Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2315 CWSA 12⧸07⧸23 GOP Debate, Trump's Narrow Ravine Strategy, McLeavin' And Lots More

00:00:00.880 Do-do-do-do-do-do. Do-do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:06.400 Good morning, everybody, and welcome.

00:00:08.820 It's the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:11.520 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, or in the Elbonian language,

00:00:15.960 Inyon-bon-bon-gapati-cao.

00:00:19.820 As far as you know, there's an Elbonian language.

00:00:22.880 And if you'd like to take your experience up to levels

00:00:26.140 which nobody could even understand,

00:00:28.020 all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:00:30.000 a tanker, chalice, and a canteen jug or a flask,

00:00:32.620 a vessel of any kind,

00:00:34.220 fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:36.240 I like coffee.

00:00:37.880 Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure

00:00:39.740 of the dopamine of the day,

00:00:40.960 the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:42.980 It's called the Simultimus Sip, and it happens now.

00:00:45.100 Go!

00:00:49.820 Ah, just right.

00:00:53.780 Sublime.

00:00:56.580 All right.

00:00:57.220 Now, for those of you who are new,

00:01:02.000 there might be some new people who've never seen this show before.

00:01:06.920 Give me the answer to the question before I ask it.

00:01:09.200 Go.

00:01:10.480 Answer to the question before I ask.

00:01:12.680 That is the correct answer.

00:01:14.940 Yes.

00:01:15.300 Now, here's the question.

00:01:19.400 In Erasmus and Poll,

00:01:21.500 what percentage of people are in favor

00:01:24.640 of removing statues of Washington,

00:01:28.500 George Washington?

00:01:30.680 You said 25%.

00:01:33.040 Gosh, you're good.

00:01:35.420 It's 27.

00:01:36.960 27.

00:01:37.460 But around, you know,

00:01:38.580 within the margin of error.

00:01:39.600 I think your ability to know the answers

00:01:43.300 before the questions are asked

00:01:44.880 is unparalleled,

00:01:47.700 purely unparalleled.

00:01:49.480 And if you think there's any audience in the world

00:01:52.380 that is smarter than this one,

00:01:55.280 let's see if they can answer the question

00:01:56.900 before you ask it.

00:01:58.520 Just give them that test.

00:01:59.740 They won't be able to do it.

00:02:00.720 Well, I am loving the,

00:02:04.800 I don't know what you'd call it,

00:02:08.060 but the ascension maybe of Bill Ackman,

00:02:12.880 famous hedge fund investor guy.

00:02:15.640 So he's been going really hard at Harvard especially

00:02:19.040 and wokeness now more generally.

00:02:22.340 He's become kind of the Rosa Parks

00:02:24.300 of the DEI debacle.

00:02:33.320 And he says,

00:02:34.720 among other things in a long post today,

00:02:37.380 and he's becoming a national treasure in my view.

00:02:40.100 He says,

00:02:40.500 I don't think it will be long

00:02:41.620 before we look back on the last few years

00:02:43.980 of free speech suppression

00:02:45.920 and the repeated career-ending accusations

00:02:49.380 of racists

00:02:50.440 for those who questioned the DEI movement.

00:02:54.300 You think that'll happen?

00:02:57.600 You think we will someday look back at this period

00:02:59.960 and it will look like McCarthyism

00:03:02.240 and that the DEI thing will look like

00:03:05.100 it was a gigantic mistake

00:03:06.560 and it will be largely dismantled?

00:03:10.580 Yes.

00:03:12.260 Yes, he's absolutely right.

00:03:14.140 There's no way around it.

00:03:15.180 It's definitely going to happen.

00:03:17.220 And he said,

00:03:18.000 we're all shortly going to realize

00:03:19.280 that the DEI era

00:03:20.980 is the McCarthy era part two.

00:03:24.300 He said he learned from someone

00:03:27.040 who had first-person knowledge

00:03:28.400 of the situation

00:03:29.900 that when Harvard was searching for a president,

00:03:34.220 the committee would not consider a candidate

00:03:37.820 who did not meet the DEI office's criteria.

00:03:42.340 In other words,

00:03:43.600 no white men.

00:03:45.560 It was exactly what it looked like.

00:03:50.100 If you're wondering to yourself,

00:03:52.180 huh,

00:03:53.060 I wonder if they excluded white men in their search.

00:03:56.200 Yes, they did.

00:03:57.400 Yes, they did.

00:03:59.640 And Bill Ackman points out,

00:04:01.800 the same is likely true for other elite universities.

00:04:04.000 So would you say

00:04:07.560 that the competence crisis is real?

00:04:12.320 I saw three college presidents

00:04:15.840 that in my opinion were incompetent.

00:04:19.840 Now, as other people have pointed out,

00:04:24.000 other people who identify as female,

00:04:25.960 so I'll quote them

00:04:27.640 instead of taking the heat on myself,

00:04:30.920 those three college presidents

00:04:32.720 set back women's rights

00:04:35.380 by about 50 years.

00:04:42.440 Am I the only one

00:04:44.860 that had that impression?

00:04:46.240 And by the way,

00:04:46.800 this wasn't my original,

00:04:48.440 it's not my original observation.

00:04:50.660 It's something I was thinking

00:04:51.780 when I watched it.

00:04:53.680 I think it was Greta Van Susteren

00:04:56.140 who was saying

00:04:57.220 it was setting back

00:04:58.000 the women's movement,

00:04:59.780 the women's movement,

00:05:00.780 I think she said.

00:05:01.900 Set back the women's movement.

00:05:04.520 It really did.

00:05:06.920 It was a terrible,

00:05:09.160 terrible day for women.

00:05:12.360 Well, McCarthy's leaving the job.

00:05:16.460 He's leaving government.

00:05:18.180 I guess he had hinted

00:05:19.240 that he might do it

00:05:19.940 if he got pushed out

00:05:21.860 of the leadership job,

00:05:23.800 and I guess he is.

00:05:25.000 But the funniest part

00:05:25.840 about that story

00:05:26.520 is Matt Gaetz,

00:05:27.660 who was obviously

00:05:29.080 the agent of that change,

00:05:31.660 he's the one who pushed for it,

00:05:34.100 he had a post today

00:05:35.900 with just one word,

00:05:37.960 McLeaven.

00:05:41.240 Now, some people interpreted it

00:05:43.580 that Matt Gaetz was leaving,

00:05:45.580 but that's not what he meant.

00:05:47.120 He was talking about McCarthy.

00:05:48.360 He was making a joke

00:05:50.140 about the McLeaven character.

00:05:53.160 There's a movie with

00:05:54.160 a teenage character

00:05:55.780 who calls himself McLeaven.

00:05:57.780 He calls him McLeaven.

00:06:01.000 That was a super bad

00:06:02.640 was the name of the movie, yeah.

00:06:04.200 And I just love the fact

00:06:07.640 that he's dancing on his grave.

00:06:11.840 McLeaven.

00:06:13.000 They had to be laughing today.

00:06:14.420 All right.

00:06:16.380 China is allegedly

00:06:17.820 going to revamp

00:06:20.800 its space program,

00:06:22.020 and the reason that China

00:06:23.380 is so worried about

00:06:24.280 getting behind on space

00:06:25.660 is not because

00:06:27.280 the United States

00:06:28.180 is doing such good work,

00:06:29.880 but because Elon Musk is.

00:06:33.340 So who beat China to space?

00:06:36.160 Was it the United States?

00:06:38.320 Eh, not exactly.

00:06:41.920 Was it India?

00:06:44.400 Hmm.

00:06:45.320 No.

00:06:46.640 No, it was just Elon Musk.

00:06:48.880 Just one person.

00:06:50.620 Just that one person

00:06:51.640 destroyed

00:06:52.580 on the most,

00:06:54.180 probably the most important

00:06:56.100 stage of human development.

00:07:00.320 You know,

00:07:00.580 someday,

00:07:01.420 if humans live

00:07:02.280 another thousand years,

00:07:03.900 we're going to look back

00:07:04.820 and see that the leaving

00:07:06.100 of the planet

00:07:07.260 to become interstellar

00:07:09.180 was more fundamental

00:07:11.620 than even,

00:07:12.480 you know,

00:07:13.200 finding,

00:07:14.320 discovering America,

00:07:15.380 the so-called discovery.

00:07:17.140 And

00:07:17.620 it was one person.

00:07:21.200 Basically,

00:07:21.860 one person did that

00:07:22.840 and beat China.

00:07:25.600 So it was one person

00:07:26.820 who beat

00:07:27.260 over a billion

00:07:29.120 people.

00:07:31.220 How many people

00:07:32.040 are in China?

00:07:33.200 Two billion?

00:07:33.840 Two billion, right?

00:07:36.000 What's the population

00:07:36.940 of China?

00:07:38.660 1.3?

00:07:40.440 1.7?

00:07:41.640 1.2?

00:07:42.260 We got lots of estimates.

00:07:43.660 Over a billion.

00:07:45.520 All right.

00:07:48.780 So South Carolina,

00:07:50.920 the state,

00:07:52.360 they have announced

00:07:53.120 that they're not going

00:07:54.120 to invest

00:07:54.900 the money

00:07:55.600 in Walt Disney Company.

00:07:57.440 So it's no longer

00:07:58.580 an approved

00:07:59.240 state investment.

00:08:00.320 So now

00:08:02.980 the Disney Company

00:08:04.080 is not only

00:08:06.680 fun for the whole family,

00:08:08.420 but considered

00:08:09.700 by one state

00:08:10.800 so evil

00:08:11.760 that you can't

00:08:12.380 even invest in them.

00:08:14.140 But also

00:08:15.080 fun for the whole family.

00:08:19.140 But

00:08:19.700 the state government

00:08:21.200 has decided

00:08:21.840 they're too evil

00:08:22.500 for you to invest in them.

00:08:23.940 You can take the family,

00:08:26.000 but my God,

00:08:26.780 don't put your money there,

00:08:28.400 says the state

00:08:29.080 of South Carolina.

00:08:30.700 I don't know

00:08:31.380 if that will form

00:08:32.040 any kind of a trend.

00:08:32.960 We'll see.

00:08:35.360 I saw a post

00:08:36.380 by Rohan Pandy,

00:08:38.420 who is

00:08:39.580 my kind of poster.

00:08:41.420 You ever see

00:08:41.820 anything on social media

00:08:43.520 where you say,

00:08:45.100 my God,

00:08:46.300 that could have been

00:08:47.000 me posting that

00:08:47.880 because it looks

00:08:48.720 like I did it.

00:08:50.200 Or here's one

00:08:50.700 that just looks like

00:08:51.440 something I would have done

00:08:52.440 except I'm not this smart.

00:08:54.440 So if I were smarter,

00:08:56.360 I would have posted

00:08:57.980 what

00:08:58.300 Rohan

00:08:59.680 Pandy

00:09:00.340 posted.

00:09:01.300 He noted.

00:09:02.940 He says,

00:09:03.720 quick schizo theory.

00:09:06.200 Top and bottom

00:09:07.200 quarks,

00:09:08.480 so those are the

00:09:09.580 names for two

00:09:10.600 different flavors

00:09:11.420 of quark,

00:09:12.840 the top and the bottom.

00:09:14.260 They were originally

00:09:14.900 called truth and beauty.

00:09:16.960 So there's a truth

00:09:17.860 quark and a beauty quark.

00:09:20.080 Now,

00:09:20.400 here's the interesting part.

00:09:22.800 Satya,

00:09:23.700 first name

00:09:24.380 of the leader

00:09:25.220 of Microsoft,

00:09:25.940 in Sanskrit,

00:09:27.320 his name,

00:09:27.680 his name means

00:09:28.480 truth.

00:09:29.840 But Sundar,

00:09:30.860 first name of the

00:09:31.760 leader of Google,

00:09:32.940 in Sanskrit,

00:09:33.620 his name means

00:09:34.220 beauty.

00:09:35.300 So,

00:09:36.240 as Rohan points out,

00:09:37.960 the two,

00:09:38.400 the two MFers,

00:09:39.900 he says,

00:09:40.920 competing in the race

00:09:42.080 to AGI

00:09:42.860 are named after

00:09:44.240 opposing fundamental

00:09:45.480 particles.

00:09:46.800 And then he says,

00:09:47.860 the simulation

00:09:48.620 is effing with us.

00:09:49.660 that's pretty good

00:09:52.520 that the two people

00:09:55.340 are truth and beauty

00:09:56.360 and that used to be

00:09:57.300 two fundamental

00:09:58.040 particles.

00:09:59.360 Now,

00:09:59.880 it's all just

00:10:00.360 coincidences,

00:10:01.600 but it's fun.

00:10:03.620 Of course,

00:10:04.040 he may have made up

00:10:04.680 all of this,

00:10:05.280 but still fun.

00:10:07.080 How many of you

00:10:07.720 saw a very viral

00:10:09.580 video of a new

00:10:11.480 form of AI

00:10:12.120 called Gemini?

00:10:13.920 I think it's

00:10:14.760 Google's,

00:10:16.040 that was doing

00:10:17.840 some amazing

00:10:18.600 things by looking

00:10:20.320 at images,

00:10:21.540 and you could draw

00:10:22.160 a picture,

00:10:22.820 and it knew

00:10:23.100 what you were

00:10:23.400 drawing,

00:10:24.000 and it could compare

00:10:25.460 two things and all

00:10:26.360 that.

00:10:27.540 Well,

00:10:28.020 it took all of

00:10:28.780 today to find out

00:10:29.620 that was a fake

00:10:30.260 video.

00:10:32.700 That was fake.

00:10:35.060 That totally

00:10:35.980 fooled me.

00:10:37.400 But here's what

00:10:37.960 was fake about it.

00:10:40.060 The fake part

00:10:41.040 was,

00:10:41.400 you believed

00:10:43.100 that it was a

00:10:43.660 human talking

00:10:44.320 to the computer

00:10:45.140 because what you

00:10:46.260 heard was a

00:10:46.800 conversation between

00:10:47.840 a human and

00:10:48.400 a computer.

00:10:49.860 In truth,

00:10:50.760 they were giving

00:10:51.340 it super prompts

00:10:52.220 and text,

00:10:53.200 but the human

00:10:54.440 was not repeating

00:10:55.340 what the super

00:10:56.060 prompt said.

00:10:57.040 The super prompt

00:10:57.860 was giving it

00:10:58.540 more information

00:10:59.280 than the human

00:10:59.880 was.

00:11:01.120 So the trick

00:11:01.760 was,

00:11:02.460 you thought that

00:11:03.100 the computer

00:11:03.660 only knew

00:11:04.460 what it saw

00:11:05.880 plus whatever

00:11:07.240 the human

00:11:07.700 was saying

00:11:08.220 verbally,

00:11:09.300 but what the

00:11:09.780 computer actually

00:11:10.620 knew,

00:11:11.400 was what

00:11:12.260 they typed

00:11:12.720 into the

00:11:13.160 prompt,

00:11:14.000 which had

00:11:14.500 formatted

00:11:15.320 the question

00:11:15.900 in a way

00:11:16.340 that narrowed

00:11:16.980 the responses.

00:11:18.280 So the

00:11:18.740 amazingness

00:11:19.600 of the

00:11:19.940 responses

00:11:20.480 wasn't nearly

00:11:22.060 as amazing

00:11:22.660 as it would

00:11:23.180 have been

00:11:23.500 if you'd

00:11:24.020 known how

00:11:24.360 they asked

00:11:24.680 the question.

00:11:26.260 But still

00:11:26.640 amazing.

00:11:27.640 Yeah,

00:11:27.940 still amazing.

00:11:29.480 It just

00:11:30.460 wasn't as

00:11:31.200 amazing as

00:11:31.820 the video.

00:11:33.920 That's a

00:11:34.460 claim anyway.

00:11:35.220 I don't know

00:11:35.500 if it's true,

00:11:36.040 but there's

00:11:36.800 a claim that

00:11:37.500 somebody's seen

00:11:38.140 the super prompts

00:11:38.900 and they're

00:11:39.200 different.

00:11:39.480 All right,

00:11:41.260 Axios is

00:11:42.280 talking about

00:11:42.760 Elon Musk's

00:11:43.300 strategy with

00:11:44.040 his AI

00:11:44.600 called

00:11:45.140 Grok,

00:11:46.280 and apparently

00:11:47.300 it's unclear

00:11:48.100 whether the

00:11:50.040 AI that

00:11:50.860 Elon Musk

00:11:51.440 is building

00:11:52.640 would be

00:11:54.040 part of the

00:11:54.740 X platform

00:11:55.440 or part of

00:11:56.140 a separate

00:11:56.520 company that

00:11:57.240 the X platform

00:11:58.220 accesses and

00:11:59.980 works with.

00:12:00.880 So we don't

00:12:01.400 know that yet.

00:12:02.160 But if

00:12:03.800 it's true

00:12:06.920 that the

00:12:09.560 Grok,

00:12:10.220 or that's

00:12:10.940 the name

00:12:11.220 of the

00:12:11.620 AI that

00:12:12.760 will be

00:12:13.060 operative

00:12:13.780 on X,

00:12:14.660 if it's

00:12:15.340 true that

00:12:15.720 it gets

00:12:16.000 valued the

00:12:16.620 same as

00:12:16.980 ChatGPT,

00:12:18.700 then Musk

00:12:20.140 will have

00:12:20.580 doubled his

00:12:21.240 investment.

00:12:22.880 So if he

00:12:23.400 paid $44

00:12:24.140 billion and

00:12:26.200 ChatGPT is

00:12:27.460 already valued

00:12:28.860 on paper

00:12:29.400 more than

00:12:29.940 that,

00:12:30.900 twice that,

00:12:31.500 it's like

00:12:32.220 $90

00:12:32.920 billion or

00:12:33.480 something.

00:12:34.600 So he

00:12:35.160 could actually

00:12:35.820 double his

00:12:36.800 investment the

00:12:38.480 day that

00:12:39.160 Grok goes

00:12:40.280 live,

00:12:41.360 potentially,

00:12:42.440 because that

00:12:42.800 would depend

00:12:43.500 on people's

00:12:45.060 psychology,

00:12:47.140 saying,

00:12:47.580 oh no,

00:12:48.020 that's as

00:12:48.960 good as

00:12:49.500 ChatGPT,

00:12:50.820 so we'll

00:12:51.040 give it the

00:12:51.380 same value.

00:12:52.480 Could happen.

00:12:54.120 Here's what

00:12:55.340 Axios

00:12:56.200 speculates as

00:12:57.740 at least a

00:12:58.240 possibility,

00:12:59.400 and I

00:12:59.920 agree,

00:13:00.720 but only

00:13:01.220 after reading

00:13:02.320 Axios.

00:13:04.060 So I

00:13:04.600 did not

00:13:04.960 come to

00:13:05.340 this decision

00:13:06.680 on my

00:13:07.080 own,

00:13:07.480 Axios

00:13:07.920 guided me

00:13:08.980 there.

00:13:10.560 It goes

00:13:11.280 like this,

00:13:12.740 when Musk

00:13:13.440 said about

00:13:15.020 advertisers,

00:13:16.800 don't advertise

00:13:18.320 F you,

00:13:19.920 in other words,

00:13:20.600 don't advertise

00:13:21.180 if you have

00:13:22.360 a problem

00:13:22.920 or you're

00:13:23.240 trying to

00:13:23.580 manipulate me

00:13:24.280 or black

00:13:24.700 family,

00:13:25.060 don't advertise

00:13:25.640 F you.

00:13:26.940 Now,

00:13:27.820 do you

00:13:28.880 think that

00:13:30.880 Musk anticipated

00:13:32.300 how much

00:13:32.720 trouble that

00:13:33.300 would cause,

00:13:34.240 or at least

00:13:34.820 knew there

00:13:35.240 was a risk

00:13:35.960 of how much

00:13:36.940 trouble that

00:13:37.440 would cause?

00:13:38.800 Because it

00:13:39.200 seems unlikely

00:13:41.340 that he would

00:13:42.020 be unaware

00:13:42.620 that would be

00:13:43.200 a problem.

00:13:45.820 So one

00:13:46.580 has to

00:13:47.280 wonder,

00:13:48.120 what if he

00:13:48.860 knew how much

00:13:49.560 of a risk

00:13:50.060 it was,

00:13:50.580 and he did

00:13:52.020 it anyway?

00:13:53.600 Is it just

00:13:54.500 because he's

00:13:55.120 based,

00:13:55.680 based and

00:13:56.400 awesome,

00:13:57.440 and he just

00:13:58.060 didn't care

00:13:58.560 about 44

00:13:59.340 billion dollars?

00:14:00.940 Maybe,

00:14:01.540 that's actually

00:14:02.320 entirely possible.

00:14:04.080 But I would

00:14:04.520 like to suggest

00:14:05.340 there's one

00:14:06.480 other possibility.

00:14:08.700 It goes

00:14:09.560 like this,

00:14:11.700 Elon Musk

00:14:12.340 is the only

00:14:12.840 person who's

00:14:13.420 figured out

00:14:14.140 that the

00:14:15.220 advertising

00:14:15.880 models can

00:14:16.600 be gone

00:14:17.060 in three

00:14:17.480 years.

00:14:19.320 Because AI

00:14:20.300 will completely

00:14:21.080 replace it.

00:14:22.020 he might

00:14:24.040 be the one

00:14:24.560 who figured

00:14:25.000 out that

00:14:25.860 he has to

00:14:26.500 get out

00:14:26.920 of,

00:14:27.320 he probably

00:14:28.000 wants to

00:14:28.440 get out

00:14:28.760 of advertising

00:14:29.400 as fast

00:14:30.100 as possible.

00:14:31.320 And go to

00:14:31.780 subscription,

00:14:33.000 or a

00:14:34.720 model that

00:14:35.240 looks like

00:14:35.680 this.

00:14:37.640 Wouldn't

00:14:38.020 you like

00:14:38.480 to never

00:14:39.160 see an

00:14:39.580 advertisement

00:14:40.060 again,

00:14:40.840 unless your

00:14:42.560 personal

00:14:43.100 version of

00:14:43.700 AI decided

00:14:45.540 from based

00:14:46.280 on what you

00:14:46.900 told it

00:14:47.280 directly,

00:14:48.120 or what

00:14:48.880 it knew

00:14:49.200 about you,

00:14:50.260 that it

00:14:50.560 would always

00:14:50.940 be scanning

00:14:51.580 for new

00:14:52.020 products,

00:14:53.020 and if

00:14:53.300 it found

00:14:53.660 anything that

00:14:54.200 was right

00:14:54.600 on point

00:14:55.140 for you,

00:14:56.140 it would

00:14:56.400 show it

00:14:56.740 to you.

00:14:58.140 But it

00:14:58.680 wouldn't show

00:14:59.140 it to you

00:14:59.520 while you're

00:14:59.940 on task.

00:15:01.580 In other

00:15:01.880 words,

00:15:02.080 it wouldn't

00:15:02.360 interrupt you

00:15:03.040 while you're

00:15:03.360 reading something.

00:15:04.640 It would

00:15:05.180 simply know

00:15:05.780 that a good

00:15:06.240 time to talk

00:15:06.840 to you,

00:15:07.320 or even

00:15:07.980 maybe just

00:15:08.480 make a little

00:15:08.960 shopping list

00:15:09.560 for you,

00:15:10.320 that you

00:15:10.600 don't even

00:15:11.000 see unless

00:15:12.320 you tap

00:15:12.740 on it.

00:15:13.080 I don't

00:15:15.440 see any

00:15:16.380 way that

00:15:17.320 advertising

00:15:18.000 works as

00:15:20.380 a revenue

00:15:22.380 model,

00:15:23.040 as a business

00:15:23.640 model,

00:15:24.340 in 10

00:15:24.900 years.

00:15:25.720 How many

00:15:26.340 would agree

00:15:26.780 with the

00:15:27.120 following

00:15:27.480 statement?

00:15:28.560 In 10

00:15:29.080 years,

00:15:29.760 the advertising

00:15:30.720 model will be

00:15:31.480 completely dead.

00:15:33.280 In 10

00:15:33.720 years.

00:15:35.520 I think I

00:15:37.600 can convince

00:15:38.140 you in 10

00:15:38.640 years it'll be

00:15:39.200 dead.

00:15:39.460 How about

00:15:42.700 5?

00:15:44.440 Will anybody

00:15:45.280 go with me

00:15:45.860 to 5?

00:15:47.040 Because the

00:15:47.420 thing that'll

00:15:47.820 kill it is

00:15:48.420 likely to be

00:15:49.060 some AI

00:15:49.740 related

00:15:50.380 architecture.

00:15:52.860 I think

00:15:53.540 5.

00:15:55.860 Now,

00:15:56.540 in 5,

00:15:57.200 I don't

00:15:57.480 mean every

00:15:58.040 single ad

00:15:58.780 model would

00:15:59.280 be dead.

00:16:00.620 I mean,

00:16:01.040 in 5,

00:16:01.680 you could

00:16:02.020 maybe imagine

00:16:03.020 that X

00:16:04.260 would be

00:16:04.660 ad model

00:16:05.920 free,

00:16:07.080 while still

00:16:07.860 giving you

00:16:09.160 all the

00:16:09.440 advertisements.

00:16:11.220 You might

00:16:12.140 actually say,

00:16:13.500 let me ask

00:16:14.040 you this,

00:16:14.600 how much

00:16:15.020 would you

00:16:15.400 pay to

00:16:15.860 never see

00:16:16.300 another

00:16:16.560 advertisement

00:16:17.060 again unless

00:16:17.840 you wanted

00:16:18.240 it?

00:16:19.940 And you

00:16:20.500 only see it

00:16:21.000 when you

00:16:21.200 want to.

00:16:22.560 How much

00:16:23.240 would you

00:16:23.520 pay to

00:16:24.040 remove just

00:16:24.800 advertising

00:16:25.440 from social

00:16:26.900 media?

00:16:28.720 Because we're

00:16:29.040 getting pretty

00:16:29.460 close to that,

00:16:30.120 and here's

00:16:30.420 how.

00:16:31.660 If Musk

00:16:33.060 succeeds in

00:16:34.120 making X

00:16:34.880 the place

00:16:35.320 you go and

00:16:35.880 just live,

00:16:37.100 because you

00:16:37.420 can make

00:16:37.740 payments there,

00:16:38.580 you can see

00:16:39.140 the news

00:16:39.640 there,

00:16:40.080 you can

00:16:40.380 comment

00:16:40.780 there.

00:16:41.680 Basically,

00:16:42.300 you can

00:16:42.460 just live

00:16:42.880 there.

00:16:43.980 See all

00:16:44.300 your videos

00:16:44.820 and everything.

00:16:45.780 Then,

00:16:46.580 suppose he

00:16:47.140 makes it

00:16:47.500 ad free.

00:16:49.600 Imagine

00:16:50.040 going to

00:16:50.620 an environment

00:16:51.420 that's

00:16:51.740 ad free,

00:16:52.600 and playing

00:16:53.260 in your

00:16:53.580 playground

00:16:53.940 all day.

00:16:55.000 How would

00:16:55.380 you feel

00:16:55.880 the first

00:16:56.680 time you

00:16:57.000 turn on

00:16:57.460 cable news

00:16:58.260 and it

00:16:58.620 goes to

00:16:58.920 a commercial

00:16:59.420 in 12

00:17:00.740 minutes,

00:17:01.700 and it

00:17:02.560 stays there

00:17:03.020 for another

00:17:03.360 12 minutes,

00:17:04.360 it seems

00:17:04.660 like.

00:17:04.940 You

00:17:06.480 will be

00:17:07.140 so done

00:17:07.740 with the

00:17:08.060 ad model

00:17:08.560 once you

00:17:09.080 buy out.

00:17:10.020 I'll tell you

00:17:10.800 I have some

00:17:11.160 experience with

00:17:11.860 this,

00:17:12.940 because I've

00:17:15.660 bought myself

00:17:16.460 out at the

00:17:16.920 YouTube

00:17:17.240 advertisements,

00:17:18.720 meaning that

00:17:19.400 if you pay

00:17:19.880 extra,

00:17:20.900 I forget what

00:17:21.600 they call it,

00:17:22.380 but whatever

00:17:22.780 the business

00:17:24.000 model is on

00:17:24.840 YouTube,

00:17:26.100 you pay extra

00:17:26.640 to see no

00:17:27.180 advertisements.

00:17:27.700 the nature

00:17:29.620 of your

00:17:33.320 experience

00:17:34.020 without

00:17:34.620 advertisement

00:17:35.340 is so

00:17:36.860 transformative

00:17:37.540 that it

00:17:38.680 makes YouTube,

00:17:39.840 in my

00:17:40.240 opinion,

00:17:41.320 the premier

00:17:42.160 entertainment

00:17:44.620 vehicle in

00:17:46.520 the world

00:17:47.020 by 10.

00:17:49.200 It's probably

00:17:49.800 10 times more

00:17:50.740 entertaining than

00:17:51.620 the next most

00:17:52.440 entertaining thing,

00:17:53.780 this long

00:17:54.220 form.

00:17:55.180 I'm just

00:17:55.540 talking about

00:17:55.960 long form.

00:17:57.700 So anyway,

00:17:59.740 I think

00:18:00.320 Musk might

00:18:01.040 have more

00:18:01.720 of an

00:18:02.100 instinct about

00:18:03.220 advertising being

00:18:04.460 dead than

00:18:05.200 you do,

00:18:06.280 and just

00:18:07.260 speculating,

00:18:08.500 that I think

00:18:09.000 he's probably

00:18:09.500 thinking ahead

00:18:10.180 to the death

00:18:10.700 of advertising,

00:18:11.920 and that he

00:18:12.660 probably didn't

00:18:13.460 feel that it

00:18:14.780 was an

00:18:15.260 existential threat

00:18:16.400 to X

00:18:17.080 if he just

00:18:18.120 killed it

00:18:18.580 early.

00:18:19.780 In fact,

00:18:20.240 it might

00:18:20.520 accelerate the

00:18:21.680 urgency to get

00:18:22.660 past the

00:18:23.160 model,

00:18:24.160 which is going

00:18:24.680 to happen

00:18:24.940 anyway.

00:18:26.000 So he might

00:18:26.960 actually come

00:18:27.440 on ahead

00:18:27.920 because you

00:18:29.140 can imagine

00:18:29.660 what would

00:18:30.040 happen to

00:18:30.500 the team

00:18:30.960 at X.

00:18:32.100 Imagine

00:18:32.600 that you're

00:18:32.940 working at

00:18:33.480 X.

00:18:34.520 Some people

00:18:35.420 are trying

00:18:35.740 to work

00:18:36.120 on the

00:18:36.520 non-advertising

00:18:37.480 model,

00:18:38.620 and some

00:18:39.080 are working

00:18:39.480 on the

00:18:39.800 advertising

00:18:40.220 model.

00:18:41.460 Do you

00:18:42.100 think when

00:18:42.460 he blew

00:18:42.800 up the

00:18:43.100 advertising

00:18:43.600 model,

00:18:44.520 that that

00:18:44.900 changed

00:18:45.280 the energy?

00:18:46.980 Probably.

00:18:48.020 Probably the

00:18:48.780 people figuring

00:18:49.560 out how to

00:18:50.140 make AI

00:18:50.640 work and

00:18:51.280 all the

00:18:51.960 alternatives

00:18:52.520 probably got

00:18:53.680 real busy.

00:18:54.220 probably also

00:18:56.060 the advertising

00:18:56.900 team got

00:18:57.520 real focused

00:18:58.460 on smaller

00:18:59.160 businesses,

00:19:00.440 the ones

00:19:00.760 that are

00:19:01.400 more likely

00:19:02.960 to be

00:19:03.520 advertising.

00:19:05.880 So I'm

00:19:06.740 not sure

00:19:07.140 that that

00:19:07.520 was the

00:19:08.040 bad thing

00:19:08.580 that you

00:19:08.840 think it

00:19:09.200 was.

00:19:10.840 Maybe it

00:19:11.540 was.

00:19:11.880 There's no

00:19:12.240 way to read

00:19:12.620 his mind

00:19:13.000 to know

00:19:13.320 what he

00:19:13.500 was thinking.

00:19:14.460 But I'm

00:19:14.900 going to go

00:19:15.700 on record

00:19:16.120 as saying

00:19:16.520 I think

00:19:17.020 that Musk

00:19:18.080 will probably

00:19:19.720 say something

00:19:20.480 that suggests

00:19:21.180 the advertising

00:19:21.900 model is not

00:19:22.640 forever.

00:19:22.960 expect to

00:19:25.080 see that.

00:19:27.880 All right.

00:19:28.680 Climate

00:19:29.260 activists are

00:19:30.020 concerned that

00:19:31.600 AI would be

00:19:32.820 another risk

00:19:33.500 to climate

00:19:34.040 in two

00:19:35.500 different ways.

00:19:37.040 AI might

00:19:37.600 be used to

00:19:38.180 spread climate

00:19:38.940 disinformation.

00:19:40.760 Well,

00:19:41.620 my God.

00:19:44.300 My God.

00:19:45.420 Yeah.

00:19:46.400 I'd hate for

00:19:47.380 there to be

00:19:47.860 any climate

00:19:48.540 disinformation

00:19:49.380 out there.

00:19:50.680 Because you

00:19:51.040 know what?

00:19:51.520 the climate

00:19:53.140 information that

00:19:54.040 we have now

00:19:54.720 is so good

00:19:56.320 that we all

00:19:57.560 have the same

00:19:58.100 opinion about

00:19:58.760 the risk.

00:19:59.260 Am I right?

00:20:01.180 Yeah.

00:20:01.860 Because it

00:20:02.440 would be a

00:20:02.780 real problem

00:20:03.420 if suddenly

00:20:04.340 our good

00:20:04.900 climate

00:20:05.300 information

00:20:05.900 turned into

00:20:07.180 unreliable

00:20:08.040 stuff because

00:20:09.500 of AI.

00:20:09.920 I mean,

00:20:11.240 that's reason

00:20:12.080 enough to

00:20:12.540 stop AI.

00:20:13.800 Let's slow

00:20:14.320 that down.

00:20:15.540 We don't

00:20:15.820 want any

00:20:16.260 unreliable

00:20:17.220 information about

00:20:18.060 the climate

00:20:18.520 out there.

00:20:18.980 But also

00:20:22.140 the AI

00:20:22.940 models are

00:20:23.520 huge data

00:20:25.040 center users

00:20:26.700 and so

00:20:27.320 they use

00:20:28.580 a ton of

00:20:29.260 electricity.

00:20:30.820 So that's

00:20:31.240 a good

00:20:31.420 point.

00:20:33.380 Or is

00:20:34.160 it?

00:20:36.560 Here are a

00:20:37.340 few things

00:20:37.860 that AI

00:20:38.440 might tell

00:20:39.180 you about

00:20:39.960 climate

00:20:40.480 models.

00:20:41.880 You know

00:20:42.200 how I know

00:20:42.720 that it

00:20:43.000 might tell

00:20:43.360 you this?

00:20:44.720 I asked

00:20:45.560 it.

00:20:45.740 So I

00:20:47.220 asked AI,

00:20:48.280 hey,

00:20:48.920 I got a

00:20:49.280 few specific

00:20:49.880 questions about

00:20:50.560 climate models

00:20:51.340 because I

00:20:52.360 would like to

00:20:52.800 know how

00:20:53.100 reliable they

00:20:53.840 are.

00:20:54.940 So here

00:20:55.340 are some

00:20:55.640 things that

00:20:56.480 there's no

00:20:56.940 opinion in

00:20:57.760 what I give

00:20:58.200 you now.

00:20:59.320 So these

00:20:59.820 are just

00:21:00.120 facts.

00:21:02.380 I asked

00:21:03.140 how many

00:21:03.480 climate

00:21:03.860 models are

00:21:04.460 there?

00:21:06.940 Do you

00:21:07.600 know?

00:21:08.240 How many

00:21:08.800 climate

00:21:09.240 models are

00:21:09.840 there?

00:21:13.720 Thousands?

00:21:14.240 Dozens?

00:21:16.260 Hundreds?

00:21:16.840 Twenty-five?

00:21:18.440 Sixty?

00:21:19.620 Thirteen?

00:21:20.440 Now, don't

00:21:20.980 you think

00:21:21.460 that if

00:21:22.900 the entire

00:21:23.480 strategy of

00:21:24.360 climate change

00:21:25.100 is based on

00:21:26.040 the models,

00:21:27.220 and it is,

00:21:28.820 don't you

00:21:29.200 think you

00:21:29.560 should know

00:21:29.980 how many

00:21:30.400 models there

00:21:30.960 are?

00:21:32.100 Would it

00:21:32.700 affect your

00:21:33.220 opinion of

00:21:33.800 the reliability

00:21:34.420 of models if

00:21:35.920 you knew how

00:21:36.360 many there

00:21:36.720 were?

00:21:38.200 Take two

00:21:39.180 extremes.

00:21:40.760 Let's say

00:21:41.220 there had

00:21:42.460 never been

00:21:42.940 more than

00:21:44.240 five

00:21:44.800 models.

00:21:47.020 And one

00:21:47.860 of them

00:21:48.120 got thrown

00:21:48.580 away over

00:21:49.240 the years

00:21:49.740 because it

00:21:50.460 just didn't

00:21:50.820 work.

00:21:51.720 But imagine

00:21:52.280 if the other

00:21:52.860 four had

00:21:54.480 been doing a

00:21:55.180 pretty good

00:21:55.920 job for

00:21:56.620 like 30

00:21:57.180 years.

00:21:58.500 That would

00:21:59.180 tell you

00:21:59.520 something important,

00:22:00.340 wouldn't it?

00:22:00.680 You had three

00:22:01.160 different models,

00:22:02.380 and they actually

00:22:02.980 predicted pretty

00:22:03.980 well the

00:22:05.700 actual temperature

00:22:06.620 for 30

00:22:07.340 years?

00:22:08.240 My God,

00:22:08.840 that would

00:22:09.080 be amazing.

00:22:10.720 And I would

00:22:11.180 be quite inclined

00:22:12.000 to believe a

00:22:12.600 model like that.

00:22:14.240 Do we have

00:22:14.660 that?

00:22:15.880 No, nothing

00:22:16.600 like that.

00:22:18.040 That would

00:22:18.660 be very,

00:22:19.980 very believable.

00:22:22.720 All right,

00:22:22.960 here's another

00:22:23.320 question.

00:22:24.260 So the answer

00:22:24.960 is that the

00:22:26.440 IPPC averages

00:22:28.140 29 models.

00:22:32.020 Is that the

00:22:32.800 answer to how

00:22:34.220 many models

00:22:34.760 there are?

00:22:35.580 If the most

00:22:36.860 official body

00:22:37.740 takes the

00:22:38.900 average of 29

00:22:39.900 models,

00:22:40.400 so would

00:22:41.500 it be fair

00:22:41.960 to say

00:22:42.440 there are

00:22:43.440 about 29

00:22:44.140 models?

00:22:45.860 Does it

00:22:46.480 follow?

00:22:47.260 Does it

00:22:47.880 follow that

00:22:48.400 if they

00:22:48.820 only use

00:22:49.920 29,

00:22:51.300 well,

00:22:51.580 they can't

00:22:51.920 be that

00:22:52.260 much more

00:22:52.880 than 29?

00:22:55.200 Because the

00:22:55.820 whole reason

00:22:56.620 that you take

00:22:57.080 an average

00:22:57.500 is because

00:22:58.880 you're not

00:22:59.280 sure which

00:22:59.700 ones are

00:23:00.080 right.

00:23:01.380 So if you

00:23:02.080 had hundreds

00:23:02.600 of them,

00:23:03.380 and you're

00:23:03.860 not sure

00:23:04.220 they're right,

00:23:05.140 you would

00:23:05.700 take the

00:23:06.020 average of

00:23:06.480 all the

00:23:06.720 hundreds.

00:23:06.980 So

00:23:08.700 therefore,

00:23:09.300 if they're

00:23:09.560 only taking

00:23:10.000 an average

00:23:10.360 of 29,

00:23:11.900 doesn't that

00:23:12.440 suggest,

00:23:13.960 since they're

00:23:14.420 not being

00:23:14.820 super picky

00:23:15.520 about which,

00:23:16.400 you know,

00:23:16.800 because they

00:23:17.140 don't know

00:23:17.440 which ones

00:23:17.800 are right,

00:23:18.340 that's why

00:23:18.700 they take

00:23:19.060 an average,

00:23:20.060 doesn't it

00:23:20.500 suggest that

00:23:21.120 the total

00:23:21.560 number might

00:23:22.620 be close

00:23:23.060 to 29,

00:23:24.360 because why

00:23:24.920 would they

00:23:25.260 throw out

00:23:25.780 any models?

00:23:27.220 What would

00:23:27.980 be the

00:23:28.300 reasoning for

00:23:29.800 discarding any

00:23:31.180 models at

00:23:31.780 all if they

00:23:32.780 don't know

00:23:33.080 which ones

00:23:33.420 are right?

00:23:34.800 And they

00:23:35.320 don't know

00:23:35.680 which ones

00:23:36.040 are right,

00:23:36.420 that's why

00:23:37.060 you average,

00:23:38.040 because you

00:23:38.240 don't know

00:23:38.520 which one's

00:23:38.880 right.

00:23:40.340 Well,

00:23:40.860 the answer

00:23:41.220 is,

00:23:41.640 it's probably

00:23:42.200 hundreds of

00:23:42.900 models,

00:23:43.560 but they

00:23:44.320 average 29.

00:23:45.920 Huh.

00:23:47.380 Huh.

00:23:48.800 Now,

00:23:49.320 here's another

00:23:49.700 question for

00:23:50.260 you.

00:23:51.520 How many

00:23:52.080 models are

00:23:52.900 retired every

00:23:53.840 year?

00:23:55.040 Do you know

00:23:55.640 what that

00:23:55.860 means?

00:23:57.180 It means there

00:23:57.980 used to be a

00:23:58.480 model that they

00:23:59.020 were tracking,

00:23:59.940 but it became

00:24:00.840 so bad at

00:24:01.620 tracking over

00:24:02.260 time that they

00:24:03.440 said, you

00:24:03.820 know, we

00:24:04.060 can't even

00:24:04.420 tweak it.

00:24:05.400 We're just

00:24:05.820 going to

00:24:06.020 throw this

00:24:06.420 in a way.

00:24:08.560 How many?

00:24:09.460 So, out

00:24:10.400 of the number

00:24:11.520 of models that

00:24:12.200 you don't even

00:24:12.680 know how many

00:24:13.200 there are,

00:24:14.140 maybe hundreds,

00:24:15.620 but maybe

00:24:16.020 29 good ones

00:24:17.000 according to

00:24:17.420 the IPPC,

00:24:18.480 how many of

00:24:19.000 them change

00:24:19.660 out every

00:24:20.120 year so

00:24:21.200 that the

00:24:21.580 29 you're

00:24:22.240 looking at

00:24:22.740 are not

00:24:23.220 exactly the

00:24:23.920 same 29

00:24:24.560 as five

00:24:25.100 years ago?

00:24:26.560 Do half

00:24:27.680 of them

00:24:27.940 change out?

00:24:29.000 Because if

00:24:29.600 half of them

00:24:30.160 changed out,

00:24:31.420 wouldn't you

00:24:31.820 say to

00:24:32.100 yourself,

00:24:32.480 well, that

00:24:32.700 doesn't sound

00:24:33.160 very good

00:24:34.020 at all?

00:24:34.900 That sounds

00:24:35.300 like guessing

00:24:35.840 if half of

00:24:37.080 them are

00:24:37.340 replaced every

00:24:38.000 year, or

00:24:39.100 is it one?

00:24:41.340 One out of

00:24:42.080 29 wouldn't

00:24:42.820 be bad, but

00:24:44.660 how about the

00:24:46.020 fact that you

00:24:46.420 don't know the

00:24:46.900 answer to that

00:24:47.400 question?

00:24:48.440 Because if you

00:24:49.140 don't know how

00:24:49.660 many get changed

00:24:50.480 out every year,

00:24:51.420 you don't know

00:24:52.380 anything.

00:24:52.700 Do you understand

00:24:54.760 that?

00:24:55.600 If they're tracking

00:24:56.700 29-ish models,

00:24:58.620 but you don't know

00:24:59.920 if they're replacing

00:25:00.720 models as they

00:25:01.580 go, you

00:25:03.080 literally don't

00:25:03.640 know anything.

00:25:05.700 Nothing can be

00:25:06.760 deduced from

00:25:08.300 tracking a

00:25:09.220 changing basket

00:25:10.400 of anything.

00:25:12.280 Imagine if this

00:25:13.120 had been the

00:25:13.500 stock market,

00:25:14.700 and they say

00:25:15.020 we're going to

00:25:15.440 track the

00:25:16.980 S&P 500.

00:25:19.500 Oh, but wait,

00:25:21.080 the S&P 500,

00:25:22.360 the biggest

00:25:23.000 500 companies,

00:25:24.060 it changes all

00:25:24.820 the time.

00:25:25.720 Things are

00:25:26.060 coming in and

00:25:26.620 coming out.

00:25:27.520 So at the

00:25:27.840 end, what did

00:25:28.360 you really

00:25:28.660 check?

00:25:29.000 It wasn't

00:25:30.600 500 companies

00:25:31.860 because at the

00:25:32.980 end, it might

00:25:33.420 be 350 to the

00:25:35.200 left, depending

00:25:35.820 on how long

00:25:36.360 you're tracking.

00:25:37.860 So if you're

00:25:39.160 not tracking

00:25:39.680 the same thing,

00:25:41.020 you're not

00:25:41.560 tracking anything.

00:25:44.000 All right,

00:25:44.240 here's another

00:25:44.620 question.

00:25:46.760 How many

00:25:47.560 variables are

00:25:49.560 in a model?

00:25:51.700 How many

00:25:52.480 variables are

00:25:54.180 in a typical

00:25:54.900 model?

00:25:56.080 If there were

00:25:57.080 three variables,

00:25:58.060 variables, I

00:25:59.020 would say to

00:25:59.420 myself, hmm,

00:26:01.020 three variables.

00:26:02.560 There's at

00:26:03.240 least a

00:26:03.620 fighting chance

00:26:04.460 that you

00:26:05.200 could wrestle

00:26:05.800 three variables

00:26:06.800 into a useful

00:26:08.340 model.

00:26:10.060 Because three

00:26:10.560 is not too

00:26:11.100 many.

00:26:12.480 Suppose you

00:26:13.620 had five.

00:26:16.800 Five is not

00:26:17.740 just two more

00:26:19.100 variables.

00:26:20.100 When you go

00:26:20.840 from three

00:26:21.340 variables to

00:26:22.000 five, your

00:26:23.640 possibilities

00:26:24.540 explode.

00:26:25.220 four variables.

00:26:27.400 How many

00:26:28.280 variables do

00:26:28.980 you think are

00:26:30.000 the essential

00:26:31.200 variables?

00:26:32.340 Do they even

00:26:32.740 have a name

00:26:33.120 for it?

00:26:33.580 The essential

00:26:34.080 variables.

00:26:34.920 Because they're

00:26:35.680 infinite variables,

00:26:36.980 but they're not

00:26:37.540 all meaningful.

00:26:38.780 How many are

00:26:39.540 the essential

00:26:40.140 ones?

00:26:41.440 Well, if you

00:26:42.960 check online,

00:26:43.680 you'll find out

00:26:44.300 four.

00:26:45.660 The four

00:26:46.360 variables.

00:26:47.760 So I said,

00:26:48.400 oh, that's not

00:26:49.360 bad.

00:26:50.180 Really?

00:26:51.220 There's just four

00:26:51.800 variables?

00:26:52.240 And then I

00:26:53.780 looked a little

00:26:54.400 deeper.

00:26:55.360 No, there

00:26:55.940 are four

00:26:56.500 categories of

00:26:58.440 variables.

00:26:59.760 There are four

00:27:00.200 categories.

00:27:01.760 The total

00:27:02.460 number of

00:27:02.900 variables is

00:27:03.680 closer to

00:27:04.500 54 essential

00:27:06.300 variables.

00:27:08.860 54

00:27:09.500 variables.

00:27:11.860 Now let me

00:27:12.760 ask you this.

00:27:15.140 What if there

00:27:16.160 were one more

00:27:16.960 variable that

00:27:17.660 they found

00:27:18.280 tomorrow?

00:27:18.900 Because I

00:27:20.920 see stories

00:27:21.700 about this

00:27:22.100 all the

00:27:22.360 time.

00:27:22.640 Oh, we

00:27:22.960 found another

00:27:24.240 variable we

00:27:24.920 didn't know

00:27:25.280 about.

00:27:26.440 If you

00:27:27.000 were to

00:27:27.280 find the

00:27:28.160 55th

00:27:28.960 variable and

00:27:30.440 you added

00:27:30.900 it to the

00:27:31.440 54, what

00:27:32.920 does your

00:27:33.300 intuition tell

00:27:34.180 you?

00:27:35.020 Does your

00:27:35.420 intuition tell

00:27:36.140 you, well,

00:27:36.680 it's only one

00:27:37.400 more variable.

00:27:38.560 You've already

00:27:39.120 got 54

00:27:39.860 variables.

00:27:40.900 So if you're

00:27:41.520 only going to

00:27:41.900 add one

00:27:42.320 more, how

00:27:42.920 much difference

00:27:43.480 could it

00:27:43.760 make?

00:27:44.400 Am I

00:27:44.720 right?

00:27:45.420 It's only

00:27:45.760 one more

00:27:46.140 variable.

00:27:47.020 You've

00:27:47.240 already got

00:27:47.520 54.

00:27:47.940 couldn't

00:27:48.940 make that

00:27:49.320 much

00:27:49.500 difference,

00:27:49.920 right?

00:27:51.200 No.

00:27:52.500 One

00:27:52.980 variable can

00:27:53.800 completely

00:27:54.300 change the

00:27:54.840 outcome from

00:27:55.480 up to

00:27:55.960 down.

00:27:56.940 If you've

00:27:57.680 never done

00:27:58.140 modeling, you

00:28:00.240 wouldn't know

00:28:00.600 that.

00:28:02.020 How many

00:28:02.720 of the

00:28:03.300 54 variables,

00:28:05.180 if you

00:28:05.580 got any

00:28:06.140 one of

00:28:06.540 them wrong,

00:28:07.240 just one

00:28:07.660 of them,

00:28:08.640 how many

00:28:09.100 of the

00:28:09.420 54 could

00:28:10.280 completely

00:28:10.860 reverse the

00:28:11.700 direction from

00:28:12.860 the temperature

00:28:13.380 going up to

00:28:14.720 the temperature

00:28:15.200 going down

00:28:16.020 in the

00:28:16.560 future?

00:28:16.820 How many

00:28:17.880 of the

00:28:18.080 54,

00:28:18.780 if you

00:28:18.980 just had

00:28:19.300 one of

00:28:19.600 them,

00:28:19.920 just one

00:28:20.500 of them,

00:28:21.180 a little

00:28:21.540 bit

00:28:21.700 wrong,

00:28:22.980 how can

00:28:23.580 it change

00:28:23.960 a lot

00:28:24.860 of them

00:28:25.080 probably?

00:28:26.440 Probably a

00:28:27.300 number of

00:28:27.820 the 54,

00:28:28.760 if you

00:28:29.020 got them

00:28:29.260 a little

00:28:29.560 bit wrong

00:28:30.040 and you

00:28:30.960 iterate that

00:28:31.660 over time

00:28:32.200 because small

00:28:32.800 errors exaggerate

00:28:33.780 over time

00:28:34.280 with models.

00:28:35.960 Probably there

00:28:36.780 are 54

00:28:38.160 ways that

00:28:38.940 that could

00:28:39.260 go wrong.

00:28:40.760 In other

00:28:41.100 words,

00:28:41.340 you'd have to

00:28:42.280 really have

00:28:42.700 a solid

00:28:43.940 lock

00:28:44.440 handle on

00:28:45.540 all 54

00:28:46.320 variables or

00:28:48.160 else it

00:28:48.540 wouldn't

00:28:48.740 necessarily be

00:28:50.020 anything.

00:28:51.280 It would

00:28:51.520 just be,

00:28:52.000 I don't know,

00:28:52.400 it could be

00:28:52.620 anything.

00:28:53.500 That would

00:28:53.780 be the only

00:28:54.180 way to

00:28:54.480 analyze 54

00:28:55.440 variables.

00:28:56.820 Now let

00:28:57.140 me ask you

00:28:57.540 this.

00:28:59.020 How many

00:28:59.640 models that

00:29:01.060 purport to

00:29:01.960 forecast the

00:29:02.740 future, and

00:29:04.400 of course there

00:29:05.040 are financial

00:29:05.540 models, economic

00:29:06.540 models, so a

00:29:07.540 lot of people

00:29:07.900 have models that

00:29:08.540 try to forecast

00:29:09.380 the future?

00:29:10.320 How many

00:29:10.780 of them have

00:29:11.360 something in

00:29:12.740 the order of

00:29:13.340 54 variables

00:29:14.500 and a track

00:29:15.940 record of being

00:29:16.580 correct?

00:29:19.960 Now I'm

00:29:20.820 laughing because

00:29:21.980 everybody who's

00:29:23.040 been involved in

00:29:23.820 any kind of

00:29:24.520 forecasting or

00:29:25.380 modeling knows,

00:29:27.460 and I'm going to

00:29:27.880 say as clearly

00:29:28.480 as possible,

00:29:30.300 they know that

00:29:32.140 this isn't real.

00:29:33.900 This is not

00:29:34.480 real.

00:29:35.440 There's nobody

00:29:35.980 tracking 54

00:29:37.000 variables and

00:29:38.580 maybe 100

00:29:39.360 hundreds of

00:29:39.760 models, but

00:29:40.860 some humans

00:29:41.640 are picking the

00:29:42.360 best 29 out

00:29:43.600 of the hundreds

00:29:44.100 because what?

00:29:46.520 Do you know

00:29:46.900 how they pick

00:29:47.400 the 29 models

00:29:48.560 out of the

00:29:48.960 hundreds of

00:29:49.380 models?

00:29:50.440 Is it because

00:29:51.340 they're the

00:29:51.660 most accurate?

00:29:54.300 I doubt it.

00:29:55.840 Or is it the

00:29:56.660 ones that support

00:29:57.620 the narrative

00:29:59.120 the best?

00:30:00.160 What do you

00:30:00.560 think?

00:30:02.180 What do you

00:30:02.640 think?

00:30:03.480 Use your

00:30:04.100 understanding of

00:30:04.900 everything you've

00:30:05.600 ever seen in

00:30:06.280 the real world.

00:30:07.700 You tell me that

00:30:08.440 there are hundreds

00:30:09.000 of models to

00:30:09.680 choose from.

00:30:10.780 They're only

00:30:11.200 going to choose

00:30:11.720 29.

00:30:12.880 You think they're

00:30:13.480 going to choose

00:30:13.940 29 models that

00:30:15.420 when you put them

00:30:15.980 together they don't

00:30:16.760 support the

00:30:17.320 narrative?

00:30:18.780 There isn't the

00:30:20.200 slightest chance of

00:30:21.060 that.

00:30:22.120 Not even the

00:30:23.120 slightest chance.

00:30:24.540 Now how about

00:30:25.020 weighting?

00:30:26.420 You think they

00:30:26.940 take those 29

00:30:27.860 models and they

00:30:29.700 give them all

00:30:30.240 equal weight?

00:30:32.000 Because normally

00:30:32.880 when you do a

00:30:33.520 survey, you would

00:30:34.940 weight it by the

00:30:36.180 number of people

00:30:36.700 you talk to.

00:30:38.320 If you're

00:30:38.960 going to take

00:30:39.340 an average of

00:30:40.680 a bunch of

00:30:41.300 surveys about

00:30:42.600 let's say vaccine

00:30:43.540 effectiveness or

00:30:45.080 something like

00:30:45.360 that, the thing

00:30:46.520 that would make

00:30:47.040 it logical to

00:30:48.060 average them is

00:30:49.680 that they're

00:30:50.600 individually

00:30:51.160 smallish studies.

00:30:53.800 So if you add

00:30:55.060 them together,

00:30:55.440 you've got enough

00:30:56.080 at least people

00:30:56.880 involved to say

00:30:58.200 something.

00:30:58.880 But what is it

00:30:59.580 you're averaging if

00:31:00.440 you're averaging

00:31:01.060 climate models?

00:31:02.600 what is the

00:31:04.740 meta-analysis logic

00:31:07.120 that adding them

00:31:08.660 together and

00:31:09.260 taking the

00:31:09.740 average is

00:31:11.500 anything?

00:31:13.840 Like how does

00:31:14.860 it even make

00:31:15.200 sense?

00:31:17.760 Yeah.

00:31:18.420 The meta-analysis

00:31:19.700 at least makes

00:31:20.600 sense even though

00:31:21.440 it's bullshitted

00:31:22.160 and it's horoscopes.

00:31:23.540 But at least

00:31:23.960 there's a little

00:31:24.620 bit of logic to

00:31:25.700 it.

00:31:26.220 If the only

00:31:26.860 thing wrong with

00:31:27.480 the studies was

00:31:28.160 some of them

00:31:29.220 were underpowered,

00:31:30.180 then adding

00:31:31.560 them together

00:31:32.480 would be

00:31:32.820 exactly the

00:31:33.380 right solution.

00:31:35.360 But if you

00:31:35.960 have completely

00:31:36.600 just people

00:31:37.960 looking at

00:31:38.460 variables on

00:31:39.240 their own

00:31:39.640 and databases

00:31:40.320 on their own,

00:31:41.520 what is it

00:31:42.100 you're averaging?

00:31:44.520 Just the

00:31:45.140 outcomes.

00:31:46.400 And I'm not

00:31:46.800 sure there's

00:31:48.220 any logic to

00:31:49.040 that or

00:31:49.540 why would

00:31:52.160 you even

00:31:52.500 assume that

00:31:52.980 the average

00:31:53.440 is useful?

00:31:55.640 There's no

00:31:56.160 logic to say

00:31:57.320 that the

00:31:57.640 average would

00:31:58.160 be useful

00:31:58.700 in this

00:31:59.160 specific case.

00:32:00.180 There are

00:32:00.580 lots of

00:32:00.900 cases where

00:32:01.420 the average

00:32:01.820 isn't exactly

00:32:02.440 what you

00:32:02.780 want.

00:32:03.440 But I

00:32:03.720 don't see

00:32:04.020 any

00:32:04.260 internal

00:32:04.700 logic to

00:32:05.300 this.

00:32:08.040 So you

00:32:09.320 don't know

00:32:09.620 how many

00:32:09.940 models are

00:32:10.520 added to

00:32:11.100 the total

00:32:11.680 new models.

00:32:13.100 You don't

00:32:13.540 know how

00:32:13.840 many are

00:32:14.180 retired.

00:32:15.340 You don't

00:32:16.020 know how

00:32:16.320 they picked

00:32:16.680 the 29

00:32:17.260 models.

00:32:18.400 And you

00:32:19.000 don't know

00:32:19.500 if they

00:32:20.280 added one

00:32:20.880 more variable

00:32:21.560 someday to

00:32:22.280 the 54

00:32:22.860 they have

00:32:23.440 if it

00:32:24.120 would reverse

00:32:24.680 the entire

00:32:25.160 direction

00:32:25.620 of the

00:32:25.860 curve.

00:32:26.120 let me

00:32:28.280 say the

00:32:28.760 faster

00:32:29.380 version of

00:32:29.980 all this.

00:32:31.460 Nobody

00:32:31.800 can predict

00:32:32.340 the future.

00:32:35.520 Nobody

00:32:36.040 can predict

00:32:36.540 the future.

00:32:37.920 That's never

00:32:38.540 been a

00:32:38.860 thing.

00:32:39.980 Ever.

00:32:40.980 Ever.

00:32:41.840 You can

00:32:42.820 say maybe

00:32:43.360 that human

00:32:43.980 nature stays

00:32:44.760 consistent over

00:32:45.640 time.

00:32:46.020 and that

00:32:47.080 gives you

00:32:47.740 a little

00:32:48.020 bit of

00:32:48.360 that

00:32:48.600 history

00:32:49.500 repeats

00:32:50.080 feel.

00:32:50.860 But even

00:32:51.280 that's

00:32:51.600 fake.

00:32:52.660 But you

00:32:53.580 could definitely

00:32:53.980 say all

00:32:54.580 right next

00:32:55.320 year humans

00:32:55.940 will be

00:32:56.300 selfish and

00:32:57.080 susceptible

00:32:58.820 to cognitive

00:32:59.680 dissonance.

00:33:00.540 Yeah that's

00:33:00.940 fair.

00:33:01.820 But you

00:33:02.140 don't know

00:33:02.460 anything about

00:33:02.900 the variables

00:33:03.600 in nature.

00:33:06.540 All right.

00:33:09.500 Let's talk

00:33:10.120 about that

00:33:10.440 GOP debate.

00:33:12.080 I saw a

00:33:12.600 little of it

00:33:13.120 and I watched

00:33:13.520 a bunch of

00:33:13.880 clips.

00:33:14.200 If you

00:33:17.960 didn't watch

00:33:18.420 it the

00:33:18.760 four

00:33:19.240 participants

00:33:19.820 that are

00:33:20.340 not Trump

00:33:20.900 are Vivek

00:33:22.500 Ramaswamy

00:33:23.160 and Chris

00:33:23.860 Christie and

00:33:24.780 Nikki Haley

00:33:25.360 and that

00:33:27.560 other guy.

00:33:28.360 Who's the

00:33:28.640 other guy?

00:33:29.920 Who's the

00:33:30.300 fourth person

00:33:30.860 on the

00:33:31.120 stage?

00:33:33.100 The

00:33:33.220 sanctimonious

00:33:33.960 something?

00:33:35.080 Yeah somebody

00:33:35.560 named Ron

00:33:36.520 was also

00:33:37.560 there but

00:33:38.960 he did not

00:33:39.500 make any

00:33:39.940 highlight.

00:33:40.980 Ron didn't

00:33:41.820 make any

00:33:42.240 highlight films.

00:33:43.020 the highlight

00:33:44.640 films left

00:33:45.380 him out.

00:33:47.780 Now

00:33:48.020 here's what

00:33:51.920 I take

00:33:52.720 away from

00:33:53.180 the whole

00:33:53.480 thing.

00:33:55.140 It was

00:33:55.960 easy to

00:33:56.520 observe that

00:33:57.680 people just

00:33:58.260 thought their

00:33:59.100 favorite person

00:34:00.000 won.

00:34:01.840 I was

00:34:02.620 watching

00:34:03.060 David

00:34:03.980 Packman

00:34:04.440 when he

00:34:06.020 was observing

00:34:06.640 it as an

00:34:07.280 observer so I

00:34:08.200 was watching

00:34:08.600 him observe

00:34:09.220 in real

00:34:09.560 time and

00:34:10.840 his take

00:34:11.660 was that

00:34:12.040 Chris

00:34:12.300 Christie won

00:34:13.060 easily.

00:34:14.020 It was like

00:34:14.420 Chris Christie's

00:34:15.200 night.

00:34:16.440 Now Packman's

00:34:17.220 a Democrat

00:34:17.760 famous

00:34:19.260 Democrat and

00:34:21.480 do you think

00:34:22.140 that what he

00:34:22.680 was responding

00:34:23.260 to was the

00:34:24.080 quality of

00:34:24.880 Christie's

00:34:25.460 arguments or

00:34:26.920 was it that

00:34:27.560 Christie hates

00:34:28.280 Trump the

00:34:29.140 most?

00:34:30.480 Obviously it's

00:34:31.560 because Christie

00:34:32.880 is the one who

00:34:33.680 says Trump's

00:34:34.280 the problem.

00:34:35.180 Obviously.

00:34:35.580 Now did

00:34:37.360 he really

00:34:37.920 believe that

00:34:38.520 Chris Christie

00:34:39.120 did the best

00:34:39.900 job?

00:34:40.580 I think so.

00:34:41.600 I don't think

00:34:42.060 he was lying.

00:34:43.240 I think that

00:34:43.660 we all had

00:34:44.080 our subjective

00:34:44.760 reality

00:34:46.080 reinforced.

00:34:47.620 If you were

00:34:48.300 in Nikki

00:34:48.620 Hilley's camp

00:34:49.760 you thought

00:34:50.180 she won.

00:34:52.380 If you were

00:34:53.040 in DeSantis

00:34:53.540 camp you

00:34:54.400 thought he

00:34:54.800 won by not

00:34:55.600 making news

00:34:56.360 not being

00:34:57.420 crazy.

00:34:58.340 If you were

00:34:58.740 in Vivek's

00:34:59.380 camp as I

00:35:00.160 am you

00:35:01.020 think he

00:35:01.380 won and I

00:35:02.160 do.

00:35:03.000 So everybody

00:35:03.580 agreed with

00:35:04.280 what they

00:35:04.620 thought was

00:35:05.100 going to

00:35:05.280 happen before

00:35:05.860 it happened.

00:35:06.400 So you

00:35:07.340 could ignore

00:35:07.900 everybody's

00:35:08.580 opinion of

00:35:09.520 who won.

00:35:10.540 That's

00:35:11.060 useless.

00:35:12.320 But there

00:35:12.940 were some

00:35:13.480 highlights.

00:35:16.460 Van Jones

00:35:17.300 said he

00:35:17.660 was literally

00:35:18.280 shaking after

00:35:19.640 listening to

00:35:20.340 Vivek and

00:35:22.560 what he

00:35:23.020 called his

00:35:23.480 smooth and

00:35:24.080 condescending

00:35:24.660 way and

00:35:26.020 he's more

00:35:26.540 dangerous than

00:35:27.120 Trump because

00:35:27.700 he could

00:35:28.020 outlive Trump

00:35:29.400 by 50

00:35:29.900 years and

00:35:30.900 you might be

00:35:31.460 seeing a

00:35:33.160 tyrant in

00:35:33.940 the making

00:35:34.380 those are

00:35:35.400 my words

00:35:35.840 but he

00:35:37.400 says that

00:35:38.040 Vivek's

00:35:39.040 embracement

00:35:39.540 of the

00:35:40.040 quote

00:35:40.320 replacement

00:35:40.880 theory that

00:35:41.620 we'll talk

00:35:42.000 about is

00:35:43.000 one step

00:35:43.540 from Nazi

00:35:44.240 propaganda.

00:35:46.420 What do

00:35:46.720 you take

00:35:47.140 from Van

00:35:47.860 Jones'

00:35:48.420 reaction to

00:35:49.120 Vivek?

00:35:50.820 Do you

00:35:51.080 say to

00:35:51.340 yourself my

00:35:51.940 God I

00:35:52.460 had not

00:35:52.780 thought of

00:35:53.100 it that

00:35:53.340 way but

00:35:53.760 Van

00:35:54.540 Jones might

00:35:54.980 have a

00:35:55.240 good point

00:35:55.640 about this

00:35:56.120 this brown

00:35:57.600 fellow becoming

00:35:58.320 the next

00:35:58.760 Hitler or do

00:36:00.880 you say

00:36:01.300 that's the

00:36:02.380 only one he's

00:36:02.860 worried about.

00:36:04.380 to me it

00:36:06.600 looks like

00:36:06.960 Van

00:36:07.240 Jones is

00:36:07.740 only worried

00:36:08.280 about one

00:36:08.800 candidate

00:36:09.300 who isn't

00:36:09.840 Trump.

00:36:12.400 So does

00:36:13.780 that make

00:36:14.100 you like

00:36:14.460 Vivek less

00:36:15.380 knowing he's

00:36:16.480 the one that

00:36:16.880 scares Van

00:36:17.680 Jones the

00:36:18.240 most?

00:36:19.840 Well if you

00:36:20.520 believe that

00:36:21.020 the reason

00:36:21.420 he's scared

00:36:21.900 is the

00:36:22.920 risk of

00:36:23.420 totalitarian

00:36:24.220 racism

00:36:24.740 then I

00:36:25.980 guess you

00:36:28.460 haven't

00:36:28.740 listened to

00:36:29.140 anything

00:36:29.500 Vivek has

00:36:30.120 said.

00:36:30.340 that I

00:36:31.640 feel as

00:36:32.280 if this

00:36:33.300 analysis of

00:36:34.180 Vivek has

00:36:35.520 to ignore

00:36:36.100 everything he

00:36:37.040 stands for

00:36:37.780 the books

00:36:39.000 he's written

00:36:39.560 every TV

00:36:40.780 appearance and

00:36:41.540 everything he's

00:36:42.180 ever posted

00:36:42.740 which is

00:36:44.280 100%

00:36:45.560 merit and

00:36:49.100 not race.

00:36:51.400 He's the

00:36:52.280 most anti-racist

00:36:54.300 candidate of

00:36:55.160 all time.

00:36:55.720 by far.

00:36:58.560 He is the

00:36:58.980 furthest

00:36:59.480 from a

00:37:00.800 racist

00:37:01.440 Nazi

00:37:02.060 of any

00:37:03.540 major

00:37:04.320 candidate

00:37:04.760 in the

00:37:05.420 history of

00:37:06.080 the fucking

00:37:06.640 United States.

00:37:09.160 That's true.

00:37:11.160 He says

00:37:11.880 that the

00:37:12.240 loudest

00:37:12.780 and he's

00:37:13.720 the one

00:37:13.960 that says

00:37:14.340 you've got

00:37:14.660 to include

00:37:15.060 white people

00:37:15.660 and white

00:37:16.700 men if

00:37:17.540 you're being

00:37:17.900 serious about

00:37:18.740 merit,

00:37:20.240 if you're

00:37:20.620 being serious

00:37:21.160 about not

00:37:21.640 being racist.

00:37:22.300 who's the

00:37:25.480 other brown

00:37:26.580 leader who

00:37:27.920 says how

00:37:29.560 about white

00:37:30.140 people are

00:37:30.780 not discriminated

00:37:31.600 against either?

00:37:33.320 Yes, definitely

00:37:33.940 don't discriminate

00:37:34.620 against anybody

00:37:35.280 else, but

00:37:36.500 why are you

00:37:36.980 discriminated

00:37:37.500 against white

00:37:38.020 people?

00:37:39.640 He's the

00:37:40.020 only one.

00:37:41.760 Yeah.

00:37:43.840 The comment

00:37:44.780 says Scott

00:37:45.500 is Vivek's

00:37:46.500 propaganda

00:37:46.880 minister.

00:37:48.560 How about

00:37:49.180 I'm just

00:37:50.440 endorsing him

00:37:51.080 for president?

00:37:52.300 It looks

00:37:53.000 the same,

00:37:53.440 I guess.

00:37:55.760 All right,

00:37:56.060 some more

00:37:56.540 things that

00:37:57.980 happen.

00:38:02.100 So Megan

00:38:03.240 Kelly asked

00:38:04.060 Nikki Haley,

00:38:05.320 aren't you

00:38:05.740 too tight

00:38:06.240 with the

00:38:06.540 banks and

00:38:06.960 the billionaires

00:38:07.600 to win

00:38:08.000 over the

00:38:08.400 GOP's

00:38:08.980 working-class

00:38:09.760 base?

00:38:11.280 Good question.

00:38:13.040 And she

00:38:13.580 said,

00:38:14.240 we will

00:38:15.260 take support

00:38:15.800 from anybody.

00:38:16.940 I don't

00:38:17.160 ask them

00:38:18.120 what their

00:38:18.420 policies are.

00:38:19.500 They ask

00:38:19.940 me what

00:38:20.340 my policies

00:38:20.980 are.

00:38:21.360 Nicely

00:38:22.360 done.

00:38:23.740 Nicely

00:38:24.180 done.

00:38:25.080 I don't

00:38:25.720 think Nikki

00:38:26.920 Haley is

00:38:27.300 my first

00:38:28.000 choice or

00:38:28.980 even third

00:38:29.740 or fourth

00:38:30.160 choice for

00:38:30.620 president,

00:38:31.220 but that's

00:38:32.260 a good

00:38:32.500 answer.

00:38:34.060 That's the

00:38:34.760 Willie Brown

00:38:35.360 answer I

00:38:36.040 always talk

00:38:36.500 about,

00:38:37.300 where you

00:38:38.240 should just

00:38:38.980 go right

00:38:39.420 at it.

00:38:40.400 So denying

00:38:41.180 that you're

00:38:41.620 taking money

00:38:42.100 from somebody

00:38:42.720 is weak,

00:38:44.280 and denying

00:38:45.160 just restating

00:38:47.720 your policies

00:38:48.380 kind of

00:38:48.700 weak.

00:38:49.280 But she

00:38:49.580 says it

00:38:49.960 directly.

00:38:51.060 We'll

00:38:51.260 take money

00:38:51.640 from anybody.

00:38:52.480 They ask

00:38:52.780 me what

00:38:53.100 my policies

00:38:53.700 are.

00:38:54.060 That's the

00:38:54.300 way it

00:38:54.500 works.

00:38:54.800 It's not

00:38:55.040 the other

00:38:55.280 way around.

00:38:56.560 That is

00:38:57.000 a cool,

00:38:57.840 strong answer.

00:38:58.720 I like it.

00:39:00.540 All right.

00:39:01.940 Vivek went

00:39:02.600 super hard at

00:39:03.760 them, and he

00:39:04.420 had quite a few

00:39:05.160 moments.

00:39:05.840 One of his

00:39:06.240 moments was he

00:39:07.780 challenged his

00:39:08.460 competitors to

00:39:09.360 name the three

00:39:10.280 provinces in

00:39:11.160 Ukraine that

00:39:12.380 they're trying

00:39:12.800 to protect.

00:39:16.040 Now, number

00:39:18.480 one, it's a

00:39:19.800 messed up

00:39:20.240 question, meaning

00:39:22.160 that I don't

00:39:23.220 think you need

00:39:23.820 to know the

00:39:24.620 names of the

00:39:25.240 provinces.

00:39:27.100 The same as I

00:39:28.180 didn't believe

00:39:28.800 that George

00:39:30.480 Bush Sr.

00:39:31.660 really needed

00:39:32.300 to know the

00:39:32.880 cost of a

00:39:33.500 price of bread.

00:39:35.140 Remember that

00:39:35.700 gotcha?

00:39:36.800 Somebody asked

00:39:37.520 George Bush

00:39:38.900 Sr. if he

00:39:39.480 knew the

00:39:39.760 price of a

00:39:40.760 loaf of bread

00:39:41.320 and he

00:39:41.540 didn't?

00:39:42.800 That really

00:39:43.760 was unimportant

00:39:44.540 because if he

00:39:46.460 understands, you

00:39:47.200 know, the

00:39:47.600 inflation rate, he

00:39:48.740 kind of gets

00:39:49.280 it.

00:39:50.200 You know, you

00:39:50.640 don't need to be

00:39:51.360 shopping for a

00:39:52.060 loaf of bread

00:39:52.620 yourself.

00:39:53.180 That was always

00:39:53.640 dumb.

00:39:54.840 So when Vivek

00:39:56.480 used the loaf

00:39:57.400 of bread trick,

00:39:58.160 I'll call it, to

00:39:59.440 challenge them to

00:40:00.260 name the three

00:40:00.960 provinces, Nikki

00:40:03.360 Haley got a

00:40:05.360 look on her

00:40:05.880 face that Vivek

00:40:07.920 called out as a

00:40:08.860 blank expression.

00:40:10.620 Now, this was the

00:40:11.880 brilliant part.

00:40:13.640 This was

00:40:13.960 brilliant.

00:40:15.500 So much like

00:40:16.380 the, you've

00:40:17.840 heard the

00:40:18.180 auditory illusion

00:40:19.680 of, what is

00:40:22.120 it, Green

00:40:22.520 Needle and

00:40:23.260 the other, Jan

00:40:26.180 and Laurel,

00:40:27.000 Laurel and

00:40:27.500 Yanni and all

00:40:28.100 that stuff.

00:40:29.340 So when Nikki

00:40:32.280 Haley made, let's

00:40:33.840 say, an

00:40:34.280 exaggerated

00:40:34.760 expression on

00:40:35.640 her face to

00:40:36.340 that comment,

00:40:37.520 you know, in

00:40:37.860 her mouth,

00:40:39.120 especially, went

00:40:39.880 sort of a

00:40:40.900 smirk, I

00:40:42.240 looked at the

00:40:42.760 smirk and

00:40:43.180 I said, is

00:40:44.600 that a blank

00:40:45.540 expression or

00:40:46.540 is that a

00:40:46.960 smirk?

00:40:48.080 Because a

00:40:48.760 smirk says, I'm

00:40:50.820 going to kill

00:40:51.260 you and I

00:40:52.900 have the goods.

00:40:53.520 But if the

00:40:55.100 smirk was a, uh-oh,

00:40:56.620 I'm in

00:40:57.220 trouble, well,

00:40:58.480 then it's the

00:40:58.780 exact opposite.

00:41:01.040 So when Vivek

00:41:02.380 called her out and

00:41:03.840 pointed to her and

00:41:04.640 said, look at the

00:41:05.300 blank expressions,

00:41:07.180 he primed you to

00:41:09.140 see it as a

00:41:09.840 blank expression.

00:41:10.700 And it was

00:41:13.420 brilliant.

00:41:15.080 That was probably

00:41:16.640 the smartest in

00:41:18.800 the moment play

00:41:20.260 you'll ever see in

00:41:21.160 your life.

00:41:22.320 Because when he

00:41:23.100 called it out as a

00:41:23.980 blank expression, you

00:41:25.560 saw it that way.

00:41:26.880 If he had not

00:41:27.860 called it out, do

00:41:28.660 you know how you

00:41:29.060 might have seen

00:41:29.500 it?

00:41:31.780 How many of you

00:41:32.720 watched the

00:41:33.360 debate and

00:41:34.560 noticed that

00:41:35.300 eventually Nikki

00:41:36.180 Haley did say the

00:41:37.480 names of the

00:41:38.060 three provinces

00:41:38.760 without prompting?

00:41:39.680 Did anybody see

00:41:40.980 her do it?

00:41:43.480 Nope, you

00:41:44.140 didn't even see

00:41:44.600 it.

00:41:45.180 I did.

00:41:46.020 I saw it.

00:41:48.440 Because she did

00:41:49.340 it when somebody

00:41:49.940 was talking over

00:41:50.780 her.

00:41:51.660 So one of the

00:41:52.260 others or more

00:41:52.920 of them were

00:41:53.300 talking over her

00:41:54.160 and after the

00:41:55.460 conversation had

00:41:56.180 gone for a

00:41:56.660 while, she sort

00:41:57.840 of leaned into

00:41:58.460 the mic and

00:41:59.560 just said the

00:42:00.140 names of the

00:42:00.640 provinces.

00:42:02.800 So if you're

00:42:03.920 wondering what

00:42:04.400 the smirk was

00:42:05.120 for, she showed

00:42:06.840 you that she

00:42:08.100 actually knew the

00:42:08.720 names of the

00:42:09.140 provinces.

00:42:10.200 But she did a

00:42:11.640 bad job of

00:42:12.660 clearing out the

00:42:13.740 space so that

00:42:15.260 when she delivered

00:42:15.980 her kill shot

00:42:16.840 that she knew

00:42:17.620 the names of

00:42:18.100 the provinces,

00:42:18.920 you could hear

00:42:19.700 it and it

00:42:20.520 would be her

00:42:20.940 moment.

00:42:22.180 So I think,

00:42:23.600 you know, you

00:42:23.920 can't read minds,

00:42:25.020 I can't read her

00:42:25.680 mind, but I did

00:42:27.280 observe personally

00:42:28.480 her saying the

00:42:29.160 names of the

00:42:29.600 provinces.

00:42:30.980 Now, did she

00:42:33.000 have to think

00:42:33.640 about it?

00:42:34.620 Probably.

00:42:36.000 I would.

00:42:37.420 I'd have to,

00:42:38.100 like, think about

00:42:38.780 her for a

00:42:39.100 moment.

00:42:39.360 It's like,

00:42:39.620 can I come up

00:42:40.200 with the

00:42:40.440 three?

00:42:41.580 And then I

00:42:42.200 think Vivek

00:42:43.120 said something

00:42:43.660 about, you

00:42:44.460 know, acting

00:42:44.880 like she got

00:42:45.380 one of them

00:42:45.780 wrong or

00:42:46.220 something, Crimea

00:42:47.000 or something.

00:42:48.300 And, because

00:42:51.140 there, can you

00:42:52.300 give me a fact

00:42:52.860 check?

00:42:53.560 There are three

00:42:54.420 provinces, but

00:42:55.560 that doesn't

00:42:56.300 include Crimea,

00:42:57.240 right?

00:42:58.320 Crimea is,

00:42:59.720 would, it's

00:43:01.180 its own thing.

00:43:01.760 so, so she

00:43:05.500 got, you

00:43:06.160 know, she

00:43:06.520 may have

00:43:06.860 known, she

00:43:07.360 may have

00:43:07.580 gotten close,

00:43:08.280 or she

00:43:08.600 may have

00:43:08.800 had an

00:43:09.040 answer that

00:43:09.460 the audience

00:43:09.940 would recognize

00:43:10.600 or would

00:43:11.180 think was

00:43:11.540 the right

00:43:11.780 answer.

00:43:12.820 But, so

00:43:14.520 I'm going to

00:43:14.840 give Vivek an

00:43:16.340 A-plus for

00:43:17.560 creating that

00:43:18.440 situation.

00:43:20.140 It was a

00:43:20.800 good one.

00:43:22.240 For priming

00:43:23.580 us to see

00:43:24.140 her as a

00:43:24.740 blank, blank

00:43:25.780 face, and

00:43:27.060 also the other

00:43:27.640 people.

00:43:27.960 And then

00:43:29.300 also talking

00:43:30.140 over her

00:43:30.720 when she had

00:43:31.280 a chance to

00:43:31.960 redeem herself,

00:43:35.560 that also

00:43:36.040 worked.

00:43:37.420 So you

00:43:38.000 might say

00:43:38.380 to yourself,

00:43:38.960 that was

00:43:39.440 really kind

00:43:40.340 of sneaky,

00:43:42.240 you know,

00:43:42.560 weaselly debate

00:43:43.760 technique, to

00:43:45.420 which I say,

00:43:46.440 that's all these

00:43:47.380 debates are.

00:43:49.000 All the

00:43:49.600 debates are,

00:43:50.360 are people

00:43:50.880 looking for

00:43:51.380 their little

00:43:51.880 weaselly,

00:43:52.720 tricky moments.

00:43:54.240 It's not about

00:43:54.860 the cleverness

00:43:55.700 of their

00:43:55.960 argument.

00:43:56.640 If it were

00:43:57.140 about this

00:43:57.700 solidness of

00:43:58.420 the argument,

00:43:59.740 DeSantis would

00:44:00.440 look like a

00:44:00.920 winner, you

00:44:01.900 know, at

00:44:02.340 least half of

00:44:02.800 the debates.

00:44:03.740 But it's

00:44:04.000 never about

00:44:04.480 that.

00:44:04.900 It's about

00:44:05.300 creating the

00:44:05.980 energy and

00:44:06.480 the moment

00:44:06.960 and the,

00:44:07.780 you know,

00:44:08.020 can you do

00:44:08.480 it again

00:44:08.840 kind of vibe.

00:44:10.320 So if you

00:44:11.100 didn't like

00:44:11.540 Vivek, you

00:44:12.160 liked him

00:44:12.660 even less

00:44:13.300 because he

00:44:14.160 was so

00:44:14.520 strong in

00:44:15.020 the debate.

00:44:15.600 If you

00:44:15.840 liked him,

00:44:16.800 you said,

00:44:17.220 oh, he

00:44:17.500 scored all

00:44:17.980 the good

00:44:18.360 hits,

00:44:19.360 et cetera.

00:44:20.920 Another,

00:44:21.620 we'll give

00:44:22.220 some more

00:44:22.560 moments here.

00:44:25.540 So Vivek

00:44:26.420 said that he

00:44:27.360 believed,

00:44:27.840 he said,

00:44:28.440 why am I

00:44:28.860 the only

00:44:29.140 person on

00:44:29.640 the stage

00:44:30.220 at least

00:44:31.420 who can

00:44:31.760 say that?

00:44:32.900 And then he

00:44:33.280 listed several

00:44:34.200 things that

00:44:34.880 are really

00:44:35.540 controversial,

00:44:36.920 that he

00:44:37.240 says he

00:44:37.760 believes now,

00:44:39.080 that other

00:44:39.500 people are

00:44:39.880 afraid to

00:44:40.340 say they

00:44:40.640 believe.

00:44:41.520 So the

00:44:41.900 first one is

00:44:42.460 that January

00:44:43.300 6th now

00:44:44.120 looks like it

00:44:44.640 was an

00:44:44.880 inside job.

00:44:46.640 Now he

00:44:47.000 says looks

00:44:48.000 like it

00:44:48.420 was,

00:44:50.080 which is the

00:44:50.720 fairest way

00:44:51.260 to say it.

00:44:51.960 If he said

00:44:52.580 it was, I

00:44:53.440 think that would

00:44:53.820 be going

00:44:54.080 too far.

00:44:55.160 But he's

00:44:55.520 really smart

00:44:56.320 about knowing

00:44:57.180 where that

00:44:57.780 line is.

00:44:58.900 So he

00:44:59.300 says it

00:45:00.480 looks like

00:45:01.000 it was an

00:45:02.460 inside job.

00:45:03.440 And it

00:45:03.960 does.

00:45:04.840 It looks

00:45:05.480 like it.

00:45:06.360 I also do

00:45:07.560 not declare

00:45:08.180 that it

00:45:08.540 was.

00:45:09.940 But based

00:45:10.600 on what

00:45:10.900 we've seen,

00:45:12.500 I'd say the

00:45:13.080 hypothesis that

00:45:14.140 it was an

00:45:14.480 inside job is

00:45:15.600 dominant,

00:45:18.260 more likely

00:45:18.980 than the

00:45:19.720 opposite,

00:45:20.440 but I don't

00:45:20.880 know for

00:45:21.200 sure.

00:45:22.380 Then he

00:45:22.660 also said

00:45:23.260 the government

00:45:24.620 lied about

00:45:25.200 9-11 and

00:45:26.360 Saudi Arabian

00:45:27.100 involvement,

00:45:27.840 lied for

00:45:28.160 20 years.

00:45:31.560 I'm not

00:45:32.220 totally up on

00:45:33.020 that topic,

00:45:33.740 but sounds

00:45:35.120 like that's

00:45:35.680 about right.

00:45:36.860 That the

00:45:37.540 2020 election

00:45:38.320 was stolen

00:45:38.840 from Trump.

00:45:40.380 Now when he

00:45:40.880 says stolen,

00:45:41.540 he doesn't

00:45:41.920 mean that the

00:45:42.480 vote was

00:45:42.960 miscounted.

00:45:44.400 He's talking

00:45:44.900 about more

00:45:45.700 platform

00:45:47.420 manipulation and

00:45:48.660 the suppression

00:45:50.380 of free

00:45:50.740 speech.

00:45:50.880 speech and

00:45:51.220 all that,

00:45:51.640 which is

00:45:52.020 valid.

00:45:54.240 And then

00:45:54.920 here's where

00:45:55.440 the trouble

00:45:55.840 comes,

00:45:57.280 or does

00:45:58.040 it?

00:45:59.300 You've heard

00:45:59.740 of this

00:46:00.020 thing called

00:46:00.500 the great

00:46:01.280 replacement?

00:46:02.980 I know

00:46:03.600 you've heard

00:46:03.960 of it.

00:46:04.820 It's the

00:46:05.200 idea that

00:46:05.900 generally

00:46:07.020 comes from

00:46:07.960 very right

00:46:09.240 wing

00:46:09.580 conservative

00:46:10.940 types.

00:46:13.420 And they

00:46:13.760 say that,

00:46:15.020 remember the

00:46:15.920 Charlottesville

00:46:17.340 march and the

00:46:18.120 marchers were

00:46:18.660 saying they

00:46:19.540 will not

00:46:19.880 replace us.

00:46:20.620 talking about

00:46:21.480 Jews.

00:46:23.820 And that's

00:46:24.360 just like a

00:46:24.880 sliver of

00:46:25.460 the larger

00:46:26.440 concept.

00:46:27.700 But then if

00:46:28.340 you look at

00:46:28.720 the border,

00:46:30.160 it looks like

00:46:30.740 there's some

00:46:31.540 kind of,

00:46:32.600 well,

00:46:33.420 some would

00:46:33.880 say,

00:46:34.340 I'll say

00:46:34.640 some would

00:46:35.060 say,

00:46:35.820 that it

00:46:36.120 looks like

00:46:36.520 the open

00:46:37.120 border is

00:46:38.160 an obvious

00:46:39.240 attempt to

00:46:40.460 replace the

00:46:41.400 current

00:46:42.000 majorities with

00:46:43.020 rounder

00:46:43.620 majorities that

00:46:44.460 are more

00:46:44.780 likely to vote

00:46:45.460 Democrats.

00:46:47.540 Now,

00:46:47.780 Vivek is

00:46:48.380 taking,

00:46:48.900 I think,

00:46:49.360 the border

00:46:50.980 is open

00:46:51.740 and they're

00:46:52.660 bringing in

00:46:53.160 lots of

00:46:53.540 future

00:46:53.840 Democrat

00:46:54.280 voters to

00:46:55.760 replace us,

00:46:56.960 meaning us

00:46:58.600 in this case

00:46:59.100 would be

00:46:59.480 conservatives,

00:47:00.200 not white

00:47:00.580 people.

00:47:01.660 So when

00:47:02.420 Vivek says

00:47:03.140 replacement,

00:47:04.360 he's not

00:47:05.060 talking about

00:47:05.620 brown people

00:47:06.340 because he's

00:47:08.680 brown,

00:47:09.540 right?

00:47:10.520 He's not

00:47:11.100 talking about,

00:47:11.700 I think they

00:47:12.120 want brown

00:47:12.620 people to

00:47:13.160 replace

00:47:13.600 Vivek.

00:47:14.220 that's

00:47:16.320 not what

00:47:16.620 he's

00:47:16.780 saying.

00:47:18.040 But he's

00:47:18.900 definitely

00:47:20.560 dancing close

00:47:21.540 to the

00:47:21.980 sun here

00:47:22.780 because people

00:47:23.900 like Van

00:47:24.420 Jones are

00:47:24.940 going to

00:47:25.120 hear it

00:47:25.540 as the

00:47:26.000 racist

00:47:26.320 version.

00:47:27.480 But if

00:47:27.720 you hear

00:47:28.060 it as

00:47:28.380 why is

00:47:29.140 the border

00:47:29.520 open and

00:47:30.700 non-citizens

00:47:31.760 are pouring

00:47:32.240 in and

00:47:33.260 changing the

00:47:33.900 nature of

00:47:34.580 our country

00:47:36.100 in ways

00:47:36.760 that maybe

00:47:37.480 he doesn't

00:47:38.560 like or

00:47:38.940 you don't

00:47:39.200 like.

00:47:40.720 So this

00:47:42.240 is really

00:47:43.000 dangerous and

00:47:44.020 provocative

00:47:44.580 but I

00:47:47.840 think what

00:47:48.200 he's trying

00:47:48.500 to do

00:47:48.860 is revive

00:47:49.960 free speech.

00:47:53.400 That's what

00:47:53.800 I see in

00:47:54.220 this comment.

00:47:55.160 I don't

00:47:55.460 see in

00:47:55.760 this comment

00:47:56.260 any kind

00:47:56.800 of dog

00:47:59.300 whistle.

00:48:00.260 I don't

00:48:00.740 think he's

00:48:01.180 about the

00:48:01.540 dog whistle.

00:48:02.660 I think

00:48:02.980 this is

00:48:03.360 more about

00:48:03.920 the beginning

00:48:05.000 of reclaiming

00:48:06.060 the great

00:48:06.560 replacement

00:48:07.080 from it's

00:48:08.460 only what

00:48:08.880 racists talk

00:48:09.520 about to

00:48:10.500 I'm just

00:48:11.960 looking at

00:48:12.320 the math

00:48:12.820 you just

00:48:14.060 brought in

00:48:14.660 8 million

00:48:15.200 people that

00:48:16.380 weren't here

00:48:16.800 before.

00:48:18.880 Are they

00:48:19.760 having an

00:48:20.300 impact on

00:48:22.480 our ability

00:48:24.260 to manage

00:48:26.800 the country

00:48:27.260 the way we

00:48:27.780 were?

00:48:28.560 Of course

00:48:28.960 they do.

00:48:30.080 Of course.

00:48:31.500 It might be a

00:48:32.420 good impact

00:48:33.000 or it might be

00:48:33.520 a bad impact

00:48:34.180 but it's

00:48:34.540 certainly

00:48:34.860 replacing what

00:48:36.640 was here

00:48:37.120 in a

00:48:38.580 general

00:48:38.840 sense

00:48:39.220 in fact.

00:48:40.200 But I

00:48:40.420 don't think

00:48:40.740 it's a

00:48:41.000 racial

00:48:41.600 comment.

00:48:42.240 I think

00:48:42.400 it has

00:48:42.540 more to

00:48:42.840 do with

00:48:43.500 how people

00:48:46.300 think

00:48:46.700 actually.

00:48:48.840 All right.

00:48:49.480 So we'll

00:48:49.840 see if he

00:48:50.240 can get

00:48:50.880 away from

00:48:51.260 that little

00:48:51.620 hole.

00:48:52.500 He dug

00:48:52.880 himself a

00:48:53.360 little hole

00:48:53.840 because should

00:48:55.360 he become

00:48:55.940 president or

00:48:57.520 presidential

00:48:57.980 candidate he's

00:48:59.120 going to have

00:48:59.420 to explain

00:48:59.880 this for the

00:49:00.380 rest of his

00:49:00.960 career.

00:49:02.220 They'll never

00:49:02.980 drop this.

00:49:04.580 But he is

00:49:05.640 good enough

00:49:06.280 that he

00:49:07.200 could take

00:49:07.660 the gun

00:49:08.020 from their

00:49:08.360 hand and

00:49:08.720 flip it

00:49:09.040 around.

00:49:10.180 So if you

00:49:10.600 imagine Vivek

00:49:11.540 answering the

00:49:12.160 question,

00:49:12.980 hey, is this

00:49:13.580 great replacement

00:49:14.280 thing sort of a

00:49:15.080 Nazi thing?

00:49:16.300 He would

00:49:16.620 obliterate whoever

00:49:18.320 asked him that

00:49:18.940 question.

00:49:20.100 Like that would

00:49:20.540 be another

00:49:21.140 moment that he

00:49:22.060 would sparkle

00:49:23.380 because you

00:49:24.720 should be able

00:49:25.340 to obliterate

00:49:26.080 that dumbass

00:49:26.960 question.

00:49:28.080 He could do

00:49:28.580 it.

00:49:29.760 All right.

00:49:32.120 And then he

00:49:33.180 went after

00:49:33.660 Nikki Haley for

00:49:34.540 saying that when

00:49:35.680 he had

00:49:35.920 criticized her

00:49:36.680 prior debate,

00:49:38.780 Nikki Haley

00:49:39.220 suggested that

00:49:40.500 maybe he had

00:49:40.960 a, quote,

00:49:41.440 woman problem.

00:49:42.920 Maybe he had

00:49:43.480 a woman problem.

00:49:45.580 Well, that's

00:49:46.000 not quite a

00:49:46.880 nice thing to

00:49:47.460 say for one

00:49:48.280 Republican to

00:49:49.040 another.

00:49:50.260 Because aren't

00:49:50.600 the Republicans

00:49:51.160 the ones who

00:49:51.780 are supposed to

00:49:52.420 sort of not

00:49:53.520 talk like that

00:49:54.280 and not act

00:49:56.080 like it's some

00:49:56.540 kind of weird

00:49:57.160 woke DEI

00:49:59.000 thing?

00:49:59.640 That's kind of

00:50:00.220 the opposite of

00:50:00.840 being a

00:50:01.140 Republican at

00:50:03.040 the moment.

00:50:03.460 So Vivek

00:50:05.340 answers by

00:50:06.060 saying, I

00:50:06.620 don't have a

00:50:06.980 woman problem.

00:50:08.340 Nikki Haley

00:50:08.680 has a corruption

00:50:09.340 problem.

00:50:10.180 And then he

00:50:10.820 held up his

00:50:11.440 notes and on

00:50:12.880 one page he

00:50:13.580 had written

00:50:14.040 Nikki equals

00:50:16.700 corrupt.

00:50:18.320 Did you see

00:50:19.080 that moment when

00:50:19.940 he held it up

00:50:20.860 and showed that

00:50:21.680 was all that

00:50:22.220 was on his

00:50:22.660 page?

00:50:24.000 It was visual.

00:50:25.740 It made the

00:50:26.620 news.

00:50:27.920 And you'll

00:50:28.560 remember it

00:50:29.100 forever.

00:50:30.920 Perfect.

00:50:31.360 Then he

00:50:36.000 said that

00:50:37.460 Nikki Haley,

00:50:38.340 this is a

00:50:38.700 woman who

00:50:38.940 will send

00:50:39.220 your kids

00:50:39.600 to die so

00:50:40.320 she can buy

00:50:40.800 a bigger

00:50:41.100 house.

00:50:42.040 Talking about

00:50:42.800 her preferences

00:50:43.900 for more

00:50:44.600 war-like

00:50:45.320 policies.

00:50:47.520 This is a

00:50:48.300 woman who

00:50:48.860 will send

00:50:49.260 your kids

00:50:49.780 to die so

00:50:50.580 she can buy

00:50:51.180 a bigger

00:50:51.540 house.

00:50:53.600 You could

00:50:54.540 write a

00:50:56.600 doctoral

00:50:57.060 thesis on

00:50:57.800 that one

00:50:58.200 sentence.

00:50:59.300 It's so

00:50:59.920 perfect.

00:51:00.360 Perfect.

00:51:01.360 Persuasion

00:51:01.940 perfection.

00:51:03.840 Because I

00:51:04.780 always tell

00:51:05.180 you that

00:51:05.640 fear is

00:51:06.640 the best

00:51:06.980 persuasion.

00:51:07.860 Fear is

00:51:08.460 the best

00:51:08.720 persuasion.

00:51:09.680 What is

00:51:10.020 more scary

00:51:10.580 than sending

00:51:11.120 your kid

00:51:11.620 to die?

00:51:13.020 That's

00:51:13.500 pretty scary.

00:51:15.120 And what

00:51:15.420 is more

00:51:15.740 visual than

00:51:17.220 sending

00:51:17.540 to die so

00:51:18.300 you can

00:51:18.540 buy a

00:51:18.840 bigger

00:51:19.020 house?

00:51:20.580 So you

00:51:21.120 got the

00:51:21.400 bigger

00:51:21.600 house,

00:51:22.040 you got

00:51:22.260 your visual,

00:51:22.920 you got

00:51:23.160 your son

00:51:23.560 dying,

00:51:24.420 that's also

00:51:24.960 visual,

00:51:25.900 but it's

00:51:26.440 also fear.

00:51:27.820 One

00:51:28.100 sentence.

00:51:28.580 Do you

00:51:31.560 understand how

00:51:32.260 good he

00:51:32.700 is at

00:51:33.020 this?

00:51:35.420 This is a

00:51:36.560 skill level

00:51:37.100 that I don't

00:51:38.060 think we've

00:51:38.480 ever seen

00:51:38.940 it before,

00:51:39.520 honestly.

00:51:40.740 I'm not

00:51:41.340 aware of

00:51:41.820 ever seeing

00:51:42.520 anybody who

00:51:43.040 operated at

00:51:43.680 this level,

00:51:44.360 including

00:51:44.780 Trump.

00:51:45.140 Trump is

00:51:46.540 a singular

00:51:47.260 character.

00:51:48.500 I always

00:51:48.860 resist comparing

00:51:49.860 him to

00:51:50.220 anything,

00:51:51.040 because his

00:51:51.460 own method

00:51:51.980 just can't

00:51:52.480 be duplicated.

00:51:53.620 You can't

00:51:54.180 take his

00:51:54.520 method.

00:51:55.480 He just

00:51:55.780 sort of

00:51:56.060 operates in

00:51:56.600 his own

00:51:57.180 zip code,

00:51:59.280 and he

00:51:59.600 is just

00:52:00.020 Trump is

00:52:00.420 Trump.

00:52:01.420 In fact,

00:52:01.860 that's all I

00:52:02.300 say about

00:52:02.720 him now.

00:52:03.720 Trump is

00:52:04.160 Trump.

00:52:05.420 That's the

00:52:06.040 good news

00:52:06.600 and the

00:52:06.980 bad news.

00:52:08.160 Trump is

00:52:08.720 Trump.

00:52:10.100 Why is he

00:52:11.100 leading right

00:52:11.660 now in the

00:52:12.180 polls?

00:52:13.880 Because

00:52:14.100 Trump is

00:52:14.520 Trump.

00:52:15.780 It explains

00:52:16.640 a lot.

00:52:17.980 Nobody

00:52:18.340 else is

00:52:19.180 him.

00:52:20.100 If anybody

00:52:20.620 else could

00:52:21.040 be him,

00:52:21.440 they might

00:52:21.720 be leading

00:52:22.080 in the

00:52:22.320 polls,

00:52:22.640 too.

00:52:22.800 But

00:52:22.920 Trump is

00:52:23.320 Trump.

00:52:24.060 There's

00:52:24.300 only one.

00:52:25.340 There will

00:52:25.680 never be

00:52:26.140 another one.

00:52:27.340 If you

00:52:27.640 like that,

00:52:28.400 there's

00:52:28.740 nobody else

00:52:29.180 to vote

00:52:29.500 for.

00:52:31.680 All

00:52:32.120 right.

00:52:33.160 So that

00:52:34.060 was pretty

00:52:34.460 artistic

00:52:35.040 from the

00:52:35.940 makes.

00:52:37.520 She

00:52:37.960 called

00:52:38.200 her,

00:52:38.960 she says

00:52:39.660 she's

00:52:40.460 the donors,

00:52:42.040 she has

00:52:42.520 donor puppet

00:52:43.220 masters.

00:52:44.280 I like

00:52:44.580 puppet master

00:52:45.200 too,

00:52:46.020 because you

00:52:46.320 can see

00:52:46.600 the puppet

00:52:47.000 strings.

00:52:48.440 Visual,

00:52:49.160 visual,

00:52:49.660 visual,

00:52:50.140 just so

00:52:50.820 good on

00:52:51.340 the visual

00:52:51.700 stuff.

00:52:53.120 And then

00:52:53.400 he says

00:52:53.800 directly that

00:52:54.540 he rejects

00:52:55.160 identity

00:52:55.580 politics.

00:52:56.740 He says

00:52:57.040 two

00:52:57.340 chromosomes,

00:52:58.080 two X

00:52:58.380 chromosomes

00:52:58.920 does not

00:53:00.560 immunize

00:53:01.200 you from

00:53:01.620 criticism.

00:53:03.180 Oh,

00:53:03.480 thank you.

00:53:05.660 Yeah.

00:53:06.660 Vivek

00:53:07.260 slamming

00:53:08.740 Nikki Haley

00:53:09.300 for being

00:53:10.040 too woke.

00:53:12.600 That is

00:53:13.440 the show

00:53:13.880 I wanted

00:53:14.320 to watch.

00:53:15.760 That one

00:53:16.480 speaks to

00:53:17.140 every part

00:53:17.840 of my body.

00:53:19.440 I can

00:53:20.120 feel that.

00:53:22.260 Right.

00:53:22.560 There are a lot

00:53:22.980 of things that

00:53:23.380 you say,

00:53:23.700 oh, that's a

00:53:24.220 good intellectual

00:53:24.940 point, or

00:53:25.640 I like that

00:53:26.600 policy.

00:53:27.620 That's a good

00:53:28.060 policy.

00:53:29.180 When he said

00:53:30.000 two X

00:53:30.500 chromosomes

00:53:31.080 do not

00:53:32.020 immunize,

00:53:32.780 it doesn't

00:53:33.240 immunize you

00:53:33.900 from criticism.

00:53:35.440 He rejects

00:53:36.060 identity

00:53:36.460 politics.

00:53:37.840 I can

00:53:38.160 feel it.

00:53:40.360 In my

00:53:41.000 body, I

00:53:41.580 can feel

00:53:41.960 that.

00:53:42.960 That's a

00:53:43.300 whole different

00:53:43.640 level.

00:53:44.800 Yeah.

00:53:46.480 So there's

00:53:47.280 some

00:53:47.520 controversy

00:53:48.540 about, I

00:53:49.000 guess, the

00:53:49.340 rumble

00:53:49.780 feed that

00:53:50.440 was covering

00:53:50.900 the debate.

00:53:53.240 I guess it

00:53:53.720 glitched out

00:53:54.320 when somebody,

00:53:55.960 maybe Megyn

00:53:56.480 Kelly asked

00:53:57.040 about the

00:53:57.620 warp speed,

00:53:59.300 getting the

00:54:00.520 vaccinations

00:54:01.020 fast with

00:54:01.780 Trump.

00:54:02.840 And so

00:54:03.180 people are

00:54:03.580 saying, oh,

00:54:04.020 that's a

00:54:04.400 coincidence that

00:54:05.320 it cut out

00:54:05.940 just on that

00:54:06.540 question.

00:54:07.120 But it

00:54:07.340 wasn't a

00:54:08.180 coincidence.

00:54:08.680 It was just

00:54:09.000 a technical

00:54:09.520 problem.

00:54:10.600 It is very

00:54:11.280 unlikely that

00:54:12.080 rumble would

00:54:14.020 cut out on a

00:54:15.040 Republican

00:54:15.560 debate.

00:54:17.320 Let me say

00:54:17.780 that again.

00:54:18.920 There's not

00:54:19.380 really any

00:54:20.180 chance that

00:54:21.700 rumble

00:54:22.140 intentionally cut

00:54:23.220 a feed at

00:54:24.420 any point

00:54:25.120 during a

00:54:26.200 Republican

00:54:26.700 debate.

00:54:27.840 That is not

00:54:28.860 a possibility.

00:54:30.720 There's no

00:54:31.440 real-world

00:54:32.220 possibility that

00:54:33.260 happened at

00:54:34.120 all.

00:54:36.880 All right.

00:54:37.620 What else?

00:54:39.680 So the

00:54:40.120 rock, notice

00:54:41.360 I didn't

00:54:41.720 mention

00:54:42.040 DeSantis.

00:54:44.000 I feel like

00:54:44.980 DeSantis is

00:54:45.800 just running

00:54:47.620 out the

00:54:48.000 clock,

00:54:49.840 you know,

00:54:50.000 sort of waiting

00:54:50.660 around to see

00:54:51.400 if anything

00:54:51.800 happens with

00:54:52.400 Trump,

00:54:53.320 but not

00:54:53.740 really trying

00:54:54.320 too hard to

00:54:54.820 win at this

00:54:55.440 point.

00:54:56.860 I think he's

00:54:57.560 just trying to

00:54:58.040 do an honest

00:54:58.860 attempt because

00:54:59.640 he has backers

00:55:00.460 and they want

00:55:00.880 to do it.

00:55:01.460 It just looks

00:55:02.300 like, I mean,

00:55:03.280 he did not

00:55:03.680 seem engaged.

00:55:06.160 He just did

00:55:07.260 his good

00:55:07.720 DeSantis job.

00:55:09.740 And by the

00:55:10.140 way, I have

00:55:11.220 the funniest

00:55:11.780 or unusual

00:55:13.760 take on

00:55:14.540 DeSantis.

00:55:16.340 DeSantis is

00:55:17.140 the best

00:55:17.720 politician that

00:55:19.780 doesn't interest

00:55:20.480 me.

00:55:21.400 So it's

00:55:23.700 like a

00:55:24.980 compliment.

00:55:26.540 Actually, that's

00:55:27.300 just a complete

00:55:28.060 compliment.

00:55:29.040 You know why

00:55:29.420 he doesn't

00:55:29.800 interest me?

00:55:30.900 Because he

00:55:31.500 doesn't do

00:55:31.920 crazy shit

00:55:32.580 every day.

00:55:34.000 There's no

00:55:34.380 crazy shit.

00:55:35.680 He just

00:55:36.060 sort of does

00:55:36.940 good things

00:55:37.980 that his base

00:55:38.500 wants him to

00:55:39.000 do.

00:55:39.800 He's a

00:55:40.260 great politician

00:55:40.960 in terms of

00:55:42.440 execution.

00:55:43.980 But for

00:55:44.780 the presidency,

00:55:46.400 if you're

00:55:46.800 running against

00:55:47.380 a Trump,

00:55:48.360 you're running

00:55:49.040 against a

00:55:49.520 superstar.

00:55:50.020 He doesn't

00:55:51.460 have superstar

00:55:52.180 energy to

00:55:53.900 level up to

00:55:54.800 the Taylor

00:55:55.760 Swift of

00:55:56.480 politicians.

00:55:58.940 So it's

00:56:00.200 terribly unfair.

00:56:01.900 And if

00:56:02.160 DeSantis comes

00:56:02.960 back around in

00:56:03.940 some subsequent

00:56:04.700 year and runs

00:56:05.420 for president,

00:56:06.960 I can say

00:56:07.700 supporting him.

00:56:09.800 He's a

00:56:10.680 solid,

00:56:11.240 solid,

00:56:12.520 patriotic,

00:56:15.420 good servant

00:56:16.480 to the

00:56:16.820 people,

00:56:17.180 I think.

00:56:19.640 So the

00:56:20.320 Rock,

00:56:21.180 Dwayne,

00:56:21.840 the Rock

00:56:22.200 Johnson,

00:56:23.460 did some

00:56:24.160 mysterious

00:56:24.620 meeting with

00:56:25.380 the military

00:56:25.980 folks at

00:56:26.800 the Pentagon

00:56:27.240 after not

00:56:30.560 long ago

00:56:31.100 saying that

00:56:31.740 the parties

00:56:33.120 wanted him to

00:56:33.800 run for

00:56:34.120 president.

00:56:34.820 The parties.

00:56:35.800 I love the

00:56:36.240 way he says

00:56:36.660 it, making

00:56:37.460 it seem like

00:56:38.000 even the

00:56:38.940 Democrats and

00:56:39.660 even the

00:56:40.100 Republicans,

00:56:40.760 both sides.

00:56:41.800 It's the

00:56:42.340 parties.

00:56:43.540 Oh, don't

00:56:44.160 ask me which

00:56:44.920 side.

00:56:45.400 I mean,

00:56:45.620 they all

00:56:46.080 want me.

00:56:47.400 So he's

00:56:47.920 very smart

00:56:48.560 to not

00:56:50.140 kill the

00:56:50.660 rumor,

00:56:51.620 because the

00:56:52.020 longer the

00:56:52.460 rumor goes,

00:56:53.340 the more

00:56:53.660 fun it is

00:56:54.200 for him and

00:56:54.760 the more

00:56:55.260 free attention

00:56:55.920 he gets.

00:56:56.620 So he's

00:56:56.960 smart to

00:56:57.320 keep it

00:56:57.560 going.

00:56:58.500 But I

00:56:59.180 would say

00:56:59.600 it's unlikely

00:57:00.380 that he was

00:57:01.040 talking to

00:57:01.520 the Pentagon

00:57:02.040 to line up

00:57:03.740 his support

00:57:04.320 for running

00:57:04.780 for president

00:57:05.340 or to do

00:57:06.080 his research

00:57:06.740 before he ran

00:57:07.360 for president

00:57:07.900 or any of

00:57:08.540 that.

00:57:09.380 The most

00:57:10.160 likely scenario

00:57:11.060 is that he

00:57:12.140 has some

00:57:12.540 business with

00:57:13.220 the Pentagon.

00:57:14.920 Could be

00:57:15.360 he's doing

00:57:15.880 a movie,

00:57:17.080 might want

00:57:17.580 some support

00:57:18.280 from the

00:57:19.260 military.

00:57:20.220 Could be

00:57:20.820 the military

00:57:21.940 wants him

00:57:22.620 to be sort

00:57:23.580 of an

00:57:23.820 ambassador

00:57:24.260 to improve

00:57:25.980 recruitment.

00:57:26.800 He's got to

00:57:27.280 be perfect

00:57:27.740 for that.

00:57:28.980 So I

00:57:29.700 doubt that

00:57:30.380 it's because

00:57:30.960 he's running

00:57:31.420 for president.

00:57:32.420 But it's

00:57:32.740 fun.

00:57:33.660 It's fun

00:57:34.280 to think

00:57:34.620 about it.

00:57:36.300 Speaking

00:57:36.820 of fun,

00:57:38.880 Axios is

00:57:39.540 reporting that

00:57:40.160 Melania

00:57:40.720 thinks Tucker

00:57:42.420 Carlson would

00:57:43.140 be a great

00:57:43.600 VP for

00:57:44.520 Trump.

00:57:47.020 Because he's

00:57:47.780 sort of the

00:57:49.680 more articulate

00:57:50.600 version of

00:57:52.660 Trump with

00:57:53.360 very similar

00:57:54.120 attitudes about

00:57:55.440 things.

00:57:56.280 Now, I don't

00:57:57.000 think it's

00:57:57.520 going to be

00:57:57.900 Tucker,

00:57:58.920 because I

00:57:59.420 don't think

00:57:59.880 Tucker would

00:58:00.800 be reckless

00:58:03.840 enough to

00:58:04.360 take the

00:58:04.720 job.

00:58:05.060 It seems

00:58:08.040 like Tucker's

00:58:08.900 in sort

00:58:09.260 of an

00:58:09.520 ideal place

00:58:11.240 for his

00:58:11.700 media life,

00:58:12.620 and unless

00:58:13.000 he's looking

00:58:13.420 for a

00:58:14.040 radical change

00:58:14.820 to that,

00:58:15.900 which would

00:58:16.380 surprise me,

00:58:17.560 I don't

00:58:17.860 think he's

00:58:18.420 going to

00:58:18.620 even consider

00:58:19.220 it.

00:58:19.760 But it's

00:58:21.380 a lot of

00:58:21.780 fun,

00:58:22.080 isn't it?

00:58:23.900 A lot of

00:58:24.640 fun.

00:58:25.440 I tell

00:58:26.060 myself,

00:58:27.400 okay,

00:58:28.380 just game

00:58:29.120 that out

00:58:29.480 in your

00:58:29.720 mind.

00:58:30.740 Question

00:58:31.160 number one,

00:58:32.520 would Trump

00:58:33.300 do better

00:58:33.960 in the

00:58:34.240 election if

00:58:35.180 Tucker is

00:58:36.060 his vice

00:58:36.860 president?

00:58:37.780 Go.

00:58:38.560 Would Trump

00:58:40.020 do better

00:58:40.560 in the

00:58:40.880 election?

00:58:43.620 Almost

00:58:44.220 all no's.

00:58:45.840 Wow.

00:58:47.360 About 80%

00:58:48.180 no's on

00:58:48.860 locals.

00:58:50.020 What do

00:58:50.220 you think,

00:58:50.540 YouTube?

00:58:51.660 Oh, YouTube

00:58:52.180 is more

00:58:52.840 yeses.

00:58:54.020 Well, also

00:58:54.600 lots of no's.

00:58:56.020 I should have

00:58:56.380 waited.

00:58:57.260 All right,

00:58:57.460 more no's

00:58:57.940 than yeses.

00:58:58.760 So a lot

00:58:59.740 of you don't

00:59:00.300 think he

00:59:00.860 would change

00:59:01.800 the outcome.

00:59:03.300 here's why

00:59:05.560 Tucker would

00:59:06.600 be a

00:59:06.880 positive.

00:59:08.200 Tucker is

00:59:08.900 one of

00:59:10.780 the,

00:59:11.620 I'd say,

00:59:13.960 top five

00:59:15.140 best

00:59:15.500 communicators

00:59:16.440 in all

00:59:17.100 of politics.

00:59:18.400 Would you

00:59:19.040 agree with

00:59:19.440 that?

00:59:20.120 He's a

00:59:20.580 top five

00:59:21.420 best

00:59:22.360 communicator

00:59:23.260 in all

00:59:23.700 of politics.

00:59:24.920 So therefore,

00:59:25.680 some would

00:59:26.760 say,

00:59:27.100 therefore,

00:59:27.680 he would

00:59:27.920 be a

00:59:28.340 good

00:59:28.540 vice

00:59:28.820 presidential

00:59:29.340 running

00:59:30.400 mate.

00:59:31.240 Here's

00:59:31.540 what I

00:59:31.800 say.

00:59:32.060 You get

00:59:32.900 all that

00:59:33.200 for free.

00:59:35.460 Tucker is

00:59:35.860 still going

00:59:36.160 to be

00:59:36.320 talking.

00:59:37.680 He's

00:59:37.840 still going

00:59:38.100 to have

00:59:38.240 a huge

00:59:38.640 platform,

00:59:39.840 no matter

00:59:40.840 what.

00:59:41.960 And you

00:59:42.320 know he's

00:59:42.660 going to

00:59:42.840 be supportive

00:59:43.440 of Trump

00:59:44.020 because he

00:59:44.500 said so

00:59:44.860 directly.

00:59:46.180 So Trump

00:59:47.420 can get

00:59:47.920 all the

00:59:48.440 benefit of

00:59:49.140 Tucker's

00:59:49.600 communication

00:59:50.340 excellence

00:59:51.300 without any

00:59:53.180 of the

00:59:53.520 reputational

00:59:54.160 harm of

00:59:55.220 saying,

00:59:55.540 oh,

00:59:56.020 10 years

00:59:56.480 ago,

00:59:56.860 Tucker

00:59:57.080 did a

00:59:57.500 thing.

00:59:58.560 Oh,

00:59:58.840 five years

00:59:59.360 ago,

00:59:59.840 Tucker

01:00:00.080 said this

01:00:00.540 thing that

01:00:01.020 could be

01:00:01.320 interpreted

01:00:01.720 two ways.

01:00:03.260 He could

01:00:03.720 just take

01:00:04.080 all the

01:00:04.380 good for

01:00:05.340 free with

01:00:06.640 none of

01:00:07.020 the pain.

01:00:09.360 Because if

01:00:10.040 he could

01:00:10.260 find a

01:00:10.680 VP who

01:00:11.400 didn't have

01:00:11.820 any of

01:00:12.120 the controversy

01:00:13.100 that Tucker

01:00:13.820 brings

01:00:14.200 naturally,

01:00:15.200 then he

01:00:16.200 can get

01:00:16.520 all of

01:00:16.860 Tucker's

01:00:17.220 goodness,

01:00:18.260 plus a

01:00:18.840 solid,

01:00:19.420 you know,

01:00:19.780 backup

01:00:20.160 candidate that

01:00:21.720 helps him

01:00:22.160 for his

01:00:22.520 age,

01:00:22.860 especially.

01:00:24.080 I think

01:00:24.580 Trump has

01:00:25.820 to go

01:00:26.100 young.

01:00:26.440 because the

01:00:28.720 age question

01:00:29.420 will be

01:00:30.000 salient if

01:00:31.000 he gets

01:00:31.260 elected.

01:00:32.660 And I

01:00:34.820 think

01:00:34.980 Vivek is

01:00:35.560 more obvious

01:00:36.660 choice,

01:00:37.180 but we'll

01:00:37.400 see.

01:00:41.580 The

01:00:42.180 competence

01:00:42.600 crisis is

01:00:43.520 real.

01:00:44.240 Apparently

01:00:44.560 there's this

01:00:45.100 case going

01:00:45.560 on to

01:00:46.180 see if

01:00:46.720 Trump

01:00:47.480 should be

01:00:48.000 denied

01:00:48.560 being on

01:00:49.220 the ballot

01:00:50.040 in some

01:00:50.480 states.

01:00:51.420 So

01:00:51.540 Colorado's

01:00:52.180 looking at

01:00:52.560 that.

01:00:53.580 And

01:00:53.980 Colorado

01:00:54.700 Supreme

01:00:55.120 Court

01:00:55.360 judge,

01:00:55.760 William

01:00:56.840 Hood

01:00:57.080 III,

01:00:58.520 said in

01:00:59.340 the process

01:01:00.540 of discussing

01:01:02.260 it and

01:01:04.000 judging it,

01:01:06.220 he said,

01:01:06.680 quote,

01:01:06.920 in some

01:01:07.260 ways,

01:01:07.620 January 6th

01:01:08.380 seems like

01:01:09.500 a poster

01:01:10.000 child for

01:01:10.660 insurrection.

01:01:11.400 In other

01:01:11.700 words,

01:01:12.020 indicating that

01:01:12.920 the judge

01:01:13.680 believes that

01:01:15.520 insurrection

01:01:16.080 is largely

01:01:17.000 obviously

01:01:17.660 proven.

01:01:19.780 Now,

01:01:20.400 is that

01:01:20.720 bad news?

01:01:22.400 If he

01:01:23.080 thinks that

01:01:23.600 the insurrection

01:01:24.260 is sort of

01:01:25.120 obvious?

01:01:27.300 Well,

01:01:27.860 it's bad

01:01:28.300 news for

01:01:28.660 this judge

01:01:29.340 because it

01:01:31.140 makes him

01:01:31.420 look like

01:01:31.780 an idiot.

01:01:33.720 How

01:01:34.200 exactly is

01:01:35.180 it obvious

01:01:35.800 that an

01:01:36.420 unarmed

01:01:37.040 trespass

01:01:38.100 is anything

01:01:39.320 more than

01:01:39.900 at best

01:01:40.740 delaying a

01:01:41.860 process for

01:01:42.560 a few

01:01:42.880 hours or

01:01:44.280 a few

01:01:44.500 days?

01:01:45.180 Maybe the

01:01:46.000 Supreme

01:01:46.280 Court has

01:01:46.740 to look

01:01:46.980 at it.

01:01:47.780 That's

01:01:48.020 it.

01:01:49.340 That was

01:01:49.920 the highest

01:01:50.380 level of

01:01:50.940 risk.

01:01:51.820 Short

01:01:52.240 delay.

01:01:52.620 Supreme

01:01:54.120 Court

01:01:54.400 looks at

01:01:54.820 it.

01:01:55.580 Rules.

01:01:57.580 How does

01:01:58.280 a judge

01:01:58.960 not

01:01:59.740 understand

01:02:00.380 that?

01:02:01.860 This is

01:02:02.520 an incompetence

01:02:03.220 problem,

01:02:03.660 isn't it?

01:02:04.800 Am I

01:02:05.100 wrong?

01:02:05.980 To me,

01:02:06.380 this looks

01:02:06.700 like basic

01:02:08.500 competence

01:02:09.140 that's just

01:02:10.100 missing.

01:02:11.640 We'll see.

01:02:12.220 now here's

01:02:17.740 what I

01:02:17.980 think about

01:02:18.560 Trump's

01:02:20.040 language

01:02:21.240 lately.

01:02:22.500 I think

01:02:23.440 Axios was

01:02:24.180 pointing this

01:02:24.640 out as

01:02:24.980 well.

01:02:25.680 He's used

01:02:26.780 language that

01:02:27.580 his critics

01:02:28.460 are saying,

01:02:29.740 hey,

01:02:30.000 that's very,

01:02:30.960 well,

01:02:31.180 it's not

01:02:31.460 Hitler-like,

01:02:32.780 but it's

01:02:33.360 Hitler-adjacent.

01:02:34.940 Well,

01:02:35.500 that's not

01:02:35.860 quite dictator

01:02:36.900 talk,

01:02:37.860 but you're

01:02:38.320 getting real

01:02:38.840 close.

01:02:40.340 Well,

01:02:40.760 that's not

01:02:41.660 exactly what

01:02:42.460 the Nazis

01:02:42.960 say,

01:02:43.880 but it

01:02:44.220 reminds me

01:02:44.880 of them.

01:02:46.460 So,

01:02:46.940 is he

01:02:47.320 doing the

01:02:47.940 dumbest

01:02:48.320 thing in

01:02:48.640 the world

01:02:49.060 by allowing

01:02:50.840 people to

01:02:51.460 frame him

01:02:52.140 as a

01:02:52.680 dictator?

01:02:53.560 It almost

01:02:54.560 looks like

01:02:55.020 he's doing

01:02:55.360 it intentionally,

01:02:56.560 especially

01:02:57.000 when he

01:02:57.420 said that

01:02:59.700 he would

01:03:00.040 only be a

01:03:00.620 dictator for

01:03:01.200 one day.

01:03:01.940 He said,

01:03:02.360 quote,

01:03:03.080 we're closing

01:03:03.820 the border

01:03:04.320 and we're

01:03:04.780 drilling,

01:03:05.200 drilling,

01:03:05.520 drilling.

01:03:05.960 After that,

01:03:07.060 I'm not a

01:03:07.800 dictator.

01:03:08.120 So,

01:03:09.380 just one

01:03:09.740 day.

01:03:10.980 I'll just

01:03:11.280 be a

01:03:11.500 dictator for

01:03:11.920 one day.

01:03:12.600 After that,

01:03:13.200 not a

01:03:13.580 dictator.

01:03:14.860 Now,

01:03:15.440 when I

01:03:16.620 first heard

01:03:17.180 it,

01:03:17.940 my first

01:03:18.720 reaction was,

01:03:19.720 oh,

01:03:20.300 why are you

01:03:21.480 doing this?

01:03:23.200 Like,

01:03:23.440 this is just

01:03:23.920 the worst

01:03:24.480 idea.

01:03:25.520 His biggest

01:03:26.100 problem is

01:03:27.560 that they're

01:03:27.840 going to call

01:03:28.260 him a

01:03:28.540 dictator.

01:03:29.340 He knows

01:03:30.000 that.

01:03:30.900 So,

01:03:31.240 why would

01:03:31.680 he use

01:03:32.180 language that

01:03:33.800 most of us

01:03:34.540 would recognize

01:03:35.360 would make

01:03:36.020 you be

01:03:37.620 labeled a

01:03:38.280 dictator?

01:03:39.300 Why would

01:03:39.660 he do

01:03:39.960 that?

01:03:41.280 Well,

01:03:41.960 I have a

01:03:42.820 hypothesis.

01:03:44.000 I don't know

01:03:44.480 that it's

01:03:44.800 true,

01:03:45.700 but it

01:03:45.980 goes like

01:03:46.460 this.

01:03:49.520 He might

01:03:50.240 be playing

01:03:50.700 what I

01:03:51.020 call the

01:03:51.420 narrow ravine

01:03:52.320 strategy.

01:03:53.580 Now,

01:03:53.820 this is

01:03:54.140 one I

01:03:54.460 have used

01:03:55.020 myself in

01:03:55.660 the past.

01:03:56.700 You might

01:03:57.080 recognize it

01:03:58.060 from some

01:03:58.540 of my

01:03:58.780 past.

01:03:59.780 The narrow

01:04:00.360 ravine means

01:04:01.660 you allow

01:04:02.180 your enemies

01:04:02.860 to bunch

01:04:04.220 up in a

01:04:05.620 place where

01:04:06.120 it's really

01:04:06.760 easy to

01:04:07.320 shoot down

01:04:08.100 and kill

01:04:08.460 them.

01:04:09.500 Basically,

01:04:10.200 you're herding

01:04:10.760 them into

01:04:11.140 the most

01:04:11.480 vulnerable

01:04:11.880 place for

01:04:12.420 them while

01:04:13.680 they believe

01:04:14.540 they're winning.

01:04:16.180 So,

01:04:16.420 the thing that

01:04:16.860 gets them

01:04:17.160 into the

01:04:17.540 narrow ravine

01:04:18.200 in the first

01:04:18.700 place is

01:04:19.600 they say,

01:04:19.940 ha-ha,

01:04:20.760 we've got

01:04:21.240 you trapped.

01:04:22.320 You're going

01:04:22.640 to be trapped

01:04:23.120 in the

01:04:23.460 narrow ravine.

01:04:24.940 And then they

01:04:25.600 chase you down

01:04:26.120 the narrow

01:04:26.540 ravine,

01:04:27.120 but you've

01:04:27.640 got all your

01:04:28.060 people on

01:04:28.540 the top,

01:04:29.480 and they

01:04:29.780 shoot down

01:04:30.240 into the

01:04:30.640 narrow ravine

01:04:31.200 and kill

01:04:31.500 them.

01:04:31.660 So,

01:04:31.800 it's basically

01:04:32.160 a trap.

01:04:33.060 The narrow

01:04:33.540 ravine

01:04:34.040 trap.

01:04:34.640 So,

01:04:36.460 we see him

01:04:37.180 saying things

01:04:37.820 which are

01:04:38.180 making his

01:04:38.900 critics say,

01:04:40.200 oh,

01:04:41.000 salivate,

01:04:41.580 salivate.

01:04:42.560 He keeps

01:04:43.140 saying things

01:04:43.800 that's going

01:04:44.160 to make it

01:04:44.540 easy for us,

01:04:45.980 easy for us,

01:04:48.420 to take him

01:04:49.960 out by

01:04:50.460 labeling him

01:04:51.220 a dictator.

01:04:52.420 And so,

01:04:53.240 they're like,

01:04:53.620 all right,

01:04:54.240 we've got our

01:04:54.780 plan.

01:04:55.640 Everybody,

01:04:56.200 everybody,

01:04:56.960 here's our

01:04:57.340 plan.

01:04:58.000 We're going

01:04:58.320 to go full

01:04:58.860 dictator on

01:04:59.520 Trump.

01:05:00.200 He's making

01:05:00.620 it easy.

01:05:01.480 He keeps

01:05:01.820 saying all

01:05:02.200 these dictator

01:05:02.780 things.

01:05:03.240 And he

01:05:04.520 is.

01:05:07.240 What's

01:05:07.640 another reason

01:05:09.000 he might

01:05:09.360 be doing

01:05:09.740 it?

01:05:10.640 Well,

01:05:11.320 I think he

01:05:12.300 may have

01:05:12.600 given you

01:05:13.040 a little

01:05:13.360 wink and

01:05:13.820 a nod

01:05:14.300 when he

01:05:15.060 said he

01:05:15.380 would be

01:05:15.660 a dictator

01:05:16.120 for one

01:05:16.640 day just

01:05:17.560 to get

01:05:17.800 a couple

01:05:18.120 of things

01:05:18.460 done.

01:05:21.700 And here's

01:05:22.380 what I think

01:05:22.820 he's telling

01:05:23.260 you.

01:05:24.320 He's going

01:05:24.860 to milk

01:05:25.220 it.

01:05:26.420 Because

01:05:26.860 there's

01:05:27.180 nothing

01:05:27.520 easier in

01:05:29.460 theory.

01:05:30.140 This doesn't

01:05:30.680 mean he'll

01:05:31.020 do it.

01:05:32.140 But in

01:05:32.600 theory there

01:05:33.340 would be

01:05:33.660 nothing

01:05:34.020 easier to

01:05:34.800 persuade

01:05:35.260 than to

01:05:36.480 persuade

01:05:36.840 people that

01:05:37.440 he wasn't

01:05:37.900 a dictator.

01:05:39.380 It could

01:05:39.940 be the

01:05:40.220 easiest thing.

01:05:41.260 And the

01:05:41.440 way you

01:05:41.720 would do

01:05:42.000 it is

01:05:42.500 by mocking

01:05:43.140 it.

01:05:44.320 You just

01:05:44.640 make a joke

01:05:45.260 out of it.

01:05:46.620 Did he

01:05:47.160 make a joke

01:05:47.780 out of it

01:05:48.200 when he

01:05:48.440 said,

01:05:48.780 oh,

01:05:49.080 I might

01:05:49.380 be a

01:05:49.620 dictator

01:05:49.860 for one

01:05:50.340 day,

01:05:50.960 just one

01:05:51.380 day?

01:05:52.580 Yes.

01:05:53.940 Yes,

01:05:54.420 he did.

01:05:55.180 That was

01:05:55.860 literally

01:05:56.480 making light

01:05:57.880 of it.

01:05:58.800 He never

01:05:59.300 gave it

01:05:59.740 weight.

01:06:00.100 If he

01:06:01.140 had said

01:06:01.540 dictator,

01:06:02.900 why,

01:06:03.740 I'm in

01:06:04.240 favor of

01:06:04.700 free speech

01:06:05.340 and you

01:06:06.300 guys are

01:06:06.680 against free

01:06:07.200 speech and

01:06:07.680 here are my

01:06:08.120 three other

01:06:08.720 reasons why

01:06:10.140 I'm not a

01:06:10.700 dictator,

01:06:11.480 and what

01:06:11.860 would the

01:06:12.200 audience hear?

01:06:13.660 Dictator,

01:06:14.320 dictator,

01:06:14.940 dictator.

01:06:15.620 Well,

01:06:15.760 you're very

01:06:16.160 defensive,

01:06:16.780 aren't you?

01:06:18.160 You seem

01:06:19.020 very defensive

01:06:19.880 about this

01:06:20.620 dictator thing.

01:06:21.360 Why are you

01:06:21.800 so defensive?

01:06:23.220 Why does

01:06:23.920 this attack

01:06:24.480 really get

01:06:25.260 under your

01:06:25.680 skin?

01:06:26.700 Why are you

01:06:27.720 melting down

01:06:28.560 over this?

01:06:29.600 It must

01:06:29.900 be true

01:06:30.520 because the

01:06:31.200 way you're

01:06:31.480 reacting to

01:06:32.060 it,

01:06:32.920 right?

01:06:33.860 That would

01:06:34.500 be the

01:06:34.760 mistake.

01:06:35.640 It's also

01:06:36.060 the way a

01:06:36.780 classic

01:06:37.240 politician

01:06:37.780 would respond.

01:06:39.320 I'm no

01:06:39.740 dictator.

01:06:40.800 The other

01:06:41.180 side might

01:06:41.760 be acting

01:06:42.160 more like

01:06:42.620 dictators

01:06:43.060 than me.

01:06:44.400 Let me

01:06:44.660 give you

01:06:44.940 these laundry

01:06:46.040 list of

01:06:46.480 reasons.

01:06:47.680 It doesn't

01:06:48.040 work at

01:06:48.360 all.

01:06:49.640 But what

01:06:50.000 are they

01:06:50.220 reporting

01:06:50.640 about it?

01:06:52.460 Axios

01:06:53.020 literally

01:06:53.660 reported

01:06:54.240 it was a

01:06:56.240 wink and

01:06:56.640 a nod.

01:06:58.560 the news

01:07:00.860 actually

01:07:01.220 picked up

01:07:01.920 that it

01:07:03.220 was a

01:07:03.980 wink and

01:07:04.380 a nod.

01:07:05.420 Now,

01:07:05.780 a wink and

01:07:06.100 a nod

01:07:06.520 is not

01:07:07.160 mockery,

01:07:08.300 but it's

01:07:09.400 a signal

01:07:10.000 that it's

01:07:11.780 coming.

01:07:13.520 Oh,

01:07:14.220 it's

01:07:14.460 coming.

01:07:15.880 I think

01:07:16.480 that he's

01:07:16.940 playing the

01:07:17.700 narrow ravine

01:07:19.240 followed by

01:07:20.720 the mockery

01:07:21.380 cannons.

01:07:22.480 I think

01:07:23.220 the mockery

01:07:23.880 cannons are

01:07:25.060 just on

01:07:27.200 hold.

01:07:27.560 and once

01:07:28.920 he gets

01:07:29.300 the Democrats

01:07:30.060 to fully

01:07:30.740 commit,

01:07:31.880 and it

01:07:32.060 might even

01:07:32.360 be months

01:07:32.860 from now,

01:07:33.660 I mean,

01:07:33.860 it could be

01:07:34.220 next summer,

01:07:35.220 just let

01:07:35.700 them just

01:07:36.040 call him a

01:07:36.600 dictator while

01:07:37.360 he's leading

01:07:37.820 in the polls.

01:07:38.860 Because as

01:07:39.220 long as he's

01:07:39.700 leading the

01:07:40.160 polls,

01:07:40.500 everything's

01:07:40.860 good.

01:07:42.540 Gets his

01:07:43.160 nomination over

01:07:43.860 the summer

01:07:44.260 and then

01:07:45.280 goes full

01:07:46.060 mockery

01:07:46.680 cannons on

01:07:47.640 the only

01:07:48.040 thing that

01:07:48.480 they've

01:07:48.720 accused him

01:07:49.260 for for

01:07:50.080 a year.

01:07:50.820 And they're

01:07:51.420 going to

01:07:51.600 say,

01:07:51.900 shit,

01:07:52.180 shit,

01:07:52.400 shit,

01:07:52.540 it's not

01:07:52.860 working.

01:07:53.600 And they're

01:07:53.900 going to

01:07:54.020 have to come

01:07:54.380 up with

01:07:54.680 something new

01:07:55.220 at the

01:07:55.520 last

01:07:55.740 minute,

01:07:56.420 which is

01:07:57.100 always a

01:07:57.940 tough,

01:07:58.280 tough thing.

01:07:59.820 So I

01:08:00.720 think he's

01:08:02.060 leading them

01:08:02.540 into the

01:08:02.900 narrow ravine

01:08:03.660 on this

01:08:04.080 dictator

01:08:04.480 thing.

01:08:05.260 Because

01:08:05.780 objectively

01:08:07.120 speaking,

01:08:08.520 if he

01:08:08.980 eventually

01:08:10.040 mocks it,

01:08:11.420 and then

01:08:11.740 people start

01:08:12.280 looking at

01:08:12.860 the opposite

01:08:13.940 evidence that

01:08:15.140 maybe it's

01:08:15.520 the Democrats

01:08:16.120 who are the

01:08:16.640 power-hungry

01:08:18.260 people,

01:08:19.740 to me,

01:08:21.340 it's looking

01:08:22.300 like it might

01:08:22.900 be a really

01:08:23.380 strong play.

01:08:24.120 But there's

01:08:25.740 a lot of

01:08:26.100 assumptions I

01:08:26.740 make.

01:08:27.560 My first

01:08:28.060 assumption is

01:08:28.780 that he's

01:08:29.180 fully aware

01:08:29.960 of what he's

01:08:31.900 doing and

01:08:32.600 that it's a

01:08:33.080 narrow ravine

01:08:33.700 play.

01:08:34.660 I think the

01:08:35.420 wink and

01:08:36.140 the nod

01:08:36.660 about dictator

01:08:37.740 for a day

01:08:38.340 does tell you

01:08:40.460 that he's not

01:08:40.980 going to take

01:08:41.360 it seriously

01:08:41.960 and that he's

01:08:43.680 going to keep

01:08:44.080 it in that

01:08:44.460 frame.

01:08:45.100 And if he

01:08:45.440 keeps pushing

01:08:45.960 that frame,

01:08:47.280 it's going

01:08:47.640 to be

01:08:47.840 glorious.

01:08:49.200 It's going

01:08:49.520 to be

01:08:49.720 glorious.

01:08:52.060 All

01:08:52.280 right.

01:08:54.120 Meanwhile,

01:08:55.080 I guess

01:08:55.660 there are

01:08:56.040 more voting

01:08:57.440 machine company

01:08:58.460 lawsuits against,

01:09:00.160 I guess Smartmatic

01:09:01.040 is going after

01:09:01.760 Mike Lindell

01:09:02.520 for his claims

01:09:03.780 about their

01:09:05.060 machines.

01:09:06.280 They're going

01:09:06.700 after Newsmax

01:09:07.780 and then Dominion

01:09:09.060 is also going

01:09:09.960 after Newsmax.

01:09:12.260 So all that

01:09:12.720 action might

01:09:13.220 happen over the

01:09:13.920 summer,

01:09:14.580 which would

01:09:15.860 potentially be

01:09:18.920 embarrassing,

01:09:19.620 I guess.

01:09:20.920 But the other

01:09:21.380 thing is

01:09:21.880 embarrassing for

01:09:23.000 Trump, I

01:09:23.400 suppose.

01:09:24.280 But the

01:09:24.840 other possibility

01:09:25.420 is that there

01:09:26.060 will be a lot

01:09:26.520 of discovery.

01:09:29.000 Why is it

01:09:29.860 that nobody's

01:09:32.200 required the

01:09:33.240 voting machine

01:09:34.080 companies to

01:09:34.900 show us

01:09:35.420 their code?

01:09:40.460 See, this

01:09:41.020 is the part

01:09:41.420 I don't

01:09:41.740 understand.

01:09:42.480 Maybe somebody

01:09:43.220 can explain

01:09:43.820 this if

01:09:44.320 somebody's a

01:09:44.820 lawyer.

01:09:45.680 If I'm a

01:09:46.480 lawyer and

01:09:47.060 I say,

01:09:47.740 if I've

01:09:48.500 made an

01:09:48.800 accusation

01:09:49.380 that your

01:09:50.040 voting

01:09:50.320 machine's

01:09:50.940 cheated,

01:09:51.860 and then

01:09:53.540 they sue

01:09:54.020 me because

01:09:55.800 there's no

01:09:56.220 evidence that

01:09:56.800 they cheated,

01:09:58.240 which is the

01:09:59.000 case.

01:10:00.020 No convincing

01:10:01.120 evidence that

01:10:01.780 I'm aware

01:10:02.120 of.

01:10:04.060 Doesn't

01:10:04.600 Mike Lindell

01:10:05.260 have every

01:10:05.820 right to

01:10:07.180 make them

01:10:07.760 show all

01:10:08.980 of their

01:10:09.520 proprietary

01:10:10.200 software?

01:10:12.040 And if

01:10:12.380 they don't

01:10:12.740 show their

01:10:13.240 proprietary

01:10:13.900 software,

01:10:15.180 doesn't he

01:10:15.660 win?

01:10:17.760 Because he

01:10:18.880 makes a

01:10:19.280 claim that

01:10:19.860 they can't

01:10:20.600 disprove,

01:10:21.240 without

01:10:22.120 showing their

01:10:22.740 software.

01:10:23.480 And they

01:10:23.680 can't do

01:10:24.020 that because

01:10:24.620 it's a

01:10:24.840 proprietary.

01:10:27.580 The worst

01:10:28.400 that they

01:10:28.740 can prove

01:10:29.360 is that he

01:10:30.200 hasn't proven

01:10:30.880 his claim.

01:10:32.460 But I

01:10:33.040 think in

01:10:33.460 order for

01:10:33.840 him to

01:10:34.060 be guilty,

01:10:35.040 they have

01:10:35.460 to sort

01:10:36.460 of prove

01:10:36.880 that it's

01:10:37.300 not true.

01:10:38.560 Do I have

01:10:38.900 that right?

01:10:40.480 That in

01:10:40.900 order to

01:10:41.320 prevail,

01:10:42.180 they have

01:10:42.520 to prove

01:10:43.160 that his

01:10:43.900 claim is

01:10:44.400 false.

01:10:45.220 How do

01:10:45.520 they do

01:10:45.840 that unless

01:10:46.320 they open

01:10:49.200 themselves up for

01:10:49.980 a full audit?

01:10:50.560 And that's

01:10:50.900 never going

01:10:51.240 to happen.

01:10:53.000 How do

01:10:53.600 they prove

01:10:54.040 that they

01:10:54.440 couldn't have

01:10:55.140 changed it

01:10:55.780 without being

01:10:56.780 detected?

01:10:58.240 Unless they

01:10:59.000 show every

01:10:59.640 part of their

01:11:00.080 system.

01:11:03.060 There's a

01:11:03.800 possibility that

01:11:05.280 these voting

01:11:05.820 machine companies

01:11:06.700 are being

01:11:08.880 encouraged by

01:11:09.680 the Democrats

01:11:10.220 to do what

01:11:10.980 they're doing

01:11:11.400 because it

01:11:12.920 looks bad

01:11:13.360 for Trump.

01:11:14.940 It's a

01:11:15.600 possibility that

01:11:17.240 the people

01:11:17.720 who least

01:11:18.640 want these

01:11:19.220 lawsuits are

01:11:21.080 Dominion and

01:11:22.400 Smartmatic.

01:11:23.920 They might

01:11:24.740 not want to

01:11:25.400 do this,

01:11:26.340 but they

01:11:26.540 might have

01:11:26.840 a lot of

01:11:27.160 pressure from

01:11:27.920 people who

01:11:28.860 make decisions

01:11:29.540 about what

01:11:30.080 voting machines

01:11:30.740 get put into

01:11:31.340 what areas.

01:11:33.120 In other

01:11:33.540 words,

01:11:33.840 their customers

01:11:34.520 might be

01:11:35.100 pushing the

01:11:36.000 customers,

01:11:36.580 meaning Democrats.

01:11:38.480 So here's

01:11:40.620 what I would

01:11:41.020 look for.

01:11:41.960 I would look

01:11:42.560 for the answer

01:11:43.100 to this

01:11:43.360 question.

01:11:44.640 Does this

01:11:45.220 open up the

01:11:46.140 machine companies

01:11:48.300 to greater

01:11:49.660 scrutiny than

01:11:50.740 they would

01:11:51.040 ever agree

01:11:51.540 to?

01:11:53.700 It's a big

01:11:54.420 question,

01:11:54.880 isn't it?

01:11:55.600 I don't know

01:11:56.160 the answer to

01:11:56.700 it, so I'm

01:11:57.040 looking for

01:11:57.600 actually maybe

01:11:59.060 some wisdom

01:11:59.720 here.

01:12:02.040 All right.

01:12:05.080 Now,

01:12:05.920 here's

01:12:06.340 interesting news.

01:12:07.260 Apparently the

01:12:07.740 Saudis and

01:12:08.480 France are

01:12:09.440 talking sort

01:12:10.660 of privately

01:12:11.140 about how to

01:12:12.500 figure out

01:12:13.000 what to do

01:12:13.380 with Gaza

01:12:13.900 after the

01:12:16.260 fighting stops.

01:12:18.240 Now, do

01:12:20.120 any of you

01:12:20.540 remember I

01:12:21.220 said the

01:12:21.780 best solution

01:12:22.360 might be to

01:12:22.900 get Saudi

01:12:23.440 Arabia involved

01:12:24.300 in the

01:12:25.080 end-state

01:12:25.880 solution?

01:12:27.760 And that

01:12:28.760 maybe it's

01:12:29.500 part of a

01:12:31.040 larger deal

01:12:31.720 to normalize

01:12:32.620 relations.

01:12:33.480 Did I say

01:12:33.920 that in

01:12:34.200 public?

01:12:35.020 Am I

01:12:35.360 imagining it?

01:12:38.060 I need a

01:12:38.760 fact check.

01:12:39.160 I did say

01:12:39.560 that in

01:12:39.820 public,

01:12:40.160 right?

01:12:40.840 And it

01:12:41.080 looks like

01:12:41.340 it's happening.

01:12:41.740 To me,

01:12:42.900 this was

01:12:43.260 the most

01:12:44.040 productive

01:12:45.520 possibility.

01:12:47.140 It doesn't

01:12:47.440 mean it

01:12:47.720 worked,

01:12:48.600 but the

01:12:48.780 most productive

01:12:49.480 possibility

01:12:50.380 is that

01:12:51.540 Saudi wants

01:12:52.440 to do a

01:12:52.900 deal,

01:12:53.340 presumably,

01:12:54.260 in which

01:12:54.680 they normalize

01:12:56.120 relationships with

01:12:57.080 Israel for

01:12:57.780 purely financial,

01:12:59.780 basic,

01:13:00.720 obvious reasons.

01:13:01.940 It's just in

01:13:02.840 Saudi's best

01:13:03.800 interest.

01:13:04.800 And I think

01:13:05.500 they have a

01:13:05.820 leader that

01:13:06.200 could get it

01:13:06.620 done.

01:13:06.800 So if

01:13:08.880 they're looking

01:13:09.300 to make

01:13:09.740 a breakthrough

01:13:10.220 in the

01:13:10.740 larger peace

01:13:12.160 for the

01:13:12.480 area,

01:13:12.980 which the

01:13:13.360 Saudis would

01:13:13.860 like,

01:13:14.800 don't you

01:13:15.400 think the

01:13:15.720 crown prince

01:13:16.420 would like

01:13:17.540 to elevate

01:13:18.260 his status

01:13:19.120 in the

01:13:19.500 region by

01:13:20.740 being a

01:13:21.120 peacemaker?

01:13:21.600 Can you

01:13:23.120 imagine

01:13:23.460 anything that

01:13:24.720 would be

01:13:25.000 better for

01:13:25.460 Saudi Arabia

01:13:26.180 and better

01:13:27.120 for the

01:13:27.900 crown prince

01:13:28.620 than to be

01:13:29.780 seen as

01:13:30.500 the person

01:13:31.660 who finally

01:13:32.460 pulled something

01:13:33.800 together that

01:13:34.480 worked?

01:13:34.820 There's

01:13:36.340 nothing.

01:13:37.380 There's

01:13:37.860 nothing that

01:13:38.620 would be

01:13:38.880 better for

01:13:39.260 Saudi Arabia.

01:13:40.300 Nothing.

01:13:41.640 In my

01:13:42.260 opinion.

01:13:42.980 But I'm

01:13:43.220 not very

01:13:43.580 good as

01:13:44.020 an expert

01:13:44.620 of the

01:13:44.920 Middle East.

01:13:45.520 But to

01:13:45.840 me it

01:13:46.080 looks like

01:13:47.180 it'd be

01:13:47.400 the best

01:13:47.740 thing.

01:13:48.760 So that

01:13:49.100 might be

01:13:49.400 productive.

01:13:49.920 We'll see.

01:13:50.480 But the

01:13:50.880 initial offer

01:13:52.240 looks like

01:13:52.680 a loser.

01:13:54.220 The rumor

01:13:54.980 is that what

01:13:55.740 the reported

01:13:56.900 plan would

01:13:57.560 be, or

01:13:58.080 at least

01:13:58.300 this is

01:13:58.800 maybe the

01:13:59.540 working

01:13:59.840 conversation

01:14:00.520 about what

01:14:00.980 it might

01:14:01.240 be,

01:14:02.140 is they

01:14:02.560 would strip

01:14:03.060 Gaza of

01:14:03.700 arms,

01:14:04.120 which I

01:14:08.020 don't know

01:14:08.260 if that's

01:14:08.520 even possible.

01:14:09.780 Do you

01:14:09.940 think you

01:14:10.280 could keep

01:14:10.780 heavy weapons

01:14:11.460 out of

01:14:11.760 Gaza even

01:14:12.400 no matter

01:14:12.920 how hard

01:14:13.380 you try?

01:14:14.440 I don't

01:14:15.040 know.

01:14:16.200 Maybe.

01:14:18.680 Set up

01:14:19.040 local

01:14:19.440 governance.

01:14:20.280 Well, what

01:14:20.580 is local

01:14:21.020 governance?

01:14:22.620 What is

01:14:23.120 local

01:14:23.480 governance?

01:14:24.200 Because there's

01:14:24.720 no way that

01:14:25.180 Israel is

01:14:25.620 going to

01:14:26.700 abdicate

01:14:27.380 control.

01:14:28.880 So does

01:14:29.760 that mean

01:14:30.060 that they

01:14:30.320 have a

01:14:30.540 local

01:14:30.780 government,

01:14:31.220 but the

01:14:32.300 security is

01:14:32.980 still handled

01:14:33.940 by others?

01:14:34.900 Because it's

01:14:35.540 who handles

01:14:36.000 the security

01:14:36.740 who is

01:14:37.860 in charge.

01:14:39.840 So that

01:14:40.940 part is

01:14:41.280 unstated.

01:14:43.220 And to

01:14:43.900 unlock

01:14:44.320 Israeli

01:14:44.920 prison

01:14:45.360 doors and

01:14:45.940 let 5,000

01:14:46.840 prisoners out.

01:14:48.720 And that

01:14:49.060 maybe this

01:14:49.560 has to do

01:14:50.100 more with

01:14:50.580 normalizing

01:14:51.180 relationships

01:14:51.760 with Israel.

01:14:52.660 That might

01:14:52.920 be the

01:14:53.200 big play

01:14:53.640 here.

01:14:54.580 Anyway,

01:14:54.980 I don't

01:14:55.240 know if

01:14:55.440 any of

01:14:55.680 this will

01:14:56.100 be useful,

01:14:57.440 but it's

01:14:57.980 exactly the

01:14:58.600 right

01:14:58.780 conversation.

01:14:59.460 And to

01:15:02.880 me, it

01:15:03.120 looks like

01:15:03.420 the most

01:15:03.780 fruitful

01:15:04.200 path.

01:15:05.780 There are

01:15:06.100 50 interns

01:15:06.960 who are

01:15:07.220 now put

01:15:07.940 together a

01:15:08.420 letter,

01:15:09.980 interns in

01:15:10.540 the White

01:15:10.760 House,

01:15:11.580 against

01:15:12.020 Joe Biden's

01:15:13.720 handling of

01:15:14.760 Israel and

01:15:15.320 Hamas.

01:15:16.940 And it

01:15:18.320 says that

01:15:18.760 they're

01:15:19.100 ignoring the

01:15:19.860 pleas of

01:15:20.300 the American

01:15:20.740 people,

01:15:21.880 blah, blah,

01:15:22.100 blah.

01:15:22.840 How many

01:15:23.540 interns are

01:15:23.980 there in

01:15:29.080 the White

01:15:29.400 House?

01:15:31.460 Are there

01:15:32.180 more than

01:15:32.680 40 interns?

01:15:36.740 That sounds

01:15:37.840 like a lot

01:15:38.280 of interns.

01:15:40.560 That sounds

01:15:41.280 like too

01:15:41.640 many,

01:15:41.960 doesn't it?

01:15:45.220 All right.

01:15:48.380 So I

01:15:49.460 love this

01:15:50.080 because it's

01:15:50.700 another example

01:15:51.440 of I'm

01:15:52.840 guessing that

01:15:53.520 these interns

01:15:54.240 are very

01:15:55.820 diverse.

01:15:57.040 You want

01:15:57.320 to make a

01:15:57.660 guess.

01:15:58.420 You think

01:15:58.720 the interns

01:15:59.280 are a

01:16:00.420 little extra

01:16:00.980 diverse?

01:16:02.780 They

01:16:02.980 probably

01:16:03.220 have some

01:16:03.580 DEI,

01:16:04.540 let's say

01:16:07.920 objectives when

01:16:08.660 they got

01:16:08.940 their interns,

01:16:09.900 and now

01:16:10.120 they have

01:16:10.340 40 of

01:16:10.800 them that

01:16:11.100 object to

01:16:12.080 the

01:16:12.380 administration

01:16:12.960 that hired

01:16:13.380 them in

01:16:14.260 a pretty

01:16:14.740 significant

01:16:15.260 way.

01:16:16.460 So it

01:16:16.780 makes me

01:16:17.160 wonder if

01:16:18.060 they think

01:16:19.200 that worked

01:16:19.620 down for

01:16:20.000 them.

01:16:21.260 So we'll

01:16:21.640 see how

01:16:21.920 that goes.

01:16:22.320 the Texan,

01:16:25.780 which is a

01:16:26.300 publication,

01:16:26.920 reports that

01:16:28.600 I guess

01:16:29.560 Texas,

01:16:30.980 the Attorney

01:16:31.400 General,

01:16:32.580 Texas Attorney

01:16:33.920 General,

01:16:34.880 is suing the

01:16:36.200 government for

01:16:37.040 weaponizing

01:16:37.940 censorship against

01:16:39.760 the Daily Wire

01:16:40.520 and the

01:16:41.300 Federalist.

01:16:42.440 The Daily Wire

01:16:43.500 and the

01:16:44.000 Federalist,

01:16:44.580 I guess,

01:16:45.080 would they be

01:16:46.780 the plaintiffs?

01:16:48.080 Do I have

01:16:48.680 that right?

01:16:49.100 In other

01:16:50.020 words,

01:16:50.460 in order for

01:16:51.480 the suit to

01:16:52.120 have meaning,

01:16:52.960 there has to

01:16:53.300 be victims.

01:16:54.540 So I think

01:16:54.980 they would

01:16:55.340 represent the

01:16:55.960 victims.

01:16:56.620 I think

01:16:56.880 that's how

01:16:57.220 it works.

01:16:59.240 And the

01:16:59.840 idea would

01:17:00.320 be that

01:17:00.960 the Democrats

01:17:03.880 put together

01:17:06.700 a censorship

01:17:08.300 architecture of

01:17:09.880 these fake

01:17:10.760 cutouts,

01:17:11.540 etc.,

01:17:11.960 and influenced

01:17:13.280 social media

01:17:14.920 companies for

01:17:16.280 the purpose

01:17:17.140 of censorship.

01:17:19.100 what do you

01:17:19.640 think about

01:17:20.020 this?

01:17:20.360 I think

01:17:20.660 this has

01:17:21.000 a good

01:17:21.240 chance.

01:17:22.500 Because as

01:17:23.200 far as I

01:17:23.640 know,

01:17:24.200 the factual

01:17:25.860 basis for

01:17:26.840 this lawsuit

01:17:27.460 is well

01:17:28.220 demonstrated

01:17:28.880 and now

01:17:29.820 public.

01:17:30.880 Meaning that

01:17:31.780 from the

01:17:32.580 Twitter files

01:17:33.340 and basically

01:17:33.980 everything that

01:17:35.020 Michael

01:17:35.260 Schellenberger

01:17:35.820 is doing,

01:17:36.500 Matt Taibbi,

01:17:38.600 and Congress,

01:17:41.840 I think they

01:17:42.860 have enough

01:17:43.340 evidence to

01:17:44.220 make this

01:17:44.620 case.

01:17:46.220 I think

01:17:46.940 they do.

01:17:47.960 So this

01:17:48.400 will be

01:17:48.640 interesting.

01:17:49.780 Texas to

01:17:50.360 the rescue

01:17:51.060 again.

01:17:57.640 So we'll

01:17:58.400 see.

01:17:59.840 We shall

01:18:00.400 see.

01:18:01.180 I think

01:18:01.540 that's

01:18:01.780 important.

01:18:06.120 All right.

01:18:09.540 Yeah,

01:18:10.180 Mike Benz

01:18:10.820 is the

01:18:11.320 best voice

01:18:12.580 on the,

01:18:13.640 what do

01:18:15.000 they call it?

01:18:15.480 the censorship

01:18:16.740 industrial complex.

01:18:18.860 I call it

01:18:19.480 the brainwashing

01:18:20.440 industrial complex.

01:18:22.020 I think

01:18:22.500 censorship,

01:18:24.060 well,

01:18:24.580 that gets to

01:18:25.340 the constitutional

01:18:26.080 question the

01:18:26.800 best,

01:18:27.940 you know,

01:18:28.160 because the

01:18:28.560 government can't

01:18:29.160 do censorship.

01:18:29.640 censorship.

01:18:30.640 I think that if

01:18:31.640 you want to

01:18:31.960 understand it on

01:18:32.820 the sort of

01:18:33.640 commonsensical

01:18:34.500 level,

01:18:35.400 it's not a

01:18:35.980 censorship.

01:18:37.180 On the practical

01:18:38.680 level,

01:18:39.220 it's brainwashing.

01:18:40.840 They don't just

01:18:41.900 want some people

01:18:43.340 not to talk.

01:18:44.600 They want to

01:18:45.420 change what you

01:18:45.980 think.

01:18:47.320 And so

01:18:47.600 brainwashing is

01:18:48.600 the scarier

01:18:49.440 crime.

01:18:52.240 The censorship

01:18:52.940 is sort of how

01:18:53.840 you get to the

01:18:54.380 crime.

01:18:54.720 But the

01:18:55.440 crime is

01:18:55.980 the brainwashing.

01:18:57.400 It's just that

01:18:58.120 the constitutional

01:18:58.960 part is the

01:18:59.740 censorship.

01:19:04.240 All right.

01:19:07.420 Censorship or

01:19:08.400 deprogramming?

01:19:15.480 Let's see.

01:19:16.760 I'm being

01:19:17.400 prompted to

01:19:18.080 talk about

01:19:18.580 Congressman

01:19:19.280 Thomas Massey.

01:19:22.200 All right.

01:19:22.920 Let me tell you

01:19:23.380 what I've

01:19:23.680 learned.

01:19:24.720 So Breitbart

01:19:25.880 and Joel

01:19:27.460 Pollack in

01:19:28.040 particular was

01:19:29.920 giving Thomas

01:19:30.620 Massey some

01:19:31.480 heat for a

01:19:33.520 meme that

01:19:34.760 used Zion

01:19:36.000 was part of

01:19:37.940 the meme.

01:19:39.280 And I

01:19:39.960 said to

01:19:40.300 well, I

01:19:41.280 said to

01:19:41.620 hear, I

01:19:42.960 don't really

01:19:43.360 see where

01:19:44.020 that was

01:19:44.380 antisemitic.

01:19:46.380 So here's

01:19:47.500 the counter

01:19:47.860 argument.

01:19:49.380 So if you

01:19:49.760 want to

01:19:50.040 understand how

01:19:50.840 anybody would

01:19:51.400 see that as

01:19:51.980 antisemitic,

01:19:52.800 here's the

01:19:53.120 counter argument.

01:19:54.720 that language

01:19:56.300 is more

01:19:57.080 commonly used

01:19:58.140 by, let's

01:20:01.820 say, the

01:20:02.180 worst racists

01:20:03.000 on the

01:20:03.300 right, who

01:20:04.700 believe that

01:20:05.460 the word

01:20:06.400 Zion is

01:20:08.440 closer to a

01:20:09.620 global Jewish

01:20:10.620 conspiracy idea

01:20:11.880 and not what

01:20:13.220 the dictionary

01:20:13.720 tells you.

01:20:14.860 Because the

01:20:15.180 dictionary just

01:20:15.800 says it's

01:20:16.360 about Israel's

01:20:18.560 statehood and

01:20:19.140 supporting it.

01:20:20.840 So I looked

01:20:21.960 at all the

01:20:22.340 definitions, and

01:20:23.300 the definitions

01:20:23.860 were all the

01:20:24.380 same.

01:20:25.040 It's just

01:20:25.440 about Israel

01:20:26.580 being a

01:20:27.060 state and

01:20:28.520 supporting it.

01:20:29.760 So I

01:20:30.300 thought, well,

01:20:30.860 what's wrong

01:20:31.340 with using

01:20:31.720 that word?

01:20:34.080 If every

01:20:34.860 definition is

01:20:36.240 a perfectly

01:20:36.760 innocent

01:20:37.280 definition,

01:20:38.480 what's wrong?

01:20:39.560 But all

01:20:40.740 words mean

01:20:41.920 something in

01:20:42.500 context only.

01:20:43.460 Would you

01:20:43.620 agree?

01:20:44.480 Words don't

01:20:45.140 have just a

01:20:47.340 meaning and a

01:20:47.920 context.

01:20:49.020 Every word,

01:20:50.120 in fact,

01:20:50.500 that was a

01:20:52.380 big point in

01:20:52.960 my book,

01:20:53.560 Reframe

01:20:53.940 Your Brain,

01:20:54.700 one of the

01:20:55.480 chapters makes

01:20:56.160 a big point

01:20:56.620 of this.

01:20:57.320 Words take

01:20:59.000 on meaning

01:21:01.060 beyond the

01:21:01.660 word.

01:21:02.480 So you can

01:21:03.140 look at the

01:21:03.560 dictionary, and

01:21:04.820 there will be

01:21:05.100 the base

01:21:05.520 meaning, but

01:21:06.720 that's not

01:21:07.320 everything the

01:21:07.940 word means.

01:21:09.460 We put power

01:21:11.140 into words.

01:21:11.760 And because

01:21:13.020 a certain

01:21:13.680 group of

01:21:14.120 people have

01:21:15.040 used that

01:21:16.320 Zion word as

01:21:18.440 part of their

01:21:19.060 ultra-antisemitic

01:21:21.080 narrative, that

01:21:23.520 anybody else who

01:21:24.480 uses it is,

01:21:25.900 whether they

01:21:26.320 like it or

01:21:26.840 not, is

01:21:27.980 taking on all

01:21:28.680 that weight.

01:21:30.080 So we could

01:21:31.060 argue all day

01:21:31.800 about the

01:21:32.360 specific definition

01:21:33.700 of the word,

01:21:35.480 but it does

01:21:36.720 have the effect

01:21:37.460 of giving

01:21:38.160 some, let's

01:21:39.740 say, giving

01:21:40.120 some oxygen

01:21:40.820 to the

01:21:41.940 worst

01:21:42.220 anti-Semitic

01:21:43.120 parts of the

01:21:43.620 country.

01:21:44.720 So if you

01:21:46.400 want to stop

01:21:47.080 somebody from

01:21:47.720 giving oxygen

01:21:48.620 to the worst

01:21:49.940 people in the

01:21:50.500 world, you

01:21:52.740 call it out

01:21:53.340 when they use

01:21:53.860 the word, just

01:21:54.720 so people know

01:21:55.520 there's sort

01:21:56.980 of a line

01:21:57.560 here, gurgle.

01:22:01.400 I'm just

01:22:02.020 telling you

01:22:02.360 both sides.

01:22:04.420 If you want

01:22:05.120 to know what

01:22:05.460 side I take,

01:22:06.380 I take the

01:22:07.360 side of Thomas

01:22:07.980 Massey, because

01:22:09.680 he used the

01:22:10.320 words the

01:22:10.720 way the

01:22:10.980 dictionary uses

01:22:11.740 them, he's

01:22:12.980 a nerd, and

01:22:14.420 nerds use

01:22:15.020 words the

01:22:15.480 way the

01:22:15.760 dictionary uses

01:22:16.440 them.

01:22:17.540 And I think

01:22:18.180 that's the

01:22:18.500 whole story.

01:22:19.960 Now, but is

01:22:21.000 it also fair

01:22:21.940 for somebody

01:22:23.380 to point out

01:22:24.260 that you're

01:22:25.460 getting real

01:22:25.880 close to that

01:22:26.700 line that you

01:22:27.940 don't want to

01:22:28.400 give any oxygen

01:22:29.160 to?

01:22:29.660 Yes.

01:22:30.620 It is

01:22:31.220 absolutely fair

01:22:32.220 to point out

01:22:33.320 that those

01:22:33.760 words carry

01:22:34.620 more meaning

01:22:35.340 than the

01:22:36.440 speaker may

01:22:37.080 have intended.

01:22:39.180 That is

01:22:39.820 fair.

01:22:42.040 But I'm

01:22:44.360 always going

01:22:44.740 to side

01:22:45.140 with the

01:22:45.660 free speech

01:22:46.980 if you're

01:22:47.420 using an

01:22:47.820 English word

01:22:48.460 in an

01:22:48.840 English word

01:22:49.360 way to

01:22:50.560 make a

01:22:50.860 point that's

01:22:51.320 not racist.

01:22:53.300 I'm okay

01:22:53.960 with that.

01:22:54.900 But I'm

01:22:55.300 also okay

01:22:56.520 with warning

01:22:57.200 somebody that

01:22:57.880 they're getting

01:22:58.220 close to a

01:22:58.780 line.

01:22:59.820 That's okay

01:23:00.240 too.

01:23:01.800 Can I agree

01:23:02.560 with both

01:23:02.940 of them?

01:23:07.600 I'm going

01:23:08.100 to agree

01:23:08.340 with both

01:23:08.720 of them

01:23:08.960 today.

01:23:10.060 All right.

01:23:10.560 But largely

01:23:11.360 because I

01:23:11.920 like both

01:23:12.420 of them

01:23:12.640 personally.

01:23:13.860 Have you

01:23:14.140 ever noticed

01:23:14.580 how hard

01:23:14.980 it is to

01:23:15.400 disagree with

01:23:15.980 somebody you

01:23:16.420 like?

01:23:17.900 All right.

01:23:18.520 So I love

01:23:19.400 Joel Pollack

01:23:20.100 and I love

01:23:20.680 Thomas Massey.

01:23:21.780 So I'm just

01:23:22.440 going to agree

01:23:22.900 with both

01:23:23.300 of them and

01:23:23.740 move on.

01:23:26.820 All right.

01:23:30.840 Did you watch

01:23:31.560 the Squid

01:23:32.000 Games?

01:23:32.420 No, I've

01:23:32.700 never seen

01:23:33.060 the Squid

01:23:33.400 Games.

01:23:34.420 Doesn't look

01:23:35.140 like something

01:23:35.700 I like.

01:23:36.900 I don't know.

01:23:44.620 Yeah.

01:23:45.200 All right.

01:23:45.560 I'm seeing

01:23:45.820 lots of

01:23:46.120 reactions here

01:23:46.840 but I think

01:23:47.680 we've done

01:23:48.240 the job that

01:23:49.540 we wanted to

01:23:50.100 do today.

01:23:50.540 Oh my God.

01:23:51.200 More than

01:23:51.520 enough.

01:23:53.320 YouTube,

01:23:53.940 thanks for

01:23:54.280 joining.

01:23:55.320 I enjoyed

01:23:55.920 you and

01:23:57.380 we'll see you

01:23:57.960 tomorrow.

01:23:59.080 Bye for now.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 07, 2023

Episode 2315 CWSA 12⧸07⧸23 GOP Debate, Trump's Narrow Ravine Strategy, McLeavin' And Lots More

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