Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2440 CWSA 04⧸10⧸24

00:00:00.000 better time especially with caffeine if you'd like to take this experience up

00:00:04.320 the levels that nobody can even understand well all you need for that is

00:00:07.920 a cup or a mug or a glass a tankard chalice or stein a canteen jugger

00:00:11.520 flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee

00:00:15.200 and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit of the day

00:00:18.240 the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous

00:00:21.680 sip it happens now go

00:00:25.920 oh god that's good sublime

00:00:31.680 let's jump right into the news

00:00:35.760 well according to the article in the bbc retiring in your 60s is becoming an impossible

00:00:44.400 thing and 75 is a new 65 and people are gonna work longer is that a good thing or a bad thing

00:00:52.080 you tell me suppose people start retiring at 75 instead of 65

00:00:59.440 good for the world or bad for the world i say good i say good because there are several things

00:01:06.160 behind that number one uh everybody knows that people retire and do nothing and to tend to die

00:01:12.880 and if your brain is inactive you get your alzheimer's faster and basically it's really unhealthy for people to retire

00:01:22.800 now when i say retire i think retirement means a different thing than it used to because i consider

00:01:29.360 myself retired right now

00:01:32.960 i work out of 65 hours a week or something but i consider myself retired because close to a hundred

00:01:40.880 percent of what i do is my choice you don't have to do any of it so if you're doing what you want

00:01:47.600 to do it's a completely different experience that you know work is not work when you want to be there

00:01:53.840 so if you can manage to build up at least enough assets so that when you're over 60 you're doing

00:02:01.120 something that you like instead of something you can't stand then i'd say working is better than not

00:02:06.160 working i mean i'm the perfect example i have every ability to completely retire and sit on the beach

00:02:13.600 and when i think about it i think oh imagine myself on the beach i'm in maui and the sun is warm and i've got

00:02:22.720 the sand in my toes and has it been five minutes because i'm really bored i can't just sit in the sun

00:02:29.520 on a pile of dirt all afternoon i have to do something useful or i'm not going to feel good

00:02:35.920 by the time i go to bed so much rather be doing this than being on the beach frankly

00:02:42.720 well just in the u.s inflation rates are not as good as we expected this being called hot

00:02:49.440 the inflation rate is hot it's hot it doesn't look that much worse increased to 3.8 compared to a

00:02:57.280 forecast of 3.7 um u.s cpi annual inflation rate is 3.5 above expectations 3.4 i mean directionally it's

00:03:08.480 the wrong it's the wrong direction but it's not like a catastrophe yeah here's another question for

00:03:17.280 you are we better off with more inflation or less it seems obvious you want less inflation right but is

00:03:25.840 it if you have a crushing national debt how are you going to get rid of it without inflating it away

00:03:33.920 inflation is the only possibility of survival if we didn't have inflation we could not survive

00:03:39.760 the the math just doesn't work now here's a question i ask about our uh budget death spiral

00:03:48.400 can anybody answer this question off the top of your head and if you can't ask yourself why

00:03:55.840 i'm gonna i'm gonna say do you know the most important number in the whole world and you're

00:04:00.800 not going to know the answer i'll bet nobody knows the number one most important number to understand if

00:04:07.520 we will survive as a species

00:04:11.680 hypothetically what percentage would america need to reduce its annual budget to have a chance of surviving

00:04:19.600 the debt what percentage three percent or 40 percent people are saying 42 you act like you know it

00:04:32.320 i'm seeing the number 42 go by a lot now i don't uh now remember you don't have to get to the point

00:04:39.440 where the debt is zero and you don't have to get to the point where the where the debt doesn't grow

00:04:44.560 you do have to get to the point where the you know the economy is growing faster a lot of people are

00:04:52.080 saying 40 percent if it's 40 we don't have a chance of survival you know that right

00:05:00.240 if the only way we could survive is by cutting the budget of 40 we're already dead

00:05:06.480 that's not recoverable that's way too much but you're probably doing the math wrong here's what i think

00:05:12.560 you're doing i think you're saying we're spending way more than we bring in taxes in a given year

00:05:20.240 that's not exactly what you need to measure what you need to measure is the growth rate

00:05:26.400 or reduction rate of the total debt that's the that's the thing you got to look at

00:05:33.440 so if you can reduce the total debt with let's say a four percent inflation

00:05:38.400 and then you've also got more growth that reduces how much you have to reduce your budget right so

00:05:46.800 if your budget just stayed flat but you were inflating away the uh but well you'd be inflating

00:05:54.000 away your budget as well as your debt but you would also maybe not adding so much so that the math of it

00:06:00.640 is actually confusing it's not straightforward at all so probably i'm just gonna give you my eyeball

00:06:10.400 sense of things just a sense of it probably something like every part of the budget has

00:06:16.160 to be cut by 10 percent something like that now that now you'd say to yourself but scott that's not

00:06:22.480 nearly enough to which i'd say you have to consider all the other effects and then you might be getting

00:06:27.920 close to at least keeping it flat if you keep it flat you could probably survive it so i'd love to

00:06:34.240 know that number because if the number really is 40 that you would have to reduce the budget 40 percent

00:06:40.080 to survive we're not going to do that we're not going to do that but if the answer is if you cut

00:06:46.800 everything by 10 percent and maybe one percent a year after that for a while or something like that

00:06:52.320 you could you could make that work you would take robots and all kinds of gdp growth but you can make

00:06:59.680 it work so i think it's in that range 10 but i don't know well there's a another study of mental health

00:07:10.560 and kids i think politico was talking about this talk to a bunch of uh politico was reporting talk to a

00:07:17.520 bunch of mental health experts to figure out what it is that's causing young people to have mental

00:07:24.080 health issues here's what the expert said they think it's social media social isolation external

00:07:31.520 events such as school shootings climate change war and political instability and they also said

00:07:38.720 lack of independent skills missing developmental milestones because the pandemic and pressure to be

00:07:44.720 perfect and family instability that's what the experts said that's what the expert said can you

00:07:53.120 name anything on that list that the expert said that wasn't obvious to you is there even one thing that

00:07:59.040 they said that you didn't already know that's crazy these are experts they got nothing for us

00:08:06.880 nothing yeah and they left out food right so basically the non-expert who said in the comments

00:08:13.760 what about food gave a better answer than the experts if you leave food out of this equation

00:08:20.560 what kind of expert are you food is like right it's got to be in the top five you know it might

00:08:26.960 be top one we don't know i mean i think social media is number one our phones in general uh pandemic's

00:08:34.400 probably number two but food has got to be right up there i mean every indication is that your mental

00:08:40.480 health is directly related to your your diet more on that later well apparently there's an effort to

00:08:49.680 figure out who the big persuaders are in the social media landscape now you probably know if you listen to me

00:08:58.240 um then mike benz has reported how the intelligence people and their foreign entity their entities that

00:09:06.480 are non-governmental figured out some kind of big censorship map where they can figure out who's

00:09:13.040 connected to who so they can figure out if somebody like say alex jones is saying something they can map

00:09:19.840 where that message is going to go and then from there where it would go so it's sort of a multi-jump map

00:09:26.320 of how messaging works on the internet the idea was that they would use it for censorship

00:09:31.680 so they would know who was having the biggest impact and then they would just say well conveniently

00:09:37.680 we think that's not true so we'd better censor you and then they could do it very well because

00:09:42.720 they know exactly what nodes to turn off and on but that would be looking primarily at numbers

00:09:49.120 so that method says oh this is a big account connected to lots of people so they map that out

00:09:56.640 and it looks like that path of influence is like the big one because it goes through larger accounts

00:10:02.960 however this newer technique is looking at the personalities of the individuals getting down to

00:10:09.840 really understanding people uh given data that we know about people and i think it's looking for

00:10:17.840 the super spreaders or the people who are the most persuasive so independent of how many followers they

00:10:24.560 have people have different you know batting averages in other words some people will bat much higher than

00:10:31.520 their their user count so this new way would pick that up does that sound familiar has anybody read a book

00:10:39.600 that i may have written in which it predicted that someday in the future

00:10:43.840 this book written in 2003 i think predicted that just about now because the it predicted this future

00:10:52.320 that just about now the government would have figured out how to find the prime influencer

00:10:58.960 now in the book which is fiction it's called the religion war it's canceled but it's coming back this

00:11:04.560 summer it's going to be reintroduced as part of a god's debris trilogy the trilogy is really 2.1 books

00:11:11.600 because there's a short story that's new that makes it three entities we're putting them together

00:11:16.880 and reissuing because the religion war and god's debris were both canceled canceled but they're coming

00:11:23.600 back can't be stopped anyway and uh and one of the key really one of the most important parts of the

00:11:30.160 religion war is the prediction that we would be able to do exactly this find out who was the persuaders 0.92

00:11:37.600 without maybe even those people knowing it now here's my theory in the real world

00:11:45.440 i suspect that some things start in multiple places at the same time you ever see a new story

00:11:52.640 and your first thought about it is oh this is the frame i'll put it in or this is the way i'll understand

00:11:58.080 it then you find out everybody else is doing the same thing so there's some things that we all just

00:12:03.600 sort of see at the same time that's different but there are other things that i'm completely convinced

00:12:09.600 start with one person actually literally one person out of the billions of human beings that one person

00:12:17.920 puts it in a certain way maybe it influences a bigger account and then it goes from there now i don't think it's the

00:12:26.480 same one person who influences every decision but i've got this feeling that literally one person

00:12:34.800 is a common way that um memes and narratives form literally one person now do you think that there are

00:12:46.880 say a handful of people who are in the world who are more responsible for the narratives

00:12:53.440 than you could imagine and maybe they're not even famous they might even be behind the scenes

00:12:58.400 but do you think that that's viable or a possibility that there are a handful of people who are not just

00:13:05.440 world leaders and have power and money but have specific skill to change the world through persuasion

00:13:12.000 do you think that's the thing in the real world

00:13:19.600 well if you don't good

00:13:25.760 because that that's how persuaders hide in plain sight because you don't believe it's possible

00:13:32.080 that well one of the things about being a hypnotist is you can literally tell people what you're doing

00:13:37.040 it doesn't make any difference has no no impact on your effectiveness you can say i am now hypnotizing

00:13:44.080 you and people will say uh-huh yep oh look at me i'm so hypnotized go ahead mr hypnotist try your best oh

00:13:51.920 i'm so hypnotized and then they're hypnotized anyway so it's a fiction predicts reality once again we're

00:14:02.880 going to look for the prime influencers uh does that worry you that somebody will make a map of the

00:14:09.040 prime influencers it should because the prime influencers who are undetected are the only ones

00:14:16.080 giving you any freedom right now it's the only counterforce because the government has the power

00:14:22.640 to basically clamp down and everything the only thing they can't clamp down on is

00:14:27.760 fill in the blank what's the one thing that a government can't clamp down on

00:14:40.640 something you can't find if you can't find it it's it's helpless and right now it can't find it don't

00:14:47.360 you think that the reason they're trying to find the prime influencers is because they don't know who they

00:14:52.240 are they wouldn't be looking for them if they knew who they were they actually can't figure out who's

00:14:59.040 influencing but if they find us i mean people

00:15:07.680 then it's going to be a whole different game and the people who are influential probably going to go to

00:15:13.520 jail on trumped up charges probably because they're going to have to take them off the field alex jones

00:15:20.240 style we'll talk about that well there's a new survey that says that climate change is

00:15:28.800 only the most important thing to two percent of the people only two percent see biden's green agenda

00:15:37.120 as the top issue while a quarter of the people see the border is the top concern well i'm not going to

00:15:42.320 make fun of the fact that 25 think the border is top concern because it's a survey with lots of

00:15:48.400 different choices and that just happened to be the biggest one so uh let me think could it be possible

00:15:56.240 that there's such a thing as a prime influencer like one person literally one person who could change the

00:16:03.760 entire narrative from uh climate change being the existential threat to really maybe that's not so much

00:16:12.480 of a threat but migration is a key threat who would be a prime influencer on that trump

00:16:22.400 now you let elon musk you know is certainly a big part of the things but elon is not anti

00:16:30.400 climate crisis i think he's just you know a reasonable voice in that sphere

00:16:34.800 i would say this is trump this looks like one person this poll looks like the effect of one

00:16:43.520 insanely persuasive person trump mostly now you would say to yourself but but but scott

00:16:50.640 what about all the other people who also say similar things to which i say probably because of trump

00:16:57.520 right yeah it's safe to say what he says because he's already said it it's safe for you to say i'm not

00:17:03.760 sure these climate models are good if i've already said it and i didn't die so i i get to test it out

00:17:09.760 for you can i say this without getting canceled and then you can watch okay so yeah i think the

00:17:17.120 government's gonna figure out who's behind a gigantic shift like that from climate to border

00:17:24.960 now some of it might be just reality too we see a lot of images of the border and climate is less

00:17:30.320 visual unless you make up stuff like this hurricane was caused by

00:17:36.400 all right um

00:17:39.520 biden says he's looking into as people are looking into whether he has the power by himself

00:17:44.400 to shut the u.s border down yeah he's we're examining whether or not i have that power biden said

00:17:51.280 uh no guarantee all right let me explain this

00:17:58.240 let me give you a little lesson on leadership when um china originally got the coven virus

00:18:06.880 and we didn't know what we're dealing with and we thought um wouldn't it be good to

00:18:13.040 maybe keep that out of america until we figure out how bad it is you know because we didn't know

00:18:18.080 in day one we saw scary pictures and then trump uh fairly soon after closed to travel now we can

00:18:26.000 argue whether it was closed enough but for for my purposes he uh made a big difference at least in

00:18:32.720 terms of the traffic and was it legal was it legal to close traffic i don't know but was it the right

00:18:41.280 decision yes of course yes so the right decision if you're the leader is you stop the danger immediately

00:18:50.240 you stop the danger and then you figure out if you did it legally that's the order of things

00:18:58.080 that's what leadership is the the whole point of a commander-in-chief is we say you know what

00:19:04.320 there are going to be situations where you have to act fast and then we'll debate it later

00:19:08.480 but we're going to elect you to make the dangerous important decision fast and then we'll talk about

00:19:16.960 it and we you know we hope that you did things as legally as possible but as long as as long as

00:19:22.640 you're on our side as long as it's well-intentioned you did your homework we're going to back you

00:19:30.480 even if you bent the rules a little bit because we want to be safe and we asked you to keep us safe and

00:19:36.240 we don't want to handicap you so do what makes us safe and then we'll talk about it after whether

00:19:41.520 that was the right thing to do but make us safe first

00:19:46.960 who would get that right trump would trump would get that right every time

00:19:51.520 he would say well close the border we'll figure out if that was illegal after the fact

00:19:56.480 you know it's because it's not permanent if it's not permanent and none of this is permanent

00:20:02.320 do it first debate it second that's the way it works that's basic leadership that's leadership 101

00:20:10.800 it's literally not leadership if you're waiting for your lawyers and the public to weigh in

00:20:16.320 oh what's the what did the polls say am i going to lose the election uh what did my lawyers say what

00:20:22.240 does congress say oh that's wrong first you do it and then you let everybody talk about it after we're

00:20:29.440 safer safer than we were

00:20:33.840 it's amazing to me that that's not obvious to voters there's a complete abdication of leadership

00:20:39.760 complete abdication of leadership there's no leadership in that that is followership we didn't

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00:21:47.680 play responsibly all right the ap associated presses uh did some kind of a survey about uh journalists who

00:21:57.360 use ai already it says nearly 70 of newsroom staffers are using ai for different things backgrounds and

00:22:05.360 uh you know maybe for posts on social media and stuff uh one-fifth said they'd use generative ai for

00:22:12.400 multimedia to create graphics etc now here's an interesting question what part of the news

00:22:21.120 is the human doing now at the moment it's still mostly the human using ai as a tool but what exactly is

00:22:31.360 a human adding to the process if you took them completely out of the process what would it look

00:22:37.280 like because the only thing i can think of that the humans at the associated press are adding to what ai

00:22:44.640 could do generating news is the lies the lies are the only thing the humans could add

00:22:54.160 because i i don't know how much reporting the ap is doing you know on its own versus looking at other

00:23:00.080 stuff and reporting on it because a lot of this reporting is just looking at press releases and then

00:23:05.040 writing up the story from the press release or you look at how some other news entity covered something

00:23:10.000 then you talk about how the news covered it i don't think too many of these journalists are going

00:23:15.360 in the field and doing original reporting and if they did is there anything that ai couldn't do

00:23:22.480 ai can make a phone call ai can have a conversation ai can poll people it can ask for opinions it can

00:23:29.840 tabulate them summarize them what exactly is a human doing literally the human is adding the lying

00:23:36.640 that's what they're adding the narrative so the narrative is also the lying you know it's lying

00:23:42.320 by narrative or lying but what you leave out so the human is going to have to come in and remove the

00:23:47.120 context because the ai will be tempted to add context well some people say this and other people

00:23:53.280 say that so the human's got to get rid of the some people say no no no the narrative does not support

00:24:00.160 both sides so get rid of the both side stuff yeah the human literally is only for the lying 0.84

00:24:06.640 speaking of lying you you know the story of the npr editor who admitted the npr didn't they actually

00:24:15.280 left their business as being a news entity when trump uh got in the race uh or got elected i guess

00:24:22.720 and they became an anti-trump organization with no regard to what was true

00:24:28.480 that actually happened in the real world it's exactly what it looked like we all saw it but now

00:24:37.200 an insider an actual editor from npr is saying everybody that's true they just became a bigoted biased

00:24:44.480 propaganda network they completely abandoned their responsibility to the public because they thought

00:24:49.520 there was a bigger responsibility they they came to believe that trump was hitler and they

00:24:56.240 couldn't just do their journalist job they had to they had to kill hill or yeah so npr uh so how did that

00:25:05.200 strategy work with npr let's check in on their numbers let's say in 2022 they had 45 million views

00:25:15.920 on the radio show i think um 45 million wow that's doing pretty good how'd they do two years later uh once

00:25:24.480 people knew that they had lied about everything so they've gone from 45 million views in 2022 to 2024

00:25:32.400 now around 14 14 14 from 45 two years ago do you think people noticed that it's not real news 0.97

00:25:45.280 and therefore they didn't need it whatsoever did they notice it was just screechy bullshit did they 0.97

00:25:51.520 they notice it was a lot of mentally ill women who got radio shows they probably did now some of it 0.99

00:25:57.680 might be that you know social media is more interesting or whatever but yeah it turns out the npr

00:26:03.520 literally turned from a news industry into or news business into a propaganda business and during at least

00:26:10.880 the second half of that they dropped almost all of their business they're basically on the way of

00:26:18.320 going out of business if you can call it business

00:26:24.640 and the question i wonder is now the npr is admitted being fake news and there's no question

00:26:31.360 that this happened to all of the other left-leaning entities can can we agree and by the way if you were

00:26:38.720 to look at a list of objective um news because everyone every once in a while somebody will say

00:26:44.960 we looked at which news entities are the most objective and they say oh this one on the right

00:26:50.480 is so right-leaning and yes we admit this one on the left is pretty left but at least you've got npr

00:26:56.720 right in the middle huh am i am i imagining that i actually heard that that people rating the bias of

00:27:05.360 news entities put npr like solidly in the middle i think i've seen that right i'm not i'm not imagining

00:27:12.080 that that that the other news the other fake news told us that npr was a good one it was never true

00:27:20.640 and and anybody who listened to it who had any sense of what was real who knew it i mean it was just

00:27:27.440 screamingly obvious that it was a completely corrupt organization and they'd abandoned the news business a long time ago

00:27:34.400 anyway um so are democrats noticing i doubt it do you think democrats saw that story that found out one

00:27:45.360 of their favorite news sources was completely fake for years no but they are not familiar with that

00:27:52.400 story do you think do you think that story got surfaced on all their facebook posts do you think all the

00:27:58.080 left-leaning women caught that story nope nope you saw it because you already agreed with it nobody else 1.00

00:28:05.920 is going to see it siloed i saw a post from heidi brionis who has a very clever um clever x account

00:28:17.840 lots of good posts there good follow a good follow heidi brionis and she said today in the post most psych

00:28:25.280 majors and true crime true crime fans are women for one simple reason we're crazy 1.00

00:28:33.440 has anybody ever noticed that psych majors are generally people looking to fix their own problems

00:28:40.640 almost always i've never seen anybody who was perfectly mentally healthy who wanted to go into

00:28:46.320 the psychology business i've never seen it it's people who have their own problems and from it they

00:28:52.000 think they've learned something or could learn more want to help people are in the same situation but

00:28:57.040 basically it's the the business the job that attracts the people the most people who would

00:29:05.040 self-assess as having mental problems

00:29:08.960 but what about this true crime stuff how many how many of you men have been in a relationship

00:29:15.520 where your female partner was obsessed with true crime shows and you looked at and said you know

00:29:23.120 what why do i want to expose myself to this how many minutes of my life should i be looking at horrible

00:29:31.680 you know crimes and all the details of them and you think to yourself what is wrong with you that you

00:29:38.560 find this entertaining i'm deeply disturbed by the fact that of all the things you could watch

00:29:45.840 while i'm strumming through reels on instagram of kittens hugging dogs literally i spend some part of

00:29:54.480 every day scrolling through instagram which has now quite lovingly served up a non-stop

00:30:02.000 trail of cats hugging dogs can't get enough i cannot get enough of cats hugging dogs i will watch that all day long

00:30:11.680 you know what i won't watch true crime now just wait a year and i've spent a year looking at cats hugging dogs

00:30:20.720 and let's say somebody chosen randomly a woman has spent her time uh watching a non-stop true crime tv shows

00:30:29.680 and tv shows that make you cry and feel terrible who's going to be in better shape at the end of the 0.94

00:30:38.800 year me watching kittens hug dogs all day long or a crazy woman who's probably going to become a 0.71

00:30:45.680 psychology major to figure out what the hell's wrong with herself anyway i bring that this up because the 0.99

00:30:52.640 the uh the theme that uh women are crazy not all of them by the way i i feel terrible that i have to 0.99

00:31:00.400 even say this can we do this like an idiot again all right here let me leave here here's a special 1.00

00:31:08.400 announcement for the idiots who are listening now most of you are not idiots so you can talk among 1.00

00:31:13.280 yourselves this is just for the dumbest people when i talk about something about women i never mean all 1.00

00:31:21.440 women and when i'm talking about women being batshit crazy i'm mostly talking about left-leaning 1.00

00:31:29.600 liberal women so if you're not one of those and you're not crazy i'm not talking about you 1.00

00:31:36.560 but it's time that we're just being open about the fact we have a massive problem of mentally ill women 0.99

00:31:43.440 and it's not just a massive problem because they are victims of whatever the hell is going on 0.98

00:31:48.240 in the society that's making them crazy but they're also in charge they have the power in 0.99

00:31:54.640 the democrat party which has a majority and it's a it's an existential threat batshit crazy women 1.00

00:32:02.800 is the biggest existential threat because it sits above every one of our problems every one of our 0.97

00:32:08.640 problems we can't work on it because there's somebody who's batshit crazy stopping you from fixing it 0.98

00:32:13.760 and it's the same group of people over and over again batshit crazy women 0.98

00:32:19.520 until you can say it out loud you can never fix it so that's the service that i'm presenting to you 0.94

00:32:25.520 um i've got i've got enough arrows in my back that any of the new arrows are just going to hit the other

00:32:30.160 arrows kind of invulnerable at this point all right now in a shocking twist that you will not expect

00:32:38.160 i'm going to debunk a host a hoax about the view host sunny hoston you're gonna have to put up with

00:32:47.440 this you're not gonna like it you know that i've debunked the fine people hoax and the drinking bleach

00:32:55.040 hoax from president trump and you know that i've told you exactly how those hoaxes are created

00:33:00.720 by taking something out of context and just leaving out the context right and i've described

00:33:09.200 them in detail and i've told you how terrible it is that the news creates these hoaxes well the same

00:33:15.280 thing happened to sunny hoston so the people on the right can no longer say that they are innocent of

00:33:21.040 this behavior and i'm not going to name names but a number of people believe that sunny hoston said on

00:33:27.280 live tv they believe this happened that she that they believe she said the eclipse might be caused

00:33:35.680 by climate change now that was the story yesterday and it was going around social media and clips were

00:33:41.920 shown so you could look at the clip yourself and you could see her doing it right how many of you saw

00:33:47.760 the clip and say to yourself why i saw it i don't know what you're talking about i saw it myself i i saw

00:33:53.600 every bit of that how many of you think you saw it right so a lot of you yeah so you're saying she

00:34:02.000 did say it she did say it now do you remember what happens when i debunk the fine people hoax in front

00:34:08.720 of a democrat what do they say but scott he did say it i heard it what happens when i debunk the uh drinking

00:34:17.280 bleach hoax and a democrat hears me do it they say uh scott i i heard it with my own ears i you know

00:34:26.480 you can't tell me it didn't happen stop gaslighting me what happened when i told you that this is an

00:34:31.600 obvious hoax i'm going to tell you exactly how it was done i'm going to tell you what they left out

00:34:36.240 to fool you and you'll still see in the comments but i saw it myself i heard it myself

00:34:44.000 so watch how persuasion is not you know it's not limited to one side and i do this because this is

00:34:53.520 why you watch my show the reason you watch my show is that i'm not going to just take the side

00:35:00.000 because it's the side saudi hostin who i generally disagree with on almost everything is a victim of a

00:35:07.920 hoax and i'm now going to defend her completely because this isn't cool that's not cool i'm not

00:35:16.400 i don't want to be on the team that's hoaxing the other side not cool now i'm very much in favor of

00:35:21.520 winning at all costs i think winning is important but she's not running for office she's just a 0.99

00:35:28.720 commentator so i'm going to surprise you here's what actually happened there were two contexts she

00:35:35.360 started out joking about it the sign of the end times now when you're talking about the sign of

00:35:41.760 the end times and you're sort of jokingly talking about it is that serious do you think she actually

00:35:48.000 believed that the she named the eclipse earthquakes and cicadas happening at the same time as maybe

00:35:56.240 signs of the end times but very obviously it was in a joking context would you agree with me so far

00:36:03.120 that when she mentioned end times that she did mention those three categories earthquakes cicadas

00:36:09.920 and eclipses and that she did say wow it feels like the end times you all heard that part that she

00:36:17.200 definitely said that now here's the part you missed because it's taken out of context then the context

00:36:24.240 switched and switched to um climate change and then when she talked about climate change she she sort of

00:36:33.840 wondered out loud um if earthquakes and cicadas could be maybe there's a climate change effect

00:36:42.640 so really big she's a big old dummy right because who would really think that earthquakes are caused by 0.97

00:36:49.360 climate change like that's just sort of stupid right or who would think that maybe the the insect world 0.99

00:36:56.320 could be greatly affected by climate change just kind of dumb right is it dumb google it if you google 0.99

00:37:05.200 does climate change affect earthquakes the answer is yes according to google the answer is yes 0.82

00:37:11.920 that it's that it's very plausible i'm not saying it's true i'm saying that google says it's true

00:37:18.480 that it's plausible plausible just plausible that climate change could affect earthquakes

00:37:26.400 they also say that climate change absolutely could have a gigantic effect on insects

00:37:34.240 now it might be a negative effect whereas the cicadas would be you know there's a lot of cicadas

00:37:39.040 that's sort of the opposite now i ask you this is it crazy to wonder out loud if you believe in

00:37:47.360 climate change now you could argue that you know that that's crazy too but i don't think i don't think

00:37:53.200 believing in climate change is crazy that's not crazy it might be wrong it might be alarmist but if it

00:38:01.520 agrees with most of the scientists even if i think they're wrong it's not crazy right i i don't think

00:38:08.480 people are suffering mental illness because they believe the scientists i just think scientists are 0.78

00:38:14.400 probably a little hyperbolic and you know they're making money and stuff but they're not crazy it's

00:38:21.520 just something they believe that may or may not be true but here's the key when she talked about

00:38:26.960 climate change that was a change from the end times thing and she did not mention in that context

00:38:34.160 the eclipse if she had said i wonder if the eclipse is caused by climate change i would say oh my god 0.99

00:38:40.800 that's a dumb person that's a dumb person but if she said maybe the earthquakes and the cicadas 0.99

00:38:48.080 have something to do with climate change she knew more than you did she knew more than you did 1.00

00:38:53.520 those are real actual conversations now there is no connection between the cicadas and and the climate

00:39:00.560 climate change that i know of but if you were not a cicada expert and it became very clear that she

00:39:06.480 didn't know the whole cicada situation just that they were coming uh she didn't i don't think she knew

00:39:11.520 that it was on the 17 year schedule and there were two different kinds and by coincidence there are

00:39:16.720 different schedules who didn't line up so it'd be worse this year now if you didn't know that

00:39:20.640 and you know why would you expect she's clicking on the bug stories right yeah it's easy to imagine

00:39:28.960 that you see a headline about a lot of bugs are coming and you don't want to click on it it's like

00:39:34.160 okay bugs are coming got it don't need to know the details um so i would say that uh she was right on

00:39:42.560 point for not only her joke about the sign of the end times perfectly good joking uh that uh

00:39:50.560 earthquakes and eclipses and cicadas happening at the same time is just kind of funny

00:39:56.160 coincidence and then when she talked about climate change she accurately picked two items earthquakes and

00:40:02.640 bugs that uh real serious scientists say could be greatly affected by climate change and so ladies and

00:40:10.240 gentlemen i submit to you that uh sunny hoston was a little bit smarter than you and a little bit 0.83

00:40:17.840 more clever than you and a little bit more funny than you and does not deserve any uh any mocking for 0.96

00:40:25.120 this particular comment however may i join you and link hands by saying she says some really bad and dumb 0.97

00:40:32.560 things about trump but at least that's done under the cover of you know pure uh pure let's say um democrat 0.93

00:40:44.000 propaganda so when the view is talking about oh trump is the devil we all kind of know where that's

00:40:51.280 coming from that it's political you know you don't take it too seriously but when she's talking about this

00:40:57.200 i think i think her opinion was not only funny and entertaining which is her job but she was pretty

00:41:06.160 close to the scientific consensus whether that's true or not all right how did you take that everybody

00:41:15.920 okay so here's what you should be feeling if you thought that story was true you should be feeling some discomfort

00:41:28.000 and some of you are just going to reject it and say no i heard it scott i heard it and and then other

00:41:33.760 people said to me because i brought this up in my man cave other people said to me but scott uh joy behar 0.99

00:41:41.360 and um whoopee also heard the same thing you heard because they tried to correct her to explain like an idiot 1.00

00:41:51.280 would explain uh the eclipse uh the eclipse is just sort of something we knew was coming for 0.53

00:41:58.400 100 years and it's not related to climate change so because whoopee thought that that uh sunny hoston

00:42:08.000 was talking about the eclipse should you believe that sunny hoston was talking about the eclipse

00:42:14.000 no because what happened was whoopee and joy behar heard what you heard they misheard and they didn't

00:42:21.760 notice she had changed context from talking about the funny end times thing to climate change which was

00:42:29.360 you know more of a factual conversation so they also were fooled don't use whoopee or joy behar as your

00:42:36.960 source for why you're right that's not good thinking they're a terrible source for what is a good

00:42:44.000 interpretation of what anybody said in fact they're among the worst all day long they misinterpret trump

00:42:50.880 for a job misinterpreting things is primarily what they do it's almost their entire business model

00:42:59.680 all right uh the mckinsey consulting company is said it was going to pay some of its employees to not

00:43:05.760 work for nine months uh and look for another job they're going to pay them to not work what's that called

00:43:14.240 is that sort of like

00:43:20.240 sort of like they're fired

00:43:23.440 don't we usually call that you're fired but it's nice that they gave them nine months to find another

00:43:28.720 job but you're still just fired and here's the embarrassing thing if you're mckinsey and you're a

00:43:37.680 consulting firm uh why didn't you see this coming their their job is to tell businesses how to be

00:43:45.200 healthy businesses and how to have a strategy that works it's a little bit embarrassing if they start

00:43:50.720 firing their own employees a little bit embarrassing because it means they they grew too fast or they

00:43:56.720 didn't read the room right or or their model wasn't working or something because they they outgrew their

00:44:03.920 business so would you hire somebody to tell you how to run your business if you knew they had changed

00:44:12.080 we're firing people because we have too many into well it's more like we're paying them to look for

00:44:16.720 other jobs don't say we're firing them that looked like a mistake no no no we're so progressive we're

00:44:24.240 going to pay them to look for better jobs mckinsey consulting here's my favorite story of the day

00:44:32.160 terrible as it is you've heard of craft lunchables it's a it's a little package of lunch like food

00:44:40.880 with some meat and cheese and stuff in there and it's a popular kid snack now

00:44:49.760 turns out that consumer reports looked into them the store-bought versions because they have store-bought

00:44:55.360 and they have school versions the store-bought versions uh which are made by craft heinz

00:45:03.520 found relatively high levels of lead and cadmium now there's no there's no level of lead that's

00:45:12.160 anything except bad for children

00:45:16.800 so what do you think of the psychologists who didn't mention food

00:45:21.440 does that feel a little more relevant at the moment that you know that one of the most popular foods

00:45:29.440 for kids has lead in it and we're pretty sure that lead is not good for your brain

00:45:36.480 am i am i out on the limb there is that true i didn't research it recently but aren't we sure that

00:45:41.680 lead is bad for your your mental um state i thought we knew that fairly reliably that lead is just the

00:45:50.160 worst thing you want to put in a kid's body so that's happening then cadmium um some of you know

00:45:56.080 is a component for batteries um and it's in some of the lunchables now the sort of a good news bad news

00:46:03.280 because if you put the lead and cadmium in the lunchables and then the child eats it they can

00:46:09.280 actually charge their smartphone just with their own body because the kids if they eat the lunchables

00:46:16.240 they're they're basically half battery and half child and uh so you don't even need to plug in

00:46:21.360 your phone you can just sort of hold it in your hand and the cadmium and lead plus the static

00:46:26.000 electricity will charge your phone no i made that up that's all made up but cadmium does come from

00:46:32.080 batteries so i don't want too much of it in my body now let me tell you why uh and it has tons of sodium

00:46:41.280 now here's my first encounter with craft lunchables many years ago i decided that i had made enough

00:46:48.320 money in the dilbert world that i wanted to see if i could give something back like literally solve some

00:46:54.720 big problem and i thought i was very interested in nutrition at the time and i knew that i was so busy

00:47:01.040 that i wasn't getting good nutrition so i created a company to make a nutritious convenient food that you

00:47:08.880 could always have something that was perfectly nutritious it was just convenient so the form that

00:47:14.720 we chose was a burrito that would be packed with all the nutrients you needed for the day so if you

00:47:22.400 were in a big hurry and you don't want to spend much money and you just wanted to eat something you knew

00:47:26.720 would taste good because burritos almost always taste good it'd be like i imagine it to be like the blue

00:47:32.320 jeans of food you know blue jeans sort of they work in every situation except formal you know like

00:47:39.360 they're they're easy to wash and take care of and they don't cost too much and they feel good and they

00:47:43.600 make you look they basically do everything so i thought well maybe i can make a food that does that

00:47:49.040 just sort of does everything now the company didn't work out for other reasons partly because the formula

00:47:56.320 in the burrito made you fart so hard that it would inflate your socks as i once wrote and that was 0.75

00:48:02.800 sort of a negative so we we couldn't really mask all the minerals in it because in order to get a good

00:48:08.640 mineral and vitamin count you had to put all these additives in there so you couldn't get anywhere near

00:48:14.320 the taste that you wanted because you had to mask all the minerals now you might say to yourself

00:48:19.120 why do you have to add anything to food like if your burrito is full of all the things that have the

00:48:24.960 vitamins and minerals you know your broccoli and your kale and your beans and whatever why do you

00:48:30.000 have to add anything well it's because you've been lied to forever but when you were told that if you

00:48:36.160 just have a balanced diet you'll get your vitamins and minerals if you do the math you'll find out that

00:48:42.320 no matter how much you eat and no matter how well you eat you don't come anywhere near the food you eat

00:48:49.360 doesn't have vitamins and minerals in anywhere near the minimum requirement that you need

00:48:54.560 so we had to supplement there was no way around it but you but it didn't work as a supplement it

00:48:59.600 just made it too hard anyway so part of that story is we sold into 7-eleven imagine being a startup

00:49:07.520 company that gets a contract with 7-eleven now it's a contract to test it so they would say we're going

00:49:15.200 to test it in these stores and at the end of the test we'll decide whether it's a permanent product

00:49:21.040 so you just had to do well and sell sell during the test do you know how many units we sold during

00:49:26.240 the test take a guess how many total units just a guess how many numbers did we sell for the test

00:49:33.200 because there was a number of 7-elevens the answer is zero zero sales do you know why

00:49:41.040 it wasn't because people looked at the product and decided not to buy it it was because every

00:49:48.240 store that we checked the product was covered up by another product and it was always the same product

00:49:56.000 craft lunchables

00:49:59.200 craft lunchables were actually placed in front of my product in all the stores we checked

00:50:04.880 did you know that that's a common trick

00:50:06.560 because somebody like craft would have people who are boots on the ground so they actually visit the stores

00:50:14.240 i didn't have boots on the ground because we're a startup

00:50:16.960 so it's just when we checked we found that their boots on the ground did this thing

00:50:21.680 because you don't want to be selling lunchables

00:50:24.800 which anybody can look at and say

00:50:27.680 i'm not so sure that's the healthiest thing i could give my kid

00:50:30.720 you can't have that sitting right on the shelf next to something that just has all the vitamins

00:50:36.800 and minerals that your kid needs right they can't be next to each other so they just move theirs in

00:50:43.120 front of it in all the stores we checked everyone we sold nothing and the test failed and i went out of

00:50:51.760 business uh by the way same thing happened in some other places we we sold it to costco and safeway

00:50:58.480 made all the sales it's just none of the tests worked and the test didn't work in other places because they never tested it

00:51:07.200 in costco we signed up to do a test in a number of stores

00:51:11.600 shipped them the product

00:51:13.280 product sat in the back warehouse the whole time

00:51:16.640 and then the test was over and i said we sold none

00:51:20.080 because it never made it in the store

00:51:22.560 so if we had boots on the ground we could have sent like an army of people to say hey have you moved that

00:51:26.720 onto the shelf yet can we help you move it to the shelf

00:51:30.400 and that probably would have worked but we're i didn't know that we needed to do that

00:51:35.920 so craft lunchables the reason that your kids are eating lead and cadmium in part is because they covered up

00:51:43.520 one of the products that would have maybe been

00:51:47.040 very fart filled but 0.74

00:51:49.440 didn't have lead and cadmium in it as far as i know probably had too much sodium in it

00:51:53.680 i will admit that

00:51:57.280 everything has too much sodium in it i think if you believe that sodium is bad for you i'm not entirely

00:52:02.640 convinced all right there's an arizona arizona mom who pled guilty to poisoning her air force husband 1.00

00:52:11.600 with bleach so she was putting bleach into his coffee maker

00:52:15.760 and he caught her on video and she's in trouble now

00:52:20.880 do you know why she put bleach in his coffee to try to kill him does anybody know why she used bleach

00:52:30.880 it was cheaper than lunchables

00:52:32.400 does it sound like i'm bitter 0.99

00:52:39.600 oh yeah today's my revenge oh i waited craft you fucking lunchables i waited 0.99

00:52:50.400 good luck lunchables good luck 0.99

00:52:53.120 good luck have i mentioned that our food supply is poison and that craft lunchables apparently is part of

00:53:02.640 that too bad yeah so next time you want to kill somebody either put bleach in their coffee no don't

00:53:10.240 do that don't ever do that um or you could give them lunchables don't do that don't ever do that

00:53:17.120 not to somebody you love

00:53:20.080 anyway um ollie london is reporting that ben affleck and jennifer garner yes

00:53:27.840 jennifer garner's daughter came out as trans during her grandfather's funeral this week

00:53:35.840 which is really the best time to do it you know if there's ever a funeral of a beloved member of your family

00:53:42.000 the best thing to do is to make it all about you

00:53:47.440 you know grandpa's dead but where it really matters is i'm transitioning i'd like to announce that

00:53:53.120 at the funeral so maybe timing timing work on the timing but uh turns out that there's more than that

00:54:01.360 because not only is uh jennifer gardner's daughter coming out as trans but uh ben affleck's um

00:54:13.120 has a non-binary kid and the as the red-headed libertarian pointed out on x the chances of ben

00:54:21.440 affleck having uh oh well between the two of them they've got a trans kid and a non-binary 0.98

00:54:28.400 are about one in nine million now i don't know if she made up that number one in nine million but 0.98

00:54:32.880 it's very unlikely that a couple would combine families and there would be both a trans and a

00:54:39.840 non-binary which strongly suggests that there's a social contagion element to it now i ask you this 0.88

00:54:48.240 question do you think that either of those kids of ben affleck and jennifer garner do you think that

00:54:55.680 they use tick tock just take a guess i don't know the answer but do you think they use tick tock

00:55:03.840 i'm gonna say that would be a safe bet do you think tick tock has the ability

00:55:11.040 to turn off our reproductive urges yes yes it does and in fact the ben affleck jennifer garner family

00:55:22.240 oh i guess that's right because they were married at one point so it must be both of their kids

00:55:27.120 i was thinking it was a blended family but i think it's i think it's their two kids that they had

00:55:31.280 together um i think we've reached the point where we could calculate the reduction in american

00:55:40.640 reproduction based on tick tock alone and how you would do it is you would just look at tick

00:55:46.960 tick tock users versus non tick tock users and try to balance everything else sounds the same

00:55:52.640 um and my guess now this is just a hypnotist guess this is not based on any data this is just my

00:56:00.640 knowledge of persuasion and how it affects children and how it would be effective if it came to them

00:56:07.520 through their phones and it was repeated over and over so it's just my knowledge of the field not any

00:56:13.600 data whatsoever in my opinion tick tock will reduce the reproductive urge of 20 to 40 percent of its 0.73

00:56:24.000 users something like 20 to 40 percent of tick tock users will be far less likely to reproduce because

00:56:33.200 the things they're learning are that they could be a gender preference or a sex that is very difficult

00:56:39.440 to reproduce you know it's more it's less likely than your your standard um hetero couple they might 0.68

00:56:46.480 have kids but they're gonna have lower production reproduction rates than you know the standard 1.00

00:56:51.760 traditional christian family or muslim family so i'd love to see that estimate i'd love to see somebody

00:57:00.080 just say okay what percentage of tick tock people are you know trans and non-binary compared to the

00:57:06.880 public at large and then just make an estimate that says okay the the trans community has you know

00:57:14.000 a reproduction rate of 0.1 the hetero community has something closer to two you know two for two

00:57:21.680 like a one for one replacement and then you just project it forward and you could actually find out

00:57:28.400 how many people are being denied life by being in a situation in which it's unlikely they'll ever be born

00:57:35.600 if you were to look at the total number of grandkids that ben affleck and jennifer garner will have

00:57:41.120 collectively knowing that they have a non-binary and the trans in the family don't you think they'll have 0.70

00:57:48.880 fewer grandkids than if all of the kids identified as hetero now this is not any kind of knock on any hetero

00:57:57.120 or trans or non-binary if you're if you're new to me i'm very pro adults doing whatever they need

00:58:04.960 it's not up to me i'm definitely not the one judging you i don't have a judgmental bone in my body

00:58:11.840 do what you need to do you're an adult that the fact that i think it won't work i don't get a vote

00:58:19.440 you didn't get a vote on my covid shots and i'm not going to let you debate it like i'll let you

00:58:25.440 debate what i said about anybody in public which is nothing i said make up your own decision but you

00:58:30.880 don't get a vote on my personal health decisions and i don't get a vote on whether you're

00:58:36.400 binary or trans it's up to you so this is not being judgmental i'm just doing the math

00:58:42.800 the math suggests that the more trans there are the fewer reproduction possibilities are 1.00

00:58:52.000 so you can actually calculate what tick tock is doing to our population

00:58:56.640 meanwhile in the dilbert reborn comic which you can see if you're subscribing here on x

00:59:00.880 or if you want to see more than just the comic a lot more on the locals platform but uh if you're

00:59:07.840 watching that you'd see that ashuk the intern has become non-binary from using tick tock and uh 0.75

00:59:14.720 things aren't things aren't going the way he hoped

00:59:18.800 all right uh germany if as you know was shutting down his nuclear power industry and becoming dependent on

00:59:26.160 russia because they were making bad decisions about their green future they didn't really have a

00:59:31.600 replacement for the things they took offline except for russian gas and that put them in a

00:59:36.720 blackmailable weak position as trump and others pointed out so can you can you tell me did angela

00:59:45.200 merkel make those decisions to shut down the merc the nukes i'm not so good with my germany history

00:59:52.640 uh politics was it under angela merkel or was that just everybody wanted it

01:00:04.000 okay so it looks like that will be seen as one of the most massive mistakes of all time

01:00:10.880 in terms of managing a country so female leader female leader bought into the climate crisis hysteria 1.00

01:00:20.640 and destroyed the manufacturing base of her country built mostly by men

01:00:28.480 by turning off their electricity because she fell for a hoax the climate crisis

01:00:37.040 so i'm just calling out the facts anyway but i'm going to give a different spin on this

01:00:45.120 um you know we many of us believe that the war in ukraine doesn't have a good justification

01:00:50.640 and that the story about stopping russia from advancing may not be the whole story

01:00:58.800 and it looks more like it's a giant cia you know energy company play to grab all the resources from

01:01:06.000 ukraine keep it out of the hands of russia and to destroy russia's energy business and maybe even

01:01:12.720 change their change the leadership in russia now if you just hear me say that it sounds like the craziest

01:01:18.800 most reckless thing you ever heard in your life i think we all agree on that but i'd like to take you

01:01:24.480 to another frame i imagine that in some dark room somewhere the people who really are looking at the world

01:01:32.560 for the next hundred years may be saying something like the following

01:01:36.640 the only way america survives is if we capture russia's energy business

01:01:44.800 that might actually be a conversation how are we going to pay off our national debt

01:01:50.400 well it would be helpful if you capture the energy business of the biggest producer

01:01:58.880 or got them out of the business so our oil could we could charge more

01:02:02.480 you know so i wonder if this isn't just a gigantic economic play and it would be more accurate to

01:02:10.960 see russia and the united states as two competing mafias and our mafia is trying to rub out putin 0.70

01:02:18.320 he would rub us out if he could but he knows he can't so he's just playing his game as best he can

01:02:23.760 and to me it looks like to me it looks like the united states is just trying to overthrow russia to

01:02:30.000 take their money in the form of energy now what would that do in terms of our geopolitical future

01:02:39.200 for russia i'm sorry for china suppose you say to yourself scott scott scott the biggest risk is china 0.51

01:02:47.520 it's not russia to which i say hmm but how can china thrive if they don't have energy if you denied

01:02:57.360 china or if you had control of russia's energy you would have a lot of leverage on china wouldn't you 0.74

01:03:04.240 so china would have a lot of leverage on us but then we would have you know it'd be like china grabbed 0.81

01:03:10.640 us by the balls and says yeah we have so much control over your big pharma and your big industries

01:03:15.920 and stuff that we got you you better do what we want but if we were to control hypothetically 0.96

01:03:22.800 russia's entire energy infrastructure which looks like the play we would have them by the balls and

01:03:29.360 it would be at least mutually assured destruction because china can't live probably without russian 1.00

01:03:34.640 energy or at least they wouldn't thrive so part of me thinks that there might be some really dark

01:03:41.520 personalities in our government in the deepest deepest spy networks who are saying i hate to

01:03:49.040 break it to you but if you don't conquer russia we're all dead because if we don't control their 0.96

01:03:54.320 energy there's no other thing that could be a big enough thing to keep us from dying from our own debt

01:04:01.200 and and china becoming the dominant country in the world so i'm not saying that that's actually a

01:04:11.280 conversation but i wonder i wonder if it is because shouldn't it be shouldn't there be somebody who's

01:04:19.440 making the 100 year plan and says you know what energy is the whole play if china if russia has their own

01:04:26.320 energy they sell to china and we become the you know the third country in that trifecta but if we

01:04:33.520 could capture russia's energy russia would have nothing else so russia would be completely out of the game

01:04:40.720 and china would be dependent on our allies how convenient for us so anyway i just put that out there

01:04:49.360 there's a congresswoman jasmine crockett she's a democrat from texas and she's on video and wokeness

01:04:56.640 shows us this um she said uh it might not be the best idea to give tax breaks to black citizens as a

01:05:05.840 form of reparation it might be better to give them checks because not all black people pay taxes so a 0.99

01:05:12.320 tax benefit wouldn't help them all but a check would check helps everybody now i got to watch

01:05:19.680 a video of two people i don't know casually discussing how much of my money they should take from me

01:05:29.760 it's very offensive it's very offensive because i'm not even part of the conversation nor am i part of

01:05:38.400 any slavery legacy or anything but i'm just watching two people i don't know casually discussing taking

01:05:46.560 my money because they can or they hope they can and let me say this is as clearly as i can i have no

01:05:55.760 respect whatsoever for when for anyone who thinks i owe them reparations i have no respect for you none

01:06:02.800 not only that i don't have any respect for anybody who supports dei

01:06:09.280 now i think that's important to say because we live in a world in which being respected is actually

01:06:14.480 an asset so if you keep hammering on reparations in all likelihood you won't get any cash but you'll

01:06:22.800 be giving the giving away the asset of any kind of respect i cannot respect you if you're asking me for

01:06:28.880 reparations blah blah blah you're a good argument don't care blah blah blah racism true don't care

01:06:38.000 i mean it's not that i don't care it's just it's not relevant to taking my money

01:06:44.080 if i were the story that's different but if i'm not part of the story i don't care about your racism

01:06:49.200 from other people that doesn't mean i owe you money i don't respect you i have no respect for

01:06:55.360 anybody who's pro dei now you have to you should put that to the extent that i represent any other

01:07:02.400 people with that view and by the way show me in the comments would you agree that you don't respect

01:07:07.840 anybody who's even trying to get reparations or trying to make dei a thing am i alone there or is it 0.97

01:07:15.440 that you would also not respect anybody in that domain yeah shut up racist all right well i think

01:07:27.280 it's important for everybody in any kind of a big conversation to know what the costs and benefits

01:07:32.240 of their actions are and one of the costs of dei and one of the costs of even asking for reparations

01:07:38.640 is a complete loss of respect now if it's still worth it at least you are fully informed now

01:07:47.120 and and by the way if the situation were reversed and i thought i could get some free money i might

01:07:52.800 try and if you said i don't respect you for that i would say well i kind of understand that you know

01:08:00.240 this is one of those situations why where you can see why everybody's acting the way they can

01:08:04.960 because you know free money is free money who doesn't want free money did you see the video of

01:08:10.880 the uh the x fbi cia intel guy who talked casually on some undercover video that uh that the service the

01:08:21.280 agency went after alex jones just to kneecap him and take all his money to basically shut him up and

01:08:27.760 discourage people from doing stuff like him now it's one person so could be somebody just bragging

01:08:36.080 to somebody on video but it looked pretty reliable and they even have a word for it it's called nudging

01:08:43.360 so in the case of alex jones uh the the thing that took his money was a civil suit by the parents of

01:08:50.080 the sandy hook people and the fbi in that case according to this one guy cia officer former fbi guy

01:08:57.120 named uh what's his name he's a gavin o'blennis yeah and he says they call it nudging so he suggests

01:09:10.320 that what happened was the fbi didn't tell people to sue alex jones they simply said you know what

01:09:18.400 you'd probably have a good case i don't know a person like you this situation seems like you could make a

01:09:25.520 lot of money if you sue him i mean it's not for me to tell you to do it i'm not suggesting you do but

01:09:32.720 i'm just educating you that you've got a good looking case here and i've got the phone number

01:09:38.000 of a lawyer who could take care of this for you but i mean i'm not suggesting it i'm just it's just

01:09:43.440 information if you wanted to talk to somebody who could give you more information i could give you the

01:09:48.640 name of a lawyer who sues people for this sort of thing somebody really good that's a nudge

01:09:53.760 so they don't actually force anybody to do anything they just make it likely

01:10:03.600 now let's look at my situation the washington post led my cancellation

01:10:10.800 the washington post is known to be a cia vehicle that's widely understood and we know that the cia

01:10:19.280 nudges private enterprise to financially destroy people who were pro-trump

01:10:28.320 i'm quite notably pro-trump or have been in the past and suddenly a private entity very closely

01:10:36.480 associated with the cia leads my cancellation which made it automatic for everybody else once the washington

01:10:42.560 post you know made it a thing it became a thing everywhere do you think i got nudged or do you

01:10:49.360 think that was completely organic that a hundred percent of the newspapers and publishers all canceled

01:10:54.640 me at the same time over a weekend i would say the odds of that being organic are pretty small

01:11:01.760 and look at the other people from tucker you name it i mean you could do the same six names that i could

01:11:11.760 they all were financially destroyed and it all looked like private industry did it didn't it

01:11:18.080 it didn't look like the government did anything didn't look like the cia did anything didn't look

01:11:23.520 like the fbi was involved in any way but a whole bunch of nudging is my guess so i don't have a hard 0.95

01:11:33.280 proof that the uh washington post is a disreputable piece of shit but they obviously are whether whether 0.99

01:11:43.920 they did this nudge on me or not they're still a piece of shit i mean that's pretty obvious they do 1.00

01:11:51.440 they still hire a phil bump that's all you need to know 1.00

01:11:56.240 all right assemblyman key sanchez in california wanted to strip fentanyl dealers who were here

01:12:03.360 in the country illegally uh from their protection in sanctuary cities so in other words if you were a

01:12:09.440 migrant and you sold some fentanyl and you got caught you would be shipped back even if you were in

01:12:14.880 a sanctuary city so this is a californian who was trying to carve out this exception and do you think

01:12:21.040 it passed seems like a pretty obvious one right i mean of course i mean obviously you're gonna send

01:12:27.840 back the fentanyl dealers right no it didn't pass it didn't pass um am i all upset about it because

01:12:34.880 one of my biggest issues ever is fentanyl

01:12:37.040 i hate to say it but i'm giving up on the fentanyl and tick tock arguments and the reason is they're

01:12:47.360 both coming from inside the house when i thought it was a problem with mexico or china or both i kept

01:12:54.560 saying hey congress hey president hey cia go after them why are you not shutting them down why aren't you

01:13:02.400 not moving more but once you realize that in all likelihood i mean by far all likelihood uh both the

01:13:09.040 fentanyl business and the open borders uh and even the existence of tick tock that's coming from americans

01:13:17.360 if americans aren't shutting it down it's hard for me to blame mexico and china right so mexico and china 0.70

01:13:24.640 are accomplices but the main problem is american there's somebody in america who wants that border open

01:13:30.160 cia probably there's somebody in america who wants the fentanyl business to keep on going

01:13:37.520 probably the cia because they work with the cartels and they need them for other stuff

01:13:42.240 so they let them earn uh 50 000 americans a year could be worse we'll let you earn that's what it looks

01:13:49.920 like so i don't know how to argue against our own cia because they're just going to say we're not involved

01:13:56.160 in that that's the end of the that's the end of the trail what are you talking about that's crazy

01:14:02.640 we're going to nudge somebody to take more of your money away if you keep this up so there's no place

01:14:07.760 to go with it i i was super mad when i thought we just weren't acting competently or aggressively

01:14:14.720 enough against the cartels but now that i can see the cartels are our guys i don't know what to do

01:14:22.000 with that because there's no there's no form of persuasion that's going to make any difference

01:14:26.800 because everybody will just say it's not happening and then that's it no it's not happening

01:14:32.160 no and if it were it would be sacred we couldn't tell you about it and if it were and it were secret

01:14:37.360 there's some bigger purpose so you know you don't understand and maybe there is there might actually

01:14:43.520 be a bigger purpose and i don't understand anyway that's what's going on um vivek has a plan for

01:14:54.480 fixing elections he says here's his plan here's how we move beyond fights over stolen elections

01:15:01.120 and we unite our country number one make election day a national holiday

01:15:04.880 number two single day voting number three paper ballots number four government issued voter id to match

01:15:11.280 the voter file and then number five english as a sole language that appears in a ballot

01:15:19.520 i i wouldn't mind spanish on a ballot i don't think that's the big one but um you know

01:15:27.760 you do make accommodations if there are a tremendous amount of legal citizens who have a

01:15:32.960 language issue i don't think that's the biggest deal to to add spanish i wouldn't add anything else

01:15:38.960 but you know spanish is a special case anyway so whether you agree with this one or not uh would

01:15:45.280 you all agree that this would be a simple practical huge improvement compared to the current system would

01:15:55.120 everybody agree the fake has nailed this completely he's nailed it completely this would actually make

01:16:02.160 it impossible to argue about it because it's just a good system and we've seen it work in other

01:16:08.960 countries we don't have to wonder if it works we can observe it oh this works fine in these other

01:16:13.600 countries so why won't this happen this will get no traction and it will never be close to being

01:16:21.840 implemented do you know why i can only think of one reason now our system is designed for cheating

01:16:29.520 there's no other reason it's not because of money it's not because we disagree this would work it's

01:16:36.000 not because of efficiency it's not because of timing it's not because of credibility there actually is

01:16:42.080 no reason to do it the way we do it unless the whole purpose is cheating it's designed to be

01:16:49.760 impossible to audit it's designed to be easier to cheat the mail-in ballots so it's exactly what it looks

01:16:57.120 like and by the way i'm not speculating about this so so the other things i said you know like

01:17:03.600 well it seems like the cia is behind it that's speculation based on you know the best information

01:17:10.240 i have but when i look at the election i'm not speculating i can tell you with certainty

01:17:18.160 that if you design elections this way and then you let it continue despite all the public outcry

01:17:25.280 about this not being good enough you've designed it for cheating there's no there is no second argument

01:17:32.320 it is designed for cheating and we need to stop saying there's any other reason it's not because

01:17:39.920 democrats disagree it's not because we think there's other factors in play no there's only

01:17:48.400 literally one reason and and here here's the interesting thing nobody even argues

01:17:54.000 that there's a better reason other than uh the fake one that is suppressing voters the the suppressing

01:18:01.520 voters thing is nobody nobody thinks that's true do they have you ever met anybody who thought their vote

01:18:07.760 was suppressed ever ever have you ever met one person who thought their own vote was in some way

01:18:16.480 suppressed i've never even heard of it it's so not a thing or that black people can't get ids

01:18:24.800 i mean black people mock that as as they should as they should super racist on the democrats uh part 0.86

01:18:35.920 so no let's stop pretending that the elections are designed to be efficient or make it all fair

01:18:42.000 for everybody it's not it's very clearly not designed for that so no that'll none of those things will ever

01:18:49.920 happen um trump wants to uh kill the fisa is it the fisa being re-upped is that what it is so fisa where

01:19:00.080 you can spy an american if that american had contact with a foreigner so since they're allowed to spy on 0.94

01:19:07.600 the foreigner but it would be helpful to see both sides of the conversation that gives them a back door to

01:19:13.680 spy on americans they just have to get that american to talk to one person overseas have i talked to one

01:19:20.080 person in another country yes i have in my in my last several years have i ever exchanged a message

01:19:29.440 with somebody in another country who had any political you know sort of uh abilities yes yes i

01:19:38.240 have now was i doing anything nefarious no no just ordinary conversations and politics and stuff the

01:19:45.040 same thing i do with anybody but that would give the government the full ability to monitor everything

01:19:51.440 i do i think right if i had any conversation with anybody that they say oh this australian you talked

01:20:00.800 to i know even though they're an ally you did talk to an australian and we've got some questions

01:20:08.240 that's exactly what they can do they could get into all of my business if an australian sends me a

01:20:14.160 message on whatsapp i think that's true am i wrong about that that all it would take is one australian

01:20:21.360 to send me a message on whatsapp and they can get all of my communications that's all it would take how

01:20:28.640 hard would it be for them to talk a an australian into sending me a message pretty easy pretty easy

01:20:36.640 that'd be the easiest nudge of all time so trump's against it uh mtg seems to be against it but uh

01:20:47.760 the leader johnson um apparently wants to keep it so i have questions about speaker johnson and i'd like to

01:20:57.840 renew my hypothesis that our leaders start out with good intentions but when they reach the highest

01:21:07.360 levels such as a speaker of the house or president i believe somebody pulls them aside

01:21:14.320 i i think in the real world somebody pulls them aside and says look here's all the stuff the public

01:21:19.680 doesn't know and you don't know either here's why we do these things and here's why you can't change

01:21:25.520 it and then they go oh god i can't explain this so they say well good luck so you're gonna have to

01:21:32.720 lie because you can't tell them the truth the way the real world works is really naughty and dirty and 0.81

01:21:38.720 terrible and but it's not going to change it's going to stay naughty and dirty and terrible and you're 0.92

01:21:44.240 going to have to lie to the public and tell them it's some other reason it's the only way we can

01:21:50.000 operate it's the only way we've ever operated we don't tell people these things until they reach your

01:21:54.800 job but it's now your job speaker of the house to prevent the public from knowing what's going on

01:22:01.200 for their own good and then they make a good case for it maybe there's some blackmail maybe there's some

01:22:05.680 bribery and then they just own anybody they want they just own any politician they want now the bad

01:22:12.160 guys don't have to own every politician if you said to me scott do you think thomas massey is you

01:22:19.120 know owned by the intelligence people no i don't think so because they don't need to all they have

01:22:26.480 to do is own the speaker because the speaker will determine what they can even vote on and he'll just

01:22:32.720 not allow the thomas massey's to vote on things that would be a good idea if there's some other reason

01:22:37.680 so that's all as dirty as it looks probably uh here's another of the know the players it's not

01:22:47.200 enough to know the news and hear the news and know the names and know the the people involved you have

01:22:52.880 to know about the players backgrounds to understand the story so let's say i told you this story

01:23:00.240 that there's a bunch of uh important ex-government people um who are uh let's see what they do

01:23:09.840 um they're arguing that the january 6 charges um should be not thrown out and that the president

01:23:18.560 should be liable for what he did in office on january 6 because if you gave him full immunity

01:23:24.240 you know he could do terrible things in office because you don't want presidents to have full

01:23:29.600 immunity now suppose i told you it was a bunch of retired you know military people what would you

01:23:36.960 say to that you'd say oh retired generals and military people pretty credible pretty credible suppose i told

01:23:47.120 you that one of the leading people in this effort is a fellow named uh let's see what's his name uh michael

01:23:55.920 hayden michael hayden how many of you recognize that name if you don't know the players the news

01:24:03.040 doesn't make sense he is a former cia director former cia also one of the biggest anti-trumpers russia collusion

01:24:13.920 guys ever he has proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that he's not anything but a propagandist

01:24:23.840 a brainwasher professional liar who used to be the head of the cia does that scare you because if you

01:24:31.040 told me it was just some generals got together and they were worried about this technical change 0.96

01:24:35.760 to a law you know about presidential immunity and they said this could be a problem i'd say well you

01:24:41.680 know we should listen to that but if one of the people who's probably the main principal is uh

01:24:48.720 the past cia director michael hayden you should think that that's a completely illegitimate process

01:24:55.520 and that it's part of a propaganda effort and that none of it's legitimate you just have to know the

01:25:02.000 players uh or to put it another way um michael hayden i would best describe him as

01:25:09.280 the poor man's adam schiff

01:25:16.080 did did i bring it home is there anything else i need to say he's the poor man's adam schiff

01:25:22.640 that's all you need to know

01:25:26.640 same guy just wants a low rent version

01:25:29.840 speaking of low rent uh do you remember avenadi he's in jail for all of his many abuses in the

01:25:38.560 stormy daniels situation and others and from jail he called into msnbc to talk to re melber and i guess

01:25:47.600 it didn't go the way they expected because avenadi said he expects trump to be convicted but there are

01:25:53.360 all kinds of problems with the case so basically avenadi said he's that trump will be um illegitimately

01:26:01.840 prosecuted now that's not exactly what msnbc wants to hear is it they'd like to hear that he's going

01:26:08.160 to be prosecuted it's all legitimate nope even avenadi even avenadi no friend of the president 0.88

01:26:14.960 president says yeah he'll probably be convicted but the case is bullshit now uh re had to immediately 0.98

01:26:23.200 have on a guest who had big saucer eyes you know the saucer-eyed liars wide-eyed oh oh avenadi 0.98

01:26:30.640 doesn't know anything about this case which he you know he doesn't know enough probably so i don't

01:26:35.680 think the avenadi's opinion should carry any weight it was just hilarious to watch msnbc try to uh

01:26:44.240 tap dancer away under the fact that somebody who doesn't like trump knows stormy daniels knows the 0.82

01:26:50.240 law says now it's bullshit he's going to be convicted unfairly and it's a bad case

01:26:58.240 so anyway uh i saw that jack basabic is all over this and he he said that avenadi just called 0.74

01:27:06.000 into re melber on msnbc from prison and told him the trump case next week from stormy daniels is

01:27:11.840 a disaster stale and filled with problems uh and then he said uh ari looked like he was going to cry

01:27:20.800 all right i'm going to give a little defense to ari melber 0.95

01:27:23.760 um he had me on his show back when people still invited me on shows and i have to say he gave me

01:27:32.640 full respect uh let me talk and it was not an opinion that was super comfortable for msnbc

01:27:40.400 and he didn't he didn't uh dump on me or treat me unfairly and i don't think he's the same as the

01:27:48.960 other people on msnbc you know just just like i sometimes call out somebody on cnn uh

01:27:56.640 who's like a good egg he's their best egg i'll just put it that way yeah i'm not sure i would go

01:28:06.240 full good egg because he's on msnbc but he's their best egg if you're gonna pick an egg he's

01:28:11.200 he's their better egg all right uh the gaza situation is devolved into a war of definitions of

01:28:18.960 words and we all want to use the word genocide the way we want it to work so i want i want this to be

01:28:26.560 true so i'm going to say this word is defined this way and somebody else has said no that's no

01:28:31.360 genocide it's defined another way you're defining it all wrong but here's the thing if you're arguing

01:28:37.520 over the definition of whether it is or is not genocide you're kind of wasting everybody's time

01:28:43.440 because we all see the same stuff we all know that it's a war we all know the civilians are being

01:28:49.280 killed we all know that israel would prefer not killing a bunch of civilians if they could just 0.62

01:28:55.040 take out all the hamas people i'm sure they would um so it is what it is and we also know that there 1.00

01:29:01.520 will be war crimes guaranteed guaranteed war crimes both sides all the time it's war there's no such thing

01:29:08.960 as you know a major war action like this with no war crimes i mean you can't really expect that

01:29:15.920 so if you're gonna have war you're gonna have war crimes and sure enough there are and um so i'm not

01:29:21.120 going to give you my opinion whether it's a genocide or not a genocide i'll just say that

01:29:26.640 we all know what it is we don't need to use one special word why don't we just say it's the

01:29:32.720 thing happening in gaza that we all witness we all know it's horrific on a level that

01:29:39.200 is sort of unusual um well maybe it's too usual yeah so don't argue about the word it's not about

01:29:48.240 the word defense secretary lloyd austin says the u.s doesn't quote doesn't have any evidence of israel

01:29:56.560 committing genocide in gaza but again that's just about your definition of the word

01:30:02.560 so yeah if they believe that israel is trying their hardest to not do civilian casualties they

01:30:11.440 could argue it's not a genocide but it is what it is it doesn't make it good or bad all right that

01:30:19.360 ladies and gentlemen brings me to the conclusion of my prepared comments oh i went way too long sorry

01:30:24.240 about that and uh i'm gonna say bye to everybody except the locals people because they get a little

01:30:29.840 extra and uh we'll see you tomorrow morning same place same time bye for now

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - April 10, 2024

Episode 2440 CWSA 04⧸10⧸24

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