Episode 2299 Scott Adams： CWSA 11⧸21⧸23 Everything Is Going My Way. Probably Coincidence. Or Is it？
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 14 minutes
Words per Minute
142.57037
Summary
On today's episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, the host talks about a new documentary that debunks the George "George" Floyd hoax, and why everything is going my way. Plus, the latest in the case of former Minneapolis police officer Derek "Snoop Dogg" Chauvin, who was acquitted of murder in the death of a fellow officer.
Transcript
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do do do do do do do do do good morning everybody and welcome the highlight of human civilization
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called coffee with scott adams it's the thanksgiving week special edition what makes it
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special i don't know just feels like it should be and if you'd like to think this up to a level
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that nobody can even imagine with their greatest imagination all you need is a cup or a mug or a
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glass, a tank of gels, a stein, a canteen jug, a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your
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favorite liquid. I like coffee. Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, dopamine of the day,
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the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip, but it happens now.
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Oh, so good. So good. Well, I have a theme for today.
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The theme for today is, everything's going my way. Now, not necessarily because of anything
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I've done. It's just a weird day. I wake up and it feels like everything's going my way.
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Not as fast as you want, but going my way. Well, here's some stories in no particular order.
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Rasmussen polled people about their confidence in social security. And of course,
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some people said they're confident and some people thought they were not in terms of collecting
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it when they retire. But I want to see if you can guess roughly, you know, within, let's say,
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two basis points. See if you could guess how many people are very confident that social security will
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be solid. How did you do that? Well, before I even finish the question? Yes. Yes. It's 23%. How did you?
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I don't even know how you did that. Wow. Once again, the smartest audience of any podcast ever, ever.
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And by the way, if you're new, if you're new to this live stream, and you're watching the other
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people knowing the answer to the question before it was asked, that's something you can learn too.
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If you stay here, you'll know the answers before the questions are asked for a whole variety of
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things. Not just this. We're just showing off when we do this. It's just a taste. It's just a taste.
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Well, give me a fact check here. When I told you the news that Snoop Dogg announced he was going
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smokeless, did I tell you I didn't believe that? Can you confirm that? Because it turns out it has
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nothing to do with cannabis and everything to do with the fact that he's promoting an outdoor solo
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stove that doesn't make smoke. That's a pretty good move. I'm going to have to say, nobody impresses
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me more on the upside, more often than Snoop Dogg. How does he do everything wrong and continually
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get good results? You could write a book about what not to do. Well, don't do any of these things.
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And then you look at the book, it's basically a blueprint for being Snoop Dogg. I think that's
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just charisma, isn't it? Complete charisma. Because somebody said black culture, but it's not
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anything about black culture. He's probably as popular with white people as everybody else.
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He's just a singularly charismatic creature. He's just sort of a one-off. I don't know.
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I like Snoop. So that's going my way. Not only do all of my viewers know exactly the outcomes of polls
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before they're asked, but I guessed correctly on Snoop Dogg, that wasn't true. Well, we have a new
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documentary. I don't know if you've heard of it, called The Fall of Minneapolis. And it basically
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debunks the whole George Floyd hoax. You know, the one that says Derek Chauvin killed him.
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Yeah, it turns out that the bulk of evidence is against that. It looks like it was a fentanyl
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overdose. Exactly like you thought. But the most interesting part of it is that apparently it's
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well-documented that all the police officers were trained to do exactly what he did, exactly the way
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he did it. It's actually in the manual. If you talk to Chauvin's mom, she takes out the police
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manual and she points to it with pictures and everything. And during the trial, they have the
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trainer, you know, some head guy, say, no, we don't teach that. But then they talk to the other
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police officers. They go, that's totally what they teach. It's right there in the manual.
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Yeah, we all learned that. And he's in jail for that.
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Now, I guess the Supreme Court turned down his appeal, which had more to do with, I think,
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the fact that the specific appeal was super weak, which doesn't mean he's guilty. It just
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means the specific avenue he took wasn't really there. So is this going my way? Because from
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the start, I said, it looked sketchy to me. It didn't look like murder to me.
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Now, here's what's going my way. It's definitely not going Derek Chauvin's way. But the fact that
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there was a crowdsourced documentary to debunk this thing is a really good sign. Because it shows that
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people are willing to put their money together to fix something. And they did. People put their
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money together and some professionals apparently turned down a good product. Liz Collin is the
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name behind that. She produced it. And I think it probably will be strong enough to move the
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narrative. But here's what's the part that's definitely moving my way. Watch me say something
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that I couldn't say during the BLM George Floyd years. I'll just say it now directly. But I
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couldn't say this before. So I have a little bit more freedom now. To me, it's obvious that it was a
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racially motivated decision. And it's obvious that Chauvin did not murder him. And it's obvious that
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Chauvin is a victim. I mean, you can argue that Floyd is his own kind of victim in his own way. But
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Chauvin is the victim here. And it's racist. It's obvious. It's anti-white. And everybody can see it.
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Now, I couldn't say that as directly before, could I? But now I can say it. And I'll bet there won't
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even be any pushback. You know why there won't be any pushback? Because there's a documentary that
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backs me up. If they push back, somebody's going to send a link to the documentary. And then I'm done.
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Then I'm done. So thank you, Liz Cullen. My personal thank you for what looks to be good work
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for the country. But it helps me as well. So that's going my way.
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There's a story about a Navy aircraft, a P-8A, that overshot the runway and landed in
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the bay in Hawaii. So I guess it was probably some kind of training thing. Well, it was not in a war
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zone, is what I'm saying. I don't know if it was for training. But it overshot the runway and landed in
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the Kino Bay. And so is there anything interesting about that story? Or I guess
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that's the whole story. Did I miss anything about the story? Wait, what? Oh, yes. One of my
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favorite follows on X is an account called Amuse. And apparently Amuse pointed out that it was a
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diverse crew. And that, you know, people like to point it out when a diverse crew does something
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that looks like a mistake. Now, I'm not really in favor of that. Because you got a whole world that
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makes mistakes all the time. So if you point out that the diverse crew made a mistake, that doesn't
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seem fair to me. Honestly, that's just anecdotal bullshit. But it's funny. It doesn't make it less
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funny. Can we agree? But sometimes it's just funny. So Amuse got a little pushback on that, only to hear
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that the Navy is very proud that the crew of this particular aircraft is diverse. And then there's a
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photo shown. I don't know for sure it's really the crew, but it alleges to be the crew of that
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aircraft. And they look to be 100% female, including the ground crew. Looked like about, I don't know,
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16 people in the picture, all female. And yeah, that feels a little too on the nose, doesn't it?
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It feels more like the women posed, but there probably were plenty of men there too, I'm guessing.
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I don't know. I don't buy the whole story. But if you just like to laugh at the news,
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there was a story about a diverse group, a lot of women that ran an airplane off the end
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of a runway. I hasten to add that doesn't say anything about female pilots. It's just this
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one story of some specific individuals. As I like to say, people are infinitely diverse from
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everybody else. All right. So that's not important. Apparently, it was a good move for me to sell my
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Apple shares a few months ago. Well, we don't know that yet. It's too early to say that. But I sold
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my Apple shares because I thought AI was going to hurt their business model. That was before I
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realized that they're overtly racist as well. So Apple is overtly racist against white men,
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as a number of companies are. And their sales declined for the fourth straight quarter,
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marking the longest slowdown since 2001. So apparently it's not a good sign,
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to be racist against white people, and also to be last in AI. Now, I do have confidence that Apple
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is skilled enough that they'll catch up on AI. But I don't see anything yet. Now, if you use your
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Amazon digital device, whose name I will not speak aloud, it's already AI. Has anybody done that?
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Have you noticed that the Amazon digital assistant, it went from sort of like the Apple one where it
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could answer some simple questions? We had to ask the right question. But now it kind of just answers
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any question. Just anything you want to ask. If it can find it on the internet, it'll ask. It'll answer it.
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So Apple is inexplicably, woefully, ridiculously behind in AI. I don't know how that's going to get
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fixed. But being racist and less in AI is probably not going to help their stock. So that's going right
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for me because I sold mine. Just lucky. I'm not going to claim that you should do it. It's not advice.
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It's not investment advice. I don't do investment advice. And you should definitely not do what I
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do. If you do everything I do, you could do better. You could do better than doing what I do.
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All right. Here's another story in the category of, well, you should have just asked me.
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But the former White House doctor, this was Dr. Under Trump, says that Biden does not have the
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cognitive ability to serve another term. It's Ronnie Jackson. Now, he said this before,
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but it's in the news again, because I guess he said it again. Now, I would like to add this to the
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list of not only something you could have just asked me. You didn't really need a doctor for that one.
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But I feel like they could have asked you, do you think you would have gotten that one right?
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If the press came to you and said, you know, we don't have time to ask any experts. So I'm just
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going to ask you, do you think Biden is cognitively qualified for the next four years?
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I think you would get that one right. Not only that, but you could go into any crowd and randomly
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pick somebody and say, hey, you think Biden is cognitively capable for the next four years?
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Oh, I think we'd all get that one right. So I'd like to use this as more evidence
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that 80% of everything the experts do could be duplicated by, well, just ask Scott.
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Let's just see what Scott says. Not 100%, but 80%, solid 80%. Just ask me.
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Save a lot of time. Well, more good news. My God, the good news just keeps coming. Everything's
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going my way. So as you know, Elon Musk decided to go thermonuclear lawsuit against media matters
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for allegedly making up a bunch of stats about alleged neo-Nazi content by advertisements for big
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companies. And then those big companies, and then those big companies like Apple and IBM, pulled their
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advertisements from X, believing that that was a good idea. Now they are, of course, embarrassed,
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I would expect. If you're Tim Cook, wouldn't you be embarrassed by this situation?
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Yeah. To find out that you pulled your advertisement based on an overtly despicable organization's
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opinion. And it was based on literally some shit they made up. And they pulled the, and not only
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did they pull their advertisements, but they, they acted to try to cripple the only remaining source of
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free speech in the United States. Nothing about that is something you should be proud about. You should
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not be proud of any of that. And worse from the stockholders perspective, some professionals are
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already saying that advertising on X is the best deal for the dollar. So it wasn't good for their
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business because the best deal for the dollar looks like it's on X. And it wasn't based on real
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information. That doesn't look good. They acted hastily. That doesn't look good. Nobody checked in
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with X to find out if it's real. And, you know, they made a big public display of it. That was
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embarrassing. And they'll probably have to crawl back. You know, once Musk wins his lawsuit, which
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I kind of expect he will, what are they going to do? They're going to have to admit that they
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believe bullshit from an organization you should never believe anything from. If you believed what,
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what media matters told you, and then you acted on it in a business sense, you should have the board
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removed. Like it should be like open AI. It's like, um, you believed media matters was telling the truth
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on a purely political matter. And then you change your business strategy because of something that
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media matters told you was true. That would be like taking direction from the KKK. Very similar,
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you know, disreputable organization. How do you defend that? Do they defend that by saying they think
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media matters is a legitimate organization? I saw an Indy No post today that suggests one of their
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editors is an Antifa supporter, just like you'd imagine. Yeah, nothing about media matters is
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legitimate. It's a completely fake organization dedicated to just slamming Republicans and anybody
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that they think is not on their side. But how did Apple fall for that? And IBM? Do they just not
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follow politics? And they just don't know that what everybody knows? I mean, most of you knew that
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media matters was not a legitimate organization. Am I right? In the comments, tell me how many of you
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already knew and have known for a long time that media matters is not a real organization?
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Yeah, I mean, most of us knew it. But nobody in IBM or Apple could figure this out. They didn't know this
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was a total, you know, a job, an op. How embarrassing. And think of how many billions of dollars they're
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managing on behalf of those shareholders. And they couldn't figure this out? This one caught them
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off guard. That's just embarrassing. Honestly, that's just embarrassing. Well, so it turns out
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that Musk will have some help. How would you like to be media matters and wake up and find out
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that the richest man in the world, and arguably the most capable human being that we've ever seen
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since, I don't know, Ben Franklin or something, that he's decided to crush you at any cost?
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At any cost. Because you know what Elon Musk did not say? Well, as long as it doesn't go over a budget,
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I'm going to sue them. But you know, lawyers are expensive. So we're going to have to stay within
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the budget. If we start to go over a budget, I'm going to have to pull back. Didn't say that.
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Didn't say that. Nope. And now we see that the Attorney General for Texas, Ken Paxton,
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is weighing in. He's going to sue media matters too over the same issue. And Missouri Attorney General too.
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Now, what does it remind you of when the states individually go after something?
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It's sort of the Soros play, but the opposite direction, right? So Soros realized that if he
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controlled the states or the local DAs, it was like a lot of bang for the buck. So you could use the
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states to get you things that you wanted on a federal level, which is in this case, get a
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grid of Trump. It's what they wanted on a federal level, but they used the state mechanisms to do it.
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So here, media matters is going to have to defend not only against the richest human in the world
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and most capable, and I might say, really mad. It's not even like it doesn't matter to him.
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I'm pretty sure he's really fucking pissed off about this. Just guessing. Just guessing. So I would
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hate to be on the other end of that. And do you think that media matters thought they could get
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away with it? Did they think that they would just walk and they could get away with this?
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They did. Because things have gone the way of the left-leaning place so long that they probably
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thought they could just get away with anything. Like, the sky's the limit. Well, you just found
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the limit. Remember I told you that Republicans have this weird quality? Now, I'm not going to call
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Musk a Republican, but he's not anti-Republican, which is a big step in the right direction,
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which is they'll bend and they'll bend and they'll bend until they stop bending.
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When they stop bending, some serious shit is going to happen because they bend all that,
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you know, there's all that energy stored up from the bending. So it looks to me like it's going to
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be a full court press by Republicans to take out media matters, which makes me happy on a level I can
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barely even explain. And I even like the fact that it's going to take time because these assholes are
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going to have to spend all their time in court defending themselves. Probably some individuals
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will go broke over it. I don't know. I love everything about this. So very much like the
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capitalism, you know, the way capitalism works, it's got lots of, you know, sharp edges and lots of
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flaws. But if you wait long enough, the free market does correct, you know, in the free market
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sense. And that's what we're seeing in politics and the control of information. You're seeing a slow
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but very distinct correction. And certainly Musk buying Twitter was the number one part of that.
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But everywhere you're seeing it, you're seeing people being able to say out loud things.
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You see a documentary that backs up things that people couldn't say before. You're seeing it pushed
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in every direction. The attorney generals, now they're getting in just everywhere. There's a push
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on every door and every direction. And none of that was there a few years ago. It's a very different
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environment. All right. There's a Harvard Caps Harris poll that said that there's a difference in
00:22:23.980
support of Israel by age in the United States. So the people in the 18 to 24-year-old category
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want Biden to pull back his support from Israel. Not completely, but, you know, pull back at least
00:22:38.760
during the violent parts. And while 84% of the voters over 65 said that we should support.
00:22:45.860
So that's an enormous difference between the under 24s and the over 65s. How do you explain that huge
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difference between the young and the old? Well, I call it the TikTok effect. Now, there are certainly
00:23:04.840
other issues where young and old disagree. But usually when young and old disagree, it's because
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of the topic. Right? It's like old people would be less likely to want to allow marijuana. So you
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understand that just because there's an age, the age thing explains the whole thing. You understand
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why there might be a difference in, you know, a whole bunch of woke related pronoun stuff. All of that
00:23:35.140
makes complete sense in the sense that young are always a little rebellious against whatever is
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standard. Right? Makes sense. But what would be the explanation for why the young and the old
00:23:47.660
would have a different opinion on Israel? Because there's nothing natural about the Israel situation
00:23:54.920
that speaks to young people. Like, Israel is not a young person topic. Well, it is now. It's got to be
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TikTok. It's got to be TikTok. And then somebody pushed back on me in the comments and said,
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oh, but you boomers are being, you know, being equally influenced by the mainstream media.
00:24:17.600
To which I say, that's my point. Yeah, that's my point. Exactly. But everybody's got an assigned
00:24:24.900
opinion. But you know what the difference is? If the mainstream media is, let's say, giving you a
00:24:32.140
biased version of things. And maybe, you know, maybe our intelligence people that are behind it or
00:24:37.480
whatever, some say, at least it comes from America. At least it's an American influence on an American
00:24:44.680
institution. But if China is the one that's influencing your youth under 24 through TikTok,
00:24:51.360
that's a whole different conversation. You know, I'm not, I'm not delighted with the fact that,
00:24:59.580
you know, Americans are getting their opinions from whatever media source they follow. That's not
00:25:04.320
ideal. But at least you're, you're roughly on the same team. You know, even if you're Democrat
00:25:11.000
versus Republican, you're still pro-American, more or less. So I think this is a pretty clear TikTok
00:25:19.880
effect. We hear that Grok, the AI, the X's rolling out will be on a tab pretty soon. And I'm going to say
00:25:28.520
again, Elon Musk is under, he's underrated for product design, like him personally, his understanding
00:25:39.640
of how a human thinks and what they care about, it's just, it seems unparalleled, which is weird
00:25:47.120
because he says he has Asperger's and none of that makes sense. Like if he's got Asperger's,
00:25:52.600
can you just learn from a book, how people work and he did it better than other people?
00:25:59.120
Like, how do you understand, how do you explain his deep understanding of human beings and then
00:26:06.060
also Asperger's? And it's almost, those are almost two impossibles, but maybe, you know, maybe if
00:26:11.800
you're smart enough, you know, you can, you know, just force your way to understand things that
00:26:17.820
ordinary people can't. I don't know. So it's a little bit of a mystery, but here's another
00:26:23.080
example of him getting it right. Wanting to make the X app the one-stop place where you
00:26:30.440
don't have to leave the app, that gets everything right. You know how much I hate to change apps?
00:26:36.500
So, and you do it all day long, right? Get out of one app, get into another app. I hate it. And I
00:26:44.860
never have gotten used to it. Have you? I mean, the most common thing you do all day long is going
00:26:50.000
from one app to another. And every time it makes me angry, angry. I mean, I can't even get over it.
00:26:58.280
That, that is so poorly designed that I have to get out of one ecosystem and then, then go look for it
00:27:04.200
and have to remember its name. And I've got to get into a whole different flow. You know, you've
00:27:09.540
heard, you've heard about losing flow. You know, when you're, when you're in the mode to do this task,
00:27:14.960
now you've got to get it in a different head. It's like, oh, now I have to search for and remember
00:27:19.520
the name of the app. And I probably have to do my password because I haven't been in there.
00:27:27.220
And then it's going to send me a note, a thing on my phone, you know, but then my phone's in the
00:27:31.560
other room. And then I just say, fuck it. And I just don't do the thing. But if you put AI
00:27:38.520
into X, where I'm there a few hours every day, anyway, that would be completely life-changing
00:27:46.740
because I would use it just because I'm not changing apps. And the fact that, you know,
00:27:52.780
Musk is the only one who seems to understand that fairly simple user interface fact
00:27:58.640
is remarkable. Like, why is he the only one who figured that out? Or the only one who figured
00:28:05.140
it out and could also execute on it, I guess, two things. All right. So that's cool. That's going
00:28:14.560
my way. News from OpenAI, the most interesting drama in all of technology. So now 700 of the
00:28:25.400
770 OpenAI employees say they'll leave the company unless the board is changed. So what's up with these
00:28:37.220
70 employees who say they'll stay? I've got a feeling that the 700 who say they'll leave would be very
00:28:45.860
much the important 700, like the ones who could easily get another job and probably get a raise.
00:28:58.940
It's basically their DEI group, HR, and the janitorial staff. But they're on board to stay. They're
00:29:06.760
back on the board. I don't know if any of that's true. I don't know if any of that's true. I'm just
00:29:12.100
making that up. But I have a feeling that the 70 don't really mean it, that they just haven't gotten
00:29:20.300
around to signing it yet. You know, maybe they work remotely or something. That's probably the only
00:29:24.980
thing. Anyway, I saw a post by Siki Chen. I hope I'm saying his name right. How would you pronounce
00:29:32.680
S-I-Q-I? Siki? Siki? I hope that's close. But he points out that one of the board members of OpenAI,
00:29:44.900
one of the ones that fired Sam Altman, Adam D'Angelo, he seems to be, let's see, I think he's
00:29:53.480
associated with Quora. But he's also launching some kind of creator monetization for some kind
00:29:59.920
of AI site called Poe, which would allow you to generate revenue, which is the same thing that Sam
00:30:07.780
Altman was trying to introduce. So in other words, one of the board members was directly competing
00:30:15.460
with Sam Altman, and then got Sam Altman fired. Now, there's no indication that that's the reason.
00:30:24.140
You know, nobody's saying that's the reason. But what was wrong with this board? How in the world do you
00:30:31.000
stay on the board when you're directly competing against? I've never heard of that. Do you think
00:30:36.400
the board of Coca-Cola has somebody from Pepsi on the board? I'm going to say no. I'm going to say
00:30:44.840
no. Probably not. Probably not. And again, you know, when Hannity, Hannity always says that Hunter
00:30:55.280
Biden was not qualified to be on the board of Burisma because he didn't have industry experience.
00:31:01.000
Do you know who would be a much, much worse choice for Burisma? Somebody who had industry experience
00:31:07.760
because they're probably competing or selling their consulting to another company or something.
00:31:16.180
Anyway, there's an organization called Woke Alert, Consumers Research, and they're putting out alerts
00:31:24.280
about what companies are too woke so that you can avoid woke companies. Now, when I say woke,
00:31:30.660
I mean mostly racist, racist against white people. So Best Buy, Activision, Target, Nordstrom,
00:31:40.520
and Home Depot are sort of on their hit list of companies that they say, too woke. To which
00:31:48.100
I say, it's going to be kind of hard to avoid those companies. Do you have any companies that
00:31:54.040
are easier to avoid? Like the, I'll be down to that. But I'll do my best to avoid these companies
00:32:01.600
because I do believe that they're negative for the country. So I have nothing against the companies
00:32:11.240
per se, but they're just not good for the country, the way they're operating. So that makes me happy.
00:32:17.420
This is going my way. You see my theme? The theme is coming together, isn't it? Not even done.
00:32:26.340
It doesn't, it just seems like everything's going my way. Now it's also going your way,
00:32:31.320
right? So I'm not taking credit for it. I'm just saying it feels like things are going my way and
00:32:35.960
your way. Mostly. What else? Christopher Ruffo is posting this. He says the Iowa Board of Regents
00:32:48.120
has voted to abolish DEI in all state universities. Hello. So DEI is being banned. Now also in Florida,
00:33:00.520
right? So now Florida and Iowa, any other, any other places where DEI is banned? Did Texas ban it?
00:33:08.480
You'd expect them to. Oh, Texas as well. Okay. So now we have three, obviously Republican states
00:33:15.720
banning DEI. Now, how many other things are like that? There aren't that many things that fall in
00:33:27.480
the category of where one state specifically is endorsing it, you know, and even promoting it where
00:33:34.100
another state says it's so dangerous. We're going to ban it. Well, you got drugs, right? Legalization
00:33:40.640
of drugs that could be banned in one place and legalized in another. You've got abortion. Abortion
00:33:47.740
can be banned in one place, but legal in another. And now this DEI.
00:33:53.280
So DEI, if you're in favor of DEI, you're in the category of abortion and drugs. So good luck
00:34:07.840
with that. Good luck with that. But that's going my way. At the same time, Argentina, you know,
00:34:17.120
they elected their, uh, their new leader who's libertarian, uh, but right leaning kind of, uh,
00:34:24.360
attitudes and, uh, the Argentina stock market, you just soared. I mean, seriously soared after
00:34:33.620
he got elected. So how does that look for socialism? Socialism failed and Argentina just kicked it
00:34:42.500
down. That feels good for me. That feels like something moving in the right direction,
00:34:49.200
but here's the best part. They did the entire thing with paper ballots and, and it was done,
00:34:58.060
you know, overnight just as it should be or same day, I guess. And nobody's complaining about the
00:35:05.460
outcome. Imagine that a radical outcome. I don't think anybody saying the vote was rigged. You know,
00:35:14.680
I, nobody's saying that because they counted the ballots by hand and they had witnesses to every
00:35:20.220
count, just like a lot of other places. Yeah. Um, speaking of that in Mojave County,
00:35:30.120
uh, that's in Arizona. Where is that? I think, yeah, Arizona. Um, there was a movement to go to
00:35:39.740
paper ballots, but the attorney general said, you can't do that. That would be illegal because the
00:35:45.520
state itself doesn't allow that. Um, but it was voted down anyway. So it was voted down, but, um,
00:35:53.920
here, here's the reason given by the attorney general for why the hand ballots should be turned
00:36:00.720
down. In addition to the fact it was probably illegal because of the state requirements, but
00:36:06.700
the more reasonable reasons, you know, the, the common sense reasons that would be turned down
00:36:11.260
is that hand ballots are less accurate and take too long to count.
00:36:17.200
That was the actual reason. And nobody laughed when they said that
00:36:21.360
the hand ballots are less accurate than machines and take too long to count.
00:36:28.580
Okay. This is something that the attorney general of Arizona wrote on a piece of paper.
00:36:39.680
Now, am I wrong that the ridiculousness of this position is really coming into clarity?
00:36:47.080
Now, some of you may know, if you joined me yesterday, that there was a very unusually
00:36:53.400
timed glitch in the YouTube stream. And we're going to see if we can recreate it. Because it took out
00:37:00.360
a minute where I said the most provocative thing about the election that maybe I've ever said.
00:37:06.240
So I'm going to say it again as clearly as possible. And we'll see if there's any kind of weird
00:37:11.260
algorithm or something that stops it. Okay. Now I'm going to put it in the sandwich between two
00:37:17.800
things that will make it appropriate and not fake news. So the sandwich will be this. I'll start by
00:37:24.600
saying, I'm not aware of any reliable evidence that the 2020 election was rigged at any scale that
00:37:32.960
would make a difference to the outcome. Are we all good? I'm not personally aware of anything that's
00:37:39.200
been proven that would overturn that election. So I think that's now compatible with, with the
00:37:45.460
mainstream. Okay. But I asked this simple question. Why would you ever have electronic voting machines?
00:37:57.260
Because we know that they're not faster. And we know that they introduce a inability to fully audit.
00:38:04.700
And it introduces a new way to cheat theoretically. I'm not claiming it's ever been done. But
00:38:12.860
hypothetically, anything that has a technological nature adds a new way to cheat that wasn't there
00:38:19.540
if you're just observing people counting ballots. So I would propose this. I don't see any other reason
00:38:29.540
for electronic voting machines, other than the intention of the, of the entity buying it to cheat.
00:38:37.700
So whoever would make the purchase order, you would imagine that the only reason they would do it
00:38:42.380
is for the purpose of cheating. Because it introduces more doubt in the outcome. And it doesn't seem to make
00:38:50.140
it faster, based on what we've experienced in the real world. Now, I'm going to finish my sandwich by saying,
00:38:58.300
I'm not aware of any reliable evidence that any, you know, US election was rigged.
00:39:06.940
I just don't know any reason that we would have our current setup, unless it was designed to be rigged.
00:39:11.980
So our system looks more like it's designed to be rigged, than designed to be fast and efficient.
00:39:19.580
Because you wouldn't do it this way. Right? When when we see elections in other countries,
00:39:25.180
do we ever say, you know, we can get Afghanistan sorted out if you'll just let us give you some
00:39:30.300
electronic voting machines? It's because people don't trust them. You know, by their nature,
00:39:37.340
it adds a black box to the election. I can't see the code. I don't know what's going on inside the
00:39:44.380
machines. So I make I make no I'm making no allegations about any makers of machines.
00:39:54.700
I will make the following allegation. If you were an intelligence organization, say a CIA like
00:40:02.380
organization for any country, would it be your, let's say a goal to see if you could corrupt
00:40:10.620
electronic voting machines? Do you think that would be a reasonable goal for an intelligence agency of
00:40:17.020
a major country? I would say that would be an obvious goal. In fact, our CIA probably would want
00:40:26.060
to influence other elections in some cases, because they have a long history of doing that.
00:40:31.500
Wouldn't it be a lot easier if they could influence electronic machines? Because that would be
00:40:36.700
easier to influence than fake ballots. I'm not saying anybody's done it. I know of no evidence
00:40:44.140
of such a thing. But how hard would it be? So the question you would ask is, if you agree that there
00:40:51.260
would be several entities, you know, other countries, they would have an interest in influencing
00:40:56.220
an election, and maybe even within the own country that would be interesting. So would you, would we
00:41:04.140
all agree that there's no question at all, that a number of intelligence agencies would have the
00:41:09.820
reason, you know, full motivation to, to sway an election they could sway? Would you agree?
00:41:17.820
It's sort of, it's their basic duties. It's very much ordinary business, an intelligence group. All right.
00:41:24.460
So if they have the incentive, and, and I would say it's not just an ordinary incentive. It's just, it's not
00:41:30.780
just another thing that would be nice to do. It might be the single most important thing they could do
00:41:36.700
for their largest mission, which is, you know, keeping the country safe, etc.
00:41:40.300
So the really, the only question would be, can they do it? What would you agree with me so far?
00:41:47.340
That there's no, there's no real question that they have the incentive. And there's no question
00:41:51.740
that it's directly in their mission. Right? There's no question about those things. So then the only
00:41:59.580
question is, could they do it? Now, the question you'd ask yourself is, well, if it's an electronic system,
00:42:06.140
and it's, it's a key, very important one, presumably, it would have the highest level of
00:42:11.900
protection. So that an ordinary hacker who just tried to hack in from the outside, probably can't do
00:42:19.100
it. That's my guess. My guess is it would be literally impossible to hack into their central
00:42:26.140
operations from the outside. They probably have an air gap. But is that how intelligence agencies
00:42:33.100
do stuff? Do they hack in from the outside? Sometimes? Sometimes? What is the more common
00:42:40.140
way they do it? The more common way is to find anybody who has access to the code within the company,
00:42:47.660
and blackmail them, or co-op them or bribe them. Do you think that intelligence agencies are good at
00:42:56.140
identifying people in the company that have access to stuff they want to have access to,
00:43:01.020
and then bribing them or blackmailing them? Of course they are. Again, it's their primary business.
00:43:08.860
It's not something they've done once in a while. It's their primary business,
00:43:13.660
is co-opting people to be on their side when that would be disloyal in an ordinary sense.
00:43:22.540
Now, given that it would be, in my opinion, almost trivially easy for at least one intel operation,
00:43:32.220
like even if several countries were trying to do it, you know, what are the odds that at least one
00:43:37.260
would succeed over time? Well, if you're looking at any one election, well, maybe not that high a
00:43:45.020
chance that somebody would succeed. But what if you just keep playing it forward year after year after
00:43:50.300
year? And everybody's trying and trying and trying, presumably. Don't you get to a point where it's
00:43:57.180
guaranteed? I don't see any scenario where corruption of electronic voting machines
00:44:06.380
isn't guaranteed in the long run. And I would say that the only thing you can't know
00:44:12.140
is whether it's happened yet. That's the only thing you can't know.
00:44:19.020
What you can know is guaranteed. It's guaranteed. Would anybody disagree with my statement that it's
00:44:27.260
guaranteed? It's actually designed to guarantee that eventually some entity will have control
00:44:35.660
over the election hardware and software that may not be what the managers of the company had in mind.
00:44:47.660
Now, that doesn't mean that if it happened, somebody wouldn't catch it and reverse it. But it's designed
00:44:54.780
for this. Now, did you notice that YouTube did not glitch? Now, it doesn't mean that this will still
00:45:03.260
be there when you watch it in playback. It doesn't mean that. So, we'll see. Now, you see how carefully
00:45:12.300
I had to sandwich that? And again, I'll end it again by saying I'm not aware of any evidence at all
00:45:19.660
that's credible that any of the elections have been rigged in any substantial way. I don't know of any
00:45:25.820
anything that I believe at all. It's just guaranteed. All right. Well, knowing that, I believe that's going
00:45:36.620
my way. Meanwhile, in Georgia, US District Judge Amy Totenberg ruled in favor of hand-marked ballots
00:45:47.580
because of? Why? What do you think was her reason? So, this is a different case. The US District Judge
00:45:56.860
ruled in favor of hand-marked ballots over machines. What was her reason?
00:46:03.980
Machine flaws violated the constitutional rights of voters because there were cyber security issues
00:46:10.460
with machines. So, in one state, in one state, people are threatened that they'll go to jail
00:46:21.500
for believing that hand-counted ballots are more reliable. Actually threatened with jail for even
00:46:28.700
believing the hand ballots would be more reliable. In Georgia, a judge looked at all the evidence and
00:46:37.020
said, oh, hand ballots are far more reliable than machines that might have cyber security issues.
00:46:44.860
And by the way, I don't think the cyber security issues of the machines are the real threat.
00:46:51.740
I think it's an insider problem. Like, if you were to rank the threats, it does look like there's a real
00:46:58.700
risk that some hacker would put a thumb drive in some machine somewhere. That looks like a real risk.
00:47:05.260
But that would be kind of hard to get away with. I feel like you'd need somebody on the inside. Or maybe
00:47:11.660
both. Like you said, maybe both. Possibly. So, I would say this is moving in my direction because
00:47:19.980
we've gotten to the point where you have battling attorney general in one state versus the district
00:47:28.140
judge in another state. Well, a U.S. district judge. Opposite opinions about this topic. Now,
00:47:41.020
let's do a little risk analysis, shall we? I have a view that Democrats in particular are bad at risk
00:47:48.940
analysis. And that explains a lot of what looks like a political opinion difference.
00:47:56.060
And it's not really that. It's just if you're good at risk analysis, you have one opinion.
00:48:00.620
And if you've never done risk analysis and you don't know how it works,
00:48:03.980
or you have a half opinion where you're not even including all the variables,
00:48:07.500
well, you have a different opinion. But it's not political. It's just one looked at all the
00:48:12.940
variables and knew how to do it. And the other just didn't know how to do it.
00:48:17.500
All right. So, here's your situation. You have experts who claim that electronic,
00:48:25.260
that electronic machines have risks, and that also they might be slower in some cases,
00:48:33.420
and have less credibility. Paper ballots have the same claim that they could have problems,
00:48:41.740
but we have definitive examples where it worked fine. Would you agree that the paper ballot method
00:48:50.140
has multiple, very definitive, good election results in other places? So, I would say that the paper ballot
00:48:59.260
is close to everybody agrees works, wouldn't you say? Pretty close to solid agreement that if you had
00:49:09.340
people on both sides watching every ballot being counted, that'd be hard to beat. And I'm sure we
00:49:16.380
could do it fast enough if you had enough people involved. But would you say the same about electronic
00:49:24.300
machines? Well, with electronic machines, there's either a catastrophic problem,
00:49:32.540
or no problem at all. Catastrophic would mean it would change the election. With paper ballots,
00:49:39.660
you could easily imagine a whole bunch of errors. But probably like individual mistakes,
00:49:45.740
they're honest mistakes, you know, a little bit of weaseling, but probably sort of averages out.
00:49:50.620
You know, whereas the electronic machines could actually completely reverse the vote, hypothetically.
00:49:58.540
Or at least people imagine it. Actually, it would be the same, the argument would be the same if the
00:50:03.660
citizens simply imagined it could happen, even if it couldn't. Because your elections have to have
00:50:10.220
credibility for the system to work. We have to know that the right person got elected. So, from a risk
00:50:19.020
perspective, it's kind of a no-brainer. Am I right? To me, this is an absolute risk assessment,
00:50:28.540
no-brainer. The electronic ones, I have no specific reason to doubt them, right? I have no evidence that
00:50:36.620
anything went wrong with any electros. It could be that they've never had a problem ever. Could be.
00:50:42.220
I don't know of any, any that changed an election. But we also know that that would be the one way you
00:50:51.740
could really flip an election if a bad actor got in there. But the paper ballots probably couldn't
00:50:58.700
flip the election even if he tried. So, to me, there's literally no risk analysis question here
00:51:07.900
whatsoever. The only time it would make sense to have electronic voting, now watch this point. This
00:51:16.140
is important. The only time it would make sense to have electronic voting machines is if the public
00:51:22.220
was confident that they worked, even if they didn't. But if the public had confidence in them,
00:51:30.540
you know, even if there was some trickery, we'd still probably go on and not even know that the
00:51:37.020
wrong president got elected and just go on with their lives. But yet, but the public has to believe
00:51:43.340
it's credible and we don't have that. Or maybe half of the public. Actually, I think that's the number.
00:51:50.460
I think Rasmussen said something like half of the public thinks there might be some, some monkey business.
00:51:56.860
So, I think that's heading in my direction too. The larger issue of election integrity.
00:52:11.820
Well, there's a horrible story somewhere in California. Colin Rugg was posting this. So,
00:52:18.620
there's this male babysitter, Matthew, blah, blah. He got sentenced to 700 years in prison
00:52:25.820
for sexually assaulting 16 boys that he was the babysitter for.
00:52:32.540
Now, remember I said my theme was things going my way? Well, this is a horrible little story. Nobody
00:52:40.220
wanted this to happen. But I reposted it with this comment. I said, when people call me a bigot,
00:52:47.180
I like to ask if they would hire a male babysitter.
00:52:53.580
It's a real conversation ender. It is. And by the way, you've heard me say this, right?
00:52:59.900
Before this story, you've heard me say explicitly, if you think that you're not a bigot, would you hire a
00:53:07.420
male babysitter? Now, do you see the difference? Let me explain it again, and everything's going to
00:53:14.940
come into focus. Here's where you should never discriminate. In love, in friendship, in hiring,
00:53:28.140
in renting apartments, and politics, you could probably come up with a dozen other things,
00:53:36.620
where the country just doesn't work if people discriminate in that way. So, it's not good for
00:53:42.220
the discriminator, not good for the person discriminated against, and it's not good for
00:53:47.580
the system. So, literally, nobody benefits. So, there's a whole bunch of discrimination
00:53:53.500
that any reasonable person would say, all right, that doesn't work for anybody.
00:53:58.380
Like, that's just a losing system. Don't do it. However, there is one category of discrimination
00:54:06.780
that's not only morally and ethically allowed. It's really, really recommended. You know what it is?
00:54:15.660
Self-defense. Safety. When it comes to your self-defense and your safety,
00:54:21.740
nobody gets a second guess. Do you know what your opinion about how I defend myself matters to me?
00:54:29.260
It doesn't. Does my opinion of how you should make yourself safe, should it matter to you? No.
00:54:37.820
No. I mean, unless I was some expert or something, which I'm not. No. Now, anybody's decision about
00:54:43.820
what keeps them safe, such as making sure you don't get a male babysitter. Absolutely ethically, morally,
00:54:53.500
logically defensible. Absolutely. And if you're in any other situation in which your safety is
00:55:01.260
immediately at risk, you can discriminate all you want. You know it's not even illegal, right? It's not illegal.
00:55:10.060
Would it be illegal to prefer a female babysitter? Well, technically, right, if they were going to go
00:55:17.740
thermonuclear and sue you, yeah, technically. You think anybody in the world would take that case?
00:55:30.140
arguing for the male babysitter, and let's say some other case,
00:55:35.820
with the intention that, you know, if I win this case,
00:55:41.820
Like, you wouldn't even get a lawyer to take the case.
00:55:44.380
It's just so obvious that you don't give up safety for wokeness.
00:55:52.300
Everybody clear on that? When it comes to your own personal safety,
00:55:56.940
discriminate all you want. And I'm not saying, you know, white people should discriminate.
00:56:04.940
If your safety is involved, discriminate like crazy.
00:56:11.020
I got canceled for saying that because I said it inelegantly.
00:56:16.060
And the other example I use, besides the babysitting one,
00:56:20.460
let's say you're a black family and you're trying to decide what community to move to,
00:56:24.700
you're relocating, and one community has the KKK headquarters.
00:56:29.500
But, probably most of the people who live in that town are not racist.
00:56:36.620
So do you move to the town? Do you move to the town, or are you going to be a big old bigot
00:56:42.540
and not go to a town just because the KKK headquarters is there?
00:56:47.340
Well, I would back any black family who said, screw this.
00:56:55.660
You literally have the KKK headquarters in your town.
00:57:15.660
Would it be good self-defense and smart for that family?
00:57:21.100
So none of this has to do specifically with what just white people are doing.
00:57:25.900
It's a universal law that you don't want to go where the odds of you being hurt are higher.
00:57:36.780
Go where the odds of you being safe are better.
00:57:41.100
If somebody else says, but hey, you're calculating the odds wrong, you know, because you're a bigot.
00:57:57.340
When you calculate your odds about how to keep yourself safe, I don't get a vote.
00:58:10.300
So I think even this male babysitter story is going my way, even though it's a horrible story.
00:58:17.100
I saw an article on X that said that Eisenhower said 50 years ago that it would take, I'm sorry,
00:58:25.100
Eisenhower said that it would take 50 years to re-educate the Nazis.
00:58:32.380
Because I was wondering, how long would it take to basically brainwash another generation?
00:58:45.580
So you generate, you brainwash the first generation, but you're not going to get a full take.
00:58:53.500
But then that brainwashed young people, they become the parents.
00:58:59.420
So now you've got a kid who's hearing from the parents, but also from the school, the same message.
00:59:06.700
The first generation would maybe hear a different message from their parents from the school.
00:59:14.660
But by the second generation, you're getting it from the parents and the school.
00:59:22.140
And remember, one of Israel's leaders, a general or somebody, I forget, said that right after the October 7th attack, that they were going to change reality in Gaza for 50 years.
00:59:37.100
They were going to change the reality for 50 years.
00:59:40.640
To me, that sounds like they need two generations of brainwashing, which they do.
00:59:50.920
If anybody could come up with the other way to handle this, I'd love to hear it.
01:00:01.580
There's multiple reports that there's going to be a hostage deal today, or at least Israel's meeting to approve it or something.
01:00:15.520
Is there an update to confirm or not that the hostage deal is going to happen?
01:00:26.880
All right, I'm going to make a prediction that there will not be a hostage deal, or that if they make a deal, it goes wrong, doesn't work out.
01:00:46.920
Israel has said as clearly as possible, we're going to kill everybody in Hamas, right?
01:00:53.900
They're not going to like, oh, we got 20% of you guys.
01:00:58.740
No, they said they were going to kill you all, every single one of you, or put them in jail, I suppose, if they surrender.
01:01:09.500
We will kill you at a slightly slower schedule?
01:01:16.660
We'll kill you, but at a slightly slower schedule.
01:01:18.840
Or do you think that the Hamas fighters are trying to get their own prisoners out, and so what they're really trading is those other prisoners that Israel already has?
01:01:35.400
I mean, I don't think they would do it just for trading people.
01:01:45.220
I feel like both sides are playing an op on the other, and that neither of them expect to sign anything.
01:02:00.360
Because if what Hamas is asking for is a ceasefire,
01:02:06.360
why would the IDF think that was a good idea, unless they were sure they could gain nothing from it?
01:02:17.660
If Hamas said we need a four-hour ceasefire to pull this together, or whatever hours it is,
01:02:24.100
wouldn't Israel say, okay, but you have to do it in the daytime?
01:02:29.500
So that the hours of the ceasefire are daytime hours?
01:02:32.520
So they could just watch what's happening from above?
01:02:35.440
Because if you could just watch in the daytime,
01:02:38.300
wouldn't you see them coming in and out of tunnels and maybe pick up some patterns?
01:02:43.860
If you saw them trying to gather up the hostages from the air,
01:02:49.040
if you could figure out where they were going or where the hostages came out of,
01:02:52.980
wouldn't that suggest that there might be more hostages there?
01:02:56.540
Like, in other words, did they only collect up the hostages they planned to release
01:03:01.560
or were they taking, you know, two from this group of hostages and two from this?
01:03:06.520
So there might be a whole bunch of intelligence that Israel could pick up
01:03:10.980
by pretending that they're going along with this.
01:03:16.960
There's something about the deal that one or both sides is not saying directly,
01:03:24.920
So what I don't expect is that it will be as clean as,
01:03:31.760
here's 50 people in return for a four-hour pause.
01:03:44.420
So, have you noticed that some of the polling is inexplicable?
01:03:50.400
So we've heard lately that Trump is winning with black men,
01:03:55.100
which would be the weirdest turnaround of all politics.
01:03:58.560
But then we hear that Trump is actually beating Biden in the 18 to 39 category.
01:04:12.140
But would NBC have any motivation to give you numbers that weren't legitimately done?
01:04:27.120
People who know more about these things than I do often say that NBC is the organ that the CIA uses
01:04:36.100
People also say that the CIA is more of a Democrat machine and that the media,
01:04:45.160
the intelligence people, and the Democrats are all one big blob.
01:04:56.060
why would the CIA and or Democrats want to put on a poll that absolutely nukes Joe Biden?
01:05:07.440
If Democrats saw that Biden's overall numbers had gone down in every category,
01:05:38.000
And it wouldn't be necessarily an indication that Biden was the problem.
01:05:42.900
You know, maybe it's just a Democrats policy thing.
01:06:00.180
I would argue that the Democrat Party is a three-legged stool.
01:06:26.540
but it's such a small percentage of the public.
01:06:33.500
is it a coincidence that two of the major legs of the stool,
01:06:41.060
both suddenly were wildly on a whack with all past pooled polling?
01:06:55.060
Pollsters actually don't quite know what's going on there.
01:07:00.780
Now there's some thought that maybe bots are involved,
01:07:04.580
there's something about how polling has changed.
01:07:12.560
If your candidate was simply a little bit underwater compared to the alternative,
01:07:21.380
and the one who was underwater hadn't really campaigned very hard yet.
01:07:33.660
You wouldn't remove somebody for being down 2%.
01:07:45.420
but was going to remove two of the three stools of your entire party.
01:08:07.280
in which some shady forces have gained the polling system somehow,
01:08:12.240
to make it look like Biden is not just somebody who's 2% lower than the competition,
01:08:16.500
but somebody who has destroyed the architecture of their entire power system,
01:08:25.400
which is they got to have the three legs of the stool.
01:08:36.280
That is an ironclad argument for replacing them.
01:08:49.740
The two of the three stools get taken out by recent polls at exactly the time.
01:09:08.000
And then there's a report today that Biden's strategy for the black vote is not to concentrate so much on racism and racial equity.
01:09:25.720
I don't know that that's going to be a strategy,
01:09:37.060
And that was his entire approach in the first election.
01:09:51.340
And if he brings up the fine people hoax one more time,
01:09:57.400
he's probably going to have it shoved down his throat.
01:10:02.480
I think we're at the point where the fine people hoax doesn't work anymore.
01:10:06.420
I think somebody just shoved it down his throat.
01:10:16.860
So imagine being in a meeting where somebody is advising the Democrats or the
01:10:22.140
and this is what they advise them to get the black vote.
01:10:30.600
They're going to run a series of ads that talk about the president lowering the
01:10:52.860
If you wanted to convince somebody that the cost of living was too high,
01:11:24.120
do you think that black people are looking at their healthcare premiums and
01:11:33.960
I'll bet there are zero black people who looked at their healthcare
01:11:53.980
It's exactly the wrong persuasion political place to go.
01:12:10.840
Now the thing about gas and food is that you do them more often than you do
01:12:17.740
you're reminded of those things more often and healthcare premiums are often
01:12:23.560
deducted from your paycheck or the order from your account.
01:12:36.880
have you ever picked up some prescription meds and said to yourself,
01:12:41.120
these are a lot cheaper than they could have been.
01:12:50.700
You've never once said it could have been worse.
01:13:04.980
But the other day I went into shop and you've had the experience.
01:13:16.120
the entire footprint of it would be like a little bit bigger than a football.
01:13:36.940
So if you want to tell people that you're working on prices,
01:13:41.320
you better do something that they can see at the point of purchase.