Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2372 CWSA 02⧸02⧸24

00:00:00.000 Do-do-do-do-do-do-do-do.

00:00:03.180 Rump-pump-pump-pump-pump-pump-pump.

00:00:07.320 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:11.840 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams because, you know, because.

00:00:15.860 And if you'd like to take this experience, and that's what it is.

00:00:20.440 It's not a show, it's an experience.

00:00:22.480 If you'd like to take this up to the next level, and I know you do,

00:00:25.260 all you need is a cup or mug or a glass,

00:00:27.680 a tanker, chalice, or stein, a canteen jug, or a flask,

00:00:30.800 a vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:33.760 I like coffee.

00:00:35.780 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine.

00:00:38.800 At the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:40.940 It's called the simultaneous sip.

00:00:43.320 And it happens now.

00:00:44.740 Go.

00:00:50.700 I'm going to be colonizing twice as hard now.

00:00:53.520 Well, today we're going to unravel the mysteries of the government

00:01:01.440 and why it is like it is.

00:01:03.620 And believe it or not, I actually have some answers to those questions today.

00:01:07.400 Some of the mysteries I've had for the longest time have been revealed.

00:01:13.260 And I'm going to reveal them to you.

00:01:15.060 Exciting, huh?

00:01:16.120 Yeah, don't go away.

00:01:17.980 Let's start with the big news first.

00:01:21.040 Well, not really.

00:01:21.760 I like to start with palate cleanser news before we get to the hard stuff.

00:01:28.600 So ABC7 News, Eyewitness News, reports that cops and bystanders

00:01:36.080 helped to chase down 100 chickens who escaped from a Chinatown L.A. market.

00:01:45.120 So cops and bystanders, they had 100 chickens,

00:01:47.560 and they were running around chasing them.

00:01:48.640 Now, the chickens reportedly crossed the road, but nobody knows why.

00:01:57.620 Next story.

00:01:59.820 Apparently today, Apple is releasing the Apple Vision Pro, those VR goggle things.

00:02:07.560 Now, do you think those will be a big hit?

00:02:11.620 Anybody?

00:02:12.580 Big hit?

00:02:13.220 How many of you are dying to get the Apple Vision Pro $3,500 goggles?

00:02:21.760 Is there anybody here who's going to buy them?

00:02:24.480 I got one why.

00:02:26.160 One yes.

00:02:27.640 Anybody else?

00:02:29.820 Is there even a single person?

00:02:31.660 Yeah, we got some.

00:02:32.520 A few.

00:02:32.840 You know, when I look at a picture of Tim Cook wearing the Vision Pro goggles,

00:02:41.720 I said to myself, I finally figured out who Tim Cook reminds me of.

00:02:49.380 You remember Steve Jobs?

00:02:51.300 Now, how cool Steve Jobs was?

00:02:54.020 He had that charisma and that just magic gift.

00:02:56.820 Well, if you took Steve Jobs and then you subtracted from him everything that made Steve Jobs amazing,

00:03:06.640 you'd have Tim Cook.

00:03:10.020 Now, Tim Cook is a very high-functioning person.

00:03:13.620 You know, I'm sure he's great.

00:03:15.660 But, you know, there was only one Steve Jobs.

00:03:19.140 Whoever takes over for Elon Musk someday is not going to be Elon Musk.

00:03:24.800 I'm just saying.

00:03:25.480 So, I don't even think that, I don't know this, of course, it can't be known.

00:03:32.280 I don't think Steve Jobs would have launched this product.

00:03:36.480 What do you think?

00:03:38.980 Because when I think of the iPod, you know, you think of the things that Steve Jobs did.

00:03:43.880 If you used a computer before the Lisa computer came around, you said to yourself,

00:03:48.960 oh, my God, who invented this computer?

00:03:51.220 It's so hard to use.

00:03:52.160 I sure wish there were some easier way to do this.

00:03:56.000 And then Steve Jobs and Apple give you an easier way.

00:04:01.000 And then Steve Jobs says, everybody likes music.

00:04:03.920 I like music.

00:04:04.840 It would be a lot better if I had a little device with all the music on it.

00:04:08.000 So, it makes an iPod.

00:04:09.840 Solves a problem that all of us sort of had, which is, I wish it were easier to listen to my music.

00:04:16.100 And then the smartphone comes along, provides all these things that are real-world benefits.

00:04:23.440 Oh, I've got an app.

00:04:24.600 I can book my tickets without talking to a person.

00:04:27.400 And all these solutions for real problems you had.

00:04:31.300 Like you really wanted to do stuff, and it did it.

00:04:35.780 Now, let's talk about the Vision Pro.

00:04:38.260 Does that solve any problem that you knew you had?

00:04:45.280 Does it?

00:04:46.480 How many of you were saying to yourself, you know what I really need is something that takes me out of the world completely?

00:04:52.340 I don't even want to see the real world, you know, like you do if you're doing regular gaming.

00:04:57.000 I just feel like the Apple products that were huge hits solved an obvious problem we all knew we had or an opportunity, you know, to make something better that we all wanted.

00:05:09.500 But the Vision Pro seems to be like trying to convince us we want this thing we weren't thinking about, and it's not obvious it solves any problem.

00:05:17.940 Had they launched it purely for training purposes or education, I would have said, you know what, that might be the thing.

00:05:27.960 Because I would definitely rather get training in VR than travel somewhere.

00:05:34.100 I would definitely rather use VR to show me how to fix an engine or, you know, do some physical thing.

00:05:41.700 But for entertainment, I don't know.

00:05:44.340 We'll see.

00:05:45.120 I'm skeptical on that one.

00:05:46.300 You probably all saw the clip of Governor Newsom.

00:05:49.680 He was on some kind of Zoom call.

00:05:51.540 Somebody recorded it.

00:05:52.940 And he was telling the story to the other participants how he was at some retail store in San Francisco, I think, and somewhere in California.

00:06:01.600 And a shoplifter shoplifted something.

00:06:04.200 It was a Target store.

00:06:05.880 And he was at the checkout stand, and he said, hey, aren't you going to do something to stop that?

00:06:11.980 And the checker said, no, we can't.

00:06:15.400 And the reason was the governor.

00:06:17.780 She didn't know she was talking to the governor, which is a funny story.

00:06:21.380 But when she recognized him, then, you know, I guess it turned into something else.

00:06:25.880 But here's the bigger part of the story.

00:06:28.080 It's kind of a funny story that she didn't recognize the governor, and he was in the store when they were shoplifting.

00:06:32.460 But the amazing story is he seemed to think that the store could stop the shoplifting, and it wasn't anything that the government of California did that's causing this wave of shoplifting.

00:06:45.820 And that he believed that the California laws were comparable to other states.

00:06:51.000 Now, it turns out, and I didn't know this, I don't think there was anything that changed recently.

00:06:58.580 I kept hearing about this $950 limit where you could shoplift up to $950 and you wouldn't go to jail.

00:07:05.920 But apparently that changed a long time ago.

00:07:09.880 Do I have that right?

00:07:11.060 Give me a fact check on that.

00:07:12.920 I kept hearing the story as if it were a recent change.

00:07:16.820 But I think it changed over 10 years ago, right?

00:07:20.640 Maybe 10 years ago?

00:07:21.860 Two years ago?

00:07:24.440 No, do a fact check on this.

00:07:27.980 So, I thought the reporting said it was a recent change, but I saw some other news that said, oh, this happened a long time ago.

00:07:38.820 But for some reason now it's becoming a problem.

00:07:43.060 So, there's a, oh, maybe something about the DA's charging it.

00:07:47.660 Yeah, so it might be that the law was the same, but how the DA's are treating it is different.

00:07:55.600 Is that what's happening?

00:07:57.220 So, I don't, there's some uncertainty there.

00:07:59.140 I would say that the news is not doing its job of informing us on that.

00:08:03.640 However, the fact that the governor didn't understand the situation, much the way I don't right now.

00:08:10.200 There's something about it I don't understand.

00:08:12.020 But the governor of California didn't understand the shoplifting problem that is causing these big chains to move out and cause food and health care deserts in underserved communities.

00:08:26.460 How do you not know what's going on in that situation?

00:08:29.060 I mean, I understand how I don't know.

00:08:31.100 I'm a citizen.

00:08:32.400 But how does the governor not know?

00:08:34.460 That's very embarrassing for my state and for my governor.

00:08:39.520 Rasmussen has a poll on race relations.

00:08:43.020 Let's see if you can guess.

00:08:46.520 What percent of American adults believe race relations in the nation today are good or excellent?

00:08:54.340 Wow, you're good.

00:08:56.620 You're so good.

00:08:57.620 You guessed within one percentage.

00:09:00.760 Yeah, the answer is 26% of American adults believe race relations in the United States are good or excellent.

00:09:09.260 All right.

00:09:10.920 If you're new to the show, we always mock the fact that 25% of the people in the country get every poll question wrong.

00:09:20.800 That's not just an opinion.

00:09:23.100 That's just wrong.

00:09:24.440 You're just wrong.

00:09:26.020 All right.

00:09:26.480 I think I mentioned this before, but there's a new update.

00:09:31.880 So, Dr. Drew is on the Dave Rubin show.

00:09:35.960 And I'm going to read the exact quote because it's just so well stated.

00:09:39.980 And apparently, Dr. Drew credited RFK Jr. for his personal awakening about how fake everything is.

00:09:50.860 And so, Dr. Drew said, I'm open to everything now.

00:09:55.080 I've realized that everything in the news is BS, everything.

00:09:58.500 There is nothing I can consume on legacy media that I can trust, and that is shocking.

00:10:04.640 It makes you wonder, how long has Ben going on for?

00:10:07.800 I didn't realize how much speech was being suppressed.

00:10:11.120 Now, you heard that before.

00:10:13.080 It's well stated.

00:10:14.660 But Elon Musk retweeted Dr. Drew's comments there and said, Dr. Drew gets it.

00:10:23.740 Now, here's the frame I want to put on this.

00:10:27.020 There are some things that you can hear a million times, and you can understand it intellectually, and it won't help.

00:10:35.660 It's the weirdest thing.

00:10:37.300 And here's the thing I've been telling you forever, but until you experience it, it's not true.

00:10:43.180 And it goes like this.

00:10:45.840 Everything is fake and always has been.

00:10:50.860 That's not something your brain can even handle, because your brain has to believe something is true.

00:10:56.500 It just can't go through the day without it.

00:10:58.680 Now, there is something true, of course, underlying all the BS.

00:11:02.900 But what you need to know is that all information is motivated.

00:11:07.600 All data, all studies, all government statements, all politicians, all public figures are motivated by something.

00:11:18.700 And usually it's not your best interest.

00:11:21.880 Even if it is your best interest, they're still going to spin it the way that gets you to whatever it is that they want to do, even if it's your best interest.

00:11:31.540 So even things that are not bad are also BS.

00:11:35.980 It might be BS on your side.

00:11:38.420 It might be BS in your best interest.

00:11:40.940 But it's all BS.

00:11:43.460 Top to bottom, everything in the news is fake, at least in terms of its context.

00:11:49.940 At least in terms of what they decided to put in your head and what they decided to leave out.

00:11:55.560 Because that's news, too.

00:11:57.200 What did they decide wasn't news?

00:11:59.400 That's news.

00:12:00.000 So once you get to the point, and I've described the levels of awareness, you know, the awakening, when you're a little kid, you learn that Santa Claus isn't real.

00:12:11.780 You're like, oh, man, apparently an adult can tell me something that isn't true.

00:12:17.380 I didn't realize that.

00:12:19.160 And then you think, but at least, you know, at least I can use my own judgment and my own research and find out what's true.

00:12:26.380 Even though people are not telling me the truth, I can deduce it with my own research.

00:12:32.520 No, you can't.

00:12:34.600 You can't.

00:12:36.220 If you could do that, then people wouldn't get away with lying to you 100% of the time.

00:12:42.420 I mean, you could try, and you can get some right.

00:12:46.420 But the illusion is that if you do your own research and you get one right, here's the illusion.

00:12:52.120 You got it right because you did your own research.

00:12:57.940 That's not happening.

00:12:59.860 You got it right often because it's a binary question.

00:13:03.240 Is something true or false?

00:13:04.820 You did your research, and you picked one of those.

00:13:07.240 And then later, you found out you were right.

00:13:09.520 So you're like, oh, that research sure works.

00:13:12.580 No, it doesn't.

00:13:14.000 Because there were a whole bunch of people who were right coin flip-wise.

00:13:17.160 Yeah.

00:13:17.660 Somebody was going to say yes.

00:13:18.960 Somebody was going to say no.

00:13:20.040 Whoever gets it right thinks they were a genius, and the process that they used to get there was completely rational.

00:13:27.020 Probably not.

00:13:28.500 So Dr. Drew and Elon Musk are largely on the same page of understanding that all data, all studies, all science, all economic information, everything your government tells you is motivated by something.

00:13:46.340 And if you don't know what it is, you don't really understand what's happening.

00:13:50.040 There's a new poll released that says Trump's leading in every swing state by apparently more than the margin of error.

00:14:00.620 Do you believe that that's true?

00:14:02.720 It's in the news, and it's in the poll.

00:14:05.480 So that's true, right?

00:14:07.820 No.

00:14:08.780 No.

00:14:09.560 It's not true.

00:14:10.300 It's not true.

00:14:13.260 And we're going to talk about another poll in a minute that will be a little more obvious.

00:14:18.080 Now, that doesn't mean that it's incorrect.

00:14:22.640 It might be scientifically correct.

00:14:25.300 They asked the question.

00:14:26.200 They got an answer.

00:14:27.000 They did the statistics.

00:14:28.940 That might be all valid.

00:14:30.080 But the way they asked the question always matters.

00:14:36.580 And the samples they choose always matters.

00:14:39.760 And you have to ask yourself, I guess this was a Bloomberg morning consult poll.

00:14:46.820 What would Bloomberg want you to think in February of 2024?

00:14:51.660 So that's the question you should ask yourself.

00:14:54.940 If it's Bloomberg the company and they have anything in common with Bloomberg the person,

00:15:00.820 what would they want you to think is about to happen?

00:15:04.760 They might want you to think Trump's on a way to win because it could be that people like

00:15:10.580 Bloomberg, and this is just pure speculation.

00:15:13.700 I can't read any minds.

00:15:15.480 But they might want you to think that Trump will win unless you do something now to change

00:15:21.680 something in a big way.

00:15:24.040 So it might be simply communication to Biden.

00:15:27.340 It's just a way for a billionaire to tell Biden, hey, you either need to get out of the

00:15:32.100 race because you're going to lose, or you better close the border tomorrow because you're going

00:15:37.400 to lose if it stays open.

00:15:39.420 So sometimes a poll is just telling you some information, and sometimes it's a way to change

00:15:45.020 the outcome of things, and it might be a little tricky.

00:15:49.380 I'm not saying that's what's happening with this one because that would be mind reading.

00:15:54.420 But just ask yourself, who is behind the poll, and what would they like you to think?

00:15:59.260 And did the poll show you exactly what the people who make the poll would like you to

00:16:04.220 think?

00:16:04.860 That would be a problem.

00:16:07.320 It would be more believable if the outcome was exactly the opposite of what you knew they

00:16:12.640 wanted you to think.

00:16:14.080 That might have some credibility.

00:16:16.060 And even then, I think there was money behind it.

00:16:20.200 All right.

00:16:21.240 As you know, God hates mobile home parks.

00:16:24.460 That's why when there's any kind of a hurricane or twister, it goes right for the mobile home

00:16:30.320 parks first.

00:16:31.460 This is well known.

00:16:32.700 This is not the first time you're hearing it.

00:16:34.840 God hates mobile home parks.

00:16:37.140 He's sort of a, I don't know, sort of an elitist in that way, in a sense.

00:16:42.660 But apparently there's an airplane that just crashed in Clearwater, Florida, and took out

00:16:48.400 a mobile home park and killed some people, tragically.

00:16:54.780 Now, if you've ever known a pilot, as I have, used to be married to one, there's a question,

00:17:02.900 there's something you look for in every story when you hear that a small aircraft crashed.

00:17:08.700 And it's the make and model of the aircraft.

00:17:14.040 Because I don't want to get sued, so I'm not going to say this is my opinion, because it's

00:17:18.760 not.

00:17:19.600 I will tell you that there's one type of small aircraft that pilots call the Dr.

00:17:26.100 Killer.

00:17:27.940 The Dr. 0.98

00:17:28.840 Killer.

00:17:29.900 That's all I'm going to say about it.

00:17:34.040 I'm looking in the comments, and you already know which one it is.

00:17:37.100 Now, you don't all know, but everybody who's a pilot knows.

00:17:42.100 So let me tell you what it's not.

00:17:43.880 It's not a Cessna.

00:17:45.840 It's not a Cessna.

00:17:47.960 But the people who are pilots, they're all saying the name of the aircraft in the comments.

00:17:54.380 So I'm not making it up.

00:17:55.600 It's a general statement that the pilots believe there's one type of aircraft that is harder

00:18:01.840 to control.

00:18:02.540 So I believe it's a combination of strong engine and maybe delicate, relatively, you

00:18:10.160 know, delicate controls.

00:18:12.960 Yeah.

00:18:14.040 You all knew what I was talking about.

00:18:16.020 So I'm not going to say the name of it, because I don't have any data that would suggest that's

00:18:19.780 a real problem.

00:18:21.020 It's just what the pilots say.

00:18:22.980 Right.

00:18:23.100 That's what I know for sure.

00:18:26.240 Nikki Haley.

00:18:27.160 There's a weird thing that happened.

00:18:28.740 I don't know what the story is.

00:18:30.760 But Nikki Haley's ex-account printed two messages as support from her supporters.

00:18:38.920 There were two personal messages.

00:18:41.120 But both of them were obviously fake.

00:18:43.940 And nobody's quite sure what's going on.

00:18:46.060 Because they're so obviously fake, you can't even believe that anybody thought you would

00:18:51.480 believe them.

00:18:52.720 One of them is handwritten, but it's a computer font.

00:18:58.060 Do you think the person who wrote that note used the handwriting font?

00:19:04.700 No.

00:19:05.880 I mean, it's just fake.

00:19:06.940 And then the other one was purported to be an email that they received, except they did

00:19:12.920 a screenshot, and the screenshot indicates that it's from the sender.

00:19:17.960 In other words, they wrote a message to themselves, forgot to hit send, so it would end up in their

00:19:23.480 own inbox.

00:19:25.440 And they just took the screenshot before they sent it, so you can see that the send button

00:19:30.060 was still highlighted, meaning it hadn't been sent, meaning it was their own message.

00:19:35.740 Now, I don't know what the real story is.

00:19:40.520 I mean, on the surface, it would look like they made up two fake messages and tried to

00:19:45.680 sell them as real.

00:19:47.720 But I doubt that's the full story.

00:19:50.900 Yeah.

00:19:51.260 I feel like it might be closer to a staffer had an idea, somewhere along the lines, somebody

00:19:59.620 lost the fact that they were fake.

00:20:01.960 I don't know. 1.00

00:20:02.520 There's more to this story, but it's just a stupid little story of incompetence. 0.99

00:20:08.220 Bill Maher is talking about Trump's legal woes, and he's been warning for a while that 0.99

00:20:14.020 it will make Trump more popular, not less.

00:20:16.740 And he used a word that I thought was interesting.

00:20:18.880 He said that people, if Trump gets convicted, his supporters will start to see him as a, quote,

00:20:26.200 revolutionary leader.

00:20:27.640 Now, that actually hits you, doesn't it?

00:20:32.780 The choice of those words.

00:20:35.320 Yeah, martyr, not quite, but it's in the right area.

00:20:38.640 But revolutionary leader.

00:20:40.740 Because, as Maher points out, all Trump has to do is say that the process was corrupt,

00:20:47.200 and he'll become more popular.

00:20:48.820 Because how hard will it be to convince people that the process was corrupt, when it's obviously

00:20:55.440 corrupt, but it's not even going to take any work.

00:20:59.180 Yeah.

00:20:59.760 Let me say it directly.

00:21:00.820 Secondly, if Trump gets convicted on any of these felonies, and it's as obviously corrupt

00:21:10.020 as it looks, I'm going to do everything I can to make him your next president.

00:21:17.100 Because you just can't sit for that.

00:21:20.880 That's too far.

00:21:22.600 You know what I mean? 0.97

00:21:23.800 There's some things you can just be a bitch about, but there's some things you have to 0.98

00:21:28.280 act on. 0.99

00:21:28.940 If you put Trump in jail, that's action time.

00:21:35.380 I don't know what that action would be.

00:21:37.160 But you don't just talk about that.

00:21:39.920 That's when you get physical, in some way.

00:21:44.040 You know, not violence necessarily, but physical.

00:21:47.020 You know, it turns physical at that point, for sure.

00:21:50.720 One hopes it's just protests.

00:21:52.380 I finally figured out why weed is illegal at the federal level.

00:22:00.240 I can't believe it took me so long.

00:22:02.600 Now, do any of you know why the states are more open to decriminalizing, but the federal

00:22:11.800 government said no?

00:22:13.540 Let's see if you can piece it together.

00:22:15.600 So the, who was it, Health and Human Services, in the federal government, did a study, and

00:22:23.320 they recommended there was time to take the marijuana schedule from out of the heroin

00:22:29.220 category and move it into a lesser controlled substance category that would make it easier

00:22:35.840 to make it not illegal.

00:22:39.000 So what they said was, Health and Human Services, that marijuana possesses therapeutic efficacy,

00:22:44.180 and its harms are not on par with those of heroin or even alcohol.

00:22:48.560 And that, you know, nobody, they're not saying it's perfectly safe.

00:22:52.980 That's not the point.

00:22:54.440 They're saying that the relative harm is somewhere in the less than alcohol level, and therefore

00:23:00.160 the government should reflect it.

00:23:02.020 So now ask yourself, if Health and Human Services does a deep study and decides that it should

00:23:09.320 be rescheduled to a lesser harm area, what would stop that from happening?

00:23:13.920 How many of you are aware of what the process is next?

00:23:19.820 So after the Health and Human Services says this should be descheduled, what happens next

00:23:27.260 in the American political process?

00:23:30.940 Here's the part I didn't know.

00:23:33.260 They take that recommendation to the DEA, and then the DEA has final say.

00:23:40.380 Do you see it yet?

00:23:43.920 The DEA has final say over whether it gets rescheduled.

00:23:49.240 Do you see it?

00:23:53.460 Let me explain it.

00:23:55.400 So you go to the DEA, and you say, we'd like you to consider rescheduling this.

00:24:00.060 What does the DEA think would happen to the DEA?

00:24:03.980 The DEA says, huh, a quarter of my budget goes to this issue.

00:24:08.820 If this becomes descheduled, then a quarter of my power, a quarter of my budget no longer

00:24:15.480 need to exist.

00:24:18.760 And we're done.

00:24:21.260 That's it.

00:24:22.160 In no corporation in America would this department approve that recommendation.

00:24:29.480 Under no situation in humankind would the head of the DEA in this setup approve it, because

00:24:37.720 you're asking them to decrease their own career.

00:24:41.060 Have you ever worked in a big company when...

00:24:42.600 Let me tell you how big company works.

00:24:46.100 It's the end of the year, and you haven't spent all of your budget, and it looks like

00:24:49.660 you won't be able to spend it all by the end of the year.

00:24:51.960 What do you do?

00:24:53.260 You go on a buying spree, and you spend all of your money, and maybe even a little extra,

00:24:58.800 so that when you ask for more next year, you can say, look, I spent everything in a little

00:25:02.880 extra last year.

00:25:04.180 Don't put me in that position.

00:25:06.280 You're going to need to give me another big budget, because they know that if you don't

00:25:09.800 spend it all, next year there's no way you're going to get more.

00:25:12.580 And if you're a shrinking manager, you're not going to get promoted compared to the growing

00:25:17.400 managers, the ones whose departments grew that year because they were more important.

00:25:22.240 So in a corporate bureaucratic place, you cannot ask anybody to decrease their own power.

00:25:28.320 They will find a reason that it's not time, or you should go study it some more.

00:25:34.020 Now, there might be other forces.

00:25:36.320 There might be cartels doing this or that.

00:25:39.300 There might be the alcohol lobbyists maybe doing this or that because of competition. 0.88

00:25:44.680 But once I heard that the DEA has to approve it, that answered all of my questions.

00:25:51.280 So you have a structural problem in which the DEA has approval.

00:25:56.560 Now, let me ask you this.

00:25:57.520 Who's the boss of the DEA?

00:25:58.860 Who's the boss of the DEA?

00:26:05.100 Ultimately, it's Biden, isn't it?

00:26:07.540 Are you telling me Biden can't just order them to do what they need to do?

00:26:13.860 Yeah.

00:26:14.800 So I think it has more to do with the president being unwilling to overrule them.

00:26:20.960 We have to wait.

00:26:21.900 Maybe I'll be wrong.

00:26:22.880 The DEA will say yes.

00:26:23.960 But I think the DEA has been looking at it for a while, and they haven't said yes yet.

00:26:28.220 And it doesn't seem like it's a difficult question.

00:26:31.540 Health and Human Services did the research, so they don't have to re-research it.

00:26:36.800 Just the leadership has to talk to some people in the group and say, what do you think?

00:26:41.220 And then they make a decision.

00:26:42.880 Why is it taking so long?

00:26:44.780 Probably exactly the reason you think.

00:26:46.460 Because they don't have the right structure that this is going to ever happen.

00:26:50.920 And they'll have to come up with some reason why they can't do it.

00:26:53.800 So I would predict, if money predicts, follow the money.

00:26:57.140 It should predict the DEA will reject it.

00:26:59.520 And I further predict that the reasons they reject it will look absurd to you.

00:27:06.260 Anybody want to take the other side of that bet?

00:27:09.160 Follow the money.

00:27:10.700 And it should suggest that the DEA turns it down.

00:27:14.120 We'll see.

00:27:14.580 So Mike Lee, senator from Utah, sometimes referred to as Based Mike Lee.

00:27:23.760 That's actually his X handle.

00:27:26.660 He explained to us why Congress is so broken.

00:27:30.320 And he did such a good job.

00:27:32.360 I'm going to read it, even though it's a little long.

00:27:34.320 It's a thread from X.

00:27:36.340 But have you ever wondered, why is it that our leaders are voting on bills that they haven't read?

00:27:43.420 Haven't you wondered that?

00:27:45.020 I'm not the only one, right?

00:27:47.220 What's wrong with the process that they have these giant bills and nobody even has time to read it before they have to vote?

00:27:52.860 How in the world does that even make sense?

00:27:55.440 Well, Based Mike Lee explains it to us.

00:27:58.640 And I'm going to read his explanation word for word because it's so good.

00:28:02.320 He said earlier today, a reporter standing outside the Senate chamber told me that after four months of secrecy, the firm, which and I'm going to define what he means by the firm, plans to release the text of the hundred and six billion supplemental aid border security package, possibly as soon as tomorrow.

00:28:22.040 Now, remember, I'll tell you what the firm means in a minute.

00:28:26.980 Wasting no time, she then asks, if you get the bill by tomorrow, will you be ready to vote on it by Tuesday?

00:28:33.700 The words, quote, hell no, escape from my mouth before I can stop them.

00:28:41.720 Those are strong words where I come from.

00:28:43.560 Sorry, Mom.

00:28:44.120 The reporter immediately understood that my frustration was not directed to her.

00:28:48.660 Rather, I was directed at the law firm.

00:28:51.340 And he's using this in a creative way, not actually a law firm.

00:28:56.140 He goes, the law firm of Schumer and McConnell, you know, the leaders of the Senate and the House.

00:29:02.780 No, actually, the Senate.

00:29:04.540 Sorry.

00:29:06.760 The majority and minority leaders of the Senate.

00:29:10.900 And so that's who he calls the firm.

00:29:14.120 So, you know, that's a term like, you know, lawyers from some movie or something.

00:29:20.880 But so imagine that Schumer and McConnell, a Republican and a Democrat, but they're the leaders and they're perpetually trying to normalize a corrupt approach to legislating.

00:29:35.640 Now, what is that corrupt approach?

00:29:37.800 Now, here's the fun part of his message.

00:29:39.500 He's going to describe the process that is used for legislation.

00:29:45.840 Now, you ask yourself if this process could ever produce a good outcome.

00:29:50.580 It can't.

00:29:52.080 And this is the actual process they use.

00:29:54.640 Number one, spend months drafting legislation in complete secrecy.

00:29:59.360 All right.

00:30:00.360 You're already in trouble.

00:30:02.360 Number two, aggressively market that legislation based not on its details and practical implications, good or bad, but only on its broadest and least controversial objectives.

00:30:14.800 There it is.

00:30:15.420 That they'll give the legislation some name that is the opposite of what it does, and then they'll talk about the least important part of it, which might even be positive, so that they can ignore all the rest of it, because all the rest of it you wouldn't vote for.

00:30:31.860 Number three, let's members see bill text for the first time only a few days, sometimes a few hours, before an arbitrary deadline imposed by the firm.

00:30:42.120 In other words, Schumer and McConnell.

00:30:44.840 Have you watched that happen?

00:30:47.060 Yes, you have.

00:30:48.540 Did you ever wonder why they do that?

00:30:51.020 Why don't they give them enough time to consider the legislation?

00:30:55.020 They've been working on it for months.

00:30:56.600 Why don't the people who have to vote on it have time to look at it?

00:30:59.680 Well, apparently it's not an accident.

00:31:02.500 I'll read on.

00:31:04.280 Because, you know, they have a contrived sense of urgency, Mike says.

00:31:09.180 Number four, forces a vote on the legislation honored before that deadline, denying senators any real opportunity to read, digest, and debate the measure on its merits, much less introduce, consider, and vote on amendments.

00:31:23.320 Whenever the firm engages in this practice, it largely excludes nearly every senator from the constitutionally prescribed process in which all senators are supposed to participate.

00:31:37.040 That doesn't sound good.

00:31:39.180 By so doing, the firm effectively disenfranchises hundreds of millions of Americans, that's how I feel, at least for the purposes relevant to the legislation at hand, and it's tragic.

00:31:49.660 It's also un-American, un-civil, un-collegial, and really uncool. 0.65

00:31:53.400 So why does the firm do it every time?

00:31:58.400 Why do they do it?

00:31:59.520 Why do they do it every time?

00:32:00.720 And it uses this process nearly every time.

00:32:06.280 And they've become adept at, A, enlisting the help of the freakishly cooperative news media.

00:32:13.260 So one of the reasons they can get away with this is that the media isn't hitting them on it.

00:32:18.540 And exerting pressure in a way that makes what you experience in middle school look mild by comparison.

00:32:23.060 So they bully people behind the scenes, the senators.

00:32:27.540 The senators are getting bullied behind the scenes by their own leadership.

00:32:34.060 And they reward those who consistently vote with them.

00:32:42.600 Okay, that's pretty creepy.

00:32:44.280 And they get, you know, various privileges, et cetera.

00:32:48.720 So, and they're uniquely, the leaders can give you the committee assignments and all the good stuff that you want.

00:32:56.600 So basically, the leaders are just forcing people to vote the way they want.

00:33:00.720 They're keeping them in the dark so they don't complain about it.

00:33:03.560 And then they're bullying and punishing and rewarding them to do what they want.

00:33:07.800 So, effectively, here's an actual senator elected by his state who is telling the rest of us and Utah,

00:33:16.720 I can't do the job you elected me to do because my leadership is preventing me from being an honest broker of your preferences.

00:33:27.340 That's a hell of a patriotic thing to say.

00:33:30.620 So, Mike Lee, you earned your based reputation.

00:33:33.720 And now he talks about this big bill.

00:33:37.000 It's still secret.

00:33:38.160 They still don't know what's in it.

00:33:39.380 They're going to go through this rushed process because if you knew what's in it, you certainly would not vote for it.

00:33:47.600 So they actually are creating legislation so bad that they have to keep their own members in the dark to get them to vote for it,

00:33:56.760 bully them, you know, I don't know, probably threaten them and everything else.

00:34:01.740 And then Mike Lee says,

00:34:05.680 Under no circumstances should this bill, which would fund military operations in three distinct parts of the world

00:34:11.200 and make massive permanent changes to immigration law, be passed this week.

00:34:17.760 Or next week, he says.

00:34:21.200 Nor should it be passed until we have had adequate time to read it.

00:34:24.900 Duh.

00:34:26.960 And he says there's no universe in which those things will happen by next week.

00:34:31.740 Please share if you agree.

00:34:34.960 Yes, Mike Lee.

00:34:36.360 Thank you.

00:34:37.740 So as an American citizen, as a voter, as a taxpayer, there's some work I appreciated.

00:34:45.500 There's an elected senator, not from my state, but still works for the benefit of the country.

00:34:50.680 And he's done a real good service here.

00:34:54.840 He's explained to us in a way I can understand why nothing works.

00:34:59.400 It's because two people who have power are using their power to get what's good for those two people

00:35:06.400 and maybe whoever is their supporters.

00:35:09.220 And we have a puppet Congress.

00:35:13.600 So it turns out there are only two people in Congress who matter.

00:35:17.540 And they've been there a very long time.

00:35:19.840 And you know what happens when you're there a long time.

00:35:23.880 Presumably, you become somebody's puppet eventually.

00:35:27.100 Somebody is going to bribe you.

00:35:30.720 Somebody is going to get some blackmail on you.

00:35:33.400 Somebody is going to befriend you and start taking you on luxury vacations.

00:35:37.880 Somebody is going to start giving you stock tips that are kind of amazing.

00:35:41.920 So there's no way this system could work, even on paper.

00:35:46.720 If you were to draw this up and say, hey, how about a system like this?

00:35:51.580 Nobody would approve that.

00:35:53.180 So we don't even have a system that operates anything like the Constitution imagined.

00:35:57.900 It's constitutional because it's not breaking the Constitution.

00:36:01.180 But nobody contemplated that it was two people keeping a secret and bullying other people into agreeing.

00:36:07.340 So we actually have a government of bullying and blackmailing and secrecy

00:36:11.740 and two people making the decisions on behalf of the rest.

00:36:15.500 Perfect.

00:36:16.720 All right.

00:36:20.580 Trump's insurrection case has been taken off the schedule,

00:36:25.620 not because they don't want to pursue it,

00:36:27.560 but because there are appeals that are going forward that have to be resolved first.

00:36:31.540 And the appeals would be on the question of whether a president could be even charged

00:36:38.780 or prosecuted for something done in office.

00:36:41.800 Now, Trump was still in office, tactically,

00:36:44.820 when the things on January 6th were occurring.

00:36:49.980 Because it was before the new president was sworn in.

00:36:52.440 So is this the kind of situation where you think it makes sense for the president not to get prosecuted?

00:37:00.960 Does it fall into that category where you say, man, you wouldn't want to handcuff a president?

00:37:06.140 You know, let's say it's something like did a military response to something and there wasn't much time and there was a fog of war and they got it wrong.

00:37:16.480 You know, you kind of want them still to have that ability to get it wrong if they're legitimately trying to help the country and they're doing the best.

00:37:25.760 You know, sometimes you might have to, you know, step on a toe or do something wrong just to protect the country.

00:37:32.700 So you do want the president to have the widest possible range of options without being handcuffed, especially if it's an emergency.

00:37:40.760 And to me, this does fit into the category.

00:37:45.560 To me, this very neatly fits into the category of something you would want the president to have the power to do, even if it didn't work out.

00:37:54.920 And the even if it didn't work out part is the important part.

00:37:57.520 Because if the president's doing something everybody wants and it works out, you know, it's less of a problem.

00:38:03.440 But if you take the the Democrats illegitimate frame that what Trump was doing was trying to overthrow the country.

00:38:11.780 Well, no, no, I don't think a president should have immunity from overthrowing the country, even if he's still in office.

00:38:23.220 No, I don't think that that's reasonable.

00:38:25.340 Right. But suppose the president was trying to disrupt a process in order to make sure that the country got the right answer on the election, because that's what people were saying.

00:38:38.000 And I do believe that Trump legitimately believed there's something wrong with the election and that maybe delaying to check could matter.

00:38:45.580 So under those conditions, if the president does something that's quasi legal or in the gray area or maybe even just, frankly, illegal.

00:38:56.840 If he's doing it with a stated and obvious purpose of fixing the country, not hurting it.

00:39:03.460 That's exactly the situation I want my president not to have to worry about legal jeopardy.

00:39:11.140 If you are trying to save the country, yes, you should have total presidential immunity.

00:39:18.100 If you're trying to overthrow the country, not so much.

00:39:23.480 So everything depends on the framing.

00:39:25.580 The question has nothing to do with whether a president does or does not have immunity.

00:39:33.460 It really has to do with whether it was an insurrection or whether he was trying to help the country,

00:39:37.760 because I would definitely treat it as an exception if he was trying to overthrow the country, right, and become a dictator.

00:39:46.580 Yeah, I wouldn't know.

00:39:47.760 I don't think anybody would be in favor of immunity if that was what was happening.

00:39:51.220 But if what was happening was trying to fix a broken election process, even if it was to his benefit,

00:39:58.420 because, you know, the lawyers will tell you it doesn't matter that it's also to his benefit.

00:40:03.540 It only matters that at the same time it's good for the country, and that would be the case.

00:40:09.260 It would be in his benefit, but good for the country unambiguously if there was a real problem that he could correct.

00:40:15.760 So that's speculative.

00:40:16.920 All right, let's talk about the Biden getting swift-boated.

00:40:26.940 Swift-boated.

00:40:28.760 Has anybody used that one yet?

00:40:30.640 You know how John Kerry, when Kerry ran for president,

00:40:34.040 and they made up some story about he was in a swift boat and did something, I don't know, unbrave.

00:40:40.240 I forget what the story was.

00:40:41.660 I don't think the story was real.

00:40:43.400 It was just a political attack.

00:40:44.800 But it was something called a swift boat in Vietnam.

00:40:49.340 That was the name of the boat.

00:40:50.700 But now we've got the Taylor Swift situation who might be endorsing Biden, et cetera.

00:40:55.920 Now, she hasn't endorsed Biden specifically, right?

00:40:59.400 I don't believe she came out and endorsed Biden.

00:41:02.460 What if she does?

00:41:03.220 I think that the Republicans will reframe Taylor Swift as the leader of the awfuls.

00:41:14.040 You know what the awfuls are?

00:41:16.060 A-W-F-L-S. 1.00

00:41:20.040 It would be affluent white female liberals. 1.00

00:41:25.000 Affluent white female liberals. 0.97

00:41:27.080 That's Michael Malice's brilliant acronym, AWFULS.

00:41:33.800 Now, I think that's going to catch on.

00:41:36.040 Because a lot of people believe that that's the segment of the country that's ruining the country,

00:41:40.360 the affluent white female liberals,

00:41:42.920 that they're mostly signaling their awesomeness,

00:41:46.180 and in so doing, destroying the fabric of the United States and maybe civilization itself.

00:41:50.380 So, if Taylor Swift decides to go full out endorsing Biden,

00:41:57.520 then you can expect the Republicans to go full out trying to destroy her.

00:42:04.600 I'm not saying they should.

00:42:06.520 It's just the way it works, right?

00:42:08.580 The same way the Democrats went full out trying to destroy me for my political opinions.

00:42:14.180 It's just how it works.

00:42:15.300 You don't have to like it or not like it.

00:42:17.020 It's just going to happen.

00:42:17.820 So, your opinion of it doesn't matter.

00:42:20.380 And I think that the risk for Taylor, if she hasn't already figured this out, I think she has,

00:42:28.860 is first of all, she could lose 40% of her potential viewers, if they haven't already. 0.95

00:42:35.660 And secondly, am I wrong that a huge portion of her fans are affluent white female liberals?

00:42:45.940 I mean, there are plenty of conservatives, but wouldn't the bulk of her fans be affluent white female liberals? 1.00

00:42:55.620 Well, they're children, but also they're moms. 0.81

00:42:58.920 I think it's actually not children who are her main fans.

00:43:02.780 I read just recently that you think children are her main fans, but they're not.

00:43:07.100 They're over 20.

00:43:08.020 I think the 20 to 30 are actually her main fans, according to a recent report I saw.

00:43:15.560 So, if that's true, and I would need a fact check on that, if it's true that her main fans would seem to us,

00:43:24.240 and the important part is, does it seem true?

00:43:26.780 If it seems that she becomes the face of the awfuls, that's not good for her, and it's not going to help her, it's not going to help Biden at all.

00:43:39.340 So, it could go terribly wrong.

00:43:42.680 So, I think that Biden could get swift-boated.

00:43:46.280 I think he's going to get swift-boated.

00:43:48.020 But the moment she, if she does, I think it would be a terrible mistake if she does.

00:43:55.220 It would be a terrible career mistake to endorse Biden, because it's not a regular election, you know, because Trump's on the other side.

00:44:05.240 Anyway, we'll see what happens.

00:44:06.940 Mayorkas impeachment thing.

00:44:08.400 It doesn't look like Mayorkas will actually get impeached.

00:44:11.420 Republican Ken Buck has already come out and said he doesn't think it rises.

00:44:16.280 He doesn't love Mayorkas, so he's not happy with Mayorkas, but doesn't think that Mayorkas's lack of doing his job rises to any kind of impeachable offense.

00:44:27.520 I don't hate that opinion.

00:44:30.780 I think Mayorkas needs to be removed. 1.00

00:44:34.660 But if he didn't do an impeachable offense, I hate it.

00:44:41.020 But I'm going to have to agree with Ken Buck.

00:44:47.920 We can't live in a world where you just make up the rules as you go.

00:44:51.480 If it's non-impeachable, it's just got to be non-impeachable.

00:44:54.840 You just got to stick with it.

00:44:56.860 So, I hate it, but I suspect he's right.

00:45:01.900 I also like the fact that Marjorie Taylor Greene pushed it.

00:45:05.020 I like the fact that he's being questioned about it.

00:45:08.440 I like the fact that it's on the table, because that sends the right message.

00:45:12.420 But in the end, if he's not impeached, I could get over that.

00:45:17.940 I think he needs to go, but if this doesn't work, well, I'd rather keep the integrity of the impeachment process if there's any left.

00:45:25.960 Well, I saw a post by ALX, one of your better followers on X, and he's talking about governor of New York, Democrat Kathy Hochul,

00:45:38.560 who is on video talking about how much she loves immigration before she decided to hate it recently.

00:45:46.240 And she's on video saying that, you know, the Statue of Liberty has this little poem on it about, you know, welcoming people, the immigrants, with open arms.

00:45:56.380 And it says, we will house you and protect you, whatever it says on that poem on the Statue of Liberty.

00:46:02.220 Very welcoming to the migrants.

00:46:05.860 Well, time goes by.

00:46:07.140 And now Kathy Hochul thinks that all the migrants are an emergency and a crisis, and there are way too many, and they can't possibly take any more. 1.00

00:46:17.280 But the best part of this story was not the hypocrisy or the fact that, obviously, it was a terrible idea from the start.

00:46:25.080 I loved ALX's comments.

00:46:28.000 He says, it's a bad idea to base your policy on a poem.

00:46:37.140 And that's exactly what happened.

00:46:40.420 She literally based her policy on a poem. 0.92

00:46:45.600 And then it didn't work out.

00:46:47.440 Well, now there's a big surprise.

00:46:49.360 It didn't work out.

00:46:51.060 So how often do we see this same pattern, that Democrats can't calculate risks and rewards,

00:46:56.800 and they can't distinguish the long term from the short term?

00:47:00.960 Very consistently.

00:47:02.700 They can't determine the long term from the short term.

00:47:05.100 Short term, is it good to welcome the immigrants? 1.00

00:47:09.040 Sure.

00:47:10.660 Small rate of flow?

00:47:12.700 Properly vetted?

00:47:14.100 Absolutely.

00:47:15.340 Come on in.

00:47:17.860 But once the flow and the amount of it becomes a crisis.

00:47:22.660 Well, there you go.

00:47:23.480 Anyway, you might wonder about the value of the legacy media, but I'm here to tell you that they still have a value.

00:47:30.780 The LA Times, who recently laid off a lot of their workforce, they're running an opinion piece now.

00:47:37.560 And the title of the opinion piece is, How Throwing Soup at the Mona Lisa Can Help Fight Climate Change.

00:47:43.860 No, I didn't read that wrong.

00:47:48.280 I didn't read it wrong.

00:47:50.640 How throwing soup at the Mona Lisa, which recently happened, it didn't hurt it because it's behind glass, can help fight climate change.

00:47:59.380 I'm not going to read the rest of that article.

00:48:01.300 Well, but that's where the LA Times is at.

00:48:06.760 There's your hard news right there.

00:48:09.960 Now, I assume the article says, you know, you've got to keep the pressure on and, you know, keep protesting.

00:48:15.960 But did we need to read that?

00:48:18.080 I don't think that was news.

00:48:19.580 I don't think we need, or it's not even a barely its opinion.

00:48:22.060 So, if the LA Times was doing that, what weren't they doing?

00:48:27.520 Was there anything that maybe they should have been doing that was a big, gaping hole that had to be filled by a concerned citizen?

00:48:37.280 Because we've all realized that we don't have a functional news entity, and we all have to become the news ourselves.

00:48:44.600 Well, did you see a video in which Brett Weinstein talks to Tucker Carlson?

00:48:51.940 And apparently Brett took it upon himself in his role as a researcher and citizen, which is good enough, patriot, good enough, I'll take that,

00:49:04.080 traveled down to what's called the Darien Gap in South America to find the sort of the source and border, the source of the immigration.

00:49:13.340 So, here's what we learned.

00:49:16.380 Here's something I didn't know from the LA Times or any legitimate press.

00:49:21.900 Legitimate.

00:49:24.380 Did you know that the way that people are getting in from faraway countries is they go into Ecuador,

00:49:31.840 because Ecuador doesn't require a visa, to come in, and then they work their way through Colombia

00:49:37.240 and up through the rest of Central America and up through the border?

00:49:41.620 Oh, some of you knew that.

00:49:43.340 Okay.

00:49:44.200 So, well, I didn't know it.

00:49:47.460 I didn't know that Ecuador was the weak spot.

00:49:50.780 Maybe I heard it somewhere, but it wasn't at the top of my mind.

00:49:54.300 So, we learned that, and we learned that there are, you know, a growing number of Chinese men coming through, etc.

00:50:00.940 And is it an invasion or something else?

00:50:05.420 And Brett concluded it's maybe both.

00:50:09.100 You know, there's an invasion quality to it, but that might be more of an outcome than a clever plan by somebody.

00:50:16.600 And there are all these organized entities that are there just to help people get onto this path and all the way through.

00:50:25.680 Now, I would recommend the, I didn't get to watch the entire video.

00:50:30.160 I recommend the video because it's one of the few times you'll hear from a human being who you can believe,

00:50:39.460 because I don't think there's any, doesn't have any interest in lying to you.

00:50:43.520 You know, there's no financial interest in lying.

00:50:45.220 Who you could believe, who went down there, looked for himself, talked to lots of different people,

00:50:51.420 and tried to figure it out on your behalf.

00:50:55.500 Thank you.

00:50:56.880 Thank you, Brett, for doing that.

00:51:00.200 And the fact that our news industry has failed us to the point where somebody's going to buy a plane ticket

00:51:06.380 to South America to just, you know, wallow around in the mud and figure out what's going on 0.95

00:51:12.600 and why the country's going to hell.

00:51:13.920 I mean, you've got to really fail as an industry before somebody buys that plane ticket.

00:51:20.160 And here we are.

00:51:22.240 So, great work on that.

00:51:24.740 And I think our government is lying to us about all of it.

00:51:28.780 There is still some mystery about the border that we don't know.

00:51:32.560 There's still some mystery.

00:51:35.280 It could be who's funding it all, or that's probably, or why.

00:51:39.400 Alex Jones warns us that he's seen a memo that there's a secret FBI memo telling Border Patrol

00:51:48.580 to be ready for a, quote, imminent white supremacist attack.

00:51:53.100 So, wouldn't that be exactly the perfect political thing to happen right now when the border looks like the worst thing in the world for Democrats

00:52:02.900 and the worst thing in the world for Biden?

00:52:04.700 It will certainly cause him to lose.

00:52:07.060 But you know what would be perfect?

00:52:09.300 Wouldn't it be perfect if suddenly, as if by magic, there's a white supremacist event at the border 0.98

00:52:17.020 because they're trying to keep the brown people from coming into the country?

00:52:20.640 And then the news gets to reframe resistance to immigration as a white supremacist opinion.

00:52:29.860 Now, Alex Jones warns us that there could be a false flag coming.

00:52:36.220 Wow.

00:52:37.940 It sure looks like it.

00:52:39.300 So, first of all, I believe Alex Jones, when he says he's got a source that says a memo says there might be attack.

00:52:48.360 Now, that doesn't mean it's a false flag.

00:52:51.040 It could be there's a false flag, but also the memo is real.

00:52:55.300 So, there could be any combination of realities here.

00:52:57.800 We don't know.

00:52:58.240 But would I be concerned that something that would help Biden so much as a white supremacist attack

00:53:06.020 on people coming across the borders?

00:53:09.460 That does feel like exactly the thing that could happen in a terrible country.

00:53:15.340 And we might be living in a terrible country.

00:53:18.680 Because they...

00:53:21.880 Why are we looking at those severed heads?

00:53:24.300 Oh, my God.

00:53:24.860 But anyway, I guess we'll wait and see on that.

00:53:29.840 But if you see an attack that looks like white supremacists, you know, you should say,

00:53:34.840 all right, Alex Jones warned us about this.

00:53:37.320 Now, this is the best thing about the independent press.

00:53:40.200 The best thing is when they warn you what the next play is.

00:53:45.520 Because that has a real chilling effect on the next play.

00:53:48.720 If Alex Jones tells you what the Democrats are going to do,

00:53:51.740 and then they do it right in front of you, that really weakens their narrative.

00:53:56.780 It's like, we told you we were going to do that.

00:53:58.040 It's an obvious play.

00:53:58.900 False flag.

00:53:59.820 Even if it's not a false flag, it still weakens it as a story.

00:54:03.940 Because you could think, well, maybe it was a false flag.

00:54:06.700 You know, it was predicted exactly the way it happened.

00:54:09.040 So the predictions of badness are actually quite useful.

00:54:15.600 I saw a report that Putin announced that Russia plans to integrate those captured or occupied

00:54:22.500 or whatever you want to call it, Ukrainian territories into Russia by 2030.

00:54:27.300 That is exactly the right way to play it.

00:54:30.820 That's the right way to play it.

00:54:32.360 He's thinking past the sale.

00:54:34.860 So he's making you think, well, it's not a question of whether it's done.

00:54:37.760 I'm giving you a deadline.

00:54:39.420 I'm telling you when it's done.

00:54:40.980 I'm not saying if it's done, because that's just a given.

00:54:44.760 I'll just tell you when it's done.

00:54:46.520 So it's good persuasion.

00:54:48.600 If it's true, I don't know if it's true.

00:54:50.480 But I also think this is the only answer for Taiwan and Gaza as well.

00:54:56.600 The correct way to do the impossibles is to say you've got a long-term plan.

00:55:02.400 Now, I always mock when people say, oh, form a committee and do a report.

00:55:06.520 That's just useless. 0.99

00:55:08.300 That's useless. 0.83

00:55:09.220 But you could actually get utility.

00:55:11.300 And I'm saying we have a 100-year plan to, let's say, unify North and South Korea.

00:55:17.040 Because nobody can predict 100 years from now.

00:55:19.680 Yeah, and you're not going to be held to it.

00:55:21.480 The entire world would be different in 100 years.

00:55:24.220 But you could act like you have a goal.

00:55:27.040 So that lets you solve it today, at least psychologically solve it today.

00:55:31.840 And it might even start aligning your actions in that direction.

00:55:36.180 And maybe something good will happen in 100 years.

00:55:38.820 But, yeah, the I'll do something you don't like, but it's going to take a long time is exactly the right way to handle it.

00:55:47.680 So let's do more of that.

00:55:49.780 There's some fake Joe Biden news, just so you can know that I don't only call out fake news when it's against Republicans.

00:56:01.280 This is something that the right keeps doing.

00:56:04.100 And it starts like this.

00:56:07.360 The reporting is that Biden says that his son was killed in Iraq.

00:56:12.400 You've heard that, right?

00:56:13.940 You've heard people say, Biden says, at this event, that his son died in Iraq.

00:56:22.140 I don't think that's true.

00:56:24.420 I don't think he's ever said that.

00:56:26.460 Here's what he has said, and it's happening again today.

00:56:29.420 He's being accused of doing that again.

00:56:30.920 He said he was talking to one of the parents of the three who were killed recently in the Middle East.

00:56:39.800 And he said, my son spent a year in Iraq.

00:56:43.060 That's how I lost him.

00:56:44.680 That's a true statement, as far as we know.

00:56:48.280 He spent a year in Iraq.

00:56:50.100 He was allegedly exposed to some burn pits or something.

00:56:54.500 And then five years later, he died of a brain cancer,

00:56:58.860 which you don't know for sure.

00:57:01.540 But he has a suspicion or a strong indication that it was his time in Iraq that caused him to get the cancer.

00:57:10.280 Now, is that unfair to say my son spent a year in Iraq, that's how I lost him?

00:57:16.600 Now it's ambiguous.

00:57:18.320 And you could see how somebody would interpret it as he died in Iraq.

00:57:22.260 But I don't think that's such a big stretch to say he served his country and because of that service, he died earlier than he needed to.

00:57:32.180 I'm going to accept that.

00:57:33.240 I'm going to accept Biden's framing of his son's service because I think that's just a more honorable way to treat the topic.

00:57:43.080 If there's some other person who served in Iraq and then got an injury that killed them later, I want to fully respect that. 1.00

00:57:52.980 I'm not going to nip it and say, well, but she didn't die in Iraq.

00:57:56.740 You know, not 100% sure.

00:57:59.600 No way.

00:58:00.700 No way.

00:58:01.500 I think you've got to give the benefit of a doubt to not only the fallen, but the, you know, the gold star parent in this case.

00:58:10.300 I'm getting a lot of pushback on this.

00:58:14.180 I think everybody's disagreeing with him.

00:58:16.680 I'm saying F him.

00:58:17.840 No, no, no way.

00:58:19.140 All right.

00:58:19.640 I will accept your disagreement.

00:58:23.300 So my pushback on this is that I feel it's insulting to the veterans and it's not about Biden.

00:58:33.200 I think Biden is actually treating this closer to the way I would have treated it,

00:58:37.280 which does say these two things are connected.

00:58:41.200 All right.

00:58:41.920 Well, we can agree to disagree on this because it's very subjective how you treat respect.

00:58:48.360 And I will accept your disagreement.

00:58:50.360 All right.

00:58:50.700 Frank Luntz, as you know, famous pollster, says that it looks like Trump would win unless there's a third party entry.

00:59:01.460 Well, even if Trump's going to win if there's a third party, basically.

00:59:05.040 Let me say that straighter.

00:59:06.100 But he also said and made some news that Biden's the weakest incumbent since Jimmy Carter.

00:59:14.680 He's the weakest incumbent since Jimmy Carter.

00:59:17.500 Now, what he didn't specify is if he meant Jimmy Carter the way he was when he was an incumbent or Jimmy Carter the way he is right now.

00:59:27.300 So I think Biden is weaker than Jimmy Carter right now.

00:59:35.140 Just saying.

00:59:36.960 All right.

00:59:37.360 But the libs of TikTok was talking about they have a scoop and they got some internal documents from Southwest Airlines that are trying to double the racial diversity and increase their gender diversity.

00:59:53.420 In other words, they're going to discriminate against white men in hiring.

00:59:57.060 Now, I saw Megyn Kelly reposted this. 1.00

01:00:03.100 So the libs of TikTok creator is, I believe, an American woman. 0.99

01:00:08.460 Am I correct?

01:00:10.880 And Megyn Kelly is an American woman.

01:00:16.180 So the libs of TikTok American woman who says it's a scoop that Southwest Airlines is discriminating against white men. 1.00

01:00:25.300 And Megyn Kelly wants to make sure that people, you know, know this, this news.

01:00:30.760 And so she reposted it.

01:00:32.860 Let me tell you what's bothering me about this.

01:00:39.500 You didn't know that this has been the normal case for 30 years.

01:00:42.920 This is the normal case, exactly like this, no different, nothing's changed for 30 years.

01:00:54.480 For 30 years, white men have been overlooked for gender and racial diversity purposes in a massive way in every large company, every public company.

01:01:08.840 Now, what's different is we have some names for stuff, and maybe they put it in writing a little bit more.

01:01:15.400 But whether or not, whether it was in writing or not, it was exactly the same policy.

01:01:21.520 In 1990s, my boss called me in, and I've told this story too many times, and said, we can't promote you because you're white and male.

01:01:29.760 And we've got to get our diversity and our gender balance up.

01:01:32.880 And then when I changed companies, Pacific Bell told me exactly the same thing.

01:01:40.800 This is in the 90s.

01:01:44.460 Nothing changed.

01:01:46.620 So the thing that's blowing my mind, and I'm trying not to use the F word, because this is usually where I would use it a lot to underscore that, just how mind-blown I am.

01:01:57.860 How did the libs of TikTok, a very well-informed person living in the modern world, and Megyn Kelly, extremely well-informed person living in the modern world, do they not know that nothing changed?

01:02:11.980 This is exactly what it's been for 30 years.

01:02:15.000 Let me tell you what's changed.

01:02:17.720 30 years ago, I never would have talked about this in public.

01:02:20.980 20 years ago, I never would have talked about this in public.

01:02:27.360 It would have just been bad for me.

01:02:29.600 10 years ago, I kind of mentioned it.

01:02:33.200 Didn't go well.

01:02:35.520 Didn't go well. 0.67

01:02:37.080 Everybody said I was lying or that I must be a black man. 0.97

01:02:41.420 Mostly said I was obviously a mid, what do they call it, like a midwit or a, they have some insulting word for white people. 0.88

01:02:51.620 Like a medium or average, what's the word?

01:02:55.340 Something like a, like an average person or mid or something like that.

01:03:01.120 Yeah, mediocre, I guess, mediocre.

01:03:03.620 So they tried to spin my story as really I was lying, and that the only reason a white man would ever be overlooked in corporate America is that they were actually bad at their job, but they were spinning it to say it was some racial thing.

01:03:19.240 And there's not a single person in the corporate world who thinks that's true.

01:03:24.940 None.

01:03:25.380 And then they asked me.

01:03:27.580 I remember people, in fact, even just a year ago, a writer for the Chicago Post was challenging me to prove that there was any such discrimination 30 years ago when I was experiencing it.

01:03:42.380 And he said he wanted, like, a witness.

01:03:46.120 And at first I thought, huh, you know, they're private people, and I know their names, but I don't know how to find them.

01:03:51.200 You know, my bosses, I don't know if they're alive, that sort of thing.

01:03:54.320 But then I thought, I'm not going to play your game.

01:03:57.960 I'm not going to play your, can you give me one witness?

01:04:01.140 So instead, here's the F word.

01:04:03.880 It's coming.

01:04:04.800 I can't stop it.

01:04:07.380 And so instead, how about you just walk out in the street, see any adult male, white male who's 50 or older, and you say, excuse me, have you ever worked at a big company?

01:04:21.720 Well, yes, I have.

01:04:22.480 Have you seen massive discrimination against white men?

01:04:28.160 What do you think he's going to say?

01:04:30.420 Do you think you could find one person who would say no?

01:04:34.540 I don't think so.

01:04:36.020 I don't think you could find one anywhere in America who had corporate experience who would say, no, that doesn't happen.

01:04:43.320 You might find somebody who said it didn't happen to them.

01:04:46.500 That could be totally fine.

01:04:48.060 But you won't find anybody who doesn't say, yeah, it's massive, it's been there for 30 years, it's no different than it's ever been.

01:04:55.500 Every single one.

01:04:56.660 So why is it that there are millions, tens of millions of witnesses, and most of the world doesn't know it?

01:05:06.200 Megyn Kelly, you know, I don't want to read her mind.

01:05:08.660 She may have been fully aware of this forever.

01:05:11.920 Kind of unfair of me to imagine they didn't know it.

01:05:14.340 But the way it was posted, it was like, here's some new information about this one company doing something unusual.

01:05:21.340 No.

01:05:22.060 Southwest is every company all the time for 30 years.

01:05:25.540 Every company, all the time, for 30 years. 0.90

01:05:29.140 And if you're just fucking waking up to that, let me do a call back to Dr. Drew and Elon Musk. 0.99

01:05:35.100 If you're just fucking figuring that out, you have been asleep for 30 fucking years. 1.00

01:05:41.280 30 fucking years you've been asleep, and it's time you wake the fuck up. 1.00

01:05:46.820 So that's what I'm here for. 1.00

01:05:48.600 To wake up the sleeping.

01:05:53.880 Jonathan Turley and others have reported that the young gentleman who had some sex in that congressional room will not be charged because there's no particular crime.

01:06:05.100 Um, and, uh, you know, when the two guys had, uh, sex there, um, the only thing I have to say about it is, you know what they say about Congress.

01:06:20.000 Nobody wants to see how the sausage is made.

01:06:22.280 Okay, next story, uh, the U.S. plans to, uh, target multi-day strikes in Iraq and Syria against multiple targets, including Iranian personnel and facilities and blah, blah, blah.

01:06:40.060 And then Lloyd Austin says that they will act, I'm paraphrasing, at the time of their choice, the targets of their choice, you know, wherever they choose.

01:06:52.160 So our take is that we will be, um, generic and we'll say, you know, watch out, we're going to get you.

01:07:00.520 Yeah, but they also said, um, I also saw a report that said, you know, Iran can't completely control its proxies.

01:07:10.480 So we're going to bomb the proxies, but, you know, we can't be 100% sure that Iran told them to do these things. 0.80

01:07:18.200 They just provided all the weapons to do exactly this.

01:07:20.720 So that's a crazy thing to say, but let me give some persuasion advice, or maybe it's just a question for Lloyd Austin.

01:07:29.120 I think he needs it.

01:07:30.840 Compare these two approaches.

01:07:33.400 Number one, uh, we will attack something unnamed at an unnamed time in an unnamed way.

01:07:42.340 And then there are people all over the region who say, I suppose it could be us, but probably not.

01:07:49.360 There's so many of us got proxies all over the place and I'm not really connecting it to what happened.

01:07:57.440 Like we're just minding our business over here and something happened somewhere else.

01:08:01.860 Somebody else did it.

01:08:02.820 And now you're going to bomb us.

01:08:04.120 It's sort of, you know, it's a little generic.

01:08:08.340 Let me tell you what Trump has done and probably would do and what I would do.

01:08:13.760 And I believe this is better persuasion.

01:08:15.800 Do you remember when, um, Trump tells us that he was talking to Putin and he said, if you do whatever it was, was it invade Ukraine?

01:08:26.620 I forget what it was.

01:08:27.700 He said, I'm going to take out Moscow. 0.58

01:08:29.720 And then Trump, you know, laughs at it.

01:08:33.100 He goes, only a 10% chance you believe that, but that's all I needed.

01:08:37.320 You know, which always makes me laugh because he tells you exactly what he's doing.

01:08:40.580 Like in public, I'm just, I just want to give him a 10% chance it's going to happen.

01:08:45.120 Which is just blows my mind that he says that in public.

01:08:48.220 And it is exactly what he's doing.

01:08:49.560 Well, this isn't, uh, no, I don't think we should nuke Moscow. 0.74

01:08:55.880 So that was just a bluff.

01:08:57.060 But here's what I would do.

01:08:58.160 I would do what I call the menu approach.

01:09:00.760 The menu approach.

01:09:02.160 And here's why I think it's superior, but maybe they've tried it before and somebody has better information.

01:09:07.760 Right?

01:09:07.900 If you say I'm generically going to do a thing at my time in a generic place in time, it just, it doesn't have that fear specific tit for tat cause and effect element to it.

01:09:21.540 The only way it does that is through your talking about it later.

01:09:25.360 Well, you see the thing we did over here is conceptually attached to the thing over here.

01:09:34.180 It's not enough to really change anything.

01:09:35.960 Compare that to this.

01:09:38.960 Hey, Iran, here's a menu.

01:09:41.760 At the top of the menu is the thing we're going to destroy first if you do X.

01:09:47.060 And let's say X is send another missile from the Hooties or allow the Hooties to send another missile at a ship. 0.99

01:09:55.220 So you might say at the top of the list, the first time another missile comes from the Hooties, we're going to take out your tanker. 1.00

01:10:02.180 And here's the name of the tanker.

01:10:03.500 And then you do it.

01:10:07.500 Then you do it.

01:10:09.140 And then you say, next on the list, and you can see the whole list, right?

01:10:13.180 So it's all published in advance.

01:10:15.080 Next on the list is this Hezbollah camp or whatever.

01:10:21.820 You know, maybe it's an important one.

01:10:23.000 And then you take it out.

01:10:25.320 Now, you might say, but Scott, they'd have time to move the tanker and they'd have time to, you know, reinforce the camp and stuff like that.

01:10:33.360 Yes.

01:10:34.480 Doesn't matter.

01:10:35.840 Here's what you're doing.

01:10:36.760 What you're doing is you're creating a proponent within the Iranian constellation.

01:10:44.820 So going back to my example, if you say, if you hit any ship in the area, we're going to take out this specific tanker.

01:10:54.440 There is a person who owns that tanker or entity.

01:10:57.860 That entity immediately becomes the persuader within Iran to cut it out.

01:11:09.680 Whoever could own a tanker, whether it's an entity or a person or a company or whatever it is, or just somebody in charge.

01:11:17.940 They don't even have to own it.

01:11:18.900 They just have to be in charge of it.

01:11:19.920 The first thing they're going to do is call up somebody they know in the administration and say, are you freaking kidding me?

01:11:26.920 My tanker is on the top of your list.

01:11:29.660 Whatever you do, like I'm on your side. 1.00

01:11:33.700 And you're going to let them take out my tanker because you're going to let the Hooties send a stupid missile in? 1.00

01:11:38.760 What are you gaining by that? 1.00

01:11:40.380 Stop it.

01:11:41.500 I don't want to lose my tanker.

01:11:43.620 And then let's say a few tankers go.

01:11:46.960 And then the next thing on the list is Karg Island.

01:11:50.480 Now, Karg Island is where Iran's primary energy infrastructure exists.

01:11:56.920 If you take that out, they're out of business.

01:11:59.280 But if it's fourth on the list and you took out the first three, I think Iran just does anything you want after that point. 0.84

01:12:08.000 But if every time Iran does something, you do a surprise thing to a proxy somewhere and you killed a few people or maybe you didn't or maybe they moved or you're not even sure, how does that get you anything?

01:12:23.900 So compare the menu to the will strike when you don't expect it.

01:12:30.900 I think the menu gets you there faster.

01:12:33.020 But you've got to start with some things you're really going to do because Karg Island might be something you really, really don't want to do because that's all that war. 0.96

01:12:42.840 But you put it fourth on the list and you do the first three and Iran is going to be, okay, they really mean they're going to take out Karg Island. 0.94

01:12:50.560 And we would.

01:12:52.360 Maybe we would take that one.

01:12:56.020 All right.

01:12:56.860 So that's a persuasion advice.

01:12:59.120 Apparently, Iran is going to begin construction on four more nuclear power plants.

01:13:05.180 What?

01:13:07.140 Iran can build nuclear power plants.

01:13:10.180 And I'm talking about the technical know-how and the ability to get it approved.

01:13:16.040 And we can't in this country.

01:13:18.020 So the United States can't figure out how to build these and they got four.

01:13:22.320 My God.

01:13:24.560 All right.

01:13:25.180 I'm going to remind you again that the cyber mutually assured destruction that at least we have with China, where China basically has infiltrated all our systems. 0.95

01:13:38.520 They can take the whole country down anytime they want.

01:13:40.840 We could probably do the same thing to them with cyber stuff.

01:13:44.580 So I think that makes the odds of a nuclear war with China basically zero because you would do the cyber thing first if you were going to do something extreme.

01:13:55.180 So, and that would get, you know, that would sort of make nuclear war unnecessary.

01:14:01.440 I think it's enough of a threat.

01:14:03.420 But Iran might not have the same cyber capabilities.

01:14:08.120 So maybe a nuclear bomb, if they could get one, might still be on the table in their specific case, which is dangerous.

01:14:16.300 All right.

01:14:17.540 All right.

01:14:21.540 So Biden has decided to sanction some Israeli people who were doing terrible things in the settlements.

01:14:29.400 So they're doing some crimes against the Palestinian in the area.

01:14:34.160 Now, I'm not going to, you know, obviously I'm not going to endorse their crimes.

01:14:39.000 You don't need to know what they are, but they were pretty bad.

01:14:41.640 But Biden has decided to sanction these Israeli citizens for some crimes they did in the West Bank, I guess.

01:14:53.420 How does that make sense?

01:14:55.580 Private citizens doing crimes?

01:14:59.980 Do we police other countries all the time?

01:15:03.500 Why in the world are we involved in an individual crime in another country?

01:15:08.420 Can anybody explain that?

01:15:11.460 There's something to this story I completely don't understand.

01:15:14.900 Why in the world would we get involved at that level?

01:15:18.860 I'm not, you know, certainly not defending whatever these guys did, but America has to do that?

01:15:25.920 That's crazy.

01:15:26.820 There's something missing in the story.

01:15:28.060 And then I guess the IDF, Israeli's military, took out a Belgium building that was still standing in Gaza

01:15:42.320 because Belgium apparently is one of the countries that refused to cut funding to UNRWA,

01:15:48.220 the group that is in the United Nations and gives support to the Palestinians historically.

01:15:54.720 So do you think that's a coincidence that Belgium decided not to back Israel

01:16:01.080 and then Belgium's building just disappeared?

01:16:04.620 It actually could be a coincidence because 60% of Gaza is being destroyed.

01:16:09.260 So I don't think they care too much what building it is.

01:16:12.080 I think they'll all be destroyed eventually.

01:16:13.700 Is that a fair target?

01:16:18.540 Do you think if Belgium was still paying money to UNRWA,

01:16:23.260 which we know now was involved in the planning of the October 7th,

01:16:29.360 do you think they're a fair target?

01:16:30.780 They're building, not the people.

01:16:32.420 I say yes.

01:16:34.940 Oh, it's ANRWA?

01:16:38.340 Is that the correct pronunciation?

01:16:41.620 ANRWA?

01:16:42.020 That might be it.

01:16:44.880 I'd say it's a fair target because it's an economic target.

01:16:49.400 If there were people there, I'd say absolutely not.

01:16:52.080 But as an asset, sure.

01:16:57.080 Here's a fake poll.

01:16:59.240 So you can learn to spot fake polls.

01:17:02.040 The AP, which nobody trusts if you're paying attention,

01:17:06.780 you know that it's sort of a, they're very Democrat-leaning, let's say.

01:17:11.960 So here's what they report.

01:17:15.900 They report that half of U.S. adults say Israel has gone too far in their war in Gaza.

01:17:22.520 So that's an AP, NORC poll.

01:17:25.520 Half of U.S. adults say Israel has gone too far.

01:17:29.120 Do you immediately see what the problem with the poll is?

01:17:31.920 Before I even tell you what the answer is, do you see the problem?

01:17:36.360 Let me tell you.

01:17:37.720 If you ask the question that way, has Israel gone too far, 0.76

01:17:41.420 your human brain goes immediately to all the people dying at the moment in Gaza.

01:17:46.140 And your natural human reaction is, oh, my God, that's too far.

01:17:51.100 Because nobody presented the alternative path.

01:17:54.620 You're just asking if this one thing seems like much.

01:17:59.380 And of course it does.

01:18:00.880 If you weren't considering any history or predicting what would happen if they didn't do these things,

01:18:07.420 if you just said, does it seem too far,

01:18:10.160 anybody who's a human being could predict you'd get a lot of people saying it's too far.

01:18:15.400 So that's the way the AP asked it.

01:18:18.840 So that's how you rig a poll to get an answer that pushes the news the way you want to push it.

01:18:25.340 So they seem to be pushing the news to think that Israel needs to slow down,

01:18:30.660 and that would be consistent with what the Democrats are saying right now.

01:18:35.700 Now, how could they have asked the question to get a different answer from the same people?

01:18:41.140 Well, this is a fake example, but just to give you a feel for what they could have done.

01:18:48.280 Suppose they had said this.

01:18:53.420 Imagine instead that I asked you to predict what happens to Israel later if it stops fighting

01:18:58.260 and returns Gaza to its prior situation.

01:19:01.740 So suppose the question was this.

01:19:03.340 If Israel stops fighting and returns Gaza to what it was, 0.91

01:19:12.080 what would happen to Israel in the long run?

01:19:16.760 Right?

01:19:17.500 If you ask that question, you've automatically put the benefits and the costs on the table at the same time.

01:19:24.240 If you say, have they gone too far, your brain is biased toward just the cost.

01:19:29.220 You're like, oh yeah, I'm a human being, I don't like killing, too far.

01:19:33.040 If I say, tell me the two paths.

01:19:36.040 One path is they keep going hard at Gaza, and then dominate it and control it totally. 0.96

01:19:41.320 And then the other is they just sort of hit them hard, put them back to where they were.

01:19:46.520 Tell me what you think happens if they put it back together.

01:19:49.440 Now, is anybody going to say, oh, I think they'll all learn to live in peace

01:19:55.060 because after being brutalized for, you know, a year, they're not any angrier than before?

01:20:01.880 Like, who in the world could even have that opinion?

01:20:04.420 Of course they'll be angrier.

01:20:06.700 Of course they're more radicalized.

01:20:09.240 Of course they are.

01:20:10.480 You can't just put it back together like it was.

01:20:13.180 Whatever it is, it's not going to be like it was.

01:20:15.300 That's the one thing that's not going to happen.

01:20:17.060 So, learn how to find these fake polls.

01:20:22.800 Now, is Scott outside of his area of expertise?

01:20:28.180 Is Scott talking about polling in a way that he does not understand?

01:20:34.040 Yes, but I will tell you where I get it.

01:20:38.100 I had a friend who was a pollster.

01:20:41.020 I still think he's a friend.

01:20:43.140 He doesn't love Trump, so it could be different on any given.

01:20:47.060 But a long time ago, he taught me, because he was in the business of forming poll questions.

01:20:53.700 It was his job to actually write the exact question.

01:20:57.700 And he would tell me how easily you could do it wrong if you didn't know the science of how to write it right.

01:21:03.240 That it's really hard to write a question that doesn't bias the answer in a way you don't want to bias them.

01:21:13.260 And when I look at the AP thing, to me that looks like somebody who knew what they were doing

01:21:18.120 and knew it would bias the answer and chose to do it.

01:21:22.400 Now, that would be mind reading and speculation, and so I can't allege that that's true.

01:21:27.080 I just say it looks like it.

01:21:29.020 I can't imagine a professional pollster not knowing what this would do.

01:21:33.540 So, this morning I asked a professional pollster, do you see this too?

01:21:39.360 And the professional pollster, who shall remain anonymous, said, oh yeah, definitely.

01:21:43.440 Yeah, so if you ask somebody, not me, somebody who actually knows this field, they'll back me up.

01:21:52.620 So, if you know anybody, ask them this question.

01:21:55.520 You know, show them this one and say, is this one of those polls where you're trying to force the result?

01:22:02.000 Just ask, you'll be surprised.

01:22:03.540 And I take you back to Dr. Drew and Elon Musk, that all the information is biased, but all the polling is too.

01:22:13.640 Now, that doesn't mean it's all wrong, but you should assume that every pollster has a preferred set of questions that they're comfortable asking

01:22:23.080 and a set of questions that that particular pollster would never ask, right?

01:22:28.360 It's helpful if you're looking at polls that are showing both sides.

01:22:33.500 You know, maybe you can triangulate.

01:22:35.240 You also want to look at who's got a good track record, right?

01:22:38.540 Does Quinnipiac have a good track record of presidential polling, for example?

01:22:44.460 You tell me.

01:22:46.580 Quinnipiac.

01:22:47.300 Because Quinnipiac had a different result than the other pollsters recently.

01:22:52.940 Quinnipiac.

01:22:53.920 I'm seeing yeses and nos.

01:22:55.620 Which means that it's not generally known if it's a, if their accuracy has been good in the past.

01:23:05.680 Some say they've been good.

01:23:10.120 Others don't know.

01:23:11.320 Some say not.

01:23:12.340 I don't know.

01:23:12.960 I haven't looked it up.

01:23:14.580 But if you see a poll result on a presidential election and you don't know their historical record,

01:23:24.220 you don't know anything.

01:23:26.380 You've got to know that.

01:23:30.820 All right.

01:23:32.980 And that, ladies and gentlemen, concludes.

01:23:37.140 Oh, way too long.

01:23:38.520 I've gone over my limits.

01:23:40.040 I'm going to say goodbye to the platforms of X and Rumble and YouTube.

01:23:45.700 Thanks for joining.

01:23:47.300 If you were on the Locals platform, I would see your comments first.

01:23:51.920 And I'm going to give them a little extra time, as I always do.

01:23:54.780 So if you want to join the Locals people, they get to see a little extra.

01:23:58.920 Bye for now.

01:23:59.600 Thanks for joining.

01:24:00.220 I'll see you tomorrow morning.

01:24:01.100 Bye.

01:24:02.100 Bye.

01:24:02.600 Bye.

01:24:03.100 Bye.

01:24:03.600 Bye.

01:24:04.100 Bye.

01:24:04.200 Bye.

01:24:04.600 Bye.

01:24:04.700 Bye.

01:24:05.100 Bye.

01:24:05.200 Bye.

01:24:05.700 Bye.

01:24:06.200 Bye.

01:24:06.700 Bye.

01:24:07.700 Bye.

01:24:08.700 Bye.

01:24:09.700 Bye.

01:24:10.700 Bye.

01:24:11.700 Bye.

01:24:12.700 Bye.

01:24:13.700 Bye.

01:24:14.700 Bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - February 02, 2024

Episode 2372 CWSA 02⧸02⧸24

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