Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2511 CWSA 06⧸20⧸24

00:00:00.000 Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

00:00:09.780 It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and I'm pretty sure there's never been a finer time

00:00:13.700 in your life.

00:00:14.680 And if you'd like to take this up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny,

00:00:18.480 smooth human brains, all you need is a copper mug or a glass of tankard shells or stein,

00:00:23.420 a kentine jug or flask of a vessel of any kind.

00:00:26.520 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:27.700 I like coffee.

00:00:28.400 Hey, and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.

00:00:31.360 It's the dopamine at the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:00:34.120 It's called the simultaneous sipping happens now.

00:00:36.220 Go.

00:00:41.220 I'd like to see Joe Biden do that.

00:00:45.260 You know, talk, that sort of thing.

00:00:50.520 Well, you might be aware that there was yet another whistleblower that came forward for

00:00:55.620 Boeing, with more complaints about cutting corners to increase profits and retaliating

00:01:01.440 against employees who spoke up and that sort of thing.

00:01:05.880 And if you're wondering, Scott, how could you watch these events in the news about Boeing

00:01:12.080 without creating a biting and sarcastic comic strip about it?

00:01:18.340 Well, I can't.

00:01:19.360 So, in fact, Dilbert's company will be making airplanes and it's not going to go well.

00:01:26.340 There might be a whistleblower.

00:01:29.000 That's all I'm saying.

00:01:29.900 But you'd have to be subscribing to the new Dilbert comic either on the X platform, see

00:01:34.140 my profile or on Locals at scottadams.locals.com in order to see it.

00:01:39.980 Well, there's an incoming Florida freshman, he's a freshman in college basketball, who looks

00:01:51.480 to be about 7'9", Olivier Roux, and he can basically dunk by standing on his tiptoes.

00:02:01.600 So, I saw a clip of the game, and if you'd like to see my impression of the entire basketball

00:02:09.440 game, it looks like this.

00:02:11.480 Tall guy stands under his basket, teammates throw him the ball, he catches it two feet

00:02:19.440 above the highest leaping ability of his competitors, and then he turns around and he drops it directly

00:02:25.760 into the hoop.

00:02:27.840 It's called sports.

00:02:30.920 Now, I remember when sports would include at least a little element of, I wonder who's

00:02:37.140 going to win.

00:02:38.720 But he seems to have removed the whole, I wonder who's going to win element from the game.

00:02:45.280 Now, I know your brain is automatically thinking of trans-related stories, because it's sort of

00:02:53.380 just reminding you in a weird way of mismatches.

00:02:57.440 And I say this all the time.

00:03:00.080 The males who are playing against the 7'9 monster, it's like they're a different species.

00:03:08.240 Why is it okay for a 5'8 player to play against a 7'9 player in a basketball game, where being

00:03:15.440 tall is like one of the main requirements?

00:03:18.500 They should have a under-6-foot league.

00:03:20.920 If you want to impress me with your basketball, show me the people under six feet playing their

00:03:28.060 own league and the people over six feet having their own league, you know, called the NBA.

00:03:32.780 But don't put a 7'9 person on a college basketball court with a bunch of 6'2 people and tell me

00:03:41.780 that that's a sport.

00:03:43.080 It's not a sport.

00:03:44.480 That's just watching that guy ruin the entire evening for an entire gymnasium full of people.

00:03:50.160 Imagine him, like, going into that game.

00:03:54.940 This is part that reminds you of some of the trans-athletes where the man who's transitioned

00:04:00.600 dominates the sport.

00:04:03.480 Why is that good for anybody?

00:04:06.440 Imagine an entire stadium, or not a stadium, but, you know, the entire gym is full of spectators

00:04:11.780 who came to watch this game.

00:04:13.620 And all it is is tossing it to this big guy who puts it in a hole.

00:04:17.680 That's it.

00:04:18.260 That's it.

00:04:18.880 That's the whole game.

00:04:20.960 Useless.

00:04:21.940 Anyway.

00:04:24.500 There's some new psychology research that shows that acts of kindness can predict seven

00:04:30.880 different types of well-being.

00:04:33.280 Did you know that being good to each other can make you feel good, too?

00:04:38.580 I know.

00:04:40.000 Surprising.

00:04:40.920 I only tell you about this every, I don't know, every few weeks I mention it.

00:04:44.700 So, I think this has been known for about 10 years, but we've got some new research to tell

00:04:50.420 you what you already knew.

00:04:51.960 Being nice to people and being kind makes you feel good, too.

00:04:56.980 It's true.

00:04:57.640 Here's another one.

00:04:59.160 They did a study of nuts.

00:05:01.380 And if you eat a lot of nuts, apparently you not only don't lose weight, but they're good

00:05:07.580 for you and might even make you lose weight.

00:05:09.880 Because nuts are very satiating.

00:05:11.820 Let's see.

00:05:12.880 That's a new study that also was an old study, because I literally wrote about it in my book

00:05:18.580 from 2013.

00:05:20.680 Had it failed almost everything and still went big.

00:05:23.340 We knew then that eating peanuts caused you to lose weight.

00:05:27.180 It was pretty well known to nutritionists.

00:05:29.400 So, it's another study that, well, is sort of a duh.

00:05:34.060 Okay.

00:05:34.600 Being nice to people, it makes you feel good.

00:05:38.160 And the nutrition that we learned about 15 years ago, still true, at least for nuts.

00:05:47.160 And this will amaze you, but one hour a week of aerobics, this is another study, can make

00:05:52.240 your brain five years younger.

00:05:55.300 Okay.

00:05:57.720 Here's another one.

00:05:59.400 Another study that says your diet might be associated with changes in your brain chemistry

00:06:04.680 and structure.

00:06:06.200 Huh.

00:06:06.940 You know, if you put all of this brand new science together, I'm starting to see a pattern

00:06:12.980 develop and see if you see it too.

00:06:15.500 It's almost as if eating right and exercising could be good for your health.

00:06:23.220 Is anybody starting to feel that?

00:06:25.060 I mean, you know, I'm not putting all the pieces together until just now with all this

00:06:32.240 brand new science that's so useful, but it turns out, and this is amazing, the things

00:06:38.380 you put into your body, the food, can actually have an effect on your body.

00:06:44.080 And did you know that your brain is actually part of your body?

00:06:48.320 Yeah, it is.

00:06:49.460 It's actually part of your body.

00:06:51.100 And if you put things that are bad for your body into your body, and then your brain is

00:06:57.800 part of your body, I don't know, I'm trying to figure it out.

00:07:01.800 So, okay, I think the logic means it'd be bad for your brain.

00:07:06.700 So how about we pay for some more science to teach us some shit every one of you already

00:07:11.700 knew because it's fucking obvious.

00:07:15.220 Science.

00:07:16.220 I'm glad we have the experts to tell us this stuff.

00:07:21.420 Meanwhile, there was going to be a London premiere of a movie that was totally AI generated

00:07:26.720 script, so I guess the actors were not AI, but the script was, and it got canceled because

00:07:33.880 there were hundreds of people complaining, how can you have a robot write a play when

00:07:40.300 it's human work?

00:07:41.660 So the anti-AI people have risen, and you'd be surprised to find out that they're artists

00:07:48.080 with very little skill.

00:07:50.180 They don't have a lot of skill that can be translated to other domains, apparently, and

00:07:54.640 they don't want the AI to be taking the jobs.

00:07:58.400 The AI is taking the jobs.

00:08:00.740 But the creator of the movie tried to complain, to no avail, that the point of the movie was

00:08:08.960 not pro-AI, but the point of it might be to show that it doesn't work.

00:08:14.740 So people were complaining and protesting, even though they were on the same side of the

00:08:21.360 person they complained and protested about, I think.

00:08:25.200 So the person who came up with the idea here and executed the movie says, basically, you're

00:08:31.880 not understanding the point of it.

00:08:33.520 The point of it was not, this is awesome.

00:08:36.420 The point of it might have been their point, which is, watch out, this is coming.

00:08:42.000 So they might have been on the same side.

00:08:43.760 Here's more proof that being a Democrat can make you mentally insane.

00:08:52.300 Does that sound like an exaggeration, that being a Democrat can make you insane?

00:09:00.000 It's not.

00:09:00.840 Well, because apparently more than half of adults, 53%, according to some news poll in

00:09:08.620 the American Psychiatric Association's Healthy Minds monthly poll, which sounds very unscientific.

00:09:16.100 But more than half of adults report that climate change is affecting their mental health.

00:09:22.000 And that's up from 2022, where it was only 48%.

00:09:25.060 That's a pretty big move.

00:09:26.660 That's a pretty big move in two years.

00:09:28.400 So who is it that believes climate change is going to kill them?

00:09:34.380 Only Democrats.

00:09:35.920 I've literally never met a Republican who thought climate change was a big problem.

00:09:40.600 Never.

00:09:41.480 I've never met one.

00:09:43.380 So who has better mental health?

00:09:45.380 The Republicans who are like, no, no, no, no, no.

00:09:48.560 Looks like just weathered me.

00:09:51.100 Now, I'm not saying they're right or wrong.

00:09:53.360 You know, I'm not taking any side about whether the climate is warming or not, or who's causing

00:09:57.920 it.

00:09:58.400 I'm just pointing out that if you're a Democrat, you hear that your planet is burning up and

00:10:03.300 there's really basically nothing you can do about it.

00:10:06.180 Wouldn't that make you mentally ill?

00:10:09.060 It is literally true that being a Democrat and buying into a certain set of narratives

00:10:14.000 would make you mentally ill.

00:10:16.040 It's the same group that think Trump is going to steal their democracy.

00:10:19.760 If I thought I lived in a country where the presumptive next president, if, you know, if there's no

00:10:26.800 cheating, wanted to be a dictator, I think my mental health would be going to hell too.

00:10:33.460 So being a Democrat is literally, no joke, no hyperbole, really bad for your mental health.

00:10:44.340 And if I make a claim like that, can I back it up with statistics?

00:10:48.440 Yes, quite easily.

00:10:49.640 Because the statistics do in fact show a real strong correlation between Democrats and mental

00:10:56.780 health problems.

00:10:57.620 It's very strong.

00:10:59.740 Here it is.

00:11:01.040 There's no question about what's doing it.

00:11:02.860 It's the fake news.

00:11:04.080 So the fake news is great in narratives to frighten their people into doing what they

00:11:09.220 want, you know, voting for their team.

00:11:12.040 But the side effect of frightening people into doing that stuff is that it frightens them.

00:11:19.860 And there does seem to be a difference because the Republicans are also getting frightened by

00:11:25.160 things, you know, frightened by crime coming into the country and things.

00:11:29.660 But you know what the difference is?

00:11:30.880 It looks like you can do something about that problem.

00:11:35.480 Close the border.

00:11:37.580 But the Democrats are telling you, basically, there's nothing you can do about climate change.

00:11:41.960 It's already too late.

00:11:43.340 That's really different than a problem you think you can solve if you just work hard.

00:11:48.820 You know, you don't go crazy if you think you have a solvable problem.

00:11:52.180 It's an unsolvable problem.

00:11:53.800 It's a problem.

00:11:55.080 All right.

00:11:55.400 I believe there is a trend that can be seen in a number of ways, which is the smartest

00:12:04.820 people waking up to how brainwashed they've been if they've been Democrats.

00:12:10.420 Now, you've seen famously the Silicon Valley types moving in the direction of Trump.

00:12:16.340 You know, the all-in pod people, the Bill Lachman's, Elon Musk, you could throw in that mix, and

00:12:23.740 a bunch of other venture capitalists, et cetera.

00:12:26.900 Mark and Andreessen, I think, is moving in that direction.

00:12:30.020 And they're, in my opinion, the least brainwashed, best predictors of the future.

00:12:38.220 They're good predictors of what's real.

00:12:40.620 It's their job.

00:12:41.300 If you're an entrepreneur or a venture capitalist, it's literally your job to say, if I do this,

00:12:47.840 the predicted outcome will be this.

00:12:50.620 And the people who are best at predicting outcomes, the most successful venture capitalists for

00:12:55.420 decades, are kind of all starting to move to the same side.

00:13:00.640 Now, I saw a study that if you look at the funding, the funding hasn't changed.

00:13:06.660 The Democrats still get 95% of the money from Silicon Valley.

00:13:09.640 But I would submit to you that the smartest people in Silicon Valley do not put themselves

00:13:15.400 on a list of who they donated to.

00:13:19.720 If they supported Trump, they would certainly be too smart to put themselves on a list of

00:13:24.440 people who donated to Trump, because that's not good for business.

00:13:28.100 So I wouldn't believe the donation number.

00:13:30.660 I would believe the reputations of which people specifically are moving toward Trump.

00:13:36.960 And it's the smartest of the smart.

00:13:38.540 It's a very clear correlation.

00:13:41.980 But here's one that's even more interesting.

00:13:44.100 You may be familiar with comedian actor Michael Ian Black.

00:13:49.620 Now, he's often on social media being an anti-Trumper.

00:13:53.820 But he asked me a question today on social media that suggests an opening that suggests maybe

00:14:06.540 there's a potential, just a small crack, for some kind of a unbrainwashing.

00:14:14.720 And this is really interesting.

00:14:16.200 Now, I don't personally know Michael Ian Black, but just for full disclosure, he had been friends

00:14:24.760 with my publicity manager for years.

00:14:29.080 So although I never met him, Michael Ian Black and I have, we shared a close friend at one point.

00:14:35.380 So that means that he probably is aware of me because we shared a close friend.

00:14:42.820 So I'm sure my name came up.

00:14:44.740 So when he responded to me, it was maybe a little bit more respectfully than he would have been if I'd been a stranger.

00:14:51.840 And I returned the favor.

00:14:54.920 So I responded to him respectfully because I think he's got real questions.

00:14:58.220 And here's his question.

00:14:59.880 It's actually really, it's a really good question.

00:15:04.220 I did a post in which I said something along the lines of,

00:15:08.320 it's impossible to have a conversation with somebody who thinks the news is real.

00:15:13.620 Now, how many of you would agree with that statement?

00:15:16.400 It's impossible to have a political conversation with someone who thinks the news is real.

00:15:20.660 Most of you, right?

00:15:24.080 You've had that experience.

00:15:26.220 And Michael Ian Black says, I see this sentiment a lot from MAGA folks.

00:15:31.120 So his first problem is he thinks I'm a MAGA folk.

00:15:35.100 But he says, but it always confuses me.

00:15:39.000 Now, here's why I like the way he worded this.

00:15:42.280 He didn't say, I hear this batshit crazy opinion from MAGA people.

00:15:47.060 He said it confuses him.

00:15:48.800 Now, that's exactly the way to respectfully ask a question.

00:15:53.640 I don't understand what you mean.

00:15:56.080 Can you explain it?

00:15:57.680 So he goes on.

00:15:59.080 If they don't believe, quote, the news, how do they get their information?

00:16:03.440 If everybody is lying to you, how is it that you know the truth?

00:16:07.940 That's a really good question, isn't it?

00:16:10.440 So I'm going to spend a few minutes answering it.

00:16:12.320 So I answered, you know, on the X platform, I answered in detail.

00:16:17.560 But I'll tell you the answer and we'll add a little bit more.

00:16:20.360 Here's the basic answer.

00:16:22.900 Knowing what's true is not a function of watching the news and then saying, oh, I watched the right news.

00:16:30.280 It's a skill of knowing what bullshit looks like.

00:16:36.420 And I would submit to you that knowing what bullshit is and recognizing it is a developable skill.

00:16:47.660 It's something you could be bad at and then learn to be good at.

00:16:51.620 And I'll tell you more about that.

00:16:52.960 So I contend that I don't learn what's true by picking one of the news to be the right one.

00:17:00.580 But rather, I have a toolbox which allows me to look at the news and pick out from it what is true in terms of the facts and what is untrue in terms of the narrative.

00:17:12.000 So I tend to accept facts if they're presented by both sides.

00:17:17.060 So both sides say, this person did say this thing and there's no video editing.

00:17:24.100 Well, they might interpret it differently.

00:17:26.480 But if both sides say the fact is there and there's video and there's witnesses, I believe that.

00:17:32.480 So that's not the kind of thing that I don't believe.

00:17:35.900 And of course, it's not an absolute, right?

00:17:37.800 If the news says there's going to be a hurricane, probably true.

00:17:41.520 It's only the political stuff that has the spin to it.

00:17:46.060 But let me go deeper.

00:17:47.060 As to why I think I know what's true in many cases.

00:17:53.640 As I said, the skill is in detecting what's not true.

00:17:58.040 It's not so much knowing which side is telling you the truth.

00:18:00.800 It's detecting the fake stuff from both sides.

00:18:05.800 So I'm going to read to you what I said to him.

00:18:09.000 I said, first of all, I'm a Democrat.

00:18:11.400 I like to put that in there.

00:18:13.320 Because it shows that I'm not a team branded person.

00:18:19.400 Now, it doesn't mean I'm unbiased.

00:18:21.880 But at least I had, you know, the minimal amount of, let's say, awareness of my own bias that I knew it was a good thing to brand myself the other way.

00:18:31.400 So that I'd have a little bit more credibility.

00:18:35.040 So that's neither here nor there.

00:18:36.660 But I thought I'd correct him.

00:18:38.260 So he asked me, how do I know what's true?

00:18:40.400 And I said, I'll give you some examples.

00:18:42.280 The news told you that Trump called neo-Nazis fine people.

00:18:45.420 I watched the whole video and could see he condemned them.

00:18:48.780 The news showed you an edited clip.

00:18:51.340 That's easy.

00:18:51.920 So I watched the news.

00:18:55.500 I saw what they said.

00:18:57.140 And then I went to the Internet.

00:18:58.280 I saw the full clip.

00:18:59.780 It wasn't hard.

00:19:01.800 You don't have to do research.

00:19:05.280 You just have to look at the source.

00:19:07.420 And you can see that they lied about what was there.

00:19:10.040 Now, when I said this, a whole bunch of people weighed in.

00:19:12.380 Oh, Scott, that's not what the president said.

00:19:15.660 He said there were fine people with them, marching with them.

00:19:20.080 He didn't say the neo-Nazis were fine people.

00:19:22.620 He said the people who were with them and marching were fine people.

00:19:26.440 No, he didn't.

00:19:27.560 He'd never said marching with.

00:19:29.400 He said they were there.

00:19:30.900 And I said, I interviewed them personally.

00:19:33.680 And there were townies there who just said, oh, I like statues.

00:19:37.480 I think I'll walk over and be part of it.

00:19:39.780 They weren't marching.

00:19:40.660 They were nowhere near the Nazis.

00:19:42.260 They disavowed the Nazis in plain language.

00:19:44.940 They just liked the historical nature of the statues.

00:19:48.700 And then somebody said, but Scott, did you see the flyer?

00:19:52.720 The flyer is clearly a racist flyer, the flyer for the event.

00:19:57.680 How do you explain that anybody saw that flyer and went there and was not pro-Nazi?

00:20:02.960 To which I say, I interviewed somebody who was Jewish, who saw the flyer and went.

00:20:10.260 And I said, what the hell?

00:20:11.940 You saw the flyer, you're Jewish.

00:20:15.020 Why would you go there?

00:20:16.900 And he said, I didn't recognize any of the names of the speakers, which is actually very

00:20:22.040 believable.

00:20:22.880 I recognize them because, you know, I'm kind of deep in the weeds, but they're not household

00:20:27.360 names.

00:20:28.340 So I knew Richard Spencer's name.

00:20:30.640 So I would have said, oh, it's one of those.

00:20:34.400 But most people in America have never heard his name.

00:20:37.680 You know, 95% of the country wouldn't know who he was.

00:20:42.940 But what about the imagery?

00:20:44.720 The imagery was definitely evocative of some Nazi stuff.

00:20:48.700 But not everybody knew that.

00:20:52.100 I recognized it just because, again, I'm in the weeds and I watch certain stuff.

00:20:57.260 So I recognized it.

00:20:58.840 But I do legitimately think you could look at it and say, oh, it's just right wing stuff.

00:21:04.260 You wouldn't recognize it as having some, you know, some kind of historical connection

00:21:09.140 to something.

00:21:09.620 So, yes, it was very easy that or more generally, let's say this, if you get a whole bunch of

00:21:17.000 Americans to attend anything for any reason, you'll have every opinion there, right?

00:21:23.920 If you get a whole bunch of Americans to attend any publicized event, there will be every viewpoint

00:21:31.340 there because there are lots of people and we all have slightly different viewpoints.

00:21:34.560 So to imagine that everybody there had one viewpoint would be dumb beyond belief.

00:21:41.560 That's not the way anything works.

00:21:43.880 Nothing.

00:21:45.540 So you don't have to be an expert on the news to know that that was a lie.

00:21:51.600 Same with the drinking bleach hoax.

00:21:53.460 You just have to watch it and watch the full video.

00:21:56.740 The news says Republicans stage insurrections without guns.

00:21:59.860 That's obviously not true.

00:22:00.920 I don't need to watch the news to know that Republicans don't do insurrections without

00:22:05.840 guns.

00:22:06.620 I don't have to watch the news to know that stealing a lectern is not part of your insurrection.

00:22:12.680 I don't have to watch the news to know, although I heard this in the news, that if Don Jr.

00:22:18.480 was not aware of the January 6th being a planned insurrection and was not in favor of it because

00:22:23.660 he was trying to calm it down from the start.

00:22:25.600 It wasn't an insurrection if the president didn't tell his son and closest advisor.

00:22:33.760 You know, there are a hundred ways to know that wasn't an insurrection, starting with

00:22:37.840 Republicans don't leave their guns home if they're trying to conquer a country.

00:22:42.100 Right.

00:22:42.440 Or let me say it more clearly.

00:22:45.100 In the unlikely event the Republicans ever stage an actual insurrection, you wouldn't be

00:22:51.460 asking the question about whether it was an insurrection.

00:22:53.880 They would remove all doubt.

00:22:57.380 And the fact that there's any doubt at all should be all you need to know.

00:23:01.900 So your bullshit detector should be able to catch all of those.

00:23:05.440 The news told us that we should know that elections were fair.

00:23:08.940 That's just dumb.

00:23:10.120 The only thing we know is that we didn't discover enough of problems in a legally approved way.

00:23:16.660 You know, in other words, the legal system didn't validate any concerns.

00:23:20.260 But that doesn't mean we know it was fair.

00:23:23.320 That's literally just stupid.

00:23:25.220 The only thing we know is that we didn't find anything that the court said was real.

00:23:29.480 Very different.

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00:24:18.040 For news that has one anonymous source that says something bad about Trump, that no human

00:24:39.660 including Trump would ever say, those are obvious lies.

00:24:42.920 You don't need to be like a news expert to know that if it's one source during an election

00:24:48.720 year that says Trump said something that literally nobody would say, including Trump, yeah, that's

00:24:54.360 just made up.

00:24:55.360 Every year, ordinary.

00:24:57.200 If you didn't know that, you might think that was the news.

00:25:01.880 But once you know that it's the most ordinary thing that they do this one source made up something

00:25:06.780 that nobody would ever say, like calling the military losers, the moment you heard that,

00:25:14.500 you should have known that literally nobody would say that, including Trump as president.

00:25:19.760 Now, did he say something about John McCain?

00:25:22.300 Yes, because that's exactly what he would do.

00:25:25.880 He would make fun of a powerful person that he's running against, or that's a critic.

00:25:31.780 But he's not going to make fun of veterans.

00:25:36.240 He's not going to make fun of people in the military.

00:25:38.380 That's literally the opposite of who he is, and always has been.

00:25:41.700 So to imagine that that was true, that's a problem in discerning bullshit.

00:25:47.720 That's not something about the news.

00:25:50.400 You should have seen that one yourself.

00:25:54.700 How about the story that Trump tried to choke out the driver of his own car on January 6th?

00:26:00.780 He didn't really need to be a news expert to know that didn't happen.

00:26:07.580 And sure enough, the driver himself says it didn't happen.

00:26:14.420 What about climate models?

00:26:17.420 Everybody who understands models with lots of variables knows they're not real.

00:26:23.880 And I've done prediction models.

00:26:26.680 So I've worked in that domain.

00:26:28.160 So I know that they're not real.

00:26:30.600 I know how that scam works, where you replace the ones that don't work, and you keep updating

00:26:34.960 them, so that you can always say, well, these all would have worked in the past.

00:26:40.320 But of course, it's just a selection bias.

00:26:42.800 It's not actually any prediction going on at all.

00:26:45.760 Now, you would only know that if you had a specific skill set and experience.

00:26:50.300 Other people would say, hmm, looks like these models are telling me the future, you know,

00:26:55.060 like your horoscope.

00:26:57.700 So that's not a case of, you know, trusting Fox News over CNN.

00:27:02.560 It's just obvious to people who have that experience.

00:27:06.240 The news is telling you that Biden is cognitively fine.

00:27:13.880 How much of a news expert do I need to be to know that he's not cognitively fine?

00:27:18.620 I see him.

00:27:19.900 I can see him.

00:27:21.460 We all see it.

00:27:23.540 How about the news tells you that the government has UFOs in a warehouse?

00:27:27.200 Now, some of you might believe that the government has UFOs in the warehouse.

00:27:31.840 I'm here to tell you the government doesn't have any UFOs in a warehouse.

00:27:35.880 How do I know that?

00:27:37.060 It's really, really obvious if you're good at spotting bullshit.

00:27:41.280 That could not be less likely, right?

00:27:44.660 So there's another example.

00:27:47.360 How about the Russia collusion hoax?

00:27:49.700 How long did it take you from the beginning of the hoax to know that that wasn't true?

00:27:54.920 Because your news didn't know.

00:27:56.240 I mean, the news couldn't tell you if it was true or not, because there was an allegation

00:27:59.800 for a long time without the results of an investigation.

00:28:04.240 But you knew, didn't you?

00:28:06.500 You knew it was made up.

00:28:08.560 I knew, you knew, and sure enough, it was made up.

00:28:13.980 And I said, I could do that test on all of the news.

00:28:17.160 You could pick any topic, and I can tell you how the bullshit could be easily spotted.

00:28:22.560 Now, that still does require that you're watching the news, but you're watching both sides.

00:28:28.520 And another trick I tell you all the time is if both sides report a fact the same, it's

00:28:33.660 probably true.

00:28:35.400 It's probably true.

00:28:36.600 If one side said it happened and the other side says it didn't, far, far less likely to

00:28:42.960 be true.

00:28:43.340 But it might be.

00:28:45.400 So there are a lot of rules of thumbs, and there are a lot of, you know, tools in the

00:28:49.600 toolbox for sorting this out.

00:28:52.600 But more generally, well, let me give you another example from the news.

00:29:01.020 There's a new one.

00:29:01.600 So the Biden campaign has a cheap fake task force.

00:29:06.260 So they've created a task force to try to convince you that the things you see with your

00:29:11.080 own eyes are not happening because they're slightly edited videos.

00:29:15.160 Are they slightly edited videos?

00:29:17.420 Yes.

00:29:18.500 Yeah, the one in Normandy kind of cuts off the fact that he was interacting with some people

00:29:23.020 off screen.

00:29:23.940 But you still see Biden being Biden, which is bad enough no matter what he's doing at the

00:29:28.800 moment.

00:29:29.080 So they created this cheap fake task force to gaslight the public into thinking that what

00:29:36.840 you see is not what you see, because in some cases, it's actually not what you see.

00:29:43.000 So because 5% of the time there's something like off screen that might be misleading, that

00:29:48.940 the other 95% of the time that you could clearly see he's fried, that that's not happening either.

00:29:54.300 Now, how much of an expert in in health do I need to be to know that the cheap fake task

00:30:01.760 force is for diversion purposes and is not telling you the truth?

00:30:05.940 It doesn't take a whole lot of skill to spot that one.

00:30:12.180 All right.

00:30:12.780 Anyway, so I realized this.

00:30:15.080 I was talking to the man cave audience last night that it's probably not a it's probably

00:30:21.100 not a coincidence that I've predicted things better than other public figures.

00:30:26.700 Now, I'm going to make this claim and then back it up.

00:30:31.820 But it's necessary for me to say that I'm better at predicting than most people in the

00:30:37.880 public domain, like a lot better.

00:30:40.000 And my track record shows that pretty clearly.

00:30:42.620 Don't get everything right.

00:30:44.140 So if you have some examples of things I got wrong, you're probably right.

00:30:48.100 Nobody gets them all right.

00:30:49.040 But I have by far maybe the best public prediction record of any public figure who does predictions.

00:30:57.060 So here's why I realized there's actually a reason for it that for some reason was never

00:31:01.680 obvious to me.

00:31:03.280 First of all, I've got a degree in economics.

00:31:05.820 And if you didn't know, economics is a forecasting skill.

00:31:10.740 The whole point of learning economics is not to understand what happened yesterday, although

00:31:15.920 that's fun, too.

00:31:17.300 It's to predict.

00:31:19.040 You're looking at all these different variables in the world, mostly economic, but it could

00:31:23.000 include political and other, technological.

00:31:25.880 And then you say, given all these variables and how cause and effect works, what is the

00:31:31.820 most likely outcome?

00:31:33.260 If I increase the money supply, I get inflation.

00:31:36.060 If I get inflation, what's that going to do to employment?

00:31:38.680 So if you study economics, you've literally got a degree in forecasting the future.

00:31:45.320 Would you agree?

00:31:46.540 That's what it is.

00:31:47.580 It's forecasting the future in complex environments.

00:31:51.360 Now, on top of that, I have an MBA, which teaches you to predict businesses.

00:31:57.380 So the whole skill of an MBA is if I do this, I predict I'll get a better outcome than if

00:32:04.340 I do the other thing.

00:32:06.360 An MBA is a prediction skill.

00:32:08.420 And indeed, we spend a lot of time doing financial predictions.

00:32:11.800 If I buy this company under these conditions, this will be the outcome.

00:32:16.720 Now, I took those skills and I became a banker.

00:32:20.060 And while I was a banker for a while, I was a lender.

00:32:23.720 So I got to look at and approve vast numbers of loans because I was an approver.

00:32:30.000 I wasn't originating them.

00:32:32.380 So I got to see a vast number of predictions in the form of I will pay the loan back with

00:32:38.440 this financial set of things happening in the future.

00:32:40.620 And I got to understand when these predictions are reliable and when they're not.

00:32:46.600 A whole set of skills for understanding when people are lying about the predictions and

00:32:51.980 when they're not.

00:32:53.020 So I got that.

00:32:54.440 So those are two skills.

00:32:56.860 Three, if you count the real life experience as a lender, which are literally directly involved

00:33:02.740 with predicting the future based on lots of variables that are swilling around or swirling

00:33:09.500 around.

00:33:10.280 On top of that, my other jobs were finance and budgeting.

00:33:16.100 So finance and budgeting is also a predictive skill.

00:33:20.580 How much money do we need for this thing?

00:33:22.920 And then you learn a whole other toolbox of how to predict money related things that involve

00:33:28.160 people in technology.

00:33:29.160 Then on top of that, I worked with engineers.

00:33:35.600 So although it said engineer on my business card for a while and I did engineering things,

00:33:40.000 I wasn't technically an engineer by trade.

00:33:43.320 Well, I was by trade, but not by education.

00:33:46.460 And engineers are entirely about the future.

00:33:49.500 And the way they do it is they look at the whole system and they say, all right, you got

00:33:54.200 this well-designed thing, except there's this one week part.

00:33:56.980 Well, I predict that that week part will be the first thing to fail.

00:34:01.920 So engineering is prediction.

00:34:04.620 You say, if I do this, this will stay together and work.

00:34:07.520 If I do this, it won't.

00:34:09.080 It's future.

00:34:10.580 So I'm not an engineer, but I was immersed in that environment for 16 years.

00:34:16.360 I was just always around them.

00:34:17.400 And you learn to think like that.

00:34:18.940 You pick up a style of thinking and it's the engineering style.

00:34:22.440 On top of that, I'm a hypnotist.

00:34:26.420 So I understand how the brain is structured in a functional way.

00:34:30.880 If you do this, you get this output.

00:34:33.480 Without all the imagination that we're thinking humans, it was just the irrational motivation

00:34:39.760 part.

00:34:40.740 And of course, to be a hypnotist, you end up mastering a lot of psychology.

00:34:45.780 Psychology is also a predictive skill.

00:34:52.460 Under these conditions, you're likely to have this outcome.

00:34:56.540 If I do this for you, this kind of treatment, you're likely to have this kind of benefit.

00:35:02.220 It's a prediction.

00:35:03.400 And of course, knowing how people think is by far the most important thing to predict

00:35:09.120 any outcome.

00:35:09.740 How do people think?

00:35:11.640 And can I discern what they will think from their reasoning part of their brain, which

00:35:16.220 is minimal?

00:35:17.620 And can I discern what their irrational brain will do?

00:35:20.980 The way I predicted that Trump would win in 2016 is my hypnosis prediction skills.

00:35:28.020 That, oh no, he's more persuasive than other people.

00:35:31.080 So that's a prediction.

00:35:33.740 All right.

00:35:34.440 Wait till you get to, I'm going to get to, there's kind of a, like a crescendo here that

00:35:39.120 I'm getting to.

00:35:39.740 Um, I'm also a member of the media.

00:35:44.180 So although I'm a cartoonist, I'm also a writer and author, and I worked in the news

00:35:51.500 industry for most of my career.

00:35:53.940 If you're in it, you get to see behind the curtain.

00:35:57.240 And if you see behind the curtain, you see how the media really works.

00:36:00.520 You see, it's basically money driving the whole thing and selfishness and all that.

00:36:04.360 So if you didn't have media experience, there's a whole bunch of things that are really obvious

00:36:10.080 to everybody who's in the media that would be invisible to normies.

00:36:14.300 They just wouldn't see it.

00:36:15.820 But I have that benefit.

00:36:17.060 The other thing is that I'm a public figure.

00:36:21.340 Being a public figure allows you to meet other public figures far more often than if you

00:36:28.000 were not.

00:36:29.020 When you meet other public figures and you are a public figure, you quite often hear the

00:36:34.080 real story behind the scenes.

00:36:35.660 The story other people don't get to hear.

00:36:39.560 So by luck and coincidence, I just happen to have access to people who go, you know,

00:36:45.640 the story in the news, nothing like that happened.

00:36:48.560 Here's what really happened.

00:36:50.040 And you will never, ever hear it in the news.

00:36:53.140 I get to hear that stuff from the people who were there.

00:36:57.280 So I'm talking about the person who made the news will tell me that it's fake.

00:37:01.620 I actually get to talk to the people who ran an op to create fake news.

00:37:07.740 The news reported is real and you think is real.

00:37:10.360 I get to talk to them.

00:37:11.600 Oh, yeah, we made that up and people believe that.

00:37:14.880 Now, if you've never had that experience of meeting people who literally make up the news,

00:37:20.500 you don't know what's going on.

00:37:23.720 All right.

00:37:26.040 The other thing is being good at pattern recognition, which I would argue that's what

00:37:31.000 cartoonists are.

00:37:33.340 A humorist and a cartoonist tend to simplify big, complicated situations.

00:37:40.480 And that's a good skill for just understanding what's what.

00:37:43.440 If you can summarize and know what's important, then you can make jokes about it.

00:37:48.920 But it's the same skill of summarizing and understanding the key point that allows you

00:37:54.300 to see any topic with a little bit of extra clarity.

00:37:59.260 And then there's my varied occupations.

00:38:02.740 So I've had jobs and everything from marketing to sales to strategy to service to engineering

00:38:09.600 to technology to finance.

00:38:12.520 And all of them are a different window into the house.

00:38:15.820 So if the only thing you'd ever learned is one of those things, marketing, let's say,

00:38:20.340 you'd be looking into the house from in the marketing window and you would just see the living room.

00:38:25.600 You'd say the inside of this house is a living room, but it's only because you only had one window.

00:38:30.900 If you had all those skills, you'd see the house from all the windows and you'd know all the contents of the house.

00:38:37.360 So I've actually had probably 20 different jobs that had different windows.

00:38:44.380 And they all give you a little bit of a peek into what's real.

00:38:49.300 And that's also highly related to being old.

00:38:53.880 If you're in your 60s, you have this vast experience of patterns that you've seen.

00:38:59.620 Oh, when that happens, this always happens.

00:39:02.320 Right.

00:39:02.480 But you're not so old that your brain is deteriorating in the, you know, dementia Joe kind of way.

00:39:10.820 So if you're in your 60s, you just have this gigantic advantage over somebody in their 30s or 40s.

00:39:16.400 I mean, really gigantic.

00:39:18.020 And believe me, when I was in my 30s and 40s, I did not believe that people in their 60s had a gigantic experiential advantage.

00:39:26.580 I often thought they would be, you know, yeah, they're a little out of sync.

00:39:32.000 They don't know what the new stuff is.

00:39:34.780 Right.

00:39:35.080 But they certainly know what the old stuff was.

00:39:37.500 They've seen it.

00:39:38.740 So when somebody tells me that X or Y is going to destroy the world, I say, do you know how many times I've heard that?

00:39:45.740 If it's the first time you're hearing this or that will destroy the world, you're panicked.

00:39:51.200 Oh, my God.

00:39:51.820 The news just said the world's going to be destroyed.

00:39:54.200 What do I say?

00:39:54.860 Yeah, that's the 20th time I've heard that.

00:39:57.860 Hasn't happened yet.

00:39:59.860 So experience really makes a difference.

00:40:04.020 And the other thing is that being a public figure, I get to see that the news about me isn't real.

00:40:10.980 Now, if you're a public figure that the news likes to write about, which I am, I get to see how they write it and I get to see it's not real.

00:40:19.320 So then when I see stories about other public figures, I start with the assumption it's not real.

00:40:25.540 If I see a story about, say, Kanye, yay, or any other politician, I start with the assumption it's not real because that's the norm.

00:40:35.800 The norm is it's not real.

00:40:37.960 You wouldn't know that unless you've been the subject of lots of stories and you keep wondering why, coincidentally, they're wrong.

00:40:45.080 It's not a coincidence.

00:40:46.160 Stories about public figures rarely are true.

00:40:50.780 Now, having said that, your brain might be doing something like this.

00:40:56.340 But, Scott, really all the professions, they all have this predictive thing to them.

00:41:02.940 Like, if you're a plumber, you have to predict that if you fix this pipe, it won't leak.

00:41:07.760 So basically, all the professions have this predictive thing to them, kind of.

00:41:15.880 But they only predict little things within their domain.

00:41:20.300 Yes, it's true, the plumber can predict a leak.

00:41:24.560 But that's it.

00:41:26.140 It's not going to help him read the news.

00:41:28.880 A schoolteacher can be very smart and well-informed about the past.

00:41:33.900 But they're not really in the business of predicting the future beyond, if I do this with my class, I should get a good result with my class.

00:41:42.140 It's very compartmentalized, right?

00:41:45.360 If you were a, I don't know, you're in the sales.

00:41:51.640 You have to predict that if you do this, somebody will buy your stuff.

00:41:55.360 But that's it.

00:41:56.980 It's not a generalizable skill.

00:42:00.180 So you see the difference?

00:42:01.220 If you're Robert De Niro, he's learned to conflate reality and fiction.

00:42:12.340 That's his skill.

00:42:14.000 His skill is conflating reality and fiction in a way that entertains people.

00:42:18.880 Is that a good skill for understanding reality?

00:42:21.660 Probably the worst.

00:42:23.380 It doesn't give you any predictive ability.

00:42:25.560 And it might fool you into thinking that fiction and fact aren't that different or that you could treat them the same or that it's not a big deal if you do.

00:42:35.100 So my answer to Ian Michael Black is that it seems to be that the respectful way with which he asked the question suggests that he has a genuine curiosity.

00:42:49.340 Because it didn't come across exactly as you're stupid for saying that watching the news isn't helping.

00:42:57.180 It was more like it looked like he was genuinely curious how somebody.

00:43:01.300 Now, here's the part where knowing that he knows somebody that was close with me.

00:43:06.040 He probably understands I'm not stupid, which is important.

00:43:11.680 Because if he looks at my opinion and says, OK, according to our mutual friend, this one's not stupid.

00:43:17.940 But why is he saying something that in my worldview looks like it could be stupid?

00:43:24.120 And so he respectfully asked, how do you explain this?

00:43:27.020 And so I did as as a let's say reciprocity.

00:43:34.440 Reciprocity is a really important factor in the world because he was respectful.

00:43:40.260 I'm happy to respectfully give him a complete answer that I think is really useful for him and for other people.

00:43:46.900 I don't do it just to score some points.

00:43:49.240 I do it because this is really important.

00:43:51.860 You really need to know why people say the news isn't real, real, real important.

00:43:57.020 All right.

00:44:00.700 I would like to echo something that Greg Gutfeld said on The Five yesterday that I just thought was brilliant.

00:44:07.880 And I'm mad at myself for not putting this together.

00:44:11.380 But here's your sort of paraphrasing Greg.

00:44:15.480 But if you look at the fine people hoax.

00:44:18.560 You could argue that was the most divisive thing that ever happened in your lifetime almost.

00:44:24.740 So it's very divisive for the country.

00:44:26.420 So we know that the hoax was just bad for human relations.

00:44:32.560 Create a lot of division.

00:44:34.320 But it goes beyond that.

00:44:36.620 It probably got Biden elected.

00:44:39.220 It was his main theme.

00:44:41.080 And people believed it.

00:44:42.680 So you wouldn't have had Biden without the fine people hoax.

00:44:46.780 It seems.

00:44:47.920 I mean, you could argue he might have tried something else.

00:44:50.440 But this is what he tried.

00:44:52.480 And it worked.

00:44:54.120 So the fine people hoax gave you Biden a dementia riddled president.

00:44:58.960 who then opened your borders, started a war with Ukraine, kind of.

00:45:03.980 I mean, you could argue that he started it or didn't stop it.

00:45:08.340 And you got inflation.

00:45:10.340 You got, you know, your price of eggs through the roof and all that stuff.

00:45:16.620 So, in effect, you could argue that the intentional hoax of the fine people hoax

00:45:22.880 destroyed civil society in the country, got you Biden a brain-dead puppet,

00:45:32.700 and destroyed our country through the open borders, inflation, debt, and Ukraine war.

00:45:40.660 That hoax may have destroyed America.

00:45:45.860 Now, I'm going to bet against that, because I think we're pretty spunky,

00:45:49.800 and we're good at correcting, and we're good at destroying things before we rebuild them.

00:45:54.000 Sort of built into the whole American thing.

00:45:56.600 So, I don't think we're doomed.

00:45:59.280 I think we'll be fine.

00:46:00.200 Again, that's one of those being old things.

00:46:03.660 If I were 30, I would think we're doomed.

00:46:06.320 Honestly.

00:46:08.320 If you just showed me the news, and you just say,

00:46:11.940 all right, you're 30 years old, are we doomed?

00:46:13.980 I would look at the news and say, you know what?

00:46:16.100 There's no way out.

00:46:17.720 There's just no way out.

00:46:19.000 We're doomed.

00:46:20.200 But at my current age, I know that's not true.

00:46:24.000 Because it would be like the 25th time I was doomed,

00:46:26.620 and then somebody just said, oh, it turns out that this year 2000 bug,

00:46:31.400 we'll just write a program that automatically finds the places we need to fix and fixes them.

00:46:36.860 It was almost trivial.

00:46:39.340 And how about that ozone hole?

00:46:42.180 Well, it closed.

00:46:44.320 Right.

00:46:44.860 How about all the freezing that we were supposed to have in the 70s?

00:46:49.300 Well, turns out maybe it got warmer.

00:46:51.620 So how about running out of fuel in the 70s?

00:46:55.740 We're all going to die.

00:46:56.860 Well, we have more fuel, not less.

00:47:00.600 What about the Russia was definitely going to nuke us in the 60s?

00:47:04.840 I had a bomb shelter in my house.

00:47:06.700 I had a bomb shelter in my house.

00:47:09.700 It was a very bad one.

00:47:10.760 My father was not good at building bomb shelters.

00:47:13.440 But we had some canned food and some extra thick walls just in case.

00:47:19.040 The nuke came for us.

00:47:20.320 So, no, I think we'll be fine.

00:47:24.340 But it is still demonstrably obviously true that that one hoax is coming really close to destroying the United States.

00:47:34.140 It's not hyperbole.

00:47:35.840 I think we'll be fine.

00:47:37.280 But my God, what a body blow.

00:47:38.720 All right.

00:47:41.580 I may have told you this before, but somebody did a study of the donations to political parties in Silicon Valley.

00:47:49.020 No surprise.

00:47:50.200 It's almost all goes to Democrats.

00:47:52.540 But the update is that it still is.

00:47:54.820 So, even though you've heard some notable stories of big venture capitalists and stuff moving toward Trump, you might say to yourself, oh, those are just the exceptions.

00:48:08.300 And that's why they're in the news, because they're so, you know, man bites dog exception.

00:48:13.860 But I would argue that donations are not telling the story because people don't want to tell you exactly who they donated if it's Trump.

00:48:22.620 It'd be bad for business if you're in Silicon Valley.

00:48:25.040 So, I think donations may be misleading.

00:48:26.980 And what is more important is that there is a certain set of, let's say, investors and entrepreneurs and VC people, I guess they're investors, who are more respected for their opinions than others.

00:48:44.520 There are some that are just considered the wisest people in the industry.

00:48:49.400 Every one of them is going to Trump.

00:48:52.800 Every one of them.

00:48:53.760 Everybody who is good at predicting the future, that's what VCs do.

00:49:01.660 A venture capitalist literally predicts the future of the company and probably the economy at the same time.

00:49:10.180 Now, they don't do it right all the time, but they're the best at it.

00:49:14.660 So, the reason that, you know, the reason that you hear of, you know, some of these famous venture capitalists is they didn't have one hit.

00:49:22.140 They had multiple hits.

00:49:24.620 It's pretty hard to do.

00:49:26.540 And especially if you're starting the company yourself, to start more than one company that succeeds.

00:49:30.900 Who does better at predicting, Elon Musk or everybody else in the whole fucking world?

00:49:37.720 Elon Musk.

00:49:38.420 He beat everybody.

00:49:39.940 You don't have to wonder.

00:49:42.200 He predicted he could make an electric car company.

00:49:45.440 Who else did?

00:49:46.760 Nobody.

00:49:47.680 He predicted he could get a rocket to land and be reused.

00:49:51.460 I don't think anybody was thinking that was true, except some engineers, maybe.

00:49:57.040 So, he's probably the most clearly and obviously best predictor of anything we've ever seen.

00:50:03.180 And he's moving in the Trump direction.

00:50:07.960 So, look for influence.

00:50:10.200 Don't look for donor lists.

00:50:13.040 Louisiana public schools now are going to be required to display the Ten Commandments.

00:50:19.180 Do I even need to talk about that one?

00:50:27.120 As you know, if you've been with me for a while, I love my Christians.

00:50:35.040 I'm not a believer personally, but I'm a real big fan.

00:50:40.200 Meaning that the Christians have a good way of life.

00:50:43.180 It did inform the Constitution.

00:50:45.660 It is the backbone of the American culture.

00:50:48.900 It does work.

00:50:50.400 It does make people happier and healthier and economically more stable.

00:50:54.600 So, they do have a way of life which is absolutely superior.

00:50:58.440 Now, not maybe superior than every other thing you could do,

00:51:01.240 but on average, it's a system that works.

00:51:07.840 And so, I'm, you know, pro.

00:51:12.900 But part of that system is that you keep the religion out of politics.

00:51:19.260 I get it that it's the foundation of why we have certain laws and stuff in the Constitution.

00:51:24.980 But still, it's our thing that we keep it separate.

00:51:28.320 This is a mistake.

00:51:29.420 Now, I think it will be corrected.

00:51:33.100 I think that there will be movements against it.

00:51:36.340 But I think you can be 100% pro-Christians and Christianity

00:51:40.420 and think it's a mistake to put it in the school.

00:51:44.820 Because it does beg the question, what about the other religions?

00:51:50.560 I mean, it's just going to cause trouble.

00:51:52.320 Pretty soon, Satan's going to be in the school.

00:51:54.840 You know why?

00:51:55.460 How could you stop it?

00:51:58.300 As soon as you say one religion can be in the school,

00:52:01.260 people are going to say, you can't have one,

00:52:03.880 but maybe we'd be okay if you let them all in.

00:52:07.540 And then the Satanists are there.

00:52:10.780 How is that a good idea?

00:52:13.460 To me, it just looks like an impractical and bad idea

00:52:16.640 that had good intentions.

00:52:19.060 It's just a mistake.

00:52:19.960 I think it will get corrected.

00:52:23.320 But I love my Christians.

00:52:26.340 One of the people who is fighting against that is the ACLU,

00:52:29.620 who I call the disgraced ACLU.

00:52:33.980 A Rasmussen has a poll that says if Newsom were to replace Trump

00:52:37.740 in a hypothetical matchup,

00:52:40.540 that Trump would just destroy him by 12 points.

00:52:45.260 Do you believe that?

00:52:46.300 I'm not sure I believe that.

00:52:50.440 Because I think the minute that Newsom replaced Biden,

00:52:54.340 the Democrat support would just firm up behind Newsom 100%.

00:52:58.680 So it could be that there's some number of independents

00:53:04.720 who believe that Biden is just a doddering,

00:53:07.720 but well-meaning, ordinary politician.

00:53:09.720 And they would see maybe Newsom as more of a greasy,

00:53:14.700 less trustworthy, unsuccessful in California politician.

00:53:19.420 So maybe.

00:53:20.960 But I would think that whoever the Democrat candidate is

00:53:23.780 will get 100% of the Democrats.

00:53:26.260 So there must be just some people who think Biden is a better deal

00:53:29.940 than Newsom.

00:53:31.300 I'm not even sure I think that.

00:53:33.100 There are very few people who would be less happy

00:53:37.960 with Newsom being the president than me.

00:53:41.120 I mean, I live in the state,

00:53:42.880 so I get to feel his effects firsthand.

00:53:46.880 No.

00:53:47.980 He's the last governor,

00:53:50.180 except for maybe Hochul,

00:53:52.280 that I would want running my country.

00:53:55.780 And still, it might be better than Biden.

00:53:58.640 And I say that just because Newsom's brain is fully functional.

00:54:03.760 And he's smart.

00:54:05.400 Sure, he's a political creature and he's slimy

00:54:07.720 and you worry that he's connected to corrupt things,

00:54:11.420 but you don't know.

00:54:13.340 But he's at least got a functioning brain

00:54:15.680 and he cares about America surviving.

00:54:17.900 So I don't know.

00:54:19.840 I'd have to hear what he said about immigration

00:54:21.500 before I knew if it's an upgrade or a downgrade.

00:54:25.300 Because you might expect that Newsom would change

00:54:27.420 some of his policies as a president compared to governor,

00:54:31.020 but you can't rely on that.

00:54:32.480 That would be hard to rely on.

00:54:35.240 All right, here's the debates are upcoming.

00:54:37.880 It's going to be fun.

00:54:41.600 What would be a good strategy for the debates?

00:54:44.500 I see people doing lots of fantasy advising

00:54:47.360 where they say,

00:54:48.900 here's what Trump should do in this debate

00:54:50.640 and here's what he should do.

00:54:52.040 And I saw the suggestion,

00:54:54.320 I think the Amaze account on X,

00:54:56.640 was saying that Trump should run through all the hoaxes

00:55:00.140 and debunk them.

00:55:02.180 And I thought about that and I thought,

00:55:03.680 you know, the debates are,

00:55:06.160 it's kind of a tough way to go run through the hoaxes

00:55:09.200 because even if he does,

00:55:11.060 he's going to be calling attention to them

00:55:13.780 and then the news will say,

00:55:15.540 but they're real.

00:55:16.340 He claims they're not real,

00:55:17.480 but they're real.

00:55:18.100 So I don't know that debunking a bunch of hoaxes

00:55:21.440 could work in that setting.

00:55:23.880 But you know what might work?

00:55:26.440 What might work is debunking one,

00:55:29.320 just the fine people hoax.

00:55:31.420 And the way I would debunk it

00:55:32.780 is the way that Gutfeld debunked it.

00:55:35.800 I would say that if you watch the video,

00:55:39.440 you can see that I was talking about

00:55:41.000 the people who I believed were there

00:55:43.060 and later reporting showed were,

00:55:46.560 who were not anywhere near the racists

00:55:48.900 and disavowed them

00:55:49.980 and just wanted the statues to stay.

00:55:53.120 Now, they didn't see the marketing for the event.

00:55:56.740 Some of them were locals

00:55:57.800 and they just wandered over.

00:55:59.620 It was walking distance.

00:56:01.080 And so they just came over

00:56:02.120 to be in support of statues.

00:56:04.660 Now, because of that one lie,

00:56:07.400 my opponent over here

00:56:08.620 not only divided the country

00:56:10.880 with his people

00:56:11.960 more than we've ever been divided

00:56:14.060 and it probably had an impact

00:56:16.300 on the George Floyd thing

00:56:18.160 that came subsequently

00:56:19.120 because it seemed like it was piling on that.

00:56:23.840 And then it probably got Biden elected,

00:56:26.300 which gives you massive inflation

00:56:28.400 and open borders

00:56:29.580 and the Ukraine war

00:56:33.520 that we're funding.

00:56:35.900 Now, here's why this is effective.

00:56:38.620 First of all,

00:56:39.820 it limits itself

00:56:41.020 to the most important

00:56:42.220 and most easily debunkable hoax.

00:56:46.700 But he would have to cover

00:56:48.080 not just that it didn't happen.

00:56:50.980 He has to,

00:56:51.980 has to explain

00:56:54.040 what he meant by fine people.

00:56:56.080 He has to say,

00:56:57.540 if he's going to debunk it at all,

00:56:59.360 don't do it at all

00:57:00.280 unless you're going to say this.

00:57:01.340 I wouldn't even do it.

00:57:02.700 I would avoid it completely

00:57:03.880 unless you're going to say

00:57:05.800 that I assumed

00:57:08.020 because it's America

00:57:09.520 that people with every opinion

00:57:11.680 would show up

00:57:12.500 because that would be

00:57:13.520 the most obvious assumption.

00:57:15.480 Later, we did hear reports

00:57:17.060 that some of the locals

00:57:17.960 who didn't see any of the advertisements

00:57:19.380 about the Nazis

00:57:20.640 and weren't on their side

00:57:22.300 came by to show their support

00:57:24.620 for the historical statues.

00:57:26.400 That's who I was talking about.

00:57:28.040 Now, if you believe

00:57:28.980 that they weren't there,

00:57:29.980 that's not really on point

00:57:32.920 because I believe they were there

00:57:34.920 and I do believe they were there.

00:57:36.900 So let's not argue

00:57:38.140 about whether they weren't there

00:57:39.440 because your news

00:57:40.200 never tried to report it.

00:57:42.240 Did it?

00:57:43.260 I don't think your news source

00:57:44.720 even tried to find out

00:57:45.700 if there were any people there

00:57:46.720 who were not with the Nazis,

00:57:48.940 disavowed them

00:57:49.720 and just wanted to keep the statues.

00:57:51.800 Of course they were there.

00:57:53.540 Everybody knows

00:57:54.260 that any big gathering in America

00:57:55.640 has every point of view.

00:57:57.200 I was just siding

00:57:58.380 with one of the points of view

00:57:59.520 that I assumed was there.

00:58:01.240 If my assumption was wrong,

00:58:02.980 that wouldn't change anything

00:58:04.040 about my opinion

00:58:05.400 and what I said,

00:58:06.360 but my assumption

00:58:07.240 was right as well.

00:58:09.120 Now, the problem is

00:58:10.200 it destroyed America

00:58:11.280 in these ways I've described.

00:58:13.460 Now, did you catch the persuasion?

00:58:16.440 Let's see how good you are.

00:58:17.560 Have I trained you well?

00:58:20.080 What's the persuasion

00:58:21.820 active ingredient in that idea?

00:58:27.560 A couple.

00:58:28.240 Now, number one,

00:58:30.320 it's making you think past the sale.

00:58:32.640 If you concentrate

00:58:33.740 about how that hoax ruined America,

00:58:36.500 you're thinking past the question

00:58:38.360 of was it a hoax?

00:58:40.500 So he needs to very quickly say,

00:58:42.360 if you look at the whole video,

00:58:43.900 you'll see what I mean.

00:58:45.380 But he has to,

00:58:46.360 has to say

00:58:47.080 what he meant by fine people

00:58:49.060 and that surely

00:58:50.080 there were some of them there.

00:58:51.620 And even if there weren't,

00:58:52.820 it doesn't matter.

00:58:53.880 It doesn't matter to the point.

00:58:54.800 Then he can concentrate on

00:58:58.160 did you ruin the world

00:58:59.660 with this gigantic lie?

00:59:03.740 Make them talk about

00:59:05.080 whether it ruined the world.

00:59:07.580 Think past the sale.

00:59:09.620 Here's the other part of it.

00:59:11.740 And this is,

00:59:12.480 this is so Trump.

00:59:13.740 This is the Andre Agassi strategy.

00:59:18.060 The Andre Agassi strategy

00:59:19.880 when playing a weaker opponent,

00:59:22.200 especially,

00:59:23.260 is he would destroy

00:59:24.860 their best shot.

00:59:26.960 So if somebody had

00:59:28.160 a famous forehand,

00:59:29.560 but they were still,

00:59:30.960 you know,

00:59:31.260 somebody he should have beat,

00:59:32.560 he takes out

00:59:33.500 their forehand first

00:59:34.620 because then their confidence

00:59:36.040 is gone

00:59:36.540 and everything else

00:59:37.260 falls apart.

00:59:37.820 So once he shows

00:59:39.440 that their best shot

00:59:40.600 can't beat him,

00:59:41.980 they just fall apart.

00:59:43.820 And then he can

00:59:44.360 beat him in straight sets

00:59:45.800 and he's fresh

00:59:46.660 for the next game

00:59:47.480 which might be

00:59:48.240 more competitive.

00:59:49.800 So,

00:59:50.560 most people

00:59:52.000 would go for

00:59:52.800 somebody's weakest shot.

00:59:54.940 But if you go

00:59:55.660 for their weakest shot

00:59:56.780 and they get lucky,

00:59:58.380 do you know what happens?

01:00:00.200 They start thinking

01:00:01.260 their weakest shot works too.

01:00:03.500 And then they get

01:00:04.100 all confident.

01:00:05.300 Oh shoot,

01:00:05.820 even my weak shot's

01:00:06.700 working today.

01:00:07.840 Wait till he sees

01:00:08.380 my good shots.

01:00:10.780 So Trump

01:00:11.700 could go after

01:00:13.040 the fine people hoax

01:00:14.340 because it was

01:00:15.680 their strongest play.

01:00:18.140 And

01:00:18.580 since he's playing

01:00:19.840 a weak opponent,

01:00:22.240 Biden won't be able

01:00:23.180 to do a good job

01:00:23.900 of defending himself.

01:00:25.280 So he can take

01:00:26.280 their strongest hoax,

01:00:28.200 the one that's still alive,

01:00:30.080 he can slay it

01:00:31.260 in front of the world

01:00:32.560 and he can leave it there

01:00:34.360 with all of its entrails

01:00:35.880 sitting on the lectern

01:00:37.320 in front of Biden

01:00:38.340 and make him talk

01:00:39.640 to the country

01:00:40.300 over the guts

01:00:41.620 of his own fucking lie.

01:00:46.200 And we're done.

01:00:48.140 Now,

01:00:48.660 I remind you

01:00:49.240 that this is all

01:00:49.960 fantasy politics

01:00:51.300 where we pretend

01:00:52.760 that our advice

01:00:53.640 gets to Trump

01:00:54.460 and that he,

01:00:55.140 you know,

01:00:55.540 follows it

01:00:56.440 and the world

01:00:56.880 is different.

01:00:58.100 So,

01:00:58.420 no,

01:00:58.600 he'll do his own game

01:00:59.540 and it'll be,

01:01:00.480 you know,

01:01:01.580 a Trump game

01:01:02.320 from beginning to end.

01:01:03.260 And he's shown,

01:01:05.720 he's shown a willingness

01:01:07.040 not to engage

01:01:08.180 on that topic.

01:01:09.600 So I think he prefers

01:01:11.040 just not engaging

01:01:12.100 because it's not worked out

01:01:13.620 for him in the past.

01:01:14.880 So,

01:01:15.600 I wouldn't expect him

01:01:16.940 to go after it.

01:01:18.200 But if,

01:01:18.960 if Biden brings it up,

01:01:21.240 he might have to.

01:01:23.080 Now,

01:01:23.660 here's my next question.

01:01:26.640 Are Biden's advisors

01:01:28.200 and his debate planners,

01:01:30.260 are they dumb enough

01:01:32.160 to know

01:01:32.720 that this is

01:01:34.260 their biggest weakness

01:01:35.080 that looks like

01:01:35.860 their biggest strength?

01:01:37.860 They might be.

01:01:39.200 They might be dumb enough

01:01:40.580 that he'll mention

01:01:41.500 that hoax again.

01:01:42.720 If he mentions it again,

01:01:44.960 Trump has to dismantle it.

01:01:48.100 He has to.

01:01:49.860 And it will be

01:01:50.800 one of the finest moments

01:01:52.100 in all of American politics.

01:01:55.460 It will be the Act 3

01:01:57.320 of all Act 3s.

01:01:59.240 Now,

01:02:00.260 the other thing

01:02:00.740 I'd like to see,

01:02:01.420 and again,

01:02:01.780 this is,

01:02:02.180 you know,

01:02:02.600 fantasy advisor.

01:02:04.960 You know,

01:02:05.300 Trump will be Trump.

01:02:06.480 So we,

01:02:06.860 we're not really advising him.

01:02:08.620 But it's fun to talk about.

01:02:10.780 So recreationally,

01:02:13.320 so after he debunks that,

01:02:19.360 we'd love to see him

01:02:20.620 go after the,

01:02:23.400 he's going to steal

01:02:24.220 your democracy.

01:02:25.560 He's going to become

01:02:26.400 a dictator.

01:02:26.920 I would like to see him

01:02:29.380 mock it instead of

01:02:30.920 just argue it.

01:02:32.880 When he brings up

01:02:34.040 the January 6th thing,

01:02:35.740 oh,

01:02:35.940 he wanted to take over

01:02:36.800 the country,

01:02:38.100 I'll say,

01:02:38.900 Joe Biden,

01:02:40.060 only people,

01:02:41.100 only Joe Biden

01:02:42.260 thinks that Republicans

01:02:43.760 try to take over

01:02:44.780 a country

01:02:45.240 with paperwork

01:02:46.700 and no guns.

01:02:47.600 I promise you

01:02:49.500 it's not going to happen.

01:02:51.560 I mean,

01:02:51.760 there's not going to be

01:02:52.360 any armed insurrection.

01:02:54.020 Nobody ever tried to do it

01:02:55.140 on January 6th

01:02:56.560 because it's not,

01:02:57.980 it's not what it would

01:02:58.920 look like at all.

01:03:01.200 But if it did happen,

01:03:03.020 you would not be,

01:03:04.000 you would not be wondering.

01:03:06.440 Now,

01:03:06.960 he probably shouldn't say that

01:03:08.200 because that sounds like

01:03:09.240 he's actually,

01:03:09.680 actually threatening to do it.

01:03:11.200 So I wouldn't do that.

01:03:12.940 I would simply mock it

01:03:14.340 and say,

01:03:15.300 was it your idea

01:03:16.220 that everybody

01:03:17.100 left their guns home

01:03:18.100 and that they were

01:03:18.960 going to use trespassing

01:03:20.140 and relocating a lectern

01:03:22.140 to conquer the country?

01:03:23.960 Can you explain,

01:03:25.020 Joe Biden,

01:03:26.300 how relocating a lectern

01:03:27.920 and breaking some windows

01:03:30.640 in one building,

01:03:32.120 how that would conquer

01:03:33.140 the country?

01:03:33.740 Just connect the dots

01:03:34.680 for the people.

01:03:35.780 Since you clearly see

01:03:37.240 I had no support

01:03:38.340 from anybody in the military,

01:03:39.920 you can tell from the documents

01:03:42.100 that were unveiled

01:03:42.880 by the fake January 6th group

01:03:44.520 that there wasn't anybody

01:03:46.060 in on the plot.

01:03:47.620 There was no,

01:03:48.140 there was no communication

01:03:49.560 at all,

01:03:50.600 except that we thought

01:03:51.800 we could preserve

01:03:53.060 our rights

01:03:53.760 for a legal challenge

01:03:55.380 by having alternate electors,

01:03:57.400 which there is some history for.

01:04:00.960 Now,

01:04:01.520 I would mock it.

01:04:03.300 So I would just mock

01:04:04.600 their dumb January 6th beliefs

01:04:06.840 and that I'm going to be

01:04:08.520 a dictator for a day

01:04:09.680 and I just make fun of it.

01:04:12.100 All right.

01:04:14.520 Here's something

01:04:15.260 that's alarming.

01:04:20.840 Well,

01:04:21.520 before I get to that,

01:04:22.520 the Ford Foundation,

01:04:24.000 so they've got

01:04:24.500 a big charitable group

01:04:25.740 and the head of that

01:04:27.240 says that

01:04:27.900 attacks on DEI

01:04:29.960 are really anti-capitalist

01:04:32.540 because the capitalism

01:04:34.320 really requires,

01:04:35.420 you know,

01:04:37.020 a DEI-like fairness.

01:04:39.420 So here's what I think.

01:04:44.740 Sounds to me like

01:04:45.580 the director of the Ford Foundation

01:04:47.480 is a DEI hire

01:04:48.720 because that's the dumbest argument

01:04:50.700 I've ever heard.

01:04:52.920 He starts with the assumption

01:04:54.780 that there are plenty

01:04:55.860 of qualified people

01:04:57.420 in every domain

01:04:58.320 and then he reasons from there.

01:05:00.760 If that were true,

01:05:03.120 we'd all be on the same side.

01:05:04.980 I would be pro-DEI

01:05:06.780 if you could hire

01:05:08.940 just easily

01:05:10.240 employees

01:05:12.360 that look like

01:05:13.100 the rest of the country.

01:05:16.080 If they existed

01:05:17.240 in sufficient quantities,

01:05:19.920 it would happen naturally.

01:05:21.600 You wouldn't even be

01:05:22.320 talking about it

01:05:23.300 because the market system

01:05:25.620 would just take care of it.

01:05:26.700 Right?

01:05:28.180 So,

01:05:29.900 yeah,

01:05:31.720 I don't know anything

01:05:32.980 about Roy Swan,

01:05:34.180 the director

01:05:34.620 of the Ford Foundation,

01:05:36.180 but if I had to guess,

01:05:37.840 probably a DEI hire.

01:05:40.320 Now, is that fair?

01:05:42.140 It's not fair at all.

01:05:44.020 It's terribly unfair

01:05:45.380 to say somebody

01:05:46.340 might be a DEI hire.

01:05:48.240 But you know

01:05:48.680 who created this situation?

01:05:50.420 Not me.

01:05:51.620 It was DEI.

01:05:52.720 If you create DEI,

01:05:55.080 don't ask me not to notice.

01:05:57.400 Don't ask me not

01:05:58.100 to comment on it.

01:05:59.000 It's really big.

01:06:00.420 And don't ask me

01:06:01.320 not to treat it

01:06:02.100 like an engineer would,

01:06:03.600 which is as a system.

01:06:05.380 As a system,

01:06:06.400 it can't possibly work

01:06:07.640 because the demand

01:06:09.120 for the diverse employees

01:06:10.980 far outstrips the supply,

01:06:13.160 maybe,

01:06:13.600 you know,

01:06:14.640 10 to 1

01:06:15.240 depending on the field,

01:06:16.780 let's say STEM.

01:06:19.900 So,

01:06:20.540 it looks incompetent

01:06:21.800 and he looks like

01:06:23.820 he would be in a job

01:06:24.620 where they would do

01:06:25.220 a DEI hire.

01:06:26.880 So,

01:06:27.200 I assume that

01:06:27.780 his incompetence

01:06:28.620 is directly related

01:06:29.700 to the poor system

01:06:30.840 that promotes

01:06:31.900 underqualified people.

01:06:33.760 It looks like it.

01:06:35.540 Now,

01:06:35.820 why should I assume differently

01:06:36.960 when all the evidence

01:06:38.360 suggests that's exactly

01:06:39.460 what's happening

01:06:39.960 and he's an example of it?

01:06:42.300 All right,

01:06:42.820 here's the fun story

01:06:43.700 that starts out terrible.

01:06:46.600 The terrible part

01:06:47.660 is that

01:06:48.300 the number of

01:06:49.720 students in America

01:06:51.000 who are,

01:06:52.420 quote,

01:06:52.580 special education

01:06:53.900 folks,

01:06:55.360 the people who have

01:06:55.980 access to special education

01:06:57.460 is up to

01:06:59.040 7.5 million students

01:07:01.160 and that's 15%

01:07:02.380 of the public school

01:07:03.260 population.

01:07:04.340 It's up from 13%

01:07:05.980 a decade earlier.

01:07:08.000 15%

01:07:08.960 of students

01:07:11.080 are in special education.

01:07:14.740 15%.

01:07:15.000 Keep that in mind.

01:07:21.380 It might come up later.

01:07:24.220 15%.

01:07:24.820 Just hold that

01:07:26.020 in your mind

01:07:26.360 for a minute.

01:07:29.420 Breitbart's

01:07:30.060 talking about

01:07:30.600 a new poll

01:07:32.460 about the top priorities

01:07:34.080 for Americans.

01:07:35.500 It turns out

01:07:35.920 abortion

01:07:36.340 is really low

01:07:37.680 on priorities

01:07:38.960 for the election

01:07:39.640 and inflation

01:07:40.800 and the economy

01:07:41.700 are at the top.

01:07:42.520 So it's a

01:07:45.060 signal

01:07:45.860 survey.

01:07:47.680 C-Y-G-N-A-L

01:07:49.160 signal.

01:07:51.340 And it asks

01:07:52.220 respondents

01:07:52.880 to identify

01:07:53.540 their top priorities.

01:07:54.960 So the top priority

01:07:55.700 is 28%

01:07:57.060 shows inflation

01:07:58.120 in the economy

01:07:58.860 as their top priority.

01:08:00.840 That's right.

01:08:01.740 And

01:08:01.980 James Carville

01:08:03.680 can tell you

01:08:04.440 it's the economy,

01:08:05.620 stupid.

01:08:07.100 So yes,

01:08:07.800 the economy

01:08:08.200 is number one.

01:08:08.900 No surprise.

01:08:09.860 Number two,

01:08:10.440 illegal immigration.

01:08:11.340 No surprise.

01:08:13.400 You got

01:08:13.660 almost 20%

01:08:15.000 say that

01:08:16.340 that's the biggest thing.

01:08:18.100 So the economy

01:08:18.840 and inflation.

01:08:20.360 Two things

01:08:21.020 that Trump

01:08:21.840 absolutely dominates

01:08:23.120 are the biggest concerns.

01:08:27.320 But number three

01:08:28.120 was, quote,

01:08:28.940 threats to democracy.

01:08:31.340 What percentage

01:08:32.480 of the country

01:08:33.200 do you think

01:08:34.560 watched the news

01:08:35.440 and decided

01:08:36.460 that Trump

01:08:37.560 specifically

01:08:38.320 is going to be

01:08:39.680 a threat

01:08:40.180 to their democracy

01:08:41.080 and he's going

01:08:41.740 to steal

01:08:42.160 their democracy?

01:08:45.660 15%.

01:08:46.700 The same number

01:08:49.720 of students

01:08:50.620 who are in

01:08:51.320 special education

01:08:52.280 think that

01:08:53.800 Trump's going

01:08:54.260 to steal

01:08:54.580 their democracy.

01:08:58.180 It's not

01:08:58.880 a coincidence.

01:09:00.180 It might not

01:09:01.100 be exactly

01:09:01.720 the same people,

01:09:02.940 but it's not

01:09:04.940 a coincidence.

01:09:05.520 the 15%

01:09:07.500 who think

01:09:08.100 that Trump's

01:09:08.680 going to steal

01:09:09.180 their democracy

01:09:09.940 are not

01:09:10.960 the smart

01:09:11.520 students.

01:09:12.940 They're not

01:09:13.700 the bright

01:09:14.100 people.

01:09:15.080 And if they

01:09:15.440 happen to do

01:09:16.080 well in school,

01:09:17.800 well,

01:09:18.600 as somebody

01:09:19.520 said on social

01:09:20.220 media,

01:09:20.760 it's easier

01:09:21.540 to train

01:09:22.020 a smart

01:09:22.420 dog.

01:09:22.800 So the

01:09:25.000 brainwashing

01:09:25.600 actually works

01:09:26.220 really well

01:09:26.740 with smart

01:09:27.180 people.

01:09:28.400 So there

01:09:28.640 might be

01:09:28.920 some smart

01:09:29.400 people in

01:09:29.800 the mix

01:09:30.160 too.

01:09:31.400 But I'll

01:09:33.780 tell you,

01:09:34.860 15%

01:09:35.900 believing

01:09:36.420 something

01:09:36.780 that's just

01:09:37.660 so obviously

01:09:38.360 ridiculous,

01:09:39.340 that he's

01:09:39.640 going to

01:09:39.860 steal your

01:09:40.240 democracy.

01:09:41.440 The guy

01:09:42.060 who loves

01:09:42.560 the Constitution

01:09:43.240 more than

01:09:43.720 anybody,

01:09:44.080 he hugs

01:09:44.420 the flag,

01:09:45.620 he's going

01:09:45.940 to steal

01:09:46.240 your democracy

01:09:46.920 and anybody

01:09:48.200 would let

01:09:48.600 him,

01:09:49.300 like the

01:09:49.800 Republicans

01:09:50.240 would let

01:09:50.720 that happen.

01:09:51.220 Oh,

01:09:51.920 we like

01:09:52.320 Trump so

01:09:52.780 much that

01:09:53.700 we've decided

01:09:54.240 to throw

01:09:54.620 away everything

01:09:55.300 we believe

01:09:55.860 in so he

01:09:56.980 can be our

01:09:57.400 dictator for

01:09:58.380 a few years

01:09:58.880 until he

01:09:59.240 dies.

01:10:00.260 There's

01:10:00.740 literally not

01:10:01.560 a single

01:10:02.140 Republican

01:10:03.060 who's ever

01:10:04.240 had that

01:10:04.640 thought,

01:10:05.600 except maybe

01:10:06.480 the 15%

01:10:07.240 crazy ones.

01:10:10.580 All right,

01:10:11.340 and a bunch

01:10:12.240 of other

01:10:12.480 stuff.

01:10:12.900 Wall Street

01:10:13.240 Journal's got

01:10:13.760 more reports

01:10:14.680 about DEI

01:10:15.720 is dying,

01:10:17.500 but I don't

01:10:18.580 think it is

01:10:19.040 dying,

01:10:19.420 I think it's

01:10:19.740 just changing

01:10:20.240 its name.

01:10:20.720 But there

01:10:21.300 are a lot

01:10:21.560 of companies

01:10:21.960 that are

01:10:22.220 backing away

01:10:22.760 from it

01:10:23.180 and reducing

01:10:23.700 their staffs.

01:10:25.500 Now people

01:10:26.360 used to

01:10:26.780 champion it

01:10:27.340 like Price

01:10:27.800 Waterhouse

01:10:28.240 Cooper,

01:10:28.920 they're kind

01:10:30.060 of scrubbing

01:10:30.680 the name

01:10:31.760 out of their

01:10:32.160 documents.

01:10:33.120 But here's

01:10:33.660 what I think.

01:10:34.860 I think it's

01:10:35.680 way too early

01:10:36.540 to celebrate

01:10:37.200 because before

01:10:38.940 there was

01:10:39.340 DEI,

01:10:40.620 do you know

01:10:41.160 it was before

01:10:41.800 that for over

01:10:42.480 30 years?

01:10:43.800 There was

01:10:44.440 DEI without

01:10:45.140 the name

01:10:45.560 DEI.

01:10:46.100 I've told

01:10:47.780 you the

01:10:48.040 story that

01:10:48.580 I couldn't

01:10:48.980 get promoted

01:10:49.540 in the

01:10:50.240 80s because

01:10:51.260 I was a

01:10:51.720 white male.

01:10:52.660 You think

01:10:53.020 that ever

01:10:53.400 changed?

01:10:54.560 That never

01:10:54.980 changed.

01:10:56.560 Every company

01:10:57.400 still needs to

01:10:58.100 get diversity

01:10:58.760 whether you

01:10:59.260 call it

01:10:59.580 DEI or

01:11:00.180 not.

01:11:01.020 So it

01:11:01.420 doesn't matter

01:11:01.860 what name

01:11:02.380 they give

01:11:02.760 it.

01:11:02.960 if you're

01:11:05.040 a white

01:11:05.380 male and

01:11:06.200 you're walking

01:11:06.560 into a

01:11:07.000 business where

01:11:07.540 there might

01:11:07.920 be anybody

01:11:08.600 who's in

01:11:09.360 a diverse

01:11:09.800 group who

01:11:10.360 might have

01:11:10.820 skills in

01:11:12.260 the same

01:11:12.580 general

01:11:12.920 category,

01:11:13.440 you don't

01:11:13.640 have a

01:11:13.840 chance.

01:11:14.960 So that's

01:11:15.660 not changing.

01:11:16.700 So I think

01:11:17.520 it's a big

01:11:18.220 fake out that

01:11:18.980 there's less

01:11:19.420 DEI.

01:11:19.920 There's just

01:11:20.300 less marketing

01:11:21.440 of it.

01:11:24.940 So AOC

01:11:26.000 was not

01:11:26.980 happy that

01:11:28.220 Nick Fuentes

01:11:28.900 praised her for

01:11:29.960 being more

01:11:30.460 America first

01:11:31.200 than 99%

01:11:32.220 of Republicans.

01:11:32.960 So I

01:11:37.940 shouldn't have

01:11:38.440 to explain

01:11:38.960 who Nick

01:11:39.400 Fuentes is.

01:11:40.560 I'll just ask

01:11:41.420 you if you

01:11:41.760 don't recognize

01:11:42.280 the name,

01:11:42.700 go Google

01:11:43.100 it.

01:11:43.720 Because if I

01:11:44.520 try to

01:11:44.860 characterize

01:11:45.260 him, then

01:11:46.680 I sort of

01:11:47.240 get sucked

01:11:47.660 in.

01:11:48.020 So I don't

01:11:48.280 want to do

01:11:48.640 that.

01:11:49.280 I'll just

01:11:49.800 say that

01:11:50.240 he's a

01:11:50.780 public figure,

01:11:52.860 very

01:11:53.540 controversial,

01:11:55.160 and he's

01:11:55.920 opposed to

01:11:59.040 America

01:11:59.820 concentrating on

01:12:01.140 Israel.

01:12:01.540 among other

01:12:04.140 topics.

01:12:05.280 But he

01:12:06.300 notes that

01:12:06.820 AOC also

01:12:07.640 doesn't want

01:12:08.380 America to

01:12:09.000 be obsessing

01:12:09.860 about supporting

01:12:11.100 Israel.

01:12:12.000 And he

01:12:12.680 notes that

01:12:13.260 other people

01:12:13.700 like

01:12:14.040 Representative

01:12:14.760 Massey,

01:12:15.360 Candace

01:12:15.680 Owens,

01:12:16.120 and Bernie

01:12:16.500 Sanders,

01:12:16.860 who certainly

01:12:18.700 would be as

01:12:19.380 far away as

01:12:20.020 you could

01:12:20.240 possibly be

01:12:20.940 from Nick

01:12:22.180 Fuentes'

01:12:23.200 general

01:12:23.900 reputation

01:12:24.560 and brand,

01:12:26.280 seem to

01:12:26.680 agree on

01:12:27.020 this topic,

01:12:28.280 the Israel

01:12:28.940 question.

01:12:30.180 Now,

01:12:30.700 I just love

01:12:37.400 the fact that

01:12:38.300 these strange

01:12:39.000 bedfellows got

01:12:39.920 thrown together

01:12:40.580 together and

01:12:41.460 that Fuentes

01:12:42.440 called it

01:12:43.060 out just

01:12:44.340 to get

01:12:44.640 him hopping

01:12:45.000 mad and

01:12:45.620 talking about

01:12:46.560 him.

01:12:48.700 So,

01:12:49.220 anyway,

01:12:49.840 that's just

01:12:50.640 fun.

01:12:51.100 It doesn't

01:12:51.340 have any

01:12:51.700 importance to

01:12:52.500 anything.

01:12:54.140 But it

01:12:54.780 does look

01:12:55.220 like some

01:12:55.740 group of

01:12:56.220 Americans are

01:12:56.820 looking to

01:12:57.400 form some

01:12:58.680 kind of

01:12:59.000 declaration of

01:12:59.840 independence

01:13:00.300 from Israel.

01:13:03.360 Does it

01:13:04.020 feel like

01:13:04.340 that?

01:13:05.900 Because I

01:13:06.600 think we're

01:13:06.940 well beyond

01:13:07.560 the point

01:13:08.320 where we

01:13:08.660 have to

01:13:08.940 argue does

01:13:10.460 Israel have

01:13:11.260 an unusual

01:13:11.840 influence on

01:13:13.340 America's

01:13:13.880 policies about

01:13:15.500 Israel?

01:13:16.960 We're way

01:13:17.740 beyond wondering

01:13:18.500 if that's

01:13:18.940 happening,

01:13:19.380 right?

01:13:20.180 We don't

01:13:20.700 have to say,

01:13:21.260 I'm not sure

01:13:21.880 if that's

01:13:22.180 happening or

01:13:22.660 not.

01:13:23.240 Of course

01:13:23.940 it is.

01:13:25.660 AIPAC

01:13:26.220 exists.

01:13:28.380 Plenty of

01:13:29.100 people in

01:13:29.740 the media

01:13:30.180 represent that

01:13:31.900 opinion.

01:13:33.520 Yeah,

01:13:33.900 pretty obvious.

01:13:35.540 So,

01:13:35.900 there might

01:13:36.180 be a

01:13:36.520 declaration of

01:13:37.240 independence

01:13:37.640 from Israel

01:13:38.440 that could

01:13:39.060 happen at

01:13:39.480 some point

01:13:39.940 with a

01:13:40.440 strange

01:13:40.860 bedfellow

01:13:41.420 of people

01:13:42.660 who would

01:13:42.900 disagree on

01:13:43.520 everything

01:13:43.880 else.

01:13:47.560 I'll

01:13:48.000 remind you

01:13:48.520 my view

01:13:49.020 that Israel

01:13:51.260 is going to

01:13:51.620 do what

01:13:51.920 Israel is

01:13:52.340 going to

01:13:52.560 do and

01:13:53.240 our opinion

01:13:53.800 of it is

01:13:54.380 irrelevant and

01:13:55.460 we would do

01:13:55.940 the same

01:13:56.240 thing they're

01:13:56.620 doing in

01:13:56.980 the same

01:13:57.260 situation.

01:13:58.440 So,

01:13:58.800 I don't

01:13:59.040 feel like

01:13:59.520 having an

01:14:00.040 opinion on

01:14:00.560 what they're

01:14:00.860 doing is

01:14:01.860 useful.

01:14:02.860 It's just

01:14:03.400 not useful.

01:14:04.540 So,

01:14:05.000 I don't

01:14:05.200 bother.

01:14:05.480 But I

01:14:07.420 don't

01:14:07.580 support

01:14:08.000 Israel

01:14:08.500 as a

01:14:11.140 government.

01:14:12.620 Now,

01:14:12.880 I'm not

01:14:13.060 saying they

01:14:13.740 should go

01:14:14.080 away.

01:14:14.480 I'm saying

01:14:14.860 that I

01:14:16.000 don't need

01:14:16.320 to support

01:14:16.780 them.

01:14:17.540 They're

01:14:17.760 very strong

01:14:18.420 and they're

01:14:20.000 able to

01:14:20.560 stand on

01:14:21.100 their own

01:14:21.480 and they

01:14:24.340 can probably

01:14:24.800 afford to

01:14:25.620 do anything

01:14:26.140 they want

01:14:26.480 to do.

01:14:26.740 They've got

01:14:27.000 a pretty

01:14:27.240 good standard

01:14:27.720 of living.

01:14:28.900 So,

01:14:29.100 whether we

01:14:29.460 give them

01:14:29.820 money or

01:14:31.240 side with

01:14:32.120 them every

01:14:32.500 time,

01:14:32.860 I'm

01:14:33.600 closer to

01:14:34.580 the,

01:14:34.880 I'm going

01:14:36.000 to say

01:14:36.240 the Thomas

01:14:36.900 Massey

01:14:37.360 Kandas

01:14:37.960 Owens

01:14:38.380 version of

01:14:40.240 things,

01:14:41.140 which is

01:14:41.800 maybe we

01:14:43.400 should be

01:14:44.000 taking a

01:14:44.680 second look

01:14:45.260 about how

01:14:45.840 much attention

01:14:46.420 we're giving

01:14:46.880 to another

01:14:47.340 country.

01:14:48.260 Now,

01:14:48.780 the reason

01:14:49.040 I don't

01:14:49.360 go hard

01:14:49.920 on this

01:14:50.500 is because

01:14:52.140 Israel is

01:14:53.700 transparent and

01:14:55.640 AIPAC,

01:14:56.360 the people

01:14:56.880 lobbying in

01:14:57.560 favor of

01:14:58.460 them,

01:14:58.660 are very

01:14:59.000 transparent.

01:15:00.300 Nobody's

01:15:00.760 trying to

01:15:01.120 hide the

01:15:01.480 fact that

01:15:02.620 there's a

01:15:03.060 strong

01:15:03.620 pro-Israel

01:15:05.180 lobbying group

01:15:06.160 in the

01:15:06.400 United States

01:15:07.000 and that

01:15:07.880 they're

01:15:08.040 effective.

01:15:10.300 That covers,

01:15:11.420 to me,

01:15:11.880 that covers

01:15:12.320 a lot of

01:15:12.840 territory.

01:15:15.880 If somebody

01:15:16.800 is operating

01:15:17.440 within the

01:15:18.120 law,

01:15:18.580 and they

01:15:18.920 are,

01:15:19.980 if they're

01:15:20.520 arguing their

01:15:21.200 cases in

01:15:21.840 public,

01:15:22.480 and they

01:15:22.840 are,

01:15:23.760 and they're

01:15:24.380 fully

01:15:24.620 transparent even

01:15:25.560 with their

01:15:25.860 funding,

01:15:26.980 and even

01:15:27.400 Congress says

01:15:28.240 stuff like,

01:15:29.040 I've got to

01:15:29.340 talk to my

01:15:29.820 AIPAC guy,

01:15:31.000 they're very,

01:15:31.660 very transparent.

01:15:33.180 And they're

01:15:33.860 an ally,

01:15:35.300 right?

01:15:35.720 One of our

01:15:36.180 closest allies.

01:15:37.820 So,

01:15:39.380 I can put up

01:15:40.980 with a lot

01:15:41.760 if nobody's

01:15:42.920 lying.

01:15:44.620 Does that

01:15:45.240 make sense?

01:15:46.020 Because I

01:15:46.600 don't know

01:15:46.840 anybody else

01:15:47.300 who has my

01:15:47.700 opinion on

01:15:48.180 this.

01:15:48.800 As long as

01:15:49.540 nobody's lying,

01:15:50.640 and everybody's

01:15:51.140 following the

01:15:51.640 law,

01:15:52.960 then my

01:15:53.660 disagreement

01:15:54.300 with it

01:15:54.960 is very

01:15:56.080 muted.

01:15:56.820 It's like,

01:15:57.080 well, you

01:15:57.360 know, I

01:15:57.540 disagree,

01:15:58.060 but I like

01:15:59.580 being part of

01:16:00.120 a system

01:16:00.680 where we know

01:16:01.880 what's happening.

01:16:03.600 So,

01:16:04.200 that's where

01:16:04.900 I'm at.

01:16:07.540 There's some

01:16:08.100 news about why

01:16:08.640 some people got

01:16:09.300 COVID and some

01:16:10.000 did not.

01:16:10.600 They think

01:16:10.900 there's some

01:16:11.220 kind of T-cell

01:16:12.180 difference.

01:16:12.800 They did a

01:16:13.180 study where

01:16:14.140 they intentionally

01:16:14.820 exposed people to

01:16:15.860 COVID and not

01:16:16.700 everybody got it.

01:16:17.900 And the people

01:16:18.340 who didn't get

01:16:18.840 it had this

01:16:19.620 gene called

01:16:21.320 HLA-DQA2,

01:16:23.560 which is exactly

01:16:24.320 what I suspected.

01:16:25.340 That's the gene

01:16:25.880 I was looking

01:16:26.360 at.

01:16:26.620 It was just a

01:16:28.940 guess on my

01:16:29.480 part.

01:16:29.900 I'm like,

01:16:30.340 huh.

01:16:31.200 As soon as the

01:16:31.740 pandemic started,

01:16:32.580 I was like,

01:16:33.820 I don't know,

01:16:34.240 that feels like

01:16:35.180 an HLA-DQA2

01:16:37.740 gene situation

01:16:39.520 to me.

01:16:40.840 No, I didn't

01:16:41.640 say that,

01:16:42.220 but man,

01:16:43.300 I wish I had.

01:16:44.420 It would have

01:16:44.780 sounded awesome

01:16:45.340 now.

01:16:46.600 And then the

01:16:47.280 last story,

01:16:47.880 I don't know

01:16:48.220 the details yet,

01:16:49.140 but the

01:16:49.580 America First

01:16:50.440 legal group

01:16:51.300 who you

01:16:52.380 should be

01:16:52.820 following on

01:16:53.680 X.

01:16:54.920 If you want

01:16:55.740 to feel some

01:16:56.640 optimism for

01:16:57.440 the country,

01:16:58.220 you should see

01:16:59.100 that the

01:16:59.440 Republicans have

01:17:01.320 nutted up and

01:17:03.420 formed a

01:17:04.260 fairly substantial

01:17:06.040 counterforce in

01:17:08.180 the legal

01:17:08.720 domain.

01:17:10.040 And they're

01:17:10.940 claiming some

01:17:11.520 victory in

01:17:12.080 dismantling a

01:17:12.980 Brennan and

01:17:13.540 Clapper-led

01:17:14.580 deep state

01:17:16.080 weaponization of

01:17:17.000 the DHS.

01:17:17.980 So I guess

01:17:18.400 there was some

01:17:18.940 group that was

01:17:20.580 trying to

01:17:21.280 as this

01:17:24.040 group would,

01:17:24.540 as America

01:17:25.220 First legal

01:17:25.800 would put it,

01:17:26.400 weaponize the

01:17:27.020 DHS.

01:17:27.980 Now, I

01:17:28.640 would think

01:17:29.160 that Brennan

01:17:29.820 and Clapper

01:17:30.280 are the

01:17:30.840 head of the

01:17:31.440 snake for

01:17:32.220 the intelligence

01:17:33.180 people trying

01:17:33.940 to manipulate

01:17:34.480 the country.

01:17:35.640 You know,

01:17:35.820 they were part

01:17:36.940 of the

01:17:37.360 Russia collusion

01:17:38.680 hoax.

01:17:39.140 They were part

01:17:39.500 of the

01:17:39.900 laptop 51

01:17:41.000 signatures

01:17:41.560 hoax.

01:17:42.200 It's kind

01:17:42.700 of obvious,

01:17:43.860 kind of obvious

01:17:44.560 that they're

01:17:44.980 the head of

01:17:45.400 the, you

01:17:46.480 know,

01:17:46.640 this kind

01:17:47.220 of stuff.

01:17:49.440 So if that

01:17:50.280 got dismantled,

01:17:51.280 and if

01:17:52.000 America First

01:17:52.680 legal was

01:17:53.780 part of that

01:17:54.460 dismantling,

01:17:55.320 that would

01:17:55.580 be another

01:17:56.060 victory that

01:17:57.480 would be

01:17:57.800 quite substantial

01:17:58.720 unless all

01:17:59.520 they're doing

01:17:59.860 is hiding

01:18:00.220 somewhere.

01:18:01.440 Now, that,

01:18:01.900 ladies and

01:18:02.160 gentlemen,

01:18:02.440 is my show

01:18:04.440 for today.

01:18:05.280 I think it

01:18:06.080 was more

01:18:06.480 awesome than

01:18:07.860 everything else

01:18:08.580 you could have

01:18:08.920 been doing at

01:18:09.760 the same time.

01:18:10.720 I'm going to

01:18:11.320 say bye now

01:18:12.360 to YouTube

01:18:13.300 and Rumble

01:18:14.100 and X.

01:18:15.100 Thanks for

01:18:15.620 joining.

01:18:16.800 And I'm

01:18:19.880 going to go

01:18:20.140 talk to the

01:18:20.840 locals people

01:18:21.760 privately because

01:18:23.420 they're so

01:18:23.760 awesome.

01:18:24.720 Buy my book,

01:18:25.760 God's Debris,

01:18:26.520 the new

01:18:26.920 trilogy-like

01:18:28.300 compilation of

01:18:29.060 the first two

01:18:29.520 books plus a

01:18:30.160 new short

01:18:31.200 story that

01:18:31.700 rounds out the

01:18:32.240 story of the

01:18:32.660 Avatar.

01:18:34.260 Best summer

01:18:35.220 book reading

01:18:35.820 ever.

01:18:36.580 By the way,

01:18:37.520 it really is.

01:18:39.040 If you're going

01:18:39.440 to read a

01:18:39.800 summer book

01:18:40.500 and you

01:18:42.080 like rolling

01:18:43.120 around with

01:18:43.620 interesting ideas

01:18:44.480 you haven't

01:18:44.800 heard before,

01:18:45.740 it really is

01:18:46.360 the ideal book.

01:18:47.160 It won't make

01:18:47.600 you think too

01:18:48.080 hard.

01:18:49.300 Nobody gets

01:18:49.740 tied to a

01:18:50.260 chair.

01:18:50.780 Nobody gets

01:18:51.220 murdered in

01:18:51.780 the book.

01:18:52.860 Nothing bad

01:18:53.500 happens in

01:18:53.960 the book.

01:18:54.380 It's just an

01:18:55.280 interesting time

01:18:57.240 to spend with

01:18:57.860 your own brain.

01:18:59.540 And thanks for

01:19:00.820 joining.

01:19:01.740 I'll see you

01:19:02.120 tomorrow morning.

01:19:03.600 Locals,

01:19:04.160 here I come.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 20, 2024

Episode 2511 CWSA 06⧸20⧸24

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