Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2506 CWSA 06⧸15⧸24

00:00:00.000 of human civilization and it's called coffee with scott adams because that's kind of what it is and

00:00:05.400 if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their smooth

00:00:11.540 tiny human brains all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass or tank or chalice or stein a

00:00:15.860 canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join

00:00:22.040 me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine hit of the day the thing makes everything better

00:00:26.520 it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now

00:00:30.940 technology on point everything's working today

00:00:39.420 well let's uh let's give a little thank for our experts shall we you know experts get a bad rap

00:00:49.460 especially lately but what would we do without them here's a case in point uh finally

00:00:56.260 after a long last covid long covid has a definition now that's what we needed because

00:01:04.920 long covid everybody was all over the place like what is it how do you identify it how do you know

00:01:10.460 you had it you know what it doesn't even exist but finally the experts have come together and they've

00:01:16.940 decided that the definition of long covid is as follows it has to happen after covid so it can't

00:01:24.620 be before covid that seems to be built into the definition right so you can't get covid before there

00:01:32.200 was covid so the experts have clarified that it could only be long covid if you've had covid now that's a

00:01:40.580 good first step but it gets better and it could be identified by any one of 200 symptoms that may come

00:01:50.500 and go during the rest of your life so finally we have a little clarity it's something that happened

00:01:58.260 after you had covid any time in your life and could include any one of 200 symptoms that may come and go

00:02:06.980 for reasons you don't understand and that's called long covid now other people have called that

00:02:13.060 well various names uh old age old age because that happens to me after covid and i think i get about 200

00:02:24.100 symptoms i get about 200 symptoms a day now uh and that's just the first five minutes after i wake up

00:02:31.380 i'm like oh my back oh you know that sort of thing so it's probably uh must have some long covid

00:02:39.540 um companies are discovering that all their big ai projects that were going to save the money and

00:02:46.180 change the nature of the world have uh hit what some call the trough of disillusionment

00:02:53.860 and that it's not really changing the world the way they thought and a lot of projects are stalled

00:02:59.780 um i could have told you that the reason i could have told you that is i tried several projects myself

00:03:05.860 i tried to use ai to do a bunch of things that would be completely relevant to what i do for a living

00:03:12.340 and i thought man i'm going to be the first one i i'm going to be the one who's the first cartoonist

00:03:20.180 to to use ai in like a real cool way is really going to impress you i can't get a thing to work

00:03:27.780 it's fun to talk to it and use it for education and stuff but to actually turn it into a tool that

00:03:37.460 you that i can use in my work nope no luck at all uh i do hear that there are some upgrades to the

00:03:44.580 delphi ai system which i've been trying to build an agent in and ran into some obstacles in terms of

00:03:52.580 what it could or could not do but the company was very responsive and they say in a week or so they're

00:03:57.940 gonna have a bunch of uh fixes and whatever so that i can get it to do what i want so i'm open-minded

00:04:05.220 about it maybe but uh i'll let you know so far ai um because it's gives unreliable answers to things

00:04:15.460 there's just a whole host of things you thought it would do that it can't ever do

00:04:19.460 because if you can't if you can't know that it will give you the right answer

00:04:25.300 what is it it's like a person you have a conversation with if you have a conversation

00:04:32.180 with somebody and they give you some wrong fact you know we got to discount that as that's the

00:04:37.860 way conversations go but if you're asking for data and it sometimes just gives you the wrong data and

00:04:43.300 you don't know why and you can't fix it that doesn't work at all so i do think ai is going

00:04:51.300 to be as big as everybody says but there's probably a gigantic percentage of it that will never work

00:04:58.900 at least during using the llm technology it might work in some future iteration but not now

00:05:05.860 well i was watching the five last night and i saw a story there's a new trend

00:05:10.740 uh sort of non-obvious uh and as the chyron read um on the five women are falling for guys who look

00:05:20.180 like cartoon mice which they they refer to as hot rodent men so men who have that vibe of looking

00:05:29.460 sort of roughly like a rat are becoming a little bit more popular

00:05:33.380 and now this was good news for me um my patience has finally paid off and it looks like it's my time

00:05:43.700 to shine so good luck to the rest of you handsome looking people because your day came and went no

00:05:52.420 it's time for the rat-faced people to rise and i might be their leader i might be but not just that 0.62

00:06:01.060 so let's look at the other science um there's a study from japan that says if you eat small fish

00:06:09.540 whole like the entire fish bones and all uh it's really really good for your health because apparently

00:06:15.620 all those bones and things are are good for you now i'm not super surprised about that because yesterday

00:06:23.300 i was watching a video of a slow motion capture by a look like a golden eagle catching a fish

00:06:31.860 and popping it in his mouth and eating a hole and i thought to myself hey that uh that that golden

00:06:40.180 eagle isn't even chewing it's actually just going and like swallowing a fish hole

00:06:45.780 and so i said to myself i wonder if the whole fish is healthy apparently it is apparently there's

00:06:53.700 not much more better you could do than eat a whole fish but here's the uh question i ask

00:07:00.580 why is it so consistent that if there's something good for you it's also horrible to do

00:07:06.580 like could they come up with anything worse like i expect tomorrow will be and science has discovered

00:07:15.780 that if you can shove 10 pine cones up your own ass you will add 10 years to your life

00:07:23.300 and i'll be like but i don't want to shove pine cones up my ass that sounds really painful 0.91

00:07:28.340 and people will say well i mean if you don't care about your health you can do it your way

00:07:33.540 no now i gotta eat a whole fish and shove pine cones up my ass everything everything's too hard 0.95

00:07:40.340 well here's a surprising surprising result of a study thanks to science we have determined

00:07:48.340 remember you used to hear from women that if only men would help with the housework

00:07:54.500 after they got home from working all day that then they'd want to have more sex with them 0.99

00:07:59.540 and so we were told that the sexiest thing you could do ben was do the dishes and vacuum while

00:08:07.220 your wife is watching and a lot of you said finally i've cracked the code all i have to do is a little

00:08:15.700 extra dusting put this apron on cook some food clean up after myself take care of the kids and i'm

00:08:22.980 gonna get some super action wow that's what i was told for probably 20 years 30 years

00:08:32.020 well in a new study says uh turns out that helping with the housework uh gets you less sex

00:08:38.900 for heterosexual married partners yeah so the man will get less sex and i guess that means that

00:08:44.180 the woman will get less sex if everything's working out the way it should um 1.00

00:08:49.060 um so if you uh want to do well with the ladies you should look more like a rat-faced boy

00:09:00.660 and less like some kind of handsome thing nobody wants that so look like a rat-faced person um

00:09:07.780 you want to not help with the uh the housework that appears to be good for your sex life 0.51

00:09:14.740 and i'd like to add my own little twist um you'll see this from experts as well

00:09:19.780 shaquille o'neal said this the other day in the video never share your feelings

00:09:25.860 no no did you ever fall for that trap how many of you have ever fallen for the trap of

00:09:31.620 sharing your feelings how'd that work out

00:09:34.260 so here's my advice to you look like a rat-faced boy don't communicate with your lover and whatever

00:09:46.500 you do don't help out around the house and uh you will be amazed how much poontang you're getting 0.98

00:09:54.980 so there's your relationship advice from the single guy who's non-relationship

00:10:00.820 and uh if that doesn't frighten you it should

00:10:07.140 there's a startup in india

00:10:10.420 they printed a rocket engine uh in 72 hours using a 3d printer

00:10:17.220 they printed a rocket ship and then sent the rocket up and it worked

00:10:21.300 they printed a rocket ship a rocket engine they printed it in 72 hours

00:10:30.100 that's amazing that's like one of the most impressive

00:10:35.460 technology things i've ever heard of in my life

00:10:38.820 now let's take it to the next level if you can 3d print something as sensitive and powerful as a rocket

00:10:46.340 engine how far are we from 3d printing a small modular nuclear reactor

00:11:00.180 suddenly suddenly if you could get rid of the you know burdensome regulations but not the ones you need

00:11:06.660 if you could get rid of regulations and you could co-lo you could locate the new reactors

00:11:14.820 let's say where there are already nuclear power plants and you can keep the waste there which is the new way they do it

00:11:21.380 in some cases they can reuse the waste for fuel for other types of reactors

00:11:25.860 if you could do all of that and then you could have a standardized design that's approved by the government and all the regulatory agencies

00:11:33.620 and your biggest problem was actually manufacturing

00:11:39.860 you might be able to 3d print it imagine if you could 3d print a pre-approved

00:11:48.580 known model of a small modular nuclear reactor

00:11:53.940 now you might say to yourself i don't want to be the first one to live next to the

00:11:58.100 3d printed nuclear reactor but i would have said that about going up in a rocket

00:12:03.620 if they could make it safe enough for a rocket

00:12:08.340 i don't know it seems like they might be able to make it safe enough for a nuke

00:12:12.180 with a little extra work maybe

00:12:15.300 that's a that's one of those boring little stories that might be like one of the biggest deals in the whole universe

00:12:22.260 could be meanwhile there's a turkish student who was trying to pass some difficult entrance exam

00:12:29.300 and cleverly used a hidden camera and a button that would look at the test and it would use ai

00:12:37.780 to solve the test questions and then read it into a earpiece

00:12:42.820 so the guy was listening to the answers while the the button was looking at the test

00:12:48.660 and he got caught now i feel like i would have wanted to hire that guy on the spot

00:13:00.420 because because if his system worked it's kind of impressive it's like huh if you can do that

00:13:06.500 yeah i'd like you to work for me anyway it seems like there's gonna be a lot more of that

00:13:12.180 that that type of cheating well the new york times is reportedly they got rid of like nine out of the

00:13:20.100 16 of their artists who were on staff and they did it because that some say it's because of ai but i

00:13:27.700 think the new york times says no no it's just cost cutting

00:13:30.500 um but the uh the union uh for the workers at the new york times uh said that uh firing artists and

00:13:40.820 replacing them with with ai that the the union said and i quote i thought we were better than this

00:13:49.620 better than this is the union actually a communist organization what do they mean by better i thought

00:13:58.420 better it was companies um hire people when they need people and they fire people when they don't

00:14:03.140 need people and it's called it's called it's called capitalism it's called capitalism that would be the

00:14:09.620 system that we're living under allegedly but according to the union who apparently are communists

00:14:15.780 i thought we were better than this better than what capitalism if you're better than capitalism

00:14:22.580 what's the name of that what are you calling the thing that's better than hiring and firing

00:14:28.340 depending on the business's needs what's better than that communism i can't think of anything else

00:14:35.700 they'd be talking about so apparently the employees of the new york times are

00:14:42.740 literally communists or socialists or something but they don't understand this whole capitalism thing

00:14:50.100 well here's the good news and bad news uh let's see if you could have predicted this

00:14:54.180 uh if you haven't read the story i want to see how long it takes you to predict the ending of this

00:15:00.260 this news event right so it involves california so put on your california thinking cap

00:15:07.540 it involves the drought which california had had for years which is now solved it turns out that

00:15:14.660 california is just flush with water got plenty of water at the same time

00:15:20.340 they're going to deny farmers uh they're going to cut a lot of the farmers back to only 40 percent

00:15:27.540 of the federal water they were supposed to get i guess there's federal water and other water but it'll

00:15:32.580 be a major put pull back in the water why all right it's california and there's plenty of water

00:15:43.940 plenty of water everybody agrees but the farmers will not be allowed to get

00:15:50.100 nearly as much water as they need why would that be you tell me it's california

00:15:56.580 well let me guess i'll fill you in it's because of an endangered fish there's a problem with an

00:16:03.220 endangered fish yep so is that the most california thing you've ever heard in your life

00:16:13.060 uh years ago before i built the house that i'm living in right now i thought i was going to

00:16:19.620 build it in a different place i got bought several acres down the road and when i went to look into

00:16:26.740 building on it turns out they had uh maybe some endangered fish in the little creek that was dry

00:16:34.260 most of the time or frogs or something i forget what it was but i've actually been limited from building

00:16:41.140 for a fish or a frog that nobody's ever seen and by the way there weren't any there it just looked

00:16:47.460 like a place there might be some endangered fish or something like it's actually insane trying to

00:16:54.420 get anything built in california i don't recommend it by the way i wouldn't do it at all um but anyway

00:17:01.300 so this endangered fish i don't know how endangered it is or how important it is because frankly i've never

00:17:07.620 i've never missed that fish um but apparently you could eat that fish whole and it would be really

00:17:14.580 good for you uh but don't it's an endangered fish so even though it'd be very healthy to eat it whole

00:17:20.740 don't do that it's endangered so what are the farmers going to do well i don't know but the only thing i can

00:17:26.740 think of is if the farmers can't get water for their crops they might be able to get the huge masses of

00:17:34.660 illegal migrants uh to urinate on them i mean i don't know if that would help but it's better than 1.00

00:17:42.100 nothing right that's just my idea all right the oakland reparations committee wants five million

00:17:49.780 dollars and you're gonna say well that's that's not nearly as much as i thought oakland's a pretty

00:17:56.740 big place and the reparations committee is only asking for five million dollars and i saw that and

00:18:02.740 i thought huh that might actually be something we could talk about because you know we wouldn't miss

00:18:09.380 five million dollars in our our taxes and then i read it more carefully no they don't the reparations

00:18:15.380 committee in oakland they don't want five million dollars for reparations they want five million

00:18:21.700 dollars from taxpayers to come up with a plan for the reparations five million to work on a plan

00:18:34.340 now as a person who lives in the oakland area what should i do to avoid uh being penalized for being white

00:18:45.380 by having to pay for some reparations that i had nothing to do with what should i do should i get the

00:18:53.620 fuck out of there

00:18:57.300 can we be adults for like a minute i didn't create the system i mean i'm just in the system it's not my

00:19:04.900 fault if the system makes it more expensive to live in a state where there is a big black population 1.00

00:19:12.580 you should get out of there or at least it should be one of your factors if you live anywhere in a

00:19:19.380 place where dei is a big emphasis you should get the fuck out of there if you're white or asian 1.00

00:19:25.780 american you should get out of there because you don't have any options you can't fight it 1.00

00:19:31.780 and why would you stay where things are bad the number one thing that i teach people about career

00:19:38.420 success is if you can't do it where you are get the fuck out of there it's the very first thing i 0.86

00:19:44.820 did when i graduated college because my hometown was a tiny little town with you know no real industry

00:19:51.540 or anything like that except tourism and the first thing i did is move to the california bay area

00:19:57.620 before even knowing what i'd do for my life because you have to go where the opportunity is

00:20:02.420 so at the moment california is becoming kind of a hellhole i wouldn't recommend anybody move to it

00:20:09.380 it's just really hard to move out of it and believe me i've been doing a lot of research

00:20:15.220 they've got these clawback provisions they can tax you even if you leave

00:20:19.860 you know demonstrating that you really left if you if you visit a lot it's going to be a problem yeah

00:20:26.900 california is just a fucking piece of shit right now but it has lovely weather and if you can afford

00:20:32.660 it that part's great

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00:21:34.660 responsibly well the uh stanford had this a weird disinformation research center which turned out to be

00:21:43.380 just a place where the government would work with these i don't want to call them fakes but they were 1.00

00:21:49.940 obviously people working on the censorship industrial complex and they just closed down

00:21:56.660 because they had so much heat but i don't trust it do you think that just because this prominent

00:22:02.820 censorship entity got closed down do you do you think do you think that they're not going to do any

00:22:09.540 censoring i assume they just got more clever about it don't we assume that outside of x the platforms are

00:22:17.940 all doing the same same kind of bad stuff maybe just more cleverly so in other words instead of kicking

00:22:24.420 somebody off a platform maybe just nobody sees their posts i haven't here i haven't heard as much

00:22:31.140 complaining about it this year have you it used to be that it was just so obvious uh the censorship

00:22:39.780 that was just continuous complaining because you couldn't miss it it was everywhere but i really

00:22:43.860 haven't heard it so far this cycle does that suggest that we're actually getting some kind of control

00:22:50.100 over that or we just don't know where it is now see what i what i fear is that it's just a whack-a-mole

00:22:56.180 situation and we whack this stanford disinformation research center i mean collectively we whacked it

00:23:03.940 but it doesn't mean it didn't just pop up somewhere else under a different name i assume that's what's

00:23:08.260 happening all right the supreme court struck down the trump era ban on bump stocks i guess they're so

00:23:19.620 if it's not a ban you can have them now that was a weird one because you wouldn't expect anybody trump

00:23:26.900 related to want to ban anything gun related but if you don't follow gun stuff the so-called bump stocks

00:23:34.260 would turn your gun into a wildly inaccurate instrument and so the gun people said who the

00:23:40.180 hell would want to use a bump stock if it just makes your gun less accurate like the one and only time

00:23:46.500 you'd use it would be that you know vegas shooting when you're shooting into a gigantic crowd and accuracy

00:23:52.500 didn't really matter because you weren't aiming at a specific person anyway but short of that i'm told that

00:23:58.980 if you you know had a handgun and went in someplace with bad intentions and just carefully shot you

00:24:06.100 would do more damage than a bump that's just going to be firing bullets into the ceiling as much as the 0.87

00:24:11.940 anything else so i don't think it matters these this bump stock thing is such a small

00:24:19.860 little thing makes no difference to anybody i don't think

00:24:23.300 all right i continue to ask the question of why voting machines exist if they're not cheaper or

00:24:31.700 more secure or making us feel more credible and they're not faster why it was a gentleman i saw on

00:24:38.580 social media here who asked his local town to explain why they use machines they said something about

00:24:46.420 them being more efficient or reliable or something clearly not true clearly not true so why do we have

00:24:54.420 them now other people have said that uh well you know if it produces paper you can always be you can

00:25:03.380 always double check because you just look at the paper but apparently there are cases where it doesn't

00:25:08.740 produce paper and they're you know we know this puerto rico had just all kinds of trouble with their

00:25:14.660 voting machines and i guess they didn't produce paper rfk jr is basically saying you can't trust the

00:25:20.580 voting machines and unless it unless it creates paper so he would do legislation that says you can

00:25:27.300 keep your voting machine but it's got to create a piece of paper so we can check to see if it was real

00:25:33.940 is that enough i don't know i don't know

00:25:38.100 but let's check in with uh the rasmussen folks who like to keep us updated on various claims of

00:25:47.220 irregularity in voting from 2020. so here's what we believe we know from the america maricopa county

00:25:53.940 one of the most questioned uh voting election results in 2020 here's what we know there was only one legal

00:26:02.260 type of paper that could be used and there are credible uh allegations that there were up to 10

00:26:09.220 different types found now do you know why there's only one uh one type of paper that's approved for

00:26:16.420 an election in a in a given area does anybody know why they say you can only use one piece of paper

00:26:23.780 my first thought was oh it's because they know that this kind of paper is accepted by the machines

00:26:31.700 that was my first thought you you want to make sure it can be processed through the machines when they count

00:26:36.820 you don't want any cheap paper that gets caught in machines but it turns out that's not really the reason

00:26:43.140 that's maybe one of the reasons they make sure that the paper works

00:26:47.540 but the other reason is to make sure that there's no fraud

00:26:51.380 do you know how they can detect the fraud

00:26:55.220 if somebody used the wrong paper it's a fraud detection

00:26:58.980 now for some reason that didn't immediately occur to me i just assumed it was a functional question

00:27:05.300 and that if they used other paper but the machines accepted it i was thinking well that's not a big

00:27:10.980 problem is it what's the problem so they ran out of paper some people didn't get the memo they just

00:27:17.700 use whatever paper was available that worked fine no problem but then once you realize that

00:27:23.620 the limitation of the paper is a major way that they prevent fraud and then you see that there

00:27:31.140 were credible reports of 10 different papers used that would pretty much be guaranteed fraud if you

00:27:38.580 could prove this is true it's hard to imagine it would be anything but exactly what it looks like

00:27:44.260 now is it proven i don't know because it's hard to believe anything in the election domain

00:27:50.420 because so many things are found not to be true so but that claim still stands meaning that no court

00:27:57.140 has said it's not true there's no court that said no that didn't happen so the claim is out there

00:28:04.260 whatever status it is it's out there here's another one uh within maricopa county there was one legal

00:28:12.100 software version only one that was legal but two versions uh and a compiler were found the compiler

00:28:21.700 was capable of creating executable files and then deleting them without detection

00:28:27.940 but there is some some evidence that it did is did so three times during the election

00:28:32.740 why is your compiler creating and executing files and then deleting them what would be the legal reason

00:28:43.220 to do that i don't maybe there is some legal reason you know anything anything nothing would surprise me at

00:28:48.980 this point but uh certainly everything about that looks fraudulent but remember don't get fooled by

00:28:58.420 krakens there there are tons of times since 2020 that uh both you and i probably heard a report and you said

00:29:07.700 to yourself oh this time that's the smoking gun then maybe it turned out not to be so you should always

00:29:14.660 keep a real real real open mind about any specific claims but i take the argument from specific claims to

00:29:24.580 the general the general the general is what are the odds that this is the only non-corrupt system in

00:29:29.540 the united states i'd say zero just common sense and then and if you say we'll prove it then i'll say

00:29:38.980 well how about i don't have to prove it how about i just show you that every single other system

00:29:44.500 can be hacked and has been and if every if anything that can be uh gamed is being gamed everywhere all the

00:29:53.380 time that's the way the world works so the fact that you didn't catch it probably doesn't mean anything

00:30:00.340 because people presumably would figure out how not to get caught so i don't have any proof that

00:30:05.860 there's any kind of election irregularity all i have is the common sense that of course it is

00:30:11.620 of course it is why would it be true if it doesn't need to be and somebody could benefit from faking it

00:30:18.820 it seems unlikely that it's a fair system um you know that president trump floated the idea of having

00:30:27.460 a uh having more tariffs on incoming products from other countries and getting rid of the income tax

00:30:35.460 and i saw a long post by balaji srinivasan in which he's uh explaining there's actually

00:30:42.180 uh there's an historical uh precedent because apparently before the income tax that was

00:30:48.180 actually a big way that the united states funded itself and it's actually possible that we could do

00:30:55.380 it uh but as balaji points out it probably would take 10 years of economic pain like we haven't experienced

00:31:03.140 since maybe the great depression so i mean he didn't say the great depression part i just added that

00:31:08.260 myself it's just that it would be very disruptive to make that kind of a change but it's not impossible

00:31:16.900 and it has some benefits and the benefits are that it would make the country run like a

00:31:22.500 it would make the country run like a company that's trying to make money so it would try to sell our goods

00:31:29.780 to other people and make more money than uh than the other people were making by selling to us basically

00:31:36.980 so we would charge them for incoming stuff so their stuff was more expensive which would make it more

00:31:42.660 profitable to build it internally and then manufacturing could move back to america because

00:31:48.260 the tariffs would make it expensive to buy things from other places now if you add robots plus the 3d

00:31:55.860 printing and some tariffs you could pretty easily imagine the manufacturing coming back to america

00:32:03.300 first slowly and then quickly right once we get all the transportation and the electrical and everything

00:32:11.220 worked out it might happen quickly after it goes slowly for a while

00:32:18.660 anyway the biggest problem is that our current process as balaji points out is that we just print

00:32:23.620 money when we want to and it wouldn't work if you had a tariff if you had a tariff you'd have

00:32:29.860 you'd only have that money but if you can just print money it's suddenly oh here's another trillion

00:32:36.500 dollars so how do you how do you tell yourself to stop printing money just because the system is

00:32:42.100 collapsing if you keep doing it hasn't stopped us yet so yeah it's probably impossible from a bureaucratic

00:32:49.700 point of view here's a question i have how big are the election whistleblower rewards uh this year

00:32:59.540 and don't tell me there aren't any because that would be crazy are we are you telling me that

00:33:06.900 it's not obvious that if you were to find some trouble in 2024 and if you reported it and let's

00:33:13.860 say if it's big enough that it would make a difference there's no reward here's why you need a whistleblower

00:33:20.580 reward in advance right so laura trump um you should be listening to this there should be it should be

00:33:29.540 known in advance that there will be a huge amount of money to any democrat or anybody else who comes up with

00:33:37.060 the goods like an actual prosecutable large form of fraud here's why you want to create a situation

00:33:47.300 where people who have to get other people involved with their fraud which probably would be the case

00:33:52.500 if anybody was doing anything yeah it would take some insiders you know you'd need somebody to drive

00:33:57.860 a truck maybe somebody to unlock a door somebody to turn the other way so probably any form of election

00:34:05.220 cheating hypothetically again i'm not aware of any proven forms in 2020 but hypothetically if someone

00:34:14.900 was planning an op of that size other people would be involved and if you had a big enough reward

00:34:21.700 you can guarantee that the people who were involved in it would have to kill all the other people involved

00:34:27.620 to avoid the whistleblower imagine putting a plot together all right the five of us

00:34:35.140 are going to do this plot and we're going to cheat in the election and uh but when it's done

00:34:42.420 any one of the five of us can go collect a million dollars just by turning in the other four

00:34:49.540 so what are you going to do are you going to be part of that plot or are you going to say yes and make

00:34:54.980 sure you're the first one to turn it in because if you're not the first one to go whistleblower

00:34:59.860 the first person gets a million dollars and you get jail time

00:35:04.260 so what would you do well the first thing is it would create a situation where the leader of the plot

00:35:10.500 would have to murder all the underlings after the plot was executed because you couldn't have somebody

00:35:16.100 out there who could make a million dollars and before they were just driving a truck

00:35:22.580 or they were the janitor that unlocked the door right you can't have somebody out there with like

00:35:28.180 a million dollars to gain if they buck the system so there should be a very large award reward in advance

00:35:38.740 that everybody knows about that says if you find some things it has to go through the court of course

00:35:44.260 it has to be court uh court uh affirmed but if you don't have that it looks like hey you can give me

00:35:52.580 a hundred dollars to open this door i'll take it will you talk to anybody about it nah i'll just keep the

00:35:59.700 hundred dollars so you got to make it too expensive to cheat you see where i'm going in this make it too

00:36:06.980 expensive to cheat because somebody's going to drop a dime they too much to gain well on the

00:36:13.540 plus side remember i told you that laura trump seemed like the right person for the co-chair of the

00:36:20.420 rnc because you needed somebody who had a predator mindset and i'm going to say this in a positive way

00:36:27.380 if in case it sounded insulting it's not meant to be laura trump has predator written all over 1.00

00:36:36.020 do you would you agree with that let's put it this way um

00:36:41.700 if you look at somebody like uh you know adam schiff he might be an evil little troll but he doesn't 0.91

00:36:48.340 look like a predator yeah he looks like prey in the wild he'd be the first one that the lion ate

00:36:57.380 but but laura trump would be the lion right so she's got i think she has all the 1.00

00:37:05.940 qualifications that you need for somebody who's gonna just really make it happen and apparently

00:37:11.220 she's put together a pretty major effort for poll watchers and watchdogs during the poll

00:37:17.620 now that's the thing you were waiting for wasn't it weren't you waiting to find out that the republicans

00:37:22.660 were actually gonna fucking do something for once it turns out she is and it's pretty big 0.94

00:37:29.620 and it probably will make a big difference because you don't have to have them everywhere

00:37:33.940 you just have to have them in the key places so uh this is part of the theme of everything seems

00:37:40.820 to be going trump's way at the moment we'll get into more trump stuff but now that we know

00:37:47.700 what could have happened it looks like the uh censorship machine is at least being wounded

00:37:52.340 if not dismantled it looks like the people who are going to watch the elections are going to watch

00:37:57.460 it a lot more carefully and by the way we still don't have an answer of why we use electronic counting

00:38:04.100 machines nobody is even offered an explanation how far do you think we can go into the election cycle

00:38:14.100 without anybody anybody anywhere offering a counter arguments like oh yeah the machines are good because

00:38:24.500 it's going to get more and more embarrassing the longer we go with nobody even trying to answer the

00:38:28.660 question and and suppose somebody does answer the question even that's bad because why didn't the

00:38:34.900 public know about any of that what why is it we don't know why you're doing it we should know

00:38:40.820 that should be kind of transparent we're doing it because maybe it's a good reason maybe

00:38:49.620 anyway um

00:38:52.420 you know you've ever heard that saying those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it

00:38:58.100 sounded pretty smart when the first time you heard it if i ignore history i'll fall into those same

00:39:05.780 traps of the people in history so i better understand my history so i

00:39:10.180 i know what works and what doesn't work well that would make sense if history were real but we know

00:39:16.980 the history is completely made up because we know that the current news is completely made up

00:39:23.700 what will the news say about the uh the january 6 protest they're already calling it an insurrection

00:39:31.460 no insurrection happened but that will be the news and someday will people will look at the history books

00:39:39.300 and say hmm that was a terrible insurrection back there in january 6 and it won't be real but it'll be

00:39:47.380 history so i'm updating that to those who ignore history are less misinformed the more you know about

00:39:56.100 history the dumber you get so when i hear the historians especially the presidential historians

00:40:02.580 weighing in as experts i think to myself your entire industry is built around

00:40:07.460 bullshit you're actually analyzing the entrails of people who lied to you you're not even looking at the 0.84

00:40:15.300 history you're looking at the entrails of the liars and telling me what you think will happen in the

00:40:20.420 future the dumbest thing ever so the i wondered how many other old sayings are complete bullshit 0.89

00:40:27.620 so the whole thing about learning from history is ridiculous be yourself worst worst uh advice ever

00:40:37.060 don't be yourself that's terrible idea figure out what would be a better version of yourself and try to

00:40:44.980 work toward that you're not done you're not so good that being yourself is a good idea yeah what if you'd

00:40:52.900 done that when you were 12 would you still be acting like a 12 year old if you just thought that's how

00:40:58.500 you were naturally no don't act like yourself act like something useful act like something better than

00:41:04.740 you maybe you'll become that person how about follow your passion we don't have to talk about that but

00:41:09.780 we used to hear about that now that's obviously bullshit how about this big question about the

00:41:16.100 saudis not gonna i don't know trade in u.s dollars and then the petrodollar domination will go away and

00:41:24.180 the country will collapse and i thought to myself i don't think anybody even knows what's going to happen

00:41:31.620 and as of today that's my current view looking at some expert opinions well it's probably not a big deal

00:41:37.620 so how many of you thought it was the end of the world and today you read the news and the experts

00:41:44.260 like you know actually probably not that big a deal how long have we been worrying about this being

00:41:50.980 the collapse of the united states and then when it happens people go you know that's not the most important

00:41:57.860 thing so my current view is that there will just be adjustments and everything will work out

00:42:07.620 well you'd be surprised to find out that the department of justice who reports to garland

00:42:13.220 doesn't want to prosecute their boss for contempt huh bannon got prosecuted for contempt of congress 0.93

00:42:20.500 peter navarro still in jail for contempt of congress but when garland is in contempt of congress

00:42:27.060 i don't know they're not going to prosecute it now the republicans did a good job of forcing the

00:42:33.620 hypocrites to out themselves so now we don't have to wonder we don't have to wonder uh if there's two

00:42:43.140 forms of justice one for republicans and one for democrats there it is so your questions have been

00:42:49.140 answered there is a separate form of punishment for them for republicans well you heard a story that

00:42:57.140 the thousand representatives passed some measure that would automatically register young men for the

00:43:04.020 draft now the clarification is this it was already the law that young men had to register for the draft

00:43:14.340 so this change is just doing it automatically is that bad news or good news well i'm pretty sure if a draft

00:43:23.940 became necessary whether or not you registered would be less important than whether that not they had

00:43:30.180 a way to find you and they could always find you so some number of people will not register for the draft

00:43:39.380 because they didn't know they were supposed to just won't do it they just didn't know it was important

00:43:45.380 should they be in jail apparently it's jailable did you know that it's a felony to not register for the

00:43:52.420 draft how many of you didn't know that so it could be a quarter of a million dollar fines could be felony

00:43:59.780 but it's it's even more than that eventually when you age out of it and the statute of limitations wears off

00:44:08.020 at that point you can't be jailed and you can't be fined but apparently you are forever banned from

00:44:15.780 working for the government or getting government financial help in a lot of things and a lot of

00:44:20.980 states have their own laws to punish you for not signing up so if you make it automatic

00:44:29.700 it's actually safer for the young men because then nobody's going to say hey you didn't sign up

00:44:36.660 so now you have to go to jail they'll say oh everybody signed up it's automatic isn't that

00:44:42.660 better so what you might have thought is oh my god they're instituting the draft

00:44:49.140 is really just they took away a potential penalty for young men who for no fault of their own maybe

00:44:54.900 didn't register so it probably is just a net plus and nothing else that's my guess however is the timing

00:45:05.300 is suspicious recruitment is way down we know that recruitment's in the toilet and it's hard to get

00:45:12.980 qualified people to volunteer and the ukrainian war is heating up and people are talking about boots on

00:45:21.540 the ground of at least europeans it's not much of a leap to think that maybe the united states is just

00:45:28.100 sort of getting ready yeah just in case which isn't a bad idea for a country because it sends a signal to

00:45:35.860 the other countries that we're serious but here's the kicker

00:45:42.980 why is it that only men would be drafted we have a democrat in power should they not be honest with their

00:45:53.220 people so i think the democrats have to do one of two things either say we were lying all the time

00:46:01.140 about uh you know the genders being basically equal to do everything so really we were when it really

00:46:07.540 matters we were just kidding you're not equal the men will do the fighting you ladies stay home they can't 1.00

00:46:13.620 say that by the way that's not my opinion i'm just saying that what are they going to do so they built a

00:46:20.020 uh they built a party that is pro-woman woman can do everything they need to be registered for the draft 1.00

00:46:27.940 fully so i don't think men should be registered for the draft unless women are so long as we're living 0.99

00:46:35.700 in a women in a world in which everybody's the same so i think women should worry about combat 1.00

00:46:43.620 uh and worry about getting drafted so i think the odds of women being drafted into the military under a 1.00

00:46:51.700 biden regime are non-zero i've given odds of uh maybe a size 20 percent that if biden wins re-election

00:47:03.060 that the women will actually be drafted and that we'll be prepping for a european war now i would bet 1.00

00:47:10.660 against it yeah i would bet with the 80 percent likelihood it wouldn't happen but if i were a

00:47:16.580 female voter and i knew there was really no chance that would happen under trump but a 20 chance i would 1.00

00:47:22.660 get drafted into the army and sent to ukraine and i think that women need to be a little bit more 1.00

00:47:28.900 informed that they're very close to being handed a gun and sent to ukraine they're very close i don't

00:47:37.540 think they know that so it would be nice if they were at least uh warned that the possibility is

00:47:43.860 there uh msnbc the propaganda network is so funny like you know i always say i'm watching it for for

00:47:55.140 fun and i always think oh you think that's hyperbole no i actually watch it for the laughs because they're

00:48:01.780 so batshit crazy but really it's just propaganda so they're they're just acting but here's what

00:48:08.420 they're trying to sell us uh they're trying to sell us that they visit their uh business leaders who

00:48:17.540 of course don't give their names anonymous sources msnbc's got some anonymous sources those are always

00:48:24.980 reliable aren't they uh and they said that they questioned trump's mental fitness because he

00:48:31.300 couldn't keep a thought straight and he would go in one direction and then go in another direction

00:48:37.300 behind closed doors so here's what msnbc is trying to sell their public and i'm not making this up

00:48:45.940 this is actually what they're trying to sell to their audience that biden is uh looks dead in public

00:48:55.700 but if you were to catch him privately perfect trump is in public all the time

00:49:03.220 doing these high level hard things like rallies and you're talking for an hour extemporaneously

00:49:10.900 uh and while he does look great in public behind closed doors he's actually retarded 0.98

00:49:16.340 so if you're an embassy msnbc if you're an msnbc audience they're literally trying to teach you

00:49:26.340 that biden is a retard in public but behind closed doors just fine and that trump every day you see 0.96

00:49:33.860 him he looks just fine but behind closed doors let me tell you he all falls apart behind those closed doors

00:49:40.420 according to anonymous people who don't like him

00:49:45.780 and they're even saying that it's full projection and that the uh the right

00:49:50.260 right leading media is becoming like north korea

00:49:55.060 how can you watch morning joe and not thinking that's the the north korea

00:49:58.580 north korea the projection is in is in full full form

00:50:05.060 well to counter that uh chamath palapatiya

00:50:10.100 one of the wealthy investor vc types who was at the david sachs event

00:50:16.340 and uh where trump was there raising money in san francisco and he was talking recently on his podcast

00:50:22.260 about the experience of meeting trump personally and what he came away with is he's definitely sharp

00:50:29.700 in public in private uh he's pro ai doesn't want to over regulate it he's pro crypto understands it

00:50:38.100 doesn't want to regulate it too heavily uh he's pro low you know regulations and low taxes basically

00:50:44.900 all the things the business people want to hear he understands them all that the tariff versus income tax

00:50:51.460 is a pretty complicated thing which he apparently understands and is promoting at least floating as

00:50:56.980 a possibility and uh the other thing that uh chum chama said is that uh he's super funny and

00:51:04.660 personable and charismatic and he just and you know he said that his experience of him in person

00:51:12.100 was so different from his sort of bombastic public persona that nobody would even imagine it

00:51:18.100 that was exactly my experience in person he's humble and polite and funny and charismatic like you could

00:51:27.140 not like him more in person like he really has the whole package of you know how to work a crowd how

00:51:33.700 to work an individual so chamath came under the spell and he even said that that trump was making him laugh

00:51:41.540 so apparently he was looking at chamath and his wife who was very attractive

00:51:46.900 and uh he said wow you're you know a beautiful couple my goodness you're a beautiful couple

00:51:51.460 and then then he turns to chamath within hearing range of his beautiful wife he goes man you must be

00:51:58.740 really rich now that's funny it's funny that he said it in front of the guy's wife

00:52:06.020 and even java thought it was hilarious and his wife thought it was hilarious and they'll probably

00:52:12.580 talk about it for the rest of their life now that's trump right that that is exactly who he

00:52:18.740 is in private he's hilarious and he is very fun to talk to all right uh other stories everything's

00:52:26.900 going trump's way a bunch of ceo according to the wall street journal the top ceos are flocking to

00:52:32.980 trump well i don't know if they're flocking but appear apparently trump has won over the major bank

00:52:38.980 ceos you know the jamie diamond type doesn't mean they're necessarily voting for him but they do seem

00:52:46.340 to think there's a trump advantage to banking and business so if you get the bankers you have the money

00:52:52.740 people but he also has the most important venture capitalists in silicon valley and by the way

00:53:00.420 pretty much all of them are all the ones who talk in public i haven't heard any venture capitalists

00:53:07.780 lately being pro-biden except one who looked bad shit crazy so that the reasonable ones that you know

00:53:15.140 to be smart are pretty much all trump at this point uh bill ackman same thing and for all the right

00:53:23.380 reasons you know ai crypto regulation taxes it's exactly what you think so they're all coming home

00:53:30.420 meanwhile even according to rasmussen even arizona looks like it's going to go to trump when he

00:53:36.100 narrowly lost it last time if you add in the uh other candidates like rfk jr and jill stein whatever uh

00:53:43.940 trump has 41 to biden's 37 and uh he's doing even better than kerry lake is uh in her senate race that's

00:53:54.260 closer uh where she's just a little bit behind um her challenger ruben gallego so it's uh what is it

00:54:01.940 44 compared to 41 so that that's a closable gap we'll see if she does uh because they're 10 undecided

00:54:11.700 do you think the undecideds are really undecided if they vote i feel like i feel like undecided is

00:54:20.740 where you hide a pro-trump vote because if you're pro-biden it's just safer to say it isn't it

00:54:28.580 or it used to be it's less safe now but i think the 10 are likely to lean pro kerry lake so she might 0.97

00:54:36.500 have a little uh a little good luck if if this these numbers hold up we'll see all right so here's

00:54:43.220 the trump update let's compare the trump update to the biden update all right trump is ahead in all

00:54:50.660 the polls again so that's great he's got the support of the most important people in business in the

00:54:58.100 united states from elon musk through the bankers through the venture capitalists they aren't just

00:55:05.220 the business people in those entities those are the best business people the smartest ones in all

00:55:11.540 of those industries it's kind of obvious now he has um to the chagrin of democrats he has um

00:55:21.860 basically pulled the republican party together i guess even mit romney was in was in the group of

00:55:28.580 people who met with trump when he visited capitol hill so even people who were very very anti-trump

00:55:36.900 before have softened up and uh and coming around people who said bad things about him right after

00:55:43.300 january 6 have decided well maybe i took that too far you know and you've seen that jd vance vivek

00:55:50.500 there there are people who went hard at him and then later in the fullness of time and information

00:55:58.020 when you know that wasn't exactly what it looked like was it um so the other thing is that trump is

00:56:05.460 getting the support of men the ufc i saw tim pool mention that trump is getting the male vote the

00:56:12.900 republicans i saw greg gotfeld mentioned it um i've seen it in other publications it's now super super

00:56:20.820 obvious that the democrats are the party of women the um republicans are the party of men

00:56:27.460 not that there aren't you know men and the other and women the other blah blah blah it's just a trend

00:56:32.260 not a universal and trump still is ahead on all major policy issues i think if you took the top three

00:56:42.500 they're all trump you know immigration economy ukraine it's all trump so that's trump so trump basically

00:56:52.260 won everything and the only bad thing was somebody made up a new hoax that he insulted wisconsin

00:57:02.900 an anonymous an anonymous person said they were in the meeting and he insulted wisconsin

00:57:09.060 and then he was asked about it he just brushed it aside because now there's high crime there yeah that's

00:57:14.020 what i was saying now so that's it so he was basically one little hoax that nobody cared about

00:57:21.860 and all else went his way gigantically huge amount of money raising a huge change in opinion about what

00:57:30.500 people thought of all the lawfare everything's going his way everything let's see how biden's doing

00:57:36.820 biden is seeking young influencers for his campaign which apparently is hurt by the fact that when

00:57:45.780 you're trying to get tiktok influencers to back your campaign it doesn't work as well when you've just

00:57:51.940 signed a bill to ban tiktok that's right so where where trump is brilliantly working the podcasts and

00:58:01.700 raising gigantic amounts of money even from jail biden decided to use tiktok influencers and then ban tiktok

00:58:11.460 in other news he's continuing his world uh u.s embarrassment tour by wandering around like an

00:58:18.020 animated statue in front of the other world leaders just in case you'd forgotten the contrast

00:58:24.580 so it's not bad enough that we show him wandering around like a dementia patient in the united states

00:58:29.540 no we have to put him on the stage where all the other world leaders appear to be functional even

00:58:35.700 if you don't like their policies they appear to be able to walk and talk and you see him up there and

00:58:41.140 you say hey why is it we have the only leader in the g7 who can't walk and talk so that's not ideal for the

00:58:49.380 biden team and uh the biggest question about trump is whether the bad guys using lawfare will jail him before

00:58:58.580 the election but all smart people think he would he would win even from jail whereas biden's biggest

00:59:05.060 question is will he survive until election day or will he crumple into a pile of dust and the wind will

00:59:11.700 blow it away before november 5th so overall i would say that trump's looking a little bit better winning

00:59:19.140 all the polls getting all the business support winning men by a huge margin he is favored on all the

00:59:24.820 policies but biden is looking for tiktok influencers while banning tiktok fucking idiot embarrassing the 0.93

00:59:31.140 world the u.s around the world uh on camera so we can all watch it and the biggest question is whether

00:59:36.660 he's even healthy enough to survive until election day so what if he wins

00:59:43.300 i saw greg uh gaffel asked this question what if he wins there's going to be some trouble i don't

00:59:54.820 recommend trouble yeah don't do anything but how is the public going to accept that it's just going to

01:00:02.100 look like it's rigged so there you go um so it's all good for me because i'm a i'm one of those hot rodent

01:00:16.500 men okay and the last thing is that uh the secretary of state uh blinken um he said that the kremlin is

01:00:29.060 intensifying is hybrid attacks against nato members now do you know what the hybrid attacks are that

01:00:36.020 would be like hacking and um you know murdering people in suspicious ways that's right so

01:00:47.220 do you believe the do you believe when tony blinken says russia is doing hacking and hurting

01:00:53.700 hurting the countries that are near uh russia over there how do they know it's russian hackers

01:01:01.940 if i've taught you anything it's this if somebody claims that russian hackers broke into anything

01:01:09.540 that's probably bullshit i'm not saying that russian hackers never have broken into anything 0.69

01:01:15.940 i'm just saying they'll never be able to prove it and it's always very convenient when it happens isn't

01:01:21.140 it oh we're mad at russia because of ukraine and uh there's all these suspicious hacks well that must 0.61

01:01:28.420 be russia now it might be but i would put zero credibility on any claim of russia hacking how

01:01:37.940 about russia hacking hillary's emails nope i do not believe that that really happened in the real world

01:01:44.740 that looks like bullshit to me maybe i wouldn't say it's impossible but i think every claim of russia 0.65

01:01:53.060 hacking is in the really low credibility range no matter where it comes from even if the government says

01:01:59.220 oh we've got tons of evidence can't show it to you but we got all the evidence no don't believe it

01:02:05.540 because russia is just the scapegoat of scapegoats

01:02:08.900 so if somebody says hey we found a bunch of dead bodies we think it's russia maybe probably not

01:02:25.460 the the anti-semitic people on youtube are are just so uh animated

01:02:34.260 every day i have to deal with people telling me i don't understand history and if i did i would see

01:02:43.380 the mass jewish conspiracy and i always ask i'm willing to listen to any argument

01:02:52.260 so what do you got and it's always nothing so if when i say okay well if you're making a claim what

01:02:59.780 would be the evidence for that well scott if you knew history i go well okay why don't you point me

01:03:06.020 to something well if you're not going to be educated no just show me something and it just

01:03:11.780 disappears as soon as you ask for any anything reliable or anything so um we're still talking about vp

01:03:21.940 possibilities yeah um tv heads care about defending them and then we're losing

01:03:33.940 biden wandering around was not shown on mainstream tv

01:03:38.980 yeah the people still watching mainstream tv are just lost i'd love to see trump say that

01:03:46.260 i'd love trump to say you know you should lose all uh all credibility in the mainstream press

01:03:55.380 and you should you should look at at least the podcasters

01:03:59.540 who are sort of the alternate news at this point

01:04:08.100 yeah so is it the wef that's controlling the world or is it the freemasons or is the 0.95

01:04:14.580 the gigantic jewish conspiracy that you're all sure is happening but nobody has any information 0.99

01:04:20.180 that they can share with me that would be not as stupid you know a lot of conspiracies well i don't

01:04:27.700 know some of them might be true but that ladies and gentlemen concludes my saturday amazing coffee with

01:04:34.580 scott adams i'm gonna say goodbye to youtube and rumble and x and talk to my beloved subscribers on

01:04:43.220 locals um if you're not subscribing to the dilbert comic that's either on x by subscription or on locals

01:04:53.780 you would miss that dilber is using the declining birth rate argument to try to get his date to sleep

01:05:01.140 of them because they're going to need to increase the population of the earth or we're all dead

01:05:08.260 it doesn't work out well for dilbert as you might guess and if you have not yet bought my book god's

01:05:16.020 debris the complete works that includes the first two books plus a new a new short story to complete

01:05:23.540 the avatar arc you should because people are loving it the reviews are crazy it's a good gift book by the

01:05:31.380 way and a great summer book and or reframe your brain is is uh good too if you haven't uh it's actually

01:05:38.020 great if you haven't seen it all right so that's it for me for the big platforms i'm gonna go talk to

01:05:43.540 the locals people right now

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 15, 2024

Episode 2506 CWSA 06⧸15⧸24

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