Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2461 CWSA 05⧸01⧸24

00:00:00.000 with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the

00:00:04.560 dopamine hit of the day that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and

00:00:08.720 it's gonna happen right now go oh that's so good so so good

00:00:22.880 well if you were uh if you subscribe to the the dilbert comic either on x or

00:00:29.280 the locals platform scottadams.locals.com you would know that wally is trying to juggle his many ai

00:00:35.840 girlfriends because if you're gonna have an ai girlfriend what would be the point of only having

00:00:41.600 one and one of his ai girlfriends is going to learn of the others and well it doesn't go well

00:00:49.280 so that's all i'm going to tell you unless you're a subscriber you don't get to see wally manages ai

00:00:54.320 girlfriend haram i have a suggestion for changing the constitution and fixing everything you ready

00:01:04.880 here's how to change the constitution if you're a member of congress or even the president

00:01:13.680 you don't get a vote on the budget unless you're under 50 years old

00:01:17.680 you don't get a vote on the budget unless you're under 50 years old why because otherwise you have

00:01:27.680 people who are going to be dead before the budget needs to be paid back you know before the deficit

00:01:34.000 so you wouldn't have to worry about um you wouldn't have to worry about your politicians being 100 years

00:01:41.760 old because they wouldn't get to vote on anything important they could still vote on the post office

00:01:47.440 and you know the national animal and stuff but they wouldn't be able to vote on anything that would create

00:01:53.440 a debt for people younger than themselves now here's the thing who would be against that

00:02:02.320 think about it who would be against it only the old politicians themselves

00:02:07.440 literally everyone else would say oh yeah that makes sense because they're they're basically

00:02:13.920 stealing the money of the people who are going to be alive so they can enjoy their final years

00:02:19.520 now that's what we observe i don't think there's any doubt that the people who are too old to care

00:02:27.680 because it's not going to matter to their own lives uh they're the ones making the decisions

00:02:33.280 so at the very least you should have more skin in the game basic concept more skin in the game so you

00:02:39.760 want younger people to be voting on the permanent debt they're the ones who have to work on it paying

00:02:45.600 it off well there's a mystery going on at tesla apparently elan musk laid off the entire tesla supercharger

00:02:53.760 team so they would be the ones making sure there are plenty of superchargers where you can charge up

00:03:00.640 and we don't know the real story behind it the the surface story is that they weren't doing the job

00:03:09.120 well enough so they all got fired but i've never even heard of an entire team being fired have you

00:03:15.360 ever heard of that now it's not like they were a startup where you know after a while you do have

00:03:22.160 to fire the whole team because the thing isn't working but it's not like they don't have superchargers

00:03:27.440 the supercharger thing is a somewhat mature part of their business why would you fire every member

00:03:36.480 of the team

00:03:40.240 wouldn't you love to know what's behind that there's definitely something behind that there's more to

00:03:46.000 the story now some of it could be it's personal it could just be personal there might have been

00:03:52.000 something that happened that musk just didn't like and just said all right you're all gone the other

00:03:57.280 possibility is he said the other day he signaled that he was going to be a little bit more brutal

00:04:02.480 about weeding out the bad performers this might be his way of signaling to the rest of the company

00:04:10.160 that there's no real limit to what's what you will do if you're not performing you'll get rid of the

00:04:16.640 entire team so you're not only uh responsible for your own performance but your team so it could be

00:04:24.000 these just uh he's making a dramatic statement about how the team has to operate going forward

00:04:32.160 it's my best guess could be something else

00:04:36.560 some therapists are warning that when they use magic mushrooms to treat patients

00:04:42.320 the patients will often fall in love with them and develop romantic feelings for the therapist

00:04:47.360 and it's one of those things they have to worry about now i'd like to add my own uh layer of

00:04:55.040 understanding to this do you know what else makes people fall in love with a therapist

00:05:02.880 what's the other thing that makes that happen

00:05:04.560 basically the people who need therapy uh often don't have like great relationships on their own

00:05:16.480 because that would be a big thing that was keeping them happy if their own relationship was great

00:05:22.320 so you tend to get people who don't have good relationships yeah either because their mental

00:05:28.080 condition causes them not to have one or because not having one causes them to want to see a therapist

00:05:34.480 so you got these people who are generally not killing it in the relationship department

00:05:40.400 and then you sit them in an office for one hour a week with somebody who's got their their

00:05:46.240 shit together the therapist the therapist has an office and a job and wears good clothes

00:05:53.920 talks to you politely never insults you never gossips about you and listens to all of your problems

00:06:00.880 with interest you don't really need mushrooms to fall in love with that person

00:06:08.000 because they're signaling everything that people fall in love with financial stability you know mental

00:06:14.160 health they're they're helping you they're interested in you yeah i'm sure the mushrooms make it worse but

00:06:20.800 how do you not fall in love with your therapist unless they're just hideous they'd have to be hideous for

00:06:27.520 you not to have a little bit of interest all right so my big theme for today is that trump's third act

00:06:35.280 is working out and uh you'll see that in a variety of ways the gateway pundit is reporting that adam

00:06:44.560 schiff might have more problems than you think there's some resident or just some citizen who is uh found

00:06:51.440 down down to the shift has allegedly uh he had a home in maryland and a home in california for voting

00:06:58.640 purposes he said he was a resident of california but for uh his his mortgage loan in maryland he claimed

00:07:08.080 that was his primary residence so the allegation is that he's claimed that maryland is his primary home

00:07:16.640 when he's getting a loan but california is his primary home when he's voting

00:07:24.480 now what are the possible things that could be going on here well ironically uh one of the things

00:07:33.360 that it looks like is bank fraud because he got lower rates because it was his primary residence

00:07:40.880 as opposed to a second home now let's see he got a bank loan called a mortgage he got a bank loan

00:07:52.560 and allegedly he inflated the value of the home by saying it was a primary residence because banks

00:08:00.720 like primary residence and they would give them a higher value than a secondary home

00:08:05.520 so it's schiff told a bank that his real estate was worth more than it was because the nature of his

00:08:15.440 residency and that caused him to save money on a bank loan that's a bank fraud

00:08:24.080 this is what uh trump was accused of but you know it's different is that the banks did not allege there was any harm

00:08:38.640 the banks did not allege with trump that they had lost money in any way based on any of his uh assertions

00:08:47.360 but the allegation here is that the bank did lose money they did lose money that's the allegation

00:08:56.320 because of schiff's lie that it was his primary residence when they could have charged him more and

00:09:01.840 apparently they he's already reimbursed so part of the story is that he's acknowledged it was a mistake

00:09:08.080 and reimbursed why does he get to acknowledge it's a mistake why doesn't trump get to acknowledge

00:09:14.240 it's a mistake and just say whoops well no harm no foul it was just a mistake

00:09:22.080 isn't that interesting well i would put this back in the category of uh trump's third act is looking

00:09:28.800 good what would be the best thing that could happen to trump it would be adam schiff credibly

00:09:34.960 accused of the very crime that trump was accused of except that in trump's case there were no there

00:09:41.440 were no victims and importantly it is normal business to inflate your value if you're in the

00:09:48.560 real estate business and you're asking for a loan so it's so normal that the bank doesn't even look at

00:09:54.400 your estimate that's how normal it is because they know it's going to be inflated but when you're getting

00:10:00.000 a home loan it's not the same assumption if you get a home a mortgage your bank does kind of assume

00:10:09.360 that you're telling them mostly the truth it's not like a real it's not like a big real estate loan

00:10:14.320 where they just assume you're inflating no this is the real crime so having adam shift do a real crime

00:10:21.040 that trump was accused of but his in his case it was more business as usual is perfect it's third act perfect

00:10:30.400 marjorie taylor green is uh apparently trying to get rid of speaker johnson she doesn't like his

00:10:38.400 ukraine focus and she made some hats up to say mugga instead of magga so it's uh make ukraine great again

00:10:45.360 and she's trying to smear uh speaker johnson with his uniparty ukraine loving ways um i'm gonna say that i

00:10:56.960 even when i don't agree with marjorie taylor green that happens i just love that she's part of congress

00:11:06.960 i love the energy i love the fight in my in my personal observation she seems to always be fighting

00:11:16.880 for something that makes sense from a you know big picture perspective so even if i don't agree with

00:11:25.040 every single thing she does it's so just just so good to have her in the mix fighting it out you

00:11:31.920 know making everybody prove themselves a little bit just making everybody a little sharper i think

00:11:37.680 same thing i say about thomas massey same thing i say about uh uh gates um i just love the firebrands

00:11:46.800 it's good to have them in the mix all right um judicial watch was trying to get i guess the audio of

00:11:55.920 uh uh well no the reporting on it i don't know who was trying to get it but the justice department is

00:12:02.320 not going to release the extra audio of biden being interviewed by the her team uh where where the

00:12:11.600 special prosecutor is that the right name uh said that biden was an old elderly man and he wasn't

00:12:17.760 making much sense now wouldn't you like to hear the rest of that interview where your president the

00:12:25.040 elderly man was credibly accused of basically having dementia and we're not going to be allowed to hear that

00:12:33.200 because of his privacy that's right the president gets privacy on a matter of vital interest to the public

00:12:45.440 the public gets no fucking privacy for anything for any reason unacceptable unacceptable if you're

00:12:55.680 going to take 100 of the public's privacy which you have you don't get to hide a very important

00:13:04.000 piece of information from the public as in your president might have a serious dementia and it's

00:13:10.080 worse than you know no that's not cool so here's my take if if they're going to hide the evidence it's

00:13:18.480 because it's exactly what you think it is

00:13:20.800 you know what's more what's interesting about this story they simply said they weren't going to release

00:13:28.080 it what do the democrats usually do when you ask for their information what's their usual play

00:13:36.960 you know what do the democrats usually say when you know they have some information that would

00:13:44.000 you know credibly implicate them in something bad

00:13:46.640 it got recorded over we we ran out of we ran out of digital zeros and ones so we had to reuse the zeros

00:13:59.200 and ones so we recorded over it isn't that usually what they say yeah trying to get information from a

00:14:08.080 democrat is trying to get you know blood from a stone it's like can i have that valuable database sure

00:14:16.640 sure here it is here i'm getting it for you oh oh i pushed the wrong button it's all deleted

00:14:24.320 ah common mistake oh let me get that information for you

00:14:32.320 well it was here before i i seem to have lost that information but this time at least they had the decency

00:14:41.120 to say that the information is so damning and our president is so mentally lost that we can't even

00:14:49.920 show you the information because of privacy privacy

00:14:56.240 so make your worst assumption there i think that's uh appropriate

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00:16:00.800 new york city mayor adams is uh getting tough with the columbia protesters um is there an update

00:16:07.920 on that i believe maybe last night he was sending in massive amounts of police to clear him out

00:16:13.440 has it been uh has columbia been uh repatriated yet do you have an update on that in the comments

00:16:24.480 anyway i think i think something's already happened and i think uh it was a big show of force

00:16:32.000 uh but he did advise students involved in the protest to uh get out of the area all right so

00:16:39.360 is this good or bad for trump let's let's make this political

00:16:49.680 um do you think that it's positive for trump and his third act that these protests are going on

00:16:59.200 it kind of is isn't it because it just is more to the narrative that the country is falling apart

00:17:07.600 because it doesn't have leadership now i don't know if i don't know if you know trump could have

00:17:14.000 solved this overnight or something i i doubt it but it's all part of that you know this wouldn't have

00:17:21.920 happened under trump even if it would have so this is very positive for trump now here's the thing

00:17:29.200 who is behind all these protests no none of you believe these are organic right can we all agree on

00:17:38.560 that we know it's not a bunch of well-meaning citizens who had an opinion and got together

00:17:45.840 right it's not that so there's somebody behind it now the big question would be who is who has helped

00:17:53.360 the most buy it who are the winners and the losers of these protests are the palestinians winning

00:18:02.240 do the palestinians get anything from this

00:18:07.760 i don't know what they would get from it doesn't look like they're getting anything

00:18:12.320 because the thing they're asking for they're not going to get which is disinvestment because

00:18:17.600 it's basically every big company has some kind of connection to israel so you can't really disinvest

00:18:23.840 so the thing they're asking for isn't real so what do they want what they want is the protest i assume

00:18:31.040 or the chaos or something so i've got two hypotheses for what's behind it hypothesis number one there's a

00:18:43.040 whole bunch of professional protesters and planners and motivators now we know that some of the people in

00:18:51.520 these crowds because we see a few of them have been id'd as literally professional lifetime protest

00:18:59.680 organizers so some of them just show up whenever there's a protest so some of it must be that

00:19:08.080 there's some kind of machine now of marxist trained organizers and whenever there's a thing they just

00:19:15.360 show up and nobody needs to tell them so it might not be organized in a classic way it could be organized

00:19:22.160 because there's now a an architecture and a system of trained protesters and they're just waiting for a

00:19:29.920 reason imagine if your whole deal is you're a trained protest organizer and there are no big protests

00:19:38.480 your whole life is being this protest organizer and there's no protests well as soon as you see one

00:19:45.360 you're gonna jump into your car and drive as fast as you can toward it and try to put yourself in charge

00:19:50.560 because damn it you've been training for this all your life so one possibility is that it's not terribly

00:19:57.840 organized except that maybe there's some soros money they got to some organization so they had a little cash

00:20:04.720 on hand that's possible and so it could actually be self-organized but only because there's a professional

00:20:13.280 class of protesters but i don't think so i don't think so second clue don't you think that by now

00:20:23.600 that law enforcement entities or intelligence or the fbi in the united states knows exactly who's behind

00:20:30.720 the protests by now does anybody believe the fbi doesn't know who's behind the protests do you think

00:20:38.720 the fbi doesn't know where the money comes from do you think they don't know that the organizers are

00:20:45.200 professional organizers and what their names are and where they're from of course they do of course they

00:20:50.880 do now if the source were let's say iran you don't think the fbi and the government would tell you

00:21:00.480 oh these are being these are being funded by iran of course they would of course they would

00:21:06.640 because they would want you to know that so what what could be the answer if the fbi and your

00:21:14.240 government is not telling you who's behind it who could be behind it if your government won't tell you

00:21:20.880 who's behind it your own government what what other reason would there be can you think of any other

00:21:30.320 reason that your government wouldn't tell you who's behind it when obviously they know by now

00:21:36.560 we we have no privacy of course they know do you don't think that they're monitoring every phone

00:21:43.600 of every activist that the group of course they are you don't think they've heard every phone call

00:21:49.280 you don't think they've already traced all of their money back everywhere of course they have

00:21:54.720 of course they have why aren't they telling you

00:21:59.920 who benefits who's the big winner from the protests

00:22:03.600 say it who's the big winner from the protests go on say it

00:22:14.000 you're not going to say it this is this is the one time you're not going to yell israel

00:22:18.320 israel it's the one time israel there's nobody who benefits more than israel is there

00:22:29.600 nobody benefits more than israel because what this does is it takes october 7th and it makes it local

00:22:35.440 what you're seeing is a theatrical version of october 7th played out in the united states

00:22:44.240 that's the sort of the fictional version of what really happened on october 7th

00:22:50.400 it allows the jews in the united states and the media in the united states to feel viscerally

00:22:57.040 what it would be like to be surrounded by unfriendly entities yeah now i'm not saying

00:23:06.880 that there's some evidence that israel is behind it i'm just saying it couldn't possibly be the

00:23:12.480 palestinians because it's not working for them all it's doing is making the palestinians look violent

00:23:20.480 and unfriendly i don't think it's working for them you know maybe in some weird way so it doesn't

00:23:28.080 seem to me like iran is behind it because if iran were behind it our government would be shouting it

00:23:34.880 or at least the republicans would there would at least be some republicans say oh it's all right

00:23:39.600 you don't even hear the republicans saying it right so there's only two possibilities that are

00:23:46.640 really the same possibility the only thing that makes sense to me is that our government is involved

00:23:53.200 some some part of the government and the israel's involved some part of israel because nobody else

00:24:00.240 benefits now you could say that trump benefits but it doesn't really look like it was organized by

00:24:07.360 anybody on the right in your wildest imagination do you imagine any even a dirty tricks player you know

00:24:16.160 because both sides have dirty tricks people right and do you think a roger stone or somebody would be

00:24:22.000 like you know known to be like uh you know doing some good tricks on the republican side do you think

00:24:27.680 you know somebody like that would be behind this not a chance no there's no chance that any republican

00:24:33.600 is behind this so who could it be i think it's kind of narrowed down to america and if they're working with

00:24:42.560 somebody it's got to be that what else could it be so is it so this is a diagnosis by exclusion

00:24:52.800 so i have no direct evidence that anybody in america or american entities are behind it

00:24:59.200 but sure it looks like it i don't see any other explanation

00:25:04.320 and so if you take the mike ben's explanation of the world that there's this uh atlantic council that

00:25:13.680 is you know led by the cia and maybe they're either puppets of the democrats or the democrats

00:25:19.360 are puppets of them it's a little unclear but if the if the belief is that the atlantic council

00:25:26.160 wants war because it's good for business

00:25:28.800 this would be a pretty good way to support israel continuing the fight so the military industrial

00:25:36.960 complex should want things to look worse not better because the last thing our military

00:25:44.720 industrial complex wants is for israel and gaza to say you know what we've both heard

00:25:50.640 hurt each other so badly there's no way either of us can win

00:25:54.880 why don't we just make peace and figure this out would that be good for america and the military

00:26:01.040 industrial complex that runs everything probably not they they probably like the trouble makes a

00:26:08.640 little bit more money so i don't believe that these are organic there might be a number of elements

00:26:16.480 that are going into it probably there are a bunch of just pro-palestinian people who just say hey

00:26:22.080 it's a pro-palestinian thing i'll get in on it so i definitely think there are genuine pro-palestinian

00:26:28.560 people in in the mix there are definitely just anti-israel people in the mix but the fact that it's

00:26:36.320 going on is going on so long and nothing's happening and i don't know it's a little bit suspicious

00:26:43.040 and uh i'm gonna blame my own team first because i can't see past that if the people on my team

00:26:53.360 allegedly you know fbi cia the government if they can't tell me who is behind it

00:26:59.760 i'm gonna assume my government's behind it

00:27:03.840 and and by the way i would also accept we're trying really hard to figure out who's behind

00:27:09.280 it but it's a little unclear i would actually accept that because that sounds like the real world

00:27:14.320 world we're trying but it's a little unclear maybe there are a number of entities for different

00:27:20.320 reasons and you know it's it's not one reason that could be i'd believe that

00:27:27.680 but total silence about what's behind it no fishy sorry um

00:27:37.120 apparently morning joe i hear is having trouble reconciling the fact that the january 6th thing

00:27:43.120 was a violent insurrection and fascism for sure whereas the college protests are just free speech

00:27:52.400 now i always make fun of people who reason by analogies

00:27:58.640 is it fair to compare january 6th to the college protests no no they're completely different

00:28:06.880 so could you draw a conclusion from one to the other well you could try but it'd be nonsense

00:28:12.880 because it's just two different situations so um i don't think there there's a genuine argument

00:28:20.480 connecting them however people are not logical creatures and the voters are looking at this and

00:28:27.440 they're saying hmm looks like a bunch of free speech people doing things i don't like and then they

00:28:34.960 think of january 6th and they say huh looks like it was a bunch of free speech people doing things i

00:28:41.760 don't like now below that of course it was completely different and so what the protesters want today is

00:28:48.800 different than what the january 6 people wanted one was about you know disrupting a process theoretically

00:28:55.680 for good reasons and the protesters and uh in the colleges are also disrupting a process

00:29:02.400 the college and they're hoping to do something that they would consider positive

00:29:08.960 so you can make a case that any any two things are the same thing or different

00:29:13.200 but it's going to be it's going to be feeding into the trump narrative

00:29:16.960 that january 6 was in um law fair yeah unless unless the crackdown on these uh protesters gets a lot

00:29:26.800 more harsh including jail time all right one of the protesters who has been identified as one of the

00:29:35.040 professional marxist uh basically a professional protest organizer uh was asking for food for the

00:29:42.880 students because i guess they hadn't planned well enough to have food so they took over some buildings

00:29:47.440 and then they got hungry and then she tried to say no no i just mean for the students who are on the food

00:29:53.760 plan not everybody but if you're on the food plan and you're a student shouldn't the college be paying

00:30:00.400 you because you paid for the food plan to which i say no starve college doesn't owe you a damn thing

00:30:08.160 they don't that the college didn't agree to deliver they did not agree to deliver so if you if you want

00:30:15.440 the food delivered well maybe that was a negotiation you should have done before you went to college

00:30:20.160 but the college you went to doesn't deliver so good luck

00:30:27.600 anyway i think it would be hilarious if they simply let them stay in the buildings but didn't let them food

00:30:33.200 have food just just see how long they could make it last it gets funnier the longer it goes um i'm

00:30:41.760 hearing some people like nay silver say that this is the end of the ivy league elite schools and you know

00:30:49.360 pretty soon uh your state school will be a better deal i don't believe any of that i think it's going

00:30:56.880 to go right back to where it was where if you can get your kid into harvard you'll do it

00:31:03.200 you know maybe three years i think there'll be like a three-year pause where it looks like a bad

00:31:08.960 idea and then it'll go right back to where it was and the people who can afford it will send them to

00:31:13.760 harvard and the reputation will probably recover i know i i don't i don't see this as the end of the

00:31:21.120 elite colleges whatsoever but i could be wrong

00:31:24.160 uh vigilantes are finally common in los angeles ucla was having their

00:31:32.800 their issues and uh a hundred pro-israel vigilantes stormed the

00:31:38.880 palestine solidary encampment at uh ucla uh late tuesday night early wednesday and then sparked battles with the activists

00:31:47.360 do you think there'll be more of that more vigilantism

00:31:56.160 you know this is one of the costs of the low testosterone in the united states

00:32:01.200 this is not really the country that i grew up in the the country where i was a younger man

00:32:07.280 there was a lot more testosterone like literally not joking our actual bodies had more testosterone

00:32:16.000 it definitely made us more violent and the the low level of vigilante ism is giving me very mixed

00:32:25.360 feelings in this country number one oh i'm glad that people are so civilized they're not taking the law

00:32:31.760 into their own hands that's good because i certainly do not approve of violence you know of that sort

00:32:40.880 on the other hand i say to myself you know what would really fix a lot of problems

00:32:47.440 i mean i'm not going to recommend it but i'm just saying as a statement and as an observation

00:32:54.160 a really large dose of vigilantism would solve a lot of problems which i do not recommend

00:33:04.560 literally i don't recommend it yeah don't be a don't be a vigilante it's not going to work out for

00:33:10.400 you being a vigilante is a bad strategy having said that if this were my youth we would have done it

00:33:21.760 anyway it doesn't matter if it's a bad strategy that's what your testosterone does for you it

00:33:27.840 makes you do dangerous things if you don't have enough well you're like let's see if this just blows

00:33:33.200 over i can't be sure that the tougher uh tougher actions would be better it just is different i mean

00:33:42.880 it's a clear difference from from my youth so maybe there'll be some vigilantism popping up to

00:33:48.960 battle these things but i wouldn't count on it over in japan they have a birth rate crisis that's

00:33:54.720 even worse than her own and uh so a story talking about the reasons that it's mostly economic

00:34:02.880 but they also have a social problem which is if uh if the two parents are both working

00:34:11.120 the working mother is not really considered a full employee if you know what i mean so i think in japan

00:34:17.440 they don't have a social structure that is supportive of two couples and both of them

00:34:23.600 working if they have kids i think the assumption there is that the mom should be spending time at home

00:34:30.160 because the japanese might be a little more conservative in that regard so they basically have

00:34:37.200 no system to recover from their problem now that's the real story the story is not that the birth rate is

00:34:47.200 going down the story is that there's nothing that's the counter effect nothing they've tried to

00:34:55.040 incentivize the people who are already married to have more kids and maybe that works a little bit

00:35:00.160 you know financially incentivize but they're not doing anything about people who don't want to get

00:35:05.360 married because they can't make it work economically uh yeah there's a photo of some vigilantes protecting

00:35:19.920 the american flag i saw could be more of that could be more of that coming

00:35:28.320 anyway um so japan is like the canary in the coal mine for the united states

00:35:34.080 and the one takeaway i would have is if we don't build a system to reverse it our own declining birth

00:35:40.960 rate don't expect it to the to reverse we're not we're not going to just sit around and change our

00:35:47.920 minds you've got you've got to fundamentally and and really grossly change the system otherwise

00:35:55.040 it's just going to be the end of us and when i say yes i mean you i mean i'll i'll be long bed

00:36:04.160 that's why you shouldn't let me vote on the budget either

00:36:08.880 well there's another poll saying the swing states are all two to three points in favor of trump

00:36:14.880 two to three points i remind you is not enough to win even in the swing states

00:36:19.440 uh that is not above the moc i'm waiting for you to say moc what's what's the moc can you guess

00:36:31.120 based on the context a two to three point advantage for trump is not above the moc

00:36:36.400 margin of cheating margin of cheating yeah i believe that anything within two to three percent

00:36:45.680 would be cheated away uh and that if he's not up by 10 points in the polls on election day

00:36:52.400 it's going to be dicey i think 10 points up on election day unless say the average of polls

00:36:58.800 gets you a definite president trump at five points up it gets sort of dicey

00:37:08.800 at three or two i think he loses at five they've got a tough problem because it's going to be obvious

00:37:15.600 if they cheat but they might do it anyway and get away with it at 10 they just can't do it at 10

00:37:21.600 you're gonna have to assassinate or something you just you're not going to be able to do it

00:37:24.800 all right we'll talk more about that um trump has said uh i think there's a lot of paid agitators

00:37:36.160 the college protests professional agitators and blah blah blah and then the hills nick robertson

00:37:45.520 said this there is no evidence that any protester at columbia university

00:37:50.960 or any of the nationwide pro-palestine protests are a paid demonstrator or otherwise not authentic protesters

00:37:59.920 what what i didn't think there was any adult in america who thought these were organic

00:38:09.440 have you met even one person who thinks these are organic and not organized from the outside

00:38:14.000 even one i i don't i've never even seen that opinion in the wild i've never seen the opinion

00:38:22.720 except from nick robertson that says there's no evidence now i'm not disagreeing with this

00:38:29.920 characterization of no evidence because i think he means direct evidence but how much circumstantial

00:38:37.600 evidence do you need if the people whose faces we see we've now seen a few faces of people who are

00:38:44.240 literally professionals they're not involved with the school they are professional and presumably

00:38:52.240 they found some way to make a living from it so there must be somebody paying them i don't think

00:38:57.120 that they're doing this because they feel it think about all the issues in the world

00:39:03.040 that you could protest about no protest you think that this is of all the things

00:39:12.000 this is the one that everybody's like oh i'm gonna protest this no it's not organic

00:39:19.200 so i'd be suspicious of anybody who says it is organic and i would believe anybody who said it's

00:39:25.280 obviously not trump talks about the hand paint he goes where are the hand painted signs

00:39:30.080 because hand painted signs are a pretty good indication of an organic thing they've all got

00:39:36.800 professional signs and all that stuff anyway um i saw an opinion that the protesters at the colleges

00:39:46.560 will look right in the future and the the argument there is that the vietnam protesters look like

00:39:53.920 dirty hippies when they're protesting but by today's light they look like they were the smart ones

00:39:59.920 the iraq war protesters look like un-american troublemakers yeah but now in retrospect they look like they were

00:40:09.280 correct i would add to that opinion the the people who uh resisted the most in the pandemic

00:40:17.920 look look at the time at least to the press like the crazy people who were science deniers but today

00:40:25.280 they look like they look like they were the correct conscientious um conscientious objectors to the

00:40:32.240 vaccinations and the shutdowns and stuff so the question was will the protesters in the colleges

00:40:39.360 look like the enlightened ones in 20 years to which i say that's not how thinking works

00:40:50.080 there's no such thing as thinking by analogy we just imagine it no the fact that this reminds you

00:40:56.720 of vietnam protests doesn't mean it's predictive the fact that it reminds you of the iraq war or

00:41:02.800 reminds you of the pandemic doesn't make it predictive it doesn't tell you anything about the new thing

00:41:08.240 do you know why history doesn't repeat even though all your teachers told you it did here's why history

00:41:14.000 history doesn't repeat it can't it's not an option because everything before that is different

00:41:23.840 if only the fact that we know it happened before you know something like it that's enough alone to make

00:41:30.560 it not repeat because people will say well we don't want to do that exact same mistake so we'll do something

00:41:35.680 different so there's always something different it just reminds you of other things don't imagine that

00:41:42.240 if you're reminded of something it's telling you what the future is it doesn't work that way history

00:41:48.960 does not repeat now i know what you're going to say because i know i got some npcs in here

00:41:55.200 history doesn't repeat but it rhymes okay i'm actually reading that but i told you it was going

00:42:00.480 to be there before i read it every time i say this somebody says history doesn't repeat but it rhymes no

00:42:07.520 it doesn't rhyme just some things remind you of other things that's it if you if you're trying to

00:42:13.840 say well but it repeats a little bit you know the rhyming so it does repeat a little bit no it doesn't

00:42:23.040 it doesn't sometimes things go the same way sometimes they don't when it goes the same way as something

00:42:31.040 that you're reminded of you say well there's history repeating no it isn't it's just that it was there

00:42:37.440 were probably two ways that something you go and it just went that way it doesn't mean it was predictable

00:42:43.600 it just means that it reminds you of something don't be confused with reminded of something

00:42:51.520 biden's talking about allowing in a certain specific class of palestinians to the u.s

00:42:58.320 that would be limited to he says uh people who are already in egypt so they're they've already left

00:43:05.920 the uh the war zone and they have uh u.s connections so they have family in the u.s

00:43:12.240 so they would have to be two conditions probably three if you assume that they'd be vetted to make

00:43:17.840 sure they're not terrorists but if they're not terrorists at least there's no indication of it they've

00:43:23.040 got family in america and they're already out of the war zone so let's say they're in egypt the uh

00:43:30.000 there's a a report that's not confirmed but not denied that biden is considering some of them in

00:43:37.200 that special case to be allowed into america the answer to that is hard no oh hell no

00:43:46.000 do i think that these specific people who are being considered for allowing into the country

00:43:50.720 are bad people no no it's not about them at all it's about a government we don't trust

00:43:59.200 to open a door a little bit are you with me we don't trust our government to know how wide to open

00:44:07.120 the door if there's anything we know we can't trust it's your government to know how wide to open the

00:44:14.240 door if this were true first let's say it were true let's say they could vet them and saw no

00:44:20.400 connection to any hamas activity let's say they these their family had been living here for a long

00:44:26.640 time and you know all peaceful americans and you know that so they had a way to financially support

00:44:33.360 themselves if they came because their family would be here you could imagine a situation

00:44:38.320 hypothetically in which you'd say to yourself you know that is an exception that that's definitely

00:44:44.960 an exception and we're not bigots we're not racists and this is just an exception so why not

00:44:52.560 no way i'm sorry we don't have that government we have the government who plays games to get the door

00:45:00.640 open a little bit so they can swing it open have you seen our border have you seen our border we don't

00:45:07.280 open doors a little bit we open a little bit so that you won't be surprised when they open it all the

00:45:13.520 way it's to get you a little bit pregnant on the idea of bringing in palestinians no hard no is it is

00:45:21.360 it unkind to these specific palestinians yes is it bigoted i don't care is it racist who cares

00:45:33.840 who cares yeah i don't care when it comes to physical defense which is what this is you could

00:45:43.200 be as racist as you want you know that right you could be as bigoted as you want if you're doing

00:45:47.760 national security you can be as bigoted as you are there's no rule against that it's not illegal

00:45:54.640 in fact you would require it i would require it

00:45:58.240 on an individual level bigotry is unethical immoral unwise doesn't do anything for you

00:46:08.080 because people are so infinitely different that judging them on their immutable characteristics is

00:46:13.120 just denying yourself access to you know the beauty and intelligence of most of the world

00:46:20.320 so it does make sense on an individual basis to just say you're one of those elbonians so you're all

00:46:26.160 alike that doesn't make any sense but on a population level if you say that letting in a

00:46:34.480 whole bunch of people from a country where there's a large percentage of them who don't like you

00:46:39.360 perfectly fine perfectly acceptable from a self-defense perspective so in this case hard no

00:46:48.320 does this uh play to president trump's or ex-president trump's uh narrative in his third act

00:46:55.600 yes it does it's kind of perfect all the stories seem to be pro-trump but he's having the best week

00:47:05.040 and we'll i'll talk more about that yeah this couldn't be better the college protests are

00:47:09.920 totally good for trump the biden talking about allowing palestinians in good for trump the over

00:47:15.680 funding of ukraine some would say the permanent funding of ukraine that's under consideration

00:47:20.640 all good for trump uh gas prices are up again all good for trump it's basically it's just one thing

00:47:27.520 after another adam schiff getting in trouble for a banking fraud alleged banking fraud perfect it's

00:47:37.040 perfect now what what would you expect to happen if everything was going right for trump and the

00:47:47.280 news cycle was turning against biden what would you expect to happen what uh take a prediction what

00:47:55.520 what would be an kind of a pattern you've seen before

00:48:02.240 all the news is bad for biden what do we see when that happens

00:48:08.080 well let's get to our next story see if this looks familiar

00:48:12.400 uh there's a story by uh in the news by uh america von reinenkamp who served as an analyst for the

00:48:23.760 state department's bureau of international security and non-proliferation he was an obama administration

00:48:29.840 appointee at the u.s department of defense so he's he's going to tell us that the ufos are definitely

00:48:37.920 real and uh the aliens must be here we don't know where they're from but according to this uh article

00:48:47.200 that coincidentally happens when the entire news cycle is against biden hmm and it's against that ukraine

00:48:54.880 funding hmm um suddenly all the ufos are real let me tell you there's a whole uh bigfoot ufo

00:49:06.000 yep ufos all over the place yeah don't go outside you'll probably trip over a ufo

00:49:15.360 ufos are not real there are no aliens there's only bullshit and i'm reading this story and listen to

00:49:26.480 the story that he's that this guy is trying to uh sell to us

00:49:31.680 that there was a uh i guess a specific jet that picked up these three entities and the three

00:49:40.000 entities were flying and they acted in ways that you know no technology can act and then it gets

00:49:47.280 weirder as they approached as the plane approached the three mysterious items the plane lost its

00:49:56.320 electronics so it's tracking turned off as they got near it now how do you interpret that let's see

00:50:08.880 one possibility is that aliens have crossed the universe and they're flying around earth

00:50:15.440 and they have a technology that can turn off your tracking and electronics when you get near them

00:50:20.160 them that's a possibility let me give you another possibility that's slightly more possible

00:50:29.440 we know their electronics were bad because they failed and the only evidence that these were

00:50:36.320 mysterious was those same electronics that failed so the evidence that ufos are real

00:50:43.680 comes from electronic devices that we know didn't last for another five minutes

00:50:53.440 that sounds a lot like the electronics weren't working

00:50:57.760 now i'm not saying that's the answer i'm just saying there's nothing about this story that sounds

00:51:02.480 credible to me and the timing of it is a little bit on the nose if you know what i mean so

00:51:08.320 uh there's a rasmussen poll uh i want to see if you can guess uh of likely u.s voters um how many people

00:51:19.840 think that the new york trial that trump's in will make uh people less likely to vote for trump

00:51:27.440 you know what percentage of voters say they're less likely to vote for him because of the law fair against

00:51:32.960 them 26 percent very good gas a lot of you were within one percent on that gas

00:51:42.160 smartest audience in all of politics i don't know how you do it time after time i ask you at the poll

00:51:48.640 you get it every time amazing yep 26 but uh 32 say it's made them more likely to vote for him

00:51:57.440 40 percent say no difference well over at the world economic forum i guess they're meeting

00:52:06.480 um guess who loves nuclear power now yeah the world economic forum oh they love their nuclear power

00:52:15.920 now do you know why is it because for many years nuclear was the only solution to climate change

00:52:23.200 well no but they are coming around on nuclear for climate change if they're still worried about

00:52:29.120 climate change but turns out there's a new reason for nuclear you can't do ai without it

00:52:37.280 there's no way to have ai the the robust you know full industry full-on ai unless we have something like

00:52:46.240 six times more electricity in this country than we have now

00:52:53.200 six times more sort of the minimum electricity we'll need to develop our ai industry so suddenly

00:53:01.520 larry fink and blackrock are saying oh we're going to need a whole lot of nuclear power and we're going

00:53:08.160 to need that fast so what's going to happen because there's no way we're going to build nuclear power

00:53:15.600 plants within 10 years if we started today it's going to take 10 years and ai is sort of next six months

00:53:26.400 so what's going to happen are our electricity costs going to go through the roof because we're competing

00:53:32.880 against ai data centers i don't know um as i try to think what would be the situation

00:53:42.560 um in the age of ai and robots and how do you make money and all that um i think somebody said this

00:53:50.880 before i did was it sam altman or somebody that the the currency of the future is electricity

00:53:58.080 think about it the currency of the future it's actually a current uh it's a current c is electricity

00:54:10.000 because electricity will be the base need for everything that matters you know ai and robots

00:54:15.520 and whatever and there won't be enough so it's a basic need and shortage so it's going to be the

00:54:24.080 thing that you could probably pay for one could imagine one could imagine a network grid that let

00:54:33.120 that let me pay you in electricity is that possible let's say uh i owed you a debt because i bought some

00:54:42.080 goods or services and suppose i could open up my app and say i'll tell you what i'm creating more

00:54:50.720 electricity that i need for my house i was going to sell it back to the grid but instead i'll just

00:54:56.240 transfer it to you in payment i'll just send you electricity if the grid allowed you to do that

00:55:05.440 and in theory it could it's not built to do it now but in theory it could if you built it out to do that

00:55:11.920 you could actually pay your bills with electricity hey i'll give you some electricity now i've also

00:55:17.200 wondered given that electricity will be the apparently the number one valued asset in the future

00:55:23.840 do you think there's a way for you individually to make money from this

00:55:29.040 because if you're going to need a massive massive electrical upgrade everywhere

00:55:36.560 suppose you decided on your own to buy a few acres and then you got a bunch of solar panels and a bunch of

00:55:43.920 solar uh batteries because it's all commercially available now could you build your own mini

00:55:50.800 electric plant and just sell it to the grid now right now i don't think that's an easy thing to do

00:55:57.920 there's probably regulations and blah blah blah but regulations for electricity should fall like crazy

00:56:05.680 if it becomes a crisis and it will because we don't have any we're not even close we're nowhere in the

00:56:12.080 neighborhood of having a fraction of what we need so it's going to be a crisis it's going to happen

00:56:17.520 fast is there any way you individually could become a power plant for your town and just say i'll tell you

00:56:25.520 what you know the the city isn't going to give you electricity but i'll run a line to your house

00:56:33.360 or something like that now i'm sure all of that's illegal for 100 reasons but everything's going to loosen

00:56:39.440 up when you run out of electricity right you can have laws when everything's working but if we run out

00:56:45.520 of electricity oh chamath has a startup that lets you sell your electricity as scale if you're a homeowner

00:56:56.080 so you can group together and sell it well that's a pretty good idea that's a heck of an idea i like

00:57:02.480 that idea um all right so the world economic forum they love nuclear power how much do all of you like

00:57:12.880 being right probably every one of you listening to this has been saying for i don't know 10 years

00:57:20.320 we need more nuclear nuclear nuclear nuclear and now you're not just right you're right to the point of

00:57:27.680 survival i mean you're so right you could not be writer how does that feel how does it feel to be

00:57:36.480 that right for 10 years in a row about what turns out to be the most critical question in the country

00:57:42.480 that's pretty good imagine if you've been wrong about this for 20 years a lot of people had been

00:57:48.720 wrong about it the people who are wrong about nuclear for 20 years put us in this situation

00:57:54.560 the the dire crisis and are probably the inability to get ai is scaled up as much as we want

00:58:04.560 however i'm going to give you a counter hypothesis and it goes like this

00:58:10.880 how can it simultaneously be true that we need massive energy for ai at the same time it's true

00:58:19.280 that we can run ai locally on our phones without any performance problems

00:58:27.360 can they both be true is it not likely the ai will be good enough fast enough that you don't need any

00:58:34.960 electric any extra electricity i feel like that's a possibility i'm going to go out on a limb

00:58:42.240 i'm going to say that the projections of monstrous needs for electricity will be uh solved without

00:58:52.400 monstrous new electricity i think we'll find a way to do it cheap so that that's going to be my

00:59:00.640 yeah i know you need training and service i get it i get it i get it it's not just the model i do

00:59:05.840 understand you when i said it i did understand that the training is the big thing but here's the thing

00:59:13.040 i think the training might hit a wall in other words i don't know if infinite training is what

00:59:20.880 they need i think they need to be trained to be good enough to do whatever it is they need to do

00:59:26.000 and we might get there faster than you think now keep keep in mind that we also don't have a market

00:59:32.400 for training material yet in other words if i train my robot with a set of data that i have

00:59:42.880 and you wanted your robot to be trained in the same data is there two ways to do that or only one

00:59:50.320 is the only way to do that to give you the somebody else the data and then they use their

00:59:55.200 own mechanism to train on it or here's my question given that somebody is already trained on the data

01:00:02.400 the the the patterns and the programs and the algorithms i don't know what the right words are

01:00:08.880 that are created from the data are not the size of the data so if the data you're trading on is a

01:00:16.400 gazillion gigabytes once you've trained on it everything it knows can be compressed into you know

01:00:24.000 one gigabyte or something so it's like maybe one to a hundred once you've done the training is it

01:00:30.320 possible that i can sell the trained module and not the data has anybody ever asked that question

01:00:39.600 in public is it too stupid to say in public you know the trouble with a new field is that it's easy

01:00:48.880 to be stupid because we're all just learning ai but i don't know a reason why you couldn't sell

01:00:56.160 the trained model versus selling the raw data there just isn't a market for it yet

01:01:04.560 now if you have different ai models it might be that if you buy a trained uh open ai module

01:01:14.400 it might not work with your you know gemini technology or something but it will there will be

01:01:20.720 translators i mean at some point somebody's going to write a thing that takes a a trained module from

01:01:26.560 one ai and you know remodel you know reworks it so it works with the other ai and in fact the ai's

01:01:33.520 will write that program themselves so you don't even have to wait for the humans the ai will figure out

01:01:39.600 how to share its own programs because that's what it does well so i think that the uh massive uh energy

01:01:49.760 the 30 gigawatts that we need according to larry fink uh is probably what we need based on current

01:01:56.880 technology and current markets but i think we might be even one and a half years away from just not

01:02:07.120 needing that electricity

01:02:11.600 chamath explained how the value of training models will go to zero correct because they will they'll tap

01:02:18.080 out let let me put it this way if you trained um your model on all the writings in in america

01:02:25.840 and then you added what we wrote today how much smarter would it get it wouldn't it sort of maxed

01:02:35.600 down it would learn new facts but that's more of a search engine thing than an ai thing

01:02:43.600 so yeah i think that there'll be artificial um so so a lot of the training is now what what's the word

01:02:51.760 for it they use uh artificial scenarios to train it so the ai is training itself it's creating scenarios

01:02:59.920 that don't exist and then it's observing the scenario and then it's baking it back into the model and

01:03:05.280 repeating wouldn't that lead us to history repeat i'm going to ignore your questions the the troll

01:03:15.520 questions i'm just going to ignore i i think you all know that things that have happened before do

01:03:22.080 happen the trouble is prediction i'm not saying the things that have happened before don't happen again

01:03:28.080 or that they look like they happen again of course the things that look like they happen

01:03:34.880 are happening again it's just if you can't predict it it's not a real thing

01:03:38.800 yeah looking at it after the fact isn't telling you anything all right uh how's trump doing on his

01:03:46.000 gag orders as you know trump uh got gag orders from um judge mershon and it's working great it's a

01:03:56.160 totally shut trump up so now he doesn't say anything about anybody involved with the trial

01:04:02.560 uh let me read his two truth social things this is a total witch hunt hours of sitting down and

01:04:10.800 listening to nothing except exoneration and lies the trial is going like a speeding bullet because the

01:04:16.000 judge is working hard to make all of his friends happy mershon is rigged crooked and above all without

01:04:22.000 question conflicted it's a disgrace to our country they've taken away my right to free speech election

01:04:28.400 interference and then truth post number two this judge has taken away my constitutional right to

01:04:35.680 free speech i'm the only presidential candidate in history to be gagged this whole trial in quotes is

01:04:41.600 rigged and by taking away my freedom of speech this highly conflicted judge is rigging the presidential of

01:04:48.160 the presidential of 2024 election election interference

01:04:51.600 so that he's pretty gagged he's all gagged up

01:05:01.680 so

01:05:06.320 whoever's posting the the random stuff you can stop doing that the random characters

01:05:14.000 yeah random character guy please stop

01:05:17.360 let's see

01:05:23.360 yeah just block him i don't have a way to make this private in when i'm going to the studio all right

01:05:34.000 so the gag order isn't working quite as well as the judge had hoped um trump is is pressing him and

01:05:41.760 forcing him to putting him in jail and it's not going to work because the judge is not dumb enough to

01:05:47.200 put him in jail for free speech so i love the way trump is handling this do you

01:05:57.760 this is one of those few times when i can watch what trump's doing the whole law fair thing and

01:06:02.880 the way the way he's talking about the way he's pressing on the on the gag order and just pushing it

01:06:08.640 as far as far as he can every bit of that i like so he paid nine thousand dollars for the gag order

01:06:16.160 was that the best publicity ever that was the best nine thousand dollars he spent all year

01:06:22.960 i mean it was a great news cycle to say that he got you know gagged for his free speech now i would

01:06:28.800 say that the gagging trump for free speech is also reminding me of january 6th january 6 people were

01:06:37.040 put in jail for free speech trump's trying to use his free speech about the trial and they're

01:06:42.400 threatening to put him in jail so again it works perfectly with his narrative that the system is

01:06:48.640 rigged and trying to put him in jail it works perfectly with his narrative that the election was

01:06:53.760 rigged because you can watch them rig this election while you watch there's no question the election

01:06:59.600 is rigged for 2024 you're watching it every single day it's the headline news the headline is that the

01:07:06.240 election is rigged they just don't say those words the headline is that he's he's being law fared

01:07:13.920 yeah peter navarro still in jail that is correct so msnbc they're trying to make a story out of it and

01:07:20.400 the best they could come up with is that trump is bored and he keeps falling asleep

01:07:26.320 at the table how in the world do you not fall asleep during a trial like that first of all there's

01:07:33.120 nothing that any of the witnesses are going to say that make any bearing on the trial because there's

01:07:38.080 no crime it doesn't matter what people talk about there's not even an alleged crime involved

01:07:44.320 no that i don't think trump needs to pay attention and i love the fact that the way he's treating it

01:07:52.560 is like so so much bullshit that he can sleep through it and it won't make any difference it

01:07:57.840 doesn't make any difference and by the way i don't believe there's a law that says he has to be awake

01:08:02.880 i believe the law says you have to be there and he is so yeah he can sleep through the whole damn thing

01:08:10.240 if you see him looking sleepy at a rally well i'm gonna get worried if you see him sleepy when he's

01:08:16.480 talking outside the you know outside the court and he's talking to the press okay i'll get worried

01:08:21.600 about that but no you put him in the most boring situation in the world and keep in mind trump's

01:08:28.720 regular life is the most exciting life anybody's ever heard of in there ever i mean he's running for

01:08:35.360 president to be president again and he's already trump he's starting as trump

01:08:42.640 and he's also running for president every moment of his life is fascinating and then they make him

01:08:48.800 sit in this complete you know absence of stimulation because none of it's relevant to anything even the

01:08:56.320 facts of the case are certainly irrelevant to anything and yes i want him to sleep

01:09:02.160 i want him to close his eyes to disregard and disrespect the entire system and just get some sleep

01:09:12.560 and if he snored better oh my god would i love it if he were a snorer i would love to hear every

01:09:21.840 single day that they had to wake him up from snoring during his lawfare trial that's a perfect

01:09:29.040 news cycle to me so yeah let's keep talking about him falling asleep because that's working for him

01:09:35.120 not you

01:09:38.720 trump also said that uh he warned that biden and his family could uh face criminal uh prosecutions

01:09:46.880 when they leave office if the supreme court doesn't give trump immunity is that fair to say

01:09:52.640 is it fair to say that if trump doesn't get presidential immunity for what he's done

01:09:58.800 that it would open up biden to the same types of criminal prosecutions yes and indeed we should

01:10:06.000 make a list of what those would be we meaning the opponents for joe biden of which i count myself

01:10:12.640 the opponents for joe biden should already have a list and they should publish it and it should be

01:10:17.600 the subject of an article of what the potential charges would be now i'd love to see somebody who

01:10:23.680 is you know not a crazy person do this i'd love to see a jonathan turley just say you know without

01:10:31.520 the provocation because that's what he's good at he's gonna just given us the facts i'd love to see

01:10:36.400 a jonathan turley say all right well here's the deal if trump doesn't get immunity uh i can think of

01:10:44.080 six different things that people could come after biden for even if unfairly so it doesn't mean that

01:10:50.880 biden is guilty of any of those things but here are six things that they could easily make a case

01:10:56.000 out of and take it forward i want to see the list and by the way if the list is nothing well i'd like

01:11:02.800 to know that that would be important but if there are half a dozen things that you could conceivably go

01:11:09.040 after biden for and his family i want to know that's really really important speaking of jonathan

01:11:16.960 turley he was the uh i guess the guest uh liberal in the liberal chair of the five

01:11:24.480 and you know they have rotating people um he's really good yeah uh my my vote if anybody from the

01:11:32.400 the five is listening bring him back yeah he's a good ad i like uh um um turley but i'm sorry uh

01:11:44.960 jessica why am i forgetting her last name um

01:11:51.440 jessica on the five why am i forgetting your last name

01:11:55.520 oh you know i'm talking about i like her too but uh turley is a superstar all right um cnn had a

01:12:07.200 focus group on of uh what they called undecided uh women uh from some southern state was it georgia

01:12:15.520 or south carolina or someplace one of the southern states and i think this was in response tarlov there

01:12:23.200 you go i i couldn't sort out turley from tarlov that's why i was having a problem with it yeah

01:12:29.200 so jessica tarlov i apologize to jessica for forgetting your last name but it's because i

01:12:35.360 was talking about a turley it's hard to go from turley to tarlov my brain wasn't handling that too well

01:12:42.080 all right so cnn has this focus group of uh looked like about uh 10 or 12 women and they were talking

01:12:49.360 about uh trump and they were not happy with trump and they were saying stuff like he's going to be

01:12:55.040 he only cares about himself now i assume the cnn had this focus group because the last time they

01:13:02.080 tried to get a focus group of independence they all said they were going to vote for trump

01:13:07.760 and i think there were more men more men than women in that group so they get a bunch of women

01:13:14.080 because i think they'll probably get a better result that way so they've got a bunch of women

01:13:20.320 and uh it didn't work out for cnn so here's what i saw i don't know how they got so many unhealthy

01:13:26.880 looking women to participate in one event but i didn't see anybody who looked like they could jog a

01:13:32.880 mile if you know what i mean didn't see anybody who looked like they could jog didn't see anybody

01:13:38.720 who looked like they had a gym membership all right so it was a bunch of people who looked like they

01:13:43.440 were killing themselves with food complaining about trump in a way that uh he only cares about

01:13:52.400 himself i didn't hear them say this but i'm sure somebody said he wants to be a dictator a fascist

01:13:58.000 he wants to end free speech he's stealing my democracy do you know why you say stuff like that

01:14:03.760 you say stuff like that because there's nothing else to say so you try to make something out of words

01:14:10.000 words given that he already has a full term as president you don't really have to wonder how

01:14:16.640 he's going to act and all the things he did are very popular compared to biden so if you look at the

01:14:22.800 actual real things that trump did when he was president and totally pointed this out today uh the real

01:14:29.600 things people like trump's real performance better than biden's real performance so on everything that's

01:14:36.320 measurable and real the economy immigration blah blah uh trump wins so they have to get to something

01:14:45.200 you can't measure and isn't real because anything you can measure and is real trump is winning by a mile

01:14:54.880 so they got to come up with well i think he's going to take my free free speech away

01:14:59.600 that that's what uh that's what they said in m msnbc go take his free take my democracy take my free

01:15:07.920 speech he only cares about himself these are not the opinions of somebody who thought about it carefully

01:15:14.000 and reached their own opinion yes here's the real tell the he only cares about himself means you've been

01:15:20.720 brainwashed that's not an actual opinion from a human being that's brainwashing

01:15:29.360 why there are no politicians who don't care about themselves the entire design of the presidency

01:15:38.640 is that you can take a person who's really really good at being selfish and put them in the job and it

01:15:45.360 works perfectly do i have to explain why the design of the presidency by design you can take the most

01:15:55.040 selfish ego testicle only cares about himself person and put him in that job it works fine

01:16:02.560 it works great do you know why because it's transparent the only way trump can have a good day

01:16:10.640 is if he does a good job the only way trump can have a good legacy is if he does a good job for the

01:16:19.040 country the only way trump's family name can be redeemed from the horrors of being in the political process

01:16:26.480 is if he does a great job the only way and it's all transparent we're going to watch it all we're

01:16:33.040 going to measure it all we're going to know what the economy did we're going to know how much money went to ukraine

01:16:37.440 ukraine we're going to know if the war ended or it didn't we're going to know and um anyway

01:16:47.280 so all the things you can measure look good for trump and all the things that are complete

01:16:50.800 bullshit like he's going to take my democracy he only cares about himself these are not real reasons

01:16:57.680 and these are not the reasons that people who even follow politics use these are the reasons that you

01:17:03.120 heard somewhere and because you had a vague feeling that you don't like him and you want to be popular

01:17:08.000 with your in-group you say oh he only cares about himself do you think adam schiff cares about you

01:17:17.600 seriously

01:17:20.480 right yeah you think you can name a politician who cares about you more than they care about themselves

01:17:27.760 and would you even want somebody that crazy in the presidency no i want somebody who has a complete

01:17:34.320 understanding of their self-interest and then you put them in the most transparent job in the world

01:17:39.920 and there's only one thing that's going to happen they are going to be my bitch

01:17:46.720 right if you don't do the job while i'm watching you don't get the good reputation you don't get

01:17:53.280 re-elected if that's what you're trying to do your business doesn't do well in the future your

01:17:57.600 family is embarrassed right the egotist in the presidency is my bitch because you can't do

01:18:05.840 anything that's unpopular i'm watching i mean everybody else is watching right so no these are

01:18:12.320 not real opinions he only cares about himself these are things people saw on tv they're not paying attention

01:18:18.320 but they got their little moment on cnn and they sat there full of cookies and dessert and whatever

01:18:25.680 shit they put in their bodies to look the way they did and uh it's hard to take their opinion seriously

01:18:34.400 all right

01:18:37.520 by the way if you didn't know this uh let me give you a brutal truth that would be really useful to you

01:18:44.480 i don't believe in fat shaming so that's not what i was doing um because i don't think that

01:18:50.160 you know i think there's just too too much going on with the addiction of the food so i think it's

01:18:57.280 really hard to lose weight so i don't make fun of anybody for having weight but i will tell you for

01:19:03.360 sure that people will judge your opinions on other things more harshly if you haven't taken care of your

01:19:10.400 body is that fair your opinion on any topic will be judged more harshly if the things you can see

01:19:20.160 aren't working in other words if i look at you and i say how did you not figure out how to get to a

01:19:26.960 gym and eat right because everybody else kind of knows how to do that i mean they're not doing it

01:19:33.680 but we all know how to do it well why am i listening to your opinion on this other topic

01:19:40.000 when the the thing that's most basic to your your very happiness and survival you're not really even

01:19:44.960 working on how how would i suppose that you know what a priority even looks like how do i suppose

01:19:51.440 you know how a system works or even what's important in life how can i take anything you say seriously

01:19:57.760 if you're presenting yourself as a physical failure and i realize that's harsh i realize that's

01:20:07.040 harsh a lot of you are listening and saying oh shit you know you're making me feel bad because i should

01:20:12.240 try harder yeah that's what i'm trying to do i'm trying to make you feel bad about not trying harder

01:20:18.160 to take care of yourself and i'm not going to apologize for that a bit so i don't do fat shaming

01:20:24.480 there are all kinds of reasons that people are the way they are and it's not all under your control

01:20:30.480 but yeah there should be social pressure on you to get that part right because that's good for you

01:20:36.160 so social pressure is not bad right it does keep us at least a little bit walking you know down the

01:20:43.600 middle of the road so that's my my gift to you is that if you want to be taken seriously

01:20:51.680 make sure you take care of your highest priorities you take care of that stuff i'll take your next opinion

01:20:56.800 seriously all right there's an election app turning point uh the turning point action group have an

01:21:04.640 app tpa tp action brand new app so i don't know the full details of it but it's creating what they

01:21:13.040 call a relational approach to politics to getting people to vote what it looks like from the images

01:21:21.200 and i don't know for sure is it looks like it's trying to get you to basically be acquaintances or

01:21:27.920 online friends with other people who are likely to vote and live near you so it's trying to connect

01:21:34.720 you to people with like-minded voting preferences so you can encourage each other to vote that's what

01:21:41.280 it looks like it's a good idea good idea now execution is everything so if people aren't interested

01:21:49.600 in the app and they don't like it after they use it then it's nothing but i am encouraged that people

01:21:57.280 on the right are doing things and this is a thing like whether this works or doesn't work it was the

01:22:04.400 right thing right it was the right thing to try and i think there was somebody mentioned there's some

01:22:09.600 other app that might try to get it at a different way um is it free i assume it's free yeah it might not

01:22:17.840 be maybe maybe it also takes donations i don't know i don't know anything about it but uh yes so we

01:22:26.160 know that the republicans are trying to respond in a number of ways to what they thought were election

01:22:33.840 security issues and you know maybe the the mechanism of the election the mail-in voting wasn't working for

01:22:40.000 republicans so they're trying to work on that they're trying to get more more observers at the election

01:22:46.640 places so there does seem to be visible action in all the directions that make sense

01:22:54.160 so so at least the conservatives and republicans are acting like conservatives and republicans

01:23:00.400 how much do you like the fact that the the political right is taking sort of a free market

01:23:08.720 you know they're they're learning from their mistakes suggesting i like it i like it there's

01:23:16.480 something going on positive i don't know if it's enough or not all right the gateway pundit is reporting

01:23:25.840 um that there was a an appeals court that denied a request to um ignore the lack of dates on mail-in

01:23:35.040 ballots all right so that's too many negatives let me see if i can put this in a simpler term

01:23:39.200 pennsylvania wanted to be able to count its ballots even if they didn't have a date on them

01:23:46.560 and apparently that's a pretty big problem that they come in undated and

01:23:52.480 uh a an appeals court third u.s circuit i ruled that the mail-in ballots with no dates cannot be counted

01:23:58.800 so that's a change so all of those many ballots that came in for the prior elections would actually be

01:24:08.720 thrown out by law the ones with no dates on them that could be a big difference now this is a case

01:24:16.080 in which the republicans appear to have done a good and useful job so they took a specific

01:24:23.680 problem they took it to the courts and they got the victory they wanted very good very good uh jeff

01:24:34.880 fulgham is reporting that there's apparently overwhelming evidence of the georgia vote being

01:24:43.360 let's say imperfect so let's see according to a vote data from a number of years 2012 2020 a block of over 120

01:24:58.560 about 126 000 um non-voters typical non-voters voted so in other words

01:25:05.760 a six-digit number of people voted who don't normally vote that's one-fourth of atlanta's

01:25:16.960 entire population voted when they don't normally vote does that sound real no it doesn't it turns

01:25:23.920 out there are a whole bunch of uh ballots that appear to be have been scanned more than once

01:25:29.360 now we do have really solid evidence that ballots were scanned more than once

01:25:34.800 so it's really a question of how many of them and turns out it might have been a lot

01:25:42.160 anyway so yeah the irregularities from georgia are um to the point where a reasonable person

01:25:50.400 i think can conclude it was rigged would you agree based on what you've heard from reports

01:25:58.800 could a reasonable person conclude that at least in georgia the election was rigged

01:26:04.800 is that fair i think it's fair based on the evidence we've seen now i don't independently have a

01:26:13.600 claim i'm saying that a reasonable person could look at the claims that have been made and say yeah

01:26:19.760 that looks definitely rigged yeah but i i remind you that nothing has been proven in court that would

01:26:30.800 have changed the last election um michael schellenberger and matt taibbi and alex gutentag

01:26:41.040 are working together and they have confirmed the following that the cia ran the russia collusion op and

01:26:50.000 they ran it the same way that they run the ops on other countries and that dan bongino is reporting

01:26:56.400 uh and he's giving credit to uh schellenberger taibbi and gutentag he but bongino wants us to know that

01:27:04.080 the ukrainian operation was also about taking down trump and that the um let's see what else and that the mar-a-lago

01:27:14.560 document situation might have also been about taking down trump and that all of it might be a cia up and that our country is indeed not run as any kind of a

01:27:25.840 republic or democracy but rather the cia is running it as a banana republic

01:27:32.960 now is there anybody above the cia is there the atlantic council or barack obama i don't know

01:27:41.040 i don't know about that part but what i do know is that the evidence seems overwhelming

01:27:47.280 that the cia has been running ops on the american people to affect um to affect the outcome of

01:27:54.320 elections and that we have not been anything like a democracy or a republic and maybe we haven't been

01:28:03.600 that i i think the 60s is when it all ended now could we get it back i don't know maybe maybe if we ever

01:28:03.840 had it but it hasn't been here since the 60s um we've been a fake fake country since the 60s at least

01:28:20.720 that's my take fake country all right

01:28:29.040 are the republicans doing better because rana is gone from the rnc well i don't know i mean

01:28:35.200 she might have started a number of these initiatives it's too hard to say

01:28:42.880 um

01:28:46.720 i think guys now tried to expose it yeah i think so

01:28:54.560 do i miss arafat

01:28:55.680 yeah so everything is exactly what it looks like but here's the thing um did you notice that all of

01:29:06.960 these stories work well for trump basically everything in the headlines is working for trump

01:29:14.560 and the only things that are not working are literally manufactured so i told you about the

01:29:20.640 focus group on cnn of the unhealthy looking women who don't like trump they had to manufacture that

01:29:28.160 that wasn't news that was the news people creating an event that they could call news

01:29:36.000 because there wasn't any and do you know why the patriot front exists you know the guys who

01:29:42.480 march around in the khakis and everybody thinks they're feds it's because they couldn't find any

01:29:48.080 real white supremacist organizations that have any

01:29:52.160 juice the reason the patriot front exists is because there weren't any real ones

01:29:57.840 when when they look for the white supremacists in the military they didn't find them

01:30:04.640 it's all been fake everything's been fake for years everything the government told you was

01:30:11.360 bullshit for years and so ladies and gentlemen this concludes my comments for the larger audience i'm

01:30:18.720 going to say some words to the locals people once i wrap up here they're special they subscribe

01:30:27.840 and if you'd like to subscribe scottadams.locals or on x you can see the dilbert comic on x

01:30:35.040 uh by the way the uh the dilbert calendar for 2025 is it's in production um you know the design and

01:30:45.280 pulling it all together part and there will be a dilbert calendar for 2025 so you can slow me down but

01:30:52.160 you can't stop me and uh goodbye to everybody except the locals people hang around for a minute and i'll

01:30:58.960 say uh say uh say hi to just you all right everybody see you tomorrow

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 01, 2024

Episode 2461 CWSA 05⧸01⧸24

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