Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2338 CWSA 12⧸30⧸23 Lots Of 2024 Optimism While Laughing At Today's Batch Of Absurdities

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do, do-do-do-do.

00:00:04.420 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:08.960 We call it Coffee with Scott Adams because that's what it is.

00:00:12.160 And we're going to have fun today.

00:00:14.120 So don't go away.

00:00:15.760 It's just going to get better and better the whole time.

00:00:18.200 If you'd like to start off at a level that people can't even understand it's so good,

00:00:22.680 well, then all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass,

00:00:25.160 a tank of Charles Stein, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:29.040 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:31.200 I like coffee.

00:00:32.840 You're joining me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day.

00:00:36.060 The thing that makes everything better.

00:00:38.180 It's called the simultaneous set that happens now.

00:00:45.640 Hmm.

00:00:46.660 Hmm.

00:00:48.260 Savor it.

00:00:50.220 Savor it.

00:00:51.840 So I've got this fancy Miele coffee machine.

00:00:56.020 And let me tell you, that makes a good cup of coffee.

00:01:02.080 And it only gives you two to five air conditions each time you want a cup.

00:01:07.880 Sometimes it's out of beans.

00:01:10.260 Sometimes you need to clean it.

00:01:15.320 Sometimes something's not lined up.

00:01:17.760 Sometimes the pan has to be empty.

00:01:21.220 Sometimes the trash part is,

00:01:24.100 and I think I had to clear five different faults this morning to get a cup of coffee.

00:01:31.200 Do you know what you want to do less than anything in the world when you first wake up?

00:01:36.760 And before you've had your first cup of coffee,

00:01:39.640 what do you want more than anything in the world?

00:01:42.860 To not have to clear five faults from your coffee machine.

00:01:46.940 There's nothing you want more than that at that time of day.

00:01:51.540 But we're all good now.

00:01:52.800 I got my coffee.

00:01:54.060 Speaking of weird things,

00:01:56.900 did you know that unless you're an engineer,

00:01:59.360 you cannot hold in your head three specifications?

00:02:03.180 I learned this when I asked for recommendations about making a Dilbert calendar for 2025.

00:02:09.860 There won't be a physical one for 2024.

00:02:13.280 Because I got canceled.

00:02:14.400 So here are the three things I'm looking for,

00:02:17.320 and then I'll tell you what happened to what I posted asking for it.

00:02:20.920 I'm looking for a printer in America,

00:02:25.260 in America only,

00:02:27.320 somebody who can print a day-to-day calendar,

00:02:30.620 which are the kind that the little squares are on top of each other,

00:02:34.980 and you rip off each day.

00:02:38.060 Now, it has to be that.

00:02:39.760 So it has to be that physical form of a calendar,

00:02:41.900 there's no other calendar,

00:02:42.840 and it has to be printed in America.

00:02:46.000 But on top of that,

00:02:47.520 since I don't have a publisher,

00:02:49.580 wouldn't it be great if the publisher also had an e-commerce site

00:02:53.100 and could do fulfillment,

00:02:55.380 actually mail it to the end customer?

00:02:57.380 In my perfect world,

00:02:58.640 I just want to tell people where the link is

00:03:00.660 and not do any work,

00:03:02.860 just collect the check.

00:03:03.940 So I ask people,

00:03:05.620 where can I get these three things?

00:03:07.280 An American printer,

00:03:08.960 who can print this kind of calendar,

00:03:11.520 who offers a webpage where you can go to get it,

00:03:15.200 and will deliver it to your house.

00:03:17.800 What happens if I ask the internet for something that meets those three criteria?

00:03:24.180 You know what happens?

00:03:25.240 Sometimes you will get hundreds of different confidence suggestions

00:03:29.160 that do not meet those three criteria.

00:03:32.100 And it will be harder for me to go through the suggestions.

00:03:36.220 Almost all of them will not meet all three criteria

00:03:39.260 to find anything that's like a piece of gold in the garbage.

00:03:45.620 So the reason I ask people on X

00:03:48.220 is because you can't do a Google search.

00:03:51.020 You know why you can't do a Google search to find this?

00:03:53.400 It's so polluted with sponsorship and lies

00:03:58.120 and wrong answers

00:03:59.960 that all you're doing is

00:04:01.760 you're just going through this mountain of wrong answers.

00:04:05.560 And you've got to go to every website.

00:04:07.980 You have to penetrate their lies

00:04:09.680 to find out what they can and cannot do.

00:04:12.900 So you really almost can't research it.

00:04:15.760 It's almost, by its nature,

00:04:18.320 I don't have enough time in my life

00:04:21.020 to find the answer to this question.

00:04:24.080 And there's no technology that will do it.

00:04:27.020 You might say,

00:04:27.680 well, ask AI. 1.00

00:04:29.780 AI is fucking useless. 1.00

00:04:32.820 I don't want to be the first one to tell you, 1.00

00:04:35.360 but AI is fucking useless. 1.00

00:04:38.740 Here's the absurdity that we're having right now. 1.00

00:04:41.980 Just try to hold this in your mind

00:04:43.720 that this is a real experience

00:04:45.840 that we're all having right now.

00:04:48.220 So Trump's ex-lawyer,

00:04:50.600 Michael Cohen,

00:04:52.120 is in trouble

00:04:52.840 because he used AI

00:04:54.020 to find some case law

00:04:56.180 to make his case about,

00:04:58.320 I don't know,

00:04:58.640 getting out early or something.

00:05:00.620 And apparently AI invented

00:05:02.980 three separate case laws

00:05:05.120 that don't exist.

00:05:06.080 And now he's in trouble

00:05:07.820 because it looks like,

00:05:09.260 you know,

00:05:09.960 he's lying or something.

00:05:12.520 Now let me ask you this.

00:05:14.600 Having also experienced

00:05:16.220 this very same thing

00:05:17.420 where AI will confidently

00:05:20.300 tell me something that's not true,

00:05:22.540 what would you use AI for?

00:05:26.640 Once you know it can lie to you

00:05:29.000 and there's no way to stop it,

00:05:30.660 there's no way to stop it, you know.

00:05:33.160 Nobody has any idea

00:05:34.560 how to stop it from lying.

00:05:37.140 Have you heard anybody say,

00:05:38.480 well, it's lying,

00:05:39.160 but we've got an easy fix for that.

00:05:41.060 We'll just put a few lines of code in there

00:05:43.080 so it won't lie.

00:05:44.600 Nope.

00:05:45.420 Nobody has any idea how to stop it.

00:05:47.880 So we have something

00:05:48.920 that we know will lie to us,

00:05:51.240 no idea how to stop it from lying,

00:05:53.520 and you think that's going to be useful.

00:05:57.360 I swear to God,

00:05:58.480 AI is nothing but demo-ware.

00:06:00.100 Demo-ware is nothing but demo-ware.

00:06:03.520 Demo meaning you can do

00:06:05.080 a cool demonstration

00:06:07.100 of what AI could do if it worked.

00:06:12.800 But it doesn't.

00:06:14.660 It just doesn't.

00:06:18.240 And you think to yourself,

00:06:19.560 well, maybe it's no good

00:06:21.040 for detailed information

00:06:22.540 because it lies,

00:06:24.600 but it would be great

00:06:25.280 for just having a conversation.

00:06:27.560 No, it isn't.

00:06:28.340 Have you ever tried

00:06:29.640 to have a conversation with AI?

00:06:32.040 It's excellent

00:06:33.000 at understanding what you're saying.

00:06:34.640 It's really good at that.

00:06:36.460 The voice recognition

00:06:38.400 is amazing now.

00:06:40.600 It's not like the old ones

00:06:41.800 where they never could hear you correctly.

00:06:44.180 They really do understand

00:06:45.440 what you're saying.

00:06:46.940 But everything interesting,

00:06:50.820 AI is banned from talking about.

00:06:52.720 everything interesting.

00:06:56.680 So now,

00:06:57.440 just try to understand

00:06:59.880 the landscape.

00:07:02.480 There's the land of things

00:07:03.900 that are just facts,

00:07:05.180 and it will lie to you

00:07:07.160 about facts.

00:07:08.800 So you can't use it for facts.

00:07:11.360 Then there's a world of opinion.

00:07:13.100 And it won't give you opinions

00:07:17.000 because it's not allowed.

00:07:19.760 So you can have no opinions,

00:07:21.780 or you can have no facts.

00:07:24.800 Those are your two choices.

00:07:26.700 I would like to have no facts,

00:07:28.080 or I'd like to have no opinions.

00:07:29.780 How about both?

00:07:30.880 No facts and no opinions. 0.99

00:07:32.960 What the fuck is it good for? 0.99

00:07:35.800 Now, 1.00

00:07:36.440 have we all been hypnotized

00:07:37.840 into thinking

00:07:38.400 this is going to be useful?

00:07:40.080 Give me any example. 0.95

00:07:42.440 What the fuck is it useful for? 0.98

00:07:44.520 You know what I hear the most? 0.99

00:07:47.480 I hear people say

00:07:48.640 it helps them with writing.

00:07:51.000 Really?

00:07:52.560 Really?

00:07:53.280 Show me some of this great writing

00:07:54.820 that comes out of the AI.

00:07:56.720 I haven't seen it.

00:07:58.000 I have seen AI write

00:07:59.380 nothing that is good writing.

00:08:01.540 The spelling is good,

00:08:02.580 and the grammar is perfect.

00:08:04.740 But it's not good writing.

00:08:06.840 It doesn't know

00:08:07.860 how to talk to a human.

00:08:10.940 It just sort of copies

00:08:11.980 some things it's seen before,

00:08:13.380 and that's not good enough.

00:08:14.880 Yeah.

00:08:15.580 So,

00:08:16.240 I don't want to be

00:08:17.900 the old man

00:08:19.160 shouting at this guy

00:08:20.380 who says,

00:08:22.200 AI will never improve,

00:08:24.020 even though everybody knows

00:08:25.100 it will get better and better.

00:08:26.880 My point is,

00:08:28.360 this isn't like a microchip,

00:08:31.380 where you've got

00:08:32.340 a really good microchip

00:08:33.460 and you're going to make

00:08:34.000 it a little faster.

00:08:35.520 That's a good prediction.

00:08:37.860 It's something we know

00:08:38.940 how to do,

00:08:40.140 and we have a long,

00:08:41.240 consistent record

00:08:42.160 of improvement.

00:08:43.500 It's not that hard

00:08:44.640 to predict it'll keep going.

00:08:47.060 But the trouble with AI is,

00:08:49.000 there's nothing happening

00:08:50.040 that I'm aware of

00:08:51.120 that would fix these problems.

00:08:53.740 How can you build

00:08:54.720 a large language model

00:08:55.880 that does mysterious things

00:08:57.280 on the inside

00:08:57.940 without your direct involvement,

00:09:00.140 and then fix it

00:09:01.280 from hallucinating?

00:09:04.040 How's that going to happen?

00:09:05.100 I don't know.

00:09:08.480 How are you going to get it

00:09:09.780 to deal with opinions?

00:09:11.480 It's too dangerous.

00:09:13.540 You can't let AI

00:09:14.620 have opinions.

00:09:16.500 So,

00:09:17.460 I was trying to think

00:09:19.200 what it will do well.

00:09:21.300 It's going to help you

00:09:22.380 code websites.

00:09:24.440 Definitely going to help on that.

00:09:26.680 And I heard somebody

00:09:28.000 whose English

00:09:29.120 was not their first language

00:09:30.400 say that they were

00:09:31.740 building their own website.

00:09:33.060 It was really helpful

00:09:33.880 because the AI

00:09:35.220 could put things

00:09:35.960 in perfect English,

00:09:37.360 and they didn't know

00:09:38.000 how to do that.

00:09:39.220 So, that's good.

00:09:40.760 But these are really

00:09:41.640 minor things.

00:09:43.540 Really, really

00:09:44.360 minor improvements.

00:09:46.260 The big improvement

00:09:47.100 will be

00:09:47.720 if you get your

00:09:48.500 optimist robot,

00:09:49.780 your Tesla robot.

00:09:51.740 So,

00:09:52.640 Elon Musk doubled down

00:09:53.960 on his prediction.

00:09:54.920 that if optimists,

00:09:56.980 the new Tesla robots,

00:09:58.840 are designed

00:10:00.580 and built

00:10:01.020 as well as he thinks

00:10:02.020 they will be,

00:10:03.520 that the value

00:10:05.140 of Tesla

00:10:05.660 from just the robot

00:10:06.800 business alone

00:10:07.840 will make it

00:10:09.400 value bigger

00:10:10.360 than Apple

00:10:11.080 plus Aramco combined.

00:10:14.220 That would be

00:10:15.300 bigger than

00:10:16.420 the two biggest

00:10:17.260 companies in the world.

00:10:20.840 That's Elon Musk's

00:10:22.080 prediction.

00:10:23.100 Now, let me ask you this.

00:10:24.920 Does Elon Musk

00:10:26.340 make crazy, 1.00

00:10:27.920 stupid predictions 1.00

00:10:28.680 that aren't based 1.00

00:10:29.580 on good information

00:10:30.580 and a logical

00:10:31.980 sequence of events?

00:10:34.480 Nope.

00:10:36.140 Nope.

00:10:38.300 Now,

00:10:39.360 I do not give you

00:10:41.160 investment advice.

00:10:42.620 If you take my

00:10:43.360 investment advice, 1.00

00:10:45.380 you're a fool 1.00

00:10:46.100 because I do not have, 1.00

00:10:48.080 I don't have a track record

00:10:49.860 that suggests you should

00:10:50.760 take my investment advice.

00:10:52.300 Musk is making it 0.99

00:10:57.560 very difficult

00:10:58.260 to not own

00:10:59.120 Tesla stock.

00:11:00.740 Am I right?

00:11:02.120 Because the downside

00:11:02.940 of Tesla

00:11:03.620 is that it just

00:11:05.780 becomes an average

00:11:06.860 car company.

00:11:08.640 I don't think you're

00:11:09.700 going to lose

00:11:10.000 all of your money.

00:11:12.020 I mean,

00:11:12.500 you could.

00:11:13.000 Anything's possible.

00:11:14.260 But the downside

00:11:15.200 is it continues

00:11:16.140 to be a solid

00:11:17.300 car company

00:11:18.700 that's leading

00:11:19.400 the pack

00:11:19.980 in its domain.

00:11:21.960 The upside

00:11:22.880 is it's bigger

00:11:24.060 than Apple

00:11:24.620 and Aramco

00:11:25.320 combined.

00:11:27.240 Now,

00:11:28.320 do you know

00:11:28.660 what an expected

00:11:29.360 value is

00:11:30.080 in the calculation?

00:11:31.780 An expected value

00:11:32.820 is you multiply

00:11:33.760 the odds

00:11:34.380 of one thing

00:11:34.960 happening

00:11:35.400 times whatever

00:11:36.700 the dollar

00:11:37.160 outcome would be

00:11:37.960 and then the odds

00:11:39.620 of the other

00:11:40.040 thing happening,

00:11:40.920 the other possibility,

00:11:42.200 times the dollar

00:11:42.880 outcome.

00:11:43.240 So the odds

00:11:45.640 of Tesla

00:11:46.380 just remaining

00:11:47.020 a non-robot

00:11:48.040 company

00:11:48.480 is pretty good.

00:11:50.640 You know,

00:11:50.800 maybe there's

00:11:52.400 a 20% chance

00:11:53.420 it will just

00:11:53.820 be a car company.

00:11:55.720 In which case,

00:11:56.960 it's not a bad

00:11:58.200 investment.

00:11:59.380 Some people say

00:12:00.140 it's overpriced.

00:12:01.400 Some people say

00:12:02.120 it has more to run.

00:12:03.380 But that's normal.

00:12:04.820 Right?

00:12:05.160 So that would just

00:12:05.620 be sort of a normal

00:12:06.520 investment.

00:12:07.200 And honestly,

00:12:08.220 let me be as clear

00:12:09.100 as possible.

00:12:10.320 I can't tell you

00:12:11.320 that that would be

00:12:11.860 a good investment.

00:12:13.240 It would just

00:12:14.100 be a normal one.

00:12:15.840 Right?

00:12:16.000 It would be in the

00:12:16.560 normal domain

00:12:17.320 of the investment.

00:12:18.480 Now,

00:12:20.220 what about the

00:12:20.960 upside of being

00:12:22.400 twice as big

00:12:23.440 as the biggest

00:12:23.940 company we know

00:12:25.320 of?

00:12:27.340 What were the

00:12:28.640 odds you put on

00:12:29.360 that?

00:12:29.820 Well,

00:12:30.000 let's see.

00:12:30.960 Put an odds

00:12:31.800 on it.

00:12:32.780 Give me a

00:12:33.640 percentage chance

00:12:34.600 that Musk is

00:12:36.100 right and his

00:12:37.120 robot business

00:12:38.000 will be bigger

00:12:38.600 than everything.

00:12:40.580 I'm seeing

00:12:41.420 25,

00:12:42.620 15,

00:12:43.240 45,

00:12:44.040 60.

00:12:44.540 All right.

00:12:45.720 So here's

00:12:46.140 what you do.

00:12:47.240 If you say

00:12:48.020 there's a 25%

00:12:49.380 chance he's

00:12:50.000 right,

00:12:50.900 and that's

00:12:51.400 a trillion

00:12:51.880 dollars,

00:12:53.160 you multiply

00:12:53.720 the 25% 0.98

00:12:54.800 times the

00:12:55.380 trillion,

00:12:56.280 you get

00:12:56.640 250 billion,

00:12:58.540 and that's

00:12:59.280 the expected

00:13:00.160 extra that

00:13:01.240 Tesla could

00:13:01.820 go up.

00:13:05.100 It's kind

00:13:05.800 of a no-brainer.

00:13:06.540 All right.

00:13:10.120 I hate to

00:13:10.520 say this

00:13:10.900 because it

00:13:11.240 does sound

00:13:11.640 like investment

00:13:12.280 advice.

00:13:13.340 How can I

00:13:13.800 withdraw the

00:13:14.420 investment

00:13:14.840 advice and

00:13:15.520 keep the

00:13:15.900 math?

00:13:17.520 Here's what

00:13:17.880 I'm trying

00:13:18.200 to do.

00:13:18.720 I'm trying

00:13:19.040 to make a

00:13:19.460 distinction

00:13:19.880 between investment

00:13:21.420 advice, which

00:13:22.640 depends on

00:13:23.240 everything from

00:13:23.960 the quality of

00:13:25.000 the management

00:13:26.040 to the market

00:13:26.960 to the

00:13:27.400 competition,

00:13:28.060 everything.

00:13:28.180 that I'm

00:13:28.720 not making

00:13:29.180 a recommendation

00:13:29.860 on investing.

00:13:33.020 This is not

00:13:33.980 investment

00:13:34.460 advice.

00:13:35.480 This is

00:13:35.940 math.

00:13:36.620 It's a

00:13:36.920 math lesson.

00:13:38.340 The math

00:13:38.880 lesson is

00:13:39.400 this.

00:13:40.280 If you've

00:13:40.680 got an

00:13:40.960 investment

00:13:41.320 that probably

00:13:42.260 a lot of

00:13:42.980 smart people

00:13:43.460 think is

00:13:43.880 worth about

00:13:44.460 what it's

00:13:45.480 valued at

00:13:46.160 and is

00:13:46.840 likely

00:13:47.160 continue,

00:13:48.220 but it

00:13:48.720 also has

00:13:49.260 this upside

00:13:50.040 ticker

00:13:50.620 that has

00:13:51.320 a 25%

00:13:52.240 chance of

00:13:52.860 being worth

00:13:53.460 trillions,

00:13:56.620 multiple

00:13:57.240 trillions,

00:13:58.180 that's

00:14:00.140 called a

00:14:00.840 no-brainer.

00:14:03.220 That's

00:14:03.820 called a

00:14:04.180 no-brainer.

00:14:05.900 In theory,

00:14:08.000 it's the

00:14:08.440 smartest

00:14:08.740 investment

00:14:09.360 in the

00:14:09.800 stock market.

00:14:11.960 But I

00:14:12.700 don't give

00:14:13.100 you investment

00:14:13.660 advice.

00:14:15.140 That's not

00:14:16.100 investment

00:14:16.560 advice.

00:14:17.740 Because the

00:14:18.680 number of

00:14:19.320 unknowns is

00:14:19.960 so tremendous.

00:14:21.040 For one

00:14:21.440 thing, you

00:14:21.780 don't know

00:14:22.100 if the

00:14:22.360 robots will

00:14:22.880 be worth

00:14:23.220 anything.

00:14:24.260 They

00:14:24.460 could be

00:14:24.720 worth a

00:14:25.040 zero.

00:14:26.100 The other

00:14:26.600 thing is

00:14:26.900 you don't

00:14:27.120 know if

00:14:27.380 Musk is 0.98

00:14:27.900 taken

00:14:28.200 down by

00:14:28.760 the

00:14:28.900 government.

00:14:30.320 Maybe

00:14:30.680 he has a

00:14:31.200 medical

00:14:31.580 problem.

00:14:32.840 If Musk

00:14:33.340 has a

00:14:34.220 medical

00:14:34.500 problem,

00:14:36.260 the value

00:14:37.220 of his

00:14:37.500 business is

00:14:38.120 going to

00:14:38.660 go down

00:14:39.140 25%

00:14:39.900 that day.

00:14:42.340 So there's

00:14:43.360 a lot of

00:14:43.840 risks and

00:14:44.520 I do not

00:14:44.980 recommend any

00:14:45.660 specific

00:14:46.120 stocks.

00:14:47.180 But there

00:14:48.200 are very few

00:14:48.920 times in the

00:14:49.600 history of

00:14:50.180 humankind

00:14:50.700 that there

00:14:52.000 will be

00:14:52.240 something that

00:14:52.780 looks so

00:14:53.320 obvious as

00:14:54.080 this.

00:14:55.040 This is

00:14:55.680 the most

00:14:56.260 obvious

00:14:56.760 investment

00:14:57.320 of it.

00:14:58.960 There's

00:14:59.240 only one

00:14:59.600 that I've

00:14:59.900 seen that's

00:15:00.220 more obvious.

00:15:02.180 And I've

00:15:02.500 told you

00:15:02.780 the mistake

00:15:03.580 I made

00:15:03.940 before.

00:15:05.060 You remember

00:15:05.400 was it

00:15:05.900 2008 and

00:15:07.140 2009,

00:15:08.160 the stock

00:15:08.800 market tanked

00:15:09.880 terribly?

00:15:11.140 Help me

00:15:11.860 with my

00:15:12.240 memory.

00:15:13.020 I've got

00:15:13.620 that right.

00:15:14.700 2008 and

00:15:15.380 2009,

00:15:16.240 the stock

00:15:16.680 market just

00:15:17.240 went right

00:15:17.600 in the

00:15:17.820 toilet.

00:15:18.060 Now when

00:15:19.880 the entire

00:15:20.400 stock market

00:15:21.120 went down,

00:15:22.640 I said to

00:15:23.820 myself,

00:15:24.880 this looks

00:15:25.960 like a

00:15:26.320 once-ever

00:15:27.180 opportunity

00:15:28.100 to sell

00:15:31.260 every stock

00:15:31.940 I own and

00:15:33.060 put every

00:15:33.560 dollar I

00:15:34.060 have into

00:15:34.540 Wells Fargo

00:15:35.300 stock.

00:15:36.400 Do you

00:15:36.580 know why?

00:15:38.140 Because I

00:15:38.560 rightly reasoned,

00:15:39.540 it turned out

00:15:40.040 rightly, but I

00:15:40.680 didn't act on

00:15:41.300 it, that if

00:15:42.920 things were as

00:15:43.580 bad as they

00:15:44.140 looked, it

00:15:44.700 didn't matter

00:15:45.100 where your

00:15:45.560 stock was,

00:15:46.240 everything was

00:15:46.880 going to be

00:15:47.240 gone.

00:15:48.060 Because we

00:15:48.520 were talking

00:15:48.900 about the

00:15:49.240 end of

00:15:49.820 America.

00:15:51.120 That was

00:15:51.600 actually the

00:15:52.080 conversation.

00:15:53.540 Now I

00:15:53.800 didn't believe

00:15:54.200 it was the

00:15:54.460 end of

00:15:54.720 America, but

00:15:55.220 that was the

00:15:55.560 conversation.

00:15:56.620 Like the

00:15:57.000 entire thing

00:15:57.520 is going to

00:15:57.820 fall apart.

00:15:59.040 If the

00:15:59.380 entire thing

00:15:59.980 falls apart,

00:16:00.740 it doesn't

00:16:01.080 matter where

00:16:01.580 you're

00:16:01.840 investing.

00:16:02.640 You

00:16:02.760 understand

00:16:03.160 that,

00:16:03.580 right?

00:16:04.540 Everything's

00:16:05.020 gone.

00:16:06.240 It doesn't

00:16:06.700 matter where

00:16:07.040 your money

00:16:07.360 is.

00:16:08.180 But if

00:16:09.660 it comes

00:16:10.160 back, if

00:16:11.680 it comes

00:16:12.120 back, it's

00:16:13.500 going to be

00:16:13.840 because the

00:16:14.220 banks didn't

00:16:15.280 fail.

00:16:15.620 If the

00:16:17.840 banks don't

00:16:18.440 fail, the

00:16:19.120 biggest bank,

00:16:20.800 the strongest

00:16:21.540 one, is

00:16:22.100 almost guaranteed

00:16:23.080 to quadruple.

00:16:25.680 Almost

00:16:26.120 guaranteed.

00:16:27.400 So it's the

00:16:28.100 only situation

00:16:29.060 I've ever

00:16:29.500 seen where

00:16:30.900 what you

00:16:31.360 should do

00:16:31.740 with your

00:16:32.060 money was

00:16:33.180 right in

00:16:33.560 front of

00:16:33.920 you and

00:16:34.700 the most

00:16:35.060 obvious thing

00:16:35.860 and it

00:16:37.240 just was the

00:16:38.500 simplest investment

00:16:39.420 in the world.

00:16:39.900 I should

00:16:40.860 have taken

00:16:41.240 every penny

00:16:41.900 I had and

00:16:43.140 moved it

00:16:43.580 into one

00:16:44.140 or two

00:16:44.420 big banks.

00:16:45.840 Had I

00:16:46.480 done that,

00:16:47.760 I would

00:16:48.060 have doubled

00:16:48.400 my net

00:16:48.860 worth.

00:16:50.200 I would

00:16:50.780 have doubled

00:16:51.140 it.

00:16:52.100 I didn't

00:16:52.460 do it.

00:16:54.080 Now, when

00:16:55.580 I saw the

00:16:56.640 Tesla estimate

00:16:58.100 of how much

00:16:58.840 the robots

00:16:59.540 can make

00:17:00.280 the value,

00:17:01.320 this is one

00:17:02.000 of those.

00:17:03.440 This is very

00:17:04.280 much one of

00:17:04.800 those.

00:17:05.360 You don't

00:17:05.880 see these

00:17:06.680 things, but

00:17:07.920 once every

00:17:08.680 10, 20

00:17:09.900 years.

00:17:11.060 You rarely

00:17:11.900 see a case

00:17:12.580 where the

00:17:12.940 downside is

00:17:14.280 close to

00:17:14.920 nothing.

00:17:16.860 What are the

00:17:17.500 odds that

00:17:17.860 Tesla, as

00:17:18.900 a car

00:17:19.320 company, will

00:17:20.720 just become

00:17:21.300 worthless?

00:17:23.120 Anything's

00:17:23.600 possible.

00:17:24.820 Things can

00:17:25.480 change quickly.

00:17:26.280 That's why I

00:17:26.720 don't give you

00:17:27.120 advice.

00:17:28.860 I've never

00:17:29.520 seen one

00:17:29.920 this clear.

00:17:32.260 So, anyway,

00:17:33.300 do what you

00:17:33.820 will, but

00:17:34.200 it's not

00:17:34.840 advice.

00:17:36.680 Scott

00:17:37.560 McNeely

00:17:38.200 posted this

00:17:39.900 today.

00:17:40.280 He said,

00:17:41.300 if you

00:17:41.540 can't keep

00:17:42.020 your property

00:17:42.640 unless you

00:17:44.500 pay taxes,

00:17:46.360 do you

00:17:46.740 really own

00:17:47.160 it?

00:17:48.340 You don't

00:17:48.940 own your

00:17:49.280 car, your

00:17:49.720 job, your

00:17:50.200 earnings, your

00:17:50.680 investment, your

00:17:51.240 inheritance, because

00:17:52.100 you have to pay

00:17:52.720 off the

00:17:53.020 government at

00:17:54.160 every step, or

00:17:54.920 you lose it.

00:17:57.360 Huh.

00:17:58.580 I don't

00:17:59.120 really own my

00:17:59.720 house, because

00:18:00.480 if I don't

00:18:00.880 pay the

00:18:01.200 government, I

00:18:01.720 can't live

00:18:02.140 in it.

00:18:02.880 I don't

00:18:03.380 really own

00:18:03.740 my car, because

00:18:04.980 if I don't

00:18:06.200 pay property

00:18:06.880 taxes, they'll 0.90

00:18:07.700 take it

00:18:08.380 away.

00:18:11.520 Don't

00:18:12.000 own my

00:18:12.380 job, because

00:18:13.660 my employer

00:18:14.380 can fire me

00:18:15.080 any time

00:18:15.480 he wants.

00:18:18.300 Don't

00:18:18.780 own my

00:18:19.220 stuff, because

00:18:20.740 they could

00:18:21.020 always Derek

00:18:21.660 Chauvin me and

00:18:22.400 put me in

00:18:22.880 jail for 1.00

00:18:23.240 bullshit and 1.00

00:18:23.860 take all 1.00

00:18:24.180 my shit. 0.99

00:18:27.180 So, are 1.00

00:18:28.220 any of you

00:18:28.580 happy?

00:18:29.680 Because Klaus

00:18:30.580 Schwab said

00:18:31.220 that someday

00:18:31.660 you'll own

00:18:32.180 nothing, but

00:18:32.820 you'll be

00:18:33.160 happy.

00:18:33.480 is anybody

00:18:35.820 happy today?

00:18:38.380 I'm pretty

00:18:39.000 happy today, and

00:18:39.680 I don't own

00:18:40.140 anything, apparently.

00:18:42.080 So, it

00:18:42.620 turns out, Klaus

00:18:43.380 Schwab, against

00:18:45.080 all odds, is

00:18:47.320 the most right

00:18:48.180 person in the

00:18:49.540 world.

00:18:50.500 We don't own

00:18:51.420 anything, and a

00:18:52.780 lot of you are

00:18:53.260 happy.

00:18:55.380 Nailed it.

00:18:56.980 You didn't see

00:18:57.560 that coming,

00:18:58.120 did you?

00:19:00.080 Are any

00:19:00.920 heads exploding?

00:19:01.660 you already

00:19:03.140 don't own

00:19:04.600 anything, and

00:19:06.560 it's been a

00:19:06.940 long time since

00:19:07.640 you did, if

00:19:08.720 you ever did.

00:19:09.920 You don't own

00:19:10.840 anything.

00:19:13.140 Scott McNeely

00:19:14.060 is 100%

00:19:15.040 right.

00:19:16.020 Why did it

00:19:16.560 take me, until

00:19:17.400 today, to

00:19:18.680 realize that

00:19:19.240 Klaus Schwab

00:19:19.920 was right, and

00:19:20.920 it wasn't a

00:19:21.400 prediction, that

00:19:22.540 we already

00:19:23.220 don't own

00:19:23.740 anything?

00:19:26.200 Hmm.

00:19:27.660 All right.

00:19:28.060 What do you

00:19:30.600 think of this

00:19:31.040 story that

00:19:31.540 Rasmussen

00:19:32.020 reports, talks

00:19:33.460 about nearly

00:19:33.980 every day, that

00:19:35.320 there are

00:19:35.820 unfolded, allegedly,

00:19:38.200 according to the

00:19:38.940 Rasmussen folks

00:19:39.840 and news reports,

00:19:41.720 there are

00:19:41.940 unfolded, pristine

00:19:42.980 mail ballots with

00:19:43.840 perfectly filled-in

00:19:44.940 ovals, now this

00:19:46.340 is based on

00:19:47.060 witnesses, we

00:19:48.120 don't know that

00:19:48.620 it's true, but

00:19:49.380 witnesses have

00:19:50.060 claimed this, more

00:19:51.100 than one, for the

00:19:52.740 2020 election.

00:19:54.280 Now, why is that a

00:19:54.860 huge problem for

00:19:55.600 2024, as

00:19:56.600 Rasmussen says?

00:19:58.160 Well, here's the

00:19:59.840 fun part, you

00:20:00.720 ready for this?

00:20:02.260 Now, we don't

00:20:03.160 know that this

00:20:03.800 claim could be

00:20:04.840 confirmed.

00:20:06.100 You know, the

00:20:06.360 claim is that

00:20:07.240 these ballots are

00:20:08.080 in a locked

00:20:08.640 room.

00:20:09.660 I would think

00:20:10.660 that if they

00:20:11.600 ever existed in

00:20:12.620 a locked room,

00:20:13.700 there's no way

00:20:14.600 they're in there

00:20:15.000 now.

00:20:16.740 Are you kidding?

00:20:18.560 Does anybody

00:20:19.340 think we've been

00:20:20.000 talking about a

00:20:20.640 locked room full

00:20:21.480 of proof that

00:20:22.200 the election was

00:20:23.380 rigged, and

00:20:24.160 that nobody's

00:20:24.720 emptied that

00:20:25.220 room?

00:20:25.460 I don't

00:20:27.580 think there's

00:20:27.980 any chance

00:20:28.780 there exists a

00:20:30.680 locked room with

00:20:32.160 a bunch of

00:20:32.600 fake ballots in

00:20:33.380 it.

00:20:35.620 Because anybody

00:20:36.500 who would put

00:20:37.240 that many fake

00:20:38.500 ballots, like

00:20:39.320 hypothetically,

00:20:40.840 they would be

00:20:41.380 smart enough to 1.00

00:20:42.000 get the fuck 1.00

00:20:42.600 those ballots out 1.00

00:20:43.600 of that room,

00:20:44.620 because everybody's

00:20:45.600 looking at the

00:20:46.120 room.

00:20:46.740 What, do you

00:20:47.180 think it has

00:20:47.580 cameras on it

00:20:48.320 all day?

00:20:48.620 If it does,

00:20:51.360 and maybe it

00:20:51.800 does, maybe it

00:20:52.440 has some

00:20:52.720 security cameras,

00:20:53.900 you don't think

00:20:54.400 those security

00:20:55.080 cameras have

00:20:55.740 already been

00:20:56.180 Epstein?

00:20:57.440 You know what

00:20:57.880 I mean?

00:20:59.440 Yeah.

00:21:01.500 So, here's the

00:21:03.080 first thing.

00:21:04.060 I don't think

00:21:04.640 there's any

00:21:05.140 chance that

00:21:06.680 years after the

00:21:07.820 election, you're

00:21:09.320 going to open a

00:21:09.900 room and find

00:21:10.520 some perfect

00:21:11.360 ballots.

00:21:12.880 I don't say

00:21:13.960 it's impossible

00:21:14.640 that they were

00:21:15.400 ever there.

00:21:16.600 That part, I

00:21:17.140 don't know.

00:21:17.460 But are they

00:21:19.360 still there?

00:21:20.720 Come on.

00:21:21.780 What are the

00:21:22.140 odds of that?

00:21:23.480 However, let's

00:21:24.800 play along.

00:21:26.740 Let's play along

00:21:27.880 and imagine that

00:21:28.620 they could be

00:21:29.280 found.

00:21:31.020 Here's the fun

00:21:32.000 part, according

00:21:33.320 to Rasmussen

00:21:34.220 reports.

00:21:35.480 They're an

00:21:36.160 indicator of a

00:21:37.180 multi-state

00:21:38.120 counterfeiting

00:21:39.300 operation,

00:21:40.620 something that

00:21:41.180 requires a

00:21:42.060 specialty ballot

00:21:43.140 software to do

00:21:44.440 because of

00:21:45.720 precinct voting.

00:21:47.460 Now, this

00:21:49.960 claim, I would

00:21:50.660 say, is

00:21:51.120 short of

00:21:51.840 confirmed by

00:21:53.860 evidence.

00:21:55.240 But there

00:21:56.200 is the

00:21:57.960 suggestion

00:21:58.540 forming that

00:22:00.860 if, in fact,

00:22:01.620 there is more

00:22:02.300 than one room

00:22:03.240 that has some

00:22:04.940 of these

00:22:05.320 perfectly printed

00:22:06.520 ballots, it

00:22:07.860 could be because

00:22:08.620 there's some

00:22:09.200 equipment somewhere

00:22:11.040 that is

00:22:12.340 sophisticated enough

00:22:13.400 to make fake

00:22:14.440 ballots for more

00:22:15.540 than one

00:22:16.020 precinct.

00:22:17.820 Because doing

00:22:18.260 it for one

00:22:18.740 precinct would

00:22:19.420 be work.

00:22:20.820 Doing it for

00:22:21.360 multiple precincts

00:22:22.340 would almost

00:22:22.820 certainly take

00:22:23.520 specialized equipment.

00:22:26.420 Would this

00:22:27.280 specialized equipment

00:22:28.380 be located?

00:22:31.580 What would be

00:22:32.660 more fun than

00:22:34.280 finding there's a

00:22:35.080 warehouse full of

00:22:36.360 illegal ballot

00:22:37.860 printing equipment?

00:22:38.960 What would be

00:22:41.540 more fun than

00:22:42.060 that?

00:22:47.040 I saw in the

00:22:48.020 comments, I may

00:22:49.520 have found my

00:22:50.260 Dilbert calendar

00:22:51.840 printer.

00:22:53.940 Yeah, it's

00:22:54.380 probably in a

00:22:54.840 warehouse somewhere

00:22:55.520 behind a locked

00:22:56.840 door.

00:22:57.120 If you had to

00:23:02.180 bet on the

00:23:04.620 outcome of

00:23:05.300 these pristine

00:23:06.380 ballots, I

00:23:07.380 would bet that

00:23:09.080 no matter what

00:23:09.680 the truth is,

00:23:10.880 that none are

00:23:11.360 found.

00:23:12.620 Anybody want to

00:23:13.240 take the other

00:23:13.700 side of that

00:23:14.120 bet?

00:23:15.180 I say no

00:23:16.020 pristine ballots

00:23:17.120 will ever be

00:23:17.840 found behind

00:23:18.660 any locked

00:23:19.280 door.

00:23:20.040 Either because

00:23:20.720 they never

00:23:21.200 open the

00:23:21.640 door, or

00:23:22.860 because they

00:23:23.320 open it and

00:23:23.960 surprise, there's

00:23:24.880 nothing in

00:23:25.300 there.

00:23:25.480 I don't

00:23:27.520 see any

00:23:27.900 way that

00:23:28.180 can happen.

00:23:29.700 Well, the

00:23:30.100 swatting

00:23:30.540 continues.

00:23:31.420 Jack

00:23:31.600 Posobiec says

00:23:32.860 that senators,

00:23:33.760 members of

00:23:34.140 Congress,

00:23:34.640 conservative

00:23:34.920 professors, and

00:23:36.220 conservative

00:23:36.640 commentators and

00:23:37.360 their families

00:23:37.760 all hit by a

00:23:38.460 nationwide swatting

00:23:39.480 ring over the

00:23:40.980 Christmas break.

00:23:42.680 And Jack

00:23:43.640 points out that

00:23:44.260 the FBI has

00:23:44.900 now said a

00:23:45.380 word.

00:23:46.600 Well, even

00:23:47.680 Jonathan

00:23:49.240 Turley got

00:23:50.160 swatted.

00:23:51.840 Marjorie

00:23:52.400 Taylor Greene

00:23:53.220 got swatted.

00:23:54.280 Apparently some

00:23:54.960 others that

00:23:55.420 we don't

00:23:55.680 know about.

00:23:57.180 Now, wouldn't

00:23:58.200 you predict

00:23:58.780 I'll get

00:23:59.140 swatted?

00:24:01.240 Seems obvious,

00:24:02.240 doesn't it?

00:24:03.780 Who should I

00:24:04.380 call to

00:24:06.700 make sure that

00:24:08.620 they check

00:24:09.180 before they

00:24:09.800 run into my

00:24:10.700 house with

00:24:11.100 guns?

00:24:12.000 Should I

00:24:12.360 call my

00:24:12.740 local police

00:24:13.500 and tell

00:24:14.760 them that

00:24:15.180 there's a

00:24:15.480 high likelihood

00:24:16.080 I'll get

00:24:16.580 swatted?

00:24:20.040 But what

00:24:20.680 happens if I

00:24:21.420 have an

00:24:21.720 actual break-in?

00:24:25.420 are they

00:24:27.000 going to ask

00:24:27.440 me if it's

00:24:27.900 real?

00:24:29.620 Here's what

00:24:30.280 they should

00:24:30.660 do.

00:24:33.020 Here's the

00:24:33.700 instructions I

00:24:34.440 should give

00:24:34.780 them.

00:24:35.300 If I get

00:24:36.220 swatted,

00:24:38.680 they should

00:24:39.520 call me and

00:24:40.420 ask me to

00:24:40.980 turn on my

00:24:41.780 video on my

00:24:42.600 phone and

00:24:44.100 to walk

00:24:44.500 around my

00:24:44.980 own house

00:24:45.540 and walk

00:24:46.460 out into

00:24:46.900 the driveway.

00:24:47.340 If I

00:24:49.200 can do a

00:24:50.260 360 video

00:24:51.460 and then

00:24:52.500 also while

00:24:53.560 it's live,

00:24:54.300 walk into

00:24:54.760 my driveway

00:24:55.400 with nobody

00:24:56.300 stopping me,

00:24:57.640 the safe

00:24:58.180 word I

00:24:58.520 think wouldn't

00:24:58.920 work.

00:25:00.040 The safe

00:25:00.600 word, the

00:25:02.260 bad guys

00:25:02.840 can figure

00:25:03.280 out your

00:25:03.600 safe word.

00:25:04.120 That feels

00:25:05.380 like a

00:25:05.640 failure.

00:25:06.400 But if

00:25:06.660 they can

00:25:06.900 put me on

00:25:07.380 FaceTime

00:25:07.960 and I

00:25:08.780 can walk

00:25:09.200 right out

00:25:09.540 my door

00:25:09.960 onto the

00:25:10.440 sidewalk in

00:25:11.100 the street

00:25:11.580 and I say,

00:25:14.240 don't worry,

00:25:14.960 look, I'm

00:25:16.240 on the street

00:25:16.840 already, I

00:25:18.340 feel like

00:25:18.660 that would

00:25:19.120 keep them

00:25:19.760 from deploying.

00:25:22.060 I'll probably

00:25:22.480 do that today

00:25:23.140 or sometime

00:25:24.240 next week.

00:25:25.840 All right,

00:25:26.380 and I remind

00:25:27.380 you that

00:25:27.820 getting swatted

00:25:28.560 is a murder

00:25:29.260 attempt.

00:25:30.580 Do you all

00:25:30.960 agree on

00:25:31.360 that?

00:25:32.000 It's not a

00:25:32.560 prank, it's

00:25:34.000 a murder

00:25:34.360 attempt.

00:25:35.680 It's definitely

00:25:36.440 a murder

00:25:36.820 attempt.

00:25:37.820 So let's

00:25:38.740 not treat

00:25:39.640 this like a

00:25:40.180 prank.

00:25:41.540 If I get

00:25:42.360 swatted, I'm

00:25:44.220 going to treat

00:25:44.640 it as a

00:25:45.100 murder attempt.

00:25:46.840 That will 0.89

00:25:47.880 be my

00:25:48.280 attitude.

00:25:53.680 Let's see

00:25:54.460 what else

00:25:54.820 is happening

00:25:55.200 here.

00:25:57.100 Seth

00:25:57.520 McFarlane

00:25:58.140 was on

00:25:58.600 Bill Maher's

00:25:59.480 show,

00:26:01.920 Club Random,

00:26:04.340 and they

00:26:05.340 got into a

00:26:05.880 little back

00:26:06.320 and forth

00:26:06.680 on vaccinations.

00:26:08.140 Seth

00:26:08.440 McFarlane

00:26:09.860 is on the

00:26:12.140 page of

00:26:13.040 vaccinations

00:26:13.540 were a

00:26:14.000 gigantic

00:26:14.300 success to

00:26:15.080 save millions

00:26:15.580 of people

00:26:16.060 and there's

00:26:16.940 no evidence

00:26:17.500 of children

00:26:18.540 dying at a

00:26:19.380 high rate

00:26:19.780 or anybody

00:26:20.200 else.

00:26:22.700 Bill Maher

00:26:23.620 thought that

00:26:25.120 the vaccinations

00:26:26.300 may have

00:26:26.820 helped some

00:26:27.820 people,

00:26:28.820 you know,

00:26:29.000 the older

00:26:29.340 people with

00:26:29.880 comorbidities

00:26:30.720 and obesity,

00:26:32.240 etc., but

00:26:32.860 thinks that

00:26:33.920 the mandatory

00:26:34.560 part of it

00:26:35.360 was bad

00:26:37.300 and that

00:26:37.780 maybe there

00:26:38.260 were more

00:26:38.580 harm than

00:26:39.160 the government

00:26:39.620 tells us.

00:26:40.160 now, I

00:26:42.480 don't have

00:26:42.980 any interest

00:26:43.620 whatsoever in

00:26:44.880 talking about

00:26:45.500 this topic

00:26:46.080 anymore.

00:26:47.420 I think

00:26:48.000 you're all

00:26:48.240 on the

00:26:48.400 same page,

00:26:48.900 right?

00:26:49.560 Here's what's

00:26:50.200 interesting.

00:26:51.640 We have

00:26:52.420 formed two

00:26:53.160 worlds in

00:26:54.800 which these

00:26:55.300 two well-informed

00:26:56.780 public figures

00:26:58.600 are living in

00:26:59.900 completely different

00:27:00.640 worlds.

00:27:01.040 I mean,

00:27:03.720 to imagine

00:27:04.240 that the

00:27:04.820 vaccinations

00:27:05.460 were a huge

00:27:06.180 success,

00:27:07.100 there was no

00:27:08.120 special problems

00:27:09.100 with the

00:27:09.480 vaccinations

00:27:09.960 themselves,

00:27:11.040 except,

00:27:11.560 you know,

00:27:11.740 normal amount

00:27:12.440 of rare

00:27:13.180 side effects,

00:27:14.320 and that it

00:27:15.300 was a big

00:27:15.660 success and

00:27:16.380 we sure

00:27:16.840 better do

00:27:17.300 it if we

00:27:17.940 have another

00:27:18.320 pandemic.

00:27:20.000 And there

00:27:20.160 was nothing,

00:27:21.920 actually,

00:27:22.740 McFarlane

00:27:23.460 said that

00:27:25.120 the COVID

00:27:26.380 vaccination

00:27:28.920 was the

00:27:29.920 most tested

00:27:30.880 vaccine in

00:27:32.880 all of

00:27:33.300 human history

00:27:34.000 by the

00:27:34.820 time he

00:27:35.220 took it,

00:27:36.240 because he

00:27:36.560 didn't do

00:27:36.900 it in the

00:27:37.240 first months,

00:27:37.920 same as I

00:27:38.360 didn't.

00:27:39.560 What do you

00:27:39.880 think of

00:27:40.060 that?

00:27:40.640 It was the

00:27:41.100 most tested

00:27:41.900 vaccine in

00:27:42.860 human history

00:27:43.540 by the time

00:27:44.720 he took it,

00:27:45.320 you know,

00:27:45.520 maybe six

00:27:46.100 months in

00:27:46.540 or something.

00:27:49.920 No,

00:27:51.160 because the

00:27:51.600 long-term

00:27:52.100 effects are,

00:27:53.620 of course,

00:27:53.840 important.

00:27:54.860 And number

00:27:55.160 two,

00:27:55.860 we think that

00:27:56.620 the data was

00:27:57.320 all fake,

00:27:58.500 or at least

00:27:59.260 the data was

00:27:59.800 unreliable.

00:28:00.880 If you

00:28:01.740 have

00:28:01.880 unreliable

00:28:02.460 data,

00:28:03.320 and it's

00:28:03.620 only been

00:28:03.960 six months,

00:28:05.760 that's closer

00:28:06.660 to the

00:28:07.160 opposite of

00:28:07.880 testing.

00:28:09.400 But I'm

00:28:10.780 living in

00:28:11.220 my bubble,

00:28:12.020 my own

00:28:12.460 little world

00:28:13.000 where all

00:28:13.500 that makes

00:28:13.900 sense.

00:28:14.960 The interesting

00:28:15.740 thing is that

00:28:16.580 they're functioning,

00:28:18.140 smart,

00:28:18.640 well-informed

00:28:19.240 adults who

00:28:20.660 live in

00:28:21.080 completely

00:28:21.500 different

00:28:21.880 worlds.

00:28:24.340 Doesn't that

00:28:25.020 blow you 0.69

00:28:25.440 away?

00:28:26.620 And that

00:28:27.340 can never

00:28:27.860 be settled.

00:28:28.500 You could

00:28:29.280 put them

00:28:29.680 sitting in

00:28:30.120 those chairs

00:28:30.600 all day

00:28:31.080 long.

00:28:31.720 You could

00:28:32.300 surround

00:28:32.700 them with

00:28:33.220 a team

00:28:33.620 of experts,

00:28:34.480 fact-checking.

00:28:35.760 Nothing

00:28:36.020 would change.

00:28:37.160 They would

00:28:37.480 live in

00:28:37.820 two different

00:28:38.300 realities and

00:28:39.220 will go to

00:28:39.720 their graves

00:28:40.440 believing that

00:28:41.580 they were in

00:28:41.980 the right

00:28:42.260 one.

00:28:43.260 To me,

00:28:43.540 that's

00:28:43.740 fascinating.

00:28:44.680 Way more

00:28:45.060 interesting than

00:28:46.420 the question

00:28:46.900 of who is

00:28:47.380 right is the

00:28:49.180 reality that

00:28:50.120 it doesn't

00:28:50.560 matter.

00:28:51.560 They can

00:28:51.920 both live

00:28:52.460 in their

00:28:52.760 bubbles,

00:28:53.480 and there

00:28:54.020 will never

00:28:54.340 be a problem

00:28:54.940 with that.

00:28:56.560 Isn't

00:28:56.780 that weird?

00:28:57.120 This is

00:28:59.420 why I

00:28:59.780 think we

00:29:00.120 live in

00:29:00.420 a simulation.

00:29:02.960 If you

00:29:03.540 were going

00:29:03.780 to program

00:29:04.360 a simulation,

00:29:05.560 it would

00:29:05.860 be way

00:29:06.460 too hard

00:29:07.140 to make

00:29:07.820 everybody

00:29:08.220 see the

00:29:08.700 same facts.

00:29:10.180 It would

00:29:10.760 be easy

00:29:11.360 to tell

00:29:12.400 people that

00:29:12.920 whatever they

00:29:13.460 see is

00:29:13.860 true.

00:29:15.040 Whatever

00:29:15.420 you see,

00:29:16.140 whatever

00:29:16.340 you're

00:29:16.580 imagining,

00:29:17.080 just treat

00:29:18.040 it like

00:29:18.300 it's

00:29:18.460 true,

00:29:19.320 and just

00:29:19.680 go on

00:29:20.140 as if

00:29:20.440 that's

00:29:20.680 true.

00:29:21.860 That's

00:29:22.320 an easy

00:29:22.680 way to

00:29:23.020 program

00:29:23.480 an AI

00:29:24.740 such as

00:29:25.840 ourselves.

00:29:27.120 Do you

00:29:28.880 think it's

00:29:29.220 a coincidence

00:29:29.780 that people

00:29:31.460 can't agree

00:29:32.300 what's even

00:29:32.840 real as

00:29:33.800 they're sitting

00:29:34.220 in the room

00:29:34.640 together?

00:29:35.640 That's not a

00:29:36.440 coincidence,

00:29:37.420 or it could

00:29:38.060 be, but it

00:29:38.960 doesn't look

00:29:39.520 like a

00:29:39.960 coincidence.

00:29:41.300 It doesn't

00:29:41.860 look like

00:29:42.600 evolution would

00:29:44.680 have created

00:29:45.280 that situation.

00:29:48.500 It would be

00:29:49.160 one thing if

00:29:49.880 we were all

00:29:50.400 uncertain,

00:29:51.400 then that

00:29:51.860 makes sense,

00:29:52.420 but to be

00:29:53.320 certain in a

00:29:54.360 completely

00:29:54.740 different world

00:29:55.600 that has

00:29:56.500 opposite

00:29:57.020 consequences,

00:29:59.320 I feel

00:30:00.820 like that's

00:30:01.360 a pretty

00:30:02.180 strong

00:30:02.560 indication

00:30:03.060 we're in

00:30:03.400 a simulation

00:30:04.000 because you

00:30:04.840 would have

00:30:05.260 to do

00:30:05.560 that to

00:30:06.620 have enough

00:30:07.040 processing

00:30:07.580 power to

00:30:08.300 simulate the

00:30:09.240 universe.

00:30:11.200 All right.

00:30:13.660 James Lindsay

00:30:15.020 pointed this

00:30:15.860 out on a

00:30:17.000 post.

00:30:17.960 He said,

00:30:19.260 people keep

00:30:19.780 saying that,

00:30:20.740 this is people

00:30:21.480 on the right,

00:30:22.500 keep saying

00:30:23.480 that Trump

00:30:23.860 hasn't been

00:30:24.360 convicted of

00:30:25.580 an insurrection.

00:30:28.240 Have you

00:30:28.800 heard people

00:30:29.260 say that as

00:30:30.400 defense against,

00:30:31.880 let's say,

00:30:32.320 the states who

00:30:33.040 are trying to

00:30:33.540 keep him off

00:30:34.000 the ballot

00:30:34.440 because they

00:30:35.700 say he did

00:30:37.180 an insurrection?

00:30:38.240 But you've

00:30:38.660 heard lots of

00:30:39.080 people say

00:30:39.420 that, right?

00:30:40.280 Is that a

00:30:40.720 good argument?

00:30:41.760 Do you think

00:30:42.100 it's a good

00:30:42.540 argument to

00:30:43.160 say Trump

00:30:44.420 has not been

00:30:45.040 convicted of

00:30:46.560 any insurrection,

00:30:48.100 therefore any

00:30:49.080 other government

00:30:49.740 entity should

00:30:51.160 not treat it

00:30:51.840 as a true

00:30:52.520 fact?

00:30:53.480 Is that a

00:30:53.800 good argument?

00:30:55.740 Nope.

00:30:58.260 Do you know

00:30:58.940 what the

00:30:59.160 good argument

00:30:59.620 is?

00:31:00.760 This is going

00:31:01.540 to make you

00:31:01.920 mad.

00:31:03.080 Here's the

00:31:03.460 good argument,

00:31:04.180 as James

00:31:05.180 Lindsay points

00:31:05.840 out.

00:31:06.540 The good

00:31:06.980 argument is

00:31:07.880 he's never

00:31:09.660 been charged

00:31:10.520 with it.

00:31:12.520 He's never

00:31:13.220 been charged

00:31:14.200 with insurrection.

00:31:16.680 That's the

00:31:17.560 argument.

00:31:19.060 Because if the

00:31:19.960 government thought

00:31:20.640 there was evidence

00:31:21.340 of insurrection,

00:31:22.260 he would be

00:31:23.020 charged with it

00:31:23.760 if they thought

00:31:24.940 they could make

00:31:25.380 that case.

00:31:26.640 If the evidence

00:31:27.340 that these

00:31:29.240 crazy people in 0.99

00:31:31.580 the states are

00:31:32.500 saying is obvious

00:31:33.340 and true,

00:31:34.460 if that were

00:31:35.000 true, the

00:31:36.440 government would

00:31:37.260 have done

00:31:37.840 at least charging

00:31:39.820 him.

00:31:40.440 Doesn't mean they 1.00

00:31:41.260 would have been

00:31:41.640 successful,

00:31:42.780 but they would

00:31:43.820 at least charge

00:31:44.780 him.

00:31:44.960 I mean, he

00:31:47.220 got impeached

00:31:47.940 for a phone

00:31:48.560 call.

00:31:49.460 It was a

00:31:49.960 perfect phone

00:31:50.500 call.

00:31:51.540 You tell me

00:31:52.260 they wouldn't

00:31:52.540 even charge

00:31:53.060 him?

00:31:54.400 So stop

00:31:55.300 saying that

00:31:56.520 he's not

00:31:56.940 been convicted.

00:31:58.660 Say he's

00:31:59.120 never even

00:31:59.540 been charged.

00:32:00.960 Your own

00:32:01.480 government believes

00:32:02.300 it's not true

00:32:02.980 or they would

00:32:03.420 have charged

00:32:03.820 you.

00:32:05.120 The people,

00:32:05.720 or here's a

00:32:06.420 better way to

00:32:06.820 do it.

00:32:07.420 The people who

00:32:08.120 have looked

00:32:08.500 into it the

00:32:09.120 most, the

00:32:10.920 Jack Smith

00:32:11.920 types, the

00:32:13.500 people who

00:32:13.900 have looked

00:32:14.180 into it the

00:32:14.720 most have

00:32:16.120 not even

00:32:16.600 charged him.

00:32:18.900 Not even

00:32:19.600 charged him.

00:32:21.540 And you

00:32:21.780 know, you

00:32:22.060 can get an

00:32:22.700 indictment

00:32:23.200 for, fill

00:32:25.460 in the rest

00:32:25.860 of the

00:32:26.080 blank, you

00:32:27.880 can get an

00:32:28.620 indictment

00:32:29.140 for a ham

00:32:30.040 sandwich.

00:32:30.960 That's right.

00:32:31.780 You can get

00:32:32.420 an indictment

00:32:33.240 and charge

00:32:34.640 somebody on

00:32:35.880 the weakest,

00:32:36.940 flimsiest, 1.00

00:32:37.580 bullshit 1.00

00:32:38.140 evidence. 1.00

00:32:40.280 That means

00:32:41.180 that the

00:32:41.920 not only

00:32:42.780 is there

00:32:43.800 not solid

00:32:44.620 irrefutable

00:32:45.420 evidence of

00:32:46.220 an insurrection,

00:32:47.580 there is

00:32:48.000 not even

00:32:48.680 ham sandwich

00:32:50.640 quality 1.00

00:32:51.300 bullshit 0.99

00:32:51.880 suggestion 1.00

00:32:52.720 of anything.

00:32:56.800 It's so

00:32:57.680 far from

00:32:58.220 being true

00:32:58.880 that you

00:32:59.960 can't even

00:33:00.420 get a ham

00:33:01.020 sandwich 1.00

00:33:01.460 fucking 1.00

00:33:01.920 indictment 1.00

00:33:02.480 on it.

00:33:03.380 And you

00:33:03.720 know they

00:33:04.080 would,

00:33:04.880 because I

00:33:05.220 can't believe

00:33:05.640 there would

00:33:05.860 be anything

00:33:06.360 that would

00:33:06.600 be a higher

00:33:07.020 priority

00:33:07.660 for the

00:33:09.120 Democrats

00:33:09.660 than that

00:33:10.940 exact thing.

00:33:12.380 If it

00:33:12.740 were anywhere

00:33:13.420 in the

00:33:13.900 neighborhood

00:33:14.240 if possible,

00:33:15.240 they would

00:33:15.480 have already

00:33:15.820 happened.

00:33:18.080 So good

00:33:18.940 catch by

00:33:19.960 James Lindsay

00:33:20.820 there.

00:33:22.400 All right,

00:33:23.040 there's a

00:33:23.660 new content

00:33:25.260 moderation

00:33:27.100 rule that's

00:33:28.560 going into

00:33:29.020 effect, I

00:33:29.540 guess,

00:33:30.480 for in

00:33:31.360 America for

00:33:32.000 social media.

00:33:32.820 I guess the

00:33:33.200 social media

00:33:33.660 companies have

00:33:34.300 to publicize

00:33:35.800 their social

00:33:36.480 media content

00:33:37.920 moderation

00:33:38.520 policies.

00:33:40.100 They have

00:33:40.700 to publish

00:33:41.220 their content

00:33:41.920 moderation

00:33:42.480 policies.

00:33:43.640 And of

00:33:43.880 all people,

00:33:45.200 Elon Musk

00:33:45.820 is pushing

00:33:46.320 back on

00:33:46.820 that.

00:33:48.700 Doesn't

00:33:48.940 that seem

00:33:49.280 weird?

00:33:50.560 Why would

00:33:51.200 you push

00:33:51.640 back on

00:33:53.080 transparency

00:33:53.940 about what

00:33:55.600 things you

00:33:56.460 moderate?

00:33:59.740 I feel we

00:34:00.900 should know

00:34:01.300 what is

00:34:01.600 moderated.

00:34:03.020 But you

00:34:03.260 know what

00:34:03.440 the problem

00:34:03.820 with that

00:34:04.160 is?

00:34:04.420 I didn't

00:34:06.200 see it at

00:34:06.640 first, but

00:34:07.300 Musk is 0.98

00:34:08.440 right.

00:34:09.380 The problem

00:34:09.920 is that

00:34:10.440 somebody has

00:34:11.000 to define

00:34:11.580 what is

00:34:11.960 inappropriate

00:34:12.380 content.

00:34:14.160 If you

00:34:14.800 can't define

00:34:15.480 what is

00:34:15.880 inappropriate

00:34:16.480 content,

00:34:17.280 in other

00:34:17.520 words, as

00:34:18.140 a public,

00:34:18.640 we can't

00:34:19.020 agree what

00:34:19.540 is wrong

00:34:19.940 and what

00:34:20.240 is right,

00:34:21.580 then how

00:34:22.260 can you

00:34:22.540 have a

00:34:22.840 moderation

00:34:23.260 standard

00:34:23.920 which tries

00:34:25.560 to achieve

00:34:26.140 the closest

00:34:26.760 thing you

00:34:27.240 can to

00:34:27.740 rightness

00:34:28.300 and get

00:34:29.400 rid of the

00:34:29.760 wrongness

00:34:30.320 when we

00:34:31.440 don't know

00:34:31.820 what is

00:34:32.180 right and

00:34:32.820 what is

00:34:33.160 wrong? 1.00

00:34:34.420 Damn it. 1.00

00:34:36.580 I hate 1.00

00:34:37.340 when Elon

00:34:37.840 is right

00:34:38.480 and I

00:34:39.220 didn't see

00:34:39.620 it.

00:34:40.480 He's

00:34:40.680 right.

00:34:41.580 He's

00:34:41.820 right. 1.00

00:34:42.480 Damn it. 1.00

00:34:43.540 He's 1.00

00:34:43.780 right.

00:34:44.540 Yeah.

00:34:45.000 You can't

00:34:45.460 now I'm

00:34:46.920 not sure

00:34:47.300 that completely

00:34:48.100 says you

00:34:48.720 shouldn't

00:34:49.080 show what

00:34:49.520 your policy

00:34:50.100 is, but

00:34:52.060 it might be

00:34:52.660 more true

00:34:53.200 that even

00:34:53.680 if you

00:34:53.980 showed your

00:34:54.400 policy,

00:34:55.820 there would

00:34:56.200 be massive

00:34:56.860 problems

00:34:57.500 in implementing

00:34:58.400 it.

00:34:59.260 So I

00:34:59.600 believe that

00:35:00.200 my understanding

00:35:02.240 is that

00:35:02.760 Musk's 0.98

00:35:03.500 standard

00:35:03.980 is that

00:35:05.100 he will

00:35:05.460 allow

00:35:05.840 anything

00:35:06.340 that is

00:35:07.280 legal.

00:35:09.340 Is that

00:35:10.000 the current

00:35:10.380 standard?

00:35:12.360 And he

00:35:13.320 will modify

00:35:13.880 it in

00:35:14.320 different

00:35:14.740 states and

00:35:16.360 countries so

00:35:17.720 that it's

00:35:18.120 legal within

00:35:18.720 that country,

00:35:19.500 even if that's

00:35:20.140 a different

00:35:20.460 standard than

00:35:21.100 the other

00:35:21.380 countries.

00:35:23.040 So why

00:35:23.740 can't he

00:35:24.080 just say

00:35:24.520 that?

00:35:25.500 Why can't

00:35:25.900 he say our

00:35:26.320 moderation

00:35:26.780 policy is

00:35:27.880 if it's

00:35:28.800 legal, we

00:35:29.280 keep it.

00:35:30.100 If it's

00:35:30.480 illegal, we

00:35:31.080 bump it.

00:35:31.480 So there's

00:35:34.280 something else

00:35:34.820 to the story

00:35:35.400 that there's

00:35:35.980 a nuance to

00:35:36.580 the story I

00:35:37.060 don't quite

00:35:38.000 understand.

00:35:39.060 Because if

00:35:39.540 that was, in

00:35:40.240 fact, the

00:35:41.100 totality of

00:35:42.160 the moderation

00:35:42.740 policy, I

00:35:44.560 think he'd be

00:35:45.140 bragging about

00:35:45.720 it.

00:35:46.340 So there's

00:35:46.780 something else

00:35:47.200 we need to

00:35:47.640 know here.

00:35:48.160 It doesn't

00:35:48.500 quite make

00:35:48.900 sense yet.

00:35:51.320 All right.

00:35:51.960 What was my

00:35:52.840 best prediction

00:35:53.660 of the coming

00:35:54.600 year?

00:35:55.460 Already came

00:35:56.260 true.

00:35:56.500 I said in

00:35:57.080 the next

00:35:57.400 year, you're

00:35:58.440 going to see

00:35:58.780 a whole bunch

00:35:59.240 of hit

00:35:59.760 pieces, not

00:36:01.640 just against

00:36:02.500 Republicans, and

00:36:04.080 also the

00:36:04.720 Republicans will

00:36:05.400 be doing the

00:36:05.960 same thing

00:36:06.340 against the

00:36:06.840 Democrats, but

00:36:07.960 that there

00:36:08.380 would be hit

00:36:08.860 pieces about

00:36:09.540 me.

00:36:10.760 You remember

00:36:11.160 me saying

00:36:11.640 that?

00:36:12.880 I said there

00:36:13.640 would be hit

00:36:14.060 pieces about

00:36:14.760 me in the

00:36:15.500 coming year.

00:36:17.800 Three this

00:36:18.540 week.

00:36:20.620 Three.

00:36:22.280 Three hit

00:36:23.000 pieces on

00:36:23.560 me this 1.00

00:36:24.980 fucking week. 0.99

00:36:25.720 So I 0.99

00:36:26.560 already told

00:36:26.940 you about

00:36:27.240 Forbes, right?

00:36:29.420 But today I

00:36:30.260 found out

00:36:30.700 PolitiFact and

00:36:34.920 Politico, they 0.83

00:36:37.020 both had hit

00:36:37.580 pieces on me

00:36:38.200 today.

00:36:39.120 Today.

00:36:40.900 Right after I

00:36:41.840 predicted.

00:36:42.620 Do you know

00:36:43.020 what the

00:36:43.500 Politico's hit

00:36:45.420 on me is?

00:36:46.640 The hit that I

00:36:47.680 predicted Politico

00:36:48.620 would do, or

00:36:49.700 people like

00:36:50.240 them, they say

00:36:51.520 I'm bad at

00:36:51.940 predicting.

00:36:53.880 I actually

00:36:54.660 predicted that

00:36:55.400 they would

00:36:55.700 say that.

00:36:57.100 You'd think

00:36:57.540 they'd mention

00:36:58.060 that I

00:36:58.420 predicted they

00:36:59.020 say that in

00:37:00.240 an article about

00:37:01.320 being bad at

00:37:01.900 predicted.

00:37:02.660 I predicted

00:37:03.260 what you would 1.00

00:37:03.820 fucking do. 1.00

00:37:05.760 Politico, I 1.00

00:37:06.620 can tell you

00:37:07.100 what you're

00:37:07.480 going to eat 1.00

00:37:07.860 for fucking 1.00

00:37:08.400 breakfast. 1.00

00:37:09.760 I'm the best

00:37:10.260 predictor there's

00:37:11.940 ever been in

00:37:12.700 political life.

00:37:14.140 The best

00:37:15.120 predictor ever

00:37:17.760 in all of

00:37:19.360 political life.

00:37:21.120 Now, did

00:37:22.540 they find

00:37:23.460 something I

00:37:24.020 got wrong?

00:37:24.680 They did.

00:37:25.940 Politico

00:37:26.400 actually found

00:37:27.060 a prediction I

00:37:27.680 got wrong.

00:37:28.660 Did I get any

00:37:29.560 predictions wrong?

00:37:30.580 Of course.

00:37:32.040 Do you know

00:37:32.320 why I got some

00:37:33.020 predictions wrong?

00:37:34.540 Because I

00:37:35.180 predict for a

00:37:35.860 living.

00:37:37.200 Like, that's

00:37:37.700 what I do

00:37:38.040 every day.

00:37:39.100 I get out

00:37:39.560 here and I

00:37:39.900 make predictions.

00:37:41.840 Now, don't

00:37:42.340 you think if

00:37:43.020 you were going

00:37:43.640 to judge

00:37:44.580 somebody's quality

00:37:45.540 of predictions,

00:37:46.080 what's the

00:37:47.020 minimum you

00:37:48.160 would do if

00:37:49.540 somebody is a

00:37:50.520 prolific predictor?

00:37:52.240 What's the

00:37:52.700 minimum you

00:37:53.240 would do?

00:37:54.920 You'd look at

00:37:55.680 what you got

00:37:56.160 right, you'd

00:37:57.880 compare that to

00:37:58.520 what you got

00:37:58.960 wrong, and

00:38:00.420 you'd say,

00:38:00.820 okay, what's

00:38:01.280 your ratio?

00:38:02.860 And then you'd

00:38:03.460 say, how's that

00:38:04.320 work compared to

00:38:05.240 other people who

00:38:05.920 also make

00:38:06.520 predictions?

00:38:07.960 Here's what you

00:38:08.740 don't do.

00:38:10.060 Pick out the

00:38:10.700 one wrong

00:38:11.220 prediction that,

00:38:12.860 as it turns out,

00:38:13.580 wasn't a

00:38:14.020 prediction at

00:38:14.580 all.

00:38:16.080 Because they

00:38:16.680 still don't

00:38:17.140 know my

00:38:17.540 game at

00:38:17.920 all.

00:38:19.280 And then you

00:38:20.000 say it's

00:38:20.340 wrong.

00:38:21.880 Politico

00:38:22.320 actually said

00:38:22.980 that, here's

00:38:24.340 what they

00:38:24.580 said.

00:38:28.440 They're talking

00:38:29.100 about people

00:38:29.580 who are always

00:38:29.920 wrong.

00:38:30.260 They said,

00:38:30.540 maybe it's

00:38:30.900 Dilbert creator

00:38:31.520 Scott Adams

00:38:32.140 who has

00:38:32.700 managed to

00:38:33.240 appear on

00:38:33.900 this annual

00:38:34.460 roundup of

00:38:35.180 the worst

00:38:35.660 prediction in

00:38:36.420 politics more

00:38:37.640 than any

00:38:38.140 other person

00:38:38.740 on the

00:38:39.040 planet.

00:38:40.400 Why do I

00:38:41.240 appear on

00:38:41.980 their list of

00:38:43.140 worst predictions

00:38:44.200 more than

00:38:44.940 anyone?

00:38:45.320 Why?

00:38:47.880 Because every

00:38:48.580 year they do

00:38:49.040 a hit piece

00:38:49.480 on me.

00:38:51.280 They do the 1.00

00:38:52.080 same fucking 1.00

00:38:52.580 hit piece 1.00

00:38:53.060 on me and

00:38:53.920 they'll pick

00:38:54.280 one thing I

00:38:54.860 got wrong,

00:38:55.920 ignore all the

00:38:56.660 things I got

00:38:57.200 right, and

00:38:58.420 then after they

00:38:59.540 keep maligning

00:39:00.400 me, they use

00:39:01.780 themselves as

00:39:02.940 a source,

00:39:03.940 they use

00:39:05.100 themselves as

00:39:06.620 a source that

00:39:08.080 I'm always

00:39:08.540 wrong.

00:39:08.900 now the

00:39:13.600 funny thing

00:39:14.080 is if you

00:39:14.540 didn't follow

00:39:15.080 politics at

00:39:15.880 all, you

00:39:16.600 wouldn't know

00:39:16.940 any of this.

00:39:18.020 You would

00:39:18.520 just read

00:39:18.880 this and

00:39:19.200 say, wow,

00:39:19.680 that cartoonist

00:39:21.000 guy, it's a

00:39:22.120 good thing we

00:39:22.540 canceled him,

00:39:23.960 getting everything

00:39:24.480 wrong.

00:39:25.460 By far, I'm

00:39:27.020 the best predictor

00:39:27.880 in politics.

00:39:28.740 Nobody's even

00:39:29.180 close.

00:39:30.540 There's nobody

00:39:31.220 even close.

00:39:32.240 Honestly, there

00:39:32.920 isn't.

00:39:33.720 Now that doesn't

00:39:34.320 mean I haven't

00:39:34.760 got some

00:39:35.300 whoppers wrong.

00:39:37.120 Of course I

00:39:38.400 have, because I

00:39:39.240 make a lot of

00:39:39.760 predictions.

00:39:41.720 Did I ever

00:39:42.520 promise you

00:39:43.020 that I'll be

00:39:43.540 right?

00:39:45.180 I don't think

00:39:45.940 so.

00:39:47.060 Don't think I

00:39:47.560 ever promised

00:39:48.000 that.

00:39:49.060 All right, so

00:39:49.320 here's the

00:39:49.700 prediction they

00:39:50.260 said I got

00:39:51.700 wrong, and

00:39:52.540 this puts me

00:39:53.140 on the list

00:39:53.580 of worst

00:39:54.240 predictors.

00:39:55.240 You ready?

00:39:56.620 The one

00:39:57.060 example of

00:39:58.560 the thing I

00:39:59.000 got wrong.

00:40:00.340 How many

00:40:00.760 predictions did

00:40:01.440 I make in

00:40:01.880 2023?

00:40:03.560 Anybody?

00:40:05.600 A few.

00:40:07.340 They only

00:40:07.840 picked one.

00:40:09.060 Here's the

00:40:09.460 one that they

00:40:09.980 say, and by

00:40:10.760 the way, I

00:40:11.180 don't even

00:40:11.520 remember saying

00:40:12.200 it.

00:40:12.940 I don't

00:40:13.240 remember this,

00:40:14.500 but I'm

00:40:15.040 sure I

00:40:15.320 did.

00:40:16.680 Apparently, my

00:40:17.320 prediction was

00:40:17.960 that TikTok

00:40:18.400 would be

00:40:18.960 banned by

00:40:19.580 June 2023.

00:40:22.660 Now that

00:40:23.320 didn't happen,

00:40:23.940 did it?

00:40:25.760 So if you

00:40:26.820 were doing a

00:40:27.520 good context

00:40:28.760 laden story

00:40:30.700 about this

00:40:31.380 situation, what

00:40:33.100 did they leave

00:40:34.020 out?

00:40:35.360 Was there

00:40:35.560 anything left

00:40:35.960 out about

00:40:36.380 that prediction?

00:40:38.640 What's left

00:40:39.360 out?

00:40:42.700 Here's what

00:40:43.320 they left

00:40:43.680 out.

00:40:44.660 It wasn't a

00:40:45.640 prediction.

00:40:48.600 Do you all

00:40:49.340 understand that?

00:40:50.840 That it

00:40:51.440 wasn't a

00:40:51.860 prediction?

00:40:53.380 No, it was

00:40:54.140 persuasion.

00:40:56.020 It was

00:40:56.680 persuasion.

00:40:58.140 I was making

00:40:59.060 people think

00:40:59.640 past the

00:41:00.100 sale.

00:41:02.020 They couldn't

00:41:02.800 even tell the

00:41:03.380 difference between

00:41:04.100 persuasion and

00:41:04.920 prediction.

00:41:06.020 It was in the

00:41:06.580 form of a

00:41:07.140 prediction, and

00:41:08.460 certainly I

00:41:09.060 hoped it would

00:41:09.580 be true.

00:41:10.480 But did I

00:41:11.180 predict it would

00:41:11.880 be true?

00:41:12.320 Not really.

00:41:13.920 I wanted people

00:41:14.740 to understand

00:41:15.520 that banning

00:41:18.460 TikTok could

00:41:20.040 be ordinary

00:41:20.820 enough and

00:41:22.140 doable, such

00:41:24.020 that you would

00:41:24.900 discuss whether

00:41:25.580 it happens in

00:41:26.280 June, or

00:41:27.800 before June, or

00:41:28.780 after June.

00:41:29.300 it's a

00:41:30.480 simple case

00:41:31.140 of making

00:41:32.000 people think

00:41:32.620 past the

00:41:33.100 sale, because

00:41:34.320 I wanted to

00:41:34.920 take it from

00:41:35.500 the, my

00:41:35.920 God, you

00:41:36.360 never ban a

00:41:37.160 social media

00:41:37.740 company.

00:41:38.660 We'd never

00:41:39.260 do that, free

00:41:40.020 speech.

00:41:41.220 The reasons

00:41:42.300 against banning

00:41:43.420 TikTok were 0.98

00:41:44.660 that it's just

00:41:45.160 too dramatic,

00:41:47.640 too drastic.

00:41:49.200 I wanted to

00:41:50.100 move it from

00:41:50.620 too drastic

00:41:51.300 into, it's

00:41:52.920 just a yes or

00:41:53.500 no, if you

00:41:53.840 ban it or

00:41:54.340 not.

00:41:54.600 Now, let

00:41:58.580 me ask you

00:41:59.000 this, over

00:42:00.800 the year

00:42:01.260 2023, was

00:42:04.040 I successful

00:42:04.920 in moving

00:42:06.380 the ball

00:42:06.960 toward convincing

00:42:07.880 more people

00:42:08.680 in government

00:42:09.800 and in the

00:42:10.820 public that

00:42:11.980 TikTok should

00:42:12.700 be banned?

00:42:15.100 Yes.

00:42:16.420 So, Politico

00:42:18.740 reported that

00:42:20.800 I had a

00:42:21.360 failed prediction.

00:42:22.860 They picked a

00:42:23.660 prediction that

00:42:24.280 was so trivial

00:42:24.960 to me, I

00:42:25.540 didn't remember

00:42:26.060 making it, but

00:42:26.860 I'm sure I

00:42:27.240 did.

00:42:28.980 And it

00:42:29.580 wasn't even

00:42:30.140 really a

00:42:30.720 prediction.

00:42:31.640 It was in

00:42:32.280 the form of

00:42:32.780 a prediction,

00:42:33.760 but it was

00:42:34.400 pure persuasion.

00:42:35.580 It was for

00:42:36.420 that purpose.

00:42:37.700 The purpose

00:42:38.200 was persuasion.

00:42:39.860 Now, they

00:42:40.200 didn't even

00:42:40.520 know that.

00:42:42.980 So, that's

00:42:44.100 Politico.

00:42:46.580 All right.

00:42:47.860 How about

00:42:48.640 Politifact?

00:42:51.160 All right.

00:42:51.800 Of all the

00:42:52.500 things I've

00:42:53.080 said,

00:42:54.280 here's what

00:42:54.980 Politifact

00:42:55.580 decided to

00:42:56.240 fact-check

00:42:56.720 me on,

00:42:57.600 on their

00:42:58.060 roundup of

00:42:58.860 people with

00:43:00.040 terrible takes.

00:43:02.280 Okay?

00:43:02.860 Here's the

00:43:03.460 one they

00:43:03.780 fact-checked

00:43:04.360 me on.

00:43:06.100 They said

00:43:06.800 that I

00:43:07.160 said,

00:43:08.020 people not

00:43:08.640 vaccinated

00:43:09.200 against COVID

00:43:10.240 came out

00:43:11.280 the best.

00:43:12.820 People not

00:43:13.680 vaccinated

00:43:14.240 came out

00:43:14.880 the best,

00:43:15.820 and they

00:43:16.140 called that

00:43:16.560 false.

00:43:18.520 Number one,

00:43:20.260 number one,

00:43:21.660 they got

00:43:22.380 all of the

00:43:23.120 contacts

00:43:23.580 wrong.

00:43:24.440 The first

00:43:25.160 thing they

00:43:25.500 didn't

00:43:25.680 understand is

00:43:26.400 that it

00:43:26.640 was a

00:43:26.940 prank.

00:43:29.520 It was a

00:43:30.260 prank.

00:43:30.960 I was

00:43:31.600 literally

00:43:32.000 playing a

00:43:32.540 prank on

00:43:33.200 the 4chan

00:43:34.860 people who

00:43:35.920 had played a

00:43:36.360 prank on

00:43:36.840 me by saying

00:43:38.300 that all of

00:43:38.860 my pandemic

00:43:39.740 opinions were

00:43:40.460 the opposite of

00:43:41.080 what they were

00:43:41.640 and convinced a

00:43:42.540 bunch of

00:43:42.760 people to be

00:43:43.280 mad at me.

00:43:43.760 So to make

00:43:44.960 those people

00:43:45.440 less mad at

00:43:46.800 me, I

00:43:48.140 pranked the

00:43:49.240 prank, and

00:43:51.320 I apologized

00:43:51.880 for getting

00:43:52.460 everything wrong

00:43:53.360 and making

00:43:54.320 the wrong

00:43:54.760 decisions, which

00:43:56.160 had the weird

00:43:56.660 effect of

00:43:57.220 making people

00:43:57.800 respect me

00:43:58.680 for a

00:44:01.100 fake prank

00:44:01.840 that reversed

00:44:03.800 the thing that

00:44:04.380 was reversed.

00:44:05.800 Anyway, it

00:44:06.360 was very funny

00:44:06.960 and very

00:44:07.320 successful and

00:44:08.120 totally worked.

00:44:08.740 also, what

00:44:13.460 I said was

00:44:14.000 100% true.

00:44:16.580 It was a

00:44:17.400 prank in

00:44:18.120 terms of

00:44:18.560 what I

00:44:18.840 expected to

00:44:19.740 succeed at

00:44:22.060 because if

00:44:23.440 people interpreted

00:44:24.260 it as

00:44:25.500 different than

00:44:26.460 I said it,

00:44:27.020 that's what I

00:44:27.680 expected would

00:44:28.260 happen.

00:44:29.460 So here's

00:44:30.300 the truth.

00:44:32.420 Apparently, they

00:44:33.180 changed the

00:44:33.720 context to

00:44:34.480 make it

00:44:34.820 false.

00:44:35.860 It looks

00:44:36.260 like they

00:44:36.600 changed the

00:44:37.140 context from

00:44:38.660 if you're in

00:44:39.240 the middle

00:44:39.580 of the

00:44:39.860 pandemic, you

00:44:42.100 shouldn't have

00:44:42.520 been vaccinated.

00:44:44.580 And they

00:44:45.200 would say

00:44:45.460 that's false

00:44:45.960 because the

00:44:46.440 vaccinations

00:44:46.920 kept people

00:44:47.700 alive.

00:44:48.580 That wasn't

00:44:49.140 my context.

00:44:50.680 You know

00:44:51.040 that, right?

00:44:52.020 My context

00:44:52.740 was after the

00:44:54.540 worst part of

00:44:55.120 the pandemic

00:44:55.600 is over, and

00:44:56.400 we just got a

00:44:56.940 little Omicron

00:44:57.620 going on, if

00:44:58.960 you could have

00:44:59.440 gotten to that

00:45:00.080 point without

00:45:00.900 a vaccination,

00:45:02.660 that you would

00:45:03.620 be a person

00:45:04.100 who had

00:45:04.320 nothing in

00:45:04.860 you.

00:45:05.480 You had no

00:45:05.940 COVID in

00:45:06.480 you, no

00:45:07.000 long COVID.

00:45:08.660 If you

00:45:09.100 didn't get

00:45:09.460 COVID, and

00:45:10.680 probably no

00:45:12.240 vaccination.

00:45:12.980 Now, if you

00:45:13.320 did get

00:45:13.700 COVID, you

00:45:15.140 also had some

00:45:15.700 natural immunity,

00:45:16.680 which you

00:45:17.220 probably didn't

00:45:17.780 die from, and

00:45:19.280 you'd be better 0.97

00:45:19.820 off than

00:45:20.240 having some

00:45:21.000 vaccination in

00:45:22.540 you.

00:45:23.260 Now, the

00:45:24.340 way I say

00:45:25.200 it, in

00:45:26.420 context, literally

00:45:28.060 nobody disagrees.

00:45:30.640 Would you

00:45:31.240 agree with

00:45:31.580 that?

00:45:32.440 That the way

00:45:32.940 I say it,

00:45:33.720 there's nobody

00:45:34.160 on either side

00:45:34.800 who would

00:45:35.000 disagree.

00:45:36.000 That it's

00:45:36.600 better to have

00:45:37.160 no risk

00:45:38.140 than one

00:45:38.660 risk.

00:45:40.060 That's just

00:45:40.500 counting.

00:45:41.480 My opinion

00:45:42.140 is just

00:45:42.600 counting that

00:45:43.120 one is

00:45:43.500 greater than

00:45:43.940 zero.

00:45:45.140 It's not

00:45:45.520 even an

00:45:45.880 opinion.

00:45:46.780 What's

00:45:47.080 bigger, one

00:45:47.600 or zero?

00:45:49.500 One.

00:45:51.020 All right?

00:45:51.720 So if you

00:45:52.140 have zero

00:45:52.620 risks, is

00:45:54.300 that better

00:45:54.740 or worse

00:45:55.120 than having

00:45:55.600 one risk?

00:45:58.360 I think

00:45:59.120 it's still

00:45:59.540 one is

00:46:00.480 worse, right?

00:46:01.920 I mean, that's

00:46:02.320 all it is.

00:46:02.860 One is bigger

00:46:03.400 than zero.

00:46:03.960 That's my

00:46:04.280 opinion.

00:46:05.820 So they

00:46:06.460 fact-check

00:46:06.900 that.

00:46:07.160 PolitiFact is

00:46:09.440 not a real

00:46:09.980 fact-checker.

00:46:10.760 They're one

00:46:11.220 of the

00:46:11.440 Democrat

00:46:11.740 fake fact-checkers.

00:46:15.380 Anyway, here's

00:46:16.720 what they

00:46:17.840 didn't fact-check.

00:46:19.980 So while

00:46:20.760 they're fact-checking,

00:46:21.660 they fact-checked

00:46:22.300 a bunch of

00:46:22.820 people, a long

00:46:23.680 list of people,

00:46:24.860 who they fact-checked 1.00

00:46:25.820 as idiots for 1.00

00:46:26.640 saying that there 1.00

00:46:27.580 would be a

00:46:27.960 recession in

00:46:28.900 2023.

00:46:30.140 That's right.

00:46:31.000 In the same

00:46:31.580 article, where

00:46:33.000 they fact-checked

00:46:33.780 my correct thing

00:46:34.680 and a context

00:46:35.560 for being wrong,

00:46:36.980 they ignored

00:46:38.400 the fact that

00:46:39.880 I'm the only

00:46:40.780 public figure

00:46:41.640 in America

00:46:42.880 who correctly

00:46:44.040 said that

00:46:44.560 2023's economy

00:46:45.840 would surprise

00:46:46.660 on the upside.

00:46:47.760 I'm the only

00:46:48.820 one.

00:46:49.720 The best prediction

00:46:50.920 of the year.

00:46:52.260 I didn't mention

00:46:53.180 it.

00:46:55.260 I didn't mention

00:46:56.060 it.

00:46:56.540 Some of you

00:46:57.020 might have

00:46:57.340 predicted it too,

00:46:58.080 but of public

00:46:59.560 figures who do

00:47:00.420 this sort of

00:47:00.940 thing, nobody

00:47:01.820 else got it.

00:47:02.380 I was the

00:47:02.820 only one.

00:47:05.300 So, anyway.

00:47:08.820 New York

00:47:09.500 Post reports

00:47:10.860 that the

00:47:11.260 Chicago mayor,

00:47:12.240 Brandon Johnson,

00:47:13.880 this is so

00:47:16.720 funny, but

00:47:18.240 you're going to

00:47:18.900 think I'm making

00:47:19.480 this up.

00:47:20.520 I swear I'm not

00:47:21.240 making this up.

00:47:22.980 He's calling for

00:47:23.840 reparations funding

00:47:24.920 to reduce

00:47:25.520 violent crime in

00:47:26.420 Chicago.

00:47:26.880 Let that sink

00:47:31.900 in a little

00:47:32.220 bit.

00:47:33.040 He wants

00:47:33.440 reparations

00:47:34.280 to reduce

00:47:37.120 violent crime.

00:47:39.280 Now, the

00:47:40.540 first thing

00:47:41.020 that that

00:47:41.380 does is

00:47:42.900 suggest that

00:47:43.760 the mayor

00:47:44.900 of Chicago, 0.95

00:47:45.740 a black

00:47:46.060 man, believes 0.99

00:47:47.740 that violent

00:47:48.800 crime is

00:47:49.360 coming from 1.00

00:47:50.320 black people. 0.97

00:47:52.800 Is he 0.99

00:47:53.520 allowed to

00:47:53.940 say that?

00:47:55.600 So, he's

00:47:56.360 only going to

00:47:56.780 work on 0.99

00:47:57.220 black people 0.99

00:47:58.000 because that's 0.99

00:47:59.100 where the

00:47:59.400 violence is

00:47:59.940 coming from.

00:48:02.080 I'm pretty

00:48:02.700 sure I would

00:48:03.180 get canceled

00:48:03.720 if I were

00:48:04.240 the mayor

00:48:04.540 and I said

00:48:04.960 that.

00:48:05.900 If you

00:48:06.220 were a

00:48:06.500 white mayor

00:48:06.980 and you

00:48:07.360 said maybe

00:48:07.940 the reparations

00:48:08.700 will reduce

00:48:09.420 the violence,

00:48:12.200 doesn't

00:48:12.480 that sound

00:48:13.620 exactly like

00:48:14.360 you're blaming 0.96

00:48:14.740 black people 0.98

00:48:15.380 for violence? 1.00

00:48:17.320 Interesting.

00:48:18.440 But that's

00:48:18.860 not the

00:48:19.120 most interesting

00:48:20.540 thing.

00:48:21.780 If you

00:48:22.520 accept his

00:48:23.500 premise that

00:48:25.920 black people 0.98

00:48:26.600 are unusually 0.98

00:48:29.100 a big part

00:48:31.060 of the

00:48:31.820 variable of

00:48:32.620 violent crime,

00:48:33.620 if you

00:48:33.940 accept the

00:48:34.580 mayor's

00:48:34.940 premise,

00:48:36.800 then what

00:48:37.140 he's doing

00:48:37.740 is taxing

00:48:41.080 the victims

00:48:41.640 of the

00:48:41.980 crime and

00:48:42.760 giving that

00:48:43.240 money to

00:48:43.740 the perpetrators

00:48:44.500 of the

00:48:44.840 crime.

00:48:46.720 Am I

00:48:47.380 wrong?

00:48:47.660 Because

00:48:48.160 reparations

00:48:50.080 comes from

00:48:50.640 taxes.

00:48:52.160 Taxes come

00:48:52.820 from law-abiding

00:48:53.940 people who pay

00:48:54.600 taxes.

00:48:55.780 Criminals

00:48:56.260 not really

00:48:56.900 paying much

00:48:57.360 taxes.

00:48:59.120 So the

00:48:59.540 mayor wants

00:49:00.180 to tax

00:49:01.000 the law-abiding

00:49:02.760 people,

00:49:03.640 the victims,

00:49:04.720 the people

00:49:05.020 who are

00:49:05.180 victims of

00:49:05.720 the violent

00:49:06.020 crime,

00:49:06.700 and then he

00:49:07.220 wants to

00:49:07.540 take the

00:49:07.880 victims' 0.86

00:49:08.400 money and

00:49:09.600 give it to

00:49:10.100 the perpetrators

00:49:11.920 of the crime.

00:49:12.640 I'm not saying 0.92

00:49:13.180 all black people 0.96

00:49:13.820 are perpetrators 1.00

00:49:14.480 of the crime.

00:49:15.340 That's what

00:49:15.680 your mayor is

00:49:16.280 saying, not

00:49:16.680 what I'm

00:49:17.020 saying.

00:49:18.320 And he

00:49:18.680 said that in

00:49:19.140 public.

00:49:20.460 In public,

00:49:21.940 he said,

00:49:22.320 he wants

00:49:26.440 to tax

00:49:26.900 the victims

00:49:27.420 and give

00:49:27.760 the money

00:49:28.080 to the

00:49:28.400 perpetrators

00:49:28.900 of the

00:49:29.180 crime.

00:49:30.460 Because the

00:49:31.020 thinking here,

00:49:33.120 if you,

00:49:34.600 well, for

00:49:34.900 example,

00:49:35.260 let's say

00:49:35.660 you get

00:49:36.840 mugged.

00:49:37.920 Let's say

00:49:38.220 you get

00:49:38.400 mugged.

00:49:39.460 One way

00:49:39.980 to make

00:49:40.280 that crime

00:49:40.840 go away, 0.98

00:49:42.020 and I

00:49:42.260 think this

00:49:42.640 is obvious,

00:49:43.480 is as

00:49:44.060 you're being

00:49:44.460 mugged,

00:49:44.920 you say,

00:49:45.340 hold on,

00:49:46.620 can we

00:49:46.960 change the

00:49:47.520 model of

00:49:48.040 this mugging

00:49:48.700 from you

00:49:49.800 taking my

00:49:50.400 money to

00:49:51.620 me paying

00:49:52.060 you

00:49:52.220 reparations?

00:49:53.020 And the

00:49:53.200 mugger would

00:49:53.540 be like,

00:49:54.640 say more.

00:49:56.580 You say,

00:49:57.180 all right,

00:49:58.160 so here's

00:49:58.900 what we'll

00:49:59.200 do,

00:49:59.480 since I'm

00:49:59.860 the victim

00:50:00.260 and you're

00:50:00.640 the perpetrator,

00:50:01.920 how about

00:50:02.480 I just

00:50:03.320 pay you

00:50:03.660 reparations?

00:50:05.360 And the

00:50:05.680 mugger's

00:50:06.020 like,

00:50:06.900 well,

00:50:07.460 how much?

00:50:08.920 And I'll

00:50:09.180 say,

00:50:09.480 how about

00:50:09.880 my entire

00:50:10.500 wallet and

00:50:11.080 all of its

00:50:11.500 contents?

00:50:13.500 And the

00:50:14.060 mugger will

00:50:14.400 say,

00:50:15.180 well,

00:50:15.480 I was also

00:50:15.980 going to

00:50:16.220 take your

00:50:16.540 watch.

00:50:17.620 You go,

00:50:18.280 and the

00:50:18.560 watch,

00:50:19.200 and the

00:50:19.540 watch.

00:50:20.000 So the

00:50:20.320 watch and

00:50:20.740 the wallet.

00:50:21.620 And the

00:50:22.060 mugger's

00:50:22.360 like,

00:50:22.840 hey,

00:50:23.000 that's all

00:50:23.320 I was

00:50:23.560 going to

00:50:23.780 take.

00:50:25.400 All right,

00:50:25.660 well,

00:50:25.800 why am I

00:50:26.220 so confused

00:50:26.780 here?

00:50:27.420 I wanted

00:50:27.980 to just 0.99

00:50:28.320 mug you. 0.89

00:50:29.520 I know, 0.67

00:50:30.180 but mugging

00:50:30.920 is terrible.

00:50:31.840 Would you

00:50:32.180 agree?

00:50:32.640 Well,

00:50:33.480 no,

00:50:33.760 I mean,

00:50:34.020 I am a

00:50:34.440 mugger,

00:50:34.800 but you

00:50:35.140 have a

00:50:35.420 point.

00:50:35.720 It is

00:50:35.880 kind of

00:50:36.180 terrible.

00:50:37.340 Well,

00:50:37.540 how about

00:50:37.820 this?

00:50:38.920 Wouldn't

00:50:39.220 you rather

00:50:39.780 be a

00:50:40.780 recipient of

00:50:41.480 reparations

00:50:42.140 because of

00:50:43.140 systemic

00:50:43.580 racism is

00:50:44.460 the cause

00:50:44.900 of your

00:50:45.420 criminal

00:50:46.340 activity?

00:50:46.880 You

00:50:47.780 know?

00:50:49.840 I never

00:50:50.580 thought about

00:50:51.060 it,

00:50:51.580 but now

00:50:53.200 that you

00:50:53.380 mention it,

00:50:54.680 it does

00:50:55.800 make sense.

00:50:57.200 Yeah.

00:50:57.980 So,

00:50:59.300 all right,

00:51:00.520 we'll call

00:51:00.880 this reparations.

00:51:01.660 So,

00:51:03.080 you pay

00:51:03.300 reparations

00:51:03.960 and everything

00:51:05.380 is solved.

00:51:06.620 That's how

00:51:07.300 you solve

00:51:07.720 crime.

00:51:08.740 You just

00:51:09.560 turn it

00:51:10.000 into reparations

00:51:10.860 payments and

00:51:11.480 everybody's

00:51:11.900 happy.

00:51:15.680 So,

00:51:16.520 that is

00:51:17.480 clearly the 1.00

00:51:18.080 dumbest 1.00

00:51:18.420 thing of 0.99

00:51:18.860 2023,

00:51:19.920 if you're

00:51:20.380 going to

00:51:20.460 make a

00:51:20.740 list.

00:51:22.600 I would

00:51:23.300 like to

00:51:23.820 talk about

00:51:25.280 mental

00:51:25.620 illness

00:51:26.040 face.

00:51:27.080 I believe

00:51:27.600 that humans,

00:51:29.420 we evolved

00:51:31.440 to identify

00:51:33.140 sickness

00:51:34.040 and bad

00:51:36.100 health

00:51:36.520 in another

00:51:37.920 human.

00:51:38.880 Now,

00:51:39.120 that's been

00:51:39.460 tested.

00:51:40.060 You're aware

00:51:40.420 of that,

00:51:40.720 right?

00:51:41.400 They can

00:51:41.740 do tests

00:51:42.180 where they

00:51:42.520 show pictures

00:51:43.300 of people

00:51:43.700 who have

00:51:44.140 medical

00:51:44.680 problems

00:51:45.200 and people

00:51:46.820 don't.

00:51:48.040 And people

00:51:48.440 can,

00:51:49.200 way more

00:51:50.020 than chance,

00:51:51.160 they can

00:51:51.420 pick out

00:51:51.860 people with

00:51:52.720 medical

00:51:53.020 problems.

00:51:54.180 Now,

00:51:54.520 I would

00:51:54.840 argue that

00:51:55.580 people who

00:51:55.940 have mental 0.81

00:51:56.660 problems

00:51:57.260 are far

00:51:58.480 more obvious

00:51:59.120 than even

00:51:59.640 people who

00:52:00.080 have other

00:52:00.440 kinds of

00:52:00.880 health

00:52:01.700 problems.

00:52:02.640 The mental 0.62

00:52:03.140 people,

00:52:04.160 they often

00:52:05.280 have your

00:52:06.000 Charles Manson

00:52:06.860 eyes, 0.83

00:52:07.600 crazy eyes, 0.51

00:52:08.880 crazy facial

00:52:09.880 expressions.

00:52:11.520 And I

00:52:12.320 think we're

00:52:12.740 really,

00:52:13.480 we're looking

00:52:14.180 at a massive 0.98

00:52:14.960 mental illness

00:52:15.880 problem,

00:52:16.920 which the

00:52:18.320 group that

00:52:19.100 has the 0.99

00:52:19.480 most mental 1.00

00:52:20.160 illness in 0.94

00:52:20.720 America is, 0.92

00:52:22.460 say it

00:52:23.000 with me,

00:52:24.120 what demographic

00:52:24.960 group in

00:52:25.480 America has 0.83

00:52:26.060 the most 1.00

00:52:26.600 mental illness

00:52:27.600 according to

00:52:28.980 prescriptions

00:52:29.800 white

00:52:31.860 women. 0.81

00:52:32.980 White

00:52:33.260 women. 0.94

00:52:33.940 So white 0.86

00:52:34.380 women are 1.00

00:52:34.840 basically 1.00

00:52:35.340 mental

00:52:35.820 basket

00:52:36.220 cases

00:52:36.760 relative to

00:52:38.240 the other

00:52:38.600 demographics.

00:52:39.980 Now,

00:52:41.060 who are

00:52:42.440 the people

00:52:42.880 behind,

00:52:43.560 let's say,

00:52:44.180 all these

00:52:44.720 secretaries of

00:52:45.520 state who

00:52:45.960 are trying

00:52:46.260 to take

00:52:46.700 Trump off

00:52:47.380 of the

00:52:47.800 ballot in

00:52:50.240 the service

00:52:50.840 of democracy?

00:52:53.140 Does that

00:52:53.840 sound like

00:52:54.180 something sane

00:52:54.840 people do?

00:52:55.980 Do sane

00:52:56.680 people take

00:52:57.320 the most

00:52:57.680 popular

00:52:58.180 person off

00:52:59.000 the ballot

00:52:59.520 and actually

00:53:01.400 say out

00:53:01.900 loud,

00:53:02.460 I'm protecting

00:53:03.540 democracy?

00:53:05.780 Do sane

00:53:06.200 people say

00:53:06.700 that?

00:53:07.280 No,

00:53:07.880 but there's

00:53:08.240 a Zoom

00:53:08.680 call,

00:53:09.100 people are

00:53:09.480 tweeting

00:53:09.740 around,

00:53:10.220 I saw

00:53:10.440 Colin Rugg

00:53:11.120 tweet this,

00:53:12.620 it shows

00:53:13.080 footage of

00:53:13.620 a Zoom

00:53:13.980 call with

00:53:15.120 the secretaries

00:53:16.180 of state

00:53:16.660 who are all

00:53:17.120 these white

00:53:17.560 women who 0.99

00:53:17.980 look alike,

00:53:19.020 and they

00:53:19.200 all have 0.64

00:53:19.420 a crazy 0.98

00:53:19.800 face,

00:53:21.040 discussing

00:53:23.000 the biggest

00:53:23.480 threats to

00:53:24.020 democracy and

00:53:24.800 how they can

00:53:25.340 solve it.

00:53:27.320 Now,

00:53:30.400 you've heard

00:53:31.360 people say

00:53:31.860 that the

00:53:32.480 wheels are

00:53:32.940 coming off

00:53:33.460 and everything

00:53:34.000 seems to be

00:53:34.660 falling apart,

00:53:35.800 school system

00:53:36.660 is bad,

00:53:37.460 college is

00:53:37.980 crazy.

00:53:40.140 What has

00:53:40.920 changed?

00:53:42.720 Why did

00:53:43.480 everything go

00:53:44.020 from working

00:53:44.660 to not

00:53:45.060 working?

00:53:46.240 Well,

00:53:46.940 I have one

00:53:47.760 hypothesis,

00:53:49.260 and the

00:53:51.060 hypothesis goes

00:53:52.000 like this.

00:53:53.140 For 99.9%

00:53:54.980 of all human

00:53:55.920 history,

00:53:56.360 women didn't 1.00

00:53:58.940 have any

00:53:59.380 power at

00:53:59.960 all,

00:54:00.800 at least

00:54:01.400 not the

00:54:01.900 political

00:54:02.300 kind.

00:54:05.740 When women 1.00

00:54:06.580 got massive

00:54:07.320 political

00:54:07.740 power,

00:54:08.340 as they do

00:54:08.860 now,

00:54:09.240 they have

00:54:09.460 more political

00:54:10.120 power than

00:54:10.720 any group,

00:54:11.380 I think,

00:54:12.740 we allowed

00:54:14.340 the craziest 0.52

00:54:15.040 people to

00:54:16.900 be in

00:54:17.200 charge.

00:54:18.840 Actually, 0.84

00:54:19.440 batshit crazy 0.98

00:54:20.260 people. 0.95

00:54:21.100 We actually

00:54:21.720 promoted our 0.88

00:54:22.520 craziest people, 0.97

00:54:23.760 literally mentally 1.00

00:54:24.520 ill to be 0.99

00:54:26.040 in charge.

00:54:26.580 Do you know

00:54:26.900 why we do

00:54:27.380 that?

00:54:28.400 Why do we

00:54:28.840 do that?

00:54:31.920 Because we're

00:54:32.660 all afraid of 1.00

00:54:33.620 crazy bitches. 1.00

00:54:35.300 Let me just 1.00

00:54:36.000 say it out

00:54:36.360 loud.

00:54:37.540 White men 0.94

00:54:38.260 are afraid of 1.00

00:54:40.020 crazy bitches. 1.00

00:54:41.100 We just can't 1.00

00:54:41.620 deal with it.

00:54:43.240 Do you know

00:54:44.360 why we can't

00:54:44.840 deal with it?

00:54:45.860 Because there's

00:54:46.500 nothing you can

00:54:47.060 do.

00:54:48.140 You can't

00:54:48.940 physically

00:54:49.560 constrain

00:54:50.160 somebody.

00:54:51.360 You can't

00:54:52.140 say,

00:54:52.520 I won't

00:54:52.780 hire you

00:54:53.300 because you

00:54:53.740 look like

00:54:54.200 you're part

00:54:55.180 of the group 1.00

00:54:55.660 of crazy 1.00

00:54:56.140 bitches. 1.00

00:54:57.780 So you 1.00

00:54:58.380 can't not

00:54:58.840 hire them.

00:54:59.860 You can't

00:55:00.460 vote them

00:55:00.800 out of

00:55:01.040 office because

00:55:01.660 you're

00:55:01.800 outvoted.

00:55:03.220 You can't

00:55:04.000 put them

00:55:04.280 in jail

00:55:04.640 because they're

00:55:05.020 not doing

00:55:05.360 anything illegal.

00:55:06.940 You can't

00:55:07.640 beat them

00:55:08.000 up because

00:55:08.600 that's wrong

00:55:09.280 in lots

00:55:09.880 of different

00:55:10.200 ways.

00:55:11.900 So we

00:55:12.720 managed to

00:55:13.420 figure out

00:55:13.840 a system

00:55:14.500 that takes

00:55:15.460 our least

00:55:16.040 capable

00:55:16.540 people,

00:55:17.420 the ones

00:55:17.720 who should

00:55:18.060 be nurturers,

00:55:18.780 and put

00:55:20.460 them in

00:55:21.020 basically

00:55:22.220 defense

00:55:24.560 jobs.

00:55:25.860 Defense

00:55:26.220 jobs.

00:55:27.460 And I

00:55:27.800 think you

00:55:28.040 get exactly

00:55:28.660 what you

00:55:29.060 think you

00:55:29.440 would get

00:55:29.860 if you 0.75

00:55:30.240 put crazy

00:55:30.800 people in 0.98

00:55:31.300 your important

00:55:31.780 jobs.

00:55:33.000 The whole

00:55:33.340 thing falls

00:55:33.780 apart.

00:55:35.500 So at

00:55:37.120 some point

00:55:37.700 we have

00:55:38.200 to be

00:55:38.620 awake

00:55:39.260 enough to

00:55:39.700 say we

00:55:40.220 do have

00:55:40.560 a crazy 1.00

00:55:41.000 bitch 1.00

00:55:41.260 problem 1.00

00:55:41.680 in America.

00:55:42.900 We have

00:55:43.540 a crazy 0.99

00:55:44.040 white 1.00

00:55:44.360 bitch 1.00

00:55:44.660 problem. 0.99

00:55:46.300 Now I

00:55:47.060 don't think

00:55:47.480 there's

00:55:47.720 another

00:55:48.000 demographic

00:55:48.600 group

00:55:49.100 where the

00:55:50.140 men vote

00:55:50.720 one way

00:55:51.260 and the

00:55:51.640 women 1.00

00:55:51.860 vote the

00:55:52.340 other.

00:55:52.720 Is there?

00:55:53.420 I ask

00:55:53.820 this question.

00:55:54.820 I know

00:55:55.160 that most

00:55:55.600 of the

00:55:55.820 demographic

00:55:56.260 groups

00:55:56.660 are more

00:55:57.140 men

00:55:57.420 leaning

00:55:58.520 Republican

00:55:59.080 than

00:55:59.380 women. 0.81

00:56:00.320 That's

00:56:00.620 normal.

00:56:01.660 But I

00:56:01.860 think men

00:56:02.460 and I'm

00:56:03.360 not sure

00:56:03.700 about this

00:56:04.120 so I'll

00:56:04.320 take a

00:56:04.620 fact check.

00:56:05.600 Fact check

00:56:06.240 me honest.

00:56:07.260 White men 0.92

00:56:07.900 and white

00:56:08.360 women are 1.00

00:56:09.080 actually on

00:56:09.580 opposite sides

00:56:10.380 of politics.

00:56:11.220 But there's

00:56:11.540 no other

00:56:11.880 demographic

00:56:12.400 group where

00:56:13.580 their men

00:56:14.100 and their

00:56:14.380 women are 1.00

00:56:14.840 opposite sides.

00:56:15.620 right?

00:56:19.160 Here's

00:56:19.760 why.

00:56:21.200 I think

00:56:21.560 it's because 0.98

00:56:22.040 white men 0.99

00:56:22.940 put less

00:56:24.860 constrictions on

00:56:26.600 white women 1.00

00:56:27.100 than other

00:56:28.660 groups.

00:56:29.640 I think

00:56:29.980 other groups

00:56:30.500 are more

00:56:30.840 likely to

00:56:31.660 maybe be

00:56:33.360 more

00:56:33.860 traditional

00:56:34.480 in a way

00:56:36.260 that we

00:56:37.540 thought was

00:56:38.260 bad.

00:56:39.500 Probably is

00:56:40.240 bad in its

00:56:40.980 own ways.

00:56:41.460 If you

00:56:44.420 can't say

00:56:44.900 it out

00:56:45.140 loud you

00:56:45.480 never

00:56:45.720 fix it.

00:56:47.520 America

00:56:47.920 has a

00:56:48.260 problem with 1.00

00:56:48.620 crazy bitches. 1.00

00:56:49.740 They're 1.00

00:56:49.900 ruining

00:56:50.120 everything.

00:56:52.920 This has

00:56:53.580 more chance

00:56:54.560 of being a

00:56:55.100 viral clip

00:56:56.040 than anything

00:56:57.160 I've ever

00:56:57.560 done in my

00:56:57.980 life.

00:56:58.920 Except maybe

00:56:59.400 one thing.

00:57:00.380 Possibly one

00:57:01.040 thing was more

00:57:01.600 likely to be a

00:57:02.280 viral clip.

00:57:03.480 Now let me

00:57:05.060 be clear.

00:57:05.780 This will be

00:57:06.140 the part that

00:57:06.880 gets clipped

00:57:07.460 out of the

00:57:07.820 clip.

00:57:08.740 Let me be

00:57:09.140 clear.

00:57:09.660 I don't think

00:57:10.100 all women are 0.73

00:57:10.760 crazy. 1.00

00:57:12.440 I don't think 0.99

00:57:12.880 all white

00:57:13.260 women are 1.00

00:57:13.600 crazy. 1.00

00:57:15.000 Far from

00:57:15.540 it.

00:57:16.800 Most people

00:57:17.680 are sane

00:57:18.540 and normal.

00:57:19.780 Most women, 0.99

00:57:20.640 most men,

00:57:21.580 most white,

00:57:22.480 most black,

00:57:23.200 most Hispanic,

00:57:24.420 most people

00:57:25.180 are just

00:57:25.620 kind of

00:57:26.220 normal.

00:57:27.540 But if

00:57:28.260 you let

00:57:28.580 your craziest 0.95

00:57:29.260 people in 0.99

00:57:29.880 your group

00:57:30.420 get too

00:57:31.000 much power

00:57:31.540 you end

00:57:32.080 up with

00:57:32.340 this.

00:57:33.520 So the

00:57:33.860 thing is

00:57:34.280 that men

00:57:35.220 cannot police

00:57:36.140 the actions 0.81

00:57:36.720 of crazy 1.00

00:57:37.380 bitches. 1.00

00:57:38.340 Women 1.00

00:57:38.760 can't police

00:57:39.560 the actions 0.70

00:57:40.040 of crazy 1.00

00:57:40.560 bitches. 1.00

00:57:40.960 The law 1.00

00:57:41.980 can't

00:57:42.480 police

00:57:42.820 the action

00:57:43.240 of crazy 1.00

00:57:43.740 bitches. 1.00

00:57:44.760 Voting 1.00

00:57:45.260 can't stop

00:57:45.940 crazy 1.00

00:57:46.320 bitches 1.00

00:57:46.700 because there 0.99

00:57:47.160 are too

00:57:47.360 many of

00:57:47.720 them.

00:57:48.740 We don't

00:57:49.440 have a

00:57:49.800 system that

00:57:50.260 can stop

00:57:50.700 our crazy 1.00

00:57:51.160 bitches. 1.00

00:57:52.720 That's it. 1.00

00:57:53.420 so we

00:57:55.180 better fix

00:57:55.600 that.

00:57:58.060 And by

00:57:58.700 the way,

00:57:59.700 I don't

00:58:00.480 really even

00:58:01.080 want to

00:58:01.300 have a

00:58:01.540 conversation

00:58:02.100 about this

00:58:02.980 not being

00:58:03.560 a case

00:58:03.980 of crazy 1.00

00:58:04.500 bitches. 1.00

00:58:06.000 Because, 1.00

00:58:06.560 you know,

00:58:06.780 it's not just

00:58:07.560 the women. 0.81

00:58:08.120 Oh, let me

00:58:08.680 make it more

00:58:09.140 fair.

00:58:10.400 There are a

00:58:10.780 lot of

00:58:11.040 weak men 0.98

00:58:11.620 who are part 0.98

00:58:13.500 of the

00:58:13.700 problem.

00:58:14.760 So I think

00:58:15.400 it'd be more

00:58:15.920 fair to say

00:58:16.420 that men

00:58:16.820 are at least

00:58:17.500 equal to the

00:58:18.120 problem.

00:58:18.940 Is that fair?

00:58:20.260 Yeah, let's

00:58:21.060 make this

00:58:21.420 more fair.

00:58:22.760 Let's say

00:58:23.160 weak men 0.99

00:58:23.960 allow crazy 1.00

00:58:26.580 bitches to 1.00

00:58:27.160 exist. 0.99

00:58:28.020 So it's

00:58:28.420 shared

00:58:28.740 responsibility.

00:58:30.660 If you

00:58:31.220 could change

00:58:31.700 either one

00:58:32.160 of those

00:58:32.460 things,

00:58:33.460 you might

00:58:33.780 get a good

00:58:34.160 result.

00:58:35.180 But here's

00:58:35.540 the thing.

00:58:36.060 Suppose the

00:58:36.580 weak men

00:58:37.000 became stronger.

00:58:38.540 What the 1.00

00:58:38.880 fuck are 1.00

00:58:39.160 they going 1.00

00:58:39.380 to do?

00:58:42.940 I'm not

00:58:43.480 sure that the

00:58:43.960 men could do 0.90

00:58:44.420 anything.

00:58:45.540 I have no

00:58:46.240 idea.

00:58:47.360 But what am

00:58:47.820 I going to

00:58:48.180 advise?

00:58:49.460 Slap 0.97

00:58:49.800 them around?

00:58:50.560 No.

00:58:52.140 Outvote

00:58:52.620 them?

00:58:53.460 You can't.

00:58:55.400 What do

00:58:55.940 you do?

00:58:56.840 I have no

00:58:57.540 idea.

00:58:58.500 I don't

00:58:58.780 have any

00:58:59.140 idea.

00:59:00.080 But I

00:59:00.440 think you

00:59:00.700 have to

00:59:00.980 start by

00:59:02.140 saying we

00:59:02.500 have a

00:59:02.780 crazy 1.00

00:59:03.100 bitch 1.00

00:59:03.360 problem.

00:59:04.120 And if

00:59:04.340 somebody has

00:59:04.740 crazy eyes,

00:59:05.660 they look 0.96

00:59:05.980 crazy, 0.99

00:59:06.420 they act 0.98

00:59:06.720 crazy,

00:59:07.380 let's just 0.88

00:59:07.840 call it

00:59:08.200 what it

00:59:08.460 is.

00:59:08.740 All right?

00:59:09.920 It's 1.00

00:59:10.160 fucking 1.00

00:59:10.460 crazy 1.00

00:59:10.860 shit. 1.00

00:59:13.900 All right. 1.00

00:59:14.780 There's

00:59:15.060 that.

00:59:15.320 there was

00:59:18.820 a post

00:59:19.960 by somebody

00:59:21.120 I don't

00:59:21.440 know,

00:59:21.780 Chicago

00:59:22.180 One Ray,

00:59:23.400 who said

00:59:24.000 this,

00:59:24.960 raise your

00:59:25.440 hand if

00:59:25.880 you think

00:59:26.180 Derek Chauvin

00:59:26.940 is in

00:59:27.340 prison because

00:59:27.960 of the

00:59:28.220 color of

00:59:28.680 his skin.

00:59:30.100 Now,

00:59:31.400 this is in

00:59:32.840 the category

00:59:33.440 of things

00:59:33.880 that we

00:59:34.180 couldn't

00:59:34.480 really say

00:59:34.980 out loud

00:59:35.560 a few

00:59:36.500 years ago.

00:59:37.580 But now

00:59:38.040 you can.

00:59:39.020 Here's what's

00:59:39.660 interesting.

00:59:40.080 I noticed

00:59:41.420 it because

00:59:41.700 Adam Carolla

00:59:42.420 agreed with

00:59:44.620 it, but

00:59:45.540 it had

00:59:45.860 one million

00:59:46.840 views.

00:59:48.880 So a

00:59:49.680 small

00:59:50.400 account

00:59:51.040 got one

00:59:52.760 million

00:59:53.280 views

00:59:54.020 because

00:59:55.960 that's how

00:59:56.380 many people

00:59:56.860 think that

00:59:57.560 Derek Chauvin

00:59:58.280 is a

00:59:59.380 political

00:59:59.760 prisoner

01:00:00.180 because of

01:00:00.780 his skin

01:00:01.160 color.

01:00:02.140 I

01:00:02.800 absolutely

01:00:03.480 believe that

01:00:04.320 he's a

01:00:04.780 political

01:00:05.100 prisoner

01:00:05.540 because of

01:00:06.020 his skin

01:00:06.340 color.

01:00:07.500 And the

01:00:08.520 problem,

01:00:09.120 at least

01:00:09.500 in part,

01:00:10.080 is crazy 1.00

01:00:10.680 bitches. 1.00

01:00:11.960 Crazy 1.00

01:00:12.280 white 1.00

01:00:12.500 bitches, 1.00

01:00:13.140 probably. 0.99

01:00:14.240 In part,

01:00:14.880 not entirely.

01:00:16.280 That one's

01:00:17.020 more complicated.

01:00:19.340 California

01:00:19.880 is giving

01:00:20.460 free health

01:00:21.100 care to

01:00:21.580 all illegal

01:00:22.340 immigrants

01:00:22.900 on January

01:00:23.560 1st.

01:00:25.580 So

01:00:26.100 does anybody

01:00:30.400 think that's

01:00:31.000 suboptimal?

01:00:33.680 Yes.

01:00:34.620 Once again,

01:00:35.800 we're going

01:00:36.260 to reward

01:00:36.960 people for

01:00:37.520 breaking the

01:00:38.040 law.

01:00:38.880 So we're

01:00:39.260 going to

01:00:39.440 give reparations

01:00:40.480 to violent

01:00:41.140 criminals in

01:00:41.860 Chicago,

01:00:42.440 maybe,

01:00:42.820 if the

01:00:43.120 mayor gets

01:00:43.520 his way.

01:00:44.660 And now

01:00:45.020 in California,

01:00:45.640 we're going

01:00:46.160 to reward

01:00:46.700 anybody who

01:00:47.220 can make

01:00:47.520 it illegally

01:00:48.200 here with

01:00:49.200 some free

01:00:49.600 health care.

01:00:50.760 Now,

01:00:50.940 to be fair,

01:00:52.480 because I saw

01:00:54.420 this story

01:00:55.220 reported with

01:00:56.560 the wrong

01:00:56.880 context.

01:00:58.080 To be fair,

01:00:59.240 what California

01:00:59.940 is doing is

01:01:00.680 allowing everybody

01:01:01.620 who qualifies

01:01:02.980 with low

01:01:03.940 income to

01:01:05.300 get free

01:01:05.640 health care.

01:01:06.060 so the

01:01:07.840 legal citizens

01:01:08.700 who have

01:01:09.120 low income

01:01:09.600 can also

01:01:10.080 get free

01:01:10.520 health,

01:01:11.740 whether you

01:01:12.300 like that

01:01:12.660 or not.

01:01:13.100 At least

01:01:13.340 everybody has

01:01:14.380 access to

01:01:15.020 low income.

01:01:16.000 I don't

01:01:16.340 know if

01:01:18.100 you had,

01:01:19.140 in the

01:01:20.140 unlikely event,

01:01:21.100 you had an

01:01:21.560 immigrant with

01:01:22.080 a high income.

01:01:23.560 I imagine

01:01:24.300 they would not

01:01:24.920 be eligible,

01:01:25.860 but that

01:01:26.800 probably is so

01:01:27.580 rare that it

01:01:28.580 doesn't happen.

01:01:29.060 So I have

01:01:31.820 very mixed

01:01:32.720 feelings about

01:01:33.680 this.

01:01:34.800 Number one,

01:01:36.340 we have a

01:01:36.940 $68 billion

01:01:37.860 shortfall in

01:01:39.100 the state,

01:01:39.760 so maybe we

01:01:41.040 shouldn't give

01:01:41.400 money away too

01:01:42.200 much.

01:01:43.000 On the other

01:01:43.460 hand,

01:01:45.020 universal health

01:01:45.760 care is the

01:01:46.200 only thing I

01:01:47.020 agree with.

01:01:48.920 That's like

01:01:49.620 purely socialist.

01:01:51.960 It's the only

01:01:52.680 thing I agree

01:01:53.220 with.

01:01:53.840 Now, you can

01:01:54.480 have a

01:01:54.720 disagreement with

01:01:55.560 me about it,

01:01:56.960 but I'll just

01:01:57.480 give you my

01:01:57.960 opinion.

01:01:59.060 my opinion

01:02:00.440 is I don't

01:02:02.840 feel like a

01:02:03.380 good person

01:02:03.980 if I can

01:02:05.460 watch somebody

01:02:06.000 die sitting

01:02:06.640 next to me

01:02:07.380 because they

01:02:08.220 don't have

01:02:08.540 health care.

01:02:09.780 I just

01:02:11.240 can't feel

01:02:11.700 like a

01:02:12.180 good person,

01:02:14.060 period.

01:02:15.360 Now, if

01:02:15.940 you can,

01:02:17.440 well, okay,

01:02:19.380 but my

01:02:20.460 entire political

01:02:22.980 philosophy about

01:02:24.260 health care

01:02:24.900 is that we

01:02:26.340 should find

01:02:26.840 a way for

01:02:27.420 the

01:02:27.800 the free

01:02:30.580 market to

01:02:32.040 make it

01:02:32.420 cheap enough

01:02:32.920 that everybody

01:02:33.360 can get it.

01:02:34.700 So I'd love

01:02:35.180 to see

01:02:35.520 technology,

01:02:36.620 et cetera,

01:02:37.060 make the

01:02:37.420 cost of

01:02:37.820 health care

01:02:38.180 come down

01:02:38.600 so much

01:02:39.220 that everybody

01:02:40.680 can get it.

01:02:41.320 So my

01:02:41.740 preferred way

01:02:42.600 for everybody

01:02:43.320 to have

01:02:43.620 health care

01:02:44.060 is the free

01:02:44.900 market.

01:02:45.220 But if you

01:02:47.240 can't make

01:02:47.720 that work,

01:02:48.960 there's always

01:02:49.520 going to be

01:02:49.860 some people

01:02:50.360 who can't

01:02:50.660 earn money.

01:02:51.520 If you can't

01:02:52.000 make that work,

01:02:52.720 work, I

01:02:54.360 don't want

01:02:54.620 to watch

01:02:54.900 them die

01:02:55.240 because they 0.99

01:02:55.580 can't get

01:02:55.880 a doctor.

01:02:57.360 Now, in

01:02:58.960 reality, they

01:03:00.160 would still go

01:03:00.640 to an

01:03:01.000 emergency room

01:03:01.840 and the

01:03:02.920 hospital would 0.56

01:03:03.520 eat it and

01:03:04.000 it would

01:03:04.180 come out

01:03:04.460 in your

01:03:04.680 taxes.

01:03:05.580 So they

01:03:05.840 didn't

01:03:06.160 exactly die.

01:03:08.300 So let's

01:03:08.940 say that I'm

01:03:09.500 philosophically in

01:03:10.620 favor of

01:03:11.340 everybody having

01:03:12.440 health care,

01:03:14.000 but I would

01:03:14.340 do it, the

01:03:15.020 details I'd do

01:03:15.680 a lot different

01:03:16.220 if it were

01:03:16.600 up to me.

01:03:17.600 Well, Vivek

01:03:18.220 Ramaswamy was

01:03:19.380 asked about the

01:03:20.080 civil war, of

01:03:21.040 course, because

01:03:22.400 Nikki Haley

01:03:24.620 did such a

01:03:25.260 bad job of

01:03:25.940 answering that

01:03:26.380 question, and

01:03:27.540 I won't give

01:03:28.040 you his answer

01:03:28.580 because it's

01:03:29.020 long, but if

01:03:31.300 you want to

01:03:31.800 see the kind

01:03:33.740 of leader that

01:03:34.840 America could

01:03:35.780 have, if you

01:03:37.760 want to see

01:03:38.140 what it would

01:03:38.560 look like to

01:03:39.920 have a

01:03:40.200 president that

01:03:41.640 you could send

01:03:42.160 to the G20

01:03:42.940 and everybody

01:03:44.020 there would

01:03:44.920 know that our

01:03:45.760 president is the

01:03:46.580 smartest one in

01:03:47.300 the G20, if

01:03:49.240 you want to

01:03:49.640 if you want

01:03:50.140 that, then

01:03:51.700 look at the

01:03:52.440 post from

01:03:53.320 Vivek, simply

01:03:54.640 describing a

01:03:55.660 little bit of

01:03:56.120 American history

01:03:56.980 about the

01:03:58.440 civil war and

01:03:59.240 more, and

01:04:00.580 just watch him

01:04:02.720 do it, and

01:04:04.280 if you don't

01:04:04.660 like that one,

01:04:06.520 pick up any

01:04:07.980 other campaign

01:04:09.420 speech or

01:04:10.120 appearance by

01:04:10.880 Vivek, especially

01:04:12.300 the ones that

01:04:12.940 are not

01:04:13.280 scripted, because

01:04:14.160 actually I've

01:04:15.080 never seen

01:04:15.480 him do a

01:04:15.880 scripted

01:04:16.300 anything, so

01:04:17.300 everything he

01:04:17.760 does I think

01:04:18.180 is unscripted,

01:04:19.640 but just

01:04:20.680 watch him

01:04:21.240 answer any

01:04:21.960 complicated

01:04:22.460 question about

01:04:23.640 anything, and

01:04:25.020 you're going to

01:04:25.360 walk away

01:04:25.800 saying, I've

01:04:28.380 never seen

01:04:28.860 that before, and

01:04:30.400 what you've

01:04:30.760 never seen

01:04:31.240 before is

01:04:31.880 somebody that

01:04:32.540 capable, and

01:04:34.260 that smart, and

01:04:36.080 that much on

01:04:36.760 your side, you

01:04:38.720 just don't see

01:04:39.320 that.

01:04:40.540 Now, Trump, very

01:04:41.940 much on your

01:04:42.480 side, and like

01:04:43.320 I always say, I'll

01:04:44.920 say it a million

01:04:45.440 more times, he

01:04:46.580 really can't be

01:04:47.240 compared to other

01:04:47.920 people, so if

01:04:50.740 you think I'm

01:04:51.520 saying Vivek is

01:04:52.420 in some general

01:04:54.740 way better than

01:04:55.680 Trump, that's

01:04:57.420 not my point

01:04:57.960 today.

01:04:58.780 You can like

01:04:59.600 Trump for his

01:05:00.260 own energy,

01:05:01.960 right?

01:05:02.280 He brings a

01:05:04.060 lot that can't

01:05:05.440 be duplicated,

01:05:06.420 but if you want

01:05:07.220 the smartest

01:05:07.940 president, like

01:05:09.840 you really want

01:05:10.420 to feel good

01:05:11.180 that the

01:05:12.100 president has

01:05:12.680 your interest

01:05:13.380 in mind, and

01:05:15.280 he's smarter

01:05:15.880 than the

01:05:16.280 others, and

01:05:16.720 he understands

01:05:17.280 all the

01:05:17.620 topics, and

01:05:18.920 he's not

01:05:19.260 likely to be

01:05:19.860 bought off, I

01:05:21.700 can't see him

01:05:22.140 being bought, you

01:05:24.680 do have a

01:05:25.100 choice.

01:05:26.460 Now, of course,

01:05:27.120 he's deeply in

01:05:28.060 the shadow of

01:05:28.660 Trump at the

01:05:29.260 moment, and

01:05:30.540 it's basically

01:05:31.720 Trump's election

01:05:33.380 to win or

01:05:33.880 lose, but

01:05:35.000 there's a lot

01:05:35.860 that could go

01:05:36.380 wrong, a lot

01:05:38.420 that could go

01:05:38.880 wrong, and

01:05:39.920 if anything

01:05:40.480 happened to

01:05:41.420 make Trump

01:05:42.320 unavailable,

01:05:43.100 you really

01:05:48.580 need to pick

01:05:49.080 him second.

01:05:50.740 He needs

01:05:51.480 to be your

01:05:51.900 backup plan,

01:05:53.640 because America

01:05:54.520 won't see a

01:05:55.800 Vivek come

01:05:56.620 along, but

01:05:58.280 every 40

01:06:00.680 years.

01:06:01.980 I think he's

01:06:03.000 a once-in-40

01:06:03.760 year politician.

01:06:05.500 I think he's

01:06:06.320 a Ronald Reagan

01:06:07.360 in the 80s.

01:06:10.140 Yeah.

01:06:11.060 I think he's

01:06:12.060 a completely

01:06:12.640 different animal

01:06:13.420 and the

01:06:14.180 public hasn't

01:06:14.840 quite caught

01:06:16.040 on yet, how

01:06:17.180 different he

01:06:17.760 is.

01:06:18.500 Different in

01:06:19.180 just a whole

01:06:19.840 other level.

01:06:20.940 We're not

01:06:21.480 seeing anybody

01:06:23.260 operate on that

01:06:23.980 level.

01:06:24.280 And again, I

01:06:25.700 don't put Trump

01:06:26.420 on any level

01:06:27.200 like the

01:06:28.220 others.

01:06:29.140 Trump's just

01:06:29.660 Trump.

01:06:31.120 He can just

01:06:31.600 be Trump.

01:06:33.780 Yeah.

01:06:34.060 No, Andrew

01:06:34.560 Yang, not in

01:06:35.640 the same category.

01:06:36.800 And I like

01:06:37.200 Andrew Yang.

01:06:38.080 By the way, Andrew

01:06:38.700 Yang, very

01:06:39.260 smart.

01:06:40.600 I don't think

01:06:41.260 he could have

01:06:41.660 been bought

01:06:42.040 off, had

01:06:42.900 good ideas,

01:06:43.800 but he's

01:06:44.560 like the

01:06:44.900 poor man's

01:06:45.520 vivaik.

01:06:47.300 I'll say

01:06:47.920 it again.

01:06:49.160 Andrew Yang

01:06:49.760 is pretty

01:06:50.220 awesome, but

01:06:51.540 he's the

01:06:51.940 poor man's

01:06:52.480 vivaik.

01:06:53.660 Maybe not

01:06:54.480 economically,

01:06:55.580 but he

01:06:56.660 doesn't quite

01:06:57.340 have the

01:06:58.060 energy, the

01:06:59.420 pure mental

01:07:01.060 firepower.

01:07:03.440 All right.

01:07:05.000 Congress has

01:07:05.840 figured out a

01:07:06.400 way to thwart

01:07:07.060 democracy again

01:07:08.060 by, instead

01:07:09.240 of getting

01:07:09.580 Congress's

01:07:10.260 approval to

01:07:10.880 fund Israel,

01:07:12.340 I guess all

01:07:12.940 they have to

01:07:13.360 do if you're

01:07:13.800 the president

01:07:14.240 is declare

01:07:14.960 an emergency.

01:07:16.420 So if you

01:07:16.840 declare an

01:07:17.360 emergency, you

01:07:18.080 can send

01:07:18.680 them money.

01:07:19.800 Because we

01:07:20.200 do like our

01:07:20.800 presidents to

01:07:21.460 have a lot

01:07:21.720 of power when

01:07:22.340 it comes to

01:07:22.800 emergencies.

01:07:24.440 But this

01:07:26.200 is pretty 0.99

01:07:26.580 fucked up. 1.00

01:07:29.300 This is 1.00

01:07:29.960 fucked up. 1.00

01:07:31.840 This is an 1.00

01:07:32.660 emergency.

01:07:33.120 You know, I'm

01:07:36.060 completely on

01:07:36.880 Israel's side

01:07:37.860 in the Gaza

01:07:38.960 situation, 100%

01:07:40.280 on their side.

01:07:41.740 But what, did

01:07:42.460 they run out

01:07:42.960 of money?

01:07:44.560 Really?

01:07:45.320 Israel ran 0.68

01:07:46.080 out of money?

01:07:46.760 Did they run

01:07:47.280 out of borrowing

01:07:48.240 power?

01:07:52.080 Really?

01:07:52.640 They can't pay

01:07:53.120 back a loan?

01:07:54.500 I now heard

01:07:55.540 that the

01:07:55.900 Israeli, I

01:07:58.180 had now heard

01:07:58.740 that their

01:07:59.240 economy was on

01:08:00.140 the rocks.

01:08:01.360 Is it?

01:08:03.120 I thought

01:08:03.700 they had

01:08:04.040 some borrowing

01:08:04.580 power.

01:08:06.500 Like, why

01:08:07.140 are we funding

01:08:08.540 their war?

01:08:09.940 And again, I'm

01:08:10.880 100% in favor

01:08:11.780 of Israel, but

01:08:12.600 don't they

01:08:15.920 have some

01:08:16.240 money?

01:08:17.460 They really

01:08:18.120 need our

01:08:18.500 money?

01:08:19.640 I just don't

01:08:20.460 understand it.

01:08:22.420 Yeah.

01:08:22.740 Now, if they

01:08:23.260 do need our

01:08:23.880 money, and

01:08:25.100 they can't

01:08:25.560 succeed without

01:08:26.240 it, well, I'm

01:08:27.400 in favor of

01:08:27.900 it.

01:08:28.660 But wouldn't

01:08:29.600 this be

01:08:30.000 something that

01:08:30.700 Thomas Massey

01:08:32.180 should be

01:08:32.540 able to

01:08:32.920 debate in

01:08:33.540 Congress?

01:08:35.360 Why the 0.99

01:08:36.300 fuck do we 0.99

01:08:36.760 have a 1.00

01:08:37.040 Thomas Massey

01:08:37.820 if he can't

01:08:38.740 even be in

01:08:39.160 the conversation?

01:08:41.160 Right?

01:08:41.760 Like, we've

01:08:42.440 got this

01:08:42.780 national asset.

01:08:44.340 I say this

01:08:45.160 all the time

01:08:45.680 because I

01:08:46.040 like him.

01:08:46.980 But Massey

01:08:47.940 is not like

01:08:48.640 the others.

01:08:49.980 You all

01:08:50.520 know why,

01:08:51.020 right?

01:08:51.660 He's just

01:08:52.200 smarter.

01:08:53.200 He's smarter,

01:08:54.120 and he appears

01:08:54.700 to be completely

01:08:55.540 unbribable,

01:08:56.760 and he appears

01:08:57.620 to be completely

01:08:58.540 able to go

01:08:59.820 where the

01:09:00.520 argument goes

01:09:01.700 without regard

01:09:03.320 to team.

01:09:06.720 Now, why

01:09:08.740 do we

01:09:09.080 bother

01:09:09.560 electing and

01:09:10.740 paying a

01:09:12.080 superstar, in

01:09:13.420 my opinion?

01:09:14.400 Like, he's

01:09:15.020 had shoulders

01:09:15.540 above the

01:09:16.080 other people

01:09:16.660 in Congress.

01:09:18.040 Not all of

01:09:18.720 them, but

01:09:19.020 you know,

01:09:19.240 most of them.

01:09:20.680 Why do we

01:09:21.260 bother, like,

01:09:22.300 going through

01:09:22.620 all this trouble

01:09:23.180 to elect

01:09:23.660 him, and

01:09:23.900 then he

01:09:24.140 can't even

01:09:24.440 be in the

01:09:24.840 conversation?

01:09:25.920 He's not

01:09:26.500 allowed to

01:09:26.980 even argue

01:09:27.600 to it.

01:09:28.980 What a

01:09:29.580 waste.

01:09:30.460 What a

01:09:30.960 waste of

01:09:31.320 a national

01:09:31.780 asset.

01:09:32.740 Just a

01:09:33.080 total waste.

01:09:34.900 All right.

01:09:36.440 As you

01:09:37.100 know, I

01:09:39.500 already talked

01:09:39.800 about that.

01:09:44.700 And as,

01:09:46.120 well, here's

01:09:46.640 another example.

01:09:47.420 Thomas Massey

01:09:48.140 explained on

01:09:49.220 social media,

01:09:50.480 and for some

01:09:51.040 reason, I

01:09:51.420 didn't know

01:09:51.860 this.

01:09:52.980 So this

01:09:53.340 will be a

01:09:53.700 test of

01:09:54.140 your general

01:09:54.600 knowledge as

01:09:55.460 well.

01:09:55.800 I think I

01:09:56.140 mentioned this

01:09:56.580 before, but

01:09:57.700 Massey says

01:09:59.100 that only the

01:09:59.800 House of

01:10:00.480 Representatives

01:10:01.040 has the

01:10:02.740 final say

01:10:03.260 over whether

01:10:03.780 electors from

01:10:04.620 states are

01:10:05.260 certified.

01:10:07.160 So apparently

01:10:07.960 all this

01:10:08.480 business of

01:10:09.160 the various

01:10:09.580 states trying

01:10:10.740 to keep

01:10:11.160 Trump off

01:10:11.760 the ballot

01:10:12.340 and all

01:10:12.620 that could 0.68

01:10:13.720 be completely

01:10:14.400 overridden

01:10:15.040 in the

01:10:15.500 Republican

01:10:16.020 House, but

01:10:17.620 only if the

01:10:19.220 Republicans hold

01:10:19.980 the House.

01:10:21.840 So they're

01:10:22.500 going to have

01:10:22.740 to be in

01:10:23.060 office in

01:10:23.620 order to

01:10:23.940 have any,

01:10:24.780 they're

01:10:25.020 going to

01:10:25.100 have to

01:10:25.300 hold the

01:10:25.600 House.

01:10:26.580 But really,

01:10:28.100 how did I

01:10:28.680 get this

01:10:29.120 far with

01:10:30.320 nobody telling

01:10:31.160 me that

01:10:32.280 the states

01:10:32.820 could do

01:10:33.180 whatever they

01:10:33.620 want and

01:10:34.160 the House

01:10:34.660 could just

01:10:35.040 overrule them?

01:10:36.780 How?

01:10:37.700 How did I

01:10:38.540 get to this

01:10:39.040 point with

01:10:39.520 the news

01:10:39.960 not mentioning

01:10:40.600 that?

01:10:41.960 How?

01:10:43.120 And there

01:10:43.640 wasn't any

01:10:44.180 other Republican

01:10:44.980 who was

01:10:46.120 aware enough

01:10:47.200 to mention

01:10:48.660 it?

01:10:51.200 This is

01:10:52.480 precisely what

01:10:53.460 I'm saying.

01:10:53.940 what's the

01:10:55.200 point of

01:10:55.620 having a

01:10:56.060 Thomas

01:10:56.420 Massey

01:10:56.900 if you're

01:10:58.260 not going

01:10:58.500 to let

01:10:58.720 him be

01:10:58.920 part of

01:10:59.220 the argument?

01:11:00.720 Let him

01:11:01.040 loose.

01:11:02.240 Let him

01:11:03.000 do his

01:11:03.320 thing.

01:11:05.660 All right.

01:11:08.200 This is

01:11:08.880 funny.

01:11:09.540 This is

01:11:09.860 another

01:11:10.080 Jonathan

01:11:10.540 Turley

01:11:10.960 point.

01:11:13.160 So DeSantis

01:11:13.740 has publicly

01:11:14.640 said that he

01:11:15.240 would fire

01:11:15.660 Jack Smith,

01:11:16.780 who's the

01:11:17.400 prosecutor for

01:11:18.160 Trump,

01:11:18.860 one of them,

01:11:19.940 on day one

01:11:20.840 if he

01:11:21.260 got elected.

01:11:23.260 Now that

01:11:23.940 would, of

01:11:24.500 course,

01:11:24.780 put some

01:11:25.180 pressure on

01:11:25.900 Jack Smith

01:11:26.480 to try to

01:11:27.640 wrap up all

01:11:28.280 of his

01:11:28.700 trial stuff,

01:11:30.160 whatever he's

01:11:30.660 going to do

01:11:31.160 about Trump

01:11:31.780 before the

01:11:32.820 election.

01:11:33.820 Because after

01:11:34.340 the election

01:11:34.840 there might

01:11:35.260 not be any

01:11:35.940 Jack Smith

01:11:36.540 and might

01:11:37.360 not be

01:11:37.680 anything.

01:11:39.640 So you

01:11:40.400 can see why

01:11:40.880 he needs

01:11:41.180 to hurry.

01:11:42.580 But here's

01:11:43.480 the great

01:11:43.800 thing.

01:11:45.400 If you're

01:11:46.600 ever in a

01:11:46.960 situation where

01:11:47.720 your strategy

01:11:48.600 can work

01:11:50.360 if you

01:11:50.720 can delay

01:11:51.300 things and

01:11:52.540 you can

01:11:52.840 use the

01:11:53.240 bureaucracy

01:11:53.680 and the

01:11:54.300 rules of

01:11:54.740 the system

01:11:55.160 itself to

01:11:55.660 delay

01:11:55.980 things and

01:11:57.380 delaying

01:11:57.820 works for

01:11:58.320 you,

01:11:58.880 it's a

01:11:59.500 real tough

01:11:59.920 strategy to

01:12:00.640 beat.

01:12:01.420 So it

01:12:01.760 looks like

01:12:02.140 the Trump

01:12:02.680 people have

01:12:03.300 a strategy

01:12:03.960 that would

01:12:04.940 allow them

01:12:05.440 to just

01:12:05.860 keep dragging

01:12:06.440 things down

01:12:07.140 until after

01:12:07.940 the election

01:12:08.420 so that if

01:12:09.500 Trump gets

01:12:09.960 elected he

01:12:10.460 can just

01:12:10.780 fire Jack

01:12:11.320 Smith.

01:12:12.600 But even

01:12:13.300 better,

01:12:14.240 any Republican

01:12:15.000 who gets

01:12:15.460 elected is

01:12:16.460 likely to

01:12:17.800 also fire

01:12:18.380 him.

01:12:19.600 So he's

01:12:20.380 got to

01:12:20.660 rush to

01:12:21.260 get this

01:12:21.620 done before

01:12:22.880 he gets

01:12:23.200 fired.

01:12:25.160 Now, if

01:12:26.400 this were a

01:12:27.000 movie, which

01:12:28.520 someday it

01:12:29.080 will be, it

01:12:29.820 will be a

01:12:30.300 movie, is

01:12:32.320 this the

01:12:32.660 best third

01:12:33.240 act?

01:12:35.080 So you've

01:12:35.400 got the

01:12:35.760 election, you

01:12:36.840 know, maybe

01:12:37.160 there's some

01:12:37.620 locked door

01:12:38.260 with some

01:12:38.660 ballots in

01:12:39.140 it.

01:12:39.520 Imagine the

01:12:40.080 movie version

01:12:40.760 of this.

01:12:41.820 Imagine the

01:12:42.340 movie version

01:12:43.000 that always

01:12:43.340 has an A

01:12:44.300 story.

01:12:45.060 It's called

01:12:45.380 the A

01:12:45.660 story and

01:12:46.100 a B

01:12:46.340 story.

01:12:47.180 So the

01:12:47.540 A story

01:12:48.100 would be

01:12:48.480 about just

01:12:49.080 Trump.

01:12:50.560 So it's

01:12:50.860 Trump doing

01:12:51.340 this, Trump

01:12:51.780 doing that.

01:12:53.480 The B

01:12:54.120 story could

01:12:55.560 be the

01:12:56.980 Rasmussen

01:12:57.560 people who

01:12:58.940 keep chipping

01:12:59.940 on these

01:13:00.520 ballots that

01:13:01.260 are behind

01:13:01.560 this locked

01:13:02.080 door.

01:13:03.320 And like

01:13:03.540 every once

01:13:03.920 in a while

01:13:04.140 you go to

01:13:04.560 the B

01:13:04.880 story in

01:13:05.380 the movie

01:13:05.720 and you

01:13:06.480 see them

01:13:06.920 like standing

01:13:07.680 in front of

01:13:08.060 the locked

01:13:08.380 door and

01:13:08.920 like, how

01:13:09.540 do we get

01:13:10.560 in?

01:13:11.040 And you

01:13:11.380 see them

01:13:11.800 like just

01:13:12.860 grinding

01:13:13.400 through the

01:13:13.920 process.

01:13:14.540 Every once

01:13:14.880 in a while

01:13:15.080 you go back

01:13:15.620 to them and

01:13:16.620 it looks

01:13:16.820 like they

01:13:17.140 don't have

01:13:17.440 a chance

01:13:17.820 of finding

01:13:18.220 out what's

01:13:18.700 behind the

01:13:19.060 door, but 0.71

01:13:19.480 maybe they

01:13:19.860 do, maybe

01:13:20.340 they don't.

01:13:21.680 And then

01:13:22.920 you look at

01:13:23.440 the trials.

01:13:25.800 So the

01:13:26.080 trials would

01:13:26.620 be like also

01:13:28.060 a B

01:13:28.420 story, but

01:13:29.000 you wouldn't

01:13:29.320 call it

01:13:29.600 that, like

01:13:30.080 a B or

01:13:30.620 C story.

01:13:31.760 And you

01:13:32.320 watch the

01:13:32.740 trials going

01:13:33.420 on and you

01:13:34.160 see like

01:13:34.520 Jack Smith

01:13:35.040 behind the

01:13:35.600 scenes.

01:13:36.440 He's got

01:13:36.680 to figure

01:13:36.960 out how

01:13:37.300 to beat

01:13:37.560 the bureaucracy,

01:13:38.460 beat the

01:13:38.780 legal rules

01:13:39.440 and everything.

01:13:40.420 And then you

01:13:40.760 get like right

01:13:41.620 up to the

01:13:42.300 final thing.

01:13:45.620 And then

01:13:46.160 Biden drops

01:13:46.980 out and

01:13:48.980 Newsom comes

01:13:49.620 in.

01:13:50.980 I mean, just

01:13:51.520 think of the

01:13:51.960 movie.

01:13:52.900 The movie

01:13:53.460 would be

01:13:53.920 amazing.

01:13:55.080 And it's

01:13:55.280 all based

01:13:55.600 on real

01:13:55.900 stuff or

01:13:56.880 could be.

01:13:59.380 Then imagine

01:14:00.380 in the movie

01:14:01.040 that Newsom

01:14:02.800 comes in and

01:14:04.040 suddenly, 0.99

01:14:05.680 shit, he's 1.00

01:14:07.420 leading in the 1.00

01:14:07.980 polls.

01:14:09.460 Because really

01:14:10.360 it was all

01:14:10.820 about not

01:14:11.380 electing Biden.

01:14:13.080 The moment

01:14:13.660 he's replaced,

01:14:14.980 the polls

01:14:15.920 reverse.

01:14:17.240 Let's say

01:14:17.780 Trump was

01:14:18.300 just dominating

01:14:18.900 the polls and

01:14:19.620 it goes right

01:14:20.080 into like,

01:14:21.240 you're into

01:14:21.620 September.

01:14:23.400 And it's

01:14:23.700 like an

01:14:24.000 emergency now.

01:14:26.040 They put in

01:14:26.840 Newsom and

01:14:27.380 the polls

01:14:27.800 reverse.

01:14:28.700 And it's

01:14:28.900 only weeks

01:14:29.420 before the

01:14:29.940 election.

01:14:32.900 Days before

01:14:33.740 the election,

01:14:35.420 the legal

01:14:36.980 stuff gets

01:14:37.620 beaten back.

01:14:38.940 So Trump's

01:14:39.800 not in jail.

01:14:40.520 Or even

01:14:41.100 better, he

01:14:42.220 spends one

01:14:42.760 day in jail

01:14:43.440 and the

01:14:44.300 country just

01:14:44.880 goes nuts

01:14:45.500 and they

01:14:46.660 have to

01:14:46.940 let him

01:14:47.180 out.

01:14:48.140 Or they

01:14:49.480 find those

01:14:50.080 ballots.

01:14:51.940 Imagine

01:14:52.420 finding the

01:14:53.280 ballots two

01:14:54.000 weeks before

01:14:54.600 the election.

01:14:55.780 The alleged

01:14:56.640 fake ballots

01:14:57.660 which I

01:14:58.180 can't confirm

01:14:58.980 exist at all.

01:15:01.220 Wouldn't

01:15:01.440 that be

01:15:01.720 awesome?

01:15:03.000 If you

01:15:03.660 think of

01:15:04.060 this as a

01:15:04.600 movie, it's

01:15:05.900 got everything.

01:15:07.520 It's got

01:15:08.000 star power,

01:15:09.500 intrigue, it's

01:15:10.560 got levels.

01:15:12.440 I mean, it's

01:15:13.120 just got

01:15:13.680 everything.

01:15:14.160 I can't

01:15:14.460 wait to

01:15:14.780 see the

01:15:15.020 movie.

01:15:15.880 I mean, quite

01:15:16.560 honestly, it's

01:15:17.880 going to be a

01:15:18.280 great freaking 0.77

01:15:18.880 movie no matter 0.83

01:15:19.740 what happens.

01:15:21.240 But I think

01:15:21.740 it's a better

01:15:22.140 movie if

01:15:22.580 Trump wins.

01:15:24.420 It could

01:15:25.040 also be a

01:15:25.700 movie if

01:15:27.360 Trump had to

01:15:27.960 drop out and

01:15:28.860 Vivek won and

01:15:30.760 then just

01:15:32.140 laid havoc to

01:15:33.460 the government,

01:15:35.320 you know, gets

01:15:35.860 rid of all those

01:15:36.520 departments, fires

01:15:37.460 all the bad 0.97

01:15:38.020 people, you

01:15:38.840 know, jails all 0.73

01:15:39.540 the criminals.

01:15:40.760 You know, he

01:15:41.000 just goes full

01:15:41.680 Argentina on

01:15:42.480 it.

01:15:43.500 Because you

01:15:43.780 know, Vivek is

01:15:44.440 going to go

01:15:44.820 full Argentina,

01:15:45.740 right?

01:15:47.640 He's very

01:15:48.420 clear about it.

01:15:49.960 He's going to

01:15:50.560 go full

01:15:51.000 Argentina and

01:15:51.820 just get rid 0.70

01:15:52.400 of all the 1.00

01:15:52.840 shit. 1.00

01:15:53.640 Just sweep 1.00

01:15:54.180 that stuff

01:15:54.760 out the

01:15:55.100 door.

01:15:57.300 Trump as

01:15:57.920 Attorney General.

01:15:58.800 Oh, my God,

01:15:59.340 that would be

01:15:59.660 funny.

01:16:01.020 How corrupt

01:16:01.760 are the 0.55

01:16:02.000 Democrats?

01:16:02.640 Well,

01:16:02.900 Watcher.Guru

01:16:03.760 points out that

01:16:05.400 Sam Bankman

01:16:06.860 Freed donated

01:16:07.560 $100 million in

01:16:08.480 stolen, he

01:16:09.120 calls it,

01:16:09.540 stolen customer

01:16:10.240 funds to

01:16:11.380 U.S.

01:16:11.780 politicians.

01:16:12.560 I guess that's

01:16:13.080 a fair

01:16:13.360 characterization.

01:16:15.100 And then he

01:16:15.620 reports that

01:16:16.160 today the

01:16:16.580 U.S.

01:16:16.880 government

01:16:17.120 announced they're

01:16:18.340 dropping six

01:16:19.200 charges against

01:16:20.160 them and will

01:16:21.300 not prosecute

01:16:22.200 them for

01:16:22.540 political campaign

01:16:23.660 finance violations.

01:16:28.080 To which

01:16:28.800 everybody in the

01:16:29.460 world says,

01:16:30.300 oh, there's a

01:16:31.700 big surprise

01:16:32.540 that the

01:16:34.000 biggest donor

01:16:34.620 isn't going to

01:16:35.120 be prosecuted

01:16:35.880 for finance

01:16:36.740 violations with

01:16:37.660 his stolen

01:16:38.080 money.

01:16:40.240 Well,

01:16:40.760 Tucker had

01:16:41.400 the so-called

01:16:42.440 Wolf of

01:16:42.980 Wall Street,

01:16:44.520 you know,

01:16:44.740 the real

01:16:45.840 person who

01:16:46.420 they made

01:16:46.800 the movie

01:16:47.160 about the

01:16:47.520 Wolf of

01:16:47.800 Wall Street,

01:16:48.880 on his

01:16:49.460 show and

01:16:49.980 among other

01:16:50.380 things he

01:16:50.760 said that

01:16:51.180 Pelosi has

01:16:52.000 to be

01:16:52.260 operating on

01:16:53.760 information

01:16:54.780 that's

01:16:55.100 non-public.

01:16:56.620 In other

01:16:56.920 words, a

01:16:58.100 guy who

01:16:58.460 knows a

01:16:59.100 whole lot

01:16:59.520 about

01:16:59.880 investing

01:17:01.200 says it

01:17:03.000 seems kind

01:17:03.540 of obvious

01:17:04.020 to him that

01:17:04.580 it's insider

01:17:05.300 trading and

01:17:05.960 it's right

01:17:06.220 in front of

01:17:06.600 you.

01:17:07.920 Now, I

01:17:08.300 don't know

01:17:08.560 that that's

01:17:08.960 true.

01:17:10.240 It sure

01:17:10.600 looks like

01:17:11.080 it,

01:17:11.220 doesn't it?

01:17:12.560 It looks

01:17:13.300 exactly like

01:17:14.020 it.

01:17:14.720 He also

01:17:15.100 said that

01:17:15.760 Biden is

01:17:17.020 great at

01:17:17.420 laundering

01:17:17.840 money.

01:17:18.840 From what

01:17:19.220 I've seen

01:17:19.540 right now,

01:17:20.020 I don't

01:17:20.260 get it.

01:17:20.900 Like, just

01:17:21.800 imagine if

01:17:22.400 it was

01:17:22.960 Trump who

01:17:23.400 was president.

01:17:24.860 Yes.

01:17:25.680 Imagine if

01:17:26.460 Trump had

01:17:28.200 been receiving

01:17:28.820 $40,000

01:17:29.640 checks through

01:17:30.500 this obvious,

01:17:32.400 you know,

01:17:33.080 sketchy-looking

01:17:34.020 situation.

01:17:35.020 There's no

01:17:35.560 way we would

01:17:36.380 be just,

01:17:37.080 well, you

01:17:37.620 know, that's

01:17:38.680 just Hunter.

01:17:40.180 Nobody would

01:17:41.020 be saying,

01:17:42.260 well, you

01:17:42.560 know, that's

01:17:42.940 just Don

01:17:43.420 Jr.

01:17:44.200 Come on.

01:17:45.360 Come on.

01:17:45.800 That's just

01:17:46.200 Don Jr.

01:17:47.580 Don Jr.

01:17:48.300 does things.

01:17:49.980 Don Jr.

01:17:50.540 is not

01:17:51.020 Trump.

01:17:53.220 That's what,

01:17:53.760 that's what,

01:17:54.900 anyway.

01:17:57.060 So, yes,

01:17:58.000 perhaps the

01:17:58.940 Democrats are

01:17:59.680 exactly as 1.00

01:18:00.540 corrupt as

01:18:01.140 you think.

01:18:01.620 Is there

01:18:04.840 any, any

01:18:05.740 other corrupt

01:18:06.260 people?

01:18:06.720 Well, I

01:18:07.140 don't know

01:18:07.500 if they're

01:18:07.900 corrupt, but

01:18:08.520 Mike Pompeo 0.60

01:18:10.160 said this

01:18:10.780 on a post.

01:18:12.180 He said,

01:18:12.520 if Putin

01:18:12.920 wins, he

01:18:14.020 won't stop

01:18:14.620 at Ukraine's

01:18:15.280 border.

01:18:15.960 Now, this

01:18:16.240 is just

01:18:17.160 today.

01:18:17.640 This is

01:18:17.880 like a

01:18:18.160 brand-new

01:18:18.540 post.

01:18:19.440 If Putin

01:18:19.760 wins, he

01:18:20.140 won't stop

01:18:20.540 at Ukraine's

01:18:21.100 border.

01:18:21.780 Our allies

01:18:22.420 and our

01:18:22.680 interests will

01:18:23.100 face a

01:18:23.500 constant,

01:18:25.580 not constant,

01:18:26.320 you should

01:18:26.480 say continuous,

01:18:27.460 greater threat,

01:18:28.600 and the cost

01:18:29.100 to America

01:18:29.580 will be far

01:18:30.600 higher.

01:18:31.000 It is

01:18:32.020 in our

01:18:32.340 core interest

01:18:32.960 to provide

01:18:33.520 Ukraine with

01:18:34.140 the weapons

01:18:34.540 to win

01:18:35.000 the end

01:18:36.040 of the war.

01:18:37.300 Now, so

01:18:38.360 Mike Pompeo

01:18:39.140 really, really

01:18:39.720 wants Ukraine 0.88

01:18:40.800 to be funded.

01:18:42.600 Yeah.

01:18:43.720 So, Ian

01:18:44.300 Miles-Chang 0.90

01:18:45.400 notes this.

01:18:47.240 Wondering why

01:18:47.860 Mike Pompeo

01:18:48.680 is lobbying

01:18:49.180 so hard for

01:18:49.860 Ukraine?

01:18:50.740 Well, look

01:18:51.400 at who

01:18:51.640 is employing

01:18:52.880 him now.

01:18:53.880 He's now

01:18:54.300 on the

01:18:54.540 board of

01:18:54.920 directors of

01:18:55.740 Kievstar,

01:18:57.380 the largest

01:18:58.000 mobile service

01:18:58.980 provider in

01:19:00.140 Ukraine.

01:19:01.000 really?

01:19:06.280 Really?

01:19:08.040 Is it

01:19:08.780 that obvious?

01:19:10.700 But when

01:19:11.200 did people

01:19:11.740 stop hiding

01:19:12.400 it?

01:19:14.020 He's not

01:19:14.700 even hiding

01:19:15.200 it.

01:19:16.020 It's like a

01:19:16.560 public knowledge

01:19:17.320 that he's

01:19:18.480 on the

01:19:18.740 board of

01:19:19.080 the biggest

01:19:19.480 mobile phone

01:19:20.380 provider in

01:19:21.120 Ukraine,

01:19:22.020 which is

01:19:23.320 basically a

01:19:23.940 license to

01:19:24.500 print money.

01:19:25.040 not only

01:19:27.660 that, but

01:19:30.420 he was

01:19:30.720 the head

01:19:30.940 of the

01:19:31.180 CIA.

01:19:32.880 So, now

01:19:33.500 you've got

01:19:33.740 the ex-head

01:19:34.220 of the

01:19:34.480 CIA, who's

01:19:36.020 got the

01:19:36.360 best money

01:19:37.660 laundering

01:19:38.380 job, which

01:19:40.240 is be on

01:19:41.200 the board

01:19:41.560 of this

01:19:41.940 mobile phone

01:19:42.720 company in

01:19:43.260 Ukraine.

01:19:44.320 Do you know

01:19:45.040 what's wrong

01:19:45.460 with this

01:19:45.780 story?

01:19:47.080 Everything.

01:19:49.020 Everything is

01:19:49.860 wrong with

01:19:50.260 this.

01:19:51.120 Absolutely

01:19:51.640 everything is

01:19:52.720 wrong with

01:19:53.140 this.

01:19:55.040 Elon Musk

01:19:58.920 commented on

01:20:00.520 a post by

01:20:02.760 Data Hazard,

01:20:03.940 I think,

01:20:04.940 at Fentesel.

01:20:06.320 Anyway, since

01:20:07.120 August, there

01:20:07.820 have been more

01:20:08.740 immigrants arriving

01:20:09.960 than American 0.62

01:20:12.220 children born.

01:20:15.880 And that's

01:20:16.260 only the

01:20:16.720 official number

01:20:17.440 we know that

01:20:18.360 were processed

01:20:19.700 or caught.

01:20:20.760 That doesn't

01:20:21.240 count the

01:20:21.620 people who

01:20:21.980 got in

01:20:22.300 illegally and

01:20:22.880 nobody knows.

01:20:23.560 so we

01:20:28.040 are literally

01:20:28.720 bringing in

01:20:29.360 more immigrants

01:20:30.040 than we're

01:20:30.740 birthing new

01:20:31.600 children.

01:20:33.640 Where's that

01:20:34.300 end up?

01:20:35.520 It only ends

01:20:36.440 up in one

01:20:36.900 place.

01:20:37.980 And why are

01:20:38.780 we doing it?

01:20:39.920 Why do you

01:20:40.380 think this

01:20:40.780 situation

01:20:41.340 continues?

01:20:44.420 It's a

01:20:44.860 two-word

01:20:45.220 answer.

01:20:46.540 Two-word

01:20:47.200 answer.

01:20:47.640 Have you

01:20:47.900 forgotten

01:20:48.220 already?

01:20:49.660 The two-word

01:20:50.520 answer, 1.00

01:20:52.440 crazy bitches. 1.00

01:20:53.100 If white 1.00

01:20:56.120 women wanted 0.99

01:20:57.780 this to

01:20:58.320 stop, it

01:20:59.380 would have

01:20:59.620 already

01:20:59.840 stopped. 0.89

01:21:01.300 Because white 0.99

01:21:02.060 women control 1.00

01:21:02.780 the Democratic

01:21:03.420 Party.

01:21:04.500 Republicans are

01:21:05.260 already on

01:21:05.680 board.

01:21:07.060 This is a 1.00

01:21:07.640 crazy bitch 1.00

01:21:08.180 problem. 1.00

01:21:09.100 Why do I say

01:21:09.660 it's crazy?

01:21:10.580 Because you'd

01:21:11.320 have to be a 1.00

01:21:11.920 crazy bitch to 1.00

01:21:12.920 let in a bunch 1.00

01:21:13.580 of men that

01:21:16.020 are unvented.

01:21:17.460 There's nothing

01:21:18.180 crazier than

01:21:18.860 that.

01:21:19.140 Yeah, that's 1.00

01:21:22.240 crazy bitch 1.00

01:21:23.500 stuff. 1.00

01:21:24.460 And honestly,

01:21:25.820 it suggests that

01:21:26.660 women shouldn't 1.00

01:21:27.200 have power over

01:21:29.020 anything that

01:21:29.660 involves national

01:21:30.820 security.

01:21:32.500 I hate to say

01:21:33.540 it.

01:21:34.980 But no,

01:21:35.560 obviously there

01:21:36.200 would be plenty

01:21:36.720 of women who

01:21:37.280 would be perfect

01:21:37.940 for that job.

01:21:39.040 But if you put

01:21:39.780 them as voters,

01:21:41.160 if you look at

01:21:42.300 them as an

01:21:42.760 average, they're

01:21:44.200 not getting it

01:21:44.820 done.

01:21:45.080 So I'll make

01:21:47.100 a distinction

01:21:47.640 between an

01:21:48.380 individual woman

01:21:49.360 who could be

01:21:50.460 terrific as a

01:21:51.520 president, terrific

01:21:52.400 as a commander

01:21:53.300 in chief.

01:21:53.900 That's very

01:21:54.560 possible.

01:21:55.280 Nothing against

01:21:55.840 individuals.

01:21:57.220 So this is not

01:21:57.980 a comment about

01:21:58.740 any individual

01:21:59.680 woman who 0.99

01:22:01.340 can be super.

01:22:04.220 But on

01:22:04.680 average, you

01:22:06.140 don't want them

01:22:06.700 to have a vote

01:22:07.580 about your

01:22:08.200 national security

01:22:09.140 because they

01:22:09.600 apparently can't

01:22:10.380 do it.

01:22:11.500 Women don't 1.00

01:22:12.160 seem capable 0.73

01:22:12.940 of protecting

01:22:15.000 national security.

01:22:16.020 I don't know

01:22:16.400 why.

01:22:17.580 Maybe it's

01:22:18.160 only white

01:22:18.560 women. 0.81

01:22:20.960 But we need

01:22:21.740 to look into

01:22:22.240 that.

01:22:23.460 All right.

01:22:24.320 Ukraine is

01:22:25.160 entering what

01:22:25.780 I call the

01:22:26.240 pre-negotiation

01:22:27.180 phase of a

01:22:28.600 peace deal.

01:22:30.340 And pre-negotiation

01:22:31.680 looks like this.

01:22:33.040 The heaviest

01:22:33.760 aerial attacks

01:22:34.700 on Kiev yet.

01:22:36.900 So the report

01:22:37.960 is the heaviest

01:22:38.860 missile and

01:22:40.040 drone attacks

01:22:40.780 on Kiev and

01:22:41.700 I guess other

01:22:42.320 places.

01:22:43.940 Why is that

01:22:44.660 pre-negotiation?

01:22:46.380 Does everybody

01:22:46.880 see it?

01:22:48.580 Why is it

01:22:49.400 pre-negotiation?

01:22:51.400 It's because

01:22:52.220 it won't win

01:22:52.920 the war and

01:22:55.420 they're not

01:22:55.780 doing anything

01:22:56.320 on the front

01:22:56.840 line that

01:22:57.740 would change

01:22:58.800 how much

01:22:59.200 territory they 0.70

01:23:00.080 control.

01:23:01.400 The reason

01:23:02.200 you would do

01:23:03.160 massive bombing 0.98

01:23:04.180 before you

01:23:05.900 negotiate is

01:23:07.440 that you want

01:23:08.260 the people

01:23:09.500 that you're

01:23:09.820 negotiating with

01:23:10.680 to be in

01:23:11.620 the maximum

01:23:12.160 sense of

01:23:13.160 fear.

01:23:14.180 So you

01:23:14.480 want them

01:23:14.860 to be

01:23:15.220 emotionally

01:23:16.020 rocked by

01:23:17.760 the fact that

01:23:18.400 rockets just

01:23:19.080 landed near

01:23:19.720 them in

01:23:20.140 Kiev.

01:23:21.280 You don't

01:23:21.900 want them to

01:23:22.380 think the war

01:23:22.980 is something

01:23:23.320 happening on

01:23:23.900 the border

01:23:24.320 and that

01:23:25.560 they're all

01:23:25.920 safe sitting

01:23:26.500 there in

01:23:26.840 Kiev.

01:23:27.520 Because the

01:23:28.020 people who

01:23:28.440 feel safe

01:23:28.940 are not

01:23:29.240 going to

01:23:29.520 want peace.

01:23:30.920 They're like,

01:23:31.420 well, so far

01:23:33.020 it's just other

01:23:33.560 people dying,

01:23:34.560 not me.

01:23:35.460 But if you

01:23:36.080 take that risk

01:23:36.840 to their

01:23:37.200 family, which

01:23:38.440 is what

01:23:38.760 Putin is

01:23:39.220 doing, you're

01:23:40.360 going to get

01:23:40.660 a much

01:23:40.980 better deal.

01:23:43.620 So I think

01:23:44.280 the uptick

01:23:45.000 in bombing

01:23:45.740 civilians,

01:23:47.560 and I think

01:23:48.600 it's mostly

01:23:49.000 civilians,

01:23:50.340 in the

01:23:51.320 populated areas

01:23:52.620 suggests to

01:23:53.980 me, because

01:23:55.600 wouldn't you

01:23:56.480 agree that if

01:23:57.120 you were trying

01:23:57.480 to win the

01:23:58.000 war, you 0.92

01:23:59.380 would use all

01:24:00.000 those assets

01:24:00.720 on the

01:24:01.400 military that's

01:24:03.020 on the

01:24:03.260 front line?

01:24:04.700 Wouldn't you

01:24:05.060 bomb, like, 0.51

01:24:06.480 you would use 0.94

01:24:06.940 those on your

01:24:08.120 direct threat

01:24:08.900 if you were

01:24:10.160 trying to win

01:24:10.600 the war?

01:24:11.580 So it seems

01:24:12.580 that they're

01:24:13.000 preparing for

01:24:13.640 peace.

01:24:14.860 Here's your

01:24:15.500 test.

01:24:16.980 See if

01:24:17.600 anybody else

01:24:18.320 in the news

01:24:18.940 says what I

01:24:19.600 say, because

01:24:21.340 this is my

01:24:22.000 prediction that

01:24:22.740 Putin is

01:24:23.540 prepping,

01:24:24.660 he's priming

01:24:25.480 for a peace

01:24:26.760 talk.

01:24:27.660 I want to

01:24:28.340 see if anybody

01:24:28.840 who knows what

01:24:29.620 they're talking

01:24:30.060 about mirrors

01:24:31.700 me on this.

01:24:33.220 What do you

01:24:33.540 think?

01:24:34.340 So that's the

01:24:35.000 prediction.

01:24:35.740 The prediction

01:24:36.280 is that this

01:24:36.980 will be seen

01:24:37.740 as priming

01:24:38.780 for peace

01:24:39.260 talks.

01:24:42.040 All right.

01:24:44.580 Here's what,

01:24:45.720 oh, here's a

01:24:46.300 post by Adam

01:24:47.440 Coleman.

01:24:49.700 He calls

01:24:50.780 himself the

01:24:51.300 president of

01:24:52.180 Ain't Blackestan.

01:24:55.780 So anyway,

01:24:57.160 Adam says,

01:24:58.680 the woke,

01:25:00.160 who's texting

01:25:03.300 me?

01:25:05.140 I'm always

01:25:05.820 interested who

01:25:06.360 would text me

01:25:07.240 during the

01:25:07.640 show.

01:25:10.360 Come on,

01:25:11.260 you know I'm

01:25:11.740 on the show.

01:25:15.580 You're

01:25:16.060 watching right

01:25:16.560 now.

01:25:18.840 December

01:25:19.360 20th.

01:25:20.840 Why December

01:25:21.680 20th?

01:25:23.680 We'll be

01:25:24.320 known as 0.99

01:25:24.740 Crazy Bitch 1.00

01:25:25.340 Day. 0.99

01:25:26.000 Anyway,

01:25:26.280 that's an

01:25:26.580 incoming comment.

01:25:27.260 All right,

01:25:29.540 Adam Coleman

01:25:30.160 said this.

01:25:31.140 Let's see if

01:25:31.480 you agree

01:25:31.820 with it.

01:25:32.600 Now,

01:25:32.820 before I

01:25:33.240 tell you,

01:25:34.400 I'll tell

01:25:34.780 you that

01:25:35.100 any absolutes

01:25:36.200 are generally

01:25:37.600 false.

01:25:39.080 So he

01:25:39.580 puts this

01:25:41.120 in absolutes,

01:25:42.080 but in

01:25:42.820 your head

01:25:43.140 you should

01:25:43.460 say he

01:25:44.340 doesn't

01:25:44.580 mean every

01:25:44.960 single

01:25:45.220 person.

01:25:46.380 He says,

01:25:46.820 the woke

01:25:47.080 left believes

01:25:47.660 the only way

01:25:48.200 for black 0.99

01:25:48.640 people to 0.95

01:25:49.100 get a job

01:25:49.600 is with

01:25:50.040 DEI,

01:25:51.300 whereas the

01:25:52.460 woke right

01:25:53.060 believes the

01:25:54.240 only reason 0.98

01:25:54.820 black people 0.99

01:25:55.360 have a job 0.99

01:25:56.000 is DEI.

01:25:57.880 He says

01:25:58.300 two sides

01:25:58.920 of the

01:25:59.160 same coin.

01:26:00.960 And I

01:26:01.380 spent some

01:26:02.060 time thinking

01:26:02.540 about this

01:26:03.060 a little bit.

01:26:04.420 Now,

01:26:04.660 Adam,

01:26:05.040 I believe

01:26:05.480 Adam is 0.96

01:26:05.920 black, 0.95

01:26:06.540 if that 0.98

01:26:07.200 makes any

01:26:07.600 difference

01:26:07.920 to how

01:26:08.480 you receive

01:26:09.180 this.

01:26:10.220 But I

01:26:12.440 feel like

01:26:13.160 he has a

01:26:13.620 point here.

01:26:14.740 He's saying

01:26:15.480 that the

01:26:17.500 left believes

01:26:18.300 that you

01:26:18.560 need DEI 0.98

01:26:19.300 for black 0.97

01:26:19.840 people to 0.89

01:26:20.260 get a job,

01:26:21.160 and the

01:26:21.820 right believes

01:26:22.440 that they

01:26:23.000 got a job

01:26:23.680 because of

01:26:24.240 DEI.

01:26:26.000 it kind

01:26:27.620 of does

01:26:27.920 make sense,

01:26:28.500 doesn't it?

01:26:29.880 I don't know,

01:26:30.280 I just have

01:26:31.080 to live with

01:26:31.580 this one for

01:26:32.060 a little while

01:26:32.600 because it

01:26:33.680 does look like

01:26:34.280 they're saying

01:26:34.640 the same

01:26:35.020 thing in a

01:26:36.520 weird way.

01:26:38.880 All right,

01:26:39.220 I promise you

01:26:39.800 some optimism,

01:26:41.460 and now I'm

01:26:42.440 going to give

01:26:42.780 it to you.

01:26:44.320 I think

01:26:44.940 2024 is

01:26:46.000 going to

01:26:46.240 look good.

01:26:48.200 I believe

01:26:48.980 that we

01:26:49.480 are all

01:26:52.220 suffering some

01:26:52.880 form of a

01:26:53.360 PTSD if we

01:26:54.600 watch the

01:26:55.080 news a lot.

01:26:56.340 If you

01:26:56.680 watch the

01:26:57.040 news,

01:26:57.860 what makes

01:26:58.460 it interesting

01:26:59.080 is it's

01:27:00.260 the worst

01:27:00.660 case scenario.

01:27:02.580 So the

01:27:03.240 news is

01:27:03.760 nothing but

01:27:04.220 non-stop,

01:27:05.060 your side

01:27:05.460 is so

01:27:05.760 bad we're

01:27:06.180 all going 0.64

01:27:06.480 to die. 0.95

01:27:07.500 So if 1.00

01:27:08.040 you follow

01:27:08.460 the news,

01:27:09.120 the natural

01:27:09.740 thing you

01:27:10.160 should be

01:27:10.560 feeling is

01:27:11.960 that everything's

01:27:12.660 falling apart.

01:27:14.080 How many

01:27:14.740 of you have

01:27:15.320 the natural

01:27:15.860 feeling you

01:27:16.380 should be

01:27:16.740 feeling if

01:27:17.640 you're watching

01:27:18.000 the news

01:27:18.480 that just

01:27:19.220 everything

01:27:20.060 everywhere is

01:27:21.740 like suddenly

01:27:22.660 everything's

01:27:23.220 falling apart?

01:27:23.860 And I'm

01:27:25.380 looking at

01:27:25.820 the yeses

01:27:26.560 and noes.

01:27:27.740 So I get

01:27:28.480 lots of

01:27:28.820 yeses,

01:27:29.580 yeses,

01:27:30.160 yes it is,

01:27:31.120 it obviously

01:27:31.640 is, yes I

01:27:32.620 do, I do.

01:27:33.720 And that's

01:27:34.420 the way you

01:27:34.680 should feel

01:27:35.220 if you took

01:27:36.660 any normal

01:27:37.240 people, 100

01:27:38.260 normal people,

01:27:39.580 and said I'm

01:27:39.980 going to sit

01:27:40.340 you in front

01:27:40.720 of the news,

01:27:41.900 but you should

01:27:42.460 know that the

01:27:43.280 news will

01:27:43.700 focus on the

01:27:44.400 bad news.

01:27:45.840 Because that's

01:27:46.780 the interesting

01:27:47.240 stuff.

01:27:48.120 So when we're

01:27:48.860 done, there's

01:27:49.740 no doubt about

01:27:50.460 it, you're

01:27:51.140 going to have

01:27:51.880 PTSD, because

01:27:53.460 that's how it

01:27:53.960 works.

01:27:54.500 If I give you

01:27:54.980 bad news all

01:27:55.740 day long and

01:27:56.240 no good news,

01:27:57.120 you're going to

01:27:57.520 be damaged at

01:27:58.320 the end of

01:27:58.680 that.

01:28:00.860 So, since

01:28:03.280 I'm not paid

01:28:04.380 by advertisers,

01:28:06.360 and so I

01:28:07.000 don't need to

01:28:07.560 say only bad

01:28:09.240 things to get

01:28:10.000 your attention,

01:28:10.980 I have the

01:28:11.460 luxury that I

01:28:12.900 can say some

01:28:13.400 good things.

01:28:14.960 So I'm going

01:28:15.400 to fix your

01:28:17.160 bodily anxiety

01:28:19.680 right now.

01:28:21.340 Here are

01:28:21.660 things that

01:28:22.080 are going

01:28:22.420 right and

01:28:23.120 likely to

01:28:23.740 continue going

01:28:24.880 right.

01:28:26.920 First of

01:28:27.500 all, free

01:28:27.960 speech is in

01:28:28.720 better shape

01:28:29.200 than it's

01:28:29.600 been in

01:28:29.920 years, thanks

01:28:31.180 to X.

01:28:32.740 And we

01:28:33.440 can now say

01:28:34.040 things out

01:28:34.600 loud that we

01:28:36.120 could never

01:28:36.480 say before.

01:28:38.020 People like

01:28:38.720 me and

01:28:39.400 Tucker Carlson

01:28:40.260 and even

01:28:41.580 Alex Jones

01:28:44.300 and some

01:28:44.720 others have

01:28:46.120 created a

01:28:47.000 model which

01:28:48.420 suggests that

01:28:49.300 even if you

01:28:49.860 get canceled

01:28:50.460 for what

01:28:50.960 you say,

01:28:52.160 you can

01:28:53.840 still have

01:28:54.260 a life.

01:28:55.740 And it

01:28:56.100 could even

01:28:56.420 be better.

01:28:57.600 In fact,

01:28:58.180 in a number

01:28:58.660 of cases it

01:28:59.240 would be.

01:29:00.440 So free

01:29:00.960 speech I

01:29:01.480 think is in

01:29:02.000 the best

01:29:02.420 situation it's

01:29:03.600 been in

01:29:05.080 maybe five

01:29:06.140 to seven

01:29:06.520 years.

01:29:07.840 And that's

01:29:08.460 really good.

01:29:09.600 It's not

01:29:10.060 great, but

01:29:11.240 it's way better

01:29:11.760 than it was

01:29:12.380 just a few

01:29:13.060 years ago.

01:29:15.380 I'm going

01:29:15.940 to agree with

01:29:17.060 Joe Biden

01:29:17.580 that the

01:29:18.520 economy is

01:29:19.220 strangely

01:29:19.820 strong.

01:29:21.020 And you

01:29:21.680 can look at

01:29:22.220 all kinds

01:29:22.800 of indicators

01:29:23.680 in the

01:29:24.080 economy and

01:29:25.700 they're

01:29:25.960 strangely

01:29:26.460 strong.

01:29:27.660 And I

01:29:28.620 do think

01:29:29.100 inflation will

01:29:31.080 continue to

01:29:31.800 come down,

01:29:32.520 if only

01:29:33.900 because of

01:29:34.480 robots and

01:29:35.080 AI and

01:29:35.800 we'll find

01:29:36.300 ways to

01:29:36.860 save money

01:29:37.560 and we'll

01:29:38.460 adjust and

01:29:39.360 blah, blah,

01:29:39.900 blah, blah,

01:29:40.180 blah.

01:29:40.520 So I think

01:29:41.040 inflation will

01:29:41.660 come down.

01:29:42.160 I think

01:29:45.520 that our

01:29:45.980 debt is

01:29:47.420 the biggest

01:29:47.780 problem I

01:29:48.240 worry about.

01:29:50.220 But I

01:29:50.820 think we're

01:29:51.140 actually going

01:29:51.540 to figure

01:29:51.840 our way

01:29:52.220 around it

01:29:52.820 through

01:29:53.660 productivity.

01:29:55.080 So in

01:29:55.760 theory, we

01:29:56.920 can boost

01:29:57.360 productivity

01:29:58.040 enough that

01:29:59.420 we can make

01:30:00.020 debt less

01:30:01.220 important.

01:30:02.500 So we

01:30:03.180 might do

01:30:03.500 that.

01:30:04.060 I think

01:30:04.380 there's a

01:30:04.640 good chance

01:30:05.040 of that.

01:30:05.900 So stocks

01:30:06.460 are up this

01:30:07.020 year and

01:30:08.380 stocks are

01:30:09.500 future-facing.

01:30:10.340 If you're

01:30:11.680 trying to

01:30:12.080 predict the

01:30:12.960 future of

01:30:13.400 the economy,

01:30:14.640 one typical

01:30:15.440 way to do

01:30:15.920 it is to

01:30:16.380 look what

01:30:16.780 stocks have

01:30:17.440 done.

01:30:18.260 Because stocks

01:30:18.780 are a leading

01:30:19.540 indicator,

01:30:20.440 meaning that

01:30:21.000 the stock

01:30:21.600 price today

01:30:22.340 does not

01:30:23.160 tell you what

01:30:23.720 things look

01:30:24.160 like today.

01:30:24.880 That's not

01:30:25.220 what it

01:30:25.460 does.

01:30:26.120 It tells

01:30:26.500 you what

01:30:26.800 people think

01:30:27.380 it will

01:30:27.600 look like

01:30:28.000 next year.

01:30:29.640 So the

01:30:29.920 stock market,

01:30:30.860 the entire

01:30:31.240 stock market,

01:30:32.380 just told you

01:30:33.440 that 2024

01:30:34.400 looks good,

01:30:35.640 according to

01:30:36.300 the people

01:30:36.640 who have to

01:30:37.060 make it

01:30:37.460 work.

01:30:38.920 That includes

01:30:39.920 optimism.

01:30:41.620 The market

01:30:42.400 would not

01:30:42.920 be up if

01:30:44.260 there were

01:30:44.520 no optimism.

01:30:45.800 Optimism is

01:30:46.540 what makes

01:30:46.920 the economy

01:30:47.340 work.

01:30:48.760 So if

01:30:49.120 you've got

01:30:49.580 good employment,

01:30:50.920 which we

01:30:51.360 do, and

01:30:52.700 you have

01:30:53.020 optimism,

01:30:54.280 which we

01:30:54.720 do, and

01:30:55.960 you have a

01:30:56.440 clear path

01:30:57.300 toward enormous

01:30:59.080 reductions in

01:31:00.480 cost, which

01:31:02.520 we do,

01:31:03.440 robots,

01:31:04.380 fusion,

01:31:06.260 better green

01:31:06.980 energy, AI,

01:31:08.500 you do

01:31:10.460 have a

01:31:10.840 plan that

01:31:12.140 suggests

01:31:12.540 optimism is

01:31:13.380 warranted in

01:31:14.880 the 20

01:31:15.560 to 30

01:31:15.980 year range.

01:31:17.320 How about

01:31:17.660 this?

01:31:18.320 I think

01:31:19.000 immigration is

01:31:19.860 a disaster,

01:31:20.800 but it's

01:31:21.080 going to end

01:31:21.460 in November.

01:31:24.300 Whatever's your

01:31:24.900 worst thought

01:31:25.740 about immigration,

01:31:27.200 it's going to

01:31:27.600 be done in

01:31:28.140 November.

01:31:29.500 Because you're

01:31:30.180 either going to

01:31:30.780 get a

01:31:31.200 Republican

01:31:31.580 president,

01:31:32.620 or Biden

01:31:34.060 will have to

01:31:34.620 shut it down

01:31:35.160 just to win

01:31:35.680 the presidency.

01:31:37.140 Now, he

01:31:37.720 could shut it

01:31:38.380 down and

01:31:38.820 reopen it as

01:31:40.040 soon as he

01:31:40.400 wins, but I'm

01:31:42.200 not seeing that

01:31:42.880 as the most

01:31:43.340 likely case.

01:31:44.560 The most likely

01:31:45.300 case is either

01:31:46.220 Democrats will 0.92

01:31:46.940 close it because

01:31:47.580 they have to,

01:31:48.640 or Republicans

01:31:49.360 will close it

01:31:50.120 for them.

01:31:51.520 But this is not

01:31:52.620 a permanent

01:31:52.980 problem.

01:31:54.060 This is the

01:31:54.600 most solvable

01:31:55.440 problem we've

01:31:56.220 ever had,

01:31:57.380 with an obvious

01:31:58.120 solution that

01:31:58.880 every day is

01:32:00.320 getting closer to

01:32:01.160 the solution.

01:32:02.580 So we'll solve

01:32:03.200 it.

01:32:03.360 And we

01:32:04.040 don't have

01:32:04.460 enough people

01:32:05.140 that will

01:32:06.040 wreck the

01:32:06.460 country.

01:32:07.620 We actually

01:32:08.520 can absorb

01:32:09.240 3 million

01:32:10.140 immigrants pretty

01:32:12.400 easily.

01:32:13.920 We can't absorb

01:32:15.680 infinite immigrants,

01:32:17.080 and we can't

01:32:17.620 absorb them if

01:32:18.240 they all come

01:32:18.740 in and flood

01:32:19.260 one city.

01:32:20.580 We can't do

01:32:21.040 that.

01:32:22.120 But it's not

01:32:22.620 the raw number

01:32:23.320 of them that's

01:32:23.900 the problem.

01:32:25.120 It's the rate

01:32:26.080 that was the

01:32:26.640 problem, not

01:32:27.920 the total number.

01:32:29.280 So as long

01:32:29.840 as you take

01:32:30.340 care of the

01:32:30.720 rate, the

01:32:32.320 ones who

01:32:32.660 are already

01:32:32.940 here,

01:32:33.940 we'll be

01:32:34.300 fine.

01:32:35.140 They're

01:32:35.400 probably

01:32:35.660 additive in

01:32:36.520 the long

01:32:36.780 run.

01:32:37.320 Might take

01:32:37.720 two generations,

01:32:38.640 but they'll

01:32:38.860 be additive.

01:32:41.500 What about

01:32:42.260 DEI and ESG,

01:32:43.840 two things

01:32:44.260 destroying the

01:32:44.900 country?

01:32:45.980 Well, big

01:32:46.740 companies are

01:32:47.280 cutting them,

01:32:48.560 the DEI

01:32:49.120 departments.

01:32:50.540 They are

01:32:51.080 now being

01:32:51.620 treated more

01:32:52.220 like the

01:32:52.640 joke that

01:32:53.180 they should

01:32:53.540 be treated

01:32:53.920 as.

01:32:54.800 And because

01:32:55.300 of free

01:32:55.700 speech,

01:32:56.780 people like

01:32:57.260 me can say

01:32:57.880 that these 1.00

01:32:58.300 are garbage 1.00

01:32:58.960 programs by 1.00

01:33:00.060 idiots, and 1.00

01:33:01.620 mostly driven 1.00

01:33:02.340 by crazy 1.00

01:33:02.960 bitches. 1.00

01:33:04.340 Crazy 1.00

01:33:04.680 bitches. 1.00

01:33:05.500 Now, crazy 1.00

01:33:06.020 bitches are 1.00

01:33:06.620 not, by 0.99

01:33:08.500 numbers, not

01:33:09.880 the primary

01:33:10.540 reason there's

01:33:11.220 DEI, of

01:33:12.300 course.

01:33:13.120 Because the

01:33:13.480 people who

01:33:13.840 would most

01:33:14.340 benefit from

01:33:15.060 it are

01:33:15.340 probably the

01:33:15.860 primary drivers.

01:33:17.240 numbers.

01:33:17.880 But if you

01:33:18.360 removed from

01:33:19.420 the argument 0.64

01:33:21.260 the crazy 1.00

01:33:22.400 white bitches, 1.00

01:33:23.500 it wouldn't 1.00

01:33:24.540 happen.

01:33:26.100 You need

01:33:26.640 that big

01:33:27.360 group of 1.00

01:33:28.500 crazy white 1.00

01:33:29.080 bitches to 1.00

01:33:29.560 be in favor 1.00

01:33:30.040 of DEI,

01:33:30.720 it just

01:33:30.980 wouldn't

01:33:31.160 happen.

01:33:32.100 So they

01:33:32.520 are really

01:33:33.040 the problem,

01:33:34.080 but now we

01:33:34.600 can call them 0.99

01:33:35.100 crazy white 1.00

01:33:35.660 bitches and 1.00

01:33:36.220 call it what 1.00

01:33:36.900 it is.

01:33:38.880 So DEI

01:33:39.940 and ESG are

01:33:40.740 now disgraced

01:33:41.720 and declining.

01:33:42.340 I would

01:33:43.980 say that

01:33:44.480 whatever you

01:33:45.000 thought was

01:33:45.520 the risk

01:33:46.280 from the

01:33:46.740 climate, you

01:33:48.000 probably think

01:33:48.680 is less

01:33:49.200 now.

01:33:51.040 Because

01:33:51.640 everything from

01:33:53.920 fusion to

01:33:55.100 electric cars

01:33:55.940 to not

01:33:57.700 really seeing

01:33:58.440 the worst

01:33:59.740 predictions.

01:34:00.820 How many

01:34:01.160 years ago

01:34:01.640 was it

01:34:02.060 that Gore

01:34:06.120 did

01:34:06.600 Inconvenient

01:34:07.440 Truth?

01:34:08.920 And Inconvenient

01:34:09.700 Truth made

01:34:10.120 a bunch of

01:34:10.520 predictions.

01:34:11.720 Literally none

01:34:12.440 of them

01:34:12.680 happened.

01:34:13.800 Am I

01:34:14.080 right?

01:34:15.860 And it's

01:34:16.940 more obvious

01:34:17.480 now that we

01:34:17.980 can't measure

01:34:18.480 the temperature

01:34:19.220 there.

01:34:19.980 I'll always

01:34:20.640 laugh because

01:34:22.480 you know how

01:34:22.920 you look back

01:34:23.520 in time,

01:34:24.600 you say,

01:34:25.020 how did those 0.99

01:34:25.680 crazy primitives 1.00

01:34:26.840 ever believe 0.92

01:34:27.440 that thing

01:34:27.800 they believed?

01:34:29.720 But if

01:34:30.180 you're in the

01:34:30.880 time when

01:34:31.380 people are

01:34:31.820 believing crazy

01:34:32.540 stuff, it's

01:34:33.080 even weirder.

01:34:34.300 Here's what I

01:34:34.960 think will seem

01:34:35.620 funny to the

01:34:37.200 next generation.

01:34:38.560 This is going

01:34:39.080 to seem hilarious

01:34:39.780 to the next

01:34:40.280 one.

01:34:40.980 That we could

01:34:41.560 ever measure

01:34:42.680 the temperature

01:34:43.360 of the Earth

01:34:44.000 over the last

01:34:45.460 hundred years

01:34:46.220 to within a

01:34:47.560 degree.

01:34:50.080 Come on.

01:34:52.040 Come on.

01:34:53.780 Don't call me

01:34:54.860 an anti-science

01:34:56.160 if you're also

01:34:57.580 going to ask me

01:34:58.180 to believe that

01:34:58.900 science could

01:34:59.640 measure the

01:35:00.860 temperature of

01:35:01.700 the Earth

01:35:02.360 on average

01:35:04.060 to within a

01:35:05.660 degree

01:35:06.080 over the

01:35:07.540 last hundred

01:35:08.040 years.

01:35:09.960 Now,

01:35:10.660 do I even

01:35:12.020 need to give

01:35:12.640 you any

01:35:13.040 reasons why

01:35:13.880 that's absolutely 0.95

01:35:14.780 fucking crazy? 0.99

01:35:17.140 Do you know 1.00

01:35:17.760 who would

01:35:18.120 believe that

01:35:18.640 that's even

01:35:19.080 possible?

01:35:21.240 Who would

01:35:22.020 believe that's

01:35:22.520 even possible?

01:35:23.340 What kind

01:35:23.700 of person? 1.00

01:35:25.080 Crazy bitches. 1.00

01:35:25.840 and the men 1.00

01:35:27.960 that want to

01:35:30.900 sleep with

01:35:31.300 them, I

01:35:31.540 guess.

01:35:33.000 You'd have

01:35:33.680 to be pretty 1.00

01:35:34.360 fucked up to 1.00

01:35:35.180 think that 0.98

01:35:35.540 that's even

01:35:36.000 a thing.

01:35:37.580 Am I

01:35:38.160 wrong?

01:35:39.920 So,

01:35:40.600 independent of

01:35:41.880 whether or

01:35:42.360 not climate

01:35:44.160 change is a

01:35:44.840 problem,

01:35:45.800 I'll keep that

01:35:46.580 as a separate

01:35:47.100 question.

01:35:48.220 If you think

01:35:48.840 you can 1.00

01:35:49.220 fucking measure 1.00

01:35:50.060 it over a 0.99

01:35:50.600 hundred years

01:35:51.340 within a

01:35:52.280 degree,

01:35:54.000 you think

01:35:54.400 you can

01:35:54.660 make a

01:35:54.980 model that

01:35:55.460 will predict

01:35:55.940 it over

01:35:56.340 the next

01:35:56.680 50 years?

01:35:58.980 This is 1.00

01:35:59.680 crazy shit. 1.00

01:36:01.400 These are 1.00

01:36:01.920 not even

01:36:02.300 like a

01:36:03.100 difference of

01:36:03.660 opinion.

01:36:04.600 It's not a

01:36:05.420 difference in

01:36:05.940 priorities.

01:36:07.400 This is

01:36:08.100 absolutely 1.00

01:36:08.960 fucking crazy 1.00

01:36:10.080 shit that 1.00

01:36:11.720 you could 1.00

01:36:12.040 ever measure

01:36:12.760 those things.

01:36:13.500 And again,

01:36:14.260 I want to be

01:36:14.660 very clear

01:36:15.260 before PolitiFact

01:36:16.700 puts me on

01:36:17.800 their list of

01:36:18.320 worst predictions.

01:36:19.620 I don't know

01:36:20.160 if the

01:36:20.400 temperatures is

01:36:20.920 going up.

01:36:22.580 I don't

01:36:22.860 know.

01:36:24.180 And I'm

01:36:24.740 kind of glad

01:36:25.260 that people

01:36:25.640 are panicked

01:36:26.160 about it.

01:36:27.120 You know,

01:36:27.400 I'm glad

01:36:27.840 that people

01:36:28.240 are panicked

01:36:28.760 about it.

01:36:30.620 Because it

01:36:31.140 does create

01:36:31.580 a lot of

01:36:31.920 action that

01:36:33.100 will give

01:36:33.400 you your

01:36:33.800 electric cars

01:36:34.520 and your

01:36:34.820 fusion energy

01:36:35.620 and all

01:36:35.980 that.

01:36:36.400 That stuff

01:36:36.820 is only

01:36:37.100 happening

01:36:37.420 because we're

01:36:37.940 panicked

01:36:38.300 about climate.

01:36:39.540 And I

01:36:39.820 think we

01:36:40.080 need to

01:36:40.360 get there.

01:36:41.060 We do

01:36:41.680 need to

01:36:42.080 get to

01:36:42.360 a post-

01:36:43.640 coal

01:36:43.960 world.

01:36:45.900 If this

01:36:46.540 is how

01:36:46.800 we get

01:36:47.040 there,

01:36:47.440 well,

01:36:47.940 it's not

01:36:48.300 the best

01:36:48.760 way,

01:36:49.660 but it

01:36:50.140 might be

01:36:50.420 the way

01:36:50.660 we get

01:36:50.920 there

01:36:51.060 faster.

01:36:52.160 So I

01:36:52.860 don't

01:36:53.000 mind a

01:36:53.320 little

01:36:53.440 panic

01:36:53.780 about the

01:36:54.260 climate

01:36:54.600 that gets

01:36:55.500 people

01:36:55.780 working.

01:36:56.780 But don't

01:36:57.400 tell me you

01:36:57.820 can measure 1.00

01:36:58.260 the fucking 1.00

01:36:58.780 planet of 1.00

01:36:59.380 the earth

01:36:59.620 within a

01:37:00.060 degree over

01:37:00.540 100 years.

01:37:01.520 Please.

01:37:02.460 Please don't

01:37:03.140 take that

01:37:03.800 anywhere near

01:37:04.340 me.

01:37:04.800 It's 0.98

01:37:05.000 ridiculous. 0.97

01:37:07.360 All right. 0.99

01:37:07.640 How about

01:37:09.540 Ukraine and

01:37:10.280 Israel? 0.53

01:37:10.780 I say

01:37:11.060 Ukraine is

01:37:11.620 going to

01:37:11.840 wind down

01:37:12.400 and they'll

01:37:14.240 talk peace.

01:37:14.980 I think

01:37:15.360 that Israel

01:37:16.160 is on

01:37:17.400 track for

01:37:18.380 the

01:37:19.620 homosophizing

01:37:20.520 the area.

01:37:21.440 It'll be

01:37:21.840 longer than

01:37:22.740 anybody thinks,

01:37:23.860 more expensive

01:37:24.540 than anybody

01:37:25.040 thinks, 0.90

01:37:26.020 uglier than 0.99

01:37:26.540 anybody 0.96

01:37:26.780 thinks.

01:37:27.800 There'll be

01:37:28.280 horrific things

01:37:29.260 that happen,

01:37:29.800 and of course

01:37:30.680 it's war.

01:37:31.280 But it

01:37:33.220 looks like

01:37:33.640 it's on

01:37:34.000 track.

01:37:35.240 Like I

01:37:35.580 don't see

01:37:35.900 anything that's

01:37:36.440 going to

01:37:37.120 take it

01:37:37.480 off track.

01:37:39.340 I think

01:37:40.080 Iran will 1.00

01:37:40.640 stay contained.

01:37:41.560 I think

01:37:41.820 China is 0.85

01:37:42.280 on the

01:37:42.560 decline.

01:37:44.200 I think

01:37:44.900 our U.S.

01:37:45.380 energy

01:37:45.640 situation is

01:37:46.380 good,

01:37:47.780 surprisingly.

01:37:49.240 We're

01:37:49.760 pumping and

01:37:51.080 exporting more

01:37:51.700 oil than

01:37:52.180 ever in

01:37:53.460 the history

01:37:53.820 of the

01:37:54.700 world.

01:37:55.880 Our country

01:37:56.460 is right

01:37:56.920 now producing

01:37:57.640 more oil

01:37:58.580 than not

01:38:00.080 just more

01:38:00.760 than we

01:38:01.220 have produced

01:38:01.860 more than

01:38:02.960 anybody's

01:38:03.340 ever produced.

01:38:04.440 Like we're

01:38:05.020 the highest

01:38:05.520 producer in

01:38:06.100 the world.

01:38:07.440 That's

01:38:07.640 pretty good.

01:38:08.280 And that's

01:38:08.520 under Biden.

01:38:09.780 If you

01:38:10.080 get a

01:38:10.280 Republican

01:38:10.660 president,

01:38:11.380 it's going

01:38:11.580 to go

01:38:11.840 another

01:38:12.960 X times

01:38:14.060 that.

01:38:16.020 I assume.

01:38:17.580 Fusion's

01:38:18.180 looking good.

01:38:18.920 We've now

01:38:19.240 had three

01:38:19.680 ignitions at

01:38:20.620 the Lawrence

01:38:21.200 Livermore

01:38:22.760 lab near

01:38:24.380 me.

01:38:25.020 They've had

01:38:25.380 three successful

01:38:26.420 ignitions and

01:38:28.040 created more

01:38:28.580 energy than

01:38:29.120 they use.

01:38:30.060 So,

01:38:30.460 it's probably

01:38:32.300 15,

01:38:32.920 20 years

01:38:33.320 away,

01:38:33.680 but it's

01:38:33.940 on the

01:38:34.140 way.

01:38:35.360 Robots

01:38:35.780 and AI

01:38:36.120 are coming.

01:38:36.760 That'll

01:38:36.920 change

01:38:37.200 everything.

01:38:37.680 I think

01:38:37.880 it'll be

01:38:38.120 good.

01:38:39.220 And

01:38:39.500 Californians

01:38:41.120 have health

01:38:41.780 coverage,

01:38:42.480 whether you

01:38:42.840 like it

01:38:43.140 or not.

01:38:44.200 In my

01:38:44.740 opinion,

01:38:47.320 oh,

01:38:48.760 and also

01:38:49.260 I'll note

01:38:50.440 that the

01:38:51.000 news

01:38:52.040 landscape

01:38:52.660 has

01:38:53.800 transferred

01:38:54.900 power from

01:38:56.340 the

01:38:56.560 networks

01:38:57.080 and

01:38:57.920 the

01:38:58.060 billionaires

01:38:58.640 to

01:38:59.640 just

01:39:00.060 influencers

01:39:00.680 who

01:39:01.240 are

01:39:01.340 good

01:39:01.540 on

01:39:01.720 social

01:39:02.000 media.

01:39:03.080 I want

01:39:03.800 to see

01:39:04.040 a world

01:39:04.480 where

01:39:04.900 NBC

01:39:05.740 news

01:39:06.220 has

01:39:06.460 less

01:39:06.700 power,

01:39:08.100 Mike

01:39:08.300 Cernovich

01:39:08.700 has

01:39:08.960 more

01:39:09.220 power.

01:39:11.020 That's a

01:39:11.740 good world.

01:39:12.220 So I

01:39:15.200 think we're

01:39:15.500 heading toward

01:39:16.200 all good

01:39:16.560 things.

01:39:17.400 So that's

01:39:17.760 your optimism

01:39:18.500 for the

01:39:19.100 year.

01:39:20.120 And that's

01:39:21.100 all I got

01:39:21.400 for you

01:39:21.740 today.

01:39:22.540 Thanks for

01:39:22.960 joining

01:39:23.260 YouTube.

01:39:27.020 And

01:39:27.500 that's

01:39:29.840 all for

01:39:30.100 now.

01:39:31.260 Good to

01:39:31.620 see you.

01:39:31.960 See you

01:39:32.260 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - December 30, 2023

Episode 2338 CWSA 12⧸30⧸23 Lots Of 2024 Optimism While Laughing At Today's Batch Of Absurdities

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