Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2412 CWSA 03⧸13⧸24

00:00:00.000 well good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called

00:00:09.660 coffee with scott adams because that's what it is if you'd like to take your experience

00:00:13.900 and it's an experience let me tell you up to a level that nobody can even imagine with their

00:00:19.260 tiny human brains all you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tanker chalice a stein a canteen

00:00:23.120 jug or flask a vessel of any kind filling with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me

00:00:29.640 now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing that makes everything

00:00:34.160 better it's called the simultaneous sip it happens now

00:00:37.900 ah i feel connected to all of you with a invisible connection i thought i was going to come up with

00:00:52.040 a better word than connection and then once i got there really wasn't a better one so we'll just go

00:00:59.280 with that well let's just jump into stories we'll do the big ones and the small ones and i'll do at

00:01:07.220 least one thing that could get me canceled maybe more and more canceled than i already am

00:01:13.760 well the tate brothers are looking at some say life in prison in the uk and you're probably saying to

00:01:21.400 yourself my god what are the charges that are so so bad they could go to prison for life and the answer

00:01:28.760 is um i don't know i looked i clicked a bunch of things i read a bunch of things but i have no idea

00:01:38.000 is it some kind of uh sexual charge or something does anybody know i've not seen any news of what the

00:01:46.980 charges are now i think andrew tate said he's he's worried it could turn into an assange situation

00:01:54.820 that situation being somebody who's really a political prisoner but the system is treating

00:02:01.740 them like they're a normal prisoner or a normal criminal and could get them killed or

00:02:07.840 kept in jail forever somebody says it's a rape charge both of them both brothers coincidentally

00:02:16.940 well how many of you think that's real does anybody think that the that the reason for the charges

00:02:25.980 is that there is a real real crime

00:02:29.940 uh i don't know i doubt i doubt it i mean we live in a world where you just can't take anything on face

00:02:39.400 value can you now i want to be clear i'm no supporter of the tate brothers we we've uh or at least

00:02:46.480 andrew tate i've had my differences with him so i don't support him personally but uh when i see a

00:02:54.760 situation like this it does not scream criminal it screams political and i don't think i can ignore

00:03:02.600 the fact that people who have opinions a lot like his all seem to be targeted okay can you think of

00:03:10.320 anybody who has an opinion anywhere in the general area of the tate brothers who has not been targeted

00:03:16.080 by the government or it looks like the government or intelligence services something like that i can't

00:03:23.680 think of one can you it seems like every single person who has a certain set of opinions is targeted

00:03:30.320 by the legal system for all the crimes now i don't know if the tate brothers did any crimes like

00:03:36.880 i said it's not my job to defend their character or their history or anything else i'm just saying we

00:03:42.560 live in a world where my first assumption is it's probably fake isn't that terrible my first assumption

00:03:51.040 which i still keep that's my current assumption is it's probably fake i hate that i even live in a

00:03:58.000 world in which i have to say that but it's probably fake all right uh can you believe that yet again

00:04:05.360 there was another story about the gender pay gap and quoting the 82 cents on a dollar thing uh would

00:04:13.120 you like me to tell you why that story still persists the 82 cents on a dollar now everybody who is a

00:04:22.000 little bit educated uh is aware that that's just comparing apples to oranges and if you compared

00:04:28.640 people with the same experience you know that disappears but why why do people keep saying it

00:04:35.840 why does it just keep coming up over and over for decades when it's been disproven by every study and

00:04:42.640 every single person who knows anything about it it's literally comparing an apple to an orange

00:04:48.000 so oh more more men are in let's say stem jobs more women might be in let's say jobs that are more

00:04:57.680 nurturing or taking care of people so she you know sociologists and stuff and they make different money

00:05:05.680 but i thought every education every educated person knows that but it turns out there's a lot who don't

00:05:12.640 and do you know why this story persists even though so obviously take it out of context

00:05:20.720 not true it persists because nobody can tell batshit crazy women the truth it's just too dangerous

00:05:27.840 that the reason that this even exists is because there's so many people who don't know how to do any

00:05:32.960 kind of analytical job can't do the research can't do the math this is a stupidity issue not a difference of

00:05:40.160 opinion there's no difference of opinion everybody smart male and female knows this is fake news

00:05:48.080 everyone and the reason that there are people who are not let's say experts and don't follow the news

00:05:55.040 as much the reason they believe it that this persists is because men are too afraid to tell women the truth

00:06:02.160 it's like this is not yeah you're comparing a rock to a you know a bird yeah the only reason that

00:06:10.000 number exists is because you don't know how to analyze things which is basically like a math problem

00:06:17.360 all right so that's the truth truth is it's totally fake and here's one of my standards for detecting bs

00:06:24.400 it's not a hundred percent doesn't work every single time but it's really really good it goes like this

00:06:33.680 if the science or the data tells you one thing and your entire lived experience tells you the other

00:06:41.200 it's probably not true it's probably not true and i always use the lung cancer example of smoking

00:06:48.560 science says that smoking gives you lung cancer and sure enough i know people who smoke cigarettes and

00:06:54.000 die of lung cancer so that's not proof you know my personal experience but at least it's consistent

00:07:00.720 what i see matches what the scientists say pretty good um but in my entire life i've never heard of one

00:07:10.320 one example not even one in which a woman was paid less than a man when they had the same experience

00:07:18.800 they had the same you know uh let's say qualifications did the same amount of work

00:07:25.680 and negotiated just as aggressively i've never seen it have any of you ever seen it have you ever seen a

00:07:34.000 say verify the situation where where it really was the same same years of experience same qualifications

00:07:43.360 just 20 different bay i've never seen it all right here's a little mental experiment for you

00:07:50.720 this will this will blow your mind take a hundred men chosen at random but they all have the same

00:07:58.320 occupation a hundred men just randomly chosen there are no women in the group just a hundred men and

00:08:05.040 let's say they're all uh i don't know they're all uh data analysts or something all have the same job

00:08:13.920 did they all have the same pay do all the data analysts have the same pay a hundred chosen randomly

00:08:20.960 no of course not their pay is going to be all over the place

00:08:23.360 so should you say that the people in the bottom half of the pay because it would be lots of different

00:08:30.880 pay levels would i say that they've been discriminated against for being men no you

00:08:37.920 would just say that any hundred people even in the same job would have you know different incomes do

00:08:43.680 you think somebody studied and found the the ones that got a little extra and they're trying to correct

00:08:48.880 it no we don't do that do you think anybody looked at the men who are paid less than other men

00:08:55.600 for the same job and said we got to correct this no nobody gives a shit because it's about men but

00:09:02.400 suppose you took a hundred men and a hundred women randomly and some of the um and they were all in the

00:09:09.520 same job now if you randomly studied a hundred men and a hundred women would you find a whole bunch of

00:09:16.000 situations in which there were in fact women who seemed to be suspiciously paid less than the men

00:09:23.920 yes you would because there would be people paid all kinds of things for all kinds of reasons and

00:09:28.640 all kinds of different places but you could also find in that same group men who are paid less than other

00:09:34.960 men and also men who are paid less than other women so the entire the entire topic is people who don't

00:09:42.400 know how to do analysis so to pretend there's some kind of difference of opinion or or that it matches

00:09:48.000 your experience is just absurd now let me ask you in the comments again just so you can see each other

00:09:53.440 has anybody ever even seen one example i'm going to say in the last

00:10:00.480 10 years we'll limit it to the last 10 years in the last 10 years has anybody ever seen one example

00:10:07.040 where you were really sure that people had the same qualifications but different pay

00:10:12.400 and if you had are you aware that you could find that same difference if you were only looking at men

00:10:19.360 you would find men with different pay for the same jobs how do you explain that

00:10:24.560 no it's all just bad analysis there's nothing else to it

00:10:30.320 all right uh trump said something that got him in a little bit of political

00:10:35.040 hot water he said uh in an interview asking about entitlements because as you know our budget's out of

00:10:40.240 control and he said uh there's a there's a lot that can be done in entitlements in terms of cutting

00:10:46.320 so then biden got on that and said uh trump's gonna cut your entitlements now what trump said was

00:10:55.520 there's a lot that can be done in terms of cutting but i feel like there's a whole level of creativity

00:11:02.160 that could be applied that hasn't been for example i'll just take myself if you gave me the option

00:11:09.040 decision of taking half of what i would probably get in social security but take it now i'd probably

00:11:17.680 do it and i'd say i'd save the country a bunch of money on social security and then they could use

00:11:22.720 that for other people because my situation isn't like other people and maybe maybe i say to myself you

00:11:29.200 know what i don't know if social security will go away someday i'll just take half now and you know

00:11:35.120 because it's not going to be the deciding point of whether i have a good life so i'll save you some

00:11:39.920 money the country by taking half would you say yes to that who loses who's the loser in that deal

00:11:49.280 if i willingly say you know i'll be fine with half and you get to keep some of your money your tax money

00:11:55.040 that would have gone to me are you happy so i wonder if there are other things like that for example

00:12:03.040 could you say to some young people you know young people we've been doing this ordinary

00:12:09.920 social security thing but if you'd like it's purely optional you can have your social security put into

00:12:17.840 let's say the um the stock market into an etf a nice diversified american etf so that you'd be well

00:12:26.640 diversified and you would do as well as the country and if you opted into it and you don't have to

00:12:33.360 you might make way more money because you got stock but we would only give you maybe less

00:12:40.240 we would give you less but you could have it in stock would anybody go for that probably would it

00:12:47.600 work out for the people who said yes i'll take stock yeah if they're 25 when they say it probably

00:12:54.320 because stock is tends to be a better idea than most things in the long long long run so i like

00:13:01.520 uh i like trump being honest enough to say there's a lot that can be done meaning that

00:13:07.280 you can't just let it run forever something has to be done we all know that but i'd like to see him get

00:13:12.800 get uh i'd like to see him get creative uh i think it's time for that like really really think about

00:13:20.800 all the ways the free market and maybe some kind of a gambling network and some kind of an alternative

00:13:27.920 situation i'll bet there is a lot that can be done anyway um what i'd like to see is some new

00:13:36.800 legislation to give all of our security money social security money to undocumented migrants

00:13:44.800 so it'd be a bill that says we'll just stop paying social security to all citizens

00:13:49.280 and we'll just give all that money to undocumented uh immigrants now the reason i want that is not

00:13:56.000 because i want it to pass that'd be crazy that'd be crazy people i don't want to give all my social

00:14:02.560 security money away to undocumented migrants there'd just be more of them but what i do want to see is

00:14:08.080 that legislation floated to see who votes for it i just want to see who votes for it just to find out

00:14:14.960 like how many people are not even trying because it doesn't seem like we've got to a situation where

00:14:21.680 it's not so much a difference of opinion does it feel to you like there's a philosophical difference

00:14:28.880 of opinion between the democrats and the republicans not always sometimes yes not always what it looks to

00:14:37.840 me is that some people are not even trying or they're trying to destroy the country or they're

00:14:42.720 batshit crazy so let's just let's just create um much the way you've heard the stories about the

00:14:49.920 people who ran pranks on the scientific reviews so i think it's been done more than once where people

00:14:57.680 would write totally fake scientific papers just ridiculous stuff to see if they can get it peer

00:15:03.520 reviewed and accepted and published and sure enough they can get a peer reviewed and accepted and published

00:15:09.920 and then it tells the public oh this is what's going on very useful because once you learn that

00:15:17.040 half of the scientific studies are just fake you know it gives you some perspective so i'd like

00:15:22.960 to do the same thing come up with some fake legislation to give all of our social security

00:15:27.920 money every single penny of it to undocumented migrants and then just watch who says yes

00:15:32.560 yes you don't think uh you don't think half of the squad is going to say yes

00:15:39.600 because it's whatever is worse for the country they seem fairly consistent about doing why i don't know

00:15:48.160 well over in england the national health service there has decided to uh ban puberty

00:15:54.480 puberty blockers for kids so kids who want to transition they're not going to be able to get their puberty

00:16:00.160 blockers and the reason is that they just think it's too dangerous health wise isn't working out

00:16:06.000 risk reward wise and um i'm kind of bored with the whole trans thing every time i have to talk about

00:16:13.120 it i figure like i feel like i'm being manipulated because there's nothing i care less about than the

00:16:19.600 trans issues i love the trans community yeah but big fan of the lgbtq community love them all would love

00:16:27.120 to them to live the best life that they can put together for themselves and it's not up to me to

00:16:33.040 tell anybody how to live for the adults but what's interesting to me about this is that it seems to me

00:16:40.480 that every american kid from from this day forward has a lawsuit and i'm no lawyer but let me just trot

00:16:49.840 this out see see if any of the real lawyers agree with this it would be one thing if your doctor gave

00:16:56.960 you a treatment and he honestly or she honestly believed it was good for you that's fine and then

00:17:03.120 if things go wrong well that's just the real world i wish i hadn't but things went wrong but what happens

00:17:09.600 when probably every doctor who's in this space in america is now aware that england looked at it and

00:17:17.920 found it too dangerous now now give it to a kid you don't think you have a little extra legal liability

00:17:25.520 now i i thought the standard was i thought the standard was that once it becomes common knowledge

00:17:32.960 that something's too dangerous that would be the point where you're being irresponsible

00:17:38.160 am i wrong or or can a doctor in this country say yeah i'm completely aware that in england

00:17:44.960 they did the analysis and found it too dangerous but it's still legal here so here's your bills

00:17:52.560 i feel like i feel like there's a tipping point situation in which it wouldn't take many entities

00:18:00.080 to say this is dangerous we're making it illegal before everybody would have to make it illegal

00:18:05.680 because remember the the law and medicine in general are very risk averse

00:18:11.840 they don't want to do something where you can obviously get sued you know if it's just begging

00:18:16.320 to get sued they don't want to do it so if if everybody was just guessing about what was the

00:18:23.040 right thing to do then i don't know that you could sue a doctor for giving somebody puberty blockers when

00:18:28.720 they're young if they legitimately didn't know that that was a risky situation but now that they know

00:18:36.720 i don't know i've got a feeling that insurance and the courts will take care of this pretty quickly

00:18:42.160 now that's my prediction that the uh transitioning of kids probably is going to collapse as a as a

00:18:49.680 thing that society ever did i think someday it'll seem like the it will seem as bad as

00:18:56.000 um german experimentation on prisoners i think it'll seem that bad someday in the future

00:19:05.840 um by today's perspective i do think most of the people involved were just trying to help

00:19:11.120 which i hate i hate that most of the people had good intentions

00:19:16.000 i mean it's better than bad intentions but i hate that well there are a lot of a lot of people

00:19:22.160 who are going to learn that they've basically been butchers and murderers and they thought they

00:19:26.720 were doing something good so and every day i see another story about the number of people taking

00:19:34.800 their own lives in the trans community especially after transition seems just insanely high but you

00:19:41.600 have to be careful about that data i would be really careful about any kind of self-harm data about

00:19:47.120 the trans community because i think it's hard to untangle cause and effect in that case all right

00:19:55.840 rfk jr has teased that uh two choices for his vice presidential running mate might be nfl quarterback

00:20:04.240 aaron rogers uh or minnesota ex-minnesota governor jesse ventura now does that sound like he's serious

00:20:13.920 about being president because remember rfk jr did say that running for president was the way he could

00:20:21.120 have free speech so there's there's part of me that thinks that rfk jr is not expecting to win or playing

00:20:28.880 to win but rather he's playing to finally after you know decades of trying to be heard about the food

00:20:35.760 supply and the pharmaceutical companies that he's just doing it to make his point and i believe that

00:20:41.360 the reason he would identify these two individuals who you don't think would be at the top of the

00:20:45.840 list at the moment you know although obviously jesse ventura's had a serious government job at one

00:20:51.360 point but i think they're both anti uh i don't want to say anti-vax i'll say uh they're not pro-vax would

00:20:58.320 that be true which is different from being anti so i think that i think he's just being consistent with his

00:21:06.320 primary concern which is the health of the american public i think i think rfk jr's consistent focus on

00:21:14.960 the health of americans honestly is one of the best things i've ever seen in america it's one of the

00:21:23.600 best things i've ever seen in american history you know it's funny we're surrounded with such just

00:21:31.600 horrible horrible actors in politics and sometimes your fellow citizens but i don't see anything

00:21:39.920 wrong with what kennedy is doing it doesn't look like a bid for power it doesn't look like a bid for

00:21:44.800 money it doesn't look like um it doesn't look like there's any direct payoff for him other than

00:21:53.200 completing his work of making the country safer i have to i gotta say that my respect

00:22:00.400 for what he apparently is doing is very high very high very much appreciated well united airlines has

00:22:11.680 had a fifth infant incident in what the news calls fifth incident in over a week may i take a moment to

00:22:20.880 say if you're writing a headline and you ever write this headline it's the fifth incident in over a week

00:22:30.400 uh here's a here's a better way it might be the fifth incident in let's say 10 days

00:22:39.680 but you know what is over a week everything else

00:22:45.760 you don't say you don't say the fifth time in over a week because over a week could be 10 years

00:22:51.360 that's over a week yeah you know what uh i've uh eaten the potato uh 700 times in over a week

00:23:06.880 i have i'm not even exaggerating i've eaten the potato 700 times in over a week

00:23:13.600 yeah and i'm not going to stop um anyway united airlines so they continue to have these mechanical

00:23:22.320 problems the mechanical problems all seem to have the same character that there's some component of

00:23:27.840 the airplane that falls off am i right like tire falls off part falls off a wing door falls off

00:23:37.120 and i would like to suggest that if they have maybe one more incident in over a week

00:23:45.040 that they have to change the names from united airlines to mostly united but some things fall off

00:23:53.280 it's longer but i think more accurate fly united no night not completely united mostly united but some

00:24:01.760 things fall off you gotta expect that all right well uh axios is talking about the huge increase in

00:24:12.000 black and latino voters who are moving to the republican side and they show some

00:24:18.880 apparently it's the it looks to be according to polling the most massive swing for black and hispanic voters

00:24:27.520 since uh a long time ago 60s now what is the explanation for that what's the explanation migration economy

00:24:39.680 natural why now why now

00:24:48.240 well um here's what uh they say

00:24:52.640 okay so axios should not be considered a genuine news source or more of a uh that they appear to

00:25:00.880 present themselves as more of a you know biased political actor as most of the news does

00:25:07.280 but here's what they say uh the intrigue this is part of their story the intrigue the drop-off meaning

00:25:13.200 the drop-off of support for democrats by that community comes even after trump made

00:25:19.840 several racist and bigoted comments about immigrants and people of color

00:25:28.720 now do you think if i click on them i will find them to be racist and bigoted comments

00:25:35.200 do you think that's news or was that just some person's opinion

00:25:40.720 well you know if you could click on them yourself you'll find that somebody has

00:25:44.080 decided to interpret normal language as bigoted you know like they usually do so that's not really news

00:25:50.560 that's just uh um bias basically and then they say the uh the biggest loss might be uh at least somebody

00:26:00.320 said is somebody else said actually is uh people under 30. so now biden is losing young people black people

00:26:09.040 and hispanics did did axios tell the story right did they frame this story right so they're losing young

00:26:19.200 people blacks and hispanics what what's missing in the story see anything missing let me tell you the trick

00:26:29.360 that's being played here there is a big trick being played this is misdirection

00:26:34.240 when they tell you that black and hispanic and young people are moving toward republicans

00:26:40.800 the real story is what they're not telling you the real story is the democrat party has become the

00:26:46.000 party of women do you know why they don't want to tell you that and by the way it is the black men uh

00:26:53.840 at least the black men i know are tending to be a little bit more pro-trump the black women less so but

00:27:00.880 also a little bit i think they i think that the uh left-leaning media can't tell you that men are

00:27:08.720 going to the dem the republican side do you know why because that would be too influential it would

00:27:14.800 be too influential if you hear that blacks and hispanics and young people are moving to the other

00:27:20.240 side you might say to yourself well you know i'm not one of those people but it's an interesting story

00:27:26.880 but if you heard that men were going to one side you'd have some real questions because the men know

00:27:33.680 how to protect the country and you know i i hate to sound too much like tucker carlson but uh there's a

00:27:42.240 lot of justification there's i would i would claim same as uh same as tucker says that the justification for

00:27:50.240 uh racial discrimination is gone basically i mean there's no reason to do it because the difference

00:27:57.840 between any one individual of the same of the same race is so different you know there's no such thing

00:28:04.560 as an average black guy like that's not a thing every black person is so infinitely different from every

00:28:11.200 other just like every white person is infinitely different from every other but gender is really big

00:28:18.080 difference right so gender is the one that's really big difference and one of the big differences

00:28:24.080 which i will claim to my death is that men are smarter about uh security and and survival and

00:28:32.160 protection women are better at you know nurturing and a whole bunch of other stuff you know better

00:28:38.080 better verbal skills you know a whole bunch of stuff they're better at doing better at college at the

00:28:41.760 moment etc so i'm not it's not a competition it's just that we're not all the same and there's some

00:28:48.320 average differences and you're seeing it here and i think that if the democrats started saying that men

00:28:54.640 are leaving the democrat party that the women who are remaining would say wait what

00:29:03.280 so i think a third of the democrats would say yeah that's good because the men were the problem anyway

00:29:10.000 but i think two-thirds of the democrat women would say wait a minute what did you just say you're

00:29:16.400 saying all the the men who are democrats are leaving i think that would be the end of the democrat party

00:29:23.760 so i think the framing that it that it's racial is missing the far bigger framing that abortion in

00:29:30.480 particular is primarily women right the fear of trump as the the big old uh whatever

00:29:39.600 mostly women and the men who don't want to disagree with women basically so as long as we see the

00:29:46.640 differences between the parties as racial uh there is some big movement but if it ever became more

00:29:53.200 honest and shows that it was basically a democrats for the party of women and the republicans are more

00:29:59.680 party of men and women who agree with them basically all right let's leave this voter id issue you know

00:30:08.640 i've never met a single real person and i will i'm going to say as i said on x there's no real person who

00:30:15.840 thinks that it's okay to not to have voter id for voting i've never met one have you have you ever met

00:30:23.440 a real person who says yeah that makes sense because i don't think black people can get ids now sometimes

00:30:29.840 you'll meet somebody who says that it's because they heard it on the news but here's how you fix it

00:30:35.840 there's no black people who can't get ids they get ids because they need it for every other part of

00:30:41.200 civilization and and if there is a black person or a white person or any other kind of person

00:30:48.480 who can't get an id are you seriously telling me you you want them to vote

00:30:53.440 if they can't get an id an id is pretty basic stuff and you think that that person is going to add to

00:31:03.120 the decision-making quality of the republic no there is no real person who thinks it's a good idea

00:31:10.560 not to have voter id when we have id for every other little trivial thing and everybody thinks that's

00:31:16.000 a good idea so this is purely a press um you know bad people who want these things to happen so there

00:31:24.960 were two lawyers who testified uh today or recently uh against requiring proof of citizenship to vote

00:31:33.120 or id i guess and uh and they're both uh former employees of george sorris's open society do you

00:31:40.640 think that those two people in their private world personally believe that it's a good idea

00:31:47.680 to not have id for voting no of course not no they're either paid or they're lying but they

00:31:53.120 definitely don't believe that and i want to stop acting like this is some kind of political discussion

00:32:00.240 this is not a difference of political opinion the citizens are all on the same page on this we're just

00:32:06.240 being gaslighted and screwed in some some way by some group or groups of people but to pretend that

00:32:13.600 anybody's on the other side of this is absurd it's just absurd now when i posted that no real person is

00:32:22.800 actually in favor of this uh elon musk weighed in and said 100 and then uh a number of people said this

00:32:31.280 but uh elon musk said it as well this morning he said the exact same people who said everyone had to

00:32:37.680 have a vaccine id also say no ideas needed for voting i mean you don't need a lot of reasons to know that

00:32:44.080 this isn't a real issue this is a an issue specifically to make it easier to cheat

00:32:51.120 it's to make it easier to cheat now if you tell me there's any other reason

00:33:00.000 there isn't there isn't don't tell me there's some other reason nobody thinks that that's just

00:33:06.240 something that people are saying on tv no actual honest living person believes any of this it's just

00:33:14.640 to make it easier to cheat so clearly so here's what would be a good strategy for republicans to

00:33:21.920 win everything stop talking about everything except this and every time you have a conversation with

00:33:27.840 the press and every time you have a conversation that any democrat can hear and say let me ask you

00:33:32.880 just one question what do you think is the reason they don't want to have voter id there's only one

00:33:39.200 reason the other reasons are stupid and if you believe what you were told that black people can't

00:33:45.120 get ids well you're a fucking racist and whoever told you is too because there's no evidence of that

00:33:50.160 whatsoever that's purely racist so you're not only a racist but you would be favoring the people

00:33:56.160 who clearly are trying to do something illegitimate and you know it and and just go from there

00:34:03.360 say republicans want people who are citizens to vote

00:34:06.400 that tells you everything you need to know the republicans want citizens to vote

00:34:12.880 and that we know that they really are here and they're really voting for

00:34:16.480 you know they're eligible to vote there is no second reason for wanting no id it's only to cheat

00:34:26.560 it's only to cheat there's no other reason and if you say that enough i think people will

00:34:33.520 figure it out pretty quickly because here's the thing people people are fairly primed to expect

00:34:40.720 they're getting screwed you know by companies by the government we're all we all expect we're getting

00:34:46.400 screwed and when you say there's literally no other reason for this voter id thing i think people's

00:34:52.880 we're always getting screwed thing just clicks in they go oh yeah that does sound mighty suspicious now

00:34:59.600 they bring it up it's a real easy sale it's a hard sale to say that the biden family did something

00:35:06.640 bad with ukraine let let me explain the total sophistication of the american voter when they're

00:35:14.320 they're faced with the ukraine situation what yeah you see there was this whole network where hunter set up

00:35:22.720 and his business person said this and there was a diamond that got lost and you know what was it

00:35:27.760 not when he was in office but there were some things in office and then it was a phone call

00:35:31.760 and then the average voter says what you can't you can't make a sale with any of that basically

00:35:40.320 all the complicated stuff are just things that people like you know you and i talk about

00:35:45.040 you know the the one percent who do this for a hobby or or professionally like we care about that

00:35:52.080 stuff i'll dig in a little bit and find out who's who's who's right who's not but the average person

00:35:56.880 doesn't know anything about what's going on ask the average person about the the nuance of whether

00:36:03.520 tick tock should be banned just the average person who knows you a little bit about the news but not a lot

00:36:11.120 you will hear the most ridiculous opinions because they don't understand the nuance

00:36:17.920 but here's something they totally understand there's only one reason that they're not requiring voter

00:36:22.720 id it's so that they can rig the election how many normal citizens can immediately understand that

00:36:30.320 argument all of them immediately 100 right away and how many of them are already primed

00:36:38.640 to think that is the real reason all of them they're all primed right now a few of them are going to

00:36:44.640 say oh i was told by cnn that black people can't get ids but you could change their mind in about a

00:36:51.280 minute find me one black person who can't get an id find an interview with one find a survey anything

00:36:59.360 find find me a link show me a guy who's on video saying yeah you know i've been black all my life

00:37:07.440 and i'll tell you every time i go to get an id i can't figure it out or i can't afford it i don't

00:37:13.440 know what to do seems like all these white people got these nice ids but i can't figure out how to get

00:37:18.080 one no that doesn't exist do you know why because every black person like every other person can get

00:37:25.120 an id and it was never real so you could mock people for believing something that even their

00:37:31.280 own team has no evidence for that's different usually if you're if you're debating climate

00:37:38.160 change for example you know both sides will show their own preferred data ooh my data says yes ooh

00:37:44.320 my data says no but not in this case not in this case there's no other argument there's no data there's

00:37:51.520 no link there's no story there's there's no witness there's not even a single person not one

00:38:00.720 anyway everybody can figure that out um and wokeness one of my favorite follows on x

00:38:06.880 uh did an experiment where it asked the amazon site for a list of black owned businesses presumably so you

00:38:14.720 could you know give them your support and it gave uh it gave you a list of black owned businesses very

00:38:22.320 good if you'd like to support the black owned businesses you've got a real easy way to find them

00:38:28.480 so then n woke just said huh let's see if amazon will give me a list of white owned businesses

00:38:34.240 uh no i said that would be too racist and inappropriate and absolutely not you kidding me

00:38:38.880 so that's totally okay

00:38:46.080 now if you're not watching elon musk's comments he's going at each of these little stories and just

00:38:52.160 labeling them racist and and i think it's very powerful when he does that because he does concentrate

00:38:58.640 attention they are all racist these these are just racist things they're racist because treating the

00:39:05.520 he races differently in a public way is as racist as you can get there's no there's no argument about

00:39:12.480 that um well let's see what else happened uh the rabbit hole another good account on x um

00:39:24.000 he was uh tweeting or posting about uh newspapers mentioning the murderers race so there have been some

00:39:31.120 surveys to find out when not just newspapers but the media um how often do they mention the race of

00:39:39.280 the murderer if it's white versus black versus something else well here's the numbers uh white

00:39:45.920 offenders were mentioned roughly one out of four articles so for example one out of four times if it was a

00:39:52.640 white person they'd say a white man you know killed somebody for example but um if it was a black offender

00:40:01.520 only one time in 17 did the article mention the race uh and if it's a hispanic offender only one in 33

00:40:11.600 would mention it was hispanic i'm not sure i understand that difference but

00:40:17.040 it and that of course is a super racist as elon musk weighed in and said yes that's super racist

00:40:26.080 because it is

00:40:29.040 all right uh russia's putin says uh that he wouldn't use nuclear weapons in ukraine but he would be

00:40:35.840 ready to use them if russia's existence is threatened now isn't that a nice vague statement

00:40:41.920 that makes you feel good so if i understand this the only thing that would prevent putin from

00:40:48.000 nuking me is his own opinion and nobody else's just his own opinion of whether

00:40:56.320 russia's existence is threatened huh i wonder if anybody in a political role has ever used hyperbole

00:41:04.160 or exaggerated a threat to take control or gain some power over something

00:41:08.880 hmm well that's scary now i don't believe that uh um putin would use a nuke because using a nuke

00:41:16.640 would be the riskiest thing that he could do for his own life and for russia by far the riskiest

00:41:23.840 uh and he's not crazy he doesn't show signs of he doesn't show signs of any biden dementia

00:41:29.600 that i can see um i don't know about his overall health but his mind seems sharp and

00:41:34.640 no i don't think there's any chance he's going to use nukes it looks like he just has to wait it out

00:41:40.880 and grind up the bodies until something happens i saw uh david sacks who often is talking and posting

00:41:48.320 about why we should wind up the war in ukraine because we can't win and he posted today that

00:41:55.120 people ask him you know why does he keep going out there and you know talking about this and he said he

00:42:01.600 was uh trying to wear people down with the truth and then and then the uh war will be over

00:42:09.360 now i love his attitude he's going to wear people down with the truth and then once we understand the

00:42:15.760 real situation we will all lock hands and make a good decision well i don't know i don't know if i live

00:42:25.360 in that country do i do i live in a country where a logical rational argument that shows the real facts

00:42:34.960 will change people's minds

00:42:39.520 the answer is it depends who's doing it it really depends who's doing it i do think

00:42:44.240 sacks has changed people's minds because he's credible and he's good at what he does and

00:42:50.240 you know his arguments are always strong so if anybody could do it you know if it's doable

00:42:57.440 there's a very small group of people who could make a difference but he might be one of them he

00:43:02.640 might actually be one of the most persuasive people in the public domain at the moment and so i certainly

00:43:08.880 welcome his uh his viewpoint on this it seems it seems intended for nothing except making the country

00:43:15.440 better like there's no there's no way you know it's just a financial thing it's not just a political

00:43:22.240 thing it looks like just a a patriot trying to end the war and knowing that the government can't do it

00:43:30.000 and he has to jump in that's what it feels like to me it feels like people who think oh damn it i've

00:43:35.920 got the spider-man problem that's what it is it's a spider-man problem i think elon's got the spider-man

00:43:43.200 problem i think david sacks has the spider-man problem and i know i have the spider-man problem

00:43:49.040 you know the spider-man problem with a great power comes great responsibility

00:43:55.200 so some people are promoting things and advocating things because they want to make some money or make

00:44:01.200 a name for themselves or be right or you know a whole bunch of reasons for why people do things

00:44:06.000 but i can tell you i feel this deeply i feel that having taken care of myself and the people

00:44:13.040 close to me that i have just an embedded built-in almost genetic responsibility to take care of

00:44:22.560 the wider tribe you know the country so i think that's what drives a number of the people that i

00:44:30.240 call the internet dads um you know they're not doing it for money that's for sure because it's not good

00:44:36.880 for their incomes to be divisive even if they're trying to help it ends up being divisive well here's

00:44:42.720 an interesting stat i don't know if it's true but have you heard that 30 to 50 of the population

00:44:48.080 doesn't have an inner mile monologue how many of you would say that of yourself you don't have an

00:44:54.480 inner monologue like there's just a voice that's talking all the time

00:44:58.400 i want to see if it looks like 30 to 50 percent of you have that

00:45:06.480 because i don't believe that i think it's a smaller percentage i think i think it's real

00:45:11.760 but i think it's smaller than that yeah my head is like a it's like the star wars bar scene it's like

00:45:20.800 like every every damn thing happening in there you know it's what elon musk says you wouldn't want

00:45:26.960 to live in his head i believe that i think there's a lot going on in there and not everybody could

00:45:32.560 survive that anyway so suppose it's true 30 let's say there's some percentage let's take the low number

00:45:40.640 30 of the population doesn't have an inner mile long that's about the same number just observationally

00:45:47.520 you know just my own opinion it seems like about the same number as people who can't tell a personal

00:45:52.240 story i've noted this before there's some people who can't tell a personal story you'd say ah tell us

00:45:59.840 about the time you succeeded at something or tell us a story about the you know the most embarrassing

00:46:05.840 moment you had or something like that and there are people who go hmm yeah yeah nothing really i have

00:46:14.080 nothing and i think that's weird and then i've also noted a number of times that you know i've

00:46:20.800 given a lot of um funny speeches in public probably hundreds of them by this time and you notice that

00:46:29.040 no matter what you say or how funny you are 30 of the audience will just look at you and in my

00:46:35.040 experience 30 of the public literally doesn't have a sense of humor like actually literally don't have

00:46:41.760 one and they're faking it they're literally faking it the way they fake it is first of all they avoid

00:46:48.400 entertainment that is for humor so you invite your friend over and say hey i've got this funny movie

00:46:54.160 you want to watch it in my house the person who doesn't have a sense of humor is just going to say

00:46:59.280 they're busy because what they can't say is i don't even know what this humor thing is i would just

00:47:05.440 sit there and stare at it i'm not going to be laughing because i i don't know it just doesn't work for me

00:47:10.480 so do you think it's all the same people so i'm just going to throw this hypothesis out there maybe

00:47:16.880 it's not three different groups maybe the group that doesn't have an inner monologue doesn't have

00:47:21.360 a sense of humor and can't tell a story because i feel they're all related i feel like they're all related

00:47:28.240 so uh now some would say that that would be the number of npcs the people who are like effectively

00:47:36.960 biological ai they're just wandering around they don't have an actual life because they don't have

00:47:42.800 an inner dialogue and they they don't even laugh at things like ai ai wouldn't laugh at anything

00:47:49.200 but it might identify that something is fits the form of a joke but it wouldn't laugh

00:47:56.560 so it makes me suspect that we are already one-third cyborgs uh battle star galactica style

00:48:05.280 you know the cilons the cilons and that that's a battle star galactica's famous sci-fi and part of

00:48:14.000 the story was that the some number of humans were actually really really well done androids so good

00:48:21.760 you can't even tell it tell with a medical exam feels like that i'm not saying that's true it just

00:48:27.280 feels like it all right um apparently the biden budget that he's promoting for the country would

00:48:35.200 spend hundreds of millions to train school teachers in dei isn't that just reparations i i think we

00:48:44.880 should stop saying that reparations is a different conversation from dei now the first thing you're

00:48:50.560 going to say is scott dei is not just about the black public you know dei is about any groups

00:48:57.440 that are not getting a fair shake in society no that's not true i'm sorry if somebody told you

00:49:03.200 that if you took the black population out of the dei conversation the whole thing would fall apart

00:49:09.840 do you do you think that you could get the women and the gays and the hispanics that'd be powerful

00:49:15.440 enough to have dei organizations i don't think so i i think that the uh the black population is the you

00:49:24.320 know the heart and soul of the dei and then the rest are sort of freeloaders and i don't mean that

00:49:30.960 as an insult i mean i should say free rider a free rider not a freeloader freeloader is insulting

00:49:37.040 i didn't mean it insulting i mean that they just get the benefit of being put into the disadvantaged

00:49:42.320 group but if there were no black people ever in this country there would be no dei do you agree

00:49:49.200 am i going too far or would you agree that it just wouldn't be happening except that the black

00:49:57.360 public is apparently powerful enough there's enough people enough people support the idea

00:50:02.320 yeah yeah so to me dei is reparations so i'm not in favor of spending it in either case

00:50:12.000 but if we're going to spend it and it gets approved i'm going to say that is reparations

00:50:15.920 because that has the same effect the effect of dei in the the theoretical effect is that you just

00:50:24.000 hire better but equally qualified people from disadvantaged groups that's the theory the reality is that never

00:50:31.440 happens because it can't if it could happen it would happen but it can't it's like logically

00:50:38.560 impossible just because the numbers involved no not because of any genetic differences no not because

00:50:44.400 any racial differences no not because of any any gender differences but just there's not enough

00:50:50.080 people who have already gone through the pipeline of training to have enough of them for all the

00:50:54.560 companies that are scrambling to improve their diversity so given that it does seem to me that

00:51:01.760 the net effect is that white people will be kept out of jobs black people will be promoted even when

00:51:08.240 they have lesser qualifications as reparations and i would say that we've had 30 years of it so far at least

00:51:16.080 40 i think so probably 40 years of dei like activity so you know in the old days it was called reverse

00:51:23.280 discrimination i think it's already paid i think the bill is paid i declare the bill paid and the

00:51:30.240 reparations question put to bed whether whether you like it or not so i'm not saying i'm for it or against

00:51:38.080 it you know necessarily i'm just saying it's already paid we don't have to talk about it anymore

00:51:42.480 all right let's talk about tick tock joe rogan looked at the terms of service this is scariest

00:51:48.800 thing you've ever seen so apparently when you sign up for tick tock you agree that they can

00:51:54.960 basically have all your information but including your keystrokes

00:52:02.960 including information on devices that you don't use for tick tock

00:52:09.040 just hold that in your head for a second if they can track your keystrokes they know exactly

00:52:16.880 everything you're doing all your passwords let me say it again if they're tracking your keystrokes

00:52:25.120 they have your password into every one of your accounts and you're signing that away you're

00:52:30.160 basically signing to give your passwords away because it would be legal it wouldn't be legal to get into

00:52:37.360 your account but it's legal they have them if you sign that so let's see what else are they doing um

00:52:47.200 the the way they get into your other devices

00:52:50.800 is i think if you use one of those logons where you say um i'll use my google log logon to get into

00:52:57.840 it i think that's what it's saying then they could go to any device that used a google log on

00:53:03.440 you're completely other devices and find out all your activity and your other devices

00:53:08.320 now it's it's written so broadly that couldn't possibly be something you don't want to associate

00:53:12.880 with so yesterday um i started the process to get a dedicated machine just for tick tock so i don't plan

00:53:21.200 to look at content because that would be crazy because i don't want to get hypnotized but

00:53:26.880 um i am going to post on it because it's not going away and i'm going to post on it with a dedicated

00:53:35.040 separate machine that's not in any way connected to anything else and i'm definitely not going to use

00:53:39.120 a password that's used on any other device i wouldn't even do that

00:53:43.680 so us intel the director of national intelligence dni says that china uses tick tock to impact u.s elections

00:53:58.000 he says quote we cannot rule out that the ccp would use it it is extraordinary the degree to

00:54:04.320 which china are developing frameworks for collecting foreign data and their capacity to turn around and

00:54:10.240 use it to target audiences um i guess tick tock accounts run by a chinese government propaganda arm

00:54:19.600 somehow we can tell who they are uh targeted candidates from both political parties during the

00:54:25.040 midterms in 2022 so that's our own intelligence people say that china did use bots i guess on tick tock

00:54:32.480 now what they don't say is that they know that tick tock is you know push the heat button

00:54:38.480 but if they had bots and um and we know they were bots it means that tick tock knew they were bots

00:54:45.520 and didn't get rid of them or not or didn't get rid of them fast enough all right so um let's talk

00:54:55.600 about this bill this tick tock bill to ban it so the first thing you need to know is that tick tock

00:55:02.880 is not going to be banned and part of the reason is the bill was written it looks like it was written

00:55:09.520 intentionally not to be passed because it would give um it would give the ability for the government

00:55:16.560 well here here's here's the setup tucker carlson gives us a little setup he posted today in a classified

00:55:22.640 briefing this afternoon it must have been yesterday uh attended by officials from the binding

00:55:27.680 justice department aoc claimed that elon committed quote election interference in 2022 by quote changing

00:55:36.560 the algorithms on x to alter the results of the midterms now all we all he really did was get rid

00:55:42.240 of the bias so she's saying that getting rid of the bias altered the midterms and that's election

00:55:48.320 interference now suppose you took that to be true suppose you said well that's a reasonable opinion aoc

00:55:55.680 totally reasonable that if somebody changed something on their platform and it affected

00:56:00.240 the race well that must be election interference did you know that the tick tock ban if passed

00:56:07.680 would allow the government to force the sale of any social media platform that interferes in elections

00:56:15.760 so all all they would have to do to take tick tock away from twitter from musk is to make the claim

00:56:25.760 the claim

00:56:29.280 that he's interfering with elections i don't even think they have to prove it in a court of law

00:56:35.760 it looks like it's just an opinion

00:56:39.440 who in the world is going to sign that the fucking thing do you think you can find enough people to

00:56:44.320 assign this they'll basically say that the government can take your social media platform away if the

00:56:49.840 government says you're interfering with the election now don't you think there was a way to

00:56:55.920 make this only about tick tock or only about companies owned by adversaries i'm pretty sure

00:57:02.080 they could have walled that off don't you think you don't think they could have walled that off and said

00:57:07.360 hmm let's let's make this only applied to something controlled by a foreign adversary

00:57:12.880 pretty easy to do i do not believe that our constitution bars us from blocking adversaries

00:57:20.640 from doing business in the united states i don't i don't think any freedoms apply to the chinese government

00:57:26.160 so how did they get 50 bipartisan people to sign it do you know how you get 50 people to

00:57:36.240 support a bill and this is bipartisan both sides 100 of the people in the committee

00:57:41.840 do you know how you get that to happen you write some legislation that nobody's ever going to approve

00:57:49.040 pretty easy to say yes to something that nobody's going to sign isn't it this is so not signable

00:57:55.280 there's no chance it's going to happen and there are 35 billion other reasons it's not going to happen

00:58:00.720 which is a specific gigantic donor to the republican party who's got 35 billion dollars some say

00:58:08.160 uh value in tick tock ownership and that's enough money to make the government do anything he wants

00:58:14.560 you know that right that's enough money to make the government do anything you want

00:58:20.800 so he just wants he just has to want it and of course he does nobody wants to lose 35 billion dollars

00:58:27.360 so yeah there's no chance that the government is stronger than 35 billion dollars all focused in one

00:58:32.640 place well or let's say a billion dollars because because he'd burn a billion dollars

00:58:38.000 just to get what he wants the government cannot survive or cannot stand up against a billion dollars

00:58:46.400 focused on any one topic the government has no power over that he has all the power so if he wants

00:58:53.680 he doesn't want it banned well it's kind of the end of the story he has the power to make it not happen

00:58:59.280 so you should expect a number of people who are beholden to such um a a person who contributes that

00:59:08.640 much to the republicans uh you should expect them to have some weird explanations of why they

00:59:15.040 are opposed to the ban

00:59:18.400 speaking of weird explanations for why you'd be opposed to the band here's ran paul

00:59:23.360 he says reactionaries who want to ban tick tock oh interesting if you want to ban tick tock you're

00:59:31.360 a reactionary huh let us examine the history of ran paul and say does ran paul start an argument with a

00:59:41.920 emotional uh insult label is that his normal mode does that look like what you're used to

00:59:50.000 because that's not the ran paul i'm used to the one i'm used to usually leads with a logical

00:59:57.920 rational argument and then challenges the government to tell him what's wrong with it and then they can't

01:00:04.640 and that that's what makes him ran paul what makes him ran paul is not doing this

01:00:10.160 he just called people in his own party and the other party as well reactionaries

01:00:13.840 fuck you ran paul fuck you very much yeah you don't need to insult me

01:00:22.080 am i a reactionary because i have that opinion i've changed my opinion

01:00:26.160 since since tick tock can't be banned i don't think there's any room for an opinion

01:00:32.320 it doesn't matter if i want it to it doesn't matter if i think it's a good idea it's like israel

01:00:36.880 you can have an opinion but why not now who and israel is just going to do what they

01:00:44.800 whatever they can do that they need to do anyway so uh starting with reactionaries is a big red flag

01:00:52.960 that you're not going to take this argument seriously and i would expect that what you say

01:00:57.040 next is not going to be as logical as what we normally expect from ran paul let's say

01:01:01.360 he says the reactionaries who want to ban tick tock claim the data can't be secured because the

01:01:07.280 quote algorithm is china is in china this is called a um what do you call this a straw man

01:01:17.200 the straw man is where you characterize the other people's argument in a stupid way

01:01:22.880 have you ever heard anybody say that i haven't because it would be stupid nobody's going to say

01:01:29.120 uh that tick tock is can't be secured because the algorithm is in china who would even say that

01:01:39.040 that doesn't even make sense from any like technological standpoint so no that's a straw man

01:01:44.320 so he started with an insult and then a straw man is that ran paul that you know does ran paul give

01:01:52.080 you a straw man for a argument since when i've never seen him do it i always see him say things that

01:01:58.880 make complete sense always but that's a bad way to start an opinion let's see what else he says

01:02:05.600 so he says it's not true that the uh the claim that the data can't be secured because the algorithm

01:02:10.960 is in china here's here's the truth he says the truth is the algorithm runs in the us in oracle cloud

01:02:19.040 with their review of the code not china so in other words oracle is the only one that sees the algorithm

01:02:25.200 that runs in the united states do you care what server the algorithm runs on how was that ever

01:02:34.400 part of the argument i don't care where it runs i care what it does do you think that uh do you think

01:02:42.880 that there's an entity in oracle that understands the algorithm so are you telling me that if somebody

01:02:49.840 at uh byte dance or tick tock pushes the heat button literally it's called the heat button

01:02:56.880 to boost the signal of something do you think that uh somebody over in oracle is going to be there

01:03:02.880 they'll be doing their work like ding ding ding ding hold on somebody over in china pushed the heat

01:03:11.440 button and that signal came over to our our servers over an oracle and the and and the alert is telling me

01:03:18.000 that something happened no because the code would be working the way it was written it would be

01:03:25.600 working fine it wouldn't be anything that they would say do you think that the people in oracle can see

01:03:30.880 persuasion as it's embedded in in the let's say the outcome of the product no because you can't find it

01:03:40.400 persuasion if it's done right you can't find it so this is an absurd argument um and then he says maybe

01:03:49.600 we should examine the facts and then he says uh they want to ban tick tock because it's owned by china

01:03:56.960 and ran paul says tick tock is not owned by china here's what ran paul says he says 60 of the company is

01:04:05.040 owned by u.s and international investors 20 is owned by the company founders 20 is owned by company

01:04:14.160 employees including 7 000 americans and the ceo of tick tock is from singapore not china so then ran paul

01:04:22.560 says so ask yourself why they keep repeating this lie to scare you so the lie is that technically china

01:04:29.840 doesn't own it that's what ran paul is arguing that technically they don't own it the only thing

01:04:38.800 that they have is the ability to tell the people who do own it exactly what to do or their business

01:04:45.360 will go away do you think ran paul is unaware that the government of china can tell tick tock what

01:04:53.920 to do and tick tock's damn well going to do it because the penalty would be far too big do you

01:05:00.480 think he doesn't know that of course he knows that everybody knows it so he's going to argue like a lawyer

01:05:07.440 instead of a ophthalmologist he's gonna he's gonna turn into a lawyer and argue the technical details

01:05:14.240 of who the ownership is when the chinese government can tell it what it wants it to do and has to do it

01:05:20.000 do you really think that this argument is what he actually believes i can't read minds well let's

01:05:28.000 just say it's a little bit inconsistent with the hyper rational person we've known for years so

01:05:33.520 whatever's going on here has nothing to do with these arguments because these are stupid

01:05:38.160 and he knows it it's the he knows it part that bugs me right if i thought he didn't know

01:05:44.640 what he was doing it wouldn't bother me at all but he knows he knows so

01:05:53.680 there's also reports that rumble was talking about either buying tick tock maybe with other people

01:05:58.320 i don't know how they'd afford it um or or offering the new rumble network they got a cloud network that

01:06:06.080 will compete with the other big clouds and uh so that they'd be willing to uh step up and

01:06:13.920 and be part of that i don't think that's going to happen and uh i don't think the ban is real

01:06:22.240 would you like to hear a good conspiracy theory

01:06:26.560 all right this is not based on any knowledge it's just if you have a suspicious mind

01:06:34.800 it looks like this here are things we know uh there was a planned public offering of tick tock that

01:06:42.240 the chinese government said no to so tick tock wanted to do an ipo and china said no

01:06:50.160 well how is that possible how is that possible when china doesn't even own them how is that possible

01:06:57.760 i'm all confused rand paul rand paul can you can you explain to me how china told them they can't have

01:07:03.040 an ipo when they don't even own them don't they know that 60 is owned by other countries are they

01:07:09.680 unaware that the president is from singapore

01:07:15.120 god the things that we're being asked to believe it's just it's just it's you can't even hold it in

01:07:20.960 your mind it's so crazy so we know that tick tock tried to have a liquidity event meaning that would

01:07:29.760 be the beginning of a process in which the biggest investors could get their money out if they wanted

01:07:35.520 to after it went public but now that's not going to happen suppose and i don't know this to be true

01:07:42.960 but suppose it looks like there's no time in the future you'll be able to get your money out

01:07:47.520 what's the point of investing if you can never get your money out how does that work like getting

01:07:55.920 your money out is really important to the whole investment process right if you never can get your

01:08:00.400 money it's not really an investment so we've got an american investor who's got some say 35 billion

01:08:07.120 dollars worth of ownership of the tick tock company by dance now is it possible

01:08:17.520 that a again this is just fun conspiracy stuff i have no evidence for this whatsoever i just live

01:08:25.200 in the real world and i've seen lots of clever things happen that were not obvious on the surface

01:08:31.120 if i were a billionaire and i could not get my money out of tick tock because the chinese government

01:08:35.920 said no you're not going to do a ipo and i don't know when we'll ever let you what i would do is i would

01:08:42.480 get my friends in congress both the democrats and the republicans i would make them sit down and say

01:08:47.520 make me a fake bill that looks like it could get passed but make sure it doesn't

01:08:56.160 give me a fake bill that the media will say is like a real ban but i don't want a band the only thing

01:09:04.240 i want is for the chinese government to say oh crap we better let them sell the american business

01:09:10.480 because otherwise tick tock's in trouble so we could get some money out of it by letting them sell

01:09:17.360 but if the american market goes away that that's really going to be a problem could it be

01:09:23.360 that an investor or investors are using the ban only as leverage to get china to agree

01:09:33.360 to let bite dance divest the american market could it be that the biggest investor i think his name is

01:09:40.400 yes y-a-s-s could it be that the real play is for him to own his own american social media company

01:09:51.440 that is the piece of bite dances market that had been theirs take it with him in return for

01:09:58.880 um let's say china keeping his 35 billion dollars so could he for let's say 35 billion dollars own the

01:10:07.440 entire uh part of bite dance that ran in america would that make him an elon musk kind of a billionaire

01:10:16.400 so he would not only have other business but like jeff bezos and like other rich people carlos sims

01:10:24.400 rupert murdoch it's always good to own a big media company if you can

01:10:31.760 so if you start with the assumption that if you're smart enough to own 35 billion dollars worth of

01:10:38.000 bite dance you're also smart enough to figure out all the different ways you can capitalize on that

01:10:44.080 and if the possibility of monetizing it was completely impossible because he would never

01:10:49.920 be able to get in a liquidity event well he might have found a workaround so the perfect situation would

01:10:57.440 be that we pretend that there's going to be a ban every and you get uh 50 people to act like it's a

01:11:05.280 sure thing and then it gets carved off and then there's a billionaire who leans republican

01:11:13.680 who leans republican because he's he's known to be funding um republicans in a big way

01:11:20.960 you would have in this country instead of a left-leaning social media company you would have a

01:11:27.520 not necessarily right leaning but certainly closer to the middle um and it would completely neuter the

01:11:33.760 political impact of tick tock and give one person one of the most valuable process properties in the world

01:11:40.960 now could he do that with the help of let's say the rumble network well if you've got oracle that

01:11:48.960 can already handle some hosting stuff you've got the rumble network that would give you the capacity

01:11:54.880 all you need then is approval all you need is approval because i think you can handle the money

01:12:03.280 doesn't look like money is going to be a problem all you need is the approval

01:12:06.640 so i'm not going to say that that's likely or that anybody has that plan but uh every every single

01:12:15.760 bit of evidence suggests it would you agree would you agree that all all evidence suggests that the

01:12:24.400 the ban is not real and that must be part of a you know a bigger plan that's what it looks like

01:12:32.960 anyway um

01:12:34.240 so um looks like uh haiti is going to have some mass migration coming our way

01:12:45.200 and here's my question um you know that we've heard reports that there are cannibals in haiti

01:12:53.440 which by the way i'm not sure is real and if it is real i'm not sure it's more than you know one or two

01:13:01.360 people so i don't think haiti is a big old cannibal country but i'm going to use this story just as a

01:13:08.320 as a mental experiment suppose you knew that three percent of the migrants were going to be cannibals

01:13:18.560 you don't know what three percent but you're pretty sure that you know there's enough cannibals over

01:13:23.680 there that three percent might be would you say that mass migration would be a good idea if uh you

01:13:29.440 didn't know which ones but three percent of them probably cannibals and if three percent is okay

01:13:36.320 and you say yourself you say to yourself well honestly three percent is a low number you know

01:13:41.360 three percent of any population is going to be bad people in one way or another so why would you

01:13:47.440 discriminate against the haitians who really need a hand they're in a bad way uh when when their ratio

01:13:55.120 of cannibals is no worse than anybody's ratio of murderers and whatever and i would say okay that's

01:14:01.360 reasonable you're trying not to be racist and uh i like your argument it's good of you to not be racist

01:14:08.000 but suppose i up that percentage now i tell you it's ten percent cannibals it's not ten percent

01:14:14.720 cannibals we're just doing a mental experiment what if it's ten percent cannibals now do you say well

01:14:21.840 you know what ten percent of people who are in america are not so good either so it'd be kind

01:14:28.560 of racist to say this one group or worse because their ten percent kills people and we got a bunch

01:14:34.160 of people who do bad things too rapists and killers so you know then people start disagreeing at that but

01:14:41.920 what if it's twenty percent what if twenty percent of them were known cannibals yeah we keep talking

01:14:51.280 about yes or no these all these questions should be percentage it shouldn't be yes no keep the southern

01:14:59.360 border open it's not a yes no question how about we say if if we can't certify that the number of people

01:15:07.840 coming in are as safe as the people already here you don't do it i don't know if we could do that

01:15:15.840 is the crime rate to the people coming in better or worse than the ones who are already here

01:15:22.000 if we can't certify that it keeps us at least as safe it seems like that'd be a good reason not to

01:15:26.640 do it all right the her testimony was fun and funny and i watched it way too much yesterday

01:15:32.560 um the republicans and the democrats saw two different movies on one screen the republicans

01:15:38.080 saw this uh that biden was proven guilty and for many decades having all kinds of locations with

01:15:46.800 classified documents he clearly knew it was wrong and he even said it on an audio recording so it's a

01:15:52.960 slam dunk case he's proven guilty and the only reason he wasn't prosecuted is because the prosecutor

01:15:59.440 special prosecutor special counsel whatever he is uh her determined that he was uh that the

01:16:06.960 that he couldn't necessarily convince a jury that biden had intent because biden's too senile

01:16:15.920 now i'm using the word senile her didn't use that but that's the republican version that the crime is

01:16:22.080 there and the only reason he's not being prosecuted is that his brain doesn't work

01:16:26.080 and i believe every republican heard that would you agree do you think every republican has that

01:16:34.320 interpretation i think so but what did the democrats hear they heard that uh biden was exonerated by the

01:16:41.520 report so so they're on television saying saying he's exonerated so what does somebody like cnn do

01:16:50.080 when they knew when they know that biden is just toast but they can't agree with the republicans

01:16:57.040 they know they can't agree with the republicans what they did was they would bring on people who

01:17:02.960 are willing to lie and just didn't challenge it i was i was watching poor anderson cooper he brings on

01:17:10.080 some democrat who just said the most outrageously obviously untrue stuff about it and and he didn't

01:17:17.760 challenge it he just let it stand so the funny part is that the hosts are completely aware of the

01:17:24.640 whole story right it's their job and they know that biden broke the law uh at least in terms of the

01:17:32.320 having the classified information he broke it way more than trump did trump's got the extra

01:17:38.960 the obstructing justice problem that uh biden doesn't have but the the actual testimony and

01:17:48.640 the evidence that her did and even the democrats are saying her looked pretty credible so by the way

01:17:55.200 let me give a compliment to the special counsel um you know i spend so much time just insulting

01:18:01.920 people who are doing bad jobs that i feel like i should stop and say you did a great job am i am i wrong

01:18:11.280 that her really made i think you made the country proud um i don't think that was biased i i i think

01:18:20.240 that both sides have people who are saying yeah this was a serious good job good job you don't get to

01:18:28.480 say that too often good job all right so really appreciate it as a citizen of the country i personally

01:18:34.960 appreciate the good work that her did now um he does her did say very clearly we did not exonerate

01:18:45.440 anybody we don't use that word in the report um but the difference of was he exonerated or was he

01:18:53.760 proven guilty seems to hinge on the reason he was not charged and the democrats are trying to tell you

01:19:01.840 gaslighting you basically that the reason he wasn't charged is they didn't find any evidence of crimes

01:19:07.440 and the real reason he wasn't charged is that not only is he guilty of the crimes but he's also guilty

01:19:12.400 of being fucking retarded so he's basically guilty of two things so her found him guilty of having a

01:19:20.880 defective brain and doing a crime and they're and the democrats are telling their audience that

01:19:28.240 that's exonerated no that's two problems one is you did the crime and you knew it and you knew it

01:19:36.160 everybody agrees he knew it that's not the issue the problem is that the jury would see him as so feeble

01:19:42.720 that they wouldn't get a conviction and there's no point wasting everybody's time

01:19:46.000 so that's the the insufficient evidence that her refers to is there's insufficient evidence that

01:19:55.200 biden knew what he was doing not insufficient evidence that it happened and that it was illegal

01:20:02.560 only insufficient evidence that a jury would believe he understood what he was doing

01:20:08.800 to me that's guilty twice am i counting wrong to me that's guilty twice once guilty of having a bad

01:20:20.320 brain just like we suspected and once guilty of doing a whole bunch of crimes involving classified stuff

01:20:27.440 now there was one little uh point that was fascinating in how two sides see it so apparently

01:20:32.720 there exists an audio recording of biden talking to his biographer and telling the biographer

01:20:38.480 that he went and got some classified documents and he was showing them to him but apparently if the

01:20:44.720 only evidence you have is the audio you can't really know if the document he showed him was classified

01:20:53.040 it might have been sitting next to some classified documents but it could have been in the box they had

01:20:58.080 some classified and some not so when he said it was classified did he know that they were classified

01:21:04.160 or did he just take them out of a box of classified documents but the one he had maybe not so classified

01:21:11.760 now that's the sort of distinction that her is making when he anticipates what a defense would be if it

01:21:18.560 went to court and the defense would be well technically you just heard an audio recording of the people

01:21:24.160 talking well i guess that's true did anybody see this document well no does it say classified on it we

01:21:32.080 don't know he was just talking about it so i agree with her that even though it seems to us

01:21:38.560 that you know it's just a confession on audio how clear could it be i can see how a lawyer could lawyer

01:21:43.920 that away so i actually agree with them that that was a weakness in their ability to get any kind of

01:21:49.920 prosecution uh we do know biden lied when he said i did not share classified information i did not with my

01:21:58.240 ghostwriter well i guess you could still you could argue he didn't lie if you say it's not confirmed

01:22:04.000 that it was really classified it's only confirmed that he said it it's only confirmed that he said it

01:22:10.720 and since he says things that are not true all the time it's a weird defense he says things that are not

01:22:17.680 true all the time all right um so uh did you notice that the fact checkers all disappeared during the her

01:22:29.600 testimony and the coverage can you imagine not having your fact checker checking the facts of all the

01:22:38.160 democrats who just lied on live tv yeah so anyway um so uh representative ken buck of colorado he's

01:22:50.000 gonna resign early he's not even gonna wait for the election and that will make the razor-thin majority

01:22:55.520 of the republicans so it's very risky for him to leave early and he said uh we've taken impeachment

01:23:03.280 we've made it a social media issue as opposed to a constitutional one this place just keeps going

01:23:08.080 down i don't really don't really want to spend my time here hmm so what would you call somebody

01:23:17.200 who becomes part of the system but then but then he rejects it what would be a good name for somebody

01:23:26.880 like that so he's he's uh his name is his actual name is ken buck and he's somebody who can buck the

01:23:38.160 system to leave early i wonder if he'll fly almost united when he goes home yeah he can buck he can

01:23:49.200 buck the system and there he is he's bucking it sure enough well funny willis uh we're gonna get a

01:23:54.560 uh the judge is going to decide whether funny should be removed from the case because of her

01:24:00.400 undisclosed romance were not disclosed accurately romance with the guy who she hired and gave too much

01:24:07.520 money to be the prosecutor now the interesting thing is if she's taken off then it would i guess leave

01:24:16.960 it would leave her jurisdiction and they'd have to find another place to do the trial which is not so easy

01:24:23.360 because most other places might be more rural and have far less resources to do a major thing like

01:24:29.600 this but the other possibility that somehow i just hadn't thought about well it's obvious once once

01:24:35.760 you read it is that another prosecutor could decide not to take the case

01:24:42.960 so the the way that this could end is that uh funny is taken off the case it's you know it's it's

01:24:50.240 presented to another prosecutor and the other prosecutor says you know i don't think there's

01:24:55.040 enough here what happens if it goes to a non-soros funded prosecutor i think it has to go to a soros

01:25:03.600 funded prosecutor or trump walks what do you think so that's an actual possibility

01:25:09.280 uh just another prosecutor will say yeah nah could happen all right ladies and gentlemen that concludes

01:25:18.640 the best live stream of the day i hope you found some value in that i'm going to say uh bye now and um

01:25:26.080 i wonder if i can click off individual let's see if i can do this i want to see if i enclose individual

01:25:32.640 platforms whoa

01:25:42.000 you

01:25:42.080 you

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - March 13, 2024

Episode 2412 CWSA 03⧸13⧸24

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