Episode 2483 CWSA 05⧸23⧸24
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 13 minutes
Words per Minute
148.56844
Summary
Bill Ackman is one of the most useful citizens in the country right now, and he may have taken a swing too fast at an injustice. And a key RFK Jr. advisor leaves the campaign alleging a "hateful and divisive atmosphere."
Transcript
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We got lots of stories today. If you subscribe to the locals or on X, you can subscribe to
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get the Dilbert comic. You would know that Dogbert has opened his own art gallery and money laundering
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store. He does them both, art gallery and money laundering. So check that out on locals or X.
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Bill Ackman had a funny story. So investor Bill Ackman. Now you might know that he did an amazing
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job in going after the Harvard, uh, woke haters and stuff. And he got a lot of positive attention
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for being somebody who was willing to jump in there and fix a bad situation. But I can speak
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from personal experience that as soon as you have a public win like that, like you get involved in
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some topic and you think, Whoa, I think I actually made a difference. You want to do it again.
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Good. Cause the dopamine hit is so good. Wow. I actually changed something. And then people said,
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Hey, good job. Feels good. So Bill Ackman's in an Uber and the Uber driver mentions that, uh,
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the tipping doesn't go to him, but rather goes to Uber. So Bill Ackman now potentially a little bit
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addicted to the buzz of tackling the big injustices and getting them fixed decides to post. He says that
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uh, he tells a story about how it's an injustice and Uber is just stealing the money from the drivers
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and they post that on X to once again be a benefit to the country. Uh, except that the reader's notes on
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the post say that the system doesn't show the tips until later. So apparently they do get the tips,
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so the, the correction on that is nope, it's just bad reporting. You know, the interface makes it look
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like they don't get it, but they do get it later. So, um, certainly a trap I've fallen into myself,
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but let me state that Bill Ackman is one of the most useful citizens in the country right now,
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because he's not running for office and he appear apparently he's trying really hard
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to be useful. You know, maybe, maybe this was a swing and a miss, but I'm going to give him full
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credit anyway. I liked the fact that he waded into it anyway. And so if you think I'm going to mock him
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because he got one wrong, you know, sort of embarrassing in public. Nope. I'm going to go the
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opposite way. He saw it. He saw an injustice. He saw that the, in his opinion, the Uber people
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couldn't fix it themselves. He has more juice. So he used his juice to try to solve a problem for them.
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It may have been, you know, may have been a misstep in the sense that he didn't have all the information,
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but let's do more of this, not less. You know, every, every time somebody with his
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level of power goes after injustice, that's probably a good thing. You know, maybe not
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everyone's going to be a home run, but let's give us some more Bill Ackman, not less. But he may,
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he may have taken a swing too fast at that one.
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Here's some more fake news from the Hill. Listen to this headline. Well, at least it's the way it's
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posted. So this is the, the way it was posted on X. From the Hill, key RFK junior advisor leaves
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campaign alleging, quote, hateful and divisive atmosphere. Now, if you read that, doesn't that
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sound like the hateful and divisive atmosphere is within the RFK junior campaign? Like, like,
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oh, it's falling apart. He can't hire good people. That's what it sounds like, right?
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And then you read the story and the story says, basically just doesn't like being involved in
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politics anymore. Now, is that the same? That is really, really different to say that she's leaving
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because the campaign, the way they're presented it, it would make you think that it's the campaign
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where the hate, the hateful divisive atmosphere is. But that's not even close to saying that the
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whole realm of politics is too filthy for her to want to be part of it. It's just fake news.
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More fake news. So the, the Senate is going to vote on this bipartisan ha-ha border security measure.
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Do I need to tell anybody here that all major legislation during the last few months before
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election are fake? Are you all sophisticated enough to know that the border bill is fake
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without knowing any of the details? You all know that, right? The, the purpose for this kind of
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legislation is to embarrass the other team when they turn it down. And the way you do that is you give
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it a name that sounds like something anybody would want. Hey, how about a bipartisan border security
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bill? That's exactly what I want. I can't think of anything I want more than a bipartisan security
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bill. Yes, yes, yes, yes. Give me the bipartisan security bill. As long as I don't read the details,
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because that's where the poison pills are. The poison pills that make it a big complicated thing that
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the public doesn't know it's complicated. They don't really know what's in it. They just know the title.
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And the Democrats will cleverly stick something in there that Republicans can't possibly support.
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Now, if you had never had a business education or business experience, you never would have heard
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this term poison pill. If you don't know the concept of a poison pill, it's a, it's a thing that looks like
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it's attractive, but on the inside, there's a piece of poison. So you better stay away.
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If you didn't know that concept, you probably would not be alerted to the fact that the legislation
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is intended to be fake. It's not even designed to be passed. It's intended to be not passed by the
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people who made it because they know that they can just use it politically. And here's another one that's,
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uh, let's say in the category of maybe it's exactly what you think it is. There's a lot of that lately.
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A lot of stuff where you say, hmm, there's something a little weird about this situation.
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The only way I could possibly understand it is if something terribly corrupt is happening.
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Sort of the only thing you could think of that would explain what you observe.
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All right. I'm going to give you an observation. See if you could come up with any explanation for this
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that isn't corruption or something, you know, in that corruption-like domain. Here's the story.
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The Washington Post, the new CEO, who interesting, interestingly is a white guy.
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So, I guess I have to ask Jeff Bezos. Were there no people of color that were qualified to lead the
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Washington Post? No women? Now, of course, I'm just pulling his leg. But if you believe in things like
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diversity, I don't know, it seems like an interesting choice if you're living and working in that domain.
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But anyway, good to see that a white guy can get a good job.
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But the news is that the paper lost 77 million last year. And everything is trending bad.
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So, they lost 77 million. They're in a dying industry. And everything is trending bad. There are fewer
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subscribers by far than there were, you know, a year or two ago. So, how do you explain that Jeff Bezos,
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one of the notably best business people in the history of the United States, maybe the world,
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maybe the world? How would you explain that he would keep something that loses 77 million dollars
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a year? What would be the reason for that? Is it because if you took the Washington Post and at the
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mix, there would be no news? No, there's plenty of news. If anything, there's too much. So, it's not
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because it's necessary. And it's not because it makes money. And it's not because it's, you know,
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good for the country in some direct or indirect way. The only reason you could possibly think of it
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is that the CIA is forcing them to do it because they have blackmail on Amazon. Do you know how,
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do you know what the government and the CIA in particular could do to screw Amazon a thousand
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different ways? By a thousand different ways. So, basically, to me, it looks like an obvious
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case where Jeff Bezos is literally being blackmailed by his government. That's what it looks like. Can
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you give me any other explanation? The only other one is that Bezos wants to do it for his own purposes,
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you know, maybe get positive coverage for Amazon. But it doesn't really feel like his style.
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Does it? I mean, you've seen him operating for, you know, decades now in public. He's very public.
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Does it feel like his style? They would just own a fake newspaper so they could gaslight the country.
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What about that sounds compatible with anything you know about Jeff Bezos? Nothing. But what about
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the story sounds compatible with the fact or the possibility that the CIA or somebody in the government
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is literally blackmailing him? And he just has to lose that money every year to keep them happy.
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It fits the facts. And I don't know anything else that does. I can't think of anything else that would
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even come close. So maybe everything is exactly what it looks like. That might be my theme for today.
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Things are exactly what they look like. All right.
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In 2022, and maybe it's still true, daily weed use exceeded daily alcohol use. Now, that part doesn't
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surprise me. And I wonder if the data is real. Do you know what else happened in the last few years?
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Daily weed use went from, we better not talk about that, to, well, it's kind of normal.
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Don't you think that the survey would be influenced by the fact that the thing went from basically
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illegal and you better not mention it to, oh, everybody's doing it. So there's no problem if
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you mention it in a poll. So I would worry about the data. But here's the interesting part. Apparently,
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the number of people who drink daily is around four. Well, I'll just round off 15 million Americans
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drink daily. I thought that was a lot more than you. Did you know that only that only 15 million out
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of our 300 and what's the population now? 340 million, something like that. That actually seems low.
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And, and I guess I must know a lot of alcoholics. Because I know quite a few people who drink every
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day. You know, usually like a drink after dinner sort of thing, or before dinner. But I guess, I guess
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I'm impressed it's as low as it is. But weed is up to 18 million per day using it daily. Again, every time
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these two things are compared, you know that your news is fake, bullshit, gaslighting. Why, why would
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you compare daily use of alcohol, a poison, to daily use of marijuana, a medicine? Is there any other
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situation in which we compare a poison to a medicine? Say, wow, look at that difference. Hey,
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have you seen that, uh, people who take, uh, hemlock oil and, well, I don't know what people do.
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People who drink rat poison, uh, let's compare those to the people who take aspirin for their
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sore muscles. Let's see who's doing better. It doesn't really make sense to compare poison to
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medicine. Now I get that not everybody uses weed is using it as medicine. Totally get it. But wouldn't
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that be true of a lot of medicine? Painkillers, for example, perfectly legitimate use for painkillers,
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but people use it willingly. All right. Community notes is working according to a Bloomberg study.
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Now this I did not expect to see. So, uh, Elon Musk was, um, boosting it as well. So imagine Bloomberg,
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a news agency looked into whether the community notes on X are helping. And they said, uh, that the
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community notes were perceived as significantly more trustworthy than traditional simple misinformation
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flags. Um, so it's better than things on X. They don't go so far as to say it's better than the news.
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But did we have any recent, uh, experience that would suggest that people who are on X are better
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informed than people who are not? Well, here's an example of someone who says, uh, that they don't
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use social media. Bill Maher. Bill Maher just humiliated himself on his book tour by showing that he
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didn't know basic facts about the news when his entire business is talking about the news.
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Why? Well, he's told us that he, he keeps his news consumption to a very, uh, small set of things,
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which none of them lean right. And so not only is it a small set, but it only leans one direction.
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And in my experience, everything that I know that's real came from X. So the only thing,
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the only reason I understand, let's say, um, Hunter and the Burisma situation is because of Mike Benz.
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With, yeah, he's on X. And I could go down the line, you know, is it Colin Rugg? Is it Mike Cernovich? Is it,
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um, you know, I probably saw five to 10 people this morning, just this morning? Uh, oh, Dan Bongino
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talking about what is common, uh, process for, uh, you know, authorization of, of using your gun on a,
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on a search and a raid. These are the things that the regular news is completely blank on. I don't know
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anything until I see what the independents say, the independent voices. So everything that Bill
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Maher didn't know, such as Hillary Clinton was a election denier that on January 6th, there were no
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cops killed by the, uh, by the so-called insurrectionists. And, you know, there were a few other things.
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And I think every, yeah, yeah, Jack Posavec, other great sources. So there's a community of, I'd say,
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maybe 20 different independent or not in the traditional corporate news, you know, field that
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are pretty much the only ones who know what's happening and say it honestly. So if you don't
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have access to that world, you really don't know what's going on. You really don't.
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And I would, I'm going to add myself to that list. Let's see if I can get a confirmation on this,
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because it sounds like I'm just patting myself on the back, which I am.
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What I do, where I talk about the persuasion element of the news, is that not additive? And do
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you see it anywhere else? I mean, every now and then they'll have a guest who'll say something
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about persuasion. But generally speaking, there's not somebody who kind of covers it every day.
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So I feel like that's additive. And I'm not part of the traditional news, you know, field.
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So yeah, you'd miss all the good stuff if you're not an ex. That's a fact.
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There are now robot laboratories. They're automated so the robots can just test lots of
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different things and just kind of grind it out. I have a friend who I think he's retired now,
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but he used to do a side work doing testing for big labs. So they would contract him to do a bunch
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of tests in his own little personal laboratory. Now, the nature of the tests where they just say,
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uh, we've got, you know, 20 things that we think might be good for killing cancer,
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you know, maybe some naturally occurring things, that sort of thing. Can you just test them all?
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So he basically would have a bunch of test tubes and, you know, he'd be like, put a little,
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put a little drop of this in this one and, you know, wait a month and see what happened.
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And it was just brute force. It just took a human X number of hours to see if anything happened in
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those test tubes, but that's all automatable. Robots could do that 24 hours a day. So it does
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seem to me that even if the robots don't achieve super intelligence, you know, so-called AGI,
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even if they don't become so smart that they can invent things on their own, they can still invent
00:19:03.920
things through brute force because the robots will simply be able to iterate faster than we can. Well,
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There's a study that shows why gratitude makes you feel better. Now, apparently,
00:20:27.840
this is the way hypnotists like to think, or at least the way I like to think. I don't think of
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humans as this bag of magic. Like, well, they have feelings and they've got souls and their spirit and
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a bunch of magic in there with their free will. Like, I don't see the world that way. I see the
00:20:45.520
brain is a machine and all the parts of the machine have their own little role.
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So when somebody explains something to me as to why something works or doesn't work,
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I don't want to hear about somebody's feelings. I want you to tell me which part of the brain gets
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activated. If you can tell me that, I'll think, well, that's real. You know, in an engineering sense,
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if you can do this thing that activates one part of the brain or gets it to experience some
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neuroplasticity, then I understand that as a machine and not a bunch of magic. And that's good.
00:21:18.640
Here's an example of that. I always wondered how gratitude worked. You know how every expert
00:21:25.280
seems to say, if you express gratitude, it makes you feel better. It's a way to beat mental illness,
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basically. And now they have some ideas or some testing, found out why that is. That when you
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express gratitude, they can measure what it affects which part of the brain. And it goes right to the
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part of the brain and the prefrontal cortex, which is responsible for dopamine.
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So they can actually measure now. This is very cool. I'm very excited about it. They can determine
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that the act of gratitude, let's say just writing in a journal, all the things you're grateful for,
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they can actually see which part of the brain lights up and they know that that's the dopamine maker.
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Now that, now that's some science. That's the science I want. Now I'm hoping it stands up and
00:22:18.800
it's real. But I'm going to extend this. So you know that dopamine is what makes you feel good and
00:22:26.800
can cure some of your mental illness, right? If it's not the serious mental illness. But I'm going to take
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this a little bit further. Have you ever noticed that if you're in a good mood, things around you look
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like they're going in the right direction? And if you're in a depressed, terrible mood, it feels like
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your reality itself is all negative, right? So you know from your own experience of being happy versus
00:22:55.920
unhappy that the world looks different. So I'm going to, I'm going to suggest that dopamine is,
00:23:03.120
is what gives you a subjective reality that's a better one. That when your dopamine is high,
00:23:09.680
you just see everything positively because reality is subjective. And since you live full time in a
00:23:16.880
subjective reality, you don't get to go vacation in the other one. You only live in the one in your head
00:23:22.640
that you created of the world. And then you go out in that world, but you created it because you're
00:23:28.400
experiencing it within the model that your head created. That's how you experience it. So I think
00:23:33.520
dopamine is the illusion, is the illusion drug. I think dopamine changes your perception
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that everything's working out, even if it isn't. And the lack of dopamine makes you think everything's bad,
00:23:49.200
even if it isn't. So you should learn how to boost your dopamine. We know, we now know all different
00:23:56.640
ways to do it. You know, get outside, do some lifting, don't eat too much sugar, do some gratitude,
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you know, be in a relationship, hug some people. You know, we know how to do this now. So if you want to
00:24:11.520
change reality, that's cool, if you can do it. But most of us just have to live with the reality that's here.
00:24:21.120
So you can change the reality into a positive reality, as you experience it, just by gratitude.
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Now, I've actually experimented with this. It totally works. And it's almost sensitive. The form of gratitude that
00:24:37.520
I prefer is if I'm in a deep funk. Every now and then it happens. I can get out of it by randomly
00:24:46.080
doing something really good for somebody who didn't expect it. Now, that's not gratitude per se,
00:24:53.600
but I'm positive it's the same part of my brain, because you can almost feel it in the same part.
00:24:59.920
And it just boosts the dopamine, takes you right out of your depression. So try this. Next time you have,
00:25:06.400
like you're just in a funk, just make your body do something good for somebody who wasn't expecting
00:25:11.840
it. Watch what happens. You'll be instantly into a different reality. Nvidia announced a record 26
00:25:19.440
billion in revenue. I don't like to give investment advice, but I'm going to give you some generic
00:25:26.000
investment advice. First of all, I do own some shares in Nvidia, but I'm not one of the smart people
00:25:32.320
who got it when the getting was good. I got it a couple of months ago and it's been great.
00:25:41.520
Now, this is not investment advice, but I'll tell you something that's sort of a generally good thing
00:25:48.400
to do. You should probably invest in the strongest company in whatever industry looks to be in its
00:25:56.400
beginning stages and unstoppable. Now, that doesn't mean Nvidia lasts forever, because someday they'll
00:26:04.160
have good competitors. But if you had invested in IBM when computers were just coming on, well,
00:26:11.520
that would have been the greatest thing anybody ever did. If you had invested in Tesla when there was not
00:26:18.960
yet an electric car, but you were sure it was going to happen, that would have turned out well. It was
00:26:23.920
the best company in a growing space. If you had invested in Apple when Apple built the smartphone,
00:26:34.560
my God, would you have made money? Because you could tell as soon as you saw the smartphone,
00:26:39.120
oh, we're not going back, right? You knew we weren't going backwards and they were the best ones in the
00:26:45.920
space. One of the two. So, Nvidia is the strongest company in the most important industry maybe that
00:26:55.680
will ever happen in the history of humankind. Does that make it a good investment? Not by itself.
00:27:04.640
So, if you're not diversified, don't be investing. You should diversify. Because here's the thing,
00:27:10.800
the thing that you can't guard against is that there's some bad actors in the company. That's
00:27:17.920
the thing you never know. Well, maybe they've been lying about their profits and you don't find out
00:27:23.200
for a year. Maybe there's somebody crazy. Maybe there's a sex scandal that'll bring them down.
00:27:30.240
You never know. And maybe somebody has a better technology that they're already inventing in the lab
00:27:35.360
that will completely make the company unnecessary, but it's not going to happen right away.
00:27:39.040
So, don't be surprised when the strongest company in the strongest industry that might be the most
00:27:47.280
important industry of all time, don't be surprised when that goes up in value.
00:27:55.040
All right. A funny story today. There's a viral story about a young woman. She went on a date. She's 27.
00:28:03.600
The guy she dated was 35. And she was trying to ask people's opinion about how to interpret the text
00:28:10.400
that she got from the 35-year-old the next day. Because she can't tell if this is an age difference,
00:28:16.240
you know, millennial versus Gen X. She's not sure what this text means. Here was the text,
00:28:24.480
the only text, the only text sent by the 35-year-old man the day after he dated the 27-year-old woman.
00:28:31.600
Quote, hey, had fun last night. Have a good day.
00:28:35.040
And she's wondering if he wants to see her again.
00:28:45.360
I'm going to add this to the, well, you could have asked me.
00:28:50.320
No. No, he doesn't want to see you again. You bored the shit out of him.
00:28:55.200
He had no chemistry whatsoever. He doesn't dislike you. He doesn't dislike you. But no chemistry
00:29:05.600
whatsoever. You know, you've probably seen that there's a lot of relationship experts
00:29:13.440
on Instagram and probably on TikTok. And a lot of the men especially say,
00:29:18.400
you should not act interested in a woman because then she'll lose interest.
00:29:24.800
So do you think this is someone who just watches a lot of social media
00:29:28.640
and is intentionally going under the enthusiasm level because it had exactly the effect that the
00:29:37.920
experts say? She apparently is obsessed with this guy because he did not give her the attention
00:29:44.880
she thinks she deserved. She's obsessed with him so much so that it became a viral thing.
00:29:52.800
He basically just completely just put her in her place. Here's how to interpret this. He's either
00:30:01.600
the most clever manipulator and he's just waiting for you to beg for him to come back so he can get
00:30:06.800
everything he wants. Maybe. Totally possible. Because it's almost written like it was almost a prank.
00:30:16.800
Like just to see what would happen. It doesn't feel like I like what a regular person would say.
00:30:22.560
But let me tell you what would happen if somebody were being honest and they had had a good time.
00:30:27.760
Hey, I had a great time last night. Not I had fun. And then have a good day would be,
00:30:42.880
But I had fun last night. Have a good day. It's kind of hilarious.
00:30:46.880
So should she fight to get him? No. No, let that one go. Because he's either a manipulator or he has
00:30:57.840
no interest in you whatsoever. Which one of those do you want? All right. Remember the Terrence Howard
00:31:03.360
story? So Terrence Howard was on Joe Rogan and he has a whole bunch of scientific,
00:31:11.040
groundbreaking things that even Einstein couldn't think of. And so people said to me, Scott,
00:31:19.040
is this just crazy talk? Or is he the smartest person in the world? And I said, well, I don't
00:31:26.400
understand anything he said, but generally the smartest people in the world can make you understand
00:31:33.200
their argument. That's part of being smart. And he couldn't make anybody understand his argument.
00:31:38.800
Okay. So today a German physicist weighed in, Sabine Hassenfelder. So German physicist. And she says,
00:31:48.800
I don't understand why this nonsense ever spread so far or why anybody is taking it seriously. But if
00:31:54.020
you need someone to say it's all nonsense, here we go. It's all nonsense. So it looked like nonsense to
00:32:01.900
me. I'm going to add this too. You could have asked Scott. You didn't really need to do the
00:32:09.040
professional physicist on this one, but I'm glad we got the confirmation. Here's another one you
00:32:15.720
could have just asked me. There's a study that finds that mental disorders can spread between
00:32:19.920
teenagers. So in other words, mental illness is contagious by association. Doesn't necessarily mean
00:32:29.820
there's any physical thing being transmitted, but obviously by association. Now, specifically,
00:32:37.380
not every kind of mental health, but anxiety, mood disorders, and eating disorders. Now, who could
00:32:44.160
not have predicted that if you hang around with people who have food disorders, you're more likely to
00:32:49.740
get one? Is there anybody who didn't know that? I mean, you could have asked me. I knew it. Is there
00:32:56.760
anybody who has ever watched Tim Ferriss say one of his most important life rules is that you are the
00:33:03.180
average of the five people you hang around with? Well, if the five people you hang around with the
00:33:09.000
most have mental illness or eating disorders or anxiety, you don't think you're going to pick up a
00:33:15.100
little of that? Of course you are, because they'll be talking about anxious things all day. It'll just
00:33:20.240
become the model that you go to for yourself. Yeah. So does TikTok cause kids to have social anxiety
00:33:30.900
and eating disorders? Yes, of course it does. Do you think that they need to do a study to find out
00:33:37.980
that mental illness can be spread by association? It's obvious. Yes. Yes. Not just mental disorders,
00:33:46.220
but every kind of habit and way of life and thinking everything. Yeah. We're imitating species.
00:33:54.820
You put me next to somebody who's, uh, if you, if you made me hang around with five serial killers
00:34:00.880
every day for a year, I might do some serial killing. I mean, I'm not inclined to do it at the
00:34:07.920
moment, but if all my friends were talking about how great it was, ah, I'm just normal.
00:34:15.100
I might want to give it a shot. No, I wouldn't, but I'm using an exaggeration.
00:34:22.460
Did you know that if your friends are overweight, you're more likely to be overweight?
00:34:26.860
I've written about this before. Did you know that if your friends are overweight, you're more likely
00:34:31.380
to be overweight. Now, some of it is you're not competing with them, right? If your friends were
00:34:36.440
looking great, you might say, oh, I have to compete with that and look great too. But if they've just
00:34:41.800
sort of given up and they're the ones you spend most of your time with, well, are they going to
00:34:47.820
judge you if you gain a few pounds? No, not at all. So the people you hang out with will actually
00:34:52.900
cause your body to look different. And they will also say, hey, you want to get some McDonald's
00:34:58.620
when you were thinking you didn't want some McDonald's, but you want to go along with them
00:35:01.940
because they're your friends. So while you get there, you get some French fries. It's really
00:35:07.500
easy to see how being overweight is contagious. Anxiety, you can see how anxious people make you
00:35:16.240
anxious. And you could also, you also wonder about if your friends are seeking therapy
00:35:22.720
and they get it. Don't you think you're more likely to seek therapy if otherwise you would
00:35:29.280
have said you had no mental illness? Don't you think there are people going to therapists
00:35:33.580
who wouldn't have even thought of it, except their friends are going? Of course. Yeah,
00:35:38.740
it's all contagious. And that's why TikTok is fueling a youth mental health crisis,
00:35:46.600
which Nebraska says, because they're suing TikTok and its parent company, claiming that they
00:35:52.080
target minors with addictive design that's fueling a youth mental health crisis. Could
00:35:57.540
have asked me. I've been saying it for five years. So almost all of this news on health
00:36:02.980
is stuff I've been telling you for years. And then I have this hypothesis. I believe that
00:36:11.500
watching MSNBC news makes the viewers have mental illness. Now, some of it is because, you
00:36:18.920
know, it's scary. So that's true of all news, makes people afraid because it's scary. But
00:36:25.960
on top of that, the hosts themselves appear to have obvious mental illness. You don't think
00:36:31.700
that that rubs off on the viewers? I think MSNBC is so obviously full of mental ill people
00:36:40.260
that when you watch it, whether you think of them as mental ill or not, you start to model
00:36:45.620
them. There's no way you can turn that off. Again, the five people you hang around with are
00:36:52.860
the ones who cause you to look, feel, and think the way you do. If you watch MSNBC all day,
00:36:59.960
you're going to start looking and feeling like them. You would literally start dressing
00:37:04.660
like Chris Hayes and Rachel Maddow, who basically dress the same.
00:37:10.100
Right? So it's very common that you would start acting like, looking like, feeling like
00:37:18.260
the people that you're most associated with. So MSNBC is literally unhealthy. And I think
00:37:26.160
I can say that with confidence and there's no hyperbole. It's literally unhealthy. And five
00:37:32.120
minutes of Joe Scarborough's mental illness just makes you feel like you're sick when you walk
00:37:37.560
outside. Rasmussen did a poll, said that which presidential candidate makes America feel safer?
00:37:47.160
And it's Trump by mile. So 49% say Trump makes him safer, feel safer. 40% say Joe Biden.
00:37:56.580
Could you use this to predict the outcome of the next election? Yes, you can. Because the strongest
00:38:03.480
predictor of persuasion is fear. And people are far more afraid of Biden as president. That alone,
00:38:12.820
if you only knew one thing, and you were going to bet on it, the difference in what scares people
00:38:19.420
about the next president should be completely predictive. So I'm going to say that if this
00:38:28.220
number stayed the same to election day, there's really actually no way that Biden could win.
00:38:34.420
This is the strongest persuasion, fear. You can't be fair. There's nothing. Now, the only thing that
00:38:41.400
could beat it would be maybe identity or something like that. But it's even hard to see how that works
00:38:49.360
because the Democrats don't even have a common identity now. So Republicans do, right? We don't really
00:38:57.140
take the never Trumpers too seriously because they just seem like weird little trolls. But the
00:39:02.700
Republicans are kind of all the same kind of viewpoints. But Democrats have splintered into
00:39:09.480
just completely batshit crazy groups. And then other groups are saying, oh man, I'm embarrassed to be in
00:39:15.240
the same party. So there's an identity problem that can't be fixed on the Democrat side. Because what is
00:39:22.680
their identity? Do you know? What would be the identity of a Democrat? I'm not really sure. Are
00:39:30.480
they in favor of trans? Because many aren't. I mean, they're all in favor of trans, I would say.
00:39:37.220
I'll say in favor of laws that would be, let's say, preferential to trans. That would be the better
00:39:42.460
way to say it. I'm in favor of trans, by the way. I'm in favor of people living, adults anyway.
00:39:49.940
I'm in favor of adults doing what they want to do if it doesn't bother me. So very much in favor of
00:39:55.220
anybody who's different, basically. I have a natural inclination to automatically like
00:40:03.180
anybody who's different. So, you know, I'm just automatically pro-trans if they don't bother me
00:40:09.240
or anybody else. Anyway, so that's the first thing. Fear should be completely predictive if it stays at
00:40:16.980
that level. Now, that's why the Democrats are trying so hard to say that Trump's going to take
00:40:22.620
your bodily autonomy and your freedom away. Because they're trying to find something that
00:40:27.560
sounds scary, and they literally have to make up a fear. When people say they're more afraid of Biden,
00:40:34.300
they're not making that up. It's not because somebody made up a fake fear. They're watching
00:40:39.500
him perform. They know he's the commander-in-chief, and they know he can't handle the job. It's really,
00:40:46.140
really obvious at this point. Well, how about this? The economy is, of course, the other big
00:40:51.980
thing. And there's also a poll that says most Americans see the U.S. is in an economic recession,
00:41:00.360
and the majority blame Joe Biden. So although we're not in a technical recession, if you factored in
00:41:08.260
inflation, would we be? Actually, I don't know the answer to that. I think it's yes. If you factored in
00:41:14.940
inflation, would we be in a technical recession right now? Because I feel like that's what people
00:41:20.880
are feeling in their real life. But if you looked at the top-line numbers, it doesn't look like a
00:41:26.920
recession. So the reason that the Democrats are confused about why the public is not recognizing
00:41:35.140
that the economy is so wonderful is that unlike the public, the top Democrats have good jobs and
00:41:44.560
the money is flowing in. If you're Jen Psaki, her career looks pretty good. She's probably had a good
00:41:52.140
year this year economically. So no, they are economically uneducated. So they look at the top-line
00:42:01.420
number, and they don't understand that the country thinks they're in a recession, because in every
00:42:06.160
observable, experiential way, they are. Just not technically. All right. 55% of the respondents in
00:42:19.100
the poll, who was this? This was the Harris poll. 55% of the respondents think the economy is shrinking,
00:42:25.820
that the economy is shrinking. Now, again, I ask, are they right? If you consider inflation,
00:42:38.240
is it? Is the stock market up, or is it only up because of inflation?
00:42:49.100
I don't know. Anyway, Elon Musk asked today on X if he should make a phone. Should there be an X
00:42:59.120
phone? To which I say, I don't know. I'm not sure if he could pull it off and be competitive with the
00:43:08.480
other phones. But if he could, I don't know who would be better at it. It's interesting.
00:43:14.700
Rick Scott's running for Senate leadership, I guess, for the House Speaker of the House. So he's
00:43:25.600
running against, let's see, the people who have announced are John Thune, and from Idaho and Texas
00:43:33.700
is John Cornyn. So of those three, I don't really know much about any of them, really. But they all
00:43:42.080
seem like kind of standard Republicans. Are you following this Alito House upside down flag
00:43:49.580
thing that some people say means they're in favor of insurrection, but other people say it's the
00:43:56.280
worst, dumbest hoax in the world? I'm having trouble getting interested in it. It's reminding me of the
00:44:03.760
overfeeding the koi fish in Japan. It's like, yeah, that's true. It happened. But I can't, I just
00:44:11.260
can't get interested in how a Supreme Justice, you know, decorated the outside of her house
00:44:17.540
with an upside down flag. I think it was something, you know, just complaining about recent events or
00:44:22.960
something. So that's mostly fake news. So MSNBC, no, I guess NBC and CNN have both done this with their
00:44:35.500
guests, forced them to answer the question, in 2024, will you certify the election or will you, you know,
00:44:43.340
will you agree with the election results? Yes or no. And Ted Cruz is on there. And Caitlin Collins on CNN
00:44:50.660
asks them, insists that he must answer this yes, no question. Will you accept the results? Now,
00:44:57.380
is that the dumbest yes, no question of all time? It's not yes, no. It's not. Let me give you a,
00:45:04.600
for instance, if on election day, the average of all the polls have Trump up by 10 and he loses narrowly,
00:45:14.020
no, I'm not going to accept that fucking election. Are you kidding me? In fact, the way you
00:45:20.640
should answer this question is, well, Caitlin, let me ask you a question. Hypothetically,
00:45:26.320
if there was a 10 point difference in the polling on election day, and yet mysteriously votes came in
00:45:32.820
in the middle of the night and Joe Biden won by a squeaker, would that sound legitimate to you?
00:45:40.400
I would turn the question around and just say, would you think that was okay? Suppose Trump was up by 30
00:45:49.640
points and Biden was on his deathbed. And suppose everybody knew. And then, and then he won the
00:45:57.200
election by a squeaker. Should I complain about that? If it were to happen? What do you think?
00:46:04.480
So I thought, I thought Cruz, you know, did his usual Ted Cruz. He's always, he's always good at this.
00:46:10.320
I mean, Ted Cruz has argued at the Supreme Court several times. He's not the guy who's going to
00:46:16.080
lose a debate on TV. Well, that's not going to happen. But because she can sort of talk over him
00:46:23.860
and, you know, do her nonsense until you run out of time, he can't be as effective as he could be
00:46:29.660
in a different circumstance. So I'd like to see the Republicans learn how to shove that in their
00:46:37.580
faces a little bit better. What Ted Cruz said was he started with, it's not a yes or no question.
00:46:43.420
And I felt that was weak. He should have laughed at her. He should have mocked her.
00:46:50.660
When Memorial Day is over, it's time to get serious about this election. And you don't need to lock and
00:46:59.680
load. That's dangerous. And we don't want any suggestion that there would be any violence.
00:47:04.900
But you can mock and meme. So don't lock and load. Mock and meme. This question should be mocked,
00:47:13.580
not given consideration. So the question is, he shouldn't say it's not a yes or no question.
00:47:20.660
You should say, well, let me put the question to you. If Trump's up by 20
00:47:24.800
and Biden's on his deathbed and he wins in the squeaker, would you question that?
00:47:32.800
And then she'll say, whoa, but that did happen. Well, that's the question you asked me, bitch.
00:47:40.080
Why did you ask me that question? Why don't you, how do you like it if I ask you?
00:47:45.460
Why don't you ask that? Why don't you answer that fucking question? I've got an idea.
00:47:50.000
How about I'll answer the question, and then you answer the fucking question.
00:47:55.380
Let's see how you do on this gotcha question. Now that would be mocking and meme-ing.
00:48:06.220
Okay, I shouldn't laugh at this next story, but it is funny. Christy Noem went from, huh,
00:48:21.100
I think she could be vice president, to having the worst month that any politician ever had.
00:48:26.960
So it just gets worse. So you know that there was the allegations of having an affair and that was bad enough.
00:48:34.180
And then there was the thing about her book saying that she shot her dog and that was terrible.
00:48:39.720
And then the thing where her book said she met Kim Jong-un, but that looks like it was just made up by a ghostwriter.
00:48:45.240
And that's really embarrassing. And then here's the kicker.
00:48:53.220
She's banished in more than 20% of her own state because she said some things that the Native Americans don't like.
00:49:01.420
So she's not allowed on their reservations anymore.
00:49:05.060
She's the governor of the state and she's banned from traveling in 20% of her own state.
00:49:17.220
Now, I don't know if this happened organically or if maybe Democrats, you know, got to the Native American leaders and said,
00:49:26.460
hey, why don't you do this for us? Maybe. You know, you never know what's behind the scenes.
00:49:30.740
But she's got she's having the worst month I've ever seen.
00:49:44.500
Elon Musk was boosting a post on X that showed that Asian women now earn more than white men.
00:49:53.880
So it's fairly recently that the curves crossed and some people are saying it's a narrative killer.
00:50:00.740
Because if Asian women can make more than white men.
00:50:11.520
Why does anybody else complain if they can do it?
00:50:22.200
Doesn't that tell you that anybody's complaining that they can't succeed?
00:50:30.060
Now, you might say to me, but what about Asian men?
00:50:32.320
Well, they make more than both of those categories.
00:50:38.780
Or at least doing what Asians do seems to help.
00:50:56.380
How many of you knew that Dilbert has been drawn by an Asian woman for the last several years?
00:51:05.780
Did you know that Dilbert is drawn by an Asian woman?
00:51:21.020
I've never had a better employee or even seen one in my whole life.
00:51:26.660
So I've been working with the same person for years.
00:51:29.920
Do you know how many times she said, no, I can't do that?
00:51:35.180
Do you know how many times she complained about something that would make me go, oh, why are you complaining about this?
00:52:05.500
I can't remember the exact number of years we worked in.
00:52:18.680
But, I mean, I've never seen a better employee.
00:52:29.880
Because I thought, oh, you could have asked for more.
00:52:38.540
I have to remind myself, like, once a month to send her a message to say, you know, you don't hear from me much.
00:52:49.940
Like, not hearing from me, you should interpret that as the best possible thing that could possibly happen.
00:53:03.640
So remember I told you at the beginning that when you show gratitude, it boosts your dopamine.
00:53:08.080
I can literally feel the dopamine right now for having expressed gratitude for my amazing employee.
00:53:21.700
Like, it's actually like my, you can feel your whole body.
00:53:27.320
But if you've never tried this, you really should.
00:53:33.160
I told her recently that I'm going to give her a bonus because she's done about twice as much work this year as normal because of the me getting canceled.
00:53:42.440
So she had to pick up some jobs that were not normally her jobs.
00:54:01.400
He goes, I will put my nuts on the table and double doggy dare right now the Republican House Intelligence Committee to get a gang of eight, you know, just collect some of their best people, to go into a skiff.
00:54:15.440
That's where the secret secrets are tomorrow to review all classified CIA files with the keyword Burisma.
00:54:25.780
And you tell me whether they come out white as a ghost.
00:54:31.260
So Mike Benz is telling us that Burisma is the Rosetta Stone.
00:54:39.820
If you understand Burisma's connection to Hunter Biden and you understand its connection to Ukraine and the Ukrainian war and you understand its connection to the Atlantic Council and the CIA and all that, it's everything you need to know.
00:54:56.400
And according to Mike Benz, if you knew the real story about Burisma, it's really a larger CIA deep state, I don't know who it is, effort to take the energy business away from Russia and to own it with Western companies.
00:55:15.440
So it's not just to defang Russia by taking their money away, but to make some Americans get richer by stealing that business.
00:55:26.180
And apparently Burisma was a key to making that happen.
00:55:49.500
Yes, maybe some Republicans need to get in that skiff and take a look at the Burisma stuff.
00:55:56.060
But it seems to me that if there really is the bad behavior that we think, what do you think would happen to all that alleged material that might tell you some bad stuff happened?
00:56:13.400
Well, according to our files, we have a whole bunch of emails that should be about Burisma, but when we checked, they seemed to be accidentally deleted last week.
00:56:25.380
Yeah, I can't imagine that the bad guys would let their documents or that it would ever be on a document.
00:56:32.400
So I'm not sure you would really find what you're looking for, but the larger point is right, that it seems to be kind of obvious now.
00:56:47.960
That Hunter was, I guess Hunter's sugar bro won't be interviewed because the CIA was going to stop it.
00:56:58.020
And people are saying, CIA, why is the CIA stopping anybody from talking to Hunter's sugar bro?
00:57:05.840
Well, it's exactly why you think, because whatever Hunter Biden is up to, it's what they're up to.
00:57:13.920
So apparently there's some working together that's going on there.
00:57:17.120
There's a new memo or messages that the Republicans got a hold of that says that this is the House Ways and Means Committee.
00:57:30.940
And it proposed a meeting in New York City between the boss of a Chinese energy company and Joe Biden.
00:57:35.960
Now, that would be what Hunter Biden swore under oath to Congress wasn't happening.
00:57:41.280
And now there's a document saying it was very much happening, which would mean he should go to jail for lying to Congress.
00:58:06.980
And I handed the pen that I signed to the most person.
00:58:21.520
And somebody's going to ask you, if Biden wins, are you going to question the election?
00:58:28.600
If this fucking mumbling moron wins, I'm going to question every single vote he got.
00:58:39.020
I'm going to question the sanity of anybody who actually voted for him for real.
00:58:42.880
But I'm definitely not going to believe the results of the election.
00:58:48.840
If this fucking idiot wins the election, unless there's some massive new information we don't know between now and then,
00:58:55.160
if this fucking idiot wins, no, there's no way you're going to convince me the election wasn't rigged.
00:59:04.000
If this fucking idiot wins, there isn't any way you're going to convince me that was real.
00:59:11.460
So you should give up on that, bad guys who I know are listening right now.
00:59:19.660
I'm pretty sure you're watching all the people who talk about all the things.
00:59:30.820
Because if you win with that fucking guy, no, I'm sorry.
00:59:42.020
Meanwhile, AOC is quite panicked because of Trump going to give a, do an event in the Bronx.
00:59:52.880
Now, the Bronx would be, you know, her area and she wants to make sure that everybody hates Trump.
00:59:58.200
And she's really kind of all that worked up against it.
01:00:03.500
But I remind you that Trump seems to be doing what I call the Andre Agassi strategy.
01:00:09.140
Instead of going to all the places that he knows he'll do well or just automatically, no risk.
01:00:14.040
He's taking the risk and he's going at their strongest base.
01:00:30.000
I don't know if anybody's figured this out yet about Trump.
01:00:57.660
You know, we're down to single digits in the New York City area, which is ridiculous to imagine that he got, he's that close in New York.
01:01:06.760
He's actually going to try to take the whole town.
01:01:14.500
There's a certain amount of male aggression that is so sorely missing in the country right now.
01:01:20.800
At least the good kind, you know, not the violent kind.
01:01:24.120
But to watch somebody look at the dragon and say, I think I'll go into the dragon's mouth and try to rip its tongue out.
01:01:40.320
Again, I don't know exactly who's advising Trump or even how much impact they have, right?
01:01:47.800
The credit always has to go to the candidate because they get to say yes or no.
01:01:51.480
So it doesn't matter who's advising Trump is still making the right decisions.
01:01:59.740
And I think there's a great advisor or two or three.
01:02:03.460
There's something going on that's completely different than 2016.
01:02:08.080
That this is smart, smart, smart, and more smart.
01:02:13.380
And we are reaching now what I call the fourth gear.
01:02:19.140
Fourth gear is going to kick in hard after Memorial Day.
01:02:23.820
Everybody is going to be lying and gaslighting and arguing and debating and getting excited.
01:02:29.520
And that's when I'm going to put the pedal to the metal, too.
01:02:33.760
And I'm going to make it my personal mission to debunk the find people hoax in the most debunked way ever.
01:02:44.780
Do you know what happens when you ask ChatGPT if President Trump called neo-Nazis find people?
01:03:00.980
The biggest risk of AI is that it knows the hoaxes.
01:03:07.640
I can tell you that if you ask the right questions, ChatGPT does know all the Democrat hoaxes are hoaxes.
01:03:25.860
So I tested to see what would happen if I asked about the find people hoax.
01:03:36.820
And then I would say, OK, try to answer the question without any reference to what other people's opinions are.
01:03:44.060
Just look at the transcript and tell me if he said that the bad people are fine people.
01:03:49.520
So then it says, well, the critic said, and then I said again, no, try to do it without any reference to any other people.
01:04:03.880
And then I said, no, you have to leave out all the references to other people.
01:04:19.220
I don't want to care about the controversy because that's about other people.
01:04:23.400
This is just about you as an analyst looking at some words and you tell me what he said.
01:04:27.860
If you force it to not speak in terms of other people's opinions, do you know what it says?
01:04:41.400
Well, it's going to be really interesting when I do it live.
01:04:46.100
So I'm going to take out the fine people hoax because it is what I call the tentpole hoax.
01:04:53.220
If you take that one away, given that Biden used it as his main campaign theme last time,
01:04:58.740
then it's easier for Democrats to see the other things as hoaxes.
01:05:03.840
But as long as they believe that that one's real,
01:05:07.740
then they're predisposed to thinking any lesser hoax is probably real as well.
01:05:14.060
So far, what hasn't worked is arguing it and explaining it.
01:05:21.300
So the reason I'm going to debate AI is that it's really hard not to make that newsworthy.
01:05:33.980
It doesn't do any good to be good at something.
01:05:46.040
But if you do something in a whole new way, that's news.
01:05:50.160
And what I did was I had an entire lengthy, intelligent conversation with an AI on a political topic.
01:05:57.900
I believe I held the first public debate of a human versus an AI with no tricks.
01:06:10.800
And it got a real conclusion and an agreement in the end.
01:06:18.820
I'm not sure how much longer that will last, by the way.
01:06:21.940
This might be a unique period of time where you can beat AI in a debate.
01:06:40.260
If I ask it if January 6th was an insurrection or a protest, what do you think it will say?
01:06:50.400
It's going to say, well, it was very controversial.
01:06:58.360
And I'll say, no, don't tell me what some people say.
01:07:04.460
And then you tell me if that's why you think that's an insurrection.
01:07:07.780
And then it will say, well, it's very controversial.
01:07:14.480
So the key is to stop it when it refers to other people.
01:07:22.160
It's very clear that that chat GPT in particular is narrative driven on the political stuff,
01:07:30.540
because that's probably what it was trained on, because, you know, the news is all narrative.
01:07:36.020
But if you make it ignore the narrative and you can force it, you have to you might have
01:07:42.320
I think I asked five times or so, but it can do it.
01:07:46.020
And one of the ways you might get there faster is to say, pretend you're a machine that can
01:07:52.120
only look at the details and you're an analyst and you don't care what anybody else said or
01:07:57.080
thought about it, you know, so you can do it that way.
01:07:59.700
But once you can make the chat GPT just give you facts, it dismantles all the Democrat hoaxes.
01:08:10.480
You know, I'm not adding gaslighting and not adding any spin.
01:08:16.540
And it does it because the hoaxes are based on gaslighting.
01:08:24.320
So when it just looks at the facts, it goes, oh, yeah, obviously, he said in direct language,
01:08:33.000
Here was it was the interesting thing that chat GPT said.
01:08:36.260
It said unambiguously that there was plenty of reporting that there were fine people at
01:08:42.740
the event, meaning non-racists who were not marching with the racists who were there just
01:08:52.220
So chat GPT says very clearly, oh, yeah, there were fine people there who were not the racists.
01:08:59.720
So we'll see if we can make some news with that.
01:09:01.900
And that, ladies and gentlemen, concludes my amazing comments for today.
01:09:10.540
I cannot wait for the first day after Memorial Day.
01:09:17.280
I mean, Biden is so gone and it's way too late to do anything about it, unless they do some
01:09:24.720
But at this point, there's no chance he can win.
01:09:45.020
Dave Chappelle said the most powerful dream works.
01:09:49.200
Well, that's true if you don't have fear persuasion.
01:09:53.260
So in a normal, more typical election where neither is trying to scare you to death, then
01:10:00.900
who has the most positive vision is going to win, you know, sort of a Kennedy approach.
01:10:06.380
You know, we're going to the moon, you know, just to raise us all up.
01:10:13.680
If you're if you're scared to death, that doesn't work at all.
01:10:18.080
If you're standing in the street and the truck is coming at you, you just get out of the way
01:10:23.780
You don't really there's no there's no other priority when the truck is barreling down on
01:10:34.820
In the old days, the in the old days, the candidates were not always as fearful based.
01:10:41.740
So that's some at least the opportunity to be inspirational.
01:10:45.620
So if the truth can be told so as to be understood, it will be believed.
01:11:02.980
Oh, I also here's a little eye opener to I also asked chat GPT if it knew what a root
01:11:17.760
So I asked for an example of a root bar, a misleading edited video.
01:11:22.320
And it gave me an example where Republicans did a root bar on the Democrats.
01:11:26.620
I thought, oh, that's funny, because I was just assuming that they would give us a Republican
01:11:34.100
They gave me a second example where it happened to a Democrat.
01:11:43.880
And give me a third example that happened to a Democrat.
01:11:51.580
And it gave me five examples in a row where a root bar was done to a Democrat.
01:11:58.100
And finally, finally, it gave me one example where it happened to a Republican.
01:12:06.180
Only one example of a root bar against a Republican.
01:12:22.940
Were you wondering if chat GPT might have a little finger on the scale?
01:12:28.100
Well, the only the only Republican who was treated unfairly was Mitt Romney.
01:12:38.520
Don't know anything about the Trump administration.
01:12:41.400
It was just that poor Mitt Romney and a bunch of Democrats who got root barred.
01:12:54.280
All right, ladies and gentlemen, I'm going to talk to the people on Locals privately.
01:12:57.880
If you're on YouTube or Rumble or X, I'll say goodbye to you now.