Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2484 CWSA 05⧸24⧸24

00:00:00.000 well I see rumbles in the house and locals in the house let's hear from YouTube and the

00:00:15.540 youtubers in the house yet I'd like to see at least one youtuber before I start make

00:00:22.000 sure you guys are good there we go YouTube's in the house good morning everybody and welcome to

00:00:38.020 coffee with Scott Adams the finest experience you've ever had in your life I'll betcha and if

00:00:43.660 you'd like to take it up to levels that nobody can even see you without some kind of Elon Musk

00:00:49.180 rocket ship well all you need for that is a cover mug or a glass a tanker jell-serstein a

00:00:54.520 kinteen jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join

00:01:00.280 me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine at the end of the day thing that makes everything

00:01:04.180 better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now go you want to see the weirdest thing

00:01:19.180 I'm going to show you a picture from my college days this is a true story there was an underclassman

00:01:27.520 who decided that he looked enough like me and he decided that was his role model because I was a year

00:01:35.640 or two older and he started dressing like me and people noticed and started calling him the clone

00:01:43.440 so so and rather than rejecting that and saying I'm not trying to copy him he embraced it he said yeah

00:01:52.760 I'm totally trying to copy him and uh it would get more and more extreme the entire time it just got

00:02:00.260 funnier and funnier he was a friend of mine he lived he lived you know just a few doors down to the

00:02:04.440 dormitory but anyway for Halloween that year uh let's see where is we went as clones see if you can

00:02:14.840 tell which one I am I like to think he was the poor man's version of me but I'm not entirely sure

00:02:25.340 he's probably worth a billion dollars now he was pretty smart probably did a startup or something

00:02:30.080 anyway I saw a concept today in one of uh Owen's posts um about the what's called the third place

00:02:41.680 have you ever heard that term a third place so your house is your first place your place of work is

00:02:48.120 your second place and the third place would be like I guess if you were in England it would be the

00:02:54.680 tavern if you were somewhere else it would be someplace else now my third place used to be my gym

00:03:00.560 you know it's a place you could go to feel less lonely and maybe run into people

00:03:05.640 but um here's why I wanted to talk about it I really think we need to design new cities

00:03:11.860 around accidentally meeting your neighbors leaving it to chance just doesn't work

00:03:18.840 we need some way that in the normal course of business you run into people that you don't mind

00:03:25.000 running into you know by you know all voluntarily nobody's going to be forced to talk to their

00:03:30.860 neighbors but I've been looking into a number of businesses that I could start in my local area

00:03:37.640 that would have a physical location and I didn't realize that I was always thinking about them as the

00:03:43.560 third place for example I was thinking of starting a dog park that would have some shady place where

00:03:51.080 you could plug in your laptop and sit at a table and if you make it so it's sort of like picnic tables

00:03:57.720 you're going to have people who don't know each other sharing the same picnic table and if they have a place

00:04:02.360 to plug in their laptop and talk about your dog hey which one is your dog it's kind of a perfect place

00:04:08.600 to meet people I've actually met good friends in the dog park um I had a few other few other ideas for that

00:04:17.080 but I think I think I might even call it the third place I like the name so much I call it a third place dog park

00:04:29.240 yeah and just build it around the human attraction but also you can take your dog there

00:04:34.120 wouldn't that be a good idea anyway couldn't make money from it as my neighbor

00:04:39.560 my neighbor reminded me yesterday when I was talking about it

00:04:44.520 so where I live uh our local real estate um let's say real estate um let's say king and queen of the

00:04:55.320 neighborhood they're they're very uh and I say that not as an insult they're just very good at organizing

00:05:02.760 things in the neighborhood so I know I've met all of my neighbors just through the fact that they're

00:05:08.920 they're fairly organized we're all in a whatsapp thing it's actually a great situation

00:05:15.240 anyway uh can you believe that overdoses are down and obviously we're going to talk about

00:05:20.440 trump and bronx and all that later but overdoses actually went down a little bit

00:05:25.720 from 2023 down four percent from 2022 I don't know if this is real it could be that they went down

00:05:34.120 because the pandemic's over the pandemic might have been a high point for drugs could be that uh all of

00:05:41.880 our data is bad all the time so it's not even real very possible maybe they just started reporting it

00:05:48.280 differently how about the fact that more people are substituting weed for stronger drugs maybe I don't

00:05:56.520 know maybe it works the other way but I don't have data on it um maybe the government is giving out

00:06:04.040 fewer prescriptions so fewer people are getting hot um getting hooked maybe I don't know but certainly

00:06:13.720 there was action in that direction but I'm gonna I'm gonna offer the most uh provocative idea for why

00:06:21.560 maybe um ODs went down a little bit for that one year I think the most likely explanation is it's we're

00:06:30.040 we're off of the pandemic don't you four percent sounds sort of like just coming off the pandemic

00:06:37.240 high I don't know if it's real but I would offer this possibility uh all the junkies are dead

00:06:45.960 you can't kill somebody twice there might be a logical end to how much the um how much the overdose

00:06:54.760 problem can get in other words there might be a natural cap to it and we might have hit it 0.98

00:06:59.720 now let me make a bad analogy if you try to kill a head terrorist like a bin laden 1.00

00:07:09.720 it's not really going to stop things because there'll be a second in command 0.96

00:07:15.160 if you kill the second in command probably won't stop things because there'll be a third in command

00:07:22.120 but in theory the quality of the terrorist goes down every time you kill one you know from the top down 0.60

00:07:28.040 you know bin laden perhaps he was really good at it yeah al-zahiri maybe he was really good at it

00:07:34.920 but when you get to maybe the fifth or sixth terrorist down in the organization chart

00:07:40.920 i think it probably starts falling apart like that fifth best terrorist isn't quite good enough

00:07:48.760 but it could be that with that's a terrible analogy maybe the worst i've ever done but um

00:07:54.440 i think the overdoses are limited to people who would be would have a propensity to it once you run

00:08:03.640 out of people who have a propensity you don't make new ones right there the people who are never going

00:08:10.600 to become an addict are not going to wake up this morning and something changed that they were born

00:08:16.680 and people who are never going to be addicts because there's there's such a um a genetic component to

00:08:24.520 this and if you take let's take alcoholism alcoholism is around 10 of the public if alcohol killed you

00:08:36.120 at a high rate like fentanyl it does kill you but at a higher rate like fentanyl wouldn't you start

00:08:42.040 running out of drugs i think you'd actually start running out you know if the population has become

00:08:49.000 stable so it could be that here's my favorite story of the day uh explorers say they found what they

00:08:56.440 believe is the remains of world war ii ace pilot who was downed in a jungle ravine now he was fairly

00:09:05.640 famous for his exploits as a pilot but here's the best part his name is richard bong b-o-n-g or i think

00:09:14.520 his his friends probably called him dick and if i were going to be a world war ii flying ace and my name 0.80

00:09:23.880 was dick bong i would feel like i was the coolest person in the world well you know until i got shot down 0.73

00:09:31.640 and died in a ravine in the jungle but until then cool name so i'll be uh celebrating tonight in the

00:09:40.440 man cave with the rest of the local subscribers and uh we will uh do something i don't know what 0.60

00:09:47.800 but something that would be appropriate to honor dick bong

00:09:54.840 maybe some tubing kind of a thing i don't know you maybe you could come up with an idea

00:09:58.920 well do you remember when marjorie taylor green got into a little uh shouting match

00:10:05.560 in congress with uh eyelashes mickey uh her real name is representative crockett

00:10:14.040 i think it's jasmine crockett and uh she was talking today and there's some open hearing

00:10:21.000 and she was touting her credentials she said i currently hold an honorary doctorate

00:10:28.360 i also hold jurist doctorate a bachelor's degree uh she technically holds the rank of lieutenant 0.99

00:10:35.000 colonel in the civil air patrol and i actually practiced law for almost two decades in addition

00:10:40.200 to serving on various boards in addition to being a prior state lawmaker so uh this was in the context

00:10:48.760 of telling somebody that she doesn't understand why you have to choose between

00:10:55.400 uh qualified and diverse because she's saying very clearly that she has lots of qualifications

00:11:05.080 and she's diverse she's black and she's female and so why can't they just do more of that 1.00

00:11:12.440 you know what why are you pretending that you have to lower the quality of people

00:11:16.760 to get enough diversity now she said that in public which suggests that she doesn't understand human

00:11:25.480 motivation or how anything works and and somehow doesn't understand that systemic racism has made it

00:11:33.480 impossible to not choose between diversity and quality because the pipeline is too small has nothing to do

00:11:40.920 with anybody's genes has nothing to do with culture the school system does not create a pipeline of people

00:11:50.200 that corporations need in terms of the the talents so here's the problem and again it's what democrats don't

00:12:01.400 understand if there had never been dei if there had never been dei and i saw a representative crockett and i

00:12:11.400 found out that she had done all of these things and also had gotten elected to congress do you know what i

00:12:17.480 would say about her if there had never been dei i would have said wow she might be more more capable than

00:12:27.480 everybody in congress because if she had to overcome things like being black and being a woman in a in a

00:12:34.200 world where that was you know not a free pass i would have said huh you know all things being equal

00:12:41.640 probably better than average because you know potentially maybe overcame more barriers to get there

00:12:48.280 but in the context of dei i assume that she does not belong in her job she holds an honorary doctorate

00:12:55.000 which is complete do you know who own who also has an honorary doctorate jerry seinfeld you get an 0.86

00:13:03.400 honorary doctorate for giving a speech as a college does she think we're stupid enough to think that an 0.99

00:13:08.920 honorary doctorate is something she can mention in the as a part of her qualifications how stupid would 0.99

00:13:15.720 you have to be to say you have an honorary doctorate and that's part of your credentials 0.98

00:13:21.160 uh now she also has some kind of legal degree do we assume that she got that the real way by being 1.00

00:13:31.240 qualified no i don't assume that i assume the opposite i assume the opposite because we're in the

00:13:37.480 context of dei and on top of that seems to not understand the most basic element of the topic that

00:13:44.520 she was having an open hearing on how does she not understand the most basic thing that the pipeline 0.55

00:13:51.720 is insufficient to get us all what we all want i think everybody would be happy if the pipeline was

00:13:59.240 just full of diverse candidates that were great and then the companies would say that's great and then

00:14:06.120 you've got to work with all these great people and you would not see their color because you'd say

00:14:11.000 uh my co-worker is just great i mean my co-worker is nailing it if your co-worker is doing a good job

00:14:18.680 that's the part you see realistically you know you might be you might be prejudiced i like to say this

00:14:24.840 a lot discrimination only lasts until you open your mouth and then you get judged by what the

00:14:32.360 you say and that's it that in the real world you can't discriminate against somebody who's talking to

00:14:40.680 you because you're going to decide what you think about them based on what comes out of their mouth

00:14:45.640 period period it doesn't matter what happened the moment until they open their mouth the moment they

00:14:52.120 open their mouth you're judging them on what comes out yeah that's it and and i don't think

00:14:58.520 i don't think not everybody understands that i think the the people who are worried about what other

00:15:06.200 people are thinking about them are sort of missing the biggest part of that that if you act like a

00:15:12.680 good person it's pretty much automatic that people are gonna like you and want to work with you there

00:15:17.720 aren't that many good people but if you're black let me give you a uh an insider tip about white people 0.67

00:15:25.880 there are not so many white people that are awesome that uh i have an unlimited amount 0.97

00:15:36.680 if you walk into my life and you're just like a good person you're in the top 10 percent without

00:15:41.960 trying it's not that hard it's not that hard to get into my top 10 percent in favor of people

00:15:48.600 the bar isn't just not that high it really isn't all right um so i would say that the thing that

00:15:59.160 representative crockett misses is that she is she and anybody who is pro dei creates a situation where

00:16:06.440 the assumption is flipped from wow you must be extra qualified if you made it through some extra

00:16:12.920 challenges to get here to you're probably not qualified because we've built a system to promote

00:16:18.760 unqualified people the system guarantees it because of systemic racism limiting the pipeline of applicants

00:16:27.880 that you would like to hire all right uh elon musk being uh it must be nice to be the richest person in

00:16:35.960 the world because because there's just that little extra bit of freedom you get

00:16:42.520 so here's something that really happened i could not have loved it more so elon musk was on some kind

00:16:48.120 of uh online thing where he was taking uh press calls viva tech 2024 in paris and uh somebody from

00:16:57.080 business insider got up a reporter to ask a question and here's the here's the question she starts to ask

00:17:03.240 she says quote tesla has had a bumpy few months looking at flagging sales at home stock market decline

00:17:09.800 layoffs when you look back and musk interrupts her he interrupts her in mid-sentence he says

00:17:16.680 yeah we can stop the question right now because i don't think business insider is a real publication

00:17:21.160 okay the reporter replied and sat down then musk said so let's move on to the next question

00:17:37.400 can can we take a moment to slow clap that out okay can you just slow clap at home

00:17:42.760 i i don't know how much to express how much i love that what why in the world would he give respect 0.96

00:17:52.280 to something that's clearly not a real publication all right business insider is just bullshit now i think 0.67

00:17:58.120 it was sort of a little bit real at one point but not now

00:18:02.200 so more of that please more of that i would like to suggest as my theme today it does feel like things are changing

00:18:18.840 let me give you some hints do you think i could have gone after representative crockett as hard as i just did

00:18:25.080 even two years ago no somebody would have grabbed it out of context and

00:18:31.960 tweeted it all over the place and tried to get me canceled but now i can just tell you what is useful

00:18:39.800 and true i wouldn't say it if it weren't useful i don't know if everybody gets that yeah even when i

00:18:46.600 got canceled for saying get the f away does everybody know that was trying to be helpful for everybody

00:18:55.080 that of course the news looked like it made it look like i'm targeting one group nope

00:19:01.000 is specifically was to help that one group that it says i'm targeting because if you don't know what's true

00:19:07.160 you cannot make plans i'm telling you what's true what's true is if you're going to do dei i'm going to try

00:19:15.480 to get away from it if you're creating a situation where you say i've got your money and you better give it back

00:19:21.320 i'm going to run away so you can't have it both ways you can't have it both ways and now i can say

00:19:29.400 that out loud because i paid for it i bought the ticket i paid full price for the free speech ticket

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00:20:39.960 please play responsibly all right um thomas massey being awesome as usual has introduced a bill

00:20:48.840 to eliminate taxpayer funding for online censorship

00:20:55.000 yes please

00:20:57.480 and i'm thinking wait a minute

00:21:01.400 why why is it always the same guy who comes up with all the good ideas

00:21:05.400 are you noticing the pattern

00:21:08.520 who the hell did we hire for congress if there's like one guy who comes up with all the useful ideas

00:21:14.760 it's always the same one like i'm glad we elected accidentally one smart person

00:21:22.200 now rand paul is pretty great too but i like thomas massey

00:21:27.320 so yes the twitter files as massey says the twitter files showed the government colludes with private

00:21:32.520 companies and universities to violate the first amendment yes proven and congress must use the power of

00:21:38.600 the purse to make that illegal yes please that's a yes yes yes yes yes and better yet here's the best part

00:21:52.280 let's get people on record to be against it let's see who's against having the government reduce your free speech

00:22:00.120 let's find out who's bold enough to say yeah i would like to use the government power to

00:22:07.800 restrict your free speech because we wouldn't want you to get any bad information about the pandemic

00:22:14.600 right because that's the good argument yeah we wouldn't want you to get any dangerous information

00:22:21.400 about like russia collusion

00:22:23.720 or or who or the real nature of the hunter laptop

00:22:30.440 yeah good we certainly wouldn't want any misinformation

00:22:37.320 all right jonathan turley is all over this story about

00:22:41.640 the so-called hunter biden sugar bro now i mentioned this but it's such a head shaker

00:22:48.680 and and turley is making a point that the fact that the regular media media you know the corporate

00:22:55.960 media is not treating this as like the biggest story ever just sort of ignoring it

00:23:01.800 tells you a lot so this is dog not barking situation so the situation i'm talking about is

00:23:07.320 there's this fellow named uh it's a friend of hunter biden's who has given him millions of dollars kevin

00:23:13.320 morris and he just says he's a friend he wants to help no ulterior motive he just likes to give his

00:23:19.400 friend millions of dollars and apparently he gave his friend all of his money because he doesn't have it

00:23:24.600 left that's what you do for your friends yeah when your friend needs money you don't give some money

00:23:31.240 yeah you give them all your money

00:23:32.360 what what so congress of course wanted to talk to the sugar bro to find out what the deal is

00:23:42.760 and the cia said they had some relationship with the sugar bro and said no you can't talk to him

00:23:50.280 what wait what we can't talk to the person giving millions of dollars to the president's son

00:23:57.880 because the cia says you you can't know what that guy knows maybe it's exactly what it looks like

00:24:08.280 i've been saying that a lot lately maybe this story is exactly what it looks like yeah like uh

00:24:17.080 like everything bad yeah yeah yeah and if you tie this together with the uh the mike ben's view of

00:24:25.160 the world that ukraine is basically a play to get the uh energy resources from russia has nothing to do

00:24:32.360 with ukraine or liberty or democracy in fact we're not interested even a little bit in ukraine being 0.97

00:24:40.600 democratic apparently that would just work against our interests so uh

00:24:48.600 there'll be more on that a little bit in a moment um it's a whole week of complicated stories

00:24:55.640 do you notice that the news is really complicated now for example there's a story about the eco health

00:25:03.960 alliance boss peter dasik and apparently he's in big trouble for some documents that have been found

00:25:12.280 that suggest there was a some kind of coordinated effort to hide the involvement of the wuhan lab

00:25:17.960 if i have that right uh and they use apparently they use the personal email to avoid getting caught

00:25:26.200 they there there's some people involved who were deleting emails ahead of time before they got foyered

00:25:32.680 and the nature of the conversations that we have seen suggests that they know they were guilty and that

00:25:38.200 they were trying to hide hide it at least that's how it's being interpreted i'll just say that's how it's

00:25:43.320 being interpreted can't know their inner thoughts so it looks like everything you thought was true about

00:25:50.760 the pandemic was true it came out of the wuhan lab it was gain of function we were behind it 0.97

00:25:57.080 right america was behind it everything and they covered it up so every bad assumption you had about

00:26:06.840 that apparently was all true apparently

00:26:12.600 now that's a complicated story so i don't know if i have all that nuance there but that's the basic idea

00:26:18.360 uh there's a democratic consultant who's been indicted for creating a deep fake of joe biden's voice

00:26:24.920 that did a bunch of robo calls and told people not to vote stephen kramer so he's being charged with

00:26:32.680 voter suppression and faces up to six billion dollar fines so that's the future the future is uh

00:26:41.160 people faking voices on robo calls but got caught speaking of of ai voices you know the story about

00:26:51.000 scarlett johansson saying that uh chat gpt illegally stole her voice and had a they they hired somebody

00:26:59.960 to sound like her because she had declined the offer to do it herself well it turns out that this

00:27:05.320 story is way more complicated than you thought because it's not so simple as we stole your voice

00:27:12.120 because the the voice they used is a real person who was not doing an impression and the real person

00:27:19.560 says this is new nobody's ever nobody in my real life has ever told me i sound like scarlett johansson

00:27:29.320 now do you believe that do you believe that everybody who listens to us says well it sounds

00:27:33.800 like scarlett johansson but that in a real life and nobody's saying that it was altered voice it's a real

00:27:40.520 voice nobody nobody told her she sounds like nobody never once i've been told i look like john denver and

00:27:52.200 about 50 other people i hear it all the time and no nobody's ever said that i don't know i don't know

00:28:00.680 so a open ai's uh story is that it never intended to copy scarlett and wanted her for it but they found

00:28:09.160 somebody who was not her that was just a voice they liked and there you go that's their version

00:28:15.880 but uh this is going to have huge implications for uh hollywood because what happens if you can

00:28:24.520 create people who sort of are in the in the vibe of scarlett johansson is that going to be okay

00:28:32.680 what if you found what if you created an ai that didn't look exactly like her but was a

00:28:40.600 highly attractive blonde of the same age and then you gave it a voice that was based on 0.96

00:28:46.440 not her but somebody who sounds a lot like her according to other people

00:28:52.200 is that going to be legal there's going to be massive lawsuits about all this stuff

00:28:57.400 so we'll see i would just like to note because the important part is my connection to all stories

00:29:04.920 that uh scarlett johansson's husband once mocked me on snl she's she's married to colin joust joust

00:29:15.240 so he mocked me about a year ago on snl so good luck with that guys there's a study of brains they found

00:29:23.800 there's a part of the brain that might be involved with causing somebody to be a narcissist

00:29:31.640 let me tell you something that i realized um

00:29:37.400 maybe 40 years ago i remember the first time i heard that uh they found that the brains of addicts

00:29:45.640 and alcoholics in particular were different and they were saying hey we think that alcoholism might

00:29:53.000 have a genetic propensity to which i said what i thought that was free will i thought you either

00:30:01.880 decided to drink or you didn't are you telling me that your brain might be different and that some

00:30:07.240 people cannot just decide not to drink and that was the case then later people said we found in the

00:30:14.360 brain a part of the brain that makes you more likely to be gay and i said what i thought that was

00:30:22.520 just a choice you tell me that your brain could be the you know decider of in your genes could be the 0.95

00:30:30.840 decider of whether you're a born gay and then i said to myself what's going to happen to free will

00:30:38.680 once we find and map all the parts of the brain once you know that there's a physical part of the

00:30:44.520 brain that causes all of our behaviors and you can identify it and you go oh there it is we just scanned

00:30:51.000 you you got that big narcissist thing in your brain up that's why you're acting that way or oh found out

00:30:57.000 you've got that tendency to be an alcoholic there it is it's right in your brain what are you going to

00:31:03.800 think of free will when we identify all the parts of the brain that cause all of our actions

00:31:10.920 well i i realized that that day that the idea of free will would get smaller and smaller

00:31:17.960 as we got smarter and smarter about what the brain does as a machine and here's and so here's the

00:31:24.120 newest one now now if narcissism can be identified

00:31:29.640 and everything from intelligence to you can even apparently even your propensity to be conservative

00:31:37.320 or liberal can be identified in your brain so if your brain has an influence on these things

00:31:45.400 are you still clinging to the idea that you have free will yeah because that idea is going to get

00:31:52.760 harder and harder to hold on to harder and harder

00:32:00.280 all right um the debate over whether the government was trying to kill to kill trump uh and have him

00:32:08.680 assassinated by including in their mar-a-lago raid uh authorization they're authorized to use deadly force if necessary

00:32:18.760 and

00:32:21.480 um

00:32:23.320 so there's some people who are saying

00:32:25.240 well it was just standard procedure they just say that all the time

00:32:29.480 and there are other people uh mike cernovich dan bungino for example 0.99

00:32:33.240 example and uh who say no you idiots that is not a standard procedure 0.99

00:32:40.760 now how could it be standard procedure but also not a standard procedure well it turns out it can be 1.00

00:32:48.680 and bungino gets to the heart of it by asking this question

00:32:53.960 if you think it's standard paperwork

00:32:57.000 would the dea be allowed to serve a search warrant on the white house with armed agents in the cocaine case

00:33:03.720 why not

00:33:05.720 do you think that armed people with authorization to shoot to kill

00:33:10.920 would have gone into the white house to look into the cocaine situation

00:33:14.760 and and by the way in both cases there was full cooperation

00:33:20.360 on the physical part so at mar-a-lago there was never any indication anybody was going to resist anything

00:33:26.840 and the secret service were always in the communication they were always talking to him

00:33:33.320 never once said if you come in here we're going to prevent you in fact they negotiated so that there

00:33:39.240 would be no problems at all so the question is if you knew there were going to be no problems

00:33:44.680 because you'd already negotiated it why do you have to put that in there

00:33:49.480 so i'm going to take a a middle a middle view of this 0.94

00:33:54.760 i don't think somebody sat down and said all right i got a plan to kill the president

00:33:59.240 here's what we're going to do we're going to create this situation and then we'll put this authorization in there 0.98

00:34:04.040 and then as soon as something goes wrong we'll just start blazing away and gun down the president 0.98

00:34:10.120 i don't believe that even for the slightest second because nobody's nobody's that dumb 0.73

00:34:15.560 but did they create a situation where the possibility would go from zero to non-zero

00:34:24.600 yes it does look like they did that it looks like they very much created a situation where there was a

00:34:31.080 non-zero chance of killing him that did happen i so i'm with bongino on that um

00:34:38.200 but i but i wouldn't take it so much as they plan to kill him because if they had planned to kill him

00:34:46.440 it would have gone down differently it would have been more like more of a surprise you know less of a

00:34:53.320 negotiated situation so um and by the way i like i say this often but one of the things i always value

00:35:04.120 in dan bongino is his talent stack he's done one of the greatest jobs of assembling uh talents

00:35:14.120 everything and this is another one so he's got this background and you know uh law enforcement

00:35:20.760 type stuff but on top of that he knows politics and on top of that he knows all the players and on top of

00:35:26.520 that he's great at the media stuff so he's got the full package and that's why he's doing so well all

00:35:36.360 right um so trump went to the bronx and gave his uh big speech it was a giant hit there were no real

00:35:43.880 problems of any scale it was all positivity um we're all americans doesn't matter what color your skin is

00:35:51.480 people were wild for him if anybody thought he would get a bad reception in the bronx you were wrong

00:35:57.640 the crowd was the most diverse for a trump crowd there were plenty of white people but uh there

00:36:05.240 were plenty of other people too so plenty of asians plenty of blacks plenty of hispanics

00:36:13.640 aoc seemed to be flipping out

00:36:15.560 because remember i told you the andre agassi strategy where you don't go after your opponent's

00:36:22.280 weakest shot you go after their strongest shot because if you get lucky and you can you can

00:36:28.440 make them lose their confidence in their strongest shot they're dead so you basically can decapitate

00:36:34.360 somebody in the first set just by making sure you lose if they lose their confidence in their best play

00:36:40.040 so the best play that the uh democrats have is that the deepest bluest states absolutely cannot stand

00:36:50.520 that he trump anything so he went into the deepest bluest place and blew their doors off

00:37:00.280 he andre agassi you could see the panic in aoc's um you know complaints about him going there

00:37:08.360 why would you even complain about it like why would that even be a conversation that somebody running

00:37:14.280 for president would visit a highly populated area in america and make his case but they had to

00:37:20.680 complain about it because he was going right into the belly of the beast they could tell he was going

00:37:26.840 for their forehand he wasn't going for their weak backhand he went right into the middle of the dragon 0.98

00:37:32.920 and fucked it up 0.99

00:37:37.480 now and i agree with some people who say he's not going to win the state he might by the way i'm not i'm 0.88

00:37:46.440 not on the the page that he's not going to win the state you do the part we can't predict is how far

00:37:55.240 biden will fall between now and election day you see the rate of decline right have you seen a video of

00:38:04.200 biden talking one year ago completely different one year completely different um we'll we'll talk about

00:38:13.800 this so biden gave a uh a press conference very rare apparently he had all the people he was going

00:38:22.440 to call out call on on a card he gave them only one question apiece because that's the one he was

00:38:28.600 prepared for and then he read his responses it appears from a card in other words it wasn't the press

00:38:35.800 conference at all it was a q a with written questions and written answers he just stood in public and did it

00:38:43.800 do you think he would have had to do that a year ago a year ago he might have been able to bluff his

00:38:50.920 way through although they were they were hiding him a year ago but i think he could have gotten through

00:38:55.480 it today he is clearly not capable of handling a question that he's not that's not written in front

00:39:03.640 of him with the answer that's completely different in one year what's he going to be by november

00:39:11.240 by november i don't even think there'll be a choice it could be a really one person and one person who's

00:39:20.360 just not even going to be alive in a few months so could trump win new york i'm going to say yes

00:39:28.040 i'm going to say yes but not because of steady state it's because there's there could be a big

00:39:35.000 there's going to be a big drop in biden before november i think his health will just fall off a

00:39:41.640 ledge i think it already has and they're just hiding it from us but it's going to be hard to

00:39:46.840 hide it for a few more months i suspect that the democratic national convention where biden has to

00:39:54.440 give a speech could be really really touch and go for the democrats because i don't think they trust

00:40:01.880 him to be able to even read the teleprompter at this point imagine him going up there if it happens

00:40:09.640 uh and giving in his acceptance speech and he does the mumbly thing oh my god

00:40:20.200 it's bad enough if he does it just you know in a stump speech but if he does it standing in

00:40:25.000 front of the whole country at the dnc and i think he will it's not a good look uh apparently i don't

00:40:33.720 know is this true i need to fact check on this did did trump actually say at the bronx rally and i

00:40:41.160 quote i don't eat bacon anymore it's too expensive he didn't really say those words did he because i've

00:40:49.960 been laughing about it all morning it sounds like something you would say in his normal hyperbole we

00:40:57.960 do assume that he can still afford bacon but but if he said that it's hilarious because i think the the

00:41:07.880 difference between trump today and prior trump is that now we understand him like we get him no you

00:41:16.840 didn't mean literally you can't afford bacon of course but is it funny it's totally funny

00:41:24.920 yeah it's totally funny so that's all we care about

00:41:30.920 so meanwhile trump goes and does by everybody's account everything right now may i remind you again

00:41:38.520 that trump's performance as a candidate this time around is unlike anything i've ever seen i mean

00:41:49.160 it's just all good all the way i mean he's just doing one home run after another i mean he's hitting

00:41:56.200 frozen ropes into the outfield every at every at bat it's crazy and this bronx thing

00:42:03.080 really highlights that yeah because he's not just playing as safe if i told you he's made no mistakes

00:42:11.400 but he's also playing as safe you'd say oh that's not the trump we want we're not looking for the play

00:42:17.080 a safe guy so here he goes into the belly of the beast in the bronx kills it that's who we want we want

00:42:26.280 the one who can do the thing you think can't be done we want the one who says why would i be afraid of that

00:42:35.720 why would i be afraid of that that's the one we want 0.93

00:42:41.080 meanwhile the governor of new york hochel said that she referred to trump supporters as clowns 0.85

00:42:48.920 during the rally clowns have we noticed a correlation that the democrats think that republicans are pieces 1.00

00:42:58.200 of shit it's a pretty clear pattern yeah just remember that you have one leader who is saying 1.00

00:43:07.720 very clearly and consistently we're all americans we can pull together and one who says we're better 0.99

00:43:13.960 off divided because that's kind of what he's saying biden anyway um here's something uh biden said in a

00:43:26.680 post he says donald trump and his mega republican allies don't care about securing the border or

00:43:32.440 fixing americans broken immigration system if they did they would have supported the toughest border

00:43:37.960 enforcement in history so it was a bill that just got turned down by mostly republicans instead

00:43:43.720 they put partisan politics ahead of our national security so here's my question first of all you

00:43:49.880 can see that he's dividing the country by referring to mega republican allies now he's specifically

00:43:56.840 talking about the elected politicians but how do you hear it i don't hear it that way i hear that 0.96

00:44:03.960 he is just saying if you're a mega republican he wants to piss on your head that's what i hear do you

00:44:10.440 hear it differently i think he's insulting the citizens at the same time he's insulting the 0.80

00:44:16.920 people they voted for the so-called mega allies 0.99

00:44:23.320 so that's his usual piece of shit divisive uh terrible president um framing that there are bad people 0.99

00:44:30.520 and there are good people and he's the good people i guess do you do you think that the democrats are 1.00

00:44:35.480 catching on because this obviously was a fake border bill that had poison pills in it do you 0.98

00:44:41.560 think that the democrats haven't figured out that it's all theater and bullshit do they really think 0.98

00:44:48.920 that the republicans looked at a perfectly good border bill and said we're going to turn this down for 0.96

00:44:54.280 the good of getting elected i'm not saying they wouldn't but it's not what happened

00:44:59.800 they didn't really have a chance to look at a good border bill

00:45:07.640 i think it's strange that the president's name is biden at the same time we're all wondering the same

00:45:14.760 question on election day will he still be alive by then

00:45:22.440 what are the odds that his name would be by then when all we're waiting for is if he's still going

00:45:33.160 to be alive by then that's a weird coincidence all right uh biden also posted or somebody did for him

00:45:42.280 trump is not running to lead america he is running for revenge but you can't build a future on revenge

00:45:48.680 i'm running to lead america into the future what future is that the one where you live for another

00:45:56.600 four months and then we bury you what exact future are you talking about old man who can't even do a

00:46:03.480 press conference you're not part of our future you're just not in any way our future but okay but

00:46:13.720 here's my bigger complaint he says uh trump is not leading running to lead america he's running for

00:46:19.480 revenge revenge is what i want revenge is called the justice system do you think the justice system was

00:46:28.600 set up for fairness no do you think the justice system was set up to rehabilitate people no it's revenge

00:46:38.120 that's what it does and the and the the risk of revenge is the only thing that keeps society together

00:46:47.160 why do you not do bad things if you're a good person why do you not do bad things because we're

00:46:51.480 going to get revenge on you we're going to put you in jail if you don't want to call that revenge 0.86

00:46:56.600 fine you can call it a flower you can put a different word on it but the justice system is

00:47:03.720 very much about revenge and that's what makes it work and you know what revenge is the animated

00:47:11.000 the animating part of it the part of the reason that trump has so much support is that you put 2000 0.96

00:47:18.600 fucking people in jail for political reasons you're trying to jail the president for political reasons 0.98

00:47:24.120 and peter navarro is still in fucking jail so revenge is going to be at the top of the menu 1.00

00:47:30.440 revenge is at the top of the menu and it belongs there because that's what justice looks like 0.99

00:47:36.840 justice looks like honest revenge who else needs to talk about let's not have revenge

00:47:44.200 did anybody else have to talk about that do you remember jimmy carter saying oh don't do revenge on

00:47:49.640 me do you know why we didn't have to do revenge on jimmy carter because there was no reason

00:47:55.640 do you know why we didn't need revenge on bill clinton there was no reason there was no reason 0.68

00:48:06.680 do you know why nobody's ever fucking talked about revenge before ever 0.89

00:48:13.000 there was no reason if he's talking about don't do revenge it's because he created the whole situation 0.66

00:48:20.280 nobody's going to be talking about revenge unless something really really 0.70

00:48:25.640 fucking big and terrible had happened and something big and fucking terrible is happening right now 0.95

00:48:31.320 peter navarro is still in prison 1.00

00:48:37.400 no you let peter navarro enter prison and the other 2000 fucking people you drop this stupid law 0.99

00:48:43.240 fair charges and we'll stop talking about revenge but right now i want to see hundreds of democrats in 0.99

00:48:48.760 jail i want to see hundreds of democrats in jail minimum and we do have the goods i mean completely

00:48:57.400 within the legal system i recommend no actions outside the legal system yeah no no vigilante anything

00:49:04.760 don't do that but yes the justice system has plenty of evidence of crimes at the highest level so yes

00:49:12.840 revenge revenge revenge revenge revenge revenge and every time you say don't do it you remind us why we

00:49:20.760 need to because nobody else needs to even fucking talk that way if you're talking somebody out of getting 0.91

00:49:28.600 revenge revenge is called for because it isn't even in the conversation it's just not part of the 0.99

00:49:38.120 conversation until you fucked up really badly and you have peter navarro is still in prison peter navarro 0.99

00:49:46.680 is still in prison remember the alamo 0.98

00:49:53.000 and yes you can build a future on revenge it's called the justice system speaking of justice apparently

00:50:00.120 the amuse account on x tells us that there's something called the 65 project uh and it's apparently

00:50:08.360 mostly to cancel anybody anybody who's a lawyer who's trying to help trump and it's run by david brock

00:50:15.000 and it's funded by george soros and it's uh as muse says it's an all-out war on the sixth amendment to the

00:50:23.560 constitution revenge revenge revenge

00:50:35.800 all right uh american american first legal that's the uh republican oriented uh group that's trying to

00:50:45.720 create a counterbalance for the in the legal system and it's trying to use legal means to

00:50:52.040 get justice in a variety of ways that democrats have tried to take it away from you but there's

00:50:57.480 this new story that frankly i do not understand

00:51:02.520 there's something about a new document that's been undercovered some obama order from his days that's

00:51:08.920 been kind of secret that says that there should be something about keeping copies of all the classified

00:51:15.480 stuff on the server and the argument doesn't make sense to me but maybe it does to you so i've asked

00:51:22.760 for a clarification but here's what it sounds like it sounds like america first legal is saying

00:51:30.520 that trump's um legal problems with the mar-a-lago documents are not a problem because there are also

00:51:41.160 copies of them that the government never lost they've always had the copies now i don't understand

00:51:47.240 that do you why would that make any difference if they have copies i assume they had copies didn't you

00:51:53.800 always assume they had copies but would the government in 2024 and i have a digital copy of everything

00:52:01.640 important that came across the government's desks i mean i just assume so so i don't i don't understand

00:52:09.400 the importance of this but american first legal is playing it as very important so i've asked them

00:52:17.720 to explain it give me the dummies version of i don't get it like why is this important how's it

00:52:24.120 has to have anything to do with anything so if they come up with that i'll talk about it again but

00:52:29.720 at the moment all i can say is that people who know more than i do about the law i think there's

00:52:34.920 an important thing that happened and i have no idea what it is uh blocked the fbi from arresting

00:52:42.920 dangerous iranians yeah that's a boring story but i see what you're saying so there's some story about

00:52:52.280 john carrey blocking the arrest of some known iranian uh bad guys uh because he was trying to

00:52:59.640 get a deal done with iran is that the biggest crime in the world here's the thing that might

00:53:07.400 be just real politic meaning that if you're this close if you're this close to getting a deal that's

00:53:13.640 a really big deal maybe you don't arrest those people on tuesday you maybe you get the deal

00:53:21.160 arrest them a few weeks later so i don't know how real that story is

00:53:25.240 uh it's not that far from something i would think is normal business but

00:53:31.480 i guess i'd wait for dan bongino to set me straight on that

00:53:35.880 so i guess i don't have enough hook into that story to care about it

00:53:41.800 um there's a report that the us and the european union are moving toward an agreement for a massive loan

00:53:50.440 for ukraine but their clever technique is they're going to use russian assets frozen in the west as

00:53:56.440 collateral

00:54:00.440 here's the thing

00:54:03.560 i've been saying that our form of government is not a democracy of course it was designed to be a

00:54:09.800 republic you know federal republic with democratic principles but it's really not that either it

00:54:16.920 probably hasn't been since the 50s we are essentially a criminal organization and colonizers

00:54:25.240 we're basically the borg trying to you know take everybody's assets and apparently we've always been

00:54:31.560 that way that's what america is now if that sounds like a criticism here's the twist i don't think

00:54:41.800 there's a better form of government because if you don't coordinate your government with your big

00:54:47.720 capitalist entities somebody else will and they'll be your daddy so unfortunately if you're not the

00:54:56.520 baddest criminal in the criminal world you're going to get dead so being the baddest of the criminals

00:55:03.320 might be the best form of government maybe because you know i think democracy has its issues too 0.99

00:55:11.240 if you let dumb people make big decisions so i don't know but when i see a story like this it 0.97

00:55:18.440 just reminds you that we're a criminal organization trying to steal putin's stuff 0.99

00:55:23.640 you know the the mike ben's take is that ukraine is really just an energy play and the hunter

00:55:29.160 biden is part of that with burisma that's that's why hunter was part of burisma all part of the

00:55:34.440 the you know the big energy play to steal the energy from russia and since we couldn't get all of

00:55:40.760 their energy we're going to settle for keeping their assets that we could freeze

00:55:47.560 i mean i get that there's a war going on but we're we're persecuting we're prosecuting the war 1.00

00:55:55.160 like we're just criminals we're just looking to steal shit 0.89

00:55:58.120 it it's hard to not see it as just a criminal act against another criminal and again if it sounds 0.97

00:56:06.040 like if it sounds like a criticism believe it or not it's not we seem to be a very effective criminal

00:56:16.280 organization because we've overthrown lots of governments we've got access to lots of resources

00:56:23.080 and other places and uh maybe it's not working out so well in ukraine but you know it seems to be

00:56:31.800 proving the the point but to me um so putin has said that uh he's willing to negotiate a ceasefire along

00:56:41.240 current lines of uh who owns what now i say there's no chance of negotiating until trump gets there

00:56:50.120 because the biden play it was never about stopping a war they're not really concerned with ending

00:57:00.360 war they're only concerned and stealing russia's energy game and if they haven't done that and they

00:57:07.800 think they still have a chance they're not going to negotiate so this basically they're going to save

00:57:13.720 the negotiations for trump who as far as i know does not have a massive interest in the big

00:57:19.960 energy deal or stealing things in ukraine so he could just say yeah let's just end this

00:57:27.320 when trump says he could end it in a day

00:57:32.120 i would bet against it but i wouldn't bet against ending it in a month

00:57:38.440 because i think he could get it done in a month

00:57:40.360 and that ladies and gentlemen brings us to the conclusion of my prepared remarks

00:57:52.520 it all comes down to race and religion somebody says does it

00:58:00.440 uh trump didn't let zelensky rip up the minsk peace accords biden did and that was the start of

00:58:06.040 the war you think that's what you think

00:58:14.920 so um

00:58:21.000 all right i had another topic but i think too controversial

00:58:26.520 um i think we overestimated russia's willingness to negotiate

00:58:33.480 creating a well

00:58:37.720 here's what i think we should do i would love to see trump do a grand deal

00:58:43.160 where we just work out our differences with the three superpowers and just agree to rule the world

00:58:49.640 in peace and they can have their part and we'll have our part you know i realize that taiwan's a problem

00:58:58.120 but at this point we are moving our chip facilities out of there

00:59:04.440 and i think taiwan knows that in the long run there's really no way that they could become

00:59:09.640 they can't be independent in the long run it's too dangerous could you imagine china 1.00

00:59:15.160 having a major ally in cuba and you know being right at our doorstep and

00:59:20.680 i don't know it just seems to me that we're fighting history if we're trying to keep taiwan out of 0.99

00:59:27.720 china's control 1.00

00:59:30.680 here's what i think we should do instead

00:59:34.200 vivek had a good plan i think what we should do instead is create a hundred year plan

00:59:38.600 do the hong kong plan say you know what why fight history in a hundred years sometime within that

00:59:46.440 hundred years taiwan will be china but if you wait a hundred years you don't have to worry about

00:59:51.320 microchips because something will be very different by then and it won't be you know depending on taiwan

00:59:59.320 so i think if we said how about we just agree now that there's it's a hundred year plan

01:00:05.320 and in a hundred years taiwan will figure out what its role will be so there'll be future negotiations

01:00:11.000 of does it operate a little bit independently compared to the mainland nobody knows what the

01:00:17.400 mainland would even look like in a hundred years you could you could have a you know a democracy in

01:00:23.880 china in a hundred years anything could happen so i think you do a hundred year plan and just

01:00:29.000 take the violence off the table because if you're president xi and you know you got it back

01:00:37.560 you just won't be alive when it happens that's a big win and if we can take that off the table

01:00:44.040 then we can deal with china at a much much better level 1.00

01:00:54.760 hong kong island was ceded to the uk in perpetuity i don't believe that i thought it was a 99 year lease

01:01:01.000 hong kong had a 50-year plan that the ccp removed yeah well it's a risk but here's the thing hong kong 1.00

01:01:14.040 didn't really have a chance of staying independent forever taiwan doesn't have a chance of staying

01:01:19.400 independent forever if it were our hemisphere we would insist that we had that much control and

01:01:28.040 i don't know i just wouldn't fight history

01:01:34.600 many think it was a deal so i'm seeing people say that the the the narrative of hong kong is all fake

01:01:43.080 and that they did not have a deal to give it back i'm i'm doubting your framing of that

01:01:48.920 uh i think it was a 99 year lease and when it ended the uk gave it back so but but i will note

01:02:00.440 that there are people who are saying that's not true

01:02:09.240 yeah a managed democracy with an authoritarian streak the the one thing i don't see is china

01:02:15.240 looking like they're they want to control other countries except economically of course um but

01:02:23.080 taiwan's special so i think something will happen there one sooner or later it's going to happen

01:02:30.280 so i i think it's a deal that trump could make i think he could say look about russia you make your

01:02:36.520 money china you make your money we'll make our money and let's play i think you can pull that off

01:02:45.720 i i suspect that the biggest reason we can't get along with russia and china is that we can't stop 1.00

01:02:52.440 doing covert things to each other continuously because we're sure that the other is doing it too

01:02:58.440 so you know i'll tell you that the theory that china is doing everything it can to stop reproduction in

01:03:05.800 america is looking better and better i don't think that they're that clever but maybe all right that's

01:03:14.440 all i got for you and on youtube and rumble and x i'm going to take a few minutes with just the

01:03:20.680 subscribers on locals and i'll see the rest of you tomorrow locals stay with me the rest of you bye for

01:03:31.000 now thanks for joining

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 24, 2024

Episode 2484 CWSA 05⧸24⧸24

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