Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2508 CWSA 06⧸17⧸24

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00:00:30.000 Hmm. Extra good.

00:00:35.240 Extra good.

00:00:38.320 Well, so what happens when AI and security cameras get combined?

00:00:46.300 Because you know that's going to happen. I'm sure it's happening somewhere already.

00:00:51.860 There was a story about some cameras in the subway that were reading people's emotions and trying to

00:00:57.380 decide if you're a bicycle thief and all that. But I have a real world event that happened in my

00:01:04.880 neighborhood. So two days ago, one of the neighbors saw what she thought was a mountain lion in the

00:01:13.540 backyard. And this is like right in my neighborhood, a mountain lion. So we weren't entirely sure if the

00:01:22.540 picture was clear. Is it really a mountain lion or, you know, whatever. So I take the photo because we're

00:01:28.780 all connected by a WhatsApp group. So I take the photo. I feed it up to ChatGPT. They say, hey, this

00:01:36.180 animal was found. What is it? And what, you know, how afraid should I be? ChatGPT identifies it

00:01:43.920 immediately. It says, oh, it's a Puma mountain lion. It tells you what to do to stay safe. You know,

00:01:51.760 look big, don't run away because they have an instinct to chase, a whole bunch of stuff like

00:01:56.740 that. And I thought, how hard would it be for the security cam itself to have done that? You know,

00:02:04.980 why didn't the security cam spot a mountain lion in our backyard and send us a message on WhatsApp

00:02:11.060 saying, hey, everybody, the security camera just picked up a mountain lion in the backyard.

00:02:17.340 So everybody watch out. Now, that's what security is going to look like. And it should also identify

00:02:23.700 who you are and open the door for you if you're okay. In my incredible book, God's Debris,

00:02:35.140 in the short story at the end, people don't have keys or locked doors because your AI decides who

00:02:43.920 comes in and doesn't. So you just walk up to the door and announce yourself to the AI and it either

00:02:49.540 opens or it doesn't. So you don't need keys anymore in the future. That's certainly where things are

00:02:55.400 going. All right. The X platform apparently is going to have micro payments soon or just payments.

00:03:02.460 And we don't know when that will come, but it looks like it's coming really fast. It'll be in the

00:03:08.100 United States first. Also, Elon Musk is revealing that Starlink has a new portable station. So it's

00:03:16.920 about the size of a laptop. So you could take with you your Starlink and you can set up in like a

00:03:22.980 couple of minutes. You just prop it up and hit a few buttons and you're online. I guess it can stream

00:03:29.680 four 4K movies at the same time. That's pretty serious. And some people are saying that they

00:03:36.520 might get it just as their backup. That's not the worst idea. But I was thinking if I have that thing,

00:03:43.600 then I can just take my show anywhere I want it, right? When I travel, sometimes you get that

00:03:49.580 crappy hotel Wi-Fi. It doesn't really work. So maybe I should travel more and take that with me.

00:03:57.500 We'll wait to see when that's on the market. Chuck Schumer is getting some humorous criticism for

00:04:04.960 posing for a Father's Day picture in which he was clearly only pretending to be the one doing the

00:04:10.760 grilling. And the way you can tell he's pretending is that a bunch of uncooked patties sitting on the

00:04:18.820 grill. And one of the uncooked patties had cheese on it. Who puts cheese on an uncooked hamburger?

00:04:28.480 Nobody. Nobody. It's funny. As soon as I saw the picture, I said to myself,

00:04:33.660 I don't think he's doing the grilling. I just feel like Schumer's not the one if there's like a big

00:04:41.440 gathering. What are the odds he's doing the grilling? I mean, it was just so fake. Apparently,

00:04:46.180 just took the picture down and said, ah, you got me. You know, those are the situations where I would

00:04:53.020 love him just to tell the truth. Say, ah, yeah, it's just a staged picture. I'm an idiot. And then I

00:04:59.000 would like him. Then I would say, oh, you know, just a human kind of a thing. No big deal.

00:05:05.120 But I'd love him to be a little more, you know, like a regular person. Well, Harry Enten, the pollster

00:05:13.660 guy from CNN, is becoming, rapidly becoming my favorite news-related person. Because he goes on

00:05:21.900 CNN and he gets really excited about how Trump is doing well in the polls. And since he's their own

00:05:30.020 guy, they can't not invite him anymore. He's just, he's just dancing on Biden's grave with the poll

00:05:38.420 numbers. And, and he's enjoying himself way too much. You know, he doesn't, he's not calling a

00:05:44.540 favorite. It's just, he's way too excited that poll, that Trump looks like he's going to have historic

00:05:49.920 poll numbers with black voters. So that's what he was talking about today. And he noted that when

00:05:57.840 they drilled down, well, first of all, the Trump's support among black Americans went from

00:06:03.120 7% in the last election to now 21%. But he drilled down into the details. And I thought to myself,

00:06:11.820 ah, finally, we're going to find out what's the male-female difference. Because I think it's 0.87

00:06:16.240 mostly men. But instead of male-female, he looked at age. So apparently if you're over 50,

00:06:23.620 you know, you're more likely to support Biden. But even that's, even that's going down. But if

00:06:32.520 you're under 50, his supports just dropped to practically nothing. Yeah, I'm exaggerating.

00:06:41.600 But his support for under 50 is like in the tank among black Americans. But they never mentioned

00:06:47.640 gender again. Do you think that black Americans under 50 are the main thing that's happening?

00:06:57.160 And it's just age-related? Or do you think it's men? I think it might be both. Because when you see

00:07:03.940 the, you know, the street interviews, whether they're, whether the interviewer is talking to a

00:07:09.760 black American man or woman, they're getting the same answer that they like Trump this time.

00:07:16.940 So it could be that I'm wrong, that the movement of men, it might be more of a general thing, but not

00:07:23.440 necessarily, especially in the black community. It might be just everybody young. So I don't know.

00:07:29.400 I would still bet there's a bigger effect from males. But it doesn't seem like it anecdotally.

00:07:35.940 CNN did the most embarrassing thing I've ever seen a network do since the Hunter laptop story and

00:07:45.240 that mess. But they did this big segment about how the people who support Trump erroneously think

00:07:54.740 America is not a democracy, and rather make some strange claim that it's a republic instead.

00:08:00.340 You know, like the Constitution says, that it's a constitutional federal republic.

00:08:11.540 And CNN, the news program, actually made a whole show trying to show that Republicans don't know

00:08:20.860 that we're really a democracy. And they showed videos of past presidents referring to America

00:08:28.480 as a democracy to prove their point that we're a democracy and always have been.

00:08:34.980 And then they said, they speculated as to why these dumb Republicans keep calling it a republic.

00:08:41.620 And do you know what their theory is? They had a guest on who had a hypothesis.

00:08:45.520 Why is it the Republicans keep calling it a republic?

00:08:49.320 It's because they don't like democracies.

00:08:51.480 That's CNN's take, that the reason that Republicans correctly call us a republic is not because they're

00:09:02.200 well-informed, which would seem obviously the case.

00:09:06.820 No, it's rather part of their strategy to show that democracy is unwelcome.

00:09:15.780 And really, it should be some other kind of a, you know, Trump dictator situation that we might call a republic.

00:09:25.060 Now, that is so batshit crazy fucking stupid that I don't even know what to say about it.

00:09:32.480 You know, every right-leaning pundit's waited already and did all the good jokes.

00:09:37.100 But there were a number of people on CNN who were not aware that we're not a democracy and were never meant to be one because that's one vote for everybody and that's just chaos.

00:09:51.740 My mind is just boggled.

00:09:54.680 And I'm going to remind you of the game that I've been playing this year that you cannot play in other years.

00:10:00.020 In other years, you couldn't play this game because you could argue that, well, these are just two separate opinions.

00:10:06.760 Maybe they have different information, you know, and different preferences and stuff.

00:10:11.880 So there's a reason people have two different opinions.

00:10:14.800 But this year, because Biden is not even a viable human being, much less a president, there's no real doubt about what's going on this year.

00:10:24.600 In the past, you could make an argument, well, maybe they mean what they're saying.

00:10:30.420 It's possible they just mean it and, you know, it's just a different opinion from mine.

00:10:35.380 But not now.

00:10:37.380 Not now.

00:10:39.060 So now you get to play the game I call stupid, lying, or TDS.

00:10:46.200 You take something that somebody who is a Biden supporter says and you say, all right, that's clearly ridiculous.

00:10:53.120 But why are they saying it?

00:10:55.600 Is it because they're stupid?

00:10:57.600 Is it because they're lying?

00:10:59.900 Or because they have TDS?

00:11:01.760 And then it gets complicated because sometimes it's all three.

00:11:06.280 So what would you say in this case?

00:11:08.780 Is CNN collectively, because a lot of people had to see this before it got in the air, are they collectively stupid?

00:11:15.860 And they don't know that they're not living in a democracy and was never intended to be one?

00:11:20.340 Are they lying and they know full well what they're doing?

00:11:26.000 Or do they have TDS and it's just made them unable to function?

00:11:32.360 Well, I think this was a combination of stupid because if they were smart, they would have known they would be mocked mercilessly for being so stupid.

00:11:44.000 So it must be genuine stupidity.

00:11:47.440 But on top of it, I think you only get that stupid if you've got a little TDS.

00:11:53.560 So I don't think they're lying.

00:11:56.340 They look like they meant what they were saying.

00:11:59.480 So I'm going to say mostly stupid, but probably triggered by a little TDS that made them lose their ability to see things.

00:12:07.940 And they said things like, when the Trump supporters said, we're not a democracy, it, quote, stopped me in my tracks.

00:12:19.440 So one of the things that CNN does is they try to sell things that aren't true by their attitude.

00:12:26.100 All right.

00:12:28.260 So let's say somebody offered them a bottle of water and it's exactly what they wanted.

00:12:35.360 But the person who offered it to him was, let's say, a Trump supporter.

00:12:39.320 So they couldn't tell the story quite the way it happened.

00:12:42.940 They would tell you the story, but they would add attitude to make it sound like it's something else.

00:12:48.120 So instead of saying, you know, I was really thirsty and this nice Trump supporter at the rally offered me one of his waters.

00:12:55.180 That was great.

00:12:55.960 Thank you.

00:12:57.300 Instead, they'd say.

00:12:59.260 I was dumbfounded.

00:13:01.640 I was.

00:13:04.060 I don't even know what to say.

00:13:05.380 I don't even have to talk about this.

00:13:07.980 I was thirsty.

00:13:09.300 And then.

00:13:11.500 Somebody offered me water.

00:13:14.220 Like, do you think I'm helpless?

00:13:15.820 Do you think I'm stupid?

00:13:19.720 Do you think I can't figure out how to get water?

00:13:22.520 Like, I don't even know what's wrong with these people.

00:13:26.840 You've seen it, right?

00:13:28.340 They'll just take the most ordinary thing and they'll try to turn it into a thing by their reaction to it.

00:13:35.680 Now, here's something I want you to watch for.

00:13:38.560 Watch how often the news is about the news.

00:13:43.320 More than ever.

00:13:44.180 And it's also about their own reaction.

00:13:47.860 So they'll tell a story that doesn't have much interest to it.

00:13:51.300 Like this one.

00:13:52.380 Literally just made up that there's some kind of controversy about whether we're a democracy or a republic.

00:13:58.180 No, there isn't.

00:13:59.460 There's no controversy.

00:14:00.860 There's no story there at all.

00:14:02.240 They made a story entirely about their own wrong reactions to something normal.

00:14:08.020 And then they put it on the air.

00:14:13.220 All right.

00:14:13.960 According to Reuters, the United States might be 15 years behind China on nuclear power.

00:14:21.780 They're firing up like 27 nuclear reactors and we have planned none.

00:14:29.340 None.

00:14:29.940 I guess we reopened a couple or opened a couple, but there's nothing in the pipeline.

00:14:35.260 Now, there are some smaller ones that might have some tests upcoming and stuff, but nobody's just building a nuclear power plant in the United States.

00:14:44.100 Do you know why?

00:14:45.000 Well, it's political.

00:14:47.400 It's not tactical.

00:14:49.380 And do you know why specifically?

00:14:52.000 The political problem here that isn't in China, apparently.

00:14:56.200 Well, it turns out that women by a majority, pretty strong majority, are against nuclear energy.

00:15:02.020 And men by a pretty strong majority are in favor of it.

00:15:05.040 Now, that means that the complete necessity of having a robust nuclear energy program for survival, for survival, because we're entering the AI robot era, where the AI and the robots are going to take all our electricity and might have to start a war just to get some more electricity.

00:15:28.360 But we would be in good shape if we had a good nuclear power program.

00:15:36.200 So in the right-leaning world, there are a number of people who are provocatively say that the problem with the United States is that we let women vote.

00:15:47.840 Now, I, of course, dismiss that as fun and provocative.

00:15:54.480 Nobody's really serious about that.

00:15:56.060 I don't take it too seriously, and I disagree that women should not be allowed to vote.

00:16:04.620 However, the data is on the side of people who say they shouldn't.

00:16:10.740 That's just the fact that it looks like women voting has destroyed the United States, because I don't think there's even a way to recover from this. 1.00

00:16:19.440 If we're too far behind on nuclear, we will also be behind on AI, and certainly our economy will suffer, and therefore our military will suffer.

00:16:30.780 This is actually an existential end to the United States, you know, unless we invent our way out of it, which we're pretty good at doing.

00:16:39.060 But, hmm, this is a very bad person today in the comments.

00:16:49.420 So, yes, I do think everybody needs to vote.

00:16:56.920 There's no way around that.

00:16:58.140 But women, you have to be aware of the fact that you destroyed the United States. 1.00

00:17:03.860 And I don't know what the breakdown is of people who are in favor of the open borders, but it's mostly Democrats, and the Democrats are a woman-run program. 0.99

00:17:13.240 So, women seem to be singularly responsible for opening the border, which will probably open up a wave of terrorism like we've never seen. 1.00

00:17:24.740 Everybody expects that.

00:17:26.440 And also responsible for destroying the only important technology of the future, which is AI and robotics, because we won't have enough energy to power it.

00:17:37.440 Now, those are just facts.

00:17:39.380 What part did I get wrong?

00:17:41.200 There's no hyperbole there, is there?

00:17:43.240 Those are two things that if you took women out of the mix, they would have gone the other way. 1.00

00:17:48.380 If men alone had been in charge, the border would be secure. 0.97

00:17:52.480 And our nuclear program would be humming along like crazy if men were in charge. 0.94

00:17:59.180 Now, you could say, well, but men do a bunch of other dumb things like attack Ukraine.

00:18:04.220 Well, I don't know.

00:18:05.720 I think Victoria Nuland had a little something to do with that. 1.00

00:18:09.820 So, I don't know.

00:18:11.120 You know, that's a special case.

00:18:13.240 But no, of course, women should be allowed to vote as all adult citizens should be. 0.99

00:18:20.380 But you're going to have to take the score.

00:18:24.260 The score is you've largely destroyed the country.

00:18:28.540 Watergate has its 50th anniversary.

00:18:30.880 ABC News has brought out the two people, you know, the worst of the Watergate guy and then the other guy.

00:18:41.360 And here's the funny thing.

00:18:43.140 I used to think the whole Watergate story was real.

00:18:47.220 That Nixon did some bad things, you know, with the break-in at the Watergate.

00:18:51.280 And he tried to cover it up.

00:18:53.700 And then good people got together from both sides.

00:18:57.220 It wasn't totally political.

00:18:59.420 And ousted him.

00:19:01.560 And my current thinking is that it was always a CIA op.

00:19:05.400 And I think Nixon came to believe the same.

00:19:08.440 Because a lot of the people were CIA connected.

00:19:11.640 And it looked like Nixon was looking to cut the CIA dramatically.

00:19:18.660 So, Nixon was anti-CIA.

00:19:21.740 And then they took him out.

00:19:24.040 So, to me, it looks like the CIA just took out a president.

00:19:26.880 And that's one of several times they've done it.

00:19:29.100 It would be three that we know of.

00:19:30.960 You know, Kennedy assassination, Trump losing mysteriously, and Nixon.

00:19:37.820 So, there could be three of them that were entitled to that.

00:19:42.380 And I've always wondered about Johnson not running for re-election.

00:19:46.880 I feel like somebody gave him the talk.

00:19:49.000 But I don't know.

00:19:50.380 So, I don't believe anything about Watergate.

00:19:52.400 And when I see ABC News trying to, you know, kind of make them a thing again,

00:19:58.580 I say to myself, you know what?

00:20:00.860 Maybe that identifies what ABC News is about.

00:20:04.720 Maybe ABC News is more about covering up the news than reporting the news, you wonder.

00:20:09.740 Don't you wonder that?

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00:21:10.900 All right, meanwhile, actor and hip-hop artist, rapper, 50 Cent.

00:21:19.120 You can call him 50 Cent.

00:21:21.200 I would not criticize you for that.

00:21:23.660 And apparently he's working with the Republican mayor of Shreveport, Louisiana, to try to rebuild and modernize the city and make it a hub of American greatness, they call it.

00:21:34.120 So he wants to move the headquarters for his, he's got a film and television studio, create a bunch of jobs.

00:21:41.860 He's buying a bunch of buildings there that he wants to turn into special places.

00:21:45.880 He wants to, you know, make creativity, meet opportunity and talent, meets mentorship.

00:21:50.880 The mentorship's pretty smart.

00:21:52.520 Now, this will be a really interesting experiment, because it's a wealthy celebrity black guy working with a Republican mayor to do what probably would just be a bunch of common sense, you know, business-y things that people would like.

00:22:11.820 So I wish him the best.

00:22:16.000 And if it works, maybe there's something to copy.

00:22:18.360 And if it doesn't work, I'm going to say the cities are dead forever.

00:22:24.020 I suppose that's harsh.

00:22:25.580 But I don't expect cities to survive.

00:22:28.340 Do you?

00:22:29.720 I think it's just inevitable that living in a city is just too much pain in the ass, too much crime, too much everything.

00:22:38.440 So I don't think that reviving cities is worth doing at all.

00:22:41.900 If I were a 50 cent, I'd say, hey, President Trump, can you give me some of that free land, the federal land, and I'll build a new city there?

00:22:52.180 And I'll put my industry there.

00:22:56.200 And then, you know, you could build a city around it so it's already starting with some industry.

00:23:01.940 That's the way I'd go.

00:23:02.980 I'd go blank land.

00:23:04.920 Well, Bill Maher on his auxiliary show, what's that called?

00:23:13.880 What's Bill Maher's?

00:23:15.100 Oh, Club Random.

00:23:16.720 He had Larry Wilmore on.

00:23:19.300 And Larry Wilmore, if you don't know him, he's a comedian, and he's black, which is important to both of these points.

00:23:25.300 And he said, quote, I have a healthy outlook on this.

00:23:31.720 I just feel all white people is problematic. 0.97

00:23:35.200 Doesn't matter what party you're in.

00:23:38.320 Then Bill said, we do live in an era now where lots of stuff can't happen in reverse.

00:23:44.200 I can't make that joke about you, and I don't want to.

00:23:47.580 Now, notice that Bill Maher called it a joke.

00:23:50.940 I feel like he was kind of trying to help out his friend.

00:23:53.320 Do you think that when Larry Wilmore said, I have a healthy outlook, I just feel all white people are problematic? 1.00

00:24:02.920 Do you think that was a joke?

00:24:05.860 It didn't sound like one.

00:24:07.780 I write jokes for a living, and I didn't recognize that as any joke form I've ever seen.

00:24:15.500 It sounded like he meant it to me.

00:24:17.920 What's your take?

00:24:19.800 Wouldn't you say he meant it?

00:24:20.980 It would be a weird thing to say if you didn't mean it, you know, unless there was more to the act.

00:24:27.720 Like, if it was part of an act, I'd say, oh, he's going to circle back around and, you know, soften that after you've seen the whole thing, something like that.

00:24:36.520 But that sounded like a conversational opinion.

00:24:39.460 It didn't sound like any kind of a joke.

00:24:41.000 And then Larry explained it, you know, that it would be okay for him to say that sort of stuff, but not the other way.

00:24:50.680 He says, that's just the top dog, underdog dynamic.

00:24:54.440 Underdog gets to make fun of top dog.

00:24:57.460 Well, that would be true if the top dog could walk into any corporation in America and get a job.

00:25:03.420 What makes you the top dog if you don't have free speech and you don't have equal employment?

00:25:14.780 What exactly is the top dog if you have fewer economic opportunities, at least job-wise, and you don't have free speech in the way that other people do?

00:25:26.980 Sort of a weird definition of the top dog versus the underdog.

00:25:34.120 And then Bill Maher says, can you imagine if a white person said that in reverse?

00:25:38.920 It's not a good thing.

00:25:40.940 And Larry said, some of them do say that.

00:25:43.080 Fair point.

00:25:45.900 There's a lot of oppression by proxy, which was a more interesting point.

00:25:49.640 But here's what I say.

00:25:50.940 Yes, I agree with Larry's comment that the underdog does get to make fun of the overdog.

00:26:02.000 That's a pretty well-established human thing, right?

00:26:07.060 Kind of in lots of different scenarios.

00:26:09.000 That's just the way it goes.

00:26:11.460 And you can love it or hate it, but it's sort of normal in human behavior.

00:26:14.580 It doesn't seem like the worst thing in the world, that the underdogs are mocking the overdogs, as they see it.

00:26:21.640 You could argue who is the underdog in this case, but it's a separate argument.

00:26:26.200 But here's my take.

00:26:30.040 I got canceled for pointing out that Larry Wilmore exists.

00:26:36.720 I didn't get canceled for my opinion.

00:26:38.780 I got canceled for simply observing that other people have an opinion, and that it was documented in one case in a Rasmussen poll, which had about a 9% margin of error, which wouldn't have changed my opinion in either direction.

00:26:56.160 Because it was a big effect, and if it had been off by 9% or 20% or 30%, it would still be the same point.

00:27:03.160 Which is, Rasmussen found an alarming percentage of people who were black who said it wasn't okay to be white.

00:27:11.900 Larry Wilmore says, I feel all white people are problematic. 1.00

00:27:16.100 Isn't that the same opinion?

00:27:19.060 Now, tell me if I'm just being too generous to myself here.

00:27:24.100 Is it not true that I got canceled for simply observing that there's more than one Larry Wilmore with the opinion that white people are problematic?

00:27:36.840 That's what I got canceled for.

00:27:38.380 I didn't say I don't like black people, because that wouldn't be true.

00:27:41.380 I love black people.

00:27:44.000 I didn't say that you should discriminate against them.

00:27:48.520 I said, you should get away from anybody with this opinion.

00:27:53.180 I wouldn't want Larry Wilmore as my neighbor, would you?

00:27:57.000 Would you want Larry Wilmore to be your neighbor after he says white people are problematic?

00:28:02.420 I wouldn't.

00:28:03.960 The smartest thing you could do is get as far the fuck away from Larry Wilmore as you can.

00:28:10.040 Why would you have any contact with him?

00:28:11.880 Now, if somebody is just a flat-out racist against you, don't have contact.

00:28:19.760 I say the same thing.

00:28:21.040 It's the same advice for black Americans. 0.97

00:28:23.460 If you're looking for a new town to move to, and one of them is the headquarters of the KKK,

00:28:29.640 it would be a bad idea to say, well, but most of the people are nice.

00:28:35.740 That'd be a bad strategy.

00:28:37.000 You should, if you're black, don't move into a town that has an active KKK chapter in it.

00:28:44.140 That won't work out.

00:28:45.380 You should get the fuck away from the KKK.

00:28:48.040 And when it comes to what's safe, there are no rules.

00:28:52.320 If you're doing your own safety, there's no law against any decision you make within the existing law.

00:28:59.960 So yes, you can stay away from people who state a preference that they don't like you for whatever reason.

00:29:07.000 Anyway, this is funny.

00:29:10.140 New York Governor Hochul and New York City Mayor Adams, they both want to ban masks in public places.

00:29:18.100 So they don't want you to wear a mask on the subway, and they don't want you to wear a mask for a protest,

00:29:24.780 because they've just discovered that people wearing masks in that situation might cause trouble,

00:29:29.920 because they can't be spotted.

00:29:31.040 How long did it take them to figure that out?

00:29:39.380 Everybody in the world knew this.

00:29:41.840 They're just figuring out that the masks might be bad for a crime.

00:29:46.560 Yeah.

00:29:47.320 Yeah.

00:29:48.220 Certainly.

00:29:49.960 Greg Abbott, governor of Texas, he's sounding the alarm, they say.

00:29:55.700 There was some Houston voter fraud, got caught.

00:30:01.560 And Abbott says voter fraud is real, because a judge has ordered a new election in Harris County.

00:30:08.300 So 1,400 votes were illegally cast, and they got caught.

00:30:12.940 The part of the story that I'm most curious about is part of the C, which is how'd they catch them?

00:30:19.440 The how do you catch them seems like the important part of the story, right?

00:30:22.520 Because if it turns out they only caught them by luck or a whistleblower, wouldn't that suggest that people could cheat and get away with it fairly easily?

00:30:35.400 But if the system is set up such that that level of cheating, 1,400 votes, by the way, would be a lot of votes.

00:30:42.900 I think whoever won only won by about 500.

00:30:45.960 So it was the margin, the difference between winning and losing.

00:30:48.420 But don't you want to know if the normal election process caught that irregularity?

00:30:57.140 Isn't that the big question?

00:30:59.020 The big question is, oh, we're so well organized that if somebody does cheat, we might catch it after the fact, but in time to correct it.

00:31:08.220 I feel like the most important part of the story isn't in the headline.

00:31:14.920 So maybe if you dig down a little deeper.

00:31:17.380 Somebody fill me in, how do they catch that person?

00:31:21.300 Anyway, the Washington Post is doing poorly with their new leadership.

00:31:27.900 I guess the staff is rebelling because the new leadership did some things in the past that people don't love in his prior jobs.

00:31:37.340 But I think they're just, it's more that he's too right-leaning.

00:31:40.900 He's more like a little bit of center-right, I think.

00:31:43.880 And they don't like that.

00:31:45.780 But Nicholas Kristof, who writes for the New York Times, said this in a post.

00:31:51.100 He said, the Washington Post is a great, great, great paper.

00:31:56.780 And its greatness, now if you're keeping track, Nicholas Kristof works for the New York Times as a writer.

00:32:04.720 Now, New York Times gets the finest writers because they have the best reputation.

00:32:09.400 So the finest writer has used the word great four times in the sentence so far.

00:32:13.660 I just need to point that out.

00:32:15.400 I just need to point that out.

00:32:16.580 Great, great, great paper and its greatness pushes the rest of us in the media world to do a better job.

00:32:26.160 Really?

00:32:28.940 You know, in what universe is the Washington Post a great publication that's pushing everybody to excellence?

00:32:36.780 I thought everybody knew it was just a garbage publication that's just a propaganda vehicle.

00:32:44.300 I thought that was widely understood.

00:32:46.580 But really, is this real?

00:32:51.860 So here we're going to play stupid, lying, or TDS.

00:32:58.280 Is Nicholas Kristof stupid, lying, or does he have TDS?

00:33:04.660 Doesn't look like TDS because it's not related to Trumpet anyway.

00:33:08.220 Is he stupid?

00:33:09.220 Is he stupid?

00:33:11.740 That seems unlikely.

00:33:14.000 Although he did use the word great four times in one sentence.

00:33:18.480 Sort of argues against that point.

00:33:20.900 But no, he's a professional writer who's done well enough that you would intuit that his IQ is high.

00:33:27.020 So I don't think he's stupid.

00:33:30.840 That would leave lying.

00:33:32.340 Do you think he really thinks the Washington Post is a great, great paper?

00:33:39.960 Or does he think it's great, great for Democrats?

00:33:44.020 I'm going to go with lying on this one.

00:33:48.420 Now, when I play this game, remember, I don't know the real answer.

00:33:51.880 I'm just saying my best answer is he's not stupid.

00:33:55.440 It doesn't seem related to TDS because that's not even in the topic.

00:33:59.100 It looks like Trump isn't.

00:34:01.020 It looks like he's just lying.

00:34:03.780 Now, do you have another hypothesis?

00:34:07.720 If you do, I'd be interested.

00:34:10.560 Anyway, BBC says more people are turning away from the news.

00:34:15.700 So the number of people who even follow the news, let's see, it was, yeah, it's like 39%

00:34:25.880 are turning away from the news when it was only 29% in 2017.

00:34:30.600 So far more people are just ignoring the news because it's depressing and relentless and boring.

00:34:37.160 Now, the BBC is reporting this.

00:34:39.740 Do you know who's really the worst people to report on why people aren't watching the news?

00:34:46.660 It's the news.

00:34:49.200 They're the least capable to tell you that story.

00:34:52.360 Because if they knew what they were doing that caused people not to watch it,

00:34:55.880 they'd probably do something different.

00:34:58.560 So they're the only ones who don't know what's going on.

00:35:01.600 Let me tell you what's going on.

00:35:03.380 We can all tell it's not real.

00:35:06.460 We can all tell it's not real.

00:35:08.880 Everybody knows it's not real.

00:35:10.560 But, you know, we still like to agree with the stories that agree with us.

00:35:14.240 But on some level, we know it's not real.

00:35:17.080 And I don't think we always knew that.

00:35:19.400 So that's new.

00:35:20.040 The other thing is, you know, there's social media.

00:35:23.040 There are more options, blah, blah, blah.

00:35:24.940 And people don't necessarily like this long form and comes on at 7 o'clock at night.

00:35:30.120 I mean, there are a whole bunch of reasons why the news would, the traditional news, would decrease.

00:35:35.080 But here's what they should have said.

00:35:38.240 They should have said that the consumption of news on the X platform is at an all-time high.

00:35:43.800 I don't know that to be true, but I'll bet it's true.

00:35:47.740 Don't you think if you say people aren't watching the regular news, you should mention that they've probably done what I did?

00:35:55.060 I watch very little regular news, but I'm on social media all the time, which summarizes the other news reports, etc.

00:36:03.660 So this is probably another one of those poorly measured and the wrong people are reporting a situation.

00:36:10.200 All right.

00:36:14.800 The Washington Examiner has an exclusive that the State Department got subpoenaed for failing to turn over records on programs that Republicans are saying created censorship by proxy and revenue interference.

00:36:32.180 So, in other words, the claim is that the government worked with private companies, the social media platforms, and maybe other things, in order to basically push censorship.

00:36:48.800 Censorship means interfering with elections, basically.

00:36:53.960 Mostly it's interfering with elections.

00:36:56.920 Even if that doesn't look like it every day, the effect is that.

00:37:00.400 Anyway, so we'll see how that turns out.

00:37:06.280 We do see that some of the censorship stuff was dismantled, but I suspect it just goes and hides in other corners.

00:37:18.120 I can't imagine that the Democrats will stop using the government to censor.

00:37:23.020 I just think they'll keep doing it, but more cleverly, or they'll censor AI, and that's all they'll need to do in the future.

00:37:32.560 Something like that.

00:37:33.520 But I don't think any of that is going away.

00:37:39.300 According to Rasmussen, 62% of voters approve of the prison sentence for Bannon.

00:37:45.020 Now, that's not too surprising, because that would be, of course, pretty much all the Democrats, because it's Bannon.

00:37:53.780 But that would still give you a bunch of Republicans who said, you know what?

00:37:58.140 Maybe we like Bannon, but the law is the law.

00:38:02.580 I don't hate that.

00:38:03.660 But, you know, I think Bannon should not be jailed over the things.

00:38:10.380 But on the other hand, there was a clear law, and there was a clear violation of the law.

00:38:15.560 And if other people went to jail for it, I guess you've got to support the rule of law.

00:38:22.680 But this one is so hinky that I'm not in favor of jailing Bannon.

00:38:28.140 All right, there's a fun story on social media.

00:38:33.340 I'm going to call it a recreational belief that Joe Biden has a body double, and that Wall Street Apes is reporting this.

00:38:42.620 And so there have been images of Biden going around that, you know, looks like it's a body double with a mask.

00:38:50.140 I don't believe that's true, but it's an interesting recreational belief.

00:38:54.620 I think he looks different because he looks different during the day.

00:39:00.320 I think sometimes his dementia face is more pronounced than others.

00:39:04.540 I think when he's tired, his face looks empty.

00:39:07.440 And when he's maybe pumped up with some stimulants, he looks different.

00:39:11.880 He smiles differently.

00:39:13.380 I think camera angles is some of it.

00:39:16.640 You know, I think probably it's just a whole bunch of people look different in different scenarios.

00:39:21.820 Probably.

00:39:22.340 But then there's also a claim that he's changed his signature after 30 years.

00:39:28.320 And the question was, you know, who changes his signature after 30 years?

00:39:32.000 I did.

00:39:33.260 I changed mine.

00:39:34.760 How many of you have the same signature from 30 years ago?

00:39:39.580 Here's what happened to me.

00:39:40.780 Let's see if it happened to any of you.

00:39:42.020 I used to sign my name, you know, in cursive, and I would hit every letter.

00:39:51.180 And I'd say, ah, nobody can copy this.

00:39:53.560 And then I started signing credit cards and stuff for $6 purchases.

00:39:59.500 You remember that?

00:40:00.620 You don't have to sign for the little purchases anymore, but for a long time.

00:40:04.220 You had to sign for everything.

00:40:05.080 And I knew that my signature made no difference to anything or anybody.

00:40:11.340 So I did what most of you do.

00:40:12.960 I just go, it's not my signature.

00:40:15.580 It's just like a scribble with one line.

00:40:19.340 And nobody ever questions it because nobody cares.

00:40:22.020 It's not important that you actually signed it.

00:40:23.800 So for years, I've had two signatures.

00:40:28.460 One, if it's like if I'm signing up for a new bank or something, I'll get my actual signature.

00:40:33.580 But 95% of what I sign is just a scribble.

00:40:36.800 It's not even trying to have any letters in it.

00:40:39.680 So I don't think it's that unusual for somebody elderly to have a different signature because

00:40:44.380 their hand works differently.

00:40:45.760 In my case, I also have a hand issue right now.

00:40:49.460 So I modify my signature a little.

00:40:51.600 All right.

00:40:52.520 I don't think he's a body double, but it's fun to think about it.

00:40:56.700 Chanel Ryan of OAN had an interesting report about the Biden crime family, if I could call

00:41:04.540 it that, and Rosemont Seneca.

00:41:07.140 Now, you heard that Hunter Biden was partners in an entity called Rosemont Seneca.

00:41:13.300 Well, you might not know.

00:41:14.860 I didn't know it till today with Chanel Ryan's reporting.

00:41:18.320 That Rosemont Seneca had a bunch of subsidiaries also that start with Rosemont Seneca.

00:41:27.500 So it was like Rosemont Seneca X, Rosemont Seneca, blah, blah.

00:41:32.780 So a bunch of them.

00:41:34.060 Now, why would you have so many entities?

00:41:36.500 No good reason.

00:41:37.380 But here's the allegation.

00:41:41.280 The allegation is that Hunter Biden was brought into Rosemont Seneca, which had been established

00:41:46.320 before he got there.

00:41:48.080 I think there was a Carey son-in-law and the guy who became Hunter's partner there.

00:41:54.140 And the allegation is that Hunter came in to help them launder money from Russian oligarchs.

00:42:01.820 So the idea was that the Russian oligarchs wanted to figure out some kind of shady business

00:42:06.980 where their money that's hard to get out of Russia could get into these entities, and

00:42:12.680 then the entities would launder it, basically, so that they'd have access to it outside of

00:42:17.780 Russia.

00:42:18.900 That's my understanding.

00:42:19.960 Now, then the further allegation is that they sold Rosemont Seneca to somebody rich in China.

00:42:32.780 So I don't think I have all the details, but it looks like this.

00:42:38.180 It was always a money laundering operation, and Hunter was the primary person who could make

00:42:47.940 that happen and also do some connections.

00:42:50.260 There were two parts.

00:42:51.400 One was to get the money out, and the other was to create connections in America.

00:42:56.520 So Hunter could do both.

00:42:58.700 Yeah, he could get money out, and he could form connections for them.

00:43:02.980 So if I understand it correctly, and I'm not really sure I do, I think the allegation is

00:43:09.980 this, that the oligarch money would flow into Rosemont Seneca, and that it would be kind

00:43:19.100 of trapped, because it would be too obvious if he just then took that money and laundered

00:43:24.420 it.

00:43:25.020 So instead, they sold the whole company, presumably including the funds in it.

00:43:31.680 In other words, they would sell the bank accounts and everything else to a Chinese entity.

00:43:36.360 The Chinese would pay for the, I guess, the name on the company, but also they'd pay for 1.00

00:43:43.260 its cash, which makes it look like, oh, we just got some money for selling a company.

00:43:51.240 And I think that was the money laundering scheme.

00:43:54.400 Although I feel like I'm missing something, because it doesn't seem like that could have

00:43:58.040 worked, but there's probably more details to it.

00:44:00.720 But something in that general category of moving money to help oligarchs, and then using

00:44:06.880 some rich person in China to execute the rest of the scheme.

00:44:12.880 If any of that's true, the scandal's way bigger than you thought, if any of that's true.

00:44:21.620 I would say I'd still wait on that one to see if there's any further information.

00:44:26.540 All right.

00:44:28.860 Speaking of lying stupid or TDS, I saw a venture capitalist that you've been hearing about

00:44:36.960 lately, Sean McGuire, who quite prominently, and got a lot of news for it, decided to stop

00:44:43.580 backing Biden and become a Trump supporter, because apparently he's not crazy.

00:44:49.140 But here's the story.

00:44:50.240 So keep in mind, he's a physics PhD, venture capitalist, rich guy.

00:44:57.240 So really, really smart and concerned enough about politics that he's making waves.

00:45:06.200 So he pays attention to politics, and he is way smarter than all of us.

00:45:11.160 Yesterday, he found out for the first time that the fine people hoax was a hoax, and that

00:45:20.420 what Trump really did was disavow the neo-Nazis.

00:45:25.180 And he posted it.

00:45:26.700 He said he just found it, because he only for the first time saw the full video.

00:45:31.480 And he went, what the?

00:45:33.540 I just found out that whole thing wasn't true, and all you had to do is watch the video to

00:45:38.780 know?

00:45:38.980 There were no tricks.

00:45:40.340 You just had to watch it.

00:45:42.220 That's it.

00:45:43.060 You just had to watch the whole video instead of the clip that they always show.

00:45:47.380 And Bill Ackman weighed in, famous financial guy, Bill Ackman, to say that he, too, thought

00:45:58.300 the fine people hoax was true, until before Sean McGuire found out, he had also found out

00:46:05.100 it wasn't true.

00:46:05.780 So now those are two of the smartest people who had ever supported Democrats.

00:46:13.640 They had no idea the fine people hoax was made up.

00:46:17.080 Now, I have one question for Sean McGuire, which is, did you really move your support to Trump

00:46:25.020 while thinking he had complimented neo-Nazis?

00:46:29.000 You've got a little more explaining to do.

00:46:31.840 If I really thought that Trump had praised neo-Nazis, I wouldn't be supporting him.

00:46:36.640 So there's a little bit of explaining to be done there.

00:46:41.460 You know, he probably had a sense that it was exaggerated.

00:46:45.240 I'll give him that credit.

00:46:46.420 So in this case, were Sean McGuire and Bill Ackman lying, stupid, or did they have TDS?

00:46:57.160 Well, in this case, neither or none.

00:47:00.640 I would say in this case, they were locked in the silo and were unaware that they were

00:47:05.880 not seeing actual news.

00:47:07.240 They're actually discovering for the first time that the thing they thought was news was

00:47:13.400 never that.

00:47:15.140 It was always propaganda.

00:47:17.360 It was designed that way.

00:47:19.020 It was executed that way.

00:47:20.680 And it was never meant to be real news.

00:47:23.220 Now, it's the finding out it was never meant to be real news.

00:47:26.560 That's the painful part for your brain.

00:47:28.780 If you thought, well, here's some anomaly, but they're trying hard otherwise.

00:47:33.940 No, they're not.

00:47:35.960 No, they're not.

00:47:37.180 They are not trying to be real news when it comes to Trump.

00:47:40.020 They're not trying at all.

00:47:42.500 So I guess that was a little wake-up call for them.

00:47:47.120 And then meanwhile, Mark Cuban weighs in on, let's see, he was weighing in on Pierce Morgan

00:47:57.040 and Bill Ackman talking about how old Biden is.

00:48:02.440 And so Mark Cuban says in a post, he goes, you guys both, Pierce Morgan and Bill Ackman,

00:48:07.080 are so consumed with pandering to your Twitter followers, you have lost all objectivity.

00:48:13.140 I'll let you both in on a secret.

00:48:14.920 And then he writes in all caps, both candidates are old, very old.

00:48:19.900 He goes back to regular text.

00:48:22.260 He says, they both are going to have senior moments, misremember, forget things, and have

00:48:26.180 physical frailties.

00:48:28.240 I'll tell you a not so secret secret.

00:48:30.900 One is great as soundbites, but also thinks in soundbites.

00:48:35.620 The other is awful as soundbites, but thinks in complete sentences.

00:48:40.440 Voters will decide which we prefer.

00:48:45.200 What do you make of that?

00:48:46.520 Is that stupid, TDS, or lying, or something else, or something else?

00:48:58.180 What's your take on that?

00:49:01.600 Well, I reposted it with my own comment, and I said, I hope this is performance art.

00:49:07.640 And then I saw Elon Musk gave a laughing emoji to my comment.

00:49:16.760 So he was enjoying me saying that about Mark Cuban, because if you didn't know, Elon and

00:49:23.440 Cuban have gotten into it a little bit publicly.

00:49:26.200 So I would like to inject one other possibility.

00:49:32.960 He might have been drunk.

00:49:36.120 Because I can't tell you how many times I get comments that are sort of not just disagreeing

00:49:43.120 with me, but sort of nonsensical.

00:49:46.180 And I just reply back, have you been day drinking?

00:49:49.420 And almost always that stops the comments.

00:49:53.340 Because it turns out, I think that is the reason.

00:49:56.200 For a lot of what you think are trolls, are literally just angry drunks who know that

00:50:01.580 nobody can punch them because they're online.

00:50:04.980 So when I look at this, and I see that Cuban's trying to equate their performance, he couldn't 1.00

00:50:13.720 possibly believe that, could he?

00:50:16.080 Who in the world looks at Biden and says, yeah, I think he's pretty good behind closed

00:50:22.520 doors?

00:50:24.160 I don't think anybody smart has that opinion, do they?

00:50:27.840 But he's smart.

00:50:29.940 Is it TDS?

00:50:32.540 Well, there's certainly something going on there.

00:50:35.800 But maybe it's personal more than TDS.

00:50:38.060 I don't know.

00:50:39.160 But this one's kind of a mystery.

00:50:41.220 But I think I'm going to go with he may have posted while he was drunk.

00:50:46.080 That's my best guess.

00:50:48.660 Because I'm not even going to talk about whether it's a good point of view or anything.

00:50:54.360 It just looks drunk.

00:50:55.740 It's not even something I'd agree or disagree with.

00:50:58.960 So I hope not, but might be.

00:51:02.740 Of course, we're being warned there's going to be another bird flu.

00:51:06.020 And Alex Jones warned you.

00:51:07.960 He told you this was coming.

00:51:09.100 The former head of the CDC says there'll be human deaths coming with this bird flu.

00:51:15.500 Well, OK.

00:51:17.160 All right.

00:51:18.320 There's a story about some Democrat running for commissioner in Fort Bend County in Texas.

00:51:24.520 And he got he was arrested and charged for faking his own racist hate mail.

00:51:31.800 He allegedly created fake fake accounts to make racist comments about himself.

00:51:39.200 It looks like an Indian guy, Tarell Patel, Tarell Patel.

00:51:46.000 Well, that's a cool name.

00:51:48.320 Tarell Patel.

00:51:49.780 Oh, my God.

00:51:50.640 That's a great name.

00:51:52.480 Tarell Patel.

00:51:53.820 I could say that all day long.

00:51:56.080 Anyway, the demand for racism has once again exceeded the supply.

00:52:00.120 So he had to add his own supply of racism against himself.

00:52:03.700 How many of you saw the video of Biden at a fundraiser with Obama and some Hollywood types?

00:52:11.800 And it looked again like Biden was frozen or confused on stage.

00:52:17.180 And toward the end, when they had to leave the stage, Obama sort of grabbed him by the hand to sort of lead him off like you wouldn't know that he's supposed to lead.

00:52:27.860 Now, people have said, damn it, Biden, all you had to do was just get his attention.

00:52:35.140 You know, you didn't have to take his hand like he's a, you know, like he's a feeble old guy. 0.99

00:52:40.480 To which I say, I'm not so sure.

00:52:43.500 He might have had to take his hand.

00:52:45.540 Because I don't know if even the lights were on at that point.

00:52:49.040 It might be that talking to him wouldn't have helped.

00:52:51.860 As in, are we going to exit stage, right?

00:52:54.500 I think he just would have looked at him with those big dumb eyes like, uh.

00:52:59.880 So I think Obama's instincts might have been better than you think.

00:53:05.160 Because he's been, you know, he had been spending time with him.

00:53:08.040 So he knew exactly what Biden's mental state was at that moment.

00:53:12.200 And if he decided that the best way to deal with this is to hold his hand to take him off, which is what he did.

00:53:20.620 I think Obama knows the score here.

00:53:24.500 But, of course, the humorous Democrats are claiming that there was nothing wrong.

00:53:32.900 He wasn't frozen.

00:53:34.700 Obama just overplayed it.

00:53:36.680 And everything was fine.

00:53:38.060 There's nothing to see here.

00:53:39.660 And by the way, in Normandy, I think I told you this.

00:53:43.640 The Normandy video where it looked like Biden was going to wander away from the other leaders.

00:53:48.620 I said, he's not wandering away.

00:53:51.160 He's interacting with somebody else who's off screen.

00:53:54.060 And now that's what was happening.

00:53:56.840 He was interacting with the parachute guy.

00:53:59.920 So it didn't look good.

00:54:01.400 I'm not defending it.

00:54:02.380 I'm just saying it might not have been as bad as you thought.

00:54:05.340 He wasn't wandering off.

00:54:06.480 MSNBC host Alex Wagner, a woman, a woman named Alex, worries that the debate will be unfair. 0.96

00:54:22.280 Here's why she worries that the debate will be unfair.

00:54:25.120 You ready for this?

00:54:25.780 Now, we're going to play stupid, lying, or TDS.

00:54:32.040 All right.

00:54:32.460 So here is why Alex Wagner on MSNBC thinks the debate won't be fair.

00:54:39.260 Because she says the bar for Biden is so much higher.

00:54:43.460 Trump's bar is literally, is he alive?

00:54:46.040 Is he standing?

00:54:46.960 Are the words coming out?

00:54:49.880 I didn't get the names confused.

00:54:52.900 I didn't get the names confused.

00:54:54.520 She's saying that the bar for Biden is higher and the bar for Trump is lower because all

00:55:02.300 Trump has to do is be alive and stand there and speak.

00:55:08.820 What's going on here?

00:55:11.880 Do they literally just take everything that's true and just reverse it?

00:55:16.960 But I think they also add the attitude.

00:55:20.080 It's the attitude that sells it.

00:55:25.800 I don't know.

00:55:26.720 I think, do they think that, I can't even tell if it's stupid because they might be cleverly

00:55:35.020 thinking the audience is stupid, which would not be stupid.

00:55:38.360 It would be evil.

00:55:39.380 But there's clearly some TDS involved, but I don't think that's all.

00:55:47.600 It's kind of a mystery, isn't it?

00:55:49.700 So now, do you get my point yet?

00:55:52.540 That in a normal election, you have to have some humility about what's true?

00:55:57.440 Because you always think your side is right, but in the real world, you know, sometimes

00:56:02.660 your side's not right.

00:56:04.620 Sometimes there's some extra information that would change your mind.

00:56:08.240 You know, in the real world, things are a little gray.

00:56:10.920 But Biden has totally clarified the situation.

00:56:15.360 And if you could come on TV and with a straight face say reality is the opposite of what you

00:56:20.940 observe, what is that?

00:56:24.780 What is that?

00:56:27.700 Is it lying?

00:56:29.660 Is it stupid?

00:56:32.240 Is it just TDS?

00:56:34.320 I'm going to rank this one TDS.

00:56:38.440 Because I think nobody's that stupid.

00:56:41.560 And I think it's so obviously not true that even lying doesn't make sense.

00:56:48.520 It looks like something that you didn't know that everybody else knows is not true.

00:56:53.380 So I'm going to say TDS.

00:56:54.540 It looks like mental illness to me on that one.

00:56:59.140 All right.

00:56:59.420 So PJ Media is reporting that we have some details about the upcoming debate, June 27th.

00:57:06.460 So Jake Tapper and Dana Bash will be moderating.

00:57:09.880 So here are the things we know.

00:57:11.040 Two commercial breaks instead of one.

00:57:13.320 We don't know about bathroom breaks, but that may have something to do with the age of at

00:57:18.400 least one of the people.

00:57:21.440 The mics will be muted when it's not the candidates turned.

00:57:25.220 That feels fair.

00:57:26.980 You know, obviously that's a pro-Biden, anti-Trump rule, but I don't really like it when somebody

00:57:33.040 wins the debate by talking over the other people.

00:57:36.400 So fair enough.

00:57:38.820 Both candidates are going to be at a podium and their podium will be determined by coin flip.

00:57:45.420 Here's the interesting one.

00:57:46.720 No audience will be present.

00:57:49.640 Why do you think no audience will be present?

00:57:55.280 Well, so I have a lot of experience talking in front of large groups.

00:57:59.960 And I also have experience talking to a camera.

00:58:02.840 It's so different.

00:58:06.160 If you're Trump talking to an audience is home.

00:58:11.900 That's where he would be most comfortable.

00:58:13.880 Even if half of them were booing, that's just energy.

00:58:17.860 Trump is an energy monster.

00:58:19.380 He plays to the audience.

00:58:22.780 So if you take the audience away, you've neutralized 25% of Trump's power.

00:58:29.000 You know, he would have to rely on complete performance at that point instead of the energy

00:58:34.300 that he gets from an audience.

00:58:35.600 So I would say that's an entirely pro-Biden situation, but not enough that will probably make a difference.

00:58:43.600 There won't be any opening statements.

00:58:49.080 That's good.

00:58:49.780 Those are a waste of time.

00:58:52.740 And they're going to enforce the time limits, blah, blah, blah.

00:58:55.660 And there'll be a spin room, of course.

00:58:58.280 Gavin Newsom will be available for Biden.

00:59:00.140 And Trump has yet to choose anyone to represent him in the...

00:59:04.100 Oh, who is Trump going to choose to represent him in the press thing afterwards?

00:59:11.900 What's your guess?

00:59:15.580 Well, I'm going to take a guess.

00:59:19.420 It's either Vivek, because that would be a smart play,

00:59:24.980 or J.D. Vance, because that would be a smart play.

00:59:31.140 And it might be signaling who the VP choice will be,

00:59:34.720 or alternately, it could be an audition for the vice president.

00:59:38.840 It would be a really good audition to see if you can back the president,

00:59:43.100 even if he made a few mistakes.

00:59:45.080 Because one of the things they're going to say is,

00:59:47.480 Trump said that when the wind stops blowing, your TV won't work.

00:59:52.660 And then, you know, if it's J.D. Vance or Vivek,

00:59:56.780 they're not going to be able to agree that your TV goes off.

00:59:59.580 I'm just using a stupid example.

01:00:01.760 So if Trump departs from the fact-checkers lane,

01:00:06.060 it's embarrassing to defend it.

01:00:09.480 But defend it, you must.

01:00:11.480 You know, if you're going to be vice president,

01:00:12.900 you better be able to handle that.

01:00:14.740 If the vice president pick can't handle the question like,

01:00:18.680 why did Trump say this when our fact-checkers say that?

01:00:21.720 Then that's not the right choice.

01:00:23.580 Vivek can do it in his sleep.

01:00:25.740 J.D. Vance can do it in his sleep.

01:00:28.680 They're really strong.

01:00:31.060 So it could be that Trump maybe, you know,

01:00:34.800 will pick somebody else for VP,

01:00:36.480 but you go with his A-team for the immediate response after.

01:00:41.700 And the A-team is Vance and Vivek, I think.

01:00:44.400 I think that's pretty clear.

01:00:45.360 All right.

01:00:49.420 RNC co-chair Laura Trump bringing the fire.

01:00:53.560 As you know, she's recruiting 100,000 poll watchers and 500 lawyers. 0.77

01:00:57.820 That's the goal anyway.

01:00:59.460 And she said at the recent event,

01:01:03.060 she said, this is the year we do it.

01:01:05.720 She was talking at Turning Point USA's convention.

01:01:07.880 They said, we're also sending a loud and clear message out there

01:01:11.980 to anyone who thinks about cheating in an election.

01:01:14.660 We will find you.

01:01:16.080 We will track you down.

01:01:17.700 And we will prosecute you to the full extent of the law.

01:01:21.720 Any questions?

01:01:24.540 Remember I told you that you're going to be really happy

01:01:27.980 that Laura Trump has this job? 0.99

01:01:30.860 This is one of the best hires in the Trump, you know,

01:01:35.380 annals of history.

01:01:36.140 She has the goods. 0.81

01:01:40.020 And do you see what she's doing here?

01:01:42.500 That's not just talk.

01:01:44.820 She's freezing out the cheaters. 1.00

01:01:47.520 She's not just saying we're going to come get you.

01:01:50.400 She's saying, don't try.

01:01:53.280 Don't try is what we needed.

01:01:57.120 That's what we needed.

01:01:58.740 We needed a don't try.

01:02:00.600 We're going to have 100,000 people plus 500 lawyers

01:02:03.860 putting your ass in jail. 0.98

01:02:07.140 Suppose you're a Democrat cheater and you went from business as usual

01:02:11.660 and nobody's going to catch me to Laura Trump just formed an army 1.00

01:02:16.600 to catch your ass. 0.97

01:02:18.580 Which one gives you a little pause?

01:02:23.800 I think she's coming hard.

01:02:26.440 And the threat is as good as the reality.

01:02:31.200 So Laura, being smart, and the whole family knows persuasion, it seems.

01:02:37.060 She's going exactly, exactly with the right message.

01:02:41.120 We will find you.

01:02:42.680 We will prosecute you.

01:02:44.180 If you try, don't try.

01:02:47.480 I love that.

01:02:48.800 My God, that's so good.

01:02:51.560 And then I'd actually find people cheating.

01:02:54.680 So here's my prediction for the election.

01:02:58.740 It goes like this.

01:03:00.040 I believe that with that many poll watchers,

01:03:04.600 there will be untold number of reports of irregularities.

01:03:08.740 Some of those reports will not be valid.

01:03:11.840 They might be somebody saw something that wasn't quite what they thought they saw.

01:03:15.120 Some percentage of them will be valid, but maybe could be smaller stuff.

01:03:21.420 Some of them might be big claims that would take too long to adjudicate or no court has the authority or something like that.

01:03:30.760 So there's going to be a whole bunch of claims, only because there are 100,000 people.

01:03:36.000 You know, I've told you a million times, if somebody takes a job as a ghost hunter, and you hire them to look for ghosts in your house, oh, they'll find some.

01:03:47.140 Yeah.

01:03:47.780 If you're being paid to find something, you'll always find it.

01:03:51.440 If you're being paid to find the racist, you'll find some, plenty of them, you know, even if they're not there.

01:03:58.500 So there will be plenty and plenty of claims, but here's my provocative prediction.

01:04:08.040 There will be so many claims and not enough time to validate them that the Congress will not be able to certify the election.

01:04:18.860 And when I say not able, I mean that the country will be in such an uproar that they know if they certify the election, it's just going to be riots in the street because people won't trust the outcome.

01:04:35.500 So what would happen if they can't certify the election?

01:04:39.280 My understanding is then it goes to a second process.

01:04:42.080 They don't hold the election again.

01:04:44.300 They kick it to the House.

01:04:45.760 The House, then, if I understand correctly, will get one vote per state.

01:04:53.280 And I guess it depends, you know, who has, which party has their elected officials in those states.

01:05:00.920 I forget which elected officials.

01:05:03.140 But each state gets a one vote.

01:05:05.440 And if it went the red-blue way that the states are, Trump would win.

01:05:10.000 So imagine, if you will, a bunch of claims that make the election certification impossible, followed by Trump winning in an alternate process.

01:05:23.200 What would Biden do then?

01:05:26.840 Well, here's the problem.

01:05:28.200 Biden would have months before the actual changeover of power.

01:05:34.860 And in that time, he's still president.

01:05:37.960 He can lock Trump up.

01:05:39.480 For anything.

01:05:42.120 But I don't think that's going to happen.

01:05:45.120 But he could also pack the Supreme Court and then have the Supreme Court just give him the election.

01:05:51.240 So the thing I worry about is he's going to use those few months to pack the court.

01:05:56.440 Because he doesn't, you know, that would be a good time to do it if you're going to be that evil.

01:06:01.440 So I'm going to predict no outcome.

01:06:03.440 I think the election will not be decided because there will be so many claims of cheating, whether real or not.

01:06:10.000 There'll be so many claims they can't certify it.

01:06:12.360 It'll get kicked over the states.

01:06:13.880 That'll make it worse.

01:06:14.820 And Biden will say this is, you know, democracy has been subverted.

01:06:21.300 And so the only way for me to save it is this grotesque packing of the court that I know nobody wants.

01:06:28.360 But this is an emergency.

01:06:32.060 What do you think?

01:06:32.800 Now, there are lots of ways it could go.

01:06:35.660 The odds of me guessing it exactly correctly with that many twists and turns is very low.

01:06:40.620 So I'm not going to bet my life on that prediction.

01:06:43.120 I'm just going to say that the system design should get us to that place.

01:06:48.660 Remember, I always say design is destiny.

01:06:51.320 The design of the system is 100,000 new people who are ghost watchers looking for ghosts.

01:06:57.720 Ghost watchers always find ghosts, even if they're not there.

01:07:01.140 How are they going to adjudicate all the claims that are going to come out of this thing?

01:07:06.340 There will be hundreds, maybe thousands.

01:07:09.180 And they're not going to have time to adjudicate any of that before the changeover of power.

01:07:14.340 So what's Biden going to do?

01:07:16.820 The Democrats will not accept anything that looks like a Trump victory.

01:07:21.360 I think we can be safe in saying that.

01:07:26.080 And it could be worse if the polls are clearly pro-Trump and then he doesn't win.

01:07:30.780 And it's going to really look like it was cheating.

01:07:34.140 I don't think there's much chance at all that this election will get certified.

01:07:39.820 Especially since we have that in our mind that not certifying it is a thing.

01:07:44.600 If there had never been a January 6th, I don't think anybody would even think about not certifying it.

01:07:51.540 It just wouldn't be in our minds.

01:07:53.160 But that put it so squarely in our minds that everybody's going to think about it.

01:07:58.900 And if you can't agree what happened, you can't certify it.

01:08:03.840 And I don't think that they'll do the fake elector thing again because the fake electors got arrested.

01:08:10.560 Nobody's going to be a fake elector in the risk of being arrested.

01:08:13.360 So instead, I think they're going to kick it to the House, where there's a majority of states that are red.

01:08:24.720 And then what do you do?

01:08:27.380 The Democrats would have to do something unprecedented or else give up power and all of them are going to get fired and jailed.

01:08:36.060 That's what they'll think.

01:08:37.060 They think they're going to go to jail if they don't reverse that decision.

01:08:41.500 So yes, they would pack the courts and they would come up with some bullshit case and immediately give it to the court and demand that the court act as an express lane for this because it's so important.

01:08:55.240 And then they'll just put Joe Biden in power.

01:08:58.800 How else could it go?

01:09:00.160 I mean, you run it through your own mind and say, how could it not happen that way?

01:09:07.500 There's nothing about that that isn't obviously going to happen, except for the Supreme Court packing.

01:09:13.360 That is pretty radical.

01:09:15.320 But the part about there's no chance of it getting certified by the Congress, I feel comfortable in that prediction.

01:09:23.880 I don't think we have a system which can get us to a result we'll trust.

01:09:27.620 I also think that now that RFK Jr.

01:09:32.300 has said, let's get rid of the electronic voting systems and Elon Musk has said, let's get rid of those.

01:09:38.320 And I've said, can anybody explain why we have them?

01:09:41.580 No.

01:09:42.660 Six months in a row, nobody can tell me a reason why we have them in the first place.

01:09:46.460 By the way, there was an article that tied the three of us together as opponents of those machines.

01:09:51.800 I think you're going to see some other people break in that direction.

01:09:58.500 And I think voting machines may have a limited lifespan at this point, but we'll see.

01:10:04.320 Depends how powerful the CIA is, because I'm sure they want to keep them.

01:10:07.540 It could be that, you know, it's possible that the machines in the United States have never been rigged in any significant way, but that we do rig them in other countries.

01:10:21.760 And if we got rid of them at home, even if they were never a problem, it would be a big problem overseas, because then the other countries would say, wait a minute.

01:10:30.700 Well, hold on.

01:10:31.680 You Americans said we need some voting machines, and you just got rid of yours, because you don't trust them. 0.99

01:10:37.820 Why are you saying we need voting machines?

01:10:40.780 So it could be that they just can't live without voting machines.

01:10:45.120 They just need it.

01:10:47.780 Anyway.

01:10:50.220 We're hearing now that the Pentagon ran a secret anti-vax campaign against China, so that, you know, I guess they didn't want the Philippines to be too indebted to China for China giving them vaccinations.

01:11:04.720 So they had a different thing.

01:11:06.440 I think it was Sinovac.

01:11:07.460 That was their vaccination.

01:11:08.840 A lot of people said it wasn't good.

01:11:11.560 But were any of them?

01:11:12.840 Were any of the vaccinations good?

01:11:14.220 I don't think so.

01:11:17.540 So just think about that.

01:11:19.600 The U.S. military was convincing Chinese citizens not to get vaccinated while knowing it could have saved their life or believing it could save their life.

01:11:30.000 Did we really do that?

01:11:34.900 Because, you know, I know that we always do dirty tricks to each other and China's sending fentanyl and maybe terrorists and stuff.

01:11:43.100 But were we really doing that?

01:11:46.560 We were killing their citizens for public relations?

01:11:52.020 And by killing them, I mean if they were talking about getting the vaccination.

01:11:55.440 Or worse, did we talk people in the Philippines out of getting vaccinations while also believing it would save their life? 0.97

01:12:02.920 You know, you could argue whether that was true.

01:12:04.720 If that story is true, that's one of the filthiest things I've seen our country do.

01:12:13.680 But it might be true.

01:12:16.080 All right, ladies and gentlemen, that concludes my prepared remarks.

01:12:19.760 I'm going to go do some other stuff, but not until I talk to the locals people privately, the subscribers.

01:12:25.520 So goodbye to Rumble and YouTube and X, but I know it takes you a minute, so I'm going to end this and go to talk to the good folks at Locals.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 17, 2024

Episode 2508 CWSA 06⧸17⧸24

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