Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2279 Scott Adams： CWSA 11⧸01⧸23, Solving US Debt Problem And More

00:00:00.000 Bom-bom-bom-bom, ra-ba-bop-bom, la-da-da-da-da-da-da, ra-ba-bo. 0.95

00:00:10.700 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization, be that as it may.

00:00:17.780 If you'd like your experience today to go up to levels which nobody could even imagine with the best imaginations in the world,

00:00:25.480 well, then all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or stein, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind,

00:00:32.780 fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee, and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure,

00:00:38.540 the dopamine at the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:42.880 It's called the simultaneous sip and a half a snack, go.

00:00:48.980 Oh, my God.

00:00:50.700 I don't know if any of you have ever tried this.

00:00:52.860 It's something, I don't know when it was the last time I ever tried it, but I tried it yesterday, and it's amazing.

00:01:04.060 I got almost enough sleep.

00:01:07.340 Has anybody ever done that?

00:01:09.540 I mean, it wasn't like a ton, probably six hours, but six hours is like, you know, that's like nine to me.

00:01:16.600 So I'm like raring to go, let me at it.

00:01:20.940 My God, you should try sleeping.

00:01:22.860 I really recommend it.

00:01:25.240 I'll tell you my two biggest sleeping tricks.

00:01:28.640 Number one, if I exercise that day, perfect correlation.

00:01:34.840 One to one.

00:01:36.200 Exercise, good sleep.

00:01:38.380 Period.

00:01:39.780 No exceptions.

00:01:41.300 Never once, not once in my life, has that not worked.

00:01:44.640 Exercise equals good sleep.

00:01:46.320 So you just got to get to sleep on time.

00:01:49.240 That basically, if you've exercised that day, there's nothing except getting to bed on time.

00:01:54.520 That's it.

00:01:55.280 And then you've solved the biggest problem in your life.

00:01:57.780 Right there.

00:01:59.180 Yeah, you can take your melatonin.

00:02:00.820 You can do all those things.

00:02:02.180 But I guarantee you, if you exercise that day, you're going to fall asleep.

00:02:06.780 You don't need any of that stuff.

00:02:09.020 All right.

00:02:10.000 Here's some, would you like some optimistic news?

00:02:13.440 Because it looks like the world's falling apart.

00:02:15.060 Today, I'm going to give you the optimistic news.

00:02:19.640 A whole bunch of it.

00:02:20.800 Just a whole bunch of optimistic news.

00:02:23.740 And of course, a number of stories about where I'm right about everything.

00:02:27.000 You know, the usual.

00:02:29.280 Well, MIT has come up with a discovery that they can make water evaporate far more efficiently

00:02:37.440 with light than heat.

00:02:43.020 Does that sound like a big deal?

00:02:45.060 It doesn't, really.

00:02:47.040 It's not a big deal.

00:02:48.740 But you know that apparently the light without any heat, under only the ideal conditions,

00:02:54.880 has to be some kind of edge condition that they can create, the light without heat will

00:03:01.340 evaporate water far more efficiently, like way more efficiently, than heat.

00:03:08.100 Do you know what that means?

00:03:09.780 It could mean that desalinization just became cheap.

00:03:16.660 It could go down by a factor of hundreds of percents.

00:03:21.300 And that changes a lot.

00:03:25.340 Because imagine if you could have water anywhere.

00:03:30.920 What's the biggest limiter to where people can live and how they can grow food?

00:03:38.080 Probably water as much as anything, right?

00:03:40.140 Climate, of course, number one.

00:03:41.980 But water is going to be the big one.

00:03:43.400 So imagine if there's a technology in five years where pretty much anybody can live off grid

00:03:51.160 and just have a little device and it makes all the water what they want.

00:03:56.760 Now, there have been a whole bunch of breakthroughs in producing water out of the atmosphere.

00:04:00.700 So between the atmosphere that they can now suck the water out of, that already exists,

00:04:07.120 and then this thing, which might be able to desalinate as scale,

00:04:11.740 it could be that our real estate options just increase by 100, right?

00:04:16.620 There's just more places you could live without having a city bring a pipe to you.

00:04:22.620 So that's one thing.

00:04:24.480 Here's another one that is just, this is just so perfect.

00:04:30.700 You know, this is one of those things that makes you think the simulation is real

00:04:34.440 and that the life we're living is at least partly scripted like a sitcom.

00:04:40.220 You know, there'll be little things that happen that you say,

00:04:41.980 how did that happen by coincidence?

00:04:44.340 That had to be in a script somewhere.

00:04:46.120 There's no way this happens by chance.

00:04:48.420 All right, here's another one.

00:04:51.040 Big improvement in steam engines.

00:04:55.360 You say to yourself, Scott, why do we need improvement in steam engines?

00:05:00.180 Are you going to be running your car on a steam engine, Scott?

00:05:02.960 No, no, no, no.

00:05:04.800 Turns out the steam engines have been used for, I don't know, how many decades to produce electricity.

00:05:12.000 So if you've got some big source of energy, like a falling waterfall,

00:05:17.680 it could drive a generator which could drive steam engines.

00:05:22.060 I don't know.

00:05:23.220 Now that's the wrong example.

00:05:24.560 I think it's nuclear, right?

00:05:25.480 Is it nuclear that drives the steam engines?

00:05:29.100 Yeah, nuclear power steam.

00:05:30.800 Anyway, so if you want to make a lot of steam to make energy from nuclear power,

00:05:36.740 the way we've done it traditionally is with some kind of steam engines

00:05:41.720 using power plants worldwide.

00:05:46.660 But it turns out that technology is from the 19th century.

00:05:49.600 We're using steam turbines from the 19th century.

00:05:55.400 So they found a way to run the steam turbines without water.

00:06:01.140 What would you guess is the replacement for the water that gives it a huge increase in energy production?

00:06:10.160 CO2.

00:06:12.400 Liquefied CO2.

00:06:13.700 I guess you could put CO2 under pressure and liquefy it.

00:06:18.200 And it makes your steam engine, or some modified steam engine, way, way more efficient.

00:06:24.180 It looks like it's all doable.

00:06:25.840 Like there's nothing that would stop them from doing it.

00:06:28.680 So here's something that could have a huge impact someday on our energy costs.

00:06:35.120 At the same time, desalinization could have a huge impact.

00:06:38.880 Now, if you've got cheap water, or at least ubiquitous, and you've got way cheaper energy,

00:06:46.860 that's a good world, isn't it?

00:06:50.460 Because then all you need is robots and AI, and those are both coming.

00:06:56.120 More on that later.

00:06:58.360 All right.

00:06:59.280 You probably saw that Joe Rogan talked to Elon Musk and made about 10 pieces of news.

00:07:04.100 You know, one of them is that Joe Rogan shot his bow and arrow at the side of a Cybertruck,

00:07:10.220 and it did not penetrate it.

00:07:12.380 But I'm told, if it had been a normal car, that that bow, from the distance, it was pretty close,

00:07:20.620 would have gone right through a door of a normal car, which is kind of impressive.

00:07:25.880 I had no idea that an arrow could be that powerful,

00:07:28.300 but apparently it's as powerful as a gun at a short distance.

00:07:32.020 Now, the interesting thing is that the glass windows are not bulletproof.

00:07:40.260 So, as Elon says, you're going to have to duck.

00:07:44.740 If somebody starts shooting at your car, you're still going to have to duck,

00:07:48.500 because it will break the window.

00:07:50.420 Now, they could have bulletproof glass,

00:07:53.760 but it would be so thick that Elon says it's too hard to make it go up and down.

00:07:58.960 So that's not an option, really.

00:08:00.560 I mean, it is an option if you don't want to ever put your windows down.

00:08:04.920 But the most interesting thing, in my opinion, that Musk said was about George Soros.

00:08:11.660 And he speculated that George Soros had a troubling childhood,

00:08:16.180 and that might contribute to the fact that, at least by his actions, says Musk,

00:08:22.800 it would appear that he hates humanity because his actions are so anti-human

00:08:29.580 that maybe it has something to do with his upbringing.

00:08:34.460 And to which I say, I like the line of thinking,

00:08:41.160 but there's a problem with it, which may be a solvable problem.

00:08:45.700 But why is his son exactly on the same page?

00:08:49.720 Because his son would have been raised in a privileged upbringing.

00:08:53.500 So if somebody's bad childhood is what makes them hate humanity,

00:08:58.340 wouldn't, is it Alex Soros, the guy who's in charge at the moment,

00:09:02.620 the son of George Soros,

00:09:04.640 wouldn't the son have had more like an ideal upbringing

00:09:08.160 and have no interest in destroying humanity?

00:09:11.440 He looks like he's having a good time.

00:09:13.060 So whatever the truth is here, and this might be right.

00:09:20.060 I mean, Musk might be exactly right.

00:09:21.780 He just, he's a broken man with a hatred of humanity.

00:09:26.240 But I usually think that's not the case.

00:09:31.860 My best, I've told, and by the way,

00:09:35.080 Musk also says he thinks Soros is senile.

00:09:38.200 So I think that's the better explanation.

00:09:43.060 I see one of, I see a couple of different possible explanations

00:09:46.780 for what appears to be anti-humanity actions.

00:09:52.080 The example would be funding prosecutors

00:09:54.560 who don't want to prosecute crime.

00:09:57.000 And my first, my first, this would be just a speculation.

00:10:03.480 Or it would be a theory, I guess.

00:10:07.380 So it's not based on any facts.

00:10:09.520 There could be some intelligence,

00:10:12.120 some country that has an intelligence group

00:10:15.100 that controls Soros.

00:10:17.620 So maybe he's just controlled by some foreign entity

00:10:20.580 that wants the United States to be destroyed,

00:10:23.740 in which case he's just doing what he has to do

00:10:26.320 for whatever reason,

00:10:27.480 to stay alive or to stay rich.

00:10:29.980 Maybe they have some blackmail on him.

00:10:33.260 I don't know.

00:10:33.900 But he acts like somebody who's controlled by an enemy

00:10:36.960 because what he does is so dangerous to America.

00:10:41.080 That's one possibility.

00:10:42.760 The other possibility is that

00:10:44.540 he doesn't exactly know what he's doing

00:10:48.120 and that he has a sprawling empire

00:10:50.860 and he hasn't been paying attention.

00:10:52.160 And when people talk to him,

00:10:55.400 when people talk to him,

00:10:57.080 they say some version of,

00:10:58.840 everything's great,

00:11:00.120 your money is going to these great causes,

00:11:01.960 you're saving the world.

00:11:03.680 And then he doesn't read maybe newspapers

00:11:05.920 that have bad articles about him.

00:11:08.280 So maybe he just never sees the other argument

00:11:10.280 and he's told by his people

00:11:12.160 who are receiving his money

00:11:13.520 and want to receive more of it,

00:11:16.160 hey, you're doing great.

00:11:17.600 Do some more of this.

00:11:18.820 And then he gets lots of pats on the back

00:11:21.460 and he feels like he's really helping the world.

00:11:24.380 But maybe he lives such a small world at the moment

00:11:28.400 because he's a certain age

00:11:29.520 that he just kind of doesn't know what's going on.

00:11:32.920 It seems like it.

00:11:34.220 It seems to me like he's not aware of it.

00:11:37.240 Now, that would also explain

00:11:38.460 why his son would not be able to change the boat

00:11:41.940 because the dad presumably still has his full authority

00:11:46.120 to fire his son.

00:11:48.820 It could be that the son's just waiting for the dad to die

00:11:52.900 and then he's going to reverse

00:11:55.300 some of the worst parts of the father's philosophy.

00:11:59.540 But Alex might know.

00:12:01.440 Again, this is just speculation.

00:12:02.920 I have no idea of knowing who's thinking what.

00:12:06.740 But there's either something about blackmail,

00:12:10.300 something about senility,

00:12:12.420 something about what information he receives

00:12:14.600 versus what you receive,

00:12:16.940 something like that.

00:12:18.820 But I don't quite buy the bad childhood explanation

00:12:22.280 because it would seem just as likely

00:12:26.580 that the bad childhood would want him to be a celebrity

00:12:30.680 and do the right things.

00:12:33.460 Unless he thinks he is,

00:12:35.300 which would be the information problem.

00:12:38.300 So we don't know.

00:12:39.260 But it was an interesting speculation

00:12:40.720 and I would love to see somebody set his son down

00:12:44.640 and ask the following questions.

00:12:47.940 What's going on?

00:12:48.880 It looks like your father is trying to destroy civilization.

00:12:52.860 How can you explain it?

00:12:55.140 I'd love to see that interview.

00:12:56.600 That's never going to happen.

00:12:57.440 All right.

00:13:00.000 As Musk pointed out,

00:13:01.800 the two biggest donors to Democrats were

00:13:04.360 George Soros,

00:13:06.620 who arguably looks like he's trying to destroy civilization.

00:13:12.080 No joke.

00:13:13.640 That's like a serious conversation by serious people

00:13:17.460 that he may want to destroy civilization.

00:13:20.240 That's their biggest donor.

00:13:23.180 Now, I don't know that he wants to destroy civilization,

00:13:25.940 but it's a serious question.

00:13:28.580 That's pretty scary.

00:13:31.620 Second biggest donor was Sam Bankman-Fried,

00:13:35.840 a con man, basically.

00:13:38.540 So those are their two biggest donors.

00:13:43.180 So if you're wondering,

00:13:44.640 hey, why is everything fucked up? 0.95

00:13:48.100 Well, maybe it's because the two biggest donors are,

00:13:52.640 one seems to be an evil genius crook

00:13:55.180 and the other one seems to be

00:13:57.200 a demented evil genius billionaire.

00:14:02.220 Maybe if you follow the money,

00:14:04.080 it gets you to exactly where we are,

00:14:05.980 which is a completely corrupted government

00:14:08.520 that's of no use to the people.

00:14:12.520 All right.

00:14:13.060 Some new science in the category of,

00:14:16.560 hey, you should have just asked Scott.

00:14:17.960 You ought to save some time.

00:14:20.780 Turns out, two separate studies,

00:14:22.520 one on gratitude and one on empathy.

00:14:25.360 So I guess empathy could reduce depression.

00:14:28.260 That's what one study says.

00:14:30.280 So thinking about other people

00:14:31.980 and caring about them

00:14:34.080 could make you less depressed.

00:14:37.220 Do you know who else knew that?

00:14:40.400 I did.

00:14:42.540 Didn't you all know that?

00:14:44.660 I thought it was sort of obvious.

00:14:48.120 I've always, in fact,

00:14:49.820 I may have told you this in the past,

00:14:52.400 but for,

00:14:54.300 I guess, all of my Dilbert-y career,

00:14:57.140 when I was getting more

00:14:59.580 than I needed for myself,

00:15:01.420 whenever I had a bad day,

00:15:03.340 I would just randomly do something

00:15:05.540 awesomely good for somebody else.

00:15:08.540 And I always cheered up.

00:15:11.120 A hundred percent of the time it worked.

00:15:13.300 I just picked somebody and say,

00:15:14.720 you know what?

00:15:15.500 Today's your lucky day.

00:15:16.920 And just made somebody happy.

00:15:18.840 Like in some substantial way.

00:15:21.140 And, oh my God, it feels good.

00:15:23.420 Yeah.

00:15:23.540 So, they could have saved a lot of money

00:15:25.740 in this study.

00:15:26.500 Just ask me.

00:15:28.200 I've been doing it for years.

00:15:29.540 It works every time.

00:15:30.600 And I've recommended it to people.

00:15:32.420 And when they try it,

00:15:33.400 it works every time.

00:15:35.260 Right?

00:15:35.540 You really didn't need to study that.

00:15:37.300 Here's another one.

00:15:39.160 Gratitude can make you healthier.

00:15:41.940 Again,

00:15:43.480 ask me.

00:15:44.720 I could have told you that.

00:15:46.620 In fact,

00:15:47.220 most self-help gurus

00:15:49.160 could have told you that.

00:15:50.720 That gratitude is a very healthy,

00:15:52.720 mindset.

00:15:54.520 It's going to make everything work better.

00:15:56.760 And it does.

00:15:58.500 So,

00:15:59.000 what do gratitude and empathy

00:16:01.640 have in common?

00:16:05.100 Gratitude and empathy.

00:16:06.940 It's about getting you out of your own head

00:16:09.440 and making you think about

00:16:11.200 the well-being of other people

00:16:12.580 and the value they have in your life.

00:16:15.040 The gratitude part.

00:16:16.300 So, getting out of your own head

00:16:18.060 is the trick for not being depressed.

00:16:21.480 Now,

00:16:22.340 why is there a gigantic

00:16:23.420 mental health problem

00:16:24.680 in the United States

00:16:25.400 at the moment?

00:16:26.800 Well,

00:16:27.140 I would say,

00:16:27.840 again,

00:16:28.280 you don't need to do

00:16:29.380 a big expensive study.

00:16:31.220 Let me explain it to you.

00:16:33.760 It's your screens.

00:16:36.280 When I was a child,

00:16:38.280 human beings were human beings.

00:16:40.800 And if I watched television,

00:16:42.960 you know,

00:16:43.240 that was just television.

00:16:44.540 That wasn't really my life.

00:16:46.040 It was just a thing.

00:16:46.840 I did something.

00:16:47.320 But if your life

00:16:48.760 is mostly online,

00:16:50.320 your friends are online,

00:16:52.240 everybody's online,

00:16:53.360 are those people real?

00:16:55.800 Kind of.

00:16:57.360 I mean,

00:16:57.940 you know that they're real people.

00:17:00.120 But do they have

00:17:00.780 the same effect on you

00:17:01.980 in terms of,

00:17:03.240 let's say,

00:17:03.720 gratitude and empathy

00:17:04.840 as somebody in the real world?

00:17:08.020 My guess is no.

00:17:09.920 My guess is that

00:17:10.820 our social life

00:17:11.740 has turned into

00:17:12.940 a social life

00:17:13.800 in which gratitude

00:17:14.780 and empathy

00:17:15.460 are hard to express

00:17:17.120 because you're just

00:17:18.660 people on screens.

00:17:20.100 The people who are

00:17:21.000 in the room with you,

00:17:22.460 you can have gratitude

00:17:23.420 and empathy

00:17:23.960 just naturally and easily.

00:17:25.860 So it could be

00:17:26.600 something about

00:17:27.340 how much we see

00:17:28.080 people in person.

00:17:29.900 That makes sense.

00:17:31.140 And we know that

00:17:31.980 loneliness, of course,

00:17:33.400 works against

00:17:34.220 your happiness.

00:17:35.580 So a lot of it

00:17:36.480 is just very obviously

00:17:38.200 screens.

00:17:39.060 You can see that

00:17:39.680 the graph of mental illness

00:17:41.220 spikes exactly 0.78

00:17:42.960 when smartphones

00:17:43.660 came into the market.

00:17:45.420 It's pretty obvious

00:17:46.300 at this point.

00:17:47.360 That's what it is.

00:17:48.800 But more generally,

00:17:50.060 having a good attitude

00:17:51.060 about life

00:17:51.820 is good for your health

00:17:53.100 and your mental well-being.

00:17:55.780 So no surprises there.

00:17:58.540 Well, it's almost

00:18:00.000 one year ago.

00:18:01.400 God, it seems longer

00:18:02.500 since Elon Musk

00:18:05.060 bought the Twitter platform

00:18:06.640 and now turned it into X.

00:18:09.600 Think about what people

00:18:11.100 said when he bought it.

00:18:13.820 It's the last day

00:18:14.980 of Twitter.

00:18:15.660 Twitter's going to fail.

00:18:17.140 He's destroyed

00:18:17.900 this valuable asset.

00:18:20.160 What's the latest update?

00:18:22.260 The latest update

00:18:23.420 is it might be

00:18:24.500 cash positive

00:18:25.340 in 2024.

00:18:28.460 And the engagement

00:18:29.680 is higher than ever.

00:18:30.860 and he's driven out

00:18:34.020 the government

00:18:35.240 oversight

00:18:36.400 on the platform

00:18:37.920 which was essentially,

00:18:39.260 not essentially,

00:18:40.180 it was directly

00:18:40.880 government

00:18:42.120 blocking your free speech.

00:18:45.280 And when Musk

00:18:46.500 talks casually

00:18:47.620 about how bad

00:18:49.140 Twitter was

00:18:49.740 when he bought it

00:18:50.580 and that basically

00:18:52.480 it was a government organ

00:18:53.620 and he says

00:18:55.120 that the other

00:18:55.780 entities,

00:18:56.900 at least the social media,

00:18:58.500 he says

00:18:58.840 are just government organs.

00:19:00.860 They can only do

00:19:01.820 what the government

00:19:02.420 tells them they can do.

00:19:03.920 There's no free speech there.

00:19:05.800 So he claims,

00:19:07.340 and I think this is true,

00:19:09.060 that the only place

00:19:10.180 free speech exists

00:19:11.300 is on X.

00:19:13.720 I think that's

00:19:14.760 exactly true.

00:19:16.400 There's the only place

00:19:17.600 free speech exists

00:19:18.580 is on X.

00:19:20.520 And, you know,

00:19:20.940 and that's limited by

00:19:21.940 you can't go too far,

00:19:23.360 but I don't think

00:19:24.380 that's hurting us.

00:19:26.460 All right.

00:19:26.840 So that's kind of amazing

00:19:30.120 and I like to

00:19:31.440 take a little bit

00:19:32.460 of every day

00:19:33.080 to just thank

00:19:33.880 Elon Musk

00:19:34.560 for what I believe

00:19:36.320 was primarily

00:19:37.380 an unselfish act.

00:19:40.940 You know,

00:19:41.460 you can always

00:19:42.000 make some argument,

00:19:42.840 well, you know,

00:19:43.600 you can always say

00:19:44.280 with rich people,

00:19:45.760 well,

00:19:46.060 lose for their ego

00:19:46.880 or whatever.

00:19:48.600 I don't know.

00:19:49.160 He's a different

00:19:49.620 kind of cat.

00:19:50.920 It does look like

00:19:51.900 he did this for the world

00:19:53.020 and it worked.

00:19:55.420 And I do believe

00:19:57.240 that, well,

00:19:58.500 you know,

00:19:58.660 history is strange

00:19:59.580 because the winners

00:20:00.380 write it and all that.

00:20:02.420 But I think

00:20:03.700 this is one of the

00:20:05.860 biggest events

00:20:06.560 in American history.

00:20:09.260 Musk 0.77

00:20:09.780 getting the government

00:20:11.340 out of X.

00:20:13.140 To me,

00:20:13.740 this is on a level

00:20:15.520 with the Boston Tea Party.

00:20:16.840 You know,

00:20:18.520 it's right up there

00:20:19.460 with the

00:20:20.100 most important things

00:20:22.020 that have ever happened

00:20:22.800 in the Republic.

00:20:24.960 So,

00:20:25.900 thank you.

00:20:27.100 Thank you,

00:20:27.600 Elon Musk.

00:20:28.800 He had an interesting

00:20:29.840 explanation of why

00:20:31.520 Twitter became

00:20:32.640 a toilet.

00:20:35.000 And he says

00:20:36.000 it's geographical.

00:20:38.460 That San Francisco

00:20:39.880 has always been

00:20:40.860 sort of an oddball

00:20:42.100 culture.

00:20:45.040 But usually

00:20:45.840 it was geographically

00:20:47.100 constrained.

00:20:48.420 You could go

00:20:48.960 to San Francisco

00:20:49.700 and there would be

00:20:50.960 some weird people there.

00:20:52.020 and then you would

00:20:53.040 go home.

00:20:54.560 And it didn't bother

00:20:55.680 anybody.

00:20:56.700 They could be weird

00:20:57.640 in San Francisco

00:20:58.440 and you could go

00:20:59.360 to your house

00:20:59.840 and not have any of it.

00:21:02.680 But once

00:21:03.440 Twitter

00:21:04.320 started hiring

00:21:06.200 locally,

00:21:06.900 which

00:21:07.140 everybody does,

00:21:09.200 they turned

00:21:10.640 this niche

00:21:11.380 or niche

00:21:12.160 philosophy

00:21:13.460 into a worldwide

00:21:14.920 phenomenon

00:21:15.600 through their control

00:21:16.820 of the algorithm.

00:21:19.260 And that's where

00:21:20.200 it all went to hell. 0.89

00:21:21.620 So in the old days

00:21:22.460 they would have

00:21:23.920 just stayed localized

00:21:24.780 and nobody

00:21:25.680 would have known

00:21:26.080 the difference.

00:21:26.960 It's a fascinating

00:21:27.900 way to explain it.

00:21:30.980 All these things

00:21:31.780 could have ten

00:21:32.320 different explanations

00:21:33.200 depending on

00:21:34.060 what frame

00:21:35.420 you decide to look at.

00:21:36.880 But that's a really

00:21:37.540 interesting frame

00:21:38.340 that technology

00:21:40.580 allowed pockets

00:21:42.480 of craziness

00:21:43.420 in this weird way

00:21:44.980 just because

00:21:45.560 the company

00:21:46.040 was centered there

00:21:46.780 to become worldwide.

00:21:49.320 It's a good explanation.

00:21:55.080 Let's see.

00:21:57.380 Here's news

00:21:58.120 about TikTok.

00:21:59.680 Apparently

00:22:00.120 Republicans

00:22:00.780 are renewing

00:22:01.640 calls for a TikTok

00:22:02.680 ban

00:22:03.240 because it turns out

00:22:04.620 that, oh,

00:22:05.740 didn't see this coming.

00:22:07.740 Oh, total surprise.

00:22:09.340 Who could have

00:22:10.080 ever seen this coming?

00:22:11.140 That as soon

00:22:12.400 as something

00:22:12.840 is really important

00:22:13.780 let's say

00:22:15.020 the Gaza situation

00:22:16.300 that TikTok

00:22:17.840 was

00:22:19.020 I guess

00:22:20.700 this study

00:22:21.140 showed

00:22:21.500 that the

00:22:22.440 pro-Israel

00:22:23.640 messages

00:22:24.480 were about

00:22:25.760 one-tenth

00:22:26.740 of the scale

00:22:28.220 of the pro

00:22:29.000 or the anti-Israel

00:22:31.000 messages.

00:22:32.240 It was

00:22:32.860 enormously

00:22:33.620 balanced

00:22:34.540 against Israel 0.70

00:22:35.460 which is

00:22:36.160 against the

00:22:36.680 United States

00:22:37.340 in this

00:22:38.300 particular case.

00:22:39.160 enormously

00:22:40.780 enormously.

00:22:42.080 Now, let me ask you.

00:22:43.240 Do you think

00:22:43.600 that happened

00:22:44.020 on its own?

00:22:46.520 Do you think

00:22:47.120 the TikTok

00:22:47.780 owning

00:22:48.360 Chinese people

00:22:49.780 said,

00:22:50.680 you know,

00:22:50.980 let's just let

00:22:51.520 this one play out?

00:22:53.140 Oh, wow.

00:22:53.860 Surprise.

00:22:54.740 Lots of different

00:22:55.940 people like

00:22:56.580 the Palestinian side.

00:23:00.220 No.

00:23:01.020 Ladies and gentlemen,

00:23:02.080 it's exactly

00:23:02.720 what I've been

00:23:03.340 warning Congress

00:23:04.540 about for five years.

00:23:06.820 For five years

00:23:07.720 I've been saying,

00:23:08.880 stop talking

00:23:09.620 about the

00:23:10.060 data security

00:23:10.840 problem.

00:23:11.860 That is a

00:23:12.440 diversion.

00:23:13.160 It might also

00:23:13.680 be a problem,

00:23:14.800 but it's a

00:23:15.280 diversion.

00:23:16.440 The real problem

00:23:17.180 is the heat

00:23:17.780 button that

00:23:19.140 China,

00:23:19.980 or TikTok,

00:23:21.100 owned by China,

00:23:22.260 can push one

00:23:23.240 button that is

00:23:24.060 literally labeled

00:23:25.400 heat,

00:23:26.800 which they admit

00:23:27.600 they have,

00:23:28.860 that can boost

00:23:29.640 any message.

00:23:31.200 You don't think

00:23:31.840 they pushed

00:23:32.240 that button?

00:23:34.800 Do you think

00:23:35.560 that China sat

00:23:36.220 there and thought

00:23:36.760 to themselves,

00:23:37.100 you know,

00:23:38.520 if we did

00:23:39.060 push this

00:23:39.560 button,

00:23:40.540 it would be

00:23:41.080 really,

00:23:41.580 really bad

00:23:42.180 for America?

00:23:44.200 And they

00:23:44.800 probably wouldn't

00:23:45.480 do anything

00:23:45.880 about it,

00:23:47.460 and it would

00:23:48.300 be perfect

00:23:49.080 crime because

00:23:50.200 nobody knows

00:23:51.260 you pushed

00:23:51.660 the button.

00:23:53.300 And then you

00:23:54.020 think that they

00:23:54.520 had that

00:23:54.900 conversation with

00:23:55.660 themselves and

00:23:56.760 decided to not

00:23:57.740 push the button.

00:23:59.680 Is that what

00:24:00.100 you think?

00:24:00.760 Do you think

00:24:01.200 they didn't

00:24:01.620 push the button

00:24:02.280 because, oh,

00:24:02.940 that would be

00:24:03.360 biasing things?

00:24:04.700 No.

00:24:05.880 No.

00:24:06.540 It's exactly

00:24:07.460 what I told

00:24:08.200 you would

00:24:08.520 happen.

00:24:09.180 If you

00:24:09.720 allow TikTok,

00:24:11.420 it is the

00:24:12.100 user interface

00:24:13.100 to young minds

00:24:15.300 in America

00:24:15.860 and other

00:24:16.440 places.

00:24:17.520 But the

00:24:17.900 American minds,

00:24:18.880 the young

00:24:19.200 ones under,

00:24:19.980 you know,

00:24:20.440 some age,

00:24:21.400 are completely

00:24:22.380 controlled by

00:24:23.080 TikTok.

00:24:24.580 And so

00:24:25.040 China built 0.96

00:24:26.300 a user interface

00:24:27.400 for our young

00:24:28.540 people's brains,

00:24:29.580 you know,

00:24:29.900 the future of

00:24:30.600 the world,

00:24:31.300 future of our

00:24:31.900 country anyway.

00:24:32.440 and then

00:24:33.460 they put a

00:24:34.840 button on

00:24:35.240 there and

00:24:36.100 they even

00:24:36.500 told us,

00:24:37.640 we have a

00:24:38.100 button that's

00:24:38.920 the user interface

00:24:39.780 to all the

00:24:40.360 young people's

00:24:40.960 brains in

00:24:41.480 America.

00:24:42.300 But, you

00:24:42.840 know,

00:24:42.940 we don't like

00:24:43.380 to push it

00:24:43.940 for any bad

00:24:44.480 reasons.

00:24:45.280 Oh, oh,

00:24:46.220 fine.

00:24:47.400 Thank goodness

00:24:48.140 you have that

00:24:49.340 button that you

00:24:49.860 could simply

00:24:50.360 push and it

00:24:51.500 would change

00:24:52.180 the world

00:24:53.360 in a way

00:24:54.940 that's good

00:24:55.340 for you and

00:24:55.820 bad for your

00:24:56.320 enemies.

00:24:57.260 But you're not

00:24:58.020 going to push

00:24:58.420 it, right?

00:25:00.100 Do you promise?

00:25:01.740 Picky swear.

00:25:03.020 Don't push

00:25:03.540 it.

00:25:05.340 That's,

00:25:05.740 amazingly,

00:25:07.040 that's the

00:25:07.380 situation we're

00:25:08.100 in.

00:25:08.840 And now

00:25:09.220 there's some

00:25:09.660 Republicans

00:25:10.100 saying,

00:25:11.020 hey,

00:25:11.960 hey,

00:25:12.800 I wonder,

00:25:14.000 I wonder if

00:25:14.840 this is a

00:25:15.320 problem.

00:25:16.420 Oh,

00:25:16.720 I wonder.

00:25:19.640 Again,

00:25:20.520 may I say,

00:25:22.840 they should

00:25:23.580 have asked

00:25:23.960 Scott for

00:25:25.960 pretty much

00:25:26.600 all of the

00:25:27.140 science and

00:25:28.620 politics.

00:25:29.700 You should

00:25:30.020 have just

00:25:30.280 asked me.

00:25:30.740 I could

00:25:31.760 have told

00:25:32.060 you this

00:25:32.360 was coming.

00:25:33.980 And it's

00:25:34.260 not,

00:25:34.900 and I also

00:25:35.580 make a further

00:25:36.180 prediction that

00:25:37.820 TikTok has

00:25:38.660 sufficient control

00:25:39.840 of our

00:25:40.200 Congress and

00:25:41.520 sufficient control

00:25:42.660 of the

00:25:42.980 Democrats and

00:25:44.180 sufficient control

00:25:45.120 of our news

00:25:45.840 sources that

00:25:47.240 this won't

00:25:47.780 change.

00:25:49.040 My prediction

00:25:49.940 is Congress

00:25:51.320 will not ban 0.63

00:25:52.960 TikTok because

00:25:54.260 TikTok already

00:25:55.020 owns Congress.

00:25:55.760 they lost.

00:25:57.780 That's what it

00:25:58.340 looks like to

00:25:58.800 me.

00:25:59.560 To me,

00:25:59.860 it looks like

00:26:00.300 it was a

00:26:01.160 battle and

00:26:01.820 Congress lost.

00:26:03.580 And there's

00:26:03.960 no way they

00:26:04.360 can reverse

00:26:04.840 it because

00:26:05.980 the tentacles

00:26:08.680 are already

00:26:09.280 around them.

00:26:12.440 All right.

00:26:15.620 I controlled

00:26:16.800 myself,

00:26:17.540 and I can't

00:26:18.020 believe I did

00:26:18.600 it.

00:26:18.780 But when

00:26:19.280 Matthew Perry

00:26:20.180 tragically died

00:26:21.740 in his hot

00:26:22.340 tub, it 0.98

00:26:24.460 took every

00:26:25.400 bit of my

00:26:25.980 self-control

00:26:26.840 not to

00:26:28.480 tweet the

00:26:29.140 word fentanyl.

00:26:31.400 I mean,

00:26:32.200 I had to

00:26:32.860 just pry my

00:26:33.940 phone out of

00:26:34.480 my own

00:26:34.760 hand because

00:26:36.320 it's the

00:26:38.020 obvious,

00:26:38.820 the obvious

00:26:39.820 thing that

00:26:40.200 makes you die

00:26:40.740 suddenly if

00:26:42.040 you're an

00:26:42.380 addict is

00:26:43.820 you got some

00:26:44.380 fentanyl that

00:26:45.080 you didn't

00:26:45.380 know you

00:26:45.660 were getting.

00:26:46.440 But it

00:26:46.780 turns out he

00:26:47.260 had none

00:26:47.620 in his

00:26:47.920 system.

00:26:48.880 There was

00:26:49.420 no fentanyl

00:26:50.100 in his

00:26:50.420 system.

00:26:50.680 So I'm

00:26:51.860 chastising

00:26:52.580 my imaginary

00:26:53.880 self that

00:26:54.780 couldn't

00:26:55.140 control myself

00:26:56.000 and I

00:26:57.060 said that

00:26:57.820 when it

00:26:58.140 would have

00:26:58.340 been really

00:27:00.240 inappropriate

00:27:00.760 and tacky

00:27:01.420 to say it.

00:27:02.480 But God,

00:27:03.100 I wanted

00:27:03.400 to.

00:27:04.480 So that's

00:27:05.460 bad on me.

00:27:07.100 But so

00:27:08.120 we don't

00:27:08.380 know.

00:27:09.120 If I had

00:27:09.660 to guess,

00:27:11.580 well, I

00:27:13.000 won't guess.

00:27:13.880 I guess I'll

00:27:14.480 let the process

00:27:15.160 play out.

00:27:16.100 So I guess

00:27:16.500 there's a

00:27:16.760 little bit

00:27:17.000 of still some

00:27:17.600 mystery of

00:27:18.080 what it

00:27:19.100 might have

00:27:19.320 been.

00:27:19.480 Over in

00:27:22.700 Switzerland,

00:27:23.860 they've built

00:27:25.320 what they

00:27:25.660 call suicide

00:27:26.380 pods.

00:27:27.640 It's like a

00:27:28.640 coffin-sized

00:27:29.580 pod with a

00:27:30.840 glass top.

00:27:32.420 And you

00:27:32.760 can get in

00:27:33.260 this if you're

00:27:33.880 ready for

00:27:34.340 assisted suicide.

00:27:36.380 And they'll

00:27:36.840 just turn up

00:27:37.500 the, they

00:27:40.020 fill it with

00:27:40.440 nitrogen gas,

00:27:41.480 which rapidly

00:27:42.100 lowers oxygen

00:27:42.940 levels, causing

00:27:43.780 its user to

00:27:44.420 die.

00:27:44.620 I assume

00:27:46.860 this is

00:27:47.360 painless.

00:27:48.640 Otherwise, it

00:27:49.440 wouldn't exist.

00:27:50.680 Now, of

00:27:51.040 course, the

00:27:51.680 opponents say,

00:27:55.460 my God, this

00:27:56.140 will be

00:27:56.760 abused.

00:27:59.260 Would you

00:27:59.940 agree that it

00:28:00.560 will be abused?

00:28:02.000 And it won't

00:28:02.500 just be people

00:28:03.480 who are in

00:28:04.500 desperate end-of-life

00:28:05.900 situation, but

00:28:07.460 that it would

00:28:08.060 naturally slide

00:28:09.280 down to people

00:28:09.900 who are just

00:28:10.240 having a bad

00:28:11.160 time in life.

00:28:12.760 Yeah, probably.

00:28:13.780 So, I'll

00:28:15.260 tell you, I

00:28:15.580 have very

00:28:15.880 mixed feelings

00:28:16.700 about it.

00:28:18.640 Number one,

00:28:20.020 for 30

00:28:21.140 years, I

00:28:21.720 have imagined

00:28:22.280 the invention

00:28:23.820 of this

00:28:24.300 product, pretty

00:28:25.720 much exactly

00:28:26.440 the way it

00:28:26.880 exists, except

00:28:27.760 I didn't know

00:28:28.200 what gas would

00:28:28.800 be involved.

00:28:31.060 Although, I

00:28:31.760 thought it

00:28:32.020 would be used

00:28:32.380 for murder.

00:28:33.780 I thought it

00:28:34.260 would be more

00:28:34.740 of a murder

00:28:35.260 device.

00:28:37.000 Here, we'll

00:28:37.500 tie your hands

00:28:38.100 and put you

00:28:38.560 in this pod,

00:28:39.440 and next thing

00:28:40.680 you know, you'll

00:28:41.220 be dead. 0.94

00:28:41.700 And so, I

00:28:44.800 have mixed

00:28:45.120 feelings about

00:28:45.680 it because, on

00:28:46.360 one hand, it

00:28:48.040 looks like you

00:28:48.620 will definitely

00:28:49.140 be abused.

00:28:51.440 No doubt

00:28:52.060 about it.

00:28:52.680 But you know

00:28:53.180 what else is

00:28:53.700 abused?

00:28:55.080 Everything.

00:28:57.400 Food is

00:28:58.040 abused.

00:28:59.560 Like, the

00:29:00.120 most innocent

00:29:00.800 thing in the

00:29:01.240 world is our

00:29:01.760 food.

00:29:02.360 We all abuse

00:29:03.100 our food until

00:29:03.840 we're, like,

00:29:04.740 dying from

00:29:05.640 food, eating

00:29:06.920 too much food.

00:29:07.720 So, there's

00:29:08.160 nothing we don't

00:29:08.800 abuse.

00:29:09.340 So, on

00:29:10.540 one hand, you

00:29:12.440 could say, hey,

00:29:13.700 it's going to

00:29:14.360 lead to all

00:29:14.840 these abuses.

00:29:15.660 On the other

00:29:16.000 hand, you

00:29:16.400 could say, well,

00:29:18.220 if it's a free

00:29:18.960 country, at the

00:29:20.220 moment, this is

00:29:20.800 only in

00:29:21.180 Switzerland, but

00:29:22.300 if it were

00:29:22.700 here, I can

00:29:24.060 easily say, yeah,

00:29:25.260 it's totally

00:29:25.740 going to get

00:29:26.120 abused.

00:29:27.260 So are guns,

00:29:28.680 so is food,

00:29:29.680 so is alcohol,

00:29:30.720 so are cigarettes,

00:29:31.640 all legal, all

00:29:33.140 abused.

00:29:34.340 So, the fact

00:29:35.060 that something is

00:29:35.820 abused to the

00:29:36.480 point of death

00:29:37.160 is not a

00:29:38.700 stopper.

00:29:40.020 I mean, if we

00:29:40.600 were going to

00:29:40.880 be objective

00:29:42.340 about it, it

00:29:43.000 wouldn't be a

00:29:43.480 stopper for any

00:29:44.200 product.

00:29:45.180 So, would it

00:29:46.660 be abused?

00:29:47.280 Yes.

00:29:49.140 Especially, you

00:29:50.740 know, if things

00:29:51.180 get worse in the

00:29:51.880 future, economically,

00:29:53.540 et cetera.

00:29:54.300 But, on the other

00:29:55.140 hand, I really,

00:29:56.340 really want this

00:29:56.900 option for myself.

00:29:58.960 Although, I don't

00:29:59.620 like the

00:29:59.980 claustrophobia right

00:30:00.980 before you die of

00:30:01.880 being in a little

00:30:03.260 casket thing.

00:30:04.380 I don't like that

00:30:05.240 part.

00:30:05.460 But, I'd

00:30:07.580 certainly like the

00:30:08.260 option to be

00:30:09.840 able to go out

00:30:10.360 on my own

00:30:10.720 terms.

00:30:11.480 So, I've got

00:30:11.900 mixed feelings

00:30:12.380 about that.

00:30:15.380 Here's another

00:30:15.980 one I should have

00:30:16.580 asked Scott.

00:30:17.540 Climate

00:30:17.900 scientist Roger

00:30:18.860 Peelke, Jr., who

00:30:21.620 has long been on

00:30:22.760 the side of,

00:30:23.680 let's say,

00:30:26.980 skepticism.

00:30:29.500 So, skepticism,

00:30:31.960 and I don't

00:30:33.320 believe he's

00:30:33.880 saying that

00:30:35.460 there's no

00:30:35.900 connection between

00:30:36.760 CO2 and

00:30:37.940 warming.

00:30:38.740 I don't think

00:30:39.180 he's that kind

00:30:39.720 of skeptic.

00:30:40.480 He's a skeptic

00:30:41.200 on the models.

00:30:43.020 So, that's the

00:30:43.580 part I know he's

00:30:44.140 a skeptic about,

00:30:44.980 so I have less

00:30:46.600 knowledge about

00:30:47.880 what else he

00:30:48.360 might be skeptical

00:30:48.980 about.

00:30:49.940 But, he has

00:30:51.220 another, I guess

00:30:53.540 he gave a speech

00:30:54.280 or something

00:30:54.740 recently, and he

00:30:56.020 talked about all

00:30:56.620 the problems with

00:30:57.360 the models, but

00:30:59.040 here's the one

00:30:59.600 that makes the

00:31:00.280 most difference.

00:31:02.300 So, apparently

00:31:02.840 there are several

00:31:03.600 models that

00:31:04.680 people could use

00:31:05.740 to do their

00:31:06.980 additional science

00:31:08.140 and say, if this

00:31:09.140 changed, what

00:31:10.420 would happen?

00:31:11.120 We studied this

00:31:11.880 variable.

00:31:12.820 If you add this

00:31:13.500 variable to the

00:31:14.260 existing model,

00:31:15.160 what happens?

00:31:16.060 So, I guess

00:31:16.500 they've got some

00:31:17.300 low, medium,

00:31:18.980 and high models

00:31:20.740 that are most

00:31:21.520 often used.

00:31:22.540 You know, the

00:31:22.820 worst case, best

00:31:23.680 case, average

00:31:24.660 case.

00:31:25.800 And, which one

00:31:27.660 do you think

00:31:28.000 they usually use?

00:31:29.060 to show the

00:31:30.820 effects of their

00:31:31.400 science.

00:31:32.120 If you said

00:31:33.140 they use the

00:31:34.060 worst case

00:31:34.760 scenario, you'd

00:31:36.660 be right.

00:31:37.780 Do you know

00:31:38.240 why they do

00:31:38.780 that?

00:31:39.640 Because if you

00:31:40.480 make a paper

00:31:41.460 or discovery,

00:31:43.440 which shows

00:31:44.760 the most

00:31:45.160 cataclysmic

00:31:46.140 eventual outcome,

00:31:48.160 you're more

00:31:49.080 likely to get

00:31:49.720 funded, because

00:31:50.520 that makes it

00:31:50.960 more important,

00:31:52.040 and you're more

00:31:52.460 likely to get

00:31:53.260 attention, and

00:31:53.980 you're more

00:31:54.260 likely to get

00:31:54.960 promoted, and

00:31:56.220 you're more

00:31:56.520 likely to get

00:31:57.080 more grants.

00:31:57.840 So, basically,

00:31:59.700 the system is

00:32:00.820 designed to

00:32:02.600 incentivize people

00:32:04.140 to always chase

00:32:05.700 the worst case

00:32:06.440 scenario.

00:32:07.900 And the worst

00:32:08.780 case scenario

00:32:09.500 could happen,

00:32:12.080 but it's probably

00:32:13.000 the least likely

00:32:13.800 outcome.

00:32:15.780 Somewhere in the

00:32:16.620 middle is the

00:32:17.180 usual.

00:32:19.560 So, there it

00:32:21.380 is again.

00:32:22.640 Now, I hate

00:32:24.540 to brag.

00:32:25.260 No, I love to

00:32:25.980 brag, but

00:32:27.160 everybody who

00:32:30.080 ever had any

00:32:30.780 experience doing

00:32:31.780 financial modeling

00:32:32.820 or any kind of

00:32:33.640 modeling of the

00:32:34.220 future, we all

00:32:35.660 knew this.

00:32:37.120 Like, we all

00:32:38.060 knew that all

00:32:39.540 models that

00:32:40.420 predict the

00:32:40.920 future are just

00:32:41.780 financially driven,

00:32:43.620 period.

00:32:44.680 There's no

00:32:45.200 exception to

00:32:45.880 that.

00:32:46.520 If it comes

00:32:47.280 out of a

00:32:47.660 corporation,

00:32:49.000 they're showing

00:32:49.560 you something

00:32:50.080 because they

00:32:50.600 want to make

00:32:51.000 money.

00:32:51.880 If I produced

00:32:52.700 a number as

00:32:53.980 part of my

00:32:54.420 analysis of

00:32:55.320 what the

00:32:56.000 financial long

00:32:56.860 term effect of

00:32:57.740 some decision

00:32:58.660 would be,

00:32:59.360 which was my

00:32:59.960 job, I knew

00:33:01.220 I was just

00:33:01.760 doing what my

00:33:02.340 boss needed

00:33:02.960 me to do to

00:33:04.320 support what

00:33:04.860 he already

00:33:05.340 wanted to do.

00:33:06.580 Like, everybody

00:33:07.120 knows that.

00:33:08.300 That's just

00:33:08.900 common knowledge.

00:33:10.640 So, did I

00:33:12.300 need to be

00:33:13.260 told by an

00:33:13.980 expert who

00:33:14.600 knows a lot

00:33:15.120 about it,

00:33:15.800 Roger Pilkey

00:33:16.640 Jr., did he

00:33:17.680 need to tell

00:33:18.200 me that the

00:33:18.880 financial models

00:33:19.740 are being

00:33:20.160 gamed and

00:33:21.300 are not any

00:33:21.880 kind of

00:33:22.220 indication of

00:33:22.860 reality?

00:33:23.720 He did not

00:33:24.200 need to tell

00:33:24.660 me that.

00:33:25.580 That was

00:33:25.980 obvious, super

00:33:27.940 obvious from

00:33:28.960 day one.

00:33:30.220 I've never had

00:33:31.300 a different

00:33:31.640 opinion.

00:33:32.120 The first time

00:33:32.720 I ever heard

00:33:33.440 that there

00:33:34.260 were long-term

00:33:34.920 data predictions,

00:33:37.920 I mean, I

00:33:38.260 just laughed.

00:33:39.720 There's nobody

00:33:40.740 who does this

00:33:41.940 work or any

00:33:43.400 version of this

00:33:44.240 work who

00:33:45.400 thinks you can

00:33:45.980 even do that.

00:33:47.560 There's no such

00:33:48.160 thing as predicting

00:33:48.900 the future about

00:33:50.240 anything.

00:33:54.480 Anyway, so

00:33:56.780 just ask me

00:33:57.380 next time.

00:33:59.560 So, the

00:34:00.180 Wall Street

00:34:00.520 Journal has

00:34:02.480 a story that

00:34:04.340 says the rate

00:34:04.900 of babies

00:34:05.380 dying in the

00:34:06.040 U.S.

00:34:06.380 rose significantly

00:34:07.220 for the first

00:34:07.940 time in two

00:34:08.480 decades.

00:34:09.660 Wow!

00:34:10.500 Increasing

00:34:10.980 3% from

00:34:11.980 2021 to

00:34:12.880 wow!

00:34:13.960 So, just

00:34:14.600 recently, up

00:34:16.420 to 2022, a

00:34:17.880 big increase in

00:34:18.620 babies dying in

00:34:19.480 the United

00:34:19.740 States, according

00:34:21.200 to the latest

00:34:21.860 federal government.

00:34:24.920 So, does that

00:34:26.620 sound like real

00:34:27.220 news to you?

00:34:28.880 Do you think

00:34:29.280 it's real news

00:34:30.200 that the rate of

00:34:31.440 babies dying in

00:34:32.200 the U.S.

00:34:32.640 rose significantly

00:34:33.540 for the first

00:34:34.240 time in two

00:34:34.760 decades?

00:34:36.960 Well, that

00:34:37.680 headline was

00:34:38.920 directly over the

00:34:39.880 graph that shows

00:34:41.600 the rate of

00:34:42.260 death, and the

00:34:43.700 graph showed that

00:34:44.640 it's one of four

00:34:45.540 times recently that

00:34:46.620 it's upticked.

00:34:49.480 So, the graph

00:34:50.840 proved that the

00:34:52.380 headline was

00:34:52.900 false.

00:34:54.920 And then there

00:34:55.420 was still an

00:34:55.900 article about it

00:34:56.820 after the

00:34:58.120 graph, because

00:34:59.240 I don't think I

00:35:01.740 misread the

00:35:02.280 graph.

00:35:03.140 Can somebody

00:35:03.580 confirm?

00:35:04.400 I mean, I just

00:35:05.160 need a fact check

00:35:05.800 on this.

00:35:07.160 This direction is

00:35:08.100 down, right, where

00:35:09.220 I'm pointing?

00:35:10.440 Can you confirm

00:35:11.100 that?

00:35:11.360 That's down, right?

00:35:12.120 Am I confused

00:35:13.900 about that?

00:35:14.720 Yeah, okay, that's

00:35:15.300 down.

00:35:15.960 Now, here's the

00:35:16.760 part where I'm

00:35:17.180 confused about.

00:35:18.240 Is this direction

00:35:19.220 up?

00:35:20.600 I think it is.

00:35:22.400 So, if they had a

00:35:23.400 graph that had

00:35:25.260 substantial portions

00:35:26.340 of it that were

00:35:27.780 pointing in this

00:35:28.480 direction, is that

00:35:29.280 up or down?

00:35:30.160 I'm forgetting

00:35:30.900 again.

00:35:31.500 Oh, it's up.

00:35:32.280 It's up.

00:35:34.760 And was it in the

00:35:35.840 last 20 years?

00:35:37.100 Yes, all four of

00:35:38.100 the upticks were in

00:35:38.880 the last 20 years.

00:35:40.800 What kind of story

00:35:41.740 is this?

00:35:42.200 Am I confused, or

00:35:45.160 did they literally

00:35:45.840 write a headline that

00:35:46.720 didn't match the

00:35:47.400 graph, their own

00:35:49.420 data?

00:35:50.300 I don't know what's

00:35:51.140 going on.

00:35:51.680 I'm just actually

00:35:52.580 confused by it.

00:35:53.780 But don't believe

00:35:54.540 data.

00:35:56.120 Don't believe news.

00:35:57.980 Don't believe data.

00:36:01.340 Here's what I think

00:36:02.240 happened.

00:36:04.020 You ready for this?

00:36:05.720 I think it's

00:36:06.260 cognitive blindness,

00:36:08.240 where smart people,

00:36:10.240 even groups of

00:36:11.180 smart people, can

00:36:12.560 be blinded to the

00:36:13.640 obvious because

00:36:14.920 there's something

00:36:15.540 else going on.

00:36:16.740 Basically, that's how

00:36:17.600 all magic tricks

00:36:18.660 work.

00:36:19.500 A magic trick takes

00:36:20.840 your brain to the

00:36:21.560 place where you

00:36:22.100 can't solve the

00:36:22.700 trick.

00:36:23.840 Your brain is just

00:36:24.800 working on the

00:36:25.340 wrong problem.

00:36:27.180 Here's what I think,

00:36:28.520 and this is just

00:36:29.160 wild speculation,

00:36:31.160 that we've been

00:36:32.180 served up for

00:36:33.140 three weeks now

00:36:34.180 stories about dead

00:36:35.800 babies because of

00:36:36.920 the Gaza situation.

00:36:39.040 Right?

00:36:39.140 every hour on the

00:36:41.840 hour for three

00:36:42.620 weeks, I've heard

00:36:43.460 about a dead

00:36:44.000 baby.

00:36:45.520 So then some

00:36:46.320 data comes out

00:36:47.240 that says there's

00:36:48.020 an uptick in dead

00:36:49.220 babies in the

00:36:50.540 United States.

00:36:52.260 Could that blind

00:36:54.240 the people involved

00:36:55.580 to the point where

00:36:56.820 they could only see

00:36:57.840 the data as more

00:36:59.040 dead babies because 0.92

00:37:00.600 they've been fed

00:37:01.160 more dead babies,

00:37:02.020 more dead babies,

00:37:02.680 highest rate of

00:37:03.220 dead babies, so many

00:37:04.040 dead babies, all

00:37:04.740 dead babies, dead

00:37:05.460 babies, dead babies.

00:37:06.300 Oh, here's some

00:37:07.260 data.

00:37:08.420 Sure enough, uptick in

00:37:10.040 dead babies.

00:37:11.000 Write the story.

00:37:12.260 Write the story.

00:37:13.920 And did they actually

00:37:14.780 write the story while

00:37:15.960 looking at the data

00:37:16.940 that showed that there

00:37:17.840 was no uptick that

00:37:18.980 was unusual?

00:37:19.880 There is an uptick,

00:37:20.840 but not an unusual one.

00:37:23.400 That's actually

00:37:24.160 possible in the

00:37:27.580 hypnotist world.

00:37:29.520 If you had a

00:37:30.340 hypnotist filter on the

00:37:31.500 world, I'm not saying

00:37:33.560 that's what happened.

00:37:34.200 I'm saying it would be

00:37:35.580 perfectly within the

00:37:36.760 normal realm of

00:37:38.420 behavior that somebody

00:37:40.080 would be cognitively

00:37:41.380 blinded and not even

00:37:42.960 notice that the graph

00:37:44.340 didn't match the

00:37:45.040 headline.

00:37:45.780 Now, I'll be

00:37:46.320 embarrassed by tomorrow

00:37:47.300 because by tomorrow

00:37:48.440 the Wall Street Journal

00:37:49.220 will explain why I read

00:37:50.600 the graph wrong, but at

00:37:52.440 the moment I'm just

00:37:53.160 confused.

00:37:54.760 So, you should wait

00:37:55.700 for the other side of

00:37:56.460 this story.

00:37:57.640 This is sort of the

00:37:58.520 documentary problem.

00:38:00.220 You're hearing me make

00:38:01.620 a claim, but you've not

00:38:03.360 heard the Wall Street

00:38:04.040 Journal say, Scott,

00:38:05.000 you're looking at the

00:38:05.680 graph wrong, or maybe

00:38:07.620 you interpreted it

00:38:08.680 wrong or something.

00:38:09.820 So, just consider I

00:38:11.020 could be wrong about

00:38:11.740 this.

00:38:12.460 Wait until you hear the

00:38:13.160 other side if there is

00:38:14.380 one.

00:38:16.760 All right.

00:38:18.080 I saw a lawyer for

00:38:19.940 some of the January 6

00:38:21.020 people, somebody who

00:38:22.580 goes by shipwrecked

00:38:23.940 crew on the X

00:38:25.400 platform, and is

00:38:26.940 apparently a lawyer with

00:38:28.260 some J6 clients, and

00:38:30.540 he makes this claim.

00:38:31.680 He or she makes this

00:38:33.540 claim.

00:38:34.440 I have two new clients

00:38:35.500 charged with J6 crimes.

00:38:37.780 Neither went inside the

00:38:39.160 Capitol, and there are no

00:38:40.940 allegations of any

00:38:42.180 interference with the

00:38:43.260 police.

00:38:45.020 I'm not aware of any

00:38:46.300 previous cases where

00:38:47.300 defendants were charged

00:38:48.420 just for being present

00:38:49.860 outside the building and

00:38:51.980 watching.

00:38:53.920 If anyone knows of

00:38:55.180 such a case, mention it

00:38:56.400 in the comments.

00:38:57.860 If this is a new

00:38:58.880 standard for the

00:38:59.660 Department of Justice,

00:39:00.360 there are thousands of

00:39:01.440 potential defendants

00:39:02.500 still uncharged.

00:39:04.640 Now, question number

00:39:05.480 one, is this an

00:39:08.080 accurate description of

00:39:09.720 the situation?

00:39:11.480 Well, remember, this is

00:39:12.280 coming from a lawyer

00:39:13.140 who is a proponent for

00:39:16.140 clients.

00:39:18.060 So the lawyer is going to

00:39:19.200 put it in the most

00:39:20.160 minimalistic description of

00:39:22.160 what happened.

00:39:23.820 But let's say that the

00:39:26.320 main claim is true, that

00:39:29.500 they didn't go inside and

00:39:31.040 they didn't interfere with

00:39:32.100 police.

00:39:33.380 What could they have been

00:39:34.580 doing that would get them

00:39:35.540 charged?

00:39:39.360 You can't be in the

00:39:40.840 general area of other

00:39:41.820 people doing a crime,

00:39:44.740 inciting, because they

00:39:46.320 were saying things.

00:39:47.440 Well, if it's inciting, it's

00:39:48.780 going to be everybody.

00:39:50.860 I'll tell you my

00:39:51.680 interpretation of this is

00:39:52.960 that Democrats, mostly, are

00:39:57.500 looking for any excuse to

00:39:59.340 increase the number of

00:40:00.420 Republicans they're putting

00:40:01.320 in jail, which I call

00:40:02.920 hunting.

00:40:05.580 This, to me, looks like

00:40:07.180 lawfare hunting, where

00:40:09.500 they're literally looking for

00:40:10.840 Republicans that they can

00:40:12.100 jail to make sure that

00:40:13.860 Republicans stay in line in

00:40:15.700 the future.

00:40:16.460 I think it's not so much

00:40:17.640 about punishing anybody.

00:40:18.720 I think it's about creating

00:40:20.380 a standard of fear so that

00:40:22.720 Republicans will know that

00:40:25.060 if they get anywhere near a

00:40:27.040 line, they're going to

00:40:28.680 fucking jail.

00:40:33.180 Do you know what I consider

00:40:34.780 my biggest risk in my life?

00:40:38.440 I consider my biggest risk

00:40:40.700 being jailed for a crime I did

00:40:43.380 not commit.

00:40:45.580 It's 2023 in America.

00:40:49.700 Literally, my biggest risk, and

00:40:53.100 there are plenty of things that

00:40:54.020 can, you know, be risky, but

00:40:55.780 my biggest risk is going to

00:40:58.400 jail for a crime I didn't

00:40:59.600 commit.

00:41:01.300 That's reality of America in

00:41:03.720 2023.

00:41:05.180 And, you know, if you've

00:41:06.700 watched Mike Cernovich tweeting

00:41:08.080 lately, he would be an obvious

00:41:11.720 target for the bad guys to want

00:41:14.020 to invent a crime and charge it

00:41:16.360 with it.

00:41:16.700 I think they would be sorry if

00:41:18.900 they did that.

00:41:20.900 That would be way more pushback

00:41:22.960 than they understand.

00:41:26.040 But I think we're all at risk

00:41:29.080 at this point.

00:41:29.700 Anybody who's talking about the

00:41:30.940 news and the way the Democrats

00:41:32.780 don't like, I think we're all at

00:41:34.780 risk.

00:41:36.560 That's America 2023. 0.78

00:41:37.820 All right.

00:41:41.040 I asked on the X platform,

00:41:44.040 can you describe any way in the

00:41:46.620 world that the national debt could

00:41:48.260 be paid off and we're not running

00:41:50.420 as fast as we can towards certain

00:41:52.880 doom?

00:41:55.080 And nobody could do it.

00:41:57.640 But I saw one suggestion that made

00:42:02.160 me think it might be possible.

00:42:03.460 Now, I'm going to go to the

00:42:06.360 whiteboard.

00:42:07.500 Whiteboard.

00:42:08.600 I'm going to explain maybe the

00:42:10.620 best case scenario for paying off

00:42:12.640 the debt.

00:42:14.360 Now, there are things that you can

00:42:16.660 do when the debt is small that you

00:42:19.280 can't do when the debt is enormous

00:42:21.460 and growing at an enormous rate.

00:42:23.740 The normal way, if you've got a

00:42:28.340 crushing debt, or just debt in

00:42:31.340 general, you either have to create

00:42:35.880 money from nothing.

00:42:39.260 You have to create money from

00:42:40.920 nothing.

00:42:42.500 Let me move this.

00:42:46.020 Or inflate it away.

00:42:48.840 And there are basically three ways to

00:42:53.400 get rid of a debt.

00:42:56.200 And by the way, this is my first

00:42:57.820 draft, sort of a first take.

00:43:00.820 So if anybody knows more than I do

00:43:02.600 about this topic, you know, tell me

00:43:04.660 to add something or subtract

00:43:05.960 something, right?

00:43:07.120 So we're just getting the

00:43:08.240 conversation going.

00:43:09.160 The reason I'm doing this, by the

00:43:10.340 way, is I've seen no serious person

00:43:13.000 describe how you even could

00:43:15.360 possibly, like even in the best case

00:43:18.320 scenario, how could we get off of

00:43:20.520 this train to doom, which is the

00:43:23.160 debt?

00:43:24.600 I've heard nobody do it.

00:43:26.020 Have you?

00:43:26.980 Has anybody heard anybody serious

00:43:28.820 describe any scenario where we're not

00:43:31.820 doomed from debt?

00:43:34.060 Right?

00:43:34.460 You haven't heard it.

00:43:35.860 So I'm going to give you what I think

00:43:37.220 is the first possibility.

00:43:40.320 I think it's possible, but boy, would

00:43:44.240 it take some things to go right.

00:43:46.820 I think they might, actually.

00:43:48.640 But here are the options.

00:43:50.040 There could be some kind of weird

00:43:51.240 crypto trickery.

00:43:53.420 By trickery, I mean something that I

00:43:55.820 can't quite imagine, and I wouldn't

00:43:57.820 know how it works.

00:43:58.900 But the basic idea is that crypto can

00:44:01.780 create an artificial value from

00:44:04.440 nothing.

00:44:05.780 Right?

00:44:06.260 So that's the only thing I'm

00:44:07.740 starting with.

00:44:08.420 We've got this huge debt, and we

00:44:10.820 don't have the money to pay it.

00:44:12.700 But what if we just invented money?

00:44:16.520 Now you say to yourself, but Scott,

00:44:18.580 that creates 10 new problems.

00:44:21.560 Maybe.

00:44:23.000 But I'm just saying, is there any

00:44:24.540 play, not one that I can quite

00:44:27.160 describe, but is there anything you

00:44:29.280 could do that would, one time only,

00:44:31.720 now here's the key, one time only,

00:44:33.740 create a bunch of money, and pay off

00:44:36.780 the debt.

00:44:37.760 Is there any way to do it?

00:44:41.000 Now before you say, ha ha, it's

00:44:43.760 obvious that it won't work, I would

00:44:46.660 bet that you know less than me, not

00:44:48.200 more.

00:44:49.440 If you believe it's obvious there's

00:44:51.520 no way to do it, I can't take you

00:44:55.060 seriously at all.

00:44:57.160 I'm not saying I know how to do it.

00:44:59.120 I'm saying that crypto literally

00:45:00.740 creates money that people will accept

00:45:03.840 out of nothing.

00:45:06.580 So maybe there's a play there.

00:45:08.300 I just don't know how I would do it.

00:45:10.900 All right, here's the other things.

00:45:12.380 I believe the debt is too big to

00:45:14.040 inflate away.

00:45:15.600 Meaning you could, you could try to

00:45:17.660 inflate it away, but remember it's

00:45:19.400 growing two trillion a year.

00:45:21.180 How much inflation would you need to

00:45:22.880 inflate it away?

00:45:24.200 I believe the answer is too much.

00:45:27.500 Meaning that that rate of inflation

00:45:29.360 would just destroy the country

00:45:30.960 basically.

00:45:31.920 Your standard of living would just

00:45:33.600 go to crap. 0.97

00:45:35.140 Now, so can we all agree that

00:45:37.120 inflating it away, if that's the only

00:45:39.580 thing you're doing, won't work.

00:45:43.200 Do you think that's true?

00:45:45.060 Now in the past, a smaller debt, you

00:45:47.860 could actually inflate away.

00:45:49.580 In fact, that's where we were at a

00:45:52.280 few years ago.

00:45:53.300 This can't be inflated away.

00:45:54.800 So the other way to go would be a

00:45:57.780 massive improvement in GDP.

00:46:02.020 Normally our GDP grows, what, two to

00:46:05.320 four percent a year.

00:46:06.800 That is nowhere, nowhere near enough to

00:46:10.600 pay down the debt.

00:46:11.580 Not even in the same universe.

00:46:14.460 You would need something like, and this

00:46:16.960 is just sort of the economist off the

00:46:19.600 top of my head.

00:46:20.280 It feels like you would need something

00:46:22.860 like a very rapid 40% increase in our

00:46:27.980 GDP.

00:46:29.320 How many of you would accept that as

00:46:31.400 sort of a ballpark for just talking

00:46:34.220 about the topic?

00:46:35.980 A 40% increase.

00:46:38.500 Is there anything in the world that

00:46:41.060 would make the economy increase by that

00:46:43.020 rate?

00:46:44.640 War is the wrong answer, because war 0.52

00:46:47.380 creates more debt.

00:46:48.240 Yeah, war creates a lot of activity, but

00:46:52.900 it also creates more debt.

00:46:55.460 Here's what I think.

00:46:58.460 And this is partly a borrowed idea.

00:47:02.800 Suppose you get a President Trump or a

00:47:06.600 President Ramaswamy.

00:47:08.880 I'll just take two Republicans as my

00:47:10.760 example.

00:47:11.580 Both dealmakers.

00:47:13.540 Both understand capitalism.

00:47:15.280 Both know how to get rid of regulations.

00:47:19.560 Both know the value of fossil fuels in

00:47:22.660 the short term.

00:47:24.300 So they're basically the right people

00:47:26.840 for the job.

00:47:28.100 Imagine them coming in and doing

00:47:29.880 something so radical that the cost of

00:47:33.460 energy drops to almost trivial.

00:47:36.660 Is that possible?

00:47:37.960 Absolutely.

00:47:39.100 You just remove the prohibitions against

00:47:42.560 small nuclear reactors.

00:47:44.500 That's day one.

00:47:46.160 You just say, look, we're not even going to

00:47:48.120 have state standards.

00:47:50.060 There's going to be a federal standard,

00:47:52.100 and it's going to be friendly to the

00:47:53.540 industry, because we don't have an option

00:47:55.200 now.

00:47:56.320 So you build a bunch of nuclear reactors.

00:47:58.780 Is there a risk?

00:48:00.420 Probably.

00:48:00.820 But it's way better than the risk of just

00:48:04.180 spending yourself into a certain doom.

00:48:06.880 If those are your two options, you're

00:48:08.520 going to take a little extra risk on your

00:48:10.660 nuclear development, because even if you

00:48:12.860 get a meltdown on a small reactor, it's

00:48:15.420 going to be way less problem than spending

00:48:18.420 yourself into oblivion.

00:48:20.180 So, given that energy is such a large

00:48:23.020 portion of our total expenses, if you could

00:48:26.460 just subtract that from our expenses, suddenly

00:48:29.440 everybody has more money.

00:48:30.540 Now, that's a reverse inflation, pro-GDP

00:48:35.620 thing.

00:48:37.340 Now, it's not just that it reduces your

00:48:39.560 current expenses.

00:48:40.800 If you could take energy from its current

00:48:42.780 level to closer to zero, then there's a

00:48:48.800 whole bunch of businesses that become

00:48:50.400 economical that could not have been done

00:48:52.360 before, because they would be too energy

00:48:54.380 intensive.

00:48:56.160 One of them would be desalinization. 0.56

00:48:58.140 Imagine the number of companies that would

00:49:02.200 immediately go into the small nuclear reactor

00:49:05.360 plus desalinization business.

00:49:08.060 I mean, that alone would be a trillion

00:49:09.940 dollar business, and it wouldn't be

00:49:12.020 practical until you had that power source.

00:49:15.040 So, imagine drilling like crazy, getting

00:49:17.860 rid of regulations, building nuclear,

00:49:22.540 building.

00:49:23.560 Elon Musk says if you build a 100-mile by

00:49:26.860 100-mile solar facility, you could power the

00:49:30.000 entire United States.

00:49:32.260 Does anybody want to check his work?

00:49:36.980 Does anybody want to take a chance that he

00:49:39.080 got the numbers wrong?

00:49:41.200 I don't think I'm going to go down that

00:49:42.880 path.

00:49:44.220 Actually, I do think there's an argument

00:49:46.240 there.

00:49:48.780 If you listen to some of the critics,

00:49:50.340 they'll say you can't get there with solar.

00:49:52.040 But I'd like to have that conversation.

00:49:53.580 But I'd also like to see robots build

00:49:56.900 facilities.

00:49:59.360 So, because the robots can do

00:50:00.900 cheaper.

00:50:01.460 So, if you've got cheap electricity

00:50:03.180 and energy, suddenly robots are way

00:50:07.280 more practical.

00:50:09.460 Because the cost of your robot is probably

00:50:11.220 going to be half energy cost and half

00:50:14.820 material cost, you know, at some point.

00:50:17.860 If you could take the half of the energy

00:50:20.000 cost closer to zero, suddenly I'm

00:50:23.860 buying two robots.

00:50:25.740 Elon Musk said that he thought the

00:50:27.260 Tesla robots, that already can be taught

00:50:31.880 skills, you can already teach them to

00:50:33.940 fold the laundry and stuff, that he might

00:50:37.660 sell more of those than anything else

00:50:39.460 he's doing.

00:50:40.240 Bigger than Tesla, bigger than SpaceX.

00:50:43.180 I don't know if it would ever be bigger

00:50:44.400 than SpaceX, but...

00:50:46.400 So, robots

00:50:49.040 plus AI

00:50:50.600 plus cheap energy

00:50:53.480 creates an industrial

00:50:56.320 type revolution

00:50:57.440 greater than anything we've ever

00:50:59.560 experienced yet.

00:51:01.400 And there are probably

00:51:02.520 two candidates who could give this world

00:51:05.360 to you,

00:51:06.640 and they're both Republicans.

00:51:08.360 There is no chance that a Democrat could

00:51:10.360 ever pay off the debt.

00:51:11.940 Because Democrats are limited in their

00:51:14.120 options.

00:51:15.280 They're not going to remove

00:51:16.300 regulations.

00:51:17.940 They're not going to do anything that

00:51:19.200 hurts one blade of grass in the

00:51:21.240 environment.

00:51:22.780 And they're not going to do anything

00:51:24.360 that their base reflexively doesn't

00:51:26.460 like, such as nuclear power.

00:51:30.340 So, there's no way that a Democrat can

00:51:32.400 get you to anything that's not total

00:51:35.260 doom.

00:51:37.240 And there is a way, and I think it's a

00:51:40.080 scratch.

00:51:41.220 Honestly, none of this is easy.

00:51:43.680 None of it is predictable.

00:51:45.220 But it's there.

00:51:47.580 It's there.

00:51:48.520 Yeah, we could all have solar roof tiles

00:51:50.360 and be powering our own homes

00:51:52.060 and making our own water.

00:51:53.940 Yeah, the only thing left is

00:51:55.280 good waste treatment,

00:51:57.360 which I think will turn into

00:51:59.060 some kind of, like,

00:52:00.460 laser beam that

00:52:01.540 turns all of your waste into CO2

00:52:04.080 that gets used in a steam engine

00:52:05.840 or something.

00:52:08.500 But that's coming.

00:52:13.100 That's coming.

00:52:14.580 All right.

00:52:15.620 Is this the best explanation

00:52:17.560 of debt repayment options

00:52:19.740 you've ever seen?

00:52:22.580 It is, isn't it?

00:52:27.220 I saw one person say no.

00:52:29.700 If there's somebody who did a better

00:52:31.420 job of explaining the options,

00:52:33.220 can you send me a link?

00:52:35.160 Because I've never seen one.

00:52:36.940 I've never seen anybody get close.

00:52:39.200 Now, when you say it's not the best

00:52:40.860 description, is it because

00:52:41.960 the crypto part?

00:52:44.160 Which part are you complaining about?

00:52:45.580 Just the crypto part?

00:52:46.640 Because the rest is very ordinary.

00:52:48.540 Everybody would agree that we can't

00:52:50.000 inflate it away.

00:52:50.900 Everybody would agree that more GDP

00:52:52.420 would work.

00:52:53.600 Everybody would agree that more energy

00:52:55.220 would be good.

00:52:55.840 Everybody would agree that robots

00:52:57.080 are good.

00:52:58.260 Right?

00:52:58.820 So it's really the crypto part

00:53:00.940 that you don't like.

00:53:01.780 Right?

00:53:01.920 Crypto equals tulips.

00:53:07.960 Well, here's something I think

00:53:09.300 you don't understand about crypto.

00:53:12.020 The United States could make

00:53:13.780 any crypto immediately

00:53:15.460 valuable by saying they would

00:53:18.460 accept it for tax payments.

00:53:21.180 On day one, they can make

00:53:22.920 any crypto valuable.

00:53:24.360 Because the only thing that makes

00:53:25.480 a crypto valuable is somebody

00:53:26.940 who's willing to take it

00:53:27.940 as their payment.

00:53:29.700 If the United States says

00:53:31.640 we'll accept it for tax payments,

00:53:33.460 you're there.

00:53:34.940 Day one.

00:53:36.000 It has permanent value

00:53:37.280 and it won't become less.

00:53:40.220 Or I guess it could.

00:53:43.240 So for those of you who think

00:53:45.060 the crypto option is magic and crazy,

00:53:48.760 you might be right.

00:53:50.220 But you cannot deny

00:53:54.060 that it is a way to create money

00:53:56.460 out of nothing.

00:53:58.000 It might have some other

00:53:59.300 problems with it.

00:54:02.240 All right.

00:54:03.040 Well,

00:54:04.000 I thought I'd take a run at that.

00:54:06.720 Remember, this is

00:54:07.400 the first draft.

00:54:09.440 One of the things I think

00:54:10.520 I can add as value

00:54:12.400 to the public conversation

00:54:14.140 is when the public

00:54:15.860 is not being served,

00:54:18.160 I think I do a good job

00:54:19.500 of explaining

00:54:20.120 what we haven't been told.

00:54:23.300 I always think

00:54:24.080 that's my greatest value

00:54:25.140 is that I do a good job

00:54:27.080 of telling you

00:54:27.540 what they haven't told you

00:54:28.560 and how that's important

00:54:29.840 and you better find that out.

00:54:31.860 So with the debt,

00:54:34.180 we are letting

00:54:35.280 all of our politicians

00:54:36.420 off the hook.

00:54:37.860 Let me ask you this question.

00:54:39.900 This is going to blow

00:54:40.680 your fucking mind. 0.87

00:54:41.880 Watch your head

00:54:42.560 just explode.

00:54:44.320 Watch this.

00:54:47.440 Number one,

00:54:48.520 would you agree

00:54:49.260 that our debt problem

00:54:50.460 probably is our biggest one?

00:54:53.480 Would you agree

00:54:54.060 with that, first of all?

00:54:57.480 You see some no's

00:54:58.460 because you might have

00:54:59.180 some other things

00:54:59.820 that you think

00:55:00.240 are bigger problems.

00:55:01.240 Well, if you think no,

00:55:03.320 then that would suggest

00:55:04.260 you know that there's

00:55:05.100 some way to pay it off.

00:55:06.900 But you don't.

00:55:08.740 So there's one problem

00:55:09.760 that we have

00:55:10.240 where we can't conceive

00:55:11.340 of a solution.

00:55:13.160 There's a bunch of problems

00:55:14.340 we have that could

00:55:15.280 become really bad,

00:55:17.000 but we can totally

00:55:18.000 conceive of solutions.

00:55:19.400 For example,

00:55:20.460 the border is open.

00:55:22.000 Can you conceive

00:55:22.720 of a solution?

00:55:24.280 Let me see.

00:55:27.220 Close the border?

00:55:29.180 Yes.

00:55:30.240 We might have a world war.

00:55:32.080 Can you conceive

00:55:32.800 of some way to avoid it?

00:55:35.800 Yes.

00:55:37.200 Negotiating

00:55:37.680 and the usual stuff.

00:55:39.460 Yes.

00:55:40.700 Now, I would agree

00:55:41.700 with you that

00:55:42.300 some surprise thing

00:55:43.840 like a nuclear war

00:55:44.840 could happen suddenly.

00:55:47.260 Anything could happen.

00:55:48.500 But there's only

00:55:49.300 one thing we have

00:55:50.300 where the straight line

00:55:51.500 is to doom.

00:55:53.280 And that's the debt.

00:55:55.400 The debt,

00:55:56.280 because it's going up

00:55:57.000 two trillion a year,

00:55:58.980 if the debt

00:55:59.660 were just stable,

00:56:01.380 then I wouldn't

00:56:02.180 worry about it.

00:56:03.640 We've just inflated away.

00:56:04.900 But it's also going up

00:56:06.340 two trillion a year.

00:56:07.960 So it's unsustainable

00:56:09.600 and growing quickly.

00:56:11.840 That's definitely

00:56:12.660 the biggest risk.

00:56:14.100 By far,

00:56:15.020 that's the biggest risk.

00:56:16.760 All right.

00:56:17.320 That's my opinion.

00:56:19.080 All right.

00:56:19.260 Here's the part

00:56:19.700 that's going to blow your mind.

00:56:21.720 Now,

00:56:22.840 remember all the news

00:56:24.080 you've watched

00:56:24.740 and try to remember

00:56:27.180 any time that

00:56:28.240 a top politician

00:56:29.580 was asked this question.

00:56:30.780 How would you

00:56:32.820 handle the debt?

00:56:36.100 I don't remember it once.

00:56:38.260 I can't think of it

00:56:39.600 once.

00:56:41.000 Can you?

00:56:42.300 Do you know why

00:56:43.000 they don't ask that question?

00:56:45.900 They don't ask it

00:56:46.980 on the right

00:56:47.580 and they don't ask it

00:56:48.660 on the left.

00:56:50.020 Do you know why?

00:56:53.140 Probably because

00:56:54.100 the reporters

00:56:55.920 don't understand

00:56:56.840 the topic.

00:56:58.420 Your average reporter

00:56:59.600 would not really

00:57:00.700 quite understand

00:57:01.700 how debt works

00:57:02.580 because some people

00:57:04.280 make the mistake

00:57:04.960 of saying national debt

00:57:06.200 is like personal debt.

00:57:08.360 You know,

00:57:08.540 if anybody makes

00:57:09.260 that analogy,

00:57:10.040 like if you bought

00:57:11.080 this house

00:57:11.660 and, you know,

00:57:12.640 the interest rate

00:57:13.260 was this

00:57:13.740 and you had made

00:57:14.360 this much money,

00:57:15.500 what would you do?

00:57:16.280 That's not the right model.

00:57:18.020 Anybody who thinks

00:57:18.820 that a mortgage

00:57:19.560 of your house

00:57:20.400 is a good thing

00:57:21.760 to learn about

00:57:22.540 how to handle

00:57:23.340 the national debt,

00:57:24.560 you should immediately

00:57:25.720 stop talking to them

00:57:26.860 because they don't

00:57:27.840 understand the basics

00:57:28.720 of anything.

00:57:29.600 So you've got

00:57:31.460 reporters,

00:57:32.300 if they're not

00:57:32.940 the business reporters,

00:57:34.180 the regular,

00:57:34.780 you know,

00:57:35.040 generic reporters,

00:57:36.020 they don't know

00:57:36.600 how to ask the question

00:57:37.500 or they wouldn't

00:57:38.960 understand the answer

00:57:39.900 because here's the answer

00:57:41.240 a politician

00:57:41.860 would give you.

00:57:44.200 Mr. Politician,

00:57:45.820 let's say,

00:57:46.340 Mr. Republican,

00:57:47.160 how are you going

00:57:47.660 to pay off the debt?

00:57:49.420 Well,

00:57:50.060 we've got to get

00:57:50.940 these omnibus

00:57:52.040 spending bills

00:57:52.960 under control.

00:57:53.700 And then what

00:57:55.600 does the reporter say?

00:57:57.160 Well,

00:57:57.400 how will you do that?

00:57:58.140 Well,

00:57:59.280 you know,

00:57:59.680 we'll try to break

00:58:00.540 them up,

00:58:01.100 the Speaker of the House,

00:58:02.200 blah, blah, blah.

00:58:03.160 And then the reporter

00:58:04.040 goes to the next question.

00:58:07.080 Do you think

00:58:07.980 that breaking up

00:58:08.720 our bills

00:58:09.120 into individual

00:58:09.940 spending bills

00:58:10.860 is going to solve

00:58:11.940 the national debt?

00:58:13.840 Not even close.

00:58:16.160 It's not even in the,

00:58:17.300 it's not even in the zip code

00:58:19.040 of a solution.

00:58:20.140 It's simply better

00:58:21.220 than what we were doing.

00:58:22.180 It's a small tweak

00:58:24.920 to improve

00:58:26.400 the quality

00:58:27.040 of the budgeting.

00:58:28.740 It's not going to

00:58:29.660 solve the national debt

00:58:30.860 or even close

00:58:32.760 and nobody serious

00:58:34.560 believes it would.

00:58:36.400 But I'll bet you

00:58:37.140 the Republicans

00:58:37.760 get away with saying that.

00:58:40.080 I'll bet the reporter

00:58:41.100 stops asking questions

00:58:42.300 when they say,

00:58:43.080 oh,

00:58:43.480 we've got to cut

00:58:44.420 our budget.

00:58:45.720 There's no way

00:58:46.480 to cut the budget

00:58:47.320 enough to pay off

00:58:48.120 this debt.

00:58:49.380 You'd have to cut

00:58:50.480 it like 70%

00:58:51.400 or something.

00:58:52.040 You'd have to give up

00:58:52.900 the military.

00:58:54.340 You're not going to

00:58:55.120 cut the budget

00:58:55.740 enough at all.

00:58:58.000 So we have reporters

00:58:59.680 who don't know

00:59:00.300 how to ask the question.

00:59:01.960 Would you agree

00:59:02.580 with that?

00:59:03.640 Our reporters

00:59:04.220 do not know

00:59:05.060 how to ask the question.

00:59:06.680 And you have politicians

00:59:07.920 who on the Democrat side

00:59:09.920 apparently have

00:59:10.720 never been asked.

00:59:12.940 Let me say it again.

00:59:14.860 I don't think

00:59:15.380 a Democrat's

00:59:15.980 ever been asked.

00:59:18.640 What would they say?

00:59:20.320 Because Democrats

00:59:21.180 can't say

00:59:22.080 we're going to

00:59:23.300 reduce social services.

00:59:26.820 And if they say

00:59:27.740 we're going to

00:59:28.120 reduce the military,

00:59:29.680 well,

00:59:30.360 just ask them

00:59:31.060 to show you the math

00:59:31.980 because that doesn't

00:59:32.720 work out either

00:59:33.360 if you want

00:59:34.680 to actually have

00:59:35.440 a national defense.

00:59:38.480 So we have

00:59:39.240 a reporter problem

00:59:40.600 primarily.

00:59:41.860 The reporters

00:59:42.500 refuse to know

00:59:43.600 what is the

00:59:44.120 important stuff.

00:59:45.640 So with TikTok,

00:59:46.620 they don't know

00:59:47.140 the influences

00:59:47.820 the important thing

00:59:48.780 as opposed

00:59:49.340 to data security.

00:59:51.600 So because

00:59:52.060 our reporters

00:59:52.700 can't tell

00:59:54.020 the story right,

00:59:55.580 it gives Congress

00:59:56.440 a way to ignore it

00:59:57.680 because our reporters

00:59:59.080 don't tell the story right.

01:00:01.100 Right?

01:00:01.720 It gives them

01:00:02.140 a free pass.

01:00:03.140 If nobody's

01:00:03.780 reporting it correctly,

01:00:04.860 they just can ignore it.

01:00:06.260 That's what they do

01:00:06.820 with TikTok.

01:00:07.720 So nobody reports

01:00:08.800 the national debt story

01:00:10.260 accurately

01:00:10.760 or even close.

01:00:12.460 Nobody knows

01:00:13.060 how to even ask

01:00:13.700 the question

01:00:14.180 of a politician.

01:00:14.920 And if they did,

01:00:16.760 they would allow

01:00:17.440 the politician

01:00:18.040 to get away with,

01:00:19.360 oh, yeah, yeah,

01:00:20.240 we're going to have

01:00:21.540 to have a national

01:00:22.160 conversation

01:00:22.800 about the spending.

01:00:26.100 What?

01:00:27.200 How's that going to help?

01:00:28.780 Yes, we're going to have

01:00:29.660 to cut one of these

01:00:31.120 big expenses.

01:00:32.240 It won't help.

01:00:34.360 Yeah.

01:00:34.820 It's a complete

01:00:36.000 abdication

01:00:37.340 of responsibility

01:00:38.420 by the press.

01:00:39.320 and it allows

01:00:41.520 the politicians

01:00:42.220 to just kick the can.

01:00:44.260 So here's what

01:00:44.800 I'd like to see.

01:00:46.600 I'd like to see

01:00:47.660 Vivek

01:00:48.340 come up

01:00:49.780 with a specific plan,

01:00:51.960 even if it's

01:00:52.600 a long shot,

01:00:53.980 for solving the debt.

01:00:56.360 And I think

01:00:56.900 he could make

01:00:57.460 a story,

01:00:58.500 Vivek could,

01:00:59.720 that would say

01:01:01.240 what we're doing

01:01:01.820 with energy

01:01:02.580 and what we're doing

01:01:03.380 with new tech

01:01:04.000 and robots

01:01:04.620 and AI

01:01:05.200 and quantum computing.

01:01:06.320 and he's going

01:01:08.160 to have to make

01:01:08.900 an argument

01:01:09.300 that we need

01:01:10.060 a second

01:01:10.580 industrial revolution.

01:01:12.240 We need to bring

01:01:13.200 our manufacturing

01:01:13.980 back from China

01:01:15.040 in the smartest way.

01:01:16.960 You know,

01:01:17.100 not in a complete way,

01:01:18.200 but in the smartest way

01:01:19.300 so that we're

01:01:20.140 manufacturing

01:01:20.740 the things

01:01:22.460 that we care about,

01:01:23.860 pharmaceuticals

01:01:24.960 in particular.

01:01:26.140 And we need to figure

01:01:27.240 out how to build

01:01:27.800 our own chip factory

01:01:29.440 so we're not

01:01:30.100 depending on

01:01:31.260 the one

01:01:31.820 Taiwanese factory.

01:01:34.700 By the way,

01:01:35.140 do you know

01:01:35.400 the story

01:01:35.760 that the biggest

01:01:36.820 chip maker,

01:01:39.340 is it Taiwan

01:01:40.000 semiconductor

01:01:40.740 in Taiwan,

01:01:42.760 the one that we're

01:01:43.280 totally dependent on?

01:01:44.960 The entrepreneur

01:01:45.760 for that

01:01:46.440 tried to build it

01:01:47.620 in Texas

01:01:48.080 and was rejected.

01:01:51.600 He couldn't

01:01:52.420 build it in Texas

01:01:53.260 so he went

01:01:54.260 to where he could

01:01:54.780 build it

01:01:55.160 and he went

01:01:55.540 to Taiwan.

01:01:56.960 Man,

01:01:57.500 is that on us.

01:01:59.240 That is so,

01:02:00.960 so on us.

01:02:03.160 God,

01:02:03.720 what a fuck up.

01:02:04.400 That's like the

01:02:05.960 fuck up

01:02:06.460 of the last

01:02:07.540 200 years.

01:02:09.560 Letting that guy 0.60

01:02:10.360 go start

01:02:11.080 the big

01:02:11.820 essential

01:02:12.780 chip company

01:02:13.840 in another country

01:02:14.640 that we have

01:02:15.460 to protect,

01:02:16.240 I guess.

01:02:17.300 It couldn't have

01:02:18.020 been a more

01:02:18.660 fucked up situation. 0.97

01:02:21.740 If it had gone

01:02:22.840 to any other

01:02:23.600 country,

01:02:24.060 it would have

01:02:24.360 been suboptimal.

01:02:25.780 But it went

01:02:26.480 to Taiwan.

01:02:28.720 Right?

01:02:29.460 I mean,

01:02:29.840 it might have

01:02:30.180 gone to Gaza.

01:02:31.460 Like,

01:02:31.660 is there any

01:02:32.060 other way

01:02:32.460 we could make

01:02:32.920 that more

01:02:33.300 fucked up?

01:02:35.160 So,

01:02:35.760 there are a lot

01:02:36.320 of things

01:02:36.660 that a Vivek

01:02:37.800 could make

01:02:39.000 a good story

01:02:39.860 for a solution.

01:02:41.540 Trump could do

01:02:42.120 it too.

01:02:43.380 Trump likes

01:02:44.240 to keep things

01:02:44.920 a little simpler.

01:02:46.380 So,

01:02:46.640 I don't know

01:02:47.020 that this is

01:02:47.660 his ideal

01:02:48.300 approach.

01:02:51.420 And he's,

01:02:51.900 and Trump

01:02:52.660 also is a

01:02:53.640 little less

01:02:54.220 facile

01:02:56.280 about the

01:02:57.020 new technology.

01:02:57.740 technology.

01:02:58.900 So,

01:02:59.120 you know,

01:02:59.320 Vivek is

01:02:59.880 going to

01:03:00.120 understand

01:03:00.660 that AI

01:03:01.820 plus quantum

01:03:02.640 computing

01:03:03.220 changes everything.

01:03:06.060 Trump,

01:03:06.620 you know,

01:03:08.020 might have

01:03:08.440 heard that

01:03:08.840 story,

01:03:09.640 but I doubt

01:03:10.220 that would

01:03:10.600 become part

01:03:11.180 of his

01:03:11.440 narrative.

01:03:12.540 You know,

01:03:12.700 it's a little

01:03:13.420 bit more

01:03:14.040 futuristic

01:03:15.580 than Trump

01:03:16.380 usually talks.

01:03:17.720 But,

01:03:18.080 to be fair,

01:03:19.380 when Trump

01:03:19.820 talks about

01:03:20.340 building these

01:03:21.040 new cities

01:03:22.140 from scratch,

01:03:23.560 I think

01:03:24.520 that the

01:03:25.580 new technologies

01:03:26.440 plus the

01:03:27.460 new cities

01:03:28.040 could be

01:03:29.260 the biggest

01:03:30.800 boom in

01:03:31.740 building and

01:03:32.620 industrial

01:03:33.100 everything,

01:03:34.280 could solve

01:03:34.840 housing by

01:03:35.600 bringing the

01:03:36.040 cost down.

01:03:37.520 There's just

01:03:38.280 a whole bunch

01:03:39.080 of ways

01:03:39.560 that Trump

01:03:40.560 could use

01:03:41.260 a real estate

01:03:42.120 focus

01:03:44.600 to fix

01:03:45.800 the economy.

01:03:46.880 But he

01:03:47.300 would fix

01:03:47.660 energy first.

01:03:48.820 Trump would

01:03:49.200 fix energy

01:03:49.860 because that's

01:03:50.380 a big part

01:03:50.800 of the

01:03:51.140 building and

01:03:51.980 construction

01:03:52.480 puzzle.

01:03:53.900 Yeah,

01:03:56.380 Trump is

01:03:56.780 actually very

01:03:57.300 good about

01:03:57.740 talking about

01:03:58.400 the golden

01:03:59.180 future,

01:04:00.920 but I don't

01:04:02.180 know if he

01:04:02.760 could quite

01:04:03.760 get AI

01:04:04.600 robots and

01:04:05.480 quantum computing

01:04:06.440 right.

01:04:07.300 But they

01:04:07.560 could.

01:04:10.160 There's a

01:04:10.880 reason I'm

01:04:12.100 biased toward

01:04:12.740 Young.

01:04:14.240 Right?

01:04:15.680 It makes

01:04:16.540 sense to be

01:04:17.080 a little biased

01:04:17.800 toward Young

01:04:18.360 at the moment.

01:04:19.140 Speaking of

01:04:22.460 that, do

01:04:23.640 you know

01:04:24.180 that the

01:04:24.680 politicians

01:04:25.460 who are

01:04:26.420 driving up

01:04:27.000 our debt,

01:04:27.560 the most

01:04:27.880 powerful

01:04:28.280 politicians,

01:04:29.460 are the

01:04:29.820 ones who

01:04:30.200 are about

01:04:30.520 a year

01:04:30.820 away from

01:04:31.220 being dead

01:04:31.680 themselves?

01:04:33.320 If you

01:04:33.900 are a year

01:04:34.480 away from

01:04:34.880 being dead,

01:04:36.400 do you

01:04:36.660 think you

01:04:37.000 should be

01:04:37.280 in charge

01:04:37.760 of driving

01:04:39.080 up the

01:04:39.500 debt for

01:04:39.920 the United

01:04:40.260 States for

01:04:40.920 the next

01:04:41.260 hundred

01:04:41.500 years?

01:04:42.680 And you're

01:04:43.260 going to be

01:04:43.520 dead in a

01:04:44.020 year?

01:04:44.980 And you're

01:04:45.380 in charge of

01:04:45.900 deciding what

01:04:46.400 the rest of

01:04:46.960 us will do

01:04:47.500 for the next

01:04:48.560 hundred years?

01:04:49.140 Now, I

01:04:51.140 saw some

01:04:51.540 pushback on

01:04:52.180 that, because

01:04:52.540 I said it

01:04:53.100 on X, and

01:04:54.760 the pushback

01:04:55.320 was, but

01:04:55.900 Scott, all

01:04:57.320 of these

01:04:57.680 ancient people,

01:04:59.080 they've got

01:04:59.540 kids, they've

01:05:00.100 got grandkids,

01:05:00.960 of course they

01:05:01.520 care about

01:05:01.900 them, so

01:05:02.860 they care

01:05:03.220 about the

01:05:03.540 future as

01:05:04.000 much as

01:05:04.340 anybody does.

01:05:05.600 To which I

01:05:06.520 replied, have

01:05:08.340 you met

01:05:08.720 people?

01:05:10.300 Let me

01:05:10.800 explain something

01:05:11.480 about people.

01:05:15.360 They really

01:05:16.240 do make

01:05:16.880 selfish decisions,

01:05:18.020 and they

01:05:18.640 really do

01:05:19.160 follow the

01:05:19.680 money, even

01:05:20.660 if it's

01:05:21.020 bad for

01:05:21.400 their

01:05:21.560 grandkids.

01:05:23.100 That's

01:05:23.580 people.

01:05:24.700 Now, I'd

01:05:25.200 love to

01:05:25.520 tell you that

01:05:26.120 there are

01:05:26.480 people making

01:05:27.040 the grandkid

01:05:27.980 decision, and

01:05:29.360 there are, but

01:05:31.420 I don't think

01:05:32.560 that's what

01:05:32.940 drives the

01:05:33.420 politicians.

01:05:34.280 I think they

01:05:34.820 say to

01:05:35.140 themselves, I

01:05:36.520 could try to

01:05:37.340 solve an

01:05:37.760 unsolvable

01:05:38.320 problem and

01:05:39.020 fail, which

01:05:40.020 is how to

01:05:40.400 get the debt

01:05:41.300 down, or I

01:05:42.520 could just

01:05:42.920 vote for one

01:05:43.580 more omnibus

01:05:44.440 bill, and I'm

01:05:45.740 going to be

01:05:46.040 dead in a few

01:05:46.640 years anyway.

01:05:47.260 It's never

01:05:48.400 going to come

01:05:48.780 back to bite

01:05:49.260 me.

01:05:50.420 And then

01:05:50.900 they'd say,

01:05:51.380 well, grandchildren

01:05:52.320 will work it

01:05:53.000 out.

01:05:54.560 Life's never

01:05:55.160 been easy.

01:05:55.980 Grandkids will

01:05:56.500 work it out,

01:05:57.080 one way or the

01:05:57.600 other.

01:05:58.480 So I think it

01:05:59.460 does make a big

01:06:00.120 difference that

01:06:01.220 the people voting

01:06:02.000 on the debt are

01:06:02.700 100 years old.

01:06:03.860 I suggest the

01:06:05.100 following fix, that

01:06:07.020 the only members of

01:06:07.980 Congress who can

01:06:08.780 vote on debt,

01:06:10.420 long-term debt,

01:06:11.780 have to be under

01:06:13.260 50 years old.

01:06:15.120 And if you're

01:06:15.820 over 50, you

01:06:16.680 can't vote on

01:06:17.740 debt or any

01:06:18.740 kind of spending

01:06:19.280 bill.

01:06:21.600 And then I

01:06:22.320 would say,

01:06:23.160 public, you

01:06:24.860 are free to

01:06:25.540 elect anybody

01:06:26.280 you want.

01:06:27.500 If you'd like

01:06:28.380 your representative

01:06:29.160 to be over

01:06:29.940 50, just know

01:06:31.360 that your state

01:06:32.060 will not be

01:06:32.620 involved in any

01:06:33.300 of the budget

01:06:33.700 decisions.

01:06:35.340 They can talk

01:06:36.140 about it, but

01:06:36.820 they don't get

01:06:37.200 to vote.

01:06:38.280 Because letting

01:06:38.980 people who

01:06:39.700 won't be here

01:06:40.440 to pay the

01:06:40.960 debt decide how

01:06:42.280 much debt you

01:06:43.000 have is a

01:06:44.420 fucking stupid

01:06:45.180 system.

01:06:46.960 And if you

01:06:47.620 think that

01:06:48.340 them having

01:06:49.540 grandkids is

01:06:50.460 going to save

01:06:51.180 you, that's

01:06:52.300 not how people

01:06:52.920 work.

01:06:54.880 They just

01:06:55.580 don't.

01:06:56.440 I wish they

01:06:56.940 did, but

01:06:57.880 they don't.

01:06:59.980 So that'll

01:07:00.960 never happen,

01:07:01.620 but might be

01:07:02.800 the only way

01:07:03.300 to survive.

01:07:05.860 There's a new

01:07:06.540 study that says

01:07:07.280 two of the

01:07:09.000 things that

01:07:09.400 predict a

01:07:10.420 marriage lasting

01:07:11.340 there are

01:07:13.140 two factors

01:07:13.680 psychologists

01:07:14.200 found.

01:07:15.340 One is that

01:07:16.480 the man has

01:07:17.940 high verbal

01:07:18.660 intelligence.

01:07:20.840 Does that

01:07:21.600 surprise you?

01:07:22.360 If the man

01:07:23.360 has high

01:07:23.940 verbal

01:07:24.320 intelligence,

01:07:25.480 what goes

01:07:26.920 along with

01:07:27.460 high verbal

01:07:28.080 intelligence?

01:07:30.180 Is there

01:07:30.860 anything else

01:07:31.360 correlated with

01:07:32.200 that besides

01:07:34.980 long marriages?

01:07:37.280 I see the

01:07:42.000 suggestion

01:07:42.400 a huge

01:07:43.140 penis, but 0.98

01:07:44.000 I don't

01:07:44.380 think that's

01:07:44.860 what I was

01:07:45.140 going for.

01:07:48.300 Well, I

01:07:48.920 don't know.

01:07:49.480 Let's see if

01:07:50.020 there's anything

01:07:50.700 else about the

01:07:51.480 second thing

01:07:52.340 that suggests

01:07:53.460 a long

01:07:53.860 marriage.

01:07:55.000 See, the

01:07:55.400 second thing

01:07:56.040 is that the

01:07:57.640 man in the

01:07:58.280 marriage is

01:07:59.040 able to buy

01:07:59.780 new and more

01:08:00.660 expensive cars.

01:08:02.620 That also

01:08:03.500 signals longevity.

01:08:04.920 So what

01:08:06.340 would having

01:08:08.220 the ability

01:08:10.180 to buy

01:08:10.660 new expensive

01:08:11.500 cars have

01:08:13.300 in common

01:08:13.840 with a man

01:08:14.640 who has

01:08:15.040 high intellect

01:08:16.040 and verbal

01:08:17.080 abilities?

01:08:18.920 Could it

01:08:19.760 be that

01:08:21.900 money makes

01:08:22.600 people stay?

01:08:24.960 The person

01:08:26.140 with the

01:08:26.500 high IQ

01:08:27.040 and the

01:08:27.460 high verbal

01:08:28.280 ability probably

01:08:29.140 has a good

01:08:29.540 job.

01:08:31.040 That's what

01:08:31.560 that gets you.

01:08:32.880 If they're

01:08:33.240 able to buy

01:08:33.820 new cars,

01:08:34.420 probably got

01:08:35.740 money.

01:08:36.580 Good job.

01:08:38.780 And women

01:08:39.840 like to be

01:08:40.780 in stable

01:08:41.420 situations,

01:08:42.640 of course.

01:08:43.280 Everybody

01:08:43.580 does.

01:08:44.620 But the

01:08:46.380 researchers said

01:08:47.220 at least the

01:08:47.700 car part has

01:08:49.100 something to

01:08:49.680 do with

01:08:49.880 signaling a

01:08:50.820 higher social

01:08:51.500 status.

01:08:53.980 Money.

01:08:55.460 The car is

01:08:56.560 just a signal

01:08:57.180 of money.

01:08:58.180 It's not the

01:08:58.740 car.

01:08:59.780 Although women 1.00

01:09:00.560 do like,

01:09:01.800 women do see 1.00

01:09:02.540 their mate

01:09:03.740 and the

01:09:05.120 mate's car

01:09:05.860 as their

01:09:06.980 accessories.

01:09:08.240 By the way,

01:09:09.040 this is one

01:09:09.540 of the best

01:09:09.960 ways to

01:09:10.380 think about

01:09:10.800 this.

01:09:11.960 I know

01:09:12.560 people,

01:09:13.080 and I used

01:09:13.440 to be one,

01:09:14.860 how dumb

01:09:15.280 I was when

01:09:15.980 I was young.

01:09:16.800 I used to

01:09:17.420 think that I

01:09:18.320 would not be

01:09:18.860 judged by the

01:09:19.540 quality of my

01:09:20.300 automobile.

01:09:22.620 I know.

01:09:23.640 Pretty stupid.

01:09:25.280 I used to

01:09:25.960 think women 0.63

01:09:26.700 aren't going

01:09:27.120 to care.

01:09:28.100 They're going

01:09:28.420 to care about

01:09:28.900 my wonderful

01:09:29.660 personality,

01:09:31.320 my empathy,

01:09:32.780 my conversation

01:09:33.600 style,

01:09:34.800 my ability

01:09:35.320 to engage

01:09:36.380 things,

01:09:37.580 maybe my

01:09:38.900 clever thoughts,

01:09:41.860 my haircut.

01:09:43.440 I thought

01:09:43.960 those are the

01:09:44.380 things that

01:09:45.040 really influenced

01:09:45.780 women. 0.81

01:09:46.440 But it

01:09:46.680 turns out

01:09:47.120 it's your

01:09:47.620 car.

01:09:52.100 I've told

01:09:52.740 you the

01:09:53.020 story of

01:09:53.440 how I

01:09:53.700 learned that

01:09:54.120 the hard

01:09:54.460 way.

01:09:55.420 When I

01:09:55.760 was in

01:09:56.060 my 20s,

01:09:57.280 I guess,

01:09:57.600 I had

01:09:58.660 the worst

01:09:59.360 little

01:09:59.740 you'll never

01:10:00.420 get laid 0.82

01:10:00.960 car in

01:10:01.500 the world.

01:10:02.200 I mean,

01:10:02.420 I'm not

01:10:02.680 even going

01:10:02.960 to describe

01:10:03.420 it,

01:10:03.680 but it

01:10:03.880 was sad.

01:10:05.040 Nobody

01:10:05.480 would ever

01:10:05.880 get in

01:10:06.160 that car

01:10:06.660 and think,

01:10:07.520 you know,

01:10:08.620 I sure

01:10:09.080 want to

01:10:09.380 have sex 0.77

01:10:09.840 with the

01:10:10.140 owner of

01:10:10.500 this car.

01:10:11.920 I guarantee

01:10:12.560 nobody

01:10:13.020 ever had

01:10:13.400 that thought.

01:10:14.360 So one

01:10:14.820 day,

01:10:15.280 when things

01:10:16.100 were going

01:10:16.540 a little

01:10:16.800 bit better

01:10:17.180 in my

01:10:17.560 career,

01:10:18.040 this was

01:10:18.340 before

01:10:18.720 Dilbert,

01:10:19.320 but my

01:10:20.100 corporate

01:10:20.500 career was

01:10:21.180 advancing on

01:10:22.200 time,

01:10:22.840 and I

01:10:23.640 bought a

01:10:24.160 very old

01:10:25.120 BMW.

01:10:27.600 But it

01:10:28.100 was still

01:10:28.360 a BMW.

01:10:29.780 And one

01:10:30.620 day I

01:10:30.980 pulled it

01:10:31.320 into the

01:10:31.620 parking garage,

01:10:32.360 it was brand

01:10:32.820 new,

01:10:33.240 and I

01:10:33.460 wanted to

01:10:33.760 get the

01:10:34.040 opinion of

01:10:34.680 some other

01:10:35.300 people.

01:10:36.620 And my

01:10:37.920 neighbor had

01:10:38.440 a couple

01:10:38.760 of girls

01:10:39.520 who were

01:10:39.800 twins who

01:10:40.400 happened to

01:10:40.700 be hanging

01:10:41.140 out in the

01:10:41.740 parking lot.

01:10:42.740 And I

01:10:43.260 knew them

01:10:43.560 pretty well

01:10:43.960 because they

01:10:44.320 lived right

01:10:44.860 across the

01:10:45.360 hole.

01:10:46.180 And I

01:10:46.540 said to

01:10:46.820 them,

01:10:47.800 they noticed

01:10:48.600 the new

01:10:49.020 car and they

01:10:49.660 said something,

01:10:50.320 I said,

01:10:50.720 all right,

01:10:51.100 what do you

01:10:51.480 think of the

01:10:51.820 car?

01:10:52.200 And they're

01:10:52.380 like,

01:10:52.580 oh,

01:10:52.760 we love

01:10:53.040 it,

01:10:53.220 we love

01:10:53.500 it.

01:10:53.660 And I

01:10:55.420 said,

01:10:55.820 do you

01:10:56.060 think that

01:10:56.600 women will 1.00

01:10:57.800 like me

01:10:58.320 better because

01:10:58.900 I have this

01:10:59.500 car?

01:11:00.560 I remember

01:11:00.960 these are

01:11:01.320 like nine

01:11:02.100 year old

01:11:02.600 twin girls.

01:11:04.340 And the

01:11:04.740 nine year

01:11:05.160 olds said,

01:11:06.520 oh,

01:11:06.960 yeah,

01:11:07.900 oh,

01:11:08.360 yeah,

01:11:09.280 yeah.

01:11:11.060 And like

01:11:11.360 their eyes

01:11:11.820 got big,

01:11:12.360 like for

01:11:12.880 sure,

01:11:14.020 no doubt

01:11:14.420 about it.

01:11:15.380 And I'm

01:11:16.020 thinking,

01:11:16.780 it starts

01:11:17.620 that early.

01:11:19.120 The nine

01:11:19.680 year old

01:11:20.060 girls are 0.93

01:11:20.640 completely

01:11:21.180 aware that

01:11:22.500 if I don't

01:11:22.900 have a good

01:11:23.440 car,

01:11:23.880 I'm not

01:11:24.180 going to

01:11:24.400 get any

01:11:24.740 action.

01:11:25.840 At nine

01:11:26.320 years old,

01:11:26.760 they knew

01:11:27.080 that.

01:11:28.820 And once

01:11:29.720 you understand

01:11:30.600 that your

01:11:31.460 car is a

01:11:32.960 reflection of

01:11:33.840 the woman 0.98

01:11:34.180 who's in

01:11:34.600 it,

01:11:35.140 like she's 0.64

01:11:35.640 not going

01:11:35.960 to want

01:11:36.200 to be

01:11:36.600 painted

01:11:37.920 with the

01:11:38.860 embarrassment

01:11:39.640 of your

01:11:40.260 automobile

01:11:40.980 that the

01:11:41.660 paint is

01:11:42.060 falling off.

01:11:43.380 But if you

01:11:43.920 got a good

01:11:44.260 car,

01:11:44.600 it's like a

01:11:45.060 good accessory.

01:11:46.520 And the

01:11:46.760 same for how

01:11:47.380 you dress

01:11:47.940 and how tall

01:11:48.460 you are and

01:11:49.020 if you have

01:11:49.480 hair and all

01:11:49.980 that stuff.

01:11:51.400 Yes,

01:11:51.700 people are

01:11:52.200 shallow

01:11:52.680 but you'll

01:11:54.380 get used

01:11:54.680 to it.

01:11:57.140 All right.

01:11:59.360 What is it

01:12:00.200 that links

01:12:01.200 the various

01:12:02.200 groups on

01:12:02.720 the left?

01:12:03.140 The pro-Palestine 1.00

01:12:04.560 people with

01:12:05.200 the climate

01:12:05.640 people,

01:12:06.320 with the

01:12:06.640 gay rights

01:12:07.160 people,

01:12:08.060 with the

01:12:08.340 indigenous

01:12:08.700 rights

01:12:09.200 people,

01:12:10.260 et cetera.

01:12:10.620 of?

01:12:14.680 Apparently

01:12:15.160 it's some

01:12:15.480 kind of

01:12:15.840 intersectionality.

01:12:17.940 And I

01:12:18.320 was reading

01:12:18.640 some tweets

01:12:19.140 by Michael

01:12:19.840 Naina.

01:12:21.240 But one

01:12:23.180 thing they

01:12:23.540 have in

01:12:23.880 common,

01:12:25.040 all of

01:12:25.440 those groups

01:12:26.000 that you

01:12:26.340 would think

01:12:26.640 would be

01:12:26.960 completely

01:12:27.400 different

01:12:27.740 groups,

01:12:28.460 is a

01:12:29.580 victim

01:12:29.900 narrative.

01:12:32.000 And the

01:12:32.560 oppressor is

01:12:33.240 always the

01:12:33.600 same person.

01:12:34.460 It's always

01:12:34.820 somebody white.

01:12:35.680 So everybody

01:12:38.080 who is

01:12:39.100 not a

01:12:40.260 white person

01:12:42.400 with money

01:12:42.960 thinks that

01:12:45.340 all of their

01:12:45.940 groups have

01:12:46.460 in common,

01:12:47.460 if only

01:12:47.980 those white

01:12:49.960 people would

01:12:50.420 do something

01:12:50.900 differently,

01:12:52.100 things would

01:12:52.680 be better

01:12:53.060 for all the

01:12:53.480 rest of us.

01:12:56.560 So that's

01:12:57.280 what they

01:12:57.500 have in

01:12:57.740 common.

01:12:59.000 So to

01:13:00.100 say that

01:13:00.960 they are

01:13:01.440 illegitimate

01:13:02.240 would be

01:13:03.720 an

01:13:04.080 understatement.

01:13:06.140 All right.

01:13:07.920 I guess

01:13:08.640 the U.S.

01:13:09.400 is telling

01:13:10.000 Qatar to

01:13:11.360 give up the

01:13:12.200 Hamas leader 0.78

01:13:12.940 who lives in

01:13:13.520 luxury in

01:13:14.280 Qatar.

01:13:14.920 I would like

01:13:15.720 to suggest

01:13:16.440 the following

01:13:17.200 technique for

01:13:19.220 getting that

01:13:19.720 guy.

01:13:20.680 I think

01:13:21.280 Israel and

01:13:22.040 or the

01:13:22.340 United States

01:13:22.940 in conjunction

01:13:23.580 should say

01:13:24.620 to Qatar,

01:13:25.360 this guy

01:13:26.200 is dead.

01:13:27.620 The only

01:13:28.100 thing you

01:13:28.540 have to

01:13:28.900 decide is

01:13:29.560 where he

01:13:29.900 is when

01:13:30.200 it happens.

01:13:30.680 we're

01:13:32.220 going to

01:13:32.440 kill him

01:13:32.760 in Qatar

01:13:33.140 if we

01:13:33.980 don't have

01:13:34.300 a choice

01:13:34.740 and we're

01:13:35.600 going to

01:13:35.820 do it

01:13:36.080 on Tuesday.

01:13:38.000 I think

01:13:38.580 that's the

01:13:38.900 way you

01:13:39.100 have to

01:13:39.360 play it

01:13:40.040 because

01:13:40.700 as long

01:13:42.520 as Qatar

01:13:43.020 thinks that

01:13:43.800 this is a

01:13:44.360 point of

01:13:44.720 negotiation

01:13:45.380 or that

01:13:46.640 maybe it

01:13:47.300 won't happen,

01:13:48.120 they're going

01:13:48.480 to act that

01:13:48.940 way.

01:13:49.740 You have

01:13:50.120 to take

01:13:50.500 away from

01:13:50.960 them any

01:13:51.860 notion that

01:13:52.620 this guy

01:13:53.060 isn't going

01:13:53.480 to die on

01:13:53.960 Tuesday.

01:13:55.020 You have

01:13:55.360 to say

01:13:55.700 Tuesday

01:13:56.220 he dies.

01:13:57.540 The only

01:13:58.120 question that

01:13:58.760 we're asking

01:13:59.300 you is where

01:14:00.020 you want

01:14:00.400 him to

01:14:00.640 be.

01:14:01.420 If you

01:14:01.720 want him

01:14:02.060 to be

01:14:02.340 in one

01:14:02.680 of your

01:14:02.940 nicest

01:14:03.400 high-rise

01:14:04.040 buildings,

01:14:04.780 we are

01:14:05.160 going to

01:14:05.360 take him

01:14:05.680 out there.

01:14:07.100 It's going

01:14:07.740 to be

01:14:07.940 Tuesday and

01:14:09.100 there will

01:14:09.440 be casualties.

01:14:11.040 I know

01:14:11.660 Qatar,

01:14:12.220 you're going

01:14:12.580 to have

01:14:12.760 to do

01:14:13.000 everything

01:14:13.320 you can

01:14:13.820 to punish

01:14:14.320 us back

01:14:14.840 in whatever

01:14:15.240 way you

01:14:15.700 can and

01:14:16.460 we're going

01:14:16.760 to take

01:14:17.040 that punishment.

01:14:18.740 The only

01:14:19.220 thing that's

01:14:19.620 not going

01:14:20.020 to happen

01:14:20.380 is he's

01:14:21.240 going to

01:14:21.420 be alive

01:14:21.820 on Wednesday.

01:14:22.760 The only

01:14:23.080 thing we

01:14:23.420 can guarantee

01:14:24.000 you is

01:14:24.660 he's going

01:14:25.000 to be

01:14:25.160 dead.

01:14:26.040 You only

01:14:26.680 get to

01:14:27.020 decide

01:14:27.500 where it

01:14:28.640 happens

01:14:28.960 and when.

01:14:29.580 Not even

01:14:29.960 when,

01:14:30.340 you get

01:14:30.720 to decide

01:14:31.140 where.

01:14:31.960 So we'd

01:14:32.520 like you

01:14:32.820 to give

01:14:33.120 him up,

01:14:34.080 but if you

01:14:34.640 want to

01:14:34.880 just walk

01:14:35.300 him out

01:14:35.580 to the

01:14:35.800 desert

01:14:36.060 where we

01:14:36.480 can kill

01:14:36.860 him,

01:14:37.040 that would

01:14:37.240 be great.

01:14:38.200 But if you

01:14:38.600 want him

01:14:38.860 to be in

01:14:39.180 one of your

01:14:39.580 very expensive

01:14:40.280 high-rises

01:14:40.820 in the middle

01:14:41.360 of your

01:14:41.660 main city,

01:14:42.520 we'll do

01:14:42.880 that too.

01:14:44.160 On

01:14:44.480 Tuesday.

01:14:45.940 On

01:14:46.200 fucking

01:14:46.520 Tuesday.

01:14:48.840 I don't

01:14:49.360 see any

01:14:49.780 other way

01:14:50.140 to handle

01:14:50.500 it,

01:14:50.740 do you?

01:14:51.520 Now this

01:14:52.060 is something

01:14:52.440 that you

01:14:52.820 couldn't

01:14:53.260 do under

01:14:54.160 any other

01:14:54.700 context

01:14:55.340 than the

01:14:56.240 October 7th

01:14:57.520 horrors.

01:14:59.480 After those

01:15:00.280 horrors,

01:15:00.980 everybody knows

01:15:01.740 you're not

01:15:02.140 kidding.

01:15:03.360 If they

01:15:04.420 thought you

01:15:04.820 were bluffing,

01:15:06.020 they'd play

01:15:06.880 it that way.

01:15:08.800 Do you

01:15:09.080 think Israel's 0.96

01:15:09.780 bluffing?

01:15:10.920 Would you

01:15:11.340 think Israel 0.93

01:15:11.940 was bluffing

01:15:12.640 if they

01:15:13.020 said we're

01:15:13.440 going to

01:15:13.560 take out

01:15:14.020 two stories

01:15:16.140 of that

01:15:16.440 building and

01:15:17.300 we're going

01:15:17.580 to do it

01:15:17.880 on Tuesday

01:15:18.380 and there's

01:15:18.920 nothing you

01:15:19.420 can do

01:15:19.680 about it?

01:15:20.760 And whatever

01:15:21.300 you do to

01:15:21.840 us,

01:15:22.080 we'll take

01:15:22.400 it.

01:15:23.780 No.

01:15:24.520 They would

01:15:24.900 mean it.

01:15:25.300 And I

01:15:26.220 think they

01:15:26.560 could do

01:15:26.920 it.

01:15:29.620 So that's

01:15:30.240 the way I

01:15:30.500 play it.

01:15:31.240 I wouldn't

01:15:31.580 act like

01:15:32.440 maybe

01:15:32.840 Qatar has 0.87

01:15:33.360 a choice.

01:15:34.120 They only

01:15:34.500 have a

01:15:34.760 choice of

01:15:35.320 where.

01:15:38.500 And ladies 0.94

01:15:39.180 and gentlemen,

01:15:40.500 this concludes

01:15:41.140 the best

01:15:41.500 live stream

01:15:41.960 you'll see

01:15:42.300 today.

01:15:45.480 We'll talk

01:15:46.180 lots more

01:15:46.620 about other

01:15:47.020 stuff at

01:15:47.400 other times.

01:15:48.700 I hope

01:15:49.080 this was

01:15:49.460 useful to

01:15:49.920 you.

01:15:51.140 And

01:15:51.580 what?

01:15:55.300 Have

01:15:55.860 MBS

01:15:56.260 make the

01:15:56.720 call.

01:15:57.240 Yeah,

01:15:57.400 maybe.

01:15:59.860 All right.

01:16:00.780 Thanks for

01:16:01.380 joining YouTube.

01:16:02.280 I'll talk

01:16:02.840 to you

01:16:03.380 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 01, 2023

Episode 2279 Scott Adams： CWSA 11⧸01⧸23, Solving US Debt Problem And More

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