Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2276 Scott Adams： CWSA 10⧸29⧸23

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:04.120 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:10.360 And if you'd like your experience, which will already be amazing,

00:00:14.440 to go to levels that nobody could even understand,

00:00:18.140 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or a stein,

00:00:21.680 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:24.420 Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, a coffee.

00:00:26.800 Hey, and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine.

00:00:30.500 At the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better

00:00:32.800 is called the simultaneous sip, and it's going to happen now.

00:00:37.080 Go.

00:00:44.320 Well, would you like to hear all the stories?

00:00:51.780 Stories of the day?

00:00:53.100 That's why you come here, for the stories.

00:00:55.380 I'm going to turn this device upside down first on the locals' people. 1.00

00:01:03.040 If you'd like to say hi to the locals' people, they're right here.

00:01:07.140 They will be on this iPad.

00:01:10.120 There we go.

00:01:11.600 Much better.

00:01:13.340 Now, first story.

00:01:17.720 I saw a speech by Vivek Ramaswamy.

00:01:20.820 He's got some things to say about Hamas.

00:01:24.920 He'd like to see the top 100 Hamas leaders' heads on stakes as a message to the rest. 0.76

00:01:34.120 Hmm.

00:01:35.440 To which I say, Vivek, decaf.

00:01:40.480 Just one word.

00:01:41.500 Decaf.

00:01:44.280 Don't really need their heads on a stake.

00:01:46.660 Too far.

00:01:47.840 Dial it back a little bit.

00:01:50.300 Just about 10%.

00:01:51.920 Heads off of stakes, but still dead.

00:01:55.640 Still dead.

00:01:56.360 Yes, we can all agree on that.

00:01:58.500 Heads on stakes, a little too far.

00:02:01.040 But I've got to say, you'll never forget it.

00:02:03.540 Talk about visual, visual persuasion. 0.93

00:02:08.500 If this were Trump, what would I say about it?

00:02:12.360 I would say you cannot get the image out of your head of heads on a stake.

00:02:18.140 And number two, the only thing you'll remember is that he was the toughest one on Hamas.

00:02:24.380 That's all you'll remember.

00:02:26.740 Like, you won't take it too seriously.

00:02:28.980 You'll just say, whoa, you know, that was stronger than anything anybody else said.

00:02:33.280 And it was visual.

00:02:34.940 So even though I have fun with it by saying he should switch to decaf, you're not going to forget it.

00:02:42.560 If you heard it at all, you're not going to forget it.

00:02:45.760 So that was pretty good persuasion branding there.

00:02:51.900 Matthew Perry has tragically passed away, drowning in a hot tub.

00:02:56.720 He had a long history of drug and alcohol abuse.

00:03:04.800 It's hard to imagine that's not part of the story, but we don't know.

00:03:09.300 He generally was not the picture of health in his later years.

00:03:15.180 He was 54.

00:03:17.140 So that was pretty alarming.

00:03:20.260 I don't have anything to say about that except it's terrible.

00:03:23.440 There's not much to add.

00:03:26.720 Scott Galloway.

00:03:30.100 You know Scott Galloway?

00:03:32.400 So he was on Bill Maher's, and I may have mentioned this, but he said that he was part of the school board for his kids' school, I guess.

00:03:42.300 And he was pushing hard for keeping kids out of school, social distancing.

00:03:47.020 And he now says he was totally wrong about that.

00:03:50.620 It was the wrong way to go.

00:03:52.460 But he asks that people maybe have some grace about it.

00:03:58.460 Because he was trying, and everybody was trying, and then some of them got it wrong.

00:04:06.120 And now he's saying, I tried, tried to keep everybody safe, got it wrong.

00:04:10.400 Now, the reaction that most of the people who believe they got it right, or would have gotten it right, was, screw him.

00:04:20.240 You hurt our children.

00:04:21.640 You must go to jail and pay for it forever.

00:04:23.920 I disagree with all of you.

00:04:25.400 And I will remind you that at the beginning, the very beginning of the pandemic, there was something I told you all, which I'm going to stay true to.

00:04:36.180 I said, there's a big old pandemic, and nobody knows what the right thing to do is.

00:04:42.500 But, unlike you and I, there are people who are going to have to make decisions without knowing what's the right decision.

00:04:49.960 When they make the wrong decision, and they will, not all of them will be right, some will guess right, some will guess wrong.

00:04:56.960 We should not hold it against them after the fact, if later we find out it was the wrong decision.

00:05:04.400 And I'm going to stick to that.

00:05:06.180 So, I think everybody who says he should be punished is wrong.

00:05:10.840 You're all wrong, in one sense.

00:05:13.440 You're not wrong in terms of how it feels.

00:05:15.840 How you feel about it is simply up to you.

00:05:18.920 But in terms of a system that you want to support, you don't want to start punishing people who are well-meaning, well-educated, well-informed, but got something wrong.

00:05:32.200 In the context of nobody knew what was right.

00:05:34.760 Now, I also said, at the very beginning of the pandemic, I said, we have basically a bunch of binary decisions.

00:05:44.140 You know, vaccination, yes or no.

00:05:46.880 Lockdown, yes or no.

00:05:48.500 So, a lot of it is yes or no.

00:05:49.960 So, in these yes or no decisions, the thing you can guarantee is that somebody will be right and somebody will be wrong.

00:05:58.400 Now, you can't guarantee that if there are millions of solutions.

00:06:01.160 But if it's either yes or no, yes, we do it, yes, no, we don't, you're going to know at some point what was right and you'll know some of it was wrong.

00:06:10.680 So, I think we should be a little bit more humble, those of us who were right.

00:06:19.440 So, if you were right about anything, somebody was going to be right because there were people on both sides and everybody was operating without complete information.

00:06:30.120 So, being right is nothing to brag about, honestly.

00:06:34.420 It really isn't.

00:06:36.160 Being wrong is nothing to feel bad about.

00:06:38.880 The only thing I would have felt bad about is people who didn't try.

00:06:42.700 If you didn't try or you didn't, you know, try to get informed or try to make a difference, well, maybe that wasn't useful.

00:06:50.560 But if you tried, you're okay with me.

00:06:56.640 And I do understand that the outcome was horrible for children.

00:07:01.160 I get it.

00:07:02.520 But I'm not going to tear the country apart by going after people who are smart and well-meaning and tried.

00:07:10.660 That doesn't help.

00:07:12.060 Who's that help?

00:07:13.260 Who's better off for that?

00:07:15.400 So, would you like that the next time, let me just ask this question.

00:07:18.680 Would you like the next time there's an emergency that all of the well-meaning, well-educated, you know, people who are very capable, Scott Galloway is a very capable adult, right?

00:07:32.700 You want the very capable adults to sit it out next time because you're all assholes?

00:07:38.160 If you're going to be an asshole to the people who tried, you're not going to get them to try again.

00:07:44.620 So, what do you want?

00:07:45.580 What do you want for next time?

00:07:46.580 You want everybody to just shut the fuck up?

00:07:51.300 Oh, you do?

00:07:52.900 That would be better?

00:07:54.120 So, the next time there's an emergency or something, just everybody just take a pass.

00:07:59.180 Because you don't want to get in trouble.

00:08:02.300 All right, well, I'm sure glad that there are people like Scott Galloway in the world.

00:08:06.120 He got that one wrong.

00:08:07.180 He says he got it wrong.

00:08:08.200 Move on.

00:08:08.600 All right, I'll take 10 of him over anybody who is criticizing him.

00:08:15.380 I'll take 10 of him over everybody who's criticizing him.

00:08:19.940 Because the people criticizing are not the systems thinkers.

00:08:23.460 You're being goal-oriented.

00:08:25.780 The goal was to get it right, right?

00:08:28.520 The goal was to get it right.

00:08:29.960 But sometimes you don't.

00:08:35.440 The system, the system is to let the smart people do as well as they can to make their best judgment, learn what you can from it, and then maybe adjust for the next time.

00:08:48.340 But if your system is to punish people who guessed wrong, that's a terrible system.

00:08:57.480 You're just going to discourage people for trying.

00:09:00.580 So, think about it in terms of a system.

00:09:03.600 Don't think of it in terms of a binary, oh, I was right, my enemies were wrong, which might be also true, that you were right and your enemies are wrong.

00:09:13.600 It doesn't help you.

00:09:15.220 How does that help you?

00:09:16.400 Not at all.

00:09:16.920 All right.

00:09:18.340 Flying cars in Italy.

00:09:21.440 There's a company that's making a product called the Jetson One.

00:09:25.680 Finally.

00:09:26.640 Flying cars.

00:09:27.860 Now, it doesn't fly that long.

00:09:29.460 I guess you have to charge it for hours to get 10 minutes.

00:09:32.340 But it's basically a bicycle that flies.

00:09:35.380 You know, like it's this tiny little thing.

00:09:36.900 You just sit in it.

00:09:37.640 It's got four propellers, like a drone.

00:09:40.180 It just flies.

00:09:44.600 For $100, somebody says,

00:09:46.760 Do you think a time will come when the rest of the world looks at Israel and thinks they're too great a liability to continue to exist?

00:09:53.880 No.

00:09:54.200 Well, that wasn't really worth $100.

00:09:57.360 No, I don't think that people will give up on Israel.

00:10:05.400 All right.

00:10:08.460 All right.

00:10:12.540 As you know, there have been many claims made about the 2020 election, but nothing has been proven to my satisfaction that there was anything illegal that would have changed the result.

00:10:23.080 But there's always drama, and there's fun.

00:10:29.080 I love what's happening in Maricopa.

00:10:33.560 So there's some kind of, you know, extra checking.

00:10:37.740 I don't know if you want to call it an audit, or is it an audit?

00:10:40.980 So there were some claims that they're still looking into, and the claims are that there were 200,000 individual ballots that were printed on some kind of unauthorized paper, which some would suggest was intentional and or, you know, a sign of something illegal.

00:10:59.960 I'm not making that claim.

00:11:01.400 I'm saying that is the claim being made.

00:11:04.380 But here's the fun part of that.

00:11:06.280 I may have some of the details wrong, so give me a fact check on this.

00:11:10.220 My understanding is that those ballots still exist, and they're in a room that's locked away.

00:11:18.520 And if we could get, if the people who want to check it could get access to the room, literally just unlock it and look at it,

00:11:26.980 that it would be really easy to see it's not the right paper stock that was the only paper stock allowed for the election.

00:11:34.240 And that would prove that there's some big irregularity.

00:11:38.000 Maybe then you could, you know, look into it.

00:11:41.100 Now, it could be they just ran out of paper or somebody made a paper mistake.

00:11:45.300 Maybe somebody didn't have access to all the paper they needed and, you know, got a second source, and they just didn't know.

00:11:53.580 Anything's possible, right?

00:11:54.960 But I love the fact that just maybe there's a room with a lock on the door that unlocking the door could answer all of your questions.

00:12:08.300 Isn't that just the greatest drama?

00:12:10.560 If only they'd just unlocked that door.

00:12:13.060 What's back there?

00:12:14.760 Now, if it's like every other Kraken, it will turn out not to be what you thought it was or hoped it was or suspected it was.

00:12:21.420 But I love the drama of it, that they exist, they're behind the door, and if you could get the key, you know, in a legal sense, if you could get the key, we'll know what happened.

00:12:33.860 I doubt that we'll actually know what happened if we got the key, but it's a fun story.

00:12:39.120 Speaking of fun stories that are actually bad, my local DA, the Alameda County DA, Pamela Price,

00:12:46.540 she made the mistake of parking her car in Oakland.

00:12:51.740 Do I need to finish the story?

00:12:55.660 You could complete the story without even knowing the rest of the story.

00:13:00.320 I'll just say the first part again.

00:13:03.100 Do we even, I'm not even sure I'm going to tell you the rest of the story.

00:13:05.740 Because the one that's in your head is so close to the real one.

00:13:10.280 Close enough.

00:13:11.560 Yeah, Alameda County DA, who is allegedly one of the Soros-type DAs.

00:13:18.460 She had a laptop she left in her car and parked it in Oakland.

00:13:21.700 Well, you know, I'm not in the habit of giving advice about crime to local DAs,

00:13:33.000 but if I had a laptop and I had a car, I would not combine the laptop and the car with Oakland.

00:13:43.060 Talk about asking for it.

00:13:44.780 Yeah, but of course she got help from the police, who told her healthfully she should go online and make a report.

00:13:57.840 If she didn't want to wait for an officer to arrive.

00:14:01.020 Because it might take so long for a police officer to arrive that they don't want her standing on the streets in Oakland. 0.95

00:14:10.260 Would you?

00:14:10.900 You might want to get out of there as soon as possible, because you're in Oakland.

00:14:18.540 Maybe online, talk to us online, rather than wait for a cop.

00:14:22.980 We don't know if we can get there in time to save your life.

00:14:27.440 Anyway, that's the news from walking distance from my house.

00:14:31.620 Well, it would take a long time to walk there, but I could do it.

00:14:34.560 I could do it.

00:14:37.460 Germany is running out of boomers. 1.00

00:14:39.000 Apparently, Germany's employment situation is terrible.

00:14:47.700 Really?

00:14:48.840 Somebody's spending another $100 to ask the same question again.

00:14:53.060 If you wouldn't mind, can you please explain why you don't believe the rest of the world will eventually consider Israel a liability?

00:15:01.980 Well, who's the rest of the world?

00:15:03.460 If you're talking about the Christian world, they're too linked by tradition and everything else. 0.94

00:15:10.300 So no, the Christian world isn't going to give up on Israel.

00:15:13.820 And the, let's say, secular people in the Christian world is the same.

00:15:20.000 You know, China doesn't care, right? 1.00

00:15:22.680 So it's basically, you know, the pro-Palestinian types will always be against them.

00:15:31.280 The left will always be against them.

00:15:33.560 The right will probably always be for them.

00:15:36.540 But no, I don't see it giving up.

00:15:39.180 Now, if you're asking, would it be wise for the rest of the world to say you're too much trouble?

00:15:45.460 It doesn't matter, because it won't happen.

00:15:49.680 It doesn't matter what's wise.

00:15:51.740 It's sort of like talking about, should Israel, you know, attack Gaza?

00:15:59.420 You could talk about it all day long, but it doesn't matter, because they're going to attack Gaza. 0.96

00:16:04.540 There's nothing you can do about it.

00:16:05.860 So there's not much to talk about.

00:16:09.980 I don't think there's any chance at all that Israel will be abandoned by its primary supporters.

00:16:16.220 I mean, if you're talking in 20 years to 50 years, I don't see it changing.

00:16:22.200 Anything can change in 200 years.

00:16:24.900 But no, what holds us together is psychology.

00:16:31.280 And the violence has never changed the psychology that I can remember.

00:16:35.860 You know, terrible things have been done to Israel.

00:16:42.140 Israel has been accused of doing terrible things back.

00:16:45.920 You know, who knows what to believe about anything.

00:16:48.500 But it doesn't seem to change anything.

00:16:51.680 So I don't think this will change much either.

00:16:55.200 All right.

00:16:58.080 So Germany's running out of boomers, but just in time to replace them with robots. 0.99

00:17:02.880 So I guess it's really hard to get people in Germany to do skilled work.

00:17:08.980 Not enough of them.

00:17:11.300 And so robots to the rescue.

00:17:15.300 I mean, it blows my mind that we're having a skilled worker shortage in the world at exactly the same time.

00:17:24.420 Well, you must have too much money, but thank you.

00:17:29.320 Somebody's paying $100.

00:17:31.200 This would be $300 they paid.

00:17:33.220 But the third $100 is just a thank you.

00:17:36.940 So thank you.

00:17:38.800 I appreciate that.

00:17:39.920 But I would encourage the rest of you, the super prompts are not ideal for the live format, because it's a little distracting.

00:17:52.060 But I appreciate it.

00:17:53.380 I always appreciate it.

00:17:54.280 But just in terms of the flow of the thing, better not to do them.

00:17:58.300 I love your money, though.

00:17:59.520 Thank you.

00:18:00.820 All right.

00:18:01.140 So let's talk about that Maine shooter, the guy who killed a bunch of people in Maine, but then he killed himself.

00:18:12.860 I've seen no media reports that there were two bullets in him.

00:18:18.040 That seems to be just an Internet rumor thing.

00:18:20.760 So I've seen nothing that would suggest there were two bullets in him.

00:18:24.900 Right?

00:18:25.820 There's nobody actually.

00:18:28.320 Now, right, yeah, there's no credible reason.

00:18:31.140 So forget about that.

00:18:35.220 We still don't know where his boat is.

00:18:38.020 Why don't we know where his boat is?

00:18:40.020 That was like a big part of the story.

00:18:42.300 I'd love to know if they ever found his boat.

00:18:44.880 I mean, maybe you just put it at a different dock and there's nothing to it.

00:18:48.320 But you kind of want to know that.

00:18:51.160 Also, wasn't it rumored at one point that he broke up with a girlfriend?

00:18:55.600 And we've heard nothing from any girlfriend.

00:18:58.200 So I think the girlfriend part was fake.

00:19:01.140 The two bullets part was fake.

00:19:02.940 And then we also know that the locals knew he was a shooter risk.

00:19:09.220 So the locals actually knew it because he had, you know, there was enough, there were enough hints and suggestions that the police actually went to his house to try to find him.

00:19:21.380 And they were not successful.

00:19:22.680 So I don't know if they gave up because they couldn't figure out where he was.

00:19:27.280 So they just thought, well, so I don't know what happened to that.

00:19:31.840 But apparently there was somewhere in the system.

00:19:35.360 They knew he was a risk and they were looking for him.

00:19:38.320 So that's interesting.

00:19:40.300 So I think the odds that we'll hear much more about that situation seem low.

00:19:48.840 Yeah.

00:19:50.660 Yeah, I don't think it's likely that it was anything except exactly what it looks like.

00:19:57.000 It was probably exactly what it looks like.

00:19:58.600 Crazy guy with a gun.

00:19:59.660 And somebody suggested that if he was a crazy, paranoid guy who heard voices, that he may have chosen the bowling alley in the bar, that he shot up because he imagined something happened there.

00:20:15.120 Like he imagined somebody was talking about him or something.

00:20:18.360 So it could be that.

00:20:20.020 I don't know.

00:20:20.600 It still doesn't make sense why he killed himself in a dumpster by his old job.

00:20:29.640 That still doesn't quite make sense.

00:20:33.140 So, and yeah, I still have lots of questions about this.

00:20:37.480 But we'll see.

00:20:40.140 All right, here's a thought experiment that I like to put out every now and then to make everybody feel bad.

00:20:47.960 It goes like this.

00:20:49.300 All right, imagine in a magical world, so this is not actually possible, but imagine it were, if somebody could tell you the real story, like all the bad stuff, behind the scenes of every major entity and political party in the United States.

00:21:08.940 So you knew what really happened, like why decisions were made and where the money came from and who's getting paid and who's corrupt and all the schemes that have tried before and all the fake news around them.

00:21:24.260 Suppose you were taught that and you knew all the bad history as well as what's happened recently.

00:21:29.600 You knew all the bad things about every part of our government and every politician, except there'd just be one exception.

00:21:38.280 The only thing you wouldn't know anything about, more than you already know, is about our election systems.

00:21:45.280 So you would be taught the full level of deep corruption in every one of our other systems, but you would learn nothing about our election system.

00:21:56.080 What would you assume about the election system?

00:22:00.900 Pretty good?

00:22:02.940 Looking good?

00:22:05.540 Well, that's pretty much the situation that we're in right now.

00:22:09.780 So even though we don't magically know about all of our other systems, we know enough, we know enough to know that there are major members of Congress who are not just maybe corrupt, totally corrupt, just the way you thought it, right?

00:22:28.760 So while I don't believe that, you know, Pizzagate was necessarily real, there is some sense that there are bad people doing Epstein Island things for real.

00:22:40.000 There really is an Epstein Island. 0.88

00:22:42.520 That was a real place, right?

00:22:45.800 So you don't have to know every bad thing that happened with every government entity and every important person to know that anything that can be corrupted,

00:22:56.660 anything that can be corrupted, hello, can you finish my sentence, anything that can be corrupted, it will be, right?

00:23:09.840 And there are still people who say, for example, we know that there was no corruption in 2020 because there were lots of challenges and none of them, you know, met the level that they would change the election.

00:23:25.760 It turns out that there were more successful challenges than you remember.

00:23:31.000 If you subtract from the challenges, Kyle Becker did a good thread on this.

00:23:35.360 If you subtract the challenges that were thrown out because of standing, and you can question whether that was even appropriate,

00:23:44.480 but standing means the people bringing the suit were not the ones who were specifically damaged by it, I guess,

00:23:51.480 or so they didn't have the standing to take it, or something like that.

00:23:56.660 I mean, that's the dumb guy's impression.

00:23:59.560 But of the ones that the courts accepted and said, okay, you're the appropriate person to bring it,

00:24:05.320 we're the appropriate people to look at it,

00:24:09.880 the pro-Trump people won more than they lost.

00:24:13.420 Did you know that?

00:24:14.140 But they were smaller improprieties.

00:24:18.740 They didn't change the whole picture.

00:24:22.060 They were just real things that really happened.

00:24:25.560 Which does not, by itself, doesn't say anything about any larger attempt,

00:24:32.080 except that there are people involved in elections who are willing to do sketchy things.

00:24:37.300 And sometimes things don't add up.

00:24:39.160 So, I think it's laughable to imagine that all of our systems in the country are broken.

00:24:50.560 We are completely aware of it, but maybe not the total depth of how broken they are.

00:24:56.560 Except for our election systems.

00:24:59.960 All good.

00:25:01.780 Election systems.

00:25:02.620 Now, which part of the, which court looked at the alleged 200,000 ballots in Maricopa?

00:25:12.180 Which one did that? 0.67

00:25:14.500 None, right?

00:25:17.800 So, can you say for sure that there was no cheating

00:25:22.000 when there are 200,000 ballots sitting in a room that are questioned?

00:25:28.060 I suspect if I had to bet on it, I'd bet that whatever is beyond that room doesn't change anything.

00:25:37.620 Because the smart bet is against every claim.

00:25:41.060 Which is different from saying every claim is wrong.

00:25:43.800 I'm just saying the smart bet is probably not a kraken. 1.00

00:25:47.980 Probably not.

00:25:49.600 But it doesn't mean there is no kraken.

00:25:52.080 It just means bet against it if you have to.

00:25:54.280 All right, let's talk about the Middle East a little bit.

00:26:00.300 I was thinking yesterday that the whole Middle East situation looks like a murder-suicide situation. 0.99

00:26:07.940 The only difference is we can't decide who's the murderer and who's the suicide.

00:26:13.400 You think about it?

00:26:14.260 Is Hamas a suicide situation and they're trying to murder Israelis but it's a suicide plan? 0.81

00:26:28.960 Or is the existence of Israel in the middle of all this hate essentially a suicide thing

00:26:37.560 and Hamas is trying to murder them at the same time?

00:26:40.960 So it just looks like, it looks like by design it couldn't possibly work.

00:26:48.640 I mean, it's like somebody created a situation that's guaranteed to be terrible forever.

00:26:55.540 And then everybody said, all right, I guess this is the best we can do.

00:26:58.680 This terrible situation that can never be better.

00:27:00.940 It's a murder-suicide.

00:27:03.060 You know, slow moving.

00:27:04.740 It's like a slow motion murder-suicide.

00:27:06.980 Anyway, and I challenged people to describe any scenario in which it works out in the long run.

00:27:20.340 In other words, what's the scenario where Israel finds something like the peace that other countries enjoy

00:27:27.540 where their neighbors are not trying to kill them all the time?

00:27:32.920 What scenario would ever get you to that point?

00:27:35.400 So the trends that we see are the population is growing faster in the countries that want to destroy Israel. 0.93

00:27:47.780 Israel's, you know, geographically in the middle of them. 0.63

00:27:51.420 So you've got a growing population of haters.

00:27:54.300 You know, even if it's only a small population within the larger population that wants to kill all Israelis,

00:28:00.620 it's still growing because the larger population is growing.

00:28:04.840 So whatever percentage they are is growing as well.

00:28:08.420 The children, at least in the Palestinian areas, appear to be weaponized, 0.99

00:28:15.420 meaning that they've been taught that it's their sacred duty to grow up and kill Jews.

00:28:21.640 Now, I don't know what percentage of them.

00:28:23.480 I don't know if it's 80% or 10% or 2%.

00:28:26.900 It's a little unclear if that's universal, but I guess it is.

00:28:32.740 If I had to guess, I'd guess it's closer to universal than not.

00:28:36.960 Yeah, it's probably 100%.

00:28:38.200 And how do you fix that?

00:28:41.000 If today, all the adults surrendered and said,

00:28:45.680 oh, Hamas didn't work, sorry, didn't mean it, we'll put down our guns, 0.98

00:28:50.380 you'd have an entire generation, which is like half of the entire population,

00:28:55.360 because the young people are about half of all the Palestinians,

00:28:59.000 who would just replace them.

00:29:01.500 And while they were replacing them as adults,

00:29:03.760 the new children would be taught to be the new replacements of those adults.

00:29:07.760 So as long as the education system is weaponizing children,

00:29:12.980 there are more children every day,

00:29:15.420 and then the power of weapons,

00:29:18.380 a weapon that one individual could use,

00:29:20.880 is getting stronger every day, right?

00:29:23.600 One person will be able to launch a drone

00:29:25.560 that does immense damage pretty soon, if not already.

00:29:30.400 So under that scenario,

00:29:32.960 what is the scenario in which everything works out in the long run?

00:29:35.880 Can you even describe a world where that happens?

00:29:40.880 I can't think about anything.

00:29:42.660 Can you?

00:29:44.220 The rapture.

00:29:46.340 To me, it always just looks like buying time.

00:29:51.380 I mean, I think Israel's going to be there for a while. 0.98

00:29:55.000 But how in the world could it,

00:29:56.940 you know, how could it survive in the long run?

00:30:00.580 Let me put it another way.

00:30:02.400 Somebody, I'll borrow somebody's example.

00:30:04.720 For Israel to survive, 0.99

00:30:08.060 it has to be able to successfully repel

00:30:11.240 every attempt to destroy it.

00:30:14.080 Forever.

00:30:15.680 That would be what survival is.

00:30:17.460 Destroying every attempt to destroy it.

00:30:20.860 But the people doing the destroying

00:30:22.640 themselves typically get destroyed.

00:30:26.500 But they only have to be right once.

00:30:30.140 So the math is really, really bad here.

00:30:32.600 Israel can be, you know,

00:30:34.880 destroy the enemies 99 out of 100 times.

00:30:38.040 But the enemy only has to get it right once

00:30:40.080 and Israel disappears.

00:30:42.320 Now, we're not there yet.

00:30:46.200 But did you see what happened

00:30:48.980 when they all just sort of ran toward Israel

00:30:51.760 individually?

00:30:53.740 Got on their motorcycles

00:30:54.800 and their little pair of planes

00:30:57.500 or whatever they were.

00:30:58.160 And it was just a bunch of individuals

00:31:01.140 who were attacking.

00:31:03.040 To me, that's always been the big risk,

00:31:05.540 is the wave of individuals.

00:31:08.040 I don't think the big risk is necessarily missiles,

00:31:11.560 although it is a really, really big risk.

00:31:13.300 I don't know if the biggest risk

00:31:15.800 is necessarily nuclear,

00:31:18.140 because it's hard to imagine

00:31:19.380 that anybody who is Islamic

00:31:22.400 would want to irradiate a holy zone.

00:31:27.700 Right?

00:31:27.880 It's a holy land for both sides, right?

00:31:29.620 So I don't really see a nuke.

00:31:33.860 It seems unlikely.

00:31:35.640 But if you just get more and more people

00:31:38.460 who are on that Captagon drug,

00:31:40.680 the drug where they can hand you a rifle

00:31:43.060 and say,

00:31:43.780 I've got an idea.

00:31:45.240 Why don't you run as fast as you can

00:31:46.720 into that hail of gunfire

00:31:48.740 and see how many people you can kill

00:31:51.040 on the other side.

00:31:52.640 Yeah, don't worry about the harm.

00:31:54.100 Yeah, don't worry about anything.

00:31:55.120 Just run and shoot.

00:31:57.200 If you have enough of them,

00:31:59.840 could they not overrun

00:32:01.240 basically any Israeli city?

00:32:03.900 So, you know,

00:32:07.740 and especially we saw

00:32:08.860 that the Israeli citizens

00:32:10.060 are largely unarmed.

00:32:12.200 So it would be, you know,

00:32:14.300 same kind of thing but bigger.

00:32:16.160 So I don't know what stops it

00:32:17.660 from happening in the future.

00:32:20.600 And I didn't see anybody

00:32:21.860 who could describe a scenario

00:32:23.380 where it does work.

00:32:25.180 I will say that from the missile category,

00:32:29.640 you know, if the, let's say,

00:32:30.760 Hezbollah's got 200,000

00:32:32.560 pretty good missiles at this point,

00:32:34.440 which should be enough

00:32:35.620 to take out an entire city,

00:32:37.820 I would think, in that sum.

00:32:40.440 But Israel's also working 0.63

00:32:41.900 on that, you know,

00:32:43.580 laser beam defense weapon.

00:32:47.600 And I can't imagine

00:32:48.720 anything else that would work

00:32:49.940 if that works.

00:32:51.800 Because there's no way

00:32:52.840 you're going to shoot a missile

00:32:54.300 to block every incoming missile.

00:32:56.820 Because the bad guys

00:32:58.020 will just have a bunch

00:32:58.860 of fake missiles.

00:32:59.600 They will make as many

00:33:01.220 fake missiles as it takes

00:33:02.700 to overwhelm your missile defense.

00:33:06.160 But if your missile defense

00:33:08.760 is lasers,

00:33:10.340 the lasers are just

00:33:11.640 meh, meh, meh, meh, meh,

00:33:13.160 and take out the missiles

00:33:14.460 as quickly as they're launched.

00:33:17.060 So then there's

00:33:18.300 this fast missile launcher.

00:33:19.900 Then the bad guys adjust too.

00:33:23.800 They're like,

00:33:24.220 OK, we can't get a missile through.

00:33:26.360 We'll put it on the back

00:33:28.480 of a motorcycle

00:33:29.280 and a bunch of us

00:33:30.580 will just make a run at you. 1.00

00:33:33.360 Something like that.

00:33:34.960 Anyway, it's really difficult

00:33:36.060 to imagine

00:33:36.720 where it all goes.

00:33:39.700 But it's,

00:33:40.440 I don't know.

00:33:42.600 Let me ask you this.

00:33:44.100 Is there any

00:33:45.000 parallel in history

00:33:48.240 where there was a little

00:33:49.940 landlocked country

00:33:51.440 surrounded by

00:33:53.120 people with bad intentions

00:33:54.820 who want to take it over

00:33:57.160 where it lasted

00:33:58.680 in the long run?

00:34:01.100 So Taiwan's lasted a while, 0.95

00:34:02.640 but there's no way

00:34:03.520 that Taiwan will always 1.00

00:34:05.020 be separate from China.

00:34:07.660 Poland?

00:34:10.420 Yeah.

00:34:11.360 Yeah, well,

00:34:13.140 OK, landlocked is

00:34:14.740 relative.

00:34:19.980 Nuclear-powered laser satellites?

00:34:21.960 Yeah.

00:34:25.700 All right.

00:34:26.720 Well,

00:34:28.180 so apparently

00:34:28.760 Kyle Bass

00:34:29.740 was posting today

00:34:31.440 that he talked to somebody

00:34:32.600 who said

00:34:32.920 the big terrorist network

00:34:34.600 in the United States

00:34:35.540 is

00:34:37.340 in

00:34:39.720 Dearborn, Michigan.

00:34:42.500 So the United States

00:34:43.460 now has a bunch

00:34:44.760 of Hamas

00:34:45.740 and Hezbollah

00:34:46.280 supporters

00:34:47.020 and

00:34:48.500 quite a few of them

00:34:49.620 and they're in

00:34:50.200 Dearborn, Michigan.

00:34:51.060 Now, the question is

00:34:52.800 how many

00:34:54.740 Islamic

00:34:57.060 supporters

00:34:59.200 would there need

00:35:00.020 to be in America

00:35:00.740 before America

00:35:02.300 was guaranteed

00:35:03.100 to turn Islamic?

00:35:05.060 The number is really small.

00:35:06.560 It's like 10%.

00:35:07.440 I think

00:35:08.840 Europe is probably

00:35:10.000 over that number, right?

00:35:12.160 So Europe is

00:35:12.880 above the number

00:35:13.860 where they can survive,

00:35:14.940 I think.

00:35:15.600 Survive as their 0.89

00:35:16.620 current form.

00:35:17.440 They would become

00:35:17.960 Islamic.

00:35:19.120 So I think

00:35:19.460 Great Britain

00:35:20.040 France

00:35:21.600 were probably

00:35:21.980 lost.

00:35:23.680 Lost,

00:35:24.300 or if you like

00:35:25.360 what it's going

00:35:26.040 to turn into,

00:35:26.640 you'd like it,

00:35:27.120 I guess.

00:35:32.500 So to me,

00:35:33.700 it looks like

00:35:34.220 there's,

00:35:35.240 I don't see how

00:35:36.180 that could be reversed

00:35:37.100 because the thing

00:35:38.320 about Islam

00:35:39.840 is it's hard

00:35:41.140 to leave

00:35:41.600 and

00:35:43.020 many of them,

00:35:45.940 well,

00:35:46.320 there's a portion

00:35:46.800 of them

00:35:47.020 that have a pretty

00:35:47.500 aggressive opinion

00:35:49.120 about things.

00:35:50.760 So watch out

00:35:51.420 for Dearborn,

00:35:52.140 Michigan.

00:35:52.660 I think maybe

00:35:53.280 the next 100 years

00:35:54.380 will be about

00:35:55.100 trying to escape

00:35:57.120 war zones

00:35:58.620 because they're

00:35:59.600 going to be

00:35:59.860 everywhere.

00:36:01.160 Well,

00:36:01.540 the good news

00:36:02.020 is that ESG

00:36:02.840 is dying.

00:36:03.340 there were

00:36:06.400 three ESG

00:36:07.280 funds launched

00:36:08.280 recently

00:36:09.660 while 13

00:36:10.540 closed down

00:36:11.300 in the last

00:36:11.760 three months.

00:36:13.160 There were 13

00:36:14.120 ESG funds

00:36:15.120 that closed

00:36:15.780 in the last

00:36:16.300 three months.

00:36:16.960 and as you

00:36:20.300 know,

00:36:20.820 BlackRock's

00:36:21.740 Larry Fink

00:36:22.720 said,

00:36:23.540 quote,

00:36:23.860 I'm ashamed

00:36:24.300 of being part

00:36:24.920 of this

00:36:25.220 conversation

00:36:26.060 talking about

00:36:27.580 ESG.

00:36:28.480 So they were

00:36:28.980 big pushers

00:36:29.580 of ESG

00:36:30.180 but it

00:36:31.320 became so

00:36:31.920 scandalized

00:36:32.660 that they

00:36:33.000 didn't want

00:36:33.380 to even

00:36:33.600 be part

00:36:34.000 of it.

00:36:35.660 Now,

00:36:36.480 it's not dead

00:36:37.200 because there

00:36:37.640 were three ESG

00:36:38.420 funds launched

00:36:39.260 even though

00:36:40.520 13 closed

00:36:41.420 but I think

00:36:42.700 you can see

00:36:43.140 the trend.

00:36:44.260 Looks like

00:36:44.620 ESG doesn't

00:36:45.300 have a chance.

00:36:45.800 Well,

00:36:47.220 Elon Musk

00:36:47.820 of course

00:36:48.520 has been

00:36:48.920 dragged into

00:36:49.520 the Gaza

00:36:50.160 situation.

00:36:51.080 I wondered

00:36:51.400 why it

00:36:51.760 took so

00:36:52.140 long.

00:36:53.300 I'm just

00:36:53.780 waiting.

00:36:54.320 It's like,

00:36:54.640 okay,

00:36:55.940 how does

00:36:56.300 this,

00:37:01.980 will the

00:37:02.860 current

00:37:03.100 fad of

00:37:03.660 being anti-Israel?

00:37:04.920 I don't know

00:37:05.500 that that's

00:37:05.920 a fad.

00:37:07.480 I don't think

00:37:08.460 that's going

00:37:08.840 to change.

00:37:09.740 I believe

00:37:10.240 that the

00:37:10.720 U.S.

00:37:11.740 educational

00:37:12.180 system is

00:37:13.300 anti-Israel

00:37:14.220 unless you

00:37:15.780 somehow

00:37:16.340 change the

00:37:17.080 entire

00:37:17.580 education

00:37:18.400 system.

00:37:20.120 What's

00:37:20.680 going to

00:37:20.880 happen?

00:37:22.280 So it's

00:37:22.720 not a

00:37:24.080 trend if

00:37:24.760 it's being

00:37:25.160 taught to

00:37:25.720 young people.

00:37:26.800 If it's

00:37:27.220 being taught

00:37:27.800 to young

00:37:28.220 people,

00:37:29.080 then it's

00:37:30.160 just

00:37:30.380 education.

00:37:32.300 As bad

00:37:33.080 as that

00:37:34.160 is.

00:37:34.380 All right.

00:37:37.380 Israel cut 0.99

00:37:42.220 ties with

00:37:43.420 Starlink

00:37:44.560 because

00:37:45.900 Musk said

00:37:46.960 that he

00:37:47.280 would give

00:37:47.860 Starlink

00:37:48.460 access to

00:37:49.880 only the

00:37:51.440 authorized

00:37:51.880 international

00:37:52.760 bodies that

00:37:53.860 were trying

00:37:54.180 to help

00:37:54.500 people in

00:37:55.160 Gaza.

00:37:55.640 So he

00:37:55.860 wasn't going

00:37:56.220 to make it

00:37:56.500 available to

00:37:56.980 all people

00:37:57.520 and certainly

00:37:59.240 not all

00:37:59.740 terrorists. 0.53

00:38:00.120 But he was

00:38:00.980 going to make

00:38:01.300 it available

00:38:01.700 to the

00:38:02.440 aid people.

00:38:04.140 But Israel 0.66

00:38:06.120 didn't like

00:38:06.600 that because

00:38:07.540 quite reasonably

00:38:08.560 they're not

00:38:10.040 sure if the

00:38:10.840 aid people

00:38:11.340 would be the

00:38:11.860 only ones

00:38:12.220 who got it.

00:38:13.520 So Israel 0.99

00:38:14.680 has basically

00:38:15.240 just closed

00:38:15.920 down everything

00:38:16.560 and make

00:38:20.040 it hard in

00:38:20.480 there.

00:38:21.360 There's a

00:38:21.920 new technology

00:38:23.180 for tunnels.

00:38:25.180 I knew

00:38:25.940 there would be

00:38:26.420 a new

00:38:26.700 technology for

00:38:27.540 tunnels.

00:38:28.140 Did I tell

00:38:28.560 you that?

00:38:30.000 Does anybody

00:38:30.420 remember?

00:38:31.040 Maybe I only

00:38:31.760 said it on

00:38:32.280 the locals

00:38:33.280 only.

00:38:34.140 I said

00:38:35.760 that you

00:38:36.040 would find

00:38:36.500 out that

00:38:37.040 Israel had 1.00

00:38:38.760 the best

00:38:39.400 tunnel

00:38:40.880 killing

00:38:43.140 technology.

00:38:44.580 And I

00:38:44.800 guess they

00:38:45.100 had been

00:38:45.320 trading with

00:38:45.980 one of

00:38:46.240 these

00:38:46.380 technologies

00:38:46.880 called

00:38:47.220 Sponge

00:38:47.860 Bombs.

00:38:49.440 Not

00:38:49.780 SpongeBob.

00:38:51.860 SpongeBob

00:38:52.540 actually lives

00:38:54.880 under the

00:38:55.300 sea in a

00:38:56.200 giant pineapple.

00:38:58.080 Almost

00:38:58.720 useless

00:38:59.240 against

00:38:59.660 tunnels.

00:39:01.420 So not

00:39:02.000 SpongeBob,

00:39:03.080 but SpongeBomb.

00:39:05.360 So apparently

00:39:06.440 it's two

00:39:07.100 different

00:39:07.400 chemicals.

00:39:08.620 You throw

00:39:09.140 this sponge

00:39:10.140 bomb down

00:39:10.940 the tunnel.

00:39:12.560 When it

00:39:13.300 explodes,

00:39:14.080 it expands

00:39:15.020 into this

00:39:15.640 big sponge

00:39:16.480 thing that

00:39:16.940 hardens and

00:39:18.180 blocks the

00:39:18.740 tunnel.

00:39:19.820 Now you

00:39:20.320 say to

00:39:20.640 yourself,

00:39:21.760 well, why

00:39:22.140 do you need

00:39:22.480 that?

00:39:22.780 You could

00:39:23.020 just bulldoze

00:39:25.040 the tunnel or

00:39:25.660 something.

00:39:26.460 Well, you

00:39:26.920 would use it

00:39:27.460 if you're in

00:39:28.020 the tunnel

00:39:28.440 trying to

00:39:28.960 clear it.

00:39:29.480 So let's

00:39:30.620 say you're

00:39:31.540 in a

00:39:31.840 tunnel and

00:39:32.500 there's more

00:39:33.000 than one

00:39:33.640 way and

00:39:35.960 suddenly you

00:39:36.580 hear the

00:39:36.960 bad guys

00:39:37.440 coming down

00:39:37.960 one of the

00:39:38.500 tunnel things

00:39:39.200 but you

00:39:40.280 still have

00:39:40.960 another tunnel

00:39:41.540 that you

00:39:41.860 could escape

00:39:42.500 to.

00:39:43.080 You can

00:39:43.680 block their

00:39:44.320 tunnel and

00:39:46.040 still do your

00:39:46.720 work.

00:39:47.840 So as you

00:39:48.440 hear the

00:39:48.700 bad guys

00:39:49.180 coming down

00:39:49.620 this tunnel,

00:39:50.160 you throw

00:39:50.480 the bomb

00:39:50.860 down,

00:39:51.240 block it, 0.97

00:39:52.200 and then you

00:39:52.660 just keep

00:39:53.220 working down

00:39:54.120 the rest of

00:39:54.540 the tunnels.

00:39:54.900 it's pretty

00:39:57.420 bad stuff.

00:39:58.780 I guess a

00:39:59.280 couple of

00:39:59.720 Israeli soldiers

00:40:00.840 were actually

00:40:01.420 blinded just

00:40:02.820 doing exercise

00:40:05.140 with it

00:40:05.800 recently.

00:40:07.340 So it's

00:40:07.920 dangerous stuff

00:40:08.720 but it's

00:40:09.300 one of their

00:40:09.580 options.

00:40:10.860 All right,

00:40:11.280 here's the

00:40:12.000 most interesting

00:40:12.920 thing.

00:40:16.280 I think it

00:40:17.900 was the last

00:40:18.600 prime minister

00:40:19.480 of Israel

00:40:21.000 had a very

00:40:22.560 long,

00:40:23.360 his name

00:40:23.780 is Naftali

00:40:26.280 Bennett.

00:40:27.760 He printed

00:40:29.140 a very long

00:40:30.060 explanation of

00:40:31.540 what the

00:40:32.000 strategy is

00:40:32.980 or should

00:40:33.380 be for

00:40:34.640 Israel's 0.75

00:40:39.100 attack on

00:40:39.680 Gaza.

00:40:40.740 Now what

00:40:41.180 he's suggesting

00:40:43.040 is a slow

00:40:44.420 squeeze,

00:40:45.940 a siege.

00:40:46.940 So instead

00:40:47.540 of going in

00:40:48.240 hard,

00:40:50.840 he's saying

00:40:51.720 squeeze it

00:40:52.380 and siege it.

00:40:53.780 Siege it

00:40:54.360 and squeeze

00:40:54.780 it.

00:40:54.960 So I'm

00:40:55.580 going to

00:40:55.740 read a

00:40:57.500 chat GPT4

00:40:58.900 summarization

00:41:00.080 of what

00:41:01.060 the last

00:41:02.980 prime minister

00:41:03.680 said of

00:41:04.440 Israel.

00:41:05.740 So just

00:41:08.320 see if it

00:41:08.700 sounds familiar.

00:41:09.840 Maybe you've

00:41:10.340 heard some

00:41:10.660 of this

00:41:10.880 before.

00:41:11.680 But here's

00:41:12.040 the idea.

00:41:13.400 So this is

00:41:13.920 chat GPT did

00:41:15.180 a not just

00:41:16.180 a translation

00:41:16.940 but also

00:41:17.860 a summarization.

00:41:20.100 So these

00:41:20.440 are not his

00:41:21.040 exact words.

00:41:21.740 So the

00:41:23.240 siege plan

00:41:24.100 would be

00:41:24.600 to suffocate

00:41:25.960 the Hamas

00:41:26.680 operatives

00:41:27.200 in the

00:41:27.980 tunnels.

00:41:28.880 So if they

00:41:29.460 can turn

00:41:29.840 off the

00:41:30.140 power,

00:41:30.740 the tunnels

00:41:31.160 become almost

00:41:31.960 impossible to

00:41:32.780 stay in.

00:41:34.140 So they

00:41:34.460 could have

00:41:34.680 an air

00:41:35.040 problem and

00:41:36.180 all kinds

00:41:37.140 of problems.

00:41:38.200 So if

00:41:38.720 they go in

00:41:39.180 hard,

00:41:40.740 well,

00:41:41.040 I'll just

00:41:41.240 read it.

00:41:43.080 Surprise

00:41:43.560 tactic.

00:41:44.280 Instead of

00:41:44.700 entering deep

00:41:45.320 into Gaza,

00:41:45.960 the plan

00:41:46.280 suggests imposing

00:41:47.780 a complete

00:41:48.420 siege on

00:41:49.240 northern Gaza,

00:41:50.040 forcing Hamas 0.92

00:41:51.440 operatives to

00:41:52.240 leave their

00:41:52.740 tunnels.

00:41:54.040 Right.

00:41:54.720 So the

00:41:55.060 first part is

00:41:55.820 you don't

00:41:56.460 have to go

00:41:56.880 down the

00:41:57.240 tunnels.

00:41:58.760 The tunnels

00:41:59.560 are already

00:42:00.100 a prison.

00:42:01.820 Do you

00:42:02.180 think that

00:42:02.660 even one

00:42:03.200 day in

00:42:03.500 that tunnel

00:42:03.960 is a good

00:42:04.800 day?

00:42:05.340 I don't

00:42:05.940 think they're

00:42:06.220 having any

00:42:06.580 good days

00:42:07.120 down there

00:42:07.580 for the

00:42:08.240 rest of

00:42:08.620 time.

00:42:09.620 So basically

00:42:10.300 they're already

00:42:10.860 captured.

00:42:12.420 Why would

00:42:12.980 you lose

00:42:13.440 any more

00:42:14.000 soldiers to

00:42:15.060 capture somebody

00:42:15.780 who's already

00:42:16.120 captured?

00:42:16.560 They're already

00:42:16.920 in the

00:42:17.220 tunnel.

00:42:18.320 They're in

00:42:18.780 the worst

00:42:19.140 place you

00:42:19.600 could be

00:42:19.860 in the

00:42:20.080 world.

00:42:21.240 There's

00:42:21.480 no place

00:42:21.960 I would

00:42:22.240 less rather

00:42:23.100 be than

00:42:23.720 in a

00:42:24.000 tunnel

00:42:24.240 in Gaza.

00:42:26.320 So you

00:42:27.040 say leave

00:42:27.500 them there.

00:42:28.200 They have

00:42:28.840 to come

00:42:29.060 out eventually

00:42:29.560 or just

00:42:30.100 die there

00:42:30.500 I guess.

00:42:31.500 Security

00:42:32.020 strip.

00:42:32.540 Establishing

00:42:33.020 a two

00:42:33.500 kilometer

00:42:33.900 deep

00:42:34.260 permanent

00:42:35.200 security

00:42:35.820 strip

00:42:36.220 along the

00:42:36.740 border.

00:42:38.620 So they

00:42:39.300 would clear

00:42:39.780 that out

00:42:40.180 with fire

00:42:40.600 power.

00:42:42.400 And I'm

00:42:43.700 not sure

00:42:44.020 the exact

00:42:44.600 purpose

00:42:45.220 of it.

00:42:45.680 if

00:42:52.400 Israel

00:42:52.760 wanted to

00:42:53.240 take the

00:42:53.560 nuclear

00:42:53.840 option

00:42:54.280 would the

00:42:54.660 U.S.

00:42:54.940 be

00:42:55.040 incentivized

00:42:55.780 to take

00:42:56.800 them out

00:42:57.240 before they

00:42:57.740 can do

00:42:58.100 it?

00:42:58.640 Are you

00:42:59.000 really

00:42:59.220 asking me

00:42:59.720 if the

00:42:59.960 United

00:43:00.200 States

00:43:00.560 would

00:43:00.820 nuke

00:43:01.220 Israel

00:43:01.700 to stop

00:43:02.260 Israel

00:43:02.640 from

00:43:02.900 nuking

00:43:03.260 somebody

00:43:03.640 else?

00:43:04.820 Is that

00:43:05.400 really what

00:43:05.780 you're

00:43:05.920 asking?

00:43:07.000 The answer

00:43:07.460 would be

00:43:07.740 no.

00:43:08.160 We will

00:43:08.640 not

00:43:08.940 nuke

00:43:09.380 Israel

00:43:09.740 to stop

00:43:10.200 them

00:43:10.340 from doing

00:43:10.700 anything.

00:43:11.020 So the

00:43:14.640 security

00:43:15.040 strip,

00:43:15.920 I don't

00:43:16.160 know its

00:43:16.700 purpose,

00:43:17.240 but I

00:43:17.620 suggest at

00:43:18.940 one point

00:43:19.440 that they

00:43:20.440 make a

00:43:20.960 security

00:43:21.380 strip

00:43:21.780 that would

00:43:23.280 allow

00:43:23.800 anybody

00:43:24.400 who's a

00:43:24.900 civilian

00:43:25.220 who wants

00:43:25.720 to get

00:43:25.980 out,

00:43:26.900 they'd have

00:43:27.240 a chance.

00:43:28.920 So at

00:43:29.500 least there'd

00:43:29.880 be some

00:43:30.720 place they

00:43:31.180 could run

00:43:31.560 to.

00:43:31.880 It's like,

00:43:32.140 oh, if I

00:43:32.840 can get to

00:43:33.260 the security

00:43:33.860 strip,

00:43:34.920 maybe I

00:43:35.440 can run

00:43:35.720 to the

00:43:35.980 other

00:43:36.120 side.

00:43:36.980 I don't

00:43:37.520 know if

00:43:37.760 it's only

00:43:38.180 for that

00:43:38.660 or if it's

00:43:39.440 just for

00:43:39.780 transportation,

00:43:40.600 but they

00:43:40.860 need that

00:43:41.180 security

00:43:41.540 strip.

00:43:42.220 It's

00:43:42.420 probably

00:43:42.740 also so

00:43:43.500 that they

00:43:43.820 can move

00:43:44.180 their assets

00:43:44.720 where they

00:43:45.120 want to

00:43:46.040 quickly.

00:43:48.580 Continuous

00:43:49.100 firepower,

00:43:49.880 so they

00:43:50.140 would just

00:43:50.460 keep pounding

00:43:51.000 things,

00:43:52.300 pounding and

00:43:52.780 pounding,

00:43:53.540 and then

00:43:54.720 here's the

00:43:55.080 next part.

00:43:56.020 They would

00:43:56.400 isolate

00:43:57.160 neighborhoods

00:43:57.880 without having

00:43:59.800 to clear

00:44:00.280 every tunnel.

00:44:02.000 So

00:44:02.260 essentially

00:44:04.260 they'd find

00:44:05.220 a neighborhood

00:44:06.040 that's easy

00:44:07.440 to conquer

00:44:08.000 with relatively

00:44:09.680 low losses,

00:44:10.540 and they

00:44:11.320 would just

00:44:11.600 conquer it.

00:44:12.960 And then

00:44:13.220 they would

00:44:13.480 look for

00:44:13.800 another

00:44:14.200 low-hanging

00:44:14.800 fruit,

00:44:15.560 and they

00:44:15.940 would conquer

00:44:16.360 that.

00:44:17.060 And they

00:44:17.320 would basically

00:44:17.800 just shrink

00:44:19.380 the battlefield.

00:44:22.720 Good idea?

00:44:24.280 Yeah.

00:44:24.780 Just do it

00:44:25.320 slowly.

00:44:26.220 Slow squeeze.

00:44:27.560 And he

00:44:28.100 actually uses

00:44:28.680 the word

00:44:29.000 squeeze,

00:44:29.600 I think,

00:44:30.100 in an article

00:44:31.220 about it.

00:44:32.560 So a siege,

00:44:33.900 squeeze.

00:44:37.100 Humanitarian

00:44:37.620 corridors.

00:44:38.380 Oh, actually

00:44:38.880 that is exactly

00:44:40.260 what I was

00:44:40.620 talking about.

00:44:42.820 So give

00:44:43.640 them a

00:44:44.100 corridor so

00:44:45.180 that they

00:44:45.440 can get

00:44:45.860 water and

00:44:46.760 food and

00:44:47.640 medicine to

00:44:48.140 the locals.

00:44:50.500 And then

00:44:51.240 evacuate them

00:44:52.220 a little at

00:44:54.860 a time.

00:44:55.240 So as

00:44:56.720 you're able,

00:44:57.900 just keep

00:44:58.440 evacuating

00:44:58.980 people.

00:44:59.840 If you

00:45:00.220 don't do

00:45:00.560 the big

00:45:00.900 push,

00:45:01.220 you also

00:45:01.540 get to

00:45:01.900 keep

00:45:02.100 negotiating

00:45:02.700 for the

00:45:04.860 release of

00:45:05.700 hostages.

00:45:07.240 You got

00:45:07.440 that?

00:45:07.680 He says

00:45:09.920 strategic

00:45:10.700 patience,

00:45:11.860 utilizing

00:45:12.320 time as

00:45:12.980 an advantage.

00:45:14.920 Who told

00:45:15.740 you that

00:45:16.120 time was

00:45:16.780 on Israel's

00:45:18.300 side?

00:45:19.780 Now,

00:45:20.240 they do

00:45:20.560 have the

00:45:21.020 issue that

00:45:21.580 they got

00:45:21.960 too many

00:45:22.540 mobilized

00:45:23.340 soldiers that

00:45:24.220 are out of

00:45:24.560 the economy,

00:45:25.340 they got to

00:45:25.680 get them

00:45:25.880 back.

00:45:26.460 But if

00:45:27.160 you don't

00:45:27.480 do the

00:45:27.880 hard to

00:45:28.440 full push,

00:45:30.020 you also

00:45:30.720 don't need

00:45:31.300 your full

00:45:31.940 military.

00:45:33.060 They just

00:45:33.400 take their

00:45:33.780 time,

00:45:35.160 siege it,

00:45:35.820 and squeeze

00:45:36.420 it.

00:45:37.680 Minimizing

00:45:39.660 collateral

00:45:40.120 damage,

00:45:41.480 of course,

00:45:42.040 that's going

00:45:42.380 to be good

00:45:42.640 for public

00:45:43.160 opinion as

00:45:44.060 well as

00:45:44.360 everything

00:45:44.620 else.

00:45:47.140 They say

00:45:47.760 this would,

00:45:48.460 well,

00:45:49.440 the ex-prime

00:45:50.520 minister says,

00:45:51.600 surprise and

00:45:52.320 deception.

00:45:53.500 So the plan

00:45:54.160 is to catch

00:45:54.680 Hamas off

00:45:55.260 guard because

00:45:55.820 they sort

00:45:56.360 of expected

00:45:56.980 a full-on

00:45:59.300 attack.

00:46:00.820 So if you

00:46:01.240 just don't

00:46:01.720 give them

00:46:02.200 the full-on

00:46:02.760 attack,

00:46:03.940 they may

00:46:04.380 not be as

00:46:04.960 prepared for

00:46:05.900 the siege.

00:46:07.680 Pressure

00:46:09.360 shift.

00:46:10.740 Transferring

00:46:11.240 the pressure

00:46:11.580 from Israel

00:46:12.100 to Hamas,

00:46:13.040 it changes

00:46:13.700 the power

00:46:14.200 dynamic.

00:46:14.800 It does.

00:46:15.740 Right.

00:46:16.220 If you do

00:46:16.640 this slow

00:46:17.520 squeeze,

00:46:18.880 there's no

00:46:19.300 question who's

00:46:20.320 in control

00:46:20.800 from that

00:46:21.200 point on.

00:46:21.640 So this

00:46:26.840 would force

00:46:27.300 the Hamas

00:46:28.020 leadership to

00:46:28.780 choose between

00:46:29.640 disarming or

00:46:31.080 facing a

00:46:31.700 historical

00:46:32.200 disaster.

00:46:33.360 Basically a

00:46:34.240 slow motion

00:46:35.200 death to

00:46:37.340 all the

00:46:37.660 Hamas 0.96

00:46:38.040 fighters or

00:46:39.380 disarming and

00:46:40.960 just surrendering.

00:46:42.260 I assume

00:46:43.160 they'll take

00:46:43.560 death, but

00:46:44.360 we'll see.

00:46:44.760 And I

00:46:46.920 like this

00:46:47.260 part.

00:46:47.640 Reduced

00:46:47.980 likelihood of

00:46:48.740 Hezbollah

00:46:49.180 getting involved.

00:46:50.620 So if

00:46:51.160 Israel did 1.00

00:46:51.880 a big,

00:46:52.960 brutal,

00:46:53.520 bloody,

00:46:54.780 head-on

00:46:56.320 attack,

00:46:57.140 that would

00:46:58.240 be a

00:46:58.540 trigger that

00:46:59.480 would make

00:46:59.900 it easy for

00:47:00.580 the other

00:47:01.240 Israel-hating

00:47:02.520 entities to

00:47:03.500 get involved.

00:47:04.160 It's like,

00:47:04.440 ah, you

00:47:04.820 went too

00:47:05.200 far.

00:47:06.060 Too far.

00:47:07.280 But if you

00:47:07.800 use the

00:47:08.260 technique that

00:47:09.260 I always tell

00:47:09.760 you my mother

00:47:10.300 taught me,

00:47:11.160 that you can

00:47:11.620 get used to

00:47:12.200 anything,

00:47:12.520 if you

00:47:14.160 simply keep

00:47:15.060 squeezing and

00:47:16.780 the news on

00:47:17.600 a Tuesday

00:47:18.120 sounds exactly

00:47:19.120 like the

00:47:19.600 news on

00:47:20.100 Monday,

00:47:21.220 it's hard

00:47:21.640 for anybody

00:47:22.800 to say,

00:47:23.340 ah, you

00:47:23.900 went too

00:47:24.260 far, because

00:47:26.020 today is just

00:47:26.820 like Monday.

00:47:28.480 You blew up a

00:47:29.420 few buildings,

00:47:30.320 you squeezed

00:47:31.040 it a little

00:47:31.740 bit more.

00:47:34.540 We don't

00:47:35.260 really have a

00:47:35.800 trigger to

00:47:36.260 go.

00:47:37.480 It's sort

00:47:37.880 of like it

00:47:38.780 turned into

00:47:39.280 just background

00:47:39.900 noise.

00:47:41.200 So if they

00:47:41.720 can do that

00:47:42.400 and they

00:47:42.600 can keep

00:47:42.940 other people

00:47:43.400 out of

00:47:43.660 the fight,

00:47:45.160 pretty good

00:47:45.820 strategy.

00:47:50.660 It's

00:47:51.100 aligned the

00:47:51.860 return of

00:47:52.340 the Israeli

00:47:53.100 hostages

00:47:53.700 with the

00:47:54.440 end of

00:47:54.760 Hamas's 0.99

00:47:55.220 power,

00:47:55.500 yeah.

00:47:56.000 And the

00:47:57.020 longer they

00:47:57.620 hold the

00:47:58.060 hostages

00:47:58.760 while the

00:47:59.860 siege is

00:48:00.340 going on,

00:48:01.900 the less

00:48:02.900 power they

00:48:03.340 have.

00:48:06.880 Compliance

00:48:07.360 with international

00:48:08.100 laws so that

00:48:08.960 they can make

00:48:09.400 sure that

00:48:09.720 Israel is

00:48:11.160 doing the

00:48:11.800 thing that

00:48:12.240 would look

00:48:12.720 the most

00:48:13.200 humane but

00:48:14.960 also might

00:48:15.600 be the

00:48:15.880 most effective.

00:48:17.600 So that's

00:48:18.080 sort of a

00:48:18.540 twofer.

00:48:19.620 You would

00:48:20.100 want to be

00:48:20.520 the most

00:48:20.900 effective but

00:48:21.620 usually that

00:48:22.160 means the

00:48:23.540 most casualties.

00:48:25.580 But this is

00:48:26.200 a strategy

00:48:26.720 that's the

00:48:27.220 most effective

00:48:27.940 and the

00:48:28.880 least

00:48:29.040 strategies,

00:48:30.040 at least

00:48:30.440 the least

00:48:31.080 casualties.

00:48:33.140 Now that

00:48:33.780 assumes that

00:48:35.780 there's some

00:48:36.300 point where

00:48:36.780 the civilians

00:48:37.380 can mostly

00:48:38.080 be somehow

00:48:39.460 released from

00:48:40.820 the battle

00:48:41.560 zone.

00:48:42.440 If they

00:48:43.000 can never

00:48:43.400 be released,

00:48:44.180 it ends

00:48:44.540 the same

00:48:44.940 everybody's

00:48:45.440 dead.

00:48:46.480 But much

00:48:47.460 better chance

00:48:48.180 under

00:48:48.580 international

00:48:49.200 law,

00:48:49.620 especially to

00:48:50.220 get them

00:48:50.480 out this

00:48:51.080 way.

00:48:52.140 So basically

00:48:52.780 they want to

00:48:53.380 strategically

00:48:53.840 weaken and

00:48:54.560 isolate Hamas, 0.68

00:48:56.260 keep them

00:48:56.780 alive as

00:48:57.620 their symbol

00:48:58.180 of hate.

00:48:59.100 I mean,

00:48:59.320 actually keeping

00:48:59.960 Hamas alive

00:49:00.740 for a little

00:49:01.200 bit, that

00:49:02.620 might not be

00:49:03.140 bad.

00:49:03.940 You know,

00:49:04.680 make sure that

00:49:05.320 we don't forget

00:49:05.940 them.

00:49:06.120 If Hamas 0.90

00:49:07.300 got beaten

00:49:08.040 in a week,

00:49:09.480 a month

00:49:10.460 later we

00:49:10.980 wouldn't

00:49:11.240 remember them.

00:49:12.660 But making

00:49:13.140 us think

00:49:13.620 about them

00:49:13.960 from three

00:49:14.500 years to

00:49:15.000 five years,

00:49:16.620 that's an

00:49:18.640 interesting

00:49:19.000 strategy.

00:49:21.540 So this

00:49:22.900 plan hits

00:49:23.460 the right

00:49:23.840 psychology,

00:49:25.360 international

00:49:25.900 law,

00:49:27.800 military

00:49:28.380 effectiveness,

00:49:30.220 gets some

00:49:31.180 of their

00:49:31.420 workers back

00:49:32.140 to the

00:49:32.660 regular day

00:49:33.280 jobs,

00:49:33.820 and would

00:49:36.120 be, I

00:49:36.760 think,

00:49:37.080 completely

00:49:37.480 effective.

00:49:40.300 So,

00:49:41.840 does that

00:49:42.920 plan sound

00:49:47.160 familiar?

00:49:49.540 Does that

00:49:50.180 sound like

00:49:50.660 any plan

00:49:51.240 that you'd

00:49:51.720 heard from

00:49:52.040 anybody

00:49:52.320 before?

00:49:54.420 Doing the

00:49:55.260 slow squeeze

00:49:56.300 siege?

00:50:01.300 Right,

00:50:02.060 Jim Davis,

00:50:02.660 he talks

00:50:03.000 about this

00:50:03.420 all the

00:50:03.720 time.

00:50:06.000 All right.

00:50:07.860 It's old

00:50:08.600 news.

00:50:09.360 It's old

00:50:10.100 news.

00:50:12.140 There's

00:50:12.660 nothing I've

00:50:13.180 ever talked

00:50:13.700 about in

00:50:14.020 my life

00:50:14.460 where somebody

00:50:15.040 didn't say

00:50:15.620 two things.

00:50:16.940 One,

00:50:18.020 it's impossible,

00:50:19.020 it's a bad

00:50:19.420 idea.

00:50:20.400 Two,

00:50:21.000 it's already

00:50:21.740 being done.

00:50:23.020 I always

00:50:23.780 hear both

00:50:24.280 of those

00:50:24.620 things.

00:50:26.040 Already

00:50:26.560 being done.

00:50:27.780 And it's

00:50:28.360 impossible.

00:50:28.720 golds at

00:50:35.360 $2,000.

00:50:35.900 $2,000.

00:50:42.660 All right.

00:50:43.340 I just

00:50:48.560 saw the

00:50:48.940 best military

00:50:49.880 idea I've

00:50:50.480 ever seen.

00:50:52.160 Require all

00:50:52.940 the people

00:50:53.440 in Gaza

00:50:53.820 to get

00:50:54.120 vaccinations.

00:50:56.820 All right.

00:50:57.420 Well,

00:50:57.600 that's just

00:50:58.260 messed up.

00:51:00.580 That's

00:51:00.880 messed up.

00:51:03.200 All right,

00:51:03.760 ladies and 0.98

00:51:04.200 gentlemen,

00:51:04.520 those are

00:51:08.700 my comments

00:51:09.260 for today.

00:51:09.880 Is there

00:51:10.060 anything I

00:51:10.440 missed?

00:51:12.380 Anybody else

00:51:13.080 want to ask

00:51:13.780 a question?

00:51:15.740 We talked

00:51:16.420 about Starlink

00:51:17.180 in Israel.

00:51:18.320 Yeah.

00:51:19.000 I mean,

00:51:20.980 I'm not

00:51:22.660 sure it

00:51:22.980 makes that

00:51:23.380 much difference

00:51:24.120 whether Starlink

00:51:25.800 is there.

00:51:27.720 You know,

00:51:28.040 if it's only

00:51:28.500 authorized for

00:51:29.420 the aid

00:51:30.240 people,

00:51:30.780 I don't know

00:51:31.120 how it could

00:51:31.460 be that bad,

00:51:32.200 but anyway.

00:51:34.900 Israel has 1.00

00:51:35.940 to be

00:51:36.360 sort of

00:51:36.920 absolutist

00:51:37.760 at the

00:51:38.440 moment.

00:51:40.260 I'll give

00:51:40.940 you a 0.57

00:51:41.360 Maui update.

00:51:43.480 Maui update.

00:51:45.020 Now,

00:51:45.180 the Maui

00:51:45.520 update,

00:51:45.960 unfortunately,

00:51:46.700 doesn't have

00:51:47.240 any of the

00:51:47.880 behind-the-scenes

00:51:50.040 stuff,

00:51:51.080 but the

00:51:51.600 locals,

00:51:52.780 let me say

00:51:53.540 this for Maui,

00:51:54.280 the locals

00:51:54.880 are begging

00:51:55.660 for people

00:51:56.260 to come

00:51:56.820 visit Hawaii

00:51:57.940 for the

00:51:58.460 places that

00:51:59.060 were unaffected.

00:52:01.380 Begging.

00:52:02.860 Now,

00:52:03.220 I don't know

00:52:03.700 how hard

00:52:04.280 it is to

00:52:04.760 get a

00:52:05.000 place,

00:52:05.900 but for

00:52:06.720 the parts

00:52:07.160 of the

00:52:07.400 island that

00:52:07.840 were not

00:52:08.200 affected by

00:52:08.760 the fire,

00:52:10.300 the restaurants

00:52:11.600 are open,

00:52:13.280 the hotels

00:52:14.240 are looking

00:52:14.640 for business,

00:52:15.620 I think,

00:52:18.380 but I'll

00:52:20.620 give you

00:52:20.960 one warning.

00:52:22.880 Some of

00:52:23.340 the,

00:52:24.500 there are a

00:52:25.180 lot of

00:52:25.420 locals who

00:52:26.100 are still

00:52:26.380 put up in

00:52:26.800 hotels,

00:52:27.700 so you

00:52:28.580 could end

00:52:29.060 up at a

00:52:29.500 facility that's

00:52:30.260 got a lot

00:52:30.640 of locals

00:52:31.100 in it,

00:52:31.580 as well

00:52:31.960 as gas,

00:52:33.360 if that

00:52:33.740 matters to

00:52:34.180 you.

00:52:35.320 Might be a

00:52:36.580 little different

00:52:37.120 vibe to

00:52:38.360 it.

00:52:39.520 But

00:52:39.760 Hawaii is

00:52:42.940 open.

00:52:45.220 Maui is

00:52:45.860 open for

00:52:46.260 business,

00:52:47.000 just not

00:52:47.660 the Lahaina

00:52:48.400 part.

00:52:49.440 So there's

00:52:50.320 tons of

00:52:50.780 parts that

00:52:51.320 were not

00:52:51.620 directly

00:52:52.040 affected.

00:52:53.580 And let

00:52:54.680 me put it

00:52:54.960 this way,

00:52:55.240 the locals

00:52:56.160 are mostly

00:52:56.720 back to

00:52:57.200 work,

00:52:58.180 the hotel

00:52:59.820 service people,

00:53:01.160 but they're

00:53:01.720 not getting

00:53:02.200 tips.

00:53:03.760 The reason

00:53:04.440 they're not

00:53:04.760 getting tips

00:53:05.380 is because

00:53:06.200 they're handling

00:53:07.320 a lot of

00:53:07.780 locals,

00:53:08.680 because the

00:53:09.060 locals are

00:53:09.540 there,

00:53:10.280 but also

00:53:11.180 there just

00:53:11.660 aren't enough

00:53:12.180 guests.

00:53:14.060 So the

00:53:14.620 employees in

00:53:17.560 the service

00:53:18.000 industry are

00:53:18.600 just getting

00:53:19.040 killed,

00:53:20.480 because they're

00:53:21.860 getting base

00:53:22.460 pay.

00:53:23.380 If you know

00:53:23.860 what base

00:53:24.320 pay for a

00:53:24.920 server or

00:53:25.540 bartender is,

00:53:26.380 you know how

00:53:26.920 dire that

00:53:27.440 is.

00:53:28.420 Yeah,

00:53:28.660 base pay.

00:53:29.680 It's like

00:53:30.040 below minimum.

00:53:31.480 It's way

00:53:31.920 below.

00:53:32.420 It's way

00:53:33.040 below minimum

00:53:33.660 because they

00:53:34.420 assume that

00:53:35.260 there are

00:53:35.740 tips.

00:53:38.180 So it's a

00:53:38.980 dire situation

00:53:39.780 employment-wise.

00:53:41.260 So if anybody

00:53:41.940 was thinking

00:53:42.740 of going,

00:53:44.040 if you had

00:53:44.560 any consideration

00:53:45.480 of going

00:53:46.080 there,

00:53:47.320 you'd be

00:53:47.740 doing a

00:53:48.420 solid service

00:53:49.200 to the

00:53:49.760 people in

00:53:51.840 Maui.

00:53:52.820 So I would

00:53:53.300 encourage you

00:53:53.940 to take a

00:53:54.420 look at it.

00:53:54.920 What is the

00:53:59.060 baldy take

00:53:59.700 on Dean

00:54:00.220 Phillips?

00:54:00.860 Well,

00:54:01.340 I appreciate

00:54:01.920 your description

00:54:04.820 of me as

00:54:05.540 the baldy

00:54:06.640 take,

00:54:07.540 but I do

00:54:08.040 accept that.

00:54:08.880 I do

00:54:09.120 accept that.

00:54:11.760 The whole

00:54:12.580 Phillips thing,

00:54:14.000 running for

00:54:14.820 president against

00:54:15.560 Joe Biden,

00:54:16.760 I don't know

00:54:18.820 what he expects

00:54:19.520 to accomplish.

00:54:20.300 I don't

00:54:22.980 see how he

00:54:23.940 could ever

00:54:24.260 win the

00:54:25.440 nomination.

00:54:28.320 But there

00:54:30.100 is definitely

00:54:32.340 need for a

00:54:33.700 backup.

00:54:35.400 The odds

00:54:36.080 of Biden

00:54:36.560 getting the

00:54:37.300 nomination and

00:54:38.380 then failing

00:54:39.680 physically before

00:54:40.660 the election

00:54:41.160 itself is

00:54:41.760 really high.

00:54:43.200 Really high.

00:54:44.060 So if the

00:54:45.360 Democrats don't

00:54:46.840 have at least

00:54:47.700 one normal

00:54:49.000 person just

00:54:50.820 sort of sitting

00:54:51.540 there hanging

00:54:52.000 out who's

00:54:52.520 not Kamala

00:54:53.120 Harris,

00:54:54.280 they're in a

00:54:54.760 lot of

00:54:55.020 trouble because

00:54:56.540 I think their

00:54:57.080 odds are not

00:54:58.560 looking good

00:54:59.100 right now.

00:54:59.940 So it makes

00:55:00.900 perfect sense

00:55:02.060 as a backup

00:55:03.620 plan.

00:55:04.720 He doesn't

00:55:05.040 have any chance

00:55:05.720 if Biden's

00:55:06.780 reasonably healthy.

00:55:07.520 What was the

00:55:10.680 other question

00:55:11.220 about, oh

00:55:12.400 Pence dropped

00:55:13.040 out.

00:55:13.920 Yeah, Mike

00:55:14.360 Pence.

00:55:15.980 Do you know

00:55:16.380 what I thought

00:55:17.360 about when I

00:55:18.640 heard that Mike

00:55:19.220 Pence dropped

00:55:19.800 out?

00:55:21.720 I was suddenly

00:55:22.780 reminded, oh

00:55:23.780 yeah, Mike

00:55:24.220 Pence is running

00:55:24.820 for president.

00:55:27.180 I don't know

00:55:28.000 who's going to

00:55:28.520 get his half

00:55:29.040 of 1% support.

00:55:31.140 Who knows?

00:55:32.560 Who knows?

00:55:34.000 But that was,

00:55:35.480 I think a few

00:55:36.460 more will drop

00:55:37.220 out.

00:55:37.520 Pretty soon.

00:55:38.580 The people

00:55:39.280 who are sub

00:55:39.780 2% probably

00:55:41.900 need to do

00:55:43.140 something else.

00:55:45.360 Am I related

00:55:45.920 to John Adams,

00:55:46.800 the president?

00:55:47.820 I'm not a

00:55:48.600 descendant of,

00:55:50.200 but we probably

00:55:51.240 meet in England

00:55:53.020 at some point,

00:55:54.920 I assume.

00:55:55.540 I assume all

00:55:56.080 the Adamses are

00:55:56.940 related in England

00:55:58.260 if you go back

00:55:59.500 far enough,

00:56:00.080 but I'm not

00:56:00.660 sure.

00:56:04.200 So let's

00:56:05.060 see, Mike

00:56:05.600 Pence is out.

00:56:06.480 who's your

00:56:10.980 least trusted

00:56:15.180 candidate now?

00:56:16.480 How do you feel

00:56:16.900 about Nikki Haley?

00:56:18.800 Does she feel

00:56:19.620 like a military

00:56:20.960 industrial complex

00:56:22.240 choice?

00:56:24.700 Or is she just

00:56:25.660 good at what she

00:56:26.240 does?

00:56:26.540 I'm not going to

00:56:31.980 repeat that word

00:56:32.740 you just used.

00:56:34.820 All right,

00:56:35.160 rhinos.

00:56:37.460 Yeah,

00:56:38.020 she,

00:56:38.380 I think Nikki

00:56:38.980 Haley creates a

00:56:40.960 lot of,

00:56:41.800 she has a Trump-like

00:56:43.240 approach in the

00:56:45.200 sense that people,

00:56:46.960 when people are

00:56:47.660 angry,

00:56:48.140 they're really

00:56:48.580 angry at her.

00:56:49.660 Have you noticed

00:56:50.200 that?

00:56:50.480 When I look at

00:56:52.440 Mike Pence,

00:56:53.400 I say,

00:56:54.000 well,

00:56:55.100 wouldn't be my

00:56:55.760 choice for

00:56:56.220 president,

00:56:57.120 but I don't

00:56:57.520 hate him.

00:56:59.240 You know,

00:56:59.540 I don't hate

00:57:00.000 him,

00:57:00.500 but I think

00:57:01.120 people have

00:57:01.560 these really

00:57:02.180 vicious feelings

00:57:03.200 about Nikki

00:57:03.860 Haley for a 0.69

00:57:05.520 variety of

00:57:06.040 reasons,

00:57:06.380 I guess.

00:57:08.500 Don't know

00:57:09.140 what that's

00:57:09.520 all about.

00:57:09.920 what about

00:57:14.020 Romaswamy?

00:57:15.180 Oh,

00:57:15.520 and then there

00:57:15.940 was a weird

00:57:16.820 video of Ron

00:57:19.340 DeSantis in some

00:57:20.680 campaign event.

00:57:21.540 He was walking

00:57:21.960 across the stage

00:57:22.880 and apparently

00:57:24.120 his boots were

00:57:26.180 so large that

00:57:27.760 like half of the

00:57:28.860 boot was bending

00:57:29.560 as he walked.

00:57:31.240 So people were

00:57:32.200 laughing that his

00:57:33.280 boots were twice

00:57:34.540 the size they

00:57:35.160 needed to be.

00:57:36.300 I don't know if

00:57:37.000 that was just

00:57:38.160 fun.

00:57:39.920 Crispy

00:57:43.280 Cream

00:57:43.840 Christie.

00:57:50.000 All right.

00:57:56.220 Did Dave

00:57:58.080 get fired?

00:57:58.720 No,

00:57:58.920 Dave is still

00:57:59.820 there.

00:58:04.280 Ramakami.

00:58:04.840 I like that

00:58:10.180 most of the

00:58:11.000 Vivek attacks

00:58:12.000 are fake

00:58:12.720 news.

00:58:15.280 That should

00:58:16.080 tell you

00:58:16.520 something about

00:58:17.200 something.

00:58:18.780 Like,

00:58:19.120 almost all of

00:58:19.920 the Vivek ones

00:58:21.000 are just fake

00:58:21.520 news.

00:58:22.420 I don't think

00:58:22.960 any of it's

00:58:23.380 real,

00:58:23.720 actually.

00:58:24.140 I think

00:58:24.380 actually 100%

00:58:25.220 of it is fake

00:58:25.800 news.

00:58:26.940 But people

00:58:27.860 like to fake

00:58:28.320 news.

00:58:28.640 Yeah,

00:58:29.860 when I see

00:58:30.680 DeSantis,

00:58:31.800 my first

00:58:32.360 thought was

00:58:33.060 the same

00:58:33.420 as Pence.

00:58:34.580 I just

00:58:35.060 forgot he

00:58:35.500 was running.

00:58:37.200 When was

00:58:37.600 the last

00:58:37.860 time you

00:58:38.160 saw a

00:58:39.080 DeSantis

00:58:40.600 campaign

00:58:41.600 news event?

00:58:44.060 Like,

00:58:44.540 why is he

00:58:45.000 still running?

00:58:46.380 Is he just

00:58:48.040 there in

00:58:48.680 case Trump

00:58:50.000 goes to jail

00:58:50.800 or something

00:58:51.260 happens?

00:58:52.040 Is he the

00:58:52.440 backup plan?

00:58:53.060 Yeah.

00:58:53.120 Vivek is

00:59:00.600 big pharma.

00:59:02.980 Why would

00:59:03.980 you say

00:59:04.300 Vivek is

00:59:04.960 big pharma?

00:59:06.860 Because he

00:59:07.560 had a pharma

00:59:08.100 company that

00:59:08.700 he doesn't

00:59:09.020 have anymore?

00:59:12.080 Do you

00:59:13.080 think he's

00:59:13.500 going to

00:59:13.720 go be a 0.95

00:59:14.260 CEO of

00:59:14.980 big pharma?

00:59:18.680 He's not

00:59:19.320 going to

00:59:19.500 take a

00:59:19.820 job.

00:59:23.120 How is

00:59:24.640 he connected

00:59:25.260 to big

00:59:25.640 pharma?

00:59:28.660 You might

00:59:29.420 want to

00:59:29.680 look into

00:59:30.060 that a

00:59:30.380 little bit.

00:59:40.260 What's

00:59:40.780 that?

00:59:42.440 Oh,

00:59:43.040 people on

00:59:43.460 Twitter are

00:59:43.980 claiming

00:59:44.260 Netanyahu

00:59:44.840 controls

00:59:45.540 Hamas. 0.73

00:59:47.500 Well,

00:59:47.860 that's just

00:59:48.400 dumb.

00:59:49.800 I saw

00:59:50.320 Ian

00:59:50.620 Bremer,

00:59:51.000 who's

00:59:53.160 well-connected

00:59:54.220 in the

00:59:54.960 sense that

00:59:55.360 he understands

00:59:56.040 the entire

00:59:56.600 field.

00:59:57.920 And he

00:59:59.520 had a

00:59:59.820 quote that

01:00:01.840 I'm going

01:00:02.200 to paraphrase

01:00:02.860 it, but it

01:00:03.280 sounded like

01:00:03.780 Netanyahu

01:00:04.400 had said

01:00:04.880 in 2019

01:00:05.700 that the

01:00:09.140 best way

01:00:09.940 to thwart

01:00:11.800 the Palestinians

01:00:12.600 was to

01:00:13.440 support

01:00:14.380 Hamas. 0.73

01:00:15.740 Something like

01:00:16.340 that.

01:00:17.000 It was like

01:00:17.700 a cynical

01:00:18.960 plan to

01:00:19.720 support Hamas 0.64

01:00:20.800 because it

01:00:22.500 was really

01:00:23.140 a plan to

01:00:23.740 make the

01:00:24.180 Palestinians

01:00:24.680 look bad.

01:00:26.360 What's the

01:00:26.960 problem with

01:00:27.320 that?

01:00:30.600 Who has

01:00:31.280 a problem

01:00:31.580 with that?

01:00:33.640 And what

01:00:34.180 would it

01:00:34.420 be?

01:00:36.200 Isn't that

01:00:36.840 just like the

01:00:37.500 most obvious

01:00:38.060 statement in

01:00:38.700 the world?

01:00:40.200 So there

01:00:40.880 was this

01:00:41.200 one time

01:00:41.680 that Netanyahu

01:00:42.420 said something

01:00:43.220 that was

01:00:44.040 100%

01:00:44.760 obvious,

01:00:45.960 and everybody

01:00:47.200 thought the

01:00:47.720 same thing.

01:00:48.180 and so

01:00:49.740 he's a

01:00:50.100 bad guy

01:00:50.520 because he

01:00:51.040 thought exactly

01:00:51.680 what you

01:00:52.020 think.

01:00:53.740 What's the

01:00:54.440 argument

01:00:54.740 exactly?

01:00:56.020 Is it

01:00:56.720 not completely

01:00:57.580 obviously

01:00:58.140 true that

01:01:00.040 supporting Hamas 0.83

01:01:01.080 for the last

01:01:01.880 several years

01:01:02.600 was guaranteed,

01:01:04.580 guaranteed,

01:01:05.180 to make

01:01:07.280 Gaza, you 0.96

01:01:08.540 know, poor

01:01:09.160 and terrible

01:01:09.700 and not

01:01:10.760 really a

01:01:11.520 threat, at

01:01:12.200 least in a

01:01:12.800 big military

01:01:13.340 sense, but

01:01:13.900 a terrorist

01:01:14.380 threat, yes.

01:01:14.960 Now, I'm

01:01:17.180 not even

01:01:17.540 sure it

01:01:17.840 was the

01:01:18.080 wrong play.

01:01:19.500 Now, obviously,

01:01:21.420 you could argue,

01:01:22.500 well, supporting

01:01:23.480 them created

01:01:24.800 this October

01:01:26.360 7th thing, but

01:01:27.700 I feel like it

01:01:28.260 would have

01:01:28.460 happened anyway.

01:01:30.440 Was there

01:01:30.940 something that

01:01:31.600 Israel could 0.95

01:01:32.640 have done

01:01:32.940 differently that

01:01:34.400 would have

01:01:34.680 made October

01:01:35.380 7th not

01:01:36.080 happen?

01:01:36.480 I don't

01:01:36.720 think so.

01:01:38.080 So if

01:01:38.760 Netanyahu

01:01:39.320 was sort

01:01:39.860 of cleverly

01:01:41.480 in a

01:01:42.080 three-dimensional

01:01:42.840 chess kind

01:01:43.540 of way saying,

01:01:44.260 the worst

01:01:45.440 thing for

01:01:45.840 the Palestinians

01:01:46.540 in terms of

01:01:48.440 their, you

01:01:48.940 know, aggression

01:01:49.460 against Israel 0.70

01:01:50.220 is to support

01:01:51.540 the worst

01:01:52.320 leaders, because

01:01:53.540 that would

01:01:53.800 make them

01:01:54.200 ineffective.

01:01:56.080 You know

01:01:56.560 what would

01:01:56.760 be the

01:01:57.200 worst thing

01:01:57.920 that could 0.68

01:01:58.220 happen to

01:01:58.620 Israel, in 0.59

01:02:00.000 my opinion?

01:02:02.720 Gaza being 0.77

01:02:03.580 super

01:02:04.160 prosperous.

01:02:06.980 The worst

01:02:07.840 thing that

01:02:08.200 could happen

01:02:08.700 was Gaza

01:02:09.880 being prosperous,

01:02:10.860 or the

01:02:11.120 Palestinians in

01:02:11.920 general being

01:02:12.400 prosperous, because

01:02:13.620 the more

01:02:13.980 money their

01:02:14.560 enemies have,

01:02:15.540 the more

01:02:15.920 of it is

01:02:16.420 going to

01:02:16.620 get funneled

01:02:17.280 to the

01:02:18.480 percentage of

01:02:19.180 them that

01:02:19.580 would want

01:02:19.960 to be

01:02:20.160 violent.

01:02:21.560 So,

01:02:22.260 unfortunately,

01:02:24.340 keeping the

01:02:25.220 Palestinians in

01:02:26.240 a relatively

01:02:26.920 low economic

01:02:28.580 situation is

01:02:30.300 probably the

01:02:31.160 only way that

01:02:31.620 Israel can

01:02:32.100 survive.

01:02:34.140 I'm not

01:02:34.780 saying it's

01:02:35.260 moral or

01:02:36.340 good or

01:02:36.740 bad, it

01:02:37.280 might be

01:02:37.560 just the

01:02:37.920 only thing.

01:02:39.040 And if

01:02:39.320 there's only

01:02:39.660 one way to

01:02:40.260 survive, it's

01:02:41.160 hard to

01:02:41.540 criticize it.

01:02:49.060 The Gaza 0.93

01:02:49.900 experiment is

01:02:50.840 over.

01:02:51.440 Well, Gaza 0.99

01:02:51.940 will never be

01:02:52.740 an independent

01:02:53.540 state again.

01:02:55.920 I feel like

01:02:56.380 Gaza will 0.94

01:02:57.960 just be some

01:03:00.320 kind of

01:03:00.680 special zone

01:03:01.600 of some

01:03:02.040 sort.

01:03:03.420 In the

01:03:03.900 short run,

01:03:04.600 it won't be

01:03:04.980 part of

01:03:05.280 Israel, but 0.90

01:03:06.420 it will never

01:03:06.840 be some

01:03:07.780 self-governed

01:03:09.340 Palestinian state.

01:03:10.300 I would

01:03:11.660 say that

01:03:11.980 the two-state

01:03:12.600 solution is

01:03:13.440 absurd at

01:03:15.460 this point.

01:03:16.500 Would you

01:03:16.860 agree?

01:03:17.800 Does anybody

01:03:18.160 think a

01:03:18.660 two-state

01:03:19.160 solution could

01:03:19.800 ever work?

01:03:24.540 How would

01:03:25.220 it?

01:03:26.480 See, here's

01:03:27.280 everything you

01:03:27.780 need to know

01:03:28.240 about a

01:03:28.620 two-state

01:03:29.120 solution.

01:03:30.160 You ready?

01:03:31.280 There's one

01:03:31.940 variable you

01:03:32.700 need to know

01:03:33.300 about a

01:03:34.520 two-state

01:03:34.960 solution.

01:03:35.500 There are

01:03:35.660 lots of

01:03:36.000 variables

01:03:36.420 involved.

01:03:37.580 There's

01:03:37.820 only one

01:03:38.180 that matters.

01:03:40.300 The

01:03:40.500 Palestinians

01:03:41.020 weaponized

01:03:42.120 their own

01:03:42.720 children.

01:03:44.860 There's

01:03:45.380 nothing else

01:03:45.840 to say.

01:03:47.440 Once they've

01:03:48.020 weaponized their

01:03:48.700 children, you

01:03:50.060 can't help

01:03:50.600 them, and

01:03:51.680 you can't

01:03:52.120 let them 0.55

01:03:52.460 prosper, because

01:03:54.700 they're

01:03:55.240 weapons.

01:03:56.520 They're

01:03:57.040 literally

01:03:57.380 weapons.

01:03:58.220 So they

01:03:58.600 might be

01:03:58.920 children.

01:04:00.080 They're

01:04:00.320 definitely

01:04:00.560 children, but

01:04:02.000 they're also

01:04:02.480 weapons.

01:04:03.920 And if you

01:04:04.700 treat them

01:04:05.080 like children,

01:04:05.760 you die. 0.98

01:04:06.980 If you

01:04:07.440 treat them

01:04:07.840 like weapons,

01:04:08.600 that's not

01:04:09.900 good for

01:04:10.260 them, but

01:04:10.860 it is what

01:04:12.140 it is.

01:04:14.120 So, yeah,

01:04:17.020 the last

01:04:17.960 thing you'd

01:04:18.320 want is a

01:04:18.820 big old

01:04:19.260 rich country

01:04:21.440 next to you

01:04:22.060 that also

01:04:22.580 wants to

01:04:23.080 destroy you

01:04:23.720 more than

01:04:24.080 they want

01:04:24.380 anything in

01:04:25.620 life.

01:04:26.600 That would

01:04:26.860 be your

01:04:27.360 worst

01:04:27.680 situation.

01:04:30.300 I'm

01:04:30.800 actually

01:04:31.060 wondering if

01:04:31.900 Gaza will 0.94

01:04:33.640 ever be

01:04:34.140 repopulated.

01:04:34.900 because here's

01:04:37.420 what it

01:04:37.640 looks like.

01:04:39.220 It looks

01:04:39.920 like the

01:04:40.500 idea is to

01:04:41.600 get rid of

01:04:42.780 every building,

01:04:44.100 at least in

01:04:45.020 the bad parts

01:04:46.100 of Gaza.

01:04:47.280 Once there

01:04:47.900 are no

01:04:48.160 buildings there,

01:04:49.660 what's anybody

01:04:50.580 going to go

01:04:51.080 home to?

01:04:52.600 Then you

01:04:53.060 say, we're

01:04:53.700 going to

01:04:53.880 announce this

01:04:54.380 big rebuilding

01:04:55.100 program, but

01:04:56.680 Israel will 1.00

01:04:57.320 not fund it

01:04:58.080 because we're

01:05:00.040 not happy with

01:05:00.700 you.

01:05:01.040 But the rest

01:05:01.580 of the world

01:05:01.900 can.

01:05:03.020 The rest of

01:05:03.460 the world can

01:05:03.800 fund it, and

01:05:04.600 then Gaza

01:05:05.400 will be

01:05:05.780 rebuilt.

01:05:06.800 But since

01:05:08.080 Israel controls 0.80

01:05:09.040 the security,

01:05:10.780 and I think

01:05:11.340 always will,

01:05:12.760 Israel can

01:05:13.380 say, you

01:05:13.860 absolutely can

01:05:14.960 fund and

01:05:15.600 rebuild Gaza.

01:05:17.440 Here are all

01:05:18.260 the obstacles

01:05:19.060 which you

01:05:19.640 must pass.

01:05:21.800 Number one,

01:05:23.080 the ownership

01:05:23.720 of the building

01:05:24.480 has to be

01:05:25.480 approved by

01:05:26.080 us, so we

01:05:27.420 make sure it's

01:05:27.940 not a Hamas 0.96

01:05:28.580 supporter.

01:05:30.180 And then they

01:05:30.940 can't find

01:05:31.320 anybody.

01:05:32.620 They go,

01:05:33.120 okay, we're

01:05:33.480 still looking

01:05:33.880 for somebody

01:05:34.380 who Israel

01:05:35.300 will say

01:05:36.040 is not a

01:05:37.220 Hamas 0.96

01:05:37.620 supporter.

01:05:39.020 And then

01:05:39.360 they can own

01:05:39.880 this building

01:05:40.440 and they can

01:05:40.920 build back,

01:05:41.760 but they

01:05:42.620 can't find

01:05:43.000 anybody.

01:05:44.580 So I

01:05:45.160 think that

01:05:45.720 Israel will 1.00

01:05:46.800 use a

01:05:47.400 Dilbert

01:05:47.880 approach to

01:05:49.020 keep Gaza 1.00

01:05:49.860 undeveloped.

01:05:52.200 There will be

01:05:52.740 a plan to

01:05:53.320 develop them,

01:05:53.940 there will be

01:05:54.220 money to

01:05:54.700 develop them,

01:05:55.400 but nobody

01:05:55.980 will get

01:05:56.440 building approval

01:05:57.580 because they

01:05:58.620 can't pass the

01:05:59.320 test of not

01:05:59.920 being terrorists.

01:06:00.580 And why

01:06:02.460 would Israel 0.93

01:06:03.420 allow even

01:06:04.340 one building

01:06:05.180 to be

01:06:06.140 rebuilt in

01:06:06.720 Gaza if

01:06:08.200 somebody that

01:06:09.280 was their

01:06:09.660 enemy was

01:06:10.260 going to be

01:06:10.640 the rebuilder

01:06:11.340 or the

01:06:11.640 owner or

01:06:12.200 even the

01:06:12.580 tenant?

01:06:15.040 So I

01:06:17.000 think what

01:06:17.420 they'll do

01:06:17.880 is keep

01:06:18.460 them in

01:06:19.000 permanent

01:06:19.820 camps, and

01:06:22.360 I think that

01:06:22.820 they'll make

01:06:23.180 the expense of

01:06:24.040 those camps

01:06:24.580 somebody else's

01:06:25.440 problem, as

01:06:26.740 in if the

01:06:27.300 international

01:06:27.760 community doesn't

01:06:28.620 want to feed

01:06:29.040 them, too

01:06:29.560 bad.

01:06:30.960 Why is that

01:06:31.660 our problem?

01:06:33.120 So I think

01:06:33.580 Israel wants 1.00

01:06:35.160 to have a

01:06:36.820 permanent

01:06:37.220 situation that

01:06:39.200 says, that's

01:06:40.360 what Hamas

01:06:40.920 bought you.

01:06:42.360 See these

01:06:43.100 camps where

01:06:43.680 you're living

01:06:44.120 in misery?

01:06:45.760 That was

01:06:46.400 Hamas. 0.73

01:06:47.460 Now, of

01:06:47.760 course, half

01:06:49.140 of the world

01:06:49.580 is going to

01:06:49.940 say, no,

01:06:50.560 that was

01:06:50.900 Israel.

01:06:52.040 But Israel's 0.93

01:06:52.960 got a strong

01:06:53.480 argument there

01:06:54.140 that there

01:06:54.680 would be no

01:06:55.200 camps if

01:06:56.000 there were

01:06:56.700 no Hamas.

01:06:59.560 All right.

01:07:06.780 Anything

01:07:07.340 else?

01:07:09.920 Israel's 0.75

01:07:10.480 withdrawal in

01:07:11.400 2005 was an

01:07:12.600 obvious mistake.

01:07:13.540 Why?

01:07:15.080 Why was

01:07:15.860 Israel's 0.75

01:07:16.420 withdrawal from

01:07:17.280 Gaza mistake? 0.61

01:07:19.140 You think

01:07:19.740 this was not

01:07:21.900 going to

01:07:22.160 happen?

01:07:22.420 I mean, they

01:07:24.300 lost, what,

01:07:25.320 15, what's

01:07:26.840 the death

01:07:27.220 count?

01:07:27.500 1,500?

01:07:29.720 How many

01:07:30.480 would they

01:07:30.840 have lost?

01:07:32.500 I don't know.

01:07:33.480 They might

01:07:33.780 have lost

01:07:34.120 people a

01:07:34.540 different way.

01:07:36.460 I do think

01:07:37.540 that sometimes

01:07:38.220 you have to

01:07:38.680 make things

01:07:39.140 worse before

01:07:39.860 you can make

01:07:40.440 them better.

01:07:41.540 If what

01:07:42.340 Netanyahu

01:07:42.900 was doing

01:07:43.580 was allowing

01:07:45.520 Hamas to

01:07:46.600 show the

01:07:47.100 rest of the

01:07:47.700 world what

01:07:49.440 Netanyahu

01:07:50.080 and the

01:07:50.780 leaders already

01:07:51.360 knew, that

01:07:52.560 it's not just

01:07:53.140 a difference

01:07:53.800 of opinion,

01:07:55.220 that one

01:07:55.660 group is just

01:07:56.300 murderers.

01:07:56.800 They want

01:07:57.740 to kill

01:07:58.020 you all.

01:07:58.920 The only

01:07:59.540 way that

01:07:59.940 the world

01:08:00.300 could understand

01:08:01.220 what Hamas

01:08:01.900 was, really

01:08:03.340 understand, is

01:08:04.920 to let it

01:08:05.360 happen.

01:08:07.100 Now, you

01:08:07.780 could say,

01:08:08.360 therefore, you're

01:08:09.020 a terrible

01:08:09.380 leader if

01:08:10.460 you created a

01:08:11.100 situation where

01:08:11.820 you knew this

01:08:12.420 would happen,

01:08:13.600 to which I

01:08:14.160 say, compared

01:08:15.380 to what?

01:08:17.100 Compared

01:08:17.540 to what?

01:08:19.220 Should they

01:08:19.720 let Hamas 0.98

01:08:22.660 keep building

01:08:23.320 and getting

01:08:23.720 stronger until

01:08:24.740 their attack

01:08:25.240 would be

01:08:25.560 successful?

01:08:26.800 I hate

01:08:27.760 to say

01:08:28.160 it, but

01:08:29.060 what happened

01:08:29.720 was the

01:08:30.060 best-case

01:08:30.460 scenario.

01:08:33.480 Hold that

01:08:34.120 in your

01:08:34.320 head.

01:08:35.260 Try to

01:08:35.820 digest that

01:08:36.500 thought, that

01:08:38.020 the Hamas

01:08:38.660 attack on

01:08:39.260 Israel, as

01:08:40.880 horrible as

01:08:41.480 it was, one

01:08:43.700 of the most

01:08:44.100 shockingly

01:08:45.060 horrible things

01:08:45.900 in your

01:08:46.940 entire lifetime,

01:08:48.340 was the

01:08:49.780 best-case

01:08:50.220 scenario.

01:08:51.300 Because it

01:08:51.860 was the only

01:08:52.260 thing that

01:08:52.640 authorized them

01:08:53.300 to take care

01:08:53.860 of a problem

01:08:54.420 that had to

01:08:54.860 be taken

01:08:55.220 care of.

01:08:56.340 There was

01:08:56.560 no long

01:08:58.140 term, there

01:08:59.580 was no way

01:09:00.080 that Gaza 0.84

01:09:00.760 could just

01:09:01.220 build up

01:09:01.780 unfriendly

01:09:03.140 powers and

01:09:04.900 just keep

01:09:05.320 getting stronger.

01:09:06.400 That wasn't

01:09:07.080 going to

01:09:07.280 happen.

01:09:08.340 So when

01:09:08.860 you look

01:09:09.160 at, I

01:09:10.460 think the

01:09:10.760 problem that

01:09:11.120 we all

01:09:11.460 have, looking

01:09:12.040 at the

01:09:12.300 Middle 0.95

01:09:12.460 East, is

01:09:13.900 that we

01:09:14.540 fantasize

01:09:16.340 that there

01:09:17.740 is a

01:09:18.400 non-violent

01:09:19.820 solution.

01:09:20.380 solution, that's

01:09:22.160 pure fantasy.

01:09:23.700 There are no

01:09:24.220 non-violent

01:09:24.760 solutions.

01:09:25.700 You're choosing

01:09:26.340 among horrible

01:09:27.380 alternatives.

01:09:29.140 Horrible

01:09:29.660 alternatives.

01:09:31.180 And if you

01:09:32.120 would argue

01:09:32.480 to me that

01:09:33.120 even as bad

01:09:34.060 as the attack

01:09:34.720 was, it

01:09:36.060 puts Israel 1.00

01:09:36.760 in a much

01:09:37.220 stronger position

01:09:38.200 because now

01:09:39.220 they can

01:09:39.520 finally do

01:09:40.140 what they

01:09:40.440 needed to

01:09:41.740 do all

01:09:42.100 along, but

01:09:42.640 they didn't

01:09:42.900 have the

01:09:43.180 trigger for

01:09:43.800 it.

01:09:44.000 So if

01:09:45.840 you tell

01:09:46.200 me that,

01:09:47.300 oh, that

01:09:48.600 Netanyahu, he

01:09:50.080 created a

01:09:50.720 situation where

01:09:51.580 it would get

01:09:52.040 worse, maybe

01:09:54.340 he fucking

01:09:54.980 did.

01:09:56.580 And maybe

01:09:57.300 he's the best

01:09:57.900 leader that

01:09:58.400 they've ever

01:09:58.840 had.

01:10:00.320 Can't rule

01:10:00.960 that out.

01:10:02.000 Now, by the

01:10:02.360 way, I don't

01:10:03.120 know if it was

01:10:03.560 a good idea or

01:10:04.280 a bad idea.

01:10:05.140 I'm just putting

01:10:05.820 out the general

01:10:07.380 idea that you

01:10:08.860 don't know

01:10:09.320 either.

01:10:10.760 You don't

01:10:11.280 know.

01:10:11.940 You don't

01:10:12.660 know that

01:10:13.660 making it

01:10:14.120 worse wasn't

01:10:14.820 the best

01:10:15.200 thing they

01:10:15.560 could do

01:10:16.000 because their

01:10:16.800 other

01:10:17.080 alternatives was

01:10:17.960 maybe half

01:10:18.820 the country

01:10:19.240 disappearing or

01:10:20.000 something.

01:10:21.300 The depth

01:10:23.420 of how bad

01:10:24.140 it could have

01:10:24.820 been is

01:10:25.980 unfathomable.

01:10:27.680 I mean, it's

01:10:28.040 full-on

01:10:28.720 Holocaust. 0.77

01:10:30.220 What they

01:10:30.640 had was an

01:10:31.780 absurdly

01:10:32.620 horrendous

01:10:34.040 terrorist attack

01:10:35.100 that affected

01:10:36.020 the entire

01:10:36.620 nation with

01:10:37.220 PTSD and

01:10:39.040 might have

01:10:39.440 been better

01:10:41.500 than the next

01:10:42.080 best scenario.

01:10:43.660 Unless you're

01:10:44.460 fantasizing that

01:10:45.380 everybody just

01:10:45.980 decided to be

01:10:46.660 nice all of a

01:10:47.300 sudden, the

01:10:48.740 alternative is

01:10:49.820 Hamas would 0.99

01:10:51.080 have gotten

01:10:51.360 stronger before

01:10:52.140 they eventually

01:10:53.020 attacked again.

01:10:54.260 Might have had

01:10:54.800 missiles, might have

01:10:55.620 had better drones,

01:10:56.840 might have had

01:10:57.280 God knows what.

01:10:59.400 So this premise

01:11:03.440 agrees with some

01:11:04.360 intelligence analysts

01:11:05.360 that I listen to.

01:11:06.040 Oh, well that's

01:11:07.060 good.

01:11:08.380 Have you noticed

01:11:09.200 the ability to

01:11:10.040 simply beat the

01:11:11.980 experts just

01:11:12.760 because you

01:11:13.180 watch the

01:11:13.560 news a little

01:11:14.000 bit?

01:11:15.580 Have you seen

01:11:16.200 how many times

01:11:16.860 that can be

01:11:17.360 done?

01:11:18.140 How many times

01:11:18.760 can the

01:11:19.120 experts be

01:11:19.820 beaten just

01:11:20.960 by somebody

01:11:21.560 who is paying

01:11:21.980 attention to

01:11:22.540 the news?

01:11:24.100 No expertise.

01:11:25.780 Yeah.

01:11:26.940 But there are

01:11:28.160 some general

01:11:28.720 principles that

01:11:29.500 just apply to

01:11:30.180 every situation.

01:11:31.660 So if you're

01:11:32.120 aware of general

01:11:33.280 principles about

01:11:34.240 how human

01:11:35.480 beings typically

01:11:36.440 work, you can

01:11:38.580 bring that to

01:11:39.140 almost any

01:11:39.620 situation.

01:11:40.920 And the one

01:11:42.760 that I always

01:11:43.420 bring is you

01:11:44.660 forgot to look

01:11:45.380 at the

01:11:45.620 alternative.

01:11:47.120 How many

01:11:47.480 times do I

01:11:47.980 say that?

01:11:49.240 I say it over

01:11:50.140 and over and

01:11:50.620 over on all

01:11:51.240 situations, and

01:11:52.140 this is another

01:11:52.700 one.

01:11:53.460 So if your

01:11:54.000 analysis of

01:11:54.820 Netanyahu was

01:11:56.240 he did a thing

01:11:57.080 that intentionally

01:11:57.980 created the

01:11:59.860 situation where

01:12:00.720 Hamas would do 1.00

01:12:01.440 this horrible

01:12:01.920 attack, you

01:12:02.860 might be right.

01:12:04.620 You might be

01:12:05.420 right.

01:12:06.660 Now argue that

01:12:07.760 that wasn't the

01:12:08.380 best case.

01:12:09.920 You can't.

01:12:11.560 No way to

01:12:12.260 know.

01:12:13.600 But I'll tell

01:12:14.460 you one thing.

01:12:15.160 If I'm in a

01:12:16.060 situation where I

01:12:17.020 have an unsolvable

01:12:17.960 problem, what's

01:12:18.940 the first thing

01:12:19.460 I do?

01:12:20.740 If I have an

01:12:21.560 unsolvable

01:12:22.300 problem, what

01:12:23.920 do I do?

01:12:26.040 Shake the

01:12:26.660 box.

01:12:28.320 Shake the

01:12:28.920 box as hard as

01:12:29.560 you can.

01:12:30.360 You have to

01:12:31.100 create a

01:12:31.600 different situation.

01:12:33.700 And the

01:12:34.260 different situation

01:12:35.080 might be

01:12:35.640 chaos.

01:12:36.480 you might

01:12:38.240 need chaos

01:12:39.080 to get to

01:12:40.880 the better

01:12:41.200 situation.

01:12:42.920 So we

01:12:43.700 don't know

01:12:44.080 what would

01:12:44.640 have happened

01:12:45.160 if Netanyahu

01:12:46.420 had had a

01:12:47.000 different strategy.

01:12:48.100 But I'll tell

01:12:48.760 you it

01:12:49.360 wouldn't have

01:12:49.900 been crazy

01:12:50.820 if his

01:12:51.600 strategy, and

01:12:52.360 I don't know

01:12:52.700 if it was

01:12:53.160 really, it

01:12:54.000 wouldn't have

01:12:54.420 been crazy

01:12:55.200 to invite

01:12:57.160 some amount

01:12:59.520 of danger to

01:13:00.460 avoid some

01:13:01.900 far, far

01:13:02.620 bigger amount

01:13:03.380 of danger.

01:13:03.800 That's all.

01:13:05.740 All right, so

01:13:06.360 that's all I'm

01:13:06.720 going to give

01:13:07.020 you for

01:13:07.280 today.

01:13:08.300 YouTube, thanks

01:13:09.020 for joining.

01:13:10.360 You were very

01:13:11.060 awesome today, by

01:13:11.900 the way.

01:13:12.640 I do appreciate

01:13:13.500 the super

01:13:17.020 chat questions,

01:13:18.820 and they were

01:13:19.580 reasonable

01:13:19.900 questions.

01:13:22.120 Normally, the

01:13:22.920 super chat

01:13:23.480 questions are

01:13:24.220 maybe a little

01:13:25.500 off-topic and

01:13:26.240 stuff, but those

01:13:26.900 were perfect.

01:13:27.960 Those were good

01:13:28.400 questions.

01:13:28.840 I appreciate them.

01:13:29.880 Thank you,

01:13:30.400 guys, and

01:13:30.840 ladies, and 1.00

01:13:32.360 binaries,

01:13:32.880 non-binaries

01:13:33.640 too.

01:13:34.440 Bye for

01:13:34.840 now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - October 29, 2023

Episode 2276 Scott Adams： CWSA 10⧸29⧸23

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