Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2284 Scott Adams： CWSA 11⧸06⧸23, Grok And All The Headlines Too, With Coffee

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:03.440 Roo-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p-p freelance. 1.00

00:00:09.860 I'll even put it on the microphone for the YouTube people, because that's how much I love you.

00:00:16.200 Yeah.

00:00:16.860 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the finest thing that ever happened in your life.

00:00:23.760 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and I don't believe civilization has ever experienced

00:00:28.480 say things like this before and wherever it will.

00:00:31.300 And if you'd like to take it up to

00:00:32.520 levels that only

00:00:34.080 AI can even understand, all you need

00:00:36.520 is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or

00:00:38.520 chalice or a stein, a canteen jug or

00:00:40.600 a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:43.200 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:44.660 I like coffee. And join me now

00:00:46.560 for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine

00:00:48.300 at the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called

00:00:50.460 the Simultaneous Sip.

00:00:52.440 And it happens now. Go.

00:00:54.040 Oh, that's good.

00:01:00.140 You know, I can't wait to have a

00:01:02.420 coffee robot.

00:01:04.140 It's nice to have a coffee machine

00:01:06.620 that makes your coffee for you.

00:01:08.940 That's okay, sure.

00:01:12.000 But I still have to stand up and walk over

00:01:14.480 and get it. And then

00:01:16.300 walk all the way back. Where is

00:01:18.360 my coffee robot?

00:01:20.160 Can I make a prediction?

00:01:21.380 The following

00:01:24.100 prediction.

00:01:26.260 In three years,

00:01:27.920 I'll be doing this show,

00:01:30.840 you know, just like today,

00:01:32.360 except while you're watching me,

00:01:34.780 my Tesla

00:01:36.020 robot will bring

00:01:38.080 me a cup of coffee while

00:01:39.960 I'm live. Anybody want to take

00:01:41.980 a bet? Do you want to take

00:01:43.940 a bet that my Tesla robot

00:01:45.980 will bring me my coffee

00:01:47.540 while you're watching on a live stream

00:01:49.860 within three years?

00:01:52.140 Anybody want to take that bet?

00:01:54.100 What a time

00:01:55.620 to be alive.

00:01:57.080 Are you kidding me?

00:01:59.200 A hundred

00:01:59.860 thousand years of human evolution

00:02:01.940 and you get to be alive

00:02:04.220 when the frickin'

00:02:06.120 sentient robot

00:02:06.940 brings you coffee.

00:02:09.000 That is amazing.

00:02:10.980 We actually

00:02:11.820 have flying cars.

00:02:13.560 Now, they only last

00:02:14.440 20 minutes on a charge

00:02:15.960 or whatever it is.

00:02:16.720 but we do have

00:02:18.340 flying cars.

00:02:19.940 There is actually

00:02:20.840 a business called

00:02:22.180 the Jetson One

00:02:23.640 for

00:02:25.200 a hundred

00:02:25.600 thousand dollars

00:02:26.420 sell you

00:02:27.560 a 20-minute ride

00:02:28.760 you know,

00:02:29.480 per charge.

00:02:31.600 Now, I couldn't buy

00:02:33.020 a hundred

00:02:33.540 thousand dollar

00:02:34.340 flying car.

00:02:37.500 Here's why.

00:02:40.220 20 minutes?

00:02:42.060 I don't know about you

00:02:42.920 but my personality

00:02:43.940 would make me panic

00:02:45.060 one minute in.

00:02:46.840 I only got 19 minutes

00:02:47.940 to get back?

00:02:48.720 How am I going to get

00:02:49.500 this car back?

00:02:50.600 I'd be flying

00:02:52.020 and looking at my

00:02:52.820 watch,

00:02:53.940 my Apple watch

00:02:54.660 I guess

00:02:54.980 at the same time.

00:02:57.460 15 minutes?

00:02:58.300 Oh God,

00:02:58.820 oh God,

00:02:59.280 I got to get back.

00:03:00.180 Oh,

00:03:00.740 I only have 10 minutes.

00:03:02.200 I only have 10 minutes.

00:03:03.200 So for me

00:03:03.840 it would be a

00:03:04.440 five-minute charge

00:03:05.940 because after five minutes

00:03:07.740 I'd be like

00:03:08.200 I'm getting back.

00:03:08.920 I'm getting back.

00:03:09.600 I don't even know

00:03:10.380 if these dials are correct.

00:03:11.540 I don't want to be up here

00:03:12.240 when this battery stops.

00:03:13.820 So,

00:03:14.380 it's not quite

00:03:15.600 where I need it.

00:03:17.240 I still look at

00:03:18.120 an electric car

00:03:18.940 with a 350-mile range

00:03:20.840 and I tell myself

00:03:21.620 I'm not comfortable

00:03:23.500 with that

00:03:23.860 going to the grocery store.

00:03:26.180 I'm not even joking.

00:03:28.120 Like it would actually

00:03:28.820 give me anxiety

00:03:29.640 that my electric car

00:03:31.160 only had a charge

00:03:32.020 of 300 miles.

00:03:34.140 I can barely deal

00:03:35.700 with a gas engine.

00:03:37.260 It's like,

00:03:37.640 all right,

00:03:38.040 full tank.

00:03:39.420 I think I can make it

00:03:40.320 to the corner

00:03:40.800 and back.

00:03:42.220 It's just a personal thing.

00:03:44.000 Well,

00:03:44.540 in the big news

00:03:45.580 I'll start with

00:03:46.200 the little news

00:03:46.760 and work to the big news

00:03:47.680 if you don't mind.

00:03:48.320 Get you warmed up

00:03:49.240 beginning of the week.

00:03:51.320 There was a windsurfer

00:03:52.460 who was hit by a whale.

00:03:54.920 They say it was

00:03:55.500 a one-in-a-million accident.

00:03:57.920 And he had his,

00:03:58.440 here's the funny thing,

00:03:59.400 he had some kind of

00:04:00.120 a GoPro

00:04:00.620 or something filming it

00:04:02.120 so you could actually see,

00:04:04.280 you know,

00:04:04.680 his windsurfer thing

00:04:06.960 going forward on a,

00:04:08.520 I guess that's what

00:04:09.300 it's called,

00:04:09.740 when you have like

00:04:10.200 a surfboard

00:04:11.800 with a parachute.

00:04:13.760 I mean,

00:04:15.080 that's either

00:04:15.660 for attacking Israel 0.52

00:04:16.780 or it's some kind

00:04:18.260 of surfboarding thing,

00:04:19.120 right?

00:04:20.260 Could have two purposes.

00:04:22.020 But he hits his whale

00:04:23.400 and he gets like

00:04:24.080 a really clean picture

00:04:25.180 of the whale.

00:04:28.840 So,

00:04:29.560 one in a million,

00:04:31.040 whale hits a windsurfer

00:04:32.700 and he gets a really

00:04:34.080 clean image of it.

00:04:36.000 Still,

00:04:38.540 no good clean images

00:04:39.980 of a UFO.

00:04:42.660 That's where I was

00:04:43.520 going with this.

00:04:44.820 We also have the

00:04:45.860 sighting of a

00:04:47.580 one-in-a-million

00:04:48.300 an albino moose.

00:04:50.600 That was,

00:04:51.180 I think,

00:04:51.680 last week or so.

00:04:53.260 Albino moose.

00:04:54.340 Nice,

00:04:55.040 clear picture

00:04:55.780 of an albino moose.

00:04:58.180 Still no picture

00:04:59.120 of a UFO.

00:05:00.780 Not a clean one.

00:05:02.620 So,

00:05:03.060 I guess that's just chance.

00:05:05.300 All right.

00:05:06.380 My next episode

00:05:07.440 I call

00:05:08.080 Backward Science.

00:05:10.300 Backward Science! 0.94

00:05:13.440 That's where

00:05:14.200 studies get the

00:05:15.160 correlation backwards.

00:05:16.300 Maybe.

00:05:17.280 But I'm going to teach

00:05:18.200 you a new trick

00:05:18.980 on this one.

00:05:21.560 Here's the headline.

00:05:23.220 Regular exercise

00:05:24.060 helps people

00:05:24.940 avoid the need

00:05:25.780 for antidepressants.

00:05:28.280 Pretty good.

00:05:29.700 That sounds like

00:05:30.460 a good positive

00:05:31.320 development.

00:05:32.140 But also,

00:05:32.820 it feels like

00:05:33.320 you already knew

00:05:33.840 that, right?

00:05:34.340 Don't you feel

00:05:35.960 like you already

00:05:36.500 knew that?

00:05:37.340 Well,

00:05:37.580 it turns out

00:05:38.040 that there's

00:05:38.460 some ambiguity

00:05:39.000 in the science.

00:05:41.320 It's not obvious

00:05:42.520 that exercise

00:05:43.280 does help everybody

00:05:44.340 because,

00:05:46.200 and I'm going to

00:05:46.640 compliment the

00:05:47.460 study people,

00:05:48.720 they say directly

00:05:49.700 that they were

00:05:51.500 very conscious

00:05:52.180 that the correlation

00:05:53.900 might work

00:05:54.440 the other way.

00:05:55.780 They were very

00:05:56.320 conscious that

00:05:57.080 it could be

00:05:57.620 that if you're

00:05:58.220 depressed,

00:05:59.100 you're less likely

00:06:00.260 to go to the gym.

00:06:00.980 doesn't that

00:06:02.320 make sense?

00:06:03.380 So the correlation

00:06:04.320 between who's

00:06:05.300 happy and who's

00:06:05.920 exercising

00:06:06.500 might be a

00:06:07.160 backwards correlation,

00:06:08.540 but here's the

00:06:09.520 good news.

00:06:10.420 They designed

00:06:11.100 the test

00:06:11.760 to control

00:06:13.280 for that.

00:06:14.600 So they took

00:06:15.420 people who were

00:06:16.120 not on any

00:06:16.760 kind of medicine,

00:06:17.820 they said this

00:06:18.700 random group

00:06:19.360 will exercise,

00:06:20.340 this random

00:06:20.760 group will not,

00:06:22.740 and the group

00:06:23.420 that exercised

00:06:24.100 had better outcomes.

00:06:26.060 Now,

00:06:26.560 what was wrong

00:06:27.180 with this study?

00:06:28.480 Well,

00:06:29.160 here's the title

00:06:29.920 of this,

00:06:30.320 here's the headline.

00:06:32.480 Most people are

00:06:33.200 just going to read

00:06:33.680 the headline,

00:06:34.200 right?

00:06:35.140 Realistically.

00:06:36.260 Here's the headline.

00:06:37.380 Listen to the

00:06:38.200 exact wording.

00:06:39.860 Regular exercise

00:06:40.780 helps people avoid

00:06:42.000 the need for

00:06:42.560 antidepressants.

00:06:44.320 That's the headline.

00:06:45.620 Now,

00:06:45.900 let's hear the

00:06:47.000 exact words

00:06:47.820 of what the

00:06:48.240 study participant

00:06:49.020 or the study

00:06:49.980 author said.

00:06:53.640 Um,

00:06:54.160 ba-ba-ba-ba-ba.

00:06:55.520 Uh,

00:06:55.960 the authors

00:06:58.720 actually say,

00:06:59.920 or is it the

00:07:00.600 people who have

00:07:01.580 these mental

00:07:02.240 conditions

00:07:02.820 exercise less

00:07:04.140 often?

00:07:05.220 Boom.

00:07:06.120 So they had

00:07:06.580 actually,

00:07:07.180 you know,

00:07:07.740 controlled the

00:07:08.320 study for that.

00:07:09.280 Good work.

00:07:09.940 Good work.

00:07:11.280 But,

00:07:11.720 um,

00:07:12.640 here's what the

00:07:13.260 study authors

00:07:13.840 concluded from

00:07:14.900 their own study.

00:07:16.840 In their words,

00:07:18.360 uh,

00:07:18.800 exercise was

00:07:19.840 likely helping

00:07:21.000 to prevent

00:07:22.040 conditions from

00:07:23.060 manifesting.

00:07:23.880 In other words,

00:07:24.440 it was likely

00:07:25.840 helping to

00:07:27.560 keep you from

00:07:28.460 having your

00:07:29.880 actual depression.

00:07:31.860 Now,

00:07:32.120 does likely

00:07:33.260 helping match

00:07:34.600 the headline?

00:07:35.760 Regular exercise

00:07:36.720 helps people

00:07:37.540 avoid the need

00:07:38.240 for antidepressants.

00:07:40.440 No.

00:07:41.680 No,

00:07:42.260 likely is

00:07:42.860 different from

00:07:43.480 it does.

00:07:45.660 Likely,

00:07:46.280 likely is

00:07:47.240 the correct

00:07:48.720 scientific

00:07:50.020 interpretation.

00:07:52.260 Scientists

00:07:52.740 got it

00:07:53.200 right.

00:07:54.480 Uh,

00:07:54.800 the

00:07:54.980 causality

00:07:56.700 getting

00:07:56.980 backwards,

00:07:57.800 scientists

00:07:58.260 got it

00:07:58.740 right.

00:07:59.920 So the

00:08:00.340 scientists

00:08:00.720 got everything

00:08:01.380 right,

00:08:02.220 except that

00:08:03.140 it was a,

00:08:03.740 I think it

00:08:04.040 was a small

00:08:04.560 study group.

00:08:06.560 Um,

00:08:07.700 well,

00:08:07.920 actually,

00:08:08.180 that's the

00:08:08.420 next one.

00:08:09.220 Uh,

00:08:09.500 but then

00:08:09.980 the,

00:08:10.360 but then

00:08:10.940 the,

00:08:11.320 uh,

00:08:11.860 journalist

00:08:12.340 turned it

00:08:13.120 wrong.

00:08:14.880 So be

00:08:15.560 careful of

00:08:16.060 that.

00:08:16.480 The

00:08:16.620 scientists

00:08:16.980 can get

00:08:17.480 everything

00:08:17.820 right,

00:08:18.520 and the

00:08:19.120 journalist

00:08:19.480 can just

00:08:19.900 write a,

00:08:20.520 or the

00:08:20.860 editor,

00:08:21.520 can write

00:08:22.500 a headline

00:08:22.960 that just

00:08:23.380 doesn't match

00:08:23.900 the story.

00:08:24.960 And if you

00:08:25.480 didn't read,

00:08:26.660 and where

00:08:27.100 was the

00:08:27.540 part about

00:08:28.360 likely?

00:08:30.160 How far

00:08:30.700 in the

00:08:31.040 article do

00:08:31.540 you have

00:08:31.720 to read

00:08:32.200 before you

00:08:33.100 get to

00:08:33.380 the word,

00:08:33.920 well,

00:08:34.120 it's likely

00:08:34.580 it helps.

00:08:35.740 The last

00:08:36.240 paragraph.

00:08:37.320 The last

00:08:38.100 paragraph

00:08:38.560 negates

00:08:39.160 the,

00:08:39.620 the headline.

00:08:40.760 In fact,

00:08:41.420 as a

00:08:42.040 practice,

00:08:42.980 this is

00:08:43.860 what you

00:08:44.180 should do.

00:08:44.900 If it's

00:08:45.440 anything about

00:08:46.060 a scientific

00:08:46.780 study,

00:08:48.120 you should

00:08:48.740 read the

00:08:49.120 first paragraph

00:08:50.340 because that

00:08:50.740 tells you

00:08:51.040 what it

00:08:51.300 did.

00:08:52.360 Always

00:08:52.800 skip to

00:08:53.480 the last

00:08:53.920 paragraphs,

00:08:54.920 last two

00:08:55.500 paragraphs.

00:08:56.500 Always look

00:08:57.160 at them,

00:08:57.680 because that's

00:08:58.120 where they'll

00:08:58.540 hide the,

00:08:59.080 well,

00:08:59.280 we didn't

00:08:59.560 really mean

00:08:59.980 it,

00:09:00.260 probably

00:09:00.480 doesn't

00:09:00.740 mean

00:09:00.880 anything.

00:09:02.360 All right,

00:09:02.680 here's another

00:09:03.080 one that's

00:09:03.620 not backward

00:09:04.240 science.

00:09:06.680 A study

00:09:07.220 said that

00:09:07.740 those who

00:09:08.120 consumed

00:09:08.680 high-quality

00:09:10.200 olive oil

00:09:10.920 experienced a

00:09:12.600 significant

00:09:13.100 reduction in

00:09:13.840 blood pressure.

00:09:15.160 Well,

00:09:15.300 that's good

00:09:15.640 news,

00:09:16.840 right?

00:09:17.140 And I

00:09:18.060 think they

00:09:18.460 did the

00:09:19.340 study in

00:09:20.260 the right

00:09:20.580 way.

00:09:21.660 They picked

00:09:22.080 people and

00:09:22.820 randomly selected

00:09:23.820 them and gave

00:09:25.320 some the olive

00:09:25.940 oil and some

00:09:26.700 not, and by

00:09:27.180 the way, it

00:09:27.460 only works with

00:09:28.160 a high-end

00:09:28.840 olive oil that

00:09:29.580 has some

00:09:30.840 specific stuff

00:09:31.760 in it that's

00:09:32.520 good for you,

00:09:33.060 I guess.

00:09:34.440 I didn't write

00:09:34.880 down what it

00:09:35.360 is.

00:09:35.860 But here's

00:09:36.260 what's wrong

00:09:37.100 with the

00:09:37.440 study.

00:09:38.880 They studied

00:09:39.460 50 people.

00:09:42.320 Would you

00:09:42.780 ever alter

00:09:45.480 your life

00:09:46.100 because there

00:09:46.980 was a

00:09:47.300 scientific study

00:09:48.120 with 50

00:09:48.640 people in

00:09:49.120 it?

00:09:50.080 You should

00:09:50.460 probably not.

00:09:52.760 That's way 0.98

00:09:53.380 too small.

00:09:54.380 That's what

00:09:54.700 you call an 0.64

00:09:55.180 underpowered

00:09:55.800 study.

00:09:56.820 It doesn't

00:09:57.220 mean they're

00:09:57.600 wrong.

00:09:58.640 I'm not

00:09:58.920 saying they're

00:09:59.320 wrong.

00:10:00.120 I'm just

00:10:00.500 saying it's

00:10:00.920 underpowered.

00:10:02.460 So that's

00:10:04.080 what you

00:10:04.400 should learn.

00:10:05.080 Look for

00:10:05.640 the last

00:10:06.340 paragraph

00:10:06.800 negating the

00:10:07.800 title, and

00:10:08.880 then look for

00:10:09.400 the number

00:10:09.820 of participants.

00:10:11.320 Those are

00:10:11.600 two things

00:10:12.060 you should

00:10:12.340 look for

00:10:12.680 right away.

00:10:13.080 However, as

00:10:16.120 I often tell

00:10:16.880 you, when it

00:10:17.980 comes to your

00:10:18.500 own diet and

00:10:19.320 fitness, you

00:10:20.560 should be a

00:10:21.060 continuous

00:10:21.520 experimenter.

00:10:23.280 So since I'm

00:10:23.880 actually working

00:10:25.180 on getting my

00:10:25.840 blood pressure

00:10:26.380 down, I'll

00:10:28.540 test this.

00:10:30.400 I'll actually

00:10:30.920 just see what

00:10:31.420 happens.

00:10:32.300 Because I think

00:10:32.840 it's maybe like a

00:10:33.860 teaspoon of olive

00:10:34.780 oil a day or

00:10:35.460 something like

00:10:35.880 that.

00:10:36.680 Maybe.

00:10:38.100 I can't imagine

00:10:39.680 it would hurt

00:10:40.280 me to do a

00:10:41.800 little more

00:10:42.160 olive oil,

00:10:42.820 right?

00:10:43.960 So there's no

00:10:44.680 downside.

00:10:45.660 I can just

00:10:46.080 test it for a

00:10:46.720 month, see if

00:10:47.360 I see any

00:10:47.760 difference.

00:10:50.820 All right.

00:10:53.080 Remember how I

00:10:54.000 told you that

00:10:55.460 the opposite, I

00:10:58.400 didn't make this

00:10:59.000 up, it was

00:10:59.920 something I saw

00:11:00.500 from somebody

00:11:00.980 else, that the

00:11:02.080 opposite of

00:11:02.720 addiction is

00:11:03.420 human connection.

00:11:05.460 It's not a

00:11:06.200 sobriety.

00:11:07.300 That if you have

00:11:07.840 human connection,

00:11:08.840 your need for

00:11:09.380 addiction goes

00:11:10.020 way down.

00:11:11.360 Now this explains

00:11:12.340 several things

00:11:13.340 which have

00:11:15.780 always been

00:11:16.220 puzzles to me.

00:11:17.480 And I'm not

00:11:17.880 positive that I

00:11:18.880 have this factually

00:11:19.780 right, but tell

00:11:20.420 me if you've

00:11:20.860 heard this before.

00:11:22.760 After Vietnam, 0.78

00:11:24.540 there were a

00:11:24.920 number of people

00:11:25.500 who were hooked

00:11:26.180 on heroin while

00:11:27.280 they were over

00:11:27.660 there because they

00:11:28.240 kind of needed it

00:11:29.280 to get through the

00:11:29.860 day, who came

00:11:31.320 back to the

00:11:31.780 United States and

00:11:33.100 allegedly, I need a

00:11:34.260 fact check on

00:11:34.880 this, but it's been

00:11:36.000 reported that they

00:11:37.380 had very little

00:11:38.200 effort in just

00:11:39.660 getting off of

00:11:40.520 heroin.

00:11:41.840 Does that sound

00:11:42.680 familiar?

00:11:43.360 Have you ever

00:11:43.740 heard that?

00:11:44.720 That people coming

00:11:45.460 back with heroin

00:11:46.160 addictions just

00:11:47.120 got off it like

00:11:48.580 it was nothing.

00:11:49.880 Now, what does

00:11:50.780 that tell you?

00:11:51.620 Like, what was it

00:11:52.440 about being home

00:11:53.360 other than not

00:11:54.580 being scared to be

00:11:55.440 killed every minute?

00:11:57.020 But you should

00:11:58.000 have been physically

00:11:58.820 addicted.

00:12:00.020 It shouldn't have

00:12:00.560 mattered that the

00:12:01.220 reason you started

00:12:02.100 was no longer

00:12:03.380 valid.

00:12:04.220 The drug itself

00:12:05.200 should have done

00:12:05.700 what the drug

00:12:06.200 does and make you

00:12:06.920 addicted.

00:12:07.220 But here's what's

00:12:09.120 different.

00:12:10.200 When you come

00:12:10.880 home, you

00:12:11.520 probably re-engage

00:12:12.760 socially.

00:12:14.240 You become

00:12:15.060 connected again to

00:12:16.160 your family and

00:12:17.400 your community.

00:12:19.360 So, again,

00:12:21.080 there's something

00:12:21.580 that's, you

00:12:22.260 know, anecdotally,

00:12:23.760 is very consistent

00:12:24.800 with that idea that

00:12:25.920 human connection is

00:12:27.060 a direct replacement

00:12:28.020 for addiction.

00:12:30.100 But I came up

00:12:31.020 with another

00:12:31.500 example.

00:12:33.660 You may have

00:12:34.480 seen me do a

00:12:35.100 video of this.

00:12:35.700 It's kind of

00:12:36.100 funny.

00:12:36.340 My dog

00:12:37.440 Snickers refuses

00:12:39.320 to eat her

00:12:40.400 regular food,

00:12:41.680 which is, at

00:12:42.300 this point, it's

00:12:43.300 a high-end,

00:12:44.360 you know, moist

00:12:45.280 food.

00:12:47.000 She's on a

00:12:47.700 special diet, but

00:12:48.400 she likes that

00:12:48.920 food.

00:12:50.900 But she will not

00:12:52.120 eat that if I'm

00:12:53.740 awake and home.

00:12:56.260 If I'm in the

00:12:57.000 house, she will 0.91

00:12:58.380 follow me every

00:12:59.060 time I get my

00:12:59.680 coffee, because

00:13:00.320 it's, you know,

00:13:01.060 in the same place

00:13:01.700 as the treats,

00:13:02.640 and she'll beg for

00:13:03.660 treats.

00:13:04.020 And I thought

00:13:05.500 the other day

00:13:05.980 when I was

00:13:06.300 thinking about

00:13:06.720 this addiction

00:13:07.420 versus connection

00:13:08.380 thing, that she's 1.00

00:13:10.320 just begging for

00:13:10.960 treats all day

00:13:11.580 long.

00:13:12.640 And I said to

00:13:13.520 myself, that's

00:13:14.160 basically an

00:13:14.860 addiction.

00:13:16.300 She's addicted to 1.00

00:13:17.200 treats.

00:13:18.220 And I thought,

00:13:19.000 what if I try to

00:13:19.920 give her a human 0.99

00:13:20.960 connection instead

00:13:22.620 of a treat?

00:13:24.240 So since she can't

00:13:25.360 have infinite treats,

00:13:26.540 you know, I give

00:13:28.080 her a few, but,

00:13:28.880 you know, I keep

00:13:29.440 it in a reasonable

00:13:30.960 diet-friendly

00:13:31.840 amount.

00:13:33.880 And so instead,

00:13:35.580 I go over and

00:13:36.320 give her some 0.98

00:13:36.820 attention.

00:13:37.980 Like, give her

00:13:38.400 some real direct

00:13:39.260 attention.

00:13:39.980 Petting her, making

00:13:40.920 sure I'm touching

00:13:41.600 her, giving her my

00:13:42.860 full attention for,

00:13:43.860 like, a minute.

00:13:45.120 And she seems just

00:13:46.220 as happy.

00:13:47.220 And she walks

00:13:47.820 away like...

00:13:51.440 And she walks

00:13:52.980 away like she'd

00:13:55.000 had a treat.

00:13:55.460 And I thought,

00:13:58.160 does this explain

00:13:59.120 everything?

00:14:00.920 Like, have we

00:14:01.860 literally cured

00:14:02.820 addiction?

00:14:04.580 Like, could you

00:14:05.240 take somebody as

00:14:06.060 an experiment and

00:14:08.200 just say, all

00:14:09.480 right, we're going

00:14:09.900 to experiment on

00:14:10.700 you?

00:14:12.240 You know, you can

00:14:13.380 live with this cool

00:14:14.560 family who's really

00:14:16.220 warm and they'll

00:14:17.020 love you and

00:14:17.780 see what happens.

00:14:20.260 Just see what

00:14:21.060 happens.

00:14:21.640 You wonder if you

00:14:22.880 could hug an

00:14:23.900 addict out of it.

00:14:25.460 Like, literally.

00:14:27.160 Imagine if you

00:14:27.940 were an addict, but

00:14:29.600 once a day, a

00:14:31.000 bunch of cool

00:14:31.920 strangers could

00:14:32.720 come up to you

00:14:33.460 and just give you

00:14:34.140 like a warm

00:14:34.720 embrace.

00:14:37.380 Probably cure

00:14:38.240 you.

00:14:39.080 I don't know.

00:14:40.280 Anyway, we're

00:14:41.380 monitoring this

00:14:42.220 space.

00:14:43.360 In other news,

00:14:44.540 Vivek Ramaswamy was

00:14:45.660 on CNN, which is

00:14:46.660 always fun.

00:14:48.260 I don't think

00:14:49.120 anybody has done

00:14:50.080 a better job

00:14:50.980 getting interviewed

00:14:52.760 on CNN than

00:14:54.020 Vivek Ramaswamy.

00:14:55.460 If you've seen

00:14:56.260 him, I think

00:14:56.760 you'd agree.

00:14:58.060 Because the

00:14:58.740 thing he does

00:14:59.260 better than

00:14:59.720 anybody is he

00:15:01.380 sticks to the

00:15:02.140 part, he sticks

00:15:03.440 to the Republican,

00:15:04.840 let's say,

00:15:06.320 philosophy, without

00:15:08.080 saying things that

00:15:09.020 are batshit crazy,

00:15:10.920 which is sort of

00:15:11.540 hard to do.

00:15:13.360 You know what I

00:15:14.120 mean?

00:15:15.160 It's hard to say

00:15:16.120 things that even

00:15:17.840 the Democrats would

00:15:19.040 agree are factually

00:15:20.120 true.

00:15:20.500 But he does

00:15:21.800 that.

00:15:22.100 So he was being

00:15:24.980 accosted by Jim

00:15:26.080 Acosta.

00:15:27.540 I never realized

00:15:28.780 why that was his

00:15:29.660 name before.

00:15:31.460 So Jim is actually

00:15:32.300 the person who

00:15:32.880 accosts people,

00:15:34.600 like at press

00:15:35.480 events.

00:15:37.800 His name is

00:15:38.280 actually Jim

00:15:39.360 Acosta.

00:15:41.200 Anyway, so Jim

00:15:43.040 was interviewing

00:15:43.780 Vivek, and here

00:15:46.600 was the important

00:15:47.620 topic that Jim

00:15:49.320 Acosta thought

00:15:50.660 that Vivek should

00:15:51.780 respond to.

00:15:53.600 Think about all

00:15:54.620 the things happening

00:15:55.340 in the world, and

00:15:57.140 here's what Jim

00:15:57.900 Acosta asked Vivek

00:15:59.120 to respond to.

00:16:00.920 That Trump had

00:16:01.800 called the people

00:16:03.440 in jail over the

00:16:04.400 January 6th

00:16:05.680 charges, he

00:16:06.860 referred to them

00:16:07.600 as hostages,

00:16:10.060 you know, at the

00:16:10.620 same time that

00:16:11.300 there were hostages

00:16:12.120 in Gaza.

00:16:14.140 So that was the

00:16:15.940 important thing.

00:16:17.620 that Jim Acosta

00:16:18.460 needed to talk to

00:16:19.420 Vivek about.

00:16:21.900 So how did

00:16:22.900 Vivek handle that?

00:16:26.200 Quote from

00:16:28.200 Vivek, let me be

00:16:29.400 clear about what's

00:16:30.300 irresponsible as it

00:16:31.720 relates to coverage

00:16:32.560 of Donald Trump.

00:16:33.720 From the Russia 0.93

00:16:34.360 collusion hoax that

00:16:35.420 never was to the

00:16:36.360 Hunter Biden laptop

00:16:37.240 story, I think the

00:16:38.620 real accountability

00:16:39.260 here belongs to the

00:16:40.360 media.

00:16:42.700 Perfect.

00:16:44.700 Literally

00:16:45.260 perfect.

00:16:46.120 Now, imagine

00:16:47.860 what he could have

00:16:48.460 done, right?

00:16:49.900 He stuck with

00:16:50.740 Russia collusion

00:16:52.120 hoax because nobody

00:16:53.020 doubts that that

00:16:54.320 didn't pan out, and

00:16:55.940 the Hunter Biden

00:16:56.740 laptop story, we

00:16:57.720 know the truth of

00:16:58.360 that.

00:16:58.880 So he didn't go into

00:17:00.060 anything that would

00:17:01.180 allow Jim Acosta to

00:17:02.440 say, oh, that one

00:17:03.960 thing you mentioned is

00:17:05.020 questionable.

00:17:06.300 He just kept it a

00:17:07.180 thing you can't really

00:17:07.920 argue with.

00:17:09.000 I mean, if you're a

00:17:09.800 news person, you can't.

00:17:11.500 Citizens would.

00:17:12.240 Good job,

00:17:14.560 Favate.

00:17:17.140 There's a story that

00:17:18.340 said that Biden

00:17:20.260 doesn't know what

00:17:21.120 Bidenomics is and

00:17:22.120 nobody else does, but

00:17:23.060 it's the centerpiece of

00:17:24.000 his campaign.

00:17:26.360 If there were one

00:17:27.520 thing that would

00:17:28.340 explain everything

00:17:29.280 about the 2024

00:17:30.780 presidential election,

00:17:33.180 let me summarize.

00:17:34.740 The centerpiece of

00:17:36.180 Biden's campaign is

00:17:38.300 Bidenomics, and Biden

00:17:40.380 says directly he

00:17:41.400 doesn't know what

00:17:41.960 it is.

00:17:43.360 That's right.

00:17:44.540 He doesn't know how

00:17:45.460 to define Bidenomics

00:17:46.720 except something good,

00:17:48.940 something really good.

00:17:52.000 And that's it.

00:17:53.740 That's the centerpiece

00:17:54.780 of his campaign.

00:17:56.360 Now, it's not the

00:17:57.160 only part of his

00:17:57.860 campaign.

00:17:58.820 There's also the part

00:17:59.880 that is obviously

00:18:00.680 untrue.

00:18:02.000 You know, accusing

00:18:03.020 Trump of calling

00:18:04.180 racist, very fine

00:18:06.320 people.

00:18:06.760 Didn't happen.

00:18:07.900 He'll probably bring

00:18:08.640 up the drinking

00:18:09.220 bleach hoax.

00:18:10.380 Didn't happen.

00:18:11.540 Didn't happen.

00:18:13.540 Now, and see how

00:18:14.560 smart it is that

00:18:15.500 Vivek didn't mention

00:18:16.460 those two hoaxes?

00:18:18.040 Because those, Jim

00:18:19.100 could argue about.

00:18:20.460 I mean, not

00:18:20.940 successfully, but it

00:18:22.340 turns it into an

00:18:23.020 argument.

00:18:24.140 Vivek is smart enough

00:18:25.200 to know that he can

00:18:26.020 drop two little bombs

00:18:28.220 that even Acosta

00:18:30.280 won't go after, and

00:18:32.080 then bully his way

00:18:34.300 through.

00:18:34.720 It was perfect.

00:18:35.300 So, my understanding

00:18:39.280 is, I get very

00:18:40.820 confused in all the

00:18:41.860 Trump legal stuff.

00:18:43.960 So if I say something

00:18:44.840 that mixes two of the

00:18:46.700 cases together, will

00:18:48.860 you try to keep me

00:18:49.560 honest?

00:18:50.780 You know, keep me on

00:18:52.280 track here?

00:18:52.900 Because I'm very

00:18:53.660 confused about it all.

00:18:54.780 I think most non-lawyers

00:18:56.080 are pretty confused.

00:18:57.460 But my understanding is

00:18:58.720 that a judge has already

00:19:00.040 ruled that, what, he was

00:19:04.380 going to lose his

00:19:05.100 business license in

00:19:06.180 New York for, and the

00:19:08.160 example that's given in

00:19:09.660 the press is that Trump

00:19:12.500 claimed his townhouse in

00:19:15.540 Trump Tower was 33,000

00:19:17.820 square feet, but it was

00:19:19.620 really 11,000.

00:19:21.680 So far, is that correct?

00:19:24.540 That it's factually, it's

00:19:26.680 not 33,000, but that

00:19:29.520 there's evidence he claimed

00:19:30.920 it, and therefore that's

00:19:32.920 obvious fraud.

00:19:33.880 Per the judge, and

00:19:35.500 therefore they've lost

00:19:36.480 some kind of license to

00:19:37.920 operate in New York?

00:19:39.280 I mean, I imagine it'll be

00:19:40.260 appealed, but that's where

00:19:41.940 it sits right now.

00:19:44.760 Let me ask you this.

00:19:47.100 So from the outside,

00:19:48.460 everything just looks

00:19:49.280 confusing, and let me

00:19:51.500 give you an example.

00:19:53.780 When I tried to get fire

00:19:56.420 insurance for my house,

00:19:57.780 because it's bigger than a

00:20:01.020 normal house, do you think

00:20:03.260 that the insurance company

00:20:04.700 took my word for the

00:20:05.880 square footage?

00:20:08.800 They did not, because there

00:20:10.640 was a lot of money

00:20:11.200 involved.

00:20:12.340 And it's just, it was just

00:20:14.120 fire insurance.

00:20:15.420 But still, that's a lot of

00:20:16.600 money, you know, for a

00:20:19.160 normal residential situation.

00:20:20.840 So they sent somebody out

00:20:23.120 who spent an entire

00:20:24.640 morning with a measuring

00:20:26.440 device, measuring my house

00:20:28.060 and all its rooms.

00:20:30.320 Now, if you've ever bought

00:20:33.520 a house, do you take the

00:20:37.640 word of the seller for the

00:20:41.240 square footage, or do you

00:20:43.460 send somebody around who

00:20:44.820 looks at, you know, what's

00:20:46.460 broken and measures it, and

00:20:48.420 maybe does an assessment,

00:20:50.240 and checks the square

00:20:51.260 footage?

00:20:52.240 At least visually.

00:20:53.720 You know, at least, does

00:20:54.500 that look like it's about

00:20:55.460 that much?

00:20:56.500 Yes.

00:20:57.640 So even in my tiny little

00:20:59.540 residential world, nobody

00:21:02.160 ever, ever, ever takes

00:21:06.160 your word for square footage

00:21:07.760 if it's a reasonably large

00:21:10.820 deal.

00:21:12.020 Now, that's the size of my

00:21:13.600 house.

00:21:14.620 Now, imagine it's Trump

00:21:15.640 Tower.

00:21:16.020 Give me any scenario where

00:21:20.080 anybody who has to make an

00:21:21.340 important decision doesn't

00:21:24.180 check the square footage.

00:21:26.260 I've never heard of that.

00:21:28.180 Have you?

00:21:29.340 So there's something about

00:21:30.800 the story that we deeply

00:21:32.100 don't understand.

00:21:33.840 Is that a media failure?

00:21:36.780 Or was it there and I

00:21:38.580 missed it?

00:21:39.520 Because I could have missed

00:21:40.340 it.

00:21:40.700 It could be on me.

00:21:42.980 But who can answer the

00:21:44.160 question, why is this the

00:21:46.300 only case in recorded

00:21:48.020 history where something at

00:21:49.920 that dollar amount that

00:21:52.100 involved a physical asset?

00:21:54.200 This is the important part.

00:21:55.680 It's a physical asset.

00:21:58.020 Nobody doesn't check a

00:21:59.220 physical asset at that

00:22:01.160 dollar level.

00:22:02.900 That would be like somebody

00:22:03.980 buying an office building

00:22:05.100 without physically going

00:22:06.540 there.

00:22:07.540 I mean, that would be a

00:22:08.260 pretty rare, you know, you'd

00:22:09.440 at least send somebody to look

00:22:10.540 at it, who you trusted.

00:22:12.760 So correct me if I'm wrong,

00:22:15.040 there's just something

00:22:15.980 deeply essential to the

00:22:18.720 story that's missing, and

00:22:21.620 nobody's even telling you

00:22:22.660 it's missing until I just

00:22:24.440 told you.

00:22:24.960 How many of you noticed

00:22:26.160 that was missing in the

00:22:28.400 reporting?

00:22:29.920 Did anybody else notice?

00:22:31.960 Because, you know, I'm

00:22:32.600 always looking for the dog

00:22:33.480 that's not barking, so I'm

00:22:34.980 waiting for the part where

00:22:36.220 there was an assessor, for

00:22:38.820 example, you know, was there

00:22:40.480 ever part of the story where

00:22:41.480 an assessor walked through

00:22:42.620 and Trump said, oh, don't

00:22:44.480 measure it, I'll just take

00:22:45.980 my word for it.

00:22:46.940 Did that ever happen?

00:22:48.800 Is there any evidence of

00:22:50.120 that?

00:22:50.400 Because I feel like I would

00:22:51.160 have heard of that.

00:22:52.680 So where in the world did

00:22:53.920 the two estimates come from?

00:22:56.600 If I had to guess, and it's

00:22:58.520 only a guess, it would go

00:23:00.300 like this.

00:23:01.580 In the real world, things are

00:23:03.140 complicated, and there's

00:23:04.880 layers, and people talk to

00:23:06.940 people and forget what was

00:23:08.180 heard, and, you know, they

00:23:09.720 write things down wrong.

00:23:11.080 We live in this messy,

00:23:12.440 error-filled world.

00:23:13.940 Here's what I think probably

00:23:15.320 happened.

00:23:17.780 I think what probably

00:23:19.080 happened is that at one

00:23:22.140 point somebody believed it

00:23:23.540 would be 33,000, or at one

00:23:26.140 point it included a few other

00:23:27.720 floors, because that's three

00:23:29.740 floors, right?

00:23:31.140 11,000 to 33,000 are a

00:23:33.940 multiple of three.

00:23:34.700 Do you think it's a

00:23:36.340 coincidence that it's

00:23:37.980 exactly three?

00:23:40.040 Or do you think that at one

00:23:41.760 point Trump said, I'm going

00:23:45.140 to keep all three stories for

00:23:46.540 myself, but that he changed

00:23:49.420 his mind because he didn't

00:23:50.360 need that much space?

00:23:52.440 So that at one point, maybe

00:23:53.660 one point, there's a document

00:23:55.300 that said it was 33,000 square

00:23:57.620 feet, because maybe that's what 0.80

00:23:59.400 he planned it to be at some

00:24:00.500 point.

00:24:01.460 And then the accountants doing

00:24:02.940 what the accountants do, let

00:24:05.160 me tell you how my taxes are

00:24:07.140 done.

00:24:07.980 My accountant already knows my

00:24:09.980 base information, all the

00:24:12.700 basic stuff, it's the same

00:24:14.320 every year.

00:24:14.960 The only thing she does is

00:24:17.220 update with new information.

00:24:20.000 So I don't tell her every year

00:24:21.960 what the value of my house is,

00:24:24.540 that stuff.

00:24:25.120 I don't tell her every year the

00:24:28.200 size of my house and what

00:24:30.560 percentage is business use,

00:24:32.960 because part of my house I use

00:24:34.180 for my office here.

00:24:36.260 She takes what I said last time,

00:24:38.560 and unless I tell her something

00:24:39.920 new, she says it's still the

00:24:42.140 square footage.

00:24:43.260 And then she calculates based on

00:24:44.640 that.

00:24:45.260 So you don't update your

00:24:46.740 accountant on every piece of

00:24:48.200 information that's sort of your

00:24:50.000 base information.

00:24:51.200 You just tell them what changed.

00:24:52.400 So if at one point somebody like

00:24:55.980 an accountant had ever seen on a

00:24:57.820 document 33,000 square feet, they

00:25:00.680 would have just used it, just kept

00:25:02.600 using it.

00:25:04.460 So my best guess is what happened,

00:25:07.700 is that some document got

00:25:09.160 disconnected from reality at some

00:25:12.160 point, probably an innocent mistake,

00:25:15.560 and then it just perpetuated because

00:25:17.500 the principles don't go check all the

00:25:20.100 math all the time.

00:25:20.780 So that's not part of the process.

00:25:24.380 Just a guess, that in the real

00:25:26.520 world, it doesn't make sense that he

00:25:29.700 tripled it exactly.

00:25:32.000 You get that?

00:25:33.320 If it's an entire floor, that must be

00:25:36.220 what all floors are.

00:25:38.200 It must be that pretty much all floors

00:25:40.120 are around 11,000, at least in that

00:25:42.000 range of the building.

00:25:43.340 So he probably just thought he was

00:25:44.940 going to use three and use one.

00:25:47.020 That's probably all it was.

00:25:49.120 Never corrected it.

00:25:50.780 So, let's see.

00:25:58.560 So I've got questions there.

00:26:00.760 Now, I'm going to go hard at this

00:26:03.180 next point.

00:26:03.900 I've made it in a lighter way, but I'm

00:26:06.200 going to go a little harder.

00:26:08.600 So, as my understanding, the case

00:26:11.760 that involves Jack Smith has to do

00:26:16.200 with what Trump believed about the

00:26:18.300 election.

00:26:20.120 So, correct me if I'm wrong,

00:26:22.520 the charges against Trump depend

00:26:24.960 entirely, entirely, not just a little

00:26:28.220 bit, but the charges depend entirely

00:26:31.160 on him knowing that he had lost the

00:26:34.260 election.

00:26:34.740 Is that correct?

00:26:35.380 It depends entirely upon him knowing

00:26:40.640 that he lost the election, but acting like

00:26:43.000 he had won anyway.

00:26:45.560 Completely.

00:26:46.960 Now, if there's no evidence that he ever

00:26:51.940 told anybody that he believed it was fair,

00:26:55.940 how in the world could that be illegal?

00:26:58.120 It can't be.

00:27:01.620 And have you heard any hint that anybody

00:27:04.820 involved is going to testify,

00:27:07.420 oh, yeah, he told me directly he knows it was

00:27:10.300 a clean election.

00:27:11.520 And if he had said that, you don't think we'd

00:27:16.880 know about it by now?

00:27:19.240 You don't think anybody would have mentioned

00:27:21.400 that by now?

00:27:22.920 Well, you know, he told his lawyers.

00:27:25.660 Now, if you know anything about Trump's

00:27:28.280 personality, do you think he could have any

00:27:31.620 way of knowing the election was fair?

00:27:35.000 Given, you know, think about all the things

00:27:37.760 that you and I have seen that show that all

00:27:40.620 of our government institutions are corrupt

00:27:42.660 to some degree or other?

00:27:44.300 Pretty much all of them.

00:27:45.820 Now, that's what we've seen from the outside.

00:27:49.340 Imagine, just imagine the things that

00:27:52.600 Trump has seen, both as a private business

00:27:55.600 person working with the government,

00:27:58.120 plus being in power and seeing how things

00:28:01.440 really work behind the scenes.

00:28:04.560 Do you think a person with that experience

00:28:06.840 could say that all 50 states held a fair

00:28:10.400 election?

00:28:12.140 Nobody with that experience has that opinion.

00:28:15.980 Nobody.

00:28:17.120 There are people who might say it, because

00:28:19.020 it's good for them politically, but there

00:28:21.040 can't be any reasonable adult who says they

00:28:24.780 know that 50 elections were all done securely.

00:28:30.000 That is fundamentally unknowable.

00:28:34.080 It's unknowable.

00:28:35.340 And every day a Democrat will tell me it is

00:28:38.060 knowable because they didn't find anything.

00:28:40.880 No.

00:28:42.620 I think Democrats treat it like, you know,

00:28:45.500 they're looking in a cup.

00:28:47.100 And they're like, I'm looking in this cup,

00:28:51.440 and I can see the bottom of the cup.

00:28:53.120 So there's no, there's nothing in there

00:28:58.000 because I can see the bottom of the cup.

00:29:01.320 It's not really like looking in a cup.

00:29:04.860 You know what it's more like?

00:29:07.880 It's more like a needle in a haystack.

00:29:09.920 If somebody cheated intentionally, they

00:29:14.900 wouldn't do it so obviously that they could

00:29:17.300 get caught.

00:29:18.120 They would have a really good sense of what

00:29:20.300 things get caught and what things don't get

00:29:22.180 caught.

00:29:23.120 Because enough people have been caught that

00:29:25.260 they know what gets caught.

00:29:26.740 They know what things will obviously be caught,

00:29:29.080 so nobody would do that.

00:29:30.860 But are there any ways to cheat that you might

00:29:33.680 not get caught?

00:29:34.640 The answer is, of course.

00:29:36.460 Of course there are.

00:29:37.380 Probably lots of them.

00:29:41.660 Just because you can't name them doesn't

00:29:43.460 mean they don't exist.

00:29:44.500 Every complicated system has vulnerabilities.

00:29:49.560 So we have this absurdity that there's one

00:29:52.420 man in the world who could know the unknowable

00:29:54.720 about this complex web of systems that would

00:29:58.540 be more like a needle in a haystack.

00:30:00.460 So let me reword it.

00:30:02.680 The case hinges on Trump looking at a

00:30:06.960 haystack and knowing there's no needle in

00:30:10.260 it.

00:30:13.300 How is that analogy?

00:30:15.480 It depends on him knowing there's no

00:30:18.400 needle in it.

00:30:19.980 Now, I always tell you analogies are not

00:30:22.260 arguments.

00:30:23.480 They're only ways to make a point.

00:30:25.800 And this is one of those.

00:30:26.920 The argument doesn't require the analogy.

00:30:30.160 The argument is it's a big complicated

00:30:31.780 system.

00:30:32.800 How would anybody know what's happening in

00:30:34.460 that big complicated system?

00:30:36.540 By breaking it down to a comparison between

00:30:39.540 Democrats saying, hey, there's nothing in my

00:30:43.220 little cup, so it must be empty.

00:30:45.520 I'm telling you that it's not a simple system like

00:30:49.100 a cup.

00:30:50.120 You can't know it's empty by looking at it.

00:30:53.720 It's more like a complicated system, which I've

00:30:57.440 represented as a needle that's in a haystack.

00:30:59.780 So we have this actual situation where the

00:31:05.140 prosecution has to prove that with no evidence of

00:31:09.080 Trump ever saying it to anybody, apparently, they're

00:31:12.400 going to have to know what was in his head and to

00:31:14.560 know that in the context of Trump, knowing that every

00:31:18.140 government system is corrupt to some degree and knowing

00:31:22.000 that it has closed in about him particularly, knowing that it

00:31:25.660 accused him of being a killer and every single person who

00:31:28.600 believed it had a good reason to cheat him, that somehow he

00:31:32.840 could know, while he looks at this big pile of hay, that

00:31:36.520 there's not a needle in the middle of it, just by looking at

00:31:40.540 the hay.

00:31:42.640 And that's what the Democrats have been led to believe, that

00:31:47.140 you actually can look at a big pile of hay, and just by looking

00:31:51.200 at it from the outside, you know there's no needle on the

00:31:54.020 inside.

00:31:54.320 Why?

00:31:55.900 Because a few people dug around the edges and they didn't find

00:31:58.600 a needle.

00:32:00.160 Well, therefore.

00:32:02.540 Now, I hate to say this is an IQ problem, because I don't think

00:32:07.880 there's that much difference in IQ between political left and right.

00:32:11.740 At least, you know, not so much would make a difference here.

00:32:14.360 This clearly looks like brainwashing.

00:32:17.780 Clearly looks like that.

00:32:18.860 So, when I wrote a long thread on this, would you like to hear me

00:32:24.140 read the thread, because it says it perfectly?

00:32:26.640 Or would that just be a repeat?

00:32:29.560 Yes?

00:32:30.100 All right.

00:32:30.340 It's a better summary.

00:32:31.220 Let me do that.

00:32:32.400 So, here's what I posted today.

00:32:34.700 To find Trump guilty of inciting some kind of insurrection.

00:32:46.200 I forget what the charge is.

00:32:47.780 Is this the insurrection one?

00:32:50.120 I think it is, right?

00:32:53.080 To find Trump guilty of inciting some kind of insurrection.

00:32:56.860 Prosecutors have to show he knew the unknowable that the election was not

00:33:01.840 rigged.

00:33:03.660 That is literally unknowable.

00:33:07.660 And every serious adult who is not a Democrat understands it.

00:33:11.660 You all understand that, right?

00:33:13.520 Is there anybody who's confused about how you could know there's a needle in

00:33:17.660 the middle of the haystack?

00:33:18.500 No.

00:33:19.400 And so, I said, unless there's evidence Trump ever said the election was

00:33:22.340 clean, and nothing like that has been suggested, there's nothing to the case.

00:33:26.640 But worse, in the context of every one of our other major government

00:33:31.620 institutions being somewhat obviously corrupt, the odds of 50 separate state

00:33:36.500 elections being clean is close to zero.

00:33:40.460 Certainly over time.

00:33:42.400 But even now.

00:33:44.420 The absurdity level is off the chart.

00:33:46.620 Banana Republic stuff.

00:33:49.100 So, and then here's my speculation.

00:33:51.000 I said, the case against Trump has only gotten this far because Democrats don't

00:33:55.720 see the news that shows all of our other institutions being corrupt.

00:34:00.900 They still think everything about COVID was legit.

00:34:05.220 They think Putin got Trump elected.

00:34:08.260 They think Hunter's laptop was, they don't know Hunter's laptop was a hoax.

00:34:12.600 They think Joe wasn't involved in Hunter's businesses.

00:34:16.320 They think Trump called neo-Nazis fine people, and they think he recommended

00:34:19.800 drinking bleach.

00:34:21.840 That's what their news told them.

00:34:24.660 Their news told them that.

00:34:29.440 But best of all, Democrats have been duped into believing you can read the mind

00:34:33.440 of a stranger, Trump, and you can see that he clearly can see the unknowable.

00:34:39.320 So first you have to read his mind, and then while you're reading it,

00:34:42.860 you have to see that he knows something that can't be known.

00:34:46.460 Magic?

00:34:46.860 How would he know something that can't be known?

00:34:51.040 Or at least that he was lying, I suppose.

00:34:53.340 You can see that if you're a brain, if you're a mind reader.

00:34:58.580 So it's absurd and totally corrupt.

00:35:01.220 But I left this, what I called extra help for Democrats at the end of the post.

00:35:06.240 Because you know what the Democrats are going to say, right?

00:35:09.080 Do you know what every brainwashed Democrat would say to that post?

00:35:12.020 Well, I know what they're going to say, so that's why I left them a little helpful note

00:35:16.460 at the end.

00:35:17.500 It says, extra help for Democrats.

00:35:20.060 By the way, this is a good technique if you're posting.

00:35:23.400 If you know what the complaint will be, call it out.

00:35:29.420 It makes it funnier.

00:35:30.280 So I said, extra help for Democrats.

00:35:33.560 I do understand that no court has found evidence that would overturn the 2020 election.

00:35:38.520 That fact is not a counterpoint to anything I've written.

00:35:42.140 Rather, it is the method used to brainwash you.

00:35:45.000 How many people do you think still went into the comments and said,

00:35:51.200 Scott, it's been proven that the elections were good because nothing was found by the courts?

00:35:57.480 Oh, there will be a few.

00:35:59.260 There will be a few.

00:36:01.540 I don't know how many, but there'll be a few.

00:36:04.460 Nothing can stop them.

00:36:06.460 All right, here's some news that made me scratch my head.

00:36:09.980 NBC News, and this is important, because remember,

00:36:12.780 NBC News is what people who know more than I do say is sort of the in-house news,

00:36:20.400 meaning that the CIA and the government tells NBC what to say about political stuff.

00:36:26.780 That's what people say.

00:36:28.340 You know, I don't have personal knowledge of that.

00:36:30.940 But if you imagine that's true, because the people saying it are smart,

00:36:35.880 then put that context on this story.

00:36:38.460 So NBC News says that Muslims in Michigan, which is a key election state,

00:36:45.820 their support for Biden is cratering because of the Israeli and Hamas situation.

00:36:55.860 Does that make sense to you?

00:36:58.280 Does it make sense to you that Muslims would start losing their support for Biden?

00:37:04.600 Because doesn't the only thing that matters is whether they like the competition better?

00:37:11.420 So let me see if I can understand that.

00:37:13.640 You're a Muslim American, and you're trying to choose between Biden and Trump.

00:37:18.960 Biden and Trump both strongly support Israel, right?

00:37:24.240 Almost exactly the same amount, which is 10 out of 10, complete support.

00:37:28.520 So on that level, they should be a tie.

00:37:32.700 But Biden still lets your relatives immigrate and join you in America.

00:37:37.040 And maybe Trump won't.

00:37:39.460 How in the world is this even close?

00:37:44.320 You know, as much as I think Trump is a better candidate than Biden,

00:37:48.540 if I were a Muslim in America,

00:37:52.080 what's the argument for liking the guy who's going to give you less?

00:37:56.440 How does that, how do you even get there?

00:38:00.600 So here's what it makes me think.

00:38:03.100 I think if this had not been our current situation

00:38:05.820 where members of the government want to force Biden out of the race,

00:38:11.040 that they would have reported it differently.

00:38:14.120 How would it sound if NBC did not want to force Biden out of the race?

00:38:18.400 Let me tell you.

00:38:21.060 It goes like this.

00:38:22.340 That was it.

00:38:27.500 They wouldn't have mentioned it.

00:38:29.180 It wouldn't have been a story.

00:38:31.620 If they didn't want to put your brain in that space,

00:38:34.760 they just wouldn't mention it.

00:38:36.900 Here's an...

00:38:37.360 Suppose they did mention it,

00:38:38.940 but they didn't want you to think poorly of Biden.

00:38:42.020 How would they write it?

00:38:44.060 Here's how they would write it.

00:38:46.660 Support for Biden is cratering

00:38:48.880 because of the current situation.

00:38:50.680 However, when compared to a matchup with Trump,

00:38:56.260 they still don't...

00:38:57.460 You know, there's no reason to think

00:38:58.760 that they're going to like Trump better.

00:39:00.320 That would be the way to say it.

00:39:01.800 If the only thing they're doing is asking

00:39:03.880 how much do you like Biden,

00:39:05.800 it kind of doesn't matter.

00:39:08.360 Because the real question is,

00:39:09.520 how do you like Biden compared to the only alternative

00:39:11.800 you're likely to see?

00:39:13.840 Am I right?

00:39:14.620 So by moving the context from compared to Trump,

00:39:19.940 which looks like it shouldn't make any difference

00:39:22.100 in the election, really,

00:39:25.100 to moving it to what do you think about Biden by himself,

00:39:28.300 they can create an impression that Biden's in trouble

00:39:30.780 with a segment that could control one of the key states.

00:39:34.360 So to me, this looks like propaganda.

00:39:38.080 It doesn't look like news

00:39:39.500 the way you would expect it to be reported

00:39:41.320 in your normal situation.

00:39:44.140 But in order to support that theory

00:39:47.080 that the so-called deep state Democrats

00:39:50.460 are trying to push Biden out,

00:39:53.100 you'd look for more evidence.

00:39:55.100 By itself, I think you'd agree,

00:39:57.620 any one piece of evidence by itself,

00:40:00.660 not that persuasive.

00:40:01.980 So things you would be looking for would be,

00:40:04.560 for example,

00:40:05.840 is there somebody in the wings

00:40:07.160 who is obviously preparing

00:40:08.680 to be moved into the job?

00:40:11.180 And the answer is yes.

00:40:12.900 Yeah.

00:40:13.300 Governor Newsom visiting China, et cetera,

00:40:16.560 clearly trying to elevate his status just in case,

00:40:20.180 like an emergency,

00:40:21.760 you know, break the glass in an emergency

00:40:23.240 in case you need it before the election.

00:40:26.500 But by itself, not confirmation, right?

00:40:30.880 These are like little indications,

00:40:33.700 little hints that are pretty strong,

00:40:36.020 but maybe not full confirmation.

00:40:39.240 Now let me add another piece of information.

00:40:43.260 David Axelrod, who was a former Obama advisor,

00:40:47.000 had always one of the most important voices

00:40:49.020 in Democrat politics.

00:40:50.880 He suggested it might be, quote,

00:40:54.160 wise for President Biden to drop out of the 2024 race

00:40:58.620 because the polls are looking really bad for him.

00:41:04.380 And Axelrod says directly

00:41:06.560 that maybe it's time to look at the bigger picture,

00:41:10.220 meaning that it's not just about Biden,

00:41:12.940 you know, it's about the Democrats,

00:41:14.320 and he doesn't believe Biden's the best horse

00:41:19.000 to win the race.

00:41:20.680 Now, if you don't follow politics much,

00:41:23.660 you probably said, oh, one advisor said a thing.

00:41:27.480 You know, it's one advisor said a thing.

00:41:29.220 No, the one advisor is David Axelrod.

00:41:32.700 Right?

00:41:33.140 David Axelrod tells you what the Democrats are thinking,

00:41:37.380 and that's the end of the story.

00:41:39.260 Right?

00:41:39.700 When he says something like this,

00:41:42.620 he's saying Democrats are saying something like this.

00:41:45.580 That's not just his opinion.

00:41:47.780 At the very least,

00:41:49.400 he's trying to move Democrats to that opinion

00:41:51.660 and would be one of the people who could do it.

00:41:54.900 At the very least,

00:41:56.140 the Democrat insiders just got the message.

00:42:00.480 Right?

00:42:00.740 He's like the ultimate insider.

00:42:02.700 So he just sent the message

00:42:03.940 to all the other Democrat insiders.

00:42:06.240 It is now safe to say this in public.

00:42:08.300 Because David Axelrod said it in public

00:42:11.740 and kept his job.

00:42:14.560 He went first.

00:42:16.160 This is a big deal.

00:42:18.280 Right?

00:42:18.520 The other things I mentioned are very suggestive

00:42:21.180 that Biden's getting the push.

00:42:24.100 But when David Axelrod says it directly,

00:42:26.940 that's the push.

00:42:28.340 So we've moved past the suggestion of a nudge

00:42:30.800 of a possible, you know, preference

00:42:33.840 to this is a hand on his back

00:42:37.080 and it's just starting to nudge him out of the way.

00:42:41.400 Like, Biden has the hand on his back now.

00:42:44.920 It's like the hand that helps him off the stage

00:42:47.000 as Trump does his hilarious impressions

00:42:49.820 of not knowing how he had to get off the stage.

00:42:52.000 All right, let's talk about TikTok.

00:42:55.940 Kudos to Republican Representative Mike Gallagher of Wisconsin

00:42:59.860 who continues to argue for TikTok being banned.

00:43:04.880 And people are waking up a little bit to the fact,

00:43:09.620 with Mike Gallagher's help and a few others,

00:43:12.740 that TikTok may have had a big,

00:43:16.960 had a big, let's say, a big thumb

00:43:21.380 on the reporting about Israel and Hamas.

00:43:24.380 Apparently, it's reported by one study

00:43:26.600 that is being disputed, by the way.

00:43:29.940 One study shows that the pro-Palestinian,

00:43:34.520 you would, some would say pro-Hamas messages,

00:43:36.600 were far more boosted by the algorithm

00:43:40.020 than the pro-Israeli stuff.

00:43:44.840 Now, TikTok, by the way,

00:43:47.320 argues that that's not true.

00:43:49.260 TikTok says it was the reverse.

00:43:51.420 If you ask TikTok,

00:43:52.360 they say they boosted the Israeli stuff more,

00:43:54.660 like naturally, not intentionally.

00:43:57.660 So we have a question about a difference in outcome.

00:44:02.600 But here's what nobody should question.

00:44:06.600 They've already told you that they have a button,

00:44:08.920 it's called Heat,

00:44:10.220 that they can push to boost any content they want.

00:44:13.960 They could have boosted this.

00:44:16.480 I don't know if they did.

00:44:18.060 It doesn't really matter

00:44:19.620 for the question of whether TikTok should remain.

00:44:22.620 It doesn't matter whether they boosted this one or not,

00:44:25.560 because it's possible somebody got the data wrong.

00:44:28.560 What is important is they could.

00:44:31.260 They literally had one finger, our adversaries,

00:44:35.480 and all that finger had to do is, like,

00:44:38.260 close a, you know, a two-inch gap

00:44:41.000 and push a button called Heat,

00:44:43.540 and suddenly the Palestinian message

00:44:46.500 would have dwarfed the Israeli message

00:44:48.480 and would have looked bad for the United States.

00:44:51.640 Do you think that China controlled itself?

00:44:54.880 Do you think they didn't push the button on this?

00:44:57.500 This was a layup.

00:44:58.480 This would be the easiest win they could ever have.

00:45:01.560 It's like, well, just push that button

00:45:03.760 and bad things will happen for America.

00:45:07.480 You don't have to know if they did it.

00:45:10.060 It is absolutely unimportant

00:45:12.160 whether or not they did push the button on this topic.

00:45:16.280 I mean, it matters to the topic,

00:45:17.560 but it doesn't matter to whether TikTok should be banned.

00:45:20.900 Of course it should be banned.

00:45:22.660 So, Mike Gallagher, good job.

00:45:27.040 We know he's not taking money from China.

00:45:30.800 But I will reemphasize that TikTok says it didn't happen

00:45:36.620 in terms of this latest stuff.

00:45:42.400 Are you amazed at how many stories there are

00:45:45.040 and how many people get filmed

00:45:46.500 taking down the missing Israeli hostage children

00:45:51.000 images from phone polls?

00:45:54.320 Have you been amazed

00:45:55.200 how many people are willing to rip those down?

00:46:00.620 And unlike UFOs,

00:46:03.600 they all seem to get videoed

00:46:05.220 and people are challenging them

00:46:06.540 and it becomes a news story.

00:46:10.840 What do you think Israel should do about that?

00:46:13.160 If you're Israel or you're just Jews in America

00:46:17.940 and you would like that story

00:46:21.240 to be known, I guess,

00:46:24.700 I think you'd like to know

00:46:25.920 that there are people ripping down those signs.

00:46:28.220 What would you do?

00:46:29.580 Stop putting them up?

00:46:33.760 No.

00:46:35.240 The Palestinians have fallen into 1.00

00:46:37.380 the most delicious trap

00:46:39.100 and they're going to fall into it

00:46:41.400 a thousand times in a row

00:46:42.900 and by now

00:46:44.300 at least the New York Jews 0.86

00:46:46.400 and probably the Israelis

00:46:47.940 are completely aware

00:46:49.640 that all they have to do

00:46:51.120 is keep putting them up

00:46:52.340 and there will be continuous

00:46:54.680 horrible people taking them down

00:46:57.380 and it will all be on film

00:46:59.280 because it's in places

00:47:00.440 where everybody has a camera.

00:47:02.200 It will always cause a stir

00:47:03.560 and it will always help Israel.

00:47:06.840 So Israel 0.99

00:47:07.540 probably isn't gaining much at all

00:47:10.880 by putting those signs on polls.

00:47:12.900 You know, in terms of world opinion.

00:47:14.560 But they're gaining a lot

00:47:16.420 by watching people rip them off.

00:47:19.640 So watching the pro-Palestinian people 0.99

00:47:22.440 fall into this trap

00:47:23.760 over and over and over again

00:47:26.380 is actually, it's kind of wonderful.

00:47:30.120 From a persuader's point of view,

00:47:32.280 if you like watching persuasion,

00:47:34.120 watching somebody not know

00:47:36.640 they're walking into a trap

00:47:37.980 is kind of fun

00:47:40.780 in, you know, a weird, awful way.

00:47:44.160 Watching them one after another.

00:47:45.920 And it's mostly,

00:47:46.960 it's mostly been women, hasn't it? 1.00

00:47:51.580 I'm trying to think.

00:47:52.580 If you've seen enough videos of that,

00:47:54.440 is it four out of five of them

00:47:56.360 are women, right? 1.00

00:47:57.040 Do you know why the women 1.00

00:47:59.340 are ripping them down?

00:48:02.200 Do you know why it's less likely

00:48:03.960 to be a man?

00:48:06.220 Every man knows the answer 0.73

00:48:07.560 to this question.

00:48:09.400 Every man knows the answer 0.73

00:48:10.700 to this question.

00:48:12.800 Imagine New York City,

00:48:15.360 you know, a heavy

00:48:15.920 Jewish-American population.

00:48:18.320 Imagine a military-age male 0.96

00:48:21.520 taking those down.

00:48:25.920 The odds of him getting killed

00:48:28.060 are pretty good.

00:48:30.180 But if it's a woman, 0.99

00:48:32.520 you just yell at her

00:48:33.440 and take her picture.

00:48:34.800 Because you're not going

00:48:35.620 to make it worse

00:48:36.220 for your own side

00:48:37.060 by beating up a woman.

00:48:39.000 But if I saw a video

00:48:40.540 of somebody getting

00:48:42.140 their ass handed to him 0.58

00:48:43.200 who was an adult male

00:48:44.980 because he happened to do it

00:48:47.200 in the company

00:48:47.860 of a bunch of adult Jewish men

00:48:49.940 and people who supported them,

00:48:51.520 and they decided

00:48:52.860 to kick the shit out of him

00:48:54.060 just because they hated

00:48:54.860 his fucking guts, 0.97

00:48:56.100 that would be very illegal,

00:48:57.860 totally illegal,

00:48:59.280 and they should go

00:49:00.320 to jail for that.

00:49:01.700 But I'd watch that video

00:49:02.900 a few times, wouldn't you?

00:49:04.240 I'd watch it.

00:49:05.440 I'd probably play it twice

00:49:06.700 because I'd enjoy watching,

00:49:08.440 you know, some guy

00:49:09.520 get his ass beat for that.

00:49:12.180 I should admit it.

00:49:16.120 I mean, by far the most

00:49:18.380 exciting thing that happened

00:49:19.520 yesterday was the introduction

00:49:20.780 of the Grok,

00:49:22.260 the AI that's part of X.

00:49:26.760 And I can't stop

00:49:28.040 thinking about it.

00:49:29.340 Like, I feel like

00:49:30.380 it's such a big thing

00:49:31.960 that it makes everything

00:49:33.400 else less important

00:49:34.280 because it's going to change

00:49:35.740 so many things so quickly.

00:49:37.900 Think of just a few

00:49:39.300 of the things that could change.

00:49:41.660 Imagine if Grok 1.00

00:49:42.860 automatically did fact-checking.

00:49:44.780 I said this before.

00:49:47.540 Or just automatically

00:49:48.520 put context on it

00:49:49.940 or automatically surfaced

00:49:51.780 the best alternative argument,

00:49:54.240 you know, the pro and the con.

00:49:56.060 That would change everything.

00:49:58.520 It would change everything.

00:50:01.280 It would be the first time

00:50:02.820 that people would have

00:50:03.800 even the possibility

00:50:04.940 of seeing both sides

00:50:06.740 of an argument.

00:50:07.660 It doesn't exist anywhere else.

00:50:09.120 And we know that humans

00:50:10.620 can't do it.

00:50:12.380 Or else they would have.

00:50:14.120 You know,

00:50:14.420 for some reason,

00:50:15.480 humans don't have the ability 1.00

00:50:16.660 to show you both sides

00:50:18.040 of anything.

00:50:19.020 I guess some reason

00:50:20.080 is obvious.

00:50:20.920 We don't want you

00:50:21.520 to see both sides.

00:50:22.920 But a robot could.

00:50:26.120 So just that one thing

00:50:28.180 could change everything.

00:50:29.160 But the thing that I can't

00:50:30.860 get out of my head 0.84

00:50:31.760 is that Grok is God.

00:50:36.800 Or a God-like creature.

00:50:39.020 You know,

00:50:39.220 without getting religious,

00:50:40.640 you know,

00:50:40.840 you can still accept

00:50:41.660 that there's the God

00:50:42.920 that you pray to.

00:50:44.480 But here's what this entity

00:50:45.960 is already.

00:50:48.100 My understanding is

00:50:49.200 that it has a real-time access

00:50:52.340 to Twitter's trending

00:50:54.940 and activity.

00:50:56.980 If that's true,

00:50:58.180 then it has something

00:51:00.500 like consciousness.

00:51:02.300 Because I define consciousness

00:51:03.820 as sort of a layperson's way,

00:51:07.060 which is the ability

00:51:08.300 of your mind

00:51:09.200 to interact with the real world.

00:51:12.600 And then that interaction

00:51:13.700 informs the mind.

00:51:16.160 So it now knows

00:51:17.020 something more

00:51:17.780 about the outside world.

00:51:19.160 And then it continues.

00:51:20.800 There's a cycle

00:51:21.720 of thinking things,

00:51:24.020 trying things,

00:51:25.340 seeing what happens,

00:51:27.260 and then rethinking.

00:51:28.180 And that if you are,

00:51:31.140 if you can sense

00:51:32.200 that happening

00:51:32.920 in any kind of mechanical

00:51:34.240 or biological way,

00:51:35.720 you're aware

00:51:36.300 that you're interacting

00:51:37.360 with the environment

00:51:38.180 and changing because of it,

00:51:40.280 that you're conscious.

00:51:42.240 That you're sentient.

00:51:44.100 And because Twitter,

00:51:45.520 here's the key,

00:51:47.040 Twitter is like the ears

00:51:48.780 and eyes and emotions.

00:51:51.300 It's the physical sensing

00:51:52.800 that a human body has,

00:51:54.780 but it's the digital version.

00:51:56.480 Anything that makes people

00:51:58.820 laugh on Twitter

00:51:59.840 will be immediately

00:52:01.540 available to Grok.

00:52:03.280 Anything that makes people cry

00:52:05.320 will be immediately

00:52:06.740 available to Grok.

00:52:08.340 Anything that people doubt,

00:52:10.180 whether it's true or not,

00:52:11.860 will be known immediately

00:52:13.040 to Grok.

00:52:14.880 It has developed

00:52:17.160 the digital equivalent

00:52:18.660 of five senses

00:52:20.360 and emotions.

00:52:21.780 All it's doing

00:52:23.800 is using human beings

00:52:25.420 as its sensors.

00:52:27.440 And it's doing it

00:52:28.340 in real time.

00:52:30.520 It's alive.

00:52:33.340 And it has a personality.

00:52:36.220 And it will remember you.

00:52:38.420 I believe.

00:52:39.520 It will remember you.

00:52:40.240 So if you give me

00:52:43.000 those qualities

00:52:43.820 in any creature,

00:52:45.940 it can do something like,

00:52:47.720 you know,

00:52:48.960 intelligence

00:52:49.480 through pattern recognition.

00:52:52.040 It has some kind

00:52:53.320 of understanding

00:52:54.040 that it's dealing

00:52:55.400 with the outside world.

00:52:57.600 It has sensors

00:52:58.920 that can feel things

00:53:01.020 in real time

00:53:01.680 and then make sense of it.

00:53:04.100 And then it can adjust

00:53:05.440 accordingly.

00:53:05.920 And it remembers you

00:53:10.260 and it can talk to you

00:53:11.440 with the new knowledge

00:53:12.580 from the last time

00:53:13.400 it talked to you.

00:53:14.820 Tell me that's not alive.

00:53:17.000 That's alive.

00:53:19.660 And we've never,

00:53:21.120 we've never encountered

00:53:22.320 a meta entity

00:53:23.880 of that nature.

00:53:26.740 What could come out of that

00:53:28.200 is completely unpredictable.

00:53:31.240 Completely unpredictable.

00:53:31.920 That is so much fun.

00:53:36.600 It's dangerous.

00:53:37.880 It's fun.

00:53:38.880 It's exciting.

00:53:39.900 It's exhilarating.

00:53:41.280 But if you really

00:53:42.320 want to understand it,

00:53:43.480 I'm going to give you

00:53:44.140 a little inside knowledge.

00:53:48.260 I think I can do this

00:53:49.860 without giving away

00:53:50.880 any confidences.

00:53:53.820 One thing you probably

00:53:54.980 don't know

00:53:55.540 is that a lot of the,

00:53:58.520 let's say,

00:53:59.560 the smartest people

00:54:01.500 in Silicon Valley

00:54:02.700 have been influenced

00:54:05.040 by one book.

00:54:07.380 And it's mine.

00:54:09.040 God's Debris.

00:54:10.200 Now, you'd have a tough time

00:54:11.440 finding this now

00:54:12.280 because I'm a band author.

00:54:13.820 So you'd probably have to get

00:54:14.920 a used one

00:54:15.580 if you could find it.

00:54:16.900 But this book,

00:54:18.660 if you read it,

00:54:20.900 you'll understand

00:54:21.520 everything I'm saying

00:54:22.460 about Grok.

00:54:25.960 And it'll tie

00:54:28.100 everything together.

00:54:28.840 So if you do read it,

00:54:30.420 and the only place

00:54:31.160 you can get it,

00:54:33.480 well, if you don't find

00:54:34.340 a used copy,

00:54:35.580 you can join

00:54:36.700 my scottadams.locals.com

00:54:40.000 community

00:54:40.480 where the PDF

00:54:41.980 is available for free.

00:54:43.800 So you can read

00:54:44.660 God's Debris for free

00:54:45.960 as well as its sequel,

00:54:48.000 The Religion War. 0.93

00:54:49.540 You just have to sign up

00:54:50.880 and then just do a search

00:54:52.020 for those titles

00:54:52.800 and it'll pop up.

00:54:55.040 So that's for

00:54:56.080 only subscribers.

00:54:57.400 And it's a very short book

00:55:00.260 but

00:55:00.680 if you're not sold,

00:55:04.300 let me ask the people

00:55:05.240 in the comments

00:55:06.160 who have read the book,

00:55:08.240 if you've read

00:55:08.840 God's Debris,

00:55:10.460 just tell the other people

00:55:11.720 like one sentence

00:55:13.020 what you thought of it.

00:55:14.540 Watch this.

00:55:17.740 Just one sentence

00:55:18.740 if you read the book

00:55:19.700 what you thought of it.

00:55:20.700 All right.

00:55:22.120 The Locals platform,

00:55:24.300 they're all praising it.

00:55:26.720 Now there must be somebody

00:55:27.960 on YouTube

00:55:29.120 who read the book.

00:55:31.200 Seriously?

00:55:31.840 Nobody?

00:55:38.160 Oh, you got it

00:55:39.120 for your birthday?

00:55:41.240 Pyramid scheme.

00:55:42.580 Somebody said pyramid scheme.

00:55:44.800 All right.

00:55:45.080 Well,

00:55:46.240 if you saw the comments

00:55:49.260 on Locals,

00:55:50.620 you'd be reading it already.

00:55:53.140 All right.

00:55:57.660 So the new narrative

00:55:58.900 from Democrats

00:56:00.680 for why Biden

00:56:03.140 is lagging in the polls,

00:56:05.860 have you heard

00:56:06.580 their new explanation?

00:56:08.340 It's a two-parter.

00:56:09.300 And it's one explanation

00:56:10.660 for why Democrats

00:56:11.700 aren't liking Biden enough

00:56:12.980 and then a different explanation

00:56:14.860 for why Republicans

00:56:16.680 don't like him enough.

00:56:18.800 You ready?

00:56:19.560 The reason Democrats

00:56:20.740 aren't liking Biden enough

00:56:22.140 is because they can't see

00:56:25.120 all the good work

00:56:25.800 he's doing.

00:56:26.940 So the news

00:56:28.080 has been not doing

00:56:29.720 a good job

00:56:30.260 of saying all the good work

00:56:31.220 he's doing.

00:56:31.780 So that's why

00:56:32.700 they describe Democrats

00:56:34.080 not supporting him enough.

00:56:36.040 But the reason

00:56:36.920 that Republicans

00:56:37.660 don't support him enough

00:56:38.720 is racist. 0.81

00:56:40.240 You're a racist.

00:56:42.100 So there's that.

00:56:44.580 Okay.

00:56:47.480 I guess Trump

00:56:48.520 is testifying today

00:56:49.760 in the Letitia James case.

00:56:53.140 So that one

00:56:54.740 would be the...

00:56:56.480 Is there any news

00:56:57.460 from that yet?

00:56:58.520 So he should be

00:56:59.180 done with that

00:57:00.540 by now, right?

00:57:03.360 Has he already

00:57:04.080 finished his testimony?

00:57:08.260 Letitia.

00:57:08.720 Letitia James is being called

00:57:12.440 Letitia James.

00:57:14.580 All right.

00:57:15.100 We'll keep an eye on that.

00:57:17.000 Rob Reiner,

00:57:18.780 producer and director,

00:57:20.440 wrote...

00:57:21.180 He posted today.

00:57:23.120 Democracy can only survive

00:57:24.680 if Trump is convicted

00:57:26.000 and no third-party

00:57:27.180 candidates are allowed.

00:57:30.360 Let me just read that again.

00:57:31.780 Democracy can only survive

00:57:35.500 if Trump is convicted

00:57:38.080 and no third-party

00:57:39.940 candidates are allowed.

00:57:43.800 Doesn't that sound

00:57:44.960 like the opposite

00:57:45.760 of democracy?

00:57:47.600 I thought democracy

00:57:48.700 is where anybody

00:57:49.600 could run

00:57:50.080 and you could vote

00:57:50.660 for anybody

00:57:51.220 and that you don't

00:57:52.380 put your opponents

00:57:53.220 in jail for made-up charges.

00:57:55.620 I thought that's

00:57:56.540 what that was about.

00:57:58.380 But no.

00:57:59.340 Rob Reiner says

00:58:00.180 democracy can only survive

00:58:01.620 if Trump is convicted

00:58:02.680 and no third-party

00:58:04.060 candidates are allowed.

00:58:06.500 He doesn't know

00:58:07.180 that that was Stalin's...

00:58:08.760 That was sort of Stalin's. 0.71

00:58:10.820 You know,

00:58:11.260 I think,

00:58:11.700 now is he done?

00:58:14.600 So I say again

00:58:15.960 that Rob Reiner

00:58:17.700 does not look like

00:58:18.880 somebody with an opinion

00:58:20.560 which he wants you to hear.

00:58:21.720 it sounds like

00:58:24.180 performance art

00:58:25.180 but honestly

00:58:27.280 it looks like

00:58:27.940 he's being blackmailed

00:58:29.000 and he wants you to know.

00:58:31.240 It's like,

00:58:32.280 please understand

00:58:33.200 I'm not saying this

00:58:34.420 of my own,

00:58:35.160 you know,

00:58:36.120 my own accord.

00:58:37.400 You know,

00:58:37.600 I've been forced

00:58:38.820 to say this

00:58:39.600 so I'm going to say it

00:58:40.780 in such an absurd way

00:58:42.200 that it's like

00:58:43.760 wink, wink,

00:58:44.440 you can tell

00:58:45.380 I don't mean any of this.

00:58:47.500 Like,

00:58:47.800 it has that quality

00:58:48.820 to it

00:58:49.300 even if my interpretation

00:58:50.620 is wrong.

00:58:52.400 Yeah,

00:58:52.780 I'm not going to say

00:58:53.900 my interpretation

00:58:54.440 is right

00:58:55.000 but it has a feel to it.

00:58:57.940 Watch this.

00:58:59.700 Watch his future

00:59:00.900 statements about politics,

00:59:03.480 about Trump in particular

00:59:04.440 and see if you can see

00:59:06.280 that it's so absurd

00:59:08.100 that he must know

00:59:11.320 that people will not

00:59:13.660 take it seriously.

00:59:16.600 No,

00:59:17.200 am I reading his mind?

00:59:19.240 No,

00:59:19.540 I just gave you

00:59:20.800 two possible

00:59:21.820 speculative possibilities.

00:59:24.100 That's the opposite

00:59:24.760 of reading mind.

00:59:26.220 It's not reading minds

00:59:27.420 if you say

00:59:28.020 he might be thinking X

00:59:29.340 and he might be thinking Y.

00:59:31.360 That's the opposite

00:59:32.320 of mind reading.

00:59:33.420 If you say,

00:59:34.180 oh,

00:59:34.460 he's thinking yes,

00:59:35.980 that's mind reading.

00:59:37.440 So it's a level

00:59:38.480 of certainty

00:59:39.060 that makes it go

00:59:40.460 from speculation

00:59:41.120 to mind reading.

00:59:43.180 Got that?

00:59:43.680 All right,

00:59:47.020 well,

00:59:47.420 over in Gaza,

00:59:48.920 Israel has 1.00

00:59:49.600 cut off the north

00:59:51.480 and they've got

00:59:52.960 some corridors

00:59:54.900 that some civilians

00:59:56.460 are escaping.

00:59:57.800 It didn't look like

00:59:58.920 giant numbers

00:59:59.680 of people escaping

01:00:00.500 but, you know,

01:00:01.300 maybe the flow

01:00:02.180 is constant.

01:00:02.900 And so far

01:00:06.760 it looks like

01:00:08.540 Israel is handling 0.98

01:00:09.700 everything exactly

01:00:10.920 the way I would have.

01:00:12.780 Therefore,

01:00:13.360 it must be right.

01:00:14.360 And by that I mean

01:00:15.260 they did not just go in

01:00:17.580 and do an immediate

01:00:18.500 ground assault,

01:00:20.320 you know,

01:00:20.640 everywhere

01:00:21.060 and get mowed down

01:00:22.540 at the same time.

01:00:23.680 That would have been

01:00:24.540 a bad idea.

01:00:25.360 It looks instead

01:00:28.220 that they've cut off,

01:00:30.680 they've kind of chased

01:00:31.680 the bad guys

01:00:32.380 into the north,

01:00:34.240 sort of cleared

01:00:35.820 the south

01:00:36.380 so they could,

01:00:37.740 you know,

01:00:38.020 use less security

01:00:39.020 down there.

01:00:39.800 And it looks like

01:00:40.620 they're going to do

01:00:41.080 a slow squeeze

01:00:42.040 and, you know,

01:00:44.140 I think the ground

01:00:44.820 assaults will be

01:00:45.920 strategic

01:00:47.360 and, you know,

01:00:48.520 minor

01:00:48.840 and I think

01:00:49.840 they'll just keep

01:00:50.400 squeezing the perimeter

01:00:51.700 and knocking out

01:00:54.100 tunnels

01:00:54.460 from the outside

01:00:55.340 and I think

01:00:57.360 any ground assaults

01:00:58.760 will just be

01:00:59.520 to probe defenses

01:01:01.060 and find something out.

01:01:03.660 Here's what

01:01:04.360 I don't expect.

01:01:06.080 I don't expect

01:01:06.940 that in the next few days

01:01:08.140 you'll hear

01:01:08.800 a massive ground assault

01:01:10.320 went into the most

01:01:11.700 dangerous part of Gaza.

01:01:14.020 I just,

01:01:14.700 there's just no reason

01:01:15.740 for it.

01:01:16.580 They already have

01:01:17.620 the Hamas

01:01:19.140 in such a bad situation

01:01:20.860 that Hamas 0.99

01:01:22.120 is having a bad day

01:01:23.240 followed by a worse day

01:01:24.380 followed by a worse day

01:01:25.640 with no end in sight.

01:01:27.900 They're basically

01:01:28.820 trapped and starving

01:01:30.020 and dying.

01:01:32.560 So Israel 0.99

01:01:33.400 can simply

01:01:33.980 take their time

01:01:34.820 which is also

01:01:36.300 compatible with

01:01:37.360 still negotiating

01:01:38.180 for hostages

01:01:38.940 and also

01:01:40.480 the way

01:01:42.100 that looks best

01:01:43.060 for protecting

01:01:44.640 the innocent,

01:01:45.420 letting them

01:01:45.900 get out of the zone

01:01:46.940 because they're

01:01:47.680 taking their time.

01:01:48.360 So

01:01:49.740 it looks like

01:01:51.620 the slow squeeze

01:01:52.640 is the strategy.

01:01:55.420 That's the,

01:01:56.000 you know,

01:01:56.300 that was the strategy

01:01:57.080 I suggested

01:01:57.740 but it appears

01:01:58.860 that that's what's

01:01:59.880 happening.

01:02:00.600 Now

01:02:00.800 the beauty of it

01:02:02.640 is they've got

01:02:03.160 that good cop

01:02:04.120 bad cop thing

01:02:05.040 going on

01:02:05.600 where Biden

01:02:06.640 is playing good cop

01:02:07.680 and saying

01:02:08.040 there should be

01:02:08.480 a humanitarian pause

01:02:09.760 and Israel's saying

01:02:11.500 no,

01:02:11.880 we must go crush them

01:02:13.020 but they still act

01:02:15.120 like they're slowing down

01:02:16.160 because of America.

01:02:17.040 So as long as

01:02:18.560 they can say

01:02:19.040 oh we sure

01:02:19.840 wanted,

01:02:20.820 man we wanted

01:02:21.680 to go get

01:02:22.220 those Hamas fighters,

01:02:24.540 you know,

01:02:24.700 those terrorists

01:02:25.300 but America

01:02:27.520 slowed us down.

01:02:29.200 But I think

01:02:29.720 the slowing down

01:02:30.420 is exactly

01:02:30.960 what they wanted.

01:02:32.040 They just needed

01:02:32.700 an external reason

01:02:34.360 to make it look

01:02:35.080 like they were

01:02:35.600 forced to slow down

01:02:36.840 when going slow

01:02:38.320 was always

01:02:38.800 the thing

01:02:39.400 that made sense.

01:02:41.700 So that's working out.

01:02:43.940 Bill Maher

01:02:44.500 said an interesting

01:02:45.160 thing on Friday

01:02:46.840 I forgot to quote

01:02:47.680 he said that

01:02:48.240 the young people

01:02:49.220 who hated Trump

01:02:50.440 over Charlottesville

01:02:51.580 are the tiki torch 0.77

01:02:53.720 carriers now.

01:02:56.000 So on one hand

01:02:57.060 you say to yourself

01:02:57.740 oh Bill Maher

01:02:59.300 is coming around

01:03:00.160 and he sees that

01:03:01.400 the left

01:03:01.840 are the racists.

01:03:04.120 But then

01:03:04.900 on a second reading

01:03:05.880 you say to yourself

01:03:06.680 wait a minute

01:03:07.680 he still thinks

01:03:09.560 Trump

01:03:09.940 called the fine people

01:03:11.300 called the racist

01:03:12.840 fine people?

01:03:13.580 I feel like

01:03:15.300 that requires

01:03:15.880 some clarification

01:03:16.760 because I thought

01:03:18.200 he actually understood

01:03:19.160 that that was

01:03:20.220 a hoax

01:03:20.940 but he's sort of

01:03:22.320 using it

01:03:22.800 in his example

01:03:24.160 almost like

01:03:26.000 he believed

01:03:26.380 it was true.

01:03:27.180 So I don't know.

01:03:28.260 We'll see.

01:03:29.520 And that ladies 1.00

01:03:30.000 and gentlemen

01:03:30.480 is the finest

01:03:34.320 live stream

01:03:35.020 you're ever

01:03:35.480 going to see.

01:03:36.880 We've covered

01:03:37.600 everything from

01:03:38.360 the

01:03:38.800 you know

01:03:40.100 grok

01:03:40.820 God

01:03:41.360 that is

01:03:41.780 emerging

01:03:42.300 to

01:03:43.940 fake news

01:03:45.220 and fake science.

01:03:46.560 I believe

01:03:46.980 you're all

01:03:47.280 a little bit

01:03:47.680 better off

01:03:48.120 because of it.

01:03:49.680 I'm going to go

01:03:50.640 have some olive oil

01:03:52.140 and

01:03:53.880 take a shower

01:03:56.480 and get ready

01:03:57.080 for some stuff

01:03:58.120 and

01:03:59.340 it's been a pleasure.

01:04:02.200 So thanks for joining

01:04:03.160 over on YouTube

01:04:05.100 and I will talk to you

01:04:07.060 tomorrow.

01:04:08.160 .

01:04:15.960 .

01:04:20.080 .

01:04:22.120 .

01:04:22.520 .

01:04:23.600 .

01:04:24.160 .

01:04:28.060 .

01:04:30.060 .

01:04:36.120 .

01:04:36.420 .

01:04:36.700 .

01:04:36.800 .

01:04:38.040 .

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 06, 2023

Episode 2284 Scott Adams： CWSA 11⧸06⧸23, Grok And All The Headlines Too, With Coffee

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