Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 22, 2023


Episode 2300 Scott Adams: CWSA 11⧸22⧸23 All The News Fit To Laugh At. Bring A Beverage


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 20 minutes

Words per Minute

140.7436

Word Count

11,273

Sentence Count

811

Misogynist Sentences

16

Hate Speech Sentences

55


Summary

Sen. Mike Lee is calling for an investigation into the January 6th Committee for lying to the public about the Watergate-style cover-up of the events that took place in Washington, D.C. A new study suggests that having a certain amount of nuts may improve male fertility.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do-do-do-do.
00:00:02.600 Do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do.
00:00:06.820 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
00:00:11.780 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and there's a reason for that.
00:00:14.740 You'll find out soon.
00:00:16.100 If you'd like to take this experience,
00:00:18.740 which is one of the best things that will ever happen to you in your entire life,
00:00:23.280 up to levels that nobody can even explain with human words,
00:00:26.600 all you need is a cup or mug or a glass, a tankard's chalice or stein,
00:00:30.980 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:00:34.780 Fill it with your favorite liquid.
00:00:36.080 I like this coffee stuff.
00:00:38.160 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine.
00:00:41.360 At the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
00:00:43.460 It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens.
00:00:45.840 Now, go.
00:00:51.500 Oh, my God, that was good.
00:00:53.640 Well, thanks for joining on YouTube.
00:00:59.620 A special thanks to the people on YouTube,
00:01:01.500 because you did something that I didn't think was possible.
00:01:05.260 If the people on Locals, if you mind, a moment of privilege.
00:01:10.960 So, YouTube, you did something that I didn't think was possible.
00:01:14.560 My subscriber number has increased by about 50% in the last year.
00:01:20.260 Pretty impressive.
00:01:21.120 50%.
00:01:22.360 Now, that's the part that you, as the viewers, control,
00:01:28.300 whether you subscribe or not, of 50%.
00:01:31.380 Now, interestingly, my traffic is exactly the same the whole time.
00:01:38.600 It will be 29,000 or 30,000 people who watch this today,
00:01:43.760 like yesterday, and the day before,
00:01:48.020 and all of the days before.
00:01:49.660 So, I've got questions.
00:01:55.700 It's kind of nice that my subscribers went up 50%,
00:01:59.260 but kind of odd that the traffic stayed exactly the same
00:02:03.480 year after year after year after year.
00:02:06.260 It's almost as if it's not natural.
00:02:09.420 It almost feels as if it's not organic,
00:02:12.360 but I don't know.
00:02:13.780 Anything's possible.
00:02:14.700 Well, as Owen Gregorian noted in a retweet today,
00:02:23.740 there's a new study, research,
00:02:25.380 found that having at least two handfuls of nuts a day
00:02:30.020 may improve male fertility.
00:02:32.940 That's right.
00:02:33.720 So, I kid you not, male fertility might depend on the quality of your nuts.
00:02:42.380 I'm just reading the science.
00:02:47.600 Stop doubting the science.
00:02:49.160 That's what they said.
00:02:50.480 If you've got good nuts,
00:02:52.420 if you have good nuts,
00:02:54.700 you're going to have lots of good sperm.
00:02:56.600 That's what they say.
00:02:57.480 Well, in the most important news of the day,
00:03:02.340 author Ben McCauley has written an audio book that's out now,
00:03:06.340 which has something to do with the Scott Adams talent stack idea.
00:03:10.740 But most importantly,
00:03:11.920 he's taking the opportunity to train AI
00:03:15.300 by telling it in the book that I have an IQ of 185.
00:03:20.280 I appreciate it.
00:03:21.220 And now I'm wondering if Grok,
00:03:24.440 which only knows what it sees on Twitter,
00:03:27.120 well, it knows more than that,
00:03:28.240 but it also sees Twitter.
00:03:29.760 I wonder if Grok knows that my IQ is 185 yet.
00:03:34.860 Allegedly.
00:03:37.240 All right.
00:03:38.300 Here's something I love.
00:03:40.900 And by the way,
00:03:41.380 if you're looking for that audio book,
00:03:42.920 you can just look at my Twitter feed today.
00:03:46.600 I tweeted it.
00:03:49.340 What's it called?
00:03:50.160 Something for Truck Drivers.
00:03:54.320 I'm not sure exactly what the title of it is.
00:03:57.360 So look at my feed.
00:03:59.780 You'll find the link.
00:04:04.200 Apparently, we've got Senator Mike Lee
00:04:08.740 who is calling for investigations into the January 6th Committee
00:04:12.340 for deceiving the public about the Capitol riots.
00:04:15.840 Did I tell you yesterday that everything's going my way?
00:04:22.540 I feel like everything's going my way.
00:04:25.200 It's not there.
00:04:26.900 Like, everything needs to still go a lot further.
00:04:30.340 But it does feel like everything's going my way.
00:04:33.660 How much do you want to see an investigation into the J6 Committee?
00:04:37.760 Because in my opinion, that was treason, what I saw.
00:04:42.980 What I saw was intentional, organized, government-led treason
00:04:47.620 to get rid of a president on a false pretense.
00:04:51.640 Now, that's really different than just lying in public.
00:04:55.100 Lying in public is barely legal, and we're all used to it.
00:04:58.780 So politicians lying, no big deal.
00:05:01.380 But if you lie in an organized fashion, in a group effort,
00:05:07.520 I'm sure that's called a RICO.
00:05:09.880 Isn't that a RICO?
00:05:10.620 An organized effort to do something that, I don't know how illegal it is,
00:05:16.480 but it should be illegal to intentionally lie to the public
00:05:19.640 in an official government entity.
00:05:22.740 It's not.
00:05:23.480 I'm sure it's not.
00:05:24.620 It should be.
00:05:25.840 So I don't know if any kind of investigation would find any crimes,
00:05:29.480 but we should certainly know why they were such despicable weasels.
00:05:33.840 In other news, I guess Australia's got some new powerful technology
00:05:41.320 that makes lasers three to nine times more powerful
00:05:45.560 without deteriorating the beam quality,
00:05:49.240 which means you might be using these for shooting down missiles
00:05:52.860 and shooting down drones.
00:05:56.180 Now, in my book, The Religion War,
00:05:58.700 which is really hard to find because it's a banned book,
00:06:00.940 one of the predictions I made is that there would be
00:06:05.220 gigantic, floating, ocean-based platforms
00:06:09.140 that would have something like huge lasers on them
00:06:12.400 and probably some kind of nuclear source
00:06:14.780 so that you could put it near any theater of operation
00:06:19.840 and it could basically shoot down 100% of whatever's in the air
00:06:23.280 if you want to.
00:06:24.960 So I think that's where we're going.
00:06:26.960 We're going to end up with laser beams
00:06:29.380 that can shoot down anything in the air.
00:06:32.460 We might actually reach a point where nothing could fly.
00:06:37.560 Maybe.
00:06:38.940 It might be actually too dangerous to have anything in the air at all
00:06:42.320 because laser beams will just shoot them out of the air
00:06:44.760 because eventually every side will have a laser beam, I guess.
00:06:48.760 Once you can shoot anything out of the air,
00:06:51.660 people are going to do it.
00:06:53.900 So that's coming.
00:06:54.560 Here's an idea that I think is so good it's irresistible.
00:07:02.200 And I heard it on a reel on Instagram,
00:07:04.980 but it's sort of a general idea.
00:07:07.520 And that is that one of the biggest things the United States needs,
00:07:12.480 not just for the citizens but for the economy,
00:07:15.240 is a construction boom.
00:07:17.820 I can't think of anything that would be better for our economy
00:07:21.220 than a construction boom
00:07:23.300 where people get jobs and people are buying homes
00:07:26.180 and doing all that stuff.
00:07:28.380 But, of course, the red tape and the approvals are so burdensome.
00:07:33.000 You know, I built my own home.
00:07:35.040 It takes years to get approval to build a new home.
00:07:39.600 Years.
00:07:41.040 And that's just the normal process.
00:07:42.980 That's not with anything broken.
00:07:45.200 But one of the things to change that is,
00:07:48.320 at least in California, I think in other places,
00:07:51.040 you can do this ADU situation,
00:07:54.680 these little tiny homes that you put a mother-in-law in.
00:07:57.700 You can plop one in your backyard.
00:07:59.980 But in California, I guess they come kind of pre-approved,
00:08:03.460 and they cut a lot of the red tape out.
00:08:07.540 So it's become a booming field
00:08:10.500 because they got rid of red tape
00:08:12.720 and they standardized on,
00:08:14.280 OK, we'll approve this.
00:08:16.120 As long as you meet these requirements, we'll approve it.
00:08:19.500 Well, I saw an idea
00:08:20.500 that I don't know who it's attributed to,
00:08:24.420 but it's kind of a general good idea,
00:08:27.160 so probably more than one person has had it,
00:08:29.440 that there should be something like
00:08:31.700 a bunch of approved models of homes
00:08:35.020 and maybe office buildings as well.
00:08:37.880 So that if you wanted to build an office building
00:08:40.020 or build a home,
00:08:42.020 you would just pick one of the dozen or so models
00:08:45.340 that are pre-approved,
00:08:47.260 and that you would just go to the front of the line
00:08:49.560 because you picked one of the pre-approved houses.
00:08:52.200 Now, if you wanted to build a spec house,
00:08:55.120 you'd probably still have to do the work.
00:08:57.140 But wouldn't it be nice
00:08:58.340 if you could build a development
00:09:00.720 or an entire new city,
00:09:02.880 because I keep hammering on that,
00:09:04.840 building new cities,
00:09:05.600 wouldn't it be nice
00:09:06.880 if everybody could just say,
00:09:08.480 all right, I'll have a,
00:09:09.780 give me a number three or a number 12,
00:09:11.960 and there's just no red tape.
00:09:14.100 You just build them.
00:09:16.020 To me, this is irresistibly smart.
00:09:18.980 I'm sure that something like this is going to happen.
00:09:24.140 I'm sure that a president who is a Republican,
00:09:27.520 Trump, Ramaswamy,
00:09:29.460 somebody like that,
00:09:30.980 could move this forward.
00:09:33.800 And I do think,
00:09:34.740 I think we should have,
00:09:36.040 you know, maybe state rules,
00:09:38.420 but there should be some,
00:09:39.580 there should be some kind of federal
00:09:44.200 guaranteed approved building
00:09:46.640 that every state has to accept.
00:09:48.960 That would be just amazing.
00:09:52.480 All right.
00:09:55.600 So that's the future of housing.
00:09:58.180 But there's something similar going on with space.
00:10:00.820 So Senators Kirsten Sinema
00:10:03.340 and rich guy Eric Schmidt
00:10:06.300 have sent the FAA
00:10:07.820 a letter imploring them to act now
00:10:12.380 and to eliminate red tape and stuff.
00:10:17.460 And so the idea is that
00:10:19.320 there's too much red tape
00:10:20.520 to get a rocket into space,
00:10:22.520 which is no surprise.
00:10:24.520 So we actually have some,
00:10:26.240 some important people
00:10:27.960 who are working on making it easier
00:10:29.560 to get a rocket into space.
00:10:31.740 Now, isn't that just
00:10:33.400 an unambiguously good idea?
00:10:36.640 That is an unambiguously good idea.
00:10:39.280 I mean, Elon has talked about
00:10:40.520 if you piled all the,
00:10:42.600 you know, the regulations up,
00:10:44.000 it would be like a mile high or something.
00:10:46.540 So,
00:10:47.880 when you worry about the future of America,
00:10:52.480 what do you mostly worry about?
00:10:55.800 For me, it's competence
00:10:59.420 and not being able to get out of our,
00:11:03.160 let's say, our legacy systems.
00:11:05.940 The great thing about America
00:11:07.440 is we compare it to, let's say,
00:11:09.860 established places,
00:11:11.160 we got to start from scratch
00:11:13.160 and build something that worked.
00:11:16.340 But now, like everything,
00:11:18.400 it starts getting ossified and red taped
00:11:20.880 and, you know, regulations and rules
00:11:23.440 and you just can't get anything done.
00:11:25.800 We're going to have to do something
00:11:27.400 that just sweeps the deck.
00:11:30.580 And here's my optimism.
00:11:32.580 My optimism goes like this.
00:11:35.600 There's nobody better in the world
00:11:37.460 than Americans
00:11:39.780 at breaking what they built
00:11:42.760 so they can build a better one.
00:11:46.020 Would you agree with that?
00:11:47.480 I don't think anybody is better than America
00:11:49.400 at breaking the thing that existed
00:11:51.780 so they can improve it.
00:11:53.740 It's sort of built into our whole nature.
00:11:56.600 In fact, I think that has something to do
00:11:58.380 with being an immigrant nation.
00:12:01.440 What did every early immigrant do
00:12:04.640 to get to America?
00:12:08.100 They broke their ship.
00:12:10.380 They took their entire life
00:12:11.880 and they broke it.
00:12:13.920 And they got on a little boat
00:12:15.280 and without knowing what's on the other end exactly,
00:12:19.340 went across an ocean,
00:12:20.600 a freaking ocean
00:12:22.620 on a little boat
00:12:23.540 they couldn't even get,
00:12:25.280 you know,
00:12:25.480 couldn't even tell the difference
00:12:26.600 between Virginia and Salem.
00:12:29.860 Literally, in one case,
00:12:31.740 the Mayflower.
00:12:33.720 And they took that risk.
00:12:35.880 They just broke everything they had
00:12:38.060 because it wasn't working
00:12:39.180 and went to where they could build something new.
00:12:41.960 Now, what happens if you create a country
00:12:44.740 that's of people who are willing
00:12:47.680 to break what they had
00:12:48.700 to build something new
00:12:49.680 no matter where they came from?
00:12:51.880 Some came from Ireland.
00:12:53.680 They broke what they had
00:12:54.980 to build something new.
00:12:56.040 Some came from Italy.
00:12:57.520 Some came from, you know, China.
00:12:59.100 So,
00:12:59.980 I really do think
00:13:02.560 that's what's special
00:13:03.520 about the DNA of America,
00:13:06.140 which is the ability
00:13:07.280 to savagely destroy,
00:13:09.700 savagely,
00:13:10.820 like aggressively destroy
00:13:12.460 what used to work
00:13:14.440 but definitely doesn't work anymore.
00:13:17.340 So,
00:13:18.720 Kirsten Sinema,
00:13:19.640 Eric Schmidt,
00:13:21.340 yeah,
00:13:23.500 that's the direction
00:13:24.560 we need to go.
00:13:25.440 Let's break it.
00:13:26.260 We need to break more things
00:13:28.080 so we can build more things.
00:13:31.600 Let's talk about TikTok.
00:13:34.240 Interestingly,
00:13:35.600 you've heard me complain
00:13:36.960 a number of times
00:13:37.600 that Fox News
00:13:38.500 was running
00:13:40.980 advertisements for TikTok.
00:13:44.220 It was actually sponsored
00:13:45.240 on Fox News.
00:13:46.540 Now, Fox News,
00:13:47.360 more than any other network,
00:13:49.100 quite accurately,
00:13:51.380 quite accurately
00:13:53.100 was, you know,
00:13:54.400 having people on
00:13:55.260 like Tom Cotton
00:13:56.140 I think Bob Lee,
00:13:59.660 some other people
00:14:00.420 who were criticizing TikTok.
00:14:03.900 But,
00:14:04.680 they just,
00:14:05.540 Fox News just ran
00:14:06.600 an opinion piece.
00:14:09.100 Now,
00:14:09.580 opinion piece
00:14:10.400 means it's not just
00:14:11.740 one person's opinion
00:14:13.000 that Fox News
00:14:14.640 graciously decided
00:14:15.960 to include.
00:14:17.180 It means it's the actual
00:14:18.500 Fox News opinion,
00:14:20.120 meaning as an organization
00:14:21.400 they have an opinion,
00:14:22.500 sort of like
00:14:22.900 Wall Street Journal
00:14:23.560 has an opinion board.
00:14:24.460 So,
00:14:25.320 their opinion
00:14:25.980 is that TikTok
00:14:26.720 should be banned
00:14:27.480 at the same time
00:14:29.880 that they're an
00:14:30.900 advertiser
00:14:31.420 on their network.
00:14:34.180 Thank you.
00:14:36.420 Nicely done.
00:14:38.100 Fox News
00:14:38.880 just went from
00:14:39.760 what the hell
00:14:40.360 is going on
00:14:41.020 with you guys,
00:14:41.780 in my mind,
00:14:43.020 why are you running
00:14:43.820 TikTok ads,
00:14:44.660 to hero,
00:14:48.180 heroes.
00:14:50.040 Here's why.
00:14:51.860 And I'm going to quote
00:14:52.880 the great Willie Brown,
00:14:54.860 who was a politician
00:14:56.040 in San Francisco
00:14:57.120 and California
00:14:58.120 for years.
00:14:59.540 And he was,
00:15:00.240 at one point,
00:15:00.860 I've said this before,
00:15:01.800 but it's just such
00:15:02.400 a great quote.
00:15:03.900 Somebody asked him
00:15:04.780 why he was taking
00:15:05.500 lobbyists
00:15:06.540 or taking money
00:15:07.800 from the tobacco
00:15:09.360 industry
00:15:09.920 when legislation
00:15:11.720 was upcoming
00:15:12.500 that was about
00:15:13.940 the tobacco industry.
00:15:16.560 And so,
00:15:16.960 Willie Brown,
00:15:17.840 showing why
00:15:18.580 he was so popular,
00:15:20.320 said,
00:15:21.020 if you can't
00:15:21.640 take money
00:15:22.100 from somebody
00:15:22.800 and then turn around
00:15:23.740 and stab them
00:15:24.460 in the back,
00:15:25.340 you're in the wrong
00:15:26.000 business.
00:15:28.560 Okay.
00:15:29.860 You answered
00:15:30.600 all of my questions,
00:15:31.900 Willie Brown.
00:15:32.400 I was actually
00:15:34.160 a little bit worried
00:15:35.160 that you might do
00:15:36.680 what the people
00:15:37.220 who gave you money
00:15:38.100 said they wanted
00:15:39.580 you to do,
00:15:40.380 but he just went
00:15:41.320 right in public
00:15:42.060 and said,
00:15:42.680 if you can't
00:15:43.100 stab them in the back,
00:15:44.060 you're in the wrong
00:15:44.460 business.
00:15:45.960 So here's Fox News
00:15:48.360 who took money
00:15:50.040 from TikTok,
00:15:51.720 ran their ads,
00:15:53.280 and then ran
00:15:54.360 an opinion poll
00:15:55.480 that says they should
00:15:56.140 be banned
00:15:56.620 and completely
00:15:57.180 out of business.
00:15:59.020 Nicely done.
00:16:00.700 That is how
00:16:01.560 you Willie Brown.
00:16:02.400 That is how
00:16:04.420 you Willie Brown.
00:16:06.080 Right there.
00:16:07.240 You want to see it again?
00:16:09.120 You want to see
00:16:09.900 some more
00:16:10.260 Willie Brown action?
00:16:11.360 Because it's kind of
00:16:11.920 cool when you see it.
00:16:14.060 All right.
00:16:14.880 All right.
00:16:16.200 You might know
00:16:17.040 that I endorse
00:16:18.240 Vivek Ramaswamy.
00:16:21.280 He's my choice
00:16:22.220 for president.
00:16:23.120 I think President Trump
00:16:24.140 would be fun
00:16:24.960 and wonderful,
00:16:25.620 but he's very provocative
00:16:26.560 and he's at a certain age,
00:16:29.060 so I have a bias
00:16:30.140 for a younger president.
00:16:31.400 I want to be
00:16:32.340 consistent
00:16:32.840 because I said
00:16:33.480 the same thing
00:16:34.000 about Biden.
00:16:35.140 I said,
00:16:35.620 hey,
00:16:35.760 he's up there.
00:16:36.720 That's a risk
00:16:37.280 I don't want to take.
00:16:38.760 So I'm going to be
00:16:39.460 consistent
00:16:39.960 in saying,
00:16:40.880 you know,
00:16:41.160 younger,
00:16:41.760 younger person
00:16:42.680 is a better choice
00:16:43.660 at the point.
00:16:44.620 Now,
00:16:45.240 it might not happen,
00:16:46.320 but I'm going to stay
00:16:48.140 consistent with that.
00:16:50.820 So having said
00:16:52.080 that I endorse Vivek,
00:16:54.000 you know that Vivek
00:16:55.020 decided he would
00:16:56.620 use TikTok
00:16:57.280 for his own campaign,
00:17:00.320 and when asked
00:17:02.340 about TikTok,
00:17:04.700 he said that,
00:17:06.400 you know,
00:17:06.760 other places
00:17:07.320 like Airbnb,
00:17:08.500 he said,
00:17:08.860 had a data privacy issue
00:17:10.100 with China,
00:17:10.820 which Airbnb denies,
00:17:12.260 by the way.
00:17:13.060 So there's some question
00:17:14.100 about the details of that.
00:17:16.820 But,
00:17:17.780 so Vivek made it
00:17:19.660 a data privacy issue
00:17:21.180 at least in terms
00:17:22.420 of how he answered
00:17:23.100 the question.
00:17:23.580 Now,
00:17:25.520 like I said,
00:17:26.500 I endorse him
00:17:27.260 for president.
00:17:29.780 Stop it.
00:17:30.800 Who's calling me
00:17:31.580 at this time of day?
00:17:36.100 But,
00:17:36.740 despite endorsing him,
00:17:38.860 I'm going to stab him
00:17:39.820 in the back
00:17:40.360 by saying that
00:17:41.380 he's not representing
00:17:42.820 TikTok correctly,
00:17:44.660 and I think you all
00:17:45.360 know it.
00:17:46.660 The real problem
00:17:47.480 with TikTok
00:17:47.900 is not the data privacy.
00:17:49.580 That's a problem.
00:17:50.760 It's a problem.
00:17:51.520 You should do
00:17:51.920 something about it.
00:17:53.000 But it's not
00:17:53.400 the big one.
00:17:54.200 The big one
00:17:54.800 is influence.
00:17:56.900 And China has built
00:17:58.680 a user interface
00:18:00.020 for American minds.
00:18:03.140 And there's a major
00:18:04.460 candidate for president
00:18:05.620 who at the moment
00:18:07.440 is okay with that.
00:18:08.700 I'm very much
00:18:09.700 not okay with that.
00:18:11.340 Right?
00:18:11.920 But,
00:18:12.960 in the spirit
00:18:13.620 of Fox News,
00:18:15.240 who can take
00:18:16.100 TikTok's money
00:18:17.160 and stab him
00:18:18.140 in the back,
00:18:19.240 I'm going to
00:18:20.280 continue endorsing
00:18:21.740 Vivek Ramaswamy
00:18:22.820 while stabbing him
00:18:24.120 in the back.
00:18:25.620 So I'm going to
00:18:26.400 stab him in the back
00:18:27.260 right now.
00:18:28.240 Vivek,
00:18:28.680 you're completely
00:18:29.280 wrong about this.
00:18:31.260 Now,
00:18:32.520 if the strategy,
00:18:34.420 if the strategy
00:18:36.000 is to simply
00:18:36.880 use TikTok
00:18:37.620 to get elected
00:18:38.520 and then try
00:18:39.900 to shut him down,
00:18:41.700 oh,
00:18:42.100 I'm going to be
00:18:42.640 giving him
00:18:43.140 a standing ovation.
00:18:44.480 And that might
00:18:45.140 actually be
00:18:45.740 the strategy.
00:18:47.140 The strategy
00:18:47.800 might be
00:18:48.560 to use TikTok
00:18:50.100 to get elected
00:18:50.880 and then
00:18:52.500 shut him down.
00:18:53.860 Now,
00:18:54.060 that would be
00:18:54.520 the ultimate
00:18:55.060 Willie Brown play.
00:18:57.160 I don't know
00:18:57.900 that he has
00:18:58.280 that in mind.
00:18:59.000 I've not heard
00:18:59.480 any hints of that.
00:19:00.620 But if he does,
00:19:02.300 standing ovation.
00:19:04.320 Standing ovation.
00:19:05.500 Because he's
00:19:06.160 saying directly
00:19:06.820 that he would
00:19:07.360 use TikTok
00:19:07.940 for the
00:19:09.520 stated purpose
00:19:10.720 of winning.
00:19:12.020 Because he's
00:19:12.820 concerned,
00:19:13.420 and it's a good
00:19:13.920 concern,
00:19:14.860 that Republicans
00:19:15.840 aren't trying
00:19:16.540 hard enough
00:19:16.940 to win.
00:19:17.820 That they're
00:19:18.200 dying on
00:19:18.720 principle
00:19:19.180 instead of
00:19:20.640 trying to
00:19:21.000 win.
00:19:21.920 So if you're
00:19:22.640 going to be
00:19:22.900 the guy who
00:19:23.500 says stop
00:19:24.400 dying on
00:19:25.140 principle
00:19:25.600 and try to
00:19:26.880 win,
00:19:27.740 it is very
00:19:28.340 consistent that
00:19:29.200 you say I'm
00:19:29.760 going to use
00:19:30.160 TikTok to
00:19:30.780 try to win.
00:19:32.160 So I'm
00:19:32.520 definitely not
00:19:34.660 accusing Vivek
00:19:36.180 of being
00:19:36.520 inconsistent.
00:19:37.780 He's very
00:19:38.180 consistent.
00:19:39.220 He's doing
00:19:39.640 exactly what
00:19:40.640 he says
00:19:41.100 Republicans
00:19:41.640 should do.
00:19:42.520 Try to
00:19:43.080 win first,
00:19:44.440 and then see
00:19:44.880 if he can do
00:19:45.320 some good
00:19:45.680 stuff.
00:19:46.540 I get
00:19:46.780 that.
00:19:47.740 I get
00:19:48.060 that.
00:19:48.980 But just
00:19:51.100 keep in
00:19:51.460 mind that he
00:19:51.900 and I are
00:19:52.300 going to
00:19:52.500 have to
00:19:52.800 disagree on
00:19:54.720 TikTok as
00:19:56.160 a persuasion
00:19:56.860 tool and
00:19:58.160 how much of
00:19:59.040 a big deal
00:19:59.520 that is and
00:20:00.080 whether he
00:20:00.480 should be
00:20:01.000 trying to
00:20:01.860 ban it right
00:20:02.340 away versus
00:20:02.960 using it to
00:20:03.620 get elected.
00:20:04.660 I would
00:20:05.000 rather he
00:20:08.000 was in
00:20:08.740 favor of
00:20:09.120 banning it.
00:20:10.000 But still
00:20:11.280 endorsing,
00:20:12.560 because I
00:20:12.900 think as a
00:20:13.400 package he's
00:20:13.940 the best
00:20:14.220 package.
00:20:14.600 Mike
00:20:20.360 Benz
00:20:20.840 continues to
00:20:21.640 be a
00:20:22.100 national
00:20:22.500 treasurer by
00:20:23.300 explaining to
00:20:24.300 us some
00:20:24.680 things that
00:20:25.280 we kind
00:20:26.180 of feel,
00:20:27.380 but we
00:20:27.760 haven't put
00:20:29.060 a wrapper
00:20:30.140 around it to
00:20:31.100 understand it
00:20:31.820 more
00:20:32.060 comprehensively,
00:20:33.220 which is the
00:20:34.620 way American
00:20:35.520 opinions are
00:20:36.100 being manipulated
00:20:36.900 by members of
00:20:38.520 the government.
00:20:38.980 government.
00:20:40.040 Now,
00:20:40.260 specifically,
00:20:41.100 there are now
00:20:41.660 two states
00:20:42.420 that have
00:20:42.800 rolled out
00:20:43.340 some kind
00:20:44.580 of media
00:20:45.320 literacy
00:20:46.040 program for
00:20:47.820 their schools.
00:20:48.980 So now New
00:20:49.620 York, and I
00:20:50.200 believe California
00:20:51.000 is following
00:20:51.560 up, the
00:20:52.780 two major
00:20:54.260 states, are
00:20:55.660 going to
00:20:56.160 train people
00:20:56.880 in colleges
00:20:57.560 and schools,
00:20:59.620 K through
00:21:00.040 12,
00:21:01.460 something they
00:21:02.320 call media
00:21:03.020 literacy,
00:21:04.700 which in
00:21:05.160 their view
00:21:06.260 of it would
00:21:07.000 be teaching
00:21:07.500 them how to
00:21:07.960 understand the
00:21:08.660 news and
00:21:09.200 not be fooled
00:21:09.880 by fake
00:21:10.460 news.
00:21:12.900 Now, I
00:21:14.080 don't think
00:21:14.600 you needed
00:21:15.000 Mike Benz
00:21:15.680 to tell you
00:21:16.320 that this is
00:21:17.540 coming from
00:21:18.160 Democrats and
00:21:19.100 is really,
00:21:20.020 and it's a
00:21:20.720 brainwashing
00:21:21.320 operation,
00:21:22.660 that Democrats
00:21:23.360 are too
00:21:23.820 fucking stupid
00:21:24.580 to know it's
00:21:25.220 a brainwashing
00:21:25.920 operation.
00:21:27.860 Do you know
00:21:28.220 why?
00:21:28.840 Because they're
00:21:29.260 already brainwashed.
00:21:31.200 The Democrats
00:21:32.260 actually believe
00:21:33.440 that one side
00:21:34.900 is right.
00:21:37.960 Now, if
00:21:39.060 there's
00:21:40.100 somebody on
00:21:40.500 the right
00:21:40.840 who says,
00:21:41.420 yeah, damn
00:21:42.060 it, one
00:21:42.380 side is
00:21:42.760 right, it's
00:21:43.140 our side.
00:21:43.700 No, no, it
00:21:45.940 doesn't really
00:21:46.440 work that way.
00:21:48.100 No.
00:21:49.120 Now, both
00:21:50.000 sides have a
00:21:51.580 little bit to
00:21:52.080 explain, both
00:21:53.660 sides.
00:21:54.520 This is one of
00:21:55.220 those situations
00:21:55.900 where both
00:21:56.660 sidesing it is
00:21:58.140 absolutely
00:21:58.840 appropriate.
00:22:00.140 If you're
00:22:00.820 both sidesing
00:22:01.620 the Gaza
00:22:02.340 situation, you're
00:22:03.480 going to have
00:22:03.760 to answer some
00:22:04.260 questions about
00:22:05.560 that.
00:22:05.920 but you
00:22:07.220 can absolutely
00:22:08.060 both sides
00:22:08.820 fake news.
00:22:10.500 If you're not
00:22:11.020 both sidesing
00:22:11.740 it, you're
00:22:13.120 not a serious
00:22:13.780 player.
00:22:14.920 I do think
00:22:15.860 that there's a
00:22:16.700 greater amount
00:22:17.380 on one side,
00:22:18.460 but so do
00:22:18.940 they.
00:22:19.920 So just know
00:22:20.640 that that's
00:22:21.020 what everybody
00:22:21.460 thinks, that
00:22:22.160 the other
00:22:22.480 side has more
00:22:23.120 of it.
00:22:23.860 But that's
00:22:24.240 probably a
00:22:24.600 perceptual thing.
00:22:27.420 Anyway, so
00:22:29.360 basically a
00:22:30.180 Ministry of
00:22:30.800 Truth-like
00:22:31.480 organization is
00:22:32.320 being set up
00:22:33.040 and it's a
00:22:34.320 major program
00:22:35.200 the Democrats
00:22:35.780 are pushing
00:22:36.460 to get it
00:22:37.920 everywhere.
00:22:39.320 And who do
00:22:40.080 you think will
00:22:40.580 develop the
00:22:41.260 materials that
00:22:42.320 the students
00:22:44.180 will see?
00:22:45.620 Do you think
00:22:46.040 Republicans will
00:22:46.940 be developing
00:22:47.600 the materials
00:22:48.480 that tells them
00:22:49.500 what's true
00:22:49.980 and what's
00:22:50.360 not?
00:22:51.980 No.
00:22:54.180 No.
00:22:55.580 No.
00:22:56.540 This is
00:22:57.260 literally just a
00:22:58.500 way to brainwash
00:22:59.380 kids into
00:22:59.980 turning them
00:23:00.520 into Democrats.
00:23:01.580 Democrats.
00:23:03.000 And somehow
00:23:03.800 everybody is
00:23:04.620 like, all
00:23:05.080 right, well,
00:23:06.200 disinformation,
00:23:07.280 dull.
00:23:08.560 So here's
00:23:09.760 what I hate
00:23:10.200 most about
00:23:10.740 this story.
00:23:13.520 There's lots
00:23:14.240 of stuff in
00:23:14.780 the news,
00:23:15.800 a lot of
00:23:16.260 topics, and
00:23:17.540 usually the
00:23:18.200 most involved
00:23:19.140 I might want
00:23:19.720 to get in a
00:23:20.240 topic is
00:23:20.860 writing a
00:23:22.000 tweet or
00:23:23.480 mentioning it
00:23:24.360 on the
00:23:24.620 live stream.
00:23:25.460 Like, you
00:23:25.760 can't get
00:23:26.140 involved in
00:23:26.840 everything.
00:23:27.120 But there
00:23:29.180 is this
00:23:29.680 weird category
00:23:30.460 of things
00:23:31.080 where I
00:23:33.140 can't not
00:23:34.580 get involved
00:23:35.300 because I
00:23:37.100 have some
00:23:37.500 unique skill
00:23:39.100 that is rare
00:23:40.120 and my
00:23:42.280 country is
00:23:42.880 calling me.
00:23:44.260 I know it
00:23:45.060 sounds dramatic,
00:23:46.300 but it's just
00:23:47.380 literally true.
00:23:49.160 Who exactly
00:23:50.080 would you
00:23:51.100 call to
00:23:51.700 deprogram
00:23:52.440 California
00:23:53.080 kids?
00:23:54.880 This is my
00:23:55.660 state.
00:23:56.100 I just
00:23:57.280 found out
00:23:57.740 that the
00:23:58.060 government
00:23:58.420 is going
00:23:58.820 to propagandize
00:23:59.860 the children
00:24:00.940 into becoming
00:24:01.700 my enemies.
00:24:03.640 Let me say
00:24:04.100 that again.
00:24:05.280 My state
00:24:05.860 just rolled
00:24:06.400 down a
00:24:06.700 program to
00:24:07.880 teach kids
00:24:08.620 to make
00:24:09.320 me their
00:24:09.780 enemies.
00:24:11.300 Indirectly,
00:24:12.220 but that would
00:24:13.000 be the obvious
00:24:13.860 outcome of it.
00:24:14.980 If it turned
00:24:15.500 them into
00:24:16.020 good Democrats
00:24:17.200 who believe
00:24:17.680 CNN and
00:24:18.360 MSNBC are
00:24:19.320 telling the
00:24:19.740 truth,
00:24:20.560 what's the
00:24:21.060 outcome of
00:24:21.520 that?
00:24:22.140 The outcome
00:24:22.920 of that is
00:24:23.360 I become
00:24:23.800 their enemy
00:24:24.300 because that's
00:24:25.460 what MSNBC
00:24:26.300 and CNN
00:24:26.960 will tell
00:24:27.380 them.
00:24:28.740 So the
00:24:30.500 children in
00:24:31.100 my state
00:24:31.620 are being
00:24:32.060 weaponized
00:24:32.620 against me.
00:24:35.460 Really.
00:24:36.840 There's no
00:24:37.920 propaganda
00:24:38.440 or there's
00:24:39.740 no hyperbole
00:24:41.320 in that
00:24:41.640 statement.
00:24:42.980 The children
00:24:43.400 in my state
00:24:44.080 are being
00:24:44.940 propagandized
00:24:46.040 and brainwashed
00:24:47.000 overtly,
00:24:48.800 publicly.
00:24:50.560 See for
00:24:51.120 yourself.
00:24:52.000 You can just
00:24:52.500 look at it
00:24:52.940 yourself.
00:24:53.300 There's no
00:24:53.840 doubt about
00:24:54.260 what's
00:24:54.520 happening.
00:24:55.660 To not
00:24:56.020 like me,
00:24:56.720 among other
00:24:57.180 things.
00:24:57.720 I mean,
00:24:57.920 it's not
00:24:58.200 about me,
00:24:58.660 of course,
00:24:59.040 but that
00:24:59.320 would be
00:24:59.540 the outcome.
00:25:01.280 Now,
00:25:02.440 I believe
00:25:07.060 I have
00:25:07.460 unique skills
00:25:08.440 to pull
00:25:09.620 that off.
00:25:11.880 And so
00:25:12.380 much so
00:25:12.980 that I've
00:25:14.040 largely decided
00:25:14.920 this morning
00:25:15.480 I'm going
00:25:15.860 to start
00:25:16.160 holding
00:25:16.500 classes.
00:25:18.360 And maybe
00:25:19.300 just for the
00:25:19.840 neighbors at
00:25:20.400 first.
00:25:20.720 and see
00:25:22.360 if I
00:25:22.620 could build
00:25:23.020 something
00:25:23.420 like a
00:25:24.140 two-hour
00:25:26.440 class to
00:25:28.200 teach children
00:25:29.140 how to
00:25:30.020 spot fake
00:25:30.640 news the
00:25:31.260 real way.
00:25:32.820 As in
00:25:33.600 both sides.
00:25:35.440 So it
00:25:35.820 would be a
00:25:36.220 both-sides
00:25:36.740 lesson.
00:25:37.380 It wouldn't
00:25:37.640 be a
00:25:38.060 Democrats
00:25:38.960 get everything
00:25:39.460 wrong,
00:25:39.920 Republicans
00:25:40.360 are awesome,
00:25:41.220 or Libertarians
00:25:42.320 got the right
00:25:42.880 answer.
00:25:43.240 None of
00:25:43.500 that.
00:25:44.360 Just how
00:25:44.840 to spot
00:25:45.160 the fake
00:25:45.520 stuff.
00:25:45.840 So if
00:25:49.780 it worked
00:25:50.340 and I
00:25:52.220 got good
00:25:52.660 at it
00:25:53.020 and people
00:25:53.480 wanted to
00:25:53.960 send their
00:25:54.460 kids there,
00:25:56.080 and by
00:25:57.680 the way,
00:25:57.940 I would
00:25:58.140 have lots
00:25:58.560 of chaperones.
00:26:02.720 It's
00:26:03.240 2023,
00:26:05.380 almost
00:26:05.800 2024,
00:26:07.100 so you
00:26:07.480 can never
00:26:08.980 say something
00:26:09.540 like,
00:26:10.260 I plan to
00:26:11.020 organize
00:26:11.480 something for
00:26:12.200 kids.
00:26:13.240 You've got
00:26:13.760 to add
00:26:14.120 right in
00:26:14.500 there with
00:26:14.920 lots of
00:26:15.280 chaperones.
00:26:16.820 Yeah,
00:26:17.120 their parents
00:26:17.540 can attend.
00:26:19.140 Parents
00:26:19.580 should attend.
00:26:20.400 You should
00:26:20.680 audit the
00:26:21.120 class.
00:26:22.340 You should
00:26:22.660 say that
00:26:23.300 automatically.
00:26:26.180 My kids
00:26:26.880 are homeschooled.
00:26:27.540 We volunteer.
00:26:28.300 Well,
00:26:28.460 there you
00:26:28.640 go.
00:26:29.940 Yeah,
00:26:30.160 I think I
00:26:30.720 have enough
00:26:31.140 that I
00:26:31.460 could pull
00:26:32.020 together a
00:26:32.560 class with
00:26:33.100 like an
00:26:34.100 hour of
00:26:34.680 preparation.
00:26:36.060 It wouldn't
00:26:36.420 take much.
00:26:37.920 I've already
00:26:38.420 got the
00:26:38.740 notes for
00:26:39.260 the lesson.
00:26:41.080 So this
00:26:42.520 is one of
00:26:42.880 those situations
00:26:43.520 where I
00:26:44.020 actually have
00:26:44.860 to work.
00:26:46.140 Like,
00:26:46.540 I should
00:26:46.780 stop watching
00:26:47.460 the news
00:26:48.020 because I
00:26:49.220 really want
00:26:49.680 to stop
00:26:50.020 working,
00:26:51.060 or working
00:26:51.800 is hard.
00:26:52.340 I like
00:26:52.600 doing this.
00:26:53.080 This
00:26:53.240 doesn't
00:26:53.480 work.
00:26:54.220 But I
00:26:54.540 don't really
00:26:54.880 want to
00:26:55.400 like go
00:26:57.240 save my
00:26:57.760 state.
00:26:58.360 It's a lot
00:26:59.040 of work.
00:26:59.840 But I
00:27:00.400 have to.
00:27:02.040 I mean,
00:27:02.460 seriously,
00:27:03.040 you tell
00:27:03.440 me.
00:27:04.240 You tell
00:27:04.700 me.
00:27:05.800 Can I
00:27:06.160 let this
00:27:06.520 go?
00:27:06.800 Can I
00:27:08.720 let that
00:27:09.160 go?
00:27:10.560 In my
00:27:11.260 state?
00:27:11.700 I can't.
00:27:14.620 I
00:27:15.080 absolutely
00:27:15.700 don't.
00:27:16.220 I don't
00:27:16.480 have the
00:27:16.820 capability
00:27:17.300 to just
00:27:17.940 let that
00:27:18.360 slide.
00:27:19.780 I wish
00:27:20.600 I did
00:27:21.100 because I
00:27:21.780 don't want
00:27:22.120 to do
00:27:22.420 it.
00:27:23.980 But I'm
00:27:24.380 going to
00:27:24.700 because here
00:27:25.860 we are.
00:27:27.860 Anyway,
00:27:28.940 I'll make
00:27:29.600 that work
00:27:30.060 somehow.
00:27:31.460 Speaking of
00:27:32.180 Vivek,
00:27:32.920 he's reporting
00:27:33.900 that the
00:27:34.520 Iowa crowds
00:27:35.380 for him
00:27:35.860 are,
00:27:36.980 quote,
00:27:37.080 is shockingly
00:27:37.940 large even
00:27:38.920 in smaller
00:27:39.440 counties.
00:27:41.080 And it's a
00:27:41.640 lot of people
00:27:42.040 who have
00:27:42.260 never been
00:27:42.600 to a
00:27:42.880 caucus
00:27:43.140 before.
00:27:44.420 He did
00:27:44.900 six events
00:27:45.580 yesterday,
00:27:46.280 six events
00:27:46.780 today,
00:27:47.640 seven events
00:27:48.160 tomorrow.
00:27:49.420 And he
00:27:50.060 says that
00:27:50.480 the MSM
00:27:51.180 narrative of
00:27:52.020 what's happening
00:27:52.540 in Iowa is
00:27:54.020 completely wrong.
00:27:56.020 He says get
00:27:56.820 ready for a
00:27:57.320 surprise in
00:27:57.880 Iowa on
00:27:58.360 January 15th.
00:27:59.740 You know
00:28:00.080 what?
00:28:01.480 There might
00:28:02.140 be a surprise
00:28:02.720 in Iowa.
00:28:04.240 Might be a
00:28:04.980 surprise in
00:28:05.400 Iowa.
00:28:06.740 Yeah.
00:28:07.080 I think
00:28:07.860 Vivek is
00:28:08.500 rising.
00:28:10.740 And who
00:28:13.100 is he?
00:28:13.620 He's running
00:28:14.100 against somebody,
00:28:14.940 right?
00:28:15.640 Besides Trump.
00:28:17.520 He's running,
00:28:18.960 who's the other
00:28:19.460 guy who's running
00:28:20.100 for the nomination?
00:28:21.720 It's Ronnie
00:28:23.400 something?
00:28:25.020 D.
00:28:26.300 DeSantis.
00:28:27.360 Ron DeSantis?
00:28:29.600 Is that how you
00:28:29.960 pronounce it?
00:28:30.840 I feel,
00:28:31.260 I like,
00:28:31.720 vaguely remember
00:28:32.480 there was,
00:28:33.300 he's a governor
00:28:33.960 or something.
00:28:35.360 I remember he
00:28:36.240 was once
00:28:36.700 popular with
00:28:37.500 Republicans,
00:28:38.400 but now
00:28:40.480 he's a guy
00:28:41.060 with funny
00:28:41.580 boots.
00:28:42.960 That's all I
00:28:43.460 remember about
00:28:44.120 him.
00:28:44.480 I don't have
00:28:45.140 a specific
00:28:45.700 memory of
00:28:46.240 anything he
00:28:46.640 said lately.
00:28:47.860 Joking.
00:28:49.920 Just joking.
00:28:52.920 Let me ask
00:28:53.880 you this.
00:28:55.480 Speaking of
00:28:56.040 DeSantis,
00:28:57.520 wasn't at
00:28:59.240 least half of
00:29:00.060 the reason for
00:29:00.680 DeSantis,
00:29:01.440 and I need a
00:29:02.160 fact check on
00:29:02.780 this,
00:29:03.600 see if this
00:29:04.160 is accurate.
00:29:05.500 Wasn't
00:29:05.880 something like
00:29:06.580 half of the
00:29:07.200 reason for
00:29:07.760 DeSantis to
00:29:08.560 run is that
00:29:10.200 he could beat
00:29:10.800 Biden and
00:29:11.720 Trump could
00:29:12.380 not?
00:29:12.940 Do I have
00:29:13.300 that right?
00:29:15.000 Wasn't that
00:29:15.540 like half of
00:29:16.140 the reason?
00:29:17.840 The other
00:29:18.400 half was
00:29:18.880 people liked
00:29:19.500 him, right?
00:29:20.340 The other
00:29:20.680 half was he's
00:29:21.420 a good governor.
00:29:22.420 I'm sure he
00:29:22.940 would be a good
00:29:23.380 president, by the
00:29:24.180 way.
00:29:24.460 I think he
00:29:24.800 would do a
00:29:25.140 fine job as
00:29:25.760 a president.
00:29:26.500 If he's a
00:29:26.980 president someday,
00:29:27.740 I think I'd
00:29:29.000 support him.
00:29:30.600 But if half
00:29:32.920 of the argument
00:29:33.460 is he's the
00:29:34.120 only one, it
00:29:34.520 could be
00:29:34.780 Biden.
00:29:35.860 And as of
00:29:36.540 today, the
00:29:37.820 last, the
00:29:38.720 most recent
00:29:39.300 six or seven
00:29:40.800 polls have
00:29:43.020 Trump solidly
00:29:44.240 beating Biden.
00:29:46.580 You know,
00:29:46.960 within 2%,
00:29:47.900 you could say,
00:29:48.680 is margin of
00:29:49.400 error.
00:29:50.020 But that's a
00:29:51.020 national number.
00:29:52.760 If Trump is
00:29:54.000 over Biden,
00:29:54.820 2% in a
00:29:55.780 national number,
00:29:56.580 and whenever
00:29:57.960 they look at
00:29:58.520 the battleground
00:29:59.880 states, it
00:30:00.440 looks like he
00:30:00.920 has a more
00:30:01.580 commanding lead,
00:30:03.300 it looks like
00:30:03.920 it's over in
00:30:06.180 terms of the
00:30:06.900 argument for
00:30:07.740 DeSantis.
00:30:09.240 If you've been
00:30:10.140 running for a
00:30:10.960 year, or
00:30:12.060 however long
00:30:12.740 DeSantis has
00:30:13.500 been running,
00:30:14.780 and the end
00:30:15.580 result of a
00:30:16.260 year of running
00:30:16.980 is if 50% of
00:30:18.880 the reason you're
00:30:19.580 running in the
00:30:20.080 first place just
00:30:20.820 dissolved, which
00:30:22.280 is Trump can't
00:30:23.280 win against
00:30:23.740 Biden, it's
00:30:26.380 kind of time,
00:30:27.020 isn't it?
00:30:29.340 So I'd like to
00:30:30.360 suggest the
00:30:31.000 following.
00:30:31.520 I think DeSantis
00:30:32.480 supporters surely
00:30:33.500 want him to stay
00:30:34.240 in for a couple
00:30:35.380 of primaries,
00:30:36.740 because, you
00:30:37.380 know, you
00:30:37.600 paid the money,
00:30:38.900 you're on the
00:30:39.540 wagon, you
00:30:40.880 might as well
00:30:41.640 find out what
00:30:42.180 happens.
00:30:42.640 Maybe you get
00:30:43.020 lucky.
00:30:44.060 But if DeSantis
00:30:45.220 shits the bed in
00:30:47.820 Iowa and New
00:30:49.640 Hampshire, and
00:30:51.440 Vivek beats him in
00:30:53.640 one or both of
00:30:54.320 those places, don't
00:30:56.720 you think it's
00:30:57.200 time?
00:30:58.940 I feel like that
00:31:00.140 would be the
00:31:01.800 trigger for
00:31:03.480 DeSantis to do
00:31:04.500 the right thing.
00:31:07.080 And in part,
00:31:10.820 because I think
00:31:11.720 the emergency
00:31:12.700 backup spare is
00:31:15.180 better served if
00:31:16.580 it's Vivek.
00:31:18.240 Now, to be
00:31:19.300 realistic, the
00:31:20.780 people who are
00:31:21.340 not Trump who
00:31:22.060 are running for
00:31:22.500 the nomination,
00:31:24.060 they're kind of
00:31:25.220 running in case
00:31:26.020 something happens
00:31:26.740 to Trump, or
00:31:28.320 maybe something
00:31:29.040 lucky happens, or
00:31:30.200 maybe he says
00:31:30.960 something that is
00:31:32.500 literally disqualifying
00:31:33.840 to the right,
00:31:35.420 something like
00:31:35.840 that.
00:31:36.300 So it's sort of a
00:31:37.060 just-in-case,
00:31:38.660 break glass,
00:31:39.580 an emergency.
00:31:41.020 Some say that
00:31:41.840 they're running for
00:31:42.400 vice president.
00:31:43.360 I don't think that
00:31:44.180 they would tell you
00:31:44.820 that.
00:31:45.920 So I like to see
00:31:47.780 it as the
00:31:48.380 emergency spare
00:31:50.440 tire.
00:31:51.320 spare, but in
00:31:52.800 this case, a
00:31:53.500 full-size spare.
00:31:54.800 You know, sometimes
00:31:55.360 spare tire is a
00:31:56.160 little one.
00:31:57.040 You're not
00:31:57.420 supposed to drive
00:31:58.000 too far, but in
00:31:59.180 other cases, you
00:31:59.820 get a full-size
00:32:00.480 spare.
00:32:01.100 I think that
00:32:01.740 DeSantis is a
00:32:02.640 full-size spare.
00:32:04.520 I think Vivek is
00:32:05.580 a full-size spare.
00:32:07.900 Right?
00:32:08.300 I don't think the
00:32:09.040 others are.
00:32:10.080 But they could do
00:32:11.560 the job that's a
00:32:13.260 Trump-like job, and
00:32:14.480 you'd probably say,
00:32:15.200 yeah, that's about
00:32:16.380 what I wanted.
00:32:17.480 They have the
00:32:17.980 capability.
00:32:18.920 They have the
00:32:19.640 skill.
00:32:20.900 So I feel like
00:32:22.380 what you're going
00:32:22.860 to see is good
00:32:24.180 reasons for
00:32:24.820 DeSantis to make
00:32:26.920 a respectable
00:32:29.380 exit.
00:32:30.460 And by the
00:32:30.860 way, I'd
00:32:33.240 appreciate him
00:32:33.840 running.
00:32:34.960 Don't you?
00:32:36.680 You know, there's
00:32:37.460 some of you who
00:32:38.000 said, hey, you
00:32:38.560 don't run against
00:32:39.240 Trump.
00:32:39.960 But I'm glad he
00:32:40.840 did.
00:32:41.740 I feel like it
00:32:42.800 made the system
00:32:43.420 better that he was
00:32:44.940 in the race.
00:32:45.520 because you had
00:32:47.380 somebody to compare
00:32:48.220 to Trump.
00:32:48.900 Here's why it's
00:32:49.620 important.
00:32:51.460 DeSantis was sort
00:32:52.500 of the safe
00:32:53.100 Republican choice.
00:32:54.780 Am I right?
00:32:56.320 He felt kind of
00:32:57.440 safe.
00:32:59.500 And what you
00:33:00.240 needed before you
00:33:01.220 committed to Trump,
00:33:02.280 if he's your
00:33:02.840 choice, think about
00:33:04.700 the psychology of
00:33:05.600 this.
00:33:06.220 Before you
00:33:06.960 committed to
00:33:07.600 Trump fully,
00:33:09.460 don't you love
00:33:10.320 the fact that
00:33:11.900 you had a good,
00:33:13.440 solid governor
00:33:15.740 choice.
00:33:18.260 So that if you
00:33:19.160 decide that Trump's
00:33:20.040 still your person,
00:33:22.160 that you've made
00:33:22.900 that decision with
00:33:24.060 the best possible
00:33:25.360 scenario, which
00:33:27.740 is you had a
00:33:28.560 legitimate choice.
00:33:30.500 He's a serious,
00:33:31.860 legitimate choice
00:33:32.760 for President
00:33:33.420 DeSantis.
00:33:35.100 So now if you
00:33:36.160 pick Trump,
00:33:38.400 what would be the
00:33:39.820 psychological thing
00:33:41.500 that happens?
00:33:43.440 I think it
00:33:45.180 binds you to
00:33:45.960 Trump stronger
00:33:47.320 because you
00:33:49.100 have to make a
00:33:49.680 choice of somebody
00:33:50.520 who wouldn't have
00:33:51.300 all the, let's
00:33:52.920 say, I'm going
00:33:54.060 to say baggage,
00:33:55.160 of Trump.
00:33:56.320 If you chose
00:33:57.100 that directly,
00:33:59.300 after knowing you
00:34:00.180 had a safer
00:34:00.740 choice, you're
00:34:02.280 going to be really
00:34:02.880 committed to that
00:34:03.640 choice.
00:34:05.060 Do you understand
00:34:05.660 how that works?
00:34:06.520 Because cognitive
00:34:07.340 dissonance is going
00:34:08.400 to lock you into
00:34:09.400 your choice.
00:34:10.320 Thing controversial.
00:34:11.220 All right, I
00:34:12.960 think I'm back.
00:34:15.000 So let me say
00:34:15.560 it again.
00:34:17.180 I think it's
00:34:18.060 time, with the
00:34:19.960 full respect of
00:34:21.100 the Republican
00:34:21.720 Party, for
00:34:23.800 DeSantis to
00:34:24.960 maybe back
00:34:27.680 out.
00:34:28.440 After a
00:34:30.000 primary, if he
00:34:31.300 doesn't do
00:34:31.720 well.
00:34:32.180 If he kills
00:34:32.920 it in the
00:34:33.320 primary, well,
00:34:34.900 hey, I'll
00:34:35.780 revise my
00:34:36.440 opinion.
00:34:37.740 Because the
00:34:38.620 voters might
00:34:39.120 want a choice.
00:34:40.480 But if he
00:34:41.100 just, if
00:34:42.760 Vivek laps
00:34:43.580 him, if he
00:34:44.700 gets lapped
00:34:45.280 by Vivek in
00:34:47.080 either of those
00:34:47.860 primaries, I
00:34:50.700 think he needs
00:34:51.220 to do what
00:34:52.200 he needs to
00:34:52.720 do.
00:34:53.720 And everybody
00:34:54.240 would be happy
00:34:54.780 with him, I
00:34:55.240 think.
00:34:57.720 All right, let's
00:34:58.740 talk about media
00:34:59.360 matters.
00:34:59.960 It seems like it
00:35:00.600 trends every day
00:35:01.440 on X.
00:35:03.400 So, you know,
00:35:04.800 Musk is going
00:35:05.860 thermonuclear
00:35:06.840 lawsuit against
00:35:08.360 them for
00:35:09.360 their allegedly
00:35:11.260 fake analysis
00:35:12.800 that said that
00:35:15.120 X was pairing
00:35:16.440 neo-Nazi stuff
00:35:17.740 with advertisers.
00:35:19.820 And people
00:35:20.740 have tried to
00:35:21.260 reproduce it,
00:35:22.900 can't reproduce
00:35:23.780 it.
00:35:24.920 So it does
00:35:25.860 not, in fact,
00:35:28.020 appear that it
00:35:28.780 was real, but
00:35:29.460 we'll find out.
00:35:33.020 Tim Pool
00:35:33.800 has suggested
00:35:34.480 that influencers
00:35:35.560 on X, people
00:35:36.740 like me and
00:35:37.360 people like
00:35:37.760 Tim Pool,
00:35:38.360 should join
00:35:39.520 Musk in the
00:35:40.100 lawsuit.
00:35:41.460 Now, I'm
00:35:42.400 no lawyer, so
00:35:44.100 I don't know
00:35:44.420 what that
00:35:44.680 means.
00:35:46.440 Is that
00:35:47.040 something like
00:35:47.600 an amicus
00:35:48.300 brief or
00:35:48.980 something?
00:35:50.160 Again, I
00:35:50.940 don't know
00:35:51.180 what that
00:35:51.460 means.
00:35:52.320 But isn't
00:35:52.900 an amicus
00:35:53.360 brief like
00:35:54.100 you're a
00:35:55.560 friend of
00:35:56.120 somebody on
00:35:57.440 one side, so
00:35:58.260 you write a
00:35:59.000 little thing
00:35:59.340 supporting them?
00:36:00.820 You're a
00:36:01.480 friend of the
00:36:01.880 court, right?
00:36:03.520 But is that
00:36:04.260 all?
00:36:04.520 Or would
00:36:05.320 you somehow
00:36:06.340 join in the
00:36:07.220 lawsuit?
00:36:09.420 Do you
00:36:09.720 think class
00:36:10.240 action would
00:36:11.060 apply?
00:36:13.520 Is there
00:36:13.900 enough of
00:36:14.340 a...
00:36:15.120 See, I'm
00:36:15.940 not a lawyer
00:36:16.400 now, so I
00:36:16.920 don't know.
00:36:17.680 Would class
00:36:18.380 action be...
00:36:21.060 He means as
00:36:21.940 a plaintiff.
00:36:23.260 So as a
00:36:23.920 plaintiff, that
00:36:25.980 doesn't
00:36:26.320 necessarily apply
00:36:27.360 class action.
00:36:28.240 You could just
00:36:28.760 be an additional
00:36:29.460 plaintiff, right?
00:36:30.220 I don't
00:36:31.080 know what
00:36:31.340 makes it a
00:36:31.780 class.
00:36:35.060 Class
00:36:35.500 action does
00:36:36.140 not apply, I'm
00:36:37.240 hearing from the
00:36:38.140 only lawyer that
00:36:38.900 I know is
00:36:39.400 watching.
00:36:40.720 So we think
00:36:41.520 that class
00:36:42.020 action doesn't
00:36:42.740 apply, but
00:36:43.700 maybe you
00:36:44.140 could be a
00:36:44.540 plaintiff.
00:36:46.740 Now, I
00:36:47.380 don't know what
00:36:47.720 that would
00:36:48.020 mean if the
00:36:48.900 lawsuit is
00:36:50.240 effective.
00:36:51.300 What would
00:36:51.860 that mean for
00:36:52.460 the additional
00:36:52.980 plaintiffs, that
00:36:54.360 they would get
00:36:54.920 some portion
00:36:55.860 of the award,
00:36:58.900 if there's any
00:36:59.400 monetary award?
00:37:00.220 Now, I
00:37:00.680 can't imagine
00:37:01.300 Media Matters
00:37:02.640 has money,
00:37:04.480 except for
00:37:05.020 Soros' money.
00:37:06.460 Wouldn't it
00:37:06.800 be amazing if
00:37:08.000 Elon Musk
00:37:09.520 sued Media
00:37:10.900 Matters, which
00:37:12.220 is funded by
00:37:13.140 Soros, and
00:37:14.840 then Soros'
00:37:15.960 money went
00:37:16.740 to Elon
00:37:18.060 Musk?
00:37:19.480 How much
00:37:20.200 would you
00:37:20.480 love that?
00:37:22.260 Just the
00:37:22.700 concept of
00:37:23.320 it.
00:37:24.100 That'd be
00:37:24.900 fun.
00:37:26.580 Well, if
00:37:27.300 there is some
00:37:27.800 way to join
00:37:28.420 in on this
00:37:29.400 matter,
00:37:30.220 and I
00:37:32.000 can be
00:37:32.440 useful without
00:37:33.160 traveling,
00:37:34.360 because I
00:37:34.740 don't want
00:37:34.960 to travel.
00:37:36.480 But if I
00:37:36.840 could be
00:37:37.060 useful, I'd
00:37:37.820 do that.
00:37:40.500 One of the
00:37:41.180 most fun
00:37:41.600 stories here in
00:37:42.300 California is
00:37:42.980 we've got this
00:37:43.560 guy, Pencil
00:37:44.200 Neck Adam
00:37:45.060 Schiff, to
00:37:45.900 quote Trump,
00:37:47.940 and he
00:37:49.840 wants to be a
00:37:50.460 senator instead
00:37:51.520 of a
00:37:53.220 mere House
00:37:55.180 representative.
00:37:55.780 Newsom was
00:38:00.740 in the
00:38:01.100 situation, I
00:38:01.880 think, because
00:38:02.440 he said he
00:38:02.900 would appoint
00:38:04.180 a black
00:38:04.580 woman.
00:38:05.860 So he
00:38:06.220 did, but
00:38:07.720 that doesn't
00:38:08.180 mean that she
00:38:08.600 has the job,
00:38:09.460 you know, it's
00:38:09.800 still up for
00:38:10.240 election.
00:38:11.360 And I don't
00:38:12.580 even know if
00:38:13.100 the woman who's
00:38:13.840 in the job
00:38:14.760 right now,
00:38:15.160 whose name I
00:38:15.560 can't remember,
00:38:16.500 I don't know if
00:38:17.120 she's even
00:38:17.560 going to run.
00:38:19.420 Has she
00:38:19.760 announced she's
00:38:20.260 going to run?
00:38:20.640 Anyway, Schiff
00:38:23.420 would be running
00:38:24.000 against at least
00:38:24.980 two highly
00:38:26.920 qualified black
00:38:27.980 women.
00:38:29.760 Now, how
00:38:31.200 in the world
00:38:32.000 do Democrats
00:38:33.900 in California
00:38:34.900 elect a white
00:38:37.080 guy when
00:38:38.880 there are two
00:38:39.520 highly qualified
00:38:40.420 black women in
00:38:41.280 the race?
00:38:42.720 Like, how does
00:38:43.340 that fit with
00:38:44.080 the whole I'm
00:38:45.180 a Democrat
00:38:45.620 thing?
00:38:47.420 It feels like
00:38:47.980 that, and
00:38:48.800 apparently Schiff
00:38:50.000 actually came
00:38:50.740 out first in
00:38:51.920 some early
00:38:52.760 primary thing.
00:38:55.600 Doesn't look
00:38:56.360 like there's a
00:38:56.880 strong preference
00:38:57.760 for him.
00:39:01.060 Now, would
00:39:01.760 you say that
00:39:02.280 Adam Schiff
00:39:02.860 is the poor
00:39:03.680 man's Keith
00:39:04.420 Olbermann,
00:39:05.380 or not?
00:39:07.860 That's the
00:39:08.520 question I'm
00:39:08.960 asking you
00:39:09.380 today.
00:39:10.280 Is Adam
00:39:10.760 Schiff the
00:39:11.140 poor man's
00:39:11.660 Keith Olbermann?
00:39:13.400 Sort of.
00:39:14.640 Sort of.
00:39:16.320 Which would
00:39:17.060 make
00:39:17.440 Swalwell
00:39:20.200 the poor
00:39:20.940 man's
00:39:21.680 Schiff.
00:39:24.040 So, Swalwell
00:39:24.980 would be like
00:39:25.660 two levels
00:39:26.420 below Keith
00:39:27.020 Olbermann.
00:39:28.180 Under that
00:39:28.940 model.
00:39:30.200 Under that
00:39:30.620 model.
00:39:31.760 All right.
00:39:32.660 So, Adam
00:39:33.460 Schiff
00:39:33.780 posted today
00:39:35.400 on X
00:39:36.320 that Elon
00:39:37.340 Musk has
00:39:38.960 been amplifying
00:39:39.780 anti-Semitic
00:39:40.760 content.
00:39:41.260 Do you think
00:39:43.340 that's true?
00:39:43.800 literally the
00:39:47.500 opposite.
00:39:49.200 Now, but I
00:39:50.220 would say
00:39:50.540 this.
00:39:52.020 Isn't the
00:39:53.300 X platform
00:39:54.200 and isn't
00:39:55.040 all of
00:39:55.440 social media
00:39:56.220 a technology
00:39:58.300 which amplifies
00:39:59.400 all messages?
00:40:01.840 So, if one
00:40:03.000 person retweets
00:40:03.920 you, they've
00:40:05.760 amplified your
00:40:06.480 message.
00:40:08.100 So, is
00:40:09.320 X the only
00:40:10.140 place that
00:40:10.900 messages get
00:40:12.340 amplified?
00:40:13.680 Isn't that
00:40:14.180 what all
00:40:14.700 media does?
00:40:15.580 It's
00:40:15.760 amplification
00:40:16.480 of messages.
00:40:18.120 Aren't there
00:40:18.620 messages on
00:40:19.380 both sides of
00:40:20.020 every issue
00:40:20.560 on every
00:40:21.020 platform that
00:40:21.680 are getting
00:40:21.980 amplified?
00:40:23.000 This guy
00:40:23.620 has ways
00:40:24.600 of lying
00:40:25.320 that you
00:40:26.680 could write
00:40:27.020 books about.
00:40:28.460 All right.
00:40:28.780 So, here's
00:40:29.340 lie pattern
00:40:30.860 17 from
00:40:32.420 Adam Schiff.
00:40:33.780 Here's the
00:40:34.380 one where you
00:40:35.020 make a claim
00:40:35.800 about somebody
00:40:36.560 that the
00:40:37.960 reader would
00:40:38.460 not quickly
00:40:39.120 identify as
00:40:40.280 equally true
00:40:41.140 of every
00:40:42.020 single person
00:40:42.660 in the same
00:40:43.180 business because
00:40:43.900 it's all
00:40:44.300 legal and
00:40:44.760 appropriate because
00:40:46.360 it's a business
00:40:47.040 where you
00:40:47.440 amplify everybody's
00:40:49.320 opinion.
00:40:52.960 And then it
00:40:53.900 says he's
00:40:54.360 profiting from
00:40:55.160 misinformation.
00:40:57.700 All right.
00:40:59.080 What member of
00:41:00.040 the media does
00:41:01.440 not profit from
00:41:02.460 misinformation?
00:41:03.900 They all do.
00:41:05.760 They all profit
00:41:06.720 from it because
00:41:07.580 that's what gets
00:41:08.180 the clicks.
00:41:09.460 They get more
00:41:10.080 clicks from
00:41:10.580 misinformation than
00:41:11.580 information.
00:41:12.700 So, again,
00:41:13.320 he's using
00:41:13.840 pattern 17
00:41:14.880 of acting like
00:41:16.160 there's only
00:41:16.620 one person
00:41:17.140 who does it.
00:41:18.640 Now, everybody,
00:41:19.300 this is just
00:41:19.780 the universal
00:41:20.340 way everything
00:41:20.860 works.
00:41:22.440 And allowing
00:41:23.260 pro-Hamas
00:41:23.800 propaganda to
00:41:24.940 spread,
00:41:26.100 again,
00:41:27.540 what does
00:41:28.060 the regular
00:41:28.580 media do?
00:41:30.380 Does not
00:41:30.960 the regular
00:41:31.480 media also
00:41:32.460 interview people
00:41:33.420 who are on
00:41:34.460 both sides?
00:41:36.060 That's all
00:41:36.820 they do.
00:41:37.780 So, that's
00:41:38.160 lie pattern 17.
00:41:39.860 Pretend that
00:41:40.600 he's the only
00:41:41.300 one doing
00:41:41.760 this stuff.
00:41:45.260 And then
00:41:46.260 Schiff says
00:41:47.060 he's joined
00:41:47.800 Representative
00:41:48.380 Dan Goldman
00:41:49.140 and Representative
00:41:50.500 Raskin in
00:41:51.540 demanding
00:41:51.980 accountability
00:41:52.600 from X.
00:41:54.220 So, these
00:41:55.420 motherfuckers
00:41:56.480 actually want
00:41:57.280 to destroy
00:41:58.040 the only
00:41:59.260 remaining source
00:42:00.440 of free speech
00:42:01.500 in America.
00:42:03.800 Could they be
00:42:05.060 any worse
00:42:05.740 people to
00:42:06.760 channel
00:42:08.180 Chandler
00:42:09.180 Bain?
00:42:09.780 Could they
00:42:10.280 be any
00:42:11.720 worse for
00:42:12.300 America?
00:42:13.640 And the
00:42:14.460 amazing thing
00:42:15.040 is that they
00:42:15.460 do it right
00:42:15.880 in front of
00:42:16.340 you.
00:42:17.460 Right in
00:42:18.020 front of
00:42:18.360 you, they
00:42:18.760 tell you they
00:42:19.240 don't want
00:42:19.680 you to have
00:42:20.020 information that
00:42:20.820 is useful.
00:42:21.880 At the same
00:42:22.420 time, they're
00:42:22.840 doing this
00:42:23.420 media literacy
00:42:25.580 thing, which
00:42:26.220 is obviously
00:42:27.100 the opposite
00:42:27.680 of that.
00:42:28.260 It's to
00:42:28.660 teach people
00:42:29.160 to be stupid
00:42:29.780 and believe
00:42:30.300 what they're
00:42:30.620 told.
00:42:30.860 All right.
00:42:36.000 So, the
00:42:37.860 Pentagon, which
00:42:39.100 has failed
00:42:39.640 its sixth
00:42:40.240 consecutive
00:42:41.040 audit, as
00:42:42.320 others have
00:42:42.860 pointed out,
00:42:44.140 this week
00:42:44.880 they requested
00:42:45.480 an extra
00:42:46.120 $114 million
00:42:47.380 for DEI.
00:42:51.740 They've
00:42:52.460 asked for
00:42:53.360 $114 million
00:42:55.580 of your
00:42:56.560 taxpayer money
00:42:57.380 not to
00:42:58.620 defend the
00:42:59.100 country.
00:43:00.860 but to
00:43:01.560 make it
00:43:02.020 more
00:43:03.020 defenseless.
00:43:05.160 Because,
00:43:06.740 while I do
00:43:08.100 not say
00:43:08.660 that there's
00:43:10.740 one group
00:43:11.240 that's all
00:43:11.840 good and
00:43:12.320 other groups
00:43:12.840 are all
00:43:13.120 bad, I
00:43:13.880 don't say
00:43:14.180 that,
00:43:14.580 obviously,
00:43:16.340 isn't the
00:43:16.880 whole idea
00:43:17.420 of DEI
00:43:18.080 that you're
00:43:19.180 going to
00:43:19.400 give up
00:43:19.760 capability
00:43:20.420 to gain
00:43:21.200 equity?
00:43:23.460 Isn't that
00:43:24.120 the whole
00:43:24.420 concept?
00:43:25.700 I thought
00:43:26.180 the whole
00:43:26.480 concept was,
00:43:27.240 yeah, we're
00:43:28.600 going to try
00:43:29.020 a little less
00:43:29.680 hard to
00:43:30.600 look for
00:43:30.980 the very
00:43:31.340 best
00:43:31.680 person,
00:43:32.480 but as
00:43:33.200 long as
00:43:33.500 you're in
00:43:33.740 the general
00:43:34.120 ballpark,
00:43:35.780 we value
00:43:36.780 diversity.
00:43:40.020 You know,
00:43:40.640 you could
00:43:40.900 make an
00:43:41.280 argument for
00:43:41.880 that in
00:43:42.620 a private
00:43:43.020 company,
00:43:44.200 as in,
00:43:44.800 well, yes,
00:43:45.500 it may be
00:43:46.020 in some
00:43:46.480 cases it's
00:43:47.060 not that
00:43:47.460 good for
00:43:47.820 the shareholders,
00:43:48.960 but you
00:43:49.460 do live
00:43:49.840 in a
00:43:50.060 country that
00:43:50.780 is a
00:43:51.540 diverse
00:43:51.820 country,
00:43:52.440 and don't
00:43:52.740 you want
00:43:53.080 the businesses
00:43:53.700 to reflect
00:43:54.980 the diversity
00:43:55.680 of the
00:43:55.980 country?
00:43:56.280 to which
00:43:56.740 I say,
00:43:57.300 yes,
00:43:57.740 actually,
00:43:58.520 that's not
00:43:59.240 a bad
00:43:59.500 idea.
00:44:00.480 But you
00:44:01.160 do necessarily
00:44:02.640 by simply
00:44:04.280 trying harder
00:44:05.080 for diversity,
00:44:06.140 this has
00:44:06.620 nothing to
00:44:07.100 do with
00:44:07.360 the quality
00:44:07.880 of applicants
00:44:09.280 in any
00:44:09.820 group,
00:44:10.480 it's just
00:44:10.980 a restraint
00:44:12.080 you put
00:44:12.480 on your
00:44:12.940 employee hiring,
00:44:16.320 any kind
00:44:16.900 of restraint
00:44:17.500 is going
00:44:18.860 to give
00:44:19.080 you a
00:44:19.400 worse
00:44:19.640 outcome.
00:44:19.980 Now,
00:44:21.220 we can
00:44:21.580 accept that
00:44:22.140 a little
00:44:22.400 bit in
00:44:22.920 corporate
00:44:23.480 situations,
00:44:25.620 but do
00:44:26.680 you accept
00:44:27.040 that when
00:44:27.400 it comes
00:44:27.700 to the
00:44:27.940 military?
00:44:29.200 Let me
00:44:29.700 say it
00:44:30.040 again as
00:44:30.580 directly as
00:44:31.260 I can.
00:44:32.440 When it
00:44:33.080 comes to
00:44:33.540 self-defense,
00:44:34.920 whether it's
00:44:35.480 the military,
00:44:37.060 or whether
00:44:37.720 it's you
00:44:38.200 personally
00:44:38.680 defending
00:44:39.460 yourself,
00:44:40.100 or you
00:44:40.540 defending
00:44:40.900 your family,
00:44:42.480 you can
00:44:43.860 discriminate as
00:44:44.640 much as
00:44:45.000 you want,
00:44:45.520 and it's
00:44:45.760 completely
00:44:46.200 moral and
00:44:46.880 ethical.
00:44:48.140 You agree
00:44:48.580 with that,
00:44:48.920 right?
00:44:49.080 For self-defense,
00:44:51.040 and this is
00:44:51.500 a unique
00:44:52.140 category,
00:44:53.040 it's not
00:44:53.440 about business,
00:44:54.480 it's not
00:44:54.760 about personal
00:44:55.460 relationships,
00:44:56.560 it's not
00:44:56.960 who you
00:44:57.300 marry,
00:44:57.680 it's not
00:44:57.920 who you
00:44:58.160 rent to,
00:44:58.920 all those
00:44:59.300 things have
00:44:59.720 to be,
00:45:00.960 for society
00:45:01.760 to function,
00:45:02.580 those have
00:45:02.980 to be
00:45:03.240 really done
00:45:04.720 right,
00:45:05.260 right?
00:45:05.520 You can't
00:45:05.800 discriminate
00:45:06.220 in those
00:45:07.220 categories,
00:45:07.860 everything
00:45:08.100 just falls
00:45:08.640 apart.
00:45:09.880 But when
00:45:10.460 you talk
00:45:10.800 about defense,
00:45:12.380 you can
00:45:13.000 discriminate
00:45:13.440 as much
00:45:13.900 as you
00:45:14.160 want,
00:45:14.600 there's
00:45:14.780 nothing
00:45:14.980 wrong
00:45:15.180 with that.
00:45:16.300 The
00:45:16.660 reason the
00:45:17.100 military
00:45:17.460 doesn't
00:45:18.060 discriminate
00:45:18.560 against
00:45:19.260 black
00:45:20.100 people,
00:45:21.160 like I
00:45:21.780 guess at
00:45:22.120 some point
00:45:22.540 it did,
00:45:23.460 is because
00:45:23.980 it didn't
00:45:25.380 make a
00:45:25.940 difference.
00:45:27.600 So that
00:45:28.360 discrimination
00:45:28.900 wasn't
00:45:29.480 helping,
00:45:30.520 but it was
00:45:31.220 hurting
00:45:31.540 recruitment,
00:45:32.900 so you
00:45:33.320 get rid
00:45:33.600 of it.
00:45:34.440 That makes
00:45:34.840 sense.
00:45:36.740 But do we
00:45:37.500 keep any
00:45:38.000 discrimination
00:45:38.540 when it
00:45:39.080 comes to
00:45:39.380 the military?
00:45:40.280 Of course.
00:45:41.100 Of course we
00:45:42.620 do.
00:45:42.820 If you're
00:45:44.660 a certain
00:45:45.060 age,
00:45:46.060 you can't
00:45:46.560 join the
00:45:46.860 military.
00:45:47.800 Am I
00:45:48.100 wrong?
00:45:48.900 The
00:45:49.120 military is
00:45:49.880 ageist,
00:45:51.540 directly,
00:45:52.720 overtly,
00:45:53.780 without
00:45:54.860 an apology.
00:45:56.740 And does
00:45:57.100 anybody have
00:45:57.540 a problem
00:45:57.880 with that?
00:45:58.840 No.
00:45:59.640 Because that's
00:46:00.220 how you keep
00:46:00.660 the country
00:46:01.100 safe.
00:46:02.080 So that's
00:46:02.340 a very
00:46:02.760 clean
00:46:03.360 example,
00:46:04.740 ageism,
00:46:05.720 where the
00:46:06.480 military says,
00:46:07.320 yeah,
00:46:07.520 we're just
00:46:08.120 going to
00:46:08.400 fucking
00:46:08.620 discriminate
00:46:09.200 like crazy
00:46:09.960 about age.
00:46:11.580 And what
00:46:11.960 does the
00:46:12.280 public say?
00:46:13.160 Hey,
00:46:13.600 discriminating
00:46:14.300 against
00:46:14.820 say,
00:46:15.600 okay,
00:46:16.360 yeah,
00:46:16.600 that makes
00:46:16.900 sense.
00:46:18.260 Do they
00:46:18.620 do any
00:46:19.080 other
00:46:19.300 discrimination?
00:46:20.860 Does
00:46:21.120 the military
00:46:21.680 discriminate
00:46:22.600 against you
00:46:23.480 for height?
00:46:26.140 Absolutely.
00:46:27.860 Height,
00:46:28.760 weight,
00:46:30.120 your
00:46:30.720 ability,
00:46:32.280 if you
00:46:32.560 have a
00:46:32.820 disability
00:46:33.300 of some
00:46:33.740 sort,
00:46:34.980 total
00:46:35.800 discrimination.
00:46:37.460 If this
00:46:38.180 were a
00:46:38.540 corporation,
00:46:39.280 we'd say,
00:46:39.960 hey,
00:46:40.360 maybe put
00:46:40.980 in some
00:46:41.340 ramps.
00:46:42.820 But in
00:46:43.180 the military,
00:46:43.840 we say,
00:46:44.800 hey,
00:46:45.100 you're
00:46:45.300 discriminating
00:46:45.960 against the
00:46:46.680 differently
00:46:47.060 able,
00:46:48.200 oh,
00:46:48.800 yeah,
00:46:49.120 okay,
00:46:49.360 that makes
00:46:49.680 sense.
00:46:51.700 Wherever
00:46:52.260 you see
00:46:53.060 defense is
00:46:54.480 the issue,
00:46:55.200 either personal
00:46:55.940 or national,
00:46:57.700 discrimination
00:46:58.180 is absolutely
00:46:59.620 allowed.
00:47:01.720 Now,
00:47:02.040 it might be
00:47:02.860 illegal,
00:47:03.640 so that we
00:47:04.660 make the
00:47:05.100 laws ourselves,
00:47:06.140 but in
00:47:06.540 terms of
00:47:06.860 what makes
00:47:07.280 sense,
00:47:07.980 what makes
00:47:08.620 you a good
00:47:09.100 person or
00:47:09.760 a bad
00:47:10.100 person,
00:47:11.220 what is
00:47:11.980 ethical,
00:47:12.700 what is
00:47:12.980 moral,
00:47:14.200 in defense,
00:47:15.780 you can
00:47:16.120 discriminate as
00:47:16.780 much as
00:47:17.120 you want.
00:47:18.360 And that
00:47:18.620 is not
00:47:18.960 unethical,
00:47:20.340 it is not
00:47:20.880 immoral,
00:47:21.640 it is
00:47:22.020 simply
00:47:22.360 smart.
00:47:24.300 Right?
00:47:26.760 And that
00:47:27.420 works in
00:47:27.800 every possible
00:47:28.980 way.
00:47:31.440 So,
00:47:32.540 all right.
00:47:35.220 yeah,
00:47:38.380 so the
00:47:38.700 Pentagon's
00:47:39.180 ridiculous.
00:47:40.980 So,
00:47:41.400 Sam
00:47:41.660 Altman is
00:47:42.200 returning to
00:47:42.800 open AI.
00:47:44.080 So,
00:47:44.580 the drama
00:47:45.000 about open
00:47:45.600 AI,
00:47:46.340 it went
00:47:46.720 full circle,
00:47:47.860 I guess
00:47:48.420 the most
00:47:49.540 of,
00:47:49.960 except for
00:47:50.300 one person
00:47:50.820 on the
00:47:51.080 board,
00:47:51.900 is fired,
00:47:53.240 Sam
00:47:53.480 Altman is
00:47:53.940 back,
00:47:54.900 Microsoft
00:47:55.260 is happy,
00:47:56.020 and
00:47:57.220 Ilya,
00:48:00.840 the guy
00:48:01.140 who's the
00:48:01.680 genius of
00:48:02.400 it all,
00:48:02.780 seems to
00:48:03.140 be happy
00:48:03.620 and he'll
00:48:04.140 work at
00:48:04.700 open AI.
00:48:07.140 What's
00:48:07.580 his last
00:48:07.920 name?
00:48:08.820 Ilya
00:48:09.220 Kutsever?
00:48:14.200 Give me
00:48:14.780 his last
00:48:15.220 name so I
00:48:15.780 can say
00:48:16.120 right,
00:48:16.580 because I
00:48:16.820 have something
00:48:17.180 to say
00:48:17.540 about him.
00:48:18.800 No,
00:48:19.060 you're saying,
00:48:19.800 no,
00:48:20.200 not man
00:48:20.640 from uncle
00:48:21.080 name,
00:48:21.440 he's not
00:48:21.720 Ilya
00:48:22.020 Kuryakin,
00:48:23.100 but that
00:48:23.380 was a
00:48:23.640 good guess.
00:48:26.020 All right,
00:48:27.780 well,
00:48:27.920 you're not
00:48:28.160 going to
00:48:28.320 tell me
00:48:28.540 his name?
00:48:29.820 All right,
00:48:30.000 somebody tell
00:48:30.460 me,
00:48:30.880 because it's
00:48:32.280 not Kuryakin.
00:48:33.360 Come on,
00:48:35.300 Sutskiver.
00:48:37.080 Thank you.
00:48:38.180 Ilya Sutskiver.
00:48:40.300 I think
00:48:40.640 that's close.
00:48:41.960 Sutskiver.
00:48:43.560 Now,
00:48:44.160 if you've
00:48:44.640 seen him
00:48:45.220 on interviews
00:48:47.740 and I've
00:48:48.220 watched,
00:48:49.040 there's some
00:48:49.660 things we
00:48:50.100 can say
00:48:50.460 about him.
00:48:51.960 Number
00:48:52.280 one,
00:48:53.520 he's a
00:48:53.840 naturally
00:48:54.160 good-looking
00:48:54.660 guy.
00:48:56.740 He's a
00:48:57.260 pretty good-looking
00:48:57.780 guy.
00:48:58.860 And secondly,
00:48:59.960 he seems to
00:49:00.440 be about
00:49:00.800 one of the
00:49:01.520 smartest people
00:49:02.180 in the world.
00:49:03.820 That's kind
00:49:04.440 of cool.
00:49:05.420 He's probably
00:49:06.400 already nearly
00:49:08.780 a billionaire
00:49:09.320 if he has
00:49:11.400 shares of
00:49:12.760 open AI.
00:49:15.100 I think he's
00:49:15.580 probably a
00:49:15.980 billionaire,
00:49:16.440 right?
00:49:17.220 Depending how
00:49:17.820 much he
00:49:18.120 has.
00:49:19.300 So he's a
00:49:19.860 good-looking
00:49:20.240 guy.
00:49:21.920 He's got
00:49:22.760 he's
00:49:26.740 probably a
00:49:27.520 billionaire
00:49:27.780 and one
00:49:28.920 of the
00:49:29.080 smartest
00:49:29.360 people
00:49:29.840 ever.
00:49:33.560 And he
00:49:34.180 can't build
00:49:34.920 an AI
00:49:37.660 that will
00:49:38.140 tell him
00:49:38.460 to get a
00:49:38.800 haircut.
00:49:39.040 Have you
00:49:40.780 seen his
00:49:41.260 hair?
00:49:42.660 Now,
00:49:43.040 I'm going
00:49:43.440 to do
00:49:43.840 something that
00:49:46.220 will seem
00:49:46.600 cruel,
00:49:47.000 but this,
00:49:49.260 ladies and
00:49:49.660 gentlemen,
00:49:50.100 is tough
00:49:50.560 love.
00:49:52.000 So Ilya,
00:49:52.680 I tell you
00:49:53.260 this with
00:49:53.760 love because
00:49:55.080 I'm one
00:49:56.000 of you.
00:49:56.960 I'm one
00:49:57.400 of you.
00:49:58.600 Look at
00:49:59.180 me,
00:49:59.760 Ilya.
00:50:01.060 I'm one
00:50:01.700 of you.
00:50:03.860 Let me
00:50:04.480 tell you the
00:50:05.040 best advice I
00:50:05.920 once got at
00:50:06.800 a barber
00:50:07.280 shop.
00:50:08.580 So I
00:50:08.980 always get
00:50:09.480 my hair
00:50:09.820 cut at
00:50:10.080 the same
00:50:10.340 place.
00:50:11.320 And the
00:50:11.720 owner has
00:50:12.660 a whole
00:50:13.060 bunch of
00:50:13.520 hair cutters
00:50:14.260 and you
00:50:14.640 just go in
00:50:15.200 whichever one's
00:50:15.940 available.
00:50:16.300 You sit
00:50:16.940 in the
00:50:17.140 chair.
00:50:18.040 And I
00:50:18.380 never really
00:50:19.000 talked to
00:50:19.400 the owner,
00:50:21.260 but a
00:50:21.920 number of
00:50:22.220 years ago,
00:50:23.000 I was in
00:50:23.520 there and
00:50:24.020 the hair
00:50:25.060 cutter said,
00:50:26.440 you know,
00:50:26.900 how do you
00:50:27.360 like your
00:50:27.680 hair?
00:50:27.960 And I
00:50:28.160 said,
00:50:28.400 give me a
00:50:28.940 number two.
00:50:30.220 You know,
00:50:30.400 that's a
00:50:30.960 certain height
00:50:31.520 of the hair
00:50:32.080 that's remaining
00:50:32.700 is number two.
00:50:33.740 Give me a
00:50:34.100 number two.
00:50:35.060 And I
00:50:35.420 remember that
00:50:35.880 the owner
00:50:36.520 of the
00:50:37.400 place,
00:50:40.880 oh,
00:50:41.100 I think one
00:50:41.540 day he
00:50:41.960 cut my hair.
00:50:43.180 I think it
00:50:43.420 was the first
00:50:44.000 day that he
00:50:44.520 cut my hair
00:50:45.080 because he's
00:50:45.680 just one of
00:50:46.080 the cutters
00:50:46.440 as well.
00:50:47.460 And I
00:50:48.020 said,
00:50:48.280 number two
00:50:48.680 all over.
00:50:49.920 And he
00:50:50.480 said to
00:50:50.860 me,
00:50:51.300 it's time
00:50:53.200 for number
00:50:53.640 one.
00:50:55.160 I said,
00:50:56.000 what?
00:50:57.060 He goes,
00:50:57.460 yeah,
00:50:58.200 trust me.
00:50:59.260 It's time
00:50:59.940 for number
00:51:00.360 one.
00:51:02.500 So I
00:51:03.100 said,
00:51:03.360 yes,
00:51:03.600 to number
00:51:03.920 one.
00:51:04.440 Now,
00:51:04.700 it's grown
00:51:05.280 out.
00:51:05.680 You can
00:51:05.940 tell I
00:51:06.200 need a
00:51:06.420 haircut.
00:51:07.160 It's too
00:51:07.640 long now.
00:51:08.160 So now
00:51:09.900 I'm a
00:51:10.480 hypocrite.
00:51:11.700 But I
00:51:12.260 know it.
00:51:12.960 So if
00:51:13.240 you know
00:51:13.520 it,
00:51:13.720 that's not
00:51:14.040 as bad.
00:51:15.560 And so
00:51:15.820 I say,
00:51:16.260 Ilya,
00:51:16.900 you really
00:51:17.720 have everything
00:51:18.380 going for
00:51:18.960 you.
00:51:20.460 You're
00:51:20.940 at the
00:51:21.180 hottest
00:51:21.460 company,
00:51:22.040 you're
00:51:22.220 the smartest
00:51:22.720 guy,
00:51:23.520 good-looking
00:51:24.020 guy.
00:51:25.940 Shave
00:51:26.280 your head.
00:51:28.160 And let
00:51:28.620 me do a
00:51:29.020 joke that
00:51:29.680 Jerry
00:51:31.500 Seinfeld
00:51:32.020 did.
00:51:33.200 He used
00:51:33.740 to have a
00:51:34.060 routine where
00:51:34.580 you talk
00:51:34.980 about China,
00:51:36.060 and they
00:51:37.080 had chopsticks
00:51:37.660 but they
00:51:38.760 didn't have
00:51:39.160 spoons.
00:51:41.480 And he
00:51:42.060 would laugh
00:51:42.680 at China
00:51:43.020 and say,
00:51:44.200 you had
00:51:44.700 chopsticks.
00:51:45.980 You
00:51:46.340 couldn't
00:51:46.600 invent the
00:51:47.160 spoon.
00:51:47.960 And then
00:51:48.280 the punchline
00:51:49.020 is he
00:51:49.740 goes,
00:51:50.780 you've
00:51:51.440 seen
00:51:51.720 shovels.
00:51:53.500 And I
00:51:54.660 laugh every
00:51:55.220 time I
00:51:55.540 hear that.
00:51:56.160 You've
00:51:56.480 seen
00:51:56.700 shovels.
00:51:57.920 And you
00:51:58.260 couldn't
00:51:58.520 invent the
00:51:59.040 spoon.
00:52:02.660 To which
00:52:03.460 I say,
00:52:04.720 Ilya,
00:52:06.060 you just
00:52:07.140 spent the
00:52:07.600 whole week
00:52:08.180 dealing with
00:52:09.740 the head
00:52:10.620 of Microsoft
00:52:11.520 Satya.
00:52:13.860 Come on.
00:52:16.200 Satya
00:52:16.760 figured it
00:52:17.260 out.
00:52:17.580 He's a
00:52:18.100 shaved head
00:52:18.520 guy.
00:52:20.740 Jeff
00:52:21.280 Bezos?
00:52:22.840 Anybody?
00:52:23.680 Jeff Bezos?
00:52:25.060 You got
00:52:25.340 to figure it
00:52:25.780 out.
00:52:26.840 Shave that
00:52:27.240 shit.
00:52:28.120 Yeah,
00:52:28.420 shave that
00:52:28.760 right off.
00:52:29.960 What does
00:52:30.500 Jeff Bezos
00:52:31.160 look like
00:52:31.700 now?
00:52:32.420 Stud.
00:52:33.800 Total
00:52:34.160 stud.
00:52:34.700 He's
00:52:34.900 jacked.
00:52:35.400 Shaved
00:52:35.840 his head.
00:52:36.900 Total
00:52:37.120 makeover.
00:52:38.720 Dana
00:52:38.960 White.
00:52:39.380 How about
00:52:40.320 Dana White
00:52:41.020 of the
00:52:41.580 UFC?
00:52:44.920 Imagine if
00:52:45.620 he had
00:52:45.980 the pointy
00:52:46.620 hair,
00:52:46.840 boss
00:52:47.100 hair,
00:52:48.340 instead of
00:52:48.920 that cool
00:52:49.460 shaved
00:52:49.800 head.
00:52:51.440 Shaved
00:52:51.700 his head.
00:52:52.080 Looks
00:52:52.280 great.
00:52:53.360 Looks
00:52:53.620 great.
00:52:55.000 So I
00:52:55.760 guess I
00:52:56.020 don't care
00:52:56.340 too much
00:52:56.700 about the
00:52:57.080 whole
00:52:57.400 open AI
00:52:59.240 saga,
00:52:59.920 because all
00:53:00.200 it did
00:53:00.520 was sort
00:53:01.240 of return
00:53:01.660 it back
00:53:02.000 to what
00:53:02.260 it was.
00:53:03.420 Well,
00:53:03.600 Ilya,
00:53:04.860 you've
00:53:06.320 really got
00:53:06.740 a lot
00:53:06.960 going on
00:53:07.420 there.
00:53:08.060 Shave
00:53:08.260 that shit
00:53:08.600 off.
00:53:09.420 That's
00:53:09.620 all I'm
00:53:09.840 saying.
00:53:11.760 How odd
00:53:12.480 is it,
00:53:12.840 and I
00:53:13.060 didn't
00:53:13.200 make this
00:53:13.640 up,
00:53:15.920 this
00:53:16.940 observation
00:53:17.720 came from
00:53:18.540 Raul
00:53:19.060 Davis,
00:53:20.220 who's a
00:53:20.560 great
00:53:20.840 follow on
00:53:21.680 the
00:53:22.920 X
00:53:23.100 platform.
00:53:24.340 He
00:53:24.560 said,
00:53:24.880 what are
00:53:25.100 the odds
00:53:25.840 that the
00:53:26.840 guy who's
00:53:27.340 in charge
00:53:28.000 of making
00:53:29.780 a new
00:53:31.420 entity,
00:53:33.260 AI,
00:53:34.100 or AGI
00:53:34.840 will be
00:53:35.300 like a
00:53:35.660 new
00:53:35.880 intelligence,
00:53:37.320 what would
00:53:37.760 be the
00:53:38.040 odds that
00:53:38.400 his last
00:53:38.940 name would
00:53:39.380 be Alt
00:53:40.140 Man?
00:53:44.000 Literally
00:53:44.520 an alternative
00:53:45.480 to a
00:53:46.860 man.
00:53:48.900 And his
00:53:49.920 job is
00:53:50.360 building an
00:53:50.900 alternative to
00:53:51.860 people.
00:53:54.740 And he's
00:53:55.540 apparently done
00:53:56.160 it, or
00:53:56.680 it's close
00:53:57.360 to it.
00:53:58.660 Really?
00:53:59.820 I mean,
00:54:00.140 what are the
00:54:00.420 odds of
00:54:00.760 that?
00:54:01.520 Come on.
00:54:02.460 Come on.
00:54:04.980 Yeah.
00:54:05.560 Sam Bankman
00:54:06.320 freed,
00:54:06.780 same situation.
00:54:08.140 Well,
00:54:08.340 Israel allegedly
00:54:09.340 is close to
00:54:10.100 a hostage
00:54:10.480 deal.
00:54:11.100 They'll
00:54:11.260 give 50
00:54:12.980 of Hamas'
00:54:14.120 prisoners,
00:54:16.140 and they'll
00:54:16.460 give back
00:54:16.900 150 of
00:54:18.000 Hamas-type
00:54:18.800 people that
00:54:19.340 they have
00:54:19.600 in jails.
00:54:20.900 There'll
00:54:21.180 be a
00:54:21.420 four-day
00:54:21.840 lull
00:54:22.240 in fighting.
00:54:22.880 They don't
00:54:23.120 call it a
00:54:23.520 ceasefire.
00:54:24.120 They call
00:54:24.400 it a
00:54:24.660 lull.
00:54:26.020 And I
00:54:26.820 guess,
00:54:26.980 the news
00:54:28.660 is saying
00:54:29.700 that Biden
00:54:30.120 was quite
00:54:30.720 involved in
00:54:31.920 this.
00:54:34.140 Do we
00:54:34.760 give Biden
00:54:35.220 the win?
00:54:36.680 Because it
00:54:37.300 does look like
00:54:38.000 Biden may
00:54:38.640 have been
00:54:39.140 quite instrumental
00:54:40.740 in getting
00:54:41.180 this done.
00:54:42.440 No.
00:54:43.640 No.
00:54:44.560 You're not
00:54:44.900 going to give
00:54:45.240 Biden any
00:54:47.300 credit at
00:54:47.840 all for
00:54:49.300 getting 50
00:54:50.060 people released?
00:54:51.780 What's your
00:54:52.340 argument for
00:54:52.840 that?
00:54:55.100 Is your
00:54:55.700 argument that
00:54:56.220 he probably
00:54:56.560 didn't have
00:54:57.020 any effect?
00:54:58.800 That would
00:54:59.260 be a pretty
00:54:59.600 good argument.
00:55:00.700 But the
00:55:01.060 news is
00:55:01.440 saying he
00:55:01.980 was quite
00:55:02.980 involved.
00:55:03.720 That's why
00:55:04.060 he went
00:55:04.440 there to
00:55:05.580 Israel.
00:55:06.460 He's been
00:55:07.060 on the
00:55:07.360 phone.
00:55:08.740 Maybe.
00:55:11.580 I don't
00:55:12.060 think it's
00:55:13.300 fair to
00:55:14.940 have a
00:55:15.280 knee-jerk
00:55:15.860 reaction that
00:55:16.620 everything Biden
00:55:17.380 did was
00:55:17.840 wrong.
00:55:18.160 I mean,
00:55:20.420 he's struggling.
00:55:22.220 It can't be
00:55:22.960 true that
00:55:23.260 everything he
00:55:23.820 does is
00:55:24.160 wrong.
00:55:26.000 You know,
00:55:26.340 it's entirely
00:55:26.860 possible that
00:55:27.620 this was
00:55:28.000 about human
00:55:29.360 lives, and
00:55:30.920 he wanted to
00:55:31.680 save some
00:55:32.280 Americans, and
00:55:33.140 he put some
00:55:33.820 elbow into
00:55:35.980 it, and
00:55:36.400 maybe he
00:55:36.720 did.
00:55:37.680 Maybe he
00:55:38.160 saved some
00:55:38.580 Americans.
00:55:39.680 I'm going
00:55:40.200 to tentatively
00:55:40.720 give him the
00:55:41.300 win on this.
00:55:44.000 Maybe it
00:55:44.560 could have
00:55:44.760 been better,
00:55:45.440 maybe we
00:55:45.820 didn't get
00:55:46.140 any Americans,
00:55:46.860 I don't
00:55:47.040 know.
00:55:47.620 I'm not
00:55:47.980 sure who
00:55:48.260 was in
00:55:48.500 the 50.
00:55:49.300 But if
00:55:49.760 we got
00:55:50.160 any Americans
00:55:51.020 back, I
00:55:54.000 don't know.
00:55:54.400 I'm not
00:55:54.640 going to
00:55:55.200 criticize them
00:55:55.800 for it.
00:55:58.780 And then I
00:55:59.480 guess the
00:55:59.800 deal says
00:56:00.520 that there
00:56:00.840 would be
00:56:01.220 another day
00:56:02.940 of lull
00:56:03.500 for every
00:56:04.000 10 people
00:56:05.120 that they
00:56:05.500 give back
00:56:05.920 beyond that,
00:56:07.040 but nobody
00:56:07.560 expects that
00:56:08.140 to happen.
00:56:09.740 So here's
00:56:10.900 what I
00:56:11.200 think.
00:56:13.560 How in
00:56:14.160 the world,
00:56:17.220 what is a
00:56:17.940 Moss thinking?
00:56:20.260 Is Moss
00:56:21.180 thinking that
00:56:21.780 somehow they're
00:56:22.300 going to
00:56:22.540 survive this?
00:56:24.520 I don't
00:56:25.160 know.
00:56:26.120 I would be
00:56:27.020 worried that
00:56:27.580 there's another
00:56:28.120 trick coming.
00:56:30.260 So I'm kind
00:56:31.420 of worried that
00:56:32.060 this won't come
00:56:33.260 off smoothly,
00:56:34.660 but we'll see.
00:56:35.920 Yes, my prediction
00:56:37.080 would be wrong.
00:56:38.320 Exactly.
00:56:39.600 My prediction is
00:56:40.640 that the deal
00:56:41.140 wouldn't happen.
00:56:42.500 But remember,
00:56:42.960 the deal hasn't
00:56:43.640 happened, but it
00:56:45.480 does look like the
00:56:46.220 prediction will be
00:56:46.800 wrong if they
00:56:47.740 pull it off.
00:56:50.580 Now, the way
00:56:51.580 that this would
00:56:52.080 make sense,
00:56:53.820 the only way I
00:56:54.680 can say, is
00:56:55.260 that both sides
00:56:56.220 thought they had
00:56:56.840 an advantage.
00:56:58.140 And that's the
00:56:58.680 part I didn't
00:56:59.220 predict.
00:57:00.180 I did not
00:57:00.780 predict that both
00:57:01.600 sides would think
00:57:02.320 they had an
00:57:02.760 advantage in
00:57:03.340 making a deal.
00:57:04.360 But I think the
00:57:05.100 Israelis are
00:57:06.300 going to get a
00:57:06.920 public relations
00:57:07.800 advantage,
00:57:09.340 because if they
00:57:09.980 had just gone in
00:57:12.240 there and all the
00:57:12.800 hostages died,
00:57:13.780 they'd never be
00:57:14.280 able to explain
00:57:14.900 it.
00:57:15.540 So if you can
00:57:16.480 get a big chunk
00:57:17.280 of them out,
00:57:18.920 you'll always have
00:57:19.960 that on your
00:57:20.500 permanent record,
00:57:21.660 that you did not
00:57:22.460 just go in and
00:57:23.760 destroy everything
00:57:24.560 just because you
00:57:25.220 could, that you
00:57:26.240 used judgment,
00:57:27.760 used some wisdom
00:57:28.640 to manage the
00:57:30.080 situation the best
00:57:30.960 you could,
00:57:31.500 et cetera.
00:57:32.300 So I think that
00:57:33.040 Israel will get a
00:57:34.180 huge public
00:57:37.620 relations benefit
00:57:38.620 from it.
00:57:39.100 I think Hamas
00:57:41.680 thinks that
00:57:42.440 they'll use that
00:57:43.060 time to maybe
00:57:43.900 consolidate or
00:57:44.900 give some kind
00:57:45.460 of advantage or
00:57:46.180 something.
00:57:47.200 But I think that
00:57:47.980 Israel will get a
00:57:48.940 bigger advantage
00:57:50.120 from simply being
00:57:51.380 able to watch
00:57:52.080 activity once they
00:57:54.280 think they can
00:57:54.860 move freely,
00:57:56.240 because they think
00:57:56.980 they're going to
00:57:57.340 tell which tunnels
00:57:58.100 people came out
00:57:59.040 of and where
00:58:00.400 there's more
00:58:00.900 activity than
00:58:01.540 there should be.
00:58:02.100 even if you're
00:58:03.920 Israel,
00:58:06.220 wouldn't the
00:58:06.600 first thing you'd
00:58:07.300 like to know
00:58:07.960 is where are
00:58:09.960 those hostages
00:58:11.060 coming out of?
00:58:12.100 What holes are
00:58:12.740 they coming out
00:58:13.320 of, if you can
00:58:13.860 find that out?
00:58:15.180 Because wherever
00:58:16.100 they're coming from
00:58:17.000 is the first place
00:58:18.560 you should go in
00:58:19.320 and see if there
00:58:19.860 are any more,
00:58:21.840 or at least
00:58:23.440 capture the people
00:58:24.360 who are involved
00:58:25.040 with releasing
00:58:26.040 the first 50,
00:58:27.560 because whoever
00:58:28.180 was involved in
00:58:29.060 getting the first
00:58:29.700 50 probably knows
00:58:31.700 where some others
00:58:32.400 are, because
00:58:33.660 that would be
00:58:34.040 sort of part of
00:58:34.680 the process of
00:58:35.380 figuring out
00:58:35.920 which 50.
00:58:37.720 So it does give
00:58:39.180 Israel an advantage,
00:58:42.100 especially if they
00:58:42.900 have any signal
00:58:43.860 intelligence and
00:58:44.800 they're listening in
00:58:45.560 on any phone calls
00:58:46.480 or anything,
00:58:47.420 because the,
00:58:48.460 oh, I just
00:58:49.580 fucking figured it
00:58:50.500 out.
00:58:52.300 Did you just
00:58:53.140 figure out the
00:58:53.760 play?
00:58:55.000 As I was talking
00:58:55.980 I figured it out.
00:58:57.900 Yeah.
00:58:58.260 There's no way
00:58:58.880 Hamas could
00:58:59.700 coordinate getting
00:59:01.320 all the people
00:59:02.560 back without
00:59:03.680 some signal
00:59:04.440 intelligence.
00:59:05.340 In other words,
00:59:06.160 they're going to
00:59:06.540 be on a cell
00:59:07.120 phone somewhere.
00:59:09.560 Somebody's going
00:59:10.180 to be talking
00:59:10.660 to somebody else
00:59:11.400 remotely,
00:59:12.880 or even if
00:59:13.940 they're doing it
00:59:14.440 without signals,
00:59:16.080 they could be
00:59:16.800 sending couriers
00:59:18.380 back and forth.
00:59:20.180 Israel's going
00:59:20.900 to watch where
00:59:21.480 the activity is
00:59:23.740 to figure out
00:59:24.900 where the other
00:59:25.360 hostages are.
00:59:27.920 Yeah, Israel's
00:59:28.740 going to use this
00:59:29.320 to figure out
00:59:29.820 where the tunnels
00:59:30.520 are and where
00:59:32.260 the concentrations
00:59:33.120 of Hamas are
00:59:34.160 and also where
00:59:35.360 the other
00:59:36.040 hostages are.
00:59:38.000 And then they'll
00:59:38.460 talk to the 50
00:59:39.380 and the 50
00:59:40.920 will probably
00:59:41.460 give them
00:59:41.960 intelligence about
00:59:42.980 who else might
00:59:43.720 be where.
00:59:46.000 Oh, this is
00:59:46.540 actually very smart.
00:59:47.800 The more I think
00:59:48.480 about it, the smarter
00:59:49.540 this sounds for
00:59:50.380 Israel, because
00:59:52.240 they're going to
00:59:52.700 learn so much
00:59:53.620 in this process
00:59:54.560 and they've
00:59:56.480 said directly
00:59:57.080 this has nothing
00:59:58.740 to do with
00:59:59.300 whether we're
00:59:59.760 going to kill
01:00:00.140 everybody in
01:00:00.660 Hamas.
01:00:01.500 Oh, we're
01:00:02.040 totally going to
01:00:02.560 kill everybody
01:00:03.100 in Hamas.
01:00:05.600 Yeah, you know,
01:00:06.580 I'm liking this
01:00:07.360 deal a little bit
01:00:07.960 more.
01:00:09.700 So, in my
01:00:11.760 opinion, Hamas
01:00:13.480 would be the
01:00:14.020 ones who would
01:00:14.700 be crazy to
01:00:15.540 take it, even
01:00:16.260 though they're
01:00:16.580 getting 150
01:00:17.460 other people out.
01:00:18.140 See, the
01:00:19.140 problem with
01:00:19.680 this whole
01:00:20.100 battle is
01:00:20.980 that the
01:00:25.340 two sides
01:00:26.060 are really
01:00:26.640 different kinds
01:00:27.400 of armies
01:00:28.100 because Israel's
01:00:30.320 incentive is
01:00:32.320 to kill the
01:00:33.260 fewest number
01:00:34.120 of, you
01:00:35.800 know, non-combatants
01:00:36.740 as possible.
01:00:37.740 And also,
01:00:38.800 Israel is trying
01:00:39.540 to protect the
01:00:41.180 maximum amount
01:00:41.940 of life
01:00:42.360 combatants and
01:00:43.420 non-combatants.
01:00:44.420 So, Israel is
01:00:45.180 fighting a battle
01:00:45.880 of protecting
01:00:46.740 lives and
01:00:48.080 avoiding killing
01:00:48.980 the wrong
01:00:50.000 people.
01:00:51.400 Hamas is
01:00:52.060 running a
01:00:52.800 battle where
01:00:53.280 they can win
01:00:53.820 both ways.
01:00:55.120 They can win
01:00:55.740 by being
01:00:56.220 slaughtered
01:00:57.440 because they
01:00:58.440 get the
01:00:58.860 publicity win,
01:00:59.920 which they
01:01:00.280 think would
01:01:00.840 translate into
01:01:02.280 even more
01:01:02.900 pressure on
01:01:03.560 Israel in the
01:01:04.080 long run.
01:01:04.880 So, that would
01:01:05.280 be a win.
01:01:06.100 They could also
01:01:06.760 win by killing
01:01:08.320 lots of Israelis
01:01:09.120 and making it
01:01:10.260 a less
01:01:10.600 hospitable
01:01:11.160 place to live.
01:01:13.060 So, Hamas
01:01:13.880 can win by
01:01:14.520 dying and they
01:01:16.120 can win by
01:01:16.600 killing you.
01:01:17.140 They have a
01:01:18.380 weird business
01:01:18.980 model.
01:01:20.900 So, under
01:01:21.620 those conditions,
01:01:23.500 what responsibility
01:01:25.160 does Israel
01:01:25.980 have to not
01:01:27.740 kill people
01:01:28.340 in Hamas?
01:01:31.420 It seems to
01:01:32.520 me if Hamas'
01:01:33.760 strategy is
01:01:34.620 maximum death
01:01:35.480 of their own
01:01:36.060 people, and
01:01:38.260 that happens,
01:01:39.120 it means Hamas
01:01:40.060 got the strategy
01:01:41.280 they wanted.
01:01:41.800 So, I think
01:01:44.040 Israel is
01:01:44.540 getting way
01:01:45.040 too much
01:01:45.440 pressure for
01:01:46.960 not doing
01:01:47.820 enough to
01:01:48.320 protect these
01:01:49.100 citizens, when
01:01:50.700 it's the actual
01:01:52.260 strategy of
01:01:53.320 Hamas for
01:01:53.940 their own
01:01:54.280 citizens to
01:01:54.980 die in large
01:01:55.580 numbers.
01:01:56.960 So, if the
01:01:57.880 other side
01:01:58.280 wants to
01:01:58.960 die, even
01:02:00.880 more than
01:02:01.320 you want to
01:02:01.900 keep them
01:02:02.380 alive, the
01:02:04.020 people who
01:02:04.460 want their
01:02:04.800 own side to
01:02:05.500 die is
01:02:05.960 always going
01:02:06.380 to win.
01:02:06.720 Israel can't
01:02:08.640 control how
01:02:09.860 much the
01:02:10.280 other team
01:02:10.740 wants to
01:02:11.280 die.
01:02:12.640 They don't
01:02:13.080 have any
01:02:13.440 control over
01:02:13.980 that.
01:02:14.540 If they
01:02:14.880 really, really
01:02:15.520 want to die
01:02:16.140 really badly,
01:02:17.800 not much you
01:02:18.500 can do about
01:02:19.000 that.
01:02:19.940 So, there's
01:02:20.760 no doubt
01:02:21.140 about what's
01:02:21.580 going to
01:02:21.760 happen.
01:02:22.280 There will
01:02:22.500 be what
01:02:23.540 looks to
01:02:24.140 us like
01:02:25.520 unacceptable
01:02:26.420 non-combatant
01:02:28.760 deaths, but
01:02:30.220 there wasn't
01:02:30.640 any choice.
01:02:32.340 So, you
01:02:33.060 can say it's
01:02:33.560 unacceptable, but
01:02:34.580 compared to
01:02:35.600 what?
01:02:36.720 Compared to
01:02:37.540 what?
01:02:39.520 And I
01:02:40.080 guess now
01:02:41.120 some member
01:02:42.340 of the
01:02:42.780 government
01:02:43.540 there, see
01:02:44.620 who was it,
01:02:45.080 Israel's
01:02:45.560 intelligence
01:02:46.020 minister, has
01:02:47.720 said out
01:02:48.320 loud that,
01:02:49.960 well, you
01:02:51.140 know, maybe
01:02:51.460 another option,
01:02:53.860 another option,
01:02:55.380 just putting
01:02:55.960 that out
01:02:56.420 there, oh,
01:02:57.500 well, we're
01:02:57.880 just spitballing,
01:02:59.280 another option
01:03:00.240 for Gaza,
01:03:01.540 just one other
01:03:02.380 thing to think
01:03:03.040 about, put
01:03:04.020 this on the
01:03:04.560 list of things
01:03:05.120 we should
01:03:05.440 consider.
01:03:06.720 would be to
01:03:07.940 promote the
01:03:08.900 voluntary
01:03:09.440 resettlement
01:03:10.160 of Gaza
01:03:10.860 Palestinians
01:03:11.640 for humanitarian
01:03:13.280 reasons
01:03:14.280 outside the
01:03:16.040 strip,
01:03:17.160 to depopulate
01:03:19.600 it.
01:03:21.760 Now,
01:03:23.600 this has
01:03:24.340 always been
01:03:24.820 the cats
01:03:25.240 on the roof
01:03:25.700 situation.
01:03:27.280 There was
01:03:27.740 no other
01:03:29.140 option.
01:03:30.900 Israel, from
01:03:31.800 the beginning,
01:03:32.460 had to
01:03:32.920 depopulate
01:03:33.720 Gaza,
01:03:34.860 because they
01:03:36.360 said very
01:03:36.960 clearly, we're
01:03:37.780 going to
01:03:37.960 change the
01:03:38.380 reality there
01:03:38.960 for 50
01:03:39.480 years.
01:03:40.720 Two
01:03:40.960 generations.
01:03:42.380 Two
01:03:42.640 generations is
01:03:43.600 exactly what
01:03:44.260 you need to
01:03:45.000 brainwash a
01:03:47.320 population back
01:03:48.280 to some kind
01:03:49.520 of compliance.
01:03:51.340 Here's why you
01:03:52.040 need two
01:03:52.380 generations.
01:03:53.500 The first
01:03:54.200 generation you
01:03:54.860 try to
01:03:55.160 brainwash is
01:03:56.880 going to be
01:03:57.300 unbrainwashed
01:03:58.140 by their
01:03:58.600 parents.
01:03:59.040 So even
01:04:00.320 though the
01:04:00.660 school might
01:04:01.940 say, this
01:04:02.880 is true,
01:04:03.340 this is
01:04:03.640 true, as
01:04:04.580 soon as
01:04:04.800 they go
01:04:05.080 home, their
01:04:05.560 parents say,
01:04:06.140 forget that.
01:04:07.240 That's that
01:04:07.740 Western Jewish
01:04:08.760 school you're
01:04:09.320 going to.
01:04:10.160 They're just
01:04:10.640 lying to you.
01:04:12.320 So that's
01:04:13.160 not as
01:04:13.440 strong.
01:04:14.120 But by the
01:04:14.880 time you get
01:04:15.280 to the second
01:04:15.820 generation,
01:04:16.640 you've got a
01:04:17.040 good chance
01:04:17.540 that the
01:04:17.900 parents in
01:04:18.400 the schools,
01:04:19.620 because the
01:04:19.960 parents would
01:04:20.400 have been
01:04:20.640 brainwashed in
01:04:21.360 the first
01:04:21.660 generation,
01:04:22.940 you've got a
01:04:23.440 good chance
01:04:23.860 they get the
01:04:24.260 same message.
01:04:25.440 That, oh
01:04:25.800 yeah, this is
01:04:26.380 what's true,
01:04:27.180 both sides.
01:04:27.800 So 50
01:04:29.000 years is
01:04:29.540 sort of a
01:04:29.980 minimum, and
01:04:31.040 I think
01:04:31.260 Eisenhower said
01:04:32.040 the same
01:04:32.380 thing about
01:04:32.820 Germany.
01:04:33.800 Eisenhower said
01:04:34.440 it would take
01:04:34.740 50 years.
01:04:37.140 So yeah, I
01:04:38.060 don't see any
01:04:38.880 possibility that
01:04:40.000 anything else
01:04:40.680 will happen.
01:04:41.640 They're going
01:04:41.880 to have to
01:04:42.180 depopulate
01:04:42.780 Gaza, and
01:04:44.620 it will be
01:04:45.800 trouble forever,
01:04:47.460 but what else
01:04:47.960 are you going
01:04:48.240 to do?
01:04:49.280 Biden
01:04:49.800 apparently
01:04:50.680 delayed the
01:04:51.280 shipment of
01:04:51.680 4,500 M16
01:04:53.000 rifles to
01:04:53.720 Israel.
01:04:55.160 The problem
01:04:55.960 was there
01:04:56.520 were some
01:04:56.860 right-wing
01:04:57.300 politician who
01:04:58.900 was doing
01:04:59.420 photo ops
01:05:00.100 handing them
01:05:00.660 out.
01:05:01.640 That wasn't
01:05:02.320 a good look.
01:05:03.860 But there
01:05:04.560 is some
01:05:05.060 thought that
01:05:06.500 the settlements
01:05:08.160 that are near
01:05:08.900 Gaza, or in
01:05:10.100 any dangerous
01:05:10.820 areas, might
01:05:12.620 be arming
01:05:13.140 themselves, and
01:05:14.760 Israel, the
01:05:15.600 government, might
01:05:16.920 not be too
01:05:17.420 happy about that,
01:05:18.440 because they're
01:05:19.000 sort of anti-gun.
01:05:20.420 So you
01:05:22.040 know the Trump
01:05:22.480 polling, he's
01:05:25.520 up in
01:05:26.440 seemingly almost
01:05:28.000 all of the
01:05:28.420 new polls,
01:05:29.420 Trump is
01:05:29.820 leading, Biden.
01:05:31.900 But we
01:05:33.000 talked about
01:05:33.500 how weird it
01:05:34.160 is that Trump
01:05:35.520 seems to be
01:05:36.220 leading with
01:05:36.960 young people,
01:05:38.200 and I
01:05:39.000 suggested that
01:05:40.400 there might be
01:05:40.840 something wrong
01:05:41.420 with the
01:05:41.740 polling, and
01:05:43.920 now I've got
01:05:44.400 some pushback
01:05:45.080 on that, which
01:05:45.880 is more
01:05:46.380 credible than
01:05:47.020 me.
01:05:47.800 So Nate
01:05:48.160 Silver, who
01:05:49.000 is famous
01:05:49.940 for polling
01:05:51.200 and knows
01:05:52.240 what he's
01:05:52.540 talking about,
01:05:53.840 he points
01:05:54.580 out that
01:05:55.060 there are
01:05:55.260 actually really
01:05:55.880 good reasons
01:05:56.680 why we might
01:05:57.880 see the youth
01:05:58.620 have changed
01:06:00.040 dramatically.
01:06:01.360 Number one,
01:06:02.300 it's happened
01:06:02.780 before.
01:06:04.140 So actually
01:06:04.640 there is
01:06:05.040 precedence of
01:06:06.200 a subgroup
01:06:07.040 like youth
01:06:07.800 completely
01:06:08.820 flipping, and
01:06:09.480 I think
01:06:09.740 Reagan was
01:06:10.380 the example.
01:06:11.980 So the
01:06:12.320 youth group
01:06:12.920 kind of went
01:06:13.560 for Reagan.
01:06:14.260 They liked
01:06:14.560 him.
01:06:15.180 So it has
01:06:15.840 happened before.
01:06:17.900 And it
01:06:18.560 happened with
01:06:19.120 Reagan.
01:06:20.080 And who's
01:06:20.580 the closest
01:06:21.220 president to
01:06:22.700 Reagan that
01:06:23.160 we've had?
01:06:24.820 Trump.
01:06:26.580 He's the
01:06:27.260 closest to
01:06:27.920 Reagan.
01:06:29.120 I mean,
01:06:29.560 intentionally.
01:06:30.400 He actually
01:06:31.020 intentionally
01:06:31.520 models himself
01:06:32.340 after Reagan.
01:06:33.440 So would it
01:06:34.020 be surprising
01:06:34.620 if young
01:06:36.520 people who,
01:06:37.200 by the way,
01:06:37.720 were hugely
01:06:38.400 against Reagan
01:06:39.160 for being this
01:06:40.200 right-wing Nazi
01:06:41.260 guy, that's
01:06:41.780 what they
01:06:42.040 thought, that
01:06:43.300 they flipped
01:06:43.800 by probably
01:06:44.460 the second,
01:06:45.160 I think the
01:06:45.660 second election,
01:06:46.260 more likely
01:06:47.300 than the
01:06:47.660 first.
01:06:49.920 So yes,
01:06:50.900 it's possible
01:06:51.740 because Trump
01:06:52.520 is a candidate.
01:06:53.680 The other
01:06:54.040 possibility, as
01:06:55.200 Nate Silver
01:06:56.140 points out,
01:06:57.260 is that Biden
01:06:58.100 is not just
01:06:58.960 old.
01:07:00.360 Biden was
01:07:01.120 old in the
01:07:02.400 first election.
01:07:04.220 He is now
01:07:04.880 ancient.
01:07:06.640 And young
01:07:07.200 people have a
01:07:07.860 real, just a
01:07:08.960 natural biological
01:07:10.000 revulsion to
01:07:12.200 age, sort of
01:07:14.020 built in,
01:07:14.640 so that they
01:07:15.060 can, you
01:07:15.880 know, I
01:07:16.620 guess that
01:07:16.980 keeps them
01:07:17.360 fucking each
01:07:17.960 other instead
01:07:18.460 of people who
01:07:19.000 can't reproduce.
01:07:20.280 So biologically,
01:07:21.860 they're just
01:07:22.240 built to be
01:07:22.860 repulsed by
01:07:23.640 anything they
01:07:24.240 can't reproduce,
01:07:25.100 basically.
01:07:27.180 So it could
01:07:28.100 be that.
01:07:28.840 It could be,
01:07:29.800 as Nate Silver
01:07:30.540 says, that
01:07:31.240 young people had
01:07:32.280 never seen
01:07:32.820 inflation until
01:07:33.700 now.
01:07:34.840 That's actually
01:07:35.340 a really good
01:07:35.900 point.
01:07:37.100 The inflation
01:07:37.900 we're experiencing
01:07:38.660 now, I hate,
01:07:40.500 like I really,
01:07:41.280 really hate
01:07:41.860 it, but I've
01:07:44.080 also spent a
01:07:44.840 lot of years
01:07:45.440 of my life in
01:07:46.380 an inflation
01:07:46.980 economy, so
01:07:49.000 it's not the
01:07:49.720 first time to
01:07:51.220 see my buying
01:07:51.940 power drop
01:07:52.540 like a rock.
01:07:53.560 If it were the
01:07:54.440 first time, I
01:07:56.200 would definitely
01:07:56.800 be more
01:07:57.260 alarmed about
01:07:57.900 it, even
01:07:58.760 though I
01:07:59.140 should be,
01:07:59.720 you know, a
01:08:00.240 10 and a
01:08:00.700 10 alarmed.
01:08:01.660 You get used
01:08:02.380 to anything, but
01:08:03.920 the young people
01:08:04.540 are not used
01:08:05.080 to this.
01:08:05.940 Like, are you
01:08:06.500 telling me I
01:08:06.960 can't afford
01:08:07.540 any, I can't
01:08:08.500 afford to buy
01:08:08.960 a house, and
01:08:10.060 you just made
01:08:10.580 it 20% worse?
01:08:12.980 Like, just in
01:08:13.840 this brief
01:08:14.340 presidency, you
01:08:15.860 made it 20%
01:08:17.220 harder to get
01:08:18.360 a house that
01:08:19.160 I already
01:08:19.540 couldn't afford?
01:08:20.540 That could
01:08:21.080 move some
01:08:21.460 votes, sure.
01:08:23.780 And then the
01:08:24.600 obvious, which
01:08:25.240 is the Gaza
01:08:26.340 situation.
01:08:27.880 Young people
01:08:28.400 seem to me
01:08:28.940 more pro-Palestinian
01:08:30.560 than pro-Israel.
01:08:31.920 That might be
01:08:32.440 the TikTok
01:08:32.840 effect, but I
01:08:34.120 don't think,
01:08:34.700 that's not
01:08:35.140 any silver's
01:08:35.840 opinion, that's
01:08:36.340 my opinion, the
01:08:37.200 TikTok part.
01:08:37.840 But the
01:08:40.380 overall thing
01:08:41.100 that Nae Silver
01:08:41.640 warns, and I
01:08:42.500 love this, not
01:08:44.420 only because it
01:08:44.920 comes from
01:08:45.380 someone credible,
01:08:46.920 but I hadn't
01:08:47.580 really thought of
01:08:48.120 it this way, and
01:08:49.320 he says that
01:08:50.180 when the polls
01:08:51.160 are telling you
01:08:51.980 something, if
01:08:53.940 your first
01:08:54.440 reaction is the
01:08:55.260 polling is
01:08:55.860 wrong, you're
01:08:57.900 betting wrong.
01:08:59.740 He says that in
01:09:00.560 the long run, the
01:09:01.280 polls do halt,
01:09:03.280 far more likely
01:09:04.520 than there being
01:09:05.560 some weird
01:09:06.120 anomaly.
01:09:06.520 So the odds
01:09:07.760 of it being a
01:09:08.440 weird anomaly
01:09:09.220 that wouldn't
01:09:10.740 present itself at
01:09:12.280 the election
01:09:12.840 itself, probably
01:09:15.280 low, and that
01:09:16.980 somebody very
01:09:17.820 credible says,
01:09:18.760 yeah, this
01:09:19.100 shift in
01:09:19.600 sentiment is
01:09:20.960 almost certainly
01:09:21.640 real.
01:09:22.960 Isn't that
01:09:23.340 interesting?
01:09:24.360 Because even
01:09:24.980 yesterday, I
01:09:26.220 wasn't sure it
01:09:26.780 was real.
01:09:27.960 But I'm
01:09:28.480 actually convinced
01:09:29.280 Nate Silver
01:09:30.140 knows what he's
01:09:31.240 talking about.
01:09:32.420 He's in exactly
01:09:33.900 his domain, and
01:09:35.640 he seems at
01:09:36.280 the moment not
01:09:37.020 to have a
01:09:37.400 boss that he
01:09:38.120 needs to
01:09:38.520 please.
01:09:39.760 So these are
01:09:40.320 really credible
01:09:41.260 opinions.
01:09:42.620 He's a
01:09:43.260 follower.
01:09:43.800 You should follow
01:09:44.620 him for sure.
01:09:48.460 All right.
01:09:49.320 North Korea.
01:09:51.940 Well, South
01:09:52.720 Korea is going to
01:09:53.860 suspend their
01:09:54.560 military pact that
01:09:55.660 they had since
01:09:56.160 2018 during the
01:09:57.560 Trump years,
01:09:58.680 because North
01:10:00.460 Korea defied
01:10:01.340 warnings from
01:10:01.940 the U.S. and
01:10:02.500 its allies and
01:10:03.280 successfully launched
01:10:04.820 what it calls its
01:10:05.560 first spy satellite.
01:10:07.340 You know what?
01:10:09.920 I think we're
01:10:10.700 handling that
01:10:11.280 wrong.
01:10:13.260 I'm just going to
01:10:14.040 put out there that
01:10:14.840 if Trump had been
01:10:16.040 president and this
01:10:17.520 had happened, now
01:10:18.740 Trump might have
01:10:19.440 also told him, hey,
01:10:20.500 don't do it, and
01:10:21.320 maybe he wouldn't
01:10:22.120 have.
01:10:22.840 But suppose he
01:10:23.700 did, because I
01:10:24.980 don't think a spy
01:10:25.700 satellite is the
01:10:27.240 most dangerous
01:10:27.760 thing in the world.
01:10:28.680 You know what
01:10:29.520 would have been a
01:10:30.040 better way to go?
01:10:32.240 To congratulate
01:10:33.360 him.
01:10:35.620 Am I wrong?
01:10:37.860 I think Trump
01:10:39.080 might have
01:10:39.500 congratulated him
01:10:40.480 for a very
01:10:41.900 difficult accomplishment
01:10:43.040 given the
01:10:44.220 resources that he
01:10:45.000 had.
01:10:45.600 And the reason I
01:10:46.340 would do that is
01:10:47.660 because it's
01:10:48.180 actually a pretty
01:10:48.760 good accomplishment.
01:10:50.940 And what Trump
01:10:52.320 understood about
01:10:53.180 North Korea is
01:10:54.660 that it's just
01:10:55.140 one person.
01:10:56.920 It's just Kim
01:10:57.980 Jong-un.
01:10:58.680 If you can
01:10:59.740 make Kim Jong-un
01:11:00.780 respect you by
01:11:03.840 showing that you
01:11:04.560 respect some
01:11:05.320 accomplishment of
01:11:06.140 his, which is a
01:11:06.860 real accomplishment,
01:11:07.960 that's a genuine
01:11:08.940 accomplishment.
01:11:10.240 Why not just
01:11:10.900 treat it that way?
01:11:12.520 I would think that
01:11:13.740 your next negotiation
01:11:14.980 with North Korea
01:11:15.900 would go down a lot
01:11:17.360 better if you had
01:11:19.100 just said, you
01:11:19.620 know, that was
01:11:20.000 pretty impressive,
01:11:20.860 especially given the
01:11:21.640 sanctions, which we're
01:11:22.420 not going to take
01:11:23.000 off.
01:11:23.260 kind of move them
01:11:27.040 in the direction of
01:11:27.880 you realize we don't
01:11:29.240 have any reason to
01:11:30.000 be at war with
01:11:30.600 you, right?
01:11:31.680 You get that we
01:11:33.500 have no reason to
01:11:34.440 be at war with
01:11:35.060 you.
01:11:35.500 That was what
01:11:36.040 Trump got right.
01:11:39.720 All right.
01:11:41.120 Newsom is going to
01:11:41.940 be debating
01:11:42.580 DeSantis,
01:11:43.320 apparently, on Fox
01:11:44.180 News.
01:11:44.560 and the account
01:11:46.580 I tell you you
01:11:47.300 should follow
01:11:47.800 Amuse posted
01:11:51.020 this.
01:11:51.760 Shock.
01:11:53.040 Oh, and they
01:11:53.580 decided they
01:11:54.100 wouldn't have a
01:11:54.580 live audience.
01:11:55.820 So it says,
01:11:56.740 shock, Fox to
01:11:58.020 host debate
01:11:58.600 between two
01:11:59.260 people who
01:11:59.840 won't be
01:12:00.300 president in
01:12:00.900 2024 in front
01:12:02.520 of no one who
01:12:03.220 will vote in
01:12:03.700 2024.
01:12:05.680 Well, it's not
01:12:06.400 exactly true because
01:12:07.220 it's going to be
01:12:07.860 live televised, but
01:12:09.540 that's a funny
01:12:10.160 post.
01:12:12.620 You know, I
01:12:13.360 don't mind this
01:12:13.940 at all.
01:12:14.560 I think Fox
01:12:15.420 News is playing
01:12:17.520 it right.
01:12:18.780 And here's why I
01:12:19.500 think they're
01:12:19.920 playing it right.
01:12:20.700 I agree with
01:12:21.480 the no audience
01:12:22.240 because it's on
01:12:23.560 Fox News.
01:12:25.640 Do you think it
01:12:26.500 would be fair to
01:12:27.280 DeSantis to have
01:12:28.880 a Fox News
01:12:29.720 debate where,
01:12:31.340 you know,
01:12:31.920 inevitably it's
01:12:32.740 going to be
01:12:33.000 filled with Fox
01:12:33.800 News people?
01:12:35.880 Yeah.
01:12:36.380 It actually
01:12:36.740 wouldn't have
01:12:37.100 been fair to
01:12:37.780 Newsom.
01:12:38.840 So if Newsom
01:12:39.580 complained about
01:12:40.280 that and Fox
01:12:41.440 News accommodated
01:12:42.480 him, good for
01:12:44.260 both of you.
01:12:45.320 He should have
01:12:45.860 complained about
01:12:46.480 it and they
01:12:47.580 should have
01:12:48.020 made an
01:12:48.480 adjustment.
01:12:49.480 I don't mind
01:12:50.140 that at all.
01:12:50.980 So good news.
01:12:52.260 And the fact
01:12:53.040 that, you know,
01:12:53.780 you think neither
01:12:54.560 of them would be
01:12:55.140 president, well, I
01:12:56.620 don't know.
01:12:57.500 I would say that's
01:12:58.600 not at all certain.
01:13:00.180 Not at all certain.
01:13:01.340 Certainly in the
01:13:02.040 case of Newsom,
01:13:03.740 it's not at all
01:13:04.540 certain.
01:13:05.500 So to me, this is
01:13:06.420 a good service.
01:13:08.060 It's probably, I
01:13:08.920 don't know if it'll
01:13:09.420 be a good ratings
01:13:10.820 winner, but I'll
01:13:12.280 probably watch it.
01:13:13.760 I'm actually
01:13:14.400 interested in what
01:13:15.300 both of them
01:13:15.800 say.
01:13:17.060 And I do think
01:13:18.320 it might be a
01:13:19.000 preview of 2028,
01:13:20.760 et cetera.
01:13:21.120 Yeah, this is a
01:13:21.700 good service.
01:13:25.100 Apparently even
01:13:25.920 Morning Joe has
01:13:27.000 finally capitulated
01:13:28.200 on Ukraine and
01:13:30.100 thinks it's
01:13:31.020 unwinnable.
01:13:33.020 And at least
01:13:33.920 one of their
01:13:34.240 guests does,
01:13:34.900 and they seem
01:13:35.340 to agree.
01:13:36.660 And so they've
01:13:38.660 moved all the
01:13:39.260 way from what
01:13:40.240 they said would
01:13:40.880 be appeasement
01:13:41.720 to Putin to,
01:13:43.400 we better wrap
01:13:44.220 this thing up.
01:13:45.940 Anybody see that
01:13:46.860 coming?
01:13:48.360 All of us?
01:13:50.140 I think all of
01:13:51.200 us saw it coming?
01:13:52.740 Yeah.
01:13:53.800 I don't see any
01:13:54.940 possibility that
01:13:56.100 there's going to
01:13:56.940 be some big war
01:13:57.820 breakthrough.
01:13:58.960 But I think all
01:13:59.660 the smart people
01:14:00.480 and the best
01:14:01.460 analysis I saw
01:14:02.460 was this.
01:14:04.400 I forget who
01:14:04.960 said it.
01:14:05.360 I wish I could
01:14:05.860 credit them.
01:14:07.100 But at this
01:14:08.240 phase of the war
01:14:09.140 where they're both
01:14:09.900 kind of hiding
01:14:12.840 in trenches and
01:14:13.680 making small
01:14:14.680 advances and
01:14:15.540 then getting
01:14:15.920 their asses
01:14:16.420 kicked, that
01:14:17.500 artillery is the
01:14:18.520 primary weapon
01:14:19.300 of this phase
01:14:20.700 of the war.
01:14:21.680 And that
01:14:22.300 artillery is the
01:14:23.120 defining weapon.
01:14:24.920 And that
01:14:25.440 Russia has
01:14:27.420 something like
01:14:27.940 five to ten
01:14:28.780 times more
01:14:29.460 artillery.
01:14:30.900 Now I think
01:14:31.340 the Ukrainians
01:14:32.260 might have some
01:14:32.740 more accurate
01:14:33.340 artillery, but
01:14:34.640 numbers are
01:14:35.480 probably going to
01:14:35.980 win.
01:14:36.160 Secondly, Russia
01:14:39.100 has a bigger
01:14:39.680 population, several
01:14:41.900 times bigger than
01:14:42.680 Ukraine, especially
01:14:43.600 since so many
01:14:44.300 people left Ukraine
01:14:45.200 and just fled.
01:14:46.540 So Ukraine is
01:14:47.200 literally just running
01:14:48.240 on the people.
01:14:49.960 And the experts
01:14:50.980 are saying this is
01:14:51.720 one of those wars
01:14:52.580 of attrition where
01:14:54.180 one side is just
01:14:55.140 going to hope they
01:14:56.400 die less than the
01:14:57.160 other and just keep
01:14:57.940 on going until
01:14:59.360 somebody has a win.
01:15:00.900 So this would be
01:15:02.100 an interesting time
01:15:03.320 to negotiate, but
01:15:04.600 Ukraine probably has
01:15:05.420 a weak negotiating
01:15:06.780 position.
01:15:07.760 Yeah, I think
01:15:08.420 David Sachs has
01:15:09.460 been right on
01:15:10.800 this from the
01:15:12.540 start.
01:15:13.680 He's been as
01:15:14.300 right as you can
01:15:15.140 be on Ukraine,
01:15:16.600 I think.
01:15:16.920 I don't think he
01:15:17.340 got anything wrong.
01:15:18.180 Yeah.
01:15:19.120 Yeah.
01:15:19.560 So, and my
01:15:21.620 prediction as well
01:15:22.580 was that, of
01:15:23.860 course, it's a
01:15:24.720 stalemate.
01:15:25.260 Of course, there's
01:15:26.040 going to be, oh,
01:15:27.540 was it John
01:15:28.520 Mearsheimer?
01:15:29.420 Is that who we're
01:15:30.020 crediting with that
01:15:30.840 opinion?
01:15:31.320 I feel like you're
01:15:31.920 right.
01:15:32.480 Thank you, David.
01:15:34.040 John Mearsheimer, I
01:15:35.060 think, is the
01:15:35.720 opinion I was
01:15:36.600 stealing there.
01:15:39.400 There's a
01:15:40.140 terrorist alert in
01:15:42.000 New York State.
01:15:43.040 You know, there's
01:15:43.440 some more terrorist
01:15:44.480 chatter, I guess.
01:15:45.800 We'll wait to see.
01:15:47.040 I still wonder why
01:15:48.220 the terrorism in the
01:15:49.380 United States went
01:15:51.140 effectively to zero.
01:15:52.940 You know, not
01:15:53.540 counting a mass
01:15:54.440 shooter here and
01:15:55.380 there.
01:15:55.520 But, yeah.
01:16:03.200 So, we'll watch
01:16:05.060 all that stuff.
01:16:09.060 All right.
01:16:12.900 Dealing with
01:16:13.620 foreign matters,
01:16:15.040 New York City.
01:16:15.980 We've talked about
01:16:17.020 Eric Adams defunding
01:16:18.640 valuable services in
01:16:20.280 New York City in
01:16:21.900 order to afford all
01:16:24.160 of the immigrants.
01:16:26.840 Saw some stories
01:16:27.760 today of black
01:16:30.100 citizens of New
01:16:32.920 York, I think, or
01:16:34.280 someplace.
01:16:35.060 They were
01:16:35.380 complaining that all
01:16:36.260 the free food was
01:16:37.360 being given to the
01:16:38.380 immigrants and there
01:16:39.200 wasn't enough free
01:16:39.840 food left.
01:16:41.660 And they're right.
01:16:45.520 They're completely
01:16:46.160 right.
01:16:46.560 You know, there are
01:16:48.140 plenty of people,
01:16:49.320 black Americans, as
01:16:50.920 well as others, who
01:16:51.720 need a little help.
01:16:53.340 And there's not
01:16:54.640 enough help to go
01:16:55.240 around.
01:16:56.020 So, if I were an
01:16:56.720 American and I were
01:16:58.240 in that situation, I
01:16:59.240 would be pretty mad at
01:17:00.940 whoever let in all the
01:17:02.080 other people to eat my
01:17:02.980 food.
01:17:04.440 I wouldn't like it at
01:17:05.360 all.
01:17:07.580 Yeah, I saw that on
01:17:08.620 Fox Report, there's
01:17:09.380 some, I saw some weird
01:17:11.500 story about air
01:17:12.620 marshals are assigned to
01:17:14.740 follow January 6th
01:17:15.980 people.
01:17:16.540 And not just people who
01:17:18.000 were at the protest,
01:17:19.340 but anybody who had an
01:17:20.680 airline ticket to D.C.
01:17:22.280 on the day of January
01:17:23.160 6th, they are forever
01:17:24.920 on basically a terror
01:17:26.300 watch list.
01:17:27.840 Imagine being on the
01:17:28.760 terror watch list because
01:17:30.380 you went to D.C. on
01:17:31.600 business, but also there
01:17:33.040 was a protest happening.
01:17:34.820 And that's it.
01:17:35.600 And then you get
01:17:36.220 followed by air
01:17:36.900 marshals for the rest of
01:17:37.900 your life.
01:17:39.620 Yeah.
01:17:40.940 Yep.
01:17:41.640 It's a real thing.
01:17:42.580 I mean, it's a real
01:17:43.220 report.
01:17:43.820 I don't know if it's
01:17:44.380 real.
01:17:44.800 It didn't sound real to
01:17:45.660 me.
01:17:46.260 There's something about
01:17:46.960 that that just didn't
01:17:48.680 sit like a real thing.
01:17:51.080 Maybe it's real.
01:17:53.160 There's something missing
01:17:54.620 in it, though.
01:17:55.460 I don't know.
01:17:55.960 I felt like something
01:17:57.700 about that.
01:17:59.220 I have not yet watched
01:18:00.100 the documentary The
01:18:01.380 Fall of Minneapolis, but
01:18:03.160 I do plan to.
01:18:04.960 So I hear it's
01:18:06.100 interesting.
01:18:06.740 It's about the George
01:18:07.800 Floyd hoax.
01:18:09.860 We can call it that
01:18:10.940 now, right?
01:18:11.560 Can we call the George
01:18:12.500 Floyd thing just the
01:18:13.580 George Floyd hoax?
01:18:14.780 I think we're at
01:18:17.640 that point where it's
01:18:18.600 fair to say that, and
01:18:19.560 that's not hyperbole.
01:18:23.060 But, of course, Derek
01:18:24.200 Chauvin will stay in
01:18:25.360 jail because he's a
01:18:26.620 white guy, and we
01:18:28.880 don't have a justice
01:18:30.920 system that's fair.
01:18:37.260 All right.
01:18:37.980 Oh, yeah.
01:18:44.940 So Trump's nickname for
01:18:47.080 DeSantis, DeSanctimonious,
01:18:49.680 I saw a comment that said
01:18:51.060 that it's getting
01:18:51.780 stronger.
01:18:52.620 I don't know that it's
01:18:53.400 getting stronger or we're
01:18:54.700 just getting used to it.
01:18:56.160 Because Sanctimonious
01:18:57.040 never quite connected for
01:19:00.140 me.
01:19:01.280 But, you know, he's the
01:19:02.700 nickname giver, Trump is.
01:19:04.000 So if it's sticky, it's
01:19:05.500 sticky.
01:19:06.140 Hey.
01:19:07.900 If it's stuck, it's
01:19:08.520 stuck.
01:19:09.520 All right.
01:19:10.680 All of you YouTubers,
01:19:13.000 thanks for joining.
01:19:14.840 I would like to use my
01:19:16.460 powers of psychic
01:19:19.860 abilities.
01:19:21.060 That was almost a
01:19:22.200 sentence.
01:19:23.120 I'm going to use my
01:19:23.820 psychic abilities to
01:19:25.220 predict how many total
01:19:26.740 viewers there will be,
01:19:27.720 not the live viewers,
01:19:28.960 but how many total
01:19:29.660 viewers on YouTube there
01:19:30.780 will be.
01:19:31.200 29,000 for this
01:19:36.440 episode.
01:19:37.680 29,000.
01:19:38.840 Live is different, but
01:19:40.400 the eventual 29,000.
01:19:43.620 Just like every other
01:19:44.900 one, no matter how many
01:19:47.300 of you, hit the
01:19:48.220 subscribe button.
01:19:49.160 But by the way, if you
01:19:50.580 like any part of these
01:19:51.580 live streams, you should
01:19:52.400 hit the subscribe button
01:19:53.480 and the alert, because
01:19:55.680 then you'll get to
01:19:57.220 watch it.
01:19:58.400 All right.
01:19:58.940 That's all for now.
01:19:59.660 And I will go do some
01:20:00.980 other stuff, and I'll
01:20:01.780 talk to you tomorrow,
01:20:04.000 YouTubers.
01:20:04.920 Thanks for joining.
01:20:05.620 Thank you.
01:20:05.700 Thank you.
01:20:05.720 Thank you.