Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2490 CWSA 05⧸30⧸24

00:00:00.720 But for now, I'm hoping most of you are here for the simultaneous zip.

00:00:06.940 Oh, there we go. Video everywhere.

00:00:14.180 Welcome to Coffee with Scott Adams, the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:22.400 Aren't you happy you're here? It's going to be fun today.

00:00:24.880 Okay, the news is really serving up delights, and I'm going to give every one of them to you, because you deserve it.

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00:00:45.380 filling with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:47.420 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:53.860 It's called the simultaneous zip. It happens now. Go on.

00:01:03.340 Now everything's better.

00:01:08.500 I saw a video today that I'm not going to try to sell to you as based on a true thing,

00:01:15.180 but there's a fascinating, let's say, conspiracy theory that the Challenger shuttle explosion in 1986 was faked,

00:01:26.000 and that all the astronauts are alive, and they just took new jobs with their same names and same faces.

00:01:33.940 Now, I'm going to say that that seems pretty unlikely to me.

00:01:40.580 So I wouldn't ask you to believe it, but I love the fact that reality has become so unclear that this is in the mix.

00:01:52.980 I mean, it's not going to get a lot of attention, but the fact that it happened at all is just so crazy,

00:01:59.380 because there's so little difference between fiction and reality now in our constructed reality that this got a little attention.

00:02:10.920 Anyway, there's a shocking survey that nearly half of Gen Z people live double lives online,

00:02:18.820 meaning that they have an online personality that is different from their regular personality.

00:02:25.460 wouldn't that apply to everyone?

00:02:32.440 Does anybody have their same personality online as they do in person?

00:02:39.740 I don't.

00:02:42.240 Yeah, there's no way you could have the same personality online.

00:02:47.080 I feel like the online experience changes who you are.

00:02:50.580 We change our personality for every situation.

00:02:53.140 Here's me talking to a CEO.

00:02:57.280 Hey, Bob, how's your investments in the market?

00:03:01.720 Here's me talking to a child.

00:03:04.040 Hey, how's it going?

00:03:05.560 Oh, that's a nice toy.

00:03:07.840 You change your personality completely for every situation.

00:03:12.760 Why wouldn't you change it for online?

00:03:14.740 Of course you do.

00:03:15.620 I do.

00:03:17.900 I'm a little more strident online than I am in person.

00:03:21.000 I think people expect me to be way more intense when they meet me in person.

00:03:27.240 And they think, oh, you're not really swearing and screaming nearly as much as I thought you would.

00:03:32.760 I don't really do that in person.

00:03:36.680 There's something about this experience that brings that out.

00:03:39.640 I mean, I'm not faking it.

00:03:41.840 When I do it online, you know, I get worked up.

00:03:44.760 I'm actually worked up.

00:03:45.920 But it just doesn't happen in person.

00:03:50.020 All right.

00:03:52.660 The White House is doing something good.

00:03:55.020 But I think it has more to do with the Department of Energy.

00:03:58.140 But on Wednesday, they're going to do a bunch of things that are sort of semi-unspecified to make it easier to build nuclear power plants in the United States.

00:04:06.880 Now, I worry that the suite of things they're allegedly doing to make it easier to build power plants might be a suite of regulations and committees that would make it much harder to build power plants.

00:04:20.920 However, at least we can see the intention is pointing in the right direction.

00:04:26.200 How many of you were with me in the early days when I was spending untold hours trying to convince people that nuclear energy is actually the green energy of the future?

00:04:38.940 And we're there now.

00:04:40.540 We're there.

00:04:41.300 There's no disagreement anywhere, really.

00:04:44.680 I think all disagreement on nuclear just went away.

00:04:48.260 And it went away because of better information.

00:04:52.020 I don't know that I've ever seen it work before.

00:04:54.360 Have you?

00:04:54.680 When was the last time there was a gigantic, incorrect idea?

00:05:01.920 In this case, the safety of nuclear and how necessary it is.

00:05:06.640 Have you ever seen something this big get changed?

00:05:11.720 I'm not taking credit for it or anything.

00:05:13.500 I'm just saying I was a small part of a very big change.

00:05:17.580 And I think we should be happy about that.

00:05:19.300 Anyway.

00:05:21.800 Rasmussen did a poll on what people think of Zelensky.

00:05:24.680 I'll just ask you one question from this.

00:05:29.520 What percentage of the public do you think roughly have, quote, a very favorable impression of the Ukrainian president?

00:05:37.560 These would be likely voters, I believe.

00:05:40.060 What percent do you think have a very favorable impression of Zelensky?

00:05:45.240 Let's see how many.

00:05:48.800 Oh, wow.

00:05:49.360 Good guesses.

00:05:50.200 You're right on.

00:05:51.400 You.

00:05:51.680 Oh, you're so good.

00:05:54.200 You're so good.

00:05:54.980 The answer is 24.

00:05:57.400 But I will accept 25.

00:06:00.180 Yeah, I will accept 25.

00:06:02.300 So good.

00:06:04.160 All right.

00:06:04.620 I have a hard time believing that we're backing that guy.

00:06:10.760 I feel like there are a lot of leaders who are literally just on cocaine or Adderall or something.

00:06:21.160 We're just all about them because they act so interesting when they're all hyped up.

00:06:25.660 But anyway, I won't name any names, but there might be a few other world leaders who've got a little extra in them, if you know what I mean.

00:06:32.700 A little bit extra.

00:06:35.140 All right.

00:06:36.100 The appeals court, the U.S. appeals court is going to hear TikTok's challenge.

00:06:40.520 They're going to challenge the ban, which is really a divestment.

00:06:43.460 And if I had to guess, I feel like TikTok is going to succeed, meaning that they will block the ban.

00:06:55.680 Because here's what TikTok needs to do.

00:06:58.220 I hate to give them legal strategy, but I will anyway.

00:07:03.560 Here's what TikTok needs to do to not make the ban go into effect.

00:07:08.500 They have to stall until the war in Israel is over.

00:07:12.640 That's it.

00:07:14.280 Because the ban is largely driven by the fact that it was so anti-Semitic.

00:07:19.440 And that, you know, there was a push to ban it anyway, but it wasn't anywhere near the finish line.

00:07:26.620 It didn't look like it was going to be.

00:07:28.260 So it was the Israel situation in Gaza that caused it immediately to flip enough votes that the ban was approved by Congress and signed by the president.

00:07:40.540 But I think I think I think that one issue was so important that if they just wear it out and just let Israel do what it needs to do and get back to some kind of business as usual in a year or so. 0.97

00:07:55.240 That's probably all they need because because the energy will go away and people say, yeah, it does seem a little more like a free speech thing.

00:08:04.640 And when you're in the war, like you're in a hot war and TikTok's not on your side, that's the way you feel about it.

00:08:12.960 Then you're going to act, you know, in a war like way.

00:08:16.900 You're going to do things you wouldn't do in a non-war situation. 0.66

00:08:19.640 So when the war is over, I'm not so sure the ban is going to pass all the legal challenges or.

00:08:27.420 Yeah, I think it might.

00:08:28.460 I think TikTok might win in the long run.

00:08:33.040 All right.

00:08:36.980 So there was a Mexican mayor who got assassinated in the middle of a crowd while he was campaigning.

00:08:45.060 And, you know, when you usually see the you've seen videos of other politicians being assassinated and you know how it's always you don't really see the moment it happened.

00:08:59.000 It's usually like, oh, there's a bustling in the crowd.

00:09:03.320 In this one, the guy is being filmed up close and you see the gun go up to the back of his head.

00:09:11.380 And you hear the, you hear the shot.

00:09:15.560 Now, the film didn't show the actual moment of, you know, the person being hit, you know, because everything went crazy at that point.

00:09:24.480 But the fact that that could happen at all is just crazy.

00:09:29.760 Colin Rugg was reporting this on X.

00:09:32.740 And here, I'd like to make a comparison and a prediction.

00:09:37.520 So if you think of Mexico in 2024, you think, oh, my God, the cartels are in charge and the government's sort of a puppet and, you know, people being murdered in the streets and all kinds of illegality.

00:09:54.120 Here's my question to you.

00:09:56.560 Does it look to you like early United States?

00:10:00.360 Because it looks that way to me.

00:10:01.860 Do you remember the robber barons?

00:10:06.220 You know, the railroad people and the bankers and everything.

00:10:11.760 Correct me if I'm wrong.

00:10:13.800 But isn't the history of the early United States huge criminal enterprises that happened to also want the country to succeed?

00:10:22.280 So, like, the mafia cleans up its own neighborhood.

00:10:26.160 I feel like these gigantic criminal entities wanted the country to be a country so they could, you know, live in it and do what they do.

00:10:34.860 So I have a very counterintuitive prediction about Mexico.

00:10:40.960 I think the cartels will want to transform into legitimate businesses.

00:10:45.980 I think they're going to do a Las Vegas.

00:10:50.140 You know, Las Vegas started out as a like a mafia town.

00:10:54.240 But they could make more money just running a legitimate operation.

00:10:59.260 So over time, it's in their interest and the interest of their offspring to somehow figure out how to get that dirty money into a clean enterprise and just run a successful business.

00:11:10.360 So it could get to the point where being drug mules and drug runners is really profitable, but it's not what you want to be in forever and you know your kids will someday be slayed by the, you know, the competitors.

00:11:24.620 So I feel like there's like a natural evolution where the criminals have to be so powerful that they're effectively the government and then once they become the government, it may always be a criminal enterprise, but they'll try to transform it into a less murderous one.

00:11:41.080 Because if the murder goes down, the Mexicans are going to say, I don't know, you know, the lights are on. 0.99

00:11:49.740 Somebody's building roads.

00:11:52.920 It's going to look like everything's working. 0.92

00:11:55.820 So I feel like the best case scenario is that the cartels get full control and then they try to transform into something legitimate because the alternative would be the United States goes in with the army and just kills them all.

00:12:11.460 So it feels like that's the obvious way this goes is that Mexico will maybe get worse, but then the people in power who are the criminals are going to want to, going to want to launder their crime into something more legitimate.

00:12:27.280 That's the most optimistic thing you'll ever hear about Mexico, but it might get worse first. 0.99

00:12:32.100 There's a rumor that Trump has been talking to Musk about having some role in the administration.

00:12:40.660 There's news that they may have met once at some billionaire's house.

00:12:43.920 And then the Wall Street Journal is reporting, journal is reporting, that Musk and the billionaire whose name is Nelson Peltz and Musk, they all met.

00:12:58.280 So it was Peltz's house and allegedly Musk and Trump met there.

00:13:04.940 And here's the fun part.

00:13:07.420 Don't know what this means yet, but listen to how fun this is.

00:13:12.160 Are you ready for this?

00:13:13.020 Musk and fellow billionaire Nelson Peltz, quote, have told acquaintances they're working on a data-driven project to ensure votes are fairly counted.

00:13:26.280 And they have also, quote, briefed to Trump on a plan they have developed to invest in a data-driven project to prevent voter fraud.

00:13:41.800 So how much do you love that?

00:13:46.220 I'm trying to imagine what that would look like, because it could take lots of forms.

00:13:50.360 I'll tell you an idea I had, just in case they're still mulling over ideas.

00:13:58.300 Here's what I'd love to see.

00:14:00.740 I would love to see parallel voting systems.

00:14:06.660 Literally two legitimate voting systems.

00:14:10.800 And optionally, you wouldn't have to.

00:14:13.420 You could vote in both.

00:14:16.600 You see where I'm going yet?

00:14:18.080 So optionally, you don't have to.

00:14:21.520 You can vote in one.

00:14:23.040 And maybe one is the only one that they count.

00:14:25.640 So there's one official one.

00:14:27.280 But there's also a shadow one.

00:14:30.080 And you can go in there and also vote.

00:14:32.680 Now, when everything's done, they'll look at the votes of just the people who chose to vote in the shadow election, which would be counted and tabulated in an entirely different process.

00:14:44.000 Perhaps it's just an app.

00:14:45.800 It could be as simple as having an app.

00:14:48.080 Where you go in and vote.

00:14:50.020 And then as soon as you're done, or even before, you go to your app and you just vote again.

00:14:54.400 Then later, they survey just the people who voted on the app, and they find out if there's any huge difference in the second.

00:15:07.020 Now, this doesn't quite work.

00:15:08.180 So as I'm thinking through it, it doesn't quite work.

00:15:11.160 But the general concept would be to have some way that people can check their own vote.

00:15:17.640 The ultimate responsibility is that you can check that your own vote got to the end.

00:15:22.000 But that doesn't solve the problem of the fake votes, does it?

00:15:27.880 Which is a bigger problem.

00:15:30.020 Yeah.

00:15:30.200 I think the counting the votes is less of a problem than the fact that there are extra votes that got into the system they shouldn't have.

00:15:36.060 So I'd love to know what they have in mind.

00:15:39.220 I don't have a better idea.

00:15:41.060 But if the smartest person in the world who seems to be able to get things done as well, you know, Musk, if he's got an idea, I'd sure like to hear it.

00:15:52.080 But there isn't much I would be more curious about than how would you do this?

00:15:59.400 You know, maybe some kind of blockchain situation.

00:16:03.440 I don't know.

00:16:07.900 Apparently, there's a poll coming out now that says that Trump and Biden are virtually tied in Virginia.

00:16:13.800 That's a big deal, apparently, because Democrats have won Virginia since 2004 or something.

00:16:24.860 So Virginia used to be more of a toss-up and at one point was a Republican state.

00:16:29.980 But now it's not.

00:16:31.580 And the fact that Trump is tied with Biden in what had been a reliably blue state lately is a pretty big deal.

00:16:39.300 But here's the part that scares me the most.

00:16:44.700 All right.

00:16:44.840 The New York Times, there's this guy, Nate Cohn, who tells us that the race is still close.

00:16:52.380 The race is still close.

00:16:54.780 Now, if you watch Fox News and right-leaning things and you follow right-leaning people, would you agree with that characterization that the election is still close?

00:17:04.740 Because if you're like me, you're fed a continuous diet of it's not close.

00:17:12.220 Trump's way ahead.

00:17:13.160 It's not close.

00:17:14.880 But then why would, you know, a prominent voice in the New York Times, he's one of their regulars.

00:17:20.740 I mean, he works there, I think.

00:17:23.480 Why would he say the race is still close?

00:17:25.480 Is this what it looks like?

00:17:31.060 Because what it looks like is preparation to steal the election.

00:17:35.740 It looks like they need to have some record that says that somebody was saying before the election that it was close.

00:17:45.500 So then when it is close and Biden wins, they can say, well, it's not a surprise.

00:17:50.520 We told you it was close the whole time.

00:17:53.340 Doesn't it feel like an op?

00:17:55.780 I mean, I think everything's like priming in an op now.

00:17:58.640 I just don't believe anything's real.

00:18:00.800 So I'm real worried about this.

00:18:03.000 But the other possibility, which I would like to alert you to, is that you and I, because I think you're in the same boat as me in this, have been brainwashed into thinking it's not close.

00:18:15.380 What if it is close?

00:18:17.140 Because I can't tell.

00:18:18.160 I mean, I can't tell just because there's some polls.

00:18:22.020 I mean, who knows?

00:18:24.800 But it's a very interesting question that the media could be reporting that it's close at the same time other media is saying it doesn't look close anymore.

00:18:33.940 Those are two completely different worlds.

00:18:37.700 I don't know if that's just because they're reading the data differently.

00:18:41.260 It feels like it's something deeper.

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00:19:45.280 Well, I think I'm the only one saying this, but I can't get past it.

00:19:52.620 There are some people in government who look like, you know, they're honest people, a few of them.

00:19:59.480 There's some people who look like they're liars, but, you know, they're perfectly in control of their faculties.

00:20:04.560 And, you know, they're not crazy. 0.98

00:20:05.740 They're just liars. 0.84

00:20:06.960 They're just political team players, you know, that sort of thing. 0.97

00:20:10.160 And then there are other people who come off as demons to me.

00:20:15.000 They have faces that don't, there's just something wrong with it.

00:20:18.120 Like, it looks like they're possessed.

00:20:20.680 And one of them is, you know, Adam Schiff, the other is Jamie Raskin, and then Biden himself.

00:20:26.000 And I am so curious about what is up with Biden's two faces.

00:20:31.620 You've all noticed he has two completely different faces, right?

00:20:35.700 He has the empty vessel face that looks like Hillary Clinton looking at a balloon drop.

00:20:41.380 It's like his mouth forms an O, and his eyes are wide open, and it looks like there's nobody home at all.

00:20:50.380 That's the face when he's done with his speech, and he's, he's, right?

00:20:55.940 And then there's the one he was displaying when he was giving a speech at some black college or something. 0.88

00:21:02.000 And, and he does the demon face. 1.00

00:21:05.760 I call it a demon face, but you could also call it looks exactly like your cat's asshole all puckered up. 0.99

00:21:13.400 Like his eyes are closed, and he's all flinty and, you know, looking, looking so mean the whole time. 0.99

00:21:21.620 And he can't get out of that face.

00:21:23.660 Once he gets in that face, he's stuck there. 0.80

00:21:25.740 And I swear to God, I just see a demon.

00:21:28.720 Is anybody else seeing it?

00:21:30.100 I'm not saying there's any demons.

00:21:31.640 I don't believe in demons, just to be clear.

00:21:34.260 I do not believe there are demons running free on the earth.

00:21:38.120 I'm just saying that I can't get past the fact that when I see his face, it just screams demon.

00:21:44.860 It doesn't look human.

00:21:46.760 And the same thing with Raskin and Schiff.

00:21:50.900 There's something happening there that's not happening with the other Democrats. 0.73

00:21:55.040 That's, you know, you didn't say, you've never heard me say, oh, Hillary Clinton has a demon face. 1.00

00:22:02.040 Because she doesn't. 0.99

00:22:03.620 She just looks like an ordinary liar. 0.93

00:22:05.460 So I don't know what's up with that. 1.00

00:22:09.900 I've been trying not to follow the stupid story about Judge Alito, Supreme Court Justice, and his upside down flag that his wife flew at their beach house or something. 0.98

00:22:22.180 Because I thought, whatever this story is, it couldn't possibly be interesting or important. 0.88

00:22:28.680 But then it goes all the way to Jamie Raskin insisting that Justice Alito could be forced to recuse himself from the January 6 issues. 0.87

00:22:45.480 Oh, my God, they're so corrupt. 0.98

00:22:48.700 They are so, so corrupt, the Democrats and this demon faced Raskin guy. 1.00

00:22:56.420 The level of corruption is so obvious. 0.99

00:22:59.500 It's so in your face.

00:23:01.520 Now, do I think that Alito or his wife should be flying the flag that had some political dimension to it?

00:23:08.180 Yeah. 1.00

00:23:09.640 Don't give a fuck. 1.00

00:23:11.560 It was his wife. 1.00

00:23:12.720 If there's one standard we should accept, it's that if your spouse does something and you're in public office, you should get a pass.

00:23:23.400 Now, people are saying, but, but, but, he had to know about it.

00:23:27.640 I don't care.

00:23:29.760 If his wife decided to do it, if his wife hung it up, it's just a married thing. 1.00

00:23:37.140 But why do we have to drag him into it at all?

00:23:39.900 Yeah, maybe he knew about it.

00:23:41.160 So, why does that matter?

00:23:45.840 We can't kick him out of office because his wife has an opinion. 0.96

00:23:49.920 That doesn't work.

00:23:52.640 All right.

00:23:53.220 But, apparently, Alito has said he is not going to recuse himself from anything, and Trump has congratulated him for having the intelligence, courage, and guts.

00:24:05.540 And I would like to echo that and congratulate Alito for not recusing himself because it's the last bastion of hope, the Supreme Court.

00:24:19.120 So, Glenn Greenwald has this take.

00:24:24.640 He says, the now amply documented lies fed to the public about COVID have, for dumb reasons, turned into a liberal versus conservative culture.

00:24:33.920 Now, isn't that weird that we watch every little issue turn into a political issue?

00:24:41.560 When I can't imagine anything that would be less political than the pandemic.

00:24:46.620 Because we got similar behavior on the left and the right.

00:24:52.240 You know, there were people on the left and the right promoting vaccines, you know, masks and stuff.

00:24:58.180 I mean, granted, the right was more loud about resisting and stuff, or a lot more loud.

00:25:04.120 But, I don't think they were resisting for political reasons, were they?

00:25:10.840 The resistors are just people who didn't trust the government, and they got this one right.

00:25:16.500 How often are you going to be right if you just guess that the government is lying this next time?

00:25:22.080 You have a pretty good track record, right?

00:25:24.820 If you just said, whatever the next thing is, I don't even know what it is.

00:25:28.260 Whatever the next thing is the government tells you, I predict will be a total lie.

00:25:32.380 You're going to be pretty accurate.

00:25:35.680 You'll look like a, you know, it's a pretty good guess.

00:25:40.060 So, a lot of people were just on that theme and got this one completely right.

00:25:46.560 It saved their life in some cases.

00:25:50.320 Maybe it worked the other way in some cases.

00:25:52.840 But the thing that surprised me the most about Glenn Greenwald's statement is the first part.

00:26:00.440 The now amply documented lies fed to the public.

00:26:05.740 You know, you've been watching all the stuff trickle out.

00:26:09.520 You know, this email, that email, this whistleblower, that.

00:26:12.980 But by the time Glenn Greenwald, who I would trust to not make statements without what he calls ample documentation, 0.98

00:26:21.440 the fact that he could just casually state that the whole thing was a fucking fraud, 0.97

00:26:28.040 is just mind-boggling. 0.99

00:26:31.260 And I think their biggest problem is that we're so mind-boggled by so many bad behaviors

00:26:37.380 that we don't know how to deal with any of them.

00:26:40.500 There's just too much.

00:26:41.500 Like, you could spend your whole life just trying to fix this one thing.

00:26:47.120 But there are ten more.

00:26:48.880 And they're all happening at the same time.

00:26:51.140 So, we're just overwhelmed with details and stuff.

00:26:57.480 All right.

00:26:59.240 Charlemagne, the god, has a new book out.

00:27:01.800 So, he's hitting the circuit.

00:27:04.320 And I got to give him credit.

00:27:05.920 I know he's selling a book.

00:27:09.100 So, you know, we're all chasing money.

00:27:11.880 But still, you have lots of flexibility within that process.

00:27:17.060 And he's going right into the belly of the beast.

00:27:20.900 He was on, you know, Greg Gutfeld's show.

00:27:25.280 And now he was on Fox and Friends.

00:27:28.820 And I just have to tell you what he said.

00:27:34.460 So, I'm just going to read it.

00:27:36.200 Just quote him.

00:27:37.340 So, Charlemagne, the god. 0.62

00:27:40.520 If you're not familiar with his name, he's black.

00:27:44.200 Would you say podcaster or radio hoster?

00:27:46.720 Both.

00:27:47.760 I think both is the right answer.

00:27:49.460 But prominent voice in the black community.

00:27:52.180 Anyway, he says he was mad at MSNBC for claiming he spread MAGA views.

00:27:59.920 He said, people got mad at me back when I was talking about Governor Greg Abbott and DeSantis in Florida.

00:28:06.460 Saying, hey, man, it's inhumane and cruel what they're doing to the migrants.

00:28:10.780 But it's actually kind of genius, right?

00:28:12.880 Because if you're saying that you're a sanctuary city and you're saying, welcome, welcome, we'll take them, we'll take them, okay.

00:28:20.300 So, now that they sent them there, they're like, send them back.

00:28:23.560 We don't have enough room for them.

00:28:25.980 He says, what it makes is it seems like the people is Republicans were always right on that issue.

00:28:32.140 And the Democrats were always wrong.

00:28:35.820 And then he clarifies.

00:28:37.100 He says, I'm personally against red states sending illegals to blue states.

00:28:40.780 Because he thought that they needed to be deported.

00:28:45.920 So, basically, he was on Trump's side on immigration, that they needed to be deported, not sent to other states.

00:28:52.360 But he says, it looks like a blessing in disguise.

00:28:55.280 Because it woke up many liberals to just how bad the Biden administration open border policies are.

00:29:03.800 That's incredible.

00:29:06.160 That's incredible.

00:29:08.460 I'm so impressed.

00:29:10.780 And, you know, again, he's selling the book.

00:29:13.940 But he has lots of choices about how to do it.

00:29:16.720 And I don't think he's selling a lot of books to his base by going on Fox News and saying, well, it turns out the Republicans were totally right on this immigration thing.

00:29:27.120 You know, like the biggest issue in the country.

00:29:29.100 And that he was willing to go into the, you know, the, I don't want to say the enemy camp, because they're not enemies at all.

00:29:37.700 But he was willing to go where he knew it was the most dangerous for free speech.

00:29:44.100 Now, also selling a book.

00:29:46.760 Like I say, he had options on how to do that.

00:29:49.160 He didn't have to do it this one way.

00:29:50.560 So, every time this happens, I know I get in trouble.

00:29:55.340 You know, somebody's going to say, Scott, stop giving oxygen to Democrats, just because they agree with this one obvious thing.

00:30:03.600 To which I say, no, I'm not going to stop doing that.

00:30:06.420 I'm going to give credit to anybody who's a free speech person who's willing to look at the whole field.

00:30:11.400 That's how I'm going to play this.

00:30:14.520 If the next thing he says I don't like, I'll say, I'll tell you I don't like it.

00:30:18.580 But this was awesome.

00:30:20.380 And this, this is what we need more of.

00:30:22.980 This is actual leadership.

00:30:25.120 I would call this actual serious leadership.

00:30:31.480 And I've said for a long time that the black American community is lacking good leaders.

00:30:37.580 They're leaders, but, you know, if you're worshiping George Floyd and listening to the people on MSNBC, you're not really following your best, most capable people.

00:30:51.560 You know, if you're, if you're listening to King Randall, you're doing well.

00:30:55.300 And if you listen to Charlemagne on this topic, well, that's some real leadership.

00:31:02.380 All right.

00:31:03.220 CNN is so close to the truth now.

00:31:07.580 Harry, this is Harry Enten, their pollster.

00:31:11.340 He's doing a good job of just laying out the facts without the spin.

00:31:16.340 But he's not quite there yet.

00:31:19.980 Listen to how close he gets.

00:31:23.020 This is CNN in general, though.

00:31:25.280 He's talking about how Trump's support among black voters doubled up to 21 percent.

00:31:31.560 And that it's especially a big difference for black voters under 50.

00:31:37.520 So for the black voters under 50, Trump has 27 percent support.

00:31:42.100 And if that held, Trump would be setting records for black support that we haven't seen since, you know, a few decades, two decades, I think.

00:31:55.740 Now, is that an accurate statement of what's happening?

00:32:00.600 That black support is doubling and Trump's doing great with black support. 0.91

00:32:06.360 And it's especially obvious among the young black voters.

00:32:10.200 What's missing?

00:32:12.280 There's something missing there, isn't there?

00:32:14.160 What's missing?

00:32:19.880 It's men.

00:32:21.800 It's men.

00:32:23.380 It's the men who are moving to Trump.

00:32:26.780 Do you know why they can't say that?

00:32:29.380 Do you think they don't know?

00:32:30.780 Do you think that the CNN pollster is unaware that men are making the massive move among black Americans?

00:32:40.060 Of course they know it.

00:32:43.620 What would be a reason that they wouldn't mention it?

00:32:46.640 Now, I'm not I'm not going to say that this is specifically Harry Enten's issue because he's on a network where presumably everybody gets direction about what they can and cannot do.

00:32:57.820 Why?

00:32:58.060 Why would why is there nobody even on the Democrat side?

00:33:02.360 Because, you know, you've seen Carville.

00:33:04.620 You've seen people say, hey, we're losing black support.

00:33:07.560 We need to fix our messaging.

00:33:10.060 So they talk about it.

00:33:12.280 I mean, it's a it's an open topic.

00:33:14.820 Why don't they say men?

00:33:17.680 I'll tell you why.

00:33:19.760 If it's not already obvious to you, the minute they say men, the whole Democratic Party will collapse.

00:33:27.500 As soon as that becomes a narrative, the entire Democratic Party will collapse.

00:33:32.560 It's it's teetering on the edge right now.

00:33:34.640 The only thing that's keeping all the men from leaving.

00:33:40.020 Is they haven't seen enough leaders leave yet.

00:33:44.220 But they will because everything's moving in the same direction and eventually it will be safe.

00:33:50.660 So the men who go first are the ones who are the bravest.

00:33:54.600 They're just like, OK, I'm done with this.

00:33:56.760 But if you support Trump, bad things will happen to you.

00:34:01.940 Yup.

00:34:05.220 Is there anything else?

00:34:08.060 So you've got to get men to the point where they will take physical danger and accept it with a shrug.

00:34:16.100 And I think black men in America, many of them have reached that point. 0.93

00:34:23.280 If you can't be a black man in America and support Trump, think of the bad things will happen to you. 0.98

00:34:29.940 Yup. 0.99

00:34:31.100 What's your point?

00:34:33.340 So that's what's happening.

00:34:36.000 Men are done.

00:34:38.160 Men are fed up.

00:34:39.420 And men are going to destroy the Democrat Party by gutting it and leaving it.

00:34:45.960 And it will be nothing but a worn out shell.

00:34:50.120 And there's a good chance that will happen before Election Day.

00:34:56.120 You're going to see the trickle.

00:34:58.260 Well, it's more than a trickle now.

00:34:59.640 It's more of a more of a full stream of men leaving.

00:35:03.280 That full stream is going to break the whole dike. 0.95

00:35:06.260 Right.

00:35:07.140 The dike's about to break.

00:35:08.660 And it's going to happen quickly.

00:35:10.880 So you've heard it said before that things go slowly until they go fast.

00:35:14.760 We're still in the slowly version.

00:35:17.420 Right.

00:35:17.860 But it's going to go fast.

00:35:19.480 And it could happen before the Election Day.

00:35:23.160 I think Trump is only a few words away from bringing that to 40%.

00:35:28.640 I'll put a target on it.

00:35:31.880 If Trump says the right things, which he has not done, by the way, he has not done.

00:35:36.340 And therefore, we do not predict that he will.

00:35:39.620 But if he says the right things, he's going to get 40% of the black vote. 0.98

00:35:46.440 He's not there yet.

00:35:47.900 He hasn't said the right things.

00:35:49.180 All right.

00:35:54.140 Even Nate Silver used to work for the New York Times.

00:35:57.740 I always assumed he leaned a little bit left.

00:36:00.760 Maybe he does.

00:36:01.840 But I love the fact that I can't tell.

00:36:04.220 Because if you were just looking at his posts, they just seem like smart opinions based on data and some conjecture.

00:36:12.880 You really can't suss out his political leanings by his posts.

00:36:16.440 And I love that.

00:36:17.720 I love any public figure who could operate in a political domain that you can't tell their party affiliation.

00:36:28.500 That's pretty, that's laudable.

00:36:30.760 Anyway, he says, I'm sorry, but I'm going to come at this one more time.

00:36:37.440 Democrats spend every available moment complaining that the media doesn't cover Trump's misdeeds enough.

00:36:43.860 And now there's an actual criminal trial.

00:36:46.540 And the Biden campaign is complaining that he's being covered too much.

00:36:50.020 So, apparently there are two ways to lose to Trump.

00:36:56.580 You don't cover him enough.

00:36:59.760 Or you cover him enough.

00:37:03.020 Two ways to lose, no way to win.

00:37:06.920 Does it remind you of the trial itself?

00:37:10.380 What happens if Trump is found completely innocent and acquitted?

00:37:16.160 His numbers will go up because it will show you that, you know, the trial was BS.

00:37:21.960 What happens if it's a hung jury?

00:37:25.080 His numbers will go up because he didn't get convicted.

00:37:28.820 And everybody sees it's lawfare.

00:37:31.080 What happens if he's convicted?

00:37:34.380 His numbers will go up.

00:37:36.380 The higher courts will overturn it.

00:37:38.740 He won't go to jail because the nature of the offense, you know, even though the highest level is bad,

00:37:45.160 if you don't have a criminal record, you pretty much are going to be free.

00:37:50.820 You'll just have to report in or something.

00:37:53.880 So, Trump has managed to get himself in a situation where every path has him winning.

00:38:01.640 And the Democrats created that.

00:38:03.540 He didn't create that.

00:38:05.260 There was no part of Trump who said, 1.00

00:38:07.140 hey, you know what would be good for me is if you do some stupid lawfare trials. 1.00

00:38:11.380 Let's do lots of them all over the country. 1.00

00:38:12.900 He didn't say that.

00:38:13.620 The Democrat plan, executed perfectly, as you see,

00:38:20.400 has created the situation where Trump can win in every path.

00:38:24.840 He didn't create that.

00:38:26.320 They did.

00:38:27.080 If he had just been out there talking, who knows what would have happened.

00:38:31.320 He might have said something else they could take out of context.

00:38:33.560 But they found the only way they can guarantee his election, unless the election is rigged.

00:38:40.720 So, Trump issued a truth today, in which he was quoting Greg Guffield.

00:38:52.720 And so, in other words, if he quoted Greg, it means he agrees with the statement.

00:38:59.260 So, let me read the statement, see if you agree to.

00:39:03.180 So, this is from Greg Guffield.

00:39:04.440 No one knows what the crime is, but it's the trial.

00:39:09.220 That is the crime.

00:39:10.660 What is interesting about this is it paints Trump in an incredibly appealing way.

00:39:15.140 He's up against the wall.

00:39:16.820 Meanwhile, Joe Biden needs a wall to stand up on.

00:39:19.580 And this guy, he's best when he's angry and he's focused and he's direct, meaning Trump.

00:39:25.280 When you compare the way he is and that kind of energy to what is in the White House now, it's persuasive.

00:39:32.380 I mean, you look at this guy and go, I get it.

00:39:35.280 That guy's pissed off and he's clear.

00:39:37.780 Meanwhile, this guy, meaning Biden, speaks in these amorphous fantasies about, quote, a threat to democracy.

00:39:48.760 And then he says he can't solve anything.

00:39:51.700 He doesn't know what's going on.

00:39:53.360 And this guy is, I mean, well, he's got this guy a few times.

00:39:57.040 So, when he's talking about fighting for his life, that's Trump.

00:40:00.780 And, I mean, he's a pretty stark choice for Americans.

00:40:03.380 All right.

00:40:03.900 So, here's the part I wanted to call out.

00:40:06.920 The key part of that is saying that Biden speaks in these amorphous fantasies about a threat to democracy.

00:40:16.880 Trump spotted that and called it out.

00:40:21.580 Oh, he's so close.

00:40:23.360 He's so close.

00:40:27.300 Mock and meme.

00:40:29.740 Mock and meme.

00:40:31.500 I want to see Trump mocking the idea that he's going to steal your democracy and you'll never get to vote again.

00:40:38.480 I want to see him laughing about it in an interview or a rally.

00:40:43.580 I want him to treat it the way it should be treated as the election is over because they've capitulated on policies and competence.

00:40:54.120 Democrats have conceded policy and competence because they don't really talk about those things anymore.

00:41:09.500 They only talk about magical things like what if Trump finds a magic lamp on the beach and rubs it and the genie makes him a dictator for life?

00:41:21.680 Because unless it comes from a genie, how in the world is this one guy supposed to take over the country with his private army that doesn't exist?

00:41:30.640 With his base of MAGA supporters who would have none of that?

00:41:34.280 There's no MAGA supporters who are going to say, you know what?

00:41:38.220 Let's get rid of our constitution and try dictatorship. 0.99

00:41:42.140 The fact that they're even selling this to their own idiot base, that Republicans don't like the constitution and what they really want is a dictator. 1.00

00:41:51.360 Have you met a fucking Republican even once in your whole life? 1.00

00:41:55.020 No Republican is going to put up with a dictator, even if it's their guy. 1.00

00:42:00.840 None.

00:42:02.280 I don't think you could find one.

00:42:04.300 If you search the whole country, find one Republican who genuinely thinks we should turn into a Trump dictatorship.

00:42:12.640 I'm pretty sure that's zero.

00:42:15.040 Right.

00:42:15.440 And yet they're selling that to their base like it's real.

00:42:20.480 All right.

00:42:21.040 Well, at least Trump has caught the scent.

00:42:23.560 He reads the room better than anybody.

00:42:25.840 In my mind, Trump is the most natural, most gifted politician of our time.

00:42:32.120 Bill Clinton was amazing as a politician.

00:42:35.780 I think Trump's got him.

00:42:37.920 I think he's the best. 0.99

00:42:39.740 He's the goat. 0.97

00:42:42.200 All right.

00:42:42.540 Here's the Democrat imaginary issues update.

00:42:46.540 So Biden said that whatever gathering, I think it was a black college.

00:42:50.720 He said, was it a church or a college?

00:42:53.540 I can't remember.

00:42:54.520 But it was a gathering of a black audience and Biden was talking to him.

00:42:59.940 And he said, they're trying to erase black history.

00:43:06.600 Who?

00:43:09.500 What?

00:43:10.660 Who's trying to erase black history?

00:43:12.360 You talk about DeSantis, you know, not wanting CRT in the schools or something.

00:43:18.900 This is not a real thing.

00:43:20.820 There's not a single Republican in the world who thinks it's a good idea to get rid of black history. 1.00

00:43:26.640 There might be something about emphasis and context and, you know, making sure all the bases are touched and stuff like that.

00:43:33.160 There's nobody who wants to get rid of black history. 0.99

00:43:36.200 It's not a thing.

00:43:37.520 It's totally imaginary.

00:43:38.680 So add that imaginary thing.

00:43:41.880 They're trying to erase black history to he's stealing my democracy and there will never be another election. 0.99

00:43:47.980 That's what Punchy De Niro says.

00:43:50.500 There'll never be another election.

00:43:53.000 Now.

00:43:54.340 At the same time, Biden starts telling the audience.

00:43:58.940 He says diversity, equality and inclusion are literally the core strengths of America.

00:44:04.320 That's why I'm proud to have the most diverse administration in history.

00:44:08.460 It starts at the top with the vice president.

00:44:13.600 I don't know how they heard that.

00:44:16.480 But the way I heard it was, I'm hiring based on race.

00:44:21.880 Did you hear it differently? 0.70

00:44:22.980 I mean, to me, it looks like he was just saying, I'm a giant racist and I'm going to get worse.

00:44:32.260 Because I'm hiring based on race.

00:44:36.260 And we observe that he has a very diverse group.

00:44:39.120 His campaign staff, the top two people, I believe, unless it's changed recently, the top two people would be

00:44:46.020 a Hispanic woman at the top and a black man, I think, is number two. 0.98

00:44:53.860 Now, did they scour all the talent in the world and decided that those two were the ones?

00:45:00.300 Or do you think there's any possibility that his wanting to make sure that our core strengths of diversity, equality and inclusion

00:45:07.640 drove him to favor people based on their color and gender and background?

00:45:16.020 Hmm, I don't know.

00:45:19.700 But to me, it looked pretty racist.

00:45:22.760 You ready for the punchline at this all?

00:45:25.060 I saved the theme for the end.

00:45:27.940 All right.

00:45:29.040 This is kind of delicious.

00:45:31.140 You ready for this?

00:45:32.580 Turn on your pattern recognition.

00:45:35.600 Pattern recognition on.

00:45:38.380 I'm going to tie a few stories together. 1.00

00:45:40.160 You remember James Carville said that the messaging is basically stupid and whoever's running the campaign must be idiots. 1.00

00:45:51.700 I'm paraphrasing, but he basically said it as clearly as that. 1.00

00:45:55.780 Right?

00:45:56.700 That's James Carville.

00:45:58.780 Just hold it.

00:45:59.400 Hold it in your mind.

00:46:00.340 I mean, I'm going to give you three names.

00:46:02.060 And while I'm talking about them, I want you to hold a picture.

00:46:06.360 And it's going to be like a split screen, but three.

00:46:09.680 It's going to be three people.

00:46:11.040 So I want you to imagine the three of them.

00:46:13.920 Next one is, there's a story that a Democrat advisor type, Doug Schoen.

00:46:19.940 So he's a white guy, if you don't know what he looks like.

00:46:24.100 He's one of me.

00:46:25.660 You know, bald white guys with glasses, I think.

00:46:29.020 You know, we all look like a thumb with glasses, but just imagine him.

00:46:33.120 And he says, the White House is, quote, near total freeze out on outside advice.

00:46:40.060 Outside advice.

00:46:42.320 Has one Democratic strategist concerned that it could be big trouble for the campaign.

00:46:46.860 And on Fox and Friends, Schoen outlined how the administration is trying to, failing to heed warnings, basically listening to the voters.

00:46:59.220 So Doug Schoen says that, quote, outside advice has been blocked.

00:47:04.800 Outside advice.

00:47:06.380 Would outside advice be James Carville?

00:47:11.520 Sounds like they're freezing him out.

00:47:14.020 How about Doug Schoen himself?

00:47:15.460 Well, he's the one who brought it up.

00:47:18.480 So I'm guessing he feels maybe he's a little frozen out.

00:47:22.880 David Axelrod tweeted today.

00:47:26.080 He said, whoever at Biden headquarters directed De Niro's performance Tuesday outside the courthouse where Trump is on trial probably should have left it on the cutting room floor.

00:47:37.720 And they had some more thoughts on the CNN site.

00:47:41.780 David Axelrod.

00:47:42.920 White guy.

00:47:44.920 White guy.

00:47:46.460 Put him on the list.

00:47:48.500 Now just imagine him.

00:47:50.280 James Carville.

00:47:52.140 Doug Schoen.

00:47:54.220 David Axelrod.

00:47:55.920 Have you seen the pattern yet?

00:47:57.460 The pattern is there are three older white guys who are saying pretty directly that they're being ignored in favor of whoever's on the inside.

00:48:09.900 And as we know, the inside is a DEI operation.

00:48:12.760 So even the white guys in the Democratic Party are calling foul, but they can't use the words directly.

00:48:21.220 They have to go at it indirectly.

00:48:23.580 I think you could be taking better advice.

00:48:26.740 It seems to me that some of the outside advice is being ignored.

00:48:31.900 I feel as if you might change your direction if you listen to some people who have been there before.

00:48:39.860 You see how carefully they have to approach it?

00:48:43.900 But here's what you could have predicted about DEI.

00:48:47.700 It will definitely crash the country, and you can see a massive wave of incompetence because of it.

00:48:55.420 Not because of anybody's genes and not because of anybody's culture.

00:48:59.260 I have to say that every time.

00:49:01.080 It's because of math. 0.95

00:49:02.600 If you favor hiring from a group that has the smallest pool of applicants because the pipeline is pathetic, the pipeline from early education to qualified employees is pathetic, it needs to be fixed.

00:49:18.120 But because of that situation, the math of it is that if you use diversity as your primary variable, which Biden says he does, he's saying it pretty directly, you should end up with incompetence everywhere. 0.81

00:49:34.620 So what we're seeing now is the DEI campaign collapsing right in front of you and the white men in the Democratic Party trying to sound the alarm, but they can't.

00:49:46.180 They're in a dream where they're trying to scream, but have you ever been in that dream where you're trying to scream to warn somebody, but your voice doesn't work?

00:49:56.160 You're like, ah, ah, and you can't talk.

00:50:00.760 You've had that dream, right?

00:50:02.220 I think there are a whole bunch of white advisors who are having that dream right now. 0.99

00:50:06.580 If you would just listen to me for like a minute, I might be able to fix this shit, and they're not being listened to. 0.99

00:50:13.420 So I think what you're seeing is a very public example of DEI collapse. 0.98

00:50:21.680 So you can, if you take a good organization and you inject a few people who are not up to speed, you know, not quite as good as the people who are already there, it won't make much difference.

00:50:32.500 You know, you train them, you know, maybe over time they're replaced.

00:50:37.220 But at some point, the ratio of people who have been forced into the system because of the diversity goal should destroy every organization it's part of.

00:50:47.420 So if you want to see what's going to happen to your company, just look at the Biden campaign.

00:50:54.740 Do you wonder what Apple computer will look like in a few years?

00:50:58.860 It'll look like the Biden campaign.

00:51:01.480 Do you wonder what, you know, NVIDIA is going to look like in a few years?

00:51:05.680 It's going to look like this because they will all be forced under the current set of, you know, the current way we operate.

00:51:14.800 They will all be forced to increase their diversity to the point of failure. 0.96

00:51:19.600 And the Biden campaign went first.

00:51:22.420 You know, as the leaders in this type of approach to the world, they were the most aggressive on pursuing DEI.

00:51:31.700 And here's the result.

00:51:33.720 The result is they've destroyed not just their chances of winning, but maybe the party forever. 0.98

00:51:40.700 I think it might be a death blow because if they lose black men, they're just done. 0.99

00:51:46.740 And they're going to lose black men. 0.98

00:51:49.540 They're losing Hispanic men. 0.96

00:51:51.120 They're losing men.

00:51:52.440 If they lose men, they're just done.

00:51:54.620 I'm sorry.

00:51:55.500 That's the end of it.

00:51:56.760 And we're very close.

00:51:58.440 They're right on the edge of losing it all.

00:52:01.700 America First Legal is filing a complaint with the DOJ and the EEOC and the Iowa Civil Rights Group against Tyson Foods for alleged violation of law,

00:52:17.660 including employing illegal aliens over American citizens, racial discrimination, and exploitation of child labor.

00:52:25.480 I guess they tossed in that child labor thing just for good measure. 1.00

00:52:28.920 This is the counter power that I've been waiting for, and these guys are doing great.

00:52:36.900 So America First Legal is probably one of the few things that's going to keep the country together because there needed to be some counter force to the extraordinary levels of discrimination against Americans and against especially adult white men.

00:52:54.400 So are we going to get a trial decision today?

00:52:59.840 Do you think the jury will decide today?

00:53:03.500 I think there's a good chance.

00:53:06.240 But here, let me give you my tea leave reading.

00:53:08.900 I believe there's a holdout, and here's why.

00:53:15.440 And I believe that I have a superior opinion than the professional lawyers who have been trial lawyers for decades and are looking at the same situation.

00:53:24.480 Now, with no trial lawyer experience whatsoever, I'm going to disagree with a number of them I saw.

00:53:30.360 They said that asking for clarifications doesn't really mean anything.

00:53:35.940 You can't use that to predict.

00:53:38.040 I say that would be true in a normal case where the jury has no interest in the situation.

00:53:45.860 They just want to get it right.

00:53:47.380 If the only thing you care about is getting it right, then yes, there'll be lots of requests for information.

00:53:53.820 But this isn't that.

00:53:55.180 This is a case where no case was presented.

00:54:00.440 So if no case is presented, and we'll talk about all the things that are bad with the case.

00:54:06.400 But I think the fact that somebody asks questions confirms the following.

00:54:14.120 I think in these situations, based on my own experience as a jurist, I think they always do a vote count early.

00:54:21.740 So sometime in the first hour, and maybe in the first 10 minutes, they would say, all right, here's a piece of paper.

00:54:29.160 Everybody tell us how you would vote if you were to vote right now.

00:54:32.840 Because they want to see how far they are.

00:54:34.940 Like if it turned out to be 6 and 6, you would approach this thing completely differently than if it's 11 to 1.

00:54:41.960 If it's 11 to 1, everybody's going to say, all right, our job is to convert the 1, right?

00:54:50.620 That's what you would think your job was if you're the 11. 1.00

00:54:53.000 All right, we're so close.

00:54:55.440 We've got to convert the 1.

00:54:58.920 So that would be a normal case.

00:55:01.280 But in this case, do you think that people made up their own minds because it's Trump?

00:55:05.740 This is one of those cases where I would assume that not a single person on the jury cared about the evidence too much.

00:55:16.820 And so when I see that clarification has been requested, my interpretation is, why would you ask for any clarification if everybody's already decided?

00:55:28.160 And I think they have because they're deciding politically, not based on the law.

00:55:32.080 So I think it indicates there's a holdout.

00:55:37.680 What do you think?

00:55:39.920 I have a strong feeling that it couldn't mean anything else.

00:55:43.880 Because here's what it definitely doesn't mean.

00:55:46.300 It definitely doesn't mean that the 12 people decided he's guilty.

00:55:50.440 Because if they decided he was guilty, what would they have done differently?

00:55:54.680 They would have given themselves the weekend off because they would already know that they're already ready to vote guilty.

00:56:04.840 And then suppose there was a conversation somebody said to me, Scott, what if they're talking about, you know, which one of those three different crimes they can decide on?

00:56:14.320 Maybe they disagree on that.

00:56:15.640 Maybe they're trying to get it all in the, you know, unanimity about some of the details.

00:56:21.580 To which I say, that's the sort of thing you do when it's not the weekend.

00:56:27.940 The Friday effect is really strong.

00:56:30.600 And the other lawyers were saying the same thing.

00:56:33.220 Jurors really, really, really want to be done on Friday.

00:56:36.100 And in this case, especially, they really, really, really didn't want to be there today.

00:56:43.140 So if they willingly as a group accepted the extra pain to be there, it's not about the details.

00:56:51.920 There's a holdout.

00:56:54.420 There's at least one.

00:56:56.760 And the Wall Street Journal gave a little summary of the jurors.

00:57:01.440 You know, very, very cursory, high-level summary of who they are.

00:57:06.100 But I've got a strong feeling about two of them.

00:57:12.140 Here are my two favorites.

00:57:14.280 Now, this is all we know about them, right?

00:57:17.460 One of them is a man who's an investment banker.

00:57:20.740 He likes hiking, music, and concerts.

00:57:23.160 So that part means nothing.

00:57:25.700 And the news sources he reads are basically everything.

00:57:29.440 And he follows Michael Cohen, Trump, and, quote, anyone who might affect markets on social media.

00:57:37.900 So the way he described the fact that he follows the news on both sides is that it's part of his job as an investor.

00:57:45.440 Do you know who else follows both sides of every topic?

00:58:02.340 Not Democrats.

00:58:03.420 Have you ever heard of a Democrat saying that, yeah, I'm a Democrat, but I'm also on truth social, and I follow a bunch of conservatives?

00:58:12.160 Because I like to know the whole story.

00:58:14.680 None.

00:58:15.540 It's not a thing.

00:58:17.040 When somebody says, I basically follow everything in the news, they're screaming I'm a Republican.

00:58:22.960 Or at the very least, an independent who leaves a Republican.

00:58:28.600 All right?

00:58:28.840 But it gets better.

00:58:31.100 I guess they were all asked the question what they feel about Trump.

00:58:35.260 So in his own words, here's what he feels about Trump.

00:58:38.640 I might not like some of his policies, but there has been some good for the United States.

00:58:47.280 Bing, bing, bing, bing, bing, bing, bing, bing, bing, bing.

00:58:51.420 Nobody talks like that.

00:58:52.960 Except pro-Trump people.

00:58:58.000 Do you know what pro-Trump people all like to say?

00:59:00.980 Well, I don't like everything he does.

00:59:03.560 But overall, he's positive.

00:59:06.180 I mean, that comes right out of the Republican way of talking, basically.

00:59:11.420 Yeah.

00:59:12.820 And he's an investment banker.

00:59:17.360 And he's a man.

00:59:21.100 Oh, yeah.

00:59:22.960 Oh, yeah.

00:59:24.500 All right.

00:59:24.860 Here's the next one.

00:59:26.260 Juror number four.

00:59:28.880 This is the funniest one.

00:59:32.100 All right.

00:59:32.660 This one, I don't know if I can do it without laughing.

00:59:36.120 Juror number four was asked if he had strong feelings about Trump.

00:59:39.280 Here was the answer.

00:59:40.800 Quote, no, not really.

00:59:43.080 There he is.

00:59:51.300 There are two patriots who made it onto the jury.

00:59:56.900 There are two.

00:59:58.780 Yeah.

00:59:59.180 Strong feelings?

01:00:00.280 Not really.

01:00:02.180 Gender man.

01:00:03.720 Job security engineer for 25 years.

01:00:07.600 25 years.

01:00:08.500 That would make him an older gentleman.

01:00:13.840 And engineer.

01:00:16.040 Security.

01:00:17.780 Do you think that people who are concerned about security of anything, be it cyber or any

01:00:24.280 other kind of security?

01:00:25.120 Do you think people with a security mindset, if they're male and they're older, do you think

01:00:35.720 they might have a little bit of feeling about Trump that maybe he would make you a little

01:00:40.640 more secure if your whole filter on life is security and you're an engineer? 0.91

01:00:47.780 So you're an engineer so you can actually see that the case is bullshit because you're not 0.97

01:00:54.500 dealing on an emotional level. 0.91

01:00:56.600 If you're not dealing with it emotionally, you can see it's clearly the case hasn't been

01:01:01.520 made.

01:01:04.120 Juror number two and juror number four.

01:01:07.860 We're counting on you.

01:01:08.900 News sources.

01:01:12.620 What do you think the news sources were for the security engineer?

01:01:19.260 Quote, scattering of all things here and there.

01:01:27.020 Who says that?

01:01:29.720 Zero Democrats.

01:01:31.800 Nope.

01:01:32.420 There is no Democrat who says, yeah, I sample all the news.

01:01:36.140 Nope.

01:01:36.660 Do you want me to take it home?

01:01:41.660 If you're not sure that this is a conservative yet, hobbies, woodworking and metalworking, and

01:01:49.640 we're done here.

01:01:56.160 You don't think these two guys are going to hang that jury?

01:02:00.100 Oh, they're going to hang the jury.

01:02:03.820 Yeah. 0.98

01:02:04.160 They're going to hang it hard.

01:02:07.820 You give me the guy with 25 years in security engineering who works with wood and metal,

01:02:16.560 gets his information from a scattering of all things here and there, and when asked what 0.99

01:02:23.140 he feels about Trump, looks you right in the fucking eyes and says, yeah, not really. 0.98

01:02:31.140 Don't have much of a feeling about it at all. 0.99

01:02:32.660 That man came there to do some business.

01:02:40.620 That's a man who knows exactly what he's going to do.

01:02:43.520 Yeah, I think that's a hung jury.

01:02:46.900 And then I looked at some of the other jurors, and they seemed equally likely that they would

01:02:51.260 just convict no matter what the evidence was.

01:02:53.860 Yeah.

01:02:54.020 Mostly women. 1.00

01:02:56.480 All right.

01:02:56.920 Here are some problems with the case, in case you haven't heard them.

01:02:59.840 First of all, there's a pattern of the White House meeting with prosecutors in the various

01:03:04.220 lawfare cases, which suggests it's part of a RICO-coordinated government attempt to interfere

01:03:11.100 with the election.

01:03:11.900 Very obvious.

01:03:12.620 We can all see it.

01:03:13.380 That's documented.

01:03:15.440 We know that the prior DA looked at the case and said, nope, there's nothing here.

01:03:20.020 Refused to take it up.

01:03:21.040 We know that the number three lawyer in the Biden Department of Justice took a demotion

01:03:27.400 to take the case.

01:03:29.820 Nobody does that, which indicates strongly it's political.

01:03:34.680 The jury did not, they were not allowed to have the instructions from the judge in writing

01:03:41.000 in the room.

01:03:42.000 It took 90 minutes for the judge to read the instructions.

01:03:46.180 That's how complicated they are.

01:03:47.820 And the instructions will largely determine which way they go, except for the heroes.

01:03:54.620 And they're not allowed to have a written copy in the room.

01:03:59.760 Byron York points out that the jury instructions have been posted on the New York court's website.

01:04:05.540 So now everybody on the planet Earth with access to a web page, except the jurors, the only

01:04:13.340 people who should be reading them, only the jurors can't see it.

01:04:21.160 So that makes sense.

01:04:23.880 Okay.

01:04:25.020 You've got the judge who's totally conflicted, who magically got selected for all three Trump

01:04:30.560 related things from Bannon to Weisselberg to now Trump.

01:04:35.680 Even though judges are randomly selected, obviously not randomly selected, and he's donated to

01:04:42.100 Democrats and his daughter is a big Democrat fundraiser who will make a lot of money if 0.99

01:04:46.880 Trump gets convicted.

01:04:48.040 People say.

01:04:48.640 We've got this novel case where they had to somehow Frankenstein up a felony charge by putting

01:04:58.380 together pieces of misdemeanors and then confusing you and writing the jury instructions just so, 0.89

01:05:04.820 basically manufacturing a crime that had no victims and nobody gave a fuck about until Trump 0.96

01:05:12.160 said he was running for president. 0.79

01:05:13.240 My favorite part is that the Trump defense had to rest, because this is how the process worked

01:05:22.700 in this case, the defense had to rest before the prosecution told the jury what the crime

01:05:30.720 was that he's being charged with.

01:05:33.500 Now, we could have just said that, right?

01:05:37.520 Could have just said that.

01:05:38.900 And then on top of that, they've got these weird instructions where the jury can say,

01:05:45.200 well, it doesn't matter which crime he was covering up.

01:05:48.920 If he was covering up a crime, it must be a felony.

01:05:52.820 But they give him a menu choice of things they can pick as the crime, and none of those crimes

01:05:58.980 have to be determined to be true, and they can all decide it's a different crime that they're

01:06:03.400 going to base their opinion on.

01:06:04.480 Completely reversible errors all over the place here.

01:06:14.780 And then let's see what else.

01:06:20.080 And then there was even a judge on MSDEI that said, that was a surprise to me, because generally

01:06:27.860 jury instructions don't include references to specific pieces of evidence that the judge

01:06:33.400 seems to be pointing to.

01:06:35.280 So the judge gives them directions on how to proceed on the findings of fact, but then

01:06:43.000 tells them, sort of points out something specific to focus on, which apparently is non-standard,

01:06:49.720 which basically is trying to bias the jury to get whatever he wants, it looks like.

01:06:56.860 Let's see what else.

01:06:57.940 So that's just the problems we know about, right?

01:07:03.940 That's just the problems we know about.

01:07:09.120 John Lefebvre, I think I'm pronouncing that wrong.

01:07:13.380 My French is not good.

01:07:14.960 But on X, he's talking about how the public, well, first of all, the polls show that people

01:07:23.380 don't care.

01:07:23.940 I guess CNN was reporting, the polls show that people don't even care about the trial.

01:07:29.880 They're not basing their votes on it.

01:07:32.000 And if he gets convicted or doesn't convicted, they don't care, seems like.

01:07:36.320 I think his popularity will go up no matter what, but we'll see.

01:07:41.280 But John Lefebvre points out that the magnitude of the injustice Trump is facing is lost on most

01:07:47.660 people.

01:07:48.520 I think that's true.

01:07:49.540 And I think there's a bit of disbelief involved, and I'll say I'm guilty of it.

01:07:56.940 My brain can't conceive that he would be put in jail with this process.

01:08:03.440 And so I can't get as worked up about it being evil, because I also can't see it as happening.

01:08:14.020 So I think other people might be in that boat, too.

01:08:16.200 It's like, well, it's one of those legal things.

01:08:18.900 It'll probably work out, and I don't have to pay attention to it.

01:08:21.260 But as John points out, Trump is facing 34 felony counts for improper paperwork over the

01:08:32.340 use of personal funds nearly a decade ago.

01:08:35.300 Each count carries a maximum sentence of four years, and the jury doesn't even have to agree

01:08:41.080 on what Trump is guilty of in order to convict.

01:08:44.020 Just hold that in your mind.

01:08:45.300 And the jury doesn't have to agree in just this case alone, when normally they have to

01:08:52.940 agree on what happened.

01:08:54.860 They don't have to agree.

01:08:56.320 Those are in the jury instructions.

01:08:58.840 Unbelievable.

01:09:00.120 But when you compare that, as John points out, to Hillary Clinton, she invented the Russia 0.61

01:09:04.880 hoax, lied about it, paid for the Steele dossier, papered it as legal services with the intention

01:09:12.820 of influencing the election, and her total punishment was an $8,000 fine that somebody

01:09:17.560 else paid, compared to, oh, we're going to put Trump in jail for life, for a way, way

01:09:29.500 smaller nothing.

01:09:34.280 All right.

01:09:35.520 On other topics, Mario Nuffall had some reports from other people.

01:09:40.460 David Pine, claiming that Russia is successfully jamming 90% of the guided missiles headed their

01:09:46.900 way.

01:09:48.120 So, the American missiles, the good stuff, apparently the Russians are really good at 1.00

01:09:52.700 jamming the GPS, making them useless. 0.99

01:09:55.620 So, I guess they're going to use dumb bombs instead.

01:09:59.220 Don't know if that's true, but it sounds true. 0.80

01:10:01.860 I saw somebody say that China could invade and take over Taiwan in one hour.

01:10:06.400 There's a military expert who said that.

01:10:08.060 That within 15 minutes, they could take the airports, and within 30 minutes, they would

01:10:13.920 have the capital.

01:10:16.500 Yeah, well, okay.

01:10:18.400 Now, people say, but, you know, that would be the end of the world because they would take

01:10:22.180 over the chips.

01:10:25.220 To which I say, wouldn't they sell them to us?

01:10:28.920 I mean, it would accelerate our own operation to get more chips, but they wouldn't want to

01:10:38.720 destroy the chip plants.

01:10:41.560 And China's got a bad situation because if they destroy the economy of the United States, 0.98

01:10:47.520 they lose their customers.

01:10:49.420 So, you can't really survive that.

01:10:53.460 So, anyway.

01:10:56.960 I don't think necessarily the chips are at risk.

01:11:00.080 They're at risk, for sure.

01:11:01.620 And then I did hear that the chip manufacturers had some kind of kill switch where they could

01:11:06.920 blow up the factories if the island gets invaded.

01:11:11.160 That sounds more like the sort of thing you'd threaten than the sort of thing you'd do.

01:11:17.260 But maybe.

01:11:18.420 I mean, maybe the U.S. CIA would take it out.

01:11:22.120 It could be that our own spooks have already, you know, set it up for the Building 7.

01:11:29.460 It might get Building 7, if you believe that.

01:11:34.380 All right.

01:11:34.640 So, here's a story in the Epoch Times.

01:11:41.340 So, there was a study of, I'm not going to spend much time on this, so this is just the

01:11:46.300 last thing.

01:11:47.260 But they found that masks didn't work during Omicron and made things worse.

01:11:52.960 So, masks didn't work during Omicron and made things worse.

01:11:56.540 However, interestingly, their findings were that the mask did work a little bit before

01:12:04.860 Omicron.

01:12:06.420 Who said that?

01:12:08.780 I did.

01:12:10.360 So, once again, you can skip all the science and just ask me.

01:12:14.840 Yeah, the masks probably worked when it was a deadly virus and everybody was wearing them.

01:12:20.380 But by the time you got to Omicron, half the people weren't wearing them and Omicron was

01:12:24.260 way too catchy, it didn't make any sense.

01:12:28.260 So, it probably made things worse.

01:12:30.240 But according to the science, which doesn't mean it's true, just this one study, it says

01:12:36.760 that if both people wore a mask during the, you know, the original virus, there was a statistical

01:12:44.660 advantage.

01:12:46.400 So, that's exactly what I said.

01:12:49.340 I said, it might slow it down a little bit, but it's not enough to make this a mandate.

01:12:55.940 So, I'm only bringing it up because science has caught up to me, or at least this one study.

01:13:02.000 I am against mask mandates.

01:13:05.480 Let me be clear. 0.75

01:13:06.280 Here come the people who were fooled by, so I'm being called a hypocrite now, by the people 0.53

01:13:17.740 who were fooled by the 4chan hoax.

01:13:19.780 So, there are lots of people who still believe the 4chan hoax is about my pandemic opinions,

01:13:24.280 but I'll remind you, I had the most accurate predictions by far.

01:13:30.340 It's just that you heard that they were the opposite of what they are.

01:13:36.280 And somebody says, no, you were fooled.

01:13:42.160 I was fooled?

01:13:44.560 I just told you I agreed with the science.

01:13:48.000 Now, that doesn't mean the science is right, but I think it's worth noting that the science

01:13:53.160 took a while, and then they came exactly to my position.

01:13:55.760 Yeah, the people who want to be right are just desperate to want to be right, but sorry.

01:14:08.720 Dude, you were blacklisted.

01:14:10.640 Now, you're making a comeback.

01:14:13.860 I was blacklisted by the people who, there was one cartoonist who made a joke about my

01:14:19.820 pandemic opinions, and half the country thought it was real.

01:14:25.760 I was a mess, aren't I thinking for the cooties, blah, blah, blah. 0.98

01:14:35.640 Just that you didn't know how to take an experimental, you didn't know not to take it.

01:14:41.460 Well, do I look unhealthy to you?

01:14:44.860 Or do I look like a person who took some excellent vacations, ended my pandemic experience months

01:14:52.800 before you did, because I got all my rights back, and as far as I can tell, no medical

01:15:00.300 problems.

01:15:01.700 And currently, I'm also on the right side of current science, because the current science

01:15:09.140 says the vaccinations were probably bad for young people, but probably a good bet for 1.00

01:15:15.340 people who were in my category.

01:15:18.400 So there are a lot of people under 60 who are saying, hey, why did you over 60 people

01:15:24.920 with asthma take this drug?

01:15:29.260 When I didn't.

01:15:30.220 Well, you're not really good at analyzing things, are you?

01:15:34.700 If I were 25, I would not have taken it.

01:15:37.540 If I didn't need to travel, probably wouldn't have taken it.

01:15:41.320 But I had an amazing experience.

01:15:44.420 I got no effects. 1.00

01:15:47.100 So apparently, you being a bunch of fucking pussies, all you got was the same good health 1.00

01:15:54.600 that I have, and no vacations. 1.00

01:15:58.140 So was being a frightened pussy, was that your strategy that worked out really well for 1.00

01:16:03.840 you? 1.00

01:16:04.040 Are you proud of it? 1.00

01:16:05.200 Being a frightened pussy. 1.00

01:16:08.500 Because I was frightened neither by the shots nor by the virus. 1.00

01:16:15.940 You were frightened by one of those two things.

01:16:18.620 I was frightened by neither, and I ended up taking a chance, and it worked out. 0.97

01:16:24.600 Which part of that sounds dumb to you?

01:16:28.640 The part where I had excellent vacations and good health? 0.93

01:16:36.420 All right, that's enough of that.

01:16:38.120 I just lost half of my followers.

01:16:40.320 All right, that's all I got.

01:16:41.380 I've been told that when I say goodbye here, there's an annoying delay, and then it looks

01:16:46.300 like I'm being rude, because I just disappear.

01:16:52.340 So I'm going to say goodbye, and then I'm going to leave this long, awkward pause at

01:16:58.720 the end while the technology catches up with me, all right?

01:17:02.620 So it's going to look like the show is over, and then I'm just going to sit here drinking

01:17:07.000 my coffee.

01:17:08.000 All right, thanks, everybody.

01:17:10.360 Thanks for joining.

01:17:11.160 I'm going to go talk to the locals people privately in a moment.

01:17:16.420 Thank you.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 30, 2024

Episode 2490 CWSA 05⧸30⧸24

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