Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 2522 CWSA 06⧸30⧸24

00:00:00.000 let's go to just me see what that looks like oh much better as you can tell there will be a white 1.00

00:00:06.180 war today wow do do do do well welcome to coffee with scott adams the highlight of human civilization

00:00:16.520 your day will never be better than this moment but if you'd like to take it up to levels that

00:00:21.740 nobody can understand with their tiny shiny human brains all you need is a cup of margarita glass 0.85

00:00:27.220 a tanker chalice is dying a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite

00:00:32.340 liquid i like coffee and join me now the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine of the day

00:00:38.240 the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now

00:00:42.820 ah i feel we're all now synced we're on the same page which means today is going to be lit

00:00:54.820 but first let me start with a few things if you're watching the reading the dilbert reborn comic which

00:01:04.700 you can only see if you subscribe to the twitter not twitter to x or on locals at scottadams.locals.com

00:01:12.940 where you get other stuff too you would see that dilbert is meeting a new guy who misinterprets

00:01:19.800 everything a new guy who misinterprets everything he says you might like it anyway

00:01:27.420 uh there is a word that the biggest movie of the summer could be deadpool and will wolverine

00:01:35.580 they think it'll be you know big blockbuster because it's you know crossover deadpool character plus

00:01:41.220 wolverine and i say to you what's going to happen if the biggest movie of the year is starring two white

00:01:48.100 guys two white guys two white guys and i saw on social media somebody said well it's not exactly

00:01:54.780 two white guys one of them's dead and the other one's a wolverine and i thought oh there there might 0.94

00:02:04.200 be there might be a loophole you can be a white actor in the movie as long as you're dead or you're

00:02:12.320 technically a wolverine so i guess we don't have one still that's just like regular living white guys 1.00

00:02:20.480 that are not part wolverine but it felt like progress all right there's a yahoo finance said

00:02:29.580 some information about what it costs in each state in the country to go on a date so this is the average

00:02:38.180 cost of a date and they say in california that's one of the more expensive states that a date costs

00:02:44.500 226 dollars to go on a date in california or 1226 if you want sex but if you want a good deal on a date

00:02:56.560 south dakota will give you one for 38 dollars apparently you can go for a date in south dakota for 38

00:03:04.860 i think that's where i'm going to do all of my dating if i do any dating i'm just i'm just going

00:03:13.960 to go right to south dakota because they got some kind of discount situation going on i haven't seen

00:03:19.420 the women from south dakota but uh i'm guessing 38 gets you one

00:03:27.420 well anyway steve bannon is going to be uh live streaming from outside the jail he's going to go

00:03:37.620 to tomorrow but tonight from um eight to nine eastern time he's going to have a special one

00:03:44.640 hour i'm going to jail special now here's the thing that i don't think democrats understand

00:03:51.060 about steve bannon here's what you don't want to do to steve bannon

00:03:56.660 crucify him put him in a cave and then roll a big rock in front of the doorway of the cave and say

00:04:05.040 i think we're done with that 0.97

00:04:06.840 say no more say no more

00:04:12.220 all right uh i love the fact that steve bannon is going to um take their jail and he's going to turn

00:04:20.980 it into an opportunity to power up they are handing him power and he said thank you i'll take it it won't

00:04:29.640 be easy there's not you know let's not make light of it jail is jail steve bannon is not going to be

00:04:37.480 having a good time it's not going to be safe not even a little bit but uh he's going to do it

00:04:44.980 so he's going to die for our sins i guess but he'll be back uh stronger and he'll definitely be

00:04:54.020 stronger you know he will when he comes out well i saw a picture of the white house doctor who's been

00:05:01.720 telling us that biden is fit as a fiddle and ready for business and you wondered what would

00:05:07.420 he look like you know what would that doctor look like now i'm not going to show you a picture

00:05:12.400 of him because you can look at it yourself on social media but i'm just going to tell you this

00:05:18.180 one thing about the doctor that says that biden was just fine his haircut is the same haircut 0.93

00:05:26.520 as jim carrey from dumb and dumber he's the white house doctor now i'm not all about fashion 0.88

00:05:35.920 i mean look at me i'm certainly not the one to give you any fashion tips but i do know a red flag 0.99

00:05:43.040 when i see it and if you're a white house doctor has a dumb and dumber haircut and he thinks that 0.95

00:05:50.420 biden looks fine to him i would ask some questions i would just ask some questions this would be way 0.99

00:05:57.100 funnier if i showed you the picture but trust me he's got a legit dumb and dumber haircut and he's 0.98

00:06:03.200 a white house doctor those two things shouldn't happen at the same time pick one you could be 0.99

00:06:08.840 the white house doctor or you could have a dumb and dumber haircut don't do both don't do both 0.99

00:06:15.800 well one of the funnier stories of the day i'm not sure how much i buy into this but it's so much fun 0.99

00:06:23.980 i'll tell you so western lensman in the count on x um says until the hoax went down in flames on

00:06:31.940 thursday night legacy media have been promulgating the big lie about joe biden's cognitive decline

00:06:38.540 for years now here's the fun part to what lengths were they prepared to go now i'm going going to go

00:06:46.080 a little bit into conspiracy theory or is it here's what i can't tell this might actually be

00:06:53.580 completely true or it could be a little you know a little bit of a reach you decide does this sound

00:07:00.420 true to you uh that uh in the run-up to the 2020 election pbs did uh they produced a show

00:07:07.720 that uh western lensman characterizes as an entire propaganda film uh disguised as a documentary

00:07:14.880 to convince you that biden once had a stutter and that he was engaged in a heroic journey to prove

00:07:21.820 his doubters wrong now i said to myself when i read that well well i thought everybody knew that

00:07:29.020 i thought that was just standard knowledge that he had a stutter when he was young

00:07:33.460 and uh but here's the thing pbs did an entire documentary about his stutter when he was young

00:07:41.580 but did not provide any video or audio of any time in his life in which he stuttered

00:07:50.440 there's no prior example of him stuttering now you could say well maybe they didn't want that on

00:07:58.300 video or audio so there's a reason that we don't have it but wouldn't he still have it you know when

00:08:04.700 he was 29 yeah wouldn't wouldn't it pop up once in a while when he was already in public service

00:08:10.960 there's not one video of him stuttering there's other stuff going on but not the stutter and so

00:08:18.320 the question is the question is did they make up the stutter story to cover for his cognitive decline

00:08:26.740 do you think that happened do you think pbs literally did an entire propaganda piece for the

00:08:36.560 only for the purpose of making you think his cognitive decline was something else i'm not quite

00:08:44.020 ready to buy that i'm not quite ready but it raises an interesting question why don't we see any evidence

00:08:52.220 that he ever had to stutter so i'm not ready to rule it out yet so i'm not ready to buy into this

00:08:58.660 but if you put it with everything else we found out you know that the things that we know for sure

00:09:04.400 are that he was certified as good to go and he's been in dementia for years so you wouldn't have thought

00:09:12.340 that was possible so when i tell you well maybe pbs created a whole brainwashing you know documentary

00:09:20.040 your first impression is well no no nobody is that extensive in their hoaxery but they really are

00:09:30.120 they are that extensive have you heard of the fine people hoax the uh the russia collusion hoax laptop

00:09:37.060 hoax they're complicated they're they're really big and organized and have multiple players yes yes it's

00:09:46.220 entirely within the realm of possibility that the pbs thing was done for no reason other than to

00:09:51.900 convince you he doesn't have a cognitive decline i don't think so i would bet against it but it's

00:09:59.220 within the realm of possible and that's weird

00:10:02.000 well journalism uh let me give a warning i'm going to say a topic which will trigger a lot of npcs here

00:10:11.920 now if you're an npc let me tell you what you should say from your limited uh palette of things

00:10:18.300 you say i'm going to say something and then you're going to say while misunderstanding what i'm saying

00:10:25.420 you're going to say but that happened a long time ago scott you might even give a date

00:10:30.860 but that will be misunderstanding what i said it won't stop you so i'd like to encourage the npcs to say

00:10:38.920 scott that happened a long time ago why are you saying it just happened all right so now that

00:10:44.560 you're primed the npcs know what to do players know what to do good here's the story journalism died this

00:10:52.900 week journalism as a as a profession it died this week go ahead npcs tell me it died in 2000

00:11:04.780 or died before you can't resist i know you can't you're you're you're like holding your hands like

00:11:11.880 must must type that it wasn't this week must must type in comments that it happened long before this

00:11:21.700 week why do you think it was this week no listen to me listen to me i didn't say that journalism

00:11:28.300 became turds this week now listen to what i said i didn't say that they stopped that they suddenly

00:11:36.080 started being bad that's not what i'm saying i'm saying that the industry was destroyed

00:11:42.860 the reputation they were bad forever but got away with it until this week this is the first time that

00:11:52.960 the silos between the the two world views i just fell apart it's the only time and do you know why

00:12:00.120 it's the first time that those weird silos of misinformation fell apart because it's the first

00:12:06.720 time that most of the countries saw trump in a natural environment with biden it's the first time

00:12:14.080 they had access to something that looked true and when people saw it they said wait a minute

00:12:19.200 my news people have been telling me for years that he's fine and there isn't the slightest chance

00:12:26.280 they didn't all know the problem now we know that every one of them knew the problem

00:12:32.860 and they told you they didn't see it a lot of them didn't you know half of the half of them said they

00:12:39.220 didn't so that's different imagine that you went into journalism you know whenever jake tapper did

00:12:47.220 you said to yourself if i can make it in this business i will be one of the most respected

00:12:52.240 people in today's society i'll be like a walter cronkite

00:12:56.480 well now we all had our suspicions about the media but not this deep well some of us did i guess half

00:13:06.400 the half the country did but the other half the democrats still were believing that at least the press

00:13:11.900 was on their side they believed that even if the press lied at least it was lying for their benefit

00:13:20.100 and maybe it was biased but it was biased for them whatever this is is something different

00:13:27.440 this was not being biased in a way that would help democrats and boy did they find out they just said

00:13:34.660 uh if we'd known this a year ago we would not be in this fix so not only did the news screw the

00:13:42.400 republicans or try to it missed on that but it completely gaslit and completely brainwashed their

00:13:51.240 own team to the what i would consider is the verge of generational destruction of the entire democratic

00:13:58.440 party they're on the verge of a generational collapse it'll take a long time to recover from

00:14:04.680 i would say that that's new what's new is that both sides see it at the same time and there's no

00:14:12.780 question about it and they know it was fuckery they know it wasn't a mistake people know it wasn't 0.79

00:14:20.260 a mistake everybody knows it wasn't a mistake that's different than 20 years ago

00:14:27.240 all right all right so i'd expect a backlash so i think that the uh the news people who realized

00:14:36.600 that democrats uh had coerced them into destroying not only truth but their own reputations the

00:14:45.360 democrats in the in the press now understand that their own lives have been destroyed their reputations

00:14:52.780 their professional pride have been destroyed by the democrats who pushed them into becoming

00:15:00.360 propagandists because if they didn't become propagandists they wouldn't have access to

00:15:04.740 democrats they wouldn't be able to go to parties so they were essentially blackmailed in a social sense

00:15:12.540 into conforming and then they were blackmailed and then they lost if you get blackmailed the one

00:15:19.600 thing that you do expect is like oh at least i got blackmailed i had to pay something but at least

00:15:24.920 i got something out of it right if they had become propagandist bad they wouldn't like it but at least

00:15:32.300 if they were respected they'd say well i sure don't like being a propagandist but i sure like

00:15:37.640 having a respected job in the media the democrats took both away from them they talked they took their

00:15:44.900 honesty they took their honesty they turned them into liars and then they revealed they revealed

00:15:52.220 the liar they revealed the lies to the public that is somebody you don't trust i would trust a real

00:16:00.760 blackmailer more than i would trust the democrats because a real blackmailer has at least some chance

00:16:06.460 of doing what they said they would do you know not always but the democrats just said that they're going to

00:16:14.020 blackmail you and they're going to and after you've done what they want they're going to release the

00:16:19.800 blackmail information that's what happened we're going to make you propagandists but it's okay because

00:16:25.900 nobody will really know for sure oh except that we're going to tell them for sure you're a propagandist

00:16:31.340 after you've been doing it for a few years you can't you can't go back oh my god if i were in the

00:16:37.840 press right now if my job were to carry the water for the democrats i would be throwing them so far 0.99

00:16:44.740 under the bus i would be fucking them as hard as i could because of what they did to me for the last 1.00

00:16:50.500 five years and the reputational damage they did and i think you're going to start to see that 0.99

00:16:56.780 i think you already are uh tucker carlson was in australia giving a speech he couldn't have been

00:17:03.020 happier because he'd seen the debate recently and he tells the story of uh he you know he's connected

00:17:08.800 with people that lived in washington for a long time so he knew people who knew people so he was a

00:17:15.260 behind the curtain kind of guy in a maximum way and he said that since 2019 he knew from personal

00:17:22.700 contacts with the biden family that the biden family knew he had dementia they were concerned

00:17:28.920 because he wanted to run they didn't want him to run because he had dementia and that was known

00:17:34.700 to people who were close to the family because somebody that was close to the family was close

00:17:40.920 to tucker and he knew it and he said it on tv and everybody mocked him for it they called him racist as

00:17:48.140 he says as he says they call you racist if you get something right um but part of the story i think this

00:17:55.860 is maybe speculative but it's something that tucker put out there uh that the family didn't think he

00:18:02.780 would get nominated so they may have been just sort of playing along thinking that you know it was just

00:18:08.300 sort of a last hurrah he wants to do it can't say no but they didn't think he'd actually get nominated

00:18:14.200 because they could see where they could see he was kind of gone and then he did and then uh there

00:18:22.000 are lots of accusations that i think also look real they look real to some level but maybe

00:18:28.660 hyperbole which is that jill has been running the country and that she doesn't want to give up her 0.99

00:18:35.400 power and her lifestyle and her state dinners and her fancy dresses and she doesn't want to have to be 1.00

00:18:40.940 the one who's the wet nurse to biden all day long and frankly it might be about the money

00:18:45.200 i i think the thing that you forget is that their money sources dried up and it's going to be real

00:18:51.560 expensive to have full-time care for biden forever which is where he's at so i think that the jill is

00:19:01.380 making and has made real world completely explainable decisions based on the situation she's in and

00:19:10.400 you know you could imagine a human in that situation would act the way she's accused of

00:19:15.560 being acting i think it goes too far to say that we know exactly what she's thinking or why she's doing

00:19:21.200 it but those would be reasonable speculations that we haven't heard enough from her to disprove

00:19:29.100 so at this point maybe jill has been running the country i don't know um so both the new york times

00:19:37.580 and nbc news have both reported that jill biden is the primary decision maker hold that in your head

00:19:44.940 these are the two um well two of the three biggest propaganda machines the washington post being the

00:19:52.500 other nbc news and new york times and they both surprise they're on the same they're on the same page

00:20:00.860 surprise uh so they're saying that jill biden is the primary now that obviously shows they want

00:20:06.480 biden to leave the race it can't be more obvious than that and so they're putting that out there too

00:20:13.980 that jill biden might be the primary decision maker now i think it's probably more complicated

00:20:19.720 i think that jill biden doesn't know the details of a lot of policies so she's probably just taking the 1.00

00:20:28.180 word of the experts who come to her and say you know you got to tell your husband to do this or that

00:20:33.540 and she would probably say well i don't know much about you know geopolitics but if you say so i'll

00:20:40.980 tell him so i don't think it's exactly her looking at the policies and making decisions with the 0.97

00:20:48.400 exception of maybe something simple like abortion or something but i feel like the experts are telling

00:20:54.560 her what to tell biden and maybe she's doing it so it's probably some hybrid between she's the gatekeeper

00:21:02.360 yes but she's probably not assuming she knows how to make policy that's my guess anyway

00:21:10.300 bank more encores when you switch to a scotia bank banking package

00:21:17.760 learn more at scotia bank.com slash banking packages conditions apply scotia bank you're richer

00:21:25.180 than you think um but let's take the theory from nbc news and new york times that michelle

00:21:32.000 that jill biden has been running the show and that brings up an awkward question how come

00:21:38.960 every time we talk about who might replace joe biden we talk about michelle obama michelle obama

00:21:47.120 why because she had once been married to a president well if it's true according to the

00:21:53.820 new york times and the nbc news which democrats believe is truth jill biden has been running the 0.75

00:22:01.740 country for three and a half years and she's done a great job according to democrats democrats will tell

00:22:08.460 you that the first three and a half years under biden were just gangbusters you know he got he got

00:22:14.700 legislation through he fixed all the trump's problems man he's killing it well if it's also

00:22:21.500 true as the new york times and nbc report that jill was the one who was the decision maker then it

00:22:29.300 follows that jill biden has three and a half years of being one of the best presidents the democrats have

00:22:35.880 ever seen why would they skip her when they're trying to decide who would replace joe biden she's the

00:22:42.920 obvious choice she's been making his decisions for three and a half years she knows how the whole 0.99

00:22:48.540 town works by now and she's successful experienced successful currently doing the job how do you beat

00:22:58.360 that how do you beat that and and why would they even think that michelle obama or why would you

00:23:05.220 think michelle obama would skip the uh old white lady well you know at least jill's got a little dei 1.00

00:23:13.780 you know magic in her because she's a woman so that's not nothing but i feel like maybe it's a

00:23:20.200 little dei problem that you'd say how about michelle obama has no interest in politics and has never run 0.98

00:23:25.460 a country instead of the old white woman who clearly has an interest in politics and has been running the 1.00

00:23:31.600 country according to democrats really well she's killing it anyway point is they're not being

00:23:39.700 genuine with you i think we need a betting pool for which a celebrity supporter of uh biden will leave

00:23:46.440 the sinking ship last because think of all these people who are still trying to support um biden

00:23:54.840 streisand cluny the the view the host of the view rob reiner stephen king john cusick reed hoffman

00:24:02.480 and de niro and rob reiner did i say him twice okay and uh rob reiner just posted rick wilson once said

00:24:13.520 quote everything trump touches dies if we allow him to become president democracy will die now let me give

00:24:22.740 a little uh advice to rob reiner um when to know when to quit

00:24:29.320 it's hard to know when to quit you know as kenny rogers said you got to know when to hold them and

00:24:35.980 know when to fold them you got to know when to quit and i'll tell you there's a signal that you could

00:24:42.160 look for in yourself in your own actions that would tell you it's time to quit talking in public

00:24:48.560 and the biggest signal that you should never talk in public again is if you think quoting rick wilson

00:24:56.320 is uh winning an argument

00:24:58.740 so hey you trumpers i got a zinger for you here's a quote from rick wilson

00:25:07.800 that should put it over the top

00:25:10.900 no if you're quoting rick wilson for your political opinions that's a signal you should

00:25:17.580 never talk in public again trust me on this if you find yourself doing it

00:25:23.220 stop talking in public close all of your social media accounts and don't accept any social invitations

00:25:32.400 you are not a person who should be around other people something's gone wrong you need to fix that

00:25:39.960 first okay uh so anyway my money's on punchy de niro as being the last one off the sinking ship

00:25:47.080 i think what will be interesting is that whoever is the last to leave we are we will presume is the

00:25:56.580 most blackmailed i think we all have the same feeling that some of these characters almost certainly

00:26:03.620 are being blackmailed into their support of biden doesn't it feel like that to you

00:26:08.260 there's something going on somebody's being paid to do it these don't seem like genuine opinions

00:26:15.020 honestly i know what a genuine opinion looks like it doesn't look like these guys

00:26:20.460 they look like some of them i'm not going to name names specifically but some of the people on the list

00:26:26.220 just look like the cia must have some sex secrets on them something there's something going on here

00:26:33.240 that's not they're not acting like normal smart people there's something going on

00:26:38.400 well we've got a news report from insiders uh that would have been nice to know this earlier

00:26:45.400 but apparently people knew this but didn't tell us until now keep in mind they didn't tell you until now

00:26:53.700 apparently biden is pretty cogent from 10 a.m to 4 p.m but before and after those times uh he cannot be

00:27:02.200 trusted this is something they've known for a while wouldn't it be nice to mention that the

00:27:10.120 president of the united states is functional only 25 of every day i feel like that would have been

00:27:17.100 important to know if journalism was a real job but it isn't it isn't it's not a real job

00:27:24.200 all right uh so there's uh what what percentage

00:27:32.520 of people uh who were uh surveyed let's see this was a cbs poll uh what percentage uh say that biden

00:27:41.780 has cognitive ability to do the job what's your guess oh my god you're so good yeah 25 but actually

00:27:50.580 27 so 27 of people after the debates i think that uh biden has a cognitive ability for the job

00:27:58.760 now if you're new to my live stream we have a running gag that is that 25 of the public will get 0.64

00:28:06.340 every poll question wrong and by wrong i mean that usually there's a smart answer and a really stupid 0.99

00:28:13.220 one the stupid one in this case i mean unambiguously stupid it's really obvious biden doesn't have a 1.00

00:28:20.560 cognitive ability for another term right even the smart democrats believe that to be obvious and true 1.00

00:28:27.840 and yet and yet in one of the rare cases where the top republicans and the top democrats are on

00:28:35.980 exactly the same page that biden does not have the cognitive ability still 25 of the public said

00:28:44.100 he looks fine to me i don't even know what you're talking about he looks good to me

00:28:48.480 you mean his stutter you're talking about his stutter why are you holding that against him

00:28:54.900 he overcame that

00:28:56.900 so uh then a wall street journal story reveals that biden was so feeble at a g7 summit

00:29:05.260 that he needed help reading talking points and he missed a dinner for world leaders

00:29:10.820 he had he needed help reading talking points off a page so that's nothing to worry about

00:29:18.960 aren't you glad we're not sending trump to the g7 and embarrassing us because the way he slaps back

00:29:26.380 oh no the embarrassment i i how did i ever get over it the embarrassment of trump meeting with world

00:29:35.600 leaders uh they were laughing behind his back yeah they're they're totally not laughing about biden

00:29:41.420 behind his back yep nope nobody's doing that i don't see any reporting about them laughing behind

00:29:48.460 his back that he can't read all the time sometimes he can

00:29:52.900 anyway uh the uh fox news is reporting

00:29:59.760 that uh biden raised 27 million dollars after the worst debate in the history of the world

00:30:06.060 somebody smart on x said that's probably a trick

00:30:10.860 and the trick is probably that that was money that was already committed

00:30:16.320 and they just waited until after the debate so they could say that whatever happened

00:30:21.120 look at all the money he raised so he must have won

00:30:23.720 so don't think that he really raised money based on that debate

00:30:28.480 it was probably people who had pre-committed and couldn't back out

00:30:32.540 because i ask you this who would be smart enough to have millions of dollars

00:30:38.520 that they could debate so they have to be smart enough to have millions of dollars 0.99

00:30:43.440 and yet so fucking dumb that they think putting it in biden's campaign will be a plus 1.00

00:30:50.940 that the world will be better or that their money will be well spent 1.00

00:30:54.760 who exactly has millions of dollars and is that dumb at the same time 0.87

00:30:58.980 that's got to be a really small group of people at this point 0.86

00:31:02.480 i mean i'd love to see them do they all have haircuts like the 0.99

00:31:06.480 white house doctor i feel like every one of them is going to have that dumb and 0.99

00:31:10.380 dumber haircut here's a million dollars it looks good to me 1.00

00:31:13.580 i think his cognitive abilities look just fine 0.97

00:31:17.600 all right i was uh amused to find out do you know the all in pod

00:31:26.200 you know the all in podcast it's got you know david sacks and chamath and

00:31:32.780 the other two who don't get as much attention

00:31:35.660 and you probably recognized if you know if you're a trump supporter and you watch

00:31:42.940 the social media uh you've probably seen them and you probably said to yourself

00:31:47.360 oh my god these guys are smart did you did you have that same feeling

00:31:51.840 that no matter whether you agree with them or not you're getting

00:31:55.840 the best yeah jason and uh

00:32:00.100 friedberg try to remember their names um but if you watch that and i do it's one

00:32:06.540 of my favorites i i always go away from it thinking

00:32:10.560 oh my god they're so smart do you have that feeling

00:32:14.040 you don't really listen to podcasters who are that smart you know maybe

00:32:19.700 if you're lucky you get a jordan peterson or

00:32:22.640 you know somebody like that but typically i'm not listening to a podcast

00:32:27.760 and thinking to myself my god how much do they know

00:32:30.840 they know so many things about so many things and they can put them in the right

00:32:35.200 frame and describe them well i mean it's

00:32:37.440 just it's just such a addition to the political

00:32:40.500 conversation because they're not partisans per se

00:32:44.140 you know they take a side but it's based on what makes sense it's not based on

00:32:49.040 this was my team so it's always my team

00:32:50.860 so they're probably one of the strongest intellectual contributions

00:32:57.100 to the united states in how long maybe ever i don't know it's one of

00:33:02.220 the best things i've ever seen but did you know that there's a

00:33:07.460 democrat version of that in which it's like opposite world

00:33:10.980 it's called the uh pod save america

00:33:15.580 and and like the all-in pod it's looks like four friends or is it five and they 0.99

00:33:21.820 sit around the table and unlike the all-in pod they might be the dumbest 0.98

00:33:28.860 people you've ever seen in your life and i watched it in just fascination 0.92

00:33:34.940 just fascination so they want i watched uh their podcast after they uh

00:33:41.180 um after they did after they watched the debate and they were all you know

00:33:46.500 mourning and they were quite clear that 0.99

00:33:48.900 biden had shit the bed so nobody was kidding themselves 0.99

00:33:52.780 you know he was gone gone but they're basically the the feminine 1.00

00:33:58.480 version of the all-in pod you know i'm not saying that the all-in pod guys

00:34:05.440 you know are are bench pressing 300 pounds a piece

00:34:09.280 i'm saying that when you listen to them they sound like males

00:34:13.280 like men talking like men and if you

00:34:17.200 listen to pod save america they're all men

00:34:20.560 but they they have feminine characteristics 1.00

00:34:24.880 now i'm not saying that's good or bad right there's no judgment whatsoever

00:34:28.720 i don't know if they're lgbtq or not i couldn't tell

00:34:33.680 and that's not important what what's interesting is that there's

00:34:37.280 there's like a a reverse group that's so there's so maps to the all-in pod but

00:34:44.000 the bad version again bad is not characterizing their femininity is just

00:34:49.600 saying that they have bad opinions

00:34:53.280 and here's the sort of thing one of them was saying while waving his hands and

00:34:56.960 gesticulating like crazy uh talking about biden and replacing

00:35:01.680 him we need to have this conversation

00:35:04.880 now whenever anybody says we need to have this conversation

00:35:09.920 you should turn the channel it means they don't have anything

00:35:14.880 the reason you turn into podcasts is because you need to have the conversation

00:35:19.040 if what the podcast tells you is you need to have a conversation

00:35:22.800 but you tuned in to have a conversation what exactly are they adding

00:35:27.360 so that's the least additive thing you can ever say now i do say it sometimes too

00:35:32.160 i mean everybody says it once in a while but if it's your main go-to

00:35:35.760 well yeah i've got a problem you have to have a conversation about it

00:35:39.840 how about saying we should replace them

00:35:43.360 how about pushing it a little bit but no we gotta have a conversation

00:35:47.520 now to me that sounds feminine doesn't it

00:35:51.840 it doesn't sound a lot like what men say what men usually say is 1.00

00:35:56.400 here's what we got to do they might be right they might be stupid 0.99

00:36:01.280 but men usually say here's what we got to do 1.00

00:36:04.720 right or wrong what they don't say is we have to have a conversation

00:36:09.520 that is so feminine sounding to me and i'm going to a point here

00:36:14.000 they're also afraid to death about the john favreau was talking about the

00:36:18.000 the danger of trump and you know the scary scary future and you know they would

00:36:23.440 they might have to support anybody but trump because this trump future is

00:36:27.600 so so scary what does that sound like

00:36:29.920 like men no it sounds like women

00:36:37.680 i can't remember the last time i was afraid the way they act afraid

00:36:43.600 i've never been afraid like that i get angry if i don't like things you know i do

00:36:48.960 things sometimes but i've never just sat around being afraid

00:36:52.800 oh my god oh my god it's just completely feminine energy 1.00

00:36:58.080 it's so interesting so the question i would ask is

00:37:02.160 what exactly is the fear can you be more specific

00:37:06.160 now i've asked this question of a number of people do you know what they always

00:37:09.680 say what do people always say every time

00:37:13.440 in in a general sense what do they always say

00:37:16.240 when uh they say trump is too scary uh and you say give me an example like scary

00:37:23.920 scary in what sense exactly scary and can you give me some for instances

00:37:30.560 you know what they do they will always mention a hoax

00:37:35.680 that they either believe is true or they want you to believe in true

00:37:39.600 and if you debunk that hoax what are they going to do

00:37:43.120 they go to the next hoax every time if they say the fine people hoax and you

00:37:48.480 debunk it show them that that's been debunked snopes debunked it the

00:37:51.920 transcript debunks it do they say it whoa that really changes

00:37:55.920 my thinking no they will immediately go to another hoax 0.99

00:37:59.760 well he said that the all the mexicans are rapists 0.97

00:38:04.160 well suppose you debunk that because of course he never meant all the people are 0.99

00:38:08.080 racist you know it was more about just

00:38:10.080 hyperbole suppose you successfully debunked

00:38:14.480 the idea that he was being racist and that he was just using hyperbole about too

00:38:18.240 much crime i could come across even if they accepted it you know what they

00:38:21.920 would say next yeah but you have to see it in the context of the

00:38:26.240 fine people hoax plus all the other things he said like the

00:38:30.240 shithole countries and they say wait a minute wait a minute 0.76

00:38:33.520 the shithole countries again was not about race it was about their 1.00

00:38:37.360 socioeconomic situation and whether they're sending us

00:38:40.720 trained qualified educated people okay sure okay maybe you can think of it that

00:38:46.160 way but when you put it in the context of the

00:38:48.800 fine people hoax which they wouldn't call hoax

00:38:52.960 so i've said before they have a mesh network of hoaxes

00:38:57.280 when one of the hoaxes goes down the other hoaxes

00:39:01.440 help it recover until it becomes whole again

00:39:05.040 and then you take down another node with another debunk

00:39:08.400 and it only takes a minute for it to come back online 0.81

00:39:12.080 it's the damnedest thing they they have a hoax

00:39:14.960 mesh network just like your wi-fi at home

00:39:18.240 and it's really powerful but it's mostly just words

00:39:22.960 he'll steal your democracy uh by the way i just use ai to create a

00:39:28.000 image of an old man with his mouth hanging open

00:39:30.560 sitting on a park park bench which uh chat gpt gave me instantly

00:39:36.000 and uh i just put the text when i posted it

00:39:40.560 uh he's stealing my democracy like a box of chocolates

00:39:45.200 because that's what i hear stealing my democracy isn't even close

00:39:49.120 to a political thought that's pure brainwashing

00:39:52.880 anybody who really thinks that's going to happen

00:39:55.680 has to explain the first four years without reference to the january 6 hoax

00:40:01.440 because they're stealing my democracy they will refer to a hoax

00:40:05.680 they will never refer to anything real that happened always a hoax

00:40:08.800 well he tried to take over the country what with rearranging that lectern and stuff

00:40:15.200 and and they actually say that like that actually makes some sense

00:40:18.720 that he had a path to take over the country or even that he thought he did

00:40:24.560 describe that path exactly how do you trespass your way into owning a country

00:40:29.120 has anybody ever done that has that ever worked anywhere i think we'd like to audit the results

00:40:37.680 give us two days well that's a what kind of insurrection are you trying to push here no no

00:40:43.280 do i no opposite of that i i wanted to we all want to just make sure that the anomalies we all see

00:40:50.400 are historical anomalies that are because of some natural reason

00:40:54.160 like a coincidence or maybe they mean something because we want to protect the republic and make

00:41:00.880 sure we got the right answer well why are you trying to overthrow the country so hard no no no

00:41:05.920 that's the opposite of what we just said we're trying to prevent the country from being overthrown

00:41:11.680 because it looks like that just happened well well well why are you trying to steal my democracy

00:41:18.480 okay i'm not getting through what is happening here and it's the mesh network the mesh network

00:41:25.840 keeps all the all the hoaxes alive so it's created this this like bubble this mesh network bubble

00:41:33.120 uh like a buckyball around these people and they can't get out and when they get out and see a glimpse

00:41:39.280 of the real world for the first time as they did with the debate they are shocked and horrified and their

00:41:47.120 brains are just shutting down i mean you can see complete panic and the effect it has on reasoning

00:41:54.000 panic does not help your reasoning skills and you're seeing that from the democrats they've gone

00:41:59.120 from not so clever to batshit crazy in about two seconds after the debate searchlight pictures

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00:42:32.320 only in theaters august 29th get tickets now so here are the things that they say that that how in the world

00:42:38.960 they even come up with this he'll steal your democracy he wants to be a dictator he's bringing

00:42:43.680 chaos he thinks he's above the law he's going to take women's bodily autonomy autonomy away he's going

00:42:50.640 to put journalists in camps none of those are real those are all based on their own hoaxes

00:43:00.240 they've hoaxed themselves into a fright which is real now they may have been aware at some point

00:43:08.000 that each of the nodes of the hoax mesh network were not exactly real but you know it worked for

00:43:14.640 politics so they didn't mind but at some point and i mean this literally and seriously they actually

00:43:20.960 talked themselves into their own hoaxes and you know why they talked themselves into their own hoaxes

00:43:27.840 because even if one of the hoaxes doesn't look perfectly real well you have to see it in the

00:43:33.440 context of all those other hoaxes so they laundry list persuasion themselves into a belief that they

00:43:40.320 didn't start with they i believe literally this is my interpretation i believe they actually hypnotized

00:43:46.960 themselves accidentally in in the effort to hypnotize the other team i think they brainwashed themselves

00:43:53.840 into an actual physical fear because you can see the the uh the men on pod save america they looked

00:44:03.920 actually afraid now some of it might have been career wise and you know their team players and

00:44:09.200 stuff but i think they were actually afraid so they've talked themselves into thinking that there's

00:44:13.920 a monster under the bed and that the monster stayed under the bed for four years and never came out

00:44:20.320 even though they said he was and for sure but they have that january 6 hoax that they can hold on to

00:44:29.600 and say he did come out he just waited to the last day and then he came out hard no he didn't he told

00:44:36.480 people to protest peacefully and nancy pelosi apparently fell down on the security job and it got in hand 0.96

00:44:43.680 he did come out on the security job and he did come out on the security job and he did come out

00:44:49.520 i would love to see trump sit down with some uh registered democrats and ask them what they're so afraid of

00:44:57.760 literally just have a lunch with some democrats say four democrats sit there at lunch put the microphone

00:45:04.000 on have them actually eat and have a you know just spend an hour with the president the future president i think

00:45:10.960 um because here trump has a has a super weapon that he has not employed to its highest degree his

00:45:20.320 superpower is that his charisma is notwithstanding but if you're in the same room and i had had the

00:45:28.400 pleasure of experiencing it you can't you can't dislike him he is so freaking likable and here's why he's

00:45:37.200 likable you know you go into the room thinking oh he's too he's too good for me he's a narcissist it's

00:45:43.440 all it's going to be all about him and then you spend the entire time with him intensely concentrating

00:45:49.200 on you and asking about your situation your personal life your success in life and your opinion that's

00:45:57.680 what happened to me and others report the same thing when you're in the room with him he makes the room

00:46:03.520 disappear and you're the only one in the room you can't even see the furniture it's just you and him

00:46:09.760 he creates a world where it's just you and him and he cares about you he can do that to anybody he 0.94

00:46:15.200 didn't do it just because i'm a supporter it's natural it's just him he has crazy crazy interpersonal

00:46:22.880 skills you don't see it when he's talking in public because he's in he's sort of in presentation

00:46:28.400 you know bombastic mode but as soon as you get in a room with him where you're just people

00:46:34.160 he's so powerful like you you don't know how powerful he is in person it's crazy um

00:46:42.720 so they also have the problem that he's a convicted felon and he's got bad character

00:46:47.200 i think the the answers to that are they all are you know if you think you're picking the

00:46:53.120 politician who didn't cheat on his wife come on maybe good luck with that you're picking the

00:47:02.080 politician who didn't do anything that you don't like good luck with that good luck with that so i

00:47:08.800 don't think that's a real thing i think he's just trump is just more transparent because he's been

00:47:14.160 studied to death and he admitted who he is and we found out and then we said oh well that's why you

00:47:19.840 you told us who you are everybody knew all right so somebody uh somebody else was watching the uh

00:47:28.720 the pod save america the one i was talking about with the democrats who were all worried

00:47:34.000 uh jeff copage on x said quote could any of those guys change a tire

00:47:42.080 i thought that summed it up pretty good all right james carville was on yet another show saying that

00:47:47.120 the democrats are using feminine messaging and they're too preachy that is correct the democrats 0.95

00:47:54.080 are using feminine messaging but also the men the men who are democrats as in the uh the uh

00:48:03.760 pod save america they're men but it's a feminine message we're afraid we're afraid of the scary guy 0.73

00:48:10.640 that's just so purely feminine all right so i think carville got a lot of love in the audience um for that

00:48:22.880 so the funniest thing is that people are saying uh people trying to defend biden they're trying to

00:48:27.200 figure out any way to defend them and they've they've settled on biden started to debate a little slow

00:48:33.360 but he picked up speed toward the end so i did a meme on x where an old man is falling off a cliff

00:48:40.320 because you know the part where he's on the cliff at the top he starts a little slow but once he falls

00:48:47.200 off the cliff he picks up a lot of steam right toward the end there that's what it felt like to

00:48:53.040 me sort of a not the biggest compliment um and then others are saying they would vote for a dead trump

00:49:00.400 they would vote for a dead biden over a living trump because trump is so scary again how about having

00:49:06.720 lunch with him see if you think he's scary or he just uses hyperbole to help you see what you think

00:49:14.160 speaking of the all-in pod david sachs did a summary of where we're at and it's such a perfect summary i'm

00:49:21.280 just going to read it to you said quote the democratic party is a collection of interests

00:49:26.160 so that's that's the the best way to understand the democrats is not their one thing they're not

00:49:32.080 one thing and obama's in charge it's definitely not that they're a collection of interests that are

00:49:38.240 compatible but different uh the collection of interests who want to remain in power of course

00:49:44.080 everybody does the democratic party is the party of government its goal is to allocate money and power

00:49:49.840 from the government to the collection of interests who back the democratic party that is correct in

00:49:55.920 other words it's basically a collection of interests who want to loot the republic that is correct

00:50:03.600 well obviously no one's going to vote for that so they have to make it about something else

00:50:08.640 they choose a figurehead they talk about how this is about saving democracy oh they basically invent

00:50:15.920 hoax after hoax almost like a hoax mesh of some sort lie after lie to basically maintain their power

00:50:22.880 and i think what's happening is the mask has come off the whole shell game has been revealed

00:50:29.120 it's obvious that biden was always a puppet for these interests who were hiding behind him

00:50:33.520 and now it's all being exposed and that is exactly what's happening it's not about biden's battery bad

00:50:40.720 performance it's about ripping the lid off the whole system because you can see it clearly now

00:50:46.640 you can see it's a bunch of interests who want the jobs they want the government contracts they want

00:50:51.840 their military industrial purchases and they will rather have a corpse in office if it gets them paid

00:50:59.120 all right um so now let's check in with the democrats so you saw how smart the all-in pod can be in

00:51:10.800 sacks in particular uh let's see some democrat thinking because surely there are a lot of brilliant people

00:51:17.200 over on the democrat side so they must be doing good things too um so they're mostly talking about

00:51:24.320 replacing biden and i guess the biden's meeting in camp david with his family today to decide about

00:51:32.000 the future but uh it's gonna be tough because if they replace him they can't really take newsom for

00:51:41.600 example and have him skip over the black woman who's the vice president so as melissa chen noted 0.83

00:51:48.960 uh the problem that they have is don't forget that one of the major reasons the democrats are in this

00:51:54.880 bind which is they can't use biden and they can't replace him that's the bind the reason they're in

00:52:00.560 this bind is because of dei well thank god i'm not the only one who noticed right now my argument about dei

00:52:08.720 in case you're new has nothing to do with anybody's race or sex or gender or anything it has only to do

00:52:16.960 with a system design if you design a system that has more demand for something than there is supply

00:52:24.880 something will get distorted because of that imbalance and in my opinion there were not enough

00:52:32.000 highly qualified uh diverse people to pick as vice president so biden picked the best person who was

00:52:39.840 available in the limited pool of available candidates now in my opinion the reason the pool is limited has a

00:52:46.640 lot to do with the failure of uh early education there should be a whole bunch more black women who 1.00

00:52:54.480 when you looked at kamala harris you said huh she's one of several people who could start tomorrow and be 1.00

00:53:00.560 the president we should be if we had better you know young education but we are where we are the the supply of

00:53:10.480 capable diverse people is less than anybody wants and if you have to pick one somebody's going to pick 1.00

00:53:17.440 whatever's left and that's what kabla was she had two things going for her she looked less capable than 1.00

00:53:24.960 biden so you always like your vice president to be a notch below which was a hard bar you know hard to

00:53:30.880 get somebody who's capable and also looks worse than biden that's kind of an impossibility and then also has to be

00:53:39.040 diverse so think of the impossibility has to be a capable person but also less capable than biden and

00:53:48.480 biden was already as low in the capabilities you could get as we know now it was obvious to us and

00:53:55.040 then she also has to be diverse in just the right way not just black half black and not just a woman 1.00

00:54:01.680 she's got to have them both so now they can't get rid of her because if they do it's going to be

00:54:07.760 going against all their deepest principles and uh it's going to be quite a problem so i don't

00:54:14.720 think so i'm going to say that newsom has no chance of being the nominee newsom has no chance

00:54:24.080 because he's a white guy that's it there's just no way that's going to fly in the democrat party of

00:54:29.920 today by the way bakari sellers um who's a democrat news black and was on cnn said it directly there's

00:54:37.680 no way the white guy is going to jump over the the black woman you know the democrats just aren't 1.00

00:54:43.680 going to go for that and i think he's right i think that analysis is exactly correct so here's the funny

00:54:50.720 part here comes the funny summary funny summary now remember the concept of a funny summary because

00:55:01.440 i'm going to talk about it when i get to the whiteboard here's my funny summary now a funny a

00:55:07.280 summary is only funny if it strikes you as true and you didn't quite think of it in those terms yet

00:55:14.720 so here it is our current situation is that the public just found out

00:55:22.240 that joe biden is incompetent now what's funny about that situation is everybody who is a republican

00:55:30.640 knew that and apparently everybody in the press knew he was incompetent and they still pushed him

00:55:36.640 forward and it brought and it brought them to this terrible situation so if there's one thing you want

00:55:42.160 to avoid it's doing this again and by this i mean putting somebody forward as a nominee who everybody knows

00:55:52.000 is massively incompetent you don't want to do that again so you know what they're going to do

00:56:00.960 they're going to put kamala harris forward that's just joe biden 2.0 that's somebody that we all know

00:56:09.840 is incapable of doing the basic work we know it and by the way i'm not saying you know i never said

00:56:17.440 that hillary hillary clinton was incapable did you ever hear me say that and i was very you know anti

00:56:23.760 hillary clinton her problem is she's too capable at what she wants to do no hillary cape hillary clinton 1.00

00:56:30.560 is a very high functioning human being i don't say this about every democrat but how did they find

00:56:37.920 the two worst democrats in all of democrat world who you know weren't nadler i suppose they could have

00:56:44.160 been nadler so there was a way that could have been worse but the summary is this the democrats and

00:56:53.840 their press got caught putting an incompetent forward and so to make sure that never happens

00:57:00.640 once again they're going to put kamala harris forward now you could not write that joke

00:57:08.560 and people think it was real like a real life thing they'd say well that's not gonna happen

00:57:12.960 the obvious thing they're going to do is make sure they don't make the same mistake again

00:57:17.200 but because of dei they looks like they're going to make the same mistake again they're just going

00:57:24.720 to recreate the same problem and i don't think that they have an organizational design in the democrats

00:57:31.920 where they can avoid this problem they've designed a system that guarantees they will recreate the problem

00:57:38.560 and then they're going to do it right in front of you to show that i'm right that the design of the

00:57:43.520 system can only produce incompetent people at this point and it has nothing to do with race or gender

00:57:51.760 the system design can only produce incompetence at this point sorry i didn't design it i'm just

00:58:00.960 observing the system design on paper can only produce incompetence now i'm not sure that that's the

00:58:09.600 same on the other side i think the republicans put forward a whole bunch of good candidates in the

00:58:15.680 primaries and i think that one of those candidates destroyed the others thus demonstrating a superior

00:58:22.080 ability to communicate with you know similar policies in a sense but superior ability to do the

00:58:27.840 communication stuff so that's merit i mean the the republicans ran pure merit and look what they got

00:58:35.120 they got a candidate who could destroy boy biden in public their system the republican system on paper

00:58:44.000 because it's competitive you should predict it would produce a good candidate and it did the democrat

00:58:51.840 process if you throw the dei stuff in there on paper it should fail most of the time and it is

00:58:58.880 all right um so how can the uh how can the democrats make the same mistake again well as a ex user whose

00:59:14.320 name i'm not going to tell you because it's uh intentionally chosen to be provocative but part of

00:59:20.640 his name is kyle so i think kyle said this uh the democrats are unburdened by what has been

00:59:29.040 okay that was good they can make the same mistake over and over again because

00:59:35.440 they're unburdened by what has been they literally can't learn okay that's just perfect that's just

00:59:43.200 perfect tyler you get you get the win for the day uh david axelrod i don't know if he means it or not

00:59:50.880 i think he does uh he said it's too late to replace biden it was a smart conversation a year ago but he's

00:59:57.360 not going to quit and he's the only one who can decide and uh even though the heritage foundation

01:00:03.440 and others are working on legal challenges if he state if he is replaced apparently there are three

01:00:08.720 swing states georgia nevada and wisconsin that could theoretically restrict biden's uh replacement on

01:00:16.880 the ballot here's what i think i think there's no real chance that three states would

01:00:24.800 mess with a democrat candidate to that level i think that even though there's not much time left

01:00:31.600 if those three states thought that they could not have a legitimate election they wouldn't let their 0.97

01:00:36.960 state look like idiots they would immediately jump into action say all right all right we'll reprint 0.99

01:00:42.160 the ballots or whatever they have to do and we'll make sure that everybody can run 1.00

01:00:45.600 i think the fact that they have legal obstacles about changing somebody out uh after a certain

01:00:52.880 point i think they'll be flexible and by the way they should i don't i don't want i don't want trump

01:01:00.240 to win because of a technicality are you with me now i know some of you can say all the matters is

01:01:06.560 winning i get it i get it i've heard your argument but it's going to be big trouble if the only reason

01:01:13.360 democrats think they want is because the states were messing with the rules that's that's what

01:01:18.800 democrats do that's not what you want your republicans to be doing you don't want them to 0.99

01:01:24.240 get some technical cheap shit bullshit win you want you want trump to do what he's poised to do 0.99

01:01:31.280 bulldoze biden into the dustbin of history right in front of everybody using their rules 0.99

01:01:38.880 just the way they're written that's the win you want so i have mixed feelings about keeping

01:01:44.880 them off the ballot um i don't think i think axelrod might be pumping up his own resume because i

01:01:52.960 guarantee you that a year ago he was telling people on the inside maybe you should think about a

01:01:57.920 replacement i think he's reminding you that people like him were the smart ones and the people currently

01:02:04.560 in charge are incompetent i think that's the real message i don't know if his prediction that

01:02:10.240 biden will definitely stay in is real i would bet against him and by the way that's a gutsy bet

01:02:16.880 because because axelrod well no i'm going to stick with my original prediction so i'm going to agree with

01:02:25.600 axelrod i was going to disagree but just for fun you know predictions are as much for fun as anything else

01:02:31.520 just for fun i'm going to stick with my original prediction that only biden can decide and he won't

01:02:37.280 decide he'll stay in now i said that before i knew the entire family was going to meet this weekend

01:02:45.680 the family will clearly try to talk him out of it do you agree the family will clearly try to talk him

01:02:53.280 out of it that's the whole point they're not going to meet to not talk him out of it they're meeting to

01:02:57.520 talk him out of it that's pretty strong i think i think biden doesn't have the strength to

01:03:06.400 contradict his own family if they if they act as one i don't think they have any

01:03:12.400 yeah i'm saying newsom can never be the nominee that's what i'm saying newsom can never jump over

01:03:18.560 harris because that would be a dei problem and their whole reputation is dei if they give that up what

01:03:25.280 were they what are the democrats what are they if they ignore dei when they pick their candidate

01:03:32.480 that that would be the last thing that they had going for him is at least they were pushing for

01:03:36.400 that one thing and people liked it some people so no there isn't there is no path there is no path

01:03:45.040 for newsom and he knows it by the way he knows it maybe there will be but at the current environment

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01:04:52.400 play responsibly anyway uh um i heard a anecdote the other day and it goes like this there were about

01:05:03.520 10 people at a family gathering and everybody was talking about the debate and they were a mixed 0.99

01:05:09.760 group you had your independents and your trump supporters and few democrats and what did all 10 of

01:05:16.720 them say after the debate all 10 of them they're all leaning in the same direction what was after the

01:05:24.000 debate 10 people from various different parties what did they say you guess you tell me what they said

01:05:29.760 what would you guess 10 people in a room would say after the debate when they were in they were different

01:05:36.800 political leanings if you don't know the answer to this you might have a big surprise coming

01:05:45.920 they said they're voting for rfk jr 10 out of 10 10 10 out of 10. now the 10 out of 10 was somebody's

01:05:55.760 assumption they didn't all say they were voting for him but they all said you know what rfk jr is looking

01:06:02.240 good so here's what happened while you weren't watching you know rfk jr that spunky challenger who

01:06:17.040 didn't have really any chance of winning remember that guy he's a coin flip now

01:06:23.840 rfk jr is a coin flip if you think that the last week showed you that trump is going to roll to

01:06:32.000 victory oh we got lots of surprises coming you got lots of surprises and one of them is since we know

01:06:40.080 the the democrats will literally will literally say we prefer a dead man to trump rfk jr is way better

01:06:48.720 than a dead man way better right now he might have a little problem beating the character issue

01:06:57.440 because he's got some things in his past but at the moment people seem to like him on both sides

01:07:04.240 at least you know as a human being and as a patriot and as a you know benefit to the country i think he's

01:07:09.360 all those things so i think he's going to enter the conversation in the big way and it's going to happen 0.97

01:07:15.760 really fast and you're going to say to yourself oh shit maybe trump should not have taken biden out so 0.97

01:07:24.560 quickly 0.99

01:07:27.440 but rfk jr has the older white man problem i don't think he can get past it but he might take enough

01:07:35.120 votes away from trump that it becomes a problem that's possible

01:07:39.360 anyway if you haven't seen the split screen of biden talking in 2019 versus 2024 you have to see it

01:07:51.440 because it's a big difference now as a chamath said in the all in pod that people don't understand a

01:08:00.080 rate of decay that if you look at something that's falling apart it doesn't fall apart at a smooth one

01:08:06.640 percent per year lots of things times things start slowly oh it looks like it's falling apart a little

01:08:13.040 bit yeah a little bit more a little bit more and then falls apart if you don't understand that there

01:08:19.360 are some things by their nature that fall in that way first slowly and then fast then you didn't

01:08:26.160 necessarily know that biden was a bad choice in 2019 and 20. i knew i knew then that he was not going to

01:08:35.040 make it the full term and the reason is that i know rate of decay i've watched old people die and i

01:08:42.480 know that it starts slow and then it turns fast really quickly so i've seen that cycle several

01:08:47.920 times so yes if you looked at him in 2020 and you said to yourself he's not so bad like i you know i see

01:08:56.080 a little taste of something that's worrisome but he's mostly there if you straight line that and said

01:09:03.520 well that's who he'll be for eight years you were not a good analyst the good analysis should have

01:09:09.760 been uh oh we see a hint of this in four years this is going to be a crisis that was always the right

01:09:16.480 play that's that's exactly what i told you i say he's not going to make it four years and he didn't

01:09:22.480 he did not make it his full term though those who predicted he did not have the mental health to make

01:09:29.200 it even one term can take a bow take a bow were we doctors nope did i need a doctor's expertise to

01:09:39.360 call this one no all i needed to know is that the rate of decay for somebody with you know a mental

01:09:46.400 problem like that is can be steep so it was kind of an easy prediction and the fact that others didn't

01:09:52.480 get it suggests that that rate of decay thing can be misleading all right if you remember in 2016 i

01:10:00.080 became let's say known within the political commentary world for my comments about trump

01:10:07.200 and persuasion and here's something i missed and one once it hit me i thought oh my god trump did his

01:10:15.600 rosie o'donnell thing again remember in 2016 he did the the debate where he was challenged about his

01:10:22.880 you know actions with women or what he said about women and he said only rosie o'donnell

01:10:28.960 and many of us said my god that's the moment that's when everything changed that's when you realize

01:10:35.680 that he was he was too strong to be taken down by weak attacks and that he's gone someplace but he had

01:10:42.960 that moment in this last debate but it was a little bit overshadowed by the fact that biden fell apart

01:10:50.080 so biden's collapse was the big story which diverted even me from noting that he created a masterpiece

01:10:58.320 a masterpiece now i i could argue that his entire debate was a masterpiece of persuasion if you allow me

01:11:06.880 that his fact checking was the usual right but in terms of the energy the leadership

01:11:13.200 the you know the mental acuity um the ability to move energy around even the wise way he avoided

01:11:21.040 questions he's criticized for avoiding questions but he did it wisely like he just moved the conversation

01:11:27.200 to where he would he had a strength all of those things are a plus right now i criticized him and

01:11:33.600 nitpicked him over some of the arguments like not debunking the hoaxes well enough and that's still a

01:11:39.280 criticism but he also didn't get into any of the weeds much so if you allow that he's not a weed

01:11:46.720 getter into guy he's got a strategy that works in debates he employed his strategy that works in

01:11:52.320 debates which is not getting into too many details staying at the high level and also even his critics

01:11:58.160 are saying he did a great job of bringing everything back to immigration and he did

01:12:03.600 it if you remember one thing it's something about immigration which plays to his strength i barely

01:12:11.360 remember any of the other topics except that golf thing which i'm not going to talk about because

01:12:16.000 yeah that was just fun but you all remember when he said after uh early on when uh biden mumbled

01:12:24.480 and trump let this go he said i really don't know what he said at the end of the sentence

01:12:30.320 i don't think he knows what he said either i'm going to turn the board around and tell you why

01:12:37.520 if you didn't realize it was more than just funny because maybe your reaction was oh that's funny

01:12:43.360 it's just like good joke and maybe you thought that's all it was oh god no

01:12:48.160 this is something that only trump can do watch this

01:13:03.280 look at look at much technique he packed into this number one he said it quickly and it was funny and it

01:13:12.480 was clever what were they both trying to prove that night they were trying to prove that biden had

01:13:19.280 mental acuity the moment he showed he didn't trump not only called him out which would have been fine

01:13:27.200 not only called him out for his lack of mental acuity but he demonstrated his own quick wit contrast

01:13:34.240 is your number one you know well it's in the top five uh persuasion techniques so he created an

01:13:41.280 instant contrast which he proved to the world he's a fast thinker and a productive fast thinker

01:13:48.480 because not only was he fast but he came up with the perfect spontaneous spontaneous

01:13:56.800 ad-libbed perfect persuasion it's the only thing i remembered besides the golf talk because it was funny

01:14:03.760 it's all i remembered and you wait a few days after the debate and you say to yourself what do you

01:14:08.560 remember you remember you remember that now it also had the effect of being the silent assassin

01:14:18.240 you want trump because he's strong you want trump if you want trump you want him because he can take

01:14:24.240 down his enemies without much effort you want a guy who can make a kill shot and of low energy jeb

01:14:30.720 you want somebody who can change the world with a sentence

01:14:33.600 he was a silent assassin he didn't make a big deal about it he didn't he didn't put on a show

01:14:42.560 he just gave the face when he was listening to him like the quizzical face your dog makes when you're

01:14:46.880 talking to your dog and dog turns aside i don't even know what that word those words are so first he gives

01:14:52.880 you the visual where he's he's obviously straining to even understand what biden is saying so that's good

01:15:00.560 but when he when he sticks the shiv in it's just such a strong silent assassin he didn't make a lot of

01:15:08.320 noise about it he just knew it was the kill shot and so he didn't have to yell about it he just said

01:15:15.200 all right here's the shiv put this right up to your ribs there now i'm gonna i'm gonna be pressing this

01:15:20.880 in really hard while you're all watching there we go there we go there we go now we've penetrated

01:15:25.840 the heart and now i'd like to tell you some things i'll do as president it was masterful

01:15:32.400 right the next thing he did was he found a sentence or two that summarized the entire election

01:15:41.920 the entire election is about the cognitive you know value of one person versus the other

01:15:47.280 and he managed to summarize the entire campaign with this sentence we'll never forget two sentences

01:15:55.520 i forgot it's on the other side of my whiteboard but i didn't forget the sentence the other thing he did

01:16:01.920 is with that one reframe he reframed biden as a child or as somebody who needs extra help

01:16:08.800 because he didn't yell at him and the way he talked to them is a way you would only talk to a child

01:16:18.640 if somebody had mental problems and said something you didn't understand would you ever look him right

01:16:23.680 in the face while you're standing there and say i didn't understand that and i don't think you did

01:16:28.480 either no would you say it to an adult no would you say it to a child yeah you would if a three-year-old

01:16:41.280 said blah blah blah blah blah blah you know and it was like half language and have not you might

01:16:47.440 you might say to a child i don't know what you just said there but i don't think you know either

01:16:51.840 you see what i mean you would only say that to a child there's no other circumstance and so he

01:16:58.720 reframes biden as someone that you can talk right to as if he doesn't even understand what you're saying

01:17:06.320 while you're saying it the reframe there was subtle but freaking brilliant just the way that if he if

01:17:13.680 he'd gone strong it would look like two adults so in other words if he said well there it is there

01:17:21.040 that's exactly what i've been telling you people i make sense he doesn't make sense he just proved

01:17:26.240 it that would be two adults talking he didn't do that he treated him like he was a child

01:17:33.280 and you can just dismissively talk about him right in front of him brilliant

01:17:39.280 but here's the big one there are a couple other things but the most the strongest part is i've taught

01:17:45.760 i've taught my local subscribers this trick it it is so powerful as a persuasion it's when you

01:17:52.720 pay somebody which is you match their thinking you either match what they're doing or or what they're

01:17:59.440 thinking or saying so there's different ways to pay some it basically makes you like the person

01:18:04.240 you're trying to persuade oh yeah i'm like you whatever you're doing i'm doing too and then the

01:18:08.720 next thing you say you're more persuasive because they say well you like me so i'll listen to you

01:18:12.960 as soon as biden started mumbling what were you thinking at home you were thinking at exactly the

01:18:21.360 time that trump said it you were thinking exactly what he said that is the most persuasive thing you

01:18:29.680 can do when somebody's in the room if you can pick out what somebody's thinking at the moment

01:18:35.520 they're thinking it and it's a non-standard thought all right has to be non-standard a standard thought

01:18:42.080 would be wow it's hot today okay you don't get any credit for that because everybody knows it's

01:18:47.600 hot it's an ordinary thing i sure am hungry no no even if the other person's hungry too nothing right

01:18:54.640 those are ordinary thoughts but this was an extraordinary situation a debate and a very

01:19:00.560 unordinary situation where one of the people said something that didn't make sense to anybody

01:19:05.520 so trump gets in all of our heads that democrats and republicans and that as you're thinking it

01:19:13.840 it comes out of his mouth oh my god you were thinking i don't know what that meant

01:19:21.360 you are also thinking i don't know if he knows what that meant

01:19:25.680 he said exactly what you were thinking exactly when you thought it now even if you if you take

01:19:34.320 the timing out it doesn't work if he had said it the day after you know i don't know if you heard him

01:19:40.080 but i don't know what he said and i don't think you know either no effect no effect well a little bit

01:19:46.560 it would be a little bit of pacing but you would lose the immediacy if you can do it at the moment

01:19:52.080 somebody's thinking it and by the way i teach i teach this technique this is a real powerful

01:19:57.440 persuasion technique um and he nailed it now imagine doing that spontaneously and instantly

01:20:05.520 and having that much right but it's better it keeps going it was funny because it was funny and he

01:20:12.560 knew it would be funny humor makes you repeat it in your head when you hear something that's funny and

01:20:19.920 it's clever your head repeats it the repetition is what makes something become more important in

01:20:26.240 your mind you can't not repeat it it's why rhymes work you repeat rhymes in your head so that's why they

01:20:32.640 get sticky so humor is repetition repetition forms memory and as dr carmen simon teaches us memory

01:20:43.120 is basically what's going to drive your actions and your opinions so humor is repetition repetition makes

01:20:52.000 memories memories is persuasion and i also tell you that uh visual persuasion is the most powerful

01:21:01.760 and you'd say well this isn't really visual it's just something he said except that we were looking at

01:21:07.840 biden's face biden's face biden's face was the visual of the night the only visual that anybody talked

01:21:15.200 about is how bad his face looked so when you match that you're already thinking what is wrong with biden's

01:21:20.880 face with the fact that he's saying sketchy stuff you get the visual for free now i don't know that that

01:21:28.720 was so planned but it but it was there it was also a surprise because you don't expect somebody to

01:21:36.560 say something in a presidential debate that's quite that clever and biting and right in your face

01:21:44.800 and so you might you might say well it's not that big a surprise because it's trump

01:21:49.200 but even for trump it came you know maybe came out of nowhere so surprise also gets your attention

01:21:56.560 attention is memory memory is persuasion and i would also argue that in a in a subtle way

01:22:03.280 uh biden's obvious dementia is scary now it's scary in a general way which is uh-oh who's running

01:22:12.720 the country um so you got the fear you got an indirect visual you got him thinking what what you're

01:22:21.120 thinking and saying it as you're thinking it he's reframed him as a child he summarized the entire

01:22:25.840 election he's a silent assassin he showed contrast by being quick-witted

01:22:33.760 it was amazing he did that spontaneously so you know when i had a chance to talk to him about

01:22:42.000 persuasion uh in the oval office in 2018 i actually asked him you know have you studied persuasion or is

01:22:50.480 this natural and he told me it was natural that you know you made no special effort to study it it's

01:22:56.640 just a lifetime of picking up tips i guess and uh that was that was the best example you're ever

01:23:02.720 going to see and so that ladies and gentlemen is my show for the day and uh i might do some more

01:23:10.240 persuasion whiteboards as we get closer to the election i think they're they're value added because

01:23:16.720 you can pick up a little tricks you can use for yourself and also you can watch for them so i'm

01:23:22.320 going to say uh bye to uh youtube and rumble and x thanks for joining you spend some time with my

01:23:29.120 special people my beloveds uh on locals and i'm glad you joined thanks for joining

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 30, 2024

Episode 2522 CWSA 06⧸30⧸24

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