:28.140 the outcome.

00:50:29.720 So I'm

00:50:30.400 going to tell

00:50:30.740 you that there

00:50:31.260 is some

00:50:31.660 number that

00:50:33.060 will work

00:50:33.480 out worse

00:50:34.100 for Israel

00:50:34.820 than if they

00:50:36.460 stay below

00:50:37.020 the number.

00:50:38.200 I think,

00:50:39.020 and this is

00:50:39.480 just a cycle,

00:50:40.140 oh, let me

00:50:40.520 test this on

00:50:41.080 you.

00:50:42.040 I'll just

00:50:42.420 test my

00:50:42.880 number.

00:50:43.720 Now, remember,

00:50:44.160 this isn't

00:50:44.580 your own

00:50:45.040 opinion.

00:50:46.520 Give me the

00:50:47.060 opinion of

00:50:47.720 what the

00:50:48.140 world will

00:50:48.980 consider way

00:50:50.660 past the

00:50:51.260 line.

00:50:52.100 I say

00:50:52.500 20,000 is

00:50:54.580 the point

00:50:55.040 where the

00:50:55.880 world can't

00:50:56.480 handle it.

00:51:00.420 I'm seeing

00:51:01.140 numbers like

00:51:01.800 10K,

00:51:02.980 5,000,

00:51:03.820 35,000.

00:51:05.580 I think

00:51:06.320 100,000

00:51:07.220 would be

00:51:08.860 genocide for

00:51:10.000 sure.

00:51:10.720 What do you

00:51:11.020 say?

00:51:11.620 Civilians.

00:51:12.640 If it's

00:51:12.960 100,000

00:51:13.540 civilians.

00:51:14.540 I don't

00:51:14.980 think it's

00:51:15.540 going to

00:51:15.720 reach that

00:51:16.080 level.

00:51:16.920 The only

00:51:17.280 way it

00:51:17.560 could reach

00:51:17.820 that level

00:51:18.240 is if

00:51:18.660 Hamas 0.96

00:51:19.200 started

00:51:19.480 killing

00:51:19.800 their own

00:51:20.100 people and

00:51:20.780 it was

00:51:21.600 mass

00:51:21.880 starvation

00:51:22.360 and they

00:51:22.780 didn't let

00:51:23.120 them out.

00:51:23.860 But that's

00:51:24.160 possible.

00:51:27.120 Yeah.

00:51:27.480 So you

00:51:27.760 think about

00:51:28.140 20,000.

00:51:29.260 Now, here's

00:51:29.760 the problem.

00:51:31.280 Hamas is 0.99

00:51:31.920 going to

00:51:32.140 say 20,000

00:51:33.020 by tomorrow,

00:51:34.400 and Israel

00:51:36.400 will say

00:51:37.340 there was

00:51:37.700 never anywhere

00:51:38.180 near that

00:51:38.600 number,

00:51:39.460 whether there

00:51:40.420 is or not.

00:51:42.200 So we'll

00:51:43.840 never know.

00:51:45.220 It's an

00:51:45.920 unknowable

00:51:46.500 number in

00:51:47.000 the end.

00:51:47.880 But if

00:51:48.420 there's

00:51:48.660 official numbers

00:51:49.560 coming out

00:51:50.060 in that

00:51:50.420 20,000

00:51:51.060 range,

00:51:52.840 that's where

00:51:53.460 it probably

00:51:54.100 wasn't worth

00:51:56.700 the fight

00:51:57.140 because you

00:51:58.200 end up

00:51:58.500 worse off

00:51:58.980 than before.

00:51:59.640 Now, it

00:52:02.100 will be

00:52:02.420 worth the

00:52:02.780 fight in

00:52:03.160 terms of

00:52:03.560 how the

00:52:05.060 Israelis feel 0.94

00:52:05.920 about it

00:52:06.460 because normally

00:52:08.940 I would say

00:52:09.560 you don't want

00:52:10.660 to have a

00:52:11.060 war over

00:52:11.540 your feelings.

00:52:13.220 Wouldn't

00:52:13.740 you agree?

00:52:14.860 The worst

00:52:15.620 reason to have

00:52:16.220 a war is

00:52:17.780 about your

00:52:18.200 feelings,

00:52:20.160 because you

00:52:20.600 feel afraid

00:52:21.380 or something.

00:52:22.200 But I would

00:52:22.760 argue against

00:52:23.300 that.

00:52:23.940 I would argue

00:52:24.520 that you

00:52:24.880 could not

00:52:25.360 be a

00:52:26.120 resident of

00:52:27.380 Israel today

00:52:28.280 without knowing

00:52:30.060 that your

00:52:30.520 army had

00:52:31.340 absolutely

00:52:32.500 eliminated

00:52:33.180 Hamas. 0.73

00:52:34.240 No matter

00:52:35.020 what it

00:52:35.380 took.

00:52:36.500 No matter

00:52:37.080 what it

00:52:37.500 took.

00:52:38.700 You wouldn't

00:52:39.140 even be able

00:52:39.620 to live

00:52:39.840 there.

00:52:40.660 So I would

00:52:41.040 say that

00:52:41.340 self-defense

00:52:42.060 is very

00:52:42.520 much in

00:52:42.920 play here.

00:52:44.120 And I

00:52:45.540 don't

00:52:46.000 criticize

00:52:46.440 Israel for

00:52:48.460 doing what

00:52:49.000 it needs

00:52:49.320 to do to

00:52:49.920 heal the

00:52:50.700 brains of

00:52:51.520 its citizens.

00:52:52.680 It's like

00:52:53.320 an entire

00:52:53.740 country with

00:52:54.460 severe brain

00:52:55.300 damage.

00:52:56.880 And don't

00:52:58.260 expect them

00:52:58.860 to act

00:52:59.240 completely

00:53:00.000 rational,

00:53:01.280 because they're

00:53:02.060 fixing also a

00:53:03.900 brain problem.

00:53:05.140 And that

00:53:05.400 might require

00:53:06.160 a severity

00:53:07.780 of action

00:53:09.200 that you

00:53:10.060 wouldn't

00:53:10.360 normally

00:53:10.960 approve of.

00:53:12.440 Because there

00:53:13.020 might be no

00:53:13.700 other way to

00:53:14.440 make their

00:53:14.800 brains say,

00:53:16.400 all right,

00:53:17.600 that should

00:53:18.060 make us

00:53:18.880 safe for a

00:53:19.320 while.

00:53:22.300 So I think

00:53:23.000 Israel had to 0.99

00:53:23.560 do what they

00:53:23.900 had to do.

00:53:24.360 All right,

00:53:24.580 so they did

00:53:24.960 a big push

00:53:25.720 and a lot

00:53:26.180 of bombing,

00:53:26.800 and they

00:53:27.080 had some

00:53:27.940 boots on

00:53:28.320 the ground,

00:53:28.760 but it

00:53:28.920 wasn't,

00:53:29.380 they say,

00:53:29.820 the big

00:53:30.200 push.

00:53:31.260 Here's what

00:53:31.780 they were

00:53:32.040 trying to

00:53:32.440 do.

00:53:33.320 They were

00:53:33.640 apparently,

00:53:34.380 this was

00:53:34.800 being reported

00:53:35.300 by Fox

00:53:35.780 News today,

00:53:36.620 they were

00:53:37.180 trying to

00:53:37.780 put pressure

00:53:38.740 on Hamas

00:53:39.480 to maybe

00:53:40.800 get the

00:53:41.380 hostage

00:53:42.000 negotiations

00:53:42.800 working a

00:53:43.440 little better.

00:53:45.000 Now,

00:53:45.480 do you know

00:53:45.780 what my,

00:53:46.600 do you remember

00:53:47.080 my military

00:53:48.180 suggestion?

00:53:49.760 So my

00:53:50.220 military

00:53:50.640 suggestion

00:53:51.180 was exactly

00:53:52.780 this.

00:53:54.020 So,

00:53:54.780 I'm no

00:53:55.100 military

00:53:55.560 expert,

00:53:56.480 but you're

00:53:57.000 also managing

00:53:57.940 hearts and

00:53:58.840 minds and

00:53:59.360 world opinion.

00:54:00.740 And what I

00:54:01.180 thought is

00:54:01.680 Israel has 1.00

00:54:02.620 to have

00:54:03.320 the maximum

00:54:04.520 amount of

00:54:05.220 force short

00:54:06.860 of a full-on

00:54:08.240 ground invasion,

00:54:09.600 and they need

00:54:10.180 to just ride

00:54:10.920 those situations

00:54:11.740 as long as

00:54:12.360 possible.

00:54:13.880 Today,

00:54:14.420 tomorrow,

00:54:14.880 next day.

00:54:15.600 Now,

00:54:15.840 they do have

00:54:16.240 an issue

00:54:16.680 that they

00:54:17.560 have so

00:54:17.900 many people

00:54:19.460 in uniform

00:54:20.060 that the

00:54:21.020 rest of the

00:54:21.460 country isn't

00:54:22.040 going to

00:54:22.260 work.

00:54:23.200 The people

00:54:24.000 in uniform,

00:54:24.720 at least half

00:54:25.740 of them or

00:54:26.160 more,

00:54:26.480 need to get

00:54:26.900 back to

00:54:27.200 their day

00:54:27.600 jobs,

00:54:28.400 because it's

00:54:29.720 a pretty big

00:54:30.340 takeaway from

00:54:31.160 the economy.

00:54:33.180 And they're

00:54:33.740 not going to

00:54:34.080 be as high

00:54:37.060 morale in

00:54:39.320 three months

00:54:40.080 as they are

00:54:41.320 in day one.

00:54:42.620 They're gung-ho

00:54:43.420 to get in

00:54:43.840 there.

00:54:44.760 But I

00:54:45.060 think,

00:54:45.620 so anyway,

00:54:47.080 what we have

00:54:47.760 is a rates

00:54:48.700 problem,

00:54:49.440 not a yes-no

00:54:50.300 problem.

00:54:50.700 If you've

00:54:53.480 talked to

00:54:53.820 anybody from

00:54:54.320 Israel,

00:54:55.760 they will

00:54:56.260 talk yes-no.

00:54:58.780 There will

00:54:59.320 be a

00:54:59.580 conversation

00:55:00.100 that will

00:55:00.300 go like

00:55:00.620 this.

00:55:01.620 All right,

00:55:02.000 I think

00:55:02.340 maybe you

00:55:02.840 should go

00:55:03.360 slow,

00:55:04.140 but of

00:55:04.820 course you

00:55:05.260 have to

00:55:05.540 eliminate

00:55:05.900 Hamas no 0.96

00:55:06.980 matter what.

00:55:08.620 Well,

00:55:09.260 why would

00:55:09.920 we go

00:55:10.300 slow?

00:55:10.660 We have

00:55:10.940 to get

00:55:11.400 rid of

00:55:11.660 Hamas. 0.73

00:55:12.760 I know,

00:55:13.880 but you

00:55:14.160 could make

00:55:14.480 it worse

00:55:14.940 if there

00:55:15.280 are too

00:55:15.460 many civilian

00:55:15.940 casualties.

00:55:16.420 So go

00:55:17.620 slow,

00:55:18.380 but definitely

00:55:19.240 whatever you

00:55:19.820 do,

00:55:20.200 don't leave

00:55:20.860 any possibility

00:55:21.620 that Hamas 0.99

00:55:22.300 can survive.

00:55:24.060 It's a hard

00:55:24.800 conversation

00:55:25.360 because they

00:55:26.560 just want

00:55:27.020 Hamas dead.

00:55:29.300 Wouldn't

00:55:29.760 you?

00:55:30.840 Isn't that

00:55:31.440 exactly what

00:55:32.180 you would

00:55:32.460 want?

00:55:32.940 If you

00:55:33.400 had watched

00:55:33.780 your children

00:55:34.280 be slaughtered, 0.96

00:55:35.300 are you

00:55:35.800 going to

00:55:36.020 say,

00:55:36.340 no,

00:55:36.680 no,

00:55:36.980 don't hurt

00:55:37.380 their children?

00:55:38.940 Well,

00:55:39.480 I've never

00:55:39.820 had my

00:55:40.200 children slaughtered

00:55:41.040 in front of

00:55:41.460 me,

00:55:41.860 but if I

00:55:42.800 did,

00:55:43.340 I wouldn't

00:55:43.720 be caring

00:55:44.140 about the

00:55:45.060 children of

00:55:45.980 somebody else

00:55:47.420 at the

00:55:47.800 moment.

00:55:49.000 I wish I

00:55:50.180 were such

00:55:50.540 a big

00:55:50.820 person that

00:55:51.340 I could

00:55:51.660 care about

00:55:52.080 that,

00:55:52.640 but I'm

00:55:53.080 not.

00:55:54.640 So,

00:55:55.700 at the

00:55:58.180 moment,

00:55:59.440 it appears

00:56:00.040 to me that

00:56:00.780 Israel is

00:56:01.400 doing exactly

00:56:02.240 what I

00:56:02.660 would have

00:56:02.940 done.

00:56:04.320 I'm not

00:56:04.740 sure.

00:56:04.940 That's a

00:56:05.280 good thing.

00:56:06.420 But what

00:56:06.740 I would

00:56:06.980 have done

00:56:07.280 is probe,

00:56:10.160 bomb, 0.51

00:56:10.800 probe,

00:56:11.360 bomb, 0.51

00:56:12.240 negotiate,

00:56:13.140 probe,

00:56:13.580 bomb, 0.51

00:56:14.340 shrink the

00:56:14.960 battlefield,

00:56:15.980 you know,

00:56:16.560 you just

00:56:16.860 bomb the

00:56:17.500 perimeter

00:56:17.840 until it

00:56:18.480 gets smaller

00:56:18.980 and smaller

00:56:19.460 and just

00:56:20.180 keep

00:56:20.380 negotiating.

00:56:21.300 I would

00:56:21.700 negotiate

00:56:22.140 until the

00:56:22.680 last Hamas 0.82

00:56:23.420 killer was

00:56:24.260 dead.

00:56:26.100 Just keep

00:56:26.700 saying you're

00:56:27.220 negotiating and

00:56:27.980 never stop

00:56:28.440 saying it.

00:56:29.740 And you have

00:56:30.980 to also keep

00:56:31.660 saying this

00:56:32.420 isn't the

00:56:32.900 ground invasion.

00:56:34.500 Well,

00:56:34.920 was that the

00:56:35.560 ground invasion?

00:56:36.420 No,

00:56:36.620 no,

00:56:36.740 no,

00:56:37.000 that wasn't

00:56:37.600 the ground

00:56:38.040 invasion.

00:56:39.140 The big

00:56:39.520 one's coming.

00:56:41.720 And basically,

00:56:42.580 it is a

00:56:43.060 ground invasion,

00:56:43.860 you're just

00:56:44.220 doing it in

00:56:44.740 chunks.

00:56:45.560 So you're

00:56:45.980 still doing

00:56:46.360 the ground

00:56:46.760 invasion,

00:56:47.360 but you're

00:56:47.600 doing it in

00:56:48.020 the smartest,

00:56:49.360 lowest cost

00:56:51.860 of human

00:56:52.400 lives on

00:56:53.080 the Israel

00:56:53.780 side.

00:56:54.520 And you

00:56:54.980 just squeeze

00:56:55.440 them,

00:56:55.680 squeeze them,

00:56:56.100 squeeze them.

00:56:57.480 In theory,

00:56:58.440 the hungrier

00:56:59.020 they get,

00:57:00.400 the longer

00:57:00.880 they go

00:57:01.260 without

00:57:01.520 electricity,

00:57:02.900 the longer

00:57:03.300 they go

00:57:03.660 without the

00:57:04.100 internet,

00:57:05.460 the more

00:57:06.140 likely that

00:57:07.720 they're going

00:57:08.040 to give up

00:57:08.460 a hostage

00:57:08.940 or two.

00:57:09.380 So I

00:57:11.440 think everybody

00:57:12.140 requires them

00:57:12.920 to go

00:57:13.380 about the

00:57:14.780 way they're

00:57:15.140 going,

00:57:15.940 but they

00:57:16.600 also have

00:57:16.940 the advantage

00:57:17.420 that there's

00:57:18.000 a kind of

00:57:18.400 a news

00:57:19.140 black hole.

00:57:21.140 So the

00:57:21.500 news isn't

00:57:22.140 going to

00:57:22.400 know exactly

00:57:23.220 how hard

00:57:23.800 they went.

00:57:25.420 So Israel 0.99

00:57:26.260 could say

00:57:26.660 that wasn't

00:57:27.240 the ground

00:57:27.600 invasion,

00:57:28.660 even if it

00:57:29.260 was totally

00:57:29.680 the ground

00:57:30.120 invasion.

00:57:31.280 And then

00:57:31.600 maybe they

00:57:32.080 clear an

00:57:32.580 area and

00:57:32.960 pull back.

00:57:34.480 Maybe they

00:57:35.000 invade again

00:57:35.660 and pull 0.59

00:57:36.020 back.

00:57:36.400 So it

00:57:37.220 could be

00:57:37.620 that I've

00:57:38.840 heard the

00:57:39.140 experts say

00:57:39.780 this would

00:57:40.660 be way worse

00:57:41.760 than Mosul,

00:57:43.140 way worse

00:57:43.860 than your

00:57:44.260 normal street

00:57:45.060 fighting.

00:57:46.140 So maybe

00:57:46.560 they don't

00:57:46.920 do that.

00:57:48.000 Maybe they

00:57:48.480 don't do it

00:57:48.920 in a normal

00:57:49.600 way.

00:57:50.180 I wouldn't.

00:57:51.200 I would just

00:57:51.880 keep blowing

00:57:52.520 up structures

00:57:53.340 and shrinking 0.58

00:57:54.580 Gaza,

00:57:55.440 because in

00:57:55.780 the end,

00:57:56.120 Gaza's,

00:57:56.960 the buildings

00:57:57.620 aren't going

00:57:58.060 to be worth

00:57:58.920 a damn.

00:58:00.160 Do you

00:58:00.380 think there's

00:58:01.320 any building

00:58:01.820 in Gaza

00:58:02.280 that's worth

00:58:02.780 rebuilding

00:58:03.280 at this point?

00:58:05.120 Probably

00:58:05.600 everything is

00:58:06.260 going to be

00:58:07.060 damaged beyond

00:58:07.720 repair.

00:58:08.500 At least

00:58:08.880 in the

00:58:09.240 northern part

00:58:09.760 where they're

00:58:10.220 focusing.

00:58:11.860 So,

00:58:14.200 never disturb

00:58:18.120 the enemy

00:58:18.580 when they're

00:58:18.920 making mistakes.

00:58:20.720 You're

00:58:21.160 recommending

00:58:21.540 what they're

00:58:21.960 doing.

00:58:22.380 Right,

00:58:22.820 exactly.

00:58:23.420 I am

00:58:23.660 recommending

00:58:24.080 what they're

00:58:24.500 doing,

00:58:24.940 but I also

00:58:25.680 recommended it

00:58:26.380 before they

00:58:26.840 did it.

00:58:28.480 So I'm

00:58:28.860 just commenting

00:58:30.420 that it

00:58:31.960 looks like

00:58:32.580 they're doing

00:58:32.980 it the

00:58:33.280 smartest way.

00:58:34.880 Would you

00:58:35.240 agree?

00:58:36.260 It looks

00:58:37.680 like it's

00:58:38.160 the smartest

00:58:38.660 way they

00:58:39.100 could do

00:58:39.400 it.

00:58:40.960 But,

00:58:41.780 remember,

00:58:42.460 your news

00:58:42.980 is going

00:58:43.300 to be

00:58:43.480 all massaged.

00:58:45.080 So whatever

00:58:45.540 you hear

00:58:46.000 from this

00:58:46.420 point on,

00:58:47.460 the credibility

00:58:48.080 has to go

00:58:48.820 way down.

00:58:50.300 Because anything

00:58:50.960 you hear coming

00:58:51.560 out of the

00:58:51.840 war zone will

00:58:52.400 become from

00:58:53.100 the participants.

00:58:56.280 Your ego.

00:58:57.720 Pat,

00:58:58.940 Pat,

00:58:59.340 I'm sorry

00:58:59.720 your ego

00:59:00.220 is so

00:59:00.740 destroyed.

00:59:01.460 Pat

00:59:02.920 Fraser,

00:59:04.320 she just 0.65

00:59:04.860 yelled in

00:59:05.680 all caps,

00:59:06.480 your ego.

00:59:07.640 I don't

00:59:07.920 know if

00:59:08.100 you noticed,

00:59:09.120 but this

00:59:09.480 is a show

00:59:09.960 in which I

00:59:10.420 make predictions

00:59:11.180 and then I

00:59:12.300 tell you how

00:59:12.780 they did.

00:59:14.600 Can you

00:59:15.200 handle that?

00:59:16.700 Can your

00:59:17.300 fragile ego

00:59:18.160 handle that

00:59:19.340 sometimes I'll

00:59:19.960 be wrong

00:59:20.480 and sometimes

00:59:21.860 I'll be

00:59:22.280 right,

00:59:23.300 but in the

00:59:24.100 process of

00:59:25.260 doing it,

00:59:26.460 we'll all

00:59:27.300 have this

00:59:27.740 education about

00:59:28.740 what things

00:59:29.740 predict well

00:59:30.440 and what

00:59:30.740 don't.

00:59:31.700 For example,

00:59:32.780 when I

00:59:33.120 taught you

00:59:33.620 to ignore

00:59:34.380 anonymous

00:59:35.340 sources,

00:59:36.940 then a news

00:59:38.200 report came

00:59:38.800 out that

00:59:39.180 said an

00:59:39.560 anonymous

00:59:39.920 source says

00:59:41.260 Mark Meadows

00:59:41.960 wore a wire

00:59:42.740 to talk to

00:59:43.380 Trump.

00:59:45.120 Everybody

00:59:45.760 who learned

00:59:46.440 how to

00:59:46.920 predict

00:59:47.560 already knew

00:59:48.900 that anonymous

00:59:49.580 source,

00:59:50.360 especially from

00:59:51.280 certain outlets,

00:59:52.800 always means

00:59:53.780 not true.

00:59:55.160 Not sometimes.

00:59:56.680 It always

00:59:57.220 means not

00:59:57.800 true.

00:59:58.940 So that's

00:59:59.780 something that

01:00:00.340 people who

01:00:01.240 follow this

01:00:01.920 live stream

01:00:03.540 have learned

01:00:04.440 and many

01:00:05.740 of them

01:00:05.960 told me

01:00:06.480 as soon as

01:00:06.920 that story

01:00:07.340 broke,

01:00:08.140 they looked

01:00:08.780 for the

01:00:09.100 source,

01:00:09.940 source was

01:00:10.520 anonymous,

01:00:11.080 and then they

01:00:11.420 knew it

01:00:11.660 wasn't true.

01:00:12.680 And then they

01:00:13.080 waited a day

01:00:13.740 and sure

01:00:14.060 enough,

01:00:14.300 it wasn't

01:00:14.620 true.

01:00:17.060 So maybe

01:00:20.960 you should

01:00:21.240 work on

01:00:21.600 your ego.

01:00:21.980 All right.

01:00:32.140 Yeah,

01:00:32.780 let's say,

01:00:33.780 let's see if

01:00:35.200 there's an

01:00:35.520 update on

01:00:37.280 this guy.

01:00:39.740 So not

01:00:40.800 much of an

01:00:41.320 update.

01:00:44.220 Let me just

01:00:45.040 ask.

01:00:45.420 let me say

01:00:54.680 this as

01:00:55.220 often as

01:00:55.780 I need

01:00:56.100 to.

01:00:57.520 I'm not

01:00:58.380 operating under

01:00:59.520 a free

01:01:00.480 speech umbrella

01:01:01.740 right now.

01:01:03.500 So things

01:01:04.080 that I say,

01:01:05.260 especially

01:01:06.480 about the

01:01:08.060 Middle East,

01:01:09.460 just assume

01:01:10.300 that I'm

01:01:10.680 censoring

01:01:11.360 myself so

01:01:13.340 that I can

01:01:13.840 still be a

01:01:14.300 public figure.

01:01:15.420 stay in a

01:01:16.480 jail and

01:01:16.860 stuff like

01:01:17.220 that.

01:01:18.000 So you

01:01:20.060 should adjust

01:01:21.800 in your

01:01:22.180 mind that

01:01:24.140 I'm, in

01:01:25.500 this topic

01:01:26.160 specifically,

01:01:27.500 I'm not

01:01:28.000 attempting to

01:01:28.700 be unbiased.

01:01:30.260 Do you

01:01:30.820 hear that?

01:01:31.600 I'm making

01:01:32.300 no attempt

01:01:33.040 to be

01:01:34.460 unbiased

01:01:35.240 on this

01:01:36.540 topic.

01:01:37.140 I'm

01:01:37.580 completely

01:01:37.960 biased.

01:01:39.120 So I'm

01:01:39.520 pro-Israel.

01:01:41.520 It's not

01:01:42.420 free.

01:01:43.780 I mean,

01:01:44.220 whatever

01:01:44.500 stand you

01:01:45.140 take,

01:01:45.420 it's not

01:01:45.660 free.

01:01:46.060 But they

01:01:46.480 are our

01:01:46.840 allies.

01:01:47.540 I do

01:01:48.000 have lots

01:01:49.200 of friends

01:01:49.620 in that

01:01:49.980 world.

01:01:51.000 And I

01:01:51.460 support my

01:01:52.000 friends.

01:01:52.580 And if

01:01:52.800 this had

01:01:53.900 happened in

01:01:54.380 America,

01:01:55.080 I would

01:01:55.820 want to

01:01:56.100 kill all

01:01:56.500 of them.

01:01:57.800 And it's

01:01:58.400 not up to

01:01:59.280 me.

01:02:00.640 So I do

01:02:01.940 support

01:02:02.460 self-defense

01:02:04.020 without

01:02:04.400 restrictions.

01:02:06.840 And that's

01:02:07.480 what we're

01:02:07.760 seeing.

01:02:08.680 I support

01:02:09.380 self-defense

01:02:10.460 without

01:02:11.580 restrictions.

01:02:12.220 actions in

01:02:14.360 all cases.

01:02:16.020 Now,

01:02:16.300 that doesn't

01:02:16.760 mean it

01:02:18.460 will be a

01:02:18.920 good idea

01:02:19.580 to have

01:02:20.060 no control

01:02:21.220 on your

01:02:21.600 self-defense.

01:02:22.660 I'm not

01:02:23.140 saying that.

01:02:24.280 I'm saying

01:02:24.800 I'm not

01:02:25.220 going to

01:02:25.460 judge you

01:02:26.000 if you're

01:02:27.580 extreme in

01:02:28.240 self-defense.

01:02:29.240 I might

01:02:29.640 not like

01:02:30.420 it.

01:02:31.700 I might

01:02:32.300 not like

01:02:32.740 it.

01:02:33.180 It might

01:02:33.460 not even

01:02:33.860 be what I

01:02:34.340 would do.

01:02:34.660 But I'm

01:02:35.920 not going

01:02:36.200 to judge

01:02:36.560 it.

01:02:36.860 because you

01:02:39.320 get to

01:02:40.120 decide.

01:02:41.080 The victims

01:02:41.840 get to

01:02:42.260 decide what

01:02:43.040 self-defense

01:02:43.640 looks like.

01:02:44.640 Period.

01:02:45.840 If I hear

01:02:46.860 that somebody

01:02:47.560 was physically

01:02:48.580 abusing a

01:02:49.380 spouse and

01:02:50.660 the spouse

01:02:51.200 tied up

01:02:52.580 her partner

01:02:53.040 and tortured

01:02:53.540 him in a

01:02:54.060 chair and

01:02:54.400 then blew

01:02:54.840 his head

01:02:55.140 off, which

01:02:56.340 would seem

01:02:56.720 out of

01:02:57.100 proportion to

01:02:57.940 maybe what

01:02:59.100 the abuse

01:02:59.560 was, I

01:02:59.980 don't give

01:03:00.240 a fuck.

01:03:01.540 That was

01:03:02.120 up to the

01:03:02.600 abused person

01:03:03.300 to handle

01:03:03.720 it.

01:03:04.480 Now, they

01:03:04.820 might go to

01:03:05.300 jail.

01:03:06.860 Because it

01:03:07.280 was too

01:03:07.580 far.

01:03:08.320 But I'm

01:03:08.820 not going

01:03:09.060 to judge

01:03:09.460 them.

01:03:10.360 If you

01:03:10.720 take out

01:03:11.120 your bully,

01:03:12.380 you're always

01:03:13.000 going to be

01:03:13.340 okay with

01:03:13.780 me, no

01:03:14.640 matter how

01:03:15.020 you did

01:03:15.300 it.

01:03:17.140 If there's

01:03:17.560 a bully

01:03:17.820 in...

01:03:18.140 Well, I

01:03:19.060 don't want

01:03:19.340 to go

01:03:19.740 that far.

01:03:24.340 What?

01:03:30.400 There are

01:03:31.140 quote...

01:03:33.000 This is

01:03:33.520 on the

01:03:33.960 mass

01:03:34.840 shooter

01:03:35.120 guy.

01:03:36.860 They

01:03:37.500 don't want

01:03:37.820 to say

01:03:38.080 anything

01:03:38.360 about

01:03:38.680 these

01:03:38.940 self-inflicted

01:03:39.920 shots,

01:03:42.080 plural.

01:03:44.760 Detectives

01:03:45.280 cannot

01:03:45.720 disclose

01:03:46.440 at this

01:03:47.020 time.

01:03:48.740 All right?

01:03:49.460 Now, which

01:03:50.440 hypothesis does

01:03:52.340 this support?

01:03:53.860 Does this

01:03:54.340 support he

01:03:54.900 was just a

01:03:55.420 crazy guy

01:03:55.960 who took

01:03:56.340 his life?

01:03:57.600 Remember,

01:03:58.540 he's a gun

01:03:59.140 expert, and

01:04:00.460 the only thing

01:04:01.100 he had to

01:04:01.480 do was

01:04:01.820 shoot himself

01:04:02.320 in the

01:04:02.600 head.

01:04:03.440 That's all

01:04:03.880 he had to

01:04:04.200 do.

01:04:04.420 two

01:04:06.200 shots?

01:04:11.760 Which

01:04:12.320 theory does

01:04:13.160 that support?

01:04:15.020 It supports

01:04:15.920 the theory

01:04:16.340 that there's

01:04:16.740 something up,

01:04:18.000 that it's

01:04:18.460 an up.

01:04:21.480 Have you

01:04:22.260 ever heard

01:04:22.680 of anybody

01:04:23.400 committing

01:04:24.360 suicide with

01:04:25.160 two shots? 0.97

01:04:26.100 the press

01:04:33.700 asked if

01:04:34.260 the police

01:04:34.860 had video

01:04:36.360 of the

01:04:36.740 shooting.

01:04:40.680 And they

01:04:41.380 said they

01:04:41.700 were going

01:04:42.020 through the

01:04:42.500 videos and

01:04:43.060 it's under

01:04:43.340 investigation.

01:04:44.780 Oh, video

01:04:45.900 of the

01:04:46.180 shooting.

01:04:47.720 That's

01:04:48.280 interesting.

01:04:49.440 Why have

01:04:49.920 we only

01:04:50.340 seen stills?

01:04:51.300 if there

01:04:55.440 were video

01:04:56.100 cameras, can

01:04:57.480 you think

01:04:57.880 of one

01:04:58.360 other time

01:04:59.140 that it

01:04:59.960 was a

01:05:00.240 major story

01:05:01.060 and they

01:05:01.980 didn't show

01:05:02.380 you the

01:05:02.620 video?

01:05:03.480 Is that

01:05:03.780 because of

01:05:04.180 the victim

01:05:04.560 privacy?

01:05:06.400 Because I

01:05:06.740 wouldn't want

01:05:07.920 to see my

01:05:08.380 family member

01:05:09.020 being murdered

01:05:09.980 on TV.

01:05:14.460 Interesting.

01:05:16.100 Has

01:05:16.280 anybody

01:05:17.340 said yet

01:05:18.060 if he's

01:05:19.680 a MAGA

01:05:20.040 supporter?

01:05:21.300 Because that

01:05:22.020 would be

01:05:22.280 the next

01:05:22.620 part of

01:05:22.980 my

01:05:23.240 hypothesis.

01:05:25.140 Not that

01:05:25.800 he is one

01:05:26.320 that it

01:05:27.840 would be

01:05:28.120 reported that

01:05:28.740 way.

01:05:30.200 Not yet.

01:05:33.000 So if we

01:05:33.900 don't know

01:05:34.300 if he's a

01:05:34.760 MAGA

01:05:35.000 supporter,

01:05:37.580 does he

01:05:38.620 have social

01:05:39.080 media?

01:05:46.820 And is

01:05:47.520 he registered

01:05:48.280 Republican?

01:05:52.020 Republican?

01:06:05.100 Was the gun

01:06:06.860 semi-automatic?

01:06:09.340 Oh.

01:06:10.660 All right.

01:06:11.440 Here's an

01:06:12.420 interesting idea.

01:06:13.360 idea that

01:06:14.680 if he

01:06:14.960 committed

01:06:15.260 suicide with

01:06:16.100 a semi-automatic,

01:06:18.180 if he pulled

01:06:19.080 the trigger

01:06:19.460 once, could

01:06:20.160 there be

01:06:20.440 two shots? 0.97

01:06:24.780 No?

01:06:26.260 It would

01:06:26.920 have to be

01:06:27.320 fully automatic?

01:06:29.260 Or a bump

01:06:30.060 stock?

01:06:30.460 I'm getting

01:06:33.340 yeses and

01:06:34.000 noes.

01:06:34.980 There are

01:06:35.280 about a

01:06:35.880 thousand gun

01:06:37.220 experts on

01:06:38.000 this live

01:06:39.300 stream.

01:06:39.740 There are

01:06:39.900 probably more

01:06:40.460 gun users on

01:06:42.260 this live

01:06:43.000 stream than

01:06:43.440 any place in

01:06:44.120 the world.

01:06:44.440 So if it

01:06:46.560 was fully

01:06:47.040 automatic,

01:06:47.680 yes, but

01:06:48.300 he probably

01:06:48.660 didn't have

01:06:49.100 a fully

01:06:49.440 automatic

01:06:49.840 weapon.

01:06:52.540 Okay.

01:06:54.060 So there's

01:06:54.800 no comment

01:06:55.380 yet on

01:06:55.900 whether he

01:06:56.260 had social

01:06:56.760 media or

01:06:58.900 that he

01:06:59.440 was registered

01:07:00.200 to one

01:07:00.860 political

01:07:01.300 party or

01:07:01.920 another.

01:07:03.180 Does that

01:07:03.640 sound like

01:07:06.440 the truth?

01:07:09.560 How in

01:07:10.260 the world

01:07:10.540 do you not

01:07:10.980 know his

01:07:11.380 political

01:07:11.880 standing or

01:07:14.000 whether or

01:07:14.560 not he

01:07:14.820 had social

01:07:15.300 media?

01:07:20.240 And how

01:07:21.000 he got

01:07:21.400 around to

01:07:21.800 the trailer,

01:07:23.860 but it

01:07:25.320 was walking

01:07:25.720 distance.

01:07:34.540 It does

01:07:35.300 suggest there

01:07:35.900 was another

01:07:36.300 vehicle involved.

01:07:38.540 So I

01:07:39.160 thought the

01:07:39.640 place they

01:07:40.220 found the

01:07:40.620 body was

01:07:41.140 walking

01:07:41.540 distance from

01:07:42.420 his car.

01:07:44.000 Oh, it

01:07:49.600 was walking

01:07:50.060 distance.

01:07:50.600 I mean, if

01:07:50.980 you were

01:07:51.520 running from

01:07:52.100 the authorities,

01:07:53.800 seven miles

01:07:54.580 isn't a big

01:07:55.220 distance to

01:07:55.840 cover on

01:07:56.380 foot, right?

01:07:58.460 I don't know

01:07:59.100 how many

01:07:59.340 miles it

01:07:59.740 was, but

01:08:00.140 I think it

01:08:00.700 was just

01:08:00.960 like a few

01:08:01.860 miles.

01:08:03.280 So walking

01:08:03.760 distance.

01:08:04.640 Yeah, I

01:08:04.900 think walking

01:08:05.300 distance.

01:08:07.680 All right.

01:08:09.060 So the

01:08:09.420 man who

01:08:09.880 has

01:08:10.100 suspiciously

01:08:11.000 no social

01:08:11.820 media,

01:08:12.400 suspiciously

01:08:13.240 no political

01:08:13.940 views and

01:08:15.020 suspiciously

01:08:15.920 one picture

01:08:17.020 that looks

01:08:17.500 real from

01:08:18.020 his driver's

01:08:18.660 license,

01:08:19.500 but the

01:08:19.740 only other

01:08:20.320 picture of

01:08:20.820 him looks

01:08:21.220 like AI.

01:08:23.640 It was

01:08:25.000 wearing super

01:08:25.940 baggy clothes

01:08:26.940 that don't

01:08:28.300 look like

01:08:28.720 him.

01:08:29.220 There's no

01:08:29.700 video of

01:08:30.360 it, but

01:08:30.700 we got a

01:08:31.180 still.

01:08:31.680 Do you think

01:08:33.920 it's because

01:08:34.440 the video

01:08:34.900 shows his

01:08:35.620 face better?

01:08:36.140 I doubted.

01:08:39.220 It's eight

01:08:39.540 miles away,

01:08:40.180 somebody said.

01:08:43.860 Why would

01:08:44.580 somebody shoot

01:08:45.260 him twice?

01:08:46.000 Because the

01:08:46.520 first shot

01:08:47.220 was necessary

01:08:48.740 to control

01:08:49.400 him, maybe?

01:08:55.820 Yeah, his

01:08:56.700 car was

01:08:57.200 left by the

01:08:57.840 boats, but

01:08:59.160 walking

01:08:59.460 distance.

01:09:00.760 And let's

01:09:01.280 see, no

01:09:01.640 boat is

01:09:02.020 found, right?

01:09:02.480 Where would

01:09:05.160 the boat

01:09:05.520 be?

01:09:08.680 All right,

01:09:09.220 keep in

01:09:09.540 mind, keep

01:09:11.880 in mind that

01:09:12.500 allegedly he

01:09:13.400 left a note

01:09:14.220 describing his

01:09:15.940 access codes.

01:09:19.000 No boat

01:09:20.240 mentioned.

01:09:21.260 The boat

01:09:21.680 wasn't

01:09:22.020 mentioned.

01:09:24.960 How is that

01:09:25.900 not mentioned?

01:09:28.360 I mean,

01:09:29.140 seriously, how

01:09:30.660 do you not

01:09:31.060 mention his

01:09:31.600 boat?

01:09:32.480 He parked

01:09:33.360 his car

01:09:33.820 near a

01:09:34.260 boat

01:09:34.460 dock.

01:09:37.060 All right,

01:09:37.700 here's what

01:09:38.080 makes more

01:09:38.600 sense.

01:09:40.080 Again, this

01:09:41.560 is just

01:09:42.100 speculative

01:09:43.800 entertainment,

01:09:44.960 right?

01:09:45.440 I'm not

01:09:45.800 saying this

01:09:46.220 is true.

01:09:46.860 What makes

01:09:47.360 more sense

01:09:47.980 is that

01:09:49.120 the real

01:09:50.900 killer killed

01:09:51.620 Carr,

01:09:53.380 drove him

01:09:54.240 to this

01:09:55.060 place,

01:09:57.380 who actually

01:09:57.880 probably killed

01:09:58.420 him there,

01:09:59.620 and then

01:10:00.460 did his

01:10:01.900 dirty work

01:10:02.740 and then

01:10:03.620 parked his

01:10:04.140 car walking

01:10:04.740 distance and

01:10:05.420 got in his

01:10:05.880 boat and

01:10:06.240 went away.

01:10:07.720 If they

01:10:08.340 never find

01:10:08.940 the boat,

01:10:10.360 I'm going to

01:10:10.700 have real

01:10:11.080 questions.

01:10:11.700 Yeah, he's

01:10:21.680 going to park

01:10:22.120 near a

01:10:22.580 dock.

01:10:23.580 He's going

01:10:23.960 to drive all

01:10:24.500 the way to

01:10:24.880 a dock

01:10:25.460 where his

01:10:27.040 boat isn't.

01:10:29.580 That was his

01:10:30.520 plan, to drive

01:10:31.600 to the dock

01:10:32.140 where his

01:10:32.560 boat is

01:10:32.880 not.

01:10:35.840 All right,

01:10:36.440 at the very

01:10:37.020 least, would

01:10:38.200 you agree that

01:10:39.080 this is not

01:10:39.740 going to look

01:10:40.180 solved, that

01:10:42.280 there will

01:10:42.540 be more

01:10:42.940 questions than

01:10:43.720 there are

01:10:43.960 answered?

01:10:45.320 You could

01:10:45.920 feel this

01:10:46.640 developing,

01:10:47.380 couldn't you?

01:10:48.900 Like that it

01:10:49.440 wouldn't be

01:10:49.920 open and

01:10:51.060 shut like

01:10:51.580 most of the

01:10:52.040 mass shootings

01:10:52.520 are.

01:10:53.000 Mostly the

01:10:53.600 mass shootings

01:10:54.080 are there's

01:10:54.420 no question

01:10:54.940 who did

01:10:55.320 it, and

01:10:56.400 very quickly

01:10:57.020 there's no

01:10:57.500 question why.

01:11:04.800 All right,

01:11:05.800 space aliens.

01:11:06.620 could be a

01:11:08.620 shapeshifter.

01:11:14.520 Boat was

01:11:15.320 sank offshore

01:11:16.320 and then he

01:11:17.020 swam to

01:11:17.740 another, that

01:11:20.260 wouldn't be a

01:11:20.700 bad way to

01:11:21.140 go.

01:11:21.780 If he had a

01:11:22.440 dinghy with

01:11:23.020 him, he

01:11:24.280 dragged it

01:11:24.740 along, sinks

01:11:26.780 his boat near

01:11:30.380 where his

01:11:30.860 second car is,

01:11:32.520 and then takes

01:11:33.080 the second

01:11:33.480 car.

01:11:33.800 A 15-foot

01:11:36.680 boat is

01:11:37.140 easy to

01:11:37.560 sink.

01:11:37.820 Well, if

01:11:38.060 you have a

01:11:38.360 gun, it's

01:11:38.720 pretty easy.

01:11:39.880 Don't you

01:11:40.140 just take a

01:11:40.660 few shots

01:11:41.160 through the

01:11:41.440 bottom of

01:11:41.800 the boat

01:11:42.080 and wait?

01:11:43.640 You just

01:11:44.220 anchor it,

01:11:45.480 put a couple

01:11:46.440 of bullets

01:11:46.940 in the

01:11:47.320 bottom, and

01:11:48.060 sail away

01:11:49.280 on your

01:11:49.580 dinghy.

01:11:51.060 Some boats

01:11:51.700 don't sink.

01:11:54.060 Oh,

01:11:55.300 interesting.

01:11:56.160 Some people

01:11:56.600 are saying it

01:11:57.060 wouldn't sink

01:11:57.520 completely.

01:11:58.240 It would

01:11:58.500 maybe flip

01:11:59.100 over or

01:11:59.500 something.

01:12:00.620 Okay,

01:12:02.040 good to know.

01:12:03.060 If you

01:12:03.440 blew the

01:12:03.880 bottom out

01:12:04.320 of the

01:12:04.480 boat like

01:12:05.200 a giant

01:12:05.660 hole, it

01:12:06.080 still wouldn't

01:12:06.440 sink.

01:12:07.840 They'd make

01:12:08.460 them so

01:12:08.780 floaty that

01:12:09.420 they'll stay

01:12:10.200 in the

01:12:10.440 water even

01:12:10.880 without full

01:12:12.700 of water.

01:12:14.200 Foam-filled

01:12:14.920 cavities.

01:12:15.940 Oh, okay.

01:12:16.820 So I guess

01:12:17.200 they're very

01:12:17.560 floaty.

01:12:18.700 But I

01:12:19.060 would imagine

01:12:19.680 there are

01:12:22.360 different kinds

01:12:22.900 of boats.

01:12:23.720 They can't

01:12:24.120 all be

01:12:24.500 floaty.

01:12:27.320 Something

01:12:27.920 tells me the

01:12:28.620 fishing boats

01:12:29.540 are not

01:12:29.900 floaty.

01:12:30.340 I feel

01:12:31.860 like the

01:12:32.140 recreational

01:12:32.720 ones may

01:12:33.720 have that

01:12:34.140 safety feature

01:12:34.980 built in.

01:12:35.880 But I

01:12:36.080 feel like a

01:12:36.560 fishing boat,

01:12:38.220 they're like,

01:12:39.000 give me the

01:12:39.580 minimum that'll

01:12:40.740 get me a

01:12:41.180 fish.

01:12:44.100 A 15-foot

01:12:45.200 boat does

01:12:45.760 not have a

01:12:46.220 dinghy, but

01:12:47.260 it could have.

01:12:47.940 No, I'm

01:12:48.240 talking about

01:12:48.700 somebody trying

01:12:49.880 to cover up

01:12:50.600 a murder.

01:12:51.600 All you'd

01:12:52.040 have to do

01:12:52.380 is not a

01:12:53.840 dinghy, but

01:12:54.400 a rowboat,

01:12:56.600 a canoe.

01:12:57.580 Let me just

01:12:58.080 drag along.

01:12:58.760 You just

01:12:59.440 have a

01:12:59.720 canoe on

01:13:00.140 your boat

01:13:00.460 itself.

01:13:04.520 It was a

01:13:05.300 70s fishing

01:13:06.180 boat, they

01:13:06.620 say.

01:13:07.680 I don't

01:13:07.940 know.

01:13:08.340 I think a

01:13:08.820 70s fishing

01:13:09.620 boat would

01:13:10.080 sink.

01:13:11.740 What do

01:13:12.260 you think?

01:13:13.540 I don't

01:13:14.100 know anything

01:13:14.400 about boats.

01:13:18.040 I see a

01:13:18.840 note that

01:13:19.220 says he

01:13:19.620 broke up

01:13:20.080 with his

01:13:20.400 girlfriend

01:13:20.720 because he

01:13:21.340 had a

01:13:21.620 small

01:13:22.220 dinghy.

01:13:24.920 Could

01:13:25.360 be.

01:13:27.280 All

01:13:27.520 right.

01:13:28.760 the owner

01:13:30.400 of the

01:13:31.100 recycling

01:13:31.580 company

01:13:32.440 called

01:13:32.920 police for

01:13:33.480 them to

01:13:33.820 check.

01:13:34.860 What?

01:13:38.500 What?

01:13:39.820 The owner

01:13:40.620 of the

01:13:40.960 recycling

01:13:41.440 company

01:13:41.880 called

01:13:42.240 police for

01:13:42.780 them to

01:13:43.140 check the

01:13:43.660 box trailers.

01:13:46.900 That's a

01:13:47.860 pretty specific

01:13:49.600 suggestion.

01:13:51.700 Hey, have

01:13:52.380 you checked

01:13:52.800 the box

01:13:53.360 trailers behind

01:13:54.260 my, of

01:13:55.500 all the

01:13:55.840 places in

01:13:56.480 the town?

01:13:56.880 He

01:13:58.080 actually

01:13:58.660 suspected

01:13:59.340 the guy

01:13:59.720 was in

01:14:00.020 one of

01:14:00.360 his

01:14:00.520 box

01:14:00.880 trailers?

01:14:05.540 Interesting.

01:14:06.440 Maybe

01:14:06.680 somebody heard

01:14:07.300 something.

01:14:07.940 I don't

01:14:08.060 know.

01:14:09.420 The police

01:14:10.080 are still

01:14:10.440 trying to

01:14:10.820 get into

01:14:11.180 his phone.

01:14:13.720 Well, that'll

01:14:14.420 be interesting

01:14:14.900 because you

01:14:15.680 know what

01:14:15.900 his phone

01:14:16.360 would tell

01:14:16.740 them?

01:14:18.880 Wait.

01:14:20.720 Question?

01:14:21.480 All right.

01:14:21.700 I have a

01:14:21.980 question for

01:14:22.460 the techie

01:14:23.220 hackers here.

01:14:24.940 Do they

01:14:25.540 need to

01:14:25.880 get into

01:14:26.360 his phone

01:14:26.980 in order

01:14:28.100 to know

01:14:28.720 what path

01:14:29.800 he took?

01:14:31.120 Or can

01:14:31.760 they get

01:14:32.160 that through

01:14:32.560 the cloud?

01:14:36.180 Would

01:14:36.660 they be

01:14:37.040 able to

01:14:37.580 trace where

01:14:38.420 he went

01:14:38.820 based on

01:14:39.420 his cell

01:14:39.840 signals?

01:14:42.500 The cell

01:14:43.280 tower has

01:14:43.780 it, right?

01:14:44.820 No cell

01:14:45.380 towers,

01:14:47.300 somebody

01:14:47.700 says.

01:14:48.120 Provider

01:14:51.200 can provide.

01:14:51.960 Yeah.

01:14:52.300 I always

01:14:53.120 thought that

01:14:53.580 the service

01:14:54.440 provider could

01:14:56.760 tell you

01:14:57.140 where somebody

01:14:57.640 has been.

01:14:59.120 They could

01:14:59.660 get it from

01:15:00.200 the cell

01:15:00.580 company.

01:15:01.820 All right.

01:15:02.700 So by

01:15:05.220 now they

01:15:05.760 should know

01:15:06.520 if he's

01:15:07.760 the right

01:15:08.140 guy.

01:15:09.540 But on

01:15:10.200 the other

01:15:10.480 hand,

01:15:11.560 if the

01:15:12.160 real killer

01:15:12.760 took the

01:15:15.260 corpse with

01:15:15.960 him or

01:15:17.220 took the

01:15:17.640 guy's

01:15:17.940 phone with

01:15:18.440 him,

01:15:19.840 then the

01:15:20.200 real killer

01:15:20.720 would have

01:15:21.700 created a

01:15:22.460 track record

01:15:23.200 that was

01:15:23.620 actually his

01:15:25.020 instead of

01:15:25.560 the owner

01:15:25.960 of the

01:15:26.200 phone.

01:15:27.280 So.

01:15:28.520 Now remember,

01:15:29.740 under the

01:15:30.480 weird speculative

01:15:31.640 theory that

01:15:32.340 it's some

01:15:32.640 kind of

01:15:33.040 major op,

01:15:35.340 the next

01:15:36.140 thing you

01:15:36.520 could predict

01:15:37.160 would be

01:15:38.560 that he's

01:15:39.000 a big

01:15:39.280 mega supporter.

01:15:40.740 Anybody

01:15:41.040 want to

01:15:41.380 take a bet?

01:15:42.800 If it's

01:15:43.520 an op,

01:15:44.100 there's a

01:15:44.520 reason for

01:15:45.000 it.

01:15:45.860 And if

01:15:46.220 it's an

01:15:46.560 op,

01:15:46.860 it's somebody

01:15:47.300 who's

01:15:47.520 really

01:15:47.860 good at

01:15:48.320 this.

01:15:49.440 So it

01:15:50.000 would have

01:15:50.140 to be

01:15:50.380 somebody

01:15:50.620 who's

01:15:50.780 a

01:15:50.880 professional,

01:15:51.620 like really

01:15:52.300 a professional.

01:15:53.600 Better

01:15:54.100 professional

01:15:54.580 than you

01:15:54.960 used to.

01:15:56.220 And it

01:15:58.080 would have

01:15:58.380 to have

01:15:58.580 a purpose.

01:16:00.140 And the

01:16:00.660 only purpose

01:16:01.360 that presents

01:16:03.300 itself is

01:16:04.140 to making

01:16:05.480 it clear

01:16:06.000 that MAGA

01:16:07.080 people are

01:16:07.540 dangerous.

01:16:07.980 and that

01:16:12.540 Trump

01:16:13.000 cannot be

01:16:13.580 allowed in

01:16:14.200 because he

01:16:14.900 approves of

01:16:16.380 weapons like

01:16:17.020 this,

01:16:17.360 even for

01:16:17.780 crazy people,

01:16:18.860 even if he

01:16:19.340 doesn't.

01:16:27.000 All right.

01:16:28.420 That's all we

01:16:29.100 know for now,

01:16:29.680 so I'm going

01:16:30.000 to go do

01:16:30.400 something else.

01:16:31.040 We'll keep

01:16:31.320 an eye on

01:16:31.760 this story.

01:16:33.360 I hope

01:16:33.680 today's

01:16:34.420 live stream

01:16:35.740 was not

01:16:36.180 too alarming.

01:16:38.200 Is there

01:16:38.480 any topic

01:16:38.940 we missed

01:16:39.440 while we're

01:16:39.860 talking about

01:16:40.360 this?

01:16:48.240 The

01:16:48.680 shelter-in-place

01:16:49.320 was lifted.

01:16:49.980 Yeah,

01:16:50.160 there's some

01:16:50.440 question about

01:16:50.920 the timing

01:16:51.360 of the

01:16:51.680 shelter-in-place,

01:16:53.120 but that

01:16:53.580 sounds more

01:16:53.960 like maybe

01:16:55.020 a miscommunication

01:16:56.020 or something.

01:16:58.220 Show us

01:16:58.800 the latest

01:16:59.260 Dilbert.

01:17:00.280 You want to

01:17:00.640 see the

01:17:00.920 latest

01:17:01.220 Dilbert

01:17:01.600 that you

01:17:01.920 don't get

01:17:02.240 to see?

01:17:03.480 I'll do

01:17:04.040 that for

01:17:04.360 you.

01:17:05.240 So

01:17:05.480 subscribe

01:17:06.020 get to

01:17:06.820 see

01:17:07.000 Dilbert

01:17:07.300 reborn

01:17:07.660 every day,

01:17:08.720 either on

01:17:09.320 the X

01:17:10.760 platform

01:17:11.180 or on

01:17:11.800 the

01:17:11.960 locals

01:17:12.400 platform.

01:17:14.420 But the

01:17:15.260 question was

01:17:15.920 today.

01:17:18.000 Now,

01:17:18.500 before I

01:17:18.920 show you

01:17:19.240 this,

01:17:19.960 I should

01:17:20.280 tell you

01:17:20.620 that Elon

01:17:21.140 Musk does 0.99

01:17:21.960 subscribe.

01:17:23.660 So he's

01:17:24.240 one of the

01:17:24.560 people on

01:17:25.000 the X

01:17:25.360 platform

01:17:25.880 who gets

01:17:27.140 to see

01:17:27.500 the comic.

01:17:28.260 Now,

01:17:28.460 that's

01:17:28.640 important

01:17:29.020 because

01:17:29.400 today's

01:17:29.920 comic is

01:17:30.580 about

01:17:30.840 Elon

01:17:31.320 Musk.

01:17:32.380 So it's

01:17:32.780 just the

01:17:33.380 boss is

01:17:33.860 talking to

01:17:34.340 Dilbert.

01:17:34.660 they both

01:17:35.180 have their

01:17:35.500 phones out.

01:17:36.580 The boss

01:17:36.960 says,

01:17:37.760 wide-eyed,

01:17:39.020 the boss

01:17:39.340 says,

01:17:40.060 Elon Musk

01:17:40.760 just messaged

01:17:41.580 me to

01:17:42.400 ask if I

01:17:42.960 want to be

01:17:43.280 the first

01:17:43.700 human to

01:17:44.180 go to

01:17:44.420 Mars.

01:17:45.440 And the

01:17:45.780 boss,

01:17:46.180 still excitedly

01:17:46.920 reading,

01:17:47.380 says,

01:17:47.980 he says

01:17:48.440 there's a

01:17:48.820 5% chance

01:17:49.760 of survival

01:17:50.420 and something

01:17:51.940 about not

01:17:52.480 wanting to

01:17:52.880 hurt a

01:17:53.180 monkey,

01:17:53.880 blah,

01:17:54.120 blah,

01:17:54.320 blah.

01:17:55.260 And then

01:17:55.480 he says

01:17:55.860 to Dilbert,

01:17:56.720 what do

01:17:57.100 you think?

01:17:57.960 And Dilbert,

01:17:58.500 still looking at

01:17:59.020 his phone,

01:17:59.400 says,

01:17:59.920 I think you

01:18:00.540 should do

01:18:00.840 it.

01:18:01.000 I think

01:18:03.920 you should

01:18:04.180 do it.

01:18:06.760 All right.

01:18:07.820 I always

01:18:08.400 think,

01:18:08.800 how weird

01:18:09.180 is it to

01:18:09.680 be Elon

01:18:10.320 Musk? 0.97

01:18:12.340 Like most

01:18:13.440 of you,

01:18:14.560 when you're

01:18:15.260 watching the

01:18:15.760 news,

01:18:16.360 it's about

01:18:16.820 other people.

01:18:19.280 But when

01:18:19.920 Elon Musk

01:18:20.720 looks at the

01:18:21.380 news,

01:18:22.840 like every

01:18:23.780 other story

01:18:24.300 is about

01:18:24.580 him.

01:18:24.860 and now

01:18:26.500 he wants

01:18:27.620 to have

01:18:27.860 a comic

01:18:28.780 just to

01:18:29.240 have some

01:18:29.500 fun,

01:18:30.120 and the

01:18:30.440 comic's

01:18:30.820 about him.

01:18:32.660 It's like

01:18:33.160 every time

01:18:33.780 you open

01:18:34.100 something,

01:18:34.520 it's about

01:18:34.780 him.

01:18:35.780 How weird

01:18:36.200 would that

01:18:36.580 be?

01:18:37.200 I mean,

01:18:37.420 it happens

01:18:37.760 to me

01:18:38.180 enough that

01:18:38.660 I talk

01:18:39.040 about it.

01:18:40.140 I have

01:18:40.940 also the

01:18:41.600 experience

01:18:42.140 of I'll

01:18:43.060 just click

01:18:43.560 on an

01:18:43.860 interesting

01:18:44.240 news story

01:18:44.900 because I

01:18:45.420 think the

01:18:45.740 topic is

01:18:46.200 interesting,

01:18:47.040 and then

01:18:47.600 some part

01:18:48.200 of the

01:18:48.400 story is

01:18:48.720 about me.

01:18:49.880 Like,

01:18:50.060 well,

01:18:50.240 the hell

01:18:50.420 am I

01:18:50.660 in this

01:18:50.900 story?

01:18:51.640 Get me

01:18:51.900 out of

01:18:52.060 this

01:18:52.220 story.

01:18:54.860 I love

01:18:55.620 there was

01:18:55.920 a story,

01:18:57.120 what was

01:18:57.380 it saying?

01:18:59.040 There was

01:18:59.360 something I

01:18:59.840 was just

01:19:00.180 joking about.

01:19:02.000 Oh,

01:19:02.460 I joked,

01:19:03.580 I'd been

01:19:04.240 joking,

01:19:04.840 you know,

01:19:05.120 every day

01:19:05.540 that we

01:19:05.880 didn't have

01:19:06.220 a speaker

01:19:06.620 in the

01:19:06.860 house.

01:19:07.540 I joked

01:19:08.140 that everything

01:19:09.000 was fine

01:19:09.720 and maybe

01:19:10.640 we don't

01:19:11.040 need one.

01:19:12.400 And then

01:19:12.700 somebody wrote

01:19:13.260 a big

01:19:13.580 article talking

01:19:15.060 about how

01:19:15.480 right-wing

01:19:16.100 influencers,

01:19:17.060 not even

01:19:17.520 right-wing,

01:19:18.840 how right-wing

01:19:19.620 influencers are

01:19:20.920 so crazy

01:19:21.640 that they

01:19:22.840 think we'd

01:19:23.240 be better

01:19:23.580 off without

01:19:24.640 a speaker

01:19:25.140 of the

01:19:25.400 house.

01:19:27.140 Now,

01:19:28.440 none of

01:19:28.940 you were

01:19:29.280 stupid 0.75

01:19:29.660 enough to

01:19:30.960 think I

01:19:31.360 meant that

01:19:31.780 seriously,

01:19:33.000 right?

01:19:34.320 Did anybody

01:19:35.020 think I

01:19:35.420 really thought

01:19:36.200 we should

01:19:37.080 never have

01:19:37.560 a speaker

01:19:37.940 of the

01:19:38.200 house so

01:19:39.280 that Congress

01:19:39.840 would just

01:19:40.280 sit there

01:19:40.760 being paid

01:19:41.600 and never

01:19:42.360 do anything?

01:19:44.820 That's

01:19:45.400 actually

01:19:45.820 something,

01:19:46.480 somebody

01:19:46.860 wrote a

01:19:48.320 serious

01:19:48.740 article in

01:19:50.260 which they

01:19:50.740 supposed I

01:19:51.880 meant that

01:19:52.340 literally.

01:19:55.480 And I

01:19:56.640 clicked on

01:19:57.400 the article

01:19:57.780 because it

01:19:58.160 was interesting

01:19:58.760 and I'm

01:19:59.080 like,

01:19:59.700 and right-wing

01:20:00.540 influencer,

01:20:01.380 what?

01:20:02.200 Scott Adams

01:20:02.920 says we're

01:20:03.900 better off

01:20:04.340 without,

01:20:04.780 what?

01:20:07.140 So that's

01:20:07.780 how I read

01:20:08.300 the news.

01:20:09.060 It's like,

01:20:09.440 goddammit,

01:20:10.060 it's about

01:20:10.420 me again.

01:20:11.320 And they

01:20:11.620 made all

01:20:11.960 this shit

01:20:12.260 up.

01:20:13.000 Now,

01:20:14.000 have I

01:20:14.340 ever told

01:20:14.780 you that

01:20:16.620 the news

01:20:17.120 about public

01:20:17.900 figures is

01:20:20.000 always fake?

01:20:20.840 if you

01:20:23.420 think it's

01:20:23.800 usually true

01:20:24.480 but sometimes

01:20:25.120 they get it

01:20:25.600 wrong,

01:20:25.920 you're so

01:20:26.260 lost.

01:20:27.480 No,

01:20:27.880 it's never

01:20:28.460 true.

01:20:29.580 It's never

01:20:30.040 true in

01:20:30.940 context.

01:20:32.220 Individual

01:20:32.600 things are

01:20:33.180 true.

01:20:33.960 I did

01:20:34.400 those tweets.

01:20:35.820 But the

01:20:36.860 interpretation

01:20:37.340 is just

01:20:38.000 batshit

01:20:38.520 crazy.

01:20:39.740 And that's

01:20:40.040 the way

01:20:40.320 all celebrity

01:20:42.280 news is.

01:20:43.580 All right,

01:20:44.220 it's all

01:20:44.620 about me,

01:20:45.120 that's right.

01:20:46.720 Thanks for

01:20:47.400 joining YouTube.

01:20:48.880 You're all

01:20:49.260 awesome today.

01:20:49.900 I'll see

01:20:50.960 you tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 28, 2023

Episode 2275 Scott Adams： CWSA 10⧸28⧸23

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