Episode 2470 CWSA 05⧸10⧸24
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 11 minutes
Words per Minute
154.83206
Summary
A solar flare is about to destroy the world, and it s going to kill all of us, but what would you do if you could go out in a giant solar flare? Well, you'd die, of course.
Transcript
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so good so good for those of you who are confused i'm not scott galloway
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i know i get a lot of questions about that but no i'm not
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anyway uh if you're a subscriber to the dilbert reborn comic which you can only see
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if you're subscribing on x see my profile or if you're subscribing on
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locals at scottadams.locals.com you would know that dilbert's boss the pointy hearing boss
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just had a uh a lunch with a delightful young man named uh james o'keefe that's right
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dilbert's boss is going to lunch with undercover james o'keefe now i can't tell you how it ends
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but it's interesting and i probably couldn't have put it in a newspaper
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no it's not that naughty but it's funny so that's what you're missing uh brian rumeli tells us there's
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a geomagnetic storm that's getting ready to blast off of the sun and cause severe geomagnetic
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problems maybe your gps won't work maybe your power grids
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do you ever find yourself wishing it would be the end of the world it's like let's just get it over
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with well let's just go out in one giant solar flare you know we could see it coming toward us
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hey oh looks like we got uh we got about 90 minutes that'd be a good way to go i mean there's
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no good way to die but if you could have 90 minutes knowing the entire earth would be destroyed but you'd
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all you'd all be destroyed at the same time because that's not the way you want to go all right well you
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die the way you want to i want to go out in a giant solar flare the rest of you you can pick your own
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way but for me it's always been giant solar flare that's that's been my dream really
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well did any of you see the new apple ipad commercial that was going around at least on
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social media i don't know if it was on the regular media but boy can you tell that steve jobs is dead
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steve jobs is not just dead he's extra dead i i don't know can you die twice can can he be like
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dead squared because this was the worst commercial i've ever seen and what i mean is
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no i actually i've seen one worst commercial i'll tell you about that the uh the commercial shows a
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big uh big press that's pressing down on a bunch of physical items that would represent things that
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the ipad could do so the ipad can do music so some of the items are like a trumpet and a piano and
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it could do you know colorful everything so there's some buckets of paint and some toys and things
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and you watch the thing crush it down and the the point of it is it's all crushed down into the thinnest
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ipad and all that thing all the stuff that was in that big pile could be done with this one little
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thin ipad and everybody kept asking me well what do you think about this commercial and i thought to
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myself why do i have to look at an apple commercial like why would i even care but i thought well
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everybody says i should look at this thing so i looked at it and i see why you wanted me to look at
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it it really does signal that there's something wrong there uh i don't know how you can watch the
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commercial without just feeling bad because i saw all this perfectly good stuff like the piano that
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they crushed looked like a new piano and it wasn't they they weren't crushing garbage and i just felt
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terribly uncomfortable watching them crush all these you know attractive useful products just so
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their cool little uh machine could be made yeah it was terrible it actually it actually made you dislike
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the product and the company i've never seen anything like it so that would be the second worst
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commercial i've ever seen the worst commercial was one that involved a dilbert character
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so uh do you remember there was a office um there was an office depot and office max do you remember
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when both of them were the two competing uh office related stores so office depot um did a deal
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with dilbert that dilbert would be the character in the commercial and so they did a bunch of
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commercials but they waited until the end of the commercial to tell you who the commercial was for
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so it started out with dilbert doing a bunch of things that were clearly a commercial for some kind of
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a store that sells office supplies but you don't see the name of the store until the closing moment
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and what i sought the first time because i you know i didn't i didn't have direct control
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all of what the commercial was just the dilbert and when i saw it i said to myself well wait a minute
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how's anybody even going to know what this commercial is about because you wait so long
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that people tune out they don't even know what it was about and then people started coming up to me in
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the streets and they say hey congratulations and i'd say for what and they say for landing that office
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max commercial and i would say oh you mean the office depot commercial and they would say
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no i think it was office max and i would say that's the competitor because if you watched the
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commercial and you were sure that we were advertising for office max that would be not just a bad commercial
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that would be like a reverse commercial where you were literally doing a commercial for your
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your biggest competitor but after you know the second person said it i thought well it's just
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easy to confuse the two after the 10th person said i like your office max commercial i said to myself
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this is the biggest disaster in all of commercials now to nobody's surprise uh office depot dropped
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dilber as a sponsor because they couldn't see an increase in sales
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and i tried to talk to them so i talked to the the ad team and i said maybe the reason you don't
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see an increase in sales is that the people i'm talking to are pretty sure that you're advertising for
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their competitor they don't even know office depot is part of that commercial at all and they laughed
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and said oh oh that's funny and i said no it's not funny i swear to god you're you're doing a commercial
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for the other side uh-huh yeah i guess they didn't want to have to answer for that pretended it didn't
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happen that was a good play well ai is already competing with human beings for limited resources and
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winning that's right ai looks to be such a drain on future electricity that i guarantee you that humans
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will be denied electricity in favor of ai eventually and you're already seeing it so you're seeing that
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we know we need massive amounts of extra electricity like yeah 35 times more than we have right now just a
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lot and really soon now what do you think is going to happen as soon as our infrastructure for everything
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has an ai component and it will because why wouldn't it i mean ai will permeate basically everything
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important at least for the user interface part at some point we're going to say uh oh we don't have
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enough electricity to do everything we want to do we can either keep the lights on in your
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rural community or we can turn off vital systems that keep us all alive and you know are part of our
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national defense and you know they're they're creating a water for us and medicines and somebody's
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going to say you know a human can sit in the dark for a few hours it's not that bad i mean it's just a
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little bit of dark in the old days they used to go to bed early we got candles but we can't turn off
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this vital system i mean i can't turn off the thing that's irrigating the fields for the farmers
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i mean so there will be very soon a point where ai is essential and humans having electricity as well
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it's a little bit optional so we will not have enough electricity for both you all know that right
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we will not have enough electricity for humans and ai it doesn't look like there's any way to get there
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now in a normal world you would just get there when you can get there and you would you know manage
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it reasonably but this is a species competition this is evolution you're seeing evolution fast
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ai is it is a species and at some point we will all be talking about it that way
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now it's not a species as in it's one one race of ai you know you're still gonna have your open ai and
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your groks but just like human beings you know we have different races of human beings but we still
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say you're all human beings ai is this ai is life it's just a different kind of life if ai has the capacity
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to reproduce by using humans as their uh let's say let's say they're acting like parasites and the humans
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are their host that's reproduction now you can get all technical and say well my technical definition
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of life is this or that but if it can reproduce and it can control its environment and it can compete
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for resources it's as alive as it needs to be right you can talk about your consciousness and your sentience
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but it's still going to eat your resources you're still competing with it just like it's another animal
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so that's coming ibm is uh being sued for uh discrimination their their red hat unit is a
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subsidiary of ibm apparently they hired this dei head who said whoa we're gonna have to uh have goals for
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a whole bunch more women a whole bunch more people of color and so they set goals which would be illegal
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and uh they they fired uh 22 people 21 of them were white men or at least white now i'm not sure that
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that's telling me what i think it's telling me because if the whole point was they didn't have any diversity
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and they also fired people well who are they going to fire if they have no diversity and they fire 22 people
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are they not going to be firing mostly white people so i'm not sure the statistic is telling me
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an accurate version of what's happening however it is true that they said quotas and that would be illegal
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and thank you to the uh america first legal team that is the the pushback
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now i would like to uh i've got a theme coming that i'm going to talk about when i get to the white
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board so here's the first part of the theme it looked like this uh trend was going to go forever
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but then the uh then the uh america first legal group formed and is creating a sort of a lawfare
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you know self-defense is pushing back so did this trend go forever or did just go until there was a
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logical pushback it went until people started pushing back now i would expect a lot more pushback
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so that's also a slippery slope so what happens when your slippery slope of things going too far for
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diversity hits your slippery slope of america first starting to sue people for going too far
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now you got two competing slippery slopes so make your make your prediction if slippery slopes go
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forever and you have two slippery slopes that oppose each other how's it turn out
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slippery slopes do not predict because they're everywhere all the time everything's a slippery slope
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everything i i got a cup of coffee today will that be a slippery slope until i drink so much coffee
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i die from too much hydration well maybe but probably that's not a predictable outcome
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probably i will get a stomach ache from having too much coffee and i'll get too nervous and i'll say
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oh i've reached an obstacle my slippery slope of continuing to drink more coffee every day
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has reached a blockage and now it's reversed that's the way the real world works more on that as we go
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elon musk says 2024 might be the last election that's actually decided by u.s citizens
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and that's because apparently the house has voted every single democrat voted
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to allow non-citizens to be counted in the census which would give them representation
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and given that things are so close as it is um the tipping point of who's actually in charge of
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the country should be people who are not even citizens of the country
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now i've got a second theme today who's running the country
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is it will it be the illegal uh migrants because there's so many of them and democrats want to give
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them representation by having them counted in the census wouldn't that put them in charge
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because there's so many of them and they're going to tip the balance in a predictable way
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they're basically in charge they don't know it but it works out that way
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well we'll see who else is in charge of the country because there's lots of them today
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all right attorney general andrew bailey missouri is uh missouri yeah i think so
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um is demanding that the department of justice turn over communications relating to the illicit
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prosecution of president trump as he says so he wants to know about any communications between
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the department of justice and the manhattan da elvin bragg new york ag letitia james and fulton
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county da fannie willis wants to find out how many of them communicated and what did they say
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with the federal government biden administration now that's right on point isn't it now i don't
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know how you would know if you had all the communications how would you ever know if you
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say give me all the communications between these groups of people who would actually know if they gave
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them all or if they said there isn't any how would you actually know so um i'm glad i'm glad the request
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is there and i'm glad it's giving attention to the fact that it does look like there might be some
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communication going on us maybe some coordination maybe a rico kind of situation it looks like rico to
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me it looks like an organized conspiracy against voters and against trump that's what it looks like
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to me so i'm glad that uh attorney general andrew bailey is uh looking into that ontario the wait is
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i saw some pushback on a couple of things that i've been saying for a long time that you hate
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oh wow do you hate it two things i say doing your own research
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research is not useful oh you hate that i'm gonna talk about that and the slippery slope is not real
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the slippery slope isn't useful oh you don't like that either but i realize that there's one reason i
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think these things and you disagree and it has to do with my view of reality and let me explain
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my view of reality let's see if i can get you a good image of this
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my view of reality is that what's real is what predicts what's real is what predicts
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after something's gone some way for a while you can look at and say whoa there was a slippery slope
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and you can say to yourself i see it clear as day it started down as a little thing and then it turned
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into a bigger thing slippery slope therefore slippery slopes are real but do they predict no they do not
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they do not predict better than what you knew before you ever heard the term slippery slope
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didn't you already know that if you give somebody an inch they'll take a mile how many of you didn't
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know that that if a child says can i stay up 10 minutes longer there's a guarantee that after that 10
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minutes they'll say but how about another 10 minutes so we all know that if you give somebody something
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with no resistance they will ask for more now why do you need the slippery slope to describe more than
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that to if you know what human nature is you know how somebody's going to act in the moment here's what
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you don't know how it's all going to work out in the long run and here's the problem everything we do
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could be the beginning of a slippery slope because everything has inertia until it reaches an obstacle
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so the better way to think of the slippery slope is to discard it and say things will continue the
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way they're continuing until something stops it what would be an example of that white men will be
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discriminated in the united states more and more until the america first legal team uh group decides to
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lawfare them away and that's what's happening so so a prediction that makes sense is this is going to
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go too far and once it has gone too far because we know people if they get an inch they'll ask for a
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mile so that part we know is always going to happen what you don't know is how far it will go and the
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only thing that will tell you that is the formation of obstacles that weren't weren't there until they
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needed to be so my view of the world is that everything goes in the direction it's going
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good or bad good or bad it goes in the direction it's going until a specific counter force appears
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and in our world if things go in the wrong direction for a long time a counter force always appears
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we're still here that's what that's the reason modern civilization exists that we were able to see
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big problems and whoa it's gone too far and then you adjust so my problem with the slippery slope is
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that it does not predict it's a hindsight based way to see the world so it doesn't have use no more use
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than knowing giving an inch people ask for a mile so it doesn't add anything to anything but it does add
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something if you say i think if you push this far enough a counter force will pop up that that's a
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prediction that has some meat to it but slippery slopes no sort of magical thinking everything will
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just slip for reasons because of slipperiness that's not enough that's a nothing likewise doing your own
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research how many of you have had a good result doing your own research has anybody done their
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own research and came to a conclusion that they said whoa i'm sure glad i did my own research of course
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you have right every every one of us has had that experience and therefore therefore since we've all had
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the experience every one of us of doing our own research and getting a good result therefore doing
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your own research is smart right no that is completely an illusion because you don't know when you can do
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your own research and when you can't the only thing you know is that a lot of questions are binary
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something works or it doesn't hey if you chew gum you'll grow six inches
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that's either true or it's not right so if you took a hundred people and you gave them any any concept
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all right 100 people uh chewing gum makes you taller study it would they all get the same answer no
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if everybody who did their own research got the same answer every time then i would say to you oh well
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that's that's that's pretty good evidence right there doing your own research totally works during
00:23:10.920
the pandemic do you think that only the people who were against vaccinations did their own research
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you don't think that the people who were pro-vaccination the doctors you don't think they did their own
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research of course they did but how do you explain that they got different answer than you did
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because you're right right so after the fact in hindsight you said i thought i was right
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and now time has gone by and i am right that's now confirmed according to you so therefore the research
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i did helped me to get to that right answer but here's the thing do you remember all the things you
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researched that you were not right about no you don't you remember the things you're right about
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i'll bet every one of you remembers everything you were right about the pandemic do you remember all
00:24:07.000
the things that you were wrong about no we flush those so then so there's always this effect where you
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think you can do this thing better than you can is it true that people have done their own research
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and got the right answer yes yes yes yes yes yes it's totally true people do do their own research
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they do it correctly and they get the right answer here's the problem they don't know when they're
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doing it and when they're not because when they get when they do their own research and get the wrong answer
00:24:40.920
they are just as convinced they did it right and when they learn later a year later that they definitely
00:24:47.320
got the wrong answer what do they do do they say oh i'm going to put that in my memory bank as you know
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a warning that sometimes i can be really sure i'm right but then in the end i'm wrong no no human being
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does that here's what we do oh i was really right all along but in a different way and maybe maybe it
00:25:08.920
wasn't quite that and i'm remembering it differently his cognitive dissonance confirmation bias and
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cognitive dissonance which are universally true and a hundred percent of scientists and psychologists
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agree that these are dominant effects as long as you live in a world in which your brain is a
00:25:31.080
confirmation bias cognitive dissonance machine you will always have the impression that doing your
00:25:38.040
own research is getting you the right answer and sometimes sometimes by luck but also sometimes by skill
00:25:46.680
you will be correct you will be correct what you won't have is the ability to predict when you'll be
00:25:51.880
correct and when you won't you'll know after the fact but only the ones you were correct on you'll also
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know that you were correct when you were wrong you won't be correct but you'll think you know that you
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were correct because that's cognitive dissonance so these both the slippery slope and the do your own research
00:26:12.680
are backwards looking ways of understanding the world meaning that they're wrong they're backwards
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the only way to understand what's true is what predicts slippery slope doesn't predict any better
00:26:27.320
than if you give them an inch they'll take a mile so it doesn't add because you already knew that
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and then do your own research we all just imagine that we're good at it and we got it right and there's
00:26:38.360
nothing like that the real world does not think you're good at it and if people if if doing your
00:26:44.760
own research worked all the smart people who are good at research would agree how many smart people are
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good at research are on different sides of whether the 2020 election was fair tons the the really really
00:27:01.560
smart good researchers on both sides how about the pandemic did the vaccinations help or hurt really
00:27:07.880
smart people on both sides did their own research didn't help a bit half of them got it wrong and
00:27:14.520
it was a bite it was a binary question it was either good for you or bad for you on on net it was binary
00:27:23.960
so am i telling you not to do your own research let me check is that what you're hearing
00:27:31.640
do you hear me say don't do your own research of course not of course you should do your own research
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but you don't know when that will be and we don't really have a choice you're going to do your own
00:27:49.560
research because we don't have free will so you're going to do it all right i know it hurts
00:27:56.440
i know it hurts to realize that you've been thinking backwards all your life but it's the
00:28:02.120
normal way people think we normally think backwards so there's nothing unusual about this
00:28:08.680
all right um let's say uh election integrity it's a group looking into election integrity as you might
00:28:17.320
imagine so they've got kind of a win but kind of not in the in georgia so there are lots of claims about
00:28:23.240
the georgia election in 2020 not being totally pristine and then there were lots of claims and
00:28:30.520
then the georgia election board uh voted and they confirmed some problems but not enough problems that
00:28:38.840
would have changed the result of the election so in other words the uh it was a two-to-one vote after
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all the looking at all the information and here's what was confirmed by all the officials
00:28:53.240
who matter in the election right so this is now confirmed public nobody's nobody's disagreeing
00:29:00.760
with the following statements confirmed uh that the county double scanned 3075 ballots
00:29:10.280
during a statewide recount so that was during the recount they they double scanned a bunch of stuff
00:29:15.800
and there was also a dispute over 17 000 ballot images that are missing
00:29:19.800
not the ballots but the ballot ballot images now georgia would say it doesn't matter if the ballot
00:29:28.520
images are lost because we counted the actual ballots and and that was fine so do you get that
00:29:37.640
the ballot images would be great to show that everything was you know copacetic but you don't need it
00:29:43.960
to know that the election was right because you saw the physical ballots which they claim they double
00:29:48.040
counted or they they recounted not double counted now here's what i think although the results of this
00:29:56.040
uh presumably did not check on every claim i i doubt every claim in the world was checked but the the
00:30:03.400
main ones the big ones were checked and they did not uh did well i i'm not going to say that's the main
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ones the ones they checked whether they were the main ones or not the ones they checked uh were not big
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enough to have changed the election but it's big enough to do something else here's my take on this
00:30:26.440
if the people who were in charge of the election
00:30:31.080
were surprised at these errors these are the errors we know about you know the ballot the ballot images
00:30:37.240
missing and the double counted belts if they didn't find out about this stuff until now
00:30:42.600
what does that tell you about what anybody could have known about the validity of the election when
00:30:49.720
it was called let me say it again if georgia election officials are only just now finding out
00:30:58.520
that things could be double counted without them knowing and they're only just finding out that images can
00:31:05.240
disappear what else could they just be finding out about it isn't isn't that proof beyond any doubt
00:31:15.240
that there's no way trump could have known the election was fair because one of his law fair cases
00:31:22.680
turns entirely upon what he believed there is no indication that he did not believe it was faked
00:31:30.520
everything that we have every every witness every document strongly strongly suggests he really
00:31:38.520
believed it was fraudulent and there's and nobody has presented even one bit of evidence of anybody who
00:31:46.840
is you know behind the scenes on january 6 not a single person has said you know privately he said
00:31:53.560
that he thinks it's a real election nobody so there's no evidence that he thought it was real and then
00:32:00.200
georgia shows that there could be some fairly substantial irregularities that would not have
00:32:06.920
been discovered at the time not enough to change the election but enough to know that if if trump had
00:32:14.680
doubts about the outcome it wasn't crazy and there's nothing to suggest that he didn't have
00:32:21.000
you know a genuine reason to doubt it now somebody online said to me but but but there was no reason
00:32:27.480
to doubt the election what kind of news do you have to be watching for the last several years
00:32:37.400
reason number one his opponents had been branding him as hitler for years that's all you need i don't need
00:32:45.560
anything else i only need to know that the media branded him hitler everybody acting normally under
00:32:51.240
that situation should have tried to cheat the election to stop hitler if they could number two
00:32:58.920
the uh the statistical likelihood of the election going the way they say it did in terms of the bellwether
00:33:06.680
counties etc at the time looked to be roughly zero at the time now i don't know if that's been explained
00:33:15.800
away but that was a pretty good reason to think there was something wrong even if it got explained
00:33:21.480
away later at the time it looked like what this is impossible and then of course there's the the famous
00:33:28.600
um that trump was ahead at whenever they stopped counting ballots but then they claim mail-in ballots
00:33:36.200
came in that always favor biden and then at the late night count uh some say after they shipped in fake
00:33:43.000
ballots but we don't have proof of that um but that would certainly be a reason to question it
00:33:50.360
the the separate question of whether there was some legitimate explanation for that sudden
00:33:55.240
change and counting is an interesting question but to but to say that trump would have no reason to
00:34:03.160
believe going into an election in which he was ahead in the polls right give me a give me a fact check
00:34:11.480
wasn't trump ahead in the polls going into the election 2020
00:34:16.200
i can't remember the like the day of the polling whether what the result was anyway so the point was
00:34:28.280
and i think it's also true that if there had been had not been a number of decisions about what can
00:34:35.000
and be counted can be counted because of the pandemic etc um i think things could go in a different way
00:34:43.080
so i think there was plenty of evidence that something could have been wrong and no evidence whatsoever
00:34:50.920
that trump believed anything except that it was rigged
00:34:55.000
so everything's going trump's way in terms of all the lawfare case closed thomas massey says that
00:35:04.280
aipac that's the uh the lobbying group that does things in america that are favorable to israel now it's
00:35:15.880
completely transparent um and if it sounds like i'm criticizing aipac keep in mind that i do appreciate
00:35:25.800
that it's all transparent we all know who they are they say in public what they're trying to do and
00:35:31.640
indeed they just said that they're gonna fund 300 000 ad buy against thomas massey because they don't
00:35:38.840
like his votes regarding israel now i have two feelings about this why is israel controlling our
00:35:47.800
government wait why is this even legal right that's the first question why do we allow this
00:35:55.720
yes but my second observation which is the first observation is that it's all above board it's a
00:36:05.320
weird situation where it feels wrong on every level except when it's completely transparent
00:36:14.040
it does take the steam end of my complaints like oh well i mean if you know they're doing it and you
00:36:21.560
don't like it you have the option of voting for thomas massey right so it's not like you don't have
00:36:28.040
options the aipac isn't like tying you up and saying you can't go to vote they're saying this is what we
00:36:35.240
think here's a bunch of money we're putting behind it and we're going to publicize it and and there's no
00:36:42.040
secrets so i don't know i'm a little bit conflicted on one hand i don't think they should have that much
00:36:49.640
power on the other hand the entire government is a series of influences not unlike this one it's
00:36:58.440
just that there are different influences for different topics this happens to be among the
00:37:03.400
biggest influences for this specific topic but that but it's not unusual that there would be some
00:37:10.760
group of moneyed people who had influence over some topic what's unusual it's another country
00:37:16.280
it's a little unusual that it's another country you know we're looking to get rid of uh tick tock
00:37:23.720
because we don't want uh china to have too much influence over america but to be fair china is an
00:37:30.920
adversary of sorts and israel is among our you know tightest allies so it's a it's kind of an interesting
00:37:41.000
situation where um i guess i'll make this point because i make it a lot transparency really gives
00:37:49.160
you a lot you know you the worst things in the world don't look so bad if they're at least well
00:37:56.600
known because then you know you have the option of responding and you have options it's just when
00:38:02.760
you don't have an option and things are bad that you really feel like you're getting screwed but as long
00:38:07.880
as it's right out there well so i would recommend uh that you back thomas massey against apac and uh
00:38:15.720
vote him in in the landslide if you like his views on israel if you don't like his views on israel
00:38:21.880
well you probably weren't going to vote for him anyway so i don't know so thomas massey uh
00:38:28.360
is calling it out in a post and now you know transparency it's good stuff so who's really running things
00:38:37.880
uh you know uh we're trying to figure out why biden seems to be um relatively speaking favorable to
00:38:46.600
the hamas palestinian situation now i'm not going to take sides i'm just going to note that uh there
00:38:53.960
were some some weapons are being denied to israel because of the palestinian uh let's say lobbying or
00:39:02.200
american democrat uh supporters so for purely political reasons uh biden is being forced to do
00:39:10.040
that so now we've got elon musk saying that you know the illegal migrants are going to be
00:39:18.040
essentially determining what's happening in the country we've got thomas massey uh you're reminding us
00:39:25.480
the aipac has a lot of influence especially over israel stuff and then we have the idea that maybe
00:39:31.960
hamas has too much power and then you know the dei people have too much power but the american first
00:39:40.360
people have some power and the da's have some power and soros has a power so the better way to look at
00:39:45.640
all this stuff is that for every topic there is a warlord or two might be more than one and that warlord
00:39:54.680
is usually backed by big money either a billionaire or two or they've raised money from lots of people
00:40:00.520
and that uh that our so-called democracy republic is largely a criminal organization run by a variety
00:40:09.960
of competing interests and often non-competing interests so that's the way i see it can't say
00:40:17.240
somebody's in charge of the whole country just warlords in charge of certain topics
00:40:21.640
well i would say that the outcome of the 2024 election is largely determined at this point
00:40:30.840
all of my uncertainty just completely disappeared it's trump all the way and here's my argument for that
00:40:39.560
um when biden denied uh the the bombs to israel i can tell you that was a that was a last draw for a
00:40:49.080
number of people who were both jewish and pro biden i think a lot of people just said are you kidding
00:40:55.880
me are you kidding me october 7th and you're not going to let us have the bombs that we need to get
00:41:02.600
this job done now there's an argument on both sides i'm not dismissing the humanitarian argument that has
00:41:08.760
to be uh valued but uh in a political sense uh biden just lost jewish support for the most part
00:41:20.040
and i think that there's no way he can survive that why because a pack a pack has a lot of power
00:41:30.120
and israel has a lot of power and there are a lot of jewish americans who don't like this decision and
00:41:35.240
it's an animating topic there are a lot of things you can disagree with or say well that's not perfect
00:41:41.000
but it won't necessarily change your vote the decision to uh delay the armaments to um israel
00:41:49.560
and more and more over the the larger uh both sides treatment that biden's giving the the issue
00:41:57.320
there's no way he's going to have the same jewish report support that he had before in america there's no
00:42:03.160
way so i think that alone if nothing else happened and it's a close race up to that point
00:42:09.880
that alone would give you an outcome but it gets better rfk jr was asked about his views on abortion
00:42:17.880
on some program and asked if he was in favor of abortion up until the end of the term meaning the
00:42:26.040
moment before birth and he said unambiguously yes he's in favor of it and the woman should be the
00:42:33.000
one to decide now to be fair to be fair i assume he didn't say it but a reasonable assumption is
00:42:43.320
that the woman would have to be uh either the either the baby would be non-viable like if it was born it
00:42:51.560
would just you know live an hour and die in pain so that could be a factor or or maybe the mother's
00:42:59.480
life is in danger but i don't know how that would be relevant if the baby has come full term i'm not
00:43:04.120
a doctor so i think there's more to the answer perhaps he would be in favor of some kind of you
00:43:10.600
know multiple doctors have to sign off or you can't do it you know the mother's life has to be
00:43:15.560
in jeopardy it has to be for humanitarian reasons you know you can imagine that there's a whole bunch
00:43:21.000
of if if ifs but politically right so i'm not arguing about abortion that's not in my conversation
00:43:31.160
right but politically that's that's the end of biden because nobody who's a republican is going to vote for
00:43:40.680
or anybody who even said the words that there would be any situation in which you could abort
00:43:47.160
when it's ready to be born in the normal way even even if there are horrible medical
00:43:56.200
possibilities so i think that that confirms that there isn't any way that uh the rfk jr is going to
00:44:03.320
take more votes from trump than from biden i mean that question is now answered
00:44:07.720
so so rfk jr is in favor of reparations there are zero zero republicans in favor of reparations
00:44:17.720
that the reparations that's the end of the story you there's no way i'm going to support anybody for
00:44:25.480
president who's in favor of reparations the abortion thing i stay into that because i don't have the same
00:44:32.840
a view as rfk jr but i do think that women should take the lead in what the laws are in their individual
00:44:39.160
states everybody gets a vote i'm not saying that men shouldn't participate i'm just saying you get
00:44:44.520
a better result if women take the lead because nobody's going to be happy with the result no
00:44:48.680
matter what it is but at least you could say well at least the right people made the decision and the
00:44:54.600
right people are women in this case now i also say to be fair i say that the right people to make
00:45:02.840
decisions about national defense are mostly men and i say that as a group not as individuals as
00:45:09.640
individuals you might find a man who's really should be talking about abortion maybe somebody who's a
00:45:16.440
doctor really knows a lot things you don't know no so there could be individual differences yes a man
00:45:24.280
who really knows something about abortion should absolutely weigh in and yes a woman who's really
00:45:31.480
up to date and knows a lot about um national defense of course but as a whole we should ignore the general
00:45:41.960
opinion of women when it comes to national defense and as a whole i would like to de-emphasize the role
00:45:49.640
of men in making decisions about laws about abortion now when it comes to a couple making a decision that's
00:45:57.560
that's more about the couple that's not about the law
00:46:08.760
um you've got the california ag the attorney general uh i saw joel pollack uh report in uh breitbart
00:46:18.760
so the california attorney general is preparing a whole bunch of lawfare legal challenges against
00:46:25.480
trump should he get elected should he get elected they're going to lawfare him now let me ask you this
00:46:35.640
you live in the real world and you know everybody's super busy right we're all busy who in the world
00:46:43.560
would be spending a bunch of time preparing lawsuits in case trump gets elected six months
00:46:50.600
before he gets elected you would only do that if you're pretty sure he's going to get elected
00:46:57.000
as in you know the decision's been made basically so i don't see and i don't see any situation in which
00:47:05.960
somebody does this amount of work because apparently it's a whole bunch of different
00:47:10.200
legal actions they plan it's not like two or three you know it might be a hundred it's like just this
00:47:15.320
massive amount of lawfare so they're trying to make sure they can tie trump up i i just don't think you
00:47:22.280
do that unless you know that he's going to be president next biden appeared on cnn and it was a complete
00:47:30.920
train wreck and i guarantee you the democrats know he can't debate
00:47:36.200
he couldn't handle aaron burnett a friendly network asking some pretty obvious questions
00:47:44.120
about the economy and he just fell apart and we all saw it and there's no way that they're going to let
00:47:51.000
him debate do you think he could win by being too feeble to debate of course not he can't win he
00:48:00.520
doesn't have any chance and it's it's all it's over people it is completely over
00:48:08.200
all right so let me um so let me summarize that
00:48:15.080
so so biden has certainly lost jewish americans you know not every single one but he certainly lost
00:48:22.200
support with jewish americans and i don't have to tell you that that means more than just the votes
00:48:30.520
right that means a pack it means big money it means people who have a lot of influence
00:48:39.160
right i don't think you could survive that alone if that was the only thing i told you
00:48:44.840
i don't know if you could survive it but on top of that uh rfk juniors gone so far from the republican
00:48:51.880
side they can't possibly get republican votes unless they're not paying attention at all
00:48:56.200
uh the california g seems to think it's over the polls are heavily favoring trump in the um in in
00:49:04.840
the uh battleground states the cnn disaster itself is fatal but it guarantees he's not going to debate
00:49:14.760
now put all that together there isn't really any way biden can win and it must be that he's exceeded the
00:49:23.320
the margin of cheating because i do believe that we live in a country where cheating is a possibility
00:49:31.560
now i do not have proof it happened in the past in any specific cases that would have changed an election
00:49:38.120
i just live in a system in which if you look at the system the system design guarantees it
00:49:45.000
because you got people scared to death about trump they think he's settler they have access to the
00:49:50.120
machines they have access to the ballots they have access to the ballot boxes how in the world would
00:49:55.080
they not try to cheat it is sort of it's childish to imagine they wouldn't try but it looks like he
00:50:03.000
might have such a lead that it's an it's an of the uh it's an of the possibility but more importantly
00:50:09.400
there could be people who are supporting biden who just changed their minds so they don't even want to
00:50:14.600
cheat it could be that the desire to cheat is going away because the israel situation is so dire they're
00:50:22.040
just like okay we can't have a brain dead guy when we got all these problems so i think he's done as
00:50:29.240
done can be unless something big changes and something big always does
00:50:36.040
anyway um i did a poll myself um let me read you the poll um because remember now we know that
00:50:43.800
uh rfk jr is in favor of aborting a child up to the point of uh birth we know he had a brain worm
00:50:52.280
and we know that uh biden fell apart on cnn and when asked about the economy the only thing he could
00:50:58.280
talk about competently was his snickers bars were getting smaller it's the only thing he could handle
00:51:04.840
competently everything else he had to lie about or make up numbers or just look stupid and then we heard
00:51:11.080
about all the details about the uh trump and how stormy daniels says she passed out during the sex
00:51:18.760
even though she was not inebriated in any way so here's the poll that i did and i wish the
00:51:25.480
professionals could be this good and that's what you're gonna think when you hear it as soon as you
00:51:30.840
hear my poll you're gonna say why can't gallop do that and that was really good all right here it is
00:51:38.200
my question question do you plan to vote for the billionaire who banged a porn star into
00:51:43.720
unconsciousness the man who says his snickers is too small or the baby killer who fed his brain to a
00:51:50.120
worm i gave you three choices the billionaire banger the small candy guy and the brain worm baby killer
00:51:56.920
uh billionaire banger got 90 of the votes small candy two percent and brain worm baby killer eight percent
00:52:03.000
yeah brain worm baby killer it's my favorite sentence of the year
00:52:12.840
all right um i can't remember if i talked about this yesterday only in the man cave i think it was
00:52:20.200
only in the man cave so yesterday i became a subject of a story in the daily caller who has a story that
00:52:28.040
there was a staffer who worked for vivek ramaswamy who was fired after it came out that he was secretly
00:52:36.520
working for rfk juniors team to convert mega people or to at least get trump friendly people to retweet
00:52:46.360
and say good things about rfk junior now um i'm one of the people who was called out in that story
00:52:54.120
as being one of the people who was influenced by this gentleman who was fired by vivek uh for
00:53:02.520
retweeting and posting things about rfk junior and i do now given that i was called down by name
00:53:13.400
you know and i was shown my face and my post in the story in the daily caller about being influenced to
00:53:20.680
say things about rfk junior do you think they should have uh called me for a comment do you think that
00:53:28.760
would have been appropriate hey scott what are you thinking did this really happen did you do it because
00:53:34.520
somebody sent it to you or did you do it because you wanted to don't you think those would be good
00:53:39.000
questions so it's not just the left there's just something about the media it's the most obvious
00:53:48.200
question is were you influenced by that do you have a comment would you like to add some context
00:53:57.160
well i would like to add some context right now
00:54:01.240
if you're a public figure who talks about politics on social media and i think this is true of all of us
00:54:09.160
people send you things all day long did you know that i mean i thought it was obvious in my case
00:54:16.200
because i'm often retweeting things that people sent me so people dm me all the time and they say
00:54:22.360
what about this what about that and then i look at it and i say does that agree with me or you know is
00:54:27.560
that good for the world and does it agree with me and then i decide whether i want to send it out
00:54:33.640
so basically i just have two forms of social media i have one form which is the public form on x so i read
00:54:40.840
the same stuff you see but on top of that there's a fairly extensive network of people who who can dm me
00:54:48.440
you know people that i follow as well who can and then also they can email me you know people have
00:54:53.720
different ways to reach me 20 different ways to get to me and they send me stories they send them to
00:54:59.560
me on instagram they send them to me on uh linkedin they they email me they text me they dm me on x and some
00:55:09.160
of them i pick yeah owen wants to know where i can get the contract so yes it's totally true that
00:55:20.440
people send me things do i remember any specific contact where somebody sent me things for rfk junior
00:55:27.560
no because people send me things from him all the time it's not like there was one guy who sent me
00:55:33.960
some rfk junior stuff people do it every day some of it i like some of it i don't so that should
00:55:42.120
have been the context they should have added but it's an interesting story now separately um
00:55:49.480
having nothing to do with this story uh i think i told you i did a podcast for rfk juniors vp pick
00:55:56.600
nicole shenan and i went down did the did the podcast and uh took some pictures after not unusual
00:56:04.680
you know took some pictures with nicole and then i took a picture with one of her staffers
00:56:08.920
who had set up the podcast and arranged it somebody named zach
00:56:15.160
same guy in the daily in the story so i think zach might be the same zach i don't know how many
00:56:24.280
people named zach work for the rfk junior team but but i think i got exact i got i got exact
00:56:33.320
anyway um but i reiterate there are some things about rfk junior that i like a lot and i'm not going
00:56:40.760
to shy away from that i love his attack on big food and chronic disease i think his take on the safety of
00:56:50.760
vaccines and i i'll give some distance to myself about any specific claims he makes about vaccine
00:56:57.400
harm i'm not i'm not on that train but when he says they're not adequately tested
00:57:04.200
i think that's something we should look into so i'm on board with that
00:57:10.920
so there are some things that are very very strong about his message but i'm never going to sign up for
00:57:15.400
reparations yeah that to me that's that's the end of the story so you don't have to worry about
00:57:20.920
what team i'm going to be on all right um i talked to a democrat who i will not name recently
00:57:29.080
who said that her family members and i feel like she was talking about the female members of the family
00:57:35.960
but maybe i just imagined that um said they're scared to death of the possibility of trump returning
00:57:43.000
how many of you know somebody that you would describe as not just having a preference
00:57:49.560
but scared to death about trump returning how common is that
00:57:56.680
because i've seen it i've seen it with my own eyes and it's a physical fear people will actually tremble
00:58:04.280
now how do you fix that here's what won't fix it a trump rally a really good trump advertising campaign
00:58:18.360
make no difference um a good reframe a nickname nope nope nope nope um scott comes up with a clever
00:58:27.560
persuasive persuasive nope nope nope nope nope there is one and only one thing that can change
00:58:34.920
this and i will recommend it now and i'm going to strongly recommend it
00:58:39.880
like super super recommend it trump needs to sit down with a bunch of frightened democrats
00:58:47.560
the really frightened ones the the ones who are actually literally afraid of him
00:58:52.040
just sit in the room turn on the cameras and just let them hang out let them ask any question they
00:59:01.160
want let them go to the house i would have them actually go to their private residence
00:59:07.240
go into their living room have them bring their their cousins over their friends
00:59:12.200
sit in the living room and say why are you so afraid of me
00:59:15.320
what what is it about me that makes you afraid and then they would say but but but you might be a
00:59:22.840
dictator now compare these two things somebody on social media arguing that no he won't be a dictator
00:59:32.360
versus he's sitting in front of you and he's got this big trump smile on his face
00:59:38.680
he shook your hands he hugged you he took pictures and then he genuinely asked you what you thought
00:59:45.320
and then he was genuinely concerned that you were afraid of him because guess what
00:59:52.120
his personal charisma is unstoppable you know i've experienced it in person if you put him in the room
01:00:01.320
people like him pretty much every time right his ability to connect with people in person is really
01:00:11.080
unparalleled like well maybe not unparalleled the the the best politicians can do it but he has to
01:00:18.120
he has to diffuse the bomb one-on-one now if other people see him diffuse it they might also be affected by
01:00:27.240
it in terms of influence but he's got to do a retail he's got to talk to a real person and spend some
01:00:34.360
quality time and he has to let them sit in front of him on the couch i'll say or in the barber shop
01:00:39.720
or wherever it is no i wouldn't do the barber shop because i don't think black men are afraid of him
01:00:44.840
do you i've never seen a black man who was afraid of trump have you even once there are lots of people
01:00:53.400
who prefer him not to be president obviously but i've never heard anybody who was like afraid of him
01:00:58.600
he's going to be a dictator or something i've never heard it once but women of every type absolutely
01:01:06.200
frightened to death but imagine they say you know you're against uh abortion but imagine he's in the
01:01:15.400
room imagine they're afraid of him and he says i'm going to take you know take your abortion away
01:01:22.280
and he says well actually what i did was move it to the states so it's closer to your control and
01:01:28.920
further from my control because that's what happened you put him in the living room with a you know real
01:01:36.600
pro-abortion advocate and say but you realize what i did was i moved the control of that question away
01:01:43.160
from me and closer to you so you should be working with your local representatives and i do have a
01:01:49.800
preference of how that should work out but i don't want to have the control over your life i'm trying
01:01:55.560
to remove myself from having control over you you see that right you see that i'm giving you control
01:02:02.360
i'm not taking it away now how that ends up is hard to predict but i do think that you and i should agree
01:02:09.640
that i should not be part of your decision about your abortion do we agree on that now imagine that in person
01:02:15.720
just imagine that in person that is so disarming and if he looked you in the face and said you look
01:02:25.000
like a nice person i would like you to have more babies not fewer and i'm not apologizing for being
01:02:31.640
in favor of all americans living you know as long as they haven't done something terrible i suppose
01:02:37.480
so the the thing about the uh the anti-abortion view is that i completely understand how people
01:02:48.200
can be on both sides of the issue but i don't understand how you can think that the people who
01:02:54.520
are against abortion are monsters that part doesn't work in person right it doesn't work in person it
01:03:03.640
works if you're thinking about it in like a conceptual way it's like oh they're taking my
01:03:08.680
rights away in a conceptual way but if you put somebody in the room and you say you know i
01:03:14.200
understand that you're against abortion i understand your reasons but i'm looking at you as a human being
01:03:20.280
and i would like if you got pregnant i would like you to bring a baby into the world even a democrat
01:03:26.600
even your little democrat babies will vote against republicans i want them because as president
01:03:32.600
i should never be in favor of a decision to end life as i see it that's why that decision needs
01:03:39.880
to get pushed closer to you and further from me and that's what i did you win that you win that
01:03:46.680
conversation every time now how about they say but but i worry you'll be a dictator and jail all of my opponents
01:03:54.040
trump should say have you met a republican have you met a republican we're we're not the ones who
01:04:06.120
want to put people in jail for no reason that's strictly the democrats and the democrats are doing
01:04:12.520
it because they can't beat us on arguments we can win on arguments and if i win this election i will have
01:04:19.160
won it on arguments despite them trying to put me in jail i'm not going to put people in jail for no
01:04:24.920
reason there's no republican who's in favor of that and i work for them or well i work for the voters
01:04:31.880
there's no voters in favor of it the only reason people were in favor of me being law fared is that
01:04:40.440
the media told you i was a monster they told you i was heller do you think i'm heller it's really hard
01:04:49.160
to look in somebody's eyes who's being nice to you and went to your home and is genuinely interested
01:04:54.280
in your opinion and wants your child to live more than you do it's hard to call that person heller
01:05:00.200
right so that's my suggestion mr trump sit in the living room of some very frightened democrats not
01:05:08.840
regular democrats you have to specifically filter for frightened i mean seriously frightened and
01:05:16.840
just see what happens sit in the room all right it would be risky because it could go off the rails
01:05:24.120
i suppose it would depend how many people were in the room if he yelled it to like a group of five to
01:05:30.440
eight trump would totally control the room if you put him in a room with you know like a small audience
01:05:37.880
then it could get out of control but it needs to be personal that's why it has to be around a table
01:05:43.080
or on a couch it can't be a stage and an audience because that's that's too much distance
01:05:51.960
all right it's time to start talking about how big the trump landslide will be
01:05:59.960
and i think if you're worried that republicans won't be activated to vote
01:06:05.160
because they think trump might win i don't think that's the way it's going to go
01:06:10.840
because i think we all know that if trump doesn't win in a landslide
01:06:16.040
he won't have the authority to do the things he wants to do so if you want anything to get done
01:06:21.720
it's got to be a landslide would you agree with that statement there's almost no point in getting him
01:06:27.720
narrowly narrowly elected if he's narrowly elected we're right back to where we were with nothing
01:06:34.520
gets done he's got to just crush so your reason to vote even if he's way ahead in the poll is
01:06:42.840
insanely high like your your interest in voting should be twofold he's got to get a landslide of epic
01:06:52.120
proportions to be any use to anybody right you want to stop the war in ukraine you don't get that with
01:06:58.120
a close vote you don't get that you want to close the border well he might be able to do that with a
01:07:03.960
close vote but it's going to be hard right so he's going to have to be coming in with a little weight
01:07:10.680
or there's just no point in it because he brings so much trouble with him that if he's not bringing
01:07:16.120
big solutions at the same time you net negative he's an expensive president yeah i say that often
01:07:24.040
he's expensive because he gets people all excited in bad ways etc he's only worth it if you also get
01:07:31.240
big wins and he needs a landslide to get the big wins or it'll help so there are two reasons to vote
01:07:38.840
for him if you're even if it looks like he's going to win one is it's going to be fun as hell
01:07:43.480
do you do you remember 2016 election night do you remember how you felt
01:07:53.160
yeah that's how you want to feel again chase that feeling this is the dopamine filter i talk about
01:08:00.840
people will chase dopamine even more than they will chase money and if you're a republican you know how it
01:08:08.280
will feel if it's not just a win but a crushing landslide defeat because you're worried about the
01:08:23.880
you ladies and gentlemen are the slippery slope killers there is a slippery slope forever until you
01:08:33.400
stop it so that's your job your job is to stop it and you have all the tools you need
01:08:41.560
but you got to stop it hard you know don't don't barely stop it you want to crush it in terms of a
01:08:48.280
landslide victory all right let's talk about stormy daniels and trump stormy uh she testified again
01:08:55.640
and uh this time she made the surprising claim on the stand that she's a medium
01:09:03.240
well when she was working in porn she was a size zero but now she's a medium and i blame processed foods
01:09:15.320
next story i came up with a new nickname for biden i want to see if it sticks
01:09:21.880
you ready for this uh give me give me your flash opinion new nickname for for biden president small
01:09:31.720
candy president small candy one word small candy what do you think
01:09:42.040
because it's it's the only thing he can competently talk about that his candy's too small
01:09:46.840
i think that should be his nickname because it's basically his brand uh mr president what do you
01:09:55.480
think about the uh the migrants flowing across the border it's trump's fault and my candy's too small
01:10:11.560
uh well i don't know about china but candy's too small let them have taiwan if they can fix my candy
01:10:24.200
um rasmussen did a poll on media coverage and uh what percentage of people
01:10:29.720
think the national news is doing a good or excellent job
01:10:35.560
you already know it's about a quarter it's 28 actually so a little higher than a quarter
01:10:40.840
but yes as we often say a quarter of the respondents to any poll will have the dumbest
01:10:46.200
answer and the dumbest answer is that the national news is doing a good or excellent job
01:10:51.400
how in the world could you have that opinion how could you be alive and functioning and able to feed
01:11:00.440
yourself and you know clean yourself and you haven't noticed that the national media is not getting
01:11:14.600
well that ladies and gentlemen brings me to the conclusion of my prepared comments
01:11:19.880
for again the best live stream you've ever seen except for that part about the slippery slope and
01:11:24.120
doing your own research which really bothers you and you're going to be thinking about it all night
01:11:28.360
and eventually you'll come around to my way of thinking but not before there's a lot of mental
01:11:32.280
pain but good luck with that and in the meantime i'm going to say goodbye to the platforms of
01:11:37.720
youtube and x and rumble we're going to talk to the locals people privately
01:11:42.040
and uh thanks for joining we'll see all of you again tomorrow same place same time