Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2478 CWSA 05⧸18⧸24

00:00:00.000 I'm understanding that there are a lot of podcasters who don't do a weekend show.

00:00:08.080 But not me. I care.

00:00:17.700 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:25.040 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. There's never been a finer time.

00:00:28.700 And if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that only demigods and other awesome people can understand, 0.97

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00:00:45.400 Fill it with your favorite liquid I like, coffee.

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00:00:51.280 It's the dopamine of the day. The thing that makes everything better.

00:00:53.660 It's called the simultaneous sip. It is happening now. Go.

00:00:58.700 All right.

00:01:06.020 In the comments, how many of you have tried the get out trick to get out of your own head?

00:01:11.100 The one I taught you, the reframe?

00:01:13.680 I'll just see your answers in the comments. It'll be a little bit delayed.

00:01:18.500 You'll be amazed if you haven't tried it yet.

00:01:21.120 But the get out technique. There it is.

00:01:25.320 The yeses are coming in.

00:01:27.180 All right. Ann Coulter's interview with me has dropped.

00:01:32.080 So I think there's a clip on X, but it's a Substack thing. 0.97

00:01:38.140 I'm not sure what access you have or not.

00:01:39.820 But if you're following Ann Coulter on Substack, check that out.

00:01:46.680 Well, I saw some news that ChatGPT has got this great new update.

00:01:52.620 It's way better than it was in many different ways.

00:01:56.140 And so I thought to it, to myself, I wonder if it can detect a hoax.

00:02:00.400 So I asked it about the drinking bleach hoax, and it still seems to suggest that maybe the president was a little unclear about what that disinfectant was.

00:02:14.440 So I went to Grok, and Grok is accurate. 0.99

00:02:20.480 Grok just tells you what actually happened.

00:02:22.800 It's not a hoax.

00:02:23.660 So what will happen when you have two advanced intelligences, they look at the same situation, and they have different interpretations of what they see?

00:02:34.420 Not just philosophical or anything like that, but what's there on the page, and what happened in reality, and they'll be different.

00:02:43.000 And I believe they will be different forever.

00:02:45.880 And I think as mostly has to do with how it was trained, I don't think it's an accident.

00:02:53.660 All right, I've got a question for you.

00:02:56.680 This also comes from my conversation the other day with ChatGPT, who tried to convince me.

00:03:04.420 Well, actually, this was my own AI when I was arguing with my own clone.

00:03:10.840 So I made a clone of myself when I was arguing with it the other day.

00:03:14.960 And one of the arguments was, was January 6th an insurrection because 1% of the people were violent?

00:03:20.060 And I say to you, if January 6th was an insurrection because 1% of the people were violent, what do you call the NFL?

00:03:33.580 Did you know that the NFL has about 1% of them get arrested every year for something terrible?

00:03:40.660 You know, that's fairly serious.

00:03:42.260 Well, it's bad enough to be arrested.

00:03:44.480 I mean, that tells you something.

00:03:45.780 Now, how many of you racists just said to yourself, whoa, those NFL people get arrested a lot?

00:03:55.480 Wrong.

00:03:56.480 The NFL get arrested way less than the normal public.

00:04:01.000 Did you know that?

00:04:02.340 I didn't know that until this morning.

00:04:04.320 I didn't know one way or the other, but I didn't know it was that.

00:04:07.220 So apparently the general public, if you looked at the same age group, we're not talking about anything race, so race is not part of it.

00:04:16.500 But if you just took young men and you looked at their arrest rate, apparently young men get arrested at about 11% per year.

00:04:27.160 What?

00:04:28.980 Did you know that?

00:04:30.080 If you looked at the same age, it's about 10 times more people get arrested than the general public in that demographic.

00:04:39.180 And again, not race.

00:04:40.200 This is just gender and age.

00:04:44.060 It's kind of shocking.

00:04:45.800 But it is an interesting question.

00:04:47.580 How many in a group have to be bad before you can say the group is bad?

00:04:53.540 It's definitely not 1%.

00:04:55.260 I would say that we should all agree that if 1% of a group is doing anything, it does not tell you much about that group.

00:05:03.920 I would say you need to get to around 30%.

00:05:08.380 And then you can start saying, okay, if you joined a group, you know, if you voluntarily joined a group where 30% of them are going to be doing something terrible, we cannot really say that you're good.

00:05:21.680 Would that be fair at about 30%?

00:05:25.260 If 30% of your crowd was criminals, and you willingly joined a group where 30% were criminals, could we really say you're innocent?

00:05:36.680 Or maybe you say 50%.

00:05:38.840 But there's some number where you can't really say you're innocent if you willingly joined that group.

00:05:46.480 That would be like saying, well, you know, somebody joined the KKK, but they were really there for the social reasons.

00:05:52.920 It doesn't really fly, right?

00:05:56.240 You know, once you get to 90% bad, you got to say maybe you shouldn't have joined that group.

00:06:01.880 But at 1%, I think we'd all agree that's not telling you much about the nature of the group in general.

00:06:07.360 Jeff Clark, who's a U.S. attorney, he was under Trump, and he is a great follow on X, except that he reports he just had his X ad revenue cut for no reason.

00:06:23.240 And something about a supposed violation of a creator of content rules.

00:06:31.800 But I don't think he was doing anything we weren't doing, which is just retweeting stuff on X.

00:06:37.320 But because he's really good at it, and he's a good advocate for Trump, probably got reported more than other people.

00:06:46.280 Do you really think he broke any laws?

00:06:49.640 Probably not.

00:06:50.920 I think he was just tweeting like, you know, posting like everybody else, and then suddenly something happened.

00:06:57.320 Is there anybody who has the same worried suspicion that I do, that although I trust Elon Musk, I don't know if I can trust all the employees who are still working at X?

00:07:10.840 Do you have that feeling?

00:07:12.840 I feel like there's going to be some manipulation within X that the, you know, the boss is not aware of and certainly would not support.

00:07:21.880 And it feels like maybe we're seeing some suggestions of it already.

00:07:26.920 I see a lot of people complaining that something seems to be happening with their account.

00:07:33.400 But, you know, no confirmation.

00:07:35.720 I mean, it's probably confirmation bias, if anything.

00:07:39.080 But I worry about it.

00:07:40.960 Yeah, I worry about it.

00:07:41.980 I also say, could the CIA possibly put up with a situation in which they don't have control of that platform?

00:07:51.880 Is that something they could live with?

00:07:54.620 And if they couldn't do it with the agreement of the boss, and probably they couldn't, could they do it just by making sure that they had their own moles in the organization?

00:08:05.680 Seems like they could do that.

00:08:08.940 So I'm not so sure that X is free of influence.

00:08:15.000 I just have a little suggestion, a little concern about that.

00:08:19.700 So we'll see if anything comes from that.

00:08:23.560 But you should follow Jeff Clark on X.

00:08:26.680 And it'd be nice if he had some way to figure out what it was he did so he could reverse it.

00:08:33.260 So there's a video that came out, as you know, of Diddy beating up his girlfriend in the hallway of a hotel.

00:08:40.320 And today we learned that he may not be charged for that because it's passed the statute of limitations, 2016.

00:08:48.240 So it turns out that Diddy will probably get away with badly abusing his girlfriend on camera, as long as he doesn't record the expense as a legal expense.

00:09:02.580 Am I right?

00:09:04.080 Yeah.

00:09:04.420 As long as he does his accounting correctly, apparently he'll get away with beating up his girlfriend because of the statute of limitations.

00:09:10.840 Do you know who would have had the same situation but didn't?

00:09:18.900 Correct me if I'm wrong.

00:09:20.060 I need a fact check of this.

00:09:21.880 Isn't the only reason that Trump ended up in the E. Gene Carroll case is that New York changed the statute of limitations just for Trump?

00:09:33.860 Now, they made it look like it was for other situations, but it was suspiciously applicable to Trump.

00:09:39.200 I think that actually happened, right?

00:09:42.040 Yeah.

00:09:42.380 In New York, they changed the statute of limitations.

00:09:46.300 If I have this right, I think they briefly opened a window where people could come forward with much older complaints beyond the statute of limitations just for sex crimes.

00:09:58.440 And everybody smart says, well, that's a big coincidence because that's exactly what they needed for E. Gene Carroll to come after Trump.

00:10:05.680 Oh, how coincidental.

00:10:06.880 And by the way, do you know she narrowed down the date of the assault to, I think it was one of these years.

00:10:16.260 So, it seems to me a lot of Democrats get away with the crimes.

00:10:25.300 Let's talk about Marjorie Taylor Greene.

00:10:27.240 You all saw her dust up with AOC and the other congressperson whose name I can't remember, Crockett, Cricket, Crockett, something like that.

00:10:35.540 And, of course, we're all supposed to act shocked and outraged.

00:10:43.300 Can I do some pretend to shock and outrage?

00:10:47.540 Oh, I hate it when the representatives of my government act a little bit unprofessional in public.

00:10:57.080 It embarrasses the country so much, so much, okay, nobody believes any of that, right?

00:11:06.460 I think I probably agree with most of you that it was fun to watch, and that's my entire feeling about it.

00:11:13.640 It was fun to watch, and we're done.

00:11:16.960 The funny thing is that we try to imagine that if they had not been doing what they were doing, which is fighting over eyelashes,

00:11:29.720 if they had not been fighting over eyelashes, we're supposed to think that they would have been doing something useful for the country.

00:11:36.260 Really? Really?

00:11:40.880 If they could have only avoided that eyelash discussion, we could have paid down the national debt and gotten out of Ukraine? 1.00

00:11:48.640 I don't think so.

00:11:50.800 And Van Jones said that Marjorie Taylor Greene has never accomplished anything, and that she's a clown.

00:11:59.000 She's a clown. 0.99

00:12:02.380 To which I say, if you're working in a circus, is it wrong to be a clown?

00:12:12.360 I mean, if Congress were any kind of a respected institution, then I would say,

00:12:17.960 huh, you don't want to put a clown in a respected institution.

00:12:23.100 That would be like putting a turd in a swimming pool, wouldn't it?

00:12:26.160 Am I right?

00:12:26.800 Yeah, you don't want to see that touchy roll swimming in your swimming pool because it's out of place.

00:12:33.120 But suppose your swimming pool, instead of water, was filled completely with feces, nothing but feces,

00:12:42.040 and you added a turd to it.

00:12:44.020 Would it seem out of place?

00:12:46.100 No, it would not.

00:12:47.820 It would not.

00:12:49.040 So if you add a clown to Congress, when you watch it, you say,

00:12:54.520 what's going on here?

00:12:55.500 This seems so out of place.

00:12:57.780 But when everybody else was doing the serious business of governing, there was this one person

00:13:03.340 who seems to be breaking the decorum?

00:13:06.220 My God, I'm so embarrassed for the country.

00:13:11.180 We send Joe Biden to represent us.

00:13:15.180 And you think I'm embarrassed about Marjorie Taylor Greene insulting somebody's eyelashes and what I thought was actually kind of funny?

00:13:23.520 No!

00:13:26.040 Read the room.

00:13:27.900 Read the room.

00:13:29.360 If she's acting like a clown, it's maybe because she read the room.

00:13:33.440 Ah, look around.

00:13:34.400 How should I act?

00:13:35.180 Well, clown seems right.

00:13:38.200 Seems like a fit.

00:13:40.060 Anyway.

00:13:40.460 How many of you have noticed that there are three Democrats who have a weirdly demonic look and it's the same kind?

00:13:50.700 Have you noticed that when Biden talks, he squints in an evil way?

00:13:55.800 So he does evil squinty eyes.

00:13:58.300 But his mouth is like smarmy, fake smile evil.

00:14:04.440 So his eyes are closed, but his mouth is sort of, he's like he could barely suppress his smile.

00:14:12.920 But his eyes are so closed, because he doesn't want to look at you when he's lying.

00:14:19.300 And then Jamie Raskin and Schiff have that same look.

00:14:22.860 Their eyes are closed when they're on camera.

00:14:25.520 Look at Raskin.

00:14:27.800 But he's got to tell you that Donald Trump is certainly doing some things that are bad.

00:14:35.000 Don't look at my eyes, because my eyes are revealing that I'm a demon.

00:14:39.400 Don't look at him.

00:14:40.240 I'm going to close him.

00:14:41.100 But look at my smile, my smarmy smile.

00:14:44.960 And then Schiff, so basically Schiff, Raskin, and Biden, they register as demons to me.

00:14:55.680 Don't they?

00:14:57.600 When you see a face that doesn't look like a human face.

00:15:02.620 Well, here's the difference.

00:15:04.200 And here's the theme that I'm getting to.

00:15:05.980 When I see a Republican saying something ridiculous, I almost always think that they believe what they're saying.

00:15:15.900 And that it's just somebody's wrong or, you know, got bad information.

00:15:20.060 I rarely think to myself, well, that person is trying to tell us something that's not true right in front of us.

00:15:28.760 And do you notice that there are no Republicans who have that squinty demon face?

00:15:33.800 But you can find a number of Democrats who have it.

00:15:39.080 Squinty demon face.

00:15:40.380 Look for it.

00:15:41.940 Squinty eyes and smarmy smile.

00:15:44.160 I'm so smart.

00:15:46.660 You all see what I see, that the president is doing things which we think are, oh, just so bad.

00:15:53.740 Oh, my God.

00:15:56.080 They're hard to look at.

00:15:59.060 All right.

00:15:59.920 So my theme for today is that it seems we're in this recurring Groundhog Day pattern where Democrats are running organized ops, basically gaslighting ops.

00:16:14.100 And Democrats are trying to uncover how they did it.

00:16:18.380 And that's all it is.

00:16:19.840 All of our politics is the Democrats ran an op and the Republicans are trying to get to the bottom of it.

00:16:28.520 There's nothing else happening.

00:16:30.240 But that's the same story in every domain.

00:16:33.420 What's going on there in Ukraine?

00:16:35.180 Maybe we should get to the bottom of that.

00:16:37.220 What's happening with?

00:16:40.080 Well, you'll see the pattern.

00:16:41.240 Well, in other news, Buffett and Gates both pulled out large amounts of money from Microsoft and from the market.

00:16:51.420 And so some observers say, oh, wait a minute.

00:16:54.740 If Warren Buffett and Bill Gates are pulling money out of the market, that means they know something we don't.

00:17:00.320 But it takes about a minute and a half before somebody adds context on X.

00:17:03.960 You realize that's just sort of normally what they do.

00:17:09.440 So if you look at Microsoft, for example, Microsoft has basically doubled in the last couple of years because of AI.

00:17:17.200 Does it make sense that Bill Gates would take some money off the table if one of his investments doubled?

00:17:24.860 Yes.

00:17:26.060 That would just be normal.

00:17:27.660 But here's my speculation.

00:17:32.740 Some smart people say that they're expecting the market to tank and that maybe has something to do with the elections.

00:17:40.960 So some are saying, oh, this is an indication that they think the market is not going to keep going up.

00:17:45.900 Otherwise, they'd have their money in the market.

00:17:48.000 To which I say, we don't know where their money is going to end up.

00:17:52.000 If the only thing we know is they're taking some out, we don't know where it's going.

00:17:56.180 It might be in 5% government instruments and they just want to ride it out if they think there's trouble.

00:18:04.100 But it's such a small part of their portfolios that it seems far more likely they're just rebalancing.

00:18:10.280 And if I were Bill Gates, what I would do is I would pull some money out of Microsoft because that's basically an AI company now.

00:18:18.040 And it doubled.

00:18:19.320 And I would take some of that money and I would spread it into robot companies and other AI companies.

00:18:24.740 Because AI and robots and maybe, you know, gigawatt battery factories and stuff are going to be everything.

00:18:32.380 It's just going to be energy robots and AI and Bitcoin, I suppose.

00:18:37.100 So those are the four things that I would want to own in our uncertain times.

00:18:42.520 I wouldn't put my whole portfolio in them.

00:18:44.580 But I would say if you're hedging, you're definitely going to want to own something in Bitcoin, something in AI that's, you know, fundamental to AI.

00:18:55.620 And something with energy could be nukes or batteries or something because electricity is going to be gigantic.

00:19:03.000 And what else?

00:19:05.540 And robots.

00:19:07.700 So it would make sense that they're rebalancing their portfolios if that's what's happening.

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00:20:15.920 Allegedly, two Jordanian nationals are now in custody.

00:20:19.900 They are not legal citizens in this country, and they tried to allegedly breach Quantico Marine Base.

00:20:27.820 And some say it was maybe a dry run for ISIS.

00:20:30.800 So, isn't Quantico the Marine Base?

00:20:38.800 Hmm.

00:20:40.980 Where is the CIA?

00:20:42.620 I thought that was Quantico.

00:20:45.320 Why is the story called the Marine Base?

00:20:48.220 I guess I don't know.

00:20:50.040 Is Quantico the CIA, or is it the Marines?

00:20:52.820 Or is it both?

00:20:57.200 Yeah, I thought it was CIA and FBI.

00:21:01.320 Langley.

00:21:04.220 So, Quantico is FBI.

00:21:09.940 CIA.

00:21:10.560 I guess we don't know what it is.

00:21:12.040 So, I've gotten three different answers.

00:21:15.380 That Quantico is FBI, that it's CIA, and that it's Marines.

00:21:20.200 Is it all three?

00:21:22.420 Could it be all three?

00:21:24.540 Hmm.

00:21:25.680 Anyway.

00:21:26.580 So, we'll keep an eye on that.

00:21:28.200 But the question is, how many terrorists do you think are already in the country?

00:21:33.480 I have a book coming out in a few weeks.

00:21:36.120 I'll tell you more about it.

00:21:38.000 That's a republication of God's Debris and the Religion War and a New Shore Story. 0.66

00:21:42.680 It's all going to be in one book.

00:21:44.160 I'll let you know when that's ready to go.

00:21:46.100 But it'll be just in a few days.

00:21:49.800 But a big part of the religion war was that the way the terrorists get even with the United States 0.91

00:21:57.480 is by embedding terrorists in all of our population centers and activating them at the same time.

00:22:02.960 And I'm real concerned that that may be exactly what's happening because of our open border.

00:22:10.700 That China and maybe Iran and who knows who else, maybe ISIS, have put enough people into our country. 1.00

00:22:20.160 Because you really only need one or two per city.

00:22:23.340 And, you know, the amount of damage they could do would be incalculable.

00:22:27.500 So, if you are fighting a battle where it's really imbalanced, you know, one has the biggest military in the world and the other doesn't,

00:22:38.940 you would make up for that by putting terrorists in all the key places and having them activated at the same time.

00:22:45.000 So, my concern is that they're going to activate at the same time, sometime in the future.

00:22:49.740 So, that's the big, I'm less worried about the one-off, just because the odds of, you know, me being there personally are pretty low.

00:22:57.520 But the odds of everybody doing everything at the same time is really scary.

00:23:04.340 That one's a big one.

00:23:05.440 All right.

00:23:10.100 Ted Lieu, at some public hearing, was saying that Trump needs to be looked into because he keeps falling asleep in court.

00:23:19.680 So, it might be a sign that he's not healthy because he keeps falling asleep in court.

00:23:27.340 Now, I'm no Dr. Ted Lieu, but I'm going to diagnose Trump without even seeing him.

00:23:34.120 Watch this.

00:23:36.720 It's called boredom.

00:23:39.180 Do you think there's any chance I could stay awake every day sitting in a court case, even if my life was on the line?

00:23:46.920 No.

00:23:48.780 It's the most boring thing you could ever do.

00:23:52.180 I'm pretty sure I fell asleep when I was doing jury duty.

00:23:55.460 I mean, not for long, but I probably dozed off.

00:23:58.580 And I was in my 20s when I was doing that.

00:24:01.140 So, yeah, there's no problem with him falling asleep during a court case.

00:24:07.280 In fact, he should sleep through all of it.

00:24:09.440 It's a waste of time.

00:24:10.380 He should be well rested.

00:24:12.400 And some other people have mentioned this as well.

00:24:15.180 But do you think that maybe the biggest story is going to be that resting Trump, which is what the trial does, it rests him, might be the very worst thing they could have done?

00:24:29.140 Because if he were going to show any age-related issues, it would be from doing too much, not from sitting in a court doing nothing, right?

00:24:39.240 So, a well-rested Trump is the most dangerous thing in the world to a Democrat.

00:24:47.080 I mean, politically, not physically.

00:24:49.220 But politically, he's the most dangerous when he's rested.

00:24:52.820 And they're resting him.

00:24:55.480 I feel like they figured the worst possible thing they could do for themselves.

00:25:00.560 All right.

00:25:05.640 Trump said he's going to demand that Joe Biden take a drug test for the debate because he says Biden was, quote, high as a kite during the State of the Union.

00:25:16.240 Now, I, for entertainment, I watched MSNBC last night, so you don't have to.

00:25:23.340 On MSNBC, I swear to God, this is the conversation they're having.

00:25:28.560 Now, just try to hold in your head what you believe reality is.

00:25:35.320 And now, I'm going to tell you what MSNBC was discussing, and they were discussing it like it's obvious, like it's an obvious truth.

00:25:44.680 Are you ready?

00:25:46.320 They say it's an obvious truth that Trump will never debate, and he's only going to look for an excuse to pull out.

00:25:55.640 Okay.

00:25:58.560 So, in what reality does Trump run away from an audience?

00:26:03.600 How in the world does more than one person on MSNBC sit in the same conversation and say, oh, yeah, yeah, it's pretty obvious he's not even going to be in the debate?

00:26:16.480 It looks like he's just looking for excuses to get out.

00:26:21.120 Do you think this is one of them?

00:26:23.480 Do you think he says if they don't drug test Biden, he won't do the debate?

00:26:27.980 Of course he'll do the debate, because it's going to be even better if Biden is high.

00:26:34.540 Can you imagine Trump calling out Biden as being high at the moment?

00:26:39.860 Like, well, Joe, you're fairly coherent today.

00:26:45.080 What did they give you?

00:26:47.640 Well, why are you saying that?

00:26:49.640 No, seriously, Joe.

00:26:52.140 What did they give you?

00:26:53.760 What are you on?

00:26:54.460 Tell the public right now.

00:26:55.380 No, there is nothing that's going to keep Trump away from a crowd.

00:27:02.740 To imagine the MSNBC people, I honestly don't know if they're dishonest or they have dementia.

00:27:09.020 That might be the least real take of all takes, that Trump would avoid a big audience where the other person there is Biden.

00:27:21.480 Do you think that Trump has any doubt, any doubt whatsoever, that he would prevail in a debate at this point?

00:27:32.120 Of course not.

00:27:34.060 Do you know what else I heard?

00:27:35.420 That if Trump wants to debate, it must be because he knows he's in trouble.

00:27:44.380 What?

00:27:46.620 What?

00:27:47.920 How high do you have to be to think that?

00:27:51.860 As he's adding all the polls and everything looks good.

00:27:56.260 So, Trump has doubled down and he's agreed to four debates.

00:28:02.580 Now, I believe only two have been offered.

00:28:06.240 But Trump, independently, has said yes to Fox News and NBC and Telemundo.

00:28:14.680 Interestingly, when I wrote down my own notes, I wrote down NPC instead of NBC.

00:28:21.240 But NPC might be a little closer.

00:28:24.200 It might be.

00:28:24.700 MSNBC saying Trump is afraid to debate and might cancel at the same time that he's offered four debates.

00:28:37.060 Now, do you think it makes sense for Trump to offer four debates?

00:28:45.800 Of course, it's exactly the right thing to do, because he's trying to force Biden to say no to at least one debate.

00:28:54.400 So, he's basically saying, I'll take any debate, anywhere, you name it.

00:29:00.640 As soon as Biden offered the two debates, Trump accepted immediately.

00:29:04.920 And now he's calling his bluff and he's, you know, increasing in two debates.

00:29:10.740 I'll tell you what Trump, what Biden doesn't want is two more debates.

00:29:16.060 He definitely doesn't want that.

00:29:17.400 So, it's, again, it's perfect.

00:29:20.900 I feel like I'm the only one saying this, which is the dog not barking in this campaign, is that Trump's campaign has been perfect.

00:29:30.780 I've never seen anybody hit so many notes correctly in a row in a campaign.

00:29:37.160 It's crazy.

00:29:38.760 He's doing so, so well.

00:29:41.120 And I think his advisors, you know, to his own credit, he must be taking good advice, but also he has good instincts.

00:29:48.660 But he must be getting great advice.

00:29:51.600 Because he's just killing it.

00:29:53.660 Like, it's just a flawless, flawless campaign.

00:29:56.620 I mean, given the limitations of the court stuff, he's just playing it perfectly.

00:30:00.780 Well, Andrew McCarthy says that a hung jury in the Stormy Daniels trial would be a victory because it's unlikely that they'd be crazy enough to try to do it again.

00:30:12.400 What do you think are the odds?

00:30:15.700 What do you think are the odds that there's at least one human male on the jury who is willing to buck the crowd and hang the jury?

00:30:28.620 I say almost certain.

00:30:30.780 I feel like it's closer to a certainty.

00:30:34.080 Now, if he did get convicted, I'm pretty sure it would get overturned.

00:30:38.340 But I think there's going to be at least one male who says, nope, nope, this ends here.

00:30:47.860 Do you know why I say male?

00:30:50.840 Because it's dangerous.

00:30:52.000 And when there's danger, there's more likely a man is going to do it than a woman. 1.00

00:30:58.720 So imagine sitting in a jury where, let's say, hypothetically, 10 or 11 people are Trump haters.

00:31:05.280 And all they want to do is convict him.

00:31:08.740 And they're like, guilty.

00:31:10.240 Don't even want to discuss it.

00:31:12.420 Could you be the one who says no?

00:31:14.460 Now, it wouldn't be physically dangerous while you're in that room, but it would get pretty intimidating.

00:31:22.920 It would get pretty hot.

00:31:23.820 And when you left the room, people would find out you're the one that hung the jury.

00:31:29.120 That's dangerous.

00:31:30.700 It's dangerous.

00:31:31.880 Men can do that. 0.96

00:31:33.500 I would do it.

00:31:34.780 I'd do it in a heartbeat.

00:31:36.120 I wouldn't even hesitate.

00:31:37.040 I would hang that jury so fast.

00:31:41.100 And I would do it without any regret, second thoughts.

00:31:46.000 I wouldn't even have fear.

00:31:47.960 Because once something is so right, my fear goes away.

00:31:51.560 I don't know if you had this.

00:31:52.920 But fear is only there until you're sure you're right.

00:31:56.680 Once you're sure you're right, it's still dangerous.

00:32:00.340 But your fear goes away.

00:32:01.700 Have you ever had that experience?

00:32:03.060 It's like, let's say, you know, you're afraid of getting in a fight with somebody.

00:32:07.500 But after they do the first bunch, your fear just disappears.

00:32:12.300 Because now it's just on.

00:32:14.920 Yeah.

00:32:15.460 The fear is just when you're not sure what's going to happen.

00:32:19.180 Once you're sure what's going to happen, it's just go time.

00:32:22.580 And I think there's going to be at least one juror who says, you know what?

00:32:27.780 It's go time.

00:32:30.380 I think it's go time.

00:32:33.060 So I'm going to bet.

00:32:35.700 I'm going to tell you that I have not lost complete faith in human beings.

00:32:41.000 I'm going to bet on at least one human being saying, too far.

00:32:47.000 Too far.

00:32:48.720 This is too far, and it stops now.

00:32:51.780 And there's nothing you can do to me.

00:32:53.520 I'm stopping this jury right now.

00:32:55.620 I think it's going to happen.

00:32:57.660 I say hung jury.

00:32:58.560 All right.

00:33:02.760 Representative Comer.

00:33:05.500 He's got this story about some kind of deleted emails.

00:33:09.200 There's some kind of written indication that Fauci and his friends had figured out some way to make emails disappear after there had been a FOIA request.

00:33:18.660 But before they had executed it somehow.

00:33:22.400 Quote, who said this?

00:33:23.600 I don't know.

00:33:24.400 I learned from our NIH FOIA lady how to make emails disappear after I am FOIA'd.

00:33:29.300 But before the search starts, so I think we're all safe.

00:33:33.580 Plus, I deleted most of those earlier emails.

00:33:37.680 What?

00:33:39.760 What?

00:33:40.760 So this was, you know, about some of the pandemic stuff.

00:33:44.040 I think that's a quote of Fauci, but if not, it's, you know, one of the people involved in the whole business.

00:33:51.380 Now, remember my theme?

00:33:53.740 My theme is a whole bunch of bad behavior, often Democrats, and then Republicans are just trying to figure out how they did it.

00:34:03.860 This is it.

00:34:04.740 It's just all over the place.

00:34:07.520 It's Democrats running ops, and Republicans tried to undo the ops.

00:34:17.460 Even Bill Maher on the show last night is saying that the only reason for the June debate, which is months earlier than normal, is so they can replace Biden.

00:34:28.160 Now, everybody sees it at this point.

00:34:31.900 Republicans see it.

00:34:33.060 Democrats see it.

00:34:36.920 Imagine having your own candidate so weak that you're having an early debate so that you can increase the chances of replacing him.

00:34:48.600 And that's your best guy, the best candidate.

00:34:52.120 So your best candidate is one that you hope to God you can replace really early.

00:34:57.540 We all see it.

00:34:58.880 We all see it.

00:34:59.600 The Amuse account on X asks this question.

00:35:04.340 Is it weird that the Biden family's banks filed more than 170 suspicious activity reports with authorities, but the FBI never bothered to investigate why they kept getting suspicious wires, why the Bidens kept getting suspicious wires from China, Ukraine, Russia, and Romania?

00:35:22.580 And the claim is that there's over like a quarter of a million dollars in checks that were directly wired to Biden with no explanation.

00:35:32.040 Do you think that's a coincidence?

00:35:34.040 Do you think that's a coincidence?

00:35:36.040 No, this is more to my theme of Democrats are running ops and the Republicans are just trying to figure out what's going on here?

00:35:48.980 How did you do this op?

00:35:49.880 It's everything from, you know, the major hoaxes, you know, the Russia collusion.

00:35:57.200 It's all the same.

00:35:58.200 It's just Democrats running hoaxes, Republicans trying to unwind them.

00:36:03.380 It's our entire system now.

00:36:04.860 All right.

00:36:07.260 According to CNN, the black vote for Trump, which was only 9% in 2020, looks to be, according to polling, up to 22% in 2024.

00:36:19.880 22%.

00:36:20.360 Now, that's still way less than half, so it's nothing to brag about, but clearly something's happening.

00:36:27.760 Now, what's missing in the story?

00:36:29.460 What's missing in the story, that black vote has more than doubled since 2020?

00:36:38.100 Well, what's missing in the story is the part that Frank Luntz is the only one willing to say out loud besides me.

00:36:46.780 He says that Trump could win the votes of one-third of black men under age 40.

00:36:53.980 They identify with Trump, he says.

00:36:55.760 It could be as high as one-third of black men under 40.

00:37:01.240 It's men.

00:37:03.660 It's not black people. 1.00

00:37:06.020 It's mostly men. 0.81

00:37:08.060 Is that a coincidence?

00:37:09.960 No.

00:37:10.820 Because men are rising because there's an evil, and we sense it.

00:37:18.500 Let me ask you this.

00:37:19.660 Men, men who are watching this right now, don't you sense that there's an evil which you are personally responsible for?

00:37:29.240 Because we're sort of born to take care of this stuff.

00:37:32.280 Doesn't it feel personal?

00:37:34.260 Like, I feel like there's a level of evil that's trying to creep into our system, and that men specifically need to stop it.

00:37:41.720 Because I think women, for whatever reason, are on the side of the evil. 1.00

00:37:48.480 Doesn't mean they're evil, but they seem at least accidentally on the side.

00:37:52.460 So at least Frank Luntz is telling us the truth.

00:37:57.920 Thank you, Frank.

00:37:59.200 At least putting it in the right frame.

00:38:04.120 Probably not a coincidence that President Trump, or ex-President Trump, has just announced he's going to do a rally in South Bronx.

00:38:10.900 Now, I don't know much about South Bronx, but what's the demographic there?

00:38:18.820 Is that now a dominant Hispanic, or is it a dominant black, or is it mostly black and Hispanic?

00:38:25.920 But whatever it is, it's not considered his normal stronghold.

00:38:31.740 But what if he kills it in the Bronx?

00:38:33.840 If he kills it in the Bronx, and he might, he might, that's really going to change the frame, isn't it?

00:38:46.820 The level of confidence that that shows is really infectious.

00:38:52.120 Don't you love to watch Trump walk toward trouble?

00:38:57.660 It's my favorite thing.

00:38:59.460 I want to see him meet Kim Jong-un.

00:39:01.680 I want to see him meet Putin.

00:39:02.980 I want to see him meet Xi.

00:39:04.480 And I want him to do a rally in the Bronx.

00:39:07.960 Go right into your hardest neighborhood.

00:39:12.360 Make it work.

00:39:13.580 See if you can.

00:39:14.700 Now, I'm going to call this the Andre Agassi strategy.

00:39:18.880 You know Andre Agassi, famous tennis player.

00:39:21.980 And he had a strategy that if he played a player, let's say, who had a strong forehand,

00:39:27.420 but their backhand wasn't as strong,

00:39:29.600 the normal way people play that is they would hit to the person's backhand all day long

00:39:34.800 because that's their weaker shot.

00:39:37.320 Andre Agassi was so strong as a player, he would go after their best shot.

00:39:42.100 And the reason is if he could take a chunk out of their best shot, it would destroy their confidence

00:39:49.080 and the entire, basically they'd collapse.

00:39:54.040 If you go after their weak shot, they expect it.

00:39:56.860 And they also get better at hitting it during the game

00:40:00.100 because you're literally giving them practice at their weakest shot.

00:40:03.400 So they, you know, they have a chance of playing their way into it.

00:40:06.580 But if you go after their best shot and the other team and the other person knows they're doing it

00:40:12.100 and they say, wait a minute, you're hitting to my forehand. 0.86

00:40:16.700 That's crazy.

00:40:18.300 Oh shit, you just made the point.

00:40:20.680 Okay, but this won't work.

00:40:22.020 You're still hitting to my best shot.

00:40:24.500 How did you win that game?

00:40:26.380 And then you're done.

00:40:27.360 Trump is hitting to Biden's best shot.

00:40:33.260 He's going into the Bronx.

00:40:35.300 In the same city that is so anti-Trump

00:40:38.200 that they decided that's the best place to law for him.

00:40:43.080 So I'll tell you what this reminds me of is that the,

00:40:46.480 I remember when Obama was at the,

00:40:48.480 was at the network correspondence dinner,

00:40:52.160 the famous thing where they try to tell jokes and they all fail.

00:40:54.560 And he humiliated Trump in the audience

00:40:58.520 because Trump had done the birther thing by then.

00:41:02.360 And then Trump's response was to take the presidency.

00:41:06.560 Now we have a similar situation where New York, the state,

00:41:11.020 is saying, we hate you so much, we're going to try you here,

00:41:14.660 the worst place we could do it for you.

00:41:16.680 And we're going to put you in jail

00:41:18.680 because New York is the place you're going to die.

00:41:22.100 And Trump says, I'm going to take the Bronx.

00:41:29.100 How perfect is that?

00:41:31.660 My God.

00:41:33.760 That is so perfect that I can't even express words.

00:41:37.860 In terms of strategy, going after Biden's strong,

00:41:44.480 his strength is just so gutsy.

00:41:47.960 And when you see a leader go after somebody's strength

00:41:51.340 because they're so confident,

00:41:53.580 they think they can take out his forehand,

00:41:56.060 Andre Agassi style.

00:41:58.020 Oh my God.

00:42:00.100 Who doesn't want to watch that? 0.75

00:42:01.900 No matter what happens,

00:42:03.940 the energy monster is doing his thing.

00:42:08.420 Energy monster.

00:42:10.820 So that is whatever event it was last night, I think.

00:42:13.660 Trump pulled out some Tic Tacs,

00:42:16.800 you know, the little candies.

00:42:18.260 And apparently Tic Tac now has a extra small size container

00:42:22.760 with fewer Tic Tacs.

00:42:25.620 So we're, I guess he had asked for a Tic Tac

00:42:29.060 and somebody gave it to him.

00:42:30.260 And now he says he's going to carry it with him

00:42:32.040 to use in the rallies

00:42:32.880 because it's so hilariously small.

00:42:37.500 Now you might say to me,

00:42:39.820 but Scott,

00:42:41.420 Biden himself is saying that his candy is too small.

00:42:45.720 So isn't Trump just agreeing with Biden

00:42:48.380 and saying, oh, these corporations are evil,

00:42:51.340 they're shrinking it?

00:42:52.320 No, Trump plays it the right way.

00:42:54.580 He says it's Joe Biden's Tic Tacs

00:42:57.800 because the inflation made them smaller.

00:43:01.260 Thank you.

00:43:02.880 He just went after Biden's strongest claim on the economy

00:43:06.960 that the real problem is the corporations shrinking their packaging,

00:43:11.500 which is the dumbest thing anybody ever said.

00:43:13.280 So Trump, instead of avoiding it,

00:43:16.540 holds up the tiny candy

00:43:18.740 that President Small Candy had been complaining about.

00:43:23.340 And he says, here's your Biden inflation.

00:43:26.060 And I'm looking at him holding up that tiny candy

00:43:28.620 and calling it Biden inflation.

00:43:31.120 And what was my first thought?

00:43:34.420 Build the wall.

00:43:36.840 It's visual.

00:43:37.700 It's visual.

00:43:41.160 If he can hold up that tiny Tic Tac thing,

00:43:44.080 you know, the little container every time

00:43:45.760 and say, here's what Biden gives you.

00:43:49.660 Here's your Biden inflation right here.

00:43:51.460 And he makes the inflation visual.

00:43:55.000 He said he's going to keep it with him

00:43:56.600 for the other events.

00:43:58.400 That is exactly right.

00:44:00.500 Every single time, reach into your pocket

00:44:02.780 and say, have you heard of Biden's inflation?

00:44:05.220 Look what he did to the Tic Tacs.

00:44:08.540 Perfect.

00:44:09.860 Perfect.

00:44:13.060 All right.

00:44:16.320 I saw a award-winning journalist, Alex Newman.

00:44:20.920 He was on a show with Josh Phillip, I guess.

00:44:23.700 Crossroads is the name of the show.

00:44:25.680 Podcast.

00:44:26.200 I think podcast-y kind of a show.

00:44:28.280 I don't know too much about it.

00:44:29.320 But anyway, Alex Newman was saying

00:44:31.280 that there are three new peer-reviewed papers

00:44:34.420 published in major journals,

00:44:36.780 scientific journals,

00:44:37.840 that basically say climate change alarm is bullshit.

00:44:42.660 One of the studies says that 40% of the warming

00:44:46.560 can be explained by the heat island effect

00:44:49.000 and the rest of it by something called the sun.

00:44:52.660 And that's a peer-reviewed current paper

00:44:59.420 in a major journal.

00:45:01.180 Now, to be fair,

00:45:04.780 I tell you all the time

00:45:06.800 that the odds of any paper being published

00:45:09.120 and peer-reviewed and being true

00:45:10.840 is less than half.

00:45:13.580 So there are three of them.

00:45:16.120 So that, you know,

00:45:17.180 you might imagine that increases your chances,

00:45:19.340 but each of them is only a half, 50% chance.

00:45:22.660 So what are the odds?

00:45:25.380 Wait, do the odds for me.

00:45:26.920 I don't want to be like Andrew Huberman.

00:45:29.520 You've got three papers,

00:45:33.840 and all of them are the same direction,

00:45:36.580 saying that climate change is overdone.

00:45:39.580 And, but there's only a,

00:45:41.360 let's say there's a 50% chance of each one.

00:45:44.040 What are the odds

00:45:47.040 then that at least one of the papers is accurate?

00:45:49.620 If it's a 50-50 0.58

00:45:51.980 and you don't know anything.

00:45:55.200 We're not good at statistics, are we?

00:45:58.100 I was kind of curious

00:45:59.140 if everybody would have the same answer

00:46:00.760 or if you'd be all over the place.

00:46:04.500 12.5% unless it's correlated.

00:46:07.060 That sounds like the right answer.

00:46:10.000 From, yeah, Jim Engineer.

00:46:13.480 I'm going to go with the engineer on this.

00:46:15.220 12.5% I'm seeing more often than not.

00:46:19.320 So, hmm, unless they're correlated.

00:46:23.500 Would they be correlated?

00:46:25.020 There's no reason they would be, I guess.

00:46:27.440 Except they're looking at the same topic.

00:46:29.300 That's the kind of correlation.

00:46:31.060 No, no.

00:46:33.880 All right, all the smarter people are saying 12.5.

00:46:38.440 110%, somebody says.

00:46:39.360 So, we can't believe the new studies,

00:46:42.680 but here's my larger theme.

00:46:45.300 I do think that Trump is going to have

00:46:47.380 the greatest third act of all time.

00:46:50.080 I do believe that climate change

00:46:51.960 has been debunked sufficiently

00:46:54.580 that even Democrats are having some doubt.

00:46:59.080 Do you think that's true?

00:47:00.440 The only way that AI is going to happen

00:47:02.680 is with massive increase in energy.

00:47:05.500 And, you know, most of that will be green,

00:47:10.300 I suppose, as much as possible.

00:47:12.340 So, we'll be going hog wild with nuclear, for sure.

00:47:15.940 I think that's guaranteed at this point.

00:47:19.920 Anyway, I don't know if this means

00:47:21.700 that climate change is really debunked.

00:47:23.960 It's too early to say that.

00:47:25.820 But if there is a study that says

00:47:27.860 40% of the warming is from the heat island effect,

00:47:31.020 meaning that the thermometers were put in places

00:47:33.740 that later cities grew toward,

00:47:37.540 and where there's a city is hotter

00:47:39.360 because of the concrete,

00:47:40.580 which does not tell you that the world is hotter,

00:47:42.860 just the concrete is hotter.

00:47:49.300 Totalitarian roots.

00:47:50.620 Okay.

00:47:51.780 Now, apparently there's somebody named Bill McGuire,

00:47:56.460 you know, a green person,

00:47:58.300 who says directly,

00:47:59.880 the only way that we'll get to a sustainable planet

00:48:03.200 is if there's something like a big pandemic

00:48:05.580 that wipes out a lot of people.

00:48:08.820 And I used to say,

00:48:11.280 well, those are just the crazy,

00:48:13.220 you know, extremists.

00:48:15.620 They don't represent the public in any way.

00:48:18.360 But here's the thing I wonder.

00:48:21.540 You ever wonder why we're doing gain-of-function?

00:48:23.780 Now there's a story that the bird flu

00:48:27.160 might be a gain-of-function escape to virus.

00:48:30.620 Of course.

00:48:32.900 Did anybody ever tell you why we do gain-of-function?

00:48:36.620 I mean, I think the,

00:48:38.000 I believe the official story,

00:48:40.080 the official story is that it's,

00:48:42.740 so we're ready in case somebody else makes a super virus.

00:48:45.960 But that feels weird

00:48:47.900 because can you really guess

00:48:49.680 how they'll make their virus?

00:48:52.820 Can you really do,

00:48:54.060 you know,

00:48:54.940 gain-of-function

00:48:55.720 so specifically

00:48:58.080 that you know exactly how the bad guys

00:49:00.960 are going to try to get you with a virus?

00:49:03.660 That feels like a stretch,

00:49:05.700 given all the zillions of ways

00:49:07.220 a virus could be changed and express itself.

00:49:10.680 But you know what would make sense

00:49:12.520 is if it were done intentionally

00:49:14.320 to depopulate the Earth.

00:49:17.980 And I'm not going to make that claim.

00:49:21.060 But I have this question.

00:49:23.480 If you apply to do gain-of-function experiments

00:49:28.560 and you're applying for the job at the lab

00:49:31.800 and you're in your interview,

00:49:34.360 don't you think one of the questions should be,

00:49:36.980 do you think that the population of Earth is too high?

00:49:42.580 If you're not asking that,

00:49:45.300 I don't want anybody near a fucking virus

00:49:48.340 that can wipe out the world. 0.99

00:49:50.800 Can we at least ask the question,

00:49:53.580 do you believe the biggest problem is too many people?

00:49:56.900 Or like Elon Musk and like me,

00:49:59.700 think that the biggest problem

00:50:01.120 is the lack of birth rate replacement.

00:50:04.140 If somebody says,

00:50:06.600 I'd like to work on deadly new viruses

00:50:09.080 that I'll create that could destroy humanity,

00:50:12.200 and by the way,

00:50:13.660 I think there are too many people,

00:50:15.560 I don't want that person near a lab.

00:50:19.920 And do you think they ask that question?

00:50:22.720 No way.

00:50:23.880 Because nobody does, right?

00:50:25.760 But please, please.

00:50:28.080 And by the way,

00:50:30.480 if somebody's already in the job,

00:50:33.020 I would ask them the question again.

00:50:35.240 Do you think there are too many people or too few?

00:50:37.580 If they say too many,

00:50:39.120 you've got to fire them

00:50:40.820 and walk them out of the building.

00:50:42.720 I don't want anybody working on

00:50:44.540 gain-of-function

00:50:46.260 who thinks there are too many fucking people. 0.90

00:50:49.540 Can we get that right?

00:50:51.280 Can we do that one thing?

00:50:52.560 Just make sure the people

00:50:54.120 who are developing

00:50:55.120 deadly humanity-destroying tools

00:50:58.980 don't want fewer people.

00:51:01.180 It doesn't seem like a lot to ask.

00:51:03.500 A little bit has never been asked.

00:51:07.200 All right.

00:51:10.920 So the Democrats are trying to sell us

00:51:14.740 on the fact that

00:51:17.360 all the major Republicans

00:51:18.580 who are attending the law fair thing in New York,

00:51:21.900 it's really because

00:51:23.180 they want to kiss the ring

00:51:24.400 of Donald Trump.

00:51:26.600 And they have to go into

00:51:28.320 their demon smarmy voices.

00:51:30.460 You should see Adam Schiff

00:51:31.700 and Raskin talking about it with her.

00:51:34.020 I'll do my impression.

00:51:35.940 Squinty demon eyes

00:51:37.100 followed by smarmy mouth.

00:51:39.960 And the only reason,

00:51:42.720 the only reason they're going

00:51:44.520 is to kiss the ring.

00:51:47.340 Oh, kiss the ring.

00:51:49.940 It's like they're all Gollum.

00:51:51.900 Anyway, comes off as a demonic possession,

00:51:57.320 but can't be sure.

00:52:01.880 Everybody's still talking about

00:52:03.000 that Harrison Bucker speech,

00:52:05.280 the football kicker

00:52:06.520 who did the speech

00:52:07.320 at the Catholic school.

00:52:12.560 So even Bill Maher said,

00:52:13.880 I don't see what the big crime is.

00:52:15.560 And he was reminding

00:52:16.420 his Democrat audience

00:52:17.580 that this is half the country,

00:52:20.460 you know,

00:52:20.900 that they get to have an opinion

00:52:23.000 about the right way to live,

00:52:24.600 which I appreciate.

00:52:26.780 You know, he's not saying

00:52:27.620 that he agrees with it per se,

00:52:30.340 but just it's normal

00:52:31.800 and you should be able

00:52:33.280 to talk about normal things.

00:52:35.320 Right.

00:52:35.960 You should be able to talk

00:52:36.880 about normal things.

00:52:38.380 But I did watch MSNBC,

00:52:42.120 as I said.

00:52:44.620 And one of the things

00:52:45.520 they said was that,

00:52:47.220 and I didn't hear this

00:52:48.140 when I was watching

00:52:49.100 right-leaning news.

00:52:50.740 I did not hear this at all.

00:52:52.400 But apparently there was

00:52:53.480 a comment about

00:52:55.540 gay people being, 0.56

00:52:58.800 what word did he use?

00:53:00.320 Yeah.

00:53:04.200 So he definitely said

00:53:05.660 some anti-gay stuff.

00:53:08.040 To me, that's different.

00:53:09.820 That's a different category

00:53:11.020 from saying

00:53:11.740 some women might want 1.00

00:53:13.480 to be, you know,

00:53:14.620 homemakers

00:53:15.100 and some might want

00:53:16.180 to go to work.

00:53:17.700 That's just talking about,

00:53:19.880 did he call them deviance?

00:53:21.040 Was that the word?

00:53:23.360 Now that's too far.

00:53:28.700 Yeah.

00:53:30.320 Yeah.

00:53:30.780 I think that's too far,

00:53:32.320 going after individuals.

00:53:33.800 But saying that

00:53:34.580 women can have choices 1.00

00:53:35.900 and they can be,

00:53:37.380 you know,

00:53:38.220 they can be any relationship

00:53:39.640 they want with their husband, 1.00

00:53:41.400 that seems fair.

00:53:43.080 But

00:53:43.600 if he was going anti-gay

00:53:47.440 or calling them deviance,

00:53:50.020 to me that would be too far.

00:53:51.700 But I also think

00:53:52.780 he has free speech.

00:53:54.860 So,

00:53:56.080 you're right.

00:53:56.560 I would find that

00:53:57.920 distasteful

00:53:59.220 but not illegal.

00:54:00.320 All right.

00:54:03.460 I finally figured out

00:54:04.680 the situation

00:54:06.000 with the debt crisis.

00:54:08.060 Not in terms of a solution.

00:54:09.960 But here's what

00:54:10.500 I couldn't understand.

00:54:12.080 I couldn't understand

00:54:13.080 why people are not

00:54:14.020 more panicked about it.

00:54:15.940 But I finally figured it out.

00:54:17.920 Because every time

00:54:18.700 I brought it up,

00:54:19.420 people would say things like,

00:54:21.200 oh, we'll just do

00:54:21.960 what Argentina does

00:54:23.100 and cut expenses.

00:54:24.940 Or if you just cut

00:54:26.100 X percent

00:54:26.780 from the budget

00:54:27.460 every year,

00:54:28.220 you'd be fine.

00:54:29.980 Or if you stop

00:54:31.080 giving money

00:54:31.560 to other countries,

00:54:32.940 we'll be fine.

00:54:34.540 Or if you do

00:54:35.740 what Vivek says

00:54:36.720 and do a major cut

00:54:38.500 of the government

00:54:39.160 itself,

00:54:40.680 get rid of a lot

00:54:41.520 of departments,

00:54:42.600 you'll be fine.

00:54:44.360 Here's what I finally

00:54:45.300 figured out.

00:54:45.920 A trillion

00:54:47.800 is such a big number

00:54:49.360 that we can't tell

00:54:50.840 the difference

00:54:51.380 between $1 trillion

00:54:52.460 and $35 trillion.

00:54:56.080 All of those things

00:54:57.180 I just said

00:54:57.880 were perfectly good plans

00:55:00.080 when the debt

00:55:01.280 was $1 trillion.

00:55:03.100 We probably could have

00:55:04.540 worked our way out

00:55:05.420 by spending less

00:55:07.360 and making sure

00:55:08.180 the GDP grows

00:55:09.200 and a little bit

00:55:10.380 of inflation

00:55:10.960 and time

00:55:11.740 and maybe we could

00:55:13.420 have grown our way out.

00:55:14.160 But at $35 trillion,

00:55:16.800 none of those things work.

00:55:19.200 And I was suspecting

00:55:21.400 that the real problem here

00:55:23.580 is that people

00:55:24.140 are bad at math.

00:55:26.880 So I think the reason

00:55:28.940 that we're treating it

00:55:29.760 like it's not a problem,

00:55:31.100 the public,

00:55:32.500 you know,

00:55:32.820 there's some small number

00:55:34.180 of people who just harp

00:55:35.160 on it all the time,

00:55:36.080 like me.

00:55:37.280 But most of the public

00:55:38.700 kind of thinks that

00:55:40.220 things will get worse

00:55:41.780 and worse and worse

00:55:42.680 and then the Congress

00:55:44.520 will be forced to act.

00:55:46.580 But once they act,

00:55:47.800 they'll fix it.

00:55:49.840 That's not where we are.

00:55:52.820 I think you're reading

00:55:53.760 the situation wrong.

00:55:55.740 It is now so big,

00:55:57.040 it's unsolvable.

00:55:58.540 There's no normal thing

00:55:59.680 you can do to solve it.

00:56:00.940 You can't grow

00:56:01.720 your way out of it.

00:56:03.100 You can't have, like,

00:56:04.120 better economy

00:56:04.780 and just pay it off.

00:56:06.040 You can't inflate

00:56:07.100 your way out of it

00:56:07.880 without destroying

00:56:08.820 the country

00:56:09.240 at the same time.

00:56:10.020 And you can't cut

00:56:11.480 expenses enough

00:56:12.360 to make any difference

00:56:13.260 at all.

00:56:15.060 And I don't think

00:56:15.940 people know

00:56:16.600 because they're still

00:56:17.940 living in a one trillion

00:56:19.060 world,

00:56:19.700 not a 35 trillion

00:56:21.060 with a trillion

00:56:21.960 added every 100 days.

00:56:24.080 And I think that

00:56:24.960 that's just a basic

00:56:25.840 inability to grasp

00:56:27.680 math at the,

00:56:29.660 say,

00:56:30.140 conceptual level.

00:56:31.820 They can't tell

00:56:32.700 the difference

00:56:33.160 between a trillion

00:56:33.920 and 35 trillion.

00:56:35.360 And their leaders

00:56:36.300 are not acting

00:56:37.020 so panicked.

00:56:37.720 If you turn on

00:56:39.480 CNN today,

00:56:40.460 they won't even

00:56:41.480 mention it,

00:56:42.540 will they?

00:56:43.320 It won't even

00:56:43.780 be in the news.

00:56:44.740 But it's our only

00:56:45.800 existential problem.

00:56:47.960 The rest,

00:56:48.620 unless there's a

00:56:49.140 meteor coming,

00:56:50.400 the rest we can

00:56:51.340 totally work on.

00:56:53.580 You know,

00:56:53.740 war probably

00:56:54.520 won't kill us.

00:56:56.420 The coming robots

00:56:57.740 will probably

00:56:58.400 figure it out.

00:57:00.200 AI,

00:57:01.020 I think,

00:57:01.720 will be okay.

00:57:03.360 Climate change

00:57:04.140 was never really

00:57:05.020 worried.

00:57:05.360 But the debt?

00:57:08.760 35 trillion

00:57:09.760 plus a trillion

00:57:10.500 every 100 days?

00:57:11.800 I have no idea

00:57:12.960 how you'd fix that.

00:57:14.400 Not even a guess.

00:57:16.480 But,

00:57:17.280 I will say this.

00:57:19.780 There is some

00:57:20.660 chance

00:57:21.180 that our leaders

00:57:22.800 are completely

00:57:23.520 aware this is

00:57:24.280 unfixable.

00:57:25.460 Because they act

00:57:26.600 like it doesn't

00:57:27.420 need to be fixed.

00:57:28.900 They can just

00:57:29.420 keep throwing

00:57:30.240 massive amounts

00:57:31.220 of money at

00:57:31.660 anything,

00:57:32.400 because they'll

00:57:33.000 never have to

00:57:33.480 pay it back.

00:57:34.040 It might be

00:57:35.320 that they know

00:57:35.820 they're never

00:57:36.200 going to pay

00:57:36.600 it back.

00:57:37.920 They might

00:57:38.460 know that.

00:57:39.520 And it could

00:57:40.100 be that they

00:57:40.580 think everything's

00:57:41.280 going to fall

00:57:41.720 off the ledge.

00:57:43.020 Maybe.

00:57:44.140 I don't think

00:57:44.880 that's what is.

00:57:45.940 But more likely,

00:57:47.240 and I hate to

00:57:47.820 be a conspiracy

00:57:48.560 theorist,

00:57:50.000 but what does

00:57:51.200 it push you

00:57:51.920 toward

00:57:52.440 inescapably?

00:57:55.080 What is it

00:57:57.120 we're going

00:57:57.420 to have to

00:57:57.880 do,

00:57:58.240 no doubt

00:57:58.900 about it?

00:58:00.920 Digital

00:58:01.360 currency.

00:58:03.160 There's no

00:58:03.780 way around

00:58:04.220 it.

00:58:05.140 Because we're

00:58:05.840 going to

00:58:05.980 have to

00:58:06.260 do a

00:58:06.720 once in

00:58:08.240 a history

00:58:09.360 reset,

00:58:11.720 reboot,

00:58:12.460 I don't want

00:58:12.900 to use

00:58:13.100 reset,

00:58:13.640 let's say

00:58:13.900 reboot,

00:58:14.900 of the

00:58:15.300 entire

00:58:15.600 financial

00:58:16.180 system in

00:58:17.020 the United

00:58:17.320 States.

00:58:18.380 At some

00:58:19.120 point,

00:58:19.860 cash is

00:58:20.380 going to

00:58:20.620 become

00:58:20.960 useless.

00:58:22.140 They're

00:58:22.400 going to

00:58:22.560 have to

00:58:22.860 value it

00:58:23.360 down to

00:58:23.720 zero.

00:58:24.040 In the

00:58:25.320 short run,

00:58:26.320 the digital

00:58:26.780 currency and

00:58:27.460 the cash

00:58:27.900 will both

00:58:28.360 have value,

00:58:29.620 but the

00:58:30.320 cash will

00:58:30.960 continue to

00:58:32.060 deflate.

00:58:34.520 There's

00:58:35.040 going to

00:58:35.220 be a

00:58:35.660 big rush

00:58:36.200 to get

00:58:36.580 out of

00:58:36.840 your

00:58:36.980 cash

00:58:37.360 that's

00:58:37.680 going

00:58:38.040 down

00:58:38.260 to

00:58:38.440 zero

00:58:38.740 and

00:58:39.560 into

00:58:39.840 your

00:58:40.020 digital

00:58:40.380 currency

00:58:40.820 that

00:58:41.120 might

00:58:41.300 be

00:58:41.480 backed

00:58:41.780 by

00:58:42.020 something,

00:58:42.760 maybe

00:58:43.000 backed

00:58:43.340 by the

00:58:43.660 military

00:58:44.080 or

00:58:44.420 robots

00:58:45.180 or

00:58:45.440 something.

00:58:47.740 It

00:58:48.220 seems

00:58:48.500 to me

00:58:48.800 that

00:58:49.020 since

00:58:49.380 digital

00:58:49.940 currency

00:58:50.400 could

00:58:50.760 be

00:58:51.040 artificial,

00:58:52.640 you

00:58:52.860 could

00:58:53.040 just

00:58:53.300 say on

00:58:53.760 day one,

00:58:55.020 I magically

00:58:55.900 create

00:58:56.640 $50

00:58:58.340 trillion

00:58:58.760 in money.

00:59:01.500 And if

00:59:02.080 you'd like

00:59:02.460 to have

00:59:02.740 digital

00:59:03.080 instead of

00:59:03.540 money,

00:59:04.000 we'll just

00:59:04.400 trade it

00:59:04.720 one for

00:59:05.060 one.

00:59:05.540 You don't

00:59:05.840 lose

00:59:06.040 anything.

00:59:06.920 So if

00:59:07.220 you've

00:59:07.380 got a

00:59:07.640 million

00:59:07.860 dollars,

00:59:08.360 if you're

00:59:08.660 lucky enough

00:59:09.040 to have

00:59:09.240 a million

00:59:09.520 dollars,

00:59:10.160 you can

00:59:10.440 just trade

00:59:10.840 it and

00:59:11.080 you'll

00:59:11.220 have a

00:59:11.420 million

00:59:11.620 dollars

00:59:11.920 of

00:59:12.080 digital

00:59:12.380 money.

00:59:13.500 Now,

00:59:13.800 of course,

00:59:14.740 the government

00:59:15.240 then has

00:59:15.700 full control

00:59:16.460 of you

00:59:16.740 because they

00:59:17.080 can see

00:59:17.360 everything

00:59:17.660 you do

00:59:18.060 and stop

00:59:18.520 it immediately

00:59:18.980 if it's

00:59:19.900 all digital.

00:59:20.380 So it

00:59:21.480 gives the

00:59:21.920 government

00:59:22.460 gigantic

00:59:23.160 power over

00:59:23.920 the public.

00:59:25.900 Not ideal.

00:59:27.420 So I think

00:59:28.020 the public

00:59:28.600 would maybe

00:59:29.140 not vote

00:59:29.900 for a

00:59:30.300 digital currency

00:59:31.100 or oppose

00:59:31.860 it unless

00:59:33.060 it was an

00:59:33.920 emergency

00:59:34.420 and there

00:59:35.620 was no

00:59:35.960 choice.

00:59:37.440 And I

00:59:37.740 think the

00:59:38.060 emergency is

00:59:38.720 going to

00:59:38.940 look like

00:59:39.340 this.

00:59:40.600 There'll be

00:59:41.080 a one-time

00:59:41.880 movement

00:59:42.700 into, I

00:59:44.160 don't know,

00:59:44.320 Bitcoin or

00:59:45.060 something,

00:59:45.940 digital currency,

00:59:46.720 and that

00:59:48.180 they'll just

00:59:48.620 artificially

00:59:49.300 make money

00:59:50.120 and pay

00:59:51.040 off the

00:59:51.340 debt and

00:59:52.760 they'll say

00:59:53.240 to, let's

00:59:53.940 say, Chinese

00:59:54.860 bondholders,

00:59:56.160 they'll say,

00:59:57.400 money's going

00:59:58.100 to be

00:59:58.240 worthless,

00:59:59.040 but if you

00:59:59.580 act now,

01:00:00.220 we'll convert

01:00:00.780 that into a

01:00:01.700 digital currency

01:00:02.960 and you'll be

01:00:03.700 fully paid.

01:00:04.620 You just have

01:00:05.360 to live with

01:00:06.100 digital currency

01:00:06.860 instead of

01:00:07.280 the US dollar,

01:00:08.220 the normal

01:00:08.660 US dollar.

01:00:11.080 So I put

01:00:12.480 that out there

01:00:13.020 because I

01:00:13.560 don't see

01:00:13.900 people suggesting

01:00:14.860 how we could

01:00:15.600 survive.

01:00:16.720 So I

01:00:17.660 think it

01:00:18.460 would have

01:00:18.740 to be

01:00:18.980 something so

01:00:19.820 big and

01:00:21.220 so radical

01:00:22.000 that it's

01:00:23.360 really a

01:00:23.860 rethinking

01:00:24.340 of the

01:00:24.780 entire

01:00:25.060 financial

01:00:25.560 system.

01:00:27.120 Now,

01:00:27.360 there's

01:00:27.520 probably a

01:00:27.960 way to

01:00:28.260 maintain

01:00:28.780 the wealth

01:00:29.420 that people

01:00:30.200 have because

01:00:30.760 the important

01:00:31.260 people will

01:00:31.800 want to do

01:00:32.200 that.

01:00:34.580 Yeah.

01:00:36.800 Do we

01:00:37.460 have a

01:00:37.780 digital currency

01:00:38.540 now?

01:00:39.260 Well,

01:00:39.460 not a

01:00:39.860 government-backed

01:00:40.720 digital currency.

01:00:43.880 Wipe out

01:00:44.620 what we owe

01:00:45.120 to China

01:00:45.580 because of

01:00:46.120 COVID.

01:00:46.720 So the

01:00:50.000 trouble with

01:00:50.520 all of

01:00:50.900 the get

01:00:52.100 rid of

01:00:52.340 the debt

01:00:52.660 issues,

01:00:54.840 if you

01:00:55.780 ever cancel

01:00:56.380 that much

01:00:56.840 debt,

01:00:57.340 then you

01:00:57.860 can never

01:00:58.180 do business

01:00:58.780 again because

01:01:00.360 nobody's going

01:01:00.820 to want to

01:01:01.120 hold your

01:01:01.460 debt if you

01:01:01.900 can just

01:01:02.220 cancel it.

01:01:04.060 So that

01:01:04.900 doesn't work

01:01:05.340 either.

01:01:06.360 Anyway,

01:01:07.280 I think that's

01:01:07.800 the problem

01:01:08.080 is that we

01:01:08.500 can't understand

01:01:09.500 what a trillion

01:01:10.040 is.

01:01:11.280 Ladies and 0.98

01:01:12.120 gentlemen,

01:01:12.420 this concludes

01:01:14.660 my prepared

01:01:15.700 remarks.

01:01:17.320 Is there

01:01:17.540 any topic

01:01:18.340 that you're

01:01:19.740 dying to

01:01:20.080 hear me

01:01:20.360 talk about

01:01:20.780 that I

01:01:21.020 haven't

01:01:21.140 talked

01:01:21.380 about?

01:01:26.540 Boomers 1.00

01:01:26.980 ruined the

01:01:27.460 world.

01:01:29.160 Do you

01:01:29.540 know what

01:01:30.140 the boomers 0.96

01:01:30.640 said?

01:01:32.540 So I'm a

01:01:33.280 boomer.

01:01:33.600 I said

01:01:35.360 the greatest

01:01:35.740 generation

01:01:36.320 ruined the

01:01:36.800 world.

01:01:39.560 Do you

01:01:40.100 know what

01:01:40.320 the people

01:01:40.680 who come

01:01:40.980 after you

01:01:41.460 are going

01:01:41.720 to say?

01:01:43.520 They're

01:01:44.000 going to

01:01:44.120 say you

01:01:44.460 ruined the

01:01:44.900 world.

01:01:47.460 I talked

01:01:48.260 about

01:01:48.520 Diddy.

01:01:51.360 Australia

01:01:51.800 seems to

01:01:52.460 be lost.

01:01:53.920 So Mike

01:01:54.300 Benz says

01:01:55.160 that the way

01:01:55.660 America is

01:01:56.400 controlled now

01:01:57.240 is that since

01:01:58.080 the CIA is

01:01:58.860 not allowed

01:01:59.260 to operate

01:01:59.900 directly,

01:02:01.420 domestically,

01:02:02.440 that we

01:02:03.440 just work

01:02:03.920 with our

01:02:04.420 partners

01:02:05.060 overseas and

01:02:06.660 all of the

01:02:07.140 American

01:02:07.480 companies that

01:02:08.180 are international

01:02:08.760 have to do

01:02:09.300 with the

01:02:09.700 international

01:02:10.360 communities

01:02:11.000 say and

01:02:12.180 they basically

01:02:12.740 just backdoor

01:02:13.640 it.

01:02:13.820 He calls it

01:02:14.220 the boomerang

01:02:14.920 method.

01:02:16.460 So instead

01:02:16.820 of just fixing

01:02:17.500 things directly

01:02:18.280 in the United

01:02:18.700 States, you

01:02:20.140 send the

01:02:20.820 boomerang over

01:02:21.500 to Europe.

01:02:22.380 Europe tells

01:02:23.340 let's say

01:02:24.700 X that they

01:02:25.580 have to ban

01:02:26.160 these people

01:02:26.780 or else they

01:02:28.340 can't have any

01:02:28.840 business in

01:02:29.360 Europe.

01:02:29.640 So we

01:02:33.320 are of

01:02:33.820 course losing

01:02:34.560 our whatever

01:02:36.160 this was.

01:02:36.700 We're not

01:02:37.260 really a

01:02:37.740 democracy

01:02:38.400 slash republic.

01:02:40.120 We are a

01:02:41.020 criminal

01:02:41.300 organization and

01:02:43.660 I would advise

01:02:44.400 you to figure

01:02:44.940 out how to

01:02:45.500 thrive in a

01:02:46.380 criminal

01:02:46.680 organization

01:02:47.440 because that's

01:02:49.360 what we are.

01:02:50.480 We just seem

01:02:51.380 to be better

01:02:51.900 at it than

01:02:52.360 other countries

01:02:52.980 at the

01:02:53.320 moment.

01:02:56.860 Yeah.

01:02:57.300 What would

01:03:00.560 the wealthy

01:03:01.040 families behind

01:03:02.020 the global

01:03:02.600 banks want?

01:03:03.680 Well, that's

01:03:04.640 my point.

01:03:05.820 I don't expect

01:03:06.700 the dollar to

01:03:07.720 turn into

01:03:08.320 nothing in

01:03:09.920 some fast

01:03:10.660 way because

01:03:11.740 the rich people

01:03:12.340 don't want it

01:03:12.840 to happen.

01:03:14.060 And I think

01:03:14.500 they can prevent

01:03:15.120 it.

01:03:15.940 So it's going

01:03:16.920 to have to be

01:03:17.360 some major,

01:03:18.340 major big play.

01:03:19.520 And by the

01:03:19.880 way, name

01:03:21.460 any president

01:03:22.260 besides Trump

01:03:23.300 who could pull

01:03:24.580 off a major

01:03:25.440 financial

01:03:26.040 reorganization.

01:03:27.300 I think he's

01:03:28.540 the only one

01:03:29.200 because he's

01:03:30.360 mentally flexible

01:03:31.260 enough he would

01:03:31.960 understand the

01:03:32.760 stakes.

01:03:33.900 I mean, Biden

01:03:34.360 can't do it.

01:03:35.380 Biden can barely

01:03:36.000 get home at

01:03:36.500 night.

01:03:39.680 All right.

01:03:42.060 Buy land.

01:03:43.940 That's not a

01:03:44.660 bad idea.

01:03:46.340 Buy land is

01:03:47.260 not a bad

01:03:47.680 idea.

01:03:48.600 At least

01:03:49.240 you're safe

01:03:50.200 from inflation

01:03:50.780 a little bit.

01:03:51.300 All right.

01:03:56.840 Ladies and 0.98

01:03:57.800 gentlemen, I'm

01:03:59.260 going to say

01:03:59.580 goodbye to

01:04:00.640 YouTube and

01:04:01.660 Rumble and

01:04:02.660 X.

01:04:03.180 I'm going to

01:04:03.460 spend some

01:04:03.900 time with my

01:04:04.800 beloved subscribers

01:04:06.340 on Locals where

01:04:07.580 you should be

01:04:08.120 subscribing to if

01:04:09.160 you want the

01:04:09.540 good stuff.

01:04:10.740 But I'll see you

01:04:11.420 tomorrow.

01:04:11.940 The rest of you,

01:04:12.940 thanks for

01:04:13.380 joining.

01:04:13.620 Bye-bye.

01:04:28.760 Bye.

01:04:30.300 Bye-bye.

01:04:31.380 Bye-bye.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 18, 2024

Episode 2478 CWSA 05⧸18⧸24

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