Episode 2409 CWSA 03⧸10⧸24
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 9 minutes
Words per Minute
148.7425
Summary
In this episode of the show, Scott Adamson talks about a new type of chip that could be a game-changer in the chip manufacturing industry, and discusses a new piece of research from Wuhan University in China that could change the way we think about chips forever. Scott also talks about the benefits and risks of recreational use of cannabis, and whether or not you should be consuming it recreationally.
Transcript
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Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
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And if you'd like to enjoy this experience at levels that nobody can even understand,
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oh, I'm going to have to turn off this monitor.
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I'm watching two monitors and I'm delayed on one.
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do you know how hard it is to talk when you're watching yourself do something that you're not
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actually doing i'm talking and i'm watching myself on the other monitor doing the the paper tap thing
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anyway that's not ideal but if you'd like to take your experience up to levels that nobody
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can even understand all you need for that is a cuppa mug or a glass of tanker chalice of
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stein a canteen jug of flask a vessel of any kind and fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee
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and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dope means of the day the thing that makes
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everything better it's called the simultaneous sip it happens now go
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so how many of you are uh exhausted from losing that hour of sleep last night i am i am totally
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exhausted yep that didn't work out at all for me so we'll see if we can limp through this um the
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update on my internet connection is the internet providers coming out this afternoon they detected
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a problem in their network so it might not be on my end um if you're reading dilbert reborn or if
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your subscriber either on the locals platform scottadams.locals.com or on the x profile um
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then uh you would know that uh dilbert's company is having trouble because china stole their source code
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i don't want to give away too much but when china stole the source code of dilbert's company
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it didn't go well for china yeah that's a little preview um you may have noticed i lost my blue
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check mark on x uh because i i think i knew this but i forgot i changed my profile picture
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and they take your they take your uh blue check away now it's supposedly supposed to come back after
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they verify you or something but it's been days i don't know if it's coming back or not i'm not even
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sure if i'm monetized anymore that it's like the worst thing that they should if i could make one
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suggestion before you are allowed to change your profile before then it should tell you you can lose
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your check mark not after no not after because i wouldn't have changed it if i know if i know that
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i'd lose my check mark i don't even know if it's coming back well did you know that uh you know
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biden made a bunch of money available to move american chip production over to the usa but that's
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not working out at all guess why turns out nobody wants to manufacture chips when you need a skilled
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workforce and you also have dei requirements people are deciding oh we can't do this in america
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because we can't do those two things we can't get enough skilled employees if we also have to serve a
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different master of you know hitting getting some requirements for uh dei so there are companies that
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could be building american chip production in america that uh are looking for other countries
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companies so we have people who are perfectly willing and able to build chip manufacturing in america
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and we burden them with such ridiculous requirements that they're like no thanks i think we'll go to a
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third world country we'll be safer well there's a brand new building material that uh can warm you when
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it's cold and make you cooler when it's warm reminds me of that old thermos joke you know you put hot
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water in your thermos and it stays hot you put cold water in your thermos and it stays cold how does it
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know it's an old joke i don't know who said it first but apparently there's a material that knows how to absorb
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when it wants to make the building warmer and it knows how to automatically reflect when it needs to keep
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it cooler and it's auto it's not not automated it's just built into the material so you don't have to
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you have any electronics or anything it just does it so that's pretty cool something coming out of chinese
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research in wuhan what it's from the wuhan university of technology well nothing bad has ever come out of
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wuhan so i think we're fine about that all right there's a new study that i'm going to tell you in
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advance before i tell you the content it is the most accurate credible completely reliable study i've ever
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seen in my life you know how to interpret that right it agrees with my it agrees with what i wanted to hear
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and that's what i call science and the study says that uh quote another unexpected benefit from
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consuming uh cannabis uh especially when it's recreational is that participants who only use
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cannabis recreationally has significantly lower risk of subjective cognitive decline as much as
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as 96 percent less risk compared to non-users did you hear the 96 part
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96 percent less risk of being impaired if you smoke marijuana regularly
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so this is all part of my plan to run for president when i'm 90 years old because let me tell you
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i haven't done any double blind placebo controlled randomized controlled trials
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but i feel like i'm getting smarter every day yeah i feel like that's happening all right um
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um there's an update on the mcconnell's mitch mcconnell's uh sister-in-law who tragically drove her
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tesla into a lake and drowned remember we all had some conspiracy theories about it must have been murder
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somehow they got her uh turns out we know fairly substantially uh you know with credibility that it
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wasn't murder it was uh an accident but worse than you imagined because apparently she was able to
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make a cell phone call from her submerged car now if that's the only thing you know about this story
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it's about as horrible as anything i can even imagine so i guess they didn't have divers when
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the emergency crews got there they couldn't get around she couldn't open the door they didn't have anything
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that would tow her out and so i guess it was one woman who dove in and tried to do something but that
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was impossible so but the i don't want to call it good news it's definitely not good news but uh it's news
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that it was just an accident one of the worst ones i've ever heard in my life honestly so she drove her car
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into a lake well speaking of lakin uh lakin rally um that she's still in the news because you know she
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was tragically murdered by an undocumented who some say illegal immigrant and the issue is that uh biden
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had referred to the killer as illegal but had to walk it back because all the democrats said you can't
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call that murderer illegal you must say undocumented and you know
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personal point of privilege i'd like to make the news more about me
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because that's what is missing a lot of the news would be stories that don't involve me and i feel
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that's just wrong so i'd like to make this about me somehow and i'd like to say that if i ever get
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murdered by somebody who came from another country i hope they're undocumented because i feel that
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wouldn't hurt as much as an illegal am i wrong about that if you get murdered by an undocumented person
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i don't think it hurts as much so that's what i'm hoping for setting my sights low
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well as uh balaji uh sreenivasan was pointing out uh uh that the new york times bestseller list
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did you know that's always been fake how many of you were aware of that that the new york times
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bestseller list is not based on who sells the most books did you know that it's editorial
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they get to decide what's on the list and what's not i first learned that when i had the number one
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best-selling book in the country but not according to the new york times best-selling list now keep in
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mind that if you're an author and you're working with a big publisher they have access to the actual
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sales reports they know what book is number one the publishers do and then they look at the new york
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times is different now as a publisher no i'm sorry as a as an author i've known that for 25 years
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something like that and that was one of my first wake-up calls that nothing is real just nothing is
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real if the new york times bestseller list is not really based on who's selling the most books do you
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think the news is real do you think anything in that newspaper is real well what could be easier
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than just saying who sold the most books it doesn't get much easier than that it's automated
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every everybody's looking at the same data you know i think it only is from the big companies but that
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tells you who sells the most that is the book selling data is only from the larger booksellers it's
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not from every bookseller but that gets 85 of them all right um but although the new york times best
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selling list is fake one thing we can feel good about and i think you'd all join me in this is
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at least the climate models are real yeah just when you're feeling like oh is everything made up and
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fake at least those climate models are completely real yeah everything else is fake
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moving on uh there's a uh oscar-nominated film called the holdovers that i never heard of because
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i don't watch movies anymore because they're all garbage is uh apparently the the writer of the
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script is accused of plagiarism so the claim is that there was some script that never got made into a
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movie that a lot of people saw and the person who wrote this movie saw it and they know there's some
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information that they know the writer saw it and so it's an oscar-nominated film but it might be
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plagiarized that's the claim wow if you can't trust the oscars who can you trust
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list so i guess i can't trust the new york times bestseller list and i can't really trust that the
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oscar-nominated film is not plagiarized but at least climate models are real i mean we we still have
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that we still have that people we still have that all right trump continues to be the president who swears
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better than any president has ever sweared at least in public at his rally he said and i quote everything
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now uh here's a lesson in cursing cursing is generally a bad idea and it's especially bad when
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women do it now you're gonna say to me what that's kind of sexist i'm just saying that when women curse
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there's a substantial number of men who go pass now i'm not one of them i don't mind when women curse at
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all but it's a bad play if you're if you're single there's a pretty substantial percentage of men
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who have a problem with it i don't know what the percentage is maybe 20 percent something like that
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but i don't i don't think it works the same for men i don't think women are judging men the same way
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it could be wrong but uh trump really knows how to use it as just the right accent if he swore more than
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he does it would be too much and it would just be gross if he never swore we wouldn't get this cool
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story he swears exactly the right amount and exactly the right way like because it turns into
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a quotable you know moment and here i am talking about it so persuasion wise uh trump is on target
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with that there will be more stories about trump coming up i have a theory that there's no
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complicated political story that it ever matters to voters uh people like me and many of you watching
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this don't you think that we're kind of weird like how many people could describe the you know
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the steel document and where that all went and you know was menifer really doing anything that could
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be called collusion or was he doing his own thing you know what's up with the law fair with trump
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what's up with biden's ukraine stuff and hunter biden i feel maybe five percent of the country
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could even describe what those things are i mean they sort of generally know who it's good for and
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who it's bad for but they don't really know and i've got a feeling that if you don't really understand it
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it doesn't change your vote you could be aware it's out there and if somebody asked you say oh that's
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bad but i don't think it changes your vote if it's complicated so i think that's why law that's one of
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the reasons not the only reason i think it's one of the reasons the law fair doesn't work against trump
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is that we can't really hold it in our heads there are too many cases too many details
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i don't know is he winning this week is he losing do i care are there any victims i'm not really sure
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so it doesn't really change my vote likewise all the hunter biden ukraine chinese money lost diamonds
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stuff it all sounds pretty bad but you know i follow this stuff every day or try to
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do and i'm not sure i could do a great job of explaining it all you know i could get the
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highlights lost diamonds selling influence but i'm not sure i could get you know most of the nuance of
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it so um so that's going to be my my theme is that uh just keep in mind that the more complexity to a
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story the less compelling it is no matter how bad it is let me say that again because that's an
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important point no matter how bad the story should be because of what we know about it it just doesn't
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affect people because they can't handle that level of complexity enough to make it up make it an
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operating part of their decision making so let's talk about tick tock as you know there was a bipartisan
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50 to 0 vote to ban it and of committee now the committee doesn't get to decide um the whole congress
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gets to decide and you might say to yourself wait a minute if it's bipartisan and it's 50 people
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and it's 50 to zero that that's very predictive that it's going to get banned wouldn't you say
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in a normal world in a normal world that would be very predictive in our world not so much so
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surprisingly trump who used to be in favor of the ban um when he was president and even tried to get
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a band is now in favor of it uh staying unbanned and uh vivek is also he's said this before but he uses it
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to use it during his campaign and uh he says free speech um you know let us stand
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and rand paul rand paul also said yes keep tick tock kind of surprised some of you probably did any of
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those names surprise you you thought what i i thought they'd be for the ban but now rand says freedom is
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speech and thomas massey also now what do those four people have in common besides being republicans
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what do they all have in common well there's some of the smartest people in politics
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right i mean that the thing that jumps out is like oh that's a little list of the smartest
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people in politics right there and they're all on the same side so they're on the same side of uh
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keeping it but here's the interesting thing when they talk about it they talk about it like they
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don't understand the topic now how do you reconcile that when i say they don't understand the topic
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they'll say things like um first amendment freedom of speech but they have to know that doesn't apply to
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a chinese propaganda company of course they do and they talk about data security
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but they don't talk about the persuasion risk which is the biggest one by far i mean not even close
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so why would so such smart people when they talk about it talk about it in such a weak way that's
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nonsensical frankly well if you follow the news you might know that there's a uh a republican
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rich guy billionaire who funds a lot of the dem a lot of the republicans his last name is uh yes
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y-a-s-s and he's some billionaire who owns a he's an american guy who owns 15 of bite dance which
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owns tick tock so i would imagine 15 of tick tock would be worth i don't know 100 billion 200 billion
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something in that age so he's got you know and and his money is locked up because the chinese government
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disallowed uh bite dance from doing an ipo now if they'd go in public that'd be a liquidity event
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eventually and he'd be able to sell a stake maybe not right away but eventually but there's no liquidity
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event so he's kind of trapped until there is one and unless he could sell it privately i suppose
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um and then the other thing we know is that uh said billionaire uh met with trump and uh looks like
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they're getting along they didn't uh they didn't get along until recently and now they're getting
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along and it looks like uh trump will be benefiting from some funding from this big funder other people
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who are reportedly funded by the same entity the i guess he owns the entity called what's it called
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it's called congress i'm sorry it's called the club of growth so the billionaire seems to be associated
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with i guess it's a a pack so it funds an entity which funds a bunch of republicans and kelly ann conway
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is reportedly uh lobbying congress to keep tick tock and she's doing it on behalf of the club of growth
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so she would be a key advisor to trump and is working for the billionaire who owns some of tick tock now and
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there's a report that uh that club of growth also helps fund rand paul um i'd heard also that vivek and
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thomas massey probably get some benefit from that funding as well so
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so what do you think happened here what what it looks like is that trump wanted to ban it and maybe
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uh maybe some of the others did at some point as well there's no evidence of that but uh
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they would be sort of in trouble if they did because they've got funding now what makes this interesting
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is that the reason that trump might be a little bit more interested in funding than normal is because
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the lawfare from the democrats squeezed his cash flow so so aggressively so it kind of put trump in a
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situation where money would be more important than it normally would just because the timing and having to
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come up with huge amounts of cash for his bonds and stuff like that um but let me give you an idea of what
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the argument looks like so here's uh here's what ran paul said on the x platform he said if congress
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bans tick tock they'll be acting just like the chinese communists who have also banned tick tock
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dan crenshaw who i'm guessing either never got money from that billionaire
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or doesn't plan to get any says this in response to ran paul now keep in mind you know these these are
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two people who are in the republican world and they're not in the same team so crenshaw says
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to anyone defending tick tock he said you're not defending the first amendment our first amendment
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they use tick tock to collect data and can weaponize that into the greatest propaganda
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machine against americans we ever ever seen sorry you're getting complaints from gen z but get over
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it and do what's right and stop lying that legislation doesn't ban tick tock it just says it can't be
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controlled by our adversaries well let me add a nuance to that the chinese communist party says that they
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won't sell it which is probably a bluff if they had no choice they might but um there's not exactly a
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plan that it would still exist if it were banned right so that would require something that's unlikely
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to happen them selling it to an american entity now compare these two arguments ran paul one of the
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smartest people in the congress he says it's a first amendment issue and then dan crenshaw and by the
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way doesn't mention the persuasion risk at all and then dan crenshaw does mention the persuasion risk
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so he accurately has identified the top problem and says it's the top problem so now crenshaw is right on
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he's right on the money and then he says the first amendment doesn't apply to the chinese communist
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party's propaganda now which of those arguments makes perfect sense and which one it doesn't
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all right so i'm leading the witness here but crenshaw is a hundred percent and ran paul got a zero
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he got a zero on an easy question so how do you explain somebody getting a zero like you're just
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getting everything wrong and so obviously wrong on an easy question when you're one of the smart ones
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so as i as i was posting the other day something is amiss something is amiss so whatever it is we
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thought we knew about the situation no i was speculating that it was maybe our our intelligence
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people had already penetrated it so maybe we had some internal benefit we didn't know about in other
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words you know maybe tick tock has some terrorists on it and you know it's better to keep it the way it is
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and the terrorists don't know that we can see them you know i was thinking there may be some argument
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for keeping it that's security related that's non-obvious you know maybe opposite of what it
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looks like sort of thing but then i find out that the people who are uh uncharacteristically acting like
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they're idiots when we know they're not um have a gigantic financial benefit at least two of the four
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and the other two are suspected so it looks like it's exactly what it looks like it looks like for
00:26:19.200
money they have picked a position which would be bad for american children now the press is making a
00:26:29.120
a pretty big deal about it so we'll see we'll see if this becomes news now remember my theme
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my theme was that the public doesn't change their vote because of anything complicated
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this is complicated because you would have to understand you know the whole tick tock
00:26:47.280
nature the business model what would happen if they sold it could they sell it would the chinese
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government sell it what's really different from you know facebook compared to this is it really just
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first amendment so you'd have to know the constitution you'd have to know business models you'd have to
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be following the story you'd have to know you know how politics works so um let's talk about this from
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the i guess i don't have to make a moral or ethical argument about anything you're all you're all
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perfectly capable of doing that right so you don't need to know what i think of this given that um let
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me tell you i conflate in my mind tick tock and fentanyl now you might not and and i don't mean just
00:27:39.280
because sometimes we say tick tock is digital fentanyl which it is the reason i conflate them um is that
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uh the chinese communist party provides the fentanyl precursors and you famously you know that my
00:27:54.880
stepson died from a fentanyl overdose in 2018. so i hold i have a personal grudge against china and when
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i see them sending another form of fentanyl this case digital fentanyl i just conflate them
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so in my in my just personal world um you know what i think about it i don't need i don't need to
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detail it do i so here's what i'm going to do uh i'm going to talk about these four individuals going
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forward um just calling balls and strikes yeah i'm just going to say you know when they do something
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that's let's say persuasive and when it's not and i'll talk about the interesting stories but i'm not
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going to endorse anybody for president you okay with that from an ethical and moral standpoint i
00:28:47.680
can't i can't endorse trump because of this now let's talk about the strategy of it though
00:28:54.720
the political strategy of it might be brilliant let's talk about that um number one just because
00:29:02.720
it came out of a bipartisan committee 50 to 0 does that mean it was ever going to pass the congress
00:29:09.200
because that matters if it was never going to pass then all trump did was pick up free money
00:29:17.360
you see what i'm saying if if he was sure it wasn't going to pass because it didn't have the votes
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and maybe it wouldn't have the votes because this republican billionaire
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would make sure it didn't have the votes so suppose trump knew it couldn't pass
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in that situation if he made a deal that said all right i'll i'll say i'm for keeping tick tock
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if you'll fund my campaign it's just free money because it was going to pass it was going to do
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what it was going to do no matter what trump did trump doesn't have a vote he doesn't have a veto
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being out of office and you could argue oh he could persuade his republicans no he couldn't
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no he couldn't he probably can't he's not so persuasive he can just make them vote for something
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that's against their best interest so in their best interest would be keeping a big donor on their side
00:30:10.880
so it could be that trump is just playing it um like a poker game and he's saying if i'm in favor of the ban
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you're following me if he had agreed to continue saying let's ban it you would get no funding
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and he also wouldn't get a ban you get nothing if he says all right you know inexplicably i'm
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going to change my mind let's keep this tick tock stuff then he gets funding he could become president
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and once president in the second term guess what he's not beholden to anybody after that
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so it's entirely possible that he's willie browning this situation you know willie brown
00:31:03.600
he was a big san francis well california politician and uh he accepted money from
00:31:10.160
some tobacco company for his campaign at the same time that there is a some legislation about banning
00:31:16.720
smoking and indoors i guess and somebody said how could you possibly be objective
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you know if you're taking money from the company you're voting on their product
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and willie brown famously said if you can't take money from somebody and then turn around and
00:31:31.760
stab them in the back you're in the wrong business now that was the moment that i loved willie brown
00:31:39.600
like yeah that's the most honest thing i've ever heard a politician ever say and and indeed indeed
00:31:46.640
the law went against the tobacco companies so not only was it true he proved it he took the money and then
00:31:53.840
he screwed him and he did it publicly and right in front of us okay i'm all right with that so if it
00:32:03.040
turned out that um let's say this billionaire guy his liquidity event sometime during the second term of
00:32:11.520
trump do you think that trump might have a change of heart after his friend got his money out
00:32:16.480
maybe so he might get both he might get the money and he might also ban it that's a possibility but
00:32:25.920
it's not going to happen as long as that billionaire's got money in the company that's my guess
00:32:31.120
um and i think that uh politically if trump looks like the one who the funny thing is that now biden
00:32:41.440
wants to ban it you know they they have to be on opposite sides now biden's strength is the young
00:32:47.440
voters who love them some tick tock so now biden is opposed to tick tock and trump is in favor of
00:32:57.760
keeping it and what is the depth of analysis that the young people will put into this allow me to
00:33:05.680
demonstrate tick tock yes or tick tock no that's it that's it they are not going to be thinking about
00:33:18.560
the geopolitical implications of the chinese communist party influencing united states politics they're going
00:33:26.080
to be where's my reels what do they call them where's my tick tocks
00:33:30.960
so it could be that trump wins simply by being looking like he's pro free speech looking like
00:33:38.240
he's pro tick tock even though what's really happening is that there's nothing he could do
00:33:43.440
either way about it so he might as well take the free money um and he would certainly be playing to win
00:33:51.440
you know you know one of the things that people say about the republicans even republicans say about it
00:33:57.840
is why do they play to lose have you noticed that it's like republicans sometimes will do things
00:34:04.240
maybe on a principle but they're like well this principle is so important we're going to lose the
00:34:09.280
election i don't think trump makes that mistake one of the things you can hate about him and love about
00:34:16.800
him at the same time is he's playing to win i think this is a clear example that he does need the money
00:34:24.640
and it would help him win and it's going to be expensive so so i'm not going to endorse i think that's
00:34:35.200
that's a line i'm not going to cross i think tick tock is dangerous to the youth but if it turns out
00:34:42.720
trump has taken the free money and then he bans it later i'll change my opinion
00:34:47.280
all right um coincidentally trump made the 92 billion bond he had to put up in order to challenge
00:34:57.520
the eugene carroll defamation case oh well trump's got some money now huh all right uh trump's also uh
00:35:07.280
got some legal bills he tried to sue the christopher steel organization i guess that had pushed the
00:35:20.240
and uh he lost that so now he has to pay the legal fees of the other side and the reason he lost it
00:35:28.400
is that i guess the judge ruled that even though the dossier was a bunch of defamation and bs they quote
00:35:43.920
never intended to make it public that was his only purpose which we know because of
00:35:50.160
legal proceedings in this country so this happened in i guess england uh but now do you think do you
00:35:59.760
think you you've learned enough about how the legal system works as long as you can shop for a location
00:36:05.680
you can convict anybody you can have any any um civil suit outcome you just have to pick the right
00:36:14.320
place for the case it has nothing to do with the evidence apparently so evidence doesn't matter
00:36:21.760
looks like rfk jr is possibly going to look at being a joining the libertarian party primarily because
00:36:29.760
the libertarian party has ballot access and i guess most are all the states and rfk jr on his own
00:36:37.520
is doing great getting ballot access but isn't getting them all might be a problem getting them all so
00:36:43.840
that's a possibility uh i'd like to make a conditional prediction more a statistical prediction
00:36:53.040
um why are we assuming that the president has to be one of the two people trump or biden just
00:36:59.680
because they're going to be the party nominees probably isn't that isn't that a dangerous assumption
00:37:06.880
so i would like to add to the mix that there's at least a 30 chance
00:37:12.080
that neither trump nor biden will be president uh biden has an obvious you know mental health and
00:37:19.840
health risk and even the democrats might want to keep him out of office if it gets a little bit worse
00:37:26.480
um even more than they want to keep him out now and trump has the lawfare risk plus you know god knows
00:37:33.520
what opposition research plus god knows what kind of uh i don't know who knows what kind of uh hoaxes
00:37:43.840
they're going to pull on them if you look at the history of hoaxes the 2016 election was the uh russia
00:37:51.680
collusion hoax the 2020 election was the fine people hoax and the 2024 election is the january
00:37:59.040
six insurrection hoax combined with the dictator for a day hoax for three elections in a row the
00:38:06.640
democrats have run primarily on hoax now why am i the only person who says that out loud shouldn't that
00:38:16.560
be you know sort of the framing of every newscast from now on well the democrats who have a unbroken
00:38:24.320
string of hoax related campaigns here's their new one don't you think the fact that if you only run
00:38:32.880
on hoaxes that ought to be something that the news mentions on a fairly regular basis when you're
00:38:39.520
talking about them you know i'm sure john dillinger uh has done did legal things as well as his vast
00:38:50.240
you know repertoire of crime so if you're going to talk about john dillinger you wouldn't talk about
00:38:56.960
that time he did the legal thing i feel like it would be completely important that every time john
00:39:03.680
dillinger comes up that you make sure that the people know you're talking about a major criminal
00:39:09.360
right it seems the same the the democrat party is really just a criminal organization if you run three
00:39:18.000
presidential campaigns on known obvious hoaxes you are a criminal organization that to imagine that
00:39:26.320
that that's just politics now i get that all politicians lie and the fact checks and the hyperbole but three
00:39:37.280
completely made up hoaxes no that's criminal organization i can't call that politics
00:39:46.720
all right so it's entirely possible that rfk junior will be the last standing
00:39:53.280
um major politician so i would say that rfk junior's chances of being president are
00:40:04.480
almost the same as trump and uh and biden because biden has you know good chance of not making it to the
00:40:12.720
finish line and the bad people are going to try everything to stop trump so even if trump doesn't
00:40:20.240
you know shoot himself in the foot we don't know how far they're willing to go so they could be uh
00:40:28.400
they could be cranking up the uh the law fair they could be uh cheating on the election they could be
00:40:36.800
planning an assassination there's almost no limit to what could happen
00:40:41.680
anyway so i would say that given that the two major candidates uh have a real tough
00:40:52.240
hurdle to even be there on election day i think it's a three-way race and it doesn't look that way
00:40:59.360
because no nobody's going to say they'll vote for rfk junior if one of the other candidates is in there
00:41:04.480
that they like but if you imagine neither of them are there what's it look like
00:41:11.920
let me let me say it again if you imagine that neither trump nor biden make it to the end
00:41:18.480
and then you imagine that rfk junior is on every ticket but he might be running against somebody else
00:41:25.200
in both cases he might be running against somebody else could he win
00:41:28.400
if both parties have to do a last minute substitution who's that going to be who's
00:41:36.080
it going to be i don't know so maybe their vp choices i don't know
00:41:44.720
so i guess the uh haiti is a basket case and the jails have been emptied by the criminals themselves and
00:41:52.080
um and yet a federal judge here has ruled that 30 000 would be asylum seekers from four countries
00:42:00.560
by haiti is one of them um can enter the u.s and continue to do it so so the the the government
00:42:09.600
is flying in extra migrants who maybe couldn't get here on their own so we're actually flying them in
00:42:16.560
maybe over 300 000 a year and that that's now legal and just built into the system
00:42:21.440
well here's what we can conclude parents or adults in general you are on your own for the following
00:42:28.000
topics because your government has basically taken a pass you are on your own for fentanyl there's
00:42:34.720
nobody coming to help nobody's coming to help if you have a kid only you can stop it their friends
00:42:43.760
won't stop them from doing fentanyl the dealers won't stop them the government won't stop them
00:42:48.560
neither government not republican not democrat it's not going to happen so you're on your own
00:42:54.800
don't wait for the government and if you have addiction in the family a kid if you have a kid
00:43:00.000
who's addicted i don't know if all of you know this the government won't do anything
00:43:05.600
there is no service you have to have a addict in your house and you can't kick him out
00:43:12.000
do you notice like to have a drug addict in your house that you can't kick out
00:43:20.000
it's really bad it's really really bad so you're on your own for fentanyl you're on your
00:43:24.720
own for tick tock apparently i don't think there's any chance the ban will get passed
00:43:29.040
um you're on your own for the uh failing schools so maybe if you can get them homeschooled or something
00:43:36.560
but you're on your own because the government basically has given up on school and you're on
00:43:42.480
your own for the border crisis um meaning that you you know obviously you can't personally board to
00:43:48.880
guard the border but um as bill ackman said his neighbor you assume bill ackman lives in a good
00:43:56.720
neighborhood he's a billionaire he just tweeted or posted that his neighbor got burgled and uh
00:44:06.800
uh oh i've been i've been cautioned not to call it burglary it's an undocumented visitor
00:44:13.440
who has your stuff it's very different very different so yeah uh you should probably arm yourself
00:44:20.240
um two of my neighbors houses have been hit by the migrant uh bands and when i say my neighbors
00:44:27.920
i mean really close neighbors i'm not talking in my zip code i'm talking
00:44:33.840
i can hit him with a rock two of them and burgled so you know we are of course locally hardening our
00:44:42.960
defenses so our my neighborhood is organized into practically a paramilitary organization
00:44:51.920
that's true but the my neighborhood has only one entry and one exit you know there's not a second way to
00:44:57.840
get out and we're going full paramilitary now we don't talk about weapons because we're connected
00:45:06.400
digitally so nobody talks about weapons smartly right so no no mention of weapons but um our organization
00:45:15.600
organization for uh spotting people who don't belong is really tight i'll tell you if you park your truck on
00:45:24.560
our street and somebody doesn't recognize it because we don't really have a street parking here except
00:45:29.200
visitors um you're gonna get you're gonna get surrounded pretty quickly so my neighborhood has
00:45:36.080
just decided to go screw the government screw the police we're on our own and i think you're gonna see
00:45:42.480
a lot of that so the government isn't coming to help on any of those things uh fentanyl tick tock
00:45:48.160
failing schools or the border of crisis so you better harden your home defense
00:45:54.320
you know the news uh the uh fire department in new york was some event in which letitia james the
00:46:00.800
attorney general attended as a speaker and she was booed booed by a number of firefighters and what will
00:46:07.520
happen um as end wokeness reports on x uh the firefighters are asked to turn themselves in or risk
00:46:14.400
being hunted down that's right more republicans are being hunted for having a free speech opinion
00:46:23.120
that the attorney general is a horrible horrible criminal and should be in jail so you can't have
00:46:30.480
that opinion apparently you'll lose your job and you'll be hunted down so one of my best predictions
00:46:38.240
unfortunately correct that republicans are being hunted every day
00:46:45.120
all right here's my advice for the republicans if they want to win everything
00:46:51.760
if you want to lose everything just keep doing what you're doing on abortion and ivf
00:46:58.640
but it would be real easy not to so let me make a suggestion just in case republicans want to win
00:47:06.320
everything forever because it's really right there for them to take now i know you're not going to do
00:47:13.600
it and i know from prior conversations that i'm just going to get screamed at in the comments
00:47:20.400
the republicans would win everything if they simply say abortion should be decided by women
00:47:28.320
not just in the moment you know that's if it's legal you know with their doctor but what the law should be
00:47:35.040
now i know what you're saying scott it's murder everybody has a an interest in murder yes you do
00:47:44.080
and your interest is exactly the same as the women's there are women republicans and there are women
00:47:49.760
democrats and your opinions aren't that different than the women in your party but if you can just
00:47:57.760
allow the democrat women who are primarily running the democrat party to feel that you've at
00:48:04.800
least given them that women should be the primary decision makers about what happens to women's
00:48:11.840
bodies now you say to yourself no no we all must be involved because it's murdering children
00:48:19.600
it's still murdering children no matter who's talking it's still the same argument you don't need
00:48:25.440
to be in it you're not so special your little voice about this topic probably doesn't make any
00:48:31.680
difference to anybody just like mine does and shouldn't so if the only thing you're adding
00:48:38.000
is killing the chances of your political party to win why are you doing it do you think that your
00:48:45.120
opinion will change anything now you now i'm not saying you shouldn't vote you vote any way you want but
00:48:52.560
when you're talking about it the only way you can talk about it and be
00:48:56.640
uh both morally and ethically pure but also maybe win is to say you know you have an opinion but you're
00:49:06.160
going to defer to the women in your party because they say the same thing you do but it's more credible
00:49:11.600
coming from them so you might say i'm not going to back down one inch and you certainly have that
00:49:17.520
right and i wouldn't try to talk you out of it so yeah let me make this clear i'm not suggesting what you
00:49:24.160
should do it probably sounded like that didn't it it's not a recommendation it's not a recommendation
00:49:30.960
because i know you won't do it i'm just saying that the republican party is a millimeter away from
00:49:39.040
winning everything presidency and you know both sides of congress and already have a dominant position
00:49:46.960
the courts so if the republicans wanted to win everything and then fix everything they could fix
00:49:56.640
there's a way to do it just let the women take the lead the republican women and as ben say we're
00:50:03.040
going to support the women but let them do the speaking and just pipe down just pipe down because
00:50:11.920
your point of view will be completely better expressed by people who are in a better position
00:50:18.320
to express it right so if you think that you being quiet and taking a you know taking a step back and
00:50:25.680
letting women take the lead if you think that gets you to a worse place what's wrong with you
00:50:33.840
you think women are not good at advocating for what they want in what world is that a problem
00:50:39.520
women are really really good at advocating for what they want like really really really good so why
00:50:46.160
do you think you would be damaged in any way just because your own opinion wasn't in the public sphere
00:50:52.640
you know so i think you have to worry about not worry but consider whether your need to have an opinion
00:51:00.480
on this topic is based on your best assessment of your risks and your rewards
00:51:07.200
if you're if you're coming at it purely from a moral standpoint i do respect it yeah i completely
00:51:16.560
respect a moral only position just know that the trade-off is that you don't get to win everything
00:51:24.240
and you could you're a millimeter away from owning the government but you've you've put up an obstacle
00:51:32.160
to yourself that i think is pretty hard to get past all right um i don't want to hear arguments
00:51:40.000
about uh men are responsible too because that's off point i don't want to hear that men have good
00:51:46.000
opinions too because that has nothing to do with my point you're you all have good opinions that's not
00:51:51.920
the question it's just do you want to win that's it if you want to win there's an easy way to do it
00:51:58.240
and you don't give up anything in the process all right um here's some numbers i put on migrant crime
00:52:07.120
might be useful um 20 of american women and that's probably a low number have experienced an attempted
00:52:15.760
or completed rape in your experience isn't that number low maybe it's you know maybe rape is too
00:52:25.360
specific and it should be you know all the sexual attacks uh i feel like i feel like the number of
00:52:32.640
women who have had some kind of sex crime against them would be well over half isn't it isn't it well
00:52:41.040
over half am i so wrong about that and i'm just saying observationally and anecdotally anecdotally
00:52:49.840
um if i were to you know just randomly pick 10 women do you think only two of the 10 i randomly
00:52:58.160
picked would say they'd ever had um a kind of a sexual attack i feel like it'd be half is your
00:53:05.440
experience different i'm looking at your comments i i feel half have been had some kind of sex crime
00:53:13.360
against them that they didn't necessarily report all right but let's use the lower number let's say
00:53:20.400
that the 20 is is more of a you know definitely that was rape kind of a number or attempted rape
00:53:28.000
what happens if you double the number of men in your zip code but not the number of women
00:53:32.720
hypothetically if you just magically doubled the number of men but no extra women wouldn't it
00:53:45.120
if if the number if the people coming in the extra men had the same rate of rape which is about one
00:53:51.280
percent one percent of men admit being rapists which also sounds low frankly it feels like it's
00:53:58.720
higher than one percent but let's say it's one percent if you brought in um 10 million migrants
00:54:07.680
and that's probably a low number because you know there's a lot that we just can't count because they
00:54:12.800
get away uh but let's say that the the number who are just men were 10 million there are women and
00:54:19.600
children but let's just say the adult men were most of it and 10 million just for back of the envelope
00:54:25.680
calculations and you could you could tweak these as you want but one percent of 10 million would be
00:54:35.680
and if a lot of men came into your neighborhood your rate of rape could it go from 20 percent of
00:54:42.080
women to 40 percent because you doubled the number of men but not the double number of women
00:54:47.040
am i doing the math right now i know it's not as straightforward as that but is the is the
00:54:54.160
generally directionally do i have the math right not technically but directionally does that sound
00:55:00.080
right to you if you double the number of men if those men have the same average rape percentage
00:55:07.200
as all the other men who are already here you know which is another conversation then wouldn't it
00:55:12.960
double your odds of rape how would it not i mean how could it not do that but now again you but you
00:55:22.400
know you're not going to double the number of men in any zip code so you adjust that as well but uh
00:55:29.440
you know i'm not going to get into the the argument about whether the migrants have a higher rape rate
00:55:35.360
right right because whether that's true or not um you can make the entire argument just by number of men
00:55:46.160
if you add the number of men your rape should go up so i would say a hundred thousand extra rapists
00:55:54.000
and um a lot of rapists are serial rapists so of the hundred thousand that doesn't mean a hundred thousand
00:56:02.560
extra rapes because you know maybe five percent of them are the multiples they're they're doing
00:56:08.880
twice as much so a hundred thousand rapists might be you know two hundred thousand extra rapes per year
00:56:17.280
now biden has to justify two hundred thousand extra rapes for the benefit that we're um being kind to
00:56:26.240
the immigrants because we're we're an immigrant country and that's not nothing you know the reason
00:56:33.120
that so many of us have mixed opinions is that immigration is not only a positive if you do it right
00:56:41.120
it's an essential it's way beyond optional it's essential we really couldn't have a country with our
00:56:48.800
birthright unless we had some robust um and you know look at the number of um immigrants from the
00:56:56.400
past who are now ceos of major unicorn companies i mean we're way better off because of past migration
00:57:04.560
but the part that you do right right you want to do it right
00:57:09.680
so here's how that's how i'd argue it and if i were uh if i were trying to make this case about the
00:57:15.840
danger coming in i would make sure i used both percentages and um numbers what do i say when
00:57:24.000
people only use percentages that's how you lie you leave out the raw number what do i say when people
00:57:30.240
only use the raw number that's how you lie because you're leaving out the percentage so if you're going
00:57:35.760
to use this argument don't use one or the other don't use just the number and don't use just the
00:57:41.840
percentage you put them together and then that's a real argument now people can reject it you know
00:57:49.600
there there might be democrat women who say you know what 200 000 extra rapes to protect uh 10 million
00:57:58.160
extra people who are in a bad way uh i'll take that deal but they need to say it out loud
00:58:05.200
just make the case because you know we're adults we get to argue the real world the real world is
00:58:13.520
this is a trade-off and it's not the only trade-off it's one trade-off so let people say you know put
00:58:20.560
the democrats on the uh let's say on the i don't want to say defensive but make them make them explain
00:58:28.720
why this is what they want do you do you think you could get the democrat women to say yes i understand
00:58:37.040
there will be 200 000 extra rapes per year probably per year um but i'm okay with that because the benefit
00:58:51.840
now that's that that is the balance you you don't get to say that it's all benefit no cost
00:58:58.320
you have to say i understand the costs i understand the benefits and i choose this one
00:59:04.160
because i do like if if if i were to analyze the cost of closing the border completely
00:59:12.400
i would throw in the fact that it would really screw a lot of companies that depend on that labor
00:59:17.840
that's a cost it's real it's big so just make sure you're doing all the costs and all the benefits
00:59:24.240
and then make them defend it ted cruz went ballistic enemy in a hearing uh he went ballistic
00:59:33.040
on mayorkis i think it's a current um a new video but i i guess ted cruz was showing the wristbands
00:59:43.520
that the migrants are getting from the cartels the cartels are so organized that they have wristbands
00:59:48.960
with different colors to indicate you know what kind of migrant you are so that the cartels
00:59:53.680
themselves can sort them out on either end and apparently mayorkis if i understood this right
01:00:02.640
and and ted cruz just went nuts on him for being well for being mayorkis and not even understanding
01:00:13.760
how deep this problem is because part of these wristbands um i only saw a summary of the story but
01:00:21.200
maybe you could give me a confirmation was ted cruising ted cruz saying so this is a question not a
01:00:27.520
statement was ted cruz saying that some of those wristbands were worn by people who were intended to
01:00:34.320
be sexually trafficked the children is do i have that right because i don't know if i have that right
01:00:41.760
i need a confirmation of that did he say that some of them because there were different kinds of
01:00:46.480
wristbands were some of them literally for sex trafficking
01:00:54.160
i'm not i'm not entirely sure if that was but well i'm seeing okay i'm seeing some yeses
01:01:00.880
i do think that's what it was now i think that's the attack vector that's the strongest attack vector
01:01:07.360
um well um so zero edge is uh mocking the jobs reports um you know the old thing where the jobs
01:01:18.640
reports come out and biden says my god it's the best jobs report ever re-elect me and then a month
01:01:25.120
later it gets lowered and then the month after it gets lowered a little bit again and then nobody notices
01:01:30.960
lowering even though people scream about it you know nobody it's never a news story and apparently
01:01:37.920
according to zero hedge uh they do it for everything you know jobs something called jolts
01:01:43.600
i don't even know what that is new home sales housing starts industrial production pc and core pc
01:01:51.120
price consumer price stuff so apparently all of our data that comes from the government is fake
01:02:00.240
it's knowingly fake it's knowingly fake and a lot of it is like the jobs report a lot of it is
01:02:10.080
migrants getting jobs and part-time jobs that aren't as good and
01:02:14.240
government jobs that we wish we were not increasing the number of so
01:02:20.640
it's true that our jobs report and all our economic data is fake
01:02:24.320
and it's true that the new york times bestseller list is fake and it's true that the reasons for
01:02:34.640
banning or not wanting to ban tick tock are fake but you know what's lucky thank god our climate models
01:02:45.360
are dependable am i right because with everything else being fake you know it's just so lucky that
01:02:55.680
the climate models are real no ladies and gentlemen i'm being sarcastic climate models have one and
01:03:01.760
only one purpose the purpose of a climate model is to launder your assumptions you do not use a climate
01:03:10.640
model to tell you what's going to happen in the future because i'm going to have to do a biden whisper on
01:03:25.920
the reason you use climate models is not because climate models can predict the future
01:03:46.000
nothing can predict the future why did anybody ever believe that
01:03:50.160
if you could predict the future of the climate you could predict anything
01:03:58.480
that's the hardest one if you could get that one right everything else is easy
01:04:03.440
no the purpose of climate models is to launder your assumptions that other people would just say
01:04:10.960
i don't think that's true here's an assumption uh glaciers is going to melt all the polar bears
01:04:16.240
going to die your uh your uh sea level rise you're all going to be underwater well can you prove it
01:04:24.080
well i can't prove the future well then why would i believe anything you say have you seen my climate
01:04:32.000
models and then they convince you that the models are something like science the models are not science
01:04:39.200
those are you just your assumptions that you launder through this complicated thing
01:04:44.640
so that people think there's some science to it
01:04:48.720
that's what that is all right here's an update on rafa the southern city in gaza that israel wants to
01:04:58.800
you know clean it out and go in there but they're holding off and trying to get the residents out i guess
01:05:04.080
the residents are not willing to leave or enough of them um and there's talk about hostage exchange but
01:05:11.920
none of that's going to happen and there's talk about the u.s building a pier so that we can drop off
01:05:23.840
do you know that the palestinians are not lacking for food what they're lacking for is a way to uh not
01:05:33.840
have it stolen by hamas but there's food so the united states is not solving the right problem
01:05:43.520
apparently we didn't have a lack of food to give them there was enough food in the area
01:05:47.840
it's just that they can't get it in you know if the residents would leave the area
01:05:54.160
then they could all be fed but you know they're they're sticking with it i guess
01:06:01.280
anyway so biden has said uh that if israel the military goes into rafa
01:06:07.120
while those civilians are mostly still there he says it's a red line
01:06:12.400
um now what is a red line there's a red line you're going to do something to israel
01:06:17.840
so if they cross that red line like that's that's the definition of a red line in politics right a red
01:06:23.200
line is if somebody crosses it oh you're in trouble you're in trouble if you cross that red line so
01:06:30.320
what's going to happen biden says it is a red line but i'm never going to leave israel
01:06:35.440
the defense of israel is still critical so there is no red line
01:06:42.640
oh so there is no red line i'm going to cut off all weapons so they don't have the iron dome to
01:06:48.000
protect them so basically it's a red line but not one that has any consequences
01:06:56.560
that that would be called the opposite of a red line that would be like a nothing
01:07:01.040
all right now i'm not saying you know that he should have consequences i'm just saying he's
01:07:07.920
talking nonsense he wants to have it both ways there's a red line but there's no penalty for
01:07:12.480
crossing the red line that's like not a red line
01:07:17.920
anyway um part of that story is that biden said he didn't want to see another 30 000 people killed in
01:07:26.240
gaza do you see the problem with that tell me the problem biden says he doesn't want to see
01:07:33.680
another 30 000 killed in gaza there's a problem with that oh yeah 30 000 is hamas's estimate
01:07:44.000
which israel will tell you not so reliable which means that biden has embraced the number that is
01:07:51.360
repeated the most the hamas number now israel can't counter that because they don't produce their
01:07:59.280
own number so they can't say no no the real number is whatever because probably the real number is too
01:08:05.200
big as well right if it turned out the real number is 20 000 is that going to fundamentally change how you
01:08:11.840
feel about the situation you know the big numbers we don't register so differently so the hamas propaganda
01:08:20.320
has worked the hamas propaganda that it was 30 000 so far which we have no idea how accurate
01:08:27.520
or not that is biden has now referred to it as though that's the metric to refer to
01:08:36.640
hamas wins propaganda victory so ladies and gentlemen
01:08:43.200
amazingly somehow i completed this using nothing but lte on my phone uh later this afternoon
01:08:50.960
um my internet company says they'll come out and fix the problem they say is on their end and then maybe
01:08:58.640
maybe we'll have uh solutions all right and uh that's all i got for today is there anything i forgot
01:09:17.840
do you think i should reissue my book win bigly for this election season because it's all about trump's
01:09:27.200
persuasion powers and everything i said seems doubly true now
01:09:36.480
um yeah we're all suffering from the daylight savings time issue
01:09:40.080
all right um i'm just reviewing your comments it looks like we've covered everything another