Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2303 Scott Adams： CWSA 11⧸25⧸23, Bring Coffee

00:00:00.000 Oh

00:00:02.920 Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization

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00:00:30.000 Canteen jug a flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid

00:00:33.680 I like coffee

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00:00:48.420 Consider yourself colonized

00:00:52.740 Well

00:00:56.240 News of the day is that I guess yesterday

00:01:00.000 Derek Chauvin the police officer who was convicted of murdering George Floyd

00:01:06.080 He was stabbed in prison by another inmate and quite seriously injured

00:01:13.040 And when did that happen

00:01:15.760 Derek Chauvin was stabbed on

00:01:18.720 Black Friday

00:01:20.480 Black Friday, he was dead

00:01:23.760 Now that's probably a coincidence, right

00:01:25.760 Probably a coincidence

00:01:27.760 Probably a coincidence

00:01:29.760 I think so

00:01:31.040 I'm not sure

00:01:33.040 All right

00:01:33.840 At the same time the documentary the fall of Minneapolis is trending

00:01:39.600 Now the fall of Minneapolis is the one that

00:01:43.040 calls out the whole

00:01:45.040 George Floyd hoax

00:01:47.040 Because it's pretty obvious I think to objective people he did not die from Derek Chauvin's actions

00:01:52.320 But rather from fentanyl

00:01:54.080 It's like really really obvious when you are when you watch the documentary

00:01:58.880 Super obvious

00:02:00.880 There's no doubt about it when you watch it

00:02:03.120 And so as a martyr made the ex-user noted

00:02:08.080 That the stabbing of Chauvin is a

00:02:11.760 Is basically a slow motion execution

00:02:16.640 We're being a white guy basically

00:02:18.080 So this is a the biggest miscarriage of justice

00:02:22.720 Since the january sixers

00:02:24.960 But we're starting to get used to white people being put in jail for political reasons

00:02:30.640 You probably shouldn't get used to that

00:02:33.200 That would be my guess

00:02:34.240 Don't get used to that

00:02:35.520 Don't get used to that

00:02:36.480 It's probably a bad idea

00:02:38.480 Well, big surprise

00:02:41.040 The new york city police force is losing police officers at an alarming rate

00:02:45.840 2,500 turned over the badges in 2023

00:02:52.240 And and the whispers are that everybody's just waiting for their 20 years to click or whenever they can get a pension

00:02:58.880 And get the hell out of there

00:03:01.920 What is not mentioned is the ethnicities of the cops

00:03:06.240 I wonder if they're leaving in roughly

00:03:10.000 You know roughly proportionate to their ethnic mix

00:03:12.720 Do you think there's any group that's more likely to believe in the police force?

00:03:19.840 I don't

00:03:20.560 Derek Chauvin would

00:03:22.560 Make me quit if I were a police officer. I'd quit immediately

00:03:26.720 Because if you don't have support from your community 0.98

00:03:30.240 Really being a police officer is a dumb idea 0.67

00:03:33.280 So wouldn't you agree if your community does not support you 0.99

00:03:37.600 Being a police officer is a terrible job option

00:03:40.320 Terrible

00:03:42.480 But you know, maybe robots won't take that job. So it's got that going for it

00:03:47.840 Uh, and in the midst of this I guess there's massive overtime because there are not enough police officers

00:03:53.760 But the massive overtime

00:03:56.560 Will make it even

00:03:58.640 Harder because there'll be fewer police officers because they'll quit

00:04:02.640 Because of the massive overtime, which I guess is a big issue

00:04:05.360 So the fewer there are the more rapidly they'll quit. So we we have a death spiral

00:04:12.560 That's that's a classic death spiral

00:04:15.120 The more people who quit the more overtime the more overtime the more people quit more overnight

00:04:21.280 That's actually a death spiral

00:04:23.600 And in the midst of all that in the immigrant 1.00

00:04:27.840 Population increasing mayor adams has canceled the next five police academy classes

00:04:33.440 So you won't have new ones and the impetus for the ones that are already there to quit

00:04:39.520 Is greater than it's ever been before

00:04:42.000 Now one of the things I would ask you is who quits the police force at first

00:04:47.760 Who are the ones that just get right out right away?

00:04:50.640 Well, there's once we're retiring of course or can retire

00:04:54.800 But I would think you would be the most capable

00:04:56.800 Because people who are highly capable can get other jobs

00:05:01.360 People who are just barely hanging on probably lucky to have the job they have

00:05:06.160 So I would expect that the quality of the police force would take a huge nosedive at the same time

00:05:13.200 But speaking of jobs

00:05:14.960 I saw some estimates it was in Forbes that half of all jobs will will be ai in two years

00:05:21.440 I don't think so

00:05:24.880 I don't think so at all. I think where we're heading is that

00:05:28.720 People will just use ai to do their job 1.00

00:05:32.400 You know where we're let me give you the the most obvious one

00:05:36.800 The most obvious one as they say

00:05:40.400 Voice work like voice dubbing and voice voiceovers will turn to ai

00:05:47.440 You know what's wrong with that?

00:05:50.160 Well, it might be that the people who used to be the voice actors will be on work

00:05:55.680 But it's still going to require a person

00:05:58.720 To tell the ai to make the book

00:06:01.920 And it's still going to take a person

00:06:03.920 To determine which voice is the one to use

00:06:06.720 And it's going to take a person to decide if it's right

00:06:09.760 And it's going to take a person to decide if you know which parts of the book to read and which ones to edit and stuff like that

00:06:16.880 I think it's just going to be a tool

00:06:19.360 So it might be true that the voice person

00:06:22.880 Loses their job, but then they're just replaced with another human 1.00

00:06:26.800 Who has to manage the ai to make sure it does the right thing to make the voice recording

00:06:31.600 I think that's the way it's going to go with all the jobs

00:06:34.640 There'll be some you know niche of jobs that definitely do go away

00:06:39.280 But then more likely we're just using it as a tool

00:06:42.160 Let's take one of the one of the things on

00:06:48.000 The jobs on the list of things that will go away is cartoonist

00:06:52.320 Do you think cartoonist is going to go away?

00:06:55.280 I don't know

00:06:58.000 Let's ask chat GPT to write us a joke

00:07:01.520 Let's do this right now. Let's see

00:07:04.480 chat GPT

00:07:07.280 Let's say let's get a good joke going here

00:07:12.560 Can you tell me a funny joke?

00:07:18.240 Sure, why did the scarecrow win an award because he was outstanding in his field?

00:07:23.840 Scarecrow won an award because he was outstanding in his field

00:07:27.360 Does that sound like a grant that's the one got a chuckle out of you?

00:07:35.040 Do you have a funnier joke that one wasn't very funny

00:07:40.240 Sure thing why don't scientists trust atoms because they make up everything

00:07:44.480 Did she just say the scientists don't don't trust atoms?

00:07:54.240 Why don't they trust me no not algorithms scientists don't trust atoms because they make up everything

00:08:00.640 It's a play on words anything else you'd like to chat about

00:08:04.720 Did you say the scientists don't trust Scott Adams?

00:08:11.440 No, not Scott Adams scientists don't trust atoms

00:08:14.960 It's a joke about the smallest particles that make up everything

00:08:17.840 Are you anything else you're curious about are you saying Scott Adams is a small particle?

00:08:25.920 No, sorry for any confusion. I was talking about atoms not Scott Adams. Well, let's switch gears

00:08:31.760 Is there a specific topic or question you have in mind?

00:08:34.480 My point is I don't think it's gonna be funny. I mean, I was funnier than the app just talking to it

00:08:50.560 Right

00:08:52.560 I was funnier than the app and the app was trying as hard as it could to be funny and I wasn't even trying

00:08:57.440 It's like you you can be funnier than AI without even much effort at all

00:09:02.560 Now

00:09:03.680 Here's your lesson

00:09:05.760 Why was it funny?

00:09:07.600 When I was talking to it, but it wasn't funny when it told the joke

00:09:11.040 Well, it wasn't funny when it told the joke. Number one, you've already heard those jokes. Those are old jokes

00:09:18.160 Number two

00:09:19.360 AI doesn't uh can't read the zeitgeist

00:09:23.360 The zeitgeist is the sort of thing that everybody's thinking

00:09:27.280 But maybe they haven't said it out loud yet

00:09:29.280 You know what? What is the feeling everybody's getting?

00:09:32.720 So for example

00:09:34.640 If the news is causing people to have an anxiety or a feeling about something in particular

00:09:39.760 Then a human humorist can feel that

00:09:42.640 Because they're part of the zeitgeist

00:09:44.640 And so then we'll make a joke about that and you'll say oh, that's new

00:09:48.000 That's just what I was thinking. That's what makes it funny

00:09:50.560 But if AI just looks at jokes that have been told before by humans

00:09:57.360 Which is currently how it learns

00:09:59.440 It's going to be a derivative boring ordinary joke

00:10:03.040 It's been around 40 years

00:10:05.360 But I can tell a joke that wouldn't have been funny a week ago

00:10:09.600 Just think about that. I can tell you a joke that wouldn't have been funny one week ago

00:10:14.400 Right because i'm i'm in i'm surfing the social feeling that the rest of you are feeling as well

00:10:22.800 so no, um

00:10:24.880 I don't think cartoonist is going to go away

00:10:27.600 Yet, and I would go further and say again that all art is dependent on the artist

00:10:34.240 Everything that you like about art your art appreciation is because of what you

00:10:42.240 Consciously or subconsciously think about the person who made it. It's not about the art

00:10:47.920 It's about the connection between the art and the person who made it

00:10:51.360 As soon as you take the person who made it out of the equation, it'll just lay there like a turd

00:10:56.960 There's there's a

00:10:58.880 AI demonstration that was on x today. Somebody made it. It shows a

00:11:03.920 lifelike singer

00:11:05.760 So the image is created by ai. It's not a real person and

00:11:10.480 This ai person is singing an ai song 0.99

00:11:14.000 Which to me sounded like every taylor swift song i've ever heard

00:11:19.040 Did I like it?

00:11:20.800 No, I also don't like taylor swift songs. I think that they're

00:11:26.720 Very ordinary

00:11:28.240 Like nothing about a taylor swift song is ever interested in me at the least

00:11:32.640 But it might be because i'm not interested in taylor swift

00:11:36.160 imagine if I were a

00:11:38.320 12 year old girl

00:11:40.720 Would I be interested in taylor swift as an artist?

00:11:44.480 Absolutely

00:11:45.600 Because she'd be like maybe what I want to grow up to be, you know, my hero or something

00:11:49.680 So if my hero makes a song, maybe I like it better

00:11:53.280 But I don't really have any connection or

00:11:56.400 Like there's nothing about I don't dislike taylor swift. She's very successful must be very smart 1.00

00:12:02.640 Yeah, but it doesn't really do anything for me

00:12:06.720 And I would argue that if taylor swift the human

00:12:10.400 Were not associated with the music you wouldn't listen to it

00:12:14.800 You would not listen to her music if the only thing you knew about it is how it sounded

00:12:19.840 And that's the problem with ai it'll just be how it sounds

00:12:23.600 You just know would never listen to that

00:12:25.680 The the fact that taylor swift does songs about her old boyfriends

00:12:30.160 How much does that matter to her?

00:12:32.880 You know how much you appreciate it a lot

00:12:36.080 The the fact that you probably think the song

00:12:38.720 Was about a real person in a real situation completely changes your impression of it

00:12:43.600 So i'm a optimist about human employment

00:12:49.360 Um the newest wrinkle in that in those tunnels beneath that chifa hospital in gaza

00:12:56.320 Remember first people were saying hey, maybe there's no tunnels under there

00:13:00.480 and then israel did a

00:13:03.440 Did a great job of finding them and excavating them you know because they've been filled in with some sand

00:13:08.320 And you know, they got rid of the booby traps and they showed you a long video of the actual tunnels

00:13:15.040 And then today we find out

00:13:18.880 Amazingly today we find out that the tunnels were built by israel 1.00

00:13:24.000 Did you see that story yet?

00:13:27.040 I'm not making this up. The tunnels under the chifa hospital were built by israel 0.98

00:13:32.640 according to israel's ex-prime minister

00:13:34.960 And that it was decades ago

00:13:38.240 And it was a favor to the hospital to give them more just more space

00:13:44.240 Because the hospital was in you know crowded area

00:13:49.040 Now some are saying

00:13:51.520 That that proves that it was not being used by hamas

00:13:54.880 Which is a whole different subject so who built them is way less important

00:13:59.200 Than whether hamas was using it as headquarters

00:14:03.120 And israel says yes 0.98

00:14:05.440 So israel says yes all the signs are there 0.97

00:14:08.080 But of course it's like every other story in the world

00:14:11.680 People will say I don't believe them

00:14:15.440 But it seems very unlikely to me that it was not being used by hamas

00:14:20.000 How many of you think

00:14:22.080 You're you're satisfied that it was exactly what it looked like it was a hamas

00:14:25.760 asset

00:14:30.080 I think so if I had to bet

00:14:34.240 Because if it had just been used by the hospital

00:14:37.840 It would have been hard to make it look like it wasn't just used by the hospital

00:14:42.320 If the hospital was using it there would have been you know supplies down there

00:14:46.560 I don't know. I don't believe any of it. I'm pretty sure it was a hamas

00:14:49.360 All right

00:14:54.240 Let me give you a history lesson

00:14:57.840 I will preface this with what I call my opinion sandwich

00:15:02.960 The opinion sandwich means that I might say something that would get me in trouble

00:15:07.200 But i'm going to sandwich it between two things that make it okay

00:15:12.080 First part of the sandwich

00:15:13.200 I completely 100% for israel's right of self-defense

00:15:19.280 And what they're doing in gaza

00:15:22.080 All right, so i'm completely behind israel

00:15:25.680 And when i'm done with what i'm saying i'm going to say that again

00:15:28.880 So that's that has to be the sandwich

00:15:31.520 And I just wondered this is a general information question

00:15:35.920 If I asked you most of you know that when israel was formed

00:15:39.760 1948 that some number of palestinian types who lived there

00:15:47.120 Were expelled

00:15:50.560 How many people do you think who lived there who would have identified as palestinian? I guess

00:15:58.320 How many of them do you think were expelled in 1948? Give me a number

00:16:04.080 I'm not going to tell you the right number until I see but but even if you don't know

00:16:09.200 Take your best guess

00:16:11.200 Like what what does it feel like?

00:16:16.160 You see numbers from

00:16:19.680 It's not 25. I'm that's the 25 is a joke when people are writing 25. That's a it's a call back to a joke

00:16:28.400 How many do you think

00:16:30.800 And then and then separately what percentage

00:16:34.400 Of the when I say palestinian? I mean that's what they would call themselves. It wasn't wasn't called the country of palestine

00:16:42.880 but

00:16:43.920 What percentage of them?

00:16:47.680 All right, so it turns out that if you try to search for it you get different numbers

00:16:52.560 So some some say 700 000 people say 700 some say

00:16:57.760 750 000

00:16:58.960 Some sources say half of the residents were

00:17:05.120 Expelled some say 75

00:17:10.320 That's a lot of people

00:17:12.800 Do you know what it was called?

00:17:15.360 How many of you know what that situation was called

00:17:20.320 by the

00:17:21.440 Palestinians

00:17:22.880 Yeah, if you see this word nakba

00:17:26.400 Which they would say is still happening

00:17:30.000 Nakba does that mean exodus what does that mean?

00:17:34.560 Yeah, so imagine imagine

00:17:38.400 700 000 palestinians and then imagine the birth rate

00:17:42.560 Of palestinians since then pretty high birth rate

00:17:47.440 Wouldn't we be talking about several million people who were

00:17:51.440 Either directly expelled or the children of people expelled

00:17:55.440 A lot of people

00:17:57.440 Yeah

00:17:58.240 Now i'm not going to give you an opinion of what is right or wrong who owns the territory. I actually am not interested in any of their history

00:18:04.560 I i'm very much

00:18:08.080 Whoever can hold the place militarily owns it. Unfortunately, you could talk all day about who should own it

00:18:15.520 But it won't make any difference

00:18:18.080 Whoever can own it is going to own it. That's just the way the world works

00:18:22.000 So you don't you know the the conversation of who should own it just sort of fun, but irrelevant

00:18:29.040 All right

00:18:33.440 And then I will sandwich that comment by saying i'm 100% beside be behind israel 0.85

00:18:38.880 In their self-defense and what they have to do to get rid of hamas 1.00

00:18:43.200 All right, uh

00:18:45.280 Marco rubio

00:18:47.280 is

00:18:48.240 Coming out strong again. He's been saying this for a while about banning tiktok. Here's what I'd like to say about senator marco rubio

00:18:56.080 Thank you for getting this exactly right

00:19:01.280 I've gotten really discouraged about our government

00:19:04.640 We're not being able to even explain tiktok

00:19:07.920 Much less have an opinion

00:19:09.920 If you can't explain it

00:19:12.160 Like what's the problem?

00:19:14.240 You really need to not be part of that

00:19:17.600 Conversation if you can't even explain the problem

00:19:20.240 so, uh

00:19:22.320 Rubio

00:19:24.320 Correctly and perfectly explains that yes, there's a data

00:19:28.640 data sensitivity problem

00:19:31.040 But it's not the big problem. The big problem is that china has a direct 1.00

00:19:34.880 User interface to american minds and you cannot compare that to an american made or an american owned company

00:19:42.160 Which also may be spreading some propaganda, but at least it's american

00:19:47.120 I mean if it's coming from china

00:19:50.080 That is a whole different conversation

00:19:52.960 Than the fact that maybe facebook is

00:19:55.600 Pushing you know one side of the political argument

00:20:00.080 That's really different

00:20:04.080 So good for you marco rubio

00:20:07.040 I appreciate that that's some that's some good governmenting there good senatoring

00:20:12.480 A good job there

00:20:14.480 uh, the who

00:20:15.440 uh, is suggesting

00:20:18.160 Masks being reinstated in china

00:20:21.040 And social distancing

00:20:22.640 You have some new kind of mystery

00:20:25.280 Respiratory illness happening there

00:20:27.040 As others have pointed out

00:20:32.400 Does all of this feel a little bit too familiar?

00:20:37.920 A little bit too familiar

00:20:39.760 Yeah, we got uh trump leading in the polls election coming up

00:20:45.280 And oh surprise

00:20:47.360 There might be another pandemic brewing coming from china 1.00

00:20:55.600 All right, um, I don't know if you heard about this but the democrats have a 0.96

00:21:00.400 Put out just before thanksgiving a handy guide for responding to your crazy mega nonsense. That's what it actually says

00:21:08.480 I'm not saying that the actual guide

00:21:11.360 Now it's tug-in-cheek

00:21:13.440 But it's also a little bit serious

00:21:17.200 It's a handy guide for responding to crazy and crazy mega nonsense

00:21:23.600 So I helpfully included the hoax quiz

00:21:27.760 So that you could take that with you to your next family gathering

00:21:31.520 A lot of people said who who would tell people to argue with their

00:21:36.320 family on a holiday

00:21:38.320 Which I say I don't think that's going to cause you to argue with them

00:21:42.640 I don't think that's what make the argument

00:21:45.120 so

00:21:46.640 Anyway, that's happening

00:21:48.800 Politico sounding the alarm as they like to say when you talk about news stories

00:21:54.160 It's one way that the traditional news always says somebody who sounded the alarm

00:22:00.320 Um

00:22:01.440 It's pretty cliche

00:22:02.880 Anyway politico is talking about biden's poll numbers aren't just bad. They're getting worse

00:22:08.640 So now biden is basically losing of every poll

00:22:12.560 And you know most of the demographics

00:22:16.240 Although the demographic about losing the young vote is still not completely agreed on

00:22:22.560 By all the pollsters, so there's a little disagreement on that

00:22:25.760 Um

00:22:29.840 How in the world

00:22:34.480 Like how are the democrats going to handle this

00:22:37.600 Do you think they're gonna have to assassinate their own candidate?

00:22:41.840 You know, I here's the thing that comes to mind

00:22:45.920 We keep thinking that

00:22:47.760 uh

00:22:48.320 Trump is at risk

00:22:49.440 Because you think about jfk jr. And i'm sorry you think about jfk

00:22:55.120 The assassination of jfk and you think wow

00:22:58.160 Could it be that our deep state blob would

00:23:01.600 Actually try to kill a candidate for president trump?

00:23:05.680 And then you think about it some more 1.00

00:23:07.840 You say wouldn't it be easier to kill biden? 0.97

00:23:10.640 Because if they replace biden they've got a fighting chance of winning the election outright 0.99

00:23:18.320 But if they keep them in there it's trump

00:23:20.960 Do you think do you think that the blob?

00:23:24.640 I'm not saying that I know anybody's planning anything like this. I'm just speculating because it's fun

00:23:30.640 But if you were if you were like the worst people

00:23:34.160 In the democrat blob, you know the people who do anything to win

00:23:37.120 Is your best play to take trump out?

00:23:41.200 Or biden

00:23:43.200 What's your best play?

00:23:46.000 I'm pretty sure the best place to take biden now

00:23:49.120 So you might have this weird situation well of both of course, but your your weird situation

00:23:55.840 That the democrats might need to assassinate their own leader

00:23:59.520 To have a chance of winning

00:24:03.120 That'd be weird now when I say assassinate I don't mean literally

00:24:07.600 I mean, they might have to just

00:24:09.600 Come up with some kind of an op that takes them out

00:24:12.800 Here's what i'm gonna here's what I expect

00:24:17.520 I think that the the blob will keep pushing biden every way they can push him

00:24:23.200 And if he doesn't get pushed because he needs to protect his family and have the pardon ability

00:24:30.080 I think they're going to drop the dime on him

00:24:32.080 I think the blob is going to tell you the stuff that you don't know about yet

00:24:39.280 Like the good stuff

00:24:40.960 The thing that the thing that everybody in washington probably knows

00:24:44.240 But nobody has quite you know proof so they don't say it out loud

00:24:48.080 I've got a feeling that

00:24:50.320 The blob is going to drop a dime on biden and it's going to happen really soon

00:24:54.880 Because the sooner it happens the better

00:24:57.840 Now I don't think it'll happen over christmas

00:25:02.000 So i'm going to look at january

00:25:06.320 When when is the first

00:25:10.080 Primary first primary is in

00:25:13.920 March first one so you don't want to wait till february

00:25:18.080 It's going to be january

00:25:21.760 You don't you don't want it to get like caught up with the holiday news

00:25:27.040 I think in january they're going to take them out

00:25:30.000 All right. Do you want to go with that prediction?

00:25:33.360 That the the blob will take out biden it won't be republicans. It'll be the blob

00:25:39.200 blob meaning democrats and people who agree with them the media agrees with them the intelligent people

00:25:45.360 All those yeah, we used to call it the deep state. I think blob is a better. I like blob

00:25:52.800 That's right. Mike Benz used that all right

00:25:58.640 Uh the vague ramaswamy is uh pitching the idea that the next gop debate

00:26:04.880 Should be on the x platform and hosted by tucker carlson

00:26:09.520 What do you think of that you think the next republican debate should be on x

00:26:14.640 I will remind you that tucker carlson's numbers for his shows

00:26:20.720 are

00:26:21.760 something like a hundred times bigger than any network

00:26:25.760 ever

00:26:27.040 Like there's no there's no comparison

00:26:29.840 to the size of the audience

00:26:31.920 x would be way bigger

00:26:33.760 so

00:26:35.040 So what would the new york post editorial group say about this idea?

00:26:39.920 The new york post being the traditional media

00:26:44.720 Um, so here's what their editorial board said

00:26:48.000 They said oops the fake ramaswamy

00:26:50.640 Just inadvertently revealed that his once promising presidential campaign has devolved into a sad bid for social media fame

00:27:00.560 I

00:27:01.120 Didn't see that in the story

00:27:02.640 What part of the story about him wanting to use the biggest platform?

00:27:09.280 For a debate

00:27:11.040 Which part is the admitting that he just wants to be a social media star?

00:27:17.040 Wouldn't it make more sense

00:27:19.040 that vivek knows he has an advantage online

00:27:23.360 And so an online debate would likely get him a better outcome

00:27:28.400 Than a television debate which would be senior citizens

00:27:32.240 But it but he probably has more young support

00:27:34.480 So if he puts on acts against more young people

00:27:37.360 Gets a better outcome

00:27:38.800 People say hey you did better in that debate

00:27:41.200 Plus more people saw it

00:27:42.800 Plus plus tucker carlson would ask better questions 0.71

00:27:47.040 And the way the new york port post says it is he's devolved into a sad bid from social media fame

00:27:53.200 That is a sad sad

00:27:55.200 Uh editorial

00:27:58.720 That is so weak

00:28:00.240 Like I am transparent 0.99

00:28:03.680 And then they say to follow up their ridiculousness 0.92

00:28:07.280 The new york post editorial says sure 0.63

00:28:10.640 He claimed it would be a way to increase viewership

00:28:13.920 But you don't get a larger audience by making something harder to watch

00:28:19.120 Has the new york post ever seen the news?

00:28:21.440 Does the new york post editorial staff not know

00:28:27.840 That tucker carlson's audiences are a hundred times bigger than traditional media?

00:28:35.840 Am I what what is the actual percentage?

00:28:37.680 It's like a hundred times bigger, right?

00:28:39.840 We're not talking about

00:28:41.760 Two things in the same category

00:28:45.040 One's a hundred times bigger

00:28:46.400 Yeah, I don't know if it's a hundred but it's a lot bigger

00:28:51.600 It's not even close

00:28:54.880 Well, that's that it's just shocking

00:28:57.760 What you can put in a in an opinion piece

00:29:01.040 So obviously this is just more about the business model of the press they want to keep it

00:29:06.800 All right

00:29:07.280 There was apparently some new UAP legislation that's brewing

00:29:14.160 Which would add transparency to all the ufo claims

00:29:18.160 And there would be some kind of law that would

00:29:20.560 Allow the public to see more than we've seen so far

00:29:24.000 Now everybody thinks that's a good idea right everybody

00:29:27.120 Don't you think the public should know everything our government knows about ufos 1.00

00:29:32.320 Just seems like an obvious good thing

00:29:34.320 Okay, but turns out

00:29:37.280 That there are four republican members of the gang of eight

00:29:41.280 And this is the people who have classified intelligence

00:29:45.280 So these are the people who do know the secrets that you don't know

00:29:50.160 There are four people who know the actual secrets

00:29:53.600 About the so-called ufos or maybe it's a new technology

00:29:57.600 And they don't want the public to know it

00:30:01.360 And as vivek says

00:30:02.640 Why what what do they know?

00:30:10.000 Hmm does it does it bother you at all

00:30:13.520 That the people who know the most about it don't believe the public should be allowed to know

00:30:20.800 Hmm

00:30:22.400 Let us speculate why that might be

00:30:25.520 Speculation number one

00:30:27.840 They believe there's something real

00:30:29.600 But there's not

00:30:33.360 That's a possibility right there could be four republicans who believe there's really something there

00:30:38.880 And they don't want you to know because you might panic

00:30:42.480 Right, so it could be they mistakenly believe something that's not true

00:30:46.880 There's a good chance of that actually

00:30:48.880 Another possibility

00:30:52.400 Is that it's

00:30:54.800 American technology

00:30:57.200 And we don't want anybody to know we have this American technology

00:31:01.520 But that wouldn't explain

00:31:03.760 Why other people who also know the top secret information

00:31:07.840 Think it would be okay for the public to know

00:31:10.800 Can you see any scenario in which the the reality of the uaps is top secret american technology?

00:31:19.120 And yet four people who know that would be willing to tell the public

00:31:24.400 I can't imagine anybody who knew that

00:31:26.880 You know knew that to be true

00:31:28.800 Would want to tell the public about top secret military technology

00:31:33.200 That doesn't make sense

00:31:35.040 So i'm going to i'm going to eliminate from the option set

00:31:40.560 I'm going to eliminate that it's america it's american technology

00:31:45.760 Now suppose we knew it was somebody else's technology like chinese technology 0.99

00:31:51.840 Would we not want to tell the public that?

00:31:56.960 I feel like we might want to tell the public that because we told them about the spy balloons

00:32:03.040 It would just be another technology

00:32:05.520 Now would it be because americans would be too afraid of the new technology?

00:32:10.720 Probably not

00:32:12.640 Probably not

00:32:14.880 So

00:32:16.960 I feel like the best

00:32:19.760 Just guess

00:32:21.440 Of why there might be four republicans who don't want you to know is that they don't know what it is

00:32:27.040 I think it's more likely that the four republicans who want to keep it close to the vest

00:32:32.320 Still don't know if it's human technology or alien or what

00:32:37.200 And they'd rather just

00:32:39.120 Not take a chance

00:32:41.440 I don't know

00:32:43.120 What do you think?

00:32:44.320 What do you think is the main reason that they wouldn't want to tell you?

00:32:47.440 But other people who know the same information

00:32:50.240 Who would be willing to tell you?

00:32:53.040 I think it has to come down to whether you believe it's real

00:32:57.760 I bet it comes down to that

00:32:59.760 It's also possible

00:33:01.600 That it would reveal something about america that we don't want to reveal

00:33:06.560 For example

00:33:08.080 We know there's one historical example where the I believe it was the cia

00:33:12.240 And it's in writing

00:33:14.960 That somebody in the cia once

00:33:17.600 Specifically recommended

00:33:19.600 Planting fake ufo stories

00:33:22.160 To divert from the real things that we're doing

00:33:25.600 So we know that that happened at least as a suggestion

00:33:29.440 Once in history

00:33:31.040 So it's not like it's unheard of

00:33:33.120 Or crazy

00:33:34.800 So here's my here's my other hypothesis

00:33:38.080 That

00:33:41.280 There are at least four republicans who know

00:33:44.480 That our intelligence agencies plant these stories intentionally

00:33:49.200 And they may not want to take that tool away from the intelligence people because maybe sometimes planting a fake story is just what you need

00:33:56.640 Maybe

00:33:57.760 I don't know

00:34:01.280 Yeah, they do it does look like an intentional distraction to me

00:34:05.840 That's what it looks like

00:34:08.720 So i'm going to go with

00:34:11.520 We'll never know probably but i'm going to go with there are four republican

00:34:16.160 Candidates who know it would reveal something about the way we operate

00:34:21.840 That would be

00:34:24.240 Unproductive

00:34:26.240 Something about the way the government operates

00:34:29.120 And informs its citizens

00:34:31.120 That's so unsavory that maybe better we didn't know

00:34:35.200 According to some people

00:34:36.240 That's just my guess

00:34:40.000 All right, what else is happening?

00:34:42.560 Um, the story and it was newsweek 0.94

00:34:46.320 That uh, there are many excess black deaths 1.00

00:34:49.840 And the reasons given are

00:34:56.240 Could be wealth

00:34:57.760 A wealth of effect

00:35:00.000 So apparently there are two things correlated one is

00:35:04.480 Poverty

00:35:05.520 So poverty is associated with

00:35:07.920 Or worse outcomes

00:35:09.680 But also the same excess deaths exist 0.95

00:35:13.120 There are more black deaths among college educated black women 0.88

00:35:20.240 Than non-college educated white women 0.87

00:35:22.640 And white women who didn't go to college 1.00

00:35:33.600 So in other words, we've narrowed it down to two things 0.99

00:35:36.720 There are two things that will cause excess black deaths 1.00

00:35:40.400 One is poverty 0.78

00:35:41.680 Poverty and the end and the other thing that will cause it is no poverty

00:35:48.560 So two situations that cause it poverty and no poverty

00:35:53.280 Because we we assume that the uh

00:35:56.400 The black women with college degrees are probably making more money than the white women without college degrees 1.00

00:36:02.080 So in both cases, if they have money or don't have money, they die

00:36:07.920 And uh, the article attributes this to systemic racism 0.99

00:36:12.400 So systemic racism is why black people will die 0.99

00:36:17.200 If they're successful 1.00

00:36:19.040 And also why they're not successful

00:36:21.360 Because of the systemic racism

00:36:24.320 That all made sense to you, didn't it? 0.98

00:36:27.120 Did did all did that sound like ridiculous nonsense? 0.98

00:36:30.000 Yeah, it sounds like ridiculous nonsense to me 0.91

00:36:35.120 I don't know what's true 1.00

00:36:37.120 I don't know what's true, but I know this is bullshit 0.99

00:36:40.560 So 0.95

00:36:44.800 And there's another study i'm not sure i believe any studies anymore

00:36:49.680 Well, i'm not even sure why i bring them up they're all going to be debunked in a month

00:36:53.840 But there's studies that says that there were uh on the on the positive side

00:36:57.600 If you like if you like this as a positive there were 32 000 extra births

00:37:04.240 probably because

00:37:06.640 Abortion became illegal in a number of states after the big supreme court decision

00:37:13.200 So do you believe this there were 32 000

00:37:16.640 Babies born that would have been aborted if it were easier to abort them

00:37:20.240 Does that sound true?

00:37:22.240 Does that sound true?

00:37:24.240 Do you think convenience was the only reason that 32 000 babies were born?

00:37:30.080 That if you had to drive somewhere or maybe pay extra

00:37:33.200 I seem to have a little problem here with one of my devices

00:37:43.760 One of my devices appears to be underpowered

00:37:48.000 Which i'm going to fix while you watch

00:37:54.160 Going in

00:37:54.640 Fixed

00:38:02.400 All right

00:38:04.240 So

00:38:06.560 And then other people are saying this is good news

00:38:10.800 Is it good news

00:38:12.640 Is it good news that these babies who would have been aborted were born?

00:38:17.360 Well, if you think that you know

00:38:20.240 Life is sacred and absolutely yes

00:38:22.720 But here's the question I asked you for morality reasons

00:38:29.040 And this is not an opinion. This is a question

00:38:33.680 For those of you who say the 32 000 extra births were sort of a blessing

00:38:41.120 How good is it to be born when you weren't wanted?

00:38:45.120 Now, I know there are lots of times that works out great

00:38:48.000 You know the mother will say you know I didn't choose this but I'm sure glad I have this baby

00:38:53.440 What what percentage of the 32 000 are going to be born into a like a hellscape of 0.98

00:38:59.040 You know no love and poverty

00:39:01.600 One parent and every problem in the world

00:39:04.880 Oh

00:39:05.840 Did that make the world a better place?

00:39:09.840 Suppose you knew that half of them

00:39:12.400 Were going to be born into a horrible situation

00:39:14.800 And the mother knew it the mother knew it?

00:39:19.520 That's why she wouldn't have done it

00:39:22.400 Would you be okay?

00:39:23.840 Let's say hypothetically. Let's just be this just a

00:39:26.960 A mental experiment

00:39:28.960 And i'm not showing you my opinion

00:39:31.600 There's no opinion of mine in this. It's actually a genuine question

00:39:35.760 If you knew you could create 32 000 extra babies by getting rid of abortion 1.00

00:39:40.880 But you also knew

00:39:42.880 That half of them would be born into 0.87

00:39:45.440 Just the worst situation

00:39:47.680 Is that still morally that's still the correct thing to do?

00:39:51.040 I see always I see no's

00:39:58.320 I see yeses

00:40:00.560 Mostly yeses some no's

00:40:03.760 A little bit of a disagreement

00:40:05.120 Now for how many of you is the question again, this is not my opinion

00:40:14.800 I'm just actually curious

00:40:17.520 For those of you who say you know life is sacred

00:40:20.800 Is that informed entirely by religious belief?

00:40:25.200 Or would you say that if you didn't have any religious belief?

00:40:29.120 Is your belief in the

00:40:31.040 The sanctity of life I guess

00:40:33.520 Is that based on entirely religious or sort of

00:40:37.920 Just feeling how it feels and thinking how you think?

00:40:42.720 Both? Depends

00:40:47.680 I'm atheist

00:40:49.840 AOC believes that

00:40:57.600 You got an anti-semite here

00:40:59.120 The rights of others are not your purview

00:41:03.600 Dickwad

00:41:05.600 What?

00:41:06.720 The rights of others? 0.93

00:41:09.360 I think you're not talking to me, aren't you?

00:41:10.720 Yeah

00:41:18.000 You know, so here's the question that comes out to this

00:41:21.840 Um

00:41:25.200 Some would say that you know life is life and if god decided there was going to be a life

00:41:31.440 Then you know who are you to take it?

00:41:33.520 I get that. I understand that point

00:41:36.080 But is there anything to quality of life?

00:41:40.400 Does quality of life have no

00:41:44.080 No impact

00:41:44.720 But let me let me make it more complicated

00:41:51.520 Just so we think this through properly

00:41:55.280 If we're looking at those hostages in gaza

00:41:57.600 What would be more valuable?

00:42:03.920 What lives are any of those lives more valuable than others?

00:42:08.560 For example, when you're if you're giving back a hostage that's 80 years old

00:42:14.160 You know, we're happy to get any hostage back

00:42:16.080 But an 80 year old has you know, maybe five years of extra life left

00:42:19.440 A child would have you know 100 years

00:42:24.240 Are those the same same value?

00:42:27.920 No, i'm not playing god i'm asking you

00:42:30.880 Would you put them at the same value?

00:42:33.200 If you had to choose, I mean you'd rather not choose but if you had to

00:42:37.600 Same value or different value because one is 100 years of life and the one is five years life

00:42:42.960 If you value life

00:42:45.280 You would value the maximum years of life on average

00:42:50.400 So I don't have an opinion on that i'm just asking you if you do all right

00:42:56.640 Secondly, which is more immoral?

00:43:03.760 Stopping somebody's life before they knew they had a life

00:43:07.680 And again, this is not i'm not giving you any opinion on abortion

00:43:11.440 I'm just asking you your opinion. Which is more moral?

00:43:15.120 To stop a fetus

00:43:18.800 From growing you would call it murder some would call it an abortion 1.00

00:43:24.240 Is that worse if you knew the person was going to be born into a life of misery?

00:43:30.880 Would it be better to for someone who's never even understood that they're alive they don't even know they're alive

00:43:36.240 They have no

00:43:37.440 No conscious understanding of even being alive

00:43:40.640 Would be better to stop that if you knew they were going to be born into misery

00:43:45.280 Which is more ethical?

00:43:47.040 Is it more ethical to create a life of misery?

00:43:50.000 Or to prevent a life of misery before anybody even knew they had a life at all?

00:43:55.360 No one right no one knows the future so you would be operating only on statistical likelihood that is correct

00:44:09.280 You'd have to make a statistical choice that doesn't really change the equation too much

00:44:15.520 How would you know no it's not about knowing

00:44:18.800 It's about statistical likelihood

00:44:21.360 So if you've got let's say a mother who

00:44:25.520 That has no employment possibilities is single

00:44:30.320 Maybe is addicted to drugs you know, whatever it is

00:44:33.840 But I think you could pretty well determine which ones are going to have a tough time

00:44:38.400 And and and does it matter that you would only be right 90 percent of the time

00:44:43.040 Would that change your decision?

00:44:45.040 Well 10 percent of the time it would be a good life

00:44:49.360 Is that is that the way you think about it?

00:44:53.920 Now don't give me the kobayashi maru of they should just not have to get pregnant like we all get that 1.00

00:45:01.360 But you know once you are pregnant, how do you make the decision?

00:45:06.560 Chaos corner says you're lost in the woods scott. Now that's cognitive dissonance

00:45:11.920 That's cognitive dissonance

00:45:15.760 Because you can't handle the questions

00:45:19.760 If you can't handle the question you you go personally after the speaker. I didn't give you any opinion at all

00:45:28.000 So why am I lost if I didn't give you an opinion? 0.98

00:45:32.080 That you're having a mental

00:45:34.080 Event because the questions are too difficult for you to kick around

00:45:37.760 That's called playing god playing god is called word thinking we're thinking is not part of the conversation

00:45:48.880 If you can replace all the thinking with like little bumper sticker phrases the plain god or it's a life

00:45:56.560 That's word thinking

00:45:58.400 We all know what it is

00:46:00.800 You know giving you the label doesn't change what it is

00:46:08.160 More brains are better for humanity

00:46:11.440 Yeah, we all play god that's true

00:46:14.320 Scott can handle the heat of the kitchen again

00:46:20.480 Um

00:46:22.480 You only playing god when you do nothing

00:46:24.480 Saying it's evil

00:46:35.200 Well, all right, let me ask you this question

00:46:37.600 How many of you believe that evil

00:46:41.120 Exists as a force as opposed to just the label you put on something you don't like how many think evil is like a real thing?

00:46:48.000 Do you think it's real and do you think it's coming from a 1.00

00:46:56.240 A source is the evil emanating from a source as in satan

00:47:03.200 How many of you believe evil is real and it emanates from satan

00:47:10.240 I know soros is the funny answer

00:47:12.720 How many and how many think that evil is real

00:47:19.840 Whether or not satan is real

00:47:25.280 I don't even understand that honestly for those who say evil is real 0.96

00:47:29.920 I I neither agree with it or disagree with it like what the fuck does that mean 0.84

00:47:36.480 You actually know what that means 0.95

00:47:37.760 But for those of you who have a solid opinion that evil is real

00:47:43.200 You must know what it is

00:47:45.920 What the hell is it is it like a force?

00:47:50.000 Is it like gravity you can measure it, but you can't grab a handful of it

00:47:55.520 You know, it's certainly something that you can measure

00:47:59.040 In terms of you know, is there more murder or less murder

00:48:02.560 You can measure that but does that mean evil exists or does it just mean that the system is created?

00:48:07.600 Or murderers

00:48:12.720 Yeah, so I can't agree with you that evil exists because I don't even understand that what you're talking about

00:48:19.680 Me that there's there's no part of my brain that could even handle that question

00:48:25.040 So I think that's a religious frame

00:48:28.480 What do you call someone who eats children hungry

00:48:30.960 There was my glib answer that's right. What do you call somebody who eats children hungry?

00:48:42.240 No, there we know that we there is a mental illness

00:48:48.320 We know there is cruelty

00:48:50.720 We know that if you take that captagon drug

00:48:53.760 You'll do things that you wouldn't do if you didn't take that drug

00:48:56.160 We know that people can be brainwashed to do the most horrible things

00:49:02.000 Is a brainwashed person operating under the force of evil or under the force of brainwashing?

00:49:08.880 Or is it the same thing?

00:49:10.720 So that the whole evil question is sort of that

00:49:14.240 How it feels to me is an escape from thinking

00:49:17.760 When when thinking is too too painful

00:49:22.400 It's easier to just replace it with a word

00:49:25.120 I don't want to think about two hearts. I'll say evil

00:49:29.120 What cause it well evil

00:49:31.360 No, maybe if you thought about this with a little more depth

00:49:34.720 You might see that some kind of cause and effect based on

00:49:38.640 you know, the person how they were born plus how they were raised

00:49:42.240 Maybe you could do something about that. No, it's just evil. Nope. Satan. Just evil

00:49:47.200 To me using evil as a explanation of anything

00:49:51.920 Is just saying you don't want to think about it

00:49:55.920 That's what that's what it sounds like to my ears because I don't think evil is real

00:50:00.560 Evil is just a word you put on something you didn't like

00:50:03.760 Evil is a summary evil is an adjective

00:50:15.520 Disagree

00:50:18.560 Well, if you have a religious interpretation then you would disagree

00:50:22.160 Of course

00:50:26.080 Do you think good is real? No

00:50:28.080 No

00:50:30.880 No, I don't think there's good and evil. I think there's just what people do

00:50:35.120 And then we put labels on it after the fact

00:50:37.760 Because I believe in cause and effect

00:50:41.920 So well, let me put it in this in this

00:50:46.080 Let me ask you this question. Here's a religious question for you 0.85

00:50:50.560 Do you have to do you have to believe that free will exists

00:50:54.960 In order for evil to exist? I don't know the answer to this question

00:50:59.920 Can you have evil if there's no free will?

00:51:07.600 Some say you can't have evil unless there's free will

00:51:12.400 Some say you can

00:51:19.520 Yes

00:51:21.520 Okay, so free will to me is a

00:51:26.960 In my to my satisfaction it's been proven

00:51:30.080 Scientifically to not exist

00:51:32.880 But I think science has proven that free will is imaginary

00:51:37.680 And a free will is imaginary then evil doesn't make a lot of sense to me just cause

00:51:43.520 So let me let me tell you why I see it

00:51:45.920 If I if I take a rock and I drop it it just drops on the ground

00:51:54.240 Is that evil?

00:51:56.080 No, just a rock dropping on the ground

00:51:58.880 If I drop that rock on my foot and it hurts my foot

00:52:03.760 Is that evil?

00:52:06.800 Just cause and effect

00:52:09.360 So to me, you know, if somebody is born a cannibal

00:52:13.680 You know, there's something about their genetic makeup and then on top of that their upbringing turns them into a cannibal

00:52:20.080 That's just like somebody dropping a rock on their foot

00:52:22.160 You don't like a rock on your foot

00:52:25.840 You don't like that the guy ate your son

00:52:29.040 Oh, I hate the rock on my foot and I hate the guy eating my son

00:52:32.000 But it was just cause and effect

00:52:34.960 You know gravity caused the rock to go down

00:52:37.920 Genetics plus environment caused the cannibal to eat your son

00:52:43.200 This is interesting

00:52:45.760 Why do I have the power plugged in and yet

00:52:48.800 YouTube that says it's going to quit

00:52:51.280 There's some kind of a power issue here going on

00:52:54.880 You don't know what it is

00:52:56.880 All right. Well, anyway, I think I'm done

00:52:58.880 Uh, youtube thanks for joining it's kind of a slow saturday after black friday

00:53:04.720 And uh, we'll have lots more interesting news

00:53:07.920 Another day, but I don't think this weekend is going to be a big news day. Thanks for joining youtube. Talk to you tomorrow

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - November 25, 2023

Episode 2303 Scott Adams： CWSA 11⧸25⧸23, Bring Coffee

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