Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2328 CWSA 12⧸20⧸23 How About That Colorado Decision Barring Trump？ That And Lots More

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00:00:54.660 Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. That's good. Savor it. So who's feeling ungovernable today? I am a

00:01:10.080 little bit ungovernable. I always feel that way. Well, let's talk about all of the news. Of course,

00:01:16.940 we'll talk about Trump in Colorado and Kamala's word salad and all kinds of bad stuff.

00:01:24.660 But we're going to have fun with it all because I don't feel too serious today. And I don't feel

00:01:29.760 like there's too much risk today, actually. But first of all, we've got talking to the animals.

00:01:35.520 There's some scientists who figured out how to talk to a whale, sort of. Dr. Brenda McCowan, 0.96

00:01:42.840 UC Davis, lauded the breakthrough. So they recorded some whales and then they played some whale talk

00:01:52.320 and it attracted a whale. And whenever they played the whale talk, the whale responded.

00:01:59.480 Now, they don't know exactly what the whale is saying. But if you've seen any of those viral

00:02:04.840 videos of the husky dogs using the little buttons you put on the ground so they can say words,

00:02:10.860 like, food, take me out. And then they get more and more buttons. And then the buttons form like a

00:02:18.980 language. And then you see the videos of the dog saying things like, I don't like my life. Give me

00:02:24.660 some treats. Let's go to the store. And you think, can that dog always do that? Or is that just like

00:02:31.400 the weird got lucky and that's why it's a viral video? Well, I see a world in which animals not only

00:02:41.480 can speak to us through AI, translating their thoughts. But here's the fun part. I feel like

00:02:49.840 the part of the animal that's missing is the, you know, the language function. I assume animals don't

00:02:57.360 have a language function. But what happens if AI becomes the language function? Would they actually

00:03:04.060 learn language? You know, their own version, not English. But would they learn their own version of

00:03:11.220 more words and start putting thoughts to certain words? At which point that at least internally they

00:03:18.700 would have a language. Now, if they have a language, does that make them smarter? Because I have a theory

00:03:25.280 that the reason the large language model AI works is because the combination of words is basically

00:03:33.440 what we think is intelligence. Just word combinations. So if you can get the equivalent of word combinations

00:03:40.520 into an animal, a whale or a dog, would the animals start acting like they're smarter? Just because the

00:03:52.280 words gives them a little extra intellectual framework or something? I think maybe. I don't know the

00:04:00.880 answer to the question, but I think maybe. If you see those husky dogs, they look like they actually got

00:04:06.980 smarter, not that they just learned to use these buttons. It looks like they're actually gaining

00:04:11.760 language skills. So planet of the apes, I know. Brian Romelli is taking a victory lap for his prediction

00:04:21.580 a while ago that soon all the music would be AI. So Microsoft is integrating this music creation app

00:04:28.820 that just makes up AI music, any kind you want, into its co-pilot AI. So now all the music, the lyrics,

00:04:36.760 the instruments, the instruments, and it's all going to be done by AI, Brian tells us. So you could have

00:04:41.540 infinite songs just by telling it sort of what the topic is. So you could say songs about the economy

00:04:51.320 and then do you do the economy and then you'd be listening to the song. Now I listened to the first

00:04:59.180 example of it. No interest whatsoever. So this will be a good test. So Brian Romelli, whose predictions

00:05:07.380 on technology you should really pay attention to because he's way ahead of the curve. But just for

00:05:14.680 fun, I'm going to be the opposing prediction. The opposing prediction is that AI generated art

00:05:22.400 of any kind, be it movie or music or visual art, will have a very limited and niche appeal and it will never

00:05:33.440 get out of it. And it's because I believe that what we're responding to with art is the understanding

00:05:41.500 that a human made it. And that's the only activating part. As soon as you know a computer made it, no interest

00:05:49.340 at all. Just noise. So that's my prediction. It's the opposite of Brian's. Let's see. Just to make it fun.

00:05:59.920 All right. I saw a crazy, crazy idea. Jordan Peterson was tweeting this or posting it. There's some researchers

00:06:08.020 who took the concept of Moore's Law. You know that one. It says your microchip power will double every

00:06:16.540 whatever years. And sure enough, for many years in a row, Moore's Law, his prediction that, you know,

00:06:24.200 the doubling would happen at a very predictable rate, pretty much right on point. So somebody said,

00:06:31.360 hey, what if we took that concept about life on the planet? Because life on the planet keeps getting

00:06:39.860 more complicated, just like a microchip. So somebody said, what if we took the complexity

00:06:47.020 of life as we know it, and then we did a reverse Moore's Law to find out when life must have

00:06:54.160 started? Because if you can find a predictable law with human complexity that somehow mimics Moore's

00:07:02.780 Law as sort of an analogy or a model, you might be able to figure out when life started.

00:07:07.460 And so they worked that calculation, and they decided that it started, like, way before we think

00:07:15.340 you did. How far before? Well, maybe life, maybe before Earth. So using this method, they find

00:07:29.060 that life that life began before Earth was a planet, which would suggest that life started

00:07:37.720 in a simpler form somewhere else, and had a few billion years to become complicated enough

00:07:43.540 that by the time we got our first taste of it, it was already complex, a little bit. I don't

00:07:51.560 know. Maybe. Maybe. Maybe. I wouldn't say that the Moore's Law analogy is any kind of science.

00:08:02.220 So I wouldn't call this science. It's just sort of an interesting mental experience, let's call it.

00:08:09.940 New York Post says more people are leaving New York. They're fleeing New York, and Texas is the one

00:08:16.520 one that's had the biggest population gain. I don't know if that's biggest population gain

00:08:21.120 by numbers or by percentage. Probably just numbers. But that would be actually, in this

00:08:29.640 case, numbers is better than a percentage. So that's valid. Now, why do you think people

00:08:36.480 are fleeing New York and going to Texas? Taxes? Freedom? Less craziness? Better public relations?

00:08:45.900 Well, one thing Texas is doing better than New York is doing way better on public relations.

00:08:54.740 You know, if you looked at Texas as a product with marketing, Texas is marketing. My God.

00:09:04.480 Florida and Texas, they've done a really good job of just sort of marketing their product

00:09:10.260 to a certain kind of buyer, and the buyers are responding. So no surprise.

00:09:15.200 I'm doing a good job. But imagine being New York, and your biggest problem at the moment

00:09:24.620 is immigration, and people think that Texas is handling it so much better that they're 0.99

00:09:30.540 moving closer to the border. That's right. Their biggest problem in New York is probably

00:09:36.740 immigration. New York City, anyway. And to get away from the immigration, they're going to 1.00

00:09:42.320 move closer to the border. That's a pretty good endorsement for Texas. If moving closer

00:09:48.640 to the border makes you feel safer. But of course, immigration would be one of many variables.

00:09:53.680 I think taxes are probably closer to the top of the list. When I think about moving, I primarily

00:10:00.320 think about taxes. Let me test that on you. If anybody's not in one of those state tax, low

00:10:07.600 states, when you consider moving, because probably everybody noodles about it, do you think taxes

00:10:14.620 mostly, or is it some kind of freedom thing? Mostly taxes. Yeah. Yeah, so the New York City

00:10:21.580 taxes are just crazy, because you've got the city taxes on top of the state taxes. Yeah.

00:10:27.180 Right now, if I move to Texas, let me just give you an idea how bad this is. So I live in California.

00:10:36.260 If I were to move to Texas and just kept doing my same job, because I'm independent of location,

00:10:42.820 I would save enough on state taxes in Texas to buy a substantial mansion for free. For free.

00:10:54.300 The amount I would save on taxes would more than pay for a mansion. A multi-million dollar mansion.

00:11:02.040 It'd be free. How do you not move for a free mansion? Right? I'm doing okay. And, you know,

00:11:09.340 I don't want to move out of my house, and I like the weather and everything. So honestly, it's mostly

00:11:15.260 the weather. I live in one of the few places that you can live year-round and be okay with it.

00:11:21.200 By late February, I'm going to be a little complainy, because it's been too cold and rainy

00:11:28.620 for too long. But I'm in the middle of the December rainy season, and when I heard there

00:11:35.880 was going to be raining all day today, my first impression was, yay, rainy day, because

00:11:42.100 we don't get that many. It's like a whole rainy day where you can just hunker down and get

00:11:46.260 some stuff done and, you know, make sure you do your indoor exercise and stuff. Eh. I'm

00:11:52.020 still binge-watching The Crown on Netflix. Good rainy day. Yeah. So you can't really beat

00:11:58.940 California for the weather. If I move to Florida, I have to either move in the summer or never

00:12:04.920 go outdoors. Same with taxes.

00:12:07.100 I think Mike Cernovich said it best. I would pay a lot of taxes to be able to live in one

00:12:15.520 state all year without dying because I went outdoors. So yeah, there's still an advantage

00:12:22.160 in California, but it's decreasing. All right. The National Archives is going to release all

00:12:27.260 those Biden emails that are under the alias. So all of Joe Biden's pseudonymous, I like

00:12:35.520 saying pseudonymous. Yeah. So he used fake names on his emails to talk with Hunter and

00:12:44.160 I guess anybody else he didn't want to be identified with. So now 1,800 emails will be released to

00:12:49.560 James Comer and the House Oversight Committee. Is there any chance at all that we're not going

00:12:55.060 to learn something really, really embarrassing about Joe Biden from 1,800 emails that he thought

00:13:01.700 were sensitive enough that he didn't want his real name on them? How in the world does that

00:13:07.420 not end up with some juicy stuff? I mean, it might not be change the world stuff, but it's

00:13:15.960 going to be juicy. It's definitely going to be tantalizing. So look for that. You would

00:13:21.980 be surprised to know that Kamala Harris said in public something that didn't make sense. 0.98

00:13:29.420 She actually said this, quote, you know, every election cycle, we talk about this is the most

00:13:35.300 election of our lifetime. And then Lawrence O'Donnell said, this one is, this one is.

00:13:42.660 Oh no, then she said, Lawrence, this one is. Yes, this one is the most election of our, in fact,

00:13:50.260 of all the other elections, this is the most. Yeah, very, very much the most. And with any luck,

00:13:59.520 our next election will be even more of the most of this, whatever there is that's now more of it.

00:14:10.160 But there's a lot more of it, whatever it is, the election or something. All right, so get that

00:14:18.380 straight. And she says, quote, we are literally talking about people who are attempting to divide

00:14:26.100 our country in the most crude, frankly, and profound way. Never say this, in the most crude,

00:14:35.200 frankly, and profound way. She really needs to be sent back to talking school. We're going to send

00:14:43.420 you back to the school to learn how to put words together and a thing we call sentences, because

00:14:49.440 you're not too good at it. We are talking about those who are intent and purposeful. What? We are

00:14:58.160 talking about those who are intent and purposeful to attack fundamental freedoms.

00:15:08.720 What the hell is she babbling about, Lawrence O'Donnell?

00:15:12.000 Well, and then she continues, the freedom to be free. The freedom to be free. Could we ever have the

00:15:23.040 freedom to be free? The freedom to be free from fear, actually, that's the rest of the sentence. The

00:15:28.940 freedom to be free from fear of violence and hate. The freedom to just be. The freedom to just

00:15:35.900 be. I like adding the Kamala Harris accents, like, you know, where she punches some words. And she'll

00:15:45.380 pick the most ridiculous words to emphasize. So I'd like to do that again. The freedom to be free 0.97

00:15:55.160 from fear of violence and hate. The freedom just be. The freedom to just be. The freedom to just be.

00:16:05.900 Now, was somebody threatening your freedom to just be? I don't recall your freedom to just be,

00:16:17.380 to be threatened at all. Now, does that mean you could be any way you want to be? Can you murder

00:16:24.800 people and commit crimes? Because that's how I want to be. I just want to be me. Sometimes I want to 0.99

00:16:31.280 murder people. Sometimes I want to cross the border illegally. I just want to be me. And Kamala 0.97

00:16:38.580 backs me up 100%. If I want to murder somebody, she's in favor of freedom. Yeah. No, we're not

00:16:46.740 going to talk about the fact that, obviously, we're always a mix of freedom and non-freedom

00:16:51.100 in this country. Well, John Fetterman continues to be semi-awesome. Semi-not-awesome, but semi-awesome.

00:17:00.200 In which he says, TikTok is creating warped perceptions of Israel and Hamas' war. Yes, it is.

00:17:07.540 So Fetterman continues to say things that make sense. Not all of it. I mean, let's say there are

00:17:16.340 policy things that I'm not going to agree with. But he correctly identifies TikTok as a risk,

00:17:23.980 which should not be a political statement. And so he doesn't make it one, just fact.

00:17:30.580 And immigration is a big problem, no matter what your policies are. And he's willing to say that. 1.00

00:17:35.920 So I do like that Fetterman is not a slave to the party. He's not a puppet. He's definitely not a

00:17:43.600 puppet to the party. Now, I'm not endorsing him for president or anything crazy. But I just love it

00:17:51.120 when somebody can be honest. It's kind of unexpected. So credit to him. Also credit to

00:17:58.600 Thomas Massey. And one of the things he did was vote for this idea. He voted for a debt limit deal

00:18:08.600 the last time. The last time we went through this. He voted for a debt limit deal in exchange for caps

00:18:15.800 and a 1% cut in the event that they have to do a long continuing resolution. Now, this is all technical

00:18:23.660 Congress bullshit. But what he's basically saying is that because they couldn't agree on a budget 0.98

00:18:30.280 that would cut certain things and increase certain things, and you can never agree on that if it's

00:18:35.900 Republicans and Democrats. But they, because it was an emergency, you know, you had to do something,

00:18:41.900 they managed to get through some kind of a cap with an automatic 1% cut, which is exactly right.

00:18:51.960 So if you think this is the bad default, oh no, we couldn't make good decisions, and now we have to default

00:18:59.200 to 1% cut across the board. That is the right decision. If it were up to me, I would have said, 0.89

00:19:06.800 you know, nobody knows what works. Why don't you just cut everything 1% and then do it again next year

00:19:12.100 until you have a balanced budget? If you just cut 1% a year for, what, 10 years?

00:19:18.420 Wouldn't you be way back into the, we can make this work category?

00:19:22.340 I think you would. So that's a Massey win, I would say, as well as anybody who voted on the

00:19:29.160 same side with Edith. But having worked in the corporate world as a budget guy, it was my job

00:19:38.500 to pull together all the budgets from the different groups. And one thing I learned that I'll never

00:19:43.480 forget is you can look at all their details of you should increase my budget, and everybody wants

00:19:49.240 an increased budget because they like more power. And then the big boss just says, yeah,

00:19:54.620 all right, that's a bunch of bullshit. Just cut everybody by 10%. And that was my job to tell 1.00

00:19:59.380 everybody who had done all this work to know exactly how much they need next year. Say, yeah,

00:20:04.360 that's not going to happen. Just cut it 10%. But I can't. It's impossible. I could never cut it 10%.

00:20:10.860 Yeah, but you're gonna, because you get fired if you don't. It's impossible. I could never do it.

00:20:16.660 There is no way I could possibly do it. And then you check again at the end of the year,

00:20:22.660 under budget. Yeah, at the end of the year, under budget. Now, you say to yourself, but Scott,

00:20:29.740 what about all the things that came up during the year where they did legitimately need extra money?

00:20:35.380 What happens then? You know what happens then? The big boss says, yeah, I guess in this case,

00:20:41.300 you do need legitimately more money. So I'm going to take it out of this group and give it to you.

00:20:47.180 And that other group will just have to figure it out. And then they did. Then they did. Yeah.

00:20:55.180 There's nothing that a manager can do more easily than cut the budget. Because people will figure it

00:21:01.480 out. They'll make do with less. They'll just figure it out.

00:21:04.260 All right. As you know, Colorado, their higher court said that Trump's a big old insurrectionist and

00:21:14.320 therefore cannot even be on the ballot for the primaries. It's for the primary, right?

00:21:22.960 Give me a fact check of this. Are we only talking about the primary? He can't be on the ballot,

00:21:27.500 right? Now, you know that that's not going to make any difference. No difference. Here's why.

00:21:34.860 First of all, nobody in the world thinks that the Supreme Court will withhold it. Am I right?

00:21:40.500 Nobody thinks the Supreme Court is going to approve this. So it'll be reversed. But apparently,

00:21:47.240 the Republican Party cleverly said, we don't need you for a primary. We will just change our process to,

00:21:55.800 what do they call it? What's the other thing? Not a primary. A

00:22:00.620 caucus. A caucus system. So the caucus system, I guess the Republicans can just say,

00:22:09.720 well, screw you. We're still going to pick a candidate, just the way we always did. But 0.65

00:22:16.060 we're going to call it a caucus. It'll look different. And we'll just do it that way.

00:22:19.980 So there's no chance that Trump is going to be frozen out of the system by this. But I'm very much

00:22:30.500 liking Jonathan Turley's post on this on the X platform in which he says that this is so bad

00:22:38.160 that in the unlikely event that this stayed and Trump was denied the ability to run, that the country

00:22:45.980 would become, quote, ungovernable. Don't you love that word?

00:22:55.800 Because you and I might have been tempted to use, like, more provocative words. You know, like,

00:23:01.020 oh, it's going to be Boston Tea Party time, or, you know, it's a Second Amendment time. Or we'd say

00:23:06.700 something scary sounding like that. And then somebody would say, are you talking about an insurrection?

00:23:11.640 Why are you threatening to violence? And then we'd say, well, well, I like him. I like Turley

00:23:20.520 saying the country would become ungovernable. Because I love what that includes. That includes

00:23:27.060 everything. Like, nothing is ruled out by ungovernable. But importantly, it includes totally

00:23:34.900 legal processes. Right? So I much prefer saying that we will become, or even are, ungovernable.

00:23:43.780 In fact, it feels like a compliment, doesn't it? Don't you feel that if somebody calls you

00:23:49.340 ungovernable, isn't your first sense of that? I kind of am. Oh, is it RFK Jr. said it?

00:23:57.620 Oh, I'm being corrected. RFK Jr. said we would become ungovernable. Oh, you're right. You're

00:24:04.220 right. Yeah. That was RFK Jr. Yeah, I reposted that. You're right. Thank you for that correction.

00:24:14.840 But it's a great word, ungovernable. It stays away from the violence, but it does capture all

00:24:20.000 that. All right. Everybody, I think everybody who observes this thinks Trump's poll numbers

00:24:25.360 will go up. Would you agree? Trump's poll numbers will go up, probably, because of this.

00:24:34.940 But here's what I like about it the best. I really love my overreaches. When the Democrats

00:24:41.780 have a good argument, then I think to myself, oh, they've got a good argument there. But when

00:24:48.920 they overreach and they do things just so crazy, I kind of like that, because it's a signal

00:24:55.400 that something good is going to happen. So what I like about this overreach is it gives

00:25:04.000 all of us permission to assume that the 2020 election was rigged, even if there's no proof

00:25:09.980 whatsoever. Because this overreach is so egregious, so obvious, so in your face, and it's really

00:25:19.600 obviously driven by the stop Trump at any cost mentality. Right? Because I don't think there's

00:25:26.940 any legal observer who thinks it's going to hold. It looks like TDS, and it looks like stop

00:25:34.560 Trump at any, you know, there's nothing you would stop at to do it. If that's the case

00:25:40.440 today, what would make you think it wasn't the case in 2020? Because I think they were

00:25:48.000 more afraid of them in 2020 than they are even now. I mean, or at least it's a tie. So I think

00:25:55.380 that they've now showed their hand. So people who are, you know, legitimately known to be part

00:26:02.220 of the Democrat Party, have now quite publicly shown us that they will stop at nothing. So

00:26:11.380 you think 2020 was a fair election? When you know that the party as a mentality has enough

00:26:18.960 of a common mentality that will stop at nothing, because they think he's iller. We also know,

00:26:26.620 thanks to Mike Benn's reporting, that there was this thing called the Election Integrity Partnership,

00:26:35.100 that was censoring millions of pro-Trump tweets ahead of 2020, and that a team of high-level DC

00:26:41.880 operatives were plotting a color revolution if Trump won fair and square. That the Democrats, 0.50

00:26:51.620 some notable ones, and it's in writing, the actual documents, in which they were planning

00:26:56.880 some kind of a coup if he won the election. Now, based on what I can see from the outside,

00:27:09.000 it kind of looks like the Democrats believed their own propaganda.

00:27:13.060 Because the documents that exist don't give a hint that it's purely political. I mean,

00:27:23.180 the outcome is purely political. But their thinking, as it seems to be, you know, maybe

00:27:30.260 suggested by their writings, is that they actually thought it was a risk to the world.

00:27:35.440 I think many of them had actually convinced themselves that their own propaganda was real,

00:27:42.740 and that Trump was literally a potential iller. I think they actually believed it. I don't know

00:27:51.820 what's worse, that they didn't believe it and tried to get away with it, or that they actually

00:27:56.240 believed what they were saying. But apparently the mental illness part of this is way bigger than I

00:28:01.660 thought. Because I always assumed it was pretending to be mad, you know, so that their team could

00:28:07.460 win. But I think they actually believed what they were saying. I mean, that's kind of a mind bender

00:28:13.320 to me. All right. So it's the first time that that amendment has been used. I think Glenn Greenwald

00:28:23.320 pointed out that even Jack Smith, who is the federal prosecutor going after Trump, even he's not charging

00:28:32.740 Trump with insurrection. But this little state has decided that it was insurrection, even though the

00:28:41.260 guy who has the most information and the most mission to charge him for insurrection is not charging

00:28:48.840 Trump with insurrection. So the people who know the most about it and have the most incentive to

00:28:54.560 charge him with it, the federal, there's not even enough to take a run at it. Now keep in mind

00:29:00.620 that they're not, that Jack Smith's not doing insurrection in the context of all the legal system

00:29:09.000 making the most absurd claims about Trump. Like all of the legal claims are just such a stretch.

00:29:16.880 But they couldn't even stretch. In the context of everything stretched, like all of their legal

00:29:23.020 arguments being a little bit ridiculous, they couldn't stretch that one enough. And still Colorado

00:29:30.180 said, oh yeah, insurrection. Pretty obvious. So this is exactly what it looks like. One team trying to

00:29:39.860 game the system, break the system, abuse the system until they get their way. So yeah,

00:29:46.520 you can absolutely hold your head up high if with no proof whatsoever you claim 2020 was probably

00:29:56.420 obviously rigged with no evidence. That's now allowed. Because so many things are so obviously

00:30:05.620 corrupt and their thinking was so obviously along those lines, it would be ridiculous to assume that

00:30:12.200 they didn't act. And by the way, there does seem to be a lot of stuff missing in Georgia. Now, I'm a little

00:30:21.100 lost in the details of this story. But follow the Rasmussen account, because they're on all of the details.

00:30:28.940 But apparently, things have been asked for in Georgia that are just missing. That would be the only way you could know if

00:30:35.100 the election was fair. So there's no way that the Georgia election was fair. If they can't produce the basic audit

00:30:43.000 materials, you should assume it's unfair. I don't have any evidence of that or proof, let's say. I don't

00:30:49.200 want any proof of it. But your working assumption, when the audit materials disappear, they disappeared.

00:30:56.000 I don't know where they are. Can't find those machines. Can't find those ballots. Can't open the door and let

00:31:02.040 you look. Yeah, just assume it's rigged. You have every right as a citizen to say, oh, that's good

00:31:09.040 enough. That is enough. That is enough evidence to operate on a working assumption that 2020 was rigged

00:31:17.540 with no proof. No proof at all. I don't have any. But you're trying pretty hard to make sure you don't

00:31:25.080 get any. That's good enough for me. Vivek Ramaswamy said of the Colorado decision that he would withdraw

00:31:34.860 from the Colorado GOP primary unless Trump is allowed back in. I think Chris Christie railed against

00:31:42.580 it. I think Nikki Haley railed against it. I haven't heard from DeSantis yet, but I assume

00:31:49.800 he's not going to be happy about it. I'm actually quite, quite pleased, quite pleased that the Republicans

00:31:56.680 seem to have joined forces in saying, I'm running against Trump, but you can't do this.

00:32:03.660 You just can't do this. So good work. Good work, Republicans. All the way to Chris Christie.

00:32:09.520 Chris Christie is running primarily to take Trump out of the race. And even Chris Christie

00:32:16.120 says, nope, nope, no, that's too far. Hashtag too far. All right. Turley, this is what Turley

00:32:30.140 said. I confused RFK Jr. who said ungovernable. But Turley had a good post as well, as he always

00:32:38.080 does. He said, it's a hands, hands down, the most anti-democratic opinion I've seen in my lifetime.

00:32:44.960 And it's a slippery slope because it sort of does allow the Republicans to do the same thing.

00:32:51.800 And by the same thing, I mean, a Republican state could say, hey, you guys are insurrectionists.

00:32:59.060 And then people, they would say, what are you talking about? What did we do that was insurrectionists?

00:33:03.460 And then the Republicans in some other state can say, well, just look at the Colorado decision.

00:33:10.500 That was just a coup. Because their decision was so unmoored from any kind of legal precedent

00:33:17.360 or argument that that's an insurrection. And then they say, what? That was our court system.

00:33:25.340 We're just using the court system. And then the red state says, yeah, you know, it's not up to you. 0.65

00:33:29.980 It's not up to you. It's not up to you. Yeah, we hear you. When you say that wasn't an insurrection,

00:33:35.820 not up to you. We say it was. So we're not going to let your candidate on. And then they say,

00:33:43.740 but, but, you're calling something an insurrection that wasn't really an insurrection. And then the

00:33:49.740 Republican state say, fuck you. That's it. Yeah. So there's no way this can stand. 1.00

00:33:59.720 The Supreme Court's not going to let it stand. Would you agree? If the Supreme Court let

00:34:06.720 this stand, and let's say the Republicans didn't immediately turn it into a caucus, if it actually 0.95

00:34:12.880 ended up making a difference, I'm going to be pretty fucking ungovernable. You don't know 0.93

00:34:19.420 what ungovernable looks like. And I think that it's very important for both sides to read

00:34:26.440 the mood of the other side. If Republicans were doing something to Democrats that was

00:34:33.040 driving them to violence, I'd sure want to know about it. And I'm pretty sure I would

00:34:39.180 try to, you know, modify a little bit. Hey, hey, hey, you've gone too far. They're actually

00:34:44.240 loading their guns. Too far. Let's see if we can, you know, take this down a notch. Right?

00:34:49.940 If they take Trump off the ballot with lawfare or ridiculous court decisions, we're going 0.98

00:35:01.540 to be pretty fucking ungovernable. Now, I don't call for violence. I never call for violence. 0.97

00:35:07.140 But you don't know what ungovernable looks like until Republicans do it. You do not want to

00:35:13.080 be in a country where Republicans have decided to be ungovernable. You don't want to be there.

00:35:20.680 So let me just make sure that everybody knows, you know, where the line is. Oh, there's a

00:35:26.820 line. There's a line. Keeping Trump off the ballot for bullshit. That's a line. That's a line.

00:35:36.880 Yeah. And I remind you that I'm backing Vivek Ramaswamy for president. But you don't do that

00:35:46.220 in America. You don't take the guy who's leading in the polls off the ballot. You just don't do that.

00:35:55.120 Senator Tom Tillis, Republican, is going to introduce a bill barring federal funds for election

00:36:00.720 people who misused the 14th Amendment. So Colorado, allegedly, was misusing that 14th Amendment,

00:36:08.860 the insurrection part. So the federal government may, if this got passed, get their funding cut. But I

00:36:17.080 don't think this will get passed. And I don't think the ruling will stand. It's more like something to

00:36:21.540 talk about. The amuse account on X. Great account to follow. Just amuse. Look for that.

00:36:35.880 Says, flashback, 10 Democrat-controlled states. This is back in Lincoln's day.

00:36:44.160 Refused to put Lincoln on their ballots. Despite that, Lincoln won anyway. So I guess these were

00:36:50.500 states that were lesser populated. But a lot of them, Alabama, Arizona, Florida, Georgia,

00:36:56.640 Louisiana, Michigan, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas. All of those states

00:37:04.680 refused to put Lincoln on the ballot. Yeah, this Trump equals Lincoln thing is very bothersome,

00:37:13.960 isn't it? For the obvious reason. Let me just say that Trump needs this comparison.

00:37:20.500 Like he needs a hole in the head. Stop it. Stop it. All right. Well, I think this is a good 0.99

00:37:28.940 point. Because we forget. It's very easy to think that the politics has reached its worst level.

00:37:37.200 Not even close. Not even close. The worst level was in our past. Like way worse. Yeah. Maybe you

00:37:47.960 could argue, oh, I thought it was better in the 80s or something. I don't know. Maybe

00:37:51.720 it was. But in the further past, it was way worse. I think even the fake news was way worse

00:38:00.560 in the past. You know, when a few rich people controlled all the newspapers, like Hearst,

00:38:07.180 I got a feeling that was worse. We just didn't know it. Because we didn't know what fake news

00:38:12.740 was in those days. All right. So yeah, as Mike Benz was talking about, we have documents

00:38:21.620 showing that part of our government wanted to do some kind of a color revolution or even

00:38:28.360 potentially a military insurrection if Trump won fair and square. That was actually being

00:38:35.680 talked about. So yes, everything they accuse you of is what they're doing. Molly Hemingway

00:38:43.980 asked this question. Have any Democrats spoken against their party's authoritarianism? Meaning

00:38:50.520 the Colorado decision. Absolutely terrifying Soviet-style campaign strategy they're employing

00:38:56.420 of destroying democracy and trying to imprison their political opponents. Have you seen any Democrats

00:39:04.600 speak out against this? I'm kind of waiting for Fetterman? Has Fetterman said anything? See,

00:39:13.400 now this will be a good test. Because if Fetterman is who I think he is, which is somebody I might

00:39:20.160 disagree with on some topics, but with somebody who actually thinks it through and is not going 1.00

00:39:26.060 to just take the team play, if he doesn't come out against this, then fuck him. Like, his value 0.99

00:39:33.500 is zero. Because this one's easy. So far, Fetterman's been pretty good on the topics that we never

00:39:40.960 should have politicized in the first place, right? TikTok is not a political question. It shouldn't

00:39:47.580 be. So he gets the right decision. The border security shouldn't be a political decision. It

00:39:55.260 became that way, but it shouldn't be. So he gets to decide that one based on just what makes sense.

00:40:00.060 But likewise, this Colorado thing, even though the context is politics, your opinion on it should

00:40:06.280 not be based on politics. It should be based on, do you want to live in a stable country? Or do you

00:40:12.440 want to do shit like this? So Fetterman, we call upon you to see if you can at least be consistent 0.99

00:40:19.700 in saying that if there's a topic that should be above or outside of politics, that you will judge

00:40:25.960 that individually. If you can do that, I'm going to keep my respect for Fetterman, even when I might

00:40:35.400 violently disagree on some policies. But what I think is that people can't tell the difference

00:40:43.220 between demons and angels. And I think that the Democrats believe they are the angels, and they're

00:40:51.060 fighting against the demons. And they think the demons are Trump and the mega people, because

00:40:56.580 they've been told that. But I think the big problem here is that people don't know the difference

00:41:01.640 between a demon and an angel. We can't even tell the difference between UFOs and angels, because

00:41:09.760 some people think they're angels, right? So I think that's what it is. They think they're angels

00:41:16.660 fighting demons, but they're actually demons fighting angels. Or everyone thinks they're

00:41:22.200 the angel and everybody else is the demon, which I think would be a more fair way to describe

00:41:28.280 it. Mike Servage points out that California voted to end illegal immigration handouts with

00:41:37.000 Prop 187, but judges overruled it. So the people wanted to stop giving the immigrants so many 0.99

00:41:45.780 handouts. But the judge said, nope. And same with gay marriage. Mike points out Proposition 0.93

00:41:51.320 8. Public voted for it. Judges said no. I don't remember that, but I'll take his word

00:41:57.280 for it. And so Mike says, we haven't been anything close to a democracy or a republic for decades.

00:42:05.140 We live under judicial supremacy. I hadn't really heard that phrase before, judicial supremacy.

00:42:15.780 But of course, the judges get picked by the political system. So it's all corruption as

00:42:23.720 it is expressed throughout the system. But let me ask you this. Pick any time in American

00:42:32.880 history. Just see the timeline in your mind. Put on the blindfold and throw a dart. And it

00:42:39.840 hits any time in the past. You really think the courts were better in the past? Really?

00:42:47.780 Yeah. You don't think the courts were just like wildly putting black people in jail for 0.92

00:42:51.940 being black? You don't think the courts were just as, you know, corrupt and bribed and, you 0.99

00:42:59.820 know, crony capitalism and all that? Of course they were. Yeah. I don't know that it's worse.

00:43:05.040 But Mike's point is fair. The courts have had this unnatural control and maybe even more

00:43:14.440 than ever. But I do think the Colorado thing will not stand. Well, Nikki Hilley is in the

00:43:23.220 news, of course. Some say she's drawing even with DeSantis for one of the primaries. It

00:43:29.040 doesn't matter because it's boring. She's not going to win, so it doesn't matter. But according

00:43:36.920 to the Hill, Nikki Hilley is facing a barrage of sexist attacks. Nikki Hilley is getting a 1.00

00:43:44.320 barrage of sexist attacks. Have you seen any? I haven't seen any sexist attacks. Where are

00:43:54.420 they coming from? I'll tell you what I've seen. I've seen a whole bunch of people say,

00:44:02.720 you know what? I like the fact that she's female. In fact, I would argue that her entire 1.00

00:44:08.740 appeal is based on being female. Because I don't mind that if you are a woman and you 0.99

00:44:16.080 think you're underrepresented and you say, you know, maybe not my first choice, but she 0.85

00:44:20.680 is a woman. I'd like to get some representation that's closer to me. I'm okay with that. I

00:44:27.680 mean, that's a reasonable take in a democracy. But I feel like that's her big advantage. 0.89

00:44:39.060 You know, it's like her biggest advantage. And she thinks so too. Because she said in public

00:44:45.600 during a debate that if you want a job done right, call a woman. If you want somebody 1.00

00:44:51.940 to talk about it, call a man. If you want a job done right, call a woman. That's what 1.00

00:44:58.020 she said. Now, if you say something that's so overtly bigoted and sexist against one gender,

00:45:06.520 you know what you should expect? If you're an overt, public, misandrist, sexist, as she 0.95

00:45:14.800 is. Hillary Clinton was as well. Because Hillary Clinton also said that being a woman was an 1.00

00:45:20.420 advantage. You can't run for president and tell us your gender is an advantage. Nope. 1.00

00:45:27.020 If Trump did it, he should be disqualified too. If Trump ever said, you know what, you

00:45:32.180 need a man as president, I would instantly say, nope, nope, sorry. You cannot, you cannot

00:45:41.080 be the president and say that there's a gender or a sexual preference or a ethnicity or religion.

00:45:50.960 That's the bad one. You can't. There aren't that many things that are that disqualifying.

00:45:57.180 But that's number one. That's number one. That's the most disqualifying. Oh, I'm going to be your

00:46:04.680 president, but I think some of you are fucking assholes. No. No. No, no, no, no, no, no, no. Disqualifying. 1.00

00:46:14.460 That was the moment that turned me against Hillary Clinton hard when she said women are just better 1.00

00:46:21.960 as presidents because they listen better, she said. So Hillary says women listen better and Nikki 1.00

00:46:29.640 Haley says that women will do the job right, call a woman. Now, if you say stuff like that, you should 1.00

00:46:38.020 expect to be called a lot of things. And many of those things will rhyme with bunt. Many of them will.

00:46:49.540 All right, Trump, let's do an update on the Trump is Hitler persuasion game. As you know, the Democrats 0.80

00:46:55.740 are selling their Trump is Hitler. But do you think that that's a good play? There's one thing 0.66

00:47:04.960 that the Democrats did not count on when deciding that their big play was going to be Trump is

00:47:11.620 Hitler. And you're going to laugh when I say it. And you should have seen it coming because 1.00

00:47:20.040 of the Hamas situation. Have you noticed that young people don't seem to think that Hitler

00:47:28.040 was much of a big deal? Have you noticed that? The young people kind of don't know who Hitler

00:47:36.160 was and what he was up to. If you ask young people how many people died in World War II,

00:47:41.800 they might guess something like, I don't know, 10, 20,000? Yep. So just hold in mind that the

00:47:52.160 primary campaign, the primary, the biggest thing the Democrats are claiming about Trump

00:47:57.180 is that he's like Hitler. Also, at the same time, the Democrats are trying to be the party of young 0.78

00:48:05.020 people, you know, make sure they get those young people because Biden could not have won without the

00:48:10.640 under 30 vote. Am I right? That's a guarantee. If Biden had not just crushed the young people

00:48:18.520 vote, he had no chance. So now their approach is to tell the young people that Trump is like

00:48:25.460 Hitler. How's that working? Well, here's an update. Turns out that young people have moved 0.96

00:48:36.360 to Trump. So in 2020, Biden got, he beat Trump by 24 points among people under 30. Do you know how hard

00:48:48.060 it is to win by 24, you know, 24 percentage basis points? It's really hard. So Biden didn't just beat

00:48:59.280 Trump in the under 30s. He just annihilated him. What's it look like today? NBC News says

00:49:09.300 a similar pattern of 46% to 42%. So there's been a big shift. Anyway, so the numbers are messed up

00:49:24.480 here on what I wrote down. But there's been a big shift toward Trump. Now just just hold that in your

00:49:30.760 mind. So the entire approach of the Democrats is completely useless for the under 30s. Because 0.97

00:49:40.520 it just doesn't mean that much. You know, imagine here's a mental experiment. Imagine you're not the

00:49:47.260 age you are with the education you have. And you just didn't know who Hitler was. It was like somebody

00:49:54.420 says, you know, on the planet Glark, there was a terrible leader. His name was Hupka. So what you

00:50:02.600 don't want is you don't want Trump to be like the evil leader Hupka from the planet Glark. And the 1.00

00:50:10.620 people under 30 say, okay, grandpa. Okay. It just doesn't hit. It doesn't hit. If you don't, if you

00:50:21.000 can't feel Hitler in your bones, as everybody my age can, right? Hitler is something you feel. Hitler 0.87

00:50:29.020 isn't just like a historical reference. You feel Hitler, but not if you're under 30. If you're under 30,

00:50:37.940 it's just a name. It's just something people keep mentioning. They don't feel it. And you can't

00:50:44.720 really feel it unless you've done what people like me have done. How many of you sat in your living

00:50:50.680 room when you were young, and usually your father had the History Channel on, and it was nonstop

00:50:57.380 Hitler footage? How many of you have that experience? Yeah, a lot of yeses. Yeah, I'd be sitting 0.80

00:51:07.800 in the living room at home, and it'd be like, Hitler, Hitler, Hitler, and here's a video of

00:51:12.060 Hitler, and here's some World War II, and look at all these dead people. Hitler, Hitler, here's a 0.76

00:51:16.300 picture of the death camp. Here's all the starving people in the death camp. I'd be like, ah, ah. I mean,

00:51:23.280 I had such childhood PTSD from all things World War II. I mean, seriously, I had PTSD. I was damaged,

00:51:33.200 and I didn't live through the war at all. You know, I was born after the war, of course.

00:51:39.300 But I totally got PTSD, because it was just rammed down my throat from birth. But you're under 30. 0.54

00:51:46.220 It's just a story in a book. Just a story in a book. All right, so there's an update on Epstein.

00:51:54.840 Apparently, there's a bunch of people will be named from some recent, or not recent, but a court case

00:52:02.040 about Epstein. They're going to unseal the names of the people involved. But I agree with Sticks and

00:52:08.300 Hammer, who posted, it's going to be a nothing burger. All right, this is not Epstein's list of

00:52:15.040 clients. It's not that. There was a court case. It's over. The names of the people involved were

00:52:22.280 unsealed. They're going to be unsealed. People were involved with the one case. You might get

00:52:28.800 some surprises. You might get some news stories. But probably, it's going to be a big nothing.

00:52:34.880 That's what I think, too. All right.

00:52:43.000 Columbia, the country, we learned from also the Amuse account, is allowing visa-free travel from

00:52:51.140 Iran, Yemen, and 41 countries, including African nations. So all you have to do is get to

00:52:58.120 Columbia. Columbia won't even check your documents, apparently. You just walk into Columbia, and from

00:53:04.380 there, you travel up through the southern border of the United States. So we now have an unlimited

00:53:14.060 open door to all of Iran, all of their terrorists. Now, is there any chance that Iran has not sent their 1.00

00:53:23.460 terrorists to set up a camp in America? There's no real chance of that, because it's the most obvious

00:53:29.540 thing you do. I wrote a book called The Religion War. It was the sequel to God's Debris a number of years 0.92

00:53:37.620 years ago. And although it was like 20 years ago or whatever, I speculated that the Middle East terrorists 0.76

00:53:46.020 would put agents in all the major cities in America and activate them at the same time.

00:53:53.160 Because one terrorist in one city can do a hell of a lot of damage. Just one? You know, fires and

00:54:03.220 drones and fentanyl. You know, you could do the math. It doesn't take much to shut down a city. 0.81

00:54:09.800 So I feel like that's the big risk in the future, is the people who snuck in and are just sort of

00:54:16.040 waiting for the order. That's the thing. I fear that a lot more than nuclear war. Anyway.

00:54:23.800 So we'll see how that works out.

00:54:30.180 It's really unbelievable that our border is open. 0.99

00:54:33.720 Yeah, it went from, well, this is weird and unproductive and suboptimal to, are you fucking 0.97

00:54:40.320 kidding me? Are you kidding me? The border is still wide open? In the sense that all you have 0.96

00:54:46.720 to do is say you have one asylum and you can come right in. My God. Well, I think there's a 1.00

00:54:53.080 guarantee of a Republican president primarily because of that. We learned that President

00:54:59.880 Xi told Biden when he was here that Xi's stance is he wants a peaceful reunification of Taiwan

00:55:08.700 and he rejected the idea that he's going to do something militarily, you know, in the next

00:55:14.740 few years. Does that sound true? Do you believe it? That he's not going to do something

00:55:22.640 militarily and that he wants a peaceful reunification and doesn't have a specific timeline that's

00:55:29.680 at least within two years. I actually believe it. I 100% believe it and always have. Do you

00:55:38.260 know why? China is the most predictable country in the world. There's no more predictable country

00:55:46.440 than China. I think they told you exactly what makes sense for China and then they're going 0.75

00:55:52.340 to do it. Do you know why? Because that makes the most sense for China. Do you think China

00:55:57.580 thinks that a war with Taiwan could go well? They're not going to end up with any microchips.

00:56:03.260 They're going to end up with a smoldering island and a degraded economy that won't be able to do

00:56:09.940 trade with the rest of the world. There isn't the slightest chance that the current government of

00:56:16.680 China, which looks like it's pretty stable, wants a war about Taiwan. Not any. They don't have any,

00:56:24.200 there's no urgent need. They're, as Kyle Bass points out, the real estate segment is in freefall

00:56:32.100 and their banking system might be in freefall. China is in a lot of trouble. Literally the last

00:56:41.260 thing they need is a war, especially an optional war. There's no way China starts an optional war

00:56:50.300 for a bunch of assets that will clearly be destroyed during the war, right? If it looked like China was

00:56:58.280 going to take control of Taiwan, I hate to tell you Taiwan, but all your microchip businesses are

00:57:05.800 going to get bombed by us. Am I wrong? We would never let China take control of the actual factories 1.00

00:57:15.320 because it's so hard, apparently it's really hard to make a factory that makes microchips.

00:57:20.880 We're not going to let them get that. There's not the slightest chance. So microchips will become

00:57:27.820 like, you know, unusable. So given that a hundred percent of the arguments suggest that they should

00:57:36.000 wait as long as they want. So here's the thing that China has going for them. They already say it's part 0.95

00:57:41.260 of China and they got the United States to say the same thing, even though we act like it's not,

00:57:46.900 we say it. So it's sort of not a problem they need to solve. And I agree with Xi that a peaceful

00:57:56.240 reunification with Taiwan is basically inevitable. I don't know about the peaceful part, but the 0.98

00:58:03.980 reunification is inevitable because geography. I just don't see any... In 200 years, you think Taiwan

00:58:11.960 and China are going to be separate countries in 200 years? I doubt it. You know, maybe add another 1.00

00:58:19.060 hundred years, but basically, basically I think they end up unified one way or another. 0.98

00:58:28.020 Yemen is being such a pain in the ass around the Red Sea, they keep sending rockets and things, 1.00

00:58:35.880 that a bunch of ships are now rerouting. They have to go the long way. And the energy prices are going 0.99

00:58:43.760 up, but not that much. So it turns out that a current hot threat in the Red Sea did not spike energy

00:58:53.940 prices nearly as much as you think, you know, under two percent. That's strange. Now, what are we going to do

00:59:01.740 about that? Given that Iran is backing the people who are sending the missiles from Yemen?

00:59:09.460 We don't want a third war, but don't you think Saudi Arabia should just take over Yemen? 0.90

00:59:21.940 What do you think? I don't think we should go in, and I don't think they need any military help,

00:59:27.340 but I feel like Saudi Arabia has the power, and Yemen is looking to ruin commerce in the entire 1.00

00:59:35.160 Middle East. If you're going to ruin commerce in the entire Middle East, you get conquered.

00:59:43.120 Yeah, I mean, I think Saudi Arabia has that argument.

00:59:47.180 Let's talk about France. Parliament approved an immigration bill that boosts the ability to

00:59:54.620 deport foreigners, and it limits access to some of their benefits. So is that a turning point?

01:00:03.500 Is France starting to, you know, right the ship? I feel like France is lost. I don't think France

01:00:11.540 can recover from their immigration. What do you think? I'm not there, so it's hard to tell, 0.82

01:00:17.440 but just based on what we see, it doesn't look like they can recover. I think France will just turn

01:00:22.440 Islamic. We'll see. Over in Poland, they've got a new prime minister, and the prime minister's

01:00:36.280 last name is, wait a minute, is this true? He's named Donald Tusk. Can you give me a fact check

01:00:48.580 on that? The new prime minister of Poland? His first name is Donald, and his last name is Tusk?

01:01:00.260 What do you get if you combine Musk with Trump, or Trump with Musk? It's Tusk, isn't it?

01:01:08.860 It looks like it's just a combination of Elon Musk and Donald Trump. Donald Tusk. What the hell?

01:01:20.620 What? How is that possible? How do we live in a world where this can happen? 0.98

01:01:28.360 Honestly, it feels like we are part of a simulation, and we're part of a game, and whatever life force

01:01:36.600 caused this simulation wants us to know, but wants to do it in a funny way, like it's dropping every

01:01:44.180 hint in the world that we're a simulation, and none of it's real. It's like, how many hints do I have

01:01:49.160 to give you? Do you need another hint? How about we'll name the prime minister of Poland, Donald Tusk?

01:01:58.020 Anything? Anything? You're still not getting this? That's what it feels like.

01:02:03.480 Well, anyway, this new prime minister in Poland immediately went and shut down a news station

01:02:11.340 because they didn't like the propaganda coming out of it. To which I say the following.

01:02:20.920 Uh-oh. Yeah. We thought Poland was one of the good guys, right? But they turned off a source

01:02:30.480 a source of free speech because they didn't like the speech, said it wasn't true.

01:02:38.080 Now, here's my problem. I feel like our brains are stuck in the past.

01:02:46.980 And here's what I mean by that. If I asked you, do you believe in free speech?

01:02:51.740 I believe every one of you would say, yes, free speech, yes. Now, free speech became a concept

01:02:59.440 with the Constitution, right, hundreds of years ago. And hundreds of years ago, what did free speech

01:03:07.220 look like? Well, it was individuals who didn't have much reach. They couldn't be influencers like

01:03:16.040 on social media. So people like me would just be complaining to my neighbors. All the free speech

01:03:22.760 I want. And if I wanted to, I could get a little box and go to the town square and I could get maybe

01:03:28.600 a dozen people to listen to me. Free speech, yes. Free speech is only legal because at one time it

01:03:38.600 wasn't dangerous. At least dangerous the way it is now. But now it's really dangerous. Now you can

01:03:46.100 say stuff that people will believe, not only because the bad people have reach, they can get to

01:03:52.380 everybody, but also the bad people have technique that they never had before. They have actual

01:03:58.600 hypnosis, brainwashing, propaganda skill that didn't exist 200 years ago. So here's a thought

01:04:09.960 experiment for you. If the founders of this country were designing the Constitution under our current

01:04:17.260 situation where free speech can destroy a country pretty easily, would it be free? I think not.

01:04:26.260 I think not. I think not. Yeah. Yeah. Believe it or not, I think not. Because it would be an

01:04:33.640 existential risk. When speech was made free initially, it wasn't an existential risk or much

01:04:41.260 of one. It would take a lot of work. Yeah. And I think back then they knew the newspapers were fake

01:04:48.120 news, but they didn't believe them anyway and it didn't matter. So it wasn't a big deal. But now let's

01:04:54.760 say, for example, that the biggest Polish TV station was running news that they knew was fake and

01:05:05.380 they were just trying to control the country or something. Do you think you should let that

01:05:10.580 operate and just let free speech take care of it? Or is it too big of a threat? It could actually

01:05:16.360 take down the country. I think you have to rethink free speech. I hate to say it. I think you have to

01:05:26.040 rethink it. It doesn't mean that you get rid of it. When I say rethink it, I mean, start from scratch.

01:05:33.760 Start from, you know, just take away all your assumptions and then see if you would rebuild it

01:05:39.000 the same way. I don't know if you would. Don't know if you would. Because at the moment, an individual

01:05:48.000 can use free speech to take down a country. Do you think that's possible? Do you think a bad actor,

01:05:56.100 an individual, say somebody like me, do you think I could take down a country? I could.

01:06:02.880 I hate to tell you, but I could take down a country. Some say I'm already doing it.

01:06:13.340 Because I did tell you I was going to take down the Chinese economy back in 2018. And here we are. 1.00

01:06:20.180 Now, you could say, but that's not because of you. No. But it didn't hurt. Didn't hurt.

01:06:26.860 So could I save a country? Yes. Yes. Yeah. Somebody, you know, influence is a formula. And I've told you

01:06:37.400 this before. Influence is how much skill you have in communicating, influentially, how much skill

01:06:44.020 you have, multiplied by your reach. So if you're very skillful, but you live in a cave, it doesn't

01:06:50.300 matter. If you have millions of people who watch you like Taylor Swift, but you don't have much to say,

01:06:56.860 it doesn't matter that much either. But if you have actual skill in persuasion, and you have a huge

01:07:05.760 platform, that would be Trump, for example, you're the leader of the, you know, easily become the

01:07:11.440 president of the United States, and you have the nuclear arsenal. So don't forget that formula.

01:07:16.960 The formula is persuasiveness time to reach. The reach never existed before.

01:07:22.320 Reach is new. Reach is new. But also, persuasion is new. We didn't know how to do it 200 years

01:07:30.320 ago. The technique that I can employ today is a whole level, you know, maybe several levels

01:07:38.540 above what it was 200 years ago. 200 years ago, they would just lie and compare you to somebody

01:07:43.240 bad. That's about it. That's all they had. All right.

01:07:48.540 So if I were going to rethink free speech, it might be something like this. I'm just going

01:07:59.300 to brainstorm for a minute. You can say anything you want, anywhere you want. So that's a good

01:08:06.280 start, right? You can say anything you want, anywhere you want. But there would need to be some

01:08:14.420 kind of counter force to make sure that the other message got matched with it. So you could imagine

01:08:22.200 some kind of situation where you can say anything you want, but there's some kind of freedom for

01:08:28.640 other people to put the opposing view with it. So let's call it a matching rule. So the rule is you

01:08:39.420 can say anything you want, anywhere you want, free speech. But the alternative fact check

01:08:47.520 has to be at least technically allowed. Maybe nobody wants to use it. Maybe they don't disagree

01:08:54.580 with you. But it has to be technically matchable with the opposing view. If it's on social media,

01:09:02.280 not in person, right? In person, you still say anything you want. But if you're going to be on a

01:09:06.620 digital broadcast medium, then you should be required to be on a medium that has something

01:09:15.180 like community notes. So you can say to yourself, yeah, you've got all the free speech you want,

01:09:21.060 but the X platform doesn't have the ability to not have a community notes. They've got to do

01:09:27.040 something like that to match the opposing opinions. And if you can't match the opposing opinion,

01:09:32.600 it's too dangerous to have free speech. What do you think? Because the individual would still

01:09:40.880 have 100% free speech. The platforms that could boost that speech would have a little extra

01:09:47.200 restriction, but it would be more like add a feature that everybody wants. Everybody wants that

01:09:52.860 feature. Everybody wants the feature that shows both sides. Everybody wants it. So make it available.

01:10:00.080 So I think that you could say we don't have free speech the way we used to. It's too dangerous now.

01:10:08.280 So add a little guardrail. But don't put the guardrail on the person. Put the guardrail on the

01:10:15.600 transmission mediums. What do you think? Because the X platform would stay exactly the same.

01:10:25.100 Because Musk already solved. He solved for competing opinions because that's kind of what X does.

01:10:33.600 It's basically a competing opinion forum. So the government should say, all right, you're good.

01:10:42.660 Well, let's look at Facebook. That's what I don't want to see.

01:10:45.580 All right. But still, individuals would have free speech. All right. There's a big trend for single 1.00

01:10:52.860 parents and not having families. You're all aware of that. I'm just going to make the prediction.

01:10:59.400 Eventually, we will, as humans, no longer be masters of the planet.

01:11:06.800 Eventually, we will apparently willingly become sort of a niche species. And robots, I think, will rule the Earth.

01:11:18.180 With the exception of Mars, which will be a Musk colony with its prime minister, Donald Tusk, possibly.

01:11:25.580 And what's that? All right. So yeah, I think that we will either merge with the robots or temporarily

01:11:39.280 merge with them until we just decide, ah, let's just be robots. So suppose you don't want to be a planet

01:11:47.700 full of robots. But suppose you also agree that the traditional family, while it's the best of all

01:11:55.660 solutions, isn't really practical for maybe at least half of all people. So what do you do?

01:12:03.300 I believe that you're going to see a new system evolve. And it will be more of a tribal community

01:12:12.980 system. Very much like it takes a village, you know, sort of Hillary's thing. And I'm starting to

01:12:20.300 organize my life around that. A tribal model. And by that, I mean, rather than saying, all right,

01:12:30.280 I'm going to have a, you know, I'm going to marry a mate. And the two of us will be all there is.

01:12:36.620 We won't let other people in too much, you know, unless we're both there in a party or something.

01:12:41.520 We're not going to go off and do our own thing with other people too much. And, you know, and our

01:12:46.680 kids are going to be under our control and all that. It's great if you can pull it off. But suppose

01:12:53.640 you had to take all the functions that you need to be a good person, and you just didn't have the

01:12:59.120 option of having that little cool family unit where everybody loves each other and everything's

01:13:03.960 working well. But you need those things. I think what we're going to do is because there'll be so

01:13:10.600 many people who are unfamilied, that they will find ways to coordinate, but not in every way.

01:13:19.620 So for example, I think you're going to see people who say, you know what, if you would be my handyman

01:13:27.740 sometimes, I would cook for you sometimes. And then you'd say, hey, we could do this once a week.

01:13:37.820 And even if I haven't done any handymaning, you'll cook for me once a week. We're not married.

01:13:44.140 Maybe some friends come over. If you need something fixed in your house, call me. I'd love to do it.

01:13:50.680 I'll go over and spend the afternoon fixing your thing. Now, that's just one small example.

01:13:57.320 But imagine, if you will, somebody says, you know what, I'll add you to my health care

01:14:03.880 because that's easy for me. I've got a good health care program. So I'll add you.

01:14:09.360 You'll be my dependent. And maybe I just like giving you some advice for college and that's it.

01:14:17.340 just because I want to. And I can. So, no, I'm not high. Why are you even asking? You're the third

01:14:30.800 person who's asked this morning if I'm high. Do I look high? I don't do the show high. Have I ever? Oh, yeah.

01:14:41.080 During the pandemic, I did. But no, not in... I don't think I've done the show high in a year or so.

01:14:52.080 I have. And by the way, you couldn't tell the difference. The days that I did it, it stoned down

01:14:58.000 in my mind. You couldn't tell because I'm a chronic user. It's just not that different.

01:15:03.980 But if you're guessing that I'm high now, nope, not even a little bit.

01:15:11.980 Insurance companies would love that, you say.

01:15:19.180 All right.

01:15:23.080 I'm just looking at your comments.

01:15:24.560 Dangers of weed.

01:15:31.680 I think that

01:15:32.280 people keep telling me

01:15:34.520 that there are dangers to weed.

01:15:38.000 But you're talking to the wrong person.

01:15:41.520 Did you think I didn't know that?

01:15:45.560 There's a danger to riding a bicycle.

01:15:48.300 There's a danger to going outdoors.

01:15:50.400 There's a danger to getting in my car.

01:15:51.860 Life is a danger.

01:15:54.060 Like, the whole thing is a danger.

01:15:55.640 So if all you're saying is it's a danger, you haven't told me anything.

01:15:59.900 But

01:16:00.220 if you say that some people get medicinal benefits

01:16:04.580 and they weigh that against the risk,

01:16:07.960 well, now you're talking.

01:16:09.800 So

01:16:09.940 as long as we're showing both sides,

01:16:12.580 it's fine to highlight the risks.

01:16:15.460 And I do think the risks for children

01:16:17.060 are just through the roof.

01:16:18.560 I didn't do it under 18.

01:16:21.180 When I was under 18, I never touched it.

01:16:23.900 I was just

01:16:24.540 focused on

01:16:25.880 doing what I needed to do.

01:16:31.560 All right.

01:16:36.200 Always more than two sides.

01:16:43.560 Another dog not barking.

01:16:45.060 What's that about?

01:16:45.600 What?

01:16:48.560 If it's your first day of being ungovernable,

01:16:52.800 it's disorienting, isn't it?

01:16:56.540 All right.

01:17:03.840 You think I'm going to get married again?

01:17:06.460 Here's where marriage doesn't make sense to me.

01:17:10.240 I might have five years left.

01:17:12.140 Have any of you come to grips with your own mortality?

01:17:18.560 So yesterday I was thinking,

01:17:20.520 oh, you know, I want to do a thing or, you know,

01:17:22.460 maybe plan for something,

01:17:24.480 like getting a pet.

01:17:26.640 I'm not going to get a dog

01:17:28.100 that's going to, you know,

01:17:30.360 that I'm going to,

01:17:31.560 not even going to live as long as my dog.

01:17:34.720 But all right, so I'm 66 and a half.

01:17:37.180 People my age,

01:17:41.720 people I know personally,

01:17:43.320 are dropping dead all over the place.

01:17:45.380 They're dropping dead like crazy.

01:17:47.680 And 0.84

01:17:48.020 sometimes I tell myself,

01:17:51.300 oh, I'll make it to, you know,

01:17:53.260 85 or 90.

01:17:54.600 But then I think to myself,

01:17:56.360 well,

01:17:57.540 you know,

01:17:57.820 those years between 75 and 85,

01:18:00.140 I mean,

01:18:02.280 I might find some way to like them.

01:18:04.500 But it's not going to be like being alive now.

01:18:06.840 I mean,

01:18:08.520 how long am I going to,

01:18:09.440 how long am I going to work?

01:18:10.980 I don't know.

01:18:12.340 No idea.

01:18:13.880 So maybe aging won't affect me the same way as other people.

01:18:17.040 But in terms of my,

01:18:18.260 my own planning,

01:18:20.180 I,

01:18:20.660 I plan my own mortality five to 10 years from now.

01:18:25.520 Meaning that any decision I make

01:18:27.760 is I'm only going to be alive for about five years.

01:18:32.420 Which is really weird.

01:18:35.240 Really weird.

01:18:36.560 Do you know how,

01:18:37.100 how quickly time goes

01:18:39.060 when you're my age?

01:18:41.000 Well,

01:18:41.360 those of you who are my age,

01:18:42.320 you know exactly.

01:18:43.700 Like next year is just going to disappear.

01:18:47.080 So 20% of what I'm counting as my remaining life

01:18:51.060 is going to be gone in a blink.

01:18:53.720 Because this next year will just disappear.

01:18:55.660 And the,

01:18:56.800 and five years will be gone before I know it.

01:19:00.840 So,

01:19:01.480 I feel weird when I just go to work.

01:19:05.300 Because I tell myself,

01:19:06.520 whoa,

01:19:07.340 if I really knew I only had five years left,

01:19:09.260 I'd quit work and,

01:19:11.020 I don't know,

01:19:11.440 travel the world or something.

01:19:12.700 But then I think,

01:19:13.640 no,

01:19:13.880 I like this.

01:19:15.480 I don't want to quit.

01:19:17.000 To me, 0.95

01:19:17.680 the most useless thing you could do 0.77

01:19:19.820 is retire and travel the world. 1.00

01:19:23.540 I can't think of anything more useless. 0.52

01:19:28.020 Maybe you like the traveling. 0.62

01:19:30.440 But what good is it?

01:19:32.300 So you,

01:19:32.920 so you learn a lot about the world

01:19:34.600 right before you die.

01:19:37.840 What good is it?

01:19:39.200 Now,

01:19:39.500 if you told me that traveling extensively in your 20s

01:19:42.540 was a good idea,

01:19:44.240 I'd say,

01:19:44.600 yeah.

01:19:45.340 Because everything you learn about these other places,

01:19:47.980 you're incorporating to your whole life.

01:19:49.800 It becomes,

01:19:50.580 you know,

01:19:50.740 part of your foundation for your entire life.

01:19:54.000 But,

01:19:54.440 if I travel for the next five years and then die,

01:19:58.340 it was just a waste of time.

01:20:00.680 I accomplished nothing.

01:20:01.780 I left nothing.

01:20:03.420 All I had was some dopamine in a different town.

01:20:06.920 I can get dopamine in my town.

01:20:10.240 So traveling doesn't make sense to me.

01:20:12.300 So,

01:20:12.720 so what I'm expressing is that when

01:20:14.780 the entire rest of your,

01:20:16.680 you know,

01:20:16.980 high quality of life

01:20:18.240 gets so compressed,

01:20:20.560 all your decisions get squirrely.

01:20:22.560 because I,

01:20:23.620 I'm a super long-term planner.

01:20:26.820 I had a 40-year plan.

01:20:30.000 And I stayed on plan for 40 years.

01:20:33.340 I actually had a 40-year plan.

01:20:35.780 Like,

01:20:36.060 literally.

01:20:36.340 And I stayed on plan.

01:20:38.120 It included becoming a famous cartoonist

01:20:40.080 and then using that fame

01:20:42.740 to open up other opportunities.

01:20:45.980 And here we are.

01:20:47.320 So I'm right on plan for 40 years.

01:20:49.600 So when I,

01:20:50.460 when I realized I might only have like five left

01:20:52.640 of like good years,

01:20:54.040 it's really disconcerting

01:20:55.600 because I don't know how to,

01:20:56.680 I don't know how to handle that.

01:20:58.620 I don't know how to live in the moment

01:21:00.080 because I've always lived in the future.

01:21:02.400 All right,

01:21:10.740 ladies and gentlemen. 0.79

01:21:14.060 Download your brain to a robot.

01:21:15.780 Well,

01:21:16.080 I plan to do that.

01:21:17.260 I do plan to be immortal

01:21:18.640 in the digital domain.

01:21:21.660 What are the odds that I'm alive

01:21:23.460 in exactly the era

01:21:24.760 where moving our personality to a machine

01:21:28.220 is completely practical?

01:21:30.660 What were the odds I'd be alive then

01:21:33.600 and exactly the age

01:21:35.260 where that really matters?

01:21:37.300 See,

01:21:37.580 this is why

01:21:38.120 this can't possibly be real.

01:21:41.460 That this thing I'm experiencing

01:21:43.240 that I think is my life,

01:21:44.700 there's no way this is real.

01:21:47.980 That exactly the time

01:21:49.900 I need the robots and the AI,

01:21:52.980 they just pop up.

01:21:55.200 After 10 million years

01:21:57.420 of human evolution,

01:21:59.620 just when I need it,

01:22:01.980 there it is.

01:22:04.220 I don't know.

01:22:05.220 I'm just not buying it.

01:22:07.000 I just don't buy

01:22:07.800 that any of this is real.

01:22:13.640 All right.

01:22:17.340 You want my guitar amplifier

01:22:18.760 if I go?

01:22:20.080 It is a good amplifier,

01:22:21.800 I have to admit.

01:22:24.460 All right, YouTube.

01:22:26.520 That's all for now.

01:22:27.480 I'm going to go do some other things.

01:22:28.640 Thanks for joining.

01:22:29.420 Thanks for joining.

01:22:29.440 Thanks for joining.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 20, 2023

Episode 2328 CWSA 12⧸20⧸23 How About That Colorado Decision Barring Trump？ That And Lots More

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