Episode 2424 CWSA 03⧸25⧸24
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 23 minutes
Words per Minute
145.45758
Summary
In this episode: Elon Musk thinks we need a red wave to save America, string theory isn t working as physics, and the price of food is going up because of rising temperatures. Plus, a new kind of coffee.
Transcript
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and everything. Well, welcome to Coffee with Scott Adams, the highlight of your
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entire existence. If you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even
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really imagine, all you need for that is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or
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a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
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Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure. Dopamine here today thing makes everything
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better. It's called the simultaneous SIP. It happens now. Thanks, Paul. You saved me.
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Ah. Well, that's good stuff. I got lots of little science-y stories and news stories and
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maybe a little bit of a theme. But let's start with this. Elon Musk posted that he voted 100%
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Democrat until a few years ago. And now he says, now I think we need a red wave or America is toast.
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That does seem to be the case. It does seem to be that the political left is so batshit crazy
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that letting them have another four years would be the end of the country, potentially. It does look
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like it's an existential threat. And the existential threat would be batshit crazy women,
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basically. Because if we could do something about the batshit crazy women,
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the rest would take care of itself. You just got to get rid of that one insane group that got too much
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power and we'll be in good shape. But I think a red wave would go a long way to make that happen.
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All right. Here's a post on X that had me laughing for two days because I'm mad that I didn't think
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of it myself. You ever have that situation where somebody makes a good point and you think,
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oh, why didn't I ever say that? That's so smart. Well, Eric Weinstein said this about a string theory.
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He goes, how do you know that string theory isn't working as physics despite expert assurances to the
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contrary? And he says, the answer is, no one at all is in any way worried about the Iranians,
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Russians, or Chinese getting their hands on our cutting edge string theory.
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So how real is string theory if we don't have any concern whatsoever if our rivals get it? Now,
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that doesn't just mean maybe has some potential military value, but at the very least, if it's
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going to be anything useful at all, it would have economic use. But apparently we don't think it has
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any value whatsoever because we don't protect it. Now, why didn't I ever think of that?
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Have you ever thought of that? That there's no security whatsoever on this brand new theory of
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physics? It's probably because nobody believes it's real. Like on some level, they know it's not
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worth protecting, which I think is hilarious. Well, scientists warn in Germany, I guess, that the
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price of food will go up every year from now on and 3% per year. And the problem is that the rising
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temperatures, the rising temperatures will make food prices go up. Can anybody explain how a little
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extra warmth makes it harder to grow crops? Because I always thought that that made your crops more
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abundant. Well, what are they trying to tell us here? That sounds ridiculous to me on the surface,
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because we know that warming is associated with the greening. The only way this would make sense
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is that it simply changes where the greenery is. So maybe there's some places that dry out,
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so they get a little drought, but some other place grows better. Now let me ask you a more important
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question. Do you think they could really measure this? Do you think they can measure the difference in
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food growth just based on temperature? Not just the difference, but how much of the difference
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depends on it being a tenth of a degree warmer this year? Do you think they have that ability? No,
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they don't. No. If you lived in the real world for five minutes, you know that the last thing science
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would be able to do is figure out how the crops are different because of a tenth of a degree difference
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from this year to last year. They can't do that. That's not a real thing. It's like saying that
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they can measure the temperature. I was going to do a little demonstration, but I got lazy.
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In one of my rooms in the house that I don't heat or cool, I just keep the door closed,
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I put two thermometers in there. So one's a digital thermometer and one's a mercury thermometer.
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And every day I go in and check to make sure that I'm getting the right temperature.
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So I use one of the temperatures to check to see if the other temperature is correct.
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Because otherwise, how would I know, right? Let's say the digital one was off.
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How would I know? I might just see a number. So I put right next to it the mercury one.
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So if it's like off a degree, I'll catch it. Do you know what the temperature difference is
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of two thermometers sitting within three inches of each other? Five degrees. Five degrees.
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One of them says 55 degrees. The other says 60. They're right next to each other. So how do I know
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which is right? Well, I know the digital one's not right because I checked it against the mercury one.
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And I know the mercury one is not right because I checked it against the digital one.
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What exactly do they use to check their temperatures when they go do the reading?
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You ever wonder about that? Do you think when they go out to service the machines or to
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check the numbers on them, do they bring a separate device so they can sit next to it
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and then find out if they get the same reading on both devices? Do you think they do that?
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Of course not. Of course not. There's no way in the world we're measuring the temperature of the earth.
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It's like one of the greatest scams of all time. Now, I don't know if the temperature of the earth
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is going up or down or how much people are affecting it. I'm just saying that if we think
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we can measure it, you haven't lived in any kind of real world for a while if you think that.
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Anyway, there's a new study on marijuana that says that daily cannabis use has a 25%
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increased risk of heart attack and a 42% increased risk of stroke.
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Now, just try to hold this in your head. This is a really big effect. Would you agree?
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Rarely do you find a scientific study that will say there's a 25% difference in anything, right?
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That's a really big difference. And that's just for one thing. There's a 42% difference in the risk of stroke.
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Now, those are really big differences. Am I right? So, with differences that big,
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I'll bet you've noticed it in your real life, haven't you? Haven't you noticed all the daily
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marijuana smokers falling over with heart attacks and strokes? I've never heard of one.
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I've never actually heard of one. But let's do another one. We hear fentanyl is bad. Do you know
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anybody who died of fentanyl? Yes. Yes, I do. I do. So, I believe that fentanyl is deadly.
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Let's see. Do you believe anybody has ever died of regular cigarettes and getting lung cancer?
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Yes, my mother. Yeah. Yep. Pretty normal thing. So, I do believe the cigarettes are associated or cause
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lung cancer. But how could I get to my current age and never hear of one example of anybody had a
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health problem with marijuana? So, the first filter is observation versus science. It doesn't
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mean the science is wrong if your observation is different because you can be biased and confirmation
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biased and all that. But if you don't see any correlation between the news that's telling you
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there's this gigantic thing and you're looking around and you've never seen it, it should raise
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the flag. But let me put it in these terms and see if it seems funnier. If it's true that they just
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found a 25% increased risk of heart attack and 40% of stroke from daily marijuana users and we had
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never detected that before. In all of the different marijuana studies, nobody had detected a 25% difference
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or a 42% difference. We've never detected that before. This tells me one of two things. Either science was
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never real until this year. Because really, all the science couldn't find this gigantic difference
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for, what, a hundred years? Nobody noticed this. All those studies came up blank. But this one,
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well, this new one, nailed it. So, either this is the first time science has ever been right
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or this is bullshit. It's one or the other. You have to pick one. Either science has never been
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real until this year. But they finally got it right after all that, all those messes. They finally
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got it right. Or this is bullshit. I'm going to go with this bullshit because that's what I want to
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believe. All right. There's another research that says that Viagra use decreases the risk of
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Alzheimer's by 60%. Again, I ask, if there's a 60% decrease in Alzheimer's from boner pills,
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nobody noticed that until now. Nobody found that correlation. Well, I think there might be a few
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things going on. One is if you, I assume this is based on asking people for their own report.
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So, they don't put a camera in the bedroom of the old folks and say, all right, I saw him taking a
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Viagra. All right. And then I noticed that he was not having any Alzheimer's. No, it's got to be
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self-reported, right? Wouldn't you say? They self-report that they take Viagra and then they either
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self-report or there's some doctor report that says they had Alzheimer's or not. But do you see any
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potential problem with that study? Makes you wonder if people remember they took the, maybe they forgot
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they took the Viagra or they forgot they didn't. I don't know. Doing a study where you're self-reporting
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and the group is, you're checking for Alzheimer's seems like a natural problem. I don't know. Maybe
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they found a way to get around that. But I would say this is a big movement forward in science because
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now, now that we know that the Viagra will help you with your sexual performance as well as your
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mental performance, now a guy my age can bang a woman and also remember her name afterwards.
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Now that's new. So it's a big step forward for science. All right. There's a estimate out of
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the UK that artificial intelligence could take 84% of the government jobs because a lot of the
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government jobs are just pushing paperwork around and stuff. So 84%. I'm going to do you one better.
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I think AI could be the entire government and will be. Actually, I'll make that a prediction.
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It won't happen on day one. But AI will actually be the entire government.
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All you have to do is feed it a little, the constitution, a bunch of case law. It could do it
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all. It could be the judge and jury. It could be the entire legal system. And it could do all your
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paperwork, all your taxes. You shouldn't be able to just show all your information,
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you know, just scan it in and have it do your taxes. Because if it sees all the documents,
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what else does it need? You're not allowed to write anything down. You know, I mean,
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you could tell it, oh, I gave some donations without a receipt or something. But
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think about the cost of our government. Think what it costs to have a government. And then imagine
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you could get rid of all those costs. Because it would just be, you just pick up your phone and
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you're talking to the government. AI is a fad? I don't think so.
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So there is a possibility that the national debt could be paid. It could be, I mean, obviously,
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if we fired all these government employees, that'd be another problem. But it could be that we could
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reduce the cost of government so much that we could pay off the debt. Think about how much we spend just
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to keep government employees. And we don't need them. We might not need any of them. Now I'm going
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to go full Star Trek on you. You ready? I'm going full Star Trek. In the future, all militaries will
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be replaced by AI. Because the AI will accurately figure out who would have won the war. So you won't
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need to do the war. It'll make a war unnecessary. Because it will just tell you who's going to win
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and how long it will take and how many people would die. So instead of the, let's say, Ukraine-Russia
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thing, if they had started gearing up for war, AI would have said, all right, it looks like this will
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probably be some kind of a stalemate situation. But if Russia keeps at it and loses a half a million
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people, they can definitely prevail in the long run, risk of nuclear war, you know, 25%, whatever
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it is. And then everybody looks at it and they go, oh, okay, well, this isn't worth doing.
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Now, obviously, that's super, you know, super, let's say, optimistic. But if you imagine, for example,
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will AI helping us avoid war, then you make it a bigger topic, could it help us avoid war?
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I think it actually could. Because in order to have a war, you almost always have to brainwash
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some member of the public. Am I right? War is usually a brainwashing operation first
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to get the country on its side. I saw a video today of an ex-CIA guy from, I don't know,
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look like the 60s or something, talking in an interview and saying that one of the reasons
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that the CIA does the big narrative, like the big narrative is communists are coming to take
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over the world. We have to stop them everywhere, domino effect. That's not real. That's something
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that the CIA told us. Do you know why? As the agent explained, if you want to take over the country
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of Nicaragua using your CIA, you first have to say that there's the bigger reason that, oh,
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it's part of the dominoes of communism. So we wouldn't really care about one little country
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enough to, you know, care about taking over its government or staging a coup. But if you say,
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oh, it's not really about the little country, it's about the dominoes. When I was a kid,
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we all thought the dominoes was a thing. Oh, this one falls and the others fall. It's a domino
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thing. So you always need the big story. And this will be my theme for today. You need the big
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story that's completely made up in order to sell a war to your own public. Right? So Putin's got the
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big story. That's, you know, NATO's against them and Russia. Russia used to own this stuff.
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Israel's got the big story. You know, their version is they've always been there and, you
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know, blah, blah, blah. That's the big story. So then they can do the little things as long
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as it fits within the big story. Well, what happens if AI tells us the big story is not true?
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Which it would, you know, unless it's completely fake AI. But the AI will say, you know what,
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there's not really any reason for this war. It would make more sense to be allies. I think AI
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would have said, war with Russia? Well, that's crazy. Why don't you just be allies? You could
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make a lot of money. You don't really have anything that you're fighting over. Now, that's not true
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because the war is really about resources. Imagine AI said, why would you have a war when
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all your CIA did a coup in Ukraine and tried to sell it to your own public like it was some natural
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thing? If AI told us as it was happening, oh, this is a CIA op here in Ukraine, you would have a
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completely different opinion than if they said Russia is the big bear on the move trying to recreate
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the Soviet Union. And they're going to start with Ukraine and Poland's next. See, the big story
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is what gives them permission to do the thing they want to do, which is go blow up a pipeline,
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take the oil business or the gas business mostly away from Russia. So if AI could blow up the big
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story, there would be no wars because all the wars are about the big story. They're never about the
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thing that's happening at the moment. It's always about the big story. What happens if the big
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stories all go away? Because they're not real. The big stories are never real. They're all bullshit
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in order to hypnotize the public to go to war. Anyway, so AI could get rid of militaries. It could
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get rid of the government. There's going to be a lot of change coming. Apparently, Trump is in court
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today, something over the Stormy Daniels case. Let's see if I can remember which one of the 91
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indictments in law affairs of Stormy Daniels. Something about his penis. That's all I remember.
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Does anybody remember anything else about that story except I think it involved his penis?
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That's all I remember. So I don't think that one's going to take him down. I don't even know what
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that one's about. But is today the day he's supposed to pay the half a million dollar fines? Or at least
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the 400 something fine? Is today the day? Oh, it's not today? When does he have to pay it? I thought
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it was today. Now, ask yourself, if you were Trump, how would you handle that deadline? Now, he said
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publicly he has the cash. But we don't really think he necessarily does. So we don't know. What would be
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the most Trumpian way to play this? I would like to make a suggestion. I would like the most Trump-like
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thing to do was to keep the mystery until the last minute. So for example, if he did find a way to pay
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it off, don't tell us until you write the check. Make us wonder all the way till the end.
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Just a perfect Trump thing to do. And then it gets better. I want to see a video of him taking a
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checkbook out of his pocket and asking for a pen and asking who he makes the check out to.
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Don't you want to see him ask who to make the check out to? Do I make this out to Letitia James or
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Judge Erdogan? What do I make? Do I just make it out to the Joe Biden, the Democrats? How do you want
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this to go? And then they give him some official name. And then he just writes $450 million.
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And we just have to watch him writing the check. And he writes a personal check for half a billion
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dollars. What a baller thing that would be to write a personal check for half a billion dollars.
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Now, my guess is they won't take a personal check, but it's still really funny. It would be funny to
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have them watch them reject his personal check. Wouldn't you love to see that? You know,
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have them hand it over to some, I don't know, some kind of a court official and have the court
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official look at his personal check and say, do you have identification? Do you have a driver's
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license? And then Trump would be, well, actually, I don't even have a driver's license. I haven't
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driven in years. And then they would say, well, how do I know who you are? Would that be good TV?
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Yes, it would. Pay it in cash. Pay it in pennies, you say. All right, what else is going on?
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ISIS says they're going to release a longer video from the Moscow attacks. How is that possible?
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Now, I don't know all the details of that Moscow attack, but did any of the attackers get away?
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I thought they all got caught. If they all got caught, how could ISIS still have a video that we
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haven't seen? Did they upload it while they were shooting? I doubt it. I think they were busy.
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How in the world could ISIS have another video? Unless it was never ISIS. It was always an op.
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Because if it was an op, yeah, we might have the video. But I can't imagine how the perps could have
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gotten the video from the body cams all the way to some ISIS handler in the hot moments of the
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firefighting. I don't know. Everything about that's suspicious. If I had to put my bet on it, I would
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say it was American CIA trying to make it look like it was ISIS. What do you think? I think it was
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our intelligence people just making it look like ISIS. That's my best guess. I think Putin's right
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about that. But I could be wrong. So 60 Minutes talked to Mexico's president, Obrador. And it was
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asked about all the fentanyl coming from Mexico. And he said, whoa, whoa, whoa. Fentanyl is also made in the
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United States and Canada. So why are you picking on Mexico? And then the pathetic 60 Minutes person
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said, well, you know, according to our officials, most of it comes from Mexico. That's not really
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good enough, is it? If most of it came from Mexico, but we also make it in the United States,
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wouldn't the production just switch to the United States or Canada? So it might be a good point that
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the vast majority of it comes from Mexico, but he might have a point that it wouldn't matter where
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it came from. Now, we assume that, well, I assume that the president of Mexico is essentially an employee
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of the cartel of Mexico. And so, you know, he's going to say whatever's good for keeping the fentanyl
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business going. But related to that, there's a study that finds that the fifth largest employer
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in Mexico is the cartels. The fifth largest business, well, employer, I guess, fifth largest employer
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is the cartels. Now, if your fifth largest employer is the cartels, and you're the president of Mexico,
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Mexico, you can't really get out of the fentanyl business. But more importantly, since I think the
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fentanyl business is largely a partnership between the cartels and U.S. intelligence agencies who find
00:25:41.580
it productive to work with bad guys, it's never going to stop. But here's something that the president
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of Mexico did say helpfully. He said, did you ever notice why there's not a big drug problem in Mexico?
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And I said to myself, wait, what? How could they have access to all the drugs? And yet they don't
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have a drug problem in Mexico? And I thought about it, and I thought, I've never heard of a drug problem
00:26:09.900
in Mexico, have you? And he says that they don't have one because they celebrate their customs,
00:26:16.180
traditions, and they don't have a problem with the disintegration of the family.
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Do you think that's it? Do you think that Mexicans don't do fentanyl because they have good families?
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That seems a little simplistic. I feel like there's something happening there that we should understand.
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Do you think they just drink more alcohol? I don't know. I don't exactly know. Maybe it's cultural.
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Maybe they don't. Maybe if you're struggling, you don't think of fentanyl. Fentanyl to me always seemed like
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the people who were not struggling in life but had to give themselves a problem. You know what I mean?
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A lot of people born to middle-class families, every ability to go to college, get a job,
00:27:06.000
and they have these useless lives that don't make any sense. And then anything makes sense if nothing
00:27:14.000
makes sense. So I can see why maybe the meaningless of life in the United States contributes, whereas
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there might be more meaning if you're working hard every day, you know, breaking your back just to eat,
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and you've got family and religion. That's a lot of meaning. So I would say meaning is probably a big
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part of it, but I don't know how much. All right. So I contend that if either the Mexican government
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wanted to stop the fentanyl trade or the American government, either one, it would have stopped.
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Is that fair? That if either one, and it would only take one, you don't even need the other one
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to agree. If either Mexico wanted to stop it or the U.S. wanted to stop it, it wouldn't look anything
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the way it looks. It would be completely different. So I think we have to assume that it's intentional
00:28:10.960
on the part of our own government as well as Mexico. And so that means that we're probably working
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with the cartels. President of Mexico proposes that we would handle immigration this way. He says the
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U.S. should commit to $20 billion a year to the poor countries in Latin America and the Caribbean.
00:28:29.960
You know, that would keep people home. Lift sanctions on Venezuela, which would allow their
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economy to improve so people would stay home. And end the Cuban embargo. I don't know exactly how
00:28:42.280
that fits into the whole thing. And then legalize law-abiding Mexicans living in the U.S. So
00:28:47.580
basically just make them all citizens, at least the Mexicans he's talking about.
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Well, how do you think of that idea? I don't know. Every time somebody has an idea for what America
00:29:06.480
should do, it's like, well, you start with reaching into your pocket and running up some debt and
00:29:13.520
giving us billions of dollars. All right. Well, I may have said this yesterday, but I think that the
00:29:19.540
squatter situation is the most persuasive thing happening in politics. Anybody want to agree or
00:29:28.180
disagree? That all the video, especially of the squatters taking over people's homes,
00:29:33.940
that's the number one most persuasive thing I've ever seen in politics. I've never seen anything
00:29:40.960
on this level. Because here's what it has. It's got the visual, right? Because we've got videos of
00:29:47.020
the actual homes taking over. You've got fear. Fear is the number one persuader. But the fear of
00:29:54.280
literally criminals taking over your house, that's like really scary. But on top of that,
00:30:01.500
we care more about losing something we had, especially if you worked all your life and it's
00:30:07.280
your main asset in life, your fear of losing the main thing you worked for all your life
00:30:12.780
is just off the chart. It's just off the chart. Now, almost everything else feels like it could be
00:30:20.000
somebody else's problem. Like when I see crime, I do worry that it'll get me too. But I largely watch
00:30:27.800
it as a story about other people. I don't know if you have that experience. If you're not in the
00:30:33.100
middle of the crime, it feels like something happening to other people. But when I see a
00:30:37.240
video of somebody losing their house and how easy it was, that's personal to me. Like I change my
00:30:47.540
vacation plans. Not really, but you know what I mean. I mean, I actually will act differently
00:30:53.040
because of that risk. Yeah. And we see, what state is it? Minnesota or somebody is going to
00:31:03.920
pay people $500 to keep migrants in their house. Just think of that. Which one is that? Let's see.
00:31:11.540
Some stupid state. I can't remember which one. No, not North Korea. All right. One of our stupid
00:31:21.980
states. Oh, here it is, Michigan. So Michigan is going to give $500 a month to homeowners if
00:31:30.320
they let what they call the newcomers or the immigrants, the migrants, live there in their
00:31:35.580
house for $500 a month. So do you see any problem with that? Now, correct me if I'm wrong, but if you
00:31:45.640
bring in a roommate who's a migrant and then you drive your kids to school, the migrant can change
00:31:54.220
the locks on the house and take your house. Am I wrong? I'm right, aren't I? They can move into your
00:32:02.280
house and pay you nothing and change the locks when you go on vacation and then it's their
00:32:06.400
house. I don't know if that works in Michigan, but in, I don't know, 22 states that would work.
00:32:13.880
Just think about how dumb everything is right now. And I'll tell you in a bit why everything
00:32:22.220
is so dumb if you hadn't figured it out. I'll tell you in a minute. All right. A federal
00:32:31.920
judge in DC upheld a law allowing non-citizens to vote in local elections. So the vote has
00:32:40.540
been given to non-citizens in DC. Let me see who that judge is. Oh, it's a batshit crazy
00:32:49.580
liberal white woman. Yep. So, oh, here's a surprise. Somebody doing something that's clearly not in
00:32:58.160
the interest of the United States or any of the citizens. Who would do such a thing? A batshit
00:33:04.820
crazy liberal woman. Yeah. Now, other people might do it, but there's definitely a theme that's hard
00:33:14.580
to miss. James Garville didn't miss it. He says, and I quote, a suspicion of mine is that there are too
00:33:22.880
many preachy females. That would be your batshit crazy females. Don't drink beer. Don't watch
00:33:30.360
football. Don't eat hamburgers. This is not good for you. He said, the message is too feminine,
00:33:35.580
meaning the Democrat message. Everything you're doing is destroying the planet. You've got to eat
00:33:40.360
your peas. And then he goes on. If you, if you listen to democratic elites, NPR is my go-to place for
00:33:51.440
that. The whole talk is about how women and women of color are going to decide this election. And he
00:33:56.860
says, I'm like, well, 48% of the people that vote are males. Do you mind if they have some
00:34:01.900
consideration? That's right. So in the Democrat party is clearly the female party. James Garville
00:34:11.280
is quite aware of it. And part of the problem of having a female party is that there, apparently,
00:34:16.780
there are some tasks that women just can't do. Now, when I say that, does it mean every single woman?
00:34:24.120
Does it mean that Margaret Thatcher can't do it? No, it doesn't mean every woman. It never means
00:34:31.240
every single person. But clearly, we have a problem with crazy, liberal white women.
00:34:39.580
It's crazy, liberal white women. And if you can't say it out loud, you can't fix it.
00:34:43.860
So this is the value of canceled people. Because I'm a canceled person, I can say out loud what
00:34:49.500
you're all thinking. What the hell is wrong with these crazy white women who are doing things that
00:34:53.960
are bad for the country? Somewhat obviously, like really obviously, yeah, the awfuls, as they're called.
00:35:01.240
So let's see. Got that going on. We'll get back to that theme. Mike Cernovich looked at the
00:35:10.780
court ruling about that half a billion dollar fine on Trump. And apparently, if you look into the
00:35:16.280
details, and Mike is qualified to do that, it's way worse than you think. You know how there was no
00:35:25.760
victim? Normally, a fine would be based on the victims. Like, you know, they lost this much
00:35:33.300
allegedly, so you paid them this much, maybe a little extra for whatever. But it would be largely
00:35:39.220
based on what the cost to somebody else was. Do you know what they did in this case? Since there was no
00:35:46.180
victim. They based the size of the fine. I swear to God, I'm not making this up on how much profit he made.
00:35:58.460
Just think about that. They, the fine is based on how much profit he made.
00:36:03.540
Because they said, he wouldn't have deserved that profit, except for the fraud. They had no cost,
00:36:14.880
and everybody involved made money and was happy about it. So they took his profit away.
00:36:19.760
Also, Mike Cernovich points out, they, they negated the severance package between Trump and his former
00:36:27.480
CFO, the guy who also is going to jail. So Trump was okay with the severance package. Trump organization
00:36:34.800
was okay with it. The guy who was going to get it was okay with it. And the judge decided to void it.
00:36:42.520
What? What? How do you void somebody's contract that's completely legal and both sides are happy
00:36:51.340
with it? That happened. You didn't know that detail until Mike Cernovich looked into it.
00:37:01.120
So to me, it looks like just theft by the government. I think Mike said something like that too.
00:37:05.480
And it's, it's, it's, it's, there's, there's no precedent for this. And, and Mike also pointed out
00:37:14.980
that the, the case law used for the precedent didn't even apply. It was just, just a completely
00:37:20.740
made up fine, made up case. Yeah. So there you go. I have a theory about why DEI still persists.
00:37:35.480
Because I do keep running into people online who don't understand why it's a problem.
00:37:42.120
And, and I've decided that I started out thinking it was like a philosophical problem or there's a
00:37:48.640
difference in priorities, something like that. But really the DEI thing is that people who are bad at
00:37:55.560
analysis have a different opinion than the people who are good at analysis and have experience.
00:38:01.220
This is purely a logic question. And I went back and forth with somebody I think is smart,
00:38:08.640
but still couldn't figure it out. So apparently the people on the left believe that it's a demand
00:38:17.400
problem. That if you could get the corporations to try harder to hire people who are in the diverse
00:38:24.560
categories, you get a better outcome and you could do it without lowering the quality of the
00:38:30.000
employees. They actually think that. To which I say, that might work for Google, right? Because
00:38:40.720
Google would be a, you know, or Apple or somebody who are a real first level employer, but they're
00:38:46.080
going to suck up all of the available high quality, diverse people because they want to look diverse.
00:38:52.780
So they're going to suck up everybody who's good. Well, who's left? Every other company is going to have
00:38:58.660
to get some diversity and all the good ones just got sucked up. If there were enough people, it would be
00:39:04.640
great. But there's this imaginary view that there's some magical Negro somewhere who's got high
00:39:12.400
qualifications. By the way, that's based on the movie, The Magical Negro. I'm not, that's not a racial thing I
00:39:18.780
just made up on my own. In movies, there's a thing called The Magical Negro who like solves a problem
00:39:25.920
in the end of the movie in kind of a trite, stereotypical way or something. So that's a movie
00:39:32.120
term. But where was I? Oh, DEI. So people really believe that there's a, there's a demand problem.
00:39:46.420
Have any of you ever worked for a major corporation? They have insatiable demand for
00:39:54.020
diversity. They're looking everywhere for it. They're trying as hard as they can. And even if
00:39:59.340
you changed all the, you know, DEI tomorrow, if you get, if you got rid of all the DEI, they would
00:40:04.640
still try really hard. The reason they have to try so hard is that it's not possible. It's, it's a game
00:40:11.900
in which a few could win, you know, a Google and an Apple, they, they might actually be able to hire
00:40:17.580
enough people of exactly the quality they need. But once you've hired all those people, you end up
00:40:23.680
with a supply problem, which is not enough. And for some reason, that concept of there's not enough,
00:40:32.420
Democrats don't seem to understand that. How do you not understand supply and demand?
00:40:41.160
And the part that they really don't understand is that the managers who have tasks and bonuses that
00:40:48.100
depend on increasing diversity, they are going to hire diverse. They're just going to lower their
00:40:54.160
standards. And, and I swear to God, you can't get anybody to understand that that's not just a risk.
00:41:00.360
It's a guarantee built into the system. If you give somebody the bonus this year, like just a few
00:41:08.760
months from now, based on whether I've hired diverse candidates, I will hire diverse candidates. I will,
00:41:16.720
I will manage to my bonus. And then you say to me, but Scott, in the long run, that's not going to work
00:41:24.480
out for you. Because if you really did lower your standards, your performance of your group you're hiring
00:41:30.220
for would be bad in the long run, and they would just catch up to you. You know what I say to that?
00:41:35.600
Well, if it catches up to me after I get the bonus, I'm going to play for the bonus.
00:41:40.880
That's what I'm going to do. And then next year, I'm going to say, yeah, my project is not finished,
00:41:45.460
but it's not because you forced me to hire people who are less qualified. It's because blah, blah, blah,
00:41:51.340
the supply chain or something. I'll just make up corporate reasons why I'm not done. And I'll just say
00:41:57.140
it wasn't anything to do with diversity, just bad luck. Competitors did better timing, didn't have
00:42:02.880
enough budget, all that stuff. Right? So you, here's the thing that, and I guess this is what
00:42:09.700
people don't understand. In the corporate world, you measure to what you, you manage to what is
00:42:17.020
measurable. And diversity is 100% measurable the way we do it. Is this candidate black? I don't know.
00:42:26.280
Could you make them look black on paper? Well, they've got a little bit of black in there. So
00:42:31.300
yes. So we know how to measure it. So the thing that you can measure is what all managers will
00:42:38.320
manage to. The thing you can't measure is whether or not, if you'd hired differently,
00:42:44.820
you would have gotten a different outcome. You'll never know. So you don't measure to the thing that
00:42:51.720
you don't manage to what can't be measured now or ever. You manage to what can be measured,
00:42:57.580
the diversity level, and you give up everything else to get there. That's the real world. Now,
00:43:04.240
how do people not understand that? How is that a hard concept? I think if you have no experience
00:43:11.420
in the real world as a hiring person, which I've done, if you have no experience, it wouldn't be
00:43:17.560
obvious. Like it doesn't really jump right out at you as that's what would happen. But once someone
00:43:23.580
has explained that there's a limitation in the supply, what do people think happens? Like in the
00:43:32.140
real world, do you think people just miss their goals? Never. You're going to hire whatever gives
00:43:38.980
you that bonus, period. All right. California job growth apparently is the ranks dead last in the
00:43:47.760
U.S. for the first time since 1993. I wonder why California's growth in jobs would be less than
00:43:57.720
every other country. Is there anything we do here in California that would be, let's say,
00:44:04.780
I don't know, negative to humans who live here or businesses? Could it be that we're running out of
00:44:12.840
energy, water, we can't get insurance because of our fires and there's no affordability of housing
00:44:19.120
and all we have is regulations and the highest taxes you've ever seen in your life and it's getting
00:44:24.660
worse and crime everywhere and unchecked immigration? Could it be that when you do all the things that are
00:44:33.180
obviously really bad for business and for human beings that it makes a difference? Yeah. Safety,
00:44:41.200
safety, yeah. Apparently it makes a difference. So I guess you don't get to work at In-N-Out in
00:44:47.100
Oakland because Oakland's too poorly managed to have an In-N-Out. They don't get to have one.
00:44:53.320
The city is too poorly managed. So good job, California. You might know there was a study that
00:45:00.400
showed that the fact checkers are almost entirely left-leaning and super left-leaning. You all knew
00:45:06.500
that, right? So apparently there's not much in the way of conservative fact checkers anywhere.
00:45:12.260
So the fact checkers are all fake. They're there to support Democrats basically. And Michael
00:45:20.060
Schellenberger is talking about this fact checker who got it wrong. The Australian government is
00:45:24.600
demanding that ex-Facebook and other social media companies censor content that its fact checkers say
00:45:30.560
is inaccurate. What? But now one of the government's main fact checker groups has been caught spreading
00:45:37.540
misinformation about renewables and nuclear. So the trouble is that the fact checkers, if you believe
00:45:43.140
that they're real, which they're not, all the fact checkers are fake, that your news is going to
00:45:51.700
follow the fact checkers and you end up doing your nuclear and everything else wrong. So the fact
00:45:57.460
checkers are actually a mortal risk to the existence of civilization. Now, if we had free speech,
00:46:05.000
which largely don't, then the fact checking wouldn't make as much difference because people would check
00:46:11.320
the fact checkers. But if you bubble everybody off so they don't see anybody else's opinion,
00:46:17.000
the fact checkers could be too powerful, which is what's happening now.
00:46:21.700
France has a new terror alert. So France raised its security alert to the highest level
00:46:28.140
following the Moscow attack. Now, do you think that's a fake out?
00:46:42.800
than it was a month ago? Does that seem likely?
00:46:47.100
No. You know what I think is likely? I think that France needs to support the idea that it was
00:46:58.680
some kind of Islamic terrorist. And so they're raising their alerts to make it look like,
00:47:05.760
hey, these Islamic terrorists, they could be coming after us too, Russia.
00:47:35.420
in the next two weeks, I'm going to eat my words.