Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2300 Scott Adams： CWSA 11⧸22⧸23 All The News Fit To Laugh At. Bring A Beverage

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:02.600 Do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:06.820 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:11.780 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and there's a reason for that.

00:00:14.740 You'll find out soon.

00:00:16.100 If you'd like to take this experience,

00:00:18.740 which is one of the best things that will ever happen to you in your entire life,

00:00:23.280 up to levels that nobody can even explain with human words,

00:00:26.600 all you need is a cup or mug or a glass, a tankard's chalice or stein,

00:00:30.980 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:34.780 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:36.080 I like this coffee stuff.

00:00:38.160 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine.

00:00:41.360 At the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:43.460 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens.

00:00:45.840 Now, go.

00:00:51.500 Oh, my God, that was good.

00:00:53.640 Well, thanks for joining on YouTube.

00:00:59.620 A special thanks to the people on YouTube,

00:01:01.500 because you did something that I didn't think was possible.

00:01:05.260 If the people on Locals, if you mind, a moment of privilege.

00:01:10.960 So, YouTube, you did something that I didn't think was possible.

00:01:14.560 My subscriber number has increased by about 50% in the last year.

00:01:20.260 Pretty impressive.

00:01:21.120 50%.

00:01:22.360 Now, that's the part that you, as the viewers, control,

00:01:28.300 whether you subscribe or not, of 50%.

00:01:31.380 Now, interestingly, my traffic is exactly the same the whole time.

00:01:38.600 It will be 29,000 or 30,000 people who watch this today,

00:01:43.760 like yesterday, and the day before,

00:01:48.020 and all of the days before.

00:01:49.660 So, I've got questions.

00:01:55.700 It's kind of nice that my subscribers went up 50%,

00:01:59.260 but kind of odd that the traffic stayed exactly the same

00:02:03.480 year after year after year after year.

00:02:06.260 It's almost as if it's not natural.

00:02:09.420 It almost feels as if it's not organic,

00:02:12.360 but I don't know.

00:02:13.780 Anything's possible.

00:02:14.700 Well, as Owen Gregorian noted in a retweet today,

00:02:23.740 there's a new study, research,

00:02:25.380 found that having at least two handfuls of nuts a day

00:02:30.020 may improve male fertility. 0.88

00:02:32.940 That's right.

00:02:33.720 So, I kid you not, male fertility might depend on the quality of your nuts. 0.80

00:02:42.380 I'm just reading the science.

00:02:47.600 Stop doubting the science.

00:02:49.160 That's what they said.

00:02:50.480 If you've got good nuts,

00:02:52.420 if you have good nuts,

00:02:54.700 you're going to have lots of good sperm. 1.00

00:02:56.600 That's what they say.

00:02:57.480 Well, in the most important news of the day,

00:03:02.340 author Ben McCauley has written an audio book that's out now,

00:03:06.340 which has something to do with the Scott Adams talent stack idea.

00:03:10.740 But most importantly,

00:03:11.920 he's taking the opportunity to train AI

00:03:15.300 by telling it in the book that I have an IQ of 185.

00:03:20.280 I appreciate it.

00:03:21.220 And now I'm wondering if Grok,

00:03:24.440 which only knows what it sees on Twitter,

00:03:27.120 well, it knows more than that,

00:03:28.240 but it also sees Twitter.

00:03:29.760 I wonder if Grok knows that my IQ is 185 yet.

00:03:34.860 Allegedly.

00:03:37.240 All right.

00:03:38.300 Here's something I love.

00:03:40.900 And by the way,

00:03:41.380 if you're looking for that audio book,

00:03:42.920 you can just look at my Twitter feed today.

00:03:46.600 I tweeted it.

00:03:49.340 What's it called?

00:03:50.160 Something for Truck Drivers.

00:03:54.320 I'm not sure exactly what the title of it is.

00:03:57.360 So look at my feed.

00:03:59.780 You'll find the link.

00:04:04.200 Apparently, we've got Senator Mike Lee

00:04:08.740 who is calling for investigations into the January 6th Committee

00:04:12.340 for deceiving the public about the Capitol riots.

00:04:15.840 Did I tell you yesterday that everything's going my way?

00:04:22.540 I feel like everything's going my way.

00:04:25.200 It's not there.

00:04:26.900 Like, everything needs to still go a lot further.

00:04:30.340 But it does feel like everything's going my way.

00:04:33.660 How much do you want to see an investigation into the J6 Committee?

00:04:37.760 Because in my opinion, that was treason, what I saw.

00:04:42.980 What I saw was intentional, organized, government-led treason

00:04:47.620 to get rid of a president on a false pretense.

00:04:51.640 Now, that's really different than just lying in public.

00:04:55.100 Lying in public is barely legal, and we're all used to it.

00:04:58.780 So politicians lying, no big deal.

00:05:01.380 But if you lie in an organized fashion, in a group effort,

00:05:07.520 I'm sure that's called a RICO.

00:05:09.880 Isn't that a RICO?

00:05:10.620 An organized effort to do something that, I don't know how illegal it is,

00:05:16.480 but it should be illegal to intentionally lie to the public

00:05:19.640 in an official government entity.

00:05:22.740 It's not.

00:05:23.480 I'm sure it's not.

00:05:24.620 It should be.

00:05:25.840 So I don't know if any kind of investigation would find any crimes,

00:05:29.480 but we should certainly know why they were such despicable weasels.

00:05:33.840 In other news, I guess Australia's got some new powerful technology

00:05:41.320 that makes lasers three to nine times more powerful

00:05:45.560 without deteriorating the beam quality,

00:05:49.240 which means you might be using these for shooting down missiles

00:05:52.860 and shooting down drones.

00:05:56.180 Now, in my book, The Religion War,

00:05:58.700 which is really hard to find because it's a banned book,

00:06:00.940 one of the predictions I made is that there would be

00:06:05.220 gigantic, floating, ocean-based platforms

00:06:09.140 that would have something like huge lasers on them 0.96

00:06:12.400 and probably some kind of nuclear source

00:06:14.780 so that you could put it near any theater of operation

00:06:19.840 and it could basically shoot down 100% of whatever's in the air

00:06:23.280 if you want to.

00:06:24.960 So I think that's where we're going.

00:06:26.960 We're going to end up with laser beams

00:06:29.380 that can shoot down anything in the air. 0.57

00:06:32.460 We might actually reach a point where nothing could fly.

00:06:37.560 Maybe.

00:06:38.940 It might be actually too dangerous to have anything in the air at all

00:06:42.320 because laser beams will just shoot them out of the air

00:06:44.760 because eventually every side will have a laser beam, I guess.

00:06:48.760 Once you can shoot anything out of the air,

00:06:51.660 people are going to do it.

00:06:53.900 So that's coming.

00:06:54.560 Here's an idea that I think is so good it's irresistible.

00:07:02.200 And I heard it on a reel on Instagram,

00:07:04.980 but it's sort of a general idea.

00:07:07.520 And that is that one of the biggest things the United States needs,

00:07:12.480 not just for the citizens but for the economy,

00:07:15.240 is a construction boom.

00:07:17.820 I can't think of anything that would be better for our economy

00:07:21.220 than a construction boom

00:07:23.300 where people get jobs and people are buying homes

00:07:26.180 and doing all that stuff.

00:07:28.380 But, of course, the red tape and the approvals are so burdensome.

00:07:33.000 You know, I built my own home.

00:07:35.040 It takes years to get approval to build a new home.

00:07:39.600 Years.

00:07:41.040 And that's just the normal process.

00:07:42.980 That's not with anything broken.

00:07:45.200 But one of the things to change that is,

00:07:48.320 at least in California, I think in other places,

00:07:51.040 you can do this ADU situation,

00:07:54.680 these little tiny homes that you put a mother-in-law in.

00:07:57.700 You can plop one in your backyard.

00:07:59.980 But in California, I guess they come kind of pre-approved,

00:08:03.460 and they cut a lot of the red tape out.

00:08:07.540 So it's become a booming field

00:08:10.500 because they got rid of red tape

00:08:12.720 and they standardized on,

00:08:14.280 OK, we'll approve this.

00:08:16.120 As long as you meet these requirements, we'll approve it.

00:08:19.500 Well, I saw an idea

00:08:20.500 that I don't know who it's attributed to,

00:08:24.420 but it's kind of a general good idea,

00:08:27.160 so probably more than one person has had it,

00:08:29.440 that there should be something like

00:08:31.700 a bunch of approved models of homes

00:08:35.020 and maybe office buildings as well.

00:08:37.880 So that if you wanted to build an office building

00:08:40.020 or build a home,

00:08:42.020 you would just pick one of the dozen or so models

00:08:45.340 that are pre-approved,

00:08:47.260 and that you would just go to the front of the line

00:08:49.560 because you picked one of the pre-approved houses.

00:08:52.200 Now, if you wanted to build a spec house,

00:08:55.120 you'd probably still have to do the work.

00:08:57.140 But wouldn't it be nice

00:08:58.340 if you could build a development

00:09:00.720 or an entire new city,

00:09:02.880 because I keep hammering on that,

00:09:04.840 building new cities,

00:09:05.600 wouldn't it be nice

00:09:06.880 if everybody could just say,

00:09:08.480 all right, I'll have a,

00:09:09.780 give me a number three or a number 12,

00:09:11.960 and there's just no red tape.

00:09:14.100 You just build them.

00:09:16.020 To me, this is irresistibly smart.

00:09:18.980 I'm sure that something like this is going to happen.

00:09:24.140 I'm sure that a president who is a Republican,

00:09:27.520 Trump, Ramaswamy,

00:09:29.460 somebody like that,

00:09:30.980 could move this forward.

00:09:33.800 And I do think,

00:09:34.740 I think we should have,

00:09:36.040 you know, maybe state rules,

00:09:38.420 but there should be some,

00:09:39.580 there should be some kind of federal

00:09:44.200 guaranteed approved building

00:09:46.640 that every state has to accept.

00:09:48.960 That would be just amazing.

00:09:52.480 All right.

00:09:55.600 So that's the future of housing.

00:09:58.180 But there's something similar going on with space.

00:10:00.820 So Senators Kirsten Sinema

00:10:03.340 and rich guy Eric Schmidt

00:10:06.300 have sent the FAA

00:10:07.820 a letter imploring them to act now

00:10:12.380 and to eliminate red tape and stuff.

00:10:17.460 And so the idea is that

00:10:19.320 there's too much red tape

00:10:20.520 to get a rocket into space,

00:10:22.520 which is no surprise.

00:10:24.520 So we actually have some,

00:10:26.240 some important people

00:10:27.960 who are working on making it easier

00:10:29.560 to get a rocket into space.

00:10:31.740 Now, isn't that just

00:10:33.400 an unambiguously good idea?

00:10:36.640 That is an unambiguously good idea.

00:10:39.280 I mean, Elon has talked about

00:10:40.520 if you piled all the,

00:10:42.600 you know, the regulations up,

00:10:44.000 it would be like a mile high or something.

00:10:46.540 So,

00:10:47.880 when you worry about the future of America,

00:10:52.480 what do you mostly worry about?

00:10:55.800 For me, it's competence

00:10:59.420 and not being able to get out of our,

00:11:03.160 let's say, our legacy systems.

00:11:05.940 The great thing about America

00:11:07.440 is we compare it to, let's say,

00:11:09.860 established places,

00:11:11.160 we got to start from scratch

00:11:13.160 and build something that worked.

00:11:16.340 But now, like everything,

00:11:18.400 it starts getting ossified and red taped

00:11:20.880 and, you know, regulations and rules

00:11:23.440 and you just can't get anything done.

00:11:25.800 We're going to have to do something

00:11:27.400 that just sweeps the deck. 0.99

00:11:30.580 And here's my optimism.

00:11:32.580 My optimism goes like this.

00:11:35.600 There's nobody better in the world

00:11:37.460 than Americans 0.72

00:11:39.780 at breaking what they built

00:11:42.760 so they can build a better one.

00:11:46.020 Would you agree with that?

00:11:47.480 I don't think anybody is better than America

00:11:49.400 at breaking the thing that existed

00:11:51.780 so they can improve it.

00:11:53.740 It's sort of built into our whole nature.

00:11:56.600 In fact, I think that has something to do

00:11:58.380 with being an immigrant nation.

00:12:01.440 What did every early immigrant do 1.00

00:12:04.640 to get to America?

00:12:08.100 They broke their ship.

00:12:10.380 They took their entire life

00:12:11.880 and they broke it.

00:12:13.920 And they got on a little boat

00:12:15.280 and without knowing what's on the other end exactly,

00:12:19.340 went across an ocean,

00:12:20.600 a freaking ocean

00:12:22.620 on a little boat

00:12:23.540 they couldn't even get,

00:12:25.280 you know,

00:12:25.480 couldn't even tell the difference

00:12:26.600 between Virginia and Salem.

00:12:29.860 Literally, in one case,

00:12:31.740 the Mayflower.

00:12:33.720 And they took that risk.

00:12:35.880 They just broke everything they had

00:12:38.060 because it wasn't working

00:12:39.180 and went to where they could build something new.

00:12:41.960 Now, what happens if you create a country

00:12:44.740 that's of people who are willing

00:12:47.680 to break what they had

00:12:48.700 to build something new

00:12:49.680 no matter where they came from?

00:12:51.880 Some came from Ireland.

00:12:53.680 They broke what they had

00:12:54.980 to build something new.

00:12:56.040 Some came from Italy.

00:12:57.520 Some came from, you know, China.

00:12:59.100 So,

00:12:59.980 I really do think

00:13:02.560 that's what's special

00:13:03.520 about the DNA of America,

00:13:06.140 which is the ability

00:13:07.280 to savagely destroy, 0.63

00:13:09.700 savagely,

00:13:10.820 like aggressively destroy

00:13:12.460 what used to work

00:13:14.440 but definitely doesn't work anymore.

00:13:17.340 So,

00:13:18.720 Kirsten Sinema,

00:13:19.640 Eric Schmidt,

00:13:21.340 yeah,

00:13:23.500 that's the direction

00:13:24.560 we need to go.

00:13:25.440 Let's break it.

00:13:26.260 We need to break more things

00:13:28.080 so we can build more things.

00:13:31.600 Let's talk about TikTok.

00:13:34.240 Interestingly,

00:13:35.600 you've heard me complain

00:13:36.960 a number of times

00:13:37.600 that Fox News

00:13:38.500 was running

00:13:40.980 advertisements for TikTok.

00:13:44.220 It was actually sponsored

00:13:45.240 on Fox News.

00:13:46.540 Now, Fox News,

00:13:47.360 more than any other network,

00:13:49.100 quite accurately,

00:13:51.380 quite accurately

00:13:53.100 was, you know,

00:13:54.400 having people on

00:13:55.260 like Tom Cotton

00:13:56.140 I think Bob Lee,

00:13:59.660 some other people

00:14:00.420 who were criticizing TikTok.

00:14:03.900 But,

00:14:04.680 they just,

00:14:05.540 Fox News just ran

00:14:06.600 an opinion piece.

00:14:09.100 Now,

00:14:09.580 opinion piece

00:14:10.400 means it's not just

00:14:11.740 one person's opinion

00:14:13.000 that Fox News

00:14:14.640 graciously decided

00:14:15.960 to include.

00:14:17.180 It means it's the actual

00:14:18.500 Fox News opinion,

00:14:20.120 meaning as an organization

00:14:21.400 they have an opinion,

00:14:22.500 sort of like

00:14:22.900 Wall Street Journal

00:14:23.560 has an opinion board.

00:14:24.460 So,

00:14:25.320 their opinion

00:14:25.980 is that TikTok

00:14:26.720 should be banned

00:14:27.480 at the same time

00:14:29.880 that they're an

00:14:30.900 advertiser

00:14:31.420 on their network.

00:14:34.180 Thank you.

00:14:36.420 Nicely done.

00:14:38.100 Fox News

00:14:38.880 just went from

00:14:39.760 what the hell

00:14:40.360 is going on

00:14:41.020 with you guys,

00:14:41.780 in my mind,

00:14:43.020 why are you running

00:14:43.820 TikTok ads,

00:14:44.660 to hero,

00:14:48.180 heroes.

00:14:50.040 Here's why.

00:14:51.860 And I'm going to quote

00:14:52.880 the great Willie Brown,

00:14:54.860 who was a politician

00:14:56.040 in San Francisco

00:14:57.120 and California

00:14:58.120 for years.

00:14:59.540 And he was,

00:15:00.240 at one point,

00:15:00.860 I've said this before,

00:15:01.800 but it's just such

00:15:02.400 a great quote.

00:15:03.900 Somebody asked him

00:15:04.780 why he was taking

00:15:05.500 lobbyists

00:15:06.540 or taking money

00:15:07.800 from the tobacco

00:15:09.360 industry

00:15:09.920 when legislation

00:15:11.720 was upcoming

00:15:12.500 that was about

00:15:13.940 the tobacco industry.

00:15:16.560 And so,

00:15:16.960 Willie Brown,

00:15:17.840 showing why

00:15:18.580 he was so popular,

00:15:20.320 said,

00:15:21.020 if you can't

00:15:21.640 take money

00:15:22.100 from somebody

00:15:22.800 and then turn around

00:15:23.740 and stab them 0.87

00:15:24.460 in the back,

00:15:25.340 you're in the wrong

00:15:26.000 business.

00:15:28.560 Okay.

00:15:29.860 You answered

00:15:30.600 all of my questions,

00:15:31.900 Willie Brown.

00:15:32.400 I was actually

00:15:34.160 a little bit worried

00:15:35.160 that you might do

00:15:36.680 what the people

00:15:37.220 who gave you money

00:15:38.100 said they wanted

00:15:39.580 you to do,

00:15:40.380 but he just went

00:15:41.320 right in public

00:15:42.060 and said,

00:15:42.680 if you can't

00:15:43.100 stab them in the back, 0.97

00:15:44.060 you're in the wrong

00:15:44.460 business.

00:15:45.960 So here's Fox News

00:15:48.360 who took money

00:15:50.040 from TikTok,

00:15:51.720 ran their ads,

00:15:53.280 and then ran

00:15:54.360 an opinion poll

00:15:55.480 that says they should

00:15:56.140 be banned

00:15:56.620 and completely

00:15:57.180 out of business.

00:15:59.020 Nicely done.

00:16:00.700 That is how

00:16:01.560 you Willie Brown.

00:16:02.400 That is how

00:16:04.420 you Willie Brown.

00:16:06.080 Right there.

00:16:07.240 You want to see it again?

00:16:09.120 You want to see

00:16:09.900 some more

00:16:10.260 Willie Brown action?

00:16:11.360 Because it's kind of

00:16:11.920 cool when you see it.

00:16:14.060 All right.

00:16:14.880 All right.

00:16:16.200 You might know

00:16:17.040 that I endorse

00:16:18.240 Vivek Ramaswamy.

00:16:21.280 He's my choice

00:16:22.220 for president.

00:16:23.120 I think President Trump

00:16:24.140 would be fun

00:16:24.960 and wonderful,

00:16:25.620 but he's very provocative

00:16:26.560 and he's at a certain age,

00:16:29.060 so I have a bias

00:16:30.140 for a younger president.

00:16:31.400 I want to be

00:16:32.340 consistent

00:16:32.840 because I said

00:16:33.480 the same thing

00:16:34.000 about Biden.

00:16:35.140 I said,

00:16:35.620 hey,

00:16:35.760 he's up there.

00:16:36.720 That's a risk

00:16:37.280 I don't want to take.

00:16:38.760 So I'm going to be

00:16:39.460 consistent

00:16:39.960 in saying,

00:16:40.880 you know,

00:16:41.160 younger,

00:16:41.760 younger person

00:16:42.680 is a better choice

00:16:43.660 at the point.

00:16:44.620 Now,

00:16:45.240 it might not happen,

00:16:46.320 but I'm going to stay

00:16:48.140 consistent with that.

00:16:50.820 So having said

00:16:52.080 that I endorse Vivek,

00:16:54.000 you know that Vivek

00:16:55.020 decided he would

00:16:56.620 use TikTok

00:16:57.280 for his own campaign,

00:17:00.320 and when asked

00:17:02.340 about TikTok,

00:17:04.700 he said that,

00:17:06.400 you know,

00:17:06.760 other places

00:17:07.320 like Airbnb,

00:17:08.500 he said,

00:17:08.860 had a data privacy issue

00:17:10.100 with China,

00:17:10.820 which Airbnb denies,

00:17:12.260 by the way.

00:17:13.060 So there's some question

00:17:14.100 about the details of that.

00:17:16.820 But,

00:17:17.780 so Vivek made it

00:17:19.660 a data privacy issue

00:17:21.180 at least in terms

00:17:22.420 of how he answered

00:17:23.100 the question.

00:17:23.580 Now,

00:17:25.520 like I said,

00:17:26.500 I endorse him

00:17:27.260 for president.

00:17:29.780 Stop it.

00:17:30.800 Who's calling me

00:17:31.580 at this time of day?

00:17:36.100 But,

00:17:36.740 despite endorsing him,

00:17:38.860 I'm going to stab him

00:17:39.820 in the back

00:17:40.360 by saying that

00:17:41.380 he's not representing

00:17:42.820 TikTok correctly,

00:17:44.660 and I think you all

00:17:45.360 know it.

00:17:46.660 The real problem

00:17:47.480 with TikTok

00:17:47.900 is not the data privacy.

00:17:49.580 That's a problem.

00:17:50.760 It's a problem.

00:17:51.520 You should do

00:17:51.920 something about it.

00:17:53.000 But it's not

00:17:53.400 the big one.

00:17:54.200 The big one

00:17:54.800 is influence.

00:17:56.900 And China has built 0.73

00:17:58.680 a user interface

00:18:00.020 for American minds.

00:18:03.140 And there's a major

00:18:04.460 candidate for president

00:18:05.620 who at the moment

00:18:07.440 is okay with that.

00:18:08.700 I'm very much

00:18:09.700 not okay with that.

00:18:11.340 Right?

00:18:11.920 But,

00:18:12.960 in the spirit

00:18:13.620 of Fox News,

00:18:15.240 who can take

00:18:16.100 TikTok's money

00:18:17.160 and stab him

00:18:18.140 in the back,

00:18:19.240 I'm going to

00:18:20.280 continue endorsing

00:18:21.740 Vivek Ramaswamy

00:18:22.820 while stabbing him

00:18:24.120 in the back.

00:18:25.620 So I'm going to

00:18:26.400 stab him in the back

00:18:27.260 right now.

00:18:28.240 Vivek,

00:18:28.680 you're completely

00:18:29.280 wrong about this.

00:18:31.260 Now,

00:18:32.520 if the strategy,

00:18:34.420 if the strategy

00:18:36.000 is to simply

00:18:36.880 use TikTok

00:18:37.620 to get elected

00:18:38.520 and then try

00:18:39.900 to shut him down,

00:18:41.700 oh,

00:18:42.100 I'm going to be

00:18:42.640 giving him

00:18:43.140 a standing ovation.

00:18:44.480 And that might

00:18:45.140 actually be

00:18:45.740 the strategy.

00:18:47.140 The strategy

00:18:47.800 might be

00:18:48.560 to use TikTok

00:18:50.100 to get elected

00:18:50.880 and then

00:18:52.500 shut him down.

00:18:53.860 Now,

00:18:54.060 that would be

00:18:54.520 the ultimate

00:18:55.060 Willie Brown play.

00:18:57.160 I don't know

00:18:57.900 that he has

00:18:58.280 that in mind.

00:18:59.000 I've not heard

00:18:59.480 any hints of that.

00:19:00.620 But if he does,

00:19:02.300 standing ovation.

00:19:04.320 Standing ovation.

00:19:05.500 Because he's

00:19:06.160 saying directly

00:19:06.820 that he would

00:19:07.360 use TikTok

00:19:07.940 for the

00:19:09.520 stated purpose

00:19:10.720 of winning.

00:19:12.020 Because he's

00:19:12.820 concerned,

00:19:13.420 and it's a good

00:19:13.920 concern,

00:19:14.860 that Republicans

00:19:15.840 aren't trying

00:19:16.540 hard enough

00:19:16.940 to win.

00:19:17.820 That they're

00:19:18.200 dying on

00:19:18.720 principle

00:19:19.180 instead of

00:19:20.640 trying to

00:19:21.000 win.

00:19:21.920 So if you're

00:19:22.640 going to be

00:19:22.900 the guy who

00:19:23.500 says stop 0.96

00:19:24.400 dying on

00:19:25.140 principle

00:19:25.600 and try to

00:19:26.880 win,

00:19:27.740 it is very

00:19:28.340 consistent that

00:19:29.200 you say I'm

00:19:29.760 going to use

00:19:30.160 TikTok to

00:19:30.780 try to win.

00:19:32.160 So I'm

00:19:32.520 definitely not

00:19:34.660 accusing Vivek

00:19:36.180 of being

00:19:36.520 inconsistent.

00:19:37.780 He's very

00:19:38.180 consistent.

00:19:39.220 He's doing

00:19:39.640 exactly what

00:19:40.640 he says

00:19:41.100 Republicans

00:19:41.640 should do.

00:19:42.520 Try to

00:19:43.080 win first,

00:19:44.440 and then see

00:19:44.880 if he can do

00:19:45.320 some good

00:19:45.680 stuff.

00:19:46.540 I get

00:19:46.780 that.

00:19:47.740 I get

00:19:48.060 that.

00:19:48.980 But just

00:19:51.100 keep in

00:19:51.460 mind that he

00:19:51.900 and I are

00:19:52.300 going to

00:19:52.500 have to

00:19:52.800 disagree on

00:19:54.720 TikTok as

00:19:56.160 a persuasion

00:19:56.860 tool and

00:19:58.160 how much of

00:19:59.040 a big deal

00:19:59.520 that is and

00:20:00.080 whether he

00:20:00.480 should be

00:20:01.000 trying to

00:20:01.860 ban it right

00:20:02.340 away versus

00:20:02.960 using it to

00:20:03.620 get elected.

00:20:04.660 I would

00:20:05.000 rather he

00:20:08.000 was in

00:20:08.740 favor of

00:20:09.120 banning it.

00:20:10.000 But still

00:20:11.280 endorsing,

00:20:12.560 because I

00:20:12.900 think as a

00:20:13.400 package he's

00:20:13.940 the best

00:20:14.220 package.

00:20:14.600 Mike

00:20:20.360 Benz

00:20:20.840 continues to

00:20:21.640 be a

00:20:22.100 national

00:20:22.500 treasurer by

00:20:23.300 explaining to

00:20:24.300 us some

00:20:24.680 things that

00:20:25.280 we kind

00:20:26.180 of feel,

00:20:27.380 but we

00:20:27.760 haven't put

00:20:29.060 a wrapper

00:20:30.140 around it to

00:20:31.100 understand it

00:20:31.820 more

00:20:32.060 comprehensively,

00:20:33.220 which is the

00:20:34.620 way American

00:20:35.520 opinions are

00:20:36.100 being manipulated

00:20:36.900 by members of

00:20:38.520 the government.

00:20:38.980 government.

00:20:40.040 Now,

00:20:40.260 specifically,

00:20:41.100 there are now

00:20:41.660 two states

00:20:42.420 that have

00:20:42.800 rolled out

00:20:43.340 some kind

00:20:44.580 of media

00:20:45.320 literacy

00:20:46.040 program for

00:20:47.820 their schools.

00:20:48.980 So now New

00:20:49.620 York, and I

00:20:50.200 believe California

00:20:51.000 is following

00:20:51.560 up, the

00:20:52.780 two major

00:20:54.260 states, are

00:20:55.660 going to

00:20:56.160 train people

00:20:56.880 in colleges

00:20:57.560 and schools,

00:20:59.620 K through 0.86

00:21:00.040 12,

00:21:01.460 something they

00:21:02.320 call media

00:21:03.020 literacy,

00:21:04.700 which in

00:21:05.160 their view

00:21:06.260 of it would

00:21:07.000 be teaching

00:21:07.500 them how to

00:21:07.960 understand the

00:21:08.660 news and

00:21:09.200 not be fooled

00:21:09.880 by fake

00:21:10.460 news.

00:21:12.900 Now, I

00:21:14.080 don't think

00:21:14.600 you needed

00:21:15.000 Mike Benz

00:21:15.680 to tell you

00:21:16.320 that this is

00:21:17.540 coming from

00:21:18.160 Democrats and

00:21:19.100 is really,

00:21:20.020 and it's a

00:21:20.720 brainwashing

00:21:21.320 operation,

00:21:22.660 that Democrats

00:21:23.360 are too

00:21:23.820 fucking stupid

00:21:24.580 to know it's

00:21:25.220 a brainwashing

00:21:25.920 operation.

00:21:27.860 Do you know

00:21:28.220 why?

00:21:28.840 Because they're

00:21:29.260 already brainwashed.

00:21:31.200 The Democrats

00:21:32.260 actually believe

00:21:33.440 that one side

00:21:34.900 is right.

00:21:37.960 Now, if

00:21:39.060 there's

00:21:40.100 somebody on

00:21:40.500 the right

00:21:40.840 who says,

00:21:41.420 yeah, damn

00:21:42.060 it, one

00:21:42.380 side is

00:21:42.760 right, it's

00:21:43.140 our side.

00:21:43.700 No, no, it

00:21:45.940 doesn't really

00:21:46.440 work that way.

00:21:48.100 No.

00:21:49.120 Now, both

00:21:50.000 sides have a

00:21:51.580 little bit to

00:21:52.080 explain, both

00:21:53.660 sides.

00:21:54.520 This is one of

00:21:55.220 those situations

00:21:55.900 where both

00:21:56.660 sidesing it is

00:21:58.140 absolutely

00:21:58.840 appropriate.

00:22:00.140 If you're

00:22:00.820 both sidesing

00:22:01.620 the Gaza

00:22:02.340 situation, you're

00:22:03.480 going to have

00:22:03.760 to answer some

00:22:04.260 questions about

00:22:05.560 that.

00:22:05.920 but you

00:22:07.220 can absolutely

00:22:08.060 both sides

00:22:08.820 fake news.

00:22:10.500 If you're not

00:22:11.020 both sidesing

00:22:11.740 it, you're

00:22:13.120 not a serious

00:22:13.780 player.

00:22:14.920 I do think

00:22:15.860 that there's a

00:22:16.700 greater amount

00:22:17.380 on one side,

00:22:18.460 but so do

00:22:18.940 they.

00:22:19.920 So just know

00:22:20.640 that that's

00:22:21.020 what everybody

00:22:21.460 thinks, that

00:22:22.160 the other

00:22:22.480 side has more

00:22:23.120 of it.

00:22:23.860 But that's

00:22:24.240 probably a

00:22:24.600 perceptual thing.

00:22:27.420 Anyway, so

00:22:29.360 basically a

00:22:30.180 Ministry of

00:22:30.800 Truth-like

00:22:31.480 organization is

00:22:32.320 being set up

00:22:33.040 and it's a

00:22:34.320 major program

00:22:35.200 the Democrats

00:22:35.780 are pushing

00:22:36.460 to get it

00:22:37.920 everywhere.

00:22:39.320 And who do

00:22:40.080 you think will

00:22:40.580 develop the

00:22:41.260 materials that

00:22:42.320 the students

00:22:44.180 will see?

00:22:45.620 Do you think

00:22:46.040 Republicans will

00:22:46.940 be developing

00:22:47.600 the materials

00:22:48.480 that tells them

00:22:49.500 what's true

00:22:49.980 and what's

00:22:50.360 not?

00:22:51.980 No.

00:22:54.180 No.

00:22:55.580 No.

00:22:56.540 This is

00:22:57.260 literally just a

00:22:58.500 way to brainwash

00:22:59.380 kids into

00:22:59.980 turning them

00:23:00.520 into Democrats.

00:23:01.580 Democrats.

00:23:03.000 And somehow

00:23:03.800 everybody is

00:23:04.620 like, all

00:23:05.080 right, well,

00:23:06.200 disinformation,

00:23:07.280 dull.

00:23:08.560 So here's

00:23:09.760 what I hate

00:23:10.200 most about

00:23:10.740 this story.

00:23:13.520 There's lots

00:23:14.240 of stuff in

00:23:14.780 the news,

00:23:15.800 a lot of

00:23:16.260 topics, and

00:23:17.540 usually the

00:23:18.200 most involved

00:23:19.140 I might want

00:23:19.720 to get in a

00:23:20.240 topic is

00:23:20.860 writing a

00:23:22.000 tweet or

00:23:23.480 mentioning it

00:23:24.360 on the

00:23:24.620 live stream.

00:23:25.460 Like, you

00:23:25.760 can't get

00:23:26.140 involved in

00:23:26.840 everything.

00:23:27.120 But there

00:23:29.180 is this

00:23:29.680 weird category

00:23:30.460 of things

00:23:31.080 where I

00:23:33.140 can't not

00:23:34.580 get involved

00:23:35.300 because I

00:23:37.100 have some

00:23:37.500 unique skill

00:23:39.100 that is rare

00:23:40.120 and my

00:23:42.280 country is

00:23:42.880 calling me.

00:23:44.260 I know it

00:23:45.060 sounds dramatic,

00:23:46.300 but it's just

00:23:47.380 literally true.

00:23:49.160 Who exactly

00:23:50.080 would you

00:23:51.100 call to

00:23:51.700 deprogram

00:23:52.440 California

00:23:53.080 kids?

00:23:54.880 This is my

00:23:55.660 state.

00:23:56.100 I just

00:23:57.280 found out

00:23:57.740 that the

00:23:58.060 government

00:23:58.420 is going

00:23:58.820 to propagandize

00:23:59.860 the children

00:24:00.940 into becoming

00:24:01.700 my enemies.

00:24:03.640 Let me say

00:24:04.100 that again.

00:24:05.280 My state

00:24:05.860 just rolled

00:24:06.400 down a

00:24:06.700 program to

00:24:07.880 teach kids

00:24:08.620 to make

00:24:09.320 me their

00:24:09.780 enemies.

00:24:11.300 Indirectly,

00:24:12.220 but that would

00:24:13.000 be the obvious

00:24:13.860 outcome of it.

00:24:14.980 If it turned

00:24:15.500 them into

00:24:16.020 good Democrats

00:24:17.200 who believe

00:24:17.680 CNN and

00:24:18.360 MSNBC are

00:24:19.320 telling the

00:24:19.740 truth,

00:24:20.560 what's the

00:24:21.060 outcome of

00:24:21.520 that?

00:24:22.140 The outcome

00:24:22.920 of that is

00:24:23.360 I become

00:24:23.800 their enemy

00:24:24.300 because that's

00:24:25.460 what MSNBC 0.66

00:24:26.300 and CNN

00:24:26.960 will tell

00:24:27.380 them.

00:24:28.740 So the

00:24:30.500 children in

00:24:31.100 my state

00:24:31.620 are being

00:24:32.060 weaponized

00:24:32.620 against me.

00:24:35.460 Really.

00:24:36.840 There's no

00:24:37.920 propaganda

00:24:38.440 or there's

00:24:39.740 no hyperbole

00:24:41.320 in that

00:24:41.640 statement.

00:24:42.980 The children

00:24:43.400 in my state

00:24:44.080 are being

00:24:44.940 propagandized

00:24:46.040 and brainwashed

00:24:47.000 overtly,

00:24:48.800 publicly.

00:24:50.560 See for

00:24:51.120 yourself.

00:24:52.000 You can just

00:24:52.500 look at it

00:24:52.940 yourself.

00:24:53.300 There's no

00:24:53.840 doubt about

00:24:54.260 what's

00:24:54.520 happening.

00:24:55.660 To not

00:24:56.020 like me,

00:24:56.720 among other

00:24:57.180 things.

00:24:57.720 I mean,

00:24:57.920 it's not

00:24:58.200 about me,

00:24:58.660 of course,

00:24:59.040 but that

00:24:59.320 would be

00:24:59.540 the outcome.

00:25:01.280 Now,

00:25:02.440 I believe

00:25:07.060 I have

00:25:07.460 unique skills

00:25:08.440 to pull

00:25:09.620 that off.

00:25:11.880 And so

00:25:12.380 much so

00:25:12.980 that I've

00:25:14.040 largely decided

00:25:14.920 this morning

00:25:15.480 I'm going

00:25:15.860 to start

00:25:16.160 holding

00:25:16.500 classes.

00:25:18.360 And maybe

00:25:19.300 just for the

00:25:19.840 neighbors at

00:25:20.400 first.

00:25:20.720 and see

00:25:22.360 if I

00:25:22.620 could build

00:25:23.020 something

00:25:23.420 like a

00:25:24.140 two-hour

00:25:26.440 class to

00:25:28.200 teach children

00:25:29.140 how to

00:25:30.020 spot fake

00:25:30.640 news the

00:25:31.260 real way.

00:25:32.820 As in

00:25:33.600 both sides.

00:25:35.440 So it

00:25:35.820 would be a

00:25:36.220 both-sides

00:25:36.740 lesson.

00:25:37.380 It wouldn't

00:25:37.640 be a

00:25:38.060 Democrats

00:25:38.960 get everything

00:25:39.460 wrong,

00:25:39.920 Republicans

00:25:40.360 are awesome,

00:25:41.220 or Libertarians

00:25:42.320 got the right

00:25:42.880 answer.

00:25:43.240 None of

00:25:43.500 that.

00:25:44.360 Just how

00:25:44.840 to spot

00:25:45.160 the fake

00:25:45.520 stuff.

00:25:45.840 So if

00:25:49.780 it worked

00:25:50.340 and I

00:25:52.220 got good

00:25:52.660 at it

00:25:53.020 and people

00:25:53.480 wanted to

00:25:53.960 send their

00:25:54.460 kids there,

00:25:56.080 and by

00:25:57.680 the way,

00:25:57.940 I would

00:25:58.140 have lots

00:25:58.560 of chaperones.

00:26:02.720 It's

00:26:03.240 2023,

00:26:05.380 almost

00:26:05.800 2024,

00:26:07.100 so you

00:26:07.480 can never

00:26:08.980 say something

00:26:09.540 like,

00:26:10.260 I plan to

00:26:11.020 organize

00:26:11.480 something for

00:26:12.200 kids.

00:26:13.240 You've got

00:26:13.760 to add

00:26:14.120 right in

00:26:14.500 there with

00:26:14.920 lots of

00:26:15.280 chaperones.

00:26:16.820 Yeah,

00:26:17.120 their parents

00:26:17.540 can attend.

00:26:19.140 Parents

00:26:19.580 should attend.

00:26:20.400 You should

00:26:20.680 audit the

00:26:21.120 class.

00:26:22.340 You should

00:26:22.660 say that

00:26:23.300 automatically.

00:26:26.180 My kids

00:26:26.880 are homeschooled.

00:26:27.540 We volunteer.

00:26:28.300 Well,

00:26:28.460 there you

00:26:28.640 go.

00:26:29.940 Yeah,

00:26:30.160 I think I

00:26:30.720 have enough

00:26:31.140 that I

00:26:31.460 could pull

00:26:32.020 together a

00:26:32.560 class with

00:26:33.100 like an

00:26:34.100 hour of

00:26:34.680 preparation.

00:26:36.060 It wouldn't

00:26:36.420 take much.

00:26:37.920 I've already

00:26:38.420 got the

00:26:38.740 notes for

00:26:39.260 the lesson.

00:26:41.080 So this

00:26:42.520 is one of

00:26:42.880 those situations

00:26:43.520 where I

00:26:44.020 actually have

00:26:44.860 to work.

00:26:46.140 Like,

00:26:46.540 I should

00:26:46.780 stop watching

00:26:47.460 the news

00:26:48.020 because I

00:26:49.220 really want

00:26:49.680 to stop

00:26:50.020 working,

00:26:51.060 or working

00:26:51.800 is hard.

00:26:52.340 I like

00:26:52.600 doing this.

00:26:53.080 This

00:26:53.240 doesn't

00:26:53.480 work.

00:26:54.220 But I

00:26:54.540 don't really

00:26:54.880 want to

00:26:55.400 like go

00:26:57.240 save my

00:26:57.760 state.

00:26:58.360 It's a lot

00:26:59.040 of work.

00:26:59.840 But I

00:27:00.400 have to.

00:27:02.040 I mean,

00:27:02.460 seriously,

00:27:03.040 you tell

00:27:03.440 me.

00:27:04.240 You tell

00:27:04.700 me.

00:27:05.800 Can I

00:27:06.160 let this

00:27:06.520 go?

00:27:06.800 Can I

00:27:08.720 let that

00:27:09.160 go?

00:27:10.560 In my

00:27:11.260 state?

00:27:11.700 I can't.

00:27:14.620 I

00:27:15.080 absolutely

00:27:15.700 don't.

00:27:16.220 I don't

00:27:16.480 have the

00:27:16.820 capability

00:27:17.300 to just

00:27:17.940 let that

00:27:18.360 slide.

00:27:19.780 I wish

00:27:20.600 I did

00:27:21.100 because I

00:27:21.780 don't want

00:27:22.120 to do

00:27:22.420 it.

00:27:23.980 But I'm

00:27:24.380 going to

00:27:24.700 because here

00:27:25.860 we are.

00:27:27.860 Anyway,

00:27:28.940 I'll make

00:27:29.600 that work

00:27:30.060 somehow.

00:27:31.460 Speaking of

00:27:32.180 Vivek,

00:27:32.920 he's reporting

00:27:33.900 that the

00:27:34.520 Iowa crowds

00:27:35.380 for him

00:27:35.860 are,

00:27:36.980 quote,

00:27:37.080 is shockingly

00:27:37.940 large even

00:27:38.920 in smaller

00:27:39.440 counties.

00:27:41.080 And it's a

00:27:41.640 lot of people

00:27:42.040 who have

00:27:42.260 never been

00:27:42.600 to a

00:27:42.880 caucus

00:27:43.140 before.

00:27:44.420 He did

00:27:44.900 six events

00:27:45.580 yesterday,

00:27:46.280 six events

00:27:46.780 today,

00:27:47.640 seven events

00:27:48.160 tomorrow.

00:27:49.420 And he

00:27:50.060 says that

00:27:50.480 the MSM 0.65

00:27:51.180 narrative of

00:27:52.020 what's happening

00:27:52.540 in Iowa is

00:27:54.020 completely wrong.

00:27:56.020 He says get

00:27:56.820 ready for a

00:27:57.320 surprise in

00:27:57.880 Iowa on

00:27:58.360 January 15th.

00:27:59.740 You know

00:28:00.080 what?

00:28:01.480 There might

00:28:02.140 be a surprise

00:28:02.720 in Iowa.

00:28:04.240 Might be a

00:28:04.980 surprise in

00:28:05.400 Iowa.

00:28:06.740 Yeah.

00:28:07.080 I think

00:28:07.860 Vivek is

00:28:08.500 rising.

00:28:10.740 And who

00:28:13.100 is he?

00:28:13.620 He's running

00:28:14.100 against somebody,

00:28:14.940 right?

00:28:15.640 Besides Trump.

00:28:17.520 He's running,

00:28:18.960 who's the other

00:28:19.460 guy who's running

00:28:20.100 for the nomination?

00:28:21.720 It's Ronnie

00:28:23.400 something?

00:28:25.020 D.

00:28:26.300 DeSantis.

00:28:27.360 Ron DeSantis?

00:28:29.600 Is that how you

00:28:29.960 pronounce it?

00:28:30.840 I feel,

00:28:31.260 I like,

00:28:31.720 vaguely remember

00:28:32.480 there was,

00:28:33.300 he's a governor

00:28:33.960 or something.

00:28:35.360 I remember he

00:28:36.240 was once

00:28:36.700 popular with

00:28:37.500 Republicans,

00:28:38.400 but now

00:28:40.480 he's a guy

00:28:41.060 with funny

00:28:41.580 boots.

00:28:42.960 That's all I

00:28:43.460 remember about

00:28:44.120 him.

00:28:44.480 I don't have

00:28:45.140 a specific

00:28:45.700 memory of

00:28:46.240 anything he

00:28:46.640 said lately.

00:28:47.860 Joking.

00:28:49.920 Just joking.

00:28:52.920 Let me ask

00:28:53.880 you this.

00:28:55.480 Speaking of

00:28:56.040 DeSantis,

00:28:57.520 wasn't at

00:28:59.240 least half of

00:29:00.060 the reason for

00:29:00.680 DeSantis,

00:29:01.440 and I need a

00:29:02.160 fact check on

00:29:02.780 this,

00:29:03.600 see if this

00:29:04.160 is accurate.

00:29:05.500 Wasn't

00:29:05.880 something like

00:29:06.580 half of the

00:29:07.200 reason for

00:29:07.760 DeSantis to

00:29:08.560 run is that

00:29:10.200 he could beat

00:29:10.800 Biden and

00:29:11.720 Trump could

00:29:12.380 not?

00:29:12.940 Do I have

00:29:13.300 that right?

00:29:15.000 Wasn't that

00:29:15.540 like half of

00:29:16.140 the reason?

00:29:17.840 The other

00:29:18.400 half was

00:29:18.880 people liked

00:29:19.500 him, right?

00:29:20.340 The other

00:29:20.680 half was he's

00:29:21.420 a good governor.

00:29:22.420 I'm sure he

00:29:22.940 would be a good

00:29:23.380 president, by the

00:29:24.180 way.

00:29:24.460 I think he

00:29:24.800 would do a

00:29:25.140 fine job as

00:29:25.760 a president.

00:29:26.500 If he's a

00:29:26.980 president someday,

00:29:27.740 I think I'd

00:29:29.000 support him.

00:29:30.600 But if half

00:29:32.920 of the argument

00:29:33.460 is he's the

00:29:34.120 only one, it

00:29:34.520 could be

00:29:34.780 Biden.

00:29:35.860 And as of

00:29:36.540 today, the

00:29:37.820 last, the

00:29:38.720 most recent

00:29:39.300 six or seven

00:29:40.800 polls have

00:29:43.020 Trump solidly

00:29:44.240 beating Biden.

00:29:46.580 You know,

00:29:46.960 within 2%,

00:29:47.900 you could say,

00:29:48.680 is margin of

00:29:49.400 error.

00:29:50.020 But that's a

00:29:51.020 national number.

00:29:52.760 If Trump is

00:29:54.000 over Biden,

00:29:54.820 2% in a

00:29:55.780 national number,

00:29:56.580 and whenever

00:29:57.960 they look at

00:29:58.520 the battleground

00:29:59.880 states, it

00:30:00.440 looks like he

00:30:00.920 has a more

00:30:01.580 commanding lead,

00:30:03.300 it looks like

00:30:03.920 it's over in

00:30:06.180 terms of the

00:30:06.900 argument for

00:30:07.740 DeSantis.

00:30:09.240 If you've been

00:30:10.140 running for a

00:30:10.960 year, or

00:30:12.060 however long

00:30:12.740 DeSantis has

00:30:13.500 been running,

00:30:14.780 and the end

00:30:15.580 result of a

00:30:16.260 year of running

00:30:16.980 is if 50% of

00:30:18.880 the reason you're

00:30:19.580 running in the

00:30:20.080 first place just

00:30:20.820 dissolved, which

00:30:22.280 is Trump can't

00:30:23.280 win against

00:30:23.740 Biden, it's

00:30:26.380 kind of time,

00:30:27.020 isn't it?

00:30:29.340 So I'd like to

00:30:30.360 suggest the

00:30:31.000 following.

00:30:31.520 I think DeSantis

00:30:32.480 supporters surely

00:30:33.500 want him to stay

00:30:34.240 in for a couple

00:30:35.380 of primaries,

00:30:36.740 because, you

00:30:37.380 know, you

00:30:37.600 paid the money,

00:30:38.900 you're on the

00:30:39.540 wagon, you 0.99

00:30:40.880 might as well

00:30:41.640 find out what

00:30:42.180 happens.

00:30:42.640 Maybe you get

00:30:43.020 lucky.

00:30:44.060 But if DeSantis

00:30:45.220 shits the bed in

00:30:47.820 Iowa and New

00:30:49.640 Hampshire, and

00:30:51.440 Vivek beats him in

00:30:53.640 one or both of

00:30:54.320 those places, don't 0.81

00:30:56.720 you think it's

00:30:57.200 time?

00:30:58.940 I feel like that

00:31:00.140 would be the

00:31:01.800 trigger for

00:31:03.480 DeSantis to do

00:31:04.500 the right thing.

00:31:07.080 And in part,

00:31:10.820 because I think

00:31:11.720 the emergency

00:31:12.700 backup spare is

00:31:15.180 better served if

00:31:16.580 it's Vivek.

00:31:18.240 Now, to be

00:31:19.300 realistic, the

00:31:20.780 people who are

00:31:21.340 not Trump who

00:31:22.060 are running for

00:31:22.500 the nomination,

00:31:24.060 they're kind of

00:31:25.220 running in case

00:31:26.020 something happens

00:31:26.740 to Trump, or

00:31:28.320 maybe something

00:31:29.040 lucky happens, or

00:31:30.200 maybe he says

00:31:30.960 something that is

00:31:32.500 literally disqualifying

00:31:33.840 to the right,

00:31:35.420 something like

00:31:35.840 that.

00:31:36.300 So it's sort of a

00:31:37.060 just-in-case,

00:31:38.660 break glass,

00:31:39.580 an emergency.

00:31:41.020 Some say that

00:31:41.840 they're running for

00:31:42.400 vice president.

00:31:43.360 I don't think that

00:31:44.180 they would tell you

00:31:44.820 that.

00:31:45.920 So I like to see

00:31:47.780 it as the

00:31:48.380 emergency spare

00:31:50.440 tire.

00:31:51.320 spare, but in

00:31:52.800 this case, a

00:31:53.500 full-size spare.

00:31:54.800 You know, sometimes

00:31:55.360 spare tire is a

00:31:56.160 little one.

00:31:57.040 You're not

00:31:57.420 supposed to drive

00:31:58.000 too far, but in

00:31:59.180 other cases, you

00:31:59.820 get a full-size

00:32:00.480 spare.

00:32:01.100 I think that

00:32:01.740 DeSantis is a

00:32:02.640 full-size spare.

00:32:04.520 I think Vivek is

00:32:05.580 a full-size spare.

00:32:07.900 Right?

00:32:08.300 I don't think the

00:32:09.040 others are.

00:32:10.080 But they could do

00:32:11.560 the job that's a

00:32:13.260 Trump-like job, and

00:32:14.480 you'd probably say,

00:32:15.200 yeah, that's about

00:32:16.380 what I wanted.

00:32:17.480 They have the

00:32:17.980 capability.

00:32:18.920 They have the

00:32:19.640 skill.

00:32:20.900 So I feel like

00:32:22.380 what you're going

00:32:22.860 to see is good

00:32:24.180 reasons for

00:32:24.820 DeSantis to make

00:32:26.920 a respectable

00:32:29.380 exit.

00:32:30.460 And by the

00:32:30.860 way, I'd

00:32:33.240 appreciate him

00:32:33.840 running.

00:32:34.960 Don't you?

00:32:36.680 You know, there's

00:32:37.460 some of you who

00:32:38.000 said, hey, you

00:32:38.560 don't run against

00:32:39.240 Trump.

00:32:39.960 But I'm glad he

00:32:40.840 did.

00:32:41.740 I feel like it

00:32:42.800 made the system

00:32:43.420 better that he was

00:32:44.940 in the race.

00:32:45.520 because you had

00:32:47.380 somebody to compare

00:32:48.220 to Trump.

00:32:48.900 Here's why it's

00:32:49.620 important.

00:32:51.460 DeSantis was sort

00:32:52.500 of the safe

00:32:53.100 Republican choice.

00:32:54.780 Am I right?

00:32:56.320 He felt kind of

00:32:57.440 safe.

00:32:59.500 And what you

00:33:00.240 needed before you

00:33:01.220 committed to Trump,

00:33:02.280 if he's your

00:33:02.840 choice, think about

00:33:04.700 the psychology of

00:33:05.600 this.

00:33:06.220 Before you

00:33:06.960 committed to

00:33:07.600 Trump fully,

00:33:09.460 don't you love

00:33:10.320 the fact that

00:33:11.900 you had a good,

00:33:13.440 solid governor

00:33:15.740 choice.

00:33:18.260 So that if you

00:33:19.160 decide that Trump's

00:33:20.040 still your person,

00:33:22.160 that you've made

00:33:22.900 that decision with

00:33:24.060 the best possible

00:33:25.360 scenario, which

00:33:27.740 is you had a

00:33:28.560 legitimate choice.

00:33:30.500 He's a serious,

00:33:31.860 legitimate choice

00:33:32.760 for President

00:33:33.420 DeSantis.

00:33:35.100 So now if you

00:33:36.160 pick Trump,

00:33:38.400 what would be the

00:33:39.820 psychological thing

00:33:41.500 that happens?

00:33:43.440 I think it

00:33:45.180 binds you to

00:33:45.960 Trump stronger

00:33:47.320 because you

00:33:49.100 have to make a

00:33:49.680 choice of somebody

00:33:50.520 who wouldn't have

00:33:51.300 all the, let's

00:33:52.920 say, I'm going

00:33:54.060 to say baggage,

00:33:55.160 of Trump.

00:33:56.320 If you chose

00:33:57.100 that directly,

00:33:59.300 after knowing you

00:34:00.180 had a safer

00:34:00.740 choice, you're

00:34:02.280 going to be really

00:34:02.880 committed to that

00:34:03.640 choice.

00:34:05.060 Do you understand

00:34:05.660 how that works?

00:34:06.520 Because cognitive

00:34:07.340 dissonance is going

00:34:08.400 to lock you into

00:34:09.400 your choice.

00:34:10.320 Thing controversial.

00:34:11.220 All right, I

00:34:12.960 think I'm back.

00:34:15.000 So let me say

00:34:15.560 it again.

00:34:17.180 I think it's

00:34:18.060 time, with the

00:34:19.960 full respect of

00:34:21.100 the Republican

00:34:21.720 Party, for

00:34:23.800 DeSantis to

00:34:24.960 maybe back

00:34:27.680 out.

00:34:28.440 After a

00:34:30.000 primary, if he

00:34:31.300 doesn't do

00:34:31.720 well.

00:34:32.180 If he kills

00:34:32.920 it in the

00:34:33.320 primary, well,

00:34:34.900 hey, I'll

00:34:35.780 revise my

00:34:36.440 opinion.

00:34:37.740 Because the

00:34:38.620 voters might

00:34:39.120 want a choice.

00:34:40.480 But if he

00:34:41.100 just, if

00:34:42.760 Vivek laps

00:34:43.580 him, if he

00:34:44.700 gets lapped

00:34:45.280 by Vivek in

00:34:47.080 either of those

00:34:47.860 primaries, I

00:34:50.700 think he needs

00:34:51.220 to do what

00:34:52.200 he needs to

00:34:52.720 do.

00:34:53.720 And everybody

00:34:54.240 would be happy

00:34:54.780 with him, I

00:34:55.240 think.

00:34:57.720 All right, let's

00:34:58.740 talk about media

00:34:59.360 matters.

00:34:59.960 It seems like it

00:35:00.600 trends every day

00:35:01.440 on X.

00:35:03.400 So, you know,

00:35:04.800 Musk is going

00:35:05.860 thermonuclear

00:35:06.840 lawsuit against

00:35:08.360 them for

00:35:09.360 their allegedly

00:35:11.260 fake analysis

00:35:12.800 that said that

00:35:15.120 X was pairing

00:35:16.440 neo-Nazi stuff

00:35:17.740 with advertisers.

00:35:19.820 And people

00:35:20.740 have tried to

00:35:21.260 reproduce it,

00:35:22.900 can't reproduce

00:35:23.780 it.

00:35:24.920 So it does

00:35:25.860 not, in fact,

00:35:28.020 appear that it

00:35:28.780 was real, but

00:35:29.460 we'll find out.

00:35:33.020 Tim Pool

00:35:33.800 has suggested

00:35:34.480 that influencers

00:35:35.560 on X, people

00:35:36.740 like me and

00:35:37.360 people like

00:35:37.760 Tim Pool,

00:35:38.360 should join

00:35:39.520 Musk in the 1.00

00:35:40.100 lawsuit.

00:35:41.460 Now, I'm

00:35:42.400 no lawyer, so

00:35:44.100 I don't know

00:35:44.420 what that

00:35:44.680 means.

00:35:46.440 Is that

00:35:47.040 something like

00:35:47.600 an amicus

00:35:48.300 brief or

00:35:48.980 something?

00:35:50.160 Again, I

00:35:50.940 don't know

00:35:51.180 what that

00:35:51.460 means.

00:35:52.320 But isn't

00:35:52.900 an amicus

00:35:53.360 brief like

00:35:54.100 you're a

00:35:55.560 friend of

00:35:56.120 somebody on

00:35:57.440 one side, so

00:35:58.260 you write a

00:35:59.000 little thing

00:35:59.340 supporting them?

00:36:00.820 You're a

00:36:01.480 friend of the

00:36:01.880 court, right?

00:36:03.520 But is that

00:36:04.260 all?

00:36:04.520 Or would

00:36:05.320 you somehow

00:36:06.340 join in the

00:36:07.220 lawsuit?

00:36:09.420 Do you

00:36:09.720 think class

00:36:10.240 action would

00:36:11.060 apply?

00:36:13.520 Is there

00:36:13.900 enough of

00:36:14.340 a...

00:36:15.120 See, I'm

00:36:15.940 not a lawyer

00:36:16.400 now, so I

00:36:16.920 don't know.

00:36:17.680 Would class

00:36:18.380 action be...

00:36:21.060 He means as

00:36:21.940 a plaintiff.

00:36:23.260 So as a

00:36:23.920 plaintiff, that

00:36:25.980 doesn't

00:36:26.320 necessarily apply

00:36:27.360 class action.

00:36:28.240 You could just

00:36:28.760 be an additional

00:36:29.460 plaintiff, right?

00:36:30.220 I don't

00:36:31.080 know what

00:36:31.340 makes it a

00:36:31.780 class.

00:36:35.060 Class

00:36:35.500 action does

00:36:36.140 not apply, I'm

00:36:37.240 hearing from the

00:36:38.140 only lawyer that

00:36:38.900 I know is

00:36:39.400 watching.

00:36:40.720 So we think

00:36:41.520 that class

00:36:42.020 action doesn't

00:36:42.740 apply, but

00:36:43.700 maybe you

00:36:44.140 could be a

00:36:44.540 plaintiff.

00:36:46.740 Now, I

00:36:47.380 don't know what

00:36:47.720 that would

00:36:48.020 mean if the

00:36:48.900 lawsuit is

00:36:50.240 effective.

00:36:51.300 What would

00:36:51.860 that mean for

00:36:52.460 the additional

00:36:52.980 plaintiffs, that

00:36:54.360 they would get

00:36:54.920 some portion

00:36:55.860 of the award,

00:36:58.900 if there's any

00:36:59.400 monetary award?

00:37:00.220 Now, I

00:37:00.680 can't imagine

00:37:01.300 Media Matters

00:37:02.640 has money,

00:37:04.480 except for

00:37:05.020 Soros' money.

00:37:06.460 Wouldn't it

00:37:06.800 be amazing if

00:37:08.000 Elon Musk

00:37:09.520 sued Media

00:37:10.900 Matters, which

00:37:12.220 is funded by

00:37:13.140 Soros, and

00:37:14.840 then Soros'

00:37:15.960 money went

00:37:16.740 to Elon

00:37:18.060 Musk? 0.97

00:37:19.480 How much

00:37:20.200 would you

00:37:20.480 love that?

00:37:22.260 Just the

00:37:22.700 concept of

00:37:23.320 it.

00:37:24.100 That'd be

00:37:24.900 fun.

00:37:26.580 Well, if

00:37:27.300 there is some

00:37:27.800 way to join

00:37:28.420 in on this

00:37:29.400 matter,

00:37:30.220 and I

00:37:32.000 can be

00:37:32.440 useful without

00:37:33.160 traveling,

00:37:34.360 because I

00:37:34.740 don't want

00:37:34.960 to travel.

00:37:36.480 But if I

00:37:36.840 could be

00:37:37.060 useful, I'd

00:37:37.820 do that.

00:37:40.500 One of the

00:37:41.180 most fun

00:37:41.600 stories here in

00:37:42.300 California is

00:37:42.980 we've got this

00:37:43.560 guy, Pencil

00:37:44.200 Neck Adam

00:37:45.060 Schiff, to

00:37:45.900 quote Trump,

00:37:47.940 and he

00:37:49.840 wants to be a

00:37:50.460 senator instead

00:37:51.520 of a

00:37:53.220 mere House

00:37:55.180 representative.

00:37:55.780 Newsom was

00:38:00.740 in the

00:38:01.100 situation, I

00:38:01.880 think, because

00:38:02.440 he said he

00:38:02.900 would appoint

00:38:04.180 a black

00:38:04.580 woman.

00:38:05.860 So he

00:38:06.220 did, but

00:38:07.720 that doesn't

00:38:08.180 mean that she

00:38:08.600 has the job,

00:38:09.460 you know, it's

00:38:09.800 still up for

00:38:10.240 election.

00:38:11.360 And I don't

00:38:12.580 even know if

00:38:13.100 the woman who's 0.70

00:38:13.840 in the job

00:38:14.760 right now,

00:38:15.160 whose name I

00:38:15.560 can't remember,

00:38:16.500 I don't know if

00:38:17.120 she's even

00:38:17.560 going to run.

00:38:19.420 Has she

00:38:19.760 announced she's

00:38:20.260 going to run?

00:38:20.640 Anyway, Schiff

00:38:23.420 would be running

00:38:24.000 against at least

00:38:24.980 two highly

00:38:26.920 qualified black

00:38:27.980 women. 0.81

00:38:29.760 Now, how

00:38:31.200 in the world

00:38:32.000 do Democrats

00:38:33.900 in California

00:38:34.900 elect a white

00:38:37.080 guy when

00:38:38.880 there are two

00:38:39.520 highly qualified

00:38:40.420 black women in 1.00

00:38:41.280 the race?

00:38:42.720 Like, how does

00:38:43.340 that fit with

00:38:44.080 the whole I'm

00:38:45.180 a Democrat

00:38:45.620 thing?

00:38:47.420 It feels like

00:38:47.980 that, and

00:38:48.800 apparently Schiff

00:38:50.000 actually came

00:38:50.740 out first in

00:38:51.920 some early

00:38:52.760 primary thing.

00:38:55.600 Doesn't look

00:38:56.360 like there's a

00:38:56.880 strong preference

00:38:57.760 for him.

00:39:01.060 Now, would

00:39:01.760 you say that

00:39:02.280 Adam Schiff

00:39:02.860 is the poor

00:39:03.680 man's Keith

00:39:04.420 Olbermann,

00:39:05.380 or not?

00:39:07.860 That's the

00:39:08.520 question I'm

00:39:08.960 asking you

00:39:09.380 today.

00:39:10.280 Is Adam

00:39:10.760 Schiff the

00:39:11.140 poor man's

00:39:11.660 Keith Olbermann?

00:39:13.400 Sort of.

00:39:14.640 Sort of.

00:39:16.320 Which would

00:39:17.060 make

00:39:17.440 Swalwell

00:39:20.200 the poor

00:39:20.940 man's

00:39:21.680 Schiff.

00:39:24.040 So, Swalwell

00:39:24.980 would be like

00:39:25.660 two levels

00:39:26.420 below Keith

00:39:27.020 Olbermann.

00:39:28.180 Under that

00:39:28.940 model.

00:39:30.200 Under that

00:39:30.620 model.

00:39:31.760 All right.

00:39:32.660 So, Adam

00:39:33.460 Schiff

00:39:33.780 posted today

00:39:35.400 on X

00:39:36.320 that Elon

00:39:37.340 Musk has 0.97

00:39:38.960 been amplifying

00:39:39.780 anti-Semitic

00:39:40.760 content.

00:39:41.260 Do you think

00:39:43.340 that's true?

00:39:43.800 literally the

00:39:47.500 opposite.

00:39:49.200 Now, but I

00:39:50.220 would say

00:39:50.540 this.

00:39:52.020 Isn't the

00:39:53.300 X platform

00:39:54.200 and isn't

00:39:55.040 all of

00:39:55.440 social media

00:39:56.220 a technology

00:39:58.300 which amplifies

00:39:59.400 all messages?

00:40:01.840 So, if one

00:40:03.000 person retweets

00:40:03.920 you, they've

00:40:05.760 amplified your

00:40:06.480 message.

00:40:08.100 So, is

00:40:09.320 X the only 0.97

00:40:10.140 place that

00:40:10.900 messages get

00:40:12.340 amplified?

00:40:13.680 Isn't that

00:40:14.180 what all

00:40:14.700 media does?

00:40:15.580 It's

00:40:15.760 amplification

00:40:16.480 of messages.

00:40:18.120 Aren't there

00:40:18.620 messages on

00:40:19.380 both sides of

00:40:20.020 every issue

00:40:20.560 on every

00:40:21.020 platform that

00:40:21.680 are getting

00:40:21.980 amplified?

00:40:23.000 This guy

00:40:23.620 has ways

00:40:24.600 of lying

00:40:25.320 that you

00:40:26.680 could write

00:40:27.020 books about.

00:40:28.460 All right.

00:40:28.780 So, here's

00:40:29.340 lie pattern

00:40:30.860 17 from

00:40:32.420 Adam Schiff.

00:40:33.780 Here's the

00:40:34.380 one where you

00:40:35.020 make a claim

00:40:35.800 about somebody

00:40:36.560 that the

00:40:37.960 reader would

00:40:38.460 not quickly

00:40:39.120 identify as

00:40:40.280 equally true

00:40:41.140 of every

00:40:42.020 single person

00:40:42.660 in the same

00:40:43.180 business because

00:40:43.900 it's all

00:40:44.300 legal and

00:40:44.760 appropriate because

00:40:46.360 it's a business

00:40:47.040 where you

00:40:47.440 amplify everybody's

00:40:49.320 opinion.

00:40:52.960 And then it

00:40:53.900 says he's

00:40:54.360 profiting from

00:40:55.160 misinformation.

00:40:57.700 All right.

00:40:59.080 What member of

00:41:00.040 the media does

00:41:01.440 not profit from

00:41:02.460 misinformation?

00:41:03.900 They all do.

00:41:05.760 They all profit

00:41:06.720 from it because

00:41:07.580 that's what gets

00:41:08.180 the clicks.

00:41:09.460 They get more

00:41:10.080 clicks from

00:41:10.580 misinformation than

00:41:11.580 information.

00:41:12.700 So, again,

00:41:13.320 he's using

00:41:13.840 pattern 17

00:41:14.880 of acting like

00:41:16.160 there's only

00:41:16.620 one person

00:41:17.140 who does it.

00:41:18.640 Now, everybody,

00:41:19.300 this is just

00:41:19.780 the universal

00:41:20.340 way everything

00:41:20.860 works.

00:41:22.440 And allowing

00:41:23.260 pro-Hamas 0.85

00:41:23.800 propaganda to

00:41:24.940 spread,

00:41:26.100 again,

00:41:27.540 what does

00:41:28.060 the regular

00:41:28.580 media do?

00:41:30.380 Does not 0.92

00:41:30.960 the regular

00:41:31.480 media also

00:41:32.460 interview people

00:41:33.420 who are on

00:41:34.460 both sides?

00:41:36.060 That's all

00:41:36.820 they do.

00:41:37.780 So, that's

00:41:38.160 lie pattern 17.

00:41:39.860 Pretend that

00:41:40.600 he's the only

00:41:41.300 one doing

00:41:41.760 this stuff.

00:41:45.260 And then

00:41:46.260 Schiff says

00:41:47.060 he's joined

00:41:47.800 Representative

00:41:48.380 Dan Goldman

00:41:49.140 and Representative

00:41:50.500 Raskin in

00:41:51.540 demanding

00:41:51.980 accountability

00:41:52.600 from X.

00:41:54.220 So, these

00:41:55.420 motherfuckers 1.00

00:41:56.480 actually want

00:41:57.280 to destroy

00:41:58.040 the only

00:41:59.260 remaining source

00:42:00.440 of free speech

00:42:01.500 in America.

00:42:03.800 Could they be

00:42:05.060 any worse

00:42:05.740 people to

00:42:06.760 channel

00:42:08.180 Chandler

00:42:09.180 Bain?

00:42:09.780 Could they

00:42:10.280 be any

00:42:11.720 worse for

00:42:12.300 America?

00:42:13.640 And the

00:42:14.460 amazing thing

00:42:15.040 is that they

00:42:15.460 do it right

00:42:15.880 in front of

00:42:16.340 you.

00:42:17.460 Right in

00:42:18.020 front of

00:42:18.360 you, they

00:42:18.760 tell you they

00:42:19.240 don't want

00:42:19.680 you to have

00:42:20.020 information that

00:42:20.820 is useful.

00:42:21.880 At the same

00:42:22.420 time, they're

00:42:22.840 doing this

00:42:23.420 media literacy

00:42:25.580 thing, which

00:42:26.220 is obviously

00:42:27.100 the opposite

00:42:27.680 of that.

00:42:28.260 It's to

00:42:28.660 teach people

00:42:29.160 to be stupid

00:42:29.780 and believe

00:42:30.300 what they're

00:42:30.620 told.

00:42:30.860 All right.

00:42:36.000 So, the

00:42:37.860 Pentagon, which

00:42:39.100 has failed

00:42:39.640 its sixth

00:42:40.240 consecutive

00:42:41.040 audit, as

00:42:42.320 others have

00:42:42.860 pointed out,

00:42:44.140 this week

00:42:44.880 they requested

00:42:45.480 an extra

00:42:46.120 $114 million

00:42:47.380 for DEI.

00:42:51.740 They've

00:42:52.460 asked for

00:42:53.360 $114 million

00:42:55.580 of your

00:42:56.560 taxpayer money

00:42:57.380 not to

00:42:58.620 defend the

00:42:59.100 country.

00:43:00.860 but to

00:43:01.560 make it

00:43:02.020 more

00:43:03.020 defenseless.

00:43:05.160 Because,

00:43:06.740 while I do

00:43:08.100 not say

00:43:08.660 that there's

00:43:10.740 one group

00:43:11.240 that's all

00:43:11.840 good and

00:43:12.320 other groups

00:43:12.840 are all

00:43:13.120 bad, I

00:43:13.880 don't say

00:43:14.180 that,

00:43:14.580 obviously,

00:43:16.340 isn't the

00:43:16.880 whole idea

00:43:17.420 of DEI

00:43:18.080 that you're

00:43:19.180 going to

00:43:19.400 give up

00:43:19.760 capability

00:43:20.420 to gain

00:43:21.200 equity?

00:43:23.460 Isn't that

00:43:24.120 the whole

00:43:24.420 concept?

00:43:25.700 I thought

00:43:26.180 the whole

00:43:26.480 concept was,

00:43:27.240 yeah, we're

00:43:28.600 going to try

00:43:29.020 a little less

00:43:29.680 hard to

00:43:30.600 look for

00:43:30.980 the very

00:43:31.340 best

00:43:31.680 person,

00:43:32.480 but as

00:43:33.200 long as

00:43:33.500 you're in

00:43:33.740 the general

00:43:34.120 ballpark,

00:43:35.780 we value

00:43:36.780 diversity.

00:43:40.020 You know,

00:43:40.640 you could

00:43:40.900 make an

00:43:41.280 argument for

00:43:41.880 that in

00:43:42.620 a private

00:43:43.020 company,

00:43:44.200 as in,

00:43:44.800 well, yes,

00:43:45.500 it may be

00:43:46.020 in some

00:43:46.480 cases it's

00:43:47.060 not that

00:43:47.460 good for

00:43:47.820 the shareholders,

00:43:48.960 but you

00:43:49.460 do live

00:43:49.840 in a

00:43:50.060 country that

00:43:50.780 is a

00:43:51.540 diverse

00:43:51.820 country,

00:43:52.440 and don't

00:43:52.740 you want

00:43:53.080 the businesses

00:43:53.700 to reflect

00:43:54.980 the diversity

00:43:55.680 of the

00:43:55.980 country?

00:43:56.280 to which

00:43:56.740 I say,

00:43:57.300 yes,

00:43:57.740 actually,

00:43:58.520 that's not

00:43:59.240 a bad

00:43:59.500 idea.

00:44:00.480 But you

00:44:01.160 do necessarily

00:44:02.640 by simply

00:44:04.280 trying harder

00:44:05.080 for diversity,

00:44:06.140 this has

00:44:06.620 nothing to

00:44:07.100 do with

00:44:07.360 the quality

00:44:07.880 of applicants

00:44:09.280 in any

00:44:09.820 group,

00:44:10.480 it's just

00:44:10.980 a restraint

00:44:12.080 you put

00:44:12.480 on your

00:44:12.940 employee hiring,

00:44:16.320 any kind

00:44:16.900 of restraint

00:44:17.500 is going

00:44:18.860 to give

00:44:19.080 you a 0.57

00:44:19.400 worse

00:44:19.640 outcome.

00:44:19.980 Now,

00:44:21.220 we can

00:44:21.580 accept that

00:44:22.140 a little

00:44:22.400 bit in

00:44:22.920 corporate

00:44:23.480 situations,

00:44:25.620 but do

00:44:26.680 you accept

00:44:27.040 that when

00:44:27.400 it comes

00:44:27.700 to the

00:44:27.940 military?

00:44:29.200 Let me

00:44:29.700 say it

00:44:30.040 again as

00:44:30.580 directly as

00:44:31.260 I can.

00:44:32.440 When it

00:44:33.080 comes to

00:44:33.540 self-defense,

00:44:34.920 whether it's

00:44:35.480 the military,

00:44:37.060 or whether

00:44:37.720 it's you

00:44:38.200 personally

00:44:38.680 defending

00:44:39.460 yourself,

00:44:40.100 or you

00:44:40.540 defending

00:44:40.900 your family,

00:44:42.480 you can

00:44:43.860 discriminate as

00:44:44.640 much as

00:44:45.000 you want,

00:44:45.520 and it's

00:44:45.760 completely

00:44:46.200 moral and

00:44:46.880 ethical.

00:44:48.140 You agree

00:44:48.580 with that,

00:44:48.920 right?

00:44:49.080 For self-defense,

00:44:51.040 and this is

00:44:51.500 a unique

00:44:52.140 category,

00:44:53.040 it's not

00:44:53.440 about business,

00:44:54.480 it's not

00:44:54.760 about personal

00:44:55.460 relationships,

00:44:56.560 it's not

00:44:56.960 who you

00:44:57.300 marry,

00:44:57.680 it's not

00:44:57.920 who you

00:44:58.160 rent to,

00:44:58.920 all those

00:44:59.300 things have

00:44:59.720 to be,

00:45:00.960 for society

00:45:01.760 to function,

00:45:02.580 those have

00:45:02.980 to be

00:45:03.240 really done

00:45:04.720 right,

00:45:05.260 right?

00:45:05.520 You can't

00:45:05.800 discriminate

00:45:06.220 in those

00:45:07.220 categories,

00:45:07.860 everything

00:45:08.100 just falls

00:45:08.640 apart.

00:45:09.880 But when

00:45:10.460 you talk

00:45:10.800 about defense,

00:45:12.380 you can

00:45:13.000 discriminate

00:45:13.440 as much

00:45:13.900 as you

00:45:14.160 want,

00:45:14.600 there's

00:45:14.780 nothing

00:45:14.980 wrong

00:45:15.180 with that.

00:45:16.300 The

00:45:16.660 reason the

00:45:17.100 military

00:45:17.460 doesn't

00:45:18.060 discriminate

00:45:18.560 against

00:45:19.260 black

00:45:20.100 people,

00:45:21.160 like I

00:45:21.780 guess at

00:45:22.120 some point

00:45:22.540 it did,

00:45:23.460 is because

00:45:23.980 it didn't

00:45:25.380 make a

00:45:25.940 difference.

00:45:27.600 So that

00:45:28.360 discrimination

00:45:28.900 wasn't

00:45:29.480 helping,

00:45:30.520 but it was

00:45:31.220 hurting

00:45:31.540 recruitment,

00:45:32.900 so you

00:45:33.320 get rid

00:45:33.600 of it.

00:45:34.440 That makes

00:45:34.840 sense.

00:45:36.740 But do we

00:45:37.500 keep any

00:45:38.000 discrimination

00:45:38.540 when it

00:45:39.080 comes to

00:45:39.380 the military?

00:45:40.280 Of course.

00:45:41.100 Of course we

00:45:42.620 do.

00:45:42.820 If you're

00:45:44.660 a certain

00:45:45.060 age,

00:45:46.060 you can't

00:45:46.560 join the

00:45:46.860 military.

00:45:47.800 Am I

00:45:48.100 wrong?

00:45:48.900 The

00:45:49.120 military is

00:45:49.880 ageist,

00:45:51.540 directly,

00:45:52.720 overtly,

00:45:53.780 without

00:45:54.860 an apology.

00:45:56.740 And does

00:45:57.100 anybody have

00:45:57.540 a problem

00:45:57.880 with that?

00:45:58.840 No.

00:45:59.640 Because that's

00:46:00.220 how you keep

00:46:00.660 the country

00:46:01.100 safe.

00:46:02.080 So that's

00:46:02.340 a very

00:46:02.760 clean

00:46:03.360 example,

00:46:04.740 ageism,

00:46:05.720 where the

00:46:06.480 military says,

00:46:07.320 yeah,

00:46:07.520 we're just

00:46:08.120 going to

00:46:08.400 fucking

00:46:08.620 discriminate

00:46:09.200 like crazy

00:46:09.960 about age.

00:46:11.580 And what

00:46:11.960 does the

00:46:12.280 public say?

00:46:13.160 Hey,

00:46:13.600 discriminating

00:46:14.300 against

00:46:14.820 say,

00:46:15.600 okay,

00:46:16.360 yeah,

00:46:16.600 that makes

00:46:16.900 sense.

00:46:18.260 Do they

00:46:18.620 do any

00:46:19.080 other

00:46:19.300 discrimination?

00:46:20.860 Does

00:46:21.120 the military

00:46:21.680 discriminate

00:46:22.600 against you

00:46:23.480 for height?

00:46:26.140 Absolutely.

00:46:27.860 Height,

00:46:28.760 weight,

00:46:30.120 your

00:46:30.720 ability,

00:46:32.280 if you

00:46:32.560 have a

00:46:32.820 disability

00:46:33.300 of some

00:46:33.740 sort,

00:46:34.980 total

00:46:35.800 discrimination.

00:46:37.460 If this

00:46:38.180 were a

00:46:38.540 corporation,

00:46:39.280 we'd say,

00:46:39.960 hey,

00:46:40.360 maybe put

00:46:40.980 in some

00:46:41.340 ramps.

00:46:42.820 But in

00:46:43.180 the military,

00:46:43.840 we say,

00:46:44.800 hey,

00:46:45.100 you're

00:46:45.300 discriminating

00:46:45.960 against the

00:46:46.680 differently

00:46:47.060 able,

00:46:48.200 oh,

00:46:48.800 yeah,

00:46:49.120 okay,

00:46:49.360 that makes

00:46:49.680 sense.

00:46:51.700 Wherever

00:46:52.260 you see

00:46:53.060 defense is

00:46:54.480 the issue,

00:46:55.200 either personal

00:46:55.940 or national,

00:46:57.700 discrimination

00:46:58.180 is absolutely

00:46:59.620 allowed.

00:47:01.720 Now,

00:47:02.040 it might be

00:47:02.860 illegal,

00:47:03.640 so that we

00:47:04.660 make the

00:47:05.100 laws ourselves,

00:47:06.140 but in

00:47:06.540 terms of

00:47:06.860 what makes

00:47:07.280 sense,

00:47:07.980 what makes

00:47:08.620 you a good

00:47:09.100 person or

00:47:09.760 a bad

00:47:10.100 person,

00:47:11.220 what is

00:47:11.980 ethical,

00:47:12.700 what is

00:47:12.980 moral,

00:47:14.200 in defense,

00:47:15.780 you can

00:47:16.120 discriminate as

00:47:16.780 much as

00:47:17.120 you want.

00:47:18.360 And that

00:47:18.620 is not

00:47:18.960 unethical,

00:47:20.340 it is not

00:47:20.880 immoral,

00:47:21.640 it is

00:47:22.020 simply

00:47:22.360 smart.

00:47:24.300 Right?

00:47:26.760 And that

00:47:27.420 works in

00:47:27.800 every possible

00:47:28.980 way.

00:47:31.440 So,

00:47:32.540 all right.

00:47:35.220 yeah,

00:47:38.380 so the

00:47:38.700 Pentagon's

00:47:39.180 ridiculous.

00:47:40.980 So,

00:47:41.400 Sam

00:47:41.660 Altman is

00:47:42.200 returning to

00:47:42.800 open AI.

00:47:44.080 So,

00:47:44.580 the drama

00:47:45.000 about open

00:47:45.600 AI,

00:47:46.340 it went

00:47:46.720 full circle,

00:47:47.860 I guess

00:47:48.420 the most

00:47:49.540 of,

00:47:49.960 except for

00:47:50.300 one person

00:47:50.820 on the

00:47:51.080 board,

00:47:51.900 is fired,

00:47:53.240 Sam

00:47:53.480 Altman is

00:47:53.940 back,

00:47:54.900 Microsoft

00:47:55.260 is happy,

00:47:56.020 and

00:47:57.220 Ilya,

00:48:00.840 the guy

00:48:01.140 who's the

00:48:01.680 genius of

00:48:02.400 it all,

00:48:02.780 seems to

00:48:03.140 be happy

00:48:03.620 and he'll

00:48:04.140 work at

00:48:04.700 open AI.

00:48:07.140 What's

00:48:07.580 his last

00:48:07.920 name?

00:48:08.820 Ilya

00:48:09.220 Kutsever?

00:48:14.200 Give me

00:48:14.780 his last

00:48:15.220 name so I

00:48:15.780 can say

00:48:16.120 right,

00:48:16.580 because I

00:48:16.820 have something

00:48:17.180 to say

00:48:17.540 about him.

00:48:18.800 No,

00:48:19.060 you're saying,

00:48:19.800 no,

00:48:20.200 not man

00:48:20.640 from uncle

00:48:21.080 name,

00:48:21.440 he's not

00:48:21.720 Ilya

00:48:22.020 Kuryakin,

00:48:23.100 but that

00:48:23.380 was a

00:48:23.640 good guess.

00:48:26.020 All right,

00:48:27.780 well,

00:48:27.920 you're not

00:48:28.160 going to

00:48:28.320 tell me

00:48:28.540 his name?

00:48:29.820 All right,

00:48:30.000 somebody tell

00:48:30.460 me,

00:48:30.880 because it's

00:48:32.280 not Kuryakin.

00:48:33.360 Come on,

00:48:35.300 Sutskiver.

00:48:37.080 Thank you.

00:48:38.180 Ilya Sutskiver.

00:48:40.300 I think

00:48:40.640 that's close.

00:48:41.960 Sutskiver.

00:48:43.560 Now,

00:48:44.160 if you've

00:48:44.640 seen him

00:48:45.220 on interviews

00:48:47.740 and I've

00:48:48.220 watched,

00:48:49.040 there's some

00:48:49.660 things we

00:48:50.100 can say

00:48:50.460 about him.

00:48:51.960 Number

00:48:52.280 one,

00:48:53.520 he's a

00:48:53.840 naturally

00:48:54.160 good-looking

00:48:54.660 guy.

00:48:56.740 He's a

00:48:57.260 pretty good-looking

00:48:57.780 guy.

00:48:58.860 And secondly,

00:48:59.960 he seems to

00:49:00.440 be about

00:49:00.800 one of the

00:49:01.520 smartest people

00:49:02.180 in the world.

00:49:03.820 That's kind

00:49:04.440 of cool.

00:49:05.420 He's probably

00:49:06.400 already nearly

00:49:08.780 a billionaire

00:49:09.320 if he has

00:49:11.400 shares of

00:49:12.760 open AI.

00:49:15.100 I think he's

00:49:15.580 probably a

00:49:15.980 billionaire,

00:49:16.440 right?

00:49:17.220 Depending how

00:49:17.820 much he

00:49:18.120 has.

00:49:19.300 So he's a

00:49:19.860 good-looking

00:49:20.240 guy.

00:49:21.920 He's got

00:49:22.760 he's

00:49:26.740 probably a

00:49:27.520 billionaire

00:49:27.780 and one

00:49:28.920 of the

00:49:29.080 smartest

00:49:29.360 people

00:49:29.840 ever.

00:49:33.560 And he

00:49:34.180 can't build

00:49:34.920 an AI

00:49:37.660 that will

00:49:38.140 tell him

00:49:38.460 to get a

00:49:38.800 haircut.

00:49:39.040 Have you

00:49:40.780 seen his

00:49:41.260 hair?

00:49:42.660 Now,

00:49:43.040 I'm going

00:49:43.440 to do

00:49:43.840 something that

00:49:46.220 will seem

00:49:46.600 cruel,

00:49:47.000 but this,

00:49:49.260 ladies and 0.98

00:49:49.660 gentlemen,

00:49:50.100 is tough

00:49:50.560 love.

00:49:52.000 So Ilya,

00:49:52.680 I tell you

00:49:53.260 this with

00:49:53.760 love because

00:49:55.080 I'm one

00:49:56.000 of you.

00:49:56.960 I'm one

00:49:57.400 of you.

00:49:58.600 Look at

00:49:59.180 me,

00:49:59.760 Ilya.

00:50:01.060 I'm one

00:50:01.700 of you.

00:50:03.860 Let me

00:50:04.480 tell you the

00:50:05.040 best advice I

00:50:05.920 once got at

00:50:06.800 a barber

00:50:07.280 shop.

00:50:08.580 So I

00:50:08.980 always get

00:50:09.480 my hair

00:50:09.820 cut at

00:50:10.080 the same

00:50:10.340 place.

00:50:11.320 And the

00:50:11.720 owner has

00:50:12.660 a whole

00:50:13.060 bunch of

00:50:13.520 hair cutters

00:50:14.260 and you

00:50:14.640 just go in

00:50:15.200 whichever one's

00:50:15.940 available.

00:50:16.300 You sit

00:50:16.940 in the

00:50:17.140 chair.

00:50:18.040 And I

00:50:18.380 never really

00:50:19.000 talked to

00:50:19.400 the owner,

00:50:21.260 but a

00:50:21.920 number of

00:50:22.220 years ago,

00:50:23.000 I was in

00:50:23.520 there and

00:50:24.020 the hair

00:50:25.060 cutter said,

00:50:26.440 you know,

00:50:26.900 how do you

00:50:27.360 like your

00:50:27.680 hair?

00:50:27.960 And I

00:50:28.160 said,

00:50:28.400 give me a

00:50:28.940 number two.

00:50:30.220 You know,

00:50:30.400 that's a

00:50:30.960 certain height

00:50:31.520 of the hair

00:50:32.080 that's remaining

00:50:32.700 is number two.

00:50:33.740 Give me a

00:50:34.100 number two.

00:50:35.060 And I

00:50:35.420 remember that

00:50:35.880 the owner

00:50:36.520 of the

00:50:37.400 place,

00:50:40.880 oh,

00:50:41.100 I think one

00:50:41.540 day he

00:50:41.960 cut my hair.

00:50:43.180 I think it

00:50:43.420 was the first

00:50:44.000 day that he

00:50:44.520 cut my hair

00:50:45.080 because he's

00:50:45.680 just one of

00:50:46.080 the cutters

00:50:46.440 as well.

00:50:47.460 And I

00:50:48.020 said,

00:50:48.280 number two

00:50:48.680 all over.

00:50:49.920 And he

00:50:50.480 said to

00:50:50.860 me,

00:50:51.300 it's time

00:50:53.200 for number

00:50:53.640 one.

00:50:55.160 I said,

00:50:56.000 what?

00:50:57.060 He goes,

00:50:57.460 yeah,

00:50:58.200 trust me.

00:50:59.260 It's time

00:50:59.940 for number

00:51:00.360 one.

00:51:02.500 So I

00:51:03.100 said,

00:51:03.360 yes,

00:51:03.600 to number

00:51:03.920 one.

00:51:04.440 Now,

00:51:04.700 it's grown

00:51:05.280 out.

00:51:05.680 You can

00:51:05.940 tell I

00:51:06.200 need a

00:51:06.420 haircut.

00:51:07.160 It's too

00:51:07.640 long now.

00:51:08.160 So now

00:51:09.900 I'm a

00:51:10.480 hypocrite. 0.86

00:51:11.700 But I

00:51:12.260 know it.

00:51:12.960 So if

00:51:13.240 you know

00:51:13.520 it,

00:51:13.720 that's not

00:51:14.040 as bad.

00:51:15.560 And so

00:51:15.820 I say,

00:51:16.260 Ilya,

00:51:16.900 you really

00:51:17.720 have everything

00:51:18.380 going for

00:51:18.960 you.

00:51:20.460 You're

00:51:20.940 at the

00:51:21.180 hottest

00:51:21.460 company,

00:51:22.040 you're

00:51:22.220 the smartest

00:51:22.720 guy,

00:51:23.520 good-looking

00:51:24.020 guy.

00:51:25.940 Shave

00:51:26.280 your head.

00:51:28.160 And let

00:51:28.620 me do a

00:51:29.020 joke that

00:51:29.680 Jerry

00:51:31.500 Seinfeld

00:51:32.020 did.

00:51:33.200 He used

00:51:33.740 to have a

00:51:34.060 routine where

00:51:34.580 you talk

00:51:34.980 about China,

00:51:36.060 and they

00:51:37.080 had chopsticks

00:51:37.660 but they

00:51:38.760 didn't have

00:51:39.160 spoons.

00:51:41.480 And he

00:51:42.060 would laugh

00:51:42.680 at China

00:51:43.020 and say,

00:51:44.200 you had

00:51:44.700 chopsticks.

00:51:45.980 You

00:51:46.340 couldn't

00:51:46.600 invent the

00:51:47.160 spoon.

00:51:47.960 And then

00:51:48.280 the punchline

00:51:49.020 is he

00:51:49.740 goes,

00:51:50.780 you've

00:51:51.440 seen

00:51:51.720 shovels.

00:51:53.500 And I

00:51:54.660 laugh every

00:51:55.220 time I

00:51:55.540 hear that.

00:51:56.160 You've

00:51:56.480 seen

00:51:56.700 shovels.

00:51:57.920 And you

00:51:58.260 couldn't

00:51:58.520 invent the

00:51:59.040 spoon.

00:52:02.660 To which

00:52:03.460 I say,

00:52:04.720 Ilya,

00:52:06.060 you just

00:52:07.140 spent the

00:52:07.600 whole week

00:52:08.180 dealing with

00:52:09.740 the head

00:52:10.620 of Microsoft

00:52:11.520 Satya.

00:52:13.860 Come on.

00:52:16.200 Satya

00:52:16.760 figured it

00:52:17.260 out.

00:52:17.580 He's a

00:52:18.100 shaved head

00:52:18.520 guy.

00:52:20.740 Jeff

00:52:21.280 Bezos?

00:52:22.840 Anybody?

00:52:23.680 Jeff Bezos?

00:52:25.060 You got

00:52:25.340 to figure it

00:52:25.780 out.

00:52:26.840 Shave that

00:52:27.240 shit.

00:52:28.120 Yeah,

00:52:28.420 shave that

00:52:28.760 right off.

00:52:29.960 What does

00:52:30.500 Jeff Bezos

00:52:31.160 look like

00:52:31.700 now?

00:52:32.420 Stud.

00:52:33.800 Total

00:52:34.160 stud.

00:52:34.700 He's

00:52:34.900 jacked.

00:52:35.400 Shaved 0.74

00:52:35.840 his head.

00:52:36.900 Total

00:52:37.120 makeover.

00:52:38.720 Dana

00:52:38.960 White. 0.81

00:52:39.380 How about

00:52:40.320 Dana White

00:52:41.020 of the

00:52:41.580 UFC?

00:52:44.920 Imagine if

00:52:45.620 he had

00:52:45.980 the pointy

00:52:46.620 hair,

00:52:46.840 boss

00:52:47.100 hair,

00:52:48.340 instead of

00:52:48.920 that cool

00:52:49.460 shaved

00:52:49.800 head.

00:52:51.440 Shaved 0.74

00:52:51.700 his head.

00:52:52.080 Looks

00:52:52.280 great.

00:52:53.360 Looks

00:52:53.620 great.

00:52:55.000 So I

00:52:55.760 guess I

00:52:56.020 don't care

00:52:56.340 too much

00:52:56.700 about the

00:52:57.080 whole

00:52:57.400 open AI

00:52:59.240 saga,

00:52:59.920 because all

00:53:00.200 it did

00:53:00.520 was sort

00:53:01.240 of return

00:53:01.660 it back

00:53:02.000 to what

00:53:02.260 it was.

00:53:03.420 Well,

00:53:03.600 Ilya,

00:53:04.860 you've

00:53:06.320 really got

00:53:06.740 a lot

00:53:06.960 going on

00:53:07.420 there.

00:53:08.060 Shave

00:53:08.260 that shit

00:53:08.600 off.

00:53:09.420 That's

00:53:09.620 all I'm

00:53:09.840 saying.

00:53:11.760 How odd

00:53:12.480 is it,

00:53:12.840 and I

00:53:13.060 didn't

00:53:13.200 make this

00:53:13.640 up,

00:53:15.920 this

00:53:16.940 observation

00:53:17.720 came from

00:53:18.540 Raul

00:53:19.060 Davis,

00:53:20.220 who's a

00:53:20.560 great

00:53:20.840 follow on

00:53:21.680 the

00:53:22.920 X

00:53:23.100 platform.

00:53:24.340 He

00:53:24.560 said,

00:53:24.880 what are

00:53:25.100 the odds

00:53:25.840 that the

00:53:26.840 guy who's

00:53:27.340 in charge

00:53:28.000 of making

00:53:29.780 a new

00:53:31.420 entity,

00:53:33.260 AI,

00:53:34.100 or AGI

00:53:34.840 will be

00:53:35.300 like a

00:53:35.660 new

00:53:35.880 intelligence,

00:53:37.320 what would

00:53:37.760 be the

00:53:38.040 odds that

00:53:38.400 his last

00:53:38.940 name would

00:53:39.380 be Alt

00:53:40.140 Man?

00:53:44.000 Literally

00:53:44.520 an alternative

00:53:45.480 to a

00:53:46.860 man.

00:53:48.900 And his

00:53:49.920 job is

00:53:50.360 building an

00:53:50.900 alternative to

00:53:51.860 people.

00:53:54.740 And he's

00:53:55.540 apparently done

00:53:56.160 it, or

00:53:56.680 it's close

00:53:57.360 to it.

00:53:58.660 Really?

00:53:59.820 I mean,

00:54:00.140 what are the

00:54:00.420 odds of

00:54:00.760 that?

00:54:01.520 Come on.

00:54:02.460 Come on.

00:54:04.980 Yeah.

00:54:05.560 Sam Bankman

00:54:06.320 freed,

00:54:06.780 same situation.

00:54:08.140 Well,

00:54:08.340 Israel allegedly

00:54:09.340 is close to

00:54:10.100 a hostage

00:54:10.480 deal.

00:54:11.100 They'll

00:54:11.260 give 50

00:54:12.980 of Hamas' 0.75

00:54:14.120 prisoners,

00:54:16.140 and they'll

00:54:16.460 give back

00:54:16.900 150 of

00:54:18.000 Hamas-type 1.00

00:54:18.800 people that

00:54:19.340 they have

00:54:19.600 in jails.

00:54:20.900 There'll

00:54:21.180 be a

00:54:21.420 four-day

00:54:21.840 lull

00:54:22.240 in fighting.

00:54:22.880 They don't

00:54:23.120 call it a

00:54:23.520 ceasefire.

00:54:24.120 They call

00:54:24.400 it a

00:54:24.660 lull.

00:54:26.020 And I

00:54:26.820 guess,

00:54:26.980 the news

00:54:28.660 is saying

00:54:29.700 that Biden

00:54:30.120 was quite

00:54:30.720 involved in

00:54:31.920 this.

00:54:34.140 Do we

00:54:34.760 give Biden

00:54:35.220 the win?

00:54:36.680 Because it

00:54:37.300 does look like

00:54:38.000 Biden may

00:54:38.640 have been

00:54:39.140 quite instrumental

00:54:40.740 in getting

00:54:41.180 this done.

00:54:42.440 No.

00:54:43.640 No.

00:54:44.560 You're not

00:54:44.900 going to give

00:54:45.240 Biden any

00:54:47.300 credit at

00:54:47.840 all for

00:54:49.300 getting 50

00:54:50.060 people released?

00:54:51.780 What's your

00:54:52.340 argument for

00:54:52.840 that?

00:54:55.100 Is your

00:54:55.700 argument that

00:54:56.220 he probably

00:54:56.560 didn't have

00:54:57.020 any effect?

00:54:58.800 That would

00:54:59.260 be a pretty

00:54:59.600 good argument.

00:55:00.700 But the

00:55:01.060 news is

00:55:01.440 saying he

00:55:01.980 was quite

00:55:02.980 involved.

00:55:03.720 That's why

00:55:04.060 he went

00:55:04.440 there to

00:55:05.580 Israel.

00:55:06.460 He's been

00:55:07.060 on the

00:55:07.360 phone.

00:55:08.740 Maybe.

00:55:11.580 I don't

00:55:12.060 think it's

00:55:13.300 fair to

00:55:14.940 have a

00:55:15.280 knee-jerk

00:55:15.860 reaction that

00:55:16.620 everything Biden

00:55:17.380 did was

00:55:17.840 wrong.

00:55:18.160 I mean,

00:55:20.420 he's struggling.

00:55:22.220 It can't be

00:55:22.960 true that

00:55:23.260 everything he

00:55:23.820 does is

00:55:24.160 wrong.

00:55:26.000 You know,

00:55:26.340 it's entirely

00:55:26.860 possible that

00:55:27.620 this was

00:55:28.000 about human

00:55:29.360 lives, and

00:55:30.920 he wanted to

00:55:31.680 save some

00:55:32.280 Americans, and

00:55:33.140 he put some

00:55:33.820 elbow into

00:55:35.980 it, and

00:55:36.400 maybe he

00:55:36.720 did.

00:55:37.680 Maybe he

00:55:38.160 saved some

00:55:38.580 Americans.

00:55:39.680 I'm going

00:55:40.200 to tentatively

00:55:40.720 give him the

00:55:41.300 win on this.

00:55:44.000 Maybe it

00:55:44.560 could have

00:55:44.760 been better,

00:55:45.440 maybe we

00:55:45.820 didn't get

00:55:46.140 any Americans,

00:55:46.860 I don't

00:55:47.040 know.

00:55:47.620 I'm not

00:55:47.980 sure who

00:55:48.260 was in

00:55:48.500 the 50.

00:55:49.300 But if

00:55:49.760 we got

00:55:50.160 any Americans

00:55:51.020 back, I

00:55:54.000 don't know.

00:55:54.400 I'm not

00:55:54.640 going to

00:55:55.200 criticize them

00:55:55.800 for it.

00:55:58.780 And then I

00:55:59.480 guess the

00:55:59.800 deal says

00:56:00.520 that there

00:56:00.840 would be

00:56:01.220 another day

00:56:02.940 of lull

00:56:03.500 for every

00:56:04.000 10 people

00:56:05.120 that they

00:56:05.500 give back

00:56:05.920 beyond that,

00:56:07.040 but nobody

00:56:07.560 expects that

00:56:08.140 to happen.

00:56:09.740 So here's

00:56:10.900 what I

00:56:11.200 think.

00:56:13.560 How in

00:56:14.160 the world,

00:56:17.220 what is a

00:56:17.940 Moss thinking? 0.98

00:56:20.260 Is Moss

00:56:21.180 thinking that

00:56:21.780 somehow they're

00:56:22.300 going to

00:56:22.540 survive this?

00:56:24.520 I don't

00:56:25.160 know.

00:56:26.120 I would be

00:56:27.020 worried that

00:56:27.580 there's another

00:56:28.120 trick coming.

00:56:30.260 So I'm kind

00:56:31.420 of worried that

00:56:32.060 this won't come

00:56:33.260 off smoothly,

00:56:34.660 but we'll see.

00:56:35.920 Yes, my prediction

00:56:37.080 would be wrong.

00:56:38.320 Exactly.

00:56:39.600 My prediction is

00:56:40.640 that the deal

00:56:41.140 wouldn't happen.

00:56:42.500 But remember,

00:56:42.960 the deal hasn't

00:56:43.640 happened, but it

00:56:45.480 does look like the

00:56:46.220 prediction will be

00:56:46.800 wrong if they

00:56:47.740 pull it off.

00:56:50.580 Now, the way

00:56:51.580 that this would

00:56:52.080 make sense,

00:56:53.820 the only way I

00:56:54.680 can say, is

00:56:55.260 that both sides

00:56:56.220 thought they had

00:56:56.840 an advantage.

00:56:58.140 And that's the

00:56:58.680 part I didn't

00:56:59.220 predict.

00:57:00.180 I did not

00:57:00.780 predict that both

00:57:01.600 sides would think

00:57:02.320 they had an

00:57:02.760 advantage in

00:57:03.340 making a deal.

00:57:04.360 But I think the

00:57:05.100 Israelis are 1.00

00:57:06.300 going to get a

00:57:06.920 public relations

00:57:07.800 advantage,

00:57:09.340 because if they

00:57:09.980 had just gone in

00:57:12.240 there and all the

00:57:12.800 hostages died,

00:57:13.780 they'd never be

00:57:14.280 able to explain

00:57:14.900 it.

00:57:15.540 So if you can

00:57:16.480 get a big chunk

00:57:17.280 of them out,

00:57:18.920 you'll always have

00:57:19.960 that on your

00:57:20.500 permanent record,

00:57:21.660 that you did not

00:57:22.460 just go in and

00:57:23.760 destroy everything

00:57:24.560 just because you

00:57:25.220 could, that you

00:57:26.240 used judgment,

00:57:27.760 used some wisdom

00:57:28.640 to manage the

00:57:30.080 situation the best

00:57:30.960 you could,

00:57:31.500 et cetera.

00:57:32.300 So I think that

00:57:33.040 Israel will get a 1.00

00:57:34.180 huge public

00:57:37.620 relations benefit

00:57:38.620 from it.

00:57:39.100 I think Hamas 1.00

00:57:41.680 thinks that

00:57:42.440 they'll use that

00:57:43.060 time to maybe

00:57:43.900 consolidate or

00:57:44.900 give some kind

00:57:45.460 of advantage or

00:57:46.180 something.

00:57:47.200 But I think that

00:57:47.980 Israel will get a 1.00

00:57:48.940 bigger advantage

00:57:50.120 from simply being

00:57:51.380 able to watch

00:57:52.080 activity once they

00:57:54.280 think they can

00:57:54.860 move freely,

00:57:56.240 because they think

00:57:56.980 they're going to

00:57:57.340 tell which tunnels

00:57:58.100 people came out

00:57:59.040 of and where

00:58:00.400 there's more

00:58:00.900 activity than

00:58:01.540 there should be.

00:58:02.100 even if you're

00:58:03.920 Israel,

00:58:06.220 wouldn't the

00:58:06.600 first thing you'd

00:58:07.300 like to know

00:58:07.960 is where are

00:58:09.960 those hostages

00:58:11.060 coming out of?

00:58:12.100 What holes are

00:58:12.740 they coming out

00:58:13.320 of, if you can

00:58:13.860 find that out?

00:58:15.180 Because wherever

00:58:16.100 they're coming from

00:58:17.000 is the first place

00:58:18.560 you should go in

00:58:19.320 and see if there

00:58:19.860 are any more,

00:58:21.840 or at least

00:58:23.440 capture the people 0.95

00:58:24.360 who are involved

00:58:25.040 with releasing

00:58:26.040 the first 50,

00:58:27.560 because whoever

00:58:28.180 was involved in

00:58:29.060 getting the first

00:58:29.700 50 probably knows

00:58:31.700 where some others

00:58:32.400 are, because

00:58:33.660 that would be

00:58:34.040 sort of part of

00:58:34.680 the process of

00:58:35.380 figuring out

00:58:35.920 which 50.

00:58:37.720 So it does give

00:58:39.180 Israel an advantage, 0.73

00:58:42.100 especially if they

00:58:42.900 have any signal

00:58:43.860 intelligence and

00:58:44.800 they're listening in

00:58:45.560 on any phone calls

00:58:46.480 or anything,

00:58:47.420 because the,

00:58:48.460 oh, I just

00:58:49.580 fucking figured it

00:58:50.500 out.

00:58:52.300 Did you just

00:58:53.140 figure out the

00:58:53.760 play?

00:58:55.000 As I was talking

00:58:55.980 I figured it out.

00:58:57.900 Yeah.

00:58:58.260 There's no way

00:58:58.880 Hamas could 1.00

00:58:59.700 coordinate getting

00:59:01.320 all the people

00:59:02.560 back without

00:59:03.680 some signal

00:59:04.440 intelligence.

00:59:05.340 In other words,

00:59:06.160 they're going to

00:59:06.540 be on a cell

00:59:07.120 phone somewhere.

00:59:09.560 Somebody's going

00:59:10.180 to be talking

00:59:10.660 to somebody else

00:59:11.400 remotely,

00:59:12.880 or even if

00:59:13.940 they're doing it

00:59:14.440 without signals,

00:59:16.080 they could be

00:59:16.800 sending couriers

00:59:18.380 back and forth.

00:59:20.180 Israel's going 1.00

00:59:20.900 to watch where

00:59:21.480 the activity is

00:59:23.740 to figure out

00:59:24.900 where the other

00:59:25.360 hostages are.

00:59:27.920 Yeah, Israel's 1.00

00:59:28.740 going to use this

00:59:29.320 to figure out

00:59:29.820 where the tunnels

00:59:30.520 are and where

00:59:32.260 the concentrations

00:59:33.120 of Hamas are

00:59:34.160 and also where

00:59:35.360 the other

00:59:36.040 hostages are.

00:59:38.000 And then they'll

00:59:38.460 talk to the 50

00:59:39.380 and the 50

00:59:40.920 will probably

00:59:41.460 give them

00:59:41.960 intelligence about

00:59:42.980 who else might

00:59:43.720 be where.

00:59:46.000 Oh, this is

00:59:46.540 actually very smart.

00:59:47.800 The more I think

00:59:48.480 about it, the smarter

00:59:49.540 this sounds for

00:59:50.380 Israel, because 1.00

00:59:52.240 they're going to

00:59:52.700 learn so much

00:59:53.620 in this process

00:59:54.560 and they've

00:59:56.480 said directly

00:59:57.080 this has nothing

00:59:58.740 to do with

00:59:59.300 whether we're

00:59:59.760 going to kill

01:00:00.140 everybody in

01:00:00.660 Hamas. 0.73

01:00:01.500 Oh, we're

01:00:02.040 totally going to

01:00:02.560 kill everybody

01:00:03.100 in Hamas.

01:00:05.600 Yeah, you know,

01:00:06.580 I'm liking this

01:00:07.360 deal a little bit

01:00:07.960 more.

01:00:09.700 So, in my

01:00:11.760 opinion, Hamas

01:00:13.480 would be the

01:00:14.020 ones who would

01:00:14.700 be crazy to

01:00:15.540 take it, even

01:00:16.260 though they're

01:00:16.580 getting 150

01:00:17.460 other people out.

01:00:18.140 See, the

01:00:19.140 problem with

01:00:19.680 this whole

01:00:20.100 battle is

01:00:20.980 that the

01:00:25.340 two sides

01:00:26.060 are really

01:00:26.640 different kinds

01:00:27.400 of armies

01:00:28.100 because Israel's

01:00:30.320 incentive is

01:00:32.320 to kill the

01:00:33.260 fewest number

01:00:34.120 of, you

01:00:35.800 know, non-combatants

01:00:36.740 as possible.

01:00:37.740 And also,

01:00:38.800 Israel is trying 0.98

01:00:39.540 to protect the

01:00:41.180 maximum amount

01:00:41.940 of life

01:00:42.360 combatants and

01:00:43.420 non-combatants.

01:00:44.420 So, Israel is 0.75

01:00:45.180 fighting a battle

01:00:45.880 of protecting

01:00:46.740 lives and

01:00:48.080 avoiding killing

01:00:48.980 the wrong

01:00:50.000 people.

01:00:51.400 Hamas is 0.99

01:00:52.060 running a

01:00:52.800 battle where

01:00:53.280 they can win

01:00:53.820 both ways.

01:00:55.120 They can win

01:00:55.740 by being

01:00:56.220 slaughtered

01:00:57.440 because they

01:00:58.440 get the

01:00:58.860 publicity win,

01:00:59.920 which they

01:01:00.280 think would

01:01:00.840 translate into

01:01:02.280 even more

01:01:02.900 pressure on

01:01:03.560 Israel in the 0.59

01:01:04.080 long run.

01:01:04.880 So, that would

01:01:05.280 be a win.

01:01:06.100 They could also

01:01:06.760 win by killing

01:01:08.320 lots of Israelis

01:01:09.120 and making it

01:01:10.260 a less

01:01:10.600 hospitable

01:01:11.160 place to live.

01:01:13.060 So, Hamas 0.94

01:01:13.880 can win by

01:01:14.520 dying and they 0.91

01:01:16.120 can win by

01:01:16.600 killing you. 0.92

01:01:17.140 They have a

01:01:18.380 weird business

01:01:18.980 model.

01:01:20.900 So, under

01:01:21.620 those conditions,

01:01:23.500 what responsibility

01:01:25.160 does Israel

01:01:25.980 have to not

01:01:27.740 kill people

01:01:28.340 in Hamas?

01:01:31.420 It seems to

01:01:32.520 me if Hamas' 0.93

01:01:33.760 strategy is

01:01:34.620 maximum death

01:01:35.480 of their own

01:01:36.060 people, and

01:01:38.260 that happens,

01:01:39.120 it means Hamas

01:01:40.060 got the strategy

01:01:41.280 they wanted.

01:01:41.800 So, I think

01:01:44.040 Israel is

01:01:44.540 getting way

01:01:45.040 too much

01:01:45.440 pressure for

01:01:46.960 not doing

01:01:47.820 enough to

01:01:48.320 protect these

01:01:49.100 citizens, when

01:01:50.700 it's the actual

01:01:52.260 strategy of

01:01:53.320 Hamas for

01:01:53.940 their own

01:01:54.280 citizens to

01:01:54.980 die in large

01:01:55.580 numbers.

01:01:56.960 So, if the

01:01:57.880 other side

01:01:58.280 wants to

01:01:58.960 die, even

01:02:00.880 more than

01:02:01.320 you want to

01:02:01.900 keep them

01:02:02.380 alive, the

01:02:04.020 people who

01:02:04.460 want their

01:02:04.800 own side to

01:02:05.500 die is

01:02:05.960 always going

01:02:06.380 to win.

01:02:06.720 Israel can't 1.00

01:02:08.640 control how

01:02:09.860 much the

01:02:10.280 other team

01:02:10.740 wants to

01:02:11.280 die.

01:02:12.640 They don't

01:02:13.080 have any

01:02:13.440 control over

01:02:13.980 that.

01:02:14.540 If they

01:02:14.880 really, really

01:02:15.520 want to die

01:02:16.140 really badly,

01:02:17.800 not much you

01:02:18.500 can do about

01:02:19.000 that.

01:02:19.940 So, there's

01:02:20.760 no doubt

01:02:21.140 about what's

01:02:21.580 going to

01:02:21.760 happen.

01:02:22.280 There will

01:02:22.500 be what

01:02:23.540 looks to

01:02:24.140 us like

01:02:25.520 unacceptable

01:02:26.420 non-combatant

01:02:28.760 deaths, but

01:02:30.220 there wasn't

01:02:30.640 any choice.

01:02:32.340 So, you

01:02:33.060 can say it's

01:02:33.560 unacceptable, but

01:02:34.580 compared to

01:02:35.600 what?

01:02:36.720 Compared to

01:02:37.540 what?

01:02:39.520 And I

01:02:40.080 guess now

01:02:41.120 some member

01:02:42.340 of the

01:02:42.780 government

01:02:43.540 there, see

01:02:44.620 who was it,

01:02:45.080 Israel's 0.75

01:02:45.560 intelligence

01:02:46.020 minister, has

01:02:47.720 said out

01:02:48.320 loud that,

01:02:49.960 well, you

01:02:51.140 know, maybe

01:02:51.460 another option,

01:02:53.860 another option,

01:02:55.380 just putting

01:02:55.960 that out

01:02:56.420 there, oh,

01:02:57.500 well, we're

01:02:57.880 just spitballing,

01:02:59.280 another option

01:03:00.240 for Gaza,

01:03:01.540 just one other

01:03:02.380 thing to think

01:03:03.040 about, put

01:03:04.020 this on the

01:03:04.560 list of things

01:03:05.120 we should

01:03:05.440 consider.

01:03:06.720 would be to

01:03:07.940 promote the

01:03:08.900 voluntary

01:03:09.440 resettlement

01:03:10.160 of Gaza

01:03:10.860 Palestinians

01:03:11.640 for humanitarian

01:03:13.280 reasons

01:03:14.280 outside the

01:03:16.040 strip,

01:03:17.160 to depopulate

01:03:19.600 it.

01:03:21.760 Now,

01:03:23.600 this has

01:03:24.340 always been

01:03:24.820 the cats

01:03:25.240 on the roof

01:03:25.700 situation.

01:03:27.280 There was

01:03:27.740 no other

01:03:29.140 option.

01:03:30.900 Israel, from

01:03:31.800 the beginning,

01:03:32.460 had to

01:03:32.920 depopulate

01:03:33.720 Gaza,

01:03:34.860 because they

01:03:36.360 said very

01:03:36.960 clearly, we're

01:03:37.780 going to

01:03:37.960 change the

01:03:38.380 reality there

01:03:38.960 for 50

01:03:39.480 years.

01:03:40.720 Two

01:03:40.960 generations.

01:03:42.380 Two

01:03:42.640 generations is

01:03:43.600 exactly what

01:03:44.260 you need to

01:03:45.000 brainwash a

01:03:47.320 population back

01:03:48.280 to some kind

01:03:49.520 of compliance.

01:03:51.340 Here's why you

01:03:52.040 need two

01:03:52.380 generations.

01:03:53.500 The first

01:03:54.200 generation you

01:03:54.860 try to

01:03:55.160 brainwash is

01:03:56.880 going to be

01:03:57.300 unbrainwashed

01:03:58.140 by their

01:03:58.600 parents.

01:03:59.040 So even

01:04:00.320 though the

01:04:00.660 school might

01:04:01.940 say, this

01:04:02.880 is true,

01:04:03.340 this is

01:04:03.640 true, as

01:04:04.580 soon as

01:04:04.800 they go

01:04:05.080 home, their

01:04:05.560 parents say,

01:04:06.140 forget that.

01:04:07.240 That's that

01:04:07.740 Western Jewish

01:04:08.760 school you're

01:04:09.320 going to.

01:04:10.160 They're just

01:04:10.640 lying to you.

01:04:12.320 So that's

01:04:13.160 not as

01:04:13.440 strong.

01:04:14.120 But by the

01:04:14.880 time you get

01:04:15.280 to the second

01:04:15.820 generation,

01:04:16.640 you've got a

01:04:17.040 good chance

01:04:17.540 that the

01:04:17.900 parents in

01:04:18.400 the schools,

01:04:19.620 because the

01:04:19.960 parents would

01:04:20.400 have been

01:04:20.640 brainwashed in

01:04:21.360 the first

01:04:21.660 generation,

01:04:22.940 you've got a

01:04:23.440 good chance

01:04:23.860 they get the

01:04:24.260 same message.

01:04:25.440 That, oh

01:04:25.800 yeah, this is

01:04:26.380 what's true,

01:04:27.180 both sides.

01:04:27.800 So 50

01:04:29.000 years is

01:04:29.540 sort of a

01:04:29.980 minimum, and

01:04:31.040 I think

01:04:31.260 Eisenhower said

01:04:32.040 the same

01:04:32.380 thing about

01:04:32.820 Germany.

01:04:33.800 Eisenhower said

01:04:34.440 it would take

01:04:34.740 50 years.

01:04:37.140 So yeah, I

01:04:38.060 don't see any

01:04:38.880 possibility that

01:04:40.000 anything else

01:04:40.680 will happen.

01:04:41.640 They're going

01:04:41.880 to have to

01:04:42.180 depopulate

01:04:42.780 Gaza, and

01:04:44.620 it will be

01:04:45.800 trouble forever,

01:04:47.460 but what else

01:04:47.960 are you going

01:04:48.240 to do?

01:04:49.280 Biden

01:04:49.800 apparently

01:04:50.680 delayed the

01:04:51.280 shipment of

01:04:51.680 4,500 M16

01:04:53.000 rifles to

01:04:53.720 Israel.

01:04:55.160 The problem

01:04:55.960 was there

01:04:56.520 were some

01:04:56.860 right-wing

01:04:57.300 politician who

01:04:58.900 was doing

01:04:59.420 photo ops

01:05:00.100 handing them

01:05:00.660 out.

01:05:01.640 That wasn't

01:05:02.320 a good look.

01:05:03.860 But there

01:05:04.560 is some

01:05:05.060 thought that

01:05:06.500 the settlements

01:05:08.160 that are near

01:05:08.900 Gaza, or in

01:05:10.100 any dangerous

01:05:10.820 areas, might

01:05:12.620 be arming

01:05:13.140 themselves, and

01:05:14.760 Israel, the 0.52

01:05:15.600 government, might

01:05:16.920 not be too

01:05:17.420 happy about that,

01:05:18.440 because they're

01:05:19.000 sort of anti-gun.

01:05:20.420 So you

01:05:22.040 know the Trump

01:05:22.480 polling, he's

01:05:25.520 up in

01:05:26.440 seemingly almost

01:05:28.000 all of the

01:05:28.420 new polls,

01:05:29.420 Trump is

01:05:29.820 leading, Biden.

01:05:31.900 But we

01:05:33.000 talked about

01:05:33.500 how weird it

01:05:34.160 is that Trump

01:05:35.520 seems to be

01:05:36.220 leading with

01:05:36.960 young people,

01:05:38.200 and I

01:05:39.000 suggested that

01:05:40.400 there might be

01:05:40.840 something wrong

01:05:41.420 with the

01:05:41.740 polling, and

01:05:43.920 now I've got

01:05:44.400 some pushback

01:05:45.080 on that, which

01:05:45.880 is more

01:05:46.380 credible than

01:05:47.020 me.

01:05:47.800 So Nate

01:05:48.160 Silver, who

01:05:49.000 is famous

01:05:49.940 for polling

01:05:51.200 and knows

01:05:52.240 what he's

01:05:52.540 talking about,

01:05:53.840 he points

01:05:54.580 out that

01:05:55.060 there are

01:05:55.260 actually really

01:05:55.880 good reasons

01:05:56.680 why we might

01:05:57.880 see the youth

01:05:58.620 have changed

01:06:00.040 dramatically.

01:06:01.360 Number one,

01:06:02.300 it's happened

01:06:02.780 before.

01:06:04.140 So actually

01:06:04.640 there is

01:06:05.040 precedence of

01:06:06.200 a subgroup

01:06:07.040 like youth

01:06:07.800 completely

01:06:08.820 flipping, and

01:06:09.480 I think

01:06:09.740 Reagan was

01:06:10.380 the example.

01:06:11.980 So the

01:06:12.320 youth group

01:06:12.920 kind of went

01:06:13.560 for Reagan.

01:06:14.260 They liked

01:06:14.560 him.

01:06:15.180 So it has

01:06:15.840 happened before.

01:06:17.900 And it

01:06:18.560 happened with

01:06:19.120 Reagan.

01:06:20.080 And who's

01:06:20.580 the closest

01:06:21.220 president to

01:06:22.700 Reagan that

01:06:23.160 we've had?

01:06:24.820 Trump.

01:06:26.580 He's the

01:06:27.260 closest to

01:06:27.920 Reagan.

01:06:29.120 I mean,

01:06:29.560 intentionally.

01:06:30.400 He actually

01:06:31.020 intentionally

01:06:31.520 models himself

01:06:32.340 after Reagan.

01:06:33.440 So would it

01:06:34.020 be surprising

01:06:34.620 if young

01:06:36.520 people who,

01:06:37.200 by the way,

01:06:37.720 were hugely

01:06:38.400 against Reagan

01:06:39.160 for being this

01:06:40.200 right-wing Nazi

01:06:41.260 guy, that's

01:06:41.780 what they

01:06:42.040 thought, that

01:06:43.300 they flipped

01:06:43.800 by probably

01:06:44.460 the second,

01:06:45.160 I think the

01:06:45.660 second election,

01:06:46.260 more likely

01:06:47.300 than the

01:06:47.660 first.

01:06:49.920 So yes,

01:06:50.900 it's possible

01:06:51.740 because Trump

01:06:52.520 is a candidate.

01:06:53.680 The other

01:06:54.040 possibility, as

01:06:55.200 Nate Silver

01:06:56.140 points out,

01:06:57.260 is that Biden

01:06:58.100 is not just

01:06:58.960 old.

01:07:00.360 Biden was

01:07:01.120 old in the

01:07:02.400 first election.

01:07:04.220 He is now

01:07:04.880 ancient.

01:07:06.640 And young

01:07:07.200 people have a

01:07:07.860 real, just a

01:07:08.960 natural biological

01:07:10.000 revulsion to

01:07:12.200 age, sort of

01:07:14.020 built in,

01:07:14.640 so that they

01:07:15.060 can, you

01:07:15.880 know, I

01:07:16.620 guess that

01:07:16.980 keeps them

01:07:17.360 fucking each

01:07:17.960 other instead

01:07:18.460 of people who

01:07:19.000 can't reproduce.

01:07:20.280 So biologically,

01:07:21.860 they're just

01:07:22.240 built to be

01:07:22.860 repulsed by

01:07:23.640 anything they

01:07:24.240 can't reproduce,

01:07:25.100 basically.

01:07:27.180 So it could

01:07:28.100 be that.

01:07:28.840 It could be,

01:07:29.800 as Nate Silver

01:07:30.540 says, that

01:07:31.240 young people had 0.89

01:07:32.280 never seen

01:07:32.820 inflation until

01:07:33.700 now.

01:07:34.840 That's actually

01:07:35.340 a really good

01:07:35.900 point.

01:07:37.100 The inflation

01:07:37.900 we're experiencing

01:07:38.660 now, I hate,

01:07:40.500 like I really,

01:07:41.280 really hate

01:07:41.860 it, but I've

01:07:44.080 also spent a

01:07:44.840 lot of years

01:07:45.440 of my life in

01:07:46.380 an inflation

01:07:46.980 economy, so

01:07:49.000 it's not the

01:07:49.720 first time to

01:07:51.220 see my buying

01:07:51.940 power drop

01:07:52.540 like a rock.

01:07:53.560 If it were the

01:07:54.440 first time, I

01:07:56.200 would definitely

01:07:56.800 be more

01:07:57.260 alarmed about

01:07:57.900 it, even

01:07:58.760 though I

01:07:59.140 should be,

01:07:59.720 you know, a

01:08:00.240 10 and a

01:08:00.700 10 alarmed.

01:08:01.660 You get used

01:08:02.380 to anything, but

01:08:03.920 the young people

01:08:04.540 are not used

01:08:05.080 to this.

01:08:05.940 Like, are you

01:08:06.500 telling me I

01:08:06.960 can't afford

01:08:07.540 any, I can't

01:08:08.500 afford to buy

01:08:08.960 a house, and

01:08:10.060 you just made

01:08:10.580 it 20% worse?

01:08:12.980 Like, just in

01:08:13.840 this brief

01:08:14.340 presidency, you

01:08:15.860 made it 20%

01:08:17.220 harder to get

01:08:18.360 a house that

01:08:19.160 I already

01:08:19.540 couldn't afford?

01:08:20.540 That could 0.68

01:08:21.080 move some

01:08:21.460 votes, sure.

01:08:23.780 And then the

01:08:24.600 obvious, which

01:08:25.240 is the Gaza 0.89

01:08:26.340 situation.

01:08:27.880 Young people

01:08:28.400 seem to me

01:08:28.940 more pro-Palestinian

01:08:30.560 than pro-Israel.

01:08:31.920 That might be

01:08:32.440 the TikTok

01:08:32.840 effect, but I

01:08:34.120 don't think,

01:08:34.700 that's not

01:08:35.140 any silver's

01:08:35.840 opinion, that's

01:08:36.340 my opinion, the

01:08:37.200 TikTok part.

01:08:37.840 But the

01:08:40.380 overall thing

01:08:41.100 that Nae Silver

01:08:41.640 warns, and I

01:08:42.500 love this, not

01:08:44.420 only because it

01:08:44.920 comes from

01:08:45.380 someone credible,

01:08:46.920 but I hadn't

01:08:47.580 really thought of

01:08:48.120 it this way, and

01:08:49.320 he says that

01:08:50.180 when the polls

01:08:51.160 are telling you

01:08:51.980 something, if

01:08:53.940 your first

01:08:54.440 reaction is the

01:08:55.260 polling is

01:08:55.860 wrong, you're

01:08:57.900 betting wrong.

01:08:59.740 He says that in

01:09:00.560 the long run, the

01:09:01.280 polls do halt,

01:09:03.280 far more likely

01:09:04.520 than there being

01:09:05.560 some weird

01:09:06.120 anomaly.

01:09:06.520 So the odds

01:09:07.760 of it being a

01:09:08.440 weird anomaly

01:09:09.220 that wouldn't

01:09:10.740 present itself at

01:09:12.280 the election

01:09:12.840 itself, probably

01:09:15.280 low, and that

01:09:16.980 somebody very

01:09:17.820 credible says,

01:09:18.760 yeah, this

01:09:19.100 shift in

01:09:19.600 sentiment is

01:09:20.960 almost certainly

01:09:21.640 real.

01:09:22.960 Isn't that

01:09:23.340 interesting?

01:09:24.360 Because even

01:09:24.980 yesterday, I

01:09:26.220 wasn't sure it

01:09:26.780 was real.

01:09:27.960 But I'm

01:09:28.480 actually convinced

01:09:29.280 Nate Silver

01:09:30.140 knows what he's

01:09:31.240 talking about.

01:09:32.420 He's in exactly

01:09:33.900 his domain, and

01:09:35.640 he seems at

01:09:36.280 the moment not

01:09:37.020 to have a

01:09:37.400 boss that he

01:09:38.120 needs to

01:09:38.520 please.

01:09:39.760 So these are

01:09:40.320 really credible

01:09:41.260 opinions.

01:09:42.620 He's a

01:09:43.260 follower.

01:09:43.800 You should follow

01:09:44.620 him for sure.

01:09:48.460 All right.

01:09:49.320 North Korea.

01:09:51.940 Well, South

01:09:52.720 Korea is going to 0.99

01:09:53.860 suspend their

01:09:54.560 military pact that

01:09:55.660 they had since

01:09:56.160 2018 during the

01:09:57.560 Trump years,

01:09:58.680 because North

01:10:00.460 Korea defied 0.93

01:10:01.340 warnings from

01:10:01.940 the U.S. and

01:10:02.500 its allies and

01:10:03.280 successfully launched

01:10:04.820 what it calls its

01:10:05.560 first spy satellite.

01:10:07.340 You know what?

01:10:09.920 I think we're

01:10:10.700 handling that

01:10:11.280 wrong.

01:10:13.260 I'm just going to

01:10:14.040 put out there that

01:10:14.840 if Trump had been

01:10:16.040 president and this

01:10:17.520 had happened, now

01:10:18.740 Trump might have

01:10:19.440 also told him, hey,

01:10:20.500 don't do it, and

01:10:21.320 maybe he wouldn't

01:10:22.120 have.

01:10:22.840 But suppose he

01:10:23.700 did, because I

01:10:24.980 don't think a spy

01:10:25.700 satellite is the

01:10:27.240 most dangerous

01:10:27.760 thing in the world.

01:10:28.680 You know what

01:10:29.520 would have been a

01:10:30.040 better way to go?

01:10:32.240 To congratulate

01:10:33.360 him.

01:10:35.620 Am I wrong?

01:10:37.860 I think Trump

01:10:39.080 might have

01:10:39.500 congratulated him

01:10:40.480 for a very

01:10:41.900 difficult accomplishment

01:10:43.040 given the

01:10:44.220 resources that he

01:10:45.000 had.

01:10:45.600 And the reason I

01:10:46.340 would do that is

01:10:47.660 because it's

01:10:48.180 actually a pretty

01:10:48.760 good accomplishment.

01:10:50.940 And what Trump

01:10:52.320 understood about

01:10:53.180 North Korea is 0.89

01:10:54.660 that it's just

01:10:55.140 one person.

01:10:56.920 It's just Kim

01:10:57.980 Jong-un.

01:10:58.680 If you can

01:10:59.740 make Kim Jong-un

01:11:00.780 respect you by

01:11:03.840 showing that you

01:11:04.560 respect some

01:11:05.320 accomplishment of

01:11:06.140 his, which is a

01:11:06.860 real accomplishment,

01:11:07.960 that's a genuine

01:11:08.940 accomplishment.

01:11:10.240 Why not just

01:11:10.900 treat it that way?

01:11:12.520 I would think that

01:11:13.740 your next negotiation

01:11:14.980 with North Korea

01:11:15.900 would go down a lot

01:11:17.360 better if you had

01:11:19.100 just said, you

01:11:19.620 know, that was

01:11:20.000 pretty impressive,

01:11:20.860 especially given the

01:11:21.640 sanctions, which we're

01:11:22.420 not going to take

01:11:23.000 off.

01:11:23.260 kind of move them

01:11:27.040 in the direction of

01:11:27.880 you realize we don't

01:11:29.240 have any reason to

01:11:30.000 be at war with

01:11:30.600 you, right?

01:11:31.680 You get that we

01:11:33.500 have no reason to

01:11:34.440 be at war with

01:11:35.060 you.

01:11:35.500 That was what

01:11:36.040 Trump got right.

01:11:39.720 All right.

01:11:41.120 Newsom is going to

01:11:41.940 be debating

01:11:42.580 DeSantis,

01:11:43.320 apparently, on Fox

01:11:44.180 News.

01:11:44.560 and the account

01:11:46.580 I tell you you

01:11:47.300 should follow

01:11:47.800 Amuse posted

01:11:51.020 this.

01:11:51.760 Shock.

01:11:53.040 Oh, and they

01:11:53.580 decided they

01:11:54.100 wouldn't have a

01:11:54.580 live audience.

01:11:55.820 So it says,

01:11:56.740 shock, Fox to

01:11:58.020 host debate

01:11:58.600 between two

01:11:59.260 people who

01:11:59.840 won't be

01:12:00.300 president in

01:12:00.900 2024 in front

01:12:02.520 of no one who

01:12:03.220 will vote in

01:12:03.700 2024.

01:12:05.680 Well, it's not

01:12:06.400 exactly true because

01:12:07.220 it's going to be

01:12:07.860 live televised, but

01:12:09.540 that's a funny

01:12:10.160 post.

01:12:12.620 You know, I

01:12:13.360 don't mind this

01:12:13.940 at all.

01:12:14.560 I think Fox

01:12:15.420 News is playing

01:12:17.520 it right.

01:12:18.780 And here's why I

01:12:19.500 think they're

01:12:19.920 playing it right.

01:12:20.700 I agree with

01:12:21.480 the no audience

01:12:22.240 because it's on

01:12:23.560 Fox News.

01:12:25.640 Do you think it

01:12:26.500 would be fair to

01:12:27.280 DeSantis to have

01:12:28.880 a Fox News

01:12:29.720 debate where,

01:12:31.340 you know,

01:12:31.920 inevitably it's

01:12:32.740 going to be

01:12:33.000 filled with Fox

01:12:33.800 News people?

01:12:35.880 Yeah.

01:12:36.380 It actually

01:12:36.740 wouldn't have

01:12:37.100 been fair to

01:12:37.780 Newsom.

01:12:38.840 So if Newsom

01:12:39.580 complained about

01:12:40.280 that and Fox

01:12:41.440 News accommodated

01:12:42.480 him, good for

01:12:44.260 both of you.

01:12:45.320 He should have

01:12:45.860 complained about

01:12:46.480 it and they

01:12:47.580 should have

01:12:48.020 made an

01:12:48.480 adjustment.

01:12:49.480 I don't mind

01:12:50.140 that at all.

01:12:50.980 So good news.

01:12:52.260 And the fact

01:12:53.040 that, you know,

01:12:53.780 you think neither

01:12:54.560 of them would be

01:12:55.140 president, well, I

01:12:56.620 don't know.

01:12:57.500 I would say that's

01:12:58.600 not at all certain.

01:13:00.180 Not at all certain.

01:13:01.340 Certainly in the

01:13:02.040 case of Newsom,

01:13:03.740 it's not at all

01:13:04.540 certain.

01:13:05.500 So to me, this is

01:13:06.420 a good service.

01:13:08.060 It's probably, I

01:13:08.920 don't know if it'll

01:13:09.420 be a good ratings

01:13:10.820 winner, but I'll 0.53

01:13:12.280 probably watch it.

01:13:13.760 I'm actually

01:13:14.400 interested in what

01:13:15.300 both of them

01:13:15.800 say.

01:13:17.060 And I do think

01:13:18.320 it might be a

01:13:19.000 preview of 2028,

01:13:20.760 et cetera.

01:13:21.120 Yeah, this is a

01:13:21.700 good service.

01:13:25.100 Apparently even

01:13:25.920 Morning Joe has

01:13:27.000 finally capitulated

01:13:28.200 on Ukraine and

01:13:30.100 thinks it's

01:13:31.020 unwinnable.

01:13:33.020 And at least

01:13:33.920 one of their

01:13:34.240 guests does,

01:13:34.900 and they seem

01:13:35.340 to agree.

01:13:36.660 And so they've

01:13:38.660 moved all the

01:13:39.260 way from what

01:13:40.240 they said would

01:13:40.880 be appeasement

01:13:41.720 to Putin to,

01:13:43.400 we better wrap

01:13:44.220 this thing up.

01:13:45.940 Anybody see that

01:13:46.860 coming?

01:13:48.360 All of us?

01:13:50.140 I think all of

01:13:51.200 us saw it coming?

01:13:52.740 Yeah.

01:13:53.800 I don't see any

01:13:54.940 possibility that

01:13:56.100 there's going to

01:13:56.940 be some big war

01:13:57.820 breakthrough.

01:13:58.960 But I think all

01:13:59.660 the smart people

01:14:00.480 and the best

01:14:01.460 analysis I saw

01:14:02.460 was this.

01:14:04.400 I forget who

01:14:04.960 said it.

01:14:05.360 I wish I could

01:14:05.860 credit them.

01:14:07.100 But at this

01:14:08.240 phase of the war

01:14:09.140 where they're both

01:14:09.900 kind of hiding

01:14:12.840 in trenches and

01:14:13.680 making small

01:14:14.680 advances and

01:14:15.540 then getting

01:14:15.920 their asses

01:14:16.420 kicked, that

01:14:17.500 artillery is the

01:14:18.520 primary weapon

01:14:19.300 of this phase

01:14:20.700 of the war.

01:14:21.680 And that

01:14:22.300 artillery is the

01:14:23.120 defining weapon.

01:14:24.920 And that

01:14:25.440 Russia has 0.96

01:14:27.420 something like

01:14:27.940 five to ten

01:14:28.780 times more

01:14:29.460 artillery.

01:14:30.900 Now I think

01:14:31.340 the Ukrainians

01:14:32.260 might have some

01:14:32.740 more accurate

01:14:33.340 artillery, but

01:14:34.640 numbers are

01:14:35.480 probably going to

01:14:35.980 win.

01:14:36.160 Secondly, Russia 0.80

01:14:39.100 has a bigger

01:14:39.680 population, several

01:14:41.900 times bigger than

01:14:42.680 Ukraine, especially

01:14:43.600 since so many

01:14:44.300 people left Ukraine

01:14:45.200 and just fled.

01:14:46.540 So Ukraine is

01:14:47.200 literally just running

01:14:48.240 on the people.

01:14:49.960 And the experts

01:14:50.980 are saying this is

01:14:51.720 one of those wars

01:14:52.580 of attrition where

01:14:54.180 one side is just

01:14:55.140 going to hope they

01:14:56.400 die less than the

01:14:57.160 other and just keep

01:14:57.940 on going until

01:14:59.360 somebody has a win.

01:15:00.900 So this would be

01:15:02.100 an interesting time

01:15:03.320 to negotiate, but

01:15:04.600 Ukraine probably has

01:15:05.420 a weak negotiating

01:15:06.780 position.

01:15:07.760 Yeah, I think

01:15:08.420 David Sachs has

01:15:09.460 been right on

01:15:10.800 this from the

01:15:12.540 start.

01:15:13.680 He's been as

01:15:14.300 right as you can

01:15:15.140 be on Ukraine,

01:15:16.600 I think.

01:15:16.920 I don't think he

01:15:17.340 got anything wrong.

01:15:18.180 Yeah.

01:15:19.120 Yeah.

01:15:19.560 So, and my

01:15:21.620 prediction as well

01:15:22.580 was that, of

01:15:23.860 course, it's a

01:15:24.720 stalemate.

01:15:25.260 Of course, there's

01:15:26.040 going to be, oh,

01:15:27.540 was it John

01:15:28.520 Mearsheimer?

01:15:29.420 Is that who we're

01:15:30.020 crediting with that

01:15:30.840 opinion?

01:15:31.320 I feel like you're

01:15:31.920 right.

01:15:32.480 Thank you, David.

01:15:34.040 John Mearsheimer, I

01:15:35.060 think, is the

01:15:35.720 opinion I was

01:15:36.600 stealing there.

01:15:39.400 There's a

01:15:40.140 terrorist alert in

01:15:42.000 New York State.

01:15:43.040 You know, there's

01:15:43.440 some more terrorist

01:15:44.480 chatter, I guess.

01:15:45.800 We'll wait to see.

01:15:47.040 I still wonder why

01:15:48.220 the terrorism in the

01:15:49.380 United States went

01:15:51.140 effectively to zero.

01:15:52.940 You know, not

01:15:53.540 counting a mass

01:15:54.440 shooter here and

01:15:55.380 there.

01:15:55.520 But, yeah.

01:16:03.200 So, we'll watch

01:16:05.060 all that stuff.

01:16:09.060 All right.

01:16:12.900 Dealing with

01:16:13.620 foreign matters,

01:16:15.040 New York City.

01:16:15.980 We've talked about

01:16:17.020 Eric Adams defunding

01:16:18.640 valuable services in

01:16:20.280 New York City in

01:16:21.900 order to afford all

01:16:24.160 of the immigrants.

01:16:26.840 Saw some stories

01:16:27.760 today of black

01:16:30.100 citizens of New

01:16:32.920 York, I think, or

01:16:34.280 someplace.

01:16:35.060 They were

01:16:35.380 complaining that all

01:16:36.260 the free food was

01:16:37.360 being given to the

01:16:38.380 immigrants and there

01:16:39.200 wasn't enough free

01:16:39.840 food left.

01:16:41.660 And they're right.

01:16:45.520 They're completely

01:16:46.160 right.

01:16:46.560 You know, there are

01:16:48.140 plenty of people,

01:16:49.320 black Americans, as

01:16:50.920 well as others, who

01:16:51.720 need a little help.

01:16:53.340 And there's not

01:16:54.640 enough help to go

01:16:55.240 around.

01:16:56.020 So, if I were an

01:16:56.720 American and I were

01:16:58.240 in that situation, I

01:16:59.240 would be pretty mad at

01:17:00.940 whoever let in all the

01:17:02.080 other people to eat my

01:17:02.980 food.

01:17:04.440 I wouldn't like it at

01:17:05.360 all.

01:17:07.580 Yeah, I saw that on

01:17:08.620 Fox Report, there's

01:17:09.380 some, I saw some weird

01:17:11.500 story about air

01:17:12.620 marshals are assigned to

01:17:14.740 follow January 6th

01:17:15.980 people.

01:17:16.540 And not just people who

01:17:18.000 were at the protest,

01:17:19.340 but anybody who had an

01:17:20.680 airline ticket to D.C.

01:17:22.280 on the day of January

01:17:23.160 6th, they are forever

01:17:24.920 on basically a terror

01:17:26.300 watch list.

01:17:27.840 Imagine being on the

01:17:28.760 terror watch list because

01:17:30.380 you went to D.C. on

01:17:31.600 business, but also there

01:17:33.040 was a protest happening.

01:17:34.820 And that's it.

01:17:35.600 And then you get

01:17:36.220 followed by air

01:17:36.900 marshals for the rest of

01:17:37.900 your life.

01:17:39.620 Yeah.

01:17:40.940 Yep.

01:17:41.640 It's a real thing.

01:17:42.580 I mean, it's a real

01:17:43.220 report.

01:17:43.820 I don't know if it's

01:17:44.380 real.

01:17:44.800 It didn't sound real to

01:17:45.660 me.

01:17:46.260 There's something about

01:17:46.960 that that just didn't

01:17:48.680 sit like a real thing.

01:17:51.080 Maybe it's real.

01:17:53.160 There's something missing

01:17:54.620 in it, though.

01:17:55.460 I don't know.

01:17:55.960 I felt like something

01:17:57.700 about that.

01:17:59.220 I have not yet watched

01:18:00.100 the documentary The

01:18:01.380 Fall of Minneapolis, but

01:18:03.160 I do plan to.

01:18:04.960 So I hear it's

01:18:06.100 interesting.

01:18:06.740 It's about the George

01:18:07.800 Floyd hoax.

01:18:09.860 We can call it that

01:18:10.940 now, right?

01:18:11.560 Can we call the George

01:18:12.500 Floyd thing just the

01:18:13.580 George Floyd hoax?

01:18:14.780 I think we're at

01:18:17.640 that point where it's

01:18:18.600 fair to say that, and

01:18:19.560 that's not hyperbole.

01:18:23.060 But, of course, Derek

01:18:24.200 Chauvin will stay in

01:18:25.360 jail because he's a

01:18:26.620 white guy, and we

01:18:28.880 don't have a justice

01:18:30.920 system that's fair.

01:18:37.260 All right.

01:18:37.980 Oh, yeah.

01:18:44.940 So Trump's nickname for

01:18:47.080 DeSantis, DeSanctimonious,

01:18:49.680 I saw a comment that said

01:18:51.060 that it's getting

01:18:51.780 stronger.

01:18:52.620 I don't know that it's

01:18:53.400 getting stronger or we're

01:18:54.700 just getting used to it.

01:18:56.160 Because Sanctimonious

01:18:57.040 never quite connected for

01:19:00.140 me.

01:19:01.280 But, you know, he's the

01:19:02.700 nickname giver, Trump is.

01:19:04.000 So if it's sticky, it's

01:19:05.500 sticky.

01:19:06.140 Hey.

01:19:07.900 If it's stuck, it's

01:19:08.520 stuck.

01:19:09.520 All right.

01:19:10.680 All of you YouTubers, 1.00

01:19:13.000 thanks for joining.

01:19:14.840 I would like to use my

01:19:16.460 powers of psychic

01:19:19.860 abilities.

01:19:21.060 That was almost a

01:19:22.200 sentence.

01:19:23.120 I'm going to use my

01:19:23.820 psychic abilities to

01:19:25.220 predict how many total

01:19:26.740 viewers there will be,

01:19:27.720 not the live viewers,

01:19:28.960 but how many total

01:19:29.660 viewers on YouTube there

01:19:30.780 will be.

01:19:31.200 29,000 for this

01:19:36.440 episode.

01:19:37.680 29,000.

01:19:38.840 Live is different, but

01:19:40.400 the eventual 29,000.

01:19:43.620 Just like every other

01:19:44.900 one, no matter how many

01:19:47.300 of you, hit the

01:19:48.220 subscribe button.

01:19:49.160 But by the way, if you

01:19:50.580 like any part of these

01:19:51.580 live streams, you should

01:19:52.400 hit the subscribe button

01:19:53.480 and the alert, because

01:19:55.680 then you'll get to

01:19:57.220 watch it.

01:19:58.400 All right.

01:19:58.940 That's all for now.

01:19:59.660 And I will go do some

01:20:00.980 other stuff, and I'll

01:20:01.780 talk to you tomorrow,

01:20:04.000 YouTubers. 0.92

01:20:04.920 Thanks for joining.

01:20:05.620 Thank you.

01:20:05.700 Thank you.

01:20:05.720 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 22, 2023

Episode 2300 Scott Adams： CWSA 11⧸22⧸23 All The News Fit To Laugh At. Bring A Beverage

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