Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 20, 2023


Episode 2328 CWSA 12⧸20⧸23 How About That Colorado Decision Barring Trump? That And Lots More


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 22 minutes

Words per Minute

140.86157

Word Count

11,620

Sentence Count

960

Misogynist Sentences

14

Hate Speech Sentences

41


Summary

In this episode of the podcast, Alex Blumbergbergberg talks about a new kind of AI: the kind that can talk to other animals and understand our thoughts and ideas, and that can do so much more than we can think of right now.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Oh, let me check my notes. Oh, I can't because my new book is in the way that you should order
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00:00:54.660 Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. That's good. Savor it. So who's feeling ungovernable today? I am a
00:01:10.080 little bit ungovernable. I always feel that way. Well, let's talk about all of the news. Of course,
00:01:16.940 we'll talk about Trump in Colorado and Kamala's word salad and all kinds of bad stuff.
00:01:24.660 But we're going to have fun with it all because I don't feel too serious today. And I don't feel
00:01:29.760 like there's too much risk today, actually. But first of all, we've got talking to the animals.
00:01:35.520 There's some scientists who figured out how to talk to a whale, sort of. Dr. Brenda McCowan,
00:01:42.840 UC Davis, lauded the breakthrough. So they recorded some whales and then they played some whale talk
00:01:52.320 and it attracted a whale. And whenever they played the whale talk, the whale responded.
00:01:59.480 Now, they don't know exactly what the whale is saying. But if you've seen any of those viral
00:02:04.840 videos of the husky dogs using the little buttons you put on the ground so they can say words,
00:02:10.860 like, food, take me out. And then they get more and more buttons. And then the buttons form like a
00:02:18.980 language. And then you see the videos of the dog saying things like, I don't like my life. Give me
00:02:24.660 some treats. Let's go to the store. And you think, can that dog always do that? Or is that just like
00:02:31.400 the weird got lucky and that's why it's a viral video? Well, I see a world in which animals not only
00:02:41.480 can speak to us through AI, translating their thoughts. But here's the fun part. I feel like
00:02:49.840 the part of the animal that's missing is the, you know, the language function. I assume animals don't
00:02:57.360 have a language function. But what happens if AI becomes the language function? Would they actually
00:03:04.060 learn language? You know, their own version, not English. But would they learn their own version of
00:03:11.220 more words and start putting thoughts to certain words? At which point that at least internally they
00:03:18.700 would have a language. Now, if they have a language, does that make them smarter? Because I have a theory
00:03:25.280 that the reason the large language model AI works is because the combination of words is basically
00:03:33.440 what we think is intelligence. Just word combinations. So if you can get the equivalent of word combinations
00:03:40.520 into an animal, a whale or a dog, would the animals start acting like they're smarter? Just because the
00:03:52.280 words gives them a little extra intellectual framework or something? I think maybe. I don't know the
00:04:00.880 answer to the question, but I think maybe. If you see those husky dogs, they look like they actually got
00:04:06.980 smarter, not that they just learned to use these buttons. It looks like they're actually gaining
00:04:11.760 language skills. So planet of the apes, I know. Brian Romelli is taking a victory lap for his prediction
00:04:21.580 a while ago that soon all the music would be AI. So Microsoft is integrating this music creation app
00:04:28.820 that just makes up AI music, any kind you want, into its co-pilot AI. So now all the music, the lyrics,
00:04:36.760 the instruments, the instruments, and it's all going to be done by AI, Brian tells us. So you could have
00:04:41.540 infinite songs just by telling it sort of what the topic is. So you could say songs about the economy
00:04:51.320 and then do you do the economy and then you'd be listening to the song. Now I listened to the first
00:04:59.180 example of it. No interest whatsoever. So this will be a good test. So Brian Romelli, whose predictions
00:05:07.380 on technology you should really pay attention to because he's way ahead of the curve. But just for
00:05:14.680 fun, I'm going to be the opposing prediction. The opposing prediction is that AI generated art
00:05:22.400 of any kind, be it movie or music or visual art, will have a very limited and niche appeal and it will never
00:05:33.440 get out of it. And it's because I believe that what we're responding to with art is the understanding
00:05:41.500 that a human made it. And that's the only activating part. As soon as you know a computer made it, no interest
00:05:49.340 at all. Just noise. So that's my prediction. It's the opposite of Brian's. Let's see. Just to make it fun.
00:05:59.920 All right. I saw a crazy, crazy idea. Jordan Peterson was tweeting this or posting it. There's some researchers
00:06:08.020 who took the concept of Moore's Law. You know that one. It says your microchip power will double every
00:06:16.540 whatever years. And sure enough, for many years in a row, Moore's Law, his prediction that, you know,
00:06:24.200 the doubling would happen at a very predictable rate, pretty much right on point. So somebody said,
00:06:31.360 hey, what if we took that concept about life on the planet? Because life on the planet keeps getting
00:06:39.860 more complicated, just like a microchip. So somebody said, what if we took the complexity
00:06:47.020 of life as we know it, and then we did a reverse Moore's Law to find out when life must have
00:06:54.160 started? Because if you can find a predictable law with human complexity that somehow mimics Moore's
00:07:02.780 Law as sort of an analogy or a model, you might be able to figure out when life started.
00:07:07.460 And so they worked that calculation, and they decided that it started, like, way before we think
00:07:15.340 you did. How far before? Well, maybe life, maybe before Earth. So using this method, they find
00:07:29.060 that life that life began before Earth was a planet, which would suggest that life started
00:07:37.720 in a simpler form somewhere else, and had a few billion years to become complicated enough
00:07:43.540 that by the time we got our first taste of it, it was already complex, a little bit. I don't
00:07:51.560 know. Maybe. Maybe. Maybe. I wouldn't say that the Moore's Law analogy is any kind of science.
00:08:02.220 So I wouldn't call this science. It's just sort of an interesting mental experience, let's call it.
00:08:09.940 New York Post says more people are leaving New York. They're fleeing New York, and Texas is the one
00:08:16.520 one that's had the biggest population gain. I don't know if that's biggest population gain
00:08:21.120 by numbers or by percentage. Probably just numbers. But that would be actually, in this
00:08:29.640 case, numbers is better than a percentage. So that's valid. Now, why do you think people
00:08:36.480 are fleeing New York and going to Texas? Taxes? Freedom? Less craziness? Better public relations?
00:08:45.900 Well, one thing Texas is doing better than New York is doing way better on public relations.
00:08:54.740 You know, if you looked at Texas as a product with marketing, Texas is marketing. My God.
00:09:04.480 Florida and Texas, they've done a really good job of just sort of marketing their product
00:09:10.260 to a certain kind of buyer, and the buyers are responding. So no surprise.
00:09:15.200 I'm doing a good job. But imagine being New York, and your biggest problem at the moment
00:09:24.620 is immigration, and people think that Texas is handling it so much better that they're
00:09:30.540 moving closer to the border. That's right. Their biggest problem in New York is probably
00:09:36.740 immigration. New York City, anyway. And to get away from the immigration, they're going to
00:09:42.320 move closer to the border. That's a pretty good endorsement for Texas. If moving closer
00:09:48.640 to the border makes you feel safer. But of course, immigration would be one of many variables.
00:09:53.680 I think taxes are probably closer to the top of the list. When I think about moving, I primarily
00:10:00.320 think about taxes. Let me test that on you. If anybody's not in one of those state tax, low
00:10:07.600 states, when you consider moving, because probably everybody noodles about it, do you think taxes
00:10:14.620 mostly, or is it some kind of freedom thing? Mostly taxes. Yeah. Yeah, so the New York City
00:10:21.580 taxes are just crazy, because you've got the city taxes on top of the state taxes. Yeah.
00:10:27.180 Right now, if I move to Texas, let me just give you an idea how bad this is. So I live in California.
00:10:36.260 If I were to move to Texas and just kept doing my same job, because I'm independent of location,
00:10:42.820 I would save enough on state taxes in Texas to buy a substantial mansion for free. For free.
00:10:54.300 The amount I would save on taxes would more than pay for a mansion. A multi-million dollar mansion.
00:11:02.040 It'd be free. How do you not move for a free mansion? Right? I'm doing okay. And, you know,
00:11:09.340 I don't want to move out of my house, and I like the weather and everything. So honestly, it's mostly
00:11:15.260 the weather. I live in one of the few places that you can live year-round and be okay with it.
00:11:21.200 By late February, I'm going to be a little complainy, because it's been too cold and rainy
00:11:28.620 for too long. But I'm in the middle of the December rainy season, and when I heard there
00:11:35.880 was going to be raining all day today, my first impression was, yay, rainy day, because
00:11:42.100 we don't get that many. It's like a whole rainy day where you can just hunker down and get
00:11:46.260 some stuff done and, you know, make sure you do your indoor exercise and stuff. Eh. I'm
00:11:52.020 still binge-watching The Crown on Netflix. Good rainy day. Yeah. So you can't really beat
00:11:58.940 California for the weather. If I move to Florida, I have to either move in the summer or never
00:12:04.920 go outdoors. Same with taxes.
00:12:07.100 I think Mike Cernovich said it best. I would pay a lot of taxes to be able to live in one
00:12:15.520 state all year without dying because I went outdoors. So yeah, there's still an advantage
00:12:22.160 in California, but it's decreasing. All right. The National Archives is going to release all
00:12:27.260 those Biden emails that are under the alias. So all of Joe Biden's pseudonymous, I like
00:12:35.520 saying pseudonymous. Yeah. So he used fake names on his emails to talk with Hunter and
00:12:44.160 I guess anybody else he didn't want to be identified with. So now 1,800 emails will be released to
00:12:49.560 James Comer and the House Oversight Committee. Is there any chance at all that we're not going
00:12:55.060 to learn something really, really embarrassing about Joe Biden from 1,800 emails that he thought
00:13:01.700 were sensitive enough that he didn't want his real name on them? How in the world does that
00:13:07.420 not end up with some juicy stuff? I mean, it might not be change the world stuff, but it's
00:13:15.960 going to be juicy. It's definitely going to be tantalizing. So look for that. You would
00:13:21.980 be surprised to know that Kamala Harris said in public something that didn't make sense.
00:13:29.420 She actually said this, quote, you know, every election cycle, we talk about this is the most
00:13:35.300 election of our lifetime. And then Lawrence O'Donnell said, this one is, this one is.
00:13:42.660 Oh no, then she said, Lawrence, this one is. Yes, this one is the most election of our, in fact,
00:13:50.260 of all the other elections, this is the most. Yeah, very, very much the most. And with any luck,
00:13:59.520 our next election will be even more of the most of this, whatever there is that's now more of it.
00:14:10.160 But there's a lot more of it, whatever it is, the election or something. All right, so get that
00:14:18.380 straight. And she says, quote, we are literally talking about people who are attempting to divide
00:14:26.100 our country in the most crude, frankly, and profound way. Never say this, in the most crude,
00:14:35.200 frankly, and profound way. She really needs to be sent back to talking school. We're going to send
00:14:43.420 you back to the school to learn how to put words together and a thing we call sentences, because
00:14:49.440 you're not too good at it. We are talking about those who are intent and purposeful. What? We are
00:14:58.160 talking about those who are intent and purposeful to attack fundamental freedoms.
00:15:08.720 What the hell is she babbling about, Lawrence O'Donnell?
00:15:12.000 Well, and then she continues, the freedom to be free. The freedom to be free. Could we ever have the
00:15:23.040 freedom to be free? The freedom to be free from fear, actually, that's the rest of the sentence. The
00:15:28.940 freedom to be free from fear of violence and hate. The freedom to just be. The freedom to just
00:15:35.900 be. I like adding the Kamala Harris accents, like, you know, where she punches some words. And she'll
00:15:45.380 pick the most ridiculous words to emphasize. So I'd like to do that again. The freedom to be free
00:15:55.160 from fear of violence and hate. The freedom just be. The freedom to just be. The freedom to just be.
00:16:05.900 Now, was somebody threatening your freedom to just be? I don't recall your freedom to just be,
00:16:17.380 to be threatened at all. Now, does that mean you could be any way you want to be? Can you murder
00:16:24.800 people and commit crimes? Because that's how I want to be. I just want to be me. Sometimes I want to
00:16:31.280 murder people. Sometimes I want to cross the border illegally. I just want to be me. And Kamala
00:16:38.580 backs me up 100%. If I want to murder somebody, she's in favor of freedom. Yeah. No, we're not
00:16:46.740 going to talk about the fact that, obviously, we're always a mix of freedom and non-freedom
00:16:51.100 in this country. Well, John Fetterman continues to be semi-awesome. Semi-not-awesome, but semi-awesome.
00:17:00.200 In which he says, TikTok is creating warped perceptions of Israel and Hamas' war. Yes, it is.
00:17:07.540 So Fetterman continues to say things that make sense. Not all of it. I mean, let's say there are
00:17:16.340 policy things that I'm not going to agree with. But he correctly identifies TikTok as a risk,
00:17:23.980 which should not be a political statement. And so he doesn't make it one, just fact.
00:17:30.580 And immigration is a big problem, no matter what your policies are. And he's willing to say that.
00:17:35.920 So I do like that Fetterman is not a slave to the party. He's not a puppet. He's definitely not a
00:17:43.600 puppet to the party. Now, I'm not endorsing him for president or anything crazy. But I just love it
00:17:51.120 when somebody can be honest. It's kind of unexpected. So credit to him. Also credit to
00:17:58.600 Thomas Massey. And one of the things he did was vote for this idea. He voted for a debt limit deal
00:18:08.600 the last time. The last time we went through this. He voted for a debt limit deal in exchange for caps
00:18:15.800 and a 1% cut in the event that they have to do a long continuing resolution. Now, this is all technical
00:18:23.660 Congress bullshit. But what he's basically saying is that because they couldn't agree on a budget
00:18:30.280 that would cut certain things and increase certain things, and you can never agree on that if it's
00:18:35.900 Republicans and Democrats. But they, because it was an emergency, you know, you had to do something,
00:18:41.900 they managed to get through some kind of a cap with an automatic 1% cut, which is exactly right.
00:18:51.960 So if you think this is the bad default, oh no, we couldn't make good decisions, and now we have to default
00:18:59.200 to 1% cut across the board. That is the right decision. If it were up to me, I would have said,
00:19:06.800 you know, nobody knows what works. Why don't you just cut everything 1% and then do it again next year
00:19:12.100 until you have a balanced budget? If you just cut 1% a year for, what, 10 years?
00:19:18.420 Wouldn't you be way back into the, we can make this work category?
00:19:22.340 I think you would. So that's a Massey win, I would say, as well as anybody who voted on the
00:19:29.160 same side with Edith. But having worked in the corporate world as a budget guy, it was my job
00:19:38.500 to pull together all the budgets from the different groups. And one thing I learned that I'll never
00:19:43.480 forget is you can look at all their details of you should increase my budget, and everybody wants
00:19:49.240 an increased budget because they like more power. And then the big boss just says, yeah,
00:19:54.620 all right, that's a bunch of bullshit. Just cut everybody by 10%. And that was my job to tell
00:19:59.380 everybody who had done all this work to know exactly how much they need next year. Say, yeah,
00:20:04.360 that's not going to happen. Just cut it 10%. But I can't. It's impossible. I could never cut it 10%.
00:20:10.860 Yeah, but you're gonna, because you get fired if you don't. It's impossible. I could never do it.
00:20:16.660 There is no way I could possibly do it. And then you check again at the end of the year,
00:20:22.660 under budget. Yeah, at the end of the year, under budget. Now, you say to yourself, but Scott,
00:20:29.740 what about all the things that came up during the year where they did legitimately need extra money?
00:20:35.380 What happens then? You know what happens then? The big boss says, yeah, I guess in this case,
00:20:41.300 you do need legitimately more money. So I'm going to take it out of this group and give it to you.
00:20:47.180 And that other group will just have to figure it out. And then they did. Then they did. Yeah.
00:20:55.180 There's nothing that a manager can do more easily than cut the budget. Because people will figure it
00:21:01.480 out. They'll make do with less. They'll just figure it out.
00:21:04.260 All right. As you know, Colorado, their higher court said that Trump's a big old insurrectionist and
00:21:14.320 therefore cannot even be on the ballot for the primaries. It's for the primary, right?
00:21:22.960 Give me a fact check of this. Are we only talking about the primary? He can't be on the ballot,
00:21:27.500 right? Now, you know that that's not going to make any difference. No difference. Here's why.
00:21:34.860 First of all, nobody in the world thinks that the Supreme Court will withhold it. Am I right?
00:21:40.500 Nobody thinks the Supreme Court is going to approve this. So it'll be reversed. But apparently,
00:21:47.240 the Republican Party cleverly said, we don't need you for a primary. We will just change our process to,
00:21:55.800 what do they call it? What's the other thing? Not a primary. A
00:22:00.620 caucus. A caucus system. So the caucus system, I guess the Republicans can just say,
00:22:09.720 well, screw you. We're still going to pick a candidate, just the way we always did. But
00:22:16.060 we're going to call it a caucus. It'll look different. And we'll just do it that way.
00:22:19.980 So there's no chance that Trump is going to be frozen out of the system by this. But I'm very much
00:22:30.500 liking Jonathan Turley's post on this on the X platform in which he says that this is so bad
00:22:38.160 that in the unlikely event that this stayed and Trump was denied the ability to run, that the country
00:22:45.980 would become, quote, ungovernable. Don't you love that word?
00:22:55.800 Because you and I might have been tempted to use, like, more provocative words. You know, like,
00:23:01.020 oh, it's going to be Boston Tea Party time, or, you know, it's a Second Amendment time. Or we'd say
00:23:06.700 something scary sounding like that. And then somebody would say, are you talking about an insurrection?
00:23:11.640 Why are you threatening to violence? And then we'd say, well, well, I like him. I like Turley
00:23:20.520 saying the country would become ungovernable. Because I love what that includes. That includes
00:23:27.060 everything. Like, nothing is ruled out by ungovernable. But importantly, it includes totally
00:23:34.900 legal processes. Right? So I much prefer saying that we will become, or even are, ungovernable.
00:23:43.780 In fact, it feels like a compliment, doesn't it? Don't you feel that if somebody calls you
00:23:49.340 ungovernable, isn't your first sense of that? I kind of am. Oh, is it RFK Jr. said it?
00:23:57.620 Oh, I'm being corrected. RFK Jr. said we would become ungovernable. Oh, you're right. You're
00:24:04.220 right. Yeah. That was RFK Jr. Yeah, I reposted that. You're right. Thank you for that correction.
00:24:14.840 But it's a great word, ungovernable. It stays away from the violence, but it does capture all
00:24:20.000 that. All right. Everybody, I think everybody who observes this thinks Trump's poll numbers
00:24:25.360 will go up. Would you agree? Trump's poll numbers will go up, probably, because of this.
00:24:34.940 But here's what I like about it the best. I really love my overreaches. When the Democrats
00:24:41.780 have a good argument, then I think to myself, oh, they've got a good argument there. But when
00:24:48.920 they overreach and they do things just so crazy, I kind of like that, because it's a signal
00:24:55.400 that something good is going to happen. So what I like about this overreach is it gives
00:25:04.000 all of us permission to assume that the 2020 election was rigged, even if there's no proof
00:25:09.980 whatsoever. Because this overreach is so egregious, so obvious, so in your face, and it's really
00:25:19.600 obviously driven by the stop Trump at any cost mentality. Right? Because I don't think there's
00:25:26.940 any legal observer who thinks it's going to hold. It looks like TDS, and it looks like stop
00:25:34.560 Trump at any, you know, there's nothing you would stop at to do it. If that's the case
00:25:40.440 today, what would make you think it wasn't the case in 2020? Because I think they were
00:25:48.000 more afraid of them in 2020 than they are even now. I mean, or at least it's a tie. So I think
00:25:55.380 that they've now showed their hand. So people who are, you know, legitimately known to be part
00:26:02.220 of the Democrat Party, have now quite publicly shown us that they will stop at nothing. So
00:26:11.380 you think 2020 was a fair election? When you know that the party as a mentality has enough
00:26:18.960 of a common mentality that will stop at nothing, because they think he's iller. We also know,
00:26:26.620 thanks to Mike Benn's reporting, that there was this thing called the Election Integrity Partnership,
00:26:35.100 that was censoring millions of pro-Trump tweets ahead of 2020, and that a team of high-level DC
00:26:41.880 operatives were plotting a color revolution if Trump won fair and square. That the Democrats,
00:26:51.620 some notable ones, and it's in writing, the actual documents, in which they were planning
00:26:56.880 some kind of a coup if he won the election. Now, based on what I can see from the outside,
00:27:09.000 it kind of looks like the Democrats believed their own propaganda.
00:27:13.060 Because the documents that exist don't give a hint that it's purely political. I mean,
00:27:23.180 the outcome is purely political. But their thinking, as it seems to be, you know, maybe
00:27:30.260 suggested by their writings, is that they actually thought it was a risk to the world.
00:27:35.440 I think many of them had actually convinced themselves that their own propaganda was real,
00:27:42.740 and that Trump was literally a potential iller. I think they actually believed it. I don't know
00:27:51.820 what's worse, that they didn't believe it and tried to get away with it, or that they actually
00:27:56.240 believed what they were saying. But apparently the mental illness part of this is way bigger than I
00:28:01.660 thought. Because I always assumed it was pretending to be mad, you know, so that their team could
00:28:07.460 win. But I think they actually believed what they were saying. I mean, that's kind of a mind bender
00:28:13.320 to me. All right. So it's the first time that that amendment has been used. I think Glenn Greenwald
00:28:23.320 pointed out that even Jack Smith, who is the federal prosecutor going after Trump, even he's not charging
00:28:32.740 Trump with insurrection. But this little state has decided that it was insurrection, even though the
00:28:41.260 guy who has the most information and the most mission to charge him for insurrection is not charging
00:28:48.840 Trump with insurrection. So the people who know the most about it and have the most incentive to
00:28:54.560 charge him with it, the federal, there's not even enough to take a run at it. Now keep in mind
00:29:00.620 that they're not, that Jack Smith's not doing insurrection in the context of all the legal system
00:29:09.000 making the most absurd claims about Trump. Like all of the legal claims are just such a stretch.
00:29:16.880 But they couldn't even stretch. In the context of everything stretched, like all of their legal
00:29:23.020 arguments being a little bit ridiculous, they couldn't stretch that one enough. And still Colorado
00:29:30.180 said, oh yeah, insurrection. Pretty obvious. So this is exactly what it looks like. One team trying to
00:29:39.860 game the system, break the system, abuse the system until they get their way. So yeah,
00:29:46.520 you can absolutely hold your head up high if with no proof whatsoever you claim 2020 was probably
00:29:56.420 obviously rigged with no evidence. That's now allowed. Because so many things are so obviously
00:30:05.620 corrupt and their thinking was so obviously along those lines, it would be ridiculous to assume that
00:30:12.200 they didn't act. And by the way, there does seem to be a lot of stuff missing in Georgia. Now, I'm a little
00:30:21.100 lost in the details of this story. But follow the Rasmussen account, because they're on all of the details.
00:30:28.940 But apparently, things have been asked for in Georgia that are just missing. That would be the only way you could know if
00:30:35.100 the election was fair. So there's no way that the Georgia election was fair. If they can't produce the basic audit
00:30:43.000 materials, you should assume it's unfair. I don't have any evidence of that or proof, let's say. I don't
00:30:49.200 want any proof of it. But your working assumption, when the audit materials disappear, they disappeared.
00:30:56.000 I don't know where they are. Can't find those machines. Can't find those ballots. Can't open the door and let
00:31:02.040 you look. Yeah, just assume it's rigged. You have every right as a citizen to say, oh, that's good
00:31:09.040 enough. That is enough. That is enough evidence to operate on a working assumption that 2020 was rigged
00:31:17.540 with no proof. No proof at all. I don't have any. But you're trying pretty hard to make sure you don't
00:31:25.080 get any. That's good enough for me. Vivek Ramaswamy said of the Colorado decision that he would withdraw
00:31:34.860 from the Colorado GOP primary unless Trump is allowed back in. I think Chris Christie railed against
00:31:42.580 it. I think Nikki Haley railed against it. I haven't heard from DeSantis yet, but I assume
00:31:49.800 he's not going to be happy about it. I'm actually quite, quite pleased, quite pleased that the Republicans
00:31:56.680 seem to have joined forces in saying, I'm running against Trump, but you can't do this.
00:32:03.660 You just can't do this. So good work. Good work, Republicans. All the way to Chris Christie.
00:32:09.520 Chris Christie is running primarily to take Trump out of the race. And even Chris Christie
00:32:16.120 says, nope, nope, no, that's too far. Hashtag too far. All right. Turley, this is what Turley
00:32:30.140 said. I confused RFK Jr. who said ungovernable. But Turley had a good post as well, as he always
00:32:38.080 does. He said, it's a hands, hands down, the most anti-democratic opinion I've seen in my lifetime.
00:32:44.960 And it's a slippery slope because it sort of does allow the Republicans to do the same thing.
00:32:51.800 And by the same thing, I mean, a Republican state could say, hey, you guys are insurrectionists.
00:32:59.060 And then people, they would say, what are you talking about? What did we do that was insurrectionists?
00:33:03.460 And then the Republicans in some other state can say, well, just look at the Colorado decision.
00:33:10.500 That was just a coup. Because their decision was so unmoored from any kind of legal precedent
00:33:17.360 or argument that that's an insurrection. And then they say, what? That was our court system.
00:33:25.340 We're just using the court system. And then the red state says, yeah, you know, it's not up to you.
00:33:29.980 It's not up to you. It's not up to you. Yeah, we hear you. When you say that wasn't an insurrection,
00:33:35.820 not up to you. We say it was. So we're not going to let your candidate on. And then they say,
00:33:43.740 but, but, you're calling something an insurrection that wasn't really an insurrection. And then the
00:33:49.740 Republican state say, fuck you. That's it. Yeah. So there's no way this can stand.
00:33:59.720 The Supreme Court's not going to let it stand. Would you agree? If the Supreme Court let
00:34:06.720 this stand, and let's say the Republicans didn't immediately turn it into a caucus, if it actually
00:34:12.880 ended up making a difference, I'm going to be pretty fucking ungovernable. You don't know
00:34:19.420 what ungovernable looks like. And I think that it's very important for both sides to read
00:34:26.440 the mood of the other side. If Republicans were doing something to Democrats that was
00:34:33.040 driving them to violence, I'd sure want to know about it. And I'm pretty sure I would
00:34:39.180 try to, you know, modify a little bit. Hey, hey, hey, you've gone too far. They're actually
00:34:44.240 loading their guns. Too far. Let's see if we can, you know, take this down a notch. Right?
00:34:49.940 If they take Trump off the ballot with lawfare or ridiculous court decisions, we're going
00:35:01.540 to be pretty fucking ungovernable. Now, I don't call for violence. I never call for violence.
00:35:07.140 But you don't know what ungovernable looks like until Republicans do it. You do not want to
00:35:13.080 be in a country where Republicans have decided to be ungovernable. You don't want to be there.
00:35:20.680 So let me just make sure that everybody knows, you know, where the line is. Oh, there's a
00:35:26.820 line. There's a line. Keeping Trump off the ballot for bullshit. That's a line. That's a line.
00:35:36.880 Yeah. And I remind you that I'm backing Vivek Ramaswamy for president. But you don't do that
00:35:46.220 in America. You don't take the guy who's leading in the polls off the ballot. You just don't do that.
00:35:55.120 Senator Tom Tillis, Republican, is going to introduce a bill barring federal funds for election
00:36:00.720 people who misused the 14th Amendment. So Colorado, allegedly, was misusing that 14th Amendment,
00:36:08.860 the insurrection part. So the federal government may, if this got passed, get their funding cut. But I
00:36:17.080 don't think this will get passed. And I don't think the ruling will stand. It's more like something to
00:36:21.540 talk about. The amuse account on X. Great account to follow. Just amuse. Look for that.
00:36:35.880 Says, flashback, 10 Democrat-controlled states. This is back in Lincoln's day.
00:36:44.160 Refused to put Lincoln on their ballots. Despite that, Lincoln won anyway. So I guess these were
00:36:50.500 states that were lesser populated. But a lot of them, Alabama, Arizona, Florida, Georgia,
00:36:56.640 Louisiana, Michigan, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas. All of those states
00:37:04.680 refused to put Lincoln on the ballot. Yeah, this Trump equals Lincoln thing is very bothersome,
00:37:13.960 isn't it? For the obvious reason. Let me just say that Trump needs this comparison.
00:37:20.500 Like he needs a hole in the head. Stop it. Stop it. All right. Well, I think this is a good
00:37:28.940 point. Because we forget. It's very easy to think that the politics has reached its worst level.
00:37:37.200 Not even close. Not even close. The worst level was in our past. Like way worse. Yeah. Maybe you
00:37:47.960 could argue, oh, I thought it was better in the 80s or something. I don't know. Maybe
00:37:51.720 it was. But in the further past, it was way worse. I think even the fake news was way worse
00:38:00.560 in the past. You know, when a few rich people controlled all the newspapers, like Hearst,
00:38:07.180 I got a feeling that was worse. We just didn't know it. Because we didn't know what fake news
00:38:12.740 was in those days. All right. So yeah, as Mike Benz was talking about, we have documents
00:38:21.620 showing that part of our government wanted to do some kind of a color revolution or even
00:38:28.360 potentially a military insurrection if Trump won fair and square. That was actually being
00:38:35.680 talked about. So yes, everything they accuse you of is what they're doing. Molly Hemingway
00:38:43.980 asked this question. Have any Democrats spoken against their party's authoritarianism? Meaning
00:38:50.520 the Colorado decision. Absolutely terrifying Soviet-style campaign strategy they're employing
00:38:56.420 of destroying democracy and trying to imprison their political opponents. Have you seen any Democrats
00:39:04.600 speak out against this? I'm kind of waiting for Fetterman? Has Fetterman said anything? See,
00:39:13.400 now this will be a good test. Because if Fetterman is who I think he is, which is somebody I might
00:39:20.160 disagree with on some topics, but with somebody who actually thinks it through and is not going
00:39:26.060 to just take the team play, if he doesn't come out against this, then fuck him. Like, his value
00:39:33.500 is zero. Because this one's easy. So far, Fetterman's been pretty good on the topics that we never
00:39:40.960 should have politicized in the first place, right? TikTok is not a political question. It shouldn't
00:39:47.580 be. So he gets the right decision. The border security shouldn't be a political decision. It
00:39:55.260 became that way, but it shouldn't be. So he gets to decide that one based on just what makes sense.
00:40:00.060 But likewise, this Colorado thing, even though the context is politics, your opinion on it should
00:40:06.280 not be based on politics. It should be based on, do you want to live in a stable country? Or do you
00:40:12.440 want to do shit like this? So Fetterman, we call upon you to see if you can at least be consistent
00:40:19.700 in saying that if there's a topic that should be above or outside of politics, that you will judge
00:40:25.960 that individually. If you can do that, I'm going to keep my respect for Fetterman, even when I might
00:40:35.400 violently disagree on some policies. But what I think is that people can't tell the difference
00:40:43.220 between demons and angels. And I think that the Democrats believe they are the angels, and they're
00:40:51.060 fighting against the demons. And they think the demons are Trump and the mega people, because
00:40:56.580 they've been told that. But I think the big problem here is that people don't know the difference
00:41:01.640 between a demon and an angel. We can't even tell the difference between UFOs and angels, because
00:41:09.760 some people think they're angels, right? So I think that's what it is. They think they're angels
00:41:16.660 fighting demons, but they're actually demons fighting angels. Or everyone thinks they're
00:41:22.200 the angel and everybody else is the demon, which I think would be a more fair way to describe
00:41:28.280 it. Mike Servage points out that California voted to end illegal immigration handouts with
00:41:37.000 Prop 187, but judges overruled it. So the people wanted to stop giving the immigrants so many
00:41:45.780 handouts. But the judge said, nope. And same with gay marriage. Mike points out Proposition
00:41:51.320 8. Public voted for it. Judges said no. I don't remember that, but I'll take his word
00:41:57.280 for it. And so Mike says, we haven't been anything close to a democracy or a republic for decades.
00:42:05.140 We live under judicial supremacy. I hadn't really heard that phrase before, judicial supremacy.
00:42:15.780 But of course, the judges get picked by the political system. So it's all corruption as
00:42:23.720 it is expressed throughout the system. But let me ask you this. Pick any time in American
00:42:32.880 history. Just see the timeline in your mind. Put on the blindfold and throw a dart. And it
00:42:39.840 hits any time in the past. You really think the courts were better in the past? Really?
00:42:47.780 Yeah. You don't think the courts were just like wildly putting black people in jail for
00:42:51.940 being black? You don't think the courts were just as, you know, corrupt and bribed and, you
00:42:59.820 know, crony capitalism and all that? Of course they were. Yeah. I don't know that it's worse.
00:43:05.040 But Mike's point is fair. The courts have had this unnatural control and maybe even more
00:43:14.440 than ever. But I do think the Colorado thing will not stand. Well, Nikki Hilley is in the
00:43:23.220 news, of course. Some say she's drawing even with DeSantis for one of the primaries. It
00:43:29.040 doesn't matter because it's boring. She's not going to win, so it doesn't matter. But according
00:43:36.920 to the Hill, Nikki Hilley is facing a barrage of sexist attacks. Nikki Hilley is getting a
00:43:44.320 barrage of sexist attacks. Have you seen any? I haven't seen any sexist attacks. Where are
00:43:54.420 they coming from? I'll tell you what I've seen. I've seen a whole bunch of people say,
00:44:02.720 you know what? I like the fact that she's female. In fact, I would argue that her entire
00:44:08.740 appeal is based on being female. Because I don't mind that if you are a woman and you
00:44:16.080 think you're underrepresented and you say, you know, maybe not my first choice, but she
00:44:20.680 is a woman. I'd like to get some representation that's closer to me. I'm okay with that. I
00:44:27.680 mean, that's a reasonable take in a democracy. But I feel like that's her big advantage.
00:44:39.060 You know, it's like her biggest advantage. And she thinks so too. Because she said in public
00:44:45.600 during a debate that if you want a job done right, call a woman. If you want somebody
00:44:51.940 to talk about it, call a man. If you want a job done right, call a woman. That's what
00:44:58.020 she said. Now, if you say something that's so overtly bigoted and sexist against one gender,
00:45:06.520 you know what you should expect? If you're an overt, public, misandrist, sexist, as she
00:45:14.800 is. Hillary Clinton was as well. Because Hillary Clinton also said that being a woman was an
00:45:20.420 advantage. You can't run for president and tell us your gender is an advantage. Nope.
00:45:27.020 If Trump did it, he should be disqualified too. If Trump ever said, you know what, you
00:45:32.180 need a man as president, I would instantly say, nope, nope, sorry. You cannot, you cannot
00:45:41.080 be the president and say that there's a gender or a sexual preference or a ethnicity or religion.
00:45:50.960 That's the bad one. You can't. There aren't that many things that are that disqualifying.
00:45:57.180 But that's number one. That's number one. That's the most disqualifying. Oh, I'm going to be your
00:46:04.680 president, but I think some of you are fucking assholes. No. No. No, no, no, no, no, no, no. Disqualifying.
00:46:14.460 That was the moment that turned me against Hillary Clinton hard when she said women are just better
00:46:21.960 as presidents because they listen better, she said. So Hillary says women listen better and Nikki
00:46:29.640 Haley says that women will do the job right, call a woman. Now, if you say stuff like that, you should
00:46:38.020 expect to be called a lot of things. And many of those things will rhyme with bunt. Many of them will.
00:46:49.540 All right, Trump, let's do an update on the Trump is Hitler persuasion game. As you know, the Democrats
00:46:55.740 are selling their Trump is Hitler. But do you think that that's a good play? There's one thing
00:47:04.960 that the Democrats did not count on when deciding that their big play was going to be Trump is
00:47:11.620 Hitler. And you're going to laugh when I say it. And you should have seen it coming because
00:47:20.040 of the Hamas situation. Have you noticed that young people don't seem to think that Hitler
00:47:28.040 was much of a big deal? Have you noticed that? The young people kind of don't know who Hitler
00:47:36.160 was and what he was up to. If you ask young people how many people died in World War II,
00:47:41.800 they might guess something like, I don't know, 10, 20,000? Yep. So just hold in mind that the
00:47:52.160 primary campaign, the primary, the biggest thing the Democrats are claiming about Trump
00:47:57.180 is that he's like Hitler. Also, at the same time, the Democrats are trying to be the party of young
00:48:05.020 people, you know, make sure they get those young people because Biden could not have won without the
00:48:10.640 under 30 vote. Am I right? That's a guarantee. If Biden had not just crushed the young people
00:48:18.520 vote, he had no chance. So now their approach is to tell the young people that Trump is like
00:48:25.460 Hitler. How's that working? Well, here's an update. Turns out that young people have moved
00:48:36.360 to Trump. So in 2020, Biden got, he beat Trump by 24 points among people under 30. Do you know how hard
00:48:48.060 it is to win by 24, you know, 24 percentage basis points? It's really hard. So Biden didn't just beat
00:48:59.280 Trump in the under 30s. He just annihilated him. What's it look like today? NBC News says
00:49:09.300 a similar pattern of 46% to 42%. So there's been a big shift. Anyway, so the numbers are messed up
00:49:24.480 here on what I wrote down. But there's been a big shift toward Trump. Now just just hold that in your
00:49:30.760 mind. So the entire approach of the Democrats is completely useless for the under 30s. Because
00:49:40.520 it just doesn't mean that much. You know, imagine here's a mental experiment. Imagine you're not the
00:49:47.260 age you are with the education you have. And you just didn't know who Hitler was. It was like somebody
00:49:54.420 says, you know, on the planet Glark, there was a terrible leader. His name was Hupka. So what you
00:50:02.600 don't want is you don't want Trump to be like the evil leader Hupka from the planet Glark. And the
00:50:10.620 people under 30 say, okay, grandpa. Okay. It just doesn't hit. It doesn't hit. If you don't, if you
00:50:21.000 can't feel Hitler in your bones, as everybody my age can, right? Hitler is something you feel. Hitler
00:50:29.020 isn't just like a historical reference. You feel Hitler, but not if you're under 30. If you're under 30,
00:50:37.940 it's just a name. It's just something people keep mentioning. They don't feel it. And you can't
00:50:44.720 really feel it unless you've done what people like me have done. How many of you sat in your living
00:50:50.680 room when you were young, and usually your father had the History Channel on, and it was nonstop
00:50:57.380 Hitler footage? How many of you have that experience? Yeah, a lot of yeses. Yeah, I'd be sitting
00:51:07.800 in the living room at home, and it'd be like, Hitler, Hitler, Hitler, and here's a video of
00:51:12.060 Hitler, and here's some World War II, and look at all these dead people. Hitler, Hitler, here's a
00:51:16.300 picture of the death camp. Here's all the starving people in the death camp. I'd be like, ah, ah. I mean,
00:51:23.280 I had such childhood PTSD from all things World War II. I mean, seriously, I had PTSD. I was damaged,
00:51:33.200 and I didn't live through the war at all. You know, I was born after the war, of course.
00:51:39.300 But I totally got PTSD, because it was just rammed down my throat from birth. But you're under 30.
00:51:46.220 It's just a story in a book. Just a story in a book. All right, so there's an update on Epstein.
00:51:54.840 Apparently, there's a bunch of people will be named from some recent, or not recent, but a court case
00:52:02.040 about Epstein. They're going to unseal the names of the people involved. But I agree with Sticks and
00:52:08.300 Hammer, who posted, it's going to be a nothing burger. All right, this is not Epstein's list of
00:52:15.040 clients. It's not that. There was a court case. It's over. The names of the people involved were
00:52:22.280 unsealed. They're going to be unsealed. People were involved with the one case. You might get
00:52:28.800 some surprises. You might get some news stories. But probably, it's going to be a big nothing.
00:52:34.880 That's what I think, too. All right.
00:52:43.000 Columbia, the country, we learned from also the Amuse account, is allowing visa-free travel from
00:52:51.140 Iran, Yemen, and 41 countries, including African nations. So all you have to do is get to
00:52:58.120 Columbia. Columbia won't even check your documents, apparently. You just walk into Columbia, and from
00:53:04.380 there, you travel up through the southern border of the United States. So we now have an unlimited
00:53:14.060 open door to all of Iran, all of their terrorists. Now, is there any chance that Iran has not sent their
00:53:23.460 terrorists to set up a camp in America? There's no real chance of that, because it's the most obvious
00:53:29.540 thing you do. I wrote a book called The Religion War. It was the sequel to God's Debris a number of years
00:53:37.620 years ago. And although it was like 20 years ago or whatever, I speculated that the Middle East terrorists
00:53:46.020 would put agents in all the major cities in America and activate them at the same time.
00:53:53.160 Because one terrorist in one city can do a hell of a lot of damage. Just one? You know, fires and
00:54:03.220 drones and fentanyl. You know, you could do the math. It doesn't take much to shut down a city.
00:54:09.800 So I feel like that's the big risk in the future, is the people who snuck in and are just sort of
00:54:16.040 waiting for the order. That's the thing. I fear that a lot more than nuclear war. Anyway.
00:54:23.800 So we'll see how that works out.
00:54:30.180 It's really unbelievable that our border is open.
00:54:33.720 Yeah, it went from, well, this is weird and unproductive and suboptimal to, are you fucking
00:54:40.320 kidding me? Are you kidding me? The border is still wide open? In the sense that all you have
00:54:46.720 to do is say you have one asylum and you can come right in. My God. Well, I think there's a
00:54:53.080 guarantee of a Republican president primarily because of that. We learned that President
00:54:59.880 Xi told Biden when he was here that Xi's stance is he wants a peaceful reunification of Taiwan
00:55:08.700 and he rejected the idea that he's going to do something militarily, you know, in the next
00:55:14.740 few years. Does that sound true? Do you believe it? That he's not going to do something
00:55:22.640 militarily and that he wants a peaceful reunification and doesn't have a specific timeline that's
00:55:29.680 at least within two years. I actually believe it. I 100% believe it and always have. Do you
00:55:38.260 know why? China is the most predictable country in the world. There's no more predictable country
00:55:46.440 than China. I think they told you exactly what makes sense for China and then they're going
00:55:52.340 to do it. Do you know why? Because that makes the most sense for China. Do you think China
00:55:57.580 thinks that a war with Taiwan could go well? They're not going to end up with any microchips.
00:56:03.260 They're going to end up with a smoldering island and a degraded economy that won't be able to do
00:56:09.940 trade with the rest of the world. There isn't the slightest chance that the current government of
00:56:16.680 China, which looks like it's pretty stable, wants a war about Taiwan. Not any. They don't have any,
00:56:24.200 there's no urgent need. They're, as Kyle Bass points out, the real estate segment is in freefall
00:56:32.100 and their banking system might be in freefall. China is in a lot of trouble. Literally the last
00:56:41.260 thing they need is a war, especially an optional war. There's no way China starts an optional war
00:56:50.300 for a bunch of assets that will clearly be destroyed during the war, right? If it looked like China was
00:56:58.280 going to take control of Taiwan, I hate to tell you Taiwan, but all your microchip businesses are
00:57:05.800 going to get bombed by us. Am I wrong? We would never let China take control of the actual factories
00:57:15.320 because it's so hard, apparently it's really hard to make a factory that makes microchips.
00:57:20.880 We're not going to let them get that. There's not the slightest chance. So microchips will become
00:57:27.820 like, you know, unusable. So given that a hundred percent of the arguments suggest that they should
00:57:36.000 wait as long as they want. So here's the thing that China has going for them. They already say it's part
00:57:41.260 of China and they got the United States to say the same thing, even though we act like it's not,
00:57:46.900 we say it. So it's sort of not a problem they need to solve. And I agree with Xi that a peaceful
00:57:56.240 reunification with Taiwan is basically inevitable. I don't know about the peaceful part, but the
00:58:03.980 reunification is inevitable because geography. I just don't see any... In 200 years, you think Taiwan
00:58:11.960 and China are going to be separate countries in 200 years? I doubt it. You know, maybe add another
00:58:19.060 hundred years, but basically, basically I think they end up unified one way or another.
00:58:28.020 Yemen is being such a pain in the ass around the Red Sea, they keep sending rockets and things,
00:58:35.880 that a bunch of ships are now rerouting. They have to go the long way. And the energy prices are going
00:58:43.760 up, but not that much. So it turns out that a current hot threat in the Red Sea did not spike energy
00:58:53.940 prices nearly as much as you think, you know, under two percent. That's strange. Now, what are we going to do
00:59:01.740 about that? Given that Iran is backing the people who are sending the missiles from Yemen?
00:59:09.460 We don't want a third war, but don't you think Saudi Arabia should just take over Yemen?
00:59:21.940 What do you think? I don't think we should go in, and I don't think they need any military help,
00:59:27.340 but I feel like Saudi Arabia has the power, and Yemen is looking to ruin commerce in the entire
00:59:35.160 Middle East. If you're going to ruin commerce in the entire Middle East, you get conquered.
00:59:43.120 Yeah, I mean, I think Saudi Arabia has that argument.
00:59:47.180 Let's talk about France. Parliament approved an immigration bill that boosts the ability to
00:59:54.620 deport foreigners, and it limits access to some of their benefits. So is that a turning point?
01:00:03.500 Is France starting to, you know, right the ship? I feel like France is lost. I don't think France
01:00:11.540 can recover from their immigration. What do you think? I'm not there, so it's hard to tell,
01:00:17.440 but just based on what we see, it doesn't look like they can recover. I think France will just turn
01:00:22.440 Islamic. We'll see. Over in Poland, they've got a new prime minister, and the prime minister's
01:00:36.280 last name is, wait a minute, is this true? He's named Donald Tusk. Can you give me a fact check
01:00:48.580 on that? The new prime minister of Poland? His first name is Donald, and his last name is Tusk?
01:01:00.260 What do you get if you combine Musk with Trump, or Trump with Musk? It's Tusk, isn't it?
01:01:08.860 It looks like it's just a combination of Elon Musk and Donald Trump. Donald Tusk. What the hell?
01:01:20.620 What? How is that possible? How do we live in a world where this can happen?
01:01:28.360 Honestly, it feels like we are part of a simulation, and we're part of a game, and whatever life force
01:01:36.600 caused this simulation wants us to know, but wants to do it in a funny way, like it's dropping every
01:01:44.180 hint in the world that we're a simulation, and none of it's real. It's like, how many hints do I have
01:01:49.160 to give you? Do you need another hint? How about we'll name the prime minister of Poland, Donald Tusk?
01:01:58.020 Anything? Anything? You're still not getting this? That's what it feels like.
01:02:03.480 Well, anyway, this new prime minister in Poland immediately went and shut down a news station
01:02:11.340 because they didn't like the propaganda coming out of it. To which I say the following.
01:02:20.920 Uh-oh. Yeah. We thought Poland was one of the good guys, right? But they turned off a source
01:02:30.480 a source of free speech because they didn't like the speech, said it wasn't true.
01:02:38.080 Now, here's my problem. I feel like our brains are stuck in the past.
01:02:46.980 And here's what I mean by that. If I asked you, do you believe in free speech?
01:02:51.740 I believe every one of you would say, yes, free speech, yes. Now, free speech became a concept
01:02:59.440 with the Constitution, right, hundreds of years ago. And hundreds of years ago, what did free speech
01:03:07.220 look like? Well, it was individuals who didn't have much reach. They couldn't be influencers like
01:03:16.040 on social media. So people like me would just be complaining to my neighbors. All the free speech
01:03:22.760 I want. And if I wanted to, I could get a little box and go to the town square and I could get maybe
01:03:28.600 a dozen people to listen to me. Free speech, yes. Free speech is only legal because at one time it
01:03:38.600 wasn't dangerous. At least dangerous the way it is now. But now it's really dangerous. Now you can
01:03:46.100 say stuff that people will believe, not only because the bad people have reach, they can get to
01:03:52.380 everybody, but also the bad people have technique that they never had before. They have actual
01:03:58.600 hypnosis, brainwashing, propaganda skill that didn't exist 200 years ago. So here's a thought
01:04:09.960 experiment for you. If the founders of this country were designing the Constitution under our current
01:04:17.260 situation where free speech can destroy a country pretty easily, would it be free? I think not.
01:04:26.260 I think not. I think not. Yeah. Yeah. Believe it or not, I think not. Because it would be an
01:04:33.640 existential risk. When speech was made free initially, it wasn't an existential risk or much
01:04:41.260 of one. It would take a lot of work. Yeah. And I think back then they knew the newspapers were fake
01:04:48.120 news, but they didn't believe them anyway and it didn't matter. So it wasn't a big deal. But now let's
01:04:54.760 say, for example, that the biggest Polish TV station was running news that they knew was fake and
01:05:05.380 they were just trying to control the country or something. Do you think you should let that
01:05:10.580 operate and just let free speech take care of it? Or is it too big of a threat? It could actually
01:05:16.360 take down the country. I think you have to rethink free speech. I hate to say it. I think you have to
01:05:26.040 rethink it. It doesn't mean that you get rid of it. When I say rethink it, I mean, start from scratch.
01:05:33.760 Start from, you know, just take away all your assumptions and then see if you would rebuild it
01:05:39.000 the same way. I don't know if you would. Don't know if you would. Because at the moment, an individual
01:05:48.000 can use free speech to take down a country. Do you think that's possible? Do you think a bad actor,
01:05:56.100 an individual, say somebody like me, do you think I could take down a country? I could.
01:06:02.880 I hate to tell you, but I could take down a country. Some say I'm already doing it.
01:06:13.340 Because I did tell you I was going to take down the Chinese economy back in 2018. And here we are.
01:06:20.180 Now, you could say, but that's not because of you. No. But it didn't hurt. Didn't hurt.
01:06:26.860 So could I save a country? Yes. Yes. Yeah. Somebody, you know, influence is a formula. And I've told you
01:06:37.400 this before. Influence is how much skill you have in communicating, influentially, how much skill
01:06:44.020 you have, multiplied by your reach. So if you're very skillful, but you live in a cave, it doesn't
01:06:50.300 matter. If you have millions of people who watch you like Taylor Swift, but you don't have much to say,
01:06:56.860 it doesn't matter that much either. But if you have actual skill in persuasion, and you have a huge
01:07:05.760 platform, that would be Trump, for example, you're the leader of the, you know, easily become the
01:07:11.440 president of the United States, and you have the nuclear arsenal. So don't forget that formula.
01:07:16.960 The formula is persuasiveness time to reach. The reach never existed before.
01:07:22.320 Reach is new. Reach is new. But also, persuasion is new. We didn't know how to do it 200 years
01:07:30.320 ago. The technique that I can employ today is a whole level, you know, maybe several levels
01:07:38.540 above what it was 200 years ago. 200 years ago, they would just lie and compare you to somebody
01:07:43.240 bad. That's about it. That's all they had. All right.
01:07:48.540 So if I were going to rethink free speech, it might be something like this. I'm just going
01:07:59.300 to brainstorm for a minute. You can say anything you want, anywhere you want. So that's a good
01:08:06.280 start, right? You can say anything you want, anywhere you want. But there would need to be some
01:08:14.420 kind of counter force to make sure that the other message got matched with it. So you could imagine
01:08:22.200 some kind of situation where you can say anything you want, but there's some kind of freedom for
01:08:28.640 other people to put the opposing view with it. So let's call it a matching rule. So the rule is you
01:08:39.420 can say anything you want, anywhere you want, free speech. But the alternative fact check
01:08:47.520 has to be at least technically allowed. Maybe nobody wants to use it. Maybe they don't disagree
01:08:54.580 with you. But it has to be technically matchable with the opposing view. If it's on social media,
01:09:02.280 not in person, right? In person, you still say anything you want. But if you're going to be on a
01:09:06.620 digital broadcast medium, then you should be required to be on a medium that has something
01:09:15.180 like community notes. So you can say to yourself, yeah, you've got all the free speech you want,
01:09:21.060 but the X platform doesn't have the ability to not have a community notes. They've got to do
01:09:27.040 something like that to match the opposing opinions. And if you can't match the opposing opinion,
01:09:32.600 it's too dangerous to have free speech. What do you think? Because the individual would still
01:09:40.880 have 100% free speech. The platforms that could boost that speech would have a little extra
01:09:47.200 restriction, but it would be more like add a feature that everybody wants. Everybody wants that
01:09:52.860 feature. Everybody wants the feature that shows both sides. Everybody wants it. So make it available.
01:10:00.080 So I think that you could say we don't have free speech the way we used to. It's too dangerous now.
01:10:08.280 So add a little guardrail. But don't put the guardrail on the person. Put the guardrail on the
01:10:15.600 transmission mediums. What do you think? Because the X platform would stay exactly the same.
01:10:25.100 Because Musk already solved. He solved for competing opinions because that's kind of what X does.
01:10:33.600 It's basically a competing opinion forum. So the government should say, all right, you're good.
01:10:42.660 Well, let's look at Facebook. That's what I don't want to see.
01:10:45.580 All right. But still, individuals would have free speech. All right. There's a big trend for single
01:10:52.860 parents and not having families. You're all aware of that. I'm just going to make the prediction.
01:10:59.400 Eventually, we will, as humans, no longer be masters of the planet.
01:11:06.800 Eventually, we will apparently willingly become sort of a niche species. And robots, I think, will rule the Earth.
01:11:18.180 With the exception of Mars, which will be a Musk colony with its prime minister, Donald Tusk, possibly.
01:11:25.580 And what's that? All right. So yeah, I think that we will either merge with the robots or temporarily
01:11:39.280 merge with them until we just decide, ah, let's just be robots. So suppose you don't want to be a planet
01:11:47.700 full of robots. But suppose you also agree that the traditional family, while it's the best of all
01:11:55.660 solutions, isn't really practical for maybe at least half of all people. So what do you do?
01:12:03.300 I believe that you're going to see a new system evolve. And it will be more of a tribal community
01:12:12.980 system. Very much like it takes a village, you know, sort of Hillary's thing. And I'm starting to
01:12:20.300 organize my life around that. A tribal model. And by that, I mean, rather than saying, all right,
01:12:30.280 I'm going to have a, you know, I'm going to marry a mate. And the two of us will be all there is.
01:12:36.620 We won't let other people in too much, you know, unless we're both there in a party or something.
01:12:41.520 We're not going to go off and do our own thing with other people too much. And, you know, and our
01:12:46.680 kids are going to be under our control and all that. It's great if you can pull it off. But suppose
01:12:53.640 you had to take all the functions that you need to be a good person, and you just didn't have the
01:12:59.120 option of having that little cool family unit where everybody loves each other and everything's
01:13:03.960 working well. But you need those things. I think what we're going to do is because there'll be so
01:13:10.600 many people who are unfamilied, that they will find ways to coordinate, but not in every way.
01:13:19.620 So for example, I think you're going to see people who say, you know what, if you would be my handyman
01:13:27.740 sometimes, I would cook for you sometimes. And then you'd say, hey, we could do this once a week.
01:13:37.820 And even if I haven't done any handymaning, you'll cook for me once a week. We're not married.
01:13:44.140 Maybe some friends come over. If you need something fixed in your house, call me. I'd love to do it.
01:13:50.680 I'll go over and spend the afternoon fixing your thing. Now, that's just one small example.
01:13:57.320 But imagine, if you will, somebody says, you know what, I'll add you to my health care
01:14:03.880 because that's easy for me. I've got a good health care program. So I'll add you.
01:14:09.360 You'll be my dependent. And maybe I just like giving you some advice for college and that's it.
01:14:17.340 just because I want to. And I can. So, no, I'm not high. Why are you even asking? You're the third
01:14:30.800 person who's asked this morning if I'm high. Do I look high? I don't do the show high. Have I ever? Oh, yeah.
01:14:41.080 During the pandemic, I did. But no, not in... I don't think I've done the show high in a year or so.
01:14:52.080 I have. And by the way, you couldn't tell the difference. The days that I did it, it stoned down
01:14:58.000 in my mind. You couldn't tell because I'm a chronic user. It's just not that different.
01:15:03.980 But if you're guessing that I'm high now, nope, not even a little bit.
01:15:11.980 Insurance companies would love that, you say.
01:15:19.180 All right.
01:15:23.080 I'm just looking at your comments.
01:15:24.560 Dangers of weed.
01:15:31.680 I think that
01:15:32.280 people keep telling me
01:15:34.520 that there are dangers to weed.
01:15:38.000 But you're talking to the wrong person.
01:15:41.520 Did you think I didn't know that?
01:15:45.560 There's a danger to riding a bicycle.
01:15:48.300 There's a danger to going outdoors.
01:15:50.400 There's a danger to getting in my car.
01:15:51.860 Life is a danger.
01:15:54.060 Like, the whole thing is a danger.
01:15:55.640 So if all you're saying is it's a danger, you haven't told me anything.
01:15:59.900 But
01:16:00.220 if you say that some people get medicinal benefits
01:16:04.580 and they weigh that against the risk,
01:16:07.960 well, now you're talking.
01:16:09.800 So
01:16:09.940 as long as we're showing both sides,
01:16:12.580 it's fine to highlight the risks.
01:16:15.460 And I do think the risks for children
01:16:17.060 are just through the roof.
01:16:18.560 I didn't do it under 18.
01:16:21.180 When I was under 18, I never touched it.
01:16:23.900 I was just
01:16:24.540 focused on
01:16:25.880 doing what I needed to do.
01:16:31.560 All right.
01:16:36.200 Always more than two sides.
01:16:43.560 Another dog not barking.
01:16:45.060 What's that about?
01:16:45.600 What?
01:16:48.560 If it's your first day of being ungovernable,
01:16:52.800 it's disorienting, isn't it?
01:16:56.540 All right.
01:17:03.840 You think I'm going to get married again?
01:17:06.460 Here's where marriage doesn't make sense to me.
01:17:10.240 I might have five years left.
01:17:12.140 Have any of you come to grips with your own mortality?
01:17:18.560 So yesterday I was thinking,
01:17:20.520 oh, you know, I want to do a thing or, you know,
01:17:22.460 maybe plan for something,
01:17:24.480 like getting a pet.
01:17:26.640 I'm not going to get a dog
01:17:28.100 that's going to, you know,
01:17:30.360 that I'm going to,
01:17:31.560 not even going to live as long as my dog.
01:17:34.720 But all right, so I'm 66 and a half.
01:17:37.180 People my age,
01:17:41.720 people I know personally,
01:17:43.320 are dropping dead all over the place.
01:17:45.380 They're dropping dead like crazy.
01:17:47.680 And
01:17:48.020 sometimes I tell myself,
01:17:51.300 oh, I'll make it to, you know,
01:17:53.260 85 or 90.
01:17:54.600 But then I think to myself,
01:17:56.360 well,
01:17:57.540 you know,
01:17:57.820 those years between 75 and 85,
01:18:00.140 I mean,
01:18:02.280 I might find some way to like them.
01:18:04.500 But it's not going to be like being alive now.
01:18:06.840 I mean,
01:18:08.520 how long am I going to,
01:18:09.440 how long am I going to work?
01:18:10.980 I don't know.
01:18:12.340 No idea.
01:18:13.880 So maybe aging won't affect me the same way as other people.
01:18:17.040 But in terms of my,
01:18:18.260 my own planning,
01:18:20.180 I,
01:18:20.660 I plan my own mortality five to 10 years from now.
01:18:25.520 Meaning that any decision I make
01:18:27.760 is I'm only going to be alive for about five years.
01:18:32.420 Which is really weird.
01:18:35.240 Really weird.
01:18:36.560 Do you know how,
01:18:37.100 how quickly time goes
01:18:39.060 when you're my age?
01:18:41.000 Well,
01:18:41.360 those of you who are my age,
01:18:42.320 you know exactly.
01:18:43.700 Like next year is just going to disappear.
01:18:47.080 So 20% of what I'm counting as my remaining life
01:18:51.060 is going to be gone in a blink.
01:18:53.720 Because this next year will just disappear.
01:18:55.660 And the,
01:18:56.800 and five years will be gone before I know it.
01:19:00.840 So,
01:19:01.480 I feel weird when I just go to work.
01:19:05.300 Because I tell myself,
01:19:06.520 whoa,
01:19:07.340 if I really knew I only had five years left,
01:19:09.260 I'd quit work and,
01:19:11.020 I don't know,
01:19:11.440 travel the world or something.
01:19:12.700 But then I think,
01:19:13.640 no,
01:19:13.880 I like this.
01:19:15.480 I don't want to quit.
01:19:17.000 To me,
01:19:17.680 the most useless thing you could do
01:19:19.820 is retire and travel the world.
01:19:23.540 I can't think of anything more useless.
01:19:28.020 Maybe you like the traveling.
01:19:30.440 But what good is it?
01:19:32.300 So you,
01:19:32.920 so you learn a lot about the world
01:19:34.600 right before you die.
01:19:37.840 What good is it?
01:19:39.200 Now,
01:19:39.500 if you told me that traveling extensively in your 20s
01:19:42.540 was a good idea,
01:19:44.240 I'd say,
01:19:44.600 yeah.
01:19:45.340 Because everything you learn about these other places,
01:19:47.980 you're incorporating to your whole life.
01:19:49.800 It becomes,
01:19:50.580 you know,
01:19:50.740 part of your foundation for your entire life.
01:19:54.000 But,
01:19:54.440 if I travel for the next five years and then die,
01:19:58.340 it was just a waste of time.
01:20:00.680 I accomplished nothing.
01:20:01.780 I left nothing.
01:20:03.420 All I had was some dopamine in a different town.
01:20:06.920 I can get dopamine in my town.
01:20:10.240 So traveling doesn't make sense to me.
01:20:12.300 So,
01:20:12.720 so what I'm expressing is that when
01:20:14.780 the entire rest of your,
01:20:16.680 you know,
01:20:16.980 high quality of life
01:20:18.240 gets so compressed,
01:20:20.560 all your decisions get squirrely.
01:20:22.560 because I,
01:20:23.620 I'm a super long-term planner.
01:20:26.820 I had a 40-year plan.
01:20:30.000 And I stayed on plan for 40 years.
01:20:33.340 I actually had a 40-year plan.
01:20:35.780 Like,
01:20:36.060 literally.
01:20:36.340 And I stayed on plan.
01:20:38.120 It included becoming a famous cartoonist
01:20:40.080 and then using that fame
01:20:42.740 to open up other opportunities.
01:20:45.980 And here we are.
01:20:47.320 So I'm right on plan for 40 years.
01:20:49.600 So when I,
01:20:50.460 when I realized I might only have like five left
01:20:52.640 of like good years,
01:20:54.040 it's really disconcerting
01:20:55.600 because I don't know how to,
01:20:56.680 I don't know how to handle that.
01:20:58.620 I don't know how to live in the moment
01:21:00.080 because I've always lived in the future.
01:21:02.400 All right,
01:21:10.740 ladies and gentlemen.
01:21:14.060 Download your brain to a robot.
01:21:15.780 Well,
01:21:16.080 I plan to do that.
01:21:17.260 I do plan to be immortal
01:21:18.640 in the digital domain.
01:21:21.660 What are the odds that I'm alive
01:21:23.460 in exactly the era
01:21:24.760 where moving our personality to a machine
01:21:28.220 is completely practical?
01:21:30.660 What were the odds I'd be alive then
01:21:33.600 and exactly the age
01:21:35.260 where that really matters?
01:21:37.300 See,
01:21:37.580 this is why
01:21:38.120 this can't possibly be real.
01:21:41.460 That this thing I'm experiencing
01:21:43.240 that I think is my life,
01:21:44.700 there's no way this is real.
01:21:47.980 That exactly the time
01:21:49.900 I need the robots and the AI,
01:21:52.980 they just pop up.
01:21:55.200 After 10 million years
01:21:57.420 of human evolution,
01:21:59.620 just when I need it,
01:22:01.980 there it is.
01:22:04.220 I don't know.
01:22:05.220 I'm just not buying it.
01:22:07.000 I just don't buy
01:22:07.800 that any of this is real.
01:22:13.640 All right.
01:22:17.340 You want my guitar amplifier
01:22:18.760 if I go?
01:22:20.080 It is a good amplifier,
01:22:21.800 I have to admit.
01:22:24.460 All right, YouTube.
01:22:26.520 That's all for now.
01:22:27.480 I'm going to go do some other things.
01:22:28.640 Thanks for joining.
01:22:29.420 Thanks for joining.
01:22:29.440 Thanks for joining.