A new study says that drinking more than three cups of coffee per day may reduce your risk of developing dementia. Elon Musk is developing a robot that can run around your house and keep you company, and it's going to cost less than $16,000. And the U.S. government is investigating Tesla for rear-ending motorcyclists.
00:13:44.280It gave me a whole bunch of skills that come in handy for all kinds of situations, not just, you know, getting a raise.
00:13:51.060So for me, there are all these intangibles.
00:13:54.580Next, I would say that your odds of marrying well probably improve with every degree.
00:14:00.960If you've got a college degree, you're more likely to marry somebody who went to college.
00:14:09.520If you have an advanced degree, you're even a little bit more likely to marry somebody who went to college and maybe also has an advanced degree.
00:18:27.320Because the people who are the, let's say, the most likely to be affected by it have a massive mental illness problem that's not affecting the people you would know would be least affected by it.
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00:21:53.820I think Reid Hoffman would be, I'm pretty sure, their smartest guy in terms of how anything works in the real world.
00:22:01.120So I would expect it to be pretty, pretty effective.
00:22:07.680So you should not be surprised that Democrats have more, the young Democrats especially, and the women especially, have more mental illness.
00:22:19.220Well, Republicans were also told that the country is going to hell, except the Republican belief system is almost entirely, you know, optimism-based.
00:22:29.620The Trump part of Republicanism is optimism-based.
00:22:33.220So you should imagine that there would be a greater chance that people who have an optimistic mindset are less crazy.
00:22:40.280And sure enough, so let me mention the Joe Rogan thing.
00:22:46.120I was watching a clip, and he had a guest on, Abigail Schreier, or Schreier, Schreier probably.
00:22:56.280She has a book out called Bad Therapy, and the main point of it, I understand, is that she says rumination is bad for you,
00:23:04.140meaning that thinking about your problems makes them worse.
00:23:08.020Thinking about your problems makes them worse.
00:23:14.360Now, I'm going to add this to, you should have asked Scott.
00:23:19.260I can't tell you how many conversations I've had with people who insist that they must solve their internal psychological problems
00:23:27.640by thinking about them really, really hard until they can, you know, make them go away.
00:23:33.100And I would say, okay, I'm no psychologist, and I'm no psychiatrist.
00:23:40.440But I did learn in hypnosis class that the more you repeat something, the deeper the circuitry gets.
00:23:49.360That is the opposite of what you're trying to do.
00:23:51.720What you're trying to do is weaken the disruptive thoughts, not strengthen them so they're permanent.
00:23:58.720If you live inside your head and you just keep thinking about your problem because you're trying to make it, like, go away because you thought about it so much,
00:24:06.740or you worked through it and you worked out your childhood trauma,
00:24:10.100in my opinion, there's only one way that can go.
00:30:27.160They're going to come for your mental health.
00:30:29.600They're coming for your mental health.
00:30:32.120Because if you're thinking clearly, you're probably going to be with the majority of the country and want to close the border and maybe do something about energy and inflation and those things.
00:30:45.140So here is the best suggestion for the Trump campaign you've ever heard.
00:31:45.900Now, this would be highly compatible with the lawfare situation because he can't do big things, you know, everywhere, but he can do little things like visit a bodega, visit a, you know, visit a store and buy some milkshakes.
00:32:02.220But he could definitely walk into a grocery store and say, do you mind if I bag?
00:33:02.620The only way that I win, Donald Trump, is if the country does really well and we remain a democratic republic, if, you know, to the extent we are.
00:33:12.980And the only way, that's the only way I win.
00:34:31.920Jen Psaki claims in her new book that Biden never looked at his watch during the ceremony for the soldiers that were killed during the Afghanistan withdrawal.
00:34:43.540Now, accompanying the story of Jen Psaki saying he never looked at his watch is a photograph of him looking down at his watch.
00:34:56.180Now, what level of gaslighting is that where there's a public photo of the thing she says didn't happen?
00:35:04.060But I would like to, and I know you don't see this coming.
00:38:39.440And he says the polls say that Biden's going to lose to Trump, and he says the polls always understate Trump's support as Biden voters are not shy about their support for him, whereas Trump voters are more cagey when talking to pollsters.
00:42:33.180If Trump goes out in public and talks, they will take out of context everything he says and turn it into fear of persuasion.
00:42:41.080So the less he talks in public, you know, outside of his rallies, because the rallies are, you know, a little bit more, you know, controllable.
00:42:49.320But if they take him out of the wild and put him in the two most controlled situations, which are he's in charge of the rally or the court's in charge of him,
00:43:00.980it takes away a lot of the spontaneity, which gets him in trouble.
00:43:04.880So they've eliminated the only thing that could stop him, which is if he says something, they can turn it into something else.
00:43:13.560And they've way reduced the amount of talking he does spontaneously to the point where they just don't have their greatest target, which is what he said yesterday.
00:45:24.480But here's some more news that could make that happen.
00:45:27.440So you remember Senator Bob Menendez got caught with all those gold bars sewed into, weren't they sewed into the lining of his suit or something?
00:45:37.700Anyway, in the worst timing the Democrats could ever have, he's going to have his trial starting soon before the election.
00:45:49.360So you're going to see the following contrast.
00:45:52.580By the way, here's your lesson on persuasion.
00:46:27.100So everything is only compared to other things.
00:46:29.600Now imagine the contrast when you've got Trump in trial for some kind of accounting irregularity that's first of all the same thing that Hillary Clinton did with the Steele dossier, just saying something was legal expense when it clearly was something else.
00:46:47.700And the entire public doesn't even know that it should be a crime, and even CNN's Fareed Zakaria is saying that it's lawfare and nobody would be in charge of this unless they were named Trump.
00:47:02.360Now, at the same time that this trial over literally nothing is being held, a trial over literally gold bars sewed into your jacket, but it gets better.
00:48:54.000He says that as an experiment, he points us toward a Time magazine article that summarizes an interview with Trump, and they says, look at how they summarize the interview, but then look at the full transcript.
00:49:07.500And his contention is, if you look at the full transcript, it will be real obvious how biased the summary is.
00:49:15.480Now, I haven't done the experiment, but I trust him.
00:49:18.220You know, and other people were commenting that they could see it right away.
00:49:22.320And I think that's really, really valuable.
00:49:25.820That's the sort of thing I want our smartest people to be telling the public.
00:49:31.560Tell him that you can see it yourself.
00:49:35.240Here's a real-life experiment of real-life news that's fresh.
00:49:42.080Now, that's the same technique used to kill Trump on the bleach hoax and the fine people hoax.
00:49:50.860Now, Ackman doesn't mention those two hoaxes, but once he teaches you that the transcript can be different from somebody's bad summary of it,
00:49:59.760well, then you're primed to understand the other things that you've been fooled about.
00:50:05.560However, he goes a little too far, in my opinion, and he says that this is why he prefers podcasts and, you know, long-form interviews.
00:50:16.380To which I say, oh, Bill, you're so close.
00:50:21.620And I had to add in my repost the documentary effect.
00:50:25.800The worst way you could be fooled, meaning most effective way, is a long-form anything.
00:50:33.820If you listen to one person on a podcast tell you a bunch of truths, you're going to believe it's true.
00:50:41.720And the longer it goes, the more you're going to believe it.
00:50:44.720If you get three hours of Joe Rogan with one guest saying something's true, you're going to think it's true when they're done.
00:50:51.040The only thing that works is long-form, so you don't leave anything out, a host who is strong, who can shut people down and say, all right, you know, let's keep this on track, and people on opposite sides who are both capable.
00:51:07.580So that if somebody makes a claim, the other person can say, well, you know, that source is bad or whatever.
00:51:26.040I saw Lex Friedman tried that model recently with something, and I didn't watch it, but it was in the right direction.
00:51:33.440So, Bill Ackman, I would just add that if you don't have both sides showing, you get the documentary effect, and it's not going to help you as much as you think.
00:51:48.800Following in the good role model form of Bill Ackman, who is clearly trying to do what's good for the world here, I'm going to try to model that a little bit right now.
00:51:58.840And there's something that I can say that not all of you can say yet.
00:52:04.340So if I say it, I'll prime the room and get it ready for you so you can come in after.
00:52:12.180Now, I've been saying it for a while, but the more I say it, the better it is.
00:52:15.520We're never going to solve our problems unless we can say what they are out loud and with reality.
00:52:22.960You can't solve the problem if you're pretending it's something that it isn't.
00:52:26.100And our biggest problem right now is batshit crazy women, mostly on the super progressive side.
00:52:34.460Now, you might say, but, but, but, Scott, there's tons of people who agree with them, and so it's not just women.
00:52:51.260And every time you see a story of batshit liberal white women doing batshit crazy things, you have to tell yourself, these are not opinions.
00:53:02.060These are people who have been drawn, have been driven to madness by the news because the news has to get you frightened.
00:53:09.220And so the people who are most easily frightened, the ones who are mentally the least stable, which tends to be people under 25, and in this case it looks like liberal women, are being driven crazy.
00:53:23.760And we're treating it like it's an opinion.
00:53:30.100There's just some people have been driven crazy by the news.
00:53:33.340And by the way, there's nothing I'm saying that you can't observe.
00:53:37.180You can turn on the news, and you can watch them say, climate change is going to kill you all, and Trump's a dictator, and he's going to take your freedom, and, you know, your bodily autonomy will be lost.
00:54:10.700We have a news which is driving crazy a portion of our public intentionally, very intentionally, and to make them crazy gives somebody else, not the people who are crazy, but somebody above them, somebody in power, it gives them power.
00:56:16.500Dr. Peter McCullough, you know him as one of the famous doctors in the pandemic.
00:56:24.020And he's saying now that he's discovered that there's a document that came out that showed that Anthem Blue Cross Blue Shield
00:56:33.480was paying doctors a lot for getting their people vaccinated, meaning that, and the claim is that a doctor could make as much as a quarter of a million dollars a year
00:56:45.320if they injected a substantial portion of their patients.
00:56:49.840Now, it could be more, it could be less, depending on the doctor and the situation,
00:56:53.220but you could make a quarter of a million dollars more.
00:59:01.580Apparently, they spent $7 million trying to beat the ban that Biden has now signed, ban or divestment, I guess.
00:59:13.960And the big mistake, according to insiders, D.C. insiders, the mistake that TikTok made was ignoring the elephant in the room,
00:59:25.360which was the concerns that the Chinese Communist Party could leverage the user data for nefarious purposes and even, here's the important part,
00:59:34.440and even sway public opinion, especially ahead of the election.
01:00:11.820So do you remember how many times I was screaming into the microphone, it's not about the secure data, it's about the persuasion about TikTok?
01:00:39.080Like, I've been screaming at you for, what, since 2018?
01:00:43.600Since 2018, I've been screaming, it's persuasion, it's persuasion.
01:00:46.980And now the news says that the major mistake was that TikTok did not take seriously the persuasion complaint.
01:00:57.400Well, according to Brendan Carr, who's a Republican FCC commissioner and a big TikTok critic.
01:01:10.960Now, Brendan Carr has been on the right side of this issue from the jump.
01:01:16.940So if you want to know one of the good guys, Brendan Carr, FCC commissioner, has been very much totally right from the start on everything and pushed it hard and got to this place.
01:01:30.460So that's one of the most impressive wins that you'll see in politics.
01:07:43.260He's doubling down on the Biden idea of stopping the fighting in Rafa and maybe Gaza itself.
01:07:50.840And he said on Sunday, in what is being called the strongest rebuke of Israel, he said in a TV interview that the United States wants Israeli forces to, quote, get out of Gaza.
01:08:04.800Amid what he described as, quote, a horrible loss of life of innocent civilians.
01:08:11.260So, get out of Gaza is a lot different from fight your war, you know, in the South in a way that protects civilians.
01:10:12.960Was it ever a real thing that Obama was, I don't want to say pro-Iran, but not wanting to destroy them because they were some kind of stability there?
01:11:15.800Could there possibly be enough pro-Palestinian votes that he would come out ahead by doing something that is so clearly negative for Israel?
01:11:29.120Is there anybody who's calculated that that could work for him?
01:11:50.100What is more important than getting reelected?
01:11:53.960If they think, you know, Trump is the devil and stuff.
01:11:58.580It feels to me like there's something that's bigger.
01:12:01.140Something that's bigger than getting reelected while everything else is smaller than that.
01:12:07.860Why would this be the one thing that's more important than getting elected to the point where he would throw away his chances to support it?
01:12:15.720Well, I see some of you speculating that, you know, Valerie Jarrett or somebody behind the scenes is the real power.
01:12:25.180But if somebody behind the scenes is the real power.
01:12:27.760However, there are also Democrats and they don't want to lose the presidency.
01:12:37.720That, you know, here's the weird thing.
01:12:39.800The best way it makes sense is if he's operating on principle, which I doubt because it would be like the first time that ever happened.
01:12:53.880But how in the world do you make sense of it?
01:12:56.020Like it does make sense on principle that you just say we can't we can't be involved in backing something that's going to look to the world like a genocide.
01:13:04.640Now, let me give you another wild possibility.
01:13:10.060Now, I remind you that, you know, my opinion of what Israel does has no bearing on anything.
01:13:17.580So I don't support Israel because the ADL is after me.
01:13:22.880And so I can't I can't hold those two things in my head at the same time.
01:13:26.560I can't support Israel and also have the ADL, which I know doesn't work for Israel directly.
01:13:31.940But, you know, they're also an attack dog and, you know, they could turn them off if they wanted to.
01:14:22.880And our American public, you know, probably will be a little split on it.
01:14:27.560I don't think the I don't think the politicians at the top will necessarily call it that.
01:14:32.840But do you think that the world will decide in 10 years that this was not a genocide?
01:14:38.560And by the way, I'm not saying it is or is not because I'm just observing my opinion doesn't matter.
01:14:45.620In my opinion, it will obviously be called a genocide because there's enough anti-Israel juice in the world that I think that will become the dominant narrative.
01:15:22.660Now, remember, I'm not asking you what your opinion will be in 10 years.
01:15:27.440You might be answering the wrong question.
01:15:29.720I'm not asking you what your opinion will be in 10 years.
01:15:32.220I'm saying what will the world's general opinion be?
01:15:36.700I'm quite sure, given the anti-Israel sentiment that's sort of generally in the UN and places like that, that I feel like it will be labeled a genocide.
01:15:49.800I think that it will go down in history like that.
01:15:55.700I'm predicting that in 10 years how other people will feel.
01:15:58.960I'm not telling you how I feel or I will feel.
01:16:02.220Because I actually think it's the wrong question.
01:16:07.940You know, the whole is it a genocide or not is just the wrong question.
01:16:11.940The right question is, what would you do if you were in that situation?
01:16:17.160If it happened to America, what do you think we would do?
01:16:21.040If it happened to Russia, what do you think they would do?
01:16:24.380If it happened to China, what do you think they would do?
01:16:27.420And so on and so on and so on and so on.
01:16:31.380So if you're watching a country act exactly the way yours would and exactly the way every other country, except, you know, maybe Switzerland, you know, it's hard for me to say, oh, they shouldn't do that.
01:16:43.900But when you know your country would have done the same thing in slow motion, we would have made every decision the same way.
01:16:49.940So. So I neither condemn it nor support it because it just is it's like condemning the air.
01:16:59.420I can to get I can prove I can condemn the rain.
01:18:15.820I'm saying that in the real world, you could easily imagine where the United States said to Israel, look, Bibi, there's no way we can back this because we'll just become genocide backers.
01:18:29.140But at the same time, we also know if we were you, we'd be doing the same thing.
01:22:06.400But if you start from scratch and say, all right, we're going to buy a couple of farms and turn them into, like, the best place ever to live.
01:23:51.100You know, if you built from scratch, your transportation costs would be almost nothing.
01:23:57.080Your crime fighting would be almost nothing.
01:24:00.820Your energy costs would be almost nothing.
01:24:03.160Even your food costs, you could cut by 30 percent if you engineered the town.
01:24:08.040And you could get rid of chronic illness because you could just grow your own organic food locally and make sure that nobody had a bunch of preservatives and chemicals in them.
01:24:18.680So you could solve almost every big problem in civilization by starting from scratch.
01:24:38.380But if you take their living expense down 90 percent and they still get paid the same amount, but their living expenses down 90 percent, let's take college.
01:24:47.840AI is going to make college cost basically nothing.
01:24:52.320So the things that used to cost us immense amounts of money are going to go to zero or close to it if you design carefully.